UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA AT LOS ANGELES Solar and Planetary Physics and Motion £«« >»a c\fJ\/tn COPYRIGHTED. NOVEMBER. 1907 By the Author EDWARD LYNCH %t^'^ o < J U LIBRARY OF CONGRESS COPYRIGHT OFFICE Dtc aa 1929 Dear Sib : In compliance with your request we send herewith inclosed the certified document noted below. The amount stated below has been applied to cover the statutory fee for certified cop *4^f record. Remittance received, $.-X:^.9.P.... Fee applied, $...J.i..« .?.. Excess remittance returned herewith by check on the Treasurer of the United Slates, $ , Fee applied and charged to the balance in hand from your trust fund, t Respectfully, Rcgitta- of Coptfrightt. /j Refund check, 9 Ctreulor Letter 90 B OertlS»d DocutQents — o Z o X X tf) < J U Class (X XXc. 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NOVEMBER. 1907 By the Author EDWARD LYNCH ■^9 >^ " To the Stars Through Difficulties " In ^TliCemoTy) of jr. 3ot?n H. ^rggorg First President of (lli|g MmpprgUii of dlUtmita These pages are Dedicated .<-t*-^^» *'"»*-» • PREFACE. The economic value of a sure basis of prediction in meteorology is inesti- mable. The value to the nation of a reliable forecast of the season, of probable rain supply, of drouths, of extraordinary degrees of heat or cold, weeks or even months in advance of the events, cannot be estimated in money. Weather bureau experts and other scientific men have labored long in search for a periodic law of recurrence of weather conditions. Publica- tions by thousands have been issued tabulating results of careful research into past weather conditions. The sun and its constitution is the final physical cause of all condition.^? which make life sustainable on the earth. The sun has been subjected to every possible form of scrutiny in the endeavor to understand the laws of its being and the causes of its manifest variability. This is another attempt. I am persuaded that the tables given herein summarize a law of periodic solar action which will render prediction of future solar action precise as to time and definite as to intensity. These tables are based entirely upon rigorous calculations of events and facts open to the scrutiny of all. Personal bias and vanity can not sway the results. If the writer is mistaken in this statement then those tables present the most remarkable combination of figures and fiction, extending over 300 years, to be found in the history- of mathematics. So chameleon like are the figured results of planetary action that they simulate the precise form and physical conditions, as to time and intensity, of solar storm and calm : and they seem to truthfully reflect every well estabKshed rule of solar action derived from observations extending over 300 years. Spots come and go on the sun at irregular intervals ; no two periods of maxima or minima occur of equal length in succession nor indeed at alL Yet these tables, derived n}(r(ly from ihf motions of the planets and the sun, follow these spot condi- tions, through all their sinuosities, telling of the waxing and waning of solar activity as if they were derived from close scrutiny of that condition. Certainly, therefore, if these pages do not teU the truth they are most interesting fiction, and are illustrative of the ability of plausible figures to lie. EDWARD LYNTH. 1330 Caeolixe Street, Alajjeda. California, October 8th, 1907. A PRELIMINARY CHAPTER ON SOLAR PHYSICS. The object of this chapter is to briefly state a theory, founded upon a broad basis of fact, of the causes of solar activity ; especially dealing with the periodicity of sun-spots, because the knowledge of the periodical varia- tion of sun-spots is the most definite and extended, covering three hundred years of the sun 's history. This theory rests upon a new and more extended examination of the effects of gravitation by the great planets upon the sun, especially upon its movement towards its apex. The activity of the sun is manifested directlij by its spot periods, its coronas, and its variable shape; and, indirectly, by terrestrial phenomena which happen at the same time with solar disturbance, namely, periodical variation in magnetic declination, aurora borealis, extraordinary heat, cold, and wind and electrical storms. In addition I will at some future time publish detailed reasons for including some kinds of earthquakes in this list of effects indirectly manifested, giving merely a sketch at this time. A brief summary of the present state of learning as to the causes of solar activity and the present theories, based upon observation, of its effects is necessary to the introduction of this chapter. In 1903 Miss Gierke published ''Problems in Astrophysics," in which she said : ''The sun is subject to a rhythmical tide of disturbance, ebbing and flow- ing in about eleven years. But the flow is irregular and spasmodic. Both the intensity of the crises and the intervals at which they recur vary largely and unaccountably. Probably the eleven year cycle is involved in others. One, there is reason to believe, brings about alternate accentuations and par- tial effacements of change comprised within a term of some sixty-five years. And minor pulsations — wavelets on the great rollers — are besides evident. Prediction nevertheless remains at fault. Spot maxima are delayed or anticipated, they are lanquid or energetic, as the outcome of modes of action defying calculation. * * * The error of the spot period may amount to nearly half its normal length. Thus sixteen years elapsed between the max- imum of 1788 and the next certainly ensuing, and only 7.3 years separated the culminating points in 1829.9 and 1837.2 * * * ' ' The throbbings of solar agitation aft'ect his entire system. In how many ways, and by what hidden means, we can but vaguely surmise. Terrestrial meteorology, as a whole, is certainly embraced in the great cycle, although the details of its conformity baffle by their intricacy, the most painstaking pursuit. * * * "A prolouc:ed solar calm appears to have set in about 164:3. Galileo and Seheiner had been at no loss for subjects of study; but the diligence of their successoi-s, althouixh unrelaxed, went mostly unre(iuited. * * * "Definitively the protracted minimum came to an end in 171G and therj was a normal maximum in 1718. * * * "Indi^^dual outbreaks on the sun are often unmistakably associated with commotions of the magnetic system. These so called 'storms' are world wide in their nature, abrupt in their origin, and bear witness to some vital spasm attacking the globe as a whole, and at once. * * * ''Little progress has been made towards ascertaining the cause of solar periodicity. We are only assured that it is not imposed from without, but arises from within; it resembles a 'free' rather than a 'forced vibration.' This conclusion, it is true, tends to relegate the matter to obscurity for the interior of the sun is terra incognita and seems likely to remain so. His cyclical changes may belong to his original constitution ; they maj' date from nebular times, and be as inherent as the tone of a bell. Or they may simply characterize a change of growth, and prove liable to modification and efface- ment." (pp. 151-160.) In another of her works ]\Iiss Gierke says : "The idea that solar maculation depends in some way upon the position of the planets occurred to Galileo in 1612 (citing Opere, t. iii, p. 412). It has been industriously sifted by a whole bevy of modern solar physicists. V' Wolf in 1859 found reason to believe that the eleven year curve is deter- mined by the action of Jupiter, modified by that of Saturn, and diversified by influences proceeding from the earth and Venus. ' Its tempting approach to agreement with Jupiter's period of revolution round the sun, indeed, irresistibly suggested a causal connection; yet it does not seem that the most skilful 'coaxing' of figures can bring about a fundamental harmony. Carrington pointed out in 1863, that while, during eight successive periods, from 1770 downwards, there were approximate coincidences between Jupi- ter's aphelion pasages and sun-spot maxima, the relation had been almost exactly reversed in the two periods preceding that date "(citing Observa- tions at Redhill, p. 248) ; "and the latest conclusion of ^I. Wolf himself is that the Jovian origin must be abandoned." (Citing Compte's Rendus, t. xcv, p. 1249.) "M. Duponchel of Paris was nevertheless not wholly unsuccessful in accommodating discrepancies with the help of perturbations by the large exterior planets; since his prediction of an abnoi-mal lengthening of the maximum of 1883-4 through certain peculiarities in the position of Uranus and Neptune about the time it fell due, was partially verified by the event. (Citing Compte's Rendus, t. xciii, p. 827, t. xcvi, p. 1418.) ''—Gierke's Hist. ofAst., 3rd Ed., p. 202; 4th Ed., p. 163. In 1859 Dr. R. Wolf presented a formula by whic h the frequency of spot s is conn ected wit h thejnotions of VenuSj^ the_earth, Jupiter and Saturn, and apparently exhibited a drawing showing these planets in conjunction and at ninety degrees from each other. (''Source and mode of solar energy." Heysinger, p. 108.) William J. S. Lockyer sums up Dr. Wolf's sun-spot period theory as follows : "Dr. Wolf was careful to point out that it was only the mean length of the solar period that covered a period of 11^ years, and that the real length of any one period might differ from this value hy as much as two years. * * * "His attention was also drawn to the fact that the times of maxima did not occur a constant number of years after a preceding minimum, and he was led to determine the mean time of occurrence of the maximum and of the minimum after the preceding maximum, by giving the 7nean intervals as 4.5 and 6.5 years respectively. ' ' Further he at first concluded that the total spotted area for each period was nearly constant, but, as he later remarks (Astron. Mittheil, 1876, p. 47 et seq.) this view could not be held, as these quantities not only varied but indicated 'eine bestimme Gesetz-massigkeit. ' The length of the period of this variation he gave as about 178 years, which covered practically sixteen ordinary sun-spot periods ('11.1111X16=177.7777'). "Somewhat later Dr. Wolf w^as led to suggest a shorter period of 55.5 years, which comprises about five ordinary eleven-year periods. ' ' — Sci. Am. Supp. 24537, 24544, May 6-13, 1905. Miss Gierke again says : — "The further inclusion of recurring solar commotions within a cycle of fifty-five and a half years was simultaneously (1861) pointed out; and Her- mann Fritz showed soon after that the aurora borealis is subject to an identical double periodicity (citing Wolf Mitth., No. XV, p. 107) Olmsted, following Hansteen, had already, in 1856, sought to establish an auroral period of sixty-five years. (Smithsonian Gout. Vol. VIII, p. 37.) "The same inquirer detected besides, both for aurora and sun-spots, a "secular period'' of 222 years (citing Hahn, p. 99, 1877) and the Kew Observations indicate for the latter oscillations accomplished within twenty- six and twenty-four days, depending most likely upon the rotation of the sun. (Giting Rept. Brit. Ass. 1881, p. 518 ; 1883, p. 418.) " Gierke's Hist. Ast., 3rd Ed., p. 201; 4th Ed., p. 162. Professor Young says : "Professor R. Wolf, of Zurich, has been especially indefatigable in his investigations upon this subject [periodicity of spots] and has succeeded in disinterring from all sorts of hiding places a nearly complete history of the solar surface for the past one hundred and fifty years. * * * and ^A- with immense labor has combined them into a consistent whole, deducing a series of 'relative numbers' as he calls them, which represent the state of the sun as to spottedness for every year since 1745, * * * These rela- tive numbers, as tested by the most recent photographic results of De La Rue and Stewart, are found to be approximately proportional to the area covered by the spots. We give on the opposite page a figure deduced from the numbers, published by Wolf in 1877 in the IMemoirs of the Roved Astronom- ical Society and showing their course year by year since 1772, The hori- zontal divisions denote years, and the height of the curve at each point gives 'relative number' for the date in question. For example, in 1870, about the middle of the j^ear, the relative number was 140, while early in 1879 it ran as low as 3, " p. 147:* * * "Our diagram * * * only goes back to 1772, but Wolf's investigations reach to 1610, and he gives," in the paper from which were derived the numbers used in constructing our diagram the following important table of maxima and minima." (p. 147.) * * * (Here follows same table as is given by ]\Iiss Gierke hereinafter copied.) ''There is no question of solar physics more interesting or important than that which concerns the cause of this periodicity, but a satisfaetor3^ solution remains to be found. It has 6een supposed hy astronomers of very great authority that the influence of the planets in some way produces it. Jupiter, Venus and Mercury have been especially suspected of complicity in the mat- ter, the first on account of his enormous mass, the others on account of their proximity, De La Rue and Stewart deduce from their photographic obser- vations of sun-spots between 1862 and 1866, a series of numbers, which strongly tend to prove that, when two of the powerful planets are nearly in line as seen from the sun then the spotted area is much increased. They have investigated especially the combined effect of Mercury and Venus, Jupiter and Venus, and Jupiter and Mercury as also the effect of Mercury's approach to, or recession from, the sun. In all four cases there seems to be a somewhat regular progression of numbers, though much less decided in the third and fourth than in the first and second. The irregular variations of the numbers are, however, so large and the duration of the observations so short, that it is hardly safe to build heavily upon the observed coinci- dences, since they may be merely accidental. An attempt to connect the eleven-year period with that of the planet Jupiter also breaks down. While, for a certain portion of the time, there is a pretty good agreement between the sun-spot curve and that which represents the varying distance of Jupiter from the .sun, there is complete discordance elsewhere. About 1870 the maximum spottedness occurred when the planet was nearest the sun, but at the beginning of the century the reverse was the case, Loomis (who is in favor of inserting a sun-spot maximum in 1794, and, on this hypothesis, deduces a mean sun-spot period of 10 years in place of 11.1) suggests that the conjunctions and oppositions of Jupiter and Saturn may be at the bot- tom of the matter,. These occur at intervals of 9.93 years, from a conjunc- tion to an opposition, or vice versa. But, when we come to test the matter, we find that, in some cases, sun-spot minima have coincided with this allinea- tion of the two planets ; in other cases, maxima. "It is indeed, very difficult to conceive in what manner the planets, so small and so remote, can possibly produce such profound and extensive dis- turbances on the sun. It is hardly possible that their gravitation can bo the agent, since the tide raising power of Venus upon the solar surface would be only about ^hf ^^ ^^^^ which the sun exerts upon the earth ; and in the case of Mercury and Jupiter the effect would be still less, or about Y^-n of the sun 's influence on the earth. "The sun (apart from the moon) raises a tide on the deep waters of the earth's equator, something less than a foot in elevation, so that, making all allowances for the rarity of the materials which compose the photosphere, it is quite evident that no planet lifted tides can directly account for the phenomena. If the sun-spots are due in any way to planetary action, this action must be that of some different and far more subtle influence." — Young, 149 to 151, Sun, Aug. 1st, 1881. Chambers says: "That the period is clearly an eleven-year one, as has already been stated ; (2) that it is not, however, quite as simple in its form as it was at fii-st thought to be; for in reality there are two periods superposed, the one rather more than half a century long, and the other extending over the eleven j-ears already spoken of. We do not possess early observations suffi- ciently numerous and sufficiently good to enable lis to draw any unimpeach- able conclusions as to the nature of the long period; we can only be certain that it exists. The later labors of Wolf, however, fixed that period at 55^2 years. It is a result of this that, according to Loomis, a period of compara- tive calm on the sun existed between 1810 and 1825. "Each maximum lies nearer to the minimum which precedes it than to the minimum which follows it, for the spots increase during 3.7 years and diminish during 7.4 years. According to De La Rue the increase occupies 3.52 years and diminution 7.55 years. This concurrence between De La Rue and AVolf is surprising considering the diversity of the methods which led to results almost identical, the one set being based on the number of spots, and the other on the superficial extent of the spots. * * * "The presence of spots only in Zodiacal regions led Galileo to suspect the existence of some relations between the spots and the position of the planets; but there is in this a mere surmise, which when it was made, had nothing to justify it, and it is still impossible for us to say anything for certain on the point. 8 *' According to Wolf, the attraction of the planets or some of them, is the real cause of the periodicity which u'e are dealing ivith; that attraction producing on the surface of the solar globe true tides, which give birth to the spots, these tides themselves experiencing periodic variations owing to the periodic changes of position of the celestial bodies which cause them. It has even been thought safe to assert that the fact of the principal period coinciding with the revolution of Jupiter is of momentous significance ; but this coincidence seems purely accidental, and no certain conclusion can be dra^^Ti as to this matter. The influence of Mercury and Venus would per- haps be much more potent, for their distance from the sun is not very great, and this should render their influence more sensible. On the other hand their masses appear to be too small to be capable of producing any suffi- cient effect. "De La Rue, Balfour Stewart, and Lowy most perserveringly studied this point of solar physics. Tliey seem to have arrived at the conclusion that the conjunctions of Venus and Jupiter do exercise a certain amount of influence on the number of spots and on their latitude ; and that this influ- ence is less considerable when Venus is situated in the plane of the solar equator. At any rate it is a fact that a great number of the visible inequali- ties in a duly plotted curve of the spots do really correspond to special positions of these two planets. "In order to determine with more precision these coincidences and the importance which attaches to them, De La Rue extended his inquiries. He separately analyzed many different groups of spots, selecting for his pur- pose more particularly those of which the observations happened to have been specially continuous and complete, giving a preference moreover to those which had been observed in the central portions of the sun's disc. From an investigation of 794 groups De La Rue arrived at the following conclu- sions: (1) If we take a meridian passing through the middle of the disc and represented by a diameter perpendicular to the equator, we find that the mean size of the spots is not the same with regard to that meridian. It appears certain that the correction required for perspective does not suffice to explain this difference ; and that another element must be introduced in order to secure that the apparent dimensions of the spots may be the same on both sides. We do not yet possess a very clear explanation of this fact; but the most probable is this : — that the spots are surrounded by a project- ing bank, which seems to disappear in part during their transit across the sun. This bank is more elevated on the preceding than on the following side; accordingly the spots ought to seem smaller when they are in the eastern half of the disc larger when they are in the western half ; for in the first position the observer's eye meets an elevated obstacle, which hides a portion of the spot itself. (2) De La Rue specially studied the spots observed at the times when the planets Venus and Mars were at a heliocen- tric distance from the earth equal to 0, 90, 180 and 270 degrees, and arrived at this result ; the spots are larger in the part of the sun which is away from Venus and Mars, and they are smaller on the side on which these planets happen to be. The same result was obtained, whether Carrington's figures or the Kew photographs were employed. (3) Meanwhile it does not appear that Jupiter emits any similar influence. This influence should be easily perceived, for if we calculate the action of the planets in the way that we calculate the tides, treating it as directly proportional to the masses and inversely proportional to the cubes of the distances, the influence of Jupiter should greatly outweigh that of Venus. ' ' Wolf thought he had noticed traces of some influence being exerted by Saturn, but this remains altogether without confirmation. "De La Rue noticed thai large spots are generally situated at extremities of the same diameter. This law also often applies to the development of large prominences. The coincidence agrees well with the theory that there exists on the sun some action resemhling that of our tides." — Story of the Solar System, Chambers, p. 51 et seq., Appleton, N. Y., 1904. Flammarion takes up the argument based on the influence of Jupiter and disposes of it as follows : ' ' What may be the cause of this motion of the solar surface ? * ' This cause may be in the interior of the sun. It might also be exterior to him. " If it is in the interior of the solar body, it would not be easily discovered. "If it be exterior, the first idea which suggests itself is to seek for it in some combination of planetary motions. "Among the different planets of the system there is one which, from its importance, first presents itself to us, and it is found that the duration of its revolution round the sun approaches closely to the preceding period. Our readers have already named Jupiter, of which the diameter is only ten times smaller than that of the solar colossus, and of which the mass is equiva- lent to a thousandth of that of the central star. It revolves round the sun in 11.85 years. "During the course of its revolution its distance from the sun is subject to a perceptible variation. This distance, which is, on the average 5.203 (that of the earth being one) sinks at the perihelion to 4.950 and rises at the aphelion to 5.456. The difference between the perihelion and aphelion dis- 10 tance is 0.506 — that is to say, a little more than half the distance from the earth to the sun, or about 47 millions of miles. This is rather considerable. Revolving thus round the sun, Jupiter exercises on him an attraction easily calculated, and constantly displaces his center of gravity, which can, conse- quently, never coincide with the center of figure of the solar sphere, and is always found drawn eccentrically towards Jupiter. The attraction of the other planets prevents this action from being regular, but it can not prevent it from being predominant. "It might be thought that this motion of the solar mass should be inter- preted for us by the spots, and that it might have, for example, a maximum of spots when Jupiter attracts more, or attracts less, the solar center. If we had here the cause of the periodicity of the spots, this periodicity should be 11.85 years. But it is shorter. While Jupiter returns to his perihelion only after 11.85 years, the maximum of spots returns very irregularly, but on the average after 11.11 years — that is to say, Ti hundredths of a year or 270 days sooner. This number comes from a discussion of all the observa- tions. Does there exist in the solar system a second cause which obliges a phenomenon to advance thus on the perihelion of Jupiter ? Venus revolves round the sun in 225 days, and about every 225 days meets the radius vector of Jupiter. The earth revolves in 365 days, and meets the radius vector of Jupiter every 399 days. These two planets certainly act on the sun in the same way as the giant planets, but with less intensity. If this common action were expressed by an increase of spots we should see in the fluctua- tions of the solar spots combinatons of the period of 11.85 of Jupiter with that of one year for the earth, of 0.62 for Venus, and of 0.24 for Mercury. Unfortunately, this combination does not appear to produce the observed effect. "Whether it be the perihelion or the aphelion of Jupiter which causes the maximum of solar spots, these maxima should always coincide with the same positions. But, on the contrarj^, each revolution of Jupiter adds the differ- ence of 0.74 which we have just noticed, and at the end of a certain time, of thirteen to fourteen revolutions, the positions are reversed. We must, then, although with regret, give up Jupiter. ' ' Whatever may be the relation which exists between the two periods, the connection is, then, purely accidental, for we cannot logically admit that the same causes produce contrary effects and that the perihelion sometimes induces a minimum and sometimes a maximum. "However let us dismiss the idea of the variation of the distance of Jupi- ter and consider only its imaginary circular revolution. Let us suppose that the variation of distance does not act perceptibly. The fact still remains that Jovian attraction makes the center of gravity turn round his center of figure in 11.85 years. Are the spots always on the radius vector of 11 Jupiter? No, the earth crosses this radius vector every thirteen months, and we do not see more spots on that solar hemisphere than on the opposite hemisphere. IMoreover the sun rotates on itself in 26 days and would bring thes6 spots in view of the earth, since they turn with the solar surface. Under whatever aspect we discuss the question, we are, then, led, in spite of ourselves, to eliminate the action of Jupiter. It is the same and with much stronger reason as regards all the other planets. "It is difficult to conceive how the planets which are so small and so dis- tant could produce in the sun disturbances so profound and so extensive. It is scarce!}' possible that it should be their gravitation which acts, considering that the attractive power of Venus on the solar surface would be about -^^^ of that which the sun exercises on the earth ; and in the case of Mercury and Jupiter the effect would be still less, about ^^\^ of the influence of the sun on the earth. The sun, considered apart from the moon, raises on the deep waters at the earth's equator a tide of a little less than 13 inches in height, so that, taking into account the rarefaction of the substance of which the photosphere is composed, it is very evident that any tide produced by n planet can not directly explain the phenomena. If the solar spots are due in any way to planetary action, this action must be that of a different and much more subtle influence." — Flammarion Pop. Ast., pp. 285-287. These authors summarize the efforts of astronomers to ascertain the causes of the sun-spots and of their waxing and waning and of the efforts to connect therewith the movements of some of the planets. It has been shown that, beginning with Galileo and down to the efforts of De La Rue, Stewart and Lowe, they partially examined for brief periods the effects upon the motion of the sun of some of the planets, and abandoned their efforts because they thought that the planets were too small and remote; and, that such influences were inadequate and indeterminate as a cause. I present herein some facts and tabulated calculations based upon long periods of time — 28 centuries — to show that a sufficient physical cause of the sun 's disturbance is to be found in the movements and attraction of the four great planets Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus and Neptune; and that the physical disturbance of the mass and motion of the sun by the mass and motion of those planets is synchronous with and proportionately variable with all of the observed solar and terrestrial phenomena for which solar action is now held responsible. That as the mass and motion of the planets is concentrated in one direction upon the sun its excitement reaches a maxi- mum; and as their masses and motions are dispersed that excitement is allayed and reaches a minimum ; and that such concentration and dispersion coincides in time and force with the facts reached by induction from obser- vations upon sun-spots, prominences, auroras, coronas, magnetic declina- tion, change of form of the sun, and other effects of solar activity. 12 R. A. Proctor rrave the physical effects of the planets upon the sun in his ' ' Old and New Astronomy ' ' as follows : *'(713) : The sun's mass so enoraiously exceeds that of all the planets taken together, that he is capable of swaying their motion without being himself disturbed. He is not indeed quite fixed. We know from Newton's third law that whatever force the sun exerts on any planet, the planet exerts precisely the same force on hira; but then he is so massive that the pull which compels a planet to circle round the sun displaces him very-^ slightly." [In a note to this he says:] "Not, however, quite so slightly as Sir John Herschel asserts in the fol- lowing oft-quoted passage : "If he pulls the planets, they pull him and each other; but siich family struggles affect him but little. Thry amuse them he proceeds quaintly, but don't disturb him. As all the gods in the ancient mythology hung dangling from and tugging at the golden chain which linked them to the throne of Jove, but without power to draw him from his seat, so, if all the planets were in one straight line and exerting their joint attractions, the sun — leaning a litttle back as it were to resist their force — would not be disturbed by a space equal to his own radius ; and the fixed center, or, as an engineer would call it, the center of gravity of our system, would lie still far within the sun 's globe. ' ' Proctor proceeds as follows : "The distance of the center of gravity of the whole row of bodies from the sun's center can, of course, be easily determined with precision in the case imagined by Sir John Herschel, (all the planets in one straight line on the same side of the sun). But in such an inquiry we can neglect minutiae and need consider only the four primary planets, while we may regard the distance of any one of these planets from the center of gravity of the whole system as appreciably equal to the distance from the sun's center the differ- ence of these distances being exceedingly small compared with either. "Calling the sun's m.ass 1, and the distance of the center of gravity of the sun from the center x, we find, taking moments about the common center of gravity, Sun's moment=Jupiter's4-Saturn's-(-Uranus'+Neptune's, or 1 v. 482,700.000 I 885.000,000 ■1,779,830,000. 2.788,500.000 '^ 1,048 ~r 3.500 I" 22,600 "T 19.380 ). e., x=460,0004-253,000+79,000+145,000=937,000 in round numbers. "Showing that the center of gravity of the whole solar system would, in the case supposed, lie more than half a million, more exactly, 505,000 (937,000—432,000) miles from the sun's surface."— Procf or 's Old and New Astronomy , p. 304. 13 Again he says : " (759) : The orbit of the sun is complex in shape since it is compounded of the circling motions which would severally result from the action of the different planets. "We may neglect the movements due to the four inner planets as insignificant in range, though of course in any exact computation they would have to be taken into account. Taking the four giant planets separately, we find from what is shown in the note to Art. 713 that the sun would describe (1) if Jupiter alone were considered a circle (slightly eccen- tric but not appreciably elliptical) round the center of gravity of Jupiter's mass and his own, once in Jupiter's period, the radius of the orbit being about 460,000 miles ; (2) considering Saturn alone, a circle round the center of gravity of- Saturn 's mass and his own, once in Saturn 's period, the radius of the orbit being 253,000 miles; (3) considering Uranus alone, a circle 79,000 miles in radius, round the center of gravity of Uranus' mass and his own, once in Uranus' period; and (4) considering only Neptune a circle 145,000 miles in radius round the common center of gravity of his o^\ti mass and Neptune's in Neptune's period. The actual motion of the sun would be that compounded of these four circling motions with their different periods, and such smaller motions as would result from the disturbing actions of the several smaller planets, satellites, asteroids, etc. The curve would be exceedingly complicated even if we considered only the motions due to the four giant planets. Here we need only note that the greatest range of the sun from the common center of gravity of the solar system can never exceed 940,000 miles, and ver^^ seldom approaches that amount." — Proctor Old and New Astronomy, p. 323. ' ' The total mass of the solar system may be taken as follows : " (Earth's mass=l.) Sun 332,262 Jupiter 317 Saturn 95 Neptune 17.4 Uranus 14.6 Earth 1.0 Venus .8 Mars .11 ]\Iercury .06 Satellites .20 ]\Iinor planets .25 Total 332,708.42." — Appendix, Note A, "Visible Universe" Gore. Taking the latest accepted figures I find the mass effect of the eight great planets upon the sun to be as follows : 3r vS/^s^^w^-t^ 14 ^ Sun's mass equals 1.) JiilMter's inass^Yi)^--35 , mean distance 483,000,000 miles; divided by mass plus oue=461,010 miles, which is the distance by which tlie center of irravity of the sun is displaced by the attraction of Jupiter. Saturn's mass=3-^, mean distance 886,000,000; displacement=252,92G miles. Uranus' raass=2276o"' ^^^'^^ distance 1,781,900.000; di.splacement=78,287 miles. Neptune's mass^j^^^, mean distance 2,791,600,000; displacement= 143.151 miles. Total displacement of center of gravity of sun (or rather distance of cen- ter of gravity of solar system from sun's center) by four great planets when all pulling in one line on the same side equals 935,374 miles. Earth's mass=33^^0Q, mean distance 92,900,000 miles; displacement= 280 miles. Venus' mass= ^^^j^, mean distance 67,200,000 miles; displacement= 174 miles. Mars' mass=^g-^g|-^ , mean distance 141,500,000; displacement=45 miles. Mercury's mass= g 33^ ^^q , mean distance 36,000,000; displacement=5 miles. Total displacement effected by last four planets, under same conditions, 'i^'b^^ 504 miles. ^S^k>tC> Therefore the mere pulling influence of the last four planets may be , /■7\.C OO MV.UV., = ( i'iuIl 39 course, almost retrograde to the 13th course, and from that point starts a new curve like that of the previous courses. At this speed of 33 miles Mercury ceases to form a loop in its path. It is not conceivable, however, that the planet actually performs such a maneuver. Assuming that the sun moves 0,000,000 miles a day, 69.4 miles a second, we get columns 16 and 17 of Table V, which yield, by plotting, see Figure 5, a path about the sun like that of the moon about the earth, except that the chords of the arcs are not nearly so long compared with tlie middla ordinate. The closed elliptical orbit of Mercury, when combined with the sun's motion at a certain speed, gives the same results as we obtain for the moon. Therefore no ditHculty is encountered with the elliptical mathematical theory when combined with the proper — shall we say "critical"? — speed of the sun. IMoreover, at that speed, 69.4 miles per second, all of the planets will be found pursuing the same sort of a path about the sun when the tabling of their "orbits" is made upon the same basis. We have seen that some claim is made that the sun moves 150 miles a second, which is over twice as great a speed as is necessary to make the paths of the planets serpentine curves. There is nothing about the speed of 69.4 miles a second which is im- probable. That speed would require 2689 years to cover one light year's distance. Nor is it true that all celestial bodies move in elliptical orbits. The sun is not known to so move. Nor are many of the stars, some of which have very great proper motion, with immense velocity. — Newcomh's Stars, p. 158. Maxwell Hall and others have endeavored to assign an elliptical orbit and position of central sun with the modest period of 20 million years for one revolution. The sun's path in that orbit would be a straight line — humanly speaking. Having, therefore, precedent in the motions of the sun and moon, we can say that not all of the members of the solar system move in a closed ellipse, or epicycle, and that there is ground for dispute that any of the planets so move. There are some conclusions to be drawn from this method of examina- tion. The most important is that, as the sun's plane of motion is the prin- cipal plane of the solar system, and such plane determines the planes of the planets' movements, then there are certain rates of speed of the sun which cannot be reconciled with the known movements of the planets. The speed of the sun also determines the actual speed of the planets. For instance, the earth is ordinarily said to move in its orbit at 18.5 miles a second. But that is based upon the assumption that the orbit is a closed ellipse around an anchored sun. When Ave add the motion of the sun 40 we increase to an extent, dependent upon the rate of speed of the sun, the velocity of the earth, which it is therefore certain very much exceeds 18.5 miles a second. Upon the actual speed of the sun and its planets depends the estimates of force exerted by one upon the other during their separated or com- bined actions as discussed in chapter one. I'^pon the actual position of the principal plane of the solar system, and the speed in that plane, as well as the direction therein of the moving bodies, depends all those estimates of energy exerted by the sun upon the planets and by the planets upon the sun. APPENDIX. TABLE I. Position of planets in heliocentric lon- gitude on January 1st of each year Direction and dis- tance from sun to center of gravity of system Sun's position relative to its apex and to center of gravity Year B. C. Jup. Sat. Ura. Nep. Direction in heliocer trie long 1- Distance in miles On the course, miles Off the course, miles 917 62^ 38° 58° 59° 55° 925,000 +760,000 W 535,000 738 94° 66° 105° 90° 87° 910,000 +910,000 W 45,000 560 97° 81° 148° 119° 100° 885,000 +870,000 E 155,000 380 160° 130° 199° 152° 154° 890,000 +390,000 E 800,000 202 196° 172° 289° 210° 166.5° 855,000 +205,000 E 830,000 83 53° 110° 15° 70° 75° 905,000 +870,000 W 230,000 Year, A. D. 93 116° 149° 67° 103° 119° 870,000 +760,000 E 420,000 272 148° 176° 114° 134° 151° 895,000 +440,000 E 780,000 451 181° 202° 160° 165° 183° 910,000 — 40,000 E 910,000 630 213° 229° 206° 195° 213° 920,000 — 55,000 E 770,000 809 246° 256° 254° 225° 247° 920,000 —840,000 E 375,000 948 144° 154° 130° 168° 149° 920,000 +500,000 E 790,000 988 279° 283° 301° 256° 280° 930,000 —915,000 W 150,000 1127 177° 180° 176° 199° 181° 930,000 — 20,000 E 930,000 1167 311° 309° 348° 286° 309° 910,000 —705,000 W 575,000 1306 231° 217° 227° 231° 226.5° 934,000 —700,000 E 625,000 1486 272° 246° 275° 263° 263.5° 925,000 —920,000 E 95,000 1665 304° 274° 322° 293° 295.5° 905,000 —820,000 W 40,000 1804 202° 172° 197° 236° 199° 880,000 —280,000 E 835,000 1844 335° 298° 1° 323° 327.5° 880.000 -^65,000 W 750,000 41 TABLE II. Position of planets in heliocentric lon- gitude on January 1st of each year Direction and dis- tance from sun to center of gravity of system Sun's position apex and gra relative to its to center of /ity Year Jup. Sat. Ura. Nep. Direction in heliocen- Distance trie long. in miles On the course, miles Off the course, miles A. D. 1480 90 = 173° 249° 250° 150° 435,000 1 +280,000 1 E 330,000 1481 121° 185° 254° 252° 164° 580,000 +155,000 E 550,000 1482 151° 197° 258° 254° 186° 700,000 — 30,000 E 700,000 1483 181° 209° 262° 257° 206° 805,000 —350,000 E 725,000 1484 212° 222° 267° 259° 226° 890,000 —635,000 E 620,000 1485 242° 234° 271° 261° 245° 925,000 —840,000 E 395,000 1486 272° 246° 275° 263° 263° 925,000 —920,000 E 95,000 1487 303° 258° 280° 265° 283° 880,000 —860,000 W 190,000 1488 333° 270° 284° 268° 302° 810.000 —690,000 W 430,000 1489 3° 283° 288° 270° 320° 700,000 -^45,000 W 540,000 1490 34° 295° 292° 272° 340° 555,000 —190,000 W 520,000 1491 64° 307° 297° 274° 358° 400,000 — 15,000 W 400,000 1492 94° 319° 301° 276° 19° 225,000 + 75,000 W 210,000 1493 125° 332° 305° 278° 61° 50,000 + 45,000 W 25,000 1494 155° 344° 310° 281° 224° 120,000 — 80,000 E 85,000 1495 185° 356° 314° 283° 256° 290,000 —260,000 E 120,000 1496 216° 8° 318° 285° 267° 435,000 —430,000 E 30,000 1497 246° 21° 323° 287° 286° 550,000 —530,000 W 145,000 1498 277° 33° 327° 289° 307° 630,000 —510,000 W 375,000 1499 307° 45° 331° 292° 327° 690,000 —380,000 W 575,000 1500 337° 58° 335° 294° 348.5° 700,000 —140,000 W 690,000 1501 8° 70° 339° 295° 15.5° 690,000 +130,000 W 680,000 1502 38° 82° 343° 297° 35.5° 660,000 +380,000 W 535,000 1503 68° 94° 347° 299° 60° 610,000 +625,000 W 300,000 1504 99° 106° 352° 302° 88.5° 560,000 +560,000 W 15.000 42 Table II (Continued). Position of planets in heliocentric lon- gitude on January 1st of each year Direction and dis- tance from sun to center of gravity of system Sun's position relative to its apex and to center of gravity Year Jup. Sat. Ura. Nep. Direction in heliocen- Distance trie long. in mile;? On the course, miles Off the c 600,000 1904 2 d 1552.3 X *. 1730.02 X 1907.86 X 1554 185,000 '^ 1732 210.000 1910 230,000 X 1556 d X 1734.15 d 560,000 X 1560 1562.8 1566 1569.95 X 055,000 470,000 X 1738 1740.5 1744 1747.8 X CO 690,000 275,000 in 1572 ^ 300.000 n 1750 *"* o d 1574.65 1577 X 370,000 o c 1752.8 1755 X t- 335,000 X 1580 '-^ X 1758.1 ^ 720,000 X 1584 1587.5 1590 1593.3 X 410,000 650,000 X 1762 1765.05 1768 1771.9 X 530,000 210,000 X 1595 1597.3 1601 1605.2 X 730,000 110,000 X 1774 1774.8 1779 1783.1 X 750,000 445,000 .n 1608 3 430.000 .n 1786 s o 1610.8 1613.5 X 350,000 S 1788.6 1792 X 420,000 X 1616.25 o X 1794.65 -1^ 340,000 o 1619 1621.3 X 290.000 " 1797 1799.05 X rt 1625 ^ 870,000 s 1S03 ■^ 850,000 X 1630.35 _; X 1807.8 ci 70,000 X 1632 1632.7 1637 1639.9 X 530,000 200,000 X 1810 1811.65 1815 1817,25 X o 375,000 590,000 t— X 1643 1646.45 1649 1652.65 X 460,000 710,000 X 1821 1824.7 1827 1830.2 X 400,000 250,000 o 1655 350,000 m 1833 ^ 1657.05 X ^. 1S35.5 X '^ 1660.5 550.000 ^ 1838 420,000 i m > LJ -I ffl < I- Table of Mercury's Orbit Sun advancing miles per sec- Sun's speed at IS n-lles at 33 miles sun's speed It fill t miles. end. 5 days = 2.000 miles* of Ef Heliocentric longitude Vector Depart re Departure Mercury's latitude south of starling point rlflamirde coursB Sun's Mercury's <5un'5 Mercury's Sun's Mercur 's ' Plus „,„„. latitude position laUluJe' position latitude position LamuTe' 90° 00' 28.500.000 I.I 28.500.000 28,500,000 28.500,000 28.500,000 1 5 120° 19' 29,800,000 15,100 Olio 2.700.000 2,700,000 30.660,000 4,860,000 35,400,000 9,610,000 42.750,000 16.9.50,000 58,500,000 32,700.000 2 10 147° 16' 32,100,000 27,0110 null 8,300,000 11,000,000 32,820,000 15.320,000 42,320,000 24,820.000 57.010.000 39,510,000 88,500,000 71,400,000 3 15 170° 19' 33,800,000 34,300 mill 11,500,000 22,500,000 34,980,000 28,980,000 49,240,000 43,240,000 71.270.000 65.270.000 118,500.000 112.500,000 i 20 190° 00' 37,300,000 36,8011 mill 12,600,000 35,100,000 37,140,000 43,740.000 56,140,000 62,740,000 85.520,000 92,120,000 148.500,000 155.100.000 5 25 207° 11' 39,600,000 35,200 mill 11,600,000 46,700,000 39,300,000 57,500,000 63,060,000 81,260,000 99.780.000 117,980,000 178,500,000 196.700,000 6 30 222° 40' 41,350,000 30,400 Olio 9,800,000 56,500,000 41,460,000 69,460,000 69,970,000 97,970,000 114.040.000 142.040,000 208,500.000 236,500,000 7 35 237° 05' 42,550,000 23.200 lino 7,900,000 64,400.000 43.620,000 79,520,000 76,880.000 112.780,000 128.290,000 164.190.000 238.500.000 274,400,000 8 40 250° 56' 43,100.000 14.2011 Olio 4,900,000 69,300.000 45,780,000 86.580,000 83,790,000 124.590.000 142,550,000 183,350,000 268,500,000 309,300,000 9 45 264° 41' 43,100,000 4,000 IIOll 2,100,000 71,400,000 47,940,000 90,840,000 90,710,000 133.610.000 156,800.000 199,700,000 298,500,000 341.400,000 47 270° 15' 42.900.000 71,400.000 50.100,000 93,470,000 136.370.000 316,500,000 351,500,000 10 3 278° 46' 42.300.000 6.500,000 1.100.000 70.300.000 52,260,000 94.060.000 97,020.000 139.420.000 171.000.000 212,286,000 328,500.000 370,300,000 11 8 293° 37' 41.000.000 16.400.000 4.300,000 66,000,000 54.420,000 91.920,000 104.530.000 142,030.000 185.000.000 222,820,000 358,500.000 396.000,000 12 13 309° 46' 39.100.000 25,000,000 7,400,000 58,600,000 56,580,000 86,680,000 111.440,000 141,540.000 199,570.000 229,670,000 388.500,000 418,600,000 13 18 327° 51' 36.700,000 31,000,000 1 10,400,000 48,200,000 58,740,000 78,440,000 118,360,000 138,060,000 213.830.000 233,530.000 418.500.000 438,200,000 14 23 348° 35' 33.900.000 33,350,000 12,900,000 35,300,000 60,900,000 67,700,000 125,270,000 132,070.000 228,080,000 2.34,880,000 448,500,000 455,300,000 15 28 12° 32' 31,400,000 30,600,000 13,700,000 21.600,000 63,060,000 56,160,000 132,180,000 125,280,000 242,340,000 235,440,000 478,500,000 471,600,000 16 33 40° 20' 29,300,000 22.400.000 12,100.000 9,500,000 65.220,000 46,220,000 139,100,000 120,100,000 256,600,000 237,600,000 508,500,000 489.500,000 17 38 71° 4' 28,400,000 9.200.000 7,900.000 1,600,000 67.380,000 40,480,000 146,000,000 119.100.000 270,850,000 243.950,000 538.500,000 511.600.000 18 41 90° 00' 28.500.000 1.600.000 68.650,000 40.150.000 150,100,000 121.600.000 279,290,000 250,790.000 556,260,000 527.760.000 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 PERNAU PUBLISHING CO. 423 HAYES STREET SAN FRANCISCO, CAL. 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