The Tractor and its influence upon the agricultural im- plement industry By barton W. CURRIE Of the Editorial Staff of The Country Gentleman A reprint of a series of articles ivhich appeared in The Country Gentleman PHILADELPHIA THE CURTIS PUBLISHING COMPANY 1916 Copyright, 1916 Curtis Publishing Company Philadelphia JUL -5 1916 M /OJL ICI,A431741 FOREWORD THIS IS, we believe, the first com- plete story of that vast business, the manufacture and sale of agricul- tural implements and farm tractors. It first appeared serially in The Country Gentleman. To the business farmer, implements and machinery are of primary impor- tance. It was as a part of its service to the progressive farmer that The Country Gentleman undertook the task of gathering and presenting this material. The Country Gentleman is pecu- Harly the publication of the business farmer. It is national, it is weekly, it covers the entire country. It touches on all crops and all agricultural topics, and always from the point of view of the man who farms to get back out of the land more than he puts into it. Within the past year there have been two developments which have made it more important than ever that all the facts about this implement in- dustry be brought together and given thorough consideration. One is the rapid development of the farm tractor, which is having consid- erable effect upon methods of manu- facturing and selling all implements. The other is the increased agitation for shorter retail credits, a reform which would have far-reaching effect upon the implement dealer and the ser- vice which he renders to the farmer. It has been the purpose of The Country Gentleman to treat these vital topics in such way as to assist toward a wider and more economical distribution of farm machinery. THE CURTIS PUBLISHING COMPANY Philadelphia, June, 1916 CONTENTS CHAPTER PART I PAGE I On Time I II The Slaughter of the Innocents — Then the Tractor 9 III Plows 18 IV Senseless Diversification 28 V Legless Heroes as Mechanicians 34 VI Squeezing Out the Jobber 41 VII Elaborate Systems of Merchandising 49 VIII The Long Credit Spectre 55 IX Auto-mania on the Farm 63 X A ^200,000,000 Burden 71 XI The Sins of the Dealer 79 XII Lack of Quality or Price Standards 86 XIII Sir James, Jim and No-' Count Jimmy. ... 93 XIV A Hoosier Who Woke Up loi XV The Farmer's Elusive Cash iii XVI The New Get-Together Epoch 115 XVII How the Bankers May Help 123 PART II I A Mighty Industry in the Making 131 II The Big Tractor Boom Collapse, and Why 137 III A Modern Miracle in Selling for Cash. . . . 145 IV How the Miracle Was Brought About. ... 150 [vH] CHAPTER PAGE \^ V Tractors are Not for the Physically Unfit. i6o VI Visualizing the Tractor Market i66 VII Knowledgeof Farm Management Essential 173 Ji^VIII The Great Selection Problem for the Farmer 179 -ViX Shall the Tractor Fit the Farm or the Farm Fit the Tractor 187 X Design, Parts, Service — The Big Little Things 193 XI Building for Service 199 ^i558,392 tenants. Admitting that there may be many thousand tenant prospects, the owner prospects are of major impor- tance. We must add to the ownership total 58,000 farm managers, who, generally speaking, operate large areas for nonresident owners. But it is not with mere numbers, color, nativity or tenure that the tractor sales manager must reckon. The farm — its size, kind and character — is his chief concern after he has come down to a working basis of totals. Unless he is a good deal of a visionary he will paste up somewhere within sight the total number of all Ameri- can farms of a hundred acres and larger. This should apply no matter how light a small tractor he is selling. [167] The kitchen garden tractor is arriving, to be sure, but it does not enter into the real farm-tractor reck- oning. Nor can we yet see where the one-plow tractor will fit into our agricultural economies. The hundred-acre and larger farm will offer an ex- cellent working margin, far too wide a one perhaps. I found several tractor sales managers who said offhand I that the eighty-acre fellow was just as ripe a small- tractor prospect as the hundred-acre man, but if you attempt to figure that way you are sure to race the engine of your optimism. Iowa is an ideal tractor state, because of the even contour of her farming areas, and if the eighty-acre man could use a tractor anywhere the exceptional opportunity should be in Iowa. When I saw the late Henry Wallace at Des Moines in January, 1916, he told me that he had been making a careful study of his state as a tractor prospect. He summed up the situation in this way: "The man with eighty acres has no business with a tractor at all. He has got to have a team of horses whether or not he has a tractor. If he took on a tractor he would be adding just so much overload mechanical power. As it is, he is struggling desperately to compete with the 160-acre and the 180-acre farmers. He has to equip his farm with practically the same machinery as the men with larger farms. His investment load is just as heavy and he has not nearly the margin of produc- tion possibilities of the big fellows. Unless the little fellow goes in for dairying he simply cannot stand the competition. "As the tractor comes into use on a sure profit basis the eighty-acre man will find himself tugging away to [168] the limit of economic endurance under the strain. He will simply be compelled to take on more land to farm or else go into dairying. At present there are only 6000 eighty-acre farmers left in Iowa and that number will continue to shrink. *'The tractor will in the next few years make a big impression on the farming of the Middle West by in- creasing the size of farms and driving more farm folk to the towns and cities. As compensation, though, it will surely increase the prosperity of those who remain in farming. My behef is that the 150-acre man is the minimum light-tractor prospect, and that as soon as he learns how to adjust his farm management to the best economic service of the tractor he will soon expand into the 300-acre man." With these carefully considered words of wisdom in mind the tractor sales manager should carry the fol- lowing table in his head: Farms in the U. S. A. of 100 acres and over, 2,669,891 Farms in the U. S. A. of 174 acres and over, 1,153,605 Farms in the U. S. A. of 300 acres and over, 501,500 Farms in the U. S. A. of 500 acres and over, 174,430 The man who is selling a two-plow tractor would do well to add to this table that there are in the United States 1,516,286 farms of 100 to 174 acres. The man with the three-plow tractor will be more interested in the total number of farms from 174 to 260 acres in area — 534,191. The man with the four-plow tractor will probably confine his market to a large extent to the 443,984 farms of 260 to 500 acres. There is nothing like the magnificent range of pros- pects you will find in the automobile field, but there [169] is an inspiringly large market nevertheless. There is this great difference between the automobile and the tractor market: On January i, 1916, the United States had regis- tered in the various states 2,423,788 automobiles and motor trucks. The 19 15 sales totaled 686,998 cars. Production possibilities for 1916 were estimated at above one million cars and trucks. Installment selling was being launched on a wholesale plan. There are available no authoritative figures for trac- tors. Development has not yet reached a point where tractors are taxed and registered. Unless they are taxed they are not likely to be registered. And as I have remarked before, Kansas is the only state that so far has attempted to make a tractor census. It was roughly estimated last summer that there were about 20,000 tractors in use throughout the United States. This included steam and gas tractors, road engines and farm engines. So far as I have been able to gather estimates from various tractor manufacturers, more than 20,000 farm tractors were manufactured in 1915. The volume of production lagged way behind demand — emphatically so in the case of the light tractor. One light-tractor maker alleged that he could have doubled his sales if he could have turned out the product to sell. He sold 5000 small tractors in 191 5. Another manufacturer made and sold 3500. Both these makers planned, so far as plant equipment could fulfill their hopes, to double their output in 1916. There is every possibility of at least 100 per cent in- crease in production for the current year. Some tractor [ 170] enthusiasts put this likely increase at 200 per cent. You also hear of one automobile manufacturer who is planning to build 100,000 pony-sized tractors a year. This would mean a deluge of tractors that would cause the hair of the old-line implement manufacturers to stand on end. But it is not at all likely to happen for a year or so, and when it comes, the tractor industry may have straightened itself out somewhat on a basis of standardization and fairly conservative exploitation. The big drive of the large tractor in the early boom days was made in the Northwest. The present drive of the small tractor — the two-plow, three-plow or four- plow machine — is being made in the East North Cen- tral, West North Central, and West South Central States. These divisions include: East North Central — Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Michigan and Wisconsin; West North Central — Minnesota, Iowa, Missouri, North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska and Kansas; West South Central — Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma and Texas. Beyond this area tractor sales are at present re- garded a good deal in the light of seepage. The Middle Western prairies and the Great Plains afford ideal con- tours for the tractor. And the mechanism of the trac- tor has been developed to meet the requirements of level and gently rolling land. Ridge-running and gully- jumping tractors may evolve in the course of time. Meantime the mule and the horse are in no danger of becoming extinct in the hilly farming regions of the United States and Canada. The tractor sales manager will undoubtedly make a careful study of the plateau and plains regions. He will I 171 ] also discover that there are a good many millions of acres of level lands beyond the areas within which the tractor drive has begun and gathered amazing impetus. But of the total of 978,175 farms ranging in size from 715 to 499 acres, 620,876 are in the East North Cen- tral, West North Central and West South Central States. Of the 125,295 farms of 500 to 1000 acres, 78,- 558 are confined to the same locality. When you get up above 1000 acres you find the same preponderance. The total above 1000 acres is reckoned at 50,135. Of this number 12,875 ^^^ i^ ^^^ West North Central and 13,396 in the West South Central. Then we must drag in the Pacific States of Washington, Oregon and Cali- fornia, with a total of 8135 big farms. The Southeastern Cotton States have about 7000 plantations of 1000 acres and over, and in the Moun- tain States of Idaho, Montana, Wyoming, Colorado, New Mexico, Arizona, Utah and Nevada there are more than 6000 big ranches. The majority of these are stock ranches, though gradually they are coming more and more into the category of farms. Where the big rancher of the Pacific and Mountain States has swung away from ranching into farming he has been a pioneer tractor user. He has been the superprogres- sive fellow to try out tractor possibilities, and he had done this gamely and without the quiver of an eyelash while the tractor has been in the rawest stages of inefficiency. I 172] VII Knowledge of Farm Management Essential C)KING over the scramble for tractor plums during the present wave of great demand for small tractors one would think that census fig- ures were unavailable and that the general run of our farmers were crop gamblers rather than steady-going husbandmen following the calling of their ancestors or pursuing the fundamental instincts of progressive man- kind. I have talked to some promoters of tractor manufac- turing enterprises whose knowledge of farming seem- ingly had been gleaned from perusing the rhapsodies of back-to-the~land poets. If a farm was a lOO-acre farm, why there were undoubtedly lOO acres to till and plant to crop. They read of 900,000,000 acres in farms, but they did not follow along and learn that only fifty- four per cent was improved or in cultivation. They did not consider the immense area of pasture land that lies out from year to year as a matter of necessity in good farm management. Or if they did reckon with this area of pasture land, they simply jotted it down among the plowing possibilities overlooked by tractorless farmers. Both the tractor buyer and the tractor seller must in the future make a far more intensive study of farm I 173 1 management than has hitherto been the custom, and this farm-management study must go away beyond just tillage, planting and harvesting. A small tractor does not eat its head off, but it is surely not going to earn its way simply because it can do all the heavy work on the small farm in seventeen days out of the 365- Diversified utility for the tractor will be found to be the big selling argument of the future. The farmer should demand and the tractor should supply both a surplus of draw-bar pull and belt power. The small farm must be gaited and adjusted to utilize the limits of belt power the tractor affords. The accessory power of the tractor on its off days should be its big dividend payer. If there are only forty or fifty acres to crop, the necessity for diversifying the uses of the tractor are all the greater. I visited the headquarters of a great concern that has been marketing small tractors for a year and a half. They call it an Eight Horse Tractor. One of the op- timists of the management forces said that this little fellow was a distinct economy for the hundred-acre farm. I asked if they had checked up on results. Yes, they had been collecting and compiling a lot of corre- spondence. A great pile of letters was pointed out. I looked through them, but found no reports from the hundred-acre farmer — that is, none that were of any constructive value. Here are a few samples of what I did find. The first is a Kansas letter: I beg to inform you that I have one of your small tractors and am much pleased with it. I have but a small farm close to town, but bought the tractor principally to haul sand and cut silage. Have [174] had it since about May first and have k«pt it busy nearly every day. Plowed lOO acres of ground, pulling four disk plows, and it seemed to do it with ease. Plowed about ten acres a day at a cost of $1.25 a day for coal oil and fifty cents a day for lubrication, making the cost $1.75 a day for each ten acres. It is very simple and does not give me any trouble. Am pulling one of your twelve-inch silage cutters now, cutting fifty tons a day, and it seems to do it with ease. The running expense seems to be just the same as with plowing. If there were a hundred acres to plow in this **Httle Kansas farm'* certainly it was not a hundred-acre farm. Here is another letter from another ** little'* Kansas farm: I think it a good investment, but cannot say for sure, as I have not kept an accurate account of the number of days or hours put in. But I made a rough estimate and it has cost me about ten or fifteen cents an acre for plowing. The disking, rolling and harrowing, which I did at one and the same time, cost me from five to seven cents an acre besides my own labor. I plowed fifty-five acres with a mold-board two-bottom fourteen- inch gang, and fifty-five acres with a four-disk twelve-inch gang, and I have harrowed, disked and rolled 130 acres for a total cost in coal oil, gas, distillate, lubricating oil and cup grease of twenty-four dollars delivered on my farm six and a half miles northwest of Salina. My farm is old black rubber gumbo of the worst type. I plowed but twenty acres with the teams. Here is a letter from Hastings, Nebraska: By having your small tractor I only keep one team the year round, making the tractor do all the work that it would take six head of horses to do. I have kept track of what it has cost me since I bought it. It cost forty-seven cents an acre to take care of no acres, plowing, harrowing, disking, drilling, pulling a 12-8 drill and a ten-foot drag in front of drill. I have used the tractor day in and day out since I bought it and have had no trouble at all. I believe if proper care is given the tractor it will last the life of a horse, as I am all through with my farm work and do not have to worry about feeding a bunch of horses through the winter. Of course there were other letters containing laments and wails of grief. Some farmers had had trouble in starting; others complained of the gears. Some had [175] had fine success in baling hay, shredding corn, thresh- ing grain, and in road work. It was palpable in many of the letters that the writers had been appointed agents to sell the tractor. But practically all the letters were based upon one season's experience. So far as I could see there were no letters of optimistic viewpoint worth considering from the hundred-acre farmer. The size of the farm was rarely stated, but on the average they must have run from i6o to 300 acres. While still on the topic of the tractor market and exploitation methods I will set down a little list of ad- vantages that are almost universally alleged in favor of the tractor: More economical because it utilizes mechanical power, which can be produced more cheaply than horse power. Concentrates power, thus reducing the amount of man- labor for farm operations, as one man can easily operate a gas tractor with a pulling capacity equal to forty horses, and at the same time have more dependable control over the power than would be possible with horses. Unlimited endurance, being capable of working day and night during its entire life if necessary. Requires comparatively small space for housing, and such shelter as is required need not be built for warmth but only for protection from the elements. Consumes fuel of relatively small bulk, requiring little space for storage. Requires no care when not in use. Does better work because the quality is not lowered out of sympathy for tired animals. Can be used not only for field work, but also for belt work. [176] Is not subject to sudden loss by disease. Breaks can be repaired by substituting a new part. Not all these so-called advantages are axiomatic. There was the case of the North Dakota farmer who had driven into town and was boasting in the general store of the great acreage of grain he was putting in with his tractor. He had just got along to computing the cost of plowing when he was called to the telephone. The Swede at the other end of the wire announced: "Boss, Big Ben ban bust! I tank you better bring new Big Ben out, for I tank rain tomorrow." "Anybody hurt.?" asked the farmer. " I tank Olaf hurt some," replied the farm hand. " I tank his leg broke an' maybe arm too, but he don't wake up so I can ask him. But I tank rain tomorrow, boss, so we ban need new Big Ben." Of course, this was back in the days when the big steam tractors had a habit of popping off Hke a super- heated Mississippi steamboat. The modern internal combustion engine is infinitely nearer perfection today than were those early devices. Nevertheless we are not yet able to be cocksure of tractor advantages. Tractor benefits must be studied on their relative merits. There is an immense amount of research work ahead of us, both in the manufacturing plant and on the farm. The returns from the small tractor are just beginning to come in. Presently we shall be able to average up contending claims for specific types. The makers of the three-wheel tractor are gathering their data, and the makers of the four-wheel trac- tor are gathering theirs. Disputes as to the most 12 [ 177 1 advantageous size of tractor remain unsettled. The all purpose three-plow tractor men scofF at the two-plow tractor. Makers of a variety of sizes are still uncertain concerning what the future popular size will be. You get glowing reports of the operation of the bull-wheel in the furrow, and from another source you hear the bull-wheel in the furrow condemned as a hideous mis- take. Is it any wonder that some tractor exploiters feel inclined to tear their hair.f* They realize that a great industry is in the bud, but they are completely baffled concerning what the fruit will look like in its final stages of cultural development. I178I VIII The Great Selection Problem for the Farmer GOING it blindfolded! That is the situation ' with the majority of farmers who are picking ' tractors today. It is not the fault of the tractor makers any more than it is the fault of the farmers. You may standard- ize the quality of your tractor to a superfine degree, but how about the standardization of the purchaser's ingenuity, skill, versatility, good or bad fortune in crop production? You hear many sound arguments against the eco- nomic success of the small tractor, but you hear none to controvert the fact that the small tractor has come as an incalculable boon to the industry. The popular- priced tractor has in the short span of two years pro- vided resources for the tractor industry that could not have been obtained in a score of years had it not been developed. The pony tractor has created cash-sale possibilities that could not have been contrived by any other means, and without cash-sale possibilities the tractor industry would have labored along under the same dead weight that has hampered the moderniza- tion of the implement industry. From the manufacturer's standpoint volume of pro- duction was the great stumbling-block. A concern that [ 179] could not hope to make more than a few hundred tractors a year had Httle hope of cutting down manu- facturers' costs. A manufacturer compelled to make all his own parts and castings could develop only a special narrow market for a quality product at a qual- ity price. If a group of manufacturers had got together and standardized certain parts and agreed to take the out- put of some specialty manufacturer of parts, a definite economy could have been accomplished. But the spirit of competition was not headed that way. Each separate maker seemed to desire as many selling argu- ments in favor of his tractor as there were parts. He wanted to be able to say that he had a better make of motor than the other fellow, a better carburetor, better ignition, better transmission, better cooling and lubri- cating systems, a better contrivance of bull-wheels or caterpillar sleeves for pulling and balancing the load, better belt-drive connections. I heard it said that one manufacturer had boasted: "There are 22,000 pieces in my tractor and practically all of them are different and better than the pieces in any other tractor." Heaven help the owner who needed a few nuts and bolts of this tractor in a hurry! When you get down to fundamentals, this sort of thing has occurred in the history of every mechanical development. The design is crudely direct and simple at the start — crudely inefficient too. Then the refining process begins and is attended by a mania for com- plexities. The next step is to eliminate the complexi- ties and gradually approach a refined simplicity. Throughout every step the ratio of efficiency is being [ 180 1 increased and the road to standardization is being smoothed down. Thanks to the small tractor the industry has already approached such standardization that it is possible for thirty-two makers to use one type of motor — that is, a type of motor made by one manufacturer. Sizes and adjustments are adapted to fit the special needs of different tractors. The same tendency will be followed in the cases of carburetors, magnetos, radiators, gears, transmissions, differentials, and so on. The develop- ment of the automobile has not only made this possible, but has really forced it upon the tractor industry as the only economic method of cutting the cost of pro- duction. Automobile engineers have really done a great deal for tractor manufacturers by refining the essential parts of tractor mechanism. Both industries are striv- ing now toward the perfection of a system of coal-oil carburetion. While some oil-burning tractors are ad- vertised as equal in efficiency to any rival gasoline burners, they have yet a long way to go to prove that the combustion efficiency of kerosene equals the com- bustion efficiency of gasoline. Nor, as a matter of fact, will they ever succeed in raising the B. T. U. ratio of kerosene to the B. T. U. ratio of gasoline. What they may do and what they are striving toward is to develop a combustion mechanism that will give kerosene the same fuel dependability as gasoline. If they accom- plish this, they will achieve great economy. As a general thing, farmers in this country have been learning a good deal more about the four-cylinder high- speed type of motor in the past few years than they [i8i] have about one and two cylinder oil-burning tractor motors. Manufacturers who jumped into the tractor game overnight felt that they could supply the popular demand by simply grabbing a four-cylinder automo- bile motor, common types of automobile carburetors and magnetos, and slapping them into any old sort of tractor frame. They suffered from the obsession that if a tractor ran and developed a definite amount of power, that was all that was necessary. They didn't even bother to hitch on a plow and see if the thing would buck or not. In the days of the 50,000-pound leviathan tractors no one bothered about bucking propensities. The chief thing was to get it started and keep it going. When they got down to the 4000 and 5000 pound tractor it was not so much a case of spinning the flywheel and keeping the motor warmed up to its job as of keeping the "featherweight" from imitating an aeroplane after the plows had bitten into the sod. Nice adjustments and balances of weight were required. The plow hitch became essentially important, to avoid side-draft and to get the highest efficiency of pull. A great many of these little fellows were underpow- ered, even for their weight, at the start. Some of them still are. The great need for surplus power was not fully understood. How could it have been otherwise when the rush products that were flung on the market had had practically no testing out.? Early last winter I was talking to a manufacturer who has been making a medium-sized tractor advertised to develop twelve horse power on the drawbar. I asked if he were going into the popular-price field. [ 182 1 "Oh, yes," he said, "we're going to get out a little one. I have an engineer coming down in a day or so to draw some plans." "Then," I said, "I suppose it'll be a year or two at least before you commence to market it." "Year, your hat!" he returned breezily. "We'll be turning 'em out in ninety days after we approve of the plans. The time is ripe to sell the baby size right now and we are going to get into the running while the run- ning is good. We're making five a day of this medium size now and we can't begin to fill the orders." It is the barest of all chances that this man will turn out a product that will render any sort of dependable service. But then, his chief desire is to make something that will sell, and sell in sufficient volume to make a killing while the going is good. Just for the sake of drawing a parallel, take the case of an Ohio tractor manufacturer who parts his name in the middle with the word Thorough. He has been manufacturing a four-plow tractor for five years — one of the very best of its size and type; sold to develop fifteen horse power on the drawbar, and honestly made to develop a surplus above that. It is a real-quality product selling for $1750. The first year he made twenty-five tractors, the second year fifty, the third year 250, and this year he will make 500. Before he sold a single tractor, however, he experimented for two years with twenty different models. This man's early selling experience convinced him that the greater number of small farmers would not buy four-plow tractors. The man with 200 acres of grain could operate it economically, but there seemed I 183] to be few good prospects operating less than 300 to 400 acres. He might double his sales from year to year for a few years and yet make no advances in the vol- ume of production. So he got his experts to work designing a ten-horse-power tractor that could be sold for about $750. The first model was built three years ago and twenty-five of these models were distributed in different parts of the country for experiment — dis- tributed, not sold. These models were tested through an entire season for tillage and for belt power. They must have diver- sified utility and a reserve of power above selling speci- fications. Model No. I fell down. Here and there it made good. But the average of excellence fell below fifty per cent. The following year Model No. 2 was built, and the tests were repeated. It was a big im- provement over Model No. i, yet there were some serious kinks to be ironed out. The average of effi- ciency was higher, but not high enough. This man was not looking for a killing. His aim was to found a big business on bedrock that had no fissures in it. He was in no passionate haste to make money. He had spent many years of his life building up a reputation for business integrity and he was jealous of that repu- tation. He had amassed a large fortune slowly and conservatively and that was the way he intended to develop a tractor. Hence he built Model No. 3. He introduced No. 3 as his 1916 model, having demonstrated to his satisfaction that it was a depend- able mechanism. He had built forty experimental machines, but none to sell. He had selected forty farmers in widely scattered farming areas to try out [ 184] Model No. 3 for the entire season. His experts had picked the farms and the farmers. They had covered the East and the South, the Middle West, the South- west, the Northwest and the Pacific States. Model No. 3 was distributed to tackle almost every type of soil and a wide range of climatic and soil conditions. It pulled plows over platterflat prairies, over rolling meadows and aslant the terraced hills of Georgia and the Carolinas. It tackled shale deposits and tule gumbo, the staked plains of the Texas Panhandle and the cut-over lands of Northern Wisconsin and Minne- sota. It was driven by farmers who are expert me- chanicians and by farmers who are raw beginners. It was tested for the highest possible efficiency in the hands of the wizard and for the lowest standard of efficiency in the hands of the bungler. The little fellow that comes through a test of this character and stands up on a basis of all-round per- formance is an honest product that both the dealer and the farmer should scout for. Nor is this thorough method of testing out uncommon in the tractor field. At least a score of the manufacturers of recognized standing and stability are practically as thorough. This applies to both old-line tractor makers and imple- ment manufacturers and to some few of the new in- vaders. It applies also to several automobile manufac- turers who have been experimenting with tractors that have not yet come on the market. But there are some big manufacturers of long-estab- lished reputation in other lines who have picked their tractor products out of the air and are tossing them on the market without putting their performances to I 185] anything resembling thorough and honest tests. They are relying upon their names to sell these bubble flimsies and trusting to the hurry-up eflForts of their engineers to eradicate the imperfections. In such cases the purchasers will be the goats, and their failure will determine the radical changes that must eventually be made to give service and honest value. A few of the heads of these concerns have simply been deluded by so-called experts. They are too busy themselves to look into minor details, and must take the word of their subordinates. Possibly they conceive that the tractor has been sufficiently standardized to make it possible simply to assemble standard parts into a working unit, as is being done successfully in the automobile industry. If they look into this closely, however, they will soon learn that the tractor has at least half a dozen years of evolution ahead of it before its construction is a comparatively simple task of experimental design and assembly. [i86] IX Shall the Tractor Fit the Farm or the Farm Fit the Tractor NOW that small tractors — five, six, seven, eight, nine and ten drawbar horse power — are being produced in great numbers, there is no end of discussion over the ideal size of farm to utilize them to advantage. Some academic theorists tell you flatly that any tractor developing less than eight horse power on the drawbar is a joke on a farm of any size. It is of utterly no use to the two-horse farm, you hear, be- cause it cannot replace the team for cultivating and light hauling, and unless the owner can do considerable contract work for neighbors, he will never begin to get his money's worth out of his tractor. He will soon find, after he has tried out his tractor for a season, that he will have to add to the size of his farm as his only means of economic salvation. It is further urged against the pony-sized tractor that it is not large enough to reduce man labor to any appreciable extent, nor powerful enough in many in- stances to perform all the belt work required on the home farm. The salient argument for the big tractor has long been its ability to cut the cost of man labor. Take a forty-eight tractor for example. With one operator and [187] one plowman it could plow from twenty-five to thirty acres a day under favorable conditions. Where the land was free from trash a self-lifting plow could dis- pense with the services of the plowman. It would re- quire seven or eight men and from twenty-eight to forty horses to produce the same results. But the scope of such operations was extremely nar- row, nor were the economies to be accomplished always definite. Hundreds of big grain farms tried the big tractor and went back to horses. The by-product utility of a tractor's belt power was overlooked to a great extent. As the small tractor came into being its belt power was overcapitalized rather than overlooked. The ma- chines it should operate on the farm — in theory — were not built down to the belt power of the small tractor. This was true of separators, corn shellers, silage cutters and various harvesting machines. The overrated small tractor fell down hopelessly when it came to the actual appliance of the much-vaunted belt power. There fol- lowed a two-way scramble to straighten out this defect — the rebuilding of the motor to develop more power and an appeal to the manufacturers of belt-power appliances to make smaller types adaptable to smaller tractors. Nor was tillage apparatus quite ready for the arrival of the small tractor. Special hitches and adjustments had to be devised. It was found that the principles that had worked out well with the large-tractor gangs could not be followed with assured success with the small-tractor gangs. There was the ever-present ten- dency of the small-tractor operator to overload the [i88] machine. Purchasers had been promised more power than the tractor could deUver, and there was no margin of safety. Told that the tractor could plow an acre an hour or thereabout, they would begin at the maximum and then speed it up. The careful shifting of gears to produce the most engine efficiency cannot be learned in a day, even with the automobile. With the tractor this skill comes much more gradually. Drivers completely forgot how they had driven their plow teams through uneven soil. They expected the tractor to wade through anything with- out changing gears, without paying close attention to the nice adjustments of the plow lift. The three great trouble-breeders with the small tractor have been: Overloading, reckless driving and neglect of lubrica- tion. In behalf of the farmer it must be said that he was only partially to blame for overloading. So many of the small tractors had been overrated as to both draw- bar pull and belt power that he was naturally misled. Manufacturers — the reliable ones — have hastened to correct this error. Tractors that were at first offered as three-plow tractors are now being sold as two-plow tractors. Some of them will pull three plows nine or ten inches deep through light loams, but when it comes to heavy soil they are two-plow tractors. It is wise to list them and advertise them as such, allowing the pur- chaser to exhaust surplus power at his own risk. The returns from worth-while economy and endur- ance tests of the small tractor have just begun to come in. They are not as yet comprehensive enough to base any final judgment on. I have met some men who [189] predict that the two-plow tractor will be pretty gener- ally discarded in a few years as too small — too small at any price. They predict that the tractor that will be most generally used in the future must deliver at least an honest ten-horse power on the drawbar and pull at least three plows from seven to ten inches deep. The three-plow tractor, they argue, will not only render the small farmer efficient service, but will ac- complish for him immediate economies that will enable him to increase his farming operations and expand his farm area. This will be a case of enlarging the farm to fit the tractor. The other way round will never work out. A cropping area can never be pared down eco- nomically to fit the size of a tractor. Data collected from Illinois and Indiana prove pretty conclusively that farmers who began with small tractors bought larger ones; that they graduated from the two- and three-plow class into the four-plow class. In few if any recorded instances, say those who have been gathering statistics, have farmers who began with four-plow tractors bought down into the two- and three-plow class. But it should be explained that the majority of those who bought large tractors have added to their cropping area by buying or renting additional land. One close observer of tractor tests — actual farming tests — had this to say: "The data I have collected show that the fifteen-thirty tractor has had a larger per- centage of successes than any other size except the very smallest ones. These very smallest ones, however, have not been in use for a sufficient length of time to enable the users to give an opinion of definite value. [ 190] "As I size up the situation, the manufacturers of the pony-sized tractor have built for demand, not because they believe it to be the best machine for the average farmer. In fact, many of them are convinced that the pony-sized tractor is altogether undesirable and will do more harm than good. But" — a vastly important but if you follow closely — *' there is no reason to doubt that the small tractor, selling at a low price, is destined to put the industry on a more substantial basis than it has ever known. Frequently a farmer will take a chance with a small tractor when nothing could persuade him to buy a larger one. This will tend to expand the field of experimentation, and is sure to increase the general demand for all sizes of tractors." Too many of the theories you hear argue round in circles. They begin with a flimsy premise and wind up with a contradiction. The pony tractor is a fallacy, hut . The big tractor is a fallacy, hut . The medium-sized tractor is ideal, hut . The great puz- zle for the future must be to determine the happy medium. And that happy medium must either be a medium-sized little or a medium-sized big tractor. As I see it, nothing can be a greater help toward the solu- tion than volume of production that will gradually bring down the cost of all sizes of tractors — ^just what has happened in the automobile industry. And the greater the volume of production, the nearer the ap- proach to standardization. If this reasoning is sound, it must follow that the small tractor, instead of being an economic fallacy, is the greatest of all economic boons both to the farmer and to the manufacturer. There is an infinitely better [191I chance for the small tractor to grow up to husky effi- ciency than there is for the big tractor to shrink. As for the influence of the tractor on the size of farms, that problem is likely to lead to endless specula- tion until we have gathered sufficient statistics to guide us. It is both a tractor problem and a man problem. It is a problem involving land tenure and types of farming. It is a mechanical problem and a livestock problem. It is likely to become one of our greatest farm-management problems. Furthermore it will be- come a social problem, as it will mean a still greater decrease in our rural population. The efficiently mechanized farm of the future is something to look forward to hopefully, and I believe that the small tractor will be the greatest influence ever brought to bear toward this end, not only in the United States but in the whole world. [ 192 X Design, Parts, Service — The Big Little Things IF YOU happen to buy a simple little tractor, with only ii,ooo pieces in it, you are in a fair way to acquire some fundamental experience in mechan- ics. The ii,ooo pieces are not all parts, to be sure, or what are commonly called parts. Nuts, bolts, washers, lugs or spuds, pinions, cotter pins, radiator pieces, carburetor pieces, engine pieces, magneto pieces, pipes, tubings and joinings in the lubricating system, grease cups, oil cups, frame braces and rivets, wheel spokes, steering-gear pieces and innumerable odds and ends in the metal fabric make up the dismaying total. A very small fraction of this total is working parts. Every piece will bear some specific burden of wear and tear, but a good many thousand pieces are indestruct- ible so far as the life of a tractor is concerned. Some time look over a tractor, an automobile or any other mechanical contrivance of necessarily complex fabric that has played out and been scrapped and you cannot help but be amazed at the number of pieces that survived intact. It is a good deal the same with the human anatomy. Even in the case of the centena- rian whose vital spark has suddenly gone out there are innumerable tissues and bones and tubes that could, seemingly, have borne their burden for many 13 [ 193 ] ^ years were not the heart engine and its carburetor valves, the lubricating and the respirating system, played out. A good many tractor prospects are asking: Where will we find the greatest simplicity in tractor design, the fewest pieces, the fewest parts? Unfortunately, there is no brief or comprehensive answer to this ques- tion. At this writing there are approximately 170 tractors, no two of them alike. In another year prob- ably 200 or more, each a separate design, will be offered for sale. There is such wide variance of design that classifica- tion is almost impossible. We have one-wheel, two- wheel, three-wheel, four-wheel tractors, caterpillars of several types, steel mules, iron horses, auto-plows and plow-autos, oil-gas and gas-oil, crude-oil burners, kero- sene burners and gasoline burners. There are distinc- tive plow-pull types and distinctive all-purpose types, likewise special types for hauling; there are one- cylinder, two-cylinder, four-cylinder and six-cylinder tractors. This great diversity of design is due primarily to the fact that there has not been sufficient experimentation to permit of careful analysis of the fundamentals of tractor design by tractor engineers. The early develop- ment of the tractor was confined to the plowing engine. Now, with the intrusion and immense popularity of the small tractor, there is a scramble in the direction of the all-purpose tractor. It is a mad, mad scramble. To produce a satisfactory plowing tractor required a combination of certain elements. An approach was being made to simplification and standardization. [ 194 ] I To provide a tractor combining in itself high excel- lence for plowing, cultivation, harvesting, road hauling and belt work required the addition of a great many elements not at all necessary in a plow-purpose tractor. To get anywhere the all-plow tractor had to work up to deliver large units of power. The all-purpose tractor worked down to diversify and in that way to multiply small units of power. The all-plow tractor soon oversold its market; the all-purpose tractor, in the infancy of development, cannot seem to meet demand. You must follow a precipitate decline from the 50,000-pound tractor to the 3000-pound tractor. Placed side by side they are about as alike as the zebra and the hairy mammoth. They are creatures of utterly differ- ent species. The big one- and two-cylinder tractors that have come down to date are fairly true to species. The "featherweight" is a hybrid cross with a predomi- nating strain of automobile in him. The big type was based upon stationary-engine practice. Its sponsers declare that any machine, to be a success at farm work, must be made heavy, to stand rough usage and continuous service. It must be heavy, to carry the single or double cylindered motors with large cylinder dimensions. The bearing surfaces must be large. The transmission system is usually of rough-cast gears, of coarse pitch and large diameter. These gears, too large to inclose, must be run in the open. Frames and wheels must be proportionately heavy. Carburetion, cooling and ignition systems are of the utmost simplicity, designed for practically constant [195] load and speed. Fine adjustment or flexible control is not considered. It is argued for these big, crude fellows that they are more nearly fool-proof than any other type; that a one-cylinder engine gives half as much trouble as a two-cylinder, one-fourth as much trouble as a four, and one-sixth as much trouble as a six. In bygone days you heard this same argument from automobile manu- facturers. The fool-proof argument has very little force in this mechanized epoch as a selling argument. It is human nature to like to monkey with the buzz-saw. The contention of designers of tractors built along automobile lines, that the use of single or double cyl- inders of large dimensions is incorrect for tractor duty because it is necessary to make the tractor '* hope- lessly " heavy to obtain proper wearing surface or bear- ing area has met pretty general popular approval. It makes its strongest appeal to the automobile-owning farmer. More than ninety per cent of the automobiles owned by farmers are four-cylinder light cars. Unquestionably, however, the light-tractor advo- cates have been carried away by their own enthusiasm. They have too much of the automobile and too little of the tractor in their machines. That has already been pretty thoroughly demonstrated. The evidence is ap- parent this year, when you find most of the experi- enced tractor designers either bringing out or prepar- ing to bring out tractors combining both the heavy type and the light type of construction. The arguments for this interweaving of design are compromise arguments — an acknowledgment of the [196] good points of both designs. But even these com- promise types have not followed any standard. Some producers of the heavy type merely cut down size and weight by using better materials where greater strength was necessary and applying anti-friction bear- ings where the loads were heaviest. Builders of "too- light" designs followed the opposite course, building up and strengthening, adding more power units to the motor. The logical future development of the tractor will undoubtedly be along the line of combining the knowl- edge and experience of the agricultural engineer, the automobile engineer and the tractor engineer. Each class has much to learn. Some of the leading automo- bile engineers of the country are now employed in making a minute study of tractor mechanics and agri- cultural economics. Mere mechanical skill will not serve to produce any special ideal type of tractor. The agricultural engineer can furnish invaluable informa- tion concerning farm management, cropping condi- tions, soil textures, soil contours, the possibilities for replacing horses, the possibilities for the diversifica- tion of belt-power, and so on. One of the very best light tractors on the market was designed by a farmer turned mechanic. The automobile engineers, seeking mechanical re- finements, have already made a big impression by compelling the use of better building materials. Their influence is largely responsible for the growing use of cut and hardened gears, inclosed gearing run in oil and moderately light high-speed motors. There is both a positive need and an increasing demand for the [ 197 ] intensive use of high-grade materials, as well as for the development of design to take the utmost advan- tage of quantity production. The great automobile manufacturers who are un- doubtedly coming into the game will seek the broadest market. They have the mistakes of scores of tractor manufacturers to build upon; they have their own selling and exploitation organizations to wield as a powerful weapon of distribution — a much more flexible and effective weapon than has ever been used in the tractor and implement industries. How effective? Answer: Approximately one million automobiles sold to farmers who did not absolutely need them in their business. Sold for cash too — don't forget that! [198 XI Building for Service YOU will find in the tractor industry today two very distinct classes of manufacturers: One that is building for service and established repu- tation, and another that is building to catch the popu- lar fancy. It should be worth while for the farmer to inquire carefully into the standing of the manufac- turer. Do not simply ask the dealer or salesman a few casual questions. Write to your agricultural college. You may receive a noncommittal reply, but you will get a lead on the situation. Simply because a tractor is a new design does not necessarily condemn it, but if it is simply a design fathered by a haphazard idea and you buy it the chances are all in favor of your paying a very heavy tax to prove or disprove the worth of that tractor. The cautious tractor purchaser will make careful inquiry concerning the available supply of parts and their cost. The life of tractor parts is bound to be problematical. The wearing parts of a tractor bear a terrific strain. The least little negligence in taking care of lubrication may burn out a bearing or destroy a bushing. You want to know how soon you can replace these and at what cost. Fuel and water systems are far from infallible. [ 199 1 The bull gear carries a tremendous strain. There is a definite economic advantage when the bull gear is made up of several segments. You are not likely to have more than one segment go at a time and then the repair costs are but a fraction what they are if the bull gear is a single casting. Of course, the material of which the gears are made makes all the difference in the world. But, by all means, look into every possible detail of parts service. A good many tractor manufacturers will supply you with parts catalogues. If the prices of these parts are not given, write for information. Check up with the dealer on the information you receive. Learn what parts he carries in stock and what he charges for them. The catalogue put out by the manufacturer of one small tractor lists each separate part, its weight, price and the code name for it. Also there are special lists of magneto and carburetor parts. This manufacturer fixes the price at which the dealer handling his tractor shall sell parts, allowing a fair margin of profit to the man who keeps the parts in stock. The dealer is not asked to keep all the parts listed in stock, by a handsome margin. How many and what parts he keeps in stock will depend to a large extent on the number of tractors he has sold. Generally he need carry only the working parts that bear the heaviest load and are the most liable to give way because of overloading, careless driving or accident. Defective parts are replaced free of charge by responsible manu- facturers, provided the broken parts are sent on so the manufacturer may have proof that there was a posi- tive defect in the material. [ 200 ] The dealer is not compelled to carry a heavy stock of parts at his own risk of never disposing of them. The manufacturer I have mentioned makes the pro- vision that if any of the parts the dealer has carried are undisposed of at the end of the year he will take them back. This sort of parts service is a big advance over the old-time methods in the tractor industry. Many a tractor owner, having broken an essential part, has written to the factory, only to find that a special cast- ing would have to be made, and at almost prohibitive cost. Tractor owners have told me of paying twenty dollars and more for castings that with any adequate supply of parts on hand should not have cost more than a dollar or two at the most. The dealer who is going to sell tractors to farmers cannot look too carefully into the details of parts service and repair service. The closer attention he pays to this the better will be his prospects as a tractor dis- tributor. Many manufacturers are providing tractor schools for dealers and farmers. All the agricultural colleges are building up special tractor courses. Short courses in tractor mechanics will undoubtedly become immensely popular in the future. There are alluring profits to be made in tractor sales by the dealer in the future, but this race is going to be to the swift, the energetic, the competent — to the man who makes a careful, detailed study of the tractor as a machine and who knows the value of this machine in the district he serves. To those unable to attend tractor schools and short courses in tractor mechanics there are available [ 20I ] correspondence courses which, if they only whet the appetite for more knowledge, will have served a very useful purpose. The dealer should not only interest himself in all these special aids to his business as a tractor distributor, but he should urge the farmer who has declared himself a tractor prospect to equip himself with all the knowledge and skill he may obtain. The farmer, on his part, will do well to observe closely what the dealer knows about his product. The newcomers to the tractor industry, who drove their selling forces into the market on the double-quick under the cash-sales banner, first chose the automo- bile dealer as a distributor. The automobile dealer understood cash sales and he also knew the value of intelligent, dependable service, particularly parts service. The automobile dealer knew engine troubles, carburetor troubles, ignition troubles. The automobile dealer knew what service to give away and what service to charge hard cash for. He had not acquired the habit of giving away service to keep credit customers in good humor. In the experimental drive for cash-sales distribution it was simply the natural thing to tie up so far as pos- sible with the automobile dealer. But it wasn't long before there arose clamorous protest from the imple- ment dealer. He came to the front in large numbers to present his just claims. He urged his manifest advan- tages over the automobile dealer in that he was in close contact with the farmer. He not only had per- sonal acquaintance with the farmer, but he knew with some degree of accuracy just how much mechanical equipment the farmer carried, the size and kind of [ 202 ] farm he operated and the adaptabiHty of his farm to absorb tractor power. The old-Hne implement manufacturers who were seUing tractors did not desert the implement dealer, but they were able to observe before very long that their implement dealers were in a great many — far too many — instances making a mess of their tractor sales. Likewise they were not meeting the competition in their district. New tractors made by "new beginners" were being sold under their noses in large numbers by automobile and other dealers, being sold for cash as against their abortive efforts to sell by the antiquated methods that still clung to the implement industry. There was a division of responsibility for this. The implement dealer did not know the tractor, and the selling organizations he was distributing for were not coaching him properly. He was not getting live assist- ance from sales managers and branch-house managers. Implement manufacturers were making a vain en- deavor not to disturb the sales of their other lines, but at the same time to push the sales of tractors. They did not have enough tractor specialists on the job. They neglected the parts service demands and needs. They neglected to boost the features that made the deepest impressions. Was it any wonder that certain competitors were rushing them off their feet.? In the course of a year radical changes were notice- able. Specialists and experts were hustled out on the job. The implement dealer was called into conference and instructed. He was taught more and more about the tractor as a machine and was coached to the limit in the process of selling for cash or the equivalent of cash. [ 203 ] At every dealers* convention held last winter there were lectures on tractors and indoor demonstrations of tractors, so far as that was possible. Kansas City had a big tractor show as an adjunct to the annual automobile show. This attracted both implement and automobile dealers. Minneapolis had a tractor show. The implement trade press broke out with a sort of tractor measles. Special tractor numbers were pre- pared for the sole purpose of coaching the implement dealer. Some implement trade papers changed their names to include ** tractor." A year ago one big tractor concern boasted that ninety per cent of its distributors were automobile dealers. Since then it has been signing up large num- bers of implement dealers, until now it is a case of fifty-fifty, with the rising tide in favor of the implement dealer. But the implement dealer did not come in to skim this tractor cream on his own terms. He came in on the manufacturer's terms, and he is growing to like the business methods built up by the automobile industry more and more as the months go by. An overwhelming demand for small tractors made this possible in the tractor industry, just as an over- whelming demand made it possible in the automobile industry. So far as I can see this demand is not likely to slacken for several years to come. It is more than likely to be the salvation of several thousand imple- ment dealers who would have been ground out of exist- ence in the course of competition as it existed in the old days. The elimination of the unfit will go on, but there will be attracted to the dealer forces a much higher grade [204] of intelligence and business alertness than was ever the case before. The agricultural colleges are turning out hundreds of young men with technical knowledge of agricultural economics and mechanical engineering who will be attracted by the dealer possibilities of the tractor. More and more dealers will send up their sons for this training. A good many of the colleges have established courses in salesmanship. If you have a grain of optimism in your system you must see that the prospect is peculiarly rosy. [205) XII The Horseless Farm YOU might as well try to sum up the vagaries of womankind as attempt to cap a climax to a discussion of farm tractors during the industry's present spasms of regeneration, or rejuvenation, or recrudescence, or whatever you desire to call its 1916 labor pains. I have been poring over scores of essays written by engineers and experts in hurry-up response to emer- gency appeals for copy, but they agree only on the score of their uncertainties. No, that is not exactly accurate. There is a harmonious tone to their opti- mism. The majority of them express themselves as scientific optimists. It has been denied that there is such a critter. Let me explain. When these technical specialists get away from the backing and filling of their technical discussion they step right up to the front of the rostrum and let go to this effect: *' Whatever happens, the tractor is here with bells on and going so fast you can't see it for sparks and smoke." This is just a common kitchen-garden variety of hysteria, but when you see it develop in scientists you may gamble there is som.e good sound reason for it. [206] During the extensive tour I made through the tractor centers of manufacture and distribution I met a variety of types of enthusiasts — probably not all the types, but I beheve a majority of them. One of the most interesting was the horse eliminator. He was one of a force of 750 earnest workers em- ployed in the experimental department of the biggest concern that makes tractors and farm implements. He was assigned to just one specialty and he certainly took that specialty to heart. It was a sort of one- cylinder, three-speed, no-reverse, direct-drive hobby. That preeminent hobby-horseman of English litera- ture. Uncle Toby, was a chronic diversifier by com- parison with this earnest, chubby little gentleman, who has given up the greater part of his life to con- triving patents that should ultimately eliminate horse power from farming. He was almost up to his neck in blue-print designs when I visited him in a Chicago skyscraper. Almost the first phrase he uttered was "horseless farm." In the next breath he told me he was no mere skyscraper theorist, but a real farmer. He lived on a farm — a horseless farm. It was part of his job to promote the horselessness of this farm. He still kept a few horses — kept them round just for the sake of having them there to prove how easily he could do without them. Furthermore, he was figuring out to a nicety what these horses cost to maintain and just how much power they delivered in return for their upkeep. He had entered the purchase price of this work stock, estimated their depreciation to a hair day by day, worked out the average of horse ailments and [207] horse accidents on a large number of farms. He had balanced his horse quota as to sex so as to get the average returns from reproduction and its value, also he measured and estimated the value of manure return. **I intend to play fair with the horse," he said, "and to get its value as high as the averages carry. Only by doing that will I succeed in driving myself at the top speed to replace the horse by diversified tractor service. I am working now on a great many patents for rede- signing farm machinery and farm equipment so as to increase the utility of the tractor and make it earn dividends on an average small farm of 150 acres. The smaller the farm, the greater must be the range of activity of the tractor. We must drive toward the complete elimination of the horse to make the tractor a paying investment on the really small farm. "We are redesigning our harvester as a small tractor harvester, so that we can take it off and utilize the transmission drive of the tractor as the drive of the harvester. I am working on no end of patents for a tractor cultivator. There are a good many snags in the way, but we are going to cut through them. We are redesigning our mowers, so as to put on as many sets of knives as the tractor will pull. We have worked out a header-separator for the grain districts. "When we get our tractor cultivator worked out it will cultivate four rows with three men and then it will be possible to cultivate two or three times where we cultivate only once now. There will be no need then to cultivate any farther when the corn is so high as to interfere with tractor traction. The increased yields should be incalculable. [208] "In the course of my experimental work I have be- come a small tractor-fanatic. I do not see the need of large tractors at all. If more power is needed add more small-tractor units. I believe a six or eight drawbar pull will be all the power necessary in these small power units. "Each small tractor will take care of one manure spreader, one harvester, one mower, one hay loader, one hayrack, and so on. The hayrack may be mounted on a two-wheel trailer. The trailer can be used to carry the grain to the carrier and the tractor will operate the carrier to unload. I have worked this out with potatoes, sugar beets, and many other crops besides hay and grain, by running the end of the carrier box into the car that is to be loaded. Can't you see that when we get this down pat the horse will be completely out of it? There'll be no use at all for animal power. We can begin in the spring with the manure spreader and work right through to the delivery of crops at the elevator or the freight car. All we have to do is to be sure that our small-unit tractor has power enough to operate all these various machines." "What about the additional cost of labor for the ad- ditional small-tractor units .f"' I asked; then added: "It is quite generally urged that there is an important economic gain to be made In eliminating man labor. A plurality of small tractors on the farm will certainly call for a plurality of operators." "That will be a mere trifle," he retorted; "when we have our readjustment down to a fine point and have eliminated the horse. The economies accomplished by each small-tractor unit will pay for the extra man labor 14 [ 209 ] and leave a wide margin of surplus to spare. There is an immense amount of waste man labor on the farm today, due to horse labor. The small tractor will take care of that waste." "The more small-tractor units the more farm ma- chinery," I remarked. *'What about the cost of dou- bling and tripling the number of machines? Isn't it true that the bigger the machine the less per horse power the cost of the power it delivers ? Of course it 7 would be better for the implement manufacturers to double up the number of machines, from manure spreaders to side-delivery rakes, hay loaders, and so on, but where will the farmer get off? He is already pretty heavily overpowered on the small farm." "That is merely an assumption of the superficial economists. When a farmer has a number of teams of horses he must have a number of wagons, binders, mowers, and so on, for these teams to pull. If he buys a large tractor he can pull only one machine at a time, and must discard the smaller machines for larger ones. To employ these large machines he should have large fields to operate in. "Now, say, a farmer takes on three $700 tractors instead of one $2000 tractor. Does he not add then a much greater elasticity to his farm operations .f* His small tractors can pull all his various equipment in fields of whatever size he cares to divide his farm. He can do infinitely more small work with his small tractors than he could with his big one." "Then you don't give much weight to the argument that the average farmer is overequipped with ma- chinery?" [210] **If he is, it is all because of the horse!" exclaimed the horse eliminator vehemently. **The horse is the great economic burden. I'll prove this to a hair. Just leave it to me." I reckon we'll have to do just that — leave it to him, though I doubt if he will live to see the day when the horse is completely eliminated from the farm. Our Department of Agriculture has been working out this tractor versus horse problem, and one of the young men who has been gathering valuable farm-manage- ment material has this to say in defense of the horse: "While power produced by mechanical means costs less per unit than that produced by animals, the diffi- culties encountered in its efficient application very frequently make the cost of performing mechanical power considerably greater than when done with horses. "Many of the estimates published concerning the cost of doing farm work with a tractor are decidedly misleading, because they fail to take into considera- tion one of the largest items that constitute the total cost — that is, depreciation. Sometimes the deprecia- tion cost is considered, but it is generally entered at too low an estimate and based upon the assumption that the life of a tractor is ten years. If this estimate were cut in half, it would be nearer the actual life of the tractor in its present state of development. "Another thing — too often the average cost of work with horses is compared to the maximum possibilities of the tractor. If the maximum of tractor utility is used, the maximum of horse utility should be also used. Worked out on such a basis, it is my opinion that the horse would win. I211] m "It is only fair to the horse to state that his capa- bihties are very inefficiently used by the average farmer. The average farm horse is employed only about one-third of the working days of the year, which makes his cost per hour much greater than it would be if he were employed throughout the year, as he must be fed whether working or idle. "It should be noted, however, that the cost of feed- ing idle horses is about one-third less than the cost of feeding horses that are doing daily work. Yet you hear it stated almost generally as a tractor argument that it costs just as much to feed a horse when idle as when at work. "While on most farms it is practically impossible to provide work for the horses during the entire year, it is quite possible to plan the work so as to use horses which must be kept a great deal more than most farm horses are used. "Here is an important phase in that connection: You hear a great deal of the extensive use of the tractor for custom work. Now, while there are perhaps not so many kinds of custom work for which the horse can be used, in many sections of the country farmers would have little more trouble in finding profitable custom work for their horses than for their tractor. "But it seems that a number of horses standing idle in the stable is a matter of small concern to most farmers, and no effort is made to find work for them to do off the home farm. "But provide these same men with a tractor and they will frequently neglect their own farms to do work with the tractor for neighbors." [212] This is valuable as discussion and well worth digest- ing. But it is far from the final word for or against the horse. Conclusions drawn from averages are too often false conclusions, as Mr. Average Man is almost as difficult to find as Mr. Perfect Man. When you go out scouting for him you are bound to bump into one of the other fellows — James Above- the-Average, Esq., or plain Jim No-Account. One great trouble with experts and investigators is that they delude them- selves into the belief that there is such a species as Bill Henry Average. If there only were, modern business could discard about fifty per cent of its complexities and perplexities. The expert quoted above made a pertinent reference to the much-vaunted custom-work possibilities of the tractor. The appearance of the small tractor in great numbers is going to knock custom-work possibilities into a cocked hat and completely revise them. I 213 1 XIII Government Selection CHOOSING a wife is nobody's business but your own. Butters-in are not invited to take part. You stand or fall by your personal choice. Almost the same rule should apply to picking farm machinery or selecting an automobile. The vagaries that govern selection are very similar. Or, viewed the other way round, perfection standards are just as in- determinate. The Department of Agriculture is continually bom- barded with requests for advice in the purchase of farm tractors. In addition to this bombardment there is the steady inflow of demands for specific information concerning the relative values of a vast assortment of farm machines. This situation applies not only to the Department of Agriculture, but to reliable farm publications as well. Every mail brings to these journals a considerable number of such letters. The writers desire first aid and safe guidance in the choice of farm implements. The same writers would never in the wide, wide world dream of asking assistance in choosing wives, or even in picking out automobiles, sewing machines, pianos, or dining-room furniture. [214] Undoubtedly a great many citizens are baffled by the evasive and noncommittal replies they receive from Government officials and others they have come to re- gard in the light of experts. It is perfectly true that these repHes rarely contain a sufficient explanation to account for their evasiveness. Very often they are perfunctorily curt or officiously snappy. Though there is no excuse for this sort of rejoinder, there is ample excuse for not being able to tell the whole story and explain all the whyfores of refusal to give exact information concerning the relative value of an ever-increasing variety of farm machinery. The purpose of this chapter is to tell the story in detail. It is too generally taken for granted that inasmuch as the Department of Agriculture recommends or con- demns certain seeds and passes upon the merits of foodstuffs, it should, logically, pass upon the merits of the various machines and implements offered to the farmer. But the matter of determining the relative merits of varieties of seeds is very different from that of determining the relative merits of different types and kinds of machines. It is possible by careful tests of seeds to establish absolute and unchangeable facts, and it is perfectly safe to publish such facts. But with a machine it is otherwise. A very slight change or readjustment may create the difference between bungling inefficiency and successful opera- tion. Take, for instance, a test in which two machines were put through a series of trials in which one fell [215] down and the other stood up. A few changes in the de- tails of operation or construction of the superior ma- chine might reverse the results. At the very next dem- onstration the inferior machine might be on top, and if you were an official who had condemned it on its first test, how much standing would you have a little later on when the product you condemned proved itself the superior of all rivals .? As a matter of fact, no competitive test of machinery can be considered final. It may be a simple thing to cast out a worthless machine, or an instrument that is fifty per cent shoddy and made for no purpose other than to sell on its appearance. But when implements and machines are backed by responsible manufactur- ers, of whom there are great numbers, and when the variation of efficiency is slight, it is a mightly ticklish question for the expert to guide the purchaser. Take the case of stationary gas and oil engines. Ap- proximately a million and a half of these machines are installed on farms today. Suppose a few thousand do not perform up to expectations. A few thousand kickers can make considerable clamor. Say they de- mand the appointment of a board of experts by the Government to pass upon the exact merits of station- ary engines. What would this board face in the way of arriving at positive conclusions which would be of value to all prospective purchasers of stationary en- gines? First, it should be the duty of this board to examine every type and make of engine offered on the market. Otherwise the best one, or possibly the poorest one, might be missed. There are 500 makers of gasoline I 216] engines in the United States. They are scattered over an immense area. A great many of them make from ten to twelve sizes, and sometimes two or three grades of each size. A really comprehensive test would in- clude several thousand engines. Just consider the expense of making these tests, even though they were tests of very brief duration. And if they were tests of very brief duration, of what actual value would they be as tests? The purchaser of a stationary engine does not buy it to show it off for a few hours to his friends. He buys it for continued lasting service. The only way a board of Government, state, or otherwise constituted experts could render a fair test would be to take over the engine after it had come from the shop and run it till it wore out. And how many new and better types might come on the market during this interval .f* The expense of such tests would be practically pro- hibitive. It is doubtful if the entire Federal Depart- ment of Agriculture as now constituted could, by con- centrating all its energies upon a series of such tests, take care of all the kinds, types and varieties of imple- ments and machines that are offered the farmer for sale. The stationary engine is as near standard as any piece of farm machinery. Yet its performance is directly influenced by climatic conditions. There would be no end of a pow-wow over the selection of a central site for Government tests. If the first tests were made in a heavy, soggy atmosphere, that fact would have to be noted and allowed for. Manufactur- ers would clamor to have the tests made under ideal [ 217] conditions, with fuel of the highest standard. The judges of the tests would very likely not agree concern- ing what were ideal climatic conditions or ideal grades of fuel. Experts are as prone to disagreement as the common run of folks, if not more so. It is estimated that if a central site for testing sta- tionary engines were selected, it would cost at least $40,000 for the hauling of the engines to the testing site alone. No estimate is offered as to the likely cost of fuel, the possible charges to the Government for damage to machinery, the cost of renting or buying a site and the erection of proper testing shelters, the sal- ary of official testers and supernumeraries. Having begun with stationary engines, let us assume that the Government took on tractors, threshing ma- chines, harvesting machines — all manner, sorts, types and varieties of tillage apparatus. We might even carry it down to garden tools and then to miscellane- ous hardware. Before we got through we should have what would amount to practical Government control of every mechanical device. Just the cost of diversified tests would run away up into the millions. The testing bureaus would become top-heavy branches of the Government. They would call for more experts than there were on tap in all the mechanical industries, and the natural sequence would be to fill the jobs with job-hunters, pork-barrel appointees, and so on. In no time at all we would be muck-raking the testers to learn from what manufac- turer they were accepting graft. To return to the mechanical intricacies of such tests: If each maker were allowed to prepare a special engine [218] for the Government test there would be no guaranty whatever that the machines sold to the farmer by that manufacturer would be of equal quality in either material or workmanship. To insure the obtaining of stock machines in every case selection would have to be made by a representative of the testing board, and just how the members of the board would cover the ground for this purpose would be an important prob- lem by itself. Here is still another little item that should make your puzzler spin: There would always be the possi- bility that the machine selected for the test might be an exceptionally good or an exceptionally poor one, for there is frequently a marked difference in the working qualities of two machines, even when made from the same lot of materials, by the same workmen and by the same tools. The only way to check up this phase would be to select at random two or three engines or machines of each kind and type and subject them to the specified try-out ordeal. This sort of thoroughness would still further multiply the number of machines to be tested and raise the cost of an official trying out to a dismaying total. An expert in the Department of Agriculture, who was directed to make a careful study of the possibility of such tests, summed up the difficulties and objections as follows: 1. The work would involve enormous if not pro- hibitive cost. 2. Tests of many kinds of implements, unless made in the field and under actual service conditions, would be useless. Hay loaders, cotton pickers and potato [219I diggers are examples of such machines. Naturally the try outs would be confined to a limited season. 3. Unless the tests were made at very frequent inter- vals, it is quite probable that changes might be made in machines that had not previously come up to stan- dard which would make them equal to any on the mar- ket, if not superior. For this reason no tests of ma- chines could be considered as final, inasmuch as change could be made in design and material in a very short time, which might vastly improve the machine. 4. The recommendation of any particular machine would tend to create a monopoly, since it would in- crease the business of the concerns making the ap- proved machines and decrease the business of less for- tunate competitors, in the end, most likely, driving them out of business. 5. It is extremely difficult to carry out an absolutely fair and accurate test such as would be required on many of the different machines, because it would be practically impossible to keep testing instruments in uniform condition at all times. This fact was borne out in the competitive test of only a small number of farm tractors, held at Winnipeg, Canada, when the rope on the brake-drum would sometimes stick and cause the speed of the engine being tested to vary con- siderably. It was also demonstrated at a similar test that it was almost impossible to obtain a uniform grade of fuel. 6. It would be very difficult to find a sufficient num- ber of competent men to conduct such tests — that is, men who had gained their proficiency from sources other than the employ of manufacturers. In that case [ 220 ] there would be a very strong likelihood of prejudice in favor of certain manufacturers. 7. There would be no assurance whatever that the machines placed on the market by any company would be equal in quality to those tested. Even though the maker desired to maintain quality standards, if his business were suddenly increased to a considerable ex- tent, as would naturally follow in case his machine was recommended by the Government, it would ne- cessitate taking on a large number of new hands who would not likely turn out so good a grade of work as the older and more experienced men. 8. It is also highly probable that the manufacturers whose product was recommended would take advan- tage of the fact to raise the price, thus causing the farmers to pay more for the machine than they other- wise would. Such a result would prove more of a bur- den than a blessing to the farmer. 9. In testing most types of machines, of which there are a large number, the tests of individual machines would necessarily last only a short time. This sort of testing would in no way determine the probable life of the machine, which is an essentially important fac- tor. A machine that proved superior in a few hours* test might possess only a fraction of the life of com- peting machines. 10. The establishment and carrying on of such offi- cial test by the Government would undoubtedly ham- per and embarrass the agricultural-implement in- dustry, serving to keep off the market many experi- mental machines that otherwise might develop ex- ceptional value. It should be mentioned in this I 221] connection that the cost of developing a machine must be borne by the user, no matter whether it is developed by tests made by the manufacturer or in actual ser- vice. The manufacturer must naturally add the cost of experimental work to the selling price of the ma- chines. Otherwise it would be impossible for him to do any experimental work. The man who prepared this series of ten objections informed me that he could string the list out almost endlessly. There were separate and specific objections in the case of nearly every type of machine he had studied. The manufacturers, individually and in groups, could undoubtedly raise a great many objec- tions that had not occurred to him. This subject will become increasingly important as more and more mechanical power is developed on the farm. The farmer is really better off relying on his own judgment and experience than he would be if he relied upon superficial government tests. His oppor- tunities for studying the other fellow's machines are constantly expanding, and very often his judgment and opinion are far superior to the judgment and opinion of many so-called experts who might, through pull or political preference, be appointed to a government testing board. [ 222 ] XIV No Fixed Rules to Guide WITH the big tractor, where there were broad areas of virgin sod to be broken, a tractor buyer could figure on making his tractor earn its way on off days. Tractor owners west of the Mississippi Valley reported that they could work their outfits an average of lOO days a year. These owners were located on farms that averaged 700 acres in size and their neighbors were ranchers who were eager to contract for sod-breaking. But even this sort of custom work was as often as not unprofitable, particularly when there was any competition. Owners accepted the contract work at too low a figure, failing to make sufl&cient allowance for depreciation or repair charges and the value of their own time. Getting down into Illinois, where there are very limited areas for sod-breaking of any kind, one hundred tractor-owning farmers found that they operated their tractors on an average of forty to forty-five days a year on their own farms and that their contract work did not run above fifteen days' service. This gives a total of not more than sixty days a year. The farms from which these reports were obtained averaged about 400 acres in extent. [223 ] Careful consideration of this feature has guided good many manufacturers in planning to diversify the utility of the small tractor for actual home-farm work. This is the only logical plan for any look-ahead tractor maker. Every additional tractor in a district dimin- ishes the possibilities of contract work. The staffs of experts now employed by at least a score of tractor makers are making a close study of all these angles and phases so vitally important to the future expansion of the industry. Manufacturers are pretty generally requesting all their customers to keep tabs and close accounting on their tractor work and to send in detailed reports at the end of the year. Some of these first-year reports are being used for advertising purposes; but the farmer who reads them in the form of advertisements should reckon that the undesirable chaff — for boosting purposes — has been sifted out. He should consider further that some of the reports were prepared by farmers who are getting a rake-off as agents for the tractor. Still further, he should read them in the light of first-year reports. If your tractor is promised to give you at the very lowest not less than five years' service, a first-year report on its cost of operation is not nearly so impor- tant as a second-year report. The farmers who run automobiles need not be advised about this. It would be a fine thing if someone could lay down a little table of inflexible rules to guide the farmer in the purchase of a tractor. But it can't be done. Any advice you offer must be flexible. It would be a good deal the same as giving young men advice about marriage. Ben Franklin did and he was a great philosopher. [224] 1 He advised the choice of spinsters. But if you urged a young chap who preferred raven-haired bru- nettes to choose a strawberry blonde, he'd follow the inspiration of his preference and tell you to go hang with your advice. So, if you advise a farmer who has formed a prefer- ence for three-wheel tractors that he would better purchase a four-wheel tractor, or a bull-wheel-in- the-furrow tractor, or a caterpillar, or a steel zebra, or something else, he will immediately conceive that you have some ulterior purpose in plugging the *' wrong" tractor. If you figure out for him that a kerosene burner will save him fifty per cent in fuel cost he will retort that a gasoline burner has fifty per cent superior efficiency and will get him through his work in high gear. Then, to give specific advice to a tractor prospect demands that you have specific knowledge of that man and his farm. These are indispensable items of knowledge in forming judgment. There are at least a score of tractors I should like to recommend on the general principle of their mechani- cal excellence, but if the wrong man with the wrong farm got hold of one of these on my advice and then bungled its operation the result would be unfortunate all around. The farmer must work out his tractor preferences for himself by careful study and observation, as he has worked out his preference in choosing his farm, devis- ing his farm management and adding his equipment. If he can increase both his theoretical and practical knowledge of mechanics, so much the better. 15 [ 225 1 Efficiency in operation of the tractor, whether it be a small or a large one, is indispensable to its successful use on the farm, and no man may operate a tractor with anything approaching complete success unless he keeps painstaking account of operating costs. Fuel economy has become increasingly important within the past year, as the price of gasoline has soared. There will always be some uncertainty, from season to season, concerning the probable cost of engine fuel and lubricants. There can be no uncertainty about definite economies in fuel consumption due to careful operation. The operator who does not understand car- buretion and ignition cannot hope to accomplish fuel economies. He must watch for carbon in his cylinders and keep them clean; he must watch his spark plugs, learn how to adjust his carburetor so as to obtain the most effective and at the same time economical mix- ture. Likewise he must devote the same keen, un- flagging scrutiny to his lubrication. If he allows any of his wearing parts to run dry he may do more damage in a few minutes than a year's fuel economy would pay for. There is fully as much, if not more, waste from the careless operation of machinery than there is from nor- mal wear and tear. You hear tell of fool-proof tractors, but there are really none such. Nor will there ever be, no matter what the engineers of the future accomplish in simplification and refinement of material. Risks and dangers may be reduced, but they will never be elimi- nated. The too-fussy mechanic may be a joke among his neighbors, but to the man who sells him machinery he is a shining light and a guiding principle. [2261 The idle tractor may not eat its head off, but it de- mands constant grooming, faithful and methodical overhauling. The successful tractor farm of the future, which, I believe, is going to be the pacemaking farm, the leadership competitor in practically every farming area in America, must have its shelter shed for all its farm machinery and an adequate repair shop, rather oversupplied than undersupplied with tools and equip- ment. And the operator of that farm must, in the nature of things, become a skillful mechanic and a hard-headed bookkeeper. There is a new dignity, a new interest and a new zest to this sort of farming. It will tend to eliminate drudgery and it will also tend to raise the average of intelligence, but it will not in any sense make farming a soft snap or a kid-glove avocation. The farmer's son who abhors dust and grime and sweat would better keep right on up the highway to the city. Neither electricity nor the internal-combus- tion engine will provide him with the cotton-wool wrappings he yearns for. But for the farmer's son who is merely ambitious to become modern and progressive, to keep in touch with the live events of the times, the tractor will furnish an interest greater than any one thing that has been brought to agriculture since the days when barbarian slaves were shackled to the yoke of wooden plows. And the time is coming in the next decade or two when every farm in the United States that is a real farm will own its tractor and its auto- mobile too. This may seem like a long stretch of vision in view of the fact that there are today some 6,000,000 tractorless [227I farms and not quite 1,000,000 automobiles in the rural districts. But when you have seen a tractor operate in a four-acre greenhouse in Northern Ohio; a tractor pulling a four-furrow plow aslant Georgia's red-clay hills; caterpillars operating successfully in the sandy plains of Virginia and the Carolinas; a steel mule forg- ing its way through slimy Louisiana swamps; tractors grubbing sage in Colorado, Idaho and Utah high alti- tudes; caterpillars operating on the tule islands of the San Joaquin Delta and breaking sod for rice culture in Texas, Louisiana and California; whole squadrons of tractors tilling the grain prairies of Kansas, Nebraska and the Dakotas, you begin to get a magnificent view of the future possibilities of applied mechanical power on the farm. 3477 4 1 228 ] ^