LIBRARY OF THE UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA. Cltus ■ -. . ■■ '■ ^ 1 http://www.archive.org/details/essayonproductioOOtorrrich DECEMBER, 1821. VALUABLE STANDARD WORKS, PRINTED FOR T.ONGMAN, HURST, REES, ORME, AND BROWN, LONDON. VOYAGES AND TRAVELS. TRAVELS IN THE INTERIOR OF SOUTHERN AFRICA. By WILLIAM J. BURCHELL, Esq. With an entirely new Map, and numerous other En- gravings from the Author's own Drawings. In 4to. Nearli/ ready. Mr. Burchell's Researches in the Interior of Africa, during five years, over 4,500 miles of ground, besides numberless lateral excursions, have produced a mul- titude of discoveries and observations which have never yet been laid before the public. AN ACCOUNT OF CEYLON, WITH TRAVELS IN THE INTERIOR OF THE ISLAND. By JOHN DAVY, M.D. F.R.S. In 4to. with a new Map and other Engravings, S^. 13*. 6rf. Bds. VIEWS OF AMERICA, In a Series of Letters from that Country to a Friend in England, during 181S-19-20. BY AN ENGLISHWOMAN. InlVol.Svo. 13*. 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TORJUEi^JS, Esq, f.r.s. / or THE ^ LONDON; PRINTED FOR LONGMAN, HURST, REES, ORME, AND BROWN, PATERNOSTER ROW. 1821. f.ENERAl Printed, bg J. HretttU^ Rupert Street, Hat/market, hondan. PREFACE. In offering the following volume to the public, the Author has had two objects in view. He has sought, in the first place, to present a systematic and compre- hensive treatise upon that division of Political Economy which relates to the production of wealth; and he has attempted, in the second place, to apply the general principles of the science to the actual circumstances of this country. The importance of these subjects it is unnecessary to enforce. The Author has only to appre- hend, that he has ventured upon a task, to the execution of which he is unequal. Many persons will probably imagine, that after the 1 elaborate treatises with which Mr. Ricardo and Mr. Malthus have recently enriched the science of Political Economy, the work now offered to the public must be superfluous. The Author is of a different opinion. He conceives, that the writings of these celebrated economists, instead of rendering the present attempt unnecessary, have created a demand for a systematic treatise on the general principles of Pohtical Economy. Neither Mr. Ricardo nor Mr. Malthus has aimed at presenting the science as a consentaneous whole; while IT both have fallen into a faulty mode of investigation, which occasionally leads them into error, and at all times retards the reception of the very original and valuable lights which they have thrown upon this department of knowledge, Though Mr, Ricardo has done more for the science pf Political Economy than any other writer, with the gingle exception perhaps of Dr. Adam Smith, yet he sometimes falls into a species of error to which men of great original genius seem pecuHarly exposed, and, in the ardour of discovery, generalises too hastily, and fails to establish his principles on a sufficiently exten- sive induction. In the inventive faculty, and in the power of pure and continuous ratiocination, he has seldom been surpassed; but in the capacity for accurate observation, his pre-eminence is less apparent, Mr. Malthus, whose Essays on Population, and ' on the origin and nature of Rent, have contributed so much to the progress of economical science, exhibits throughout his writings, an intellectual character, alto- gether opposite to that which has been here described. He possesses in a very eminent degree the faculty of observing particular phenomena, but is somewhat deficient in that power of analysis which distinguishes between coincidence and necessary connexion, and enables us to trace the sequence of causes and effects. If Mr. Ricardo generalises too much, Mr. Malthus generalises too little, If the former occasionally erects his principles without waiting to base them upon a sufficiently extensive induction from particulai's, the latter is so (Kcupied with particulars, that he neglects tkiftt inductive process which extends individual expe^ rience throughout the infinitude of things, and imparts to human knowledge the character of science. AS presented by Mr. Ricardo, PoHtical Economy possess a regularit}^ and simplicity beyond what exists in nature; as exhibited by Mr. Mai thus, it is a chaos of original but vtnconnected elementsi __^ Should the criticisms now hazarded be correct, it \vill follow, that a general treatise upon Political Economy, combining with the principles of Adam Smith, so much of the more recent doctrmes as may be conformable to truth j and embodying the whole into one consentaneous system, remains to the present day a desideratum in our literature. This desideratum, as far as relates to the Production of Wealth, the Author has attempted to supply in the present volume ; and on some future occasion, perhaps he may venture to com- plete the task by remodelling and extending the disqui- sitions respectirg the distribution of wealth, which he has alteady lad before the public*; Yet, while his ambition is awakened by his conviction, that however abundantly the great mart of literature is supplied, there still remains an opening for a systematic and comprehensive treatise on economical science, his hopes are destroyed by a perception of the qualifications requisite to the performance of the task. In order to produce a complete and accurate system of Political Econony, and to establish its principles by a process of induction sufficiently extensive to set controversy at rest} * Essay on the Corn Trade, Second Edition, Part iv* yi I it is necessary that Mr. Ricardo's habits of generaliza- tion should be combined with that faculty for observing particular phenomena which characterises Mr. Malthus. The Author of the present Essay ventures to submit his work to the public, because in an undertaking, the successful execution of which requires such a rare combination of opposite powers, failure cannot be dis- I creditable. In the following work, the Author has not confined his attempt to presenting, under the form of a consen- taneous system, the principles respecting the production of wealth established by preceding writers. Many of the disquisitions are, he conceives, original. On the theory of exchangeable value, — on the manner in which trade and commerce contribute to the increase of wealth, — and on the principles of demand and supply,-— it is imagined that the doctrines unfolded in the present volume, are now submitted to the public for the first •time* r With respect to the theory of value, Adam Smith has observed, that in that early period of society which precedes the accumulation of stock, and the appropria- tion of land, the labour expended on production is the only circumstance which causes a given quantity of one commodity to be exchanged for a given quantity of another; and Mr. Ricardo has pushed this principle still further, and contended, that in all periods of society, whether before or after the accumulation of capital and appropriation of land, the labour expended upon production is the sole regulator of value. Neither of these celebrated economists, liowever, has ^nven a ▼11 sufficiently accurate explanation of What is meant by " the labour expended on production." In the Hidest as well as in the most advanced periods of society^ two different kinds of labour are required in bringing com- modities to market; namely, the immediate labour of the persons employed, and the previous labour accumu- lated on the several Articles with which and upon which they work. Are we then to understand by the exj)res- sion, " the labour expended on production,"" immediate labour, or accumulated labour, or both ? and in which of these senses is it true, that the labour expended on production determines e^cchangeable Value .^ The Author conceives, that in his chapter upon Value, he has given, for the first time, the correct solution of these fundamental questions, and has shewn, that it is neither the immediate labour, nor the sum of the immediate and accumulated labour, but solely the accumulated labour \ \ expended on production, which determines the quantity of one article which shall be exchanged against a given quantity of another. It" The principle that the accumulated labour, or, in other words, the capital expended on production, deter-« mines the exchangeable value of commodities, while it is derived from an extensive induction from particular cases, affords a satisfactory solution of some of the most important phenomena connected with the distribution of wealth. Without this correction or limitation of Mr. Ricardo's theory of value, it is impossible to give a clear and unexceptionable demonstration of that gentle- man''s very original and valuable doctrine respecting the profits of stock. Many disquisitions contained in the chapter on Mer- cantile Industry, were published by the Author several years ago, in a little treatise entitled, " The Economists *' Refuted/' The manner in which trade and commerce aid the production of wealth, the Author does not remember to have seen adequately explained by any preceding writer. When Adam Smith says, that the capital of the merchant replaces the capitals of the farmer and the manufacturer, he seems to be unac- quainted with the fact, that trade and commerce^ except when they transport articles from places where they have no utility, to places where they have, are not directly productive of wealth, and can contribute to the replacement of capital, only by aiding, through the medium of the divisons of employment, the effec- tive powers of those directly productive branches of industry, which raise or fabricate the articles of which capital is composed. And when M. Say tells us that mercantile industry promotes the wealth of a country by increasing the value of the commodities which it transports and vends, he falls into errors still more serious, evincing not only that he has failed to distin- guish between the direct and indirect sources of wealth, but that he has formed no adequate conception of that in which wealth consists. The defects of these cele- brated economists, the Author hopes he may have in some measure supplied in his chapter upon Mercantile Industry* He believes also, that some of the other doctrines in this chapter will be found to be original; and particularly that respecting the injury which, in certain extraordinary cases, may be sustained in conse- quence of exporting the necessaries of life in exchange for superfluities. Were it permitted to the Author to express an opinion ' on the subject, he would say, that the most original and, in the present stage of economical science, the most important division of this work, is that in which he discusses the principles of demand and supply. To M. Say and Mr. Mill belong the merit of having been the first to bring forward the very important doctrine, that as commodities are purchased with commodities, one half will furnish a market for the other half, and increased production will be the occasion of increased demand, But this doctrine, though it embraces the Very key-stone of economical science, is not correct in the general and unqualified sense in which these distin- guished writers have stated it. Though one half of our commodities should be of the same value as the other half, and though the two halves should freely exchange against each other, it is yet possible that there may be an effectual demand for neither. It is quite obvious that there can exist no reciprocal effectual demand, unless the interchange of two different sets of commodi- ties replaces, with a surplus^ the expenditure incurred in the production of both. Now, what is that spe- cific relation or proportion between commodities, which occasions the exchange of one half of them against the other half, to replace, with a surplus, the cost of pro- ducing both ? The Author has not been able to dis-^ cover the solution of this fundamental question in the writings either of M. Say or of Mr. MilL He has therefore attempted to supply the deficiency, and thus to rectify and extend the new principles of demand and supply which originated with these able eco- i nomists. Having given this account of the nature of the doc- trines contained in the present volume, it may be proper to say a few words respecting the manner in which they are discussed. It has been suggested to the Author by a friend, for whose authority on such matters he entertains the highest possible respect, that the illus- trative cases and analytical processes to which he resorts for the purpose of explaining and demonstrating his propositions^ may fatigue the attention of the reader, and render the work tedious and unattractive. He conceives that the following considerations are sufficient to obviate this objection. The science of Political Economy is analogous to the mixed mathematics. The data upon which it pro- ceeds are furnished by observation and experience; while the conclusions to which it leads, are attained by a process of ratiocination self-evident in all its steps. To give this science, therefore, the exactness and cer^ tainty of which it is susceptible, it must be presented under the analytical and demonstrative form. Now^ it is to be remembered, that though analytical and demon- strative processes may be fatiguing and unattractive, yet in mastering a single volume in which these pro- cesses are successfully carried on, we make ourselves masters of the science; while we may wade through a thousand volumes of general terms and abstract reason- ings, without acquiring a precise idea or arriving at a satisfactory conclusion on one abstruse or controverted question. Had the analytical method of induction from parti- cular cases been more frequently resorted to by Mr* Xi Ricardo, that most original and profound economist "would not by his recent deviations* from his original * In tlie third edition of his woik upon Political Economy and [ Taxation, Mr. Ricardo has given an additional chapter upon the 1 effects of machinery, in which he has fallen into some fundamental and dangerous errors. He contends, that the introduction of ma- chinery occasions a permanent diminution in the demand for labour. [ This doctrine is altogether incorrect. Let us supposCj that a capi- ' talist, carrying on the double business of a farmer and manufacturer of necessaries, advances two hundred quarters of corn and two himdred suits of clothing to two hundred laboui ers,who reproduce two hundred and twenty quarters and two hundred and twenty suits, and then the rate of protit will be ten per cent, and the surplus of twenty quar- ters of corn and twenty suits of clothing which remains over and above the replacement of the capitalist's advances, may be exchanged for superfluiteis, or may be employed in putting twenty additioiial labourers in motion. Now, let us suppose, that instead of exchanging his surplus of twenty quarters of corn and twenty suits of clothing for luxuries, our capitalist exchanges them for implements and ma- chines, which enable his two hundred labourers to raise and fabricate two hundred and tifty-three quarters and two hundred and fifty- three suits; and then the surplus will be fifteen percent., the gross revenue will be increased as well as the net revenue, and the imple- ments and machines, instead of diminishing the demand for labour, will enable the capitalist to employ fifty-three additional labourers instead of twenty. But Mr Ricardo supposes, that the capitalist, instead of purchasing machinery out of his surplus or profit, employs a part of the labourers who formerly produced corn and clothing, in making it ; and that as less corn and clothing nnist in this case be raised and fabricated, he will have a smaller quantity of subsistence in the ensuing year to ad- vance to his labourers. The case supposed never yet occurred. The production of corn and of clothing is not diminished in order to con- struct machinery. But even if the fact were so, it could not subserve the argument. Supposing that our capitalist, instead of advancing two hundred quarters of corn and two hundred suits of clothing to two hundred labourers who raise and fabricate two hundred and twenty doctrines, have retarded the pi*ogi'ess of the science foi" which he has achieved so much ; and had this method been adopted by Mr. Malthus, he would not have appeared as the ingenious opponent of the new theory of profit, which may be traced by a process of rea- soning, self-evident in all its steps, from those dis- quarters and two Immlred and twenty suits, advances one hundred quarters and one hundred suits to one hundred labourers j who raise and fabricate one hundred and ten quarters and one hundred and ten suits, and that he advances one hundred quarters and one hun- dred suits to another one hundred labourers who construct machinery, which being equal in productive cost, is also equal in exchangeable value to one hundred and ten quarters of corn and one hundred and ten suits of clothing, and then in the ensuing season he will be able to advance only subsistence for one hundred and ten labourers instead of for two hundred and twenty. In this case the demand for labour will be reduced one half. But in the nature of things this calamitous effect can only be temporary. The capitalist could have had no motive for constructing his machine unless it enabled him to realise a higher rate of profit than before. But as profits rose capital would accumulate more rapidly, and this more rapid accu- mulation of capital would speedily restore the original demand for labour. Nay, as every machine which facilitates the production of the necessaries of life must (wages not rising) increase the rate of profit, and thus throw to a greater distance the limits beyond which cultivation can neither be heightened nor extended, improved machi- nery enables us to extract from the soil a greater quantity of raw produce^ and furnishes the means of supporting a more numerous hianufactimng population. Even when we concede to Mr. Ricardo that which never yet occuired in practice, namely, that the construc- tion of machinery suspends the production of necessaries, still it remains strictly demonstrable, that the introduction of machineiyj after occasioning a temporary diminution, leads to a permanent increase in the demand for labour. The reader will see this subject further unfolded in an admiiable article on the Effects of Machinery and Acrnmulationj in No. lxix* of the Edinburgh Review. [Z xm coveries respecting the nature and origin of rent which he himself has made. The controversies which at present exist amongst the most celebrated masters of Political Economy have been brought forward by a lively and ingenious author as an objection against the study of the science. A similar objection might have been urged, in a certain stage of its progress, against every branch of human knowledge. A few years ago, when the brilliant discoveries in chy- mistry began to supersede the ancient doctrine of phlo- giston, controversies, analogous to those which now exist amongst Political Economists, divided the pro- fessors of natural knowledge ; and Dr. Priestley, like Mr. Malthus, appeared as the pertinacious champion of the theories which the facts established by himself had so largely contributed to overthrow. In the progress of the human mind a period of controversy amongst the cultivators of any branch of science must necessarily precede the period of their unanimity. But this, instead of furnishing a reason for abandoning the pursuits of science while its first principles remain in uncertainty, should stimulate us to prosecute our studies with more ardour and perseverance, until upon every question Avithin the compass of the human faculties, doubt is removed and certainty attained. With respect to Poli^ tical Economy the period of controversy is passing away, and that of unanimity rapidly approaching. Twenty years hence there will scarcely exist a doubt respecting any of its fundamental principles. j LoNUOPi, tJunc 30, 1821. CONTENTS. CHAP. I. WEALTH — VALUE — PRICE page 1 CHAP. li. ON THE INSTRUMENTS OF PRODUCTION, AND THE DIFFERENT KINDS OF INDUSTRY. 66 ^^■^^^^■^^ CHAP. III. APPROPRIATIVE INDUSTRY 75 CHAP. IV. MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY 83 *^0» while England with- drew from the soil a capital which raised food for five hundred, and employed it in manufac-^ turing cloth, exchanging this cloth for the gold of Portugal, and purchasing with the gold so obtained food for six hundred from the Ameri- can farmer ; then it is equally self-evident, that the capital disengaged from British agriculture by the importation of American produce, so far from being thrown into a state of inactivity, would be reinvested in a more profitable occu-^ pation. The advocates for protecting domestic indus- 271 try by restrictions on the importation of foreign articles, urge, as a further objection, that the foreign market may be glutted with our fabrics, and that, if we allow the importation of foreign produce, it may be found impossible to increase our exports so as to afford, in the extension of manufactures and commerce, a beneficial invest- ment for the capital displaced from the soil. I answer, — that under this supposition, the whole controversy is set at rest* If America will not receive our goods, and if we cannot increase our exports to other foreign countries so as to obtain a quantity of foreign commodities or of gold, with which to pay for American pro- duce ; then, as America will not give it to us for nothing, not one quarter of her produce can be imported into England, and the home grower will be as effectually protected against foreign competition, as if the British Islands were en- compassed with Bishop Berkeley's wall of brass. The objection is destroyed by the very supposi- tion upon which it is founded. In the case of England adopting a free trade with respect to America, while America adheres to a restrictive 272 system with respect to England, if England can- not invest a greater quantity of capital in manu- factures and commerce so as to purchase in other foreign markets the equivalent which America may consent to receive in exchange for her produce^ then no American produce can be imported into England, and no capital turned from domestic agriculture to seek reinvestment in the extension of trade and commerce^ All things Would remain precisely in the same posi- tion as before ; the self-same cause which rendered it impossible to reinvest in manufactures and commerce the capital which might be disengaged from the soil by the importation of foreign pro- duce, depriving us of the means of purchasing that produce, and preventing the occurrence of the circumstance which might dislodge capital from domestic agriculture. I have dwelt upon the iiiterchange betweefl old and new countries of wrought necessaries against raw produce, because it is the species of commerce which has the greatest influence upon national prosperity, and that concerning which the most inveterate prejudices prevail. It is by 273 no means my intention, however, to undervalue the importance of foreign trade in superfluities and luxuries, or to extenuate the absurdity of those who imagine they can give encouragement to domestic industry by encumbering this branch of traffic with restrictions. The more perfectly the international divisions of employment are established, the more entirely each country can confine itself to those occupations in which it possesses natural or acquired advantages, the more abundant the supply of commodities will become. If England, with two capitals, each consisting of subsistence for one hundred, fabri- cates one hundred and fifty bales of cotton, and one hundred bales of silk, while France, with two similar capitals, manufactures one hundred and fifty bales of silk, and one hundred bales of cotton ; then between both countries, two hun- dred and fifty bales of cotton, and two hundred and fifty bales of silk will be produced. But if England withdraws one of her capitals from the fabrication of silk to that of cotton, she will pro- duce three hundred bales of that article, and if France withdraws one of her capitals from the T 274 manufacture of cotton to that of silk, three hun- dred bales of silk will be produced ; and when, according to the law of competition, the half of the one product is exchanged against the half of the other, England will obtain an increase of wealth to the extent of fifty bales of silk, and France an increase to the extent of fifty bales of cotton. An unrestricted commerce in these articles would be reciprocally and equally bene- ficial. Now, supposing that France should become so blind to her own interest as to employ one of her capitals of subsistence for one hundred in manufacturing one hundred bales of cotton in- stead of devoting it to fabricating the silks with which she could purchase oiie hundred and fifty bales of cotton from England, this mistaken policy on the part of France could furnish no conceivable reason why England should imitate the absurd example. The refusal of France to take our cheaper cottons, would not render it less our interest to receive her cheaper silks. If one hundred and fifty bales of French silks continue to be imported, something must be 275 exported to pay for them, and in preparing this something, the capital disengaged from the ma- nufacturing of silk at home, will find a more beneficial occupation than before. Should France refuse to receive every species of British fabric, then the capital displaced from the silk manu- facture by the introduction of her cheaper article, would be employed in preparing a greater quan- tity of goods to be sent to other foreign markets in order to bring back a return in money with which to liquidate our debt to France; and should the state of all other foreign markets be such, that we could not export to them a greater quantity of goods, and thus obtain an equivalent with which to purchase French silks, then as France would not give her fabrics for nothing, no French silks could be imported into Englandj aiid no domestic industry displaced. It never could become necessary for the protection of domestic industry, that We should retaliate upon any foreign country the restrictive system which it may ignorantly enforce against us. For as no Country can export, unless she consents to im- port the equivalents which other countries may 276 be able to return, the only injury the enforce- ment of the restrictive system against our com- merce can inflict, is to prevent the introduction of those articles which the foreigner can furnish cheaper than ourselves, and thus to leave the domestic producer as completely in possession of the home market, as if the most rigorous mea- sures of retaliation were resorted to for his protection. There is one case in which a free foreign trade might impoverish and depopulate a country. When countries have arrived at that ultimate point, beyond which no additional capital can be employed with a profit in raising food and the materials of wrought necessaries, then, if one country were to acquire superior facilities in the production of superfluities and luxuries, the free importation of such articles into the other coun- tries would dislodge a great portion of their capital without presenting any possible opening for reinvestment, and would cause their manufac- turing population to emigrate or perish. As I do not remember that any preceding writer has attended to the peculiar effects which, under 277 these circumstances, a free foreign trade would produce, I shall endeavour to present a clear and precise analysis of the manner in which they would be brought about. Let us suppose, that England and France have each arrived at that point of improvement at which the expenditure of a capital of food and wrought necessaries for one hundred, will raise food for one hundred and fifty-three; and a capital of food and wrought necessaries for fifty prepare wrought necessaries for one hundred and fifty-three, and then the rate of increase or profit will be just two per cent. Let this two per cent, be the lowest rate of profit for the sake of which the capitalist will engage in produc- tion, and let it be impossible to increase the quantity of food, because the next land to be taken in cannot yield the necessary increase of two per cent, upon the capital expended on it. Now, while such continues to be the situation of the two countries with respect to necessaries, let France acquire the power of manufacturing all articles of superfluity and luxury for half the cost at which they can be prepared in England. 278 Under such circumstances, the French manu- facturer might sell his superfluities, and obtain a handsome profit at a price which would be altogether inadequate to replace the capital of English manufacture. For, the French manu- facturer who expended food and wrought neces- saries for one hundred, in working up fifty bales of silk, would gain twenty per cent, if he sold his commodity in the English market for food and clothing for one hundred and twenty, while the British manufacturer who expended food and wrought necessaries for two hundred in preparing a similar article, and afterwards sold it for the same price of food and wrought neces- saries for one hundred and twenty, would lose nearly fifty per cent, by the transaction. If a free trade, therefore, were permitted with France, it would be impossible for the English producer to sell his fabrics at so low a price as the French, and consequently all the food and wrought necessaries which had formerly purchased super- fluities fabricated at home, would now be ex- ported to pay for the cheaper fabrics of France. Nor could the labour and capital dislodged by 279 the introduction of the foreign goods, formerly made at home, find any other profitable occupa-r tion. By the supposition, no additional supply of food and material can be extracted from the soil to replace that exported in exchange for the increased quantity of foreign articles imported, and to afford support to the manufacturing population thereby thrown out of work. The distress would be great and extensive. For, when cultivation had thus attained its ultimate limits, the rent on all the good and middling lands would be extremely high, and proprietors would have a large demand for the fabrics which administer to convenience and luxury, and con- sequently, the number of persons thrown out of work by the supply of these things being received from abroad, would bear a very considerable proportion to that of the whole population. A free foreign trade would be the greatest cala- mity which could befal the country. Other and analogous cases might be stated, in which the unrestricted admission of foreign manufactured articles would be the antecedent of similar distress. In all such cases, the condi- 280 tion essential to the production of the effect I have described, is, that the country importing foreign fabrics, shall have so nearly attained the limits of her agricultural resources, that the labour and capital dislodged from domestic ma- nufactures shall be unable to extract from the soil an additional supply of food and material equal to that which is sent out in exchange for the foreign fabric. We are never to forget, however, that in a country which has advanced so far in wealth and population as to have ap- proached the limits of her agricultural resources, the exchangeable value of raw produce will be very high as compared with wrought goods, and that such a country cannot export the former in exchange for the latter, until all the other countries with which she has dealings, have so pushed their agriculture, and so improved their manufactures, that the difference between the exchangeable value of raw produce and wrought goods shall be greater in the foreign than in the home market. But when will this state of things arrive upon the shores of the Baltic, and of the Euxine, and in the almost boundless tracts of 281 fertile land yet unappropriated throughout the vast continents of North and South America ? The case supposed of a country approaching the ultimate limits of her agricultural resources, and at the same time exporting raw produce in ex- change for wrought goods, so as to deprive her- self of the means of employing her manufacturing population, cannot occur in practice for centuries to come. While there are hypothetical cases in which an unrestricted importation of foreign articles would lead to a diminution of wealth, there are actual cases in which restrictions on the expor- tation of domestic articles would lead to an increasing wealth. The foreign consumers who take our commodities must return to our export- ing merchant such a quantity of other things as will replace, with some increase or profit, all the expenses he incurs in sending these commodities out. If government increase the merchant's expense by imposing a tax on the commodity he exports, then the foreign consumer must either pay our merchant an additional price equal to the tax, or go elsewhere for his article. But if 282 the commodity taxed were peculiar to our own country, and could not be obtained elsewhere, then the foreign consumer would have no alter- native but to receive it, and would be compelled to pay our merchant the increased price neces- sary to cover the tax. Thus a country which possesses commodities peculiar to herself, and generally desired, may render other countries tributory to her by imposing duties on the expor- tation of those things in the production of which she has a natural monopoly, either partial or complete. If, however, the monopoly should be only partial, then the tax imposed on exportation should be less than the difference between the expense of producing the article at home, and the expense of producing it in less favoured countries, so as still to leave our merchants in a situation to undersell competitors in the foreign market. In the preceding section, when considering the effect of restrictions on the colonial trade, I endeavoured to shew, that by one set of regula- tions a mother country might enrich herself at the expense of the colonies, and by another set of regulations increase the wealth of the colonies 283 by diminishing her own. The principles there unfolded apply equally to the foreign trade. If England, by power or by persuasion, can render herself the mart and entrepot for conducting the external trade of another country, she will gain by the rent paid for her docks and warehouses, and by the commission due upon consignments, whether that other country be Jamaica a colony, or the Brazils an independent state. And again ; should England, by a treaty of alliance and commerce, bind the South Americans to receive from the United Kingdom, or oblige herself to receive from South America, goods which other countries could supply at a cheaper rate ; then her gain in the former case, and her loss in the latter, would be precisely analogous to the gain which she acquires and the loss which she suffers when an Act of Parliament imposes similar regulations upon the intercourse between the United Kingdom and the West India Islands. No additional argument can be requisite to prove, that when government, by the imposition of unequal duties, compels the consumer to 4 284 receive the inferior and dearer wines of Portugal, instead of the superior and cheaper wines of France, England suffers a loss of wealth equal to the difference between the price which she now pays for Portugal wine, and the price which, under a system of equal ad valorem duties, she would pay for French wines. It is true, indeed, that when Portugal consents to receive from England fabrics which other coun- tries could supply cheaper, she not only suffers a diminution of wealth in her turn ; but, upon the principle stated in the preceding section, enables England to obtain the wines of Portugal in ex- change Tor a smaller portion of the products of her industry, than she would otherwise be com- pelled to give for them. But the benefits thus reciprocally conferred, do not altogether balance the evils reciprocally inflicted. When two coun- tries, for the mutual encouragement of their industry, agree to receive from each other articles which might be obtained cheaper elsewhere, they place themselves to a certain extent in an artificial and precarious state; and on the interruption of their commercial treaty, either 28.5 from a misunderstanding between themselves^ or through the preponderating influence of some powerful neighbour, the revulsion and derange- ment which succeed are more considerable than they would have been, had industry been left to flow in the more natural, and therefore more per- manent channels, which it would have worked out for itself. But, though the policy of purely commercial treaties, binding the contracting parties to re- ceive from each other articles which can be procured cheaper elsewhere, is always more than doubtful ; the same objections do not apply to those partly commercial and partly political arrangements, by which a great naval power may obtain exclusive privileges in the markets of a minor state, in return for protecting her trade, or sustaining her independence. During the period of the formidable family compact between the different branches of the house of Bourbon, Portugal, in giving peculiar encourage- ment to the trade and navigation of England, recruited the force which preserved her from becoming a dependency of Spain ; and the 286 increase of wealth which England obtained by being enabled to purchase a larger portion of the productions of Portugal with a smaller portion of her own, was but a fair and moderate equi- valent for the additional expenses she incurred, and ought not to have been attended with the drawback arising from her being obliged to give for the inferior wines of her ally a greater quan- tity of her commodities than that for which she might havd obtained the superior wines of France. A country may grant exclusive privi- leges to the trade and marine of a natural ally^ just on the sariie principle on which she may grant tliem to her own. In either case, it may be sound policy to sacrifice some portion of wealth in order to increase security. A remarkable instance of the ptbpriety of occasionally departing from economical princi- ples, in order to provide for national security and power, is exhibited in the Navigation Act of England. When this famous Act tvas passed, enormous taxes upon the necessaries of life had reduced the rate of profit in the i-epublic of Holland very much belbtv the level of the rest 287 of Europe; and consequently her ship-owners were content with receiving lower freights than those of other countries, and were engrossing the carrying trade of the world. As far as mere wealth is concerned, there can exist nd doubt that England, under such circumstances^ would have been a gainer by paying the low freight of the Dutch, and turning her oWh capi- tals from the carriage of goods to those branches of direct production in which she could realise a higher profit. Assuming, for illustratioti, that the rate of profit was fifteen per cent; in England^ and only ten per cent, in Holland, then what- ever amount of capital England might disengage from her carrying trade and invest in agriculture or manufactures, would reproduce itself, not only with the ten per cent, profit, to be paid upon the same amount of Dutch capital which supplied the place of British capital in the carrying trade, but also with an additional surplus of five per cent. But if HoUand had been suffered to engross our carrying trade, her mercantile marine would have covered, and her military marine commanded the seas ; and England, for the sake 288 of a comparatively trifling accession of wealth, would have lost her place in Europe. As the several nations of the world advance in wealth and population, the commercial inter- course between them must gradually become less important and beneficial. I have already shewn that the species of foreign trade which has the most powerful influence in raising profits and increasing wealth, is that which is carried on between an old country in which raw produce bears a high value in relation to wrought goods, and a new country where wrought goods possess a high exchangeable power with respect to raw produce. Now, as new countries advance in population, the cultivation of inferior soils must increase the cost of raising raw produce, and the division of labour reduce the expense of working it up. Hence, in all new settlements, the increas- ing value of raw produce must gradually check its exportation, and the falling value of wrought goods progressively prevent their importation ; until at length the commercial intercourse be- tween nations shall be confined to those peculiar articles, in the production of which the immut- able circumstances of soil and climate give one country a permanent advantage over another. On this ultimate and necessary limitation of foreign trade Mr. Malthus has founded an argu- ment against the extension of the most beneficial of all branches of commerce, namely, that which is carried on between old and new countries. But surely there is no sound wisdom in refusing to enjoy a decided advantage at the present time, because in the lapse of ages we must lose it- On the same principle we ought not to live because hereafter we must die. When we con- sider the situation of the countries bordering on the Baltic and the Euxine, — when we look to Southern Africa and to the vast continents of North and South America, we shall be convinced that centuries must roll away before the full peopling of the world interposes difficulties in the way of England's exchanging her cheap manu- factured goods for the cheap agricultural produce of less advanced countries. V 290 Section Y.-^On Money, and Paper Currency, Throughout the illustrations and reason- ings contained in the preceding chapters, I have in general excluded money from consideration, and taken the interchange of commodities as a system of direct barter. This was necessary, in order to simplify complicated questions, and to enable us to arrive at our conclusions by the shortest and most obvious process. When the hypothesis which we employ for the purpose of tracing out and elucidating the principles of economical science, has a reference to money, we are apt to be involved in confusion and error, in consequence of our attention being directed, not to what is essential and inherent in the case before us, but to some circumstance or accident connected with the commodity which happens to be employed as the medium of exchange, and practical measure of value. Having, therefore, in the former divisions of this work, alluded as 291 little as possible to the operation of a circulating medium, it becomes necessary that I should, in the present section, give some account of the origin and nature of money, and of the manner in which it aids production. As soon as the divisions of employment be- came tolerablv well established, arid individuals began to supply their wants and gratify their desires by transferring the surplus products of each other's industry, the necessity of having some medium of exchange must immediately have been felt. If the transfer of commodities were performed by means of barter, the business of life would be subject to the most inconvenient interruptions and delays. A farmer, for example, who had in his barn a larger quantity of wheat than he required for the consumption of his family, and who destined the overplus to pur- chase for them a supply of shoes, would be obliged to proceed with a quantity of his wheat to the shoe-maker, and to endeavour to negociate an exchange. Now, it might probably happen that the first shoe-maker whom he accosted, had already obtained all the wheat he meant to con- 292 sume ; and, therefore, the farmer would be under the necessity of remaining without shoes, until he could find a shoe-maker who wanted wheat- If unfortunately the whole trade were already supplied with wheat, the farmer would be under the necessity of endeavouring to ascertain what was the article the shoe-maker wished to pro** cure; and if this article was beer, then, as a preliminary to his future negociation with the shoe-maker, he would be compelled to apply to the brewer to exchange a portion of beer for wheat. But the brewer might also be supplied with wheat ; and, therefore, the farmer would be obliged, in the first instance, to endeavour to exchange his wheat for some commodity desired by the brewer, in order that with it he might purchase the beer with which he afterwards meant to procure shoes* Tedious as this process may appearj it is one of the simplest cases which could be stated for the purpose of pointing out and explaining the laborious path which, if the circulating medium were withdrawn, and all transactions performed by barter, every man would be compelled to 293 tread, in endeavouring to supply his wants by- parting with the surplus products of his industry. It must be obvious to any one who will take time to examine the question, that the course would often be far more tedious and intricate, before the repeated interchange at length pro^ cured for the individual the particular commo*. dity which he wanted. Neither is this the sole source of the labour which would be imposed upon man, if transac- tions were conducted in the way of barter. As in this case there would exist no acknowledged practical standard, by which the value of com- modities could be measured; in adjusting the terms of exchanging them, an inquiry would have to be undertaken for the purpose of deter- mining their relative worth. If the brewer, to whom the farmer applied, wished to have some wheat, and it so happened, that neither the farmer had antecedently exchanged wheat for beer, nor the brewer beer for wheat, they would be at a loss to fix the quantity of wheat that should be given for a gallon of beer. If, indeed, each had luckily already procured a leg of the 294 same sheep, in exchange for the commodity he possessed, they might then discover the relative value of the wheat and the beer ; because, two things equal to one and the same thing, are equal to one another : but as it would probably happen that the farmer and brewer had not exchanged wheat and beer for the same com- modity, they could not have recourse to this easy mode of deciding the portion of wheat which ought to be parted with, for the acquisi- tion of a given quantity of beer. The course, therefore, which the farmer would have to pursue, even after he had undergone the labour necessary to discover a brewer who wanted wheat, might be exceedingly laborious, before he could trace out, by the examination of various exchanges, some one interchange which afforded a com- parison between the value of the wheat and of the beer. If this, however, could not be discovered, the farmer would be obhged, as the only means of determining the terms of the exchange, to insti- tute an inquiry into the quantities of labour or of capital which wheat and beer respectively 295 required for their production. Now, this being done, and the beer obtained, it is plain that the farmer might be under the necessity of repeating the same operation in negociating the exchange for the shoes. The exertion and expense attend- ing the interchange of commodities might equal, and, perhaps, on some occasions exceed, the exer* tion and expense required for their production. To avoid these circuitous operations, and to save the time and labour required when the transactions of mercantile industry are carried on by way of barter, each individual, as soon as the divisions of employment were tolerably well established, must have found an interest in keeping constantly by him some commodity, which being of known value and of universal consumption, would be readily received by his neighbours in exchange for such portions of their surplus productions as he might occasionally re- quire. Now, when men had seen this commodity frequently employed as the means of exchanging Other commodities, they would become wilHng to receive a greater quantity of it than might fee necessary for their own consumption, under 296 the confidence, that whatever articles they wanted, might at any time be procured for it. Passing freely from hand to hand, its value would be universally known ; it would be em- ployed to compute or measure the value of aU Other things ; and in this manner a medium of exchange, a rude species of money, would be established. Various commodities have, at different times, and in different countries, been employed for the purpose of measuring the value of other articles, and exchanging them against each other. In the rude ages, cattle are said to have been the common medium ; and accords ingly we find, that in old times, things were frequently valued according to the number of cattle which had been given for them. But cattle must have been a most inconvenient in^ strument of exchange. The person who wished to purchase a supply of cloth, and who had nothing to give in exchange for it but a sheep or an ox, would be obliged to buy cloth to the value of a whole sheep, or a whole ox, at a time, He covjld not buy less, because his medium of 297 exchange, his money, could not be divided with- out loss ; and if he wished to purchase more, he would for the same reason be obliged to take double or treble the quantity, — the value of two or three sheep, or two or three oxen. Now,, it is evident, that a medium so bulky, so un port- able, and indivisible as cattle, would frequently obstruct the interchange of commodities. Find' ing it often difficult, and sometimes impossible, to exchange by means of cattle, the surplus pro-, ducts of their respective industry, for the precise quantity of other articles which they might require, the inhabitants of the country in which cattle formed the only acknowledged measure of value, would on many occasions be compelled to supply their various wants by combining in their own persons, a variety of occupations. The divi-r sions of employment would therefore be very im^ perfectly established ; the productive powers of industry would be checked; and the country withheld from the acquisition of that general opulence which, if it possessed a more perfect instrument of mercantile industry, it would be capable of acquiring. 298 A knowledge of these inconveniencies seems at length to have led all nations to employ the precious metals as the measure of value and tnedium of exchange. For these functions they ^re admirably calculated. They can not only be kept without waste, and without expense, for any length of time which may be necessary, but they can be divided into any number of parts, ^nd reunited without loss. Hence, the person who possesses gold and silver can, when general consent has rendered them the instrument of exchange, at all times proportion their quantity to the precise quantity of the commodity which he wants; and thus make what purchases he pleases. But though the metals are thus admirably adapted for facilitating the transactions of mer- ijantile industry, their utility as a medium of exchange was, in the early periods of society, limited by two very considerable inconveniencies, • —-the trouble of weighing, and of assaying them. As a small difference in the quantity of a piece :of gold or silver makes a great difference in its value, weighing the metals with proper exact- 299 ness becomes an operation of much nicety ; and if performed previously to every purchase, would very much obstruct the exchange of commodi- ties, and thus prevent the divisions of employ- ment from being thoroughly established. Ascer- taiiiing the fineness of the precious metals is an operation still more difficult and tedious, and cannot be performed without exposing them to the action of proper solvents. To do this pre- vious to every purchase would be impossible. The trader, therefore, while bullion continued to be the sole instrument of exchange, must have been compelled to guess from external appearance the fineness of the metals which he received for his goods. This would expose him to the grossest impositions, and often oblige him to receive, instead of a pound of pure silver or gold, an adulterated composition of the cheapest materials, which had, however, in outward ap- pearance been made to resemble one or other of those metals. Now, while the profits of the merchant continued in this manner at the mercy of every knave in the community, it must have be^ difljicult for him to have carried on any 300 very active or extensive operations. The inter- change of commodities must have been ob- structed ; and, therefore, the productive powers of industry reduced to that languid state which is ever the consequence of individuals combining in their own persons a variety of occupations. The inconveniencies which were felt while bullion continued to be the sole medium of ex. change, gave occasion to the establishment of coined money. In all countries which have made any advance towards improvement, it has been found necessary to ascertain by a public stamp, the weight and the fineness of those pieces of the precious metals which are commonly em- ployed in the market to purchase goods. The first public stamps which were impressed on the current metals, seem to have been intended to ascertain their fineness or purity, and to have resembled the sterling mark which is at present affixed to plate, and bars of silver ; or the Spanish mark sometimes affixed to ingots of gold. By this mark, base adulterated metals were excluded from the market; and hence, while the merchant, no longer exposed to the risk of receiving, 301 instead of gold and silver, compositions of cheaper materials resembling these materials, acquired confidence and ability to extend his speculations^ the exchange of commodities became more fre- quent, and the divisions of employment were more accurately established* But the difficulty and inconvenience of weigh- ing the metals with sufficient exactness still con- tinued, until a public stamp was devised* which covering both sides of the piece* and sometimes it edges also^ ascertained not only its fineness* but the quantity of metal it contained. In this was effected the last improvement of which metallic money seems susceptible; and coin* from its superior utility and convenience, became* with respect to the internal transactions of every country in which it was established* the univer- sal measure of value, and medium of exchange. At first, the name or denomination of the coin expressed the quantity of metal which it con- tained. In England* for example, the pound sterling contained originally a real pound weight of silver* of known fineness ; and a penny, a real penny weight, the twentieth part of an ounce. 302 and the two hundred and fortieth part of a pound. This relative value between the different deno- minations of our coined money still continues ; but, in consequence of repeated deterioration, the denomination has long since ceased to express the quantity of metal which our coins contain. This is of no very material importance at present ; though the debasing of the coin at the periods when it took place, must have effected an unjust and ruinous violation of the spirit of all existing contracts. If the stamps affixed by the autho- rity of the state to the gold and silver pieces which are circulated through the country, cer- tify faithfully, that those pieces are of a given weight and fineness, it seems immaterial whether the weight of each piece be implied in the name. All that the public good requires is, that in the daily and hourly operations of trade, the time and expense of vv eighing and assaying the metals shall be saved. When public stamps assure us that the pieces circulating in the market, no matter by what name they may be called, con- tain a certain quantity of gold or silver, this is effectually done ; and this being done, mercan- 303 tile industry receives all the facilities which th^ establishment of coined money seems capable of affording it. From what has been said in the preceding paragraphs, respecting its origin and nature, money may be defined to be, a commodity pos^ sessing intrinsic value, and rendered, by general consent, the medium of exchange, and the prac- tical measure for computing the relative ex- changeable value of other things. These circumstances, the possession of unde- rived exchangeable value, and the being ren- dered by general consent the medium of exchange, and the practical measure for computing the relative value of other things, are essential to money; and in these every article which has been employed as money, from the most barbae rous to the most polished times, have equally partaken. According, indeed, to the degree of improvement, and to the extent to which the division of employment has been carried, the articles constituting this instrument of mercan- tile industry, will be found more or less convex nient ; but in the essential properties which we 504 have tnentioned, they all must have agreed. Cattle, the money of ancient times, possessed a high exchangeable value ; by cattle^ purchases were made; and tve read, that in cattle the relative exchangeable value of the armour of the ancient heroes was computed. Every other article which, in the daAVn of civilization, may at any time have been employed as money, must have performed similar functions ; and functions precisely similar are, though with incalculably more facility and convenience, performed by the coined money of European States. In the business of life, the term money is sel- dom Used in its most extended setise. When a merchant tells his foreign correspondent that he will pay him in money, the expression has a reference to bullion, the commodity which gene- ral consent has rendered the criterion of value, and the medium of exchange, in the great com- mercial republic ; and when he engages to dis- charge a domestic debt in money, the signification of the term is still farther limited, and implies the coined metal only which general consent and the law of the land may, in his particular 305 country, have made the instrument of exchange, and the practical measure of exchangeable value. Thus the term, money, with respect to the civilized commercial world, means gold and silver ; with respect to any particular nation, it means that nation's current coin. In tracing the origin of money, and stating the functions it performs, we were necessarily led to notice the manner in which it aids the production of wealth. Without some article of known exchangeable value, readily received as an equivalent for other things, and serving as a practical measure of their relative worth, the interchange of commodities must have been very limited, and consequently the divisions of em- ployment very imperfectly established. Now, money obviates these evils, and by a two-fold operation augments production. In the first place, it saves all that time and labour whicli, while the intercourse between man and man is carried on by barter, must frequently intervene before a person can be supplied with the quantity of the commodity which he wants. In the second place, and in consequence of its saving the time X 306 and labour which must otherwise be spent in effecting exchanges, it multiplies the transactions of mercantile industry, and thus allows the divi- sions of employment to be more thoroughly esta- blished. By the first operation, it disengages a very considerable portion of labour from an un- productive occupation, and enables it to receive a more useful direction. By the second operji" tion, it increases in a very high degree the pro- ductive powers of the labour already usefully employed; it assists every man in avaihng himself of the dexterity and skill which he may have acquired in any particular calling, and promotes cultivation in a manner suitable to the climate and soil of different districts and of dif- ferent countries. And by both these operations, money increases, to an extent not easy to be calculated, the wealth of the communities in which it is established. But, though money performs these important functions, the employment of it is attended with certain inconveniencies which considerably limit its utility as an instrument of mercantile in- dustry. In the first place, however portable the 307 materials of which it is composed may be, in comparison with other articles, it cannot be conveyed to distant places without considerable labour and expense. In the next place, the country which employs metallic money, must be at considerable expense in acquiring and sup- porting it ; must devote an important portion of her productive industry either to the working of mines, or to the fabricating of articles with which to purchase the metals from other coun- tries in which they are worked* And, in th^ third place, when money constitutes the only medium of exchange, the most opulent merchant may frequently find it impossible to turn hi3 stock into cash, with sufficient promptitude to enable him to seize the opportunities of the market. The inconveniencies and delays to which mercantile industry was exposed^ while metal- lic money continued to be the only medium of exchange, would naturally suggest the expedi^ ency of employing some substitute fol* gold and silver. The substitute which most readily pre- sented itself was paper credit. Traders desirous 308 of purchasing goods, and possessing the neces- sary capital for doing so, finding it impossible to call in their debts, or to turn their stock into money with sufficient celerity to carry their speculations into effect, would endeavour to make the purchases they desired, by giving a note or bond payable on some future day. Now, if the people in the neighbourhood had such confi- dence in the wealth and probity of the issuer of such note or bond, as to believe he would be able to discharge it as soon as it became due, the person who might receive it, would find no difficulty in paying it away, either in the dis- charge of a debt, or in the purchase of other goods. Thus this paper security might circulate from hand to hand, supplying the place of a more expensive instrument of exchange, and of one too, which could not be transported without labour, nor procured with sufficient promptitude to meet the unforeseen opportunities of the market. As confidence and credit were established, bills of exchange became the principal medium by which the more distant operations of mer- 309 cantile industry were carried on. These bills were found so beneficial, not only in supplying, by a most convenient substitute, the sudden demands for money, but also in obviating the labour, risk, and delay, incident upon the trans- mission of the precious metals ; that first the usage of merchants, and afterwards the laws of commercial states, encouraged their circulation by peculiar privileges. The circulation of bills of exchange was greatly extended, and their utility, as an instru- ment of trade and commerce, very much in- creased, by their being made payable some time after date. A, might wish to purchase a quan- tity of goods which B. was desirous of selling ; but if B. had occasion for ready money, and if A. though a thriving and opulent trader, could not call in his debts, or dispose of his stock, so as to procure an immediate supply of cash, this transaction, though mutually beneficial and mutually desired, might never take place. But if A. gave a bill payable at three months upon a substantial merchant who happened to owe him the money, and B. from the confidence reposed 310 in the drawer and acceptor of the bill, could readily dispose of it in the market, then the obstacle to their dealing would be at once removed. For this bill being easily turned into cash, would to B, answer all the purposes of ready money ; while the circumstance of its not being payable until after the expiration of ninety days, would enable A. to avail himself instantaneously of the sum then falling due to him, and to prosecute what he conceived to be a profitable speculation. Thus, in a country where credit is understood and established, every debt which one solvent trader owes to another may, by making bills of exchange payable some time after date, be transferred from hand to hand ; and, as a substitute for money, supply any sudden demand which happens to arise for a medium of exchange. But the circumstance which gave bills of exchange the utmost degree of circulation and utility which they seem capable of attaining, was the establishment of banks. The operations of banking, as connected with bills of exchange, are of a two-fold nature. In the first place. 311 every respectable banker keeps cash accounts with the banking-houses of the principal trading towns with which the merchants in his neigh- bourhood have intercourse — gives bills of ex- change drawn upon these houses, and accepts the bills which they in return draw upon him. By this operation of banking, the debts and credits of different countries, and of different districts of the same country, are balanced with-* out the intervention of the precious metals ; — facility is imparted to aU the transactions of trade; and the risk and expense of transmitting the precious metals are avoided. In the second place, banks freely discount good bills of exchange, and by this means greatly extend their circulation, and increase their utiUty. For though a good bill of exchange will readily pas^ in payment from one merchant to another, — yet in the general market they cannot enter freely into circulation, nor serve for the small and retail purchases of daily expenditure. The holder of many such bills, if he were unable to discount them, might be put to serious incon- venience. But by the operations of banking this 312 inconvenience incident upon the holding of bills is completely obviated; and the possessor of them, confident that they may enable him to answer aU calls for small sums, and to make what retail purchases he pleases, feels as much security as if he had money to a similar amount actually in his coffers. Bankers at first discounted bills in the cur- rent coin of their respective countries ; and afterwards, as confidence increased, they adopted the practice of discounting in their own promis- sory notes. This effected the last improvement of which paper currency seems susceptible. When the inhabitants of any particular neighbourhood have such confidence in the honour and wealth of any set of bank proprietors, as to believe that they are ready at all times to pay upon demand, such of their promissory notes as are likely to be presented to them, these notes come to have the same currency as money, from the confidence that the value which they represent may always be procured for them. Now, though some of these notes are daily returned to the bank for payment, yet a considerable part of them may 313 continue in circulation for months and years together. Ten thousand pounds in money may be sufficient to answer the casual demands occa- sioned by the issue of a hundred thousand pounds in promissory notes. In this case, therefore, ten thousand pounds in the precious metals, may perform all the functions which a hundred thou- sand pounds could otherwise have performed; and bills of exchange may be discounted to almost any extent which the transactions of trade may require. But paper currency is not confined to bills of exchange, and the promissory notes of bankers. This instrument of trade may be defined, after the Abbe Morellet, to consist of every acknow* ledgment of debt or obligation ; every stipula- tion by writing between a debtor and creditor, which obliges the former to pay, and authorises the latter to exact, a value ; and which, being capable of conveyance, becomes the means of transferring the property of these values from one to another, without transporting the things valuable in substance. More simply, as money is that which possesses an independent exchange- 314 able value, and which is rendered, by general consent, the medium of transferring, and the practical measure for valuing other things; so paper currency is that which represents ex- changeable value, and which is admitted by general consent and confidence, as an instru- ment for exchanging, and as a measure for computing the value of other things. In explaining the principle which occasioned the establishment of paper currency, and in tracing the steps by which it has been improved and perfected, it was impossible not to make some allusion to the nature and extent of the benefits which it confers. These benefits, how- ever, demand a more specific examination. As the inconveniencies attending the employ- ment of metallic money have been seen to be three^fold, the advantage resulting from the use of this substitute for money, is three-fold also. In the first place, a paper currency saves all the labour and capital which would otherwise be expended in transporting the metallic medium^ and enables them to be employed in direct pro- duction. In the second place, it saves and turns 315 to the business of direct production, all the labour and capital which would otherwise be absorbed in procuring and maintaining a metallic currency. And, in the thit*d place, it bestows upon the circulating medium an elastic principle which multiplies the transactions of mercantile industry, and improves the productive powers of all the labour and capital employed throughout the country. Though gold and silver contain great value in small bulk, yet transporting them backward and forward for the purpose of effecting each parti^ cular transaction of trade, would be attended with a very considerable expense of labour and capital. In an industrious and opulent nation, each town and each district is perpetually selling to, and buying from, every other town and district; and if purchases could not be made without the immediate agency of money, the nietals would be in a perpetual state of flux and reflux through the country. While the shopkeeper of London was sending guineas to purchase fabrics from the manufacturer of Manchester, the shopkeeper of Manchester would be transmitting them to pay ,316 for goods obtained from the manufacturer in London. And while one merchant in Liverpool was conveying gold to Birmingham, in order to purchase iron work for exportation, the retail dealer in Birmingham might be transmitting that metal to another merchant in Liverpool, to purchase the foreign or colonial goods he had imported. Now, by means of bills of exchange, and the operations of banking, the risk and expense of transporting the metals is almost altogether saved. Debts and credits are balanced without the immediate instrumentality of money, and a considerable portion of labour and capital is disengaged from conducting circulation, and turned to the work of direct production. In the second place, bills of exchange, the promissory notes of bankers, and the other writ- ten engagements of which paper currency is composed, have scarcely any intrinsic value, and may be fabricated at little or no expense ; while coined money, on the contrary, consists of very costly materials, and very curious workmanship. When, therefore, a paper, is substituted for a metallic cuiTency, a very considerable saving is 317 produced. Now, it is evident, that every saving which can be effected in the capital employed in conducting the circulation of commodities, will allow of an increase in the capital employed in producing them. As the undertaker of a great manufactory, who employs a thousand a year in the maintenance of his machinery, will, if he can reduce this expense to five hundred, employ the other five hundred in purchasing an additi- onal quantity of materials, to be wrought up by an additional number of workmen : so a great country, which expends annually a million sterling, in maintaining the circulating medium, if that expense can, without impeding the trans- actions of trade, be reduced to a hundred thou- sand pounds, will apply the remaining nine hundred in direct production ; — will procure and work up a greater quantity of raw produce ; —will extend her agriculture, — increase her manufactures, and thus augment the mass of commodities. As it is impossible to ascertain, with any pre- cision, the amount of the circulating medium, which a country at any time employs, we can 318 form no colTect estimate of the extent of the saving effected by substituting paper currency for coin. Even if we knew the amount of all the promissory notes uttered by the several banking companies, we should not thence be able to ascertain the quantity of the precious metals supplanted by paper currency. Of that paper currency the notes of bankers form a small part. In an opulent country, where credit is esta- blished, all mercantile transactions of any consi- derable magnitude are conducted by bills of exchange ; and every good bill which is received in payment for goods — every security which passes in the market, — supplies the place of money, and enables lis to appropriate to direct production, capital which would otherwise be required to support the circulating medium^ Now, when we reflect for a moment on the enormous amount of the bills of exchange, and other paper securities which enter annually into the circulation of a great commercial country ; when we consider that every debt which one solvent trader owes to another, may be drawn foi' by a bill payable at some future day, and thus 319 converted into a species of paper currency, ready to supply any sudden demand which may arise for cash, we must be struck and astonished at the almost incalculable amount of capital which is saved and turned to direct production, by thus supplanting the metallic medium. If a country were to withdraw from the business of direct production, — from agriculture and manufactures, a quantity of capital sufficient to purchase and keep up the metallic medium, which the diffe- rent kinds of paper securities now so conve- niently supplant, industry would receive an alarming check, and the mass of commodities sustain a fatal diminution. But, in the third place, if we were even to withdraw from direct production, — ^from agricul- ture and manufactures, a portion of capital sufficient to purchase and to coin the quantity of metal which credit now supplants, we could not bestow upon the circulating medium the convenience and utility which it derives from being in a great measure composed of paper currency. For, to omit the repetition of what we have already said respecting the risk and 320 expense of making large and distant payments in the metals, a well-regulated paper currency bestows upon the circulating medium an elastic principle, which supplies instantaneously each sudden and unexpected demand for cash* This part of the benefit obtained by substituting a paper for a metallic currency, is precisely analogous to that which is derived from substi- tuting money transactions for those of barter. When money transactions are substituted for those of barter, the exchange of commodities is facilitated, the divisions of employment are more thoroughly established, and the productive powers of industry are heightened in a degree not easy to be calculated. When a paper, is substituted for a metallic currency, similar effects are pro- duced. All the merchants and dealers through- out the country are, by means of bills of exchange and the operations of banking, enabled to convert the sums falling due to them into a convenient representative of money, and to effect purchases and interchanges of commodities, which could not otherwise take place* The facilities thus afforded to the operations of mercantile industry, 321 enable eacli individual to devote himself move exclusively to his particular calling, to husband his time, and acquire increasing dexterity and skill, or to bestow upon his field a cultivation better calculated to co-operate with nature ; while these more accurate divisions of mechanical and territorial employment give, in every occupation, increasing energy to the productive powers of labour and capital, and swell from a thousand springs the stream of human happiness. The nature of the several benefits conferred upon a country by the establishment of a well regulated paper currency, is sufficiently obvious and easy of comprehension ; but the precise extent of these benefits it would be difficult, nay, impossible, to ascertain. To calculate the amount of the different paper securities, whether public or private, which in a great commercial country serve as instruments of exchange, and disengage, for direct production, the capital which would otherwise be expended in transmitr- ting money, and hi procuring and supporting a metallic medium; to examine witli accuracy, how far: these paper securities are calculated to meet Y 522 those sudden and temporary demands for cash, which a less elastic medium could not supply; and to trace out the additional exchange of commodi- ties, the improved divisions of employment, and the heightened powers of production incident thereon, are all necessary preliminaries which must be disposed of before we can form a correct conception of the extent of the benefit which a country may derive from a paper currency. But though the precise amount of the benefit cannot be ascertained, its magnitude is sufficient to fill the imagination, and to excite the surprise of all who turn their attention to this important branch of economical science. Though we can- not estimate the amount of the paper securities which at any given period enter into circulation, nor calculate precisely the saving of capital,— the additional exchanges, — the new divisions of employment, — and the consequent increased production to which they give occasion; yet, on the most superficial view of the subject, we must be struck with the advantages arising from all the sums which in a great commercial country, one solvent trader owes to another, 323 liecaming, in ecmsequence of bills of exchange, and the notes of bankers, capable of being thrown into the channels of circulation, and of instan- taneously supplying, as a substitute for money, every sudden increase in the demand for an instrument of exchange. Mercantile industry is facilitated in a thousand ways. The great wheel of circulation, revolving unimpeded, with a rapid motion distributes to the several members of the community the surplus products of each other's industry. No man is compelled to waste his time, and throw away his acquired skill, by com- bining in his own person, a variety of callings ; or to cultivate an ear of corn, or a blade of grass, upon an uncongenial soil. Labour is subdivided and abridged in a thousand ways ; and by con- sequence, the productive powers of industry, and the quantity of all useful commodities, are increased. Having thus shewn the manner in which money and paper currency aid the acquisition of wealth, I shall now endeavour to trace the effects which a diminution and increase in the value of 324 the circulating medium are respectively calcu- lated to produce. The first, and certainly the most injurious consequence of a fall in the value of the circulat- ing medium, is the reduction which it effects in the real wages of labour. A fall in the value of money is the same thing as a rise in the price of all the necessaries of life; and experience proves to us, that the rate of wages is somewhat tardy in proportioning itself to the price of neces- saries. In almost all trades the sum which is paid for labour is regulated by a contract, tacit or implied, between the masters and the work- men ; and, notwithstanding the fluctuations in the value of money, and in the price of necessa- ries, it varies but little for considerable periods. The tardiness with which money wages adjust themselves to the price of subsistence, is, in England, increased by the operation of the Poor Laws. The reward of labour has a constant tendency to settle down to that quantity of subsistence which, from climate and custom, is necessary, to enable the labourer to bring up 325 such a family as will keep the supply of labour even with the demand : for, if he receives more than this, the quantity of labour will increascj and its value fall ; and if he receive less, its quantity will diminish, and its value rise. But if the parish undertake to support the labourer's family, either wholly or in part, the masters will no longer be compelled, by the law of supply and demand, to give their workmen a sum suf- ficient to purchase this quantity of subsistence ; and a fall in the value of money, or a rise in the price of provisions, will be followed, not by an advance in money wages, but by an increase in the poor rates. # These evils, however, could only be of short duration, and would be counteracted by the other effects of an increased circulation. When the value of money falls, there is nothing to prevent the price of labour from rising in the same proportion w ith that of other things, except the compact, expressed or implied, which regu- lates the rate of wages in the several trades. \ The laws against combination have probably the effect of rendering this compact less flexible 326 than it otherwise would be, and of preventing the money rate of wages from conforming to the price of subsistence, so as to keep their real rate at tJ^e level marked by the proportion between the supply of labour and the demand for it. However, notwithstanding these laws, a fall in the value of money would gradually force upon masters a proportional rise in the wages of their workmen — unless, indeed, a dimi- nution in the demand for labour were to take place. But a fall in the value of money, instead of diminishing, would, for some time, increase the demand for labour. As long as this fall i:aised the price of goods, without effecting an equivalent rise in the rate of money wages, the profits of stock would be increased; and thus the master's capital would accumulate more rapidly, while he would have a stronger motive to employ upon productive labour all the stock which his wealth or credit enabled him to com- mand. The alterations, too, which a fall in the value of the currency would effect in the distribution of wealth, would all be in favour of the produc- 327 tive classes, and tend to encourage industry, and to increase the demand for labour. During the currency of his lease, the farmer receives an important benefit; the amount of his rent re* maining stationary, while the price of his pro-* duce rises. So far, indeed, as the landlord is concerned, it is unjust and injurious that the rent should be paid in a currency of diminished value. What, the farmer gained, he would lose. But wealth, in the hands of the farmer, is more bene- ficial to the country than wealth in the hands of the landlord. By the one, it is expended pro- ductively — as capital; by the other, unproduc- tively — as reveime. While, therefore, we cannot defend the injustice of violating the spirit of the contract between landlord and tenant, by caus- ing the stipulated rent to be paid in a depre- ciated currency, we must admit, that increasing the farmer's profits, though it be at the landlord's expense, gives him at once the power and the inducement to cultivate with more spirit, and to afford employment to a greater number of hands. In the other branches of industry, a diminu- ■ 328 tion in the value of the currency would also be, in some respects, favourable. Until wages rose in proportion to the necessaries of life, all would obtain a rate of profit, somewhat higher than before. Besides, a rising scale of prices has a kind of magical effect upon trade, and inspires that confidence and credit, which give an height- ened power to all the springs of production. Confidence, like those prophecies which occasion their own fulfilment, creates that increased demand which it anticipates. The masters in . every trade fabricate that quantity of their respective commodities, for which they expect a profitable sale. Increase this expectation, in^ spire them with more confidence in obtaining a favourable market, and the supply of all sorts of goods will be immediately augmented. Now, if a single individual were to be seized with an unusual confidence, and, under its influence, were to fabricate a more than customary quan- tity of his peculiar article, then the other indi- viduals of the community not having an enlarged power of purchasing, the supply of this article would be increased beyond the demand, and its 329 producer s expectations of advantage would be disappointed. Very different is the result when the increase of confidence becomes general. In this case there is a greater quantity of commodities produced in all the branches of industry, and each class, having more goods to dispose of, will enlarge the market for the others. For example ; if, in consequence of a growing and universal confi- dence, commodities in general were increased by a fourth, then the shoe-maker would have more shoes to dispose of; but as the consumer would have a greater quantity of the ingredients of capital to exchange against them, the demand for shoes would increase, in an equal proportion with the supply. The other industrious classes liaving a greater quantity of their respective commodities to exchange, these would also meet an enlarged demand, proportioned to their aug- mented supply, and would consequently retain the same value as before. It is easy to see, that if the general confidence had occasioned an im- provement in the quality, instead of an increase in the quantity of commodities, the effect would be the same. In this manner, confidence, wlien 330 general, always creates that enlargement o£ the market which it anticipates ; and hence a rising scale of prices imparts a brisker flow to industry, through all its varied channels. With respect to those engaged in commerce, a depreciation in the currency is beneficial to the debtor, and injurious to the creditor. But as every considerable trader must have bills to pay, as well as to receive, and is, at one and the same time, both a debtor and a creditor, the injury and the benefit will in some degree balance each other. Even he who is exclusively a creditor will receive some compensation for his loss. The brisker flow of trade will render the backward more prompt in their payments, and enable some to make good their engage- ments, who could not otherwise have paid at all; and will thus ensure him a quicker return, and diminish the number of his bad debts. The greater facility in obtaining discounts, which an increased issue of currency bestows, is also to be taken into the account. To the rash and gam- bling trader this may be an injury; encouraging him to engage in S|3eculations ultimately ruinous 331 to himself, and prejudicial to the country. But this objection proves too much. It might be urged with equal force against every species of commercial credit. An advantage is not to be disregarded, because imprudent people may use it to their own destruction. A few may make over-sanguine calculations, and undertake losing speculations, but the great majority of those who engage in mercantile pursuits will profit by every facility of discount and increase of credit which enables them to extend their transac- tions. A diminution in the value of the currency would have the effect of lowering the salaries of all the servants of the state, whether civil or military. Now the labour of these persons, however useful and important, effects no direct addition to the wealth of the community. The salaries advanced to them are not expended productively, as capital; and if their services are as efficiently performed, when they are paid in a depreciated currency, as when paid in one of undiminished value, the difference is a clear gain to the public. With respect to all !:^: 332 other annuitaDts, to the mortgagee, and to the fund-holder, their case would be nearly the same as that of the land-owner. The diminu- tion effected in their real income would be mani- festly unjust, but it would in no way obstruct production, or retard the prosperity of the coun- try. It would have rather a contrary effect. What was taken from the annuitant would be turned into the channels of profit and wages, and jvould thus give a new stimulus to industry, and ameliorate the condition of the great mass of the population. But in a country oppressed with debt and taxes, the most beneficial effects resulting from a lowering of the value of the circulating medium, would be the diminution of the public burdens. If, in the science of political economy, there is any one proposition more capable of demonstra- tion than another, it is, that excessive taxation dries up the spring of production. When taxes raise the necessaries of life, and cause the la- bourer to pay a higher price for his subsistence than before, then, if his wages do not rise, they will be insufficient fur his support ; and his 333 family must go upon the j)ans}i, or starve. But if, in order to place the labourer in the same independent circumstances as before, wages are raised in an equal ratio to the increased price of necessaries, then the capitalist must either raise the price of his goods in proportion to the higher wages which he pays, or receive a lower rate of profit upon his trade. Suppose that he raises the prices of his goods, and then he will be undersold in the foreign market ; the commerce of the country will be destroyed ; and all those to whom it afforded employment, will be thrown out of work. On the other hand, supposing, what is more probable, that the capitalist cannot increase the price of his goods in proportion to the higher wages which he pays, and then the diminished profits of his trade will tempt him to transfer his capital to countries where it will fetch a higher return, the funds for the mainte- nance of industry will be diminished, and our people deprived of the means of earning an inde- pendent livelihood. Thus we see, that heavy taxation, by rendering wages inadequate, by raising the prices of goods ia the foreign market .^31 or by driving capital abroad, is the great parent of pauperism. Having thus traced the effects of a diminu- tion, I will now endeavour to point out the con- sequences of an increase in the value of the circulating medium. As a depreciation of the currency would, iit the first instance, occasion a fall in the real wages of labour ; so a rise in the value of the medium in which he is paid, would give the labourer a greater command over the neces- saries of life than before, and thus reduce the number of paupers, and lower the amount of the poor rates. Unfortunately these beneficial effects could not be permanent. Masters can lower wages much more rapidly than workmen can raise them. In proportion as their numbers are smaller, a combination among them becomes more easy ; while, as they can always subsist for a considerable time upon their capital, their competition to obtain workmen can never be so active and urgent as that of the workmen, whose labour is their daily bread, to obtain employ- ment. Besides, a rise in wages always diminishes. 335 by a two-fold operation, tlie demand for labour. It lowers the profits of stock, and thereby checks the accumulation of capital, and takes from the inducement to engage in productive industry ; while, at the same time, its prevents any given quantity or amount of capital, from putting so great a number of hands in motion as before. If the labourer receives two shillings a-day as wages, and if he daily works up material to the amount of two shillings more, then a capital of two thousand shillings will put in motion five hundred days' labour ; but if wages rise to three shillings a-day, then a capital amounting to two thousand shillings would not give employment to more than four hundred days' labour, five shillings instead of four being required to fur- nish the labourer with wages and material for each day. Thus the combination of masters, the competition of workmen, the less rapid accumu- lation of capital, and its diminished power of putting industry in motion, would irresistibly tend, not only to bring the real wages of labour down to their former level, but to depress them S36 soiiievvliat lower than they would have been, had the rise in the currency never taken place. We have seen that a fall in the value of the circulating medium alters the distribution of wealth in favour of the productive classes. A rise in its value has a contrary effect, enriching the class whose revenues are expended unpro- ductively, at the loss of those by the agency of whose labour and capital the wealth of the com- munity is created. A greater portion of the farmer's produce woidd be required to pay his rent, and a less portion would remain to be re-invested in cultivation and improvement. The salaries of public functionaries, the wages of all the civil and military servants of the state, though nominally the same, would in reality be increased. The mortgagee, the annuitant, and the fund-holder, all those, who, without actively engaging in the work of production, live upon the interest of money, would have their revenues increased at the expense of those funds which pay the profits of stock, and the wages of labour. In all the transactions of trade, the creditor 337 would be benefited at the cost of the debtor. The diminution in the amount of the circulating medium, would compel the monied capitalist, and banker, to restrict their discounts, and thus deprive the merchant of the accustomed accom- modation on which he calculated. Credit would encounter a shock, and as an increase of confi- dence creates the extension of demand, which it anticipates; so a diminution of confidence occa- sions that narrowing of the market which it fears. One individual under the apprehension that he will be able to sell less, employs fewer workmen in preparing goods, than before ; but the diminished quantity of his goods will not enhance their price, because, as a similar im- pression caused less business to be done in other trades, there will be fewer articles to offer in exchange for them, and the demand will be con- tracted in the same proportion as the supply. The shock which injures credit, suspends production. But to a country circumstanced like England, the most injurious effect of a rise in the value of money, undoubtedly is the addition which it occasions in the real amount of our debt and z 33S taxation. Excessive taxation banished manu- factures and commerce from the republic of Holland, and we are not to expect that in our own country a similar cause will be followed by a dissimilar effect. In the deficiency of employ- ment, in the amount of the poor rates, and in the millions of capital sent out of the country as foreign loans, England may discover the awful truth, that exorbitant taxation is bringing her to the limits of her resources, and to the verge of decline. From the brief sketch which has here been given of the effect, which a fall and a rise in the value of currency are respectively calculated to produce, it must be sufficiently apparent, that the consequences of the latter would be beyond all comparison more injurious th^n those of the former. With respect indeed to an unjust alter- ation, in the distribution of property, both would be upon a par. The proprietor who had granted leases, the creditor who had made advances either to the public, or to individuals, with all those whose income was estimated, or whose capital was invested in money, would suffer by 339 the one; while the tenant, the debtor, and the payer of taxes, would be surcharged by the other. But though a fall and a rise in the value of currency, might inflict equal injustice upon indi- viduals, they would produce very different effects upon the general wealth and prosperity. The violations of private property in the former case, would be accompanied by an increase of con- fidence, of production, and of trade ; in the latter, would be aggravated by a universal stag- nation, and revulsion, and, perhaps, in an over^ taxed country, by a national bankruptcy. Section VI. — On the Principles of Demand and Supply. Before the divisions of employment are esta- blished, and while each individual raises and prepares for himself all the several articles he consumes, the society will possess an advantage which will compensate, in some shght degree at least, for the low effective powers of industry. In this rude and early state there can be no .340 anxiety with regard to finding a vend or market for the goods which may be produced. Every increased exertion of labour will have a direct and immediate effect in improving the condition of the labourer, and tlie amount of every man's wealth will be in exact proportion to the quan- tity of industry he employs, and the skill with which he directs it. On the other hand, those divisions of employ- ment which almost miraculously increase the effective powers of human labour, are accom- panied by a counterbalancing disadvantage. : When they are once thoroughly established, the machine of society becomes infinitely artificial and complex, and a derangement in any of its nicer parts, not unfrequently impedes the working of the whole. Increased exertions on the part of the labourer, instead of increasing may now diminish his command over the necessaries of life; and the amount of wealth acquired by each individual will depend, not so much upon the energy and skill with which he applies his industry, as upon the numbers and the means of those who may be desirous of purchasing the peculiar commodity 341 which he furnishes. Manufacturers may starve, not in consequence of idleness, but of doing too much work; and agriculture become a losing occupation, not from the deficiency, but from the abundance of its products. While in the rude and simple stage of society, the only object was to produce ; in the improved and complex state, the object is not merely to produce, but to pro- duce in such proportions that the peculiar articles furnished by each class may be readily and pro- fitably exchanged for the peculiar articles pre- pared by the others. In the language of political economy, the pro- duction of commodities in such proportions that each may be readily and profitably exchanged for others, is called limiting the supply to the effectual demand. The preservation of these pro- portions is of the utmost importance, not merely to the individual who furnishes particular arti- cles, but to the general industry and wealth of the community. Indeed, there are scarcely any principles in economical science which come so frequently into practical operation, and which at the same time are so imperfectly understood, as 342 those which are termed the laws of supply and demand. I shall, therefore, in concluding this long chapter upon mercantile industry, endeavour to furnish that which I conceive has hitherto remained a desideratum in political economy ; namely, an accurate and complete analysis of the important principles of supply and demand. In the production of every commodity certain portions of some other commodities are con- sumed. Effectual demand must therefore con^ sist in the power and the inclination to give for a commodity, either by direct or circuitous exchange, a quantity of the other commodities required in their production, somewhat greater than their production actually costs. If the quan- tity of commodities offered in exchange for a given quantity of another commodity, does not equal the quantity expended on its production, it will be physically impossible that its production should be continued ; and if the quantity offered does not somewhat exceed the quantity expended, it will be morally impossible to continue produc- tion, because the producer can have no motive to advance his capital; or, in other words, to 343 expend one set of commodities in raising or fabricating others. It is no solid objection to this account of effectual demand, to say, that in the profitable transactions which are daily and hourly effected in the market, an instance is scarcely ever found to occur, in which the price of an article sold consists in a quantity of all the other articles required in its production, somewhat greater than its production actually cost. If this some- what greater quantity of these articles is never given directly and immediately, it is always given indirectly and mediately. Wherever a sale takes place, which realises a profit to the producer, and enables and induces him to con- tinue his business, the price of the article sold must necessarily be sufficient to purchase some greater quantity of the other articles expended upon its production, than its production actually cost. No price, however high, as expressed in money or in other things, can be a remunerating price, or constitute that effectual demand which enables and encourages the producer to continue bis occupation, unless it will suffice to purchase 314 for him some greater quantity of the ingredients of capital than that which he expended in pro- duction. On the other hand, no price, however low, as estimated in money or other things, can cease to be a remunerating price, and to con- stitute the expression of effectual demand, unless the quantity of money or of other things in which it consists, be inadequate to repurchase some greater quantity of the ingredients of capital than that expended in the production of the commodity sold. , The effectual demand for any commodity is always dietermined, and under any given rate of profit, is constantly commensu- rate with the quantity of the ingredients of capital, or of the things required in its production, which consumers may be able and willing to offer in exchange for it. An effectual demand for an increased quan- tity of any commodity may be created by two several circumstances, namely, by an increase in the quantity of the ingredients of capital offered in exchange for it, or by a diminution in the (juantity of these ingredients required for its production. Thus, assuming that the rate of 315 profit is ten per cent, and that the ingredients of capital consumed in preparing a bale of muslin are one quarter of corn, and one suit of clothing; then, if the persons desirous of consuming muslin, offer one hundred and ten quarters of corn, and one hundred and ten suits of clothing in ex- change for it, there will be an effectual demand or profitable vend for one hundred bales of muslin. But if, while the quantity of things required to be expended in producing muslin remains the «ame, the quantity of these things offered in exchange for it should be increased to two hundred and twenty quarters of corn, and two hundred and twenty suits of clothing ; the effec- tual demand for the article would be doubled, and there would be a profitable vend for two hundred bales of muslin, instead of one hundred. A precisely similar effect would be produced if, while the consumers continued to offer no more than one hundred and ten quarters of corn, and one hundred and ten suits of clothing, for their supply of muslin, the quantity of the ingredients of capital necessary to the fabrication of one hundred bales, should be reduced from one 346 hundred quarter of corn, and one hundred suits of clothing, to fifty quarters, and fifty suits. In either case, there would be an effectual demand for two hundred bales of muslin, instead of for one hundred. In like manner, an effectual demand for a diminished quantity of commodities will be oc- casioned by two several circumstances ; first, by a diminution in the quantity of the ingredients of capital offered in exchange for them ; secondly, by an increased quantity of these ingredients becoming necessary to their production. If the rate of profit be ten per cent, and if it requires a capital of one quarter of corn, and one suit of clothing, to fabricate a bale of muslin ; and if the ingredients of capital offered in exchange for muslin be diminished to fifty-five quarters of corn, and fifty-five suits of clothing, it is evident that no more than fifty bales of muslin can obtain a profitable vend. The same result will follow if, while one hundred and ten quarters of corn, and one hundred and ten suits of clothing are offered for the supply of muslin, the cost of producing a bale of this article should be increased to two 347 quarters of corn, and two suits of clothing. The quantity of any commodity for which a profitable sale can be oljtained, must necessarily be dimi- nished, either by an increase in the quantity of the ingredients ,of capital required in its production, or by a diminution in the quantity of these ingredients brought to market to be exchanged for it. These illustrations will be found sufficient, I trust, to establish the important principles that that which increases the effectual demand for commodities, is increased production ; and that that which diminishes effectual demand, is dimi- nished production. Wherever there is a profitable sale for an increased quantity of commodities, one of two things must necessarily have occurred; — either the consumers must have acquired a greater quantity of the ingredients of capital to replace the greater quantity of these ingredients expended in increasing the supply of other commodities ; or else improvements must have been effected in industry, admitting of increased production with- out an increase of cost. In the former case, a greater quantity of the ingredients of capital is Ah 348 produced ; in the latter, a greater quantity of the things, in the acquisition of which capital is expended; and in both, increased supply is the one and only cause of increased effectual demand. It may be proper to remark, that there are cases in which an increased production of the ingredients of capital will not occasion an in- creased effectual demand for the articles upon which capital is expended; and conversely, in which a diminished production of the ingredients of capital will not lead to a diminution in the quantity of other things for which there is a profitable vend. In all such cases, however, the increase or diminution of production, on the one hand, is counterbalanced by a diminished or increased production on the other. Thus, to recur to our former illustration, were the quantity of the ingredients of capital offered in exchange for muslin increased from one hundred and ten quarters of corn, and one hundred and^ten suits of clothing, to two hundred and twenty quarters, and two hundred and twenty suits ; while the cost of producing one hundred bales of mushn rose from one hundred quarters, and one hundred 319 suits, to two hundred quarters, and two hundred suits, then the double quantity of the ingredients of capital would not furnish an effectual demand for any increased quantity of muslin. And again ; should the quantity of the ingredients of capital produced and brought to market be diminished one half, while the expense of pro- ducing muslin were diminished one half also, then fifty-five quarters of corn, and fifty-five suits of clothing would afford the same profitable vend or effectual demand for one hundred bales of muslin, as was formerly afforded by an equivalent consisting of one hundred and ten quarters, and one hundred and ten suits. /Effectual demand consists in the power and /A 3 inclination, on the part of consumers, to give for '^ *' commodities, either by immediate or circuitous barter, some greater portion of all the ingredients of capital than their production costs.i If this be a correct account of the matter, it follows that there is a very important limitation to the principle, that increased supply is the occasion of increased demand ; and it will appear, that an increased production of those articles which 350 do not form component parts of capital, can- not create an increased effective demand, either for such articles themselves, or for those other articles which do form component parts of capital. No increased production of silks, for example, can give rise to an increased effectual demand either for muslins or for corn. The reason is obvious. In fabricating muslin or in raising corn, a great variety of articles of capital, such as food and clothing, material and implements, must be expended, and these ingredients of capi- tal no supply of silks or of other superfluities can replace. Whatever may be the quantities of the ingredients of capital expended in produc- tion, they can be replaced only by the same quantities of themselves. When we expend any additional quantity of capital in producing muslin, such additional expenditure connot be replaced by an equivalent expenditure directed to the production of silks ; but, on the contrary, must be replaced by an additional production of those identical articles of which capital is composed. If, without diminishing the quantity of capital employed in the other branches of industrv, we 351 employ in the manufacturing of muslin an addi- tional capital consisting of food and material, clothing and implements, for a thousand work- men ; then, for the increased supply of muslin thus obtained, no effectual demand, no profitable vend, or replacement, with an adequate surplus, of the articles expended, can by possibility be found *, unless the production of the ingredients of capital be contemporaneously increased to the extent of food and material, clothing and imple- ments, for a thousand. It may be objected, perhaps, that if articles which do not form any component part of directly productive capital, cannot create an effectual demand for those other articles which did form component parts of capital, then the capital destined to be employed in direct produc- tion, must constitute the effectual demand for itself. But as effectual demand consists in giving * In treating of the causes of increased effectual de- inand> I purposely exclude from consideration the increased effective demand for one article, which may arise in con- sequence of a diminution in the demand for another. This is a transference, and not an increase of effecti^il demand. 352 in exchange for a commodity some greater quan- tity of the things expended in its production, than that production actually cost, saying, that capital contributes the effectual demand for itself, involves the absurdity that a thing may be given in exchange for itself. The absurdity here contemplated is not real, but nominal, and can present itself only ia con- sequence of our failing to consider that the term, capital, is a general term, comprising a great variety of heterogeneous products, v^hich are classed under one and the same denomina- tion, on account of the accidental circumstance of their being destined to aid in the business of production. The capital destined to be em- ployed in direct production must consist of raw produce, such as food and material; and of wrought goods, such as clothing and implements. These several things are produced by different individuals, and exchanged against each other, and when produced and exchanged in the proper proportion, each contributes to create the effec- tual demand for all. Thus, when the farmer expends food and clothing for one hundred in 353 raising food for two hundred and fifty, and the manufactuper lays out food and clothing for one hundred in preparing clothing for two hundred and fifty, then by the exchange of half the corn for half the cloth, the farmer will have a greater quantity of the ingredients of capital than that which produced the corn, and the manufacturer a greater quantity than that which fabricated the cloth ; that is, the several ingredients of capital will occasion an effectual demand for each other. Were one and the same individual to produce all the several articles composing directly pro- ductive capital, then, indeed, there could be no effectual demand or profitable vend for such articles, and for the plain reason, that when the divisions of employment are thus suspended, the replacement of capital with a surplus is effected, not by exchanging the particular article pro- duced against the several articles expended in its production, but by each individual raising and fabricating for himself greater quantities of all things than the quantities he consumes in carry- ing on the different branches of industry in which he engages. Where there is no division ^^- A A 354 of employment, there will be no market, no profitable vend, no effectual demand. As a considerable portion of the commodities which are brought to market are exchanged, not for other commodities, but for labour, it is necessary that we should ascertain, 1*/, in what way the supply of commodities may affect the demand for labour ; and, ^dly, in what way the supply of labour may affect the demand for commodities. Labour, like commodities, requires the expen- diture of several articles to produce it and bring it to market. When the quantity of other things required to maintain a given quantity of labour is offered in exchange for it, then this quantity of labour is effectually demanded ; and it is self-evident, that there cannot be an effec- tual demand for an increased quantity of labour, unless there is an increased production of the several articles by which labour is maintained. An effectual demand for labour differs, in some respects, from an effectual demand for commodities. As . in the production of every commodity which is brought to market, some portion of labour must be employed, those ingre- dients of capital, the offer of which constitutes the effectual demand for commodities, must comprise the subsistence of the labourers em- ployed, as well as the material upon which they operated, and the wear and tear of the tools with which they wrought. The effectual de- mand for labour, on the contrary, consists merely in the offer of an adequate quantity of subsist- ence. Productive labour, indeed, cannot be put into operation unless the labourers, in addition to their subsistence, are furnished with tools and material. But an increased supply of the neces- saries of life is of itself sufficient to enable us to engage an increased number of menial servants and unproductive retainers. A distinction of more importance is, that the effectual demand for labour may consist in the offer of the exact quantity of things consumed in bringing it to market; while the effectual demand for commodities includes the offer, not merely of the quantity of other things expended on production, but also of some additional quan- tity, enabling the capitalist, after the complete 356 replacement of all his original advances, either to employ an additional number of workmen, or else to indulge in unproductive expenditure. Those commodities which are brought to mar- ket by independent labourers, with little or no capital beyond their daily subsistence, will, like labour, be effectually demanded when the quan- tity of other things offered in exchange for them just replaces without any surplus the quantity expended in their production. The exchange- able value of such commodities cannot perma- nently exceed that of the subsistence of the labour which procures them. Were an article acquired with little or no capital by a day*s com- mon labour to exchange for less than a day's ordinary wages, the labourer would not continue to bring it to market ; and were it to exchange for more than a day's ordinary wages, then those who lived by wages would have an interest in becoming independent workmen, and in bringing this commodity to market, until the increasing supply reduced its exchangeable value, and ren- dered the quantity procured by a day's labour equivalent to ^ day's subsistence. 357 The reason why those commodities which are brought to market by independent labourers, with little or no capital beyond their daily sub- sistence, find an effectual demand in the offer of a less quantity of other things than that which affords an effectual demand for commodities sup- plied with an equally moderate cost by labourers who have their subsistence advanced to them by a capitalist, is sufficiently apparent. When an independent labourer advances a day's sub- sistence to hiniself, and goes out to gather wild fruits, or to catch shell-fish, he cannot charge profit upon the article he brings home, because if he did, he would be better off than those who work for a master, and would immediately ex- cite their competition ; but when it is necessary that a capitalist should advance subsistence, the customary rate of profit upon such advance must be charged upon the commodity produced, other- wise the ca[)italist would withdraw to some other occupation in which the usual profit might be obtained. Having shewn in what manner, and under what limitations, commodities afford an effectual 358 demand for labour, I shall proceed to examine the question, whether labour can furnish an effectual demand for commodities, premising that I exclude from my consideration that small and unimportant class of commodities which may be brought to market by independent work- men without the aid of capital. The ingredients of capital, or the things ex- pended in production, consist of raw produce, as food and material ; and of wrought articles, as clothing and implements ; and cannot, it is self- evident, be replaced, except by articles identical to them in kind and quantity. But labour is not identical with any one of the things expended in giving it employment. Offering it in exchange for commodities cannot by possibility replace the ingredients of capital with which the com- modities were produced. The supply of labour therefore, however abundant, cannot, in the first instance, constitute effectual demand, which is essentially the replacement by way of exchange, and with some surplus, of the things advanced by the capitalist in order to bring other things to market. 359 If labour does not constitute an effectual demand for commodities, it may be asked, what advantage the capitalist can derive from the advances he makes in exchange for laboiu-? I answer, that the advantage of the capitalist i? derived, not from the immediate exchange of capital against labour, but from the subsequent reproduction which labour and capital occasion. When I exchange for one hundred and ten days' subsistence a quantity of silks, for the produc- tion of which I had advanced one hundred days' subsistence, my capital is immediately replaced to me with a surplus of ten per cent. ; but when I exchange one hundred days' subsistence for labour, my capital is in no way replaced ; nay, even when the labour has produced me the same quantity of silk as before, no expenditure is returned, no surplus realised, and it is not until I have exchanged my silks for a greater quantity of subsistence than their production cost, that I find a profitable vend, and am ftirnished with the means, and presented with the motive to renew my operations. Now, what is it which in this case constitutes the effectual demand? 36Gf Not, assuredly, the labour for which I advance my subsistence, nor the article which that labour prepares, but the production in some other quarter of a greater quantity of subsistence than that which I advanced, combined with the will of its possessor, to exchange it for my silks. I shall now endeavour to give some account of the relation which exists between effectual demand and supply. The supply of a commo- dity consists of the quantity of it which is brought to market in order to be sold. We frequently meet, both in discourse and in writing, with such expressions as the following, — the supply exceeds the demand, — the supply falls short of the de- mand, — and — the supply is equal to the demand. Economical writers, however, have been neither very careful nor very successful in explaining the precise nature of those relations between demand and supply, to which they apply these terms. Effectual demand and supply are in the rela- tion of equality when the ingredients of capital offered in exchange for commodities exceed, by the customary rate of profit, the ingredients of 361 capital expended in producing them. It follows that supply is deficient in relation to effectual demand, when the ingredients of capital offered in exchange for commodities exceed the cost of producing them by more than the customary profit; and that supply will be in excess as relates to effectual demand, when the ingredients of capital offered in exchange for the commodities brought to market, do not exceed by the usual profit the ingredients of capital expended in bringing them there. Thus, assuming the rate of profit to be ten per cent, the supply of silks will equal the effectual demand, when, for every portion of this article brought to market with the expenditure of one hundred days' sub- sistence, one hundred and ten days' subsist- ence, or one hundred days' subsistence with other things equivalent to ten days' subsistence, is produced in some other quarter, and brought to market to be exchanged, directly or circuitously, for silk. In like manner, the supply of silk w ill be deficient in relation to the effectual demand, when, for every one hundred and ten days' sub- sistence, or for every one hundred days' sub- 362 sistence with other things equivalent to ten days' subsistence which are produced and offered in exchange for silk, a quantity of silk requiring for its production one hundred days' subsistence, has not been brought to market : and, upon the same principle, the supply of silk will be redun- dant, as compared with the effectual demand, when, for every one hundred day s' subsistence ex- pended in producing it, one hundred and ten days' subsistence, or one hundred days' subsistence, with something equal in value to ten days' sub- sistence, is not produced elsewhere, and offered as its equivalent. From what has been said, it will be apparent that the relations between effectual demand and supply, depend upon the comparative cost of production, and not upon the quantity of other commodities brought to market to be exchanged against the ingredients of capital. If, the rate of profit being ten per cent, the ingredients of capital to the extent of one hundred and ten quarters of corn, and one hundred and ten suits of clothing, are offered in exchange for silk, then the quantity of silk which can be brought to 363 market with an expenditure of one hundred quarters of corn, and one hundred suits of cloth- ing, will equalize the supply to the effectual demand, whether that quantity be great or small. Should the expenditure of one hundred quarters of corn, and one hundred suits of cloth- ing, fabricate one thousand yards of silk, then one thousand yards would be required to propor- tion the supply of the article to the effectual demand ; but should this expenditure fabricate only one hundred yards, then would one hun- dred yards be sufficient to keep the supply even with the demand; and should the advance of one hundred quarters of corn, and one hun- dred suits of clothing, bring only one yard of silk to market, still between the supply of silk and the effectual demand for it, the relation of equality would be preserved. No alteration in the quantities of those commodities which are offered in exchange for the ingredients of capi- tal, can effect an alteration in the relations between supply and effectual demand ; because effectual demand consists essentially in the power and the will to give in exchange for com- 364 modities, whatever the quantity of them may be, that portion of the ingredients of capital which their production cost, together with such surplus, whether in the form of capital or of other things, as may yield the capitalist the customary rate of profit. The foregoing remarks must have rendered it apparent, that no absolute increase of demand can alter the relation of supply to demand, pro- vided such increase of demand be accompanied with a similar increase of supply. As I have already shewn, an absolute increase in the effec- tual demand for a commodity may arise from two distinct causes, — an increase in the quantity of the ingredients of capital offered in exchange for it, or a diminution in the quantity of those ingredients required in its production. Now, supposipg that demand and supply are in the relation of equality, that is, that the quantity of the ingredients of capital which may be obtained for a commodity by direct or circuitous exchange, is just sufficient to replace, with the customary rate of profit, the quantity of these ingredients ex- pended in its production ; and supposing further. 335 that a double quantity of the ingredients of capital come to be offered for this commodity, while, at the same time, a double quantity is expended in bringing an increased supply of tlie commodity to market ; then it is evident that the relation of equality between the demand and supply can be in no way disturbed. Were the same quantity of the ingredients of capital to become sufficient to produce a double quantity of the commodity, while the consumers continued willing and able to offer the same quantity of these ingredients in exchange for it, still the relation of equality between the demand and the supply would con- tinue to be preserved. The actual relation which at any time exists between supply and demand, can be altered only when the quantity of the ingredients of capital offered in exchange for other commodities, is increased or diminished without a corresponding increase or diminution taking place in the ingredients of capital em- ployed in bringing the other commodities to market; or when the quantity of these ingredients employed in bringing the other commodities to market, is increased or diminished without a 366 corresponding increase or diminution in the quantity of the other commodities offered in exchange. A relative increase or diminution of effectual demand, occasions, as the terms denote, an alteration in the previously existing relation between effectual demand and supply. When both the quantity of a commodity and the quan- tity of the ingredients of capital expended in bringing it to market remain the same, while the quantity of the ingredients of capital offered in exchange for it is increased; then, though there would be no absolute increase of effectual demand, as regards the quantity of the com- modity actually purchased and consumed, yet there would be a relative increase of effectual demand, as regards the expense of furnishing it to the consumer. And if the quantity of a commodity brought to market, and the expense of bringing it there, were to remain the sanie, while the quantity of the ingredients of ca])ital offered in exchange for it should be diminished, then, though there would be no absolute diminu- tion of effectual demand, as reajards the quantity 367 of the commodity purchased and consumed, there would be a relative diminution of effectual de- mand, as regards the expenses of production and the profits of those who bring the commodity to market*. * When there is an absolute increase of effectual demand, a greater quantity of commodities may be sold with the same rate of profit ; and when there is a relative increase, the same quantity will he sold at a higher rate of profit. In his work upon the Principles of Political Economy, however, Mr. Malthus lays great stress upon a species of effectual demand, which is neither absolute nor relative ; and which neither admits of increased sales with the same profits, nor of the same sales with higher profits. This he denominates an increased intensity of demand. When the expense of producing a commodity is permanently in- creased, and when, in consequence, the consumer takes the same quantity of the commodity at a higher price, Mr. Malthns tells us, that the expression of a greater intensity of demand is called forth, and that a most import- ant change is effected in the relation between the supply and the demand of such commodity. According to the definition of effectual demand which I have given in the text, it is impossible that giving an increased price for a commodity, proportional to the increased cost of its produc- tion, should be the expression of an increased intensity of demand, or should make any change in the relation between effectual demand and supply. Effectual demand is the power and the will to give for a commodity some greater quantity of the ingredients of capital than its pro- 368 There may also be an absolute and relatis e increase in the supply of a commodity. If both duction cost ; and, therefore, when an increased price is given for a commodity, there can be no increased inten- sity of demand for the commodity, or, to substitute the definition for the term defined, there can be no greater intensity in the power and the will to give for the com- modity some larger portion of the ingredients of capital than its production cost, unless this cost of production should not have increased in an equal proportion with the increase of price. When, in preparing a yard of muslin, two days* subsistence are expended instead of one, and when, in consequence, I give in exchange for this article twice the former quantity of the ingredients of capital, the intensity of effectual demand, or of the power to give for a yard of muslin something more than its production cost, is in no degree increased. But what must strike the reader as much more extraordinary is, that Mr. Malthus' doctrine of intensity of demand is inconsistent with the defi- nition of demand which he himself has given. He defines demand to be the will combined with the power to pur- chase. Now, when the cost of producing a yard of muslin is doubled, and when, in consequence, the price given for it is doubled also, this increased price is not the expression of a more intense power to purchase a yard of mushn. Mr. Malthus says, ** If a given number of commodities attain- ** able by labour alone, were to become more difficult of " acquisition, as they would evidently not be obtained ** unless by means of increased exertion, we might surely ** consider such increased exertion, if applied, as an evi- " dence of a greater intensity of demand, or of a power S 369 tlie quantity of a commodity brought to market, and the quantity of the ingredients of capital offered in exchange for it remain the same, while the quantity of these ingredients expended in producing it is diminished; then, though there will be , no absolute diminution in the supply of the commodity, as regards the actual quantity brought to market, there will be a relative diminution of supply with respect to the quantity which the consumer is able and willing to purchase at a price returning average profits. And if both the quantity of a commodity brought to market and the expense of bringing it there. " and will to make a greater sacrifice in order to obtain " thewi/' Here Mr. Malthus uses the term, demand, in a sense altogether ditTerent from that expressed in his own definition. A greater intensity of power to purchase commodities, is essentially different fi-om a power to make a greater sacrifice in order to obtain them. When the cost of producing commodities increases, we lose the power of purchasing them, unless we possess the power of making a greater sacrifice in order to obtain them. Therefore, to call that power to make a greater sacrifice which is neces- sary to the retaining of the same power to purchase, " a " greater intensity of power to purchase," is manifestly inconsistent and absurd. BB 370 were to continue the same, while the quantity of the ingredients of capital offered in exchange for it diminished, then, though there would be no absolute increase in the supply of the commodity, with respect to the quantity of it produced and sold, there would be a relative increase of supply, with regard to the power of purchasing and the price at which the commodity could be sold. The great practical problem in economical science is, so to proportion production that supply and demand shall be in the relation of equality ; or, to express the same thing in particular rather than in general terms, that the quantity of the ingredients of capital brought to market to exchange against other commodities, shall be equal at the least to the quantity of these ingre- dients expended on the other commodities. So long as this proportion is preserved, every article which the industrious classes have the will and^ power to produce, will find a ready and a profit- able vend. No conceivable increase of produc- tion can lead to an overstocking of the market ; but> on the contrary, every addition which can be made to the supply of commodities, will 371 immediately and necessarily occasion an increase in the effectual demand for them. Whatever may have been the previous state of the market in regard to abundant supply,' increased pro- duction will create a proportionally increased demand. The only limits to the increase of effectual demand will be the limits which are set to increased production, by the scarcity of fertile land, or by a rate of wages so high as to deprive the capitalist of that minimum rate of profit which is necessary to induce him to continue his advances. This happy and prosperous state of things is immediately interrupted when the proportions in which commodities are produced are such as to disturb the equality between effectual demand and supply. When the supply is deficient in relation to the effectual demand, the consumer is less abundantly supplied with the conveniences of life than he otherwise might be ; and when, the ingredients of capital expended in the pro- duction of commodities are in excess with respect to the ingredients of capital brought to market 372 to exchange against other commodities, then gluts and regorgements are experienced. The great importance of these principles, both theoretically and practically, renders it expedient that they should be more fully explained and demonstrated. I shall therefore endeavour to shew, through some illustrative cases, the parti- cular mode in which they operate ; premising that when speaking of the ingredients of capital, I shall employ the terms, corn, and clothing, in a general sense, the one as standing for all the several kinds of raw produce, and the other as denoting the various wrought articles of which directly productive capital may be composed. This will conduce to brevity and clearness, while it can in no way affect the accuracy of our conclusions. Let us suppose that there exists a society consisting of one hundred cultivators, and one hundred manufacturers, and that the one hun- dred cultivators expend one hundred quarters of corn and one hundred suits of clothing, in raising two hundred and twenty quarters of corn, while 373 the one hundred manufacturers expend one hun- dred quarters of corn and one hundred suits of clothing, in preparing two hundred and twenty suits. In this case, the offer of half the corn of the cultivator would constitute an effectual demand for half the clothing of the manufacturer ; or, reciprocally, the offer of half the clothing of the latter, an effectual demand for half the corn of the former; because, when the two classes exchanged half their respective products, the things expended in production would be more than replaced. The class of cultivators, and the class of manufacturers, instead of one hundred suits of clothing, and one hundred quarters of corn, would each possess one hundred and ten quarters, and one hundred and ten suits ; and this surplus, or profit often per cent, they might employ either in setting additional labourers to work, or in purchasing luxuries for immediate enjoyment. It will be immediately perceived, too, that the effectual demand which allows the clothing to be disposed of with a profit, is created by the production of the corn ; and that the effectual 374 demand for the corn, is created by the production of the clothing. Now, while the productive powers of industry remain as before, let us suppose that our society has doubled its numbers, and that two hundred cultivators, expending two hundred quarters of corn, and two hundred suits of clothing, produce four hundred and forty quarters; while two hundred manufacturers, by expending two hun- dred quarters, and two hundred suits, produce four hundred and forty suits. In this case, when one half of the corn of the farmers is brought to market and exchanged against one half of the clothing of the manufacturers, each class will, as before, have the things expended in production replaced with a profit of ten per cent. ; and the only difference will be, that there will now be an effectual demand for double the former quan- tity both of corn and of clothing. But it wiU be quite obvious, that the double demand for corn will be created by the double production of clothing, and that the double demand for clothing will be created by the double production of corn. 37.5 Now, let us suppose, that while the society doubles its numbers, the productive powers of industry are doubled also, and that two hun- dred cultivators, expending two hundred quarters of com and two hundred suits of clothing, can raise eight hundred quarters of corn ; and two hundred manufacturers, expending two hundred quarters and two hundred suits, can prepare eight hundred suits. In this case, if the love of ease prevails over the desire of luxurious enjoy- ment, and no additional quantity of commodities is obtained, then, as there is no increase of pro- duction, there can be no increase of demand ; and tlie only effect resulting from the improved powers of industry will be, that the society will work a shorter space of time than before. But should our little society acquire a taste for luxuries, and be willing to work the same num^ ber of hours as before, in order to obtain sugar and tobacco, ribbons and lace, then an increased production would take place, and consequently a proportionally increased demand. Of our two hundred cultivators, one hundred, expending one hundred quarters of corn and one hundred suits of clothing, would raise four hundred quarters of corn ; and the other one hundred, with a like expenditure, raise a quantity of sugar and tobacco ; and of our two hundred manufacturers, one hundred, expending one hundred quarters of corn and one hundred suits of clothing, will fabricate four hundred suits ; and the other one hundred, with a like expenditure, work up a quantity of ribbons and lace. Now, let us mark the way in which this increased production creates a proportionally increased demand. When the several commodities are brought to market to be exchanged against each other, according to the expenses of their production, the one hundred farmers, after giving one hundred quarters of corn to one class of manufacturers for one hundred suits of clothing, one hundred quarters to the other for a fourth of their ribbons and lace, and one hundred quarters to the growers of sugar and tobacco, for a fourth of these products, would retain one hundred quar- ters in their own hands, and thus have their expenditure of one hundred quarters of corn and one hundred sviits of clothing, replaced to 377 them, together with a quantity of sugar, tobacco, ribbons, and lace, equal in productive cost, and therefore in exchangeable value to the capital they expended. In like manner, the one hundred fabricators of clothing, after giving one hundred suits for one hundred quarters of corn, one hun- dred for a quarter of the ribbons and lace pro- duced, and one hundred for a quarter of the tobacco and sugar, would have one hundred suits remaining ; and consequently would have their expenditure of one hundred quarters of corn, and one hundred suits of clothing, replaced with a quantity of luxuries equivalent thereto. By these exchanges too, the one hundred culti- vators who expended one hundred quarters of corn and one hundred suits of clothing, in raising sugar and tobacco, as well as the one hundred manufacturers who, with a like expen- diture, prepared ribbons and laces, would have their capitals replaced to them by the sacrifice of half their products, and would have the other half as a surplus for their own expenditure. For every article brought to market there would be a profitable vend. Each class would find that a 378 part of the things it produced would replace the whole of the things it expended in production. But this is exactly what is meant by effectual demand ; and the more accurately we analyse the operations of industry and the transactions of the market, the more clearly we shall perceive, that while the due proportions are preserved between the quantity of the ingredients of capital and of other things, increased production is the one and only cause of extended demand. It is no solid objection to the theory of effec- tual demand here unfolded, that I have not taken into consideration the influence of so general and important a principle in human nature as indolence or the love of ease. This principle has no connexion whatever with the doctrine I have endeavoured to establish. That doctrine is, that while the quantity of the ingre- dients of capital brought to market, is equal, at the least, to the quantity of these ingredients expended in bringing other commodities there, then, increased production will be the cause of increased effectual demand. If the love of ease prevents an increase of production, an increase 379 of effectual demand cannot follow. But surely it is most absurd to contend, that an assigned cause is inadequate to the effect, because the effect disappears when a circumstance occurs to suspend the operation of the cause. When our two hundred cultivators and two hundred manufacturers acquire double produc- tive powers, and are enabled with an expendi- ture of four hundred quarters of corn and four hundred suits of clothing, to bring to market eight hundred quarters and eight hundred suits, then one of three things must take place. The whole of the society will employ the same quan- tity of industry as before, in order to procure luxuries ; or, the whole will prefer ease to the enjoyment of luxuries ; or, one part will employ the same quantity of exertion as before, while the other part will indulge the love of ease. Now, if the whole make the same exertions as before, then the increased production, provided it be proportioned in the manner above described, must create increased effectual demand ; and if the whole community prefer doing half their former quantity of work to the enjoyment of 380 luxuries, then production will remain as before, and consequently effectual demand will remain as before. But were one part of the community to prefer ease to luxuries, and the other part luxuries to ease, the result would be somewhat different. Let us therefore inquire, whether this partial indulgence in the love of ease affords any ground of objection against the principle, that proportionally increased production occa- sions increased effectual demand. Supposing that our cultivators are the class preferring ease to luxury, and that instead of one hundred raising four hundred quarters of corn, and the other one hundred a quantity of sugar and tobacco, the whole two hundred work half their time and raise only four hundred quarters of corn. In this case, they would have two hun- dred quarters of corn to exchange against two hundred suits of clothing, but no sugar and tobacco to exchange against ribbons and lace. What would be the result of this state of things with respect to the class of manufacturers, which by the supposition performs the same quantity of work as before, in order to enjoy luxuries ? Of 1 381 this class, one hundred expending one hundred quarters of com and one hundred suits of cloth* ing, can fabricate four hundred suits of clothing, and as two hundred of these suits are exchanged with the cultivators for two hundred quarters of corn, they will have, after replacing their own advances, one hundred quarters and one hun- dred suits, to give in exchange for luxuries. The other one hundred manufacturers, however, will not now be able to expend one hundred quarters of corn and one hundred suits of clothing in preparing ribbons and lace, because, by the supposition, the first two hundred manufacturers who have obtained the disposal of the ingredients of capital, offer fifty quarters and fifty suits for ribbons and lace, and fifty quarters and fifty suits for sugar and tobacco. The consequence will be, that fifty out of the second one hundred manufacturers must change their occupation, and, instead of preparing ribbons and lace, must raise sugar and tobacco. When this has been done, then production will be duly propor- tioned ; the supply of all commodities will be in the relation of equality with respect to the effec- 382 tual demand for them, aind every article brought to market would find a ready and profitable sale. The distribution of the wealth produced would be as follows : — Our two hundred indolent cultivators who expended two hundred quarters of corn and two hundred suits of clothing, in raising four hundred quarters, would have their whole ex- penditure replaced to them by exchanging two hundred quarters for two hundred suits, and instead of luxuries in the form of sugar and tobacco, ribbons and lace, would enjoy the absence of labour during half their time. The hundred manufacturers of necessaries, who ex* pended one hundred quarters and one hundred suits in fabricating four hundred suits, and exchanging two hundred suits for two hundred quarters, would have, after the replacement of their advances, fifty quarters and fifty suits, to offer for sugar and tobacco, and fifty quarters and fifty suits to ofier in exchange for ribbons and lace. The cultivators, therefore, who ex-^ pended fifty yards and fifty suits in raising sugar and tobacco, and the manufacturers who, 383 with a similar advance, furnished ribbons and lace, would replace their capitals, even if they gave the whole of their products for the corn and clothing offered. But by the law of competition they would obtain the whole of the fifty yards and fifty suits thus offered for half their pro- ducts. For while the cultivator of corn can replace his expenditure, and work only half his time, and the manufacturer of clothing, by work- ing all his timCj can replace his expenditure with a surplus of one hundred per cent, the cultivator and the manufacturer of luxuries will betake themselves to the more beneficial branches of industry, if they cannot obtain the replace- ment of their expenses in exchange for half their products. Thus we see, that in no conceivable instance, can the love of ease so operate as to prevent effectual demand from being commensurate with that duly proportioned production which renders the quantity of the ingredients of capital offered in exchange for commodities equal, at the least, to the quantity expended in bringing them to mar- ket. The love of ease may prevent the powers 384 of production from being brought into full opera- tion. But when production takes place, the love of ease is overcome, and it can therefore no longer narrow effectual demand. To the theory of effectual demand which I have attempted to establish, an objection more plausible but not more solid may be urged. It is contended* that " though no permanent and ** continued increase of wealth can take place, ** without a continued increase of capital ; yet, " under a rapid accumulation of capital or con- " version of unproductive into productive labour, " the demand, compared with the supply of " materials and products, would fall. In the case " before alluded to, while the farmers are disposed " to consume the luxuries produced by the ma- " nufacturers, and the manufacturers those pro- " duced by the farmers, aU will go on smoothly ; " but if either one, or both of the parties, should " become disposed to save, with a view of bet- " tering their condition, and providing for their * Principles of Political Economy^ by Mr. Malthas, chap. vii. sect. m. 385 " families in future, the state of things will be " very different. The farmer, instead of indulg- " ing himself in ribbons and lace, will be disposed " to be satisfied with more simple clothing ; but " by this economy he will disable the manufac- " turer from purchasing the same amount of his " produce, and for the returns of so much labour " employed upon the land, there will evidently " be no market. The manufacturer, in like " manner, instead of indulging himself in sugar " and tobacco, may be disposed to save with a " view to the future, but will be totally unable "to do so, owing to the parsimony of the " farmers, and the want of demand for manu- " factures." When we examine with any degree of accu- racy into that which takes place when savings are made from revenue in order to be added to capital, we shall find this objection vague, falla- cious, and inconsistent throughout. The pre- vious supposition is, that of two hundred culti- vators expending two hundred quarters of corn and two hundred suits of clothing, one hundred raises four hundred quarters of corn, and one c c 386 hundred a quantity of sugar and tobacco ; that of two hundred manufacturers expending capital to the same extent, one hundred fabricate four hundred suits of clothing, and one hundred rib- bons and lace ; and that the two classes exchange their respective products according to the cost of production, and after replacing all the ingre- dients of capital expended, consume an equal portion of the surplus which appears in the form of luxuries. The subsequent supposition is, that while the powers of production remain as before, the consumption of luxuries is altogether aban- doned for the purpose of adding to the existing capital the whole of the surplus it annually creates. The question is, what, under such cir- cumstances, would be the effect of this passion for accumulating capital upon effectual demand? The object of the whole class of capitaUsts is to increase capital. The cultivators of corn, and the fabricators of clothing, therefore, will no longer give any part of their productions for sugar and tobacco, ribbons and lace ; but by exchanging two hundred quarters of com against two hundred suits of clothing, will increase the 387 ingredients of capital with a surplus of cent, per cent. And the cultivators of sugar and tobacco, and the manufacturers of ribbons and lace, having no longer any desire for these luxuries, and finding that they cannot replace their expenditure by exchanging them with the other two classes for corn and clothing, will change the direction of their industry, and with their expenditure of one hundred quarters and one hundred suits, will raise and fabricate four hundred quarters and four hundred suits, and by exchanging one half of one product against one half of the other, will also replace these capitals with a surplus of one hundred per cent. So far then there is no inter- ruption of effectual demand. By the supposition, the passion is for accumulating capital. When the two hundred cultivators, who with an expen- diture of two hundred quarters of corn and two hundred suits of clothing raise eight hundred quarters, and exchange four hundred quarters for four hundred suits, their capital is doubled ; and when the two hundred manufacturers, who, with a like expenditure fabricate eight hundred suits of clothing, exchange four hundred suits against four hundred quarters of corn, they also find an 388 Advantageous market, or profitable vend, which places a double portion of the ingredients of capital in their hands. If we suppose, that while the passion for accu- mulating capital thus increases the funds for maintaining productive labour, the supply of labour increases at an, equal rate, and prevents any rise in wages from taking place, then twice the former quantity of labour might be em- ployed ; the expenditure of four hundred quar- ters of corn and four hundred suits of clothing in agriculture, and of four hundred quarters and four hundred suits in manufactures, would occa- sion the reproduction of one thousand six hun- •dred quarters, and one thousand six hundred •suits ; and exchanging one half of one sort of articles for one half of the other sort, would open m profitable vend, an eflfectual demand for both, which would again place in the hands of each producer a double quantity of all the ingredients of capital expended. This process might be again repeated, and on the supposition that wages did not rise, and that abundance of fertile land could be obtained, might be carried on ad dnfinitum without the passion for accumulation 389 ever once interfering with effectual demand. It is quite certain, however, that with such a pas- sion for accumulation, the supply of labour could not increase so rapidly as the funds for main- taining it ; and that wages would therefore rise. Let us then inquire, what effect this necessary rise on wages would have upon effectual de- mand? After the first doubling of capital, and when the farmer and manufacturer are each enabled to expend in production four hundred quarters of corn and four hundred suits of clothing, instead of two hundred quarters and two hun- dred suits, we will suppose, that in consequence of population not increasing In the same ratio with capital, the competition of the capitalists to procure workmen so raises wages, that an advance of four hundred quarters of corn and four hundred suits of clothing, instead of em- ploying four hundred labourers, gives employ- ment to no more than three hundred. Now, as two hundred agricultural labourers had raised eight hundred quarters of corn, and two hundred manufacturing labourers prepared eight hundred 390 iiiits of clothing, three hundred agricultural and three hundred manufacturing labourers will raise and fabricate one thousand two hundred quar- ters and one thousand two hundred suits ; and when six hundred quarters and six hundred suits are interchanged, the class of agricultural, and the class of manufacturing capitalists which had each advanced four hundred quarters and four hundred suits, will have all the ingredients of capital replaced with a surplus of fifty per cent. But the rapid accumulation of capital which in this manner reduced the rate of profit from one hundred, to fifty per cent, could have no influence whatever in narrowing the effectual demand for the commodities produced. Lowering profit is essentially different from narrowing effectual demand. Any rate of profit, however low, which is sufficient to stimulate the capitalist to produce, is also sufficient to constitute an element of effectual demand. Should the increase of capital beyond the proportional increase of population so elevate wages, that pro-fit altogether disappeared, then, indeed, there would be no effectual demand for 391 commodities ; because, in effectual demand some species of profit is always an essential element. If our three hundred agricultural and three hundred manufacturing labourers, while raising and fabricating one thousand two hundred quarters of corn and one thousand two hundred suits of clothing, were to receive these quantities of corn and clothing as their wages, then the interchange of six hundred quarters and six hundred suits between the farmers and master manufacturers, would just replace to them the precise quantity of the ingredients of capital which they had advanced, without any surplus furnishing them with a motive to renew their operations. But it is self-evident that this want of effectual demand, or profitable vend, would be occasioned, not by an excess, but by the defi- ciency of products. Increase the effective powers of industry — enable the six hundred labourers, while receiving one thousand two hundred quar- ters of corn and one thousand two hundred suits of clothing as their wages, to raise and fabricate one thousand three hundred quarters and one thousand three hundred suits, and then the 392 interchange of one half of each against one half of the other, will repkce, with a surplus, all the^ ingredients of capital advanced. In every con- ceivable case, it is the deficiency, not the excess of products which prevents our finding a profit- able vend. A rapid accumulation of capital interrupts effectual demand, only when, under a very high rate of wages, the quantity of the ingredients of capital produced and brought to market is deficient in relation to the quantity of those ingredients advanced in production. When wages have so risen that the labourer reproduces the advances which are made to him, with that lowest rate of profit, for the sake of which the capitalist will continue his business, then there can no longer exist a motive to increase capital more rapidly than population ; and supposing, that notwithstanding the high rate of wages, — the prevalence of moral restraint, or of prudential contrivances, should keep popu- lation and the supply of labour stationary, then the passion for accumulation must be extin- guished in its own excess. By the supposition, however, some small surplus still appears in the 393 form of profit, and were there, as probably there would be, any scarcity of land, a more consider- able surplus would appear in the form of rent. In what manner could these surpluses be disposed of, and where would be the eifectual demand for the articles composing them? The answers to these questions are obvious. If, on the extinction of the passion for accu- mulation, a taste for luxuries were revived, then in the form of luxuries all surplus would appear, — the effectual demand for them would be created as before explained; and should the commodities brought to market be in the due proportions, the extent of the demand would be precisely commensurate with the extent of production. But should the love of ease prevail over the desire of luxurious enjoyment, nothing beyond the necessaries of life would be produced ; and in this case what would become of our profits and rents? and where would be the effectual demand for the articles composing them ? The reply is still obvious. On the assumption that no individual in the community will produce and consume any thing 394 beyond the necessaries of life, the capitalist will advance to his labourers just that quantity of capital which, at the existing rate of profit, will yield the necessaries of life for his family. Thus, taking the rate of profit to be one per cent, the farmer or manufacturer who advances subsistence for one hundred families, would obtain in return subsistence for his own family ; and no indivi- dual would employ a larger capital than one hundred days* subsistence. Respecting rent, as our supposition in strict- ness excludes that species of luxury which consists in a retinue of menial servants and retainers, the proprietor, however extensive and fertile his territory might be, could have no wish to require for the use of his land a greater portion of the produce than that which sufficed to furnish his own family with the necessaries of life. Every portion of his estate over and above that, the rent of which was sufficient to affi^rd the necessaries of life to his family, would be of no utility or value to him whatever. Thus the prevailing love of ease, which prevented the proprietor of capital from conducting a larger 395 concern than that which was sufficient to yield necessaries, would prevent the proprietor of land from using any exertions to defend and retain these valueless possessions. All the portions of his estate, over and above that, the rent of which Kiight be sufficient to give his family the neces- saries of life, he would allow his children, his friends, and his neighbours to occupy ; a con- tinued occupancy would establish a title to these portions of land, which the original proprietor could have no motive to litigate, or even to ques- tion. Hence, landed property would become as much subdivided as capital. As no capital would exceed what, under the existing rate of profit, was necessary to yield the necessaries of life to the capitalist, so no estate would exceed that portion of territory which, in the actual degree of competition for land, yielded a rent sufficient to supply the necessaries of life to the family of the proprietor who let it out to farm. In the state just described, there would cer- tainly be no effectual demand for any articles beyond the bare necessaries of life for a stati- 396 onary* population. By the supposition, the quantity of the ingredients of capital produced is exactly equal to the quantity of these ingre- dients expended in reproducing the necessaries of life ; and therefore there are no ingredients of capital in existence to replace, by way of ex^ change, the quantity of such ingredients which might be expended in the production of luxuries. But it is self-evident that the want of effectual demand ; or, in other words, the want of the power to give in exchange for luxuries some greater quantity of the ingredients of capital than that which might be expended in bringing them to market, would be occasioned, not by the excess, but by the deficiency of production. Production would not be checked by the want of effectual demand, but effectual demand would * The population would be stationary, because, under the existing rate of wages, the labouring class is supposed to be too prudent to increase their numbers, and because no advance of wages inducing them to enlarge their families, can take place, without reducing profits below that minimum rate, for the sake of which the capitalist will make advances. 397 be narrowed in consequence of the want of pro- duction. Thus, in every conceivable case, effectual demand is created by and is commensurate with production, rightly proportioned. A universal passion for accumulating capital converts, during its continuance, the effectual demand for luxuries into an effectual demand for the necessaries of life ; and when this passion is extinguished in its own excess, if it is replaced by a desire for luxurious enjoyment, then effectual demand will arise for every article which the country may have power to produce ; and if this passion be succeeded by the prevalence of the love of ease, then an effectual demand will exist for every article which the community may have the inclination to produce. Vary our suppositions as we will, increased production, provided it be duly proportioned, is the one and only cause of extended demand, and diminished pro- duction the one and only cause of contracted demand. One other objection to the theory of effectual . demand, unfolded in the present section, remains 398 to be examined. It may be urged, " It is the " business of all legitimate philosophy to account " for facts ; and general reasonings, though ap- ** parently demonstrative in every step, must " necessarily involve a fallacy when their con- ** elusions do not square and tally with experi- " ence. The daily and hourly experience of " the market brings it home to our senses, that " for a considerable portion of the commodities " produced, no effectual demand exists — no pro- " fitable vend can be found. It is, therefore, " plainly impossible that demand should be *' created by production, or profitable vend be " commensurate with supply." I answer ; that I acknowledge, in the fullest extent, that it is the business of philosophy to account for facts, and that no theory, however plausible, nay, however demonstrative it may appear, is entitled to attention, unless its conclu- sions coincide with general experience. The definition of legitimate theory is, that it is de- duced, by an analytical process, from particular facts ; and that it accounts, by a synthetical pro- cess, for the phenomena to which it is applied. 399 If the theory of eifectual demand, which I have ventured to unfold, does not explain in a satisfactory manner that overstocking of the market, and want of profitable vend for com- modities, the existence of which is matter of general experience, I am ready to admit that such theory must be essentially defective and incorrect. But the theory of effectual demand which I have endeavoured to establish, accounts in the most satisfactory manner for every case of glut or regorgement which is actually experienced, or which can be supposed to exist. My definition of effectual demand is, that it consists in the power and the will to offer for commodities some greater quantity of the ingredients of capi- tal than their production cost; and from this definition it is a necessary inference, that where- ever the quantity of the ingredients of capital expended in bringing any commodity to market exceeds the quantity of these ingredients, which the consumers are willing and able to offer in exchange for it, there the supply will be exces- sive in relation to the demand, and a glut or 400 regorgement, a want of profitable vend, will be experienced. A glut may be occasioned by two different causes ; 1*/, by the erroneous calculations of producers leading them to expend, in bringing some particular commodities to market, a greater quantity of the ingredients of capital than that which the consumers are able and willing to offer in exchange for them : and, ^dly^ by the irregularity of the seasons, throwing upon the market, without any increased expenditure of the ingredients of capital, a greater quantity of a commodity than those who have the ordinary quantity of these ingredients to offer in exchange, are desirous of consuming. But though gluts may proceed from different causes, yet their effects in suspending production, and inflict- ing distress upon the industrious classes, whe- ther capitalists or labourers, will remain the same. The precise manner in which these effects are brought about, I shall endeavour to illustrate. Let us recur to our former case, and assume the existence of a community consisting of four 401 hundred families, the first hundred of which, with an expenditure of one hundred quarters of corn and one hundred suits of clothing, pro- duces four hundred quarters of corn ; the second hundred, with a like expenditure, prepares four hundred suits of clothing; the third hundred, with a like expenditure, raises a quantity of sugar and tobacco; and the fourth hundred, with a like expenditure, fabricates a supply of ribbons and lace. In this case, each class, from the imperative calls of nature, must be desirous of replacing the corn and clothing consumed while at work ; and as superfluities would not be produced unless there was a desire to enjoy something beyond the bare necessaries of life, the supposition that superfluities are produced, necessarily implies that there exists either a passion for accumulating capital, or a taste for articles of luxury. But if the passion for accu- mulating capital had existed, all surplus produc- tion would have appeared under the form of the ingredients of capital ; and therefore it is a taste for articles of luxury, which articles I represent under the terms, sugar and tobacco, ribbons and D D 402 lace, which is implied in the supposition that our community does more work than is neces- sary to reproduce the necessaries it consumes. The distribution of the things produced will therefore be as follows : — Each class will retain one fourth of its products for its own consump- tion, and will exchange one fourth with each of the other three classes for a fourth of its peculiar article ; and when these exchanges are completed, each class will have the ingredients of capital replaced with a surplus in the form of luxuries, equal in productive cost, and therefore in ex- changeable value to these ingredients. For all the articles brought to market a profitable vend and effectual demand will be found. Such being the previous state of things, let us now assume, that an unusually abundant harvest occurs, which yields to the growers of corn five hundred instead of four hundred quarters. Now, what influence would this excess have upon the effectual demand, or profitable vend, first for the ^corn, and then for the other articles produced ? The inquiry is most important. In conducting it I shall consider money as the medium by which 403 commodities are exchanged, as well for the sake of varying our illustrations, as for the purpose of shewing the sources of those fluctuations of price, and of those occasional redundancies in the circulating medium which so frequently occur in practice, without any increase in the amount of currency, or diminution in the quantity of commodities ; and the theory of which I do not remember to have seen satisfactorily explained. I assume, that while our society raises and prepares four hundred quarters and four hundred suits, with a quantity of sugar and tobacco, and of ribbons and lace, each class in addition to the capital of one hundred quarters of corn and one hundred suits of clothing which it expends in direct production, has 100/. in money, which it employs in effecting exchanges. In this case, the growers of com, in dealing with the clothiers, would pay 100/. for one hundred suits, and re- ceive 100/. for one hundred quarters ; in dealing with the growers of sugar, would pay 100/. for this article, and receive 100/. for one hundred quarters of corn ; and in dealing with the manufacturers of ribbons and lace, would 404 pay and receive similar sums ; while the class of clothiers, of growers of sugar, and of manu-^ facturers of ribbons and lace, would each perform this double money operation in dealing with the farmers and with each other. Thus, when the requisite exchanges were completed, each class would have paid and received 100/. three several times, and would possess, as at the commence- ment, the original sum of 100/. for future opera- tions. The supposition is, that while things have been proceeding in this way, an unusually abund- ant harvest yields the growers of corn five hundred quarters instead of four hundred. Now, with respect to articles of which a given popu- lation can consume only a given quantity, a moderate increase in the supply occasions a con- siderable decrease in the price. We will assume, therefore, that the abundant harvest which aug- ments the supply of corn one fourth, reduces the price of corn one half. This being the case, the farmer, in order to replace his capital, would still have to give 100/. for one hundred suits of clothing, but would receive from the clothier only 405 50/. for the one hundred quarters of corn, neces- sary to replace the capital of the latter ; so that in the transaction necessary to the replacement of his directly productive capital, the farmer's supply of cash will be reduced from 100/. to 50/. Formerly our farmers consumed 100/. worth of sugar and tobacco, and 100/. worth of ribbons and lace. But the price of these articles is not as yet supposed to have fallen, and therefore as their transactions with the clothiers have re- duced their cash from 100/. to 50/. and as they receive only 100/. for the two hundred quarters of com they dispose of to the growers of sugar and manufacturers of lace, the farmers will not have the means of purchasing the same quantity of these luxuries as before. Let the farmers consume only half their former quantity of sugar and tobacco, ribbons and lace, paying for them . the 100/. received from the growers of the one, and the manufacturers of the others, in return for two hundred quarters of corn, and then the abundant harvest will have deprived the farmers, of half their cash, and of half their accustomed supply of luxuries, and will have left upon their 406 hands one hundred quarters of corn, for which no profitable vend can be obtained. In this stage of the process the class of clothiers would receive a benefit, as, giving only 50/. for the com, and 200/. for their sugar and tobacco, ribbons and lace, and receiving 300/. for - the three hundred suits of clothing disposed of, they would replace their capital, enjoy an undi- minished quantity of luxuries, and at the same time increase their supply of cash from 100/. to 150/. The growers of corn and sugar, however, and the manufacturers of ribbons and lace, would be in a less flourishing condition. Though each of these classes giving and receiving 100/. in ex- changing one fourth of their respective products for one hundred suits of clothing, and 50/. in exchanging another fourth of their products for one hundred quarters of corn, would have their directly productive capital replaced ; yet, instead of each obtaining an increase of cash to the amount of 50/. they would each have one fourth of their products, or one sixth of the articles they forn^erly sold, left unvendible upon their 407 hands. As, however, the consumption of such articles is not limited as in the case of corn, by the capacity of the human stomach, we will assume, that a superfluous supply of sugar and tobacco, ribbons and lace, to the amount of one sixth, reduces the price only by a sixth. The account of each class will be as follows : — Growers of Corn. Original capital, £. s. d. 100 quarters of corn . 100 100 suits of clothing . 100 Cash 100 £.mO Return, 500 quarters of com <^.250 0, 100 suits of clothing purchased with cash 100 £M0 Deduct for 100 quarters of com, unsaleable . 50 — — £mo Profit, estimated in money* nil. * The farmer, hawever, would have a real profit of 50/. upon 250/.; because, whep estimated in their reduced money prices, the ingredient of his capital will amount to ^0/. not to 300/. . 408 Account of the class of Clothiers. Original capital, £. ,. d. 100 quarters of corn . 100 100 suits of clothing . 100 Cash 100 —^.300 Return, 400 suits of clothing ^.400 100 quarters of com piu-chased with cash 50 Cash remaining after purchase of corn . . 50 .^.500 Profit estimated in money ..,.£. 200 Account of the groivers of Sugar and Tobacco. Ori^nal capital, £. $. d. 100 quarters of com . 100 100 suits of clothing . 100 Cash 100 .^'.SOO Return, Sugar and tobacco de- preciated one sixth £.SS4i 100 suits of clothing purchased .... 100 . ^.434 Deduct for one eighth of sugar and tobacco, unsaleable .... 41 £. 393 Profits estimated in money ..... .^. 93 409 As the account of the class preparing ribbons and lace, would be precisely similar to the last, it would be superfluous to detail it. I will there- fore proceed to suppose, that a second abundant harvest occurs, throwing, including the stock already in hand, six hundred quarters of corn on the market, instead of four hundred. The supply would now exceed the consumption by a half, and that would reduce the price of corn at least three fourths*, and cause one hundred quarters of corn to fall from 100/. to 25/. Let us see the statement of the farmer's account upon this reduced scale of prices. It could not have been rationally supposed, that the class of farmers in the first year of glut should have reduced the expenditure of their families to bare necessaries, and we therefore assumed, that of their return of 300/. they de- voted 100/. to the purchase of half their former * If the harvests of 1821 and 1822 should both be abundant, the price of wheat in England will not exceed 25*. the quarter, that is, three quarters or seventy-five per cent, below the importation price fixed by the Corn Law of 1815. 410 supply of superfluities. The account of the class of corn growers will consequently stand thus :-— Capital estimated in money prices at the commence- ment of the season, £ s d 100 quarters of corn . . 50 100 suits of clothing . 100 Cash ...... 50 £.W0 Return, 500 quarters of corn . £.1^5 50 suits of clothing, pur- chased with the cash in hand .... 50 <£'.175 Deduct for 100 quarters of corn, unsaleable . 25 ^.150 Deficiency required to replace the other 50 suits of clothing expended . . . £.50 Let us now see in what manner the fall in the price of corn may be expected to act upon the other classes. The growers of corn, so far from being in a condition to purchase super- fluities, are unable to replace their capital, and therefore the growers of sugar and tobacco, and 411 the manufacturers of ribbons, will have one third of the articles for which there was originally a demand, left upon their hands. This dead stock accumulated upon that of the former year will again considerably reduce the price of those commodities, say, by one half, or from 334/. to 167/. The account of each of these two classes will therefore be as follows : — Capital estimated in the prices at the beginning of the season, £ s d 100 suits of clothing . 100 100 quarters of corn . 50 <^.150 Return, Sugar and tobacco . £.16*7 Deduct one fourth for- merly sold to farmers, now unsaleable . . 41 £.1^6 Loss sustained by growing sugar and tobacco £.M The situation of the manufacturers of ribbons and lace would be precisely similar to that of the growers of sugar and tobacco, and therefore need not be detailed. 412 Up to this period, the situation of the class of clothiers would have been prosperous ; for, while the producers of corn and of the several articles of superfluity, continued to employ the same capitals as before, the same quantity of clothing, one of the main ingredients of capital, would be consumed ; and no increase being supposed in its supply, the price of clothing would remain sta- tionary, though the fall in the price of corn, the other main ingredient of capital, diminished the comparative cost of its production. But as soon as the farmers, with the growers of sugar and the manufacturers of lace, ceased to be able to sell their commodities at prices which would re- purchase the ingredients of capital expended in their production, they would from interest no less than necessity, employ less capital than before, and consequently a less quantity of clothing, the second great ingredient of capital, would be demanded and consumed. The class of clothiers, after a temporary prosperity, would now participate in the general stagnation. For a considerable part of their products no profit- able or desirable sale could be effected. The 413 farmers would be anxious to offer them more corn, but of this they would be already possessed of as much as they had power to consume ; the other classes would be desirous of offering them more sugar and tobacco, ribbons and lace, but of these they already possessed as much as they had an inclination to consume. Hence, the class of clothiers would no longer have a motive to per- form the same quantity of work as before, and the production of their peculiar commodities would be diminished. In the foregoing illustrations, the fall in the price of corn and of luxuries is taken arbitrarily, s and without any attempt at the attainment of perfect accuracy. Two overflowing harvests increasing the supply of com one half, might not reduce the price of four hundred quarters from 400/. to 100/. nor the consequent diminished consumption of luxuries by the growers of corn, lower the price of the supply of sugar and tobacco from 400/. to 167/. But to some extent or other these causes would necessarily depress the price, first of corn, and then of superfluities, and produce effects similar in kind, though dif- 414 fereiit in degree, from those I have described. In the above cases, the assumed fall in prices trenches upon capital, and suspends production, though the original rate of profit is taken at cent, per cent. Had the rate of profit, previous to the glut of corn, been taken at fifteen or twenty per cent, a fall in prices, far less considerable, would have been followed by the same calamitous results. From the foregoing illustrations it will be apparent, that a glut of a particular commodity may occasion a general stagnation, and lead to a suspension of production, not merely of the commodity which first exists in excess, but of all the other commodities brought to market. The fall in the exchangeable value of the redundant commodity, deprives its producers of the power of replacing the ingredients of capital, without which they cannot continue their business, and renders them incapable of purchasing and con- suming the same quantity of other commodities as before. The supply of these other commo- dities, therefore, though not absolutely increased, becomes relatively redundant, as compared with 413 the effectual demand ; they also fall in exchange- able value, and the producers of them are in their turn deprived of the power of replacing the ingredients of capital, and of purchasing for immediate consumption their former quantity of superfluities. If the glut commenced with a redundant supply of some main ingredient of capital, the producers of the other ingredients of capital, being able to replace the depreciated ingredient with a smaller quantity of their respec- tive articles, would make extraordinary profits, so long as the several producers of the depre- ciated ingredients and of superfluities continued to employ the same quantity of capital as before. But when, in consequence of the diminished consumption of the producers of the redundant ingredient of capital, superfluities became also redundant, and so lost their exchangeable value, that the quantity of them which the producers of the undepreciated ingredients of capital might be disposed to receive, became inadequate to pur- chase the quantity of the ingredients of capital expended in bringing them to market; then the undepreciated ingredients of capital would 416 become redundant in consequence of the want of equivalents suited to the tastes of their producers. The motive for their continued production would therefore cease, and through all the channels of industry a general stagnation would prevail. Were the improvement in the seasons con- tinuous, and a greater quantity of corn were constantly and regularly raised with the same expenditure of capital, then the distribution of industry, as has been already shewn, would be altered so as to conform to the new proportions of its productive powers. Should the desire for luxurious enjoyment increase with the means of indulging it, a portion of the labour and capital formerly directed to the growing of corn would be transferred to the production of some greater quantity or new species of superfluities ; if a passion for accumulation should be created, such a portion of labour and capital would be trans- ferred from the growing of corn, as might be necessary to restore the equilibrium between that ingredient of capital and the others ; and should the prevalence of the love of ease induce the society to be satisfied with the same quantity 417 of enjoy men t« as before, then the improved powers of industry would be followed by the performance of less work, and would cause that portion of the growers of corn which exceeded the number required to raise the same quantity of grain as before, to divide themselves equally amongst all the four classes of our community, so as to leave the same degree of leisure to each. Thus, in every conceivable case, a redundant supply of a commodity^ occasioned by an im- provement in the productive powers of industry, after occasioning temporary embarrassment and distress, would be succeeded by a rectifying pro- cess, and would terminate in conferring solid advantages upon the society at large. But a redundant supply of corn, occasioned by a suc- cession of more than average crops, would be followed by no compensating advantage; and any attempt to remedy the evil by altering the previous distribution of industry, would only serve to protract and aggravate it. In this case, after a portion of the growers of corn had abandoned tillage and engaged in the production of clothing and of luxuries, a succession of defi- E E 418 cient harvests might occur, and render the supply of grain as defective as it had been before re- dundant. But a deficient supply of so important an ingredient of capital as corn, is in effect the same thing as a redundant supply of all other articles. Perhaps there is no single cause which operates so injuriously on the prosperity of a country as a fluctuating supply of corn. Unless the quantity of this important ingredient of capital be in some degree steady and uniform, it is impossible to preserve that justly proportioned production which secures for every commodity brought to market a certain and profitable vend. That want of due proportion in the quantities of the several commodities brought to market, which operates thus injuriously upon capita- lists, inflicts equal injury upon the other classes of the community. When the different articles of wealth cannot be interchanged so as to replace with a surplus the things expended in their pro- duction, then rents cannot be paid, and wages will fall short. The ruin of the cultivator involves that of the proprietor of land; and when the motive and the power to employ pro- 419 ductive capital are destroyed, the productive labourer is cut off by famine. During a glut or regorgement, however, there is one class which continues to flourish amidst the general distress. This class consists of those whose property is realised in money. That universal fall in money prices which I have shewn to be incident upon an undue proportion in the quantities of the several commodities brought to market, is the same thing as a rise in the value of money, and necessarily gives to the monied capitalist a greater command over the necessaries and conveniences of life. But this is not all. On every occasion of glut or stagnation, the monied capitalist will not only get a greater quantity of commodities for the same given sum in cash, but will obtain a higher rate of interest on the money he advances in the way of loan, or invests in the purchase of real property. The cause of these effects I will endeavour to explain. In all ordinary states of the market, prices will be determined by the proportion which exists between the quantity of commodities to be cir- 420 culated, and the amount of the currency with which their circulation is effected ; and to occa- sion a general fall or rise of prices, the quantity of commodities must increase or diminish, while the amount of currency remains the same, or the amount of currency must increase or diminish*, whilje the quantity of commodities remains the same. In periods of glut and general stag- nation, however, prices are determined by other circumstances, and the exchangeable power of money will increase in a much higher ratio than the quantity of commodities. The reason is obvious. Money being the universal equivalent and medium of exchange, whoever can com- mand a sufficient quantity of it, can immediately procure all the other articles he may desire to possess. Hence, that want of due proportion between the quantities of the several things pro- duced and brought to market, which renders it difficult to exchange commodities against com- * A greater or less degree of economy in the use of currency, may have the same effect on prices as an increase or diminution in its amount. 421 modities, never can render it difficult to exchange money against commodities. A redundant har- vest, which rendered it difficult for the farmer to exchange his corn for clothing, would inter- pose no difficulty in the way of exchanging his money for clothing. The farmer, therefore, who wished to replace that portion of his capital which consisted in clothing, would seek^ in the first instance, to convert his corn into money; while the manufacturer of clothing, though he might have obtained as much corn as he was able to consume, and as much sugar and tobacco, ribbons and lace, as he wished to consume, would nevertheless be desirous of turning his stock into money ; because money being the universal equivalent, and imperishable in its nature, would be more useful to him than clothing in effecting future purchases when he required a fresh supply of corn, or of luxuries. Hence, on every occasion of glut or general stag- nation, the desire of turning goods into money is rendered more intense than the desire of turning money into goods, and the proportion in which prices will fall, will be much greater 422 than that in which the relation between the quantity of commodities and the amount of cur- rency will be altered. Again; in all ordinary states of the market, the rate of interest rises or falls wkh the rise or fall in the rate of profit. In times of glut and stagnation, however, this general principle is liable to excep- tions, and the interest of money may rise while the profits of stock fall to nothing. Money being the universal equivalent and medium of ex- change, he who commands a money capital, can at any time replace the several ingredients of directly productive capital expended in bringing commodities to market ; and hence the indivi- duals whose industry experiences such a tem- porary depression, as prevents their peculiar commodity, not only from selling at a profit, but from exchanging even for the same quan- tity of the ingredients of capital which its pro- duction cost, may frequently find it to be their interest to make extraordinary sacrifices in order to procure money with which to replace the articles necessary to the carrying on of their business. I will explain this by an example. If the rate of interest be five per cent., and the rate of agricultural profit when corn is selling at the prices of average years fifteen per cent., then it will be the obvious interest of the farmer who may not have capital of his own» to borrow, at five per cent, the sum, say 1000/. necessary to the cultivation of his fields. NoWy let us suppose that two unusually abundant years occur in succession, and throw upon the market such a glut of com> that the farmer's produce, instead of selling at a profit, does not bring him by 100/. the sum adequate to replace his ad- vances, and to enable him to renew his opera- tions. In this case, though the farmer was making no profit, it might be his interest to give fifty per cent, for the loan of 100/. because this sacrifice would save him from bankruptcy, and would enable him to carry on his business, and on the return of average seasons and prices, to make fifteen per cent, on a capital of 1000/. As soon as the glut of agricultural produce, which thus rendered it the interest of the farmer to borrow additional sums at a high interest, had narrowed in the manner formerly 424 described, the effectual demand for manufac- tures, it would also become the interest of the manufacturers, notwithstanding the fall, or even the disappearance of profit, to provide against the temporary pressure by borrowing additional capital at high interest. Amidst the general distress, the land proprietors, whose rents had fallen or disappeared in consequence of the losses of the farmer, would now be reduced to the necessity of borrowing. This distress which increased the inclination to borrow, would diminish the inclination to lend. The multiplied failures in agriculture, manufactures, and trade, would strike a panic into the holders of floating capital, and they would refuse to grant accom- modation upon securities, which in more pros- perous times they would be disposed to consider unobjectionable. Thus, from a double cause, the rate of interest would be out of all propor- tion high, as compared with the rate of profit. As interest rose, lands, annuities, and public funds, would all sell for a smaller number of years purchase than before, and amidst this universal depreciation an extraordinary pro- 425 portion of the property of the country would pass into the hands of the tnonied capitalist. It is obvious that the state of things here described, could not be permanent. Should a glut terminate in a continued depression; of industry and fall of profits, it is impossible that the interest of money should remain high, be- cause, in this case, it would be impossible for the borrower to pay an extravagant premium for the use of that which brought him inconsiderable returns. When prosperity receives any sudden check, the desire to borrow and the fear to lend cause interest to rise, while profits fall or disap- pear; but when the pressure upon industry is continuous, the impossibility of paying large premiums out of small returns restores the pro- portion between interest and profit, and renders each a tolerably accurate index of the other. In the latter of these cases, as profit and interest fall, land, annuities, and public funds, all fetch a greater number of years purchase than before, and this rise in the value of property which is an unequivocal symptom of an approach to the declining, or at least to the stationary state, is 426 mistaken by the uninstructed observed for the indication of prosperity. Having now explained the general principles of demand and supply, and shewn that they afford a satisfactory solution of all the important phenomena experienced in the market, I shall conclude with suggesting a few practical rule.^ for averting those stagnations in trade, and that want of profitable vend for the commodities pro- duced, which so frequently suspend prosperity before a country has approached the limits of her resources. In order to secure a certain and profitable vend for the commodities produced, and to avert the recurrence of gluts or regorgements, the first thing the practical statesman should aim at, is to keep the supply and the price of corn uniform and steady. When corn forms the basis of the labourer's food, it becomes the most important and universal of all the ingredients of capital ; and, as has been already demonstrated, any redundancy or deficiency in its supply destroys that proportion between the ingredients of capital, and other articles offered in exchange 3 427 for them, which is the occasion of effectual demand. It is impossible that a country should enjoy any tolerable or continuous prosperity, if the price of the main article of the labourer's food be subject to sudden and considerable fluctuations. The means by which corn may be preserved at a nearly uniform price, I have shewn at length in another place*, and need not here repeat. After preserving com at a uniform price, the next great object of the practical economist should be, to preserve the currency at a uniform value. Lowering the value of the currency, as I endeavoured to shew in the preceding section, has a favourable influence upon effectual demand. But currency cannot always go on sinking in value, otherwise its power as a medium of ex- change would altogether cease ; and its recoil is attended with calamities which far more than counterbalance the advantages which accompa- nied its descent. This recoil is precisely that which the practical statesman should endeavour to prevent. After the currency of a country * E)^say on the External Corn Trade. 428 has been depreciated for a certain time, and rents, wages, and prices, have been adjusted to the new measure of value, a restoration of the former standard violates the spirit of all existing contracts, and occasions an entire derangement of the market. In all such cases, policy and justice alike require, not that the currency should be raised to the level of the ancient standard, but that the standard should be lowered to the actual level of the currency. A third rule for preventing gluts, or mitigat- ing their effects when they occur, is to leave the interest of money to find that natural level which is determined by the competition between bor- rowers and lenders. Usury laws, though intended to protect the borrower, inflict upon him the most serious inconvenience. In periods of glut their operation is peculiarly injurious. As the want of a profitable vend is occasioned by ill- proportioned production, whatsoever obstructs the transference of capital retards the required correction in the distribution of industry, and renders the evil more permanent than it other- wise would be. This objection against legisla- tive interference with the interest of money. 420 applies with equal force to all taxes imposed upon the conveyance of property. The less the transference of property is obstructed, the more rapidly will capital flow from the channels in which it is in excess, to those in which it is deficient, and the shorter will be the period during which commodities will be brpught to market in undue proportions. Another rule of great practical importance is, to avoid all sudden transitions. This, indeed, is a universal principle, and into it the three pre- ceding rules may be resolved. With respect to the encouragement of industry and the progress of wealth, steady and consistent legislation, even though it should proceed upon erroneous prin- ciples, is preferable to a timid and irregular application of the soundest theories. Pertinacity in error is less inj urious than the facility which vacillates between right and wrong. When government pursues a steady and uniform course, industry conforms and adapts itself to the existing system ; and though the quantity of wealth produced is less than it would be under a more enlightened policy, yet the supply of commodities is so proportioned as to ensure a 430 ready and profitable vend for whatever may be brought to market. But when governments resort to temporary expedients — when they attempt to legislate for each particular occur- rence, and interfere with the existing system before they have a sufficient acquaintance with general principles to erect a better in its stead, then the calculations of the producer are con- founded, and commodities can no longer be brought to market in that just proportion which €nsures effectual demand. In economics as in medicine, the regular practitioner, when he does not clearly see his way, will be disposed to leave nature to herself; while the empyric resorts on ^very occasion to active and pernicious nostrums, and thus aggravates the disorder he ignorantly attempts to cure. FINIS. Printed by J. DretUtt, Rupert Street, Hayinarket, London. r m 14 DAY TJSP RETURN CIRCULATION DEPARTMENT TO—^ 202 Main Library LOAN PERIOD 1 HOME USE 2 3 4 5 6 .ALL ROPKS MAY BE RECALLED AFTER 7 DAYS 1-monTh Joans may be renewed by calllna 642-3405 DUE AS STAMPED BELOW RECEIVED BY JUL 2 3 1985 CIRCUIATION r>Epr NOV 13 21 lOZ UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, BERKELEY FORM NO. DD6, 60m, 1/83 BERKELEY, CA 94720 (g)s Berkeley LP I'eB, rC7007sl(^^-^ GENERAL LIBRARY - U.C. BERKELEY iiii BDDD7bSMMS ■/