One Shilling net |[he Opportunity * of Liberalism By Brougham Villiers London T. Fisher Unwin Paternoster Square \jl c ■J THE LIBRARY OF THE UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES THE OPPORTUNITY OF LIBERALISM FEEE TEADE LITEEATUEE. THE STANDARD BIOGRAPHY THE LIFE OF RICHARD COBDEN. By the Right Hon. John Moklev, M.P._ With Photo- gravure Portrait from the Original Drawing by Lowes Dickinson. Jubilee Edition. Two Vols. 7s. the set. Popular Edition. One Vol. 2s. 6d. net. Abridged Edition. Paper covers, 6d. THE POLITICAL WRITINGS OF RICHARD COBDEN. A New Edition. With Preface by Lord Welby, and Intro- ductions by Sir Louis Mallet and William Cullen Bryant, and a Bibliography. With Frontispieces. Two Vols. Uniform with the Jubilee Edition of Morley's " Life of Cobden." Crown Svo, 7s. the set. BRITISH INDUSTRIES UNDER FREE TRADE. Essays by leading Business Men. Edited by Harold Cox, late Secretary of the Cobden Club. Second Impression. Large crown Svo. 6s. LABOUR AND PROTECTION. Essays by John Burns. G. J. Holydake, Seebohm Rown- tree, Mrs. Vaughan Nash, and others. Edited by H. W. Massingham. Large crown Svo, 6s. FOE THE MASSES. CORN LAW RHYMES, and other Verses. By Ebenezer Elliot. CK.th, 6d. ; paper covers, 2d. MR. BALFOUR'S PAMPHLET: A REPLY. By Harold Cox, late Secretary of the Coljden Club. Price 2d. net. THE POLICY OF FREE IMPORTS. A Paper read at Liverpool, on i6th February 1903, to the New Century Society. By Harold Cox. Paper covers, 6d. net, and id. COBDEN'S WORK AND OPINIONS. By Lord Welby and Sir Louis Mallet. Cloth, 3d. T. fisher UNWIN, Paternoster Square, London. THE OPPORTUNITY OF LIBERALISM r%M-^) ^ BY BROUGHAM VILLIERS LONDON T. FISHER UNWIN PATERNOSTER SQUARE 1904 ^7/ Eiirhis Reserved. PREFACE :2 This little book is not designed as a defence of Free Trade, <^ nor as an attack on the military and other follies of the ^ present Government. The Free Traders have easily held *■ their own in the recent controversy ; as, indeed, they could hardly fail to do with such a case. Their work could not have been better done, and to attempt any addition would be needless presumption. No ethical nor economic argument can avail to defend the misdeeds of Mr. Balfour's Ministry ; and if we had to wait for another Tory reaction like that which we have passed through until intelligent thinkers could justify it the prospects of continued progress would be bright indeed. But the final success or failure of any policy depends % less on arguments of this kind than upon the relative ^ strength of parties and groups, and of the unseen social *- and economic forces of which these are the visible expression ^and result ; upon forces, and not upon ideas. I have endeavoured, therefore, to analyse the social forces which rendered the long Tory reaction of the last twenty years possible. Unfortunately, I fear, they are all still in existence, and, this being so, the materials still exist out of which a similar reaction may recur so soon as the disasters of the last few years are forgotten. To render tliis impossible, the Liberal party, if, as seems probable, ^ it be given a lease of power, should use its opportunity © to remove the sources of the evil, or, at any rate, to weaken s^ them as far as possible. aHH(56.'5 Preface As indicated in the text, I consider the reaction was only possible because (i) of the apathy of the artisan class, caused by the fact that latter-day Liberalism has neither understood nor deeply sympathised with the pro- gressive ideals in which these people are now really inter- ested ; and (2) the existence of a vast class of voters, too poor and hopeless to have any political ideal of their own, and consequently ready tools for such men as Mr. Chamberlain, who can offer them excitement, at any rate. With a society containing such elements, the mass of reactionary^ vested interests composing the Unionist party have been able to do very much as they pleased. They have, fortunately, moved too fast, and have made the country realise the inevitable disasters, financial and otherwise, that must follow a continuance in the policy they have formed. The remedies suggested are at once an alliance, won by persistent and intelligent helpfulness on the part of the Liberals, with the alienated artisans, and the better- ment of the condition of the poorest so as to give at once hope in life, and better leisure for thought. Our present position is a just punishment for that indifference which thinks the physical comfort and proper education of any of its members can be neglected by society with impunity. To find a remedy for the evil of poverty, as well as for a certain instability in our economic position, I have been compelled to devote a considerable amount of space to the consideration of our vanishing agriculture. In advocating the taxation of land values, I do not wish it to be understood that I am in full accord with those who support this reform on the ground of any " natural right " of the public to the land. Forms of land ownership and any other property rights are to me justified purely by vi Preface the circumstances of the time, they are relative to the state of organisation in the nation. At present, private ownership stands in the way of a co-operative development better fitted to the circumstances of the time, and thus lacks the justification it may once have had. But co- operative and collective use of the land implies more than public ownership, it implies the socialisation of the capital required to work it, of houses and instruments of production. To put the Community in the place of the landlord is not enough ; the Community must be organised to admini- ster as well as to own the land. To do this it is necessary to enable the public to buy land whenever they have developed locally an organisation capable of using it ; it is of little avail, to hand it over to them when they have not. A tax on land values is useful as a means of getting a ready assessment of compensation for compulsory pur- chase. If any other method equally effective can be devised, I am equally willing to adopt it. Ardent Socialists will doubtless complain of the poverty of the programme suggested. Indeed, it is only a statement of the things that seem to me most urgent and most practic- able. A higher social life, however, demands a higher social organisation, and it would be difficult to over- estimate the importance of any tentative system which compelled people to work co-operatively, and to find their individual interest in that of the parish or the borough. As the roots of the grasses knit together the loose soil into firm and elastic turf, so the fibres of a complex co- operation, voluntary and official, must have time to grow, ere rural society can have the cohesion needed to bear a higher social order. The average man does not think outside of his social environment ; he learns his solid- arity by being compelled to live it. vii Preface It must not be supposed that I abandon any part of the democratic programme, however much I may think part of it unsuited to the present task of re-converting society to the progressive ideal. I had written a chapter carrying the " Possibihties of a Progressive Majority " further into the future, — the proposals here laid down are only adequate for the work of the first session or two, — but after finishing it, I felt that the result was too technical for a slight work like this. If, however. Progress- ives will grasp the fact that the beginnings of all reform are t(j be found in the Budget, I hope it will not be long before they will gain the real confidence of the people. When they do, they should at once take advantage of the position to complete the work of democracy, and grant the suffrage to ever}^ adult of either sex. This has always been a matter of justice ; Mr. Chamberlain has shown us that it is one of social necessity. I feel sure that if working men's wives could vote, food taxes would be impossible. The fact is that food taxes press almost exclusively on the housewife. Working men generally retain a certain amount of money for their own pockets, and hand the rest to their wives for housekeeping. A rise in the price of bread, unless very heavy indeed, would not decrease the former part of most men's wages ; and the task of adjusting the household economy to the change in prices would therefore fall on the women. It would be hard to imagine a worse calamity for the nation than a revival of the bread tax ; and in the interests not only of the women, but of the nation, we should grant full voting power to its most reliable opponents at the earliest opportunity. vni CONTENTS CHAP. PAGE I. The Great Reaction ....... i II. The Town Problem . . . . . . • 17 III. Anomalies of our Economic Position . . -32 IV. British Agriculture — Critical 41 V. British Agriculture — Constructive . . . -59 VI. Reactions and Anticipations . . . . -71 VII. Possibilities of a Progressive Majority . . -85 IX THE OPPORTUNITY OF LIBERALISM CHAPTER i THE GREAT REACTION' The fiscal controversy, so ^•ehement last autumn, forms, we may hope, the concluding chapter of a long Tory reaction through which this country has been passing. The indications of a Liberal and progressive revival are not few nor unimportant ; and any immediate victory for Mr. Chamberlain is now practically out of the question. Nevertheless his campaign of last year is highly instruct- ive. It is one phase, perhaps the last, of a much greater movement than itself ; a movement which, at one time, threatened to displace Great Britain from her honourable position as one of the leading progressive nations of the world. It would be a mistake to consider, because the Pro- tectionist movement was so suddenly sprung upon the country, that it had no connection witli the general reaction that preceded it. The general drift of things for twenty years back has been more or less in the direction of, and, if continued, must inevitably have led to, such a movement. Personally, I am inclined to think Mr. Chamberlain has unwittingly saved our Free Trade system, at least for a time. We were in greater danger of drifting into Protection, bit by bit, by means of Sugar Conventions and shilling Corn taxes imposed by sincere Free Traders, than we are of making so large a departure as that suggested by Mr. Chamberlain, with our c3'cs A The Opportunity of Liberalism open. But the military extravagance and the Imperi- alism of the last two decades, culminating, as they did, in the South African war, were rapidly bringing about a position in which Protection would be a financial necessity. Liberal Imperialists and earnest " Free Fooders " who are opposed to Mr. Chamberlain are like those who would call the tune, but object to pav the piper. They ma}'- now become aliv^e to the dangers of their policy, and if so Mr. Chamberlain has done good service. But it is well to regard his campaign as the logical development of a far larger general movement, the most striking feature of national politics for half a generation. Political movements and even the opinions of states- men have their roots in economic change. To most people Mr. Chamberlain probably appeared as a strong man shaping the policy of the nation according to his masterful will. Yet I believe that such an opinion is more than usually false in his case, and that his mind and polic}'' have, more than those of other men, been shaped by cir- cumstances. This arises at once from the strength and limitations of his political insight. Never a politician of philosophic outlook, Mr. Chamberlain has ever been deeply influenced by the popular feeling of the moment, a fact that is more than half the secret of his undoubted and dangerous popularity. For good or evil, he thinks and feels as the man in the street thinks and feels, and voices his aspirations for him in a manner thoroughly modern. He is among statesmen what the 5'ellow press editor is among journalists. The opinions of neither are of much account to the political student for their own sakes ; they are valuable only as an indication of similar opinions among the multitude to whom these leaders are psychologically akin. This was true of Mr. Chamberlain in his Radical days ; it is no less true now that he has become a Tory up to date. He early felt the influence of that re^'ived civic spirit which has since given us the triumphs of municipal socialism, while in his " ransom " period he showed a The Great Reaction feeling of that discontent that has at last given birth to the political Labour movement. Had he possessed the insight of creative statesmanship, he might then have obtained the leadership of the democracy ; but he never formed a constructive social policy, and the opportunity was lost. Again, when he was appointed Colonial Secretary, he soon felt the influence of the various forces then making Imperialism popular, and himself gained vast popularity by flying in the face of all his older teaching ; but he lamentably failed, in almost every instance, to understand the problems or the forces with which he had to deal. He could insult President Kruger, as he had formerly insulted the aristocracy ; but when he left the Colonial Office the position of the Transvaal Outlanders was certainly far worse than when he entered it, while the British hold on vSouth Africa was infinitely less secure. The history of the South African business is but a record of Mr. Chamberlain's miscalculations and mistakes ; but when he erred, he erred with the multitude, thinking as it thought, and acting as it would have him act, and the multitude forgave him as it forgave itself. Responsible as a Minister for all the mistakes of the Cabinet, chiefly responsible for most of its graver ones, Mr. Chamberlain alone among its members lost neither prestige nor popu- larity, because his mistakes were those of the people themselves ; his words, both in manner and matter, gave utterance to their very thoughts. Mr. Chamberlain the reactionary is, as was Mr. Chamberlain the Radical, a sentimentalist and not a thinker, — he is in touch with and swayed by the popular feeling of the moment. From his speeches it would be hard to glean one striking thought ; it would be easy to reap a vast harvest of popular ones. n Mr. Chamberlain contrived to be so long popular, it is because he had been travelling in the same direction as many thousands of lesser men. The average party man may regard the Liberal Unionists as renegades ; but if they are, the last twenty years have made thousands of the electors renegades also, A study of the results of each general election during that time shows that the 3 The Opportunity of Liberalism Liberals were losing, rclati\-cly to tlieir opponents, all along the line. It was not a mere " swing of the pendulum " — the movement was too steady and continuous for that. The Conservatives, long on the defensi\'e, became the aggressive and victorious part^^ Even if, as seems probable, the people punish the many errors of the present Govern- ment at the next General Election, the result should not be overestimated by wise men. It would prove that it is still possible even for a Tory Government to try the temper of the nation too far ; but it would not leave much hope that the steady alienation of the people from Liberal- ism, the most striking feature of the last twenty years, has ended. While the electors were thus, like Mr. Chamberlain, changing sides, they, like him, were steadily changing their outlook on politics. Imperial questions gradually replaced national ones. The people ceased to take much interest in their own affairs, and became greatly con- cerned about those of the Colonies and foreign countries. Mr. Chamberlain has overshot the mark this time, and the mistake may be the death of his reputation ; but unless we can stop the general tendency which is carrying the people along the line his bold spirit has so rapidly travelled. Protection will be heard of again some day, and some day it will succeed. Chamberlainism will survive Mr. Chamberlain ; it is a spirit he has expressed, but not created. The defeat of its leader will not destroy it in the nation ; for it can only be exorcised by another spirit greater than itself. The revolt of the Constituencies has put an end to any fear of an immediate return to Protection ; but it would be unwise to assume that this revolt is entirely due to the Free Trade opinions of the people. On the whole, perhaps, the Liberal revival has been more marked since Mr. Chamberlain sprung Protection so suddenly on the nation, but v.'e must remember that the revival had set in in a very marked manner before, and that such things as the Report of the War Commission and the proposal to re-establish slavery have appeared since then. In 4 The Great Reaction fact, general disgust with the Government seems the most important factor in the electoral successes of the Liberals, while the influence of the great personalities among the Unionist Free Traders has also much to do with it. We do not yet know the exact influence of the various factors at work against the Tories, but there are many. Without any threat of Protection, the wrath of the Nonconformists alone might have destroyed the Government. But from whatever cause, the immediate future is safe. Tliere is now no fear that the Tories will be strong enough for a number of years to carry Protection. The real danger lies deeper. Mr. Chamberlain, as has been shown, is a masterly exponent of the tendencies of his time, and the fact that in this case he has moved too rapidly is no proof that he has not correctly inter- preted the spirit of his age. With more moral earnest- ness and even greater ability, Mr. Gladstone, in like manner,, developed with the last generation, and ail who see in the recent Land Act a sign of the decay of anti-Irish feeling in this country, the beginning of the end of land- lordism in Ireland, and a basis for Home Rule in the near future, will not think his last departure any exception to this general truth. In fact, when he adopted Home- Rule, Mr. Gladstone did not mistake the trend of things — he anticipated its result. The Unionists have given to Home Rule the most effectual fillip it has ever received, by bu3'ing out its inveterate opponents, who alone could be relied on to give it a consistent resistance. Hence- iortli the question is merely one of party convenience, and the first Tory Government which needs the Irish vote will grant Home Rule under one name or another, even if the party accord the same measure as of old to any Liberal Bill on the subject. I fear it is the same with tlie Zollverein. Mr. Chamberlain has been the inter- preter of a mischievous and reactionary tendency, as was Mr. Gladstone of a progressive one ; each is the ex- ponent of the spirit of his age, and each is chiefly remark- able for expressing with the force of genius the ideas of the multitude in his day. It is this tendency we l:avc 5 The Opportunity of Liberalism to fight ; and in order tliat we may fight it effectually, it is this we must understand. Protectionists, advocates of '' Retaliation," Fair Traders, ct hoc genus oninc, are prone to point triumphantly to cer- tain mistaken prophecies of Richard Cobden. That they do so is a tribute to his greatness ; for who cares to rake togetlier the forgotten prophecies of the alarmed obscur- antists who opposed him ? Nevertheless, the robust optimism of the Free Traders went to strange lengths. In particular, they seem to me to have been mistaken •on two important points, and it is these errors that have left the way open for a revival of Protection. They :seriously underestimated the gravity of the danger from which their policy of untaxed bread saved the nation .at the time, while they equally overestimated the extent to which the people had mastered the economic doctrine of Free Trade. These errors gave them an undue con- fidence, alike in the permanence of their victory and its adequacy. When people talk of England being " converted " to Free Trade, I fear they show a lamentable misunder- standing of what actually occurred. No such thing ever happened. It is impossible to convert a nation to an advanced economic doctrine unless you first educate all the people in political economy. What actually hap- pened was something like this : the people had before them a manifest object-lesson in the evils of the bread- tax, they suffered bitterly from it, and determined to do -away with it. But the masses did not support the Anti- Corn Law League because they had read Adam Smith, but because they were starving. When, however, they were relieved from its oppression, the people felt deep gratitude to the men who had led the fight for the neces- sities of life, and granted them a leading share in political power. Then, there being no strong vested interests opposed, and the elasticity of the national income giving them the opportunity, the Free Traders in power removed other imposts which did not press so visibly upon the people. 6 The Great Reaction After that, national pride did tlie rest. People are only too willing to plume themselves on the superiority of their laws over those of other nations ; and so long as there was no visible difficulty caused by it, so long as we were far ahead as a manufacturing country of all others, our people were quite willing to pride themelves on their superior enlightenment as Free Traders. There being no serious competition in manufactured goods from abroad, people who had never read a page of Adam Smith, and who could no more have given an economic defence of Free Trade than they could have proved the theory of gravitation, accepted the one as they accepted the other — on authority. At this moment not one Free Trader — or Protectionist for that matter — in a hundred is so because he has honestly studied the question. Men call them- selves lifelong Free Traders who have not the slightest idea how to answer the veriest clap-trap of the pothouse Protectionist. They believe, as everyone but a specialist must believe, in economics or in other sciences — on author- ity. This may seem obvious, but Free Traders who are such by intellectual conviction have never, it seems to me, seen the fact clearly enough. We owe Free Trade not to argument, but to an object-lesson ; and the con- viction of the people, such as it is, is at the mercy of any other object-lesson which seems to them to point the other way. When they imagined, then, that the people had become converted to Free Trade, the heroes of the Anti-Corn Law League were unduly optimistic ; they were equally so in their anticipations for the future of the country under a system of free imports, without any further economic change. Most of us can remember the time when this country was in a sense the " workshop of the world," and when it was quite common to believe that such could be its permanent place in the economy of the nations. This seems so impossible an ideal now, that one feels im- patient with the optimists of the last generations who seem almost to have taken it for granted. Yet it is obvious enough that, in the long-run, each nation must come to 7 The Opportunity of Liberalism manufacture for itself a great part of the things its people consume. Wherever there is coal and iron — and in how many countries do these minerals not abound somewhere ? — they will, sooner or later, be developed, with all the vast industries which depend upon them. This will happen, in the long-run, even where the home Government does not create the industries before their natural time by protective duties levied at the expense of the general public. Manufacturers on the spot will always, other things being equal, ultimately beat those across the sea. There is not, and there never can be, a permanent "work- shop of the world," even if such a thing were desirable in the interests of humanity. With or without protective duties, a nation will thus in the long-run capture the bulk of its home market for itself, while, of course, no protective dutj?' can help it to capture a foreign one. Bounties may do this sometimes, but no nation is likely to carry the bounty system to any great extent. The Chancellor of the Exchequer will always more readily give ear to those manufacturers who propose import duties which, however injurious, are a source of revenue, than to those who advocate export bounties, which are an expense. Thus it seems clear that all civilised nations must tend to become industrial nations, as indeed they are doing. The rapid progress of industrialism abroad is the root cause of the Protectionist revival. Ev^erywhere reactionists have been able to appeal to the people with some success ; for, as we have seen, the nation as a whole has never under- stood the theoretic basis of Free Trade. I believe at the present moment, perhaps at any time during the last fifteen years, had the proposal for an import duty on foreign manufactured goods been put to the people as a direct issue, unobscured by any other, a majority could have been obtained for it. Of course it is impossible for anyone to prove or disprove this, while the experience of an individual goes for very little ; but I imagine the reader will bear me out when I say that most people, not students of economics, are very jealous of the quantity of foreign manufactured articles they see come into the 8 The Great Reaction country. I have hardly ever met a man, unless he were a student of politics, who expressed approval of our present policy as far as it affects manufactured articles. With food it is different. Here, indeed, the town populations are opposed to Protection, and the memory of the days of dear bread is still a potent force to stem reaction. This jealousy of foreign trade is a fruitful soil for the sower of Protectionist ideas. The " man in the street " sees the commercial supremacy of England rapidly vanishing away ; he sees the kind of argument he can understand — an object-lesson, and he turns eagerly to the person who comes forward with a specious proposal for dealing with the subject. Unfortunately, from the Free Trader- he gets, too often, no assistance whatever. It is impossible to explain the whole theory of economics to the average busy man, with his mind all untrained, as it usually is, to "scientific reasoning. The Free Traders, in fact, have generally little to say beyond the optimistic platitudes of the seventies. They treat the matter as though a policy of free imports were the last word in economics, a position almost as bad as that of the Protectionist. Emphatically, this attitude will not do. I am convinced that Free Traders must attain to a constructive policy, or in the long-run they will be defeated. The cause of the Tory reaction of the last twenty years is to be found in the fact that the progressive forces have surrendered the offensive, and have consented to adopt a defensive position. In all political struggles ultimate victory will rest with the attacking side ; and if reformers are content to allow men like Mr. Chamberlain to decide what questions shall be put to the electorate, while they sit still, or content themselves with resisting his crude proposals, there can be only one issue : we shall cease to be a progressive nation. Free Traders must provide their own better answer to the problems felt dimly by the people, or the answer of their enemies will be taken, however unsound it may be. All commerce is barter, and any nation that imports must of necessity have something to export in payment. 9 The Opportunity of Liberalism An}' nation, then, which, hke ourselves, depends chiefly upon other countries for its food supply, must either have an exceptionally good foreign trade for manufactured articles, an abundant supply of some raw material scarce elsewhere, or an unusually strong mercantile marine doing much more than its share of the carrying trade of the world. But whether artificially promoted by protective duties or not, every nation tends to provide the vast bulk of ordinary manufactured articles for itself. One country after another is developing its railway system, its coal measures, and its textile and metal industries. If a new nat'on wants capital, it will be readily provided by the investors of a more developed State, for capital is cosmo- politan. Capital once obtained, the same development goes on in each instance. One leading industry gets a foothold, and others rapidly follow. Factories for textiles attract the manufacturers of textile machinery, promote a demand for dyes, and dye-works arise on all hands ; require coal, and the mineral wealth of the new country is quickly developed. Meanwhile the makers of machines are not content to supply the cotton mills ; they tout for trade among the farmers, and supply them with agricultural implements specially designed for the conditions of the country ; they build the railway engines and cranes for the wharves and warehouses ; Ihey develop in every direc- tion in which steel and iron can be used. In an incredibly short space of time any populous country will pass from a purely farming to an industrial community. Sixty years ago modern industrialism was developed in England alone ; now not only have Germany and the United States attained to a manufactu ing greatness fairly rivalling our own, but Italy, Russia, even such lands as Japan and Servia, to mention only a few instances, are rapidly travelling in the same way. The process of economic development is everywhere the same. The capitalists of an old and wealthy industrial- ism invest money to develop the mineral or other resources of some poorer country. Capital is thus imported at first, and then there is for a time a brisk import trade lO The Great Reaction for implements of production, for capital travels across the ocean in the form of commodities. But the develop- ment has not proceeded far when this importation receives a check, and ships begin to carry back cargoes representing the interest and proiit of the investors. Ere long, as in the cases of Germany and the United States, the new industries are saturated with capital, and wealthy men exist, seeking, in their turn, opportunities to invest in likely countries more backward than their own. The exports now contain not only interest on money invested, but instalments of the principal also ; in short, the country has become capitalised, a nation with money to lend and not needing to borrow. Thus it is we find the Germans negotiating for railway rights in the East, the French investing millions in Panama, and, strangest of all, the United States, long a first class market for British invest- ments, forming and financing syndicates and trusts in the United Kingdom itself. Now, all this is in the interest of humanity ; but it destroys the hope of our own or any nation ever becoming the " workshop of the world." In so far as the Cobdenites failed to foresee this, they were wrong ; and it is well for their friends to face the facts and their consequences. In a dim way the man in the street, whose vote makes governments, does recognise them, and it is a hard trial for him. Two great nations, for long the foremost in the world, have had during the last generation to face the shattering of a national ideal by the despotism of fact ; and it has been a bitter experience for each. For centuries French patriotism centred round the military greatness of the nation, round the undisputed fact that France was the most influential power in Europe. But her greatness was largely due to the dis-unity of Germany and Italy, a thing which the forces of progress must one day or other bring to an end. Sedan ended French military supremacy for ever ; and however unworthy the purely military view of French greatness may have been, it is not to be wondered at that even a people that had so many nobler claims to the gratitude of humanity took the matter 1 1 The Opportunity of Liberalism deeply to heart. In the same way, British people have grown accustomed to consider themselves the leading manufacturing nation of the world. As the dis-unity of Germany left France the leading military power of Europe, so the discords of the Continent and the unde- veloped state of America gave England her exceptional start in the race of industrialism. But neither the one nor the other could last for ever. Both ideals were materi- alistic, and unworthy of the greatness of the nations which adopted them ; but we can hardly fail to sympathise with the disappointment of the millions in either country when their patriotic pride is dashed by the despotism of fact, while we certainly should allow for the political consequences of that disappointment. The unrest which such disillusions occasion prepares the ground for men like General Boulanger and Mr. Chamberlain. It creates that spirit of hysterical assertiveness which led France into the Dreyfus scandal, and ourselves into the South African war. Men wish to vindicate the national superi- ority over the foreigner in which they have long com- placently believed, but which they now suspect is threat- ened, and they have ready faith in anyone who suggests a method of doing this. That statesman who shares their discontent, who is nearest to the moral and intellectual level of the discontented, can readily work upon their passions ; they are in a mood to be deceived, not to criticise the deceiver. The basis of the feeling being essentially a revolt against fact, its victims are careless of fact. The attempts to hide the original mistake in the Dreyfus matter, and the unwillingness to face the magnitude of the war in which we found ourselves involved, are instances of this. Just as France, rather than face the truth that she was now merely the equal of several great Powers, could accept Boulanger on trust and at his own estimate, so, there is reason to fear, multitudes of Englishmen will be prepared to accept Mr. Chamber- lain's nostrums rather than admit that it is impossible for us to remain for ever the chief manufacturers of the world. 12 The Great Reaction The only way to prevent the British electors from seeking some foolish policy of '' Retaliation," or trying some quack method of retaining a supremacy that has gone or is going for ever, is to fill their minds with some more worthy ideal of national life. We must place before them some great constructive policy, based upon a sym- pathetic understanding of contemporary need. We must, in short, discover a policy and a method that will draw together the progressive forces of present day society, as Mr. Chamberlain has gathered together the reactionary ones. As he voices the discontent of the unthinking, and gains popularity by uttering in the face of Europe the anti-foreign follies which the average man speaks to his neighbour in the tramcar and on the street, so we must express the needs of the people in their soberer moments, evolve a policy that will remove some of the difficulties besetting their daily life, and draw to our side the multitudes who are incapable of breaking up the meetings of their opponents who do not go "on the Maffick," the patient, average English men and women not blessed with many ideas, but engaged in solving the problem of life in an honest manner, and not incapable of gratitude for help in their difficult task. But we must take a leaf out of Mr. Chamberlain's book. We must ally ourselves with forces, not merely with ideas, which, however excellent in themselves, are not forced forward by contemporary necessity. We must be as modern as Mr. Chamberlain, if we are to appeal as effectually to the progressive forces of modern life as he has done to the reactionary ones. The reforming party, at any time, is necessarily the party of ideas. It is well that this should be so ; but we should remember that ideas, even good ideas, are of two kinds — those that have contemporary vitality, and those that have not. To illustrate what I mean, take the Republican ideal. Probably thousands of loyal .subjects of King Edward would readily admit that there is no valid theoretic defence of hereditary rule. Yet there is no more stable institution than the British mon- ^3 1^ The Opportunity of Liberalism archy. The reason is that, whether monarchy be defensible or not, no man's practical liberty is a bit lessened by the rule of the present House. As long as this is so, the natural conservatism of mankind will preserve our monarchy against any amount of abstract republican argument ; for men will not sacrifice their ease for a theory, only to remove a practical evil which they feel. Yet whether the individual thing be good or bad, the abstract argu- ment against the monarchy is sound, or otherwise, as you will. The difference is that in the one case it arouses a responsive echo in the hearts of men, in the other it does not. As we have seen, it required an object-lesson to make the English people adopt Free Trade ; and probably the real reason why so few other nations have followed our lead is that no other country has been com- pelled to do so by an equally cogent necessity. Now the fault of reforming parties is their tendency to pursue dead issues as if they had contemporary vitality ; to advance proposals because of their theoretic soundness, without first considering whether they are practically necessary. This is an entirely fatal course. No institution can be attacked without arousing a very real party in its defence. The conservatism of human nature, to say nothing of the force of vested interests, will always make a good fight for anything established, even when it is not only theo- retically indefensible, but practically disastrous. In order, then, that reforms may be brought about, it is necessary to confront this real resistance by an equally real attack ; and this, as I have said, can only be done when the wrong to be righted is a practical one, felt widely, not merely a theoretical one, understood by a process of reasoning. King Edward understands his people, and those republican arguments are dead which a few rash acts of a foolish monarch could vitalise in a moment. Now the Liberal party during the last twenty years has delivered itself over to the enemy by electing to fight on dead issues. Until women realise more fully than, alas ! most of them do, the vital importance of politics to them, there are many electoral anomalies, but no loudly 14 The Great Reaction asserted grievance. When Roman Catholics could not vote at all, their religion was insulted ; when workmen could not vote, there was an insult to their class ; but mere inequality of electoral districts, or a slow system of registration, causes no bitterness of feeling, arouses no passion for redress. Disestablishment of the Church is attracti\'e to ardent Nonconformists, but is of little interest to the majority, growing yearly more indifferent to all the creeds ; Local Veto, with the idea at the bottom of it of ultimate compulsory total abstinence to all, is not attractive to a people nine out of ten of whom take alcohol more or less ; Home Rule is a reality to the Irish people ; it will not be so to their neighbours until Englishmen realise, by the dominance of the Irish party at Westminster, what it means to be ruled by another nation. All these things are open to the same objection — the}^ draw only a half-hearted advocacy, while they arouse a whole-hearted opposition. What- ever their merits in principle, not one of them is a political asset. The growth of society is not the work of statesmen, it is not caused by Acts of Parliament ; it is the work of the people themselves, solving the problems of life in the best manner they can, under pressure of contemporary social and economic needs. This, wise and enlightened Governments can render easy by removing obstructions and by granting judicious assistance ; but they can neither determine the direction of social progress at any time, nor create a form of progress not actually demanded by the conditions of the day. In order that statesmen may do even this, they must understand what direction con- temporary social progress is actually taking ; they must comprehend the problems of life with which the average citizen has actually to deal, and the manner in which circumstances are compelling him to solve them. They must, in short, be in touch with contemporary life, aware of its every movement, and in actual alliance with its forces. Programmes and ideas which are the remainder of an earlier generation, when the progress and needs 15 The Opportunity of Liberalism of society were different, are of no avail to a progressive party ; to attempt to base a policy on them is to court destruction. This is what the front bench of the Liberal party has done, and is, T believe, a root cause of the Tory reaction. 16 CHAPTER II THE TOWN PROBLEM The English working classes may be divided into three cleady marked sections. These are (i) the Town Artisans, mostly member of Trade Unions and Co-operators ; (2) the unorganised Town Workers, below Messrs. Booth and Rowntree's poverty line ; and (3) the Agricultural Labourers. These three divisions are in reality three great social classes, having little more in common than any one of them has with the middle class. They have as yet no basis for common political or social action ; and indeed the political and social outlook of each of these divisions is essentially d'fferent from that of the other two. That the great Tory reaction captured a vast number of working class vote -. goes without saying ; but I suspect these three divisions were influenced in various manners by the re- actionary movement. I doubt whether the town artisan has ever, to any great extent, voted Tory, unless there is, or has been, some quarrel between his own particular Union and the Liberal party. The Socialist propaganda has had its chief successes among the Trades Unionists, and the Unions are now strongly permeated with Socialism. It is probable enough that the Trades Unionists have become indifferent to Liberalism, and, in many cases, have ceased to vote at all ; but I do not think that, with the exception per] laps of the Cotton Spinners, they have ever largely voted for reaction. The fact is that the Trades Unionists are the most definitely progressive section of the nation. No doubt the delegates to the annual Trades Union Congress arc, on the whole, more " advanced " than the branches that B The Opportunity of Liberalism send them there ; but the}^ could hardly pass, session after session, such drastic proposals as they continually do, if their constituents objected very strongly to pro- gressive ideas. Nothing has been more emphatic than the action of the Trades Unions on the tiscal question. They have been virtually unanimous on the subject ; wherever the fiscal " reformers " have made converts, they have certainly not converted the Unions. It is the same in other things. At the height of the War fever the Con- gress passed a resolution condemning the war ; while it seems almost superfluous to say that the wliole Trade Union world is bitterly opposed to Chinese labour in the Transvaal. As far, at least, as the urban artisans go, it is an entire mistake to suppose that, because the Tory vote has increased and the Liberal one has declined during the last generation, that England has ceased to be progressive. The decline has been most marked in the large towns, is less in the small ones, and perhaps hardly exists at all in the countr}'. It is the defection of London and the larger cities that has given the Tory part}^ their long lease of power. Yet these very places, London, Glasgow, Manchester, Birming- ham, etc., where twenty years ago it was hardly worth while for a Conservative to run, have been taking the lead in a progressive movement, or series of movements, which have already done much to alter the character of British life, and promise to do much more. Along- side of the steady increase of Tory voters, has gone on the growth of the Co-operative movement, of Trades Unionism, and of municipal activit}^ Politics have played a smaller part in the lives of thousands ; and if the affairs of the nation have produced at times more excitement, the fate of parties has aroused a less steady and continuous interest than these things, of the very existence, much less the practical bearing, of which the Liberal leaders seem hardly aware. Nevertheless, these three move- ments and other allied ones have during the last generation created a new English c'\-ic and industrial life ; they have turned the lower, middle, and art'san classes from 18 The Town Problem a mass of individuals into an organised communit}' ; they have trained the people in business habits, have taught them to work together in various ways for a common end, and have created a new public spirit. Taken togetlier, they make a mighty force, which must shortly find its voice in the nation, and is at the disposal of any states- man who understands its needs and is willing to aid in obtaining them. The repeal of the Combination laws left the road open for the growth of Trades Unionism ; the position of the workman, left without capital to fight for his living among the blind forces of modern industry, compelled him to avail himself of the opening. Fundamentally, the basis of Trades Unionism is the same as that of any social insti- tution — the need for co-operation. Men found societies and impose laws because they have to — because only so can they avoid the weakness of the lower animals arrayed alone against the world. Thus they obtain opportunities for self-development impossible to pure individualism ; they become free by organisation and law. It is the same with Trades Unionism. The position of the unorganised worker, without capital and without friends, would be hardly better among the forces of modern life than that of the solitary outlaw among the woods. Men organise because they must, unless they wish to add to the numbers of the submerged tenth. The cause of Trades Unionism is not a double dose of original sin among the working class ; it is practical necessit}^ Driven by this necessity, then, men and women com- bined, and the result is that Trades Unionism has become an institution of the land, far more hrmly rooted than many an older one. It has assured, or done much to assure, for the Unionists at least a moderate standard of living, and it has given the working classes a number of experi- enced leaders, trained in the handling of concrete industrial problems, and educated in politics, at least from a labour point of view. But they have combined also for other purposes, and through the Co-operative movement have gained an insight into business, have freed themselves 19 The Opportunity of Liberalism from the credit system much more completely than wealthier people, and have accumulated funds to the amount of £25,000,000, earning a yearly profit for their members of over eight million pounds. These are great achievements ; but we have not exhausted their signi- ficance until we remember that, at least in the case of Co-operation, there is a cumulative rate of growth. E^^tend- ing as it does in every direction, invading yearly some new domain of productive industry, it would be difficult to forecast what may be the position of Co-operation twenty years hence. But while these voluntary associations have done much to develop the public spirit of the English working class, -another movement has been playing an equally important part in shaping the civic life of the nation. The Municipal Reform Act of 1837 was the starting-point of the public life of the modern town. The visits of the Cholera, which followed one another during the middle of last century, supplied the spur of necessity which seems needed to stimulate all human organisation. The new Borough Councils were faced with a formidable death rate, and, urged on by an alarmed public opinion, and under pressure from the Central Government, they applied them- selves to the problem of sanitation. Anyone taking the trouble to compare the death rates of the early part of last century with the tables for the present day, will recog- nise how well the work has been done on the whole. In spite of the horrors of our city slums, in spite of the wear and tear of modern life, modern sanitation has vastly increased the normal length of town life. The extension of the franchise to the workman left the way open for a further development of municipal life, while the application of electricity to tramways and the suspension of the hostile Standing Orders of the House of Commons, have enabled the larger cities to gain control of an important necessity of modern life, and rendered it probable that any future developments of electricity will fall under their control within their own areas. No one can forecast what this may mean ; but the desperate struggle of the 20 The Town Problem British Electric Traction Trust to retain the tramway- rights in large towns, shows how important those far- sighted capitalists consider the privileges which the towns have fortunately generally retained for themselves. But two at least of these mo\'ements, in combination the great progressive movement of the present generation, have gone about as far as they can in the present state of the law. The Taff Vale and other legal decisions have brought the Trades Unionists face to face with the fact that their funds are at the mercy of any indiscreet official. The Corporations find their projects of public service frustrated by the hostility of capitalist groups in the House of Commons, and rendered expensive by the necessity of appl3dng to Parliament on every conceivable occasion ; while those of their works which do not yield a revenue, such as sanitary and street improvements, have to be paid for by a most unjust system of rating. In either case a new and vigorous social development finds itself pressing against the laws and conventions of an older time. It is not merel}^ a clash of political creed and vested interest, it is a conflict of new and progressive facts with old and dying ones. Now the first duty of a really progressive party is to put itself in touch, both sympathetic and intelligent, with these growths of the modern progressive spirit. Such a party would recognise the immense social importance of the work they are doing, and would set itself to remove the legal and other obstructions which hinder them. It would deal with Trades Union law in such a manner as to place it at least on as good a footing as was intended by the legislation of thirty years ago, and as it was generally understood to be before the Taff Vale decision. It w^ould be prepared when opportunity offered to codify and improve the Factory laws, so as to enforce stricter regulations, especially in dangerous trades ; and it would extend the Workmen's Compensation Act to all trades. Nor would the course be less clear with regard to the City Corporations. These bodies have already done more towards the solution of many social problems than 21 The Opportunity of Liberalism Parliament is at all likely to do in fifty years. While the Central Government has been wasting public money in useless wars, and mismanaging the War Office in a way to bring on us the contempt of the world, the cities of Great Britain have been increasing their debts also ; but, and this is an essential difference, they have been rapidly adding to their assets. At the same time, they have been conducting, in a way strangely contrasted with the incom- petence of the Government departments, many business undertakings for their constituents. And they will do more. The Municipalities are making an attempt to solve the Housing problem, one of the most pressing practical questions of the day to thousands. The land round our great cities is a profitable field for speculators. The rapid increase in the population causes the land around the towns to rise steadily in value, and enables wealthy men to make fortunes by holding it back from builders until the necessities of the public compel them to pay a monopoly price. The effect on the health and happiness •of the people is disastrous ; while the fact that land thus held from its most ])rofitable use for speculative purposes pa3^s no rates, or only those paid on its rent for agricultural purposes, makes it easier to hold it for a rise in value. If Corporations were allowed to check these land specu- lations by levying rates on unoccupied sites, not only would our rating system be rendered just, but both the Corporations and private builders would be enabled to deal much more rapidly with the demand for houses. But, indeed, the Municipalities less need the help of Parliament than a cessation of its hindrances. The Central Government is a far less efficient governing body than any Town Council, even the most backward. It does not make for efficiency to compel a competent body of public servants to submit schemes which they have carefully studied out, and on which they and their con- stituents are agreed, to a partisan body like the House of Commons, whenever they want to borrow money. Surely the great cities of England, whose municipal government is the best feature of public life, may be trusted to manage The Town Problem their own affairs, without consulting on every point of any magnitude an assembly which can put no check on the wastefulness of the War Office ! English local government only requires freedom to deal with most of the problems of town life effectually ; but there is at least one which is beyond its powers. The very poor, those thirt}' per cent, who, according to Mr, Rowntree, are too poorly paid to secure enough food, and who live below the poverty line, are a different class of people from the progressive artisans on whose support the movements we have been dealing with lean. I greatly sympathise with these poor people, who have more humanity in them than their superiors allow ; but, as compared with the Co-operator, Trades Unionist class, they are a mob to an organised democracy. They are also a serious social and political danger. It was they who, assisted by well-to-do loafers, broke up the meetings of those who opposed the late war. Bitterly as they would suffer by a tax on food, it is they, if any, of the working class who will vote for Mr. Chamberlain ; for no progressive propaganda influences them, and they have no social centre except the public-house. They are recruited by the steady flow of country people to the towns, and by the unemployed among the artisan class. The thrifty workers are well aware of their needs, and are wishful enough to solve their problem, which adds greatly to the difficulties of their own position ; but no merely local organisation can undertake the task. Yet so long as a vast slum population exists, the organisation of the city community cannot proceed very far, and even the physical health of the people cannot be maintained. I am per- suaded that, if by removing the impediments that stand in their own way we regain for progress the confidence of the artisans, we shall have their hearty support in dealing with this more difficult problem. If we can do so, we shall not only do a great service to the community, but we shall dry up one of the main sources of the re- actionary vote, and so help to defeat Mr. Chamberlain. During recent years the work of Mr. Charles Booth 23 The Opportunity of Liberalism in London and of Mr. Seebohm Rowntree in York, has done all that the careful compilation of facts can do to enable us to realise the manner of life among the poor of our large cities. It is an appalling story they have told us, in whatever light we regard the matter. That, however careful they may be, one-third of our city popula- tions are so badly paid that it is impossible for them to buy enough of the plainest kind of food to maintain them in health, is a fact in itself not only to arouse the pity of considerate people for the victims of such poverty, but their alarm for the future of our race and civilisation. Before this terrible fact, rarely alluded to during the fiscal controversy except to make political capital for one side or the other, all other social and political problems, to my mind, sink into insignificance. The lives of men are so bound up with one another in the complex web of society, that it is impossible for social want or disease in any part of the body politic not, in the long - run, to bring ruin to others. The sons and daughters of our city slums will become the progenitors of the English men and women of the future, and will hand on, perhaps to remote ages, the diseases, moral and physical, acquired in their dismal surroundings. It is impossible that a nation, one-third of whom are habitually underfed, should long retain a leading place in the world. It is hardly less the interest of the community than of the individual, that each citizen should receive from childhood sufficient nourishment to maintain him or her in health. But if the physical health of the millions below the Trade Union and Co-operative level is so appallingly low, their mental poverty is no less certainly a menace to the nation. Mental poverty is, indeed, a general character- istic of modern British life. The culture of our ci\-ilisation, at its best, has made enormous progress since the beginning of last century ; but that century of progress has only served to emphasise a tendenc}-, in existence since the revival of learning, to divide society into two classes, a small one which has absorbed the new culture of science, and a vastly larger one, which, while failing to do this, 24 The Town Problem has lost the older, simpler culture of tradition. The rough, rule of thumb knowledge, wide-spread before the over-grown modern towns, has disappeared among a people whose lives are divorced from the fields ; the great musicians have developed their art, but, with few exceptions, the people know nothing of their works, and instead of their folk songs and dances, are left with the stupidities of the music hall and the barrel organ ; the deft handicrafts, which make the art of less advanced nations, have gone, and their places are taken by the products of Birmingham and the German toy-makers. In place of these, the people have gained just nothing. The mechanical civilisation, created by science and in- vention, surrounds them, and the uneducated masses, rich and poor alike, play their parts in it ; but they rarely understand more of it than is actually necessary in order to enable them to do their daily work ; and they are utterly ignorant of the thought and enterprise which have rendered this civilisation possible. In a less complex society this is not so. The civilisation of such a society is diffused, there is a primitive communism in ideas as well as in goods ; and more simple as the things of his age may be, the savage is an educated man in a sense in which not only the slum- dweller, but many a wealthy stockbroker, is not. The importance of all this to our present inquiry is the stupidity it engenders in the average mind. The modern man is not curious as the savage, and the explana- tion is not so flattering as he thinks ; it is less due to a growth from mental childhood than to a relapse into stupidity and self-satisfaction. He does not want new ideas, and, in consequence, he never gets them. He has no idea of the varied interest of the world in which he lives. His work is a matter of routine, calling into play but few of the powers of his mind, and the rest remain in a crude, undeveloped condition. The result is an utter inability to criticise for himself any political idea presented to him ; and he is ripe for Chamberlainism. No matter how self-contradictory a statesman may be, he is unable to detect him ; for he docs not carry in his mind the con- 25 The Opportunity of Liberalism tents of one speech in hearing the next, nor remember the absurdities at the commencement of a pamphlet as he surrenders to contradictory ones at its conclusion. Hence the deplorable intellectual confusion displayed by Mr. Chamberlain does not prevent his success. As long as a speaker is sufficiently cocksure of what he says to-day, it is mattcrless if he were equally positive to the contrary yesterday. All this is naturally especially true of the unorganised poor. To them politics, if they exist at all, are merely a form of excitement. Religion reaches them, if at all, through the Sah-ation Army, or some other body adopting more or less a similar method. These people can, most of them, read now ; but as the}^ cannot buy enough bread, they can hardly be expected to spend money on books. Their literature, as far as one can gauge it, is confined to cheap sporting papers, from which, at least, they can hope for the excitement of a successful " tip." The power to reason out a question is not with them. It would be unreasonable to expect it. Now the politics of such a class present peculiar features. Right through society there is a tendency for each class to have a policital attitude of its own. The House of Lords is predominantly Tory ; the middle class was, until recently. Whig, and probably is so yet. True, many middle class dissenters went over with the Liberal Unionists ; but they took their Whiggism with them, and imposed on Lord Salisbury's second Cabinet an essentially Whig <:haracter. Now that Toryism is showing its teeth, it is clear that large numbers of the same people are return- ing to the Liberal fold. In like manner, the Trade Unionist class is essentially socialistic in spirit, however much it may fear the name of Socialism. But all these classes are politically what they are by virtue of a certain amount of stability in their way of looking at things. Class interest at bottom determines their general attitude, and that attitude is a more or less consistent one. The ideas of a class permeate right through it ; they are communicated by the leaders to the rank and file by means of organised 26 The Town Problem agencies. The press, the platform, and the pulpit form the opinions of the classes to which they appeal ; and in any stress of political conflict, each class will come out on one side or other fairly consistently. But the very poor have no organised opinion, no stable view of politics. To them politics, if they appeal at all, must appeal as everything else does, as a primitive emotion, rather than as an intelligent body of thought. They have no ordered and consistent thought about anything ; for to them life is a grim struggle with the desperate facts of poverty, alternating with some crude excitement. Hence they can be appealed to only by the demagogue ; the man who comes to them with the most startling idea is most likely to obtain their support. Whether this idea is a piece of flamboyant jingoism or a revolutionary appeal against the t3a-anny of the rich, will be determined by circumstances ; but until we can absorb the vast masses of our city population who are too poor to organise, and are almost outside of the social machine, their existence will be a menace, justly merited by the neglect that has permitted it to exist, to the body politic. I am exceedingly anxious at this point to avoid mis- construction. Organised society has, I am convinced, deeply wronged these people ; and in the fact that they are politically incompetent I see no special blame to them as a class, but the inevitable consequence of social disease. Individuals are virtuous or vicious, perhaps, by their own special fault, but classes never. It is as certain as can be, that had the members of the House of Lords been born in the slums, they would have grown up, those of them who survived, into an average assortment of the slum class. One or two might have risen above their surroundings, but it is morally certain they would not, on the whole, ha\T differed very materially from any other equal number of men placed in similar circum- stances. Some of our learned professions, art, literature, and science, demand a certain amount of selection, some moral or intellectual superiority above the average, as a condition of entr}', so that the same would not apply 27 The Opportunity of Liberalism with equal force in their cases ; but the a\-erage gentleman, middle class man, artisan, or semi-Hooligan, is so by virtue of the accident of birth and rearing. Only this way can you account for the fact that nearly all country gentlemen are Tories and believe in the Land laws ; that nearly all lower middle class men are convinced that the backbone of the country is its commerce ; and that the artisans, more justly, have a marked tendency to idealise the work- ing man. But liowe\-er little they may themselves be specially to blame, it is true that the votes of the poorest class are not and cannot be intelligently given. In times of agita- tion they will go in the lump to the side that makes the most noise ; for, though unorganised, they are subject to the laws that go\'ern the psychology of crowds. When there is no special excitement, they will probably take little interest in any election ; indeed, it is probably partly due to their abstentions that municipal elections draw so much smaller a percentage of the voters than Parlia- mentary ones. Even then, however, there will be a certain tendency for the slum dweller to follow the politics of the nearest public-house. The history of the French Revolution shows how devoted and dangerous they may become when animated by a democratic ideal ; while we have had recent evidence how readily they can be made the tools of rampant militarism. The career of Mr. Chamberlain shows the roughs of Birmingham equally willing to riot in his favour in the name of democracy or Empire. It is a great political danger to have one-third of our urban population in such a mental and moral condition as this. Such a fact should be matter of the gravest concern to men of all parties ; and the levity with which Mr. Chamberlain, whether he was Radical or Tory at the time, has connived at and even encouraged the passions of the mob, is one of the worst features of his political career. No true friend of the people can derive much gratification from the mere conversion of these poor people to his own side in politics. Such a thing may 28 The Town Problem happen any day, and the vote of the shims may become, in a moment, a revohitionary instead of a khaki one. But even so, it would be dangerous. Revohitionists, as we know, of this kind can destroy, but they cannot construct. On whate\'er side they are, the very humanity in these poor people is likely to lead them into dangerous error. The story of battle and heroism arouses their sympathy and stirs their blood. Incapable of following the movements of statesmen critically, they back their own side, as the primitive savage backs his, without mis- giving and without counting the cost. War gives to them something of the excitement of the public-house ; and much as I hate the passion of jingoism among those to whom fortune has given the education and opportunity to think, I recognise that a slum " on the Maffick " was a thing far less degrading to human nature than the calculations of financiers or the plots of statesmen. The one was less degraded because less selfish. The ignorant lodger, or poor uneducated workman, rioted and got drunk because it was the only way he knew to express his sym- pathy with the manhood of his own side. Of the heroism of the Boers he knew little ; of the strength of their case, nothing whatever. For him we may feel pity, and even see in his errors a perverted evidence of his innate humanity, even when we have nothing but contempt for the scoundrelly Stock Exchange gamblers to whom vv'e owe the tragedy of the South African war. At present the poor are an asset of the Tory party, and their numbers are sufficiently great to hand the boroughs over to it in the absence of any very decided Liberal faith on the part of the organised workers. This latter does not exist ; and except to turn out some specially objectionable Government like the present, I am con- vinced the Trade Unionists will never again vote for the Liberals until that party has learnt to understand them and their work, and has proved itself a thorough-going and reliable friend to it. Pending that, they have formed their own party, the only reasonable course for them to pursue. 29 The Opportunity of Liberalism The unorganised workers can only be permanently won for progress by being absorbed into a class having a definite and stable political idea of its own. The j)olitical menace of their class is the direct result of their condition, and can only cease with the permanent improve- ment of that condition. Then, indeed, they will naturally take a political complexion, and evolve political ideals of their own, and the day of the demagogue will be over. To sum up this chapter. The Liberal party, if it is to retain the confidence of the progressive elements in the nation, must be prepared to put itself vigorously on the side of Municipalism and Trades Unionism. Its leaders must recognise that both these agencies are doing work of first class social importance ; that the preservation of a large part of our population from the mere degradation, physical and moral, of the unorganised, is due, in the main, to Trades Unionism and Co-operation ; and that this work is not merely in the individual interest of these members of trades and Co-operative societies, but of the general public, and of the stamina of generations yet unborn. They must realise, as only some of them have realised hitherto, that the municipal developments of the last generation have been among the most progressive features of modern life ; and that in the extension of the powers of Corporations to acquire land for better housing, to rescue public enterprises from private control, to enlarge their open spaces and to find work for the unemployed, lies always the true way of progress. On all those issues that divide " Progressive " and " Moderate " Trades Unionist and Free Labour man, they must recognise that the true interest of society is with the former and not the latter. Hence it follows that they must realise that under- feeding and poverty are evils, not only to the immediate victims, but to the whole of society. They must come to understand that an unorganised population is an anti- social population, a public menace. They must therefore, as far as the central power of the State can do so, be prepared to facilitate the absorption of the great population below the poverty line in the better paid classes above it, and 30 The Town Problem this both for social and pohtical reasons, ^^'hat Parhament can do directly in this matter is perhaps very little ; but it can do much to free the hands of other agencies. This the Liberals can do easily, as I hope to show ; and this they must do if they wish to increase, and not to lose the present wave of popularity which seems so likely to carry them into power. CHAPTER III ANOMALIES OF OUR ECONOMIC POSITION I BELIEVE that, were it not for the problem thrust upon them by the vast population living below the poverty line, the inhabitants of our towns could solve the other difficulties now confronting them with but little direct assistance from the State. Given a considerable enlarge- ment of the powers of Town Corporations, especially in the matter of acquiring land compulsorily at a fair valuation, and an adequate amendment of Trade Union law, the three great agencies of modern city life, the Local Governing Authority, the Co - operative Society, and the Trades Union, are quite capable of solving the legitimate problems of a city population. That the Corporations are hampered by inadequate powers and the Unions by recent judicial interpretations of the law, are hindrances to their efforts which it is needful to remove ; but, given their removal, I think these agencies are adequate, on the whole, to provide scope for the progressive spirit, for a good many years to come, were they only faced by what I may call legitimate difficulties. By a legitimate difficulty, I mean one imposed on a community by the course of progress within that community itself. The progress of invention, in any city or State, causes changes in employment, forming often a workless class. The natural increase of population raises again the question of employment, and makes necessary new housing accom- modation. In places which, for any reason, become more prosperous than those around them, there is in addition a healthy influx of outsiders, who come to share in that prosperity, and prevent the advantages of the city or State becoming a monopoly. With the problems raised 32 Anomalies of our Economic Position by these means, a healthy social organism should be com- petent to deal, as they arise. Destitution, insanitary areas, overcrowding, and similar social evils, should, in this case, not occur. Either by civic or co-operative effort, a strong public spirit, such as is now growing in our towns, can deal with these things, always provided the extent of them is reasonably limited. But when, for any reason, a community of limited size is called upon, not only to deal with its own social problems, but those of much larger external communities also, the thing becomes very different. The natural in- crease of a people, the steady immigration from prosperous communities to others yet more prosperous, can be dealt with because the scale of the increase is moderate, and the rate of it is steady enough to allow of the growth of agencies for dealing with it. But when, through very extensive poverty and industrial decay in the larger world around it, a community receives a more rapid influx of new inhabit- ants than it can accommodate, the problem may easily be beyond its strength. Under such circumstances, a destitute population, such as unhappily exists in all our towns, may spring up, and may rapidly grow too big for any local effort to handle. This is what has happened. The organs of the social will within our towns, seeking the progressive improve- ment of their peoples, are paralysed by the enormous mass of poverty thrust upon them by the decay of British agriculture. Trades Unions, fighting to maintain a decent standard of life, are crippled by a vast mass of unorganised labour hungering for employment on any terms ; rate- payers willing to provide public employment for a reasonable number of capable unemployed, and relief for their own aged or infirm poor, cannot be induced to sanction such a rate as would be needed to provide for thousands de- moralised by hardships to such an extent as to be most ineffective labourers. Nor could they if they would. Any English town prepared to make the sacrifices needed to provide adequately for the poor now within its borders, would be instantly flooded with the wreckage of all its c The Opportunity of Liberalism neighbours eager to avail themselves of its generosity. The problem of poverty-, in fact, is too wide for local dealing ; national action is necessary if the thing is to be done at all. Now the chief reason, perhaps, why this problem of poverty has grown so unmanageable is the decline of British agriculture. Every year thousands of English- men lea\'e the fields for the streets in search of something to do, at whatever rate of pay. In face of the enormous problem created by this influx, local effort, as we have seen, is helpless ; and even if we gave to the Municipalities all the powers they ought to have, I do not think they would be strong enough to deal with it. Each social problem is connected with every other by invisible cords, so that none can be considered fully alone ; and thus it is that the problems of the city are connected with those of the village. Before, however, I deal with the problems of Country life, it is desirable to make clear a national question, arising out of the peculiarity of our economic position as a nation largely living on imported food-stuffs, sent, to a great extent, as payment of interest on investments abroad. I have pointed out how unjustified the early Free Traders were in their assumption that this country could be a permanent " workshop of the world." Our tem- porary position as such was due to special causes which have passed awa\^ and the pre-eminence is passing with them. The effect of our exceptional lead is, however, not yet exhausted ; we still possess a marvellous export and shipping trade, while we have still a most exceptional power to import. So great is this, that we are still able to import nearly half our agricultural produce from abroad, in addition to a vast import trade in other goods. In this we are exceptional ; no other nation can draw such a tribute from the outside world. Now, there is no need for special anxiety about this — the fact that it is so has saved us from national disaster ; but it is desirable to remember that our financial position is as exceptional now as our industrial one was formerly, when we were 34 Anomalies of our Economic Position the workshop of the world. I do not beheve in the per- manence of any exceptional position in national affairs. To do so would be to repeat, with less excuse, the mistake of Cobden. We may rest assured that, however circum- stances may favour one nation for a time, what I may call the normal equation in the foreign trade of each land will in the long-run tend to assert itself. What I mean by the " normal equation " is this. As we have seen, all commerce is barter, and in consequence any export implies an import of equal value, and vice versa. Normally, then, when we allow for the fact that imports are generally reckoned at the freight paid price, and exports at the price free-on-board, the exports and imports of any nation will be nearly equal. When this is not so, some abnormal factor exists, which disturbs the normal equation. Now, this is notoriously not the case with our trade. We import far more than we export, even when the £90,000,000 a 3'ear earned b}/' our shipping is taken into account. The reason we are able to import so largely is also well known ; it is, that we are the largest creditor nation in the world, just as we were once virtually the only great manufacturing nation in the world. In fact, we are still in an abnormal position ; and it is this abnormal position which, however long it ma}^ take, I feel assured we must some day lose. We draw an enormous tribute from those nations that are still behind us in industrial development, in the shape of interest and dividends on our foreign investments, and this tribute reaches us in the form of goods. Thus it is that we are able to import so much of the produce of the soil in other lands. We are de- pendent on our position as the leading creditor nation for our food supply, just as in the early days of Free Trade we de- pended on our manufacturing supremacy for the same thing. Now, as already said, I do not believe that this state of things can be permanent anymore than the former. Nations have been compelled to borrow mone}^ of us, and to allow our capitalists to exploit their resources because of the scarcity of capital within their own borders. But this relative poverty of other States tends to disappear as their indus- 35 The Opportunity of Liberalism trialism progresses. The United States is no longer a good market for British investment ; and, indeed, as Mr. John Hobson has recently shown, the new Imperialism of the States is due to the fact that they, too, have be- come over-capitalised, and have money to invest abroad, France and Germany are in a like position — they, too, are seeking investments in the poorer parts of the earth, and no longer depend to so great an extent as formerly on British capitalists. The same thing must ultimately happen elsewhere. The development of industrialism in each nation must bring into existence ere long a capitalist class ; and as that class grows, there will be an increasing supply of capital, a tendency to fall in the relative demand for money, a reduction in the current rate of interest, and a movement to repay or commute for cheaper loans the debts both of the State and of individuals. In point of fact, where our investments are good, we shall ultimately get our money back ; while, of course, our bad invest- ments will not yield a permanent tribute of interest. Save in so far as the tendency for men who have made fortunes in the United States or the Colonies to settle in England and spend their money there, counteracts the general rule, we cannot depend upon this country retaining for ever its position as the home of capitalism. Yet we are dependent upon this interest tribute almost as much as we are upon our prominent position as a manu- facturing people, for the fact that we alone of all nations practically obtain half our food-stuffs from abroad. I have tried to show that the means whereby we com- mand this are in their nature temporary ; and if our inability to supply ourselves with home-grown food is temporary also, it is manifest that the nation is working towards a distant but no less certain crisis. If we cannot draw a large tribute of interest from abroad, nor command an exceptional hold on foreign markets, one of two things must some day happen — either we must level up our agriculture to supply the population with food, or b}^ emigration or otherwise the population must fall to the limit of the food supply. 36 Anomalies of our Economic Position Now, to place a tax on foreign foods is merely to make a distant crisis an immediate one. In itself it would do little or nothing to increase the home-grown supply of food-stuffs ; and its sole effect would be to transfer a large amount of money from the pockets of the poor to those of the landlords. Such a tax would be both a folly and a crime, and might very easily lead to a revolution, indeed that might not be the worst thing that could happen as a result. There is little reason to suppose that the total yield of our land is less now than it used to be. It is true that Great Britain now supplies far fewer people with corn than it used to do, and that the wheat area is steadily decreasing ; but it does not follow from this that the total produce of the land is less. Very little decent land in England is left unproductive, and what has been going on has not been so much a reduction in the total yield of the land, as a change in the kind of produce raised. Free Traders are, of course, perfectly right in contending that the rise in the price of food due to an import duty would amount to the taxation of the consumers for the benefit of the landlords ; it would be quite ineffective in increasing the produce of the land. This cannot be douQ without a new method of agri- culture ; and this in turn can only come with the end of the power of English landlordism. The produce of the earth cannot be increased so indefinitely as that of manufacture ; but the extent of possible increase is very imperfectly understood in this country. We support a population of three hundred to the square mile, and are compelled to import half our food-stuffs from abroad. By more intelligent cultivation of the soil, the people of Jersey are able to maintain a population four times as dense, and yet export food-stuffs largely. Belgium is almost independent of the foreigner, yet the population of Belgium is considerably denser than our own. Nor are these places blessed with a more fertile soil. That of Belgium is not prolific, while, according to authorities quoted by Prince Kropotkin, that of Jersey has practically been made by human industry. The seaweed cast upon 37 The Opportunity of Liberalism the island has been used to supply natural deficiencies, and Jerse}^ naturall}' in-fertile, is one of the most prolific places in the world. Now, while we may riglitly protest against the consumer being obliged to support English agriculture by an artificial inflation of prices, we should obviously be pleased to see the home farmer able to compete successfully in a free market with the foreigner. This at present he notoriously cannot do. The Essex farmer, close to the finest market in the world — that of London, is being ruined by the American, who has to ship his corn across the Atlantic ; we buy our butter and eggs, not from those who are nearest to us, but from Denmark ; our apples come from France, and our garden stuff from Jersey. There is evidentlv something wrong here. Other things being equal, the producer nearest to the market should always do the most profitable business ; and even if they could not supply the whole of our demand for food-stuffs, our farmers should at least do a \'ery profit- able business in what they do produce. The fact is, that just as in the early da3'S of our in- dustrialism our manufacturers were able to take the trade from the handloom weavers and other craftsmen of the Continent by virtue of their more modern methods of production, so the foreign producer of food-stuffs is beating his English rival in our own market because of his more flexible and in\-enti\-e methods. He moves with the times ; and the time of our English system of large tenant farms, with its rotation of crops, its cultivation by the plough, and individualism, is passing away in favour of small allotments, intensive culture, and co-operation in distribution. While the rest of the world is applying much capital and labour to small areas, in order to raise heavy crops, we are star\-ing the land of both labour and capital. In fact, while elsewhere agriculture is progressive like everything else, here it is conservative. The early development of British industrialism and our policy of Free Trade have brought for English agriculturists the finest market for food-stuffs in the world to their very doors. It is not onlv a large market, but a steadilv expanding ^ 3S ' Anomalies of our Economic Position one ; and they ought not only to have thriven by it, but ought, by more modern and efficient methods of production, to have retained virtually the whole of it in their own hands, without the aid of any protective barrier except that which nature has placed round us — the sea. That they have failed to do this is a far more severe condemna- tion of our land s^'stem than any that can be drawn from the theories of land nationalisers. If, in practice, our system of land tenure worked well, we might laugh at the logic of " Social Statics " and " Progress and Poverty " ; the fact that it is a practical failure condemns it. The task before us is to free the village as we have freed the town, to extend the powers of the Parish Council so as to enable it to acquire land, whenever the people wish to do so, and apply it to any method of small or large culture, of individual or co-operative management, w^hich the initiative of the people may suggest as most productive. At present, unless where there is a sufficiently philanthropic landlord, it is impossible to substitute any new method of culture for that of landlord, large tenant farmer, and wage labourer. And even with the most enlightened land- lords, anything the}' may do is vitiated by the fact that their schemes are not the natural outcome of the villagers' own enterprise, but are imposed on or granted to them by an external patronage. Allotments can generally only be obtained at a very much heavier rental — often five or six times as heavy — as ordinary farms ; while any permanent improvement of the land, or any large increase of production, involves through the workings of the law of economic rent an increase in that charge which deprives the enterprising tenant of the fruit of his labour. Laying down as a first principle, then, that we should learn to co-operate with the living progressive movement in our large towns, strengthening the aim of Trades Unionism as a beneficial social force, and extending the powers of civic Corporations to enable them to deal in the same effective manner with the Housing problem as they have already done with Sanitation and other matters committed to them, we find that these forces require more effective 39 The Opportunity of Liberalism help to enable them to deal with the vaster problem of Poverty. That they should have this help is necessary, unless we are prepared not only to acquiesce in the poverty and degradation of one-third of our city population, but in the continuance of a serious menace to our political and social stability. Modern civilisation has created a monster, which may be in favour of reaction or of revolution, but cannot be expected, in either case, to assist the steady forces of social betterment. Again, we find that the decay of British agriculture has been a great, if not the only cause of the growth of this poverty-stricken city class. We see that, owing to our exceptional position as the leading creditor nation of the world, this decay of our agriculture has not prevented us obtaining an abundant supply of food, in the form, to a large extent, of interest on foreign investments. But we have seen reason to doubt whether our position in this matter can be permanent, and to believe that, apart from its bearings on the problem of poverty, a revival of British agriculture is a national necessity. I purpose in the next two chapters, then, to deal some- what fully with the Country problem, after which I shall be free to deal with an aspect of the question, generally too much ignored by reformers, the practical and constitu- tional difficulties of drastic reform, at the same time endeavouring to show a method by which they may be overcome. . . 40 CHAPTER IV BRITISH AGRICULTURE — CRITICAL The growth of society is normally a slow process, and the reactions caused by such changes as do go on take place easily and without visible disturbance. Every new development in one thing, even then, causes numberless ad- justments in many others ; yet in such times these things go on, not without individual tragedies, yet without social catastrophes. Men fairly quickly adjust themselves to slow and regular modifications of their social environment, with- out any very sudden changes either in their conduct or characters. It is otherwise in times of revolution, industrial or political. Then men and classes are suddenly forced to deal with circumstances to which previous experience is no guide. The problems of the new life are too vast for sudden adjustment, and we have, alongside of things modern and effective, survivals struggling for existence in an environment unsuited to them. Sudden changes of this kind may bring undeserved poverty, or equally unmerited prosperity, to a class or individual. In the former case, as we know, the victims will suffer terribly, as the handloom weavers did at the Industrial Revolution ; in the latter there will probably be a certain amount of demoralisation, due to the temptation unexpected and unearned wealth gives to extravagance, and a tendency to shirk accustomed duties, now that an easier manner of life has become possible. The industrial revolution brought such a crisis to the agricultural interests in the eighteenth century. For ages the slow growth of the population had been met by an equally slow growth in the produce of the soil, chiefly obtained, not by improvements in method, but by enlarge- 41 The Opportunity of Liberalism ment of the cultivated area. Towards the end of the century, however, this method of enlarging the yield of the land had almost reached its limits ; and at the very time when the sudden impulse given to the urban populations by the extended introduction of machinery increased the demand for food beyond all previous experience, all that was most valuable in the old common lands had been appropriated b}^ the landlord rulers of the nation. For years Britain had been a corn-exporting country, with a limited demand for food-stuffs from the farm, and, probably, next to none from the garden. For we must remember that, two hundred years ago, probably nine people out of ten grew their own fruit and vegetables. Even in the mediaeval town there were good garden spaces, while the custom in most parts of England has always been to allow a certain amount of garden ground with ever}^ farm labourer's cottage. It will be safe, therefore, to conclude that the greengrocer's trade is largely a modern one, and that ordinary vegetables were not sold to any great extent before the development of the large manufacturing towns. One of the first effects of the industrial revolution, with its rapid creation of an urban population entirely dependent upon outside for its food supply, was to give a tremendous advantage to the English country landlords. The demand for corn, and, to some extent, that for meat,, increased rapidly. The landlords suddenly found them- selves living by a commodit}^ of which there was a scarcity rather than a surplus ; and the British export trade in corn and wool rapidly disappeared. Landowning became more profitable than it had ever been ; and it would perhaps not be too fanciful to attribute the extravagance of the Regency to the suddenU-acquired wealth of a class whose ancestors had confined their displays to the society of the country. In the new inventions, the landlords, as a class, had no part ; but, through the increased demand of corn, they now gained a great one in the profits of them. This they proceeded to enjoy in the way of idlers in all ages. Though the landlords had thus done nothing to in- crease the value of their lands, they, no doubt, enjoyed the 42 British Agriculture — Critical steadily increasing income from them ; and, not being a class very mentally alert, probably expected their good fortune would go on for ever. This could not be, how- ever ; and it was not long before a new factor appeared on the scene. The steady improvement in the British corn market at last attracted the foreigner, who began to pay for the goods he was buying from our manufac- turers with corn, sold in competition with the English farmers. From this point it was no longer possible to raise rents with every lease without some artificial assist- ance. There were two ways in which the competition might be met- — by an improved method of agriculture in England, or by keeping the unwelcome foreign corn out of the market. The Tory landlords, then dominant in British politics, are not remarkable for political insight or economic knowledge, and they at once adopted the more obvious course to them — they put a heavy import duty on corn, and kept the monopoly of the English food market for themselves. The Whigs and Tories exchanged economic creeds ; and just when the former were out- growing the mercantilist economy, their opponents adopted it as the main plank in their politics. I am not sure that from a purely class selfish point of view they could do much better. The whole system by which they lived was, in reality, threatened ; and in order to make this country grow enough food for the great increase of population, a totally different system from that of which the}^ formed a part must be introduced. Science and invention had invaded manufactures, and were indefinitely increasing their productivity ; but only by abolishing the mediaeval S3'stem of apprentice, journey- man, and master craftsman, which was unsuited to the new era. In like manner, science and invention could only operate to produce a similar increase in agricultural production by completely breaking up the method of landlord, large farmer, and labourer, which had survived from older times in the countrv. The Corn Law was a clumsy expedient ; but, for a time, it made the landlords wealthy at the expense of the nation. 43 The Opportunity of Liberalism Yet, had it been elastic enough to adapt itself to the changed conditions, the general increase of wealth and population had brought to British agriculture not destruction, but an opportunity. That was happening to it on a large scale what happens to the village shop- keeper on a small, when his village suddenly develops into a fashionable watering-place. Very possibly the event destroys his business ; but only if he is unable to adapt himself to the new conditions. He is the first man established there ; and if he really realises that his many new customers will not be prepared to content them- selves with the narrow- choice of goods that suited his old ones, that he cannot long keep up the high rate of profit to which he has been accustomed on his small sales now that there is a possibility of much larger ones, he may do a vastly greater business than before. But if he cannot get out of his accustomed method, he will soon be driven to the wall by more enterprising strangers ; and, though the trade done in the place be greater than ever, his share of it will disappear. Agriculture has at all times been essentially conservative; and perhaps it was only in the nature of things that the English agricultural interest failed to avail itself of the great opportunity presented to it by the expansion of the industrial market. The landlords were supreme in Parliament, masters of one House, and nearly masters of the other ; and they had a resource open to them denied to our old-fashioned shopkeeper — they could pre- serve the market from outside competition by clapping a heavy duty on wheat. By this means they made it pay to plough up much land, thoroughly unsuited to the purpose, for wheat. Of this Mr. Rider Haggard gives a striking instance. The farmers of Hampshire, in the days of dear corn, thus treated the Down lands, which then made excellent pasture for sheep. When corn fell again, it became necessary to replace the grasses. But, as Mr, Haggard tells us, this could not be done. " Once destroyed," he tells us, " the Down grasses cannot be replaced, at any rate for generations." Hence one of 44 British Agriculture — Critical the results of tlie old Corn Laws has been a permanent injury to this excellent pasture land. But the injury of the Corn Laws did not end here. They gave the land- lords more extravagant ideas of li\'ing ; and, aided by the development of the railway system, alienated them more completely from the soil, making London, rather than the county town, the centre of their social life. Again, to some extent, industrial expansion brought in a new set of landlords, who had bought land at an artificially high price as an investment, and who were little disposed to accept the amount of rent the land could afford to bear when unsupported by Protection. Meanwhile, the British agriculturist did little to develop the opportunity afforded him in a really intelligent manner. The market for the product of the soil had not only increased in size, it had, through the vast increase of the class who had no garden ground, or places to keep pigs and poultry, altered much in character. The British market was no longer one for the farmers only, but for the farmer and market gardener combined. While, again, it was a larger market, it steadily tended, just as did that for manufactured goods, to become a cheaper one. It was an age of enterprise, of science and invention, where in everything, old metliods and old appliances were being superseded by new. Business prosperity was impossible except at the price of an endless adaptability, and of this neither the farmer nor the landlord showed any signs. Further, the market had ceased to be local and individual, and had become national and social. The development of the railway system had really rendered the local market, with its farmers' carts, an anachronism. The day was no longer for the individual selling in small quantities and in the market town the product of one farm, but for the large dealer, operating on a central exchange, or for the Co-operative Association, selling the product of many producers, where it could be quitted to the best advantage. There was one direction, however, in which the landlords moved with the times. I have said that the railway 45 The Opportunity of Liberalism system tended to alienate the landlords from the soil. In older days, the landowner was an integral, perhaps an indispensable, part of rural society. The greater part of his life was spent on his estate, all of it, perhaps, except when he was a very rich man, or a member of Parliament. He was the leader of county society, the administrator of justice, and the general ruler of country life. He was, indeed, a social fact, an integral part of society, with functions with which rural society was not then sufficiently developed to dispense, and, as such, entitled to his toll on the produce of the land. The growth of the railway system and the development of modern life tended steadily to alter this. The centre of the modern landlord's social interests was removed from the county town to London ; the increase of general education fitted his social inferiors more and more to fulfil his magisterial duties ; and the same cause, combined with the extension of the franchise, freed the country from dependence on his services as a legislator. Everything, in fact, was tending to make a rent-receiving class more purely parasitic ; till, if such a class were ever necessary, it has now ceased to be so. Sporting has tended to be more and more the sole country interest of landowners ; and even the evolution of sport shows how parasitic the landlord class is becoming. The shooting-party, covering the ground itself, gives way to the battue, with beaters to drive the birds ; the country eleven, of which the Squire and his sons were active members, and which they financed, is now carried on by the locals themselves, while the Squire pla3'S for the county, or tours with the I Zingari or his old school-fellows. The divorce between the landlord and the village is becoming year by year more complete. These changes in material fact have their moral re- actions. The Village, no longer the centre of the landowner's interests, and left to its own devices, is compelled to take the first steps towards organising society for itself. In many districts this was to be seen first in the desertion of the Parish Church, controlled by the Squire and the Vicar, for the Methodist Chapel, ruled by the villagers themselves. 46 British Agriculture — Critical The increasing materialism of the landlord order, and the centralising of its interests on outside affairs rather than those of the estate, tends to aid this development by depriving the clergy of their most potent all}-, who could add to the shadowy penalties of another world material inconveniences in this. The Village is driven to organise its own athletics, with the aid of a subscription, but with no active assistance, from the landlord, and does so on a democratic basis. The lesson is valuable, and the Squire becomes less and less an object of reverence every day. Less and less is he an integral part of rural society, the loss of which would leave a sensible gap in the life of the Village ; and more and more is he a mere rent-receiver, a tax-gatherer, whose disappearance would be a welcome relief. Now I am not, as the reader may think, at all inclined to blame the landlords for this. In so far as they have deserted the onerous life of village patrons for the more pleasant one of gentlemen of leisure, they have merely obeyed the dictates of ordinary human nature, which impels men to live the most pleasant life possible to them. To this the development of modern life opened the way, and the landlords naturally availed themselves of it. I believe the idea of " doing their duty by the land " has been strongly felt by most landlords ; but the attractions of modern life are too strong for this old-world sentiment, and a landlord's " duty to the land " becomes, generation by generation, less a duty to the land and its people, less social, and more mechanical. The ideal life of Sir Roger de Coverley becomes less and less adequate for the iiner natures, the rusticity of Squire Western less attractive to the coarser. London can provide ampler opportunity at once for benevolence or dissipation than Sweet Auburn ; and everything draws the country gentlemen to London for society, and to the Scots moors or even the African forests for sport. But however natural, this divorce of the gentry from the soil has an inevitable consequence ; it renders the class divorced a purely parasitic one, whose continuance in the long - run is impossible. With the 47 The Opportunity of Liberalism absence of the Squire disappears his influence ; with his function, his necessity. But if the landlords naturally modernised their way of life so as gradually to escape the duties of feudalism, they could hardly be expected to realise that the new movement must ultimately strike at its privileges also. Yet it is a law of nature, both in biology and sociology, that if an organism cannot throw off its parasites, it must die ; and when the social function of the gentry ceased, and landlordism became parasitic, the continued existence of it could only be maintained at the expense of British agriculture itself. The landlord and tenant fanner, between them, have indeed been engaged in preserving an anachron- ism — the system of the eighteenth century till the dawn of the twentieth. In an age which constantly tends to enforce co-operation, their agriculture has remained individualistic ; under circumstances demanding a steadily increasing application of capital and labour to a given area of land, they have starved the land of both ; when no industry could live, except by the greatest adaptability and the constant application of new methods, they have continued stolidly conservative. It could not be otherwise, for any class naturally struggles for self-preservation, and the system by which these men lived did not admit of the alterations necessary, without the virtual disappearance of one or both classes. As I have said, the tendency of the age is towards co-opera- tion. This takes place either by the concentration of capital into large joint -stock companies and ultimately into trusts and cartels, or by the public action of men through their governing bodies and Co-operative Associa- tions. But the normal British farm was of a size suited to neither of these, which experience has shown to be the most economic forms of business under existing con- ditions. The average farm is large enough to enable the farmer to keep his own horses and trap, to own his own agricultural implements, and at least attempt to dis- tribute his own produce ; but it is not large enough to let him do so economically. The quantity of his produce 48 British Agriculture — Critical is not sufficient to enable him to make a good bargain with the railway company for taking it to market, but it is sufficiently large to relieve him of that absolute com- pulsion which would make an allotment holder combine with his fellows to make a collective bargain for their joint product ; large enough to take him into market with his produce every week, but not large enough to enable him to open a store for its advantageous sale. There are few enough farms to allow each farmer to live without actual manual work as a superintendent of the labour of others ; but too many to allow of each manager being an expert of the calibre of our great captains of industry. In fact, the British farm is a bad economic unit, a survival of the time when it was more in harmony with its surroundings than it is to-day. It is even worse, when we consider the way in which the land has been starved both of labour and capital. The application of the law of increasing returns to agri- culture varies with the circumstances of time and place. When land is practically unlimited, far from the market, and nearly valueless, the best returns should be obtained by spreading a given amount of capital and labour over the largest possible area of land. This is the principle adopted on the Bonanza farms of the United States ; but there, according to Kropotkin, their system is gradually giving way to more intensive methods, as the area of valueless virgin land decreases. With valuable land, nearer the market, however, the exact contrary is the rule. Here it should not pay to save capital and labour at the expense, inevitable in such a case, of a reduced yield per acre. The nearer to a city, the more like a garden should the land naturally be treated ; we may be sure, if in the neighbourhood of dense populations the land is not cultivated to its utmost extent, then something is wrong, either in the men or the system responsible. Yet this is just what we see in these islands. Year by year the town markets grow vaster in extent, and provide more tempting opportunities to the producers of all sorts of commodities. True, the progress of civilisation tends D The Opportunity of Liberalism to reduce the prices of most things ; but that is only because civiHsation is in most things progressively more effective in reducing the cost of production. What is true of civilisation in most other industries, is true also in the products of the soil. Here cheaper transport, improved appliances, scientific methods of culture, and, perhaps greatest of all, co-operative methods of distribu- tion, more slowly, but no less surely, decrease costs ; and, while the increase of demand widens the market for producers, prices are cheapened to consumers. The yield of British agriculture has not been increased to meet this growing demand, nor has the cost of production been adequately reduced. Hence it is that we hear wailing about agricultural depression, and Mr. Chaplin cries out for the obsolete weapon of Protection to defend that which, if carried on on modern lines, could protect itself. Again, the root of the evil is to be found in the defence of a system which we may suppose to have been suited to the social environment out of which it sprung, but has become unfitted to modern conditions. The tenant farmer, faced by foreign competition, finds his greatest outgoings in rent and labour ; and when competition reduces the price of his commodity, he struggles to recoup himself at the expense of the landlord and the workman. Creditably to the landlords as men, but, I think, on the whole disastrously for the nation, hitherto he has been very successful in obtaining reductions in his rent. Land- lords have repeatedly, often when unasked, made reduc- tions of rent in bad times ; and the effect has probably been to make tenant farmers, as a class, rely upon these concessions to get them out of trouble when in any pre- ventible or unpreventible way they have got into it. Landlords, finding their estates less remunerative than of old, have turned to other means for improving their incomes, and the farmers have been enabled a little longer to keep up the struggle, and farm in pretty much the same way as their fathers farmed before them under different con- ditions. In their struggles to keep down the labour bill they have been equally successful, if in a different manner. 50 British Ao^riculture — Critical By abandoning wheat, and laying their land down; for permanent pasture, they liave driven the great bulk of the labourers off the soil into the towns, being responsible thus for a great deal of overcrowding, low wages, and unemployment. Next to low prices, rent and wages are the bugbears of the farmers. Accustomed for ages past to supply a small population with cereals and meat only, they have never realised that there are other customers for the pro- ducts of the soil than the miller and the butcher. There- fore the increasing English demand for eggs is supplied by Denmark, and the London market for vegetables is captured by Jersey. The neighbouring island of Guernsey supplies the same city with cut flowers ; while even Belgium, peopled twice as densely as this country, can not only maintain itself, but export provisions to England. I will now make a short comparison between our agriculture, carried on under an effete land system, and some which have been evolved under the stress of modern life itself — that is, which are fitted to the conditions under which they have been evolved. I will begin by quoting from Mr. Rider Haggard's Rural England the history of a Wiltshire farm of lOO acres. "In 1812," says Mr. Haggard, " it was sold for ;^27,ooo. . . , Time went on, and again the farm came into the market, on this occasion in 1892. Now it sold for ;^70oo, a drop of ^£20,000 on the glorious total of eighty years before. When our host built it twenty-seven years ago he paid £600 a year in rent, and £196 a year tithe. In 1901 he paid 1^250 a year rent, and the landlord pays the tithe. So far as I can see, therefore, after he has discharged all the customary outgoings with repairs and sundries, that gentlemen must be fortunate if this property puts £100 a year into his pocket. Even on a purchase price of £7000, plus the cost of the new house which he has built for the tenant, this return does not seem encouraging to such as contemplate investment in Wiltshire acres." This may be compared with the instance, given by the same writer, of the sale of 2i|- acres in Jersey for ;^576o for agricultural purposes, and his statement that land in 5^ The Opportunity of Liberalism the neighbourhood of St. Peter in that island is worth about £225 per acre. Yet Wiltshire is not further from the London market than Jersey, if we remember that that island is not easy of access for ships, and the climate is no worse, while the soil is probably equally good. The difference is that between an effective and ineffective system. Let us turn now to another writer, equally interested in the problem, though of a very different school. Prince Kropotkin tells us, in Fields, Factories, and Workshops, popular edition, p. 59, that " (i) If the soil of the United Kingdom were cultivated only as it was thirty-five years ago, 24,000,000 people instead of 17,000,000 could live on home-grown food ; and that culture, while giving occupa- tion to an additional 750,000 men, would give nearly 3,000,000 wealthy home customers to the British manu- facturers. (2) If the cultivable area of the United Kingdom were cultivated as the soil is cultivated, on the average, in Belgium, the United Kingdom would have food for at least 37,000,000 inhabitants ; and it might export agricultural produce without ceasing to manufacture so as freely to supply all the needs of a wealthy population. And finally, (3) if the population of this country came to be doubled, all that would be required for producing the food for 80,000,000 inhabitants would be to cultivate the soil as it is cultivated on the best farms in this country, in Lombardy, and in Flanders, and to utilise some meadows, which at present lie almost unproductive, in the same way as the neighbour- hoods of the big cities of France are utilised for market- gardening. All these are not fancy dreams, but mere realities ; nothing but modest conclusions from what we see around us, without any allusion to the agriculture of the future." Now let us compare some English land, worked and held on a different system from our ordinary one. I am indebted again to Mr. Haggard. The land in question is the Rew Farm at Winterhouse St. Martin, near Dorchester, which in 1888 was sold in allotments of one to nine acres each. So far from poverty and depopulation in this case, the result of the experiment was highly satisfactory ; 52 British Agriculture — Critical and we owe something to Sir Robert Edgecombe, the en- lightened landowner, who made it. This is what Sir Robert at the end of his report tells us. " When I bought the farm the farmer dwelt on it with three labourers and a boy — a population all told of 21. The population on the farm now is close on 100 ; and this number is likely to be further increased, as more houses are to be built. The area of the parish of Winterhouse St. Martin is 3546 acres. Rew Farm is a fair sample of the pasture and arable land of which the parish consists. When I purchased Rew in 1888, its outgoing tenant was in financial difficulties, and could not make it pay. He was rented on an old lease at £240, but the general opinion was that the farm could not be let for more than £200. Since that time the rateable value of the parish has steadily declined, while the rateable value of Rew Farm has steadily risen. In 1888 the rateable value of the whole parish was £28oy, and now the rateable value is £2073, a fall in fourteen years of 20 per cent, in value. In 1888 the rateable value of Rew was £215, and to-day it is rated at £346, a rise of 60 per cent." I should like to point out the direct bearing of this on the present fiscal controversy. The tenants of Rew Farm compete in the same markets, and sell at the same prices, as those on other farms in the parish ; yet they grow richer and prosper, increasing the population till it has multiplied nearly fivefold in fourteen years. Obviously there is no agricultural depression, and no need for Protection with them. It is therefore not British agriculture, but the British agricultural system, that demands Protection. If we were to penalise ourselves thus artificially to make the present system profitable again, we might preserve it a little longer ; but the fields of England can be made profitable to the cultivator without any such sacrifice. Even if we were disposed to submit to an increase in the price of bread for the sake of preserving our country population, we can hardly be expected to do so to prevent the substitution of an effective for an effete system. But the Rew experiment shows clearly that the Protectionist 53 The Opportunity of Liberalism movement amounts to nothing more than this. It is not social, but class interest to which, here as everywhere, it appeals. Again, and before passing on, I may note the significance of this object-lesson on the general social problem. By supporting — and profitabl}^ — a hundred people on the soil at Rew, instead of a smaller number who were losing money, a check w^as put to the rural exodus, and a new home market created for our manufactures, without anything being added to the cost of living in our towns. It will be part of my task, later on, to develop these reactions on the general social problem of the towns ; for the present it will be enough to call the reader's attention to them in passing. But though, perhaps, more prosperous than those on arable lands, British dairy farmers have been very hard hit by foreign competition, and are also crying out for Protection. Here, perhaps, we have most to learn from Denmark. Let us first take the broad facts of the case. Denmark is a small country, not differing very widely in climate, and probably, on the whole, rather less fertile than our own. For purposes of our argument, then, Denmark is not unlike an equivalent area of England, very unfor- tunately situated as regards some of the English markets, and not very convenient for any. Yet no portion of these islands of similar size commands anything like the amount of British trade in dairy produce that Denmark does. There seems no reason in the nature of things why Yorkshire or Devonshire should not do proportionately as well ; but the fact remains that prices at which the Dane prospers ruin the Englishman. If there be no reason in the nature of things, however, there may be and is in the system under which the two sets of dairy farmers compete. To quote from the EncyclopcEdia Britannica : — " During the last forty years of the nineteenth century, dairy farming was greatly developed in Denmark, and brought to a high degree of perfection by the application of scientific methods and the best machinery, as well as by the establishment of joint dairies. The Danish Government has assisted by 54 British Aorriculture — Critical o granting money for experiments, and by a vigorous system of inspection for the prevention of adulteration." The Government has also developed a milk post, by which the milk supply of the country is collected and sent to market cheaply, thus avoiding the expense incurred in this country by every individual farmer sending his milk to the station in his own cart, and perhaps delivering it to customers himself in the town. The " vigorous system of [inspection " mentioned above has had the effect of gaining for Danish butter an exceptionally good name in England, so that it can always command a better price than any but the best fresh butter in the English markets. To what extent the Danes live by their dairy and egg trade with this country, the statistics of their exports show. There are practically no manufactures in Denmark ; and the great majority of Danish exports consists of this class of goods to Great Britain. The reason, as shown in the above quotation, is the superiority of their system. Not only is the industry fostered by Government aid and inspection, but the methods of Danish dairy culture present other striking contrasts with our own. There is a systematic education of the people in scientific dairy work. According to an article in the Fortnightly Review (vol. xlix. p. 707), " Agricultural Colleges are numerous and well attended ; professors of agricultural chemistry and of the science of husbandr}^ are active as lecturers, busy in the wide diffusion of their knowledge. . . . After 1870 the agricultural Societies went so far as to send instructors from farm to farm to teach the people, and their instructions were gratefully welcomed." The land is not only differently cultivated, it is differently held from ours. Whereas here increasing quantities of land are yearly laid down to permanent grass, in Denmark only one-fifteenth of the total area is so treated, most of the rest being in crops under rotation, chiefly, no doubt, growing food-stuffs for cattle. Again, the English landlord and tenant method has been almost entirely abandoned. Seventy-two per cent, of the land is owned by peasant farmers, while such landed 55 The Opportunity of Liberalism gentry as are left are practically, all of them, active farmers, making their living off the land itself. Danish dairy farming is successful, in spite of the sea, in our markets where ours fails ; and it is successful because it is better educated, because there is a co-operative organisation for the economical delivery of its products, and because it is conducted by men whose enterprise is not cramped by the knowledge that, if they become prosperous, their profits will be taken from them by a rise in rents. I do not believe that the Danes are men of superior natural aptitude for dairy work to ourselves, Denmark is certainly not a richer pasture country than many parts of Great Britain ; and the marked difference in the success of the two countries must be found in the varying factor, not in the constant ones, not in race or climate, but in system. There is an inherent conservatism in human nature, which compels men to pursue the methods and believe the creeds of their fathers until they are driven from them by the stress of circumstances. This conser- vatism is, perhaps, strongest in the country, so that agriculture moves more slowly than other industries, at any time. Again, the interest of an established class will, as we have seen, always impel it to fight for itself. It is no wonder, then, nor should we blame them, if the landlords and farmers of England are slow to alter their methods in accordance with modern requirements. The changes required would upset all their established ways of life, and strike at their existence as classes in the com- munity. Their system cannot adapt itself to the new conditions, only a new one can do that. No longer will the land support three rents, one for the owner, one for the farmer, and one for the labourer. The nations which are driving us out of our home market pay no such charges for superintendence and rent. Differing in many things, evolved by the peculiar and differing circumstances of each country, agriculture is either coming into the hands of great capitalist undertakings, where one expert manages a great area, or into those of small cultivators, working themselves, and depending on some co-operative arrange- 56 British Agriculture — Critical ment for the distribution of their produce. The present race of farmers cannot welcome this, because it means their supersession by the working small holder or the expert. Any class naturally struggles to maintain its financial and social position, and one can fully sympathise with the farmers' attempt to do so, even while seeing clearly that such an effort could only succeed for a time, and might, as indeed it is doing, result in the destruction of agriculture altogether. Nor can the landlords, as a class, be fitted into a better system. It is not so much the actual amount of rental, now largely reduced, that they draw from the soil, it is that the law of economic rent renders the adoption of improved methods impossible, so long as the results of such improvements will go into the landlords' pockets, rather than into those of the men who make them. We must remember that it is only in the country, whose staple industry is declining, where the landlords are losing rent. So soon as any land is wanted for factories or building sites, it immediately becomes valuable. The landlord does nothing ; but, in selling his ground to the builder or the manufacturer, he is enabled to take toll, before anything has been made, of their future earnings, in the shape of an added price for his land. It would be the same if we had a better agricultural system. The profits of the new method would be exploited by the landlords ; who would secure the increment due to more advanced husbandry in the form of extra rent, leaving the tenants poor as before. Under these circumstances it is not surprising that British capital is not attracted to farming. Not only so, but until recently the capital invested by new tenants had practically no security, but permanent improvements made by the farmer and left on the land became the property of the landowner at the close of the lease. They were of no profit to the outgoing tenant, but could be used to increase the rent paid by the incoming one. In addition to this, there are evidently great, though somewhat obscure, difficulties in the way of dividing English farms among small holders. Land let out in 57 The Opportunity of Liberalism allotments, even now, commands higher rents than when divided into large farms ; and it is rather difficult to account for this being so, for the fact that few landlords do thus subdivide them. Farmers, however, are very jealous of any system that relieves the agricultural labourers of dependence on themselves. The allotment labourer is in a comparatively independent position ; and landlords are frequently deterred from letting allotments by fear of the objections of their farmers. A slight increase of income, obtained by letting off one farm at a higher rent to cottagers, would not compensate a large landlord if all the farmers on his estate took umbrage at the change. In selling land to allotment labourers, also, a curious diffi- culty arises. Most large estates are mortgaged pretty heavily. Landlords are not able to pay off these mort- gages except by selling land in large lots at a time. To cut the land up into parcels, and sell in detail, is therefore impracticable. It is, however, signiiicant that there is, in the South of England at least, such a demand for small holdings, like those of Jersey and Denmark, even in these days, when good large farms go a-begging. 58 CHAPTER V BRITISH AGRICULTURE — CONSTRUCTIVE English land reformers may be divided into two classes, for the old cry of "' free trade in land " is now practically dead, namely, those who advocate what is known as the " Single Tax," and those who desire the purchase of the land by the State. Each of these schemes is supported by the authorit}' of a great name, and the active propaganda of a distinct society. I am convinced, for my part, that we shall never get either one or the other. The followers of Henry George, w^ho propose to confiscate rent by taxing land values to the extent of twenty shillings in the pound, are simply advocating what the British people will never do. The same applies to any wholesale scheme of land purchase by the State, as advocated by Dr. Alfred Russel Wallace, in spite of the Irish Land Act of last Session. People who argue that private property in land is essentially worse than any other form of property, can only carry conviction to ethical and economic theorists, that is, to a very small minority. We may have revolution- ary Communism or Anarchism on the great scale, because these ideas are primitive, involving in themselves no critical demand on the intellect. The simple craving for brotherhood and equality reappears in all ages among the simplest, while Tolstoi has learnt from the most ignorant peasantry in Europe his ideas of the inherent evil of all authority. But the logic by which Herbert Spencer and others have divided private property in land from property in capital demands a critical faculty, and it can never be so universal. All such reasoning belongs to the sphere of the political student alone ; it can never persuade the vast majority to undertake or permit any great revolu- 59 The Opportunity of Liberalism tionary scheme. Land purchase will, I am persuaded, never be attempted in a wholesale way in this country ; and if, as I believe, land is to become social property, it will become so in detail, each acre being purchased for some definite purpose, and each acquisition will be accompanied by the socialisation of an adequate amount of capital to develop it. But there is another subtler objection to these pro- posals which renders them, even if they were tried, likely to be failures. It was an old idea of the individualist Radicals, that private enterprise is in the nature of things more successful than public. Men, it was urged, work best when working for themselves, public bodies are apt to mismanage things, and socialistic schemes fail because of the lack of incentive to enterprise. No doubt it was easy enough to find instances in favour of these ideas, just as it would have been easy to point to failures among private traders, or, as Socialists have since been able to point to, successes. Corruption in State departments and in public bodies is no new thing ; and all large under- takings which must be governed by bureaux, whether public departments or railway companies, tend to red- tapeism. But the true state of the case is, that the superi- ority of public over private enterprise, or the reverse, is determined, not on a priori grounds, but by the state of development in the organisation of the particular industry in question, and by the public spirit, or lack of it, among the people. The public enterprise of a nation is the outer manifestation of its collective enthusiasm, and the extent to which it can be carried on at any given time successfully is determined by this moral factor among others. Thus the vulgarity of our modern town life, public and private, is a reflex of the lack of aesthetic culture and enthusiasm among the people. It is the outward and visible sign of an inward lack of grace. The public enterprise of Athens, with its splendid developments in the drama and in art, was only the outward manifestation of an equally splendid civic spirit. Societies, though infinitely complex, are governed bv ordinary natural law. Where a woman 60 British Agriculture — Constructive takes a deep interest in her house, not only will the ordinary- work of it, the cooking and absolutely necessary cleaning and mending, be carried on promptly and well, but many other things will be undertaken for pure delight in having things " nice," which a less enthusiastic housekeeper would neglect altogether. The general appearance of the house, the quantity of things undertaken, and the thorough- ness with which they are carried out, are, other things being equal, indices of the spirit of the woman herself. It is the same in the work of a community ; according to the volume and quality of its public spirit is the quantity and quality of its public enterprise, A growth of the civic spirit not only manifests itself in the more thorough performance of accepted duties, but in the rapid develop- ment of new public enterprises hitherto unattempted ; for the new spirit reveals itself both intensively and ex- tensively, I have in my mind the cases of two large English towns, each of which is divided into sixteen wards. One of them was, until recently, perhaps the most back- ward city of its size in the land ; the other is one of the most progressive. On one particular November, the borough elections in the two places presented a curious contrast — in one, the progressive town, there were fifteen contests in the sixteen wards ; in the other there was onlyTone 'contest, and in fifteen wards the electors were too 'indifferent to civic affairs to contest the seats at all. This difference in the public spirit of the two I places was exactly reproduced all through. In one case, the Councillors, chosen by cliques or by themselves, shared ' obviously the general apathy — the streets were ill tended, the sanitation was imperfect, as shown by the high death rate, and new developments of public enterprise were rare. In the other, not only were the former things done well, but municipal socialism was well advanced. The vigorous public spirit was manifest both in the'thoroughfares and variety of the public enterprise. Individualistic theorists fail to recognise this ; and hence they are continually trying to raise a boundary line between the so-called " spheres " of private and public 6i The Opportunity of Liberalism enterprise — " this," they say, " should be left to the one and that to the other." But such mechanical checks to the growth of a community are in practice impossible, A vigorous City Council, chosen by a public-spirited people, will continually be trying to discover new opportunities of public service, just as a woman who loves her house will always be trying to discover fresh means of adding to its comfort and beaut\'. It is no use devising a formula, however logical, to check the enterprise of either. The acts of each are simply the external manifestation of an inner spirit, a thing organic and living, that cannot be controlled by mechanical rules. Public spirit and public enterprise are mutualh' interdependent, the success or failure of the one is dependent on the extent of the other ; they grow and decline together ; they are related like the soul and body of the collective life. A new public life can therefore only grow with the growth of a new public spirit, the one conditions the other, from the village to the nation. But this is not the only essential of any great new development. The growth of a social order is conditioned by the growth of social organisation. Men have to acquire not only the feeling of brotherhood, the enthusiasm for the common good, but they have to create the means for its expansion, and work out in detail the method of its manifestation. In this work the idealist has little part. It consists of countless petty adjustments, tried, not by any standard of abstract principle, but by utility and experience. It is, and must be, the work of the people as a whole, settling each practical difficult}^ as it arises, being far too complex to be the outcome of any prearranged plan, the work of any one mind, however great its grasp. A healthy society is characterised by the ability to create effective instruments for dealing with the problems to which its progress gives rise. Thus, the opportunity being there, the men of our cities have met the problems of low wages and credit by creating Trades Unionism and Co-operation, and are doing battle with the monopolist b}' the extension of municipal trading. By these agencies 62 British Agriculture — Constructive the towns have become during the last two generations highly organised communes, the collective will expressing itself through various channels. Incidentally a large number of men and women have learnt the details of public business, and become filled with a single-minded enthusiasm for the public good. As in the world of nature, so in that of society, each new variety of public effort has to struggle for its existence, and to adapt itself to fill its peculiar place in the immense complexity of its surroundings. When once, however, any new form of social effort has gained a footing, it may spread with great rapidity by imitation. Co-operation was tried in many forms before the Rochdale pioneers hit upon a workable one ; since then it has rapidly spread over the whole manufacturing districts of Great Britain. Now it is just such a spirit, just such an organisation as we already have in our towns, that we want to arouse in the rural districts. If it were the work of the State to create such a thing, we might well despair, the immense complexity of the problem would make it hopeless of solution. But the work of the State is much more modest. As by breaking down the monopoly of the old Corporations the State enabled the people to create the modern muni- cipality, and by cheapening the cost of living through the repeal of the Corn Laws rendered it possible for men to subscribe to Trades Unions, so the State should remove those hindrances which prevent the true development of rural life. If we can do that we may fairly expect that the new collective enthusiasm will invade tlie rural districts, creating fit forms for its expression as it has already done in the cities. We have noted the beginnings of such a social order in the village chapel and the village cricket and football clubs. These things are trivial in themselves, but small as they are, are not without value as a training to the civic spirit. Anj^thing that takes men and women out of themselves, and interests them in some public or semi-public manner, is, so far as it goes, an education in democracy. The first thing to do is to remove the chief hindrance 63 The Opportunity of Liberalism to the people, the difficulty of acquiring land for any other purpose than an ordinary tenant farm, to be conducted on the present system. Allotment culture has proved itself to be far more effective than ordinary farming — it increases vastly the produce, and, as we see by the cases of Jersey and Rew, to mention no others, enhances the value of the land. The farmers' average for wheat, in England, grown on ploughed land of the very best quality for the purpose — and only exceptionally good land is ploughed for wheat in England now — is twenty-eight bushels to the acre. The allotment average, grown on spade dug land, is forty bushels to the acre ; and as much as fifty or sixty bushels has, ere this, been grown. I suspect, also, that the land devoted to allotments has not been specially selected, as the farming arable land is now, for its fitness for wheat growing. Small holdings are so sparingly granted, that allotment holders will generally be only too glad to get what land they can, without being able to select special wheat soils. This increase in quantity is remarkable enough ; but we should never allow ourselves to slide into speaking of the food problem as though it were a wheat question altogether. I think cereal crops are perhaps those in which the cottager has the smallest special advantage over the larger man, while wheat is the leading food-stuff with which it is least certainly to our advantage to supply ourselves. Our climate is so uncertain, that English grown wheat is, I believe, often inferior in quality to foreign wheats. It is therefore important to remember that there are other food-stuffs than wheat, and that the money value of the wheat consumed in these islands is but a small part of the total value of our food-stuffs. This, however, is a digression. The total produce of British agriculture, carried on as it is to-day, does not amount to more than about four pounds per acre in value, as an average, taking the whole acreage of the country. Probably there is less land in proportion in Jersey unfitted for culture than there is with us, but the average yearly produce of an acre of that island is worth /50 in the market. Could there be a more startling contrast ? Vast areas 64 British Agriculture — Constructive of this country are just as well fitted as Jersey for this food culture ; and the only real advantage the island has, is a better land system. Land in the Channel Islands is generally either owned by the small farmer who works it, or let at a fixed rental, which cannot be increased at any time, on a perpetual lease. Under these conditions the farmer knows that the full value of any improvements he makes will be his own, and that improvement in the culture of the soil will not mean a fine for the renewal of his lease, or an increased rental for his land. Under these circumstances he works like a slave, is enterprising and inventive to a degree, and sticks to the soil, so that, with practically no- industrialism outside agriculture, the popula- tion of the Channel Islands is nearly three times as dense as our own. There is no rural exodus from Jersey ; but, on the contrary, the island attracts labour from Brittany and other parts of Northern France in considerable quantities. People must be enabled to gain access to the land without being compelled to pay exorbitant compensation for its actual value to the landlord at the time of purchase. A strange phenomenon is to be seen around all our large cities. There land is leased to the farmers at little more than country rates, though the same land would fetch in the market many times its farm value for building sites. This land is being held speculatively, for a greater rise in its value. The landlord is content, for that time, with a small rental, on which, and not on the selling value of the land, he pays taxes meanwhile, until the growing needs of the neighbouring city gives him an opportunity to make a large profit out of the public. There has been for years past a steady decline in the value of British land for agricultural purposes ; but this has not decreased the amount of income tax contributed by the landowners as a class. While the country landlords have been growing poorer, those of the towns have been growing richer, and at an even greater rate. Again, in the country, when Parish Councils have endeavoured to obtain land to be let out for allotments, they have generally found that the E The Opportunity of Liberalism landowners take the advantage of the position to exact an extortionate price. I have heard of cases where as much as 130 years' purchase on the old rental was demanded for land for this purpose. The Duke of Northumberland asked no less than 1000 years' purchase for land required by the Tynemouth Corporation for a new waterworks not long ago ; and though the Arbitration Courts reduced this very greatly, I belie\'e the Duke got something like 100 years' purchase as compensation for compulsory sale. That these things are possible, is due to the monopolistic character of land itself. Public bodies, or private persons commencing any enterprise demanding land, labour, and capital, can generally choose the capitalist who shall lend the money, and the workman who shall do the labour ; but they are frequently confined, by the nature of the case, to one particular piece of land. If a new public building is wanted, the brickmakers and timber merchants will compete together who shall get the orders for material, so that there is little fear of the public being overcharged for any of these things. Again, at the current rate of wages, masons, bricklayers, plasterers, and any other needed workmen, can be got in abundance. And this because the contractor is not tied to any particular work- man or manufacturer. Capital and Labour will approach the contractor, asking him for employment, and giving him abundant choice. It is otherwise with the other factor in production — Land. Here there is no competition ; here it is probably a necessary part of the scheme that one particular site should be used ; while, of course, no more land can be made to reduce the price demanded by an extortionate owner for that already in existence. The position is such that powers of compulsory purchase have to be obtained by public bodies buying land, a thing quite needless when they are investing in anything else ; and the amounts paid by public bodies are usually many times any fair estimate of the capitalised income the land has yielded to the vendor. In fact, new enterprise, public or private, is perpetually having its future earnings anticipated by being compelled 66 British Agriculture — Constructive to pay monopoly prices for the land needed, a fact that greatly hinders the development both of town and country life in England. Our railways are complained about as the dearest in the world. Whether this is an exaggeration or not, at least they are much dearer than in many countries, yet the dividends paid by them are not large. The reason is, that our railways are vastly o^•er-capitalised. The companies have been, from the first, compelled to pay vast sums as compensation for compulsory purchase to landlords in excess of any fair estimate of the income the landlord was really getting from his land. The landowners round the Underground Railway obtained compensation for damage to their property, and immediately raised their rents when the railway was made, because of its convenience to tenants. In this way the public has to be charged higher fares and rates to pay dividends on the swollen prices extortionate landlords have been able to extract for their land in the past. Now a tax on land values, accompanied with a law or legal method of assessing all compensation paid for compulsory purchase on the amount of the tax, would enable public bodies and private persons in effect to obtain land practically as freely as they can now get goods and labour^ — at a fair valuation. It would, in fact, create competition to sell among landlords. The land is the only thing almost that can be held for a rise for an indefinite period, since it does not lose its value by time. Commodities perish, and must be sold ; and if unsold the}^ yield no rent, but cost warehouse room ; labour time must be sold as time passes, or the labourer will starve ; but the landlord can wait. By taxing urban land, not on its farming rent but on its building-site value, you can force it into the market as soon as social needs call for its use in that manner ; by taxing land wanted for allotments in the country, on the price the people are willing to buy it for that purpose and not on the farming value, you can rapidly cause it to pass into the hands of men who will use our soil, as tliat of France and Jersey is used, to produce the highest food value it will vield. 6; The Opportunity of Liberalism At the era of the Revolution, France was nearly bankrupt, and during the Napoleonic wars the nation was drained by the enormous effort they demanded of it. After they were over, the new land system had over fifty years' free play, until the needs of 1871 showed how vastly France had prospered in consequence. The peasant proprietors, descendants of the eighteenth century serfs, astounded the Germans by tlie promptness with which they paid off the great war indemnity out of their savings. It would be the same, I have little doubt, with two generations of a similar system in this country, even though agricultural competition has grown greatly since the middle of last century. Yet it is not exactly a reproduction of the French method, which is already partly out of date, that enlightened policy demands in Great Britain. I have said that the Jersey people work like slaves. The statement is founded on the remark of a Jersey gentleman to Mr. Rider Haggard, for which he gives ample evidence. The system of peasant ownership attracts to instead of repelling the labourer from the soil, and increases the productivity of agriculture. But, left to itself, it does not develop a liberal type of humanity. The peasant lives a healthy and simple, but a hard and narrow life. It is vastly better than being driven into a city slum, for at least it is healthy and human ; but such a life leaves little leisure for the joy of living, for culture and for art. For these things we want not only access to the land, but co-operation and the growth of the civic spirit. Only with men like Thoreau or an Indian mystic can the merely individual life be fine, though it may be decent. Average man finds his spiritual kingdom in the life of society. If, during the last seventy years, we have begun to build up a new corporate spirit in our cities, one task of the next generation should be to develop the same in the villages. It has been done before. Relieved by feudal custom, which fixed the landlord's dues and prevented the work of the individual or the parish community being confiscated by a rise in rent, the English serfs of the Middle Ages built up for themselves a simple but beautiful life, 68 British Agriculture — Constructive both corporate and private. Of this hfc the Rev. Augustus Jessop has lately given us a most interesting and well- attested account. What with the poor means at the disposal of the fifteenth century was possible, can surely be surpassed in the twentieth ! The work of Parliament is to render access to the land cheap and eas}^, and to augment steadily, and in every way shown by theif progress to be desirable, the powers of the Parish Councils. If this be done steadily and wisely, the natural forces of village society, tlie force of self-interest among the people, and the human tendency to co-opera- tion will do the rest. The opening up of the land to the people would probably start a new struggle for survival among various new methods of ownership. That best fitted to survive would, no doubt, tend to do so ; and we might easily have land worked by individual peasant proprietors, as indifferent to co-operation as the hermit of Walden, voluntary co-operative associations, estates held by Parish Councils and let out to allotment holders, and landed estates worked on the present method, all living side by side and competing together. Nor should I be surprised if one system ultimately tended to survive in one district, while a very different method came out victorious in another. I am not advocating any parti- cular method so much as the freeing of all methods, so that all may be tried. Parts, large parts, of England are perhaps better suited even than Jersey to the Jersey methods of culture ; the vast sheep-fells of Northern England are perhaps just as well under the present system as they could be under any other. Districts near to large towns are at once suitable for intensive scientific market gardening like that carried on around Paris, where, according to Courtois Gerard, quoted by Kropotkin, the smaller market gardeners raise as much as £480 in value per acre of produce, and also for large farms, worked by the Co-operative Society of the neighbouring city, with, of course, a direct market without middlemen's profits to the members of the society. What I hope from an improved Land Law is, not so much a stereo- Ccj The Opportunity of Liberalism typed system as a new freedom, an opportunity to the inventive faculty of mankind, such as has been enjoyed with such wonderful results by the manufacturer, but has been denied, through cramping Land Laws, to the agriculturist. 70 CHAPTER VI REACTIONS AND ANTICIPATIONS We have got to a point at which it may be profitable to consider the probable social and political reactions of a new construction of British agriculture on other sections of the community. The more closely we study social science, the more we come to see that the solidarity of humanity is not a dream of the poets, but a scientific fact. No great change can be made in the condition of one industry or of one class, without great corresponding effects on society as a whole. To begin with, if we were to imagine only an indefinite extension of such experi- ments as that made on Rew Farm, which, it will be remembered, resulted in causing that acreage to maintain nearly loo people instead of 21 as before, it is easy to see what an immense effect that would have on the rural exodus. The country, in so far as the new system was put into operation, would cease to have a surplus popu- lation. Like the peasant owners of France and Jersey, the English countrymen would be anxious to stay on the land rather than to leave it, and would no longer hurry in thousands to swell the overcrowded cities. One great stream swelling the ranks of the millions now living below the poverty line would be checked at its source, and the great problem of urban poverty would be simplified in proportion. Mr. Charles Booth, dealing with London, and Mr. Rowntree with York, have proved conclusively that one- third of our city population is so badly paid that even if there be no wasteful expenditure and no drinking, it is im- possible for the unfortunate people who compose this class to buy enough food to keep them in bodily health. But the great difficulty of this problem almost entirely consists 71 The Opportunity of Liberalism in its immensity. Private charity, Trades Union effort, and corporate action, together constitute an agency quite competent to deal with a moderate mass of poverty. If the numbers below the poverty line were within reasonable compass, there is enough in the organised life of our great cities to deal with it in relief works, the Poor Law, Trades Unionism, and private charity, at least if assisted by the State with an adequate system of old age pensions. But neither as ratepayers, as private pliilanthropists, or in any other way are the people of our cities likely to take on their shoulders the immense task of raising to a reasonable degree of comfort one person out of every three among them. They should, perhaps ; but I am afraid they will not. Nor should they be required to do so. It is most unjust that in a wealthy nation these poor people should not have enough to live upon, and should be worse fed than a tribe of savages ; but it is socially desirable that their food should be earned by a useful contribution to the national wealth, not by a greater division of the wealth already possessed by more fortunate workers. Each one of them is a potential creator of new- wealth ; but not, in the terms of the case, in the cit}^ where he now lives, otherwise he would be able to find better employment. Elsewhere, and by creating some new wealth in demand, he can and should be employed. The creation of a new agriculture, then, would tend to simplify the problem of town poverty by stopping the rural exodus ; but I am much mistaken if it did no more than this. Every day, and especially during times of depression, the country roads are dotted with tramps, travelling from workhouse to workhouse, many, perhaps most, of them no doubt mere loafers, but not a few honestly on tramp in search of work. At present they pass through miles of pasturage where there is but little demand for their labour ; and it probably hardly occurs to the most eager of them that there is any hope of getting employ- ment except at some town. But were he passing through a country like that of Jersey, eager for more labour to carry 72 Reactions and Anticipations on an increasing culture, the tramp would get plenty of chances of odd jobs, perhaps of permanent employment, by the way. Many suggestions have been made for planting colonies of the unemployed upon the land. It is a good idea, and experiments in this direction might well be made. There is no doubt, however, something in the contention of adverse critics that the town workman is unsuited by his inexperience, if not by his stamina, for agricultural work. We must remember, too, that we are dealing on the whole with the least effective of the town population. Against this it has been urged with some force, that not a few of our town workmen have really begun life on the land, and that in any event it is no greater task for an inexperienced townsman to work on the land than it is for a rural labourer to work at any town job. Yet this latter is just what the countryman who comes to town is continually doing. Direct emplo}^- ment on the land, then, might well be tried, whenever possible, though I fear such methods are rather like building the house from its roof downwards, while the very nature of the case makes such a plan too spasmodic to be really satisfactory. In times of trade depression, the British Government might be roused to do something for the unemployed of this description, but only as yet at a very low rate of wages. Then, with improved times, what would happen ? The men thus employed would naturally go back to their ordinary work, the relief works would be stopped, and the whole agitation would have to be done over again the next time there was serious depression. A steady demand for labour, such as draws the Breton peasants to the populous fields and thriving agriculture of Jersey, seems better, as it does not depend upon the state of that spasmodic thing — the British political conscience. Mr. Keir Hardie might some day — we will assume this for the sake of argument — induce a Liberal or Conservative Government to attempt some scheme of public employment ; but it would take his continued presence in the House of Commons and more to keep the thing going, so soon as public attention was, for the moment, 71 The Opportunity of Liberalism taken up by something else, or as soon as a spurt to trade had removed the immediate problem. But it is not only in the very poor of the towns that the beneficial results of agricultural development could be seen. I have contended in a former chapter, that our present ability to import far more than we export must, in the nature of things, end some day ; and that, as other nations develop their industrialism to the fullest extent, they will cease to require any manufactures from us, except those few in which nature has given us a real and decisive natural advantage. Whether there are any such manufactures may be a matter of doubt ; but, at any rate, they form a small part of the total volume of our exports. Again, I have shown, I hope clearly, that as new nations become freely capitalised, they will, on the whole, tend to be less dependent on loans from us, and to pay back such money as they have borrowed ; and from these facts I have drawn the inference that, in the long-run, our commerce must tend to the normal equation, namely, a balance of imports and exports. The Protec- tionist is quite right in believing that our trade supremacy is threatened ; he is only wrong in the absurdity of his remedy, and in his panic fears of an immediate collapse. But the fuller development of our country life, and the absorption of part of the underpaid town population in it, would open up for British manufacturers a splendid new market at their very doors. It is rightly argued by the Free Traders that imports imply exports ; and the importation of a new class of goods from abroad implies an impetus to some new trade at home. There is thus, in the long-run, an equation between the imports and exports of a country. But what applies to the relations between one nation and another, applies equally to those between different districts and different in- dustries. If London imported its corn from Essex, it would have just as much to pay for it as it does now ; and this payment also would have to be made in com- modities. The total amount of our imported food-stuffs in 1902 was ;{i58,904,ooo, if we count only those that 74 Reactions and Anticipations could have been purchased in this country. This, of course, impHed a very large export trade ; but had our foodstuffs all been produced at home, the consumers would nevertheless have had to pay for them. Now, though the facilities of transit invented since his day have greatly modified the advantages which Adam Smith allows to home as distinguished from foreign trade, these advan- tages are still real. There is less need for expensive middle- men, and more chance of a high reward to the producer. Again, home trade, once established, is easier to keep than foreign ; no device of the foreign Protectionist can close the market, while the home manufacturer has the advantage over his alien competitor in transit. There- fore, I have already argued, that as the industrialism of foreign countries develops, we may expect that nations will, on the whole, tend to retain their home trade and lose their foreign. The vast importance of our foreign trade is partly, indeed mainly, due to our early start in modern industrialism, and only in a degree to better methods of transit. Our manufacturers will have the same natural advantage in a new home market that foreign nations have in their own ; and that advantage should, in the long-run, be decisive. Political parties are an expression of economic facts, and as the economic conditions change, such change is inevitably reflected in politics. Political changes, then, no less striking than the social and economic ones, may be expected. And here it is that any progressive party conferring such a boon of social reconstruction upon the nation might fairly expect its reward. Let us look, in the first instance, at the influence such a change would probably have on the fiscal policy of the people. The strength of the Tory reaction depended largely on the strength of vested interests, and the large proportion of the working classes, whose mental and material poverty was too abject to permit of their having a politic of their own, and who were therefore a ready prey to any demagogue, since they were entirely incapable of analysing his proposals. Now, in proportion as a policy of restoring the land to 75 The Opportunity of Liberalism the people were successful, one of the greatest of these vested interests would die. As the development of country life went on on the new lines, the landlords, as such, would cease to exist ; and even before they disappeared their political influence would be greatly reduced in the rural districts. To destroy the landlords' political influence, it is not perhaps necessary to buy them out, it is enough to place in the hands of the people the power to buy them out when they choose. Had it not been for the increased importance of the towns, where the people, however they may suffer by increment of rent, are not influenced in voting by the opinions of the man who owns the land on which they live, I doubt whether the extension of the franchise would, to any extent, have reduced the real political power of landlordism. The basis of all power is economic ; and so long as the economic basis of class government exists, you cannot destroy its practical control of politics by any constitutional tinkering. Deprived by the Reform Bills of their political monopoly, the landlords have recovered an immense amount of power, so that Lord Salisbury's late Cabinet contained sixteen Tory landlords out of twenty members ; and this, because their social influence has not been reduced with their political privileges. But land reform implies something more effective than electoral reform — it strikes at the political power through the economic basis of landlordism, and in so doing destroys the strongest prop of historic Toryism for ever. And this, be it observed, not by any elaborate code of law making, which might take generations to fashion into shape, but by letting free those economic forces before which feudalism has already fallen in many other countries. For though vested interests may be too strong for any direct attack, they can be dissolved like ice in summer seas, by setting free the forces of society which are every- where tending to build up the new democratic world. And as such reform destroys one of the most dangerous powers whose tendency is to seduce the masses back to the ways of militarism and Protection, so it tends also to absorb that section of workers most liable to seduction. I have 76 Reactions and Anticipations noted, sadly enough, the lower parts of a town at election times, particularly during the General Election of 1900, and can answer for it that it was not where the better paid and organised workman lived that the Tory colours hung out from every window. In the slums the Tory flags were everywhere. These poor people could not understand the relation of politics to their own lives ; and to them the Khaki policy meant only a new sensation. That they felt an instinctive sympathy with the valour of their own side I think entirely creditable to them. Of all the war- mongers of that time, for them only have I real sympathy. Their enthusiasm was instinctive and human, neither selfish nor the result of any cold calculation of the ultimate results on progress. But reason, and not untrained instinct, is the proper ruling force in human life. I look forward, therefore, with hopefulness to a day when this unhappy class may be absorbed into those immediately above it in the social scale. Then we may anticipate they will take on themselves the temperament and the attitude towards life and politics of those more thoughtful and progressive sections to which they then belong. The influence of economic status upon ideas is the deepest and strongest of all. With economic improvement comes leisure for culture and reflection ; and these are the forces against which such irrationalism as that of Mr. Chamberlain is helpless. And more immediately in its bearing on the fiscal question, we may note that when British agriculture can effectively compete with foreign, the reason for Protection, as far as it is concerned, will be gone. The present private landlord and tenant farmer system is dying anyhow ; the present race of landlords and farmers can only be preserved by Protection. To them foreign competition is deadly. But with a better system, one able in the field of free competition to drive the foreigner out of our markets, by producing as cheaply or cheaper than he can, this would be changed. The most dangerous competitor is not generally the man at a distance, but the one next door. If, then, we had such a system indefinitely extended as 17 The Opportunity of Liberalism that so successfully begun at Rew Farm, the cottars of Dorset would have far more reason to fear the competition of Devonshire than of America. From Protection they would have nothing to gain, but everything to lose, since it would mean dearer clothes, agricultural implements, and other things they required for production and for living. Their numbers, too, would be a far better counter- poise to the town vote, and I think we may rely upon it that the countrymen would effectively check the protection of manufactures, and the townsmen would defend us against the artificial scarcity of food-stuffs. For, indeed, we should always require some foreign trade in both. The uncertainty of climate will always render it necessary for food to be imported in bad years ; while it is necessary for a sound society to prevent any danger of its own manufacturers gaining a monopoly in its own markets. These ends can best be secured in a community where all the interests are well balanced, not by the artificial fostering of some, but by the productive efficiency of all. Human society progresses on natural, not on theoretic lines. It moves towards its destination not in a straight line, like a canal, but by devious courses, like a river. Here it is that the doctrinaire politician is so apt to lose touch with things. He is brought up in a certain school of thought, itself the product of the conditions and ten- dencies of his youth ; and because his ideas are in the then track of progress, he finds society increasingly responsive to them. That he formulates these ideas in finer phrases and according to a more logical theory than the mass of men, matters little. People are quite willing to be told that their desire for cheaper bread is justified by economic theory, whether they understand what economic theory means or not. They are, in fact, willing enough to hear of a universal justification for their particular requirements. Hence Protectionist landlords and manufacturers, following Mr. Chamberlain at bottom in the interests of their rents or trades, are very willing to hear appeals to their Imperialist sympathies. There 78 Reactions and Anticipations is no conscious hypocrisy in all this. It is simply ordinary human nature. For a time, then, as long as he is moving with the stream of contemporary things, the doctrinaire gets on very well ; but as soon as the pressing problems of the moment have received a practical as distinct from a logical solution, the doctrinaire suddenly finds the force of public feeling no longer with him. The stream of progress has taken a turn, and he is left in an eddy. The old appeals to principles no longer avail him, for they no longer have their old bearing on the felt necessities of the time. It is this that is the matter with present-day Liberalism. The ideas of the old Radicalism are not so much unsound as they are for the present irrelevant, they are not in the direction of present-day progress ; it is not so much that they are untrue, as that they do not matter. Nobody outside the few political students of their school really cares whether they are true or not ; and this because, however true they may be in theory, they have no felt bearing on contemporary life. I shall perhaps be justified, then, in attempting to give some idea of the direction in which I believe the tendencies of present-day progressivism are moving ; of the society which, assuming them to be successful in their struggle with reaction, may be possible as the outcome of the twentieth century political and social movement. This is not to construct a Utopia, but, like Mr. Wells, to indulge in an " anticipation," which may be useful to progressives in its bearing on practical politics. That the general trend of human evolution is towards an ever wider and closer solidarity, I firmly believe, since the progress of civilisation is nothing more nor less than a history of the displacement of disorganisation and instinct by organisation and reason. But there are many eddies in the general stream ; and many nations get left behind, making no progress, or even declining for centuries. Such has been the case with Spain ; and such may, quite possibly, be the case with this country. I hope better things, however, and that tlic Tory reaction of the last 79 The Opportunity of Liberalism two decades is merely like that so admirably analysed by Buckle at the close of the eighteenth century, a temporary halt in our national progress. The earlier reaction was due in the main to the inability of traditional Whiggism to adopt the progressive Liberalism of the nineteenth century ; as soon as society had evolved a party strong enough to supersede the Whigs, the reaction ceased, and gave way to the reform era of last century. The Liberalism which found its most emphatic expression in the leaders of the Manchester School has in turn grown effete ; its ideas, having no root in popular necessity, have failed to retain their hold on the people, and again we have had a Tory reaction. I see no reason why history should not repeat itself. If the fight between Liberal and Tory is not so keen, and divides men only at election times, that between Labour and Capital is real and continuous, A strike or lockout excites far deeper interest than an election ; for in the one case the actual forces of society are in conflict, the other too often is merely an echo of the genuine antagonisms of the past. Within the shell of society itself have been shaped the organisations fitted to form and support a new and living party, which, combined with the Radicals of more modern type, may in the near future be strong enough to shape the reforms of the twentieth century. First, then, I imagine that either by the taxation of land values, or^ if such can be devised, by some other method, the land will be made accessible to the local authorities at its actual present-day selling value. The powers of Parish Councils will be so enlarged that they will be able to acquire land, either to develop on a large scale themselves, or to let out on terms securing fixity of tenure to small holders, thus enabling a more efficient agriculture gradually to replace the present. This will be done rapidly or slowly according as the inhabitants of any district are Progressive or Conservative. In some cases one system, in others another, will be tried ; while in many the present method may continue as a survival for an indefinite length of time. But, done this way, 80 Reactions and Anticipations the socialisation of the land will be the outward index of the local development of the social idea, the phenomenal expression of a moral fact. Where that fact does not exist, a mere addition of powers to the local governing body will not produce any effect ; where it does exist, new powers will be widely used. But humanity is imitative, and the success of one parish will mean the adoption of similar methods by neighbouring ones. In this I think the growth of the Co-operative movement may be useful. Co-operators have already entered into farming ; though, I believe, for the most part only on the lines at present carried on by private enterprise, and not as yet with any brilliant result. Co- operators are the very people, however, to profit by an example, while they are freer from legal restraint, and better able to provide money than small local authorities. Again, they have means to bring the produce of then- farms direct to their customers without middlemen's profits, and in large quantities at a time. Especially, then, in districts near our large manufacturing towns, the Co-operators, who now manage a tea plantation as far away as Burmah, may be expected to adopt any pro- fitable new method of developing the land ; and even when they feel their way to initiate some fresh departures of their own. Capital in Great Britain is superabundant, and labour is also ; and to a new method of making money, both will be readily attracted. With access to the land, freedom from the patronage of landlords, and increased powers of local self-govern- ment, I look to the gradual reconstruction not only of English agriculture, but of English rural life. Normally, the solidarity of a small community should be more intense, more deeply conscious, than that of a large ; for in a \'illage every man knows his neighbour, and the common life is a more personal thing, less of an abstraction, than it is in the town. But since the pillage of the mediaeval parishes by the ruffians of Edward vi.'s time, tlie English villagers have had little chance to develop a communal life of their own. They have been dri\'cn to depend for F The Opportunity of Liberalism assistance in trouble, for pastime and for culture, on their social superiors. With freedom this should pass away ; and the latent admirable genius of the British people, as evinced by their mediaeval successes, for local self- government should fmd free play. Already I have noted the first beginnings of a new social life in the village cricket and football clubs, in the organisation of the village chapels, and other matters where the patronage of the Squire is absent. There is plenty of room for it in other things. Small holdings, apparently the most effective form of agriculture, demand co-operation in selling ; and either by voluntary co-operation or by the action of the people in their corporate capacity, distribution will have to be organised. Either method is an education ; it brings the individual in touch with the common life. Again, a revived system of agriculture creates a demand for knowledge not possessed by the farm " hand," and perhaps not coveted by him. This again can only be attained by common action, by voluntary or corporate manage- ment of lectures and classes. But the ways in which a new society realises itself cannot be summed up in a word ; they are past counting. Parish Councils have already the power to adopt the Free Libraries Act under certain conditions ; and here intelligent action by the Central Government may be of great use to them. The Free Libraries Act has not been a complete success, owing largely to the backward state of English education. Only in the largest cities is it possible to get librarians competent to select the valuable from the rubbish of the press, and the smaller towns would have been greatly helped by official guidance in the choice of books. The village library should be federated with a larger one belonging to the County Council, placed in some central situation ; and should itself consist in the main of a model collection of books, affording an introduction to the study of literature, philosophy, and science, drawn up by competent authority. The county library should be a first-class one, and the village should have the power of borrowing books from 82 Reactions and Anticipations it, either to illustrate some current course of lectures, or to aid individual students. Every English man and woman should have at least the possibility of access to all the knowledge of the time. The Parish Council should be trustees of the village Institute, and this should include a lecture hall, concert and dance room, adequate sleeping rooms for strangers spending a night in the village, and a refreshment room, where the needs, both of inhabitants and strangers, could be supplied. In it should be the news-room, library, and billiard-room. In fact, the village inn should pass from private hands, and become the centre of the social, secular life of the place. Nor do I doubt that, if we grant freedom to the people, it will ere long become so. The British are not teetotallers, but they don't like rates, and they are not all drunkards. Give them the power to turn the village inn into a rate-saving, public institution, and ere long they will do so. With regard to the towns, I look for the yet more rapid development of the modern movements of Municipalism, Co-operation, and Trades Unionism, under conditions in which land can be more easily acquired for housing or for open spaces, and where the slum population have been raised into the class from which Co-operators and Trades Unionists are drawn, or have returned to the country, now hungering for more labour. Under these conditions, the cities of the present century should grow less and less like those of the past. The increase of trade between them and the country, which should be then the main source of their food supply and the market for their products, should develop, what the bicycle, excursion trains, and the growth of cricket and football, have already begun, a more frequent intercourse between the village and the town, and a better acquaintance with natural beauty. Such culture - contacts are the most potent source of new improvements in civilisation, of new ideas, and of yet higher culture. These developments of local life will have their reactions on the Central State. The diffusion of the democratic S3 The Opportunity of Liberalism idea and the break-up of adverse vested interests should help on the realisation of the democratic programme in the State ; and the continual devolution of functions to the local bodies should relieve Parliament of its present congestion, enabling it to tackle the problems by nature fitted for State management, the railways, banking, commerce, education, and those industries which evolution makes economically manageable as large monopolies. The develoi>ment of State action on these lines, accompanied by the complete democratisation of its form, will bring the State also into closer touch with the Nation than ever before. A State largely managed by a privileged class, and chiefly concerned with matters that do not enter closely into other lives than those of the criminal, military, and a few other classes, can be regarded as latter day individualism has come to regard ours, as something outside of the ordinary life of man, an artificial contrivance for the maintenance of order, a necessary evil. A State that is closely in touch with the whole people, and whose action enters largely into their lives, on the other hand, becomes a thing, separation from which is to the individual neither desirable nor conceivable. It is not something outside of and alien to the individual life, but the means by which that life can alone attain full freedom of ex- pression, the effective agent of the Nation, the organ of its collective will. 84 ^ • CHAPTER VII POSSIBILITIES OF A PROGRESSIVE MAJORITY The reader who is in agreement with the views I have expressed, will perhaps wish to see some estimate of their prospects of success. What chance have we of turning the English parties from the reactionary direction in which Mr. Chamberlain has led and travelled with them, and directing the stream of tendency into a progressive channel ? To do this, Progressives must obviously get to understand how to use every opportunity that chance or the logic of circumstances places in their hands. They must sum up the existent forces for and against progress without either fear or undue optimism, for it is by forces and not alone by arguments, however sound, that the battle will, in the last resort, be won or lost. They must face the facts as far as they can be ascertained, and, without parting: with their enthusiasm, bid good-bye to all illusions. As already stated, I see little reason to fear an immediate- Protectionist victory at the next General Election. li I am here too sanguine, then for the present this book has been written in vain. In that case we are in the hands of the Tories, and are left only the melancholy hope that their misdeeds and their consequences may arouse such indignation that they and their bread-tax will, ere long, be swept away by the deluded people who have voted for them. In such a case, we can, for the present, do nothing except prepare by vigorous propaganda for better days. But there are two alternative results of the next -election, both more probable than this : (i) Neither party may be able to command an adequate majority in the next House of Commons ; or (2) the Progressive forces, Liberal, Labour, and Irish, may outnumber the 85 The Opportunity of Liberalism Tories, — that, in fact, we may have a Progressive majority. The difficulties facing such a Liberal Government as we may hope to see next Parhament are both numerous and great. They arise not only from the fact that the Govern- ment will depend for its existence upon alien groups like the Irish and Labour men, but from the inherent weakness of the Liberal party itself. It has been claimed that Mr. Chamberlain has united the Liberals, and in a negative sense this is true. He has raised an issue to which the whole party is at present opposed, and for purposes of opposition they are thus united ; but he has done nothing to enable them to agree upon a constructive policy. Whatever individual Liberals may approve, the policy of the party, as a whole, is that of Lord Rosebery — the clean slate. The disruptive forces within the party only await definite action in almost any direction to revive all the discords which Mr. Chamber- lain has silenced for the moment. No permanent unity can be created until the underlying causes of disunion have been removed. Can anyone, for instance, imagine the result of any attempt on behalf of the present Liberal party to pass, :say, a Home Rule Bill or a real amendment of the Educa- tion Act ? How many of the party leaders are sincere Home Rulers ? Sir Henry Campbell-Bannerman, Mr. Morley, and some others have not abandoned this idea ; but the Liberal Imperialist section are either hostile, or at least indifferent, while avowed opponents of the measure are being accepted willingly as candidates in many con- stituencies. Probably these may all fall in with Home Rule when they find that it is, in the long-run, inevitable, and discover, as they certainly will, that if Liberals don't grant Home Rule, their opponents will ; but that time .has not arrived yet, and at present the reintroduction of Home Rule would almost certainly be followed by a revival of Liberal Unionism. Education reform is hardly in a more hopeful position, as the next Liberal Govern- ment cannot hope to stand independent of the Irish members, and the Irish are far too well pleased with the Education Acts to permit any drastic alteration of them. 86 Possibilities of a Progressive Majority But even if the Progressives were more united, that fact would not enable them to do anything vital in the way of legislation ; for, behind their efforts, there is no real popular enthusiasm for reform. This latter is an essential. Unless a Progressive majority is sure of the people, it is well-nigh helpless against the opposition of the House of Lords and obstruction in the Commons. Progressives have too long deluded themselves with the idea that the Commons are much stronger than the Lords. In constructive legislation this is simply not true. In any difference between the Chambers, the stronger House is that which is in favour of the status quo and against the proposed legislation over which the dispute has arisen. The House of Lords may safely exercise its constitutional right and reject any measure sent up to it by the Commons, unless the country is really in earnest in its favour. Then, indeed, a contumacious House of Lords would be on danger- ous ground ; but that is not because the Commons them- selves are formidable, but because the people are. It is the people, not the Commons, who are the masters of the Lords in the last resort. If the nation were in the habit of deciding matters on grounds of democratic theory, no doubt they could be generally depended on to support their own representatives against hereditary obstructives ; but the people, as a matter of fact, do nothing of the kind. If the nation feels little interest in the measure in question, it will take equally little in any action of the Lords ; and if it does care, it will decide purely on the merits of the measure in dispute. It is this that renders futile such a policy as that known as " filling up the cup." It is worse than useless sending up to the Lords measures, however excellent in themselves, to which we have not first converted the country. The Lords may reject such Bills with perfect safety, and will only gather prestige with every successful rejection. A Progressive victory at the present moment would certainly prove that the people are tired of the Tories, not that they are converted to any constructive reform whatever. Hence, it would be impossible to send up 3; The Opportunity of Liberalism to the Lords any measure with the certainty that, if they rejected it, the country would resent that rejection at the polls. This is evident when we remember that there is no measure on which Progressives are all united, and all lay stress. The next General Election will be fought on the faults of the Tories, not on any proposal of their opponents ; and, while victory will mean much in a negative way, it will, as I have said, have no constructive signi- iicance whatever. It is not only the difficulty of the Lords that will face the next Liberal Ministry, too probably rendering them impotent, their troubles will hardly be less in the Lower House itself. During the last generation the House of Commons has become steadily less effective as an agent of reform. This is due to a variety of causes, chief of which are the vitality of the Irish Question, and the con- gestion of necessary parliamentary work by the growth at once of the new Imperialism and the functions of local government. The first of these causes is too obvious to repay comment, but the working of the other two factors deserves consideration. Parliament is now called upon every year to deal with an increasing number of matters for which it has no special fitness, and for which it was not designed. Every social organism, a city, nation, or federation of States, naturally evolves an instrument of government on the whole fairly well fitted to its stage of development. The Constitution of an independent State, and the institutions, the king, aristocracy, or democratic assembly, by means of which it works, are expressions of the actual state of social growth. Liberty and popular power increase with the progress of such a society ; reform movements urged on by the advance of the people amend the Constitution, which thus at all times expresses not an abstract theory of justice, but an actual achievement. National governments, in fact, are a product of social evolution, roughly fitted by ex- perience to the work they are called upon to perform. The government of a free State may be criticised by the doctrinaire as theoretically defective ; it is generally, "88 Possibilities of a Progressive Majority however much better suited to tlie needs of the nation that has evolved it than anything we could devise to take its place. But when by conquest or by any other means the nation State has developed into an empire, the national government has to deal with many things for which it is not thus fitted by evolution. A free constitution is least fitted of all forms of government to the exigencies of empire. This and the reason for it will be seen, if we consider the sort of check the British House of Commons keeps on the Indian Budget. That measure is submitted .yearly to the criticism of the Commons, but the whole proceeding is little more than a farce. Nor could it be otherwise. It is safe to say that not one member in ten is competent to give an opinion about Indian matters ; it is quite certain that not one in a thousand of their constituents knows anything about them either. In theory the Indian Government may be responsible to Parliament and hence to the British people, but in practice it is a pure bureaucracy. A popular check on Government implies a public opinion, and there is simply no such thing as British public opinion on Indian affairs. The increasing intrusion of extra-British questions, such as the Indian Budget, the Uganda railway, the boundaries of Alaska, and the relations of Russia and Japan, is tending to reduce the authority of that body. The average member knows nothing about these questions, and his vote is guided entirely by specialists and the Whips of the party. It is not a dignified position, and tends steadily to sap his independence, even on matters in w4iich he is competent to form an opinion of his own. The same thing is happening to us as did to Rome, The government of the Senate and People was quite suited to the small city State, and, conservative as it was, was even capable of slow improvement as the Plebs gained in power ; but it was utterly impotent to rule the Roman Empire. The true explanation of the rise of the Caesars is to be found in the unsuitability of the old Constitution to the new conditions. The Senate and People simply could not 89 The Opportunity of Liberalism rule the provincials ; and, though Roman jealousy pre- served the forms of the Constitution, this was only done by reducing the Senate to dependence upon the emperors, whose decision it registered but did not control. This arose from the fundamental fact that, while a free people can understand the problems forced upon them by their daily life, they must depend for guidance in those of other nations upon their agents — in other words, on a bureau- cracy. But though tliis is the logical outcome of empire, Imperial nations are slow to see it. The people, forced to surrender the reality of power, insist upon rule being carried on in their name and under the forms of freedom. This can only be done by reducing the control of the people in Imperial affairs to a matter of form, and by the steady increase of the power of the Executive. While Imperial questions have thus been sapping the authority of Parliament and the independence of members, they have been reducing the amount of time available for the true business of the nation. Things have to be rushed through somehow, and expedients invented to control discussion, yet the arrears of business accumulate session by session. One considerable m.easure is enough to occupy the attention of Parliament for a whole session, and year by year the amount of business actually finished becomes less and less. As the quantity of Imperial business augments, so our Progressive local government adds yearly to the mass of private Bills, and increases the congestion of the legislative machine. Governments, again, have hardly yet grasped the significance of this, and time is wasted over Bills which never get further than their second reading. The prospects of obstructives are good, and there is everv inducement for the Opposition to avail themselves of every means of delay ; for however hopeless their minority, they can always compel Ministers to abandon all but their most vital measures. In fact, Parliament is rapidly becoming the most ineffective legislative m.achine in the world. It is easy to see what immense difficulties all this places in the wa}^ of a weak and more or less discordant party 90 Possibilities of a Progressive Majority like tlie Liberals, doubtful how far or in what measure the country is in favour of it, and dependent for its majority on Labour or Irish votes. We may be sure the House of Lords will realise the position, even if the new Ministry do not, and will be prepared to amend or reject any measure sent up to them if it intrenches on the privileges of the wealthy class, that is, if it is of any use. Yet it is most important that the next Progressive Ministry should be a success, A Liberal Government that did nothing would simply keep their places warm for another reactionary Ministry like the present ; it might delay, but it could not end the Tory reaction. At the present moment the drift of things is strongly against Toryism, as mistake after mistake is brought home against Ministers. Under such circum- stances, good propaganda is being done by Socialists and other reformers, and the ground is being prepared for more genuine Progressivism than exists at present. The Tories are looked upon with contempt, thousands of people are tired of them, and are prepared to listen to what the most advanced people have to say. Now nothing could check this advance of ideas in the country so quickly as an ineffective Liberal Ministry. Unless the new Govern- ment showed itself from the lirst a distinct improvement on the old, its advent to power would only stay the present adverse criticism of the Balfour Ministry. Instead of the growing enthusiasm for progress of angry Noncon- formists, Free Traders, Teetotallers, and Trades Unionists, we should have these groups growing cold at the disappoint- ment of their hopes. As we have said, such a Ministry would merely act as a temporary check to the long Tory reaction of the last twenty years. We have seen that the prospects of passing any really important measure through either the Lords or Commons, much more both, is at present very slight ; but there is one Bill to which hardly any of our criticisms apply. If the annual Budget can command a majority in the House of Commons, it is certain to pass. Mere obstruction here is of no a\'ail. From the day on which the Chancellor of the Exchequer introduces it, it is certain that one of 91 The Opportunity of Liberalism two things must happen — either the Government will be defeated on a straight vote, or the measure will pass the House of Commons, A Budget of some sort must be passed, or the business of the nation cannot go on ; and any Government that met with organised obstruction upon it would be justified, nay compelled, to use the closure as drastically as was found necessary. Any opposition in a minority against the Budget is absolutely helpless. If it cannot defeat the measure, it cannot even delay it. In the Lords, too, the position is here equally strong. The Lords cannot amend the Budget, and they dare not reject it ; however unpalatable to themselves, they are bound to see it through. The Budget, in fact, is the key to the position ; with it everything can be done, without it, nothing. And there is another aspect of the matter which deserves attention. We have spoken of the discords within the Progressive ranks, and shown that because of them the Liberals cannot come back to power with a direct mandate from the people for any constructive measure. Education reform, Home Rule, Local Veto, on none of these are the Progressives united, and consequently on none does the election of a Progressive majority imply a national mandate. But on finance some unity exists, and here a Tory defeat does imply an instruction to the new Ministry, The Liberal party is quite united in its opposition to Tory finance, to the coal and sugar duties, as well as to the protective taxes proposed by Mr. Chamberlain. The same is true of the Labour party ; and though it might be possible to buy them over by favours to Ireland, it is true also of the Irish. In opposition to these taxes, proposed and imposed, the Progressives have been all in accord ; and it is clear that by returning them to power the nation endorses that opposition, and equally so that they are pledged to adopt another financial policy. Here then we have a position as strong as we are weak in con- structive legislation. Neither the Lords nor anyone else can compel us to continue the coal and sugar duties, or to impose any new protective taxes. A Liberal Chancellor 92 Possibilities of a Progressive Majority of the Exchequer is not only able, he is morally pledged, to drop these taxes, and the first test of his sincerity demanded of him by Radicals and Labour men should be that he does so in the first Budget he presents to the new House of Commons. But the surrender of these duties would cost £7,000,000 at least, and this would cause a deficit which must somehow be made good. To entrench upon the Sinking Fund would be especially bad policy at the present time, with Consols at their present low figure sound finance dictates that we should redeem as many as possible, and it is clear that none of the existing taxes can be increased to the required ex- tent. Indirect taxes are always objectionable, and unless we were to substitute other protective duties for those re- moved, it is very doubtful if anything like the amount of revenue required could be thus obtained. The income tax payer is not likely to submit to a further incrrease in time of peace ; and, indeed, those who pay under Schedule D should, at the earliest convenient date, have a reduction. There remain the death duties, and these are capable of a still further development, but not in such a manner as to yield a steady and reliable income. At present the death duties are graduated up to estates of ^^1,000,000 and over, such estates paying 8 per cent. We require a method for the further graduation of the few estates which exceed the million. There should be an increase in the rate of duty charged on each million after the first, till, say the tenth million, in an estate of that size, should be all impounded. By this means a definite maximum would be fixed, which no private fortune could exceed for longer than one life, and a considerable, though irregular increment would be added to the national revenue. But this irregularity in the yield of such a tax would prevent it being of use for our present purpose. There are, of course, very few multi-millionaires, and the law of averages which secures a steady income from the death dues on a multitude of smaller estates, would hardly do this on the few higher ones. This is the chief objection to such a tax, and, indeed, it would probably be best to 93 The Opportunity of Liberalism capitalise the product of it, and compel Governments to spend annually only the revenue derived from the invest- ment each year. Otherwise, when one or two great nobles or their American wives died in the same year, an extra- vagant Chancellor might find his circumstances much easier than was good for the stability of national finance. An automatic method, whereby large accumulations of money become public property, is reasonable and socially desirable, but the thing should be so done as not to make the yearly income of the nation too irregular. Some new tax, then, is necessary, and, consistently^ with Liberal and Labour principles, it can be found only in one thing — land values. This is a form of taxation to which all Progressive parties and groups in the country are more or less committed, and even many Tories are prepared to support. A majority even of the present Parliament are in its favour, and in any Progressive House of Commons it should easily pass. Such a tax appears to me the one really important reform the next Liberal Govern- ment can certainly carry, at least, until Progressive opinion in the country has been much more fully ripened than at present. The next Liberal Government is therefore doubly bound to pass it at once. If they fail to do this, then the strongest criticisms of Independent Labour have been amply justified. There is no excuse here, such as exists in most other important matters, on the score of the House of Lords ; for in a matter of money the Lords are really weaker than the Commons, and on a Budget they are quite helpless. I contend that if, in its first session, the next Liberal Cabinet removes the coal and sugar duties and substitutes for them a tax on land values, it will have done the chief thing at the moment actually practicable, and Liberalism will have justified its existence ; while, if it fails to do this, present-day Liberalism is a sham, and the sooner the Radicals and Socialists break up the new Government the better, even if the Tories get in again for a time. It is worth while to consider here the proper attitude from their several points of view of the various groups 94 Possibilities of a Progressive Majority which compose the Progressive party towards this proposed tax on land vahies. The Liberal party has now been in opposition for more than eiglit years, and, but for the blunders of its opponents, might readily have been deprived of office for as long again. But, indeed, for the demoralisation of the Unionist party, proceeding from over-confidence in its strength after the last election, and the reaction raised against it by the mismanagement of the war, it is an open question whether there would ever have been a Liberal Ministry again. The Unionists might have remained in office until the growth of Socialism ousted them for ever. As it is, however, the Liberals may easily regain power, and we are at present considering how they may best utilise their opportunity if they do. Now nearly all Liberals are more or less strongly in fa\-our of this reform, Vv^hile the party as a whole is pledged to it. How far many Liberals are in earnest, and how far many of them understand the matter, are open questions, as there is a very large landlord and reactionary element in the party ; but that Liberalism is pledged to tax land values is certain. And it is the party interest to do it. The path of the next Liberal Government, whatever they do, will not be easy, and it will be practically impossible if they attempt to play a waiting game and do nothing. vSuch a course would mean another Tory reaction, and another prolonged exile from office. However indifferent wealthy supporters of the party may be to progress, one thing at least is sure — the most lukewarm Liberal is tired of being in opposition, and will make some sacrifice rather than see the Tories in again, at least for a time. Of the Radical section, of course, much more may be said. These men really desire progress, though their conception of progress itself is too frequently behind the times, is too individualistic, to be a sure guide at all points. Again, their devotion to the party is far too great. They are very apt to identify progress with the triumph of their party, and may be little disposed to insist upon an advance when the Whips threaten them with another Tory administration. They do not grasp the fact that 9S The Opportunity of Liberalism if we are not to have a really Progressive administration, we are better without one which professes to be Progressive. There is an element of superstition in their devotion to their own side, or in their dread of their opponents. Still, they are, most of them, thoroughly at one on this question of taxing land values. On their enthusiastic support Ministers could rely ; v^-hile the Whigs could be managed by making it clear that the long-deferred sweets of office would be sacrificed unless the Budget as introduced were passed. The Labour party, if numerous enough, however, will hold the key to the position. The elections at Woolwich and Barnard Castle, and the number of candidates under the auspices of the Labour Representation Committee already in the field, seem to point to a Labour party of not less than twenty, possibly considerably more, in the next Parliament. These men are absolutely Progressive ; many of them ha\'e spent their lives, and several of them have devoted very brilliant talents, to the cause of the people. With them there is no danger as with the Liberals of lukewarmness in reform. Indeed, the danger is all the other way. There is a very real danger that in their enthusiasm for progress, the Labour men may fail to realise the constitutional and other conditions which determine the rate at which progress is possible. If it is to be feared that, rather than let the Tories in again, the Radicals may be inclined to allow the Government to let slip real opportunities for advance, it is equally likely that the Labour men may refuse all support to the Liberals except on conditions which it would be impossible for them to fulfil. Either policy is suicidal. Any real friend of the people, especially at the present juncture, should be ready to aid in turning out a Liberal Government which is letting any fair opportunity for advance slip by ; and, equally, true democrats should recognise the rather narrow limits within which progress is at present possible, and provided Ministers are really doing all they can, however little that may be, should abstain from embarrassing them. The democratic policy should be to keep the Government in so long as we are getting full 96 Possibilities of a Progressive Majority value in return for our support ; but to turn them out at the first opportunity so soon as they attempt to substitute promises for performances. For this reason, I am convinced Labour men should excuse the Government from any ambitious programme of new legislation, which would, as already pointed out, merely bring about a useless conflict with the House of Lords without any guarantee of victory, and insist upon a practical but satisfactory Budget. If they get that, they should keep the Government in at least until it is passed, using the evenings which fall to them in the ballot for advancing new ideas and educating the people. Whether they will do this or not, is unfortunately doubtful. It is only too probable that the new party, if it finds the Liberals dependent upon its vote, will be more willing to grant them temporary assistance in return for some large measure of social reform, probably excellent in itself, but, for reasons already stated, impracticable at the present moment. The Labour men might readily enough induce the Liberals to introduce such a measure, and even the Whigs might be persuaded to vote for it. The Whigs would know perfectly well that the Lords would throw the Bill out, and consequently the support of Labour would be cheaply bought at such a price. At the end of the session, Labour would hnd it had gained nothing in return for its support, and the Liberals could plead that they had done all that was in their power by passing the measure through the only House where they had a majority. On the other hand, if Labour demands only what the Liberals -can actually carry out, whether the Lords like it or not. Budget reform and better administration of the State departments from a Labour point of view, together with such a programme as can be carried without provoking a vain, because premature, conflict with the Peers, they will really get value for their votes, and can at once con- vict the Liberals of hypocrisy if they fail to redeem their pledges. For this reason they will probably find it far harder to get pledges of this kind from the Liberals ; but if they make it perfectly clear that whether the newly- G The Opportunity of Liberalism victorious party is to have their friendly neutrality or their uncompromising opposition in the House and in the country depends entirely upon whether land values are taxed in the iirst Budget or not, I fancy they will get their way. It is more difficult to assure ourselves of the support of the Irish party, necessary as that may be. Except in so far as they have too frequently subordinated the interests of Nationalism to those of the Roman Church, the Irish have quite rightly regarded every British measure purely from the point of view of its bearing on Irish Home Rule. In this they are amply justified. The Irish members are at Westminster against their will, and are forced to take part in English legislation, while they are not allowed to frame the laws of their own country. Under such circumstances they would be excusable if, in the spirit of revenge, the}^ were to use their votes purposely for the injury of the British people who treat them with such injustice. In any case it is simply the duty of the Irish members to make themselves a nuisance, and they cannot be accused of neglecting this duty. The Irishman does not want to be at Westminster, and it is not his business to make his enforced stay there pleasant to those who detain him. He is therefore perfectly right in up- setting the arrangements of English parties, in harrying Ministers, and making the life of the private member a burden to him. He would be perfectly justiiied, in case he could get more for Ireland from them, in bringing the Tories back to office, however disastrous such a course might be to British interests ; he is in no way bound to pay more attention to the interests of our island than we have done to those of his. We may be perfectly certain that the Irish will look at the matter purely from an Irish point of view, and the question we have to consider is what bearing, if any, the taxation of land values can have upon the Nationalist cause. I have said that it is a duty of the Irish member to make himself a nuisance in our Parliament. This he has hitherto only been able to do in one Chamber, as Possibilities of a Progressive Majority the Nationalists have no representatives in the Lords. During the long debates over the Coercion Act of 1881, while the members of the House of Commons found life a burden, when their nights were deprived of rest, and the voice of Mr. Biggar must have haunted them in their dreams, the Lords could go home in comfort each day to dinner, or even afternoon tea. To them the whole affair was no hardship, and we are not surprised to find that the idea of Home Rule made no progress among them. We should remember that political ideas are rarely adopted from pure reason alone. If a member of the House is bored to death by such a question as the Irish one, there is a very strong likelihood that nature will, ere long, reconcile him to any conceivable settlement of the question that is sickening him. This will only appear fantastic to those who imagine that our legislators are above the level of ordinary human nature. I believe that among the factors making for Home Rule in the 'eighties was the simple fact that the eternal Irish Question was wearing members out. Both sides, as we know, were prepared to negotiate with Mr. Parnell ; and if it was the Liberals who managed to arrange with him, the fact that both parties were ready to treat is eloquent as to the effect of Irish obstruction. Now, the two greatest obstacles to Home Rule are Protestant prejudice and the vested interests of landlordism. The progress of the Anglo-Catholic party and the decline of Bible worship are steadily weakening the strength of the old no-Popery feeling in this country. People are becoming either Catholic or secular in sympathy, and the Orange party is getting more and more out of touch with average feeling on this side of the Irish Sea. The Education policy of the present Government has revived the anti-Papist feeling for awhile ; but this cannot last for long, it is against the spirit of the age, and sooner or later the old English horror of Popery will die out, giving place to a tolerant indifference. Mr. Kensit was one of the last champions of a dying cause ; and already it is difficult for most people to feel the horror with which so many worthy folk regarded 99 The Opportunity of Liberalism Mr. Gladstone's Home Rule measures, comparati\-ely recent as the^^ are. Thus one of the main hindrances to Home Rule is dying out with the decline of militant Protestantism ; and it is no less true that the present Government itself aimed a deadly blow at the other. If the Irish Land Bill is a success, the influence of the landlord in Irish politics is nearly over. There will soon be no reason for land- lords to struggle for the preservation of the Union in order to preserve their interest as a class. When this is so, the bitterness will be taken out of the Irish Question, and, as I said in a former chapter, the grant of Home Rule will be a mere question of party convenience. Yet traditions, especially traditional hatreds, die hard, and it will take something to get Home Rule through the House of Lords, unless the Irish member can make himself a nuisance to the Peers as he has done to the Commons. Then, indeed, we may be sure the day of Home Rule will not be long delayed. With the settlement of the Land Question and the death of the old generation of Protestant Peers, the Irish have only got to make their presence at Westminster inconvenient to the Lords, to make the latter quite willing to see them transported to College Green. Now the Irish are as helpless as the Liberals to make the Lords pass democratic legislation. The Lords have only got to turn up in numbers, as they did on the occasion of the last Home Rule Bill, and it does not matter how good the measure, they can turn it out with impunity until a thorough revival of politics has taken place in Great Britain. But as the Liberals can attack the Lords through the Budget with effect, so can the Irish. In the last two decades the Union has been a means of preserv- ing landlordism in Ireland, of which the Irish people would have made a speedy end had they possessed a national Parliament. This is so no longer, and the Irish have only got to show that their presence at Westminster is a menace to English landlordism to convert every landlord in England into a Home Ruler. It is hence, I conclude, lOO Possibilities of a Progressive Majority a clear gain to their cause for Irishmen to assist in taxing English land values. We may be sure that the Lords, so soon as they find the Government attacking their mono- poly with success, will be only too willing to export eighty of its majority to Dublin. Now, if we proceed with the question of land taxation by the method usually proposed, that is in a special Bill for the purpose, we lose half the strength of our position. The Lords, it is true, cannot amend the Bill, but they can reject it without taking upon themselves the responsi- bility of upsetting the finances of the nation. Probably they would not venture to reject most money Bills, as the Lords do not usually go beyond spoiling measures of which they disapprove by amendments. But the taxation of land values strikes at the existence of the landlord order. As soon as we have this, the transfer of the land to the community through the progress of the local public bodies is only a question of time. They might, therefore, reject such a Bill as that recently introduced by Mr. Trevelyan, even in face of a large majority in the Commons ; and it is probable enough that if they did, a Ministry containing Lord Rosebery and other Liberal Imperialists would take the opportunity to drop the subject, and proceed to less disturbing business. But to include the idea in a Budget disarms all opposition once it is done, and achieves three important objects : (i) It demoralises the Lords themselves, who will then begin to understand that it is useless rejecting ordinary Bills likely to be costly to their order, since the Commons can take as much of their income from them as they like by means of the Budget ; (2) it sets free the sources of social evolution by forcing land into the market at its actual value, and enabling the people to acquire it ; and (3) it affords a means of adjusting the disorganised finances of the nation, and letting the class who have most profited by militarism feel how expensive their policy is. Before concluding, I may briefly indicate the few other things which I think might be achieved without provoking a conflict with tlie Lords, before Ministers were in a position lOI The Opportunity of Liberalism to carry it to a successful issue. The Lords have no control over the administration of the departments of State, and a great deal can be done by a right spirit in the manage- ment of them. If it be impossible to carry a measure extending the powers of Borough Corporations, it is at least feasible to check all contentious opposition to the Bills they promote. In the course of a few sessions a favourable Ministry could so discourage such organisations as the British Electric Traction Trust, that outside opposi- tion to the measures of Local Authorities would virtually cease. Ministers could adopt a friendly attitude to the London County Council, refusing to allow Parliament to be made a means for obstructing their work, and could create a tone or attitude in Parliament which it would be very difficult for subsequent Governments to break down. Again, it would be possible for Government to become a model employer, insisting upon reasonable hours and wages for its servants ; it could abandon the stupid attempt of the present Ministry to discourage volunteering, could largely democratise the basis of the army, and break down the influence in it of fashionable society. It could refuse to re-enact the doles granted by Lord Salisbury's Government to the squires and parsons, and could ad- minister the Education Acts in a thoroughly impartial manner. In fact. Ministers, should they so desire it, could introduce a democratic method into administration which no Government following them dare disturb. Some legislation also would be possible. The agitation against the Education Acts of the present Government would probably enable even a weak Liberal Ministry to add to the amount of public control over denominational schools. It was on this point that for once the Liberal and Irish forces agreed, and it is probable that a short Bill increasing the representation on denominational schools from two to four out of six, as proposed by Mr. Dillon, would be accepted by the new House of Commons ; and if so, would probably be agreed to by the Lords, who would not like to risk a contest except on a question vitally affecting their vested interests. In the same measure powers 102 Possibilities of a Progressive Majority could be granted for women to sit in borough and county councils, thus regaining for them their lost influence on education. An amendment to Trade Union law, placing the Unions' funds on the same footing they were supposed to be on before the Taff Vale decision, would also in all probability go through. The Trade Union vote will certainly be recognised as a practical force after next election; and the Tories, whether in the Lords or in the Commons, will be very foolish if they run the risk of handing so potent a political force over to their opponents for good. Such a result would very likely follow either a strong Tory opposition to the amendment of the law in, the Commons or its rejection in the Lords. Whatever the attitude their opponents took up. Liberals would have everything to gain by attempting to put the matter right. If the Tories accepted their measure, the question would be settled ; if not, whatever Trade Unionist vote the Conservatives have at present would be permanently lost to them. The Parish Council Act could be amended so as to restore to it those clauses removed b}^ the Lords in 1893, and generally to augment the powers of the Councils, especially in acquiring land. Other non-contentious but useful measures could be passed, and got out of the way before the fighting sessions with which the Parliament should close, came on, and thus valuable time would be saved when it would be most wanted. In this way the finances of the nation could be steadil}^ retrieved ; the power of the House of Lords, which largely depends on prestige, could be reduced ; and the confidence of the nation could be regained for a more heroic Liberalism in the future. 103 Primed hy Morrison & Gibb Limited, Edinburgh r - . UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LIBRARY I r Los Angeles This (book is DUE on the last date stamped below. Z^t^m fiflSC VO-VW"'' m ^'■''i^i& ^z^'^ ^\^i Form L9 — 15m-10,'48 (B1039)444 UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA AT UC SOUTHERN REGIONAL LIBRARY FACI AA 001 007 302 1 m<