i-.li : ' m \r/ ^■^ ^ *'7i-'4. Free Trade versus Fair Trade. BY Sir T. H. FARRER, Bart. CASSELL & COMPANY, Limited LONDON, PARIS, NEW YORK cC MELBOURNE. 1S85. PREFACE TO FIRST EDITION. For the following pages I am alone responsible. They contain an attempt to illustrate estabHshed ^ truths, and to expose exploded though not obsolete 0^ fallacies ; but they trench so closcK' on the politics OQ of the day that I should have scarce!)' felt justified in writing them for publication ^\•it]l()ut the cncourage- ^ ment of the President of the Board of Trade. 0) JI For the Tables appended. I am indebted to Mr. E. J. Pearson and Mr. Ci. II. Simmonds, of the ej Statistical Department of the I^oard of Trade. The}' Q will be found to contain useful and interesting ■a; ac information, whatever may be thought of the in- ferences I have drawn from them. Those who have had much to do with statistics will know how difficult it is to use them properly, and how eas)' and how mischievous it is to use them carelessly and impro- perly. T. H. FARRER, Board of Trade, Dicimbir, 1881. 42:?r^(>fs PREFACE TO SECOND EDITION. In revising this work and the annexed Tables, I have carried the figures down to date, excepting in Tables VIII. , IX., X., and XI., which relate to a temporary and special subject ; in Tables XIII. and XIV., which give the rates of Import duties levied abroad on our principal manufactures ; and in Tables XVIII., XIX., and XX., which contain an analysis of the Exports of France, Germany, and the United States into food, raw ma- terial, and manufactures. These five Tables involve great labour, and to complete them to the present time would not be worth while. I have added two Tables to the Appendix, the one, XXL, relating to the Trade of the Australian Colonies and Canada during the last decade ; and another, XXII., containing an epitome of the various statistics of the United Kingdom, which are generally appealed to as evi- dence of the condition of its population and industries. Such an epitome I have often wanted myself, and hope that it may be found generally useful. For these Tables, and for the figures and statistics generally, I am indebted to Mr. Bateman, Mr. Simmonds, and Mr. Stanley, of the Commercial Department of the Board of Trade. I have also added observations on various topics, suggested by recent circumstances ; among which may PREFACE. be mentioned Chapter XX., on the question, Whether English taxes on our own industries can be connpensated by duties on foreign goods ; Chapter XXII., on Invest- ment of Capital abroad; Chapter XXXII., on present depression in England ; Chapter XXXIII., on present depression in America ; various illustrations of the diverse effects of Freedom and Protection in particular cases in Chapter XXXV ; and a Chapter on Sugar, XXXVI. I have also tried to eliminate everything of a per- sonal or party character. There has been much Fair Trade literature since the date of my first Edition, but it has not essentially altered the position. I have read it to the best of my ability, and it must not be thought that I have neglected its contents because I have not attempted to criticise them in detail. A straightforward statement of the reasons which make me think the Fair Trade proposals inadmissible is more likely to be readable and effective than a detailed exposure of arguments which seem to me fallacious, or of statements which seem to me incomplete or inaccurate. T. H. FARRER. \st June, 18S5. CONTENTS Prcltmtnnvp. c H A P T E K I . P Difficulty of Knowing what to Answer .... Recognised principles of Free Trade — Vagueness of attacks on these principles — Allegations of national decay — Recent Protectionist utterances — Alleged demoralisation of manufacture by foreign competition — Josiah Wedgwood and Sir Stafford Northcote upon this point — Reaction against Free Trade principles — Pious opinions — Questions deserving an answer. CHAPTER II. Proposals of the Fair Trade League Programme of League — Mr. Sampson Lloyd's letters — Mr. Farrer Ecroyd's resolution — The vagueness of proposals of Fair Trade League — Two great principles — i. Encouragement of colonial trade — 2. Retaliation on foreigners — Assumed national decay — These assumptions answered already — Statistics of condition of England since 1840 (Reference to Table XXII. in Appendix). Part I. — Jl^cto Colonial jpoltri?. CHAPTER HI. General Character of this Policy A great national policy — Imperialism — .Suspicious character of this policy. CHAPTER IV. Assumption that our Colonial Trade is more steadily increasing and less fluctuatinc; than our Trade with Foreign Countries .Superior growth and steadiness of colonial trade assumed — Fair Trade allegations of superior growth and profit of colonial trade — VIU CONTENTS. PAGE Absurdity of their reasoning — Their evidence of the alleged fact — Customs Report of 1881 — Customs statement incomplete and misused — Mr. Forster's speech on Colonial Trade — Exports to colonies and foreign countries since 1840 — Trade with colonies and foreign countries in each of the last 25 years, as a whole — Trade with each foreign country and each colony for each of last 18 years — Exports to each foreign country and each colony for 18 years— Observations on our trade with each foreign country and colony— Germany and Holland: Effectsof French indemnity: Sugar, and how it is paid for — Belgium — France — Italy — Turkey — Egypt — United States— Brazil — Chili and Peru — China — Japan — British North America — West Indies — Australia — South Africa — India: Circuitous trade of England with the East, America, and other foreign countries : Effects of Suez Canal — Tables of colonial imports and exports — Colonial trade does not increase more or fluctuate less than foreign trade ; the two are intimately connected ; are similar ; and are similarly influenced by many local and temporary causes — Reference to Tables in Appendix as to trade of colonies — Conclusions respecting com- parison between colonial and foreign. trade. CHAPTER V. Protection in Foreign Countries 40 Assumption that colonies have less tendency to Protection than foreign counti-ies— Returns of duties, 1859 and 1S79 — Lord Sandon's return — Rates of duty in foreign countries — Russia— — Germany — Holland — Belgium — France — Denmark — Sweden and Norway — Italy — Austro-Hungary — Spain — Portugal — United States. CHAPTER VI. Protection in the Colonies 45 Colonial tariffs — New South Wales — Victoria — South Australia — Western Australia — Tasmania — New Zealand — Queensland — Canada — Cape — West Indies — Mauritius — Ceylon — India — Conclusion that Protective tendencies are as strong in colonies as in foreign countries. CHAPTER VII. Is A Customs Union of the British Empire possible?. . 50 Assumptions of Fair Traders no ground for new colonial policy — But is a new colonial policy desirable on other grounds ? — Cus- toms Union of the British Empire a dream — Self-government involves freedom, and therefore diversity of taxation. CHAPTER VIII. Proposals of the Fair Traders for encouraging Colonial Trade are Proposals to restrict Trade . . . .53 Fair Trade proposals for differential duties in favour of colonies — They are proposals to restrict and diminish trade. CONTENTS. IX CHAPTER IX. 'ACB Proposed Tax on Food 54 Differential Tax on food the keystone of the Fair Trade proposals — Where does our imported food come from ? — Four-fifths from foreign countries and one- fifth from colonies. CHAPTER X. Why is a Tax on Food Objectionable? 5^ Tax on food will raise price of food, but this is not all — Effects of a tax on food— It will raise rents — It will also diminish pro- duction here and abroad — Fair Trade answers to this — Incon- sistency of these answers — A tax on food will raise its price — Cobden quoted as an authority for raising price of food ! — Effect of raising price of food on our workmen at home and on their expenditure. CHAPTER XI. Fallacy of supposing that Colonial Markets will com- pensate us 60 Dealings with colonists are not more profitable than dealings with foreigners — The price paid in goods for a quarter of corn sold in England is the price in the English market, and it is the same wherever the corn comes from — Confusion between individual commercial dealings and International treaties or arrangements. CHAPTER XII. Effects of an English Tax on American Corn on American competition with English Manufactures . . .63 Tax on American agriculture would drive America into manufac- turing competition. CHAPTER XIII. Objection that we are paying for American Corn by re- ceiving back Principal of Investments . . . .64 If America owes us money she must repay, or pay interest, whether we buy her corn or not — Absurdity of supposing that interest on foreign investments supplies luxuries to the rich — Interest on foreign investments comes home as food or raw material — The recent depression has hit the rich and spared the poor — Transfer of trade to colonies will not prevent investments abroad. CHAPTER XIV. Tariff Bargains with the Colonies. Are they possible? 6S To make such bargains we must first impose dutieson ourselves, which is out of the question — But if we did, what should we have to X CONTENTS. PAGE give? — What should we get in return ? -Recent proposals of Imperialist Reformers —Their absurdity — What would the colonies get ? — What would they give ? — What would be the position of the colonies when the bargain is made ? — Ultimate results of such bargains — Any forced attempt at union must lead to disunion. CHAPTER XV. Commercial Treaties with the Colonies, are they possible 74 Can we make commercial treaties with colonies, such as the French Treaty ?— Narrow limits within which such treaties would be applicable — No reason against such treaties in existing Imperial relations, for the self-governing colonies are independent— But are there any duties on colonial produce which we could give up ? — Statement of the quantities and values of articles exported from India and the colonies upon which customs duties are levied in this country — Wine, the only article that affords any scope for alteration of duty — We have nothing to give — " Most favoured Nation " Clause — Difficulty in apply- ing to colonies. , Conclusions of Part I. as to new Colonial Policy . . 8i The English Government can do little or nothing to extend colonial trade — Governments can check but cannot create trade. Part II.— Ectaliation. CHAPTER XVI. Retaliation on Manufactured Goods Absurd . . .82 English Retaliation on foreign manufactures impotent and suicidal. CHAPTER XVII. Proposal to Tax Manufacturers and leave '• Raw Material" I-'ree— Difficulty of the Distinction . . 83 Is the received policy of distinguishing between raw materials and manufactures well founded ? — Impossibility of distinguishing between them— Mr. Sampson Lloyd's letters — New definition of raw material as an article which cannot be produced at home ! CHAPTER XVIII. (Ji)iKR Proposals for Retaliation 86 Arguments in favour of Retaliation — Lord Salisbury at Newcastle in 1881 — His argument derives its strength from commercial treaties — " X," in the Pall Mall Gazette — More reckless advo- cates of Retaliation — Misrepresentation of the origin ot the CONTENTS. policy of fighting hostile tariffs by free imports — Debates of 1843 and 1844 — Our interest is to abolish our own Protective rfuties, whether other nations reduce theirs or not — Origin of our present policy. CHAPTER XIX. Hostile Tariffs must hf, met by Free Imports. Statement OF THE Principle 92 Fallacies in the arguments of Lord Salisbury and others — Protective tariffs impediments not barriers — Position of a Free Trade country in the midst of Protectionist countries — Effect of Protective duties as between two countries only — Effect of Protective duties as between three or more countries — Abstract illustration — Concrete illustration — The nation which remains free will get the largest share of the Trade. CHAPTER XX. First Ohjeciion to the Principle — Home Taxation . . 99 Are our producers to be compensated for the taxes they pay ? — Mr. Sampson Lloyd's taxed bullock — Taxation should be fair as between different classes — But foreign producer pays direct taxes no less than ours, and is burdened with heavier charges of other kinds — Compensating taxation impracticable — The suggestion is absurd in principle. CHAPTER XXL Second Objection to the Principle — Excess of Imports Alleged effect of imports — Fair Trade ploughs, gratis ! — Fair Trade notion, that imports injure Englishmen as producers — Fallacy of distinction between producer and consumer — Largest imports cause largest production — The fear of growing imports — Imjicr- feclion of statistics as statement of Balance of Trade— Excess of imports — Estimate of foreign investments— Outgoings ee American Union, and in the unification of Italy and Ger- many (effects, it must be remembered, odious to many of our own Imperialists), has also produced its bad effects in the Franco- German war, in the Pan-Slavonic movement against Turkey, in the tide of Imperialism which has been sweeping over our- selves, and which is not yet exhausted, in the French troubles in Africa, in the adoption of a protective policy by the United States, and in the partial relapse into a similar policy evinced by some of the nations of Europe and by some of our own colonies. It is not amiss, under such circumstances, that we should be reminded that there is no such thing in politics as an " in- fallible dogma ; " that every one has a right to a " pious opinion ; " that a great political party and its leaders have a perfect right to advocate Retaliation or Reciprocity or Fair Trade, or whatever other name or form a reversal of our existing policy may assume ; and that that policy cannot exist, and ought not to exist, unless it is able to justify itself. There are, moreover, certain questions emerging out of the chaos of wild assertions, to which sensible and dis- an Answer.; interested people, even though they may be resolute Free Traders, may justly require an answer, and which, perhaps, have * Extract from a letter written by Sir Staftord Northcote to Mr. George Potter, dated 30th November, 1884, and published in the Times, Pious Opinions. Questions deserving PRELIMINARY. 5 not been as completely answered as they ought to be; such, Questions for instance, as the following, viz. : — deserving ^^ . ' . , ?' , - . , an answer. How IS It that a period of excessive export, such as 1870-1875, is a period of undoubted prosperity; whilst a period of excessive import, like the subsequent period, has been a period of comparative depression ? If the French Treaty was right, and was followed by enor- mous increase of trade, is it not right to put ourselves in a position to make similar bargains by putting on duties which we can afterwards take off? How is it that the trade of Protectionist or half-Protectionist nations, such as America and France, has advanced as quickly as or more quickly tlian that of Free Trade England ? Does not the present attitude of the world towards Free Trade prove that the anticipations, and consequently the reasoning, of the Free Traders was wrong? Can we do anything to promote trade with our colonies ? Questions such as these, taken by themselves, form detached parts of a great subject, and do not afford a satisfactory oppor- tunity of dealing with the merits of Free Trade or of the objections which have been made to it. I was, therefore, very glad when an association was formed, comprising most of the persons who have been putting forward such objections, and when that association placed before the world a programme in which its authors not only professed to state in short terms their reasons for departing from Free Trade, but placed before the world an outline of the new policy which they would have us substitute for the commercial policy of the last 40 years. Such a programme, however worthless in itself, affords a definite sub- ^''°' ject for discussion, in the course of which we have the great Fair Trade advantage of considering not only whether our present policy is l>eague absolutely good, a question which in this incomplete world it is • seldom possible to answer with perfect satisf^xction, but whether it is, or is not, better than other possible policies. I propose, then, first to state the effect of tlie programme of the Fair Trade League ; to point out shortly the assumptions on which their proposal for a change of policy is founded; to show the ground- lessness of those assumptions ; and then to criticise at some greater length the two main propositions contained in their programme. In doing this, we shall have the opportunity of treating the incidental questions whicli I have mentioned above. FREE TRADE V. FAIR I'RADE. CHAPTER II. PROPOSALS OF THE FAIR TRADE LEAGUE. Programme The programme of the Fair Trade League is not definite in of League, jj.^ particulars, but its principal features are as follows : — 1. Raw materials of manufacture to be admitted free. 2. Food to be taxed when coming from foreign countries ; to be admitted free when coming from our colonies and possessions. This taxation to be maintained for a considerable term, in order to give the colonies time to develop their products. 3. Tea, coffee, fruit, tobacco, wine, and spirits to be taxed 10 per cent, higher when coming from foreign coun- tries than from our own colonies. It is not clear whether it is intended that they or some of them are to be free from taxation altogether, when coming from the colonies. 4. Import duties to be levied upon the manufactures of foreign countries which now impose prohibitory or pro- tective duties on our manufactures ; such duties are to be removed in the case of any nation which will agree to take our manufactures duty free. I am not aware that this programme has been altered since the date of my first edition. The subsequent publications of the League support, but do not materially vary, these proposals. Mr. Samp- Mr. Sampson Lloyd, in his letters published in 1882, would son Lloyd s i^i^^^.g ^g impose a differential tax on all foreign products in favour of all our colonies, with the threat that if any one of them will not reduce their duties on our goods, we will with- draw the privilege from that colon}-, and tax their products as foreign. Mr. Farrer Mr. Farrer Ecroyd has embodied his proposals in the fol- lesolution ^o^^'i'''g resolution, which has at any rate the merit of being more definite : — "That, in view of the growing injury inflicted upon our industries by foreign tariffs, and the consequent importance of more rapidly developing the resources of India and the colo- PRELIMINARY, nies, it is expedient to iVee ourselves as early as possible from the restraints of commercial treaties ; to abolish duties upon tea, coffee, cocoa, and dried fruits imported from British pos- sessions ; to levy specific duties (in no case equal to more than ten per cent, upon ordinary average values) upon the like arti- cles, as well as upon wheat, flour, and sugar imported from foreign countries ; and also to impose an import duty upon foreign manufactures, with the notification that it should cease to operate, as against each nation, from the day on which such nation should admit British manufactures duty free." The recent agitation on the subject of the Colonies and Colonial Federation has given emphasis to the Colonial Policy of the Fair Trade League, and we hear in various quarters pro- posals embodying certain features of that ])olicy. Before dealing with the Fair Trade programme as a prac- The tical proposal, several questions would have to be asked and vagueness i of these answered, e.g.— proposals. 1. \Vhat is meant by raio iiiafericJs., and what is meant by inani/fadures, and what is the economical distinction between the two? This is a question which has not always received the attention it deserves, even at the hands of economists. 2. What would be the effect on the revenue of the prac- tical abolition of the duties on tea, and coffee, and fruit ? As a measure of economical and social reform, it would, of course, if the revenue admits of it, be welcome to every Free Trader. 3. Is it intended that food shall be admitted free from all our colonies, even where they levy protective or prohibitory duties on the produce and manufactures of the United Kingdom ? And if not, is there to be a tariff bargain in each case ? 4. Are the manufactures of the colonies to be admitted free, even where they place a protective or prohibitive duty on the manufactures of the United Kingdom ? These questions raise serious questions of jmnciple and Two gre.it practice, the discussion of v»'hich might prove awkward to the ''""ciples. Fair Traders, and which in general are, probably from this reason, purposely left obscure. But there is sufficient intima- , • „ r i 1 ■ • 1 • I. Encour- tion of two general prmciples, viz. : — at'r se a good to this country; that Australia gets (say) sixteen or twenty times as much of our manufactures in payment for a quarter of wheat as Russia or the United States get ; and that, therefore, it is of the utmost importance to us to transfer our custom from Russia and the United States, to whom we pay so little, to Australia, to whom we pay so much. But it is the facts, not the reasoning, of these passages with which I have now to do. Mr. Farrer Ecroyd continues : — " In con- nection with this subject, let any one carefully study not only the very large value of British manufactures purchased annually per head by the inhabitants of our colonies as compared with the Americans, but also the remarkable steadiness of the colonial demand as compared with the violent fluctuations in that of the United States. And, further, let him examine the expansion during the past twenty-live years of the outlet for our manufactures in India and our colonies, compared with the stunted growth, or positive decline, of the trade to foreign high- tariff markets. He will then be able to form some idea of the demand upon our industries that would accompany the gradual transference to India and the colonies of the growing of fifty million pounds' worth of food, now annually imported from the United States and Russia ; and, bearing in mind that the economic gain from that increase of employment, however great, would probably be of far less value than the moral and social results of its superior steadiness, he will begin to appre- ciate more fully the importance of this great question to our labouring population." These statements are very vague ; but the impression which Their evi- they convey concerning the facts of the colonial trade is shared denceofth( by many persons who are not members of the Fair Trade faclf^ League, and there is some evidence which may be fairly quoted in favour of it. There is, especially, one passage much quoted and relied on, which is both specific and accurate, and which, therefore, it is worth while to give at length. It is 14 FREE TRADE 'c\ FAIR TRADE. from an official report of the Board of Customs,* and is as follows : — " Exports." '^^ Produce and Manufactures of the United Kingdom. ^^ "The value of the produce and manufactures of the United Kingdom exported to foreign countries and British possessions in the year 1880 was as follows, namely : — Foreign Countries 147,806,267 British Possessions 75,254,179 Total 223,060,446 showing an increase of ^31,528,688 upon the value of similar exports in the year 1879, o'^ ^^^ per cent., and by assigning to each of those divisions its proportion of the increase, we find that the value of the goods exported to foreign countries ex- ceeded that of 1879 by ;!^i 7,276,620, or 13^ per cent., and that the value of goods sent to our colonies and dependencies was greater by ;^i4,252,o68, or 23-i- per cent, than in 1879. " The following table shows the percentage of difference in a series of ten years between the value of the export trade in goods of home manufacture to foreign countries and British possessions respectively, on a comparison of the figures of a given year, with those of the year preceding, namely : — Value of Value of Proportion Proportion Year Total Value of Exports to Exports to of Foreign of British Exports. Foreign British Countries Possessions Countries. Possessions. to Total. to Total. £ £ £ Per Cent. Per Cent. 1 87 1. 223,066,162 171,815,949 51,250,213 77-0 23 "O 1872 256,257,347 195,701,350 60,555,997 76-4 23-6 1873 255.164,603 188,836,132 66,328,471 74"o 260 1874 239,558,121 167,278,029 72,280,092 69-8 30-2 1875 223,465,963 152,373,800 71,092,163 68-2 31-8 1876 200,639,204 135,779,980 64,859,224 677 32-3 1877 198,893,065 128,969,715 69,923,350 64-8 35*2 1878 192,848,914 126,611,428 66,237,486 657 34 '3 1879 191,531,758 130,529,647 61,002,111 68-2 31-8 1880 223,060,446 147,806,267 75,254,179 66-3 337 " Taking the extreme limits embraced by the table, we find that * Parliamentary Paper, No. 2953, 1881, p. 19. Observations having a similar tendency occur in the Reports of the Customs for subsequent years, but I will not occupy space by quoting them. PART I. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY. ^5 in 187 1, when the total export value was almost identical with Customs that of 1880, the proportion of the goods that found their way jsT""" to our colonies was represented in value by ^51,250,213, or 23 per cent, of the total sum of p/^223,066,162, whilst in 1880 the proportion was^75,254, 1 79, out of a total of ^223,060,446, or 337 per cent." '■^Exports to British Colonics.'''' " We give below a list of the principal articles, with their values, that make up the aggregate of our trade with the colonies, with the view of showing in what respect the increase of 24 millions, which has accrued in the same period of ten years, is chiefly exhibited." Articles. Apparel and slops Anns, ammunition, and mili- tary stores Beer and ale Coals, cinders, and patent fuel Copper, unwrought and wrought Cotton yarn Cotton manufactures . . . . Iron and steel, unwrought and wrought Leather, unwrought and wrought Machinery and mill work Paper of all kinds Sillv manufactures Woollen manufactures . . . Other articles Value in the Year 1871. Total 1,538,370 356,845 1,195,663 881,418 817,063 2.258,368 19,166,944 4,591,917 1,133,988 999,401 486,084 320,787 3,172,110 14,331,25s Value in the Year 1880. Increase in 188 as compared with 1871. 2,675,766 565,904 1,209,733 1,224,315 1, 206, 888 3,789,685 27,349,975 8,222,146 1,362,581 2,065,995 959,378 878,089 4,414,763 19,328,961 51,250,213 75,254,179 £. 1,137,396 209,059 14,070 342,897 389,825 1,531,317 8,183,031 3,630,229 228,593 1,066,594 473,294 557,302 1,242,653 4,997,706 24,003,966 " The above-mentioned twenty-four millions represent an increase of nearly 47 per cent, in ten years in regard to our trade with the colonies, but, on the other hand, the value of our trade with foreign countries has decreased in the same period from ;^i7i,8i5,949 to ^147,806,267, or 14 per cent., the total export trade for 1871 and 1880 being, as we have said, almost identical in amount, although sliowing such wide differences when classified under ' Foreign Countries ' and ' British Possessions ' respectively." i6 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Customs Statement as to Colo- nial Trade ncom- plete and mis- used. Now, this passage is, as I have said, perfectly accurate as regards the facts to which it is confined ; the misfortune is that it does not contain all the facts, or give a complete account of the case; that it consequently conveys a wrong impression, and that it is capable of being misused, and has been misused accordingly. In the first place, ten years is far too short a time by which to measure the progress and value of different branches of trade. In the second place, this table only professes to give the exports of British produce from the United Kingdom ; it does not give the imports, and without this it is useless as an index to the comparative values of the foreign and colonial trades, except, indeed, in the opinion of those who think that the value of our trade depends solely on what we give, and not also on what we get. In the third place, by lumping all foreign countries on the one side, and all the difterent British possessions on the other, an impression is produced that there is some general law governing each class, which produces results differing for the two classes, but identical for all the cases within each class ; and this impression is made use of with great effect by those who contend that the whole object of Trade is to export, and that, since the colonies take a growing proportion of our exports, it is our business to encourage trade with our colonies, at the expense of our trade with foreign countries. I have already pointed out how different are the circumstances of the dif- ferent parts of the British Empire, and how much our relations to our self-governing colonies differ from our relations to India. Now, it is not a little remarkable that if we analyse the above comparison of 1880 with 187 1 we shall find that the greatest increase in exports to the colonies, on which the Customs report lays stress, is due to India. Our exports of British produce to India were — In 1871 „ 1880 ^'18,053,478, or 8-1 per cent, of the total. 30,451,314, or 137 The exports to the Australian colonies were : — In 1871 . . ^10,051, 982, or 4"5 per cent, of the total. „ 1880 . . 16,930,935, or 7-6 „ ,, The exports to British North America were : — - In 1871 . . j^8,257, 126, or 37 per cent, of the total. „ 1880. . 7,708,870, or 3-5 i'ART t. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 1 7 Further, in 1880 the exports to British India were Customs ;^9, 000,000 more than in 1879, thus accounting for three- J^P°'''i^^j^j fifths of the increased colonial export for that year ; so that, 'imde in- whilst the exports to India and to Austraha very largely complete increased in the decade, tliose to British North America used""^' diminished. Similar differences might be pointed out in the exports to foreign countries. When investigated, they are often very in- structive, as I hope to show below. I mention this now only to prove, even within the narrow limits of the Customs table, how fallacious it is to draw from figures of this description any such general results as the Fair Traders have done. It would be useless to quote or answer all the erroneous statistics, or erroneous conclusions from statistics, which have appeared on this subject ; but when so great an authority as Mr. W. E. Forster, in advocating Imperial Federation, is said to have quoted figures concerning the comj^arative value of our foreign and colonial trade, some of which are inaccurate and others incomplete, it is worth while to call attention to the fact. I need not say that Mr. Forster has never indorsed the views of the Fair Traders : but, on the contrary, if I remember right, he expressly repudiates them. In his recent speech at Bradford, as reported in the Times Mr. of February 26th, 1885, are the following statements: — forster s " The annual trade of the British dominions beyond the colonial seas with the United Kingdom was — exports and imports, Trade. ;;/^i 90,000,000 ; and with other countries _;^i 70,000,000 ; a total of ^^360,000,000, or six times what it was at the begin- ning of this century." These figures of the trade are, after deducting bullion, and deducting also Malta trade, in accordance with the official returns of the trade for 1882 ; but as regards the trade at the l)eginning of the century, I cannot find that there are any figures which can be quoted with confidence. Mr. Forster's speech, as reported, goes on to state that " the trade of the United Kingdom with foreign countries in 1872 was more than ;!^248,ooo,ooo, and in 1882 was ;^2 14,000,000; a decrease in 10 years of ^34,000,000 ; and that the trade of the United Kingdom with British possessions, which in 1872 was ;^66,ooo,ooo, had increased in 1882 to ;!^99,ooo,ooo." The figures no doubt relate to the export trade only ; and, ^if so, they are not quite correct. The actual figures are : c Mr. Fors- ter's s] on Co' Trade 18 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. 1S72. ter's speech To Foreign Countries .. .. .. ;,^249,ooo, 000 on Colonial To British Possessions . . . . . . ;^66,ooo,ooo 1S82. To Foreign Countries .. .. .. ;^2I4, 000,000 To British Possessions . . . . . . ;^92, 000,000 But to take any single year as the test of the course of trade, without examining the circumstances, is very apt to mis- lead, and does so in this instance. It so happens that 1872 was a year in which our exports to the Continent were much swollen by the results of the Franco-German war, and the pay- ment of the French indemnity,* and, probably, also swollen by errors in our own export figures. It is also, for reasons given at length elsewhere, t misleading to take our exports alone, or our exports to particular countries, as tests of the value of trade. Imports are as valuable as exports, and exports to a colony may be, and probably are, only one link in a chain in a circuitous trade which binds Eng- land, the colonies, and foreign countries together. The figures which I have given below and in the Appendix embrace the whole of our trade for many years ; and it is to these taken as a whole, and not to the reports for a particular year, that we must look if we mean to draw accurate conclusions. Mr. Forster is further reported to have said that the " total trade of imports and exports of the United Kingdom with the world outside British possessions had increased from 1S54 to 1882 more than 77 per cent., but that the total trade, import and export, of the United Kingdom with British possessions had increased more than 170 per cent." If Mr. Forster said this, he must have been grossly misled. The official figures are as follows : — Foreign Countries. British Possessions. Total. 1854 .. .. ;^i97,ooo,ooo £-ji,ooo,ooo ^268,000,000 1882 .. .. ^^528,000,000 ;f 192,000,000 ^720,000,000 Increase .. .. ;,f 33 1,000, 000 ;^I2I, 000,000 ;if 452,000, 000 Increase per cent. . . l6S 170 169 So that our trade with the colonies, instead of increasing more than twice as fast as our trade with foreign countries, * See below, pp. 26 and 27. f See below, pp. 30—36. PART I. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 19 has in fact just kept pace with it. More complete figures on this point will be found below. It is no doubt difficult to give, except in figures so long and minute as to be unreadable, any general view of the com- parative results of our trade with the different countries of the world, but I will try to do so as briefly as I can, relegating the more cumbrous tables to an Appendix. First, assuming the position held by the Fair Traders, that Exports to what we give, and not what we get, is the standard by which ^nd '^^ to judge of the profits of trade, let us see what our exports of Foreign British produce have been since 1840. Countries since 1840. Statement shoivingthe Total Exports of British and Irish Produce frovi the United Kingdom to the tender mentioned Countries in each of the Years 1840, 1S60, 1872, 18S0, and 1S83. 1840. i860. 1872. 1880. 1883. £, £ £. £. £. To Colonies 11,886 167 26,699,543 42,084,603 44,802,865 51,603,468 ,, British India . . 5,212,839 16,965,292 18,471,394 30,451,314 31,874,084 ,, Europe : Russia 1,602,742 ^,269,079 6,609,224 7,952,226 5,036,614 Germany .... 5,579,66q 13.491. 513 31,618,749 16,943,700 18,787,635 Holland .... 3,416,190 6,114,862 16,211,775 9,246,682 9,506,246 Belgium 880,286 1,610,144 6,499,062 5,796.024 8,327,941 France 2,378,149 5,249,980 17,268,839 15,594.499 17,567,512 Spain 404,252 2.471.447 3,614,448 3,222,022 3.785,034 Italy 2,162,931 4,514,287 6,557.538 5,432.908 7,121,948 1 urkey 1,387,416* 5,064,233 7.639.'43 6,765,966 6,689,775 Otr Countries in Europe.. 2,006,555 4,984,956 10,987,309 9,727,887 11,695,989 „ United States of America .. .■;,283,02o 21,667,065 40.736,597 30,855,871 27,372,968 Total 25 101,210 68,437,566 147,742,684 "1,537,785 1x5,891,662 ,, Other Countries 9,108,524 23,788,826 47,958,666 36,268,482 40,430,259 Total Foreign 34,209,734 92,226,392 195.701,350 147,806,267 156,321,921 Total 51,308,740 135,891,227 256,257,347 223,060,446 239,799.473 Including Greece, Wallachia, and Moldavia in 1S40. Putting these figures in the form of percentages, they are as follows : — To Colonies, To India. To Foreign Countries. 1840 . . 23 . . 10 . . 67 . . 100 i860 . . I9i • 12;^ . 68 100 1872 . \b\ . 7 76h . 100 IS80 . 20 13^ • 66^ . 100 IS83 . . 2li . I3k . 65i . 100 C 2 20 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. There is here no symptom of any permanent increase in the percentage of the colonial exports, but rather the reverse. The percentage of the foreign exports, which rose rapidly with the loans and inflation of 1872, has otherwise remained steady, and there have been great fluctuations in the per- centage of the Indian trade. There is certainly nothing in these figures to lead one to suppose that we should < sacrifice the trade with foreign countries in order to nurse the colonial trade. Trade with But no view of trade is complete which deals with exports Colonies alone, nor is a comparison of one single year at one period with Foreign another single year at another sufficient to show the general Countries coursc of trade. I have therefore annexed* four tables, the^last° showing for each of the last twenty-eight years the amount and asyears, as proportions of our trade with foreign countries and with our a whole, Q^yj-^ colonies and possessions respectively. The first of these tables gives the exports of produce of the United Kingdom ; the second gives the total exports, including re-exports of foreign and colonial produce ; the third gives the total im- ports ; and the fourth gives the total of the imports and exports. For each year is given the percentage of the foreign and colonial trades respectively. From these tables it is clear that whether we take, as the Fair Traders do, the exports of British produce only, or the total exports, or the total imports, or, which is the fairest test, the whole of the trade exports and imports together, there is not the least ground for the assertion that the whole of our trade with our own posses- sions has grown faster than our trade with foreign nations, or that it is subject to fewer fluctuations. Taking the exports of the produce of the United Kingdom, the exports to the colonies were 33 millions in 1S56, rose to nearly 54 millions in 1866, sank to 48 millions in 1869, rose to 72 millions in 1874, fell to 61 millions in 1879, rose to nearly 85 millions in 1882, and fell to 83 ly^ millions in 1883. Of the imports, the colonial share is smaller, but ecjually fluctuating. It was 43 millions in 1856, 38 millions in 1858, 93 millions in 1864, since which time it declined, being as low as 73 millions in 187 1, and 78 millions in 1878, rising again to 92 millions in 1880, and to 99 millions in 1882. Taking the whole of the trade of the United Kingdom — imports and exports * See Tables I., II., III., and IV., in Appendix. PART I. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 21 together — which is by far the fairest test, the colonial sliare of the trade was 80 milUons in 1856, 149 milHons in 1864, 114 miUions in 1867, 165 miUions in 1877, 145 milHons in 1879, 174 millions in 1880, and 191 millions in 1882. If we turn to the tables, we shall see that these fluctuations are as great as those which have taken place in the trade with foreign countries. The proportion which our colonial trade bears to our whole trade has varied between 31 "3 per cent., at which it stood in 1863, to 20-9 per cent., at which it stood in 1871 ; it stood at 25'6 per cent, in 1856, at 24*9 per cent, in 1880, at 267 per cent, in 1882, and at 25*8 per cent, in 1883. It has kept pace with our foreign trade, and forms about a quarter of it. But it fluctuates as much as our foreign trade, and forms a smaller proportion of it now than it did twenty years ago. But even these figures, whilst amply sufficient to show that there is no ground whatever for supposing that our foreign trade, as a whole, is either more precarious or less profitable than our colonial trade, lump all foreign countries and all colonies together, and fail to show how different has been the course of trade with different colonies and different countries, and how fallacious it is to include in one and the same class either the one or the other. I have there- fore added to the Appendix some tables,* showing what has been the course of trade with each foreign country and _ . , with each colony or group of colonies for the last eighteen each years, giving for each country and for each year the exports Foreign and imports separately, and the percentage which they con- ^"^""^j, stitute of the aggregate imports and exports. I have also colony for added a tablet giving a summary of the whole, showing, in the each of las>t form of percentages, what has been the proportion which ^ y^^'^- our trade with each country and each colony in each }'ear, and in each completed period of five years, has borne to our whole trade. The following summary shows at a glance what proportion of our whole trade has been carried on with each t'oreign country and each colony for each of the three periods of five years, ending with 1880, and for the subsequent three years. * See Tables V. and VI., in Appendix, t See Table VII., in Appendix. FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Foreign Countries. Statemenl oj the proportion Per Cent, of our whole Foreign Trade carried on with each Foreign Country. Russia ma"; H°'l-d Belgium France Italy Titrkej- Egypt 5 Years 1 ending I 1870. J Pr. Ct. 5-3 Pr. Ct. 9-0 Pr. Ct. 5-4 Pr. Ct. 3-2 Pr. Ct. 11-2 Pr. Ct. 19 Pr. Ct. 2-6 Pr. Ct. 4-5 5 Years 1 [ ending I 1 5'° 1875. 1 i 8-8 5-5 41 IO-8 1-8 21 2-9 5 Years 1 ending \ • 4'2 1880. J 8-2 5-8 3-8 10-9 1-6 19 19 1881 1 3-3 1882 4'l 1883 3-9 7-6 7.8 8-2 5-5 5-8 5-6 3-6 4-2 4'2 lO'I 9-6 9-3 1-6 1-5 1-6 17 1-6 1-8 1-8 I "5 1-8 Average for ) whole Period, j 4-6 8-5 5-6 3-8 107 rS 21 2-8 Foreign Countries {continued). United States Brazil i Chili Peru China Japan Other entries Total 5 Years "| ending \ 1870. J Pr. Ct. 137 15-5 Pr. Ct. 2-5 Pr. Ct. Pr. Ct. 1-2 I-O 1 1 Pr. Ct. 30 Pr. Ct. 03 Pr. Ct. 12*2 Pr. Ct. 77 -o 5 Years "j ending \ 1875- J 2-3 II I'l 2-8 04 13-1 77-3 5 Years 1 endini:; 1880'. J 17-6 1-8 oS 0-8 28 0-5 12-8 75-4 1881 1882 18S3 20 "2 177 i8-6 16-3 1-9 1-9 1-8 0-8 0-9 0-8 o-S 2-4 0-5 2-1 0'4 2-0 0-5 0-4 0-4 12-8 13-8 13-8 74-3 73-4 74-2 Average for 1 whole Period. J 2-1 10 0-9 27 04 12-8 76-1 PART I. NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 23 Colonies and Bkitish Tossessions. Statement of the troportion Per Cent, of oiirwhole Foreign Trade carried on tvith each Colony. British North America British West Indies Australian Colonies , ,. South '"J'* Africa Other British Total Possessions 1 5 Years \ ending [ 1870. \ Pr. Ct. 27 Pr. Ct. 17 Per Cent. 4-8 Pr. Ct. ! Pr. Ct. 97 0-9 Per Cent. 3-2 Per Cent. 23-0 5 Years | ending > 1875- ) 31 ' 1-5 5*3 81 I '2 3-5 227 5 Years \ ending > 1S80. ) 2-9 1-5 6-6 8-5 1-6 3-5 24-6 1881 1882 1883 3-0 1-2 2-9 1-4 3-0 1-2 7-4 7-2 9-2 9-8 9-9 1-9 2-0 15 3'i 31 3-0 257 26-6 25-8 Average for | whole Period, f 2-9 1 1-5 1 5-9 8-9 1-4 3-3 23-9 In order that I may not appear to overlook the facts reUed on by the Fair Traders, I give the following summary, in a similar form, of the course of our export trade to each country. The following percentages are the percentages of the total exports, including re-exports of foreign and colonial produce. But the percentages are much the same as they would be if the exports of the produce of the United Kingdom alone were included, and in the tables appended the figures for both kinds of export are given fully. But, whilst I give these figures in deference to the weaknesses of the Fair Traders, I protest against the notion that exports arc more important than imports, and also against the notion tliat the direct trade to or from each country and colony shows the whole character of the transaction. Trade is circuitous, and the debt which accrues to us in consequence of an export to a colony is often repaid to us by our imports from some foreign country. More- over, as we shall see below, temporary causes have an immense effect both on our exports and imports ; and although in the long run trade bnlances itself, the exports to any one country for any given year, or short term of years, or even the exports Exports to each Foreign Country and each Colony for iS 24 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Exports to each Foreign Country and each Colony for 1 8 years. and imports together, are often a most imperfect index of the nature of our whole trade with that country. Exports to Foreign Countries. Statement of the proportion Per Cent, of Exports from United Kingdom, including Ke-exports, to each of the undermentioned Foreign Countries. Russia.' Ger- many I Pr. Ct. I Pr. Ct. 5 Years ending ^ 3-5 , 12-6 1870. Hollandi Belgium France I Italy ITurkey Eg>-pt Pr. Ct. I Pr. Ct. I Pr. Ct. ! Pr. Ct. | Pr. Ct. 5 Years ending 1875- 3-6 12-6 6-9 i 3"4 7-6 4-5 2-8 3-2 io"o 27 2-5 5 Years 1 j | ending I 3-6 11-4 62 1880.' J i 1 1881 1882 1883 Average for ) whole Period. / 3-1 9-9 ! 5-1 2-8 ■ io"o 1 5"3 2-5 , 10-4 I 5-2 3*4 irS I 6 "6 47 10-5 2-8 4-6 4-9 4-8 4 '4 •5 lOT 2'5 97 2-4 2'3 9-6 , 27 2-4 lO'I 27 Pr. Ct, 3 "3 1-8 II 0-9 12 Exports to Foreign Countries {cofitinued). United B^^^;i States Chili Peru j Pr. Ct. I Pr. Ct, 5 Years ending \ 117 | 27 1870. 5 Years 'j ending \ i2"o 1875- i ; 5 Years ending 1880, 9*4 1881 1882 1883 12'4 126 2-5 Pr. Ct. Pr. Ct. 10 06 o"9 08 2-5 2-3 2-4 2-3 Av. for whole ) i jj.- ^-e Period. )"' •' ' ■' 0'6 o*4 0-9 0-3 I'D o"4 07 ! 0-3 China Japan Pr. Ct, 2-6 Other Foreign Countries t Total Pr, Ct. Per Cent, 07 I II-8 1-9 07 ! I2'6 x-9 2'l I -6 1-5 I2-8 i-i 12-8 0-8 I 12-8 0-9 ! 13-9 o"9 j o 6 j 2'o I o'8 ] i2'6 Pr. Ct. 76-9 767 71-6 70-8 69-9 70 "4 74-2 mm^t^sm^ PART I. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 25 Colonies and British Possessions. Stateincnl of the proportion Per Cent, of Exports from United Kingdom, including Re-exports, to each of the undermentioned Colonies. British North America ladies ' Australi.-i \ India South Africa Others Toul 5 Years 1 ending \ 1870. J Pr. Ct. 2-9 Pr. Ct. ' Per Cent. 1-2 5-4 Pr. Ct. 8-9 Pr. Ct. 07 Pr. Ct. 4-0 Per Cent, 23- 1 5 Years "1 ending I 1875. J 3-3 1-2 59 7-5 ID- 1 I -4 4-0 23-3 5 Years 1 ending \ 1880. J 2-9 31 3-5 3 3 I "2 77 i 2-2 43 284 1881 1882 18S3 10 II I '2 S-i 9-3 8-8 10-4 lO'O 10-9 2-6 2*6 17 4-0 3-6 37 29-2 30- 1 29-6 Average for ) whole Period. ) 3-1 I '2 6-8 9-1 1-6 4-0 25-8 E.xports to each Foreign Country and each Colony for 18 years. It would take more time and more knowledge than I possess Obseiva- to explain in detail the figures contained in the appended ''°"y°JJje tables. Each foreign country and each colony shows its own with each fluctuations, both of imports and exports, and these fluctuations foreign have been as great in the colonial as in the foreign trade, j, °j" "^^ It would be most instructive to trace these fluctuations to their Colony, real causes. Protectionist tariff's have, no doubt, in some cases, and to some extent, been causes of these fluctuations ; but other causes, such as the cotton flimine, the Franco-German war, the French indemnity, Engli.sh investments abroad, bad harvests in Europe and good ones in America, the wars in South Africa and in Egypt, have probably been still more potent factors. To trace the effect of these causes would throw light on many a delusion, and it is to be wished that some competent person would undertake to do this completely. At present I can only call attention to one or two facts connected with the different trades. 26 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. 0/fr Trade with Germany and Holland. These two countries may be taken together, since much German trade goes through Holland. Their proportion of our whole trade, including imports and exports, has remained steady during the last eighteen years. The exports increased in the five years ending 1875, especially in the years 1871 and 1872, and decreaseei in the five years ending with 1880, and have since slightly increased. The exports of British produce to Germany were, in 1870, 20 millions; in 1872, 31^ millions; of which considerably more than one-half consisted of cotton and woollen manufactures; in 1880, 17 millions, and in 1883, nearly 19 millions. The German tariff may have been one cause of the diminution in 1880, and a real decline in the de- mand for English woollen manufactures may have been another. But in comparing the figures of cotton and woollen manu- factures of different periods, there are several circumstances to be taken into consideration. There were probably considerable errors in our Trade statistics up to 1872-73, making the value of woollen exports appear larger than it really was. Further, the price of the raw material constitutes a large part of the price of the manufactured article ; the whole of the raw cotton and much of the raw wool come to us from abroad, and have to be paid for ; and the prices of both have fallen since 1872, that of raw cotton more than 30 per cent. The apparent loss on exports has, therefore, to be diminished by the difference. But there was another tempo- rary cause, independent of tariffs and of prices, which, no doubt, increased our exports to Germany in 187 1 and [872. Effects of The French indemnity of 200 millions was paid to Germany French partly in French cash, partly in French exports, but partly also ncemni y. (.]-jj.Q,^,g]-^ England, SO that a part, and probably no inconsiderable part, of the large English exports of merchandise to Germany in the period from 187 1 to 1875 consisted, in fact, of advances to Germany on French account, to be repaid to England by France. This is confirmed by finding that the imports into Germany from the principal European countries, viz., France, Belgium, United Kingdom and India, Italy, and also from the United States, during the five years 187 1 to 1875, exceeded her exports to those countries by 23 millions a year, an excess which was reduced to eight millions in PART I. NEW COI.ONIAI, POLICY. 2"] 1877.* It is also confirmed by the l'"rcnch statistics,! which, after showing a large excess of imports in 1871, probably to make up losses caused by the war and the defective imports of 1870, show a large excess of exports, especially to Germany, Belgium, England, and Switzerland, amounting to not less than 24 millions a year during the years 1872 to 1875. ^^ short, France borrowed to pay the indemnity; England and other countries made advances in the shape of goods, and France has since been repaying these advances, or the interest upon them. There are, therefore, good reasons to explain the increase of German trade in 1872-75, and its subsequent decrease, without supposing that English industry is on the decline, or that the demand for English manufactures, even in Germany, is failing. On the contrary, it appears that it is now again on the increase. The trade with Belgium is also increasing, as mentioned below. Taking Germany, Holland, and Belgium together, there is a point in our recent trade with them which deserves special notice. The increase in the exports of British produce to Germany, Sugar, an I Holland, and Belgium has been four millions and a half between p°|j foj.^ 1880 and 1883. The increase in the value of the imports of sugar from these countries in the same years was about three millions. As these are the countries which are accused of injuring our workmen by giving a bounty on sugar, it may be some consolation to learn that they are not only providing us with cheap sugar at their own expense, but are also taking our goods in return, and employing our other industries to a larger extent than they ever did before. | Our Trade witli Bd'^im/i. Our whole trade with Belgium is steady. Our export trade Belgium, to Belgium is, on the whole, increasing ; but the export of British produce was rather more in the years 1871-75 than in the years 1876 to 18S0, probably for the same reasons as have been shown to apply in the case of Germany. The total "* See Table VIII., giving the Exports and Imports of Germany from 1868 to 1877. These figures are taken from the statistics of the several countries. If taken from German statistics, the figures for the imports into Germany would, no doubt, be increased, and those of exports from Germany diminished. t See Tables IX. and X., French Imports and Exports, 1868 101877. + See Chapter on Sugar below, p. 186 28 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. export trade to Belgium is now again increasing, and aniounts to fifteen millions. Our Trade with France. The proportion which our trade with France bears to our whole trade has varied very little. It was rather less in nominal value in the five years ending 1880 than in the previous five years, but has been increasing since 1879. Our exports to her increased very largely in 187 1, and have maintained a high average since. They were 33 millions in 187 1, 25^ millions in 1877, ^i^d 29-I millions in 1883. But in 1871, out of the 33 millions, 15 were re-exports; in 1877, out of the 25J, II were re-exports ; whilst in 1883, less than 1 2 were re-exports. I'his is probably due to the effect of the Suez Canal in bringing Oriental goods direct to French ports On the other hand, the exports of British and Irish produce to France were 18 millions in 187 1, 14 millions in 1877, and nearly 17I millions in 1882 and 1883; so that France is now taking more of our own produce than she did a few years ago. Her exports to England, in common with her exports to other European countries, increased still more largely, giving, as above stated, a surplus of exports over imports to these coun- tries for the five years ending 1875 of 18 millions a year, a surplus probably due to the payment of the German indem- nity. Since then French imports into the United Kingdom have diminished from 46 millions in 1875, to 38^? millions in 1883. Our Trade with Italy. There has not been much change in the amount or propor- tion of our trade with Italy. But one thing is remarkable. Italy is one of the few countries where our exports exceed our imports. This they have clone for the last eighteen years, at the rate of two millions a year and upwards. During the last three years the excess has been from four to five millions. Now it is impossible to believe that we are doing trade with Italy at a loss. Is it not more than probable that Italy pays her balance to us in a circuitous way ? Looking to the French statistics (see Table X.), we find that the imports from Italy into France exceed the exports from France to Italy by an amount averaging in the last ten years five millions sterling a year ; and we hear, usque ad nauseam, PART I. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 29 that France sends us many millions more than she takes from us. It is, therefore, most likely the case that Italy sends us goods through France, and thus pays her balance to us, and increases the apparent French exports to England at the same time. Our Trade with Turkey. Our imports from Turkey decreased largely between 1877 Turkey, and 1879, fo'" reasons too obvious to dwell upon. It has since increased by two millions. Our Trade with Egypt > There has been a large diminution in our trade with Egypt. Egypt, but some of it is nominal, because since the opening of the Suez Canal many cargoes to and from the East, formerly entered as to and from Egypt, have been entered as to and from the countries of destination and of shipment in the P2ast. They may thus possibly swell the apparent increase of our Indian and Colonial trade. In the comparative cessation of the import of raw cotton from the East since the American market has been re-opened, and in the cessation of loans to Egypt after 1873, are to be found other reasons for the diminu- tion of our trade with Egypt. Our Trade with the United States. It is our trade with the United States which is the pons United asinoruin of our Fair Traders, and I shall have occasion to refer States, to it again.* Our whole trade with them has increased very largely, both absolutely and proportionately. It constituted 137 per cent, of our whole trade in the five years ending 1S70, and 1 7 "6 per cent, of our whole trade in the five years ending 1880. For the last three years it has ranged from 177 to 2o"2 per cent. Our exports to the United States were 117 per cent, of our whole exports in the period 1866 to 1870, and only 9-4 per cent, in the period 1875 to 1880. Since 1880 they have ranged from 12 "6 to 12 per cent. This diminution, together with a considerable addition to the aggregate trade, is made up by an increase of imports. The exports to the United States, which had risen very largely in 1880, have maintained themselves at about 37 millions, being by far the largest amount exported to any one country, whether foreign or * See Chapters XXVIII., XXXIIL, XXXIV., and XXXV. 30 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. British. The imports from the United States, which were 107 milhons in 1880, were 99 milHons in 1883. It would be idle to repeat what has been said so often already ot our loans to the United States made in the earlier period, and of the payment of interest upon these loans which now appear in our imports. Nor is this the place in which to attempt to disprove the assumption made without the shadow of an argument, and, as I believe, without the shadow of foundation, by some of the Fair Traders, that we are now calling back capital from the United States. This point is referred to below in the chapter on exports and imports (Chap. XXI.); here I will only notice that, in speaking of the reasons for the excess of imports, I have given some figures which, if they approach the truth, show that we are increasing and not diminishing our foreign investments ; that we are still lending rather than recalling capital ; and, if this is so, the United States is certainly one of the countries to which we are lending most. One or two important facts I may point out which are shown by these tables — viz., first, that our exports to the United States increased from 17^ millions, at which they stood in 1 87 8, to 38 millions in 1880 ; and, secondly, that there are circumstances mentioned below, untler the head of Indian trade, which make it in the highest degree probable that we pay for imports of corn from America by exporting manufactures to our own possessions in the East. As an illustration of the way in which this may take place, I may quote a passage from the Economist in the second week ot October, 1881 : — "Last week the steamer Australia, from Sydney, landed over a million dollars in gold at San Francisco. Australia, of course, pays this gold on English account." Our Trade unth Brazil. Our trade with Brazil has declined, but the imports have decreased more, and are now less, than the exports. As we have lent money to Brazil and do much of the carrying trade for her, it is clear that our imports from her ought very largely to exceed our exports to her ; and as her exports to the United States very largely exceed her imports from the United States, there can be little doubt that we pay some of our debts to the United States for corn and cotton, by exporting our manufactures to Brazil. PART I. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY, 3I Our Ti'ade witJi Chili and Peru. Both our aggregate trade and our exports to Chili and Peru Chili and considerably decreased in the five years ending with 1880, and ' ^™* for this the cessation of our loans to Peru, and the subsequent Peruvian collapse, and afterwards the war between Chili and Peru, arc sufficient reasons. They now show s)m])toms ol revival. Our Trade 7C'ith China. Our imports from China maintained their comparative China, position until 18S0; since then they have decreased a little both absolutely and comparatively, possibly in consequence of a larger quantity of Chinese goods going direct to Continental ports through the Suez Canal. Our exports to China averaged six millions in the five years ending 1S70 ; nearly six millions in the five years ending 1875 ; ^i"*^^' something less than five millions in the years ending 1880. During the three years ending 1883 the exports have maintained about the same position as in the previous five years. This, however, is a case where nominal values conceal the real facts. Three-fourths and more of our exports to China consist of cotton and woollen manufactures. Now the quantity of cotton goods exported to China during the latter period was 2 "6 per cent, more than during the previous five years, and of woollen goods iS per cent. At the same time the price of raw cotton, which forms a large proportion of the cost of cotton goods, was 23 per cent, less in the latter than in the former period, and the cost of raw wool also much less. Consequently the real value of the exports of the produce ot British labour was considerably greater in the latter than in the former period. Yet this increasing export trade is what the Fair Traders desire to check, by placing a differential duty on Chinese teas. It must also be remembered that Hong Kong, the trade with which swells the lists ot colonial imports and exports, is really a depot for China, and that in order to do justice to the trade of China, a great part ot our trade with Hong Kong should be added. Our Trade icifh Japan. The aggregate trade and the exports have both increased. Japan. 3« TREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADEi Oi/r Trade zvith British North America. British North America is certainly one of the colonies to which our Fair Traders would wish to show special favour. It is Canada which is to profit by their new policy, especially by a tax on United States corn. Now, according to our own statistics, our annual imports from British North America have averaged 9^- millions in the five years ending 1870, 10^ millions in the five years ending 1875, 11-^ millions in the eight years ending 1883. Our annual exports have averaged 6| millions in the five years ending 1870, 10 millions in the five years ending 1875, and 8} millions in the eight years ending 1883. So that whilst the imports from Canada have gone on increasing, our exports to Canada under her Protectionist tariff have not only not increased in proportion, but are less than they were at an earlier period. These are figures from our own statistics. I have not the most recent Canadian figures, but the following is an extract from the speech made in the Canadian House of Commons by Sir Richard Cartwright on the 3rd March, 1885, in answer to Sir Leonard Tilley's Protectionist budget speech. "Of our own produce, we sold to Great Britain in 1873, 31,876,000 dollars; in 1884, 37,410,000 dollars worth. We sold 6,000,000 dollars more of our own produce to Great Britain in 1884 than we did in 1873, and from the people of Great Britain, with whom the INlinister (Sir L. Tilley) desires to favour our trade we bought in 1873, 68,360,000 dollars, and in 1884 we imported 41,826,000 dollars. We sold them 6,000,000 dollars more than we did eleven years ago, and we bought from them 26,000,000 dollars less, and the honourable gentleman con- siders that a proof, I suppose, of how favourable his tariff has been to the interests of our trade with Great Britain. I apply the same rule to our exports to the United States. In 1873, deducting bullion and short returns, we sold to the people of the United States 33,416,000 dollars worth of goods. In 1884 we sold them 31,632,000 dollars worth. We sold them about 2,000,000 dollars more than in 1873, deducting the goods in transit, with which the honourable gentleman has no right to complicate the account. In 1873 we bought from the people of the United States 38,147,000 dollans, and in 1884 we bought 49,785,000 dollars ; and that is the year in which we improved our trade with Great Britain, and in which we diminished our trade with the United States. Our trade with Great Britain is PART I. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 33 26,000,000 dollars less than it was eleven years ago, and our Our trade with Canada. trade with the United States is 12,000,000 dollars more to the ^'^'^ United States than it was eleven years ago. And, sir, that is not all. Our trade with Great Britain was based on a much smaller population in 1873, ^^d our trade with the United States in 1873 was much more in our favour than appears on the trade returns. "Then, it was we who did the smuggling; now, it is the Americans who do the smuggling into this happy country." Sir R. Cartwright is borne out by the account given at the late meeting of the British Association at Montreal by the well-known statistician, Mr. Stephen Bourne, of the state of our trade with Canada. It is the more remarkable because the conclusion he comes to is, that we ought to refuse to trade at all with Foreign Protectionist countries in order to encourage our trade with Canada and other colonies ! He says : — " Turning to the table which sets forth the imports into Canada, it will be observed that the value has of late years exceeded that of the exports, both in the trade with the United Kingdom and the whole world, an indication that she is absorbing more than she is parting with. There is this great distinction between the two, that whereas the exports are of the raw materials for food or manufacture by the pur- chasers, the bulk of the imports are of manufactured goods to be used or consumed by the customers. Even those shown as animal and agricultural products are mostly in a state for use ; whilst the manufactures and miscellaneous so greatly preponderate over the other classes as to altogether dwarf those in the comparison. In these, too, the propor- tion drawn from the United Kingdom is smaller than in the exports and less in value than those supplied by the United States. In both cases they range over every description of articles required for daily use, either for consumption or as instruments in carrying on the several industries. Like as with the exports, it is sur|)rising to find that increase of population has brought no addition in value to the trade of recent years ; indeed, that ot 1883 is less than it was in 1873. This is more marked in the drafts upon the mother country which are in fact 40 per cent, less now than they were ten years ago. Lower prices may have in some degree caused this diminution, but if so as regards the exports from England, it enhances the increase D Canada. 34 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Our trade of volume in tlic trade willi the United States, where the differ- ri^!?.,Ho ^"^*-' between the highest year, 1883, and the lowest one, 1880, is as much as 90 per cent, upon the smaller amount. No doubt these conditions will be greatly altered when through railway communication exists, but at present it would seem that the colony does not respond in the degree which might be looked for to the investments of capital from the mother country or the additional people she is sending over. Increased consumption must be going on ; the inference therefore is that more is manufactured within the Dominion than there was formerly. The contiguity of the United States is doubtless a powerful reason for resorting to her stores, though not an encouraging feature in her relations to the mother country." It is to be remembered that Canada largely increased her duties by her Tariff of 1879, that she is still increasing them under the high-sounding title of a " National Policy," and the above figures show the results of this policy on her trade with the mother country. This subject is further referred to below, pp. 47, 48. Our Trade with the West Indies. \Vest Th^ British West Indian trade has been nearly stationary ; Indies. but our exports to the West Indies have been slightly less in nominal amount for the five years ending 1880, than for the five years ending 1875. Our Trade tvith the Australian Colonies. Australia. The imports from the Australian colonies have risen from p/^i 1,423,268 in 1866, to ^25.663.334 in 18S0, and to nearly ^27,000,000 in 1881, and the rise has been steady, except in the case of a great jump in 1880. Since 1881 they have declined by ^1,000,000. But our exports have not risen in nearly the same proportions, nor so steadily ; they were ;!^i4, 620,779 iJ^ 1866, and only ^18,748,092 in 1880. In 1874-78 they averaged about 21 millions annually; since 1880 they have risen, amounting to 28 millions in 1882, and to nearly 27 millions in 1883. Australia is, however, the one group of self-governing colonies to which the Fair Trader will point as showing a steady progressive increase in the whole trade, and a comparatively PART I. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 35 large recent increase in the exports they take iVom this Our trade country. But I am not sure that the Fair Trader will be much ^"^ comforted when he learns that one great reason for the in- crease of exports is the larger amount of the loans which England has been making to Australia. The amount of her public debt has increased from 27^- millions in 1867, to 78 millions in 1879, and to 109 millions in 1883.* It was estimated t that our loans made to Australia in 1880 amounted to 10 milHons, and that her aggregate debt to us, including investments of all kinds, was not less than 120 millions. It is probably now much more. In the Standard of the 30th December, 1884, the Colonial loans for the past year are estimated at ^'31,000,000, most of which probably went to the Australian group. The advance of the principal probably accounts for a large part of the increase of our exports. But I fear that the Fair Traders, who are so much alarmed at the imports which the United States send us in payment of the interest on their debt to us, will at no distant time have to groan over a similar excess of imports from Australia, arising from a similar cause. And if the authority to whom I have referred is right in supposing that Australia becomes in- debted to us every year for freight earned by our shipowners to the extent of many millions, they will have an addi- tional source of alarm, for we shall get that amount of imports from them without giving them any visible exports whate\er in return. Another thing to be remarked concerning Australia, as concerning India, is that she exports to the United States more than she imports from them. I have already mentioned an instance of the way in which she makes payment to the United States on English account, and there are probably many more ; if we check our imports from the United States, we shall check our exports to Australia as well as to India. Onr Trade with South Africa. The imports from South Africa rose steadily in the fifteen South years ending with 1880 from ^^2, 700, 000 to ;^5, 640,000, ^'■"^^• and have continued at about the same amount since. In our exports there was a rise till 1876, when there was a drop of nearly a million, viz., from ^^5, 350,412 in 1875 to ;^4, 502,739 * See Table XXI. in Appendix. t See the Economist, .-^ug. 27, i88r. D 2 36 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. in 1877. In 1S79 and 1880, owing probably to the war, and not to legitimate trade, there was a great rise, and in 1880 they amounted to ;^7, 206,000. In 1882 they rose to ;^8,ooo,ooo, but fell in 1883 to _;;^5, 000,000. Our Trade zuilh India. India. The imports from India on the whole decreased during the fifteen years ending with 1880. The aggregate for the five years ending 1870, was 150 millions; for the five years ending 1880, 143 millions. The highest year was 1866, 37 millions; and the lowest 1879, 24^ millions. Since 1880 they have in- creased and amounted to about 39 millions in 1882 and 1883. Our exports to India have been steady, ranging from 18 to 25 millions, and increasing slightly in each succeeding period of five years. But in 1880 there was a great jump from ^22,714,682 to ^32,028,055, and this increase has been maintained in subsequent years. But there is something further to be learnt from the Indian trade. Whilst in 1880 the exports to India, including bullion, were 37 millions, the imports from India were only 30 mil- lions ; a very remarkable fact in itself when we remember that in addition to the freight, charges, and profits, which we ought to receive over and above the value of our exports, India has to pay us about 20 millions annually in the form of tribute, for which she gets no return in goods. If this fact stood alone, it might warm the heart of a Fair Trader, but it would be an embarrassment to the political economist. Let us see if it is capable of explanation. Omitting the year 1880, we find that for the ten years ending 1879, according to the Eng- lish statistics, our exports to India, including bullion, were 286 millions, and our imports from India 303 millions, or an annual average of over 28 millions of exports to 30 millions of imports. This, though more intelligible than the figures for 1880, still leaves much to be explained. Two millions a year is far short of what India ought to send us. Turning to the Indian statis- tics, we find that for the same ten years, the imports into India from the United Kingdom, were 351 million pounds, or an average of 35 million pounds a year ; and that her exports to the United Kingdom were 295 million pounds, or an average of 29 million pounds a year; leaving an aggregate sur- PART I. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 37 l^lus of imports of 56 million pounds, and an annual average Circuitous surplus of imports of more than five million pounds. The Trade. difference between these statistics and our own is accounted for partly by the fact that though the rupee has fallen in value it is converted in the Indian statistics at the rate of 2s., and partly by the dift'erence between the value of goods at the port of shipment, and their value at the port of arrival, but the Indian figures make it still more difficult to understand how India manages to pay her tribute to us, more especially since in the case of India there cannot be the transfer of securities by which in many other cases the balance of trade is settled. The exports of railway material to India, which were in fact loans to India, will account for a part, but only a small part, of the difference. But if we turn to another page of Indian statistics we shall find the explanation. There are many countries to which India, according to her own statistics, exports much more than she receives from them, viz. : France, Austria, Italy, the United States, China, and Ceylon. Appended is a table* giving her trade with these countries for the same years — 1870 to 1879. From this table it appears that the aggregate imports into India from these countries during that period was 57 millions, and the annual average nearly six millions ; whilst the aggregate ex- port to them from India was 243 millions, and the annual average above 24 millions ; leaving an aggregate surplus export of 186 millions, and an average annual surplus export of nearly 19 millions; which, curiously enough, is about the amount of the English tribute. This coincidence is, no doubt, accidental, and the real value of the exported goods when they reach the place of exportation must, of course, be much higher. Now all these countries, except Italy, to which I have referred before, arc countries to which, according to our own statistics, England exports much less than she receives from them, to the great sorrow of the Fair Traders. Perhaps they will be comforted when they see that the balance is redressed by means of that Indian trade which they are so desirous to encourage. England buys what she needs from America, from France, pnd from other countries ; India buys from England ; and America, France, &c., in their turn buy from India and the East. The process may be more circuitous still. For instance, * See Table XII., in Appendix. 38 FREE TRADE V, FAIR TRADE. Circuitous Trade. Effect of .Suez Canal India exports to China much more than she receives from China, averaging for the ten years ending 1 880, nearly 10 millions a year; China sends to America, as well as to England, more than she receives from them ; England no doubt sends manufactures to India ; India sends opium, &c., to China ; China sends tea to America ; America sends corn to England, and thus the accounts are balanced. But however numerous the steps of the process, and however circuitous the channels, trade will find its way and its level. I have dwelt on this case because it is a good illustration of the folly of supposing that the statistics of the direct trade be- tween any two countries give a complete account of their respective dealings, and of the consequent difficulty of fore- seeing the ultimate effect of anything which promotes or impedes a particular branch of trade. In this case it is quite possible that the European demand on America for corn may have stimulated the export trade of India, which, as we have seen, has largely increased in the last few years. And it is also possible that if our Fair Traders could have their way in checking the supply of American corn to England they might be injuring that Indian trade which they are so anxious to promote. There is another observation to be made on the above figures. The proportion of our trade with France and some other Continental nations has slightly declined ; so has our trade with all British colonies and possessions, excepting Australia and India. May this not be in part due to the Suez Canal, which on the one hand brings those possessions in closer communication with England, and on the other hand transfers the entrepot trade of the East from England to Medi- terranean ports ? With such figures as given above, it is nonsense to say tliat our colonial trade is free from fluctuations; that the demand for our exports is steadily and constantly on the in- crease, or that it bears in each case a fixed proportion to our imports. I have added to the Appendix a table (No. XXI.), showing the total imports and exports of each of the Australian colo- nies, and of Canada, during the last ten years. One remark- able fact is that Canadian trade is small in proportion to her poj^ulation, when compared with the other colonies, and stationary ; and another, that of all our colonies, New South PART I. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 39 Wales, the Free Trade colony, is the one in which trade has progressed the most rapidly.* From all the above figures it is clear that our direct trade Conclu- with the colonies, considered in the aggregate, maintains aljout ^'°"^- the same proportion to our whole trade which it did twenty ^olomal years ago. It was 24 per cent, in 1866, and 25 per cent, in does not 1883. In the case of some colonies it is increasing, in others increase diminishing. With Canada and the AVest Indies it is nearly ^°^^ °^ stationary ; with Australia and India it is increasing. If is also less than clear that it fluctuates as much as our direct trade with other Foreign countries. ^'f;^;!^- Some other thmgs are also made obvious by them ; for are instance — intimately The direct trade with our different colonies and possessions arc similar; has no uniform character making it to differ from the direct and are trade with foreign countries. similarly The direct trade either with foreign countries or with the bymany colonies is no complete or real indication of the whole character local and of the trade. It is often circuitous, and the flow and return c^ufe's"'^^ of our trade with any given country is often only completed by a roundabout route through one or more other countries. To restrict our trade with a foreign country may be to restrict the trade of a colony, and vice versa. The amount of our exports to and imports from each foreign country and colony is at different times influenced by a large number of causes altogether independent of the perma- nent demand for our manufactures in that country, e.g. by such things as the Franco-German war, the French indemnit}', the cotton famine, the Indian tribute, the opening of the Suez Canal, the war in South Africa, or in Egypt, and, perhaps, above all, by the character and quantity of British investments abroad. Statisticians have estimated these at ^2,000,000,000, of which between three and four hundred millions are probably lent to our English-speaking colonies, and between six and seven hundred millions to the whole of the British Empire abroad, all of which tend to cause exports as the capital is lent, and imports as the interest is i)aid.t * See Chapter XXIX. , below: f See Economist of Feb. 9th and i6tli, 1S8.;. 40 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. CHAPTER V. Returns of Duties, 1859 and 1879. Lord Sandon's return. PROTECTION IN FOREIGN COUNTRIES. I PROCEED to consider another assumption ot the Fair Trade League — the assumption, namely, that the colonies will receive our goods on better terms than foreign countries ; that they are, so far at any rate as we are concerned, less commercially hostile and less Protectionist. It is not easy to follow the history in the changes of any one tariff, to compare specific with ad valorem duties, and to ascertain their several effects on our principal manufactures. Still less easy is it to compare the history of the tariffs of different countries and their several effects on our trade. But before any assumption such as I have mentioned was made, this ought to have been done. That it has not been done I need not say. In the programme ot the Fair Trade League it is simply asserted that in our own colonies " our goods will be taken if not duty free, yet subject only to revenue duties almost unavoidable in newly-settled countries, and probably not equal to one-third the Protective duties levied by the United States, Spain, Russia, &c." From this and similar expressions it might be supposed that the tendency of foreign countries generally was to increase their Protective duties, and the tendency of our colonies to diminish them. It is desirable to see what the facts really are. In 1879 two returns* were obtained by Mr. Talbot, giving the duties levied on the principal English manufactures in the colonies and in foreign countries in 1859 and in 1879 respec- tively ; and a return was subsequently moved for by Lord Sandon, giving the duties levied on the principal English manu- factures in all foreign countries and in each of the colonies.! * See Pari. Papers Nos. 200 and 218, of 1879, t See Pari. Paper No. 333, of 1881. PART I. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 4I There are also appended to this paper two tables,* the Rates of one giving the actual rates of duty levied on our manu- ^"'y. •" factures in the different countries and colonies at the time of countries these returns, the other giving the same reduced, so far as and Colo- possible, into ad valorem duties, for the purpose of comparison. '^'^^• The figures in both are probably accurate enough for the purpose of the present argument, but it must be borne in mind that every statement of an ad valorem duty is necessarily uncertain. The price of the article at the time, the place at which the value is taken, the modes of estimating it, are all varying and uncertain factors, so that in comparing ad valorein duties with one another, and in reducing specific duties into ad valorem duties, there is always large room for doubt and inaccuracy. Since these tables were prepared, further changes have been made, generally in a Protectionist direction ; and to the most important of these I have called attention in the text. Taking the different countries in succession, the general features, as shown in the above returns, and taking also into consideration subsequent alterations, seem to be as follows : — Russia. Russia made large diminutions in her heavy duties between Russia. 1859 and 1879. From the ist January, 1881, they have been raised 10 per cent. ; but not to the extent by which they had previously been diminished. As, however, the duties are now paid in gold, the difference in value between paper and gold made the duties in many cases as high as or higher than in i860. From the -j—th July, 1882, a new tariff and revised classification came into operation, affecting the greater number of imported articles adversely. Several articles were removed from the free list and subjected to duty, and increased duties were imposed on a great number ot others. In all cases those duties, which were previously charged ad vahn'cm, were changed for specific. In July, 1884, coal and coke, hitherto admitted free, were subjected to duty, and the duty on cast iron raised. * See Tables XI n. and XIV. For these and otlier tables and information I am indebted to Mr. E. J. Pearson, late of the Statistical Department of the Board of Trade. The labour of preparing them is so great that I have not had them altered so as to show changes in foreign and colonial tariffs, which have been made since 1881 ; but I have in this and the follo\ving chapter called attention to the most important of these changes ; for this information 1 am indebted to Mr. Bateman. 42 FREE TRADE KAIR TRADE. Holland. On rarn") 1885, the duties on various articles were again con- siderably raised. There has recently been imposed in the customs duties a new duty on the importation of agricultural machinery and an increased duty on herrings. Germany. In Germany there were very great reductions between 1S60 and 1870, so that the tariff previous to the late increase Avas a very moderate one. In 1879 came Prince Bismarck's well- known Protectionist measures, and the duties on many articles of manufacture, as well as on food and raw materials, were largely increased. On some few articles the German duties are now higher than in i860, but in most instances they are much lower ; and, high as they are, they are not now on the whole so high as the duties imposed at the same time by Canada. On the 21st of March, 1885, a Bill was passed, pro- visionally raising the duties on cereals, malt, wine, and millers' products. The Reichstag has been considering for some months a proposal to raise the duties on many other articles of import, and the Bill has just passed. Holland. In Holland there has never been an increase, and the reductions have been frequent and steady. Her tariff is now one of the lowest in the world, as low in fact as the tariffs of our Free Trading colonies. No change since 1881. Belgium. In Belgium, again, witli the exception of sugar, mentioned below, there has been no increase, but many reductions. Her tariff, though not so low as that of Holland, is on the whole lower than that of France. It will compare favourably with that of Canada, if not with that of Victoria. A recent increase has been made in the excise duty on sugar, and the surtax on foreign sugars was increased at the same time. France. In France there were several diminutions of duty between i860 and 1 881, The duty on woollen yarns had been increased. Except in the case of iron, the duties were far lower than PART I. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 43 those of Canada. But a new conventional tariff came into Tariffs of force in May, 1882, and extended to the United Kingdom in Foreign virtue of the law of February 27th, 1882. The differences are °"" "*^^' numerous, and consist in many cases in the substitution of specific for ad valorem rates. On many articles the specific duties hitherto enforced were considerably raised, but on the other hand many important reduction? were made. On the 28th of April two decrees were issued, signed by the President, putting in force the laws relating to increased Customs duties on cattle and cereals. From time to time changes have been effected in the construction of the tariff, and the tariff itself appears to have been in some cases harshly applied — certainly as regards imports from this country. Dejimark. The duties are, with a few exceptions, the same as or lower Denmark, than in i860. No alteration since 18S1. Sweden and Norway. Sweden. — The duties have been generally reduced since Sweden. i860, and in no case increased, except on spirits and sugar. There has been no alteration of importance since 1881 in the Swedish tariff. Norway. — In 18S2 the existing tariff was revised, some Norw.iy. duties being increased and others decreased, but in the majority of cases the increases considerably preponderated over the de- creases. In July, 1884, a new tariff was introduced, and certain changes effected in duties on articles of export from this country, there being a tendency to a slight increase. Italy. Between 1859 and 1879 there were large reductions. The Italy, duties were subsequently increased, but not to the extent of the previous reductions. A treaty of commerce was establislied between Italy and France in November, 1881, and put into force on the i6th May, 1882, and under this treaty some important reductions were effected and extended to the United Kingdom, and a law was passed on the 6th July, 1883, further modifying the Customs duties, slightly decreasing them in a few cases. They are, on the whole, lower now than in i860 44 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. but on some important articles of British produce tiiey are higher. The taritif is now less favourable than that of France, but much more favourable than that of Canada. Portugal, A iistro-Huugary. The reductions between i860 and 1870 were very large indeed. A considerable increase has since been made on silk, cotton and woollen goods, and on leather, but the recent increases are nothing like the previous reductions. A new general tariff involving a considerable augmentation of duties, came into force on June ist, 1882. As to articles included in the Conventional tariff conceded to Italy in 1878, the augmentation did not take effect on British goods ; but other articles not so included are numerous. It has been for some time in contemplation to considerably increase the duties on many articles, and a notification has recently been received to the effect that the consideration of the proposed changes is to be postponed till the autumn. The Austrian tariff is, on the whole, except in the matter of iron, con- siderably more favourable than that of Canada. Spain. Spain reduced her enormous duties between 1859 and 1879, but has since placed differential charges on English goods in return for what she considers our differential duties on Spanish wines. A new tariff came into force on August ist, 1882, but reductions which were made applied, almost exclusively, to imports from other countries enjoying most favoured nation treatment, and therefore did not benefit British trade. On July 13th, 1883, the duties on certain raw materials imported into Spain were modified. Negotiations for a commercial treaty with this country have been proceeding, but are broken off. It is to be hoped that in reforming her tariff, the abuses of her Custom House system will also be reformed, for they are quite as great impediments to trade as her tariff Poriugal. Portugal also made some reductions in her heavy duties between 1859 and 1879. A new Conventional tariff, which considerably modified the old tariff, was conceded to France PART I. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 45 and extended to other countries by the law of June yth, 1882, Tariffs of and the duties then estabhslied were of a more favourable Foreign character, many reductions being made, and in several cases ad valorem duties were substituted for si^ecific rates. Some slight addition has since been made. United States. The United States are, among foreign countries, the one United great exception to the rule that duties are, on the whole. States, lower than before i860. Their present tariff, varying from 35 to 100 per cent, ad valorem, is not only much higher than it had ever been in previous years, but is much higher than any other of the tariffs I have referred to, and is probably as near prohibition as a working tariff can be ; and yet such are the beneficent laws of Providence, that, in spite of the folly of man, the United States do an enormous trade with us and with other countries, and have, no doubt at an immense and need- less cost to themselves, the use of a large share of the good things of other countries. It has been altered from time to time, and considerable changes were made in 1883. Ikit its general character and effect are unaltered. On the whole the tendency of foreign countries since 1S81 has been to increase their protective duties. CHAPTER VI. PROTECTION IN THE COLONIES. Let us now consider the case of our own colonies. The Protection following appear to be the facts : — "? "^^. Nciv South Wales. ' The tariff here always has been and still remains very low — New South lower, except in one or two particulars, than any European ^'^l^s. tariff. New South Wales is, pai- excellence, a Free Trading colony. There has been no change of importance since 1881. 46 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Vicforia. Victoria, which had in 1859 a tariff as low as New South Wales, had raised her duties considerably in 1879, and has raised them still more since. They are now considerable, and are, on many important articles, as high as those of France, Italy, or Austria, and higher than those of Holland or Norway. No change of importance since 1881. South Australia. .South There were no import duties in 1859 ; in 1879 ^^^^ had Austra i;i. ii-,-,pQsg(j considerable duties on various articles of British manufacture, and these still remain. No change of importance since 1881. Western Australia Western Had duties of about 7 per cent, ad valorem in 1859; many .Australia, ^f them were increased to 10 per cent, by 1879, and they have since been still further raised. They are now as high as, or higher than, those of Victoria. No change of importance since 1881. Tasma?iia. Tasmania, There were no import duties in 1859 ; in 1879 considerable duties had been imposed, which have since been raised. They are now, on the whole, higher than those of Victoria. The general effect of the tariff remains unaltered. A^ew Zealand. >few There were no import duties in 1859; in 1879 duties amount- Zealand, ing to 10 per cent, had been imposed on many EngUsh pro- ducts. These duties have since been raised, and the tariff is now as high, on the whole, as those of other Australian colonies. In 1881 her duty of 15 per cent, on cottons was taken off. There has been no important change since. Queen i- land. Queensland. There were no import duties in 1859; since then duties have been imposed, which, however, are not as high as those of the last-named colonies, though higher than those of New South ^^'ales. There has been no important change since 1881. PART I. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 47 Canada Tariffs in Colonies. Has, as is well known, largely increased her duties by her Canada, tariff of 1879, ^^d has since made minor alterations, which however, have not changed the Protective character of her tariff. Some of these alterations certainly strike our industries. Her tariff is now considerably higher than those of France, Italy or Austria, and of course much higher than those of Holland or Belgium. It is thoroughly Protective, whatever Mr. Goldwin Smith may say to the contrary. It was expressly so intended by its authors, and bids fair, if the spirit in which it was proposed continues to prevail in Canada, to rival the monstrous tariff of the United States. Nor is there any tendency to improvement. Sir L. Tilley, on the 3rd of March last, 1885, introduced his budget in an elaborate speech. He is an economist who would gladden the heart of the Fair Trader. He apparently thinks that he can perform the feat of making goods dear to the buyer and cheap to the seller at the same time. He is shocked at the excess of imports into Canada; he apologises for their increase in 1883-4. He prides himself on redressing the balance of trade, and on making his country pay to foreign countries more than she receives from them. He quotes certain figures, not undisputed, to show that in consequence of what he calls his " national policy " (which, it must be remembered, is a pohcy of Protection against foreign, including English, goods), Canadian manu- factures have increased in the number of hands em])loyed by 50,000, in wages paid annually by ^^3, 000,000, and in annual value of products by ^^16,000,000. He seems to think that this is a pure addition to the wealth of Canada, which, but for his policy, would have gone to foreigners or to Englishmen, instead of being, as it really is, a compulsory and artificial transfer of the labour and capital of Canadians from the industries in which they can produce more to industries in which they can produce less, and a consequent diminution of the aggregate wealth of Canada and of employment for its labour — a wrong not only to the Canadian consumer, who has to pay more than he would have to pay if he bought in the open market, but a still greater wrong to the Canadian labourer and emigrant, who is prevented from producing what would give him the largest result and employ the largest quantity of labour at the highest wages. At the same time, 48 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Sir L. Tilley does not challenge the fact that in 1878, before his Protectionist tariff, Canada sold abroad 4,127,000 dollars worth of her own manufactures, and in 1884 only 3,500,000 dollars worth ; and that — whilst the population and resources of Canada have greatly increased in the interval ; whilst Prince Edward's Island and Manitoba have been added to the Dominion ; whilst, above all, there have been enormous and exceptional demands in Europe for the natural products of Canada — the whole exports of Canada, including food and timber, which stood at 73 millions of dollars in 1873, only stood at 77 millions in 1884. He admits also that Protection has had its usual effect, viz., that of fostering unnatural pro- duction and causing a glut in the protected industries. He congratulates himself on having transferred from Great Britain to Canada the industry of sugar refining ; but admits that Canada has a refinery too much. He congratulates himself on having ousted the foreign cotton manufactures, but admits that the protected Canadian industry has over- stocked its own market, whilst at the same time it cannot relieve itself by exportation. Does he look at this national policy as temporary ? Quite the contrary. He contemplates a duty of i'5o dollars on iron; he increased the duty on printed cotton goods last year. At the present moment he is revising his tariff. On woollen goods, on pickles, on cutlery, on mouldings, on picture frames, on imitation precious stones, on manilla hoods, on umbrellas, on china and earthenware, on hardware for furnishing, on chains, on acetic acid, on tissue paper, on glucose, on carpets, on labels, on sheet iron, on asbestos, on axle grease, on cotton quilts, on extract of beef, on foreign tobacco, the Customs duties are to be increased on the sole and simple ground that these articles can be made in Canada. Nothing is too big and nothing too little ; his meshes catch everything. In short, a Canadian has only to say that he is making something, and Sir L. Tilley is ready to prevent his fellow citizens from buying of any one else. I need hardly point out how many articles made in England are included in the above list, nor need I again refer to the fact mentioned by Sir E.. Cartwright, that the imports of British goods into Canada, which w^ere of the value of 68 millions ot dollars (about ;;;^ 14, 000, 000) in 1873, were 42 millions (about P^9, 000,000) in 1884; or to the further fact, that our own exports to the United States amount to ^38,000,000 a PART I. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY, 49 year. But I would ask my Fair Trade and Imperialist '^.'^J'''^? '" friends whether, looking to the matter from their favourite Canada!' point of view of exports alone, they are ready to give up an export trade of nearly ^£^40,000,000 in order to encourage one of less than a quarter of that sum ? and also whether the l)olicy openly avowed by the successful minister of Canada is such as to invite England to restrict her own production and consumption in order to encourage that of Canada? Surely if there is to be a rapprocheineiit it should be from the Canadian side. Cape of Good Hope. In 1859 the duties were 7^ per cent. In 1879 they had Cape, been raised to 10 per cent. An additional 15 per cent, on the then existing duties was imposed in 1884. The duty on many articles has since been raised to 15 per cent, ad valorem, and other considerable increases made. West Indies. In Jamaica there are duties of 12^- per cent., which have West not been altered since 1859. Indies. In Barbadoes duties of 3 per cent, have been raised to 4 per cent. No substantial change since 1S81. Alauritius. Moderate duties exist, about 6| per cent., which have been Mauritius, very slightly raised since 1S59. No substantial change since 1881. Ceyion. In Ceylon there are moderate duties, about 5 per cent , Ceylon, which have been raised to 6^ per cent, since 1881. I)idia. In India the duties are moderate and {c^\ and, as is well India, known, have been recently lowered ; and in 1882 the cotton duties were taken off altogether ; but this has been done not by the people, or even by the Government of India, but by English influence. From the figures given in this and the preceding chapter il is clear — 50 FREE TRADE 7'. FAIR TRADE. Conclu- First. That with the important exception of the United sion that States no foreign country has since 1859 raised its duties to a tendenciel point as high as that at which they then stood, are as Secondly. That several European countries have, till strong in recently, gone on continually reducing their duties, although in Foreign the tendency at the present moment is to increase them. Countries. Thirdly. That there is no one of the self-governing English- speaking colonies, except New South AVales, which has not increased its duties since 1859, and that some of them, and those the most important, have increased them largely. Fourthly. That the tariffs of several of the Australian colo- nies are as high as, and that of Canada higher, than the tariffs of France, Italy, Austria, or Germany, and much higher than the tariffs of Holland, Belgium, or Norway. Consequently, the assertion of the Fair Traders, that whilst foreign nations are refusing our goods our colonies are ready to take them duty free, or subject to moderate duties, is not only not correct but is the contrary of the fact. If tendencies are to be judged by experience, there is as great a tendency to Protection in our colonies as in foreign countries. CHAPTER VII. IS A CUSTOMS UNION OF THE BRITISH EMPIRE POSSIBLE? Assump- I THINK that it has been satisfactorily proved that the special uonsof assumptions on which the Fair Trade League have based Traders no their demand for a differential treatment of the colonies are ground for unfounded. ^^y^ . , The direct trade with our colonies is about one quarter of Colonml ,.,,,, i Policy. our trade with the world. The direct trade with our colonies, and especially our export trade generally, has not, taking a long series of years, increased faster than our trade with foreign countries. At the present moment the direct trade with our Australian colonies and with India is increasing, probably on account of our large investments in these countries. This is a natural, and therefore healthy development of our relations with them. PART I. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 5I Even where our exports to our colonics appear large, and those to foreign countries appear small, in comparison to our imports from them, there is good reason to believe that the exports to the colonies depend upon, and are often caused by, the imports from foreign countries. Our trade with our colonies is subject to fluctuations no less than that from foreign countries. The colonies, or at any rate those with whom we must treat as independent and self-governing communities, show at least as great a tendency to Protection as foreign countries. There is, therefore, nothing in the existing fects to call for a reversal of our settled policy of non-interference with trade ; nothing to justify an attempt to check trade with foreign countries in order to divert it to our colonies. On the con- trary, the trade of the mother country with the colonies, and her trade with foreign countries, are both progressing, and they are so mingled that any attempt to check foreign trade, whilst it would undoubtedly diminish the whole bulk of our trade, would very probably interfere with and diminish that very colonial trade which it was intended to encourage. But is it possible to do anything by legislation to encourage B"t is a our trade with the colonies ? If so, by all means let it be done. ^.^^"^ -. , The motto of the Cobden Club, " Free Trade amongst all Policy Nations," is entirely consistent with the earliest and utmost tiesirable possible development of Free Trade with our own fellow citizens, ^rounds' If there is to be choice amongst those with whom we are to do "^ business, let us choose in the first instance to do it with those with whom in other ways we have the closest relations. Only let us be sure that we do not injure ourselves or them in so doing, and that in seeking for a closer relation than that which already exists, we do not strain the bonds which at present keep us together. The Free Trader will not yield to the Fair Trader or to the Imperialist in national pride, in jealousy for British greatness, and in all that constitutes the glory of the British name and character ; nay, he would be willing, where greater interests are at stake, to sacrifice to them some portion of material prosperity; but when restrictions on commercial liberty are proposed in the interests of material prosperity, he requires to have it proved that they will really promote that prosperity ; and when they are proposed in the interests of imperial rela- tions with our colonies, he desires to be assured that they will not strain and weaken those relations. E 2 f'REE TRADE Z'. FAIR TRADE. It wouldj indeed, be an object worthy of the ambition ot any statesman or generation of statesmen to form a perfect Customs Union, embracing the whole British Empire. If it were possible to have no duties whatever in any part of that Empire on goods brought from any other part of it ; if, for purposes of trade, India, Canada, Australia, the Cape, and the West Indies were as much one country as Yorkshire and Lancashire, it would be a consummation at least as welcome to the members of the Cobden Club as to the most devoted Imperialist. But such a consummation is a dream. It in- volves the same fiscal system in countries differing widely as the poles in climate, in government, in habits, and in political opinions. It is contrary to the very principles of self-govern- ment. It would prevent any change in taxation in one of the countries constituting the British Empire, unless the same change were made in all. Desirable as it is, it may be dismissed at once from practical discussion. It has, indeed, been said that sucli a thing was at one time possible, and that it has been lost by want of statesmanship ; that in giving our colonies self-govern- ment, we missed the opportunity of requiring them to adoj^t our tariff; and that what would now be impracticable as an Imperial interference with their liberties, would then have been willingly adopted as a condition upon which those liberties might have been granted. Such an assertion raises no prac- tical question ; but it is, I believe, a complete mistake. Self- taxation is of the very essence of self-government. To have required such colonies as Canada and Australia to adopt our system of external taxation, and to model their own internal taxation accordingly, and to continue to insist on that require- ment, whatever their own change ol opinion or condition might be, would have been to clog the grant of selfgovernment with a condition which would have destroyed its value. Free Trade is of extreme importance, but Freedom is still more important ; and to force I"ree Trade on a free country is a breach of the fundamental principle which includes Free Trade. PART I, — NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 53 CHAPTER VIII. PROPOSALS OF THE FAIR TRADERS FOR ENCOURAGING COLONIAL TRADE ARE PROPOSALS TO RESTRICT TRADE. Dismissing the notion ot an Imperial Customs Union to the Fair Trade limbo of impracticable ideals, is it possible for anything to be Proposals done by the British Parliament to promote commercial inter- ferential course with the colonies ? Duties in The course proposed by the Fair Traders is to place a coi^"[i^s differential tax on articles of food which come from foreign countries, and to admit food from the colonies free ; to charge more on articles of luxury, such as tea and coffee, tobacco, wine and spirits, coming from foreign countries than is charged on the same articles coming from the colonies ; and to charge adequate import duties on the manufactures of foreign countries which do not admit our manufactures free of duty, whilst allow- ing colonial manufactures to be admitted free of duty. I presume this to be the meaning of the Fair Trade mani- festo; but I must admit that the original document is hazy upon the question whether the duty on colonial tea and other luxuries is to be remitted altogether, and also upon the ques- tion whether colonial manufactures are to be admitted free unconditionally, or only on the condition that our manufactures are admitted free into the colonies. Nor have subsequent publications cleared up these doubts. Now, the first observation on these proi)osals is that they They are have for their object to divert trade by interrupting one of its proposals natural channels, and therefore their effect must be to diminish ^nd^^^'"*^' the whole volume of trade. They are, consequently, open to diminish the fatal objection wliich makes all Protection odious to Trade. Free Traders — viz., that they hinder people from buying and selling where they find it to their interest to buy and sell — that they limit production by preventing people from using their natural capacity to the utmost in making and selling the things which they can make better than others. They are restraints on trade and manufacture. And when it is alleged that there will be no ultimate loss, because with due encouragement 54 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. the new market will be as productive as the old one, the answer is that the burden of proof lies with those who make such an improbable assertion. Take Canada as an instance, since Canada is the colony to which the Fair Traders point as able to supply us with corn. Now, so far as Protective duties are concerned, Canada is, as I have shown, fast following the Protectionist example of the United States, though she has a good way to go before her tariff is so obstructive to her export trade as that of her great neighbour. Still, in spite of the advantage Canada thus reaps from her lower tariff, she now sends us only 2 '9 per cent, of our imported wheat, whilst the United States send us 42*6 per cent. Of flour British North America sends us 3*0 per cent, whilst the United States send us 667 per cent. British North America in 1883 sent us 3'2 per cent, of our total food supply, whilst the United States sent us 28'9. Is it conceivable, with the known advantages of people, soil, and climate which the United States possess, that any restriction on free production which the most audacious of Fair Traders might advocate, would so far change the natural condition of things as to enable Canada to displace her gigantic rival, with- out diminution of the aggregate produce, and without loss to the British customer? It is needless to follow this point any further. To shut out or obstruct our Foreign Trade must restrict production. Leaving this general objection, let us consider the proposals of the Fair 'J'raders in detail. CHAPTER IX. PROPOSED TAX ON FOOD. Differential Of all the proposals of the Fair Traders, by far the most Tax on important is that which contemplates a tax on foreign food, keystone of This jn-Qjiosal has been scouted by the working classes, and the Fair is rejected by the Conservative leaders,* and it seems superfluous '^^^'^^^ to discuss it. Nevertheless, it is i:)erhaps more defensible than proposals. , ., ,' ^^.*, ^ . ..^ any other part of the scheme. It is the keystone of the edifice ■•■" It lias been recently enipliatically repudiated by Sir Stafford Northcote and by Lord Salisbury. PART I. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 55 of Fair Trade. It is the only bribe which offers a real teiiipta- Tax on tion to the colonist : it is the only threat which has any terror ^'°"^'^- for the United States. And if there is any interest in this country which demands protection from the legislature, it is that interest which is at once suffering from bad seasons and from low prices, and which is deprived by foreign competition of tlic compensation for bad seasons formerly found in high prices. It is, therefore, difficult to discuss the scheme at all without discussing the proposal to place a differential tax on foreign articles of food. The big loaf and the little loaf are good electioneering answers, but they do not exhaust or exjilain the question, and they do not convey the whole truth. It may be interesting, in the first instance, to see where our ^Nliereckcs supplies of food come from; and I annex tables* which have come from? been prepared, showing the proportions in which the difterent countries of the world supply us with each of our principal articles of food, and a summary showing what proportion of the whole each country sends. The following are the general results : — • Foreign countries send us 141 millions' worth, or 82 7 per Four-fifths cent, of the whole; and our own possessions send us 2g\ poi-eien millions' worth, or 17-3 per cent. The United States send us Countrits 2S'9 per cent. France sends us 6'8 per cent, and Ger- undone- many, 9'9 per cent. ; whilst British North America only (^-oioni^".' sends us 3*2 per cent., and Australia only i'4 per cent; Russia sends us 67 per cent. ; India sends as much as 8-2 per cent. ; China sends 4*5 per cent. But India, which is of all our own possessions far the largest purveyor, is beyond our present purpose, since w^e already arrange her tariff as we think best. The above figures include so-called luxuries, such as tea, tobacco, coffee, wines and spirits. But if we exclude these, and confine our attention to articles of food which are not stimulants, the results will be similar. Of wheat, British possessions send us 24.0 per cent, and of flour 3-4 per cent ; and foreign countries, 76-0 per cent and 96-6 per cent, respec- tively. Of meat, British possessions send lyo and foreign countries, 83 "o per cent. Of animals for the butcher, British possessions send us 13-0, and foreign countries, 8 7-0 per cent. France sends us 24-0 per cent, and Holland 357 per * See Tables X\'. and X\'L, in .\ppcnciix. 56 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Where does cent our Food come from of our aggregate importation ot butter — whilst British North America only sends us 2 "2 per cent. Of bacon and hams, the United States send us 787 per cent, and of cheese, 55'i per cent, whilst British North America — the only colony which sends us any of these articles worth mentioning — sends 4-9 per cent of bacon, and 25 "9 per cent of cheese. Eggs come to us in large quantities from Germany, France, and Belgium, but only in very small quantities from the colonies. Potatoes come to us in great abundance from France, and in still greater quantities from Germany, but none from British America or Australia. Rice, sugar, tea and coffee are almost the only articles of first-rate importance of which large proportions come from our own colonies ; and these come not from Canada or Australia, with whom it is proposed to make tariff bargains, but from India, Ceylon, Mauritius, and the West Indies, in all of which there are at present moderate tariffs, and in which- — India, perhaps, excepted — the power of production, and consequent market for our manufactures, is extremely limited. Looking, then, to the amount ot food we get from foreigners, as compared with what we get from the colonies, it is clear that to legislate with the view of changing our source of supply from the one to the other is a task not to be under- taken lightly or without a clear view of the results. Let us see, therefore, what are the objections to it. CHAPTER X. WHY IS A TAX ON FOOD OBJECTIONABLE? The reason why it is not desirable to divert the purchase of food from the cheaper to the dearer market is not simply that it raises the price of food. It will probably do this, and the result would be most serious. According to Sir J. Caird's calculations, made in 1878, our whole consumption of agri- cultural produce was then worth about 370 millions; of which 260 were home produce and no foreign. The increase of population requires an addition of fibout 4 millions annually ; PART I. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 57 and the proportion of foreign produce consumed has increased Effects of a considerably since 1877. Assuming the consumption to be lH^^ now 400 millions, and assuming that two-thirds of this is home produce and one-third foreign, the effect of a general rise in price of 10 per cent, would be that our population would have to pay 40 millions for their food more than they now pay. And supi)o.sing that this rise in price were caused by a tax on It will raise food produced in foreign countries, 26 millions out of this 40 ^'^^^^' would go to our own landed interest at home ; and of the remaining 14 millions part would go to the Colonial food grower, and the remainder only into the public exchequer. This is by itself a startling conclusion. But it is far from being all the evil which would result from a compulsory change of market. An equally importar 'c, if not more important, result would be that it would prevent both the purchaser and seller from getting the most they can with the means which Provi- dence has given them. The buyer will have less to buy with, and the seller will It will also have less to sell. If the English people are compelled to buy proj"'ct]o„ their food at home, they will spend on the producdon of food here and an amount of energy and capital which, if employed in making abroad, something else, would buy a much larger quantity of food from America ; and they will compel the Americans to divert the capital and energy they now spend in producing food to making things which can be made much better and cheaper in England. The result will be just the same if our Parliament compels English people to buy their food in Canada. If they are to be deterred by a differential tax from buying the cheapest food in the United States, and to be compelled to buy dearer food from Canada, the result will be not only that England will pay more for her food, but that the Canadian producer of her food, having to spend more labour and energy in producing it than the United States farmer now spends on it, will have less to spend on English manufactures than the United States farmer has. To this the Fair Trader makes two answers. First, that Fair Trade the price of food would not be raised, because America has a answers 10 surplus which she must export, tax or no tax ; secondly, that a rise in the price of food in this country would be a cheap price for the additional market for English goods which would be acquired in the colonies by buying our food there, 58 FREE TRADE V. FAIR IKADE. A Tax on Food will raise its price. Cobden quoted as an authority for raisiriL price of Food ! It is obvious that these answers are inconsistent Avith each other. If the price of corn is not raised in this country, and if America is still to supply our market at present prices, there will be no transfer of English purchases to the colonial market, and the whole of the Fair Trade proposal Avill fail. It is only by giving a higher price that we can encourage a greater growth of Canadian corn. If the Fair Traders are consistent, and really wish to effect their object ; if they wish to confine our custom to those nations which buy freely from us, they must absolutely prohibit all goods, food included, from those nations which do not do so. To say we are to stop their selling, and still to receive from them what we now get from them, is bloAving hot and cold. But, in fact, the notion that the price of coin would not be raised by a tax is absurd. The United vStates farmers are not under any spell to produce a certain fixed quantity of corn. They may, in a given year, under the stimulus of exceptional demands, produce more corn than can be sold at a remunerative price, but they v.ill not continue to do so. They produce corn because we want it, and will pay them a remunerative price for it. If we check that demand by a tax, they will reduce their supply. The Western farmer is able to send wheat to Liverpool and London because, after paying cost of cultivation and of transport, the price leaves him a profit. If we increase these costs by adding a tax, it will reduce his market, and in many cases destroy his profit. He consequently will no longer produce, and will leave his farm for something else, as we knov/ too well that many emi- grants have done. The result of any tax on American corn, which is to transfer our custom to the Canadian market, must be to raise the price of corn in this country. But, say the Fair Traders, " Even if this is the case, it is no great harm. Food is not a raw material of manufacture ; to raise the price of food will not necessarily raise wages, for, as Cobden said, wages do not rise and fall with the price of food. Our manufacturers, whatever happens to our workmen, will be able to produce as cheaply as before ; and they will be able to sell much more, because the colony will, in return for the corn, receive their manufactures duty free ; whereas the United States, by placing prohibitive duties on them, do their utmost to refuse them." " Even at the present time," so runs this precious argument, " every quarter of wheat imported from Australia aftbrds us in return sixteen times as much trade and employment as a PART I. NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 59 quarter of wheat imported from the United States, and every Tax on quarter of wheat imported from Canada thirty-five times as ^'^°^^ much as one imported from Russia." One really does not know where to begin in dealing with such an argument as this ! " Food is not a raw material of manufacture ; for Cobden said that wages did not rise and fall with the price of food." It is diflicult not to feel indignant at such a use of Cobden's name. What was it that Cobden really did say ? The Protec- tionists had accused him of wishing to lower wages for the manu- facturers' benefit. They said, " You are doing no good to the workmen by lowering the price of corn, for Avages will be lowered as the price of corn falls, and that is your real object." To this Cobden replied, " You are utterly wrong : wrong in your imputations, wrong in your facts. Wages do not fall with the price of food ; wages have been highest when corn has been lowest. Nor am I seeking, nor shall I get, low wages. Low wages do not mean cheap labour. Let us buy foreign corn untaxed. The price of food will probably fall, but the demand for our manufactures at home and abroad will certainly increase, and the w'orkmen's wages and the manufacturers' profits will both rise." Cobden was right, as the workmen well know : and they will no doubt understand the difference between him and his mis-quoters. Cobden said, " Leave corn untaxed, let food fall, and let wages rise." The Fair Traders say, " Tax corn, let food rise, and let wages fall." And they quote Cobden as their authority ! But let us consider a little what the effect of raising the Effect of price of food to the workman himself really is, and let us ™^'g ^f omit for the present all consideration of the market for our Food on manufactures caused by the purchase of food abroad. The our workman's wages will go less far than they did, and the jit°home"' comforts of his life will be reduced; if the labour-market and on their admits of an increase in wages, he will demand and get it, Expendi- and the cost of production will be increased accordingly to the manufacturer ; if it does not, the workman will be reduced to the alternative of either living in less comfort than he has done hitherto, or of enn'grating. If he does the former, not only will he and his lamily suffer, but he will be obliged to spend more upon food and less upon clothing, and this in itself will reduce the market for manufactures. If he emigrates, so much productive labour is lost to the country. To the 6o FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. manufacturer, employer, and workman alike, any artificial increase in the price of food is per se an unmixed evil, even without considering its effect upon the Foreign market for our manufiicturcs. Much more is it an evil to them when it is remembered that the same measure which increases the price of their food also prevents them from getting the full return for their own expenditure of skill, capital, and labour. CHAPTER XI, FALLACY OF SUPPOSING THAT COLONIAL MARKETS WILL COMPENSATE US. But then, say the Fair Traders, this evil is to be compensated, and more than compensated, by the additional market for our manufactures which will be opened to us in the colonies. Now, in the first place, I have shown that the tendency of the colonies is to close, and not to open, their markets, and that in Canada the duties recently imposed on our manufactures, though not yet equal to the enormous duties of the United States, are approaching them, and are higher than those of many foreign States. But let us assume that the colonial duties on our goods are and continue much lower than the foreign duties, where is the new market to come from ? Does the Fair Trader think that the United States farmer sends us a shipload of corn for nothing, and that if we get it instead from the colonial farmer, we shall still give to the United States what we now give, and also give to the colonial farmer, in exchange for his shipload of corn, many shiploads of manufactures which we now turn to some other beneficial use? If he does think this, does he think that the second transaction is much better for us than the first ? And if he does not think this absurdity, what can be the meaning of the astonishing state- ment I have quoted above from the Fair Trade League circular? He apparently takes from the statistics of trade the quantity of corn imported from Australia and the United States, and the quantity of our manufactures exported to those countries respectively, and, finding that for every PART i. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 6i quarter or Australian wheat we export to Australia sixteen Tax on times as much of our manufactures as we export to the ^'"^'^ United States for every quarter of United States wheat, comes to the conclusion that for each quarter of Australian wheat we pay sixteen times as much of our cotton and cloth as for an equal quantity of United States wheat, and that the transaction is consequently sixteen times as profitable, not to Australia which receives, but to England which pays, this wonderful price 1 These are the new prophets who are to subvert the doctrines of Cobden and Peel ! The fact, of course, is that for every quarter wc import, whether from Australia, from Canada, from Russia, or from the United States, we pay the market value — no less and no more. Whether it is paid for by the export of an equal ^, value of English manufactures to the United States, or by the paid in export of English manufactures to India, or to some foreign goods for a country, and by a further export from that country to the com'solcUn United States, or even by some route more circuitous still, England is or by the remittance of bullion, or by a cancellation of 'J^*; P"'^^. 'I^ interest upon debt, it must be paid for by this country, and marketf the price paid for it will be the value of a quarter of wheat and it is in the English market. The United States farmer does not ^'l'-' ^^"^^ . • - wherever give us his wheat for nothing ; he takes from us whatever the com the competition of the English former, the Canadian farmer, comes and the Russian farmer allows him to take. The Canadian ^^°"^' farmer does precisely the same. If they compete on equal terms they obtain equal prices, and set going an equal quantity of English labour to provide a return. If the United States farmer is able to produce Avheat more cheaply and abundantly than the Canadian farmer, he can give us a larger quantity in return for the same quantity of our labour ; in other words, both his labour and our labour go farther; there is more ])roduction, and both benefit. If under these circumstances we forcibly transfer the business from the United States farmer to the Canadian farmer, we do not thereby get a new purchaser for our goods, we only substitute a worse for a better purchaser — a worse for a better supply. But then, it is said, Canada, Protectionist as her tarift" is, is less Protectionist than the United States, and does less to keep our goods out of the market. If diis is the case, she and we both get the benefit of it now. The Canadian farmer is so much the better off, and so is our manufacturer. All the good we 62 FREK TRADE 7'. FAIR TRADE. Tax on Food. Confusion between individual commercial dealings and Inter- national Treaties or arrange- ments. can get by tlic lower tariff of Canada wc are now getting. We shall not increase that benefit one jot by adding to the obstruction now caused by the United States tariff a new obstruction of our own. The United States tariff is doing serious injury both to the English manufacturer and consumer of corn, and to the American farmer and consumer of English goods ; to the former probably less harm than to the latter, because the Englishman has the rest Of the world to go to, whilst the American cannot escape from his own tariff. But the injury thus caused will not be diminished, but aggravated, by interposing another obstruction of our own. In short, if, under the existing Protectionist American tariff, the American farmer can compete with all the world in the English market, it is because what England has to pay him with goes farther in the American market and produces a greater return than it does elsewhere. To transfer the custom forcibly to the Canadian market is to make what England has to pay with Avorth less than it now is. I sometimes think that there is a fatal confusion in the minds of Fair Traders and Protectionists between a commercial treaty, or arrangement between nations, and the individual dealings of commerce. The Commercial Treaty assumes the mischievous and delusive form of a bargain, in which we, as a Free-trading nation, appear to give much and receive little. Hence people are misled into a hazy conclusion that the individual bargains made under such a treaty, or under what is called one-sided Free Trade, are in themselves one-sided and unfair, and that in the dealings between the merchants of a Free-trading nation like ourselves and those of a Protectionist or semi-Protectionist nation like the United States or France, the Protectionist tariff causes our merchants to have the worst of the bargain. But this is pure delusion, and confusion of thought. The American farmer is not enabled to drive a better bargain with the English manufacturer by reason of the Protectionist tariff; on the contrary, of the two he is the one more hampered by it. The, relaxation of that tariff v.'ould be an immense boon to the Englishman, but it would be a still greater boon to the American. The evil of Protection is not that it benefits one party to a trade bargain at the expense of the other, but that it injures both, and prevents trade bargains from being made. PART I. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 63 CHAPTER XII. EFFECTS OF AN ENGLISH TAX ON AMERICAN CORN ON AMERICAN COMPETITION WITH ENGLISH MANUFACTURES. But let us follow the consequences of a tax on American Tax on food a little farther. America has an abundant supply of the American most energetic and versatile labour in the world, and also ^n ^^.Q^,id drive abundant supply of capital. At present this labour and capital America are largely employed in providing Europe, and England es- f"|.°uri^n""" pecially, with food, because that is the most profitable way in competi- which American labour and capital can be employed. But we tion. are asked to make this employment less profitable for i-er, and to deprive her of her present market for her enormous agricultural produce. What would be the natural result of such a step ? ^^'hy, to divert her energy and capital from providing the food we want to buy from her, and to drive it into providing the manufactures which we want to sell to her. At present, in spite of, possibly in consequence of, her system of Protection, the sale of her highly forced and highly priced manufactures is in a great measure confined, or nearly confined, to her own subjects, and she is no rival to England in our own markets, or in the markets of the world ; whilst even in her own markets our manufacturers com- pete with hers. In i8So we exported to her 24!- millions of manufactures, and imported from her 2^ millions. Out of her total exports about to per cent, are manufactures, and 90 per cent, food and raw materials, chiefly agricultural produce.* But if we deprive her of her market for agricultural produce, we shall drive her into manufacture, and there is no sa}ing how formidable a rival she may become. At the time of the repeal of the Navigation Laws, all the best judges thought that the carrying trade of the world must pass into the hands of the Americans. It has passed into our own, as is shown fully below (Chapter XXXIV.). There are probably several causes for this ; but the most important to my mind is, that America has found in her internal * The proportii n of manufactured articles lias slii^htly increased since 1880. 64 Free trade v. fair trade. development, and especially in her tanning, and in the railways which farming creates and sustains, an industry more profitable to herself and to the world than the ocean carrying trade. To us the ocean carrying trade has been the more profitable employment. She has done the farming, and we have done the ocean carrying, to the great advantage of both. If we cripple her farming, there is no saying that she may not take from us our ocean carrying. CHAPTER XIII. OnjECTlON THAT WE ARE PAYING FOR AMERICAN CORN V,\ RECEIVING BACK PRINCIPAL OF INVESTMENTS. If America " BuT," say the Fair Traders, "granting that America must owes us be paid in some way for the food she sends us, she is money she pg^j(j^ not in goods, but by Setting against it the loans we have or pay made her. In this way she is not only paying interest upon interest, them, but is repaying to us our capital, upon which consequently buy 'her ^^^ ^^''^ ^'^^ living." The latter assumption, viz., that America is send- cornornot. ing back capital to us, is utterly without proof, and is probably false.* The statement that she sends us food in payment of interest on what we have lent her is to a great extent true. But I am not concerned at present with the truth or falsehood of these statements ; I only mention them for the purpose of showing that they are ;////// ad rem. If America owes us money, which, or the interest on which, she is now repaying in corn, she will equally owe us this money if we transfer our custom for corn to Canada, and if she does not repay us in corn, she must repay us in something else. That something else will be something which, ex hypothesi, we want less than corn ; it may, as I have pointed out, be manufactures or freight, which will compete with our own. Absurdity And here I have to notice a so-called argument, which ofsuppos- I was at first disposed to pass over as too absurd to be mg that refilled, but which has been so often repeated that it calls for interest on . . . Foreign In- a passing notice. It has been stated in the following terms : — * See below, Chapter XXI, PART I. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 65 " But even if it could be proved, as it certainly cannot, that all vestments this enormous disproportion of imports has been paid for out^"'^,. . . • supplies of our mcome, and without any dnnmution of our investments, luxuries that would still do nothing to reassure our working classes as to the rich, regards the interests of labour. They are concerned in the acquisition of imports of food in exchange for the production of their industry, rather than in payment of income due to us from our foreign investments. For, suppose such investments to be increased fivefold ; suppose England to contain multitudes of well-to-do people who owned them, and lived upon the income paid to them, let us say in the shape of food from America, and clothing, furniture, and luxuries from France ; is it not evident that the balance of trade might be satisfactorily accounted for by financiers, while our agriculture and manu- factures were alike languishing, and every year affording less employment, and at lower wages, to fewer workmen ? English land might he forced out of cultivation by American competi- tion, or turned from arable to grass to such an extent as to more than half depopulate our rural districts and country towns, and drive the people into the larger cities and manufac- turing districts, or to emigration. The demand for manufac- tures in the agricultural districts would thus be seriously reduced, whilst the free import of French manufactures and luxuries — preferred by the ever-increasing class who lived on foreign incomes — would curtail the employment of our artisans, whose wages would be still further reduced by the competition of the displaced agricultural labourers. " In one word, our imports would be acquired more and more in payment of interest or rents due from abroad to owners of foreign investments living in this country, and less and less in exchange for the handiwork of our industrial classes, and so the former would increase whilst the latter would be driven first to lower wages and diminished comforts, then to destitution, and finally to emigration without resources and under the most painful conditions." I find it really difficult to understand this. What is it that we are importing as interest on our investments, especially from America? Food and raw materials constitute nine-tenths of our imports. How do the Fair Traders suppose that these are consumed ? How much of them do they think the wealthy and the idle put into their own stomachs or on their own backs? And of the manufactures imported, how many are used by the 66 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Interest. working classes ? Let any one cast his eye down the Hst of Foreign In- British imports, and he will see that there is not one of the articles mentioned in the Hst which is not either an article to be used in our own industries, or an article to be used by those employed in our industries. Silk, woollen and cotton manu- factures, gloves, dressed skins, and wine are almost the only articles in our list of imports which are not simple articles of food or materials of manufacture. Assuming, which is a pre- posterous assumption, that the whole of these are articles of luxury, neither used by nor giving employment to the working class, how much do they amount to? To about 25 millions out of 410 millions of imports. The question thus raised by the Fair Traders is not, it must be remembered, a question of whether these imports are spent on repro- ductive employment, but a question of whether they are used by workers or by idlers. If the Fair Traders are right, they are used by idlers ; and our workers are to be driven to destitution and emigration by the loss of wages and employment. Now, even if employed in unproductive labour, they will not be employed in support of idleness. But can it be doubted that the great bulk of these enormous imports is employed in supporting reproductive labour? Every pound of raw material, every article which requires further labour to complete it, is imported for the purpose of employing labour upon it. The food, the clothing, the common luxuries, tea, coffee, tobacco, sugar, are consumed in sui)porting and making tolerable the lives of millions of artisans in our factories, of labourers in our fields, of workmen who are erecting, extending, and improving our railways, our docks, our mines, our ships, our dwellings, our shops, our schools, our churches, our towns. They are employed in extending our reproductive powers, and in making life comparatively healthy and pleasant, not for the wealthy few, but for the toiling many. The contrast between wealth and poverty is sad enough, and the excesses of luxury are lamentable. But the proportion of our national income or of our imports which is consumed in luxuries is a mere trifle compared with that which goes to support useful labour. The fear that the jxayments which foreign countries are now making us as a reward for former labour will make us poorer and render future labour unprodu'"ctive, is the wildest of many wild chimeras. The very contrary is notoriously the case. The recent PART I. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 67 depression in business has been markedly distinguished from The recent earlier commercial depressions by the fact that it has affected ^'''''T^f' ?u ^ r 1 111 -1 rr ^ "^ '"' ^hc profits far more, and more quickly, than it has anected rich and employment, wages, or the well - being of the working spared the classes. Millowners, coalowners, ironmasters, landowners, ^^°°^' and farmers have suffered more or less severely. But the mill-hand, the miner, the workman, the labourer, until a very recent period, suffered, and are even now suffering com- paratively little, as is shown by a comparison of the state of the country with its state at former periods of depression, and by the infallible tests of pauperism and of consumption. Capital has borne the brunt of the blow. By tlie simple expedient of leaving things alone, and repealing the wicked and pernicious laws which made scarce the food of man, and curtailed the rights of labour, we have advanced one step towards the millennium of the economist, the politician, and the Christian philanthropist, viz., the more equal distribu- tion of good things. The workmen are better off than they were, and, as the action of the Trades Unions shows, they know the reason why. But even if investments abroad were the evil the Fair Transfer of Traders imagine them to be, the transfer of our custom from ^^^^}° foreign countries to the colonies would do little to remove it. win not For we are now ^casthig (as the Fair Traders would say) prevent In- our surplus earnings largely in the colonies ; we are lend- ^L,ro"'^d"'~'^ ing to Australia and Canada as we have in former years lent to the United States. Our investments in Canada and the Australian colonies are said to amount to between 300 and 400 millions ; and our investments in Australia are said to be increasing at the rate of more than 10 millions a year, a fact which accounts for the increase of exports to those colonies. Our loans to the colonies in 18S4 are said to have amounted to upwards of 30 milhons.* But the time must soon come when those colonies will be doing as much to ruin us by paying us interest in the shape of imports, as, in the opinion of the P'air Traders, the United States are now doing, and then what is to become of us ? If such a conclusion drives the Fair Traders to despair, it is some consolation to think that it will carry comfort to the heart of another great Imperialist, Sir Julius Vogel, who also * Standard, 30th December, 1884. F 2 68 Free trade v. fair trade. would like to see us exercise a large control over the colonies, but who wishes us to do so in order, inter a/ia, to encourage those investments of English capital in them which are the terror of the Fair Traders. The precise effect of foreign investments on our own indus- tries I have dealt with more fully below. See Chapter XXII. CHAPTER XIV. TARIF^F BARGAINS AVITH THE COLONIES. ARE THEY POSSIBLE ? To do so We have hitherto considered the effect of a differential tax on we must foreign articles of food pure and simple, and without reference dutieron^*^ to any reciprocal benefit to be derived from action to be taken by the colonies. But it is possible, for the language of the Fair Traders is very vague, that they mean colonial articles of food to be admitted free only from those colonies and possessions which admit our manufactures free, and that they mean to make the differential duty a means for driving a tariff bargain with the colonies. If so, an important question of principle arises, viz., whether it can be worth our while at any time, or under any cir- cumstances, to impose a duty on imports, which will do us an immediate injury, in order that we may have a weapon where- with to fight foreign countries or British colonies in making tariff bargains. This question is raised explicitly by the further proposal of the Fair Traders to tax foreign manufactures, and I propose to consider it when dealing with that proposal in the Second Part of this work. If it is to be answered in the negative, as I am sure that it is, the proposal to drive a tariff" bargain with the colonies by the bribe of a differential duty on their competitors must fail at once. Bat I do not propose to argue this large question here, and will assume that it may be answered in the affirmative. Making this assumption, let us consider what sort of bargains we can possibly drive with the colonies, and let us consider, first, what we must give them and what we can get from them ; and then, secondly, what they must give to us and what they can get from us by such a bargain. PART I. — NEW COLONIAI- POLICY. 69 First of all, then, as our foreign food supply is to be trans- But if wc ferred to the colonies, and as they now only supply us with ^^"J- ^^■•'■'»'^ one-sixth of it, we must cut off five-sixths of our present sources ^,^^^" ^J*^ of supply, and trust to their being made up by countries which give ? now only furnish one-sixth of it. What the effect of this may be on the quantity and price of food and the welfare of the people it is frightful to consider. Secondly, we shall lose the whole of the custom for our own produce arising out of purchases of food in foreign coun- tries, and, as they amount to more than 140 millions a year, this is a scarcely less serious consideration. Thirdly, we shall cripple our powers of production by making food dear, and be less able to compete for custom in neutral markets. Fourthly, we shall run a very serious risk of retaliation by foreign countries. If we say to France, or to America, "We will not buy corn, or meat, or butter, or cheese, or eggs from you," they will retort by refusing to buy cotton, wool, silk, and iron from us ; not only shall we ourselves cut off a very large pro- portion of our foreign exports, but we shall tempt foreign nations to cut off the remainder. Taking the average of the last eighteen years, our trade with foreign countries has been about three-fourths of our whole trade, and our trade with British colonies and possessions has been about one-fourth of it. Our whole trade, imports and exports included, is 700 millions a year. We are, therefore, asked to cripple and endanger three-fourths of this, or a trade of more than 500 millions a year. AVhat are we to get in exchange ? wii.u First, we shall get so much custom for our goods in the should ^ colonies as arises from the additional purchases of food we ^^'^ sc make in the colonies. But, as the colonial supply of food will be much less than that which we now get from foreign countries, and as its price will be much higher, this market must be much less valuable than that which we give u]). So far, therefore, we are large and pure losers. But we shall get, in addition, what- ever advantage is to be gained by the reduction our colonies may make in their tarifts in return for what we do for them. What will this amount to ? Now, in the first place, we may eliminate India. The Indian tariff we practically make ourselves. We have deter- mined, rightly or wrongly, that she shall not levy duties on our 70 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. manufactures. Her consent is not asked ; we need no bargain for the purpose. We may, for similar reasons, eliminate all the Crown colonies. In short, the only colonies with which we can make bargains are the self-governing colonies in British North America, in Australasia, South Africa, and some of those in the West Indies. But of these there are many which now levy very small duties on our manufactures, and those by way of Revenue rather than of Protective duties. With regard to these, all that we can expect to get by way of a bargain is that their duties shall not be raised, and this is a prospective and con- tingent, not a present and certain, benefit. In fact, the only colonies in which any large reduction of duties is possible are Canada, Victoria, Western and South Australia, Queensland, Tasmania, and New Zealand. New South Wales, one of the most important of the Australian group, is free, or nearly so, already. But let us take the whole of our colonies in British North America, in Australia, and in South Africa, and suppose that throughout them all it were possible to get a reduction of duties, what would this advantage amount to? The trade of the United Kingdom with the whole of these colonies, taking, as before, an average of eighteen years, is about lo per cent, of our whole external trade ; not much more than our trade with Germany ; not so much as our trade with France ; little more than half as much as our trade with the United States ; abcut one-eighth of our whole trade with foreign countries. If we take those colonies alone which now levy considerable duties, the trade with them will not be more than one-half this amount. Consequently, it is only about 5 per cent, of our whole trade for which we can expect any substantial benefit by a tariff bargain with our colonies, whilst the trade which we shall injure and cripple by such a bargain is 75 per cent, of that trade. I think we may, then, draw tv.-o conclusions, that it is not worth our while to make any such bargains; and, secondly, that if we were to make any such bargains, it would be madness to adhere to them, if foreign countries were to offer to reduce their tariffs on condition of our repealing the differential dues on their produce which such a bargain implies. This is not, however, the view of some of our colonial reformers. For instance, a writer, signing himself "Imperialist," in the April number of the JSlational Revieio for 1885, urges that a leading feature of the Conservative policy of the future PART I. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 7 I should be "to tax foreign imports, while granting free admis- Tariff bar- sion to colonial products of all kinds ; " and a similar proposal gains with is advocated by Mr. Thomas Gibson Bowles in the May num- p°onos!-ils berof the Fortnightly Revie7v. Mr., Stephen Bourne, the well- of Im-' known statistician of the Customs, in his address at Montreal, periaiist goes much further, for, after showing how Canada declines the ^ o""^*""- business of the mother country, he proposes that we shall deprive ourselves altogether of trade with Protectionist countries in order to encourage colonies which discourage us, and that Canada shall in like manner deprive herself of trade with her nearest neighbour ! The writer of the article "England and her Colonies," in the April number of the Quarterly for 18S5 is more alive to the difficulties of this question ; but even he, after dismissing as impracticable Mr. Forster's notion of an " Imperial Zollverein on the basis of this abolition of all customs or excise except upon intoxicating liquors or tobacco," because the colonies would not agree to it, suggests that Lord George Bentinck's plan of " taxing foreign produce while admitting colonial wool and other materials duty free " is the only basis on which we can build any reasonable expectation of constructing an Im- perial Zollverein. In the last century we alienated our colonies from the Their mother country by taxing them. In this century our colonial absurdity, reformers wish to alienate the mother country by making her tax herself. They seek to bind our colonies to us by leaving them free to tax our products, whilst we are not only to abstain from taxing theirs, but are to burden ourselves with the worst of taxes in order to give them an exclusive monopoly of our markets. Surely, if there is a policy which could make the mother country hate her colonies it is this ! Now let us look at such a bargain as I have described above Wiiat from the colonial point of view. What would they gain and what roulnies'^ would they lose ? I think we must admit that if England gave get? them the monopoly of her market for food they would gain con- siderably. Canada, Australia, and India would send us much more corn if United States and Russian corn were excluded from our ports. India would send us more tea if China were out of the market, and the Cape and Australia would send us more second-class wine if we could not get good wine from France or Spain. Even this would not be an unqualified advantage to them. The production of the world would be diminished, 72 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Tariff bar- ^^^ they would bear some share of the loss; their people gains with would be diverted from doing what they can do best, to the Wh°'t"^^ providing of those things which the English market demands, would they and India certainly would lose some of the trade which, as we get? have seen, she now does directly or indirectly with the United States. But it is idle to talk of such proposals as these. England certainly will not contract her sources of supply to such an extent. Nor will she make a sacrifice at all where she gets nothing in return. She can only get a return from those colonies which now impose restrictions on the import of English goods. We may, therefore, as before, eliminate India and other colonies or possessions which are governed from home. The only colonies which can make a bargain are the self-governing colonies, and amongst them those only which now levy duties on English goods. That they might gain something imme- diately by the bargain, I have admitted. "What Avill they have to give up ? First of all, there are those colonies which only levy a small duty, say 5 to lo per cent., with the bond fide object of raising revenue, and without any thought of Protec- tion. To these colonies, with but little realised property, and with an organisation very different from those of an old country, it would probably be a very serious financial difliiculty to raise a revenue in any other way — a difficulty which might in itself counterbalance any gain they might derive from our differential tariff. Those colonies, again, such as Canada and Victoria, which levy heavier duties, and which levy them avowedly for purposes of Protection, would have to make a serious surrender. They would, in the opinion of Free Traders, be really bene- fiting themselves by reducing their tariff in our favour ; but in their own opinion, and in the opinion of the Fair Traders, they would be doing themselves harm. They might be tempted to do it, but in doing it they would feel they had made a concession to us, and we should be obliged to accept it as a concession. But suppose the concession made and the bargain com- pleted. Suppose that we have excluded the United States corn from our market, and that Canada has admitted English goods freely to her market, what will be the condition of things ? The United States may leave things alone. In that case, as I have shown above, England will find herself suffering from insufficient supplies, from a contracted market for her goods, and from the new competition in manufactures which PART I. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 73 she will have forced upon the United States, She will be Tariff bar- discontented and disgusted with her bargain, and with the f?'"^ y"*^ ^, TT- ir. ■ ,!•. 1 Colonies. Other party to it. Or the United States may retaliate by pro- ultimate hibiting English goods. In that case England will be still more results, discontented and disgusted. Or the United States may do that which it must be the desire and object of every honest Fair Trader and Reciprocitarian to make them do — they may offer to throw open their market to English goods on condition that England will again throw open her market to United States corn. In that case England will be more than ever disgusted if her bargain with Canada prevents her from accepting their offer. Indeed, it is scarcely within the limits of possibility that such a bargain could under such circumstances be kept. That England, which now does a trade of 140 millions a year with the United States, even under the present Protectionist tariff, and of 2 1 millions with Canada, should refuse the proffered trade of a country which has between 50 and 60 millions of people and the finest soils and climates in the world, for the purpose of nursing a trade with a country which has between 4 and 5 millions of people and a far inferior soil and climate, is too much to expect of human nature. And if the bargain is not kept, or if the terms of the bargain with Canada are such as to allow England to accept the United States' offer, what will be the position of Canada when she is thrown over, and the United States are again admitted to free competition in the English market? She will have been misled into an unnatural course of industry and expenditure, and she will be left to her own resources when it suits the convenience of England so to leave her. The Fair Traders have some hazy inkling of this difficulty, for they propose that the fixed duties on foreign food are to be steadily maintained for a term long enough to develop our own instead of foreign territories. But do they really think that this is possible ; that our own people would submit to years of priva- tion in order to develop a possible future in Canada or Australia when that privation might be at once changed into plenty by admitting foreign produce ? Are any such arrangements as these likely to stand ? Are they desirable in the true interests of Imperial union not to mention the commercial interests of the parties concerned ? Are they likely in the end to promote that good feeling between England and Canada which it is the professed object of all of us to encourage ? Are they not much 74 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Tariff bar gains with Colonies. Any forced attempt at Union must lead to Dis- union. more likely to cause estrangement, recalcitration, and dis- ruption ? To such questions there can be but one answer. We may be quite certain that any forced attempt at unnatural union, any unbusiness-like sacrifice of interest to sentiment, will only destroy those feelings of kindness which it is the object of all to promote. I have taken the case of Canada as the most striking illus- tration of the fatal difficulties which would attend any such tariff bargain as we have been considering. Similar argu- ments apply to the other self-governing colonies, and it is unnecessary to repeat them. It seems to me abundantly clear that no tariff bargain with any colony which has for its con- dition a differential tax on foreign produce imported into England is for a moment to be thought of CHAPTER XV. Can we make Com- mercial Treaties with Colonies, such as the French Treaty ? Narrow limits within which such Treaties would be applicable. COMMERCIAL TREATIES WITH THE COLONIES, ARE THEY POSSIBLE? A CUSTOMS union of the empire is then impracticable. An attempt at a closer connection with the colonies, to be effected by imposing differential taxes on foreign produce, is not to the real interest either of England or, in the end, of the colonies, and it is much more likely to lead to separation than to union. There is yet a third method of improving commercial relations with the colonies, which is scarcely suggested in the Fair Trade programme, but which may deserve a few moments considera- tion. It is that of a commercial treaty such as we have made with France and other foreign nations ; a treaty in which we impose no differential duties, but only reduce our own duties, and reduce them for all equally. Here, again, we may at once dismiss from consideration all the colonies or possessions which are practically governed from home ; and these, including India, will, so far as trade is con- cerned, amount to one-half of the whole. Our whole trade with our colonies is, as I have shown PART I. NF.W COI,ONI.\L POTJCV 75 above, about one-fourth of our whole trade, and it is therefore Com- only one-eighth of our whole trade that can possibly be affected J^^'^^I'^g^ by such a treaty. Practically it is much less ; because we do with not want commercial treaties, or, indeed, alterations of any Colonies, kind, except with those colonies which levy sensible duties on our goods. The whole aftair is, therefore, of less moment to us than it might at first sight appear. Now, with respect to the self-governing colonics, we have, in No reason giving them self-government, left them free to impose what duties agamst they please, with one restriction, viz., that they shall not make Treaties their duties differential ; that they shall, if they place Customs in existing duties on the produce of one country, place the same duties on l^^perial the produce of all. But even this restriction has been surrendered for the sclf- on two special occasions. Canada, or rather the British govertilng colonies in North America, were in 1854 allowed to make ^ ^°Q°inde- Reciprocity treaty with the United States,* by which a large pendent, number of articles, the produce of Canada and of the United States respectively, were admitted duty free into each of those countries, although the same goods remained subject to duty when imported into those colonies from the United Kingdom, or from foreign countries other than the United States. The denunciation of this treaty by the United States was one of the causes that led to the present Protectionist tariff in Canada; and the resumption by the United States of the policy which dictated that treaty would, no doubt, lead to the resumption of a similar policy by Canada. Another case, rather less striking, because it was between different colonies, and not between a colony and a foreign nation, was that of an arrange- ment between New South Wales and A^ictoria concerning the Customs duties levied on the boundary between the two colonies in the basin of the river Murray. In these cases, the principle of equal treatment gave way to the still more important principle of self-government, and to the demands for freedom caused by local contiguity. And, no doubt, a similar course must and will be followed when similar cases occur again, as they are sure to do. Even at this moment, pro- posals having this tendency are being discussed in Australia, and in the case of the British West Indies. It may be all very well to say, as a matter of theory, that when nations are divided by great natural barriers, such as hundreds of leagues * Treaty ratified 9th September, 1854. 76 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Com- mercial Treaties with Colonics. But are there any Duties on Colonial Produce which we could givt up? of sea or mountain, there is all the more reason for abolishing artificial barriers. But this is not the way in which the facts pre- sent themselves to the ordinary mind, I feel the need of dealing freely with my neighbour across the street long before I under- stand that the same need exists for freedom in my dealings with an alien in China. It was by the obvious absurdity of an artificial barrier between Surrey and Middlesex that Cobden brought home to men's minds the much less obvious absurdity of an artificial barrier between England and France. If, there- fore, any strong case arises again, such as an approach to commercial union between Canada and the United States, or between any of the Australian colonies and their neighbours, we may take it for granted that the one principle of equal treatment, which we have hitherto maintained, will give way, and that in this, as in other matters of taxation, the colonies will exercise and enjoy complete self-government. In short, the colonies in question are, so far as tariffs are concerned, in as free and independent a position as foreign nations ; and if we are to make commercial treaties with foreign nations, there seems to be no priz/id fade reason why we should not make similar commercial treaties with our self- governing colonies. In making such treaties we should, of course, be governed by the same rules as have governed us in making treaties with foreign countries. We should give no such differential treatment as is suggested by the Fair Traders, and we should make no reductions of duties which we do not consider to be for our own advantage. The question then arises, whether there are any duties which we now levy on colonial produce which we could reduce ; remembering that if we reduce them for the colonies we must reduce them for other countries also. Now, what are the products of the self-governing colonies which we tax? The only articles of this description in our tariff are cocoa, coffee, chicory, dried fruit, tea, tobacco, wine, beer and spirits. The exports of these articles from the colonies, according to the latest returns, are as shown on the following pages, 77, 78. fAliT I. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY, 11 S^oo -III! I I CO vO « « o ■-■ 00 r^ C u o O S w ^ vu r-. . M S S J i "3 S • ^ c ^v2 ,■" •" c ■" 3 JH t? t5 -'" >q u S ;«:!; ^ V2 ^ c-'iz; (J u ;^ -co A^QhP^ 78 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. ^ O ^ '<-n O O 00 \o o rT r^l 1-r ro N M O N \o a>vo o 00 M o\ ^ ^ •f^ ^ OJ -* r^ Tj- M in "^»-~00 rj- f O M u M N 0\ O lO 00 "- ■* o CO O o t^ u^ rooo 00 CO O O N v£) ^ VO O ON ON c ro C3N w 00 N 1 ro 1- T)-\0 ro M ►H r-. o C\ N W) Tj- « 1 1 « ON " 3 O u-v c n fl O" c ? t^ Cn Tf OO OsJJ,0 « r^ Lo t^ M CO M O " 00 ON CO CO ■^ r^ u-i CO CO CO 00 O vo * • • "rt • rt • • • K . . 'i iT rt S .y § 5 s rt g- g £ £ h •= PART I. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 79 India and Ceylon may be excluded, for the reasons above Commer- given. I may also remark that there are large re-exports of ^^\ . tea from New South Wales and Victoria, which are, no doubt, ^^ith re-exports of Chinese or Indian imports, furnishing additional Colonics, evidence of the circuitous nature of the trade of the East, to which I have adverted above. On spirits, England is not likely to make any reduction. Omitting these, the striking feature in this scanty list is the total absence of any article imported from those colonies with whom we might wish and be able to make a tariff bargain, viz., the Korth American and Australian group. Indeed, the only article in the hst which affords any scope for an alteration, which the colonies would accept as a boon, is wine. We know from the evidence before the Wine Dudes Committee that, both at the Cape and in Australia, the high duty of 2s. 6d. per gallon on wines contain- '"*^' ing 26 degrees of spirit, when compared with the duty of one shilling on French wines, is felt as a grievance. The quantity of wine now imported from them is very small ; and whether much more would be imported if the duty were reduced is, to say the least, very doubtful, considering the cost of labour in the colonies, and the preference in this country for French, Spanish and Portuguese wine. Under these circumstances, whilst admitting fully the expediency of removing any griev'- ances which these colonies may have in the matter of the wine duties, we may conclude that these duties are not of sufficient importance to afford the means of making tariff bar- gains with them. Putting aside wine, which is at this moment imimportant. We have and Hkely to continue so, it is quite obvious, tlien, that we "°'']^"/ cannot with our present tariff offer any reduction to the self- governing colonies which they would accept as a boon, and that we are unable, therefore, to make tariff bargains of any kind with them. But there is another consideration of some importance, since it illustrates the peculiarity of our commercial relations with our colonies. It is not to be expected that we should conclude any such "Most tariff bargain with Canada without a most favoured nation ^r^^^j^^^- clause. That clause is the Alpha and Omega of all our clause, commercial treaties. It is the one point which we retain when Difficulty in all others fail ; the feature on which their upholders mainly toColoifies. rely ; the feature which redeems them in the eyes of those who 8o FREE TRADE V, FAIR TRADE. Commer- cial Treaties with Colonies. " Most favoured Nation " Clause. Otherwise dislike them. To make a tariff" bargain with Canada without stipulating that we shall treat one another as well as we treat the rest of the world, would be an admission that we are, or are likely to be, on less intimate terms with our own colony than with any foreign nation. And yet such a clause might give rise — nay, w'ould be almost sure to give rise — to dangerous differences. Canada and England are separated by the Atlantic ; Canada and the United States are distinguished rather than separated by a bridged and navigable river or by an imaginary line. Trade between England and Canada has to overcome natural difficulties ; trade between Canada and the United States would be unchecked but for artificial difficulties. Even now the Canadian trade with the United States increases more rapidly than her trade with the United Kingdom. Tlie people of Canada and of the United States are similar in race, in language, and in habits, and are becoming more so daily. Temporary and accidental circumstances have made Canada and the United States assume a hostile commercial attitude ; but their disputes are the quarrels of lovers, and it is pretty certain that sooner or later the people of the two countries will desire to trade freely with one another, to the infinite advantage of both. It has happened before, and it will happen again. When it happened before, Canada made a treaty by w'hich United States goods were admitted into Canada on better terms than English goods, and England allowed — indeed, could not help allowing — the treaty. There is nothing to prevent such a thing happening again. Indeed, it is of all things the most probable. What, then, would be tlie feelings excited in Canada if a clause in her tariff bargain with England prevented her from making with the United States a bargain of ten times more importance to her real interests than any bargain she could make with England ? Would not such a clause go far to make her seek for complete separation ? Similar difficulties might well arise in Australia, if we were to attempt to get any one of her colonies to make a separate bargain with us. Their closest natural commercial relations are with one another, and these they will probably prefer to relations with the mother country. Nay, there have been suggestions of special treaties between some of these colonies and countries in America. I have dwelt upon these points, not because I wish to exaggerate or anticipate difficulties which may never arise, but PART I. — NEW COLONIAL POLICY. 8l to show how easy it may be, in trying to draw bonds closer, to strain them to snapping. Let us by all means have the utmost possible commercial connection with our colonies, but no such tie as may be felt by either party as a grievance. CONCLUSIONS OF PART L AS TO A NEW COLONIAL POLICY. The general conclusion to which these considerations lead The us is that there is little to be done by legislation or treaty to E»gl"sh bring us into closer commercial relations with the colonies, n^g^it can Except, perhaps, in the trifling matter of the wine duties, do little or we have already done all that we can to clear the way on "°^^" jS ^o our side. It is for the colonies to play their part. ]\Iany colonial of them are doing so fairly enough. The others will do so Trade, when they feel it to be their interest, without being specially bribed. It is not in our power to do more. Nor is this to be wondered at, when we consider that all which a Government can really do for trade and manufacture is not to impede it. All that Fair Traders and Protectionists are urging as to the Govern- duty of Governments in providing markets for their people, and "J^^^u ^^" other nonsense of a like kind, really means, when it comes to cannot be sifted, that Governments are to check and prevent trade create under pretence of guiding it ; that they are not to allow mer- '^'^^'^^' chants and manufacturers to do that which is their interest to do. Such a course it is contrary to our commercial interests to enter upon, and it is much more likely to weaken than to strengthen the political connections of the different parts of the empire. RETALIATION CHAPTER XVI. RETALIATION ON MANUFACTURED GOODS ABSURD. English The second of the two great principles of the Fair Traders is Retaliation Retahation. They desire to impose retaUatory duties on the Manufac?" goods of foreign countries which do not admit our goods duty tures free. Impotent These duties are not to apply to our food imports, which Suicidal, have been dealt with already, nor to imports of raw material, but to manufactures only. It is a sufficient practical answer to a proposal of this kind that the weapon is in our hands absolutely inefficacious. Of our imports, ninety per cent, are estimated to be raw materials or food, and ten per cent, only what arc called manufactured articles. If we take particular nations, the case is stronger. Our trade with the United States is one-sixth of our Avhole trade, and their tariff is the most hostile of any; whilst the interest which is affected by their competition is our most suffering interest. But out of their imports into the United Kingdom, which exceeded loo mil- lions in 1880, about 2 i- millions only were manufactures ; whilst out of our exports to them 24^ millions were manufactures. Will they not laugh at us ? or, if not disposed to laugh, will they not treat us as they have treated the Canadians, and place still further obstacles on our imports ? To France we exported in 1880 upwards of 12 millions' worth of manufactured and half-manufactured goods ; 2^ millions' worth of raw material; and one million's worth of food. From France we imported 23 millions' worth of manufactured and half-manufactured goods, 3 millions' worth of raw materials, and nearly 15^ millions' worth of food. Here there is more to PART II. — RETALIATION'. 83 retaliate upon than in the case of the United States, but the proportion of manufactures which we send to France is greater than the proportion which she sends to us. We send her Httle but manufactures, whilst she supplies us largely Avith food. To Germany we exported in 1880 nearly 14 millions' worth of manufactured and half-manufactured goods, less than 2 millions' worth of raw materials, and less than i| million's worth of food. From Germany we imported in 1880 a little over 4!- millions' worth of manufactured goods ; 3^ millions' worth of raw materials, and 16^ millions' worth of food. If we are to play a game at who can do most to stop each other's manufactures, it is clear that Germany will have the best of the match. What is true of these countries is true of others. We are par excellence the manufLicturing country, and for us to play the game of who can best destroy manufacturing industry is simple suicide. CHAPTER XVII. PROPOSAL TO TAX MANUFACTURES AND LEAVE " RAW- MATERIAL " FREE— DIFFICULTY OF THE DISTINCTION. But when we are told that raw material must be admitted free, is the and that manufactures are to be taxed, I should like to ask what received distinction can be drawn between these two classes of goods ^^^^, ° which would justify a different treatment ? When I look down guishing the list of so-called raw materials, I see nothing which is not between both the produce of some previous labour and the means or Materials material of some further labour ; and when I look down the list and Manu- of so-called manufactured articles, I find the same thing. I [^'^j',"'"^^ am unable to draw any line between the two, or to find any founded principle by which to distinguish them. If the quantity of labour employed in producing the article is to be the test, the labour employed to produce so-called raw materials may, and often does, far exceed the labour necessary to turn that raw material into a manufactured article. There may be more labour in getting coal, or in growing wool, than in spinning or weaving. If we are to be guided by the operation of the article as a means or a stimulus towards further G 2 84 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Raw production, I am unable to see how the raw produce of the soil ^'d^M*'^'^ operates for this purpose more directly or more effectually than factures the article into which it is subsequently converted by human impossible labour. I do not see why the alkali out of which glass or £r°uish^"^' chemicals are made is not as efiicient a means of production as the salt out of which the alkali is made. Let us take any list in which an attempt is made to distinguish between raw products and manufactures. We get into difficulties at once. The alkali, for instance, to which I have referred, heads one list of manufactured articles, but it is chiefly useful as a material to be employed in subsequent manu- factures. " Apparel and haberdashery," which come next, are, no doubt, manufactures as complete as it is possible to conceive ; but even here the boots of the navvy, the shirt and apron of the operative, the blouse of the French labourer, the jersey of the sailor, or even the neat cloth coat and shirt of the clerk or manager, are as much the means and essential condi- tions of further production as the stone, the iron, or the wool which these persons are employed in manipulating or disposing of. Horses come first in one list of " raw produce ; " but a farm horse is at once the final product of skill in breeding for generations, and is a direct instrument in further production. " Clocks " come first in another list of manufactured articles, and there is certainly no more finished article of human in- genuity than a clock ; but is not a clock the sine qua noii of every place where productive labour is at work ? Is it not the great economist of time, which is the principal of all factors in pro- duction ? I might go through the list in the same way, pointing out how each article of large or general use is, on the one hand, the result of previous labour, and the means for further labour. Nay, the same thing is true of food also. Food is the means of keeping the human machine going, without which there can be no productive labour ; it is the most obvious, if not the most important, of raw materials ; it is to the man and woman what the coals are to the steam-engine. We admit this Avhen we class food and raw materials together as articles which are not to be taxed, or which are to be taxed more sparingly and cautiously than other things. But, like other raw materials, food is not really more necessary to further production than other articles of general human use. The house in which the artisan lives, the clothes which he wears, the tools which he uses, are no less means and instruments in making the articles PART 11. — RETALIATION. Sg whicli he produces for sale than the food which forms his '^-iw blood and muscles, the coal which drives his steam-engine, or .^„d Manu- the material of fibre, of Avood, or of metal which he is converting factures into use. We may go farther, and say that the so-called impossible luxuries, the tea, sugar, and tobacco, which make life g^iish. tolerable to himself and his children, are also instruments by which his powers of production are increased. Nay, we may assert, with the most exact truth, that the wine which refreshes the brain of the man of science, the statesman, or the physician, is in the highest degree conducive to the production of wealth. All active and useful human life is one cycle of unintermitted and contemporaneous production and consumption — of pro- duction, in order to procure articles of consumption ; of con- sumption, in order the more effectually to produce. There may, of course, be useless and even mischievous consumption of exces- sive or pernicious luxuries, but these are, economically speaking, a trifle in the vast mass of human consumption ; and there may also be foolish and ill-directed production. But, generally speaking, all human consumption is a direct means of pro- duction ; and this makes me doubt whether there is any real sense in the commonly-received doctrine that it is better, on economical grounds, to tax articles of consumption — that is, articles which are in a fit state to be at once eaten, worn, or otherwise used by man — than articles which he has to do some- thing more to before he can use them. But this is, I am glad to say, a controversy on which I need not enter ; from the Fair Traders, or from some of them, I am too glad to accept the admission that raw material is not to be subject to a retaliatory duty ; and only mention the point now, because, if we admit that manufactures are to be taxed, we may find it difticult to stop there. I have said, "or from some of them," because they are not consistent with themselves. Mr. Farrer Ecroyd, for instance, in a letter published by their League, considers the free admission of raw materials necessary, and he is a man who does not juggle with words. But in a later manifesto of the Fair Trade League, published in 1S84, consisting of letters by Mr. Mr. Samp- Sampson Lloyd and notes in illustration of them, I find that the j^^" ^^^°y^ ^ v/riters are impressed with the above arguments concerning the difficulty ofdistinguishing raw material from manufactures. What is the conclusion they draw ? Not, as one might expect, the definition natural conclusion, that we cannot exclude manufactures whilst of nw im- 86 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. terial as an admitting "raw materials;" but that "raw materials" must which can- be defined afresh, by excluding from the term "raw materials" not be pro- articles used in manufacture which can be produced at home. home^i^' " -R^^^' material " thus acquires, in the language of these writers, a meaning which will puzzle economists ; and the Fair Trader, whilst professing in terms to give our manufacturer the free import of materials, refuses to allow him to use, under that designation, any foreign article used in manufacture which is produced abroad and which can also be produced at home ! This, of course, is Protection pure and simple, and helps to show, what really needs no proof — that Fair Trade and Pro- tection are the same thing. CHAPTER XVII . OTHER PROPOSALS FOR RETALIATION. Arguments The Retaliation of the Fair Trade League is, as we have seen, R t^T^"'^ °^ ridiculous from its impotency ; but this does not show that all tion. Retaliation would be inefificient, or, if efficient, undesirable. Proposals for Retaliation, if once adopted, will not stop where the Fair Traders leave them, and there are arguments in favour of the principle of Retaliation which require a more com- plete answer than is to be found in the impracticability of a given plan. I do not know that these arguments have ever been more fairly, clearly, and vigorously stated than by Lord Salisbury, in his speech at Newcastle, on the 12th October, 1881. He said : — J . "I now only wish to say a word with respect to a matter Salisburyat which, perhai)s, through being exciting, occupies some con- Newcastle siderable portion of public attention at the present moment, in 1881. Y\_ has been said that we of the Conservative active party are anxious to return to the state of things existing before 1840 in respect to fiscal matters, and sundry terrible consequences have been deduced from the assertion. I, for one, do not possess the desire, nor do I think that such a return would be for the public welfare ; but it does not do for the Government to ignore the commercial difficulties under which the country PART II. RETALIATION. 87 labours by the simple device of accusing their op]joiients Arguments of a desire to return to the state of things to which I [j-^-^' have referred. Whenever the evil of the present state of things Lord is pointed out to them, they, instead of replying, call us S-iiisbury. lunatics, or beat the great tom-tom of Free Trade in order to drown our voices. It is undoubtedly the fact, and I do not think that any one can traverse the statement, tliat in one respect the apostles of Free Trade thirty-five years ago made a gigantic miscalculation when they said that if the country adopted their principles the rest of the nations of the world would follow their example. (Cheers.) It was repeatedly held out, both by Mr. Cobden and Sir Robert Peel, and undoubt- edly it influenced many minds at the time. I am very far from stating that as their only reason. I do not mean to say that their policy would have been difterent if they had had a different belief; but they had the belief, and took every oppor- tunity of communicating it to others, that our example would be followed by other nations of the world. That, I take it, is an undoubted fact in history. Well, that has not been the case. The third of a century has passed by, and all the nations by which we are surrounded have not only not become more Free Trade, but on the whole have become more Protectionist. America, I believe, is more Protectionist ; the Protectionist feeUng is rising in France. Both of them, mind you, are complete democracies, so there is no pretence for saying that this particular form of opinion has been imposed by the ruling classes. They are countries where it is undoubtedly the senti- ment of the people, and nothing else, which governs the conduct of the Government ; and in both these countries the feeling of Protection has increased, and is increasing. In Russia, on the other hand, a despotism of the closest type, still you have the same phenomenon. A feeling of Protection is in- creasing, and the measures of Protection are multiplying. In a kingdom like Germany, with certain constitutional liberties, but ruled undoubtedly by the acutest brain that this century has seen in Europe, you still see tliis remarkable ])henomenon — that the tendency towards Protection is increasing. In our own colonies, where, if anywhere, we ought to have some influence, there, too, unfortunately, the Protectionist feeling is strong, and our own productions are shut out from the markets of our own children. Now, that is a fact which I say it is idle to ignore. It is childish to imagine that our example now, 88 FREE TRADE 7\ FAIR TRADE. after so many ycais, will alone have any effect upon these nations. They have their own experience ; they have their own philosophers to teach them. Many of them are, and certainly believe themselves to be, as far advanced in intel- lectual culture as ourselves. What is there to induce them to defer to our judgment, and to follow our example in this respect? If we intend to act upon them, we must fmd other motives ; and I think we have a right to ask, without pledging ourselves to any opinion until the facts are known, that there should be a thorough investigation into the question whether we are now pursuing the right course for the purpose of inducing those other Governments in some degree to lower the terrible wall of tariffs which is shutting out the productions of our industry from the markets of the world. There is no reason that we should pledge ourselves to any particular course until the facts are known. But if you make a suggestion of this kind, you are immediately told, ' This is Reciprocity and Retaliation, and behind it lurks the shadow of Protection.' Reciprocity and Retaliation ! But what are these commercial treaties, if they do not involve the principle of Reciprocity ? Sir Charles Dilke will very soon meet the French Minister of Commerce, and they will be talking over the respective products of their respective tariffs, and practically Sir Charles Dilke will say to the French Minister of Commerce, 'If you will give me this relaxation of duty upon cotton, I will give you this relaxation of duty upon wine.' But what is that but Reciprocity ? And when Sir Charles Dilke finds that the French Minister of Commerce is difficult to deal with, he will say, ' Well, but if you do not give us this duty, if you do not give us this relaxa- tion upon cotton, I will not give you a relaxation of duty upon wine.' What is that but Retaliation ? " Therefore I say, ever since you adopted the principle of commercial treaties, ever since that memorable date, i860, the principle of what they are pleased in their own language to term ' Reciprocity and Retaliation,' is conceded. " It is merely a question of policy, arising upon the state of facts in each particular case, whether you have the means of any alteration of your tariff which you can with due considera- tion for your own interests adopt, whether you can so do it in the case of the tariff of your neighbour ; and it seems to me that that is a sensible course of conduct to adopt. There is no doubt that by abandoning duties which are useful to you for revenue PART II. — RETALIATION. 89 purposes you confer a great benefit upon foreign countries. Why Arguments should you not ask for a price in exchange for that benefit ? ['^f. ^9' Why should you not obtain for your own industries a benefit Lord corresponding to that which you are conferring upon tliem ? Salisbury. " I do not know, until inquiry has been made and oppor- tunities gained of ascertaining, whether it presses either upon the food of our people, or the raw material of our industry, both of which must be held sacred. I do not know what oppor- tunities we may have of exercising this salutary influence upon foreign Powers ; but in spite of any formula, in spite of any cry of Free Trade, if I saw that by raising a duty upon luxuries, or by threatening to raise it, I could exercise a pressure upon foreign Powers, and induce them to lower their tariffs, I should pitch orthodoxy and formulas to the winds and exercise the pressure." Now, if I wished to find a strong argument against all tarift" ihis argu- bargains, I should point to this speech of Lord Salisbury's. He '"em may exaggerate the sanguine views entertained by .Sir R. Peel s,^enath'^ and Mr. Cobden of the prospects of universal Free Trade ; he from^'Com- may also exaggerate the present tendencies of other countries to mercial Protection ; and the Retaliation he suggests — viz., upon that inappreciable part of our imports which consists of luxuries — is, unless he means to include amongst luxuries the tea, sugar, and tobacco which are the comforts of our working people — as impotent as that of the Fair Traders. But, unlike many of the Fair Traders, he states his case fairly, and he puts in very clear terms the impression which our commercial treaties have made, and are making, on many minds besides his own — an impression from which it is very difficult to escape, especially for a diplomatist. Our minister at a foreign court will tell you, " Don't trouble me with your arguments ; tell me with what force you will back them." If the Foreign Secretary is to make a bargain, he must have something to bargain with. Lord Salisbury may, however, be thought by some Free 'J!,^;,"J5*J\^ Traders to be a poor economist, and a diplomatist of a very sus- picious type; but he has support where one would least expect it. 1 have seen arguments not very different in character in a per- fectly unsuspicious quarter. In the Pall j\[all Gazette oi the Slh and 1 2th August, iS8i, were some letters signed X., by an ardent advocate of commercial treaties, in which, after pointing out, first, that such a treaty as Cobden's, which only reduced duties and gave no preferences, differs ioto ca'lo from such treaties as Pall Mall Gazette. 90 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Arguments the INIethueii Treaty, which gave a distinct preference and stipu- [°r. ^.^" lated for the maintenance of difterential duties ; and, secondly, that exports are as important a factor in trade as imports — two facts which no sound Free Trader would for a moment deny — the writer proceeded to draw the conclusion that it is the business of the Government of this, and of every other country, to do as much for its exports as for its imports, and, after dismissing the notion of differential duties of a protective character, suggested a differential duty on wines as a legitimate means of compelling France to admit our exports. A large part of his letters con- sists in the exposure of the fallacy which he supposes the school of Ricardo to commit when they say, "Take care of the imports and the exports will take care of themselves." He points out with perfect truth that a limitation on our exports is as much a limitation on our trade as a limitation on our imports, and he implies that however free our ports may be to foreign imports it will do us little or no good if the hostile tariffs of foreign countries continue to limit our exports. More reck- A notion similar in substance, but much more recklessly ex- vooites'of pressed, finds its utterance in the constant misrepresentations we Retaliation have lately heard of the views and objects of the authors of our present policy. We are told that what Mr. Ricardo, Mr. Cobden, Sir Robert Peel, and others had in view, as the principal object and result of their Free Trade policy, was the abolition of foreign restrictions on our exports ; that they believed them- selves, and prophesied to the people, that if we in England would take off our duties, foreign nations would certainly take off theirs ; that in this they deceived and were deceived ; that foreign nations have not followed our example ; and that these short-sighted politicians, were they now with us, would at once admit their mistake and revise their policy. Misrepre- -yy^ j^j^^^ been told, for instance, that Mr. Bright, having the Origin raised a formidable agitation against the Corn Laws, Sir Robert of the Peel, rightly or wrongly, was of opinion that it was necessary fiffhtm^^ for the interest of the country that that agitation should be hostile^ closed, and that on this account, without waiting for any nego- Tariffs by tiations with foreign Powers, he introduced the system of Free ports '" Trade which Mr. Gladstone has carried further. Now, what were the real facts ? The first step taken by Sir Robert Peel was his first reform of the Tariff in 1842, and in his cautious fashion he based it rather upon financial necessities than upon Free Trade principles. In doing this he had post- PART II. RETALIATION. 9 1 poned certain further reductions of dutics_. on account, Arguments amongst other reasons, of commercial negotiations then in [°[ia'^jon progress. Thereupon Mr. Ricardo, in two successive years. Debates of 1843 2,nd 1844,* brought forward a motion urging the 1843 ^^nd immediate remission of our own duties without waiting to ^ ■*■*' see what other nations would do. In the very interesting debates upon these motions, some members, amongst others Mr. Disraeli, defended the principle of Reciprocity. Sir R. Peel and Mr. Gladstone clearly agreed with Mr. Ricardo in the principle he advocated — a principle on which they subsequently acted^ — but objected to its immediate application, and to the abstract form in which his motion was couched. Mr. Ricardo himself, Lord Grey (then Lord Howick), Mr. Ewart, Mr. C. Villiers, and Mr. Cobden, supported the motion on the ground, which was admitted on all hands to be true, viz., that for 25 years we had been struggling by means of our own duties to obtain reciprocal reductions from other nations, and had failed entirely, a fact which is constantly and con- veniently ignored by the present advocates of Reciprocity. They said, further, that if the great object of this country were to obtain reductions in foreign tariffs, the best way to effect it would be to reduce our own, to show foreign nations that we believed in our own principles, and to convince them by our own consequent prosperity that our policy was the true one. In their anticipations of the wisdom of foreign nations, and in their under-estimate of the strength of protected interests, they were perhaps too sanguine. But this was not the only ground, or indeed the real ground, on which they supported the motion. That ground was the principle, true then as now, that whether Our foreign nations maintain their own duties or not, it is for our interest is interest to abolish ours, and that if we would but do this in our our own own interest our own trade must prosper, let foreign nations Protective do what they will. As regards Sir Robert Peel, he has himself ^.u"ff ' stated his reasons for adopting a free trade policy in one of the other finest speeches he ever made.f ]\Ir. Disraeli had asserted that nations re- — " We can only encounter the hostile tariffs of foreign coun- oJ^not/^'"" tries by countervailing duties ; " and Sir Robert Peel's speech was an emphatic refutation of tliis doctrine, and an uncompro- mising defence of the oi)posite principle — viz., that you can * See " Hans.ird," vols. 68 of 1843, and Ti of 1844. t " Hansard," 1849, vol. 106, p. 1429. 93 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Arguments j-^ggj- ^g]-,|. hostile tariffs by free im]:)orts — a principle upon which taiiation. his great tariff reforms were really founded. The immediate Origin of suspension of the Corn Laws was due, he said, to the temporary pq[j P'"^^^"' scarcity of food ; but the ultimate repeal of that, as well as of other Protection laws, he founded on principles of free trade — a principle M'hich he asserted as positively, and de- fended as powerfully, as Mr.- Bright, Mr. Cobden, or Mr. Ricardo. These great economists were right. Their policy was • adopted, and our trade did prosper. No one of these distin- guished men doubted, as X. seems to suppose, that foreign pro- tective tariffs are a great impediment to our trade, or that it is most desirable that they should be reduced or repealed. What they said was- — "A foreign tariff is one impediment; over that you have no power. Your own high tariff is another and a separate impediment, with an additional and cumulative effect ; over this you have power. Remove the impediment over which you have power, and do not wait for the removal of the further impedi- ment over which you have no power. You will gain much if you do not gain all. Half a loaf is better than no bread." But the consideration of this fundamental question deserves a new chapter. CHAPTER XIX. HOSTILE TARIFFS MUST BE MET BY FREE IMPORTS. STATEMENT OF THE PRINCIPLE. Fallacies in The fallacy by which X. and Lord Salisbury and many others the argil- ^j-g misled consists in thinking of a high tariff as a complete Lord Salis- barrier, a solid wall, a watertight sluice which allows of no bury and passage. If this were the case, it would be quite true that one high others. tariff is just as great an impediment to trade as two, and that there is no use in removing one unless you can remove both. If every foreign country were to build an impervious wall round itself, so that no trade could enter, it would not signify how much or how little of a wall there may be round England ; no trade could pass either one way or the other. But even in the pre-Huskisson days of absolute legal prohibition, the wall was broken through by the smuggler ; and, in the present day, no PART II. — RETALIATION, 93 nation practises absolute prohibition, even on paper. The meta- Principle ]:ihor of a barrier-wall misleads, as metaphors constantly do. ^p^po^rts. If we are to have a metaphor, Lord Palmcrston's metaphor of two turnpikes, one at each end of a bridge, each of which offers some obstacle to the traffic, is a much better one. At the present tariffs im- time every nation, however protective in its tendencies, does pediments what it thinks best calculated to promote its own exports, and }^°J^j^^g tlierefore cannot destroy but only check, its imports, which are the necessary concomitants of exports. No existing tariff is such as to keep out foreign goods altogether ; each tariff has its weakest point, its lower and less protective duties. Moreover, as a matter of fact, all nations are not protectionist. In many tariffs protection is a secondary or partial object; and in other countries importation is altogether free. There are, therefore, abundant means of export ; there are even abundant channels, often direct, often circuitous and indirect, by which, so long as a protectionist country exports at all, the exports of a free country can reach, and in the nature of things must reach it. Trade will go on, and does go on, in spite of hostile tariffs, although the number of transactions is, in consequence of such tariffs, less than it otherwise might be; and each trade transaction is, from its very nature, profitable to both parties engaged in it. Let us, however, consider a little more carefully what the posi- Position of tion of a nation is which opens its ports whilst other nations are ^rade shutting theirs ; what our position would be, on the hypothesis country in (which is untrue) that, whilst we retain a Free Trade tariff, all iiie^midst other nations put heavy duties on our goods. I think it can be tectionist proved that, though we shall not have as much trade absolutely countries, as we should have if other nations were free like ourselves, we shall be better off relatively ; the trade and the production of the world will be less, but we shall have a larger share of it. The point, though elementary, is so important that it is Effect of^ worth while to consider it attentively. Let us first take the Duties as simplest case, that of barter between two merchants living between in two different countries, and let us think what would be the ^q° ^tries effect on their dealings of a tax, imposed in either country only. on the importation of the commodities in which they deal. Suppose that A, a Frenchman, makes loo yards of silk in France, and B, an Englishman, makes loo yards of cloth in England. They exchange these one for the other. Sup- pose that the French Government puts on the English cloth a duty equal to the value of the cloth ; suppose, further, 94 FREE TRADE 7'. FAIR TRADE. that the cloth is a necessity to the Frenchman, and that it is only to be got from England. The effect of the French duty upon the Frenchman will be, that he will have to pay twice as much for the same quantity of cloth as before ; in other words, he will have to pay 200 yards of silk for his 100 yards of cloth. Then suppose that the English Government puts on the French silk a duty equal to the value of the silk, and suppose, as before, that the silk is a necessity to the Englishman, and can only be got from France. The effect on the Englishman will be that he will have to pay 200 yards of cloth for his 100 yards of silk. The effect of the two duties combined will be that the Frenchman will have to give 200 yards of silk for 100 yards of cloth, and the Englishman will have to give 200 yards of cloth for 100 yards of silk — the extra 100 yards of silk and 100 yards of cloth going into the pockets of the respective governments. Of course, the real thing will be entirely different ; the goods will not be either necessaries or monopolies ; and the effect of the duties will be to transfer the industries, and, in so doing, to reduce both consumption and production. The effect of the French duty on the Frenchman will be to make the Frenchman buy less English cloth, to make him pay more for it, to make him buy inferior cloth from a French maker, and to make him sell his silk to the French cloth- maker for less than the Englishman would give for it. Its effect on the Englishman will be to deprive him of the best market for a part of his cloth, to make him buy less French silk, and to make him buy something with the rest of his cloth which is of less value to him than the French silk. The further consequence of the English duty on silk to the Englishman will be to make him buy less French silk, to make him pay more for it, to make him buy inferior English silk instead, and to make him sell his cloth to the English silk manufacturer at a less price than the Frenchman would give for it. Its effect on the Frenchman will be to deprive him of his best market for a part of his silk, to make him buy less English cloth, and to make him buy French cloth instead at a higher price. The effect of one dut}', supposing the duties still to be equal, will be as great as that of the other ; they will act cumulatively in transferring English and French industries from what they do best to what they can do less well; the French PART II. RETALIATION. 95 industry from silk-making to cloth-making, the English in- Principle dustry from cloth-making to silk-making. ^^ ^^^^ The aggregate production of the two parties will be diminished equally by both duties ; and if one duty is taken off, the mischief to both parties will be just one-half what it would be whilst both duties are continued. Let us now take the case of two nations who exchange goods with one another ; and let us, after the manner of Bastiat, call one of them Libera and the other Vincta. Libera determines to put no duties on the goods of Vincta — Vincta puts a duty of 20 per cent, ad valorem on the goods of Libera. The result will be damaging alike to Libera and Vincta ; Libera will be able to sell less to Vincta, and to buy less from Vincta in return ; Vincta will be able to iDuy less from Libera, and will be able to sell less to Libera in return. Now, suppose that Libera, irritated by Vincta's conduct, determines to retaliate, and to impose in her turn a tax of 20 per cent, on the goods of Vincta. What will be tlie result ? Precisely the same as before, only that it will be double and cumulative. Vincta will be able to sell still less to Libera, and to buy less from Libera in return ; Libera will be able to buy still less from Vincta, and to sell still less to Vincta in return. Both duties have had an equal effect in diminishing the buying and selling on both sides. But their action has been cumulative ; the duties imposed by Libera have doubled the loss to each originally caused by the duties imposed by Vincta. Libera has done herself no good, but has done equal mischief to herself and her rival by retaliation. It will even, in this case, clearly be lier interest to cease following the example of Vincta, to revert to her original policy, and become Libera again ; and it will not be the less her interest to do so because she is at the same time doing good to Vincta. But now let us consider the case of three countries, which Effect of we will call Libera and Vincta No. i and Vincta No. 2. Protective Suppose that they have a triangular trade with one another, between and that these three trades (that of Libera with Vincta i, that three or of Libera with Vincta 2, and that of Vincta i with Vincta 2) "^°''^ . ^ are each equal in amount, and that each of them is represented Abstract ' by 6. Then 18 will represent the aggregate trade of all three, illustration, and each will possess an equal share of it, which will be repre- sented by 6. Now suppose that Vincta i and Vincta 2 each put equally heavy duties on their respective imports. Libera 96 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE, remaining free as before. The trade between Libera and each of the others will be subject to one set of duties, but the trade of Vincta i and Vincta 2 with each other will be subject to two sets of duties. The aggregate exchange, and with the exchange the production of all three countries, will be diminished, but not in equal proportions. The trade between Vincta No. i and Vincta No. 2 will be diminished in a larger proportion than the trade of each with Libera. If we suppose that each set of duties has the effect of diminishing the trade on which it is charged by an amount represented by i, the whole diminu- tion will be equal to 4, and the aggregate trade of the three countries will now be represented by 14 instead of 18. Of this diminution, i will fall on the trade between Libera and Vincta No. I, which will now be 5 instead of 6 ; i on the trade between Libera and Vincta No. 2, which will also be 5 ; and two on the trade between Vincta No. i and Vincta No. 2, which will now be 4. Each country will, of course, have half the trade between itself and each of its neighbours, and the whole trade will now be divided as follows : — Libera will have 5 instead of 6 ; Vincta No. I and Vincta No. 2 will each have 4^ instead of 6. The foUowinLT diatrram will make this clear : — Before duties 6,/ L o After didics \\\ the same way it may be shown that if of three countries trading with one another under three tariffs equally protective, one does away with Protection, the production and trade of all will be increased, but the largest share of the increased trade will fall to the one which opens its ports. When she opens her ports she must do good to her neighbours as well as to herself, though not so much good — a thing which it is important to remember in examining the consequences of adopting a Free Trade policy. Its adoption by one country is followed by an. increase of the trade of other countries as well as of her own, though her own trade reaps the greatest benefit. I'ART 11. — RETALIATI0N\ 97 1 am not very fond of illustrations of this kind. They are Principle apt to appear to be mathematical demonstrations, when they S"^ '■'■'^*^ are really only rude and abstract illustrations of one of the concrete many elements which go to make up the infinitely complex iiiustratior. and delicate conditions of human business. But taken merely as an illustration, I believe the above formula represents a general truth. Perhaps a more homely illustration will make the matter clearer. Suppose a large village or small town with three general shops in Avhich everything is sold, from lollipops to hardware. Two of the shops are rented from the squire, who also owns nearly all the land in the parish. He says to the tenants of these two shops — " I want to do good to my estate and those who live on it, and therefore I shall require you, in buying for your stock-in-trade such articles as the estate produces, to buy these articles from your neighbours in prefer- ence to buying them from strangers. The parish produces corn, wood, vegetables, fruit. There is a local pottery, a local flour mill, a local forge for tools and hardware. All your stock of these things you shall buy from the producers in the parish ; or, if you l)uy them from strangers, you shall pay me a per- centage on your purchases, to be used for the good of the estate." The third shop, happening to be on a bit of land not belonging to the squire, is not subject to his patriarchal theories, and buys all its stock of goods, whether of a kind produced in the parish or not, wherever it can buy them cheapest and best. I think we can tell which of these three shops will sell the best articles, will sell them at the lowest prices, and will have the largest and most profitable custom. The case runs on all fours with those countries of which two compel their producing classes to buy their goods at home, and of which the third leaves them free to buy where and how they best can. To carry our homely illustration a little farther, let us suj)- pose that our squire, alarmed at the success of the independent shop, and the decay of the two which belong to him, says to the rest of the tenants on his estate, " I have compelled my shops, for your sakes, to buy their stock of you. It is not fair, it is not tolerable under such circumstances, that you should take your custom to that odious free shop, or to the neighbouring town. You shall buy as well as sell at the shops belonging to the estate, and we will all support one another against these horrid strangers." I think our squire would soon find, in his H 98 FREE TRADE 7>. FAIR TRADE. Principle flitting tenants and diminished rents, ample reason for regretting Imports ^^^^ ^^'^ ^^^^ meddled with their buying and selling. TheNation So far, then, as artificial restrictions are concerned, and which re- it is only with these we are now dealing, the country which will'geMhe keeps its own ports open whilst the ports of other countries are largest shut will not do as much trade as if the ports of all were open, share of ]3^(. of the reduced trade which is left by the restrictions it will do a larger share. If England keeps her ports open whilst the United States, France, Germany, Italy, and other countries shut theirs, the aggregate trade of all of them, and even the actual amount of England's share, will be less than if all of them were open ; but her share of what is left will be greater than that of the others, and it will be proportionately greater than it was when the ports were open. It is to her open markets rather than to those of the closed countries that each foreign country will prefer to export, and return trade is apt to follow in the same channel. To her will come raw materials, half-manufactured goods, food, clothing, everything which aids production directly or indirectly. No market is likely to be so closed against her but that she will be able to get something into it, and in doing so she will, by her command of the materials and instruments of production, be better able to compete than her rivals, who have made the materials and instruments of production dear. To all open neutral markets, and they are many, she will have full access. In all neutral markets, open or closed by duties, she will have an advantage. Her open market will attract imports; her command of all that is needed for production will give comparative cheapness to her exporis. She will lose absolutely some of the direct trade with her Protectionist rivals which she might have had if it were not for their duties, but they will lose that trade also, and she will have advantages in competing with them in other markets which they will not have. PART II. RETALIATION. 99 CHAPTER XX. FIRST OBJECTION TO THE PRINCIPLE — HOME TAXATION. The preceding chapter contains a statement of the general Are our argument for fighting hostile tariffs by free imports. Let producers us now consider some of the Protectionist's objections to this pensated principle. for 'he One of his favourite arguments is, that the produce of ^^^^^ ^^^^ home labour, and especially of agricultural labour, is taxed, whilst foreign produce comes in free ; and he proposes to put a tax on foreign produce in order to redress.the injustice. Thus the chairman of the Fair Trade League says, in his Mr. Samp- letter to Lord Derby, p. 6 : " I will cite as an illustration the taxed'but'^ case of a bullock bred for the home market. During the two lock, and a half years it is being reared, an acre of land must be told off for its support. The State claims on that land amount to from twelve shillings to fifteen shillings per cent, per annum depending on the county in which it is raised. Thus the English bullock costs its breeder from thirty shillings to forty shillings per head taxation, independently of the further in- direct taxation incurred in the keep of its caretaker. The agriculturist asks, therefore, fairly enough, 'Why should my beast, which has contributed so much to local and imperial taxation have to compete in the same market-place with animals on which not a penny taxation has been paid ? ' " Now I will not stop to inquire into Mr. Sampson Lloyd's figures ; I will not inquire whether the sum is correct ; I will not ask on whom the taxation falls, viz., whether upon the agriculturist or upon rent ; or whether these taxes, if remitted, would go into the pocket of the landlord, or help to facilitate the production of beef. Let us assume that the tax is a tax on productive industry, and that it is to be looked at in precisely the same light as the income tax, and the rates which the manufacturer pays on his business or his factory ; and let us ask, on these very improbable assumptions, whether any such taxation affords the slightest ground for a countervailing Cus- toms Duty on an American bullock H 2 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. If the Fair Traders meant that EngHsh taxation was not fair as between different classes of Enghshmen, and that local rates might be more fairly apportioned than they are ; if they wished that accumulated personalty should bear its fair share of local and imperial burdens ; above all, if they meant that the incidence of taxation as between rich and poor should be fully inquired into, and the injustices, if any, be redressed, the demand would be a fair one, though it might, perhaps, land them in unexpected conclusions. But this is obviously not what they mean. If they have any intelligible meaning, it is th* we shall take into consideration the taxation which falls — directly or indirectly — on every branch of productive industry j and shall then put upon the corresponding foreign produce a Customs, duty equivalent to the taxation which the home produce bears. Now, in the first place, the assumption that foreign production is untaxed, or is taxed more lightly than English production, is certainly not true, and is probably the reverse of the truth. In actual direct taxation per head, England compares not unfavour- ably with other similar countries, whilst their taxation per head is growing much faster than ours. Supposing that, instead of simple taxation per head, we take the proportion which wealth bears to taxation, or, in other words, the capacity to pay, as our standard of comparison, England is one of the most lightly taxed nations in the world. If, again, we do not confine our- selves to direct taxation, the case in her favour becomes much stronger. Suppose, for instance, that we take military conscrip- tion into account, European nations will be found to have laid on their national industries an immense additional burden, which England does not lay on hers. And if, in addition, we take into account the loss which foreign countries by their Pro- tective systems inflict on their industries, we shall find that the burden thrown on their productive powers becomes out of all proportion greater than that which is imposed on English industry by English taxation. Thus Germany, France, Italy, Russia, not only rob industry of a large part of its most effective labour by conscription, but also make their productive industries less efficient by heavy protective duties. As regards our greatest agricultural provider and competitor, the United States, it has been calculated that their Fiscal system imposed on the American farmer an annual burden of some 400 millions of dollars, or ;^8o,ooo,ooo sterling, PART II. — RETALIATION. lOI ill the shape of increased price of manufectures excluded by Objections their Protective tariff; and that of this 400 millions, only 60 to the millions found their way into the State Exchequer.* Taxation. To burdens such as these foreign produce is subject, and in addition to the cost of transit — often over many thousand miles of sea and land — before it pan reach English markets. In the second place the financial problem involved in any Compensa- proposal to counterbalance Home Taxation by Customs duties tory taxa- is an insoluble one. It is difficult enough to ascertain the practicable, exact incidence and effect of any tax or Fiscal burden at home. But if we are to attempt to ascertain the effect of the ta^xation of each foreign country on each article it produces, to coAipare it with our own taxation of the same article, and then to impose a Customs duty on each article which will make home and foreign taxation equivalent, we shall introduce a system of finance and of taxation more preposterously absurd and cOm- I)licated than has ever yet been dreamed of. But the whole proposal is a delusion. We cannot get rid The sug- of our Fiscal burdens. Each country requires to raise a certain gestion is amount of money by taxation for public purposes. One principle country requires more and another less. This burden it must bear. It cannot by any hocus pocus throw it on foreign countries. It may shift the burden from one class to another of its own citizens : it may arrange the burden so as to do as little harm or as much harm as ])0ssiblc, but, assuming the purposes for which it is raised to be necessary, it can no more get rid of the necessity of paying for them than it can get rid of its soil or climate. To compensate the English farmer, at the expense of his fellow citizens, for the supposed excess, or assumed excess, of taxation in England, is much the same thing as to attempt to compensate him for his inferior soil or sunshine ; and any attempt to do so can only result in limiting the productive powers of the country as a whole. It would indeed be a charming discovery if Governments could relieve their own countrymen from taxation by simjily taxing the produce of other nations. Chancellors of the E.x- * See Mongredicn's " Western Farmers of America. " Cassell & Co. The burden of these increased prices is less now. Bat this is because Protection has stimulated an unhealthy growth of manufacture, and a consequent glut and depression which have depressed prices, and brought ruin on the industries which the system was intended to protect, 8cc below, Chapter XXXIII. 102 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Objections chequcr would revel in their budgets, which would become, if not small, yet delightfully easy ; and Jingoes would triumph in the simultaneous impoverishment of their neighbours and enrichment of themselves. Fortunately, or unfortunately, no Chancellor of the Exchequer can do anything of the kind. He cannot draw his taxes from any country but his own. He can injure other nations, but not without injuring his o\a\ still more. Regarded from his own point of view, Protection, in proportion as it succeeds in its primary object, will destroy his revenue. It will kill the goose- which lays his golden eggs. Take two neighbouring parishes, the inhabitants of which are accustomed to buy and sell from one another. One of them has to go to great expense for drainage works and water supply, and the parochial rates rise. Would any one be silly enough to suggest that this rise of rates could be compensated by im- posing a duty en: restriction on the purchase by its inhabitants of goods sold by the other ? And yet this is not more absurd than to suppose that we can make the Americans pay our income tax or our poor rate by laying a duty on American bullocks. CHAPTER XXI. SECOND OBJECTION TO THE PRINCIPLE — EXCESS OF IMPORTS. Another objection which the Fair Traders make to our prin- ciple of Free Imports is that Imports displace Briti-sh produc- tion, and that consequently, the excess of Imports, which is apparent in our recent Trade Returns, is a fatal sign of the decadence of English industry. Imports are their great bug- bear, and to them excess of imports means ruin. There is, per- haps, no subject on which so much nonsense has been talked. It is nonsense which reappears under a great variety of forms. For instance, I find in one of the Fair Trade tracts a long and graphic description of the making of a plough in England, and of all the English people employed in preparing the materials and putting them together. The whole culminates in the sale of the English made plough to a farmer for ;^i2, whilst a similar article might be imported from abroad for PART II. — RETALIATION. I03 ;^ii los. All this is for the sake of the following precious Objections piece of political wisdom : — to the " I must deal with the question in its ]jractical ?jearing, and lEffect^of* tell you that the dogma, ' buy in the cheapest market,' is a Imports. great delusion, for, in the case of the plough which ])roduced ^\2 to the whole nation, if it could be bought from the the foreigner for j£ii los. the whole nation would certainly gain I OS. but would lose the ^£12 by the collapse of that special industry, the nation, from the Government down to the candle- stick maker, being poorer by jQii los. in distributive wealth.^'' Astounding conclusion ! How do the Fair Traders think the imported foreign plough is to be paid for? With nothing? If so, then the nation will be richer not by los., but by ;^i2. If with something, then with what ? Why, of course, with something which English workmen can make better and cheaper than they can make ploughs, and which will have to be sent abroad, and there sold to pay for the plough. Again, in another of their leaflets I find a long story about Fair Trade the producer and consumer, and a long and tedious attempt notion, that to show that in consulting the interest of the consumer by en- jure EnV."' couraging imports we are damaging the producer, and dis- iislinien\s COUraging exports. Producers. In this there is a double fallacy. In the first place, pro- Fallacy of ducers and consumers are really the same people, '^llie dis- distinction tinction between producer and consumer is of use and of producer interest in arguing questions of political economy, where the and cor- different capacities in w^tich men act, and the different motives turner, which impel them to action, have to be taken into account ; but producers and consumers are, in real life, the same persons. Every producer is a Consumer, and every consumer (except the purely idle, whom we need not now consicier) is a producer. The workman who produces steel rails consumes bread, meat, tobacco, clothing, and a number of other things. The learned classes — the engineer, the lawyer, the doctor, the statesman — whilst consuming whatever is necessary for life and health, assist in production no less than the workman. We arc all — if we are doing anything useful — producing as well as consum- ing. There is really no interest of producers separate from that of consumers. We are all interested in buying what we want wherever we can get it best and cheapest. Secondly, if we look to production alone, and put con- Larg^est im- sumption out of the question, it is the largest amount of free ^"^"^ *^^"^"^ 104 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. largest pro- imports which will cause the largest amount of production, uction. ^oi^ no doubt, of the same articles, but of articles which we can l)roduce better and with more advantage to ourselves and to the country than we could produce the articles which we import. The moment we cease to produce such articles we shall cease to import. So long as we import we may be sure that we have bought those imports with our labour, and either have paid, or are paying for them, with our exports. AVe can pay for them in no other way. The fear of But it is the growing excess of imports which fills our Fair growing Trade friends with their most terrible alarms, mports. rpj^g absurdity of these terrors has been so often and so fully exposed that it is unnecessary to repeat in detail the many arguments which show that our imports are large, because they include the profits of our present trade, and of our past savings. But it may be desirable to state the outlines of the case shortly, premising that the incompleteness of our Imperfcc- Statistical records makes error easy and exactness impossible ; tion of for, not only do our statistics of exports omit much which is ^m'^i'^^T^ really produced and sent out of the country, but all attempts of Balance to Strike an exact balance of imports and exports are confused of Trade, and baffled by investments, and by the traffic in securities. We know that all exports of goods are made either in exchange for the imports of other goods or bullion, or by way of loan to be repaid hereafter by imports — and we know that imports are made either in exchange for goods or bullion, with the necessary additions for freight and profit, or by way of repay- ment of the principal or interest of loans which we have formerly made. But we do not know how much is due to each of these causes, and we cannot, therefore, strike an accurate balance. We do not know the exact state of our debtor and creditor account with foreign countries. The difficulty is increased by the fact that securities are now used as a sort of international cash, and are transferred from country to country, not as per- manent investments, but in place of bullion to settle the balance of accounts. In consequence there is large room for speculation and for error. But all economists agree that we are a largely lending country, and that we have enormous investments abroad, of which the interest and profit are daily returning to us in the shape of imports, The case may be put shortly as follows :— PART II. — RETALIATION. 105 The excess of imports over exports in 1880 was ^, . .. ^ ^ Objections to the Imports £^411,229,000 principle. Exports ..... 286,414,000 Exce s of ;i{^ 1 24, 8 1 5, 000 Imports. and in 1883 it was Imports ...... ^^426,892, 000 Kxports 305,437,000 ;,{;i2i,455,ooo The amount of EngUsh capital constantly employed abroad Ksti^m.ite in private trade and in permanent investments, including Stock i*nvesu'^" Exchange securities, private advances, proi^erty owned abroad ments. by Englishmen, British shipping, British owned cargoes, and other British earnings abroad, has been estimated by competent statisticians as being in 1880 from 1,500 to 2,000 millions, and it is constantly increasing. Taking the lower figure, the interest or profit upon it, at 5 per cent, would be 75 millions, and at the higher figure, 100 millions. But a large proportion of this amount being employed in active business, would bring in more than 5 per cent, profit, probably not less than 10 per cent. Supposing one-quarter to bring in that interest, we should have, as the income of 1,500 millions capital, 94 millions; for the income of 2,000 millions capital, 125 millions. The former amount is about three-fourths of, and the latter equals, the excess of imports over exports. But besides this, there is the question of freights. A very large proportion of the trade of „ . ^ the United Kingdom is carried in English ships, and these ships on Shipst also carry a large proportion of the trade of the world which does not come to England. This is, in fact, an export of highly-skilled English labour and capital which does not appear in the export returns, and considering that it includes not only the interest on the capital invested in the ships, but wages, pro- visions, coals, port expenses, repairs, depreciation, and insurance; and that the value of English shipping employed in the foreign trade is estimated at considerably more than 100 millions sterling, the amount to be added to our exports on this account must be very large. Add to this the ships built for foreigners, amounting in 1880 to 70,000 tons — chiefly steam ships — the ships repaired for foreigners and the ships sold to foreigners, io6 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. amounting in 1880 to 75,000 of sailing and 36,000 of steam tonnage, worth altogether several millions, which do not appear in our list of exports. All these outgoings, except the small part spent abroad, with the profits, must either return to this country in the shape of imports, or be invested abroad. From all I can learn, I believe that 50 millions is too low an estimate of the amount of unseen exports, which should be added on this account to the total of exports visible in our statistical returns. In addition, there are the commissions and other charges to agents in this country, connected with the carnage of goods from country to country, which are analogous in their nature to the charges of the ship- owners for conveying goods, all of which appear in our accounts of imports, but none of which appear in the list of exports. If there is any truth in the above figures, not only is the excess of imports over exports accounted for, but there is really a large surplus of imports due to us, which can only be accounted for by supposing that we are still investing large amounts of our savings in foreign countries and in the colonies. We need not, therefore, be afraid either that we are con- suming the realised earnings of past generations, or that we are ceasing to be able to earn. Though receiving more, we are still earning ; and we may consume in confidence, because we produce in abundance. I cannot finish this chapter better than with Cobden's own words : — * " Now, we are met by the monopolists with this objection : — If you have a Free Trade in corn, foreigners will send you their wheat here, but they will take nothing in return. The argument employed, in fact, amounts to this, if it amounts to anything — that they will give us their corn for nothing. I know not what can exceed the absurdity of these men if they be honest, or their shallow and transparent knavery if they be dishonest, in putting forward such an argument as that. If there be a child here, I will give him a lesson which will make him able to go home and laugh to scorn those who talk about Reciprocity, and induce him to make fools' caps and bonfires of the articles in the Morning Post or Herald. Now, I will illus- trate that point. I will take the case of a tailor living in one of your streets, and a provision dealer living in another, and this See " Cobden's Speeches," p. 63. Speech in London, 8th February, 1844. PART II.— RETALIATION. I07 busybody of a Reciprocity man living somewhere between the Objections two. He sees this tailor going every Saturday night empty- 'o.the handed to the provision dealer, and bringing home upon his Excess of shoulder a side of bacon, under one arm a cheese, and under Imports. the other a keg of butter. Well, this Reciprocity man, being always a busybody, takes the alarm, and says : ' There is a one- sided trade going on there, I must look after it.' He calls on the tailor, and says, ' This is a strange trade you are doing ! You are importing largely from that provision dealer, but I do not find that you are exporting any cloths, or coats, or waist- coats in return ? The tailor answers him, ' If you feel any alarm about this, ask the provision dealer about it ; I am all right, at all events.' Away goes the Reciprocity gentleman to the provision shop, and says, ' I see you arc doing a very strange business with that tailor; you are exporting largely pro- visions,'but I do not see that you import any clothes from him : how do you get paid ? ' ' Why, man, how should I ?' replies the provision dealer, ' in gold and silver, to be sure ! ' Then the Reciprocity man is seized with another crotchet, and forthwith begins to talk about the ' drain of bullion.' Away he flies to the tailor, and says, ' Why, you will be ruined entirely ! What a drain of the precious metals is going on from your till ! That provision dealer takes no clothes from you ; he will have nothing but gold and silver for his goods.' 'Ay, man,' replies the tailor, ' and where do you think I get the gold and silver from ? Why, I sell my clothes to the grocer, the hatter, the bookseller, and cabinet maker, and one hundred others, and they pay me in gold and silver. And pray, Mr. Busybody, what would you have me do with it ? Do you think my wife and family would grow fat on gold and silver ? ' Now, if there is any little boy or girl in this assembly, I hope they will go home, and for exercise write out that illustration of Reciprocity, and show it to any of their friends who may be seized with this crotchet respecting Reciprocity and the drain of gold, and see if they cannot laugh them easily out of their delusions." io8 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. CHAPTER XXII. THIRD OBJECTION- -INVESTMENT OF ENGLISH CAPITAL ABROAD. In the last chapter, and elsewhere, I have spoken of our foreign investments as matters which have great influence on our foreign trade ; and our Fair Trade friends have a good deal to say about and against them. It is true that they are, as usual, absolutely inconsistent with each other and with them- selves. When we point to the indebtedness of foreign countries to England as one reason for the excess of imports, they tell us that we have been paying for our imports by the return to us of foreign securities ; and at the same time they complain bitterly that, instead of spending our money at home, our rich men are constantly investing their money abroad, and thus robbing English labour of its rights here. Here is one of their appeals to working men of England : — - " Free Traders tell you that these imports are the conse- quence of our foreign investments. Is it any compensation to the working men of England to know that work w'hich is their birthright is being done by foreigners for the advantage and benefit of a few rich people who have invested their capital out of their own country ? "* And, again, Mr. Sampson Lloyd says : " By the virtue of foreign investments, by the power of utilising capital to equal if not greater advantage in the employment of labour on foreign soil, monied interests thrive and flourish, and home industry is handicapped by the very sources of their prosperity." t Similar quotations might be multiplied if it were worth while. With one part of this subject, viz., the notion that the excess imports due to foreign investments go to swell the fortune or increase the business of the rich man and fail to reach the working classes, I have dealt above in Chapter XIII. , where I have shown that our excess of imports being for the most part * Fair Trade Tracts, No. 15. f Letter from Mr. Sampson Lloyd to Lord Derby of 14th July, 1882 TART II. — RETALIATION. I09 Cither raw material for manufactures, or common food, must go objections to provide workmen witl"i the means of industry or the means to the of Hving. But it is worth while to consider more carefully the p""eign'^in. operation of an investment made by an Englishman in a foreign vestments, industry, and to see what is its effect on English industry com- Interest of l)ared with investments made at home. I speak now not of the men!'"^ case of absentees who spend their winters on the Riviera or in (2) in the Paris, and their summers in Switzerland, and who consume in exports by , ' . , . . . . ' 1 • • %vhich the those countries the monies they derive from their investments, investment whether at home or abroad. I speak of the Englishman is made, who has his home and employment in England, who in- vests larger or smaller sums of money in American, Australian, or other foreign securities, and who draws from them an annual income. What is his object in making the investment ? Why does he put his money into foreign railways or foreign land companies rather than into farms, or manufactures, or railways in England ? Simply and solely because he makes more by so doing. In general he will prefer an English security, under the protection of his own laws and government, unless the foreign security offers him some advantage in the shape of higher interest. Does he do his own country any harm in yielding to the temptation ? Let us take an individual case, and see how it works. An Englishman, whom we will call Johnson, is the owner of a farm in England, of (say) 300 acres, much of it arable, which he cultivates himself. It costs him in labour ^500 a year, and he employs (say) 16 labourers at an average of 12s. a week. At present prices of agricultural produce the farm is a dead loss to him, or does not pay more than its expenses. If he throws the whole or the greater part of it into grass he will largely reduce his expenses. He will save (say) one half of his labour bill (^250), and as much more in horses, carts, machinery, seeds, and manure, making altogether ^500 a year to the good. Now, let us suppose that, not wishing to increase his expen- diture on himself, his house, or his family, Johnson is anxious to invest this money. If it had been ))rofitable to him, he would have kept it and invested it, as before, on his farm. As it is, he looks out for what will be more profitable, and he finds that in consequence of the demand for corn in Europe, and the increasing cultivation of corn in America and India, there is no investment more profitable than an American or an FREE TRArE V. FAIR TRADE. Indian railway. He buys shares in such a raihvay to the extent of the ;^5oo which he has saved from his farm. How does his ^^500 get out there ? Not certainly in gold. We import into England more gold than we export. Unless it is exchanged for capital returning home, which is unlikely, for we are constantly making fresh investments abroad, it goes out in the shape of English goods, possibly in the form of iron rails or machinery which are required for the purpose of the railway in which Johnson has invested his ;^5oo. This ^500, therefore, sets to work English labour as much as if it were wages on Johnson's farm. It sets to work the workmen who make the iron, the shipbuilders who make the- ship which carries the goods, and the sailors who navigate her. When it has reached America or India, what does it do there? First of all it facilitates the carriage of corn, and makes corn cheaper in this country. Then, as regards Johnson himself, it creates an obligation on the part of the American or Indian railway company to pay him interest upon it — say, at the rate of ^5 per cent, by which he gets ^25 a year, which he would never have had if he had continued to invest his money on his English farm in growing corn, which he could not sell at a profit. This ^2z^ he can spend as he pleases. Possibly, being richer than he was, he may choose to spend it unproductively on his farm; possibly on his garden, his house, or on other luxuries ; possibly he may invest it again in the same way in which he invested the ;^5oo from which it was derived. But in any of these cases it will set to work English labour ; and there will be ^^25 employed in setting to work English labour, which would not have existed if Johnson had continued to grow unprofitable corn. If the ^25 is productively invested, it will again produce interest, to be again employed in labour, and so on. Each year the same process will be continued — each year Johnson will be diverting the unprofitable labour from his farm to profitable labour in the mine, the foundry, the shipbuilding yard, and the ship ; and the amount of capital to be returned to this country to be there employed in labour will constantly accumulate. On the whole, therefore, not only will Johnson be better off, but the money used in employing labour in this country will be increased ; and that labour will be of a better kind — because more productive — than the labour on Johnson's farm. But now, in order to be fair, let us look at the other side PART II. — RETALIATION. Ill of the question. Johnson formerly employed i6 labourers on objections his farm — he now employs only half the number. He formerly to the bought seeds and manures and horses, which he no longer P""9P . buys ; and to this extent English labour is displaced. But this vestments, labour is ex hypothesi less valuable labour to the country Possible than the English labour which his foreign investment has set to ta^es^to"' work, and it would not produce the additional interest for the working luture employment of English labour which the foreign invest- '"^"• ment does. The displacement and transfer may, nevertheless, cause inconvenience and loss to the farm labourers concerned. Such inconvenience and loss are little, if at all, felt where the process is gradual and the labour is absorbed elsewhere ; l3ut they may be so sudden as to cause considerable suffering. For instance, the process I have thus illustrated has for many years been going on throughout Western England, as is shown by the decrease of arable land in the agricultural returns, and this change being gradual, has, down to the past year, been effected without loss to the agricultural labourer, as is shown by the maintenance or rise of his wages. It may be that quite recently things have changed ; that the long continued agricul- tural depression has had a cumulative effect; that the depres- sion of prices following bad seasons has caused the change to go on more rapidly, and that it is causing some suffering at the present time. But whether this is so or not, it remains true that on the Balance of whole the transfer of English capital from an English industry 'i<^v.intage. which does not pay to a foreign or colonial industry which does pAy, is no loss to England generally, and causes no diminution in the employment of English labour. There are, however, two drawbacks to these foreign and Drawbacks colonial investments of a totally different kind, to which it is Invest^'"" well to call attention. The one is that in case of a war with a ments. maritime power, the returns from them would be open to greater risk than investments in this country ; the other that they can more easily evade taxation by the English Govern- ment. If the Fair Traders would devote their attention to the best mode of securing safety to our immense foreign invest- ments, and of making this form of personal property pay a certain and a fair contribution to the national expenses, they might deserve public gratitude. It will be remembered that in this chapter I have been arguing with those who would treat the transfer of capital from 112 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. English estates or manufactures to foreign railways or other foreign enterprises as an economical evil to be discouraged by the legislature. But the desire to make profitable investments, however valuable economically, is not the only motive which governs rich men ; and the love of natural beauty ; interest in farming and outdoor life ; personal and local attachments ; are quite sure to maintain a much larger expenditure on English land and on English labour than would be dictated by a desire for gain. By all means let all such motives have their way ; but do not let us, in the supposed interest of national wealth, be persuaded to deprecate or discourage the foreign investments which have done so much to increase that wealth, and to im- prove the condition of the toilers and spinners who produce it. Illustra- tions from English Trade : before i860. CHAPTER XXIII. ILLUSTRATION OF PRINCIPLE — ENGLISH TRADE BEFORE 1860. Having, in Chapter XIX., stated the general principle of Free Traders, and having, in the three following chapters, dealt with some of the Protectionist objections to it, I will now try to illustrate its operation. But it is not an easy thing to prove any truth of this kind from statistics of actual facts, for it is very difficult to find a test-case in which all the facts are known, and from which all foreign elements can be eliminated, but in the facts which have been so often cited by Free Traders we find an approach to an illustration if not to a proof. From the time of the end of the great war in 1815 to the time of Sir R. Peel's tariff reforms, England was first a Prohibi- tive and afterwards a Protectionist country. In 1842 the first great reductions of duty were made. In 1845 followed a great further reduction. In 1846 the Corn-law Bill was passed, and the corn duties came to an end in 1849. I^ the same year the navigation laws were repealed. In 1853 Mr. Gladstone's first budget made large additional reductions, which were continued more or less in each successive year until i860, when the reductions incidental to the French treaty brought our tariff to its present simple condition, with the exception of the repeal of the sugar duty, which took place in 1874. PART II. — RETALIATION. II3 If, therefore, we can compare the period of Protection in . , England with the period of Free Trade which immediately Trfje be. followed Sir R. Peel's reforms, and if we find that after these fore i860, reforms had taken effect, and before i860, when the French treaty was made, there was a great burst of activity in England, we have some evidence that reduction of Protective duties in England alone, and without reduction on the part of other nations, resulted in a great increase of English trade, the effects of which are seen in the statistics of our exports. Our statistics of exports of domestic produce, which are the only statistics on which we can rely for the earlier years of the century, afford such a test. These averaged per annum from 1821 to 1825 . about 37 millic 1826 to 1830 • „ 36 „ 1831 to 1835 „ 40 1836 to 1840 • „ 50 1841 to 1845 . M 54 „ 1846 to 1850 M 61 1851 to 1855 . „ 89 „ 1856 to 1S60 ., 124 thus showing a large and continuous increase as the successive instalments of Free Trade came into full operation. I am aware that there were other factors at work during this period, and those who wish to see what can be said about them should turn to Mr. Gladstone's article in the Nineteenth Century of February, 1880, But the above figures show conclusively that an out- burst of successful exportation was concurrent with the installa- tion of a Free Trade policy in England, and with the mainte- nance of restrictive tariffs abroad. CHAPTER XXIV. ENGLISH TRADE SINCE 1860. But it will be said in reply, " All this happened long ago, and Alleged many things have happened since then. Foreign nations have changes oi learned from us to manufacture and to rival us not only in their gJan^eV own markets but in the markets of the world. Protective tariffs since i860. I 114 FREE TRADE 7'. FAIR TRADE. English in this state of things will be more dangerous to us than they ^860 ^ ^'"^^ ^^^^ were before, for we have not only the barriers of hostile tariffs to cross, but shall find Avithin them rivals whom we cannot expect to beat. As a matter of fact, the trade of other nations has progressed as fast or faster than our own. The United States have the most Protective tariff in the world ; but their trade, as measured by their exports and imports, and their general prosperity, has grown faster than our own. France, with her tariff less Protectionist than the United States, but still Protective in a high degree, is the marvel of the world in the way she has recovered from the crushing blows of the German war. Germany has not found her Protective tariff destroy her trade. The imports and exports of Canada have not diminished since she adopted her high duties, and Protectionist Victoria runs a fair race with Free-trade New South Wales. Above all, are not our exports diminishing while our imports are increasing? Have we not had the longest period of com- mercial depression ever known ? and is there any reason for supposing that we shall so far recover from it as to attain again our former prosperity ? " To this I propose to reply at length in the following chapters. But in the first instance I wish to observe that it is a mistake to suppose that the world is, on the whole, more protective than or even as protective as it was. In the earlier part of this century, nations were prohibi- tive where they are now Protectionist. Prohibition pure and simple, common enough before i860, scarcely exists now. Many countries — e.g., Holland, Belgium, Norway and Sweden — have since i860 adopted a policy approaching our own. Scarcely anywhere in Europe are tariffs now as high as they were before i860. Many neutral markets are free. But, secondly, be the tariffs what they may, our freedom still gives us an advantage. We can and do export, even to the most Protectionist countries, manufactures which they are trying to keep out, and we must do so as long as they burden their own industries by a Protective system, and seek at the same time to sell their raw produce to us. In neutral markets, of which there must always be many, we have enormous advantages in our free tariff Our materials come to us free, and our people live on untaxed food. Human Let US also bear in mind that these human laws which we onT factor ^^^^ SO much of are but trifles in face of the great changes PART 11. RETALIATION, II5 which are extending the borders of the nations, and bringing inthegrcnt them together. Steam and electricity, the steamship, the rail- ''^"*""- way, and the telegraph, the improvement of every art of pro- duction, including agriculture, the specialisation of these arts, and their distribution among different classes and peoples, the system of credit— all these things make the inter-dependence of different countries both more practicable and more neces- sary day by day ; and the stream of international commerce flows on, ever widening and deepening, in spite of the puny barriers by which the folly of man tries to check and impede its course. Mischief they can do, but it is small compared with the magnificent results of the beneficent laws of Nature. CHAPTER XXV. WHAT FREE TRADE MEANS, AND WHAT IT CANNOT DO. At the same time it must be remembered what Free Trade Free Trade is, and what are its limits. It is merely the unshackling of cannot powers which have an independent existence. It can produce caToniv nothing ; it can create no material substance in Nature ; it can leave beget no positive qualities in man. All it can do, and that all ^,^'"1.^ ^"^ is much, is to leave the powers of Nature and of man to pro- ' duce whatever it is in them to produce unchecked by human restrictions. Free Trade cannot make the maize and the vine grow in England ; it cannot make our sands and clays yield wheat as freely as the virgin soil of the prairies ; it cannot endow the negro and the Hindoo with the ingenuity and thrift of the Frenchman, or the brain and arm of the Anglo-Saxon ; but it can insure that each shall be allowed to yield and do whatever it is best fitted for yielding and doing. Free Traders have been much to blame for attributing to Free Trade consequences which have probably arisen from many causes, and they are now paying the penalty of their exaggerations. It is idle to expect that England shall produce everything, or even that she shall have a monopoly of manufactures. Other countries have their own special advantages of soil, of climate, and character, which will enable them to do many things better than England. The true test of the value of I 2 Il6 FREE TRADE 7'. FAIR TRADE, True test Free Trade to England, or to any other country, is not whether Trfdir ^^^^ ^^ progressing faster, or even doing a larger trade than another, but whether she is doing better herself with Free Trade than she would do without it ; and whether, in her relation to other nations which are not Free Traders, she or they derive the greater benefit from their respective com- mercial systems. Tried by these tests, we need not fear the comparison. CHAPTER XXVI. RELATION OF THE PROSPERITY OF OTHER NATIONS TO OUR OWN. Our Trade BEFORE attcmpling to provc anything by facts and figures, can only |g|. ^,g j^g qj-^ Qm- guard against a mistake, by which our making'tiie Protectionist friends are constantly leading us into pitfalls. Trade of It is a very important and a very dangerous mistake, for it ^^^ involves the very principle which lies at the bottom of the grow too. Free Trade controversy. To read Protectionist literature, one would imagine that no nation could thrive except at the expense of another ; that trade, at any rate between nations, is a sort of betting or gambling game, where the gain of one is the loss of another. If the list of French exports grows as ours grows, still more if it increases by a percentage faster than our own, we are in danger. If the American export account appears to exceed our own, we are lost, and so on. Unless our sale list keeps far ahead of and grows faster than that of all other nations, we are losing our position, and dwindling among the races of mankind. But the truth is, that trade is reciprocal : our trade cannot grow without making the trade of other nations grow too. Every act of trade is a sale by one man and a purchase by another, and every such a sale and purchase involves a second purchase by the first man and sale by the last. Every act of trade is an act of barter — or, rather, one-half of an act of barter. Except in the case of transfers of goods made to pay existing debts, every sale by an Englishman to a Frenchman involves a sale direct or indirect by a Frenchman to an English- man. Every English export to France involves a French import PART II. — RETAT,IATION. I17 from England, a French export on account of r>ngland and an JCnglish import on account of France. And the wliole transac- tion is a gain to both traders and to both countries. An increase in the English export list, arising from the removal of our own restrictions, necessitates an equal and corresponding increase in the French export list ; and the increase in the French exports, which follows the removal of our restrictions, is the proof and consequence of an increase in English trade. We cannot do good to ourselves without doing good to our neighbour. Nay, if we are doing much the larger trade of the two, it may very well happen that by removing some artificial restrictions which we have placed on our trade with him, we may arrive at the result of increasing our neighbour's trade by a percentage on his trade greater than the percentage by which we increase our own^ — a catastrophe which excites the liveliest alarm in the minds of those who think the infant of two years lives faster than the youth of twenty, because in one year the infant has doubled his age, whilst the youth has added only one-twentieth to his. It would be seen to be the height of absurdity if a manu- Folly of facturer, a merchant, a farmer were to look on the j^-osperity -"Pposing of his customers as signs of his own decay. Conceive the to consist] village baker saying to the shoemaker, "You are making too in the much by my custom; you have enlarged your shop, you ^.re ''[j^^f^'^'^' taking an apprentice : you eat more of my bread, it is true, but I cannot bear to see you so rich. I shall do without shoes, and go barefoot, in order that your balance may be less at the end of the year." And yet this is the spirit in which we often look at foreign statistics. The very growth in them which we envy is often the necessary result of the increase ot our own trade, which, again, is the result of our own free policy. When we reduced our tariff between 1840 and i860, we increased our own exports and imports; but we increased those of America and Germany and France at the same time. Consequently, in comparing national statistics, the question is not whether we increase faster than or as fixst as other nations, though this question may often be answered in the affirmative, but does our Free system enable us to do trade with other nations which we should not do without it, and does it enable us to do trade from which they cut themselves off by a system of Protection ? ii8 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. In saying that trade is necessarily a mutual benefit, I do not forget Competition, or the partial and local suffering which it occasionally causes. Competition becomes wider, if not more severe, as communication extends. But competition is one form of a higher law, of which in this case we can see the beneficent results, and which neither men nor nations can dis- regard with impunity. P'ree Trade cheerfully obeys this law ; zV /las regard to sellers who ivatit io sell what other people 7i'a/it to buy, and to buyers who zvant to buy what other people want to sell. Protection discourages such bu)crs and sellers, and encourages instead of them, and at their expense, the sellers who want to sell what nobody wants to hey. If in the race of competition we were entirely thrown out ; if, whilst other nations were prospering, our forges were extinguished, our looms idle, our pauperism on the increase, and our consump- tion seriously diminishing, it would be time, not to reverse our policy, but to reconsider our position. But whilst the very opposite of this is the case, it is the height of folly to look uith jealousy on the growing wealth of other nations who can sell what we want to buy, and buy what we want to sell. CHAPTER XXV n. STATISTICS OF ENGLISH TRADE CO.MPARED WITH TRADE OF OTHER NATIONS. Compar- son with other Nations. Increase of our Trade means increase of Foreigner's Trade. Let us now take the case of one or two foreign countries, and see whether what we know of their trade is such as to make us fear that we are losing our hold on the markets of the world. In making any such comparison, two or three points must be remembered. First, as I have already pointed out, the increase of our own trade necessarily involves the increase of the trade of foreign countries. This must be so, whether they open their ports or not. If they reduce their duties contemporaneously with our reduction, their trade will increase by so much the more ; if not, it will increase, but not so much. It is therefore to be expected and desired that the trade of foreign nations I'ART II. — RKIAIJA r(ON'. II9 should increase when our own increases, and sucli an increase is not so much taken from us, but so much in our favour. Secondly, in comparing our own trade with that of other Manufac- countries, it is common to take the whole exports of domestic ^"!"^* ^''* produce as the test. But this is nihil ad rem, so far as our tocompare. manufactures are concerned. We export litde or no food, and litde or no raw produce of the soil. If we wish to see whether other nations are progress- ing faster than ourselves, or, which is the more material point, beating us out of the market, we ought to confine our attention to what we produce ourselves. I have, therefore, in the follow- ing figures endeavoured to do this in a rough way. Thirdly, it must be remembered that the following Our figures, taken from our statistics of exports, do not include the Statistics of unseen exports which we make in the shape of ships and not includtr freight. These are as much the produce of English skill and Freight, labour as our cottons or our woollens, and probably amount annually, as above stated, to more than 50 millions, one-sixth of our whole exports. Fourthly, even as regards manufactures, it ought to be no Wc cannot surprise to us that some nations are progressing faster than our- ^f^P 'V selves, or even competing with us in some articles in our own tures. markets, if we hold our own as a whole. To hear people talk, one would think sometimes that We supple- we entertam the notion that we are to have a monopoly of "^^"'^'';'^'^^'-' manufacture, and are frightened if we see that any article lose by which we make is successfully made in another country, new inven- Nothing can be more absurd. Providence has given us no ^'°"^' monopoly of natural gifts, and the very essence of the Free Trade doctrine is that each country shall do what it can do best. It is not a loss, but a great gain to us, if France sends to the world, and to us among the rest, her tasteful stuffs, and if America provides us with her ingenious labour-saving machines. We have been the first in the field with the great metal and textile manufactures, and we are still first in general mechanical skill. But the probability is that other countries will by degrees follow us successfully in the older manufactures and in the coarser productions ; and that we shall still continue to invent and to supply the world with the newer products of scientific manufacture. As some evidence that this is actually the case, I may quote the following passage from Mr. New- march's exhaustive address to the Statistical Society, contained 120 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Trade com- pnred with that of other nations. in the Society's yi;//;v/rt'/ of June, 1878, p. 211. "Between 1856 and 1877 supplemental exports (viz., those not included under the great heads of Textiles; Sewed; Metals, Ceramics, &c.), increase threefold, viz., from 13 to 37 millions, and the pro- portion to the total exports rises from 11 to 19. The progres- sion of the figures is rapid and large, and strongly suggestive ot a vigorous and inventive trade in which the rapid appearance of new commodities is proportionally pressing open and enlarg- ing the previous classifications and vocabularies." The supple- mental list thus referred to contains, amongst a multitude of articles, such as biscuits, medicines, chemicals, painters' colours, musical instruments, telegraph materials, india-rubber and jute manufactures, &c., &c. To find that France, Ger- many and America are making cotton and woollen goods for themselves and exporting them is what we must expect. The question we have to consider is, what is our manufacturing position compared with the manufacturing position of countries which have Protective systems, and whether such success as they have has accrued to them in consequence of their Pro- tective systems, or in spite of them. In the tables appended, I have taken the exports of England, France, Germany and the United States at two different periods, and have divided them roughly into food, raw materials, and manufactujes, and have endeavoured to see — first, what is the amount of manufactures exported by each country ; secondly, what proportion that amount bears to its total exports ; and thirdly, how these proportions are progressing. I have said above, that I do not myself rely on the distinctions commonly drawn between raw materials and manufactures, and that there is a great difficulty in drawing any satisfactory line of dis- tinction between them. The distinctions contained in these tables do not therefore pretend to accuracy. No two persons would distribute the items in the same manner. Moreover, the statistical returns of each country are often classified according to its tariff, rather than according to more natural principles, and this causes additional confusion. I may mention as an instance of the difficulty the case of pig iron. It is here classed as a raw material, but it is the product of one of our most important manufactures, is one of our chief exports, and is highly protected in many foreign countries. However, I have taken the distinctions as made in tables which are already before the public ; and, generally speaking, it may be PART II. — RETALIATION. 121 said that what arc here inckided under manufactures are special objects of protection in Protectionist countries. As regards foreign countries, I have not carried the dis- tinction between food, raw materials, and manufactures, later than 1880. To work out the distinction on the same princi- ples on which the English analysis is worked out is a laborious task, and it is, after all, as mentioned above, not satisfactory. To make it on any other princijjle, or to accei)t the distinction as made in foreign returns, would, for purposes of comparison, be useless and delusive. The case of England, as shown in these tables, is as follows : Extorts of Domestic Produce from England.* Amount, in Thousands of Pounds. Percentage of Total. 1870. 1880. 1883. 1870. ' 1S80. 18S3. Food Raw Materials Manufactures . . £ 7,607 13,744 178,236 £ 8,825 23,272 190,963 £ 9,575 23,531 206,693 4 7 89 100 4 10 86 4 10 86 Total . , . 199,587 223,060 239,799 100 100 Exports of the United Kingdom in i87r, 1880, ai.d 1883. CHAPTER XXVIII. STATISTICS OF FRENCH, GERMAN, AND UNITED STATES TRADE IN RECENT YEARS. Trade of France. Our direct imports from France, as is well known, exceed our imports & direct exports to France, and they do this by an amount which Exports exceeds anything due to us for freight and profit. Put what- p"!"!"^"** '° ever the explanation of this excess may be, the proportion before and borne by exported English produce to French imports has ?',"co * See Table XVII.. in Appendix, for the details. FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. French Trade before and since the Treaty. increased ruUier than diniinished since ihe French Treaty, whilst the actual amount of English produce exported has tripled, thus showing that the excess of imports is not due to the character of the Treaty tariffs. The figures are as follows: — The total exports from France, according to the French statistics for 1869, the year before the war, and for 1879, are as follows : — Expoits from France in 1869 and 1879. Exports of Domestic Produce from France.* Amount, in t. ^ Thousands of Pounds. Percentage. 1869. 1879. 1869. 1879. Food Raw Material Manufactures 34,017 21,482 70,504 £ 33,159 25,210 69,515 27-0 17-0 56 26 19-8 54-2 Total ... 126,003 127,884 100 100 The value of manufactures exported from France therefore actually decreased in the decade ending with 1879, ^^^ its proportion to the value of food and raw materials exported decreased also, whilst the whole exports remained about the same. In fact, the trade has been stationary, whilst the English trade has largely increased, as shown above. If to the above list of exports we were to add shipping and freights, we should find that the exports of England have increased much faster than those of France. Duties Half the articles on which duties are imposed by the FnuTce^on^ French tariff are articles to be used solely or principally Articles * See Table XVIII., in Appendix, for the details. PART II. RETALIATION. 123 in further manufacture, e.g., yarns of all kinds, cotton, silk used in and woollen, unbleached cloths, combed wool, iron and Manufac- steel of all kinds, cop[)er sheets and wire, coal, alkali, salt, tiles and bricks, and leather ; whilst amongst all the rest are articles which conduce not less materially if less directly to production, by improving the condition of the workman, or by facilitating the conduct of business. I believe I might go through most of them, and show how France manages by imposing a protective duty to countervail her own natural advantages of soil, climate and human character, or to enhance her natural difficulties; whilst freedom from the weight of duties in our case enables us to take advantage of her deficiencies. The special cases of leather, silk, sugar and shipping, 1 have noticed more particularly below. Trade of Ger/nany. The exports from Germany for the same years are as follows : — t-xports Exports of Do.mkstic Produce from Germany.* Germany in 1869 and 1879. Amount, in t, „.„,„„ Thousands of Pounds. 1 P«centaRe. 1 ti869. 1879. 1869. 1 1879. Food ...... Raw Material Manufactures £ 28,356 38,383 43,864 £ 37,948 J 25-6 27-3 47,283 ; 347 34-0 53,551 397 j 3S7 Total 110,603 138,782 100 I 100 German trade has increased largely ; her jjolitical trium])h, and above all, the thrift and patient skill and energy of her people, have given her great advantages. How far the retrograde steps she has taken in the direction of a return to Protection may check her progress I have no means of determining. The Reports of the Chambers of Commerce in Germany, to- wards the end of 1880, were unfavourable to this course. They stated that the trade of the country was depressed ; that the internal demand for manufoctures was slack ; that the price of * See Table XIX., in Appendix, for the details, f The values for 1869 are estimated only. 124 FREfi TRADE ?'. FAIR TRADE. raw material was high ; that food was dear ; and that the working classes were worse off than they had previously been. I am not aware that any similar reports from Chambers of Commerce have been published in later years, nor have I any more recent evidence as to the condition of German Trade, except the notorious bankruptcies and distress in the German sugar trade, and the distress among German agriculturists, which has been made the ground for the protective duties lately imposed on food. Trade of t/ic United States. Let us next take the case of the United States. They levy, as is well known, enormous duties, ranging up to 50 per cent., and even 100 per cent, on almost everything that is made with hands. With all this, they have been in a state of great prosperity, and though now suffering under temporary de- pression, will no doubt be so again. But they suffer from fluctuations at least as much as other nations, and probably more, since their Protection system causes a glut, and at the same time prevents them from finding a market abroad. It is not long ago that we heard of depression in the towns of the United States far more acute than any which our workmen have laboured under; and their distress in the present year is probably far greater than any which we are suffering from, as will be seen below (Chap. XXXIII). But on the whole the recent growth of their trade is very remarkable. The following is an analysis of their export trade in 1870 and 18S0, excluding bullion and specie: — Exports of Domestic Produce from THE United States.* Amount in Thousands of Pounds. Percentage. 1870. 1880. 1870. i88o. Food Raw Material Manufactures £, 2i,56o 45,600 8,609 £ 96,694 57,199 17,763 28-6 60 • I II-3 56-3 33-3 io"4 Total 75,869 171,656 100 100 ^ue Table XX., in Appendix, for details. PART II. — RETALIATION. I 25 But it is desirable to go a little further back, and for this purpose I take the figures from a very interesting article on United States' trade in the Times of the 7th November, 1881. If the figures do not correspond exactly with those given above, it is because the following figures include bullion and specie ; and because, in the figures for 1880, the dollar is taken at 4s, in the T/'w^j- article, and at 4s. 2d. in the figures given above. The following are the exports of the United States and United Kingdom respectively, since 1840 : — Exports* of Domkstic Produce, in Thousands of Pounds. Exports of United St.^tes. United Kingdom. United 1840 . . ;^22,779 .... ;^5i,309 States and 1850 . . 27,389 .... 71,367 United i860 . . 74,637 . . .• . 135,891 Kingdom 1870 . . 84,100 . . . . 199,586 in each de- 1880 . . 166,658 .... 223,S6o isjo""''^ If to these figures were added the figures representing those exports which each country makes in the form of its shipping, the comparative growth of the trade of the United Kingdom would appear to be very much larger, especially in later years, during which the shipping of the United States has been dimin- ishing, and that of the United Kingdom largely increasing. It will be observed in the above figures that the trade of Growth of the United States increased little between i860 and 1870, no ,^XJ'tw°" doubt in consequence of the exhaustion caused by the civil Countries, war ; and that this leeway was made up in the subsequent decade. The most important observation, however, is that during the whole of the periods above mentioned the popula- tion of the United States grew much faster than that of the United Kingdom ; and that, if we take the amount of trade per head of each country in each decade, the trade of the United Kingdom has grown much faster than that of the United States. The following are the figures : — per head. Exports per Head of the Two Countries. Compad- United States. United Kingdom. !?" °^, 1 • • • ;^i 18 9 ^5°:!!, 2 . . . 2 II 10 II . . . 4 14 7 II . . . 6 7 II I . . .695 * The exports from the United States inchide buIUon and specie. Those from the United Kingdom do not. But this will make very little difference. 1840 . £y II 1850 . I 6 i860 . 2 10 1870 . 2 6 1880 . 3 8 126 FREE TRADE T. FAIR TRADE. United States' trade. Causes of United States' Prosperit)' Nature of their Exports. These are not figures to alarm us. It is idle to expect that 30 milUon of people shall produce as much as 50 million of the same people. The United States are probably, however, at this moment, in spite of temporary depression, one of the most prosperous nations in the world. The source of their prosperity is not far to seek. It is not to be found in those industries which they try to cherish by Protection, but in the raw productions of the fertile soil and climate of their immense territory. They have 50 millions of the most industrious and energetic people in the world ; they have a country as large as Europe, with every variety of good climate, and with an unlimited area of unexhausted soil. They have excellent communication throughout all the parts of this immense area. Besides this, though shut off by their tariffs from the rest of the world, they have absolute Free Trade within their own borders. It is as if there were no custom houses within the limits of Europe. Besides this, they have the Old World wanting food, and affected by bad harvests. No wonder, then, that they supply the world with food and agricultural produce. Only a tenth of their population is concerned in trade. The export of manufactures from the United States in 1880 was lyf millions sterling, whilst our own export of manufactures in the same year was 190 millions. Even in their own highly protected market, our manufactures are sold to the extent of 245 millions a year; whilst in our open market theirs are only sold to the extent of 2^ millions. With great facilities for producing iron and steel, and with a considerable native production, prices were so high in 1880 that, in spite of the duty of 40 per cent, imposed on foreign iron, we were able to send them ;;^i 0,000,000 worth, whilst what they sent us was worth ^^200,000. Their exports were very large in 1880, and have increased enormously in the decade ; but of what do they consist ? Ninety per cent, are food and raw materials, whilst the manufactures which they try so hard to foster and protect do not amount to more than 10 per cent. Their shipping, as we shall see below, is not one-fourth — or, if we count one ton of steam as equal to four of sailing, not one-seventh of our own. Of their whole trade they carried 75 per cent, in their own vessels in 1850, and only 16 per cent, in 1880. Food constituted 28^ per cent, of their exports in 1870, and the PART II. RETALIATION. I 27 amount ot" food which they export increased more than fourfold between 1870 and iSSo. The things which they have not protected they provide the world with ; in the things which they protect, and we leave free, they are nowhere in the race. So much stronger is Nature than human law — so great are the advantages which Freedom has over Protection. The real moral to be drawn from American trade is the Free Trade moral, viz., that the free development of natural advantages, and the free exchange of natural products, are the true sources of commercial prosperity. CHAPTER XXIX, TRADE OF CANADA AND AUSTRALIA. It is, perhaps, even now, too soon to trace the effect of the Trade of Canadian tariff of 1879 on her trade, and it is especially Canada difficult to eliminate other causes which have affected it. f."<^^ ".^^^' t anadian It would have been very strange if Canada had not, tariff Tariff, or no tariff", participated in the revival which has taken place in the trade of the American continent ; it would be doubly strange if, with her natural capacity for producing corn, and with the recent scarcity in Europe, she had not very largely increased her exports. For those exports she must be paid, and we should therefore also expect to see her imports increase very largely, and with them her customs revenue. We do find an increase, but by no means so large a one as we should expect. In 18S0, after the new tariff, the amount received as customs revenue had increased over that received in 1S7S, the year before the new tariff, by a little more than a million of dollars. The duties in 1S80 amounted to about 20 per cent, in value of the whole imports of the country. In 1874 and 1S75, before the new tariff, the duties constituted only from eleven to thirteen per cent, of the value of the imports, and in those years the customs revenue was larger than it was in 18S0. Comparing the trade of 1S78, the year before the new tariff", with 1S80, we find that the imports were 90 millions of dollars in the former year, and 86J- millions in the latter year ; whilst 128 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Trade of Ciinad;i. the exports were 79 millions in the former, and 88 millions in the latter. In 1873-74 the imports had been 128 millions, and the exports 89 millions of dollars. In 1883 the imports had risen to 132 millions, but the exports to 98 millions only, little more than they had been ten years before. The increased imports are probably due here, as in Australia, to the investment of foreign capital in railway and other enterprises, whilst the Protectionist tariff has had in Canada, as in the United States, the effect of restricting her foreign markets, and checking the sale of Canadian produce abroad. Considering the increase of population and of cultivated area, and considering also the immense demand of Europe for corn, it is surprising that even with the check on her industry imposed by the new tariff, the increase of exports should have been so small as it is. Canada has, probably, succeeded in calling into existence some weak manufacturing interests which will prove a thorn in her side, but she has done so in the expense of her natural industries, and has checked the flow of capital and labour from Europe, of which she stands at so much need. We have heard whispers in this country of a desire for bargains with England, under which England should either advance money to her, or give some preferential treat- ment to Canada as the price for a reduction of her duties on English goods. Whether such proposals have ever been enter- tained or made by men of influence in Canada, I do not know. But the chilling reception all such notions have met with in this country ought to be a lesson to Canada, and to other Protec- tionists, that if you want to win the favours of your mistress, it is a very bad plan to put on a fit of sulks in order to make your return to good-humour the price for her smiles. The Protec- tionist policy of Canada is deeply to be regretted by all her well-wishers here, not because it injures the trade of England, for to that trade it is a comparative trifle, but because it tends to cripple the industry of Canada, and to create a bad feeling between the two countries. The case of Victoria and New South Wales is particularly interesting, because the two colonies are in many respects simi- Trade'&c., I'lrly situated ; and whilst the one, Victoria, has embraced Pro- in Victoria tection, the other (New South Wales) has remained steadfast to Soutii ^^^ ^"i^t Trade. Both have progressed, but New South Wales has Wales. made by far the greater progress of the two. It appears, on comparing the progress of the two colonies PART 11. — RETALIATION, 129 for the decade ending with general results : — 5o, that the following are the Australian Trade Victoria and New South Wales. Victoria, New South Wales. Population increased from 726,000 increased from 502,000 to 860,000, or 18 to 770,000, or 53 per per cent. cent. Excess of Immigrants stationary , increased from 4,000 to over Emigrants 19,000. The Value of Rateable increased by less than more than doubled. Property one-half Customs Revenue stationary . increased by^nearly one- half; and is, with a less population and low tarifit", nearly as great as that of Victoria, with a large population and high tariff. Imports increased from I2i increased from 7f mil- millions to 145 mil- linns to 14 millions, lions, or 1 7 per cent. or 80 per cent. Exports increased from 12^ increased from Smillions millions to 16 mil- to 155 millions, or 94 lions, or 28 per cent. per cent. Since 1880 things have pursued a similar course. I annex a table (No. XXI. in the Appendix), giving the population, public debt, and imports and exports of each of the Australian colonies from 1873 to 1883, extracted from the Victoria Year Book, from which it will be seen that New South Wales, the Free Trade colony, has increased its imi)orts from 14 millions in 1880 to 21 millions in 1883, and its exports from 15.V millions in 1880 to 20 millions in 1883; whilst Protectionist Victoria has only increased its imports from 14^ millions to 17! millions, and its exports from 16 millions to i6_^ millions in the same time. This table also shows that New South Wales has increased its exports in these three years far more than any of the other Australian colonies, all of which are far more Protectionist. It is exports which our Fair Traders are particularly anxious about, and it must be some disappoint- ment to them to find that among a number of British societies starting on similar and equal terms, the one which has con- stantly admitted free imports has actually increased its exports far more than those which have endeavoured to promote their J FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. production and their i)0\ver of export by Protective duties, thus giving an excellent illustration of the Free Trade maxim, " Leave the imports free, and the exports will take care of themselves." CHAPTER XXX. AGRICULTURAL DEPRESSION j EFFECT OF BAD HARVESTS. Losses of But there has been a long and continuous depression of agri- Farmers culture, the largest of all our productive industries ; and causes : ^^'^j ^^ ^^"^^Y ^6 Said, brings with it depression of all. Now, 1, Rise of that the farmers have suffered severely during the last eight ^^"^^ • f. or nine years, there can be no doubt. The amount of their 2, Rise of . . -'. ' . , , , Wages ; losses It IS not easy to estmiate ; but competent observers cal- 3, Lowered cul'ated in 1880, that, if their then condition, arising from the 4 "^Deficient ^^^ses of the previous six years, were compared with their con- p'roduc- dition ten years before, they must have been the worse by a *'o"- sum approaching 200 millions, or, taking it by the year, 30 millions a year. As is well known, their condition has not improved since then. The comparatively good harvest of 1884 failed to relieve them ; and there is reason to believe that landlords have recently had to make great reductions in the rent of arable land. Whatever be the sum thus lost by the agricultural class, it is due to several factors, of which bad harvests is only one. A rise in rents — which had been going on long before the beginning of the decade, and w'hich continued until 1872-73 — an increase in the cost of labour, and a heavy fall in the price of agricultural produce, owing to foreign competi- tion, are other factors. Of these four factors, the rise of rents, and the rise in the cost of labour — a most uncertain item — were estimated in 1880 to account for something less than one-third of the whole loss, leaving more than two-thirds of the whole loss to the two factors of bad harvests and lowered prices. In what proportion it should be divided between these two factors is a matter of controversy. Some persons would attribute the larger proportion to the bad harvests ; others think that this has had a much smaller effect than lowered prices ; but that both factors have had a great effect in causing loss to the farmers, all agree. PART II. — RETALIATION. I3I Upon tlie questions of what is the total amount of loss, First three and in what proportions it is to be attributed to each of these a loss to factors, I will not enter ; the important point for our present in^j-res" ^ purpose is that it is only that jjortion of the farmer's loss not to the which is due to bad harvests which is a pure economical whoieCom- loss to the country. The rise of rent goes into the land- '"""' ^' lord's pocket ; the rise of wages to the labourer ; and if the farmer loses by the substitution of cheaper food from abroad, the consumers of that food gain in lowered prices. The present agricultural depression has, consequently, been con- fined, to a great extent, to the farming and landowning classes. Farmers have suffered much, rents have been remitted or lowered, but the population generally have been little affected, and trade revived for a while during the worst times of agri- culture. For the first time since the repeal of the Corn Laws, foreign competition, in supplying food to our people, has been unaccompanied by such a rise in demand as to compensate, and more than compensate, the English agriculturist. Even now it is doubtful whether the recent fall in prices will have as great an effect in lowering the letting value of land as the in- creased demand for food, consequent on Free Trade, has had in raising it in former years. So far, therefore, as lower prices are concerned, the nation What is the is not a loser. The loss of the farmer and landowner is the ^^ficient gain of the rest of the people. But it is worth while to con- Harvests sider what, under a system of Free Trade, is the effect on the op emive welfare of the entire community of so much of the farmer's loss mu^ity ? as is really due to a bad harvest. That it is a loss to the agricultural interests, and consequently to the community, which includes those interests, there is no doubt ; but to what extent does it affect the large majority of the population, who are neither farmers nor landowners ? The loss which they sufter has, I believe, been both exaggerated and understated. In one of our anti-free-trade journals I find the following passage : — " Mr. Bright explains the depression of trade by the loss of milUons through the insufficiency of harvests, and the inability of all persons interested in agriculture to make their accus- tomed purchases. "But the Free Traders denied this. They said that foreign corn would pour in, and must be paid for, and would bring about a profitable exportation of non-agricultural products." J2 132 FREE TRADE ?'. FAIR TRADE. Whether the Free Traders said this or not, I do not know. But the real state of the case seems to be as follows : — Suppose that there is a deficiency of lo million quarters — ■ worth, say, 20 million pounds. The agricultural interest will lose this sum, and will be actually so much the poorer. They will be unable to exchange their corn for non-agricultural products, and, so far, trade will be injured. The argument above referred to as the argument of the Free Traders, assumes that the same quantity of corn must be purchased abroad at the same price as would have been paid for the corn produced at home, and that the same quantity of non-agricultural produce must be exported to pay for it ; and that, if so, manufacture and trade will not suffer on the whole. But the above assumption is not strictly accurate, as the following considerations will show : — 1. Supposing the conditions of production abroad to remain the same, the corn brought from abroad will necessarily cost rather more than the home-grown corn would have cost, and the goods sent to pay for it will have to pay freight and ex- penses. This loss will fall on the whole community. If, indeed, as has been recently the case with ourselves, the im- porters of corn are also the carriers, the freight will return into the pocket of the nation. 2. The course of trade will be deranged, and this will be a loss to the manufacturer as well as to the agriculturist. 3. The foreign purchaser will not want so much of the same things as the home purchaser, and will probably have to be tempted by a lower price. He may want some things very much, as the United States wanted iron for railways in 1880. In that case, the price of iron would go up in England, but the price of other manufactures would go down. 4. The demand for corn will be large and immediate. Bills of America on England will be at a discount. Bills of England on America will be at a premium. The former will be in excess. There will be an immediate profit to America on the business, till the balance is redressed by the exports to America. Consequently, in their different ways, the trading and manufacturing interests of England, as well as the agricultural interest, must suffer from our bad harvests ; but their suffer- ing is comparatively small ; and under present circumstances is largely compensated, if not more than compensated, by the low prices of Foreign food. What their suffering would be if PART II. — RETALIATION. I33 Foreign food were excluded, or raised in price by high duties, it is, in the present state of our population and of their employ- ment, frightful to contemplate. CHAPTER XXXI. COMMERCIAL DEPRESSION BETWEEN 1 87 2 AND 1880. We have already seen, in Chapter XXIII., what an impetus our Burden of trade received in the period between 1840 and i860. We know on°hose^ also how much the trade of France, as well as of England, grew who call for after the treaty of i860 ; and we may fairly ask our opponents, change of who are calling for a reversal of the policy which produced ^""^ ° '^^* those benefits, to show not only that we have since that time been deprived of them, but that we should not have suffered that loss if we had not been Free Traders. We have a right to call upon them to define the specific evil of which they com- plain, and then to prove that it is due to Free Trade. I need not say that no such definition, no such proof, is forthcoming, and we are left with nothing but a vague shadow to fight with. Let us, however, take such focts as we can lay hold of, and see how far they bear out the notion that we are losing our markets in the world. Let us admit that our exports, as measured in nominal Commer- values, considerably diminished since those roaring years ofprgssjon prosperity, 1872 and 1873. I'hey were 256 and 255 millions subsequent in those years, and 191 and 223 millions in 1879 and 1880. '° '^73- In 1882 they were 241 millions, and in 1883 240 millions. Let us admit, too, that this decrease of exports has been the sign and result of a real depression, and that both profits and wages have decreased since those so-called prosperous years. This in itself has nothing to do with the question at issue, unless it can be shown to arise from a permanent loss of market for our manufactures. Nothing whatever of the kind has been shown, or can be shown. But it can be shown that the prosperity of the earlier years of the decade is exaggerated ; that the depression is exaggerated also; and that there are ample causes to account both for one and the other without 134 FRKE TRADE 7'. FAIR TRADE. Depression since 1873. I'-^'^ggera- tion of Prosperity of 1872-73. Statistics founded on Price mis- k^ading. Prices of Raw Ma- terial. Temporary Causes of Inflation. assuming any falling off in the general demand for or supply of English goods. 7"he prosperity of 1872 and 1873 has been immensely exaggerated. All persons engaged in producing coal and iron made, no doubt, enormous profits, but they were led by those profits into an extravagant expenditure, partly on personal expenses and luxuries, but still more on plant and machinery for increasing the output, which has flooded the market with excessive supply, and from which no adequate return has yet been received. This expenditure of capital in fixed and, at first, unremunerative investments, is one cause of subsequent depression. But whilst coal and iron masters made fortunes in those years, manufacturers and others who had to use coal and iron had to bear heavy outgoings, and their profits were reduced accordingly. Prices being high all round, people with fixed incomes sufl:ered accordingly. Even the high wages of the time went less far than lower wages do when prices are lower. A great deal of the prosperity was apparent rather than real. The statistics made the exports appear larger than they really were, because prices were so high. The quantities of goods exported, and the labour necessary to produce them, were as large in the subsequent years of depression as they had been in the years of inflation, but appear to be less because prices are so much lower. The exports of British produce were 255 millions in 1873, ^'i<^ 223 millions in 1880. If the exports of 1880 were valued at the prices of 1873 they would be 311 millions, or larger than those of any previous year. Imported raw material, e.o., cotton and wool, was much dearer in the period of inflation than in the subsequent period of depression, and consequently that portion of the exports which is due to British labour and capital diftered in the two periods much less than appears at first sight by the figures of the total exports. For instance, the raw cotton imported in 1873 was about the same in (juantity as the raw cotton imported in 1879. But the raw cotton used in our manufac- tures exported cost us 14 millions more in 1873 than the same quantity cost us in 1879. The prices and exports of the inflated years were due to causes which were temporaiy and accidental, and brought with them a necessary reaction. Amongst other causes may be mentioned — PART 11. — RETALIATION. 135 Expenditure of capital in this country on plant and ma- Depression chinery, not even yet fully reproductive. ^'"ce 1873. Investments of luiglish capital abroad, some of which were wholly unproductive — e.g., the bad foreign loans ; and some of which were not immediately ]:)roductive — e.g., American rail- ways, but which are now in various ways bringing us a large return of imports. Advances made to assist France in paying the German indemnity, which caused a large export from France and England to Germany at the time, and large exports from France to England and to Germany at a later time. I have given the figures which illustrate this process in the Tables VIII , IX., and X. in the Appendix. All these causes have little to do with the permanent demand for goods ; all of them largely increased our exports at the time ; some of them proved in the end losses, whilst others have helped that increase in our subsequent iirports which Fair Traders seem to dread even more than losses. The infla- tion, as well as the depression, is, therefore, fully accounted for without any reference to closed markets or decrease in permanent demand. It is a complete mistake to suppose that extraordinarily Large Ex- large exports, very high prices, and a great demand for labour ports and are necessarily signs of great and permanent prosperity ; they nof neces-^ are only signs of great activity. They may be caused by a sariiy Tests continuous demand, and by good and reproductive invest- "^ ?™5" ments of capital, in which case they are elements of permanent ^^" ^" prosperity. But they may be caused by bad investments, by payment of debt, or by unproductive expenditure on war, or by other causes which may lead to absolute loss. If I employ a thousand men to dig a hole and fill it up again, I shall cause high wages, high prices, and great prosperity in my neighbour- hood for a time ; but my capital will be lost, and wlien the work is at an end there will be a sad reaction and relapse. These are very elementary truths, but they seem to be forgotten by many popular expounders of statistics. In addition, there is another cause for a chronic and ]ierma- Apprecia- nent diminution in the values of both exports and imports, to twn of which I can only advert very shortly. Good statisticians are of ^ opinion that the value of gold, as compared with commodities, is steadily on the rise, and that it has been so since the effect of the gold discoveries was exhausted. The question is too long FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Change in Mode of Doing Business and difficult to be discussed here.* But if the statisticians are right, as they probably are, the rise in the value of gold will account not only for some diminution in the figures of value by which we estimate our trade, but for a general fall of prices, and also of wages, which are too frequently and hastily attri- buted to commercial depression and to a decline in the pro- ducing and consuming powers of mankind. The effect of the appreciation of gold must be slow and gradual, and is often concealed by the greater immediate effect of fluctuations due to other causes. But its result in producing a feeling of depression is probably out of proportion to its real effect. Upon the real wealth of the country as a whole it has not necessarily any effect at all. If, as Hume has said, every one had to-morrow half as many sovereigns in his pocket as he has to-day, he would be neither richer or poorer. He would buy or sell for half-a sovereign what he has to buy or sell for a sovereign to-day. But a time of falling prices is notoriously a period of depression. It is a bad time for the larger merchants who carry on the great trades of the country. When they have to borrow money to complete their purchases, and it rises in value before they have to repay it, whilst the commodities which they buy fall in money value at the same time, they suffer actual loss : and this loss probably operates on their expectations and makes them less daring in business. Other classes gain what the merchant loses. The retail dealer, who can generally postpone a proportionate reduction of his retail prices, and the consumer who ultimately gets the benefit of the fall in price, share the gain between them. But it is the wholesale trader who carries on the large speculative business of the country, and who is listened to as its representative, and he is out of pocket and out of heart at a time of falling prices. There is another cause for chronic depression, or rather for a feeling of chronic depression, to which it is worth while to advert. We are told that a great change is taking place in the mode in which foreign trade is conducted. Before the times of steam and telegraph there was a long interval of time and space between the commencement and the end of a transaction ; between the original purchase and the final sale. This afforded great scope for the merchant or middleman ; and his profits * See Articles by Mr. W. Fowler in the April number, and by Mr. Giffen in tl e June nunihcr of the Ctni temporary, 1885. PART II. — RETALIATION, I37 depended upon the judgment and skill with which he could Depression forecast distant and future markets. At the present time the ^'"'^^ '^73- state of markets is known everywhere at once by telegraph, uon ^of^'^ and the period of transport is abridged by steam. The original Gold, vendor and final ]nirchaser are brought nearer together, and the opportunities for the skill and judgment of the middleman are curtailed. The world gains on the whole by the change, but the old-fashioned merchants, who have done so much to make England what she is, suffer or are extinguished, and from that powerful and im])ortant class we have the natural cry that trade is bad, although at the same time the bulk of transactions is greater than ever. Both these causes, viz., an appreciation of gold, and a change in the methods of trade, affect the same class, a class which is naturally influential in expressing its feelings of de- pression. That such a class should suffer is to be lamented. But the losses of this class are the gains of other classes, and it would be wrong to suppose that they constitute any real dimi- nution in the wealth or prosperity of the country as a whole. CHAPTER XXXII. DEPRESSION AT THE PRESENT MOMENT AT HOME. I HAVE left the two former chapters as they stood in the first Since 1880 edition, as written in 1880, with a few additions. Since that time ^^^^^ ^^.^. there has been a short revival of trade followed by a depression and subse- which undoubtedly exists at the present moment. The causes quent de- are not hard to understand. pression. I. Agricultural Depression has continued. Bad seasons for the farmer continued until 1884; and the(3au5p5. fair average crops of that year brought him little benefit in con- r. Agricul- sequence of the low prices caused by the glut of foreign corn, ^^ral de- Agricultural wages continued to rise until quite recently ; and conUnued. though they are apparently now falling, they are high as compared with former years. Rents have been largely reduced. The 138 FREE TRADE 7'. FAIR TRADE. conversion of arable land into pasture has continued in the last two years at an accelerated ratio. The number of sheep, though again on the increase, was still in 1884 nearly three millions less than in 1879. The demand for agricultural labour must have diminished. The injury to land done by a succession of bad seasons and by want of due cultivation is cumulative. It costs a great deal to bring into order a farm which has for years been neglected. In all these ways the agricultural classes have suffered and continue to suffer. The loss of crops by bad seasons, by diminution in stock, and by deterioration of land, is an eco- nomical loss to the country generally ; and so also is the loss of employment when the labourer is not, from want of versatility or for other reasons, able to find other employment. The rise and fall of rent or wages, and the low price of foreign corn are not, as pointed out in the last chapter, an economical loss to the country generally, but they cause suffering and incon- venience to particular classes, whilst benefiting others, and thus aggravate the general feeling of distress. A\'hat is the pecuniary amount of loss sustained by the agricultural classes, and how much of it is an absolute loss to the nation, it is impossible to estimate with certainty, but it is, no doubt, a real and efficient cause of temporary depression. Of one thing we may be sure, viz., that if we should again have good seasons, and if the land should again bring forth its full and fair produce, the other causes of agricultural distress, whatever their social or political effect, will not, under the Free Trade regime, be an economical loss to the country. It must also be remembered that agricultural depression does not apply to the whole of the United Kingdom, but to the corn districts exclusively, or at any rate, specially. The graz- ing districts have not suffered, or at any rate, not in like pro- portion. Care must also be taken not to confound agricultural distress with distress of the landed interest. A great and increasing part of the land of England is used for mining, manufacturing and residential purposes. Its value increases with the growing wealth of the country^ and is not affected by the failure of harvests. The losses of the landed classes, and the silence and dignity with which they have been borne, should not prevent us from remembering what are the limitations of those losses. PART II. — RETALIATION. I39 2. Depression in Shipping;. A second cause of depression is to be found in the "boom" Causes of in shipping which culminated in 1883 and c()lla|)scd in 1884. ficprcssion I have elsewhere (p. 161) referred to the particulars of the col- i',lomc~nt"' lapse. At a period when the interest of money was falling, 2. Boom and when investors had difficulty in placing their funds, came """^ subsc an unprecedented demand for freights for corn, iron, and [lipase in° " other commodities. Investors rushed madly into shipping, shipping and the result has been a collapse of the trade here and throughout the world, accompanied by the most serious cata- logue of losses by shipwreck we have ever experienced, which, though falling primarily on insurers, are nevertheless borne in the end by the nation. 3. American Kaihvays. In the third place there has been a similar " boom " in 3. Boom American railways, as I have shown below (i). 146), and a similar ^nd collapse ,, ■' ' \i -T /J ,,^ United collapse. States rail 4. Boom and Collapse in Iron. ^^'' " In the fourth place, these two "booms"' in English ship- 4- ^"on- ping and in American railways have told upon the great iron rcviva"and and steel industry of this country. An exceptional and excessive subsequent demand has been followed by an excessive sun])ly, a cessation tii-'Pfession in iron of demand, and a glut, which still continues. The following is trade, from the Economist of the loth of J^^^nuary, 1885 : — " Looking back at the history of the iron trade during the past few years, it is abundantly evident that the present troubles are traceable to the 'spurt' of 1879 and 1880. The evils begotten of the 'boom' of 1872-4 were, in one respect, less than those following in 1879-80. In the former period, there was scarcely any increase in the production of the world, whilst in 1880 and succeeding years the increase was quite remarkable, as the following figures will show : — Production of Pig-iron throughout the Workl in thousands of Tons. 1883. 1882. 1881. iSSo. 20,239 .. 20,075 •• 18,966 .. 17,485 1879. 1877. 1874. 1872. 13,768 .. 13,430 .. 13,057 .. 13,906 The great inflation in prices which took i)lace during the years 1 87 1-5, coupled as it was with a corresponding rise in wages, 140 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. at present moment 4. Iron. Causes of led to some relaxation in the energy of the British workman, depression ^nd SO the evil of over-production was restrained. It took till 1879 to bring prices back to something like their normal con- dition, and had it not been for the breaking out of the American demand at the close of that year, we would have likely wit- nessed that ' natural ' revival which seems to follow in recurring cycles. Instead of this, everything was thrown out of the natural order, and we are now passing through the period of reaction necessary to put matters right again. The develop- ment caused by the spurt of 1879^-80 may be the better under- stood from the following figures, showing the extension of trade in rails, shipbuilding, &c. Production of Rails in the United Kingdom. Tons. Tons. 1,037,194 .. 1,235,785 Tons. [,023,740 1880. Tons. 1883. Tons 1879. Tons. 739»9io .. 519,718 T0t.1l Tonnage of .Shij^s built in the United Kingdom. 1879. Tons. Tons. Tons. Tons. 1,329,604 .. 1,240,824 .. 1,013,208 .. 796,221 .. 569,462 We estimate the total production of 1884 at 7,600,000 tons, against 6,009,434 tons in 1879. The fact here revealed ex- plains one of the causes of the present depression. " Large though the volume of trade was in 1884, it was very considerably under that of former years. The exports of iron and steel were over 500,000 tons less than in 1883, and 800,000 tons less than in 1882. At home the greatest depression was experienced in connection with shipbuilding and engineering. It is estimated that the tonnage launched was at least 500,000 tons less than in 1883. This would represent at least 300,000 or 350,000 tons less iron and steel consumed. These figures, taken in connection with some depression in other branches, would represent a reduction of at least 900,000 tons in the trade of 1884, when compared with the year preceding." It is probable that the substitution of steel for iron is one cause of the boom, and of the subsequent reaction. The demand for the new article, steel, gave a great stimulus to the manufacture. That demand has been supplied, and the new article is much more durable than the old, Hence a falling off in the demand, PAkT 11. — RETALIATION. I4t 5. Glut of Corn. Fifthly, there has been a glut of corn. Not that more Causes of corn has been produced than is needed, but more corn than arpresem" could be paid for at prices sufficient to remunerate the growers, moment, who have suffered, and arc suffering, accordingly. 5- Glut of 6. Wars and Tariffs. Sixthly and lastly, human stupidity and human jjassions have had something to answer for — partly in wars and rumours of war ; partly in the protectionist remedies which many countries are adopting — remedies which can only aggravate the disease. The evil to be cured is, not that there is more of anything in the world, especially of food, than people want, but that it is in the wrong place or in the wrong hands. One would have thought that, so far as men are able to cure this evil by law, they would try to do so by removing all legal impediments which i)revent a transfer to the right place or to the right hands of things which are in the wrong place or in the wrong hands. But instead of this, many nations are multiply- ing these impediments, and our Fair Trade friends would fain have us follow their mad examples. These causes seem to me amply sufficient to account for the present depression in this country. But we should not exaggerate it, more especially as there seems to be some reason for thinking that the worst is at an end, and that a more hope- ful feeling is beginning to prevail. The following statistics for the last six years show that the depression in this country has not hitherto been of an extreme kind : — Wars and Protective Tariffs. 1879 1880 1881 1882 1883 Value of Imports and Exports. Total net Imports in millions of pounds. 306 348 .. 334 •• 34S 361 327 ■• Total net Exports of British produce in millions of pounds. 192 .. 223 .. 234 .. 241 . . 240 .. 233 Extent of depression. Statistics — 1879 to 1884. Trade. In considering these figures it must be remembered that they denote value, not quantity ; that prices have fallen ; and 142 FREE TRADE 7'. FAIR TRADE. Extent of that, though money values may be less, the amount of useiul depression commodities may be as ^rcat as before. at present -' ° moment. Entries and Entries and Clearances at Ports in the United Kingdom in millions of tons. clearances Total. .Sailing. Steam, of shipping. 1879 53 1880 59 I88I 5S 1882 61 1883 65 1884 64 20 22 19 18 17 I4| 33 37 39 43 48 49i Railways. Receipts from Railways in millions of pounds. 1879 1880 1881 1882 1883 18S4 Goods. 36 37 38 39 37 Passengers. 26 27 28 29 29 Total. 59 63 65 67 68 67 3rd Class Passengers only. 14 15 15 16 17 17 Coal and iron. Coal ana Iron produced in thousands of tons. Coal. 1879 . . 133,808 1880 146,819 I88I 154,184 1882 156,500 1883 163,737 1884 160,758 Pig Iron. 5.995 7; 749 8,144 8,587 8,529 7,812 Cotton Cotton. Raw Cotton used in Yard s of piece goods exported millions of pounds. in millions of yards. 1879 . . 1,173 3,725 1880 1,373 4,496 I88I 1,439 4,777 1882 1,461 4,349 1883 1,498 4,539 1884 1,487 4.417 Wool 1879 1880 18S1 Raxu IVool used in millions of pounds. 321 1882 370 1883 320 1884 357 340 381 PART II. — RETALIATION. '43 Consumption per head of ceitain articles. Sugar.* Te.-i. cotrcf. Tobacco. Spirits. lbs. lbs. lbs. lbs. gallons. 1879 . 66.24 . 4-70 . roo . I-4I . I-II 1880 . . 63-68 . • 4-59 . . 0-92 • I -43 • 1-09 188 1 . . 67-36 . • 4-58 . 0-89 . 1-41 I -OS 1882 . . 70 -48 . • 467 • . 0-88 . 1-42 . 1-07 1883 . • 7174 • . 4-80 . 0-89 . I -42 . 1-06 1884 . ■ 72-31 • • 4-87 • 0-92 . 1-45 ■ roo Extent of depression at present moment. Consump- tion of sugar, te.T, ' Sugar is used in manufacture of jams, biscuits, &c., as well as in direct consumption. Average niDiibcr of Paupers in receipt of relief in England and Wales in each year, enditig Lady Day. Numbers per icoo of Average Numbers. population. 1879 765,455 30 1880 . . . . . . 808,030 . . . . . , 32 1881 790.937 31 1882 788,289 30 1883 782,422 . . . . . . 30 1884 765,914 29 The particulars for the year ending Lady Day, 1885, are not pubhshed ; but it appears from the monthly returns that the average numbers of in-door and out-door paupers relieved during the calendar years 1883 and 1884 were as follows — Pauperism. 709,779 700,745 Exclusive of about 45,000 lunatics and 4,000 vagrants. The corresponding figures for the months of January and February, 1885, compared with the same months of 1884, ^'■<-' as follows — January. February. 1884 720,498 727 189 ) Exclusive of lunat cs and ISS5 735.596 742 555 ) vagrants, as above. Deposits in Savings Banks in niillions of pounds. Savings Post Office Banks. Trustee; Total. Banks. 1879 32 44 76 1880 34 44 78 18S1 36 .. 44 80 1882 39 45 84 1883 42 45 87 1884 45 46 91 The Savings Banks also held Government stock for depositors : — the following amounts of 1883 1884 X y^ 2>^ 144 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. The statistics of bankruptcy and of emigration 1 do not give here, as I have referred to them in the following chapter. CHAPTER XXXIII. Depression in the United States. Mr. For- wood. Mr. Mc- culloch's report on the glut in manufac- tures in DEPRESSION AT THE PRESENT MOMENT IN THE UNITED STATES, COMPARED. I HAVE said elsewhere that the causes of depression are so many and so various that it would be erroneous in the extreme to draw absolute conclusions from particular instances without a full knowledge of all the conditions. To attribute the pros- perity of this country to Free Trade alone is a fallacy, which enables its opponents to turn the tables on us when that pros- perity sufifers a check. But if we can show that a country which has carried Protection further than any other, and which is at the same time our chief rival and customer — viz., the United States — suffers more from the present depression than we do, we may fairly conclude that our present evils are not due to Free Trade, and would not be removed by Protection. If we can further trace some connection between Protection and the principal evils from which the United States are suffer- ing, we shall raise a further presumption in favour of a Free- Trade policy. Now what is the condition of the United States at this moment. Mr. William B. Forwood, of Liverpool, a most com- petent witness, .says, in a letter to the Sta7idard of the i6th December, 1884 — "It is not merely that the depression is intense ; there are towns where not a single factory has worked for months past, and tens of thousands of working men are literally starving, but there is no hope that things can be better — their only customers are their own people ; the tariff prac- tically prohibits exports, and it is said that there are sufficient cotton and woollen factories and ironworks to produce in six what they can consume in twelve months." The following is the account of the condition of United States manufactures given by Mr. McCulloch, Secretary to the United States Treasury, in his annual report for 1884 — " What the manufacturers now need is a market for their surplus manufactures. . . . After the war, stimulus was PART II. — RETALIATION. 1 45 found in railroad building, and in extravagant expenditures the United induced by superabundant currency, and the time has now States, come when the manufacturing industry of the United States is in dire distress from plethora of manufacturing goods. " Some manufacturing companies have been forced into bankruptcy ; others have closed their mills to escape it ; few mills are running on full time, and, as a consequence, a very large number of operatives are either deprived of employment, or are working for wages hardly suflicient to enable them to live comfortably, or even decently. "The all-important question that presses itself upon the public attention is — How shall the country be relieved from the plethora of manufactured goods, and how shall jjlethora hereafter be prevented ? It is obvious that our power to pro- duce is much in excess of the present or any probable future demand for home consumption. The existing iron, cotton, and woollen mills, if employed at their full capacity, could meet in six months — perhaps in a shorter time — the home demand for a year. It is certain, therefore, that unless mar- kets now practically closed against us are opened — unless we can share in the trade which is monopolised by European nations — the depression now so severely felt will continue, and may become more disastrous." Again he tells us that the total value of the exports of domestic merchandise amounted to 725 millions of dollars as against 804 millions in the preceding year, showing a decrease of nearly 80 millions ; and he points out that, as regards ship- ping, the United States have almost ceased to be a maritime power — only 1 7 per cent, of her trade being carried in her own vessels. It is not often that a Minister can be found to give so unfavourable an account of the industrial conditions of his own country. But, unfavourable as it is, it is borne out, and more than borne out, by details obtained from other sources. Farming in the United States. No full inquiry has been made into the state of the agri- Agriculture cultural interest of the United States, but there is general '" '^*^ evidence that the American corn farmer is depressed no less states, than his English brother. Thus we are told that wheat cannot be produced by American farmers at existing prices ; that the area of wheat is much less than last year ; that the farms in the West are highly mortgaged at a high rate of interest amounting K 146 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Depression to as much as lo per cent. ; that these advances were made on I" '^^ , the basis of 80 cents to the dollar per bushel : and that wheat United . !!• ^ 1 r ^ ■ States. IS now sellmg at 16 to 40 cents, the expense of production being 40 cents per bushel.* Railways in n j the United ^alue durmg i Raihvays in the United States. Again, if we take United States railways, the fall in their is ver}' remarkable. Nearly 40 companies, ."States. with an aggregate length of 11,000 miles, and ^143,000,000 of capital and debt, have gone into the hands of receivers.f About 10 per cent, of the entire railway mileage and of the normal capital invested in railway stock and bonds of the United States have gone into liquidation. A still larger pro- portionate number have become insolvent in the first quarter of the present year. In solvent companies the "shrinkage" is very great. Mr. Atkinson \ estimates " that 7,000,000,000 dollars worth of railway property have apparently depre- ciated at least 1,500,000 dollars within the past year — or, in other words, that perhaps 1,000,000,000 dollars of water (nominal capital) has been squeezed out, and during the process the true value of the remainder has been temporarily depressed 500,000,000 dollars." He points out the obvious reason, viz., that whilst during the last four years the grain, hay, and meat crops of the United States, which constitute one- half the substances moved by railway, have not increased more than 10 per cent., the railway mileage has increased by 40 per cent., viz., from 86,497 miles to 121,543 miles. § In a letter to Bradstreet's Journal of 7th of February, the same statis- tician says that in 1882 about 650,000 men, mostly labourers, were employed in the mere construction of railroads, and that in 1884 not more than 220,000 were occupied in this work — thus throwing out of this work above 430,000 men. Bankruptcies in the United States. Bankrupt- Take, again, bankruptcies. The number of mercantile failures cies in the jn the United States in 1 884 was larger than had been ever known States. — even in the disastrous year 1878. The following is an extract from Bradstreefs Jom'nal o{ '&\& 27th of December, 1884 : — * Standard, 29th December, 1884. t Economist, 17th January and i6th May, 1885. '^ " Distribution of Products," p. 263. Putnam, 1885. f Ibid., pp. 235, 238, 240, 258. PART II. — RETALIATION. 147 " The rate at wliich the increase in mercantile mortahty Depression throughout the country, dependent in part, of course, on the '" '^<^ increase in number of business ventures, may be gathered from stailTs^ the following extract from Bradstnefs Journal : — ^^ Fail It res in the United States for Six Years. xr Number of ^ "^^^ Failures. Aggregate Assets. Aggregate Liabilities. P. c. Assets to Liabilities. 1879 1880 1881 1882 1S83 1884* 6,652 4,350 5,929 7,635 10,299 11,600 $ 48,906,000 27,430,000 35,964,000 47,469,000 90,804,000 130,000,000 $ 99,636,000 57,120,000 76,094,000 93,238,000 175,968,000 240,000,000 49 48 47 51 52 54 * Partly estimated. " Here is a probable increase of over 1 2 per cent, in the total number of failures for 1884 as against 1883, a probable gain of 44 per cent, in assets and of 37 per cent, in liabilities. The totals for 1884, furthermore, promise to ex- ceed any previously recorded annual total, the largest heretofore having been given as 10,500 failures in 1878, with 234,000,000 dollars liabilities. If a comparison may be instituted between 1884 and 1878, with these totals, we find that the current year is likely to have 1,100 more failures than that in which the greatest commercial depression was experienced prior to the revival of trade in 1879, ^'^^ ^^'^^ the total liabilities of failing trades in 1884 promise to be about 6,000,000 dollars greater." Nor did the increase end with 1884. The same journal of 2ist March, 1885, gives the following figures for the first two months and a half of the past four years : — 1882 1S83 1S84 1885 1797 ^691 27S7 3349 Compare these figures with those of bankruptcies in Eng- And in land, for which the official figures are as follows : — England. Number of Bankruptcies proper. Liquidations, Si hemes of Arrangement, and Compositions. No. 1881 .. .. 9,727 1882 . . . . . . . . . . . . 9,041 1883 S,55S 1884 .. .. .. .. .. 4,205 K 2 January 1st to March 14th No. of failures in the United States 148 FREK TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Depression in the United States. Considering the effect of the Bankruptcy Act of 1883, it would, of course, not be fair to take these English figures as absolute tests of the comparative commercial solvency of the trading classes in the several years referred to. The Act of 1883 has probably had the effect of preventing official insol- vencies, and also of increasing private arrangements, though whether this has been the case to any great extent is very un- certain. But it may at any rate be concluded from the above figures, that there has been no special unsoundness in the trade of England during the year 1884, such as is shown by the insolvencies in the United States. Clearing House Business in the United States. Clearing Take again the amounts cleared at the London Bankers' house busi- Clearing House, and in New York, in each of the years from ness in the o ^ ° 00 . , . United 1878 tO 1884 inclusive. ISSSl^nd I^ THOUSAM. OK ^'s. At the London Bankers' Cl-earing House. In New York. Years. Total amounts cleared. Increase or decrease in each year compared with the previous year. Total amounts cleared. Increase or decrease in each year compared wiih the previous year. Amount. Per cent. Amount. Per cent. 1878 1879 1880 1881 1882 1883 1884 000 ij's 4,992,000 4,886,000 5,794,000 6,357,000 6,221,000 5,929,000 5,799,000 000 £s — 50,000 — 106,000 + 908,000 + 563,000 — 136,000 — 292,000 — 130,000 — ro — 2-1 + I8-6 +97 — 21 —47 — 2 -2 000 ^'s 3.238,367 4.367.153 5.203,381 6,871,226 6,570,436 5,190,142 3,980,604 000 £'s (?) + 1,128,786 + 836,228 + 1,667,845 —300,790 — 1,380,294 — 1,209,538 -3-3 + 34*9 + I9'i +32-1 — 4*4 — 2I-0 -23-3 Note. — The business revived in both countries in 1880- 1, in the United States more than in England ; and fell off in both countries in 1883-4, but in the United States far more than m England. Emigration to the United States. Emigration Emigration, properly understood, is another test of com- {° V^'^ parative depression. The principles which govern emigration Stated between this country and the United States, as shown in Mr. Giffen's annual reports, appear to be as follows : — * * See Mr. Giffen's Report on Emigration, Parliamentary Paper, No. 52, of 1885, and preceding reports. PART ir. — RETALIATION. I49 Immigration lias to be taken into account as well as Depressioa Emigration, and there is at times a considerable immigration '" *^*^ into this country from the United States, so that it is the states, balance of emigrants over immigrants to which we must look, limigration In the present state of land and labour in the two countries the prevailing attraction is with the United States, which has the larger quantity of unoccupied land ; and the great current of emigration flows, therefore, from England to the United States. But not only so. The attraction in each country fluctuates with the state of trade — it is greater in each country when trade is good, and less when trade is bad. The fluctua- tions of trade in the United States are greater than they are in England, partly in consequence of their Protective system, but also in consequence of other and more imjjortant causes.* The attraction of the United States for labour is consequently, at a period of good trade, not only positively, but propor- tionately, stronger than that of this country. If we could have a time when trade in the United States was very good, and trade in England \ery bad, we should have the maximum of attraction in the United States, and the largest amount of emigration from this country. But the two countries are so connected in business that trade is generally good in the one country at or about the same time at which it is good in the other, and vice versa. Under these conditions, when trade is good, or fairly good, in both countries, the attractions of the United States are, as we have seen, not only positively, but proportionately greater than at other times, and consequently at such times the balance of emigration to the United States increases. This accounts for the fact that emigration is often greatest when times are good in this country, a fact which has been perverted by the Fair Traders into a suggestion that emigration is the real reason why pauperism diminishes ! t When the times become less good in both countries, the comparative attraction of the United States becomes less powerful, a return tide of immigration sets in, and the balance of emigration from this country becomes less. This is what has happened lately. The figures for recent years are as follow : — * See Mr. Giften's Essays on Finance, No. iv. , page 13;, on the depression of trade in raw material producing countries, t Fair Trade position explained, p 64. 15° KKEE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Depression I'otal arriv ah ill, ami licj 'yarli ires froin, the Umtt in the and to all coimtries. United States. Arrivals. Departures. Emigration 1S79 253,210 117,385 iSSo 534.465 109,007 1881 743,712 112,072 1882 869,144 133,496 1883 712,515 157,954 1884 649,491 187,706 Excess of arrivals over departures. 135,825 425,458 631,640 735,648 554,561 461,785 Emigration to, ami immii^ration from, the United States, front and to the United Kin,^dom, of persons of British and Irish origin only, each year from 1879 to 18S4, and in the first fonr months of the year 1885 .• — Emigration to Immigration from Period. United States from United States United Kingdom. i to United Kingdom. Year 1879 91,806 20,048 „ 1880 166,570 26,518 „ 1881 176,104 29,781 „ 1882 181,903 28,468 „ 1883 191,573 46,703 „ 1884 155,280 61,466 Four months ended \ 1 ",981 1 30th April, 1885. / 40,174 Employ- ment of labour in United States. Bradstreets' inquiry and report. There was a revival of trade in 1880 which went on till 1 882-1 883, and the balance of emigration from this country and into the United States went on increasing. About that time depression commenced in both countries, and has since increased. The balance of emigration following this depres- sion has decreased also, and is still decreasing, showing that the comparative attractions of the United States for the labour of this country are decreasing, or in other words, that the United States have been having a very bad time. Employment of Labour in the United States. Take, again, the most important feature of all — the employ- ment of labour. Our own newspapers have been full of reports of the depressed state of labour in the United States.* But the most important evidence is to be found in Bradstreefs * See, for instance, Times, Feb. 4tli, 1885; Economist, Jan. 3rd, 1885, &c., &.Q. PART II. RKTAI.IA'JION. I5I Jounial. This newspaper, at the end of lust year, instituted a Depression careful inquiry into the state of the leading manufacturing i" the industries in the twenty-two Northern States of the Union. j^JJJgs. The results are stated as follows — " There has been a general General reduction in wages varying from 20 to 25 and in some cases reduction to 30 per cent., taking the year through. The reduced forces (?.^., number of men) at work range from t^t^ percent, to 12 ])er cent., not including reductions in clerical staff. . . . The total number reported out of work, due to sliutting down of establish- ments, to enforced reduction of forces, or to strikes, is 316,000, or 13 per cent, of the whole number busy in 1880. Of these, the number out of work by strikes is not more than 5*3 per cent. ' There are no less than 55,000 industrial workers idle in New York, exclusive of clerks and salesmen.' ' In Phila- delphia not less than 33,000.' * At Pittsburgh, nearly 1 1,000,' " and so on.* The aggregate number of manufacturing opera- tives thrown out of work is estimated at not less than 350,000. How many of these men have found other employment or where is not known, but 350,000 fewer are reported to be em- ployed on these industries than were so employed two years ago, and there is very great distress and want of employment. Further inquiries into the rates of wages have furnished the following results,! which are sufificiently important to be quoted /;/ extenso. "Rates of Reduction since July, 1882." " Lines in 7vhich Lower Wages and Feiver Employes are Conspicuous. "In December, 1884, Bradstrecf s undertook to report the extent to which industrial workers had been thrown out of employment in the United States during two and one half years last past. The investigation was one unicjue in journalism, and was met by fairly satisfactory results, the showing being that about 350,000 fewer operatives were then employed than in 1882, or about 14 per cent. In the present instance it has undertaken to get the necessary data to determine the extent to which industrial workers' wages have been reduced during the same period. " The inquiry embraces the leading manufacturing indus- tries in the United States — those in which the value of the goods annually produced is ecpial to or in excess of 30,000,000 * Bradstrcet's, 20th Dec, 1885. t Ibid., 14th March, 1885. 152 FREE TRADE FAIR TRADE. dols. It was manifestly impracticable to extend the investiga- tion at this time to every city and town at which these indus- tries are prominent. " In order to furnish a fair and sufficiently comprehensive exhibit of the rates of wages paid and received weekly, inquiries were extended, in each case, to the leading establishments in eacli industry at seven cities or towns. The cities were selected on the basis of the amount of capital invested and value of products in each line, and are given in order under appropriate classifications by industries. "In the lines of industry covered there were, in 1880, 194,500 establishments in the United States out of a total of all manufacturing concerns amounting to 253,800 nearly 77 \)er cent, of the whole. The number of hands employed was 2,005,000 out of 2,732,595, or 73 per cent. The total wages paid by them annually amounted to 688,361,961 dols., out of a grand total of 947,953,795 dols., or 72 per cent. The annual value of materials used was 2,654,702,809 dols., out of an aggregate of 3,396,823,549 dols., or 77 per cent., and the annual total value of j^roducts was 4,101,889,676 dols., out of a grand aggregate in all industrial lines amountingto 5,369,579,191 dols., or 76 per cent. The industrial wages investigated represent, therefore, those at seven cities in order of prominence, and may be regarded as fairly typical of the rates paid to three- quarters of the industrial workers of the country. The investigation has been conducted at 60 cities, from which over 250 separate reports have been received, involving, at least, 1.500 special inquiries by correspondents of B7-adstreet^s This does not include instances where information was refused, or where it was furnished, but appeared to be faulty or likely to mislead. " 'J'here are three primary facts to be taken into account in studying the classified tables of wages presented below : — " I. With the restricted call for products, and in the effort to maintain wages — under pressure from workers to have them maintained — marked reductions in the number of employes have been made since 1882, as pointed out in Bradstreef s, December 20, 1884. As will be recalled, it was then shown — that the enforced reductions in the number of employe's, those thrown out by shutting down of factories and mills, and by strikes and lockouts (since 1882), amounted (as reported) to 316,000 in 21 States, where 90 per cent, of the total of indus- PART II. — RKTALtATlON. 153 trial workers were employed ; that the grand total was probably Depression nearer 350,000 than 316,000, or say 14 per cent, of the total '>i the engaged in 1882 ; that at least 80,000 fewer iron and steel, states, machinery and foundry, workers were employed — or 23 per Employ- cent, of the total dispensed with; that 35,000 fewer clothing "^^"' °^ operatives (east of Ohio), or 10 per cent. ; 20,000 fewer cotton goods operatives, about 6 per cent. ; 24,000 fewer woollen fabric operatives, or 7 per cent. ; about 13,000 fewer tobacco operatives, or less than 4 per cent.; and about 4,700 glass workers, or say i'3 per cent, of the 350,000 displaced — had been thrown out. This has been one element in helping to maintain the rate of wages of those remaining at work. The total displaced, as enumerated, number nearly 177,000, or about 5 1 per cent, of those whose services had been done away with. "2. Work has been restricted at various establishments, hours having been shortened, or work furnished fewer days in the week. " 3. Employes have been given piece work in place of a stated sum per day, week, or month, the quantities furnished being limited in many cases. " In addition to these, strong trades unions among iron and steel, glass workers, building trades, boots and shoes, tobacco and textile operatives, and in other lines, have brought a pres- sure to bear to prevent reductions of wages, frequently to gain an advance. " The reductions in rates of wages in most all instances are less than the gross reductions in amounts received within two and one half years. The percentages of rate reductions calcu- lated indicated, therefore, the apparent cut ; in some cases (generally specified) it is actual, but the losses due to restricted time, or to a limited quantity of piece work, are not always a determinate factor. " Several features of the exhibit are nevertheless more strik- ing than any late developments regarding our manufacturing industries. " Six highly protected industries, iron and steel {also foundries Protected and machine shops, etc.), clothing, cotton, woollen, tobacco, ^//^i' '"dustrif s glass jnanufactures, which employed 34 per cent, of all industrial suffered workers {as reported in 1880), have thrown out one half of the most. total 7iumber of workers since 1882, 177,700 in number, as re- ported by '■'• Brad street's^' in December, 1884. 154 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Depression n the United States. Employ- ment of l.nhour. Steel and iron have suffered most of all " All of these Imcs have run nearly, if not quite, as much 07i short time as any others tiamed. " They, with other textile establishments, have practically had a monopoly of the larger strikes of the past year or tu^^i December, 1884:— "The Lyons ''isiraUons. silk weavers maintained that many of the yarns could not be obtained elsewhere than in England, and that the competition of their intlustry with the silk industries of other countries was rendered absolutely imi)ossible owing to the high customs to be paid on this their raw material. The cotton spinners of the northern districts, fancying their interests menaced, lost no time in protesting against the conclusions of the Lyons delega- tion, and contended that the distress among the weavers or Lyons was as nothing compared with that prevailing in the cotton districts." The remedy suggested by the President of the Lille Chamber of Commerce is very curious. It is to raise the duties on agricultural products, to make food dearer to all classes, and to restrict foreign trade, in order that by this means French agriculturists may grow rich, and become better purchasers of French manuflictured goods ! Li a French ohicial report,'' I find that at St. Etienne, where silk ribands are the great manufacture, and where cotton yarns are used as one of the principal materials of the mixed fabrics now in fashion, the value produced has decreased in a few years from 93 to 43 millions of francs ; the population has decreased in two years by 25,000; 10,000 hands are out of work; and 30,000 deprived of means of livelihood. Li Lyons and its neighbourhood things are little better. Upwards of 100,000 hands are hard hit from the same cause. The exports of silk goods from France, which were worth nearly 500 millions of francs in 1874, were worth less than 300 millions in 1883, and the imports had increased in the same time. Many causes are alleged for this depression in the French silk trade, amongst others the heavy octroi duties on articles of consumption, and the heavy national taxation. But the chief permanent cause alleged is the duty on cotton yarns, which is imposed for the purpose of protecting the French cotton spinners of the North. And the remedy proposed is to lower these duties ; and also to give a bounty on the export of French ribands ! Meanwhile, I find that the exports of silk manufactures from England, which had dropped from a million and a half in i860 to a million in 1867, rose in 1880 to two millions, and in subse- quent years to two millions and a half. * No. 3446 of 1884. Report by M. I^"iiij53.int, presented toCliamberof Deputies. i68 FREE TRADE 7'. FAIR TRADE. Clocks. Special il- Take, again, clocks. The American clock manufacturers lustrations, have for a great many years been the only makers who supplied the rest of the world with ordinary mantel clocks. A large EngiancT business has been done, especially in those countries, such as and United England and the British Colonies, whose mantelpieces are States. used. Until a few years ago they had the field to themselves, when the same goods began to be made in England and Ger- many. Clocks thus made are gradually pushing the American goods out of the market. The difference in price to day is so large that it is possible to day to deliver some of these goods in America, with the 30 per cent, duty and freight, cheaper than the American goods. This is due to the great expense of American labour, and also of the fine materials of which clocks are made, and which has to pay the enormous American duty. Under the.se circumstances, American makers are losing the power of exporting, and are even out-sold at home, as is shown by the following figures : — Years. Import of clocks from the United States into the United Kingdom. Export of clocks and watches fof British produce) from the United Kingdom to the Uni- ted States. 1880 1881 1882 1883 1S84 Value. £. 153,815 126,466 129,159 112,175 106,914 Value. I 29,979 44,431 73,142 83,273 Not stated. Woollens in United States. Wool and Woollen Goods. Take, again, the wool and woollen goods. On them there were in the United States small protective duties before the Civil War. These duties were largely increased during the war, and were so arranged as to give manufacturers of woollen goods compensating duties for the duties on wool; compen- sating duties for other internal taxation — since repealed ; and protective duties in addition. These duties were, at the in- stance of wool growers and manufacturers, altered in 1867, so as to raise both the compensative and protective duty, and they now amount to from 50 to 100 per cent, on manufactured goods. The following is the practical result, extracted from Taussig's " History of the United Stfites Tariff" ;— ■ PART II. — RETALIATION. 169 "The most remarkable fact in the history of this piece of Special il- legislation was its failure to secure the object which its »"s"'a*'o"S' supporters had in mind. Notwithstanding the very great degree of protection which the manufacturers got, the pro- duction of woollen goods proved to be one of the most un- satisfactory and unprofitable of manufacturing occujjations. As a rule, a strong protective measure causes domestic pro- ducers to obtain, at least for a time, high profits ; though under the ordinary circumstances of free competition jjrofits are sooner or later brought down to the normal level. But in the woollen manufacture even this temporary gain was not secured by the home producers after the Act of 1867. A few branches, such as the production of carpets, of blankets, of certain worsted goods, were highly profitable for some years. These were the branches in which the compensating duties were most excessive, and the prominent manufacturers engaged in them had done most to secure the passage of the Act of 1867. Profits in these branches were, in course of time, brought down to the usual level, and in many instances below the usual level, by the increase of domestic production and domestic competition. The manufacture of the great mass of woollen goods, however, was depressed and unprofitable, even during the years immediately following the Act, notwithstanding the speculative activity and superficial prosperity of that time. Not only then, but throughout the period between 1867 and the present, there can be no doubt that the manufacturers have been steadily complaining, and have steadily found it difficult to make even average profits on their goods. One great cause of this undoubtedly has been that the tariff of 1867 gave par- ticularly high protection on the cheaper and commoner grades of goods, and that domestic producers have been tempted to devote themselves too exclusively to making such goods. The high duty on wool, and the consequent hampering of the manufacturer in the choice of his material, have tended in the same direction. The majority of finer woollen goods are at present imported, and the manufacture in this country is con- fined chiefly to cheaper grades. The competition in the latter has been keen, and the production greater than the market can easily absorb. The entire absence of foreign comjietition has at the same time caused the machinery and methods of production in many mills to be backward and inefficient. " Moreover, the unprosperous state of the manufacture has lyo FRKK TRADE FAIR TRADE. had a depressing effect on the prices of wool, and on the wool growers. It is often said that the artificial condition of the tariff, in causing the manufacturers to confine themselves chiefly to cheap goods, has prevented the wool growers from obtaining any benefit whatever from the high duties on their material. However this may be, it is certain that the expectations of the wool growers, founded on the Act of 1867, were greatly disap- pointed. The final result of the existing system has been an increase of cost to consumers, Avithout any permanent benefit to producers." * The exports of woollen manufactures from the United States have been as follows : — Aggregate To the Aggregate To the values United values United exported. Kingdom. exported. Kingdom 1879 . • LT2;29^ ■ . /.2,o83 1882 . . ;/^85,000 •• £3,12$ 1880 . 45,208 2,70s 1883 . • 76,250 . 1,666 I88I . • 68,958 . 3,125 1884 . . 146,666 . 28,125 In Bradstrcefs Journal, of the 30th December, 1882, I find the following statement: "The New England mills may be said to employ 12,000 fewer hands than in 1882. The woollen industry has suffered for a year or two more than cotton." Compare with this the account of the English woollen in- dustry, which is neither hampered nor fostered by tariff arrangements. A competent observer says — "It is consolatory to be able to turn from the consideration of distressed industries to some which are, upon the whole, prosperous, and in which artisans and operatives are fully em- ployed. One such is the worsted and woollen trade of York- shire — more especially of Bradford. It is most gratifying to find in that centre of industry, which was filled with gloom and an.xious forebodings a couple of years ago, that the population is now fully employed, and that some machinery is actually standing idle from want of a sufficient supply of skilled opera- tives to keep it going." t * tS- * * * This is borne out by the following official returns of exports. * Taussig's " History of the Existing Tariff," chap. iii. p. 65. Putnam, 1885. t Article by Mr. Williamson, M.P. , on Agricultural and Commercial De- pression, in \\\^ Fortnightly Rcviczu for January, 1885, p. 77. PART II. — KKTALIATION. 171 IVooilcn iVaiiiifactures Exported froDi the United Kingdom, 1879 — 1884, Special il- in the aggregate, and to the United States. lustrations. Aggregate value Exported to the United States. Years. exported from the United Kingdom. Quantity. Value. Yards. £. 1879 15,861,166 33,040,300 1,572,210 1 880 17,265,177 40,646,800 2,530,700 1881 18,128,756 32,948,200 2,227,542 1S82 18,768,634 42,412,900 2,859,311 1883 18,315.575 44,508,500 3,015,269 1S84 20,131,252 41,656,800 3,144,611 Steel Rails. Take, again, the case of steel rails. The following is an steel rails extract from the same authority as I have quoted above : — * j? United " During the great demand for railroad materials which began on the revival of business in 1879, ^'^'^^ continued for several years thereafter, the prices of steel rails were advanced so high that English rails were imported into the United States even though paying the duty of one hundred per cent. During this time the price in lingland was on the average, in 1880, about 36 dols. per ton, and in 1 88 1 about 31 dols. per ton. In the United States, during the same years, the price averaged 67 dols. and 61 dols. per ton. That is, consumers in the United States were compelled to pay twice as much for steel rails as they paid in England. Anything which increases the cost of railroad building tends to increase the cost of trans- portation, and a tax of this kind eventually comes out of the pockets of the people in the shape of higher railroad charges for carrying freight and passengers. The domestic producers of steel rails secured enormous profits of one hundred per cent, and more on their capital during these years. These I'rofits, as is always the case, caused a great extension of production. The men who had made so much money out of Bessemer steel in 1879 — i88i put this money very largely into establishments for making more steel. New works were erected in all parts of the country. At the same time the demand fell off in consequence of the check to railroad building, and the increased supply, joined to the small demand, caused prices here to fall almost to the English rates. But during the years * Taussig's "History of the United States Tariff," p. 69. 172 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Special il- of speculation and railroad building, the tariff had yielded lustrations, great gains to makers of steel rails, and popular feeling against Steel rails, ^.j^jg gj^^g ^f things was SO Strong that, in 1883, Congress felt compelled to make a considerable reduction in the duty * — a reduction, however, which has no practical effect, because the unnatural increase in production in the United States owing to the protective duty, and the subsequent decrease in demand, have lowered the price of steel rails in the United States so much that the reduced duty is still prohibitory." The following table shows that the people of the United States have had to pay to their steel rail manufacturers prices varying from 30 to 50 per cent, more than has been paid in England. Prod net, Imports, and Fofcign and Doimstic Prices in Dollars of Bessemer Steel Rails. Year. Product in United States. ' Imports into United States.* Average Price in United States.2 Average Price in England.* Average Difference in Price. 1871 38,300 Not given. 9170 57-70 34-00 1872 94,000 150,000 9970 67-30 32-40 1873 129,000 160,000 95-90 74-40 21 -50 1874 145,000 101,000 8470 57-50 27-20 1875 291,000 18,000 5970 44-10 15-60 1876 412,000 none. 53-10 37-70 15-40 1877 432,000 ,, 43-50 31-90 11-60 1878 550,000 „ 4170 27-20 14-50 1879 684,000 25,000 48 '20 24-70 23-50 1880 954,000 158,000 67-50 36-00 31-50 1881 1,330,000 249,000 6i'io 31-20 29-90 1882 1,438,000 182,000 48-50 30-00 18-50 1883 1,286,000 38, 220 37-75 25-40 12-35 18S4 (Tan.) ~ 34 -co 21-80 12-20 1 In net tons of 2,000 lbs. Price per gross ton of ^,240 Ibs.f The exports of steel rails from the United States are very small, varying in values from ;^i,ooo to ;!^24,ooo a year. Copper. Take again the case of copper. The following is a further extract from Taussig's " History of the United States Tariff" :— * Taussig, chap. iii. pp. 69, 70 f Ibid., p, 107. fART II. — RETALIATION, I75 " Before 1869 the duty on copper ore had been 5 per cent. ; .special il- that on copper in bars and ingots had been two and a half lustrations, cents per pound. Under the very low duty on copper ore, ^OPP*^""- a large industry had grown up in Boston and Baltimore. Ore was imported from Chili, and was smelted and refined in these cities. But during the years immediately preceding 1869 the great copper mines of Lake Superior had begun to be worked on a considerable scale. These mines are probably the richest sources of copi)er in the world, and, under normal circumstances, would supply the United States with this metal more cheaply and abundantly than any other country ; yet, through our Tariff policy, these very mines have caused us for many years to pay more for our copper than any other country. The increased production from these, mines, with other circumstances, had caused copper to fall in price in 1867 and 1868, and their owners came before Congress and asked for an increase of duties. Copper ore was to pay three cents for each pound of pure copper, equal to twenty-five or thirty per cent, in place of the previous duty of five per cent., and ingot copper was to pay five cents per ])ound instead of two and a half cents. A more open use of legislation for the benefit of private individuals has probably never been made. The effect of the Act was, in the first place, to destroy the smelting establishments which had treated the Chilian ores. In the second place, it enabled the copper producers at home to combine, and to settle the price of their product without being checked by any possible foreign competition. It is a well- known fact that the mining companies of Lake Superior, \vhich controlled, until within a year or two, almost the entire pro- duction of copper in the United States, have maintained for many years a combination for fixing the price of coi)per. Their price has been steadily higher than the price of copper abroad, and when they have found it impossible to dispose of all their product at home at the combination price, large quantities have been sent abroad, and sold there at lower prices, in order to relieve the home market. Several of these companies have paid for a series of years enormous profits — profits due in part, no doubt, to the unsurpassed richness of their mines, but in part also to the Copper Act of 1869." * Compare with this account an account of the copper trade * Taussig's " History of tlie Existing Tariff," cli. iii. p. 65. 174 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. in England, by the same competent authority I have referred to before * — " The copper trade all through the late period of depression has been well maintained. If copper smelters have not been ex- ceedingly prosperous — owing, perhaps, to the rapid and steady decline in the price of copper — their works and their men have at least been fully occupied, and their industry has grown of late by leaps and bounds. It may be of interest to give a few figures relating to the copper trade. The following have been the deliveries to smelters and others of foreign copper, con- sisting of copper ores, half smelted copper, and bars, at the ports of London, Swansea, and Liverpool, stated in tons of pure copper — iS8o 64,451 tons. 1882 67,38210115. 1881 63,397 ,, 1883 ... • ... 73,394 „ 1884, up to 15th December, 84,441 tons, which may be taken /;'o ra/a for the twelve months as 88,112 ,, " The supply from the Cornish mines has fallen off very markedly during the last quarter of a century, and must ere long become extinct, not from failure of the ores, but because the mines cannot be worked in competition with rich copper mines abroad. The following data may be interesting. In the year 1800 the produce of British mines forming the entire supply was 11,500 tons pure copper. In 1832, the year before any foreign copper was imported, the total had only risen to 11,941 tons pure copper. In 1833, foreign ores from Cuba and Chili were imported to a limited extent, but smelters had to give bond to re-export the copper product within six months, and were on that account often forced to sell for France at ^2^5, or even ;^io, per ton under the price which they were getting in Birmingham. These fetters and restric- tions were swept away with the Navigation Laws, and ever since the copper trade has increased rapidly, and continues to grow marvellously. The Cornwall and other British copper mines attained their maximum importance in 1856, when they yielded 13,275 tons of pure copper. In 1862 the production had fallen to 11,268 tons; 1875 production gave only 3,370 tons, 1880 gave only 2,783 tons, 1883 gave 2,526 tons, and 1884 only 2,410 tons. It results, therefore, that our copper industry, which half a century ago was fed entirely by the * Article by Mr. Williamson, ForUiightly, Jan., 1885. PART II. RKTAIJATION. 175 produce of our own mines, and whicli was established solely to Special ii ' ... , , ' , , . r 1 lustrations, Utilise that produce, came, through the operation of unrestricted Copper. commerce, to be fed in 1884 as follow.s, viz. — " From the home sources of .supply with From foreign sources witli 2,416 tons. 88,112 „ " Who can doubt but that the operation of our unrestricted commercial policy has been, in regard to this great industry, of the most beneficent character ? Yet the ruined British copper miners might have called out in past years as lustily as some British landowners are now doing for inquiries in order to make good a demand for protective duties. Had such a demand been granted to the copper miners of Corn- wall, the copper trade might have been strangled, and the development of this important indu.stry in England might never have obtained the pre-eminence it enjoys." The exports of British copper amount in value to three millions and a half, and are increasing. The following Table, extracted from Taussig's " History of the United States Tariff," shows that during the last ten years the British consumer has had the benefit of the Free Tariff in a price of copper varying from one-third to one-seventh less than the price charged to the consumers of the United States by their privileged manu- facturers. Production of Copper in the United States, and Foreign and Domestic Price. (Quantities In gross tons.) Domestic Price per 11 . in Cents. Difference in Year. Production. New York London Price. Lake Copper. Chili Bars. 187s 18,000 23-0 i8-o 5'o 1876 19,000 21-5 16-5 5-0 1877 21,000 19 14-6 4'4 1878 21,500 16-5 i3'S 30 1879 23,000 17-5 12-2 5-3 1880 27,000 20 "O 13-5 0-5 1881 32,000 i8-5 13-3 5-2 1882 41,000 187 14-4 4 '3 1883 52,000 i6-i 137 2-4 1884 6 mos. i4'5 12'I 2-4 176 PreE trade v. fair trace. Special il Considering the great advantages the United States possess lustrations, jii their copper mines, this is a very striking instance of the way in which freedom operates to produce a healthy trade to the producer and low price to the consumer, whilst protection has an opposite effect. Biscuits. Biscuit?. In the following chapter I have dealt at length with the subject of sugar. But two recent incidents may here be men- tioned. France, as is well known, has recently imposed duties on corn and flour. In the course of the discussions on the measure, the manufacturers of biscuits and semolina com- plained that they would be injured by the tax on their raw material. French made semolina and biscuits were therefore protected by a considerable duty. French consumers will have to eat dear biscuits, and French biscuit makers will be unable to export. Again, in the recent discussions on the Belgian sugar duties, the Belgian makers of jam, confectionery and biscuits sought for a drawback of the taxes which the Government were imposing on sugar, but were refused. England admits flour and sugar free. Her manufacture of jams and preserves is becoming an important trade, and she is supplying the world with biscuits. Wire. \\\^Q_ Again, there have been loud complaints amongst our wire makers of the successful competition of foreign wire, and it has been said to be due to the excessive charges of English railways on the article when used at home. Thinking there must be some other reason, I api)lied to one of the tele- graph construction companies, and learned from them that they bought German wire because it was better and cheaper ; but that German competition had stimulated our own manu- factures ; that English made telegraph wire was much im- proved ; and that they now give large orders to English makers. There is now a considerable export of telegraph wire. Telegraph construction is an important new branch of English manufacture ; and if we had protected English made wire by a customs duty on foreign wire, we should probably have driven this manufacture to Germany. PART It. — RKTALIATION, 177 CHAPTER XXXVI. SUGAR. Sugar claims a chapter to itself. From the time when the Import- word, thrice uttered by the imperious voice of the first Pitt, ^"'^^ °*^ cowed a tittering House of Commons into silence, it has occu- politically pied a prominent place in politics. It has been an imj)ortant and econo- factor in the development of our Colonial Empire, in the "^"^^^'y- struggles for the abolition of slavery, and in the controversies which have established and crowned Free Trade. Even at this moment, it attracts much attention from financiers and econo- mists. The accident of bounties on foreign sugar, themselves an undoubted outrage on economic laws, give to the Protectionists an opportunity of masquerading as Free Traders in assailing bounties, and under this guise they seek, whilst advocating re- taliation, to betray an outpost of Free Trade where they dare not attack the citadel. We are told that our present free admission of beet sugar is ruining the future of our own market ; that it is destroying cane sugar ; that it is alienating our colonies ; committees of the House of Commons advise retaliation ; statesmen seek for inquiry ; and agitators tell English workmen that they are deprived by foreign countries of 15 millions a year in work and wages. These suggestions and statements are for the most part not only not true ; they are the reverse of the truth. But it is worth while to examine the whole subject as carefully as my limits will allow, for the purpose of seeing, not only what modicum of truth there is in some of them, but what light the case throws on the economical laws we have been discussing. Independently of the great political and social questions Enormous with which sugar has been connected, it possesses an econo- ^^'^ '"" mical and social importance of its own which it is difficult suppiv.^ to exaggerate. The total production and consumption of the world is enormous ; though exact figures cannot be given. There are some countries in which the quantity is not precisely known, but is known to be very large. India, for instance, which exports little, has been estimated to pro- U 178 FUKF, TRADK V. FAIR TRADK. The supply is both of cane and beet sugar duce and consume 2,000,000 tons or upwards. But omitting these countries, and taking those only whose production is accurately known, the ])resent annual production of the world is estimated at more than 4,000,000 tons, which at ;!^2o a ton would be worth ;^8o,ooo,ooo. It also increases very largely. In 1855 the production of these same countries was less than 1,500,000 tons.* Further, the increase has taken place in cane 3ugar as well as in beet sugar. Thus the known total of cane sugar has increased from about 1,200,000 tons in 1853-1856 to upwards of 2,000,000 tons in 1882, whilst that of beet sugar increased in the same time from 200,000 tons to 1,780,000 tons. This crop is raised in every quarter of the world, in every climate, and almost every country grows an increasing quan- tity. France, Germany, Austria, Hungary, Hol'md, Belgium, and Russia, Egypt, India, China, the Dutch and Spanish East Indies, Australia, Mauritius, the United States, the West Indies, and South America, all contribute to the enormous total. Between cane and beet there are few climates or soils which do not and cannot produce sugar. If ever there was an article of which the producing market is an open one, a market which cannot be closed or contracted by any ring or combination, it is sugar. Of the supplies thus produced (again excluding India, China, and other countries of which the production is not known), England, though producing none herself, consumes the largest proportion. In 1883, the last year for which complete and final statistics are published, after deducting nearly 100,000 tons of re-exported sugar, of which more than half was refined in this country, her whole share was 1,083,000 tons, or about 68 lbs. per head of the population. This at ^^30 a ton, which, after taking into account expenses of manufacture and distribution, is probably not too high a figure, represents an annual expendi- ture of ;^3o,ooo,ooo, or about half the sum which the people of the United Kingdom pay for wheat,! when wheat is at or under 403. a quarter. At the same time the price has much diminished. In 1841 the average consumption per head of the population wasi6'99lbs., at an average price per cwt. of 63s.5|d., the wholesale value of the i6-99 lbs. per head; being therefore * See Produce Markets Review, 28th June, \l of 1884. t I'arl. Paper 325, 1SS4, p. 9, and Pari. Paper, No. 325, PART II. RETALIATION. 1 79 9s. 7|d.* In 1883 the estimated consumption per head was Sugar 68" I lbs., at an average cost per head of 12s. lod., or nearly four times the quantity to each person at only one-third more cost. In 1884 the quantities were about the same, but the price was about one-fifth less, making the cost per head in 1884 about I OS. 4d., against 9s. y^d. for one-fourth of the quantity consumed in 1841. It is worth while to observe in passing, that this result has been attained in a period in the course of Svhich slavery has been abolished. This enormous increase in production and reduction of price is a consequent on the employment of labour which is free, and which, measured by the rate of wages, is comparatively costly. Other countries have, of course, benefited, but far less than share of England. The United States is the next largest consumer, the United Her total consumption is 1,076,000 tons, or 50 lbs. per head of p^^'^^g^ the population, and the price her people pay for it is estimated and at 80 per cent, of the price they pay for their wheat, out of Germany, which price more than one-fourth is paid in the form of a pro- tective duty, thus raising the price to the consumer by more than a third over that paid in England. During the last year, an Englishman has been paying about 2d., or 4 cents for a pound of good sugar, whilst, as we are told, a citizen of the United States has been paying 7 cents, or 3^d. France is esti- mated to consume 28 lbs. per head, and Germany 15 lbs. per head of her population,! both of these being countries which produce good beet sugar at the cheapest possible rates, but which, by their fiscal systems, prevent their own people from using it freely. What the exact prices to the retail purchaser in each country may be it is very difficult to tell, for there are sugars and sugars, and prices as well as qualities vary infinitely, according to circumstances. But it is quite certain that in each country the price to the consumer is raised by the whole amount of the duty, and probably by more. An investigation into the quality and price of the sugar retailed in Germany appears to show that where the English people pay 2d., 2l,d., and 3d. a lb. for good sugar, the Germans pay nearly twice those sums for sugars of an inferior quality. The German housekeeper who wishes to sweeten her tea or to cook the sweet dishes in which Germans excel, has to pay at least twice as much for an * Porter's Progress of the Nation. t Bradst reel's, 28th March, 1885. Pari. Paper 325, 1884. p. 41. M 2 l8o FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. inferior article as her English sister.* Germany is the country which shows the greatest skill in the production of sugar, which has advanced its manufacture to the highest point, adds com- forts and luxuries to the life of the English workman, but does not allow its own poor and industrious people to enjoy the fruits of their own industry. "Sic vos non vobis mellificatis apes ! " How this comes to pass we shall see presently. Considering that sugar has become an article of food, or of luxury, if you will, in which the poor share, not unequally, with the rich; which makes other food palatable and wholesome ; and which women and children enjoy no less than men, the advantage of such a result as I have described to the toiling millions of the United Kingdom is no small matter. But this result is not all. The enormously increased supply of sugar has brought to them also increased employment and wages. The actual trade in the increase of quantity consumed has itself added large and ])rofitable employment to our ships, to our railways, to our merchants and their clerks, to our refiners, and to our shopkeepers. The amount thus expended on English labour in 1883 on the increased quantity of sugar used in that year, over and above the amount expended on similar labour in 1863, has been estimated by the authority mentioned below at ;jr5, 500,000.! Nor is this all. The whole of the sugar imported does not go into direct consumption, but becomes the raw material of various manufactures. There is, of course, the refining, an increasing trade, of which I shall say more below. But besides refining, there are a number of subsidiary manufactures depend- ing on sugar, which are largely on the increase, and which are more important than refining. Of these the largest is probably the manufacture of jams and confectionery, which is dependent on a cheap supply of refined sugar, and for which certain descriptions o( foreign refined sugar are specially suitable. We know that in London about 45,000 tons are used in the jam and confectionery business, employing from 5,000 to 6,000 persons; and the returns of this manufacture in Scotland show not much less. More than 100,000 tons are employed in the United Kingdom in this business alone, and more than 12,000 hands, * Produce Markets Review, p. 376, 28th June, 1884. t For details see Produce Markets Review, 15th March, PART II. — RETALIATION. l8l which is more than twice the number of hands employed in Sugar, sugar refining. This, it is to be remembered, is a manufacture which supphes a cheap and wholesome luxury to the poor, and which calls into existence other industries, such as fruit growing, which are themselves of great importance to the country. Other industries, such as the making of biscuits, with which we supply the world, and of mineral waters, brewing, and cattle feeding, also depend largely on sugar. Cheap and good sugar is a very important raw material.* The importance to the nation of our cheaj) and plentiful These re- supply of sugar it is therefore difficult to exaggerate. How have tained by we managed to obtain it ? The answer is very simple, viz., by free im- opening our ports and receiving freely what our neighbours have portation. offered us. But as our Protectionist friends wish us to reverse this policy, it is worth while to consider the point a little more carefully. Sugar, considered as an article of general consumption. Taxation and, also, though the word is misleading, as an article of °" ^"g^""- luxury, has been a favourite object of taxation ; the more so, perhaps, because originally it was an article produced in foreign and distant countries. But even then much of it was refined in Europe, and this raised a difficulty. It has always been the practice where any article has paid duty, and has undergone a process' of manufacture, to give back the duty on its being re-exported, under the name of " drawback." When the ^^^ex'.^'^'^ article exported can be recognised as the same article which portation, has paid duty, this is a simple thing to do. But when the article has undergone a change since it paid duty, a calculation is necessary in order that the amount actually paid, no more and no less, may be restored as drawback. Thus an import duty was paid on raw sugar ; it was refined in the country of import ; and some of the refined sugar was re-exported. It became then a problem for the Governments of Europe to discover what was the relation of a given quantity of refined sugar to the raw sugar from which it was made, so as to deter- mine what was the amount of duty to be repaid. This i^roved ^{ euto- to be a very difficult problem, and the difficulty was much pean increased when European nations began to make sugar from Go^em- beet, and when the problem was to determine not only the relation of raw sugar to refined sugar, but the relation of sugar, * Ste Produce Markets Rei'iew, 26th July, 1884. Pari. Paper 325, 1884, p. 12, and Appendix thereto. i8: FREE TRADE 7<. FAIR TRADE. Sugar. raw or refined, to tlie original material of which it was made. The Governments were in a dilemma. If they gave as draw- back on the manufactured article less than had been paid on the raw material, they were burdening their manufacturers with a tax which discouraged exportation. If they gave more, they were giving a bounty on exportation, and were thus artificially raising the price to their own citizens, and lowering it to foreigners, by means of money drawn from the pockets of their own taxpayers. Beset by these embarrassments, the Govern- ments of Europe, our own among the rest, floundered on for years. By conference after conference, by measure after measure, they endeavoured to hit the right mean ; and gene- rally speaking, the special trade, as is usual in such cases, got the better of the public, and secured to itself some bounty in the way of drawback. This was the state of things in 1863, and in this country a graduated scale of duties and drawbacks was established and sanctioned by International Convention in 1864. At last, after the duties had been twice halved by suc- cessive Governments, they were wholly abolished in 1874. The England of results are as follow : — The consumption of the country was sugardu- 473,000 tons in 1863; it was 1,083,000 tons in 1883. The ^'^^* exports had doubled also. The average cost of sugar to the grocers was 41s. per cwt. in 1863; it was 23s. 3d. in 1883. This reduction consisted of the duty, which was 12s. 6d., and in addition of 5s. i|d., or more than id. a lb. saved by in- creased demand and improved supply.* According to the official statistics, we paid for sugar imported, including duty, 1 81 millions in 1863, whilst in 1883 we paid about 25 millions, and in 1884 we paid about 20 millions for twice the quantity, Sir Stafford Northcote removed a very troublesome tax, which brought into the revenue less than 6i millions in 1863, and only about 3^- millions in 1873, and in so doing he has saved the country from 12 to 17 millions in the price of sugar, as imported, and much more on sugar as retailed ; and he has vastly increased and improved the food of the people, besides encouraging many native industries. Other nations have not been wise or rich enough to follow the same course. They all levy a considerable duty on sugar ; most of them make these duties differential in favour of their own manufacturers or colonists ; and many of them have so Reduction and final repeal in Results. From the Produce Markets Revini.', 15th of March ij I'ART II. — KKTALIAIIOX. I S3 arranged their drawbacks as to give their own manufacturers or Sugar, refiners a bounty on exported sugar. To give the history or details of these duties, "surtaxes," and bounties, or drawbacks, in detail, would be impossible, and they may be found in the various Parliamentary Papers.* But the following few facts arc worth notice. Germany imposes a tax of 1 2 marks per centner (about a cwt.) German on raw sugar imported, f She also imposes a tax on the beet ^^^^^"^jj used in manufactures, estimated to be equal to ten marks per centner on the manufactured raw sugar • and a drawback, for- merly of 9 '40 marks, but now of 9 marks, is repaid on each centner of exported raw sugar. But by improvements in the growth of beet, and in the process of manufacture, much more sugar is produced from the given quantity of beet than the quantity it was estimated to produce, and the manufacturer, consequently, on exporting sugar, receives upon the excess a drawback or bounty which he has never paid as duty on the beet. What the amount of this bounty may be it is impossible to say with accuracy, for it varies with the skill and success of the grower and manufacturer. The average bounty has been variously estimated — from one shilling, or less, per cwt., to two or three times that amount ; but the recent German Committee estimated the maximum at i'4o marks per centner, or about Ts. 5d. per cwt. Under this system the German production has increased five-fold since 1871, and was, in 1883, 835,164,600 kilos. Of this, three-fifths w\as exported and two-fifths only consumed in the country. Of the total exports, amounting to 472,551,400 kilos., between three-fifths and four-fifths were exported to Great Britain. The Government have, in paying this bounty, lost what is estimated to amount to upwards of a million sterling of revenue which they would have recei\-ed if the drawback had been equivalent, and not more than cqui\'a- lent, to the duty. The German Government, alive to the loss, appointed last year a Committee of Experts to inquire into the subject, who found that the drawback was too large, and recommended a reduction ; and a Bill was introduced for this purpose, but has not been pressed owing to the prevalent dis- tress among German beet growers and sugar manufacturers. The effect of this system is very curious. That the Germans, ■ See especially 317 and 422 of 1881, 325 of 1884, and 39 of 1885. [ t I^arl. Paper 39, Decemher, 1884, p. 37, Report by Mr. Scott, Secretary to the German Embassy, on German Bounties. 1 84 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Sugar. German tax and drawback. Austro- Hungary. Frar.cc. as taxpayers, lose, is clear ; the Germans, as sugar consumers, do not gain, for the wholesale German j^rice is regulated by the English market, and is exactly what the Englishman pays, with the whole drawback added. ^Vhere the English wholesale pur- chaser pays 12 marks per cvvt. the German pays 21, an addition which is probably doubled before the sugar reaches the actual consumer ; and we have already seen how comparatively dear and poor is his supply. But mark the further result : the Ger- man beet grower and sugar manufacturer, who probably gained much at first, is now at least as much distressed as our own refiners. Mr. Scott tells us that present prices admit of no profit ; and that many manufacturers are working at a loss in hopes of a rise. The critical position of many of the German factories is notorious ; but the best evidence of the distress is that the frugal German Government, though really anxious to abolish bounties, dare not at this moment proceed with the measure which their experts have recommended. In fact there has been a glut in the sugar trade, much aggravated by the foolish system of bounties, and whilst English con- sumers have benefited by the low price, none have, in the end, suffered more than the class of manufacturers whom it seemed prima fade to benefit. It should be added that the German exports of refined sugar have not increased in the same proportion as those of raw sugar. In 1882 they were 17 "6 per cent, of her total exports of sugar, and in 1883 only 157 percent. Her refiners, Mr. Scott's report tells us, cannot compete successfully with our own.* Austro-Hungary levies her duties on an estimate of the quantity of sugar contained in the vessels used in manufacture. A few years since, this estimate was so much too large as to give a large bounty on exportation, and Austria led the way in the race of ruin. She has since revised her estimate, and has fallen far behind Germany in exports. But not the less have her manufactures felt the recent glut and the reaction from the unnatural stimulus ; and bankruptcies and failures among Aus- trian sugar makers have been notorious during the past year. France revised her system some years since, with the view of putting an end to bounties, and, though her production has increased rapidly, her exports have diminished. Frightened by Pari. Paper 39 of 1885, pp. .13 and 44. PART 11. — RETALIATION. I 85 the progress of Germany, and by the distress of her beet Sugar growers and sugar makers, France last year revised her sugar taxation. She raised her duty on home-grown sugar ; she increased the differential duties on foreign sugars ; she adopted the system of taxing beet as the raw material ; and purposely gave a heavy drawback on export. It is too early to say what the actual result is, but it may be confidently predicted that her measures will, if they have the effect con- templated, throw an additional burden on her exhausted exchequer, and raise the price of sugar to her own consumers and manufacturers. Belgium, which has largely increased her exportation in late Belgium, years, has been also perplexed by the distress of her sugar interest, and, after an inquiry into her mode of taxation, has proposed a new law. She disapproves of bounties, and will not extend them ; nor will she substitute for her present system of taxing the juice expressed from beet the German plan of taxing the root itself. But she is imposing an increased differential duty on foreign sugar. It deserves notice that the Belgian makers of jams, confectionery, and biscuits, whose English rivals have, as we have seen, profited so largely by the cheap sugar of England, have petitioned their Government, but in vain, for a drawback on exportation of the taxed sugar they use in their manufacture. Holland, which taxes her sugar by a process of sac- Holland, charimetry, or chemical measurement of the quantity of' sugar contained in the juice, has recently revised her method. She is said to give a considerable bounty, and has largely increased her exports. Nor are European countries alone in giving artificial protec- United tion to sugar. The United States levy a protective duty of States, from I2S. lod. to 14s. per cwt. on foreign sugars. Brazil '^^"' guarantees a high rate of interest on the capital employed in sugar making, with the result that at present prices ruin is impending over her sugar fiictories.* The legislature of one of our most flourishing colonies — New New Zealand — has recently passed an Act granting a jn-ofessed Zealand, bounty of one halfpenny per pound on the first thousand tons of beetroot or sorghum sugar produced in the colony, besides providing that no excise duty on sugar shall be levied so long * Tad Paper 39, 1884, p. 29. t86 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Sugar. General action of Foreign Govern- ments. Imports of sugar from, and exports of manufac- tures to Germany, Holland and Belgium. as the existing import duty of one halfpenny per i)Ound con- tinues in force ; and that if that duty be at any time increased, the excise duty leviable shall always be one halfpenny per pound less. Further, should the import duty be reduced, a sum per pound produced equal to the amount of the reduction is to be paid to home producers who may be tempted, by this Act, to embark in the industry. For further details upon the action of Foreign Governments in the matter of sugar, I must refer to the Parliamentary Papers, 325, 1884, and 39, 18S5. One or two points are clear from what I have stated. Foreign governments are all floundering in the difificulties from which we, by abandoning all taxation of sugar, have hapi)ily emerged. Most of them have imposed intentionally protective duties on foreign sugars; many give bounties on export; which, however, except in the case of France, are unintentional. All of them raise the price of sugar to their own consumers ; and those which give bounties cheapen it to foreigners. Above all, in all these countries, how- ever much manufacture and export may have increased, there is great distress among the protected classes. Protection and bounties have produced their usual results, viz., an unnatural stimulus, and large immediate profits, followed by a glut, collapse, and ruin. One other point deserves notice. If there are any countries of whose bounty-fed competition our sugar refiners and West Indian interests have complained, they are Germany, Holland, and Belgium. It is these countries, if any, which have dis- placed the labour of the English workman. We have already seen, in the account above given of the trades set in action by our increased sugar supply, how absurd this assertion is. But there is another answer, and, if not a mere coincidence, it is a curious illustration of the Free Trade maxim, " Take care of the imports, and the exports will take care of themselves." Our imports of sugar from Germany, Holland, and Belgium have been as follows : — Vaiue. 1880 ^7,264,000 1881 8,369,000 1882 7,295,000 1883 10,412,000 Showing an increase of about three millions. Our total exports of British and Irish produce to these countries have been as follows : — PART II. — RETALIATION. 1 87 Value. Sugar 1880 /■31, 986,000 1881 33,4o6,coD 1882 35,978,000 1S83 .. .. .. .. .. .. 36,622,000 Showing an increase of about four millions and a half. Thus the increased import of sugar has been more than balanced by a proportionate export of our own manufactures, which must have given employment to an increased number of our own workmen employed on those manufactures. So far as we have gone, there is certainly nothing in the Importuni- present state of the sugar trade which should make us desire to reli^nerT!fnd imitate the systems of other nations. We arc nevertheless West asked to do so by two very importunate interests, viz., the Indian sugar refiners of this country, and the English owners of West ^^" ^^^' India sugar estates. Their cases are inconsistent, for it is the interest of the refiners to have cheap raw sugar, and it is the interest of the West India planters that raw sugar should be dear. But they unite in urging retaliation against foreign sugar bounties. Let us see first what their wrongs are, and then what are their proposed remedies. First, as to the refiners. It is alleged that the foreign Refiner's bounties are destroying this important trade ; and agitators '^''*^^- circulate the preposterous assertion that the British workman is thus deprived of 15 millions annually in wages. Now what are the facts. It was shown in 1881* that since 1S64 the refining trade of this country had lost about 50,000 tons of loaf sugar ; but had gained 30,000 tons of other sorts of hard sugar, and 300,000 of moist sugar.t The quantity of sugar refined at home has increased since 1880 from 653,000 tons to 816,000 tons ; and the number of men employed in it has also increased considerably. The importation of foreign refined sugar did not increase between 1877 and 1883, being 171,000 tons in 1877, 152,000 tons in 1880, and 162,000 tons in 1883 ; in 1884 it was 210,000 tons. The exports of refined sugar from the United Kingdom have increased, being 56,000 tons in 1877, 48,000 tons in 1880, 58,000 in 1883, and 65,000 tons in 1S84. These are not figures of a declining trade. But it is at the best a comparatively small trade, and the capital employed in it does not probably attain ^^3, 000,000. It is, whether as regards capital or workmen employed, a trade of far less * Pari. Paper 317 and 422, of 1881. f ^''^rl. Paper 325, of i88^. 1 88 FREE TRADE 7'. FAIR TRADE, Sugar. importance than the subsidiary trades mentioned above which cheap refined sugar has called into existence, and for some of which foreign refined sugar has special advantages. In addi- tion, there are, as we have seen, larger exports of other British produce called into existence in order to pay for the imported sugar. Looking to the interest of the workman considered as a producer only, and putting aside his still more important interest as a consumer of sugar, it would be simple madness to exclude foreign refined sugar in the supposed interest of British refiners. Case of The case of the West India sugar planters is one deserving ^^?' of more sympathy. They have no doubt been deprived, by planters, the competition of beet sugar, of the proportion of the market of the United Kingdom which without such competition they might have expected to enjoy, and some part of this competi- tion is no doubt due to foreign bounties. But their statements are grossly exaggerated. It is alleged, for instance, that the increase of beet sugar is entirely due to the bounty system. This is contrary to the evidence which has been taken abroad, and which shows that the growth of beet is largely due to agricultural improvement in France and Germany, as well as to energy and skill in manufacture, and that it is intimately con- nected with improvements in the growth and feeding of cattle. It is, moreover, inconsistent with existing facts, as shown by the official statistics. Only a part of the beet sugar produced is bounty-fed. In some countries, e.g., in France there has in late years been no bounty, and yet the production increases rapidly. It is only on the sugar exported that a bounty can possibly be paid, and this is only 700,000 tons out of a total of beet sugar production of about 2,000,000 tons. Another allegation is that bounty-fed sugar will, when it has driven all other sugar out of the market, become a virtual monopoly, that it will then rise in price, and that consumers will accordingly then suffer all the inconveniences of a restricted market. The allegation scarcely needs refutation. Much of the supply of beet sugar, as shown above, is not bounty-fed ; and cane sugar, as shown below, is not being driven out of the market. Moreover, with such diversified area of production as I have shown to exist, there is probably no article in the world, not even wheat, in which it would be equally impossible to create any kind of monopoly or to raise prices unduly. Another allegation is that cane sugar is being supplanted by PART II. — RETALIATION. 189 beet — an allegation which is utterly untrue. British cane sugar Sugar, has increased from 261,000 tons per annum in 1853-5, ^o t^in?"sup- 419,000 tons per annum in 1880-2 and in the same tmie planted by foreign cane sugar has increased from 972,000 to 1,500,000^^*^''' tons, though beet sugar has increased in a much larger propor- tion. British cane sugar has ever since 1868 maintained its proportion of the total supply of sugar — viz., 12 per cent. Comparing 1877-9 '^^i^h 1880-2, the increase of West Indian sugar has been from 210,000 to 230,000 tons annually. The proportion of cane sugar imported into the United Kingdom has largely declined, and the actual amount of British cane sugar so imported has somewhat decreased ; but the increased supply of that sugar has been diverted to North American and Australian markets. Nor is there any reason to despair of the future of cane sugar. Skill and industry have done their utmost in growth and manufacture of beet, whilst much remains to be done to extract completely the much larger quantity of sugar contained in the cane. This, at least, is the opinion of many experienced persons, and among them of Mr. Baden Powell, and of Mr. Newton, President of the Chamber of Agriculture in the Mauritius, a colony second only to the ^Vest Indies in the production of cane sugar. In a remarkable paper, which has just been laid before Parliament, he exhorts his countrymen, who, in common with other sugar producers, are suffering from present low prices, to abandon all hope of Protective remedies, and to trust cheerfully to improved production.* The case and prospects of the West India planters are therefore not so bad as has been stated ; not worse, probably, at the present moment, than those of protected sugar producers in Foreign countries. There has been a general glut, and they, in common with others, have suffered. If they can retain their share of the North American market ; and if, above all, as much skill and energy can be put into their manufacture as is put into the manufacture of beet sugar by France and Germany, there is no reason why they should not have a prosperous future. At the moment when I write the price of sugar is rising.! But the case of the ^^'e.st Indian planters is open to one or two further observations. * Pari. Paper c. 4455 of 1885. f See T/mes of ^Sth May, 1885. 190 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Sugar. Planters in- terest and Colonial in- terest not identical. West India sugar a com- paratively small in- terest Tliey have no case for change of our fiscal svstem. Remedies suggested by them. What are bounties ? It would be a mistake, at any rate as regards Jamaica, to treat the sugar interest as identical with that of the whole people. The interest is rather that of Enghsh capital. The black population have other employments and other interests. In the second place, the \Vest India sugar interest is a small interest compared with that of the consuming classes in England. The annual value of the whole of the sugar pro- duced in the West Indies is probably under ;^5, 000,000, as compared with ^{^2 5,000,000 which was the declared value of the sugar imported into the United Kingdom in 1883. According to the representations of the West India sugar interest (which are no doubt exaggerations), the reduction in price of the sugar consumed in the United Kingdom due to foreign bounties is over ;^5, 000,000. So that for the purpose of a small increase in their revenue, they ask us to sacrifice a sum which is more than equal to the whole of their pro- duction. Under these circumstances, whilst admitting that the West India sugar interests are suffering from the fiscal systems of other countries, though to a much less extent than has been supposed, they have no case for any remedy which would injuriously affect the much larger interests of consumers in the United Kingdom. It remains to consider very shortly the remedies suggested by the refiners and the West India interests. These consist in retaliation by means of duties to be imposed on bounty-fed sugars. It might be sufficient to refer to what has been said above as to retaliatory duties in general. All the arguments against retaliation in the case of protective duties apply to retaliation against bounties. Protective duties are even more injurious to the interests of this country than bounties, since they operate no less than bounties to the disadvantage of our producers ; whilst, unhke bounties, they confer no benefit on our consumers. Both alike limit our means of selling ; but foreign bounties give us the means of buying cheap, which foreign duties do not. But there are some special considerations affecting retalia- tion against bounties, and against these bounties in particular. If we begin by retaliating against bounties, we must ask what is meant by the term. Canada and all new countries make grants of land to emigrants. Is this a bounty on corn growing ? The Indian Government subsidize raihvays. Is this f'.\Rr II. — KKI'AI.IATION. igi as some of our agriculturists arc now alleging, a bounty on Sugar. Indian wheat? Brazil guarantees interest on capital invested in sugar factories, and New Zealand gives them special en- couragement. Are all these bounties, and are they to be assailed by retaliatory duties ? If so, what are the retaliatory duties to be, and where are they to stop ? In the ne.xt place, what is the exact amount of the duty to What are be ? It is intended to neutralize the bounty, neither more nor \^^ retaha- , rr ■ 1 -IT. • -,-1 -1 tory duties less. If It does more, it is plain Protection ; if less, it does not to be? answer its purpose. But no one has the least conception what the bounty in any case is. It differs in every country; on every parcel of sugar. No two opinions agree about it in any one case. To determine the amount of such a duty baffles all the experts. It is an impossible task. Again ; any such countervailing duty would be contrary Most to the most important clause in our commercial treaties, viz., iia\?on that by which we give and receive " most fa\oured nation treat- clause, ment." Again ; it is very imi)robable that retaliatory duties would Bad effect produce the desired effect on Foreitrn Governments. Most of °.^ retalia- • tion them, for financial reasons, now dislike bounties, and know abroad, that they are taxing their subjects to give us cheap sugar. If we retaliate, it will show that we think the bounties beneficial to the country which proposes them, and injurious to ourselves, and this will lend strength to the interests which desire to retain them. Lastly, the effect of any countervailing duty would be to raise Effect of the price of a necessary article to all the people of the United ^^}'^ °^ Kingdom, and it would raise it by much more than the amount of the duty. Assuming the duty to be 2s. 6d. per cwt., which is apparently not much more than half what the West Indian Committee thinks necessary, the amount of the ta.x, with a consumption of over a million of tons, would represent an additional tax of two and a half millions, and the actual burden of the tax would probably not be far short of five millions, or the equivalent of an income tax of from 2d. to 3d. in the pound, which would be paid chiefly by the working classes. The case against reversing our Financial policy by retalia- Conclusion tion of any kind, in the case of any article whatever, seems to ^^^o^'^gar. me to be overwhelming. But that any impartial person should be found willing to reverse it in the case of sugar would be simply astounding. 192 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Sugar. I have dwelt thus at length on this subject of sugar, in the first place because of the great and growing importance of the article ; in the second place because it illustrates the operation of bounties as well as of Protective duties ; and lastly, because the financial history of sugar in this and in other countries illustrates admirably the value of the principle of Free imports, which is advocated in this book. CHAPTER XXXVII. CONSEQUENCES OF RETALIATION, IF PRACTICABLE. We have seen that retaliation would be an impotent weapon in our hands : that to retaliate on articles of food, or of raw material, is out of the question ; and that to retaliate on manu- factures, as proposed by the Fair Trade League, or on luxuries, as proposed by Lord Salisbury, would have no effect except that of exposing us to a far more dangerous retaliation in return. We have also seen that our position as Free Traders in the midst of Protectionist countries is not such as to call for a change in our policy. But, assuming that all these things were unproved ; supposing that a fundamental change is necessary ; and supposing that a retaliatory policy were possible for us, it is worth while to consider what its consequences would be. 1. One effect of retaliation would be to deprive English people of the goods they can buy better and cheaper abroad. This, if confined to luxuries, would, perhaps, be the least of the evils caused by it. If the only effect of a high tariff were to limit the sums expended on the hothouse, the shrubbery, the game preserve, the hunting stable, the race-course, or the ball- room, there would be comparatively little objection to it. The national loss would be small, but the eftect, whether for fiscal or economical purposes, would be small also. If retaliatory duties are to have any real effect, they must touch things which a great many people want and use ; and in this case the comfort and con- venience of a large number of people would be seriously affected. 2. A second effect of retaliation would be to diminish the PART II. — RI'7rALIA'110N. I 93 sale and manufacture of English goods. Goods of foreign Sale of make bought for our use at home are ex hypothesi better and English cheaper than similar goods of native manufacture. Goods of ^oii'kf be English make bought for use by foreigners abroad are ex diminished. hypothesi better and cheaper than similar goods of foreign manufacture. If English people are prevented from buying abroad, and foreigners from buying here, there will be less produced, less piolit made, and less to spend in return on both sides. The Frenchman who sells his silk to us makes more profit, and buys directly or indirectly more of our goods in return than the English silk merchant would do if we were to compel English people against their will to use English silk instead of French silk. 3. We should cripple our own trade by depriving it of Mate-rials materials. Many, if not most, articles are made for further use ^^°"'^ ^^ in manufacture. What is a manufactured article in retrospect dearer. is raw material in prospect, as I have shown in the case of sugar, dressed hides, and numerous other articles. 4. We should also stunt and cripple our manufactures, by We should bestowing the fatal gift of Protection upon them, and depriving '°?^ ^^^ them of the stimulus of foreign competition. At this moment of Com- our leather trade suffers by American competition, because the petition. Americans tan hides cheaper than we do. Our Bradford fabrics have been suffering, because our wives and daughters have found French or German woollens pleasanter or prettier than Yorkshire goods. They are now recovering their custom. If we were to exclude American leather, or French woollens, we should exclude the stimulus requisite for improvement in the tanneries and woollen mills of England, and very Hkely stop the improvement in these particular manufactures which is at this very moment in progress. 5. A further and a most serious evil has not been suffi- Last ciently considered. We are not now arguing with Protectionists, ^^^^ ^^ who wish to keep out foreign goods altogether ; we are arguing interests with people who wish to exclude foreign goods only in order to worse then make foreigners admit English goods. Now what will be the ^^^ ^^^' position of our unhappy protected interests when retaliation has effected its purpose, and when the foreign nation against whom it is directed offers us a free tariff on the condition of our repealing our protective duties? We shall have nursed up a miserable interest, feeble for purposes of production, as pro- tected interests always are, but powerful in the lobbies, and N 194 FREt TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Conse- quences of Retaliation, Confusion at the Custom House. Expenses of Collec- tion. Political degrada- tion. clinging with tenacity to its protective duties, which will then be seen to stand in the way of other and more important interests. This unhappy interest will either maintain itself to their detriment, or it will be sacrificed for their benefit, and its last state will be worse than its first. The ribbon-weavers of Coventry have time out of mind been complaining of bad trade and foreign competition. Since the French Treaty they have, at any rate, known their fate, and Coventry has other manu- factures and other prospects of prosperity. It would be the height of cruelty to tempt capital and labour back, into the ribbon trade by the prospect of a protection against French ribbons, to be withdrawn as soon as the French people become alive to their own true interests, and repeal their duties on English iron and cotton. 6. A sixth evil of retaliation peculiarly evident to the official mind, but not the less a great public evil, is that it would lead to all the confusions and difficulties which arise from duties differing according to the nationality of the goods, and all the mischiefs and frauds attendant on certificates of origin. A generation has passed away since the reforms of the tariff" swept this troublesome rubbish into the official waste- paper basket. Those who were at work then can remember what a relief that reform was. But the mischiefs formerly caused to trade in its then contracted state were as nothing compared to the evils which such a system would now inflict on trade, considering the infinitely greater number of com- mercial dealings which now take place, and the infinitely greater speed with which they must be conducted. 7. A seventh evil would be an increase in the cost of the Customs staff, and in the general expenses and trouble of col- lection, which would run away with a large part of any duties that might be imposed. 8. Another, and most formidable evil is that which Ameri- can writers have pointed out* as actually happening in the United States, viz., the lobbying and jobbery of all the different special interests seeking protection, tending, as has been stated above, not only to economical mischief, but to political degradation. See page 20T Part ii. — retaliation. 195 CHAPTER XXXVllI. RETALIATION ON FRENCH SILKS AND lUENCH WINES. Let us see how Retaliation would work in an actual and not im- Retaliation probable case. Proposals to tax French silk have been made '" 'J'P, ^'"^^"^ and are not unlikely to be made again. Silk is, comi)aratively speaking, a luxury, and it is an important French manu- facture. According to our own statistics, we imported silk to the value of about 10 millions sterling from France in 1880. There is some reason to doubt these figures, as the exports from France to England, according to French statistics, were only 6^ millions, of which 3:| millions were French manu- lacture ; but it is certainly an important article of French manufacture and export. We also make and export a large (juantity of silk manufactures, amounting in 1883 to about two millions and a half. Let us see what would be the conse- (juence of a high protective duty on French silk imported into England. 1. English people would get their silk goods less good and silk would less cheap. This, it may be said, is a trifle. Silk is a luxury, L>e worse and people can do very well without it. I will admit that it is inEn^land. not the most important of articles ; but is it a trifle to make the handkerchief, the ribbon, the Sunday gown dearer and uglier ? Is it a trifle to take from our people one of the few articles which add grace and beauty to our somewhat sombre and dreary life ? Speaking in the interest of those who can spend little upon mere beauty and ornament, I cannot come to any such conclusion. 2. It will diminish the (juantity of English goods which are Fewer now sent, directly or indirectly, to France in return for French Hngiish silk. This is beyond doubt. Whatever France sends us we [^°|^,'!^Ve '" pay for, and we pay for it in something we can make better and sold in than she does ; we shall lose a certain quantity of French lixchange. custom, directly or indirectly. But it will be said, " The money now spent by English people on French silk must be spent on something else ; that something will probably be silk made in England, and so English labour and capital will be employed N 2 196 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. Rotaiiaiion ^^ niuch and as profitably as il' ihcy were employed to pay the on Silks flench for their silk." and Wines. rj-j^g rejoinder is clear: they will be employed, but not as much or as profitably. Ex hypotJiesi the French make the silk they send us better and cheaper than we do ; they can make more profit out of it, and can therefore spend more on other goods of ours in return. On the other hand, it is equally clear that the English capital and labour which we are going to divert into the silk business is now employed on something which pays better than silk, or they would be employed in making silk. Consequently, by diverting this labour and capital to silk-making we are making it less profitable than it was before the tax. There will be a loss all round. Silk manu- 3- It will deprive our own silk manufacturers of the stimulus facture in for improvenient now arising from French competition ; and wilfnot^be '•^^^^' considering the value of French taste and ingenuity in stimulated improving the beauty of manufactures, is no small con- by conipe- sideration. ' ''^"' 4. It will call into existence a protected manufacture, weak nianufac- ^!id sickly as such manufactures always are. Who that remem- tuie will be bers the constant distress of the Spitalfields weavers in the days fostered. ^^ Protection can desire to see English money and Englisli workmen again tempted byprotective duties into such a business? And this 5- I^ ^^'^^^ ^lot Only coax a miserable trade into existence, weak but if Retaliation answers the purpose of its promoters, and the "'hT^^ French are induced by our refusal of their silks to offer to after be take our cottons and wool and iron on reasonable terms, we deserted, shall be forced to abandon this protected trade to the tender mercies of French competition. We shall have indulged it and pampered it only to betray and desert it. We shall have educated a body of skilled workpeople to a special branch of work only to be left helpless and useless when it comes to an end. The 6. In the meantime we shall have to distinguish at the Custom Custom House between French-made silk and all other silks ; have^to dis- ^'^^ ^'- ^^ ^"^ essential part of the policy of Retaliation and Recipro- tinguibh city that we are not to place these duties on the goods of ^'?^ countries which take our goods free. Switzerland, for instance, of°oi'ia'in ^'"id probably Italy, send their silk goods to us through France. ofallim- French goods may be sent to us through Belgium or Holland. ^\\\^^ We must therefore ascertain, before we allow any bale of silk goods to be landed in England, whether they have been PART ir. — RICTAI.IATION. I97 made in France or in some other country. Conceive the confu- sion, difficulty, and delay which such official obstructions would cause. They would injure trade more than the tax itself. In silk I have taken a manufacture which is carried on both Retniiation in France and Fngland, and in which, therefore, Retaliation on Wine, involves Protection to Fnglish manufacture. This would not be the case with wines, to which X. (the writer in the Fall Mall Gazette, to whom I have referred al)Ove) i)oints as an article on which we might properly lay a retaliatory duty. Jf our hands are freed from treaty obligations, and if either fiscal or social reasons lead us to desire to alter our wine duties, by all means let it be done ; but if they are to be purely retaliatory — that is, if we imjjose duties which we know to be injurious to ourselves for the purpose of injuring France, and thereby comjjelling her to reduce some of her duties on our goods — then they would be open to all the objections I have pointed out in the case of silk. They would, it is true, not protect our manufactures of wine, as we have none, but they would protect the wine-growers of Spain, Italy, and Germany, which it is certainly not our object to do. In all other respects such duties would be followecl by every one of the evil con- sequences I have pointed out as the consequences of a retalia- tory duty on silk. CHAPTER XXXIX. PROTECTION FOR THE PURPOSE OF CHECKING A TOO EXCLUSIVE DEVELOPMENT OF AGRICULTURE. There is one attitude of young Protectionist countries towards Retaliation trade which remains to be considered, viz., that of those who ^^'lej-c Pro- admit that they are incurring economical loss by their policy, adopted^to but who, notwithstanding, resolutely exclude foreign manu- check factures, on the ground that the cultivation of the soil and the exclusive export of raw produce are not by themselves industries suffi- ture. cient to i)romote national progress ; and that it is the interest and business of the State to foster other forms of industry, in order the sooner and the better to form a completely developed society. These views are probably wrong ; for two reasons. 198 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. First, because in a growing agricultural society, left to itself, trade and manufacture necessarily grow up as the wants of the society develop. The local baker, butcher, carpenter, black- smith, are soon wanted to supply the wants of the successful tiller of the ground ; and other and more developed manu- factures follow in due course, healthy and vigorous, because natuaal and necessary. Secondly, because, as all experience shows, protection breeds protection, and, once established, is most ditificult to get rid of Protection to one industry is an injury to another ; that industry claims protection in its turn ; and so on, till all society is bound up in a vicious circle in which each industry has, or thinks it has, an interest opposed to the interests of the whole, and though, perhaps, well able to stand alone, resolutely refuses to be the first to give up its established privilege. Right or wrong, however, the views to which I have referred deserve more attention than they commonly receive from us, and are less easy to answer than the ordinary Protec- tionist fallacies. But, right or wrong, Retaliation against this class of Protectionists is still more foolish than against others. Retaliation plays their game exactly ; it is their professed object to force their own labour and capital out of its natural channel — the tilling of the soil — and to turn it artificially into the channels of manufiicture. By refusing to take their raw produce we help them in effecting this object ; for we make their natural productions less valuable. So far from fearing Retaliation as an injury, they will accept it as a friend and an ally ; so far from being frightened into opening their ports to our manufactures by the refusal of their raw produce, they will hail that refusal as the complement of their own policy. CHAPTER XL. RETALIATION DOES NOT ONLY NOT EFFECT ITS OBJECT, BUT HAS A CONTRARY EFFECT. Retaliation ALMOST any one of the objections above noticed appears to me provoke ^^ ^^ ^^^'^^ ^^ ^'''^" pJ"iii^-iple of Retaliation ; but there is still Retaiia- another objection, which has as great weight as any of them, lion. PART II. — RETALIATION. I99 Retaliation is not calculated to effect its object ; it is calculated Retaliation to effect the very opposite. It grows upon itself. It provokes produces additional Retaliation, until the nations are hopelessly alienated. A little consideration will show how natural this is, and how little reason we have to expect a favourable result from it. In the first place, we lead Protectionists to think that we do It shows not believe in our own princiijles. " See," they will say, "what ^''s'rust m T- 1 1 • 1 • ,-.1 r 11- 1 11 ■ our own England is doing. She professes to believe that the lowering Principles, of import duties is a good thing in itself, and yet she is taking the first opportunity to raise her own. We will follow her example rather than her precepts." In the second place, a natural feeling of antagonism is it arouses aroused ; and feeling is often stronger than self-interest. " We antago- are giving so much, and you give so little ; wc will punish you by giving less." Canning's well-known despatch involves a political, if not an economical truth : — " In matters of commerce the fault of the Dutch Is giviny too little and asking too mucii ; With ecjual advantage the French are content, .So we'll clap on Dutch bottoms twenty per cent." It needs no thought to feel angry at an over-reaching bargainer ; it needs much tliought to see that the over-reacher over-reaches himself more than he over-reaches us — that we are the greatest gainers by what we have given him. But this is not all. The strength of Protection lies in the power strength of of concentrated protected interests. They spend money, time, protected and trouble in defence of their privileges ; they intrigue behind '"'^""^s'^- the throne ; they crowd the lobbies ; and are ready to take the best advantage of the popular indignation caused by an un- successful negotiation. The French Emperor was either unable E.\-perienc.- or unwilling to sacrifice his French ironmasters, though cheap '" '' ranee, iron was one of the first necessities of France. M. Tirard quakes before Rouen and Roubaix, The ironfounders of Pennsylvania are more urgent in the Senate House at Washing- ton than all the western prairies. It needed a most unusual conjunction of political philosophy, ])ublic interest, wealthy manufacturers, distress among the working classes, and heroic leaders, to repeal our own Corn Laws. Our shipowners have scarcely yet forgiven the repeal of the Navigation Laws, though freedom of trade has given them the command of the seas. The recent growls from Preston, from Bradford, from FREE TRADE 1\ FAIR TRADE. Lincolnshire, the farming interest and from the sugar interest, show how soon and how easily, even in this country, partial ■ and self-seeking interests could mislead the multitude and excite a jealous and angry cry, not only for Fair Trade but for absolute Protection to every special interest. Once embarked in a war of tariffs, and we are much more likely to arrive at Prohibition than at Free Trade. France is, perhaps, the country which at the present moment is making the most retrograde steps, and it is interesting to see how one Protective measure is leading to others. She protects the yarns which her silk manufacturers need, so she is asked to give a bounty on the export of silk. She protects her own sugar growers, so she must also protect her Colonial sugar growers and her refiners. To remedy agricultural distress, which appears to be greater in France than in England, the French legislature has imposed Protective duties on imported oxen of ^1 a head, and on imported corn of 5s. a quarter. The tax on corn has led to a still higher duty on Foreign semo- lina and similar stuffs in order to protect the French makers of those articles ; and to a very high Protective duty on Foreign flour in order to protect P^rench millers. But the remarkable thing in reading the discussions on these measures is that the most common and most successful argument for protection to agriculture was that French manufactures were already pro- tected at the expense of French agriculturists, and that it was therefore only fair to French agriculturists that they should be protected in turn, at whatever cost to French manufacturers. One bad step involves another. Each class seeks to be pro- tected in turn ; and they form in the end a ring of jobbing interests which unite in opposition to the public interest, because, though all suffer by it, each is afraid to be the first or only one to lose its privileges. The history of Protection in the United States is also very instructive. A moderate Protective system existed before the Civil War. During the war everything was taxed, whether imported or produced at home. Protective duties were largely increased in order to compensate for internal duties on the same articles, or for import duties on the raw material. After the war internal duties were taken off, but the compensating duties on imports were continued. They have even been increased, and such has been the influence of the Protected interest on each change in the tariff that measures intended to PART II. — RETALIATION. 20I give some relief to the consumer have been so manipulated as Retaliation to give more protection to the manufacturer. The Americans produces have now, probably, the worst tariff in the world ; and, whilst *^^^'^'°"' they injure other nations, they are themselves the greatest sufferers by it. Nor are the evils which result from it economi- cal only. Mr. Taussig says :— * " Contributions to the party chest are the form in which money payments by the protected interest are likely to have been made, so far as such payments were made at all. But the general laxity of thought on public trusts undoubtedly made possible the manipulation of the tariff in the interest of private individuals. The tone of political life — as indeed that of com- mercial life — was lowered by the abnormal economic conditions that followed the war, and the general demoralisation enabled the Protected interests and their chami)ions to rush through Congress measures which, in a more healthy state of public affairs, would have been reprobated and rejected." Those who are anxious to re-introduce Protection in this country should be warned by the example of the United States, that if this game of favouritism to special interests were once begun, it is not likely to stop without endangering public morality, and causing evils which are even worse in their social and i)olitical than in their economical aspect. But, to return to the economical effect of Protection, Protec- what are the teachings of experience ? We have some Pro- t'on'st , tectionist and some half-Protectionist countries. Do they get „ °t ^q ' better terms from each other than the Free-trading countries ? better Does the United States get better terms from France or Ger- '^''""]^ ^'^^" wc do many or Canada than England or Holland ? Are the Pro- tectionist countries ready to fly into each other's arms ? We know very well that this is not the case. The very reason Failure of for the adoption of the commercial policy which we iDursued ^^^Y from 1840 to i860 was that negotiations for commercial negotia- treaties had been tried and had failed signally. They had tions. been tried by the ablest negotiators, by Sir R. Peel and Mr. Gladstone, and by the Minister who preceded them. They had been tried with the best possible materials for negotiation, with Protective duties on our part such as Ford Salisbury in his wildest dreams can never hope to get; duties, too, which our own Minister wished for our own sakes to reduce or repeal. U'hen * " History of the present Tariff," p. 75 FREE TRADE FAIR TRADE. Retaliation produces Retaliation Dr. Franklin. United States and Canada. Reciprocity Treaty. INIr. Ricardo brought forward his celebrated motion for reduc- tion of duties in 1843 and 1844,* his first and strongest point was that negotiations for commercial treaties with Brazil, Portugal, Spain, and France had all been pending and had all come to an end, not only without any favourable result, but with the result of leaving our relations with those countries worse than they had previously been. This no doubt was one ])rincipal reason why, though Mr. Ricardo's motion was rejected at the time as too abstract and absolute. Sir R. Peel and Mr. Gladstone subsequently adopted its policy.f The conclusion of Mr. Ricardo's speech consisted of an apt quotation from Dr. Franklin, which may be almost taken as a proj^Iiecy. "Suppose X to be a country having three manufactures, cloth, silk, and iron, furnishing those nianufactures to three countries. A, B, C ; and that X, to improve the cloth manufac- ture, should lay a duty amounting to prohibition on all the cloth coming from A ; that A, to retaliate, should lay a prohibitory duty on silk coming from X. The silk-workers would begin to complain, and X, to protect them, should lay a prohibitory duty on the silk coming from B ; B, to retaliate, should put a pro- hibitory duty on iron coming from X. The iron manufacturers would complain, and then X, to protect them, should lay a pro- hibitory duty on iron coming from C ; whilst C, to retaliate, should lay a duty on the cloth coming from X. And Dr. Franklin asked, what benefit these four countries would gain by these prohibitions, while all four would have curtailed the sources of their comforts and the conveniences of life ?" Our experience is not confined to this side the Atlantic. Dr. Franklin's supposed case represents exactly the present relation between his own country and Canada. The United States and Canada are meant by nature to do business freely with one another. An artificial barrier between them is to the eyes of common sense, as of political philosophy, absurd and vmnatural ; and yet it exists, and has grown into formidable dimensions within the last 25 years. This is no doubt partly due to extraneous circumstances, such as the dispute about the Fisheries and Fenian raids ; but in the main it has been the natural result of endeavours to arrive at Free Trade by the road of Retaliation. In 1854, as I have mentioned above, a * " Hansard,'' vol. 73, p. 1271. i" See Sir R, Peel's speech, July 6, 1849. " Hansard," vol. 106, p. 1429. PART II. — RETALIATION. 203 commercial treaty was made between Canada and the United Retiliation States to the mutual advantage of both, under which certain j^'^jgHa^fon products of each country were admitted into the other duty free, liberty to tax other products being still reserved. In 1865 the United States denounced that treaty. What were the rea- sons they gave for it ? Those reasons were contained in an elaborate report of the Committee of the House of Representa- tives, which was laid before our Parliament.* The Committee admit and assert, in the strongest terms, the importance to Canada and to the United States of the most unrestricted mter- coursc, and indeed advocate, as the best if not the only method of effecting it, a complete Zollverein, or Customs' Union on the (iernian plan, including all British North America, within the limits of which no Customs' duties whatever should be levied. 'l"he same Committee condemn the then existing treaty in terms which remind one of our Fair Traders, because, as they say, it was one-sided ; in other words, because the people of the United States obtained under it Canadian corn, and fish, and timber duty free, whilst the Canadians were compelled by their own import duties to pay an extra and unnecessary price for the sugar, cotton, silk, iron, and wool of the United States. The Committee made special, and apparently not ill-founded, com- ])laints that Canada had ever since the treaty constantly increased her duties on these articles until her conduct had provoked severe observations from the English Colonial Minis- ter, which again provoked unpleasant recrimination in the Canadian Parliament. What induced Canada thus to increase her duties, I do not know ; but that she should do so in the hope of obtaining still better terms from the United States was a natural result of the bargaining system. At any rate, the result was that the United States, instead of taking a step in the direction of freedom, said, ''If you give us such bad terms, we will give you worse ;" and they consequently withdrew from the treaty, and left Canadian goods subject to their oppressive tariff The attempts at a bargain went on more or less until 1S79, when Canada, finding herself worsted, determined to re- taliate with greater vigour, and adopted the Protective tarifi" of 1879, of which we have heard so much, and which, whatever Mr. Goldwin Smith may say, was distinctly Protectionist in character, and was expressed and intended to be a commercial * Sec Pespatch from Lord Lyons, North Aniericn, No. 10, 1862. 204 FREE TRADE FAIR TRADE. Retaliation produces Retaliation. blow to the United States. What will be the next step no on can say. Sooner or later both parties will probably come to their senses ; but in the meantime, we may well ask, with Dr. Franklin, "what benefit those two countries have gained by their prohibitions, whilst each has curtailed the sources of their com- forts and the conveniences of life?" But such is the natural result of the use of those dangerous weapons Retaliation and Reciprocity; and to such an end we may be very sure Retaliation would soon come in this country, especially if it were wielded by the hands of those who cannot see the fundamental truth that every separate restriction on commerce, whether imposed by ourselves or others, is a separate and independent evil to ourselves as well as to our neighbours, and that every removal of every restriction is a separate and independent gain to ourselves as well as to our neighbours. CHAPTER XLI. Cobden's Treaty gives no counte- nance to Retalia- tion. We did nothing we should not have done without a Treaty. THE FRENCH TREATV OF 1860. To Retaliation, whatever Lord Salisbury may say, the French treaty of i860, properly understood, gives no real countenance. In that treaty we neither imposed nor threatened to impose duties either on French or on any other goods ; on the contrary, we took duties off French goods, and at the same time off similar goods the produce of all other countries. In doing tliis, we were doing what was strictly for our own interest, independently of the action of France. In deference to the weakness of France, we put what we did into the form of a bargain — Do 7it des ; but we were giving nothing we should have wished to keei). What we did was, with one doubtful ex- ception, what we should have done, and ought to have done, had France made no relaxation of her duties. This is the dis- tinction which Lord Salisbury fails to see. There is a world- wide difference between taking advantage of the accident that what we do for our own sakes is looked on by a foreign nation as a concession, and doing something which for our own sakes we should avoid, in order to have a concession to make. The PART II. RKTALIATION. 205 fact that the form of the French treaty lias misled Lord Salisbury and others into overlooking this distinction, is, to my mind, the greatest objection to it. The single exception to which I have referred, if indeed it Wine tlie is an exception, is the wine duty. Strong reasons, founded on ^P'*^ excep- considerations affecting the health of the people and the e°c"epiion. safety of the revenue, were given for the particular duties fixed in 1860-62. So far as these reasons support those duties, there can be no [jossilile objection to them. But there can be no doubt that in fixing these duties the interests of France had also some influence, and there can be no doubt that these duties do give some advantage to French wine over the wines of other countries. Further investigation and experience have led to a doubt whether these duties were properly settled. The Committee of the House of Commons which sat upon this subject in 1879 came to the conclusion that the fiscal and social reasons given for these duties were insufficient, and the Spanish and Portuguese Governments have strongly and repeatedly remonstrated against them, as creating differential charges on the wines of Spain and Portugal. Spain has even gone so far as to retaliate by differential duties on English goods. Our own colonies have complained, as mentioned above. \Ve have just now been proposing to alter our wine duties in order to admit the stronger wines of Sixain, and we exi^ected P^"ger of to obtain from Spain a reduction 01 her exorbitant charges on inustnued our goods. In reducing the wine duties we should be doing what by the is for our own interest ; and this is our real justification. P'''-'se"t The true policy for us to adopt is to have regard only to what thino-s. we should do if no French or Spanish tariff' existed : to admit low-priced French wines at a lower rate of duty ; to reduce the present duty on Spanish and Portuguese wines ; or to increase the wine duties altogether, and repeal some other tax, such as the tea duty ; whichever may be most advantageous to us, with a simple regard to the interests of our revenue and the benefits to be derived by our people from light or strong wines or from tea. If we simply admit Spanish and Portuguese wines because it is our interest to get those wines cheap, and to encourage trade with Spain and Portugal, it will be well. And if the present Spanish Minister wishes to make such a reduction the condition of reducing his own tariff, we properly get the benefit of his action. But if we tie our hands by a treaty, we may embarrass ourseh'cs financially ; and if our arrangements FREE TKAUE V. FAIR TRADE. French Treaty. Cobden's Treaty not to be judged by economical results alone. " Most favourt d Nation " clause. were such as to place a differential and vindictive duty on the wines of France, we should undoubtedly be committing a great economical as well as political mistake, and be starting on a course of policy towards France which would have a bad effect, not only on the trade between the two countries, but on rela- tions which are still more important than trade. It is not, however, by the balance of economical results, past, present, or future, that the value of the French Treaty can be rightly judged. Its eftect at the time in putting a stop to that alienation of the two nations which was then threatening to break out into war, and the kindly personal intercourse which has since been brought about between Frenchmen and Englishmen, are results of still greater importance than increase of trade. One thing, however, may be said of the French treaty, which, considering the danger of all negotiations of the kind, is perhaps not its least merit, viz., that it cannot be a precedent; for, by abolishing all or nearly all the duties we can s[)are, it has left us little or no means to strike further bargains. In speaking as I have done of the French treaty of i860, I am quite aware of the value of the system, well described in the following passage from Mr. Morley's "Life of Cobden." " In these treaties, and in the treaty made afterwards by England with Austria, Sir Louis Mallet reminded its opponents in later years that each of them had a double operation. Not only does each treaty open the market of another country to foreign industry ; it immediately affects the markets tliat are already opened. For every recent treaty recognised the ' most favoured nation ' principle, the sheet-anchor of Free Trade, as it has been called. By means of this principle, each new point gained in any one negotiation becomes a part of the common commercial system of the Eurojjcan confederation. ' By means of this network,' it has been excellently said by a distinguished member of the English diplomatic service, ' of which iftw Eng- lishmen seem to be aware, while fewer still know to whom they owe it, all the great trading and industrial communities of Europe — />., England, France, Holland, Belgium, the ZoUverein (1870), Austria, and Italy — constitute a compact international body, from which the principle of monopoly and exclusive privilege has once for all been eliminated, and not one member of which can take off a single duty without all the other mem- bers at once partaking in the increased trading facilities thereby I'AR'r II. — KKTALIATION. iO'J Created. By the self-registering action of tlie " most favoured French nation" clause, common to this network of treaties, the tariff 'rcaty. level of the whole body is being continually lowered, and the road being jjaved towards the final embodiment of the Free Trade principle, in the international engagement to abolish all duties other than those levied for revenue purposes.' " But it must be remembered that some of the nations have Actual con- drawn back from these treaties ; that Germany, Austria, Italy, and sequences France have recently raised their duties ; and that if it is a great Treaties, advantage to have duties reduced for us behind our back, and without effort on our part, by the operation of the " most favoured nation " clause, there is some inconvenience in having them raised behind our back by action on the ])art of two foreign nations with which we have nothing to do. It may also be some drawback to the value of this generally excellent clause if one nation — France, for instance — should be prevented from re- ducing her tariff in our favour, because if she did so, she would be compelled by the " most favoured nation " clause to give the same privilege to another nation — say Germany. In short, if the separate action followed by us from 1840 to Remit of i860 was not successful in making other nations reduce their '^ '■*:'^''"°" action oi duties, I think we must admit that neither has the treaty system Foreign adopted in i860 been followed by unalloyed success, whilst it Nations has certainly set men's minds in a wrong direction. Tio'^ether In making this reference to the French Treaty of 1S60, I do successful, not wish to be understood as saying that the balance of results, even in an economical point of view, have not been good. I only say that there have been large drawbacks. It may seem ungenerous and out of place, in a paper CoicKn's published by the Cobden Glub, to say a word which seems to ^"-^^s- throw doubt upon the great work of Cobden's later years. But Cobden is beyond any such criticism. His greatness consisted in the way in which he kept his great object in view, aided but not fettered by formulas. When Freedom of Trade could be Ijromoted by separate action, he was for separate action ; when he thought it could be promoted by joint action with France, he was for joint action. If that joint action had been shown to him to have consequences dangerous to Free Trade, he wouUl have been the first to abandon it. If I hesitate about the policy and effect of the commercial treaties, it is certainly not " because they do not sound in tune with the verbal jingle of an abstract dogma." My doubts arc very practical and concrete. 2o8 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. French I am afraid of being led into Retaliation. If it is true, as some rrea^y- of the thorough-going advocates of the treaty appear to think, lion to the" that it is useless for us to abolish our duties on imports, unless Treaties, foreign nations at the same time abolish their duties on our that they exports. Lord Salisbury's conclusion is inevitable — we must Re!ali;i- reimpose our own import duties, until we can get foreign li 'n. nations to take off theirs. To controvert this conclusion is one of ihc principal objects of this work. PART II. — RETALIATION. 209 CONCLUSIONS OF PART II. AS TO RETALIATION. To sum up : the conclusions to which the above reasoning leads us on the subject of Retaliation are as follow : — 1. Retaliation is an impotent weapon in our hands. Retalia- 2. To lower foreign taritTs was not the sole or principal j jmpo- object of the authors of our present policy. They would have tent, adopted that policy had they known that no foreign tariff would be lowered. 3. All duties are impediments to trade; the fewer duties, 2. Un- the fewer impediments. We can remove our own duties ; we ^^^'^'^ *^°'"- cannot remove our neighbours'. 4. No tariff is an absolute barrier ; and a free country has such advantages in production that it can compete with a Protectionist country, even for the home market of the latter. 5. Exports involve imports ; all Protectionist countries de- sire to export, and must therefore import, ^^^lere a Protec- tionist country exports to another country, the second country must pay in goods, if not directly to the Protectionist country, indirectly through some third country. 6. There are many free and many neutral markets, and all of them a Free-trading country has advantages over a Protectionist rival. 7. Protection has not, so far as we can judge, advanced trade and manufacture in France, Germany, or the United States, but the reverse. 8. The trade of a country depends on many things besides Free Trade. Free Trade only removes impediments. What can be claimed for Free Trade is that a country is better with it than without it. The prosperity of the Ignited States does not affect the question. 9. For the above reasons, there is no fear of our losin our market, and the case for Retaliation tails. O 210 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. 3. Mis- chievous. Summary of Free Trade doctrine. Each man knows how to buy and sell better than his Govern- ment. Every one who buys sells at the same time. Buying and selling between different countries do not differ from buying and selling at home. 10. Retaliation must, in its immediate consequences, be injurious to ourselves. 11. Retaliation is calculated to defeat its own object, and to provoke further Retaliation. 12. The Cobden treaty affords no ground whatever for Reciprocity or Retaliation. The simplicity of the Free Trade position is obscured by the vastness and complexity of modern business. But it is in truth simple in the extreme. This book and much else which has been written on the subject is only an expansion of the following elementary truths : — 1. Every man knows belter what he wants to buy and sell than his Government can possibly know for him. He will buy and sell to the best advantage, if left free to buy and sell as he chooses. 2. Every one Avho buys, sells at the same time. His pur- chase is really an exchange. The money he pays for the goods which he buys is really an order given to the seller for other goods. The more buying the more selling. 3. As regards dealings between inhabitants of the same street, the same village, the same town, the same country, no one thinks of disputing these truths. But they are just as true as regards dealings between inhabitants of different countries. No one who is master of these simple and obvious truths will be misled by Protectionist sophisms. FINAL CONCLUSIONS. 211 FINAL CONCLUSIONS. The proposals of the Fair Trade League, worthless as they may be in themselves, have aftbrded an opportunity for discuss- ing points of some real interest, and for answering some ques- tions which deserve an answer. On the Colonial question it is impossible not to feel New sympathy with the desire to draw closer the commercial bonds p^/^"' between ourselves and those growing communities of our own object may lineage and habits which it is Fngland's greatest pride to have i>egood: /^ \Ieans are brought into existence. It has been the object of the first part ^^^^ of this paper to show that all the proposals which have been made for effecting this object by legislative means involve either restrictions on our trade with other countries, or re- strictions on colonial self-government ; and that any such restrictions would tend to disruption, and not to closer union. The great fact is that Governments cannot create trade ; Govem- they can only impede and injure it. They cannot divert it^^g"jf^u" without diminishing it. When people talk of its being the not create; duty of the Government to find markets for their people, what Trade, they mean is that the Government shall deprive their people of the markets which they find for themselves. On the second great question which I have treated — viz., Retaliation Retaliation — there can be no such sympathy. Retaliation t>ad in appears to me to be the natural offspring of a state of mind effect, which regards our gain as others loss — a state of mind which is the hot-bed of Chauvinism, Imperialism, and Protection. A wave of feeling springing out of this state of mind has lately swept over us and over the world ; and it is not surprising that Hopeful it should bring with it a moderate revival of Protection in Tenden- countries where protected interests rule the State, and a '^'^ * feeble attempt to revive it in our own. But the great tide sweeps on its course, and this is but an eddy in the stream. Time and circumstances are in its favour, and its main course is in one direction. Steam and telegraph have brought the O 2 2 12 FREE TRADE V. FAIR TRADE. nations of the world together ; Prohibition has been succeeded by Protection, and Protection in many cases by Freedom; the hmits of petty States have been enlarged into Customs Unions and Federations, which embrace whole continents. Men are being brought more and more together, and in so doing they help one another more and more. It is the misfortune of the state of mind to which I have referred that it ' fails to apprehend and appreciate that moral element in trade which gives to it its greatest value and significance — that element, namely, by virtue of which each act of trade is a good to both the parties to it, and each removal of a national restriction on trade is a good to all the nations concerned. It is twice blessed. It blesseth him that gives and him that takes. It reconciles self-interest with morality— our duty to ourselves with our duty to our neighbour ; and it thus brings the nations a little nearer to the distant ideal of the Christian moralist. I cannot end this discussion better than with Cobden's own words : — " I do not think the nations of the earth will have a chance of advancing morally in their domestic concerns to the degree of excellence which we sigh for until the international relations of the world are put upon a different footing. The present system corrupts society, exhausts its wealth, raises up false gods for hero-worship, and fixes before the eyes of the rising genera- tion a spurious if a glittering standard of glory. It is because I believe that the principle of Free Trade is calculated to alter the relations of the world for the better, in a moral point of view, that I bless God I have been allowed to take a prominent part in its advocacy." appe:^dix. TABLES. Comparison of our Foreign and Colonial 7i-ade. 1. Statement of the Value of the Exports of British and Irish Produce from the United Kingdom, and of the Amounts and Proportion exported to Foreign Countries and British Possessions respectively, in each of the Years from 1856 to 1883 inclusive /. 216 2. Statement of the Value of the Total Exports of British and Irish, and Foreign and Colonial Produce from the United Kingdom, and of the Amounts and Proportion exported to Foreign Countries and British Possessions respectively, in each of the Years from 1856 to 1883 inclusive . . . . . . . . . . /^- 217 3. Statement of the Value of the Imports of Merchandise into the United Kingdom, and of the Amounts and Proportion from Foreign Countries and British Possessions respectively, in each of the Years from 1856 to 1883 inclusive /. 218 4. Statement of the Total Value of Imports and Exports of Merchandise into and from the United Kingdom, and of the Amounts and I'roportion from and to Foreign Countries and British Possessions^ in each of the Years from 1856 to 1S83 inclusive . . . . . /■ 219 5. Statement in Detail of the Total Exports of Merchandise from the United Kingdom to each of certain Foreign Countries and British Possessions, in each Year and Period of Five Years since 1S66, with the Proportions that the Amounts for each Country and Possession bear to the whole Exports in each Year and Period //. 220 to 225 6. Statement in Detail of the Imports of Merchandise into the United Kingdom from each of certain Foreign Countries and British Possessions, in each Year and Period of Five Years since 1866, with the Proportions that the Amounts from each Country and Possession bear to the whole Imports in each Year and Period //. 226 to 228 7. Statement compiled from the two previous Tables, showing the Propor- tion of the Total Foreign Trade of the United Kingdom — Imports and 214 APPENDIX. Exports of Merchandise — carried on with each of certain Foreign Countries and British Possessions . . . //. 229 and 230 Ejects of Fretich Indemnity. S. Statement showing the Value of Imports of Merchandise into Germany from certain Countries, and of Exports thereof from Germany to the same Countries in the Years 1868 to 1877, made up from the statistics of the different Countries named (in the absence of official German statistics) by treating the Exports from them to Germany as Imports into Germany, and the Imports from Germany into them as Exports from Germany . . . . . . . . . /. 231 9. Statement showing the Total Value of Merchandise Imported into and Exported from France in the Years 1868 to 1877, according to the French official returns ....... p. 232 10. Statement showing the Value of Imports of Merchandise into France from certain Countries, and Exports thereof from France to the same Countries, according to the French official returns, in the Years 1868 to 1877, covering the period of the payment of the Indemnity to Germany ........../. 233 Ciirititojis Trade between the United Kingdom, United States, and India and other Countries. 11. Statement showing the Value of the Imports of Merchandise and Treasure, on Private and Government Account, into British India from the United Kingdom, and Value of the Exports of the same from British India to the United Kingdom, in the Years 187 1 to 1880, com- jiiled from the official statistics of the Indian Government . /. 234 12. Statement showing the Value of the Imports of Merchandise and Treasure, on Private and Government Account, into British India from certain Countries, and Value of the Exports of the same from British India to the same Countries, in the Years 1871 to 1880, com- piled from the official statistics of the Indian Government . /. 235 Duties levied on British Produce in Foreign Countries and Colonics. 13. Return of the Rates of Import Duty levied in the principal European Countries, in the United States, and in the principal Colonial Possessions of the United Kingdom, on certain Articles of British Produce or Manufacture ..... //. 236 to 241 14. Return of the estimated or actual ad valorem Rates of Import Duty levied in the principal European Countries, in the United States, APPENDIX. 215 and in the principal Colonial Possessions of the United Kingdom, on certain Articles of British Produce or Manufacture //. 242 to 245 Proportions in which different Countries supply us with Food. 15. Statement showing in what Proportion, according to Value, the principal Articles of Food, except Fruit, were imported into the United King- dom from Foreign Countries and British Possessions in the Year 1883, with the Total Values of such Articles imported from all F"oreign Countries and British Possessions respectively . pp. 246 to 247 16. Statement showing the Proportion per cent, of the Total Value of the Articles of Food named in Table 15, imported into the United King- dom from Foreign Countries and British Possessions, for the Year 1883 /• 24S Exports from the United Kingdom, Franee, Germany, and United Stales, classified as Food, Raw Material, and Manufactures. 17. Statement showing the Value of the Exports of British and Irish Produce in each of the Years 1870, 1880, and 1883, classified as Articles of Food, Raw Materials, and Manu^L^cturcd Goods //. 249 to 255 iS. Statement showing the Proportion of Food, Raw Materials, and Manufactured Articles in the Domestic Exports of France for each of the Years 1869 and 1S79, compiled from the French official returns //. 255 to 258 19. Statement sliowing the Proportion of Food, Raw Materials, and Manufactured xVrticles in the Domestic Exports of Germany for eacli of the Years 1S69 and 1879, compiled from the official returns of Germany ........ //. 258 to 260 20. Statement showing tlie Proportion of Food, Raw Materials, and Manu- factured Articles in the Domestic Exports of the United States for each of the Years 1870 and 1880 (Years ended 30th June), compiled from the official returns of the United States . . . //. 261 to 263 A/iseellancoiis. 21. Statement showing tlie Population, Public Debt, Imports and Exports of the Australian Colonies and the Dominion of Canada, for each of the eleven years ended 1883 ..... //. 26410267 22. Summarized StatisticsofthePopulationof the United Kingdom, and their condition from 1840 to 18S4— as far as the same can be given. /. 26S 2l6 APPENDIX. TABLE I. statement of the I'alitc oj the Exports of British and Irish Produce from the United Kingdovi, and of the Amounts and Proportion Exported to Foreign Countries and British Possessions respectively, in each of the Years from 1856 to 18E3 inclu- sive; in thousands of pounds, i.e., 100 ^= 100,000. Exported to Foreign Coun- E.\ported to British Pos- Total Value tries on ly. sessions only. .,. of Exports of British and Irish ^^^^- Produce. Amount. Per Cent, of Total. Amount. Per Cent, of Total. £ L £ 1856 115.827 82,527 71-2 33,300 28-8 1857 122,066 84,911 69-6 37.155 30-4 1858 116,609 76,386 65-5 40,223 34-5 1859 130,412 84,268 64-6 46,144 35 '4 i860 135.891 92,226 67-9 43,665 321 1861 125,103 82,858 66-2 42,245 33-8 1862 123,992 82,097 66-2 41,895 33-8 1863 146,602 95,723 653 50,879 347 1864 160,449 108,735 678 51,714 32-2 1865 165,836 117,629 70-9 48,207 29'I 1866 188,917 135.198 71-6 53.719 28-4 1867 180,962 131,162 72-5 49,800 27*5 1868 179,678 129,813 72-2 49.865 27-8 1869 189,954 141,881 747 48,073 25-3 1870 199,587 147,773 74-0 51.814 26-0 1871 223,066 171,816 77 -o 51,250 23 "o 1872 256,257 195,701 76-4 60,556 23-6 1873 255.165 188,836 74 "o 66,329 26-0 1874 239,558 167,278 69-8 72,280 30-2 1875 223,466 152,374 68-2 71,092 31-8 1876 200,639 135-780 677 64.859 32-3 1877 198,893 128,970 64-8 69.923 35 "2 1878 192,849 126,611 657 66,238 34 '3 1879 191,532 130,530 68-2 61,002 31-8 1880 223,060 147,806 66-3 75.254 337 I88I 234,023 154,658 66-1 79.365 33*9 1882 241,467 156,641 64-9 84,826 35'i 1883 239,799 156,322 65-2 83,477 34-8 APPENDIX. 217 TABLE II. Statement 0/ the Value 0/ the Total Exports of British and Irish, and Foreign and Colonial Produce /rom the United Kingdom, and 0/ the Amounts and Proportion Exported to Foreign Countries and British Possessions respectively, in each of the Years from 1856 to 1883 inchtsii'e ; in thousands of pounds, i.e., 100 = 100,000. Exported to Foreign Coun- Exported to British Pos- tries or ly. sessions only. Years. Total Value of Exports. Amount. Per Cent, of Total. Amount. Per Cent, of Total. £> £ £ 1856 139,221 102,525 73 '6 36,696 26-4 1857 146,174 105,738 72-3 • 40,436 277 1858 139,783 96,570 69- 1 43,213 30-9 1859 155,693 106,042 68-1 49,651 31 9 i860 164,521 117,988 717 46,533 28-3 1861 159,632 "4,493 717 45,139 28-3 1862 166, 16S 120,744 727 45,424 273 1863 196,902 141,932 72-1 54,970 27-9 1864 212,588 156,892 73-8 55.696 26-2 1865 218,832 167,285 76-4 51,547 23 '6 1866 238,906 181,738 76-1 57,168 23 "9 1867 225,802 172,440 76-4 53,362 23-6 1868 227,779 174,061 76-4 53,718 23 "6 1869 237,015 185,123 78-1 51,892 2 1 "9 1S70 244,080 188,689 ITZ 55,391 227 1871 283,575 228,014 80-4 55,561 19-6 1872 314,589 248,980 79-1 65,609 20 '9 1873 311,005 239,857 77-1 71,148 22-9 1874 297,650 219,740 73-8 77,910 26*2 1875 281,612 204,957 72-8 76,655 27-2 1876 256,777 186,627 727 70,150 27-3 1877 252,346 176,594 70*0 75,752 30-0 1878 245,484 173,491 707 71,993 293 1879 248,783 182,274 73-3 66,509 267 1880 286,415 204,887 71-5 81,528 28-5 1S81 297,083 210,402 70-8 86,681 29-2 1882 306,661 214,323 69-9 92,338 30-1 1883 305,437 215,036 70-4 90,401 29.6 2t8 Appendix. TABLE 111. Statement of the Value of the Iiit/>orts of Merchandise into the United Kingdom, and oj the Amounts and Proportion/roDi Foreign Countries and British Possessions respectively, in each of the Years from 1856 to 1883 incltisic'e ; in thousands of pounds, i.e., 100 ^ 100,000. Imported from Foreign Imported from British Countries only. Possessions only. Total Value of Imports. Years. Amount. Per Cent, of Total. Amount. Per Cent, of Total. £ £ £ 1856 172,544 129,517 75'i 43,027 24-9 1857 187,844 141,661 75 '4 46,183 24-6 1858 164,584 125,970 76-5 38,614 23-5 1859 179,182 139,707 78-0 39,475 22 "O i860 210,531 167,571 79-6 42,960 20 '4 1861 217,485 164,809 75-8 52,676 24-2 1S62 225,717 160,434 7I-I 65,283 28-9 1863 248,919 164,235 66 -o 84,684 34-0 1864 274,952 181,208 65 "9 93,744 34-1 1865 271.072 198,231 73-1 72,841 26-9 1866 295,290 223,084 75-5 72,206 24-5 1867 275.183 214,449 77-9 60,734 22"I 1868 294,694 227,700 77 '3 66,994 227 1869 295,460 225,044 76-2 70,416 23-8 1870 303,257 238,425 78-6 64,832 21-4 1871 331,015 258,071 78-0 72,944 22 'O 1872 354,694 275,321 77-6 79,373 22 '4 1873 371,287 290,277 78-2 81,010 21-8 1874 370,083 287,920 77-8 82,163 22 "2 1S75 373,940 289,516 77-4 84,424 22 '6 1876 375,155 290,822 77-5 84,333 22-5 1877 394,420 304,866 77-3 89,554 227 1878 368,771 290,835 78-9 77,936 21-1 1879 362,992 284,049 78-3 78,943 217 1880 411,230 318,711 77-5 92,519 22-5 1881 397,023 305-483 76-9 91,540 231 1882 413,020 313,589 75-9 99,431 24-1 1883 426,892 328,210 76-9 98,682 23-1 Al'PENlJlX. 219 TABLE IV. Statement of the Total Value of Imports and Ex/>orts oj Merchandise into and from the United Kingdom, and of the Amounts and Proportion from and to Foreign Countries and British Possessions, in each o/ the Years from 1856 to 1883 inclu- sive ; in thousands oy/ounds, i.e. 100= 100,000. Total Value Im ported from, Total Value Im sorted from, and E.\ported 0, Foreign and Exported to, British Total Value of Countries only. Possessions only. Years. Imports and Exports. Amount. Per Cent, of Total. Amount. Per Cent, of Total. £ £ £ 1856 311,765 232,042 74*4 79,723 25-6 1857 334,018 247,399 74-1 86,619 259 1858 304,367 222,540 73-1 81,827 26-9 1859 334,875 245,749 73-4 89,126 266 i860 375,052 285,559 76-1 89,493 239 1861 377,117 279,302 74-1 97,815 25-9 1862 391,885 281,178 71-8 110,707 28-2 1863 445,821 306,167 687 139,654 313 1864 487,540 338,100 69 "3 149,440 307 1865 489,904 365,516 74 "6 124,388 25-4 1866 534,196 404,822 75-8 129,374 24*2 1867 500,985 386,889 77-2 114,096 22-8 1868 522,473 401,761 76-9 120,712 23-1 1869 532,475 410,167 77-0 122,308 23-0 1870 547,337 427,114 78-0 120,223 22 "O 1871 614,590 486,085 79-1 128,505 20-9 1872 669,283 524,301 78-3 144,982 217 1873 682,292 530,134 777 152,158 22"3 1874 667,733 507,660 76-0 160,073 24*0 1875 655,552 494,473 75 '4 161,079 24*6 1876 631,932 477,449 75'6 154,483 24-4 1877 646,766 481,460 74"4 165,306 25-6 1878 614,25s 464,326 75 '6 149,929 24-4 1879 611,775 466,323 76-2 145,452 23-8 1880 697,645 523,598 75-1 174,047 24 '9 1881 694,106 515,885 74-3 178,221 257 1882 719,681 527,912 73-3 191.769 267 1883 732,329 543,246 74-2 189,083 25-8 APPENDIX. ■a--s w D 3 w M H 00 _fn t«,oo _t^ Vn IT) JN \p ro ps V V V V V * p tx'p CO \n '\n V V V V .1^ V V '■* < 00 00 o> w -* %^ t>» (^ m a\c> VCT tCoO 00 oo" d" vo w ro »n H. (^ li-l OS CO w^ M ^O t^ c" fO -^ (n" f^ On no' NO >n t^ t^ mNO loco CO 00 t^ fOOD ON 1 rs. ts. in G On On « vo -* M VO M lO 00 n" « ro -f T? t>* On H 00 « H ON CI OO W -^ N 00 f- 'o vd" t> in in (^ \rt -^^NO NO NO 1^ « On 00 fO m M 1^ I: in 00 tCcooo f M^ w (2 u£ M irtvo OOO 2 ONM in m 0^ O ro « tH invo OO o ^o vo tCvo oo" 00 o_ M NO O. " " NO m M CO On ON -TJ-CO t^ <-> no" no" inNo" cC " NO en N ■d- o -<*- no" tCNO 1 Q Z < J o X H Hi n 'p ro _m _« On r^ *t^ *r^ 'r^ *t>s i^No NO NO in Co s 1 i < CO o\ o\ fO -«■ r^ -d- 0*00 1^00 Ov>o_ rn m M OsvO OO '^ O ro in N M cT "? ^ hT o" 00 rONO ro '^^ m tN^ in \n t^ NO -J-NO CO NO -tf^ in in d" m « ci s ro m M 5 N O^ N ^1 '^ en t^ N cS cj; o" o" "" On -<1- (N VO tN. Os t^ -^ ro ro t^ i^ M m f t^NO_^ rn ro N M On On On On On O NO o m in CO c5n CTn o - C ra ?^ 00 >o * m ro i-~ C O N oo in T^ N m in ON M^OO OO OS On eg M On fO t^ n H. t^ O On 1)- CO M_ T)- NO^NO" inNO no" 0^ l^ r^NO NO no"" no" o ON < w o "mViTiH •o ^p r^OO 00 M 'S NO m On On M ■„ ■„ ■„ ■„ ■^ _ONp .^ 'on'o 'o Z i ■s < u-ioo « \o -<*• O OsOO N OMO o vo ^ r^ ■^^ »-( Vj r^ in r^oo -t ^ l^ O" N N M W N « « ^ Os CO m M t^ Oco ■^vO W 00 N rC »-r rC T? ro •^ CO ■<- in On * o_NO_ ■*; in On CTn d\oo\D On M 00 CO O w i2 ui; t^ \nvo o O S? "^ " "C! f'^. 0» 0^ ON 0\ t^ O M OsOO ^ «o m m (N rn o in -^ moo m" m" ON d d" o. rooo m w M m w m i-i NO m t^ M cS cS cS m"" in" 00 ■♦ o- 00_ 0_ ON ON no" < en H Hi S lo p tv p m 'm 'm V V >p .■>^.ln_ON_ropo 'mVi 'rnVm ip M 00 yi __^ c i < 1 w On in invo ON Tj- u-jOO ro ds ds --^ m" i-T t^ oo'no*" S d -* ^ t^oo r^ m m C<^no_^nO_ oico" tC no" to H^ OS N^ -^ ON 00 00 ■* OsOO tN. O CO O ON (^NO muD o> c^ o \ovo"oooo''oo'" o 6\ CO ON On m N M r^ inNO C7i no" -NyNo" tC tC ro m w t^ NO r- en M t~. VO" m in 00 X OS t^ t^ On 0^ vo" moo lo o N fO cT cT m m On m m o N NO ^ O On On cT cT cT cT CO NO C3N CO CjNO rn H. NO On en c<" C4" NO vo r^oo (y^ 0*^ VO ^ vO vo r^ OO OOOO 00 00- t 3 M pj m Tt- irjt "U t^ c-^ t^ t>* t>. >i CO CO 00 00 OO- V M IH M M M 1 ^ APPENDIX. IM -°-s N rv r^ j^vD m yi f o p N M oo pv _C?> Ov _-< p - O' c» CO "-Ih Vo Vn w Vo ro 'm « M (N M M M w b b b '" H M b M M 1 O* M ■<^ ro ON vo • O 2 j=g VO 00 vo rn h* O* ro N "TO in m * •<• - w CO M 1^ m m ov loco M 8 m r^ Ov ^vo vo invo ^j in M Ov t>. N cs in ov vo_ N M_ M_ o_ cS W ■S «£ tC tC^o" CO pT t^ m fi m •o" m Cl " L-||l| ro row n "^ vo in M ov rv. •* -1* •*■ Ov Cl -^ „ (O I^ ON tn CO 0> 00 o» vo in in civo M c55" w u. U3^ S *j 2 ."*,'-' .^."^ ."^ M m'p vp in ro in in '^ ^ ^ in 00 in _m -J- r% 1 V.'rnrornrr^ 'm *IN N V) N N Vi N "n 'rn'mVi '" Vi "ci "c. " ^ in r^ rnco t-. 'O m r>. i^ Ov m N vo r^ Ov - 00 H r^ On in Ov r^ '^ (^ CI o ■<*- rv 00 -)■ r^ 0_ rn c-. N en § S? q^M CO « ^ U~l vq_ •^ q; ^ *0 H <: 00 vo t^ t^ t^ tC vrrocroo rCvcT vo" vifvo od" tC cC m t^vo t-. S^ Exports ot British Produce. invo r^oo CO ";* r-. o\ moo (^ m inMoo vo ov m o m (J 0>\0 xn ON ON m rn m ov Ov « « -^ vo ti vo" ONVO (^ 00 in tC t^ t^ in Ovvo 1^ w r^ in in cC bCvo" CO ^rvo vd^v^Tvo vo en in C — u Mill t^^ o CO w t^ ON t^ t'v -i-oo -i- CO It t-^\0 0\vO oo •*- rnco in in inoo in Ov r. vo ^ •}• Cl "T \r, en -^ Tf Th m in ■»- -a- a (ii u£ " Cl " ■^^ S°""=' OSVO vo M vo oo 1 N Os-p ^^ JN ^ m _-^ r^ 1^ 5 ""Ih •« ■« •« "row " « 'm '« N Vi M ■" •c J M m o n "m~ VCO M -4- 00 Ov m m l^ 00 vo m n H c N O.VO rr OS NO M r>.vo c^ « m * Tf m Ov M vo Ov 3 s? °;« °; ". ". NO t^ in t^ M " "^ "t ° '2 o g vo in lo t-^^o tC tCocT rCoo" ov oo tCvfTvO vo ■v^ t^ C^OO o J < < m " 3 ."= " m w t^ 01 w ■r, inco Tj- r^ ^ Ov OS Tf Tf- tn Ov M N ^ (-. rooo M vo t^ o in Tf r^vo 00 « vo oo ro S.'o:=-3 S?°°_°° 0. ". ". ^^ cj in Tj- fo r^ ■^ vo Cl ro OS -^ VO_^ vO_ -^ -<_ in rr" fc- o m t mvo IT, ^\0 rCvo vd" vo vo" in 4 in vo"vO tC c> " m " o a "3 "re ?! CO ■<- N 00 M f^, H 00 00 -^ fO Tf M M vo Q ^ moo in 5 lo. r^vo m I°ftll 00 H in !:> N t*^ m (N On o v.^ O^ 0^ OS 0^ q^ ", CO H^ M^ en -<}; t ^ M^ o_ q_ ov OD OS 0_ " vo o" w' i2 iji L o^- M ;) moo p "T" 00 p ,r^ C\ t>> rn « 00 t^oo in M t^O "7~ r§H M b b bv'o\ b M On On On Ov b M b b b bi b b C3s"ov b 1 „ » M •^ •^ ^■ t^ (N -^ t^ ro M OO N NO On N (^ -^vo 00 M Ov vo OO m H C3 Ov N M r^oD OO Ov ONOO ON 5 vo CMn OS § s? -^ q, 'O ". '^ ^ m N M m CN ^ q_vo_ in in Ov •^ r^ <*■ o u z s < ^STE^??; " moo ON r^ ro « m M f 1 -* " Ov invo'vo' tC N M M M N ? o" oi cS I i3 J5 5 SSS^? NO On IN t^ ■vj- VO m in OS ^ r. « OD < S O vo On fv in Ov 00 m c< CO Ov 1 "^ V^ r^ M vo -^vo "^ o M N m ro "•r q^ c)^oo_ qv in t^ Ov ^ vn ' '^r w «a: m" N 0~ m" m" t>* 00 r-. t^vo in vo" ■-? -v? -^ in vo tC rC 1 <^ m 00 C-. !^ ports of eitfn nd iduce. t^ M « OS CO « m ^ ONin ro ■* M M Ov t^ N vo t^ N 00 Ov Q vo ro -d- M On 0\ ^ M m t^vo o- Ov -vf r^ in m ^ l^ 1 w i2 u£ **■ 2 M M 2 1 -""" = vi "" = = " vg M^ w ^ s — ^ /— -^ — ^ >_ .^ ■73 vo f«.00 Ov OlS v5 vo vo vo t^ J, CO CO OD CO CO — _S S M « t-^ » vn>0 « SO r^co o> Ov 4> r^ t^ r>. c^co 5 "> M M m e2 i) t~ t^ I^ IN. tV^ JJ 2 -' U OOOO CO >, OOOOOOOOCO— s U « " ~ M H rt-5 >H (COOCOOOOO- M OOOOtO J »1 M H t3 o > .o 3 > « "* ■:< "^ * i *■ O APPENDIX. 1 b b b b b b OO M _0\iO lO b ■« b b b b ino vo * M b b b b b b po ■<- m b b b so b S f •*■ u^ ■* O>cooo m in S3 " "t " t"i lO r" M OO r^ "^ If m M fn rn c^oo 00 fT rn fT m" w" 2 OS »-< H Ov >0 PI OS ooo « ■* in & pn R ■* OS M_00 OS o >o N « O M in N moovo S? "^ "t " " "^ O ■«• rn in fT cT cT m" m" o" H vo o (~ m OWO tK. ■* M o\ c«^ pn r-, m oin m 00 OS P^ ^ n-ivo m -d- (^ >o r-. in PI so >o CO ^?^ so OS X u H H^ 00 « p^p^^ b V, b b ■-, p 00 « M oco M M w b p- b oo «p in ;^oo b b b b b so b OS O .P^ b "■ b OS b 3 1 o fn rn >i- 1-^ r^oo ci -d-vo (^00 in t^ •*vO ^ OS Tt- cT m m cT m" m M m osvo so M OS tTso 0_so Pl^ 0_ M_ ■If p^ PI OS pT f^ pT p^ m -a- m o 'i- in w vo ON t>. m" m" «" w" oT 8 00 in iH r^ " -^-vo m o « rn r^ m" cT i >0 N H O OS -i- O OS in « Os in IH OS OS o pT rn cT -1- S ^^^Svg^S 1- rn N •* ^ m c^ OS OS O OS p^ 222°^ S- so so PI OS so m PI Os <; H H -O .^ p .PO .- ro yi in r^ in .- _^ in in -J- -^ PI rn -rt- ro .- 3 £ <: CO (^ 0\ w -+ tCio lo tC lo ?^ moo t^ -^ 1^ i^ r^oo M ■<*- m c>oo •-. PI p^ ■*so m OS m o so" pC pC so" w°«l ^j w^^D^ rn ov m rC in invo" lo 1 d ■s- inoo o. t^ PI -^ t-^vo pj in in\o oo ^ O O'co m N N m t^oo oo Ov 0\ invo vo in lo in inxff ■»f cj; PI so so 00 soco^so so" so" SO w b di , ^ moo r^vo r^ t^ fO « M CO ro 1> M -<*- w rn 5s CO r^ PI ^ fn 1 in z ^I'l ro r^ ■* f^oo b 2 2 '» 2 (^ VO VO CO CO o V> V H b CO p 't^ *h-. K b 'm OS .^"P p 1^ n 3 < * CI CO lO -co" M co'S. ^ moo Ooo PI as o o\ mvo \o Osso M oo" invo" pT in m ^ m m N 1 CO <> tC in tC 'm t^ t^ p^ so"oo"so" o 00 p^ in PI 00 PI fn t^ Tj-vo P) t^ in PICO ro i->. in w in \o^ T? o" o" SO m Os t^ r^ p^ Os rn c> o" rC so in ^ O ■* M rn cT cT «" cs" Tj- in M -^\o ■<*- vo r^ PI OM> "It "1. "^ ^ 1 •^ in ro rn ro m c> o t^oo OS oo 0^ 0\ (^ in ON M o r^ fo pT in tN t^ pxco oo fOso OS p^ m vo" pC Os so 1 . UK. ] » M m If in ' Us ^ '7" 5 « PI po <^ oooo ca 1 o ' t^ tN. r^ ^23^ = 1 APPENDIX. 223 m 2 H z u z 5 u. J -J- ^ Tf * -r 1 1^00 M N m t-N e4 vo 00 1 n « •* « 00 -«-oo 00 vooo ts q^ rs rs Tf-OO M tsvO ts to 8v U5 U 5 H z u H u. M X H H N 'cj M '« CO n .Ov.m _M _n vp ro VVn N N « OD CO CTv p •«• m vo C? rC in in cT M m t^co t- 0_ b S^vo ►Too" n" cSvo" m m ■* fn m 00 vo m M vo in t?v ^ Ovco ts in ts m in i-T 0" -f vo VO 0! m S) mm* g l^ mvo M N N N « !• vo ■v^oo moo tC rovo" fn t-T 00_ vo Q Ov vo « 6 vo oj ~oo 00 ©"vo" inco" vo dv vo m ov pT fovo 2 e -s ai ^ mvo t^ w OS Ov Ov f^ •-• \o r-, ^ T*- Tf 4^ T? in in in C3SVO r- m rsvo M^ CO ts m tsoo « vo P) i- ts qv vO_ b Z < PL. -< H (S^sl t--co in r^^r^ b b b b b 1^ b vp _r^vo U-) o> b b b b b b b M H H M •^ « 00 o> w b b i < s?^^ S- ? 5 vo vo t^ -1- T)- * ■^ -*-0O vo Ov t^ « 00 n in m" tT m" m" n" cS N VO rs rn O.vo Ov " M -^ Ov OvOO in 0" ■2 J5 tC It- M m 00 VOGOCO vo in qvvo « -«; 00 qv ro mvo 00 w m M ro Ov W vo vo « m" « cT n m CX3 in ov rs pT pT pT vo c/1 C "S «J ^ ^ M 2 ;j"S >d M vo ■«■ M * vo 00 00 m OS Is OS « in in ov in w ^ CO CMn o_. g s U 1 al S "P _■♦ _N vo ■p 00 pv OD CO p M p< p; .- ^ .- c i < 00 N >0 m " N 00 ^ V^ «_ "^ -^ o> rn in invo vo'■vo■ 0" vo f^ fn l^ Ov f^ M in ctn c^oo oco vo'vo" in -f in VO_ c> M m tsvo q; "_ Oi£ u rs rs rs rsco n 00 00 CO 00 03- M - « - -^ - b 224 APPENDIX. < s z X H 2 n h 00 b b\V^oo ^ vo Co V%00 OS Vn .M >p .0 .M .N b-b b 'osM b ^Tj- CS b b b bs < t^ -J- I^ w 0\ t.^vo OD^ "^ "^ 9, o\ t mso TMn in o°§- fn?s; OS cS cT in >n 00 t^ OS OS inco sO_SO_^so_ r-, o_^ rnso" -^ cT cT M « M N m 1^ ds o"Si°° Os d On W «l in N ■* M m-o 0\ OS ^ H T)- M so °„ t " 9, " oo'oo" w" Tp ^ 1 1 inoo t^ in H so ■0- Os ■* ■^ in t^ N oo ds d; m" w i2 u£ vo ■* H in o\ i^^ q^ q^ OS r-. so osin -*• os in M so in -)- OS 0_^ OS rn rn W w C) In. tNOO CO ■^ tN, CO so" M Sii dw H en D < H '^Bh ;>4- OS .OS IN os.m Vn Vi) i> V> On ^ yioo N \n VnCO 00 t^vo 00 bsoo Cd c i so -^ mso OS -^ »H Ti- oj so w NO tN. Tt-NO Ooo tN N NO '^ ■rt- in in On [N. ON ^ ►^ rCco M W M M M N H Os OS ^00_ 1 rn c> IN m t? ■a- m ■«^ M NO On O H vo O -^ cf ^4^ tC c5n ON On J' N NO Tj- M H NO N u-i N C3n rC cji c^No^No oo inso rn rn N OS w (2 u£ ■ oo -^ t^ t^ tj Q* t^ OS OSOO so M MD ■* M ro CO 00 Pi ON IN. (N. (N QsNO CO so c5s Tj-so m oo N so 0_SO_^ so ds Q <; St a< 23 "'a J2cq H s H ^£i° c ■: ■: ■: c .- •" •« -H ■: ■: . ■:■:■:■:■: - p M .ri .- 3 ■< H CJ VO OOO (^ ON m t^ IN. in S t-s w so o m o-oo t^ m tv. rn en ro CO fO N 00 M IN. On r^ ON ■* Tj- t~ t- m so m OS Tj- i^ so 00 0\ ITIOO t m in moo m OS rn « w_ OS 1 IN. rn tN.vo 00 OO NONO oo (n" cT c7 cT pT ■^ OS t^ H t^so OS V^ ro (N O IN. ^ r-. m w in in o -)■ en CO m m m sO_ O^NO In, NO CO so IV^ S <: o 5 S <: H O z X H P5 H H^ M p yij^ H .OS .« "p .0 .^ .Tj- rn rn Vi rn rn m VnVo N 'w 'en .OS en 'en 'en ^ c 3 < W « O Th o m tN oo (J tN. t^ in o\ m ^ tCvo" in in tC M en rn N_so Os M OS O OS o c5s ■«■ NO vo tJ- OsVO 0^ « M In oToo tCvo oo" C3S 00 en S o 2 .c g w vo -^ inco vfiT in '■? uSvo" l-~ rn O c-1 t^ N iH so_ rn 0_ oT c5"qo os ds m CO m tN. in On in M m tt CONO -3- Tj- In. tC tCvd" in tC so M so M in -* t^ M ocT ds ds so" IcIllJ ^ t^yD w in 5 CO CO IN. r>.co OS 0_ in H ^ osso in rn in r^ ■»!- 00 M t^co so f CO fn In. ■* Is, vo ^ C> IN. vo vo invo 00 CO t; en 'l- Osco in oo OS Os NO t^CO ON Ot. \0 VO NO NO t>. r 3 3 u 1^ t^ r^ t^ 1^^ W CO CO coooco- ^ ^ ^ vo rNOO On Oi5 i In. tN. IN. tN.00 = J ' r: oo ooco o H ■a c « APPENDIX. ■25 en HO s« O'-U (J to (/) ss gi OH JS ?ocr d" ON cS d\ CO 00 r^oo Os vo r-. inco vo \o mvo ino o_ <^„ "_ "^ "t fOvd* iri oi ro M IN N M tc cr, 0\ ^ rOvO "O 00 CO 10 ON 0\ 0» N I fO r^ « vo Ov •<■ r^ ^ £ cj. M c'l « r* a.'o|c|-a CO -.r ^ a^ (0 '^°°, "^ "^ 't! d^ ' ^r>. ff vo ov^ov M n *ov b N vb i^ M rn - -^ CO r^co 00 1^ i3 a ■<; ?< a. s; c o-o w i2 ui 00 m fo o\ tN. ^VO IT) M rs. N Tj- ov m M »n M rovo rn 0_^1M vo^ vn ^ in ^ in in 'R M ov invo ro 0\ (N in f-^ 10 in in invo VO^ vo N * ro in OV rC t-^vo~ o_ 5 in in (n W en tn cu K (n H 2 w K H H 5; • f^ V V Vi Vo V .0 00 c^co in M P V rovo « H M V V V V V V P 'P .'^ V rn ."1 P v vo 00 VO M lo t^ Oj f^^ -"t oiocToo'co" m" H N m I-. two ro in 0" M N rn m" d; H N --t-CO Ov m N ONoo r-- T^ ro r^ m" m" 0" 0" ^ M M M M M ^ ■0 r~.vo f; 0_ rn o_ ov i2 j= S fN. m M (Jlocr tC tC o' t^ vo CO vo ^ m '^^ w m r^ r^ Ov 0" m" n" 0" t^ m COCO t^ 0" 0" di ON d tn 1 Ov rl vo N 0" 0" 0' vo" . a\ t^ On ■* M S3 r*^ ''I- tN,. rN 0_ in « vo 0- Th Ov Ovoo 1 Ov ■<^ M 00 Ov 0» Ov •-< 0_ o_ Q m ovvo t^ CO N rn ■«: 4 in \ -a- m vo 00 m t- vo in ■* m N ■f ■* invo" t^ 1 N 00 Ov t^ VO rCco" in Th OD vo in IN Ov rn M M t^ m m ov cT r^> -^ --t^ T? s Ovvo m Cr, rn M^ ovco vo ■vf -^ -^ invo" 1 $ In rC rC -r s^vS ?:vg^R.3" 00 t^oo M M 1-1 w ro -4- -^ tN. *n t^vo l^vo N - CO •* vo m ■«• CJv \o i^co a^0^2 3 M 0* ro -^ ini2 vDvo^vot^ (U t^t^rNrv tx^"* ., ^ ^ _ ' vo t-.CO 0\ I, «J r^ ^. t^ ^,03 X M 00 00 0000- I ^ 3 I ' COCO CO f* M M e2 •d 126 APPENDIX. H G w "o,* 'P M \0 P hv tN. .f p 'p 00 00 p\ M bO t". * N co'« 'm 'n '« '« rn On n". in 3 J •O O^CO On m ts.vo lo in in CO in in M On 1 NO m" -"no'co" (5 no" OD NO 0> MOO en r-. o_^ On rC 0" * > III S(-« 03 ;n M -p M ■;; M inp p CO r^ p _r^ m p p .;f p N CO p a c 3 C M r^ t^ i^ t^ 8 d" fo 'i-vo .<^ in 0_ .a; 0_co_ in t^ in^ invo 00 .N^ On o" •<*■ w m --i- ^ in t^ t^ t^ .^00 t^ -^co tCNo" -N? ro ro .<*- P) in 1^ mNO M 00 -a^ ■^ ^ tn ^Ih CO M ;^ ;* cT) c T^_(^l p p « r « CJnOnoO 'm 'h '0 'O "0 On '0 00 CO 00 b '0 '0 " J -J- rl « N Ci ^ ^ ^ ^ m (n On ON P4 1^ in t^ ^ -<- ^ ro --l- NO On PI III -t^ D S ° " a, =,6 t^OO CO N t'v '« '« V) VoVo p M .i--.in." p V 'm Vn V V On f-m'l-p _t^ ■^ ONVOOO "« 'rn'm i t^ IT) u-i >- CO m tn OS -"i- 'n5 ^ ^ "-. N m N CO rn ro rn in Tf CO On r^io ^ T^co 00 PI ir. rn pT pT 0" m" moo in C^ n ih" -f no' t^ c < •J O p ,op^.^'^ V "rO Vo V V ■ «" m" in On (^ tn - lo z: £p VO VO vo "O lO ■o 00 _•>»■ _T)- ,J-00 vo ■p .1^ *p On inNO NO VO in y p jN m p NO s •< -n (N t^ t^vo vo m N ^ CO W OncO On On 0\ w ■^ m m r^ P^ ^ §H vo CO ^ m\o i ct _on ^t^ ^r^ yi *c^o 'in 'in 'm NO _I^Np CO _-!• On '^i- 'in '•<*• '.^ 'en "^nwZ •!^ i 3 i < u-i r^ w in M ci CO in t^vo (^vo CJ ^ m 8 a-. M On m Oi w PI CO CO r^ rn M On t^ r^ -f "' O" 0" 00 0" in C< rf p^ r- -«- f. en in M CO CO rC pT tC LnNo' rr o" & 4^ w" 0' § M N CO * in.O i ; "S M " 'S 'S "rt -5 "^ ; < '[-■ 'tl ? 2 ' ooooco f^ - coooco rs HUM p. - 2 vo ^ ^ ^O t^ i !) 1- i NO t-CO C3N ,£ J t^ t^ p^ P^OO APPENDIX. 227 J; ^2 c •n p-. tn PI \o \r, K V^vb CO (^ r^ t^ t^ t^ t^ t^ CO 'c%co r^ t^ i^ r^ c^ c^v r^ in CO Cs .rn u-i K V-oo 00 t^ t^ r^ r^ c^ t-. p- sc sb so j CO "* ^ Cf ^ 1^ -T "^ ^^ ? ?r ^fo M M P~ so t~. N t^ 01 " CO CI <7s in co' in t^ ds M so j.n ^ •? 0" -rco OS O-CO M M f1 « C4 fl d. fO OS 0' h' cj o* ^gj! 00 s'^p^p fo Vj Vj 'roVn b CO M ^ en p b W'm'ro .f in _t^ p ,^ _r^ "m CO U-, f~. :." a I < ro f lo N o\ " r^ ^ t^ N 00 -I- m -sf ■* OS ro cT 0" r^J C7>oJ -St- 00 en ■*- M m w w cjs fn fo tC ds ^ 'F M -r ^ --t- tt in 2 b soils' 0" d.00" 0_ r, < 0. < '0 b b b 1 b 1 b b b b b b b b b b b b b b 1 ro c 3 a ThOO H IJ-IO 1^ t^ M 00 vo OS so' Os -ii- H moa 00 so 1^ r^ M M m m CO 00 t^ -<*- Os w « m CO N in ro so t^so •«- m 1 so - ro 1^ Ct so SO r^-o < 'o "m "m m m ^^ »p t.^ ^-^ p sp "m m Vn 'm Vn .* p ,-^ f-v p OS _•* •«•:•: i < fO t^ M w ^0 OH OS Oi 0" so -st-so 00 M H M OssO N N -9- N OS ■t;so_^ O^OD^ 00 so N so 00 ro ro 1^ Os M 0' S :3 a: u P-. »- . "rt ro _M ^^-p •h ■:■:■:■:■: •h M ■« M b b r b b b ." i N H ro w WOO Oco t ^ r^ -* ONOO fl2 8Sc? OS N c» moo CO 4 in -f -F r>. M t>, M Os ro ro OS roco in so so csi foso OS in CO 00 m MSO M cT cr Cl" 1 X ^P P ^ 10 N fO _w 'p m m _" C P OO 'p p M M b b '« b OS b I^X 00 b b ■^ c 6 < moo t~~ inoo ^ H so CO N (^ OS Tf cnvO^OO OS 00 N ^ « so Os OSSO OS l~> in r-. t^ iH CO in ■p .rorofo .;f sp p -i- " KJ N so en t^ S3 ^ ^ t ^ "- ^ r^ in t^ <^-o so ^f gl OS SO ^ 'J q^ ^ so' Os cC rC c^ so OS CO irs M " r^ Tj- in inso M C-TSO t^ C) inso" ^ 4 in so" Cl o- ^00 ro ro -r M so'sO-^" 'P OS ^Os-O ,-+ .^ ■■?' CO 'in ON b CO °l PI _r^ ci .ro p b bsVini) M 1- ro b < Tfso N ro in in rrso t^ ■ jCO inco ^so H rn N OS ^ ■* -1- 1- -^ Joso S. OS OS M so ^co in „' 4 „' r?, cS SO in t^ r^so Os OS so so 00 ^ 00 «^ ON *o so t^CO OS ,, so so so so r^ 3 3 5 M N m -*• m, w t^ t^ r^ t^ t^ H CO 00 00 00 00- 5 z ^ ► 3 rt \o t^oo ON », 4> r-. t^ r-. t^oo >4 OOOOCOOOOO- 4* M « M « W *- « ro i3 n 2 1' 2 228 APPENDIX. S » o- a «i o i^^J II «1o § I s ^ ^ s « *i a 5; t^ ^ S •S.^X tS^ « o 8 .,-"1 t S;~ § PQ •S5 5 Total Imports i'rom horek.n Countries and British Possessions. 88888 8 88888 8 88888 8 888 8 c i < O ro -J- t^ ^ S tC o^ S ? in * h« m 3 vo N " 5 w" .*; M~ o" r^ fO li^ i^ r-^ t^ ON m M (N in w t^ On ro tH T^ t>. ON c< in ^co" cT >^ t^ C-NO NO M m f-1 m m "f 00 NO cT On ro w ON M C4 ro -^ Tj- *i- 2 ° § 1 « N « C? W s p ^.*CO f) -p S •"^•""C 'm ■'" S M >-- vi «0 -«*• -*vo C( '^ T)- m ro ^ o^ m H .«j- N d\ m" cT "? r^ r^co oo co •a- On m -f NO m ON en m On ON in -f cS rCco cT 00 CO C^ rv On •^ M ^ u-i .a-NO_ On 0> On M- OTHER British Possessions. < v! C^ •?? ^ U-J M M ^t^ M _o- CO rn in r.^ .c^ C .-1- .1^ in v! M \o t^OO 00 vo oo o- i^ m ^^ o; °; ". "0 ^ ^ r^o 03 CO 00 o o" rv « 01 M lO t.^ m i^ M in t^ in i-~ co' o" «" o" m" N "1- NO_ in M OnoO On O' rn C? 0~ -" m « m On '^ ai -T d' NO Q wo?; 0,2 < •< O* '^p\n V V V 'm 'm 00 ON.m t^ H c) 'm in ini) i) .On NO NO NO ir, 5 < ^Iflll O NO moo On inNO_ iN_ in >n .^ in rCoo~ o" NO NO « N in in ro C7N I^CO OnnO m" m" o" - in in inio t>. t^ ro ON W ON no" in in a "§H r r s^ P P V. .;;^.-.-.o .On CO CO .t^ON'p " .tJ-nD .m S < ci oo\o m m>ovooo Tf t,^ rnoo in On ON \o uS^T in in o" CO ^ r^co M " n On - - O* M t^ If CO m m ■«• 04 1, H M H M « « •-• - M d b .''' P _fO N _M M OnoO no 00 CO CO 00 <>co u (2 000 .■^ c y u .^ .'^ y^ .'^ .^ 10 « >0 « ro N ro CO 0000 ^. 00 ON ONOO m V. N N N M N N N N « N « « >H M » M M M « M H Oh ■C ji S .t^ p CO p CO t^ C-I ^ ty^ yf- .0 N M .«■ N CO NO fj I^NO Pu5 M "2 M » M :r M ;:;?!^2^g 1^ Sir's NO c & u .'^'?^ .'^ ."^ ." y^ CO NO •-■ " ON C] M .+ 00 03 On CO ho u -^ 'I- 'I- ^ T^ ■i- m ro ri w a N CI CI » - « - ■« lA w ii S7 c h j< N " w CI M OD NO On t^NO 00 ^ Z p i- N N M CI W w M cj w rt CI N n d M H „ *N-i *M M D H u J ^ P tp p\ M ON p 00 00 t^ CO Onco no m -^ NO NO UNNO oo u ^ (S « M M M M '^ M M M ^ iS 5 0\ ^r"P ." in 00 ON 0. M ■* -a- r»l On « CO w On a2 £ m in ■«-■«■ ■<■ ■4- ■«■■*■«• m "* r<1 •<- m -'- -~■- -■— ^•-v 1866 1867 1868 1869 1870 For the ive Year t^ (^ t>v r^ t^ ^^ NO t^OO On ^fi £% """'^'^l.> 00 00 00 00 CO t,oo Hb ►t. Cb 2.^0 APPENDIX. ^ 1 £ §88888 8 88888 8 88888 8 O 2 2 2 8 CH (2 ,ji 1 — "f .2 g N CO " .0 p p Ov t^ CO p -p f*. _-a-p ^-^oo pv p r^'p ro _a- ^•- ij U '-Tt- 'n Vo fn *N Vo b '•-' Vi W Vj V in V Vo %f Vj- ir,'0 tn 1"^ t-ts S CI w Cl N « « N « Cl Cl Cl CJ o P^ Oi aj k.— 3 ■g c5s 1. Vo Vo Vo Vo Vo M ." .'*.''■ .""'P tn copvN *.co jn HI ," P z*^ 'ro ■to'fo"ro"co'co * p m ."+ CO u b b b b b b b H V. M M '^ '" H N ■» " en & 2 o« H- ^ . ■■J m ■S:^ S CO >p p .r^ ;o t, o o^ o c>oo r>. M c> r^ lo u^ H in p. OD V^ V^CO 00 oo 00 00 03 "c^CO CO O Ov C3V CO H h-^ o 5 ■SE-^ 2' Cz 5 3 0.-0 o>p _io CO N O CO Ov ,-J- (T) 'P r- P" ."" .* "P ^ro _^ Cl _o 5i— fl ^ V V V 'in V "-^ '*- rj- in invo in •b Co vb Co Co Co r^ r^ t^ ""J ^IN l£ g-a ^"2 g « f^ t^oo ^p ^r-^ ^rs. t^ in in invo vp 'p irt'<2 ^ N T^ N -; ^ rt " 0-- & X ='-^ K — •S5.S J o .^/^.'*"P P^ j^ p M ." CO p •^ p M t^ r^ M Oi p piO .^ ~ "< ^ ,- .oo V^ <>oo t^Cs in v^ in Vinvo in *in '^ ro '-f "O [- o 3 Jf t^ t^ r^ (^ t^ t^ c^ r^ t^ t^ t^ C^ r^ t^ t-^ 1^ c^ t^ c^ c^ t^ (^ 2 U,o Pk !CJ I d "> w J: b£-H g t^__^N p p% CI P COpvcoOv „ _H _M _« _CO_-vl- oo oo CO CO CO to ■^ ji! - " H n Vi N Vi Cl V) VoVoVoVi Vo VoVoC) N 'o V) Cl *ro ro CJ a 5i£i P^ 5 u z D ij 2 o rt 5 _ro _-i- _ro CO _ro u b b b b b CO CO ro ■+ CO u~, -4- rf in-p ip p in .m _T^ _-j- -!j- u a b b b b b b b b b b b b b b b b b z ■^ [:^ UJ ti o .B j; p .o^.•<^ M ON p P p Vp Tf OV M CO Oivp _in ' .•* ." p t^ u. ■•J „ Vo"c4 Vo'roV* Vo 'coVoVl N N C) Von Vi n n CM V) V) Vi « ^■-N ^■-, —'^ ~'^ vo t^CO O Si ? VOVO vo O t^ -5 J^ S2 vo C^CO o o ?i S? r^ t-^ r^ r^oo -g « cScS^^e OO OO 00 " U M M M M M X- "7^ M M (1 M M ^.'7, M M 11 i- > O J> o " o J) O"^ fc-.S fe.c t^.C (^°° 1^ fe- (^ 1 APPENDIX. 231 TABLE VIII. Statement showing the Value of Iin,'>orts of Merchandise into Gcrinxny Jrom the under- mentioned Co2intries, and of Exports thereof from Germany to the same Countries in the Years 1868 to 1877, made up from the Statistics of the different Countries named (in the absence of official German statistics) by treating; the Exports from them to Germany as Imports int^ Germany, and t!ie Imports from Germany into them as Exports from Germany ; in thousands of Francs and Pounds sterling— i.e., 100 = 100,000. Imports i.nto Ger.manv fro.m Excess of IMPORTS. Ye.nrs. Gt. Brit.-»in Switzer- land. United Total of In Thou- In Thou- France. Belgium. and British India. Italy. States.* t Enumerated sands of sands of Pounds Sterhnff. F. F. F. F. F. F. F. £ 1868 215,000 107,647 808,654 5.316 110,099 1,246,716 290,160 11,606 1869 305,000 121,276 803,716 d 3,022 139.133 1,372,147 399,488 15,979 1870 104,000 138,535 708,014 % 4.774 174,390 1,129,713 365,617 14,624 1S71 199,000 209,085 971,234 To 8,171 158,079 1.545,569 529.397 ^1,176 1872 410,000 240,277 1,083,667 .s 7,600 185,101 1,926,645 662,755 26,510 1S73 463,000 266,064 919.239 13.815 271,864 1,933,982 609,705 24,388 1S74 414,000 243,120 883,241 18,569 286,315 1,845,245 607,896 24,316 1875 427,000 244,272 856,539 B 23.634 226,558 1,778,003 464,312 18,572 1876 431,000 244,322 748,336 6 20,599 224,247 1,668,504 331,881 13,275 1S77 395,000 222,767 732,028 16,615 276,639 1,643,049 203,647 8,146 E.\PORTS FKOM GER.MANY T ) E.XCFSS OF Tot.iI of E.XPORTS. Years. Gt. Britain United In Thou- In Th->u. France. Belgium. and British land Italy. States. Enumerated sands of sands of India. t Countries. Francs. Pounds Sterling. F. F. r. F F. F. F. £ 1868 266,000 111,549 454,614 8,028 116,365 956,556 1869 256,000 u6, i6o 459,930 c 10,107 130,462 972,659 — 1870 103,000 121,688 386,013 > 12,917 140,478 764,096 — 1871 160,000 230,244 482,421 M 13,019 130,488 1,016,172 — 1872 358,000 168,554 481,984 u 14,884 240,468 1,263,890 — 1873 311,000 171.530 498,747 23,710 319,290 1.324.277 — 1874 315,000 166,852 499,266 27.899 228,332 1.237,349 — 1875 349,000 171.597 546,498 B 37.312 209,284 1,313,691 — 1876 389,000 195,763 528,107 U 40,089 183,664 1,336,623 — 1877 373,000 214,767 657,387 25,202 169,046 1,439,402 — — '' The values of the United States exports to Germany Iiave been reduced from currency to specie values. t The returns for the United States are for ywrs ending 30th June, 232 APPENDIX. TABLE IX. Siatciiicnt shmving the Total Value of Merchandise Imported into, and Exported from, France, in the Years 1868 to 1877, according to the French official Returns; in thousands of francs, i.e., 100 = 100,000. Note.— The figures are those of the French "Special" Trade, viz., Imports for Domestic Use and Manufacture, and Exports of Domestic Produce and Manufacture. Years. Total Imports. Total E.xports. E.xcess of Imports. In Thousands of Francs and Thou- sands of ;£ sterling. Excess of Exports. In Thousands of Francs and Thou- sands of £, sterling. 1868 F.-ancs. 3,303.700 Francs. 2,789,900 (F.513,800) \£ 20,552) — 1869 3.153,100 3,074,900 (F. 78,200) \£ 3.128; — 1870 2,781,400 2,802,100 — f F. 20,700) \£ 828 ; 1871 3,566,700 2,872,500 ( F. 694, 200 ) \£ 27,768 f 1S72 3.570,300 3,761,600 — (F. 191,300) t;^ 7.652) 1S73 3.554,800 3.787.300 — f F. 232, 500) \£ 9,300) 1874 3.507,700 3,701,100 — fF. 193,400) t;^ 7,736) 1875 3,536,700 3,872,600 — ir.33S.900) t;^ 13.436) 1876 3,988,400 3.575,600 ( F.412,800) \£ 16,5121 — 1877 3,669,800 3.436,300 fF.233,5001 I L 9,340 ) APPENDIX. 233 TABLE X. statement showing the I'alite of Imports of Mercltcindise into France from the under- mentioned Countries, and lixf'orti thereof from France to tlie same Countries, according to the French official Returns, in the i'ears 1868 to 1877, covering tlie period of tlic payment of the hidemnity to Gcrmatty ; in thousands of francs, \.&., ico = 100,000. IMPORTS. EXCESS OF IMPURTS. Years. Geiminy. Belgiuoi. Gt Fritaiii and British India. Switzer- land. Italy. United States. Tolal of Enumerated Countries. In Thou- sinds of Francs. In Thou- sind' of Pounds sterling. F. r. F. F. F. F. F. F. £ 1868 266,000 354,000 679,000 141,000 327,000 156,000 1,923,000 - - 1869 256,000 316,000 687,000 133,000 321,000 174,000 1,887,000 _ - 1870 103,000 272,000 646,000 102,000 235,000 218,000 1,576,000 - - 1871 160,000 476,000 920,000 105,000 441,000 190,000 2,292,000 189,000 7.560 1872 358,000 440,000 764,000 97,000 375,000 205,000 2,239,000 - - 1873 311,000 475,000 673,000 92,000 346,000 199,000 2,096,000 -- 1874 315,000 409,000 697,000 96,000 289,000 241,000 2,047,000 ~ - 187s 349.000 439,000 753,000 94,000 322,000 190,000 2,147,000 - 1876 389,000 404,000 789,000 110,000 415,000 265,000 2,372,000 - - 1877 373,000 1 409,000 724,000 96,000 342,000 258,000 2,202,000 — — E.XPORTS. E.XCESS OF EXPORTS. Years. Gcrnnny. lielsium. Gt. Britain and British India. Switzer- land. Italy. United States. Total of Enumerated Countries. In Thou- sands of Francs. In Thou- sands of Pounds sttrlii g. F. F. F. F. F. F. F. F. £ 1868 215,000 272,000 882,000 263,000 171,000 126,000 1,929,000 6,000 240 1S69 305,000 295,000 914,000 261,000 230,000 193,000 2,198,000 311,000 12,440 1870 104,000 311,000 849,000 263,000 201,000 307,000 2,035,000 459,000 18,360 1871 199,000 410,000 823,000 205,000 153,000 313,000 2,103,000 - - 1872 410,000 479,000 937,000 294,000 229,000 333.000 2,682,000 443.000 17,720 1873 463,000 470,000 926,000 337,000 230,000 291,000 2,717,000 621,000 24,840 1874 414,000 524,000 992,000 300,000 204,000 296,000 2,730,000 683,000 27,320 1875 427,000 527,000 1,075,000 315,000 219,000 264,000 2,827,000 680,000 27,200 1876 431,000 446,000 1,036,000 j 279,000 216,000 230,000 2,638,000 266,000 10,640 1877 395,000 446,000 1,067,000 237,000 1 185,000 217,000 2,547,000 345.000 13,800 APPENDIX, TABLE XI. Statement shmving the Value of the hitports of Merchandise and Treasure, on Private and Government Account, into British India from the United Kingdom, and Value of the Exports of the sajjie,from British India to the United Kingdom, in the Years ended yist March, 1871 to 1880 ; compiled from the official Statistics of the Indian Government ; in thousands of pounds, i.e., 100 = 100,000. Excess of Years ended Imports. Exports. 31st March. Imports. Exports. 1871 £ 29-905 £ 32,084 £ £ 2,179 1S72 33.739 33,021 718 — 1873 28,887 28,667 220 — 1874 30,888 28,832 2,056 — 1S75 35,494 27,972 7,522 — 1876 34>5i9 28,371 6,148 — 1877 39,555 29,315 10,240 — 1878 47,198 30,804 16,394 — 1879 33,140 28,400 4,740 — 1880 38,440 27,781 10,659 — Total for the 10 Years. 1 351,765 295,247 56,518 - APPENDIX. 235 TABLE XII. Statement shtnu'tng the Value nf the Imfiorts 0/ Mcixhandisc and Tirasin-r, on Private and Government Account, into Brilisk India, from the undermentioned Coun- tries ; and the Value of the Exports of the same from British India to the same Countries, in the Years ended jist March, 1871 to 1880; compiled from the official Statistics of the In^iian Gmemmcnt ; in thousands of pounds, i.e., 100 = 100,000. Note. — The figures for tlie Year-s 1871-75 in the case of the United States are esti- mates ; and for 1871 in the case of Austria and Italy are also estimates. Imports. \i ^_ Ycnrs United China and To-.-ii of Excess of 31st March. It.lly. States. lIongKongf. Coui. tries. Iinptrts. £ £ £ £ £ £ £ £ 187I 423 67 66 66 4,290 1,035 5,947 — 1872 555 122 «i5 IZ 4,014 i,o8S 5,967 — 1873 378 127 147 62 2,377 903 3.994 — 1S74 3b2 93 339 98 3,141 909 4.942 -- 1875 413 96 280 193 2,957 941 4,880 — 1876 678 118 527 201 2,901 966 5,391 — 1877 592 120 1,366 172 2,127 987 5,364 — 1878 571 120 435 280 4,031 797 6,234 — 1S79 454 122 393 349 4,039 907 6,264 — 1880 588 156 785 526 5,587 1,091 'i>,lZl> Total for the 10 Years. 5>oi4 1,141 4,453 2,020 35.464 9,624 57,716 — Years ended 31st March. riMiu-c. Austri.-l. Italy. £ L'nitcd .Stites. Cliina and Hong Kong. Ceylon. Total U ennnieratec Countries. K.vcess of lixports. £ £ £ £ £ £ £ 187I 2,013 600 700 2,232 12,333 1,620 19,498 13-551 1872 4,175 1,057 1,134 2,079 13.944 2,082 24.471 18,504 1873 2,673 1,100 954 1,821 12,259 2,314 21,121 17,127 1874 3,134 939 1,320 1,643 11,507 2,823 21,366 16,424 1875 4,449 1,321 1,112 1,886 11,751 2,497 23,016 18,136 1876 4,603 1,410 1,224 1,778 11,520 2,695 23,230 17,839 1877 5,437 1,428 1,410 1,896 13,442 3,396 27,009 21,645 1878 6,026 1,466 1,870 1,933 12,791 2,840 26,926 20,692 1879 3,947 1,395 1,673 2,038 13,677 3.7S7 26,517 20,253 1880 4,870 1,860 2,215 3.286 15,732 2,696 30,659 21,926 Total for the 41,327 12,576 13,612 20,592 128,956 26,750 243,813 186,097 236 APPENDIX. TABLE Return of the Rates of I»tj>ort duty levied in tlu principal European Countries, in the United Articles of British Produce or Manitfactnre : taken from the Parliamentary Returns, Nos. alterations. FOREIGN COUNTRIES. Gem any. Holland. Belgium Cotton Yarn (single unbleached) : Up to No. 12. Above 12 to 17 .. 17 (un ,. 23 . >> 30 . » 35 , !> 45 . )i 47 > „ 60 , ). 70 , ). 77 ) )> 79 Cotton Cloth bleached) : Weighing 13 kilo grammes and above per 100 sq mfetres : Of 27 threads or less per 5 sq. millimetres Of 28 to 35 thds. Of 36 ,,38 „ Over 38 „ Weighing from 11 to 13 kilogs. ex elusive per 100 sq. mfetres : Of 27 threads or less .... Of 28 to 35 thds. Of 36 ,,38 „ Over 38 „ Weighing from 7 to II kilogs. ex elusive per 100 sq. metres . Weighing less than 7 kilogs per 100 sq. metres Linen Yarn (sin unbleached) : UptoNo.5(Eng) 5 to 21 .> 35 ■ 36 „ 40 . 41 „ 60 . 61 ,, 119 . Above 119. i s. d. Per cwt. !• Free-; 5% adval. ;6s. d. Per cwt. -061 -082 ,-0 12 2 o 16 3 jo 4 o:i 104 I 12 6 Free. From I 4 5 to 4 I 3 From I 12 6 Free. i, s. d. Per cwt. o 16 3 From 104 104 I 12 6 104 I 12 6 From I 4 5 to 4 I 3 From I 12 6 Italy. £ s. d. Per cwt. \o 8 II j-o 10 7 \o 13 o ' o 15 10 o 19 6 14 8 1 4 5 li 6 o I > I 10 6 From I 6 10 to I 10 6 From I 12 6 C s. d. Per cwt. 061 082 £ s. d. Per cwt. -and 20% ad val. z 10 10 as above Exceed- ing 5 oz. to the sq. yard : 2jd. per sq. yard or 3d. per sq. yard, accord- ing to quality. Other unblea- ched cotton tissues 35 % ad val. 40% ad val. APPENDIX. 237 XIII. stales, and in the principal Colonial Possessions 0/ the United Kingdom, on the underntenlioned 20D and 2i8 0/ 1879, and 333 of 1881. // has not been found practicable to insert more recent COLONIAL POSSESSIONS OF THE UNITED KINGDOM. New South Wales. £. s. d. JPer cwt. £ s. d. Per cwt. Free. South Australia. £ s. d. Per cwt. Free. f I2i% ( ad val. ad val. ( ad val. 10% ) ad V..1. f ad val. 10% I ad val. ) Nf, iQueenstand. £s. d. Per cwt. Free by Law of 24 Sept. °{ 5% ad val. 5% ad va 5%, ad val. ^al. j Cape of Good Hope. £s. d. Per cwt. Under 40's 9 4 and i5%ad val. Other, 2o%adva). sq. yard, id. to id. and 15% ad val. 20 % ad val. I 10% I ad val. 10% ad val. to% ad val. 23b APPENDIX. TABLE XIII. Return of the Rates of I)ilJ>ort Duty la'ied in the f>rincipal European Countries, in i/te United A iticles of British Ai tides. FOREIGN COUNTRIES {lOiitinuedj. Ge rmany. Holland. Belgium. France. Italy. Austria. United Stales. £ s. d. £ s. d. £ s. d. £ s. d. T s. d. £ s. d. Linen Cloth (un- Per cwt. Per cwt. Per cwt. Per cwt. Per cwt. Per cwt. bleached) : 5 threads or less per 1 fo 4 loj) 5 millimetres . . fo 2 0^ ] to \ 2 ol ^ 6 to 8 threads . . ( Sail- \ II 5 ^ 1 2 4 V.O 9 5 ) / \ 9 „ II „ . . From cloth From 12 „ . . -° 3 o| J free. . 10% 1 6 5 L 35% to 13 ., 14 n • . to Other ad val. ■' I 16 7 .136 12 2 15 >, 17 ,, ■ . I 10 6 5 % ad 2 6 9 40% 18 ,, 20 ,, \ val. J 3 9 I J ad val. 21 ,, 23 ,, . . 558 ) 24 thrds, and above / V6 I II ; )■♦ I 3 ; Woollen Yarns (single unbleached) : Measuring to the kilogramme less than3o,5oometres ■\ /o 10 2 ^ 30,500 to 40,500 ,, , 40,500 ,, 50,500 ,, 14 3 From 50,500 ,, 60,500 ,, 18 3 - I 4 j 61 4 n 4 60,500 ,, 70,500 ,, 70,500 ,, 80,500 ,, 80,500 ,, 90,500 ,, ■0 4 o| Free. 082 I 2 4 ■165 I 10 6 I to 8 to and 35 % 90,500 ,, 100,500 ,, I 14 7 I 18 7 V2 8 y ad val. 100,500 metres and \ above .... J Woollen Cloth (un- printed) : With cotton warp : Above 600 grms. \ { ■ per sq. metre. . \ f 2 8 ■^ All 300 to 600 grms. cloths per sq. metre . . ,-2 S -> J I 2 10 10 weigh- Less , than 300 ing 4 oz. grms. per sq. metre ( 5% I ad val. 4 ^ 3 and Other kinds : Above 600 grms. -3 8 7 10 ^ ad \'al. TO% ad val. 8 ' above, per sq. per .sq. metre . . ^ f - yard. 450 to 600 grms. II 13 4 per sq. metre. . / \ 3 II and 35 % Less than 450 1 ad val. grms.persq.metre / 4 I 3 Porcelain : White 7 I i 5% (. ad val. 10 % ad val. 10% ad val. 4 lOj 5 I .( 45%, ( ad val. Glass and Glasswares: 4j 100 bottles. f oe y Common bottles . I 6} \ 61 2 4I I 61 \ ad val. W'indow glass: (° 3 o?i 10% ) Per cwt. (070 (. 14 Common . . . (0 to 5 I ail val. r ' 5 033 4 Oj . 5 X ^Up to 24 (by 30 in. ad val. sq., i4d Plate glass : 10% ) ad val. j sq.yard. to 4d. per sq. ft. ^ Of larger Polished, "i S . 12 2 2 SJ 082 8 2 size, IS. old. to 2s. id- per 1 V \sn. ft. APPENDIX. 239 (conlinued). States, and in the principtil Colonial Possessions 0/ the United Kingdom, on the undernieiilioned Produce or Manujacture. COLONIAL POSSESSIONS OF THE UNITED KINGDOM [continU Calfskins . . ) Alkali : Bicarbonate of Soda .... Crystals of Soda . Soda Caustic . . Paper : For Writing . . For Printing . . Seed Oils ; Linseed .... Rape £ s. d. Per cwt. 006 o I 3i iFre From 092 to o 18 3 lo X ■, £ s. d. Per cwt. V- Free Free Free > Free Free £ s. d. Per cwt. 4l )-o o 4I Free O 4 ci o 6 Free i 5% tadvvl. Coals . Gal. f-o I 7^ Free £ s. d. Per cwt. £ .s. d. Per cwt. Free [' Free o 4 oi O I Bi 009; o *3 3 Ton o o 11; Gal. Gal f O O 2? I ) 1 (003) o I 71 o 4 oi From o 10 2 002^ f Not ( specified iPure o 2 Oi Impure o o 2i Free Gal. ' o o to| , o ti yi' 100 Btls. £ s. d. Per cwt. 006 o 2 6i o 2 6H Free 082 030* Not specified 'O 4 Oj oi ot- Free oi £ s. d. Per cwt. o I 5* / o 4 S and according V to size 033 ' Partly Steel 3048 j Pure Steel L o 5 10 / 15% to 25% "( ad val. Not specified 35 % ad val. 20 X or 25 % ad val. according as unsized or sized. Gal. /Anthracite I Free. I Bitumi- ) nous, I Ton V o 3 ij Gal. * An addi tional e.xcise duty on letter paper of 4s. 7|d. per cwt. An additional t Excise duty in addition ; — At 16 degrees APPENDIX. 241 {continued). States, and in the principal Colonial Possessions of the United Kingdom, on the undermentioned Produce or Manufacture [continued). COLONIAL POSSESSIONS OF THE UNITED KINGDOM {continued]. New South Wales. Victoria. South Australia. Western Australia. Tasmania. New Zealand. Queensland Canada. Cape or Good Hope. £ S. d. £ s. d. £ s. d. £ s. d. £ s. d. £ s. d. £ s. d. £ s. d. £ s. d. Per cwt. Per cwt. Per cwt. Per cwt. Per cwt. Per cwt. Per cwt. Per cwt. N f Free \ f Free 005 i7i% ad val. N - Free Free Free i 10% J I ad val. 1 ad val. j- Free - ad val. 15% ad val. Free to ad val. J V / V J V . 1883 ) Free /.5% t ad val. f 20% } .,. { 10 to 12^ % ad val. [ Free Free r From ( 5% \ ad val. If % ad val. r !•% 10 ;{ ad val. I" Free J ad val. I 10% I2i% 10% 1 9 4 ( 5% 3 ad val. C 10% ; 7j% r ad val. ad val. ad val. to Vo 14 f ad val. ; 15 to 20% f ad val. (.ad val. ) ) I ad val. ; Free j-o I Free 020 >-o I f I2i% ad val. 006 048 024 >o I 3 specified (010 1 20% f ad val. r ad val. Free Free Free j I2i% ( ad val. |- Free Free \ Not \ specified \ Free / 094 18 8 f 10% ( ad val. I2i% ad val. . i°% ) (ad val.") /UncutN free. Cut - 15% Wval.j l 5% 20% 10% 1 V Free ad val. ad val. au \..:. Free Free i 10% ( ad val. Free J '' V J Gal. Gal. Gal. Gal. Gal. (006 C ad val. l 25% f ad val. 20% \ G.al. >-o 6 Free 006 ( I2i% t ad val. >o I 006 >o 6 ad val. ; Ton 1 Ton Ton /"Anthrct. 02 4 -^ ^? S- K ^S S^ S^ R .2 ^^ N O >- — *" "^ •o ■a >o in % o CO t>* ;n in o .»i2 S o 5J <: •H- ■)- ■1- in ■H- ++ + + ^ ■« y" '5 ■t- £,'" revo D w —« ^; 5-; ^ ? ■2 > Jv; « ^ K» 2 ^ «^^ Ss? tn ^ o o nw o o t^ ^ •< < * ^ O * T 2 * « » _>> 5^ ^ >5 5v» ^ >^ °^ ^ ^^ Ss; ^ M LT) t>. r^. " t^ « CO o - < * « * * * * » » * ui 2 t^},_,^,. r J;X O a h'^ 2 C-^ t. n!^ S D O u z o £ > < 5^ 4) 1> vo §°* 2 2 vo o> + * * ^^ 3 li? < c = So c « "^ll^t^ u S-^ ^^ ^s 5n° ^o 5-; !& T3 ^ N ° 2 * "o <; *" °2 "-o ♦"" fa -T • + + * •P C3 K O 3 2 tjj in ^ w /- — , 4) ^ > "V 1 > J! s-; a> fa J^ J3 + Si sn° 5^ i^ >-• irv 1^ ■*-• ^ 3 < fa r fa o u 73 -^ fa + + -»- a CO /^ ^— r— ' >» 5^ o ^; ^? c ■a 5-; ^ n O ^^ ^ >5 ^«>^ ^? > ■o 2 S • o * O o 4t * * 0\ lO 03 •" u T3 OT s 1 ■ T3 a o 1 1 J: o 3 U4 a ■_: c c c gle, unbl n Cloth : bleached uality) 1 Yarns : 3 • ■gj^ 3 ^3 c gle, unbl len Cloth in, unpri lain : White . Glass and Glai Common Bo Window-gla mon O c o .3 S = '='5.= S 75 -glD CM c ! APPENDIX. 243 •s ^sl c.o_ y -2 •£ H • •A ^ rt a <= 3 £2 O D. O ,^ O J^ s^ •.<)np iruoijippe « % ozpue 000 t- \^,\^i M in jspxo jliUOljiapB 5-^5^5-^ y^ 01 puE ^-;J>; 3 ^? 5^; >-? 00 t^ £ rt3 " -a oa ^ ir. rt >_T3 • 75 ^•■/3-ij bo "a rt (r. Ingots, c blabs Hammere Tanned Le wrough Ox and L Calf Skin St < III CI, i CJ Q2 2 44 APPENDIX. C05 s 5; acq > ti X a Ci^ hj t; :; pa ■<^ ^ < H i^ .^ ■iit< ^•^ tiS i-> o TlV IK, S-3 V? u- Ci uX ■a ^^ 5^ ^S ^! j^ 5^ ^« ^s ^s S-a Tj o' << tH H <-! § +^ +- +- +- +- +- +- 4- 4- r-^^s r-^-'^-'s X - r i< J; ^s 00 u > T3 >o ^ ;s ^ 8 ° Si •"■ S X ++ 4*- CO Vt:^ 2 fa " ^3 -—^r— •—v-^ l: Q C 3 ■a T) < ++ ++ ++ ++ ++ -H- ^5 5^ 0) v^o ►^ ++ 1 z c< ^-'^'-"^ , w V Q t5 "-S H i< M ^ _; fa U1 H g > >5 sii" s-s ^ " S^ 5^ 0\ Oj 1 o\ •0 < •s r^ jr, j:- £ 1 ^ fa fa X cn V ^— r—' [1^ a sv" i •5 ^ ^s ^ s ^ ^ 5^ j^ J. 5^ <0 0^ ' Z s ^ _o Jj 2 fa 2 1- < fa I LO H +- +- +" 2 .5 -1- -1- -1- -t- f ",5 in /^-■-^ tn p S.2 ■i -S^. 5^ X X S^ ^S ^; ^ ;^^ ^; J < .-J t7^ ^ Hit! ,t.a "S "n "S "S H!e4 Hl« Z ''< •** ■" ■H- ++ ■** ■**• ■H- -tt J u A 1 6^ !/3 3 < •0 < 5^ S * +- fa fa >i . ^-^^ ■i t ^ I ^ 2 i< " 1 1 ^ > 2 fa * " ^ 1 1 fa fa fa JS V^-Y— ^ 3 j^ > ^ I • >< Si ^s S I V. OJ 0) T3 7 ^ :- £ T ^ fa fa fa fa 2 ^■— -—• — , /--A.— N ,— ^--N D . . •• . . .-:3 ■^ -i T3 L° -1 >. U vl 4 (2 . ui ■" ■' C ■i|M _) < = a o" t; c 0. 'o-S'o — rt rt - ™ u^ « g.S B rt •• Mlj'rt S 2 A CM Ct3 '►3 ;j APPENDIX. 245 >~ a > -3 < M 1^ i^^ i^ i-!^! ^? ^; +- +- ■^ "-■ » CO , .-^^-^-v ^'— , r^ ^; C 3 •a ■a J-; ^8 ^^ g 2 2 _g £ 5^ VoJ ^^g>^ J^o< -0 ?En ,".3- u < ■"■ ++ * 2* ■^ ^^^ — . ■^.-^ 13 -O ^ .'^r-^ U V ■3 ■3 t i< S ^ 2^ ^s-» >i ^';o i; -i c T3 * ^ ^ 9^ £^ ++ 5" lo 1? 5- K 5; 3 ■< +■»■ ++ "^ » "* » *+ • « * Q d /~^-^ 2 S.o ■6 »-. > ? S Q S > i) >i. j-s^; « ^<^^ 4^ ^<3^ W HW 00" 3 3£ b. CO H T3 < i-^ ,- .-r'^ ** b so 00 * » z P -— ,-^ H ■5 V i^ i-JS-J U ^ ;^»V^ 5-; ^;>; V <-~ " CO w CO ■o (tl " ::^ ^>t ^-o in h -<; -(- » • •*■ -1- * * * * * ' ^^ z"*"''-*^ Of) « W c 3 a 2^; 5-? S^s^>? i^ s-s >! u J-; C/l t: 3 H^ HIW ^_-|CT Htl* Ss •a f CI « „ N Ci N b in B< '^< ■< +++t ++ +*■ +" * J ^— •— ^ ^ ^ ^-"•■"^ o 11 > V u. t s^?j-; « \ ■< ■0 •< £, .;^ ."."'^ ^^ » » ui -^ M ^'-. , ■a i-S u .^ * " C "^ 1> u 0H« So!!; ^ u ■a CT l^ Cju VO tu r" 6m te (n > < •*- ^-^_ ►^» " * ^.-. . . s: %J, "S 4; t> u i--; i<^J 3i!i ► " S Ji S t. K h« 1^ E^ ■a <; fe fe fc.'^st. ." ^ * * fa « • 2 --— . ^■-v rt ■ • V, T3 ■ ^ ^ .^ w. rt -r ■ >_-o • ■ . -i -/^ rt ^ ^ ■S"^ W J U P a! •< « 5? c .5 -3 V tn « 111 1 ^-3; rt a 1^-1 .S rt 1 u ° ° u H <; i< io K 5?i « 5 rt " S o O V 0; H 246 APPENDIX. V3 X X >. •'^'' -I s^ Ill =^^§ ill \0 vu VO ^^ I 1 1 1 1 •: •: 1 1 1 1 1 1 I II 1 -o I ? 1 M O 1 I f-. ■«- O ;; I I II I I -o I I I I II I I b V I I b ;; I I I II I I bvli^l I I II I MM I I I II I •;:b I M II b I " I I 1 I 11 I II M b I I 1 M I b I b I I M b 1 ■•SI O 1^ o o \ r r s' r r P 1 1 1 1 1 ■* :•" I 1 1 I I I b 11 1 I I I Vb I I I II I I I I I I I I I Ibb M •oS-^v,bb ° M I b M I I I ^ u-.-.Q- ,^C • • r!. T3 -a • > ^ O tt,uj)— . 1.3 U-5 ta....c.«S..2S-.-.tj^- = =~^42...."'....j;.c'^.. di^-ac.crto .a o " u ota t f S -S 0-- •- tOMrtJa .c c « Sj:: o o o M„ i^--;Q, 0.33110 ^ APPENDIX. 247 ^ (S 8 888888 888888 8 88 M M 8 8888 8 8 " ^ < „ w'n ^ SvO^O M in ro •«•(» in CO o>o N M 1^ 1-. M r>. m in H ■* t« Ci t^ t-~ in 10 M en m ^ ..f 1^ 0) (^ ^.. " "t 1^ invo N CO On H 3 •^ CO ^O ro --nvo ■f 1- 0" 0' •* cT VO -.J-OO fO « 0" « K) r^ m M lo 1^ -»■ vo in a m in r^co t^ >f t^ rn en r*. CI in •<- •* in ■-^ d^ « 0" m" ■*• -«^ « in in o" N ci" 'O hT ro -T -"" -f 0" -" cP in .J" rj H- '_- ii ~~" 1 p »p p^s^p^r^<> p r.) M _w Thin p min m _r». « p «i ri fi CO V« inVo*>-t V d M i M b v^ K> Vi en V-b foVo n *•-• £ " N "1- M 01 o\ 00 « « CO J2 w « ^ t^ -^^o U-) ■*CO t^vO fO „ CO N M crj N J- w NO CO M '^■(fl 0*0 CO C> C) -^ -^co 00 m I'., n 00 ir cj 000 vO c* ca N r^oo (N ^o t^ O; N_>o_ "_ 1^ t "^ 0_ M_ m m M s? vd' \o" '"*■ cT in ON in cT c^id'io' CO rn * cT ►.00" M « rn NO c4 M a. i^\o t^ m ^ M m «i- w M CO rn M VO NO < N N -^ N w ^ in 10 -s- 'S Tr a> ci m 1^ c> r^ H m" cT w M ►^ -f m c> Z "■S 11 ■ ^ lis! u b 1 1 M^^ 1 1 1 1 1 b 1 in in CO r- , n •* VO a> b ■m b N M lO b b CO i^ ■*- a .- ^z-:z\ 1 ■(N b b •b Vn 1 .- 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 b 1 X oJ M tf) o b 1 b 1 1 1 I P ». n « lO PI 1 N n b 1 \n"N ■« b M" d. ■^ ON ^ "^^^ ^ ^^^ MHMBH (/) s B S p .*." .f^." r^.'* p ^t^ ONoo "O in yi CO 00 p w 00 00 't^ M in 'r^ -^"b 00 •o b\oo 'm^ On Vn V. 'r^ lb w bi r^vo V^ 00 s 0\ o^ t^ m in 0. On On CT» 00 t^ M r^ 01 t^io ON 01 it ti. ° f^ m^o M- r^ in fN. r^\o CO 00 N fN. w ■* H m in m CT. M in CI 00 ^o ^ ^ -* r^ Tj- ^co ON (N 00 lO « *-* o_ in -a-^ tC OMn o\ M^ CO m « vo oo_ 0; 00 u 2 £'-' 3 s? m" m" m xf rn 0" cT n" T? ro •"Too" en rC .f rn oi m" »r lo" in z'l H ■*■ N t^OD NO in 00 in\o ■<- CT. 00 s m in in>o_ N CO ON r^ On !>■ ON t*^ M en Tj r;vo_ OS < co' cT di M fo cT fo in -^^ On i-T (^^ in ^ M '■i^ in cC cT in jj" w^ — :i sS.» c 1 u N M 1 00 1 ^ CT^ « moo On m p M fn p CO _M K 00 as M b bib' Vn a> N b VVob Vt b M V^ b b r^b "r^ 'm <: £ N ^ ++ :33 i: ^ ^1- T3-3 • 3 3 v2i5 i« u s J 1 5 • • • -^ • [^ E . . . .1 . T3 _f ^ > g S^ -a a c T3 n SK • • ■ • &■§ ... .c "" J «> • ■g^. . •r. u V 3 = t: q c < u 7. mo Si c J ; ■ ■ s ■ ■^ u 3 — _K> waggons, trucks, (S-'c. .. 388 215 668 Cement 366 693 925 Chemical products or preparations, un- \ enumerated . . . . . . j 1,043 2,384 1,678 Clay, manufactures thereof 176 191 229 Clocks, watches, and parts thereof 146 157 311 Coal, cinders, &c. : Fuel, manufactured 124 197 336 Copper, wrought or manufactured : Mixed, or yellow metal for sheathing . . 796 1,022 1,182 Unenumerated 1,228 1,258 1,245 Cordage cables, and ropes of hemp or 1 like material . . . . . . J 354 296 436 Cotton twist and yarn 14,671 11,902 13,510 Cotton Manufactures : Piece goods, plain 33,831 34,755 34.151 „ „ printed 18,137 22,377 20,831 ,, ,, of mixed materials 339 546 552 Lace and patent net 839 1,974 2,708 Hosiery, stockings and socks . . 293 402 536 ,, of other sorts .. 520 541 634 Thread for sewing 1,208 2,073 2,361 Other manufactures, unenumerated 1.578 994 1.163 Earthen and china ware : Red pottery and brown stone ware 56 87 135 Earthenware, china ware, parian, and ) porcelain . . . . . . \ 1,637 1,97s 2,198 Furniture (household), cabinet and up- \ holstery wares . , . , . . \ 231 481 706 252 APPENDIX. TABLE XVII. {continued). Articles Exported. 1870. 1S80. 1883. (<:) Manufactured Goods [continued): — £ £ £ Glass : Plate, rough or silvered (including ) 261 looking-glasses and mirrors) . . ) 145 193 Flint, plain, cut, or ornamental (in- 1 eluding bottles and phials of flint I 254 249 339 glass) J Common bottles . . 307 32,?, 356 Other manufactures, unenumerated 127 147 128 Haberdashery and millinery (including ) embroidery and needlework) . . ) 4,813 3,875 3,880 Hardware and cutlery, unenumerated 3,812 3,521 3,756 Hats of felt 344 558 699 ,, straw 142 395 398 ,, other sorts . . 41 53 41 Implements and tools : Agricultural 249 263 353 Unenumerated n "5 500 Iron : Bar 2,252 1,907 1,751 Angle 62 76] 393 J 283 Bolt and rod 301 Railroad : Rails and tie rods 7,136 4,212 4,593 Wheels and axles Unenumerated . . 638 982 276 ( 584! 1,420 Wire of iron or steel (except telegraph) 366 828 927 Sheets, and boiler and armour plates . . 977 1,229 1,480 Galvanised, other than wire 454 1,361 1,749 Hoops 688 793 671 Tin plates . . 2,363 4,458 4,705 Anchors, grapnels, chains, and cables . . 382 265 389 Tubes and pipes, wrought 324 452 512 Nails, screws, and rivets 332 374 406 Cast or wrought and all other manu- ) factures, unenumerated . . j 2,369 2,700 3,309 Steel, bar, of all kinds . . 98s 987 1,089 „ sheets 107 96 215 Manufactures of steel, or of steel and \ iron combined . . . . . . ) 827 *58i 575 Lead, rolled and sheet, piping and tubing 186 226 241 Leather, tanned, unwrought 850 1,153 1,637 ,, wrought, boots and shoes 1,148 1,282 1,542 ,, ,, other articles, unenu- ) merated . . . . . . . . ) 300 375 422 * Exclusive of surgical and anatomical instruments, manufactured goods " for this year. which are included with " othe APPENDIX. TABLE XVII. {continued). 253 Articles Exported. (c) Manufactured Goods (continued) : — Linen and jute yarn Linen and jute manufactures : Linen piece goods, plain, unbleached ) or bleached . . . . . . . .\ Ditto, checked, printed, or dyed, and damasks and diapers . . Sailcloth and sails Thread for sewing Linen manufactures, unenumerated Jute manufactures Lucifer and vesta matches . . Machinery and millwork : Steam engines, or parts of, locomotive. . Steam engines, or parts of, other de- "I scriptions . . . . . . J Not being steam engines, agricultural . . ,, other descriptions Manure, unenumerated Medicines Musical instruments and parts thereof Oil, other than essential and medicinal : Seed Other sorts, unenumerated Oil and floor cloth (including india-) rubber cloth) . . . . . . \ Painters' colours and materials Paper : Writing or printing, and envelopes Hangings . . Pasteboard, millboard, &c. (including "1 playing cards) . . . . . . | Unenumerated (and articles of paper, "| except papier mache) . . . . j Perfumery of all sorts Pictures Plate, gold and silver Plated and gilt wares Prints, engravings, drawings, &c. Saddlery and harness Saltpetre (British prepared) Silk, thrown, twist, or yarn Silk manufactures : Of silk only — Broad stuffs Handkerchiefs, scarfs, and shawls . . Ribbons of all kinds . . 1870. 1880. £ L 2,434 1,212 5.983 4,819 421 150 193 166 283 372 369 328 790 2,255 169 145 810 785 1,188 2,001 303 680 2,993 5,797 415 1,128 615 814 146 200 1,286 1,621 119 351 219 383 884 1,174 42S 856 119 138 19 38 84 208 102 108 86 310 59 67 131 167 41 97 327 436 77 60 1,154 684 510 710 149 409 96 123 £ 1,327 4,408 214 172 293 352 2,518 15' 1,387 2,911 865 8,272 2,162 923 255 1,864 364 598 1,278 1,026 160 211 142 320 79 261 175 429 II 706 648 357 183 254 APPENDIX. TABLE XVII. (continued). Articles Exported. 1870. [c) Manufactured Goods [continued) : — Of Silk only (continued) : Lace Unenumerated . . Of silk and other materials — Broad stuffs Other kinds Soap . . Stationery, other than paper Stones and slates : Slate by tale Grindstones, millstones, and other | sorts of stone .. .. .. ] Telegraph wires and apparatus Umbrellas and parasols Wood and timber, manufactured : Staves and empty casks . . Unenumerated Woollen and worsted yarn : Woollen yarn (carded) . . Worsted yarn (combed) . . W^oollen and worsted manufactures : Coatings, duffels, &c. , all wool . . ,, ,, of wool mixed ) with other materials. . . . j Worsted stuffs, all wool . . ,, ,, of wool mi.xed with } other materials . . . . \ Blankets and blanketing . . Flannels . . Carpets, not being rugs . . . , Shawls Rugs, coverlets, or wrappers Hosiery Small wares and manufactures of wool or worsted, unenumerated Yam, alpaca, mohair, and other sorts, unenumerated Zinc or Spelter, manufactures of . . Other Manufactured Goods Total 81 299 231 85 218 141 138 2,523 253 157 80 4.897 3,086 1,664 2,052 11,736 645 366 1,393 117 151 266 190 57 3,034 178,236 £ no 251 302 125 440 724 177 84 1,301 458 "3 251 107 3,238 2,920 1 1,029 i 6,213. 587 310 1,134 158 361 320 418 41 5,917 190,963 206,693 APPENDIX. Summary ok Foregoing Table. 255 1870. 1880. 1883. Amount. Per cent of Total Amount. Percent of Total Amount. £ 9,575 23.531 206,693 Per cent of Toul Articles of Food, ) Drink, and Tobacco ) Raw Materials Manufactured Goods Total Exports of^ British and Irish >■ Produce . . ) 7,607 4 13.744 7 178,236 89 £ 8,825 23,272 190,963 4 10 86 4 10 86 199,587 ! 100 223,060 100 239.799 100 TABLE XVIII. Statement showing^ the Pro/>oriion of pood. Raw Materials, and Manufactured Articles in the Domestic E.ifiorts 0/ France, for eeuh of the Years i86g and 1879, compiled from, the French official Returns ; in thousands of pounds, i.e., 100 = 100,000. Articles Exported. 1869. 1879 (a) Articles of Food : — £ £ Brandy, spirits, and liqueurs 2,457 4,130 Butter and cheese 3.116 2,665 Cattle, &c 1,351 893 Eggs 1,455 1,304 Farinaceous substances not otherwise specified 805 1,818 Fish 694 1,519 Fruit, for the table 1,086 998 ,, oleaginous 621 334 Grain and meal: Wheat, spelt, mcslin 661 392 Rye S93 301 Other kinds 1,215 1,066 Hops 475 81 Ice 304 221 Meat of all kinds 398 445 Oil, olive 136 200 Salt 86 102 Sugar, raw 602 537 ,, refined ... 3.240 4.033 Syrups, preserves, &c.'... 174 195 Tobacco, manufactured 45 70 Truffles 57 298 Vegetables, green, salted, or preserved 166 541 Wines of all kinds 13.447 10,308 Other articles of food 533 708 Total of Food 34.017 33.159 256 APPENDIX. TABLE XVIII. {continued). Articles Exported. 1879. {/;) Raw Materials: — Building materials (lime, bricks, slate, &c. ) Cards for carding machines Coal and coke ... Cotton, raw Fat, oil Feathers ... Flax and hemp ... Grease of all kinds Hair of all kinds Hemp fibre Hides, raw- Horses, mules, &c. Madder .. Native resins Ores of all kinds Pitch and mineral tar ... ... ... Rags for paper making... Saffron ... Silk, raw and waste Silkworms' eggs... Sowing seed Stones, lithographic and other... Wood, for building purposes ... Wool, raw Other raw materials Total Raw Materials (( ) Manufactured Articles : — Arms and ammunition ... Artificial flowers, &c. ... Basketwork of all kinds Books, stationery, &c. ... Candles ... Caoutchouc manufactures Carriages Chemical products not otherwise specified . Clocks and watches Colours ... Copper, wrought Cutlery ... French fancy wares Furniture, and other wood manufactures Garancine (extract of madder)... Glass, and glass wares ... £ £ 375 504 84 75 178 273 3,016 2,675 66 252 143 1,348 364 519 689 i>o53 489 454 127 123 971 2,110 788 638 519 22 228 137 242 120 62 no 440 6x1 176 158 6,245 6,344 199 98 823 646 178 263 1,292 869 1,787 4,689 2,001 1,119 21,482 25,210 164 256 1,240 1,205 61 136 825 956 306 81 166 187 139 116 1,424 1,500 452 627 489 449 346 182 59 105 211 246 987 1,203 557 14 911 790 APPENDIX. 257 TABLE XVIII. {continued). Articles Exi'okted. i86y. (r) Manufactured Articles {continued) Gold and silver wares ... Grindstones Haberdasher)', &c. Hats, of felt ,, mats, and other manufactures of straw or bark Instruments : optical, mathematical, sur- ) gical, &c. ,, musical ... Leather wares ... Machinery- Medicines, compounded Oil-cake ... Paper and cardboard ... Perfumery Pottery and porcelain ... Quinine, sulphate of ... Skins and hides, dressed Soap, other than scented Tartrates... Tissues: Cotton... ,, Linen, hempen, and jute Silk ,, Woollen Umbrellas and parasols Tools, and other metal wares ... Wearing apparel Works of art Yams : Cotton ... ,, Linen, hempen, and jute ,, Woollen Other manufactured articles ... Total of Manufactured Articles ., £ £ 954 2,316 142 283 6,087 5,429 405 405 398 664 163 312 406 399 3-966 5,930 595 921 619 425 564 416 779 886 707 315 317 516 90 224 3.242 3,846 421 362 243 505 2,959 2,535 733 1,048 17-894 9,070 10,732 12,371 133 136 1,510 2,711 3,349 2,710 436 494 "5 98 339 366 1,112 1,748 2,757 4,022 70,504 69,516 2S8 appendix. Summary of foregoing Table. Aiiiount. Percentage. 1869. 1879. 1869. 1879. Food ... Raw Materials Manufactures £ 34,017 21,482 70,504 £ 33,159 25,210 69,516 27-0 17-0 56-0 26-0 198 54 '2 Total 126,003 127,885 100 100 TABLE XIX. statement slwwtng the Proportion of Foody Raw Materials, and Manufactured Articles in the Domestic E.rports of Germany, for ea<:k of the Years 1869 and 1879 ; compiled from the official Returns of Germany; in thousands of marks, i.e., 100 ^=- 100,000. Articles Exported. 1869.* 1879. (a) Food :— Marks. Marks. Animals, living — Cattle 32,800 45,350 Sheep 30,000 37,600 Swine 16,400 24,090 Beer 3,400 23,400 Brandy 20,700 14,800 Butter 26,800 22,000 Fruit of all kinds 52,000 77,700 Grain — Wheat 149,000 127,000 Barley 17,200 40,600 Oats 15,900 15,500 Other grain, and flour 104,200 166,900 Hops lS,200 22,300 Meat 6,600 8,970 Sugar, raw 10,600 58,200 ,, refined 4.500 21,390 Syrup and molasses ... 5,700 10,190 Tobacco, manufactured 11,800 6,760 ,, unmanufactured 8,300 1,380 Wine 22,800 21,910 Other articles of food 10,226 12,930 I Marks 567,126 758,970 Total of Food | I £ 28,356* 37,948 • The values for 1869 are estimated only. APPENDIX. TABLE XIX. {contimtcd). 259 Articles Extokted. 1869.* (/') Raw Materials : — Animal produce, &c.... Cotton, raw ... Flax, hemp, and jute Fuel Hides and skins, including leather — Cow hides ... Other kinds Horses Metals, crude — Pig iron Iron and steel, unnianufacturcil ... Other raw metals ... Oil: Petroleum Ores and minerals — Iron ore Other kinds Rags for paper-making Silk, raw Wood of all kinds for further manufacture Wool (sheep's) Soap, oil and resins ... Other unmanufactured articles Total of Raw Materials ... Marks £ Manufactured Articles : — Books, pamphlets, and other publications Chemical products, drugs, &c. Dyewoods Gunpowder ... Glasswares and earthenware Guano... India-rubber manufactures Iron and steel, manufactures of Leather wares Machineiy Manures (except guano) Metal wares ... Paper and paper-hangings Rails for railways Ships ... Maiks. 36,500 61,865 23,208 97,200 18,470 18,034 12,745 ' 12,814 12,604 69.730 ! 7,758 1 5,400 84,480 500 17,630 115,800 74,026 40,000 58,896 Marks. 90,680 65,000 40,250 84,200 22,800 24,680 34,coo 25,610 64,650 60,440 4,480 20,900 73,200 7,48b 48,300 70,500 66,440 55,720 86,330 767,660 38,383* 945,660 47,283 23,000 48,931 1,496 8u 51,500 2,600 18,780 31,882 31.784 21,212 4,2iS 6,104 17,000 13.350 43,000 22,200 120,780 1,800 3,920 55.000 1,890 15,000 47,400 51,750 39,010 22,230 11,200 26,100 23,000 32,590 R 2 * The values for 1869 are estimated only. 26o APPENDIX. TABLE XIX. [continued). Articles Exported. 1879. {() Manufactured Articles {continued) :- Tissues — Cotton Linen and hempen Silk Woollen Other kinds, and ready-made clothing Wood wares and basket work Works of art, ornaments, &c. Yarns- Cotton Linen and hempen Woollen Other kinds Other manufactured articles Total of Manufactures Marks. Marks. 73.945 1 95,260 22,475 13.560 86,418 66,690 161,502 142,100 75,407 98,590 14.974 43,100 74,000 54.900 10,692 24,700 5.072 4,700 32,292 24,400 62 3,700 4,770 25,450 Marks 877,277 1,071,020 £ ; 43,864* 53,551 SumjMary of foregoing Table. Amount. Percentage. 1869. 1879. 1869. 1879. 1869. 1879. Marks. Marks. £ £ Food . . . 567,126 758,970 28,356 37,948 25-6 27-3 Raw Materials 767,660 945,660 38,383 47,283 347 34 "o Manufactured ) Articles . j 877,277 1,071,020 43,864 53,551 397 387 Total. . 2,212,063* 2,775,650 110,603* 138,782 100 100 * The values for 1869 are estimated only. APPENDIX. 261 TABLE XX. Stattment showing thi Proportion 0/ Food, Raw Maitriali, and Manu/aciurtd Articles in the Domestic Exports of the Unittd States, for each 0/ the Years 1870 and 1880. (Years ended -ioth June), cotnpited from the official Returns of the United States ; in thousands of dollars, i.e., 100 = 100,000. Years ended 30th June. Articles Exported. («) Food : — Animals, living Beer, ale, porter, and cider Bread and breadstuffs : Indian corn "Wheat Wheat flour Other breadstuffs ... Fruits ... Hops ... Oil, Vegetable Provisions ; Bacon and hams . . . Beef, fresh ,, salted Butter Cheese Lard Meats, preserved ... Pork Other Spirits Sugar, refined ,, unrefined, and molasses Tobacco, and manufactures of Total of Food {b) Raw Materials: — Coal Cotton, raw ... Furs and furriers' wares Ginseng Raw hides and skins iSyct Dollars. 1,045 26 1,289 47,171 21,170 2,621 543 2,516 326 6,123 1,940 I 592 8,881 5,933 314 3,253 2,140 726 555 91 22,705 Dollars £ 129,960 21,660* i88o.t Dollars. 15,882 299 53,298 190,546 35,333 8,860 2,091 2,573 3,476 50,988 7,442 2,881 6,691 12,172 27,920 7,877 5,930 5,142 3,028 2,718 541 18,442 464,130 96,694* 1,306 2,058 227,028 211,536 1,941 5,404 455 533 365 649 * In the year 1870 the conversions have been made at the currency ratt of 3s. 4d. to the dollar, and in 1880 at the average rate of 4s. 2d. t Exclusive of bullion and specie. 262 APPENDIX. TABLE XX. {continued). Years ende i 30th June. Articles Exported. 1870.+ 1880.+ (3) Raw Materials [continued) :— Dollars. Dollars. Naval stores (resin, turpentine, tar, and pitc Il) 1,920 2,453 Oil, Mineral... 32,669 36,219 ,, Animal (fat and fish) ... 1,148 1,676 Quicksilver 512 1,360 Seeds 98 2,777 Tallow 3>8iS 7,689 Wool, raw 55 72 All otiier unmanufactured articles ... 2,285 2,128 ( Delia >^s 273,597 274,554 Total of Raw Materials ... < ( £ 45>6oo* 57.199* {c) Manufactured Articles : — Agricultural implements 1,069 2,246 Books, pamphlets, and other publications 341 627 Carriages, railway cars, carts, and parts thereof ... 1 977 1,407 Clocks and watches ... 589 1.453 Copper, and manufactures of 1,042 849 Cotton, manufactures of 3>787 9,981 Drugs, chemicals, medicines, and dye 2,495 stuffs (including acids) ... 3,531 Fancy articles, combs, perfumery, and toilet soap 409 876 Glass and glass wares 531 750 Hemp, and manufactures of, including cordage ... j 582 1,629 Iron and steel, and manufactures of 13.483 14,716 Jewellery, and other manufactures of gold and silver } ^ 232 Leather, and manufactures of 673 6,760 Manures 115 604 Marble and stone, and manufactures of 180 653 Metals, and manufactures of, not elsewhere specified... 401 971 Musical instruments ... 267 811 Oilcake 3.419 6,260 Ordnance stores 1,229 777 * In the year 1870 the conversions have been made at the currency rate of 3s. 4d. to the dollar, and in 1880 at the average rate of 4s. zd. + Exclusive of bullion and specie. APPENDIX. 263 TABLE XX. [continued). Years ended 30th June. Articles Exported. 1870.+ i88o.t (<-)Manufactured Articles {coniimieif) : — Dollars. Dollars. Paper and .stationery 515 1,183 Soap, common 623 690 Starch 107 448 Turpentine, spirits of 1,357 2,132 Wearing apparel 619 708 Wood, and manufactures of... 13,735 16,237 Wool, manufactures of 124 216 All other manufactured articles 2,922 8,515 ( Dollars 51,651 85,262 Total of Manufactures ... < \ £ 8,609* 17,763* Summary. tAMOUNT. Percbntacb. 1870. 1880. 1870. 1880. 1870. 1880L Food . Raw Materials Manufactured "| Articles / Dollars. 129,960 273,597 51,651 Dollars. 464,130 274,554 85,262 * 21,660 45,600 8,609 » 96,694 57,199 17,763 28-6 6o"l II-3 56-3 33 3 10-4 Total . 455.208 823,946 75,869 171,656 100 100 * In the year 1870 the conversions have been made at the currency rate of 35. 4d. to the dollar, and in 1880 at the average rate of 4s. 2d. t Exclusive of bullion and specie. 264 APPENDIX. TABLE XXI. Comparative table shmuing the Population^ Public Debt, Imports, and Exports of the Ajistralian Colonies and New Zealand for each of the Eleven Years — 1873-83. {From the Victorian Year Book.) VICTORIA (87,884 SQUARE MILES). Population Public Debt Year. on the 31st December. on the 31st December. Imports. Exports. £ £ £ 1873 772,039 12,445,722 16,533,856 15,302,454 1874 783,274 13,990,553 16,953,985 15,441,109 1875 791,399 13,995,093 16,685,874 14,766,974 1876 801,717 17,011,382 15,705,354 14,196,487 1877 815,494 17,018,913 16,362,304 15,157,687 1878 827,439 17,022,065 16,161,880 14,925,707 1879 840,620 20,050,753 15,035,538 12,454,170 1880 860,067 22,060,749 14,556,894 15,954,559 1881 882,232 22,426,502 16,718,521 16,252,103 1882 906,225 22,103,202 18,748,081 16,193,579 1883 931,790 Total 24,308,175 17,743,846 16,398,863 181,206,113 1 167,043,692 NEW SOUTH WALES (309,175 sqlare miles). Population Public Debt Year. on the 31st December. on the 31st December. Imports. Exports. £ £ £ 1873 560,275 10,842,415 11,088,388 11,815,829 1874 584,278 10,516,371 11,293,739 12,345,603 1875 606,652 11,470,637 13,490,200 13,671,580 1876 629,776 11,759,519 13,672,776 13,003,941 1877 662,212 11,724,419 14,606,594 13,125,819 1878 693,743 11,688,119 14,768,873 12,965,879 1879 703,143 14,937,419 14,198,847 13,086,819 1880 739,385 14,903,919 13,950,075 15,525,138 1881 781,265 16,924,019 17,409,326 16,049,503 1882 817,468 18,721,219 21,281,130 16,716,961 1883 869,310 Total 21,632,459 20,960,157 19,886,018 166,720,105 158,193,090 APPENDIX. 265 TABLE XXI. {cojitimied). QUEENSLAND (668,224 square miles). Population Public Debt Year. on the on the Imports. Exports. 31st December. 31st December. £ £ £ 1873 146,690 4,782,850 2,885,499 3.542,513 1874 163,517 5,249,350 2,962,439 4,106,462 1875 181,288 6,435,250 3,328,009 3.857.576 1876 187,100 6,435,250 3,126,559 3.875,581 1877 203,084 7,685,350 4,068,682 4.361.275 1878 210,510 8,935,350 3.436,077 3,190,419 1879 217.851 10,192,150 3,080,889 3,434,034 1880 226,077 12,192,150 3,087,296 3,448,160 1881 226,968 13,245,150 4,063,625 3,540,366 1882 248,255 13.125,350 6,318,463 3.534,452 1883 287,475 14,907,850 6,233,351 5,276,608 Total .. 42,590,889 1 42,167,446 SOUTH AUSTRALIA (903,425 square miles). Population Public Debt Year. on the 31st December. on the 31st December. Imports. Exports. £ £ £ 1873 198,075 2,174,900 3,841,100 4.587.859 1874 204,623 2,989,750 3,983,290 4,402,855 1875 210,442 3,320,600 4,203,802 4,805,051 1876 225,677 3,837.100 4,576,183 4,816,170 1877 236,864 4,737,200 4.625,511 4,626,531 1878 248,795 5,329,600 5,719,611 5.355,021 1879 259,460 6,605,750 5.014.150 4,762,727 1880 267,573 9,865,500 5,581.497 5,574,505 1881 286,324 11,196,800 5,244,064 4.407,757 1882 293,509 12,472,600 6,707,788 5.359,890 1883 304,515 Total 13,891,900 6,310,055 4,883,461 55,807,051 53,581,827 266 APPENDIX. TABLE XXI. {continued). WESTERN AUSTRALIA (975,920 square miles). Population Public Debt Year. on the 31st December. on the 31st December. Imports. E.\ports. £ £ £ 1873 25,761 35>ooo 297,328 265,217 1874 26,209 119,000 364,263 428,837 1875 26,709 135,000 349,840 391,217 1876 27,321 135,000 386,037 397,293 1877 27,838 161,000 362,707 373,352 1878 28,166 184,556 379,050 428,491 1879 28,668 361,000 407,299 494,884 1880 29,019 361,000 353,669 499,183 1881 30,013 511,000 404,831 502,770 1882 30,766 511,000 508,755 583,056 1883 31,700 Total 611,000 516,847 447,010 4,330,626 4,811,310 TASMANIA (26,375 SQUARE miles). Population Public Debt Year. on the 31st December. on the 31st December. Imports. Exports. £ £ £ 1873 104,217 1,477,600 1,107,167 893,556 1874 104,176 1,476,700 1,257,785 925,325 1875 103,663 1,489,400 1,185,942 1,085,976 1876 105,484 1,520,500 1,133,003 1,130,983 1877 107,104 1,589,705 1,308,671 1,416,975 1878 109,947 1,747,400 1,324,812 1,315,695 1879 112,469 1,786,800 1,267,475 1,301,097 1880 114,762 1,943,700 1,369,223 1,511,931 1881 118,923 2,003,000 1,431,144 1,555,576 1882 122,479 2,050,600 1,670,872 1,587,389 1883 126,220 Total 2,385,600 1,832,637 1,731,599 14,888,731 14,456,102 APPENDIX. 267 TABLE XXI. [continued). NEW ZEALAND (104,027 squarfi miles). Population Public Debt Year. on the 31st December. on the 31st December. Imports. E.xports. £ £ £ 1873 295.946 10,913,936 6,464,687 5,610,371 1874 341,860 13,366,936 8,121,812 5,251,269 1875 375,856 17,400,031 8,029,172 5,828,627 1876 399,075 18,678,111 6,905,171 5,673,465 1877 417,622 20,691,111 6,973,418 6,327,472 1878 432,519 22,608,311 8,755,663 6,015,525 1879 463,729 23,958,311 8,374,585 5,743,126 1880 484,864 28,583,231 6,162,011 6.352,692 18S1 500,910 29,659,111 7,457,045 6,060,876 1882 517,707 30,235,711 8,609,270 6,658,008 1883 540,877 Total 31,385,411 7,974,038 7,095,999 83,826,872 66,617,430 Dominion of Canada. [Fyoin the Canadian Statistics.) Number of Population, Amount of Public Debt, and Total Value of Imports and Exports, including Bullion aud Specie, in each of the years 1873 to 1S83. Years ended 30th June. Population. Debt.t Imports E.xports £ £ £ 1873 3,686,096* 20,801,763 26,669,017 18,706,233 1874 \ f 22,567,701 26,711,164 18,614,985 1875 24,168,412 25,639,642 16,226,454 1876 25,948,232 19,418,822 16,868,007 1877 given 27,757,356 20,693,325 15.807,374 187S 29,242,097 19,392,039 16,525,764 1879 29,789,622 17,075,922 14,894,011 1880 J , I 31,760,747 18,018,697 18,314,887 1881 4,324,810 32,374,121 21,943,925 20,477,254 1882 ) Cannot be \ 32,012,844 24,879,062 21,278,584 1883 \ given ( 33,013,899 27,552,921 20.434,543 Total 247,994,536 198,148,096 * Census of 1S71. t Total net liabilities of the Dominion and Provincial Governments. Note. — In converting dollars into pounds sterling, the dollar is estimated at 4s. ad. ABLE m, AND Vessels bel( the United on 31st Decc Sailing. In Thousands of Tons. 3,465 3.S14 3,622 3.688 3,851 4,069 4.239 4,261 4,258 4,207 4,108 4,091 4i2i3 4,375 4,578 4,765 4,878 4,853 4,904 4,937 4,930 4,731 4,397 4,3"! 4,204 4,226 4.205 4,141 3,980 3,969 3.943 3,780 3,550 3,476 3,397 3,326 3.249 3,167 3.069 3.004 2,931 2,898 2.933 2.839 2,680 is S3 5.5 37 36 35 34 33 32 32 3' 31 29 28 28 28 27 27 26 26 25 24 23 1879 1878 1877 1876 1875 1874 1873 1872 1871 1870 1867 i866 1865 1864 1863 1862 1861 i860 1859 1858 1857 1856 1855 1854 1853 1852 1851 1850 1849 1848 1847 1846 1845 1844 1843 1842 1841 1840 (a) The receipts of local authorities in- clude money borrowed, Government con- tributions, and receipts from sales of property, &c. (6) The tax was not extended to Ireland until the year 1853. (c) For ten months only. (d) The nationality of emigrants was not distinguished before 1853. (e) The number of vagrants relieved is not included. (/) Imports were first entered by real values in 1854. (.^) Until 1873, vessels engaged in the coasting trade, carrying minerals, British timber, and British quarried stone, fresh meat, and fish, and a few other articles, were omitted from the coasting returns. The increase caused by including these vessels was about 4^ million tons. (/:) Vessels belonging to the Channel Islands and the Isle of Man are included. (/) The Post Office Savings Banks were established in 1861. The accounts for these banks are made up to the 31st December, and for the Trustees' Savings Banks to the 2oth November. (X-) The decrease is stated to be due to the relief which was given in 1880 being discontinued. {/) The increase is stated to be due to food and clothing supplied at the schools through the Duchess of Marlborough, Mansion House, and A'e7v York Herald Committees. (?«) The decrease is stated to be due to exceptionally severe weather, and the pre- valence of scarlatina and measles. («) The decrease is stated to be caused by the partial failure of the potato crop, and the prevalence of epidemics and distress. (0) There is no definite explanation of the decrease, but 37 teachers are ref)orted to have been arrested for complicity in Fenianism. (/) The decrease is stated to be due to the severity of the weather. {(j) Sugar is now used as an article 01 manufacture as well as of personal con- sumption. TABLE XXII. Summarized Statistics of t HE Population United Kingdom, an CONDII M 1840 TO -.884, SO FA CA * 1 g P Ir- j/SSs ii 11^ •H 1 I..fonT- "•■> ENPO.TS l/l. SK.PP..G. Il«.lW»V8 p: D«» K OP ENGLAND. j1 1 II i il f C0SSU.,PT.O» FE« H«AU OP P0PVL*T.O». •1 1 J, s jl 1 1" 1 1 ■DdcdSchoob. 1 1 1 2I i 1 1 1 1 ifl oSlsl 3S. 1 1 1 ^1 il 1 1^ 11 5 §. 1 1 f 1= 1 = ii i 1 1 si il il -■ SnB.,(,.l 1 Ii I 1= SI 1 (a) The receipts of loeal authorities in- &X. Ireland. tributions, and receipts from »les of SM„s. Staa^. property, 8lc. (S) The tax was not extended to Ireland until the year ,853. (f) For len months only. (if) TTie nationality of emiarants was not dLitingwished before .853. S * Z " w u - 0" 1 f a ft! •^ * 1 •< " c ■< y.id In MiUio«. iDMflUou la MiUim I. Mini.., loMUIioas In In I. In In MHim InMUIioiu In HOlian. In Millions In ThnlJand. Th.!i.ds InMlllLu In Million* I. Million, InMllll.u Id MiUioDS In Ml oJp„Cen. InM,l In Millions InMIUions d Gallon, lb,. Ibt lbs. Kon,b., not included""' ^ " '-ngfonls oti:. ofi:. Th^Liis. ofjC. "rToi^ " of v." off or Tons. I/) Imports were first entered by teal .88, 36:0 =r" 74« 096 3,463' I aU t* ro3 4'9 B84 values ID .854. ;if,' 88 'S '" 677 576 S6S 3.S60 3.436 46S 469 awl .,008 .,006 J 5-9 4U 7» 65-0 S' Ws'9 y;; 3^738 S'l an 66? tS? «o-S It 3ft ; 3 83 ' :!s n 4S J .-06 '■07 4-8 70-S Ill 36 ii (f). Until .873. vcsMls engaged in the •1;! 7« 638 W454 >5'9 694 57'9 3.688 |6;8 6,-S 6,357 10-6 I -OS 4> *:< 34* 6=-, i'li M463 J5| 697 587 63-0 5,794 w-g 33 <:' ■!;s Ba-3 a,98o ("1)435 363 tJil 3S'9 4,886 38 43 lo 66 -J 319 879 isii 339 >.78a 369 I'fl a6;9 33 1 3 6'« 46 S 53-8 18B 87! vilLL^^boi'^fJSS''^'''''^ z 336 33-» ll-l 77. 1 Ul "I .«5 t^ \U aS7 646 633 s;'i ,6-9 .06 .98-6 \',IS 4.358 ;,^9 33-8 fco 41963 Is-s 3§ 70 : ||^ 66 :H 137 ;:i 63-0 59-0 rsi |; s;j iSm 3*8 74". 769 S36 998 a8a 656 46'3 wi S9-0 5,686 37 67 sehh .\rlh. 19. The Newcastle Weekly Chronicle on the Cobden Club Leaflets. 20. Memorial Verses on Richard Cobden, 1865. 21. Robbing a Thousand Peters to pay One Paul. By George Jacob Holyoake. 22. Less Free Trade or More : Which Shall it Be ? By j. Hampden Jackson. 23. 'Facts for Farmers. No. II.— Depression in Agriculture. By George W. Medley. 24. *Fair Trade: its Impossibility. By Sydney Buxton, M.P. 24. Reciprocity Explained. 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