REPRINTED FROM THE FORUM FOR NOVEMBER. 1888. Waterways to the Pacific. By COMMANDER H. C. TAYLOR. WATEEWAYS TO THE PACIFIC. In an article entitled " The Control of the Pacific," in a former number of the Forum, the writer presented some of the principal facts concerning the Nicaragua Canal enterprise, as it existed at that time. The year and a half which has elapsed since then has been full of events bearing upon the Canal question, and for the most part favorable to its solution. A brief account of the present condition of the undertaking may interest the public. When the former article was written an association of Aineri- can gentlemen had just obtained from Nicaragua a concession of great value. In the act of securing this concession, news was received of the death of that distinguished inventor and engi¬ neer, Captain Fads, and it was quickly recognized that now the project of a ship railroad across Tehuantepec in Mexico must be given up. This fact could not fail to strengthen the prospects of a Nicaragua Canal. It was at about this time also that the hopelessness of M. de Lesseps's Panama scheme began to dawn upon the business men of the United States. A favor¬ able time for action having thus arrived, and ample funds for all preliminary work having been provided, active movements were begun in the various directions necessary to make the inception of the enterprise worthy of its great future. To secure this future properly and beyond doubt, it was desirable, first, to sur¬ vey with minute exactness the route whose general location had already been decided by the exhaustive governmental examina¬ tions of the past years ; secondly, to conclude with Costa Eica such a contract or concession as should be mutually advanta¬ geous and should bind together the interests of Nicaragua, Costa Eica, and the Canal ; and thirdly, to publish a just and temper¬ ate statement of the enterprise in all its details, and to circulate this information among the best engineers and capitalists of this country and of Europe. WATERWAYS TO THE PACIFIC. m A well-equipped expedition left New York in November, 1887, for Nicaragua, and has completed the exact location of the Canal, and mapped the line and its vicinity with engineering ex¬ actness. Careful borings have been made along the whole dis¬ tance, and the nature of materials to be excavated is now clearly known. The drawings which show the results of these surveys are completed, and they indicate a length of about 29 miles of canal to be excavated. The total distance from sea to sea being 169 miles, the remainder, 140 miles, in Lake Nicaragua, the Eiver San Juan, and their adjacent basins, will, by the use of dams and natural basins, become free navigation. Without going into the details of the engineering features, it may be said that former estimates were 50 millions of dollars for the work, and 15 mil¬ lions for contingencies, making 65 millions in all ; while the pres¬ ent revised estimates, based on absolute data, are about 55 mil¬ lions for the work and contingencies. The second point was the Costa Eica concession. This has also been happily arranged, and a concession from that repub¬ lic has been secured, granting valuable lands and privileges, and guaranteeing to the Canal the assistance and good will of. the Costa Eican nation and its government. Thirdly, the dissemination of correct ideas concerning the Nicaragua Canal has continued unceasingly, and has been much aided by our newspapers, which have grasped at once the national and international bearings of the undertaking. Thus with every chance of failure guarded against, the enterprise now stands ready to take the final step of organizing the Maritime Canal Company of Nicaragua. An act of incorporation for this company has been introduced in Congress, and having passed the Senate last February, has since then awaited patiently the action of the House of Eepresentatives. It is undoubtedly fitting that a work of such magnitude, of so national a character, should be initiated under the authority of Congress, and it is to be hoped that the House of Eepresentatives may find the time to grant this authority. But w^e should remember that this action, though beneficial, is not in¬ dispensable, and that under a charter from a State legislature this undertaking will go forward to unquestioned success, as did the Panama Eailroad under a charter from the State of New York, 328 WATERWAYS TO THE PACIFIC. receiving always, tliougli without a national charter, the . nance and protection of the national government. Whether with or without a national charter, the enterprise has already received such assurance from this country and from Europe that it may be considered as having passed successfully through its earlier stages, bringing before us for immediate solu¬ tion the problems of practical construction, and, later, those col¬ lateral circumstances of commerce, politics, and war which have hitherto been vague and shadowy, but which, with the certainty of a canal, will quickly take definite shape. As to the construction of the Canal, it is in its engineering aspects a work of great magnitude but of remarkable simplicity. Nature has done almost everything here, and the able engineer, Mr. Menocal, whose admirable plans will doubtless be adopted, has worked always with nature and never against her. A few large pieces of work present themselves. There is a long stretch of dredging back of Grey town, a deep rock-cut at the Divide, a strong dam across the San Juan; but when we examine the American Dredging Company's work at Panama, when we observe the ease and quickness with which the tunnel of the Northern Pacific Eailroad in the Cascade Eange was lately bored through difficult rock, and when we realize the number of dams vastly larger than the San Juan dam which have been and are being con¬ structed throughout the world, we become aware that in the Nicar¬ agua Canal we confront a large work, but one having no elements of doubt or mystery in its engineering features. The total length of route from Greytown on the Atlantic to Brito on the Pacific is 169.67 miles, and as a result of the exact final surveys, that distance is divided as follows : Free Canal in Navigation. Excav Miles. Miles. From Greytown to Deseado Basin, dredging in swamp, lagoon, and low ground 12.37 Deseado Basin, formed in valley of stream Des¬ eado, by a dam 4.00 From Deseado Basin to San Francisco Basin, a cut through rock 3.07 San Francisco and Machado Basins, formed by embankments across those streams and some auxiliary embankments 11.00 1.73 WATERWAYS TO THE PACIFIC. 329 Free Canal in Navigation. Excavation. Miles. Miles. River San Juan 64.00 Lake Nicaragua 56.50 From Lake Nicaragua to Tola Basin, excavation through ordinary ground 8.22 Tola Basin, formed by dam across Rio Grande Valley 5.28 From Tola Basin to Brito, excavation through low ground 3.50 140.78 28.89 Outside of the engineering work many questions present them¬ selves—questions of labor, climate, transportation, food, hygiene, police—and it is upon the intelligent solution of these ques¬ tions that the work of construction largely depends for success. That the ability of the engineers may produce its proper fruit, all their needs must be foreseen and carefully provided for. The number of laborers they desire must be always ready for them at designated hours and places, and when not at work, the men must be fed, lodged, doctored, policed, and amused. Dredges and drills must be at the engineer's hand at a moment's notice. Machine shops must be ready for work day and night, in order to keep in repair the plant, or to manufacture such new forms of plant as the ingenuity of the engineers may from time to time devise to meet the necessities of special occasions. All that seems necessary to complete success is a proper arrangement and method¬ izing of the collateral and auxiliary branches of labor, machin¬ ery, transportation, hospitals, and repair shops, and the careful maintenance of a thorough and kindly discipline. This method and management have been conspicuously lacking in some of the great construction works of the present day, and the finest engineering talent has failed to save them from the losses and confusion due to a vicious system, or to the total absence of sys¬ tem. It would be invidious to name specific cases. Suificient be it for us that they exist as useful warnings, and that on the other hand we have in some of our Western railroads, lately, and let us hope in the coming Manchester Ship Canal, examples of method and energy combined which cannot fail to instruct the Nicaragua Canal Company and excite its emulation. 330 WATERWAYS TO THE PACIFIC. Some mention should be made of the Panama Canal. About the time the writer s former article appeared in the Forum, M. de Lesseps had by a partially successful loan increased his company's debt to about three hundred and sixty millions of dollars. Becoming again short of funds, he obtained last spring from the Corps Législatif authority to issue a lottery loan. It was thought by some that the reputed fondness of the French people for lotteries would overcome the bad name which some years of failure had given to the Panama project. Such wâs not the case. Their suspicions were at last aroused, and the lottery loan has proved a failure. About sixty millions of dollars in bonds were sold, and with all discounts deducted, a sum of be¬ tween thirty and forty millions was realized. It^is believed that after paying debts there will be enough left to pay one year's in¬ terest on the w^hole loan, and to make such outlay on the Isthmus as will keep the work from going backward, but will not advance it. The company's obligations to-day amount to about 420 millions of dollars, and the annual interest and fixed charges to about 22 millions. M. de Lesseps has recently adopted the idea of a lock canal, claiming, however, that it is only a temporary ex¬ pedient, and that he will somehow dredge it down to sea level while ships are using it. No doubt exists that, for the first few years of the work, M. de Lesseps sincerely believed that the Canal would be built. But as time goes on, with unvarying failures, it discredits his intelligence to suppose that he any longer expects success. It seems probable that he will now de¬ vote himself to the task of placing upon the shoulders of the French government the heavy load of debt incurred by the com¬ pany, and leave to it the problem of paying at least some little interest to the unfortunate holders of the company's obliga¬ tions. However this may be, we cannot withhold our admira¬ tion for the energy and dauntless spirit of this gallant old gentle¬ man. His vigor and daring, though sadly misdirected, have constituted a substantial force in shaping even is, and will pro¬ cure for him a great though sad prominence in the history of France during the last quarter of the nineteenth century. The general effect upon commerce would be approximately the same whether the Canal had been opened at Panama, or, as WATERWAYS TO THE PACIFIC. 331 now seems determined, at Nicaragua, but with one exception. If the Panama route had been possible, it would have made imprac¬ ticable the general use of sailing ships, on account of the windless area which extends into the Pacific from the vicinity of Panama Bay, resembling in some degree those vexatious calms at Suez which have embarrassed navigation in the Eed Sea in all ages. There will doubtless be much encouragement for steamers upon the completion of the Nicaragua Canal, but this will be caused by the increase of general traffic, not by any disadvantages for sailing ships. The position of Nicaragua, in the heart of the Northeast trade winds, offers especial convenience to all sailing craft, both in the Atlantic and the Pacific, and though the in¬ crease in steam tonnage may be greater than that of sail tonnage, there will quite surely be some increase in the latter. A study of the maps and of the various conditions which govern sea freight¬ ing will indicate the probable effects upon steam and sail freights via Nicaragua. Between New Orleans and Peru the trade will be by steamer; between New Orleans and Mazatlan, on the west coast of Mexico, the same conditions apply. Taking greater distances, say between Brunswick, Georgia, and Santa Monica, California, which promise to be the principal ports of important sections, we may expect the trade to be divided, though per¬ haps not equally, between sail and steam vessels. Looking further north, on both sides of the continent, it seems quite likely that, for a time at least, sailing ships will carry half the freights between New York and Newport News on the Atlantic, and San Francisco and Portland on the Pacific, while all the ship yards of the Atlantic coast will probably have their ship timber brought to them by sailing craft from the Alaskan and Columbian forest belts, whose inexhaustible supplies of valuable woods closely border the coasts and inlets of the North Pacific. We must think, also, of that large traffic which will pass through the Canal, in¬ dependent of this continent, between Spain and Manila, France and Tonquin, England and New Zealand, and Holland and part of the East India Colonies. The finer and quicker freights of this trade will move by steam through the Suez Canal, but the heavy and slow freights will be largely by sail through the Nicaragua Canal and across the Pacific ; and this will be insured 332 WATERWAYS TO THE PACIFIC. not by the distances saved but by the circumstances of winds, currents, and weather, which so signally favor the route by way of ISTicaragua. Vessels from European ports have but a short distance to sail before entering the belt of Northeast trade winds in the vicinity of Madeira. Then shaping their course to the westward, they carry with them the most favorable winds and perfect weather across the Atlantic, through the West Indies and Caribbean Sea, and into the eastern entrance of the Canal. Again, when issuing from the Nicaragua Canal into the Pacific, the same conditions will accompany them to within a short distance of the Chinese coast and the East Indies, or to the vicinity of Australia and New Zealand, with the slight delay of crossing the narrow Equatorial belt of calms and variable winds known to the sailors as " the Doldrums." The return voyages from China and Japan across the Pacific can secure favorable winds from the west by following the great circle routes, which, while not increasing the distances, will carry ships into the higher latitudes where westerly winds prevail. From Australia and New Zealand vessels could return by sailing to the eastward with the westerly winds of the South Temperate Zone, until they should arrive at a point from which the southeast trade winds would bear them to the vicinity of the Canal entrance. The distance and the favorable winds from Australia and New Zealand to Europe by way of Cape Horn are, however, so nearly equal to the Nicaragua route that return voyages will frequently be made on that line ; the dangers and expense of wear and tear of a voyage by Cape Horn being considered balanced, perhaps, by the Canal tolls through Nicaragua. And although tramp steamers will be much used, the large traffic by means of sailing ships between Europe and the western shores of the North and South Pacific will continue and increase after the Canal is completed. The details of the commercial changes resulting from the Canal need not be presented here, but without considering any of the trade which the completion of this Canal would bring into exist¬ ence, there would be in 1894, at the opening of the Canal, a ship¬ ping of between six and seven millions of tons annually ready and anxious to use the Canal, and paying in tolls a gross sum of over $16,000,000. Allowing generously for maintenance and WATERWAYS TO THE PACIFIC. 333 repairs, there would be a net annual revenue of $15,000,000. It is needless to discuss the vast gains destined to result from the growth of trade fostered by the existence of such a canal. A prominent member of President Cleveland's Cabinet has said : "The profits which can now be exactly calculated of the Nicaragua Canal are very large, and it is unwise to consider the additional gains which must come from the rapid increase of its business, for to those who have not studied the question, these gains would seem fabulous." The mind dwells with interest upon the various problems which confront us, now that the Canal is an assured fact—ques¬ tions auxiliary and collateral, but whose importance grows as we approach them, and which may in time overshadow the Canal itself. The possible changes are worthy of deep study. Com¬ mercial centers have in the historic period moved from, point to point, with a certain regularity and with a constant regard for geographical position. Constantinople was the great entrepot for a time. Later, Venice centered in herself the exchange of the commodities of the East and West, and held it with imperial grasp until the scepter passed to Genoa. Still later, passing fur¬ ther to the westward, it halted for a time about Cadiz and Lisbon, and thence, after a short delay in the Netherlands, it moved from Amsterdam and Antwerp to London. Here the heart and center of trade has long remained, as is natural, for its next leap to the westward must be across 3000 miles of ocean, and to a new nation. For this, much preparation is needed, and when that is completed, there is still needed the immediate cause for the change. This preparation has long been going on, and no one will deny that New York is now ready, when the change shall come, to assume the position of a world's entrepot. The immediate cause will be provided by the opening of the Nicaragua Ship Canal. But not alone will a great change be thus effected and a long leap of the world's center of trade, but a phenomenon new in history will be witnessed, whose far-reaching results can only be vaguely fore¬ told. The currents of trade will be reversed in their direction. Hitherto from the dawn of history the products of Asia have moved westward, and European products have gone eastward in return. Some slight indications of change are to be noticed lately in the movement of a few commodities from China eastward 22 334 WATERWAYS TO THE PACIFIC. across the Pacific, America, and the Atlantic, to Europe ; but a complete reversal of circulation through all the veins and arteries of commerce will be established by the opening of the Canal. There is much food for thought in this fact, and he would be a wise man who could foretell the many important results which will flow from this unprecedented and singular occurrence. Who shall grasp this great opportunity? What group of capitalists, what nation or race, shall absorb the profits of this vast increase of trade, the advantages of these great physical changes in the position of trade centers and in the direction of trade currents? Shall the sagacious Germans, already intrenched upon the shores and islands of the Pacific, seize and hold this power? Or shall a second East India Company grow up in Lon¬ don and Liverpool, with another center in Australia and New Zealand, controlling the wide trade of the Pacific and pouring its gains into the already swelling money bags of the merchants of England? Or is there at last a sufficient foundation for com¬ mercial greatness to build upon in this country? Llave we among our financiers, whose keenness of vision and business ability is unexcelled, a few men of such broad and comprehen¬ sive grasp of mind as to realize how simple is the problem of drawing to themselves and to their nation these sure and steady currents of commercial supremacy? Practically, New Orleans will be a closer neighbor to Ecuador than to New England; New York will be nearer to the Pacific than to Europe. If these sig¬ nificant facts do not now impress our merchants, the near ap¬ proach of the Canal's completion must soon awaken them. The political aspects of the matter may be summed up, for the present, by saying that the completion of the Canal and the daily passage through it of our great coastwise shipping, must in the nature of things extend our interests and influence to the southward, even to the Canal itself. There will come upon us, with the responsibility of our own interests, some duties with reference to those nations of Central America whose military establishments are too limited to enable them properly to defend themselves. Upon the Llnited States must undoubtedly fall the duty of sustaining their autonomy and defending them from oppression. This result must come, but until it does come we WATERWAYS TO THE PACIFIC. 335 have only to insist that the Canal shall be neutral, and that all nations shall be welcome to it. Such being the case, the military and naval view of the situation becomes less important. Occa¬ sion for armed intervention could arise only in the event of our being called upon by Nicaragua and Costa Eica to guarantee and defend their neutrality and that of the Canal. Then, indeed, the impregnable strength of the Canal line with its great interior sea shows out in bold relief. But, as was said in the article, " The Control of the Pacific," "It is the lake that gives to this route a political and international im¬ portance unique and significant. The nation that controls this canal under terms of amity with Nicaragua will here find rest and refreshment for its fieets. Here may the delays of warlike complications, so injurious in sea- water to the iron-hulled frigates of our time, so fatal to their speed, be safely endured without loss of eíRciency; the crews growing healthier, the ships more clean-limbed and speedier, in this great fresh-water sea. Hence may issue squadrons in the height of vigor and discipline, striking' rapid and effective blows in both oceans, and returning to refit in this sheltered strong-hold, and to draw from it nourishment and fresh strength for a re¬ newal of hostilities. There cannot be imagined a more potent factor in de¬ ciding threatened difficulties, or in securing- an honorable peace with a powerful enemy, than the presence in this healthy and capacious water- fortress of a strong fleet, prepared, at a moment's notice, to issue fully equipped from either entrance for instant service in the Atlantic or Pacific." We hope, and may with reason expect, that this strategic advantage will not have to be utilized in the presence of warlike demonstrations. No such strong factor, making for peace, has ever been known, as the existence of this commercial highway between the oceans. Nor will the world for a long time feel again an influence so powerful as the Canal in bringing about that unitv of nations and brotherhood of races which fill the *j mind of the philosopher and the dream of the poet. H. C. Taylor. Press of The Publishers' Printing Co., York. 3 5556 041 949744