LIBRARY OF THE UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA. GIFT OF" n I IW -4*0. D. THE VERSATILITY OF AN INSURANCE CAREER BY F. W. P. RUTTER MANAGER, LONDON AND LANCASHIRE FIRE INSURANCE CO. LIVERPOOL PRESS OF MONTROSS, CLARKE & EMMONS, 51 NASSAU STREET, N. Y. tHti THE VERSATILITY OF AN INSURANCE CAREER. 44 To look at things as well as vje can to in- scribe them on our memory to be observant and lei no day pass 'without gathering something then to apply oneself to those branches of knowledge which give the mind a sure direction to apportion everything its place to assign to everything its value (in my opinion a genuine philosophy and a fundamental mathe- sis)this is "what ive have novj to do." THESK words of Goethe form the kernel of what I propose to submit for your indulgent con- sideration to-night. When you did me the honour to invite my ap- pearance before your Society, and when it was intimated that there would be no restrictions in the selection of a subject, I felt it would perhaps be not altogether uninteresting to you, and certainly a benefit to myself, if I were to attempt a survey of the manifold, the kaleidoscopic, vareity of interests, which are bound up with the life and work of an underwriter, and the study of which must be both enjoyable and instructive to every aspirant to insurance honours. After framing in my mind the skeleton of ideas which the subject conjured up, and so as to avoid ground already familiar to you, if that were possi- ble, I had access to some of the papers which have already been read before your Society, bearing in several instances the names of some of the most distinguished amongst the leaders of our profession. Of these, I was particularly attracted and impressed by the paper read to you twelve months ago by one of your own countrymen, who has not only won for himself an imperishable insurance reputa- tion, but who excels as a profound thinker, a class- ical scholar, and a polished rhetorician. He told you, from the stores of his experience, the beneficent advantages of philosophy and of moral culture to a business man. He explained to you as with the authority of one who has passed successfully through the turmoil, the anxieties, the ups and downs of an active business life to the quietude of a happy retirement, so helpful to a calm, unfettered survey of the past how a man's daily work may be elevated and refined by a firm adherence to principle and by the exercise of that philosophy which softens the too glaring dazzle of success, and gives a silver 2 lining to the dark cloud of failure and discourage- ment. To-night I confess with some trepidation at the ambition of following in such footsteps I take this lofty sentiment as the basis, the foundation, of my remarks, and will try to picture to you the multi- tudinous elements, the masses and the fragments all lying heaped together, but which, combined in pro- portion and with judgment, may be fashioned into the structure of an insurance expert's career. For our business is a mosaic, composed of so many pieces of different material, and of such vari- ety in size and shape, that it is difficult to imagine how these many apparently inharmonious elements can be made to fit. It is necessary, therefore, that one's mind should approach the subject broadly and generously, that we should be free for the nonce from the technicalities of our daily occupation, and see whether, not only business life per se, but our own particular profession, is not capable of being similarly elevated to a higher plane. I propose, then, to touch a few chords, lightly and suggestively, indicating the variety of pursuits open to any Insurance man who has an enthusiastic 3 interest in his business, and who is wishful to com- bine them to his advantage. For one cannot but acknowledge that the greater the experience of the world, and the business acumen possessed by the underwriter, the more fitted he must be to bring to bear upon his work that judgment, that fine discrimination, which are so continuously called for. It has often occurred to me that, perhaps THE HIGHEST QUALIFICATION OF AN UNDERWRITER is the power of making up his mind, and making it up both rapidly and accurately. He must not waste time over it he must not keep other things waiting; he must cleave his problem to the core, examine it minutely, and then give his decision promptly and con- clusively once for all. It does not matter whether the anxious question is that of the opening of an agency, of the retirement from a country, or the abandonment of a treaty, or whether it shall be mending rather than ending; of the selection of an official, of the acceptance of a risk, or of the many other ques- tions which, from time to time, arise like Hydra to puzzle the brains of officials. All demand the same nicety of treatment and clearness of judgment, so that when, years after, that same subject, however 4 small and insignificant it may have appeared at the outset, becomes lit up with the search-light of some exciting incident, one may have the keen satisfaction of feeling that whatever the outcome, whether good or ill that decision was the right one. It is easy enough to say,' afterwards, what would have been the right thing to do, because then the question is illumined by the after event, and by the more exhaustive and deliberate thought which one can naturally give to it. But it is the first judgment which must be sharp and accurate, because upon it so much may depend. The more one knows of a subject and of the many side-lights which assist in the formation of a judgment, the more competent one becomes to arrive at an accurate conclusion. Knowledge is power : it constitutes the expert. And the true expert must be a specialist ; he should not be content with the generalising of the ordinary practitioner, but he should qualify as an authority on as many subjects as possible, with proper discrim- ination, choosing those only that are likely to be of value, and the result will be a more polished personality, as well as a more complete insurance encyclopaedia. 5 A thoughtful journalist once termed Insurance, comprehensively, as both esoteric and exoteric. Eso- teric because it appeared to him to be a science only understood by the specially initiated, the ex- perts ; but yet exoteric, because capable of being imparted to and comprehended by others. He was right; and having himself since entered the ranks of the Insurance profession, he has doubtless proved to his satisfaction, ere now, one, if not both, of these definitions. Insurance an Insurance has, indeed, every claim to the Inductive Science* title of an inductive science, a science which calls for one's best reasoning powers the daily draw- ing of inferences and conclusions by the microscopic examination of all such obtainable data as will help to throw light upon the problem, whatever it may be. Science is, after all, but "the systematic classification of experience." As Huxley said, "It is nothing but trained and organised common-sense" The premises must be true, the reasoning without bias or prejudice, and the conclusion such as will stand the test of subsequent events. The underwriter is called upon from hour to hour to apply the mass of general facts and statistics accumulated in the 6 course of his experience, and to focus them upon his particular difficulty. But this must be done with unerring judgment, because the set of factors em- ployed must obviously vary with every separate case. Statistics above all are the underwriter's sheet anchor. And yet we frequently hear the phrase that figures can be made to prove anything. So they can, if they are confined to one side of the question only, but the careful underwriter will see that the figures from which he makes his deductions are sufficiently faithful and complete to be relied upon. But beyond even statistics, there must be that keen, sympathetic, sensitive judgment, amounting almost to an instinct, which so often comes into play, to confirm, or perhaps to negative, what the figures seem to indicate. It is like the philoso- pher's stone of the alchemist, which, applied with discretion and at the proper moment, turns into gold the particular transaction. It is this faculty the final touch of some deep thought, or the moral derived from some vital incident, and often put into effect in the face of otherwise convincing statistics 7 which has had such a large share in the composi- tion of some of our greatest underwriters. And yet it would not be right to suggest that the science of Insurance is so occult that its secrets are attainable only by a favoured few who have entered the world as ''born underwriters." There is nothing in our business which cannot be learned by patient, unwearying application and perseverance. That, indeed, is the charm of our profession. Any science which takes a lifetime to learn must, if pur- sued with enthusiasm, be a continual source of pride, and of intrinsic value so much invested cap- ital to the possessor. Carlyle knew the value of incessant study when he wrote: "There is a perennial nobleness, and even sacredness, in work. Were he ever so be- nighted, forgetful of his high calling, there is always hope in a man that actually and earnestly works. ' ' A clever underwriter, then, must be a man of genius: by which I mean either a man of excep- tional gifts and intuition, or (in the application of that other definition) a man of "energy, labour, and diligence," "with a transcendent capacity for 8 taking trouble first of all." Indeed, it is very doubtful whether this taking of pains can be dis- pensed with by anybody in our business. The omission to give due weight to one single, and per- haps apparently insignificant, fact, may involve con- sequences causing deep regret and chagrin. We are often struck by the completeness and perfection of some chef (Toeuvre, whether a book, or a speech, or a picture. Occasionally rarely the artist, a Byron or a Herkomer, may have dashed off his work with lightning rapidity ; but, as a rule, the apparently perfect work or the inspired pronouncement is but the result of infinite patience and care. The same guiding principle of unremitting atten- tion to details must govern us if we are to achieve sound results ; and it cannot but be an encourage- ment and an incentive to the tyros in our profession to feel that there is no roj 7 al road to success, but that, by saturating themselves with their daily business and by utilising such by-studies as are likely to enrich their Insurance experience, there is no reason why they should not attain to the highest rungs of the ladder. The first step is generally the most 9 difficult, but once attained it affords a firm fulcrum for further progress. You remember that it was as a corporal (not as a private) that Napoleon first attracted attention ; and we have at all times been encouraged by the declaration as true in our bus- iness as in his that ' * every corporal carries a field- marshal' s baton in his knapsack." Our Insurance history comprises more than one Napoleonic instance of that insatiable thirst for new fields to conquer which was the burning characteristic of that original and unequalled amalgamator. Wnaloav Between Glancing the other day over the columns of Banking a banking journal, I came across the dogma and Insurance. ^^ < sc i ence has now supplanted crude con- jecture, and expert knowledge has taken the place of mere guess-work." This may also be applicable to banking, but it is certainly so to Insurance ; and indeed there is a good deal of analogy between the banking profession and our own ; they have a natural affinity for each other. You, in the North, are aware at least of one instance where a successful banker has become a clever actuary, and vice versa. For Insurance is, like banking, a necessity : it is no longer a luxury, 10 but has become an absolutely essential factor in the world's commercial machinery. Can you imagine what would be the effect of the suspension of all Insurance policies, say, in the great Metropolis, or in your own city, for a single day ; the dislocation that would ensue, the violation of contracts as between mortagor and mortagee, carrier and con- signee, buyer and seller, merchant and broker? How many, or rather how few, are there who have not responsibilities and obligations to some other party ; and, whatever may be their inclination as regards their own liability, the risks which they themselves are running, these obligations to others often of great and even unknown extent must be covered if the daily routine of their business is to go on without interruption. It is sometimes said that we Insurance men sell our goods, like shopkeepers ; and, this being a "nation of shopkeepers," we might not unreasonably accept the epithet as applying to ourselves. But is it quite correct? Are we not, rather, like bankers, trustees? We are entrusted with so much money by so many individuals, and out of that money we pay our expenses and guarantee to refund from the ii store of our reserves of the money which has been entrusted to and fructified in our keeping whatever fire losses may occur to the property insured. We, naturally, always endeavor to secure for ourselves a small margin of profit for our trouble and work just the same as the banker does on the turnover of his client's accounts ; but the bulk of our divi- dends are, like those of the banker, derived from the judicious investment of the securities in hand, and which, fortunately, in the case of the Insurance Companies, largely consist of the accumulated profits of past years. There are those who still regard a life policy, and even a fire policy, as they would a summer overcoat occasionally useful, but generally supererog- atory ; but, in the enormous and increasing number of insured (not one of whom is inclined to spend money if he can possibly save it), they have con- stant demonstration that Insurance has not only come to stay, but that year by year the number of the elect must inevitably expand. Undoubtedly the prestige attaching to the name of a British Company was forged and burnished in the furnace of the Chicago and Boston fires a 12 ,ITY quarter of a century ago. For the Chicago con- flagration alone, the amount paid was over 50 million gold dollars, of which the British offices contributed about one-fifth, and it must always remain as a per- manent testimony to the solidity and resources of the British offices that, whilst there were many companies unable to meet their indebtedness, there was not a single Company hailing from this country which did not respond for every dollar of its liabilities. For- tunate were they in having so husbanded their profits as to be able to meet the blow with- out default. Such an expenditure was well en- titled to the unprecedented testimonial which it earned, and the credit of the British Insurance Com- pany still rises- higher and higher. . . Conflagrations are unquestionably the salt of Of our business ; without them it would lose Conflagrations, half its charm. They are our fertilisers: they impart new life and vitality into ground which, perhaps, has been getting sodden and stale ; they stimulate growth ; they are like ' ' bread thrown on the waters," coming back to us again a hundred- fold. They constitute the finest advertisement the strongest vindication which a Fire Insurance Company 13 can possibly desire. They demonstrate to the laity, to those outside the pale of our profession, that, whatever immunity we may enjoy for a time whether it is for five or ten years we are never safe from the possibility of a fire which may cut a large slice out of a great city. And this liability is just as applicable to this country and this hemisphere as it is to the great countries over the seas. Formerly, we used to think that a conflagration was only probable in a timber town ; and yet, although in the course of years, these flimsy places have been gradually minimised in their number and extent, we have the conflagrations still present with us, as fre- quent and as vehement as ever. Timber has been replaced by brick, but this improvement has been offset by the crowding and over-crowding of our large towns where we have now to study the mul- titude of congested districts, with narrow streets, high and old buildings often containing enormous values of light and dangerous merchandise which, once a fire has got well alight, form as fine and unlimited a bonfire as ever did any town of frame construction. We may, and do, take precautions. We have the facility of the telephone, and of the electric alarm if we take the trouble to instal it ; both of vital utility in calling up the Brigade, a matter of paramount importance, seeing that it is the first ten minutes which will decide whether the fire is to be stopped in its incipiency or whether it is to gather strength which may grow into a conflagration. We have our enlarged Fire Brigades, our modern appli- ances, our automatic sprinklers, our supplies of water of unlimited capacity ; and yet, with all these helps, we know that we are never safe. L,et there be one link missing from the chain, and all our calcula- tions are upset. Was not the immense destruction caused by the St. John's, Newfoundland, fire due to the fact that the water supply of the town had been temporarily cut off to allow of some repairs being carried out? And St. John's was only an illustration of what may occur anywhere at any time. What power on earth can stop a fire well alight in two or more warehouses in a congested district with a hurricane blowing? How often has it happened that a serious conflagration was only averted by the dropping of the wind, or its veering round to another quarter? 15 We cannot, therefore, evade the conflagration, and, indeed, it is doubtful whether we should really benefit if it could be removed from our path. It is incidental to our business ; it is the necessary vindication for our Reserve Funds ; it affords abund- ant food for the introspective study of the thought- ful underwriter. Sometimes the blow comes with a startling cruelty at the moment when we are enjoying the prospect of reporting some splendid return some- times when we have already been suffering, as we think, unduly, and when we are apt to echo Job's lament, "For the thing which I greatly feared is come upon me, and that which I was afraid of is come unto me. I will complain in the bitter- ness of my soul." But what would our Fire Insurance history be without conflagrations? If they were barred the obvious result would be an intensifying of competi- tion consequent upon the greater security, and an inevitable slipping down of rates until our business and our profits reached the vanishing point. Once make profits easy and they are done for. It is curious how, presumably in comformity with some 16 mathematical law, these great fires, periodically, and with fair regularity, come to waken us from the lethargy which may result from over-confidence. Each decade has cut its notch in the conflagration record, and it is a remarkable fact that nearly every such fire of serious moment has occurred in one of the closing months of the year. In 1861, Tooley Street; in October, 1871, Chi- cago; in November, 1872, Boston; in December, 1882, Wood Street; in 1892, St. John's; and last year, in October, that interesting fire in Ecuador, which threw a lurid glare upon a little-known sec- tion of the western hemisphere, and produced one of the most puzzling problems in currency and finance which the joint acumen of bankers and underwriters has ever had to deal with. As I write these very lines, on the night of the igih November, 1897, a fateful orange-coloured envelope is placed in my hand, the missive announcing that the fire-fiend has had sway in the heart of London for eight con- secutive hours, and swept out of existence more than ninety warehouses ; and the Cripplegate fire is now on record as one of the most notable conflagra- tions since the historic holocaust of 1666. What 17 would those owners and occupiers do for their daily bread if they had not, to a considerable extent at least, protected themselves against this ever pos- sible contingency? If they have so safeguarded themselves, they are entitled to their share of the funds which have been contributed for this very purpose. Fortunately for all of us, the times have lately been so propitious that we can bear such a blow without a tremor, and, however the burden may be distributed, Fire Insurance in this country, in the aggregate, is built on too solid a basis for any fire that ,is not really unprecedented to cause alarm. A great Roman philosopher who was apt to probe accurately, if cynically, into the depths of weak human nature, has placed on record this re- flection : ' ' How fascinating it is for one safe on land to witness the perils of those battling with the waves ! Not from any malicious pleasure in the troubles of others, but because it is an inter- esting study to be able to analyse troubles from which we ourselves are exempt." However true this aphorism may still be in this nineteenth century, we, at any rate, can afford to 18 be a little more charitable than L,ucretius, and, although an office doing a world-wide business may luckily escape when a fire occurs on one side of the globe, the principle of averages is sure to assert itself, and the same Company will doubtless have its aliquot proportion when the next big fire occurs at the opposite pole. Whilst it would be false modesty to attempt to conceal from ourselves the hope of each one of us that when a conflagration occurs one's own special Company may be treated tenderly, we must not forget that, like banks, the interests of our great Fire Insur- ance Offices are really bound up with each other in- dissolubly, and that, if a serious disaster hits any one of us, it must have some corresponding effect upon the prestige of those others who may have been more fortunate. And, so, this fiery incident in I^ondon, followed almost immediately by a similar occurrence at the Antipodes, seems to have come with curious oppor- tuneness, eloquently illustrating the never-ending variety of our daily life, which every hour calls for some new treatment some readjustment of our men- tal compass, requiring us to be always on the alert, 19 prepared to trim our sails or to alter our helm, as we can never forecast from what new quarter the wind may blow. Conflagrations, then, are blessings often disguised blessings but still beneficent, just as a plague or an epidemic to a L,ife manager. They are painful to bear at the time, but they work their own good. They mostly happen in districts which are none the worse for such a drastic clearance. Do you imagine that if the Chicago fire, when ^33,000,000 of property was swept out of existence, had not taken place, Chicago would ever have become the great city it is to-day? It might, perhaps, in the extent of its commerce ; but it is more than likely that it would have been cramped and fettered, and that the health and comfort of its vast population would inevitably have suffered from its poorer accommodation. When- ever, then, a big fire occurs we naturally look for a marked improvement in the character of the rebuilt property, conferring aesthetic and practical advantages on the community. But conflagrations have another use for us : they justify to the public our raison d'etre; they bring up recruits, just as that historic charge at the Ridge 20 of Dargai has created a new eclat and enthusiasm for your famous regiment * ' The Gordon High- landers." Our profits are maintained, as well as leavened, by these periodical outbursts, and the public have ocular demonstration that we do run these heavy risks, and that we are therefore not un- reasonable in asking that, for our risk, we should be allowed a moderate percentage of profit for our- selves. fire Profits The principles of insurance are so closely and [liabilities, allied to those of providential organisations, that it would not be judicious for us to hoodwink our insured, or to charge them rates which can be proved to be excessive. It is proper and wise for u? always to exercise a ' ' sweet reasonableness. ' ' If you take the operations of all the British Companies for the period commencing 1881 to date (it is im- possible to go farther back if the figures are to be in any way complete), you will find that the net fire premium income encashed during the period of 16 years has been ^244, 000,000. This indicates the mag- nitude of our business, but the amount must be dis- tributed amongst nearly 60 Companies, and, when worked out, the profit to them on this immense 21 turnover, with all its risks, and with a continuously increasing liability, really only represents the modest ratio of something less than 6 per cent. And yet this is the heyday of our cycle of prosperity, after several good years which have materially assisted the result, but which, unfortunately, are not likely to be continued much longer, if we are to attach im- portance to the regular ebb and flow which seem to be invariably confined within the limits of each decade. And, for this profit, we are not only working anxiously and watchfully, day by day, but we are all the time running untold liabilities in every quarter of the globe. In 1868, when the duty on fire business in this country was discontinued, the aggregate sum insured in the United Kingdom amounted to ^1,430,000,000; but this liability, great as it was, has since expanded by leaps and bounds. I have made a little calcu- lation which leads me to conclude that, at the present moment, the fifty-six British Companies are running the risk of no less than ^7,600,000,000, that is to say nearly twelve times the amount of the total national indebtedness of this country. Surely, then, our clients, and indeed our would-be rivals, 22 whether Governments or Municipalities, must, if they are thinking men, pause before deciding that the in- surance business, with all its advantages and all its hazards, is a bonanza and a monopoly. We must aim, we do aim, at equity ; and if this principle of fair dealing and fair treatment to every honest com- petitor and to every class and trade is continued, we need have no fear of inroads into the preserves which we have cultivated with such toil and care. We do not decry a reasonable amount of legitimate com- petition ; it is as necessary as conflagrations. It pre- vents undue profits, it proves to the public that we are not members of a gigantic "trust." When, with us, a smaller Company is swallowed by a larger, it is not with- the object which is at the root of the operations of so many industrial syndicates and com- binations, of choking off a vexatious competitor who is keeping down rates, but because the absorber, with its greater resources, considers the business is worth more to it than is its market value as a separate concern. No ; we do not desire excessive profits. We are all aware it is a law of economics that large profits attract capital, intensify competition, reduce 23 rates, and so rapidly bring about the dissipation of all profit, and end in a state of things much worse than would have been the case if only the business had remained quietly and moderately prosperous. At the same time it is very necessary to be Competition* on one's guard against the competition of other countries. They are late in the field, and, therefore, at some disadvantage, but they come well armed, and trained by the practice of that very habit of observation which is so essential to all of us. Here in this kingdom we have always kept peculiarly secure, but elsewhere in our colonies and in the wide foreign domain only limited by the two Poles to which every Britisher has been accustomed to think he has a prescriptive right, we have now to face a growing aggression, and in this new com- petition the Germans lead the van. We have heard much of late about this German competition in our commercial affairs, and it has been a surprise to me that it is only recently our authorities and our press seem to have wakened up to the fact that our business in many directions is being taken from us. Ten years ago, in South America, I had numerous illustrations of what is only now attracting attention; 24 and I well remember being told that the Gauchos of the River Plate had had to throw over the Englishman for the supply of their horse-shoe nails, because, forsooth, he insisted upon supplying the pattern made in Birmingham, which he had always been accustomed to supply to others, whereas the Teuton stepped in with nails * ' made in Germany ' ' of the shape and size which the Gaucho particularly desired. This is the German's advantage his will- ingness to adapt himself to local circumstances and peculiarities, however preposterous they may seem in his eyes and he couples therewith an incessant attention to the most elaborate details even over a small transaction which an Englishman would think was not worth his while. Moreover, a German is generally a better linguist I will not say a better scholar, but, as a rule, knowing two languages besides his own, modern languages of the countries which are likely to be most useful to him. The German is, above everything, a utilitarian. I believe that in many schools in Germany, whilst the dead languages are not ignored, they are re- stricted to a course of thirty days, at the end of which period L,atin and Greek are not only dead 25 but buried, and all the energies of the student are devoted to those European languages, English being, of course, one of them, which will help him most. Now this does not exactly make for culture, but it is practical ; and, after all, it is a poor consolation to a clever scholar and there are many such to know that he has passed through the University, and can recite in the vernacular many a classical ode, if he is not earning as much as will keep body and soul together. Classical culture is an enviable acquisition, but, like an old master stored away in a garret, it is of questionable value unless it is allied to position and means. Forewarned, then, is forearmed, and it is clearly wise that we should be on our guard against the aggressions of our Continental rivals, especially in our colonies and de- pendencies. Suppose we now turn to another phase of moral fiazard. , , our entertaining business the study of human character, with its foibles and its idiosyncracies. Is it not fascinating to dive into the depths of a man's mind, to find out what he is really aiming at? How often -has the faculty to be exercised in assess- ing the value of a client? And it is quite as import - 26 ant when placing his name on the books as it is when his loss comes to be adjusted. How curious and almost unfathomable are the laws governing this question of moral hazard ! We all know it is one of the first principles we learned that it never pays to accept a doubtful client, and that a fine physical risk is worth nothing, and less than nothing, to an underwriter, if its owner has a shady reputation. If a Company could be sure of keeping its books quite clear from this taint of moral hazard, it could count, at a modest computation, upon a profit of 25 per cent, beyond the average. Hence, we must discriminate with much nicety. The client's nationality will tell us something, and so will his business and his antecedents. But we must be careful in our criticisms and be prepared to form our judg- ments, especially in our foreign underwriting, without being influenced by stereotyped prejudices. Take, for example, the Turk. I know the name is not . savoury, especially of late, but it would not be right to ignore the fact that a well-brought-up Turk a conscientious Mahommedan is often quite as good as many a Christian, and that the stigma which rightly attaches to his unfortunate country is largely 27 due to the mass of heterogeneous nationalities from every country in Europe which have made Constan- tinople their home scores of adventurers, without religion or principle, who have certainly left their own country for their country's good, and who have had a material hand in blackening the name of a beautiful city and a resourceful country. It is these peripatetic individuals who require to be watched, and I do not care what the country is, but I would give the preference to him who has grown up amongst his surroundings, and has learnt to have some real patriotism, as against the man who has no stake or interest in his adopted country beyond what he can make out of it. I have, indeed, always entertained an affectionate \ / regard for the Mahommedan ever since I visited his headquarters at Constantinople, and this notwith- standing the fact that at that time Insurance business was victimised by a gang of depredators, who had the audacity to ply their nefarious business of fire-raising and blackmail in spite of such meagre precautions as the authorities took to thwart them. Only a week before my visit the chief clerk of one of the offices, who had courageously declined to pay the 28 face value of a policy because lie knew that the property had been set on fire by this very gang, had been battered senseless ; and for me it was a novelty, although scarcely exhilarating, to find that every insurance agent was in terror of assault, and not only carried about a loaded revolver, but in some cases had a bodyguard as well. But these blackmailers were but the refuse, the scum, the mixture of Maltese, Neapolitan, and what not, which helps to eke out the seething mass of humanity in the purlieus of Galata and Stamboul, and it would be a cruel injustice to imagine that these are fair specimens of the real Turk the Mahommedan who loves his Koran with all its admirable precepts, and, what is more, follows them. Granted that he is a fanatic, that his religion carries him away, that he may in his enthusiasm turn bitter and dangerous ; but let us not charge him with dishonesty or decep- tion until we prove him guilty. Another reminiscence from the still further East : When I first set foot in India I was placed in charge of one, Sheikh Mahboob. He was called my servant, or ' ( boy ' ' but he was really much more than that ; he was my lifeguard, my treasurer, the 29 keeper of my keys and of all my worldly goods ; and at night, after hovering round in the dim light of my room and tucking in the folds of my mosquito net, he would lie down at the door like a faithful watch-dog, and woe betide the intruder who attempted to cross the threshold. Whilst he accompanied me in my travels I seized occasional opportunities to probe into his thoughts and the composition of his mind ; I learned to admire his simple faith, his affection for his family, his freedom from vice ; and when I parted from that solemn, turbaned ascetic on the steamer at Bombay, I could not but contrast his guilelessness with the characteristics of some others who had also come down to the wharf to bid me adieu. You have all heard of the ''wily Hindoo," and, perhaps, of the Bombay broker. If so, you are already aware that it would take more than a month, and more than a year to fathom the ingenious intricacies of his mind. You must test his statements, check his assurances, and generally disbelieve three-quarters of what he tells you ; and, whilst he is perfectly aware of the halo of doubt which thus surrounds him, he will always come up smiling with the smug conviction that he has made 30 himself part and parcel of the business and cannot be ousted. And so, when I was escorted on board by two or three of these gentlemen, and when they calmly, to the amazement of the other passengers, crowned me with garlands of flowers, with a pungent aroma, something stronger than that of our tube- rose, I gave them, as in duty bound, my courteous acknowledgments, although I could not but suspect that there was a deep and interested motive lying away at the bottom of these pointed attentions. In fact, the child of nature the Indian, for example, who has never had the opportunity or the necessity to practise his mind in the ingenious arts of our active, self-interested business life starts from a better standpoint on this question of moral hazard than the man whose commercial money-making in- stincts are dominant. I remember being puzzled, when in Peru and Chili, as to why the Peruvian I mean the real born-and-bred Peruvian was more trustworthy than the Chilian, as exemplified by the comparatively greater number of suspicious fires in the latter' s country. My study resulted in the conclusion that, nearer the equator, a man is not so active nor so grasping as he is in a more temperate latitude, and, further, that the greater infusion of foreign blood and foreign methods into Chili had had a deteriorating effect on the busi- ness morals. Ji o$$ Settlement ^e mention of Peru calls to mind an in- itl PCfU cident which made a draft upon not only my store of philosophy but such knowledge of human nature as I then possessed. To ease the tedium of waiting for a man I was bound to meet, I seized the opportunity of ascending the marvellous Oroya railroad, supposed to be the most interesting railway, although but 80 miles long, in the world. It was then, and perhaps is still, but an incomplete piece of wonderful engineering, as it only ran up as far as the topmost mountain passes, and had not been carried down on the other side into the ' ' promised land ' ' of Bolivia. The trip had its perils, but also its rewards. Not content with reaching the highest station (some 13,000 feet above the level of the sea), we climbed up on mule-back past the final tunnel at an altitude of 16,000 feet, and up into the regions of perpetual snow, untouched by the fierce rays of a tropical sun. The descent was the most fascinating experience I have ever 32 enjoyed. Seated on a hand-brake an open car, little more than a plank resting on four wheels with a pilot whose grip on the brake was the only safeguard between us and eternity, down we came in advance of the train, ready to clear away any obstacle on the line ; down from the frosty, biting atmos- phere, hemmed in by precipices 2,000 and 3,000 feet high, through interminable tunnels black as pitch ; down past hovels which went by the name of stations; down into warmer air, where we threw off our rugs and overcoats ; down through vineyards, and orchards of granadillas, alligator-pears, and tropical fruit galore ; down into the town of I,ima, our journey's end. All this was but an interlude ; then came the anti-climax. Hardly had I set foot on terra firma than I was greeted with the news the news which many a luckless branch manager just returning from a holiday has so often experienced that a fire had occurred, and one of our risks burnt out. It was only a private house, but it was a large one, and unfortunately the owner had developed a mania for curios. Now, there are various degrees of trouble- some loss settlements. A draper's shop which has been run without books is tiresome ; a pawnbroker's 33 equally difficult ; a curiosity shop still more indefinite; but a private collection of expensive curios, without the semblance of an inventory, is a Chinese puzzle. The debris in this case was almost non-existent ; and I found it more profitable to investigate the man himself and his physiognomy. I concluded he was comparatively honest, and that in recovering the face value of his policy he did not make a large profit. One item, however, was too serious to pass without an argument. It was a four-post bedstead, which the owner, with Peruvian vehemence, claimed was not only Elizabethan, but had actually been slept in by Queen Elizabeth herself. It struck me then, and often since, that that illustrious sovereign must have been extraordinarily peripatetic to have reposed in so many beds ; and I can only conclude that her Majesty has been much maligned by curio-mongers, or that there is some magic about her bedsteads, which seem to grow in number year by year upon, I suppose, the same principle as the increase in the number of pensioners of the civil war in the United States. the ffCCt$ There is another aspect of this deeply inter- Of CfadC upon esting subject which is often ignored. It moral Ijazard does not always f u ow that trade being bad 34 is the reason for losses. On the contrary, a marine underwriter will tell you that he rather likes shipping to be bad, because then a captain is hyper-cautious, knowing that if he loses his ship he will not be likely to get another. The wonder, indeed, is that, as the shipping industry seems to be in a chronically suffering condition, the marine companies do not make regular handsome profits. But, in our own fire business, the reason for the moral hazard or the contrary often lies a long way from the surface. Why, for instance, did we all suffer so smartly in America five years ago, after the passing of the high Tariff Bill? Not because trade was bad, but because immense stocks of goods were hurried into the country to escape the duties, and the American puplic were for a time loth to take them at the higher figures which, because of the new duties, the retailers demanded. It is generally when stocks are low, and when shopkeepers are steering their course with shortened canvas under stress of bad weather, that the Insurance Company seems to enjoy the greatest immunity from loss. It is indeed often very difficult to gauge the real operating causes for a run of unusual prosperity or of depression in our business, 35 but we may feel certain that these variations are mostly due to the ingenious working of the wonder- ful human brain, and that, if the fault does not lie with the insured himself, he is probably the victim of circumstances, through the disaffection of em- ployees, and the net result to the Company is just the same. You have already had set up before you the lofty ideal, the code of ethics, which should govern one's daily business life. It is an admirable doctrine, and it would not only be beneficent, but beneficial to all of us, if we could but infuse a little more of it into the mass of insurers whose business we have to deal with. Some years ago we had a very interesting case of uncertain liability discussed at our Liverpool Assizes. The policy, a floating one, had been effected whilst the fire was burning, and it was difficult to determine whether the insured and the Company, by its representative, were both aware of the fire, or, if they were, whether the risk, eventually destroyed, was likely to be involved. After consider- able evidence, the judge, probably in a quandary, gave vent to the sapient and time-worn remark that "Honesty is the best policy"; to which the counsel 36 promptly responded, ''No, my lord, if you'll pardon me, in this case honesty would have been no policy." Ji tribute to ^e fi^h of humour is indeed entitled to a Rumour. prominent place in our day's work. It is healthy and vitalising. It gives a fillip to many an abstruse calculation and many a dry problem. Eliminate it, and you put out a twinkling light which often lends the one bright element in what would otherwise be a burdensome task. To quote again from the sage of Kcclefechan : ' * Humour has justly been regarded as the finest perfection of poetic genius. He who wants it, be his other gifts what they may, has only half a mind ; an eye for what is above him, not for what is about him or below him." How many phases of our business may be / brightened by allowing ourselves to see the humour so often bubbling up. Take, for example, the average clause a heavy, difficult, unending puzzle, affording scope for unlimited argument and difference of opin- ion. It has already been dissected before your eyes, by the practised hand of a distinguished vivisector. You have had its vagaries shown up in public, its incongruities analysed, its wording pulverised ; and, 37 by a wealth of pungent illustration, you must have arrived at the conclusion that language was given us to conceal our thoughts, or rather our inten- tions, and that it is quite possible to have a range which is not a range, a floater which is a specific, and, in short, half-a-dozen lines which may mean two or more things, diametrically opposed, at one and the same time. And thus we try to correct an anomaly, and to plan some verbiage which will be proof against all future assault and dispute. But is this fair? Why should we at one fell blow deprive our descendants of the one evergreen puzzle which has afforded us and past generations so much enjoy- ment and mental gymnastics? Why should we attempt to make the functions of the future arbi- trator a sinecure, and settle in advance the many interesting problems which come up, like conflagra- tions, with periodic frequency problems which are ever fresh, and which, when we are not otherwise too engrossed, serve to sharpen our wits and thinking powers ? No ; the insurance business would be stale and flat if this phase of it were to be removed from the range of argument and discussion. I^et us, there- fore, cling to the phrasing of our dear old average 38 clauses. Formerly we used to have three, now we have only two, in many places we are cut down to a poor little one ; but do not, for the sake of our successors, let us elucidate every syllable in this one or two, so that no difference of opinion will ever again arise. Then we have the causes of our fires, always an interesting and a valuable study a study which pays ; for, if we can ascertain with accuracy the cause of a fire, we add to our experience, and we have a clue as to how to act with other risks of the same character. And, amongst these causes, which are generally so stereotyped and so natural that we are apt to take them all as a matter of course, are . we not often interested and amused by some extraordinary claim or some far-fetched origin? The insured, for instance, who puts his lighted cigar on his billiard cloth and claims for a new table, or who permits his chimney to catch fire and claims that his pictures have been ruined by the ejected soot and smoke, or the many curious pranks of spontaneous combustion how the sun, focussing through a bull's-eye pane of glass, always seems to find out the spot where the greasy rags have been 39 left lying. One most peculiar claim I well recollect, where a man had burnt himself and his clothing by a too hot mustard poultice, and whilst he could not recover for the damage to himself under his fire policy, he did recover for the injury to his clothing, contending that, as he was not a hay-stack, he had a valid claim for damage occasioned by the natural heating. You have all read from time to time about the peculiarities of the Chinaman, which are well worthy of study, as it takes a long time before one can thoroughly understand him. I remember an instance where a Chinese shopkeeper set fire to his place in the course of a search which he was making for some of his goods, he having, forsooth, in order to light his way, fastened his candle in the socket of his curled- up pig- tail. I also vividly recall the indignation which I happened to excite because, when going through a risk in a Chinese quarter, I had come across a number of little lighted lamps and sticks heaped together on the floor, which I had asked to be removed, but it transpired that they were a set of Chinaman's gods and illuminations, with the usual joss-sticks accompanying ; and the fortunate interven- 40 tion of a friend was necessary to pacify the shop- keeper for the indignity which I had unwittingly been guilty of. There is indeed grim humour in the 'customs of many foreign countries. One wonders how arson is possible in Chili, and in Greece, seeing that in those countries, when a fire takes place, the tenant of the building is walked off to gaol, to escape from which he must first prove his innocence. But, then, it is not often that he is detained for long, as we all know the elasticity of foreign courts of justice, and the many opportunities for purchasing a favourable judgment. In Peru, each nationality, Peruvian, English, German, French and Italian, has its volunteer fire brigade, and, I have seen three or four of them tear- ing down to a fire, and then having a tussle for twenty minutes or so for first possession of a hydrant, by which time the mud roof has fallen in. One might even come nearer home to recall an incident where the same kind of rivalry occurred not fifty miles from Glasgow, to the cost of the offices inter- ested. And so we could, with a little more thought, and a little more time, recall many instances of curious customs and regulations abroad which are frequently preposterous and incongruous, and yet afford a spice to the routine of our daily work, lightening its tedium and relaxing its severity. tftt Scientific ^ ut *k* s ^ umorous phase must not be allowed Accessories of an to detract from the seriousness with which Underwriter. ma ny subjects require to be grappled. I have already alluded to the desirable scientific ac- cessories of an aspiring underwriter. Shorthand should always, in my estimation, occupy a prominent place. True, it does not open the door to a knowledge of a country or a literature. It is, as L,ord Her- schell says, but "a means to an end," but, as a means, it is an invaluable stepping-stone to many an ambitious junior who would not otherwise so readily attract the notice of his superior officer. A modern language is, again, an acquisition better one language thoroughly than two indifferently also, a knowledge of chemistry, and of electricity, inestimable to the surveyor if he has sufficient time and sufficient opportunity to make practical applica- tion of his knowledge, so as to qualify himself as a real expert. For, in this study of electricity, there is little doubt that a superficial or only theo- 42 retical knowledge may be dangerous, and lead to embarrassing pitfalls. Electricity, that vital, mys- terious power, pregnant with possibilities, has during the last ten years revolutionised many sections of our business, and has introduced a new factor which must not be disregarded. There is strong ground for the belief entertained by some of our thoughtful underwriters that in America, at any rate, electric lighting was accountable to a large extent for the heavy incidence of our loss ratios from 1891 to 1893. Any radical change, however beneficial it may be in the long run, is unsettling, and may be harmful whilst it is in process of adoption. Undoubtedly, when properly installed, lighting by electricity is safer from a fire hazard point of view than gas and other antiquated methods, but it is equally certain that, when electric lighting began to be freely intro- duced into manufacturing risks and business premises, there must have been hundreds of dangerous instal- lations, with wires imperfectly insulated, exposed, in contact with wood- work, or with a careless absence of cut-outs, and the inevitable result would be a short circuit, and disaster. It would, indeed, be exceedingly interesting if we could, by some magic 43 process, pick out from the host of ''unknown causes" the many instances which must have happened where some little defect in the electric installation due to carelessness, or, perhaps, in the earlier stages, to ignorance has involved the destruction of a fine risk. Photography is also a modern acquisition which the surveyor can often turn to good advantage ; but this, again, must not be allowed to mislead or to act as a substitute for the more detail work and data necessary to the true understanding of a risk. It is far more important for the surveyor to give an accurate description of the dangerous points of a risk the location of the boiler-house, the openings through the walls and through the floors, the opposing win- dows, etc., etc. than to please the eye of his chief by two or three artistic photographs of the exterior, which show off the building to advantage, but do not reveal its defects. Day by day the surveyor must watch and study every new process that is announced. The change from stones to rollers in our corn mills, from mule to throstle spinning in our cotton mills, the intro- duction of electricity into many processes at our 44 chemical works, the imminent adoption of acetylene gas with its attendant dangers, and many other new features coming under our notice every day, all have a bearing upon our business and its results. Again, a knowledge of values is as essential to an insurance surveyor as is the faculty of taking out quantities with accuracy to an architect. Before a fire, it is not very material to ascertain the worth of a building, because the owner of a building rarely insures his property from malice aforethought. But much depends upon the value of the stock, and many a fire has been escaped by a smart inspector detecting that the goods could not reason- ably be worth the sum set upon them, which is tantamount to the conclusion that the proposer must have had a sinister motive in view. The honest man never attempts to insure his property for more than it is worth ; but he is none the less calcu- lating, and frequently does the opposite, electing to take some of the risk on his own shoulders, not from any philanthropic motive, but in order to save premium. He does so with a light heart, knowing that the Company must bear the full brunt of any loss that may occur up to the face value of his 45 policy, and that his share of the insurance can only be called upon in the event of the loss being greater than the amount for which his policy has been taken out. Seeing that our rates are intended to be based upon the approximate hazard of each class of risk, assuming a full insurance, it is remarkable that in this country we have gone on so long without applying the average or co-insurance, which is a more self-explanatory word to specific policies as well as to floaters. How rare are the instances in our tariffs where this principle has been given effect to and yet it is not for want of precedent, as the Continent, although maintaining a lower average of rates, has always recognised the perfect equity of a compulsory full insurance, or, in default, that the insured should bear his share of any loss, however small, pari passu with the Company. It is, however, a satisfaction to think that this principle, the cor- rectness of which must appeal to every reasonable man, is becoming better appreciated and understood, and that its application is extending. In America it is now more customary than it was ten years ago, and, if the full co-insurance is not possible, the 80 per cent, clause constitutes a very useful substitue as preventing the leakage of premiums on desirable classes of risks. To the assessor, the ability to measure up the value of a risk is a prime necessity, A trained adjuster having his mind stocked with a variety of previous incidents enters upon each fresh case with zest and enjoyment, knowing that it is almost certain to add some new point to his experiences. He must be a true judge of character, and the first few minutes of his initial interview will decide him as to whether he may enter upon the adjustment with confidence and security, or whether it is a case which is likely to involve many days and weeks of laborious checking and discussion. In any case, some expert must determine with care and minuteness what is the value of every lot of goods in the building, whether it be a wholesale warehouse or a little shop, and the insurance surveyor should, him- self, qualify to be that expert. f rei Gxcbana* ^ he c l uestion of Exchange is one of material interest, and even fascination, in our foreign operations. Its vagaries are at times bewildering. Of course, it is largely affected by the fluctuating relation to each other of gold and silver ; and it is 47 an obvious truism that if the production of either of these metals goes on increasing in undue propor- tion, the other must appreciate in its relative value. This consideration does not affect us at home, because we have the gold standard and have elected to regard the shilling-piece as equivalent to one-twentieth of a sovereign, although the intrinsic value of its silver, if thrown into the melting-pot, is less than sixpence. But it does seriously affect the commercial operations of many foreign countries where silver is the standard, including our own dependency of India. There they have stemmed the flowing tide of silver by closing the mints, and so maintained the marketable value of their rupee, not at the 2s. which it used to be (although it contains at least as much silver as our own florin), but at two- thirds of that par value, which is, at any rate, better than the is. which would have been the inevitable rate if no such check had been created. Again, in Chili they have adopted a standard sterling value for their dollar which, whatever effect it has had upon the commercial ramifications of that country, has certainly enabled us to keep our Chilian accounts upon a level basis, instead of their being subject to constant fluctuations. Although perhaps not absolutely essential, it is always an advantage to a foreign department official to understand the why and the wherefore of these curious fluctuations in foreign exchanges. Why should the Brazilian milreis have fallen from 2s. to yd. unless it is that a republic, in lieu of an empire, portends unsettlement and insecurity? It may mean an abnormal issue of paper money, which must, of course, bring its own Nemesis. I well remember when I was in Peru that there were two kinds of currency, the one " soles [or dollars] bilhettes," which were the old paper dollars issued before their war with Chili, but which had fallen until they had then reached the sterling value of a penny-half-penny surely a record value of any dollar still in currency. The Peruvians had, however, shortly before, pulled themselves together with a wrench, and had issued a new currency of handsome silver dollars, each containing its full value of bullion ; and, although they passed as dollars, and as such worth only 33., they were quite as large and weighty as our 55. -pieces. This was going to the opposite extreme : a drastic and weighty remedy, as you would realise if you had been compelled to carry 49 away seventy of them in exchange for a ^10 note. But perhaps the most curious exchange incident which I recall, was in Uruguay. There, with all their revolutions and their peculating Presidents, they have a gold standard ; and it felt like home to hear that, whilst their gold dollar was the standard coin, the English sovereign was accepted as equally standard. My patriotism, of course, decided me to have so many sovereigns, according to the rate of exchange then ruling, in lieu of a debit of ^10 on my letter of credit. You may imagine my astonishment at receiv- ing not only the ten sovereigns, full par value, but nearly a dollar in silver coins as well. At first I assumed there was a mistake, but the cashier ex- plained to my satisfaction that at that moment English sovereigns w r ere at a discount, that they consequently wished to get rid of them, and that, after charging for the bank's own commission, the surplus silver was really so much compensation to me for taking them off their hands to off-set the freight which they would otherwise have had to pay for their voyage home. This reflection upon our national coin was rather a shock to my patriotic sentiments, as, however we may depreciate our country 50 amongst ourselves, we are imbued with a very pug- nacious feeling on its behalf when abroad ; but I was content to leave with the consolation that if I could only carry out similar financial transactions ad infini- tum, I might possibly by the end of my tour become a rich man. Nevertheless it did, and still does, seem singular that one should have had such liberal treatment in a far-away republic which has always had a foremost place in all matters of bribery and corruption, although I should add for your satisfac- tion that the bank was an Knglish one, and the cashier a Scotsman. Another of our anxieties which, again, how- ever, affects only our foreign operations is that of Taxation. How few of the public, or even of our shareholders, in scanning our annual accounts, realise that such a material percentage of our expense is due to the impositions which we, the trustees for the provident, are compelled to pay to the relief of those improvident individuals who neglect to avail themselves of insurance protection. Occasionally, especially in South America, where hard cash is at all times the paramount desideratum, this taxation amounts to extortion, and its burden is so intolerable as to make it impossible for foreign Companies to remain. Such Governments are oblivious to the detrimental effect which this repression must inevitably have upon the best interests of their own people. It is like the short-sighted policy of Turkey, which has gone far to ruin its own commerce by trying to put a duty upon every parcel of merchandise passing through Constantinople, regardless of the inevitable consequence that the merchandise of the interior and of the neighbouring States must find its way to the West by other channels. If, through onerous taxation, foreign Companies are expelled from a country where they have been operating, it is easy to see that the inhabitants of that country must either go without protection, which deprivation cannot but have a baleful effect upon their commerce, or they must be dependent upon their local resources, which are often inadequate and, as at Chicago and Guayaquil, must collapse with serious loss to the community when disaster arrives. Protection, reciprocal protection and for those States which, unlike our own great country, cannot afford to do without it is often the essence of political economy ; but if it be allowed to hamper 52 trade and cripple competition it only acts as a boome- rang and punishes the very people whom it is sup- posed to benefit. In the United States, the British insurance company has always found a great open field, generous and fair enough to welcome it on comparatively equal terms. In many of their trans- actions with this country our friends across the ocean have earned a reputation for great cuteness and "having the best of the deal." The English in- vestor has, from time to time, been of great utility to American syndicates for ventures which would be regarded with derision if offered on the spot. But in our business we have, on the whole, had fair and friendly treatment. We have earned for our- selves a name for strength and rectitude, and that will ever constitute our title to the support of the American public. With our roots on the other side of the Atlantic so firmly planted, and possessing as we do the sympathies of the insuring people them- selves, it would be both unwise and difficult to turn the screw of prohibitive protection on to us. Already we pay smartly for the privilege of running the risks we do, and facing the violent oscillations to which our business in America is subject ; and I 53 fancy that if the extent of taxation to which we are subjected were better realised by the public themselves, they would see the wisdom of some modification. If for instance, we are taxed 3 per cent, on our premiums, in a particular State, and if, as I have shown, a 6 per cent, profit on an average of years is the most we can reasonably anticipate, it follows that, at best, for every 6 we make for our shareholders we must pay $ to the State. Indeed, when a tax is levied on premiums and not on profits, its incidence is not only a serious burden, but it must often be paid when the Company itself makes an actual loss. It is a penalty on the turnover, not on the realisation, and it is therefore really a tax on capital rather than on income. Seeing, then, that the American Companies them- selves are in many cases also punished in the same way, it strikes one as curious that fire insurance Companies, operating as they do in the real interests of the community at large, should have so long sub- mitted to impositions which would seem to any other commercial concern as illogical and impracticable. tb* Selection But, apart altogether from the intricate details Of Officials. O f our business, there is, for those who have 54 risen to positions of responsibility and command, the function I may even say the privilege preg- nant with consequences, of selecting men for other positions. Whether it is the choice of a new recruit, the youth who may perhaps have in him the makings of the eventual manager, or of some prominent official, the plenipotentiary of the Company in some important place on some serious mission, the same care and judgment must be exercised if the results are to justify the appropriateness of the selection. An astute diplomat, steeped in the arts and intrigues of his life-long service under Monarchy and Directory, Consulate and Empire, gave utterance to this final reflection : ' ' That the art of putting men in the right place is first in the science of govern- ment, but that of finding places for the discontented is the most difficult." One would almost suppose that Talleyrand must have had some experience of the inside of an insur- ance office. For it is certain that the character of the appointments which we make is of the very first importance in its bearing on the subsequent results, and that, on the other hand, it is a frequent difficulty and anxiety when a vacancy arises to find exactly 55 the suitable man for the requisite position. Vacancies and new openings are occurring every day ; there is a large field for enterprising, qualified enthusiasts ; and, although the vacancy not infrequently arises when the appropriate man is not available, one may always know that the more qualifications one pos- sesses of combined tact, judgment, and experience, the greater the chance of being selected for some more important position when the opening actually occurs. Cbt faculty "^ * s an ax i m that, to every man, whatever Of Observation, his business may be, the faculty of observa- tion is of paramount utility. Unless one watches a V what is going on, observes the habits and the strong points of others, ready at all times to adopt a new principle or to appreciate the effect of a new light cast upon an old subject, one's interest in life is limited, and the experience which forms our capital is warped and checked. ' ' Observation more than books, experi- ence more than persons, are the prime educators." We must be taking mental notes all the while, for we never know when the little incident, or the unassuming bit of fact which seems to have no par- ticular significance at the time, may eventually be 56 the one element to help us to decide some perplexing question. Many of you have heard from the lips of one of our greatest underwriters the frequent dictum : ' * Give me an ounce of fact ; it is better than a ton of theory." And this motto, " Facia, non verba" was not a mere saying with him; he applied it daily, seizing with avidity upon every scrap of practical testimony which his comprehensive, master- ful mind did not already contain. And this habit of observation can be cultivated. It may be that our horizon is limited, that we are confined to one department of our business, or to our own immediate neighbourhood, or, at best, to the borders of our own country. Kven so, it is rare that a day ,will pass without impressing upon us some point, some new idea or factor which we can turn to our advantage. Undoubtedly, however, the wider the field the greater the opportunity. It is an immense ad- vantage to have rubbed shoulders with the world, to have had the chance of studying the ways and methods of other countries and peoples. We are called an insular nation. Many foreigners the French, for example regard us as a bundle of conceits and 57 prejudices. And, even after stripping the insinuation of its envy, there is a great deal of underlying truth about it. You Scotsmen, who have placed a girdle round the globe and established yourselves in every country worth living in, know very well the signs of the new arrival, untra veiled and inex- perienced ; how he seems to take it for granted that the world is his oyster, and nobody else's ; and that his very nationality has conferred upon him the privilege of opening this oyster at his own sweet will, regardless of those who come in his way. He assumes, as a matter of course, that his own lan- guage should be, and must be, dominant ; that it should not only carry him everywhere, but that if, in his travels, he comes across those who cannot respond in English, it is they, like Stephenson's cow, and not he, who must get out of the way. If he has business in hand, he follows the same principle, and is surprised if the foreigner does not at once see the superiority of the Englishman's methods to those which he has all his life been accustomed to. There is a beautiful audacity about all this, and we cannot but admire it. Cest mag- nifiqzie, mats ce rf est point la guerre. 58 It may make us feared and admired, but it will not pay. The time has gone by when we can think that, because we are Britons, we must com- mand the market, and that it is quite unnecessary for us to adapt ourselves to the requirements of our customers ; that our customers ought, on the con- trary, to be proud that they are privileged to deal with us. The Englishman insurance man or other- wise must now have all the qualifications and all the pliability required to compete on equal terms with his foreign competitors, and must always be ready to observe and adopt their methods, when those methods are likely to aid him in holding his own. the Life Branch But tbere are man y of y u present whose interest and whose occupations are devoted to other branches of our great profession than that of fire insurance, of which alone I can pretend to speak with any confidence ; and when we put on one side the technicalities and the special features, I think we may say that the same broad principles govern them all. And what an infinite variety of branches there are ! First and foremost are our actuaries, with their elaborate mathematical computa- 59 tions, enabling them to forecast the future with such terrible accuracy. Of all our departments, surely the science of life insurance is the most absolute. The only real uncertainty appears to be the continuous fall in the rate of interest, which affects correspond- ingly the yield of the funds held in trust, and consequently the complexion of future bonuses, and perhaps, even, rates of premium. And yet this, again, has been offset by a gradual improvement in the mortality, thanks to our greater attention to sanitation, and perhaps not less to in- creased medical skill. After all, the Psalmist's idea of a reasonable time of existence for a healthy male was a pretty fair estimate of the average human life as we find it to-day ; and year by year, with the improvements in our methods of living, and of appliances to meet and check epidemics, the fluctuations in the aggregate mortality experience must be very unimportant. Indeed, to an outsider, it would sometimes seem almost as if the actuary had succeeded in removing his particular branch outside the sphere of what is generally understood as insurance. For the basis of insurance is a provision against chances, a scheme by 60 which the individual is secured in the event of the unlikely thing happening. But if these chances can be gauged with comparative accuracy, the science becomes a very exact one, and the element of chance is largely removed. The fire risk may not burn, the ship may survive its risky vo3^ages and at the end be broken up in some secluded dock, but every one of us must die. The actuary can therefore pursue his course placidly and studiously, calculating to a nicety the probabilities, and unruffled by the shocks of con- flagrations and hurricanes which beset his confreres. Again, competition amongst Life Companies has led to many novelties, and not only is it possible for both the rich man and the poor man to take out policies in accordance with their respective cir- cumstances, whether under the minimum premium system, or by a limited number of payments, or even by a lump sum down, but a very important place in L,ife business is now occupied by what is simply a method of judicious investment. If, for instance, it is possible to entrust a I^ife Company with ^1000, on the condition that at death that sum is returned, and that in the interim an annuity at the rate of 3 per cent, be paid, that means that the Company 61 is willing to take the risk of the double chance of the policy-holder living or dying, and the transaction, so far as the individual is concerned, is really the entrusting of so much money on certain conditions to a Company whose permanence and financial strength remove from the investment all likelihood of risk or anxiety. There is no finality in the mental occupation of a lyife official. His schemes are legion, and each new feature as it is announced contains some fresh variation some special attraction. With commuted bonuses endowments the adoption of the non-for- feiture plan indisputable policies threefold options the occasional waiving of medical examinations the increase in surrender values our Life friends vie with each other in catering for a wide-awake, exacting public, always intent upon securing a return of at least 2 is. for every 2os. deposited. the Ittarlnc The Marine underwriter also has his science, Underwriter. but it is more closely allied to that of his Fire colleague. With all his skill, his results are ever liable to be affected by some rude turn of the wheel of Fate. Marine, like Fire, business is the essence of real insurance, protecting against accidents, 62 probable and possible. The probabilities are easily calculated, but the possibilities are unlimited, and frequently tear into tatters the finest web of care- fully thought-out expectations. I know it is incorrect, but there is a general impression that Marine business is free from the uncertain and disturbing element of moral hazard with which our Fire officials have to contend. This impression is doubtless due to the fact that a Marine policy is usually a valued policy, which means that, in the event of total loss, the full sum insured must be paid without deduction, even if the underwriter has reason to suspect that the ship or the cargo was not worth that amount. This system is doubt- less indigenous to Marine business, and could not be eradicated even if it were expedient to do so, but, with us, a valued policy is regarded as heterodox and dangerous, in that it would take out of our hands almost the only check which we possess against the wiles of fraudulent clients. Another difference between us is that, very often, a Marine underwriter can anticipate and hedge a loss by re- insuring, and it must often be a pleasurable relief to his daily anxieties to watch the rate of a ship 63 which, when first reported as overdue he has re- insured at 5 guineas per cent., mounting up to 20, 50, 80 guineas, until at last all hope of the vessel ever arriving is abandoned. The keenness of com- petition the difficulties of combination the tempta- tions to include in a Marine policy Fire and other risks which rival underwriters, and specially Lloyd's, may have included the numberless interpretations placed upon that hardy definition "particular aver- age" the intricacies of Marine Insurance law which has now such a bearing upon so many commercial and shipping transactions all lend to the life of the underwriter the necessary variety and zest, and afford ?cope for the enquiring, penetrating mind. bC Unlimited SCODC And what shall I say of the many other Of OW Profession, branches of our profession, each having in view the protection of the individual against some chance or contingency of which he does not care to run the risk himself? 'His person, his well-being, his property, his probity, his liabilities to others, can all be provided for : accidents, sickness, storms, burglary, boilers, live-stock, plate-glass, mortgage, fidelity, employers' liability, commissions and profits insurance safeguards of every kind and variety, growing in number and in significance every day, to meet the increasing necessities and fancies of a public which, in this advanced age, has become accustomed to employ every accessory calculated to add to its security and comfort. It would assuredly be a rash thing to attempt to define the limits of our many-sided profession, for it has no bounds. If the expansion and the novelties of the last twenty years are any criterion, what may we expect of the future? Looking back, we see a widening road tramped down by the feet of an ever-growing army of workers led by many a general who has spent the best of his life in the service of his Company, and whose achievements prove how much can be attained by persistent well- directed enthusiasm. Booking forward, we see a vista reaching to the horizon, replete with endless possibilities. L,ike the Alpine climber, no sooner have we attained the summit of the height which we think is our goal, than we see another range beyond, still higher and equally alluring. As it is, our business is full of charm and fascination, and it is none the less so because we cannot penetrate 65 into the developments and the destinies of the future. Assuredly, there are still "more things in heaven and earth Than are dreamt of in our philosophy." We have always something ahead of us to beckon us on, and we have the ceaseless incentive to learn all we can and to do the fullest justice to our powers, for we never know but what some particular forte or acquisition which has been lying dormant for years may be called suddenly into play. Your own Scotch proverb says : ' ' Keep a thing seven years, and you find a use for it." V J And so with our qualifications. We must observe and we must practise ; we must store up the accu- mulated atoms of our daily experience, and keep them against the day when they may be wanted. We must persevere, and we must be philosophical not with that hesitating, sceptical philosophy which Keats said would "Clip the wings of an angel," but the philosophy which will keep us calm and unruffled in the time of trouble, and even still more so in the hour of our brilliant prosperity. 66 And thus, going through life with eyes and ears open, eager to receive, and ready to assimilate, the thousand impressions and experiences which sur- round us, we shall add to our store of knowledge and to the many qualities which are likely to help us in our strivings for success. Or 6 7 THIS BOOK IS DUE ON THE LAST DATE STAMPED BELOW AN INITIAL FINE OF 25 CENTS WILL BE ASSESSED FOR FAILURE TO RETURN THIS BOOK ON THE DATE DUE. THE PENALTY WILL INCREASE TO SO CENTS ON THE FOURTH DAY AND TO $1.OO ON THE SEVENTH DAY OVE O*F-SS IMS SEPSJJ W35 ^RTDl-D ero 9ft 1S59 OGT 27 1935 Sfcr ^ *^ OC1 , DEC 101946 I I -\ \ V - : n s rg 5^prstft '^v^^/ LD 21-100m-7,'33 Q