4 53051 TRANSPORTATION LIBRARY I PROPERTY OF ft I I 7, ~ TE sc LNf' I A V tR ITA S I Report of the Advisory Board to the New Jersey State Highway Commission L l. -.. * -, /,. VEHICULAR TUNNEL TRAFFIC STUDY Recommendation for Methods of Handling Traffic in Jersey City and Vicinity Incident to the Construction of the Vehicular Tunnel Between New York and New Jersey ADVISORY BOARD MEMBERS W. G. Sloan, Chairman T. J. Wasser R. P. McClave W. A. Stickel Chas. VanKeuren E. P. Goodrich Consulting Engineer C. M. Holland J. W. Costello Charles Fishberg, Sec'y MacCrellish & Quigley Co. State Printers Trenton, N. J. I924 . Report of the Advisory Board to the New Jersey State Highway Commission VEHICULAR TUNNEL TRAFFIC STUDY Recommendation for Methods of Handling Traffic in Jersey City and Vicinity Incident to the Construction of the Vehicular Tunnel Between New York and New Jersey i ADVISORY BOARD MEMBERS I I I W. G. Sloan, Chairman T. J. Wasser R. P. McClave 'V. A. Stickel Chas. VanKeuren E. P. Goodrich Consulting Engineer C. M. Holland J. W. Costello Charles Fishberg, Sec'y MacCrellish & Quigley Co. State Printers Trenton, N. J. 1924 __ __ __- _-. -1,: 24 I...IV I, r7' TRENTON, New Jersey, August 8, I923. To the State Highway Commission of New Jersey, Trenton, New Jersey: GENTLEMEN-In accordance with the action of your Board at its meeting on May I Ith, I923, I have to advise that the Advisory Board has carefully considered the problems submitted to them by you, concerning the proper handling of the volume of traffic in the vicinity of Jersey City, and taking into consideration the increase in such traffic which will be occasioned by the construction of the Vehicular Tunnel between New York City and Jersey City. The Board has embodied the result of these studies in a written report and the conclusions and recommendations embraced therein cover, in the opinion of the Board, the best method of handling this most unusual traffic situation. The report is submitted herewith. Respectfully submitted, W. G. SLOAN, Chairman. (3) 4 OUTLINE. A. THE ADVISORY BOARD. I. Organization of Board. 2. Personnel of Board. 3. Meetings of Board. 4. General Policies. B. NECESSITY FOR A COMPREHENSIVE PLAN AND POLICY. I. Geographical limits of investigation. 2. Surveys made of present traffic to justify cost of new road construction. (a) Lincoln Highway and other highways entering Jersey City. (b) Ferry traffic. (c) Hackensack and Passaic river traffic. C. PROBABLE FUTURE TRAFFIC. I. Points of probable future congestion. 2. Tunnel traffic in I926, and probable future growth. D. GENERAL CONDITIONS TO BE MET IN CARING FOR FUTURE TRAFFIC. I. Grades, economics of. 2. Curves. 3. Grade crossings. 4. Width of pavement. 5. Type of pavement. 6. Hackensack and Passaic rivers. (a) High bridges. (b) Low bridges. (c) Tunnels. E. ROUTES. I. Jersey City-Elizabeth. 2. Jersey City-North. 3. Jersey City-West. 4. Jersey City-South. F. CONSTRUCTION ESTIMATES AND COSTS. I. Jersey City-Elizabeth. (a) Section I. (b) Section 2 and 2A. (c) Section 3 and 3A. (d) Section 4. (e) Section 5 and 5A. (f) Section 6. 2. Jersey City to connect with Paterson Plank Road and Route No. I8. G. RECOMMENDATIONS. 5 ORGANIZATION OF ADVISORY BOARD. The State Highway Commission, under date of May Resolution. II, I923, adopted the following resolution appointing an Advisory Board for the study of the Vehicular Tunnel Traffic: "WVHEREAS, The importance of the project of taking care of the traffic from the entrance of the Hudson River Vehicular Tunnel at Jersey City, and its distribution through Jersey City and Newark, and points north, west and south, throughout the State, is such as to require a special study; therefore, "Be It Resolved, That the State Highway Commission does hereby appoint an Advisory Board for the special study of this problem, the said Advisory Board to be composed of Major W. G. Sloan, State Highway Engineer, as Chairman; Mr. E. P. Goodrich, Special Consulting Engineer, and Charles Fishberg, Secretary to said Board; the Chief Engineer of the Bridge and Tunnel Commission; the County Engineers of the counties of Hudson, Bergen and Essex; and the City Engineers of the cities of Jersey City and Newark; and "Be It Further Resolved, That the Tunnel Commission, the Boards of Freeholders of the counties of Hudson, Essex and Bergen, and the authorities of the cities of Jersey City and Newark, be requested to designate their engineers as members of this Advisory Board, it being understood that the said Advisory Board with the exception of the Consulting Engineer and Secretary will give their services to the State without remuneration other than their necessary expenses, in view of the public good to be derived from such work, the technical report to be submitted to the State Highway Commission; and "Be It Further Resolved, That the duties of the said Advisory Board shall be to study the problems presenting themselves in connection with the expeditious and economical handling of the volume of traffic which will converge to and diverge from the entrance to the vehicular tunnel in Jersey City throughout the zone in which points of congestion due to such traffic may occur; to give consideration not only to the probable character and amount of traffic to be expected at the time of the opening of the.tunnel, but also its future character and amount; to devise plans for handling such probable traffic in accordance with the above, such plans to embrace the location of routes and types of construction; to compile the results of the above work in a report to be furnished to the State Highway Commission." 6 PERSONNEL OF BOARD. Acting upon the call of your State Highway Engineer, as Chairman, the first meeting of this Advisory Board was held on May 17, 1923, with all members present as follows: W. G. Sloan, State Highway Engineer, Chairman; E. P. Goodrich, Consulting Engineer; C. MA. Holland, Chief Engineer, Tunnel Commission; T. J. Wasser, Hudson County Engineer; R. P. McClave, Bergen County Engineer; XV. A. Stickel, Essex County Engineer; J. WV. Costello, Newark City Engineer; Chas. Van Keuren, Jersey City Engineer; Charles Fishberg, Secretary. MEETINGS OF BOARD. Meetings of the Advisory Board were held as follows: Thursday, May 17th, City Hall, Jersey City. Wednesday, June 6th, Court House, Jersey City. Wednesday, June 27th, Interstate Bridge & Tunnel Commission offices, New York. Wednesday, July i ith, Court House, Jersey City. Wednesday, July i8th, City Hall, Newark. Wednesday, July 25th, Court House, Newark. Inspections. Inspections were made by the Advisory Board members of the several possible routes to be considered, before having surveys made. Engineering parties were put into the field to make surveys of the physical conditions to be encountered in the construction of the necessary highways, and traffic counts were made at important points to ascertain the present traffic, and such records as were available of traffic conditions existing during the past ten years were carefully examined in order that the tendency of traffic development might be determined, and as far as possible projected into the future. 7 GENERAL POLICIES. The recommendations made herein are based on the Assumption.. following assumptions which we believe are consistent with the wording of the resolution as passed by the State Highway Commission, and in accordance therewith: I. The limits of the territory in each direction from Jersey City, which is to be embraced in this report, are determined by the probability of present or future traffic developing to a point where congestion may be reached at such time as the traffic through the tunnel shall have reached the capacity of the tunnel. 2. The location and type of construction to be used is to be the best which would be justified by the present or future traffic, giving due weight to: (a) the economical grades; (b) the elimination of curvature; (c) the elimination of grade crossings, both as regards street and rail roads; (d) the elimination of draw bridges; (e) other considerations affecting the facility and safety of travel. Each of the above points at any particular location is studied in connection with the cost of securing the result desired, and the proper selection of route and construction being determined on the assumption that the State Highway Commission desires information as to the cost of such best location and type of construction. 3. Recommendations are also based on consideration of the improvement as a comprehensive unit, and where it might appear that within certain localities particular requirements and desires of that locality have not been met, yet such considerations have had due weight in making the recommendations for what, in the opinion of the Advisory Board is the best solution of the whole problem. 8 NECESSITY FOR A COMPREHENSIVE PLAN AND STUDY. Early Deci- The early investigations of the Board made it apparent sios. that a comprehensive plan covering highway construction over a considerable area would be necessary in order to provide for facilities to handle the volume of traffic which it was evident would be developed during the period under consideration, and further that advantage must be taken of all routes and methods of construction which would permit of the handling of this volume of traffic with a maximum of safety, minimum of delay, and the greatest economy. GEOGRAPHICAL LIMITS OF INVESTIGATION. Traffic The handling of the traffic which would use the highSouthw ad ways leading to the west and southwest of Jersey City, particularly Routes Nos. I and 9 of the State Highway System, including the inter-state traffic to and from the metropolitan district, presented the greatest problem. The volume of traffic over these routes is at the present time very heavy and the opening of the vehicular tunnel will increase it to a very great extent. Congested Congestion at the present time occurs in Newark and Points. Elizabeth, and it was decided by the Board that such reconstruction or building of new highways as is necessary to eliminate these points olf congestion must be included in the recommendations. Traffic Traffic to the north and northwest, embracing the North and Northwest. Paterson-Hackensack District is, and probably will continue to be, considerably less in volume than that to the south and southwest. It is believed that this traffic will be taken care of by the construction or improvement of short connecting links in Jersey City, to reach the existing highways across the meadows and to connect with State Highway Route No. I8, when that route is constructed. The construction involved in order to 9 accomplish this will include the widening and improvement of certain streets on the low level in Jersey City to connect the primary route with Hoboken, and the construction of a highway from a point where the primary route crosses Tonnelle Avenue to connect with the above mentioned highways across the meadows and with Route No. i8. The Paterson Plank Road may require improvement Paterson at some later date, involving an expense of approximately Plank Road. $450,000.00. These are several highways over which travel, coming through Bergen County, will endeavor to reach the tunnel. At the present time, Bergen County has a State Bergen frmPae-County Highway, known as Route No. io, running from Pater- Traffic. son to the Fort Lee Ferry by way of Dundee Lake and Hackensack. This highway is located at about a third point between the Hudson County line and the New York State Line. There are two other routes, namely Route No. 17 and Route No. i8, which are in the State Highway Systemni, but which have not been taken over by the State Highway Commission. Route No. 17 starts at the southwest corner of the Route County and runs in a northerly direction to Hackensack N. 17 and thence continues in a northerly direction through Hackensack to Suffern. Over this route at the present time there is a large percentage of New York State traffic. Route No. i8 is located on the easterly side of the Route County and runs at the bottom of the westerly side of No. 18. the Palisades from the Hudson County Line northerly to Route No. io, and on the easterly side of the top of the Palisades from Route No. io northerly to the New York State line connecting with what is termed New York State Highway Route No. 3. At the present time, Route No. 10 is constructed to Route Hackensack with the exception of the westerly approach No. 10 to the Palisades from Ridgefield to Fort Lee. This IO section is now under construction and the route will, therefore, be complete from the Fort Lee Ferry to Hackensack by the end of I923. The section from Hackensack to Paterson is in poor condition and should be placed under construction at as early a date as possible, for were this route constructed, the traffic from the north and south County feeders leading into Route 0o will be intercepted and the traffic in this event could follow Route No. io to Ridgefield, and from Ridgefield could continue southerly on Route No. I8 to Tonnelle Avenue in Jersey City, thence along Tonnelle Avenue to Route No. I, and thence through Route No. I to the tunnel. Route No. I8 with the completion of Route No. 3 of the New York State System, will receive traffic from New York State or carry the traffic through New York State to West Point and points beyond, along the Hudson River. An extension of Route No. I8, southerly along Palisade Avenue in the Borough of Fort Lee and Cliffside Park, to either the Hudson County Boulevard or to Park Avenue, would be desirable, and in this event light traffic will be enabled to use the Boulevard as an approach through Hoboken or the western Boulevard in Hudson County to the tube entrance. Route No. 17 will play an important part as a feeder artery to the tunnel due to the fact that its northerly terminus, Suffern, N. Y., is the outlet of one of the principal New York State Highway routes carrying through travel. In order to control a means of travel through the lower section of the County, it may be desirable that the Paterson Plank Road, both in Bergen and Hudson counties be proposed as a highway route for special legislation. This highway now carries a great traffic from the big industrial sections of Passaic County and the travel in this particular section must necessarily cross the meadows on this highway. II The facilities already afforded by city streets should Bayonne take care of traffic to reach Bayonne. Traffic. In accordance with the above, therefore, the geo- Summary. graphical limits of this report confine themselves to Jersey City, a point to the southwest in the City of Elizabeth, and a point to the north on Route No. 10, near Ridgefield, as shown on the attached keymap. Con- Proposed sideration has also been given to the proposed construc- Terds. tion by the railroad.companies of large terminal storage yards and warehouses, as contemplated in connection with Port development plans now being worked out, and due to which there will be created a very large amount of truck traffic which will use the vehicular tunnel. SURVEYS MADI) OF PRESENT TRAFFIC. The following traffic information was obtained by the Board: I. Traffic counts were taken on each road leading into Traffic Jersey City, the results of which were combined with aken.t similar information furnished by the office of the County Engineer of Hudson County, covering a period of four years and adjusted for seasonal variations. 2. Records of traffic counts on Newark streets were obtained from the City Engineer of Newark. 3. Records of traffic counts in Bergen County were obtained from the County Engineer of Bergen County. 4. The New Jersey Interstate Bridge and Tunnel Commission has made careful study of the ferry traffic extending from I9I9 to date. Prior to their undertaking this work, the Public Service Corporation of New Jersey had studied the ferry traffic from I9I3. In summarizing and clarifying the data, the ferries were divided into groups, the first group consisting of the five ferries nearest the tunnel, from which it is expected the greatest part of the tunnel traffic would be diverted, and which, as the figures show, handle approximately 12 Five Ferry 49 per cent of the total ferry traffic. This group is reroup. ferred to as the "Five Ferries," namely: Penna. R. R.-Desbrosses Street. Penna. R. R.-Cortlandt Street. Erie R. R.-Chambers Street. D., L. & W. R. R.-Barclay Street. D., L. & W. R. R.-Christopher Street. The second group consists of six ferries, farther from the tunnel, and embraces 27 per cent of the total ferry Six Ferry traffic. This group is referred to as the "Six Ferries," Group. namely: C. R. R. N. J.-Liberty Street. C. R. R. N. J.-West 23d Street. Erie R. R.-West 23d Street. D., L. & W. R. R.-West 23d Street. I4th St., Hoboken-West 23d Street. West Shore R. R.-Cortlandt St. Four Ferry The third group, referred to as the "Four Ferries," Group. handles 24 per cent of the present vehicular traffic and is located at such a distance uptown that it is doubtful if they will be greatly affected by the opening of the tunnel. They are as follows: West Shore R. R.-West 42d Street. West Shore R. R.-West New York. I3oth Street-P. S. Ry. Co. Dyckman Street. Bridge 5. Records of bridge swings on the Hackensack and Swings. Passaic River Bridges were obtained from the County Engineer of Essex. The results of these traffic counts are shown on the following tabulations: '3 i. Highways Entering Jersey City. 24-hour count. LINCOLN HIGHWAY Class of Vehicles 1920 Motor trucks................... 3,439 Pleasure cars................... 6,747 Horse drawn.................... 397 All vehicles................ 10,583 I921 2,141 4,455 327 6,923 1922 3,220 9,984 304 13,510 I923 2,400 14,100 430 16,930 Fairview Class of Vehicles I923 Motor trucks,.......... 1,130 Pleasure cars,.......... 7,069 Horse drawn,........... 58 All vehicles,...... 8,257 Palisade Ave. 1923 449 4,792 41 5,292 Anderson Ave. 1923 1,414 4,355 100 5,869 Class of Newark Turnpike Vehicles I920 1922 1923 Motor trucks,.. 584 2,143 652 Pleasure cars,.. 1,134 3,310 9,929 Horse drawn,.. 72 190 30 All vehicles, 1,787 5,643 10,611 Paterson Plank Road 1920 1922 1923 609 1,528 548 1,040 2,876 6,430 140 102 30 1,789 4,506 7,008 SUMMARY OF TRAFFIC COUNTS FOR 1923 ON MAIN ROADS OUT OF JERSEY CITY. Yearly Lincoln Highway.................... 5,756,200 Anderson Avenue................... 1,995,460 Palisade Avenue,................. 1,799,280 Fairview,........................ 2,807,380 Paterson PI. Rd.................... 2,382,720 Newark Turnpike................... 3,607,740 Totals,.................... 18,348,780 Daily 16,930 5,869 5,292 8,257 7,008 10,611 53,967 Max. Hour 1,387.7 464.6 434.5 676.8 574.4 861.5 4,399.5 (Note.-Figures taken on Newark Turnpike cover the period of abnormal traffic in 1922 due to Hackensack River Bridge on Lincoln Highway being out of commission, and are excessive; those for Lincoln Highway being correspondingly low.) The above counts show a present Lincoln Highway Lincoln daily traffic of 16,930 vehicles and a total daily traffic Highway Travel.for all highways leading into Jersey City of 53,967. for all highways leading into Jersey City Of 53,967. 14 The New Jersey Interstate Bridge and Tunnel Commission, in traffic studies over a period of years, developed the factor of I2.2 as representing the relation between daily and maximum hourly traffic, and if used in connection with the above figures results in a maximum hourly traffic on the Lincoln Highway of 1,387 vehicles, and a'maximum total hourly traffic on all highways entering Jersey City of 4,400. 2. Newark City Streets. Io-hour count-8 A. M. to 6 P. M. Percentage Year of Traffic Stlret and Observation Pt. I912 1922 Increase Plank RoadBlanchard St. and Penn. R. R.,...... 1,090 1,785 64 Market StreetCommerce St. and Ferry St.,........ 1,179 2,857 142 Market StreetBeaver and Broad Sts.,.............. 4,232 8,315 97 Elizabeth AvenueGrumman and Keer Aves.,.......... 964 4,281 344 Elizabeth AvenueMiller and Wright Sts.,.............. 1.430 7,140 399 Clinton Avenue19th and 20th Sts.,.................. 1,593 4,537 185 Clinton AvenueMilford and Elizabeth Aves.,........ 2,495 7,300 193 Clinton AvenueBroad and Halsey Sts............... 2,390 10,134 338 Broad StreetAstor and Murray Sts.............. 643 8,250 1,183 Broad StreetM/arket and Mechanic Sts.,.......... 5,149 18,899 267 Jackson Street BridgeNewark and Harrison Sts.,.......... 772 4,277 454 Bridge Street BridgeNewark and Harrison Sts.......... 2,937 8,204 179 Frelinghuysen AvenueNoble and Meeker Ave.,............. 753 6,133 715 Frelinghuysen AvenueVanderpool and Pioneer Sts.,........ 1,057 3,263 209 Frelinghuysen AvenueVirginia Ave. and McClleland St......... 5,777... I5 3. Bergen County Traffic Counts. I6-hour day counts. 1921 Daily Average. Paterson Plank Road, Borough of Carlstadt,.............. 8,989 Bergen Turnpike, Borough of Ridgefield,................. 927 Anderson Avenue, Borough of Cliffside Park,............ 8,108 Bergen Turnpike, Fairview,.............................. 551 Note: In making comparison of these counts with other traffic counts in this report it must be noted that these are for 16-hour days, other counts being for 24-hour days. Also, these counts are for pneumatic-tired vehicles only. This traffic has very much increased as will be seen by reference to tabulation on page 13, which shows for Paterson Plank Road, Fairview and Anderson Avenue, all of which lead to Bergen County road system. USE Of NEW JERSEY HIGHWAYS BY FOREIGN TRAFFIC. As a matter of interest, from the traffic counts used in Foreign formulating this report, we are able to furnish the fol- Cars. lowing figures as representing the percentage of foreign traffic using New Jersey highways. The average of 14 traffic stations, extending to all parts of the State and including the summer period, shows that the percentage of foreign cars is 20.8 per cent. The Station at Absecon, on Labor Day, based on a 24-hour count of 11,572 vehicles, showed a percentage of foreign cars of approximately 50 per cent. The main through Bergen County highways show an average of about 30 per cent foreign cars, while counts on the Lincoln Highway would seem to indicate an average percentage of I8.5 per cent. <4. Ferry Traffic. Average day counts supplied by New Jersey Interstate Bridge and Tunnel Commission, of all figures adjusted for seasonal variations of traffic. "FIVE FERRIES" GROUP. Class of Vehicle. I919. I921. 1922. Motor trucks,..................... 3,358 4,784 4,349 Pleasure cars..................... 2,032 2,076 2,916 Horse drawn,..................... 5,277 4,467 4,320 All vehicles,.................. 10,667 11,327 11,585 "SIx FERRIES" GROUP. Motor trucks,..................... 2,289 3,113 3,100 Pleasure Cars,.................... 1,327 1,719 1,835 Horse drawn,..................... 3.390 2,909 2,347 All vehicles,.................. 7,006 7,741 7,282 "FOUR FERRIES" GROUP. Motor trucks..................... 1,092 1,936 2,005 Pleasure cars,..................... 3,274 4,940 7,515 Horse drawn,..................... 429 438 431 All vehicles,.................. 4,795 7,314 9.946 Note: No record made of West New York Ferry in 1922. TOTALS ALL FERRIES-AVERAGE DAY. Motor trucks,..................... 6,739 9,833 9,454 Pleasure cars,..................... 6,633 8,735 12.266 Horse drawn,..................... 9,096 7,814 7,098 All vehicles,................... 22,468 26,382 28,818 MAXIMUM HOURLY COUNT ALL FERRIES (12.2 FACTOR USED). 1,841 2,162 2,362 YEARLY AVERAGES ALL FERRIES (340 x AVERAGE DAILY). 1919. I921. 1922. 7,639,120 8,969,680 9,798,120 Pages Nos. 17 to 20 show curves of ferry increase and decrease. ] I 1/ I I / / ---- /30 O NES. RY CX., 1.-. 5T.~ -- ----- 3 -—,' --- — ----- j ----,, ---- ------ ------, - ^ ^.~ /,O~ /ILL I/L~!IEST/ L W, _.RR MOTOR T~/CxS I RSEO/RA// ^nao ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ H6I Y COMM/ --- —, ---'__ ^ - ^- ___ ------ IEIL Z'MF/ * UN ~ ^-^ *o ^ ^. ~.. ~,L~ IC E _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ____ 4zo_,_r ___'._.__. 14~S-^,V YOK14. ~R i.~ ~ ~ 1l? _,~,2 __ __ t~. _ __ tis21 _ ___ zis --- -- I'ILL V&9/ LE-s HopsE OJA WA -4N -R7rIX o ____ NEW____SE DTETE PAEs4J & Q-, TPv CHAAB &5T/2EE, ~rEe/ ____ ____B4'RcLA ~,S7RE E r Dlb -CRA ORJ E OTR f 7 9 V '9 E idWd AL'I. VtIiCLE IK K~ w ~B. i L- V&YICLE 'I)~,~ O"I~" 4j -7-rt4 OFtNEW -RSE> MOrOR 7euCKS A H/Io W4YCOV S/ON LI&EeTYST. CRi9W PNLl Z3`0 TS7 C R,. OrA1,L Z3RO 1 Cela PLEA4qsu C4RS CORT7LZ4 DOT, W. Re, (ft1 FAWrr 6rv) 20 2I FERRY TRAFFIC DISTRIBUTON. Six Ferry Five Ferry Four Ferry % Hudson, Grou p. G rou pAverage Pass aic.. *r o% 3r9%59 -De gen,...... 74% 29 Essex-Union. 6% 3 2% 520 21% 23% 52% 9% 1970% 21% 100% 1 00 % 100% 100 22 HACKENSACK AND PASSAIC BRIDGE TRAFFIC. The situation created by the two drawbridges over the HIackensack and Passaic Rivers, respectively, is one which has received the careful consideration of the Board. The opening of these bridges to accommodate the requirements of navigation creates a serious delay to the traffic over the highway. From records which have been kept by the counties of Essex and Hudson there is shown that, due to the opening of the bridges, traffic was blocked for an average of 10.4% of the time. The detailed records are shown in the following tabulations. There is also shown a tabulation on page 24 covering a period of six months, which shows the number of openings and the character of craft on account of which the openings were made. Page No. 25 illustrates the height of vessels on both rivers. 5. Bridge Swings Showing Time Lost to Vehicles on Passaic River Bridge-Lincoln Highway —9,23. Swings Hour by Hour for One Year for Passaic River Bridge. A.. 12- 1 70 1- 2 70 2- 3 61 3- 4 64 4- 5 64 5- 6 75 6- 7 151 7- 8 339 8- 9 484 9-10 624 10-11 578 11-12 502 P.M. 12- 1 450 1- 2 506 2- 3 480 3- 4 456 4- 5 417 5- 6 415 6- 7 265 7- 8 182 8- 9 139 9-10 153 10-11 96 11-12 76 Totals,......... 6,717 Vehicles Crossing Bridge Daily. 758 277 163 122 98 93 91 182 417 425 682 743 657 543 959 1,123 1,022 993 1,204 1,297 1,137 1,106 1,606 1,232 16,930 Total Time (Min.) Lost by All Vehicles Daily. 6.6 2.4 1.0.9.7.9 3.6 37.1 174.1 294.9 404.9 333.8 237.0 247.8 393.8 416.2 316.7 304 8 150.7 76.5 39.1 46.2 26.3 12.6 3,528.6 23 Economists figure the value of the time of a motor vehicle at 5 cents a minute and upward. On this basis the following computation would seem to be justified: 3,529 minutes lost by halted vehicles per day (58.8 hours). For 365 days lime lost would be 1,288,085 minutes, or 21,468 hours. At 5 cents per minute time lost amounts to $64,404.25. Capitalizing this loss, at 5 per cent per year, gives a possible investment of $1,288,085.00. Bridge S~wings Showing Time Lost to Vehicles, Hackcnsack River Bridge —Lincoln Highway-I9.23. Szwings Hour by Hour for One Year for Hackensack River Bridge. A. MI. 12- 1 9 1- 2 11 2-3 7 3-4 4 4-5 11 5- 6 25 6- 7 66 7- 8 146 8- 9 263 9-10 368 10-11 382 11-12 349 P. M. 12- 1 344 1- 2 342 2- 3 326 3- 4 278 4- 5 251 5- 6 192 6- 7 98 7- 8 42 8- 9 34 9-10 15 10-11 9 11-12 7 Totals,......... 3,579 Vehicles Crossing Bridge Daily. 758 277 163 122 98 93 91. 182 417 425 682 743 657 543 959 1,123 1,022 993 1,204 1,297 1,137 1,106 1,606 1,232 16,930 Total Time (Min.) Lost by All Vehicles Daily..1.05.001.0003.002.009.1 6.3 46.8 93.2 161.0 146.6 125.9 102.8 165.1 140.5 104.3 59.2 18.7 3.7 2.1.04.02.01 1,176.5323 1177 minutes lost by halted vehicles per day (19.6 hours.) 429,605 minutes lost in one year (7,160 hours). $21,480.00 capitalized money value of time lost in one year at 5 cents per minute. $429,605.00 capitalized possible investment. 24 Passaic River Bridge-19,23. Lighters, Schooners, Tankers and Steamers. January.......... 197 February......... 154 March,..........194 April,...........170 May..........214 June...........257 Totals.......1,407 Total Swings. 539 396 523 602 633 681 3,374 Per Cent of Lighters, etc., to Total Swings. 36.5 38.8 37.0 28.2 33.8 37.0 35.3 Hackensack River Bridge-I9,23. Lighters, Schooners, Tankers and Steamers. January.......... 294 February......... 146 March.........298 April........... 385 May...........384 June...........309 Totals.......1,816 Total Swings. 388 196 383 464 453 446 2,330 Per Cent of Lighters, etc. to Total Swings. 75.8 74.4 77.8 82.9 84.7 69.2 77.4 25 26 PROBABLE FUTURE TRAFFIC. Licenses The growth of highway travel has of late depended by States. primarily upon growth in the use of the automobile for pleasure and business purposes. There is reason to believe that future growth will follow the same tendencies. The tabulation on Page 27 shows the number of motor vehicle licenses issued from I9I4 to 1922, inclusive, in twelve States, those being selected which, in 1922, had the greatest number of motor vehicles licensed per capita. In the same tabulation are included figures which show the number of persons per licensed vehicles in each of four years. The diagram on Page 28 visualizes the tabulated figures. Examinations of the tabulation and the diagram indicate that the States selected, at least, are fast approaching a saturation point in automobile ownership. This saturation figure may be assumed for the present at four persons per licensed vehicle. In 1922 the ratio of motor vehicles to population gave New Jersey 9.2 persons per motor vehicle. In the diagram, the New Jersey line has been projected into the future along a curve which seems logical in the light of past experience. NEW JERSEY STATE HIGHWAY COMMISSION. REGISTRATION OF PASSENGER AND COMMERCIAL MOTOR VEHICLES FOR STATES OF MAXIMUM CARS PER CAPITA. STATE. 1914. 1915. 1916. 1917. 1918. 1919. 1920. 1921. 1922. California,.......... 123,504 163,797 17.74 232,440 306,916 407,761 7.89 477,450x 568,892 6.04 663,251 861,807 4.29 Iowa,............... 106,087 145,109 15.92 198,587 254,462 278.313 8.52 363,079 437,378 5.51 461,084 500,158 4.90 Nebraska,........... 16,385 59,000 21.10 101,200 148,101 173,374 7.36 200,000 219,000 5.92 238,704 256,654 4.97 Dist. of Columbia,.. 4,853 8,009 48.00 13,118 15,493 30,490 13.64 35,400c 34,161 12.811 40.625d 52,792 5.12a South Dakota,....... 20,929 28,724 21.21 44,271 67,158 90,521 6.92 104.628 120,395 5.28 119,274 125,241 5.19 Kansas,............. 49,374 72,520 23.90 112,122 159,343 189,163 9.28 227,752 294,159 6.02 289,539 327,194 5.47 Colorado,............ 17,756 28,894 30.08 43,296 87,460 83,244 10.94 104,865 129,255 7.27 145,739 162,328 6.01 Oregon,.............. 16,147 23,585 30.80 33,917 48,632 63,324 12.02 83,332 103,890 7.56 118,095 134,123 6.05 Nevada.............. 1,487 2,009 39.70 4,919 7,160 8,159 9.60 9,305 10,464 7.41 10,821 12,116 6.12 Indiana,............. 66,500 96,915 29.10 139,065 192,194 227.164 12.72 227.255 333,067 8.82 400,342 469,939 6.36 Washington,......... 30,253 38,823 32.19 60,734 91,337 117,278 11.19 148,7io 173,920 7.81 185,359 210,716 6.39 New Jersey,......... 62,961 81,848 34.78 109,414 141,918 155,519 19.47 190,873 227,737 13.87 272,994 342,286 9.71 * Persons Per Vehicle. (x) Does Not Include 10.000 Cars Operated Under Exempt Licenses. (c) Does Not Include Non-Resident Registration. (d) Does Not Include 8,439 Non-Resident Passenger Cars and 1,023 Non-JResident Trucks. (a) Does Not Include 19,926 Non-Resident Cars or 1,836 Non-Resident Trucks. 28 50 Year 29 These studies lead to the conclusion that the number Future Licenses. of licenses which will probably be issued in future years will depend upon the growth in population and within the next decade will reach a saturation point at about one vehicle for each four persons. In order to determine, therefore, the number of vehicles which will probably be licensed, the future population must be estimated. Studies of past growth down to the present time, of countries, States and cities, show conclusively that a general law is universally followed which results in the following general characteristics: Growth is at first slow, but at an accelerated rate, the acceleration itself first increasing and then decreasing so as to become negative. Thus the rate of growth eventually slows down, even though the actual increment, year by year, may be large, until finally a condition is reached when the increments themselves agree less and less until a state of approximate stability or saturation is reached, when population statistics reveal themselves in a population curve with a general "S" shape. The diagrams on pages 30 and 31 illustrate these Population statements. The curve for the City of Passaic on page Growth. No. 30 is typical. Examination of the curves for the United States and the State of New Jersey indicate that in each case the maximum rate of growth has been reached, and while the country, as a whole, and the State itself will increase in population, the rate of this increase for each decade will be at a falling rate. An estimate on this basis for the State of New Jersey for the next three decades would be as follows: Population in 1930,.................... 3,750,000 Population in 1940,.................... 4,260,000 Population in 1950,.................. 4,700,000 In other words, it is estimated that by 1950 the population of the State will have increased not quite 50 per cent over that of the year 1920. Applying the factor of 30 POPULATION CURVES mw '/ z F- 1 ---nat Sruz z A 0 x z 0 0? PASSAIC, N.J. RLOUISVILLE, KY. LOUISVILLE, KY. I ITS I I I PI ISA I T I I I PITTSBURGH, PA. YEAR I 0 MR I I STATE of VERMONT YEARSt I ~ I 4j 8 6 I I I rI STATE of KENTUCKY 3I 32 four persons per licensed vehicle to the I950 population, gives an estimated number of licenses for that year aggregating I,I75,000. Based on the number of licenses issued up to July I, I923, compared with the number which had been issued up to the same date last year, it is estimated that the total for the year I923 will be about 438,000 exclusive of motorcycles and manufacturers' and dealers' cars. By 1950, then, it is to be expected that the number of licensed vehicles will be 2.7 times that of the present year. Horse- It cannot be assumed that, necessarily highway traffic eDrawe will increase in direct proportion to the number of Vehicles. licensed motor vehicles. In this connection the factor introduced by the existence of horse-drawn vehicles must be considered. As long ago as 1912 it was found that the percentage of horse-drawn vehicles on Massachusetts State highways was 37% compared with 6I% for the year I19o9. In the City of New York the total number of horses for which the Health Department issued licenses has remained practically stationary for a considerable period. In New York City horse-drawn vehicles in 19I7 were 34~% of the total street traffic. In the State of New Jersey the total number of horses on farms as reported by the 1920 census, as of January first, was 72,621, whereas on April I5th, I9I0 the number was 88,239. Assuming that horse-drawn vehicles in I917 constituted one third of the total and that there has been no falling off, the large increase in motor vehicles means that horses now constitute only 20% of the total traffic. If motor travel doubles while horse-drawn traffic remains constant the percentage of horse-drawn travel falls to 11.1%. It may therefore be ignored without material error. Compari- A tabulation on page No. 34 shows the number of sos. automobile licenses issued in various States in comparison with the traffic on streets and highways indicated. 33 An accompanying diagram on page No. 35 visualizes these statistics. They have been plotted on logarithmic paper so that the rate of increases can be directly measured. The several lines are seen to, be fairly parallel, those for New Jersey points leing quite consistent. Measured by the slope of the lines in diagram, it is found that traffic has increased in New Jersey as the square root of the increase in the number of licenses. Considering all the points examined, it is seen that the variation runs from the one-half to the one power. Assuming that licenses will increase 2.7 times, while Traffic Assumpstreet traffic will increase as its square root, it is seen tion. that the highway travel will increase slightly more than one and one-half times. If the extreme assumption is nade that the traffic will increase as the first power of the numbl)er of licenses the highway travel will increase 2.7 times. EPxperience in the State of New Jersey as a whole does not indicate any such probable increase of 2.7 times. How-ever, the situation which we have before us is not representative of the State of New Jersey as a whole, and it is believed that the extreme assumption, that traffic in this particular district will increase as the,numbler of licenses, should be used. In this connection, the relation of New Jersey to through traffic should also receive consideration. Its highways are the connecting links for a heavy through traffic between centers of congested population at either end, as for instance, New York City to Atlantic City,New York City to Trenton, and to Philadelphia. 3-1 I IELATION OF AUTOMOBILE LICENSE5 TO STREETTRAFFIC T RE: r.TRAFF IC DATE AUTO LICE.NSE5 %iNc. LOCATIONS NUMBERi 7,INC. IATIO-OF7, I (09 40pp0rx I005o LINGOLN HNWAY 12000 4 Z4 19Z3 440'000.000 (/W J SRffY) isia 44000 Io O1'0 ( w - - /, e, F rv) 191Z 434000, 704'o NEWARK 000 136. 8 5 11 193 354oo'000 4looo (/'vff J'f Y) HUS ON 191b 104.'000 RIVE__. 18'000 22 354-000 Z40.5 FERY 0. 60o.8 39.5 (/vow YoARK) 1914 16 8'Z3 18'7 780 l 779344 362.5'o E.RVEKB-T To J E E-RYVCITY, VEH.ICtULAR rTUNEL EMTRANCl 5Ca\ es 0.5-show0n. Q uly 20 Ci23. L/'- - L i -. /,J tK iio -5 SECTION oCAST IRON TUNNELS -i. 7 *. rz. =x P920 ME PASSAIC AIM HACK NSACK RIVER!!I PL A ~ )$$~~~~~I SCION or CAS IRNTNES.~...,,,,0~CRS.S[CI o FTQI'NCH T U HNCL' /~/~~, - - '................ d-~ ~wii lV PD~rL~ PSSAC.. HAC[NSCK RVER 11 MO* - soSC ct: I I I Now" j",j: 0 21?" I I z!7 -0 Z7_ M 6 -- r Z: - m =- 7 w N 1= = i _j;r-:!! _j = = Z) "I L_ = 'l 7,, ---, - I PL,-j-' I- ___ __ ld I il -d LF, , bbih,sommobli.- I I - Oversized Fold~out Oversized Fold~out Oversize I I Date Due ____.___ _ I - _ _ 77. ___ ___ 1______ _~___ ____ ___ -1 - _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _-. —. - __________1_-1 ______ K -__ _ W 90ER15 0M228 0II 26 3 9015 02328 0269 372?. j',L New Jersey. St.ate Highway Corrain.ssion. Advrisory Board on Vehicular Tinneri Traffic Jtudy. Report of the Advisory Board. --. _ _.. _ l --