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Ma;3s, plates, charts, etc., may be filmed at dif; jrent reduction ratios. Those too large to be entirely included in one exposure are filmed beginning in the upper left hand corner, left to right and top to bottom, as many frames as required. The following diagrams illustrate the method: Les cartes, planches, tableaux, etc., peuvent dtre fiimds d des taux de reduction diff^rents. Lorsque le document est trop grand pour dtre reproduit en un seul clich6, 11 est film6 d partir de Tangle sup6rieur gauche, de gauche d droite, et de haut en bas, en prenant le nombre d'images n6cessaire. Les diagrammes suivants illustrent la m^thode. 1 2 3 1 2 3 4 6 6 ,r ..^f" '->^li V •; # •it- Statistics of [xpenditure and Consumption in Canada. By prof. JOHN DAVIDSON, M. A., Phil. D., FREDERICTON, N. B. From the Transactions of the Nova Scotian Institute of Science, Vol. X, Session iSgS-gg. » . IMB'i, f'«ii.'fwjjf.>^fm>'mmmffs^n..wm im^ii***m','>^Wrir^ll}'IVf-W \ ."» / I. — Statistics of Expenditure and Consumption in Canada, — By Pkofessor John Davidson, M. A., Phil. D., Fredericton, N. B. (Read Nov. Uth, 189S.) The ultimate test of a nation's prosperity is the quantity and quality of the goods it contains. Other tests are relative and indicate business activity rather than national welfare. All wealth is produced to be consumed, and the whole process of production is carried on for the benetit of the consumer. For him there is seedtime and harvest ; for him the factories and the stores are run ; for him railroad and steamship lines operate, and banks conduct their business. It is conceivable that the volume of business may be lar<je within a nation which yet is poor and relatively unprosperous. Increased activity does not always mean increased welfare ; and that community alone is rich and prosperous at whose command this activity places a large stock of consumable goods ; and the most satisfactory evi- dence of this command is provided by the statistics of the consumption of the community. That is direct evidence ; all other evidence is indirect and presumptive. Unfortunately, direct evidence is not always available. We depend for information almost entirely upon government bureaus and departments ; and these are concerned chiefly with their owa PROC. & Trans. N. S. Inst. Sci., Vol, X. Trans.— A. :y STATISTICS OF EXPENDITURE AND affairs. They collect fii^ures of exports and imports because of the obvious bearinrj of such fio'iires upon the collection of a revenue ; and in some cases provide us with information regard- ing^ the industry carried on within the country because certain articles of manufacture are subject to internal revenue duties. Where there is no question of collecting revenue, tlie information afforded us is not usually carefully collected. We know more accurately what is imported than what is exported : we know better how much beer is consumed than we do how much meat or grain is consumed ; how much tobacco Ijetter than how much clothing. The interest of the government is nuiinly in the collection of revenue. An enlightened government may make provision for the collection of other statistics ; it maj' establish labor bureaus and agiicultui'al depai'tments ; it n)ay publish banking returns and railroad earnings : but since the interest of these things is not so immediately practical, the infor- mation affor(]ed is apt to be meagre and to cease, short of the point of completeness. For instance, the main industry in Canada is agriculture ; but we know less of the output of our farms than we do of the output of our breweries. Ontario and Manitoba collect elaborate agricultural statistics ; but in the other provinces the gathering of iiiformation is perfunctorily performed or not performed at all ; ami, consequently, we cannot even use what information we have, because statistics of interprovincial trade are lacking. In tlie census years, elaborate returns are made ; but even here there are gaps in our information, and too much of what is set down depends on the memory of the private citizen; which is not a scientific instrument. In Canada there is an additional difficulty in the way of obtaining adequate con- sumption statistics. Nearly half of om* population is dependent on agriculture. In time, and with organization, we may learn the amount of eggs and potatoes, nnlk and meat and vegetables, maple sugar and cordwood marketed ; but it will always be next to impossible to ascertain how much of these commodities the autonomous producer uses in his own consumption. Private investigation may step in to make up for the deficiencies of I CONSUMI'TION IN CANADA — DAVIDSOX. 8 governmental machinery ; but until the coinnmnity is so far educated that there is a statistical or economic association in every parish, we can hardly hope for the fullest information. Consumption is in its nature a private concern, and man will require to be much more methodical than he is at present before we can present anything- like a picture of the consumption of a people. At the present time we arecoinpelled to use what infor- mation we have as an indication of the complete result ; and rreneializing from the experience of individuals, treat the con- sumption ut certain articles, for which the (Tovernment provides statistics which may be relied upon, as representing the wdiole. It is necessary first to shew in what proportions the people of Canada expend their incomes, because otherwise we should not be able to estimate the importance of the results obtainable for the consumption of specific articles. If the total expenditure of a people on food amounts to no more than fifty per cent, of its income, an increase in the consumption of cofiee will mean a less increase '>f prosperity then it does for a people which spends seventy per cent, of its income on food. In the latter case it means that the people are rising fiom the lowest class, where the necessaries of life absorb the greatest part of the income, to a condition where other considerations are becoming important; in the former case it may mean a change in the form of consump- tion only. This aspect of "the question has some immediate practical importance. In the discussion of the financial aspects of prohibition, little attention has been paid to the fact that not all the expenditure of the Canadian citizen is on taxable goods. Prohibitioni.sts claim that the fifty million dollars annually spent upon intoxicants will necessarily be spent on other articles, and that the o-overnment need not confuse the issue by dark sugges- tions of direct taxation; for consumption will not be reduced, but simply changed. But, though the .same amount will still be spent, it does not follow that it will be spent in such a way as will provide a revenue. In so far as it is spent on food, there would be an increased consumption of food-stuflis on which, while the consumer may be paying a tax in the shape of enhanced prices, 4 STATISTICS OF EXPENDITURE AND due to protection, the rifovernment may realize little or no reve \ue ; while in so far as it is spent on education or on better house accommodation, the government would gain nothing what- ever to make up for the revenue from the taxes on beer and spirits. No doubt, there would be increased expenditure on clothing ; but the percentage of income spent in Canada is but 17 ; and the tax is already as heavy as it can be to be productive of revenue. Probably seventy-five per cent, of the changed con- sumption would yield no revenue whatever. The investigation of expenditures has been carried so far that certain empirical laws have been established. It may <e in to some that the forms of expenditure are so much a matter of indi- vidual taste and caprice that no general conclusion can be established ; but, after all, the differences among men are not very great. The fundamental necessities of life are the same for all, and caprice does not enter in till the dominant wants have been satisfied ; and by taking a large number of instances, the effects of individual caprice may be eliminated and an average set down. The first fairly complete investigation in this sphere was made by Engel, and subsequent investigation has served to establish his conclusions more firmly. These are : — That the greater the income, the smaller the relative percentage of outlay for subsistence ; That the percentage of outlay for clothing is approximately the same, whatever the income ; That the percentage of the outlay for rent and for fuel and light is invariably the same, whatever the income ; That as the income increases in amount, the percentage of outlay for sundries becomes greater. We are fortunately able to present results for Canada, which may be compared with the statistical data brought forward by Engel and other investigators. The Ontario Bureau of Statistics during several years presented statistics on the expenditure of the working classes in certain cities of Ontario ; and in countries CONSUMPTION IN CANAliA— DAVIDSON. 5 like Canada.wbere there are few extremes of wealth and poverty * the results thus established may he accepted as tolerably accurate for the whole Dominion. Local variations there must, of course, always be. Rent is higher and fuel dearer in the towns than in the country; while in the country food probably, and clothing certainly, on the whole, are dearer than in the cities. The figures cover a period of four years, and their accur- acy has been tested by the statistician and verified by comparisons. The statistics of five of the more important towns in Ontario have been selected by the writer for further analysis and calculation, and the results are set forth in the tables on the next page. When these tables, which are extracted from the Bureau Reports, are reduced to percentages and expressed in terms of the number of day's labor necessary to command the various ooods enumerated, we get the results in a form which permits comparison with other countries. The results in this form are contained in the tallies on p. 7. 'Compare the sections of this paper dealing with house accommodation later for on enquiry into the existence of extremes of wealth in Canada. STATISTICS OF EXPRNDITUKE AND KarniiiKH. Day's labour ill yi'ur. Kent. Kucl. City ok Hamilton. Clothing, p«r heatl. Food, per head. 1880 18H7 ^88 1889 Average, $4 »1> 415 417 418 424.7 210 2:11 2:{() 214 231 $70 81 81 m $41 41 lis m $10.15 12.89 ]:^.4:{ 1:^.89 45.7(» 47.74 :i8.05 City ok Kingston. 1880 1887 1888 1889 Average. $409 45:i 482 379 440 293 2(5(5 280 244 271 $70 70 70 m 42 41 31 $18.12 12.91 18 92 22.28 City ok London. $43.90 '43! if)" 49.63 1880 $425 270 $73 1887 421 265 70 1888 4:^ 208 77 1889 431 244 (50 Average. 428 2(51 $40 40 40 37 $17.(50 15.58 18.59 15.91 City ok Ottawa. $4.5.03 50.:-») 47.31 46.54 1880 $52:^ 1887 :^5 1888 mo 1889 440 v^erage. 403 188(5 487 1887 480 1888 520 1889 474 Average. 492 305 223 228 $ 81 97 71 110 $34 32 37 City ok TcmoNTo. 272 $ 92 246 112 270 121 2(52 110 203 $40 41 45 89 $21.90 1()..52 13.14 11.94 $:i5.40 30.55 35.15 $23.96 I $54.32 10.93 I 47.92 15.87 45.62 16.67 50.89 CONSUMITION IN CANADA— DAVIDSON. lul. DATS OF Laiior ^wkmsary to Pkocurk Pkroint AORH OK INCOMB Kxi'RNDIH ON ciothiiitr C\oth\ag Kent. Fuel. . »"-T. Food. Rtiit. Fuel. per Food. Minilv. ' Family. Hamilton. im] '.m 19 :^ 128 17 18 i'7 1HS7 45 2:i .S5 124 ' 19 i 1'"' 50 IHHS 4.-) 21 1 '^^ 128 19 1 f\ 15 55 1H81) .52 22 •Al 108 21 1 15 42 Aver. 44.5 21.2 3(J 118.2 19 : 15.7 51 KlN(>HTON. 1H8(J 44 22 52 124 i 15 7 18 48 1887 41 25 ;r> 15 15 .... 1888 40 2:{ 46 105 14 8 16 HH 1881) 45 20 58 127 1 18 8 24 52 A ver. 42.5 22.5 47.7 118.6 15.5 I 8 18.2 44.3 Ottaw. V. 1 1880 47 19 (n 128 15 6 20 40 1887 .5:i 18 82 10(i 28 8 14 49 1888 .^2 16 :i4 124 14 8 15 5;^ 1889 (54 19 89 1(K) 25 8 14 49 Aver. 49 18 42.2 115.5 19.2 7.5 15.7 47.7 Loxuoj i. 1886 46 25 5^1 141 17 9 20 48 18S7 41 25 48 141 16 9 16 50 1888 47 24 .58 107 17 9 19 40 im) H7 20 44 180 15 8 18 .53 Aver. 42.7 22.5 49.7 12{).7 1(5.2 8.7 18.2 46.5 TORONT 0. 1886 51 22 .58 148 19 8 1 20 50 1887 51 21 .8(5 107 28 8 17 48 1888 62 16 84 124 23 8 14 57 1889 61 21 87 98 2:^ 8 14 49 Aver. 58 20 40 117 22 8 16.2 49.7 8 STATISTICS OF EXPENDITURE AND ■! ! \\ ( For purpo.ses of compaii.son, however, the corresponding figure.s and percentages for the whole number of towns taken together, and for the whole province, are more useful ; and suit our purpose of international comparison better : — Province of Ontario. Earnings. Days of Lfibor. Rent. Fuel. Clothing per Head. Food per Head. 1886 1887 1888 1889 Aver. $451 449 479 467 462 270 257 269 272 267 $76 82 77 81 $40 37 41 $20.8:^ 15.85 17.41 17.10 $42.:^0 44.37 42.76 44.14 Days Labor Necessary to Procitre Percentages of Income Expended on 1886 1887 1888 1889 Aver. Rent. 1 Fuel. 1 1 Clothing per Family. Food per Family. Rent. Fuel. Clothing per Family. Food per Family. 45 45 41 47 44.5 24 22 20 23 22.2 57 41 46 46 47.5 91 91 115 122 105 17 18 16 17 17 8 8 7.7 8.8 8.1 21 16 18 17 18 33 35 43 44 39 The average of the averages of the five cities above may be placed beside the provincial average (taken from returns made by artisans in the smaller towns and villages) : — Earnings. Days La- bor ill year. Percentages Expended on Rent Fuel. Clothing per Family. Food per Family. City average, 1886-89 Prov. average, 1886-89 $451 462 256 267 18.4 17 8.3 8.1 17 18 47.8 39. The results thus obtained are in substantial agreement with the results established under greatly varying conditions in CONSUMPTION IN CANADA — DAVIDSON. 9 Europe and America, as the followinpf tabular comparison shews. The table is taken in part from Schon berg's Handbuch and in part from U. S. Labor Repoi ts : — Percentages on Great Britain. Prussia. Ontario. 39.0 Massachusetts. Illinois. Food' .51.36 .50.00 49.28 41.38 Clothing 18.12 18.00 18.0 15.94 21.00 Rent 13.48 12.00 17 19.74 17.42 Fuel 3. .50 5.00 8.1 4.») 5.63 Sundrie.s. .. 13.54 1,5.00 18.9 10.73 14.57 These percentages are all calculated from working-class family budgets, except in the case of Prussia, where a family of intermediate class was taken to give gross incomes of something like the same amount. The i ial measure of well-being probably consists, at least for men of the same race, in the amount which may be expended on the vague class of sundries ; and in this comparison, Canada comes out well. The shewing would not have been so favorable had we taken the average of the five cities, for then it would have been 8.5 percent of the income only. The question of the value of these returns is almost settled by the large degree of correspondence between independently reached results ; but the Provincial Statistician. Mr. Blue, was at the trouble to meet the objection that, to say nothing of the conclusions based on them, the figures themselves were untrust- worthy, by carefully examining the food expenditures of various public institutions. The force of the objection is that while most householders can tell how much they spend on rent and fuel, and perhaps also on clothing, they can make a rough estimate only of the household expenditure on food. Mr. Blue went into the matter exhaustively and examined the food accounts of colleges, Bsylums, military barracks, etc., and embodied his conclusions in A paper read before the American Public Health Association, and reprinted in the Ontario Bureau of Statistics Report, 1886, in which he says : — 10 STATISTICS OF EXPENDITURE AND " Now let US see how the cost of food, as computed from the working men's returns, compares with its cost in the schools and colleges and public institutions. At the average of summer and winter returns in these, it is $44.17 {,'per cap.) ; at the prison's rate it is $.S5.51 ; at the asylum rate it is S47.12 ; at the infantry- school rate it is $54.75 ; at the college winter rate it is $59. . . . . The working man's average, $47.67 per cap., is therefore something more than a probable one ; it is well verified by sta- tistics gatliered from other souroes, and I am disposed to think that the cost of living is better known and more accurately gauged in the families of the working classes than in the families of any other class in the community." .... We are jnstifiad, therefore, in accepting the average budget based on these returns as represbntntive of the actual expendi- ture of some hundreds of working men throughout Ontario. It is true, no doubt, that men capable of intelligently making such returns arc likely to spend their incomes more rationally than others of their class : but the extravagances and waste of the less prudent and thrifty in part offset each other, and must for the rest be neglected. We may assume, therefore, that in the Prov- ince of Ontario 39.0 per cent, is expended on food, 18.0 percent, on clothing, 8.1 per cent, on fuel, and 17 per cent, on rent ; or if we take the average of the 4 year averages of the five important towns as our standard, 47.8 per cent, on food, 17 per cent, on clothing, 18.4 per cent, on rent, and 8.3 per cent, on fuel. These percentages are not without meaning even as an indi- cation of absolute well-being. The smaller the percentage expended on food and subsistence the larger the total provision for the wants of our nature. Here and there an individual may be found who stints himself of the imperious necessities of life to obtain some coveted comfort or luxury ; but the great majority satisfy the lower wants first and rise to the higher if sufficient provision is made. Conset[uentl3^ the smaller percentage in Canada expended on food is an indication of a higher well-being. But it is necessary to investigate still further to find the degree of well-being and to present quantities rather than percentages. « * CONSUMPTION IN CANADA — DAVIDSON. 11 What value does the average Canadian receive in food, house accommodation, fuel and clothinn^ for the percentages of income thus expended ? This is not a question of prices, but of weights and measures. Prices are of importance only as they indicate whether an increased or decreased consumption of any article is due to a change in price or to an increased command over the goods of life. The increased consumption of tea and sugar, for instance, is due to the fall in price ; but the increase 1 consump- tion of coffee, in so far as it is not simply a transfer of taste from one article to another, shows an extending margin of consumption. An increase of consumption due to a fall in the price of an article does not necessarily mean that the cilizens are better off. Their real wages and incomes have risen but their money wages nT\y be constant ; but an increased use of an article whose price has not fallen indicates an increase of money wages and a more extended command over the floods of life. It is not possible, unfortunately, to enter into a detailed examination of the absolute values received in each class of expenditure. In the case of rent and food, we are able to present some of the more important items ; but fuel and clothing remain indefinite. The item of fuel is the only one which takes a higher per- centage in Canada than in any other country. The cause is not an enhanced price, but the fact that a larger (juantity must be used. The amount of fuel consumed per head of the population is unascertainable. Fiom the mining statistics and the tables of trade and commerce, we can estimate how much coal, bituminous and anthracite, is used ; but how many of the people of Canada use coal? Probably the majority of the population do not use it in any form ; even in industry coal is not always used ; and it is in the larger cities only that coal is used exclusively. The quantity of wood consumed as fuel is not ascertainable ; and since the quantity varies according to the house and according to the habits of the individual, no estimates, even approximately cor- rect, can be made. 12 STATISTICS OF EXPEXDITURE AND i' M iw 'i ! f i Whether, under the head of fuel, lighting is also included, as it usually is in the statistics of other countries, is not stated ; but the omission is not of serious importance, becauso we are unable to discover how much the individual spends and what value he receives for his expenditure. The three chief illuminants, gas, electricity, and oil, are being used in increasing quantities. The Census Reports of 1891 give figures for the production of gas and electric lighting works ; but there has been a very great extension in the use of electric lighting since 1891, and possibly some increase in the use of gas also ; and figures taken from the Census Reports would give a wrong impression. It is interesting to note that in spite of the increase in the use of these methods of lighting, the consumption of petroleum is increasing steadily year by year. The urban population of Canada (those residing in towns and villages of more than l,oOO inhabitants) has increased from 912 984 in 1881 to 1,390,910 in 1891 ; or from 21.1 per cent, to 28.77 per cent, of the population of the Dominion ; and the number of towns of more than 3,000 inhabitants which may be taken as the minimum for which gas or electric lighting is provided, has increased from 08 to 94. Gas lighting held its own during the decade 1881-1891, and electric lighting was prac- tically introduced in the decade (in 1881 there were two men employed in electric lighting works ; in 1891 there were 1,190;) yet the consumption of petroleum increased per capita more than fift\' per cent., although there was no corresponding decrease in the retail price. In 1882 the consumption was 2.0 galls, per head, in 1891 it was 3.2 gall ., and in 1896 3.1 galls, (a decrease from 3.5 galls, in 1894 and 1895). The increased use of the more primitive illuminant, alongside of the development of the more modern methods, shews a real increase in well-being in the community. The expenditure on clothing must remain in the obscurity of percentages. It might be possible, by help of the Census Reports and the trade tables to determine how much cloth and clothing was manufactured or imported in the year 1891 ; but it is not possible to shew how much was consumed. Trade tables CONSUMPTION IN CANADA— DAVIDSON. 10 d, as but able he The gas are trustworthy only when they extend over a nunnberof years^ and speculative influences can be discounted. An alteration in the tariff, for instance, may affect the imports for a given year, as it did in the case of sugar, and strictly an average of several j'ears ought to be taken. The census year is no more likelj' to escape such fluctuations than any other year ; and it might be seiiously misleading to take the manufacture and importation of textiles as typical. Moreover, there has not as yet been estab- lished in the matter of clothing any standard of consumption as has, in a measure, been done in the case of food. Caprice and local climatic causes have here an undue influence. All we can say is that in Canada the average family spends on the average $83.79 on clothing, the family expenditure in the United States being $112.23 ; in Great Britain, $80.59 ; in Germany, $57.21 ; in France, $72 60; in Belgium, $84.61 ; in Switzerland, $65.38*. The statistics available for the further analysis of the expen- diture on rent are not sufficient for the purposes of comparison either of classes or of different periods. With the exception of some interesting sociological studios of a portion of the city of Montreal by Aid. Ames of that city,t we have the Census Reports alone to rely on ; and the Census Reports of 1881 offer but a very meagre amount of information. The Ontario tables quoted above shew that on the average in the province of Ontario the respectable working classes spend 17% of their income in rent. Since there is comparatively little class distinction in Canada, we might, perhaps, assume that 17% represents the proportion spent by the average Canadian on house rent. In the city below the hill in Montreal rental absorbs, according to Mr. Ames, 18% of the earnings : — " For families of the real industrial class 16 per cent, is a fair average. . . It is among the well-to-do and the very poor that rental is permitted to absorb fiom 20 to 25 per cent, of the earning.s." The City Below the Hill, p. 40). Mr. "■U. S. Commissioner of Labor. Report 1891, Vol. II., pp. 8G4-5. t (1) The City Below the H 11 : privately printed. (2) Incomes. Wages and Rents in Montreal (U. S. Department of Labor, Rnlletin 14, Jan. 1?48) ; and a lectnre on House Accommodation which I have been privileged to see in manuscript. 14 STATISTICS OF EXPENDITURE AND 'i i Ames, in a letter in answer to some queries made, has further explained that the last sentence refers only to families with an annual incoine of ^1000 or less. " My experience, he adds, has gone to prove that rental consumes from one-Hfth to one-third of the income of the very poor. Then the proportion <fro\vs jiriadu- ally less as we reach tln^ classes where the family income runs from SH.OO to S12.00 per ue(k. Those families receivinjr from SI 2.00 to i?15.00 seem to pay a smaller proportion of income as rent, hut classes receivin<:j horn -Si 5.00 to .S20.00 seem to grow nmhitious and desire to move into larger quarters. I am of the opinion, although I have no facts to suhstantiate it, that if we were to take classes receiving annually $1000 a yea'- and over, we would find the rental proportionately diminishing tlie higher we ('•o" Thus, Mr. Ames's results hardly hear out Engtd's law, that the percentage expended on rent is invarirhly the same whatever the income ; and it appears necessary to modify the law, at least, if we admit subdivisions of the working classes. The proportion is highest for the very poor, varying frf)m 25 to 80 per cent. ; for the ' real industrial ' classes it falls to 1(5 per cent. ; and then rises to 25 per cent, for highl}'^ skilled mechanics, and then gradually falls for families whose income exceeds one thousand dollars. Before we go on to enquire what sort of accommodation is ohtained for this expenditure of income it is necessary to verify the assumption made in last paragraph that there is compara- tively little distinction of classes in Canada. In a sense this is an ohvious fact, a matter of ordinary remark by every observer. While there are few in Canada who are very wealthy, there are probably as few who are in actual distress. The Census Report, 1801, enables us to verify to aceitain extent this common obser- vation. For each census district we have given, in a .series of tables, the number of houses ami the number of rooms in each house. It would be obviously impossible, having regard to the limits of time and space, to analyze the returns for the whole Dominion ; and since in the country districts there is little differ- ence of class, it is necessary onh' to examine the returns for the CONSUMPTION IN CANADA — DAVIDSON. 15 larger towns. In the large towns, if anywhere, we shall find distinctions of class appearing. The first of the following tables is taken directly from the Census Reports ; the second is based on it and expresses the same facts in terms of percentages which have been calculated : — City. I'opula- tioii . ■ Total No of Houses. No. OK MorsKs WITH Rooais (J-IO I 11-15 Vancouver i:^7(H) Winnipeg. 2Ju<(.) St. John , K):«5 I'jilifax.. :^S195 Toronto . 14 1()2H Loudon . 222S1 Kingston . li)2l« Hamilton.. 17245 Montreal .. 182095 Quebec .. . mom I Ottawa . . . •.mm 1 2231 454:^ wm 51 SI 25810 4:?17 4725 0221 0557 1401 :u 1 8i m ()| :{7 15:} 4'-! I7I 148 2!H) 1:55 ()H ISl 54 148 72 ItlOO 470 150 104 :«i •ACu 702: 4()7 72:1 120 147 752 2480 128 VM, 445 700 270 870 4(572 7815 827 1508: 240 Olli 22:{ .504 740 52:-! mm 775 708 1770 a:i25 701 1025 102:^1 2Hoo; 2{«)()j :a5l I 17070' 2(5(«: 2H07 .5500 10782 •.i:m :il85 81 102 1012 52!) 1740 223 240 488 2542 054 583 i Over I 15. 81 7!) 339 108 451 80 50 100 051 440 140 The populations are taken from Table TI. N'ol. 1. Ceu> is Report, 1S!)1. 1 CiTV. Vancotiver Winnipeg. St. John. . . Halifax . . . Toronto. . . London . . Kingston . Hamilton.. Montreal . Quebec . . Ottawa . . . (5.1 .5.(5 (5.0 7,4 5.5 5.1 4.0 5.1 5.7 7.5 5.6 I'KHtKNT.MiH OK TOT.M. NlMliKli OK HOISES WITU liOOMS I I'ersons 1 I to a ]' House, i i(5.2 (5. 0.7 (5. i().02. 10. 1 1, lo.l 0.11. !o.7 1. o.olo. '0.4(5. 0.5:5. '0.2'2, ti-la U 15, Overt 4 and | 10 and 8.71 S.Oi 7.0; 2. 1! 2.0 2.0, 3.1 3.0| 14.0i O.J) 3.7' 14.8; 15.4 10.0 8.0 0.0 10.0 10.4 0.4 24.4 18.1 13.8 1().0| 45.8 1.0; 13.0 50.8 3.5 11.1 15.1 1.5.2 10.0 04.(Sl 10.2 11.0 (5(5.1 0.7| 17.0 00.2 5.1 1(5.+ 50.7 5.0 10.2 (51.7 5.2 ' 10.4 33. 7 i 8.01 i 0.5 40.5! 11.4i ' 15.0 53.1' 8.8 1,1 1.0 L7 5.1 n 1.8. 1.2! 1.0 2.0 5.2 2.1 les more. 30.3 30.0 19.9 12.2 13.2 14.2 22.3 13.1 45.0 34.2 19.0 3.2 5,2 20.3 12.3 8.4 (5.9 (5.2 0.2 10.0 1(5.0 10.9 With the exception of four cities, Vancouver, Montreal, Que- bec and St. John, more than half of the population live in houses containing from 6 to 10 rooms ; in the case of Toronto the per- centage rises to 66 per cent; while in three others, Halifax, London and Hamilton, the percentage exceeds GO. Those cities 16 STATISTICS OF EXPENDITURE AND ! i- i which shew a low percentage of houses containino; 6 to 10 rooms, per house (which gives souiething more than the standard nccomujodation of one room one person) shew generally a high percentage of houses of four rooms or less, and also of houses of more than 10 rooms. Thus, in Montreal, 45.6 of the houses are oi 4 rooms and less ; Quebec, St. John, Vancouver, Winnipeg and Ottawa, also give high percentages of liouses of rather less than the standard accommodation ; and with the exception of Van- couver and Winnipeg, where the poor accommodation is, as we shall see, due to the newness of the cities, the same towns shew a high percentage of large houses of more than ten rooms. Montreal has a percentage of 10.0 ; Quebec, 16.6 ; Ottawa, 10.9 ; and St. John, the astonishing percentage of 20.3. Halifax is the only other city where the percentage of large houses reache.s double figures. If we combine the results of the last table and recognize three classes of hou.ses only, those of 4 rooms or less, those of 5 to 10 rooms, and those with more than ten, we .shall see at a glance where the conditions are extreme and where the .arithmetical average expre.sses the truth of the situation : — 4 rooms or less. Vancouver AVinnipeg . St. John . . . Halifax . . . Toronto . . . London . . Kingston . Hamilton . Montreal. . . Quebec . . . . ()ttawa 5 to 10 rooms. m 19, 12 i;i 14, 22. i:i 45, 'M. 11). 55.8 6:^8 56.2 64.6 78.0 78.1 67.1 80.9 44.1 50.0 68.7 More than 10 room,s. 3.2 5.2 20.3 12.3 8.4 6.9 6.2 6.2 10.0 16.6 10.9 It appears, therefore, that class distinctions are marked in three or four towns only: in St. John, Montreal, and Quebec, and possibly in Ottawa ; that the three best hou.sed towns where there are few extremes of wealth and poverty, are Toronto, London and Hamilton — which, with Kingston and Ottawa, m ■ CONSUMPTION IN CANADA — DAVIDSON. 17 where also the conditions do not show violent extremes, are the five towns selected from the Ontario Bureau of Statistics Reports for detailed analybis. It is probable that the very large percenta(:;e of large houses in St. Jchn is an indication, not of a larjre wealthy class, but of lack of nrudence and foiesijjht in the inhabitants in the years which follov^ed the great fire. We might therefore conclude that in two towns only, Quebec and Montreal, do the extremes of wealth and poverty show them- selves ; and that the average condition is also the condition of the great majority of the inhabitants of Canada. We might, perhaps, also conclude that the average income obtained from the returns made to the Ontario Bureau is not far below the average inconie in Canada. Mr. Ames shows that in the district he has investigated there is a weekly average income of SlO.20 per family, an average monthly rental of $8.73 per family, or 18 per cent, of the family income, and an accommodation of 5.02 rooms per family (U. &. Bulletin of Labor, p. 44 . The average weekly income of the towns in Ontario is nearly S9.00, of which 17 per cent, is expended on rent in places where rents must be much lower than they are in industrial districts of Montreal, and where accordingly better accommodation will be given for the money. We may readily infer that the returns have been made by the occupants of houses of 7 or 8 rooms ; and an overwhelming pro- portion of the inhabitants of the towns, of which an analysis of the house accommodation has been made above, occupy houses containing from 5 to 10 rooms. Since, according to Engel, and according also to the best canons of local taxation, the expendi- ture on house rent is the best indication of income, we might be safe in concluding that the average income set down above is the average for Canada ; but at the best the conclusion is problematic and based on a series of assumptions and inferences from data which are themselves only approximately correct. The main question is the actual accommodation obtained fon. .'I I ii. ii ii! ?i!ru t.n..)i i IS STATISTfCS OF EXPENDITURE AND the expenfliture, The best test, perhaps, would be the cubic feet of air space obtained for a given rent.* But statistics arc lacking in Canada to determine the actual space received in return for the payment made. There may be more actual air space in a log cabin or a dug out of one room in the North- West and British Columbia than in a three or four roomed house in a back tenement in Montreal ; and the general sanitary conditions are without doubt superior. Mr. Ames has taken the provision of water closets as his test, and shews how a smaller house with sanitary conveniences may rent for as much as a larger without them. But his investigation was confined to a section of Montreal only. For the rest of the city, and for the Dominion as a whole, we must rest content with a less satisfac- tory test, viz., the number of rooms, the material of construc- tion, the number of stories, the number of families in each house, and the number of persons to a house and to a room. The average house in Canada is constructed of wood, is of one story, or a story and a half, contains probably from 5 to 10 rooms, more likely 5 than 10, and accommodates under its roof 1.08 families, or 5.6 persons, and thus gives the standard accom- modation — one room one person. The standard of accommodation is rising. In 18S1 there were 1.10 families under each roof and 5.8 persons. The one story house seems to be going out of fashion, for while 39 per cent, of all the inhabited houses are one story buildings, more than 50 per cent. (23,227 out of 40,000 classifie<l) of the uninhabited houses are of one story onlj', and 33 per cent, only (2,704 out of 8,077 enumerated) of the houses under construction. (Census Bulletin, No. (J). It is, nioreover, a well recognized fact that the sanitarj^ conveniences are being improved. So that we may conclude that the people of Canada are receiving better value for their money, or that through increased prosperity they are able to spend a larger ab.solute amount in house rent though, perhaps, the percentage of their expenditure on house rent is decreasing. 'The poor probably viay more for rent, according to tliis .standard, than the rich It has been found by comparison in Vienna that in a house in one of the slum districts each cubic metro of air si)ace cost ;i fl. 21 kr , while in a house in the most fashionable RiuKstrassc. and on the tirst tioor, the cubic metre cost 2 fl. 85 kr. only. (Scliiinbcrg's Haiulbuch, I . p. 700.) It •■. t f CONSUMPTION' IN CANADA — DAVIDSON. 10 cubic feet the actual re irmy be e room in !e or four le general \nies has ews how • as much )nfine<i to (i for the sntisfac- construc- in each )om. )od, is of » 5 to 10 its roof 1 accom- jodation oof and out of are one 46,000 •y. and houses ►reover, » beinjj 'anada h rough :>solute their the rich districts lionablc i>ii berg's Wooden houses constitute 81.0 per cent, of the total number ; brick houses 15.34«, and stone houses 3.1. The brick and stone houses are probably mainly in the larger cities and occupied by the wealthier classes. Thirty-nine per cent, of the total houses inhabited are of one story, while 43 per cent, of the wooden houses are of that humble size, and 1!) per cent, and 20 per cent, only of the brick and stone houses fail to reacii the dignity of a second story or even of an additional half story. The story and a half and two story buildings are 57 per cent, of the whole, but 60 per cent, of the stone and 67 per cent, of the brick houses are of these dimensions. Of the houses which have three stories or more 14,211, or .59 per cent., are brick, 4,658, or 19 per cent, are stone, and 5,746 only, or 22 per cent, are of wood. The Census Reports do not enable us to discover whether there is a larger number of rooms or of stories in a stone or brick house then in a wooden house. Probably, the advantage in size is in favor of the stone and brick houses ; but there is no definite information on the subject, and we must rest content witli the statement given in the Census Report, 1891 (Vol. IV'., Table A., pp. 378, 379) of the percentage of houses of dili'erent sizes in the several provinces of the Dominion : — Perckntages ok HoisEs WITH Rooms Ok Hoi ses with Stokiks— 1 2.9 2 8.0 3 11.0 4 5 «M0 48.8 U-15 5.(5 Over 1.5. 1.2 1 3 . 1 Canada 1.5.8 12.2 («.5! :«.o 2.5 0.4 Br. (Johimbia . . 21.1 i:^.{j 10.2 18.5111.4 25.9 2.0 l.() 72.4 2<J.8 1.2 0.1 Manitoba . . . 12.0 20.2 17.8 17.0 10.1,21.4 1.8, {).()' rry.i) 42.1 0.8 0.2 N. Brunswick . . 2.1 8.7 9.8 14.1111.0 48 2 8.2 1.7! 79.9 10.7 8.0 0.4 Nova Scotia 1.0 5.4 8.4 15.4 i 12.9 50.2 5.8; 0.9,85.7 12 7 1.5 0.1 Ontario 1.2 5.1 7.9 18.8! 12.7 52.8 6.8, 1.2' 52.4 45.1 2.4 0.1 P. E. Island . . . 0.0 7.8 9.7 10.4:12.8 45.7 0.5 1.7 80.8:17.7; 1.4 0.1 Quebec H.7 10.9 10.2 20.2 11.7 81.2 4.7 1.8 09.8:25.9' 8.4! 0.9 The Territories. 19.5 24.3 10.7 18.8 8.1 14.1 1.8 0.7 00.9 :«).5j 0.5j 0.1 The house accommodation aiforded varies from province to province. The largest percentage of brick houses occurs in Ontario, the smallest in Nova Scotia, where 99.4 of the houses are built of wood. The largest percentage, though not the il 20 STATISTICS OF KXPKNIJITURK AND • M H ;! greatest absolute number of stone houses, are found in the prov- ince of Quebec, the smallest, 0.1 per cent., in British Columbia, Kevv Biunswick, and Prince Kdward Island. The proportion of liouses of one story only is greatest in the Maritime Provinces, where Nova Scotia heads the list with fS5.7 per cent., and Prince Edward Island and New Brunswick follow with 80.8 per cent, and 70.9 per cent. Manitoba and Ontario show the largest percentages of two story houses, while Quebec and New Brun- swick show the highest percentages of three storied dwellings. Quebec contains 7Ji per cent, of all the 4-storied building.s in Canada : and twice as high a percentage of the buildings in the province are of that height or higher as in any other province. Quebec and the North-West Territories have highest average number of person.s under one roof (6.0), the Maritime Provinces coming next, and British Columbia giving the low number of 4.9' But British Columbia is the piovince where the largest number of one-roomed houses exist. Twenty-one per cent, of the hou.ses there have one room only, and 58.4 per cent, have four rooms or le.ss. In Manitoba, which stands next to British Colunjbia in the number of persons to the house (5.2), 12,0 per cent, of the houses are one roomed, and 6G.5 per cent, have four or les.s. Prince Edward Island, on the other hand, which crowds 5.9 people under every roof, sees that they have some room under it, for le.ss than one per cent. (0.9) of her houses are of one room, and 65.3 of her houses have more than four rooms. These facts are collected in the following table : — Comparison of Housk Accommodation in the Provinces. Canada British Columbia.. Manitoba New Brunswick. . . Nova Scotia . Ontario Pr. Edward, Island Quebec — The Territories. . Stone Houses. 8.0 0.1 0.9 0.1 0.2 3.3 0.1 5.0 1.0 nritk Wooden One House.s. Houses. room. 15.4 81.5 2.9 2.8 97.0 21.1 3.7 95.2 12.0 1.6 98.2 2.4 0.3 99.4 1.0 21.1 75.5 1.2 0.4 99.5 0.9 17.8 77.1 3.7 1.0 96.0 19.5 4 rooms or less. 37.7 58.4 66.5 35.3 32.2 27.5 34.7 50.0 73.8 Persons under one roof. 5.6 4.9 5.2 5.8 5.7 5.2 5.9 6.0 6.0 CON8UMl»TION IN CANADA— DAVIDSON. 81 From these figures it is possible to construct an index number which shall express the relative house accommodation of the various provinces more readily than the actual fi(,'ures. .There are four possible tests within our reach : — The material of which the dwelling is constructed, the nuinber of rooms it contains, the number of stories in it, and the numbor of people who inhabit it. But these are obviously not all ot equal importance. The number of rooms is of much <rreater importance than the number of stories, A house of five rooms with only one story is lietter than a house of three or four rooms with a story and a half or two stories ; and for many purposes it is indifferent whether the house is built of wood or of stone, or brick. The material out of which a house is built is determined sometimes l)y tiie relative cheapness of materials on the spot and sometimes by municipal rerjulations about a fire district. But from the fi^nires quoted above, it is evident that a stone or brick house is at least more fashionable than a wooden house ; and in the slum districts of our cities the worst houses are built of wood. We must allow some importance to these two considerations ; but not by any means as much as to the others. If to the two taken touether we allow half us much importance as to each of the others, taken separately, we will not, perhaps, exa!jftj;erate its importance : but in case of error, the index number will be stated, both inclr 'inir and excluding these minor considerations. The figures quoted above are taken negatively, i. e., instead of saying how many houses have four rooms or less, we calculate on the number of houses which have more than four rooms; but this is a matter of arithmetical detail. The average for Canada is expressed as 100 in the cases of the number of houses containing more than four rooms and of the number of persons in each house, and by 50 in the case of the two minor considerations : — 22 STATISTICS OF EXPENDITURE AND I I I Canada . . . Brit. Columbia Manitoba . N. Bnmswick. Nova Scotia Ontario . . . P. E. Island Quebec ... Territories. . % of houses with more than four rooms. Index No. /of persons to house. 62.3 100 5.6 . 41.6 66.7 4.9 as. 5 53 7 5.2 64.7 102.2 5.8 67.8 107.2 5.7 72.5 116.3 5 2 65.3 104.8 5.9 50.0 80.2 6.0 26.2 420 6.0 o X V B 100 114.6 107.6 96.4 98.4 107.6 94.9 93.3 9:^.3 X O jisc'c 36.5 27.6 40.1 20.1 14.3 47.6 19.2 30.2 33.1 of c a JS 18.5 2.4 4.8 1.8 0.6 24.5 0.5 22.9 4.0 o o s 50 19.6 33.7 16.1 10.6 ft5.7 13.8 51.2 28.1 The index of relative house accommodation of the provinces would be therefore according as we did or did not include the minor considerations expressed in the first or in tl - second column below : — Two Considerations. Four Considerations. 1 - . Canada British Columbia Manitoba New Brunswick Nova Scotin Ontario . . Prince Edward Island . . Quebec Territories 200 181.3 i61.3 • 198.6 205.6 223.9 199.7 173.5 135.3 250 199.9 195.0 214.7 216.2 289.6 213.5 224.7 imA The inclusion of the minor con.siderations reduces the rank of all the Maritime Provinces, and raises Quebec from one of the lowest to the second place, and still further increases the lead of the Province of Ontario. In all probability the index number depending on the two considerations alone gives the fairest representation of relative housing in the various provinces. Though the item of food continues, whatever the income, to absorb the largest share of individual and national income, our information on this point is far from being complete. Practically we may say that so far as the foodstuffs consumed in Canada are produced in Canada we have no adequate information. Esti~ ii CONSUMPTION IN CANADA — DAVIDSON. ?3 mates have been made of the consumption of wheat and potatoes ; but too much reliance should not be placed upon them. The consumption of meat might be approximately estimated after an elaborate calculation, taking into account exports and imports and annual mortality among farm stock ; but to give the esti- mate even a semblance of accuracy we require to have at least as complete an enumeration of the stock in the country during successive years as we have for the isolated census years. Of the consumption of fish and game, of butter and eggs, and milk and cheese and vegetables, we have no means whatever of form- ing an estimate ; and it is doubtful whether such an estimate can be formed so long as 45 per cent, of the population are engaged in, or dependent on, agriculture. The only accurate statistics we have of the consumption of food are those relating to articles not produced in Canada at all, or produced under such conditions that the whole industry is under the constant super- vision of the government. We can tell how much tea and sugar and coffee, how much beer and spirits and tobacco, how much wine and dried fruit is consumed in Canada ; and it is fortunate that these are the articles, the large consumption of which indicates prosperity. We are not concerned with the ethical question whether the consumption of spirits is right or wrong. As a matter of fact, and many a Finance Minister has had to confess it with chastened sorrow, an increased consumption of intoxi- cants is a sign of incieasing prosperity. Bread stuffs and meats are for English speaking people necessities, and a diminution in the quantity would indicate, or at least might indicate, increasing prosperity. The poorer a nation or a family is the iaiger the pioportion of its income it spends on bread and potatoes.* This is one of the established Prof. LcxiH, in his artiile on Consumption, Selibnberg's Handbuch I., fifl" «.(iuotes tlie following estiniiito of the distribution of expenditure on food by various classes :— Krpcnfliturcon Food. ((! persons) 2,17.') marks 4 X)orsons) 1,28.5 •' (588 " \m " 395 " Bread. 14.y in.c. 31.3 38.7 39.4 Potatoes. 4.1 2.4 4.8 10.3 15.9 Meat. 26. .1 29 17.0 U.ti 3.0 24 STATISTICS OF EXPENDITURE AND ' conclusions of the theory of consumption ; and it stands to reason that the more of the luxuries of the table a family consumes the less need has it for the grosser necessaries. But this conclusion must be taken to apply to percentages rather than to absolute amounts ; for where the great majority of the population are in the condition of working class people, prosperity may show itself both in a decreasing percentage and in an increasing absolute amount. With a better use of the consumption power at their command, probably the working classes in America would come to consume less of the grosser necessaries of bread and potatoes and meat, and rise to a higher conception of well-being than mere profusion. The large consMjnption of bread stuffs in the exporting countries i-» due to profusion rather than to a low standard of living. It exists alongside of a large consumption of the comforts and commoner luxuries of the table. Speaking in general terms, Europeans eat more bread and potatoes than Americans. Australians consume more meat and less bread and potatoes than either the Americans or the Euro- peans. In Canada the consumption both of bread and potatoes is, according to statistics, high, probably much too high, consi<ler- U}(f the standard of living common in the community. In the Statistical Year Book for 1891 the average consumption, calcu- lated by deducting the net exports and the estimated amount retained for seed from the estimated crop during the 10 years, 1881-1891, is given as 6.75 bushels per head : — Consumption' Pkr Head, in BuanELS. 1881 6.48 1884 8.96 1888 6.02 1882 8.19 1885 7.41 1889 5.38 1883 6.10 1886 5.70 18tK) 6.60 1887 Q.m But the authors of this estimate do not themselves place much reliance on it ; and if it were accurate, one would almost be justified in inferring that in the lean years Canada was on CONSUMPTION IN CANADA — DAVJDSON. 25 Xhe verge of starvation ; for the consumption varies more than three bushels and a half. The probability is, as the authors suggest, that the crop estimates are by no means accurate. In 'the following year, in 1892, this estimate is dropped, and a com- parative estimate of the consumption of wheat per head in various •countries gives Canada an average consumption of 5.5 bushels per liead, which is continued clown till 1895, the last year in v;hich this comparative estimate appears. The estimate continr.es to be put forward as an approximation only ; but no reason is ottered for the reduction from 6.75 to 5.5 bushels. The consumption of potatoes may be estimated in the same Way for the single year 1891, the census year. This gives an average consumption of 10 bushels per head, or about 600 pounds — undoubtedly, by comparison with other nations which have a similar or a lower standard of living, an excessive estimate. If the estimates framed annually by the Statistical Bureaus of Ontario and Manitoba are scarcely trustworthy, the casual esti- mates of a census enumerator, or of the farmer be questions, are still less likely to be trustworthy ; and all such estimates are liable to err on the side of excess. Mr, Mulhall gives the annual consumption of meat in Canada at 90 lbs. per head, as compared with 109 lbs. in the United Kingdom, 150 lbs. in the United States, and 276 lbs. in Australia ; but imagination fails to suggest the source from which such an estimate can be made for Canada. The statistics at our disposal regarding the consumption of certain typical comforts and luxuries, is as full as occasion requires, and as accurate as returns made at the customs or to the internal revenue officers usually are. The list might be made indefinitely long, but we contine ourselves to such as are typical and in fairly common use, — sugar and tea and coffee, wine and beer, and spirits and tobacco. Dried fruit we shall also include, selecting that rather than green fruit, the extension in the use of which is one of the best siyns of a prosperous consumption, because, in the case of green fruits, we have estimates of value only which can be used, while the quantity of dried fruits can : i 29 STATISTICS OF EXPENDITURE AND be more readily estimated in a single one of the tables of wei<vhts and measures. The tables from which the per capita consumption of suf^ar, tea. coffee and dried fruit has been calculated, were compiled from the Annual Sessional Papers on Trade and Com- merce ; the per capita consumption of beer, spirits, etc., is the calculation of the inland revenue officials, and may be found in Statistical Year Book for the current year.* The consumption of these articles is recogn'zed as one of the best tests of the prosperity of a country. The middle classes everywhere are well provided with the comforts and decencies of life, in which class these articles are placed, although sugar is rapidly becoming a nece.ssary of life ; and an extension of the consumption of these goods means that the working classes are consuming more, the middle class, it being presumed already, using as much as they desire. In a country like Canada, where as we have seen there are few extremes of wealth, an increased consumption means that the whole body of the people are con- suming more. An increased consumption of any article may mean one of three things, — (1) it may result from a fall in price, which enables the people to consume more without spending more ; (2) it may mean a rise in the average income, which enables the people to spend more on one article than they have been doing, without curtailing their consumption of other articles; (3) it may mean .simply that the form of consumption has changed and that the well-being of society is the same, or but slightly increased. In all probability, the increased use of cccoa, from the value of S44.,240 in ISSOf to $158,849 in 1896 has been due to a mere change in the form of consumption ; and the addition of this amount to the consiumption of the community probably does not indicate a corresponding increase of spending power. The increase in the use of sugar and tea is due, not to increased *I take this oijportiiiiity of acknowledging my indcbtcdnesH to tlie Dominion Statistician, Mr. George .lolinson, whose work I have freely used in the preparation of this paper. tAverage of three years. CONSUMPTION IN CANADA— DAVIDSON. 27 spending power, but almost entirely to a fall in price. The per capita consumption of 1896, 47 lbs. of sugar and 4.4 lbs. of tea> cost no more than the 2C lbs. of sugar and the 2.7 lbs. of tea in the year 1880. The increased use of tobacco, of coffee, and the but slightly decreased consumption of spirits, in spite of a large rise in price, indicate a larger spending power. An attempt has been made in the third of the following tables to indicate how far the increased consumption is due to a fall in prices, the price.'j being taken from a table of Montreal prices given in the Statisti- cal Year Book of 1806. Consumption Pkk Capita ok Certain Articles in Canada. Tea Coffee Su^ar Dried 1 Beer .Spirits Wine Tobae- Cigars (No) (lbs) (lbs.) (lbs,) Fniits(lbs). (gals.) (gals ) (gals.) co(lbs)- 1880 2.7 0.40 26 19 2.25 0.71 0.08 1.94 1881 3.8 47 31 .3.0 2.29 0.92 0.10 2.03 1882 4.3 0.71 30 3.4 2 75 1.01 0.12 2 15 1883 4.0 0.60 34 5.0 2.88 1.09 0.13 2.28 1884 3 8 0.53 38 5.2 2.92 1.00 12 2 48 i9 1885 4.0 94 43 4.1 2.64 1 13 0.11 2.62 17 1886 4.9 0.85 38 3.6 2.84 071 Oil 2.05 20 1887 38 0.41 43 4.2 3.08 0.75 09 2.06 18 1888 37 0.60 43 4.5 .3.25 0.64 0.09 2.09 19 18S9 36 0.66 47 4.6 3.26 78 0.10 2 15 19 1890 3.8 0.66 35 4.7 .3..% 0.88 0.10 2 14 20 1891 3.7 0.69 40 4.S 3 79 0.74 0.11 2 29 20 1892 4.4 0.73 68 4.7 .3. ,52 0.70 0.10 2.29 21 1893 3 6 077 51 4.4 3.48 74 0.09 2.31 23 1894 4.1 70 61 .5.3 3.72 0.74 0.09 2.26 23 1895 4.0 0.72 70 5 2 3 47 0.67 0.09 2.16 21 1896 4.4 0.70 47 5.6 3 53 62 O.07 2.12 21 These tables are sufficiently clear to explain theuKselves ; but it should be observed that for some rea.son the year 1880, which has been cho.sen as starting point, is an exceptional year of low con.sumption, as we .shall see more clearly when we come to present an Index No. of consumption ; and it has the additional disadvantage of being the year of high prices in sugar, which was then 20 per cent, higher tlian in 1875, and higher than it baa been since. n STATISTICS OF EXPENDITURE AND It would be interestinjy to compare the consumption of the different provinces; but there are no statistics available for such a comparison. Mr. Johnson, in his Graphic Statistics of Canada (1886) has shewn the relative provincial consumption of wine and beer, and spirits and tobacco, in a i^raphic form ; and from his repre.sentation we learn that on the average of 19 years to 1886, «ach inhabitant of Ontario drank 1. 11 gals, of spirits, 0.4 gals, of wine, and 8.2 gals, of beer, and smoked 1.8 lbs. of tobacco ; and so on for the other provinces as in the accompanying table: — Pek Capita CoN,«<rMPTioN According to Provinces. . Pro v. .Spirits (gal.> Beer (gal.) Wine (gal ) Tobacco (lbs.) Ontario 1.11 1.6S 3 2 19 0.4 0.28 1.8 2.4 Quebec New Brniiawick . 80 0.66 08 2.17 Nova Scotia O.fl.S 0.7 07 17 P. E Island 0.0-2 0.46 0.03 1.4 Manitoba 68 1.7 0.06 2 6 Brit Columbia . . 1.45 3 77 0.62 3 In all proliability this proportion holds in 1898 as in 1886; and Mr. Johnson's conclusions are still true : — " Ontdiio drinks nearly three times more beer than spirits ; Quebec, nearly as much spiiits as beer ; New Brunswick, more spirits than beer ; Xova Scotia, more beer than spirits ; Prince Edward Island, more spirits than beer ; and Manitoba and British Columbia, more beer than spirits," p. 86. To which we might add that, according to this shewing. Prince Eilward Island and New Brunswick are the most temperate of the provinces.* *The consumption of s))irits in the Maritime Provinces and in Quobeci'^ probably greatly untlerestimatod. The figures above slicw only the consumption on wliichduty was paid ; but tliere lias always been a large amount smuggled into these provinces from St. Pierre which exists ))ractically as an entrepot for smuggling. Probably lo/lOths of the imports of the island are smuggbMl into Canada and Newfoundland. In 188-5 the amount intended to be smngglcd exceeded that proportion. It is said that half the spirits and tobacco consumed in Quebec pays tio duly. Since 1890 the import trade of St. Pierre has fallen oOjjer cent, in consciiuence of the increased activity of the Cana- dian revenue cruisers preventing the us\ial exports. CONSUMPTION IN CANADA — DAVIDSON. 20 It is, unfortunately, not possible to compare the quantities consumed of the articles enumerated with their retail prices ta ascertain exactly the relation betvA'een prices and consun)ption. Where prices have fallen, it is generally assiimed that the whole- sale prices have fallen further and more rapidly than retail prices, though, in the case of suoar, all but the very poorest who may buy in very small quantities have benefitted to the full extent of the fall. Where prices have. risen, retail prices may have risen higher than wholesale, or not so far, uccordinir to ciicumstances. Tobacco has probably risen higher in retail price than in whole- sale ; but the dealers in ciixarettes last vear were not able to raise prices to follow the wholesale price. The following comparison, however, is with Montreal wholesale prices as stated in the Statistical Year Book. 1896:— CoSSUMrXUlN AND PRICES. Coffee .Srci AK. Tf A. Tobacco. SiTKITS. y - •/ 1 — ■/ « X ^ .«£ ^ c£ 1 £ c£ .2 .£ — - .|S ? YEAK ^ » "■w - 1 '^. r. ^H ■^— J ^^ be O.'C ta ^^ i u Q.rS 1. PL'S ^ fts' u 5 ^ V u •" s u STee s C " o ft S 2 ' ft c 1 ft S a ft C O ft rr ■"* 9, CC . o c u tT* o C ^ u f" *^ s b. o _o ii u _o 1880 Oft .4 £ 1- c 2 a. 'E ^ 5- 0. 27 cts. 2G lOicts 2.7 51 1.94 54 cts 0.71 §1 50 1881 .47 25 31 lo' 3.8 52 2 03 ooi 0.92 1.60 1882 .71 23 80 H 4.3 51 2.15 57 i 1.01 1.60 1883 .6 22 34 9 40 51 2.28 47' 1.09 1.60 1884 .53 21 38 Ti 3.8 51 2,48 •.3i 1 IK) 1.60 1885 .94 20 43 4.0 51 2.62 51 1.13 1.67 1886 .85 19 38 U 4.9 49 2.05 53 0.71 1 81 1887 .41 24 43 m 3.8 43 2.06 51 75 1 81 188.S .6 25 43 n 3.7 45 2.09 51 64 1 81 1889 .66 26 47 8 3 6 45 2.15 .)1 0.73 1.83 1890 .66 26 35 m 3 8 45 2.14 ■)1 0.88 1.84 1S91 .69 27 40 6 1 3.7 42 2 29 53^ 0.74 2.48 1892 .73 29 68 4.\ i *•* 39 2.29 56 C70 2 88 1893 .77 29 fl ^-h 3.6 38i 2.31 544 0.74 2 53 1894 .7 28 61 4A ; 4.1 384 2.26 53^ 0.74 2 51 1895 .72 27 70 4 4.0 1 35i 2.16 56 67 2 51 1896 - .70 26 47 4?t 4.4 1 1 33^ 2.12 56 0.62 2 68 ■\ 30 STATISTICS OF EXPENDITURB AND From this table it appears that though the price of coffee has not declined the consumption has increased 80 per cent., shewing at once an increased desire for coffee and a larger spending power in the community. Tliis is probably a real increase in the con- sumption of the nation and not a transfer of taste ; for cocoa and tea, the substitutes for coffee, have also been consumed in increased amounts, and there has been no such diminution of consumption of alcoholie drinks, for which coffee may be regarded as a substitute, as would set free such an amount of consuming power as would purchase the additional quantity of coffee. On the contrary, although the consumption of spirits has declined somewhat (18 per cent, since 1880), more is being spent on spirits to-day per head than in 1880. The price has increased 78 per cent., and had the consumption moved downwards at the same rate as the piice moved upwards, the quantity used in 1896 should have been 44 per cent, less than in 1880. The decrease, instead of shewing a diminution of consumption power, indicates either an increase of money to spend or a growing desire on the part of the people for spirits such as would lead them to transfer their taste to alcohol fioni some other article. In face of the temperance sentiment of the country, it is improbable that the desire has increased, and we may safely conclude that the relation between consumption and prices of spirits indicates increased consumption power. The slight increase in the consumption of tobacco (11 per cent.), in spite of a rise in price, points to the same conclusion, viz , that the nation is growing more prosperous and has a larger income to expend. On the other hand, the increased consumption of tea and sugar justify no such con- | elusion. They, of course, indicate a higher level of general well- being, but not an increased consumpcion power on the part of the community. They afford no evidence against such an increase of income ; they simply do not afford any evidence in its favor. The consumption of sugar has increased almost in the same rates as the price has declined. The consumption of 1895 has risen 168 per cent.; the price has declined (1S95 price) 62 per cent. The consumption has ri.sen just 5 per cent, more than the decline of I CONSUMPTION IN CANADA — DAVIDSON. 81 price warranted — if the community was to continue to spend the same money per head in 1805 as in 1880. Tea, however has not increased so much as the price has declined. The consumption is 48 per cent, greater than in 1880, hut the 1895 price is 35 per cent, lower than the 1880 price. To preserve the same expendi- ture of income on this article the con.sumption should have ri.sen 54 per cent., or 6 per cent, more than it has risen. From this comparison of consumption and prices it is evident that there has been not only an increase of well-being due to the larger quantity of these commodities used, but an increase of consumption power as well, and judging fiom the instances before us, an increa.se of consumption power of considerable extent. We can carry the investigation a little further, to find out, so far as figures can tell us, how far the well-being of the community has increased. The most obvious method of esti- mating this increase is by constructing an index number for consumption. Into the problem whether a permanent index number of consumption is possible, it is not necessary to enter; the following attempt is intended only as a method of illustra- tion, not as an indication of cause. It is the more important to state this liinitation, as the year 1880 was, as the table shews, a year of very low consumption — a fact which was not apparent to the writer till this calculation, the last made for this paper, was made. So long as the result is not used by politicians for partisan purposes, and is regarded merely as a summary of the earlier table, it does not matter much which year is taken. The method of construction was to take the seven articles — tea, coffee, sugar, dried fruits, spirits, beer and tobacco — as typical of the consumption power of the community, and to take the quantity consumed per head in 1880 in each case as equal to 100 --the sum 700 being taken as the index number of the consump- tion of that year. The articles are, of course, not all equally important, and therefore it must be repeated that the index number is intended for purposes of illustration only : — . 32 STATISTICS OF EXPENDITURE AND CONSUMPTION— DAVIDSON. u r* I Index Numbkr of Consumption in Canada. 1 Year. 1880 Tea. 100 Cotfct). Sugar. Dried Frultn. Spirits, Tobacco. 1 Boer. 100 T'l Index Number. 100 100 100 100 lOO 700 1881 140 117 119 159 129 106 101 871 1882 159 177 115 178 142 113 122 1006 1883 148 150 130 210 153 120 128 1039 1884 140 132 146 273 141 131 129 1092 1885 148 235 163 215 159 1.37 117 1174 1886 181 212 146 189 100 107 128 1071 1887 14(» 102 163 221 105 1(18 136 975 1888 137 150 163 23'3 90 110 144 1030 1889 133 165 180 242 109 113 144 1086 1890 140 1«5 134 247 124 112 149 1071 1891 137 172 153 252 104 120 168 1106 1892 1(52 , ir2 261 247 98 120 156 1226 1893 133 192 192 231 104 124 • 154 1130 1894 151 175 234 278 104 118 l(i-2 1222 1895 148 180 268 273 1 94 113 154 1231 1896 167 175 180 294 ! 87 111 155 1169 The year 1880 is evi(iently not an average year, an<3 there were probably trade infiu^nees at work inducing a small importation. And it is to be r ^marked that the figures on which these index numbers are originally based are figures of trade and not of consumption. In order to attain something like strict accuracy by eliminating the effects of anticipatory importations to avoid a threatened tax, and such like influences visible in all trade returns, it would be necessary to make the consumption for each year the average of a period of three or four years — thus the figures for 1886 would be the average of 1884, 1885 and 1880 ; the figures for 1887 the average of 1885. 1886, 1887. But such exactitude would be tedious, and the process might be liable to the objection that it sought to attain a greater degree of accuracy than the nature of the subject admits. Within the limits set down this index number illustrates the steady growth of the national prosperity and well-being— a movement not uniform or without backward steps— but none the less indicating that the command the nation has over the material sources of satisfaction has increased. r