key: cord-0960716-ph76t9li
authors: Luca Morieri, Mario; Paolo Fadini, Gian; Boscari, Federico; Fioretto, Paola; Maran, Alberto; Busetto, Luca; Cristina Crepaldi, Maria; Vedovato, Monica; Maria Bonora, Benedetta; Selmin, Elisa; Arcidiacono, Gaetano; Pinelli, Silvia; Farnia, Filippo; Falaguasta, Daniele; Russo, Lucia; Voltan, Giacomo; Mazzocut, Sara; Costantini, Giorgia; Ghirardini, Francesca; Tresso, Silvia; Maria Cattelan, Anna; Vianello, Andrea; Vettor, Roberto; Avogaro, Angelo
title: Hyperglycemia, glucocorticoid therapy, and outcome of COVID-19
date: 2020-09-17
journal: Diabetes Res Clin Pract
DOI: 10.1016/j.diabres.2020.108449
sha: 4704d2e8625e0e5dee67c58318ee431f017050af
doc_id: 960716
cord_uid: ph76t9li

nan

Dear Editor, in our recent publication, we have highlighted that hyperglycemia in patients without known diabetes had a worse impact on COVID-19 outcome than hyperglycemia in patients with known diabetes [1] . The adverse prognostic role of hyperglycemia without diabetes and new-onset diabetes is extremely consistent in the literature [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] .

Commenting upon our paper, Dr. Li has elegantly argued that at least part of the effect of hyperglycemia on COVID-19 outcome may be confounded by glucocorticoid therapy being used in patients with more severe forms of disease [5, 7] . This is particularly important because glucocorticoid therapy is being recommended for COVID-19 patients needing invasive ventilation, especially in the intensive care unit [8] .

There are several reasons why we believe that glucocorticoid therapy was not affecting our findings.

First, we used admission glucose levels to define diabetes status and the degree of hyperglycemia was always referred to laboratory values closest to the hospital admission date. Therefore, even if more patients with newly-diagnosed diabetes have received glucocorticoids during the hospital stay, this did not affect our definition of diabetes and glucose levels collected before initiation of such therapy.

Rather, we were concerned that admission hyperglycemia could be due to pre-hospital glucocorticoid therapy because some patients could be treated with glucocorticoids at home before requiring hospitalization. In fact, in multivariable model 2, we adjusted for sex, age and pre-existing conditions or pre-hospital medications associated with COVID-19 severity in model 1, including glucocorticoids. As reported also in this model, the association between hyperglycemia and COVID-19 severity was confirmed.

Finally, to better clarify this issue, we now present a new analysis, where the effect of hyperglycemia on COVID-19 outcome is shown according to pre-admission and in-hospital use of glucocorticoids. Figure 1 shows that adverse outcome was significantly more common every 2 mmol of higher admission fasting plasma glucose also when the analyses was restricted to patients without pre-hospital use of glucocorticoids. Conversely, the analyses among those using glucocorticoids, strongly limited by the small sample size (n=16), yielded a null association between hyperglycemia and COVID-19 severity with very large confidence interval (overlapping with that of other groups). However, the lack of the association in this group would be in line with the notion that pre-admission glucocorticoids caused hyperglycemia upon admission and were a proxy of severity, thereby nullifying the prognostic effect of hyperglycemia. On the other side, the effect of hyperglycemia on COVID-19 outcome was statistically significant in both patients with and in those without in-hospital use of glucocorticoids.

It should be noted that the frequent use of glucocorticoids among people with newly-diagnosed diabetes may exacerbate hyperglycemia. If hyperglycemia truly plays a negative role on COVID-19 outcomes, glucocorticoids should be used carefully in these patients [9] . In fact, iatrogenic hyperglycemia may

Newly-diagnosed diabetes and admission hyperglycemia predict COVID-19 severity by aggravating respiratory deterioration

Hyperglycemia without diabetes and new-onset diabetes are both associated with poorer outcomes in COVID-19

Prevalence and impact of diabetes among people infected with SARS-CoV-2

J-shaped association between fasting blood glucose levels and COVID-19 severity in patients without diabetes

Hyperglycemia and COVID-19: What was known and what is really new?

Hyperglycemia is a strong predictor of poor prognosis in COVID-19

Inpatient use of glucocorticoids may mediate the detrimental effect of new onset hyperglycemia on COVID 19 severity

Dexamethasone in Hospitalized Patients with Covid-19 -Preliminary Report

A Pragmatic Approach to Inpatient Diabetes Management during the COVID-19 Pandemic

Figure 1. Association between admission fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and COVID-19 severity by use of glucocorticoids before or during hospitalization. Estimates were adjusted for age and sex

Relative risk (95% C.I.) for primary outcome per 2 mmol/L of FPG levels at hospital admission Pre-admission use of steroids No (n=281

Yes (n=16; events = 8)

-hospital use of steroids* 1.15 (1.07-1.23)