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By HENRY HITCHCOCK, LL.D. Octavo, cloth .... 75 38 The Inter-State Commerce Act : An Analysis of its Provisions. By JOHN R. Dos PASOS. Octavo, cloth . . . . i 25 39 Federal Taxation and State Expenses ; or, An Analysis of a County Tax- List. By W. H. JONES. Octavo, cloth . .100 40 The Margin of Profits. By EDWARD ATKINSON. Together with the Reply of E. M. CHAMBERLAIN, Representing the Labor Union, and Mr. Atkinson's Rejoinder. Cloth, 75 cents; paper . 40 43 Slav or Saxon : A Study of the Growth and Tendencies of Russian Civilization. By WM. D. FOULKE, A.M r oo 46 Property in Land. By HENRY WINN. Octavo, paper . 25 47 The Tariff History of the United States. By F. W. TAUSSIG. Revised, and with additional material. Octavo . . i 25 50 Friendly Letters to American Farme/s and Others. By J. S. MOORE. Octavo, paper ....... 25 QUESTIONS OF THE DAY. 52 Tariff Chats. By HENRY J. PHILPOTT. Octavo, paper . 25 53 The Tariff and its Evils ; or, Protection which does not Protect. By JOHN H. ALLEN. Octavo, cloth . . . . .100 54 Relation of the Tariff to Wages. By DAVID A. WELLS. Octavo, paper ........... 20 58 Politics as a Duty and as a Career. By MOORFIELD STOREY. Octavo, paper ......... 25 59 Monopolies and the People. By CHAS. W. BAKER.' Octavo, cloth. New edition with new material . . . . I 25 60 The Public Regulation of Railways. By W. D. DABNEY, Octavo i 25 62 American Farms: Their Condition and Future. By J. R. ELLIOTT. Octavo i 25 63 Want and Wealth. By E. J. SHRIVER. Paper ... 25 64 The Question of Ships. By WELLS and CODMAN / . 25 Mercantile Marine ; Its Cause and its Cure. By DAVID A. \\^ELLS ; and Shipping Subsidies and Bounties. By JOHN CODMAN. 25 65 A Tariff Primer. The Effects of Protection upon the Farmer and Laborer. By Hon. PORTER SHERMAN. Paper ... 25 66 The Death Penalty. A Consideration of the Objections to Capital Punishment. By ANDREW J. PALM i 25 67 The Question of Copyright. Edited by G. H. PUTNAM . i 75 68 Parties and Patronage. By LYON G. TYLER, President William and Mary College . . . . . . . . .100 70 The Question of Silver. Revised edition. By Louis R. EHRICH. Paper, 40 cents ; cloth ........ 75 71 Who Pays Your Taxes? By DAVID A. WELLS, THOMAS G. SHEARMAN and others. Edited by BOLTON HALL . i 25 72 The Farmer's Tariff Manual. By D. STRANGE . . .125 73 The Economy of High Wages. By J. SCHOENHOF, author of " The Industrial Situation," etc. Octavo, cloth . . . i 50 74 The Silver Situation in the United States. By Prof. F. W. TAUSSIG. Revised edition. Octavo ..... 75 GIFT OF QUESTIONS OF THE DA Y. No. XLIII. SLAV OR SAXON A STUDY OF THE GROWTH AND TENDENCIES OF RUSSIAN CIVILIZATION WILLIAM DUDLEY FOULKE SECOND EDITION, RJ-YISED G. P. PUTNAM'S SONS NEW YORK AND LONDON Gbe fniicfcerbocfcer press 1898 COPYRIGHT, 1887 BY WM. D. FOULKE . Ube ftnickerbocfeer press, cw "'031995 IDN PRESERVATION < - 'Y ADDED v ORIGINAL TO BE DETAINED PREFACE TO SECOND EDITION. THE certainty of the coming conflict between the Slav and the Saxon, which was foreshadowed in the edition of this work published in 1887, has become more generally apparent during the past year, owing to Russian intrigues in China ; while the cordial friendship between England and America, which has grown up during our war with Spain, has made possible the union of American and English influence for the protection of our common civil- ization against the encroachments of autocracy. The time therefore seems opportune for issuing a re- vised edition, bringing down to the present moment the existing facts relating to the coming struggle, a struggle which seems certain to involve in its results the destiny of the whole human race. W. D. F. RICHMOND, IND., Dec. i, 1898. iii M265445 AMONG the publications to which I have been under obligations, are " L' Empire des Tsars et les Russes," by Anatole Leroy-Beaulieu ; Rambaud's " History of Rus- sia"; Stepniak's " Russia under the Tsars," " Under- ground Russia," and "The Russian Storm Cloud"; Vambery's articles in the Nineteenth Century entitled ' Will Russia Conquer India ? " ; " The Russians at the Gates of Herat," by Charles Marvin; Tissot's " Russes et Allemands," Wallace's" Russia," and Dixon's" Free Russia"; also "China in Transformation," by A. R. Colquhoun, and the recent articles of Stanley, Hallett, Younghusband, and others in the Nineteenth Century. The literature upon the subject is comprehensive, and I have drawn freely from many sources, but more especially from the foregoing. CONTENTS. CHAPTER PAGE 4 I. THE COMING STRUGGLE . i II. THE TERRITORY OF RUSSIA . . 10 'III. THE RUSSIAN PEOPLE . 20 IV. THE MILITARY AUTOCRACY .... 35 V. RUSSIAN CONQUESTS AND AGGRESSIONS . . 42 VI. RUSSIAN DESIGNS UPON CHINA 55 VII. THE HISTORY OF RUSSIA ..... 66 VIII. THE REFORMS OF ALEXANDER II. . . . 100 IX. THE DESPOTISM OF ALEXANDER III. . .116 X. CONCLUSION ... . 137 SLAV OR SAXON. . CHAPTER I. THE COMING STRUGGLE. IT was said in an article published in the St. Petersburg Novoe Vremya, in the year 1886, that Mr. Gladstone had recently uttered these words : " I like Russia, not without reason. I recognize in her a true and logical ally of England. The vital resources of the states of Europe are rapidly becoming exhausted. Their bone and sinew are going to Asia, Africa, and America. But long ex- perience proves that there are only two nations who know how to colonize England and Russia. The other nations totally lack this quality. Therefore England and Russia only have a future. The other powers are on the decline. The time is not far off when Germany and France will disappear from the horizon of first-class powers. I hold, therefore, that it is bad policy for England and Russia to quarrel. Let us look at the question from the stand- point of mere profit. Where are the principal interests of Russia? In the Balkan Peninsula. And ours? In India and Africa. Therefore we might easily and advantageously 2 Slav or Saxon. to both, draw our limits. We prefer Russia as an ally, also, because she has already land enough to last her for centuries. Russia is the most powerful country on land, and England is the most powerful country on sea. In this difference there is a mutual guaranty of our friend- ship." Whether Mr. Gladstone said these things or not, the thought that England and Russia are to be the two great nations of the Old World, is one which must have oc- curred to those who have watched the development of the great Northern power, and contrasted it with the growth of Anglo-Saxon civilization and with that of the remainder of continental Europe. The only mistake is the belief that the Slav and the Anglo-Saxon can continue to colonize and to conquer without collision. These two great branches of the Aryan stock, so different in charac- ter, customs, political life, and modes of thought, will never hold in harmony the divided sovereignty of the Eastern Continent. The deep-seated jealousy and ill-will which England and Russia show toward each other, have a basis more logical than the conclusions of Mr. Gladstone; and sooner or later must come that struggle for dominion which shall determine whether the civilization of the Slav or that of the Saxon shall be the civilization of the world. It is not easy for us in America to realize the gravity of the crisis. The nearness of our own forms of civilization shuts out from view the growth of the type which is more distant, or if we see it, we do not allow enough for the perspective. Russia is a long way off. Her ideas are so outlandish, so semi-barbarous, so undesirable in every The Coming Struggle. 3 way, according to our thinking, that we do not see how they can be forced down the throat of humanity. Our own forms of social life are so much higher and better, that we feel sure that they must ultimately survive. But although the law of the survival of the fittest pre- vails in social, as well as in organic life, this does not always mean the survival of the highest type. In animal life many highly developed organisms have disappeared, while some of the simplest and crudest types exist to-day. So in history we find that many intellectual races have fallen a prey to barbarians. No one would have believed in the Rome of the Antonines, that the stretch of her uni- versal empire would be invaded, her legions overthrown, and her civilization all but extinguished by the half-naked and undisciplined hordes of Germany and Scythia, that same Scythia which is now creeping stealthily into the Balkan peninsula, China, and the plains of Central Asia; no one would have dreamed that the wealth and refine- ment of mediaeval India would become a prey to the wild tribes of Tartary, that same Tartary through which Russia to-day is working her way for another and more lasting conquest. The history of Russia herself furnishes several instances of high types of liberalism and culture, trodden down and stamped out by the brute force of barbarism. The Khazarui, a liberal and enlightened people of the South of Russia, who in the Middle Ages maintained inti- mate relations with Byzantium and Bagdad and Cordova, who built great cities, who established flourishing schools, who tolerated all religions, were crushed out and swept away by the barbarous peoples around them. It is, then, 4 Slav or Saxon. no answer to say that because Russian culture is inferior to that of the Anglo-Saxon, that the Russian race must go under in the struggle. The question is this : does Russia possess those conditions of physical force which insure its future supremacy ? The characteristics of the land, and of the race which inhabits it, furnish great food for thought. First of all, it is evident enough, as Mr. Gladstone says, that among the nations of the Eastern Continent, England and Russia only have a future. The diminutive area of the remainder of continental Europe is not large enough to grow in. No people can acquire a lasting supremacy who are pent up within boundaries as narrow as those of any country in Western Europe. Indeed, we can see everywhere, except in England, America, and Russia, signs that the limits of growth are not far off. Leaving out of the question all mere barbarous communities, and those smaller peoples whose national unity is scarcely strong enough to protect them from the aggressions of their neighbors ; passing by such forms of nationality as the Ottoman and Persian empires, which are visibly tot- tering to ruin, or the Chinese, crystallized for centuries and now crumbling to pieces, we come to types like those furnished by the Latin races. Take Spain, for example. Spain grew with marvellous rapidity. It was but a life- time from the anarchy which preceded the reign of Ferdinand and Isabella to. the great empire of Charles V. ; but under the influence of a baleful ecclesiasticism, the work of decay was as rapid as that of growth. Spain had a boundless empire in the New World, and she tried to The Coming Struggle. 5 colonize, but failed. The elements of progress were wanting, disintegration began, one colony after another dropped away, the defects of the parent stock repeated themselves in the offspring, and in the Spanish-American colonies, with new land and new political institutions, we have the early decrepitude inherited with Spanish blood. In Spain itself every thing reminds us of past greatness and present weakness. It is a land of memory, not of hope. There is reason to believe that France has seen its best days. That nation has played a brilliant part in history. The warlike instincts of the people, their keenness of in- tellect, their nervous energy, the elegance of their man- ners, their high rank in all that pertains to material civili- zation, the progress of their liberal thought, and their present republican institutions, show little signs of decay. Yet the French people of to-day are physically inferior to their ancestors. The wars of Napoleon made terrible ravages with their best types of manhood, while the prev- alent licentiousness which is ingrained in their literature as well as in their lives, gives us reason to believe that the French are not growing. They do not assimilate well with other peoples. They cannot colonize. In Canada, in Louisiana, in Hindostan, in the West Indies, they failed. Will they succeed better in Africa, Tongking, and Mada- gascar ? Where are the colonists to people these new possessions ? French conquests are not permanent. The territory of France to-day is less than that of ancient Gaul. The population does not grow. It may well be that the downward step taken in the war with Germany was but the beginning of the end. 6 Slav or Saxon. The great problem of Italian unity having been solved, that kingdom showed new signs of life ; but it is not a first-class power, and there is no indication that its vitality will extend much beyond the peninsula which it occupies. It is limited, like France and Germany, by natural boun- daries, both of territory and race. There is probably no great nation in the world whose life hangs upon a slenderer thread than that of Austria. Composed of a number of widely different races, there seems to be a lack of the power of welding them together, and the very existence of the monarchy is continually threatened with the possible disruption of its incongruous parts. Possessing, like France and Germany, a territory easily invaded, the most that can be expected is that it will retain, for a limited time only, its present status. During this generation, it has been stripped of its hegem- ony in the German Confederation and of its Italian possessions, and has obtained but a poor compensa- tion in the control of semi-barbarous Bosnia. The Aus- trian dynasty is the oldest in Europe, and the nation, if nation it can be called, betrays, most plainly of all, the weaknesses of old age. Germany, of late, has made great strides toward power and leadership in Europe. The patience and high in- tellectual attainments of the German people, the admir- able organization of the German army, and the genius of the Great Chancellor, placed it for a time at the head of Continental nations. But Germany has not yet shown any ability to leap across ethnological barriers. Its ter- ritory, situated in the heart of Europe, and densely The Coming Struggle. J peopled, does not furnish any great natural facilities for repelling aggressions, and the Germans do not colonize. The system of " the balance of power," so long recognized in Europe, will not permit the conquest of adjoining na- tions by Germany ad libitum. It will not allow the growth of the German people much faster than by natural multi- plication. The density of population is such, that this growth will press too closely upon subsistence to be very great. Much of the best blood of Germany is passing to America to be absorbed by us. There is reason to think that German power is not far from its culmination ; there is certainly a near limit, beyond which it cannot pass. The Germans themselves seem to be conscious of this. We can see this feeling in their late efforts to drive the wedge of colonization into the Carolines, the Samoan Islands, Africa, New Guinea, China, anywhere to give themselves more room. But they can only colonize by sea, and there Great Britain holds them at her mercy. The limits of German expansion have been fixed by an inexorable law. The three great peoples that remain are the Americans, the English, and the Russians. All three have this com- mon advantage : they have unlimited facilities for growth. They can extend their dominions either by conquest or peaceful colonization into parts of the world where it will not be limited by the jealousy and balance-of- power statesmanship of neighboring peoples. They have not only the physical ability to grow, but they have also an inherent capacity for colonizing. The progress of the United States has been rapid, but our activity has been 8 Slav or Saxon. limited to the Western Continent. We are happily freed by our unquestionable supremacy in America from those international struggles which distract the other hemis- phere, and we can move along in the paths of our inter- nal development with little fear of foreign interference or invasion. But the Eastern Continent possesses twice the area and nearly ten times the population of the Western. The struggle for the supremacy of the world must be fought there, and the great colossi who will contest it with each other are England and Russia. The future world is to be Slav or Saxon. This struggle is coming sooner than it would seem, if we compare it with the slow development of nations and races in the past. Not that we shall live to see it ; it may be generations ahead of us, but the rapidity of social changes to-day is as much greater than that of like changes in past ages, as the speed of the locomotive is greater than that of the coach or caravan. We are scarcely yet able to realize the gigantic strides which civilization has made within our own times. We do as much now in ten years as the ancient world did in a thousand. If we look over the map of our boyhood, we can hardly recognize it. Take our own country. We used to see an enormous tract called the " Great American Desert." Whither has it gone? The vast blank on the map of Central Africa, that was marked " unexplored " what has become of it ? We see a network of innumerable railways, over prairies which were then unknown. A ship canal is soon to unite the Atlantic and Pacific, as one already joins the Indian Ocean with the Mediterranean. The The Coming Struggle. 9 time was when it took a century to civilize a tribe, a thousand years to develop a province. Now a single generation will witness the transformation of a whole continent. The great struggle between the Slav and the Saxon is not very far away. Its coming is already faintly visible. We see nothing now but a cloud the size of a man's hand, but the air is pregnant with a storm which will darken the whole sky. The difficulties in Afghanistan, Bulgaria, and China are only faint premonitory murmurs ; the real evidence of the coming struggle is the massing of the social forces on either side. There may be a dozen con- flicts, followed by a dozen reconciliations; they would mean little except for the vast powers looming up behind. Let us review these marshalling forces and see whether the picture is overdrawn, or the danger is overestimated. Let us look at the future of England and Russia, in the light of what we know of their past. Let us examine the resources of the empire of the Czars, in respect to territory, population, wealth, military appliances, and other material and intellectual advantages and deficiencies. Let us look at the growth of Russia and see, if we can, whither its future tends. CHAPTER II. THE TERRITORY OF RUSSIA. IN the matter of land, Russia possesses nearly one sixth of the entire world, and her territory is continually grow- ing larger by conquest and colonization. Her possessions are greater in extent than those of any other nation that exists to-day, or any which has ever existed. With the gradual filling up of the world, this question of land is becoming more and more important. The mere quantity of earth seems to be the only thing which remains con- stant. If there be only space enough, the same skill which redeemed Holland from the sea, which consigned the Great American Desert to the realms of imagination, which built St. Petersburg upon a marsh, and Archangel upon the shores of the Frozen Ocean, seems able every- where to transmute that space into a productive agent for supplying the wants of man. The most inhospitable rock yields ore of priceless value. The swamp and bog contain the choicest soil ; the very Arctic teems with exhaustless life. Sahara itself needs nothing but the enterprise and skill of future generations to be transformed into a gar- den. So long as a nation grows, the value of its land continues to increase. The time has been when the 10 The Territory of Russia. 1 1 richest soil of Russia had no value. The time may come when the plains of Turkestan and the forests of Siberia will be valuable as the fields of Central Russia are to- day. Formerly great extent of territorial possessions was an element of political weakness. The forces of the state were scattered over a wide region where communication was impossible. When a province was attacked, it took too long to hear from it, too long to send assistance. By the time thought was interchanged, the conditions were all different. The Emperor Adrian relinquished vast provinces be- cause it weakened Rome to defend them. But now in a week we can make the journey of a year ; in the trans- mission of thought, space is annihilated altogether. The extent of its territory is the strongest security of Russian despotism ; it prevents opposing forces from concentrating, while the central authority, which controls the avenues of communication, can speedily bring its whole force to bear upon a single point anywhere in its dominions. Not only does the Russian Empire stand pre-eminent in mere extent of territory, it is equally remarkable for the homogeneity of its possessions. " Its principal char- acteristic is unity in immensity." Western Europe is broken by mountain ranges and divided by seas, gulfs, and bays ; there is diversity everywhere. Commerce is largely external, agriculture is of every kind, natural barriers separate great countries like Spain, England, Scandinavia, and Italy from the rest. But the Europe of Russia is one vast plain. The same physical unity prevails in Siberia and Turkestan. " Russia in Asia is not an exotic colony 12 Slav or Saxon. impossible to assimilate or difficult to keep. It is a prolongation and natural dependence of the European territories." The monotony and level character of the land is not with >ut its influence upon the temperament of the people. The lack of originality and individuality noticed by travellers in Russia is partly due to this cause. From an industrial point of view this unity has its disadvantages ; the employments of the people are not diversified. Russia is too much an agricultural state. But from a political point of view nothing could be better adapted to the con- centration of power. The people become a unit like the land, their occupations are the same, their thoughts, their aspirations. They are much more easily subjected to the control of a single will. Their separate interests are not blowing toward every quarter like the winds from the cave of Eolus. There is, however, one great variety in nature the change of the seasons. It is only a few weeks from the bitter cold of an arctic winter to the heat of a summer which is more than tropical. The transfor- mation of nature is brilliant and startling. The winters are dazzling, the nights of summer are one long twi- light. The peasants' songs of spring, which celebrate the arrival of the " birds from paradise," the harvest melodies, which have for their theme the sudden ripen- ing of the grain, and the songs of autumn, lamenting the departure of all fruitfulness in nature, are evidences of the effect upon the Russian temperament of these transforma- tions. The flexibility of Russian character owes much to The Territory of Russia. 1 3 these sudden changes. If they lack originality in intellect, there is great originality in their feelings, tastes, and habits. The innumerable sects of religious fanatics, the strange types of character of which Ivan the Terrible and Peter the Great are illustrations, the capacity of the Russians for tremendous efforts upon occasions rather than for sustained endeavor, are not without relation to their long winters of torpor and inactivity, and their short, burning summers, when the work of a year must be com- pressed into a few brief months. To this, in part, may also be due the twofold character remarked by students of Russian life, the excesses of liberalism and conservatism, of veneration and cynicism, of hope and despondency, of intelligence and ignorance; the boldness in projects of reform, the timidity in execution. These contradictions, however, are modified by the practical good-sense of the Russians, their tendency to realism rather than abstract thought, their leaning toward physical science rather than intellectual philosophy. In all these things the nation shows the impulses and tendencies of childhood, and further culture and development may correct its short- comings. The desire for reforms of a tangible and physi- cal nature remind one much of the same tendency among our own people. With greater education and more lib- erty the Russians would hardly be behind us in this respect. The introduction of steam for travel and transportation will give greater advantages to Russia than to any other country. Its weakness in early days was its want of ac- cess to the sea. It was to remedy this that Peter the H Slav or Saxon. Great conquered the Baltic provinces and built St. Peters- burg. It was in great part for this that he and Catharine and Nicholas plotted to overthrow the Ottoman Empire, to gain possession of the Bosphorus. But in these latter days, when communication by land is easier and swifter than by sea, this disadvantage is scarcely felt. From her present position Russia could overrun the whole Eastern Continent without a navy. For the purposes of interna- tional, as well as internal commerce, the railroad will soon supersede the ship and the steamer. In a struggle between England and Russia the maritime supremacy of England would be of little avail. Not only has Russia a vast extent of dominion, but a considerable portion of her territory is the most fertile land in the world. Across European Russia extend, from Northeast to Southwest, three great belts the forests, the black land, and the steppes. Over the entire North of Russia extend these great forests. Many of the oldest cities have been built in the clearings. In the extreme North the land is barren, elsewhere it is fairly productive. South of the forests comes the great belt of black land. There is no richer soil anywhere. It has been farmed for centuries without fertilization ; but the most ruinous sys- tem of agriculture has failed to weaken its powers. " A little rest," as the farmers call it, has been all that has been needed. South of the black land extend the steppes, the prairies of Russia, where the grass grows higher than men's heads. The Northern part of these prairies is also fertile ; to the South they are adapted to pasturage only. The barren lands were formerly the The Territory of Russia. 15 depths of a great inland sea. The area of this district is much less than that of the fertile steppes. These great belts are prolonged into Siberia. In the early history of Russia the South line of the forests was the boundary line which divided the agricultural from the nomad population, the Russians from the Tartars, the Muscovites from the Cossacks. In the forests, the popu- lation grows more slowly than farther South, and the peas- ants add to their farming a great variety of little industries in their agricultural villages, in which they engage during the long winter when there can be no labor in the field. More fruitful in agricultural promise are the unwooded zones of the South, which are increased from year to year by the cutting away of the forests. The black land and the Northern steppes, like our basin of the Mississippi, constitute one of those great storehouses of grain which seem to guarantee an unlimited supply for the future. The fertile steppes, like our prairies, are a vast sea of verdure, which is gradually falling into the hands of the husbandmen. It is destined to be conquered, by the peasants until " the steppes of Gogol, as in Amer- ica the prairies of Cooper, will soon be nothing but a remembrance." During thousands of years, the great migrations from Asia into Europe have passed across these plains, and until the present century, the steppes have remained exposed to the encroachments of nomads. The settlement of much of the best land in Russia has been thus delayed. It has been since the subjugation of the Crimean Tartars and the Kirghis of the Caspian that this vast region has become 1 6 Slav or Saxon. secure for the development of systematic agriculture. Two natural obstacles remain the absence of trees and the great dryness of the climate. But the discovery of oil and coal in these regions, and the improved facilities for com- merce, are soon to furnish the steppes of Russia with suf- ficient fuel and building material, while the planting of trees, which is even now commenced in some places, is likely to overcome the seasons of barrenness occasioned by the excessive drought. The present system of agriculture is very wasteful. Large tracts are abandoned successively every few years by the communities that farm them in most primitive fashion. But this is an evil which improved methods of culture are already beginning to overcome. The mineral resources of Russia are almost wholly un- developed, though we know that rich mines of gold, sil- ver, lead, copper, and platinum lie hidden in the depths of the Ural and Altai mountains. These regions seem destined to open up a new civilization in the same way as California and Australia. At a time when water-power was so essential to manu- factures, Russia was behindhand in this great department of industry ; but now that steam has usurped the place of this old motive-power, her advantages are equal to any. In natural facilities for agriculture, commerce, and manu- factures, as well as in mineral resources, Russia is not in- ferior to the most favored nations. Her natural produc- tions render her wholly self-sustaining. If the ports of every civilized nation were closed against her, Russia would feel the loss less than any country in the world. The Territory of Russia. 17 In this, too, we see a great advantage in a military point of view. There is some drawback in the matter of climate ; the whole of Russia and Siberia is subject to intense cold in winter. The heat of summer is scarcely less intense ; the climate has great extremes. The Northern plains of Siberia, stretching away into the Arctic Circle, as well as a considerable portion of Northern Russia, seem un- inhabitable. In the whole North the period of vegeta- tion is shorter, and the product of the earth more limited on that account. It looks to us now as though a great part of Russia must always remain a waste. But it is probable that we little know the powers of the civiliza- tion of the future for utilizing the most dreary and bar- ren regions. The ancient world would never have dreamed that a great city could be built on the shores of the White Sea. Russia has one compensation for this climate : It has produced a race, hardy, patient, and energetic ; the only civilized beings who can endure the rigors of its dreadful winters. The perseverance of Russian colonists and soldiers in overcoming obstacles which would be in- surmountable to others, has long been recognized by the world. Herbert Spencer says that the earliest civilization began in warm countries, where men did not have to wrestle with the elements for life alone ; where there was some surplus energy for the formation of society ; but that as civilization went on, and as the means of overcoming natural objects became greater, the highest social devel- opment moved into colder regions, where natural ob- 1 8 Slav or Saxon. stacles brought out a corresponding energy, which not only overcame them, but strengthened the type. It is rather Northward than Westward that the course of em- pire moves ; beginning in India, Egypt, and Carthage, it has crept gradually up to Greece, Rome, Spain, France, till the sceptre passed to England, as it is now passing to Russia. The reign of the Normans in Sicily, France, England, and Russia itself, attests the supremacy of Northern vigor. The very fruitfulness of nature is sometimes hostile to the development of mankind. " Russia/' in the words of Leroy-Beaulieu, " while it is ill-fitted to nourish the in- fancy of civilization, is one of those countries which is ad- mirably adapted to receive it and give it further growth/* " The Russian soil does not use as its mere instrument him who cultivates it. It does not threaten his race with degeneration. It makes no Creoles. Man meets there only two obstructions cold and space. Cold, more easily overcome than extreme heat and less to be feared by our civilization ; space, an enemy already mastered by Russia and its great ally for the future." The great extent of its territory, the sternness of its climate, and the absence of large centres of population, make a conquest of the country all but impossible. Rus- sia can be invaded, many of its towns destroyed, and per- haps, even its capital taken ; but the patience of a people who are willing to sacrifice their homes at the command of their emperor, to submit and to suffer as long as it may be necessary, and who alone are able to endure the rigors of a Russian winter, is sufficient to secure the The Territory of Russia. 19 ultimate annihilation of any army which attempts the sudden conquest of Russia. There is too much of it to overrun. Nature combines with man to exterminate the invader. The only manner in which this vast empire could ever be subdued or reduced to an inferior position, is the manner in which Russia has herself spread her dominion, that is by the conquest in detail of small portions of her immense possessions (for instance, the Baltic Provinces, Poland, or Finland) ; the conqueror gradually consolidat- ing his power in the conquered provinces. This would re- quire not only superior strength, but a persistent purpose, extending over many years and probably generations. What nation is in a condition to undertake so vast an enterprise ? CHAPTER III. THE RUSSIAN PEOPLE. THE present population of the Russian empire is about one hundred and twenty-five millions. That of the British empire, embracing the dense masses of India and Africa, is about four hundred millions. But the strength of a nation is not to be reckoned by mere numbers. The population of the Chinese empire is the greatest in the world, yet its solid and lifeless mass cannot resist the most trifling aggressions. The Indian empire of Her Majesty is composed of material of much the same sort. The soldiery has been greatly improved by European training, but it is still far behind that of Russia in those patient and enduring qualities which offer the only assurance of success in a long and desperate struggle. The population of Russia is distributed very unevenly. In the North and South it is extremely sparse; in the centre it is comparatively dense. This comprises the southern part of the forest zone, the black land, and Poland. Here manufactures and other branches of in- dustry are most fully developed. The centre of gravity of population is near Moscow a little to the South of the ancient capital. In the central districts it is nearly as The Russian People. 2 1 dense as in continental Europe, and it grows most rapidly in these places. The Russian race is a compound of many elements, welded and fused together, sometimes by the most violent means. This process is still going on among the frontier races, especially among the Asiatic peoples. These are first conquered and then absorbed. The orginal stock, the Slav, which has retained the predominance in this work of compounding and re-compounding, belongs to the great Aryan family. Its kinship to the races of West Europe is shown by its language as well as by its physical and intellectual traits. The Slavs are most closely connected with the Germans in language, but they are nearer the Greeks and Latins in character. They are mobile, enthusiastic, intelligent, quick to per- ceive and act ; they lack the phlegmatic temperament of the Teutonic race. They are the latest grown of the Aryan children. Even to-day they are not sufficiently developed to reveal fully their intellectual aptitudes. Their country was exposed to continual Asiatic incur- sions, in past times, and their growth and civilization were greatly retarded. It is only in our generation that they have begun to assume any intellectual prominence ; but those who are acquainted with the Russian litera- ture of the present time, with the masterpieces of Tolstoi, Turgeneff, and Gogol, will hardly fail to foresee a brilliant future for a people capable of producing such works. Among the branches of the Aryan stock, those later in civilization have successively asserted their supe- riority over their elder brethren. The Greek yielded to 22 Slav or Saxon. the Roman, the Roman to the Teuton and the Anglo- Saxon, and it is not beyond the bounds of possibility that even these may in turn give way to the Slav. Up to the present time the Slav peoples have been thought to lack originality. They have been learners at the schools of more enlightened nations, but their present literature shows that they are by no means wanting in the higher qualities of intellect. The parent people took up their abode in Western Russia, at an early day, while other branches of the same stock in Poland, Moravia, Bulgaria, Croatia, Servia, Bohemia, and elsewhere, became the ancestors of many of the various peoples now subject to Austrian and German rule, and of some that dwell in the Balkan Peninsula in a chaotic and unstable condition of semi-independence. There was also, at an early period, a small infusion of Byzantine blood, together with a large infusion of Byzan- tine influence, and later, some admixture with Teutonic stock, especially in the Baltic provinces ; also an amal- gamation with the Lithuanians, an ancient Aryan race, who preserved their primitive habits and their pagan- ism to a late period. But the great bulk of the tribes and races which the Slavs have absorbed were of Mongo- lian or Turanian origin. Most important among these during the early process of amalgamation, were the innu- merable Finnish tribes. Nestor, the oldest historian of Russia, gives us such a multitude of names of strange peoples which have disappeared from history, that it con- fuses us. Gradually these races were absorbed ; a few remnants are all that tell us where the rest have gone. The Russian People. 23 Then came the fusion with Turks and Tartars, each change strengthening the Slav stock, while many of the Mongolian characteristics faded away. The Slavs of Great Russia (the Eastern portion surrounding Moscow) became gradually predominant and multiplied most rap- idly. It was they who acquired (mostly from the Finns, but also in part from the Tartars) the largest share of Mongolian blood. The Slavs of White Russia in the West, and Little Russia farther South, of purer ancestry, remained subordinate and increased more slowly. Rus- sian and Pole were once of the same race. Differences in religion and habits of political thought, during several centuries, have made the Poles the most intractable among the subjects of the Czar. The work of fusion, which has been going on for cen- turies, has thus developed the present Great Russian nationality, which now comprises a majority of the sub- jects of the Czar, and forms the ethnical basis of the Russian Empire. This process of race change and amal- gamation is still going on at points farther removed from the centre of the empire. Even the savages of Eastern Siberia are gradually being Russianized. Russian colo- nists go everywhere, mingle with the original peoples, and soon absorb them. There are to-day some eighty different races of men subject to the autocrat; races that speak every possible language ; races that come from every parent stock ; races of every religion Bud- dhists, Lamaists, Jews, Protestants, Greeks, Catholics, Mohammedans, and pagans of many varieties ; peoples that follow every pursuit in life savages and nomads, 24 Slav or Saxon. as well as pastoral, agricultural, and industrial commun- ities. But, in the language of Leroy-Beaulieu : With all its diverse races, Russia is by no means an inco- herent mass, a sort of political conglomerate or marqueterie of peoples. It resembles rather France than Turkey or Austria in the matter of national unity. If Russia can be compared to a mosaic, it is one of those ancient pavements where the basis is of a single substance and a single color, whose surface only is made of an embroidery of different pieces and diverse colors. The greater part of the population of foreign origin is thrown out on the extremities of Russia and forms around her, especially toward the East and West, a sort of girdle of greater or less thickness. All the centre is filled by a nationality, at once absorbing and expansive, in the midst of which are hidden some small German colonies and weak Finnish or Tartar communities, without coherence or national bond. In the interior of Russia, in place of unlike- nesses, varieties, and contrasts, that which strikes the traveller is the uniformity of population and the monotony of life. The language has few dialects, the towns are of the same form, the peasants the same in habits and mode of life. " The nation is made in the image of nature ; it shows the same unity, almost the same monotony, as the plains which it inhabits." The tendency to colonize and incorporate other races is aided by a remarkable physical peculiarity of Russia. Throughout the whole of its great central plain, stone is almost entirely absent ; the buildings are generally of wood. Dwellings of this kind do not last. It used to The Russian People. 25 be said that the towns of Russia were burned once every seven years. This lack of permanence, together with the vast supply of land and the absence of natural barriers, made the people half nomadic. Formerly, great bodies of peasants would leave their farms and start together in search of better lands. This tendency to move on still remains a trait of the Russian people. It is the parent spirit of that enterprise which is to-day civilizing the forests of Siberia and the plains of Turkestan. Russia belongs to one of those races which has been driven to continual motion by an impulse from within, one of those races whose calling is emigration and conquest. Rambaud, in his history of Russia, describes the process very forci- bly. He says : We must recognize that the Russian, almost as much as the Anglo-Saxon, has the instinct which drives men to emigrate and found colonies. The Russians do, in the far East of Europe, what the Anglo-Saxons do in the far West of America. They belong to one of the great races of pioneers and back- woodsmen. All the history of the Russian people, from the foundation of Moscow, is that of their advance into the forest, into the black land, into the prairie. The Russian has his trappers and settlers in the Cossacks of the Dnieper, the Don, and the Terek ; in the tireless fur-hunters of Siberia ; in the gold-diggers of the Ural and the Altai ; in the adventurous monks who lead the way, founding in regions ever more distant, a monastery which is to be the centre of a town ; lastly, in the Raskolniki, or Dissenters, Russian Puritans or Mormons, who are persecuted by laws human and divine, and seek from forest to forest the Jerusalem of their dreams. 26 Slav or Saxon. The level plains of Russia naturally tempted men to migra- tion. The mountain keeps her own, the mountain calls her wanderers to return ; while the steppe, stretching away to the dimmest horizon, invites you to advance, to ride at a venture, to " go where the eyes glance." The flat and monotonous soil has no hold on its inhabitants ; they will find as bare a landscape anywhere. As for their hovel, how can they care for that, it is burned down so often ? The Western expression, " the ancestral roof," has no meaning for the Russian peasant. The native of Great Russia, accustomed to live on little, and endure the extremes of heat and cold, was born to brave the dangers and privations of the emigrant's life. With his crucifix, his ax in his belt, and his boots slung behind his back, he will go to the end of the Eastern world. However weak may be the infusion of the Russian element in an Asiatic population, it cannot transmute itself or disappear ; it must become the dominant power. History has helped to make this movement irresistible. When the Russian took refuge in Suzdal, he was compelled to clear and cultivate the very worst land of his future domain, for the black land was then overrun by nomads. How could he escape the temptation to go back and look in the South for more fertile soil, which, with less labor, would yield four times as great a harvest ? Villages and whole can- tons in Muscovy have been known to empty themselves in a moment, the peasants marching in a body, as in the old times of the invasions, toward the " black soil," the " warm soil," of the South. Government and the landholders were compelled to use the most horrible means to stop these migrations of the husbandmen. Without these repressive measures, the steppes would have been colonized two centuries earlier than they were. The report that the Czar authorized emigration, a forged ukase, a The Russian People. 27 Tumor, any thing was enough to uproot whole peoples from the soil. The peasant's passion for wandering explains the development of Cossack life in the plains of the South ; it ex- plains the legislation which, from the beginning of the sixteenth century, chained the serf to the glebe and bound him to the soil. In the thirteenth century, on the other hand, the peasant was free. His prince encouraged him to emigrate, and hence tame the colonization of Eastern Russia. The Russian race has the faculty of absorbing certain aboriginal stocks. The Little Russians assimilated the remnants of the Turkish tribes ; the Great Russians swallowed up the Finnish nations of the East. The qualities of the Russian peasant fit him admirably for this great work of the absorption of other races, espe- cially races whose civilization is of a lower type than his own. " He is good-natured, long-suffering, conciliatory, capable of bearing extreme hardships, and endowed with a marvellous power of adapting himself to circumstances." Arrogance and the assumption of personal or national superiority are wholly foreign to him. He occupies a few acres, tills his land in peace, mingles with the natives in the friendliest way, and the two races soon blend together and become one community, and finally one people. Vambery says: There has been no standstill in the Russian State from its infancy to this day. We have seen that while processes of crystallization were going on in one part of the gigantic Em- pire, there were already springing up new formations in other Slav or Saxon. parts of it, caused by the accession of new and fresh elements. The influence of ancient Rome in revolutionizing the ethnical relations of Europe can alone be compared in a certain degree with the Russianizing influence of the Russian State on Europe, with this difference, however, that the results attending the process of transformation under Russian agencies, whilst they are not more rapid in developing than in the case of Rome, are far more intense in their effect. We have no authentic statistics at our disposal concerning the progress of popula- tion in Russia during the last century, but if we consider that there were, at the most, thirty millions of Russians at the beginning of this century, and that their number has risen within recent times up to eighty millions, it will not be difficult to guess where the Voguls, Ostyaks, Tchermisses, and other nations about whose large numbers travellers of the last century have given us information, have got to. We neither wish to, nor can we, here speak of all the particulars of the process of amalgamation ; the process remains forever the old one. First appear on the stage the merchant and the Cossack ; they are followed by the Popa, with his superstition and wor- ship of images, and the rear is brought up by the Vodki and the Tchinovniks with their train of Russian peculiarities, and they all manage very soon, with due regard to local circumstances, to insinuate themselves into the good graces of the natives, an achievement which seldom meets with any resistance, owing to the prevailing Asiatic characteristics of Russian society. In due course of time, the natives, continu- ally imposed upon in their dealings with the crafty Russian merchant, fall victims of pauperism ; the holy-water sprinkle and the brandy flask inaugurate the process of denationaliza- tion, a process which is hastened by the cleverly inserted The Russian People. 29 Wedges of Cossack colonies, and half a century of Russian reign has proved sufficient to turn Ural-Altaians of the purest Asiatic stock into Aryan Russians. The physical character- istics alone survive for a while, like ruins of the former ethnical structure ; but even these last mementos become ob- literated by the crossing of races which results from inter- marriage, and we meet to-day genuine Russians in countries where in the last century no traces of them could have been found. Wallace thus describes the changes still going on : During my wanderings in the Northern provinces, I have found villages in every stage of Russification. In one, every thing seemed thoroughly Finnish : the inhabitants had a reddish-olive skin, very high cheek-bones, obliquely set eyes, and a peculiar costume ; none of the women and very few of the men could understand Russian, and any Russian who visited the place was regarded as a foreigner. In a second, there were already some Russian inhabitants ; the others had lost something of their pure Finnish type, many of the men had discarded the old costume and spoke Russian fluently, and a Russian visitor was no longer shunned. In a third, the Finnish type was still further weakened ; all the men spoke Russian and nearly all the women understood it ; the old male costume had entirely disappeared, and the old female costume was rapidly following it ; and intermarriage with the Russian population was no longer rare. In a fourth, intermarriage had almost completely done its work, and the old Finnislj element could be detected merely in certain peculiarities of physiog- nomy and accent. And Wallace, as well as Leroy-Beaulieu, remarks the 30 Slav or Saxon. greater persistence of former race characteristics among the women than among the men. From the continuation of this work of consolidation up to the present time, as well as from Russian history, it is evident that the Russian people is in a state of formation both moral and material. Its power is less to-day than its size or population. Its weakness in the Crimean and Bul- garian wars is an evidence of this. But this is the weak- ness of infancy and not of old age, and will disappear with the firmer fibre of a larger growth. Most of the capitals of the governments in the South and East are younger than the capitals of the Atlantic States of North America. The great metropolis of Odessa is less than a century old. These new districts of Russia have increased tenfold in less than one hundred years. This is caused by colonization and the process of fusion with the native races which accompanies it. This process of fusion becomes more and more rapid as facilities for communication increase. Sociology has shown that compound races, where the elements composing them are not too incongruous for admixture, are the best races. Indeed, the Anglo-Saxons have furnished proof of this as well as the French and the Italians. The union in these cases was accomplished centuries ago. The union of the Gauls and Franks, as well as that of the Lombards and the Latins took place before the Norman-Saxon fusion, and the vigor of these peoples has not lasted like that of the Anglo-Saxon. But this same process is going on in Russia to-day just as it is in America, where large immigration and the admix- The Russian People. 3 1 ture of Celtic and German blood is improving the American stock. Russians seeem to have the faculty of absorb- ing greater varieties of the human species than Anglo- Saxons. No difference of race, language, or color seems to stand in their way. The very names of the aborigines become changed as soon as the heel of Russian conquest has trodden over their land. Lieutenant Alikhanoff, the adventurer who planned the capture of Merv, was the Asiatic Mussulman, Ali Khan. When he became a Rus- sian, the addition of a suffix gave him a new name. The identity of the conquered race is lost in this great process of amalgamation. There is not an office in the Russian State, to which the most savage of its subjects is not as eligible as the native of St. Petersburg. General MelikofT, whose power was second to that of the Czar alone, was not a Russian, but a Georgian. In most places no difference is recognized in law, custom, or education. The Russian is the only language taught in the schools, official business is transacted in no other tongue. The natives who acquire it rise rapidly in the service. In Po- land this transmutation has been brought about under circumstances of great cruelty. The Poles loved dearly their language, their church, their ancient institutions. Their civilization was at least equal to that of Russia. The forcible up-rooting of all that was dear to them has been a source of great sorrow and suffering. Similar changes are accomplished by force elsewhere. Colonies of Russians are sent into new districts by Im- perial command. Great numbers of men are exiled for various offences from different portions of Russia, and 32 Slav or Saxon. compelled to live in other parts of the empire, thus keep- ing the whole of Russian society in a state of motion, and preventing in great degree the fossilization which so commonly follows upon the footsteps of autocratic rule. The Russian people are patient and submit to these changes without a murmur. When criminals are exiled to Siberia, their families accompany them, and these convict settlements form nuclei for the growth of infant colonies. This process of colonization by force aids ma- terially the vast currents of voluntary colonization pro- duced by the adventurous spirit of the Russians themselves. Even the Church, a conservative force elsewhere, encour- ages this growth, and the great monasteries of the Black Clergy have often been the outposts of Russian civilization. Add to this the fact that all emigration from Russia is prohibited, that Russia does not recognize the right of any of her subjects to change his allegiance or nationality, that the Russian can never leave his province, his country, nor his town, without the permission of his government, which is refused if he intends permanent expatriation, and we have a system which insures for a long time the con- stant growth of the Russian people. Statistics are acces- sible for only a short time back, but from them we learn that the population of Russia doubles in somewhat less than sixty years. This is slower than the growth of the United States, which is aided by a large influx of foreign immigrants. There is comparatively little immi- gration into Russia; the growth is internal. When in- dustrial conditions change, emigration to America may cease. But in Russia we have the assurance of a constant The Russian People. 33 increase in population. One peculiar feature in Russian social life tends to secure the rapid growth of the people by natural multiplication. The individual ownership of property in all other civilized states brings with it some restriction to the growth of population. The larger the family the less must be the share of each child in the patrimony. But in Russia, where the inhabitants of each village own its land in common, the share of each family is in proportion to the number of male members ; or in proportion to the number of the heads of households. The greater the number of male children the larger will be the share of the family in the communal land, either when the child is born or when he becomes the head of a new household. The growth of population is thus en- couraged, and it is natural that it should be much more rapid in Russia than in the countries of the West. The great drawback up to the present time has been on ac- count of unfavorable conditions of climate and hygiene. Russian families are very large, but the mortality is very great. The great mass of the people have hitherto known nothing of medicine, surgery, or the laws of health. The natural increase in population has been much checked on this account. The wretched food, the long fasts prescribed by the church, drunkenness, insufficient ventilation in winter, the filthy habits of the peasantry, the contagious diseases common in the villages, all these things make the death-rate very high. Most of these difficulties, however, can be avoided by greater knowledge and care, and there has been a de- cided improvement of late years. With proper precau- 34 ' Slav or Saxon. tions, the severity of the climate is no great drawback, as the high average duration of human life in Scandinavia abundantly proves. If the present communal system lasts, the birth-rate will continue to be great, while a bet- ter knowledge of the laws of health will materially lessen the mortality. CHAPTER IV. THE MILITARY AUTOCRACY. IT is not only the vast area and constantly increasing population of Russia which qualifies her for that career of universal dominion to which she aspires, but also the character of her political institutions, now unique among the great powers of the world. It is the complete and absolute unity which her autocracy gives, it is the strength of her military institutions which threatens civilization. A peculiar fitness for this form of government seems now to be ingrained in the Russian people, not indeed by nature, for the Slav races were originally free, but by the force of long-continued custom. Among the great mass of the Russian people (kept ignorant indeed by this same despotism), an autocratic government is the highest ideal, and the Holy Father, the Czar, is looked upon with the deepest reverence. When, upon the acces- sion of Anna Ivanovna, after the time of Peter the Great, it was proposed to limit her authority, many of her subjects expressed the strongest dissatisfaction, and demanded that she should remain absolute ruler, which she did. Autocracy has a useful servant in the Rus- sian Church. The Roman hierarchy has been some- 35 36 Slav or Saxon. times a source of strength, but at others a source of weakness to monarchy. The concentration of the religious thought of a people upon a foreign object, has often di, minished their loyalty to their own sovereign. The Russian Church is a purely national institution, and is wholly sub- servient to the temporal power of the Czar. It was one of the most formidable instruments in the making of the despotism. Every dignitary in it, from the patriarch to the curate, held his place in absolute dependence upon the will of the Prince. The notions of autocracy came into Russia from Byzantium, with the Church. Absolute and unquestioned obedience to the will of the Czar is part of the religion of every Russian, indeed the chief part. It is impressed upon him as his highest duty by a clergy who are the facile instruments of the Czar for that pur- pose. Rebellion is something beyond ordinary heresy and sacrilege. The thoughts of the people are bound in spiritual chains, quite as effectually as their bodies are subject to physical power. There is as little liberty of thought as of action ; the dread of spiritual punishment is, perhaps, more effective than the fear of Siberia or the fortresses. In Russia only has autocracy been able to withstand the influences of modern civilization. Nicholas was perhaps more an autocrat than any of his predecessors. He regarded not only the earth, but the very skies of Russia as his possessions. Not even in thought would he permit his authority to be questioned. Whatever it may do in the future, the revolutionary spirit in Russia has as yet touched only the upper layers of society ; it is The Military Autocracy. 37 found mostly among the small class of the well educated. It destroyed a czar, it may overthrow a dynasty, but it must have a much greater growth than it has yet attained to up-root from Russia the despotic principle which has been so long ingrained in the fibre of its political organ- ism. The Anglo-Saxon form of government is still a long way off from the Russian people. Whatever consti- tution may in the future be given to Russia, it is certain that it will at first tend more than the organic law of other states to the centralization of political power. In- dividual life will still be largely regulated by government agencies. It would take some time (even if the govern- ment were so disposed) to lift a hundred million people out of the ignorance and habits of unquestioned obedi- ence to which the despotism has accustomed them. The absence of great centres of population has also fa- vored the growth and maintenance of the despotic princi- ple ; there is no point where the forces of resistance can combine. Only seventeen of all the Russian cities have a population of over fifty thousand. Not more than one tenth of the people dwell in cities. Russia is a strange example of the survival, in our own age, of a type of civilized society almost wholly militant ; a nation ruled as if it were an army. Except in the tiny village commu- nities, local self-government is confined to the most trifling matters ; a few bureaus at the capital direct every thing. The growth of the Russian people is by militant methods, totally different from the industrial methods of English development. The political integra- tion of Russia contrasts in a manner most menacing with 3 8 Slav or Saxon. the process of disintegration which is going on every- where in the British Empire. In spite of the immense industrial growth of England and her colonies, the politi- cal bonds between them are becoming weaker. The distant colonies, such as Canada, Australia, and South Africa, inhabited by Anglo-Saxon peoples, are almost wholly independent. A certain moral support is about all that the mother country can count upon. They are little better than friendly nations, the ties have been vol- untarily relaxed in favor of local self-government and in the interest of individual liberty. The agitation for home rule in Ireland leads us to think that a similar policy will be pursued at no distant time with respect to that island. A great blessing is conferred upon humanity by this policy if the Anglo-Saxon race is to remain predominant. A work written by H. Y. S. Gotten, of the Bengal Civil Service, " New India, or India in Transition," demon- strates that the present mode of governing that empire cannot last ; that the British administration does not respond to the currents of native thought and feeling, that even the English ideas, absorbed by the peoples of Hindostan, have made them less satisfied with a foreign yoke, which is itself inconsistent with those ideas ; that the English and the natives do not understand each other, and there is a strong desire on the part of the latter to govern themselves in their own way. The Eng- lish claim to have been educating them for the duties and responsibilities of self-government, and the tendency will be toward the granting of this at no very distant day. The Military Autocracy. 39 Mr. Gotten insists that the future of India will be a fede- ration of independent powers, cemented together by the power of England. But this policy, both in India and elsewhere, so salutary in other respects, may render England all the more unable, in a military point of view, to cope with her great antag- onist, whose social forces are moving in an opposite di- rection. In the great struggle to come, England will be aided by the self-interest and the affection of a large number of dependent industrial peoples, averse to war, from whom she can compel little against their will. She will be confronted by an antagonist whose nation is an army, whose citizens are accustomed by habit and inherit- ance of thought to obey the slightest wish of the central authority which can direct the energies of every man in the Russian dominions toward the accomplishment of a single object. The Russian army is to-day the largest in the world. In time of war it can be augmented to more than three millions of men. At the present moment the Russian soldiers may not be equal to their English rivals ; but they possess great staying qualities. Ever since the time of Peter the Great they have learned how to conquer through defeat. The Russian soldier is thus described by M. Cucheval Clarigny : Docile, as well as brave, easily contented, supporting with- out complaint all fatigues and privations, and ready for every thing ; the Russian soldier constructs roads, clears canals, and re-establishes the ancient aqueducts. He makes the bricks 4 Slav or Saxon. with which he builds the forts and the barracks which he in- habits ; he fabricates his own cartridges and projectiles ; he is a mason, a metal-founder, or a carpenter, according to the need of the hour, and the day after he is dismissed he con- tentedly follows the plow. With such instruments at its disposal the Russian power will never give way. A few years will suffice to render final the conquest of any land on which it has set its foot. Another great advantage of autocracy over English lib- eralism in war is this : A policy dependent upon the will of one man only is pretty sure to be persisted in. It must be a very weak czar who will waver from month to month, or from year to year in his purposes, while the English government, depending for its existence upon the majority of the House of Commons, is subject not only to a change in the policy of the ministry, but to sudden changes in the ministry itself. The British constitution is defective in giving effect too quickly to sudden revolu- tions in popular thought. While a government ought to embody the thought of the people, it should be its per- manent conviction, and not its mere temporary impulse. A ministry coming in on some fresh tide of popular passion may completely overthrow the plans of its prede- cessors. In war, such a system is almost as bad as the old Roman plan of dividing the leadership of an army be- tween two generals, and providing that each should be in command a single day. In constancy of purpose do we find the key to success. It looks now as if the conflict between England and Russia cannot much longer be postponed. Should it last The Military A utocracy. 4 1 long, and involve great sacrifices, the English people might think it better to give up their Asiatic posses- sions than to continue to defend them at too great a cost. The cry of " Perish India " is sometimes heard, and in the presence of the great social struggles which are loom- ing up before the English people, the land question, the Irish question, the labor question, the desire of England to retain its foreign possessions is likely to grow less and less. The sceptre is passing from the land-owning and cultivated classes of England to those who have a hard struggle to earn their daily bread, who have no time to care for prestige and political power, who will not sacri- fice their own interests for objects as distant as China or India. Let India fall, and Russia is assured the domina- tion of the continent. CHAPTER V. RUSSIAN CONQUESTS AND AGGRESSIONS. WHEN we consider the probable growth of the Russian Empire in the future by the light of what it has al- ready done, we find enough to appall the imagination. When the Russian people first appear in history, they occupy a territory considerably less than one fifth of their present European possessions alone. The former capital of Russia, Moscow, was built upon lands conquered from Asiatic races ; the present capital, St. Petersburg, upon lands wrested from the Swedes as late as the time of Peter the Great. The little plateau of Valdai, in the Northwest of Russia, is the source of three great river systems, the Ilmen, connecting it with the great lakes and rivers in the North country, the Dnieper, flowing South into the Black Sea, and the Volga flowing Southeast into the Caspian. This was the cradle of the Russian people. The early capitals, Kief and Novgorod, were upon the Dnieper and the Ilmen respectively. Along these channels spread the ancient civilization of Russia; from Novgorod to the Northeast, finally reaching the shores of the White Sea and the Arctic Ocean ; from Kief to the Southwest, men- acing even the power of Byzantium ; and later, after the 42 Russian Conquests and Aggressions. 43 temporary overthrow of Kief, Russia went East to Mos- cow, and on to the Urals, and Southeast along the Volga to the Caspian, and across the Urals to Siberia. Then began the struggle with Sweden for the provinces upon the Baltic. Then the Cossacks of South Russia were united with the Muscovite empire, and vast tracts of land were wrested from the Turks. Then came the struggle with Poland, resulting in the three partitions of that unhappy kingdom. Then followed the seizure of Finland from the Swedish monarchy. Then the Caucasus fell, and new acquisitions were made from Persia and Turkey. Then the country of the Amoor was wrested from China and Saghalien won by shrewd diplomacy from Japan ; then the network of Russian conquest enveloped the plains of Turkestan and spread to Afghanistan, while Mongolia and Thibet have been carefully explored with a view to future annexation. Colonel Prejewalsky says that during his expedition to Thibet in 1884-1885 A portrait of the Czar acted like a charm. When it was shown to the people they went into raptures. The conviction grows in Thibet that the " Divine figure of the North will soon extend his protection to the expectant Mongols who are sick of Mandarin tyranny." Prejewalsky further says: The much-lauded two centuries of friendship between Rus- sia and China, notwithstanding all our efforts to prolong it, even at the price of concession and indulgence, hang in reality by a thread which any day may snap asunder. The favorable 44 Slav or Saxon. solution of the many vexed questions which confront us is hardly to be attained by peaceful means. It may be that the moment for war is not far distant. Whether we like it or not, we have a long account which must be settled, and practical proof given to our haughty neighbors, that Russian spirit and Russian courage are equally potent factors, whether in the heart of Great Russia or in the Asiatic Far East. No geographical nor ethnographical limits have been broad enough to confine Russian ambition. Her boundaries are changing from year to year; no man can foresee the end. Let the conquered peoples speak what language they will, let their skin be of whatever color, let their re- ligion be what it may, Catholic as in Poland, Protestant as in Finland, Pagan as in Siberia, Moslem as in Turke- stan, it is all one ; they soon become parts of the great Russian race. Who can draw the limits of this power of expansion ? We have evidence enough that Russian am- bition has many times plotted conquests which have not yet been made. Catharine the Second, who divided Po- land with Austria and Prussia, planned a division of the Turkish Empire also. Paul the First held correspondence with Napoleon, and ordered an army of invasion to set out for India. The Moscow Gazette in 1832 declared that the next treaty with England must be made at Calcutta. Nicholas began the war which terminated in the Crimea, for the possession of the Ottoman Empire and his proposition to the English ambassador for a division of the sick man's assets, can hardly have faded from the memory of many who are still living. The last Turkish war was fomented by Rus- sian emissaries in the Balkan peninsula for a like purpose. Russian Conquests and Aggressions. 45 There is no better illustration of the greed of Russia, and of the unprincipled manner in which she seeks to absorb her smaller and weaker neighbors, than the events which took place in Bulgaria in the year 1886. The sovereign of that country was deeply beloved by his sub- jects, but because, in obedience to their wishes, he was unwilling to carry out the policy of Russia at the time of the revolution in Eastern Romelia, Russia determined that he should no longer rule. First, he was dismissed in disgrace from the colonelcy of a Russian regiment to which he had been appointed. We next read that the Russian newspapers are urging the Czar to intervene in Bulgaria unless Prince Alexander is deposed by his own subjects. Bulgaria is infested with Russian agents. Bul- garian regiments are corrupted by Russian gold, and on the 2Oth of August a regiment of cavalry is detained in Sofia after nightfall when other troops had retired to their barracks, and about three o'clock in the morning they surround the palace of the prince. Alexander is in bed. The revolutionary leaders force their way to his ante-chamber and seize him. He is made a prisoner on his own yacht and conducted to Russia. The report is spread that he has abdicated. The Russian press now announces that it does not believe the other powers will interfere with Russia's " direct pacification of Bulgaria/* Zankoff, the leader of the insurrection, is made minister, and proclaims that the Czar will protect Bulgaria. But the crime of the capture of Alexander is so infamous that the Russian government does not dare to avow openly its participation in the measure. Alexander lands at Reni, 46 Slav or Saxon. but Russia does not venture to detain him within her borders. He finds that his people have arisen almost to a man in his behalf. A great concourse meet him at every point. Soldiers who joined the insurrection con- fess that they received twenty rubles each, and were told that Alexander had plotted to sell Bulgaria to the Turks. DeGiers says that Russia will not occupy Bulgaria while it remains tranquil, but that Russia's position will be critical should Alexander insist upon executing the con- spirators. Now, if Russia did not incite the revolt, of what interest is it to her whether or not political crime is punished in a neighboring country ? Zankoff is arrested, but Alexander is compelled to order his release. On August 3Oth, Alexander sends a most submissive tele- gram to the Czar. The Czar replies: " I cannot approve of your return to Bulgaria, foreseeing from it sinister consequences to the kingdom so sorely tried. . . . Your Highness must decide your own course; I reserve to myself to judge what my father's venerated memory, the interests of Russia, and the peace of the East, require of me." Alexander now finds himself abandoned by the other powers. Germany, Austria, and Russia forbade him to execute the plotters against him, thus depriving him of the very essence of power. So he resigns. He says: " I cannot remain in Bulgaria, for the Czar will not permit me. I am forced to quit the throne. The independence of Bulgaria requires that I leave the country ; if I did not, Russia would occupy it." Regents are appointed. The Czar agrees to recognize the regency on condition that no Russian Conquests and Aggressions 47 acts of violence be committed, and acts of violence are con- tinually incited by Russian agents. The Bulgarian So- branje resolve to court-martial the officers inculpated in kidnapping Alexander. But soon the conspirators, instead of being punished, are demanding, by means of Russian influence, a direct representation in the government. Kaulbars is sent as Russian agent, and thanks Zankoff and his friends for their kindly welcome, asking them (not the regency) to announce throughout the country that the Czar will give protection to Bulgaria on condition that full confidence be placed in him. Kaulbars declares that political prisoners must be released and the state of siege raised, and unless Russia's demands are obeyed he will leave Bulgaria, and the occupation of the country will follow. He demands the indefinite postponement of the election for members of the National Assembly ; but this is not done. He accuses the Bulgarians of insubordination, and declares that Russia cannot allow Bulgaria to try the kidnappers of Alexander, nor can Alexander return. In the elections four hundred and eighty representatives of the party of the regency are chosen as against forty-one of all other parties. The majorities are immense. But now Russia declares the elections illegal and demands a postponement of the Sobranje. The government refuses to yield. It is reported that Kaulbars tries to win over several of the Bulgarian garrisons to work a revolution in favor of Russia. The Sobranje decide to send to the Czar a deputation to complain of the action of Kaulbars, but the Russian 48 Slav or Saxon. consuls are ordered to refuse passports, and Kaulbars informs the government that Russia will regard the pro- ceedings of the Sobranje as void. The Russian consul at Varna threatens to bombard the town unless the prefect permits free access of the Russo-Bulgarian partisans to the consulate, and Kaulbars informs the Bulgarian foreign minister that the Russian gun-boats there will vigorously affirm their importance if events render it necessary. In compliance with the demands of Kaulbars, the plot- ters against Alexander are released. And now the Russian, Nabakoff, leads a band of Montenegrins at midnight and attacks the prefecture at Burgas, seizes the prefect, and proclaims Russian rule : but his revolt also, is soon quelled. These plotters too are tried, but Kaulbars de- clares the trial void. England and Austria are at last awakened and act with firmness to prevent further out- rages. Lord Salisbury denounces " the midnight conspira- cy, led by men debauched by foreign gold, which hunted Prince Alexander from the throne of Bulgaria and out- raged the conscience and sentiment of Europe." Prudence will not permit an immediate resort to arms, so Russia will bide her time. The present aggressions of the Czar are thus epitomized by Charles Marvin : Russia has a frontier line across Asia five thousand miles in length, no single spot of which can be regarded as perma- nent. Starting from the Pacific, we find that she hankers for the northern part of Corea, regards as undetermined the boundary with Manchuria and Mongolia, regrets that she gave Russian Conquests and Aggressions. 49 back Kuldja, hopes that she will some day have Kashgar, questions the Ameer's right to rule Afghan Turkestan, demands the gates of Herat, keeps open a great and growing complica- tion with Persia about the Khorassan frontier, treats more and more every year the Shah as a dependent sovereign, discusses having some day a port in the Persian Gulf, and believes she will be the future mistress of the whole of Asia Minor. Let us briefly review the course of the Russians in Turkestan during the past twenty years. Central Asia, while it contains large and valuable oases, adapted to stock-raising and many other forms of agriculture, has no such stores of wealth as would justify its conquest for its own sake. Possibly the Russians did not know this when they first undertook its subjection, but they have long since understood it, and the continued march of Russian conquest must have in view some object beyond the mere possession of these Central Asian districts. The expense of administering the government in these regions is con- siderably greater than the revenues derived from them, yet the Russians press their conquests farther and farther. Why do they do this ? Their object is adequately ex- plained by the words and acts of some of their own great military authorities. The designs of the Emperor Paul, who projected a march upon India (which was to be stimulated by raising hopes of plunder in the minds of the wild nomads of Central Asia, who were to be invited to join him), were renewed in 1864, when the Russians first broke through the sand belt which then formed the Southern boundary of the empire, and took the rich and populous city of 5