atnman s ar (Eastern ^^lanis UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA AT LOS ANGELES E. H. HARRIMAN'S FAR EASTERN PLANS MANCHURIA AND HER RAILWAYS E. H.Harriman's Far Eastern Plans By GEORGE KENNAN THE COUNTRY LIFE PRESS Garden City New York Copyright, I9I7> by George Kennan I E. H. HARRIMAN'S FAR EASTERN PLANS if^^n'7i E. H. Harriman's Far Eastern Plans Mr. Harriman's direct business rela- tions with the Far East began in the year 1905. The aid given by Kuhn, Loeb & Co. to the Japanese Govern- ment in floating its war bonds, as well as Mr. Harriman's own interest in China and Japan, based on his connec- tion with the Pacific IMail Steamship Company, early attracted his attention to that part of the world, and when in the spring of 1905, he received an urgent invitation to visit Japan, from the Amer- ican minister in Tokyo, Mr. Lloyd C. Griscom, he determined to suspend for a time his financial and railroad activities in the United States and look over per- 3 E. H. HARRIMAN'S sonally the Oriental field, with a view to ascertaining what could be done for the extension of American commerce in Far Eastern countries. 'It is important, ' he said in a letter to Mr. Griscom, "to save the commer- cial interests of the United States from being entirely wiped from the Pacific Ocean in the future," and ''the way to find out what is best to be done is to start something." This proposal to "start something" was characteristic of Mr. Harriman's methods. He did not think it necessary to perfect all the details of a plan before going to work. When he had clearly defined the object to be attained, his policy was to "start something," and then work out the scheme in accordance with circumstances and conditions as they might arise. The clearly defined object that he had in view in this case was the extension of American influence and the promotion of 4 FAR EASTERN PLANS American commerce in the Far East; but beyond this, with the details not yet worked out, was a plan for a round- the-world transportation line, under unified American control, by way of Japan, Manchuria, Siberia, European Russia and the Atlantic Ocean. Such a railroad and steamship line, if success- fully established, would unite for com- mercial purposes four of the most popu- lous countries on the globe; and would enable the United States not only to take a commanding position in the Ori- ent, but to supply the wants and direct in some measure the commercial activi- ties of hundreds of millions of people in the least developed parts of Europe and Asia. To most observers at that time a round-the-world transportation line, un- der American management, would have seemed an unrealizable dream; but Mr. Harriman had made many of his visions 5 E. H. HARRIMAN'S come true, and he believed that he could give objective reality to this one. His plan was, first, to secure control of the South Manchuria Railway, which Japan, through the fortunes of war, had just acquired from Russia. This road was then in a very unsatisfactory physical condition; but Mr. Harriman proposed to reconstruct and reequip it, with Amer- ican capital, and make it the eastern part of his proposed trans Asiatic line. Having secured this essential link, he intended to buy the Chinese Eastern, which he thought the Russians, having lost Port Arthur, would gladly sell, and then acquire transportation or trackage rights over the trans-Siberian and the Russian Government roads from North Manchuria to the coast of the Baltic Sea. These acquisitions, in connection with the Pacific Mail Steamship Company and the American railroad systems that he already con- 6 FAR EASTERN PLANS trolled, would give him a continuous line more than three quarters of the way around the globe, and it would be a comparatively easy matter, thereafter, to connect up the termini by establish- ing a line of steamers across the Atlantic from the United States to Russia. "^He anticipated most difliculty in persuading the Japanese to surrender or share the control of the South Manchuria road, which, \\'ith the Fushun coal fields ad- jacent thereto and the southern part of the island of Saghalin, were all that they had been able to get from Russia, by way of indemnity, to cover their colossal war expenditures. However, he had strong hope of success, for the reason that the Japanese were heavily in debt and urgently in need of capital for the improvement of their transpor- tation facilities and the development of their recently acquired territory on the Asiatic mainland. The purchase 7 E. H. HARRIMAN'S of the Chinese Eastern and the acquire- ment of the necessary rights over the trans-Siberian he regarded as compara- tively easy. Russia had allowed a Baltimore capitalist to build and man- age her first railroad, from St. Peters- burg to Moscow, and had even asked an American engineer to finance and con- struct the great road from the Urals to the Pacific.^ It seemed probable, therefore, that the Czar would gladly make concessions to American capital- ists if, with their aid, he could have the trans-Siberian line double-tracked, prop- erly equipped, and efficiently managed. *The proposal to finance and build the trans-Siberian railway was made by the Russian Government to a well-known railroad engineer in the United States. The terms offered were liberal, but the amount of capital required was so great that it could not be obtained without the aid, or at least the good will, of the Jewish bankers and financiers in Europe. They, incensed by the treatment of their people in Russia, declined to cooperate, and the American engineer found it impossible to organize a syndicate that would be strong enough to finance the enterprise. FAR EASTERN PLANS Preparations for the trip to the Orient were begun in July and were soon com- pleted. The party as made up con- sisted of Mr. and Mrs. Harriman, with their daughters Cornelia, Mary and Carol and their sons Averell and Ro- land; Mr. and Mrs. Robert Goelet; Mr. R. P. Schwerin, vice president of the Pacific Mail Steamship Company; and Dr. W. G. Lyle, Mr. Harriman's per- sonal physician. They sailed from San Francisco on the steamship Siberia August 1 6th and, after short stops at Honolulu and Midway Island, arrived in Yokohama on the evening of August 31st. The reception given to Mr. Harriman by Japanese officials, financiers and business men was extremely cordial. Representatives of the Bank of Japan and the famous Mitsui Company boarded the steamer as soon as the anchor was down, and when the party 9 E. H. HARRIMAN'S had landed and taken quarters at the Grand Hotel, calls and assurances of welcome were received from the presi- dent and vice president of the Yoko- hama Specie Bank; the president of the Industrial Bank of Japan; the manager of the Japan Steamship Company; Count K. Inou e one of the "Elder Statesmen"; Baron Iwasaki, Senator Watenabe and Mr. K. Mori, a personal representative of the Minister of Finance. In Tokyo on the following day, calls from distinguished Japanese continued, and invitations to dinners, lunches, garden parties and other hospitable entertainments were received from Prince Fushimi, Prime Minister Katsura, the Minister of Finance, Count Inouye, Baron Iwasaki, Baron Shibusawa and many prominent business men. On the 4th of September, Minister Griscom gave a dinner at the legation, in honor of Mr. Harriman and his party, which was FAR EASTERN PLANS attended by the most eminent officials and statesmen in the Japanese capital, including the Premier, the Minister of the Imperial Household, the Minister of Communications, the Vice Minister of Foreign Affairs, the Vice Grand blas- ter of Ceremonies, Count Inouye, Count Toda, and Viscount Inaba. In re- sponding to a toast at this banquet, Mr. Harriman hinted at the plans that he had in mind and prepared the way for future negotiations by saying to the Japanese guests : You have made great strides in the art of war; but you must look to the arts of peace for those greater achieve- ments which mean prosperity, content- ment and happiness. Your people will advance their material welfare still further and more rapidly as they realize the advantages which follow concentra- tion of effort and harmony of operation in their industrial and commercial af- fairs. From New York to the Pacific II E. H. HARRIMAN'S Coast, and from there to Japan, about ten thousand miles, the railroad and steamship lines are practically under one control and one management. The economies of operation, the comfort to the traveling public, and the advan- tages to shippers of this concentrated control can be readily appreciated. The benefits to the people of the United States which follow, directly and in- directly, are incalculable. The same policy, if followed in Japan, is bound to produce the same results. I hope the day may not be far distant when Japan- ese business men and American business men, realizing that their interests are common, may be brought into closer relationship. This was a sufficiently clear indication of Mr. Harriman's purpose to unite, if possible, the transportation systems of America and the Far East; but, un- fortunately, circumstances at that time were such as to make the accomplish- ment of this purpose unusually difficult. 12 FAR EASTERN PLANS The general outlines of the Portsmouth treaty had just been published in Japan, and the common people, ignorant of their Government's real situation, were intensely dissatisfied with the terms of peace. Their armies, they reasoned, had won every battle in which they had been engaged, and their country was clearly entitled to exact an indemnity from Russia, and to demand the restora- tion of the whole of the island of Sag- halin. The action of their Government in making peace, apparently at the suggestion of President Roosevelt, with- out securing the legitimate fruits of vic- tory, was an unpardonable exhibition of weakness for which it deserved to be condemned and punished. No hostile demonstrations were made against Americans, but on the fourth day after Mr. Harriman's arrival, an immense mob of patriotic rioters at- tacked the residence of the Home Min- 13 E. H. HARRIMAN'S ister, and when they were opposed by the poHce, began destroying poHce sta- tions, pohce kiosks, and street cars in all parts of the city. Doctor Lyle and Mr. Harriman's private secretary, while on their way to dinner at the resi- dence of the Finance Minister, attempted to pass in jinrikishas through the crowd and quickly became involved in diffi- culties. The rioters were in a mood to resent almost anything, and raising the cry of "Russians! " they began hoot- ing and throwing stones. Doctor Lyle was struck on the shoulder and slightly hurt, but he and his companion, after some delay, succeeded in reaching safely the Finance Minister's house. Although this attack did not seem to be directed against Doctor Lyle and Secretary McKnight as Americans — it was too dark to see who they were — the Govern- ment thought it prudent, at the end of the dinner, to send Mr. Harriman and 14 FAR EASTERN PLANS his party back to the legation under the protection of an armed escort, and to post guards in the legation grounds. On the following evening, September 6th, as the street disorder still continued, a dinner in honor of Mr. Harriman at the Nobles' Club was abandoned, for the reason that the Club happened to be situated near the residence of the Home Minister, which was the storm centre of mob violence. Fearing that the known agency of President Roose- velt as an intermediary in the peace negotiations might turn the hostility of the uninformed but excited populace toward Americans in general, and wish- ing to relieve Minister Griscom as far as possible from anxiety and responsi- bility, Mr. Harriman decided to take his party to Nikko for a few days, and to return to Tokyo when the Govern- ment should have suppressed the dis- order and reestabhshed normal condi- 15 E. H. HARRIMAN'S tions. On the afternoon of September 7th, in a special train furnished by the Nippon Railway Company, the Harri- man party proceeded to Nikko, where they arrived about 7 p.m. In the course of the two days that they spent in this famous resort, they visited the ancient temples and the mausolea of leyasu and lemitsu; rode through the cele- brated avenue of giant cryptomeria trees, and ascended the wild and ro- mantic gorge which leads, at a height of 4,300 feet, to the beautiful mountain lake of Chuzenji. Learning by tele- graph that the disorder in Tokyo had ceased, they returned, September nth, to the American legation, and on the following day Mr. Harriman, Mr. Goelet and Mr. Schwerin were received in au- dience by the Emperor. As Mr. Harriman could spend only a limited time in the Far East, and as he desired, before his return, to visit 16 FAR EASTERN PLANS China and Korea, he was obHged to promote his round-the-world-line enter- prise, as far as it could be promoted in Tokyo, by a "whirlwind campaign" of visits and interviews. Between the ist and 13th of September, he made the acquaintance of all the prominent states- men in Japan, including Marquis Ito, Count Okuma, the Premier and most of the ministers; and succeeded in awakening the interest and enhsting the support of several eminent finan- ciers, including especially Mr. J. Soy- eda, President of the Japanese Indus- trial Bank. Having thus accomplished all that it was possible to accomplish in a few days, he and his party started on the 13th of September for Kyoto and Kobe, leaving further negotiations for the acquirement of the South Man- churia Railway in the capable hands of Minister Griscom and President Soyeda. 17 E. H. HARRIMAN'S As Mr. Harriman's visit to China and Korea in the latter part of September and the first part of October had no de- cisive bearing upon the negotiations that chiefly engaged his thoughts, it need not be fully described. Charter- ing for his party at Kobe the commo- dious steamer Ohio III, he sailed through the Inland Sea and across Korea Bay to Port Arthur; visited the battle- fields that had given to the fortress its world-wide fame, and then proceeded to Tientsin and Peking. Leaving the Chinese capital on the 28th of Septem- ber, the party again crossed the Gulf of Pechili and Korea Bay, landed at Che- mulpo, and went by rail to Seoul, where they attended a luncheon given in their honor at the Imperial Palace and a garden party arranged by Mr. T. Megata, financial adviser of the Korean Government. On the 8th of October they took a special train to Fusan, at 18 FAR EASTERN PLANS the end of the peninsula, where the Ohio III met them and carried them to Nagasaki. After inspecting the ship- building plant and dry docks in this famous seaport, they sailed again for Kobe, proceeded thence by rail to Yoko- hama, and on the 9th of October finally returned to Tokyo, thus completing a journey that covered about three thous- and miles and occupied twenty-six days. During Mr. Harriman's absence, Min- ister Griscom did all that could be done to promote what seemed to him the best interests of the United States in the Orient by persuading the higher Jap- anese authorities to consider favorably Mr. Harriman's plans. In his inter- views with Premier Katsura, Count Inouye and the Minister of Finance, he took the ground that cooperation with America would be in every way profitable to Japan, by strengthening her credit, furnishing her with capital 19 E. H. HARRIMAN'S for the improvement of her transporta- tion system, facilitating her trade, and enabling her to develop quickly and fully the material resources of her re- cently acquired territory on the Asiatic mainland. The South Manchuria Rail- way was urgently in need of reconstruc- tion and reequipment, and there was no man in America, perhaps in the world, better qualified by experience and abil- ity to direct such work than the re- builder of the Union Pacific. Mr. Har- riman's relations, moreover, with Amer- ican bankers and financiers were such that he could secure at once the pecuni- ary support which Japan needed, but which she alone might not be able to get quickly enough to meet the emer- gencies of the situation. The suggested project would bring Japan and the United States into much closer rela- tions, both commercially and polit- ically, and if successful it would furnish 20 FAR EASTERN PLANS a large revenue to the Japanese Govern- ment and thus compensate the Japanese people for their failure to get a pecuni- ary indemnity from Russia. In his negotiations with the higher authorities, Mr. Griscom was ably as- sisted by Mr. Durham W. Stevens, who had been in the service of the Japanese Government for more than twenty years, and who had earned the respect and trust of all the Emperor's statesmen and officials.^ The result of their joint efforts was in every way encouraging. 'Mr. Stevens entered the service of the Japanese Government in 1883, as counsellor of its legation in Washington. He was soon afterward transferred to Tokyo, where he became a member of the Bureau du Protocol of the Conference for the Revision of Treaties between Japan and Foreign Powers. Between 1887 and 1904 he was engaged in various diplomatic negoti- ations, and in the latter year he was appointed adviser to the Korean Government at Seoul. He was assassin- ated in San Francisco in igo8 by a misguided Korean fanatic who regarded him as an enemy of the Korean people, although, in reality, he had always been their sincere friend. 21 E. H. HARRIMAN'S Premier Katsura said that he would give the matter immediate and serious consideration, and Count Inouye, one of the most influential of the Elder Statesmen, promised that he would call a meeting of the Minister of Finance, the Minister of Communications, and other high officials directly interested, and would try to reach a decision at once. Count Inouye himself was very favor- ably impressed and said to Mr. Griscom: *'We would be very foolish to let such a great chance slip." When Mr. Harriman returned to Tokyo, on the 8th of October, negotia- tions were so far advanced that the authorities were ready to consider promptly, if not to accept, a definite proposition; and in three or four days of strenuous activity he succeeded in getting the details settled and reduced to writing in the following memoran- dum of agreement: 22 FAR EASTERN PLANS MEMORANDUM of a preliminary understanding, dated October 12, 1905, between His Excellency Count Katsura Taro, representing the Japanese Gov- ernment, and Mr. E. H. Harriman, representing himself and associates. A syndicate to be formed to provide capital for the purchase of the South Manchuria Railway, acquired by the Japanese Government, and its appur- tenances; the rehabilitation, equip- ment, reconstruction and extension of the same, and the completion and im- provement of the terminals at Tairen (Dalny); and it is understood that the two parties are to have joint and equal ownership in the properties acquired. Permission to work coal mines (in con- nection with the railroad) to be given to a corporation by special agreement, in which there shall be joint interest and representation. The principle of development of all industrial enterprises in Manchuria shall be such that each party shall have the right to an equal interest with the other. The Manchurian railroad, with its ai>- 2i E. H. HARRIMAN'S purtenances, rails, cross ties, bridges, superstructure of all character, stations, buildings, platforms, warehouses, docks, wharves, etc., to be taken at their true value, to be determined by joint repre- sentation of each party. The organization to be made on basis that will meet exigencies and conditions as they may exist at the time. As it is deemed advisable to meet the condi- tions in Japan, the corporation is to be operated with Japanese control. Changes are, however, to be made therein from time to time as far as circumstances will permit, looking toward a final equalization of representation and con- trol. The corporation is to be organized under Japanese law. Mr. Harriman, having agreed for himself to operation through a Japanese company, the only open question is as to his associates agree- ing thereto, which he believes they will. To provide for an arbitrator, it is agreed that Mr. Henry W. Denison shall be appointed to fill that place. ^ iMr. Denison, at that time, had been legal adviser of the Japanese Foreign OfiSce for about a quarter of a 24 FAR EASTERN PLANS In case of war between Japan and China, or Japan and Russia, the rail- road shall at all times obey the instruc- tions of the Japanese Government in the matter of the conveyance of troops and war materials, and the Japanese Government is to compensate the rail- road for services rendered and protect it against agressions at all times. It is agreed that Mr. J. Soyeda, Presi- dent of the Industrial Bank of Japan, shall be the medium of communication between the parties hereto. The including of any outside interests (other) than the parties hereto shall be done only after conference and mutual agreement. With this memorandum of agreement in his possession, Mr. Harriman sailed from Yokohama in the steamship 5f- century. He had been repeatedly decorated by the Emperor for distinguished service, and enjoyed the implicit trust of both Government and people. He was born in Guildhall, Vt., in 1846 and received his higher education in the Columbian (now George Washing- ton) University. 25 E. H. HARRIMAN'S beria on the afternoon of Friday, October 1 2th. He had not accomplished all that he desired to accomplish, but he had at least "started something," and there seemed to be a fair prospect that the concession thus obtained would ultimately lead to the consohdation of Japanese and American transportation interests on the Asiatic mainland, and greatly extend and promote the com- merce of the United States in that part of the Orient. Unfortunately, while Mr. Harriman was at sea, on his way to San Francisco, all his Far Eastern plans were suddenly blocked by an obstacle that he had neither foreseen nor considered. Three days after he sailed from Yokohama, Baron Komura, the Japanese Minister of Foreign Affairs, returned to Tokyo from the United States, bringing the treaty that he and Minister Takahira had just negotiated with the Russian 26 FAR EASTERN PLANS plenipotentiaries at Portsmouth. As soon as the Harriman-Katsura agree- ment for joint control of the South Manchuria Railway was shown him, he said: "It cannot possibly be carried out, because it is inconsistent with Article VI of the treaty that we have just made with Russia." The article in question provided that the transfer of the South Manchurian road from Russia to Japan should be made only with the consent of the Chinese Government. Until, therefore, such consent should be obtained, Japan had no legal rights that could be shared with Mr. Harriman. Aside from this, Baron Komura was opposed to the Harriman-Katsura agree- ment on its merits. The Japanese peo- ple were already so dissatisfied with the Portsmouth treaty that they had re- sorted to mob violence as a protest against it, and their discontent would be greatly increased if they should learn 27 E. H. HARRIMAN'S that their Government had sold to a Japanese-American syndicate nearly all that they had gained in two years of suc- cessful war. To have made peace with- out securing a pecuniary indemnity was bad enough; but to sell more than half the fruits of their victory to the Ameri- cans, and thus throw open to foreign competition the commercial field which they had bought with their treasure and blood would seem to them intolerable. Baron Komura's arguments and in- fluence were too strong for the support- ers of the Japanese- American agreement, and in less than a week a change of policy was decided upon. When Mr. Harri- man, with his mind full of plans for the future, arrived in San Francisco, he received from the Japanese consul there the following note : " I beg to inform you that I have been instructed by Count Katsura, of my Gov- 28 FAR EASTERN PLANS ernment, to deliver the following mes- sage to you immediately upon your arrival in San Francisco : "'The Japanese Government have found it necessary to institute a more thorough investigation and examination of the questions which are the subject of memorandum of October 12, 1905, and they consequently request you to regard the memorandum as in abeyance until they are able to communicate with you more fully regarding the matter.'" Ten days later, when Mr. Harriman had reached New York, he received the following cable message from Mr. J. Soyeda, President of the Industrial Bank of Japan: Tokyo, October 30, 1905. E. H. Harriman New York. Prime Minister requests to forward following confidential message to you explanatory message handed you by Japanese consul San Francisco: 29 E. H. HARRIMAN'S "Having considered detailed report made by Minister Foreign Affairs on his return home, and having in view pacific attitude Chinese Government on railroad question, Japanese Govern- ment has come to conclusion that ques- tion embodied in memorandum, October 1 2th requires more thorough and com- plete examination than possible at pres- ent time. As you are aware, Ports- mouth treaty provides for consent of China regarding transfer to Japan of railroad property, and for agreement with Russia regulating connecting rail- road service. Until agreements with China and Russia are concluded, im- possible to determine precisely what rights and properties are included in the transfer, or what earning capacity of railroad is likely to be. Without full knowledge on these points impossible to make definite arrangements for work- ing railroad and property which would prove satisfactory to either Japanese Government or E. H. Harriman. Con- sequently Japanese Government deem wise request E. H. Harriman to regard 30 FAR EASTERN PLANS said memorandum as in abeyance for the time being. Japanese Government will proceed, as soon as possible, to conclude necessary international agree- ment. Such agreement will probably necessitate some essential change in proposed arrangement with IMr. Harri- man. But in any event, Japanese Gov- ernment will consult him before making arrangement with private capital." SOYEDA. This cable message was the result of a compromise between Baron Komura and the supporters of the Harriman- Katsura memorandum. The former ad- vocated immediate cancellation of the agreement, for the reason that it was inconsistent with Article VI of the Portsmouth treaty. In view, however, of all the circumstances, and especially of Katsura's ignorance of the stipulation regarding Chinese consent, Baron Ko- mura agreed to regard the memorandum as "in abeyance," and to leave open the 31 E. H. HARRIMAN'S possibility of confirmation at a later time, provided no objection should be raised by the Government of China. If the Japanese Minister of Foreign Affairs had been previously consulted, and had favored the agreement on its merits, he might possibly have found some means of dealing with the Chinese complication; but he had never met Mr. Harriman and had not been impressed, as had his colleagues, by the latter's forceful personality; he doubted the expediency of sharing control of the South Manchurian road with a syn- dicate about which he knew little or nothing; and he believed that the agreement, if allowed to go into ejffect at that time, would increase his own unpopularity in Japan, and would ren- der extremely difficult, if not wholly impossible, the negotiation of the treaty with China that he then had in con- templation. He therefore insisted upon 32 FAR EASTERN PLANS postponement, at least, and the other members of the ministry yielded. In this thwarting of Mr. Harriman's plans there seems to have been no inten- tional breach of faith on the part of the Tokyo authorities. It was simply a case in which one branch of the Government, acting independently, concluded a treaty that nullified action taken almost sim- ultaneously by another branch. Count Katsura did not know that Baron Komura had agreed in Portsmouth to make the transfer of the railroad con- ditional upon Chinese consent, while Komura, in concluding such agreement with Russia, was ignorant of the Tokyo memorandum. One compact or the other had to be set aside, and in holding the Harriman agreement "in abeyance" while he negotiated with China, Baron Komura thought, perhaps, that he was making the best of an accidental and unfortunate situation. But be that as 33 E. H. HARRIMAN'S it may, he started for Peking with Mr. Denison, on the 6th of November, leav- ing the raihoad matter in this unsettled state. Negotiations with the Government of China for a new treaty occupied more than a month, and Mr. Harriman was not informed of the result until the 15 th of January 1906, when he received from Mr. Soyeda the following cable message : Tokyo, January 15, 1906. E. H. Harriman, New York. Baron Komura returned on the ist of January and the new Cabinet was formed on the 7th. I have been urging the necessity of informing you what to be done, and am now asked to wire you. Count Katsura requests me to let you know that obtaining from China con- sent contemplated by Article VI Ports- mouth, N. H., treaty it was necessary to provide that Manchurian railway should be worked by company composed ex- clusively of Japanese and Chinese share- 34 FAR EASTERN PLANS holders, following in that respect terms of original concession to Russia. Count desires me to convey expression of regret that, in view of above circumstance, he is compelled to ask you regard memor- andum of October 12, 1905 as of no effect, as it is manifestly impossible to make any arrangement based on it. He adds, however, that the Japanese Government entertain a doubt as to possibility of Japanese and Chinese capital alone being sufficient to meet requirements of necessary improvements and extension of Manchurian railway, and that therefore should an occasion arise in future enabling them to open negotiations with foreign capitalists, on a different basis, a fresh consultation may be held with you. I desire to add Count has been reUeved of his position as Prime Minister, and send this telegram after consulting with Marquis Saionji, his successor. SOYEDA. In a letter written to Minister Gris- com in January, 1906, Mr. H. W. Deni- 35 E. H. HARRIMAN'S son, legal adviser of the Japanese For- eign Office, gave the following explana- tion of Baron Komura's failure to get the consent of China to the Harriman- Katsura agreement: "The Japanese Government have se- cured the consent of China to the as- signment of the railroad (the South Manchurian) between Port Arthur and Chang-chun, subject to the same terms and conditions that attached to the original grant to Russia; that is to say, the railroad is to be worked by a com- pany composed exclusively of Japanese and Chinese shareholders. You will find the original concession to Russia in Rockhill's book 'Treaties and Con- ventions with and concerning China and Korea,' pp. 207-224, and I enclose a newspaper copy of the official version of Baron Komura's agreements with China. ... If the Chinese avail themselves of the opportunity of taking half a share in the Manchurian enter- prises, a definite understanding on the 36 FAR EASTERN PLANS basis of the memorandum of October 1 2th is impracticable. There is at the present time a very strong anti-con- cession wave sweeping over China. The Government are endeavoring, by hook or by crook, to get back the grants already made. They cancel the con- cessions in case of default in any direc- tion, and they buy back the grants if no grounds for cancellation exist. In this frame of mind, and being unable to can- cel or repurchase the Manchurian con- cessions, it is more than likely that China will gladly take the one-half interest in the enterprise. In that case I believe some arrangement on new lines will be possible, but only if the negotiations are undertaken by a man of force and pres- tige like Mr. Harriman." In the spring of 1906, Mr. Jacob H. Schiff, of the firm of Kuhn, Loeb & Co., happened to visit the Far East and, at the request of his old friend and associ- ate, Mr. Harriman, made an attempt to revive the 1905 agreement; but Baron 37 16047J E. H. HARRIMAN'S Komura was as much opposed to it as ever, and after a number of conferences the negotiations were again dropped. Thus ended Mr. Harriman's attempt to get control, or partial control, of the South Manchuria Railway, as an essen- tial Hnk in his projected round-the- world transportation line. His ill suc- cess, however, did not shake his faith in the practicabiUty of the enterprise, but merely led him to consider other means of bridging the gap between the Gulf of Pechili and the trans-Siberian road. The difficulties in the way were very great. A new and independent Hne through Manchuria or Mongolia could not be built without Chinese con- sent, and the Chinese, at that time, were strongly opposed to the granting of any more railroad concessions to foreign syndicates. So far, moreover, as a line through Manchuria was concerned, they themselves were almost powerless, for 38 FAR EASTERN PLANS the reason that, in the treaty of Decem- ber, 1905, with Japan, they had agreed **not to construct any main hne in the neighborhood of and parallel to the South Manchuria Railway." Even, there- fore, if they had been willing to let Mr. Harriman build a road from the Gulf of Pechili to the terminus of the Chinese Eastern, they could not do so, because it would necessarily be a ''main line in the neighborhood of and parallel to the South Manchurian." Mr. Harriman thought, at one time, of building a road across the Gobi Desert by the old caravan route, passing through Kalgan and Urga and connect- ing with the trans-Siberian near Irk- utsk; but as the distance would be great — 1,200 miles or more — and as most of the country to be traversed was so barren as to promise little in the way of agricultural development, this scheme was soon dismissed as imprac- 39 E. H. HARRIMAN'S ticable.^ The only alternative was a new line, about four hundred and fifty miles in length, from the Gulf of PechiU to the trans-Siberian Railway at Tsit- sihar. This road, although nearly par- allel with the South Manchurian, would be separated from it by an average dis- tance of one hundred and seventy miles, and consequently would not be in the prohibited "neighborhood." In the early part of 1906, Mr. Harri- man received full reports on the trade, industry and resources of northeastern China from Colonel Holabird and Mr. Wallace, two experts whom he had sent to make investigations in the Far East; and in that and the following year he ^It is not certain, however, that even this Hne would have been unprofitable. The Chinese themselves after- ward began the construction of four hundred miles of railway along this route, and on the Peking-Kalgan section, which was completed in 191 2, the net profits of operation in 19 13 were twenty per cent, on the in- vestment. 40 FAR EASTERN PLANS was kept fully informed with regard to railroad affairs in Siberia and Manchuria by Mr. Willard D. Straight, Consul ^ General of the United States at Mukden, i "y-^- ynA i For a year or more, no opportunity to ^^<. ^. %ua promote the Far Eastern enterprise S J If 'Mr. Straight was a young graduate of Cornell Uni- versity whose acquaintance Mr. Harriman made in October, 1905, at the house of Edward Vernou Morgan, American minister to Korea. Mr. Straight was then Vice Consul General in Seoul, but he had previ- ously been correspondent of Renter's Agency and the Associated Press in Korea and Manchuria and had spent two years in the service of the Chinese Imperial Mari- time Customs at Nanking and Peking. He impressed Mr. Harriman as a young man of character and force, and one whose ability and experience might make him a valuable assistant in such an enterprise as that which was then in contemplation. When the American lega- tion in Seoul was closed, in the fall of 1905, Mr. Straight went with Minister Morgan as private secretary, and when Mr. Morgan was appointed minister to Cuba in 1906, he accompanied him to Havana. A few months later the State Department transferred him to China and made him Consul General at Mukden. On his way back to the Far East, in the summer of 1906, he spent a week- end at Arden, where Mr. Harriman discussed with him the railroad situation in Manchuria and arranged to keep in touch with him by means of correspondence. 41 E. H. HARRIMAN'S presented itself, but in September, 1907, Lord Ffrench, representing Pauling & Co., of London, and Mr. J. O. P. Bland, representing the "British and Chinese Corporation," secured from the Chinese Government the right to extend the Chinese Imperial Railway from Hsin- min-tun to Fakumen, with the privilege of building, ultimately, to the trans- Siberian at Tsitsihar. As this seemed to open the way for such a Russian con- nection as Mr. Harriman had in view, Mr. Straight wrote him, in September 1907, suggesting an alliance with the British syndicate, as a means of securing the essential link in the projected round-the-world line without the coop- eration of the Japanese. Mr. Harriman replied by cable, however, in October 1907, that, owing to the panic of that year, financial conditions were such as to prevent the raising of the necessary fimds. 42 FAR EASTERN PLANS In the summer of 1908, when the financial situation in the United States had somewhat improved, Mr. Harriman decided to make another move in the Far East, and requested Secretary Root to recall Consul General Straight, in order that American capitaUsts might discuss with him the expediency of making a loan to China for agricultural development and railroad construction in Manchuria. Meanwhile Mr. Straight had secured from Tang Shao-yi, the Chinese governor at Mukden, a signed memorandum of agreement which was to form the basis of negotiations for a loan of $20,000,000. With this sum it was proposed to establish a Manchur- ian Bank, which should cooperate with American and Chinese interests in the construction of a railway from Tsitsihar to Aigun. Then, if the bank and the American capitalists could come to an agreement with Pauling & Co. who had 43 E. H. HARRIMAN'S the right to build a road southward from Tsitsihar to Hsin-min-tun, it would be possible to construct a trunk line from the Gulf of Pechili to the Amur, and thus bridge the gap between the Pacific Ocean and the trans-Siberian road. In September, 1908, Consul General Straight returned to the United States, bringing with him the memorandum of agreement with Tang Shao-yi for the $20,000,000 loan. Through the influ- ence of Mr. Harriman, and with the cognizance and approval of the Secre- tary of State, Kuhn, Loeb & Co., agreed to undertake this loan, provided all the details thereof could be satisfactorily arranged. Late in November, Tang Shao-yi came to Washington, ostensibly to thank President Roosevelt for the remission of part of the Boxer indemnity, but really, in great part, to negotiate the proposed loan for the estabhshment of the Manchurian Bank. 44 FAR EASTERN PLANS Here again, however, Mr. Harriman's plans were blocked by events that could not possibly have been foreseen. Tang Shao-yi's appointment had been made through the influence of his friend Yuan Shi-kai, who was then Grand Councillor and head of the Chinese Foreign Office, and who was greatly interested in se- curing American capital for the develop- ment of Manchurian resources. About the middle of November, 1908, both the Emperor and the Empress Dowager of China died, and Prince Chun, an enemy of Yuan Shi-kai, became regent. This undermined Yuan's power, and led, a few weeks later, to his dismissal from ofhce. Tang Shao-yi, thus left without support at home, became discouraged, and the matter of the loan was allowed to drop. Mr. Harriman, however, continued his negotiations for the acquirement of a Manchurian Hne, both with Russia and 45 E. H. HARRIMAN'S again with Japan. In the summer of 1909, after he was stricken with mortal illness, he secured a promise from the Russian Minister of Foreign Affairs, Mr. Kokovtsef , that upon the latter's return from a trip that he was about to make to the Far East, he would recommend the sale of the Chinese Eastern Railway to American interests. But even this partial success came too late. On the 9th of September Mr. Harriman died, and there was no one left in America capable of undertaking, much less of carrying through, such a colossal enter- prise as the establishment of a round- the-world American transportation line. Whether the "Master Builder" himself could have accomplished it, if he had lived, it is impossible to say; but the results of successful accompHshment might have influenced profoundly the world's history. No one who has stud- ied Mr. Harriman's constructive and 46 FAR EASTERN PLANS administrative methods can doubt that if he had ever acquired even partial control of the trans-Siberian railway, he would have doubled or trebled its carrying capacity. Then, when the great war of 1914 came, Russia would have been able to draw heavy artillery and ammunition from Japan and Amer- ica over an efl5cient through line of great capacity, and would not have been re- duced to such straits as she was when her troops, largely without proper weap- ons and almost wholly without reserves of ammunition, were forced out of Poland and driven half way to Petro- grad. Her defeats in the war with Japan in 1904-5 were mainly due to the inadequacy of the trans-Siberian road as a means of speedy transportation, and her reverses on the German frontier, ten years later, were due, in part at least, to the same cause. During the winter and spring of every year, the rail- 47 FAR EASTERN PLANS road to the Pacific was her only open line of communication with the outside world, and it never was in physical con- dition to meet the demands made upon it. If, reconstructed and reequipped by Mr. Harriman and the American syndicate, it had been made part of a great international transportation sys- tem, it might have become the decisive factor in the struggle with Germany in 1914-1915, and might thus have changed the earlier stages, if not the whole course, of the great world war. 48 THE COUNTRY LIFE PRESS GARDEN aTY, N. Y. LOS ANGELES, CALIFORNIA 90095-1388 Return this material to the library from which it was borrowed. k. \I\JV \J\f>J UO** 9 UC SOUTHERN REGIONAL LIBRARY f ACILITY i|iii|iii|iii|iii||iiiiii||iiii III I mil II 111111111 AA 001 011 592 1 CN A