.093 ºf 5 OUR FRIENDS, THE ENEMY is A DISCUSSION BEARING ON SCIENTIFIC ETHICS, B 530624" WITH CONCRETE ILLUSTRATIONS fºr ºf . . . . . .º.º. ~ . . . . . * * , ; ; 3. * . 3. t #. f f } \ *\ # --.. : ; MARS AS THE ABODE OF LIFE. By PROF. ELIOT BLACKWELDER. SciENCE, April 23, 1909, pp. 659–661. TAIR PLAY AND TOLERATION IN SCIENCE. By DR. T. J. J. SEE. SciENCE, May 28, 1909, pp. 858–860. * r FAIR PLAY AND TOLERATION IN CRITICISM. By PROF. Joseph BARRELL. . SciENCE, July 2, 1909, pp. 21–23. REMARKS ON RECENT CONTRIBUTIONS TO COSMOGONY. By DR. F. R. - MoULTON. ScIENCE, July 23, 1909, pp. 113–117. is MARS AS THE ABODE OF LIFE. By DR. PERCIvaL Lowell. SCIENCE, September 10, 1909, pp. 338-340. GEOLOGY AND COSMOGONY. By DR. T. J. J. SEE. Science, October 8, 1909, pp. 479–480. A REPLY TO DR. LOWELL. By PROF. F. R. MoULTON. SCIENCE, November 5, 1909, pp. 639-641. THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE PLANETESIMAL HYPOTHESIS. By DRs. T. C. CHAMBERLIN and F. R. MoULTON. ScIENCE, November 5, 1909, pp. 642–645. ~, [Reprinted from Sorence, N. S., Vol. XXIX., No. 747, Pages 659–661, April 23, 1909; No. 752, Pages 858–860, May 28; Volume XXX., No. 757, Pages 21–23, July 2, 1909; No. 760, Pages 113–117, July 23; No. 767, Pages 388-340, September 10; No. 771, Pages 479–480, October 8; No. 775, Pages 639-641; Pages 642–645, November 5 ..] … PICUUIIITSILIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIATIŪRĀTĪTĪĶIIIIIIIIIII Eºs •№ • !C C C C C (, , Ō Ō Ō Ō Ō Ō Ō , , , ∈ | ||||||| |U|| |||||||||||||| | iiiiiiiiiiiſſiſſiſſiſſiſſiſſiſi Truminimiſſiºn iTun Illutil Eºfºrºlºnitºr |-- EC- *-ș - ëſ§§ §§§ [Reprinted from Sorence, N. S., Vol. XXIX., No. 747, Pages 659–661, April 23, 1909; No. 752, Pages 858–860, May 28, 1909; Volume XXX., No. 757, Pages 21–23, July 2, 1909; No. 760, Pages 113–117, July 23, 1909; No. 767, Pages, 838–340, September 10, 1909; No. 771, Pages 479–480, October 8, 1909; No. 775, Pages 689-641; Pages 642–645, November 5, 1909.] agº. OUR FRIENDS, THE ENEMY MARS AS THE ABODE OF LIFE." ALTHOUGH it is improbable that these lines will be read by more than a small proportion of those who have seen or heard of Mr. Perci- val Lowell’s “Mars as the Abode of Life,” it seems worth while to point out to the scien- tific workers of the country the gross errors which this book is propagating. In this I shall confine myself to geological matters, leaving the astronomical and other questions to those who have special acquaintance with such things. It is not surprising that Mr. Lowell, an astronomer, should have only a layman’s knowledge of geology; but that he should attempt to discuss critically the more difficult problems of that science, without, as his words show, any understanding of the great recent progress in geology, is astonishing and disastrous. One can not but recall the adage that “fools rush in where angels fear to tread.” Mr. Lowell is an implicit believer in the Laplacian theory of planetary evolution, a hypothesis now on the defensive, to say the least, and utterly abandoned by some of our best cosmogonists. On an adjacent page he says that the min- erals of the metamorphic rocks “show by their crystalline form that they cooled from a once molten state.” The fallacy in this statement is evident to the average college student of * A series of lectures delivered before the Lowell Institute, Boston; later published in the Century Magazine, 1908; and subsequently issued as a volume by The Macmillan Company, New York, 1908. - , r---, * geology or chemistry. Metamorphic rocks are produced by processes which involve more or less pressure and heat, but not melting. Turning to consider the evolution of life on the earth, the author tells us that “the geologic record proves that life originated in the oceans. . . . Whether life might have gen- erated on the land we do not know; on earth it certainly did not.” The truth is that the geologic record proves nothing whatever about the origin or even the infancy of life. It may be fairly doubted whether it takes us back even to the middle age of the animal kingdom. Such a dogmatic assertion is, therefore, wholly unjustified. In this con- nection it is hard to resist pointing out that among the oldest known fossils are certain Eurypterids (Walcott's Beltina danai) which are generally interpreted as fresh-water rather than marine forms. Earther on we read, of the plants which formed the Carboniferous coal beds, “Only a warm, humid foothold and lambent air could have given them such luxuriance and im- pressed them with such speed.” Neither Mr. Lowell nor any one else knows whether the vegetation in the Carboniferous swamps grew slowly or rapidly. We know only that they produced a certain body of coal. That may have taken a short time at a rapid rate, or a long time at the slow rate; the results would be the same. As to the warmth, it may be remarked that coal seams are now in process of growth in Alaska and Labrador and that many of the Carboniferous plants show by 2 SCIENCE their structures an adaptation to severe rather than genial climatic conditions. Only a little later than the Carboniferous period most of the lands adjacent to the Indian Ocean ex- perienced a glacial period, comparable to that of recent times in Canada; and in Australia the coal seams are interbedded with layers of glacial drift. Does this bespeak a torrid climate in middle latitudes at that time? Even the moist conditions seem to have been, as now, of local prevalence only, for aridity is indicated by the Carboniferous red beds and gypsum of Colorado and some other regions. One of the terrestrial conditions which Mr. Lowell finds it necessary to postulate in order to bolster up his theory of Martian evolution is a perpetual cloud envelope around the earth down to about Mesozoic times—“ a shady half-light” which he says is attested “by the habit of the ferns of to-day.” That tree- ferns now stand out isolated on the brushy hills of equatorial Africa under the blazing tropical sun is evidently unknown to the au- thor. Under the circumstances he would have found the services of a botanist advan- tageous. With the hypothesis of a perpetually damp cloudy atmosphere we can hardly reconcile the existence of deserts in India in the Cam- brian, in New York in the Silurian, in Michi- gan and New Brunswick in the Carboniferous, and in Germany in the Permian period. Yet the testimony of the rocks is emphatic that they did exist in those times and places. - Another of the author's preconceived opin- ions of Mars, which the history of our own planet has been twisted and Squeezed to fit, is the shrinkage of the oceans and the eventual disappearance of water in any form. Ac- cording to Mr. Lowell, Mars had oceans but lost them, and the earth is merely in an earlier stage of the same process. As to the earth, he says, “observation proves this to be a fact,” and goes on to cite Professor Dana, who many years ago propounded the opinion that the lands had grown steadily larger from small beginnings. If Dana were alive to-day he would doubtless repudiate the idea, for it is wholly contrary to the mass of facts more recently made known. If Lowell were right, land on the continent of North America would have been smallest in the Archean and be greatest now. The truth is that there have been fluctuations of land and sea throughout recorded geologic history, and these changes show no general tendency. Just before the Cambrian period the continent was nearly all oute of water; at the close of that period it was at least half submerged. At the close of the Permian it emerged more extensively than ever and yet in the Cretaceous it was again deeply inundated. Examples of the same thing could be largely multiplied, but are too well known to make that necessary. In the face of all these facts Mr. Lowell coolly states that “wherever geologists have studied them, the strata tell the same tale,” viz., the land has spread, the ocean shrunk. . . . No competent geologist would admit a word of this. Yet on this comfortable basis of fallacy Mr. Lowell then proceeds “Now, a general universal gain of the sort can mean only . . .” One is tempted to direct the au- thor’s attention to his own preface wherein he seriously admonishes that “the cogency of the conclusion hangs upon the validity of each step in the argument.” The reader can judge for himself of the cogency of this par- ticular conclusion. Having assured his readers that the earth is drying up and that it will sooner or later “roll a parched orb through space,” he cites as proof the alleged fact that deserts are in- creasing in size. This is the beginning of the dreadful end which “is as fatalistically Sure as that to-morrow’s sun will rise, unless Some other catastrophe anticipate the end.” Here again the proverb applies, “a little knowledge is a dangerous thing.” Mr. Lowell has seen the petrified stumps and trunks of trees in the Arizona desert and jumps to the conclusion that deserts in general have been steadily invading once forested regions, from remote ages onward. Had he inquired into the recorded facts of geologic history he would have learned that deserts have existed in many parts of the world ever since the earliest periods, wherever topographic and atmospheric conditions were favorable. It is not probable that our present deserts are more SCIENCE 3 extensive than those of the Permian period, during which the saltest of salt lakes partially covered the site of Germany. I think enough has been said to show what kind of pseudo-science is here being foisted upon a trusting public. “Mars as the Abode of Life" is avowedly a popular exposition of a science, not a fantasy. Its author is a highly educated man of distinguished connec- tions and some personal fame. He writes in a vivid, convincing style, with the air of au- thority in the premises. The average reader naturally believes him, since he can not, without special knowledge of geology and kindred sciences, discern the fallacies. He has a right to think that things asserted as established facts are true, and that things other than facts will be stated with appropri- ate reservation. This is precisely the same as his right to believe that the maple syrup he buys under that label is not glucose, but is genuine. The misbranding of intellectual products is just as immoral as the misbrand- ing of the products of manufacture. Mr. Lowell can not be censured for advancing avowed theories, however fanciful they are, for it is the privilege of the scientist; nor for making unintentional mistakes in fact, for that is eminently human. But I feel sure that the majority of scientific men will feel just indignation toward one who stamps his theories as facts; says they are proven, when they have almost no supporting data; and declares that certain things are well known, which are not even admitted to consideration by those best qualified to judge. Censure can hardly be too severe upon a man who so un- scrupulously deceives the educated public, merely in order to gain a certain notoriety and a brief, but undeserved credence for his pet theories. ELIOT BLACKWELDER UNIVERSITY OF WISCONSIN, March 26, 1909 FAIR PIAY AND TOLERATION IN SCIENCE To THE EDITOR OF SCIENCE: I have read with surprise, if not indignation, Professor Black- welder’s discussion of Lowell’s “Mars as the Abode of Life " in your issue of April 23, 1909; and feel that it is only just to enter a protest, in the interest of fair play and that degree of toleration which has always been characteristic of the better men of science. Professor Blackwelder speaks as if some great injury had been done to the public by the appearance of a popular book, written in a narrative style adapted to the lay demand. Of course this is wholly untrue, and mere idle vaporing. Lowell's popular works are all bet- ter than Proctor’s and Flammarion’s, and both of these latter writers have done valuable service in diffusing the results of scientific research among the multitude. It may sound very plausible to the scientific recluse to say that nothing but mathematical formulae and tables are of value, but every well-informed man knows better. It is by the popularization of science that new interest is awakened in the public mind and increased opportunities pro- vided for the extension of scientific research. To take a specific example, it was the read- ing of a popular work by Huyghens, entitled “Comotheoros,” which led Dr. Plume to es- tablish the Plumian professorship of astron- omy at Cambridge, which has been held by Such distinguished mathematicians as Sir George Darwin, who has greatly extended our knowledge of mathematical astronomy, yet is not so narrow as to deny the value of popular Science, but on the contrary has contributed to it by popular articles in magazines and a standard work on the tides. If we compare the present state of astron- omy in the United States with that in other countries, we shall be compelled to admit that American preeminence is due very largely to popular interest, and a general appreciation of results. Without popular diffusion of the results of scientific research, who among our business men and captains of industry could possibly have any interest in Scientific work? 4 SCIENCE In this day of specialization even scientific workers find it difficult to understand the labors of others, and the public is at vastly greater disadvantage. I make great use of logarithms, trigonometry and calculus, but I have yet to see the laymen who enthuse over columns of figures or complicated mathemat- ical analysis. When Proctor was living he was assailed by the self-appointed critics in much the same was as Lowell is now; but they always forget that there are others to be considered besides the mere priesthood of science. It sometimes seems to me that some of the latter are almost as intolerant as those divinely inspired per- sons who took it upon themselves to conduct the inquisition during the middle ages. For one, I am not at all prepared to admit the justice of contemporary criticism, though in the long run a moderate and just opinion will prevail. This has been true in all ages and professions, and therefore is not confined to our own time or to any particular science. Now as to some of the points cited by Pro- fessor Blackwelder as objectionable: 1. He finds fault with Lowell for adhering to Laplace's cosmogony; but let me point out that this same cosmogony very slightly modi- fied, to take account of tidal friction, has been held by the most eminent mathematicians abroad.” If such views have been held by those who have spent many years on the sub- ject, at such mathematical centers as Cam- bridge, England, Surely Lowell may be excused for not accepting the inconsistent and purely destructive criticisms recently put forth at Chicago by Chamberlin and Moulton. It is only fair to say that no constructive results of consistent character had been reached on this subject till my own investigation was com- pleted last year, of which an account is given in Astronomische Nachrichten, No. 4308 (February, 1909), but which appeared too late to be used in Lowell’s book. As I have worked on this subject uninterruptedly for twenty-five years, I am prepared to speak with some de- gree of authority. If Professor Blackwelder * Cf. paper by Mr. F. J. M. Stratton, on “Planetary Inversion,” in the Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, April, 1906. will study my last paper carefully, and the work now in press, when it appears, he will find that most of the recent speculations on cosmogony are not worth the paper they are written on; and yet some of them have been published by the Astrophysical Journal and the Carnegie Institution, just as other erro- neous and misleading papers have often been published by the Royal Society, the Paris Academy of Sciences and other learned socie- ties of standing. Every experienced investi- gator recognizes the great amount of error that creeps into scientific literature even of the best type. How much more latitude, there- fore, is to be expected in popular literature, which in the nature of the case must be enter- taining rather than strictly exact and ultra- conservative 2. Great fault is found with Lowell’s claim that in general the terrestrial continents have been formed from the interior outwards, though he justly cites Dana, one of the great- est geologists of any age, in support of this view. Now I venture to say that Professor Blackwelder has not read carefully the four memoirs recently published in the Proceedings of the American Philosophical Society at Philadelphia, in which I have examined this question and the related topics with great care; otherwise he would see that, however deficient our knowledge may be as to details, in general his contentions are absolutely with- out foundation. In the opinion of many emi- nent men of science, including some of the foremost geologists and physicists, who have done me the honor to read these papers, I have proved that mountains are formed by the sea, and not at all by the shrinkage of the globe; and as the younger mountains are generally mearest the oceans it follows that the oceans are gradually drying up and the land increas- ing, as Lowell maintains. Therefore Lowell is right, and Blackwelder wrong; and that too in a subject which he represents as his own. Dana and Le Conte clearly understood that the mountains are related to and have in some way risen from the sea, but on the old con- traction theory, now happily abandoned, they could form no correct conception of the cause of mountain formation. If Professor Black- SCIENCE 5 welder is prepared to contest my results, let him answer my argument on mountain forma- tion in the case of the Aleutian Islands, where I have proved that they are a submarine mountain range now being pushed up by mat- ter expelled from beneath the trench dug out in the sea bottom to the south of these islands; and that the whole movement is due to the secular leakage of the ocean and the resulting expulsion of lava beneath the crust, and noth- ing else. On this point other geologists have discreetly kept silent, but perhaps Professor Plackwelder “will rush in where angels fear to tread.” 3. Now in regard to life on Mars, it is sufficient to say that Professor Newcomb has justly remarked that the physical conditions on that planet are very similar to those pre- vailing in the Himalayas of Central Asia. But even the tableland of Tibet is inhab- ited, and maintains a respectable civilization. As Lowell has proved that there are water and clouds on Mars, and the polar snows melt and disappear with the advance of the Summer seasons on that planet, why may there not be life there as well as here? Of course there is life on Mars; there is no doubt about it. But I am not prepared to say how far advanced the creatures on Mars may be; neither am I narrow enough to deny the possibility of their high development. Perhaps it will interest Professor Black- welder and others to know that I have just sent to the Astronomische Nachrichten and to the American Philosophical Society extracts from a letter of Euler, written in 1749, and published in the Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society, before the cosmogonic theories of Kant (1755) and Laplace (1796) were put forward, in which the great Swiss mathematician, then residing at Berlin, even went so far as to say that the planets had gradually neared the Sun from a great dis- tance—thus implying that the earliest life originated on these bodies in the depths of space, before they came anything like so near the sun as they now are. Arrhenius holds a similar view to-day, and even thinks that life is carried by germs from one world to another.” In the work now in press, it is shown, on new grounds, that all the fixed stars are attended by systems of planets. Is Professor Blackwelder prepared to claim that all these billions of worlds are uninhabited? If not, why is he so unreasonable about the habitability of Mars? Lowell's view that there is life in the other worlds is sure to triumph, and we had as well come to it one time as another. 4. Professor Blackwelder is sure that Lowell is working for “a certain notoriety and a brief but undeserved credence for his pet theories.” Let us, in common fairness, have no assignment of motives. These are seldom known in any man, either by himself or by others. If Professor Blackwelder is as candid as he wishes others to be, he will now come forward and say that there is much yet to be learned in every branch of Science, including geology, and about contemporary scientific in- vestigators as well, and that according to the best ethics, every tree must be judged by its fruit. Lowell has maintained for fifteen years a magnificent observatory, which has carried on valuable work on Mars, and the other plan- ets and satellites; on double stars, both visual and spectroscopic; on the spectra of the outer planets; on comets and meteoric phenomena; on meteorology as related to the best sites for observatories; and on many other topics. He has given many young astronomers a chance to do good independent work, and the results obtained are highly valued throughout the world. What has Professor Blackwelder done in comparison? And is he the one to say that censure can not be too severe upon one who has deserved so well of American men of sci- ence as Professor Lowell has done? Let the still voice of conscience answer | Emerson says that alone all men are conscientious. If so, we shall have a little more toleration, and fair dealing, and less of this clique and faction business, by which a man who is not in the ring never can get justice or fair consideration. Of all the evils which afflict American science to-day the wide-spread tendency to partizan- ship and factionism and the resulting total * Cf. “Worlds in the Making,” Harper's, 1908. 6 * SCIENCE disregard of the ultimate interests of truth, is undeniably the worst. As the truth is difficult to discover, and in the end will be found only among the errors of the wise, it is clear that every cause must be heard, and we must pre- serve a tolerant and open-minded attitude towards all contemporary work. Recent revo- lutions in all branches of science have been so great that no man knows, and no honest man will attempt to predict, what a day may bring forth. T. J. J. SEE U. S. NAVAL OBSERVATORY, MARE ISLAND, CALIFORNIA, April 30, 1909 FAIR PLAY AND TOLERATION IN CRITICISM To that large number who accept the jus- tice, the value and the need of the recent criticism by Blackwelder of the geological fallacies dressed out as facts in Lowell’s book on Mars as the abode of life, some reply will seem called for to offset before the general scientific public the personal, befogging and dogmatic rejoinder which it evoked in a recent issue of SCIENCE from one not a geologist.” In this connection some preliminary statement may well be made as to the kind of articles which in the mind of the writer seem to call for certain kinds of criticism. This appears the more necessary since to some all criticism seems out of place and to indicate a carping disposition, while others would hold that spe- cialists are too lax in permitting to pass un- challenged many works which are highly erro- neous but whose character is evident to the specialist only. Destructive criticism is to all constructive workers in science a disagreeable task, yet one which should often be regarded as a duty, especially to university teachers, since such are deeply interested in the general diffusion of knowledge and should be equally concerned in the prevention of that diffusion of error which, unless vigorously combated, takes the place of truth. All research work, even by properly quali- fied men, must necessarily contain some per- centage of error which is eliminated by fur- ther advances in knowledge, but which fre- quently serves a most valuable purpose in stimulating to further and more exact ob- servation and analysis. Such work, addressed * “Fair Play and Toleration in Science,” by T. J. J. See, professor of mathematics, U. S. Navy, SCIENCE, Vol. XXIX., pp. 858–60, May 28, 1909. to specialists, is always worthy of more praise than criticism, and a proper review will always seek out the parts of value and give them more prominence than those features which in the mind of the reviewer may seem open to ques- tion or even to miss the truth. It is not such research work which is here under discussion. Advancement of knowledge, however, im- plies not only abstruse technical researches, but popular expositions of the same which shall carry a vivid conception of the principles and results to the intelligent but unprofes- sional public, consisting of laymen as well as workers in other branches of knowledge. Such work when well done is regarded by scientists in general as of the very highest educational value, and many eminent men have contrib- uted a part of their time to the development of popular Science. In fact, no small part of the eminence of some of the best known and highly regarded men of science is due to their work in what may be called the popular field, since it reaches those whose professional in- terests are in other branches. It is obvious that it is not against work of such character that Blackwelder’s review is directed. Again, there is a large class of fugitive popular scientific literature written by men of no personal reputation, bearing within it the marks of its unauthoritative nature, some of it good, some bad. Such articles hardly call for serious comment from specialists. But there are popular works ably written and put forth in a garb of authority which, however, confuse facts, theories and hypoth- eses, and contain views regarded by the great body of those qualified by special knowledge to hold an opinion as outworn, or wholly erro- neous and misleading. It is against such SCIENCE • 7 false science, not popular science, that public and severe censure becomes a duty. As Black- welder admirably puts it, unless such criticism is directed against such a book and its author “the average reader naturally believes him, since he can not without special knowledge discern the fallacies. He has a right to think that things asserted as established facts are true, and that things other than facts will be stated with appropriate reservation. This is precisely the same as his right to believe that the maple syrup he buys under that label is not glucose, but is genuine. The misbranding of intellectual products is just as immoral as the misbranding of the products of manu- facture.” This code of morality makes it the duty of the teacher and scientist to expose in print such scientific shams, a duty, however, which is always disagreeable and which the majority of men leave to their fellows to do. He whose time is fully occupied with teaching and re- search, but who turns aside to do the task which others have left undone, is therefore deserving of honor and not of abuse. It is noteworthy that Lowell’s book on “Mars as the Abode of Life,” in spite of its mass of fundamental errors whenever geolog- ical matters are touched upon, errors palpable to every working geologist, has been before the public for more than a year without any criti- cism of these features appearing in SCIENCE, the official organ of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, an associa- tion which since the development of special societies has become devoted to the general broadening of scientific knowledge. Such a criticism seems especially called for, since the book has been given the very widest publicity, it deals with a subject of great popular in- terest, and its author has been grandiloquently advertised by his publishers as the “founder of the new science of planetology.” As an illustration of the result it may be noted that in the scientific columns of a carefully edited popular weekly its author has been hailed as one who would henceforth relieve America from the European taunt that it has as yet produced no really great and creative man of science. As an offset, however, to the necessarily severe criticism of “Mars as the Abode of Life,” cordial recognition may well be given at the same time to that great enthusiasm manifest in all of Lowell’s work, which has led to the founding of a magnificent observa- tory and has contributed to astronomy much of real value. A coming generation of scien- tists will find much to regard highly in Lowell and will see in his work a stimulus to further knowledge, but will hold it as unfortunate that the same temperament which led to these re- sults should have given rise to writings which called forth such severe criticisms as have appeared from his contemporaries in order to separate errors of premise and conclusion from that which is of real value. Having made these preliminary statements, the true character of See's arraignment of Blackwelder may be shown by calling atten- tion to the several topics which are discussed. Blackwelder’s review is aimed at false sci- ence, not against popular science, regarding which he says not a word; yet See uses a column and a half to flay him on that score, and because Blackwelder criticizes Lowell, as- sumes that the criticism is aimed also against the popular work of such men as George Dar- win and Proctor. Blackwelder specifically avoids discussing any astronomic phase of the book, and does not mention the subject of life on Mars. Yet See takes up a column in arguing this matter, and states: “Of course there is life on Mars; there is no doubt about it.” Lowell has been fortunate in being able to personally build and maintain an observatory, which has been the means of advancing the science of astronomy in a number of lines. See asks what Blackwelder has done in com- parison. This question implies that only those whose personal fortunes have enabled them to do what Lowell has done should criticize his work, since those famaliar with the scientific results of both will hardly see cause on such lines for invidious comparison. Blackwelder casually mentions, to the ex- tent of one sentence, “Lowell’s implicit belief in the Laplacian hypothesis which now, to say the least, is on the defensive,” a remark which 8 SCIENCE calls forth a column from See embracing such statements as “If Professor Blackwelder will study my own (See's) paper carefully, and the work now in press (by See) when it appears, he will find that most of the recent specula- tions on cosmogony are not worth the paper they are written on.” See further states that he has proved in four memoirs “that the oceans are gradually dry- ing up and the land increasing, as Lowell maintains. Therefore Lowell is right and Blackwelder wrong; and that too in a subject which he represents as his own.” This state- ment is highly amusing, to say the least, to those cognizant of recent work on paleogeog- raphy, especially if they have also read See's voluminous publications on mountain build- ing and related subjects, and noted that they center about the old hypothesis of a free down- ward permeation of ocean water. A hypoth- esis which is not open to direct proof, and though still advocated by certain physicists and geologists is distinctly relegated to a sub- ordinate rôle by many economic geologists and such leaders in the more philosophic side of the earth-science as Suess, Chamberlin and Van Hise; partly because of the theoretical difficulties attending an effective downward diffusion of ocean water through the zone of rock flowage, but much more because of the failure of the hypothesis to account for many of the facts now known to geologists. These point rather to a directly opposite view, which is well expressed by the words of Suess, “wol- canoes are not fed by infiltration from the sea, but the waters of the sea are increased by every eruption.” The voluminous nature of See's writings on the subject is due to a dressing out of this old and, to say the least, doubtful hypothesis with many speculative additions, with much repeti- tion of well-known facts and theories, and with specific applications in such frequent obvious discord with modern teaching of the principles of physiography and known details of geologic structure and history, that no geol- ogist has felt called upon to comment. In the words of See, “geologists have discreetly kept silent.” - On every topic See cites his own work as the authoritative utterances on the subject, and in the last paragraph denounces, as the worst evil of American science, “this clique and faction business, by which a man who is not in the ring never can get justice or fair consideration.” Since no group of geologists or, so far as the writer is aware, no single geologist of recognized standing has followed and promulgated the special views in the teachings of See and Lowell, this clique and faction evidently includes the several hundred working geologists of America. To those who are familiar with the situation, this gives the key to the whole of See's article on “Fair Play and Toleration in Science.” It is a vicarious castigation in which Blackwelder stands to receive the blows for a host of un- named men of science, because they have not accepted See's memoirs at the valuation which he places upon them. Is vicarious atonement “fair play and toleration in science ’’’ Joseph BARRELL NEW HAVEN, CoNN., June 15, 1909 REMAIRES ON RECENT CONTRIBUTIONS TO COSMOGONY To THE EDITOR OF SCIENCE: In your issue of May 28 is a letter by T. J. J. See, ostensibly demanding “fair play and toleration ” in the consideration of current contributions to sci- ence, but clearly written for the purpose of exploiting some of his own recent writings. In this letter, notwithstanding the implica- tions of its caption, he takes occasion to char- acterize the work of Professor Chamberlin and myself as “inconsistent and purely destruc- tive,” and says: If Professor Blackwelder will study my last paper carefully, and the work now in press, when it appears, he will find that most of the recent speculations on cosmogony are not worth the paper they are written on; and yet some of them have been published by the Astrophysical Journal and the Carnegie Institution. SCIENCE - 9 He also modestly states: It is only fair to say that no constructive re- sults of consistent character had been reached on this subject till my own investigation was com- pleted last year. . . . As I have worked on this subject uninterruptedly for twenty-five years, I am prepared to speak with some degree of au- thority. Because of these extravagant pretensions and the fact that a majority of the readers of ScIENCE, being unfamiliar with the details of recent developments in this subject, will not credit any one with having the monumental nerve to put forward such claims without there being some basis for them, I beg the privilege of taking enough space to state briefly the facts relating to this matter. The well-known nebular hypothesis was put forward briefly by Laplace, in 1796, at the end of a work on popular astronomy. Its sim- plicity and attractiveness, as well as the great name of its author, soon gained for it wide acceptance among scientific men. It satisfied those racial instincts for an explanation of the origin of things which gave rise to the cos- mogonies of the ancients; and in stirring the emotions, the majestic sweep of events which it described took the place of the heroic deeds celebrated in their epics. But its greatest value was in making, in the first half of the nineteenth century, a foundation for the de- velopment of geological theories respecting the age and evolution of the earth, and these theories, in turn, were important factors in Darwin’s elaboration of his “Origin of Species.” The next important step in cosmogony was Helmholtz's contraction theory of the heat of the sun, published in 1854, which not only was not contradictory to the Laplacian theory, but was generally supposed to be a proof of its Correctness. - In the latter half of the nineteenth cen- tury the Laplacian theory was supplemented by the consideration of some factors originally omitted, chiefly by Roche and Sir George Dar- win, and some objections were urged against it, chiefly by Babinet and Faye. But the writings of practically all astronomers show that it was generally accepted without funda- mental modifications. For example, Sir George Darwin in his classical researches on tidal evolution frankly stated that he ac- cepted it in its main outlines; and in 1886 C. Wolf, of the Paris Observatory, reprinted in book form a series of articles appearing earlier in Bulletin Astronomique, Wols. I. and II., which clearly supported this theory. In the preface to this volume we read: Mon principal but, en écrivant ces articles, était de montrer que la théorie de Laplace répond encore aujourd’hui le mieux possible aux condi- tions que l’on est en droit d'exiger d’une hy- pothèse cosmogonique. In the late nineties Professor Chamberlin in studying the earth's atmosphere, and par- ticularly its origin and history, became skep- tical of the soundness of the Laplacian theory; and simultaneously some of its weaknesses were forced on me while considering it in my classes in descriptive astronomy. Toward the end of 1899 we had several conferences on the question of its correctness, and as a result of these discussions we decided to test it, first as to its agreement with the facts es- tablished by observations, and secondly as to its self-consistency. The results of these in- quiries are contained in a paper published by Professor Chamberlin in the Journal of Geology, February–March, 1900, and in one by myself in the Astrophysical Journal, March, 1900. It is well known that the con- clusions reached in these papers seemed to us so adverse to the theory as to compel us to re- ject it as being no longer a satisfactory hypoth- esis; and since that time many astronomers have placed themselves on record as being in agreement with us. - Immediately after the publication of these papers constructive work was begun, chiefly by Professor Chamberlin. The first account of the new hypothesis which was developed was published by Professor Chamberlin in Year Book No. 3 of the Carnegie Institution, pp. 208–253 (1904), and another was pub- lished by myself in the Astrophysical Jour- mal, Vol. 22, pp. 165–181 (1905). In Cham- berlin and Salisbury’s “Geology,” Vol. 2, pp. 38–81 (1906), under the title of The Planet- esimal Hypothesis, Professor Chamberlin 10 SCIENCE gives an extensive account of the proposed theory. Some of the subheadings are: Sub- varieties of the Hypothesis, The Hypothetical Origin of the Solar Nebula, The Contingencies of Stellar Collision, The Contingencies of Close Approach, The Special Consequences of Close Approach, The Acquisition of Rotatory Motion, The Result a Spiral Nebula, The Assigned Nebular Origin not Vital, The Evo- lution of the Nebula into Planets, The Part Played by Ellipticity of Orbit, The Evolution of Circularity, The Time Involved, The Bear- ing of the Mode of Accretion on the Direction of Planetary Rotation, The Spacing-out of the Planets, . . . He closes the chapter with the following summary: The planetesimal hypothesis thus assumes that the solar system was derived from a nebula of the most common type, the spiral, and that the matter of this parent nebula was in a finely divided solid or liquid state before aggregation, in harmony with the continuous spectra of spiral nebulae. It regards the knots of the nebula as the nuclei of the future planets, and the nebulous haze as matter to be added to the nuclei to form the planets. It assumes that both the knots and particles of the nebulous haze moved about the central mass in elliptical orbits of considerable, but not excessive, eccentricity. It postulates a simple mode of origin of the nebula connected with the not improbable event of a close approach of the ancestral sun to another large body, but the main hypothesis is not dependent on this postulate. It assigns the gathering-in of the planetesimals to the crossing of the elliptical orbits in the course of their inevitable shiftings. Out of this process and its antecedents, it develops consistent views of the requisite distribution of mass and momentum, of the spacing out of the planets, of their directions of rotation, of their variations of mass, of their varying densities, and of other peculiarities. It deduces a relatively slow growth of the earth, with a rising internal temperature developed in the central parts and creeping outward. With such a mode of growth, the stages of the earth’s early history necessarily depart widely from those postulated by the Laplacian and the meteoritic hypotheses. These stages now claim our atten- tion. In , rny “Introduction to Astronomy,” pp. 463–487 (1906), I have discussed the same theory under the title of The Spiral Nebula Hypothesis. Some of the headings of the articles in this section are: Hypotheses Re- specting the Antecedents of our Present System, A Possible Origin of Spiral Nebulas, The Development of the Solar System from a Spiral Nebula, The Origin of Planets, The Origin of Satellites, The Planes of the Planetary Orbits, Rotation and Equatorial Acceleration of the Sun, The Small Eccen- tricities of the Planetary Orbits, The Rota- tions of the Planets, The Eccentricities of the Satellite Orbits, The Moment of Momentum of the System, The Evolution of the Planets, The Age of the Solar System, The Future of the System. . . . The chapter is closed with the following summary The first word should be one of warning that the theory which has been sketched briefly should not be accepted as final. There are many points where quantitative results must be obtained and compared with our actual system. There may be many modifications of it possible and necessary. For example, the genesis of spiral nebulas may be different from that postulated above. The hypothesis of an original spiral nebula is suggested by recent photographs of nebulas as well as by the system itself. The conditions which are supposed to have given rise to the spiral nebula seem most reasonable in view of the mo- tions of the stars. The development of a spiral nebula by the near approach of two suns seems to be a necessary consequence, though this point needs further elaboration. The development of some such a system as ours from a small spiral nebula of the type considered seems to be inevit- able. So far as the details have been worked out nothing directly contradictory to the theory, or even seriously questioning it, has been found, while it explains admirably all the main features of the system. It can be safely said that, at present, this hypothesis satisfies all the require- ments of a successful theory much better than any previous one. Since the publication of these books the work of elaborating and testing the theory has been carried forward by both Professor Chamberlin and myself, and a part of the re- sults obtained have been published by the Carnegie Institution. The alleged twenty-five years of uninter- rupted work upon the evolution of the solar SCIENCE 11 system by See have resulted only in the fol- lowing papers so far as I am aware: (1) “Significance of the Spiral Nebula,” Popular Astronomy, pp. 614–616 (December, 1906); (2) “On the Cause of the Remarkable Cir- cularity of the Orbits of the Planets and Satellites and on the Origin of the Planetary System,” Astronomische Nachrichten, No. 4308 (February 24, 1909), the same paper printed in Popular Astronomy, May, 1909, and at least the substance of the same paper communicated by its author to the Chicago Record-Herald early in 1909. In the paper in Popular Astronomy, written over the date October 23, 1906, See makes the following statements: For a number of years the writer has given consideration to the probable nature of the spiral nebulae, and their importance has been consider- ably increased by photographs obtained by Roberts and Keeler, and more recently at the Yerkes Observatory. Certain speculations have been in- dulged in which implied that the spiral nebulae are true nebulae condensing into systems of stars. Though this premature and unauthorized line of thought has been extensively exploited, and even given place in one treatise on geology, it has always seemed to the writer quite unsound. I have consistently held that so far we do not know the true character of the spiral nebulae, and this position is amply justified by the penetrating remarks of M. Poincaré. Whether the spiral neb- ulae are other Milky Ways, as suggested by the illustrious French geometer, time alone can tell; and it may be several centuries before this ques- tion can be satisfactorily settled. Meanwhile the exploitation of the spiral form as typical of neb- ular development is certainly misleading, for, as Poincaré points out, there is no proof that these spirals are true gaseous nebulae. The speculations on spiral nebulae have been decidedly overdone, and it is time to call a halt. There is not the slightest probability that our solar system was ever a part of a spiral nebula, and such a suggestion is simply misleading and mischievous. The great circularity of the planet- ary orbits shows the absurdity of such an hy- pothesis. . . . Least of all can we expect any light from the much exploited spiral nebulae, which as M. Poincaré justly remarks, may be other galaxies. It is time, therefore, to drop such spirals from our text-books, or to candidly admit that we are quite in the dark as to their true significance. In the last paper of See recently published in the Astronomische Nachrichten and several other places we read: The solar system was formed from a spiral nebula, revolving and slowly coiling up under mechanical conditions which were essentially free from hydrostatic pressure. And spiral nebulae themselves arise from the meeting of two or more streams of cosmical dust. The whole system of particles has a sensible moment of momentum about some axis, and thus it begins to whirl about a central point, and gives rise to a vortex. In the actual universe the spiral nebulae are to be counted by the million, and it is evident that they all arise from the automatic winding up of streams of cosmical dust, under the attraction of their mutual gravitation. . . . When the nebula rotates and the coils wind up in such a way as to leave open spaces between the coils, or at least freedom from sensible hydrostatic pressure, the usual re- sult is the development of a system made up of small bodies, such as the planets compared to the greatly preponderant sun, or the satellites com- pared to the much greater planetary masses which control their motions. In the solar system where the conditions are accurately known this is proved to have occurred; and it was repeated so many times always with uniform results giving a large central mass and small attendant bodies that the general law for this condition is clearly es- tablished. Thus we see the variety of “ consistent ’’ conclusions recently reached by the twenty- five years of uninterrupted work on this subject. At the end of this paper See admits its value in the following modest terms: It has seemed advisable to call attention to the cause of the roundness of the orbits of the planets and satellites, because it appears likely that the criteria, now introduced may go far to- wards clearing up the mystery which has always surrounded the origin of our solar system. In See's paper there are only two points of divergence from the ideas fully developed by Professor Chamberlin and myself. The first is that spiral nebulas have their origin in “ the meeting of two or more streams of cosmical dust.” The second is that satel- lites are captured bodies. This latter view has been advanced by many amateurs and a few astronomers. It was considered in my 12 SCIENCE writings quoted above, and rejected for what seemed to me to be good reasons. The resist- ing medium on which so much stress is laid is simply a special case of the collisions of any character considered by Professor Chamberlin and myself. The quotations above are sufficient to re- move the clouds which See's pretensions of long study of, and valuable contributions to, this subject might raise in the minds of those not particularly familiar with the history of recent developments in cosmogony. I wish to point out that notwithstanding the evi- dence furnished by his 1906 paper of his MARS AS THE THE recent letters in SCIENCE on the geo- logic facts in “Mars as the Abode of Life" have an origin which readers of SCIENCE should have the opportunity to know. The geologic facts in “Mars as the Abode of Life" are taken from recognized sources, chiefly Dana, Geikie, Dr. Lapparent and recent re- search; only the weaving together is new. They are not res gratae to certain geologists because they clash with a new cosmogeny de- vised by the Chicago geologist, Professor Chamberlin, who associated with himself for the mechanical and mathematical proof of it, on which all such hypotheses must rest, the assistant professor of astronomy of his uni- versity, Professor Moulton. tinent, therefore, to consider the basis of their belief which is necessarily astronomic. From the latter writer’s exposition of the hypoth- esis given in most detail in his “Introduction to Astronomy,” we shall now quote. We shall begin with a statement on page 380, which in itself is sufficient to render the reader cautious when he finds himself adven- tured later upon the exposition. It is with re- gard to the speed of meteors when they strike the earth. It runs as follows: Let us assume provisionally that the meteors are moving around the sun in sensibly parabolic orbits, like the orbits of the comets, and let us find the greatest and least velocities with which they can encounter the earth's atmosphere. If it were not for the earth’s attraction they would It becomes per- familiarity with our work, and in spite of the fact that at his request I furnished him re- prints of my papers several months in ad- vance of his recent publication, there is in it no direct or indirect reference to Professor Chamberlin or myself. Ordinarily such conduct justifies the use of strong terms in characterizing it, but in the present case I believe astronomers and others who are famil- iar with the situation will fully agree with me that these aberrations are more deserving of pity than of censure. F. R. MOULTON June 10, 1909 ABODE OF LIFE pass the earth’s orbit at the rate of twenty-five miles per second, the velocity being independent of the angle at which they crossed. The earth’s attraction would generate a velocity of nearly Seven miles per second in a body falling from an infinite distance into its atmosphere, whether the sun were attracting it or not. The greatest rela- tive velocity will be when the earth and meteor meet, which is 25 + 7 - 18 = 50 miles per second. The least will be when the meteor overtakes the earth, which is 25 + 7 — 18 = 14 miles per second. Now the velocities due to the sun's attrac- tion and to the earth's upon a particle falling to the latter under the action of both can not be added in this simple manner. The geometric explanation why the veloc- ities can not be directly added is that when each body is supposed to act alone the times involved in their actions are different, while when they act together these are naturally the same. In the latter case the velocity due the sun hurries the particle through the space faster than the earth's pull alone could and so gives the earth less time to act. For the analytical solution of the problem the reader is referred to a paper in the Astro- nomical Journal, No. 601, in which he will find that the speed the earth can impart depends on the mode of approach, that it can never ex- ceed 2.66 miles per second and may fall as low as 0.53 mile. We shall now go on to what concerns the hypothesis more directly. The first point we SCIENCE 13 shall mention is found on page 460. In the criticism of the suggestion that “when Saturn extended out to the orbit of the ninth satel- lite, it rotated in the retrograde direction with the period of this body,” the book says: When the rotation period of the nebulous mass equaled that of its revolution, it filled some space as that indicated by the dotted curve in Fig. 168. Up to this time the tides generated by the sun had increased its moment of momentum by changing it from a negative quantity to a certain positive quantity. After this time the tides generated by the sun decreased its moment of momentum, for they always retarded the rotation. Therefore, if the theory is true, the greatest moment of mo- mentum in the whole history of the Saturnian system should be found when the day and year of its nebula were equal. The fallacies here are two: (1) It is sup- posed that the sun-tides would act solely in the Saturnian plane; whereas they would undoubt- edly turn the system over in the act. (2) The moment of momentum here considered is that of the solar system; whereas in the generation of satellites it is that of the Saturnian system itself, a totally different matter; so that the supposed destructive proof falls to the ground. The next point is on page 480, where we are told with regard to the acceleration of a satel- lite nucleus by a particle m that It is found by a mathematical discussion that this always results if the eccentricity of the orbit of m is greater than r | ?, #4. N*, where R is the radius of the orbit of the planetary nucleus around the sun, r the radius of the satel- lite nucleus around M, and M the mass of the planetary nucleus expressed in terms of the sun’s mass. In the case of the earth and moon the limit comes out 0.035, but in the case of the larger planets and closer satellites it is very much larger. Now the determining equation is 1 #–N 2 1. R T Wºr Er – 2 T a where a(1 + e) = R — r whence MR r IM MR e=2 N=–2M-5–F 7. +M + . or taking terms of the first order only e== 2 MR_ *approx. ºr r Comparing this with the printed value we see that a term of the first order has been omitted and one of the second kept. The result is that with Jupiter and his fourth satellite we have true value e = 0.86 planetesimal value e = 1.26 or actually a hyperbolic orbit. The next point is from pages 478 to 481. The book says, speaking of the effect of par- ticles inside the planet's orbit: The satellite nucleus is carried forward by the motion of M, while it moves backward in its revolution around M. The latter is a much slower motion than the former. . . . It follows from the direction of motion of the satellite nucleus that in this case its motion around M will be acceler- ated by its collision with m. . . . The effect of the accelerations by the scattered material is to en- large the orbit of the satellite nucleus, and to prevent its being drawn down upon the growing planetary nucleus. Now the speeds of the larger planets and of their satellites are as follows: Speed in Miles per Second Of Primary Of Satellite in Orbit about Primary Jupiter 8.1 Sat. 1 10.7 8.5 6.7 5.1 : Saturn 6.0 Sat. 9.0 8.2 7.9 6.3 5.3 3.5 2.0 i Uranus 4.2 Sat. 1 3.5 2 2.9 3 2.3 4 2.0 Neptune 3.4 Sat 1 2.7 On the very face of the table it will be seen that six satellites contradict the book. When 14 - SCIENCE we get into it deeper we find they all do. Thus if we suppose the colliding particles to be equally distributed in space we have for those within the planet's orbit: 1 (2a – 1)}%a%da J. Jada for their mean velocity at the point of col- lision; a being the semi-major axis of any par- ticle. This equals 0.79 of the planet's orbital speed. A result substantially similar is got for any other possible distribution. From this it appears that all the large satel- lites of all the large planets have spatial speeds which would cause them to be retarded by such impacts or exactly the opposite of what the book states. So that the Supposed proof by this of the planetesimal hypothesis turns out to be a disproof of it. e From what we have said it will be seen that the hypothesis expounded will not work. - PERCIVAL LOWELL GEOLOGY AND COSMOGONY To THE EDITOR OF SCIENCE: 1. In reply to Professor Barrell’s communication in your issue of July 2, 1909, it is sufficient to say that he carefully passes over the legitimate question under discussion, which is that the mountains are formed by the sea, and not at all by the shrinkage of the earth, as taught in most of the books on geology. Since he has thus evaded the issue, his long-drawn-out dis- cussion requires no further notice. 2. In reply to Moulton’s statement in your issue of July 23, let me say that my work on the spiral nebulae and on the formation of the solar system, under the secular action of a resisting medium, was essentially completed July 14, 1908, and my subsequent application for copies of his papers (received here in October, 1908) was simply to enable me to make exact references in some of the argu- ments refuting his theories. This is well known here, for I was all the while in frequent consultation with members of the astronomical and mathematical faculty at Berkeley, and they were fully informed of the results at which I had arrived. My results were held back for over six months (cf. A. N., 4308), and so new did the conclusions appear to the astronomers of the Pacific coast that when my paper was given to the Astronomical Society of the Pacific, January 30, 1909, several of them stated in public interviews in the San Francisco papers that they were exactly the opposite of previous theories. 3. In the Astrophysical Journal for October, 1905, Moulton develops a theory that spiral nebulae are formed by one star passing by another, and causing spiral ejections of prom- inences under tidal forces. This idea seems to have originated with Chamberlin, as outlined in his paper on the “Function of Disruptive Approach, etc.” Here are some of the argu- ments against these Chamberlin-Moulton the- ories: If such tidal disruptions were in prog- ress, spiral nebulae would be prevalent in the Milky Way, and above all in globular clusters; such is not the case. Perrine has recently shown, in Lick Observatory Bulletin No. 155, that the globular clusters are quite devoid of nebulosity of any kind. Lastly, if spiral nebulae are due to the disruption of one star by another, then both stars would usually be disrupted in passage, and spiral nebulae should thus occur in pairs, which is not a fact. This theory of spiral nebulae is therefore directly contradicted by the most obvious phenomena of the heavens. 4. In the same number of the Astrophysical Journal it is announced that Saturn's ninth satellite, Phoebe, can not now escape from the control of the planet, so, “conversely, it has never come under Saturn's control from a remote distance.” Of course this interpreta- tion of the use of Jacobi's integral is wholly unjustifiable. Under the secular action of a resisting medium such a capture is perfectly possible, and it has actually taken place, not * Astrophys. Jour., 14, 17–40, 1901. SCIENCE 15 only for the retrograde satellites, but for all of them. 5. The planets and satellites could have been formed in but one or more of the three follow- ing possible ways, and in no others whatsoever: (a) Detached from their central masses by acceleration of rotation, as imagined by La- place. (b) Captured from the outer parts of a nebula devoid of hydrostatic pressure and thus added on from without, as announced by the writer in A. N., 4308. (c) Formed right where they now revolve by the agglomeration of cosmical dust. Now the possibility (a) is forever excluded by what I have called Babinet’s criterion (A. N., 4308); while (c) will not be seriously considered by any one of ordinary understand- ing. This leaves (b) as the only possible mode of formation. 6. Not content, however, with proving by the logical process of exclusion that the planets and satellites were captured, I have since de- veloped a rigorous proof, based on a correct interpretation of Jacobi's integral under the physical conditions existing in actual nature, of just how the capture of satellites comes A REPLY TO DR. To THE EDITOR OF SCIENCE: In your issue of September 10, Dr. Percival Lowell alleges that I have made four mistakes in my “Introduc- tion to Astronomy,” and from these alleged mistakes as premises he draws the unique con- clusion that the planetesimal hypothesis “will not work.” Quite apart from the validity of the allegations, it is, to me, a novel idea in logic that errors made in trying to support a proposition become thereby “disproof of it.” One might infer by this sort of reasoning that the errors of the class-room have long since destroyed all the principles of mathematics. The logic of the present case is all the more remarkable in that two of the four alleged mistakes do not occur in my discussion of the planetesimal hypothesis at all, while the two that do relate to it are really one, and it is not shown that even this one has any critical re- lations to the hypothesis. about. A series of papers on this subject is just now appearing in the Astronomische Nachrichten, No. 4341–42, 4343, etc. 7. It is thus proved that the planets were captured by the Sun and have gradually neared that central mass under the secular action of a resisting medium. This cause and no other has given the orbits their round form. It is proved also that the satellites likewise were captured by their several planets. If Moulton and Chamberlin have reached any but nega- tive results, I have not yet seen them, and I shall look forward with interest to their pub- lication. Since naturally a thing has occurred in but one way, it is evident that there are in general an infinite number of ways in which it did not occur. Such negative results may be as numerous as the sands of the sea, or as the points in space; but they will no more nourish our minds than empty space will feed our bodies. I submit that protest against such vacant results is certainly justifiable. T. J. J. SEE |U. S. NAVAL OBSERVATORY, MARE ISLAND, CALIFORNIA, August 2, 1909 PERCIVAL LOWELL The first point raised by Dr. Lowell is in reference to the greatest and least velocities which meteors moving in parabolic orbits can have relatively to the earth, and in this dis- cussion, which appears eighty-three pages be- fore I have mentioned the planetesimal hy- pothesis, I have made an error for which I offer no excuse. In fact, it was quite inex- cusable because I had fully treated, four years earlier, in my “Celestial Mechanics’ (chapter VII.), the question of the motion of an infinitesimal body relatively to that of two finite bodies describing circles, and the veloc- ity of impact of meteors is only a special case under it. If Dr. Lowell had been as generous in citing this earlier and fuller treatment as in quoting my brief remarks in the “Intro- duction to Astronomy,” he could have omitted a considerable part of his own paper in the Astronomical Journal, whose method does not 16 SCIENCE differ in any essential way from my exposition of the question. In fact, it would have been necessary only to have determined the con- stant of integration of my equation (7), page 186. But I made a mistake, and this seems to fix a new principle in logic with a quantitative function: a mistake in expounding one propo- sition, if made within 83 pages of the discus- sion of another proposition, throws discredit on the latter. If it were not for the new logic, Dr. Lowell's second indictment would have nothing to do with the planetesimal hypothesis, for the al- leged error occurs in a discussion of the Laplacian theory in connection with the ninth satellite of Saturn. In this, I have used only the universally accepted principle of dynamics that the moment of momentum of any mass about an axis can be changed only by a couple about the same axis. I can not accept the interpretation Dr. Lowell puts on my words, nor admit the correctness of his con- tention. The statements which contain the third and fourth alleged errors do, indeed, appear in my discussion of the planetesimal hypothe- sis. They are quoted by Dr. Lowell, one as being “on page 480,” and the other as being “from pages 478 to 481.” They are, however, not only a part of the same discussion, but are in a single short paragraph on the same page (480). The third alleged error is in a formula occurring at the end of the fourth alleged erroneous statement, and gives the precise condition under which the conclusion reached is true. I suppose it is a part of the new logic to divide what is indivisible by the old logic, to invert the order, to give reference to the specific page of one, and to state simply that the other lies between certain pages; or, the last may be for rhetorical effect, as it avoids the repetition of a page-number, which might become monotonous if given more than once. Not being as yet very familiar with the new logic, I will, with Dr. Lowell’s permission, treat the statements in the order in which they occur in my book. The point in question is the effect of the collision of meteoric masses upon the dimensions of satellite orbits, par- ticularly in the earlier stages of their develop- ment. By carefully omitting, in his last quo- tation, the sentences in which I have given the conditions under which my conclusions are true, he has made it appear that I have made categorical statements of universal applica- tion, and he has then found examples outside of the conditions clearly specified where my conclusions are not true. He then asserts that this is a “ disproof" of the planetesimal hypothesis. - The associated alleged error is in the form- ula expressing the final conditions under which my conclusions are true. Dr. Lowell’s friends will regret to learn that he has been over- hasty in criticizing it, considering the weighty conclusion he has hung upon his criticism. In the first place he has not quoted it quite correctly, and in the second place he starts from an erroneous equation himself. Since the linear units are not specified, the elemen- tary principle of homogeneity of units should have shown him that the right member of his first equation is incorrect. Its left member is also inexact, due apparently to an erroneous use of the integrals of the two-body problem. If we let p represent the mass of the satellite, his first equation should have been the in- equality T-E M-L a MTſ, -— 1 = e VH+-V*#S VIT VE Developing and omitting the negligible terms of higher order, we get precisely the formula given in my book. Consequently I stand by the conclusions reached in my book on this subject when the conditions are satisfied under which I have clearly stated they are true. Now of the planetesimal hypothesis itself, which is much more important in the present connection, Dr. Lowell appears really to have a very excellent opinion, barring its tag and signs of parentage. In his “Mars as the Abode of Life" (1908) he says, pp. 3 and 4: So far as thought may peer into the past, the epic of our solar system began with a great catastrophe. Two Suns met. . . . It is not to be supposed that the two rovers actually struck, the chances being against so head-on an encounter; but the effect was as disastrous. Tides raised in SCIENCE - 17 each by the approach tore both to fragments, the ruptured visitant passing on and leaving a dis- membered body behind in lieu of what had been the other. . . . Thus, what had been a Sun Was left alone, with its wreckage strewn about it. Masses large and small made up its outlying fragments, scattered through space in its vicinity, while a shattered nucleus did it for core. On page 6 he says: Thus they [the meteorites] proclaim themselves clearly fragments of some greater body. To the sometime dismemberment of this orb, from which disintegration our sun and planets were formed, the little solitary bits of rock thus mutely witness. In the Atlantic Monthly for August, 1909, in an article entitled “The Revelation of Evolution,” on page 177, after commenting on and dismissing the Laplacian theory, he says, in introducing more recent work: Without attempting here a picture of what probably took place, let me sketch a line or two of its reconstruction as they have taken shape at midnight to one watcher of the stars. And on the following page we read: From the information afforded us by meteorites we turn to another discovery of recent date, the recognition of the spiral nebulae. . . . Now, this spectrum [that of the spiral nebulae] is just what they should show were they flocks of meteorites— and such they undoubtedly are. They give us, therefore, the second chapter of the evolutionary history. For, from their peculiar structure, we can infer what the process was that scattered the constituents of the once compact ball whose exist- ence the meteorites attest. They consist of a central core from which two spiral coils unfold, the starting point of the one diametrically op- posite the other. Now this is what would happen had the original mass been tidally disrupted by a passing tramp. Tides in its body would be raised toward and opposite the stranger, and these would scatter its parts outward; the motion due the tramp combining with the body’s spin to produce the spiral coils we see. Just as in the meteorites we have found the substances from which our Solar system rose, so in these nebulae we see an evolution actually in process which may have been OUIIſ OWI). To those who have read the literature of the planetesimal hypothesis as it has come forth, stage by stage, during the past decade this will Sound strangely familiar; and when reading Dr. Lowell’s statements about the origin of meteorites, one can not help but recall Pro- fessor Chamberlin’s article in the Astrophys- ical Journal eight years ago, “On the Possible IFunction of Disruptive Approach in the For- mation of Meteorites, Comets and Nebulae.” But perhaps Dr. Lowell does not read the Astrophysical Journal, which is edited and published not far from the home of that “geologist out West * who “ astronomically is unaware that what prompted his contention, the Planetesimal Hypothesis, is mathematically unsound.” The Carnegie In- stitution, however, is not so far “out West'' that it has forfeited its claim to “be treated with respect,” and in its “Year Books '' of 1902 to 1907 are full expositions covering every essential element that enters into the mid- night reconstruction. From these quotations it is clear that Dr. Lowell has a real affection for the main fea- tures of the planetesimal hypothesis, and if I had not been so unfortunate as to have utterly destroyed it (according to the new logic) by the blunder in my book 83 pages before I took the hypothesis up, he might almost have re- constructed it from his own recent writings. I am wondering whether in his forthcoming book on “The Evolution of Worlds "* he will * Atlantic Monthly, August, 1909, p. 181, foot- note: “Even as this essay stood between pen and print a geologist out west, in a long letter to Science, has repeated, in reference to the facts here set forth, the old attacks on Darwin for daring to synthesize the facts; though the geologic facts are from Sir Archibald Geikie, our own Dana and DeLapparent, who should certainly geo- logically be treated with respect. Astronomically he is unaware that what prompted his contention, the Planetesimal Hypothesis, is mathematically unsound.” *In the advance description of this book we read: “So important scientifically is the work of Professor Percival Lowell that the announcement of a new book by him might seem to belong rather in the list of technical works than in a catalogue of general reading. Professor Lowell, however, has the rare art of conveying important and new truths in language readily intelligible to the gen- eral reader. . . . His theme is the process by which a world comes into existence, the phases through which it passes. . . .” 18 not give additional proof of his affection for the planetesimal theory, though perhaps under some other name, or in some nameless form, more congenial to that mysterious “watcher THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE WHEN, in 1906, the planetesimal hypothesis had reached a stage of development sufficient to warrant its introduction as a working hy- pothesis into text-books of geology and astron- omy, it seemed to its authors worth while to draw up and place on their private files a memorandum of the several stages of cos- mogonic study that had led up to the hypoth- esis in the form it had then taken. It was not assumed that the hypothesis had reached a final form, much less that it was in any sense then proven or that it could approach proof until after a long period of trial and the closest scrutiny. On the contrary, they were then engaged in further efforts to test its working qualities and to add to its details or to modify them. It, however, seemed worth while at that stage to make note of preceding steps of progress while fresh in mind for future reference if occasion should require. Such occasion seems now to have arisen. In the introduction to the memorandum, by way of qualifying the statements of the in- dividual parts taken, it was noted that the mutual studies of the authors had grown up so gradually and informally, their conferences had been so frequent and so free, and their relations so intimate that it was difficult to set down with accuracy the precise parts con- tributed by each, or the aid rendered each to the other in working these out. The memo- randum was intended to indicate merely the main individual lines of work and the lead- ing stages of progress. A quite accurate and detailed history could be worked out, if it were worth while, from the note-books of advanced students of the University of Chi- cago from 1892 onward, as they were familiar with the status these studies had reached at the times their lecture notes were taken. Several of these students made computations or rendered other aid sufficient to call for SCIENCE of the stars ” whose scientific theories, like Poe's visions of the raven, “ have taken shape at midnight.” F. R. MOULTON PLANETESIMAL EIYPOTHESIS notice in the papers published, among whom were A. W. Whitney, H. L. Clarke, J. P. Goode, H. F. Bain, S. Weidman, C. F. Tol- man, Jr., N. M. Fenneman, C. E. Siebenthal, R. T. Chamberlin and W. H. Emmons. In the Synopsis below, the memorandum of March 12, 1906, is followed in the main, but the abbreviated phrases and references have been rounded out or recast to make them more specific and the whole brought down to date. I. DESTRUCTIVE (IN THE MAIN) Line of Approach and First Step.–To find out what effects on geological climates might be assignable to changes in the constitution of the atmosphere, Chamberlin, in the middle nineties of the recent century, attempted to test, by means of the molecular velocities in- volved, after the method of Johnstone Stoney, the probable limits to the extent of the atmos- pheres in early geological stages, particu- larly those conditioned by the molten and gaseous states of the early earth as then com- monly postulated. These tests were found to throw doubt on the common belief in the enormous extent of hot vaporous atmospheres supposed to prevail during the gaseous and molten states of the earth. The test was then carried back to the earth-moon ring postulated by the Laplacian hypothesis where its application seemed fatal to the hypothesis. Moulton aided in this test by preparing tables of parabolic velocities for the earth at various heights above its surface and at different rates of rotation. Dr. A. W. Whitney made computations relative to molec- ular velocities under varying temperatures and pressures. The results were set forth in a paper read by Chamberlin at the Toronto meeting of the British Association for the Advancement of Science, August 20, 1897, SCIENCE 19 and more fully in the Journal of Geology, Oc- tober–November, 1897, pp. 653–683. Second Step.–The conclusion that the nebu- lous matter of the supposed earth-moon ring could not remain in a true gaseous state, i. e., with the molecules in active collisional rela- tions to one another, under the conditions postulated for the earth-moon ring under the Laplacian hypothesis, led Chamberlin to con- sider the alternative conception of molecules or particles revolving in independent orbits in planetoidal fashion. Condensation from this state had previously been held, generally if not universally, to give rise to retrograde rotations, whereas most of the rotations of the solar system are direct. Among the more con- venient references showing the general ac- ceptance of this view are the following: D. Rirkwood, Am. Jour. Sci., XXXVIII., Nov., 1864, pp. 1–2; A. Hinricks, Am. Jour. Sci., XXXVII., 1864, pp. 48–52; D. Trowbridge, Am. Jour. Sci., XXXIX., 1865, pp. 25–43; A. Clerke, “History of Astronomy during the Nineteenth Century,” 1893, p. 383; H. Faye, “Sur l’Origine du Monde,” 1896, pp. 138–140, 164–171, 270–281; C. A. Young, “General Astronomy,” 1899, pp. 568–572; Sir Robt. Ball, “The Earth’s Beginning,” 1902, pp. 324–347; A. Clerke, “Modern Cosmogonies,” 1905, pp. 26–42. It was therefore clear that if this deduction were valid it was fatal to all hy- potheses of the planetesimal type; indeed its supposed validity was probably the reason why such hypotheses had not been entertained. This apparently fatal bar was removed by Chamberlin, who pointed out that in the case of bodies moving in elliptical orbits about a common center, collision can only take place when some part of the perihelion section of the outer orbit coincides with some part of the aphelion section of the inner orbit, and that at the point of collision the body in the outer orbit moves faster than the body in the inner orbit, though on the average the body in the larger orbit moves slower than the one in the smaller orbit, which general fact was made the basis of the previous adverse reasoning. The way was thus opened for the construction of a tenable hypothesis on the orbital basis, in- cluding the form later called planetesimal. This germ of constructive work on lines pre- viously regarded as untenable was briefly stated in the paper read before the British Association for the Advancement of Science, Toronto meeting, August 20, 1897, and pub- lished in the Journal of Geology, October– November, 1897, p. 669. Third Step.–The tenability of construction on an alternative line being thus assured, the skepticism regarding the old nebular and me- teoroidal hypotheses was more freely enter- tained and led to a search for other tests, particularly those resting on grounds other than molecular activity. The discrepancy be- tween the slow rotation of the Sun at present and the rotation it should have if it had con- tracted from a gaseous spheroid filling the orbit of Mercury and having the equatorial velocity necessary to shed the Mercurial ring as postulated by the Laplacian hypothesis, first came to Chamberlin’s attention and led to a conference, with Moulton, late in 1899, out of which grew the more systematic in- spection of the dynamics of the solar system in which the chief work was done by Moulton. Fourth Step.–By restoring theoretically, in conformity with the laws of gases, the nebu- lous stages of the Laplacian hypothesis, com- parisons of the Several moments of momenta of the spheroid at these stages with the mo- ments of momenta of the equivalent parts of the existing system were made by Moulton with results that seemed fatal to the Laplacian hypothesis and to all other hypotheses which had a similar dynamic basis. Several other tests of a dynamical character equally adverse to the Laplacian hypothesis were also set forth in this paper. Although the restorations of the solar spher- oids at the various nebulous stages were made on the basis of the known laws of distribution of gases, with liberal margins of safety, uncer- tainty as to the full trustworthiness of the extension of the laws of gases to bodies of such tenuity and at such temperatures was un- avoidable. To cover doubts arising from this * “An Attempt to Test the Nebular Hypothesis by an Appeal to the Laws of Dynamics,” by F. R. Moulton, Astrophysical Journal, March, 1900, pp. 103–130. 20 source, independent tests were made by Cham- berlin on the basis of the ratios of the masses to the moments of momenta of the spheroids and of the separated rings, respectively, using the masses and the moments of momenta of the present derived bodies, thus avoiding the application of the laws of gases; and the re- sults were found to be equally adverse to the Laplacian hypothesis.” II. CoNSTRUCTIVE (IN THE MAIN) The preceding work was chiefly destructive, but there were three notable exceptions: (1) The opening of the way to construction on planetoidal lines; (2) the determination of rather rigorous criteria that must be met in forming a tenable hypothesis, viz., the condi- tions must be such as to give low mass, high moment of momentum and irregular distribu- tion of matter to the outer part of the system, and high mass, low moment of momentum and sphericity to the central part; and (3) the recognition that spiral nebulae offered the greatest probability of meeting these criteria and of having at the same time a planetoidal organization.” A Summation of the leading points made in the destructive work, together with a statement of the constructive criteria above named and of the grounds for giving precedence to spiral nebulae in the search for an origin of the solar system, was published in SCIENCE, August 10, 1900, by Chamberlin and Moulton jointly. Fifth Step.–Considerable futile work was done, largely by Chamberlin, in trying out the possibilities of collision between nebulous bodies as a mode of origin of spiral nebulae, but no escape was found from the high proba- bility, amounting almost to certainty, that the resulting orbits would be too eccentric to fit the case of the solar System in any instance that was likely to occur. Siacth Step.–The effects of the differential * “An Attempt to Test the Nebular Hypothesis by the Relations of Masses and Momenta,” by T. C. Chamberlin, Jour. Geol., Vol. VIII., January– February, 1900, pp. 58–73. * Chamberlin in Journal of Geology, VIII., January–February, 1900, pp. 72–73; Moulton, Astrophysical Journal, XI., March, 1900, p. 130. SCIENCE attractions exerted by bodies on one another when they make close approaches were then studied by Chamberlin in the lines marked out by Roche, Maxwell and others, and found to be a promising field for hypothesis respect- ing the origin of meteorites, comets and neb- ulae. This study included not merely the direct tidal effect on a passive body, following Roche, but also the projective effect developed in a body of enormous elasticity already under high pressure and affected by violent local explosions which were subject to intensifica- tion by the changes of gravity brought to bear on them by a passing body. It was shown that the contingency of close approach was much greater than that of collision, and that the results, (1) in the case of the disrupting of solid bodies, afforded a felicitous basis for ex- plaining the erratic orbits of comets, the clus- tered fragments of the comet heads, and the angularity of the meteorites into which they are supposed to be finally dispersed; while (2) the explosive projections from suns under the influence of the passing body gave a reason for the two-armed feature of most spiral neb- ula—a neglected feature to which attention was specially called—for the spiral form, for the knots and haze, and at the same time offered a basis for inferring their dynamical state. These radical hypotheses were set forth in a paper entitled “On a Possible Function of Disruptive Approach in the Formation of Meteorites, Comets and Nebulae,” by T. C. Chamberlin, Astrophys. Jour., Vol. XIV., July, 1901, pp. 17–40; also Jour. Geol., Wol. IV., 1901, pp. 369–393. Seventh Step.–With these conceptions of the origins and dynamical states of meteorites and spiral nebulae as the bases of alternative hypotheses, a more critical study was made of the probabilities of origin of the solar system from Swarms of meteorites of heterogeneous and quasi-gaseous organization, and, more radically, of the probabilities of the origin of such swarms either by concentration from a state of greater diffusion or by the dispersion of some previous body. Conditions favorable to the evolution of the solar system were not found, except when the meteoric organization SCIENCE i. 21 t took the planetesimal form." Specifically, the conclusion reached was that the heterogeneous meteoritic state is “inherently moribund, pass- ing into the gaseous state on the one hand, or into the planetesimal on the other, or, in the absence of assemblage, losing its constituents to existing Suns and planets by capture One by one.” " - - Eighth Step.–Concurrently with these con- structive attempts of Chamberlin with futile results except as based on planetoidal lines, Moulton attempted a critical review of all recorded cosmogonic hypotheses, but unfore- seen conditions caused the temporary suspen- sion of work and prevented a final treatment and publication of the assembled material." Ninth Step.–With (1) an open door for constructive work with nebulae of planetoidal dynamics made available in 1897, with (2) the controlling criteria defined, and with (3) the limitations of tenable hypotheses narrowed by the futile work, the planetesimal hypothesis was gradually given shape and working form chiefly by Chamberlin in the absence of Moul- ton, as set forth in Year Book No. 3, Carnegie Institution, 1904, pp. 208–233; but this shaping of the hypothesis passed under the criticism of Moulton before publication. The spirit and purpose of this constructive work is thus stated, pp. 232—233: It has thus been my endeavor to develop the hypothesis into sufficient detail (1) to furnish a large number of points of contact with known phenomena and with recognized mechanical prin- ciples to facilitate testing its verity by those relations, if not now, at least in the early progress * Chamberlin in Year Book No. 3, Carnegie Institution of Washington, 1904, pp. 195—208. *Ibid., p. 208. "Moulton in Year Book No. 3, Carnegie Insti- tution, 1904, pp. 255–256. of investigation; (2) to furnish a basis for de- ducing the hypothetical stages of the earth that preceded its known history, and for drawing thence inferences as to the conditions of the in- terior which the earth inherited from the mode of its birth; and (3) to stimulate inquiry into the elements involved. In short, I have endeavored to give the hypothesis a working form under the conviction that so long as the complicated ele- ments involved remain so imperfectly determined as at present its working value is its chief value. |Preliminary to this publication the essen- tial features of the hypothesis had been dis- cussed before several scientific societies and Subjected to criticism. The hypothesis was also set forth by Moulton in a paper “On the IEvolution of the Solar System,” Astrophys. Jour., October, 1905, pp. 165–181. Later Steps.-The hypothesis was somewhat further elaborated and supplied with illustra- tions for text-book use by Chamberlin for the chapter on the Origin of the Earth in Cham- berlin and Salisbury’s “Geology,” Vol. II., Chap. I., pp. 28–81, 1905, and by Moulton for his “Introduction to Astronomy,” 1906, pp. 463–487. Subsequent work in further testing, devel- oping and applying the hypothesis has been in progress as set forth in Year Book No. 4, Carnegie Institution, 1905, pp. 171–173 (Chamberlin), and 186–190 (Moulton); Year Book No. 5, Carnegie Institution, 1906, pp. 165–172, and in later Year Books. More Specifically and concretely, the continuation of investigation on lines growing out of the planetesimal hypothesis is shown by Publica- tion No. 107, of the Carnegie Institution, en- titled “ The Tidal and Other Problems.” T. C. CHAMBERLIN F. R. MOULTON CFIICAGO, October 14, 1909 |GAN CH UNIVERSITY OF M! | | | | | | | | | 57;); (***) ·§§ !:4. - º º : { ; : { . * * g t i ! . t f i ~~~~…~: * ...º.º. * ** º