xi//#. 7- '^ THE LIBRARY OF THE UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES 'X V CUKRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS CUEEENT POLITICAL PEOBLEMS WITH PBOS AND CONS SIR J. D. lREES, K.C.I.E., C.V.O. ACTHOB OF "THr MAHOMEDA.NB.- -TOlliB IN INDIA.' - THT. REAL INDIA, " MODrBS INDIA, '■ ETC LONDON EDWARD ARNOLD 1912 All rii/hta rtii4rved. :j.t^^ PREFACE The book I was asked to write was to be entitled Pros and — Cons of Current Political Problems, with the intention that ^the attitude of both Radicals and Unionists towards those ^problems should be, as I think it is, stated. But it is _f almost impossible for any one taking an interest in politics, or ^indeed \n his country, to be without a decided opinion upon one or the other side. If it happens that I incline in the Unionist direction, the arguments on either side are never- theless given with the utmost impartiality at the end of each chapter. It would be possible to compose a book consisting only of such pros and cons, but surely it is of more interest, perhaps even of more use, for the author to give his own opinions in a plain straightforward manner, which in no way prevents the reader from studying the pros and cons, either 5 before or after he has read, or without reading, the chapters. ^ In spite of the large composite majority which exists to-day -> 2 If 5» P a a •S Ships BmLT. Battleships Arm. C. D. Vessels Armoured Cruisers 63 38 18 86 16 3 8 25 177 no G:2 lu 6 o 1 23 12 17 7 20 5 5 7 2 63 191 58 8 1 21 23 7 2 4 7 2 2 4 97 44 30 7 2 1 32 4 10 24 11 8 1 92 80 8 9 3 6 17 ? 9 10 2 11 5 23 82 7 4 3 10 30 13 11 3 3 3 3 11 12 73 4 5 3 6 2 29 9 15 3 16 3 3 2 36 28 18 6 10 17 15 13 Protected Cruisers, I. ... n. ... III. ... Unprotected Cruisers Scouts 2 11 G 6 Torpedo Vessels 4 T.B. Destroyers 67 Torpedo Boats Submarines 67 9 Ships Building. Battleships Armd. Cruisers Protected Cruisers, II. ... Unprotected Cruisera Scouts 2 1 3 Submari!:e Depdt Ship .. T.B. Destroyers 1 4 Torpedo Boats Submarines THE NAVY 5 Dilke Return. The last * issue of May, 1911, shows all the battleships and armoured cruisers not over twenty years of age on March 31st of that year, and in the case of other classes of ships, those which still retain their armaments and are not being sold for the scrap-heap. It is, however, incomplete as regards ships under construction, and does not exhibit uniformity of treatment in respect of all Powers. It appears from the figures in the table on the preceding page that as regards the two- Power standard our position remains much what it previously was, viz., 53 battleships built for this country, and 61 for Germany and the United States combined. Meanwhile nothing is being done to reduce the difference in building which obtained last year. Nine battleships were being built for us against 12 for Germany and the United States, the corresponding figures for the present year being 10 and 15. With the addition of armoured cruisers, however, the statement is somewhat more satisfactory to Great Britain, though even in that case we are relatively two ships short as compared with the figures of last year, and should be four short, but for the Colonial armoured cruisers. If both battleships and armoured cruisers are counted — and several of the latter are quite as effective in the fighting line as many of the former — the Conqueror, launched in May, 1911, is the twentieth ship of the Dreadnought class to take the water. The tale of these ships now stands : Ships Completed. — Dreadnought ; three Bellerophons ; three St. Vincents ; Neptune ; three Invincibles ; Indefatigable. Twelve ships completed. Ships Launched. — Colossus and Hercules (now undergoing trials), Orion (launched August 20, 1910), Conqueror (launched May 1, 1911), Monarch (launched March 30, 1911), and Thunderer (launched February 1, 1911) ; Lion (launched August 6, 1910), Princess Boyal (launched April 29, 1911). Eight ships launched. Ships Building. — King George V. and Centurion (laid down January 16, 1911), Ajax (laid down February 27, 1911), Audacious (laid down March 23, 1911), Qaeen Mary (laid down • U2 of 1911. 6 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS March 6, 1911). Australia and Neiv Zealand, building for the Dominions, laid down June, 1910. Seven ships on the stocks. Ships Projected. — Five large armoured ships to be built under the 1911-12 Estimates. Of these, two will be built in the Royal Dockyards and three by contract. None of the five will be laid down till towards the close of the financial year. The Conqueror has three sisters : the Orion, belonging to the first four ships of the 1909 programme, and the Monarch and Thunderer, which, like herself, belong to the four " conditional ships" of that year. The fourth "conditional ship" is the Princess Royal, launched in April, 1911. The dimensions of these ships have not yet been officially published, but it is known that the displacement will be a little more than 22,500 tons, the length between perpendiculars 525 ft., the i.h.p. 27,000, and the speed 21 knots. The armament consists of five pairs of 13-5-in. guns, all placed on the centre Une of the ship, together with twenty-four 4-in. guns. Of the heavy guns, four will fire directly ahead and four directly astern, while all ten will be available on either broadside. The torpedo equip- ment is of the 21-in. pattern, and the maximum thickness of the armour belt is 12 in. The official date for the completion of these " conditional ships " is March 31, 1912, but it appears at present improbable that they will be finished by that date, and large allotments have to be made for them in 1912-13. The fact seems to be that the Government put off till the latest possible moment the placing of the orders for these ships. It was impossible to deny that they wei*e necessary, but it was pleasing to the Little Navy group that their actual construction should be postponed. Following upon this delay came the strike in the shipbuilding trade in the autumn of 1910, and the net result is that the ships will not be ready for sea by the time indicated, unless the contractors make amends by their expedition for the delays of the administration. From answers given by the First Lord of the Admiralty in the House of Commons in the Session of 1911,* it appears that * First Lord of the Admiralty in answer to Mr. Chiozza Money, March 13, 1911. THE NAVY 7 the aggregate expenditure on new naval construction, including armaments, between 1908-9 and 1910-11 was. Great Britain, £34,531,000, and Germany, £29,365,000, and the increase in naval personnel in the year 1910-11 as compared with 1904-5, 510 for England and 19,245 for Germany ; that the German Naval Law of 1900 was amended in 1906 to allow of an increase of six large cruisers, and in 1908 for four extra battleships, at a total extra cost of £9,000,000 ; that our own net naval expen- diture was £347,000 less in 1910-11 than it was in 1904-5 ; and that the increase per cent, in expenditure on new naval con- struction between the years 1904-5 and 1910-11 was, United Kingdom 16 and Germany 166 per cent. In answer to Mr. Ashley, Mr. McKenna said that on March 31,1911, Great Britain had under construction fourteen and Germany twelve armoured ships. Mr. McKenna further said that on March 31, 1904, Great Britain had thirty completed battleships of, and over, 10,000 tons, and not more than ten years of age, as against Germany's ten, and that the corresponding figures on March 31, 1911, were twenty-four and eighteen. There is food for thought in these official figures, and in Germany itself con- siderable doubt exists as to what i-eally is the programme of cruiser construction for the years still covered by the Nav^^ Law, or how that law should bo " interpreted " in this behalf.'"' If the latest return, of which the figures are given above, be compared with that of 1904, the last year of the pre- Dreadnought epoch, it will be seen that our superiority over Germany has been reduced under every head of the account. On the last day of the official year 1903-4 in completed battleships we had fifty-five to thirty for Germany. Now the figures are fifty-three to thirty-two, but of ships under ten years of age in this class, in 1904 we had twenty-nine to Germany's ten, while in 1911 we have thirty-five to Germany's twenty-two. f * Germany has 17, Great Britain IG, battleships in Home waters, and Great Britain G in her Atlantic fleet, which may be as far oS as Gibraltar. Great Britain maintains 28 battleships in full commission iu 1911 as against 33 in 1904. Mr. Churchill, in answer to Mr. Ashley, House of Commons, November 23, 1911. t Dilke Returns, 136 (1904) aad 142 (1911). 8 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS In ships under construction in 1904 we had ten to Ger- many's six, and in 1911 we have tea to nine in Germany. In armoured cruisers the comparisoa is twenty-eight to four in 1904, against thirty-eight to ten now, so that even here the proportion in our favour has been reduced. Moreover, wo were, seven years ago, building thirteen armoured cruisers to Germany's two, the present proportion being five to three, and three of our nine Dreadnought cruisers, built and building, are to serve in the Pacific, so that only six remain for service in the North Sea, which has now become the waters of concen- tration. As regards protected cruisers, we have fallen in the time selected for comparison from a superiority of nearly five to one to a superiority of two to one, but if an age imit of twelve years be exacted, the Germans in this class had ctually double the number we possessed on March 31, 1911, nd this though our merchant marine is over four times the size of that of Germany, and our battleships, being more numerous in the larger classes, require more cruisers as auxiliaries. Lastly, in destroyers, in 1904 we had 124 to Germany's 37, while in the last return the figures are 176 to 92, a margin which might be sufldcient, but for the fact, often advanced by Admiral Lord Charles Beresford in and out of the House of Commons, that quite a large proportion of our destroyers are obsolete and useless. If in this case also the ten-year limit be applied our superiority is very small. Comparison of Docks. Germany undoubtedly is ahead of us in the number of docks she possesses capable of accommodating ships of the Dreadnought class, the importance of which, considerable enough in time of peace, is of extraordinary magnitude in case of war. The German Navy, upon the authority of a bulletin of the German Navy League, which is apparently correct in its facts, possesses five complete di-y docks capable of taking the largest vessels— two at Kiel and three at Wilhelmshaven. A floating dock of a capacity of 40,000 tons is uuder construction at the THE NAVY 9 Howaldt Works at Kiel. In addition to these Admiralty docks there are the privately owned " Kaiser Dock " at Bremer- haven, and the Blohm and Voss 35, 000-ton floating dock at Hamburg. There are also under construction a second dock at Bremerhaven and a 35,000-ton floating dock at the new Vulcan works at Hamburg. The British Navy possesses in home waters only one single war harbour, at Devonport, with adequate docking facilities for Dreadnoughts — though Devonport has three large docks. The only other Admiralty dock capable of taking a Dread- nought is at Portsmouth. True, there are seven private docks, but, with the single exception of Hebburn, on the East Coast, all lie in the industrial and navigation centres of the north, so that the Channel, and especially the East Coast, are compara- tively denuded of docks. Two 32,000-ton floating docks are, how- ever, building for the Government — one at Portsmouth and one at Sheerness — and four dry docks (Haulbowliue, Portsmouth, and two at Rosyth on the East Coast), while a large dry dock is planned at the mouth of the Humber. Personnel. Another by no means unimportant consideration is the personnel of the two fleets. The increase in the five years 1901-5 to 1909-10 was upwards of 15,000 in Germany and the United States, and nearly 5,000 in France, while in Great Britain there was actually a decrease of nearly 2,500 men. Political Seamanship. The belief that the Government does not accept the judg- ment of the Sea Lords, but endeavours to whittle away their programme, is widespread, and the public will not readily forget the disclosures of Mr. Asquith* and Sir Edward Grey,f following so soon upon Lord Fisher's statement at the Mansion House, that they might sleep soundly in their beds at • House of Commons, Navy Estimates, March 16, 1909, pp. 955-963. t House of Commons, Naval Policy, Vote of Censure, ]March 29, 1909, pp. 53-70. 10 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS night. At any rate, there is a consensus of opinion that if there be such a person as a political Sea Lord,' he should " be cast out hke an abominable branch." As to the Government, the pronouncements of the Prime Minister, the Foreign Secretary, and the First Lord of the Admiralty have been suitable to the high and responsible positions they hold, but it would be affectation to ignore the fact that besides the Civil Lord's speech, to which reference is made below, disquieting and unjustifiable speeches are delivered without any repudiation on the part of their superiors by subordinate members of the administration. The Civil Lord of the Admiralty, Mr. Lambert, in November, 1910, said that in our pre-Dreadnought fleet, carrying 152 12-in. guns against 40 11-in. guns of the German pre- Dreadnought fleet, we had an incomparably stronger factor than Germany, that "pre-Dreadnought ships were worthy to stand in the battle line," and that he wished to banish for ever the panicmonger and the politician. Among the first class he would abolish his own Prime Minister and Foreign Secretary, who honestly informed the country how desperately serious the situation was, and among the politicians he himself would have to go, for his statement as to the value of the pre-Dreadnought fleet in the fighting line facing a German Dreadnought fleet in the North Sea was a piece of pure politics, and calculated to mislead upon a vital issue ! No serious student disputes the fact that the pre-Dread- nought fleet is rapidly becoming, and even in a year or two will have become, obsolete. The Germans, with the completion of the three Dread- noughts of 1911, will have also completed the substitution of ships of that class for the older types of battleships through- out their high sea fleet, both squadrons of which — one at Wilhelmshaven and another at Kiel, both equally available for the North Sea and the Baltic — will consist entirely of Dreadnoughts. The widening of the canal at Kiel, to be completed next year, is another fact which must not be over- looked. THE NAVY 11 SUBOBDINATE MINISTERS, LABOUR PaRTY AND Little Navy. Again, the Under-Secretary for the Home Department, forsaking his last, said that, " Considering the ships in the two navies, any criticism should be on account of our exces- sive strength, rather than on account of our weakness; " and the Under-Secretary of State for the Colonies — now of War — declared at Liverpool that "if war come and the Dreadnoughts fight and we get the worst of it, there are other war vessels in the Navy to be taken into account. The man who fears for his country must have forgotten that we have again and again shown that we can fight even in a numerical inferiority." Such utterances as these, though wholly contrary to those of the party leaders in the Government and to the facts of the situation, are most mischievous when they pass without comment or rebuke. Again, Mr. Asquith's Government has paid the utmost deference to the Labour Party, and Mr. Keir Hardie, its eiewhile leader, who, in that capacity at any rate, must be regarded as a responsible politician, has actually stated on the platform " that no sane German, no responsible authority in Germany dreamt for a moment of the possibility of invading Great Britain. The Labour Party's representatives, ' who wore then on the point of going to Germany ' meant to say to their comrades and co-workers, ' You and we have no quarrel ; we belong to the same class and have the same interests ; let us bind ourselves together not to fight each other, but to fight the common enemy, the capitalist system.' " At the same time the Labour Leader scoSed at the " Liberalism of the Asquiths, the Greys, the Haldanes, and McKeunas," and wrote that " the Labour Party would, it hoped, strongly oppose the Naval Estimates." Here we have the Government, when proposing to do its duty by the country, opposed by its own subordinate ministers, and by supporters of that class, which it has been specially solicitous to please. And in neither case has a word of repudiation escaped the lips of a single one of the leaders. A perplexed public may well wonder which is the really authoritative utterance. 12 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS Mr. Barnes, at the time leader of the Labour Party, after a visit with an official delegation of his friends to Germany, said upon his return "that the idea of war between the two countries simply excited hilarity ! " But within a few weeks of this sapient utterance the German National Labour leader, Herr Basserman, said in the Reichstag that " Germany must go on and follow England, or her Navy would be absolutely outclassed." Navy and Employment. It might have been expected that Labour Members of ParUament would remember that the million spent on a battleship gives active employment to a hundred industries and tens of thousands of workmen, and in point of fact in dockyard constituencies individually they heartily recognise that which collectively they strenuously deny. The Germans do not hesitate to avail themselves of periods of economic depression for pressing on ship-building, in order to obtain better terms for Government, and in order to prevent the dismissal of hands owing to want of orders. One of the leaders of the German Socialists, Herr Sudekum, lately said in the Reichstag : — "Anybody who really knew England know that English anxiety, although it might be exaggerated, was perfectly genuine. The English point of view was quite iutclligiblc. Germany's position and Germany's minute colonial possessions did not justify her largo naval expenditure, from which it could only be inferred that German armaments were directed against England. England, consequently, endeavoured to secure herself as far as possible, and so Germany supplied the reactionaries in England with a pretext for the perpetual increase of the Navy. They would do well to note that hand in hand with the fear about Germany went Protection. If German armaments produced the return of a Con- servative Government, the first result would be a protective tariff. That would reduce the Gorman Protectionists of to-day to despair, because there was no doubt that Protection was tolerable only so long as there remained in the world at least one great Free Trade country. If all countries without exception went over to Protection on a high scale, then Protection would lose its meaning." Nor was even M. Monis, the successor of the great Prime Minister of France, M. Briand, though the Socialists had THE NAVY 13 placed him in power, willing to be misunderstood on this all-important subject. French Government and Little Navy. On taking ofi&ce in March, 1911, in addressing the Chamber, he said : — "Animated by the same sentiments which inspire the Governments of the other Powers, and, like them, seeing in a strong military establishment one of the essential guarantees of peace, we shall make our forces on land and sea the subject of our peculiar solicitude." The fact is, of course, that no Power which is to hold her own in Europe, and least of all England, can afford to neglect her Navy. Nor should the Socialists, altruists, and Eadicals forget that the most powerful Navy in the world, in the hands of the most peace-loving nation in the world, is the greatest power for peace in the world, and to reduce the standard of that Navy below what the responsible advisers of the Government consider necessary for the defence of our country, would be a blow struck at the cause of peace, at the price of food, at the prosperity of our trade and commerce, if not at the very existence of Great Britain. Dominions. Colonial statesmen did not shut their eyes to the facts. Mr, Borden, now Premier and lately leader of the Opposition in the Canadian Parliament, adversely criticised the defence proposals of Sir Wilfrid Laurior's Government, pointing out that the Admiralty experts at the Defence Confer- ence had recommended the establishment of fleet units by the great Dominions. Australia, with a population 2,000,000 less than Canada, had accepted this recommendation, while New Zealand had undertaken to furnish one Dreadnought. The Canadian Government, however, only proposed to create a fleet consisting of four ships of the Bristol type, one of the Boadicea type, and six destroyers, to be divided between the Atlantic and Pacific coasts, at a cost to Canada of £2,338,000. There was no chance of the Canadian Navy 14 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS being effective within fifteen years. But the crisis would come within five— probably within three— years. Great Britain, through her ablest and wisest sons, had said within the past few months that the hour of peril was fast approaching. Mr. Borden said the Germans were supreme on land, and now they boldly challenged British supremacy on the ocean. He insisted that Germany's programme was expressly directed against Great Britain, citing in proof of his statement the following extract from the German Naval Bill of 1900 : " Ger- many must possess a battle fleet so strong that a war with her would, even for the greatest naval Power, be accompanied with such dangers as would render that Power's position doubtful." Germany, the dominant miliiary Power upon land beyond all challenge, would not be satisfied until she had successfully wrested the control of the seas from Great Britain. That meant either the dismemberment of the Empire or its relega- tion to a condition of inferioi-ity which would lead to its early dissolution. Mr. Borden has now rejected Sir W. Laurier's scheme, and intends to make proposals " useful alike to Canada and the Empire," to be adopted after consulting the Canadian electorate. Invasion. The question whether an invasion of England is feasible has naturally much occupied naval and military experts. It is assumed on behalf of the supporters of the position of the present Govei'nment, that, to take things at their worst, a sufficient force is available in England to defeat 70,000 picked foreign troops at a time when our Regular Army is abroad and the Special Reserve has been largely depleted in order to fill its ranks for active service, and to stiffen the weak garrisons at Gibraltar, Malta, Egypt, Colombo, Singapore, and Hongkong. But it would take more than 150,000 Territorials to deal with an invading army of half that number, and more than remain out of the 270,000 Territorials we have would be required for garrison duty and for local defences. The object of the German invaders must be to obtain for a limited period, two or three days, the local command of a THE NAVY 15 portion of the North Sea sufficient in area for the operations at the moment in hand, and it is by no means certain that Great Britain can count on having double the number of the enemy's fleet at such a point at the psychological moment, for there are allies available and v^ithin reach for Germany. Britain's naval forces may well be scattered and unavailable without fatal delay ; and in no long time her numerical superiority over a Triple Alliance fleet in first-class battleships will have dis- appeared. This is obvious, for a two-keels-to-one policy cannot be maintained if our relative expenditure on con- struction and armament and that of the Germans continues at the rate of £34,500,000 to £29,500,000, which obtain d etweon 1908-9 and 1910-11. Why, too, should it be assumed that while we shall be well posted as to the enemy's plans he will be without infor- mation regarding our own positions and intentions ? Why ignore the fact that the Germans have fast steamers of upwards of 16,000 tons in which to transport troops, and could make a short crossing while the battle fleets were engaged ? Why rely on our coast submarines even in water in which they cannot operate ? Why ignore the probable action of the powerful German Navy, forget the surprise at Port Arthur, and pretend oblivion of the enormous advantage of the initia- tive which will rest with any invader, but never with us, how- ever imperative for our preservation, with the British democracy in its present temper? Why should we conceal the fact that in our own naval manoeuvres the weaker attacking fleets have often been successful ? Germany and Austria. How is it possible to forget that Germany's friends are bound to her by a firm alliance, ours by an Entente as senti- mental in character as our own domestic policy, and why not acknowledge that the word supremacy hardly applies at present to our position at sea, and that we cannot maintain such supremacy as we have in the Pacific, Atlantic, and Mediterranean without leaving unprotected the British Isles, whose inhabitants are not, and refuse to be, trained to arms, 16 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS while vote-seeking politicians assure them that they are safe without making the sacrifices which other countries wilhngly suffer to ensure safety ? It is, moreover, clear that in this country the importance of the Austrian alliance to Germany is hardly appreciated. At the close of 1912 Austria will have seven of the most powerful battleships in the world, and six of older pattern, which would dominate the coast of Italy, and British possessions in Cyprus, Malta, Egypt, and the Suez Canal, if ever we were again forced to abandon the Mediterranean. Already the Austrian Mediterranean fleet is not much inferior to our own in the inland sea, which consists of six battleships, four armoured cruisers, and ele-^en destroyers of antiquated type. The thirteen Austrian ships with their flotillas of destroyers and torpedo-boats will practically form a squadron of the German armada, and would have nothing to fear from France so long as the German is superior to the French army. The Italian coast-line would be at the mercy of the German- Austrian combination, and the dual monarchy could make her own terms in the Near East. The Austrians are good seamen, their naval personnel can be extended to 30,000 men, and their ships and their organisation are all in first-rate order. The theory that Britain cannot be invaded, though com- fortable and convenient to ministers who depend on Irish, Socialist, and Labour votes, found no favour with our greatest statesmen. After the surrender of Cornwallis, Pitt said on February 17, 1783, " I am sorry to say that we discovered the fabric of our naval superiority to be false and baseless " ; and in 1786 he said, " The opinion of the sea officers was that in certain circumstances it was possible for the enemy to land." On July 22, 1803, after a succession of great naval victories, he declared that " it is admitted that our Navy, great and powerful as it is, cannot be relied on with absolute cer- tainty to prevent an invasion." This was when our Navy was equal to the combined navies of all Europe ! * Again, the • Captain Mahan's " Influence of Sea Power on the Fr-^nch Revolu- tion." THE NAVY 17 late Lord Goschen declared in the House of Lords in July, 1905, that he "declined altogether to give a guarantee against invasion because there vpas so much of the element of the unforeseen, which could not be left out of consideration in a matter of this supreme importance " ; and on November 23, 1908, Lord Crewe said in the House of Lords that " it was impossible to announce an actual guarantee against the landing on these shores of an invading force." We in England, who are lulled into supine ease by assertions that invasion is impossible, might learn something from General Lee's calculation that Japan could land 300,000 men on the Californian coast in twenty-two days. Pitt, who would have been dumfounded could he have seen a situation like the present in England, considered the duty which devolved upon a British Minister to be " to array the loyal, sober-minded, and the good in defence of the venerable constitution of the British monarchy " ;'^' but though it is well known that this country needs 600,000 Territorials for a second line, unless the Navy, and indeed the Kegular Army, are to be diverted in war-time from their legitimate duties, thera is apparently no prospect of a force of these dimensions being raised. It has been estimated by Dr. Eiesser that the cost of a land war to Germany for three million men under arms would be £900,000 a day, aud as the greatest financial Power besides ourselves, France, is our own friend, if not ally, a short, sharp and decisive struggle is necessary for the Germans, to whom a long dragging war is impracticable, because the nation's existence depends on the uninterrupted activities of commerce aud industry.! England is not only Germany's greatest rival, but she alone, if not crushed in the beginning by a surprise at sea, has the power to force her enemy to fight the long-drawn war so dreaded by German strategists. The power of England to bring a contest to an end would be immensely impaked by the proposed renunciation of the * Epitaph in Guildhall. t " Der Kreig iu der Gogenwart," Deutsche Rundschau, January, 1909. 3 18 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS right of capture at sea. Captain Mahan has pointed out in a recent letter to The Times that the system, which it is now proposed to abandon, enables a belligerent nation to bring almost decisive pressure to bear on an enemy by completely disorganising the conditions of business. "To say," he write.s, "that the greatness and intricacy of modern industrial and commercial development will cause the pressure hereafter to be greater is reasonably probable, and may safely be prophesied. " To bring the pressure of war to bear upon the whole population, and not merely upon the armies in the field, is the very spirit of modern warfare. It may safely be asserted to be least inhuman of all the inevitable inhumanities of war, because the danger of it deters from war ; and because, while hostilities are proceeding, it tends most to make the war unpopular and so to hasten peace. " As a matter of European politics, the right of maritime capture is the principal, if not the only, strong weapon of offence posset-sod by Great Britain against the nations in arms of the Continent." It was perhaps to be expected in these circumstances that continual pressure would be, as it is, exercised by extreuii Radicals and Socialists to induce England to consent I indeed to lead the movement for, the abolition of this righi, to her own exceeding great loss and detriment. Russia and Japan. Mr. Gladstone in 1878 said that the strength of England would not be found in alhances with great military Powers, but in the efficiency and supremacy of her Navy — " a Navy as powerful as the navies of all Europe." While it must be admitted that this ideal is no longer capable of realisation, the great lesson of the Russo-Japanese war is the appalling risk to an island Power of an inadequate margin in battleships. In three days the Japanese lost a third of their battleship strength owing to the operation of the enemy's mines, and had the Russians possessed a good naval commander the issue of the war might have been different in the end. Twice during this fateful struggle the issue of battle hung upon a lucky shot, and the loss to Japan from the depredations of the Vladivostock cruisers was greater than would have beeu the cost of the additional battleship^ requii-ed THE NAVY 19 to sink or put them out of action early in the war. But Eussia, which did not suffer the loss of a square mile of her territory, far less the dismemberment of her empire, as the result of defeat, has now adopted, out of her comparative poverty, a battleship building programme of £30,000,000, providing for eight Dreadnoughts in addition to those to be launched in 1911, for the necessary complement of submarines and destroyers, for two dockyards, and a naval base. Finance and Arbitration. Continental Powers do not hamper themselves with pedantic regulations in respect of the financing of their measures of defence. Neither in Russia nor in Germany have operations to be terminated or postponed, surpluses surrendered, and deficits avoided, irrespective of the business aspect of the transaction, to tit in with the machinery of Appropriation Bills. In competing with countries which build ships out of loans or their equivalent, our Admiralty should be freed from checks which interfere with the uninterrupted prosecution of a ship-building programme. The Admiralty expenditure should, of course, be subjected to a close and continuous audit, but the Empire's safety is a higher consideration than an occasional deficit for an individual year. Our practice as regards contracts also requires revision. A contractor will not incur a large outlay in laying down plant unless he has a reasonable belief that it will be employed, and in certam cases the only orders which can be given for its use and can ensure a return of the capital expended must come from Government, which alone requires heavy armour plates, large forgings for guns, and complicated machinery for gun-mountings. Our private ship-building firms complain, perhaps with some reason, that their position is not sufficiently considered by Government, with which they are in effect in partnership in respect of carrying out naval programmes of construction. The arbitration agreement negotiated "^'^ with the United States cannot affect the position of our Navy, as it is not against * Not yet passed by American Senate, or ratified by British Parliament. 20 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS America we are building ships, and no European Power except France has so far treated the arbitration question with other than a poUte and non-committal interest. America, with a quarter of the globe to herself, is in a wholly different position from nations crowded together in Europe with manifold conflicting interests therein, and in other parts of the world. Not, however, that she has been blind to the necessity for armaments. Indeed, when she began the construction of a battleship of 21,000 tons called the Pacificator, President Roosevelt said : " Remember that the prime use of the United States Navy is to avert war. The Navy is the cheapest insurance Uncle Sam has. It is the surest guarantee against our ever being drawn into war ; and a guarantee efifective just in proportion as the navy is efficient." Every word of this speech is of equal, nay, of greater, application to our own case. Arbitration treaties are well enough as sacrifices to the divinity of Peace, which we all worship ; but how could Germany be expected to agree to a halt in ship-building which would perpetuate a status in which we hold the first place at sea, with all the vast actualities and potentialities implied in such a position ? Moreover, as regards the volume of the Naval Estimates and the resulting financial pressure, in the first place, the whole amount is spent on British insurance in Great Britain, to the advantage of her industries, and to the employment of British labour, and the figure of even 50 millions, as the insurance on our mercantile marine, amounts to a charge of no more than 2 per cent, as agaiust 11-5 per cent, in Germany, and 25 per cent, in America for the same purpose. The British Government has, moreover, to face the greater cost of volun- tary service, pensions, and other non-eflfcctive charges, the larger number of ships in commission, and the longer time spent in sea training. The able military correspondent of The Times wrote : — '•= * The Titws, January 10, 1911. THE NAVY 21 "Estimates of 60 millions for tho Navy will give you security ; so will your present NaN-y Estimates, plus national service, which will cost you an additional eight millions or so. But, if you will neither pay nor play, the great business of the British Empire will soon go into liquida- tion. Where in history can you find mention of a people which refused personal service and effort and were successful in the end against a rival prodigal of both ? " In the days of Cromwell, by the unanimous verdict of history one of the greatest rulers England ever had, the Navy Estimates amounted to half, whereas at present they are no more than a quarter, of the annual revenue. But half was cheerfully paid, after a Dutch Admiral had sailed up the Thames, with a besom at his masthead 1 Navy and Social Reform. It is the constant efifort of advanced Radical and Socialist Members of Parliament to prove that any kind of social reconstruction that would improve the condition of the working classes is incomoatiijle with perpetual increase of naval expenditure, and they would not allow for any normal and progressive enhancement of the cost of insurance pro- portionate to the increase in the amount of national assets to be protected. But we are right in the path of a Power which is at once the greatest military counti'y and one of the greatest naval Powers on the Continent, possessed of allies bound to it by the close bonds of sympathy and interest, and of the even greater asset of pure and self-denying patriotism. It is not now a question of defending an outpost of the Empire near the Oxus or the Indus. The Germans will say, as the Mahrattas did of the decaying Mogul Empire, " Strike at the heart and the withered limbs will fall," and already they see in no distant future the once all-powerful mistress of the seas, wearing out an opulent dotage by the sufferance of a younger, stronger, and more patriotic power. Declaration of London. And, indeed, there are not a few who saw in our acquiescence in the Declaration of London an unwelcome sign of degeneracy. This instrument has given rise to a considerable amount of 22 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS not unnatural alarm and distrust in the minds of the public and those best acquainted with the problems involved, and it would be strange if agreements of this character entered into between Great Britain, the greatest naval Power, and other Powers were not designed to place impediments in the way of the use by the former of that arm in which she is most powerful. Indeed, it must be admitted that the case against the Declaration is very strong.* It is disapproved by almost all naval officers, though those on active service are necessarily muzzled, and the Chambers of Commerce and Shipping have lifted an almost unanimous voice of condemnation, in which it is of less importance that some of our greatest jurists concur. The vote in favour of ratification given at the Imperial Conference can hardly be regarded as conclusive, or as passed in view of the arguments on the other side, for only the Government case was before the representatives of the Dominions, which, of course, had no share in the Hague Convention, when many petty little States recorded a vote, nor will they have any judge on the Tribunal, to which thirty-six minor States — six of which, as Mr. Bowles has pointed out, have defaulted — will each send a member and may vote, to the prejudice of the great trade and Imperial defence of our Dominions. The Commonwealth representatives proposed a resolution regretting that the Dominions had not been consulted, con- demning the inclusion in Article 2-t of foodstuffs, and the adoption of the provision permitting the destruction of neutral vessels. Sir E. Grey is believed, liowever, to have convinced the Conference that the Declaration must be accepted or rejected as a whole, that no amendments were possible, and that acceptance was practically obligatory. The only con- cession he could make was that for the word " enemy," " enemy government " should be substituted. It was formerly the practice of the strongest naval Powers to object to the sinking of neutral prizes, and such, therefore, could not, unless the Declaration came into force, become • The rejection of the Naval Prize Bill by the House of Lords on Dec. 12, 1911, renders ratification of the Declaration doubtful. THE NAVY 23 a regular incident of naval warfare, for such Powers brought almost irresistible pressure to bear against those perpetrating these acts of destruction. Sir Edward Grey, while speaking on the Declaration, rather gave his case away when he said, " If we refused at this stage to agree to its ratification it would be a great blow to the confidence of other Powers in us, as a Power prepared to forward arbitration. As a power anxious to co-operate with the United States in reference to arbitration, it was essential that we should go through with the Declaration of London." • It would be diflficult to give a less cogent reason, even if it could, as it cannot, be accepted that the United States make ratification a condition of arbitration. An English Foreign Minister, speaking on a subject closely connected with our naval power and position, might well remember that " la raison du plus fort est toujours la meilleur." The agitation against the Declaration derives considerable support from the attitude of Germany in respect of this instru- ment. In a leading article in the Haynhurger Nachrichten* the following paragraphs find place : — " A temporary disturbance in the working of the oversea transport of food would bring about the severest crisis in Great Britain, and not only in the direction of raising the price of food commodities, but also a financial overthrow and collapse. " England carried out her last important sea battle a hundred years ago, and since that time she has become more %-ulnerable, and it is this which accounts for the nervousness of the entire English people. The posi- tion of Germany, which is yearly becoming less vulnerable, is more and more appar^-nt to Englishmen. " The formation of the North Sea is one naturally favouring a blockade of German eea traffic, and even for what the English call ' the high-sea blockade,' by the closing up of the arm of the sea between Scotland and Norway. This is what they call ' sealing the North Sea.' " But by the Declaration of London such a blockade may not be carried out, as by Article I. it is provided that a blockade must not extend beyond the ports and coasts belonging to or occupied by the enemy ; and Article 18 says the blockading forces must not bar access to neutral ports or coasts. In Germany we have received these decisions with exceptional pleasure." • June 18, 1911. 24 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS The feeling against the Declaration entertained iu naval and commercial circles is shared by the insurance interest and by the City of London, wherein the underwriters of Lloyds decided on July 24, 1911, to abolish all free war risks, partly because of the threatening situation in Morocco, and partly because of the unsatisfactory position of neutrals revealed by the Declaration of London, and aggravated by its confused and conflicting causes. The most objectionable provisions of the Declaration have been concisely abstracted by Mr. Atherley-Jones in the following summary : — 1. The substitution of an Interaational Court of Appeal for diplo- matic action will upon a number of vital questions of Prize Law pre- clude neutrals from attempting to arrest a continuing mischief, whereby irreparable injury may be inflicted upon a belligerent and great loss upon the carrying trade of neutrals. 2. The destruction of neutral prizes, until the Russo-Japanoso War practically unknown to the history of naval warfare, never sanctioned by the Prize Courts of this country, and generally condemned as con- trary to the elementary principles of humanity, has now, by the Declaration, received the formal sanction of Great Britain. It is a provision which can be of little service to a country which possesses ports in almost every sea, but otherwise to a nation like Germany or Russia not similarly circumstanced. 3. The Declaration sanctions, under illusory provisos, the conversion of merchantmen into men-of-war upon the high seas. 4. It abolishes the practice of pre-nmption. 5. The security of articles ancipitis tisus, including foodstuHs when in transit in neutral bottoms to ports other than those of naval and military equipment, is imperilled by the substitution of vague rules for the well-established customary law, and the fate of the neutral ship carrying corn to Hull or Liverpool is left to the discrimination of the naval commander, perhaps corrected when the war is over by the International Court of Appeal, vr-hether or not these ports are "bases of supply " to tlie armed forces of the enemy ; or again to his dis- crimination whether or not he may treat it as a " fraud " and so seize her when she is on her way to a neutral port within easy reach of a belligerent port to which from the neutral port she may proceed under convoy. Before leaving the Navy it is needful to repeat that we are daugeiously deficient in proper organisation for war, of which THE NAVY 25 proof was afforded in a recent crisis. It is believed, however, that Mr. Winston Churchill, who has recently become First Lord, proposes to create a war staff at an early date.* May he remember, " qui mare teneat, eum necesse rerum potiri." Arguments For and Against a Reduced Navy. FOR. 1. The international conscience increasingly revolts from war, and the star of arbitration is ever in the ascendant. 2. The nations of the world more and more realise that their revenues should be spent on social reform, and not on armaments. 3. Our Colonies and Dependencies are preparing to defend themselves, and in an increasing degree arc becoming able to provide this service. 4. It would be better to lose our Colonies than to postpone or abandon the beneficent projects of social reform, which are the chief end of civilised government in the twentieth century. 5. Previous programmes of construction and expenditure, which are eclipsed by the latest vote, proved sufficient for the maintenance of British peace and the British Empire. There has already been an increase of nearly thirteen millions in six years, and of nineteen millions in the preceding ten years.f 6. It is clear that there is a desire on the part of the public that Parliament should be required to spend less on naval and military organisation. 7. Our Navy is, according to the Dilke Return, 542,000 tons in excess of the tonnage of the combined navies of the United States and Germany. 8. The Territorials are an efficient home defence army. No reduction has been, but such should be, effected on that account. 9. Increasing difl&culty is experienced in raising money for great armaments. 10. As our Dreadnought and super-Dreadnought tonnage has increased, our pre-Dreadnought tonnage should have been decreased, and less ships of this class kept in commission, whereby a saving in personnel would have been, and such should now be, effected. 11. Our superiority in heavy guns, in men, and in tonnage is above the two-Power standard. There is little or no reason to fear a combination of the United States with Germany or with France against Great Britain. Germany, France, and the United States are the three strongest Powers to be taken into consideration in fixing the two- Power standard. Our relations with them, and theirs with one another, are the factors to be • This has been done. t Parliamentary Debates, March 13, 1911, p. 1884. 2fi CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS considered in this connection. We have no actual or potential diSerence with those Powers, as we had with France and Russia in the days of their alliance, and before the creation of the Triple Entente. 12. The Labour Party, which in every country is increasing in strength and influence, favours reduction and arbitration. 13. It is we, and not Germany, who set the pace in building. We should reduce, whether other Powers follow or not, and set a good example, 14. " Warlike preparations familiarise ideas which, when familiar, lose their horror, and light an inward flame of excitement, of which, when it is habitually fed, we lose the consciousness.'" 15. The possession of great armaments directly leads to the making of occasions for their use. AGAINST. 1. The British Navy is far weaker than it was a century ago relatively to the growth and development of the population, wealth and territory- of the Empire, and to the increase in naval power of other nations. In 1801 the total trade (exports and imports) of the Empire was valued at 79 millions, and in 1903 at 2,022 millions, and the total British tonnage increased between 1800 and lOOS from l,85G.OOO to 13,183,000.1 2. The introduction of machinery has neutralised the previously existing advantage the British derived from their superior seamanship. Other nations are equally proficient in working machinery. 3. The blockading of an enemy's fleet is far more difficult now that the blockading ships have to be more frequently relieved, owing to the enormous consumption of coal by modern battleships, and o.ving to the universal use of steam, which makes escape from the blockade much easier than in former days. 4. Our naval reserve of 55,828 men is insufficient, and of these only 30,000 are fully trained men, as against 100,000 of the Gorman naval reserve, all of whom have served in the active Navy. J 5. The difficulty of providing for a naval reserve is immensely increased by the great proportion of Asiatics and foreigners in the mercantile marine, from which the na%'al reserve is chiefly recruited. G. The total annual value of the sea-borne commerce of France. Russia, Germany, and Italy compares with the value of British commerce as 95 compares with 100. Their mercantile tonnage is as 44 to 100, and yet their naval expenditure per ton of shipping is three times as great as that of Great Britain. § 7. In the case of Great Britain, her trade and commerce include her food supply. No less than 73 per cent, of our imported wheat and flour * Lord Morley's "Life of Gladstone." t " The Briton's First Duty," p. 4i. J Ibid.,^. 41. § Ibid., p. 45. THE NAVY 27 comes from foreign countries, and only 27 per cent, from British Dominions. 8. The British Navy, unlike the navies of other Powers, is hampered by the absence of a sufficient home defence army to set it free for the performance of its proper duties. The British Navy, besides protecting our foreign possessions, our commerce, and food supply, has to protect our coaling stations all over the world. 9. During the war in South Africa nothing but the superior strength of the British Navy saved us from the intervention of foreign Powers. 10. A comparison of the total British warship tonnage with that of other Powers is wholly illusory, with the exception of so much as relates to capital ships. 11. Our present superiority is chiefly in pre-Dreadnoughts, which have become, or are rapidly becoming, obsolete. 12. Any reduction in the number of trained bluejackets would be most unfortunate, as each one is the product of long training, and is very hard to replace. Probably no individual Briton is of greater value to the State than the efficient bluejacket. 13. Our reductions in naval programmes between 1906 and 1908 were met by an acceleration on the part of Germany, resulting in the serious disturbance of our relative positions and in subsequent inevitable increases in construction. The Germans in that period dovibled the estimates of the Fleet Law. • 14. Our offer to make proportionate reductions in concert with other Powers mcit with no support at the Hague Conference. 15. The British Navy is, and always has been, an instrument of peace, and not of war. Arguments For and Against the Declaration of London. FOR. 1. This subject has been more fully debated than any other upon which an international agreement has been reached. 2. The Dominion Prime Ministers have given it a general approval. It was impossible to refer to a Royal Commission, or to any such body, for opinion external interests such as are treated by the Declaration. 3. The experience of the Russo-Japanese War showed the necessity for an International Prize Court, in view of the present uncertainty respect- ing the treatment of neutral vessels, and the difficulty of obtaining redress Mr. McKenna, M.P., Parliamaatary Dabates, March 13, 1911, p. 192i 28 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS Under existing oircumstances, dissatisfied neutrals can only appeal to a Prize Court of the offending belligerent, after the war is over. 4. The Declaration does not alter geographical facts or afiect the position of this country in respect of its dependence upon foreign markets, for the food provisions do not impair the right of blockade. 5. Only a small proportion of our food supplies come in neutral ships. The bulk arrives in British vessels, for the protection of which we must depend as heretofore on the strength of the Navy, as a sub- stitute for which the Declaration is in no way put forward by its supporters. 6. The risk of seizure of food in neutral ships is diminished by the Declaration, and if we refuse to ratify it, there is a risk that food will be declared absolute contraband of war, whereas, at present, it is only on the conditional list. 7. Even if food were on the woe list. Great Britain would always be bound to rely on her own ships for bringing it to these islands. 8. The free list secured by this instrument contains many articles necessary for our industries and manufactures, which, under its provi- sions, cannot be declared contraband in neutral ships. 9. As regards the sinking of neutral prizes, only a vessel of which more than half the cargo is contraband can be sunk. 10. As to the conversion of merchantmen into war vessels, the risk under the Declaration is no greater than before, and few merchant vessels possess sufficient speed to be worth converting. 11. If the Declaration is not ratified, and Great Britain refuses to submit to restrictions for the benefit of neutrals, she will have to rely on more Dreadnoughts, and there will be an end to any policy of limitation of armaments and arbitration. AGAINST. 1. Great Britain stands to lose more than any other country by any limitation of naval action. 2. The Declaration cannot put an end to competition in armaments, but can and will prejudice Britain in such competition. 3. It is equally prejudicial to naval and to mercantile interests. 4. It gravely threatens the food supply of the kingdom in time of war.* 5. Even a weaker naval Power, without maintaining an effective blockade of this country, might so affect the supply of foodstuffs from abroad as to paralyse its action in a great emergency. 6. Such emergency might arise owing to the provisions of the Declaration regarding the treatment of food as contraband of war, the conversion of * Mr. Balfour, London Chamber of Commerce, June 27, 1911. THE NAVY 29 merchantmen into cruisers upon the high seas, and the capture and sinking of neutrals. 7. Provisions for appeal against infractions of the Declaration are useless. Converted merchantmen would properly and naturally run all risks to strike an effective blow in a great national emergency. 8. Granted for the sake of argument that the free list of the Declaration is advantageous in respect of material for manufactures, of what advantage is the provision of such material to a starving people ? 9. The contention that other countries do not possess many merchant- men sufficiently speedy to justify conversion is notoriously untenable. Germany possesses many such ships. 10. Great Britain, as an island Power, can only bring pressure to bear upon belligerents by blockading the enemy, and by the seizure of vessels with their cargoes. The Declaration therefore obviously and conspicuously hampers a blockading Power. 11. Great Britain has properly and necessarily refused to agree that private property shall not bo liable to capture, on the ground that she can only put pressure on a belligerent by attacking the great lines of communication across the seas. It follows that Great Britain should refuse to ratify the Declaration, which is opposed to the attitude rightly taken up in respect of the right of capture of private property. 12. Any converted merchantman after ratification of the Declaration, could, when wo are next at war, take any neutral vessel carrying food to a port in Great Britain, which the commander of the converted merchant- man chose to consider to bo a base of supplies, and sink it ; and under the Declaration almost any port might be so described. 13. In short, while international public opinion has hitherto condemned the sinking of neutrals, or the destruction of foodstuffs as contraband, under the Declaration such action merely comes up for judgment before an international tribunal after the war is over. The Declaration is therefore, from the point of view of international law, a retrograde step. NAVY BIBLIOGRAPHY. The Colonies and Imperial Defence. By P. A. Silburn. Our Navy for a Thousand Years. By Captain S. Eardley Wilmot. The Briton's First Duty. By G. F. Shee. Influence of Sea Power on the French Revolution. By Captain Mahan. The Ocean Empire, its Dangers aud Defence. By Gerard Fienues. The Naval Annual. By Hon. T. A. Brassey (Viscount Hythe). CHAPTER II THE ARMY THE everlasting problem of the British Army yet remains to be solved. If Great Britain is to fight Continental Powers on the Continent, she must have an army on the same scale and of the same character as Continental forces, or at any rate large enough to help in upholding the balance of power in Europe, with a strong potential reserve. But Con- tinental armies are primarily destined for the defence of their own countries, while the defence of this country devolves in the first instance upon its fleet. In our case the Army is primarily intended to hold India and to garrison various strategic points all over the world, and we must have a sufficient mobile force for this purpose, which we call the Expeditionary Force. Function of the Army. But we must also have enough troops to defeat such hostile expeditions as may elude the vigilance of the fleet, which it is assumed will be sufficient to command the seas. This is the position adopted by Lord Haldane, who has held the position of Secretary of State for War almost longer than any of his predecessors, and has been sadly hampered in his efforts to create an improved army by the continuous attacks of Socialists, Nationalists, Labour Members, and peace-at-any- price Radicals, who were, and are. a formidable proportion of the supporters of the Governments of the late Sir Henry Campbell-Bannerman and of Mr. Asquith. Another school, so far, probably because the conditions are concealed and not explained, without much support in the country, includes in the requirements of Great Britain an army 30 THE ARMY 31 sufficient to maintain the balance of power in, and to prevent any one Continental nation acquiring the hegomony of, Europe. Unless, for instance, England could send a force to help France against aggression on the part of Germany, before the Russian Army could come to her aid, the arms of England would not avail to save France, unless she was strong enough to face Germany alone and unaided. Nor would any but our regular forces at present be equal to this duty. Position of Geemany. A new feature in the situation, which will soon compel even this careless country to reconsider its position, is the startling naval development of other Continental Powers, and pre- eminently of the greatest of these, Germany, wherein there has also been an equal increase in the tonnage and carrying capacity of merchantmen. While Germany, on land and sea, at home and abroad, has advanced by leaps and bounds, the development of France has been arrested by socialistic and democratic developments and by a stationary population, and Russia, with which Empire also Great Britain has entered into friendly relations, has suffered serious reverses at the hands of Japan. It is too late to consider whether the prevention of the dominance of any particular Power in the concert of Europe is a part of the policy of this country. The assertion of this once cardinal principle would entail a challenge to Germany over her ship-building programme, which neither party in the State is prepared to give, and which it would be impossible to give, in the present state of public opinion in England, so far as such can be judged by the results of general elections. The alliance of Germany is courted because, as Austria has lately learnt, she is ready to throw her sword into the scale, and it is notorious that the reverse is at present the case with England, a fact which renders her alliance of comparatively little value. The Germans are self-sacrificing and patriotic, even the Socialists among them renouncing with scorn the inter- 32 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS nationalist and unpatriotic attitude with which Socialists in England have unfortunately made us familiar. Without indulging in any altruistic dreams of the efi&cacy of arbitration, the Germans are content to deal with the world as it is, and they may well reflect that a nation which, amidst the clash of preparing arms, is dreaming of perpetual peace, is not hkely to resist the Kaiser's armaments as she once resisted those of France and Spain. True it is that the geographical position of Germany, and the insular conditions of England, which, moreover, lies across all the sea routes of German trade, enable the latter to hold her own in spite of her military inferiority so long as, and only so long as, she pos-sesses a paramount Navy. But England might well remember the case of Athens, " the rapid loss of whose new conquests after 447 B.C. proved that she lacked a sufficient land army to permanently defend her extensive frontiers."* Tbiple Entente. However little comfort may be found in the attitude of the British democracy towards the question of defence, we may be permitted to feel a certain amount of what our neighbours call schadeiif reticle in considering the strategic position of Germany, situated between France and Russia. The French Army is in far better condition than the French fleet, and the Russians, unlike ourselves, are sparing no pains to profit by the lessons of their latest war. If the Triple Entente really meant business, like the Triple Alliance, Germany would be between the devil and the deep sea. The question is, Does the Triple Entente mean business ? Can we and would we send a force to help France if attacked by Germany, or would Germany overwhelm her neighbour to the South before the Russians could bring their vast army from the North into the field ? Does acquaintance with the temper of the British democracy inspire a definite and decided answer in the affirmative to these searching questions? So far as numbers go, we could im- mediately dispatch our expeditionary army of, according to * " Encyclopaedia Britannica," 11th edition, vol. ii. p. 842. THE ARMY 33 latest figures, 186,000, but probably not really in excess of 150,000, men to aid our close friend but not quite ally? But should we do it ? If our allies feel we should, then we are still a great, if not the greatest, feature in maintaining the balance of power in Europe. Again, shall we increase our striking forces as our Empire increases in wealth and population ? At present he would be a bold man who would answer in the affirmative. Expeditionary Force. At any rate it is of vital import that no interference should be allowed with the principles upon which the expeditionary force is recruited and maintained. It is folly to suppose that any less time than two years' service with the colours will suffice for men who are to compete on even terms with Continental armies. While Germany takes two or three years — and we know that the British public will not yet agree to compulsory service for home defence — the practical problem is to increase and improve the Regular army we have, which was most unfortunately reduced in 1906-7 in deference to Socialist and Radical agitation. The policy which inspired the creation of the Territorial Army postulates the assumption that our naval supremacy is maintained at least in home waters, and that the Territorials will be embodied and undergo training before the expedi- tionary force has left the country, which is hardly possible. The Territorials then assume that the Navy will destroy any hostile expedition of over 70,000 men, and that they can defeat invaders who number less than that figure, with the help of the expeditionary force. The figure 70,000 is that of the Defence Committee, but it is difficult to avoid the conclusion that invasion in far larger numbers may be effected, unless everything happened to suit ourselves and nothing chanced to favour the enemy. It is not clear how many Territorials are required for the defence of the country, but it is certain that the numbers Lord Haldane wanted and expected have not come forward, 4: U CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS and the confident assertion that the country cannot be invaded is not eminently calculated to inspire its manhood with a strong feeling of the necessity for coming forward in its defence. It is, too, very uncertain that the Territorial force can be maintained even at its present inadequate strength without some form of compulsion, while there appears to be an urgent necessity that the expeditionary force should be increased if the position of Great Britain as a world-Power is to be maintained. Compulsory cadet training should at once be introduced, and means taken to instruct the country as to its true position, and to awaken it to the fact that its military necessities are such as can never be satisfactorily met under existing conditions. In the opinion of Lord Roberts a million trained men are required to defend the country and provide a suitable reserve. Our Land Frontiers. At the present day the British Empire has a land frontier of many thousands of miles in Afi'ica, Asia, and America, and British territory now marches with great Powers, not only with buffer States. The case has greatly altered since the wars of the eighteenth century were waged, and not by any means in our favour. We are at present the greatest Continental Power in the world, marching from 18,000 to 20,000 miles in three con- tinents with seven of the nine greatest military Powers of the day. Nor has any nation in Europe yet reduced its army because it is on good terms with a contiguous country. Rather do all recognise the often proved fact, that international agreements are of an ephemeral and undependable character, often "breves," and sometimes also " infatistos," like the loves of the Roman people. Turkish Army. A new and disturbing factor in present-day European politics is the reappearance of the Turkish Army upon the scene. It is believed that the Young Turks can place 300,000 well-armed il THE ARMY 35 men in the field, and that they aim at being able to mobilise four or five times that number. The raw material of the Turks was always amongst the best in the world, and their army may yet prove a very formidable factor in Eastern Europe and Western Asia, and perhaps also and above all in Western Europe, if they enter, as now appears probable, into close relations with Germany. The Russians, in the Trans-Caucasus, and the British, in Egypt, offer a vulner- able front to Turkey, and the senseless and sentimental attacks made upon her administration in Parliament, at a time when she had Arabian, Albanian, and Macedonian troubles on hand, cannot but exasperate and emphasise all possible points of difference, to some of which attention is drawn elsewhere in this work. Defence Problem. The defence problem is now far more difficult and complex both in Europe and India than it was in previous periods of our history. There is the steady march of Germany, already noticed, and our garrison in India, fixed after the Mutiny in order to secure the safety of our fellow-countrymen and women, has not been augmented, while the popalation of India has increased by 120 millions, and our Eastern possessions have enormously expanded in area. The increase of armaments in modern nations cannot be regarded as proof of barbarism, for it coincides with their increase in comfort and wealth. On the other hand, weakness in France spelt loss of provinces, of milliards, and death and disaster, though never unpatriotism and despair. Russia. We should have learnt from the Russo-Japanese War of the indispensable necessity for co-operation between Army and Navy, of the necessity for patriotism by which limitless heroism is inspired, and of the power of Russia by means of a single line of railway to despatch and keep in the field an army of four hundred thousand men many thousands of miles from its base. 36 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS Although we are at present on friendly terms with Russia we must not forget that good relations may not always exist, we must remember that the lesson of Manchuria is not likely to be wasted on a Power which possesses railway communica- tion from Orenburg to Tashkent, and from Krasnavodsk to the actual borders of Afghanistan, and on through the Central x\sian Khanates. In fact, Russia has two lines of communication by railway, and two advanced feelers actually abutting on the Afghan frontier. The Orenburg-Tashkent railway can carry twelve pairs of trains in twenty-four hours, and it is a strategic line of first- rate importance. Supplies can usually be obtained from Western Siberia, and tue distance from the base at which operations would be carried on is about one-third of that between Russia proper and Manchuria. Herat, at any rate, could be carried without the slightest difficulty, and then Northern Afghanistan would be at the mercy of the invader. India. Nevertheless, the reduction of the army in India is con- tinually urged in Parliament owing to the existence of the entente with Russia ; and while these pages are being written the Under-Secretary of State for War declares in the House of Commons " that the Government, while not contemplating any reduction of the British forces serving in India, are fully pre- pared to consider favourably the proposals that the Government of India may find it in their power to make for effecting such readjustments in the Native Indian units, with a view to economy, as could be carried out without loss of efficiency to the army in India as a whole." * The discovery that there are regiments in the Indian Army so inefi&cient as to be useless, just at the moment when the finances of the country are adversely affected by the opium policy, and at a time when advanced English-educated Indians are clamouring for the Indian analogue of that many-headed creature social reform, is, to say the least, suspicious. Lore * House of Commons, Parliamentary Debates, May 31, 1911, vol. 26 P. 1078. THE ARMY 37 Kitchener at any rate gave no hint to this effect when he left India. Lord Haldane's Policy. I Lord Haldane has succeeded in organising a home defence army on scientific lines, but has under the circumstances been unable to endow it with sufficient training, and if it is necessary to call up the Territorial army for six months' training after mobilisation has taken place, it must be admitted that their annual training and the resulting expense is to a great extent wasted. Lord Haldane lays down certain basic principles for dealing with the problem. The first is that the command of the sea is the foundation of our home defence, and as the Navy must be sufficient to maintain such command, the Army must not be made so expensive as to starve it. The suggestion is that the country cannot stand the expense of a first-rate navy and a first-rate army. To supplement the Navy an army is, however, needed, a striking force probably destined to act far from home, a highly trained, professional, and necessarily volunteer, army. We need, therefore, a second line for home defence to deal with any small forces which may slip through our naval defences, or to compel the enemy to send a force so big that it cannot escape the notice of our fleet. The old myth that even a dinghy-load of men could not be landed is now exploded, and for some reason or other it is assumed that 70,000 men would or might come, and that it would take them no less than three weeks to embark in no less than 150 vessels. It would seem as if Lord Haldane almost accepted these highly debatable premisses. He holds at any rate that the second line army must be a citizen force, and therefore created the Territorials, consist- ing of fourteen divisions and fourteen mounted brigades, of which five-sixths were enlisted in two years. He contests the truth of the statement that this army cannot take the field unless it has six months' embodied training following on mobilisation, and urges that they could earlier take the field when stiffened by some regular units and some special reservists. " Can it 38 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS be," he asks, " that we have not 315,000 young men sufficiently patriotic to come forward, though we have not the population required for recruiting an army on the Continental scale for home defence?" The National Service League would sub- stitute 80,000 men less trained than his special reserve for that body, and in place of the Territorials 320,000 men compulsorily enlisted and trained for four months, for which 5,000 officers would be required in order to train 150,000 annual recruits. The Terbitorial Abmy. The Territorial soldier enlists for four years and must be seventeen years old. In his first year he does forty drills of an hour each and from a week to a fortnight's camp. In the next three years he does ten drills of an hour, and the same amount of camp. The minimum number of rounds fired is twenty-three, an absurdly small number, the whole training is obviously altogether insufficient to make any sort of soldier, and about 100,000 either failed to qualify or did not fire at all. The Territorials are not, of course, recruited for service outside the United Kingdom, but they are liable to embodiment at home up to the age of thirty in cases of national emergency. It is proposed, however, to give these forces six months' training after the outbreak of war, and it is officially admitted that they are not fit for their func- tions till they have had such training. How, then, are they to repel raids, short, sharp, and unexpected, free the Regular army for operation abroad, and the Navy to seek out and destroy the enemy in his own waters? It is obvious they cannot, and that our army and navy would be paralysed by the necessity for protecting these islands, and that even with the highest bounties again given, and with reductions of standards, as in the past, the necessary forces could not be improvised. The age of recruitment, eighteen for Regular army, is, moreover, too low, lower than that of other nations, and the requirements and measurements fall short of a desirable standard, in spite of which our system is as much more costly, as it is more unsatisfactory, than that of com- pulsory service nations. THE ARMY 39 The whole assumption upon which the advocacy of the Territorials rests is that the fleet will be so powerful that even if half be absent, the remainder will avail to deal with the strongest fleet of the enemy, as well as to prevent the landing of a hostile force, but we well know that this is hardly the position at present, when Germany and her allies have seventeen and we have only twenty-five Dreadnoughts com- plete or in course of construction. The general idea of the Territorial army was to amalgamate existing auxiliary levies into one homogeneous body in place of the separate forces, representing separate interests and serving on different terms, which previously existed, and important new features are the decentralisation of administration and organisation and the creation of the local County Associations. The system postulates, as General French said, that it is the bounden duty of every able-bodied young man to take part in the defence of his country, and the National Service League would begin with Boy Scouts, Cadets, and Boys' Brigades, so that from the outset the youth of the country may appreciate their duties as patriotic citizens. Among the causes which have militated against successful recruitment for the Territorial army are the absence of a paid and permanent recruiting staff, the conditions of service, which are, probably without sufficient reason, regarded as too strict, the refusal of separation allowances to married privates, and perhaps more than all the widely expressed opinion that the force is of little use and not a serious factor in our defences. And in fact of 275,000 * enlisted not less than 100,000 are boys under 20 — too often town-bred rather useless lads — an equal number has failed to qualify in musketry, and under 10,000 have volunteered for foreign service. Even those who are most sanguine regarding the future of the Territorials must admit that they need more money and more time for training officers and men, and that if they do not get more time and money, that which is already expended upon them is only too likely to prove wasted. • Now 268,453. Colonel Seely, House of Commons, August 9, 1911. 40 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS The causes of the deficiency in the numbers of the Terri- torials have been concisely summarised by the Military Correspondent of The Times, and are given below/'' Compulsory Training. In the minds of most practical men the conviction grows that safety lies only in compulsory military training for home defence, however small appears at present the chances of its adoption. So virulent and unreasoning was the opposition in Parliament to elementary training in defence of the country, that the military and educational departments of the Government of Sir Henry Campbell-Banneiman had to climb down when the International Arbitration League " protested against the teaching of rifle-shooting in elementary schools, and sincerely hoped that a progressive Government did not intend to authorise or permit boys in State-aided schools to be instructed in the art of shooting, only calculated to brutalise youths, by developing in them the fighting instinct, and strengthening their combative nature ! " It is difficult to understand how any body, including, as it must, men who have had to make their way in the world, could have assented to a resolution, drawn in terms which would justly provoke the ridicule of any assembly of public- school boys. * " On the subject of the causes of the present deficiency, and upon that of remedies, opinion is much divided. The main causes of the deficiency probably are : Inadequate public spirit due to our failure to educate youth in the duties and responsibilities of State citizenship ; want of convinced belief and of sustained interest in the Force on the part of the upper and upper middle classes, a majority of whom are adherents of the National Service League ; evasion of all duties relating to defence by the lower middle classes ; good trade and the busy life of 99 per cent, of the popula- tion leading to the employer difficulty, which is increasingly serious ; the counter-attraction of emigration on the one hand and of the varied amusements of the people on the other ; a growing sense among the rank and file that they are out of pocket by joining the Force ; dissatisfaction with headquarters in many cases ; and lastly the pauperising influence of modern legislation, which tends to discourage individual effort and to throw all burdens upon the State,"~T/i« Times, November 20, 1911. THE ARMY 41 Lord Haldane's scheme is a last effort to fulfil our require- ments by voluntary recruiting, and unless it be considered to have proved a success we are already face to face with the necessity for some form of compulsion, for permanently to maintain the position that loyal and respectable citizens should take upon themselves the whole burden of the defence of the Empire, while idle and conscienceless loafers look on, will prove in the long run impossible. Our most eminent and most experienced soldiers do not pretend to accept the soothing conclusions published broad- cast on behalf of the anti-military party, and of those who have succumbed not to their arguments, but to their votes. Lord Eoberts's Opinion. In the opinion of Field-Marshal Lord Eoberts* an invading force is as likely to be 150,000 as 70,000 strong, and in either case he does not see how the Territorials are to get sufficient training after the outbreak of war, if, as is certain to be the case under the present system, they do not get it before that event. He does not think that untrained men are of any use, and it is his deliberate opinion that while other nations are daily and steadily becoming stronger this country is daily and steadily losing ground. He believes that while the margin of safety at sea is rapidly disappearing, war when it comes will find us totally unprepared. In reply to this argument it is urged that the expense of a large army is prohibitive and that it would in any case be impossible to provide officers for such, as a sufficient number cannot be obtained for our present forces, that the voluntary system has now supplied an ex- peditionary force, a Special Eeserve, and a Territorial army, comprising in all 580,000 men, that the voluntary system is not bankrupt, and that the country in any case will not stand compulsion. Lord Haldane fully accepts, as probably all others would in his place, the truth of the latter argument at any rate, and he has succeeded in rousing wide interest in national defence and military organisation, and in this alone, to say nothing of other respects, has rendered great service to * House of Lords, April 4, 1911, 42 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS the nation. It is admitted by Lord Roberts, a somewhat hostile critic, that the Special Reserve, now enlisted for foreign service, is in that respect an improvement on the old militia ; but there is a general consensus of opinion that the two chief shortcomings of the old system revealed by the Royal Commission have not been overcome. These are the want of a sound system of expansion and the insufficient training of the home army. Nor can it be regarded as other than a retrograde and unfortunate measure that the Regular army was reduced by Sir Henry Campbell-Bannerman's Govern- ment by about 18,000 men,* while the Territorials have not come within 50,000 of the number laid down as a minimum at the outset. Not that a full tale of Territorials would have atoned for the loss of so many of our best men, trained material, not easily replaced. No great nation could afford to reduce such valuable factors in the defence of the country, in order to swell the ranks of the unemployed, and gladden the heart of the paid agitator, whose hands are never idle, whose voice is never silent, whose employment never fails. Sir Ian Hamilton's Views. Much interest has been excited by the contentions of General Sir Ian Hamilton, ex-Adjutant-General of the Forces, regarding the incompatibility of the scheme of the National Service League with the necessary recruitment for the expeditionary army. General Hamilton argues that compulsory service is in- spired by the spirit of conservatism, and voluntary service by the spirit of expansion and self-confidence, and that on this account the adventurous impulse of Imperialism and the appreciation of the romance of war — in fact, the true animus of a professional army — can only find legitimate expression in the voluntary service system. Compulsory service is, he says, less civilised than voluntary service, and statesmen under the former plan are constantly sacrificing important ambitions on the altar of home defence ! This • With the addition of the resulting reserves the figure rises to upwards of 30,000. THE ARMY 43 argument is extremely difficult to follow, and amounts to little more than an assertion, which the recent records of compulsory service nations, with Germany at their head, sufficiently refute. General Hamilton thinks compulsory service the natural outcome of the specialisation of modern life. One class fights, and the other class pays. Hence, he says, the masses of the nation regard wars too lightly, and are encouraged to run risks in home defence, rather than abate by one square mile their Imperial pretensions ! Again this argument appears singularly inconclusive and stands in need of some concrete illustration. Is there any proof anywhere that a compulsory citizen army regards war as a thing to be rashly and lightly undertaken? England is a voluntary service nation, and certainly its present attitude hardly points towards high Imperial pretensions, or to a disposition to regard war as a national activity to be encouraged. Eather is it regarded as a calamity to be avoided at all costs. Nor will the ordinary reader follow General Hamilton when he describes France and Germany as nations overshadowed by an imminent peril from which Great Britain is immune, or be at all ready to accept the position that a compulsory army becomes inefficient in proportion as the idea of conquest dominates the idea of defence. If, as he says, not German soldiers but Bismarck fought for Alsace-Lorraine, it must be remembered that the German Empire got Alsace-Lorraine, and that the German soldiers fought like heroes, and with no doubt of the justice of the national cause. And when he argues that a voluntary expeditionary force cannot be maintained alongside a com- pulsory home defence army, he forgets that France actually maintains alongside her conscript army a practically voluntary foreign service force of 56,000 men, of whom 28,000 are serving abroad. General Hamilton denounces, disparages, and demolishes the National Service League scheme of compulsory service on a militia basis in the place of Territorials and Special Eeserve, but under the League's scheme, at any rate an army of 400,000, with a reserve of 600,000 men, could be obtained. 44 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS General Hamilton thinks that members of this force would not re-enlist for the Regular army, that the classes which now fill the regular ranks would find sufficient work in the summer under the National Service League scheme, and that recruiting for the regular arms would dry up to such an extent as within two years to end in disaster. But the Territorials attract young men in regular employment and not the men out of work or in trouble, who can only enlist with advantage in the Regular army. Not that the latter when once enlisted do not learn to like the pleasant associations and good fellow- ship of military life, which they give up with sorrow, and to which, like the Surrey veterans, they are glad to return. So far is it from being true that compulsory training and service give men a distaste for military life.''' Scheme of National Service League. The fact is that the Army Reserve and Special Reserve would hardly suffice to keep our expeditionary force up to strength during a campaign even of brief duration, whereas a home army such as is contemplated by the National Service League would enable us to deplete the country of regulars and reserve, nevertheless leaving behind a proper provision for home defence. Nor is there any fear that such home defence army would not volunteer for service abroad, as the experience of the South African War, when 50,000 militiamen volunteered, is sufficient to prove. On the other hand, the plight of this country can be readily imagined if when our navy and ex- peditionary force are needed elsewhere, they are tied to our shores by the insufficiency of om' home defence army, as may well prove the case under the existing system. In answer to the argument that compulsory training would create a difficulty in recruiting for the Regular army, Mr. Fortescue's " County Lieutenantcies and the Army " should be studied. He shows that between 1805 and 1813 out of 227,510 recruits, 99,755 joined voluntarily from the militia, which was then raised on a compulsory basis. It should also be remembered that upwards of 44 per cent, of the special » Field-Marshal Lord Boberts at Guildford, May, 1911. THE ARMY 45 reservists volunteered for the Eegular army in 1908-10, and that the old militia was notoriously the best recruiting-ground for the Regular army. Yet both these bodies undergo com- pulsory training. Again, the Japanese experienced no difficulty in sending to Manchuria, to fight like heroes, hundreds of thousands of soldiers raised by compulsion for home defence. The National Service League scheme, while it only proposes compulsory service for home defence, thereby liberates the voluntarily raised expeditionary force, and the Navy, for their duties of attack and offence. This is a great feature, and Great Britain does not now occupy such a position of superiority compared with other Powers in respect of wealth, or exert such political influence as to be able to subsidise allies in the day of trouble, as she did in the wars with Napoleon, nor do present conditions admit of such procedure. Everything makes for anti-militarism wherever democracy is in the ascendant. At present the State feeds, doctors, and caters for children who are brought up not to think what they can do for the State, but what the State can do for them ; not to consider how much better off they are than persons in similar positions in other countries, but how much more they can wring from the Government. And the average teacher in an ordinary school, if not quite, is, as a rule, something very near, a Socialist. Education in Britain deals solely with rights and not with duties, and when discipline and self-denial disappear dry-rot and decay replace them. National service is necessary to develop and brace up national character, no less than for the defence of the fatherland. Safety can only be found in the provision of an adequate home defence ; for even if we could stand, as we cannot, the continuous strain of keeping up the two-Power naval standard against more populous nations, we could not man the number of ships we should in that case require. The National Service League advocates the replacement of the Territorial army by a national militia, or citizen army, because the former is deficient in officers, men, guns, trans- 46 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS port, and artillery. It is difficult to see what object a retired veteran like Lord Roberts can have in misrepresenting a situation for which he himself cannot altogether be without responsibility, but it is easy to understand how difficult, indeed how impossible, it is for politicians to act with inde- pendence, and without regard for any considerations other than the public safety, when they are dependent upon the support of men abysmally ignorant of international conditions, who, in turn, depend upon voters, whose chief knowledge on these subjects, which they do not study for themselves, is derived from agitators, whose livelihood is the fruit of misrepresentation. The main argument against the proposal for national service is that young men will be taken for the Citizen army at a time when they are wanted for the Regular army, and that their experience in the militia will not induce them to pass on to the regular forces. History, however, affords no confirmation of this position, and the class which joins the Regular, is not that which would fill the Citizen, army. Rather are they men who cannot get, or do not want, regular work, and for want of it are short of funds and food. Moreover, when in 1808 there was a scarcity of recruits, an Act for compulsory training was passed, after which the numbers who volunteered from the militia for service in the Regular army was gi'eatly in- creased. Universal military service must not be confounded with conscription. The former is a measure for peace, the latter a measure for war, and necessary as a last resort to fill the depleted ranks of an army. Conscription enables the rich to purchase a substitute for personal service, and really only survives in Spain, where it is rudely assailed, and in Portugal, where it is moribund. Some, like Sir Ian Hamilton, contend that volunteers fight better than the compulsorily recruited, and deny that the voluntary spirit which inspired this country is dying or dead. The answer to which is that upon the Continent larger and far more efficient armies are raised and maintained at a less cost upon the universal service system. THE ARMY 47 The views of the anti-compulsion school are based upon the fundamental fallacy that the military system must be shaped on political ideals, the fact being to the exact contrary, for if military systems are to be of any value whatever, they must be fashioned on steady principles to meet the end in view, and not to suit the fantastic and varied notions of changing Parlia- ments. It will be of little use to explain when we are defeated that we did the best we could consistently with proper respect for the views of the peace- at-any-price school and the Socialist contingent in the State. And even General Hamilton completely gives away his own case when he actually falls back as a last resort on a third line raised under the sanction of latent compulsion, like the Garde Nationale, in order to legalise which he would introduce a Bill into Parliament. The pith and substance of the whole matter is found in the Report of Lord Elgin's Commission to the effect that no military system will be satisfactory which does not contain powers of expansion outside the regular forces of the Crown,* and in the resolution of the Duke of Norfolk's Commission to the effect that the militia was unfit to take the field for the defence of the country, that the volunteers could with no prospect of success face the troops of Continental armies, and that an efficient home defence army can only be raised and maintained on the principle that it is the duty of every citizen of suitable age and sound physique to be trained to take part in the national defence, f The same criticism, of course, would apply to the Terri- torials, though their organisation is admittedly an improvement on that of the militia. Invasion. All the schools allow that the Navy cannot complete its victories without the help of an army, and, if not all, most admit that we cannot defend the country with the certainty of Buccess unless we can provide an army for use at home and • Cd. 1789 of 1903. t Cd. 2061 of 1904 . 48 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS for warfare overseas. Those who hold that the invasion of this country is impossible forget the landing of General Humbert in 1798 in Co. Mayo, where he kept the field for seventeen days, with hardly any artillery, no cavalry, and no base, at a time when it was believed that 40,000 troops with guns could without difficulty have been landed in Ireland. Members of this school also forget the failures of blockades in naval manoeuvres. Can we watch 1,200 miles of German coast so closely that a small squadron could not break through? Commissions have proved that even the success of an enemy at sea would not necessarily starve these islands into sub- mission, and that the enemy would be compelled to attempt an invasion. An intelligent enemy would therefore begin with that with which he must eventually end. But even in the days when blockades were more effectual than they can be made in this epoch of mines and wireless telegraphy, Napoleon overran Europe, when he had not the command of the sea, and quite recently Japan sent her first army across to Korea before fighting the Russian fleet. Obviously, the United States might invade Canada, Russia, India, and Turkey, Egypt, without any interference from our navy. All these possessions might be taken from us in spite of our supremacy on the sea. It is madness to extend principles, good in respect of insular, but bad in respect of Continental, countries, alike to continent and island. Why is the fact always forgotten that only one-quarter of our Empire, containing a fraction of our population, is insular in character, and that if we lose our Continental possessions we shall be ruined? In truth, supremacy at sea is relative and not absolute, and would not necessarily prevent the occurrence of a panic which might destroy the mercantile credit of this country, built, as it is, upon a wholly insufiBcient gold reserve. Behind even a successful navy there must be an adequate army to complete and confirm its victories, and a powerful and efficient army and navy gain for the fortunate country which possesses them such objects as are otherwise affected by the agency of war and conquest. THE ARMY 49 Ethics of Wae and Peace. Agitators and altruists forget that Ruskin, a thoroughgoing Radical, said : — " We talk of peace and learning, of peace and plenty, and of peace and civilisation : but I found that these were not the words which the Muse of History coupled together, that on her lips the words were peace and seiisuality, peace and selfishness, peace and death. I found, in brief, that all great nations learnt their truth and strength of thought in war : that they were nourished in war and wasted by peace, taught by war and deceived by peace : trained by war and betrayed by peace, in a word, that they were born in war, and expired in peace." They are now engaged in persuading the proletariat that war is necessarily a crime, that peace should be secured at any price, that patriotism is a tinkling cymbal, and a foreign master as good as our Sovereign Lord the King. The advocates of peace at any price rarely if ever abstain from citing in their own favour a well-known passage from Isaiah. But they carefully omit to read the chapter, or to quote its governing words. Nay rather, they wrest the text from its context, and never use it but to abuse. The prophet pictured a once powerful and favoured nation in the last stage of decay, decrepitude, and despair. " It shall come to pass in the last days," he said, when Jerusalem is ruined and Judah is fallen, "that they shall beat their swords into plowshares, and their spears into pruning-hooks : nation shall not lift up sword against nation, neither shall they learn war any more." "' The neglect of a free people to arm for their defence was cited as the last proof of degradation, and there are nations in Europe among whom the same high standard is maintained to this day. It was only in the final day, at the last stage of national ruin, that this symptom appeared, which is regarded on the Peace and Ploughshare platforms as suitable for the greatest Empire in history at the height of its power and in the pride of its fullest growth. "War has been described as the irreconcilable conflict of two national consciences. As Joubert said : " C'est la force * Isaiah ii. 2, 4. 5 50 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS et le droit qui r6glent toutes choses dans le monde ; la force en attendant le droit." This philosophy justifies war in the present condition of the world and it leaves room for the hope that it may some day in the future be superseded, or at least diminished in its frequence, between nations of high and equal civilisation. But under present conditions " Les pacifistes," says M. Ernest Denis with much force in his new book on the German Empire, " sont les complices des conqu^rants, parce qu'ils sollicitent leurs cupidites en 6nervant les resistances." And Count Eeventlow recently described England's proposals in respect of the limitation of armaments as an attempt to meddle in the affairs of inother Power, with the result that she was making herself ridiculous. Nor were politicians of a different class and character slow to speak. The German national Labour leader stated in the Reichstag in March, 1911, that he was strongly opposed to any agree- ment to determine the state of the forces on either side, saying that Germany could as little conclude an agreement with Great Britain regarding naval construction as a man could agree with a boy regarding their rate of growth. Such an agreement would be an abdication of Germany's status as a great Power and a capitulation to Great Britain. The Germans maintain, in the words of their Ambassador in London in 1910, that, in order to secure the freest possible expansion of the economic power of the nation they were com- pelled to move out into the wide world and across the sea, that their national aspirations threatened no one, that while their army had preserved peace for them for forty years, the safe- guarding of steadily growing interests on the sea now called for a powerful fleet. " The ocean," Count Metternich significantly observed, " is free, and according to the con- ceptions of all civilised nations belongs to no single Power alone." M. Clemenceau, late Prime Minister of Republican France, is an advanced Radical, but concluding his series of lectures at Buenos Aires with an address on "Democracy and War," he THE ARMY 51 expressed the opinion that, of view of the fact that it would be impossible to " balance " armaments, any attempt to reduce them would be the surest means of provoking war. There could be no hesitation, he thought, between the choice of peace on the one hand and, on the other, the humiliation of one's country. Everything possible to prevent war should be done, but it would be madness for any nation to disarm at a moment when the whole world was arming on land, on sea, and in the air. The democratic States were not bent on con- quest or aggression, but peace as well as war demanded action. M. Clemenceau thought with Tacitus, " miseram pacem vel bello bene mutari," but a Eadical English Chancellor of the Exchequer speaks of the "infamy of war" without qualification. '^' President Roosevelt, the Pacificator of Japan and Russia, when he was presented by Sir Howard Vincent with the medal of the British Inter-Parliamentary Union, " expressed the hope that unbroken peace might mark the future relations of the nations of the world " and said, " the best way to secure peace is to learn to shoot straight.'' And on another occasion, while welcoming the prospect of a second Peace Conference at the Hague, he stated in the following terms the ethics of war and peace : — "It must ever be kept in mind that war is not merely justifiable, but imperative, upon honourable men, upon an honourable nation, where peace can only be obtained by the sacrifice of conscientious conviction or of national welfare. Peace is normally a great good, and normally it coincides with righteousness ; but it is righteousness and not peace which should bind the conscience of a nation as it should bind the conscience of an individual. A just war is in the long run far better for a nation's soul than the most prosperous peace obtained by acquiescence in wrong or injustice. Moreover, though it is criminal for a nation not to prepare for war, so that it may escape the dreadful consequences of being defeated, yet it must always be remem- bered that even to be defeated may be far better than not to have fought at all. As has been well and finely said, a beaten nation is not necessarily a disgraced nation ; but the nation or man is disgraced if the obligation to defend right is shirked. Mr. George at Bath, November 24, 1911. D'ri CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS " Fantastic extremists are not in reality leaders of the causes which they espouse, but are ordinarily those who do most to hamper the real leaders of the cause and to damage the cause itsolf. As yet there is no likelihood of establishing any kind of international power, of whatever sort, which can effectively check wrongdoing, and in these circumstances it would be both a foolish and an evil thing for a great and free nation to deprive itself of the power to protect its own rights, and even in exceptional cases to stand up for the rights of others. Nothing would more promote iniquity, nothing would further defer the reign upon earth of peace and righteous- ness, than for the free and enlightened peoples deliberately to render themselves powerless while leaving every despotism and barbarism armed and able to work their wicked will. The chance for the settlement of dis- putes peacefully, by arbitration, now depends mainly upon the possession by the nations that mean to do right of sufficient armed strength to make their purpose effective." These words may well be taken to heart in Great Britain, which seems too ready to forget that it was the knowledge of the inadequacy of our army which led the Boers to engage in hostilities with us in 1899. Had we been prepared for it, war would not have come. Abbitbation Treaty with Amebica. Nor has Mr. Roosevelt's successor, Mr. Taft, omitted to rebuke the unpatriotic element in American politics. " I am not in favour," said he, " of making the United States a war- like nation, but I am in favour of a large Navy commensurate with the population, wealth, and interests that need protection against intervention by some meddling foreign Government." Mr. Taft evidently does not consider this attitude inconsistent with the promotion of an arbitration treaty with a friendly Power, for on August 3, 1911, during a thunderstorm, arbitra- tion treaties were signed in his presence ■■'' between the United States and Great Britain, and between the United States and France. " The Treaty which Mr. Knox and Mr. Bryce have negotiated preserves the principle of Commissions, and extends, indeed, its scope. Heretofore questions insoluble by diplomatic negotiations have either been left un- solved or in recent years have been submitted to The Hague Tribunal, and between diplomatic negotiation and reference to arbitration there has more * This awaits the ratification of the Senate and of Parliament. THE ARMY 53 thau once been an awkward interval. Such, for instance, was the case over the Atlantic Fisheries dispute. To bridge that interval, and to give the nations an opportunity of settling difficulties without the expenditure of money, time, and trouble, involved in a reference to The Hague, the new Treaty arranges for the appointment of an International ' Com- mission of Inquiry ' to deal with questions that diplomacy has failed to settle. This will consist of any nationals that the contracting parties like to appoint. There is no reference to membership of The Hague Tribunal as a qualification, and the Commission will settle disputes that may hereafter arise between the contracting Powers."* It is, of course, anticipated that in most cases the Commission will be able to arrive at a solution acceptable to both Govern- ments concerned. " If it does not provide for unrestricted arbitration, the Treaty provides mechanism for the settlement ' out of court * of practically all disputes that can reasonably arise between friendly nations. By omitting the clause which most similar arrangements at present contain, reserving from arbitration questions of national honour, but without necessarily including questions obviously unfit for arbitration, it can hardly but con- tribute to the cause of International goodwill; and while it has been drawn up with especial reference to Anglo-American relations, it has been the evident intention of the negotiators to make its terms universal enough to be susceptible of extension to other Powers. "f It is noteworthy that nothing can be referred to arbitration without the consent of two-thirds majority of the Senate, and that the Irish-Americans denounce this Treaty, as they did the earlier effort in the same direction of the Olney-Pauncefote Treaty. Not only the Presidents of the United States, but the Presi- dents of smaller Republics also have not been backward in expressing their opinion of the folly of the policy of disarma- ment, which finds favour in Socialistic circles and with politicians depending on their votes in England. M. Muller, President of the Republic, said in the Swiss Chamber : — " History has shown us that nations which allowed their military strength to decline have perished. We are a small nation, and we are aiming at The Times, August 4, 1911. t Ibid. 54 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS peace. Nevertheless, we are desirous of keeping our independence, and for this purpose it is absolutely necessary to maintain our military power in the highest possible efficiency." Socialism in England and France. Nevertheless, the SociaHstic and unpatriotic dry-rot of anti- miUtarism spreads apace. France was once the greatest military Power on the Continent, but not only has there been an increase in the number of her young soldiers, who fail to join on the due date, but for the last twenty years an amnesty Bill has been passed in favour of deserters and recalcitrant reservists or recruits. Another disquieting featL^re in France is the growth of anti- militarism in the large towns, the General Confederation of Labour being most concerned with this treasonable agitation, which was most vigorously denounced by the Prime Ministers, MM. Clemenceau and Briand. Unfortunately, what he calls international humanitarianism, is almost a religion with the primary school teacher in France, who, as too often is the case in Great Britain also, regards patriotism as no part of his creed, and gives it no place in his school curriculum. The Government of the Republic, however, cannot be blamed for this disastrous state of affairs. The arch agitator against national defence, M. Herv6, was sentenced not long since to one year's imprisonment, having escaped from several previous prosecutions, when the Socialist leader, M. Jaur^s, urged that England allowed her citizens to indulge in criticisms of Colonial policy at least as strong as that of the incriminating articles. It was on this occasion that the French Foreign Secretary, M. Pichon, said : — " The spectacle we are witnessing, the care with which the greatest nations of Europe are attending to their armaments, would alone suffice to put our patriotism on its guard. The sense we have of our duty, our knowledge of the laws of history, the necessity imposed upon us to show ourselves worthy of the great confidence we inspire and of the high authority we possess, to promote the ideas of which we are the guardians, ought to prevent us from allowing to collapse in our hands the instrument necessary for our defence and our power, blasphemed by an infinitesimally small but turbulent gang of spouters, buffoons, and featherheads. " THE ARMY 55 No similar statement has yet been made by English Ministers, though equal provocation has not been wanting, and a repudiation of the disloyal speech and acts of agitators would be welcomed in all responsible quarters throughout the country. Seldom has a more comprehensively unjustifiable resolution been passed by any Parliament than that of our own, which declared in 1906 " that the growth of expenditure on armaments is excessive and ought to be reduced. Such expenditure lessens national and commercial credit, intensifies the unemployed problem, reduces the resources available for social reform, and presses with exceptional severity on the industrial classes." * Nor is there any foundation whatever for the resolution of the International Arbitration and Peace Society to the effect that expenditure on armaments is dragging all the great States of the world towards ruin. In fact, the expenditure of the United Kingdom has not increased in recent years in proportion to her resources. The charge for her army and navy represents an insurance of 3 per cent, on the annual income, and 0*4 upon the capital, now reckoned by statisticians to be twenty-two thousand millions. There is no sign in Germany that the people are crushed under military expenditure, which indeed all classes are patriotic enough to bear willingly, since they see that they are becoming prosperous in proportion to, and very largely in consequence of, their strength. EXPENDITUKE ON ARMAMENTS AND WaSTE. It is extraordinary that economists who protest against any increase in the expenditure on the Army and Navy overlook the fact that most of that expenditure goes to support industry and labour in this country. Our annual expenditure under this head employs hundreds of thousands, subsidises a large ship- building industry, and keeps our shipyards in constant occupa- tion, and in a state of efficiency. It is a matter of primary importance that the large dockyards on the Clyde, Tyne, and elsewhere should be maintained in a state of the highest efficiency by constant contracts. Warship construction is the * Parliamentary Debates, vol. 165, 1906, page 1416. 56 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS salvation of many districts, and airship construction in a less degree should afford employment to scientific men and to skilled artisans as soon as its importance is more generally appreciated. France and Germany lead the way, and the Coalition Government of Mr. Asquith has at length announced its intention of training selected officers and mechanics in aviation, making a grant in aid of their expenses, developing the Air Battalion, and purchasing airships with due regard to the rapid rate at which at present the latest designs become obsolete.* Perhaps in time attention will be given to the all- important question of the supply of officers, which remains stationary in the face of the steadily increasing demand, which results from the extension of the Empire, The pay of every one has been raised except that of the loyal British officer, who neither strikes nor agitates, but grumbles and does his duty. The Army affords most valuable employment to our upper and middle, as well as to our lower, classes, and steps must be taken to maintain the attractiveness of the service, especially at a time when salaries are being thrust upon unwilling Members of Parliament as a consequence of the dictation of the Socialist and Labour groups, and when paid offices are being created with alarming and unnecessary profusion. The greater portion of the expenditure on armaments cir- culates in our own country and amongst the labouring classes. Soldiers and sailors profit no more than the sellers of guns, rifles, swords, horses, saddlery, and a thousand and one other necessities. General disarmament would cause wide- spread ruin and hardship in the ranks of labour, and the British Navy and Army have not only maintained peace, but have given, and do give, work to hundreds of thousands of our fellow-countrymen. Not only our home trade and industries would suffer from reckless disarmament or reduction, but our Eastern trade would disappear, and 132 millions of British, and 80 millions of Indian, capital invested in India, would be imperilled or lost. We should, too, lose the wheat trade which supplies this country with bread. * Colonel Seely, in the House of Commons, July 19, 1911. THE ARMY 57 Expenditure on armaments must be regarded as an insurance against the great loss involved in a war, and the incomparably greater loss, involved in defeat. The total Army and Navy Estimates are certainly not excessive, and are proportionally about a third of what they were in 1830, when the volume of our trade then and now is taken into account. Under the voluntary system, however, the Army and Navy have to com- pete in the labour market in the ordinary way, and their pay has therefore to be raised to correspond with the increase in wages and the standard of comfort whicli is so marked a feature of our national life. The Germans appreciate the fact that the German army is, as the Prussian War Minister lately said, an entry on both sides of the account, and not only expenditure. That is equally true, of course, of naval and military expenditure in Britain, and Labour Members show that they are aware of the fact, which they deny collectively, when those of them, who represent dockyards and arsenals, loudly exclaim against any reduction, however small, in their individual constituencies. The same Prussian War Minister also urged the people never to forget the advantages which military service con- fers in the way of health, discipline, and education, devotion to duty, and obedience and love of the Fatherland, saying, " The great progress which Germany had made in every sphere of activity is not due solely to victorious wars and the influx of wealth, but in a very large degree also to the education of the German people by universal service." The National Liberal leaders do not seriously contest this obvious fact, and Herr Basserman has pointed out that the increase in armaments is a burden that ought to be borne in the interests of the maintenance of peace and the protection of the whole system of trade and industry. Disarmament, he said, was doubtless an ideal, but Germany had to deal with certainties, and it was quite certain that the problem of inter- national agreement would not be solved in the near future. At present Austria was building Dreadnoughts, Eussia was strengthening and reforming her army, in America Imperialism was growing, and he need only mention Japan. The peace of 58 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS the world was saved by the might of Germany when she sided with Austria in the Balkan crisis of 1909. No tonic of this character has been administered by Liberal leaders to their followers in this country, though there is sore need for a recognition of the fact that there are weak joints in our domestic and Imperial armour. Colonies and Defence. Owing to the want of Imperial organisation in that behalf, the whole burden of home defence has hitherto rested on the Mother Country, and unless some concerted policy is adopted for future observance, nothing can prevent the dissolution of the Empire from within, even if, which is unlikely, it escapes dismemberment from without by a stronger Power. All over the world the British possess the best of everything, the coast and the fertile maritime tracts, leaving to other nations the comparatively valueless hinterland. It has now the greatest land frontier of any Empire or kingdom in the world, and unless it becomes far stronger than it appears to be in comparison with the strength of other great Powers in the almost immediate future, it cannot expect to be left to enjoy its great possessions in opulent and slothful ease. The Colonies themselves recognise the position, and Mr. Fisher, Premier of the Commonwealth Labour Government, had hardly landed in England in 1911 for the Coronation of King George V., when he publicly repudiated the Socialist Labour Member Mr. Keir Hardie's anti-military attitude, and said, " that if he himself stood by and saw Australia undefended, he would feel he had been criminally negligent of one of his first duties." Indeed, " he regarded Imperial Defence as the most important point for Australia at the Imperial Conference," and stated the view of the Australian Labour Party to be that "Australia must first be able to defend herself, before she could consider her share in a general Imperial Defence scheme." So clear is it that in the present condition of the world universal training or service are necessary to the independence of a nation, that even the unwarlike and war-despising Chinese are awakening, and a National Merchants Corps, inaugurated THE ARMY 59 in 1906 in Shanghai, has now nearly reached its full strength of 1,000, and will in no long time be raised to a strength of 3,000 men.* The Chinese greet this novel movement with the utmost enthusiasm, and it is becoming recognised that it is the duty of the people to render military service, and that soldiers and soldiering will soon cease to be relegated to the lowest grade of the social hierarchy of the Middle Kingdom. And after all, what nobler, more elevating, and more democratic ideal can there be than that of an army consisting of young men of all classes daily devoting themselves to the same duties and making the same sacrifices ? What finer example of collectivism than a community of burdens in the hour of danger ? and what a contrast such an ideal affords with col- lective plunder, under the form of legislation, of the property or income of an unpopular or a politically hostile class? Surely universal military training is more democratic than fighting by proxy ; surely the democrat in Britain will not be content to be distinguished for all time from his brother in other countries by his unwillingness to defend his fatherland ! Arguments For and Against a Small Army. FOR. 1. Money spent on armaments is wasted. Germany is unlikely to attack England. Arbitration treaties are likely to increase and multiply, and war will vanish from the face of the earth. 2. International interests are increasing, and social and financial interests render future wars improbable. 3. English international influence is greatest because of her humani- tarian sympathies, and her influence is against war. 4. The British people will never agree to compulsory service or training, and the Territorial army will suffice for the defence of the United Kingdom. 5. The Territorial army could deal with an invading force of 70,000 men, and no greater force could elude the vigilance of the Navy. In Continental wars Great Britain cannot, and should not, take part. 6. The scheme of the National Service League for compulsory training is incompatible with recruitment for the Regular army. The Tivies, June 3, 1911. no CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS 7. Compulsory service lacks the adventurous impulse which animates a voluntary army. 8. No country can afford to have a large army and a first-class navy, and Great Britain must do without the former as the latter is a vital necessity. 9. The waste of money on armaments prevents the progress of social reform, and makes internal improvement impossible. 10. The expenditure upon the Navy is already about 3 per cent, of the value of our trade, and nearly one-fifth of our income. 11. England is practically immune from invasion. Why throw av.'ay this advantage by maintaining a large army, such as nations must, who are liable to this disaster? "The serioiis invasion of these islands is not an event we need seriously consider."* 12. After making necessary deductions for garrison and local defences, we have a sufficient field army of about 120,000 men available to deal with an invading force. 13. The greatest military Power of the Continent, Germany, is a friendly kindred Power possessing the same civilisation, the same ideals and standards as ourselves. She is of all nations the most unlikely to make war upon us. 14. The Territorials, who are about the number of the old Volunteers and Yeomanry, which cost £1,971,000, already cost £2,650,000, and will cost twice this sum when properly equipped. The expenditure upon the existing forces is almost prohibitive, and cannot be increased. 15. As nations become convinced that military force does not deter- mine economic power, the necessity for great armaments disappears, and this conviction grows apace. It is obvious to all that the Hollander and the Swiss are better off than the German and the Austrian, that they receive equal consideration in the world's markets. 16. Wealth consists in the activity of the people. Germany, if it took England, would perforce let everything go on as before. A blow to England's would be a blow to her own credit, and a greater blow. 17. It is better business to have a good market than an exclusive economic advantage. f 18. If you desire peace, you must prepare for peace. 19. All questions including, as is now admitted, those of national honour, can best be settled by arbitration. 20. When immunity of private property at sea is established, for which a great majority of delegates at last Hague Conference voted, Germany will no longer continue to build against England, and the latter' s naval and military strain will at once be relaxed. Our own commerce is open to attack at sea like that of other Powers, and we should agree to abolish the right of capture. * Mr. Balfour, April, 1905. t Mr. N. Angell, at Sphinx Club, May 5, 1911. THE ARMY 61 AGAINST. 1. Universal peace is a dream; the German Navy can only be directed against England, and has no other raison d'etre. War is with difficulty avoided at the very moment when certain nations are negotiating arbitra- tion treaties. 2. The international attitude is scorned even by the Socialists of the Continent, and is almost peculiar to the British brand of Socialist. France is no less vehement than Germany in her repudiation of these disloyal ideals.* 3. England's alliance is little valued because she is known to be unwilling to fight, or unable at present to overcome the reluctance of the peace-at- any-price party. 4. The Territorial army has been denounced by most distinguished and independent soldiers, expecially by Lord Roberts,f as wholly inadequate, and therefore a positive danger to the country. 5. There is no reason why a larger force than 70,000 should not slip across the North Sea, as half the fleet might be absent in other parts of the world. Even the whole fleet might conceivably be eluded. 6. Lord Roberts and other distinguished soldiers hold that compulsory training would rather stimulate than impede recruitment for the Regular army. 7. Records of compulsory service in Germany and Japan sufficiently refute the argument that compulsorily raised forces lack the enthusiasm and staying power of a voluntary army. 8. Expenditure on the Army and Navy results in employment of multi- tudes of British subjects, and supports innumerable trades and industries, including some of the most important in the country. Reduction and disarmament would not only create unemployment and disorganise industry, but would result in the loss of our Eastern trade, and of British capital invested in India. 9. The other party to an arbitration award will only abide by it if we are strong, and will reject it, if we are weak. 10. Social reform comes after safety. A house must be certain to stand before it can be made comfortable inside. 11. The Army has not increased proportionately to the increase of the Empire in extent, wealth, and population. 12. It has not increased relatively to the increases in military strength of other Powers. 13. The British Empire is not an island, but has a vast land frontier to defend, nor can war be won or ended by merely defensive action. We are also practically pledged by treaty to offensive action in favour of guaranteed Powers, such as Belgium. * The Times, July 22, 1911. t House of Lords, April 4, 1911, 62 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS 14. If Germany acquired Holland and Belgium, which, without an army we could not prevent, she would at once be in a position to destroy our sea power. 15. The Army must be sufficiently large to give strategic freedom to the Navy by relieving it of the duty of home defence. 16. The expenditure on the Navy in 1801 was 18 per cent, of the value of our trade. The function of the Army becomes more important as the naval defence becomes less in proportion to the value of our trade. 17. If a home defence army is required, it must be able to deal successfully with any troops to which it is likely to be opposed.* 18. Lord Wolseley asserted his " belief in the possible invasion of England."t So does General von der Goltz, who writes : " It is incorrect to consider an invasion of England to be chimerical or irrealisable."J 19. Mr. Balfour said in 1909 that the Committee of Defence had then come to think that we must be prepared for an invasion of 70,000 men.§ Germany has ample transport for ihis number. 20. Mr. Asquith said on the same occasion that we must have a home army adequate to repel raids and compel an invading enemy to come with a force so large that it could not evade our fleet. || 21. A maritime Power must succumb to a blow struck at its heart. 22. The home army of 100,000 to 120,000 available for repelling an invasion would be second line insufficiently trained troops. 23. We are by no means popular on the Continent. 24. We have had continual misunderstandings with Germany, and the need for fresh markets and for room for her increasing population must bring her into collision with her chief rival. Great Britain. 25. Lord Haldane himself, when he first launched his scheme, " hoped eventually to see a defensive force of 800,000 to 900,000 men, a nation in arms, the only safeguard " % in war, but the establishment is now 312,577 men, and on September 30, 1910, the deficiency on that was 44,374.** These are not enough to repel an invasion and provide for local and garrison defence. 26. Only a nation with a sufficient military force can secure the most advantageous economical position. 27. Talk of arbitration treaties is folly while we ask Germany as a con- dition to maintain pormanently a secondary place at sea and consequently in the world's commerce. • Lord Roberts, House of Lords, November 28, 1908. t Lord Wolseley, letter to Lord Wemyss, November 28, 1906. I Deutsche Rundschau, 1900. § Parliamentary Debates, July 29, 1909. II Parliamentary Debates, 1909, vol. 8, p. 1388. II Speech at Newcastle, September, 1906. ** Lord Lucas, in the House of Lords, November 15, 1910. THE ARMY 63 28. True, Belgium, Holland and Switzerland have equal chances with the great Powers in tha world's markets, but only because they are secured in peace and independence by the armies and the jealousies of great Powers. They also depend on armies and navies, but not upon their own. 29. By agreeing to the immunity of private property at sea, England, the greatest naval Power, would surrender a great, perhaps her greatest, naval advantage. Arguments For and Against Compulsory Military Training for Home Defence. FOR. 1. Universal military training will improve the character, discipline, and physique of our race. 2. Defence of country and self is the first duty of a citizen, and England alone of European nations raises its whole army on a voluntary system. 3. The compulsion is that of the popular voice, public opinion rejects the imposition upon a few of the duty of all, and the relegation of a national duty to those who perform it because they are driven thereto by poverty and lack of other resources. 4. Other Powers, such as France and Germany, garrison their foreign stations with voluntarily enlisted troops. Compulsory service for home defence is found to be no bar to such enlistment. 5. " The voluntary principle overlooks the great moral value of the idea of a general patriotic obligation."* 6. Our soldier in the Regular army costs £163 a head a year against £57 for Germany, £15 for France, £86 for Russia, £13 for Austria, and £84 for Japan. 7. We have needed and used limited and class impressment and con- scription in the past and thus won Trafalgar and Cr^cy. The principle is conceded, the application should be general. 8. " The nature of the voluntary system makes it impossible to demand a reasonable standard of efiiciency without greatly reducing the forces."! 9. " The progress of industry and the development of the industrial spirit are fatal to the voluntary system. "| 10. Every man of every rank and class of sound physique, and between certain years of his life, should be liable for service in the home defence forces. 11. For this he requires for the infantry continuous compulsory training * Lord Milner in the House of Lords, July 10, 1906. t Duke of Norfolk, Chairman of Commission on Auxiliary Forces, House of Lords, June 28, 1904. I Shee's " The Briton's First Duty," p. 127. 64 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS for four months between 18 and 21, and for the three following years a fortnight's camp in the Territorial ranks, and a musketry course, and he should be liable up to the age of 30 to be called out for home defence in case of a »rave emergency, which Parliament should decide. 12. The extra cost would be well under four millions, and safety is cheap at the price. 1-3. Compulsory training will also promote industrial prosperity, as the physical training and exercise prolong the period of the wage-earning capacity of the citizen. 14. Compulsion of all sorts abounds and increases daily as our govern- ment becomes more and more Socialistic in character. 15. Every modern great Power, except the United States, has abandoned the voluntary system. 16. When every man has to fight in time of war, the nation is more un- willing than ever to make war without good reason. 17. Universal compulsory training does not interfere with industry. All employers would be on the same footing, and the labour withdrawn would at its highest be but 2-58 per cent. Germany with compulsory service advances industrially faster than any other nation. AGAINST. 1. Compulsory service is repugnant to the feelings of the nation and inconsistent with the liberty of the subject. 2. It cannot provide troops for overseas garrisons and stations, for which we must have voluntarily enlisted men. 3. The Militia Ballot Act, 1757, in abeyance since 1832, actually provides for universal personal service, but public opinion does not allow it to be enforced, so opposed is the idea to national feeling. 4. The Regular army gives no permanent employment, and so promotes eventual unemployment. 5. Arbitration is fast becoming the accepted method of settling inter- national disputes, and the adoption of compulsion is therefore less than ever necessary. 6. The adoption of the proposals of the National Service League would cost an additional £7,820,000 to the Army Estimates.* 7. Readiness for war promotes war, the larger the army the more it seeks for warlike occupation. 8. Universal compulsory training interferes with trade and industry. BIBLIOGRAPHY. . Facts and Fallacies. By Field-Marshal Lord Roberts. Compulsory Service. By General Sir Ian Hamilton. The Briton's First Duty. By George F. Shee. War Office Memorandum, No. 101, July 8, 1909. CHAPTEE III FOREIGN AFFAIRS Parliamentary Treatment. IT is clearly equally impossible to wholly omit, or fully treat of, foreign affairs in a little work of this kind The mean course appears to be to briefly notice those subjects upon which controversies in and out of Parliament at the present time prevail. There is, of course, in some sense, a controversial question as to the manner in which foreign atfairs should be ti-eated. A section of the House of Commons, composed for the most part of advanced Eadicals, Labour Members, and Socialists, desires that the control of the House over the Foreign Secretary should be increased, that treaties and agreements with other nations should be sub- mitted to Parliament, and indeed that such submission should be a preliminary to effective negotiations. Whether from want of experience of, or from indiff rence regarding, the real conditions of international intercourse, or from a feelitig that their intervention is attended with results of national or inter- national importance, is hard to say, but for these or other reasons the section of the House of Commons which holds these opinions is that which is most insistent in pressing for a reduction of those armaments of which diplomacy is but the pale reflection, and without which no attention whatever would be paid to England's voice among the nations. There is, for example, a little group of Members who urge armed intervention in the Congo, regardless of the fact that such would probably provoke war with Germany, which, on the other hand, they illogically declare to be a crime as unthinkable, as everybody at the moment agrees to regard a 6 ^ 66 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS .'•onflict between England and the IJaited States, though every one, n^'vertheless, is well aware that peace between these coun- tries might in certain contingencies be broken. It is, of course, true that under existing circumstances the House of Commons is not taken into the confidence of the Foreign Minister, and that the fullest expression is not given to the views of the democracy, if, for the moment, it be conceded that such views are truly represented by the House of Commons ; but in fact the conduct of foreign affairs would become impossible if assent was given to the wishes of this group.* Already England negotiates with her hands tied owing to the fact that her foreign p )licy is liable to fitful and unaccountable changes, as the opinions of the demciracy are guided hither and thither by agitators, who train them into grooves in which they desire them to run, and in which, as far as may be, they shall seem natural and spontaneous. No other European Power, not even the French Republic, works under this difficulty, for in France la patrie has still much of the meaning which Vaterland has in Germany, and the internationalist, the Socialist, the faddist, and the altruist have not yet been able to exercise much influence, nor have the many associations and societies, the object of which is to protect everything and everybody except their own country, been taken at their own valuation in the chanceries of the Continent of Europe. It is, of course, true that under a perfectly developed democracy foreign politics will be discussed and settled by the repre- sentatives of the people, as they were in Athens, and with probably the same result ; but as it is admitted in Great Britain, even by a prominent Socialist Member, that Parliament does not yet represent the people, probably the majority of its inhabitants will be content that the Foreign Office should continue to maintain such continuity of policy as it can, and that the Foreign Minister should carry on his delicate duties as successfully as may be under the exceedingly great difficulties of his position. If there was any sign that the decisions at which the Foreign Office arrived gave dissatisfaction • " Diplomacy is of necessity mora or less of a secret game." — Mr. Asquith, House of Commons, November 27, 1911. FOREIGN AFFAIRS 67 [to the electors, then obviously the desired change would have jto be introduced, but there is not the slightest manifestation )f any such feeling, and indeed under existing circumstances It is impossible to say that the electors have given any clear knd unmistakable mandate on this or on any other subject. JHad the policy to which reference has been made above been irried out in the Parliament which sat from 1906 to 1910 |we should, as Sir B. Grey said in the House of Commons, not have been on speaking terms with any other country." It would be of little use, and is certainly outside the scope of this book, to discuss the position in the Near East, when in 1909 Germany threw her sword into the scale in favour of the recognition by Europe of the annexation of Bosnia-Herze- govina by the Austro-Hungarian Empire, or the acute situa- tion which arose when she intervened for the first time in respect of Morocco, on neither of which occasions did this country play a very effectual part. Nor would it be of any advantage to discuss a situation such as that which is now developing in Albania, or the war forced upon Turkey by Italy. Other subjects, however, claim attention, and the most important instruments negotiated by the British Government in recent years are the Anglo-Russian Convention and the renewal of the Anglo-Japanese Alliance. Anglo-Russian Convention. Under the former agreement the Governments of Great Britain and Russia, while engaging to respect the integi'ity and independence of Persia, accepted the principle that each of them had, for geographical and economic reasons, a special interest in the maintenance of peace and order in certain provinces of Persia adjoining, or in the neighbourhood of, the Russian frontier on the one, and the frontiers of Afghanistan and Baluchistan on the other, hand. The practical outcome is that either Power undertakes not to seek, or support its subjects in seeking, within certain defined limits any concessions of a political or commercial nature, these being understood to com- * Debates, House of Commons, vol. 10 of 1909, p. 2302 ; also Speech on Morocco, November 27, 1911. 68 CUERENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS prise concessions for railways, banks, telegraphs, roads, transport, insurance, and the like purposes. This Convention is unfortunately regarded in many quarters as an anti-Mahomedan aUiance which places Persia and Afghanistan under the control of Russia and England. Nor can it be said there is nothing in this view, although the agreement really only confines the two Powers to their Northern and Southern spheres of influence, between which a neutral zone is dehmited, while it is expressly stated that it does not include the Persian Gulf. Little comfort, however, can be derived from the express exclusion of a sphere in which British predominance cannot possibly be denied, nor has any advantage so far resulted from the omission of any reference to the Baghdad Railway. The agreement has been severely criticised by those who have chiefly or solely regarded its provisions in respect of Persia, and it may be admitted that Great Britain had a good claim to include within her sphere of influence not only Persian Baluchistan, but the northern shores of the Gulf, and the hinterland at least as far north as Kermanshah and Ispahan. There seems no apparent reason why the Russian sphere should have been brought down so far south as the old capital of Persia, and why the northern shores of the Gulf and the country behind should have been left in the neutral zone. British commerce is supreme in that region, and Great Britain cleared the Gulf of pirates, and policed and opened its waters to the world's trade, of which in this region she has, of course, the lion's share. There is little doubt that in spite of efforts made by the British authorities to force the parliamentary Government to preserve order in Southern Persia, our influence in that region has been greatly iinpaired. On the other hand, the position of Russia in Northern Persia has improved, and owing to the retention till well into 1911 of a small body of troops at Tabriz, order has been maintained, and trade, in which the Russians are largely interested, has been protected. Parliamentary Government * has resulted in absolute * It is doubtful if this has survived the coup d'Etat of December 24, 1911, when the Mejliss was closed, martial law proclaimed, and certain demands of Russia conceded. FOREIGN AFFAIRS 69 anarchy in Southern Persia, and in the loss of the very Httle authority the Shah's Government ever possessed upon the northern shores of the Gulf. The landing of the ex- Shah on the Caspian coast, with the intention of striking a blow for his throne, is the natural result of an exhibition of incapacity such as cannot but thoroughly discredit representative institutions in Persia for many years to come ; if, indeed, the substitution of Bakhtiari, for Kajar, tribal influence can be described as a serious essay in the ai'b of representative government. Sir Edward Grey has stated in the plainest possible manner that the British Government will not interfere between the ex-Shah and the Parliamentarians in Persia, and that the Russian Government in no way connived at the Shah's return. He described the ex- Shah's reappearance, however, as a " most untoward event," -'^ and but for Russian and English interven- tion, it is pretty clear he never would have been expelled. It would appear, therefore, that neither Government repents of the assistance it gave to the establishment of parlia- mentary anarchy in Persia, but that both alike are determined to let events in future take their own course, " provided Persian independence takes account of the respec- tive interests of Russia and Great Britain in the parts adjoining their frontiers." f But the guarantee of the independence and integrity of Persia, which is holding good under this strain, was well worth a sacrifice, and if we now occupy the northern shores of the Gulf with claims and concessions, and one such for a railway from Mohammera to Khoramabad has been demanded, J httle harm will have been done, while the Convention has • Parliamentary Debates, July 23, 1911. t Sir E. Grey, House of Commons, November 27, 1911. \ The period for which the Persian Government undertook in favour of Russia not to make any railways expired in 1910, and the British Government still has the right to construct or procure the construction of a railway in Southern Persia, whenever railway construction takes place in any other part of that kingdom by, or on behalf of, any other Power. 70 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS already saved the realm of the King of Kings from dismember- ment. The Nationalists in Persia were at the last gasp in Tabriz, when Russia and England intervened and forced the Shah to grant a truce, thus giving the Nationalists breathing time, and inspiring them with the very little courage required for an advance upon the unprotected monarch in his spiritless and unwarUke capital. The Convention has relieved England and India from immediate apprehension on the North- West Frontier of India, and in Central Asia, where Russia's railway system has been immensely developed in recent years, and wherein that Power maintains an army of a peace strength of nearly sixty, and a war strength of nearly one hundred, thousand troops. Russia can now keep an army of half a million men on the Afghan frontier, and would be a greater menace than ever were it not that with the independence of Persia secured by the Convention, the importance to us of Afghanistan as a frontier factor is greatly diminished. It was a very great advantage to define our position in Persia, Afghanistan, and Tibet, though it is matter for regret that the fruits of the Tibetan expedition were deliberately thrown away by the Conservative Government, in pursuance of a policy which the succeeding Liberal Government only too eagerly adopted and developed. The result of this successful, but ill-starred, enter- prise is that China's shadowy suzerainty has been converted into something much more substantial, and that her activity on the North-East Frontier of India and the adjoining country is likely, as Lord Minto, the lately retired Viceroy, recently hinted, to give us no little trouble in the future, if indeed she recovers from the acute internal dissensions from which she now suffers, and finds Parliamentary and Con- stitutional Government as impossible as they have proved in Persia. Sir Edward Grey must be given credit on the whole for having exhibited a statesman-like power of taking occasion by the hand in 1907, when Russia, weary and wounded in the Far East, was prepared to halt in her, till then, incessant progress in Central Asia. It had become quite clear before the FOREIGN AFFAIRS 71 Japanese War that she intended to turn the flank of the North-West Frontier of India by penetrating Persia to the Gulf. This fact also diminishes the importance of Afghanistan in British Indian politics, and distracts attention from the attitude of the present Ameer, now King, of Afghanistan, who has not yet expressed his formal approval of the Anglo-Russian Convention, but whose acts, moods, and omissions are now less regarded by the British and British- Indian Governments. In any case, as Germany is our competitor and potential enemy, an entente with Russia, following on the Convention of 1904 with France, is an essential feature of a wise British policy. Anti-Russian Demonsteations. Regarding Russia proper two problems only have lately ex- cited interest in this country. Demonstrations were made in Parliament by Labour Members against the present Czar, who had just conferred Parliamentary institutions upon his own country, whose troops had been the means of allowing Persian revolutionaries to expel an absolute Shah and place a quasi-parliamentary puppet on the throne of Cyrus and Darius, and who had been the initiator of the Hague Peace Conference. In 1908 a reduction of the vote for the Department of the Foreign Secretary was moved from the Labour, and seconded from the Irish, benches, in order to attack the Czar, and to condemn the visit King Edward was then about to pay to that monarch. It was urged that Russia was a country full of terrors, tortures, and persecutions, that a visit from our King would enable the Government of that country to borrow money to pursue its nefarious schemes of autocratic rule, and that no Liberal Government should maintain friendly relations with a State which had arrested and imprisoned members of its own Duma.* All the false and exaggerated statements circulated by Russian revolutionaries were apparently accepted, and were certainly repeated, by those who supported the motion. It was, of course, pointed out in reply that the internal administration of Russia was a matter in which we had no title or claim to interfere, and that it was * Parliamentary Debates, 1908, vol. 190, 211 sqq. 72 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS ridiculous to try to establish a sort of Irish boycott against a vast Empire with which we had close and important com- mercial and other relations. The British Government took full responsibility for the King's visit, saying it was absurd to suppose that this country could for the reasons suggested abstain from maintaining friendly relations with another nation, of whose government any parliamentary group or section did not approve, that such a policy would be fraught with disaster to a large number of the subjects of both Powers in different parts of the world, and would stultify the Govern- ment which had just entered into the Anglo-Russian Con- vention ; that the policy of the Labour Party would lead to war as surely as the Anglo-Russian Convention promoted peace, that a suspension of diplomatic relations gave the rein to passion and unreason ; that the policy of boycott might, and would, if once adopted, be extended to the German Emperor and to other European potentates ; that objections were taken, and indeed by the same group in Parliament, to certain features of the Governments of most of neighbours ; that all moderate Liberal and reforming elements in Russia welcomed the visit of King Edward, to which objection was only raised by the reactionary and revolutionary party, whose chief desire was to embarrass the Russian Government ; that to condemn or defend Russian administration in Parliament must equally give offence ; that a great deal of the disturbance in Russia was occasioned by the revolutionary party ; that the political con- dition of that country was improving, not retrograding ; that representative government was developing ; that it was ridiculous to require other countries immediately to adopt the democratic franchise, which only within the last fifty years had been established in Great Britain, and that any attempt to bring pressure to bear on Russia would have the opposite effect to that which was desired. The motion was supported by only fifty-nine votes, but the object of the promoters was presumably attained, Russia was insulted, and Socialist internationalism obtained a useful advertisement. In 1909, when the Czar visited England, this demonstration FOREIGN AFFAIRS 73 was repeated, the powder and shot being provided by a scarlet pamphlet * composed by the exiled Nihilist, Prince Peter Kropotkin, who was accepted as an authority on the ground presumably that an unrepentant exile is the material of which impartial critics may be made. The attack was again delivered from the Labour benches during the debate on the Foreign Office vote.f It was urged by the Labour Members and their friends that Prince Kropotkin, who was their authority, was a good authority, and the scarlet pamphlet was hurled at the head of Imperial Parliament, with its statistics of prisoners, whose numbers were considered without relation to the vast population of Russia, whose suicides were all described as due to official oppression, whose executions were all unjust. The government of Russia was described as the epitome of all evil, and Mr. Henderson, who had led the Labour Party, and had supported motions for the reduction of armaments, urged the Government to refuse British hospitality to the Czar, at the risk of war, risks equally great having been taken by this Government and other Governments for less worthy objects ! The same arguments were used against the promoters of this motion as were urged on a former occasion, and are above summarised. The Foreign Secretary naturally declined to accept the statistics of Prince Kropotkin, and added that accredited representatives of Russia in England, such as Professor Miliukof, who said, " We are the opposition of the Czar, not the opposition to the Czar," had publicly resented the slight which the Labour benches had sought to put upon their sovereign, that presumably they were better acquainted with the feelings of Russians than were the anti- Russian Members of the British Parliament, and that no patriotic Russian was likely to sympathise with a motion brought forward with the object of insulting and obstructing his own Government. Indeed, in Sweden by a unanimous vote the Chamber refused to allow a similar discussion to take place. I * Published by the Independent Labour Party, 1909. t Parliamentary Debates, 1909, vol. 8, pp. 642 sqq. I Ibid., p. 688. 74 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS Question of Finland. Efforts have also been made, some of which were frustrated by the agency of the author of these lines, to raise what is known as the Finnish question in Parliament. No one who has travelled in the "land of a thousand lakes" — "By the springs that loudly bubble, By the rivers winding seaward, On the broad backs of the marshes," * and associated with its Finnish and Swedish populations, can have other than a love of this country and its inhabitants, or do other than pray that the unsought and unwelcome inter- vention of foreigners may i.ot strengthen the determination of the Russian Government to deprive it of such attributes of autonomy as survive. Nothing is more likely to exacerbate such anti-Finnish feelings as now exist among Russian bureaucrats than foreign interference in the purely domestic affairs of Russia. Those who meddle in this manner are in fact the worst enemies of the interests which they pretend, and no doubt often desire, to serve. However, a Bill based on the recommendations of the Russo-Finnish Committee of 1909 became law in June, 1910, the main object of which was to approve proposals for a new procedure in legislation on Finnish matters affecting Russian interests. Although the Emperor-Grand-Duke of Finland has the right to veto any legislative measure passed by the Finnish Diet, and althovigh the Russian Council of Ministers had been in 1908 invested with pov/er to intervene in Finnish legisla- tion and administration, the Bill of 1910 went still further and allowed the Finnish Parliament no voice in legislation on questions which do not relate solely to the internal affairs of Finland. Under this Bill the Russian Parliament has power to decide to what extent the Grand Duchy is liable for Imperial expenditure and to impose taxes for this purpose, to define the rights of Russian subjects in Finland, and to create exceptions to the Finnish criminal law and procedure, to legislate on popular education, on the right of holding public meetings and * Wainamonen, " Kalevala." FOREIGN AFFAIRS 75 associations, on customs, trade marks, copyright, money system, communications, navigation, and the rights of aliens in Finland. The Grand Duchy is therefore to have little or no voice on Imperial questions in which she also, like other portions of the Russian Empire, is interested. On the other hand, legislative proposals, before being settled by the Duma or Council of Empire, have to be referred to the Finnish Senate for opinion, the people of Finland being represented by one member on the Council of Empire, and on the Duma by four members. Now the Finnish Senate itself is nominated by the Czar, and it must be admitted that the Bill will make a considerable breach in the existing Constitu- tion. Apparently Finnish tariffs are not for the present to be raised,''' but it is urged that this policy of unification will ruin Finland without benefiting Russia, except in respect of the appointments in the former, of natives of the latter, country, and that the abolition of the internal autonomy of the Grand Duchy cannot but injure Russian credit in the eyes of Europe, throughout which the solemn engagement of Alexander I., when he confirmed Finland in the enjoyment of the laws which had applied to it as part of the Swedish kingdom, is well known. On the other hand, it is urged that Finland has never been converted into a separate State, but is a Russian province. It is, in fact, incorporated territory in the Russian Empire, enjoying autonomy in purely local affairs, but being only one of several provinces taken by conquest from Sweden which have passed into the property of the Russian Empire, upon the legislative power of which they depend. The regulation of common Russian and Finnish interests by identical laws, though possible before the creation of the Duma and Imperial Council, could hardly survive that event. Finnish laws would continue to be the work of an autocrat, while Russian laws were the product of an Emperor assisted by two Chambers. The law of 1910 is a necessary development of the reform of the legislative system of the Empire by the Imperial manifesto * Parliamentary Debates, 1910, vol. 17, page 444. 76 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS of 1905, and matters of Imperial interest, excluded by the law of 1910 from Finnish legislation, will be decided by the Russian Parliament upon a more democratic, or at any rate, upon a less bureaucratic, basis. The autonomy of Finland will not be destroyed, because most purely internal questions are left to the ordinary course of Finnish legislation ; for instance, the organisation of the Province in respect of poHce, urban and rural self-government, civil service, pensions, and, with the exception of such as are imposed for Imperial purposes, taxes, mining industries, forestry, class distinctions and privileges, excepting these of Russian non-Finnish subjects in Finland, and civil and ecclesiastical affairs with certain exceptions, criminal laws and procedure, education with certain exceptions, commercial legislation with certain excep- tions, posts, agriculture, communications, fisheries, poor law, and many other heads of administration/'' Further, it is con- tended, and with good reason as would appear, that Finland has manifested separatist aspirations, and has been unwilling to pass laws required in the general interest, or to grant Russians equal rights with Fins in Finland ; that the Parliament of Finland has, in fact, deprived Russians of civil, political, and industrial rights, has introduced several Bills forbidding Russians to be members of local government bodies, and has deprived them of the right to own printing works, bookshops or libraries, and to purchase real property, without the special order of the Emperor-Grand-Duke obtained in each case ; that it was intolerable that Russians should be treated as foreigners in a province of the Empire the second town of which is only twenty miles from St. Petersburg, and is more or less a summer resort for the capital. Finally, supporters of recent legislation insist that the isolation of Finland from Russia in the case of war between the latter and any Western Power could not but be fraught with danger to Imperial interests. Meetings have been held in England of the mistaken friends of freedom, resolutions have been adopted of the usually offensive character towards Russia, and questions have been * " Finland," by Lieut. -General Borodkin, p. 100. I FOREIGN AFFAIRS 77 asked in the House of Commons, urging the intervention of the English Government, which would be practically identical with the interference of the Imperial Russian Government for the purpose of protesting against the further continuation of the Union between Great Britain and Ireland. It is hard to get away from the fact that as Finland is indisputably an integral part of the Russian Empire, her administration must be brought into line with that of Russia proper, to which she lies in the most immediate vicinity. Her internal autonomy is, as far as is compatible with her position as a Russian province, respected. It is probable that few of those who criticise, have read, the law of June 17/30, 1910. They resent rather the Imperial order for the payment of a military contribution, and the resolutions passed by the Joint Commission of Russians and Fins regarding the pro- mulgation of general State laws and the scope of general State legislation. There seems to the impartial observer nothing here to justify the academic protests of British and Continental jurists and professors. There is indeed little in the Treaty of Fredrickshamn upon which to found a claim to separate existence, nor can the contention hold that Finland was acquired with the consent of its people in 1809, for Russia undoubtedly obtained the Grand Duchy by conquest, what- ever were the wishes of its inhabitants. Finland never had a separate existence from Sweden, and the possession of a separate coinage is no proof of a separate State system.* Siberia possessed this attribute in the eighteenth century, as did Poland, long after she lost her political independence. Nor can a case be made out for tyrannical treatment by Russia. Indeed, in the days of Swedish rule Finland was under an obligation to provide^more than 13,000 troops, but under Russia she has provided only 2,000 men until, in 1881, seven years later than Russia, she came under the law of universal military service. SOMALILAND. Leaving Finland,' with its thousand lakes, and its glorious summer climate, for " the stark Arabian coast," Somaliland » "The Rights of Finland," by E. Berendts. 78 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS is the next controversial country, and though it is now under the Colonial Office it may most appropriately be treated as foreign in this work. The position in this barren land has been, and is likely again to be, the subject of debate in the House of Commons and in the country. It has been argued with some force that while we remained in Somaliland we were doing the Mullah no harm and our- selves no good, and we spent a great deal of money. The Coalition Government of Mr. Asquith therefore adopted a policy of concentration and withdrawal, which indeed had also been favoured by its Conservative predecessors. Prior to its being placed under the Foreign Office the Somaliland Protectorate was administered from Bombay and Aden, and at that period the British-Indian Government repudiated respon- sibility for maintaining peace outside a radius of ten miles from the coast and declined to preserve the tribes from raids or to compose any inter-tribal quarrels. It has been urged of late that a railway should be constructed from the coast to the interior, but obviously this would require a considerable gar- rison for its safeguarding, and would be accompanied by no guarantee that the present, or any future, Mullah would elect to fight us in such situation that we could use our own railway as our base, and there would, of course, be no commercial return. Nevertheless, the fact cannot be concealed that with- drawal from the interior and concentration on the coast, whether inevitable or not, exposes tribes friendly to ourselves to reprisals at the hands of those who are hostile to any British occupation. Advocates of withdrawal contend that the excommunication of the Mullah by the religious bodies at Mecca is a proof that his influence is reduced to vanishing- point, but it is not altogether conclusively proved that this decree issued from an authoritative quarter, and there is no guarantee that he, or a successor of his, will not again give trouble, nor is it altogether certain that no one will seek to succeed us in this inhospitable region if we withdraw. A foreign Power settled opposite Aden could make things very uncomfortable for us at that important coaling station, and in the Persian Gulf, Egypt, and even on the Indian coast. The I FOREIGN AFFAIRS 79 Government of Mr. Asquith sent out, no doubt with specific instructions, an admirable agent, Colonel Sir William Manning, who issued arms to the friendlies, and reported that they could hold their own against their enemies. But there is some reason for thinking that even the qualified peace and civilisation which we have introduced, has had the effect described by the Sikh chief who cursed the " Boasted progress that hunts our sons to school. That breaks the sword, that snaps the spear, and bids our courage cool." If this be so the outlook for the friendlies is other than pro- mising. Indeed, Sir William Manning, who evidently had instructions to concentrate, withdraw, and get the Govern- ment out of its difficulties, nevertheless reported that a period of disorder would probably follow upon withdrawal. It may well be argued that the policy pursued in Somaliland is a reversal of our traditional method of dealing with native races, and is likely to be represented, and not without reason, as the result of the defeat of the British by the Mullah, that Somaliland touches on British East Africa, where we want to keep a good name, that the Somalis are one of the finest and most intelligent races in Africa, over whom for twenty-five years we have exercised a more or less effective protectorate, and the interior of whose country we have administered for ten years, and that no notice was given of the impending new departure in policy, but evacuation was begun before the change was announced. Of course, Somaliland is a trouble- some, and in itself an unremunerative, territory, and there is much reason to fear that the policy adopted in. its behalf, as in many other matters, was dictated by the necessity, as the Coali- tion Government holds it to bo, of reducing expenditure under Imperial heads of account, in order to devote vast sums to the various processes of "making their calling and election sure," which are conveniently lumped together under the comprehensive title of social reform. It must, however, be admitted that the policy pursued by the Coalition Government does not widely differ in principle from that laid down by their predecessors, though considerable differences have marked its 80 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS execution, and Sir Edward Grey has evidently determined to reduce our responsibilities and make, if the expression may be used, a more spirited withdrawal than would have found favour with the opposite party. The Under Secretary of State, Colonel Seely, was justified in saying that "it was an agreed policy to retire from the coast as soon as that could be done without loss of prestige," * but it is by no means certain that this material condition has been fulfilled. It may be argued that the Coahtion Govern- ment wisely preferred some loss of prestige to a possible or probable expenditure of some millions of money in endeavour- ing to catch and defeat an elusive adversary, but that there has been some loss of presti.<^e, the extent of which it is difficult to define, could be equally fairly urged in reply. Illicit Arms Tbaffic. Throughout our long hostilities with the Mullah an illicit traffic in arms, in contravention of the Brussels Act of 1890, has been carried on, not only with the Somaliland Protectorate, but with Muscat and the Persian Gulf, where Persian Baluchi- stan and Afghanistan are brought into the sphere of opera- tions. This traffic it has proved impossible to stop, owing to the fact that the Sultan of Muscat, though directly under tbe protection of the Government of India, has treaties with Euro- pean Powers, and notably with France, under which he enjoys complete freedom of commerce, including the trade in arms, in his dominions. All other methods of putting a stop to this trade having failed, the Indian Government recently dispatched an expedition into the country hitherto known as Persian Baluchistan, but which, since Persia has enjoyed parlia- mentary government, has been practically independent of Teheran, and indeed has been bereft of any rule but that of might among its wild and lawless chieftains. Turkey. As regards Crete frequent interpellations hostile to Turkish supremacy are made by the same group which distrusts the * Parliamentary Debates, 1910, vol. 17, p. 708. FOREIGN AFFAIRS 81 humanity of the Belgians in the Congo, disbelieves in the dis- interestedness of the British in India, discredits the beneficial results of our activities in Africa, and believe that in Turkey a Mahomedan is always a bad man in the wrong, while a Christian is invariably a good man in the right. The spirited action of the so-called Young Turks in the assertion of Otto- man sovereignty in European Turkey has somewhat discon- certed this group with which the Coalition Government has to reckon, in spite of the hardly concealed opinion of its Foreign Secretary that their activities are most mischievous in character. Indeed, but for the notorious fact that the Young Turks enjoyed the friendship and protection of Ger- many, the Radical-Socialist-Labour group would long since have banned them with bell, book, and candle. The fact that the present Ottoman Government is a military des- potism is somewhat difficult of concealment, and there is no reason to suppose it suffers less from interested and men- dacious exaggeration than did the administration of the ex- Sultan. Albania. There is little doubt thsit the excesses and cruelties prac- tised by the armies of the Young Turks in Albania are, as the Ottoman Government claims, grossly exaggerated for political purposes, and that the Poite cannot be fairly criticised for insisting that the Albanians shall take their fair share of military duties and of public taxation. No Government could continue to exist which did not put down with a strong hand those who disobeyed a proclamation calling for surrender on a specified date. Nevertheless, the pursuit of the Albanians into their hills, the devastation of their villages, and the hardships inflicted upon these brave highlanders would have called for the concerted action of the Great Powers had a despotic Sultan, and not the Parliamentary Young Turks, organised the operations. There is more in the word Parliament than there ever was in the blessed word Mesopotamia, and a State possessed of any assembly pretending to the name appears to be exempt from the criticism of those bodies which instigate the Great Powers in general, and England 7 82 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS in particular, to intervene in the internal affairs of other countries. The Austrian Government, in its capacity of self-constituted guardian of Christians in the Ottoman Empire, is believed to have intervened in the middle of 1911 on behalf of the Albanian insurgents, and a feeling prevails throughout Europe that that Government is not unwilling to adopt the attitude of the Austrian Press, and say — - " Europe will have no rest until the eternal Balkan crises are radically solved once for all, and the alien element driven from the site of Eastern Rome." "^^ The Montenegrins, who are under the special patronage of Austria, if they have not been accomplices in the Albanian revolt, have unconcealed sympathy with the Albanian rebels, while the Czar of Bulgaria is alvvaj^s ready for any interven- tion which may lead to the aggrandisement of his brand-new kingly crown. Crete. Crete also has occupied the time of our Parliament and the attention of our Press, and the group of politicians, to which reference has more than once been made, has invariably encouraged the insubordination of this insignificant island, of the inhabitants of which, as St. Paul f tells us, Aratus wrote — " KptiTEc atl xpavfTTai, icaKa dqpia, yaaTipeq apyai. Whether or not they ever deserved such bad words, it may at least be said that they are no more desei'ving of the sympathy of Europe than their lawful masters the Turks. Sir Edward Grey, when the Foreign Office vote for 1911 was discussed in Parliament, :J said that while anxiety on the part of neighbouring countries was not unnatural, steps to limit the area of disturbance resulting from the condition * Vaterland, June 10, 1911. This was one of those journals which, like Frendenblatt, played so active a part in the agitation of 1908, which preceded the annexation of Bosnia and Hertzgovina in 1909. t Epistle to Titus, i. 12. J Parliamentary Debates, July 28, 1911. FOREIGN AFFAIRS 83 of affairs in Albania could not be initiated by us — a welcome intimation, as was his assurance that the Great Powers have no desire to be drawn into intervention in Turkey. In this behalf the Coalition Government of Mr. Asquith has, like its predecessors in ofi&ce, acted in conjunction with the other protecting Powers (France, Austria, and Italy) to dis- courage the extravagant pretensions of the Cretans, to maintain the suzerainty of the Sultan, the protection of the Mussulman inhabitants, and the furtherance of the government of the island under an autonomous regime.* The four Powers hold the island in trust, and continue to maintain the obligation of preserving the supreme rights of Turkey! , and the substitution of a veiled military despotism for an avowed autocracy has, of course, strengthened the hands of the Ottoman Porte and its reputation in certain previously unfriendly quarters. Austria took Bosnia and Hertzgovina from the Turk when he was unable to resist aggression ; but there is no doubt that the Turkish Government will now prove perfectly capable of suppressing revolt in Albania, Macedonia, and Crete, if other Powers do not intervene in the interests of the re- volters. Turkish territory is still the storm centre of the Near East, though intervention seems for the moment to be out of fashion. It really is as necessary now as ever to keep the Turks in, if the Russians are to be kept out of, Constantinople. Greece is an impossible heir, partly because of the unwarlike character of her inhabitants, and partly because she has no friend in Europe except Great Britain, whose friendship »falls short of fighting on her account. Austria can hardly stretch to Constantinople, even if internal tension allows her to retain her present widely scattered and heterogeneous dominions. If Bulgaria succeeds to the Turkish inheritance she will only rule as the obedient vassal of Russia. Meantime Turkey maintains a huge army on a war footing in order to keep the Mahomedans and Christians from killing each other, and to preserve peace in Macedonia,* which is • Parliamentary Debates, 1910, vol. 17, p. 1199. t Ibid., 1909, vol. 8, p. 651. 84 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS harried by Christian bands, half robber, half patriot, and wholly anti-Mahomedan. This army may be destined to play a considerable part in the politics of the Near Bast, but there are insufficient grounds for the theory which ascribes to the late Sultan a policy of bring- ing about a combination of all the Mahomedan communities in the world into a formidable Pan-Islamic opposition to Christi- anity and Christian civilisation. Indeed, the Mahomedans of Morocco, Persia, Afghanistan, India, and China are altogether outside Ottoman influence. Egypt. To pass from one to another Mahomedan country. Many features of the situation in Egypt recall those of the unrest in India. There is the same violence and unscrupulousness in the native Press ; the same insubordination and sedition in scholars and teachers ; the same clamour for clerkships and higher appointments; the same impatience of a foreign ascen- dancy ; the same reliance upon the Little England attitude favoured by the new democracy, and, to the ear at any rate, by the Coalition Government of Mr. Asquith ; the same delay and indecision in bringing criminals, claiming to be political offenders, to justice ; and the same forgetfulness of the misery and oppression which preceded British rule. There is, however, no Brahmin class, with its incalculable hold over the minds of the inhabitants, with its inherited capacity for statesmanship, and no freedom of action for making experiments in self-govern- ment, representation, and parliamentary or quasi-parliamentary government, such as we possess in India, for in Egypt we have become the trustees of Europe, which is unwilling that " the gift of the Nile " should become the spoil of the agitator. And Europe may well resent concessions to popular, or seemingly popular, clamour, which are injurious to the majority in Egypt, and indeed among other European Powers induce doubt as to our good faith, which is not dispelled by a study of the attitude assumed, not only without rebuke, but to some extent with encouragement in high places, of a group of Radicals, Socialists, and Irish Members. It is, or should be, FOREIGN AFFAIRS 85 well known that evacuation was impossible, that the abandon- ment of evacuation was distasteful to France, that from 1883 to 1904 Lord Cromer worked for a solution of this dilemma, and after overcoming many and great difficulties, by him it was eventually solved by the Anglo-French Agreement of 1904. In 1910 ex-President Roosevelt, after visiting many parts of British and other Africa, including Egypt, was granted the freedom of the City of London, on which occasion he dwelt upon " the wisdom of disregarding the well-meaning but unwise sentimentalists who object to the spread of civilisation at the expense of savagery," compared inde- pendence and self-government in the Sudan with " indepen- dence and self-government in a wolf-pack," and " as an American, a Radical, and a real, not a mock, democrat, pro- tested that the condition of affairs in Egypt was a grave menace to our Empire and to civilisation." And then he used the following memorable words, in which are enshrined a great truth of universal application : "In such a situation as yours in Egypt weakness, timidity, and sentimentality may cause even more far-reaching harm than violence and injustice. Of all broken reeds sentimentality is the most broken reed on which righteousness can lean."* As Mr. Roosevelt said, some nation must govern Egypt if it is not again to sink into a welter of chaos, and as we are there for the benefit of the inhabitants it is our duty to establish order and to treat as unworthy of self- government a people which, if it is to be judged by its press, regards assassination as the corner-stone of this system. It may be noted in passing that every word of this is applic- able not to the peoples, not to any one of the many peoples of India, but to the little band of Brahmins and Babus, who, with- out even representing their own class and caste, are accepted in Britain as the representatives of that non-existent, but often- mentioned, entity, " the people of India." Mr. Roosevelt was perfectly justified in his remarks regard- ing encouragement of assassination. The well-known journal of the Nationalist party, the Leiua, never lost an opportunity of attacking the Premier, Boutros Pasha, both as a Coptic * The Times, June 10, 1910, S6 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS Christian and as president of the Denshawai tribunal, or of glorifying Indian anarchists and assassins like Dhingra, the Socialists and anarchists, who met in conference at Geneva, and itinerant agitators, who were unfortunately members of the British Parliament, who have encouraged the aspira- tions of the half-educated proletariat. The Denshawai affair provided powder and shot for many an attack in Parliament upon the British administration by Irish, Labour, and extreme Radical Members. As in India, so in Egypt, a licentious Press has incited half- educated enthusiasts to assassination, and the British Agent, the late Sir Eldon Gorst, did not scruple to indict the Nationa- list leaders as morally responsible for the murder of the Prime Minister, Boutros Pasha, and after the submission of his report dealing with the events culminating in that odious and senseless crime, and the tonic supplied by Mr. Roosevelt's Guildhall speech, measures were taken, far more effectual than any yet adopted in India, to repress sedition and agitation in educational institutions; to break up secret societies, to afford a speedy means of deporting, and otherwise dealing with, offenders, and to curb the licence of the Press. But three measures laid before the Legislative Council were only enacted by the Council of Ministers in the teeth of the opposition of the former assembly, which unequivocally took the side of the irreconcilable Nationalists. A speech made upon his assumption of ofiSce by the late Sir Eldon Gorst, probably under instructions from the home Government, in which he said we would only remain in Egypt till the Egyptians were fit for self-government, may be said to have been the beginning of the troubles, which came to a head in 1909-10. There is no need on this account to ascribe to Sir Eldon Gorst, a zealous, able, and courageous public servant, any personal responsibiHty for what is unsatis- factory in the present condition of Egypt. The policy of asso- ciating the Egyptians to a greater extent in the administration was indeed begun by Lord Cromer, and was only continued and developed by his successor. It was thought, erroneously as it proved, that though the Government might become less FOREIGN AFFAIRS 87 efficient, it would in this way become moi^e popular ; but we are now less feared and more disliked than we were by the English-educated class we have created. The very un- necessary submission of the agreement between the Govern- ment and the Suez Canal Company to the National Assembly gave that body the opportunity of exhibiting its anti-British feeling, and the agreement had no chance of being considered on its merits. Sir Eldon Gorst reported that the action of the General Assembly was characterised by an entire lack of con- fidence in the intentions and good faith of the Government, and that British financial and commercial interests were adversely affected ; but Sir Edward Grey * declined to take any steps to enforce the adoption of the agreement, on the, under the circumstances not very convincing, ground that intervention could only be effected in the interests of Egypt. Meanwhile affairs in Egypt have attracted attention in other quarters. British policy has been persistently and consistently attacked in the German Press, and indications have not been wanting of the activity of German capitalists, such as heralded in Turkey the initiation of that political, rather than economic enterprise, the Baghdad Railway ; while the rank of Minister Plenipotentiary has been conferred upon the German Agent in Cairo. In fact, it might fairly be stated that German influence increases day by day in the land of Egypt,! while the weak and nerveless attitude of the British administration towards the revolutionary, or so called Nationalist, party impairs the firm position it had formerly occupied. At the same time, British capital, so necessary for development, has been naturally shy of visiting a country in the throes of political unrest, and in 1910, for the first time for nearly twenty years, Egyptian Unified Stock fell below par, while considerable difficulty has been experienced in obtaining repayment of advances made by the Agricultural Bank of Egypt, owing to the action of agitators who predicted early evacuation by the British army of occupation. • In answer to Sir J. D. Rees, July 4, 1910. t An officially subsidised daily German newspaper, the Aegyptische Nachricten, was established in October, 1911. No similar English organ exists. 88 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS Egypt, like India, is a touchstone whereby to test the capa- city of a democracy for governing an Empire, in which those who have taken any part in the task, will not feel the greater confidence, now that payment of Members of Parliament has been adopted by the Coalition Government. Nor is the in- sistence by democracy, or rather by those who till now arrogate to themselves its special representation, upon the application of British methods to Oriental countries, and upon the intro- duction of our own system of education, of happy augury, seeing how great a failure has hitherto attended this policy in India and in Egypt, in which latter country our task has been the harder and our failure perhaps the greater, because we work through agents who are not possessed of executive authority. It is in education that we have chiefly failed, and it is in respect of this all-important branch of administration that we most need to act in accord with local environment, local tradition, and local requirements, abjuring above all things adoption of European unsectarian and conventional standards. Not only are the Egyptians utterly unfit, as they them- selves have proved, to govern themselves, but how is self-government possible in a country, in which all important laws have to receive the consent of seventeen different Powers of Europe? None of these Powers would waive their rights, unless the administration of Egypt was actually in the hands of one of the great European Powers, and all, including the English in Egypt, would scout the idea of yielding an inch in regard to capitulations, or anything else, if they saw Egypt on the threshold of a great and rapid expansion of native Parlia- mentary institutions. The creation of an impression to this effect was the great mistake made since Lord Cromer retired from the ofifice he held so long with such advantage to the cause of civilisation and good government in what ceased in his time to be the House of Bondage. Pan-Islamism. The Pan-Islamic movement, which need not necessarily be anti-British, is a force with which Britain must none the less FOREIGN AFFAIRS 89 count. It is really but one of many phases of the Asiatic awakening, which Japanese victories have so much advanced. All Asia, including all Islam, rejoiced to see an Asiatic, defeat a first-class European, Power. But when the Government of the day in England inclines a favourable ear to, or at the least abstains from rebuking, the ignorant and bigoted abuse showered in Parliament upon Mahomedan rulers and Ma- homedan rule, a hostile feeling must naturally be engendered and perpetuated. The stream for the moment has dried up, and with the deposition of that most astute and able ruler, Abdul Hamid, Ottoman rule is no longer so strongly animated by that steady, unswerving purpose of bringing into closer and mightier cohesion the whole Mahomedan world under one sceptre, which was the chief feature of the late Sultan's rule.^' The Congo. Amongst the subjects connected with the foreign department, which have been frequently debated in the country and in Parliament, and upon which a distinct difference of opinion exists, is that of the Congo. The extreraer the Radical the more determined he is to force the hand of the Belgian Govern- ment, and he docs not stop to reflect that the intervention of Belgium in this vast and savage region has already sensibly leavened its inhabitants with at any rate some slight flavour of civilisation, or that the Belgian people are no less humane and at the least no less anxious than w^e are that the administration of their African possessions should be a credit to their nation. So oblivious of the facts arc these breathless philanthropists that while they vote one day for reducing the naval estimates, and hampering the War Minister in his thankless and des- perately difficult task of providing for the defence of the country, on the morrow they are prepared to go to war with Belgium and Germany in order to prevent mutilation and cruelty in a region in which the lopping of a limb has for ages been the common punishment for theft and other offences, and in which cruelty is so much a matter of course, that until the • " Pan-Islamism," by V. Chirol, Central Asian Society, November 14, 1906. 90 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS advent of the Belgians it was not regarded as an evil. Free Churches pass resolutions condemning forced labour, one of the most time-honoured of the customs of the country, though Radicals protest that the foreign possessions of European Powers should be administered in accordance with native methods. The British Government has been urged again and attain, in and out of Parliament, to withhold its consent to the annexation of the Congo by Belgium until complete reform is effected. No date is assigned for the realisation of this pious aspiration;-'' but as England is held by the party which supports the Government, to need reform at the present day in respect of everything except her tariff, thousands of years must elapse before the Congo qualifies, according to British standards, for annexation by Belgium. The resolutions passed by various Churches and associations are wholly lacking in humour, when they commence by pro- fessing cordial goodwill towards the Belgian people, which they then proceed to condemn, root and branch, lock, stock, and barrel, as wanting in an elementary sense of humanity. It is quite probable that Belgium has derived somewhat more revenue than is justifiable from its vast Central African territories, but there are not wanting Members of Parliament who say the same of the British "drain" from India, and are equally ready to charge its agents with all that inhumanity which, according to them, is the inevitable equipment of the representatives of the Belgians in Africa. The Belgian Govern- ment proposes to restore freedom of labour and freedom of trade within three years in the territory under the direct con- trol of the State, but it does not apply this counsel of perfection to districts conceded to foreign companies, with which it pro- poses to make individual arrangements. Honest and com- passionate sympathisers with the inhabitants of the Congo should remember that the credibility of the evidence of missionaries received a severe shock by the finding of the • The Under-Secretary of State said the Government would wait till the whole of the three zones into which the country was divided had been opened to trade. Mr. Acland in answer to Mr. A. E. E. Gardner in House of Commons, November 23, 1911. FOREIGN AFFAIRS Dl Southern Nigerian Liquor Commission, and that proof of the existence of many maimed and ill-treated Congolese is not identical with proof that their condition is due to Belgian intervention. That there have been abuses connected with the collection of rubber is pretty clear, but it is hardly as clear that the Belgian civil servants, though indirectly responsible, encouraged those abuses. The Belgian people naturally deeply resent pictures drawn by irresponsible Congophobes for the purpose of misleading English opinion, and the Belgian Colonial Minister, M. Renkin, made an independent journey in the Congo region before he de- clared that the pictures drawn in England are in flagrant con- tradiction with the reality. No person acquainted with the elementary conditions of the situation would deny his state- ment that it is impossible to immediately revolutionise the land system in these vast, unexplored, and thinly populated tracts. The Belgians now distinctly recognise the right of the native to harvest the products of the soil, but their critics maintain that the continuance of the principle of State ownership of vacant land constitutes a fatal flaw in the Congo reform scheme. Such critics have, however, little or no acquaintance with the position of the State in respect of unoccupied land out- side the comparatively narrow limits of Europe, and for the moment they forget that State ownership of land, occupied or unoccupied, is one of the planks in the platform of their Socialist allies. They urge, too, that the exception made in favour of the concessionaire companies is suflicient to inspire doubt of the sincerity of the whole scheme of reform. On the other hand, it is argued by the Belgians that no reform can be immediately carried out over an area half a hundred times as large as that of Belgium, and containing 950,000 square miles, inhabited by 20 or 30 millions of people amongst whom canni- balism and the slave trade still flourish.* * See Cd. 5860 (1911). Mr. Thurston, Vice-Consul in Kasai, reported that the former regime, to the continuance of which the ill-treatment of natives may be attributed, is undergoing a radical change, that the Government decrees are being sincerely interpreted, but that the results of the past cannot be wiped out in a day. He noted a great improvement on the conditions described by Consul Thesiger in 1908. 92 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS If the whole area of the Congo were at once thrown open to freedom of trade, all concessions would be useless until arrange- ments were made for the effective protection of trader against the native and of native against the trader, who may debauch him with drink and take his produce at unremunerative rates. It must be remembered that the area now opened up includes the country adjacent to the great waterways, and to the possessions of other European Powers, which alone is now accessible to traders ; that to throw open the whole area to unrestricted commerce would be practically to favour the crea- tion of fresh monopolies, and that the concessionaires have legal and transferable rights which must be respected by a civilised administration. The Government of Belgium also asserts that forced labour has already to a great extent been abolished. In Belgium the good faith of their rulers is not denied even by the party which has arraigned the past misgovernment of the Congo. It cannot be too clearly understood that responsible statesmen in Belgium assert that accusations of cruelty and oppression brought against Belgian Colonial administration are utterly unfounded, and that the persistent reiteration of these charges is deeply resented. In short, the Belgians would say it is "righteousness," and not self-righteousness, "that ex- alteth a nation," and their Court of Appeal in the Congo ■'■ confirmed the sentence passed in 1909 on Lieutenant Arnold of twelve years' penal servitude for complicity in the Monegalla outrages. The British Government makes much of the necessity for recognition, but the Belgian Government holds that neither international law nor existing conventions require such formahty. The Baghdad Railway. A matter, unlike the Congo, of real importance to Great Britain is the Baghdad Railway. Since the British Govern- ment in 1903 declined to take any hand in the proposals for the Anglo-Franco-German construction of this line, the con- ditions of the Middle East have been entirely changed as * The Times, July 28, 1911. FOREIGN AFFAIRS 93 regards the relative positions held by Turkey, Germany, and Great Britain, and as regards the position of England in Persia, which has been greatly prejudiced by the withdrawal of Western Persia and the northern shores of the Gulf from the British sphere of influence. This arrangement, like most others of contemporary date, will inevitably make for the greater aggrandisement of Germany, and the Power which controls the Gulf section of the Baghdad Railway will necessarily dominate South- West Persia and to some extent menace the security of our Indian Empire. The interests of the British Government in this project are twofold. We have commercial and economic interests in every section of the railway — from the Mediterranean to the Persian Gulf ; and political, strategic, and Imperial interests in those sections which are in the neighbourhood of the Gulf, As to the first, over almost the whole of the area covered by the railway British trade is predominant. We have to see, therefore, that British ti'ade shall not be subject to any differential treatment in the future. A mere clause in the statutes of the Railway Company prohibiting differential rates is not sufficient, for it would be comparatively easy to frame a tariff favouring categories of goods which come mainly from Germany, as opposed to goods coming mainly from Great Britain and India. As Lord Morley said in the House of Lords in March, 1911 : " People do not yet recognise how enormous are the issues involved, how enormous is the area involved. The Govern- ment fully realise that British trade interests in these regions are of real and enormous importance." Lord Fitzmaurice, who represented the Foreign Office, speaking in 1906, said the Baghdad Railway was one of the greatest questions of the times, and occupied the same position in the Oriental world which many years ago was occupied by the making of the Suez Canal. The line has so far not been constructed beyond the Taurus mountains, and capital must be raised before real progress can be made with the next most expensive sec- 94 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS tion, in which much tunnelling, cutting, and bridging will be necessary. The need for further capital is urgent and immediate, but the assent of England and France is necessary to an increase in the Turkish customs duties, without which money for a guarantee can hardly be raised, and this assent probably cannot be got without some compensation. Although a good deal of French capital is already through underground channels employed in the project, the Government of France has not yet admitted Baghdad Railway stock to an official quota- tion on the Paris Bourse. Every increase in Turkish customs falls mainly on British commerce, as we supply three-fifths of the trade on which these duties are levied, while at the same time we are the only Power which gives Turkish products free admission to its home markets. It is therefore by no means clear why the English should be asked to agree to an increase in customs in order to facilitate the construction of railways whereby a German army corps could, if necessary, be poured into Syria within two weeks of the declaration of war, to say nothing of the probable effect of the completed project on our position in the Gulf and in India. Under the kilometric guarantee system on which the line is built, the remuneration being the same for the easy as for the difiScult sections, it paid the Railway Company to stop on the western side of the Taurus. It is pretty certain that the construction annuities leave a very substantial balance to the promoters; and under Article 35 of the Railway Convention, until the gross receipts per kilometre reach 4,500 francs, or £180, per annum, the difference between that sum and the actual gross receipts will be made up to the Company by the Ottoman Government. It is obvious that under this arrangement there can be no loss to the Company so long as the gross kilometric receipts are kept down below £180. Their interest, therefore, is to discourage traffic, and take the balance of profit on construction without running any risk of a counter-balance on working expenses, because, when once a profit of £400 is reached, the excess above that amount is FOREIGN AFFAIRS 95 divided in the proportion of 40 to the Company and 60 to the Government, an arrangement unusually favourable to the latter party to the agreement. The amount might well be considered excessive, but, on the other hand, a guarantee of some sort, which is found necessary in India, is far more indispensable in Turkey to the introduction of foreign capital. The construction guarantee provides that the Turkish Government shall pay the Company £10,764 of 4 per cent. Gov- ernment bonds for each kilometre completed, according to a stringent specification, for which amount, worth about £8,500 in cash at present, rolling stock also must be provided. Though this sum left a large margin on the easy Kouieh-Eregli, it will be quite insufficient on the Taurus, section, which has next to be made, and it is doubtful if a proiit of more than 15 per cent. will be realised on the whole length — not such a very excessive rate when the risks of investment in Turkey are considered. It would appear, then, that the severe strictures passed upon the greed and extortion of the promoters are hardly justified upon a dispassionate consideration of the facts. A great deal of superfluous sympathy is, however, as is usual in England, expended upon those who either are, or consider themselves to be, quite capable of looking after their own interests. It must never be forgotten that the Baghdad Railway is a German concession in Turkish territory, which originally pro- vided for the construction of a railway reaching from the heart of Asia Minor to some undefined point upon the Persian Gulf. This point is generally regarded as Koweit, and indeed it is hard to say what other place would offer the requisite accommodation. The British have, however, hitherto exercised a practical protectorate over the Sheikh of Koweit, and the promoters of the Baghdad Railway acknowledged his independence by sending an unsuccessful mission in 1900 to ask him for a concession for a harbour. The Turks, when the prospect of the construction of the railway became known, endeavoured to assert their dormant, if existent, suzerainty. In 1901 the senior British naval officer in the Gulf expelled 96 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS from Koweit Harbour, a Turkish corvette with troops, and when that town was threatened from Central Arabia, it was Great Britain which saved it from destruction. It appears that the Turks have succeeded in encroaching upon the out- lying portions of the Sultan of Koweit's dominions ; but there is little fear now of the reassertion of any claims to Koweit itself from this quarter, unless Germany should claim " com- pensations " in the improbable event of England's extending her influence or augmenting her territory in any direction. Under the original agreement only general rights were enjoyed beyond Baghdad, and the choice of a terminus was expressly reserved for special agreement between the Company and the Turkish Government. Words would be wasted in proving that Great Britain should have control over the Gulf section, for nearly 90 per cent, of the trade to Baghdad is British and Indian, and large numbers of Indian subjects visit and hve at the neighbouring holy places. But while there are unanswerable reasons why England should have the chief control in the Gulf section, there are more good reasons why she should prefer that no railway through Turkey should reach the Gulf. It is by no means certain, indeed it is hardly likely, that the construction of such a line would increase our trade ; it would probably never pay, and it would bring other nations to what is practically as much a British, as the Caspian is a Russian, lake. Now that Germany has arrived at an understanding with Russia, as regards railway spheres of interest, she is free to push her wares in Central and Southern Persia, and with the aid of the Baghdad Railway and by manipulation of rates she will be able to compete successfully with British goods. Germany, and Turkey under her auspices, are already com- mencing to compete with Russia in Northern, and with England in Southern, Persia, and Turkey's hold on her more distant eastern provinces will be immensely increased by the completion of this politically important enterprise. Besides a branch of the railway from a point near Baghdad to Khanikin, the entry to the Kermanshah route into Persia, which it is settled shall be made, branches to the north have FOREIGN AFFAIRS 97 been coutemplated from Mosul, Nisibin, aud Harran, and the Ottoman Government has entertained the idea of a line from Trebizond to Erzerum. These projects have, owing to the direct or indirect influence of German official or unofficial agencies, been abandoned, to the satisfaction of Russia, which thus postpones the approach of a strategic railway towards her frontiers. Sir Edward Grey has stated that England can success- fully demand guarantees of equal treatment and the absence of preferential rates. It can only be hoped that he is justified in this pronouncement, but our fate under similar circum- stances in other directions does not inspire a firm hope that he is right. As regards the Baghdad-Khauikin section, when the Russian railway is complete from Teheran down to the frontier, the whole of the trade of Northern and Central Persia, so far as it goes down to the south by the customary caravan route to Bushire, will probably be diverted to the new line. Hence the importance for the protection of British trade of the branch, for a concession for w^hich the British Government has applied, from Burujird southwards to the Gulf. This route would have a very great advantage over that from Bushire to the interior by way of Shiraz and Ispahan, which is one of the worst tracks in the world, and by its adoptiou British goods for Persia would not need to enter Turkish territory, as the line would run through the whole length, north and south, of the sphere which was left neutral under the Anglo-Persian agreement. This railway would also connect with the contemplated Russian line from Teheran to Khanikin, to which place a branch of the Baghdad Railway will be con- structed. It is not likely that this British concession can be refused in view of the autograph letter of Nasr-ed-Din Shah of 1888, in which he declared " that his former promise with regard to the priority of the British Government over others in the construction of the southern railways held good, that certainly whenever a railway concession in the north was given to others, imme- diately a concession for a railway from Teheran to Shustar 98 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS should be given to an English company, and that no southern railway concession would, without consultation with the British Government, be granted to any foreign country." These explicit assurances were confirmed in 1900 by Muzaffer-ed- Din Shah, are in full force to the present day, and are not likely to be repudiated so long as Great Britain and Russia act in accord. Owing to the fact that the greater part of the northern shore of the Persian Gulf is declared to be a neutral sphere under the Anglo-Russian Convention, it is by no means impossible that if Germany controlled the Gulf section of the Baghdad Railway, German policy might contemplate the extension of the line from Busra along the coast of the Gulf to, or beyond, Bushire. It is obvious that Great Britain should carefully watch all developments of this far-reaching proposition, though Russia, which was understood to regard the whole scheme with disapproval, may have been, and obviously has been for the moment, pacified. True it is that the German concessionaires have now renounced the right they had under the original concession to construct the section from Baghdad to the Gulf, for the good reason that funds are obviously not likely to be forth- coming for the completion of the whole length. But new conventions were signed in the spring of 1911 dealing with the construction from El Halif to Baghdad, and with a new branch of 38J miles to Alexandretta, to which no kilometric guarantee is attached. This compensation for the renunciation of the Gulf section is more than sufficient, for it will probably draw to the Mediterranean, by the new route, all the traffic which now goes to Baghdad and southwards to the British sphere of the Gulf. The concession for the Baghdad Railway covers a period of ninety-nine years, but its life will be longer, because the terms run from the dates on which the bonds in connection with the different sections are issued. Amongst the minor concessions and exemptions comprised in the original scheme was included the right to found a port on the future terminus at the Gulf, and an unrestricted right FOREIGN AFFAIRS 99 of navigation in the Tigris and Euphrates, to exclusive control of which the Turkish Government now puts forward a probably untenable pretension. It is said that the stipulation which found place in the original concession, to the effect that the Gulf section should not be begun until the line was completed as far as Baghdad, was insisted on by the ex-Sultan Abdul Hamid, for the express purpose of keeping Britain back till Germany was well established in the Mesopotamian capital. The Turkish Government believe, it is said, that the line will be completed within five years as far as Baghdad, but this is probably an altogether over-sanguine estimate. The conventions created in 1911 between the Ottoman Government and the Baghdad Railway Company are four in number. The first makes financial provision for the construction between El Halif and Baghdad, the second gives the Company the right to build a branch to the Mediterranean at Alexan- dretta, the third gives power to the Company to construct a new port at the same place, and the fourth relates to the continuation from Baghdad to Busra and to the Persian Gulf. There can be no doubt that the acquisition of the port of Alexandretta is a serious matter, for the Germans, as Mr. Lynch pointed out, have now obtained full and undisputed control of the machinery of transport and connection from the coast of the Mediterranean to the frontier of Persia.* It is true that the German syndicate at the same time renounced its right to construct the section from Baghdad to the Gulf, and left Turkey free to provide for this section by internal arrangement ; but Germany under the scheme is entitled to have a share equal to that of any other Power in this section. The British-built trade on the lower Tigris is no doubt endangered, for Germany will have under her control, not only the trunk railway, but the branch to Khanikin on the Persian frontier, which must divert trade from Busra and the Gulf to Alexandretta and the Mediter- * Fortnightly Review, May, 1911 ; " The Baghdad Railway," M. Chdra- dame. Central Asian Society, 1911. 100 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS ranean. There is also reason to fear that Baghdad itself may, like Alexandretta, be leased to the German syndicate. It is not known what success has attended the negotiations between the British and Persian Governments for the opening of the Karun Valley by railway, but this is not the only railway scheme affecting Persia now under consideration. * Railways to India. One proposal is to link Baku on the Caspian with Quetta by a line from the Trans-Caucasian Railway skirting the shore of the Caspian and crossing the Elburz mountains to Teheran, whence it would run through Kashan, Yezd, and Kerman to British Baluchistan. The latter part of this, the Russian scheme, lies through desert, but from the shores of the Caspian to Kerman is an easy alignment which admits of diversion to Bam and Bampur and thence to Kotri on the Indus or to Karachi. Russia, however, might prefer to make a line from Teheran to Mashad, whence it would be easy to link up with her system in Turkestan. Of course, it remains to be seen whether Germany can, without British help, raise money for the farther prosecution of the Baghdad Railway, but until this great project is more actively prosecuted than it is at present, Russian railway schemes in Persia will probably not be stimulated into great activity, and Germany cares less about Koweit, but confidently looks to tapping Persian trade through the branch from Khanikin to Baghdad. In 1903 the position very generally adopted was that, with the Baghdad Railway, and particularly the Gulf section, under the control of the greatest military Power in the world, the British position in Egypt would be enveloped, the route to India would be turned, and Persia would be bound to a Power far more to be dreaded and far more formidable, in fact, than Russia. The disposition now is to disregard these apprehensions, and * " Railways in ths Middle East," H. F. B. Lynch ; " Proposed Trans- Persian Railway," by Colonel Yate. FOREIGN AFFAIRS 101 to doubt whether this railway will ever be used as an alterna- tive to the present sea route to India, since a sea journey of over 1,100 miles is inevitable ; the climate of the Gulf is worse than that of the Red Sea, the mail service by the latter route admits of considerable acceleration, if competition super- venes, and for goods the longer sea line must always be the cheaper." India therefore is less directly concerned than might be supposed, but the effect of the intrusion of Germany into the Gulf would be most unfortunate and indirectly dis- astrous. Now, however, that the Gulf section is withdrawn from the German concession, a means of accommodation is afforded. But if British capital makes, or participates in making, this section, which can only pay, if the Mesopotamian irrigation schemes mature, Britain must decide upon the loca- tion of the terminus, whether it should be at Busra, forty-five miles up the joint Tigris and Euphrates, or Shat-el-Arab, or preferably at Koweit, the only natural harbour on the Gulf, situated a little to the south of the mouth of the river. The Koweit question brings us into direct conflict with Turkish pretensions in that region, which might yet give no little trouble. Every consideration points to the wisdom of non-intervention in Albania, wherein the British philanthropists are urging that we should interfere, and wherein our interference would neces- sarily exasperate the Turks. Sir Edward Grey gave great satisfaction to sober-minded men by saying in Parliament that " the Government could not contemplate the sort of intervention," irritating and ineffectual, he might have added, " which took place under the old regime in Mace- donia. The Great Powers of Europe had no desire to be drawn into intervention in Turkey, which would mean the destruction of the new regime and the hopes founded upon it."f There seems happily to be little fear that Great Britain will be persuaded to take a "humanitarian initiative" on this occa- sion, albeit the " Liberal and Constitutional Committee," which is masked by the Ottoman Parliament, has proved no more * TJie Times ("British Interests in the Persian Gulf"), July 25, 1911. t Parliamentary Debates, July 23, 1911. 102 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS acceptable to the associations and humanitarians than the " Great Assassin," Abdul Hamid. MOEOCCO. The intervention of the French in June, 1911, in the internal affairs of Morocco may be fairly held to have been directly within the terms of the Algeciras Act, the Madrid Treaty of 1880, and the Secret Treaty between France and Spain of 1904.* The French, moreover, entered the country by the express invitation of the Sultan, and for the purpose of strengthening his authority, but the Spanish intervention at Alcazar was uninvited by the Sultan, and was a patent breach of the Algeciras Agreement. It was, moreover, so regarded by the tribes. It is roundly asserted, however, in Radical quarters, which charge themselves with the protection of all non-European nations, that the French expedition to Fez was a wanton exploitation of a meaningless scare arranged by stockbrokers, who deal in Moorish loans, and by armour-plate firms, and as soon as France decided to send troops, Germany instructed her legation at Tangier to investigate the expulsion by the French of a German mining expedition from Debu. Now, Germany handles only 10 per cent, of the total trade with Morocco, as against 40 per cent, in British, and an almost equal amount in French, hands. Cotton goods are the chief imports from England, and the total trade is worth upwards of 2^ millions sterling to this country. The German need for new markets was stimulated by the proposed treaty between Canada and the United States, which must have had the effect of checking their exports. Local interests have accord- ingly been created in North Africa, as they have been in Asia Minor, upon which diplomatic agreements have been founded, and Germany has practically torn up the Algeciras Act and the Franco-German agreement of 1909, by sending warships to Agadir. She has no valuable rights in Morocco, for the renunciation of which she can fairly claim compensation. No Powers other than France and Spain have other than economic * No. 24 Treaty Series 1911 [Cd. 5969]. FOREIGN AFFAIRS 103 interests in Morocco, and there was no possible justification, other than such as is derived from the law of the strongest, for the demand that France should cede the coast and interior of the French Congo up to the Sanga River, together with French rights of pre-emption in the Congo, as compensation to Ger- many for loss of rights, which she never possessed, in Morocco. Indeed, Germany expressly recognised as much in her agree- ment of February, 1909, with France, when she declared that "the special political interests of France are closely bound up with the consolidation of order and peace in the interior," and that she was "resolved not to impede these interests." * The expedition to Fez was not challenged by Germany, and there can be no pretence that there was any similar justification for the German " demonstration " at Agadir. By the Anglo-French Convention of 1904 this country recognised the right of France to assist in the administrative, economic, financial, and military reforms of Morocco, and the Algeciras Act recognised the special position of France and Spain in regard to that country, and at the same time declared that order, peace, and prosperity could only be based upon the triple principle of the sovereignty and independence of the Sultan of Morocco and the integrity of his State. Mr. Asquitht stated in July, 1911 that the French and German Governments were engaged in negotiations to which Great Britain was not a party, and that she would in no case interfere with territorial arrangements considered reasonable by those directly interested. Failing a settlement, we should, however, he intimated, become an active party in the discus- sion of the situation, as a signatory of the Treaty of Algeciras, under the terms of our agreement of 1901 with France, and possibly in defence of British interests directly afi'ected by further developments. Mr. Balfour added a few impressive and patriotic words, and the occasion was not allowed to pass without a jarring note from the Labour Party, the leader of which for the time, Mr. Macdonald, said that if the path of peace was to be wrecked his friends would stand by peace after it was wrecked, by which presumably he referred to the • The Times, July 28, 1911. t Parliaioentary Debates, July 28, 1911. 104 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS sinister and odiously unpatriotic threat of a general strike, by which our arms might be paralyzed in case of war, which is one of the articles of the Internationalist Socialist creed. Finally, in November, 1911, an agreement* was concluded whereby Germany gave France a free hand politically in Morocco. German economic interests in that country were safeguarded, and cessions in the French Congo increased the German Cameroons by an area estimated at from 100,000 to 200,000 square miles. On November 27th, Sir E. Grey, while studiously conciliatory in tone, showed in the House of Commons that Germany had wholly failed to shake the Anglo- French entente, that England had expressed her intention of standing by her friend whatever the consequences might be, and he said that " when one nation had the biggest army in the world, and a big navy which it was going to increase, it must do all in its power to prevent a natural apprehension that it had aggressive intentions." Mr. Bonar Law strongly supported Sir E. Grey, Vv^hose spirited action met with considerable opposition on his own side of the House, and provoked an open attack by Lord Courtney in the House of Lords. A feature of this incident, which met with universal disapproval, was the bellicose and untimely intervention of the Chancellor of the Exchequer, Mr. George, and the general result was that England and Germany were left in the position of potential antagonism, which they previously occupied. Alliance with Japan. Under Lord Lansdowne's Treaty of 1905 with Japan, England was bound to come to her assistance in war in certain definite contingencies. The objects of the Treaty were : — (a) The consolidation and maintenance of the general peace in the regions of Eastern Asia and of India ; (6) The preservation of the common interests of all Powers in China by insuring the independence and integrity of the Chinese Empire and the principle of equal opportunities for the commerce and industry of all nations in China ; * This agreement, ratified by the Chamber of Deputies, on December 20th, 1911, awaits ratification of the French Senate. FOREIGN AFFAIRS 105 (c) The maintenance of the territorial rights of the High Contracting Parties in the regions of Eastern Asia and of India, and the defence of their special interests in the said regions. In order to carry out these objects the following agreement was made by Article 2, viz. : — " If by reason of unprovoked attack or aggressive action, wherever arising, on the part of any other Power or Powers either Contracting Party should be involved in war in defence of its territorial rights or special interests mentioned in the preamble of this Agreement, the other Contracting Party will at once come to the assistance of its ally, and will conduct the war in common, and make peace in mutual agreement with it." It will bo clear that the clauses providing for mutual assistance ia war given by one to the other of the High Con- tracting Parties could not apply when one of such Parties was fighting a nation with which the other Party to the Treaty had concluded an Arbitration Agreement. The Alliance was accordingly revised and renewed in July, 1911, for a period of ten years from date of signature, its provisions and objects being unchanged except in respect of the omission of stipulations, now unnecessary, regarding Japanese rights in Corea and British rights on the Indian frontier, and of the insertion of the new Article 4, which is given below, viz. : — " Should either High Contracting Party conclude a treaty of general arbitration with a third Power, it is agreed that nothing in this Agreement shall entail upon such Contracting Party an obligation to go to war with the Power with whom such treaty of arbitration is in force." One of the most significant features of the new Agreement is not recorded, namely, the fact that its revision and renewal were carried out after full consultation at the Imperial Con- ference with the Dominion Premiers, who, it is believed, gave the Treaty their complete support. The renewal of the Alliance causes general satisfaction in Australia, because it gives her ten years in which to strengthen her defences,* in Canada because the practical exclusion of the United States from its operation removes the only serious objection held by » The Times, July 17, 1911. 106 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS her to the Alliance, in America because of the acceptance of the principle of Mr. Taft's proposed treaty of arbitration and because of its proof of a friendly disposition on the part of Japan towards the United States. The Franhfurter Zeitung observed '^' that the Treaty would, in the event of a war between England and Germany, acquire a very real importance ; and it is probable no disappointment would have been felt in Germany had the Alliance been wrecked upon the difficulties between England and America, which resulted from the tension between the latter country and Japan. Arguments For and Against the Maintenance of Friendly Relations with Russia. FOR. 1. Russia is fast adopting Representative Institutions, and her present ruler has created a Parliament, assisted the Parliamentarians in Persia, and established the Hague Conference. 2. The internal and financial administration of Russia is a matter with which we have no concern. 3. As a fact bitter enemies of the Russian Government, against which they are offenders, and by which they have been expelled from Russia, are busily occupied all over Europe in misrepresenting the state of affairs in the Russian Empire. 4. We have important trade relations with Russia, are near neighbours in Asia engaged in the same civilising mission, and our friendly co-opera- tion is most advantageous to ourselves and to the world. 5. Russia and England are both close friends and almost allies of France, and both have occasion to dread the rapid aggrandisement and increasing strength of Germany. AGAINST. 1. It is not desirable that the British democracy should be associated with an autocratic Power like Russia, which denies liberty of thought, of the press, and of speech. 2. Friendly visits should not be exchanged between the Czar and the King, which would increase the credit of Russia and enable the Russian Government to raise money in London for the coercion of its subjects and the strengthening of autocracy. * July 15, 1911. FOREIGN AFFAIRS 107 3. The evidence of Russians exiled and persecuted for their political opinions should not be the subject of suspicion. They are martyrs in the cause of progress and liberty. 4. Her Government's treatment of Finland and of the Duma proves that Bussia has not sincerely entered upon the path of parliamentary government. Arguments For and Against Recent Russian Legislation regarding finland. FOR. 1. The unwelcome intervention of foreigners must produce a feeling of resentment, which cannot but express itself in hostility to Finland. The relations between Russia and Finland are of a domestic character, like those existing between Great Britain and Ireland, with which Russia does not attempt to interfere. 2. The Finnish Parliament still predominates in respect of legislation regarding, and the general management of, Finnish affairs. 3. No laws can be passed without reference to the Finnish Senate for opinion, and Finland is duly represented in the Duma. 4. The previously existing constitution of Finland could not survive in its entirety the creation of the Duma and of the Imperial Council, and the changes made, amount to the introduction of parliamentary, and the cessation of autocratic, rule in the Grand Duchy. 5. The opposition to Russia in Finland is Swedish, not Finnish, and does not exist among the latter Nationals.* The Swedish Party have been plotting to wrest Finland from Russia, and have joined in the Russian revolutionary movement, of which the murders of Bobrikoff and Plehve were incidents. The Swedes are only 14 per cent, of the population. 6. The pro-Finnish agitation in Europe was carefully organised by certain anti-Russian and pro-Nihilist revolutionaries from Finland. 7. Russian repressive action dates from the adoption of active anti- Russian measures by Finnish Swedes. 8. Russia cannot be bound by an undertaking only to promulgate laws with the consent of the Finnish Diet, now that that body has adopted universal suffrage. Women cannot run the Russian Empire. AGAINST. 1. The Emperors of Russia are sworn to respect the internal autonomy of Finland, which has nevertheless been whittled away from time to time by Russian autocracy. The Finnish Revolution," by G. Dobson, p. 11. 108 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS 2. The abolition of Finnish autonomy will injure Eussia in the eyes of Europe, and b3 regarded as au infraction of the solemn engagement of Alexander I. 3. The Russian policy of unification is opposed to the policy of Alexander I. and his successors. 4. Finland was not incorporated in the Russian Empire, but only attached to it under the personal rule of the Emperor as Grand Duke. Arguments Fok and Against Retreat to the Coast, and Abandonment of Hinterland op Somaliland. FOR. 1. While we remain in Somaliland we do the Mullah no harm, ourselves no good, and spend much money. 2. ConcentraDion and withdraw!,! to the coast was favoured by Conservative as well as by Liberal Governments, but the time for carrying out the policy arrived under the latter administration. 3. The construction of railways into the interior is necessary for continued retention, and the necessary expenditure would be unjustifi- able. 4. We have no moral right to subjugate the free inhabitants of the country, who have done us no harm, and we obtained no commercial or other adequate return by our occupation of the interior of this barren land. AGAINST. 1. Concentration and withdrawal to the coast amounts to abandonment of the country and of friendly tribes, and is fatal to British prestige not only in Somaliland, but in Arabia, East Africa, India, and the neighbouring countries. 2. The Mullah had ceased to be a power in Somaliland, and peaceful occupation was almost in sight. 3. General Manning, who was sent to carry out the withdrawal policy, admitted that the subsequent outlook for the friendly tribes was far from satisfactory. 4. The tribe^ have no moral right to be independent. They became subject to others because they were not able to govern themselves in peace and order. They profited by the British occupation. Arguments For and Against Representative Institutions AND the Like Reforms in Egypt, FOR. 1. British rule has encouraged education and freedom of speech, and should act up to the principles it adopts by giving the Egyptian people a predominant voica in the settlement of their own affairs. FOREIGN AFFAIRS 109 2. It is not just to educate people and then deprive them of openings for the use and display of the qualifications they have acquired. 3. The people of Egypt are homogeneous, and the difficulties arising in India from the presence of many nationalities under one Government do not exist. 4. The British Government in Egypt has been prone to undue severity, notably in the punishments awarded by the Deanshawai Tribunal, of which the assassinated Prime Minister was President. 5. The rejection by the Legislative Council of the Suez Canal scheme and of various measures of repression followed upon due and proper discussion, and there is no evidence of the unfitness of the Egyptians for the performance of legislative and executive functions. 6. England has protested, on the last occasion by the mouth of Sir Eldon Gorst, that she will only remain in Egypt till the Egyptians are fit to rule themselves, a timi which has now arrived. 7. The policy of associating Egyptians to a greater extent with the admiaistration of the country, began by Lord Cromer, continued by Sir Eldon Gorst, should be carried to completion by Lord Kitchener. AGAINST. 1. The English in Egypt are the trustees of Europe. Other nations would resent concessions to the clamour of a small minority, which would prove injurious to the majority in Egypt, and to bondholders in Europe. 2. The concessions we have made to a factious opposition have already caused Europe and America to doubt our good faith. 3. Egypt, and the Sudan, in a still greater degree, are unfit for repre- sentative government, if indeed there is any proof that at any future time this form of government will be suited to the land of Egypt, which under Britain has ceased to be a house of bondage. 4. The attacks on British administration have proceeded from im- ponderable agitators, ill-informed and irresponsible Members of Parliament, and from German competing capitalists. 5. The experiments already made in the direction of representative government have been most disastrous, and resulted in the rejection by the Legislative Council of useful and popular measures, in agitation, sedition, and organised assassination. Arguments For and Against the Recognition of the Annexation of the Congo by Belgium. FOE. 1. The Belgians have admittedly greatly improved the condition of the Congo. They are no less humane than ourselves, and wholly to abolish cruelties or uncivilised practices of immemorial use in a short period is impossible. 110 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS 2. Britain cannot go to war with Germany and Belgium in order to indulge the humanitarian proclivities of those who shut their eyes to the chief factors in the situation. 3. Forced labour, to which particular exception is taken, is an insti- tution established from time immemorial, known of the people, racy of the soil, and impossible of speedy eradication. i. The evidence of cruelty on the part of Belgian officers is generally, like the evidence upon the abuse of the liquor trade in Southern Nigeria, unreliable, and whenever cruelty has been proved, the perpetrator has been severely punished. 5. The Belgian Government has not asked for, and is under no obligation to seek, formal recognition from the signatory Powers. The United States Government has already implicitly recognised annexation.' 6. The right of the natives to harvest the products of the soil is now admitted by the Belgian administration. 7. Our responsibility under the Bflin Act f is not greater than that of other nations, who are parties to that instrument, and it is neither necessary nor proper to take the execution of the Act into our own hands. 8. The Congo is not a British possession, and no serious alternative to Belgian annexation has ever been put forward. 9. The diplomatic action of England has been more insistent than that of any other Power, and public opinion will not support other than diplomatic representation. AGAINST. 1. Belgium, through her King, through companies, and now through the Government, has levied and is levying an unduly large toll from the Congo. 2. She does not propose to restore freedom of trade and labour to districts conceded to companies. 3. Serious and admitted abuses have attended the collection of rubber. 4. The system of forced labour still survives almost unchecked, and this is practically slavery. 5. Such conce:=sions of freedom of trade and labour as have been made are practically valueless, owing to the fact that in the districts in which they operate, trusts, in which the Government is interested, hold complete sway, so that no private merchant can compete with them. G. " The Congo is a territory towards which and its population we have undertaken a most solemn responsibility." | * TJie Times, August 3, 1911, telegram from Brussels, t General Act of International Congo Conference, 1885. I Mr. Asquith's speech. Mansion House, November, 1909. FOREIGN AFFAIRS 111 7. " The retention by the Belgian Government of the Congo Adminis- tration's policy, under which all land is treated as ' vacant,' deprives the native races of all guarantees of future security, and constitutes a monstrous invasion of human rights." * 8. The Congo is called upon to provide emoluments for members of the Belgian Royal Family, and to contribute largely to the upkeep of diverse establishments in Belgium, contrary to all modern conceptions of just Colonial administration. 9. The British Government is pledged not to recognise annexation till it has satisfactory reports from its agents showing that the necessary changes in the treatment of the natives have been effected. Arguments For and Against British Participation IN THE Baghdad Railway. FOR. 1. The Power which controls the Baghdad Railway, and particularly the Gulf section, will dominate South-Western Persia and Mesopotamia, and will menace the security of the Indian Empire. 2. British trade and interests are supreme in the Gulf and in certain contiguous regions. 3. As Germany has a claim to equal participation with any other Power in the Baghdad-Busra or Gulf section, and has the concession up to Baghdad, it would be a serious blow to British prestige and to British trade had she no share in the section nearest to her sphere of influence. 4. The completion of the line to Baghdad, with a branch to Khanikin, must divert trade from the Shat-el Arab and the Gulf, which are in the British sphere, and the British should have an interest, with which to negotiate and bargain. AGAINST. 1. The Baghdad Railway route to India will never supersede the Red Sea route, being hotter and more troublesome, and including also a sea journey of no less than 1,100 miles. 2. The Gulf section, Baghdad to Busra, is no longer included in the German concession, and Britain need not trouble herself about Meso- potamia and Asia Minor. 3. The assent of England and France is necessary to an increase in the Turkish customs, without which no sufficient money can be raised to pay guarantees and interest. Such increase would operate chiefly against British trade, and need not be sanctioned by us. •' The Future of the Congo," E. D. Morel, p. 59. 112 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS 4. The Baghdad Railway would never pay as a commercial undertaking, while the Gel-man concession for a line to Alexandretta must divert trade from the direction of the Gulf in the direction of the Mediterranean. 5. The less easy it is made for any other Power to approach the Persian Gulf and India the better for the British Empire. BIBLIOGRAPHY, Proceedings of Central Asian Society — Railways in the Middle East. By H. P. B. Lynch. 1911. The Baghdad Railway. By M. Ch^radame. 1911. Asiatic Turkey and the New Regime. By Mark Sykes. 1909. The New Regime in Turkey. By Sir R. Hamilton Lang. 1909. The Future of British Relations with Persia. By H. F. B. Lynch, 1908. The Finnish Question. By N. N. Korewo, St. Petersburg. 1911. The Situation of Finland. By VValdemar Churberg, St. Petersburg. 1911. Finland. By Lieut.-General Borodkin, St. Petersburg. 1911. The Finnish Revolution. By G. Dobson, St. Petersburg, 1911, The Rights of Finland. By Professor Berendts, St. Petersburg. 1910. Return by H.M.'s Agent and Consul-General on Finances, &c., of Egypt and Sudan, Cd. 5633. 1911, Secret History of the English Occupation of Egypt. By Wilfrid Scawen Blunt. The Marches of Hindustan. By David Eraser , The Future of the Congo. By E. D. Morel. The Opium Trade. By David Maclaren. An Eastern Miscellany. By the Earl of Ronaldshay, M.P. The Congo Reforms. By a Belgian Minister. British Interests in the Persian Gulf. The Times, June 19th, July 6th, 8th, 12th, 14th, 22nd, 25th, August 1st, 8th 1911. Vnutrennoe Samostayatelnost Finlandia, By Prince Esper Ychtomsky. CHAPTER IV INDIA INDIA and its problems have been discussed by many writers in many aspects during the last few years, amongst others by the writer of these pages.* Articles upon the Indian Empire, able and authentic as are all those published by The Times, will be found in the special issue of that journal for May 24, 1911. t Pamphleteers, political week-enders, breathless philanthropists, heedless altruists, and empirical politicians of every sort have raced across various parts of the peninsula in the train, and have returned to readily yield to the pressure of those who assure them that an anxious public is impatiently awaiting the appearance in print of their impressions. It is therefore unnecessary to add, as it would be outside the scope of the writer's instructions to attempt, any survey of the Indian Empire. There are, however, certain Indian questions which may be regarded as current and controversial, and to deal with such briefly and succinctly falls within the author's present province. India in Parliament. Unceasing endeavours are made in Parliament, by the same group which opposes its fellow-countrymen engaged in the service of the Empire all over the world, to drag India into the fatal orbit of party politics. Extreme Radicals, Labour Members, faddists, altruists, sentimentalists, and Nationalists have all got a finger in the Indian pie, and from recent signs and portents it appears not improbable that some of them hope • «'The Real India," by J. D. Rees, M.P., 1908; "Modern India," by Sir J. D. Rees, K.C.I.E., M.P., 1910. t Republished in one volume under the title, "India and the Durbar." 9 "« 114 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS to extract therefrom the proverbial plum. During the Parlia- ment of 1906-1910 determined efforts were made to support sedition in India, but Lord Morley deliberately declined to damage India and endanger the Empire in order to satisfy those whom he humorously and aptly described as " the simpletons of democracy." * These gentlemen argue that as soon as an ordinary Briton is invested with any authority over subject races, he throws off all humane and upright attributes, and becomes an "oppressor of such as are poor and have no comforter," and they allege that " on the side of the oppressors there is power," and that the poor Indians " have no comforter." It is, of course, the case that great cruelties were practised by the Spaniards in South America, and that the English, Uke other Europeans, when exempt from supervision and the pressure of public opinion, might develop a haughty and tyrannical attitude towards subject races ; f but the history of India at any rate offers no justification for any such theory, and the inhabitants, with the exception of those who organise or join the present seditious movement, have testified by their attitude to the fact that they regard the British as eminently just and impartial rulers. At the present day, and any time during the last twenty-five years, English administrators in India, so far from being exempt from criticism, have been subjected to the most searching and unfriendly inquisition on the part of certain organs of the vernacular Press, all of which are habitually scanned by officials (of whom the writer was one), whose duty it is to bring to the notice of the Government any reflection, justifiable or unjustifiable, on the conduct of public officers. Not only does this safeguard exist, but surely no public functionary ever lived in such a glass house as one who from morning to night is the centre round which ♦ Parliamentary Debates, House of Lords, June 30, 1908. t On the date on which these lines were written, exactly one hundred years ago, a Member of Council, an English planter of position in the West Indies, was hanged for having a negro on his estates flogged to death. This is evidence that even a century ago violence to subject races was hardly tolerated by the British Government. INDIA 115 circulate thousands of intrigues, the cynosure of every neigh- bouring eye, the dispenser of patronage, the wielder of power, the sun around which revolve all the local administrative, financial, judicial, municipal, and social constellations. Lord Lytton, when Viceroy, wrote : — " I cannot be for one second alone. I sit in my private room, and if I look through the window there are two sentinels. If I open the door, there are two jemadars If I steal out of the house, I find myself stealthily followed by a tail of fifteen persons." * Indian Officialdom. An Indian official cannot cough but an attendant rushes in to know what he wants, and he has far less chance of abusing his power than a public servant in this country, who can do pretty much as he likes, provided no one asks questions about his acts in the House of Commons. Current Controversial Questions. Controversies regarding the administrative division of the old Province of Bengal, and the reforms introduced by Lords Morley and Minto into the Legislative Councils in India, can hardly at the present moment be said to be current, though the latter will inevitably recur.t The only questions which just now can be properly described as current political problems are those connected with the reduction of the Indian army, the conduct and capacity of the Indian police, the abolition of the opium trade with China, the tariff question, the education problem, and the eternal controversy about the so-called drain. The unrest in India has been fully treated in so many books in recent years that nothing more than a summary of the arguments is needed. It is indisputable that great anxiety is felt by those conversant with Indian politics, in consequence of • The Titnes, Empire edition, May 24, 1911. t It was nevertheless announced by the King-Emperor on Dec. 12, 1911, at Delhi, that the partition would be cancelled, Bengal and Eastern Bengal reunited under a Governor in Council, Assam again made a Chief Commis- fcionership, a new Lieutenant-Governorship created of Bchar, Chota Nagpur, and Orissa, and the capital of India transferred from Calcutta to Delhi. 116 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS the action taken in Bengal, no doubt with the concurrence of, or under instructions from, the Indian Government, in making a compact * with certain accused persons in a case of robbery with violence tried before a special tribunal of the High Court. It is an entirely novel and exceedingly ominous feature of government in India, that an agreement should be made to the effect that the accused in a serious crime should, because forsooth they claim to be political offenders, plead guilty on the understanding that they would be released to appear when called up for judgment. At the same time the High Court in Calcutta has played a part, which has unfor- tunately become habitual in recent years, of opposition to the police and the executive Government. It will be convenient, therefore, to take first the vexed question of the conduct of the police. The Police. Dealing with the attacks made in England on the Indian police, it must be remarked at the outset that the latter force is recruited from all classes of all peoples which inhabit all the countries in the Indian peninsula. It has proportionately fewer European officers than any other department, and may therefore be justly regarded as a mirror of Indian administra- tive capacity or incapacity. The methods of the police which are seized upon by critics are the native methods, and their standards are the native standards of Indian administra- tion. If occasionally they relapse into ill-usage of prisoners it should be remembered that prior to British rule tortur© was an ordinary and recognised feature of Indian police and judicial administration. Abuse of the force is emphatically abuse of the natives of India, and condemnation of its methods is condemnation of native rule. Yet those who are loudest in criticism profess themselves to be ardent admirers of natives of India and strong supporters of the government of India by native methods. The evidence of an impartial outsider possesses special value, and fortunately such is not wanting apon this impor- * Lord Morley in House of Lords, July 19, 1911. INDIA 1 17 tant question. M. Chailley, an eminent French publicist and deputy, and a distinguished writer upon and student of the government and colonisation of dependencies, published in 1909 his work on the administrative problems of British India." It is difficult at first sight to account for the fact that Brahmins and Babus connected with the Congress, the boycott, and the seditious Samiti movements, should attack a body so eminently and exceptionally Iiulian us the police, liut the reason is not far to seek. They must take up this attitude in order to explain the assistance the sedition movement has received from Brahmins and Babus of good position, who have time and again been convicted of instigation of, and complicity with, crime. The inefficiency and corruption of the police, who in the proper performance of duty put their friends in prison, is therefore an essential plank in their platform. M. Chailley, however, sympathises with the force and with the executive Government in the difficulties they experience owing to the "exigency of the High Courts in matters of evidence." "The lower tribunals," he says, "which are nearer the native population, and the magistrates of the first instance, who are largely native, know the customs of the country, and content themselves with proofs which rest on what one might call common sense. The superior courts have another standard which often renders conviction im- possible." "The executive," he continues, "asks for remedies, and is supported in this by the bulk of native opinion, but not by the Babus, by men of the University and the Bar, or by the Eadical Party in England." f Since this was written the Executive have, however, afforded in the Khulna dacoity case an exhibition of composition with crime which is as novel as it is unfortunate. Lord Curzon's Commission on the Indian Police, referring to certain cases of torture upon which the accusers of the force had relied, added that " such cases are now rare," qualifying words which the accusers have conveniently • " Administrative Problems of British India," by M. Joseph Chailley, translated by Sir William Meyer, K.C.I.E. t Ibid., p. 433. 118 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS omitted from their indictments. Indeed, the cases brought forward have generally been garbled and misrepresented for parliamentary consumption, and members of the anti-British group have not scrupled to accuse the Government of India of condoning torture, and the police of making away with a woman convicted of murdering her husband by an experienced European civilian judge and two of her own fellow-countrymen sitting as assessors. Numerous questions on this subject, probably drafted by a syndicate in Calcutta, were put by members of the anti-British group in Parliament ; nor did these gentlemen hesitate to suggest that the European police ofi&cers in India suborned native members of the force to bring false evidence and make chargt«3 against their own countrymen. High Courts. Barristers who have not been appointed judges by Govern- ment often appoint themselves judges of Government, and such as are appointed to the High Courts in India have not been conspicuously successful at home. No rising barrister will leave England to spend upwards of a decade on the Bench in India in order to earn a pension of £1,200 a year. The bait is not big enough, but those who obtain these appointments, pitchforked into positions in which they judge subordinate judicial officers (immeasurably superior to themselves in knowledge of the people, the country, its languages and customs), almost invariably fall into the error which attracted the attention of M. Chailley, and become, as the Calcutta High Court has lately become, a stumbling-block and rock of offence in the adminis- tration of justice in India. The High Courts, only from written records, presume to weigh evidence better than men who have spent their lives in the country and have personally heard and observed the demeanour of the witnesses. The result of this attitude is becoming daily more and more serious, and the police, who in rural districts are the sole representatives of law and order, are being discredited by the action of judicial bodies, which, to the infinite regret of all who have practical experience of Indian administration, the executive Government has for the first time imitated in the current year (1911). INDIA 119 Sympathisers with sedition, and those who make haste to discredit the force, endeavour to establish a standard of com- parison between British and British-Indian police. The proper standard, of course, is the pohce of another Oriental country, or at any rate of an Asiatic possession of some European Power. By means of garbled quotation, suggestion, and allegation the anti-British party endeavour to establish for the British Indian, a character which in ante-British days did attach to the Indian, police. By such artifices they succeed in obscuring a great triumph of British-Indian administration, the conversion of a rough-and-ready, unscrupulous police into a very fair and improving imitation of the force we have learnt to admire in these islands. They also endeavour to build up for themselves a character for criticism, while they are in fact the catspaws of malign misrepresenters of British rule in India. The same party endeavours to convey the impression in England that the District Magistrate, who is also the head of the police, first of all initiates a prosecution, and then convicts the person prosecuted. The fact is that though the District Magistrate is the head of the police, in the same sense that he is the head of all departments in his district, he is no more the actual chief of the police, and no more participates in the detailed conduct of their cases, than the Home Secretary does in like circumstances participate in police work in Loudon. In dealing with prosecutions, in detecting crime, and in matters of discipline and administration the police have their own departmental chief under whose orders exclusively they work. The object is to make an opportunity for attacking the district magistrate, who is the representative of Government in the different administrative areas. From time imme- morial judicial and executive functions have in India been united in an official, corresponding in essentials with our Deputy Commissioner, or Collector and District Magistrate ; and it is to impair this functionary's position as the outward and visible sign of British supremacy, and not to improve the administration, that doctrinaire critics, sentimental reformers, and sons of sedition wish to wholly and formally separate judicial from executive functions. The District Magistrate 120 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS performs hardly any magisterial work, but it is absolutely necessary that this power should be left to him, since its removal would be regarded all over India as a victory for the enemies of British rule over the Indian civilian, whose position would be seriously impaired by the change. These charges, brought by the self-constituted advocates of India and by anti-British busybodies in this country, find no support in the Indian Legislative Councils, in which attacks are never made on the police similar to those advanced in the British Parliament. No charges of actual misconduct are in either country brought against the British officers in the police, and the suggestion that the Government of India condones torture, because it has not published any order forbidding that which is already a penal offence, is sufficient to show the spirit in which these ignorant and malevolent attacks are conceived and delivered. It is, no doubt, due in a large measure to such attacks, and to the support they received from tha recent action of the Government in Bengal, that the Collector at Tinnevelly, Mr. Ashe, was murdered by a Brahmin attorney on June 17, 1911, and that a sub-inspector of police was assassinated at Maimansingh in the same month. Indian Congress. Unfortunately the Indian Congress, long distinguished for its comparative moderation, has in recent years adopted a hostile attitude towards British-Indian administration, which has given no little encouragement to the half-educated and misguided enthusiasts from whose ranks assassins are recruited. It may be well, therefore, to quote what M. Chailley says of the Congress : — "It is a party of theorists, armchair politicians, which to observers from home at first sight appears worthy of sympathy, but from which on closer observation such observer is bound to withdraw a portion of his admiration, if not esteem. It is composed of writers and orators, proud of their knowledge and their caste" (the quintessence, by the way, of aristocratic exclusiveness and family pride such as democrats denounce). INDIA 121 " They are aloof from the mass of the people, of which they have little more knowledge than they derive from the docu- ments brought together and published by that Anglo-Indian Government they tax with selfishness, oppression, and ignor- ance. The estates of the zemindars of Bengal, who are a bulwark of the Nationalist party, show that these have not ameliorated the condition or even relieved the sufferings of their own tenantry. x\s a matter of fact this so-called National party is really a party of privilege, a concourse of representa- tives of the high castes and rich classes, which is really a stranger to the nation on whose behalf it professes to speak." * Beductions in the Army. To leave the civil for the military arm, although it is openly said in the Indian Press that it is the joint fear of Germany, and not the Anglo-Eussian Convention, which has removed the Eussian menace, it can hardly be denied that, as the Anglo-Russian Convention has proved success- ful, the political and military outlook in India has undergone a change, such as might be expected to lead to a demand for reductions in military expenditure from those who urge that money spent upon large armaments in time of peace is money wasted. The fact that only a small proportion of such men and armaments are ever used for other than precautionary purposes increases the obligation of Government, as they say, not to keep them above the necessary standards. One of their concrete suggestions is that several British regiments should be withdrawn, and recalled when wanted. But it is by no means certain that they would in the latter event be available, and a margin above actual needs is indispensable to an army which is called upon to help in any emergency in any part of a far-flung Empire. It may, however, be fairly contended that for merely policing India fewer troops are required, since the armies of the native states, which made for disturbance and disorder, have practically disappeared with the establishment in 1885 of the Imperial Service Movement. But if the strength of regiments is reduced and their establishments maintained, • " Administrative Problems of British India," pp. 163, 164. 122 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS undue expense in respect of oflScers and in other directions is inevitably incurred, and, unless regiments are altogether abolished, little real saving v^rill be effected. The army in India now numbers upwards of 75,000 European and 159,000 native troops, =•■ to which should be added 35,000 Volunteers, and 46,000 Reserve and Imperial Service troops, or in all 315,000 men, to protect 1,773,000 square miles, with a land frontier 6,000 miles long. Suggestions have been made from time to time that the relief from tension on the North- West Frontier, which has followed upon the Anglo- Russian Convention, would justify reductions in these numbers, but, as Lord Minto lately said, there is another land frontier problem on the North-East whioh may develop into something formidable. Again, the calls upon the army in India are not solely made on account of frontier requirements, for Indian troops have been sent to Persia, China, Egypt, and East, and South, Africa, and it is also its duty to maintain internal security. The field army is now composed of nine divisions and eight cavalry brigades, besides troops which in the absence of the field army from India would become responsible for the maintenance of internal peace. War material is now made in the country, and the efficiency of the army, and of its musketry and general training, has reached a high standard. The Indian forces are, however, quite small compared with the armies of our potential rivals on the Continent, and unfortunately they lack proper means of expansion in war time. On the other hand, as a long-service army, that of British India is composed of professional soldiers of high merit. During the Session of the Imperial Legislative Council in 1910 an unofficial resolution was put forward recommending the Government to order a public inquiry into the increase of civil and military expenditure, in order that economies might be effec- ted, and the Finance Member of Council, in reply, stated that the subject was under consideration. The necessity for effecting savings arises chiefly from the impending extinction of the opium revenue, and also from the necessity for greater expen- diture on education, a system of free compulsory primary * The Times, May 29, 1911. INDIA 123 instruction for boys being urged on Government by native members of Council. Indeed, the demand for reduction in army expenditure which proceeds from these gentlemen is the counterpart of the pressure brought to bear on the home Government to provide funds for social reform at the cost of national defence. The same inability to realise that you must keep, before you can improve, your house characterises advanced Socialists and Radicals both in England and in India. Meantime, the raising of more revenue in the latter country is exceedingly diflScult unless a tariff upon imports is imposed, of which Lord Minto since his retirement has practically ex- pressed his approval,* and of which general Indian opinion undoubtedly approves. The minimum strength of the standing army in India was fixed by a Royal Commission after the Mutiny at a figure sufficient for the protection of the British administration, before the acquisition of Burma, when the amount of wealth to be insured and the numbers of the population, and the area to be protected were far smaller than at the present time. Yet the strength of 80,000 European soldiers has never been reached, though it was considered only just enough long before the Russian menace — indeed, at a time when Russia had been severely handled in the Crimea, and before her expansion in the Caucasian, Caspian, and Central Asian regions. Neither was the internal condition of India then so threatening as it now is, nor was Persia a centre of disturbance, nor China in a ferment of reform and regeneration. Lord Kitchener, when he recently retired, recommended no reduction in the Indian army, and the discovery that it would be the better for the disbandment of certain unsatisfactory regiments suspiciously synchronises with the need for replacing the sacrificed opium revenue. The reduction just now sug- gested would only be enforced in the native ranks, but the argument that decrease in numerical strength will be counterbalanced by a higher efficiency in the units preserved, recalls the assertions made in England that the reduction of the British army by 18,000 troops, when the Liberals came • Speech at Central Asian Society's Dinner, May 17, 1911. 124 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS into office in 1906, increased its efficiency for war ! Of course, if there are regiments of no fighting value their disbandment would not weaken the army, but if indeed such exist, their retention until the present day convicts the authorities of culpable negligence in the past, and their sudden awakening at the present juncture cannot but be regarded as a miracle of opportune coincidence. Colonel Seely said " that His Majesty's Government did not contemplate any reduction of the British forces serving in India, but were fully prepared to consider favourably any proposals the Government of India might find it in their power to make for afi"ecting such readjustment in the native Indian units with a view to economy a^ could be carried out without loss of efficiency of the army in India as a whole." * But the late General Sir Edwin CoUen, a distinguished ex- military member of the Viceroy's Council f expressed his deliberate opinion " that no great saving could be made without impairing the strength and reducing the efficiency of the Indian army," and he deprecated the abolition of regiments, which would throw commissioned and non-commissioned officers on our hands for whom pecuniary provision would have to be made ; and condemned the reduction as likely to unsettle and disturb the minds of the native troops. At the same time, he took the opportunity to repeat his strongly held opinion that the separate army commands should not have been broken up into divisions, whereby the aim is served of those who wish to make India one nation for the purpose of disputing the mastery with ourselves. Sir Charles Crosthwaite, another eminent Indian adminis- trator, pointed out that it is dangerous to leave wide areas in India without garrisons, and that the same dependence cannot be placed upon armed police as upon regular soldiers, while a reduction in the native army cannot be made without abolishing most of the smaller cantonments which yet remain. He also expressed a well-founded fear lest the reduction of the native army should lead to subsequent proposals to cut down * Parliamentary Debates, May 31, 1911, vol. 2G, p. 1078. t Letter to The Times, May 31, 1911. INDIA 125 the British strength, the present proportion of the native army and British troops being roughly as two to one, a proportion settled upon adequate political and military grounds.* It may be stated without hesitation that an adequate army in India is far more necessary to the peace and prosperity of the country than the various reforms and concessions of which so much more is made at the present moment. The same argument applies to the army in the United Kingdom, and as Lord Haldane has often contended in the House of Commons that reduction cannot be effected at home while the forces abroad are maintained at existing strength, an uneasy feeling is engendered that when a reduction is made in the native, a corresponding diminution will be effected in the British, army in India, following upon which our already inadequate army at home will be susceptible of, and will surely be sub- jected to, further unwise reduction. It should not escape notice that the Under-Secretary of State, Mr. Montagu, during the Budget debate of 1911, in reviewing the departments in view to effecting economies for the replacing of the lost opium revenue, scouted the idea that the military department should be exempt. His words follow : — " It is said that we propose to cut down the military forces in India. Well, what if we did? Is it suggested that when we are reviewing the expenditure in other departments we should except the military depart- ment ? If there were no army in India no one would suggest that the army should be made anything but large enough, and only large enough, for the needs of the situation, but simply because the army was devised and organised at other times it is seriously suggested that no modification should be made, and that even though you are searching for economy in every department you should not be allowed to question your military expenditure. I can assure hon. members that the Government does not share this illogical review, but that nothing is, or will be, contemplated that will impair the efficiency of our army for defending and guarding the peace of our Empire."t But a recent traveller, who wrote an admirable book on India, | • The Times, June 6, 1911. t Parliamentary Debates, July 26, 1911. J "The West in the East," by Price Collier, p. 163. 126 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS remarks that it will be a miracle if there is no trouble with Germany or in India within ten years. The Drain. Closely connected with this, and indeed with every financial, question, is that of the so-called drain from India to England. Opponents of British rule in India assert that the latter country is being drained of wealth owing to her connection with Great Britain, and that this is one of the causes of the unrest which exists. It is admitted by our antagonists, as well as by ourselves, that the need of India is industrial develop- ment and diversity of occupation, and that capital, which is not available locally, must be borrowed. Nor will any sane controversialist deny that interest must be paid on borrowed money. The suggestion is that in the case of India, alone of borrowing countries, capital obtained at a very moderate rate of interest is a drain upon its resources. This subject has been admirably handled by Sir Theodore Morison, and as he points out, that portion of the debits of any country which is not balanced by material assets is dis- charged by an excess of exports, either of goods or money, so that in order to ascertain the extent of the drain from India, we have to find out what in any given year is the amount of exports in goods or money for which in that year she receives no material equivalent.* The excess of exports of goods and money for which India received no material equivalent between 1899-1900 and 1908-9 was about one hundred and fifty millions sterling, or an average of fifteen millions a year. This figure is taken from the trade return of goods entering and goods leaving India by sea ; and if goods received by land were included, the amount of the drain would be sHghtly reduced. It is said by critics of our rule that the home charges alone amount to an average of over 17^ millions a year, but this figure includes stores, which are imports, and have been taken into account in arriving at the figure of fifteen millions. When these are deducted for the decade under examination the home charges fall to £15,750,000 per annum, or to an amount * " The Economic Transition of India," by Sir Theodore Morison, 1911. INDIA 127 slightly larger than the estimated drain, the difference being explained by credits India obtained from loans invested in the equipment of modern industry, such as machinery.-'^ India receives, of course, full value for those loans. Accepting, then, as is inevitable, the recorded figures of the drain at fifteen millions per annum, it is necessary to compare these with similar conditions in other countries. Facts and figures have no significance as isolated units, but only when compared with those of other countries, of which, such as import more than they export, are those wherein industrial development has made such progress that they have surplus capital to lend. Of these England is the most conspicuous example. There are also many countries which export more than they import, and they are, for the most part, those in which industrial development is less advanced. Of this class are the United States, Eussia, Argentina, New Zealand and Australia.! It is evident that political conditions have nothing to do with the drain, because excess of exports equally characterises independent States like Eussia and the United States, self-governing colonies like Australia, and dependencies like India. These are all alike, however, in being countries of which the resources are still to a greater or less extent undeveloped. It is also evident that the debtor countries which export more than they import are amongst the most prosperous in the world,]: that they are every year adding to their wealth, and that the payments they make to their foreign creditors cannot with any regard to fact be described as a drain. India, then, possessing land and labour, but lacking money, borrows the capital it needs at a low rate of interest. Such capital, obtained at 3^ per cent., returns 4, 5, 6 and 7 per cent. in railways and irrigation works, while the fund from which wages and rent are paid is enormously increased, to the incal- culable benefit of the country. • " The Economic Transition of India," p. 197. t Statistical Abstract for Principal and other Foreign Countries and Statistical Abstract for British Colonies, published by the Board of Trade- I "Economic Transition of India," p. 210. 128 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS In the case of the railways, over half a million of the inhabitants make a living on the lines, and the State, after paying interest to its foreign creditors, has drawn a clear profit of eight millions in the ten years under notice, to the great advantage of the community.''' Again, the value of the crops raised in 1908-9 in the area irrigated by works constructed out of loans was 121 per cent, of the capital outlay f (£34,500,000). The prodigious strides a developing country can make with the aid of foreign loans is illustrated by the case of Japan. | If the nature of the Indian home charges be examined it will be found that they are (over and above interest on capital borrowed, and payment for stores) incurred on account of such items as pensions, gratuities, leave allowances, India Office, army and marine. Of the seven millions which might in any way be said to be due to the political connection with England, the whole amount is expended on account of services rendered, and would be paid for such services even if England were not the over-lord of India, except that the amount would be enormously increased for the provision of a fleet to preserve peace, order, and independence. The Japanese Navy is now costing seven and a half millions a year to maintain, while India annually contributes no more than £100,000 towards the up- keep of the British fleet. Moreover, India as a constituent part of the British Empire, borrows at 3^, while Japan pays 4^ and 5 per cent, on her foreign loans. This difference alone more than counter-balances the pensions, gratuities, and other items upon which expenditure out of the country is necessi- tated, owing to circumstances inherent in British rule. Tariff Eefobm. — Cotton. It is not possible to leave this subject without referring to the probability that in the near future the reconstructed Legislative Councils, reinforced by more of the Indian Congress element, will press for protection, and will make a more • " Economic Transition of India," p. 222. t " Review of Irrigation in India," 1908-9. ♦ " Economic Transition of India," pp. 207, 226. INDIA 129 effective protest than has yet been raised against the counter- vailing excise on certain classes of cotton goods, an import duty of 3| per cent, being levied on all cotton, except yarn and twist, and an equivalent excise being imposed on certain com- peting products of Indian power looms, in order to prevent the import duty acting as a bounty in favour of Indian manu- factures as against those of Lancashire. This duty cannot be defended except on the ground, on which the writer voted for it in the Governor-Genei'al's Legislative Council, that it is a necessary consequence of India's connection with Free Trade England. No one can argue that it is justifiable, or required, in the separate and exclusive interests of India, which is financially independent of Great Britain. India is, of course, subject, as regards all matters by which other parts of the British Empire or foreign countries are affected, to the necessity of adopting the principles Imperial Parliament pre- scribes as applicable to all dependencies of the Crown. But this is a principle which will not for a moment be accepted by those who oppose the connection with England, and have been encouraged by concession after concession to hope for com- plete emancipation. Lord Minto, since his return from India, has testified to the " extraordinary advance of political thought throughout Asia," and he said " that if we want to create great industries in India, he did not see how it could be done without something like Tariff Reform. It was certain that in the future, and very soon, we should be hearing strong expressions of opinion in India that something must be done in that way to safeguard Indian interests, and it was because he had the welfare of the country very much at heart that he felt so strongly upon this economic question." '•' Lord Minto at the same time pointed out that Canada could never have become the great country it now is without a high tariff wall against the products of the United States. It has often been remarked that as India already possesses a small general tariff, the adoption of Imperial Preference would be a much simpler and easier matter therein than anywhere else in • Speech at Central Asian Society's Dinner, May 17, 1911. 10 130 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS the Empire, for such adoption would not necessarily involve the imposition of fresh taxation, but only the remission of existing taxation on imports from the United Kingdom and the Colonies.* Of course, what the anti-British want is protection for India against all competition, including that of England, It is difficult to say why tea should not have a measure of protection, and it would be quite easy to discriminate between the Indian, Chinese, and Japanese leaf in dealing with this important article of commerce produced by British planters, using British capital, with British-Indian labour in British territory, which at present yields a large return to the Imperial, and no tax revenue to the Indian, exchequer. The arguments of Mr. Lloyd George in the debate on the Budget in 1911, to the effect that to treat our own people better than strangers is to discriminate against foreign nations, is one which, as Mr. Austen Chamberlain re- torted, is repudiated by every other Government in the world. It is only comparable with the pusillanimous arguments put forward to the effect that by looking after ourselves and our Colonies and Dependencies, we may offend the Governments of other nations. It is evident that in the internal politics of India economic development will play a large part, and this makes it the more unfortunate that just now the Government of India should have notified that it proposes to repeal, from July 1, 1913, the Act which regulates labour recruitment within the Indian Empire under a system of indentures, on the ground that the tea industry must fall into line with other employers of labour and forego the special law upon which it has hitherto relied. As the chairman of the Indian Tea Association said at the annual general meeting of 1911, " The majority of planters, especially in Assam proper, were probably strongly of opinion that a local Act was required to protect them against outside influence. With the large demand outside for their imported labour, and with large tracts of waste land available for cultiva- tion, the tea planter was surrounded by influences draining his labour force to which other employers were not liable to any- thing like the same extent." A local Act for Assam is at any rate regarded as a necessity, and it would appear to be indefen- • «' India and Imperial Preference," by Sir Boper Lethbridge, p. 2. INDIA 131 sible that certain wilder tracts should be closed against recruiting for Assam, and open, as would appear to be the case, to the Colonial recruiter. Nor will the feeling of uneasiness which exists be other than augmented by Mr. Montagu's reply during the Indian Budget debate of 1911 to Lord Eonaldshay, who asked why it was that the doctrine of Free Trade, when applied to India, required vindicating in the case of the cotton industry only — why it was, for example, that fiscal orthodoxy demanded the imposition of an excise duty upon the products of the Indian cotton mills to countervail the duty upon imported cottons, but did not demand the imposition of an excise duty upon the 73,000,000 gallons of home-produced oil annually consumed in India, to countervail the duty of l^d. a gallon on the 84,000,000 gallons annually imported from elsewhere? To which the Under- Secretary of State replied as follows : "I will only say on be- half of the Government we have no intention of departing from the Free Trade system in India. I will go further and say that as and when opportunity offers we shall take steps to make the fiscal system of India more nearly in accord with what we believe to be the only sound economic doctrine." Is India really to expect more countervailing duties, and is it wise to pile additional burdens of this sort on the elephant ? Education. Among the administrative problems of modern India is that of free compulsory primary education, and Mr. Gokhale, the well-known additional member of the Governor-General's Council, has introduced a Bill to bring about this highly debatable reform. No one denies the advantages of primary education," but it is a very nice question whether an alien Government should force upon peoples, who do not desire it, universal and compulsory instruction of a character alien in letter and spirit from their own religious traditions, manners, and customs. Would it not be dangerous, under the circum- stances, to tax the inhabitants of India for this purpose ? It is * Primary education has just been made free in the North-West Frontier Province with effect from April 1, 1912. 132 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS quite beside the mark to point to the State of Baroda, an extremely rich and self-contained principality of small geogra- phical dimensions, 8,226 out of 1,766,642 square miles, and a population of 2,000,000 out of 315,000,000 for India. Baroda is governed by an Indian Chief, who has no international questions to consider, the word international being limited to Indian nations and states only, nor is H.H. the Gaekwar a representative Indian Prince, nor is his principality a normal native state. It is not poverty which prevents recourse to the existing schools, and no one acquainted with the facts will imagine that if all fees were abolished they would immediately be filled. The Minister of Baroda wrote of the figures for the year 1909-10, " State compulsion is by no means an assured success, but a praiseworthy attempt, with an excellent chance of final success." Mr. Gokhale's Bill provides that Municipal or District Boards may, with the sanction of the local Govern- ment, levy a special education rate for the provision of elementary education in their areas. This provision is permissive, but it will be difficult for one, to lag behind another, local body, and the result of the passing of the Bill would probably be to lead to the widespread introduction of a compulsory rate and of compulsory schools. It is suggested that a local tax of this character would be preferable to an Imperial impost, because the former would be specially earmarked for its own purpose ; but Mr. Gokhale provides also for a large contribution from the Imperial exchequer, and this is the principle upon which H.H. the Gaekwar has proceeded in Baroda.* The Bill has been opposed by the more advanced organs of the Hindu Press, and strong objections all over the country have been raised against the imposition of any cess or tax, especially now that so large a diminution in the opium revenue is being forced on India in order to satisfy the vicarious philanthropy of a highly vocal section of politicians and altruists in England. While Lord Crewef receives most sympathetically at the India Office a deputation in favour of the Bill, the very sane administration » July 27, 1911. t One of the Coronation concessions of December 12, 1911. was the provision of £333,300 for the promotion of primary education. INDIA 133 of the Central Provinces issues a resolution showing how unfair to the general taxpayer it is that Government should pay practically the whole cost of higher education. Opium. The mention of opium suggests that a few words may con- veniently follow here upon that subject. The opium revenue, which, roughly speaking, amounted annually to five million pounds sterling, is now doomed to early extinction. Under the existing system the cultivation of the poppy is only per- mitted in parts of the Province of Bengal, part of the United Provinces of Agra and Oudh, and a small area in the Punjab for local consumption. In the monopoly districts the cultivator receives advances from the Government for the preparation of the land for the crop, the whole of which he is bound to sell at a fixed price to the Government agent in order that it may be prepared for the market in Government factories, after which the manufactured product is sold every month by auction in Cal- cutta, for dispatch to China, only a sufficient reserve being kept in hand to supply the deficiencies of bad seasons. The poppy is also grown in the Native States of Kajputana and Central India, which have agreed to conform to the Government system. They levy varying rates of duty on opium exported from their territories for the China market, which pays the Indian Treasury a duty fixed at present at 625 rupees a chest when the pass is granted at Ajmere, and 600 when it is granted elsewhere."^ The tentative agreement made in 1907 between India and China was on May 8, 1911, followed by a new agreement be- tween the British and Chinese Governments, which follows : — The British Government, recognising the sincerity of the Chinese Government and its pronounced success in diminishing the production of opium in China during the last three years, agrees to continue the arrangement made in 1907 for the unexpired period of seven years under the following conditions : — Article I. — China shall diminish annually during the next seven years the production of native opium in the same proportion by which the annual export from India is diminished. Statesman's Year Book, 1911, p. 134. 134 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS Article II. — China haviDg adopted a rigorous policy for prohibiting the production, transport, and smoking of native opium, the British Govern- ment agrees that the export of opium from India shall cease in less than seven years if proof is given that the production of native opium has completely ceased. Article III. — The British Government agrees that Indian opium shall not be conveyed to any province of China which has effectively suppressed the cultivation and import of native opium. It is understood, however, that the closing of the ports of Canton and Shanghai to the import of Indian opium shall only take effect as a final step for the completion of the above measure. Article IV. — During the period of the agreement the British Govern- ment is permitted to obtain continuous evidence of the diminution of cultivation by local inquiries conducted by British officials. Article V. — China may dispatch an official to India to watch the opium sales and the packing of opium, buu without any power of interference. Article VI. — The British Government consents to the increase of the present duty to 350 taels per chest, the increase taking effect simultane- ously with the imposition of an equivalent excise tax on native opium. Article VII. — So long as the additional article of the Chifu agreement is in force, China will withdraw all restrictions now placed on the whole- sale trade in Indian opium in the provinces. The foregoing articles shall not derogate from the force of laws published, or hereafter to be published, by China to suppress the smoking of opium and to regulate the retail trade. Article VIII. — During 1911 the Indian Government wiU issue export permits for 30,600 chests, progressively reducing the number until the extinction of the export trade in 1917. Each chest so certificated may be imported into any Treaty Port in China. Article IX. — This agreement may be revised at any time by mutual consent. Article X. — The agreement comes into force on the date on which it is signed.* The Under Secretary of State for India! said in the House of Commons that during the next seven years the revenue of three millions received by India from the export of opium to China might disappear, but that it would be prematui'e to consider the question of a contribution from the Imperial Exchequer. Mr. Montagu might have said this revenue will certainly cease, but subsequently, on July 26, 1911, he said in * Treaty Series, 1911, No. 13, Cd. 5660. t Parliamentary Debates, May 10, 1911. INDIA 135 the House of Commons that the question whether the loss of the opium revenue will involve fresh taxation cannot be definitely answered. He made it clear that the Government looked to economies to balance the loss, and committed himself to the indefensible statement that the Indian people, the tax- payers, were willingly and cheerfully sacrificing in this humane interest a valuable source of revenue. The agreement of 1907 provided for the gradual reduction of the Indian export at the rate of a tenth annually, which would have extinguished the trade in seven years from 1910, but the British Government has now, in 1911, agreed that the Indian exports shall cease in less time, if the Chinese Government proves that China has ceased to produce opium. We have also undertaken to reduce the Indian export by an additional amount equal to one-third of the uncertificated Indian opium in bond in China on a given date, and as there are great accumulations of the bonded drug, Indian exports will be quickly reduced to small pro- portions. In the interval between the signing of the first and second agreements, the price of opium ruled so high that the diminution in export in no way prejudiced the Indian Ex- chequer, which now, however, is face to face with the almost immediate extinction of a very profitable source of revenue. It is by no means improbable that the Indian peasant will shortly have to submit to an increased salt tax in consequence of this policy, and not one person acquainted with him will endorse Mr. Montagu's statement that he will cheerfully and willingly pay. The Native States, which have been exporting opium to China for centuries, were no parties to either of these agreements, against which some have protested, and to which all object. There can be no doubt that several States will be seriously affected, and large claims for compensation will undoubtedly have to be met. The opponents of the opium system in India invariably argue as if "this drowsy syrup of the East" was in itself a thrice damnable thing, the whole and sole effects of which are evil. The fact is, of course, that the medicinal properties of opium are of great value to dwellers in the extensive malarious tracts of India, and an absolute need in many regions of the 136 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS hillmen, who without it cannot exist. To such an extent is this recognised that in British-Indian jails humanity makes it obligatory to supply to certain of the inmates a dole of the drug. Malarial fever, which is beyond all others, and infi- nitely more than plague, pestilence, or famine, the scourge of India, is best combated by doses of opium or preparations derived therefrom, at any rate in certain localities. Nor indeed, even in China, is the abuse of opium greater than that of alcohol amongst ourselves. The Indian Press pertinently asks, Would the House of Commons be so eager to wipe out this trade if the Imperial Exchequer stood to lose three millions a year over the transaction.* In the same direction comment is made upon the support given by Scottish Members to the anti-opium crusade, and to the great influence of Scotland in Mr. Asquith's Government, which, it is openly stated, could not resist the pressure put upon it without alienating some of its most earnest supporters. The net result will probably be that while India will lose three to four millions a year, Persia will gain no small part of this amount, though it is announced! that the Chinese Government has decided to prohibit importation of Persian and Turkish opium from January, 1912. The anti- opium party argue that the Indian Government has already made too much from this tainted source, which it knew must one day run dry. Others point out that as England, which forced India into this traffic, now demands its cessation, it is only fair that she should indemnify the innocent loser. It is astonish- ing that an English Minister should say, as did the Under- Secretary of State, that there are no indications of unwillingness on the part of the Indian taxpayer and cultivator to endorse the anti-opium policy of the Government, for there cannot be a single ofiicial at the India Office who does not know that the voice of the Indian taxpayer and cultivator rarely indeed makes itself heard, and that it is by no means identical with that of his self-appointed, denationalised English-educated representative. Again, upon the moral point it is notorious * Wednesday Review, May 31, 1911. t The Times, July 19, 1911 : telegram from Peking, July 18, 1911 ; July 20, 1911 : telegram from Peking, July 19, 1911. INDIA 137 that the use of opium in the East will be, and is already being, replaced by that of morphine and cocaine * from England, and from the Continent, which at any rate we cannot prevent. India's sacrifice of the opium revenue is vain unless the importation of these drugs is prohibited by agreement amongst treaty Powers, which have no intention of entering upon a quixotic and necessarily abortive campaign for the extinction of the use of stimulants in Asia. The opium agreement was concluded by the Government without the sanction of the House of Commons, which merely passed platonic resolutions f of condemnation in an almost empty House, upon the motion of a private member. Con- siderable doubt exists as to the trustworthiness of the statistics produced by China, and Consul-General Sir Alexander Hosie, though his report | was generally in favour of the sincerity and success of the Chinese elforts to suppress the poppy, admitted that in Shansi, one of the chief opium-producing districts, he was forced to discredit the assurances given him by the officials, and to put down the reduction in the amount of opium as certainly under 50 per cent., while in Kansu the reduction was less than half this amount, and only half that claimed by the officials of the province. § Sir Alexander Hosie reported that the yield of opium in Szechuan used to be four times the whole annual importation from India, but that since the Imperial decree of suppression, for the present at least the * The Excise Commissioner of Bengal reported in 1910-11 that in spite of prosecutions and high prices, the use of this drug is on the increase. Other Commissioners report that as heavier duties are imposed on opium, the use of more dangeroas intoxicants grows apace. Mr. Knox, Secretary of State, in his report to President Taft of January 7, 1911, states that "the illicit use of morphia and cocaine is widespread in the United States, and is rapidly spreading through Indo- China and other parts of the Far East, where it threatens to become more baneful than the opium-smoking habit." The average American import of opium in the last ten years has been over 400,000 lb., more than half of which has been used in the manufacture of morphia for improper uses. t Parliamentary Debates, 1906, vol. 158, p. 516 ; 1908, vol. 183, p. 380. I Cd, 5658, p. 9. § Ibid., p. 18. 138 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS province produces no opium, but is disposing of surplus stocks.* Of Yunnan, which produced the best opium in China, he wrote that the cultivation had been stopped in the plains for the last three years, but still continued in the hill tracts and semi-independent zone. On the whole there had been a reduction of 75 per cent.+ in the manufacture of opium in the province, wherein the price of the drug had risen to six times that ruling before 1907. It is, of course, a common error to suppose that all opium grown in India is exported to China. When the agreement of 1907 was negotiated statistics showed that out of 67,000 chests only 51,000 went to the Middle Kingdom, and 16,000 to other countries, to which export will presumably continue as long as purchasers are found, while some 10,000 chests have hitherto been required for use in India, with which, in view of its valuable medicinal properties, it may be hoped that no interference will be exercised. It is suggested by certain authorities, including the late Sir Charles Elliott, :J that opium- producing Native States should continue to supply such opium as will be needed after the extinction of the Chinese export. Others point out that the average income for the three years preceding 1907 was only three and three-quarter millions, but this is small comfort when the revenue had risen in subsequent years to five millions. It is also urged that there will still be an income of perhaps one million from the supply of opium to other countries, and that a saving of nearly two millions will be effected in the opium department. These calculations are contested, and indeed are based upon false and illusory premisses, and it may be regarded as absolutely certain that a loss of several, probably of four, millions a year will be inflicted on Indian revenues by the action of the anti-opium party at home, while it is by no means certain that less opium will in the long run be consumed in China, or that the supply of the necessary quantity will in any way be reduced by the sacrifice made in India. Indeed, China will be at liberty to, and during the Revolution actively does, cultivate the poppy again. The Chinese Government under the new agreement has the • Cd. 5658, p. 20. f Ibid., pp. 22, 23. J The Tirnes, May 17, 1911. INDIA 139 power to close province after province against the importation of foreign opium on producing evidence, all too readily accepted, that production in and import into such province of Chinese opium has ceased. It has by irregular interference with the entry of Indian opium into the interior of the country caused great congestion of stocks at the Treaty Ports, and has taken advantage of its own wrong by making the complacent Government of India proportionately cut down its imports for future years. In fact, China wins on every point at the expense of the Indian taxpayer, and for the satisfaction of the anti- opium party in England, who apparently care not at all, if the Behar and Oudh cultivators starve, if all the cultivators in British India are taxed, or if in Central India and Eajputana ruling chiefs are so embarrassed as to be driven to collect fresh taxes from their subjects. The rights of these chiefs to com- pensation were admitted by the Opium Commission. With the extinction of the China trade Malwa opium will have no market left, though the Government monopoly opium will still find a field in the Straits Settlement and in India itself. The sacrifice of revenue becomes more serious, as the taxable resources of the country do not increase as rapidly as its population. Coronation Concessions. To the Coronation concessions announced as lately as December 12, 1911, brief reference is made in a footnote on page 115. They have, as far as can be judged so soon after the event, been received by the Congress and anti-EngUsh party in Bengal with satisfaction, tempered by regret at the loss of Calcutta as capital of India, by the European com- munity of Calcutta, a numerous, independent, and able com- munity, and by the Mahomedans of Eastern Bengal with natural displeasure, and by Hindus and Mahomedans in general with that indifference which might have been expected. Orientals have little or no sentiment. They are practical to the core and leave to European races this enervating luxury, which has become their self-indulgence and their bane. But that such great concessions to a moribund agitation, and such far-reaching administrative changes should have been made UO CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS over the heads of all concerned, and without the previously ascertained consent of Parliament, the Provincial Governments, and public opinion is generally regarded as a violent departure from constitutional precedent, only rendered possible by the shelter of the royal presence and prerogative. Census. The general census of India, taken in March, 1911, includes Baluchistan and several remote and very sparsely populated districts in Burma, not hitherto included. The result shows a total population of 315,132,537, of which 244,267,542 were inhabitants of British territory and 70,864,995 of Native States. There was an increase of 7'1 pe*- cent, between 1901 and 1911, as against 2-5 per cent, in the preceding ten years, and an increase of 12-9 per cent, in Native States as against 5-5 per cent, in British territory which may be regarded as a readjustment of a decrease of 5 per cent, in Native territory as against 4-7 per cent, increase in British territory at last census. This result merely confirms previous experience, to the effect that after a severe scarcity resulting from successive bad seasons the population increases by leaps and bounds ; and while famine prevailed in the last decade in the Native States, owing to better administration nothing more than hard times were felt in British India. Although the plague occasioned great mortality in the decade now censused, the mortality from fever greatly exceeded the total number of deaths recorded from this cause, and the remarks made regarding the use of opium, as distinguished from its abuse, are not without application to the health statistics of the Indian Empire. Arguments For and Against the Attacks made on the Character and Efficiency of the Indian Police. FOR. 1. It is urged that this body is hopelessly corrupt, that its members habitually bring false charges and manufacture evidence. 2, The subordinate ranks of the police are drawn from the lowest INDIA 141 and poorest castes ami classes, and are not lepresentativo of the more intelligent inhabitants in India. 3. They are so badly paid as to render bribery a matter almost of necessity. 4. " The police impose upon the ignorance of the common people in the rural districts, and induce persons charged with offences to make con- fessions, even when they are innocent."* 5. They use torture to extract evidence, and ill-treat their prisoners. 6. The lower ranlis practise intolerable oppression over the villagers, extorting money and service from them. AGAINST. 1. The Indian police compare most favourably with the police of other Oriental countries, with which, and not with the police of European nations, they should be compared. 2. The police is the most exclusively native of all departments of Indian administration, and its methods and its faults are those of the country, racy of the soil, understood of the people. 3. The police in India work under peculiar difficulties, inasmuch as they lack the co-operation of the educated classes, upon which their fellows in Europe can count. 4. They labour under special difficulties also in respect of evidence, European judges often requiring a standard of proof that in India is well nigh impossible, and renders conviction most difficult. 5. Lord Curzon's Commission on the Indian Police found that cases of torture were now rare, and it must be remembered that under native rule torture was the recognised mode of procedure. The severest punishment is awarded when any case is proved against the police. 6. In spite of assertions of oppression, the villagers recognise that the police are effectual in preserving order and securing the safety of the com- munity in the most practical manner by protesting against the removal of a station whenever suggested or contemplated.! 7. The police live in glass houses in which none of their delinquencies can be concealed, and the questions asked against them in the House of Commons, garbling their cases and misrepresenting their conduct, are for the most part drafted by a hostile syndicate in Calcutta for use by the " friends of India" in England. 8. Impartial observers testify to the exoellence of the work done by the Indian police, e.g., M. Chailley, above quoted. 9. Since the presentation of Lord Curzon's Police Commission Eeport, the practical necessity for corruption has ceased to exist in consequence of the grant of reasonable wages to the lowest ranks of police. • Sir A. Fraser, " Among Indian Rajahs and Ryots," p. 229. t Ibid., p. 228. 142 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS 10. " Most of the denunciation of the work of the police that one now hears is based on the traditions of the days of their most defective work, on the too ready acceptance of tales invented by the criminal classes to cast discredit on police witnesses, and on complete ignorance of the present conditions of the force, and of the rules under which inquiries are now conducted and supervised by officers of high character and sound training." * Reduction of Indian Aemy. ARGUMENTS AGAINST. 1. It is the fear of Germany on the part of Russia and England, and not the Anglo-Russian Convention, which has removed the Russian menace. 2. The army gives regular occupation to multitudes of Indians of all races and classes, and to reduce it would cause hardship, as has been pointed out in the native Press. " The disbandment of native regiments must result in the sudden unemployment of those sent out of the army, and the scope for military service and distinction must correspondingly diminish." f 3. The army is very small compared with the population and extent of country to be protected, and though trouble has been removed on the North- West, it has been replaced by the like anxiety on the North-East, Frontier. 4. It is necessary to ensure the safety of the house before it can be improved, and all projected reforms of all sorts reallj' depend for a successful issue upon such safety being assured by sufficiently strong defences. 5. The strength of the Indian army was not fixed with reference to the Russian menace, while the internal condition of India points to the necessity for more rather than less troops. 6. The Indian army is an indispensable auxiliary of our other forces in war time. 7. The Indian troops once mutinied as the result of gross mis- management and provocation, but they are similar soldiers to those who drank rice-water that Olive's Europeans might have rice, and it was with their help that the Mutiny was suppressed. ARGUMENTS FOR. 1. The Anglo-Russian Convention has removed the Russian menace, to meet which the army is chiefly required. 2. It is waste of money to pay soldiers who are not wanted, the worst of all possible waste. * " Among Indian Rajahs and Ryots," by Sir A. Eraser, p. 237. t Indian Patriot, June 2, 1911. INDIA 143 3. Since the armies of the Native States, which were merely un- disciplined rabbles, have been disbanded, fewer troops arc necessary for the peaceful policing of India, which is now one of the chief functions of the British-Indian army. 4. Funds cannot be provided for social reform until military expenditure is reduced. 5. It is not the function of the Indian taxpayer or of the Indian army to come to the assistance of British armies engaged outside the Indian Empire. 6. The reduction of three Indian, can be effected for the sum saved by reducing one British, soldier, and those who oppose reduction insist chiefly upon keeping the British troops up to strength, Peefeeential Taeiffs with India. ARGUMENTS FOR. 1. India is the commercial and industrial supplement of the United Kingdom, and both should be closely bound together by the knot of Imperial Preference. 2. Her existing tariS renders preference easy of arrangement. 3. She requires protection for her nascent industries. 4. Imperial Preference is India's best defence against the import of foreign products. 5. The Government of India is in favour of retaliation, which involves the sanction of preferential duties. 6. There is no danger of retaliation from foreign Governments,* which already tax their imports of Indian goods, and cannot afford to exclude Indian exports of food and raw material. 7. Out of the total Indian export trade of Rs.1,346,000,000, trade of the value of no less than Rs. 920,000,000 will be either benefited or wholly unprejudiced by Imperial Preference. 8. Imperial Preference would be acceptable to Indian patriotism, and would promote the moral and material welfare of India. 9. It would entail, or would promote, the abolition of the unpopular and unjustifiable excise on Indian cotton goods f and would encourage the tea, coffee, and indigo industries, and the Indian mills. J " Since the enlargement of the Indian Council efforts have been made to abolish this duty, and it has been condemned by every Indian member of the Viceroy's * Cd. 1931 (1904). t All goods imported into India pay an ad valorem duty of 5 per cent., except cotton goods. There is no import duty on cotton yarns, and only a 3^ per cent, ad valorem duty on cotton cloth, while at the same time there is an equivalent excise duty of 3J per cent, on the products of the Indian cotton miUs. J Lord Ronaldshay, Parliamentary Debates, July 27, 1911. 144 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS Council. It was said that this duty was necessary in the interests of Free Trade, but if so it should apply to all goods, not merely to cotton goods. The increase in the petroleum import duty by 50 per cent, has been defended on the ground that it might protect the Indian industry, and might drive imported petroleum out of the market. The Free Trade defence of the cotton excise duty would not hold water. The real reason for its existence was the influence which Lancashire was able to exert in Parliament, but Lancashire would not object to the abolition of the excise duty if the import duty on Lancashire cotton goods was also abolished. To make up for the loss of revenue which that would cause a higher duty could be placed on foreign goods, which were becoming increasingly powerful competitors." * 10. It is evident from the above figures that there is ample opportunity for establishing a reciprocal tariff between India and Great Britain. 11. Moreover, India possesses a monopoly of jute, which foreign countries obtain free from duty ; whik they exact high duties upon jute manufactures from India and Great Britain. ARGUMENTS AGAINST. 1. India without preferential tariffs already enjoys in exceptionally large measure the advantages of free exchange of imports and exports, t 2. From a financial aspect the danger to India of reprisals by foreign nations is so serious, and their results would be so disastrous that the Indian Government would not be justified in embarking on such a novel policy, unless sure of greater or more certain benefits than are now discernible. 3. If the matter is regarded exclusively from an economic standpoint, India has something, but not very much, to offer to the Empire, but she has a great deal to lose or risk, and very little to gain in return. 4. India as a debtor country is dependent on her trade with foreign countries for the discharge of her net international obligations. 5. Of the total value of Indian exports, 50 per cent, are raw materials * In 1899 the foreign imports were £10,000,000, while in 1909 they were £24,000,000. Belgium sold seven times as much bar steel in India as British manufacturers, Japan sold eight times as much hosiery as British manufacturers, and Japan and Sweden between them sold fifty times as many matches as British manufacturers. The demand of India for such goods as apparel, furniture, clocks and watches, hosiery, glass, hardware and cutlery, matches, steel, and woollen goods in a year is £11,000,000. Out of that amount the British manufacturer supplied little more than £5,000,000. t Cd. 1931 (1904). Views of the Government of India on preferential tariffs. INDIA 145 required by the importing countries for their manufacturing industries, and therefore admitted on the easiest possible terms. 6. Powerful trades in Great Britain would demand that their interests, which are never necessarily identical with, and are often opposed to, those of India, should bo considered. India and Ceylon between them have more than nine-tenths of the tea trade of the United Kingdom. 7. "To develop Indian industries by a protective tariff would be to, expose India to the worst evils of Western capitalisation." * 8. " The Indian publicists by no means unanimously favour preference." 9. "While we dictate the political we must dictate the fiscal policy of India." t Arguments for and Against Free Compulsory Education. FOR. 1. The general movement of the present time, democratic, industrial, and humanitarian, points to the necessity for removing the ignorance of the masses, and raising the moral and civic status of the working man. 2. The Government of India Despatch of 1854, the Education Commission of 1883, and the Government of India Resolution of 1904 advocate the extension of elementary education. Mr. Gokhale's Bill makes primary education free and compulsory, and therefore fulfils these conditions. 3. In all countries elementary education has rather to be forced on the masses. 4. Education is free and compulsory in Baroda, and therefore can be made compulsory in British India, 5. Out of every hundred boys in India, education reaches thirty- three ; out of every hundred girls only four. The attendance at schools in British India is 1-9 per cent., as compared with 20 per cent, in Great Britain, 11 per cent, in Japan, and 4'5 per cent, in Russia. The expenditure per head of the population in the United States is 16s., in England and Wales 10s., in Russia 7Jd., and just a penny in India. AGAINST. 1. India has not risen to those mental and moral standards which would make compulsory education acceptable to the masses. * Mr. Montagu, Parliamentary Debates, July 27, 1911. t The writer voted for the countervailing duties in the Indian Legislative Council following this principle, but it does not avail when the Free Trade policy itself is under trial. 11 146 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS 2. Tho masses do not, even now, generally send their children to school. 3. Compulsion will cause discontent. 4. The untouchable classes cannot be educated in the same building with the children of caste people, and the provision of two sets of buildings is prohibitive in cost. 5. The fact that the Indian masses are divided into touchables and untouchables is sufficient to show that they are not ripe for compulsory education. The first step is to make elementary education free, and if widespread advantage is taken of the privilege, it will then be right to consider if compulsion should follow. 6. Baroda is under a personal ruler, and compulsion is not therefore resented as it would be if proceeding from an alien and impersonal Government. An autocrat is possible only as long as people are left largely to themselves and to their own social and political devices. 7. The Gaekwar of Baroda says that " his reforms are disliked by his people," and " he speaks freely of the ignorance of the people he governs, and says that even his own relatives disapprove of his travelling and of his eating with strangers." * 8. Baroda and its ruler are other than representative of Indian princes and States. 9. " There is no general demand for education among the people. There is a duty on the part of reformers to create a willingness to help to pay the taxes or fees by which alone large educational schemes can be financed." t Aeguments For and Against the Reduction and Extinction of the Indian Opium Tkaffic. FOR. 1. It is so immoral to sell opium to the Chinese that this traffic should be stopped, regardless of the suffering entailed on Indian cultivators, and without reference to the resulting necessity of subjecting them to increased taxation. 2. The reports of Consul-General Hosie prove that China is sincere in her efforts to abolish the cultivation and use of opium in the Middle Kingdom. 3. It is incumbent on the dependency of a Christian State to co-operate with a non-Christian State in its endeavours to abolish a pernicious habit which enslaves and enervates. 4. " The Emperor of India is the largest manufacturer in the world of • '• The West in the East," by Price Collier, pp. 255, 256. f Mr. Montagu, Parliamentary Debates, July 27, 1911. INDIA 147 an article not one grain of which dare be sold in his home territories, even for medicine, without being marked ' poison.' " * 5. Of the results of indulgence in opium, Sir Charles Aitchison, Chief Commissioner of British Burma, wrote : " The habitual use of the drug saps the physical and mental energies, destroys the nerves, emaciates the body, predisposes to disease, is one of the most fertile sources of misery . . . and enfeebles the constitutions of succeeding generations." f 6. It was an Emperor of China who said : " It is true I cannot prevent the introduction of the flowing poison [opium] ; gain-seeking and corrupt men will, for profit and sensuality, defeat my wishes ; but nothing will induce me to derive a revenue from the vice and misery of my people." AGAINST. 1. The Chinese will probably continue to smoke opium, or if deprived of this drug will substitute, indeed are already substituting, for it the more noxious morphia and cocaine. 2. Opium-producing Native States, which were no parties to the agree- ment between England and China, will suffer, and must be awarded com- pensation, to raise which the Indian peasants' salt will probably be taxed. 3. Opium is useful as a medicine, and no more abused as a stimulant in China than alcohol is in Europe. 4. It is intolerable that a lawful trade should be destroyed and Indian peasants taxed because Scottish temperance advocates possess undue influence in Parliament. 5. Either the loss to the Indian cultivator should be made good by the English taxpayer, or he should repudiate the anti-opium agitation, and cease from troubling the Indian ryot. 6. The reports of Consul-General Hosie disclose a doubt as to the ability of China to abolish poppy cultivation in all her provinces, and exaggera- tions, at any rate in some quarters, of the progress already accomplished. Abguments Fob and Against the Furtheb Extension op Eepbesentative Goveenment and the like Eefobms. FOR. 1. The Congress, advanced reform, English-educated, and Babu party urge that an insufficient number of natives is employed in the adminis- tration of India, and complain that they are excluded from all the more highly paid appointments in the Civil Service. 2. They declare that the elective principle is not given sufficient play in the government of the country, and that even the District Boards, which * " The Opium Trade," by D. McLaren. f ^bid. 148 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS have popularly elected members, are practically dominated by the Executive Government and its officers. 3. They protest that judicial and administrative functions should not be united in the person of the District Officer, because it is unfair that the authority which directs the prosecution should also try the charge. 4. They are strongly opposed to the partition of Bengal, alleging that it involved the dismemberment of an ancient Hindu kingdom, and a separate well-defined and self-contained province of the Indian Empire. 5. They urge that too much money is spent on the army and too little on education. 6. India is annually drained of fifteen millions sterling a year in home charges, and cannot effectually protest. 7. Educated Indians are said to be treated with a lack of consideration and respect by British officers. There is a considerable feeling of dis- content among the English-educated that social intercourse between the two races is practically barred. 8. The lower social status of some of the present British-Indian officials, chosen by competitive examination, makes them less acceptable to the high caste native, and they are sometimes ill-suited to the positions they are called upon to fill, and cannot adapt themselves to the ceremonial of politeness so necessary in Oriental intercourse. 9. If the Native States bear a heavy land-assessment, at least all money so raised is spent and circulates in the country of its origin. 10. England is merely exploiting India for her own financial and commercial benefit. 11. The forest regulations press very heavily on the peasant, who was formerly free to cut wood or pasture cattle when he would, but is now excluded from reserved lands and forests and needs a licence to cut wood or pasture cattle. The same remark applies to rivers and fishing, which used to be free and now are or may be preserved. 12. A potent factor in the unrest in India is the system of education pursued by the English Government, in so far as it creates a class of English-educated Indians, for only a small proportion of which openings are provided in the Civil Service, for appointments in which the education given particularly and pre-eminently fits the recipients. AGAINST. 1. Natives of India hold a large majority of posts in the Civil Service, a small number only being reserved for Europeans.* Out of about 29,000 appointments ranging from an annual value of £60 to £5,000 a year, 22,000 are filled by natives of India. " Further, while the total number of Government appointments has thus increased between 1867 and 1904 by 110 per cent., the figures show that the number of posts held by Hindus " The West in the East," by Price Collier, p. 174. INDIA 149 has increased by 179 per cent., by Mahomedans 129 per cent., by Eurasians 106 per cent., and by Europeans only 36 per cent." * 2. The Government officials do not interfere with Municipal Boards except in important matters, and it must be remembered that the elected members of these Boards are nearly always drawn from one, the Babu, class, who in no sense represent the masses of the people. 3. The existing combination of judicial and administrative functions derives from our predecessors in title, and is not an invention of the English. The District Officer in practice has little to do with launching prosecutions, being only in a formal sense head of the police, who have their own administrative officers, actual prosecutions being generally conducted before subordinate magistrates. 4. It is impossible to dismember that which no longer exists as an unit. Bengal, either as a whole, or in two parts, is still only a portion of the British-Indian Empire. The partition has, moreover, enabled a vast area to be better administered, the official machinery has merely been dupli- cated, the same laws are administered by the same Civil Service, and the anti-partition movement has notoriously been engineered from Calcutta, and does not represent the feelings of the populations affected, who have made no serious sign of disapproval. 5. It would at present be difficult to raise money in India for the extension of educational facilities by reducing the army, the strength of which is very small in proportion to the population and area to be protected. That strength was fixed after the Mutiny, and should now be raised rather than reduced in proportion to the increased area and population. The country must be safe before it can be educated. Safety before even education. 6. The larger part of "the drain" represents interest on capital borrowed from England at exceptionally low rates, owing to the con- nection between India and Great Britain, and remuneratively employed in railways, irrigation, and other public works of utility. 7. As regards social intercourse the absence of commensality and the seclusion of native women forms an effectual bar, of native making, to unrestricted social intercourse. English officers who are guilty of discourteous treatment of natives are severely punished by the Govern- ment, and while every such case is magnified and turned to account by agitators, the generally friendly relations existing pass unnoticed. " The accusation of lack of sympathy, comradeship, and social inter- course is twaddle ; there is an ample supply of honest comradeship and real sympathy, not of the tea-cake varieties, which is merely the doctrinaire philanthropy of parochial officialdom." f 8. As to the class of the Indian Civil Servants at present provided by * " Lord Curzon in India," p. 144. t "The West in the East," p. 182. 150 CUREENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS competitive examination, there will by chance, of course, be some un- satisfactory youths recruited, though the great majority are of exactly that public school and university, social and educational extraction favoured in the Holmes circular, to which in advanced Radical quarters such strong exception was lately taken. Avoidance of occasional malrecruit- ment is inevitable under a democratic competitive system, and must be endured, since it is most improbable that the Government of India will enlarge the sphere of private and official patronage. 9. Native States are, so far as their foreign relations are concerned, under the protection of the British Government. They have no inter- national obligations and no occasion for spending money on defence. The British Government is differently situated in this behalf. 10. The occupation of India by the English has given personal freedom, general prosperity, and security to an extent hitherto unrealised and unimagined, put an end to the perpetual internecine wars between the many peoples of India, and established a settled order of things on which men may count. Crime in high places is no longer common. Sati has been abolished, sorcery, poisoning, domestic murder, and lives of senseless depravity are disappearing.* 11. The forest regulations are made in the permanent interests of the people themselves, such protection being necessary in order to the preservation of the sources of rivers, streams, fuel, and timber, for the retention of moisture in the soil, for the mitigation of heat, and the more equable distribution of rain. 12. The English Government does not provide education merely as a means to obtaining Government appointments, but as a means of uplifting the recipients to a higher moral plane. That the class of education given is unsuitable for this purpose cannot be denied, since it is undenominational and tends to increase atheism and agnosticism. BIBLIOGRAPHY. Northern India. By W. Crooke. Lord Curzon in India. By Sir T. Raleigh, K.C.S.I. Indian Problems. By S. M. Mitra. The West in the East. By Price Collier. The Native States of India. By Sir William Lee Warner, K.C.S.I. Indian Speeches. By Viscount Morley. An Eastern Miscellany. By the Earl of Ronaldshay, M.P. Administrative Problems of British India. By M. Joseph Chailley. Economic Transition in India. By Sir Theodore Morison, K.C.I.E. The New Spirit in India. By H. W. Nevinson. * "India Under Ripon," Wilfrid Scawen Blunt, p. 308. INDIA 151 Among Indian Kajahs and Ryots. By Sir Andrew Fraser, K. C.S.I. Indian Unrest. By Valentino Chirol. The Awakening of India. By J. R. Macdouald, M.P. India. By J. Keir Hardie, M.P. Studies of Indian Life and Sentiment. By Sir Bampfylde Fuller, K. O.S.I. Police and Crime in India. By E. Cox. India Under Ripon. By Wilfrid Scawen Blunt. The Opium Trade. By D. McLaren. India and the Durbar. Macmillan, 1911. The Real India. By J. D. Rees, C.I.E., M.P. Modern India. By Sir J. D. Rees, K.C.I.E., C.V.O., M.P. The Mahomedans. By J. D. Rees. Tours in India. By J. D. Rees. CHAPTER V THE COLONIES Imperial Conference, 1911. PROBLEMS connected with our Dominions and Colonies, being equally numerous, complex and controversial, it is obvious that they cannot be discussed in a work such as this in other than brief and comprehensive fashion. And in fact the most important questions have just come under review at the Imperial Conference of 1911, which will undoubtedly prove to be a new point of departure, at which most of the current controversies assumed a novel form, and from which their future development will date. It was not Colonial but Imperial in character ; it was not a discussion upon domestic relations between the Mother Country and her Colonies, but a Conference between the Governments of five self-governing nations of equal status within one Empire, concerning their common interests, and at which for the first time foreign relations and defence were the most important subjects upon the agenda paper. It was already obvious long before the Conference met in 1911 that existing arrangements under which the Colonies were allowed complete local autonomy, while Imperial afi"airs were entirely under the control of the British Government, could not much longer endure, and that as the daughter States increased in population, trade, and importance they neces- sarily became more and more likely to be immediately affected by and concerned with British foreign policy. Mr. Chamberlain at the Conference of 1897 said, " It is not necessary for me to argue on the advantages of closer union between England and the Dominions. Strong as is the basis of THE COLONIES 153 sentiment, we all feel that it would be desirable to still further tighten the tie which binds us together. The idea of federation is in the air." Little, however, was then done to strengthen what Mr. Chamberlain described as the principle of " mutual support " and to develop a " truly Imperial patriotism." At the Conference of 1902 Mr. Chamberlain did not hesitate to say " that in his opinion the political federation of the Empire was within the bounds of possibility." He specially dwelt on the increase of armaments amongst foreign nations, and in further considering the Imperial system of defence he promised a voice in Imperial affairs as a return for an Imperial subvention. It was then resolved that a quadrennial Conference should be held, and all the Premiers, except Sir Wilfrid Laurier, accepted the principle of contributions to the cost of the British Navy, in recognition of which a resolution was passed to the effect that so far as possible the views of the Colonies should be obtained in negotiating treaties with foreign Powers. Mr. Chamberlain, however, after his visit to South Africa was less hopeful of the early political federation of the Empire, and looked rather to commercial union as the immediate goal. The Conference of 1907 accordingly resolved that quadrennial meetings should be known as Imperial Conferences, and that at such meetings questions of common interest should be discussed and considered as between the British Government and the administrations of the self-governing Dominions beyond the seas. This substituted a basis of Imperial co-operation for one of Imperial Union, and the principle of contribution to the British Navy was abandoned in favour of a policy of construction of Colonial fleets. Questions of foreign policy and defence were not discussed at that Conference, an omission partly due no doubt to the attitude of the then newly elected Liberal majority which supported Sir Henry Campbell-Bannerman. Impeeial Co-operation. Before the meeting of the Conference of 1911 the confes- sions of Mr. Asquith's Government as to the, till then 154 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS unappreciated, advance of Germany towards a position of equality with this country at sea augmented the importance of the meeting and emphasised the necessity for the co- operation of the Dominions in defence and in foreign poHcy. Canada then agreed to create a navy of five armoured cruisers and six destroyers, and Australia of one Dreadnought cruiser, three armoured cruisers, and six destroyers. New Zealand agreed to contribute at once one Dreadnought cruiser for service in New Zealand and Chinese waters and an annual grant of £100,000. The new navies were to be under the control of their own Governments, but Sir "Wilfrid Laurier alone declared " that it was not advisable for Canada to mix in the armaments of the Empire, but that it should be left to the Canadian Parliament, Government, and people to take part in wars in which they have no voice only if they thought fit to do so."" A special significance attached to this declaration as at that time not only had the German scare supervened, but Canada had negotiated with Japan upon Japanese immigration through the British Ambassador at Tokio, as she has since with America with the help of our representative at Washing- ton, and South Africa has made a treaty with Portugal regarding Delagoa Bay. It does not appear that the subsidiary Conference of 1909 appreciated the fact that in determining the manner in which the Colonies could best participate in Imperial defence, it was practically superseding the old idea of Imperial Union by a new policy of Imperial co-operation, fraught with tremendous issues. Sir W. Laurier's contention that Canada should take no part in the drafting of treaties lest such participation should imply responsibility for, and obligation of sharing in, any resulting war, was repudiated by the most important organs, even of the Liberal Canadian Press. The Winnipeg Free Press wrote : " When Great Britain is at war the whole Empire is at war, therefore the overseas Dominions, not less than the Motherland, are open to attack. In actual practice * Canadian Parliament, November 29, 1910. THE COLONIES 155 the Dominions would be involved only in the event of a war with a first-class Power, but technically they arc engaged in hostilities in every little war that breaks out on the far-flung boundaries of the Empire."'" The Toronto Globe declared that, " In defence of the Empire there is no doubt what would be Canada's attitude. Every man, every dollar would be sent to the aid of the Motherland were she hard pressed." t Since Canadian Liberals take this line, and since there is not much doubt that Canadian Conservatives hold, at least as strongly, identical opinions, it may be hoped that before long a general agreement will be reached to the effect that when England is at war the Empire is at war. It is pretty clear that the navies of the Dominions cannot be allowed a free hand without bringing the Imperial structure to the ground. Unity in defence is no longer in sight, and identical foreign policy seems likely to vanish from the political horizon if the Canadian Premier's disastrous lead finds any general following. As Mr. Jebb has urged, " there is a strong particularist tendency of national feeling in all daughter States," I but this need not necessarily be antagonistic to Imperial co-opera- tion, nor can any daughter State have isolated diplomatic relations with foreign Powers unless she has an army and navy of strength something like equal to that of the armaments of the other contracting party behind her own diplomacy. Imperial Council of State, The first proposal which came before the Conference of 1911 was that of New Zealand, which set out that the present stage of Imperial development rendered it expedient that there should be an Imperial Council of State — with representatives from all the self-governing portions of the Empire — in theory and in fact, advisory to the Imperial Government on all questions affecting the interests of His Majesty's dominions overseas. This, however, was withdrawn, after failing to » June 8, 1911. f June 7, 1911. 1 " Studies in Colonial Nationalism." 156 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS meet with the approval of the representatives of other Dominions. Standing Committee of Imperial Conference. Other proposals, also made by the Prime Minister of New Zealand, regarding the reconstitution of the Colonial Office were met by alternative suggestions put forward on behalf of the Imperial Government. The latter involved the creation of a new committee, composed of the Secretary, Under- Secretary, and Permanent Under-Secretary of State for the Colonies, and of the High Commissioners or other repre- sentatives appointed by the Governments concerned. Neither the New Zealand nor the Colonial Office proposals were carried. Prom time to time during the Conference of 1911 the Prime Ministers of the overseas Dominions met on the Imperial Defence Committee, but their proceedings were considered to be confidential in character and were not published. It was, however, regarded as highly satisfactory that these statesmen were admitted frankly to the innermost circle of the British Government, as had indeed been promised by the Colonial Secretary when a valuable resolution moved by Mr. Walter Guinness was adopted in the House of Commons on April 19, 1911, to the effect that "this House is of opinion that discussions on the international situation should be added to the programme of the Imperial Conference." * Hon. Walter Guinness's Resolution. In this debate an Imperial Advisory Council was advocated as well as a proposal to sever the administration of the Dominions from the Colonial Office, and to create a separate Minister for Imperial affairs. It was urged that the States of the Empire had outgrown the condition in which they were content to leave the control of their foreign affairs entirely to the home Government, since they had now decided to construct fleets for themselves. The Declaration of London was in- stanced as a case, which, like the New Hebrides Convention, * Parliamentary Debates, April 19, 1911. THE COLONIES 157 should have been, and was not, brought before the Govern- ments of the Dominions and Colonies, and in ignorance of the forthcoming renewal stress was laid upon the urgent necessity for arriving at some common understanding before the termina- tion in 1915 of the Anglo-Japanese Alliance. Que object of Mr. Guinness's motion was to ensure that the Prime Minister and the Foreign, as well as the Colonial, Secretary should be present at the sessions of the Conference, and that the inter-dependence of naval defence and of responsi- bility for foreign affairs should be fully admitted. Able speeches were delivered upon the great question whether in the future the wars of the United Kingdom would necessarily be those of the whole Empire, and weighty opinions were expressed to the effect that only at an Imperial Conference could any progress be made towards a solution of the difficult and menacing problem of Asiatic immigration. There is every reason to believe that their own participation in the deliberations of the Imperial Defence Committee was warmly welcomed by the Dominion Premiers and will prove to be a new departure of happy augury. A singular feature of the conference was an entertainment at the Eighty Club, at which Mr. Lloyd George expressed Imperial sympathies, and at which Mr. Fisher, the Prime Minister of Australia, who had commended himself to public opinion in this country by his early and complete repudiation of the anti-military agitator of the type of Mr. Keir Hardie, made a somewhat cold rejoinder to Mr. George's lead regarding "the necessity under which the Old Country feels itself of banishing those social evils which undermine its lustre and strength." Mr. George during the war in South Africa had, of course, himself occupied a somewhat similar position to that of Mr. Keir Hardie, and Mr. Fisher seemed anxious above all things to dissociate himself from any peace-and-ploughshare policy which was, or might be described as, wanting in proper patriotic spirit. Declaration op London. The discussion upon the Declaration of London showed that the Colonies regarded this instrument with, to say the least. 158 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS very moderate satisfaction, but the Conference decided to support its ratification* upon the understanding that on all future occasions of the hke character the Dominions would be consulted before any Hague Conference was held from which any such agreement might result. The Australian Common- wealth, however, was no party to the resolution, and telegraphic advices from the Commonwealth, commenting on the attitude of the Australian Prime Minister, indicated that a strong feeling prevailed in well-informed circles to the effect that the Declara- tion was unfavourable to Australian interests. Sir "Wilfrid Laurier, on this occasion also, took a line, after- wards more or less abandoned, which would be fatal to any permanent connection between Canada and the Mother Country. It is difficult to understand his attitude. Either Canada is or is not part of the British Empire. The accepted position recognises her as a member, and it would cost her infinitely more to maintain by her own armaments that security which she now possesses by virtue of her partnership. Under Great Britain, or some powerful nation, so far as can be foreseen, her destinies must be accomplished. Labour Exchanges. It was probably in deference to the British Labour Party that a resolution, which had subsequently to be withdrawn, was moved for the extension of the system of Labour Exchanges upon an Imperial basis between the Mother Country and the Colonies. This, as might have been expected, met with general condemnation from practical statesmen. Resolutions were passed in favour of greater uniformity throughout the Empire in laws relating to copyright, trade marks, and companies, but a motion by Mr. Fisher, the Premier of a Labour Government, be it remembered, urging the support of British manufactured goods and British shipping, proved abortive. Intbechange of Civil Servants. The Government proposal, to which reference has been made, to establish a Standing Committee of the Conference, containing * See p. 22. THE COLONIES 159 the High Commissioners as well as representatives of the home Government, not meeting with sufficient support, and the resolution of the Government of New Zealand dealing with the reconstitution of the Colonial Office having been withdrawn, a resolution was passed at the instance of New Zealand in favour of an interchange of selected officials of the respective Civil Services of the Imperial Government and the Dominions, with a view to the acquirement of better knowledge by both services in regard to questions of common interest. LoED Elgin's Secretariat. Upon the whole, the discussion upon reorganisation in 1911 showed the wisdom of Lord Elgin's scheme of 1907, the adoption of which did not involve any interference with the responsibility or the organisation of the Colonial Office. Lord Elgin's Secretariat has done most useful work, and the Conference was not able to improve upon the arrange- ments made in this behalf in 1907. The difficulty of creating satisfactory machinery for carrying on the work and influence of the Conference between the meetings hinges upon the necessity for - maintaining the responsibility of the Ministers concerned to the various Parliaments. It was this objection which led to the rejection of the scheme for the creation of an Advisory Body, Australia possesses a Department of External Afl"airs and a Department of Defence, the Ministers of both of which were present at the Conference of 1911. Canada has only recently, and South Africa and New Zealand have not yet, created a department of the like nature. In Canada Defence is divided between the Ministers of Marine and Militia, in South Africa it has a share in a Minister, and in New Zealand this portfolio is, with several others, in the hands of the Prime Minister. It is clear, therefore, that some change in the direction of co-ordination is required in the Dominions as well as in the Colonial Office. Secretarial and Ministerial Proposals. There must at any rate be a further development of inter- course between the Ministers concerned at home and abroad, 160 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS and the appointment of a whole-time Minister for the Dominions in the British Government is a reform already well in sight. It might well be urged " that in future the Colonial Ministers of Defence should be made members of the Imperial Com- mittee of Defence, and that each Government should create a Ministry for External Affairs whose functions would correspond with those of a British Minister deputed to control the existing work of the Dominions Department of the Colonial Office, and that work alone." These excellent suggestions were made by the able writer who deals with this subject in The Times* Natukalisation. Upon the not unimportant subject of naturalisation the Conference decided to re-draft the Bill prepared in 1907 upon the principles that the five years period now required for naturalisation in Britain might be spent anywhere within the Empire, and that nothing in the Bill should affect the validity of local immigration laws. This question had given rise to considerable difficulty in 1907 on account of the attitude of South Africa and Australia towards coloured immigrants. It was obvious that those Dominions which object to such immigrants were not likely to agree to receive non -Europeans as citizens by virtue of naturalisation, effected in parts of the Empire which do not object to coloured immigration. At present the period of residence required differs in different countries of the Empire. The British law requires five years' residence in the United Kingdom — for which, under the Bill now pro- visionally accepted by the Conference, five years' residence within the limits of the Empire will be substituted. Canada requires three, Australia two, Newfoundland five, years' resi- dence, while New Zealand exacts no definite period. Most of the Dominions accept a naturalisation certificate of the United Kingdom in lieu of residence, and Australia, New Zealand, South Africa, and Newfoundland refuse to naturalise members of certain non-European races * Junes, 1911 THE COLONIES 161 Intra-Imperial Migration. A resolution was also passed recommending that the present policy of encouraging intra-Imperial migration should be con- tinued, and that full co-operation should be accorded to any Dominion in want of immigrants. Mr. Burns was able to show that while in 1900 only 33 per cent, of the emigrants from the United Kingdom migrated to other parts of the Empire, the proportion in the first few months of 1911 had risen to 80 per cent. A Standing Committee appointed in 1910 by the Royal Colonial Institute, under the chairmanship of the Duke of Marlborough, to report upon measures for the better organisation and control of emigration from the United King- dom to the Dominions, reported in the following year. In its report the Committee pointed out that " the tide of satisfactory emigrants from North-Western Europe appears to be ebbing and a less eligible class is presenting itself from the East and South." "While, however, it is becoming more and more necessary for the Dominions to attract eligible settlers from the British Isles, a difficulty is created by the desire in the Dominions only for a class of emigrant which the United Kingdom is unwilling to lose. The Committee holds that a via media satisfactory to both sides can nevertheless be found, since in its opinion " there are many people who are unem- ployed or under-employed and have no prospects in this country, yet who would, and who in practice do, prove admir- able colonists, on the land or in the towns, if they can be transferred to suitable employment in the Dominions before a long period of idleness has undermined their self-reliance and weakened their habits of industry." The Committee considered that an oflBcial committee should be constituted to represent the existing voluntary emigration societies and harmonise conflicting interests, and thought such a committee might be developed out of the existing Emigrants' Information Office and might include representatives of the Dominion Governments. The functions suggested for it are as follows : — (a) To advise on all general questions of policy affecting emigration. (b) To co-ordinate the emigration societies of the United Kingdom. 12 162 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS (c) To collect and disseminate the information now dealt with by the Emigrants' Information Office. (d) To deal with labour exchanges, boards of guardians, county councils, distress committees, the Central Unemployed Body, and other bodies on all matters connected with emigration. (e) To deal with High Commissioners, Agents-General, and agencies in the Overseas Dominions in regard to questions of emigration. Indun Iumiqbation. As regards the vexed question of the immigration of natives of India into the territory of the South African Union, the only possible attitude for the Imperial Government to take was to recognise the right of a self-governing community to choose the elements of which it should be constituted. The Home Government, therefore, in no way pressed the Govern- ment of the Union to admit a class of immigrants, which the people of South Africa was determined to exclude. They only asked that the exclusion should be effected in such a manner as not to humiliate the natives of India concerned. The attitude of the South African Colonies is in no way singular, for the influx of coloured persons into Australia is successfully prevented by legislation, which, without drawing distinctions on the ground of race and colour, sufficiently safeguards the inhabitants of the Commonwealth. Coloured persons are not excluded by any colour bar, but by the action of the immigra- tion officers. The British Indians have, however, a special, as well as a general, claim upon the English in South Africa, for during the Boer War great services were rendered in Natal by the Indian community, which behaved in so unselfish, courageous, and public-spirited a manner that it might well be urged that they were ill requited by the local Governments when peace was restored. On the other hand it must be admitted that natives of India completely undersell natives of Europe whenever they come into competition with them, and that the solicitude of the Union and local Governments in South Africa for the interests of their white subjects was not only excusable but absolutely necessary and correct. It is not only in South Africa that acute difficulties in regard THE COLONIES 163 to immigration arise. Such have been experienced in Canada, which its inhabitants are determined shall remain a white man's country, not only for social and economic reasons, but on national and political grounds. Canada claims that British alliances or British obligations shall not lead to any restric- tions on the right of the Dominion to legislate as regards immigration. The competition of Indian labour, if it was largely increased, would occasion general unrest amongst the white working men, whose standard of living is higher than that of Asiatics, and who as citizens have obligations to fulfil and expenditure to meet, in fact, a general status to maintain, with which the Indian coolie has no concern. As emigration to Canada under an agreement to labour is not lawful under the Indian Emigration Act of 1883, unless Canada provides such laws as the Indian Government thinks sufficient to protect immigrants, it is within the power of either the Indian or Canadian Governments to stop this move- ment, and the Dominion Government has accordingly passed an Order in Council prohibiting the landing in the Dominion of immigrants who come to Canada in violation of the laws of their own country, and rendering them liable to deportation. So far as contract labour, the most dreaded class, is concerned, this remedy is complete, and in respect of other immigrants, the regulation of the Canadian Government requiring a con- tinuous passage upon through tickets from the country to which such immigrants belong, and the possession of a mini- mum sum of $25, should prove an effectual bar. There is not, of course, and never has been, any indentured emigration from India to Canada. The people of India, it is said, will resent Canada's action. "What people ? What castes and sections of which people inhabiting which regions in a vast continent, the home of numerous races without cohesion, fellow-feeling, or common sentiment ? The Bengali Press and the Indian Press elsewhere controlled by Bengali Babus and Poena Brahmins, will tell a different tale, but Asiatics do not sympathise with brother Asiatics as Europeans, often in a most ineffectual manner, do sympathise with brother Europeans. Mr. Meredith Townsend with perfect truth wrote 164 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS in his remarkable work, " Asia and Europe" : " Sympathy has yet to be born in Asia. Asiatics lack that side of the imagination which we call ympathy, which has become so dominant among ourselves, that we are apt to forget how comparatively recent its development has been." It has indeed become dominant among ourselves to such an extent that we are in danger of forgetting that in India itself, as well as without its wide limits, an Imperial governing people must continue to practise an Imperial impartiality, for sympathy with one race, caste, class, sect, or religion provokes antipathy against another, while sympathy is ever in danger of degenera- tion into tawdry and mischievous sentiment, and lends itself with fatal facility to prostitution as a party pawn and foul play as an agitator's counter. It must also be recognised that Indians coming from tropical climates possess manners and customs so unlike those of the Canadians that they must necessarily suffer privations such as render a discontinuance of such immigration most desirable in their own interests, and that the emigration of Indians to Canada was due to highly coloured pictures of Canadian prosperity circulated broadcast in certain parts of India in the interests of steamship companies and sundry industrial concerns, which desired to obtain unskilled labour at wages below the current rates. Steps have now been taken to counteract these inducements, and immigrants who come otherwise than by a continuous journey from their own country are, as above stated, not permitted to land in Canada. It is not, however, only, or chiefly, a question of Indian immigration. As the result of a careful inquiry the Com- missioner appointed by the Canadian Government reported that unless measures were adopted sufiQciently effective to prohibit absolutely all immigration from Hawaii, and the importation of contract labour from Japan, there were strong grounds for believing that the number of Japanes likely to enter Canada would become excessive, and that a traffic in Japanese labour would be developed such as had never been equalled in the importation of any class of coolie labour ever brought to the Canadian shores. THE COLONIES 165 Mr, Mackenzie-King thought that an immediate considera- tion of the subject was desirable, not only in the interests of British Columbia, but of the whole Dominion, and that any effective solution demanded the prohibition of such Japanese immigration as might come from countries beyond Japanese jurisdiction, and an absolute restriction of the numbers coming directly from that country. Japanese emigration into Hawaii has, however, fallen largely in 1909 and 1910, and the island Empire wants all her spare population, and more, to settle in and develop, Formosa, Korea, and Manchuria. There is good reason to believe that the South African Indian immigration question has been used as an agitator's counter in India, and it is, of course, from this point of view, and still more in view of the necessity for deahng generously with British Indians, most desirable that humili- ating and restrictive legislation should, as far as possible, be avoided. Eepeal, however, of the Asiatic Law Amendment Act, 1907, implies not only the discontinuance of the methods of identi- fication by finger-prints, but the surrender by the Transvaal of certain powers of exclusion, which the whole white com- munity has determined that the Government shall retain and exercise. The Asiatic Eegistration Amendment Law of 1908 allowed signatures to be taken only in the case of educated property possessors and well-known Asiatics, and finger-prints in other cases, and also prescribed that no regulation should be enforced to which the Asiatics had religious objections. The objectionable part of the Asiatic Law Amendment Act was cancelled, but Indians still remain subject to its provisions, and do not come under the Immigrants Restriction Act, which provides in the case of healthy, sane, and satisfactory immigrants a dictation test only, in some European language. Lord Sanderson's Committee. A Committee appointed in March, 1909, to report on Indian emigration to the Crown Colonies and Protectorates, of which 166 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS Lord Sanderson was Chairman, fully considered this general question and reported* : — (1) That subject to certain recommendations in regard to individual colonies, the system of indentured immigiration as actually worked is not open to serious objection in the interests of the immigrant labourer. (2) That Indian immigration is of the greatest assistance in developing the resources of soma of our tropical colonies, and in increasing their prosperity. (3) That in the present condition of India, indentured emigration is the only practicabla form of emigration to distant colonies on any considerable scale. Lord Sanderson's Committee had no concern, of course, with self-governing Dominions and in no way helped to a solution of the difficulties in South Africa. It was urged on behalf of the Indians in the Transvaal that a system of identification by finger-prints is degrading, although such a system is enforced without the slightest objection in every registry office in Bengal, besides being used in many parts of India in commercial transactions. It was, moreover, adopted by the Indian Government in 1899 as an efficient method of preventing perjury and personation, and is a system against which no objection can be raised on the grounds of religion, caste, sex, or rank in society. An excellent authority has also given as a good reason for its introduction the fact that " there was no prejudice to be overcome in obtain- ing the fiager-prints required."} At present, moreover, such test is in practice only exacted from uneducated Indians who have no formed handwriting. | The fact is that under existing conditions in British India the unrestful English-educated malcontents are on the look-out for any grievance, and take any opportunity like this which offers for attacking the Government. The Asiatics in the Transvaal themselves have accepted the position that further immigration of their fellow-countrymen should be stringently restricted, but it is not unnatural that » Cd. 5192. t " The Classification and Uses of Finger Prints," by Sir Edward Henry. J Cd. 5679, 1911. Union of South Africa : Bill to regulate immigration. THE COLONIES 167 domiciled Indians who have left the Ti-ansvaal have returned to India with feelings of resentment at the treatment they experienced at the hands of their European fellow-subjects. Such resentment is not without some justification, of which the disloyal elements in the Indian population are swift to make use. The Asiatic Law Amendment Act, which was based upon the assumption that there was a considerable illicit immigration into the Transvaal, has been replaced by a new Validation Act, to which Asiatics take no great exception. It was, in fact, a sentimental grievance, which Asiatics ventilated against a law which had already become practically inoperative. There was more point, however, in their request that the right of educated Indians to enter the Transvaal, unrestricted by general immigration law, should be recognised. It is evident that no step more fatal to the Empire can be taken than to attempt to force on colonists a code of conduct, such as could never be made applicable to inhabitants of Great Britain, in regard to their relations with the inhabitants of other non-European countries, whether or not such are fellow- subjects of the Crown. Behind the trivial points at issue in the dispute in the Transvaal lies the tremendous question of the relations between Europeans atid Asiatics, in which the self-governing colonies are most interested, and which must settle such questions for themselves. Keen sympathisers with Indians in the Transvaal should not, however, be blind to the fact that it is gross hypocrisy for England to denounce a colony for taking in the face of com- petition on the part of Asiatics, precisely that action which the British Government, by itself, or under pressure from the Labour Party, would at once take in the same circumstances in Britain, nor do the Native Indian Governments at all observe the principle that all British subjects should have equal treatment under all Governments in the British Empire, for Europeans are excluded by a colour bar from settling within the limits of several of the Native States in India, and in other cases they can only do so with the express permission of the Government. It is also somewhat inconsistent that 168 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS this theory should be advanced from India at a time when Babus of Bengal and Brahmins of the Deccan, who claim to be representative of the peoples of India, are urging the expulsion of the English from that country, and indeed have organised a spirited campaign, after the Russian Nihilist model, for the assassination of the British officials. The fact is that no colony is likely to relinquish what Lord de Villiers, Chief Justice of the Cape, described "as one of the most precious privileges of any community, that of deciding for themselves of what material the future nation shall be built." Least of all will the colonists in the South African Union relinquish this privilege when they have before their eyes the case of Natal, which, having, in haste to obtain labour, accepted the condition of the Indian Government that imported Asiatics should be allowed to settle in the Colony, now possesses a population in which the Asiatics number thirteen to every ten Europeans. In Natal the former have replaced the European artisans, cultivators, and tradesmen, and have invaded the professions and the highest walks of commercial life. Sir Arthur Lawley, Lord Milner, and Lord Selborne have pointed out * that unless white society is allowed to legislate for its own protection, the conditions of South Africa will be assimilated to those of India, and she will not be able to maintain control if the natives rise, or to protect her own shores, without a paid army imported from Europe. The theory that all subjects of British Imperial rule are entitled to equal treatment in every part of the Empire must break down wherever it is exposed to a working test. Carry this theory to its logical conclusion, and it will be necessary to reserve the tropical possessions of Great Britain for the Indian, and the temperate zones for the European, colonists, and any attempt to coerce the self-governing colonies in this behalf can only result in their ceasing to be integral parts of the Empire. Another aspect of the case which arises is that the spectacle of British-Indian subjects combining together to break the law is not very improving for the masses of our native African • Cd. 2239 of 1904, p. 28 ; Cd. 3308 of 1904, p. 2. THE COLONIES 169 subjects, and may indeed well prove pesshni exempli, nor can the British Government, with any consistency, urge that action should be taken by a self-governing colony which it did nob itself take when the territory of such colony was actually administered by itself as a Crown Colony. The whole subject is one eminently worthy of attention from the Imperial Conference, at which, however, no more than a resolution was carried calling for greater uniformity in Imperial legislation on the subject. No claim of the natives of our colonies and foreign possessions to share with white citizens the obhgations of citizenship, and the corresponding social and political rights and privileges, will colonials concede, and any attempt to force upon them any such system can only result in the transference of territory now directly or indirectly under our rule to that of some more virile and sensible community. Nor is such a community wanting, or unwilling to take over so great and glorious a charge. The difficulties of the situation, far from diminishing, are only likely, as time passes, to increase. For instance, although the great need by common consent of Australia is po ulation, the Labour Party now in power in the Commonwealth use all their influence and power to prevent immigration, and appeals addressed to them on the score of the need for the develop- ment of the dreary solitudes of a vast unpeopled continent are made in vain. At the present moment a Bill * is before the Union Parlia- ment of South Africa for the Kepeal of the Asiatic Eegistration Act, for the removal from the text of the Immigration Act of 1907 of any differential bar to the entrance of Asiatics as such, for the substitution of an education test on the Australian principle, and for providing by regulation for the entrance each year of a limited number of educated Indians. It is, however, as the Prime Minister, General Botha, hinted in a dispatch to the Colonial Office, only too probable that this settlement will not be accepted as final by all the parties * Cd. 5579. Union of South Africa : Bill to Regulate Immigration into. 170 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS concerned, but will become a fresh starting-point for another agitation for new demands in the future on the part of agita- tors in India, who work upon their fellow-countrymen in South Africa, at least in part to serve their own ends. Immediately before the Imperial Conference met in London in 1911 General Botha announced that a provisional settle- ment had been reached in regard to the question of Asiatics in the Transvaal upon lines approved by the Imperial and Union Governments, and that the passive resistance move- ment had been abandoned. In addition to those, to which reference has already been made, the following further con- cessions have been allowed to the Indians by the Union Government. (1) Asiatics in South Africa, who have not applied to be registered in consequence of the passive resistance movement, are permitted to make application within six months. (2) Thirty Asiatics now in India, who were deported under the Acts of 1907 and 1908, or who left in consequence of the passive resistance move- ment, and who otherwise would be entitled to registration, can return and apply within six months. (3) Six educated Indians will be admitted annually free from registra- tion. For the present year ten Indians now in the Transvaal may remain under temporary permits as special cases pending fresh legisla- tion. (4) Well-educated and well-known Asiatics are exempted from thumb- prints when making application. General Botha expressed his great satisfaction at the settlement, and said that this difficult problem had been solved at the right moment, that the Indians should realise that in framing these regulations great difficulty was experi- enced in obtaining the concessions made, and that he hoped that Indians both in South Africa and in India would understand this and play their part, fully assured that the Transvaal Government was actuated by no feelings of hostility against them. Socialist Labour Party. The general policy of the Socialist Labour Party in Parlia- ment is t3 support the native inhabitants of any British THE COLONIES 171 possession against the claims of the European settlsrs in such colonies and dependencies. It is singular that those who are specially elected for the protection of British labour in Great Britain should object to any protection whatever being given to their fellow-countrymen in partibus. Such, however, is invariably the case ; and although the Government of Sir Henry Gampbell-Bannerman is entitled to the credit of having exercised courage and forethought in the settlement of South Africa, the Boers, in that region for whom his administration always professed affection and admiration, by no means carry out a pro-native policy, neither can such a policy stand the t st of competition between British and native labour in South Africa, or any other part of the world. So strongly does the Labour Party take the pro-native line, that the Under-Secretary of State, Colonel Seely, behaved with exemplary courage in denying in Parliament " that in respect of humane treatment of the natives in South Africa we have a monopoly of morality in this House." ''' This attitude is, moreover, by no means confined to the Labour, but characterises a large and influential section of the Kadical Party, which contained at least one eminent parliamentarian, the late Sir Charles Dilke. Even in his case sympathy with the native seemed invariably to connote distrust of the Em'opean, and in the case of lesser lights of the like mind this prejudice against the white man is a strong and constant feature. Cables. Turning to other matters which engaged the attention of the Imperial Conference, the cable question, of course, again came under consideration. Australia favours the nationalisa- tion of the Atlantic cable so as to ensure a State-controlled system from Great Britain across Canada to Australasia, a proposal with which New Zealand is in substantial accord. Indeed, a State-owned Atlantic cable is a logical corollary of the action of the Mother Country, Canada, AustraHa, and New Zealand in providing a Pacific cable from Vancouver • Parliamentary Debates, 1909, vol. 9, p. 1598. 172 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS via Fanning Island to New Zealand and Australia. From this has resulted a reduction of the ordinary rates between Great Britain and Australia to 3s., and for the press to 9d., a word. A further reduction in the Atlantic charges is long overdue, but as the traflBc between the United Kingdom and Canada is only a fraction of that between the United Kingdom and North America, and the lower rate granted in the one, would necessarily be applicable to the other, case, it has been proposed to establish a State-owned line from Scotland via the Faroe Islands, Iceland, Greenland, and the coast of Labrador. Of course this route is not " All Red," but the exceptions, Iceland and Greenland, are Danish territory. Nevertheless, resolutions advocating a State-owned Atlantic cable were withdrawn at the Conference, after a motion in general terms in favour of a cheaper rate was carried. No doubt the reason for withdrawal was that the Postmaster- General, Mr. Samuel, stated that negotiations were in progress with the private cable companies, but the reductions suggested were so large as to create doubt as to their success.* A resolution was passed to the effect that if they proved unsuc- cessful, a subsidiary Conference should be held to reconsider the subject of a State-owned cable. " All Red " Route. Resolutions were passed in favour of an " All Red " mail route from Great Britain to Canada, Australia, and New Zealand, and of Imperial co-operation in commercial relations. To this Sir Wilfrid Laurier carried as an addition the appoint- ment of a Royal Commission representing the United Kingdom and the Dominions to investigate and report on the whole subject, including the question to what extent, if any, trade between each of the different parts of the Empire has been affected by the existing legislation in each part, and by what * Mr. Samuel announced on December 27, 1911, that after January 1, 1912, plain language telegrams for Australasia, Canada, India, South Africa and other British Oversea Dominions, and the United States wiU be accepted at half the ordinary rates, on condition that they may, if necessary, be deferred for 21 hours in favour of full rate traffic. THE COLONIES 173 methods, consistent with the existing fiscal policy of each part, the trade of each part with the others may be improved and extended. Treaties. A very important resolution was moved by the same statesman, and carried with the approval of the other four Premiers and the Foreign Secretary, whereby the British Government was asked to open negotiations with foreign Governments having commercial treaties with us which apply to the Dominions, in view to securing liberty for any Dominions which may so desire to withdraw from the opera- tion of the treaty without impairing its validity in respect of the rest of the Empire. This was supported by reference to the experience of the Commonwealth Government, which, when it wished to give preferential treatment to British products carried in British ships was prevented from so doing by " the most-favoured nation " clause in certain treaties. A similar difficulty arose when Canada desired to give a preference to the Mother Country, and as there are in existence twelve treaties containing the obnoxious clause the question is one of great importance. Tariffs. Although the tariff question is no less important than that of Imperial Defence, it has only reached its present prominence with the amazing development in the last reign of the diiTerent parts of the Empire. Whether or not the so-called Free Trade of England can be maintained in this country, it is already obvious that Imperial Union is incompatible with a policy of Fi'ee Trade here and a policy of Protection in all the self- governing Dominions, and in no long time a choice will have to be made between free imports and Imperial Union. That the subject has not been discussed at the Conference is due to the fact that the party in power in Great Britain was recently returned, as may be fairly contended, by an electorate inclined on the whole to prefer Free Trade, though it might also with reason be argued that the largest party in the State, that of the 174 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS Conservatives, is the Imperial Preference and Tariff Reform Party. Treaties with Belgium and Germany were denounced in 1898 because they established the principle that the Empire consisted of separate commercial units, whose arrangements with each other might be taken to constitute discrimination against foreign Powers, and in 1903 the preference Canada gave to Great Britain led to a tariff war between herself and Germany. Canada stood stoutly by Lord Salisbury's con- tention that a tariff concession given by one to another part of the Empire is a matter of domestic concern, and cannot properly be regarded by foreign Powers as coming within the province of most-favoured nation treaties. This principle, so vital to Imperial co-operation, is now pretty well established, but if the Dominion Governments can carry on separate commercial relations with foreign Powers, it must necessarily be abandoned. It is not probable, however, that Britain will be able to maintain her interpretation of the most- favoured nation clause to the effect that the most favoured shall receive all favours extended to any other nation. This is the interpretation she adopted, with the adoption of Free Trade, after which she could no longer expect favours as the result of bestowing them. The principle is incompatible with that of fiscal autonomy for the self-governing Dominions, has not been accepted by other Powers, and is rejected, to our loss, by the United States. Income Tax. The Chancellor of the Exchequer summarily disposed of a proposal put forward to abolish the duplication of taxation, and particularly of income tax, by the Imperial and Colonial Governments, which of course occurs also in the case of India. Nevertheless there is a good deal to be said for the objections which are raised to the present procedure, and there is at least a colourable case of injustice, though on the other hand it may be regarded as equitable that payment should be made to the Government of the country in which income is made, as well as to that of the eountry in which it is spent. THE COLONIES 175 SnippiNa Combinations. The home Government also intimated that it was not prepared to take any taction dealing with shipping combin- ations based on the system of deferred rebates, which endows a shipowner with considerable power over his customers and has the effect of practically establishing a monopoly on certain routes. It is true that the Royal Commission of 1906 did not recommend any far-reaching reforms, but the Majority and Minority Reports alike suggested certain changes upon which further action could be based. There is a probability that if some relief is not proposed by the Board of Trade steps will be taken by the Dominions concerned to remedy grievances which are felt to be alike serious and susceptible of removal. Imperial Court of Appeal. The Commonwealth representatives were of opinion that an Imperial Court of Appeal had become a necessity. So long as the Judicial Committee of the Privy Council is the court of final resort for the Colonies and Dependencies, while the House of Lords occupies the same position in respect of the United Kingdom, there can be no uniformity of judge-made law and identity of standards, nor can the Court of Appeal, which holds that position in respect of the Colonies only, satisfy the requirements of an Imperial Court, Moreover, the Judicial Committee does not contain representatives of the self- governing Dominions from which appeals are brought possess- ing the necessary local knowledge for their disposal. It^was suggested that judges from each of the Dominions should serve a term on the Committee, but no definite decision was reached upon this or upon any other point in regard to this admittedly important subject. Lord Haldane * has, however, since intro- duced in the House of Lords an Appellate Jurisdietion Bill, whereby it is proposed to lay the foundations of a stronger single Court of Appeal for the whole Empire, which could sit both as a House of Lords Court of Appeal and as a Judicial Committee of the Privy Council, but not, as at * Parliamentary Debates (Lords), August 1, 1911. 176 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS present, so as to clash one with the other, and to make the provision of judges, especially for the Judicial Committee, a matter of difiQculty. Enforcement of Arbitration Awards. A resolution was, however, carried calling for some arrange- ment whereby awards under commercial arbitration given in one, can be enforced in another, part of the Empire, and the final^ session was marked by the passing of two resolutions the importance of which will depend on the manner in which they are carried out. The first was to the effect that it is desirable that Ministers of the United Kingdom and the Dominions shall, between Conferences, exchange reciprocal visits ; '^the second that the Government shall take into consideration the possibility of holding Conferences in one or another of the Overseas Dominions. Defence. The proposal made by New Zealand in favour of an Imperial Council of State to advise the Imperial Government in all matters affecting the Dominions, though it was not carried, met with considerable approval, because it is felt that the creation of such a Council would be an important step in the direction of Federation, and might foreshadow a future in which the Dominions would share in the effective control of the Empire, the daughter States of which have already far outgrown that stage in which they were, or could be, content to leave the control of their foreign relations entirely in the hands of the British Government. Their present conditions demand new openings for commerce and for intercourse with foreign nations. Australia and New Zealand will soon have a fleet of one Dreadnought, three cruisers and six destroyers, while Canada is preparing to construct five cruisers for home defence. It is obvious that difficulties such as arose when the Imperial Government concluded the New Hebrides Con- vention, without consulting the Commonwealth of Australia, must recur, and may become more formidable in the future. Delicate questions must arise regarding the immigration of THE COLONIES 177 Asiatics into Australia, and of Europeans into Japan, and some system must be developed under which such matters will receive adequate consideration, and in which the interests of the Empire, and of individual Dominions will be adequately and equally safeguarded. The question, baldly put, is, Are the interests of the United Kingdom in the future, whether immediate or remote, to be those of the Empire as a whole ? The Dominions and Colonies no longer live outside the ambit of international politics, nor now enjoy immunity from international troubles and obligations, and the whole position is altered by the addition of strong navies to powerful armies in the case of three of the greatest Powers. It is doubtful whether this country can any longer continue adequately to protect her Colonies, especially as owing to the rapid increase in German naval construction, almost the whole strength of our fleet is now concentrated in the North Sea. It is matter for congratulation that the First Lord of the Admiralty, Mr. McKenna,* described the naval arrangements recently made with the Dominions as most satisfactory. Eeviewing the gift of a Dreadnought cruiser by New Zealand, the resolve of Australia and Canada to develop fleets of their own, and of South Africa to continue to assist the British Navy with an annual subvention, he announced that, where the Dominions have undertaken to develop fleets of their own there would be interchangeability of officers and men and such common standards of training and discipline as to insure in the event of war that the joint fleets would act in complete union. This is an announcement of the first importance. It is not now a matter of course that navies of the Dominions will come under the Admiralty in the event of war, but the Canadian Government, at the end of July, 1911, presented to their Parliament a memorandum embodying a scheme of con- joint naval organisation agreed upon at the recent Imperial Conference.! By this it is provided that the "naval services and forces of Canada and Australia will be exclusively under the control of their respective Governments, that the training and discipline of such forces will be generally uniform with ♦ Speech at Pontypool, June 13, 1911. + Bee page 14. 13 178 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS the training and discipline of the British Navy," and that " in time of war when the navy of a Dominion, or any part thereof, has been put at the disposal of the Imperial Government, the ships will form an integral part of the British fleet, and will remain under the control of the British Admiralty during the continuance of the war." This memorandum is a refutation of Sir Wilfrid Laurier's contention, which has also been put forward and vehemently repudiated in South Africa,''' to the effect that the Dominions can be independent in time of war. It is already decided that the Prime Ministers of the Greater Dominions shall not only be consulted at the periodical Imperial Conference upon matters of internal moment, but that they shall also attend meetings of the Committee on Imperial Defence. Meanwhile the Greater Dominions are preparing to defend themselves. Under the Australian Defence Act of 1910, wherein are embodied Lord Kitchener's recommendations to the Federal Government, the Commonwealth has been divided into 215 military areas, each of which is under the command of a Commissioner, assisted by one or two non-commissioned officers. The era of compulsory service was inaugurated in July, 1911. One hundred and five thousand boys of from 14 to 18 years of age have been brought under the immediate discipline of a training that requires at least four whole-day and 12 half- day parades and 24 night drills a year. Next year 30,000 youths of 18 will enter the ranks of the National Militia, and in each succeeding year similar batches will follow, so that in seven years the citizen army will number, allowing for wastage, 120,000 trained men. The same month witnessed the inauguration of the com- pulsory Naval Force, the total required enrolment being 3,700. There are two sections of the force, an adult, and a • The South African Defence Bill adopts as its fundamental principle the liability of every citizen to serve the State in time of need, and to prepare himself by regular training in the use of arms. A system of rifle associations and of compulsory cadet training is also provided, and the principle of a cash contribution to the British Admiralty is maintained. THE COLONIES 179 cadet, reserve, the ages of the latter ranging from 14 to 18 years. The cadet system, which was proposed for adoption in England by Lord Haldane, but dropped by the Government to satisfy the Socialists, has been adopted in the State schools in Australia, wherein there are upwards of 50,000 well-trained cadets, who are subsequently taken over by the volunteer and militia organisations. This lesson might well be learnt at home by politicians, who never weary of holding up for imitation the example of Aus- traha in having, under wholly different conditions from such as obtain in Britain, adopted woman suffrage. " Of two such lessons why forget The nobler and the manlier one?" In New Zealand also compulsory military training is most popular, and the Socialists in a decided minority, while in the Australian Commonwealth generally the purely voluntary system is allowed to have broken down, so that every colonist regards it as ignominious to allow the burden of his defence to rest on others than himself. This spirit, and the earnest appeal made to politicians to be patriots first, are full of hopeful augury, and England, while herself still unprepared for compulsory training, does not hesitate to applaud, without imitating, the enterprise and patriotism in this behalf of daughter States. Australia has not yet accepted the recommendations of Admiral Henderson's report, but if, as is not unlikely, she does, she will embark on the construction of eight Dread- noughts, 16 protected cruisers, 18 destroyers, 12 submarines, and the usual complement of subsidiary ships. When she has a fleet of these dimensions she must have a foreign policy, and the same argument applies to the other Dominions, though Great Britain can hardly be committed by the policy of the daughter States on questions of war and peace. Criticisms of Geneeal Eesults. It must be reluctantly admitted that the results of this Con- ference, at which so many points of Imperial importance were ]80 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS raised, have been disappointing. The Gape Times * discovered no sign of advance, but rather of retrogression, in regard to both closer political and commercial union, and found support for this opinion in the resolution extending to Dominions liberty to make independent commercial treaties with foreign countries, and in the omission to deal with the Imperial Preference policy which was accepted at the previous meeting. There is only too much truth in the following words : " The Imperial Conference is being stifled in deference to the fears of the politicians, both of Great Britain and the Dominions, who are afraid to open their windows to the Imperial air lest party interests in a domestic sense may suffer. Some means must be devised to prevent what was intended to be an Imperial gathering, called to discuss Imperial questions from an Imperial standpoint, from degenerating into a hollow makeshift of windy pretence, where Imperial questions likely to prove troublesome in local party politics are excluded by mutual agreement, and suppression is commended to the Empire as a notable step towards better mutual understanding." The Johannesburg Star,\ while declining to consider the results as disappointing in all respects, hoped the Overseas delegates at the next Conference would be able " to devote most of their attention to concrete measures rather than to the dis- cussion of principles." The Australian Press hoped that the Prime Minister, Mr. Fisher, would adopt a wider outlook than was usual with members of the Labour Party, and urged the importance of giving practical encouragement to capital and immigrants. Sir Wilfrid Lauder's foreign treaty proposals were criticised as entirely opposed to the Imperialist ideal and a complete negation of the ImperiaF idea, since, if they were adopted, one portion might have better tariff terms with a par- ticular country than were enjoyed by another portion of the Empire. Generally speaking, public feeling in Australia was unfavourable to the opinions and proposals of the Canadian Prime Minister and could not understand why he opposed Mr. Harcourt's contemplated Standing Committee of Dominion representatives as involving Imperial interference, unless • June 22, 1911. f June 21, 1911. THE COLONIES 181 he confounded the autonomy vfith the isolation of the Dominions. The general feeling that little or nothing was really accom- plished was expressed by Mr. Fisher when he took refuge in the oracular statement that " the Conference has broadened the basis of Imperial unity," and by Mr. Batchelor, his Minister for External Affairs in the Commonwealth Government, when, while professing to be satisfied with the results, he said : " Although it was not found possible for the moment to develop further the organisation of the Empire, yet aspirations for a better organised political union have had no kind of set- back; on the contrary, our feeling of close comradeship among the members of a united Empire has been strengthened. In all that makes for the Empire's unity there has been a great advance. No one has banged any doors." An Imperial Conference would appear, therefore, to be successful if it results in no set-back, and if no one — as it seemed necessary to protest — has banged the doors ! House of Commons and Indian Indentured Labour. Many other questions connected with the Colonies and Dominions become from time to time the subject of controversy in the House of Commons, but they are as a rule not subjects of much general interest. An example is the labour question in the island of Trinidad. A member of the Labour Party con- tinued from 1906-1910 to ask questions on behalf of the Trinidad Working Men's Association, but these ceased to have much interest when the Under-Secretary of State * informed the House that the membership of this Association, according to the latest available figures, was only 223. Lord Sanderson's Committee found no such result as reduction of wages or unemployment from the use of indentured labour. Frequent objections are taken in Parliament by the Labour Party to the supply of Indian indentured coolie immigrants into the Western Indies, though the prosperity of some of these islands entirely depends on this class of labour, the supply of which is equally beneficial to India and the West Indies, and » Parliamentary Debates, 1909, vol. 4, p. 1028. 182 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS notwithstanding the report * favourable to this movement of labour and to its conditions, which was made in June, 1910, by the Committee on Emigration from India to the Crown Colonies and Protectorates. This report made mincemeat of all contentions regarding the inherent wickedness of indentured labour, which are articles of faith with the Labour Party. The Committee reported that Indian indentured immigration had rendered invaluable service to our Colonies in which a supply of steady labour has been required for development by methods of work from which the native population is averse, both by supplying labour and by the example afforded by the Indians of thrifty and persevering habits, that those who remain after the expixy of their indentures prove a valuable addition to the population as orderly and law- abiding members of the community, that the system is not open to serious objection in the interests of the immigrant labourer, that such emigration should only be conceded to colonies which allow time-expired immigrants to settle on the land, that it does not lower the wages of the native popu- lation or older colonists, but provides taxpayers who contribute in no inconsiderable degree to the revenues of the colony in which they settle. DiNIZULU. Another matter, also in the hands of the Labour Party, assisted by Radicals, Socialists, and Irish, was the treatment of Dinizulu, who, having adopted an attitude hostile to the British Government, was immediately provided with numerous allies in the House of Commons. Interest in, and sympathy with, this potentate reached its climax when the Natal Government were constrained to take criminal proceedings against him in 1907. He was sentenced to four years' im- prisonment for harbouring rebels. It was immediately sug- gested that it was advisable to remit this sentence because he was convicted of crimes less serious than rebellion and murder, f Urgent cables were sent to South Africa to satisfy • Cd. 5192 and Cd. 5194. t Parliamantary Debates, 1909, vol. 1, p. 1575 ; vol, 2, 1909, pp. 733, 743. THE COLONIES 183 the anxiety of honourable members who feared that the imprisonment might be of a rigorous, or at least uncomfortable, character. The fact that a handful of fellow-countrymen had to preserve their lives and goods amongst a vast African population was as usual entirely overlooked. Southern Nigeria. Leaving South for West Africa, a Committee of Inquiry into the Liquor Trade in Southern Nigeria was appointed in 1909, under Sir Mackenzie Chalmers, with the result that the allegations, supported in high quarters, against British officers and British policy, broke down with ludicrous completeness. The views of the group above mentioned received a severe check when this Committee reported (1910) that the natives of the country had always been alcohol drinkers, that the spirits imported were of good quality and contained nothing of a dangerous character, both the rum and the gin being of about the same quality as the better class of spirits sold in England, that no deterioration of race had taken place which can be attributed to the use of alcohol, that general sobriety was a characteristic of the people, that the standard of sobriety in Southern Nigeria was higher than that of the United Kingdom and compared most favourably with that of other colonies inhabited by negro races.'" So in India the native Press is becoming restive under the representations of the friends of India in Parliament that her sober population is addicted to drink. "It would be impossible to abandon a substantial source of revenue. It is not likely that diminu- tion of shops will discourage sale. The result is not what temperance reformers want or what is beneficial to the people. Government only takes more cash out of the pockets of the poor, who spend a larger proportion on drink and less on food of their small resources." t It seems unlikely at present that the British campaign against the use of stimulants — by others — will succeed. » Cd. 4906, 4907 ; Tlw Times, June 30, Jvily 7 and 14, 1911. t Indian Patriot, Juue 19, 1911. 184 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS Masai. A typical instance of the kind of intervention which makes the proper conduct of affairs in British possessions increas- ingly difficult occurred during the debate in Supply on the Colonial Office* in July, 1911. The leader of the Labour Party, Mr. Macdonald, attacked the Colonial Secretary for curtailing the grazing areas enjoyed, but not exclusively enjoyed, by the Masai tribe in the East Africa Protectorate, and the local administration for an alleged failure to deal with a case in which a native was slain by a white man. The Colonial Secretary had no difficulty in repelling the attacks, but it is interesting to see the anti-British party in Parliament driven to support the extremest rights of landownership, the most extensive sporting rights, and general quasi feudal claims on behalf of a small tribe of aristocrats who have the use of 1,300 acres per family as against an average of twenty acres enjoyed by the ordinary working agriculturist of East Africa, over whom the Masai claim and exercise quasi baronial rights.! In Persia the soldier, riever, rover, and swashbucker are picturesquely described as blood-drinkers. The Masai literally drink blood drawn from their living cattle, hate honest work, like any agitator, and are as idle and as rich as any tribesmen, to be found in all Africa. Were they white they would be held up to everlasting obloquy as tyrannical landlords ; but the pigmentary privilege avails to secure for them the patronage and support of the Labour Socialist party, which vigorously denounces privilege in the case of any white man and particularly of a fellow-countryman. Was the Imperial Conference op 1911 a Success? NO. 1. The actual results were very small. The Colonial Office put forward little or nothing of a constructive character. The proposal for establish- ing a Standing Committee was half-hearted, and not pressed. J • Parliamentary Debates, July 21, 1911. t Mr. Grogan, in The Times, July 21, 1011. J Mr. Lyttelton, Parliamentary Debates, July 21, 1911. THE COLONIES 185 3. The reference to the Royal Commission to be appointed excluded Imperial Preference, and did not include in its purview the Crown Colonies. Thus the most important of all subjects is excluded from investigation. 3. The Home Government, after receiving the report of the Com- mission on the relations between the West Indies and Canada, was naturally afraid to give the new Commission a chance to be converted in the like manner to Tariff Reform. Co-operation is almost impossible in an Empire consisting of a Mother Country under Free Trade, and Dominions under Protection. 4. The admission of the Dominions into the Cabinet circle as regards questions of foreign policy, though satisfactory, was not due to the Government, but to the House of Commons.* 5. The exclusion of the Crown Colonies from the reference to the Royal Commission is indefensible, seeing that their population is twice that of the Dominions. 6. The introduction into the resolution of the words "consistent with the existing fiscal policy " will allow overtures from the United States to Newfoundland and the West Indies, on the lines of the defeated Re- ciprocity Agreement. 7. The important question of co-operation in emigration was left unsettled, as was also the question of the sale of liquor to natives. YES. 1. The results were most satisfactory, if only the new departure be considered, in accordance with which the foreign policy of the home Government was discussed with the Dominion Prime Ministers. 2. Cheaper postal and cable rates resulted. 3. The Government was bound to limit reference to the Royal Com- mission to methods consistent with the existing fiscal policy, being itself bound to that system by the results of two successive General Elections. The Dominions desired no change which would increase the burdens on the poor in England. 4. The Royal Commission applies only to the Dominions which were represented at the Conference, and could not well be extended to India and the Crown Colonies which were not represented. 5. The existing Secretariat at the Colonial Office, under the arrange- ments made by Lord Elgin, admittedly prepared the material for the Conference in a perfectly satisfactory manner. 6. The consultations with the Committee of Defence have been a great success, and were of immense value. f • See page 15G. f Mr. Harcourt, Parliamentary Debates, July 21, 1911. 186 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS BIBLIOGRAPHY. Imperial Outposts. By Colonel A. M. Murray. The Colonies and Imperial Defence. By P. A. Silburn. Yesterday and To-day in Canada. By the Duke of Argyll, K.G. Cape Colony. By Rt. Hon. John Xavier Merriman. A History of the British Dominions Beyond the Seas. By A. H. Forbes. Expansion of England. By Sir J. Seeley. The Government of Great Britain. By W. F. Trotter. Papers laid before Imperial Conference, 1911. Cd. 5745. Precis of the Proceedings of the Imperial Conference, 1911. Cd. 5741. CHAPTER VI TRADE RELATIONS AND TARIFF REFORM TEN years ago any man who denied that our existing system of free imports was other than the best possible was looked upon as a crank, and as one bereft of understanding. His views were regarded as eccentric and unworthy of serious attention till Mr. Chamberlain took in hand this all-important subject, when the impregnability of our fiscal system was soon shown to be a snare and a delusion. In less than ten years from the beginning of Mr. Chamberlain's campaign conditions have so altered that it would be fair to assume the existence of a majority in Parliament against Free Trade, if the com- plications introduced by other political questions were absent.* This position has been achieved in the face of many obstacles. Amongst others, the political party advocating Tariff Reform was handicapped by having had a long spell of office, which had made them unpopular in the country, and the proposed changes gave opportunities for misrepresentation, of which their opponents could hardly be expected altogether to forego the use. Notwithstanding these disadvantages, the movement has progressed, and is progressing, to such an extent as to keep its opponents in a condition of anxious activity. To the necessity of showing that the present fiscal system is not incapable of expansion and of proving that under it the condition of the people can be improved, may in a great measure be attributed the programme of social reform upon which the Government of Mr. Asquith has embarked. Whether time will show that the burdens which the present administration * It is reasonable to assume that the Irish Nationalist Party, if the Home Rule question could be eliminated, would support a change in our fiscal system, from which Ireland certainly has gained nothing. 187 188 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS is piling upon the State can^iot be borne under the present fiscal system is the subject of another chapter.* If such burdens prove too great to be borne the "Free Trade" party will have killed the " Free Trade " system as a practical policy, just as by their social reform measures they are killing the theories upon vs^hich their predecessors built up the doctrines of "Free Trade." The Manchester School. "Free Trade" was logically advocated by the Manchester School of Cobden and Bright as part of a policy which re- stricted the interference of the State to the smallest possible dimensions. With perfect consistency they opposed the Factory Acts and Trade Unions, and they would have been horrified at such measures as Old Age Pensions, National Insurance, and Eight Hours for Miners. The social reform programme of the Government is no doubt indirectly intended to demonstrate the soundness of our fiscal system. Nevertheless it also indirectly assists Tariff Reformers, since it accustoms the public mind to State action in all the aspects of industrial and commercial life. Adherence to our present fiscal system is no longer associated with a general belief in the restriction of State action. It becomes a thing apart to be justified only by proof of the existence of special conditions attaching to the trade of this country. The more social reform measures are passed the more insistent will become those doubts, which have already invaded the public mind, as to the reason of a fiscal system, which leaves un- controlled our foreign commercial relations, while conditions closely affecting our home trade are minutely regulated by Parliament. State Interference with Industry. According to the workmen's creed Parliament very properly insists upon healthy, sanitary labour conditions, and rightly sanctions combinations of workers to regulate wages and hours of labour. All this is done in the interests of efficiency and * See " Finance and Taxation," Cliapter XII. TRADE RELATIONS 189 fair treatment, but it all means additional expenditure for the employer, and increases the cost of production. If, however, such restrictions and burdens upon industries are applied all round, at home and abroad, no one suffers injury. The cost of living continues no doubt to be increased, but wages rule higher and general standards are raised. Easteen Competition. The imperfection of our system is seen when manufactures which have been produced under these State- regulated condi- tions come into competition with manufactures produced with- out any artificial increases in cost. The contrast presents itself in the acutest form when West competes with East, wherein the ruling standards of comfort and the cost of living are from the European standpoint so low that wages are pitched upon a scale which a Western workman would con- sider unthinkable.* Without taking into account the advan- tage derived from a protective tariff in an Eastern nation, the Western manufacturer is handicapped by higher wages and by State restrictions. So far, then, as the Eastern market is con- cerned the Western product cannot hope to compete with the Eastern manufacture,! and in the neutral markets of the East the lower wages paid by the Eastern manufacturer give him an immense advantage over his Western competitor. But although European industries are bound to be at a disadvan- tage in these markets it is difficult to see what can be done to place the Western competitor upon a more equal footing. Great Britain, of course, is fortunately circumstanced in her possession of India, and the falling off in the exportation of cotton goods by the former to the latter country in recent years is due to the rapid growth of the Japanese cotton industry, * In Japan the wages of male textile workers are lO^d. aud of female textile workers 5|d. a day (Cd. 3727-235, Report of British Consul- General for Japan, 1907, p. 50). f The Lancashire cotton trade was able to overcome the advantage which the Indian tariff gave Indian manufacturers only by persuading the Government to compel the Government of India to impose a counter- vailing excise duty on the Indian production. 190 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS which enjoys in the low ruling rate of wages a great advantage over the British import. This competition is likely to become greater as years go by, since Japan is fast growing as an industrial nation. Purely theoretical Free Traders would argue that Lancashire should eventually abandon the cotton industry, since the natural advantages lie with the Japanese, but common sense forbids, and Lancashire is not likely to agree. Nevertheless, in order to keep her Indian market, Great Britain must sooner or later abandon her present poHcy. Fortunately India has a keen interest in retaining the British market, which absorbs large imports of her raw natural products. It so happens that under our present fiscal system some of these products are taxed. What more simple and beneficial arrange- ment can be conceived than that Lancashire should receive advantages in the Indian market over Japanese and other competitors, in return for preferential treatment accorded to Indian products on this side ? Protection of Labour, The more direct question for an industrial population at home is the attitude to be adopted in respect of Eastern competition in Great Britain, which in a few years is likely to be more pressing. Not only Japan, but China* also is becoming an industrial nation. If their goods were produced here at the rate of wages ruling in those countries organised labour would naturally and immediately revolt. What then should be done ? Clearly it is impossible to insist upon equal rates of wages and similar conditions being imposed upon Japanese and Chinese manufacturers. But inasmuch as to admit their products freely is to injure our own industries by unfair competition, they must be kept out, or only admitted * Steel rails are now roUed and pig iron produced in China, and the latter product also sent to the United Stales to be rolled. The Chinese wages are one-fifteenth the rate ruling in the Pittsburg mills, while the efficiency of the skilled Chinaman is 90 per cent, of that of the white man. See Nineteenth Century, November, 1910, p. 918, " The Theory of American Protection," by Moreton Frewen, where the effect of the low rate of exchange is also discussed in its relation to Chinase competition. TRADE RELATIONS 191 under such restrictions as will place them upon an equality with our own State-controlled and regulated, and otherwise heavily burdened industries. Free Trade, especially that form which we possess, the system of " free imports," obviously fails to ensure equality of opportunity for home industries and home workmen. In theory, at any rate, no Free Trader would stir a finger to prevent the importation of low-waged goods, but every Trade Unionist would protest against such com- petition, if the goods were produced by home manufacturers. How then can he tranquilly suffer unfair competition, which differs only from that of the home manufacturer in having still less claim to protection, in view of its foreign origin ? That is the question to be answered. It may be years before it pre- sents itself in an insistent and immediate aspect, but whenever it does the Trade Unionist who will support Free Trade as against Protection will be an interesting survival of a worn- out creed. Prophecies Falsified. Although the need for Protection may not appear urgent to-day, there are movements in progress in international trade which make its eventual adoption inevitable. The predictions of Cobden have been falsified by events : we have not lost our Dominions : other nations have not adopted Free Trade. It would be impossible to deny that Great Britain has made great progress under Free Trade, but the foundations and earlier developments of her industries date from the days of Protection. Great Britain had started long before other nations. Some were wholly undeveloped when she began, and the energies of others were monopolised by war. But Cobden's ideal of Britain as the manufacturing nation of the world, to which others should be content to supply raw material, and from which they should buy our manufactured products, has never been, and in the future it is very evident never will be, realised. Pbotection and Democracy. The workman is being urged to resist Protection on the round that it means low wages and dear food. With 192 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS magnificent audacity Free Importers allege that it would reduce wages to a lower level, quite ignoring the fact that in other countries wages have increased more rapidly under Protection than here under " Free Trade." * The argument that Tariff Reform is but a capitalist's selfish scheme for getting greater profits, which our workmen, under the entirely disinterested leadership of Free Trade millionaires, are too wide awake to adopt, assumes that the working classes in all other countries are blind to their own interests. The Free Traders, however, seek to prove too much. If it were the fact that Protection meant low wages and dear food, is it not certain that there would long since have been a wholesale revolt on the part of democrt^cy against Protection, and an irresistible agitation in favour of Free Trade ? But there has occurred no such movement ; no worldwide, indeed it may be said no national, protest against Protection has arisen. Is it then wrong to assume that the workmen in Protected countries are content to live under that system ? They are ready enough at the present day to agitate against anything they deem prejudicial to their interests. It may at least be said that if Protection brought about undesirable conditions of life and labour, there would be an appreciably larger emigration of workmen from Protected to Free Trade countries ; and since Great Britain is the only Free Trade country of importance, such emigration would for the most part move towards our shores. The facts, however, tell a different tale. The movement of population is rather from Great Britain to Protected countries. Emigration robs us annually of over a hundred thousand of the best of our popu- lation, and each good emigrant represents a capital loss to the nation. While emigration on this scale continues, it is impossible to admit that everything is for the best under our present fiscal and economic system. Free Trade, considered particularly from the workmen's * The table on page 275 of Cd. 1761, the first Fiscal Blue-book, shows that since 1881 wages have risen in the United Kingdom, the United States, Germany, France and Italy, but that the rise has been greatest in protected Germany. TRADE RELATIONS 193 point of view, reveals itself as the only surviving relic of a political dispensation under which he was denied the right of regulating his wages, the hours of his labour, and the conditions of his employment. Protection is indeed but the natural corollary of that modern social legislation, which interferes at every point, and on every conceivable occasion, with natural, economic, and commercial conditions. Who Pays the Duty ? The objection taken to the adoption of measures for the prevention of unfair competition in the interest of the worker is that such action would make " everything dearer." Trans- lating this platform phrase into more precise language, the allegation is that Protection would increase the selling price of the home article to an amount equal to the cost of the foreign article, plus the duty which, for the protection of the home manufacturer, woiild be levied. But though this objection is good enough for platform purposes, it has been rejected by Free Trade economists." The argument assumes, moreover, that cheapness is the sole consideration. But modern industrial legislation has artificially increased, and in every Session continues to increase, the cost of production. If cheapness only is desired, such legislation is unjustifiable and should be repealed. No one, however, least of all no Radical Free Trader, urges its repeal. What then is more obviously just than that the imported article should be subject to such a duty as will raise its selling price to the normal selling-price of the home manufactured product. True, the foreign-made article might thus be dearer, but it could no longer be cheaper than the home-made article because it was produced under labour * " It is obvious that cases may arise where it is not true that 'the tariff is a tax,' in the sense that the whole burden of an import duty is necessarily borne by the consumer" (Seligman, "Incidence of Taxa- tion," 2nd ed., p. 303). "Unless foreign products are completely excluded by import duties, such duties will partly have the effect of levying a tribute on foreign producers, the amount and duration of which may in certain cases be considerable " (Henry Sidgwick, " Principles of Political Economy," p. 493). 14 194 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS conditions rendering free competition inequitable, if not impossible.* "Dumping." The same remarks are of equal application to the case of ' dumping." Foreign-made goods are sold in the home market at a price below the cost of production, or, at a rate which fails to show an adequate profit. It cannot, of course, be disputed that the foreign manufacturer finds it to his advantage to sell in this fashion, for, as he is not a philan- thropist, but a man of business, he would otherwise discontinue the practice. A strong trade combination and a protected home market enable his industry to maintain a standard price and to calculate upon a certain output, and his establish- ment and capital charges are calculated upon this basis. To keep works running is often a more advantageous policy than to close down or curtail operations as soon as the home demand is satisfied. The surplus production is accordingly " dumped " in other countries, and our own market being free to all, the foreign manufacturer naturally turns his attention to the United Kingdom, wherein his surplus goods are sold at a price which is lower than that of the home-made article, since they are free in respect of such burdens as establishment and capital charges. The advantage to the consumer here lies in the cheapness of the article, and Free Traders place that in the forefront. The disadvantages are the temporary character of the low price, and the dislocation the illegitimate competition causes the home industry. Because organisation and combina- tion are essential to the successful practice of "dumping," it occurs more particularly in highly organised and costly in- dustries, such as the iron and steel trades for example, which require considerable capital for their development, and employ thousands of hands, many in specialised and skilled labour. •Adherence to the doctrine of "free imports" leads Free Traders into opposition to such a measure as a Bill to prohibit the importation of sweated goods (see Parliamentary Debates, May 12, 1911), although they supported the Trades Boards Act, the object of which is to prevent sweating in the United Kingdom. TRADE RELATIONS 195 The dislocation of the home industry is all the more serious not only because of the resulting unemployment, but because dismissed hands are driven into the overcrowded unskilled labour market, and capital is also discouraged from investment in industries which are subject to this form of competition. Tariff Reformers are consequently of opinion that the disad- vantages considerably outweigh the advantages resulting from " dumping." '■' Free Trade and " Trusts." It is, of course, quite beside the point to argue that " dump- ing " is the creation of the "trust" system, which flourishes under Protection, As a matter of fact, " trusts " are not the ex- clusive product of Protection, but coexist also with Free Trade. We are ourselves living under the " trust " system in respect of many industries, and such trusts are often of an inter- national character, so powerful are those who now control our larger trades. f Tariff Reform would at least give the home manufacturer fair play as against foreign " trusts " which indulge in, what is to us, the pernicious practice of " dumping." The " Double " Market. It may be said without fear of contradiction that every foreign manufacturer, and every agent in the United Kingdom for foreign firms, is enthusiastically in favour of the main- tenance of our present fiscal system, which gives our foreign com- petitors the advantage of the double market. They monopolise * See " Speaker's Handbook," issued by the Tariff Reform League. Chapter xiii. contains extracts from the first Fiscal Blue-book (Cd. 1760) relating to " dumping," and extracts from the evidence of witnesses before the Tariff Commission in respect of the various industries in which they are interested. t In this country there are the Coats Combination, the Portland Cement Combine, railway and shipping combines, and many others. There is, in fact, a general tendency for industries limited in number, by reason of the immense amount of capital they require, to enter into private arrangements to limit or eliminate competition. Such protection is only effective in the case of industries requiring considerable capital, since that condition pre- vents competitoia springing up outside the combine. 196 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS their own home markets upon favourable terms, and also enjoy the market of the United Kingdom upon terms of perfect equality with our own manufacturers. The German maker of a popular article can command a market of 100,000,000 of people, of whom 60,000,000 are Germans and 40,000,000 are inhabitants of the United Kingdom. On the other hand, the British manufacturer can only calcu- late on serving a market of 40,000,000 in the United Kingdom, and even therein he is subject to competition from both home and foreign rivals. Every one who possesses an elementary knowledge of modern industrial production knows that the cost of an article is reduced in proportion as the standing charges can be spread over a large output. The larger the output the less the proportion of the standing charges which each article has to bear. Consequently the home manufacturer finds him- self, under existing circumstances, severely handicapped by reason of the limited market he possesses in comparison with that which his foreign competitor commands. Negotiation. Here Tariff Refoi'm provides a remedy. It recognises the value of our market to the foreign manufacturer, but proposes only to allow him to enjoy it in proportion to the freedom he is prepared to concede to British goods in respect of his own market. The proposal involves the adoption of direct negotia- tion with other countries in regard to trade matters, such as are now undertaken by other nations. Commercial treaties of this character are in fact in a small way concluded even by Great Britain. With Japan, for instance, quite recently a fiscal arrangement was made.* " MOST-FAVOUBED NaTION " TeEATMENT. The argument of Free Traders is that under the " most- favoured nation " clause Great Britain enjoys the advantages * Cd. 5556 of 1911. The most interesting provision is that which, in Article 8, provides that certain articles of Japanese manufacture, none of which are at present taxed, shall be admitted into the United Kingdom free of duty. That the clause should have been inserted is evidence that the Japanese Government at least contemplates as probable the ultimate triumph of Tariff Reform. TRADE RELATIONS 197 of the concessions made to other nations without the trouble of conducting prolonged, difficult, and delicate negotiations. In theory the arrangement is perfect ; but in practice it does not work. Certain nations do not recognise the ' ' most favoured ' ' clause," and in the case of others the complications of modern tariffs also tend to minimise and often to destroy the advan- tages in theory attained by the provision. Foreign countries directly concerned in negotiations naturally select for conces- sions those articles in which they are inost interested, and sometimes the addition of a proviso limits the concession and effectively excludes Great Britain. An example of this is afforded by the clause in the Russo-German Treaty of 1894 by which a reduction was obtained upon imports of coal into Russia, to which was attached a condition that such reduction applied only to coal imported by land, which destroyed its value so far as Great Britain is concerned. Again, while 40 per cent, of Swiss, and 50 per cent, of Austrian, goods obtain special rates on import into Germany, only 15 per cent, of British imports benefit by the " most-favoured nation " clause. So while British imports into France, Germany, the United States, Austria, Italy, and Japan amount to £150,000,000, of which £95,000,000 is represented by dutiable goods, lower rates under the "most-favoured nation" clause are only secured on £28,000,000. And, of course, where the foreign tariff especially affects British goods, such as cottons under the new Japanese tariff, no bargaining between other countries can bring relief. It is admitted by Free Traders that foreign tariffs injure our trade ; f but so long as the present fiscal system continues Great Britain cannot hope to obtain the * Portugal, Brazil, and Haiti give special x-eductions on certain articles, and limit them to certain countries. The United States gives preferential treatment to Cuba ; and apparently intended to limit the concessions offered to Canada to Canadian imports. See Tariff Commission Memoranda, 43 and 45. t "When Mr. Chamberlain first raised the point, in the year 1903, the trade to protected countries had gone dov?n very seriously. It is no use shutting our eyes to the fact that it was due, of course, to the imposition of tariffs against our goods" (Mr. Lloyd George, M.P., Colonial Conference, 1907). 198 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS concessions secured by foreign countries. While Tariff Reformers would use a British tariff to secure concessions, Free Traders declare that the adoption of Protection would do more harm to British industries than is, or can be, effected by foreign tariffs. The "Evils" of Peotection. They warn the country against the snares of Protection. Entirely ignoring the fact that Protectionist countries have altogether failed to show those sorry symptoms which they declare would appear here if the same fiscal system were adopted, they go on preaching the creed of laisser faire, which they have ceased to practise in respect of every other aspect of industrial and public life. They are reformers of everything except that which from the nature of things, and from the yearly increasing stress of competition, stands most in need of reform. The port of London under Protection, they say, will be deserted by shipping. But how can they explain the in- creasing tonnage of ports of Protectionist countries? Wages, they assert, will be lower ; but there is no attempt to explain the more rapid increase in Protectionist countries of wages already at a higher level than rules among ourselves.* Unemployment, they say, will be augmented. But there is an entire absence of statistical material for comparison with unemployment in other countries. What evidence is available is to the effect that Free Trade fails to secure such steadiness of employment as Protectionist countries enjoy, " Everything Deaeer," But the trump card of the Free Trade orator is " Every- thing will be dearer under Protection." The Manchester School were interested in cheap food, not only on general grounds, but also particularly as manufacturers, and they believed that cheap food meant low wages. Nor did they err in their generation, but the worker of to-day has to face the • See Cd. 1761, p. 275, and the Board of Trade Reports on the cost of living in Germany (Cd. 4032) and the United States (Cd, 5069). TRADE RELATIONS 199 facts that the price of food and the cost of living have increased out of all proportion to the rise of v^rages experienced in Great Britain tinder Free Trade.* No doubt a decrease in the price of many articles of food in Great Britain followed upon the abandonment of Protection. But it would be hardly main- tained that such decrease was occasioned by the adoption of Free Trade, and subsequently prices have generally risen until they rule, in respect of many articles, considerably above those which obtained before the epoch of Free Trade,! which has indeed completely failed to provide cheap food, and has not enabled industries to show a rate of development equal to that of Protectionist countries. Imperial Pbeference. While Tariff Reformers urge the adoption of some modified form of Protection as the only method of obtaining fair con- ditions for home manufacturers in home markets, and of mitigating in some degree the injury which foreign tariffs inflict on our export trade, they are convinced that greater benefits will be obtained by the introduction of Imperial Preference. So far as the reduction of foreign tariffs is con- cerned, they believe that the adoption of a settled policy of Protection by foreign countries will render impossible any very wide opening of foreign markets to competing productions of British manufacture, though they hold that access to the British market, when it becomes a matter for arrangement and ceases to be a matter of course, will be a powerful factor in negotiation, and cannot but exercise considerable influence upon the attitude of foreign Powers. Their markets, however, are already well provided, and are not to any very considerable extent capable of expansion. * " During the last fifteen years, according to the returns of the Board of Trade, wages had increased 13 per cent., while the retail price of food had increased 18 per cent. In other words the working classes were to-day receiving fewer commodities in return for their labour than they received fifteen years ago " (Mr. Ohiozza Money, M.P., House of Commons, April 26, 1911). f This applies to butter, beef, mutton, and pork. 200 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS Just as a tradesman wishing to increase his prosperity must extend the circle of his chents, so nations must ever be on the look out for new customers. These they find in the neutral markets of the world, where industries are as yet undeveloped, and in those fresh fields wherein the population is increasing and is still largely engaged in agricultural pursuits. Such conditions exist in many portions of the British Empire, in which is manifested a natural predisposition to use British manufactures ; and Tariff Reformers argue that Great Britain should find her new customers preferably in these directions by means of mutual agreements to arrange special terms for one another's products. Expanding Colonial Markets. The ideal arrangement would, no doubt, be that of Cobden, that Great Britain should be the manufacturing centre to which others should supply food and raw material. But no one imagines that this ideal can be attained. Although British Dominions may be predominantly agricultural, they never- theless possess industries which could not reasonably be expected to agree to be placed in a position of inferiority in comparison with that occupied by British manufacturers. But since the markets under consideration are expanding, and the Colonial industries cannot meet the demand, what more common-sense policy can be suggested than that Great Britain should take advantage of a natural disposition to prefer British goods by concluding a mutual preference agreement, one party selling on favourable terms that which the other desires to buy ? But reasonable though this proposition would be allowed to be in respect of individual industrial organisa- tions, it was no sooner suggested as a State policy than it was attacked with the utmost vigour and denounced — not merely as bad from an economic point of view, but impossible and unpardonable, if not unpatriotic in character. The "Dear Loaf" Cry. The opponents of Imperial Preference concentrate their attack upon the fact, as they hold it to be, that this policy TRADE RELATIONS 201 involves the imposition of duties upon articles of food and drink. " Your food will cost j^ou more," " Tariff Reform means the little loaf," " Stick to Free Trade and the big loaf," are examples of election cries of considerable value, which have been used to the utmost extent. It is impossible to exaggerate the influence they necessarily exerted upon the poorer, less educated, and slow-thinking masses of the electorate at the beginning of the light between Free Imports and Tariff Reform. It says much for the intelligence of even the humblest voters that in spite of such strong persuasion and pressure upon a question in which their interest is vital, so many of them should be ready to disregard the warnings of the Free Traders, and to express their adherence to the doctrines of Tariff Reform. Indeed, as the education of the electorate on the question pro- gresses these electioneering cries and catchwords lose their potency. The rise which has occurred in late years in the price of food has done much to discredit the cry of " Free Trade and the cheap loaf," and the elementary economic laws which govern supply, demand, and price are being more generally appreciated, to the undoing of the preachers of the Free Trade gospel. Articles of food, moreover, are, as is now becoming known, already taxed, and in such fashion as must necessarily raise the price to the consumer, for the taxed articles are neces- sities, while luxuries for the most part are untaxed. The exist- ing imposts on food are susceptible, however, of readjustment, so that while the total burden of food taxes shall not be increased, the most desirable object of promoting Imperial trade relations shall be attained. The potential connection between food taxes and Tariff Reform obscures the actual food taxes levied under Free Trade, and offers no small obstacle to the success of the former policy. It also affords opponents with a most powerful weapon of misrepresentation. Nevertheless, a dawning sense of perspective may be discerned upon the political horizon. The platform allegation of the Free Traders that " the Tories want to make food dearer ' ' attributes to that party so fatal a policy that electors upon reflection decline to credit even their adversaries with such folly. What public men desiring to 202 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS secure the majority necessary to enable them to give effect to their policy would handicap themselves v^ith a proposal to make food dearer ? And what party, having acquired a majority, would exist for a day, if it attempted to put that policy into effect ? The most effective argument against Tariff Reform would be disproof of its advantage to British industry, which, however. Free Traders have not seen their way to supply. Indeed, their leaders have admitted that such preference as British Dominions actually give to Great Britain has been of great advantage to British industries.* The Need for Immediate Action. Tariff Reformers fear that when Imperial Preference is sanctioned, as they have no doubt it wiU be, such sanction will come too late to allow of its full benefits being reaped by the country. The Reciprocity Agreement between the United States and Canada was in a fair way to become an accomplished fact, an arrangement which must have had an immediate and prejudicial effect upon British imports into Canada, by reason of the reduction in the preference upon British goods which it would have entailed. But upon British trade in general the future effect could only have been dis- astrous of an agreement providing for the greater interchange of goods between the United States and Canada, and diverting to North and South the existing trend of trade from East to West. Canada, possessing vast natural resources — timber, ore, and wheat — would have found a ready market in the adjacent States of the Union, and the Tariff Reformers' policy of direct- ing the export of these natural products to Great Britain would have been made more difficult of attainment. Especially was Great Britain likely to suffer in respect of her wheat supply. * " As regards the Canadian tariff, I acknowledge that it has been bene- ficial to British trade, and particularly, I think, to our textile industries " (Mr. Asquith, M.P., Colonial Conference, 1907, Cd. 3523, p. 812). " The Canadian Preferential TariS has produced a marked effect on our export trade to Canada. It has undoubtedly stimulated trade between the two countries " (Mr. Lloyd George, M.P., Colonial Conference, 1907, Cd. 3523, p. 386). TRADE RELATIONS 203 Indeed, it was openly avowed in the press of the United States that the estabHshment of Reciprocity would destroy the pros- pects of British Imperial Preference, and of the commercial union of the British Empire, at least so far as Canada is con- cerned, while some American statesmen have not hesitated to express the belief that the Reciprocity proposals would prove to be but the prelude to political union. Gbeat Britain and the Canadian Agreement. But Canada first made an offer to Great Britain, and the British Government would have none of it ; and it is certain that she would not have entertained proposals from the United States, if a more favourable reception had been accorded to the policy of Imperial Preference in Great Britain. Offers like that of America may some day be made in South Afi'ica, Australia, New Zealand, and India, valuable and growing markets for manufactured goods, which seek outlets for their food products and raw materials. If Great Britain shows no signs of abandoning her present fiscal system, which rigidly excludes Imperial Preference, would surprise be felt if such advances were entertained, however strong might be natural inclination towards Imperial Reciprocity ? Arguments For and Against Tariff Reform. FOR. 1. Iq consequence of the industrial competition of other nations, our present system of free imports fails to secure fair treatment for British trade. 2. It was adopted in the belief that other nations would follow our example, and that Great Britain would be the manufacturing nation of the world, to which other countries would send their raw materials. 3. This expectation has not been fulfilled ; other nations manufacture for themselves under the advantage of protective duties, and also invade the British market free of all restriction. Free imports have injured the greatest of all our industries, agriculture, notwithstanding the opinions to the contrary held when the system was adopted. 4. Foreign nations are given the advantage of the " double market," and are able to " dump " their surplus products here at low rates, to the disadvantage of our manufacturers. 204 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS 5. Tariff Reform is therefore necessary to prevent unfair foreign compe- tition in British markets. 6. It is also necessary to enable Great Britain to obtain reductions in foreign import tariffs upon her own exports. 7. The "most-favoured nation " clause, while it purports to give British goods the advantages gained by the bargaining of foreign nations, is seldom effectual and quite useless when the concessions obtained by such nations are inapplicable to British manufactures. 8. The immense volume and comprehensive character of our export trade make it imperative that Great Britain should enter into negotia- tions with foreign nations on her own account, especially as she has a valuable home market in which in return to give concessions. 9. The Great Powers — Germany and the United States — selling Great Britain more than they buy, would readily grant valuable concessions rather than lose the British market. 10. A tariff is also necessary for revenue purposes to meet the increasing cost of government. 11. So long as the duties are low there is no reason to assume that they will artificially increase prices, since the competition between the untaxed and the taxed article will keep down the price. 12. Tariff Reform does not propose to discourage foreign imports, but only to regulate their character, so that the maximum of employment may be given to British hands in supplying the British nation with its wants. 13. Tariff Reform is a much wider policy than Protection. The latter is concerned with protecting the home market from foreign competition : the former also seeks to extend our export trade by obtaining for it advantages in new and growing markets. 14. The most important of these markets are our British Dominions and India, which have vast natural resources, export much food and raw material, and import manufactured goods. 15. The Dominions have already given practical effect to the policy of Imperial Preference by reducing their tariffs for British goods. 16. Even Free Traders have admitted that this preference has been greatly to the advantage of British manufacturers. 17. Tariff Reformers desire to establish the policy of Preference upon a permanent and reciprocal basis, by granting concessions to Colonial and Indian imports in our home market. 18. This policy is opposed by Free Traders because it involves a tax on food, which may, or will, to a slight degree raise the price of particular articles of consumption. But food is already taxed and made dearer by such taxation, and Tariff Reformers propose only to readjust the present food taxes, so that they may, without increasing the aggregate burden, be enabled to grant Imperial Preference. 19. Food prices have everywhere risen throughout the world. It is TRADE RELATIONS 20r) necessary for a nation such as ours, which cannot feed itself, to have a call upon food supplies elsewhere, and this desirable end is attained by Imperial Preference. 20. Free Trade did not bring cheap food, which resulted from the development of wheat-growing areas, and the reduction of the cost of transport. 21. Free Trade cannot keep food cheap, for it has increased in price in recent years, and some articles of food are even dearer to-day than they were before the policy of free imports was adopted. 22. Imperial Preference will not bring dear food ; it will, on the contrary, widen, ensure, and so eventually cheapen, our food supply. 23. It is therefore beside the point to argue from the analogy of other countries, which have adopted a high tarilf policy to protect home-grown food. 24. Even in those countries, however, there is nothing to show that their tariffs have increased prices, the causes affecting prices being complex, comprehensive, and so far incompletely ascertained. 25. Though the taxation of food may be unpopular, as all taxation is, it should be accepted when it brings employment, increased wages, and prosperity to a manufacturing nation. 26. So far as the exports of our manufactured goods are concerned, the high tariffs of other nations will prevent any great expansion in that direction. 27. Neutral markets are being gradually closed, and are at any rate the scene of severe competition between rival nations. 28. Growing markets are to be found in our Dominions, and they are willing, if the favour be reciprocated, to give British better terms than foreign goods. 29. Acceptance of their offers and reciprocation would mean a greater demand for our goods, and consequently an increase in employment and prosperity. 30. Other nations are well aware of the value of these markets, and are anxious to enter into reciprocal trade relations with our Dominions. 31. The late Government, of Canada had, in fact, already negotiated to this end with the United States, an agreement which, had the country sanctioned it, would have done great injury to British trade. 32. Although our Dominions would rather enter into preferential relations with Great Britain, they cannot, notwithstanding the splendid example of Canada, be expected for all time to refrain from entertaining the proposals of other nations, if their own Mother Country rejects their advances. 33. The protection of home labour — the chief feature of the policy of Protectionist countries — is only one feature of the policy of Tariff Reform. 34. But it will benefit the working classes, since in Protectionist countries wages have risen more rapidly than here, employment is steadier, hours of 206 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS labour are being reduced, the cost of living, upon the whole, is not greater, and, in the United States at any rate, a considerably higher standard of living obtains. 35. In spite of Free Trade, some 30 per cent, of our population are estimated by Free Traders to be below the line of poverty and hunger. 36. Vast numbers of our workers still suffer from very low wages and irregular employment. AGAINST. 1. Free imports ensure cheap food and raw materials, and have brought about a greatly improved standard of living for the British people ; the improvement which has been effected may fairly be ascribed to this cause. 2. Though our imports are of greater value than our exports, the excess represents interest on investments and the earnings of our shipping. 3. If imports are curtailed our shipping trade vnll be injured and our exports reduced. 4. Particular British industries may have declined under the free imports policy, but others have arisen ; the same change goes on in every country, whether its policy be Free Trade or Protection. 5. An import duty on woollen goods, for example, if sufficiently high, might keep out the foreigner, but since his products are imported as pay- ment for goods sold to him, a corresponding decrease in our own aggregate sales would result, which could only cause increased unemployment. 6. Protection of woollen goods would also mean an increase in the home prices, and the people would be clothed less satisfactorily than heretofore. 7. In the long run imports are goods which we cannot make so well as the foreigner, or being able to use our labour to better advantage, do not care to make. 8. As a matter of fact the larger a country's imports the greater its prosperity, since their volume shows that the maximum of workers are employed manufacturing goods for export in payment for the imports. "The countries which import more than they export are for the most part those in which the industrial revolution has been carried far, and which have surplus capital to lend." * 9. Moderate duties would not satisfy the Protectionists, since they would not create higher prices, or keep out foreign goods so as to give more employment. 10. Nobody has ever succeeded in taxing the foreigner ; in the end it is the consumer who pays. " The Economic Transition in India," by Sir Theodore Morison, p. 204. TRADE RELATIONS 207 11. TarifE Rsform and Protoction are practically identical, and the latter has been tried in this country and abandoned because it failed to bring progress and prosperity. 12. Protection days were those of dear food, unemployment, and misery, which TariS Reform would restore. 13. Under Free Trade our industries have experienced remarkable development, food is cheap, employment is relatively steady, and wages have risen, as well as the standard of living among the working classes. 14. Investigation into the conditions of the working classes in foreign countries shows that under Protection such are in every way inferior to those of our own workers under Free Trade. 15. A policy of free imports is best for an industrial country like Great Britain, dependent for its prosperity and for its life upon the importation of raw materials and food supplies. 16. That policy discourages the establishment of "trusts" for regu- lating prices, which accompany Protection, and are so injurious to the prosperity of the working classes. 17. It also renders difficult tariS-mongering, and other scandals of Protection which engender corruption in public life. 18. It gives British trade through the most-favoured nation clause all the advantages attained by Protectionist countries only after pro- longed and delicate negotiations, which sometimes end in their case in disastrous tariff wars. 19. " Dumping " is not a serious evil in Great Britain, since the " dumper " must make use of a market open to competition from the whole world. 20. Protection to the extent to which it keeps out foreign goods fails to raise any revenue. 21. Again, to the extent to which it raises revenue, it fails in its Pro- tective aims, while such revenue as it collects is raised in a wasteful and uneconomic fashion. 22. Under our present system the Treasury obtains as revenue all the increased price resulting from the duty, but under TarifE Reform, although only the foreign article would be taxed, the price of the home-made article would be increased by the amount of that tax. 23. The burden on the consumer would therefore be out of aU propor- tion to the gain to the Exchequer from the proceeds of the duty. 24. Dear food is inevitable if Tariff Reform is carried, and if once it is established that Imperial Preference is dependent upon taxed food, the cause of Imperial unity will suffer the severest of shocks. 25. To restrict the freedom of our Dominions by trade arrangements with Great Britain will not improve the relations between them and the Mother Country. 26. The true Imperial policy is to give them perfect freedom to carry out their own wishes in trade matters, recognising that they have chosen once and for all a different fiscal policy from that of Great Britain. 208 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS 27. Imperial Preference is unlikely to bring any great benefits to our manufacturers, since the Dominion manufacturers will insist upon their tariff wall being retained sufficiently high to give them a clear advantage in their own markets. 28. It is impossible to treat each of our Dominions equally and in a manner which will prevent friction and discontent between them. 29. Our trade with foreign countries is larger than our Imperial trade, and it would be unwise to make the smaller interest the pivot of our commercial policy. 30. Foreign countries would retaliate if by Imperial Preference advantages denied to them were given to British Dominions. 31. The duties might be small at first, but they would be gradually increased by the pressure of the manufacturing and agricultural interests until a system of high Protection was established. 32. A tariff would be a handicap to many of our industries which import wholly or partly manufactured articles, which are finished in the United Kingdom. Examples are found in leather and boots. 33. It is impossible satisfactorily to distinguish between manufactured articles and raw materials. 34. Our exports of manufactures per head of population are greater than the exports per head of Germany or the United States ; foreign tariffs cannot, therefore, have done much harm to our trade. BIBLIOGRAPHY. The prominent position occupied by the fiscal controversy is evidenced by the existence of many publications on the subject. The literature issued by the Tariff Reform League (7, Victoria Street, Westminster, S.W.) and the Free Trade Union (25, Victoria Street, S.W.) presents each side of the case. Both organisations publish excellent Handbooks ; and their monthly publications, Monthly Notes on Tariff Reform and The Free Trader bring the controversy up to date. The case for Tariff Reform as disclosed by the condition of British industries should be studied in the Reports and memoranda issued by the Tariff Com- mission. Of official publications reference should be made to what are generally known as the Fiscal Blue-books — memoranda, statistical tables, and charts relating to British and foreign trades and industry — Cd. 1761 of 1903, Cd. 2337 of 1904, and Cd. 4954 of 1909. The Board of Trade has also issued a series of reports on the cost of living of the working classes in certain countries — United Kingdom, Cd. 3864 ; Germany, Cd. 4032 ; France, Cd. 4512 ; Belgium, Cd. 5065 ; and the United States, Cd. 5609. The inquiries cover working-class rents, housing, retail prices, and rates of wages in certain occupations and the principal industrial laws in each country. Other useful official publications are the monthly and annual TRADE RELATIONS 209 trado returns of imports and exports, and the annual statistical abstracts for the United Kingdom, the British Empire, and British India. Foreign Import Duties and Colonial Import Duties are two Blue-books of foreign and colonial tariffs published at intervals. A valuable book of statistical trade tables is the "British Trado Year Book," by John Holt Schooling. Useful publications upon the side of Tariff Reform are " Economic and Fiscal Facts and Fallacies," by Sir Guildford Molosworth ; " Tariff Reform, by Captain G. C. Tryon, M.P. ; " National System of Political Economy," by F. List; " Trade Policy of Great Britain," by C. J. Fuchs ; "Funda- mental Fallacies of Free Trade," by L. S. Amery, M.P. ; " The Tariff Problem," by W. J. Ashley, and "The Case Against Free Trade," by Archdeacon Cunningham. Those who desire to study useful abstracts of both sides of the question should read " TariS Reform or Free Trade," by L. S. Amery, M.P., and J. M. Robertson, M.P. Of books presenting the case for Free Trade the following can be recommended: Lord Farrer, "Free Trade versus Fair Trade"; J. M. Robertson, M.P., "Trade and Tariffs"; "Mr. Chamberlain's Facts, Figures, and Predictions " ; Dr. T. J. Macnamara, " Tariff Reform and the Working Man " ; L. G. Chiozza Money, M.P. , "Elements of the Fiscal Problem " and " Fiscal Dictionary." 15 CHAPTER VII THE CONSTITUTION CONSTITUTIONAL change in many countries is only effected after violence and loss of life. In Great Britain a revolution has just been accomplished without disturbance, almost without notice, certainly without any overt demonstra- tions of disapproval, on the part of the people. It is doubtful whether in any other country an ancient, and by the world at large highly esteemed, Second Chamber and Estate of the Realm could have been extinguished, and its influence destroyed without an appeal to force. It is difficult to imagine other nations agreeing to an overthrow of the Constitution and the establishment of what is practically, and for the present actually, single-chamber Government, with- out resort to more turbulent methods than parliamentary action and discussion. As matters stand in the United Kingdom a class, whose members for centuries occupied the position of natural leaders, have surrendered their position and influence as the result of a threat on the part of their opponents to have resort to political or, as Lord Morley not obscurely hinted, " social," pressure. The Creation of Peers and its Effect. It is, of course, argued that continued opposition on the part of the peers would have been futile, but the Second Chamber could only have been coerced by the profuse creation of peerages, and the country would by such an unprecedented act at least have been brought to appreciate the far-reaching character of the Government's proposals. In fact, it was called on to witness not only the surrender of the peers, but also the spectacle of support aflbrded to the 310 THE CONSTITUTION 211 Parliament Bill by opponents, from which it very naturally drew the conclusion that the speeches delivered against it were only part of the usual Party game, and believed that the hostile opinions expressed were not strongly and sincerely felt, but were no more than the usual partisan utterances, which are expected to be highly coloured over-statements of a case. By their action, whether or not it was unavoidable, the peers have played straight into the hands of the Coalition Government, which has all along maintained that the Parlia- ment Act was no more than a just and reasonable solution of the question, from which no real danger to the Constitution was to be apprehended. After the abandonment of their opposition by the peers themselves, it is not surprising that the country shows an inclination to accept the position of the Coalition Government, and to regard the Parliament Act as a moderate measure of reform. The Lesson to be Leabnt. No doubt disillusionment will come with experience of the working of the Act, and, so far as the Liberal Party is con- cerned, it would be unfortunate, if it were not intentional and inevitable, that the first great measure to be passed into law under the amended Constitution is a Home Eule Bill. The subject arouses violent passions, was never even mentioned in their addresses by most of the supporters of the Govern- ment at the last election, and owes its foremost position in the legislative programme to the fact that the Government of Mr. Asquith can only retain office by the favour of Mr. John Eedmond and the Irish Nationalist Party. It would certainly have been advantageous to the Government if the Parliament Act first allowed a passage to measures arousing less political hostility, so that the country might gradually and gently accustom itself to single -chamber government. Single-chamber Government Established. That this system is established by the Parliament Act is vehemently denied by the Liberals, for the good reason that no country of any importance has ventured to trust its fortunes 212 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS to the care of a single chamber. But the only difference between avowed single-chamber government and the Constitu- tion established by the Parliament Act lies in the delay of two years before a measure, which has once passed the House of Commons, can become law. The Two Years' Delay a Sham. The Coalition Government laid great stress on the value of this period of delay. Apparently they regarded it as a time during which the opponents of a particular measure would be able to rouse the country by a great campaign for the purpose of convincing the Government of the day that any particular Bill in highly unpopular. Unfortunately for the efficacy of this rough-and-ready method there is no guarantee that a Government, although convinced of the fact of popular opposi- tion, would act upon its convictions. According to the famous dictum of the Lord Chancellor in respect of the Licensing Bill the fact that a measure is unpopular is not a good reason for its rejection. The Prime Minister's Admission. The period of delay is therefore a snare and a delusion in so far as it obtains for the people opportunities of making their will prevail. So much was indeed admitted by Mr. Asquith, who argued that if a General Election, by reversing the position of parties, showed that the country was opposed to the legislation of the previous Government, it was within the power of its successor in ofi6.ce to repeal any particular measure or measures.* But this is surely at once an insuffi- cient, and a dangerous remedy. No doubt, so far as domestic legislation is concerned, repeal would be feasible, although it would be a deplorable waste of time and energy for succeed- ing Governments to devote their attention to repealing the enactments of their predecessors. But the Prime Minister's solution could afford no possible relief in respect of legislation of other than an unimportant character. Under a Disestablish- * House of Commons, February 21, 1911, Parliamentary Debates, p. 17 i5. THE CONSTITUTION 213 ment and Disendovvment Act, for example, Church property would have been sold or applied to other uses, beyond the possibility of restoration to its original objects. A Home Rule Parliament in Ireland could not be abolished a few years after its establishment except at the risk of open revolt, however much the " predominant partner " might, when an opportunity arose, show itself to be opposed to the policy of Home Rule. So, also, in respect of all legislation there would be unsettle- ment and waste of money and efficiency in making arrange- ments lia,ble to more or less speedy alteration. The Parliament Act, then, does not secure that the clearly and definitely ascertained will of the people shall prevail ; but that there shall prevail for the time being the opinion of the majority — however composed — of the House of Commons ; the decision of such majority being liable to be reversed by any majority which may succeed. Only a Half-Measure. Just as the Bill fails in its national aspect, so it also fails to provide a remedy for the whole Radical grievance against the Second Chamber as at present constituted. It succeeds, indeed, in so far as it relates to the opposition of the House of Lords to the passage of Radical Bills, but it does not touch the other Radical complaint to the effect that the House of Lords offers no obstacle to the passage by a Unionist Government into law of measui-es for which the latter has no popular mandate. It will be remembered that this was the chief objection advanced by the Radicals against the Educa- tion Act, 1902, and the Licensing Act, 1904. Not a Settlement. No doubt whilst the Radicals are in power the other side of their case against the House of Lords is the more prominent and pressing, but the fact that one-half of their grievance is wholly unremedied goes far to countervail the optimism of those who regard the Constitutional question as satisfactorily settled. The Coalition Government has in fact stopped short of dealing with this part of their grievance. They profess to intend 214 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS to remedy it by establishing, in substitution for the House of Lords as at present constituted, " a Second Chamber on a popular instead of an hereditary basis." Of the composition of this new Second Chamber, of the date of its establishment, and of the powers it is to enjoy, no authoritative information is vouchsafed. Whenever it may come into being, it will doubt- less be of such a character as will satisfy Radicals of its " impartial " attitude towards Tory legislation. But the Radicals are determined themselves to run no risks, and this reform promised in the preamble of the Bill is at any rate to be postponed until they have passed their own principal measures into law without the interference of any Second Chamber whatsoever, whether "popular" or "hereditary" in character. The Refeeendum. This determination to subject such measures to no risks is further emphasised by the opposition of Mr. Asquith's Government to the Referendum, a device which more than any other secures that the will of the people shall be ascertained on any particular measure without complication and confusion of issues. The personal factor — often a matter of the utmost importance, especially in rural constituencies — is, by its adoption, eliminated to a very considerable extent, and the verdict can be taken on the Bill and nothing but the Bill. The Referendum is particularly applicable in the case of measures involving constitutional change, where it is advisable to obtain clear and unequivocal support in order to" prevent frequent amendment.* It would, therefore, be suitable for adoption in the case of a measure of Home Rule, which, • By the Commonwealth of Australia Constitution Act, 1900, Section 128, the Constitution cannot be altered unless the amending Bill is passed by an absolute majority of each House and is approved after a Referendum, by a majority of the electors voting in a majority of the States and by a majority of all the electors. The Referendum must be taken not less than two nor more than six months after the passage of a Bill through both Houses. In the event of a disagreement between the two Houses, the Bill, after failing to pass on a second occasion, may be submitted directly to the electors for their decision. THE CONSTITUTION 2 If) while primarily dealing with an Irish legislature, also inci- dentally introduces an entirely new constitution into Great Britain. Eadical " Coquetting." Notwithstanding the Unionist proposal to adopt the Referendum, with provisions which would ensure its applica- tion to important measures, should a Eadical minority in the House of Commons so desire, the CoaUtion Government declined to entertain the proposal. This refusal was all the more remarkable inasmuch as the Radicals at any rate had, to use the Prime Minister's word, "coquetted" with the Referendum on previous occasions. Indeed, quotations from Mr. Asquith's own speeches would justify the use of a more compromising expression.'" Mr. Asquith's Government, however, would not agi*ee to the in- sertion of a Referendum clause in the Parliament Bill. They declared that it was a system entirely foreign to our method of Government, and that its use would detract from the dignity and power of the House of Commons. These objections, however, assume that the majority in the House of Commons represents a majority of the nation, a supposition, which with the existing distribution of seats is entirely unjustified, and that the House of Commons will never take any action which is not clearly approved by the people, and within the mandate it has received at the General Election. Instability of Legislation. Neither party would, however, agree that this condition was properly fulfilled in respect of its opponents ; and minorities in the future will certainly be more disposed than in the past to deny the moral binding force of laws which they • " I admit that, speaking on Sir Henry Campbell-Bannerman's Resolution three years ago, I have coquetted with the Referendum, and I say quite distinctly that I reserve the question of the appropriateness and the practicability of what is called the Referendum as possibly the least objectionable means of untying the knot in some extreme and exceptional constitutional entanglements" (Mr. Asquith, House of Commons, March 29, 1910, Parliamentary Debates, p. 1173). 216 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS believe to have been passed without a mandate.' The Referendum would have prevented this development, which must seriously impair the authority alike of legislation and administration. The objection that the Referendum would only be applied to Radical legislation, since the House of Lords always acquiesces in that of the Conservatives, is easily met by empowering a substantial minority of the House of Commons to demand a Referendum in respect of measures of a defined class or character. While it is true that the Referendum is so far unknown to our Constitution, it is not an untried or novel device, being used in other countries in Europe, and in so democratic a Commonwealth as Australia. 11 the Australians consider the approval of two chambers and resort to the Referendum to be necessary before changes can be made in their Constitution, surely it requires no proof that the United Kingdom, with its immeasurably larger and voider interests, is running a great and unjustifiable risk in placing it within the power of a temporary majority of the House of Commons — however small or however obtained — to make whatever alterations in the Constitution it may, for more or less creditable reasons, desire to bring about, without first appealing to the country. The Reform of the House of Lords. It is true that the Government of Mr. Asquith proposes, or professes to propose, to establish a new Second Chamber at some unspecified date. Such Chamber is to rest upon a popular instead of an hereditary basis ; but no one knows whether the term " popular " implies election, or nomina- tion, or a combination of both methods. This much may, however, be freely predicted of the new Second Chamber, that it will enjoy the confidence, support, and respect of no party in the State. Let it be so " impartial " as to reject or hold up Radical legislation, and its authors will, without * Just as a section of the Radical Party protested that they were not bound by the Education Act of 1902. The policy of '• passive resistance," if adopted in a sufficiently complete and comprehensive fashion, can avail to make the enforcement of any Act impossible. THE CONSTITUTION 217 hesitation, demand an amendment of its constitution, since it is but a thing of their own creation. It cannot, in any case in its earher years, hope to possess the support of the Unionists, for they will naturally regard it as a committee of the Eadical Party, however much its partisan- ship may be leavened by the admission of an infusion of " impartial " senators. Payment of Members. Our Constitution then has with the passing of the Parlia- ment Act only entered upon a period of change. The end is far distant; and the ultimate solution defies conjecture. But it is none the less a significant sign of the times that the first important action of the House of Commons after the passing of the Parliament Bill was to vote its Members salaries of £400 a year. Not less noteworthy than the fact itself was the method by which it was effected. A change of the most far-reaching and novel character, the appropriation of public money to private advantage, was brought about by a simple retrospective resolution of the House of Commons lest the public conscience should be affronted by the revelations attending the passage of a Bill. The payment of members of Parliament introduces an entirely new principle into our system of Government. The tradition of gratuitous public service vanishes, and its place is taken by the new principle of payment. It may be argued that the salary is small in comparison with the services rendered. But unless the British House of Commons displays a self-denial which has not distinguished other legislative assemblies, there seems little reason to believe that the amount our legislators have now voted themselves will not be considerably increased at some subsequent date. Eepayment of Expenses. Indeed, at its present amount, the salary voted is alleged to represent not payment for services rendered, but merely a grant towards the out-of-pocket expenses incurred by members 218 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS of Parliament in their public capacity. This explanation runs somewhat counter to the intention of Mr. Asquith's Govern- ment to make payment of members a substitute for the salaries drawn by Labour Members of Parliament from Trades Unions prior to the date of the Osborne Judgment, which declared such apphcation of Union funds to be illegal. But it tended to minimise the objections of those who were opposed to the payment of a salary, but were in favour of the reim- bursement of expenses. The rejection by the Labour Party of the State payment of members by way of an alternative to legislation reversing the law as interpreted by the Osborne Judgment, induced the Radical Party to favour the theory that payment of members is only a recoupment of expenses incurred. But the payment of the same amount to each member effectively disposes of any such argument. To pay a member representing a small and adjacent, the same amount as is received by the representative of a large and remote, constituency is to ignore all the essential factors of the problem. While one member may profit, the expenses of another may considerably exceed the £400 placed to his credit by the State. The opinion is indeed widely held that the payment by the State of returning officers' fees at elections, and of the expenses incurred by a member in visiting his constituency is perfectly justifiable. Repayment of the amount actually expended on this account is not open to the same objection as the provision of a fixed salary, since there can be no possibility of gain by a member at the cost of the taxpayer, but only of payment of out-of-pocket expenses. The attitude of the Unionist Party in respect of this matter has not been one of unyielding opposition, and sug- gestions were made from their benches for the repayment of actual official election and travelling expenses, while strong opposition was offered to forcing salaries alike on the group of members, in order to placate which the new policy was adopted, and upon others, whose equal pride and pleasure it was, and is, to serve the State to the utmost of their abihty as a privilege and not for payment. THE CONSTITUTION 219 Unionist Plans op Eeform. So in respect of the constitutional crisis the Unionist Party, abandoning its defence of the House of Lords as it was, put forward a plan for the reconstruction of that House, and for an ultimate appeal by Keferendum to the people on exceptional occasions of national importance. Their attitude, no less than that of their adversaries, was revolutionary, since they entirely accepted the principal Radical contention to the effect that a seat in the House of Lords ought not to be a matter of mere hereditary right.* Indeed, the plan put for- ward by the official leaders of the Party introduced novel elements of selection and election from outside, f But this proposal failed to satisfy their opponents, who professed and preferred to see in the reconstructed House of Lords a smaller, but still an, obstacle to the free passage of Liberal legislation. Whether, with the certainty that their scheme would not be accepted by their opponents, the Unionist Party would not have been wiser to boldly defend the existing House of Lords with all its imperfections, is a question which it is now futile to discuss, but it is certainly matter for regret that the Unionist leaders did not during their long tenure of power reform and readjust the balance of parties in that House. The preponderating Unionist element in the Second Chamber, although it has not been brought about as the result of deliberate packing by the Unionist Party but by constant conversions to Conservatism on the part of holders * " That a necessary preliminary of such reform and reconstitution is the acceptance of the principle that the possession of a peerage should no longer of itself give the right to site and vote in the House of Lords " (Lord Rosebery's Third Resolution). t See Lord Lansdowne's House of Lords Reconstitution Bill, No. 75 of 1911. According to the Memorandum attached to the Bill, the House of Lords as reconstituted would contain rather less than 350 members, composed as follows : 100 elected by hereditary Peers from among their number who were qualified ; 120 to be elected for electoral districts by electoral colleges composed of members of the House of Commons for constituencies within each electoral district ; 100 appointed by the King on the advice of the Ministers in proportion to the strength of parties in the House of Commons ; 7 bishops and 16 Judicial Peers. 220 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS of peerages created by the Radical Party, undoubtedly, and not unnaturally, gave rise to a feeling on the part of Radicals that their measures could not be expected to receive impartial consideration from the House of Lords as formerly constituted. The Lords and Liberal Bills. This impression has been entirely confirmed, in their opinion, by the action of the House of Lords in respect of Radical legis- lation. While that House passed w^ithout amendment, or with amendments subsequently accepted by the House of Commons, no less than 269 Bills, and only rejected, or amended beyond agreement, eight measures '■' in the five years ending December, 1910, those which failed to pas^ were the principal legislative schemes of the Radical Party.* x\ny peer classed as Unionist, however much his votes might in his own mind be governed by the demerits of the measures in question and not by party considerations, was regarded as having deliberately contributed to the wanton destruction of Radical Bills. This attitude of the Upper House was contrasted with the absence of opposition in respect of Unionist measures, and the cry from the Radicals for more equal conditions became insistent and universal. The most statesmanlike course would probably have been to reform the House of Lords by delegating its powers to representatives of the existing hereditary peerage, whose actions would be entirely removed from any suspicion of party considerations. But such a reform would not have given the Radicals any certainty or guarantee that their measures, once they passed the House of Commons, would become law. They did not desire that any other body, how- ever impartially composed, should have the power of rejecting or amending their Bills. Hence they adopted the policy which once and for all placed it beyond the power of the Second Chamber to obstruct. And the I'esult is that Great Britain, alone of Great Powers, is now governed by a single chamber, * The Education Bill, 1906 ; Plural Voting Bill, 1906 ; Scottish Small Holdings Bill, 1907 and 1908 ; Scottish Land Values Bill, 1907 and 1908 ; Licensing Bill, 1908; London Elections Bill, 1908; Scottish House Letting Bill, 1909; County Courts Bill, 1909. THE CONSTITUTION 221 with no immediate prospect, at any rate, of the reconstitution of the House of Lords on a satisfactory basis. Arguments For and Against the Parliament Act. FOR. 1. It secures that the will of the people, as expressed by their representa- tives iu the House of Commons, shall prevail. 2. It gives the House of Commons the last word in respect of general legislation, and properly denies to the House of Lords any word in respect of finance. 3. It properly removes from the House of Lords — a body representing none but themselves —the absolute veto over legislation. 4. Since it is an obvious anachronism that an hereditary body should continue to exercise this power in a democratic State the veto had to go, just as the veto of the Crown has already gone, in order that the country should enjoy a free and really democratic system of government. 5. Such reform has, moreover, been rendered necessary by the par- tisan actions in respect of legislation of the House of Lords, which rejected and mutilated the most important Liberal measures, but never placed obstacles in the way of passing any Tory Bills. 6. The Act not only abolishes the power of the pennancnt Tory majority in the House of Lords to reject Liberal legislation, but for the first time accords equally favourable conditions to the measures of all parties. 7. It does not introduce single-chamber government, since measures must pass the House of Commons three times, and in a period of not less than two years, before they can become law without the concurrence of the House of Lords. 8. This period of delay is sufficient to secure revision of any measure, or even to prevent it from becoming law, if opposition develops to an extent which shows that general public opinion is not in its favour. 9. The Tories ought to be the last persons to object to single-chamber government, since when they are in office the House of Lords passes all their Bills without question and the country is governed by a single chamber — a Tory House of Commons. 10. That nothing revolutionary has happened during such periods is evidence that the dangers of single-chamber government are considerably exaggerated. 11. The Parliament Act leaves to the House of Lords considerable powers of delay, revision, and suggestion of amendment. 12. In fact, it leaves the House of Lords capable of properly performing the true function of a Second Chamber, that of revision. 222 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS 13. The Act is justified by the admission even of Unionists that the House of Lords has been an unfair assembly, out of touch with the people, and having a permanent Tory majority. 14. Its representation is one-sided, giving too great a preponderance to the land-owning classes, and insufficient weight to the commercial, manufacturing, and industrial interests of the country. AGAINST. 1. The Act sets up what is practically single-chamber government. 2. That this is undesirable and dangerous is seen from the fact that every great country, including even the most democratic in the British dominions, has a double-chamber system of government and very strong safeguards against constitutional changes such as have just been forced upon Great Britain by the Coalition Government in 1911. 3. The advantages of the period of delay provided are illusory, and will in practice prove to be of no value for impartial revision ; the passage of Bills a second and third time in the House of Commons will be mere for- malities ; and since that House denies to the House of Lords any claim to represent the popular will, its wishes, amendments, and suggestions will be treated with contempt. 4. A majority of the House of Commons may at any time be small and obtained as the result of corrupt or other bargaining, and it ought not to have the uncontrolled power of passing legislation of the gravest consequence, without the express consent of the people. 5. The House of Lords has indeed never opposed the will of the people when that will has once been clearly and definitely expressed in favour of any measure. The fact is clear from the progressive march of democracy in this country. 6. When a General Election has shown that the country was in favour of a measure the House of Lords has never opposed its passage into law. 7. Though the General Election may be an inconclusive method of ascertaining popular opinion on any particular measure as compared with the Referendum, it is at least a better and surer gauge of popular opinion than the judgment of a temporary majority in the House of Commons. 8. The Parliament Act is, in fact, only a device for passing a Home Rule Bill without the necessity of first obtaining that consent of the country, which there are excellent grounds for believing would be withhold. 9. If the composition of the House of Lords is not perfect the fault lies in part, at any rate, with the Radicals, who have created many more peerages than the Unionists. 10. That Radical Peers have failed to give a continued support to their Party is only another proof that the general tendencj' of all Second THE CONSTITUTION 223 Chambers is to be Conservative in character, as compared with Chambers of first instance. 11. The real remedy for the existing state of affairs is a reform of the House of Lords in the direction of making it an impartial assembly. 12. It is far from true that other than landed interests are not well represented therein. Most of the new creations are made in favour of the heads of great manufacturing and industrial concerns. 13. The Unionist Party have shown themselves entirely prepared to reform the House of Lords and to make it more truly representative and popular in character. 14. A strong Second Chamber of this nature, with the Referendum, would make for stability of government, much more than the system established by the Parliament Act, which, in effect, destroys the Second, and allows no appeal to the people from the chance majorities of the First, Chamber. Arguments For and Against the Eeferendum. FOR. 1. It ensures in the clearest possible manner that the will of the people shall prevail, and that measures shall not become law without the support of a majority of the electorate. 2. It gives the electors the simple choice of an affirmative or negative reply to the question whether they are or are not in favour of a given legislative proposal. 3. It removes the greatest defects of our existing system under which the Government enjoys all the power in the House of Commons, and becomes the sole interpreter of what it asserts to be the will of the people. 4. In practice members of Parliament support their Party and follow their leader ; the theory that they possess, or at any rate act upon, independent conviction is untenable. 5. The results of this rigid form of Party rule can be overcome by the use of the Referendum in cases of great legislative importance. 6. The verdict of a General Election is taken upon a multitude of conflicting and confused issues, which effectually prevent electors from casting their votes upon any one selected question. 7. While there may be one issue in respect of which large numbers of electors pre-eminently cast their votes, there is nothing to prevent the Government, under the Parliament Act, from passing into law legislation on any subject which was not before the electorate at the General Election. 8. Therefore under the new conditions set up by the Parliament Act in order to secure that nothing shall be passed into law which the majority 224 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS of the electors have not approved, it is more necessary than ever that the Referendum should be established. 9. While a General Election by its verdict may show that the country disapproves the old Government and desires that its acts, or some of them, should be reversed, a new Government cannot proceed at once to repeal any obnoxious legislation passed by its predecessor, even if there were no doubts as to the precise measures the electors wished to reverse, which without a Referendum is difficult of ascertainment. 10. If this were possible, the frequent enactment and repeal of laws is to the last degree undesirable, and the better course is to make sure that a measure is wanted before it is placed on the statute-book. 11. The Referendum is especially well adapted to decide questions in dispute between the two Houses of Parliament, since it is a reference to the final court of appeal — the electors. 12. It is also singularly well calculated to secure an unprejudiced verdict on a particular legislative £>roJect without occasioning undue disturbance, because, according to the practice of countries in which its use prevails, an unfavourable verdict on an isolated issue does not necessarily, or usually, result in the resignation of the Government. AGAINST. 1. The Referendum is an attack upon our present representative system, which is the sure and satisfactory basis of liberty and self-government. 2. Its adoption would degrade the House of Commons by removing from members the responsibility of interpreting the will of the people. 3. Complaints of Government control and want of independence on the part of private members are exaggerated. So much is this the case that it has happened within recent years that Governments have been com- pelled to abandon or amend their legislative proposals as the result of a hostile attitude on the part of those by whom they are generally supported. 4. The ordinary elector cannot be expected to understand the technical and complex provisions of Bills of many clauses, full of disputable and controversial points. 5. The true theory is, that electors should decide upon the main principles as advocated by political parties, and leave it to those members of the House of Commons in whom they have put their trust to put these principles into operation. 6. There is no analogy between the position of Great Britain and that of a small country like Switzerland, or new communities like the States of the Australasian Union, and it cannot therefore be fairly argued, from the success of the Referendum in such cases, that it will work well in the United Kingdom. 7. The use of the Referendum will not avoid the turmoil and dislocation of trade resulting from a General Election, because the same political THE CONSTITUTION 225 organisations would be at work and the same machinery would be employed. 8. The Referendum would in fact frequently lead to an immediate second General Election, since the defeat of an important Government Bill would in practice often be followed by the resignation of the Ministry. 9. The adoption of the Referendum also involves an inconvenient admission of the right of the people to initiate legislation outside the House of Commons. 10. The Referendum fails to secure the popular verdict on a particular measure because, as the experience of other countries proves, a considerable proportion of the electorate fails to record its vote. 11. This would especially be the case in Great Britain if a Bill, which in popular belief at any rate applied only to a portion of the country, such as the Welsh Disestablishment Bill, were subjected to the Referendiim. Arguments For and Against the Payment of Members. FOR. 1. The principle has been repeatedly affirmed by the House of Commons by considerable majorities. 2. In all the great Parliaments of the world — with the exception of those of Spain and Italy — members are paid, and even in these two countries contributions are made towards their expenses. 3. Payment of members in the British Parliament is only a reversion to an earlier practice, with the difierence that members are now paid out of the taxes, instead of out of the rates. 4. In recent years Parliament has made greatly increased demands on the time and attention of members, to such an extent, indeed, as to seriously circumscribe the area of choice. 5. Representation has been placed upon a democratic basis, and men of limited means have been, and now more and more will be, elected to the House of Commons. 6. Members of this class, however, unless paid when elected, are considerably handicapped in their endeavours to be elected. 7. The democracy is consequently unable to command a wide field of selection. 8. Men of limited means with a desire to serve the public were till now debarred from the House of Commons, unless they were supported by some political or industrial organisation. 9. In that case they incline to become representatives of the section which supports them, and not of the whole body of their constituents. 10. Such conditions are undesirable, and can only be avoided by payment by the State. 16 226 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS 11. The salary received by members will enable men of limited means to live while attending Parliament without lessening their opportunities of supplementing their incomes by professional work during such times as they are free from their Parliamentary duties. 12. Payment for public service, which does not degrade a soldier, sailor, or civil servant, should not degrade a member of Parliament. 13. There is no analogy with the case of local administration, which, save for the exceptional instance of the London County Council, does not, like Parliament, absorb practically the whole of the time of members for at least half the year. 14. Local administration does not require attendances, as is gene- rally the case wich Parliament, at a centre more or less remote from home and business, but leaves its representatives at home with the greater part of their time available for their private affairs. AGAINST. 1. Paid members of Parliament become the mere delegates of their constituents rather than free representatives, and thus suffer a loss of moral authority. 2. Payment provokes the disappearance of members occupied in other walks of life, but possessed of sufficient leisure and inclination for public duty in the House of Commons. 3. This has proved to be the case in the United States and Canada, where great difficulty is experienced in inducing representative and influential men to enter politics, which have thus become a by no means highly esteemed profession. 4. The present type of representative vnll be replaced by the professional politician, which will be a great loss to the House of Commons, and to public life. 5. Payment of members will not necessarily lead to the larger represen tation of the working classes by members of their own class, but by professional agitators. 6. Such has been the experience of other countries wherein members are paid. 7. Gratuitous public service is one of the glories of British public life, and has produced the most happy results. 8. No Parliament in the world possessed a reputation for purity and independence equal to that of the House of Commons before payment of members was introduced. 9. The rate of pay will be increased, as it has been in other countries, until the salary becomes a more serious burden on the taxpayer, and a larger prize for the professional politician. 10. Payment induces corrupt bargaining between candidates and political organisations. 11. There is no analogy between the payment of ministers and the pay- THE CONSTITUTION 227 meut of mombors ; the former have to give up thoir whole time to the service of tha State, the latter should bo representatives of the people, engaged in various callings rather than professional politicians, whose good faith is often open to doubt. 12. Public men whose limited financial resources render a Parlia- mentary candidature difficult in their case, but who.se qualities make their adoption desirable, are few in number, and it would be better in such exceptional cases to make exceptional payment, rather than to waste public money by forcing it upon men whose pride it is to serve unpaid. 13. Payment of members is not accepted by the Labour Party as an alternative to reversal of the law as interpreted by the Osborne Judgment, since it in no way gives them control for political purposes of the funds of the Trade Unions. The object with which the change is introduced therefore fails of attainment. 14. Payment will give an undesirable length of life to a Government, since a dissolution will threaten many members with the loss of their livelihood. 15. The adoption of this novel principle will inevitably lead to claims for payment for the many services now gratuitously rendered in the judicial, administrative, and local departments of public administration, and will further add to the deplorable and unjustifiable increase in paid offices, which the country has witnessed in the past six years. Arguments For and Against Manhood Suffrage. FOR. 1. It gives to every adult citizen, who is not obviously disqualified, the right to vote. 2. Being based upon a broad and simple qualification it enables the adult citizen without trouble to obtain the franchise. 3. It removes the absurd and technical qualifications which are re- quired under the present law, and prevent many obviously qualified citizens from getting the vote. 4. It is the only franchise possible in a truly democratic state, since it alone ignores property as a necessary qualification. 5. It is the natural sequel to previous Acts extending the franchise to the non-propertied class. 6. And further, reduces the indefensible influence of wealth and property. 7. Since earlier extensions of the franchise have not resulted in bad government or the introduction of undesirable elements into the adminis- tration, it cannot be presumed that this further extension will weaken the independence of Members of Parliament or of Ministers. 228 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS 8. Rather, by giving more individuals a direct interest in the govern- ment of the country, will stability and good government be increased as responsibility is extended. 9. Whatever may be the dangers to the State from the rule of democracy, such will not be lessened by denying the franchise to a number of citizens. 10. On the contrary, an unfranchised class being irresponsible and outside the pale of citizenship is more likely to act violently and dangerously, than a class of responsible voters. 11. Manhood suffrage will not however enfranchise any particular, or undesirable, class, but will give the vote to many, who have at least as great a stake in the country as some of the present electors. 12. It will enfranchise a large number of excellent citizens who for technical reasons cannot now qualify. AGAINST. 1. The existing franchise is wide enough to secure the vote to all responsible citizens. 2. It is rather necessary to limit the existing franchise, since ex- perience shows that many undesirables at present have the vote. 3. Extension means cheapening the franchise, and tends to make responsible voters hold their rights in light respect, and to take little trouble to record their vote. i. The vote should rather be the prized possession of the good citizen, than the right of all sorts and conditions of men. 5. With the extension of the franchise to all adults, politicians will be under great temptation to advocate confiscatory and socialistic legislation to secure the votes of the "have nots" who greatly out-number the «• haves." 6. This tendency is very apparent now, and would be further accentu- ated if the electorate were enlarged by the addition of such as cannot even satisfy the requirements of the existing law. 7. Such qualifications are so simple that every responsible citizen can qualify for a vote. 8. Moreover, it would be perfectly easy to remove technical obstacles without touching the principle of qualification for the franchise and, by so doing, save the risk of grave danger to the State. 9. The proposed extension is moreover wholly contrary to the principle of English franchise law, which is based upon the possession of local interest in the constituency, and confers no right to vote on the individual as such. 10. It will encourage and facilitate personation and other election offences. 11. It will increase the cost of elections, and by enfranchising a shifting population will make the results very uncertain. THE CONSTITUTION 229 BIBLIOGRAPHY. So far as the Parliament Act and the action of the House of Lords are concerned there are no other publications on the subject than those issued by the Publication Departments of the political parties. The arguments for and against the measure are best stated in the Debates in both Houses of Parliament. Publications of a more permanent character are, against the House of Lords, "The House of Lords: who they are and what they have done," by Harold Spender ; and for the House of Lords, " The Crusade against the Constitution: an Historical Vindication of the House of Lords," by Sir William Charley. The latter volume, although issued in 1895, is a remarkable exposure of the charge against the Second Chamber of obstructing Radical legislation. "Our Old Nobility," by Howard Evans {Morning Leader Office, 6d.), is an attack upon the Peers individually and personally, and the widespread circula- tion of the opinions expressed in the volume is doubtless responsible for much of the ill-feeling excited against members of the House of Lords. The composition of Second Chambers, their powers, and the steps necessary to secure an amendment of the Constitutions in the principal countries are detailed in " Modern Constitutions in Outline," by L. Alston (Longmans, 2s. 6d. net). The Composition and Functions of Second Chambers in other countries are dealt with in Cd. 382i of 1907 (price 7d.), and in British Colonies in House of Commons Paper, No. 81 of 1910 (price 2Jd.). Publications on the Referendum are "The Referendum in Switzer- land," by S. Deploige ; "Against the Referendum," by Miss Jane Stoddart ; and " An Appeal to the Nation," by Professor Dicey (Murray), being a treatise, by a supporter, on the Referendum in its relation to British politics. The Quarterly Review for April, 1911, contains an article, " The Referendum in Operation." Payment of Members has not been dealt with in separate publications. The Party literature supplies the arguments for and against, and the Parliamentary Debates should also be consulted. CHAPTEE VIII FRANCHISE AND REPRESENTATION TT is doubtful whether any one, outside the ranks of J- poHtical agents and of the few lawyers who specialise in such matters, really understands the intricacies of our fran- chise laws. And even these experts are subject to surprises, judgment being often given on some disputed point of law, which entirely upsets their calculations. Simplification Necessary. Irrespective of party, a case can easily be made out for the simplification of the franchise. The right to a vote should be simple of proof, and should not rest on technicalities. That is the ideal. In reality, however, a vote is often hard to obtain. This is partly, no doubt, due to the complicated character of the law ; and since elections are often lost and won in the revision courts, it would be against human nature for political agents either to abstain from getting their own supporters on the register, or from securing the disfranchise- ment of opponents, even on purely technical grounds. The counsel of perfection is that the preparation of the register should be the work solely of public officials. In theory that is the case now, and it is doubtful whether the authors of the present registration laws ever contemplated that party agents would occupy the prominent position which they do to-day in the registration courts. Whatever provisions were enacted with the object of making registration an official and not a party matter, it would seem impossible to keep the party agent out of the business. If he were eliminated some kind of provision would have to be made for raising objec- tions to proposed voters, and for dealing with claims to be 230 FRANCHISE AND REPRESENTATION 231 placed on the register. Although in the former case the objector might be a private elector, and in the latter the man might have to prove his claim himself, there would be no means of preventing all the real work being done in the back- ground by the political agents. Indeed, this is inevitable, since all that the party agents are striving to effect depends on the vote. Suggested Reforms. While the exclusion of the party factor from the registra- tion courts is probably impossible, there is much room in other respects for the simplification of the law. The present period of qualification is generally regarded as too long, and it operates in an anomalous manner to deprive citizens of the franchise. In the case of the most common — the household — franchise the inhabitant, either as owner or tenant, must have occupied the qualifying premises for twelve months preceding July 15th in any year. The register, which is made up in July of any one year, does not, generally speaking,* come into operation until January of the following year.j As a conse- quence a householder may have to wait thirty months before qualifying as a voter. I He would, however, if already quali- fied, retain his vote in his former constituency for eighteen months. During that period he becomes one of the army of • In England and Wales the Parliamentary Register comes into opera- tion on January 1st, in Scotland on November 1st, and in Ireland on January 1st. t The revision courts are not over until October 12th, and the new register is not finally settled until they are completed. It is doubtful whether the period between July 15th and the first day for holding the courts — Septem- ber 8th — could be shortened. Some time must necessarily elapse between the first publication of the lists and the sittings of the registration courts to allow of claims and objections being made. The election of December, 1910, except in Scotland, was consequently fought upon a register made up in July, 1909, for which a householder's qualification had to begin in some period not later than July, 1908. But the verdict is regarded as an expression of the people's will as it existed in December, 1910 1 I A tenancy begun on July 16, 1911, would not qualify the householder until July, 1913, and the register would not come into force until January 1, 1014, 232 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS " removals," the tracing of which is an agent's despair during an election on a " stale " register. The grievance, which is undoubtedly felt by electors, in respect of the period of qualification is not lightened by the law which enables an elector who moves from one house to another in the same constituency or division of a con- stituency to keep his vote by claiming " successive occu- pation." Curious anomalies arise in the exercise of his privilege. In a large county it is possible for a man to move many miles in one direction and retain his vote, but if he lives on the edge of the constituency he may only have to move a few yards in the other direction into another county to lose it. In London it is often enough to cross the road to be deprived ot the vote.''' This indefensible situation points to the need of extending the principle of "successive occupation" to cover removals from one con- stituency to another. The Qualifying Period. Another remedy for the removal of the preliminary difficulty in obtaining a vote is a reduction in the qualifying period . Some period, however, is necessary, and opinion in some quarters has favoured three months. A longer time than that, it is declared, would inflict a hardship upon working men who are often compelled to change their residence in the search for employment. Others regard three months as too short a time, which would tend to place the really resident population in a constituency at the mercy of a floating and less responsible section. The adoption of so brief a qualifica- tion would certainly increase the difficulties of registration and possibly encourage personation and fraud. More moderate and acceptable opinion points towards a reduction of the present qualifying period to six months in addition to an an extension of the principle of successive occupation. * The London Elections Bill, 1909, would have removed this anomaly by making London a single parliamentary borough. The real object of this measure, however, was to abolish plural voting in London, and it was rejected by the House of Lords. FRANCHISE AND REPRESENTATION 233 The Lodger Fbanchise. In a hardly less degree, however, the law requires amend- ment in respect of the lodger franchise. While the occupier of lodgings of £10 annual value unfurnished is entitled to a vote, he must claim every year.''' Lodger claims, indeed, form the main matter for contention by party agents at revision courts. Under an energetic agent the numbers invariably rise, the voters not being lodgers in the strict sense of the word, but often sons, for instance, living with their parents. This qualification in respect of annual value is usually very loosely interpreted, and the present tendency is to grant the lodger vote except where obvious disqualifications exist. The advantages of the household over the lodger franchise have already been mentioned, and there has consequently arisen a tendency to claim, wherever possible, under the household franchise. The practice of letting houses to more than one family causes considerable confusion, and leaves the decision whether claimants are entitled to the lodger or householder franchise to be settled upon minor considera- tions. Not less difficult to defend upon logical grounds is the "service" franchise, especially in relation to conditions of domestic service. This entitles a man who inhabits a dwelling- house by virtue of any office, service, or employment to a vote, so long as the person under whom he serves does not live in the same house. Thus the coachman, gardener, and lodge-keeper obtain a vote which is denied to the butler, footman, and valet. The anomalies of the franchise naturally give reformers opportunities of making a good case for amendment. Their demands, however, go far beyond a readjustment of the existing system, for they desire to bring about changes which materially affect the foundations of the franchise. * Consequently when a lodger changes his lodgings from one house to another — even in the same constituency — he loses his vote for at least twelve months. When he becomes a householder the same situation arises. 234 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS Adult Suffbage. Adult suffrage especially is put forward as a cure for all the evils of the franchise system, and not only would its adoption include manhood suffrage, but, as was thought, votes for women also, upon the same terms as for men, Mr. Asquith has however announced that his Government will introduce a manhood suffrage bill at an early date, and will leave it to the House of Commons to amend it by the inclusion of women, if so desired. Many supporters of manhood suffrage would, however, shrink from admitting the universal application of the prin- ciple that the attainment of a specified age entitles the male citizen to a vote. Otherwise it would be impossible to deny a parliamentary system to India or Egypt, or voting power equal to that enjoyed by white men to natives of South Africa. These instances are merely given to show that the principle of universal manhood suffrage is hardly practical politics. It should always at least be provided that citizens before receiving votes must satisfy some authority ad hoc that they are fit and proper persons to exercise this privilege. While there is general agreement that the franchise should not be conferred upon criminals and lunatics, a distinct diffi- culty is experienced in prescribing such qualifying conditions as shall exclude the citizen whose undesirability is less pro- nounced than that of the criminal or lunatic, but shall at the same time be broad enough to include every average citizen whatever his rank in life, the amount of his possessions, or the extent of his intellectual capacity. Our Franchise System. The English franchise system has not been the creation of a single autocratic administrator, but has grown up with the passage of centuries. In the beginning the exercise of the franchise was much restricted, but the conditions of education and popular intelligence were not such as commended to the legislators of those days a liberal extension. If the possession of landed property was the chief qualification for a vote, it was FRANCHISE AND REPRESENTATION 235 because ownership of land was roughly a fair indication of educa- tion and fitness for participation in public affairs. "Where the landed property qualification was low abuses resulted, as in the case of the 40s. freehold franchise in Ireland. No one would assert that the verdict of electors of this class, although the result of a popular vote, was any better indication of the popular will, than a verdict taken upon a more restricted franchise. Its Extensions. With the spread of education, however, the franchise was extended. Although property qualifications were then excluded , nevertheless so far as the main, the household, franchise is concerned, the position of the voter as a tenant and payer of the current poor rate indicates a certain standing. The com- plications that attend this primarily simple franchise are due to the extension to other than householders proper, who were considered to be justly entitled to a vote. Hence the addition to the "household" franchise of a series of supplementary "lodger" and " service " claims. These may indeed contain the germ of manhood suffrage, and it may be conceded that age plus a simple qualification should under democratic government establish the right to a vote. So long as that right was restricted to the possessors of a certain amount of property, no necessity arose for these supplementary franchises ; but when the "household" franchise obliterated the property quali- fication, the hard cases of men who were fully qualified for a vote, except that in a technical sense they were not " house- holders," required and received special attention and reasonably favourable treatment. Generally speaking, however, the franchise of the United Kingdom approximates to manhood suffrage. The new Census figures do not yet allow a comparison to be made between the number of males qualified by age, and the actual number of voters. In any such comparison it should be remembered that, apart from those disqualified as criminals, lunatics, and paupers, there are large numbers who do not trouble to claim the vote. Particularly is this noticeable in the case of lodgers, and further allowance would have to be made for such as have 236 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS failed to qualify owing to the complicated and illogical charac- ter of many of the franchise laws to which reference has already been made. Their simplification could be carried out without arousing violent party strife, if the proposals made were free from any suspicion of party gain, and political gerryman- dering. Women's Suffrage. The impetus which the coming of a Liberal Government in 1906 gave to all desirable, and undesirable, reforms was in no instance more pronounced than in relation to woman suffrage. Numerous societies, leagues, and unions were established to press forward this question, which, however, differed on matters of policy, and even on the particular franchise which the women desired. Some adopted "militant" tactics and made demonstrations by waylaying, interrupting, and attacking Cabinet Ministers, and coming into conflict with the police. Others repudiated these tactics, and contented themselves with the more orthodox methods of agitation. Both schools have recently combined to support a measure known as the " Conciliation " Bill. No one will under-rate the energy and enthusiasm which the advocates of women's suffrage have shown in their cause, but they have made little or no impression upon the male elector, who has, however, generally speaking, allowed himself to be interested and amused. The woman speaker in the street-corner was a welcome change from the ordinary open-air orator. These enthusiasts have been treated with kindly tolerance because the male elector has hitherto declined to take them and their demand at all seriously. While they have enlisted the support of many members of Parliament, there is a solid array of sound opinion outside, less vocal than weighty, entirely opposed to women's suffrage. It is well understood that many, perhaps most, of the members who vote for it rely, or once relied, on the House of Lords, or a saving sense of sanity in the public, to undo their deeds. They vote from complaisance, to redeem an election promise, from a desire to escape worry, from a general disposition to yield to anything in the way of pressure, and FRANCHISE AND REPRESENTATION 237 think little harm will be done. Women helped in their election, they must in tm'n help women. The question at Westminster, however, gains its interest from the peculiar way in which it cuts across the ordinary divisions of parties, and this cleavage, is reflected in the country ; and when the real fight upon this issue comes, if it does come, Conservatives may be seen rallying round Mr. Asquith, as Liberals have, in this behalf, round Mr. Balfour. Opposition to women's suffrage partakes of two characters. There are out-and-out opponents who stand by the sex bar, and there are those who would not be hostile if they could be persuaded that it was possible to stop at a restricted franchise, and that women would not also demand the right to sit in Parliament. It has been the aim of the more astute suffragists to capture moderate opinion, and their so-called " Conciliation" Bill ■' is put forward as a united demand of a moderate character. It is provided by this measure that every woman possessed of a household qualification, as defined by the Representation of the People Act, 1884, shall be entitled to be registered as a voter, and, when registered, to vote for the county or borough in which the qualifying premises are situated. The Bill denies women plural votes, a concession to Liberal opinion ; and it seeks to conciliate moderate opinion by restricting the franchise to those who directly or indirectly pay rates. It does not forbid the vote to married women, but prevents a wife exercising the franchise if her husband is registered as a voter in the same parliamentary borough or county division. By its supporters it is estimated that the Bill will enfranchise • House of Commons Bill, No. 6 of 1911. This measure differs from the " Conciliation " Bill of 1910 (No. 180), inrespectof its title, of the omission of the £10 occupation franchise, and of its treatment of married women. The title of the Bill of 1911 is so altered that amendments can be moved to extend its scope, and it restricts the enfranchisement of married women, in deference to the fear that "faggot " votes would be created, by preventing husband and wife from voting in the same constituency. (See Brailsford, " The Conciliation Bill ; an Explanation and a Defence," Garden City Press, Letchworth.) 238 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS 1,000,000 women,* and it is the outcome of a compromise both in respect of the qualification for the franchise, and in its treatment of married woman. Many, probably most, suffragists and their male supporters want adult suffrage, and have only accepted this Bill as a recognition of the claim of women householders to prior treatment. If it became law they would still press forward the adult suffrage solution, which would give between five or six million women the franchise — to which the moderate supporters of the present Conciliation Bill f would by no means agree. Opponents of the Bill naturally protest that it was not made an issue at the last General Election, and that the question has never been before the country in any real or effective sense. They object to so revolutionary a measure being passed into law without a definite demand from the people. They point out very properly that though the advocates of the Bill may declare it to be of a most moderate character, it is avowedly supported by many because it sanc- tions the principle of votes for women, and is a mere instalment of reform. The case of opponents would be practically lost if this principle were once conceded. They would have to fight extensions of the suffrage not on the principle that " votes for women " were inadmissible, but solely on the demerits of the particular measures of extension before them at the time, and their difficulties would be immensely increased by the fact that these measures would also deal with extensions of the franchise to men. There would in the future be no clear-cut * See Sir George Kemp's speech, House of Commons, May 5, 1911. Parliamentary Debates, vol. 25, p. 744. f It was read a second time in the House of Commons on May 5, 1911. The Government have promised facilities for the measure during 1912, a day for Second Reading, and a week for the Committee stage, with a fair chance for its promotors to overcome obstruction and make real progress, and a further pledge that the G overnment will not intervene at the end of a week if the House of Commons desires to proceed. (See Sir Edward Grey's speech at the National Liberal Club, June 1, 1911.) The position, however, is completely altered by the recent announcement of a Manhood Suffrage Bill. FRANCHISE AND REPRESENTATION 239 issue on the question of woman suffrage, and the country might find itself in the position of being governed by a majority of women before it realised the situation in which it stood, or the dangers to which it had become subject. Opponents of women suffrage, therefore, regard the " Con- ciliation " Bill as a transparent effort to obtain assent to a revolutionary principle by a thinly disguised pretence of moderation. They oppose it altogether, using in this behalf all the general arguments directed against the enfranchise- ment of women. However restricted the immediate effect of the measure may be, it involves a recognition of the principle of sex equality, which is opposed alike by Conservative and Liberal anti-suffragists as dangerous * and inadmissible. Plubal Voting. The Liberal Party is, however, united in demanding the abolition of the "plural vote." Residence not being a necessary qualification for the exercise of the ownership franchise, the possession of land of sufl&cient value qualifies the owner for a vote in every constituency in which he has property.! This situation arises from the traditional theory of the franchise that the ownership of land was the test of fitness to vote, which is entirely contrary to the contemporary popular claim that no man shall be denied a vote unless obviously dis- qualified, and that to give undue weight to the holders of a particular kind of property is indefensible. The position of * The arguments for and against women suffrage are set out in the summary at the end of this chapter. t In counties the ownership franchise may be freehold, copyhold, or leasehold. In no case is residence required. In boroughs the freehold ownership vote qualifies the owner for the county vote, unless the freehold is in his own occupation. In boroughs a copyhold or leasehold does not qualify the owner for the county vote, if it qualifies himself or any other person (i.e., his tenant) for the borough vote. The freeholder, copyholder, and leaseholder in boroughs vote in an adjoining county constituency : Surrey freeholders in the county of London in the Wimbledon division ; Maidstone freeholders in the Medway division ; Manchester freeholders in the Stretford division, and so on. This arrangement is denounced by Liberals, who declare that resident Liberal opinion is swamped by Tory " plural voters." 240 CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS the plural voter gives rise to certain anomalies, for since no man may cast more than one vote in any one constituency, a large landowner whose property is compact and all situated in such an area, has only one vote, while a smaller landowner whose property is scattered over half a dozen counties has half a dozen votes. Again, a City man may have one vote for his office, another for his West End house, and a third for his week-end cottage, though an entry on the ownership list does not necessarily indicate the possession of a plural vote, since the person whose name is entered may, of course, be resident on the property. Plural voting also obtains in respect of University seats. As a class plural voters have earned the bitter hostility of the Liberal Party, principally for the reason that they are suspected of being, and probably for the most part are, Con- servatives.* In 1906, by the Plural Voting Bill, and in 1909, so far as London was concerned, by the London Elections Bill, the Liberal Government tried to reduce the plural voter's qualifications to a single vote. The somewhat devious methods by which the result was to be attained lent colour to their opponents' allegation that they were solely seeking party advantage. Although both measures were rejected by the House of Lords, it is an indication of the trend of public opinion that the Peers did not attempt to defend the principle of plural voting,! but only declined to accept a Bill which merely dealt with one aspect and one branch of a great and complicated subject, and made no attempt to remove the glaring inequalities which exist in the distribution of electoral power. J * The Liberal Magazine (January, 1911, p. 665) estimates that " the property outvoter gives the Unionists at least thirty seats." In the same number statistics are given showing the plural vote in certain con- stituencies. See also " The Case for One Man, One Vote," issued by the Liberal Publication Department, 42, Parliament Street, Westminster, S.W. t So Mr. Balfour, when advocating the Eeferendum, said there would be "no plural voting," and he added that as a result of its adoption " the gross inequalities due to differences in the size of constituencies will be avoided " (The Times, December 7, 1910). I See Lord St. Aldwyn's motion, House of Lords, December 10, 1906, and the debate on that occasion. FRANCHISE AND REPRESENTATION 241 "One Vote, One Value." It would seem, then, that the life of the plural voter will not be prolonged beyond the introduction of a comprehensive scheme of franchise reform and redistribution. To the cry of " one man, one vote " the Unionist Party have very logically added the demand for "one vote, one value." Indeed, unless each vote has the same value the equality so ardently desired by real reformers is not secured. The real reformer, as dis- tinguished from the party gerrymanderer, demands equal electoral districts throughout the country, and would deal with the question of the plural vote as part of a great scheme, of which redistribution should be the chief feature. At the present time, in order to secure an indisputable expression of the will of the people, this is the one and only counsel of absolute necessity. It is a peculiarity of our electoral system that the basis of representation is not electors but population ; and as since 1884 there has been no redistribution measure, changes of population have produced most unequal constituencies. Some have increased enormously in size, others have declined, and an unequal distribution of electoral power is the result. One vote, indeed, may have twenty times greater value than another." The Need for Redistribution. 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