HB/2Z3 HB 1323 . 14 U6 Copy 1 um'ARTMENT OF COMMERCE AND LABOR BUREAU OF THE CENSUS E. DANA DURAND, Director EXPLANATORY LIST OF DIAGRAMS RELATING TO DEATHS OF INFANTS PREPARED FOR THE ANNUAL MEETING AND EXHIBIT OF THE AMERICAN ASSO- CIATION FOR STUDY AND PREVENTION OF INFANT MORTALITY .-. •.• /. v BALTIMORE, NOVEMBER 9 TO 11, iqio WASHINGTON GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 1910 f^OV 23 1910 8-3175 V. S. No. 111. LETTER OF TRANSMITTAL. Department of Commerce and Labor, Bureau of t:ie Census, Wa.s/nn<7ton, D. t\, Novemher 7, 1910. Sir: The fullest success of the movement for the prevention of infant mortality in this country can only be attained by the aid of complete statistics of infant mortality, and its causes, for the entire United States. Registration of births is equally necessary with the registration of deaths. The diagrams will show how woefully the registration of each is neglected. Even so, however, the data presented by the Cen- sus have been largely instrumental in bringing about the movement for saving the lives of infants and children signili/.ed by this meeting of the American Association for Study and Prevention of Infant Mor- tality'. Work for better registration of vital statistics is work for life saving at all ages. The diagrams, and this brief explanatory text which incorporates the headings thereof, have been prep.ired under the direction of Dr. Cressy L. Wilbur, chief stitislician for vital statistics. The diagrams were constructed by Miss Alice C. Couffer, assisted by other clerks of the division of vit;il statistics. Respectfully submitted. Director of the Census. Hon. Charles Nagel, Secretary of Commerce and Labor. (3) DESCRIPTIVE LIST OF DIAGRAMS RELATING TO DEATHS OF INFANTS. PREPARED BY THE BUREAU OF THE CENSUS For the Annual Meeting and Exhibit of the American Association for Study and Prevention of Infant Mortality, Baltimore, November 9 to 11, 1910. SOURCES AND IMPORTANCE OF VITAL STATISTICS. The extent of the efi'ective registration of births and deaths in the United States, its growth during recent years, and the importance of such registration for all sanitary work, and especially for the preven- tion of infant mortality, arc shown by the maps (cartograms) and statements contained in Diagrams Nos. 1 and 2. Diagram No. 1. — Map showing Present and Prospective Registration States for Deaths. — Registration cities in nonregis- tration States. Map showing provisional birth registration area. Not a single. State, not even a shu/le city, in the entire United States possesses complete registration of hirths. Boston claims to have about the best — only 96 per cent. The most utterly worthless registration of hirths among all the great cities of the entire civilized world may be claimed by the cities of Baltimore, Chicago, and Netv Orleans. Why NOT BEGIN REFORM WITH BALTIMORE? The Value of Vital Statistics, Dr. John N. Hurty, Secretary of the Indiana State Board of Health, says that ^''The accurate collection, tahidation, and analysis of records of births, stillbirths, deaths, marriages, dirorces, and sickness may be said to constitute the bookkeeping of humanity. It is fundamental to the practical application of hygiene, to secure higher efficiency, longer duration of life, and fuller measure of happiness." Surg, George B. Young, of the united States Public Health and Marine-Hospital Service, says "Vital statistics are the foundation of scientific public health work, irhich can not begin tnithout access to compilation (f dial .■statistics-/'' (Shall all our American work for the prevention of infant mortality be mere inefiective amateur work because we are not willing to lay a sound basis of vital statistics?) Dr. J. H. Mason Knox, Jr., President of the American Association for Study and Prevention of Infant Mortality, says that the origin of this association was due to the examination of the statistics of deaths (5) 6 of infants as presented by the Census Bulletin of Mortalit}'^ Statistics for the registration area of the United States, lloio much more effective in ivspirlng and guiding mnltary effort xoould he relloMe statidics of infantile mortality — which can not Ije ohialned .e'.fcept through state {or city) action — for the entire United States? Why NOT BEGIN WITH BALTIMORE? ^ What the Census is doing for Better Vital Statistics. The United States Bureau of the Census — Receives transcripts each year, month by month, from all the States and independent registration cities that possess adequate laws and so enforce them, as to niaJi-e their results of vcdiie'. Endeavors, with marked success, to promote the extension of the registration area by the passage, and eiiforceiiieiit, of adequate laws. (See the map at the left of this diagram.) Cooperates with the American Public Health Association, the American Medical Association, the American Statistical Association, the American Association for Study and Prevention of Infant Mor- tcdlty, state and count}^ medical societies, state boards of health, com- mittees of state legislatures, the American Federation of Labor, and ever}^ other organization or bod}^ that can be interested in this subject, to the end tJicd tJie United StcUes may attain a coniplete and uniform system (f registration. Standardizes methods of collection of data, chiefl}^ by means of the revised United States Standard Certificates of Death and Birth, and cooperative work for uniform methods of administration, uniform tables, and by urging the j^early professional meeting of registration officials in the Section, on Vytcd Statistics of the American Puhllc Health Assoclcdum,. Publishes an annual report on mortality statistics each year since 1900 (in place of the old decennial report); and for the past two years an annual bulletin of mortality statistics. Diagram No. 2. — Increase in the Number of Registration States. Proportion of total population of the United States con- tained in the registration area 1880, 1890, 1900, and 1910. The chief increase of the registration area for deaths lias occurred since the jjer- manent organization of the census,, which peimiits continuous worlx for its eadension. WHAT IS INFANTILE MORTALITY? The definition of Infantile mortcdity and the movement thereof for those countries for which dffta are available — not for the United States, hecause toe have no adequate registration of hlrths even in the limited ''''registration area'''' for deaths! — are shown in Diagrams Nos. 3 to 5, Diagram No. 3. — Dkckeask of Infantile Mortality.— /«- fantile mortnlHy is the ratio of deaths of infants under 1 year of age j)<-'>" 1^000 livhig birt/i.s',' foreign countries l)y tive-year periods (1886-1890, 1901-1905). ' No ratex of ivfavtilr wortaUtyare avaUahJe heeause (1) there -w i^o general reghtration of deaths; (£) even for areas with registration of deaths the regls'rafion of births Is incomplete.. Diagram No. 4. — Decrkase of Infantile Mortality in Cities. Infantile m'>rtidlty is the ratio of deaths of infants under 1 year of age PER lf)00 living hlrths. Foreign cities hy same Hve-year periods as for foreign countries. Bates of Infantile nt(.rtallty can not be given for American cities on accoant of their d(fectlve registridlon (f births. Diagram No. 5.— The Course of Infantile Mortality. A Century of ths History of Infantile Mortality, showing all the Data Available for Various Countries as Compiled by the French Government. The foreign countries are the same as in Diagrams Kos. 3 and 4, the century being by five-3'ear periods from 1801 to 1910 for deaths of infant-^ under 1 year of age (stillbirths exchided) per 1,000 living births. [From Statistique Generale de hi France.] Tlie era of modurn sanitary civilization may be marked b}' the dates upon which various countries began to record infant mortality. Some countries — China, Turkey, and the United States— even yet possess Ko records of infant mortality. Unless the American people rv(d,'e up, China and Turkey will have satisfactorv data for Infant Mortality long before the United States. Why not begin with Baltim ore ? An d Marylan d f BIRTH RATES AND DEATH RATES IN FOREIGN COUNTRIES AND CITIES. Infantile mortalit}' tends to diminish more or less in accord with the general tendency to reduction of birth rates and death rates. Of course, the reduction of infantile mortality is in itself an important factor of a diminution in the death rate at all ages, and with a reduced birth rate either the mortality of infants must have decreased to the same or even greater extent or else there would have l)een an increase in the ratio of infantile mortality, Avhich is not the case as shown by the preceding diagrams. The general birth rates and death rates for foreign countries and cities are presented in Diagrams Nos. 6 to 9, which are taken from the International Statistics puI)lishod by the R(^gistrar- General of England and Wales, a copy of whose latest annual report should be in the hands of every serious student of infant moitdity. The omission of the United States from the iutornational data for births is on account of our almost entire lack of effective birth registration. 8 Diagram No. 6. — Watch the Birth Rate Decrease! There ARE Fewer Deaths of Children Because Fewer Children are Born. This leads, temporaril,y, to a lower general death rate; later, to a higher rate hecause of fewer young jfersons at the most healthy ages. Moral: If fewer babies are born their lives should be more carefully guarded. Number of hirths per 1,000 living jjopulatlon (stillbirths excluded), and per cent decrease for foreign countries by five-year periods. No birth rates are given in the tables of International Statistics for the United States. Why? Are not the births of American babies worthy of registration? Are the births of your children properly registered? Why not? Diagram No. 7. — Decrease of the Birth Rate in Cities. Much of the reduction in the number of Deaths of Infants in cities, as for countries as a whole, is due to the diminished birth rate. Hence the necessity for greater saving of the little infant life we are coming to have. ^''An infant saved is worth two infants bornf'' Perhajis. Not even one American city with a birth rate worthy of inclusion in the Inter- Tiational Statistics? Not one single one ! and the accurate registration of births is the absolutely necessary basis of correct data of infant mortality. Why not begin with Baltimore? Diagram No. 8. — Decrease of General Death Rate. The *' crude" or "general" death rate- has decreased in most countries having accurate registration during recent j'ears. This decrease is associated with the reduction in infantile mortality. Foreign coun- tries as in preceding diagrams! The "crude" or ordinary death rate (the term does not mean the imperfect or carelessly computed death rate, but is used in contradistinction to a death rate "corrected" for age, sex, or other distribution of population) is the first ready means of comparison for conditions affecting mortality. Human life, on the whole, is becoming safer all over the civilized world ; and for infants as well as for all ages. Diagram No. 9. — Decrease of General Death Rate in Cities. The cities of the world share in the general reduction of the death rate, and some, in recent years, have shown heretofore un- exampled low rates. We have reached an era of low mortality; are the babies getting their share? Foreign countries as in preceding diagrams and numbtr of deaths per fOOO living population (stillbirths excluded) by five-year periods, with per cent decrease. PROPORTION OF DEATHS OF INFANTS UNDER 1 YEAR AND CHILDREN UNDER 5 YEARS OF AGE TO TOTAL DEATHS. As stated on the folloAving diagrams (Nos. 10 and 11), this is a veiy unsatisfactoiy means of studying infant and child mortality, but it is the best we have for some purposes in the almost entire absence of complete registration of births in the United States. (The onlj' accepted I)asis of comparison is the ratio of d aths of infants under 1 year of age to total births; that is, the true infant 'mortality for infants, and a similar ratio is most useful for children under 5 3 ears, although the specific death rate based upon population under 5 years is also of service.) The diagrams at least show what a large propor- tion of total deaths would be affected by efforts for the reduction of infant mortality. Diagram No. 10. — Proportion of Deaths of Infants Under One Year and Children XJ^der Five Years of Age to Total Deaths at All Ages, Registration States : 1909. The per cent under 1 year and under 5 years is shown for the Registration Area and Registration States, with the proportion of deaths out of ever\^ 100 deaths at all ages, as taken from bulletin of Mortality Statistics, 1909. This is a very unsatisfactory comparison, but no reliable data of infaidde mortality are availaljle because of the lack of accurate registration ofhirths. Diagram No. 11. -Proportion of Deaths of Infants Under One Year and Children Under Five Years of Age to Total Dkaths at All Ages, Rsgistratioi Cities : 1999. The same data are shown for Regis- tration Cities, 1909, as in Diagram No. 10 for States. LIFE TABLES AND INFANT MORTALITY. For the exact study of infant and child mortality, as for any other subject of mortality statistics. Life Tables are most essential. A great diHiculty in the preparation of American Life Tables lies in the worthless registration of births even in that part of the country (.55.3 per cent) now represented in the registration area for deaths. The lirst term of a Life Table is the infant mortality, or the probability of djnng during the year of })ii"th; with this wanting or based upon estimates instead of exact data, all the subseqiient values of life-expectancy are afl'ected. There is as yet no general Life Table for the United States, thjs countr}^ being represented in the collection of national Life Tables published by the German Government only by a table prepared by Dr. Sanuiel W. iVbbott, former secretary of the State Board of Health for Massachusetts. It is the task of the Census to prepare, as thoroughly as possible with the inadequate data available, Life Tables based upon the Thir- teenth Census of population. In the meantime much of value maj' be 10 learned from stud}^ of the foreign Life Tables for (lermany, England and Wales, France, Ital}', and Sweden, the Massachusetts table, and the tentative table for native white males of the registration states as constituted in 1900. The great uniformity of the curves in essential respects and the relative (1) rates of mortality, C^) complete expecta- tion of life, (3) and Lehenskraft, or life power, are given for the whole of life b}^ single years of age, for the first ten j^ears of life, and for the months of the first year of life with as full detail as the data per- mit. The relations of infant mortality to the mortality of other ages can best be appreciated by the study of such diagrams. The dia- gram of specific death rates (No. 20) may be examined in connection. Diagram No. 12. — Proeabilitt of Dying in Each Year of Age per 1,000 Entering Upon that Age. Rate of mortality (q^) ^y '^o® in completed years from birth to 100 3'ears, for Germany (1891-1900), England 'and Wales (1891-1900), France (1898-1903), Massachusetts (1893-1S9T), Registi-ation States, Native White (males only, 1900), Italy (1899-1902), and Sweden (1891-1900), for males and females separatelv. /nfant morUdlti/. Note how the death curve resembles an ordinary fishhook (>/). The chief point of this diagram, for the purposes of this meeting, is the barb. Prevention of diarrheal diseases alone irould cut down the rate of Infantile mortality hy one- FOUKTH. It is the object of the American Association for Study AND Prevention of Infant Mortaiiey to cut off the barb of this hook of death. High infant mortalit}^ means weakened child- hood, impaired youth and middle life, and prematurel}^ feeble old age. The point of the barb permits the entrance of poison for the whole of life. The chances of living ought to be greater at birth, NOT LESS, as at present, than at other 'periods of life until extreme OLD AGE. Diagram No. 13. — Probability of Dying in Each Year of Age per 1,000 Entering Upon that Age. First Ten Years of Life. Data for the same countries as in preceding diagram,. Diagram No. 11.— Probability of Dying in Each Month of Age during the First Year of life, and in Each Quarter during tha Second Year, per 1,0C0 Entering Upon Each Month or Quarter. The data are taken from Deutsche Sterletafeln (German Life Tables) for the decade 1891 to 1900, Statlstik des Dexdschen Beichs., Band 200, published in 1910 by the Imperial Statistical Office. Similar tables are given for German states and cities. JVo other country has yet 'prepared Life Tahles for infant life in as full detail. Diagram No. 15.— Complete Expectation of Life, Average After-Lifetime for Each Age. Years of life expected by age 11 in completed years from birth to 100 years. The dsita are for the same foreign countries as in previous diagrams. Note horn a Jtigher expectation, at hf'rt/i- -Sweden — correspovds to a higher expectation throughout iiearJy the v'hole of life. Longevity? 77^^^ complete expec- tation of life from a properly constructed life table ix tJic only reliahle weasure of '"''Lovgevlty.^' Average age at death is irortlilcSK for this purpose. The construction o/'life tables for the United States is seri- ously hampered by incomplete registration: of birtlis and deaths. DiagTani No. 16.— Expectation oi Life, Average After- Ltfktimk fou Each Age during the First Ten Years of Life. The data and countries are the same as in precedino- diagram covering the tirst ten 3'ears of life. Diagram No. 17. — Expectation of I^ife at Each Month of the First Year of Life and Each Quarter of the Second Year of Life, Years of future life expected for each coni pitted month of age for the first year of life and for each completed quarter for the second year of life are shown. Germany is the only country that has yet found it icorth while to measure carefully the exact mortality and life-expectancy of infants during tJie frxt and ><(COnd yearx