key: cord-1000685-xr9p4fcd
authors: Diaby, Vakaramoko; Almutairi, Reem D.; Chen, Ziyan; Moussa, Richard K.; Berthe, Abdrahmane
title: A pharmacovigilance study to quantify the strength of association between the combination of antimalarial drugs and azithromycin and cardiac arrhythmias: implications for the treatment of COVID-19.
date: 2020-12-08
journal: Expert review of pharmacoeconomics & outcomes research
DOI: 10.1080/14737167.2021.1851600
sha: 2c969726b6c2345148d7eb36cc131d5899e9bdb5
doc_id: 1000685
cord_uid: xr9p4fcd

Background: Hydroxychloroquine, an antimalarial drug, combined with azithromycin has been considered a potential treatment for COVID-19. However, these drugs may cause electrocardiogram QT prolongation (QTp) and torsade de Pointes (TdP). We examined potential safety signals for these cardiac arrhythmias. Methods: Using the OpenVigil 2.1 MedDRA platform, we mined data from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration’s Adverse Event Reporting System (FAERS) from December 2019 to June 2020. We extracted individual case safety reports based on exposures of seven antimalarial drugs, azithromycin, and combinations. All other drugs in FAERS served as controls. Events of interest included QTp and TdP, with associations between drug exposures and events expressed as adjusted Reporting-Odds-Ratios (aRORs) and confidence intervals. The lower end of aROR 95% confidence interval >1 was used as the statistically significant signal detection threshold. Results: QTp safety signals were found for hydroxychloroquine[aROR:11.70 (10.40–13.16)], chloroquine[aROR:18.97 (11.30–31.87)], quinine[aROR:16.66 (10.18–27.25)], atovaquone[aROR:6.91 (4.14–11.56)], azithromycin alone [aROR:28.02 (22.87–34.32)] and hydroxychloroquine + azithromycin [aROR:75.23 (51.15–110.66)]. TdP safety signals were found for hydroxychloroquine [aROR: 5.62 (4.94–6.38)], chloroquine[aROR:49.37 (30.63–79.58)], and hydroxychloroquine + azithromycin[aROR:33.09 (21.22–51.61)]. Conclusion: Hydroxychloroquine/chloroquine and/or azithromycin was associated with QTp/TdP safety signals and their use should be monitored carefully.

In late December 2019, the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID- 19) has started to spread in Wuhan, the capital city of Hubei province, China [1] . The novel coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2 carries a risk for all the population especially the elderly and patients with preexisting conditions. It can lead to severe acute respiratory syndromes, hospitalizations (including intensive care unit admissions), and death in all patients irrespective of age. On 12 March 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) has declared the COVID-19 outbreak a pandemic [2] . Global data suggest an important epidemiological burden associated with COVID-19. As of 2 October 2020, 34, 495,176 laboratory-confirmed cases had been documented, and a total of 1,025,729 deaths globally [3] . As of October 06, there are a total of 7,436,278 laboratoryconfirmed cases and 209,560 deaths in the USA [4] .

Measures to slow the spread of COVID-19 include quarantine, social distancing, and isolation [5] . Measures to prevent include the development of vaccines, which is currently a hot research area. Unfortunately, there is currently no vaccine to protect people against COVID-19 [6] . Currently, therapeutic options for patients with COVID-19 mainly focus on experimental drugs (e.g. Aviptadil (RLF-100), tradipitant) as well as the repurposing of existing drugs [7, 8] . Among the available therapeutic drugs candidates for repurposing, antimalarial drugs chloroquine (CQ)/ hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) have been considered potential 'miracle cures' for patients with COVID-19 in light of promising results from clinical trials [9] . CQ/HCQ are used to prevent or treat malaria infections caused by plasmodium falciparum and to treat connective tissue diseases such as rheumatoid arthritis and lupus [10] .

The results of the study conducted by Gautret et al. suggest a significant reduction in viral load in COVID-19 patients receiving the combination of HCQ and azithromycin [11] . In the face of these results, the Agence Nationale de Sécurité du Médicament et des Produits de Santé (ANSM) followed by the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) issued an emergency use authorization allowing off-label recommendation use of HCQ for COVID-19 as a treatment on 28 March 2020 [12] . These actions from the regulatory bodies in France and the United States have sparked concerns in the clinical and research community over the fact that these drugs have the potential to cause QTp and torsade de Pointes (TdP). Chatre et al. [13] recommended that clinicians be aware of severe and potentially irreversible cardiac toxicities related to the use of CQ or HCQ in the long-term treatment of connective tissue diseases. These recommendations go a step further by requiring treatments to stop as soon as cardiac manifestations occur. A statement guidelines from the Canadian Heart Rhythm Society mentions that the addition of azithromycin to HCQ may lead to QT prolongation [14] . In the same vein, Das et al [15] conducted a systematic review on the efficacy and safety of the use of HCQ along with azithromycin in COVID-19 patients. They concluded that the use of this treatment combination warrants caution. Finally, there was no evidence of QTp or TdP monitoring in the Gautret et al study [11] .

Therefore, there is a critical need to examine safety signals for cardiac arrhythmias (QTp and TdP) from a pharmacovigilance perspective to ensure patient safety, especially in anticipation of high demand and use of CQ/ HCQ and/or azithromycin in the war against COVID-19. Besides, several studies have investigated the use of other antimalarial drugs as candidates for repurposing, reemphasizing the importance of conducting pharmacovigilance studies [16, 17] . Two pharmacovigilance studies assessed the risk of QTp and TdP following the use of HCQ/CQ and or azithromycin using data from the U.S. Food and Drugs Administration Adverse Event Reporting System (FAERS) [18, 19] . Although informative, the results of these studies offer limited insights on these safety signals since the data used were obtained in the period pre-COVID-19 (Before December 2019).

The main objective of this study was to determine potential safety signals for QTp and TdP in patients using HCQ/CQ and/ or azithromycin as treatment candidates for COVID-19 using data from the FAERS from December 2019 to the second quarter of 2020 (peri-COVID-19 period). We also determined potential safety signals for five additional antimalarial drugs alone or in combination with azithromycin.

We conducted a disproportionality analysis of the FAERS. FAERS is a publicly available database that contains domestic and foreign information on adverse events and medication error reports submitted to the FDA in the form of ICSRs [20] . ICSRs in the FAERS database provide general administration information including patient characteristics [age, gender (sex)], reporting country, drugs (indications for the drug, concomitant drugs, dosage information and route of administration), events (suspected adverse drug reactions, and medication errors are coded to terms in the Medical Dictionary for Regulatory Activities (MedDRA) terminology, and outcomes [21] . FAERS database follows the international safety reporting guidance issued by the International Conference on Harmonization (ICH E2B) [22] .

Using the OpenVigil 2.1 MedDRA platform [23] , we mined data from the FAERS from December 2019 to the second quarter of 2020 (551,018 total reports). The OpenVigil 2.1 MedDRA platform allows for the estimation of disproportionality measures used for signal detection.

We used structured query language to extract ICSRs based on exposures of seven antimalarial drugs alone (CQ/HCQ, amodiaquine, quinine, mefloquine, primaquine, atovaquone) and, azithromycin alone, and combinations (exposed). All other drugs in FAERS served as controls (non-exposed to antimalarial drugs/azithromycin).

Two major events (QTp, TdP), suspected to be induced by the treatments (exposure variables) were identified following the MedDRA hierarchy and extracted through OpenVigil 2.1. Example of query logic processes to retrieve frequency counts for events following exposure to HCQ and to create 2 × 2 contingency tables of drug exposure vs event for disproportionality analyses are presented in Appendix 1 and 2 respectively. Age (categorized as less than 18, 18-64, 65+, Unknown), gender (categorized as male, female, unknown), country (transformed into 'region' and categorized as Europe, Asia, Africa, North America, South America, Not specified) were identified from ICSRs. Drugs interacting with antimalarial drugs are likely to increase their plasma concentrations through pharmacokinetic interactions. Drug-drug interactions (DDIs) between antimalarial drugs (CQ/HCQ, amodiaquine, quinine, mefloquine, primaquine, atovaquone) and azithromycin were identified from the summary of the product characteristics (SPC) (Appendix 3).

We conducted a disproportionality analysis to calculate reporting odds ratios (RORs) for signal detection. The estimation of RORs was done for each antimalarial drug, azithromycin, and combinations. We compared the odds of QTp or TdP in ICSRs indicating patients treated with antimalarial drugs and antibiotics (cases) with the odds of QTp or TdP in ICSRs indicating patients treated with all other drugs (non-cases). Additionally, we conducted a robustness analysis by adjusting the calculated RORs for potential confounders including age, gender, and the reporting regions. These suspected confounders were confirmed by the subgroup analyses using the covariates (Data available upon request). The adjusted RORs were calculated using the Mantel-Haenszel approach [24] . Since we aimed to control for categorical variables (or simultaneously for more than one categorical variable), each modality of the categorical variable (or each group formed by the combination of the categorical variables) was treated as a stratum.

Let us consider that we are adjusting the OR for two binary confounding variables denoted Z 1 and Z 2 . The strata are the following:

Then, contingency tables are calculated for each stratum as follows:

Once these contingency tables are calculated, the Mantel-Haenszel OR (adjusted OR) is calculated as (where I denotes the number of strata, and n i is the number of observation in the stratumi):

The standard error is calculated as:

Thus, the lower (LB) and upper (UB) bounds of the 95% confidence interval are given by:

The results of the disproportionality analysis were presented using forest plots. All analyses were performed using the statistical software package Stata SE, Release 14 (College Station, TX: StataCorp LP).

The crude RORs (cRORs), with their 95% CIs, are presented in Figure 1 . When the drugs are used as a single agent, we found safety signals for HCQ [aROR:9.82 (7. 

When the drugs are used as a single agent, we found safety signals only for CQ [aROR: 46.21 (6.39-334.14). When the drugs are used in combination, we only found safety signals for HCQ + azithromycin [aROR: 71.05 (17.38-290.46), p-value: <0.001].

The adjusted RORs (aRORs), with their 95% CIs, are presented in Figure 2 . When the drugs are used as a single agent, we found safety signals for HCQ 

When the drugs are used as a single agent, we found safety signals for HCQ [aROR 

In this study, we quantified the risk of QTp and TdP in patients receiving antimalarial drugs (HCQ, amodiaquine, CQ, quinine, mefloquine, primaquine, atovaquone) and azithromycin (individual and combination therapy) from the FAERS December 2019-Second quarter of 2020) through the OpenVigil 2.1 platform. The latter offers an opportunity to generate unbiased pharmacovigilance analyses since it uses cleaned FAERS data [23] (i.e. duplicates and incomplete reports are removed from the original dataset). We found cardiac arrhythmias safety signals associated with several antimalarial drugs, including CQ/HCQ, and/or azithromycin. These results go beyond the already known potential for HCQ and azithromycin to induce cardiac arrhythmias described in the medications' SPC as these suspected associations are quantified in the current study using a large pharmacovigilance database (FAERS) and labeled as safety signals specifically in the context of COVID-19. For azithromycin, evidence from observational studies in regards to the association between macrolides and cardiovascular events is mixed [16] .

Recently, several studies assessed the effectiveness and safety of HCQ with or without azithromycin. From a safety point of view, Sarayani et al. [17] conducted a pharmacovigilance study using data from FAERS (1969-3 rd quarter 2019) to examine risks of HCQ with or without azithromycin, including QT segment prolongation, TdP, and death. The authors reported that only azithromycin as a monotherapy was associated with TdP/QT prolongation events, which warrants caution in its use. These results are supported by our findings as it relates to the use of azithromycin alone. As for HCQ/CQ alone or in combination with azithromycin, our results conflict. Potential explanations for these discrepancies may include the differences in data mining approaches used to extract and identify cases and non-cases in the FAERS, the comparator, and denominator used for the measure of association (all other drugs in the FAERS in our study versus amoxicillin in Sarayani et al) and the time horizon covered by the data (1963-December 2019, the period before COVID-19). A similar study by Singh et al. aimed at determining and characterizing HCQ-associated cardiovascular adverse events (CV-AEs) [18] . Our results are in agreement with the findings of the study by Singh et al. as it relates to HCQ. Though, the magnitude of our findings is greater given that the aROR for HCQ is significantly higher than the one reported by Singh et al. This may be due to our study using FAERS data during the COVID-19 period (December 2019-2nd quarter of 2020) while Singh et al. used FAERS data for the period from 29 May 1998, to 31 December 2019. The scope of the current study is broader as it examined seven antimalarial drugs alone or in combination with azithromycin, with ROR adjusted for potential confounders.

Rosenberg et al. [25] conducted a multicentre retrospective cohort study of adverse effects of HCQ among patients with COVID-19. Cardiac arrest was more frequent in patients who received HCQ with azithromycin, compared with patients who received neither drug, even after adjustment. Mercuro et al. [26] conducted a study to characterize the risk and degree of QT prolongation in patients with COVID-19 in association with their use of HCQ with or without concomitant azithromycin. They found that patients who were hospitalized and received HCQ for COVID-19 frequently experienced QTc prolongation and ADEs, including a case of torsades de pointes with the administration of HCQ and azithromycin. Chorin et al. [27] conducted a retrospective study of 251 patients diagnosed with COVID-19 and treated with HCQ + azithromycin to determine the risk for cardiac arrhythmias and death. The authors concluded that HCQ + azithromycin significantly prolongs the QTc interval in patients with COVID-19. These results are consistent with our findings.

With the increasing utilization of spontaneous reporting systems for post-marketing surveillance and pharmacovigilance, several well-recognized limitations of the database should be noted. As the reporting of adverse events is passive, it is subject to inherent limitations that may introduce selection bias to the analysis using the database [28] . The limitations are underreporting, overreporting, and data quality. Underreporting is common due to several reasons. First, it is hard to determine whether a drug is the root cause of an adverse event. Second, physicians only report serious or unexpected adverse events. Third, physicians may be reluctant to report an adverse event due to different reasons such as lack of time. Overreporting is less common than under-reporting. It is believed that the reports are skewed to more extensively used drugs and more serious adverse events. The data quality in spontaneous reporting is not perfect. First, some mistakes could be made due to the manual reporting process. Second, some data elements may be missing or incomplete including dosage, clinical indications, and drug-drug interactions. Third, reports could be duplicated due to multiple reporting sources. Fourth, reports do not follow a strict format. Unlike clinical trials, the spontaneous reporting system that collects information on adverse events relies on passive and opportunistic reporting. This causes a longstanding issue of missing denominators, which indicates the accurate number of patients taking the drug. Thus, it is hard to establish a causal relationship between a drug and an adverse event. Notwithstanding these limitations, this study is the first one to quantify the association between seven antimalarial drugs and/or azithromycin and cardiovascular adverse events. The case/non-case method used is known to be able to detect relatively rare signals for adverse drug reactions (ADRs) such as QTp and TdP [29, 30] .

In the face of COVID-19 and the quest for effective and safe treatments, we recommend that a careful risk-benefit assessment be performed in patients with a previous history of cardiac disorders (and especially cardiac arrhythmia) requiring CQ, HCQ, quinine, atovaquone alone or in combination with azithromycin. In these at-risk patients, periodic and close cardiac monitoring with clinical evaluation and electrocardiograms are warranted. 

The data from the FAERS come from a variety of sources. The likelihood of a causal relationship is not the same in all reports. The information does not represent the opinion of the Food and Drug Administration.

The data that support the findings of this study can be accessed upon request to the Food and Drug Administration or through the OpenVigil platform [http://openvigil.sourceforge.net].

Research involving human participants and/or animals: Not applicable

This article does not contain any studies with human participants or animals performed by any of the authors.

This study was not funded.

Not applicable

The authors have no relevant affiliations or financial involvement with any organization or entity with a financial interest in or financial conflict with the subject matter or materials discussed in the manuscript. This includes employment, consultancies, honoraria, stock ownership or options, expert testimony, grants or patents received or pending, or royalties.

Peer reviewers on this manuscript have no relevant financial relationships or otherwise to disclose. lower(product.brandname) = lower(drugusage.brandname) AND lower(product.drugname) = lower('hydroxychloroquine') ) ) AND drugusage.isr = report.isr) ) ) ) ) )

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Hydroxychloroquine can lower the convulsive threshold. Coadministration of hydroxychloroquine with other antimalarials known to lower the convulsion threshold (e.g., mefloquine) may increase the risk of convulsions.

The activity of antiepileptic drugs might be impaired if coadministered with hydroxychloroquine.

The combined use of methotrexate with hydroxychloroquine has not been studied and may increase the incidence of adverse effects.

An increased plasma cyclosporine level was reported when cyclosporine and hydroxychloroquine were co-administered ·· Praziquantel Chloroquine has been reported to reduce the bioavailability of praziquantel.

Antacids and kaolin Antacids and kaolin can reduce the absorption of chloroquine; an interval of at least 4 hours between intake of these agents and chloroquine should be observed. CimetidineCimetidine can inhibit the metabolism of chloroquine, increasing its plasma level.Concomitant use of cimetidine should be avoided.Ampicillin chloroquine significantly reduced the bioavailability of ampicillin.·· Sources: US Food and Drug Administration(FDA) website