•' %/ :' . ^ ^ o • » - ,0^ ^0 C ^ Sv^-^^ ^'^^ I 4 9^ — ^ 1 V , o " j5-^ ' ^V V*^ * O -» O "* 4^ A^-^ GERMANY'S MADNESS GERMANY'S MADNESS BY EMIL REICH (doctor juris) Author of "General History," *' Foundations of Modern Europe," "Atlas Antiquus," "Atlas of English History," "Select Documents," "Suc- cess Among Nations," etc. NEW YORK DODD, MEAD AND COMPANY 1914 Copyright, 1914 Bt ANDREW MELROSE Under title "Germany's Swelled Head* //£' VAIL-BALLOU COMPANY BINQHAMTON AND NEW YORK OCT 28 1914 'CI.A388.I24 PREFACE The late Dr. Emil Eeich, author of the trench- ant volume here reprinted, was a Hungarian born, and was educated at the Universities of Prague, Budapest and Vienna, where he had ample opportunity to study the German Em- pire and interpret its thought and aspirations from a close and critical standpoint. Latterly he lived for many years in England, and came to identify himself entirely with Britain's wel- fare and interests, but he was able to claim, in a short preface, that his book was ** based on a full and sympathetic study of German history and literature, both in the past and in the pres- ent/' The motive which inspired the author to put pen to paper in 1907 derived from an appre- hension, only too well founded, that the British nation was by no means fully awake to the na- ture of German aspirations, although these were, in his opinion, fraught with menace to the peace and well-being of the British Empire. To-day, Germany, running amok in Europe, has justified his prognosis to the utmost, and Brit- ain has been forced to face the * * supreme strug- gle" which he foresaw. vi PREFACE Dr. Eeich's startling exposure of the Kaiser and the governing classes of Germany did not immediately achieve its object. Indeed, the book passed almost unnoticed, for in 1907 the average Englishman still refused to believe that the Kaiser and his subjects were inspired by bitter enmity to the British Empire. Then, too, Dr. Reich's plea for the creation of a huge standing army was calculated to prejudice him in the eyes of the large mass of people whose tradition is that the nation is secure while it maintains command of the sea, and that the burden of naval expenditure is heavy enough in its drain upon the public purse, without the addition of tremendous sums to the annual army estimates. Add to this the fact that the book was published by a provincial printer, and it is possible to account for the neglect which was the portion of the first edition. Although the book missed the public for whom it was intended, it made an impression on a few discerning minds. That astute watcher of European politics, the late King Edward, read it and was so much impressed that he recom- mended it to a distinguished soldier, as will be seen from the striking letter of the Bishop of Durham which appeared in the Times of Au- PREFACE vii gust 17. We quote the opening paragraph: — ^^ About seven years ago, I was a fellow guest at Trinity Lodge, Cambridge, with a distinguished soldier, who showed me, be- fore we parted, a book to which his own attention had been called by King Edward. It was Germany ^s Stvelled Head, by Dr. Emil Reich.'' No doubt the distinguished soldier was duly impressed, and no doubt he passed the book on to other distinguished men in both services. Probably it is not straining the point to sug- gest that the state of preparedness in which Germany found us at the opening of the war may have been not a little due to the valuable information concerning her intentions given by Dr. Reich. In order to bring Dr. Reich's work up to date, there has been added an epilogue, by an- other hand. This, it is believed, will make it clear that the omens which were already above the horizon in 1907 have, in the interval, been reinforced by sundry dicta and data since ob- served by those who have kept an eye upon European politics and on the things that were being written, said and done in Germany. viii PREFACE In revising the text of Dr. Reich's original work, an attempt has been made to eliminate some of the matter that is irrelevant to the present issue ; but it has been thought unneces- sary to correct or qualify the author's state- ments as to the naval and commercial situation in the summer of 1907. These have still a cer- tain historical significance, and in themselves form part of the case upon which Dr. Reich based his exposure of the Kaiser's dreams and the seeming apathy of the advisers of the Brit- ish Grovernment. There has been steady de- velopment in the British naval policy since 1907, and none could rejoice more than would Dr. Reich, were he still alive, in the fact that war, sudden war, has found the British navy fit and ready. If it were necessary to justify the republica- tion of Dr. Reich's masterly summary of Ger- man pretensions, sufficient reason would surely be found in the immediate desirability of mak- ing absolutely clear to the ordinary citizen the nature and objective of the Kaiser's policy, and the swelled-headedness of the German peo- ple which has made possible the present insane campaign. August, 1914 CONTENTS PART I Summary of the whole book, p. 1. The Kaiser — his real personality, 1-5. Potentially he is where Napoleon was in 1807, 7. Some utterances of the Kaiser, 10, 11. What he means by "German people," 11. H. S. Chamberlain's work {Foundations, etc.) and its enormous success in Germany, He and his school "prove" that ell the great men of the past were Germans, 13-16; so was Jesus, 16, 17; and others, 17-23. Vast influence of this crazy idea, 24. Quotations from Wolt- mann's book proving all the great Italians of the Renascence, and the French, to have been of German origin, 24-37. How all this has created the swelled-head of the Germans, 37-38. The ignorance of Britons about Germany, 39. The Germans are upstarts, and hence intolerably conceited, 40-47. There is a "German Religion," 47. Quotations to show what the Ger- mans are taught to think of themselves; and of the "evident" vocation of Germany, 47-67 ; judgments of French and Rus- sian writers on Germany's swelled head, 67-69. PART II How Austria-Hungary, in her present position, contributes to the swelling of Germany's head, 72-81; and Russia, 81-82. Result: There are now only two Great Powers in Europe, Great Britain and Germany, 82. The German Navy and its constant and rapid growth, 83-101. German plans in Persia, 101-106. German prosperity, 106-109. To understand Ger- man Imperialism one must understand the real driving causes of British Imperialism, 109-113. Why Germans hate emi- gration, 113-118. Nor do they mean to abstain from having ix X CONTENTS children; connection between Imperialism and Malthusianism, 119-123. From all this follows one thing, and one alone: German expansion by war with England, 124-129. The folly of thinking that the Germans build their fleet for "defensive purposes" only, 129-131. Discussion of the facts apparently in favour of the opinion that the Germans perhaps do not mean to be aggressive, 131-144. Fallacy of the "two power standard," and discussion of the necessity of having the right spirit, i.e., the real guarantee of victory, 145-150. Features giving German Imperialism a strong leverage, such as no na- tion in modern times has had, 154-158. Weak features of the Germans, 15S-173. PART III The argument in conclusion: Germany is driven towards expansion, and such expansion can only take place at the ex- pense of the British Empire: a struggle is inevitable, 174-189. EPILOGUE An Imperial Machiavelli, 190-193. A bid for Mahometan support, 194-196. Russia flouted, 197-199. The Coup d'Ag- adir, 199. Balkan trouble and German policy, 200-201. The Germans versus the World, 201-206. The ethics and opinions of William II., 206-209. The influence of Bismarck, 209-212. Prussian Atheism, 212-214. Germans and Militarism, 214- 223. In Conclusion, 223-224. GERMANY'S MADNESS PART I The Germans are afflicted with the severest attack of swelled-headedness known to modern history. The British are practically ignorant of this dangerous state of mind in their greatest rivals. These two statements are the burden of this book. The first of them can be made out as one can prove a mathematical truth. Of the cor- rectness of the second statement, that is, of the fact that the British, as a nation, are amazingly ignorant of the state of the German mind, the author has convinced himself in the course of very numerous lectures and conversations en- abling him to learn the views of thousands and thousands of Britons of all classes, both men and women. What, for instance, can be more astounding than the opinions commonly held in this coun- try with regard to the Kaiser? To most Eng- lishmen he is a kind of ^* impulsive young man'* ; a sort of reckless after-dinner talker, hasty telegraphist, jack-of-all-trades, and ^^commer- 1 2 GERMANY'S MADNESS cial traveller of the Germanic firm. ' ' When, in a public lecture, one speaks of him as ** William the Greatest,'' the whole audience bursts into self-complacent laughter. Say at a lecture, that *^the mailed fist is looming large and has to be nipped in the bud," and you pass for the man who has said a great political truth in a witty manner. THE EEAL KAISER Yet there is not a grain of real judgment in all this. It is only another form of shaking hands with oneself, of patting oneself on one's back. Strange to say, this rather awkward way of stroking one's back is the most pleasing of distractions to most people talking European politics. The Kaiser is nothing less than the very reverse of what most Englishmen imagine him to be. He is, to begin with, a man of ripe, sober, and substantial judgment. On all the outstanding questions of European policy he is undoubtedly the best informed individual in existence. He knows all the great States and Nations of Europe from personal contact with them; he speaks their languages, and knows their history intimately; he is constantly kept up to the mark; and, to give just one instance, GERMANY'S MADNESS 3 twelve experienced men of his Cabinet never stop paying the minutest attention to all mili- tary movements and military resources of the British, all the world over. The French Pres- ident, or his leading ministers; the Emperor- King of Austria-Hungary ; or the King of Italy, let alone the Czar of Russia, cannot, in point of real information on European politics, be- gin to compare with the Kaiser. Now, knowledge of this kind is power. Not all knowledge is power. There is theoretic knowledge; there is newspaper knowledge; there is schoolroom wisdom; and there is the Desert of Sahara called the knowledge of the official mind. But the information possessed by the Kaiser on international politics is true and very valuable knowledge. It is in the light of this knowledge of his that we must view all his apparently rash and impulsive acts. He wires readily; he evidently likes it. But this must not induce any one to the belief that he wires first and thinks it out afterwards. His famous wire to President Kriiger was, as we now know, a carefully-thought-out lightning. He wanted to embroil England in South Africa, so as to win time for his naval preparations. Prussian policy always has been what soldiers 4 GERMANY'S MADNESS call ricochet shooting : one aims at A, but shoots atB. The Kaiser clearly and definitely knows what he is about. In France, the statesmen are crip- pled by the false position of a defeated nation, chafing unspeakably under her defeat, not yet able to wash out the blot ; in Austria-Hungary, the unending conflicts of the various nationali- ties paralyse all consistent and great states- manship; in Italy, the Pontiff saps the King; Eussia is too busy at home to think of Europe. In Germany alone, of all Continental great Powers, is there a European policy clearly grasped and energetically carried out. In Ger- many alone, of all Continental countries, is there a ruler, young, strong, well-informed, and pursuing a definite, well-founded, and well- organised international policy. To speak of such a ruler as most Britons do, is nothing short of absurd ; absurd, from the British standpoint, we submit. The point is not to bandy jokes at this or that failing of good taste in the Kaiser ; the point is to know what he is after, and if he can realise his plans. The point is to see his real proportions ; to do, by him, what most peo- ple do with themselves : to take him seriously. Eeally, the chief reason why so many people GERMANY'S MADNESS 5 fail to appreciate the Kaiser aright, is his con- stant making of speeches. Britons dislike words; more especially spoken words. The, man who talks much is here in this country not held to he a man of power. His words, his speeches discredit him. However that may be in Great Britain, on the Continent people con- stantly talk. Although the average Briton may deem it almost incredible, it is a fact that peo- ple on the Continent have long conversations. They do listen to good speeches with deference ; and men in power are expected to deliver fine speeches. The Kaiser is a born orator. He speaks naturally very well, and even the style of his addresses, delivered on the spur of the moment, is quite remarkable. Whether he de- livers a sermon on board ship, as he has fre- quently done ; or whether he addresses students at Bonn University, a regiment, labourers, scientific congresses, or diplomatists ; he invari- ably succeeds in giving point and life and fine shape to his ideas. On the Continent this is a serious power. To underrate it, to judge it from the British standpoint, is not only absurd, but also quite beyond the point. A man who can talk as well as the Kaiser would be a prom- inent man in Germany under all conditions ; but 6 GERMANY'S MADNESS that such great oratory should be the gift of a person who happens to be the German Emperor, that is a fact of far-reaching importance with a nation with whom Authority and high-class oratory have an enormous influence. THE KEYNOTE OF HIS POLICY We shall soon see what constitutes the evident and only aim of the Kaiser. His well-known utterance, to the effect that the future of the Germans lies on the water, is the keynote of all his policy. The past of the Germans evidently ^'lay on beer,'' to imitate the Kaiser's phrase- ology ; the future, bowing to modern teetotalism, lies on water. How many good or poor jokes can be made on that utterance! How many have been made! Yet, the point of all points is to find out whether in that teetotalising of German policy, the Kaiser has or has not struck the true keynote on which his nation will act. We unhesitatingly say, he has struck it. There is no other keynote to the future of Germany. Under these conditions, the words and acts of the Kaiser must be taken very seriously in- deed. His personal intervention in nearly all important questions of European politics in- dicates a master will and an intellect fully con- GERMANY'S MADNESS 7 scious of Germany's vast possibilities. English papers have talked of his diplomatic raid on Morocco as of a Lohengrin venture. But the Kaiser's ship carrying him to the coast of the Shereefian Empire was not a swan, and he is no Lohengrin. In fact, the shortest considera- tion of the facts of the present international policy in Europe will show to any one not fatally blinded by prejudice or conceit, that the Kaiser is potentially where Napoleon the Great was, exactly one hundred years ago. In 1807, in summer, Napoleon was at the height of his power. He had, in open battle, as well as in the council-room, beaten all the Great Powers of the Continent. All the German rulers, and first of all, the ^' Roman Emperor of the Ger- manic Empire," or the Austrian ruler, were utterly defeated by him. So were the Princes and Republics of Italy; and last, not least, the King of Prussia and the Czar of Russia, whom Napoleon had worsted both at Austerlitz (1805) and Friedland (1807). On the Continent, then, there was, in 1807, no Power that could se- riously think of thwarting Napoleon, whether alone or allied with one or two other Powers. Such was the state of the Continent exactly one hundred years ago. We here submit, that 8 GERMANY'S MADNESS potentially, at any rate, the state of the Con- tinent is at present (1907) quite the same sort of a '^one man's show,'' as it was in 1807. The Germans themselves look upon France as a nation that has practically given up the political game altogether. The French, says one of Germany's most popular and influential thinkers, are evidently retiring into an idyllic life, and have abandoned all hopes of playing a great role in the councils of Europe (Eduard von Hartmann). In other and more recent ar- ticles, the French are styled by the Germans, *'the bankers of Europe." Thus does Ger- many construe the silence of France during these thirty-six years. Austria-Hungary, and Russia, both of them beaten States, are seriously troubled by in- ternal dissensions, and the Germans are prac- tically free from the danger of being suddenly attacked by one or two of their Continental neighbours; just as was Napoleon in 1807. They have signally defeated both Austria and France, their most dangerous neighbours. As to Russia, Germany has had no war with a Czar since 1762; and there is, at present, no reason to think that Russia will attack Germany. From this it follows with irrefutable cer- GERMANY ^S MADNESS 9 tainty, that Germany in 1907 is in a position even stronger than that of Napoleon in 1808. For, Napoleon had in that year commenced his unending and most troublesome wars with the Spanish; and, although his Generals defeated the Spanish armies time after time, he could not secure the peaceful possession of the Penin- sula. Nor was he safe with Austria. In 1809 he had to wage a new and very complicated campaign against Austria ; and when in 1812 he invaded Eussia, his Spanish wars were still going on, all over Spain and Portugal. Now, the Germans see themselves at present in a far more favourable condition. They have little to fear from France, Spain, Austria, or Italy. Their hands are free. The Kaiser can, without fear of unexpected surprises, concentrate his forces upon England or Russia, or any other objective. No other monarch on the Continent can claim a similar position of absolute free- dom of action. Can it, under these circumstances, astound any one that the Kaiser has a full consciousness of his unprecedented possibilities! In speeches without number he has given expression to his pride and strength and aggressiveness. In a speech delivered at the completion of a fort on 10 GERMANY'S MADNESS the Western frontier of Germany, he said : * ' I christen thee Fort Haeseler. Thou wilt be called upon to defend the conquests of Germany upon her Western foes.'' (March 1, 1900.) On another occasion he said: — ^'I have no fear for the future, I am con- vinced that my plan will succeed. I have within me the indomitable purpose to walk with a firm step, in despite of every resistance, in the path that I have once recognised to be the right one." *^If one wishes to settle something in this world, the pen is only powerful so long as it is backed by the power of the sword. ' ' Again, when laying the foundation stone of the Eoyal Museum at Saalburg (October 4, 1900) after consecrating the building to the fu- ture of the German Fatherland: — ^^May it in times to come, by the unified co- operation of princes and peoples, of their armies and their citizens, become as powerful, and as firmly united, as wonderful as the uni- versal Roman Empire, so that one day it may be possible to say, as formerly, "Civis Ro- manus sum/' i. e., **I am a German citizen J' On October 28, 1900, when celebrating Moltke 's birthday, he emitted a wish that, * ^ the GERMANY'S MADNESS 11 Staff might lead Germany on to further vic- tories/' and again: ^^My utmost wish is to re- move whatever divides the great German peo- ple." THE PAN-GERMAN IDEA For the full understanding of these latter words, the non-German reader must be warned not to take the term ^^ German people" lightly. By ^'German," the Germans understand at present practically all the nations worth talking about. ^ ^ German ' ' no longer means the people between the Ehine and the Vistula ; that is, the nation that talks German, drinks beer, and makes music in the streets, in beer-gardens, and in concert-halls; the nation of ^' poets and thinkers ' ' as the elder Lord Lytton used to call them. By ^'German" is now understood the vast ocean of peoples who talk a Teutonic lan- guage, and who, if they do not talk a Teutonic idiom, ought in common decency to talk one. The Swedes, Norwegians, Danes, Dutch; the English, the Belgians, the Swiss ; the Austrians, the Russian Kurlanders, Lithuanians; the nu- merous tribes in Hungary talking German dia- lects ; all these people are, so runs the gospel of modern German scholars, really Germans. 12 GERMANY'S MADNESS Lest the reader should believe that the con- temporary Germans are so modest as to claim only Sweden, Norway, Holland, Belgium, Switzerland, Hungary, Western Russia, and the little islands called British, the author hastens to add that the most influential writers in the Fatherland teach the Germans the following amusing lesson: The Slavs too, that is, the Russians, Poles, Bohemians, Servians, Croa- tians, etc., are, originally, all Germans. Perhaps the reader would like to see a quota- tion or two about this remarkable discovery. While most of us have, thanks to the wisdom of Parliament, accustomed ourselves to learn that most material things have been ^'made in Ger- many''; many people are still innocently believ- ing, that some nations, at any rate, were not made in the Fatherland. The error is pro- found. All the great nations are, we now hear from hundreds of University chairs, from thou- sands of journalistic pulpits, really German, and ought therefore to be submerged in One Universal Germany. Amongst the various ^^world-famous" men trumpeting about this doctrine of Pan-German- ism, or Alldeutschland; that is, that all historic nations, in order to reach their final bliss, must GERMANY'S MADNESS 13 and will be minced up into the Great German Universal Sausage. This doctrine, dished up to the German nation by some of their most serious writers and scholars of Berlin, Munich, Strassburg, or Leipsic, is taught, more particu- larly by a man who, by the irony of fate, goes by the name of Chamberlain ; Houston Stewart Chamberlain. The book in which he advances his startling propositions is entitled The Foun- dations of the XlXth Century, and it has had a most marvellous success with the Germans. Although heavy, both in bulk and price, it sold in many, many thousands of copies, and is, by the majority of the Germans, considered to be a higher revelation of truth unfathomable. Eich men have bought up thousands of copies of this grostesque and absurd work, distribut- ing them, free of charge, to hundreds of Public Libraries. The Kaiser publicly and warmly approved of it. It has given rise to quite a literature on, for, or against it; and Chamber- lain is now one of the most popular and influ- ential writers in Germany. The secret of Chamberlain's very great suc- cess in Germany is not far to seek. With an air of scientific argument he proves to his own, and to German satisfaction, that all history 14 GERMANY'S MADNESS spells ^'German,'' and that all future develop- ments of the world will be *^Made in Germany.'' The Germans are indeed, Chamberlain teaches, the elect people. It is mere frivolity to think that the Jews are the elect ones. By no means ; the Germans are the ones, the unique, the only, the overmen, the chosen people. (That is prob- ably the principal reason why they so hate the Jews. It is professional envy. Clearly, the Germans, not the Hebrews, are the Jews, the chosen people.) It is none of their fault. Many of them, being of a modest turn, regret being so immensely superior to other tribes. But they cannot help it. It is in them ; Nature has been so kind to them. They lift their arms ; and all resistance vanishes into the fourth di- mension. They look at any thing, event, or riddle, and, piercing it through and through with the darts of their unfailing intellect, they solve, explain, or reconstruct it. Their stom- ach is strong; they can and will absorb all the mountains, meadows, rivers, seas ; and their di- gestion will not suffer in the least. This, then, is the gospel according to Mr. Houston Stewart Chamberlain. He says: — **By Germans, I mean the various popula- tions of Northern Europe who appear in his- GERMANY'S MADNESS 15 tory as Kelts, Germans, Slavs, and from whom, mostly in inextricable confusion, the peoples of modern Europe are sprung. That they came originally from a single family is certain, but the German, in the narrower Tacitean sense, has kept himself so pre-eminent among his kins- men intellectually, morally, and physically, that we are justified in applying his name to the whole family. The German is the soul of our culture. The Europe of to-day, spread far over the globe, exhibits the brilliant result of an infinitely varied ramification. What binds us into one is the Germanic blood. . . . Only Germans sit on European thrones. What has happened is only prolegomena. . . . True his- tory begins from the moment when the German, with mighty hand, seizes the inheritance of an- tiquity. ' ' It would be waste of time to quote here one hundredth of the passages in which that Teuton Chamberlain shows and ^^ proves,'' that in the Germans, and in them alone, there is that mys- terious something-or-other, that has enabled men of German blood to do the great things of the past. Of course, all the great men of the past were, when you scrutinise them more closely, nothing but Germans. So was, for in- 16 GERMANY'S MADNESS stance, Dante, whose face, Chamberlain says, is ^^characteristically Grerman.'' So was, one need scarcely insist, St. Francis of Assisi ; and Pascal, whom some people are still foolish enough to consider one of the greatest of Frenchmen, was, the redoubtable Chamberlain says, nothing more nor less than a German. Did he not oppose the Jesuits'? After these master-strokes of critical analy- sis, no one, we hope, will feel inordinately moved by reading what Chamberlain has to say about Jesus. One is, of course, nowadays, quite used to hearing all sorts of remarks on the great personalities of the Bible. Moses has long been reduced to an emigration-agent, or to the modest predecessor of Messrs. Thomas Cook and Son. David, otherwise quite a nice young man, has long been shown up as a plag- iarist, who took, it is true, his best inspirations from the hacks of the '^British Museum" in Jerusalem, four hundred years after his death. All this is well known. We are likewise quite prepared to Campbellize the central figure of Christianity into a fairly successful cardboard model of a goody-goody man. But how im- measurably greater than all this is Chamber- lain ! He has it, at first hand, that Jesus was GERMANY'S MADNESS 17 • no Jew at all. He has no doubt about it. He says with the simplicity so characteristic of Prussian thought: — ''Whoever maintains that Christ was a Jew is either ignorant or dishonest: ignorant if he confuses religion and race, dishonest if he knows the history of Galilee. . . . The prob- ability that Christ was not a Jew, that He had not a drop of pure Jewish blood in His veins, is so great that it is almost a certainty. To what race did He then belong? To that there is no answer. ..." After which. Chamberlain indulges in con- jectures. Perhaps, he says, Jesus was an As- syrian colonist. On further consideration, he finds that Assyria won't do. He then turns westward, and opines that Jesus was probably a Greek. This inability of Mr. Chamberlain to find the obvious, is rather strange. Some men of genius are like that. Although there can, seriously speaking, be no doubt whatever to what great nation Jesus did belong. Cham- berlain, the apostle of that great nation, failed to see it. How strange ! How wonderfully in- tricate are the paths of thy wanderings, oh Truth ! But Germany is greater even than Mr. H. S. 18 GERMANY'S MADNESS Chamberlain. In due time, slie went into trav- ail and gave birth to the man who saw what Mr. Chamberlain could not see. We mean, of course, the obvious fact, the manifest truth, that Jesus — was a German. The kind reader is asked to study a ponderous volume by J. L. Reimer, entitled ^^A Pan-German Germany'' {Ein P anger manisches Deutschland, 1905) on pages 232, 233. There he will find arguments expressed in the best University slang of Ber- lin, and submitted with becoming seriousness, to the effect that, if Jesus was not of German origin. He was a fraud. Nobody can sincerely say He was a fraud. Ergo, He was a German. Or was He not blond! Had He not blue eyes, and that roseate skin so clearly indicative of German complexion? If this is not convincing (and of course there are men so obdurate as not to be convinced by any argument of that kind) then one has only to analyse the name of Jesus. The first syllable, Jes, is clearly an altered Ger — , the letter r being frequently treated as a vowel, and so dropped altogether, or changed into 5. The second syllable -us, is only the Latin ending for males, hence equal to the Ger- man (or English) man. Can anything be more evident? GEEMANY^S MADNESS 19 It is thus quite beyond any reasonable doubt, say the German thinkers, that all Northern, North- Western, Central, Eastern, and South- Eastern nations are really Germans. When, therefore, the Kaiser speaks of Greater Ger- many, of the Germans in general, he, in all sincerity, means two-thirds of Europe. He means that the German Empire of the near future will, and by right of Eace ought to, com- prise two-thirds of Europe. This, we are convinced, will appear to most British readers too childish an idea to be worth serious consideration. The average man in England will say to himself: **Even granted that a few writers in Germany do entertain such extravagant ideas, surely one cannot admit that the bulk of the Germans accept them as serious principles of German politics. In all countries there have been single eccentrics who absurdly overrated the significance and importance of their nation. Scotsmen have laboriously proved that Adam was a Scot. Some English- men have written heavy books on the English being the *lost ten tribes.' Americans, if we are to believe some of their writers, nearly all come from Oliver Cromwell ; and, as Thack- eray used to say, one cannot wonder that The 20 GERMANY'S MADNESS Conqueror won the battle of Hastings, since so many ancestors ^canie over with the Con- queror. ' '' There is much common sense in all this. Sin- gle eccentrics do not prove very much as to the state of mind of the majority of a people. Some years ago the author met at the British Museum a countryman of his, a Hungarian, who spent all his time and wasted all his efforts on a book in which he undertook to prove that all the great leaders of mankind were Hungar- ians. The only difference with regard to such solitary ^'cranks'' is this — nobody cares for what they say or write. Their works are be- lieved in only by a few fellow-invalids, and en- joyed by knowing lovers of odd books. But, in the case of Germany, as she has recently de- veloped, the state of affairs is essentially and completely different. That which, in other countries, never rises be- yond a mere oddity is, in contemporary Ger- many, a vast wave of national thought. In the Fatherland, as has long been remarked by many an observing traveller or scholar, the writers, teachers, journalists, and scholars of the day have an infinitely greater influence on the peo- ple, than similar brain-workers ever wield in - GERMANY'S MADNESS 21 England. German political unity was really set in motion by German thonght, that is, by the in- credible influence of German professors, poets, and writers. Once these bookmen take up an idea, be it ever so nebulous, it is sure to fall, in due time, as fertilising rain upon the rough soil of Germany. . The reader is therefore asked never to for- get that, no matter how laughable and childish those Pan-German ideas may be, they are at the same time most serious, on account of the effect they have had on the Germans. In this world there is no greater power than effect. To laugh at a thing because it is laughable is, in political matters, most unsound. Once already, in the sixteenth century, a German undertook some- thing that moved the then Pope to peals of laughter. It appeared to Pope Leo X. too ludicrous for words that Luther, a poor and helpless Austin monk and professor in Ger- many, wanted to upset the Papal power. Yet that helpless German did upset very much of the Papal power. The Pope's power seemed then as great, if not very much greater, than, is the power of the British navy to-day. If, then, we are now going to tell the reader more of the boundlessly fatuous ideas enter- 22 GERMANY'S MADNESS tained by the Grermans with regard to the power, destiny, and ^* evident vocation" of their Race, we do so firstly, because we should like to warn him of the very great danger implied in beliefs of that kind shared by practically all the sixty million Germans; secondly, and only as a minor motive, because we want him to en- joy thoroughly the grim humour of the thing. AUL GKEAT MEN HAVE BEEN GERMANS ! We have seen that the Kaiser and the most popular writers in Germany have rapidly come to the conclusion that all the great men of the past, from Jesus downwards, were either pure or mixed Germans. But, so far, we have heard this statement only as a vague opinion. Now we are going to see how elaborately this state- ment has been proved in various works written by German scholars. The underlying contention of the whole mat- ter is, of course, very transparent. The Ger- mans who boldly say that the twentieth century is theirs, just as the sixteenth belonged to the Spanish, the seventeenth to the French, and the eighteenth to the English, the Germans, we say, want to go one better than all the nations. For, while the Spanish or English were satisfied to GERMANY'S MADNESS 23 call one century theirs, the Germans want to show, not only that the twentieth century will be theirs, but that as a matter of fact all the preceding centuries were, properly considered, also theirs. Such views would not appeal very strongly to the English, who as a rule, do not trouble themselves very much about former centuries. But, in Germany, thanks to the great attention paid to the teaching of history in all the public schools, every schoolboy knows the names of Italy, France, or Spain. Everybody there knows something about Dante, Raphael, Michelangelo Buonarotti, Leonardo da Vinci, Machiavelli; or such Frenchmen as Rabelais, Montaigne, Pascal, Descartes. He has, when young, been taught to consider these men as the glories of humanity. When, now, a learned German proves to him, in an elaborate book, that all these summits were only peaks of the German Alps, the effect upon that German is immense. His pride in his nationality is in- creased and intensified to an extraordinary de- gree. He cannot help thinking that German blood, German ideas, German influence, and, in short, everything German has by nature some- thing utterly superior to anything non-German. 24 GERMANY ^S MADNESS The whole perspective of life is changed within him. He alters his former bearings; he takes a new view of the world; that is, he gets what the Germans call a world-view, or Weltan- schauung of a new type. To underrate this sort of thing, to speak lightly of such a wholesale change in the men- tality of the nation which, amongst advanced peoples in Europe, is the most populous, would be too futile for words. On the contrary, we have to weigh it very carefully ; we must take it into close consideration. It is out of such vague but persistent feelings that a nation forges its most formidable weapons of aggres- siveness. It is for this reason that we are here going to give a few extracts from the works of Ludwig Woltmann, who, in two books published recently, tells the Germans that most of the immortals of Italy and France were, properly speaking, of German blood. The British reader may not, and we trust will not, agree with the opinions of Mr. Woltmann. This, however, is not the point at all. The real interest is in the fact that Woltmann 's views have been taken by the Ger- mans very seriously indeed, that they have been, and are being discussed in the gravest GERMANY'S MADNESS 25 of German historical and ethnological reviews, and that their effect upon the average German is nothing short of extraordinary. In other words, the late Woltmann may be, and we have no doubt, is hopelessly wrong; but the effect of his works on the most responsible of German writers and readers is very considerable. His chief instrument in proving that the great men of the Italian Renascence, or the wonderful painters, sculptors, thinkers, and poets of fifteenth and sixteenth century Italy, were all Germans," is thus constructed. Wolt- mann, together with a great number of English and Continental anthropologists, takes it for granted, that there are in Europe a number of separate Races. More especially, there is the Northern or Germanic Race, with a long head (dolichocephalic), blond hair, and blue eyes; and the Mediterranean Race, with a short and round head, and swarthy complexion. When- ever he finds that an Italian is reported as hav- ing been of a long-headed, blond, and blue-eyed appearance, he has little doubt that the mother of that Italian had, if secretly, preferred the embraces of some doughty German. And if one considers that the Germans have at all times been the roving mercenaries, lackeys. 26 GERMANY'S MADNESS clerks, and waiters of all Europe, it is not im- possible to assume tliat wherever Mr. Wolt- mann needs a German substitute for the more legitimate work of paternity, he can freely draw upon some one German lackey or butler or waiter for the emergency. In order to fortify his surreptitious fathers in their claims to glory, Woltmann makes free use of that beautiful method of German philo- logians, by means of which one can conveniently prove what one pleases. Thus, it is not quite evident to the untutored mind of the ordinary mortal how Mr. Cecil Rhodes can be said to be of the family of the late President Kriiger. But for a German philologian this apparently impossible problem does not offer serious dif- ficulties. Rhodes is named — ^who can doubt it? — after the famous island in the Eastern Medi- terranean, of which the Greek proverb used to say : ^ ^ Here is Rhodes — jump here ! ' ^ meaning, that any man boasting of his being able to jump anything, was asked at Rhodes to jump the width of the enormous harbour of the capital of that island. That clearly proves that Cecil Rhodes was boastful. So was, some people say, the late President Kriiger. Accordingly, both were of the same family. To disguise that. GERMANY'S MADNESS 27 Cecil Rhodes, who was so fond of Greek and Roman antiquities as to have nearly all the Greek and Latin classics specially translated for his use, chose a classical name suggestive of a colossus, the colossus of Rhodes. Can any- thing be simpler ? In very much the same way, Herr Woltmann shows that most of the great Renascence men of Italy were Germans. The reader is asked to read the following ex- tracts from Woltmann 's Die Germanen und die Renaissance in Italien (1905) with great atten- tion. Again and again we beg to remind the reader that the evident absurdity of Woltmann 's views is not the point at all. We deal here with the mental state of a whole nation. A people like the modern Germans, who can take such views in dead earnestness, are either hopelessly de- cadent, or dangerously excited, overweeningly conceited, and perilously swelled-headed. Now, it is an absolute fact that Woltmann 's views have been taken very seriously indeed. One of the oldest, most respectable Profes- soren-Blatt, or reviews, written mostly by and for German University Professors, the Beilage (Supplement) to the MuncJiener Allgemeine Zeitung, and other reviews (especially the 28 GERMANY'S MADNESS Liter ar is ches Centralhlatt) equally serious, have reported on Woltmann's book, with a gravity and an interest generally devoted to first-class scientific works only. In reading the following extracts, the British citizen must therefore be aware of the fact that he is reading an absurd opinion shared by thousands of highly instructed and influential Germans. • We leave it to our readers to appreciate the polit- ical dangerousness of such opinions. Woltmann takes one great Eenascence Ital- ian after the other, and comes to the conclu- sion that they were all Germans. He says : *'Benvenuto Cellini (1500-71). — His por- trait by Vasari is in the Palazzo Vecchio in the picture representing Cosimo in the circle of the artists of his time: a head-piece between Cos- imo and Tribolo seated at his left. The hair on his head is brown and slightly disposed in locks, the beard blond, inclining to reddish. To judge from the photograph, the eyes are light in colour, presumably blue, as blue eyes alone are wont to give in photography so light a re- flex.^' (p. 75.)^ ^^Michelangelo Buonarotti (1475-1564). — 1 Surely the painting itself might have been seen by this erudite German. — Ed. GERMANY ^S MADNESS 29 (=Bernhard) ancestor of the family, lived in Florence about 1210. He had two sons, Ber- linghieri and Buonarrota, the former of whom had likewise a son, Buonarrota. By this name, recurring frequently in later generations, the family came to be called. It is a Grerman name, compounded of Bona (=Bohn [probably the ancestors of the publishers, Messrs, Bell and Son,] Bonne) and Hrodo, Roto (=:Rohde, Rothe), Bona and Rotto are cited as Lombard names. Buonarotti is perhaps the old Lom- bard Beonrad, corresponding to the word Bon- roth. Corresponding names are Mackrodt, Osterroth, Leonard. According to Condivi the Buonarroti spring from the family of the Counts of Canossa, a noble Lombard gens in the territory of Reggio, related to the Emperor Henry II. In point of fact the Counts of Can- ossa always looked on the artist as a relation. Of Michelangelo's bodily presence we have pre- cise and essentially accordant descriptions by Vasari and Condivi. In his Life of M.B, A. Condivi writes: * Michelangelo is of well-built body, sinewy and bony rather than fleshy and fat ; sound, more than anything else, both by na- ture, by bodily exercise and by abstinence, though as a child he was weakly and subject to 30 GEEMANY^S MADNESS fits. In his face he has always been well- coloured. Of medium stature, he is broad shouldered, but in the rest of his body weak rather than robust. The temples strongly pro- ject, more than the ears. His nose has a some- what crushed appearance, not by nature, but from the stroke of a fist he received in his youth on the cartilage of the nose. The brow in pro- file projects beyond the nose. The eyebrows have a scanty fringe of hair. The eyes might be called small rather than large, of the colour of horn, but variable with ^^ flecks'^ of yellow and blue. Hair and beard are black. These particulars are confirmed by the portraits. First and foremost take the portrait by Bugiar- dini in Museo Buonarroti. Here comes to view the ** flecked'' appearance of the iris, especially in the right eye. The left may be described as almost wholly blue. The lateral projection of the skull over the ears is to be explained by an abnormal growth of bone. Michel appears to have been rachitic and hydrocephalus, which may be connected with the fits of his youth. From the remark that his face was highly coloured, it may be concluded that his cheeks were of fresh, ruddy hue. In the Museo Civico, at Pavia, is a fresco likeness by an unknown GERMANY ^S MADNESS 31 hand, in which this fresh red is distinctly recog- nisable on the face. Taking all these bodily characteristics into consideration, it must be said from an anthropological point of view that though originally of German family, he was a hybrid between the North and "West brunette race/ " (pp. 73-4.) *'LoKENzo Ghiberti (1378-1455). — The name of the Ghiberti, who are first mentioned in 1260 among the Guelf families in Florence, is de- rived from Old High German Wiberto Guiberto, New High German Wilbert. As Vasari re- ports in Life of L.G., he set his likeness in the bronze of the Baptistery in Florence. In his work Vasari presents a profile likeness evi- dently drawn after this bronze head. I have more minutely studied the anthropological characteristics of this head on a gypsum cast. The skull is very long and small, index about 73, therefore pronouncedly dolichocephalic. The face, too, is long and small, the nose lightly curved, the hair disposed in locks, though noth- ing is reported as to the colour of the hair and eyes, yet, on the ground of the family name and the build of head and face, we may with great certainty assume that he was descended from the Germans. '^ (pp. 69-70.) 32 OEEMANY^S MADNESS *' Giovanni Bellini (1426-1507) has left two likenesses by himself; one in the Uffizi, the other in the Conservatoire Palace in Kome. Both show German features of face, light straw yellow hair and bine eyes. Bellini is from Old High German Belo, Bella, Bellin.'' (p. 80.) ** Leonardo da Vinci (1452-1517) or, as he called himself, Leonardo Vinci, came of a noble family, the earliest extant document about whom, dated 1339, is signed by a Florentine notary. He was born in an old Castle to the N. of Empoli, of which a tower and some walls still remain. The Castle, in olden time 'Cas- serodi Vinci,' is evidently named after a Ger- man Knight Vinco {= Winke, Vincke). In the neighbourhood are several castles and villages with old German names, such as Cerreto Guidi, Lamporrechio ( = Lamprecht) and Tizzana (Tizzo = Tietz). Some mile and a half {halhe Stunde) NE. of Vinci, on the slope of Monte Albano, lies a ^Luogo d'Anchiano,' where a Castle is said to have formerly stood, the name of which is derived from the old German Ango (— Anke, Enke). Here the family Vinci had a country house, in which was bom Leonardo, in the midst of a district once peopled by Ger- mans. In the valleys and on the slopes of GERMANY'S MADNESS 33 Monte Albano, at a distance from the great highway, you still find among the peasantry many blond and blue-eyed men, in all likelihood the remains of the Gothic tribe. Out of this soil sprang the otherwise unknown Caterina, mother of Leonardo, a lady, 'que era di hon sangue/ of a robust and sound stamp of hu- manity. Like his nephew Pieroda Vinci, a sculptor, Leonardo was tall and strong in bodily make, the hair of his head and his beard hang- ing down to the middle of his chest. The like- ness of himself in red chalk in the Pinacotheo at Turin shows the head of a greybeard, with small, high-arched brow, small face, and slightly aquiline nose. A profile likeness in Windsor Library presents a skull of great measure lengthwise. In the ^ self -likenesses' in the Uffizi, is a portrait of Leonardo, though not possibly by Leonardo himself, and it may be assumed to have been taken from life. It shows him with blond hair on head, blond beard, and blue eyes. Leonardo's blond complexion is not reported in so many words by his biog- raphers, but the constantly extolled beauty of his hair almost implies it, seeing that for the Italian, and especially of the Renaissance, blond hair was the characteristic of physical 34 GERMANY'S MADNESS beauty. A figure in ^Tlie Three Archangels and Tobias' — by Verrochio, according to the prevailing view — ^presents the picture of a slim and tall-grown youth, with large blue eyes, yel- low hair, finely shaped and expressive features, which one may conjecture to be the portrait of Leonardo. Altogether, from biographical and iconographic sources, Leonardo's anthropolog- ical features may be summed up as follows: Tall and strong figure; long and small skull; face of like conformation, with lightly curved nose, light complexion, large blue eyes; blond hair of head curled in ringlets; blond beard. If any among the great Italians, Leonardo was a pure and unmixed scion of the German race. ' ' (pp. 83-6.) ^^Raffael Santt (1483-1520).— As shown by Passavant, there lived in Colbordolo, Raffael's father's birthplace, about the first half of the fourteenth century a certain Sante, giving the family name of Sante or Santi to his descend- ants. The name of the Castle Colbordolo is of old German origin, analogous to Heribord; Heltiport, and similar names. Like its deriv- atives Santini, Santoni, Santi is equally a Ger- man name, corresponding to Sandt in New High German. Raffael's mother, Magia GEKMANY'S MADNESS 35 Ciarla, was the daughter of a merchant in Ur- bino. According to Muratori, Ciarla is said to be derived from Charles and to have been brought to Italy by the Franks. In this case it would be equivalent to the old German Carla. Nothing certain is known of the bodily presence of BaffaePs father, Giovanni. In the case di Raffaelo in Urbino, however, is a fresco like- ness, let into the wall, from Giovanni's hand, presenting Frau Magia and Baifael as Ma- donna with the Bambino. It is remarkable how scanty are the notices left by his contempora- ries regarding Baffael's exterior. BaifaePs likeness of himself in the Uffizi shows us the painter at the age of twenty-three. This pic- ture has, however, been several times painted over, and only mouth and nose remain intact. In this portrait we find Baffael with a nobly shaped and small face, soft grey eyes, with a slight inclination to brownish, and dark blond hair shading into reddish. **In the Berlin Museum is an altar piece of Giovanni Santi, representing Mary and the Child Jesus, which has always been taken to be the image of Baffael and his mother. Both have light blond hair. The child has blue eyes, whereas the mother has grey eyes, dashed with 36 GERMANY'S MADNESS a bluish and brownish glimmer. In the fresco likeness at Urbino above-mentioned, both have light blond hair. The child's eyes are unfortunately closed, the mother's are of a mixed grey. There is further, a likeness of Raffael in his sixteenth year, ascribed to his father, a good copy of which is in the Hanover Museum. Here Raifael has yellow blond hair and dark grey eyes. In the Libreria of Siena Cathedral, Ratfael and his teacher Pinturicchio are, in Catherine's Canonization, presented, full figure, as taper bearers. Both have blond hair and rosy-white skin. Whereas, however, Pinturicchio shows eyes of distinct blue, corres- ponding to those of his self-portrait in Spello, Raffael has grey-yellow eyes. To this likeness of Raffael by Pinturicchio, then his teacher, must be attached the greatest importance in forming a judgment of his physical type. Of the identity there can be no doubt. Here more particularly is the so characteristic dropping of the upper eyelid. Altogether it may with great certainty be concluded that in his youth Raffael had light blond hair and bluish eyes, but with advancing age hair and eyes assumed a somewhat darker shading. ^'Raffael's skeleton, found in the Pantheon, GEEMANY'S MADNESS 37 was five feet two inches, Parisian measure = 167-5 cm. long. The skull was small. ^^G. K. ISTagler, too, in his Rafael als MenscJi und Kiinstler writes: ^His features were of regular beauty, the eye clear and pure, the mirror of a beautiful soul ; the form of the head was oval, and the hair blond till with the progress of the years it inclined slightly to brownish.' '' (pp. 89-91.) The British reader of the preceding extracts will probably think that in such stuff and twad- dle there is not much to frighten serious men. Nor is there. We do not mean to assert that the stuff itself, or, in other words, that Herr Woltmann's misplaced erudition, has, by itself, any value whatever. The great men of the Italian Eenascence were no more German in mind or body than they were Yankees. But what cannot be taken too seriously, we contend, is the effect of such stuff on the mind of the German nation. The stuff is wretched enough, but its effect is a most important matter. EESULTANT SWELLED-HEADEDNESS One can readily understand that the British, themselves, calm in their strength, are inclined to treat such vagaries as strong men generally 38 GERMANY'S MADNESS treat the extravagances of boys. But one can- not quite understand that the British, on learn- ing that these vagaries of a great number of German writers have fairly dazed the German people, still continue to smile with tranquillity. This, it would appear to us, is in the highest degree impolitic. The actions of a nation like the Germans are, in the first place, influenced by their state of mind; and, given that that state of mind in Germany is now one bordering on absolute megalomania, or the most morbid form of self-conceit and swelled-headedness, it is safe to conclude that their actions, too, will soon assume forms of the most daring self-as- sertiveness and aggression. In this country, Germany and the Germans are practically as unknown and as poorly under- stood as if they lived somewhere in Central Asia, and not within eight hours' sailing from England. Their literature is so little known that more than once the author was asked by Englishmen whether the Germans had three or four writers of note. The following story is absolutely true, if intensely humorous. A rich city merchant invited to one of his recep- tions a number of literary people. The conver- sation for a time touched upon German litera- GERMANY'S MADNESS 39 tnre, and amongst other names that of Goethe was frequently mentioned. The host had never heard that name before. Rather annoyed by the constant recurrence of that name, he asked one of his literary guests who Goethe was. He received the answer that Goethe was one of the great German poets. Thereupon the city merchant indignantly exclaimed: ^^Of course, we know him, but we call him over here ^Schiller' 'M What, indeed, does the average Briton know of the vast wave of Imperialism that has flooded the hearts and the minds of the Ger- mans! Does he ever read the Alldeutsche Blatter J the organ of the Pan-Germanists ! ^ Does he study the Deutsche Erde, a geograph- ical review devoted to Pan-German interests! Has he ever heard of the periodicals and books treating of the '^necessary,'' ^'inevitable," and *'providentiaP' spread of the German Empire over Europe and the globe! Has he ever at- tempted to appreciate aright the effect of this constant and unremitting excitement of impe- rialist fever that has, these twenty-five years, seized the Germans! It never enters his mind to think of it, to pay the slightest attention to 2 Even the British Museum Library has no copy of it. 40 GERMANY'S MADNESS it. Occasionally, it is true, the Briton is roused to anger or indignation by an utterance or act of the Kaiser or his Chancellor. How- ever, influential as these two dignitaries may be, they are not the most effective of the Imperial- ists in Germany. The most effective are those German authors who, like Professor Treitschke, Herr Woltmann, Mr. H. S. Chamberlain, Herr Eeimer, Herr Hasse, Count Ernst Reventlow, and a host of others, instil the poison of megalo- mania into the Germans in the one manner in which the Germans will take it in the largest doses. GERMANY IS AN UPSTART Perhaps the following consideration will help the reader to see the matter in its true pro- portions. The most ignorant is aware of the fact that Germany is an upstart ; that her exis- tence as a Great Power is, so to speak, of yes- terday. As to Prussia, she was a little over 250 years ago a small State under the suzer- ainty of the King of Poland; and six hundred years ago most of the Prussians proper were still heathens, talking a Slav language. It was only by the end of the thirteenth century that the Prussi were converted to Christianity. 4 GERMANY'S MADNESS 41 Some South-German people contend that this conversion is not complete even in our days. It is common knowledge that, of all the kinds of intractable pride, the pride of the upstart is the worst, the least amenable to sound limits. For centuries and centuries the Germans have been buffeted about by the French, English, Swedes, Poles, and formerly even by the Hun- garians. For centuries the German Princes, hat in hand, went the round of all the Courts of Europe, begging for subsidies, kissing hands and licking shoes of various powerful ministers, mistresses, kings, popes and generals. For centuries they were used and utilised like so many flunkeys by the older and more powerful nations around them. The Prussian rulers es- pecially, whether the so-called Great Elector, who died in 1688, or Frederick William I., in the eighteenth century, and Frederick William the Fourth in the nineteenth, were forced to eat many a humble pie and, as the French say, to swallow many a snake. Over one-half of the British State debt is composed of moneys thrown as sops, compensation, salaries, or bribes to innumerable German Princes during the seventeenth, eighteenth, and part of the nineteenth centuries. 42 GERMANY'S MADNESS As in matters of politics and State life, so it was also in matters of private life. Of all the nations of Europe, the Germans form the largest contingents of * ^ foreigners ' ' in various non-German countries. The Germans outside Germany and Austria are very much more numerous than either the Jews, the Chinese, or the gypsies. Millions of them are in Amer- ica, in Russia, everywhere. Millions and mil- lions of them are in the demoralising condition of expatriated, de-nationalized men and women. All that tells. All that leaves deep, indelible traces on the soul. It rankles in the heart; it embitters; it pricks and prods, until one day the mass of moral kindling takes iire, and then we have the prairie fire of a nation inflamed with a secular cry for vengeance, for the reha- bilitation of their status as a nation and as in- dividuals. It is a sort of Jacquerie or peasant- rising on a vast national scale. The peasants, too, after enduring all sorts of humiliation, finally rise, and then — woe to all humanity! Castles and their tenants are burned; men, women, and children are slaughtered. The hu- man beast appears in its most hideous form. The following incident has been told fre- quently enough; it can never be told too fre- GERMANY'S MADNESS 43 quently. When Adolphe Thiers, subsequently President of the French Republic, went to the various Courts of Europe, imploring them to help France, which was then at the feet of the victorious Germans, he met, at Vienna, the German historian Ranke, the man who in his numerous works had written up all the igno- minies, humiliations, and indignities of Ger- man history. Thiers asked Ranke against whom the Germans were fighting after Sedan, since Napoleon III. was long their prisoner. ^'Against whom!" Ranke exclaimed; ^'against Louis XIV.!" Now, Louis XIV. died in 1715, or over 150 years before the date of this con- versation between Thiers and Ranke. Yet, Ranke did not by any means exaggerate. The humiliations inflicted upon the rulers of Ger- many by Louis XIV. had been so revolting that, after five generations, the Germans were unable to forget them. It was at the very palace of Louis XIV. that the assembled German Princes solemnly united in the establishment of the Ger- man Empire. The insult of 1681, when Louis captured Strassburg in the midst of peace, burned with the same fire in 1871. In fact, it is only the common sense of the whole of Ger- man history to say that, for centuries, they were 44 GERMANY'S MADNESS accustomed to endure nameless insults at the hands of nearly all the nations around them, so that, whenever a Swedish or French conqueror spat into their faces, they exclaimed only: *^Does it rain, I wonder!'' THE SAVIOUKS OF THE: WORLD Now, let any one of some experience of life ask himself what may be expected from a per- son that has hitherto been lectured, insulted, and sweated by individuals whose superior he is now sure to be. It would surpass all human nature to keep one's head quite level under such circumstances. The Germans know that they are, or are held to be, the military supe- riors of any two or three of the nations sur- rounding them. Their innumerable writers, professors, journalists, poets, and politicians tell them so unceasingly, every day, in every paper, scientifically, learnedly, or philosophic- ally. They hear that it was really they who saved the world in the past. Just read the following extract from Cham- berlain's book. He speaks of the wild Ger- mans who invaded the Roman Empire. Of those savage hordes. Chamberlain says : — ^^This barbarian, who prefers to enter the GERMANY'S MADNESS 45 battle naked, the savage, who suddenly rises np out of woods and marshes, to pour upon a civil- ised and cultivated world the horrors of a mighty conquest, and fights with the bare fist, is nevertheless the lawful heir of the Greek and the Roman, blood of their blood, and spirit of their spirit. What he unknowingly tears from strange hands is his own. But for him, the day of the Indo-European was passing to its end. The Asiatic and African slave had crept mur- derously up to the throne of the Roman Em- pire, while the Syrian bastard was seizing upon legislation, the Jew was using the library of Alexandria to adapt Greek philosophy to the Mosaic law; soon, too, the Mongolian was to crush under his savage blood-stained foot the sublime blossoms of the primal Aryan {iirari- schen) life: Indian thought, Indian poetry; and the Bedouin, intoxicated with the madness of devastation, was to burn that Garden of Eden, Erania, in which for thousands of years all the symbolism of the world had grown up, into an eternal desert; art had long ceased to exist, and there was for the rich only formality {Schahlonen), for the poor circus-riding; there- fore, to use Schiller's phrase, there were no longer men, but only creatures. It was high 46 GERMANY'S MADNESS time that the deliverer appeared. . . . We can regret only one thing — that the German did not, everywhere his conquering arm preyed, extermi- nate more completely, and that, in consequence of this, the so-called Latinization, i.e., the mar- riage with the chaos of peoples, gradually re- covered wide territories from the only quick- ening influence of pure blood and unbroken youth, in fact, from the control of the highest talent.'' In other words, but for the Germans over- running the Roman Empire — that is, but for this, the most unfortunate event of all Euro- pean history — Europe could, so the Germans are now taught, never have been saved by ' * the only quickening influence of pure blood and unbroken youth." Just think of the nonsense of it all! These *' fallen and corrupt" Romans and Greeks forged, throughout the time when the ^'pure and unbroken" Germans invaded and ^^ saved" them, the mightiest weapon of organ- isation and civilisation that had up to that time appeared in human history: the Roman Cath- olic Church. But for that Church and her re- demption and colonisation of more than one- half of the soil of Europe, we should still, in company with the Germans, eat glands in the GEKMANY'S MADNESS 47 wild forests and swamps of Lancasliire or Han- over. But can any one wonder at this wholesale distortion of all history, when one reads what the contemporary German writers and thinkers and statesmen tell the Germans to think of themselves! The reader is asked to go pa- tiently over the following extracts, and to con- sider that such excessive and wicked flattery is made to a nation that has, as we just saw, barely emerged out of a secular state of polit- ical inferiority. No more dangerous microbe could be implanted in the organism of a peo- ple. Friedrich Lange, erstwhile editor of the Tag- liche Rundschau, has gone so far as to invent and preach a species of ^'German religion'' (Deutsche Religion), and from many pulpits it has been announced that 'Hhe German people is the elect of God, and its enemies are the ene- mies of the Lord.'' Chamberlain teaches the Germans as fol- lows : — ^ ^ Who can live in Italy to-day and mix with its amiable and highly-gifted inhabitants without feeling with pain that here a great na- tion is lost, irredeemably lost, because it lacks the inner driving power, the greatness of soul. 48 GERMANY'S MADNESS which would fit its talent *? This power comes from Eace alone. Italy had it as long as it possessed Germans: nay, even to-day, in those parts which were formerly occupied especially by Kelts, Germans, and Normans, the popula- tion develops the true German industry, and brings forth men who strive with desperate energy to keep the country together and to lead it in glorious paths. Cavour, the founder of the new kingdom, springs from the extreme North ; Crispi, who knew how to steer it through dangerous rocks, from the extreme South. ^^ Fidelity is found in nearly all pure-bred races, e.g., never more than in negroes; and what man could show more fidelity than the noble dog? This fidelity and that freedom do not grow one out of the other, but are two phenomena of the same character, of which one is more of the intellectual, the other more of the moral, side. The negro and the dog serve their master, whoever he is: that is the morality of the weak, or, as Aristotle has it, of him who is naturally born to be a slave. The German chooses his master, and therefore his fidelity is fidelity to himself : that is the morality of the free-born.'' For this reason. Chamber- lain intimates, it is correct to consider St. Paul GERM ANY 'S MADNESS 49 of German origin. This incredible freak of the perverted historical sense is put by Chamber- lain in the following manner: — *^More decisive for my theory is the kinship of the deeper spiritual dispositions between Kelts and Ger- mans. . . . Does one, then, think it is a mere accident that St. Paul addressed his epistle on Redemption by Faith, etc., to the Galatians, to those Gallic Greeks of Asia Minor who had re- mained almost purely Keltic — that document in which one fancies one hears a German speaking who was exceptionally gifted for the under- standing of deepest mysteries T' Even the wild Goths were noble and tolerant, according to Herr Chamberlain, and therefore superior to the foul Romans: — **Thus the per- fect religious tolerance of the Goths, when they became masters of that Roman Empire in which the principle of intolerance had so long pre- vailed, is as characteristic of German feeling as is the protection which they gave to the mon- uments of art. We see here those two features : fidelity and freedom. . . . The German is the most ideal, and at the same time the most prac- tical, man in the world, and that, not because these are contrasts, but because they are iden- tical. The German writes ^Die Kritik der 50 GERMANY'S MADNESS reinen Vernunft/ but invents at the same time the railway; the century of Bessemer and Edi- son is that of Beethoven and R. Wagner." Their writers tell the Germans: — ^^We are the best colonists, the best sailors, and even the best merchants. . . . We are the most intelli- gent nation there is, and the most advanced in science and art. . . . We are, without contra- diction, the most warlike people on earth.'' The sense and passion of everything German are carried to such an extent that Bismarck's secretary once wrote to the Municipal Council of Berlin: — ^*I have the honour, on behalf of Prince Bis- marck, to thank the Municipal Council of the Royal City of Berlin for the transmission of a pamphlet relating to the fifty-ninth meeting of German doctors and naturalists. His High- ness regrets, however, that he is unable to take cognisance of it, as his principles forbid his reading a German text printed in Latin char- acters. **V. Reinbaben." The astonishment of the Municipal Council of Berlin was pretty great on receiving this let- GERMANY'S MADNESS 51 ter. It became immense when it was noticed that the printed heading of the letter was alone in Latin characters. GERMANY AND THE FUTUEE Can one wonder, under such circumstances, that the Kaiser a few years ago, at the cele- bration of the 200th anniversary of the founda- tion of the Kingdom of Prussia, exclaimed: ''Nothing must be settled in this world with- out the intervention of Germany and of the German Emperor. '^ In 1905, the Kaiser, on the 28th of April, a few days after the conclusion of the Anglo- French Entente Cordiale, said, at Carlsruhe: ' ' Let us remember the great time in which Ger- man unity was established on the fields of Woerth, Weissemburg, and Sedan. Present events invite us to forget internal discords. Let us be united in case we should be compelled to intervene in the politics of the world.'' On 1st May at Mayence, at the opening of a new bridge, he said: ''This work, destined to de- velop peaceful communications, might serve for graver purposes." After such utterances on the part of a re- sponsible ruler, we need not be astonished to 52 GERMANY'S MADNESS learn that irresponsible professors, whose in- fluence on the Germans is nevertheless extraor- dinary, indulge in far louder dreams. Thus Professor Treitschke, the most jingoist of all German historians, and also one of their ablest writers, says: — ^^Then, when the German flag flies over and protects this vast Empire, to whom will belong the sceptre of the universe! What nation will impose its wishes on the other enfeebled and decadent people 1 Will it not be Germany that will have the mission to ensure the peace of the world? Eussia, that immense colossus still in process of formation, and with feet of clay, will be absorbed in its home and economic difficul- ties. England, stronger in appearance than in reality, will, without any doubt, see her Colonies detach themselves from her and exhaust them- selves in fruitless struggles. France, given over to internal dissensions and the strife of parties, will sink into hopeless decadence. As to Italy, she will have her work cut out to en- sure a crust of bread to her children. . . . The future belongs to Germany, to which Austria will attach herself if she wishes to survive.'' It is under the pressure of such ideas, taught in Germany by their foremost writers and GERMANY'S MADNESS 53 thinkers, that the Germans have persuaded themselves of the necessity of occupying vast territories, both in their own neighbourhood and in foreign continents. This Greater Ger- many, or the expansion of the German race (as if such a thing existed — as if the Germans had not the blood of all the nations in them) has become a dogma with the Germans. Even in their school books it is publicly taught. See the following from the manual of Herr Daniel, professor of geography at the Royal College at Halle:— ^ ^ France was primarily a small kingdom born of the dismemberment of Charlemagne's em- pire and bounded by the Rhone and the Saone rivers, and has only expanded at the expense of Germany; during the Middle Ages Lyons and Marseilles were German towns." The same author, in an equally classical work in use in the schools, gives the ** natural fron- tiers of Germany as on the west'' are *Hhe hills which extend from Cape Grisnez to the Ar- gonne, the plateau of Langres, the faucilles, the mountains of Alsace, the heights between the Rhine and the Rhone, and the Jura to the lake of Geneva." If Germans are taught similar political 54 GERMANY'S MADNESS geography about France, the reader may easily imagine what they are given to understand about the 'inevitable'' destiny of the smaller Slav peoples in their neighbourhood. Thus we read in Pan-German books : — ''We sometimes hear the following objection from the savants and sages, opponents of the Pan-Germanic idea. ' Of what use to us will be the Czechs, the Slovenians, and the others? Will the Catholics of Austria really represent an increase of our power?' To the first ob- jection we reply that a universal Germany is only possible if the great Slav power Russia is crumbled to bits, is completely overthrown. Then, when the triumphant German armies oc- cupy the country from the Moldau to the Adri- atic, it will be possible simply to expel the non- German populations from Cisleithania. . . . An indemnity may be given them, but the coun- try must be cleared and the land colonised by Germans. In the event of such momentous hap- penings, we would not hesitate to take large tracts of territory from France and Russia to form the glacis of our frontiers on the east and on the west. It would, moreover, be necessary to impose as a condition of peace that the na- tive should evacuate these provinces and be GERMANY'S MADNESS 55 compensated by the conquered powers. There again colonisation would be carried out. That is how we propose to enlarge our European frontiers. This enlargement has become for us a matter of necessity, just as bread is neces- sary for our rapidly increasing population. ' ' The Vorivdrts has put it on record that, to a numerous and sympathetic audience of pro- fessors and students of Protestant Theology, the theologian Lezius made a speech, which was loudly applauded, in which he advised that the Prussian Poles should be treated like China- men. The following is an extract from this prodigious oration : — ^'Solomon has said: ^Do not be too good; do not be too just.' The Polish press should be simply annihilated. All Polish societies should be suppressed, without the slightest apology being made for such a measure. This summary procedure should be likewise applied to the French and Danish press, as well as to the societies of Alsace, Lorraine, and Schleswig- Holstein. Especially should no consideration whatever be shown to anything relating to the Poles. The Constitution should be altered with regard to the latter. The Poles should be looked upon as helots. They should be allowed 56 GERMANY'S MADNESS but three privileges : to pay taxes, serve in the army, and shut their jaws'' (sic). GERMAN PRETENSIONS AND EXPANSION In the following extracts the reader may fol- low the various stages of that German expan- sion all over the globe. Schmoller, the political economist, writes: — ^'We must at all costs hope for the formation in Southern Brazil, of a state with 20 or 30 million Germans, and that this State should re- main an integral part of Brazil, whether it be constituted as an independent state, or whether it remain in close relation with the Empire." He quotes from Deutsches Handels Archiv, March, 1901, a report of the German Consul at Blumenau (Brazil) :—^* Of the 40,000 inhab- itants, about 30,000 are German Brazilians, 8,000 are Austrians, and the residue is com- posed of Portuguese Brazilians." He quotes Dr. Hasse as saying: *^We shall see the Ger- man oak grow bigger, and from the German Emperor will spring the Emperor of the Ger- mans." Schmoller quotes also from Handels- museum, June 13, 1901: — *^ Little by little, slowly and surely, Germany is securing the trade of Bolivia. When she has done that en- GERMANY'S MADNESS 57 tirely, she will have secured the plenitude of influence, a complete moral and material su- premacy, and a colony acquired without war or expense.'' The German military authorities add : — * ^ The German army and fleet must have at command a field where they can work homogeneously. If, as seems probable, the work of the army should be to the south and east of the Empire, it is almost indispensable that it should be sup- ported by the fleet in the Adriatic and the Med- iterranean. Our strategic front must extend from the Baltic to Trieste. France and Eussia have each a share in the maintenance of equi- librium in the seas of North Europe and of the Mediterranean Basin. We must have exactly the same. Besides, are the shores of the Upper Adriatic so far from German lands? There is little more than 100 kilometres as the crow flies from the Gulf of Trieste to the frontier of South Carinthia — a point from which, going northward and skirting Bohemia, there are nothing but compact masses of Germans to be found. On no account should this part of the coast be allowed to fall into Latin or Slav hands, for, if it were, that side of Germany is swamped for a century, maybe for ever." 58 GERMANY'S MADNESS The Japanese talk hopefully of conquering the Dutch East Indies, which they consider an easy prey ; and the Germans, on their side, con- fidently remark that if the lesser Holland of Europe became a dependence of the Great Em- pire, the greater Holland of the Antipodes would become the finest of the German colonies. At Kiao-chau the Emperor William had given a first exhibition of his attitude towards China. Glorying in his strength, and impatient to parade it, looking on the Chinese as a ^* barbaric people, '^ he extolled the ^'mailed fisf and en- couraged it among his representatives. Baron Ketteler paid with his life for his imprudence and his provocations. Personally hit by the assassination of his minister, the Emperor seized the occasion to adopt a tragic attitude; in his imagination he saw himself a new Joshua, fighting with the people of God, against the Amalekites, and at the same time — with that curious mixture of practical common sense and romantic imagination which is one of the char- acteristic traits of his nature — started a diplo- matic campaign for the acceptance of a Ger- man field-marshal as head of the international army. In Western Asia the Germans pursue, and GERMANY'S MADNESS 59 not unsuccessfully, a forward policy of con- stant infiltration. The following extracts are very instructive. Lt.-Col. Hildebrandt writes: *'Tlie Germans likewise have a great strategic interest in the Bagdad Railway ^ for in the contingent event of a blockade of the Suez Canal — a blockade which political complications, or, later on, military operations, might bring within the range of possibilities — this railway would supply Ger- many with the most direct road to the East of Africa and Asia and towards her transoceanic possessions." Siegmund Schneider writes in Die Deutsche Bagdadhahn: ^* Russia has, by the treaty of St. Petersburg of 1896, secured the right to send along the railway lines of Eastern China (cov- ering 1,500 kilometres of Chinese Manchuria) detachments of Siberian Cossacks to guard their line. In the same way it will be neces- sary, during the construction of the Bagdad Railway, that similar measures should be car- ried out to ensure the safety of the constructors and protect them from the attacks of Bedouins and brigands in Kurdistan, Mesopotamia, and Babylonia." Dr. Rohrbach writes in Die Bagdadhahn: 60 aERMANY'S MADNESS *^A Turkey strong, militarily and politically, can alone enable ns to find in the lands of the Euphrates and the Tigris an increase of our na- tional possessions and an improvement in the economic scale. For a weak Turkey not a pfennig, but to a strong Turkey let us give all the money that may be required. * ' Dr. Paul Rohrbach writes in Lie Zeit: * * There can no longer be any doubt on the sub- ject. The Anatolia Railway Co., which is in the hands of the Deutsche Bank of Berlin, will have the financial and technical management of the undertaking. It may, therefore, be said that the Bagdad Railway is in reality a Ger- man enterprise, as we on our side desired it to be and strove to make it, whilst our adversaries on the other hand did their utmost to thwart it at Constantinople with so much jealousy and tenacity. ' ^ Lt.-Col. Hildebrandt, writing in the Interna- tionale Revue uher die gesammten Armeen und Flatten (p. 73, March, 1902), Witzleben, Dres- den, says: **The concession was granted at the end of 1899, and it may be taken that it was obtained thanks to the policy of the German Government, which has resolutely claimed for its country the position of a world-power in the GERMANY'S MADNESS 61 concert of nations. The construction of the line is consequently in German hands ; and the same is the case with the huge maritime works which are being carried out by the Anatolia Company on a site which will furnish an excellent port, and in the Bay of Ismid, on the spot known as Haidar-Pasha, near Scutari, on the Bosphorus, opposite to Constantinople, of which it may be said to form a suburb.'' At the end of March, 1902, the following note appeared in the Turkish papers: — ''Up till to- day MM. Zander (representing the Deutsche Bank) and Huguenin have acted as managing directors of the Anatolia Eailway. Henceforth M. Zander will take up the title and duties of 'Manager of the New Concession Lines,' and M. Huguenin remains manager of the Anatolia Company. ' ' In 1880 the trade of Germany with the Otto- man Empire amounted to 8,500,000 francs (£340,000) ; in 1900 it had increased to 81,250,- 000 francs (£3,250,000) ; and in 1904 to 84,450,- 000 francs (£3,378,000), having increased ten- fold in twenty years. This regular system of expansion is very considerable, aided by various societies whose only aim is the spread of the German language, 62 GERMANY'S MADNESS of German commerce, and German ideas. Thus, the Allgemeiner Deutscher Sprachverein sends subsidies to the German schools scattered throughout the world, and especially to those in the Slav countries of Austria; the Society for the Propagation of the German Language (Deutscher Sprachverein) works in the same di- rection. The Deutsche Kolonial Gesellschaft encourages ideas of oversea expansion, whilst the Deutscher Flottenverein, with already close on 1,000,000 members, completes the work of converting public opinion to new sacrifices so as to have by 1915 a fleet strong enough to beat the British fleet. It is especially religious so- cieties that distinguish themselves by their zeal. The Odin-Verein of Munich, the Gustav-Adolf Verein have specially devoted themselves to the ^* evangelisation'' of Austria; the arrest of one of their missionaries, pastor Everling, caused some sensation at the time. The Evan- gelical League has conducted with great ardour the ^^Los von Rom^^ (''Away from Rome!") campaign, for w^hich in 1903 it had already dis- bursed 400,000 marks. All seem to fulfil a sacred function, the exaltation of the national name and greatness. "The king at the head GERMANY'S MADNESS 63 of Prussia, Prussia at the lieacl of Germany, Germany at the head of the world." Such nations as the Germans cannot reason- ably hope to absorb, they unremittingly endeav- our to win over to their interests. Amongst these the Americans proper, the people of the United States, are the foremost. The Kaiser rarely misses an opportunity of ingratiating himself with the Yankees. He sent their uni- versities works of art; he introduced the flour- ishing system of a constant exchange of pro- fessors, so that American professors are giving temporarily lectures at Berlin, while German scholars go to the States to deliver discourses on German Science ; now, he is said to send one of his sons to Princeton University to be edu- cated in America; he has recently utilised the chance left him by the oversight of the British Government, and sent an official representative to the solemn opening of the Carnegie Insti- tute at Pittsburg. More than this is done by a host of German writers, who submit to the Americans tempting reflections such as the fol- lowing : — ^^The apprehensions of the American people prevent the United States establishing compul- 64 GERMANY'S MADNESS sory military service ; they can only rely, there- fore, on the development of their navy. The most rational solution for the United States is, therefore, to seek a ^rapprochement' with Ger- many. The strength of the combined fleets will soon exceed that of the British Navy. On the other hand, the magnificent German army would render possible widespreading transoceanic ex- peditions. . . . The similarity of character fa- vours a German- American alliance. Our sixty million citizens and the eighty million American are ever increasing and multiplying, and see their qualities improve, whereas the Latin races remain stationary or retrograde. Thus the Teutonic race, to which Americans belong as well as ourselves, could aspire to the domina- tion of the globe if the two nations walked to- gether instead of remaining isolated. Since 1820 Germany has sent over ^ve million emi- grants to the United States, that is, 22 per cent, of the total immigration. No other coun- try has sent so large a contingent. At the last census (1900) the number of individuals set- tled in the United States born to two German parents or one was estimated at 7,800,000, and of this number over two and a half millions had been born in Germany.'* GERMANY'S MADNESS 65 THE COMING STRUGGLE From the preceding extracts it will be seen that the Germans are now suffused with a pro- found and passionate belief in their great his- torical vocation. Again and again we beg to submit to the British reader that he must not take views and opinions such as have been here given in the way in which such things are taken by the nation of the United Kingdom. In Great Britain all sorts of views and intellectual or political opinions are constantly being pub- lished and discussed; yet, with the exception of a few faddists and eccentrics, nobody takes them over-seriously. At any rate, it may be stated with absolute correctness that very few people in this country are likely to labour any given political or economical theory to its log- ical extremes. The British nation has grappled with the realities of politics, party strifes, international policy, or ordinary wealth far too much to be addicted to mere theoretical pushing of ideas to their inferential fag ends. Hence the most extreme ideas in religion, philosophy, or poli- tics are, in Great Britain, less likely to be car- ried out in unmodified strict logic. Compro- 66 GERMANY'S MADNESS mise and half-measure wisdom are the soul of this country. In Germany, on the other hand, imperial problems, for instance, are as yet purely theoretic. No Germans, if we except one or two generations of Germans, have ever had any practical acquaintance with imperial problems. They cannot, therefore, know how to fit ideas to reality, how to modify theory to practice. Under these circumstances, their theoretic bent has all but free scope. Where, in reality, there are a thousand difficulties, they see none. The whole matter of world-power appears to them in the light of a simple and clear problem. The opinions of their leaders are taken by the Germans quite literally, and the realisation of their unbounded ambition is, they hold, only a matter of a few sound laws and increased energy. All this only adds to the overweening conceit filling them. For, not only are they convinced that the world ought to be theirs, but also that this appropriation of the globe, and perhaps of a few other planets, is relatively a simple affair. They, therefore, do not hesitate to draw the logical conclusion from all that their lead- ers tell them. One has only to read the follow- ing speech by Gen. Von der Goltz : — I GERMANY'S MADNESS 67 ^'It is therefore necessary to convince our- selves, and to convince the generation we have to educate, that the time for rest has not yet arrived ; that the prediction of a supreme strug- gle, in which the existence and the power of Germany will be at stake, is by no means a vain chimera emanating from the imaginations of a few ambitious madmen ; that this supreme struggle will burst forth one day terrible and momentous as all struggles between nations that serve as a prelude to great political revo- lutions. ' ' Also, Gen. Bernhardi's speech to the Berlin Society, 23rd January, 1905: — '*In spite of treaties and peace congresses, it is still by steel that great questions are settled." ''The English peril haunts Germany,'' writes M. Georges Villiers. ''By the force of things the 20th century will see the German and the Anglo-Saxon in a death struggle for maritime and commercial supremacy. At any rate, there is hardly a German who is not persuaded to- day that such will be the case. Those even who deny the possibility of such a conflict are not those whom it preoccupies least.'' And Prince Biilow, the German Chancellor, in a speech delivered in the Reichstag (Decem- 68 GERMANY'S MADNESS ber Gth, 1897), said: — ^'The time has gone by when Germans left the earth to one of their neighbours and the sea to another, retaining for themselves the sky, where pure doctrine reigns. " As a corroboration of the statement here made with regard to the extraordinarily high- strung feeling of imperial expansion on the part of the Germans, we here add two remarks made by well-known men in the world of literature, one a French Catholic priest, the other a Rus- sian novelist. The Pere Didon, author of sev- eral famous w^orks on Jesus and the religious movement of our day, says: — ^*She (Germany) lays claim to being mili- tarily, politically, scientifically, religiously, morally, and cerehrally the first nation in the world. Chauvinism in Germany is more than a sentiment; it is a theory, a dogma in a sci- entific dress. A distinction is made between the two races, the German and the Latin; the German, although only a newcomer on the scene where great events are enacted, being naturally placed first." The Russian novelist, Dostoi'ewski, writes : — ^'Chauvinism, pride, and an unlimited confi- dence in their own strength have intoxicated the GERMANY'S MADNESS 69 Germans since the war. This people, that has so rarely been a conqueror and has so often been conquered, had all of a sudden beaten the nation that had humiliated all the other na- tions. ... On the other hand, the fact that Ger- many, but yesterday all parcelled out, has been able in so short a time to develop so strong a political organisation, might well lead the Ger- mans to believe that they are about to enter on a new phase of brilliant development. This conviction has resulted in making the German not only Chauvinistic and conceited, but flighty as well; it is not only the Teutonic grocer and shoemaker now who are over-confident, but pro- fessors, eminent scientists, and even the min- isters themselves as well.'' No wonder that the arrogance of the ^* Elect Ones of God" come out at every possible and impossible occasion. When Bismarck was asked what he would do, should some 100,000 British soldiers be landed on the north coast of Germany in case of a war between Great Britain, France and Germany, he replied: ^'I should have them arrested by the police." PART II In the preceding section of this work something was said about the notions of extreme national pride and jingoism with which a very great and exceedingly influential number of German writ- ers, thinkers, professors, statesmen, and jour- nalists have these twenty odd years filled the heads of the Germans. This by itself is, we venture to submit, a dangerous state of things, and we have repeatedly tried to explain to the reader how these fanatic articles, books, views, or utterances of German leading men must be taken at their full face value, and how absurd it would be to compare their effect upon the German nation with that of similar books in this country. Everybody has heard of the vast influence which, in the eighteenth century, was exercised by a handful of French writers about political economy and politics on the coming and on the character of the French Eevolution. One can- not, indeed, maintain that History is always governed by ideas, and thus by thinkers and 70 GERMANY'S MADNESS 71 writers. But there are periods and conditions when such otherwise harmless multipliers of ink factories have a very serious influence upon their nation. In this chapter we are going to put before the reader the various circumstances which, independently of what German writers think or say, have powerfully contributed to swell the German head.^ Common sense — the least common of things, though the most necessary — will tell any man who gives his thoughts to matters of European history and politics that no single nation in Europe can be great or small but what the other nations contribute to it very consider- ably. A self-made nation does not exist any more than does, strictly speaking, a self-made man. Some other nation has invariably had a hand in it. So we note that Spanish great- ness was grafted and partly caused by the weak- 1 Although Germany's struggle for supremacy has been pre- cipitated in a manner that Dr. Reich could not foresee, and some of his hypotheses and deductions are correspondingly irrelevant to the present European crisis, there is yet left in this and the succeeding section of his work much that is valu- able in the matters of information and criticism. We venture to think that these sections are still worthy of perusal, before the reader passes to the Epitome in which the case stated by Dr. Reich in his first section is manifestly confirmed. — Ed. 72 GERMANY'S MADNESS ness of the then Germany and Italy. French greatness in the seventeenth century was based on the then weakness of Spain, Italy, Germany, and, periodically, of England, too. At present (1907) Germany's greatness, which is unde- niable, is based on the partial eclipse of France and Austria and on the absence of the spirit of Chatham in England. It is unnecessary to refer here to diplomatic and other incidents which have served to ob- scure the importance of France in comparison with Germany. We proceed to consider the position of Austria-Hungary. AUSTRIA-HUNGARY VASSAL OF GERMANY In the case of Austria-Hungary, things stand even much better for a mushroom-growth of the German swelled-head. There is, in fact, no exaggeration in saying that Austria-Hun- gary is, in international politics, the mere vassal of Germany. For over two centuries the rul- ers of Prussia were the humble subordinates of the Austrian Hapsburgs. When, at the be- ginning of the eighteenth century, the Electors of Brandenburg became Kings of Prussia, they became so by the grace of the Austrian rulers, who were the Emperors of the Holy Roman GERMANY'S MADNESS 73 Empire. As late as 1850 the King of Prussia was slighted, not to say duped, by the ruler of Austria. Since 1866 this has been completely reversed. Not only was Austria signally de- feated by Prussia in that year; but when, in 1870, Germany made war on France, and Aus- tria thereby had an excellent opportunity of squaring her count with Germany, the Aus- trians did not do so at all, and thus missed the greatest of their chances in modern history. Ever since, Austria-Hungary has been, in her own self-interest, bound to make friends with Germany, to abet and follow her, or to be, as was said above, her vassal. At the conference of Algeciras, for the settle- ment of the Moroccan Question, when all the other Powers sided with France and England, Austria-Hungary went, arm in arm, with Ger- many. Things have come to such a pass that Germany is at present the strongest guarantee for the maintenance of the dual empire called Austria-Hungary. The author, himself a Hun- garian, is well aware of the fact that nine per- sons out of ten in this country indulge in the belief that Austria-Hungary will, on the demise of Francis Joseph I., who is now (May, 1907) seventy-six years old, fall to pieces, and that 74 GERMANY'S MADNESS the Germans will take up and assimilate as many of these pieces as they may oare to. This belief is, we venture to submit, totally erroneous. On the demise of her present aged ruler, Austria-Hungary will not fall to pieces at all. That dual empire is a peculiar product, the oddest of European history. It has no unity whatever, racial, national, religious, or geographical. It is, in one word, not a straight- forward, natural result of the energy and the opportunities of a people, such as is France, England, or Germany; it is a makeshift, a pis- aller, as the French call it ; a thing which is bad enough as it is, but the absence of which would be worse still. Old Palacky, the historian of the Bohemians or Czechs, rightly said that if Austria did not exist, it would be necessary to invent it. It is not a country, or a nation; it is a misfortune, but an inevitable one. This can be made clear very briefly. The Germans have had too many terrible dis- asters in the last three centuries ; they have, as was pointed out above, learned too many a wholesome lesson, to ignore what a blind man can see. We mean, they know that any attempt of theirs on a Continental country, unless really GERMANY'S MADNESS 75 justified as an act of self-defence, would almost immediately call forth a coalition of most of tlie other Powers of Europe. Suppose, for in- stance, that Germany, out of sheer arrogance and greed, should invade Holland or Switzer- land. Nothing can be surer than that such an invasion would at once prevail upon the other Continental Powers to unite against Germany. If Germany should, instead of Holland or Switzerland, choose Austria as an object of appropriation, the balance of power would be thereby so gravely affected that Italy and France, let alone Hungary, Belgium, and Hol- land, would forthwith combine for the rehabili- tation of the European equilibrium. All this the Germans know full well. Their leaders, such as Professor Hans Delbriick, tell them so every day. They do not want to re- peat the fatal mistake of Napoleon. The great French Emperor was almost unceasingly mak- ing war on one Continental Power after the other, until finally all of them coalesced and combined against him, and so brought about his downfall. The Germans are quite aware that if, trusting in their superior military or- ganisation, they continue exasperating one Con- 76 GERMANY'S MADNESS tinental nation after the other, those nations will without fail unite against them, and fight them until they meet their Waterloo. Quite apart from this danger of a European, at any rate a Continental, coalition against them, the more thoughtful of the Germans are not at all anxious to absorb recalcitrant nations on the Continent. Already the few million Poles cause them no end of trouble ; and if the Germans, by hypothesis, forced the Dutch, Swiss, let alone the Austrians, into the Ger- man Empire, their Imperial Parliament would become a real inferno^ or, in plain English, an ungovernable anarchy. Prince Biilow, the Ger- man Chancellor, has repeatedly declared that the Poles form the greatest danger to the Ger- man Empire. Now, fancy some nine million Catholic Austrians entering the German Em- pire, and thus, by their deputies, the German Imperial Parliament. The Catholic or Centre Party is already one of the most influential parties in the Reichstag at Berlin; if nine mil- lion more Catholics should be represented in it, the Catholics would swamp the German Par- liament. The Germans, mostly Protestant, can- not possibly desire that. Bismarck said more GERMANY'S MADNESS 77 than once that he could not afford to absorb Austria, even if it were offered to him. All the foregoing reasons do not as yet give the complete statement with regard to Ger- many's unwillingness to seize on Austria. There is a still more powerful reason; one which at this stage of our little work we cannot discuss in full, but which may and must be touched upon. It is this: What Germany wants and desires is not continental expansion, but maritime expansion. In seizing part of Austria, the Germans would, to put it in simple language, only catch a Tartar. The gain is doubtful, the advantage far from certain. To expand on sea, on the other hand, would give the Germans unbounded facilities for their ever-growing surplus population, and for their international trade. If we suppose that Ger- many is offered the choice between say, Switzer- land and South Africa ; there is no doubt what- ever that the Germans would select the latter. In the same way, Asia-Minor has immense at- tractions for them; and the Dutch islands in the East Indies are an object fervently desired 78 GERMANY ^S MADNESS by Germany. All this transmarine expansion, however, means sea-power; in fact, supremacy on the sea. This supremacy, again, means a victorious war with Great Britain. This, then, is the real, the true, the only ob- jective of German *^ world-policy.'^ If Great Britain yielded to them, by force of course, her supremacy on sea, the Germans would not trou- ble much longer about being aggressive on the Continent. It would not pay them. To wrest the naval supremacy from Britain is a matter of war, but of a war incomparably shorter and less costly than a war with a continental coali- tion. It is well known that naval campaigns may be decided in an exceedingly short time, in a week or two. One signal victory, and the campaign is decided. Such a rapid solution of the problem cannot be so much as dreamed of on the Continent. On the other hand, neither Britain nor Germany can seriously hope to be joined, in a naval war, by a coalition proper. No more disastrous mistake can be made than to believe that Britain will eventually be helped by France, that is, by the French fleet. It will not, unless a very profound and improbable change comes over the whole mind of the French nation. GERMANY'S MADNESS 79 The Germans would therefore have to face the British fleet alone. This is undoubtedly a considerable venture. Yet it cannot be com- pared with the venture of facing a Continental coalition against the German army. If the British nation had attacked Germany a few years ago, say at the time of the Kaiser's tele- gram to Krtiger, the ambition of the Germans with regard to maritime expansion would have been nipped in the bud. At that time the dis- proportion between the British and the Ger- man fleets was too much in favour of the former. In a few years' time, however, this dispropor- tion will be very much toned down. Unless one believes in the absolute and unconditional invincibility of the British fleet as in a sort of law of nature, one is not entitled to assume that the German fleet cannot ever defeat it. Such statements may do in public gatherings crowned by a wildly jingoistic gallery. They cannot be taken seriously in a study of Britain's future. At any rate, it remains true that the Germans are entitled to think that it is much easier and more profitable to make good their desire for maritime expansion than to realise any hope of absorbing the Continent against a coalition of Powers. In the former case they would have 80 GERMANY'S MADNESS to fight only one, if a very great, Power; in the latter they would be attacked by at least ten Powers. Given all these undeniable circumstances, no sane person will lightly attribute to the Ger- mans an idea of beginning their expansion by an attack on a great and hitherto friendly Con- tinental Power, such as Austria-Hungary. Quite on the contrary : Since the Germans are fully aware of the folly of rousing against themselves, unnecessarily, some 150,000,000 continentals; since, moreover, transmarine ex- pansion is for them by far the more profitable expansion of the two, and by far the more feasi- ble, the Germans will, there is not a shadow of a doubt, take great care to avoid any complica- tions on the Continent. They will do every- thing in their power to maintain the chief Con- tinental State in the centre of Europe, that is, Austria-Hungary. That legend of the disruption and collapse of Austria-Hungary after the death of the pres- ent ruler is only a thought whose parent is the wish of the, alas! but too numerous, peace-at- any-pricers of this country. In their humanity they wish the Germans to ravage, occupy, and swallow Austria-Hungary, instead of attacking GERMANY'S MADNESS 81 the British fleet. Such an Austrian diversion, those goody-goody ones think in the inmost recesses of their hearts, wonld keep the obnox- ious Teuton from the shores of this country. So it would, but the Germans are not kind enough to be made the cat's-paw of Exeter Hall, and of the members of the Society for the Prevention of Cruelty to Cats. It has so far been shown that the extraordi- nary self-assurance of the Germans is partly based on the eclipse of France and of Austria- Hungary. We shall now see that Eussia, too, by her complete defeat at the hands of the Japanese and by the ensuing anarchy within her empire, has for the time being ceased to have any serious influence on European mat- ters. If one considers that it was the German Kaiser who, practically the first, in a now fa- mous painting of his, foreshadowed the ^'Yel- low Peril," and that this very ^^ Yellow Peril" was the cause of the downfall of Russia, and thus of the unprecedented ascendency of Ger- many, one cannot but be amazed at the strange and contradictory effects of political events. Russia is not only the immediate neighbour of Germany; there is also practically no natural barrier of any serious kind between the two 82 GERMANY'S MADNESS countries. This has always rendered Germany very apprehensive of danger on the Eastern or Russian side of her empire. It has repeat- edly prevailed upon German rulers to go warily and with even exaggerated caution. It has, un- der all circumstances, poured water into the German wine, as the French say. They could not think of sounding high trumpet-tones in handling international affairs. The Russian Bear was there. But now (1907) he is no longer there. He has withdrawn into his ob- scure lair, there to lick his own wounds, a-grum- bling and a-moaning. THE POSITION IN 1907 If, then, we twine up all the threads of Eu- ropean politics into one big rope of inference, it comes to this : In all Europe there is at pres- ent no longer a concert of six great Powers, but only a duo of two Powers: Germany and Great Britain. The rest of the Powers are what in music we call ripieni, i.e., merely fill- ing out the chords and harmonies. This state of minored prestige Germany has a capital interest to maintain in Europe. If the polit- ically anaemic Powers should coalesce and unite against Germany, they might become most dan- GERMANY'S MADNESS 83 gerous to Germany. Hence the whole of Ger- man policy is directed to one single object: to keep the former great Powers as bloodless as possible, to anaemiate without unduly exasper- ating them. This done, there remains for the Germans one single great duel, that with Great Britain. This, they hope they will be able to manage. The reader has undoubtedly noticed, from time to time, the progress in building men-of- war that has, in the course of the last ten years, been made in Germany. The daily papers bring such reports from authentic sources, and here and there a more thoughtful Englishman has collected them for future reference. The mass of this nation, we are afraid, has treated these most serious matters with the usual lev- ity. It is, therefore, necessary to collect here the latest and most authentic data about the startling progress of the German fighting navy, in order to impress the British reader with the fact above insisted upon, to wit, that the Ger- mans do prepare for a possible encounter with Great Britain. Their navy can have only one meaning: England, or, to speak with due re- gard to Scots and Irish, let alone Welsh sus- ceptibilities. Great Britain. Neither Russia 84 GERMANY ^S MADNESS nor Denmark, Norway or Sweden are threaten- ing the German coast. The colonies of the Germans are primitive; and their trade does not as yet require a navy as vast as the one they are building. Now, as to the facts of their men-of-war, built and building: During 1906 the German navy was increased by fifteen new warships, all of which were built in German shipbuilding yards, and represent a total displacement of 62,582 tons. Only three of these warships were built in the Government yards, and it speaks volumes for the gradual development of shipbuilding in Germany that the remaining twelve units were turned out by private yards. These fifteen units were made up of two squadron-battleships, two armoured- cruisers, two small cruisers, one mine-laying vessel, one ship for hydrographical purposes, one tender, six torpedo-boats, and one subma- rine; one of the torpedo-boats has not been launched yet. The battleships were the Schle- sien, launched at Danzig in May, and the Schleswig-Holstein, launched in December at Gaarden, near Kiel ; each is of 13,200 tons, and they are the last of the five vessels of the Deutschland type. With these two, the German navy has now twenty-four big battleships. ii GERMANY'S MADNESS 85 The armoured cruisers are the Scharnhorst, launched at Hamburg in March, and the Gneise- naUy launched in June at Gropelingen, on the Weser; each is of 11,500 tons displacement. The small cruiser Nurnberg was launched at Kiel in August, and the Stuttgart at Danzig in September. The Nautilus y Germany's first mine-layer, of 2,000 tons, was launched on the Weser in August; the tender Delphin, of 445 tons, was launched at Kiel in January. One division of torpedo-boats was launched at Kiel ; the last of these boats, G 137, fitted with the Parsons turbines, and of 572 tons could not be launched in December, nor has the date yet been fixed. Finally, last August, the U 1, the first submarine boat owned by Germany, was launched from the Krupp Germania yard at Gaarden; it is of 180 tons. In an appendix to Count Reventlow's book, ^^Weltfrieden oder Weltkrieg'^ (World-peace or World-war) f 1907, the well-known German writer on naval subjects gives an interesting account of his correspondence with six of the most important private shipbuilding yards in Germany with regard to their resources for the construction of battleships and cruisers of the largest type. Krupp 's Germania yards at Kiel 86 GERM ANY 'S MADNESS replied that they were perfectly capable of com- pleting a large battleship or cruiser within a period of twenty-four to thirty months, and that the seven slip-ways at their disposal would en- able them to lay down at least two of these vessels every year. The Howaldts works, also of Kiel, returned a similar reply, and guaran- teed to deliver one large battleship or cruiser every year after the first two years. The me- chanical appliances available at Kiel were of the most modern type, and skilled labour was plentiful. The Vulkan yards at Stettin stated that they could lay down two battleships of 18,000 tons each and two cruisers of 15,000 tons every year. If the guns and armour were promptly delivered by the makers, they too would be able to complete the ships within twenty-four to thirty months. When the Vul- kan ^s new yards at Hamburg had been opened their productive capacity would be increased 50 to 75 per cent. The firm of Blohm and Voss estimated that they could lay down two large ships, either battleships or cruisers, every year, and that they could deliver them within two or two and a half years if a continuous succes- sion of orders were assured. Herr Schichau, of Schichau *s works at Danzig and Elbing, re- GERMANY'S MADNESS 87 plied tliat, if necessary, lie could *^ comfort- ably'' accommodate four battlesliips of 18,000 tons each upon the stocks, and could also at the same time carry on the work of fitting out two or three more similar vessels. Herr Schichau informed Count Reventlow that he had already completed a battleship in thirty months, but that in general he would prefer to receive a fresh order every half-year rather than reduce the present building period of thirty to thirty-six months, which was quite short enough. The Weser Shipbuilding Com- pany drew attention to its new yards, and pledged its ability to lay down two battleships and two cruisers simultaneously, and to com- plete them within a period of twenty-four to thirty months. In addition to these private yards, Germany possesses all the resources of the Imperial navy yards at Kiel and Wilhelms- haven. The extent of dock accommodation for large ships available in German ports is described as being ample, so that from this point of view there is no reason why the rate of construction for the German navy should not be accelerated. There are four floating docks, including one with a capacity of 35,000 tons, at Hamburg, one 88 GEEMANY'S MADNESS at Bremen, and one at Stettin, all of which are in private hands, while the naval authorities have two dry docks at Kiel and four at Wil- helmshaven, two of which are still under con- struction. The State of Bremen also owns a dry dock at Bremerhaven, which is rented by the North-German Lloyd, and, if necessary, the locks of the Kiel Canal could be utilised for docking large ships, especially when the new and larger locks which are projected have been built. Furthermore, we read the following telling facts in April, 1906: — The action of the German Admiralty in plac- ing with extreme promptitude the orders for the two new battleships to be laid down under the German programme of 1907 has come as something of a surprise to the British naval authorities. The large armoured ships to be laid down for the German Navy this year are three in number. Two of them are described as battleships and the other is known as an armoured cruiser. All three are larger than any vessels yet built or designed for the British Navy. The two battleships will displace 19,- 000 metric tons, or 18,000 British tons, apiece, 800 tons larger than the Dreadnought. It is GERMANY'S MADNESS 89 understood that they will be laid down in the next few weeks. Their armament is reported to be fourteen or sixteen 11-in. guns of fifty calibres, so mounted that they will bring to bear a broadside superior to that of the Dread- nought. They will, it is believed, have turbine engines, though, since great secrecy has been maintained as to their details, nothing is cer- tainly known. Their speed will probably be about the same as that of the Dreadnought. They will be completed in the summer of 1910. The new German armoured cruiser will dis- place about 19,200 tons, and will therefore be 2,000 tons larger than the British ships of the Invincible class. It is known that she will have turbine engines and that a speed of over twenty-five knots is expected from her. Her armament is believed to consist of ten 11-in. guns mounted in the centre line, so that all can fire on either broadside, but some accounts rep- resent it as being even more powerful. Like the British Invincibles, she will be capable of destroying any battleship of the pre-Dread- nought era. In all, this summer (1907) Germany will have six monster ships building for her Navy. These are made up thus : Two battleships, be- 90 GEEMANY'S MADNESS lieved to be of over 18,000 tons, voted in 1906; one armoured cruiser of 16,000 tons, voted in 1906; two battleships of 18,700 tons, voted in 1907; one armoured cruiser of 19,200 tons, voted in 1907. England bas seven monster ships building or complete : the Dreadnought, voted in 1905, com- plete; the three 17,200-ton armoured cruisers of the Invincible class, voted in 1905, complet- ing; and three battleships of the Superb class, and 18,600 tons, voted in 1906, building. In addition, two battleships are to be voted under the estimates of the present year, and a third may be laid down if the Hague Conference fails to secure disarmament. But these last ves- sels will not be laid down till the beginning of 1908. Thanks to the enterprise of the London Daily Express (see an article in that paper of April 4th, 1907), we now know that the German Admiralty has decided to turn the port of Em- den, at the mouth of the river Ems, into a first- class torpedo base. This decision is Ger- many's reply to the formation of the British Home Fleet and the creation of a new flotilla of torpedo-boat destroyers at Dover. Emden is the nearest German harbour to the English GERMANY'S MADNESS 91 coast, and is some fifty miles nearer to Sheer- ness than Wilhelmshaven, which has hitherto been the most westerly of Germany's naval ports. It will be remembered that Emden is the port which is always chosen by novelists and story writers as the point at which the German army is embarked for the invasion of England. Embarkation wharves extend for over a mile along the right bank of the Ems, bnt apart from this the place is not very well adapted for the purpose usually allotted to it. The fortifica- tions are very feeble, and there are only a few troops quartered there, while for many miles the line of railway leading up from the military centres is a single one. These difficulties, however, could easily be surmounted, and they do not in the least affect the decision of the German Government. The principal German naval base in the North Sea is Wilhelmshaven, and this is connected with Emden by the Ems-Jahde Canal, about forty miles in length, which is deep enough to allow of the passage of small torpedo craft. By us- ing this canal, whatever force of torpedo-boats is at Wilhelmshaven can reach Emden without touching the sea at all, and it is stated that it is extremely unlikely that a force of boats will 92 GERMANY ^S MADNESS be permanently maintained at Emden. The only craft to be there permanently will be the necessary *^ mother ships. '^ There is no doubt, however, that the new base will provide a use- ful and dangerous striking point for Germany should she ever come into conflict with Great Britain. The Express naval correspondent at Sheer- ness had an interview with an officer of the Home Fleet at that port. **I am greatly sur- prised,'* he said, *Hhat the move has not been made before. Emden will certainly be of much more use to Germany as a torpedo base than as a possible jumping off place for an invasion which in all probability they would never risk. It brings their torpedo craft within eight hours of the English coasf **Do you think the British Admiralty will have to make any answer to this stepf the officer was asked. ^'With the flotillas of destroyers now based here and at Dover,'' he replied, ^^we ought to be safe enough; but, in my opinion, the Sheer- ness flotilla spends far too much of its time in the Channel and in the North of Scotland. They call it the Nore flotilla, and it ought to be the Nore flotilla, and nothing else. The divi- GERMANY'S MADNESS 93 sions at Sheerness and Dover should spend most of their time cruising about otf the mouth of the Thames. The Home Fleet will be a fine bait for these Emden torpedo craft, and we cannot afford to run any risks of a surprise.'* Another officer whose opinion was asked said: — **We cannot overrate the efficiency of German torpedo vessels. If Emden is going to be a torpedo base there ought to be at least thirty-six destroyers at Sheerness, and twelve continually at sea to prevent a surprise.'' Later reports brought the following informa- tion: — Between that port and Wilhelmshaven runs the Ems-Jahde Canal, and whatever ves- sels of the size of German destroyers may be at the dockyard port can reach Emden in less than two hours, without touching the open sea at all. The torpedo branch of the German navy is the most efficient department of a very efficient fleet. The men who man the craft are all expert in their work, for they are entered into the torpedo schools on joining the navy, and never leave that branch until they quit the service for good. The crews frequently re- ceive lectures on the defences of British naval bases. The full strength of the German navy in torpedo-boat destroyers is seventy-one, and 94 GERMANY'S MADNESS as each ship is replaced as soon as it reaches the age of ten years, they are in all respects up to date. In the British Navy there are still to be found several destroyers twelve, thirteen, and even fourteen years old. At present the German vessels, of which forty-three are in full commission, are divided between Wilhelmshaven, Cuxhaven (both North Sea ports), and Kiel, and, as it is very improb- able that any of those now in commission will be reduced to the sham British standard of *^ nucleus crews," the end of this year, when the new harbour is completed, will see at least forty modern and efficient German destroyers within eight or nine hours' steaming distance of the English coast. As a protection against the possible attacks of such a force. Great Britain maintains in the North Sea only twenty-four fully-commis- sioned destroyers, of which at the present five are laid up for repair. Even when all of them are fit for sea, they are frequently hundreds of miles away in the English Channel or the north of Scotland. Behind these ready-for- war craft a considerable force of torpedo ves- sels is attached to the Nore Division of the Home Fleet, but, as they are manned on the GERMANY ^S MADNESS 95 pernicious nucleus crew system, they are prac- tically negligible for immediate fighting pur- poses. Besides, they are all assembled for ex- ercises at Torbay, 340 miles from the North Sea. The recent developments in German naval organisation have no other object but to threaten Great Britain's supremacy in those waters which the creation of the Home Fleet was intended to assert. That fleet came into official existence on New Year's Day. So far, its ready-for-war strength in the North Sea is represented by two battleships to Germany's sixteen. The Fifth Cruiser Squadron is still existent only on paper. In March, 1907, the Rheinisch Westfaelische Zeitung, published at Essen, gave prominence to a telegram from Berlin announcing on in- formation derived from the best source that the naval administration intends to purchase the whole of the ^^Oberland" of Heligoland with the object of fortifying the entire island. Several tracts have already been bought, and the garrison is now being reinforced by 420 men. It is proposed to turn the North Harbour into a torpedo harbour for the active fleet, and the harbour will be developed on a correspond- ingly large scale. The telegram continues: — 96 GERMANY'S MADNESS ^'The present fortifications are a half -measure, for they are unable to offer any effective re- sistance to the heavy turret guns of hostile war- ships, whose range, too, would out-distance the batteries of the island. The German people will understand why the plan has now assumed definite shape and development. Heligoland would be a plain hint to the Western Powers and an unmistakable reply to their recent machinations. Great Britain has ostenta- tiously increased her Home Fleet, and the new war harbour at Devonport is a fresh link in the chain of measures which stand in direct antithesis to the disarmament proposals which Great Britain is with suspicious zeal espousing. Let us make Heligoland a German Cronstadt which, covering the mouths of the Weser and Elbe and the Kiel Canal, together with the coastal defences on the mainland, will form a base within whose sphere an enemy will not lightly dare to intrude." The Berliner Neueste Nachrichten states that it is only contemplated to improve the fortifi- cations at a cost of £60,000. The German active battle fleet, or North Sea Squadron, con- sisted, middle of May, 1907, of the sixteen most up-to-date vessels in the Imperial Navy, with GEEMANY'S MADNESS 97 two others in reserve at Wilhelmshaven. It lias now been decided to add two battleships to the active fleet and two to the reserve, bring- ing the total up to twenty-two. The numerical inferiority of the British Fleet in home waters, to which attention has so often been called of late, will be greatly in- creased by this augmentation of the German fleet in service. The British Channel Fleet, which covers the North Sea, contains fourteen battleships in full commission; Germany will shortly have eighteen in the same waters. In the Home Fleet at the Nore there are six more battleships, but these, as was admitted in the House of Lords, are largely manned with un- trained crews, and cannot be regarded as in- stantly ready for war. The British total is therefore twenty to the German twenty-two, the percentage ready for immediate hostilities being respectively 70 and 82. In addition, the German torpedo flotilla is much stronger than the British, and, unlike it, is always in the North Sea and ready for instant service. This change is typical of what has been going on for the past three years (1904-1907). While the British Naval Estimates have been reduced by six millions sterling, the German 98 GERMANY'S MADNESS have increased by three millions. While Brit- ish arsenals and dockyards are being reduced and neglected, those of Germany are being rapidly developed. It is only a continuity of policy on both sides that has led to the reduc- tion of the number of British ships in full com- mission and an increase in the German. GERMAN NAVY LEAGUE In many ways even more important than all that has been done by the Germans in the mat- ter of ship-building for purposes of war, is the constantly growing intense interest of the Ger- man nation in those naval preparations. The German Navy League is well known as the mouthpiece of the German Government. Here are a few facts about the activity of that League, brought down to May, 1907: — During the last year the membership of the League increased from 865,000 to 906,000, whereas the British Navy League only numbers about 20,000 members. The Navy League of German Women works in co-operation with the Navy League itself, and numbers many thousands of enthusiastic women friends of maritime expansion. Dur- ing the last twelve months nearly 2,000 public GERMANY'S MADNESS 99 meetings were held under tlie auspices of the League. Six hundred thousand copies of a naval handbook were sold at cost price, and 500,000 copies of a pamphlet on ''Germany's Naval Power'' were supplied to the branches for distribution. The lectures and meetings were supplemented by biograph productions showing pictures of the fleet at sea and other phases of naval life. One of the most impor- tant features of the work of the League was the propaganda conducted among school teachers and schoolboys at State schools. Many thou- sands of pamphlets and leaflets were distrib- uted to teachers, who also received from the League's officials much general information about the navy, in writing. Three hundred teachers from inland towns were conducted on a four days' excursion to Hamburg and Kiel, at the expense of the League, to enable them to see the importance of Germany's mercantile interests and the size of the fleet with their own eyes. Several ex- cursions of schoolboys to Kiel were also ar- ranged at the expense of the League, which thus enabled between 2,000 and 3,000 German lads to obtain a personal interest in the Kai- ser's fleet. Special railway excursions were 100 GERMANY'S MADNESS also run from many inland places to Kiel at low prices, to enable Germans in general to view the fleet. The monthly paper issued by the League has a circulation of 355,000. These particulars prove clearly enough that great popular interest and enthusiasm exist in Ger- many in regard to the navy. Count von Reventlow, the well-known Ger- man naval expert, has given the Daily MaiVs Berlin correspondent a statement of the rea- sons why limitation of naval armaments is re- jected by the Kaiser's Government. He pro- posed as an inscription over the Conference Hall at the Hague, ^'Si vis bellum, para pacem" (^^If you wish for war, prepare for peace"). Count von Reventlow argues that Germany must follow England's principle of maintaining a fleet able not only to guard her coasts, but to maintain unimpaired the over-sea communica- tions vital to her existence. ''In this region of national defence England has been the world's schoolmaster. We in Germany con- fess ourselves without exception believers in the English doctrine, for the soundness of which English history furnishes such brilliant confirmation. How far our teacher interprets the meaning of 'coast-defence' is apparent from GERMANY'S MADNESS 101 her old strategic principle that in war one's own lines of defence must be laid on the enemy's shores. ^*It lies, indeed, in the incompleteness of hu- man nature that Christian altruism has not yet become the common possession of the nations. So must we Germans acknowledge that we still possess enough wicked egoism to defend our property to the maximum of our strength. As yet, Germany is far from having reached this point. ^^It is obvious that many Englishmen should wish to see the cost of their Navy reduced. But here again Germans are so devoid of al- truism that they cannot set the desires of Eng- lish taxpayers above German life interests. I can only repeat my former proposal that Eng- land slacken her armaments until the comple- tion of the German naval programme in 1920, when both fleets will be about equally strong. Then will the millennium be at hand, and tax- payers can sacrifice a cock to ^sculapius." GERMANY IN THE MIDDLE EAST The attentive reader of the preceding state- ments of fact cannot possibly think that Ger- man enterprise for purposes of greater na- 102 GERMANY'S MADNESS tional expansion is nothing more than a pious wish of a few professors or other academic people. This enterprise is distinctly imperial- ist ; it is consciously the set resolution of a great nation to assert their place of prominence in the supreme council of nations. One has only to read what the Germans have recently com- menced doing in far-off Persia, to get a very clear idea of their determined bid for imperial power of the first magnitude. In a valuable and authentic report published in the London Daily Express, of April 3, 1907, we read as follows : ^'Germany, in need of new fields of expan- sion, has marked down Persia as a favourable country for exploitation, and elaborate plans have been worked out for the promotion of German commercial interests and the extension of German enterprise in the Shah's dominions. ^^ These plans are to be carried out by Ger- man capitalists supported by the German Gov- ernment, in spite of the fact that every step forward contemplated by the Germans involves an invasion of the recognised sphere of British influence and an attack on British interests in Persia. German enterprise in Persia thus promises to bring about a critical situation in GERMANY'S MADNESS 103 the Middle East, besides increasing the tension between Great Britain and Germany already existing in Europe. *' Germany's schemes for exploiting Persia are so menacing to British interests that they merit serious attention on the part of His Maj- esty's Government. *^ Hitherto Great Britain and Russia have been the only Powers with extensive influence at Teheran. North Persia has been recognised as the Russian sphere of influence, and South Persia as the British. The Anglo-Russian agreement, now practically concluded, provides for the removal of future causes of rivalry in Persia. *^This arrangement between Great Britain and Russia is extremely distasteful to Ger- many, who desires to further her own ends in Persia. It is significant, however, that the commercial development now beginning is to be confined to South Persia, and carefully ex- cluded from North Persia. * ^ In plain words, this means that the German Government is willing to patronise an invasion by German merchants of the British sphere of influence, while carefully avoiding any action that could give offence to Russia. German 104 GERMANY'S MADNESS protestations of friendship for England cannot conceal the fact that the scheme now begun in Persia with the consent and knowledge of the German Government is an effort to gain a footing in a country adjacent to Britain's In- dian Empire. ^^The German Orient Bank was founded more than a year ago to promote profitable en- terprises in Eastern countries. Its own capital amounts to £800,000, and its founders and backers are three of the most powerful insti- tutions in Germany — the Dresdner Bank, the National Bank of Germany, and the Schaffhau- sen Banking Association. One of its directors, Herr Gutmann, junior, is now at Teheran to begin practical business operations in Per- sia. *^The plan of campaign has been carefully worked out, and begins with the establishment of a German bank at Teheran to compete with the British and Russian banks already there. The main object of this bank will be to secure concessions. **The German Orient Bank will also try to establish a great commercial centre at the most favourable port on the Persian Gulf, obtain- GEEMANY'S MADNESS 105 ing a concession of territory as the site of the necessary buildings. This would be the head- quarters of a new German line of coasting steamships to distribute to all the Persian ports the German exports brought to the chosen com- mercial centre by the Hamburg- America and other German lines. ^'The steamships of the Hamburg- America Company now plying in the Persian Gulf undercut their British competitors by charging 85. a ton of freight as compared with 125. a ton rate of the British ships, and it is expected that a continuation of this policy will drive the British flag out of the Gulf. ^'An audacious scheme of railway construc- tion, seriously encroaching on British rights, completes the project of the German Orient Bank. It is stated that one of these projected German railways, running from Teheran to Bagdad, would earn profits simply by convey- ing the corpses of pious Persians to two holy places southward of Bagdad, where the Persian Moslems desire to be buried. Another pro- jected railway, running from Bagdad eastward and then southward to the new German com- mercial centre on the Persian Gulf, would 106 GERMANY'S MADNESS provide the urgently needed terminus for the Bagdad Railway. ^'The German Government recently ap- pointed a new Minister to Teheran, Herr Stem- rich, an expert in Oriental affairs, to promote German commercial interests in Persia. One of Herr Stemrich's first acts was to recommend an immediate extension of German enterprise. ' ' COMMERCIAL. ENTEEPEISE AND PROSPERITY What makes all these far-reaching plans and preparations even more menacing, at any rate more important than they are at present, is this: that Germany, at home, is making such rapid strides towards an unprecedented prog- ress of her national wealth and prosperity, that her oversea enterprises will, without doubt, easily find their necessary financial backing by capital in Germany. For this purpose, one has only to read the report of Mr. Consul H. Har- ris-Gastrell on the trade of the Kingdom of Wurtemberg, one of the South-German States, issued in 1907. In that country practically every industry is reported to be in a highly flourishing condition. Orders are pouring in, capital is doubling with unparalleled rapidity, wages are rising, and there is an extraordinary GEKMANY'S MADNESS 107 demand for labour. The British Consul says : — ''The general economic improvement in Ger- many . . . has continued steadily, and in the latter of the two years under review (1905- 1906) attained a hitherto unprecedented height. ''There are no signs as yet of high-water mark having been reached, most manufacturers having orders for months in advance. "The home labour supply has proved inade- quate to meet the increased demands, and in some trades a considerable number of foreign workmen have been obtained. "This scarcity of labour has resulted in a very general increase of wages, which in many industries amounts to more than a 10 per cent, rise, and also in many cases a shortening of the working day.'' It is stated that the coal consumption of the German Empire has risen from 166,200,000 tons in 1904 to 195,000,000 tons in the first eleven months of 1906. Goods traffic on the railways on 1906 was double that of 1905. The following table shows the amazing growth of German imports and exports during the past twelve years: — 108 GERMANY'S MADNESS IMPORTS 1894 £206,000,000 1906 £392,000,000 EXPORTS 1894 .. .. .., £166,000,000 1906 £306,000,000 An increase of nearly 100 per cent, in twelve years. In most trades the only subject of complaint is the scarcity of workmen. The following are typical extracts: — Machinery. — Employers complain of the dif- ficulty of securing skilled technical labour. Motor Industry. — The demand (in 1905-6) far exceeded the output. Brickmaking. — The labour problem becomes more difficult every year. A large number of Italian workmen are now employed. Furniture. — Manufacturers complain of the difficulty of obtaining skilled labour. Boot and Shoe Trade. — The industry has made good headway. The manufacturers com- plain of the difficulty in securing skilled hands. One of the most striking evidences of Ger- many's amazing prosperity is given in the fol- GERMANY'S MADNESS 109 lowing remarkable statement of capital in- vested in industrial undertakings: — Capital invested in the year 1904 £11,250,000 '' '» '' 1906 £19,500,000 An increase of nearly 75 per cent, in two years. imperialism: German and British The upshot, then, of a cool and sincere inves- tigation into the state of German political, naval and economic conditions is this : that the Germans do think of expanding their country into an empire proper, and that they have all the means of doing so. They have the money for it; they have, as was shown above, the requisite prudence and the firm resolution to avoid complications on the Continent; they are fast getting the navy for the carrying out of their imperialism. Now, unless a person is ready to maintain that a man who is actually in a position which entitles him to assume that he can readily double his income, will yet and in all cases, abstain from doing so; unless, we say, one is inclined to assert such a thing, we cannot possibly assume that the Germans will. 110 GERMANY'S MADNESS in the near future, abstain from further expan- sion, industrial and imperial. There have been single individuals who, like Sylla, quietly with- drew into private life, although all the treas- ures of power and wealth were in their hands. But there is in history no record of an entire nation that has ever done such a thing. We have no right whatever to presume that of the Germans. On the contrary, for the reasons given, we are obliged to expect them to proceed with ever greater energy on the road to impe- rialism, or to '^world-power'' as they call it. In the opinion of the present writer, the in- ability of so many thousands of Englishmen to see aright in all questions of the relation of Germany to Great Britain is largely due to the ignorance in which they are about the real driv- ing causes of their own, of British Imperial- ism. The average Briton lives and dies in the belief that the great achievement that we call The British Empire was made chiefly by a sort of innate genius of the '* Anglo-Saxon Eace." That blessed expression seems to account for everything. It is, in fact, not too much to say, that forty people out of fifty will conven- iently account for most things under the sun by referring them either to the weather or to the GERMANY'S MADNESS 111 Anglo-Saxon Eace. Yet, with due deference to both of these remarkable Powers, it might be urged with no mean lack of probability, that there are quite a number of historical, political and other events that can be traced back to neither of the so-called four seasons in Eng- land, nor to the influence of the Anglo-Saxon Race. British Imperialism is one of these events. It was made neither by meteorolog- ical, nor by racial qualities. It was made, be- cause it had to be made; because Imperialism was more necessary to the dwellers of Great Britain than was either the Church of England or the Temperance Movement. British Imperialism began with William the Conqueror, or the famous Franco-Norman who succeeded the only one of all English Kings to engrave the date of his greatest battle upon the memory of every Englishman. This is now not too far from 850 years. Imperialism in this country is older than Oxford University, the House of Commons, the Church of England, the Nonconformist Churches, the English Sunday, or the English language. At first that Impe- rialism spent itself in France (from 1066 to 1453), and then when it was found out that France could not be conquered, it worked at the 112 GERMANY'S MADNESS incorporation of Ireland and Scotland, and when that was finished (1707), it went abroad and fought and wrought together the present Brit- ish Empire. The same reason that made the English of 1900 say, ^'from Cape to Cairo," made them say in 1100, '^from the Tweed to Biarritz,'' or (as Biarritz did not exist at that time) ^'from Berwick to Bordeaux." It was always the same thing. Imperialism is not a matter of choice, or of Knight-errantry, a sort of Don Quixote enterprise. This was partly taught by the late Professor Seeley; but quite wrongly. It was not by *^ absent-mindedness" that the British Empire was founded. It was an imperative necessity that called it into exist- ence. We venture to refer our readers to our book Imperialism (1905, Hutchinson) for fur- ther details. Here we speak of these things only because we mean to bring out as strongly as possible the fundamental nature of all Imperialism proper. This nature spells Necessity. The Romans did not build up their Empire because in a moment of bored leisure they said to them- selves: ^^Life is a nuisance — let us go and do something — suppose we conquer the world!" They conquered the world because they were GERMANY'S MADNESS 113 placed before the alternative of perishing at once or conquering everything. Now, the Ger- mans of our days are in a similar position. They are at present over sixty million people ; that is, the German Empire already contains more European whites than does the British Empire. They are exceedingly prosperous, and, since wealth increases the greed for lux- uries even more rapidly than the power to make money, the Germans are daily getting more and more anxious for the possession of new fields of commercial activity and power. But how can they do justice to these immensely power- ful desires of theirs unless they expand into a world-empire? They must become a world- empire or they must abdicate. THE GERMAN ABROAD At a great number of '* classes'' or discus- sions after lectures and other public addresses, the author has heard it remarked by various British men and women, that if the Germans want to expand their commerce, they can very well do so without waging war with England, since England does not roll any obstacles what- ever in the way of German immigration into British Colonies. This is as yet perfectly true. 114 GERMANY'S MADNESS Germans may at present leave their Father- land, repair to, say Australia, and there es- tablish any business of their own under condi- tions and circumstances identical with those applying to an Englishman. No discrimina- tion is made against them. They may buy land, open shop, trade, import or export, teach, perform — in short, do anything they please, without anybody forcing them to become Brit- ish citizens, or laying upon them any burden heavier than that laid upon British citizens. All this is quite true; and if the Germans were still where they used to be in the first half of the nineteenth century; if their Fatherland was still a geographical expression rather than a high-strung national State, then, and then alone, we might very well expect them to emi- grate without much heartburning or patriotic compunction. However, this has long since ceased to be the case. Germany is no longer a geographical or purely literary expression. It is an intensely developed national polity ; a na- tion instinct with all the powers, pride, and pas- sion of the older nations, such as the British and the French. Thousands of Britons could find comfortable berths in countries other than such as belong to the British Empire; say in GERMANY'S MADNESS 115 Eussia, Hungary, Italy or Austria. Yet few of tliem avail themselves of the opportunity, simply because they do not care to live in a country not their own. And if any British journalist or statesman should publicly preach emigration of Britons to non-British countries, he would be regarded as an enemy of England. It is even so in modern Germany. They do not want to lose hundreds of thousands of their compatriots to America or to the British Em- pire. They want to keep them. They want to talk German, to make DeutscMhum and Deutschland one and the same thing. If, there- fore, anybody should counsel them to unburden themselves or the surplus of their teeming pop- ulation in Australia or South Africa, they would consider such a suggestion as a malig- nant one, as a personal insult. Can we wonder at that? Is it not quite natural that a nation that has by hard-won victories finally realised its secu- lar dream of political unity does not feel in- clined to encourage emigration into foreign countries? The German, as is well known, easily assimilates himself to new and stronger nationalities. During a ^ye years' stay in the United States, we have never seen a German 116 GERMANY'S MADNESS who had remained German in his mode of think- ing and feeling. One of them, Judge Stallo, said he did ; but he did not. We convinced our- selves of that by personal intercourse. The Canadian French still retain their fine lan- guage of the times of Louis XIV. ; the Germans in the States drop the idiom of their original home in less than one generation. There is, be it remarked in passing, a pecul- iar reason for that. No ordinary German, whose parents were folk living in small provin- cial towns in the country, talks ^^high'^ or book- German. They all talk a dialect, and Germany bristles with an incredible number of dialects, jargons, modes of pronunciation, and so on. To any one well acquainted with German, it is the easiest thing in the world to tell the social status of any given German man or woman by the language he or she uses, and more espe- cially by his or her pronunciation. Now, the majority of German-Americans are the chil- dren of very humble German folk. Learning German from their parents, they can talk only such German as their parents gave them, that is, peasant German. Rather than reveal, by their pronunciation, that they come from peas- ant stock, the German-Americans pretend not GERMANY'S MADNESS 117 to know German at all, and even willingly for- get their ^ ^ Dutch, ' ' as they call it. In any case, the Germans in the States, as everywhere else, become first oblivious of, then indifferent to, their original language, and so to thousands of mental moods and attitudes ingrained in the language. They de-Germanize themselves. This is but too well known to the people of Ger- many. They dread emigration more than any- thing else. It institutes to them a national danger, a loss in humans. A very curious instance of this facile de-Ger- manization of some Germans occurred a few years ago in — Germany herself. When for purposes of higher policy, a great number of Polish families were transplanted from Prus- sian Poland to Westphalia, with its purely Ger- man population, it was soon found out that many a German peasant, under the singular spell of the Polish women, began to neglect his own vernacular, and to talk Polish. This too is not incomprehensible. The Germans have, on the one hand, become very sensitive as to their newly acquired national unity, and united nationality; on the other hand, that feeling, stronger in words than in fact, has not yet reached the intensity and firmness that we find 118 GERMANY'S MADNESS in members of nations who, like the English or French, have each been nationally united for several hundred years. Emigration, then, no matter what facilities may be offered to the Germans, is the very method they disapprove of most. In fact, their leaders do everything in their power to fill their compatriots with a strong aversion from leaving Germany for a British or American country. If, moreover, we take into considera- tion the great and constantly rising prosperity of contemporary Germany ; especially if we re- member that what the German industrials lack most is human labour, as Count Posadowsld, Imperial Home Secretary, has publicly re- marked, and as was shown above in detail; we cannot but come to the conclusion that emigra- tion to non-German countries is not a way out of the difficulty, because it is not likely to be resorted to by very many Germans. But if emigration is discouraged and dis- credited, what else can the Germans do to sat- isfy their irresistible desire for expansion? Their own colonies are far and unprofitable, and not favourable in point of health. On the Continent, for reasons just given, they cannot expand otherwise than at the risk of a Euro- GERMANY'S MADNESS 119 pean coalition against them. What else can they do I The average Briton has never given that matter the slightest thought ; and if he has, he dismissed it with a vague smile. Or has the author not repeatedly heard Englishmen say, in effect, that if a war with Germany should break out, it will be *'not in our lifetime,'* but ^^in a hundred years from now"? To one who studies German preparations every day of his life; to one who knows German and the Ger- mans, their history and literature; to such a person such remarks send a cold shiver through his heart. After the awful experience of the Boer War, to talk like that of a war with the best-trained, highest-spirited, and most danger- ous nation in the world! It is nothing short of appalling. IMPERIALISM AND THE BIRTH-EATE Of course, there is still another way out of the difficulty. It is one that implies no hard- ship whatever to the British, and is therefore welcome to them. It is, moreover, a radical solution of the whole German question. It would leave no secret animosity against Eng- land in the hearts of the Germans. Undoubt- edly there is such a method. It has long been 120 GERMANY'S MADNESS known to various nations. This method is — to have but very few children; in other words, to Malthusianise the nation. Why the Ger- mans, in order to please the British and to rid them of all bother about wars (a bother that might interfere with British amusements at music halls, racecourses, comedy theatres, and other sublime places), why we say, the Germans do not adopt this method of settling the whole business, one cannot really quite see. It would be so nice of them. However, they do not adopt it. The wide and spacious German women will persist in bringing forth such a number of young Teutons that in the last forty years they have outdistanced France by over twenty million people. In fifty years from now the Germans will certainly be a matter of far over 100,000,000 people in the German Empire alone. From the Kaiser downwards, they have all numerous families. The fact is that the Germans have quite appropriated the great les- son about the connection between Imperialism and children. They know that a nation which has reached a certain number must irretrievably grow Imperialist, or otherwise — Malthusianise herself. We take the liberty of here quoting part of an article which we published in the GERMANY'S MADNESS 121 Daily Express of April 18, 1907, and in wMch we gave a resume of some of the ideas of our book on Imperialism (1905). We said: — *^It is well known that millions of modern men and women are, as they think, ^dead against all Imperialism.' It is to these and their friends that I should like to submit some human remarks on the relation of Imperialism and children. For this purpose, we shall shortly regard the modern history of France. Repeatedly the French, or rather their rulers, attempted to widen the territory of France in Europe, that is, to found a French Empire. ^'The last attempt, clearly prepared by the Republicans of the great Revolution (1789- 1799), was realised, for a time, by Napoleon I. He imperialized many a country round France. However, the French nation, more especially the French women, hated Napoleon's imperial ideas. These women, all-powerful in France, sapped and sapped the popularity of Napoleon, whom they called the man-eater. ^*When, therefore. Napoleon lost a battle or two in 1813 and 1814, the French, instead of rallying round their great Imperial leader, as the Spanish had done round Palafox, Castanos, or Cuesta, for over seven years, at once cooled 122 GERMANY'S MADNESS off, and Napoleon went first to Elba and then to St. Helena. The French had missed their chance of making an empire. ^^ Napoleon, the greatest political thinker of modern times, had clearly seen that the French, already in his time the most populous nation in Europe (even Russia was then less popu- lous), imperatively needed more elbow-room for — children. Unless the French, Napoleon thought, get greater chances for human expan- sion, they will either emigrate, or — they will, given their national and secular passion for thrift, cease having children. This is precisely what happened. The very reason that made French women hate Napoleon, namely, that he sent so many Frenchmen out of France, makes them hate their large colonies. Madame does not want to leave France; and what Madame dislikes, the gods, being French and polite, do not approve of either. Hence, one thing alone remained. ^Let us adopt,* the madames said, Hhe system of that amiable English clergy- man, Malthus, and have as few children as pos- sible.' This they have sedulously done ever since : with this interesting result, that France, in 1815 more, much more populous than Ger- many, is now 22,000,000 less populous than the GERMANY'S MADNESS 123 empire of William II., although the areas of the two countries are practically the same. **The human note, thus, comes to this: Na- poleon's Imperialism, fiercely attacked by French and non-French Socialists, pacifistes, ^humanists,' positivists, anarchists, women, and professors of history; Napoleon's Imperialism cost the French some two million men, it is said. I know that this figure cannot be posi- tively proved. But I accept it. Napoleon killed two million men for Imperial purposes. The Germans, too, lost a similar number. Well, may I learn, who killed the twenty-two million French now missing? One won- ders. . . . *^Kill the Imperial sentiment, and you kill millions of babes. Kill the Imperial sentiment : loosen the Imperial ties; try to manoeuvre out of it, to make silly compromises, or to dupe it somehow or other, and in the end you will have manoeuvred your nation out of children, and duped your honour out of all shape." The British reader — who is, we are afraid, too much given to a minimizing of any danger of invasion of or war with Great Britain — ought to ponder the preceding reflections with great care. The question really comes to this : 124 GERMANY ^S MADNESS What can the Germans do but expand! And since they cannot possibly expand on the Con- tinent, they must necessarily expand by sea- power, which inevitably means conflict with The Sea-Power of the world — with Great Britain. The one way out of the difficulty would be the artificial restriction of the fast-growing popula- tion of Germany. This the Germans do not want to resort to ; and surely no Briton can, in common decency, advise or force them to do so. WAR IS INEVITABLE What, then, can be the ultimate upshot of all these circumstances? War — conflict; noth- ing else. The reader is most seriously re- quested to take all the preceding remarks and observations into consideration. We do not say that a given German, or this or that set of Germans, as such, hate the British. We posi- tively know he or they do not. We are con- vinced by facts under our immediate observa- tion that a very considerable portion of the Germans are rather favourably inclined to- wards the British. We know that untold num- bers of them sincerely admire English litera- ture, English ways and social manners. But GERMANY'S MADNESS 125 we do know, at tlie same time, tliat such sympa- thy or admiration does not alter the crucial point — that is, the fact that Germany wants more expansive power at the expense of the British. Between Germany and Great Britain there is an antagonism that can be gotten over only by means of armed conflict. All through history we see such antagonisms. There was the same antagonism between Athens and Sparta; between Rome and Carthage; be- tween the Greek and the Roman Catholic Church; between England and France in the Middle Ages and up to Waterloo; between the North and the South of the United States ; and between many a minor set of nations. It has nothing to do with personal likes or dislikes; with the sayings of the Press; with dynastic differences; or with ^' racial' ' views. It is in the nature of things. It is like the conflict be- tween day and night, between winter and sum- mer, or between youth and old age. It can be staved off for a time; it can never be averted altogether. In the present work it is our ob- ject to make this as clear and convincing as possible. For it needs a lot of convincing in this country. In Germany every single person is and has long since been sufficiently convinced. 126 GERMANY'S MADNESS In Germany every able-bodied man is a sol- dier. Together with his education as an effi- cient unit for military purposes, he is taught a little history, and the great spirit of an ag- gressive and growing nation is infused into him. In a country where practically every one man is or has been a soldier, the necessities of war are amongst the A B C of things; they are known to everybody. There is not a grown per- son in Germany but knows that, just as he in- dividually has to obey his military superior in order to keep the whole of the German army in sound form, even so, all over Europe, each na- tion has to obey her superior, that is, the com- mands of European balance of power. We do not ignore that many an Englishman fondly imagines that Socialism in Germany is a disruptive force, or one that will impede or incapacitate Germany in any attempt at mak- ing political moves of European grandeur. No greater illusion can possibly be indulged in. Socialism in Germany, as everywhere else on the Continent, except France, is a purely theo- retic force. It yields to the first onslaught of any one of the old historical and real forces on the Continent. Witness the signal defeat of Socialism in the recent (1907) elections in Ger- GERMANY'S MADNESS 127 many, when the Kaiser and his councillors ad- vanced the real forces of their political army. Socialism in Germany is politically not a party based on historic realities, but only a manoeuvre based on abstract ideas of a certain school of economists. Now, if there is one thing more certain than another, it is this : abstract theories cannot, in the long run, undo historic and prac- tical forces. In England, these two hundred years, there have been any number of *^ parties'' teaching abstract novelties, such as Theism, Atheism, Positivism, and so on. They have never been able to cope with the historic and practical force called the Anglican Church. It is even so with Socialism in Germany. It is abstract. It was called into existence by two scholars, by Karl Marx and Ferdinand Lassalle. The very fact that both were originally of Jewish extrac- tion, that is, that neither had had a share in the real life of the historic forces of Germany, shows that Socialism is born of abstract ideas. It can cause, and it has caused, much disturb- ance and discussion; it cannot build up or de- stroy Germany. Bismarck, faithfully continu- ing the traditions of the old and historic class of Junker J or country squires, to which he be- 128 GERMANY ^S MADNESS longed ; Bismarck, we say, did build up the unity of Germany, and Lassalle failed. A nation is not a piece of mineral on and with which one can make any experiment one chooses. A nation is something organic, and refuses to be handled by abstract and mechan- ical measures. They, therefore, who indulge in any thought of Germany being seriously crippled or thwarted by her Socialists are liv- ing in a fooPs paradise. Has not Bebel, the acknowledged leader of the German Socialists, repeatedly declared that his party does not believe in disarmament, in settling all interna- tional disputes by the Hague Tribunal, and also that he and his will unhesitatingly take up arms in defence of Germany, or in any cause involv- ing the honour and greatness of the Father- land? Bebel has drawn upon himself the se- vere strictures of M. Herve, the anti-militarist leader of the French Socialists, but he did not mind that very much. Germany has parties — even a peace party. However, those parties are like mere shadows, as compared with the real power in Germany — the State, i.e., principally Prussia. The aver- age Englishman has not the least idea of the extent to which, in Germany, the influence and GERMANY'S MADNESS 129 interference of the State has practically nulli- fied all other activities in the public or political life of the Grerman nation. The nearest exam- ple in England to that effect are the great banks in England. A bank such as the London and South- Western Bank, or the London and County Bank, may have and does have more than a hundred branch offices each; but everybody knows that all the business of those banks is decided and managed at headquarters. The local managers have no power worth speaking of. It is all done at the central office. This is what happens in Germany with the whole pub- lic and political life of Prussia or Bavaria sev- erally. In such a country, as one may readily gather, political parties have very little to say; and Government always finds means to play out any party by dexterous electioneering moves. Under these conditions the Socialists in Germany, anyhow hateful to Government, can be and have actually been played out by adroit managing of the elections. The Social- ists, then, have no power to stop or retard the aggressiveness of the German State. Other extreme lovers of peace in this coun- try indulge in another set of day-dreams. They think, and even say in public, that the Ger- 130 dERMANY'S MADNESS mans do not in the least mean to be aggressive to Great Britain, and that the war fleet they are building is merely a defensive fleet, that is to say, one for the legitimate defence of the growing and considerable maritime interests of the Germans. Now, as half-truths are, as a rule, more dangerous than a full-fledged un- truth, it may be said that the foregoing state- ment is one of pernicious half-truth. Nobody means to deny that the maritime commerce and the oversea interests of the Germans have in the last thirty years been increasing at a very rapid rate. Nobody, therefore, can deny the Germans the right of seeing to the protection of their vast trade by means of a big fleet of men-of-war. Yet it is equally true that the idea that the principal object of the German fleet is defensive and not aggressive is thoroughly and hopelessly wrong and absurd. A merely defensive army is a military non- entity. The British naval victories were all won hundreds and thousands of miles away from England — at Copenhagen, at Cape St. Vincent, at Lagos, Trafalgar, Abukir Bay, etc. That means, the English did not think of matters naval what now so many British think of mat- ters military. They always believed in oifen- GERMANY'S MADNESS 131 sive warfare; they attacked the enemy outside the English Channel or the German Sea — in the Atlantic, in the Mediterranean, and elsewhere. They were, in order to be efficiently defensive, in the first place effectively offensive. This is an old, old principle of all warfare; and of all the nations, the Germans are fully and clearly aware of it. They do not for a moment believe that their fleet is meant only for purely defen- sive purposes. They know that such a state- ment is absurd and impossible. They know' that to be really able to defend the German trade anywhere, they must be in a position to attack any one of their rivals or enemies in any sea. If, therefore, the German fleet is said to be one for defensive purposes only, it is, when uttered by Germans, a downright hypocrisy; when by British persons, an unmitigated folly. The German fleet can have and has only one possible aim — that of attack, of offensive war- fare, just as has the German army, and even very much more so. The German army is checkmated to a large extent by a possible coali- tion of the rest of the Continental armies. The German fleet is not thwarted by such a coalition of sea-Powers. As the reader may see, it is here contended 132 GERMANY'S MADNESS that the ultimate and even the proximate in- tention underlying all the moves of the German Empire and the Kaiser is quite patent. There is no doubt about it. It is, of course, true that if one tries to read the real mind of the Ger- mans from hundreds of occasional or chance remarks, articles, or other utterances of theirs, then indeed the task of making a concordance of the bewildering and contradictory statements of the German Press — official and non-official — becomes overwhelming. However, in a prob- lem as great as is the near conflict between Ger- many and England, it does not matter very much what this paper or that statesman says or does not say. William Pitt, shortly before the outbreak of the endless wars with France from 1792 to 1815, publicly declared that Eu- rope was going to have a period of complete peace lasting at least fifteen years. If one now reads the Times or the Globe of a hundred years ago, one is amazed beyond words at the profound ignorance in which the writers of these papers were with regard to the near fu- ture of Napoleon or the Continent. The Ger- man question is, like all great questions, almost independent of this or the other chance thing or event. In European history there always GERMANY'S MADNESS 133 have been currents of events, just as in the sea there are currents of water. And, just as no whale or shark can stem or alter the gulf- stream, even so no ruler or diplomatist can de- flect certain historic currents in Europe. To this, as to a very important element of our study of the German question, we shall soon return. BRITISH MYOPIA At present we want to dwell a little upon the effect of the opposite view. We mean the view that the German question is not clear at all; that we cannot as yet know what the Germans are after; and that the conflicting evidence to be gathered from an observation of the Ger- mans is not sufficient to give us the desired clearness. Such views are spread even by pa- pers of otherwise great value. It is precisely this view, which we combat, that has only lately (May 20) been put forward in an able leader in the Morning Post. We consider it our duty to show the inadequacy of such views. For this purpose we here append the leader in toto. It says : — ^^The business of a statesman, said Bismarck a good many years ago, is to see things as 134 GERMANY'S MADNESS they are. What is the statesman's business is also the business of every citizen in so far as he concerns himself with his country's affairs or with its relations with other countries. We all want to see things as they are. Yet it is not always easy. What, for instance, is at present the idea and the feeling of the majority of Germans on the subject of this country and of British policy! If we were to be guided in our judgment by what we read in some of the German newspapers, we might imagine that the Germans were all filled with apprehensions of some dire design supposed to be cherished in this country against the welfare, the expansion, or even the peace of Germany. As no Eng- lishman is aware of any such design; indeed, as all of us know that no such design exists, there would be a temptation to suppose the population of Germany alSiicted with some men- tal disease or with one of those extraordinary delusions of which a once-much-read writer wrote a history. But those who have in late years travelled in Germany and mixed with the people in that country have discovered that among the educated class there the representa- tive character of the newspapers is denied, and it is asserted that the articles unfriendly to GERMANY'S MADNESS 135 England are not the expression of the popular feeling, or, at any rate, are not to be taken too seriously. Between those papers which make it their business to preach down England and those cultivated Germans who denounce these newspapers it is hard to get at the facts and see things as they are. The Germans outside of Germany, the travelled Germans, are not anti-British. They generally know something of England and the English. But they are not always listened to with respect by the Germans at home, at any rate not by all the newspaper writers. It is to be hoped that there will shortly be a change of fashion in Germany, and that the habit of discussing the imagined deep- laid plots of England will die out. Meantime it may help towards the clear view which is so desirable, to consider some of the undoubted facts about the German Empire which are apt to be forgotten, not only here, but there. ^^ Germany has for a whole generation been enjoying steady and increasing prosperity. None of the great States of Europe has so much to show in the way of material progress. Most of the large towns have been within the last twenty-five years so transformed as to seem to have been almost entirely re-built. The 136 GERMANY'S MADNESS standard of comfort, and even of luxury, at- tained is beyond the dreams of the last genera- tion. Manufacture, trade, and commerce have flourished exceedingly. The whole country bears on its face the marks of accumulating wealth. For education of all sorts and for the advancement and diffusion of knowledge pro- vision is made on an ampler scale than in any other country of Europe. These great ad- vances have followed close upon and seemed to be the consequences of the great struggles which led to the foundation of the new Empire as the form and symbol of national unity. Ac- cordingly the national self-consciousness has been exalted, and Germans to-day take a legiti- mate pride in their country. The Army is con- sidered, probably rightly, to be the best organ- ised and best trained in the world, and the Navy has for a whole generation worked hard to make itself the Army's counterpart. Ger- many's influence makes itself felt far and wide, not merely in Europe. These are some of the marks of greatness in a nation. The nation that is so well situated in regard to its arrange- ments for defence, for education, and for trade, and of which the prosperity is so remarkable, GERMANY'S MADNESS 137 can hardly have good reason to be excessively timid or anxious as to the future. ^^Yet there are a number of writers in Ger- many who seem to spend their time looking abroad for possible troubles, and for several years past they have represented England as the most probable source of danger to Ger- many. If these writers had all been silent it is quite possible that traders and manufactur- ers in England and in Germany would have been conscious of a certain rivalry. Mr. Haldane, in a speech the other day, spoke of the 'legiti- mate antagonism of trade competition. ' But it is by no means clear that this antagonism need have a national or international aspect. Two spinners in Bolton are much keener rivals one of the other than either of them of any German competitor, and yet they can manage to live together in the same town without quarrelling. It would not be easy to find a British trader or manufacturer who would wish this country to pick a quarrel with Germany. Some of them would be glad to be helped against German com- petition by a protective tariff, but they would not on that account wish the two nations to enter into the extreme competition of a war. 138 GERMANY'S MADNESS Moreover, men of business best realise that the best customers are rich, industrious nations, and that Germany and England, with or with- out tariffs on one side or on both, are neces- sarily bound to have very large commercial dealings with one another. Apart from manu- facture and trade where the two nations are competitors, but not necessarily unfriendly competitors, what are the interests of the two nations which clash! We have never been able to discover them. There is no rational cause for a quarrel between England and Germany, and if a quarrel arises it must be due to some wrong, malice, or misunderstanding. These things it is not always possible to prevent. They ought not to arise, and it is the duty of each nation and of each Government to avoid being the author of any such occasion of dis- pute, and, of course, also to be strong enough in case of a gratuitous quarrel thrust upon it to defend itself. ^^The latest misunderstanding, if it is a mis- understanding, seems to be due to the fact that King Edward, like the German Emperor, occa- sionally travels to visit the Sovereigns of other countries, and that these visits, on the whole. GERMANY'S MADNESS 139 have contributed towards closer relations be- tween Great Britain and the other countries. The wider the circle of these international cour- tesies and kindnesses extends, the more likely is the preservation of peace. That this view should not commend itself to some of the Ger- man critics is remarkable seeing that Ger- many's great achievement is held to have been the preservation of the peace of Europe by a series of alliances. The close understandings, first between the three Emperors and after- wards between Germany, Austria, and Italy, are held by German statesmen to have been the foundations of a European equilibrium that has lasted some thirty years. A close understand- ing between England and France, between Eng- land and Italy, and between England and any other Great Power is not likely to aim at any disturbance of the status quo or at any attack on other Powers. If, therefore, there are alarms in Germany, the observer who wishes to see things as they are must infer that they are of purely German origin, and are not at- tributable to any action that has taken place outside that country. The problem which the observer has to solve is to account for this 140 GERMANY ^S MADNESS spontaneous generation of heat in a body politic having so many of the elements of health and strength as the German Empire.'^ The writer of the preceding article is quite right in his main contention, to the effect that, unless we can see things as they are, all our efforts to construe aright the political situa- tion will be abortive. The present work is only an attempt to see things as they are, and as they will be on the basis of what they are at present (1907). In using the word ''things,'^ we mean to distinguish things from persons. In all politics, persons are of great importance ; but in some questions of great or international politics, single persons are not all-decisive. This is where the ordinary diplomatist or statesman makes his gravest errors. For in- stance, a given ambassador of Great Britain at the Court of Berlin is, by the very nature of his office, thrown in daily contact with the Kaiser, his Ministers, his other officials, and the various persons moving on the political stage of Berlin. These he, the ambassador, may and frequently does know very well. See- ing that these persons apparently do the whole of German policy, or that all the acts and docu- ments coming officially from Germany may, at GERMANY'S MADNESS 141 least outwardly, be traced to the activity or in- fluence of these persons — the ambassador, not unnaturally, believes that they are the true originators and, as it were, the causes of all those documents and acts. And since the am- bassador knows each of them intimately, he readily persuades himself that he has a real insight into their characters and minds, and thus also into the real causes of German pol- icy. However, in thinking so, that ambassa- dor frequently, and in great international ques- tions always, commits a fatal error. The ultimate and true cause of events and measures in German policy is not exclusively in the characters and minds of a number of offi- cial persons in Berlin. In such great questions there are impersonal causes driving on both the non-officials and the officials. To these great questions belongs, in the first place, the conflict between Germany and Great Britain. It is a conflict based on facts and tendencies inde- pendent of the will or belief of this or that in- dividual man. It is in the very nature of things. If, therefore, we continue to consult the say- ings or doings of German official persons only, or, for the matter of that, of British officials only, we are not likely at all to get at the root 142 GERMANY'S MADNESS and driving cause of tlie whole question. Those sayings and doings may very well be contra- dictory, and are mostly misleading. They are meant to be so. This is also in the nature of things. Again, is it not about high time that every man in this country should clearly understand a fact taught and observed by all unprejudiced students of European politics? We mean the fact that in all international matters the nations of Europe stand to one another nearly always in a ^ ^ state of nature. ' ' They recognise but too frequently nothing but the law of Might, or the law of the stronger fist. However polished, ** civilised,'' or *^ educated" the nations of Eu- rope may be inside their respective boundaries and towards members of their own country, it is historically certain that in all very serious international questions they have almost in- variably behaved like egoistic savages. One nation, in these matters, is as bad as another. Under these circumstances, we cannot allow our- selves to slip into the convenient belief that there will be no conflict with Germany, because this or that German minister or chancellor is **such a nice fellow." So he may be — in pri- vate life. As soon as he enters on life inter- GERMANY'S MADNESS 143 national, lie is at once *4n a state of nature." From a German filled with the humanitarian ideals of Lessing, Schiller, and Goethe, he be- comes forthwith a human animal. As such he obeys only the instincts of his uncontrolled na- ture, and all that he asks of his cultured intel- lect is to serve him with specious excuses for his animal instincts. This, the good intellect (read: lawyers, statesmen, journalists) always furnishes him with. Undoubtedly the Germans will, in case of actual conflict, declare that they have been * * out- raged," ''bullied," or ''deceived" into it by the "perfidious British." That goes without say- ing. The English have always been "perfidi- ous." They won the battles of Crecy, Poitiers, Agincourt, the victory over the Armada, the battles of Naseby, the Boyne river, Cape La Ilougue, Blenheim, Malplaquet, Quebec, Plas- sey, Wandewash, St. Vincent, Camperdown, the Nile, and Trafalgar — all by "perfidy." They made The Parliament — by "perfidy." They persuaded Shakespeare to pose as the author of Hamlet and a few other dramas, not unknown to fame, written by some other person, prob- ably a Prussian — by "perfidy." It has long been proved. It cannot be doubted. In fact. 144 GERMANY'S MADNESS all great States are perfidious, and all small ones are painfully honest. The Prussians, of whom Prince Bismarck himself said that they '^made no moral conquests,'' the Prussians are God-fearing goodies, or what our girls would call ''such dears." If the thing was not so terribly serious, it would be killingly funny. The average man invariably takes the symptom for the cause, the person for the thing, the skin for the bone, and the occasion for the motive. In the pres- ent case we venture to submit that the matter is so grave that it ought, for once, to persuade even the average man of this country to pierce the shell of things, and to grasp the core thereof. We said above that in all European history there are currents, ''streams" of events which cannot be unmade by the influence of any in- dividual or any set of individuals. One of these maelstroms is the antagonism between Ger- many and Great Britain. This, and this alone, is the truth. All diplomatic incidents, such as messages, speeches, press articles, conventions, meetings, banquets, wires, and wireless reports, are mere externals. They cannot alter the stream. They may retard it ; they may discol- our it. They will never deflect it. GERMANY'S MADNESS 145 FOREWARNED IS FOREARMED Wliat, then, is the only thing to be done? Evidently only one thing: prepare for the con- flict. The Germans have learnt this lesson thor- oughly. They are, as a nation and as individ- uals, preparing themselves carefully. Their ^^Navy League'' numbers close on a million members. The British Navy League does not exceed 20,000. In Germany every ablebodied person is a soldier, filled with the great military spirit — the spirit that made old Blticher say to a tottering Prussian regiment in battle: *''Ye scoundrels, do you then want to live for ever I" The spirit that prompts every German to think that if he were not ready to die for his country, what on earth is he living for 1 The spirit that shrinks from no sacrifice, from no self-denial, from no hardship of discipline. The spirit that is aware that to speak constantly of the rights of citizenship is only half the thing; the more important part is to think of the duties of citi- zenship. The spirit that fills a man with the true sense of immortality, that is, with the feel- ing that he has obligations not only towards his contemporary fellow citizens, but also to those 146 GERMANY'S MADNESS that will be his fellow citizens in the generation to come. This spirit is strength, great strength. It is this spirit that has made our incomparable Eu- rope, as thousands of years ago it raised the Greeks, Jews, and Romans above all the other nations of the world. That spirit can be com- bated only by a like spirit. Numbers will not do. Spirit is vanquished by spirit alone. The ** two-power standard '* is a mere snare. It is the view of a grocer or a haberdasher. Now, a grocer or haberdasher is a very valuable mem- ber of the community in his way ; and the social displacement from which he suffers in this coun- try is most unjustified and absurd. But his views on international questions are somewhat narrow. He is apt to assume that, if a man with £100 in his till has more business power than the man with only £50 in his box, even so a nation with two ships against one of its enemy has the greater military power of the two. Nothing can be more misleading. England beat Spain, although the Armada consisted of very many more vessels than were then in the posses- sion of the English. The French beat all the European armies, including British corps too, from 1792 to 1813. The Japanese beat bulky GERMANY ^S MADNESS 147 Russia; and the Boers held out close on three years against overwhelming odds. History is full of such examples ; and, if people only cared to study itj they would find that all history is one of minorities. Look at a map of Europe. Russia is by far the largest territory; has she ever been the most important? England looks tiny enough on the map, as against Scandinavia, France, Spain, Germany, Austria-Hungary, Russia; has she not in the last two hundred years played first fiddle at more than one mo- ment critical for all Europe! To weigh probable success by numbers, to leave out the immense leverage of spirit, is not only ridiculous, but most dangerous too. Even in business, any observer who cares to study the question will find that, as a rule, he who begins on nothing, or with no capital to speak of, very frequently beats the heir or successor who com- menced business with an established house and much capital. The former, the successful busi- ness man who had nothing at the start, had the right spirit ; the other had not. The spirit, the great spirit is, we repeat it, the great winner of battles. There is no doubt whatever that the Germans at present are brimful with that spirit. They overdo it, no doubt; they are positively 148 GEEMANY'S MADNESS swelled-headed ; they suffer from megalomania. Yet the very exaggeration of the thing proves that the thing itself is there. And since such a spirit can be combated only by a like spirit, the question, the great and ominous question, arises — whether this country has the same spirit. Whether Great Britain and her people are ani- mated by the same consciousness of the critical situation of all Europe, which the Germans are clearly aware of. Whether the average Briton feels that Europe has come to a period of far- reaching decisions. Whether he has any idea at all that Europe, instead of having been all during the last century a complicated game of chess between six Great Powers, has now been reduced to a simple duel between two Great Powers only. Whether he can really grasp all that this undeniable fact implies. Whether he feels within himself the force to arouse himself out of the slumber of self-complacency, and face the stern tasks imposed upon him by history, with a manly courage. A Briton of to-day is not the son of his par- ents only. Two thousand years of history weigh upon him. Two thousand years of struggle, work, and extraordinary efforts — mental, moral, and material — ^have laid upon GERMANY ^S MADNESS 149 him an immense responsibility. He is not a gentleman of independent means; he is a de- positary. He must not think — and woe to him and his nation if he does so think — that he can draw on his means given him by sixty genera- tions of heroes and workers, freely and ad lib. He is a depositary ; he will have to account for his means to the next generation, and, unless he be more careful than he is, to himself too. Otherwise it will happen to him, what always happens to faithless depositaries. He will lose his honour, together with his means. Again we ask, are we entitled to say that the average man in this country is fully conscious of all these momentous truths! To say with childish self-complacency, ^'Our fleet cannot be beaten'' is too dangerous for words. In history the Impossible alone is im- possible. II ne faut jamais dire, jamais, as Prince Metternich used to say. If indeed, a nation, well protected by Nature, trained through secular practice and tradition is in actual possession of a great naval force ; and if such a nation continues to do everything to keep up her great efficiency ; then, and only then, that nation may with fair probability assume that it cannot easily be beaten. But this constant 150 GERMANY'S MADNESS preparation requires two things before any- thing else : First, the right spirit in the whole nation; and then, in addition to daily practice in the art of war, a very careful study of naval warfare in the past. The spirit ; the spirit — there is the whole mat- ter. The spirit of earnestness, of real serious- ness. The British are grave enough; are they also sufficiently serious? Are they anxious concerning the vast problems still to be solved by them? They devote millions in money and billions in words, written and spoken, to the problem of the alleged intemperance of the British nation. Do they devote adequate at- tention to the political intemperance of their great rivals, the Germans 1 The very people in Great Britain who go about preaching, writing, lecturing, collecting money, etc., etc., to combat the supposed intemperance of the British nation — that can be easily proved to drink less than one-third of the quantity of wine, beer, or liqueurs consumed either in France, Germany, or Austria-Hungary — the very people, we say, go about preaching, lecturing, and writing on the moderation and friendliness of a nation that thinks of nothing, and can think of noth- GERMANY'S MADNESS 151 ing else than the destruction of British suprem- acy on sea. Who does not know that the numerous goody- goody ' ' peace-at-all-price ' ' people, who publicly declare that Germany does not dream of at- tacking England, are mostly the very faddists who tell and spread the grossly exaggerated reports about the perdition of this country by the consumption of too much drink? The vari- ous ^' peace societies'* venture to say and pub- licly to state that Germany does not dream of attacking England. And such criminal drivel is said in the face of the fact that the Boers, with only 50,000 men, against the 5,000,000 of the Germans, did dare to attack British posses- sions a few years ago. Many people in Eng- land imagine that the Germans mean to invade this country, even to possess themselves of it. Nothing is more remote from the minds of the Germans. At any rate, this is not at all the principal idea. What they do think of, and what in their international and home situation they are bound to think of, is to win the suprem- acy on sea, or, if that be impossible, equality on sea with the British. Invasion of England is a mere incident in their plan. Once they de- 152 GERMANY'S MADNESS feat the British Navy in the North Sea; once they hold this sea, as the Dutch repeatedly, and for long periods, held it, they have attained everything they really want. The game of interests, counter-interests, side- interests, and side-counter-interests amongst the Powers of Europe is so subtle that no great player of the game need despair of doing again what has been repeatedly done before. The Germans, we repeat it, do not contemplate an invasion of this country; certainly not in the first place. They saw, even in their successful war with the French, that the second part of that war, or the one in which the French nation as such defended her territory, was by far less successful than the first, where the Germans fought the regular armies of France. The great surrenders of whole corps happened in the first part of the war only. The Germans only meditate how to make it impossible for the British to maintain the claim to supremacy on sea. To this one great task the Germans sub- ordinate all and everything. It dictates their diplomacy, their acts, their preparations. He who has never made a serious study of History, is very likely to estimate wrongly many a feature in the life of a nation. Thus, to give GERMANY'S MADNESS 153 just one instance, tlie so-called absurd move- ments in Society or in political life are almost invariably misjudged by men unversed in the study of the play of historic forces. Take as an example the excessive theories now launched in the sea of German literature. We have heard of some of them in the previous part of the present book. The average man laughs at them, condemns them as unreasonable, and thinks that, being unreasonable and absurd, they must needs fail of success. No graver error could be indulged in. Of two sets of so- cial or political moves, the more absurd one has by far the greater likelihood of success. Far from pooh-poohing and contemptuously ignor- ing these *' absurdities,'' caused in Germany by the overweening conceit of the German teachers, leaders of thought, and their pupils, we ought to take them into very serious con- sideration. A nation like the Germans, that eagerly assimilates such theoretic stuff, is soon ready to crave for the deeds crystallising those theories in practical reality. In fact, had His- tory been taught properly, no man in Great Britain could for a moment doubt that the very excesses and absurdities at present rife all over Germany with regard to the immense role that 154 GERMANY'S MADNESS the Germans are *^ evidently" destined to play in the sublunar world, clearly indicate and prove that from mere vague hopes and dreams, the Germans are on the point of com- ing to deeds. Where there is so much smoke, flames are sure to break out soon. GERMAN ASSETS Leaving such general reflections, which, as we know, have not much weight with British readers, we hasten to point out some more con- crete and palpable factors in the coming wave of German Imperialism. The Germans have various features of their own that distinguish them from former nations who attempted to build up great Empires. Thus, to speak in the first place, of one of the most important points : Nearly all previous nations showed a marked tendency to the artificial restriction of the growth of population, as soon as they passed the line of moderate wealth and reached the state of inordinate material prosperity. The ancient Romans, the richer they grew in money, the poorer they became in children. It was even so with the Greeks, the Byzantines, the Italian Republics, and many a modern state. Not so the Germans. Although their material GEEMANY'S MADNESS 155 prosperity lias, in the last generation, risen by leaps and bounds almost unparalleled in modem times, their population, far from decreasing, is rising so quickly that, according to SchmoUer, they will be 104,000,000 in the year 1965; ac- cording to Hiibbe-Schleiden, 150,000,000 in the year 1980; and according to Leroy-Beaulieu, 200,000,000 in the year 2000. At any rate, it is certain that as amongst the more advanced nations of Europe the Germans are now the most numerous by far, so they are likely to remain the most populous highly civilised nation in Europe. This is, one need hardly insist, a very important factor. They mean to expand imperially, and are fully convinced of their ability to do so. Equally important is another feature of mod- ern Germany. It consists in that the Germans, quite unlike the French, attained their utmost power, not through violent and destructive revolutions at home, but by means of a great and victorious war with the French outside Germany. The French obtained the greatest momentum of strength and power by and through a fearful civil convulsion attacking every one of the organs of their body-politic, by the French E evolution. Such convulsions 156 GERMANY'S MADNESS may and do give the nation so convulsed an energy of the most intense kind, and hence an unusual leverage in the conflict with other na- tions; yet the leverage acquired by the Ger- mans, if not quite as great as that of France in 1794 or 1796, was made good without any funda- mental upheaval of the whole structure of the German polity. Consequently the Germans show a steadier and surer growth in power. Having grown steadily, they gained in sureness of power what they lost in time and intensity. The above two features are only part of a series of distinctive advantages possessed by Germany in the competition for rule and expan- sion. When, in former ages, the French were the mightiest nation on the Continent, they yet never counted amongst their advantages the asset that Germany to-day is quite sure of. France had allies, but they were, as a rule, small Powers. Germany has a staunch and re- liable ally that is not a small Power, Austria- Hungary. France was never sure of either her flanks or her rear. Germany is quite sure of her rear. Finally, and perhaps principally, the great efforts made by France to realise imper- ial expansion were much less the wish and ear- nest desire of the French people than the dynas- GERMANY'S MADNESS 157 tic policy of her rulers. In Germany, at pres- ent, the people itself wants, believes in, and de- mands imperial expansion. In Germany an im- perialist, like Mazarin in France, will not be hampered by dissensions at home, such as the Frondes of 1648-1653, which exasperated the great Cardinal. All these undoubted facts conspire to make the situation of Germany a very strong one. To overlook them would be fatal to Great Britain. From her very situation in historic space. Great Britain has, ever since the Tudors, been one of the umpires of the Balance of Power in Europe. It matters everything to the British, whether the central State on the Continent, i.e., Germany, is strong or weak, ag- gressive or submissive. Evidently, no State can eventually upset the balance of Europe as readily as can the central State. Napoleon I. himself became a European power only after he had practically seized most of Germany. He never had the whole of Italy, or of Spain ; nor did it much matter. But the possession of Ger- many gave him the command of the Continent. Even of Austria-Hungary he never possessed as much as of Germany, although he defeated the Austrian armies more frequently. The greater 158 aEEMANY'S MADNESS half of the then Austrian monarchy, or Hun- gary, he never controlled. Yet he was the con- trolling Power on the Continent, because he practically controlled the whole of Germany. It is by such considerations that one may arrive at the true estimation of the fact, that there is now in the very centre of the Continent a strong and united Empire ; the German Empire. The possibilities implied in this fact are bound- less. So far any serious student of European politics must go with the most extreme of Ger- mans. In fact, it must be admitted that no State in Europe is in a position so favourable for imperial expansion as is Germany. The more clearly we see that, the more fully we con- vince ourselves of the truth and force of this statement, the surer will be our step on the slippery ground of political conjectures. In the preceding remarks we dwelt, and in- tentionally, on the strong and advantageous fea- tures of Germany as an international Power. It would be childish to deny that Germany suf- fers also from the defects of her virtues. She too has her weak points, her very faulty sides, and before coming to the final summing-up of GEEMANY'S MADNESS 159 the facts and to the verdict, it is necessary to dwell on some of the graver shortcomings inher- ent in the German nation and empire. We are going to do so at once. However, we cannot omit remarking that before examining the strong or the weak points of Germany, a Briton ought never to lose sight of one cardinal fact that is more than likely to render his view of German politics unsafe. Professor Schiemann, the well-known Ger- man politician and personal adviser of the Kaiser, rightly said a propos of the late visit of British journalists in Germany, that to the average Briton Germany is quite unknown. To this we add that, not only is this the case with regard to present or contemporary Germany, but still more so with regard to Germany in the past, or to the history of Germany. Thus his- tory might be left out from practical politics if it did not shape it, if it did not influence it. But it does. No one can understand contem- porary German politics who does not possess sound knowledge of German history. In Eng- lish historical literature there are exceedingly few authoritative books on German history. While the Germans have written up every as- pect of English history in a very large number 160 OERMANY'S MADNESS of elaborate, if not perfect books, the British have done, comparatively, very little with re- gard to German history. But even this does not show the full strength of the point we want to raise. Not only have the British no scholarly or practical knowledge of Germany, whether in the past or in the present, but they are also very likely to misconstrue the facts they do know on that subject. Ever since the Middle Ages, the principal Eu- ropean enemies of England were the Dutch, the Spanish, and especially the French. In fact, from 1688 to the end of the nineteenth cen- tury, France was the hereditary enemy of Eng- land, or was considered to be so. In the course of the secular conflicts with France, the British naturally learned much about the temper, habits, tendencies, and resources of the French. As in all wars we want to adapt ourselves to the means of our adversary, one may state with absolute accuracy that the British diplomatic, naval and also partly the military traditions are distinctly adapted to and meant to serve in conflicts with a particular sort of enemy, with the French. Undoubtedly, many a Brit- ish diplomatist or admiral, saturated with the GERMANY'S MADNESS 161 secular traditions of Anglo-Frencli wars, would be a matcli for any French diplomatist or ad- miral. Nothing is more likely. It is, however, still doubtful whether that British diplomatist would prove as efficient a representative in dip- lomatic conflict with Germany too. We have only to consult history to find, that, for instance, James I. committed a long series of blunders because he persisted in treating Spain as if she had been what France then really was. He knew France, so he simply ap- plied his method of dealing with France to his way of dealing with Spain. It can hardly be doubted that, in all diplomatic, naval, or mili- tary conflicts with Germany, means other than those that applied to France must come into play. Germany is not France; the Germans are, if not radically, yet sensibly different from the French. Their geographical, political, eco- nomic and social features are largely differ- ent. But chiefly their historic growth, this, the main factor in a nation's life, differentiates them from the French. The British know much about the French ; they know practically nothing about the Germans ; whereas the Germans are well acquainted with everything British. 162 GERMANY'S MADNESS FORMIDABLE BUT BRITTLE This, then, is the necessary remark that had to be premised in order to give the reader the proper point of view for a right estimation of the strong and weak points of the Germans. With this important proviso, we may now try to stndy the less advantageous points of the Germans. And in the first place, and before everything else, it must be remarked that the Germans are a power at once formidable and brittle. Powers are measured, not by what they can do when victorious, but by what they are likely to be able to do when misfortune overtakes them. On consulting history we find that no nation in Europe has proved so brittle, so utterly un- able to recover from one fell blow of the fate of battle, as did Prussia, or the dominant State in the German Empire. When in 1806 Napoleon and Davout, on one and the same day, beat the Prussian armies at Jena and Auerstaedt, all Prussia succumbed like a house of cards. Huge, well-garrisoned Prussian fortresses sur- rendered to a few French cavalry regiments. The collapse of Prussia is unparalleled in all modern history; yet it happened only twenty GERMANY'S MADNESS 163 years after the death of Prussia's greatest King, Frederick II., the Great. The men who, later on, regenerated and rebuilt Prussia, were all of them non-Prussians. Scharnhorst, Stein, Bliicher were, by birth, no Prussians. Here, in this fact, is implied one of the greatest failings of the Prussian system. That much-imitated system breeds great measures, but no great men. At any rate, not a sufficient number of great personalities. States cannot be made enduringly strong with- out the possession of the strongest and most efficient of all assets, that is. Personalities. There is Frederick II., and Bismarck; but that is all. The great personalities of the Germans are literary and artistic, not political, nor mili- tary. In denying the Prussians, and the Ger- mans in general, the possession of great mili- tary personalities, we seem to expose ourselves to the sneer of the best-petted prejudices of the day. Yet we will persist in saying that the Germans are not likely to have great captains of war. The German army may be, and no doubt is, highly organised and disciplined. But to have a well-trained army is like having an elaborate dictionary of words. Does the possession of the dictionary vouchsafe the 164 GERMANY'S MADNESS possession of a fine style? Style is a matter of personality; so is the style of an army. The greatest nations of all history excelled infinitely less in system and measures, whether political or military, than in the faculty of producing men with a great political or military person- ality. The Romans, of all nations, had no sys- tem whatever. The Germans, who have written more on Roman history than all other nations put to- gether, have yet never understood the A B C of Roman history. Professor Mommsen, the Ger- man '^authority'' on Roman history, has writ- ten up in five big volumes the ^^ system'' of the Roman constitution. The truth is, the Romans had no system of their constitution, no more than the modern English have. It was all a matter of personality. Not the edict of the Praetor, but the Praetor himself was the im- portant point. Just so, in real war, it is not the military ordinances, but the great power of a military personality that wins battles and campaigns. In Germany this is all practically impossible. As great conservatories of music make no really great virtuosi, so the German army system breeds only efficient mediocrities, but no great GERMANY'S MADNESS 165 military personality. Wlien all goes well, as it did in France in 1870-1871, thanks chiefly to the demoralization of the French, such a Prus- sian system works admirably. But when things do not go well, it is bound to come to grief. This can be proved almost mathematically. Since the German system provides not only for normal but also for emergency or problematic cases and since each German officer is bound to obey the given rules to the letter it follows with irrefutable certainty that the German army, in any case of novel situations or of unforeseen yet probable reverses, would be at a loss what to do. Especially would this be so if the oppos- ing force consisted of officers to whom a broad margin of personal initiative was given. We are quite aware that much initiative was taken by, if not given to, the German officers in the Franco-German war. This, however, does not alter matters very much, because that war was, for the Germans, a victorious one from the very start. It does not indicate what the German officers would do in case of continued reverses ; more particularly, if we consider that the Germans have had no great war for now over six-and-thirty years. Such a long peace is deadly to the rise of free and great military 166 GERMANY'S MADNESS personalities endowed with boundless resource- fulness. We are so strongly convinced of the absolute truth of this statement that we do not hesitate to aver that any great European State that would pass through the practice of a really great war with a European Power other than Germany, would by such a practice alone obtain an immense advantage over the Germans, and eventually beat them. If Austria-Hungary, rousing herself out of her lethargy, would carry on a two years' war with Turkey for the posses- sion of the western part of the Balkans, and if Austria-Hungary came out victorious over the brave and hard-fighting Turks, she would have thereby alone indefinitely increased her chance of beating back a German attack upon her. The current view that the German army is in- vincible cannot for a moment be maintained. If an army has gone through a succession of victorious campaigns, and has actually defeated its most important competitors, then, and for the time being, it may be said that such an army is probably invincible. But of an army that has had no great war for more than one generation, it is impossible to say with any degree of certainty whether or no it is invinci- ble. Nobody wants to deny that there is, to use GERMANY'S MADNESS 167 the words of Napoleon, an art of war, and that the Germans are doing everything in their power to carry that art to its highest pitch, as far as that can be done in times of peace. But it is equally certain that the art of war, as every other art, finds its most perfect expression through a great artist, that is, through a per- son born to it, and endowed with a great mili- tary personality. Now what we here contend is that the over-systematization and over-regula- tion of everything connected with the German army renders the rise of a great German mili- tary personality not very probable. Of course, in the other countries of Europe there is as yet even less probability of the rise of such a tower- ing captain. At any rate, we desire to warn the reader and student of European policy from assuming too rashly the absolute superiority of the German army as an engine of war. The reader may be surprised to hear that in our opinion the German Navy is very much less hampered by defects such as we pointed out with regard to the German Army. In the Ger- man Navy there is no secular tradition weigh- ing upon the elastic members of the service. The Germans have, in the inhabitants of the north coast of their empire, a numerous and 168 GERMANY'S MADNESS hardy sea-faring population. With regard to their chances in maritime warfare they are in- finitely less cocksure, hence much less system ridden than with regard to their view of war on land. They do everything to make themselves acquainted with all the physical, geographical and strategic features of the North Sea, and of other seas. At Bergen, in Norway, there is given every year an elaborate course of lectures on everything connected with the nature of the North Sea. The elasticity and greater personal initiative allowed to captains, officers, and crews of German men of war are very remark- able. PERILS OP BUREAUCRACY One of the greatest failings of the Germans is their inability to take private and individual initiative in any public affair. Everything is done by the State-paid members of a vast bureaucracy. The State is everything in Ger- many; Society is, for purposes of public and political life, not in existence at all. As long as there is peace, such a system works admirably. It is a sunny-day system. In times of national reverses the first thing to break down is tlicl: very bureaucracy which otherwise forms the aERMANY'S MADNESS 169 prop and mainstay of the people. Once the bureaucracy breaks down, there happens, what we saw in Russia on the breakdown of the Mos- covite bureaucracy. Public business cannot be carried on without some men commanding an authority sufficiently great to make people obey them. But where, as in Germany, all authority is monopolised by a bureaucracy, nobody is able to command authority on the break-up of bureaucracy. What saved Rome and has al- ways saved England is the very fact that in both realms there always were men command- ing the requisite authority. In Britain such men are, as a rule, not even in office. In Ger- many they are practically impossible. The constitution of the German Empire was made by Bismarck with the deliberate intention of rendering the rise of politically important but unofficial personalities a practical impossibil- ity. In case of disaster, unless Germany happens to have an inordinately gifted ruler, she is ex- posed to greater chances of decomposition than most other nations of Europe. The Germans have never learned the open secret that their greatest achievements in literature, science, philosophy, and music were, as a rule, done by 170 GERMANY'S MADNESS men trammelled by no bonds of officialdom and State-hierarchy. They have never seen, and will never see that what holds good for intellec- tual greatness, holds good also for greatness political. Instead of having twenty-six rulers as they now have, they would have, had they ever learned the Great Lesson of Politics, twenty-six great and free statesmen ; or, in other words, twenty-six possible saviours in times of reverses. Any nation fighting Germany on land must concentrate all its efforts on a con- siderable initial success, as the surest means of depriving the Germans of most of the advan- tages now given them by their system. Germany is in this respect the very contrast to Britain. In the latter country initial suc- cesses of the adversary have seldom proved of much importance. The true force of this coun- try came out in times of reverses even much more than in periods of success. In Britain the number of independent men, working on their own initiative and on their own responsibility, is very much greater than that of similar in- dividuals in Germany. Such independent per- sons have long learned to stand adversity — to be, as the saying is, good losers. This has given to all Britain her peculiar tone, her power in GEEMANY'S MADNESS 171 adversity, her stamina. All this is rather the exception in Germany. When, in another sec- tion of this book, we said that the Germans had the real spirit of war and imperialism, we al- ways implied that their spirit is the right one for enterprises promising and giving fair re- sults. At the present moment we are speaking of periods of failure, and with regard to such periods we say that the Germans are consider- ably less well equipped than are the British. There is no victory of Zama without the force to stand the defeat of Cannae. Another great drawback for the Germans is the contemporary international situation re- garding a new imperialism. When Spain, Hol- land, or England started on their careers of colonising vast and fertile tracts of colonies, the other Powers in Europe or Asia interfered with them either not at all, or in a casual man- ner. Holland, although a tiny country, has still immense colonies, and used to have very much more. In those times a few bold captains were able to lay hold of immense districts in Asia, Africa, or America. At present this is all well- nigh impossible. Even in Asia the new and formidable power of the Japanese has arisen and would at once veto any violent change in 172 GERMANY'S MADNESS the distribution of hitherto uncolonised coun- tries. The Colonial and imperial ambitions of the Germans have come in a very unpropitious moment. What formerly could be achieved by a Cortez, Pizarro, Drake, or Frobisher, accom- panied by a few gallant fellow adventurers, has now become a vast enterprise, involving hun- dreds of millions of money and hundreds of thousands of men. If the reader will carefully contemplate all that the preceding remarks imply, he will ar- rive at the conclusion that the Germans cannot possibly realise their imperial, and, as we have seen, indispensable ambitions, otherwise than by defeating the Power which both has the most valuable colonies, and is held to command the sea, or the access to such colonies. Tertium non datur; a third issue out of the difficulty does not exist. True, one might say that the French would perhaps, in exchange for Alsace and German Lorraine, cede the valuable and large isle of Madagascar to the Germans. Perhaps the French would. But it is certain that no ruler or minister in Germany could seriously think for one moment of proposing the retro- cession of Alsace and German Lorraine to the French. He might just as well propose the ces- GERMANY'S MADNESS 173 sion of Cologne, Frankfort on the Main, or Berlin. Just as the Germans made their inner unity not by persuading one another to unite, as did the Scots and the English, but by great wars with Austria, on the one hand, and with France, on the other; even so they can acquire colonies not by direct conquest, but only by indirect wars with England or France. Being the central country in Europe, the Germans must neces- sarily use indirect means for their great policy, whether at home or abroad. For, on account of their central position, the surrounding Powers have always so strongly interfered with the Germans, that the latter could not secure tranquillity within otherwise than by establish- ing their superiority abroad. Against this in- exorable consequence of their central position there is no other remedy left. We have come to the strange but nevertheless true conclusion, that even the weak points of the Germans prac- tically force them to be aggressive. Their un- doubted strength prompts them to the same ac- tion that their undoubted drawbacks equally en- tail upon them. Several nations have, in the course of history, been in a similar position. It always ended — in one and the same way. PAET III THE AKGUMENT IN CONCLUSION We have now reached the end of our task. We have tried to place all the relevant facts of the German Question before the reader. Begin- ning with a statement of the inordinately over- reaching national vanity of the Germans, we admitted that their international position is one both full of promise and beset with most irritat- ing dangers. While constantly dwelling upon the swelled-head of the Germans, which, unre- mittingly stimulated by a host of their most popular writers, is constantly growing instead of decreasing, we dwelt with equal insistence on the real power and strength and value of the Germans. None but a malevolent jingo of Ber- lin can possibly take our work as one deliber- ately running down or reviling things and per- sons German. There is much to be admired in the Germans, and what they have done in the past has laid all the future generations under undying obliga- tions. But here we mainly consider the future. 174 GERMANY'S MADNESS 175 We studied the past in order to foresee the future; just as we always study the present in order to understand more fully the past. In calling attention to German aspirations, to Ger- man ambitions, we mean to do a work of hon- esty, of political honesty. Such among the pub- lic men or writers of this country as go on de- claring to the people of Great Britain that the Germans harbour no hostile intentions against the British; that, in fact, the relations of the two countries and peoples are the best they can be; such people, we make bold to say, are the enemies of Great Britain. The true friend warns in advance ; it is the faddist who, out of sheer conceit, is unable to see the most palpable things, and accordingly does not warn his friend, and so ruins him. We are quite aware that in this country any enthusiasm or tragic earnestness is discounted with a cold sneer. Nor can we wonder that a nation who, alone of all European nations, re- mained, for centuries, practically unassailable, has preserved a coolness of nerve which is im- possible to Continental nations living under constant menace of ruin. But things have changed. England is no longer unassailable. Europe has now, instead of two fleets, namely 176 GERMANY'S MADNESS the Britisli and the French, as there used to be before, no less than half-a-dozen big fleets, and several minor ones. The whole international, or inter-European, aspect and situation of Great Britain is thoroughly changed. She is, politic- ally, no longer an island. Only a few years ago many a Briton proudly talked of the *^ splendid isolation'' of Great Britain. Since then that isolation has been de- liberately given up, and entente is following entente. Politically, therefore, we repeat it, England is no longer an island. Nor is she one strategically, or from the standpoint of war. We need not here refer to the series of brilliant and suggestive articles of the Military Corre- spondent of The Times on the perfect feasible- ness of an invasion of this country. We simply submit, that a country, whether an island or no, that has no sufficient army of its own, is always exposed to invasion. Any country, no matter how large, may be compared to a big fortress. Much depends, no doubt, on the strength of the walls and ram- parts, bastions and towers. Yet the main force of resistance is in the garrison. Great Britain is the fortress; her navy is the equivalent of the walls and ramparts of that fortress. The GERMANY'S MADNESS 177 national army of England is tlie garrison of the fortress. Tlie inference from all this is only one: The fortress of Great Britain cannot be declared to be in a state of safety, in that her garrison is far too weak for the purpose. The walls of Great Britain consist practically of about 100,000 seamen. That is far too little for a fortress of the extent of England. The reader is again reminded that hitherto the great and decisive naval battles of Great Britain have been fought in seas other than the Channel or the North Sea. In the whole of the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries, only two pitched sea-battles were fought by the British in the North Sea; one in 1781, off the Dogger Bank, between Parker and the Dutch Admiral Zouttman, ending in a draw; and the other in 1797, when Duncan, with utmost effort, defeated the Dutch Admiral De Winter. All the great and decisive sea-battles were fought by the British thousands of miles away from Eng- land. The great naval war of the British in the near future will, on the other hand, be fought in the North Sea, and practically there alone. Any decisive advantage of the enemy exposes Eng- land at once to an invasion. 178 OERMANY'S MADNESS Again we say that the Germans have no in- tention whatever to possess themselves of this country. Such an idea does not enter their minds. This, however, does not exclude a tem- porary invasion for the purpose of a huge in- demnity, or other advantages. Every school- boy knows that the Dutch Admiral, De Ruyter, entered the Medway in 1667, thanks to strategic advantages which he had secured in the North Sea, and threatened London for some time. The same thing came near happening in 1690, when the French Admiral, Tourville, after de- feating the Anglo-Dutch fleet off Beachy Head, made for the entrance of the Thames River. There is no reason to assume that such a thing could not happen again in our time. In war^ as in life, everything is possible. These, then, are the seminal factors of the whole problem: Here is a country, Germany, that having come as the last among the peoples bidding for imperialism and expansion, cannot hope to achieve much by attempts to spread its eagles on the Continent of Europe. It is there- fore driven, irremediably driven, to spread by sea-power. Like ancient Carthage, which could not expand into the interior of uninhabitable Africa, Germany too cannot seriously hope to GEEMANY'S MADNESS 179 possess herself of much more territory on the fully occupied Continent of Europe, and is forced to spread by maritime power. However, Carthage met Kome, that is, a power well-knit and strongly organised on land, and very ca- pable on sea. The end was the downfall of Car- thage. Had Eome possessed only sea-power, Carthage might very well have defeated her. But Eome had land and sea-power. Given her efficient constitution and her twofold power, Eome could not be worsted in the long run. Everybody knows that Eome finally defeated Carthage by means of a land-battle fought on Carthaginian territory, at Zama. The Ger- mans, if victorious over the British fleet, can very well invade England, and hold it for some time. The British, with the present organisa- tion of their army, could never think of invad- ing one town of Germany. Is such a situation not threatening enough! Is it wise to leave one's enemy a possible advantage so great as to surpass by far any advantage one may have over him! Or, compare the possible losses of the Ger- mans in case of their defeat on sea, with those of the British in a similar case. The Germans would, in the first place, lose all their colonies. 180 GERMANY ^S MADNESS In other words, they would lose what as yet is of little if any value to them. They would furthermore lose heavily in their large Trans- marine commerce. The British, on the other hand, would, in case of a naval disaster, lose practically everything. The indemnity which the Germans would exact, would be enormous, both in colonies and in money. Neither Jena nor Sedan could be compared in point of im- mensity of loss with a decisive naval victory of the Germans over the British fleet. It would be the catastrophe of modern times. Yet in the face of all these facts, there are still thousands and thousands of influential men in this country, who talk of the *' impossibility of war with Germany," of the ^^ peaceful and amicable inclinations" of the Germans. Must one really despair to convince the average Briton that wars between civilised nations do not depend on the peaceful or amicable inclina- tions of individuals'? Suppose that every Ger- man be filled with pure friendship for England. That would not in the least prevent him from going to war with Great Britain. He may love England and the English ; yet assuredly he must love his own interest and that of his country very much more intensely. Of passions, the GEEMANY'S MADNESS 181 stronger one invariably has the upper hand. The Germans, as a nation, have never cared for home politics. Their individual indiffer- ence and absolute incapacity in that respect have always been so great, that, aided by the disintegrating pressure from outside Powers, they have to the present day not been able to unite into one homogeneous, great and un- divided polity. They still are twenty-six dif- ferent States united into an Empire. Home politics do not interest the German Burger, or burgess. It is quite different with *^ world- politics, ' ' as they call it in the Fatherland. Just because the average German leaves home-poli- tics to the officials and semi-officials, he reserves all his political ardour for '* world-politics,'' or for the hopes and tasks of Imperialism. Na- tions intensely absorbed in the building up of their home institutions, such as, at present, the Hungarians, or the Italians, do not take much stock in international policy. Vice versa, the Germans, having had all their home institutions mapped out for them by their rulers and min- isters, concentrate all their fervent interest on the sphere where there still is political activity on a grand scale, offering many a chance of big success to individual ambitionists. 182 GERMANY'S MADNESS This imperialism, then, is the Great Passion of the Germans. They are, at present, where the English were in Elizabethan times. They burn with the Great Passion. Every one of them is brimful of it; and no power can stop or retard that mighty current. The enthusi- astic love which every German feels for the Kaiser is only another way of expressing his enthusiasm for that vast imperialism which the Kaiser loves to incarnate in his personality. Against such a mighty national sentiment, no mere friendship for other nations can prevail. Whatever, therefore, individual Germans may or may not say about the relations of England and Germany, this cannot in the least alter the forces driving the latter into antagonism to the former. Far more to the point; infinitely more con- sonant with the dignity, past and future prestige of Great Britain would it be if all men of lead- ing spirit, all preachers, teachers, statesmen, journalists, or thinkers of this country joined in bringing before the nation the necessity of preparations which, if properly made, would indeed retard, or eventually frustrate, any at- tempt on the part of Germany. To talk of uni- versal military service, even if it is done by GERMANY'S MADNESS 183 Lord Roberts, is hateful to the majority of British citizens. Where the victor in so many battles can carry no conviction, we should be only foolishly presumptuous in trying to con- vince our readers. The facts of the near fu- ture will convince them. Nations are invari- ably kicked, and never persuaded, into reforms. Omitting, therefore, any lengthy discussion of this, the one potent means of securing last- ing peace between Great Britain and Germany, we only want to point out some evident teach- ings of history. The Germans, as we tried to show, are a Power both mighty and brittle. They are brit- tle, because they do not, and owing to their sys- tem, they cannot, have a rich supply of great personalities, whether military or political. From this it follows with deadly certainty, that a nation that wants to defeat the Germans, must cultivate just the sort of weapon in point of which the Germans are very deficient, that is, mighty, spontaneous personalities. The less the British nation will imitate the manner and method of war obtaining with the Germans, the more she is likely to worst them. If the Germans, in imitation of the British tendency to big units in sea war, go on build- 184 GERMANY'S MADNESS ing Dreadnoughts of an ever-increasing size, the British ought to lay stress on lesser and more nimble units. If the system of the Germans breeds living machines, the British system ought to breed the broadest initiative of captains and officers. If Germany excels in both a strong navy and an exceedingly strong army. Great Britain ought to excel in an exceedingly strong navy and in a strong army. If Germany wants to attack England, England ought to attack her long before. In the same way, the Bagdad railway, which is practically a German enterprise, ought to bo counteracted by a British railway through Beluchistan and Persia. The whole of Great Britain's Asiatic policy ought to be based on the more than fair probability, that Eussia does not in the least plan a coup on India, as she has never planned it to this day. In the same line of political thought. Great Britain might with great advantage come to an agreement with Holland guaranteeing the contracting parties mutual help for the maintenance of their East- Indian possessions. The commonwealth of Australasia ought to be stimulated into the building of an efficient fleet, so as to be able to GERMANY'S MADNESS 185 step in with migM in any conflict for Great Britain's Asiatic possessions. All this and many more measures are dic- tated by the actual facts of the international situation of Great Britain and Germany. For him who has studied History as a matter of real life, and not merely as a heap of musty documents, a description or precis of which en- ables one to get a certificate in an ^^exam,'' or to pose as an * ^ authority ' ' in University circles amongst pedants; for such a man it cannot be doubtful that, if Great Britain manages her cards with prudence, she must in the end force Germany to lower her flag. Empires are the products of the beginning or the end of great periods of history. Antiquity began and ended with Empires ; during its man- hood it knew only of intensely developed smaller States. Europe is in her manhood ; Africa and Asia are in their infancy. In Africa and Asia, therefore, Empires were still possible ; but they have long been made by the British, French, Russians, Dutch, and a few minor nations, such as the Belgians or Portuguese. To win new Empires in Asia is, since the rise of the mighty Japanese, quite impossible. To wrest old ones 186 GERMANY'S MADNESS from their present possessors is feasible only if those old possessors persist in making blunder after blunder. If, then, we consider the international position in the light both of history and latter-day poli- tics, we arrive at a conclusion which is indeed a fearful mortification to the Germans, but never- theless a sober truth, provided the leading in- ternational Powers act according to the elemen- tary rules of sound politics. The conclusion is this : On the one hand, the Germans, for the reasons given all through the present work, are bound to strive for more ex- pansion, for Imperialism. They do so, they will do so, with even greater intensity. They are simply bound to do so. On the other hand, they cannot possibly establish a really valuable new Empire, if the old Imperial Powers take proper measures because they come too late in the historic day. Empires are not made where, when, and by whom it pleases. Had Alexander the Great been born a hundred years before his actual date, he could never have defeated the Hellenes, and therefore, lacking Hellenic help, he could not have defeated the Persians. Napoleon would have done nothing without the French GERMANY'S MADNESS 187 Revolution. It was that extraordinary event that gave birth to extraordinary military tal- ents, which in turn helped Napoleon to win the battles of Rivoli, Marengo, Austerlitz, and Jena. The Germans want to make a vast Empire with the help of a strict system, and out of sheer in- tention and resolution, without any help from a great historic event in their favour. Had the British lost South Africa in the late Boer War, which, as Col. F. N. Maude himself has pointed out, was far from an impossibility in the first six weeks of the war (see The Times Literary Supplement of May 31, 1907), then indeed the loss of British prestige would have constituted, for Germany, one of those historic events that enable other Powers to step in and achieve new imperial triumphs. But given that new Empires are, for the present, unhistoric, not to say unnatural; given that the Germans, however so badly they need such an Empire, ought not to be able to acquire it, so long as Great Britain follows the clear dictates of her past and her present ; there remains nothing for the Germans but to give up the dream of Pan- Germanism. Should Great Britain, misled by men who have never made a serious study of either his- 188 GERMANY'S MADNESS tory or of the Continent in its present configura- tion, misread the signs of the time, and instead of meeting the inevitable aggressiveness of the Germans by due preparations, continue to treat the German Question lightly, or ignore it alto- gether, then indeed the dream of Pan-German- ism will not remain a dream. By a similar misreading of Continental poli- tics, England lost in the eighteenth century her vast American colonies. Of course, the average Briton is not at all aware of this broad historic fact. He thinks that the Yankees *' wrested" their country from the British. Nothing is less true. The loss of the present United States was caused, as we have shown in a separate work, almost exclusively by the foolishly pro- voked hostility of France, Holland, and Spain against Great Britain. The British fleet was worsted by the French fleet, both in America and in India, and consequently the American colonies were lost. Should the signs of the time again be mis- read, then there is no reason for the Germans to despair of the success of their vast ambi- tions. They bide their time ; they want to wait for a moment when Great Britain will commit blunders similar to those that caused the loss GERMANY'S MADNESS 189 of the present United States, a loss greater tlian any Empire ever sustained. Such blunders of their adversary are in reality the foundation of their policy. They began the war with France because they positively knew that France was not properly prepared. They mean to do the same thing with Great Britain. It is in the hopes of rousing the British nation to this danger, that the present little book is written. The Germans, the author holds, must expand, will expand, but ought not to be able to establish a new Empire at the expense of the British Empire, as long as Great Britain, fully cognisant of the imminent danger of Germany's Swelled Head, prepares for the conflict both from the military and naval standpoint, let alone by means of judicious diplomacy. Late comers must be satisfied with crumbs; if they get more, it is only because there is something radically wrong with the people who preceded them. EPILOGUE That Dr. Eeich^s conception of the Kaiser ^s objects and the temper of the German people was substantially correct has been proved be- yond the shadow of a doubt. The Kaiser has fired the mine which he laid, and his action has been applauded by the majority of his subjects. We propose to supplement the evidence col- lected by Dr. Reich. His book was written un- der the impression made by the Kaiser's violent attitude towards France on the question of Morocco. Let us observe the diplomatic ac- tivities of William II., both before and after that date. Never in the history of the world has there been a more striking exhibition of in- sane wickedness and cunning than the German Emperor's. AN IMPERIAL MACHIAVELLI The machinations of German diplomacy lay at the back of the trouble in the Far East which culminated in the Russo-Japanese War. Wil- liam II. had proclaimed that the Yellow Races were a peril to European civilisation, and he 190 GEEMANY'S MADNESS 191 had embodied the idea in a poorly executed picture presented to the Czar. After the Chi- nese-Japanese War, Germany, with Russia and France, deprived the Japanese of Port Arthur. Two years later (1897) the Germans began the dismemberment of China by seizing Kiao-Chau, and, immediately afterwards. Port Arthur was occupied by Eussia. The occupation of Port Arthur by the Eussians was bound, sooner or later, to cause hostilities between the Czar and the Mikado, and the astute soldiers at Berlin could have had little doubt in their own minds as to the result of a struggle between the highly efficient and patriotic Japanese Army and Navy and the Eussian land and marine forces in the Far East. By encouraging the Czar to embark on the Eusso- Japanese War — the Eussians received an assurance that they would not be attacked by Germany during the continuance of the Man- churian campaign — the Kaiser and his ministers were an efficient cause of the War, and of the subsequent risings in Eussia. When the Kaiser visited Tangier on March 31, 1905, and inter- fered in the settlement of Morocco, the Eussian armies were retiring before Japanese troops trained by Germans. The sinister policy of 192 GERMANY'S MADNESS Germany towards Russia had been successful. A similar policy had been pursued by Ger- many towards the British Empire. The Boers had been encouraged to believe that they could count on German support if they endeavoured to subjugate the British in South Africa. It will be remembered that in the Eighties of the last century, Kriiger had been entertained at Berlin by Bismarck, and it must have been with the deliberate intention of deceiving the Boers and hastening a South African War that the Kaiser despatched his telegram to the Boer President. ^^I sincerely congratulate you,'' the imperial Machiavelli cabled, ^ * that, without mak- ing any appeal for the help of foreign Powers, you have succeeded, with your people and your own strength, in repulsing the armed bands which have troubled the peace of your land. ' ' The Kaiser had, however, not the slightest wish to assist the Russians against the Japan- ese, or the Boers against the English. At the interview, a report of which was published by the Daily Telegraph on October 28, 1908, he even claimed to have prevented Russia and France from attacking us during the Boer War, and to have sketched out the plan of campaign executed by Lords Roberts and Kitchener ! GEEMANY'S MADNESS 193 Assuming — it is a large assumption — that these statements are true, we are not in his debt. Prince Von Biilow, his Ex-Chancellor, has kindly explained his master's motives. *^ Among the French, '^ says the Prince, ^Hhe deeply rooted national hatred against the Ger- mans would speedily and completely have ousted the momentary ill-feeling against England as soon as we had definitely committed ourselves to a course hostile to her [Great Britain's] in- terests. . . . During those years we were occu- pied in founding our sea power by building the German navy, and, even in the event of [Brit- ish] defeat in the South African War, it was possible to stifle our sea power in the embryo." ^ Thus, without the loss of a Pomeranian grenadier, the Kaiser's iniquitous diplomacy had crippled Eussia, endangered the French savings invested in Eussia, saddled Great Britain with an enormous debt, and sacrificed the lives and fortunes of innumerable Eussians, Japanese, Britons, and Boers. 1 Imperial Germany, by Prince Von Biilow, translated by Marie A. Lewenz, M.A. (Cassell & Co.), pp. 31-2. 194 GERMANY'S MADNESS A BID FOR MAHOMETAlSr SUPPORT Another blow aimed at the British Empire may yet be successful and lead to the massacre of all Europeans (including Germans) isolated among Mahometans. Two years after cabling to Kriiger — in 1898 — William II. paid a visit to the Sultan of Turkey, Abdul Hamid, who had been extirpat- ing the Armenians. From Damascus he thanked that miscreant for his hospitality. *'May the Sultan," he said, ''and the three hun- dred million Mussulmans scattered over the earth be assured that the German Emperor will always be their friend. ' ' ^ Since 1883 the Turk- ish Army — once trained by Moltke — had been reorganised by the celebrated German strate- gist. Von der Goltz. As the majority of Mus- sulmans live in the British Empire, and large numbers of them in French colonies, the Kaiser's object in courting the Mussulmans was obvious. His theatrical pilgrimage to the Holy Land in 1898 gave him an opportunity of in- specting the country through which a German- 2 Germany and the Qerman Emperor, by George H. Perris (Melrose), p. 410; Imperial Germany, by Prince Von BUlow, p. 84. GERMANY'S MADNESS 195 Turkish Army would marcli on the Suez Canal and Egypt, while the Bagdad Railway, permis- sion for the construction of which was secured by German financiers in 1899, was probably de- signed to enable him to throw troops into India where he doubtless hoped to find support from the Mahometans and Bengalese. The Bagdad Railway is a continuation of the German Anatolian Railway, which had been constructed earlier. Russia, defeated and in the throes of a Revolution, it was expected, would not be able to prevent Germany, Austria- Hungary and Turkey, between them, from coercing the Balkan States, and, but for the for- tunate defeat of the Turkish Army and the re- vival of Russia, German troops might to-day be on the shores of the Persian Gulf and in Egypt. Writing in October, 1911, General Von Bern- hardi observed that *^ Turkey — the predominant Power of the Near East — is of paramount im- portance to us [the Germans]. She is our nat- ural ally. . . . Turkey is . . . the only Power which can threaten England's position in Egypt, and thus menace the short sea-route and the land communications to India. "^ 3 Germany and the 'Next War, by General Friedrich von Bern-, hardi, translated by Allen H. Powles (Edward Arnold), p. 99. 196 GERMANY'S MADNESS The short sea-route to India would be threat- ened by Turkey; the next step was to obtain a position from which Germany could command our long sea-route. If she could obtain ports on the coast of Morocco she might cut both arteries. The people of Morocco, also, are Mahometans. Consequently, in 1905, the Kaiser suddenly as- sumed the role of protector of Morocco while Russia, France's ally, was embarrassed by the war with Japan. If his fleet had been power- ful enough, he would presumably have followed up his intervention by overt acts of hostility. As it was, he had to be content with driving M. Delcasse from the French Foreign Office, and procuring the Algeciras Conference. The Russian Baltic fleet was destroyed by the Japanese at the Battle of Tsu-Shima (May 27- 28, 1905) ; on June 6, M. Delcasse resigned, and, on the same day. Count Von Bulow was created a Prince. It was after j not before Sedan that Bismarck had been promoted to the same rank. The services for which Von Biilow was re- warded may be surmised. From the standpoint of a disciple of Machiavelli, Frederick the Great, Napoleon, and Bismarck, the policy to- wards Russia, the British Empire, and France had been masterly. GERMANY'S MADNESS 197 RUSSIA FLOUTED So far, the Kaiser, judged by Atheist and Anti-Social standards, had been very success- ful. At the Algeciras Conference (1906), no doubt, he discovered that the United States and Italy, the third member of the Triple Alliance, were not prepared to promote German ambi- tions. Nevertheless he had triumphantly as- serted Germany's right to be consulted in the Morocco settlement, and he had been supported by Austria-Hungary. ^ ^ You showed yourself, ' ' said the Kaiser, addressing his ally, ^'a brilliant second in the tourney, and can reckon on the like service from me on a similar occasion. ' ' This occasion was not long in coming. In 1907, at the Guildhall, William II. assured the British Public that his aim was above all *'the preservation of peace." But in 1908, at his instigation or with his connivance, Austria- Hungary annexed Bosnia-Herzegovina, two Turkish provinces held by her in trust under the Berlin Treaty. It was at the suggestion of the late Marquess of Salisbury that Austria-Hun- gary had received a mandate to administer this territory. The annexation was, of course, a challenge to 198 GERM ANY 'S MADNESS Servia and Russia. The Kaiser, by threats, obliged Russia to swallow the insult. To use his own histrionic phrase, he ''took his stand in shining armour'' by the side of the Emperor Francis Joseph. It was a few days after the annexation of Bosnia-Herzegovina (October 7, 1908) that the interview with him, already referred to, ap- peared in the Daily Telegraph (October 28, 1908). In this interview he alleged that one of his dearest wishes ''was to live on the best terms with England, though the prevailing sen- timent among large portions of the middle" (why not the upper!) "and lower classes of his own people was not friendly to England. ' ' On February 17 of the same year he had written privately to Lord Tweedmouth, then First Lord of the Admiralty, with a view to influencing our naval programme. "Lord Esher," he is re- ported to have written, "had better attend to the drains at Windsor and leave alone matters which he does not understand." Lord Esher had not accepted the Kaiser's promises at their face value. Not unnaturally, the interview in the Daily Telegraph aroused a storm of indignation among the Germans. The manuscript, it was GERMANY'S MADNESS 199 explained to them, had been sent by the Em- peror to the Chancellor who alleged that he had not read it. Probably to deceive the peace- lovers in England and elsewhere, the Kaiser was publicly reproved by Prince Von Biilow. It was to the advantage of the plotters in Ber- lin to make us believe that the German had be- come a fettered despotism. Having humiliated Russia, the Kaiser again attempted to humiliate France. In July, 1911, the Panther was despatched to Agadir and the Algeciras settlement of the Morocco question reopened. To escape from war, France was obliged to surrender — it is true in return for the Protectorate of Morocco — a large part of her territory on the Congo, and, but for the (to the Germans) unexpected firmness of the Brit- ish Government, it is probable that Germany would have acquired a naval base in Morocco, menacing our Mediterranean and West African trade routes. The arrangement with France after the coup d' Agadir will, perhaps, be marked as the last triumph of German diplo- macy. 200 GERMANY'S MADNESS BALKAN TROUBLE AND GERMAN POLICY The Kaiser's murderous friend, the Sultan Abdul, had been deposed by the Young Turks in 1909, but German officers were still drilling the Turkish army, and its armaments were being made in Germany. After the Agadir incident, Italy declared war on Turkey — ''in direct op- position," says General Von Bernhardi, ''to the interests of the Triple Alliance" — and con- quered Tripoli. "This undertaking," pursues the General, "brought her to the brink of a war with Austria, which, as the supreme Poiuer in the Balkan Peninsula, can never tolerate the en- croachment of Italy into those regions. ' ' ^ The next year (1912) the Turkish Army, despite its German training and German weapons, was de- cisively defeated in nearly every encounter with the Bulgarians, Servians, Greeks and Montene- grins. The Turks failed to exhibit "the high military qualities ' ' ^ with which Von Bernhardi had credited them. Had it not been for the folly of the Bulgarians in quarrelling with the Servians and Greeks, the German aims, so far as the Balkans were concerned, might have had * Germany and the 'Next War, p. 86 : the italics are ours. 6 Ibid., p. 14L GERMANY'S MADNESS 201 to be postponed indefinitely. There is strong ground for suspicion that Bulgaria, ruled by a German prince, was thrust on Servia by the Germans and Austrians. The second of the Balkan wars (though it ended in the triumph of Servia, Greece and Roumania), by further exhausting Servia, en- couraged Germany and Austria-Hungary to pursue their aggressive policy. There can now be no manner of doubt that last year Germany was preparing to shake *Hhe mailed fist" at Russia and her Allies. The Kaiser, in 1913, raised a huge war-benevolence from his sub- jects, a considerable part of which, it may be noted, was allocated to the air-fleet. THE GERMANS VERSUS THE WORLD We come now to the diplomatic intercourse immediately antecedent to the present war. Was war deliberately planned for 1914? It is open to doubt. ^^Let it be the task of our diplomacy," General Von Bernhardi adjured his superiors, ^*so to shuffle the cards that we may be attacked by France, for then there would be reasonable prospect that Russia for a time would remain neutral. ' ' ^ He remarked else- 6 Germany and the Next War, p. 290. 202 GERMANY'S MADNESS where (p. 296) that the Agadir Convention was *^as liable to revision as the Algeciras treaty, and, indeed, offers, in this respect, the advan- tage that it creates new opportunities of friction with France. ' ' According to him, ^ * the German Government, from important reasons which conld not be discussed," had in 1911 ** consid- ered it expedient to avoid, under present condi- tions, a collision with England or France at any cost'' (p. 294). It is significant that our Am- bassador at St. Petersburg telegraphed on the 30th July last, to Sir Edward Grey, that the *' German ambassador had a second interview with Minister for Foreign Affairs at 2 a.m., when former completely hrohe down on seeing that war was inevitable. He appealed to M. Sazonof," added Sir G. Buchanan, 'Ho make some suggestion which he could telegraph to German Government as a last hope. ' ' '^ We learn also from another despatch that, in the opinion of the Russian Minister for Foreign Affairs, ' ' Germany was unfortunate in her rep- resentatives in Vienna and St. Petersburg; the former was a violent Russophobe, who had urged Austria on, the latter had reported to his 7 Correspondence respecting the European Crisis {Parliamen- tary White Paper No. 6, 1914, Price 9d.), p. 53. GERMANY'S MADNESS 203 Government that Eussia would never go to war. ' ' ^ The domestic difficulties of Great Britain, France and Russia, however, decided the tiger at Berlin to spring. The arming of Ulster and the Nationalists, the refusal of the army officers in Ireland to exe- cute the British Cabinet's orders, the resigna- tion of their posts by Sir John French and other eminent officers, the undoubted strength of the Socialists and Syndicalists in Great Britain and the apparent strength of the Peace-at-any-price Party among us seemed to afford to the mater- ialists at Potsdam a reasonable hope that we might accept their ^ infamous proposal" to re- main neutral while Belgium and France were being crushed and despoiled of their colonies. Moreover, if Von Bernhardi's book reflects the workings of the military brains of the Prus- sian and Austro-Hungarian Armies, the British fleet has alone been taken into account by the German strategists. Our Colonial militia, he remarks (p. 137), '^can be completely ignored so far as concerns any European theatre of war," and *4t is very questionable whether the English army is capable of effectively acting 8 Ibid., p. 71. 204 GERMANY'S MADNESS on the offensive against Continental European troops'' (p. 121). Though he does not criticise the Belgian Army, we surmise, from his ob- servation that Holland ^^ would easily yield to a German invasion" (p. 144), that no resistance was anticipated — by him at all events — from Belgium. France, also, to superficial observers, ap- peared this year to be drifting towards a Revo- lution. The murder of M. Calmette and the croakings of an unpatriotic Senator as to the unpreparedness of the Army may have led the Germans astray. As for Russia: it may well have been believed that she had not recovered from her war with Japan and from the Revolu- tion which was still smouldering. To personages like the Kaiser and the Crown Prince the political situation appeared too tempting. The German Crown Prince, if gauged by his utterances, loves bloodshed and brutality, and the Kaiser gives the impression that he firmly believes himself to be a super- Napoleon. '^I cannot stand him any longer," said the grim realist, Bismarck, ** ... I can- not make genuflexions, or crouch under the table like a dog. He wants to break with Russia. ... I cannot tack on as a tail to my career the GERMANY'S MADNESS 205 failures of arbitrary and inexperienced self- conceit for which I should be held responsible.'' The Kaiser's self-conceit is the primary cause of the war; and, as Mr. F. W. Wile in his article in the Daily Mail of the 14th of August points out, the treacherous inspection of our armament firms made by the head of the firm of Krupp and his expert between June 14 and 23 — i.e. he- fore the murder of the heir to the throne of Aus- tria-Hungary — must have been inspired by the Kaiser. ^^ Although I am not able to verify it," tele- graphed our ambassador at Vienna to Sir Ed- ward Grey on the 30th of July, ''I have private information that the German ambassador knew the text of the Austrian ultimatum to Servia before it was despatched, and telegraphed it to the German Emperor."^ The following pas- sage from a telegram sent by Sir H. Rumbold from Berlin to Sir Edward Grey is also worth noting, *^ Emperor returns suddenly to-night, and Under-Secretary of State for Foreign Affairs says that Foreign Office regret this step, which was taken on His Majesty's own initia- tive." ^^ 9 Correspondence respecting the European Crisis, p. 52. 10 Ibid., p. 21. 206 GERMANY'S MADNESS Admiral Mahan pronounces that the Kaiser's absence from Berlin at the opening of the crisis was a mere ruse of war. After the ^ infamous proposal" made to Great and Greater Britain, it is impossible to give William II. the benefit of the doubt. THE ETHICS AND OPINIONS OF WILLIAM II. The Kaiser has provoked millions of men to kill millions of other men. Owing to him, in- numerable women and children will be murdered or die of starvation, and the products of the labour of countless human beings destroyed or wasted. Already some of his subjects have dis- covered this. The committee of the German Humanity League, Berlin, have sent to the Brit- ish Humanity League a document in which he is characterised as ^'the uncurbed tyrant, sur- rounded by parasites, now directing the most desperate, devilish, and selfish campaign ever waged against humanity"; as ^^the despot whose insatiable egotism is drenching Europe with the blood of its workers and wage-earners ' ' (Times, Aug. 15, 1914). The Prussian statesman Stein called Napo- leon **the great criminal," but Napoleon had this excuse, that he issued from the French GERMANY'S MADNESS 207 Revolution, that he was a man of vast ability and that, in the existing condition of things, his reforms — and he made many and useful re- forms — had to be forced on mankind at the point of the bayonet. One wonders what epithet Stein or, say, Kant would have applied to Wil- liam II. and his councillors ! That the Kaiser 's ethics are peculiar may be gathered from his address to the German soldiers despatched to China in 1900. As reported by the Bremen Weser Zeitung he said: — ''When you meet the foe you will defeat him. No quarter will he given, no prison- ers will he taken. Let all ivho fall into your hands he at your mercy.. .Just as the Huns a thousand years ago, under the leadership of Etzel (Attila) gained a reputation in virtue of ivhich they still live in historical tradition, so may the name of Germany hecome known in such a manner in China that no Chinaman will ever again even dare to look askance at a Ger- man.'' {Times, July 30, 1900, p. 5.) The reference to Attila was commonly sup- pressed, but the rest of the quotation was cir- culated on postcards throughout Germany. {Times, Aug. 11, 1900, p. 4.) 208 GERMANY'S MADNESS Two days later, the modern Attila preached a sermon on board the Hohenzollern. ^'We will mobilise/' he is reported by the Kreuz Zeitung to have said, ^'not only battalions of warriors, but also a holy force of supplicants. And there is much that we have to beg and pray for on behalf of our brethren who are going forth to fight. They are to be the strong arm that is to chastise the assassins. They are to be the mailed fist that is to strike into the midst of these wild deeds." {Times, Aug. 3, 1900, p. 4.) The Kaiser is not more tender to his own sub- jects than to the Chinese. ^^It may happen, though God forbid," he told some recruits at Potsdam on November 23, 1891, ''that you 7nay have to fire on your own parents or brothers. Prove your fidelity then by your sacrifice.^' ^^ Whether he believes in a God is a moot point. On another occasion he said to some soldiers, ''You must all have only one will, and it is mine; there is only one law, and it is mine." ^^ Of the nauseating doses of flattery which the Emperor has administered to his subjects here are a few samples: — 11 Germany and the German Emperor, sup. cit., p. 391. 12 Ibid., p. 390. GERMANY'S MADNESS 209 (1) ^^The German people are the salt of the earth.'' (2) **To us Germans great ideals have be- come permanent possessions, whereas to other peoples they have been, more or less, lost." ( 3 ) ' ^ Far stretches our speech over the ocean, far the flight of our science and exploration ; no work in the domain of new discovery, no scien- tific idea but is first tested by us and then adopted by other nations. This is the world- rule the German spirit strives for. ' ' (4) ^'Our German people will be the granite block on which the good God may complete His work of civilising the world. Then will be real- ised the word of the poet who said that the world will one day be cured by the German character. ' ' (5) ^^Berlinese sculpture has reached a de- gree of perfection that the Renaissance would scarcely surpass." THE INFLUENCE OF BISMAKCK One would need the pen of Voltaire to por- tray the Kaiser. His sole excuses are that when a boy he came under the influence of the cynical Bismarck, and that his conceptions of Germany and War are shared by a large num- ber of semi-civilised Germans. Let Bismarck 210 GERMANY ^S MADNESS himself describe how he tampered with the Ems telegram and produced the Franco-German War. ^^ Having decided to resign'' (the grandfather of the Kaiser was, comparatively speaking, a humane man and wished, if possible, to avoid a war with France, and Bismarck wanted to resign if there was no war) ^4n spite of the remonstrances which Roon made against it, I invited him and Moltke to dine with me alone. . . . During our conversation I was informed that a telegram from Ems . . . was being de- ciphered. When the copy was handed to me it showed that Abeken had drawn up and signed the telegram at His Majesty's command, and I read it out to my guests, tvhose dejection tvas so great that they turned away from food and drink. ... I put a few questions to Moltke as to the extent of our preparations. . . . He an- swered that if there was to be war he expected no advantage to us by deferring the outbreak. ... I made use of the royal authorisation com- municated to me through Abeken, to publish the contents of the telegram, and, in the presence of my two guests, I reduced the telegram by strik- ing out words, but without adding or altering. . . . After I had read out the concentrated edi- GERMANY'S MADNESS 211 tion . . . Moltke remarked: *Now it has a dif- ferent ring : it sounded before like a parley ; now it is like a flourish in answer to a challenge. ' I went on to explain: * If I at once communicate the text . . . not only to the newspapers, but also by telegraph to all our Embassies, it will be known in Paris before midnight, and . . . will have the effect of a red rag upon the Gallic bull.'' ^3 Bismarck had a patriotic reason for his con- duct in sub-editing the telegram — Napoleon III, and Francis Joseph were undoubtedly prepar- ing to attack Prussia — but it was an abominable action on his part to reveal later the fraudulent method by which he provoked the war. By do- ing so he destroyed any moral justification the Germans had for retaining Alsace-Lorraine, and he poisoned the minds of the present generation of Germans. And he did it merely to gratify his hatred for the Kaiser ! If one of the fore- most of Prussian patriots behaved in this cyni- cal and selfish way, what can the world expect from the average Prussian officer and bureau- crat? 13 Bismarck, his Reflections and Reminiscences, translated under the supervision of A. J. Butler, late Fellow of Trinity College, Cambridge, pp. 95-100. 212 GERMANY'S MADNESS Englishmen will have read with pitying amusement the vapourings of the Anglo-German Houston Chamberlain (see pp. 11-14, 37-39). It may interest them to know that his theories are merely a development of some table-talk of Bismarck reported by his jackal, Busch. * ^ The Germans,'' said the Man of Blood and Iron, **the Germanic race is, so to speak, the male principle throughout Europe — the fructifying principle. The Celtic and Slav peoples repre- sent the female sex. . . . The Revolution of 1789 was the overthrow of the German element by the Celtic." ^^ PKUSSIAN ATHEISM Bismarck was primarily a civilian. Views akin to those held by him appear in magnified forms in the writings of German soldiers. Be- low are the reflections of the late Count Yorck von Wartenburg, Colonel of the General Staff of the Prussian Army, on Napoleon's horrible order to his Adjutant-General *Ho convey all the gunners and other Turks who were captured at Jaffa with arms in their hands to the sea- shore, and have them shot, taking care that 14 Bismarck, Some Secret Pages of His History, by Busch, I. 526-7. GERMANY'S MADNESS 213 none escape/' — an order rightly denounced by every Christian historian. *^In the eyes of mere didactic historical writers," said Count Von Wartenburg, '^this deed may appear horrible and revolting, but practical military history must not consider it as such. ... If such an act is necessary for the safety of one 's army, it is not only justified, but its repetition in any future war will be advisa- ble, and no convention could alter this fact. ' ' Comment on such comments is superfluous. As Mr. Belloc remarks, ^'Prussia is . . . Athe- ist. Her Atheism has profoundly penetrated the private morals of her people. It has not only penetrated, it has permeated the mind of her rulers. ' ' Again: the ex-trainer of the Turks, Field- Marshal Von der Goltz, assures us that ^Svars are the fate of mankind, the inevitable destiny of nations," and that ^inexorability and seem- ingly hideous callousness are among the attri- butes necessary to him who would achieve great things in war. In the case of the general there is only one crime for which history never par- dons him, and that is — defeat."^^ 15 The Nation in Arms, by Baron Colmar Von der Goltz, translated by Philip A. Ashworth (pp. 470 and 79). 214 GERMANY'S MADNESS One of the greatest American generals in the North and South War said that war was * * Hell, ' ' and Napoleon himself, if Segur is to be trusted, considered it to be ^^a game of barba- rians," the art of which consisted in being stronger than the enemy at a given point. The language of Von der Goltz, Von Wartenburg and the Kaiser takes one back to the days of the Thirty Years' War, of Timour, of Attila or of the Assyrians. GERMANS AND MILITARISM The writer of these lines was a few days ago in Switzerland, living on the most friendly terms with several Germans, among them two frank and kind-hearted youths who spent much of their time amusing some French children. Both of these lads were suddenly summoned to join, one the German Fleet, the other the Ger- man Army. Among the writer's friends has been a German of vast intelligence, extraordi- nary modesty, and unaffected kindliness. How many among us have had similar experiences! That a well-educated people, hospitable and fond of family life, should be used as his jemmy by the strange intelligence who has pronounced Count Zeppelin to be *Hhe greatest man of the GERMANY 'S MADNESS 215 century'' is a tragedy unequalled in the world's history. The monsters who have made this War have taken the fullest advantage of the enormous and portentous superiority possessed to-day by the armed over the unarmed man, and also of the facilities afforded by the printing-press to stimulate the vanity, fears, and hatreds of human beings. The barbarous behaviour of the Prussian officers in Alsace-Lorraine and now in Belgium, the tales of horror which, from time to time, have reached us from the German Colonies, show the nature of the tyranny which the Prussian camarilla is seeking to impose on the white and coloured races. If Prussia were to succeed, it is probable that the institution of slavery would be revived. The friends of the Turks and condoners of the Armenian mas- sacres would have no compunction in coercing men to satisfy their needs and unnatural ca- prices. ^'England," observes General Von Bernhardi, ^'committed the unpardonable blunder, from her point of view, of not sup- porting the Southern States in the American War of Secession." 1^ That the Southern States wished to preserve and extend their 16 Germany and the Next War, p. 92. 216 GERMANY ^S MADNESS *^ domestic institution'' of slavery ought not, of course, to have deterred us ! At the trial of Dr. Peters, the High Commis- sioner for German East Africa, who, inter alia, had flogged and executed a woman, the Disci- plinary Court at Berlin observed: ^^With re- gard to the flogging of the women, it may be admitted that flogging is a customary punish- ment for women as well as for men in Africa. ' ' General Von Liebert, ex-Governor of the prov- ince, gave evidence and remarked that *4n Africa it is impossible to get on without cruelty,'' and that the condemnation of Dr. Peters (he lost his post) was ^^a stain and dis- grace upon German justice and the German peo- pjg >> 17 rjij^jg general was a member of the Reichstag and President of the Anti-Socialist League. Rightly regarded, the war against Germany is a war for the liberation of the German nation, and the sooner that we make that clear to them the better. In the Napoleonic War, the Allies de- clared that they were waging war on Napoleon alone, and in the Franco-German War the Prussian rulers — but falsely — alleged that their enemy was Napoleon III. and not the French 17 The Times, July 1, 1907. GERMANY'S MADNESS 217 people. The mass of the Germans, it cannot be too often repeated, have been grossly deceived by their Government, and by most of their Pro- fessors and Publicists. If any one doubts this, let him procure General Von Bernhardi's classic; a cheap edition of the translation has been issued by Mr. Edward Arnold. From that amazingly candid work we append some ex- tracts. (i) ^^The German people'' is ^Hhe great- est civilised people known to history" (p. 6). If SO, their behaviour is curious. ** Gentle- men, ' ' said the German Chancellor on August 4 to the Reichstag, 'Sve are now in a state of necessity, and necessity knows no law! Our troops have occupied Luxemburg, and perhaps are already on Belgian soil. Gentlemen, that is contrary to the dictates of international law. . . . The wrong — I speak openly — that we are committing we will endeavour to make good as soon as our military goal has been reached. Anybody who is threatened, as we are threat- ened, and is fighting for his highest possessions, can have only one thought — how he is to hack his way through. ' ' 218 GERMANY'S MADNESS Germany was supporting Austria-Hungary and Austria-Hungary liad sent to Servia an ulti- matum tlie like of which has never been deliv- ered since the Age of Napoleon. Sir Edward Grey, who is not accustomed to exaggerate, told Count Mensdorff that he had '^ never before seen one State address to another independent State a document of so formidable a character. ' ' That the real author of the ultimatum was the clement prince who ordered his soldiers to give no quarter to Chinamen is not improbable. Servia, moreover, had practically accepted the terms of the ultimatum. To murder, to beg- gar, and to burn the houses of neutrals is a natural action on the part of ^^the greatest civilised people known to history.'' (2) *^From the time of their first appear- ance in history, the Germans showed them- selves a firstclass civilised people" (p. 53). The Romans and Greeks who first came in contact with them would not have agreed with the General. The Goths and the Vandals were Germans. (3) ^*The proud conviction forces itself upon us with irresistible power that a high, GERMANY'S MADNESS 219 if not the highest, importance for the en- tire development of the human race is as- cribable to this German people'' (p. 68). General Von Bernhardi is more modest than his master (see p. 163). (4) *^Two great movements were born from the German intellectual life, on which, henceforth, all the intellectual and moral progress of man must rest: the Reforma- tion and the critical philosophy" (p. 69). The italics are ours. General Von Bernhardi is trespassing on the Kaiser's province! The Chinese had the impertinence to invent gun- powder and printing. Gothic architecture came from France. The Renaissance commenced in Italy; Italians discovered America, a Pole, Copernicus, the heliocentric system ; and Shake- speare, Bacon, Newton and Watt had the mis- fortune to be Englishmen, Fulton to be an American. Wycliffe, too, was born before Luther, and Hus happened to be a Bohemian. The Emperor Sigismund who sent Hus to the stake was, however, a German. (5) **From the point of view of civilisa- tion, it is imperative to preserve the Ger- 220 GERMANY'S MADNESS man spirit, and by so doing to establish foci of universal culture '^ (p. 75). Cannot ^*foci of universal culture'' be estab- lished without the assistance of Krupp and his agents? One would suppose that a Chinese Wall had been erected round Germany! That German culture is synonymous with ^^ universal culture" is a hard saying. Their printed al- phabet and their language, to take two exam- ples, are very clumsy vehicles for the transmis- sion of thought. It may surprise the soldat de plumCy as Napoleon would have called him, to learn that there have been scientists, artists, and men of letters, who were not, or are not Ger- mans. Faraday and Darwin were Englishmen, Pasteur and Balzac were Frenchmen, Metchni- koff is and Tolstoi was Russian, Chopin was a Pole, Edison is an American, Marconi is an Italian. The Germans have devoted them- selves to the study of Antiquity, but the most brilliant and penetrating study of the Ancient World has been written by an Italian, Ferrero, who, however, had the bad taste — long before Mr. Norman Angell — to expose the folly and wickedness of the German conception of War. Of course, no one denies that the world is GERMANY'S MADNESS 221 heavily indebted to the race which has produced Leibnitz, Bach, Lessing, Kant, Niebnhr, Savigny, Goethe, Schiller, Beethoven, Gauss, Virchow, Wagner, Koch, and Ehrlich. (6) ^^No people is so little qualified as the German to direct its own destinies'' (p. 112). On this point General Von Bern- hardi enlarges. (a) Germany is *^a country . . . torn asunder internally and externally" (p. 128). ( h ) The Germans ^ ^ have to-day become a peace-loving — an almost *too' peace- loving — nation" (p. 2). (c) The German character is ^^good- natured" (p. 2). (d) The Germans *^wish not to be dis- turbed in commercial life" (p. 2). It is strange that this, ^Hhe greatest civilised people known to history, " is ^ ^ so little qualified to direct its own destinies. " It is not so strange that the Germans '^wish not to be disturbed in commercial life." (7) ^'When the State renounces all ex- tension of power, and recoils from every 222 GERMANY'S MADNESS war which is necessary for its expansion . . . then its citizens become stunted. . . . This is sufficiently exemplified by the pitia- ble existence of all small States'' (p. 19). And the City States of Athens and Florence produced a finer art and literature than the vast German and Roman Empires! Von Bernhardi, general and statesman, is more illuminating than Von Bernhardi, his- torian and sociologist. There is no need to comment on the following quotations. (1) ** Nothing is left but war to secure to the true elements of progress the ascend- ency over the spirits of corruption and de- cay" (p. 13). (2) War is ^^a moral obligation, and, as such, an indispensable factor in civilisa- tion" (p. 17). (3) *'From the Christian standpoint we arrive at the same conclusion" (p. 22). (4) ^^The efforts directed towards the abolition of war must not only be termed foolish, but absolutely immoral, and must be stigmatised as unworthy of the human race" (p. 27). (5) ** France must be so completely GERMANY'S MADNESS 223 crushed that she can never again come across our path" (p. 104). (6) ''The principle of the balance of power in Europe . . . must be entirely dis- regarded" (p. 107). (7) ''A pacific agreement with England is, after all, a will-o '-the-wisp which no seri- ous German statesman would trouble to fol- low" (p. 97). (8) ' ' Our next war will be fought for the highest interests of our country and of mankind. This will invest it with impor- tance in the world 's history. ' World power or do^vnfall!' will be our rallying cry" (p. 156). IN CONCLUSION So long as the German nation was under the control of armed men like the Kaiser, his son, and General Von Bernhardi, a war between the German and the British Empires could scarcely have been prevented. Yv^hen estimating the chances of Germany and Austria-Hungary, the Omnisciences at Berlin seem to have left one or two important factors out of their calculations. The Russian Army has been through the furnace of the Russo- 224 GERMANY'S MADNESS Japanese War; the Servians distingnislied themselves in the two Balkan Wars ; the French have had numerous opportunities of discover- ing, under war conditions, the nature of modern warfare, while the British Army was tested by the Boers. The German and Austro-Hungarian soldiers, on the other hand, are amateurs, very few of them having been in action. At the risk of seeming irrelevance, we shall close by quoting an appreciation of Lord Kitcli- ener made by a Prussian Staff Officer, Major Von Tiedmann, who, as military attache, ac- companied the British army in the Soudan cam- paign. ^'Lord Kitchener," he wrote, ^Svas familiar with the country and people of the Soudan and all facts concerned with it ; he spoke Arabic well, and it would have been difficult to find a more suitable person for the conduct of the campaign. . . . He waited unconcernedly for the right moment; but, when it came, he pounced with eagle-like swiftness and sureness upon his prey, and dealt the decisive blow in a surprisingly short time. He had neglected nothing. ' ' J. B. E. 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