Land Reform Union. — Tract No. 4.— ios. per ioo . PROGRESS AND POVERTY. GEORGE SARSON, M.A. iBeprinted from The Modern Review, January, 1883, hy the Land Reform Union.'[ J. C, DuEANT, Printer, Clement's House, Clemeni's Inn Passage, Strand, W.C. PRICE TWOPENCE. PROGRESS AND POVERTY* DURING the last half-century much thought and investi- gation have been devoted to the study of the conditions and prospects of poverty. What can the State do to lift to a richer level the poorest stratum of its subjects ? has been the problem of problems with thinker after thinker, with philo- sopher and prophet and poet and practical man of the world. And what has resulted from all this thought, and from many a hard-won legislative triumph ? If we see our way any clearer, can we see our way to doing anything ? Or are the conditions of the poorest decidedly better than they were ? Undoubtedly, those who will read these pages, and most of those whom our readers employ are respectively better supplied with necessaries and luxuries than were people in like position in the early part of this century. And perhaps the poorest boy in a large town has occasional enjoyments which were beyond the attainment of princes fifty years ago- But the question is not whether shoemakers in regular work to-day are better off than the regularly-employed shoemakers of the past, or whether more bread and groceries a head are consumed per annum now than in the year 1840. The ques- tion is, whether we have at the poorest level of the social strata a class whose struggle for the necessaries of life is as hard and as hopeless as that of the corresponding class in the past ; and whether this class is as large as ever. And more, are we any nearer to a remedy for the ills of the very poor ? do we know any better how to prevent the existence of masses of dense poverty ? * Progress and Poverty : An Inquiry into the Cause of Industrial Depressions, and of Increase of Want with Increase of Wealth. The Remedy. By Henry George. London : Kegan Paul, Trench, and Co. 1882^ 4 PROGRESS AND POVERTY As to the probable numbers and poverty of our very poor we cannot consult a more hard-headed and reliable authority than Professor Fawcett. In 1871, when Free Trade and kindred forces had received at least as fair a trial as since, and had provided their arrays of statistics startling enough to silence the most querulous grumblers, Professor Fawcett wrote as follows* : — We are accustomed to hear much boasting about the vast wealth of England. We are told that our exports and imports are rapidly increasing ; glowing descriptions are given of our Empire, upon which the sun never sets, and of a commerce which extends over the world. Our mercantile marine is ever increasing ; manufactories are augmenting in number and in magnitude. All the evidences of growing luxury are around us ; there are more splendid equipages in the parks, and the style of living is each year becoming more sumptuous. This is one side of the picture ; and if we look upon it and close our eyes to other sights, and close our ears to other sounds that are around us, we might fold ourselves in the mantle of self- complacency, and repeat the platitudes so often uttered, that nothing can exceed the happiness and prosperity of England. But let us look on another side of the picture, and what do we then observe? Side by side with this vast wealth, closely contiguous to all this sinful luxury, there stalks the fearful spectre of wild-spread poverty and of growing pauperism ! Visit the great centres of our commerce and trade, and what will be observed ? The direst poverty always accompanying the greatest wealth, . . . Official returns show that in London there are never less than 125,000 paupers, and that as each winter recurs the number rises to 170,000. There is abundant reason to conclude that a number at least equally large are just on the verge of pauperism, often struggling with admirable resolution to obtain their own livelihood, and frequently suffering far more than is endured by the recipient of parochial relief But it is not only in our large towns that this wide-spread poverty is to be observed ; the condition of the rural population is scarcely more satisfactory. t . . . How comes it that the augmented produce * Pauperism : its Causes and Remedies. The substance of a course of lectures in the University of Cambridge. Macmillan. t If our personal observations do not convince us of the justice of Mr. Faw- cett's sentence as to rural life, we must remember how easily the poor can now move into the towns and swell the ranks of poverty there. -UIUC J\ \ i PROGRESS AND POVERTY 5 is so distributed that the condition of those who till the soil has not only not improved, but has in some cases retrograded ? How, again, does it happen that the greater is the wealth accumulated in our large towns, the deeper seem to be the depths of poverty into which vast multitudes sink ? By an official return just issued, it is shown that there is at the present time (187 1) an annual increase, amounting to ;^io,ooo,ooo, in the export and import trade of this country, Mr. W. J. Fox, who was, perhaps, at one time, the most distinguished orator of the party (Anti-Corn Law League), when addressing a large meeting in Covent Garden Theatre, asserted that the abolition of protection would exterminate pauperism ; and he predicted that in a few years the ruins of the workhouses would mark the extinction of protection. ... If anyone, a quarter of a century since, could have foreseen all that was about to take place ; if he could have known that trade was soon to be trebled ; that rail- ways would be taken to almost every small town in the kingdom, would it not have appeared absolutely incredible that all these favour- able agencies should have produced so little effect that it may now be fairly disputed tvhether the poverty of the poor has been perceptibly' diminished ? There has, no doubt, been an unprecedented accumu- lation of wealth, but this wealth has been unhappily so distributed that the rich have become much richer, whilst the poor have remained as^ poor as they were before. This may fairly be taken as the verdict of our most skilled"' inquirer. To say, in the face of such evidence, that the condition of our very poor is progressing surely although^ slowly, is rather stupidity than optimism. An unskilled judge- will more rationally conclude that, slowly but surely, things - are getting worse. But, it will be replied, we, at least, see our way to grappling- with the advance of this evil. Those who have depicted these: harrowing facts, and have sympathised most radically with the poor, have also discovered with scientific precision the causes of poverty and its remedy. Yes ; we are told by the same authority that the causes are very obvious, and the remedies are simple, though not easy. There is no disputing them. On this point, happily, politicians of both parties are agreed. There is a patriotic concord as to the only means of deliverance from our most distressing and 6 PROGRESS AND POVERTY alarming ill at home. The remedy is educational and not revolutionary. Thrift and abstinence from improvident and injudicious marriages, &c., will prevent poverty and low wages. Without these any other attempt at remedy will only make the condition or the poorest worse. To encourage hope of alleviation from any other sources in lieu of these is cruelty. The false, mistaken kindness of the Poor-Law and of benevo- lent private effort has hindered people from seeing and learning the natural and inevitable consequences of common human actions. All we can do for the permanent improvement of the pool* is to teach them how to help themselves by conform- ing to the irresistible laws of Nature. And so, many who have been most anxious for the enrich- ment of the poor, if necessary even at the expense of the rich, are compelled by sheer common sense to own themselves and all philanthropy and statecraft helpless. Their helplessness has been enormously self-compensating. Their conviction of the impotence of the State, or of money to lift out of their poverty the recurring generations of the very poor has filled them with more pitying inventive many-sided personal zeal. The characteristic of those who have been most prominent and energetic and self-sacrificing of late in attempts to cope with the masses of poverty has been a certain hardness. Hardness has become the religion of philanthropists, and every religion has its phrases which degenerate into cant on the lips of some of its devotees. " No pauperising " has become a second " No Popery " shriek. " Is there a market for you ? " has been the successor of " Are you saved ? " Yet no one who knows them for a moment doubts that there has been a nobility and heroism and tenderness and stern martyr-like self-repression about many who have seemed hard as flint in their dealings with the poor. They have been merciless as the gentlest warrior may be merciless in some dreadful critical battle, upon whigh hangs the fate of unseen homes and unborn babes. And the very voices that have cried alike to kid-gloved alms- givers, whose ready hands were in their well-filled pockets, and to tender-hearted Communists eagerly grasping at the pockets of the State, " Hands off, in the interests of the unborn PROGRESS AND POVERTY 7 poor," have been the first to say that the rich may find plenty to do for the poor, in beautifying and refining their homes and haunts, and in sharing with them some of their own most costly privileges. Much energy has been liberated which would have been spent in political agitation had there been any measure to fight for which, like the abolition of the Corn Laws and Protection, promised wide-spread relief to poverty. This energy has had its out-put in varied and blessed channels which might otherwise have never been opened. Such bodies as the Kyrle Society and others, which bring the rich into close contact with the poor, probably number among their most active members men and women who might have been leading Revolutionists, had not the unanswerable science of political economy taught them that nothing great can be hoped for from legislation ; that no new legislative stroke, however revolutionary, can diminish poverty, that the laws of population and supply-and-demand are as unerring as the law of gravitation. We have concluded that patience is a necessity, and have made a virtue of this necessity. The utmost which our intelligence would allow our democratic sympathies to do has been to give a moral, but unasked-for, support to trades- unions, &c. We may have wished that the country would turn its attention to Mill's doctrine about the unearned incre- ment. But we have at the same time felt that this would be of very little use to the poor. For we have seen that, with every increase of their wealth, there must be a fatally dispro- portionate increase in the number of hungry mouths. Practical legislative effort has been forbidden by those dogmas, those unquestionabilities of political economy which have inherited that abandoned air of absolute finality which was once supposed to attach exclusively to the formularies of the clergy. I am not joking or exaggerating. There are hundreds of men, beneath middle-age, of vigour and ability, to whom inaction on behalf of poverty has been intensely painful and yet a solemn duty. If current doctrines have checked nothing else, they have checked hope and thought in the direction of solutions of our problem. From such a point of view there has seemed to educated Englishmen to be an ineradicable 8 PROGRESS AND POVERTY hopelessness in things themselves. They have seen all that Mr. Mallock has cleverly palmed off upon himself as his con- tribution to a new science ; and more, for the science which has forbidden their hopes has been much more definite and elaborate than any that can possibly group itself around its fragment. Mr. Mallock's work* reminds us that it may not be waste of time to emphasize this fact, that the science of political economy has been intensely anti-revolutionary in its bearings. The philosophising radicals whom he would fain deter in their course of destruction really need nothing more deterrent than their own theories supply them with. His book shows no familiarity whatever with the common leading tenets of our English political economists. Had he devoted a single page of his work to a resume of the main principles enunciated by Mill, Fawcett, and Thorold Rogers, he might have spared his efforts to prove the impossibility of universal pecuniary equality ,t and the need of any further ingenuity in this direc- tion ; unless his object is to fortify the hearts of those two splendidly-dressed ladies in the carriage whom he shields from Mr. Bright's wanton shafts. He has mistaken the combination of Radical and political economist in the same man for a proof that political economy is the source of Radicalism. But it is easier and more natural to suppose that the man made political economy his study because, to begin "with, he had democratic sympathies, than that his desire and hopes of ameliorating the condition of the masses sprang from his devotion to political economy, which has hitherto been a revelation of the complex and permanent difficulties presented by Nature to any attempt to alter existing proportions of wealth. Mr. Mallock does not even seem to be aware that political economy has generally been regarded, alike by philanthropists and socialists, as the " dismal science," for- * Social Equality : a Short Study in a Missing Science. t His book should rather have been entitled, " Pecuniary Equality," or " Economic Equality." A veritable work from his hands on social equality would be most interesting, especially if he broke his convenient silence as to the fact thit he has in Mr. Matthew Arnold a foeman worthier of his peculiar metal than Mr. John Bright. PROGRESS AND POVERTY 9 bidding hope in their direction. E.g. — " With regard, how- ever, to voluntary poverty, it will be one main object of these pages to prove that the leniency and want of firmness with which it has been treated may probably be regarded as the most powerful of all the agencies which have produced the widespread distress which afflicts even the most wealthy countries."* Philosophic Radicals like Mill and Fawcett have been so anxious for national education, because they have felt that only an educated people could rise to a scientific appreciation of the real difficulties which beset their financial progress. Ill- educated people might imagine that, if the State were to appropriate the land and to distribute the capital of our mil- lionaires, poverty would be annihilated. An educated people will be able to understand economic laws, to see which are laws of Nature, and which, "subject to certain conditions, depend on human will," to see how helpless the State is unless the people who compose it conform to the permanent laws of Nature. Let us try to state in a few sentences how the problem of poverty will present itself to a people well enough educated to read Mill and Fawcett. These economists teach that wages tend always to a certain minimum rate ; that there is a certain minimum of earnings on less than which people cannot, or will not, live ; and that the natural state of things tends to force the wages of the worst paid labourer down to this minimum. According as this minimum is lowered or raised will the whole scale of wages in a country be lowered or raised ; for the wages of the higher grades of skill are acted upon by the same causes as force up or down the lowest grade. Wages tend down to this minimum rate because population tends to increase as fast as wages will allow. If through any improvement, lessening the cost of common articles, the value of wages is increased, or if emigra- tion raises the wages of those who remain behind, the down- ward tendency will again operate, because population will increase with the increased ease of livelihood. * Fawcett, Pauferism, p. 9. ., 10 PROGRESS AND POVERTY To say the same thing in sHghtly altered language, the rate of wages depends on supply and demand. The Capital oi the Country, or the Wages Fund, furnishes the total wages of that country to the masses of the people. Thus capitalists will have to pay a rate of wages large or small according as the population of the country is so scarce or so plentiful that there is little or much competition against one another on the part of the people for the lump sum of capital at their disposal. But the higher wages are, the more rapidly will population increase, and the increased competition of wage receivers will thus always tend to bring down the rate of wages to the minimum on which the masses of the people can and will subsist. If capitalists were to pay a higher rate of wages than that fixed by the inter-action of supply and demand, they would increase the difficulties of a future day, for they would enable population to outstrip its natural limits. And this is the effect on a smaller scale of all alms-giving to the poon and of a lenient Poor-Lavv. And so much more are Commu- nistic schemes forbidden by the facts of life. Thus have our scientific political economists stated the causes which impede the progress of the poorest classes. They have elaborated and enforced this main thought with pages of arguments and facts which are eloquently and sim.ply set forth in such chapters as those of Mill on " The Law of the Increase and Production from Land" (Book I., 12, 13), and those on wages (Book II., 11 — 13). To sum up the case in a motto from Mr. Mill, which Mr. Mallock might have taken for the hatband of his newly-dressed scare-crow, " The niggardliness of Nature, not the injustice of society, is the cause of the penalty attached to over-population." (I. 13, ii.) To shirk the acknowledgment of, or to be sceptical about, these iron conditions which environ poverty, has hitherto been condemned as rank ignorance or criminal folly by the very men who have often been regarded by society as dangerous democratic doctrinaires. At the same time, the force of these ideas has silently seized the minds of all people sufficiently educated to entertain abstract questions, and an unmentioned PROGRESS AND POVERTY ii Malthusianism dominates the thought of our most Conserva- tive Poor-Law reformers and charity organisationists. I have dwelt thus lengthily on the condition of dominant economic thought in England, because only those who realise the air of finality which prevails on this subject can appreciate the enormous importance of Mr. George's Progtess and Poverty as a new contribution to the [science of political economy. The kind of sacred obligation which attaches, in the minds of our most serious and sober social reformers, to the principles I have quoted, accounts, I suppose, for the silence that has been accorded to the book, and has kept most English readers unaware that there has been circulating in our libraries for some two or three years a well-sustained impeachment of the main current principles of political economy. Only a skilled economist is capable of dealing adequately with the chain of Mr. George's argument. The damaging effect upon the influence of our economic writers which has ensued from their blank silence is very dangerous and lamentable.* They, beyond most men, have been trusted by thoughtful people as are pilots who know the shape and character of shoals in unsound depths. We expected them at least to speak, if other guides, so evidently competent as Mr. George shows himself, declared their old warnings to be hocus pocus.t It is the specialists who must thoroughly sift Mr. George's complicated attacks upon their life-work. I can only lay before my readers the leading conclusions he has arrived at, and the bearing they have upon popular thought, political and social. I would premise, however, that the book is, of its kind, unusually easy reading, that it is worthy at * A hundred thousand copies have been sold in America, the cheapest edition there being 2s. Since the sixpenny edition appeared in England, in September, about 20,000 copies have been sold (November). t Professor Fawcett has lately mentioned Mr. George by name, but not the characteristics differentiating his work from the political economy of his own school. M. E. de Laveleye has an article on " Progress and Poverty" in the Contemporary Review, November, 1882. He agrees in his main conclusions with Mr. George, but his article fails to thoroughly grapple with the book by its omission to notice Mr. George's account of industrial depressions. 12 PROGRESS AND POVERTY once of a poet and a man of science, full of observant detail, and chastened, honest emotion, which we may suppose are due to the writer's original artisanship, and that nothing I say about it can give a fair account of the unity and force of the work as a whole. Mr. George opens with a statement, touching beyond description, of the problem which I preferred to couch in the language of Professor Fawcett, in order to show that the opposing parties are agreed as to the actually existing con- comitance of " Progress and Poverty," and of " Increase of Want with Increase of Wealth," and because the verdict of Professor Fawcett as to the facts will be accepted by English- men who might be indisposed to accept the statement of an American. The great fact that poverty and all its concomitants show them- selves in communities just as they develop into the conditions towards which material progress tends, proves that the social diffi- culties existing wherever a certain stage of progress has been reached, do not arise from local circumstances, but are in some way or another engendered by progress itself. The new forces, elevating in their nature though they be, do not act upon the social fabric from underneath, as was for a long time hoped and believed, but strike it at a point intermediate between top and bottom. It is as though an immense wedge were being forced, not underneath society, but through society. Those who are above the point of separation are elevated, but those who are below are crushed down " (Progress and Poverty^ " The Problem "). All agree then in asking, " Why, in spite of increase of pro- ductivc power, do ivages tend to a miniimnn zvhick ivill give but a bare living?'' But in his reply, Mr. George flings himself into direct conflict with those current statements which I have enumerated. He denies that wages are drawn from capital. If it be true that wages depend upon the ratio between the amount of labour seeking employment, and the capital devoted to its employ- ment, then high wages (the mark of the relative scarcity of labour) must be accompanied by low interest (the mark of the relative abundance of capital), and, reversely, low wages must be accom- panied by high interest. This is not the fact, but the contrary. PROGRESS AND POVERTY 13 Eliminating from interest the element of insurance,* and regarding only interest proper or the return for the use of capital, is it not true that interest is high where and when wages are high, and low where and when wages are low? Both wages and interest have been "higher in the United States than in England (I., 2). The counter proposition which Mr. George lays down as to the source of wages is, " That wages, instead of being drawn from capital, are in reality drawn from the product of the labour from zvJiicJi they are paid!' On the face of it this seems very absurd. Cannot everyone see that the capitalist pays the wages of his employes long before the goods they have made are sold ? Yes, but to think accurately on economic processes it is an universal axiom that we must put out of the mind, as much as possible, the thought of money — mere counters in the process of exchange — and set our minds exclusively on the wealth which money represents. Mr. George contends that before the Saturday night, when wages are paid, the labourers have presented the capitalist with his goods as they existed at the commencement of the week augmented in value by the week's labour expended upon them. His capital on Monday was worth ;^i,000, and on Saturday it is p^i,ooo plus the value added by the week's work ; and he receives this before he pays the wages. It has been more convenient to him not to have sold the goods during the week. Had he done so and received on Saturday night their money's worth before he paid the wages, it would have been evident to him that he received the capital at the hands of the labourers before he paid them their wages out of it. And so Mr. George asks, " As in the exchange of labour for wages the employer always gets the capital created by the labour before- he pays out capital in the wages, at what point is his capital lessened even temporarily ?'M The current theory that wages are drawn from capital finds its most plausible shelter in the case of agricultural work. But if readers have followed me so far, they will understand Mr. George's meaning when he • This elimination is especially necessary in the case of India, which may be quoted as a glarin-,' exception to Mr. Georsje's rule. And allowance must be made for low productiveness &nd other considerations in estimating the low wages of India. t Book I., chap. 3. 14 PROGRESS AND POVERTY asserts that the farmer before he pays on Saturday night has got an inereased amount of money's worth in his land. It is not the custom that farms should change hands except at stated seasons. If it were, and valuation were made on any Saturday, any farm would fetch so much more than its holder gave for it on the previous Monday, and he could get this increased amount before he paid the wages ; in which case it would be evident that the labourers had advanced some- thing to him, and not he to the labourers. Mr. George does not question that capital is a valuable auxiliary to labour. I must ask my readers' patience when I say that his book indeed claims to be written in the interests of capital. What he does deny is that wages are drawn from anything more solid than, or over and above, the product of the labour which created them and something else into the bargain. In simple primitive cases the truth is evident. If a labourer devotes himself to gathering berries, and is paid at the end of the week a certain share of the berries, no one would say that he was paid out of capital existing beforehand. Capital has never to be set aside for the payment of wages when the produce of the labour for which the wages are paid is exchanged as soon as produced ; it is only required when the produce is stored up, or what is to the individual the same thing, placed in the general current of exchanges without being at once drawn against — that is, sold on credit. But the capital thus required is not required for the payment of wages, nor for advances to labour, as it is always represented in the produce of the labour. It is never as an employer of labour that any producer needs capital ; when he does need capital, it is because he is not only an employer of labour, but a merchant and speculator in, or an accumulator of, the products of labour. This is generally the case with employers (I., 3). Readers must see for themselves how Mr. George, alike from simpler and complex instances, elaborately illustrates and fortifies this conclusion, that — If each labourer in performing the labour really creates the fund from which his wages are drawn, then wages cannot be diminished by the increase of labourers, but, on the contrary, as the efficiency PROGRESS AND POVERTY 15 of labour manifestly increases with the number of labourers, the more labourers, other things being equal, the higher should wages be (L, 5). It is manifest that if Mr. George be right, our problem is not so eternally hopeless as it would otherwise seem to those who cannot anticipate any popular submission to Malthusian conduct. Our author next confronts these Malthusian theories to which he has been led by the proviso, "other things being equal" in his last sentence. It was the doctrine of the Rev. Mr. Malthus, and political economists ever since have, ■with varying modifications, accepted the doctrine, that, to use the words of Mr. Mill* : " After a certain, and not very advanced, stage in the pro- gress of agriculture, it is the law of production from the land that, in any given state of agricultural skill and knowledge, by increasing the labour the produce is not increased in an equal degree ; doubling the labour does not double the produce ; or, to express the same thing in other words, every increase of produce is obtained by a more than proportional increase in the application of labour to the land." And this law applies not only to agriculture t : — " All natural agents which are limited in quantity . . . yield to any additional demands on progressively harder terms. A greater number of people cannot, in any given state of civilistaion, be collectively so well provided for as a smaller. The niggardliness of Nature, not the injustice of society, is the cause of the penalty attached to over-population." % Thus the increasing population of any country have not only to compete against one another for wages, but have to buy all their food, tools, and clothing at an increasing cost of production as soon as improvements in production cease to multiply in proportion to the increased difficulty in acquiring the increased demand for raw material. Righteously, then, did Mill pen that famous note about the squires and clergy. Patriotic is the bishop of that once famine-smitten diocese of factory-hands, if, as is reported, he punishes the curates who marry. But what says Mr. George ? * Political Econo77iy, I., 12, ii. t lb. I., 12, iii. X lb. I., 13, ii. i6 PROGRESS AND POVERTY He first examines — too lengthily for quotation — the in- ferences from the facts of various countries, boldly selecting; India, China, and Ireland, in behalf of whose populations, ravaged with chronic hunger, Malthusians have pathetically besought the world to suppress its prejudices. Mr. George's reply with regard to India is well worth reading, if it be only as a piece of nervous and persuasive English. The misrule of man, not the superabundance of population, is the cause to which he traces recurring famine. As to Ireland, he has a like account to give. After de- scribing the conditions under which tenants have worked, he goes on : But even under these conditions it is a matter of fact that Ireland did more than support eight millions. For when her population was at the highest, Ireland was a food exporting country. Even during the famine, grain and meat and butter and cheese were carted for ex- portation along roads lined with starving, and past trenches into which the dead were piled. For these exports of food, or at least for a great part of them, there was no return. So far as the people of Ireland were concerned, the food thus exported might as well have been burnt up or thrown into the sea, or never produced. It went not as an exchange, but as a tribute — to pay the rent of absentee landlords (II., 2). Examining the inferences from analogy in support of the Malthusian theory, Mr. George elicits as the real law of popu- lation — not that population will always increase with in^ creased abundance, but that a contrary tendency will set in. "Give more food, open fuller conditions of life, and the vegetable or animal can but multiply ; the man will develop.'* That besides the positive and prudential checks of Malthus there is a third check which comes into play with the elevation of the standard of comfort and the development of the intellect, is pointed to by many well-known facts. The proportion of births is notoriously greater in new settlements, where the struggle with Nature leaves little opportunity for intellectual life, and among the poverty-bound classes of older countries, who in the midst of wealth are deprived of all its advantages and reduced to all but an animal existence, than it PROGRESS AND POVERTY 17 is among the classes to whom the increase of wealth has brought independence, leisure, comfort, and a fuller and more varied life (11-, 3). He does injustice here in ignoring the fact that Mill and others have propounded as a possible remedy for the tendency to over-population extensive emigration — schemes which, by suddenly raising the " standard of comfort " amongst a popu- lation, and by giving them experience of a better condition, will make them less likely to throw away their new comforts by imprudent over-populating. And Malthusians may answer that, if these conditions which Mr. George apprehends come into operation, of course, the evil they forebode will be averted in the way they recommend and desiderate. So it is necessary for Mr. George to advance a " disproof of the Malthusian theory ;" and to this he applies himself. The question of fact into which this issue resolves itself is not iri what stage of population is most subsistence produced? but in what stage of population is there exhibited the greatest power of producing wealth ? For the power of producing wealth in any form is the power of producing subsistence — and the consumption of wealth in any form, or of wealth-producing power, is equivalent to the consumption of subsistence. ... If I keep a footman I take a possible ploughman from the plough (IL, 4). "Does the relative power of producing wealth decrease with the increase of population ? " The question is declared to be one of fact, and not for abstract reasoning. That the production of wealth must, in proportion to the labour employed, be greater in a densely populated country like England than in new countries, where wages and interests are higher, is evident from the fact that, though a much smaller proportion of the population is engaged in productive labour, a much larger surplus is available for other purposes than that of supplying physical needs. In a new country the whole available force of the community is devoted to production — there is no well man who does not do pro- ductive work of some kind, no well woman exempt from household tasks. There are no paupers, no beggars, no idle rich, no class whose labour is devoted to ministering to the convenience or capric e of the rich, no purely literary or scientific class, no criminal class who 1 8 PROGRESS AND POVERTY live by preying upon society, no large class maintained to guard society against them. Yet with the whole force of the community thus devoted to production, no such consumption of wealth in pro- portion to the whole population takes place, or can be afforded, as goes on in the old country ; for, though the condition of the lowest class is better, and there is no one who cannot get a living, there is no one who gets much more — few or none who can live in anything like what would be called luxury or comfort in the older country. That is to say, in the older country the consumption of wealth in proportion to population is greater, although the proportion of labour devoted to the production of wealth is less — or that fewer labourers produce more wealth ; for wealth must be produced before it can be consumed (IL, 4). Indeed, we should not be engaged in this inquiry, which occupies the attention of Malthusians as keenly as that of Mr. George, were it not for this very fact, that " want appears' where productive power is greatest and the production of wealth is largest." It is intensely interesting to speculate as to what answer Mr. Fawcett will make when his silence is broken, or he has unravelled Mr. George's tangled skeins of argument. It is open to a student of Mill to anticipate that all Mr. George alleges is true, on the Malthusian theory of any old country, such as that which Mr. George antithesises to a new colony, until the old country has reached that " Stationary State " (Mill, Political Economy, IV., 6), in which the increase and improvement of productive arts and sciences have ceased to keep pace with the increased pressure of population, and capital and population have ceased to overflow into new- countries. But our author might fairly ask the objector to point to such a country, or the likelihood of any such prospect. Of course Mr. George, in his anti-Malthusian ardour, is not foolish enough to question that often it may be poverty-pro- ducing for a particular individual to have a large family. Nor, in questioning the possibility, does he deny the conceiva- bility of this globe being over-populated. What he does deny is — the very plausible induction of a Malthusianising law ot PROGRESS AND POVERTY 19 population from the frequently observed fact that an individual impoverishes himself by improvidence in marriage, or the de- duction of such a law from the admitted conceivability that on the surface of a globe thickly populated the abstract theory of Malthus would be realised. Mr. George claims, then, to have discovered, in his Inves- tigation into the source of wages and the Malthusian theory — That the cause which, in spite of the enormous increase of pro- ductive power, confines the great body of producers to the least share of the product upon which they will consent to live, is not the limita- tion of capital, nor yet the limitation of the powers of Nature, which respond to labour. As it is not, therefore, to be found in the laws which bound the production of wealth, it must be sought in the laws which govern distribution. At this point it is cheering to one who, like myself, has had all his old schooling in political economy exposed as absurd, to be told that there is one great law laid down by the stan- dard political economists which he has not to unlearn. And the law as to which there is this relieving concord is an im- portant one. In the words of Mill — " It is one of the cardinal doctrines of Political Economy, and until it was understood no consistent explanation could be given of many of the more complicated industrial phenomena." It is the law of Rent, and is stated as follows by Mill — "The rent which any land will yield is the excess of its produce beyond what would be returned to the same capital if employed on the worst land in cultivation."* Or, in Mr. George's almost identical terms — " The rent of land is determined by the excess of its produce over that which the same application can secure from the least productive land in use." Anyone unfamiliar with this law will see its truth when stated in this slightly shifted form — " The ownership of a natural agent of production will give the power of appropriating so much of the wealth produced by the exertion of labour and capital upon it as exceeds the return which the same application of labour and capital could secure in the least productive occupation in which they freely engage" (III., 2). * Political EiOJtoiny, 11., i6, iii. 20 PROGRESS AND POVERTY The produce of any piece of land has to be divided into Rent, Return to the Farmer for his own labour and capital, and Wages. Or, classing the reward of the farmer, qua farmer, for his labour of superintendence, as wages of superintendence, and calling the return to his capital interest ; Produce = Rent + Wages + Interest ; or. Wages + Interest = Produce - Rent. Thus wages and interest do not depend upon the produce of labour and capital, but upon what is left after rent is taken out ; or upon the produce which they could obtain without paying rent — that is, from the poorest land in cultivation. And hence, no matter what be the increase in productive power, if the increase in rent keeps pace with it, neither wages nor interest can increase (III., 2). Mr. George proceeds on the same lines to gather the law regulating wages. In a new colony it is evident that a man's wages will be what he can earn by working for himself on land for which he has to pay no rent. Anyone who employs labour will have to pay the equivalent of what a labourer can earn for himself on land as yet unappropriated ; otherwise as long as there was land unappropriated he would get no one to work for him. At first, then, in such a new colony, wages are very high. But as fast as the better land is appropriated, and people who work for themselves have to work on inferior lands, the rate of wages will fall to the amount that can be earned on those inferior lands. Thus,, according to the law by which rent rises to a greater and greater share of the pro- duce as a country is more and more thickly populated, and there is less and less unappropriated land, wages at the same time fall in rate to a smaller and smaller share in the produce, because the amount which a labourer can earn for himself by leaving his master and working at unappropriated land or natural resources is becoming less and less. And if this be true, the rate of all wages will gradually fall as there is less and less opening for labourers on non-rent- producing land. For employers of all kinds of unskilled Labour will only have to give the same wages, or a shade more, than men can earn for themselves on the as yet unappropriated land. And the various kinds of employers of skilled labour in all its ascending grades will only have to give each so many PROGRESS AND POVERTY 21 shades more than can be got on this best unappropriated land. Thus, in proportion as the best unappropriated land to which recourse can be had is of a lower and lower produc- tiveness, the wages of all kinds of labour, skill, and superin- tendence will fall. And we get as the universal law of wages that " Wages depend upon the margin of prodiictio7i^ or upon the produce which labour can obtain at the Jiighest point of natural productiveness open to it without the payment of rent." The plausible, and at first sight unquestionable, dictum, that the rate of wages depends on supply and demand is only true of each separate kind of labour. The wages of shoemakers, or jewellers, or clerks, will, of course, depend on the supply and demand in their respective occupations. But beneath the temporary causes regulating the relative values of wages of clerks, &c., as compared with jewellers, &c., is the common permanent cause operating on the rates of wages in ^//occupa- tions, and raising all or lowering all according to the rate that prevails for the lowest stratum, Mr. George asserts that to speak of supply and demand as a law covering the whole question of wages is an absurdity in terms. For " supply " is seen to be the same thing as " demand," when each is logically traced to the material which it stands for. The " supply " of the universe is the whole labour of mankind ; and the demand of the universe is what collective mankind possesses to offer in return for supply — viz., the whole labour of mankind. And so to talk of universal over-production, universal over-con- sumption, or over-population (short of an over-crowded globe) are absurdities in phraseology. Having shown the effect upon wages and rent of the increased influx of population as long as there is land to be had in a new country, Mr. George proceeds to examine what effect material progress, the increase of population and of improve- ments in the productive arts, will have. Improvements in the arts of production will counteract the tendency of wages to sink beneath the cause which we have just found to be in universal operation. Like increase in population, these improvements will also add to the amount 22 PROGRESS AND POVERTY of production which goes to rent ; for all productions above what is yielded by land at the margin of lowest cultivation will still go to rent. However much the productiveness of a factory, a shop, or a field may be increased by improved methods of production, the owner of the bit of land will be able to subtract from the produce raised on his ground, be it in a factory, a shop, or a field, all that is produced beyond what could have been produced on an equal bit of the poorest land in cultivation, or the most inconvenient site eligible. The greater the improvements the more will rents rise. And as Wages + Interest = Produce- Rent, Wages and Interest may well be low, as they are in an old and wealthy country as compared with a new and undeveloped one. But material progress has a still further tendency to increase rent and diminish the comparative return to labour and capital. Speculation for land, of course,sets in with material progress. Land of inferior quality, where land is to be had, must be resorted to before certain lands of superior worth are cultivated, because speculators hold back lands from use with a know- ledge of their certain rise in value, and thus the wage-adjust- ing margin of cultivation is forced even lower. Here Mr George's American experience has turned his eyes to facts which will surprise Englishmen, This speculation in land, he concludes, is — The force, evolved by material progress, which tends constantly to increase rent in a greater ratio than progress increases production, and thus constantly tends, as material progress goes on, and produc- tive power increases, to reduce wages, not merely relatively, but absolutely. It is this expansive force which, operating with great power in new countries, brings to them, seemingly long before their time, the social diseases of older countries ; produces " tramps " on virgin acres, and breeds paupers on half-tilled soil (IV., 4). This brings our author to the cause he assigns for industrial depressions. Given a progressive community, in which population is increasing and one improvement succeeds another, and land must constantly increase in value. This steady increase naturally leads to speculation, PROGRESS AND POVERTY 23: in which future increase is anticipated, and land values are carried beyond the point at which, under the existing conditions of produc- tion, their accustomed returns would be left to labour and capital. Production, therefore, begins to stop. Not that there is necessarily, or even probably, an absolute diminution in production, but that there is what in a progressive community would be equivalent to an absolute diminution of production in a stationary community — a failure in production to increase proportionately, owing to the failure of new increments of labour and capital to find employment at the accustomed rates. This stoppage of production at some points must necessarily show itself at other points of the industrial network, in a cessation of demand, which would again check production there, and thus the paralysis would communicate itself through all the interlacings of industry and commerce, producing everywhere a partial disjointing of production and exchange, and resulting in the phenomena that seem to show over-production or over-consumption, according to the standpoint from which they are viewed. The period of depression thus ensuing would continue until (1) the speculative advance in rents had been lost ; or (2) the increase in the efficiency of labour, owing to the growth of population and the progress of improvement, had enabled the normal rent line to overtake the speculative rent line ; or (3) labour and capital had become reconciled to engaging in production for smaller returns. Or most probably all three of these causes would co-operate to pro- duce a new equilibrium, at which all the forces of production would again engage, and a season of activity ensue ; whereupon rent would begin to advance again, a speculative advance again take place, production be again checked, and the same round be gone over again (V., i). Whatever maybe the fate of this newly-propounded account of industrial depressions, it is evident that it has the appear- ance of accounting simply for phenomena which have hitherto been the battle-ground of conflicting theorists, and which, one after another, have been proved untenable by one leading economist or another. General over-production, whilst we all want more than we have. General over-consumption, whilst people are standing idle who would gladly supply con- 24 PROGRESS AND POVERTY sumers with what they want. Speculation in goods, which is known to have a beneficial equalising effect in its play. Over- population, when crowds of able-bodied men are in need of goods, and are ready to make goods in return for what they need. These incoherent causes dwindle into insignificance and inadequacy as accotinting for depressions compared with the undoubtedly and universally operative force to which Mr George points. Thus the cause of industrial depressions, and of increase of want with increase of wealth, is stated to be the private ownership of land. Mr. George gives us vivid illustrations of his law in active operation in San Francisco, California, and the United States : — The present commercial and industrial depression which first clearly manifested itself in the United States in 1872, and has spread with greater or less intensity over the civilised world, is largely attributed to the undue extension of the railroad system, with which there are many things that seem to show a relation. I am fully conscious that the construction of railroads before they are actually needed may divert capital and labour from more to less pro- ductive employments, and make a community poorer instead of richer ; . . . but to assign to this wasting of capital such a widespread industrial dead-lock seems to me like attributing an unusually low tide to the drawing of a few extra bucketfuls of water. The waste of capital and labour during the civil war was enormously greater than it could possibly be by the construction of unnecessary railroads, but without producing any such results. And certainly there seems to be little sense in talking of the waste of capital and labour in railroads as causing this depression, when the prominent feature of the depression has been the superabundance of capital and labour seeking employment. Yet, that there is a connection between the rapid construction of railroads and industrial depression, anyone who understands what increased land values mean, and who has noticed the effect which the construction of railroads has upon land speculation, can easily see. Wherever a railroad was built or projected lands sprang up .in value under the influence of speculation, and thousands of millions of dollars were added to the nominal values which capital and PROGRESS AND POVERTY 25 labour were asked to pay outright, or to pay in instalments, as the price of being allowed to go to work and produce wealth. The inevitable result was to check production, and this check to produc- tion propagated itself in a cessation of demand, which checked pro- duction to the furthest verge of the wide circle of exchanges, operating with accumulated force in the centres of the great industrial commonwealth into which commerce links the civilised world (v., 2). It is not so easy to trace concrete instances of this law in operation in an old country like ours, with its elaborate industrial development. But we have only to think of the enormous rents in our great cities to see that, if what goes to capital and labour out of their joint production is that pro- duction minus rent, then rent and speculation for rent must have the same effect in England as elsewhere, must lower the rate of wages and diminish the return to capital which otherwise would accrue from material progress until the return to labour and capital is so small that production is checked, and the symptoms of industrial depression ensue. Thus Mr. George has led us on step by step to a conclusion startling in its simplicity. I can see no flaw in his process. The facts tally with one another. They must be summarised in Mr. George's own words : The simple theory which I have outlined (if, indeed, it can be called a theory which is but the recognition of the most obvious relations) explains this conjunction of poverty with wealth, of low wages with high productive power, of degradation amid enlighten- ment, of virtual slavery in political liberty. It harmonises, as results flowing from a general and inexorable law, facts otherwise most per- plexing, and exhibits the sequence and relation between phenomena that, without reference to it, are diverse and contradictory. It explains why interest and wages are higher in new than in older communities, though the average, as well as the aggregate, production of wealth is less. It explains why improvements which increase the productive power of labour and capital increase the reward of neither. It explains what is commonly called the conflict between labour and capital, while proving the real harmony of interest between them. It cuts the last inch of ground from under the fallacies of Protection, while showing why Free Trade fails to per- 26 PROGRESS AND POVERTY manently benefit the working classes. It explains why want increases with abundance, and wealth tends to greater and greater aggregations. It explains the periodically recurring depressions of industry without resource either to the absurdity of " over-production " or the absurdity of "over-consumption." It explains the enforced idleness of numbers of would-be producers, which wastes the productive force of advanced communities, without the absurd assumption that there is too little work to do, or that there are too many to do it. It explains the ill effects upon the labouring classes which often follow upon the introduction of machinery, without denying the natural advantages which the use of machinery gives. It explains the vice and misery which show themselves amid dense population, without attributing to the laws of the All-Wise and All-Beneficent defects which belong only to the short-sighted and selfish enactment of men"(V., 2). Private ownership in land, then, stands condemned, unless Mr. George's account of low wages and industrial depressions can be disproved. And this condemnation of private owner- . ship has a totally different basis from the many that have been often advanced previously. Hitherto, educated people in England, though perhaps not on the Continent, have generally felt that the various schemes for the extrusion of cur present landowners have been as questionable in expe- diency as in justice, and that their possible alleviation of our present evils was small and unpromising compared with the risks entailed. But if Mr. George's political economy be correct, it becomes a public cruelty and wickedness to allow private ownership to continue unmitigated as at present. And the paramount problem is as to how the required change is to be effected. Mr. George's proposed remedy is as simple in appearance as his demonstration of the evil. He would not have the State extrude a single landowner. He would throw all taxes on ground rent.* Thus land, having lost its rent-producing value for private owners, would cease to be the subject of specula- tion as at present, and the common cause of industrial depres- * He carefully distinguishes between ground rent and interest on improve- ments, which is not to be taxed ; for, unlike ground rent, it is produced by effort or labour. PROGRESS AND POVERTY 27 sion would no longer exist. Capital and labour would be relieved of their present load of taxation, every penny of which, as Mr. Fawcett told his hearers the other day, presses indi- rectly on the denizen of the dingiest garret. There would be no new expense of collection ; no wasteful State management of landed property ; no positive need for people who use land productively, or who are rich enough to indulge in the enjoy- ments of large landownership, to give up any of their domains. Improvements would not be impeded as at present, for the tax would be confined to ground rent, which valuers can approximately eliminate from the total value of the land to its owner. And even if there were some risk that improve- ments would not escape taxation, they would not be taxed in so many ways as at present. I have here dealt with less than the first three-fifths of our author's volume. The remainder, which space forbids me to notice now, deals with the justice of his proposals and their probable economic and social effects. As to these chapters, M. E. de Laveleye's words will be more telling than any of my own. " I can but unreservedly approve the elevated views of the future in store for modern society which terminate Mr. George's book. I also believe that if Democracy do not succeed in effecting a more equitable distribution of property and of the produce of men's labour, it will perish amid corruption and anarchy, and finally end in Caesarism. The picture which the author draws of the vices which growing inequality is developing in the noble institutions of America is really fearful, and, I suspect, not in the least exaggerated."* It only remains for me now to point out how the propo- sitions of our author, granted their economic provability, are likely to strike a public at present strongly under the dominion of the views I have enlarged upon in the earlier part of this paper. * Co7iicmtorarv Review ^ November, 1S82. 28 PROGRESS AND POVERTY I speak of the probable effect upon educated people in all classes. I do not allude to the appeal which may be made to the greed of the masses, nor do I attempt to estimate the effect the book will have upon people who, if intelligent enough to read it, are yet sufficiently ill-educated or fanatical to lump together all the wide-spread craving for social change as motived by jealousy of the rich. The direct appeal to the masses will be nothing more than has been made by others chemes ; indeed, it will be less forcible, for the masses will be slow to sympathise with Mr. George's regard for capital. At present, Democracy in England trusts its Parliamentary and political leaders. Till they are won, no scheme at present has any chance of success. The kind of appeal inherent in this new political economy is one which will have as much cogency with educated and patriotic landowners as with other kindred minds. I. A dead weight will be lifted off the hopes of all who have hitherto turned away from politics, because economic science has compelled them to see that whatever the State may imagine, she can no more relieve the burdens of poverty than she can stop people from marrying. A great amount of hope, enthusiasm, and intelligence will be set free, and will turn aside for a time from their exclusive devotion to slower personal methods of helping the poor towards this rift in the clouds of pessimism and hopelessness. If there is anything in this discovery it is the discovery of a new Cobden, and it will call forth such political energy as has had no object or mani- festation since someone found out that Protection made every mouthful of the poor man's food harder to get, and Cobden and his friends gave tongue to the discovery. There is even an element in this new discovery which will fire the imagina- tion of philanthropists far more than did the Anti-Corn Law Agitation. It was cruel enough to maintain laws which made every mouthful of food dearer. But it is an aggravation of this cruelty to maintain a state of things which has not only kept back from the poorest classes of the nation the fresh food which Free Trade has furnished, but must always leave them and all classes of the community to be tossed backwards PROGRESS AND POVERTY 29 and forwards between plenty and poverty by upheavals and depressions, as it were of mother earth herself, which we know must succeed one another, but cannot foresee or avert. The appeal of economic science will be, not any longer as hitherto, in the name of mercy to hold off our hands ; nor will the appeal of the new economic creed be to take something from the rich and give it to the poor, but to cut away the perennial cause of industrial calamity, and to take care that that un- earned increase of wealth, which is the mechanical outcome of increasing population and productiveness, shall no longer be allowed to impoverish labour and capital. The appeal is essentially to the thoughtful. 2. There is nothing " communistic" in the scheme. It will not interfere with, or seek to check, any natural in- equalities in wealth which flow from inequalities in genius, thrift, or industry. " Social equality " will be as far off as even Mr. Mallock could wish it to be. M. E. de Laveleye's fear seems to be that the relief to taxation would be chiefly advan- tageous to capital. 3. It is not easy to say who will be most interested in opposing or supporting the reform. Unlike other schemes, this does not affect merely agricultural rent. The landowner with a thousand acres will lose less than many an owner of a little patch of ground in a crowded neighbourhood. The Corn Law Reform was chiefly resisted by " the landed in- terest," and everyone thought that the landowners would be great losers ; but the result has been that rents have increased enormously. The owners of agricultural land, so many of whom have " farms on their hands " at the present time, will all benefit as farmers and capitalists ; and who will deny that in countless instances it would be a happy thing for agri- cultural England, and for themselves, if a greater number of landowners worked their farms themselves, and earned as capitalists what they would lose in rent? This would naturally occur in cases where the tenant-farmer is at present in the shakiest condition, and where it is least desirable for himself or his neighbours that his existence as tenant should 30 PROGRESS AND POVERTY be prolonged. The larger farmers, who are possessed ot capital, would probably become owners instead of tenants, as they would be the chief competitors in the new state of things for any land in the market. Evidently the reasons for resist- ance upon the part of the counties would be much less violent than they were at the time of the Corn Law Repeal. And the forces on the side of the reform in towns would consist of all who are capitalists rather than rent-owners. 4. If Mr. George's economic arguments be accepted by poli- ticians as sound, it will not follow that they will be acted upon as thoroughly or as speedily as he recommends, even by those who heartily accept them. He will get very few educated English people to act with him upon his conclusion that the nation has a right to claim compensation from the landlords for past wrongs rather than landlords from the nation for the injury done to them by fresh legislation. At the same time, I believe, most people will be surprised to see how much Mr. George can urge, in the name of justice and necessity, against any compensation except to widows and ophans. But a distinguishing characteristic in the application of this new economic theory is that it can be made gradually, without inflicting any of the individual cruelties of sudden revolutions. Taxes will be gradually shifted on to the land if there prevails even a strong suspicion of the economic truth of these new propositions ; and it is not absurd to argue that so the scheme may become law without either compensation or cruelty. 5. And supposing that the work should be proved to be a tissue of economic fallacies, it is too brilliant a production to be lost sight of rapidly. For a generation to come it will be talked about more than most books, if it be only by English- speaking economists, who will find in it the richest illustra- tions and the most elaborate specimens of the fallacies which economists exist to confute. If it be a failure as an attempt to account for industrial depressions, it will have done at least this service to political economy, that, for good or evil, it will have brought home with unprecedented force to the public PROGRESS AND POVERTY 31 mind that law of rent, of which Mills says, " It is one of the cardinal doctrines of political economy," I have said enough to call the attention of readers better qualified than myself to the study of Progress and Poverty. 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