ts^J WHY PROGRESS IS BY LEAPS .J) , BY GEORGE ' ILES I REPRINTED FROM APPLETONS^ POPULAR SCIENCE MONTHLY FOR JUNE, 1896 • < > 1 1 ' 1 1 1 1 1 ••,'••»' ,'•,... I ; ■ •i^'./i.A A-'i*' L':> ^ • 1 t C I ■ 1 1 • i • • • • 1 Reprinted from Appletons' Popuhif Science Monthly for June, 1896. WHY PROGRESS IS BY LEAPS. By GEORGE ILES. AS master of electricity man is crowned the king of Nature. - .A 1)rief glance at what electricity has done and promises to do may have interest in itself; it may have yet more in disclos- ing the law by which art and science march onward with ever- hastened i)a('e, how it comes about that the history of m(^dern progress is little else than a story of revolution. We shall see that the subjugation of electricity means for thought and work not an addition merely, but a multiplier. It marries the resources of the mechanic, the engineer, the chemist, the artist, with issue attested by all its own fertility, while it annexes province after province unimagined before its advent. Because the latest up- wai'd stride in knowledge and faculty has fallen to the lot of the electrician, he has broadened the scientific horizon vastly more than any earlier explorer; beyond any predecessor he has found more in the field wherewith to prove the fecundity that infallibly stamps every supremely great agent of discovery. As we trace a few of the unending interlacements of electrical science and art with other sciences and arts, we shall be reminded of a series of permutations where the newest of the factors, because newest, multiplies all the factors that went before by an unexampled leap.* We shall find reason to believe that this is not merely probable, but really is as a tendency true, and not alone of the ga,ins which follow in the train of conquered electricity, but also with regard to every other signal victory which has brought man * Permutations of two elements, 1 and 2, are (1x2) two : 1,2; 2, 1 ; or a, f> ; b, a. Of three elements the permutations are (1 x 2 x 3) six : 1, 2, 3 ; 1, 3, 2 ; 2, 1, 3 ; 2, 3, 1 ; 8, 1, 2 ; 3, 2, 1 ; or a, b, c ; a, r, 6 ; 6, a, c ,• 6, c, a; c, a, b ; e, A, a. Of four elements the permutations are (1 x2x3x4) twenty-four ; of five elements, one hundred and twenty, and so on. A new element or permutator multiplies by an increasing figure all the permutations it finds. COPTKIGHT, 1806, BT D. APPI.KTON AND ColfPANT. a WHY PROGRESS IS BY LEAPS. to liis present pinnacle of power and insight. If in former ad- vances this perniutative princii)le has been undetected, it stands forth in clearest relief in that latest and therefore utmost stride of skill and interjn'etation ushered in by Franklin, Volta, and Faraday. And we shall presently note that this pernnifative tendency oilers a key to some i)uzzling chapters in the biography of the creatures which man has far outstrij)ped in the race of life, and may also shed a needed ray on the story of the planet where they and he have together struggled and vanquished or suc- cumbed. If all this may be maintained, a permutative tendency can perhaps be siiggested with res])ect to evolution in general as color.ibly as with regard to development in particular realms. Is this a large claim ? To the evidence, then : By way of preface, let us for a moment consider the achieve- ment most worthy to be compared with the conquest of electricity, and, indeed, its necessary precursor. When man first kindled fire, he rose to a new primacy among created beings. Long before that fateful day he must have no- ticed how the blaze of a tree riven by lightning could bring roots and herbs to refreshing palatability, or, as a far volcano welled forth its lava, how welcome the radiance in wintry air. What, he may have thought, if I can summon fire at my bidding instead of waiting upon heaven to let it fall or earth to belch it forth ? How the wish came to fulfillment has been the subject of many an in- genious guess. The likeliest of them imagines tliat in striking a bit of quartz against a flint to point an arrow, a spark fell on dry tinder, and that what at first was accident was soon repeated by design. No ])iecemeal acquisition this, like learning to hit a mark with stone or bolt. The man barelv able to light a fire was enormously advantaged as comjjared with his fellow, however dexterous, who just fell short of this skill. At once the fire- maker took a bound forward that decisively withdrew him from his next of kin. It was as if the globe had ex])anded itself be- neath his tread ; for now, no longer chained by the sunbeam, all the frozen noi'th was added to his liunting ground. The burning brand cleared his path through tlie forest or shaped from a tree trunk his rude canoe. It lifted the dreary pall of night. His hearth, hea[)ed with boughs, cheered with light as well as warmth, and became the family rallying place and altar. Baneful roots buried in its embers lost their poison and furnislied a toothsome meal, while food of many kinds when roasted or seethed was im- proved in flavor and could be longer stored to abridge the seesaw between plenty and want. As the cook daubed clay on her roast- , ing tray of twigs that it might the better withstand flame, she soon learned that clay by itself was a capital material for oven, pot, or liettle, and S^ivres and Worcester, with all their varied art, WHY PB 00 BESS IS BY LEAPS. % here took their rise. As primitive fisherman and hunter, man employed fire to lure his prey, to affright the beasts to which he himself was prey, or to yield protecting smoke against insect pests scarcely less to be dreaded. In later ages as mariner he erected on storm-beaten coasts beacons whose carefully tended blaze gave warning or comfort to drifting voyagers, the flickering ray fore- telling the sunlike beam of Sandy Hook or Skerryvore. As war- rior he crowned the hills with similar flares to voice alarm to scattered allies, prefiguring every modern telegraph. Again, as warrior, having profited by the hardness fire conferred upon his wooden spear, he was to receive gifts yet greater. Where, as on the shores of Lake Superior, native copper almost pure lay upon the ground, it was laboriously pounded into the primitive knife or hammer. With fire his servant, the savage was independent of such rare finds. Wherever he came upon an earthy mass, glit- tering with however small a fraction of metal, he had but to bring the ore to his hearth to free copper or iron from its bond- age. There and then the art of the founder began to take the place of the drudgery of the smith — a supersedure characteristic enough and one of an uncounted series where good has had to make way for better, where the worker and the fighter himself has been overcome by stronger thews and keener wits. No tri- umph of miner or chemist, of engineer on land or sea, that does not date from the memorable hour when a savage just a little cleverer than his fellows kindled for himself a blaze. Plainly, then, fire came among the resources of man as a permutator of exalted power. It gave an impulse to food-getting, to tool and weapon making, to building, to migration, to every art that cheered and adorned the home. It was an influence as pregnant as any that has made man human and brought the empire of Nature to his feet. Through the course of all the ages since, almost down to our own day, flame had beside her a twin force all unrecognized. Elusive as a wood nymph she glinted as lightning, or as the aurora streamed fitfully across the sky. Anon she condescended to the amber of the sea beach, which under gentle friction drew to itself fragments of fallen leaves, of withered straw. In yet other guise she defied the downward tendency of unsupported masses, and, as the legend tells us, sorely puzzled a she])herd in bidding his crook cling fast to the ceiling of a cave roofed, as we would say now, with magnetic ore. At a later day the magnet became something more than an empty marvel, and as the com- pass assumed the office of guiding sun and star when these were hidden. Little wonder that so various a masquerade was long impenetrable, that Franklin less than five generations ago should detect that lightning and electricity are one, and that only in our 4 WJJV PROGRESS IS BY LEAPS. day at the hands of Hertz has it been demonstrated that the elec- tric pulse differs only from the wave of heat or light in being longer. This discovery of Hertz was long ago foreshadowed in the observation that heat can have electric origin. One of the first fruits of electrical study was the finding that some metals transmit electricity better than others, and that the efficacy of a conductor depends in part on its size. When a conducting wire was reduced to extreme tenuity, the resistance to the current's passage, with striking resemblance to common friction, expressed itself as vivid heat. The miner and the gunner at once saw their opportunity to use electricity to toTich off their f\iscs and to ex- plode at the same instant, with an effect before impossible, a I'ound of separate charges. Copying the methods of the miner, the mechanic and the chemist very often find electric heat the most advantageous they can employ. When the broken blade of a propeller is to be re- paired, the electric welder can be taken to its work instead of the work having to go to a stationai'y welder. When electric heat is carried into a crucible through almost impenetrable walls of gy])- sum, it enters the very heart of its task without the offense and waste of fiame. Thus to-day is flame face to face with a sup- planter in the shape of its long undetected twin. Until this gen- eration (lanie alone was the source not only of heat, but of the beam of candle, lamp, and gas jet. Today myriads of electric bulbs are aglow without flame — indeed, just because combustion is rendered impossible by the rigid exclusi(m of air. As these in- candescent lamps were long ago ))rophesied in the miner's electric fuse, so also has the fii'st simple process of the electroplater led up to an art incomparably more important. To-day not surfaces merely, but large masses, chiefly oi statuary, are built in cool tanks by electricity. Let the current become cheaper still, and the founder may find the remainder of his business tiansferred to this formidable rival, the warping heats of sand molds banished, the scorching temperature of crucible and ladle a reminiscence. The same fate may be in store for the smelting furnace. Already vast quantities of cop})er are refined electrolytically, and an au- spicious beginning has been made in using electricity for the whole process of parting mi'tal from ore. Thus methods which com- menced in dismissing fiame end boldly by eliminating heat itself. This usurping electricity, it may be said, usually finds its source, after all, in fire under a steam boiler. True, but mark the harness- ing of Niagara, of the Lachine Rapids near Montreal, of a thou- sand streams elsewhere. In the years of the near future motive power of Nature's giving is to be wasted less and less, and per- force will more and more exclude heat from the chain of trans- formations which issue in the locomotive's flight, in the whirl of WHV PROGRESS IS BY LEAPS. $ factory and mill ; and thus in some degree is allayed the fear, never well grounded, that when the coal fields of the world are spent, civilization must collapse. As the electrician hears this foreboding, he recalls how much fuel is wasted in converting heat into electricity. He looks beyond either turbine or shaft turned by wind or tide, and, remembering tbat the zinc dissolved in his battery yields at his will its full content of energy, either as heat or electricity, lie asks. Why may not coal and forest tree, which are but other kinds of fuel, be made to do the same ? In another field let us observe electricity as a factor of fruit- fulness quite as singular. It was at first tlie chemist who eman- cipated electricity for new and myriad uses. His successor to-day is the engineer, who wins his spurs by bringing his generator to practical perfection, by improving his steam and gas engines to double their efficiency of thirty years ago. If to the engijieer and mechanic the electric art owes much, magnificently lias tlie debt been repaid. As we discover in replacing at our street door an old-fashioned moving boll pull by an electric wire armed with a })ush button, electricity transmits motion without movement of its conductor as a mass. Availing himself of this golden property, the machinist removes from his shop a labyrinth of wheels and belts and puts in their stead a few wires at rest, each in charge of the motor actuating a machine. Manifold gains result. The power needed to whirl these wheels and belts is saved, and when but one or two machines of a large number are to be set in motion the economy rises to a high figure, while the workshop is lighter, cleaner, more wliolesome in every way. Since electricity is of all phases of energy the easiest to preserve from losses resembling leakage or friction, the current can not only be distributed throughon the largest workshop with convenience and economy, it can be sent to the shop from an engine or a water wheel many miles away, as in connecting motors at Buffalo to dynamos at Niagara, twenty-seven miles distant. With the transmission of electricity for distances vastly exceeding twenty-seven miles we have long been ^amiliar in the telegraph. It is by improving the coverings which prevent the current escaping from its wire, by taking advantage of the fact that a wire can almost as well carry a current of high tension as of low, and, above all, by increasing the quantity of the current so as to make the enterprise worth while, that the telegraphy of power has followed upon the teleg- raphy of mere signals. In the telegraph at work over long distances a remarkable peculiarity of electricity displays itself. In days of yore, when letters were intrusted to a chain of messengers, each of whom bore the pouch for a stage of its journey, a carrier might come to the end of his trip utterly fagged out; but if he had barely the 6 WHY PROGRESS IS BY LEAPS. strength to pass liiH burden to the next man it was enough. Mucli the same is tlio system of relays wljen a telegram takes its way from New York to Tacoma. First it goes to Buffalo, where the current, faint after its run of four hundred an(l\ances due to electricity have significance still unexhausted. It was in 1800, on the threshold of the nineteenth century, that Volta devised the first battej-y — the crown of cuj)s. In less than a hundrc'd years the force then liberated has vitally interwoven itself with every art and science, with fruitage not to be imagined even by men of the stature of Watt, Lavoisier, or Hunil)oldt, Compare this rapidity of conquest with tlie slow adaptation, through age after age, of fire to cooking, snu^lting, tempering. Yet it was ])artly because the use of fire liad drawn out man's intelligence that he was ready so qxiickly to seize upon electricity and subdue it. The principle of ])ermutation, illustrated in both victories, interprets not only the vast exj)an- sion of human empire won by a new weapon of ])rime power, it explains also why these accessions are brought under rule with ever-accelerated ])ace. Every new talent but clears the way for the talents newer still which are born from it. And a fresh mode of mastery entails other consequences well worthy of remark. Suppose two contending armies face each other, fairly matched, except that one has the telegi'aph and the other has not. Which will win ? In less striking fashion, but still decisively, must every factor of prime rank as it made its appearance have told in the battles of early man. Let us turn from discovery and invention to some consideration of the prin)i- tive discoverer and inventor, and try to recall the ejjoch when his inarticulate cries were becoming the rudiments of speech. Let us imagine him a hunter returning to his fellows from a solitary expedition. He tells that he saw a deer quench its thirst at a brookside, but found the animal too fleet for his arrow ; how he heard in the distance a bear's fierce growl, and fortunately came upon a cave where he took refuge till the brute had i)assed. Such a faculty of communication as this, even in its beginnings, would give a tribe enjoying it an incalculable advantage over its unspeaking kin. Speech makes the distant as if present in space, makes the past as if present in time ; it is the first and most signal step, therefore, by which man conquers both space and time. No elephant or dog, however intelligent, has means to tell WHV PROGRESS IS BY LEAPS. ij what lie saw here an hour ago, or what is to be fourid there beyond the range of the eye. Because in early times speech thus placed the experience of one man at the service of other men, the possessors of this matchless power could, if they chose, exert deadly rivalry against their mute next of kin, and either anni- hilate them, or banish them to sterile wilds, or degrade them to servitude. What is probable here is probable in other fields of struggle, and we have a hint as to why connecting links in the plexus of organic life are either very rare or wholly lacking. The introduction of a radically new weapon, or tool, would so re- double the strength of the creature able to grasp and wield it that its war on competitors would end so soon as to leave scarcely a relic on the field. Speech led to another great achievement when it called to its aid the carved or painted symbol, the word-picture, and at last the alphabet. Then the recorder, the priest, the teacher, was no longer a mere speaker who had to be present when he told his story. Ages after his death, his annals, prophecies, parables, re- mained to be read, to echo his voice — and this perhaps on shores many leagues remote from the penman's home or grave. Knowl- edge could now be accumulated as never before, for every man could begin where the experience of his predecessors had left otf. The culmination of this mighty art issues to-day in two wonderful instruments — the phonograph, which bids the spoken word record and repeat itself with all its characteristic tones ; the camera, which instantly limns all the eye can see and more, which prints much that the tongue and the pen must leave unsaid. In a mas- terly discussion of the origin of languages and the antiquity of speaking man, Mr. Horatio Hale concludes that the acquirement of speech dates back but eight to ten thousand years. He credits speech and writing with the sudden and wonderful flowering of human genius which developed in Egypt, Mesopotamia, Phaniicia, Northern India, and China a high and varied civilization, whose memorials, in their works of art and literature, astonish us at this day, and in some respects d fy imitation.* To i)aint and to write implies a free and supple hand ; gesture, upon which philologists are substantially agreed that primitive speech largely depended, requires the like freedom of hand and arm. Hence, before man could paint, or write, or even gesticu- late, it was necessary that he should be erect. Man's assumption of the upright attitude marks one of the supreme stages of his progress. What have since become arms and hands, relieved from tasks of locomotion, were able to come into contact with * Proceedings of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, Buffalo, 1886, p. 315. i4 WHY PROGRESS IS BY LEAPS. things and know them more fully and exactly than ever before. The brain, informed and stimulated by its new harvest of impres- sions, imagined fresh feats of skill and directed them. The rude stone, lifted from the ground and used as a hammer, was gradually shaped as an axe, a scraper, a chisel, an arrowhead. There lay the germ of the ingenuity which blossoms to-day in the locomo- tive and steamship, in the observatory camera which multiplies the known universe a thousand times, which in the telephone catches the echo of storms sweeping the solar disk. As with the faculty of speech, so doubtless also when the hand began to handle and to tell the brain what it could feel and do. A gain so preg- nant as dexterity, even in its feeble inception, would come as an irresistible wedge between the fighters and the workers who had it and their fellows who missed it by however little. The perniututive tendency which we are tracing has dug other gulfs than those which part man and anthropoid. Let us glance for a moment at creatures far beneath mankind in the scale of being. Birds are clearly derived from reptiles, but how far apart to-day are the bird and the rejjtile ! It was the power of flight, with all that it involved in transforming every organ of the body, in revolutionizing habit, that stood at the parting of the ways. Even in its beginnings this power would promote escape from enemies, the procuring food in places otherwise inaccessible. In the process of natural selection here would be the faculty valu- able beyond any other, and therefore first seized in its favoring variations. Flight beyond any other capacity would thus be developed and increased as one generation succeeded another, until at last the flier could disregard its unwinged enemies, seek food on steepest crag or farthest islet, and there lay its eggs and nurse its brood with none to make it afraid. As far as the fossil record has been pieced together, it anjply warrants this view of the early history of the avian race. Take passage now to a widely diff'erent realm and note the i)er- mutative eft'ect wrought when insects supplant the winds at the business of fertilizing flowers. Nectar secreted near the pollen of a ])lant attracts flies and moths brushed by this pollen ; they sail away to other flowers and tie a marriage knot with an cfl:"ective- ness impossible to the aimless air. The consequence is that sim- ply through such woolliness of vesture as enables them to catch dust on their clothes, insects of narrowest intelligence are un- knowingly the painters, scul])tors, and perfumers of unnumbered varieties of blossoms. And indefinitely ])rior to either flower or reptile was the day when the eartli, a fiery cloud, had come to the critical point, in its gradual loss of heat, where atom stood almost within the attractive range of atom, when the latent combinability of matter we call chemical was ready to be born. Was not the WHY PROGRESS IS BY LEAPS. ij releasing touch of cold a permutator of highest degree ? It made every other possible, it forged the first link in the chain of forces, vital, mental, moral, in the life of earth and man. What is hero indicated in outline was suggested by the writer in the Popular Science Monthly for June, 187G. He has since gathered from men of mark in diverse walks of science data from which inferences such as those here set forth may be deduced in ample detail. These data he expects in due time to offer to the public, together with consideration of the facts which mask or qualify the permutative principle in evolution— a principle which accounts for the leaps of progress, human and general, for the accelerations of that progress, and for there being chapters missing in its story. • * * r . « • Appletons^ Popular Science Monthly. hor the last half century scientific metho Is of study have been gradually extending, until they are now applied to every branch of human knowledge' The great problems of society are making urgent demands upon public attention. Science furnishes the only means by which they can be intelligently studied. This magazine gives the results of scientific re- search in these and other fields. Its articles are from the pens of the most eminent scientists of the world. 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