THE UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS LIBRARY 352 b&75 v. 25 ECONOMICS £ VIEWS ON THE CURRENCY: IK WHICH THE CONNEXION BETWEEN CORN AND CURRENCY • IS SHOWN ; THE NATURE OF OUR SYSTEM OF CURRENCY EXPLAINED; AND THE MERITS OF THE CORN BILL, THE BRANCH BANKS, THE EXTENSION OF THE BANK CHARTER, AND THE SMALL NOTE ACT EXAMINED. By T. JOPLIN. LONDON: JAMES RIDGWAY, PICCADILLY; AND BALDWIN AND CRADOCK, PATERNOSTER ROW. MDCCCXXVIII. IONDON J PRINTED BY T. BRETTEEL, RUPERT STREET, HAYMARKET, PREFACE. The principles of the following Work have appeared in former publications, but are more fully developed in this. Those publications have not been generally read, but were not, per- haps, without their effect. They at least have furnished the sub-stratum of more than one po- pular essay: if any writings on subjects of Po- litical Economy can be called popular. With the writings of the modern political economists, this work has nothing in common. However much the author may admire the ta- lents and ingenuity which have been displayed by Messrs Ricardo, Mill, Tooke, Torrens, and M'Culloch, he is compelled to dissent from the chief part of their doctrines. Indeed it would hardly be fair to stop at them. The science of political economy was corrupted at its fountain head, and all which can be said is, that they have not freed it from its corruptions. Dr Adam Smith, in his Wealth of Nations, throws much light upon political science, but more darkness ; and his errors and obscurities unfortunately have reference to the most important parts of his sub- ject. The Wealth of Nations is a work, not- withstanding, of great genius ; the best proof of which is, that men of genius have adopted its a 2 IV errors, and reasoned upon them as unquestion- able truths. Had Dr Smith never written, it would have been better for the science. The French eco- nomists had discovered the important truth, that the produce of land forms the basis of wealth. But in their hands the value of the principle was destroyed by the use they made of it. Had it not been for Dr Smith, subsequent writers would have had one sound general principle to start from, and with the aid of experience, would have been able to arrive at more just conclusions. The Wealth of Nations, however, came like an ignis-fatuus, to mislead the future economist in- to bogs and quagmires, where he finds it in vain to tempt the man of plain but solid sense to fol- low him. Since Dr Smith's time, consequently, not any light has been thrown upon the subject, at all proportioned to the attention which it has re- ceived. Malthus on Population, and the pam- phlet of Ricardo, entitled, " The high Price of Bullion a Proof of the Depreciation of Bank Notes," together with the Report of the Bullion Committee to which that pamphlet gave rise, are the only works that have contributed in any material degree to enlarge the boundaries of the science. The former, perhaps, is the only per- fect work on political economy that ever was published ; and its principles have been the guide of legislation on subjects connected with popu- lation ever since it appeared. The latter re- vived a doctrine of Dr Smith's, but revived it with all its errors ; and was chiefly important from its connection with the events to which it referred, and the discussions to which it gave rise. At the same time that the author is convinced more correct views on the subject of politi- cal economy are much required, he neither has the requisite qualifications nor the leisure ne- cessary to become the founder of a new sys- tem. He may, nevertheless, contribute his mite towards the formation of one. Rome was not built in a day. Before the master mind ap- pears, that has to give order, consistency, and beauty to the fabric, there must be useful drudges who will hew out the rude materials, and help to clear away the rubbish. One of these humble instruments, the author will be very glad if he happen to prove. The best test of any principles must be found in their application to practice ; and to this test those suggested in the following work are ap- plied in an attempt to analyze the merits of the corn bill of 1827, and the measures of 1826 with regard to the currency. It will be seen that while the author finds rea- son to approve of the corn bill, he considers the repeal of the act for the withdrawal of the small notes from circulation to be absolutely necessa- ry. How far his views on this latter subject may be correct, must be left to the determina- VI tion of the reader. But he thinks it proper to mention, that when the act was passed, he saw no objection to it. His present opinions are the result of subsequent reflection. He was under the gallery of the House of Commons, and heard the whole of the debate upon it when it was proposed ; and had he been a member, would no doubt have voted in its favour. To stile and manner, and even to great correctness, the author makes no pretension. Perspicuity has been his chief object. It may likewise be proper to mention, that the work was written and printed in the country ; and was for convenience printed as it was written. If his views, therefore, on any particular point happened to enlarge or receive any modifica- tion in the progress of the work, he had no op- portunity of altering what he had previously said. It was also commenced last August with the intention of having it published by Christmas ; but the author was prevented by circumstances from attending to it for two or three months. It has, in consequence, been quite as much hurried as such a work ought to be. All these considerations the good-natured reader will be pleased to remember and make allowances for. March 3rd, ] 828. CONTENTS. PAGE Preface — - — — — - iii SECTION I.— On the Com Bill of 1827, the Causes which led to it, and the Principles on which it was opposed 1 Corn Bill of 1815 - - - - - 1 The Agricultural Distress 2 Causes assigned for the Agricultural Distress - 3 Causes assigned for the Agricultural Distress, by the Com- mittee of the House of Commons 4 Principles laid down by the Committee, for the future Re- gulation of our Corn Laws 5 Report, in Unison with Public Opinion 7 Views of Government, directed to promote such an Altera- tion in our Corn Laws, as the Report recommended 11 Corn Bill of 1827 .... 12 The Law calculated to induce great Stocks to be held in Bond ...... 14 This Tendency of the Bill, a reasonable Ground of Appre- hension, on the Part of the Agriculturists - 16 The Opinion, so generally admitted, that a small Excess or Deficiency in the Supply, has a great Effect upon Prices, the Basis on which the Apprehensions, with Regard to the Bill, may be said to be founded - - 19 SECTION II.— On the Effect which the Supply of Corn has upon the Prices of it - - - . 23 What the Agricultural Distress did not proceed from 23 What the Agricultural Distress did proceed from 32 Vlll PAGE Mr Tooke's Theory examined ... 34, The Reverse of Mr Tooke's Theory proved to be the Fact 38 SECTION III. — On the Principle that Corn creates its own Demand ...... 47 The Agriculturists derive their Power of consuming Corn, from the Supply - - ... 48 The Demand for Corn cannot proceed from an Increase of Manufacturing Population ... 49 A Demand for Corn cannot proceed from an Increase in Manufacturing Skill and Capital 50 A Demand for Corn not caused by Foreign Trade 51 The Manner in which Foreign Trade increases National Wealth ...... 60 The Demand for Corn must proceed from the Supply 68 Income multiplies itself, in its Progress to Consumption 71 Land will yield Income to the Community, when it yields none to the Landlord .... 71 Improvements in Machinery do not diminish the Demand for Labour 72 SECTION IV. — On the Principle that all Alterations in the Price of Corn whatever, are Changes in the Value of Money ...... 75 Alterations in the Value of Money, of two Kinds, which may be termed negative and positive - - 76 Negative Alterations, in the Value of Money, less than positive ones ..... 77 A Metallic Currency subject to the same positive Altera- tions, in the Value of Money, as a Paper Currency 80 SECTION V.— On the Importation of Foreign Com 82 Foreign Corn creates its own Demand - - 82 Foreign Corn cannot be sold in Competition with our own 87 A great Demand for Foreign Corn would diminish the Sup- ply we should obtain .... 88 The last Principle only applicable to fully-peopled Coun- tries, and not to North and South America - 90 Gold, from South America, as much a Commodity as Cot- ton and Indigo - .... 92 IX PAGE SECTION VI.— On the Interest of the Working Classes in the Question of the Corn Laws - - 94 The Average Price of Corn of no Importance to the Work- ing Classes .... 94 A permanent Increase in the Supply of Food of no Im- portance to the Working Classes - - 96 SECTION VII.— On the Principle of taxing Foreign Com 102 The defective Principle of the Corn Law of 1815 102 Nature points out that a Tax on Foreign Corn is the best Mode of keeping Prices at a particular Level 103 A Tax on Foreign Corn not paid by the People of this Country, but by the Foreign Consumers of our Manufac- tures ..__-_ lOi The Advantages of a Tax upon Foreign Corn - 106 Mr M'Culloch's Objection to Corn Laws examined 107 SECTION VIII.— On the Corn Bill of 1827 - 110 The Price at which Foreign Corn is allowed to be import- ed, fixes the Value of Money, and adjusts the Contracts of Society - - - - - 110 Sixty Shillings Winchester, or sixty-two Imperial Measure, a proper Average Price, according to the Rule which a Nation ought to observe, in fixing such an Average 111. How the different Classes have been affected by the Changes of Times, examined ... \\q How the Landlords have been affected - 119 How the Farmers have been affected - - 120 How the Owners of Houses and such Property have been affected - - - - - 122 How People in Trade, Annuitants, and People with fixed Salaries, have been affected - - - 122 From a Review of the Situation of all Parties, sixty Shil- lings Winchester Measure, appears to be a fair Average 123 A higher Price than sixty Shdlings Winchester Measure, could not, in all Probability, be obtained by Corn Laws, if it were desired .... 125 No fixed Price could be secured by Prohibition 12 Nor yet could a fixed Price be secured by a fixed Duty b PAGE The Bill, under present Circumstances, founded on right Principles .... - 130 The Bill will prevent Corn rising, in the Event of a great Demand ..... 131 The Bill will practically shut the Ports, when Corn is be- low sixty Shillings Imperial Measure, in the Event of a moderate Demand .... 132 The Bill will not prevent Corn falling below sixty Shil- lings Imperial Measure, in the Event of a limited De- mand, and for which a Remedy is suggested 134 SECTION IX.— On our Systems of Banking and Currency 137 The Corn Bill can only affect Prices, in a3 far as by Means of the Balance of Payments, it affects the Issues of the Country Banks .... 137 The proper Amount of Paper in Circulation, is such an Amount as will preserve Prices at the Level at which our Foreign Trade will balance - - 138 The Balance of Payments, since the War, proves that the Amount of our Currency is not regulated by our Foreign Trade ...-.- 139 The Balance of Payments, since the War, the Effect as well, as Proof of Derangements in the Currency 142 The Balance of Payments, but for other Causes, would have a greater Effect upon our Paper than upon a Me- tallic Currency ... - 143 The Principles upon which Banks issue their Notes 145 The Bank of England - 145 The Demand for the Notes of the Bank, of two Rinds, external and internal - 145 Money lent at Interest, always the Savings of Income 146 The Bank cannot issue to Excess, in supplying the external Demand for its Notes - 147 The Bank can only isssue to Excess, in supplying the in- ternal Demand for Money - 147 The Policy of the Bank Directors, in regulating its Issues 148 The Private Bankers of London deal in Interest Money only ...... 150 The Market Rate of Interest cannot be arbitrarily fixed 151 XI PAGE The Issues of the Bank would fluctuate, were they govern- ed by the Demand for Money, at any given Rate of In- terest ------ 152 The Monopoly of the Bank of England cannot be done away until our System of Currency be otherwise im- proved - - - - - 153 The Country Banks 153 The external Demand for Money, experienced in a Supply and Demand for Bills upon London - - 153 A Banker, as regards his own Security, cannot issue to Excess, in discounting Bills upon London - 155 The Supply and Demand for Bills upon London, may re- sult from the internal and the local, as well as from the general Balance of Payments, or external Demand for Money - 155 The local and internal Balance of Payments quickly arises 156 From the internal and local Balance of Payments, no gene- ral Increase or Diminution of Issues can take place 158 A Supply and Demand for Bills upon London, also gene- rated by the Demand for Interest Money, or the Savings of Income - 158 The Country Bankers are unable to distinguish the Princi- ples upon which their Issues are made - 161 All the Issues of the Country Banks made in supplying the Demand for the Savings of Income - - 162 The Causes of the Fluctuations in the Issues of Country Bank Notes, since the War - - - 163 A Reform in our Systems of Currency and Banking re- quired ----- 166 The Power of issuing Notes at Pleasure, ought to be taken from the Banks, and the Currency be made to regulate itself, without human Interference, on the same Princi- ples as a Metallic Currency - 167 A Change in our System of Currency practicable, without Injury to the existing Banks, which must be dealt with cautiously - 168 Private Banks never enjoy a rational Public Confidence 169 The History of the Panic - - - 169 b 2 xii PAGE The Bubble Mania without Cause or Effect, as regarded the Currency and Banks - - - 179 The second Panic produced by the Letter of Ministers to the Bank, a further Proof of the Necessity of the Reform in the Banking System ... ISO Money, in a Bank, consists in Houses, Lands, Goods, &c. and not Money, and it is a Defect in Principle, that there should ever, from Panic, be a Demand for that which has no Existence - 182 Had our Country Banks been Joint Stock Companies, their Issues would not have fluctuated as they have done - 188 Private Banking should, in Strictness of Principle, be pre- vented by Law - 191 Our Banking System may be sufficiently improved, by an Intermixture of Joint Stock Banks, as in Scotland 192 The Steps taken by Government to improve our Systems of Banking and Currency - - 194 The Branches of the Bank of England - - 195 Alteration of the Bank Charter - 201 The Act for the Withdrawal of all Notes, under the Value of Five Pounds, from Circulation - 216 Appendix. An Account of the State of the Crops, from 1819 to 1824, abstracted from the Farmer's Magazine ; together with the State of the Prices, and Demand of the Country Bankers for Stamps, in each succeeding Year 246 INTRODUCTION. The average price of Corn is always determined by the quantity of Money in circulation ; and Corn Laws are a means of regulating that quantity, so as to produce a particular price. In treating of Currency, it is therefore necessary to begin with Corn ; and the first hundred and thirty-six pages of this Work are chiefly devoted to proving the above proposition, and applying the principles so established to the examination of the proposed system of Corn Laws. The remainder of the Work is devoted to an explanation of the nature of our peculiar system of Currency, and an examination of the steps taken by Government for its im- provement. This may be read separately, by those who wish for information exclu- sively on the part of the subject to which jt refers. The following, by Mr. Joplin, may be had of all JSoohselle?'s. AN ESSAY ON THE GENERAL PRINCIPLES AND PRESENT PRACTICE OF BANKING IN ENGLAND AND SCOTLAND ; with Supplementary Cbservations on the Steps proper to form a Public Bank, and the System on which its Accounts ought to be kept. By T. Joplin. Sixth Edition, with Specimen Plates for Country Bank Notes. 7a. boards. And VIEWS ON THE SUBJECT OF CORN AND CUR- RENCY. By T. Joplin. 4s. Gd. boards. ALSO, I. OBSERVATIONS ON PAPER MONEY, BANKING, AND OVERTRADING. By Sir Henry Parnell, Bart. M.P. Second Edition. Including those parts of the Evidence taken before the Committee of the House of Commons, which explain the Scotch System of Banking. 5s. Gd. boards. II. THE SPEECHES OF THE RIGHT HONOURABLE GEORGE CANNING, corrected by Himself, with a Memoir of his Life. By R. Therry, Esq. of Gray's Inn, Barrister at Law ; illustrated by a Fine Portrait, Fac-similes of his Hand- writing, a Plate exhibitive of his mode of correcting and revising his Speeches, &c. &c. 6 vols. 8vo. 31. 12s. " A Biographical Memoir of the most illustrious Statesman and accomplished Orator of our age, prefixed to the only authentic edition of his Speeches, has far superior claims to notice and credit over any of those ephemeral and hurried Sketches of his Life, which, without authority, and for mere abject purposes of lucre, have been thickly palmed upon the public attention. * * * It embraces the essence and substance of all the truth that (except it should be through the affec- tionate and venerating zeal of personal friends or kindred), will, pro- bably, ever be told of the life of George Canning. * * * Altogether, Mr. Thierry's Memoir, so far as it goes, may be received, like his version of the Speeches, for an authentic and authorised production." — Monthly Review for April. " This excellent and valuable edition of Mr. Canning's Speeches, by Mr. Therry, contains, among other things, a remarkable ^stance of the application of the new process of typolithography. * * * The arrange- ment aud publication of Mr, Canning's Orations (v\ Inch form at once the best monument of his fame and the most indisputable record of his opinions) was a task of much arduonsness as well as importance; and it seems to be extremely well performed." * * * — Times. " Altogether, we regard the publication of this work as a valuable and substantial addition to the stock of British literature, and in a department of British literature too, which, before its appearance, was deficient in works of sterling merit." — Sun. Most favourable Reviews have appeared in all the principal Newspapers and Magazines. VIEWS ON THE CORN BILL 1827, &,-c. Sfc. SECTION I. On the Corn Bill of 1827, the Causes which led to it, and the principles on which it was opposed. Corn Bill of 1815. During the late war, the price of corn was very high, frequently averaging throughout the year upwards of 100s. per quarter; but on the return of peace, it suffered a great fall. In August, 1812, wheat was 155s.; in March, 1813, it was 122s., from which it fell, until, in 1815, it was only 55s. per quarter. This fall produced the greatest distress and ruin among the agriculturists. It was chiefly attributed to the importation of foreign corn, which took place in 1814- ; and as the farmers substantiated, before a com- mittee of the House of Commons, that they could not grow wheat under 80s. a quarter, an act was passed to exclude foreign corn from our markets when our prices were under that level ; but its importation was A admitted, for the purpose of being warehoused under the King's lock, until they reached that point. The Agricultural Distress. — After this law was pass- ed, corn began to rise again. The crop of 1816 was also a failure, by which the rise was accelerated and in- creased. In 1817, the price of wheat averaged 94s. per quarter; and in 1818, it averaged 83s. The prices of 1818, though they may now seem to have been high, were by no means the result of scarcity. The crop of 1817 was an average one in quantity, though not in quality ; but there were added to it the largest importa- tions of foreign corn we ever experienced. The wheat imported, amounted to 1,586,030 quarters. This, how- ever, would not be more than equal to one-eighth of our annual produce, which is estimated to be 12,000,000 of quarters. If, therefore, we assume the inferior qua- lity to have deteriorated the crop of 1817 an eighth, the supply, with the importations of 1818, might be equal to an average one. Neither could there be any superabundance in 1818; for the scarcity of the former year had completely reduced those old stocks, which the more wealthy farmers in ordinary years generally hold. The prices, however, began to fall again, and con- tinued falling for four or five years, as follows : — Wheat averaged in 1818, 83s. per quarter. in 1819, 72s. in 1820, 65s. in 1821, 54s. — - in 1822, 43s. By this fall, the agriculturists were reduced to much greater distress than before. It affected the highest as well as the lowest — the landlord as well as the tenant; many of both were ruined, and all were injured. The misery it caused, indeed, was so great and unpre- cedented, and continued so long, that it was em- phatically termed, and has since been familiarly called, the agricultural distress. Causes assigned for the Agricultural Distress. — The cause of this fail was quite inexplicable. Many reasons were assigned, and conjectures made upon the subject, but none were satisfactory. Some thought it must have been caused by the importations of 1818; but for this there was manifestly no foundation. The ports were shut in February, 1819; and no material fall took place until after the importations had ceased. Prices kept up, and there was a brisk demand during the whole time the imported corn was brought into the market. It was by others believed to have resulted from the Bank of England having withdrawn its one-pound notes from circulation, and having returned to cash payments. There are two things undoubtedly in the composition of price : — the commodity sold, and the money paid for it ; and if money be taken out of cir- culation, while the quantity of commodities produced is the same, the price of them must fall; for the same amount of money cannot possibly be had for them : but in order to this there must be an actual reduction in the quantity of money in circulation. It makes no difference whether the bank, at any time, returns to cash payments, or to non-payments in cash, provided no difference in either case be made in the amount of money current — prices are not effected by the magic of a name : and it appeared that the bank had put more gold into circulation, by two or three millions, than it had taken notes out. The effect, therefore, of its returning to cash payments, was not to diminish (so far as its operations went), but to increase the amount of the circulating medium, and this could a -2 not be the cause of the fall of prices which had oc- curred. Causes assigned for the Agricultural Distress by the Committee of the House of Commons. — These various conjectures, however, ended in a committee being ap- pointed in 1821, by the House of Commons, to in- vestigate the subject. They sat for some time, ex- amined a great mass of evidence, and finally made (what all must admit to have been) an able report. In this report, after examining the different causes to which the fall had been attributed by different per- sons, and dissenting in a great measure from them, the committee state, that, they consider the fall to have been chiefly produced by a glut caused by super- abundant seasons; and the following are the reasons for that conclusion : — " In the article of corn there is one consideration to * be constantly borne in mind, most material to ena- * ble the house and the country to arrive at a sound ' and safe conclusion on this important subject, namely, { that the price of corn fluctuates more than that of any i other commodity of extensive consumption, in propor- c tion to any excess or deficiency in the supply. *' The cause which produces this greater suscep- * tibility in the corn market, cannot be better explain- f ed by your committee than in the following extract f from the answers of Mr Took, one of the witnesses c who were particularly examined upon this point. * Why should a different principle apply to corn than ' to any other general production ? Because a fall in ' the price of any other commodity not of general ne- f cessity, brings the article within the reach of a greater ' number of individuals; whereas in the case of corn, 1 the average quantity is sufficient for the supply of every " individual : all beyond that is an absolute depression " of the market for a great length of time ; and a sue- " cession of two or three abundant seasons must evident- " ly produce an enormously inconvenient accumulation. " Is there not a greater consumption of corn when it is " cheap, than when it is dear, as to quantity ? There " may be, and possibly must be, a greater consump- " tion ; but it is very evident that if the population was " adequately fed, the increased consumption from " abundance can amount to little more than waste; and " this would be a very small proportion to the whole " excess of a good harvest or two. " In the substance of this reasoning your committee " entirely concur; and it appears to them that it can- " not be called in question without denying either that " corn is an article of general necessity and universal " consumption amongst the population of this country, " or that the demand is materially varied by the amount " of the supply. This latter proposition, except within " very narrow limits, altogether disproportioned to the " fluctuations in production, is not warranted by ex- " perience. The general truth of the observation re- " mains, therefore, unaltered by any small degree of " waste on the one side, or of economy on the other, " neither of which are sufficient to counteract the effect " which opinion and speculation must have upon price, " when it is felt how little demand is increased by redun- " dancy, or checked by scantiness of supply." Principles laid down by the Committee for the future Regtdation of our Corn Laws. — From a principle so clear- ly laid down, and so important, it was natural to ex- pect that the committee would arrive at some practical conclusion, with a view to the guidance of our future policy in regulating our corn laws, and they go on to 6 state : — " In order to apply this leading principle as af- " fecting the trade in corn to the present state of " this country, and of our corn laws, your committee " will assume, what they believe is not far from our " actual situation, that the annual produce of com, the " growth of the United Kingdom, is upon an average " crop, about equal to our present annual consumption ; " and that with such an average crop the present im- " port prices, below which foreign corn is by law " altogether excluded, are fully sufficient, more espe- " cially since the change in the value of our money, " to secure to the British grower the complete raono- " poly of the home market. So long as he retains that " monopoly, the fluctuation of prices in that market will, " it must be obvious, range between the maximum at " which foreign corn is admitted, or (owing to the " mode of ascertaining the averages) some temporary " price not much beyond it, and the minimum to which " that price may be reduced by a very abundant harvest, " or a succession of such harvests until British corn falls " below the price of some foreign market, and finds a " vent in exportation." That is to say, so long as we, by our corn laws, keep our prices much above the level of Europe we shall be constantly subject to these fluctuations ; for the only way to get rid of the superabundance of a good harvest or two, is by exportation. Or, in other words, if we keep our prices at 60s. while the average of Europe is 40s. our prices must fall below 40s., say to 30s. or 35s., before any surplus can be exported, and we shall be constantly subject to such falls when ever a good har- vest or two occurs in succession. But if the average of Europe were increased to 60s., or ours reduced to 40s., or some other common level, we might get rid of our surplus by a comparatively small reduction in price. There can be no greater evil to a country than fluc- tuation in prices. A great fall generally begins with throwing the manufacturing classes out of employment, and ends in ruining the agriculturists. It sweeps like a pestilence over the whole face of the country, and no sound-minded man can contemplate, for a moment, the continuance of any system of laws calculated to give rise to such effects. Having the permanent welfare of the country for their object, the duty of parliament under this view of the subject was therefore obvious, namely, to do away the existing laws, and to bring the prices of this country to a level with those of other countries as soon as possible, or to bring them as near- ly so, as the circumstances of the country in other respects would permit, and this the committee recom- mended. It suggested " to parliament, as a matter highly de- " serving of their future consideration, whether a trade " in corn, constantly open to all nations of the world, " and subject only to such a fixed duty as might com- " pensate to the grower the loss of that encouragement «' which he received during the late war, from the ob- " stacles thrown in the way of free importation, is not " as a permanent system preferable to that state of " law by which the corn trade is now regulated." Report in Unison with Public Opinion. — This re- port was drawn up by Mr Huskisson, but we believe there never was a report, of which the views were less exclusively those of the party who drew it. The opi- nions it expressed were the views of the committee at large, and on this particular point became at once the opinions of all intelligent men. 8 Nor was it necessary to assume with Mr Tooke, that the population in ordinary years were adequately fed, and could not increase their consumption, in order to believe that (our home supply being on the average equal to our consumption) an abundant harvest or two would produce a great fall in prices, which could only be relieved by exportation. Mr Ricardo puts the ques- tion more reasonably in his work " On Protection to Agriculture" : — " When the quantity," he observes, " of corn at market, from a succession of good crops, is abun- dant, it falls in price, not in the same proportion as the quantity exceeds the ordinary demand, but con- siderably more. The demand for corn with a given po- pulation must necessarily be limited ; and though it may be and undoubtedly is true that, when it is abundant and cheap, the quantity consumed will be increased, yet it is equally certain its aggregate value will be di- ' minished. Suppose fourteen millions of quarters be ' the ordinary demand for England, and that from a * very abundant season twenty-one millions are pro- { duced : if the remuneration price were £3 per quar- ( ter, and the value of the fourteen millions of quar- ' ters be £Vl, 000,000, there cannot be the least doubt ' that the twenty-one millions of quarters would be of 1 very considerably less value than ^4-2,000,000. No i principle can be better established than that a small 1 excess of quantity operates very powerfully upon price. c This is true of all commodities, but of none can it be ' so certainly asserted as of corn, which forms theprin- « cipal article of the food of the people. The princi- ' pie I believe has never been denied by those who f have turned their attention to this subject." A little further on he again observes : — " This, how- " ever, is I think certain, that the aggregate value of " an abundant crop will always be considerably less " than the aggregate value of an average one, and that " the aggregate value of a very limited crop will be " considerably greater than that of an average crop. " If 100,000 loaves were sold every day in London, " and the supply should all at once be reduced to " 50,000 per day, can any one doubt that the price of " each loaf would be more than doubled ? The rich " would continue to consume precisely the same num- " ber of loaves, although the price was tripled or " quadrupled. If, on the other hand, 200,000 loaves, " instead of 100,000, were daily exposed for sale, could " they be disposed of without a fall of price farexceed- " ing the proportion of the excess of quantity ? Why is " water without value, but because of its abundance ?" Mr Samuel Turner, who wrote a very able Pamphlet in reply to Mr Ricardo, states in answer to the above : — " It is impossible not to admire the ingenuity with " which Mr Ricardo has endeavoured, in this section, " to shew that the evils, under which the agriculturists '* are now suffering, have proceeded from superabun- " dant crops, and not from any political causes. J be- " lieve that he is right in his position, that the rise or fall " of prices, particularly on articles of a comparatively " perishable nature, such as agricultural produce, is not " regulated exactly by the ratio of the super abundant or " deficient quantity raised and brought to market." — Considerations, #c. Page 21. Thus Mr Turner agrees in the principle, but differs as to the degree only, in which a good harvest would depress prices; but he does not give any sufficient rea- son for such difference of opinion. Mr Malthus, who, in an article in the Quarterly B 10 Review on the Report of the Committee of 1821, to- tally denied the fact assumed by Mr Tooke, that the population in ordinary years were adequately fed; is, notwithstanding, of the same opinion as to the effect of a plentiful year in depressing prices, when our home supply is, on the average, equal to the demand. He had promulgated the doctrine seven years before. — " The whole effect of restrictions on importations," he observes, " is to stint the supply of the general market, " and to raise, not to lower, the price of corn ; nor is " it in their nature permanently to secure what is of " more consequence, steadiness of ■price. During the " period, indeed, in which the country is obliged re- " gularly to import foreign grain, a high duty upon it is " effectual in steadily keeping up the price of home corn, " and giving a decided stimulus to agriculture. But " as soon as the average supply becomes equal to the " average consumption, this steadiness ceases ; a plenti- " Jul year will then occasion a sudden fall ; and from " the average prices of the home produce being so much " higher than in the other markets of Europe, such a " fall can be but little relieved by exportation." — Ob- servations on the Corn Laws, P. 25, published in 1814. The Edinburgh Review maintained the principle still more strongly, with its usual ability ; and there was hardly a writer, either on one side or the other, that did not admit it more or less. Jn short, public opinion, by which I mean the opinion of the most in- telligent portion of the public, could not be moie strongly expressed in favour of any principle, than the principle that our home supply being equal to the demand, a good harvest or two must produce a great fall in prices, unless the market could be relieved of the excess by ex- portation. 11 Views of Government directed to promote such an Alteration in our Corn Laws as the Report recommended. — Hence it is reasonable to suppose that the views of government would be directed to bringing about such a reform in our corn laws, as would give greater free- dom to the trade in foreign corn, and have the effect of bringing the prices of Europe and this country more upon a level, either by raising the prices in other countries to our level, or reducing our prices more upon a level with theirs. Some alteration, in 1S22, was made in the law of 1815; but as it still excluded foreign corn until the prices in the home market reached 80s., the law, in its altered form, never came into operation as regarded wheat, and we shall not stop to examine it. For the purpose of carrying their views into effect, and in order to obtain the best information that was to be had on the subject at its fountain head, ministers sent in 1825, Mr Jacob, a gentleman remarkably well qualified for the task, to Poland, Prussia, and those countries from whence corn is chiefly imported, to as- certain the quantity that this country could be supplied with, and at what prices. By the instructions given to Mr Jacob, it appeared that ministers were desirous to render the trade as free as was consistent with maintaining prices at the level of about 60s. to 64-s. for wheat by our averages. During the session of 1826, Mr Jacob's report was presented to parliament. It was a most able docu- ment, and shewed that the foreign supplies which we could obtain at any price, however great, were quite trifling compared with our own growth. That the prices in the Baltic had always been governed by the prices in this country, — that they had risen as ours had b 2 12 risen, and vice versa ; that no great supplies could be obtained at low prices, and that a duty often or twelve shillings per quarter would amply afford the protec- tion required. Government were consequently desirous to adopt a duty of ten shillings and throw open the trade ; and they obtained the consent of parliament before the ses- sion expired, that the corn then in bond should be set free on these terms. Had this system been adopted permanently, it would have been proper with reference to the principles on which it was founded, to have also given a bounty of ten shillings on exportation. This, while it would have kept our prices ten shillings above the level of other countries, would have placed the trade on the footing of perfect freedom. Exportation from the ef- fects of a glut would in that case as soon have taken place as had no duty been imposed; while it is pro- bable that the duty received would have more than paid the bounty which in abundant seasons would have been granted. But before the next session, govern- ment altered the principle and rate of duty at which they proposed foreign corn should be admitted. The Corn Bill of 1827.— In the bill of last ses- sion, instead of ten shillings, the duty proposed was 20s. with a varying scale, calculated to keep prices stea- dy at about 60s. Winchester, or 62s. imperial measure. It was assumed that corn could be imported at 40s., Winchester measure, and that a duty of 20s. would keep it of course at 60s. ; while for every shilling that the average price was below 60s., the duty was to be increased 2s., and for every shilling that it was above 60s., it was to be reduced 2s. per quarter, until all duty ceased, with the exception of a trifling one of Is. perqr. IS The following table will shew the operation of the proposed scale of duties, imperial measure. The im- perial is a fraction larger than the Winchester quarter; and it appears that this difference in measure is nearly expressed by 2s. difference in price ; and as imperial measure has become the standard measure, we shall hereafter refer to it exclusively, without Winchester be expressed. This scale refers also to wheat only. Si- milar scales were proposed for other grain, but it is not necessary to refer to them ; for the principles applica- ble to wheat, are applicable to corn generally. Average Price. Measure Imperial Duty. Price left to the Importer of Fo - reign IMieat, after Payment of the Duty. S. S. S, S. s. If the price per quarter be ? 72 and upwarc s .. . 1 .. • 71 ... ... 71 and under 72.. . 2.. . 69 up to 70 .. ... 70 ... ... 71.. . 4.. .66 ... 67 .. ... 69 .. ... 70.. . 6.. .63 ... 64 .. ... 68 .. .. 69.. . 8.. .60 ... 61 .. ... 67 ... .. 68.. . 10.. .57 ... 58 .. ... 66 .. .. 67.. . 12.. .54 ... 55 .. ... 65 .. ... 66.. .14.. .51 ... 52 .. ... 64 .. ... 65.. .16.. .48 ... 49 .. ... 63 .. ... 64.. . 18.. .45 ... 46 Assumed point of protection ?62 •• ... 63.. .20.. .42 ... 43 ... ... 61 .. ... 62.. .'22.. .39 ... 40 ... ... 60 .. ... 61 .. .24.. .36 ... 37 ... ... 59 .. ... 60.. .26.. .33 ... 34 ... ... 58 .. ... 59.. .28.. .30 ... 31 ... ... 57 .. ... 58.. .30.. • 27 ... 28 ... ... 56 .. ... 57.. .32.. .24 ... 25 ... ... 55 .. ... 56.. .84.. .21 ... 22 The Law does not provide for relieving Glut by Ex- jjortation, as recommended by the Committee. — It being assumed that our prices will be kept by this law at about 20s. above the import price, as it is not proposed that any bounty shall be granted upon ex- portation, it may also be assumed that in the event of a glut from abundant harvests, the surplus could not be exported with a profit, until the price fell to 30s. or 35s. — a fall which could not take place without involv- ing our agriculturists in as great a state of ruin and misery as they have yet experienced. It may there- fore be inferred that the idea of getting rid of glut by exportation has been given up, and our agriculturists may be expected to feel themselves in that respect in as dangerous a situation as ever, however necessary in other points of view they may feel the law to be to them. The Law calcidated to induce great Stocks to be held in Bond. — The law, besides, is calculated to have another very important effect; and in the event of a scarcity an obviously desirable one. It is calculated to induce spe- culators to lay up great stocks in bond, ready to let out upon the market when any rise shall take place. The great fluctuations which have occurred in the price of corn, and the great premium secured by the law, from even a small rise in price, cannot fail to lead to much speculation under it. By the evidence taken last session by the Committee of the Lords on the prices of foreign corn, it appears that it can be warehoused at Hull, and trimmed and turned, for about 2s. per quarter per annum, and in London for about 3s. 6d. It is well known, also, that if corn be kiln-dried, and be put into a warehouse in good condition, and be properly turned and taken care 15 of, it will keep five years without any deterioration in either quantity or quality. Mr Dimsdale, an eminent corn-factor, was asked by the above committee, what profit would be sufficient to induce a merchant to hold corn in bond ; and he stated from 4 to 15 per cent, according to circumstances. Let us then take the high- est profit of 1 5 per cent., and see what rise in the course of five years would be sufficient to induce the speculators to lay in a stock, contemplating the possi- bility of his having to keep it that time. We must presume that he would lay in his stock at a proper time, when the prices were below 62s., rather than when they were above it. Suppose, consequently, he purchased at 40s. in the warehouse. He would likewise calculate upon a rise in the first year, as soon as in the last; but in his estimate would assume it to take place •on the average in two years and a half. He would naturally also hold it in the out-ports rather than in London, on account of the cheapness of warehouse rent, &c. In two years and a half, therefore, the expence incurred at 2s. would be 5s. per quarter; 15 per cent, on 40s. for that time would be 15s. ; — in all, 20s. Now to obtain this profit, a rise of 7s. only would be necessary, while a rise of 5s. would leave a profit of 10 per cent., and a rise of 3s. a profit of about 4 per cent. If the rise took place before the two and a half years expired, the profit would be greater ; but if it took place after the two and a half years had expired, it would be less, so that the one chance would balance the other. No merchant, looking at the great rises of price which have occurred in much shorter periods of time without any very apparent deficiencies, would consider, if he laid in his stock at a low price, that he would incur the remotest risk of a loss in such a speculation ; 16 while he would probably calculate that his chances of gain would be much more considerable than we have estimated them to be. It is natural, therefore, to con- clude, that when the law is passed, great stocks will be held under it. This Tendency of the Bill a reasonable Ground of Apprehension on the Part of the Agriculturists. — In this tendency of the bill the agriculturists saw much to apprehend. If the stock which might be accumulated would only be let out in an actual scarcity, it would be a provision happily made ; but if it should be let into the market without a scarcity, by manage- ment of the corn-merchants, or by the presumed ef- fect of a small deficiency in producing a rise much greater than the ratio of such deficiency, by the opi- nion of all the best informed writers on these subjects, the consequence would be the most ruinous possible. On these grounds, therefore, the bill was strenuously opposed, and in the Lords was eventually lost ; though ministers intend to bring it forward again next ses- sion. The average price of 62s. did not appear to be much objected to. No attempt was seriously made to obtain more than 4s. above it ; and ministers, in their instruc- tions to Mr Jacob, laid before parliament, assumed from 60s. to 64s., that is from 62s. to 66s. imperial measure, as the prices to which it might be proper to carry protection ; giving by that means the license of their authority for a difference of opinion to that ex- tent. It perhaps may be said, that the bill itself provided against the whole of the corn being let suddenly out; that a great many hundred holders, living in different towns, could not act in concert, and would have differ- 17 ent opinions ; that the slightest rise would consequently induce some to take their corn out of bond, and thus supply any small deficiency that might occasion it, without bringing any overwhelming supply into the market; that therefore the agriculturists showed a want of proper calculation in considering the effect of the bill, and that their fears respecting it were quite unreasonable. People with much at stake, acting under the influ- ence of fear, are not often good calculators ; and are seldom very reasonable. But we must confess that it does not appear that their fears were so totally unreason- able : they must have perceived that if speculators- laid in any stocks at all, it would be on the calculation of a rise without any positive scarcity. A scarcity occurs only once in ten or fifteen years, and is too remote and uncertain to be speculated upon. Great stocks, there- fore, would not be laid in, except with a chance of their coming into the market, though there should be no great deficiency. Nor will it be difficult to show that these apprehensions were well founded. Sup- pose on the verge of harvest time, very bad weather should occur, and threaten its destruction, and prices should rise a few shillings. Let us then suppose that the weather should suddenly take upg and do away in a great measure the apprehensions which had been enter- tained ; a re-action would no doubt be immediately ex- perienced; — a fall would at once take place, greater probably than the rise had been. But the averages by which the duties would be payable must have been pre- viously struck, — the fall would not affect them until a a week at least after it had occurred. This would leave ample time for the merchants to enter their stock at the Custom House ; and there cannot be any doubt 18 that in such a case, let the stock be ever so large, the whole would be thrown upon the market, though a single bushel might not be wanted. But it is not ne- cessary to imagine an extreme case of this kind. If it be true that a small deficiency has a great effect upon prices, a small deficiency would bring the whole stock on hand into the market, though it were five times the amount of such deficiency ; for as the speculators need never pay their duties until after they have ascertained by their beginning to fall, that prices have risen to their highest point, the effect of a rise under the pro- posed law always must be, to suspend all entries at the Custom House, either from ships or warehouses, until prices' have risen as high as they will go. Corn will be entered for consumption in a falling market, but never in a rising one. When the holders perceive by comparison of this week's prices with the last, that this week's average will be higher than the last, it is obvi- ous that they will wait and take advantage of the rise. Hence if a small deficiency should have a great effect in raising prices, the supply from the warehouses could hardly fail to be greater than such deficiency, and the market be depressed accordingly. By this the home grower would be injured, while the speculators,, by getting their corn out at a very low duty, might still gain considerably, and would immediately begin a fresh speculation on the same principles. Their capital be- ing set at liberty, and the low prices preventing further importation, except for the purpose of warehousing, they would be the only buyers of foreign corn in the market, and would immediately begin to purchase. This they would go on doing until the market had re- covered, and some small deficiency should raise prices sufficiently to enable them to bring their stock out. again 19 with profit to themselves, and with the same injury to the British farmer as before. Entertaining, therefore, the belief that our average supplies are fully equal to our consumption, — that our corn laws, however necessary to the agricultural inte- rests, have placed our prices upon a dangerous pinna- cle, from which the least excess of supply will drive them, and that the bill in its present shape could hard- ly fail, in their view, to bring supplies into the market which were not wanted, by which it would be kept con- stantly depressed, we cannot be surprised at the strong opposition it encountered from the friends of that interest in parliament. The amendment first proposed by the Duke of Wellington to Mr Huskisson was evidently intended to prevent too much corn being entered for consumption at once; and it is not at all improbable, should the bill pass into a law, that it may be necessa- ry to adopt some regulation founded upon the princi- ple of that proposition. The Opinion so generally admitted, that a small Excess or Deficiency in the Supply has a great Effect upon Prices, — the Basis on which the Apprehensions with regard to the Bill may be said to be founded. — If it should not appear, that our home supplies are equal to our consumption ; but, on the contrary, that we should annually import large quantities of foreign corn, it does not appear to us, that this would in any great degree remove the objections to the bill. In such case the prices would sooner recover from any great fall produced by an over-supply from the warehouses ; as the fall would have the effect of keeping for a time all further foreign supplies out of the market. But the speculator would calculate upon this, and only proceed the more boldly in accumulat- c 2 20 ing a fresh stock in the warehouse, ready to overwhelm the market as soon as ever it recovered, so as to admit the stock being thrown upon it again with a profit. The great objection, therefore, to the bill may be said to rest on the inducement to speculate held out by it, founded upon the opinion that a small excess or deficiency in the supply of corn, will produce a great effect upon the price of it ; and if the agriculturists be mistaken on this latter point, they are mistaken in com- mon with all the most intelligent writers on these sub- jects. Mr Ricardo says "It is impossible to read Mr " Tooke's able evidence before the agricultural com- " mittee of 1821, without being struck with the sur- " prising effects which an excess of supply produces on " price; and for which, in fact, there is no effectual " remedy but a reduction of quantity." — On PROTEC- TION to Agriculture, P. 75. " It must be recollected," observes the Edinburgh Review, " that a comparatively small excess or defi- " ciency of the usual supply of the prime necessaries of " life, causes a very great fluctuation of prices." — No. 72, P. 457. " There is nothing in political economy more cer- " tain," observes the Westminster Review, ** than that " a variation in the supply of such a commodity as " corn produces a much more than proportional va- " riation in price: a position that Mr Tooke, who has " explained so many of the complicated phenomena of " prices, has shewn to be as conformable to ob- " served facts as it is to sound reasoning." — No. 6, P. 410. Mr Tooke, it must also be remembered, did not confine himself to delivering his opinion to the com- -21 miltee of 1821; but, in 1823, substantiated the prin- ciple he had laid down, by publishing an ingenious work, in which he shewed that all the great fluctuations which had occurred in the last thirty years, might be traced to the operation of the same principle. The principles of this publication have been generally ap- proved, and it may now be considered a standard work upon the subject. Col. Torrens speaks of it, and of the principles it establishes, as follows, in the Preface to the third edition (published so recently as last year) of his work on the " Corn Trade" — a work universally admired, even by those who may question the truth of its principles: — " To this edition have been added some facts and " reasonings originally published by the author, in " 1816, in a ' Letter addressed to the Earl of Liver- " pool, on Agricultural Distress.' These principally " relate to the refutation, by a comparison of the ** prices of corn and of silver, of the opinion that the " fluctuations in the prices of agricultural produce, " which occurred during and subsequent to the war, " were occasioned by variations in the value of the " currency; and to the statement of the doctrine^ that " redundant supply reduces prices in a ratio greater " than that of the excess. It is a gratifying confirma- " tion of the correctness of these principles, that, al- " though he had not seen the publication in which " they first appeared, one of our ablest writers on " questions of Political Economy, by an original pro- " cess of his own, arrived at similar conclusions. Mr " Tooke, in his work on ' High and Low Prices,' one " of the most able contributions which have of late " years been made to the science, has established these " principles by an ample induction from curious and " valuable facts, and has explained in a masterly man- " ner their extensive influence on the varying pheno- *' mena of the market." Hence it is evident that nothing could be more ge- nerally acknowledged, or more firmly established in public opinion, than the principle, that a small excess or deficiency in the supply has a great effect upon the price of corn. This being the case, nothing could be more reasonable than the apprehensions entertained with regard to the proposed bill, by those who represented the agricultural interest in parliament. Even those who did not analyze the grounds of their hostility with the same precision as others, feeling the prices of corn to be suspended on so frail a thread, might naturally wish to keep danger at a distance. If we see any thing to alarm us, we seldom calculate how near we can go to it without being hurt, but rather how far we can keep from it ; if we have the power, our natural im- pulse is to place ourselves out of the reach of acci- dent. No man voluntarily brings danger to his door if he can help it, whether in the shape of magazines of corn, or magazines of any other description. 23 SECTION II. On the Effect which the Supply of Corn has upon the Prices of it. Having, in the last section, explained the nature of the proposed bill — the premium it will hold out to lay- ing up corn in bond, and then taking it out again on any slight rise; and having further explained, that so long as it is the received opinion that a small excess, or deficiency, in the supply, will produce a great effect upon prices, this tendency of the bill must prove a great objection to it ; we will now proceed to examine this principle, upon which the objection chiefly rests, and which may be termed Mr Tooke's principle, viz. — that a small excess, or deficiency, in the supply, is cal- culated to produce a much greater effect upon the price of corn, than other commodities. This principle, like most others in political eco- nomy that have taken root of late years, is the very reverse of the fact. Not only is corn not liable to be affected by any small deficiency or redundancy in the supply, but it is a striking exception to all other com- modities, in the very great extent to which the supply will vary without materially affecting its price ; and this we have no doubt we shall be able very clearly to demonstrate. What the Agricultural distress did not proceed from. — With this view it will be proper, first, to show, that the agricultural distress did not proceed from the superabundance of a good harvest or two, and also what it did proceed from, in order that whatever truth there may be in Mr Tooke's principle, it may be seen 24 that it derives no authority whatever from the state of things it was adopted to account for. In the first place then, it did not proceed from the superabundance of a good harvest or two, for this very sufficient reason, viz. : that there was no such super- abundance. There is nothing in general with regard to which more vague and general estimates are formed, than with respect to the productiveness of the crops. Ge- nerally speaking, every crop, which is not strikingly de- ficient, is thought by the mass of the public to be abun- dant, and no farmer can, with any accuracy, say what his crop will yield until he has tried it. The best ge- neral account of the result of the crop of each year, published, is to be found in the Farmer's Magazine, published quarterly in Edinburgh. It was commenced in the year 1800. Returns are obtained by it from the most intelligent agriculturists in all parts of the king- dom, and we should imagine, that so far as accuracy is attainable, by the general observation and enquiries of parties most competent to make them, the accounts in the Farmer's Magazine may be depended upon. The crops which must have produced the agricultu- ral distress, had superabundant seasons been the cause of it, were those of 1818, 1819, and 1820. The fall commenced in 1819, when the crop of 1818 would be in progress of consumption, and the report of the com- mittee was made in June, 1821. The following is the account of these crops, from the abovementioned pub- lication : — " 1818. Wheat : although the stack yards are cer- " tainly defective in bulk, the produce in grain will be " found fully equal to an average crop." " 1819. Wheat: in shallow hot soils, and in more 25 " early situations, the grain is in many respects of an " inferior description. In districts where crops do not " fully ripen but in very favourable seasons, and on " deep moist soils, the produce good and abundant. " In Scotland, the crop fully equal to an average one." " 1820. Taking all kinds of grain together, there " can be no doubt that the produce is at least equal " in quantity to that of seasons of medium fertility. " Wheat especially, is represented as an abundant " crop, though it has suffered in some situations from " mildew, and from being laid by heavy rains in the " early part of the autumn ; but in point of quality it " is perhaps rather inferior to the produce of the for- " mer years, even where no reason is assigned. The " want of heat during the ripening is perhaps sufficient " to account for this." From these accounts we may conclude that in 1818, wheat was about an average crop; in 1819, something less than an average; and that in 1820 only, was it a particularly abundant crop. Let us next compare this statement with the following account of the fall. The crop of one year, it being remembered, chiefly comes into consumption and affects the prices in the year fol- lowing. 1818, average price 83s. 1819, average price 72s. fall lis. 1820, average price 65s. fall 7s. 1821, average price 54s. fall lis. In this statement of the fall we see nothing corre- sponding with the state of the crops. Had the prices of each year been affected by the supply alone, they ought to have remained stationary after the crop of 1818; ought to have risen after that of 1819, and ought to have fallen again after that of 1820; but o on the whole there ought to have been no material fall whatever. All general estimates, however, of the state of the crop from a cursory view of it, must be more or less imperfect. The only way to know the state of it with accuracy is by some plan of gauging it. This the emi- nent house of Messrs Cropper, Benson, and Co. of Liverpool, were convinced of, and have adopted a plan for that purpose. They send out persons every year throughout all the best corn districts in the kingdom, and obtain samples, upon particular principles, of the whole crop. These they dry, measure, and weigh, and thus obtain a knowledge of the state of the crop with a precision never before equalled. It is very much to be*regretted that our government do not adopt some such plan. There is no better mode of putting down false theories than by true facts. The follow- ing result of these surveys for six years from 1815, their partner, Mr Hodgson, furnished to the Commit- tee of 182], but the importance of the evidence was overlooked at the time. It may perhaps be proper to explain, as it gives additional value to the account, by confirming the probability of its accuracy, that their surveys were commenced five or six years before 1815, but they had not got them settled upon right princi- ples, and would not give the Committee the result of them before 1815, because they were not to be depend- ed on. 1815, — 37 Winchester bushels per acre — quality good. 1816, — 25 ditto — very bad in quality; nearly rotten. 1817, — 33 ditto — quality not very good. 1818, — 32 ditto — quality very good. 1819, — 27 ditto — quality very good, but not so good as the year before. 27 1820, — 37 Winchester bushels peracre — sound and dry, but not so good as the two preceding years. These surveys are taken in the best wheat districts. They consider 32 bushels an average crop, from which about one-sixth would have to be deducted to obtain the actual produce. ■Comparing the accounts of the crops of 1818, 1819, and 1820, with those from the Farmer's Magazine, they will be found to nearly correspond : — Mess. Cropper &■ Co.'s Account. Account in Farmer's Magazine. 1318, — yielded 32 bushels, An average crop, which is an aver- age crop. 1819, — 27 or 5-32 below An average in Scotland, but an average. not in England. 1820, — 37 or 5-32 above an An abundant crop, average. The three crops together, by Messrs Cropper and Co.'s account, produced 96 bushels, which were 32 bushels on the average, or three average crops. Hence it must be evident that there was no superabundance in those years, — a fact which the agreement of the two accounts puts beyond the reach of doubt, and totally negatives the supposition that superabundant harvests produced the fall in question. There is another mode of accounting for the falls and rises in prices which have occurred since the peace, to which it may be proper also to advert, namely, that the high prices attracted capital to land, and produced an over-supply by an excess of cultivation, and that this caused low prices, which, in their turn, checked it, and brought about high prices, by the land being in consequence again thrown out of cultivation. Those who know any thing of farming must know that there d2 28 is not the slightest foundation, in fact, for this hypo- thesis : they must know that land is not taken into and thrown out of cultivation in any such manner ; that crops are raised by a course of husbandry that cannot be changed with such facility ; and that, in point of fact, there is quite as much land in cultivation now as there was when prices during the war were at the high- est level they ever attained. No doubt, by the aid of skill and capital, land has been reclaimed and made highly productive, which be- fore produced hardly any thing. This, however, was less the consequence of an increased price of corn than of an improved system of agriculture. But the mere fact at any rate, of throwing poor pasturage land into tillage, does not immediately add any great amount of produce to our supply ; for if bad land, upon which cattle were before kept, be taken into tillage, good land must be thrown out of tillage, in order to sustain the cat- tle. The rich will not want their usual supply of beef, because poor land is taken into cultivation, if they pay the more for it. Poor land, in short, is seldom taken into cultivation, except for the purpose of its being laid down in grass again. The crop pays for the clear- ing of the ground ; but generally the improvement of the pasturage is as much the object in view as the crop which may be obtained. Any surplus that may be yielded by it is trifling. The theory, therefore, of the supply being varied by poor lands being taken into and thrown out of cultivation, is a mere closet speculation, which is not true, and could produce no great effect if it were. We have stated also that the agricultural distress was not produced by the Bank of England returning to cash payments, or by Mr Peel's bill, as it was fa- 29 miliarly called, inasmuch as the amount of money in cir- culation was not reduced by the measure. The Bank put more gold into circulation than it took notes out ; and in 1822, when wheat averaged only 43s., the cir- culation in gold and Bank of England notes was two or three millions greater than it was in 1818, when prices averaged 83s. per quarter. Many persons, not- withstanding this, attributed the agricultural distress to Mr Peel's bill, and do to this day. It would not, however, have produced such effects, even had it diminished the amount of the circulation in the district of the Bank of England. That district is confined to Middlesex and Lancashire — only two coun- ties of the United Kingdom. In the rest, the notes of the Bank of England and gold are hardly ever seen ;* but so far as money affects the price of corn, it must be the money received for it. It is out of all reason to suppose that the notes of a bank or money can affect the price of corn, when they are never seen by those who sell it. That description of money must affect its price which the sellers get for it, and not that which they do not get for it. Middlesex and Lancashire are no doubt the two most populous counties in the kingdom ; but assuming their population to be two millions and a half, and that they consume more in proportion to their population by one-third than the inhabitants of other counties, their consumption will amount to about one-sixth of the United Kingdom ; and the effect of the circulation of the Bank of England upon the price of corn, must be in that and no greater proportion: while the notes * Now that the one-pound notes of the country bankers are going out of circulation, sovereigns are obtained to supply their place, and are more common. 30 of the banks in the different other parts of the king- dom, must regulate the price of corn to the extent of the other five-sixths of the quantity consumed. It may be said, indeed, that the issues of the Bank of England in gold and paper are as great as that of all the rest of the banks in the kingdom put together; but it must also be taken into account, that London is not only the centre of payment for all sales of property, and higher transactions in commerce, which have no im- mediate connexion with consumption, but it is the centre of payment for other countries of the world ; and what can our prices have to do with money em- ployed in settling an account between a merchant in France and one in America ; or between parties, one of whom converts his land into stock, and the other his stock into land ?* There must always be a certain sum of money suspended in circulation for such pay- ments, independent of the money employed in pro- moting consumption ; and of this, which may be term- ed the money in abstract circulation, the circulation of the bank chiefly consists ; whereas the circulation of the country banks is more employed in promoting con- sumption, or in consumptive circulation, and it is the money so employed that affects prices. But those who contend for the paramount influence of the Bank of England circulation, say that it governs the circulation of the country banks; — that if the Bank of England increases its issues, the country banks do the same, and vice versa. This, however, is not the fact. It was formerly the opinion ; but since the ac- counts have been so kept at the stamp-office as to shew * A great many of these transactions are settled by cheques upon bankers ; but then a great portion of the notes of the Bank of England lies at all times in the bankers' hands, to meet the payment of cheques. 31 the progress of the country bank circulation, this opi- nion is proved to have been erroneous. The following table gives the circulation of the Bank of England on the one hand, and the amount in value of Bank Notes for which Stamps were issued to the Country Bankers on the other, from 1813 to 1822 in- clusive. Stamps issued to Country Circulation of the Bank of Banks. England. 1813— ^£12,615,509 .£24,023,569 1814— 10,773,375 26,901,422 26,887,018 26,574,840 28,274,901 27,221,218 27,000,000 28,000,000 29,000,000 30,000,000 After 1818, the Bank began to pay off its one pound notes, and by the returns, its circulation in notes ap- peared to be on the decrease; but had its issues in gold been given, the reverse would have appeared to have been the fact; therefore, after that period, I have stated what I have reason to believe would be near the truth. By this table it will be seen that in 1814, while the demand for country bank notes was reduced two mil- lions, the issues of the Bank of England were increased nearly three millions, and from that time while the country circulation fluctuated between the greatest ex- treme?, that of the Bank of England remained compa- ratively steady. Hence it is evident that Mr Peel's bill neither did nor could have produced the agricultural distress: 1815— 7,624,949 1816— 6,423,466 1817— 9,075,958 1818— 12,316,868 1819 — 5,640,313 1820 — 3,574,894 1821 — 3,987,582 1822— 4,217,341 32 first, because it did not reduce the circulation in the district of the Bank of England, and next, because it would not have affected prices if it had ; for it could only affect them materially by governing the circula- tion of the country banks, which it appears by the clearest evidence not to do. Previous to considering what the agricultural dis- tress did proceed from, it will also be proper to men- tion, that it did not proceed from any failure in the usual sources of demand. There had been no internal changes in the country to diminish the demand, except- ing that of which it was itself the cause ; and the brisk- ness of our foreign trade was not only proved by our manufacturers, at least in 1821 and 1822, being actively employed for the foreign market, but by the very large quantity of money which was imported into the country in payment for our manufactures exported. Indeed the want of the usual sources of demand was so obvi- ously not the cause of the agricultural distress, that in the various speculations on the subject, I do not re- collect seeing it ever suggested as being so. What the Agricultural Distress did proceed from. — Having thus shown what the agricultural distress did not, we shall next proceed to show what it did, pro- ceed from, which the foregoing observations will have rendered not difficult. There are only two causes from which it could have proceeded, namely, from a variation in the supply and demand for corn, or from a reduction in the amount of money in circulation ; and as it did not proceed from the former it must have proceeded from the latter. Now, the circulation of this country, at that time, con- sisted of the notes of the Bank of England and gold, which, as we have before stated, circulated in Middle- 33 sex and Lancashire, and the notes of the country banks which circulated in the rest of the kingdom ; and as it neither did nor could have proceeded from the circulation of Middlesex and Lancashire, it must have been produced by a contraction of the issues of the country banks in the other parts of the kingdom ; and that it did proceed from that cause is rendered clear to demonstration by the returns from the Stamp Office which we have already given. These, indeed, not only prove the fall in prices from 1818 to 1822, to have proceeded from a contraction of the country bank circulation, but the previous fall of prices from 1813 to 1815, to have proceeded from the same cause. Let us compare that account with the variations in prices of that period. Annual demand for stamps. Price of wheat. 1813— .£12,615,509 ... 107s. per quarter. 1814— £10,773,375 ... 74s. 1815— £ 7,624,94-9 ... 64s. 1816— £ 6,423,466 ... 75s. 1817— £ 9,075,958 ... 94s. 1818— £12,316,868 ... 83s. 1819— £ 5,640,313 ... 72s. 1820— £ 3,574,894 ... 65s. 1821— £ 3,987,582 ... 54s. 1822— £ 4,287,341 ... 43s. From these returns, we do not obtain the actual circu- lation of the country banks ; but they furnish an evidence of its increase and decrease sufficient for our purpose. In considering the above table, it will be necessary to keep in view that the prices of 1816 and 1817 were influenced by the failing crop of the former year. In January, 18i6, the price of wheat averaged 52s.: in December, 103s.; and also that though there was a small increase in the demand for notes in 1821 and E 34 1822, there would be a diminished circulation, as the notes of 1818 and 1819 would in these years be taken out of circulation. This table renders it clear to de- monstration, that the agricultural distress was produced by a contraction of the issues of the country banks, while we have shewn by our previous arguments, that there was no other way in which it could have been produced. These variations in the issues of the country banks, are chiefly caused by variations in the value of mo- ney or capital. The Bank of England can keep its circulation steady, because if it cannot obtain commer- cial bills to discount, it can issue its notes in purchase of exchequer bills. The country banks have not this re- source, and being chiefly private banks, they darenotlend money upon any other security than commercial bills, and if they cannot get them, the country is deprived of its circulating medium, and an alteration in prices takes place — so that an alteration in prices is pretty certain to follow an alteration in the value of money. As ca- pital or ready money becomes plentiful, currency be- comes scarce, if such a term can be applied to cur- rency, and vice versa. Mr Tooke's Theory examined. — We have thus shewn what the agricultural distress did not, and what it did proceed from, from which it must be evident that Mr Tooke's theory receives no support from the fall in prices it was adopted to account for. It might, how- ever, still be true, notwithstanding. If a person have a hurt like a bruise, but which came by some other means, it does not prove that a bruise would not have been sufficient to have produced a similar hurt. As there was no superabundance, the principle remains in some degree unimpeached, though unsupported by the fall 35 in question ; and we will now proceed to a more par- ticular examination of it. It is in substance as follows : — " People can eat a given quantity of food and no " more. This quantity they obtain in ordinary years, " and consequently any surplus cannot be consumed " by them ; for cheapness will not induce a person to " eat more than he wants. When there is a surplus, " therefore, however small, it must be a drug upon " the market; and the surplus of a good harvest or <( two, could not fail to produce a ruinous depression " for a length of time." Of the correctness of this principle there could be no doubt, if it were true that, in ordinary years, the popu- lation are adequately fed. But if this were the fact, there would be no truth in the principle universally admitted, that population is only kept down by want, to a level with the means of subsistence, nor yet would there be any need of poor laws. The fact, however, is, that the population is not only not adequately fed in ordinary years, but is, on the contrary, very in- adequately fed, of which some proof is afforded in the annual payment of six or seven millions in poor rates. Instead, therefore, of the population not being able to consume more than the produce of an average crop, it would be more near the truth to assert, that it could consume two average crops instead of one. No prin- ciple could be founded on a fact less true and more easily refuted, than that, in ordinary years, the popu- lation is adequately fed. But, notwithstanding, if the harvest was sufficiently productive, it might exceed the amount to which con- sumption could go. In that case, however, it should be at least a double crop ; whereas it is probable that a superabundant crop never does exceed an average one E 2 86 above 20 per cent. ; so that there can be very little doubt that the most abundant crop can always be con- sumed with the greatest ease. But without going the whole length of Mr Tooke's hypothesis, if we assume that the whole of a good crop could easily be consumed, yet if the means of pur- chasing it were to remain the same, a considerable fall might still be the consequence in an abundant year. Suppose that, in ordinary years, the price was £2> per quarter, and the produce 12,000,000 quarters, thirty- six millions would be the fund appropriated to the pur- chase of corn. It must be kept in view that those who can afford it, always consume as much corn as they re- quire, whether it be dear or cheap, and their consump- tion would not be increased in cheap years, nor di- minished in dear ones. We shall suppose one-third of the population to be in this situation; that is to say, they will consume 4,000,000 quarters, whatever be the state of the crops. Whatever increase, or diminution, takes place in consumption must, therefore, be with the other two-thirds, or the labouring class. Let us then estimate that an abundant crop will produce 14,400,000 quarters, which is one-fifth more than an average crop ; this would leave 10,400,000 for the la- bouring class. But as this part of the population would be scantily fed in average years, the whole of the funds they could spare for that purpose would have been laid out in provisions, which funds, as we have before sup- posed, would amount to ^€24,000,000. Now should this class have no more money in plentiful years than in average ones, they could not give any additional money for the additional supply, though they might be able to consume it. The farmers, therefore, would only get ^24,000,000 for 10,400,000 quarters, or about 37 46s. per quarter ; and as this part of the crop, or the price paid by the working class, would determine the price paid by the rich for the 4,000,000 quarters they consumed, the crop would yield as follows : — 10,400,000 quarters would sell for - - - - £24,000,000 4,000,000, at the same rate, would produce in round numbers, say - - - - £9,500,000 14,400,000 quarters would produce .... £33,500,000 An average crop we have assumed would produce ^£36,000,000 ; and by this calculation it will be evident, that the monied demand for corn remaining the same in a bountiful year as in an average one, the farmers on the aggregate would lose ^2,500,000 by having a crop one-fifth greater than usual. By the same rule, if the crop was one-fifth below the average, they would be into pocket by it. In that case, there would only be 5,600,000 quarters left for the labouring part of the population. One-fifth off" 12,000,000 quarters would leave 9,600,000, and 4,000,000 consumed by the rich would leave 5,600,000 for the poor. For this they would give all the j£24,000,000, and more if they had it, in their competition to obtain as great a share as possible of the diminished supply. The crop would consequently yield the farmers as follows; — 5,600,000 quarters would leave £24,000,000 4,000,000, in the same proportion, would leave, say £17,000,000 9,600,000 quarters would produce - - - - £43,000,000 Thus the farmers would gain seven millions by the crop being one-fifth below an average. 38 However contrary this may be to experience, it is clear to demonstration, that if the monied demand for corn by the working class be the same in one year as another, the farmers must make more by a bad crop than a good one, and the economists assuming the de- mand not to vary, have thus reasoned. But the fact we know to be that the farmers invari- ably make by good crops and lose by bad ones. Now, this could not happen without there was a greater mo- nied demand for corn in seasons which were productive than in those which were not. It is quite clear that if this were not the case the farmers must be under a mistake, and Mr Ricardo and the economists would be right in assuming that a good crop, whatever it may be to the community, is a curse to the farmer. " No one has said," observes Mr Ricardo, " that " abundance is injurious to a country, but that it fre- " quently is so to the producers of the abundant com- " modity. If what they raised was all destined for " their own consumption, abundance could never be " hurtful to them ; but if in consequence of the plenty " of corn, the quantity with which they go to market " to furnish themselves with other things, is very much " reduced in value, they are deprived of the means of " obtaining their usual enjoyments ; they have in fact " an abundance of a commodity of little exchangeable " value." On Protection to Agriculture, p. 21. That is to say, in plain terms, they will get much less money for an abundant crop than for an average one. The reverse of Mr Tooke's Theory proved to be the Fact. — But this is not the fact. All farmers rejoice in a good season, though it may extend over the whole world, and lament a bad one. They say let us only 39 have a plentiful crop : for if we get less for it per quar- ter we shall get more for it on the whole. But this, as we have said, could not be, unless the means of pur- chasing by the labouring part of the population was in- creased. If the farmers on the average get six millions more for a good crop, the labouring part of the popu- lation must at least have six millions more to give for it; or if on the other hand they obtain six millions less for a bad crop, the means of the labouring class must still more obviously be diminished to that extent : for there is no doubt than when the supply is more defici- ent than usual, they would be disposed to lay out a greater rather than a less proportion of their wages in the purchase of food. The high price and deficient supply would only induce them to pinch themselves in other things in order to obtain provisions. It would not induce them to apply a shilling less of the funds at their command for that purpose. If, therefore, the farmers got six millions less for their corn in a deficient crop, than in an average one, it could only arise from the power of purchasing by the labouring class being diminished in that or perhaps in a greater proportion. It is evident, therefore, that the labouring class must have more money in plentiful years, or the farmers could not obtain more money for their crops; and less money in bad years, or the farmers would gain by them. Now the demand for corn depends of course upon the demand for labour, the source from whence the income and means of the labourer are derived; and our next point is to ascertain whether the demand for labour rises and falls with the variations in the crops. Dr. Adam Smith says it does ; and he is great authority in matters of fact. He was besides, twenty years in wri- ting his Wealth of Nations, and had ample opportunity, 40 after his attention was directed to the subject, of ob- serving the effects of the state of the crops on the de- mand for labour. " A French author," he observes, " of great know- " ledge and ingenuity, Mr Messance, receiver of the " tallies in the election of St. Etienne, endeavours to " shew that the poor do more work in cheap, than in " dear years, by comparing the quantity and value of 11 the goods made upon those different occasions, in " three different manufactories — one of coarse wool- " lens, carried on at Elbeuf; one of linen, and another • of silk, both of which extend through the whole ge- " nerality of Rouen. It appears from his account, " which is copied from the Registers of the Public " Offices, that the quantity and value of the goods " made in those three manufactories, have generally " been greater in cheap than in dear years, and they have " always been the greatest in the cheap years. All the " three seem to be stationary manufactures ; or which, " though their produce may vary somewhat from year " to year, are upon the whole neither going backwards " nor forwards." " It is," he further observes, " because the demand " for labour increases in years of sudden and extraor- " dinary plenty; and diminishes in those of sudden " and extraordinary scarcity, that the money price of " labour rises in the one, and sinks in the other." " In a year of sudden and extraordinary plenty, " there are funds in the hands of many of the employ- " ers of industry, sufficient to employ and maintain a " greater number of industrious people than had been " employed the year before; and this extraordinary " number cannot always be had. Those masters, " therefore, who want more workmen, bid against one 41 " another in order to get them, which sometimes raises " both the real and the money price of labour." " The contrary of this happens in a sudden and ex- " traordinary scarcity. The funds destined for era- " ploying industry are less than they had been the " year before. A considerable number of people are " thrown out of employment, who bid one against ano- " ther in order to get it, which sometimes lowers both " the real, and money prices, of labour. In 1740, a " year of extraordinary scarcity, many people were " willing to work for bare subsistence. In the suc- '* ceeding years of plenty, it was more difficult to get " labourers and servants." Wealth of Nations. If we refer back to 1817, it is also within our own recollection, that the scarcity of that year, was more particularly felt by the poor in the want of demand for labour. The funds which were raised for the relief of the poor in that year, were almost universally distri- buted by giving employment to it, in improving roads, or some other work of public utility ; and the want of employment ceased altogether in the year following, after the scarcity was over. From this it will be evident that the demand for la- bour does increase and decrease with the productive- ness or unproductiveness of the seasons. This is a wise provision of nature : for if men have not food, it is better that they should not have work. A person without labour can exist upon much less food than with it. Neither is the idleness resulting from want of labour, accompanied by want of food, at all likelv to conduce to idle habits ; and the propriety of appropriating the funds raised for the relief of the poor, at such periods, in giving employment to able bodied men, may be questioned. It is opposed to the wisdom F of Providence. Such funds should rather be appro- priated to the aid of the weak and sickly, who not being able to find employment, are unable to support the privations of the season, and become unable to work. These should be sought out, and administered to, in proportion to their wants. In expending the funds in employing those who can work, you assist those who can best assist themselves. In a season of endurance, those should be assisted whose strength fails them — not those who can do something for them- selves, and might perchance find employment else- where. Hence it is clear, both from reason and experience, that the demand for labour does vary with the seasons. Our reason tells us so, because if such were not the case, the farmers could not make by a good crop, and lose by a bad one; and this is confirmed by the facts pointed out by Dr. Smith, as well as by what occurred in our own recollection in 1817, which is sufficiently notorious. Having thus established that the demand for labour does increase and decrease in good and bad seasons, we shall next endeavour to ascertain the degree of effect that this has upon the price. Should the harvest exceed an average one, by two millions of quarters, but at the same time should the demand for labour be so much increased as to place six millions of additional funds in the hands of the labouring class, applicable to the purchase of food, there would be no fall of price. It would remain at £3 per quarter as before. The extra 2,000,000 quarters would be met by a corres- ponding demand for it. The benefit of the additional supply would be felt, not in a reduction of price, but in an increased demand for labour. On the other hand, 43 should the crop be 2,000,000 quarters beneath an aver- age, and the funds of the labouring class applicable to the purchase of food, be reduced six millions, neither would the price rise : labour to that extent would be thrown out of employment. Hence it is obvious, that prices must be prevented from falling, or rising, in pro- portion as the additional or diminished demand for labour shall correspond with the increased or re- duced supply of corn. In a famine, when people will part with every thing they have for food, we can easily conceive that a falling off in the demand for la- bour will not prevent corn rising in the same degree as when the diminished supply is not so great as to call for such sacrifices. The effect which the accompanying fluctuations in the demand for labour has in neutralizing the effect on prices, by variations in the crops, can only of course be ascertained by reference to experience; and for this purpose, we will turn to the crops of which Messrs Cropper, Benson, and Co. have furnished so accurate an account. By their account, it appears that the crop of 1819 was 5-32nds below an average, and that the crop of 1 820 was 5-32nds above an average one. This com- puting the average produce to be 12,000,000 quarters, would make The deficiency of 1819, - 1,750,000 quarters. The excess of 1820, - - 1,750,000 quarters. Total difference between them, 3,500,000 quarters. When it is considered that the importations of 1818, which were the greatest we ever had, did not amount to more than 1,586,030 quarters, we shall have some F 2 44 idea of the immense difference between these two crops ; and we might naturally expect, if there was the shadow of ground for Mr Tooke's theory, of the great effect produced upon price by the variation in the supply, that a very striking difference would have been ob- servable in the prices of those two years. But how was the fact ? From is 18 to 1822 was a period, as we have shown, of declining prices, from a contraction in the circulation of the country banks, and these two harvests occurred in the midst of that fall. Let us therefore examine the state of all the crops and prices of that period. We must always keep in mind that the crop of each year is chiefly consumed in, and affects the prices of the year following. 1818. — 83s. ..The crop of 1817 with the importation of 1818, amounted to an average one. 1819. — 72s.. ..The crop of 1818 an average one. 1820. — 65s.. ..The crop of 1819, 1,750,000 quarters de- ficient. 1821. — 54s.. ..The crop of 1820, 1,750,000 quarters re- dundant. 1822. — 43s.... The crop of 1821 an average crop. The fall in each year appears to have been as fol- lows : — 1819. — lis.. ..After the average crop of 1818. 1820. — 7s.... After the deficient crop of 1819. 1821. — lis.. ..After the abundant crop of 1820. 1822. — lis.... After the average crop of 1821. By this it appears that the deficiency of 1819, which in amount was much greater than the largest importa- tions we ever received in one year, did not check the fall more than 4s. per quarter, and that the abundance of 1820, which was equally great, did not enhance it in the least. The fall after the average crops of 1818 45 and 1521, being precisely the same as after that of 1820, namely lis. in each year; so that, in point of fact, there is not an observable difference, arising from the state of the supply, of more than 4s. per quarter between the years 1820 and 1821, although the differ- ence in the supply was 3,500,000 quarters. Let us take another instance. It is well known that in 1823 prices took a start. A demand for capital be- gan to be experienced, and the country banks to in- crease their issues, and a rise in prices followed, which went on as the country bank circulation extended, un- til both were checked by the panic of December, 1825. Every one attributed this rise to the increased circula- tion of the country banks ; even Mr Tooke partly did so. In 1822, the demand for stamps was .=£4,217,341. 1823, ditto ditto ditto 4,657,589. 1824, ditto ditto ditto 6,093,367. 1825, ditto ditto ditto 8,532,438. Now, by Messrs Cropper, Benson, and Co.'s sur- veys, 1822 was an average crop, 1823 1 -6th below an average,* while the average prices in those years were as follows : 1822— 43s. 3d. 1823— 51s 9d. being a rise of 8s. 6d. 1 824 — 62s being a rise of 1 1 s. 9d. The deficiency in 1823 would be equal to 2,000,000 quarters, by which it will be seen, that the rise in 1824 was enhanced 3s. 3d. The rise being 8s. 6d. after the average crop of 1822, and only lis. 9d. after the crop of 1823, which, it appears, was two millions of * Their account given to the Committee of 18*21, does not ero further, of course, than 18*20; but the author was favoured by Mr Cropper with these particulars since then. 46 quarters deficient. From these facts we may form some idea to how great an extent the demand for corn accom- modates itself to the supply, and how very erroneous the principle is. that a small excess or deficiency in the supply will produce a much greater effect upon price than an equal excess or deficiency in the supply of any other commodity. The difference between corn and other commodities consists in this, that with corn the monied demand in- creases and decreases with the supply, — a thing which was not at all taken into account by Mr Tooke, Mr Ricardo, and others; whereas with other commodities, though cheapness may give rise to additional consump- tion, it does not increase the income and means of the purchaser. 47 SECTION III. On the Principle that Corn creates its own DEMAND. In the last Section we have shown, that there is no truth whatever in Mr Tooke's principle, that a small excess or deficiency in the supply of corn, has an effect upon the price of it far beyond the ratio of such excess or deficiency ; but on the contrary, that the demand accommodates itself to the supply, and that a very great increase or falling off may take place in the sup- ply without any material effect upon price. This affords an additional proof, not only that the agricultural distress was not produced by an excess of supply, but that none of the great fluctuations we have experienced in the last thirty years were caused by the state of the supply, as Mr Tooke and others have en- deavoured to establish. In accounting for the fluctuations we have experi- enced by the state of the supply, it has always been as- sumed, that the demand was stationary or perhaps in- creasing, while the supply fluctuated; whereas it is evident that the demand follows the supply. The sup- ply comes first, and the demand after — the supply causes the demand ; which renders corn in that re- spect an exception to all other commodities. And as all legislation on the subject of corn, has hitherto been framed with reference to the principle, that the demand preceded the supply — that the demand was the cause and the supply the effect, it is not a matter of surprise that we should not yet have settled our corn laws upon right principles : for there cannot be a greater error 4.8 than mistaking the cause for the effect, or one more likely to produce a confusion of ideas on any subject. It is generally said, that as capital, manufactures, commerce, and population increase, the demand for corn increases — that manufactures and commerce give rise to population, and population to the consumption of, and a demand for corn. And it is no doubt true that until manufactures and commerce are established, corn is seldom extensively cultivated ; but it does not follow as a necessary consequence that manufactures are the cause, and the production of corn the effect, more than that the priming or water put into a pump to make it work, is the real cause of the supply of water which is obtained from it. In order to ascertain whether commerce, manufac- tures, and population are the cause of the demand for corn, or the effect of the supply, it will be proper to di- vide the population of the country into three classes : — The agricultural class, including all those who derive their income and means of subsistence from the soil ; the capitalists, whose incomes are derived from capital employed in trade and commerce, or generally in con- tributing to the supply of our wants and enjoyments; and the class of labouring manufacturers and others, who are thus employed. The Agriculturists derive their power of consum- ing Corn from the Supply. — Now the first of these de- rive their income from the soil at once, with them, including both land-owner, farmer, and labourer, the supply of corn clearly furnishes the means of their purchasing it. We therefore pass on to the other two classes, with whom the demand for corn must origi- nate, if it be the demand which causes the supply ; and we shall begin with the working class. 49 The demand for Corn cannot proceed from an increase of manufacturing Population. — The labourer, whatever his wants may be, cannot purchase corn without mo- ney, and he can obtain money only by means of a de- mand for his labour. The amount of corn this class can purchase, therefore, depends upon the amount of demand for their labour. The question consequently is, can this class of themselves in any way increase that demand? The manner in which this is generally sup- posed to be done, or at least the way in which the in- creased demand for corn is supposed to arise, is by an increase of population. But how is an increase in the supply of labour, to increase the demand for it? If I have the power of employing ten men, I do not see how that power is to be increased by my having the of- fer of twenty ; unless, indeed, I could thereby get more work done for the same money. But in that case no increased demand for corn would be the consequence ; the same sum or power of purchasing corn, would merely be divided amongst a larger number of persons. It is erroneous to suppose, that merely an increase of population can increase the demand for corn without an increased demand for labour. Any increase in po- pulation must be preceded by an increased demand for labour, if it give rise to an increased demand for corn. When the population increases without an in- crease in the demand for labour, misery and starvation are the consequence, as Ireland at this moment sufficient- ly proves. If we, therefore, wish to ascertain what it is that gives rise to an increased demand for corn, we must inquire into the cause which gives rise to an in- creased demand for labour. Before a country is fully peopled, an increase in po- pulation has no doubt the effect of increasing the de- 50 mand for corn. But even in that case, the supply may be said to exist before the demand, in as much as it is in the earth, and any one who tills may obtain it ; which is not the case after a country is fully peopled, and the earth is made to yield the utmost it is in the power of those who cultivate it, to make it yield. The earth may therefore be said, before a country is fully peopled, to have a demand for labour which is not fully supplied. Hence the demand for labour in strictness of principle, may, in such case, be considered to pre- cede the increase of population and demand for corn. But in this state of society, all, or nearly all, are agri- culturists. They belong to that class, who, at least, in a more advanced state of civilization, very obviously derive their power of consuming corn from the supply, and consequently are not the class we have been speaking of. The class we have been considering, is the class of artisans, &c. who are fed upon the surplus produce of the soil, after it comes to yield a surplus ; and an in- crease in their numbers, without an increased demand for labour, paid for in money, will not, it is evident, produce any increase in the demand for corn. A Demand for Corn cannot proceed from an Increase in manufacturing Skill and Capital. — If an increase in the number of labourers will not increase the demand for corn, still less can that demand be increased by the employment of capital in trade and manufactures. The immediate effect of all improvements in ma- chinery, is to throw labour out of employment; where- as an increased demand for corn must be accompanied by an increased demand for labour. Neither does an accumulation of capital increase the demand for corn. The effect of an accumulation of capital in trade, is to diminish the profits of trade, and the incomes of those who live by its profits ; and it is 51 not possible that the consumption of corn can be in- creased by reducing the incomes of those who con- sume it. It is said, indeed, by the economists, that as capital is saved, additional labourers are employed :— men ex- tend their manufacturing concerns, and embark in new undertakings, by which a new demand for corn is created. The simple answer to this however is, that it is not true. In all trades at this moment, there is more capital than is wanted, and more would be employed were it possible to employ it with advantage. The employ- ment of capital, in trade, is restrained to the amount sufficient to supply the demand for the commodities which it is the object of trade and manufactures to pro- duce, and the demand for these cannot be increased by merely increasing the supply. Hence, upon the slightest consideration, it must be obvious, that an increased demand for corn cannot be produced either by an increase in manufacturing popu- lation, manufacturing capital, or manufacturing skill. The latter, indeed, must obviously have the effect, so far as it goes, to diminish the demand for corn in the employments in which the improvements in skill and machinery occur ; and with regard to the two former, it is evident, that they cannot increase the demand for corn unless an increase in the demand for labour and com- modities previously occurs. A Demand for Corn not caused by Foreign Trade. — As it thus appears, that the demand for corn depends upon the demand for labour and commodities, we have next to enquire what it is that generates this demand ; and we are naturally led to examine whether it may not be produced by foreign trade. G 2 .52 At the same time, however, it must be observed, that let the demand for commodities come from where it may, it must be a demand by those who have the power of purchasing and consuming them; and this power must be derived from income, in whatever way the in- come may be obtained by the parties who possess it. Whether the demand be a home demand or a foreign demand, it must proceed from those who enjoy the means in the country in which they reside, of purchas- ing the necessaries and luxuries, foreign or domestic, which they may consume. In considering our trade with foreign nations, it must also be remembered that we purchase and con- sume their commodities as well as they ours. It must likewise be previously explained, that if we did not purchase and consume foreign commodities, the same amount of money must be spent at home: for income must be spent either in one way or another. A man must do one of three things with his income — he must spend it, or lend it, or hoard it. If he spend it, he must do so in a demand for home labour and produce, should he not purchase foreign commodities; if he lend it, it must be to those who mean to use it, and who must spend it in a demand for home produce and labour, if they do not consume foreign commodi- ties ; and if he hoard it, he takes the money out of cir- culation, contracts the currency, reduces the price of commodities generally, and increases the power of con- sumption by those who possess the money left in circu- lation. Hoarding may alter the value of money and scale of prices, but it does not prevent consumption. At the same time, it is so little practised, that it is not worth consideration as a general principle; and where it is practised, people do not hoard for ever; so that while 53 some are hoarding, others are bringing their hoards in- to circulation. We may therefore leave hoarding out of view, and say that income must be spent ; because people must either spend it themselves or lend it to others, who will do so. It will, however, be proper to explain, that it is not meant to be said that a person cannot save his income; but that he must do so by spending it or lending it. If he neither hoard it nor lend it, and yet save it, he must convert it into capital by building houses, buying goods, or spending it in some way in which consumption and production will be promoted. Income or ready money cannot be saved, though capital can ; and it is important to keep this in view. As it thus- appears, that if we do not spend our in- come in consuming foreign commodities, we must do so in consuming our own, it will be evident that if foreign- ers do not purchase a greater amount of our commodi- ties than we do of theirs, they do not increase the con- sumption of our produce more than if we had no foreign trade at all. More of our labour and produce is not consumed than would be by the expenditure of our own income at home. Thus, if we import and consume thirty millions of foreign commodities, while foreigners, in return, purchase and consume thirty millions of our manufactures, they appropriate thirty millions of their income in a demand for our labour and produce, while we appropriate thirty millions of our income in a demand for their labour and produce. An exchange, but not an increase of consumption takes place. With- out meaning to deny that such exchange is highly be- neficial, and calculated to increase the income and con- sumption of both ; yet in such a state of the trade, it is obvious that the foreign demand for commodities, and 54 by consequence for corn, does not exceed the amount of what would be generated by the expenditure of our own income, on the supposition that we had no trade with the rest of the world, and spent our income en- tirely in consuming our own produce. We can obtain, therefore, no increased demand for our manufactures and increased consumption of corn by foreign trade, so long as the demand of foreign nations for our commo- ditics does not exceed our demand for theirs. This will be evident for another reason. In this state of the trade, our exports would exactly pay for our imports — our payments would balance — we should not receive any money; and if the amount of corn and other commodities in the country were not reduced, the price of them, without additional money in circu- lation, could not rise ; and it is a rise in price which is always considered to indicate an increase of demand. For example, let us put an extreme case, and enquire for a moment whether it would be possible without any deficiency whatever in the supply of corn, for the price of it to be doubled without any increased demand for it in money. Would it be possible for the farmer to sell his produce at double prices, and yet obtain no more money for it than before? There is no magic in these matters, and it is certain if he got no more mo- ney he would get no more price ; and it is equally cer- tain that he could not get more money without there was more money in the country for him to get. The price of corn and other commodities may be increased by the quantity of them being diminished, the amount of money in circulation remaining the same ; but prices cannot be increased if there be no diminution in the supply, without some have more money to give for them ; and this could not be the case if the balance of 55 payments were not in our favour, and no additional sup- ply of money came into the country. Hence, also, when our foreign trade balances in commodities — when our imports are equal to our exports, no increased demand for corn and rise in prices can be experienced by a fo- reign demand for our manufactures for want of an ad- ditional supply of money. But we must here be understood to refer to the ope- rations of a metallic currency. With a metallic cur- rency no addition could be made to the amount of mo- ney in circulation, except by means of a balance of payments in our favour. Our paper cuirency, how- ever, though it represents a metallic currency, is not always governed by the principles which regulate the currency it represents. But in our present reasoning, as it is not our immediate object to speak of its defects, we shall assume that it has none — that it increases in amount as gold comes into the country, and decreases in amount as gold goes out ; and that the amount of paper is at all times precisely equal to the amount of gold there would be in circulation, were there no paper. Having seen that with the balance of trade equal, there can be no increased demand for corn from our foreign trade, let us next suppose that foreigners have a greater demand for our commodities than we have for theirs, and that the balance of payments is in our favour, and see how far this will give rise to an in- creased demand for corn. For example, suppose their demand for our commodities to be forty millions, while our demand for theirs did not exceed thirty, so that the balance in our favour to be paid in money amounted to ten millions. It must, as we are speaking of the fo- reign demand for corn, through the medium of a de- mand for our manufactures, and not of the foreign 56 supply, which we shall speak of hereafter, be also un- derstood that either by prohibitory laws, or natural causes, which would render an importation of corn im- possible, we can obtain no foreign supply, and must altogether depend upon ourselves. Let us then sup- pose that the whole of this ten millions, through the demand for manufactures, was in the course of a year spent in agricultural produce — in hay and corn for horses, and meat and corn for men : for the keep of horses as well as men, forms a part of the cost of our manufactures. Then let us compare this additional demand with the supply. Colquhoun, estimating the average prices to correspond with 70s. 6d. per quarter, makes agriculture, in all its branches, yield in the year 1812, .£2 16,8 17,624. Agriculture has since been much extended, but prices have fallen, and to be on the safe side, we will strike off one third, and estimate that the value of produce which would be affected by this demand, would amount to .^144,545,083, or for the sake of round numbers, to j£1 50,000,000. For this amount of produce, there would be a demand were the balance of payments not in our favour, and the ten millions would form an additional demand. Now, what would be the effect on prices by an additional de- mand often millions for one hundred and fifty millions of produce? If it were a simple increase of demand, and the same effects were produced which we observe to take place on any increase of demand for other com- modities, it is evident, that one hundred antl sixty mil- lions would be given for that which before had sold for one hundred and fifty millions. The demand would have increased ten millions, and prices exactly in that proportion. Estimating the rise in shillings per quar- ter, it would amount to 4s. upon 60s., and no greater 51 rise could take place. But our experience tells us that if we suddenly bring ten millions of money into con- sumptive circulation, the rise is more likely to be 30 or 40s. per quarter. Money, which is received in a demand for our manufactures, did it meet no ob- struction, would circulate throughout the country ; and we have seen the very great effect upon prices, which the contraction and expansion of our country bank circulation produces. The contraction did not pro- bably exceed ten millions, which reduced pi ices from 83s. in 1818, to 43s. in 1822, nor the expansion exceed six millions, which raised them again to 66s. in 1825. But of this, at all events, we are certain, that, estimating the circulation at fifty millions, an ad- dition of ten millions to it, could not fail to raise the price of corn one fifth, instead of one fifteenth, and not only the price of corn but of every thing. The rise there- fore on 60s. would at least be 12s. instead of four, and what is not the case with an ordinary demand, the price would continue steady, though the foreign demand for our manufactures the next year should fall off, and be reduced to an equality with our demand for foreign commodities. Now, if this be not an ordinary demand, it must be an alteration in the value of money ; and it has always been admitted that an alteration in the value of money can produce no increase of demand whatever. " It " was a shrewd observation," observes Hume, in his Essay on Money, " of Anacharsis the Scythian, who had '* never seen money in his own country, that gold and ** silver seemed to him of no use to the Greeks, but to " assist them in enumeration and arithmetic. It is " indeed evident that money is nothing but the repre- " sentative of labour and commodities, and serves only H 58 " as a method of rating or estimating them. Where " coin is in greaty plenty, as a greater quantity of it " is required to represent the same quantity of goods, " it can have no effect, either good or bad, taking a " nation within itself, any more than it would make an " alteration in a merchant's books, if, instead of the " Arabian method of notation, which requires few cha- " racters, he should make use of the Roman, which "• requires a great many." Hence an addition of ten millions to the circulation, would not increase the demand for commodities ; it would merely alter the scale or rate by which they were estimated. At the same time it may be enquired, if the ten millions be spent iri the purchasing corn, how could there be no increase of demand for it? The answer, however, is obvious: while the power of purchasing corn by those who received the ten millions was increased, the power of purchasing it in a corre- sponding degree by those who had the money in previous circulation, would be diminished; and, upon the aggre- gate, no more corn would be purchased than before. It is apparent that the increased quantity of money would not increase the quantity of corn, neither would it make it scarcer. There would be as much corn as ever, and not more people to eat it; and if not one grain more of corn was grown in consequence of the rise in price, the nation, notwithstanding the rise, which is always assumed, though erroneously, to indi- cate scarcity, would not be worse off than before. If the rich did not eat less, they would not eat more corn for the rise in its price, and the remainder must always be consumed by the working classes, at whatever their wages enable them to give for it ; so that if the sup- ply be the same, neither a rise nor a fall in price ought, 59 generally speaking, to be of any consequence to them. Such rise or fall must be determined by the quantity of money they have to give for it. If that quantity be large, the price is high ; if it be small, the price is low. Corn is a perishable commodity, and must be brought to market, and sold at whatever price can be obtained for it, and the labouring classes must get the whole, after the rich are supplied ; more they cannot get, whether the price be high or low. After the money had been introduced into circula- tion, it would increase the monied income upon which the demand for labour previously depended, not merely to the extent often millions, but to the extent of one- fifth of the whole income of society ; so that if the de- mand was increased at all, it would not be increased ten, it would be increased perhaps fifty millions. But as the price of all things would be increased in a cor- responding degree, this would not give the possessors of the income of the country the power of purchasing more of labour and home produce than before. Persons who have thought in the least degree on the subject of currency, will readily admit that paper money may be depreciated in value, without making any real difference in the condition of the country, or without affecting the relative state of supply and de- mand in the least. If paper money were issued to such excess, as to reduce the value of a pound note to a shilling, the demand for corn would not be in- creased by such excess. The price of corn and all things, in paper money, would merely rise to twenty times their present level. A depreciation, indeed, si- milar to this, occurred in the paper money of France during the revolution ; as well as, though not to so h 2 60 great an extent, in the paper money of other continent- al states, without of course affecting the real condition of the country, with reference to the State of demand and supply of any thing produced in it. Now paper money is introduced into circulation in the same man- ner as metallic money, namely, in a demand for com- modities. It is issued by government, in payment of its troops, or its debts, or in some way in which a con- sumptive demand is promoted ; and if such demand merely produces an alteration in the value of money, the same must be the effect of metallic money coming into a country, though it be obtained by the more le- gitimate channel of foreign trade. Hence it is evident that an excessive foreign demand for our manufactures, when paid for in money, does not increase the real de- mand for corn. It only raises the price of it, by depre- ciating the value of the gold currency, and the paper money, of course, which represents it. Although a depreciation in the value of money be the only effect of an increased foreign demand for our manufactures, and balance of payments in our favour, as regards the demand for corn, it has other important effects upon national wealth, which have not hitherto been understood, but which it will be proper to ex- plain. The Manner in which Foreign Trade increases Na- tional Wealth. — All trade, both domestic and foreign, consists in an exchange of commodities, and money is only the instrument by which they are valued, and the barter conducted. Trade, for example, could not be carried on by any nation long, that would sell its goods for money alone, even if other nations were willing to trade with it on these terms. Suppose we were to pass a law, that no one should import foreign commodities, 61 though they might export whatever they thought pro- per, and foreign nations continued to trade with us under these circumstances, and of course to pay us with money, for whatever they purchased from us, the effect would be, that our prices would rise, and theirs would fall; the monied income of their consumers would be diminished, while the prices of our commodi- ties would be increased, until, in time, the trade would be put an end to, by the high price of our goods, and the impossibility of their purchasing them for want of money. This would be the inevitable result. No other trade can be carried on for a continuance, but that which consists in an exchange of commodities. By such an influx of money, we should gain nothing, nor would the nations we treated with, lose any thing. The only difference would be, that, in the notation of pay- ments, gold with us would perhaps come to express the value that silver had done before, and silver with them to express the value that gold had done before. Na- ture, by the respective alterations in the value of mo- ney, would have merely terminated a trade which con- sisted in giving something for nothing: for such money would be, under these circumstances. It would not be worth having. Thus, trade must consist in an exchange of commo- dities. But then, how are the values of the respective commodities of each country to be determined ? An acre of produce with us is worth more, probably, than an acre of produce in Russia; and the labour of the artisans of England is of more value than the same amount of labour in almost any country we deal with. It is not, however, by the quantity of labour in a com- modity, so much as by the demand for it, that its value in the exchange is estimated ; and the process of the 6^2 valuation is remarkably simple. In consequence of the skill of our workmen, and the perfection of our ma- chinery, our commodities are in great request amongst the nations we deal with, and they in return have arti- cles, particularly of raw produce, which we are desirous to obtain. But this kingdom possesses only about 20 millions of people, and our demands for the produce of other nations must be confined to the consumption of the twenty millions. Whereas our articles are light and portable, can easily be transported over the whole world, and are in demand over the whole world. Not- withstanding this, our trade must be confined to an exchange of commodities, and the demand of the whole world for our commodities must be limited to our de- mand for the commodities of the world. But let us suppose, for example, that at any existing state of prices throughout the world, the demand of the whole world for our manufactures were double our demand for the commodities of the world — that our exports for in- stance amounted to forty millions, and our imports to only twenty. We should of course receive twenty mil- lions in money ; an elevation would consequently take place in the price of our commodities, and a depression in the prices of the commodities of the countries from which the money was received. This would have the effect of diminishing their power of purchasing our commodities, and of increasing our power of purchasing theirs, and the balance of payments would continue in our favour until their demand for our commodities was reduced to a level with our demand for theirs. It is upon this principle that our prices are higher than the rest of the world, and the effect is to make all foreign commodities relatively cheap with us. Thus, though a balance of payments in our favor, and a rise in prices 63 is of no importance as regards the supply and demand for corn, and every article of home produce, yet, in our dealings with foreigners, it enables us to sell dear- er and buy cheaper ; and, of course, the higher our prices the better for this country : the richer we become in the power of consuming foreign commodities, of which a great portion of the luxuries of life consist, without our power of consuming corn and other home produce being in the least diminished. Contrast, for instance, the situation of a labourer in England, with corn at 60s. per quarter, and his situation in any other country with it at 20s. per quarter, assuming the amount of population compared with the food produced to be the same. Food for himself and family, is of course the first object of the labourer's solicitude, and to which in every country the greatest portion of his wages must be applied. If we take this upon the ave- rage at two-thirds, and suppose that the other third is appropriated to the purchase of those luxuries and comforts which habit has rendered necessary, the amount of the comforts enjoyed by the labouring poor in the two countries may be thus compared : — For every guinea received by the labourer in England, seven shillings would be received by the labourer where corn was 20s. per quarter. In England, consequently, 14s. would be applied to the purchase of food, and 7s. to luxuries; and where corn was 20s., 4s. 8d. would be applied to the purchase of food, and 2s. 4d. to the pur- chase of luxuries. Now, 14s. would not purchase more food with corn at 60s. than 4s. 8d. would with corn at 20s. ; but the 7s. would purchase three times as many luxuries as the 2s. 4d. Colonial produce is as dear in other parts of Europe as in England, keeping out of view the duties to which each state may respectively 64. subject it; and manufactured commodities, from the lightness of carriage, are sold almost equally cheap in other countries as in our own. Thus, the luxuries en- joyed by the labourer in England will be three times as great as where corn is one-third the price : and it is consistent with experience that in all manufacturing states where high prices have existed, the labouring poor have uniformly enjoyed the greatest portion of the comforts of life. The same also with the proprietors of the soil: they obtain (speaking of the principle in question, without re- ference to the advantage they might gain by a deprecia- tion in the value of money, in the payment of taxes, &c.) Dp benefit by a rise in prices, as regards their consumption of British labour and produce; but in the consumption of foreign commodities, they are highly advantaged by it. Properly speaking, our ex- ports consist of corn represented by labour. The pror duce of the soil m;iy be said to form the basis of all exports. Man is the produce of the soil, and his la- bour represents its produce. Manufactures, indeed, are as much the produce of the soil, as if the raw ma- terial had been put into it, and had sprung up webs of cloth, and knives, and scissors. Now in the shape of ma- nufactures, corn becomes so portable, that a quarter of corn probably may, in some articles, be sent to China for a shilling. Hence, the land-owner sells his corn in China, in exchange for tea, &c. at, perhaps, sixty shillings per quarter, while he may get his tea at the rate of ten shillings, and he deals at corresponding advantage with other parts of the world. There is, however, another advantage that the land- owner gains by an elevation in the prices of corn, but which is an equal advantage to the rest of the commu- 65 nity, namely, its tendency to increase the supply with- out diminishing the price. As the price rises, an ex- tension of tillage frequently takes place, and a greater quantity of both corn and cattle is produced. An exten- sion of tillage, indeed, is of no value if it does not increase the quantity of food obtained generally. Breaking up pasture land for the mere purpose of growing corn, is of no advantage: it merely deranges the proportion which exists between the amount of corn and cattle produced. Cattle will only, in such case, become rela- tively higher than corn; and others will be induced to lay down a corresponding quantity of land in pasturage again. A rise in price, however, has the effect of in- creasing production generally. Not that the farmer, in the long run, can produce food more at one price than another. If he sell his corn at 80s., he must pay in that proportion for his labour and expence of tillage. If he sell his corn at 40s , his expences of tillage will be proportionately low. It will neither take more nor less labour to cultivate the soil, because of the price; and corn that cannot be cultivated atone price, cannot on an average of years be cultivated at another. The expence of tillage is regulated by the price of corn, and must on the average rise and fall with it. In 1815 it was dearly proved before a com- mittee of the House of Commons, that corn could not then be grown under 80s. per quarter ; it is now universally admitted that 60s. is a remunerating price ; and it could be grown at sixty pence per quarter as well as at either price. Notwithstanding this, however, a ri.^e in the price of corn has the effect of increasing the supply. Setting aside his rent, which the farmer has generally contracted to pay at the value of money and price of corn before I 66 the rise, the expence of tillage neither rises nor fall* so rapidly as the price of corn. In all employments, there are generally more men than can be fully em- ployed ; and the first effect of an influx of money into the country, is to increase the demand for labour at the old price ; and all hands are immediately engaged. Those who had work before, and only continue to get the old wages, are worse off; but those who could not get employment before, are better off. Employment is more general, and more work is done for the same wages in the necessaries of life. A rise in prices con- sequently amounts, practically, to a reduction in the price of labour, and an equalization of employment. The farmer getting a better price for his corn, with- out any material increase for a time in the cost of till- age, is encouraged by success, enabled by the capital he has raised from the fruits of his success, and in- duced by the comparative cheapness of tillage, to en- deavour to extend and improve his system of cultiva- tion ; and as capital judiciously employed on land is often very productive, he frequently makes a permanent increase to its produce. So that a rise in the price of corn is certain to a greater or less extent to increase the quantity produced, by which corn becomes more plentiful, and the labourer gets more of it, through the medium, no doubt, of an increased demand for his la- bour. Seeing that the rise in the price of agricultural pro- duce gave the first impulse to those improvements in agriculture, and that extension of tillage, which has gone on so rapidly in the last half century, many have been led to consider that the continuance of the im- proved system of tillage depended in a great degree upon high prices ; and, at any rate, that the cultivation 67 of poor soils did so. But this is an error. The rapid strides this country has made in agriculture, though much indebted to the rise in prices, in as far as it threw capital into the hands of the farmers, and might generate a spirit of enterprise, was chiefly owing to an increase of knowledge on agricultural subject?. Im- provements have equally taken place in all other em- ployments, from an increase of knowledge, and there is no reason why we should assign to agriculture a differ- ent cause for the same effect. The degree of error, indeed, which has so long existed on these subjects, is most surprising. " The friends of monopoly," observes the ingenious writer on Political Economy in the Edinburgh Review, " need " not flatter themselves with the vain and delusive idea " that any system that can be adopted will enable them " to continue the cultivation of all the inferior soils " that were advantageously cultivated in 1813 and " 1814. To effect this, prices would require to be " forced up to 100s. or 120s. per quarter, and long " before they had attained this level, either famine or " rebellion, or both, would be raging through the « country." — No. 81, p. 64. As the art of cultivation has gone on improving, it is hardly necessary to observe, that there are more inferior soils in cultivation now, than in 1813 and 1814. But taking the passage as it stands, it would be difficult to find a greater contradiction than it involves. We cannot suppose, as a famine would be raging through the country long before prices had reached to 100s. or 120s, the reviewer contemplated that the population would be increased with the rise. It therefore appears, that when our system of cultivation had been extended, the quantity of corn produced had been materially i 2 68 increased, and our soil had been curried by the stimu- lus of high prices, to its highest point of productive- ness, the whole country, without any increase of popu- lation, would, by his account, be on the verge of starv- ation ! It seems much more probable, if suffering at all, that it should be from repletion. I do not mean to accuse the ingenious writer of these articles of more erroneous views than the great mass of writers. The price of corn is a subject in which it will, I believe, generally be found that the most think- ing have been the most wrong. The Demand for Corn must proceed from the Supjrty. — To return, however, to the examination of the prin- ciples which give rise to the demand for corn. It is evident that a foreign demand for our manufactures can- not give rise to any such demand; though by producing high prices, it may have a tendency to increase the supply : that high prices are merely the result of a depreciation in the value of money, and do not, in the least, increase the demand tor corn : that our foreign trade must on the average balance in commodities, so that the demand for our manufactures cannot exceed the demand we have for foreign commodities; and consequently, that the demand for corn, by means of the foreign demand for our manufactures, never can exceed the demand which would be created by the expenditure of our own income at home, had we no foreign trade whatever. Our inquiry is now con- sequently very much narrowed. It is evident that the demand for corn must proceed from the expenditure of our own income at home; and the question is, from whence is our income derived? We have seen that it is not derived from an increase of manufacturing population ; that it is not derived from improvements 6\ per cent. Hence we easily come at a land- lord's situation. If he borrowed money at 5 per cent, previous to 1817, has reduced his rents, say 15 per cent., and obtains money now at 4< per cent., which is reducing the amount of interest he has to pay 20 per cent., he is 5 per cent., upon the amount of interest he pays, better off than before. If he has to give 4| per cent., which reduces the amount of interest he has to pay only 10 per cent., he is 5 per cent, worse off on the amount of interest he has to pay. But as regards the surplus income from his estate, after paying the in- terest, he is in an infinitely better situation. In the purchase of labour, and the necessaries of life, it will 120 go 25 per cent, further at least, and in many manufac- tured commodities, it will go twice as far. Hence, a landlord, though he should have contracted debts pre- vious to 1817, will, with prices at 60s., be in a better situation than he was, even should the interest he pays not be reduced at all. We must of course presume that his debts do not exceed one-half, or one-third of the value of his estates. There is no meeting the case of those whose estates are mortgaged to their full value, and who have no in- terest in them but the name. These should not conti- nue to hold them. They are speculators in land with- out capital, and may be ruined by the turn of a straw. But very few landlords are in this situation. If the debts and burthens upon their estates amount to one third or one-half, it is the utmost ; and where they do not exceed one-half, we should be disposed to say that the landlord would be in a much better situation now, with prices at 60s., than during the war, notwith- standing the high range of prices of that period. How the Farmers have been affected. — The next class we have to consider are the farmers or occupiers of land. These, it is generally admitted, could continue to pay their present rents, with prices at the average of 60s. but not under. With 60s. therefore, they would be content. But at that price they will have nothing to spare ; and it is important to them, not only that the law should fix that rate for the purpose of regulating importation, but that the price, when fixed, should be secured to them. It may be said, indeed, that it makes no difference to the farmer, what may be the average price. No more it does as a general principle. But it is very important to the farmers, that they should not be compelled to pay a higher rent than they have con- 121 traded to pay. Their present contracts have reference to a value of money corresponding to 60s. at least, which they will be obliged to pay as long as they have the power. Even where a farmer takes a farm without a lease, if the landlord will not reduce his rent when a fall in prices occurs, he, four times out of five, stays up- on the farm until he is ruined. Ke generally has a fa- mily, is fit for no other occupation, and his capital will not support him without the aid of his industry. To be without a farm is therefore ruin, and to take one that another tenant could not live upon, is no better. Hence there is no alternative but for him to stay where he is, and trust to the mercy of his landlord. This, no doubt, often is, but is not always, a safe dependence. It is not the best farmers who are ruined first ; and the landlord is too apt to attribute the farmer's ruin to his bad management, rather than to that change in the value of money by which he has got more than his due, and to be proportionably hard with him. The landlords, in general, are slow in raising their rents, and slow in reducing them. There are no con- tracts which ought to be less disturbed than those between landlord and tenant ; while to alter them against the tenant is not only injustice, but cruelty. It is also injurious to the nation. By destroying farming capital, it checks cultivation, and prevents improvement; it diminishes the income of the country, reduces the demand for labour in all employments, and injures the revenue. Agriculture is the basis of national wealth, and the means of general comfort. To injure it by ruining the farmer is quite as impolitic, as it is unfair, and severe upon the individual. The tenant, how- ever, can pay his rent at 60s., and so far as the corn laws can do so, it is proposed to secure him that price. -2 122 How the Owners of Houses and such Property have been affected. — The third class we shall notice are the owners of houses and property raised by the expenditure of capital. These are in a much worse situation. The alteration in the value of money has diminished the cost of building, and the value of such property on the one hand, while the superabundance of capital has reduced the rate per cent, which it yields on the other. Houses not only cost less building, but people are willing to take less per cent, for their money in the shape of rent after they are built. Those, therefore, who borrowed money upon house property twelve or fifteen years ago will find themselves much worse off from the change of times. If their rents have not yet fallen, they will be certain to do so, while they will probably have to con- tinue to pay 5 per cent, as before. The rate of interest on the security of house property has not fallen as it has on the security of land. How People in Trade, Annuitants, and People with Jixed Salaries, have been affected. — All those who live by the profits of trade are in a much worse situation than before. Their income, upon the aggregate, is reduced one half. Those who have most benefitted by the change, are the fundholders, annuitants, people with fixed salaries, and mortgagees, who obtain the same rate of interest as they did. These can live much better. But these as a class are composed chiefly of people of small incomes, widows, children, unmarried daughters, and people of limited means. The rich who have money in the funds have generally more of other property. The number of great capitalists who have their property chiefly in the funds, is comparatively few. The great mass of funded property is held by the class above-mentioned. The same with annuities pay- 123 able out of private property, &c. Now, if there is any class we should least grudge benefitting by a change in the value of money, it is this. The monied men in the city, who have no land, are no doubt of this class, but they do not form a drop in the hogshead it is com- posed of. From a Review of the Situation of all Parties, 60s., Winchester Measure, appears to be a fair Average. — Thus it briefly appears that the change in times has produced the following effect: — 1st. Landlords, who are in debt, have lost by the alteration in the value of money ; but they have gained by the fall in interest ; they have gained by improve- ments in cultivation ; they have gained by the diminish- ed profits on farming capital, and they have gained in the diminished cost of living; so that all things consi- dered, they will, with prices at 60s., be better off than before ; and those who are not in debt will, of course, be infinitely better off. 2nd. The farmers, with prices at 60s., will be worse off upon the whole, but more as capitalists than as far- mers. They will obtain less profits, not because prices have been reduced, but because a general reduction has taken place in the profits of capital. If better pro- fits could be obtained in other trades, there would be fewer farmers, not such competition for farms, such high rents would not be given, and more would be made by farming, by those at least who did not take their farms ten or fifteen years ago, but have taken them within the last eight or ten years. 3rd. The owners of houses, and all property raised by the expenditure of capital, previous to 1817, are worse off by the alteration in the value of money, if in debt; if not, it makes no difference to them. But they 2 2 124< are worse off by the fall, in the profits of capital. Their rents, &c. will, in consequence, be diminished. 4th. All tradesmen, and people who live by the pro- fits of capital, expressed in money, are worse off; not, however, by the alteration in the value of money — for, by that, they have been benefitted, but by the fall in the rate of profits. 5th. All annuitants and people of fixed incomes are better off, both from the alteration in the value of mo- ney, and from the fall in profits. We have not noticed the labouring classes, for they can neither be affected by an alteration in the value of money or rate of profits. There is a certain income, which will be expended in a demand for labour, who- ever may possess it, and it makes no difference to them in what proportions it may be distributed amongst the classes we have mentioned. If it be not possessed by one class, it will by another; and, whoever has it, must spend it. This is all their concern in the matter, and it is properly taken care of, not by human laws, but by the law of nature. Thus, the landlords and the annuitants have chiefly benefitted by the change of times, while the other classes have been injured. But that injury has not re- sulted from the alteration in the value of money so much, as from a reduction in the rate of profits. The change in the value of money indeed must, in a majori- ty of cases, have relieved the injury sustained from the fall in profits, though, in others, it may have aggra- vated it. Hence, upon a review of the situation of the different classes, we cannot perceive any reason for wishing to alter the existing average state of prices, which may 125 be considered to be fairly struck at 60s. Winchester measure. A higher Price than 60s. Winchester Measure could not, in all probability, be obtained by Corn Laws, if it were de- sired. — The principal opposition to that price was, how- ever, made by the landlords, though we believe it was only the mode in which they expressed their general hostility to the principle of the bill, from its tendency to promote speculation, as already explained. They only proposed the price to be about 4s. higher, and it can- not be supposed that they contemplated any rise in rents founded upon this trifling difference. Their im- mediate object, therefore, was rather to protect their tenants than to benefit themselves. There is, however, another argument against fixing the protecting price higher than 60s. more conclusive than any we have yet offered ; and that is, that it is not probable that a high- er price can be obtained. We cannot maintain any particular price by corn laws, without we have an extra demand for our manu- factures at that level of prices ; and by consequence, without we have a balance of payments in our favour, whenever they are beneath that level. In order, there- fore, to see whether there is a probability of our main- taining 60s. by corn laws, we must examine how the balance of payments has stood when prices were be- neath 60s. — whether it was always at such periods in our favour. Now, it appears, that in 1824, when our prices rose above 60s., the balance of payments was turned against us to a considerable extent ; and, at the present time, the balance of payments is against us, after the scale of prices has been for more than two years under 60s. It must, however, be considered, that our foreign trade has lately run all in extremes. We have had either unusually great importations, or importations unusually small ; we have had a great foreign demand for our manufactures, or a trifling demand. The mar- kets, both at home and abroad, have been alternately starved and glutted. This state of things has been produced by the shocks which have been given to con- sumption and demand, by our currency ; for, while our currency is, or ought to be, regulated by our foreign trade, it must also be kept in mind, that our foreign trade is regulated by our currency. The consequence has been, that we have sometimes had the balance ten or twelve millions in our favour, sometimes that amount against us, and continuing either the one way or the other for years together. We have only to reflect, that our foreign trade, in a natural state, consists in an exchange of commodities, without the balance of pay- ments being either for or against us, to see at once how unnatural a state our ti*ade for sometime must have been in. In order to ascertain whether the balance of pay- ments has upon the whole been for or against us, it is necessary in consequence of our trade running in these extremes, to take in an average of years ; and if we go back for ten years, we shall find that the balance of payments has been in our favour to a very great extent, while 60s. 6d. has been the average price of that period. Now, had the balance of payments not been so much in our favour, the evidence would have been conclusive that we could have maintained 60s. But unfortunately the extent to which the balance has been in our favour, has rendered it improbable that we can count upon the same demand for our manufactures again. It must have lowered the prices on the continent, and in the 127 countries dealing with us, and diminished their power of purchasing thein. It ha9 impoverished them by re- ducing their scale of prices, though it has failed to in- crease ours. The manufactures of other countries, at the same time have also been improving. This, coupled with the comparatively low state of prices which our draining the continent of its metallic cur- rency has caused, has enabled the continental manufac- turers to compete with us. If we cannot, however, not- withstanding this, manufacture cheaper than they can, we cannot have a demand for our manufactures that will keep the level of our prices at 60s. in spile of any corn laws that we may think proper to enact. Hence, we should be disposed to say that the balance of payments being against us at the present moment, is, to say the least of it, a suspicious circumstance; and, though we should not altogether despair of being able to maintain our prices at 60s., yet it seems very im- probable that we should be able to maintain a higher level, supposing it to be proper to fix our prices higher if we could. Thus, there are three reasons in favor of 60s., Win- chester measure, being the import price : — 1st. It is the average of the last ten years, and there- fore may be taken as the existing average to which all things have become accommodated, and which could not be disturbed without doing as much injusiice as it remedied. 2nd. It is a price, which upon revievving the state of the different classes of society, and the change that has occurred since the war, no one class has any right to complain of. 3rd. Were we to set aside all considerations of justice and expediency, and be desirous to raise the price 128 as high as possible, it is the highest price there is any reason to think could be maintained. And we may add, as a fourth reason, that it is the price that the great majority of all classes will be satis- fied with. Having thus endeavoured to show that the price proposed to be secured by the bill is a proper one, we shall proceed to consider the provisions for securing it. No fixed Price could be secured by Prohibition. — Now, it is obvious, that as it is necessary to fix a par- ticular price in order to adjust the contracts of society, this could not be done by prohibition. With prohibition our prices would rise as high as our manufacturing superiority would carry them ; but how far that would be, we have no means of judging; and there is certainly no particular reason to think it would be 62s. imperial measure* more than any other price, at least between 52s. and 72s. Neither would the price remain steady, it would probably rise to its highest point, and then afterwards gradually decline as the manufacturing skill of our neighbours improved. Or it might fluctuate. It might rise as any new improvements in machinery gave us the advantage, and then fall again as soon as these improvements were obtained by our neighbours, and the comparative advantage was lost. * The different measure may confuse. But in speaking of past prices, we are obliged to speak of Winchester measure, as all past prices are in that measure; whereas, in calculations with regard to present prices, we must refer to imperial measure, as we have given the table in that measure. It would be well if the next committee on the subjects of either corn or cur- rency, would order a new set of tables to be calculated in Imperial mea- sure ; and let the yearly averages be computed from October to September inclusive. At present the effects upon prices of any particular harvest can- not be known with precision, as the yearly averages comprehend two har- vests. They refer to it nine months of the one and three of the other. 129 Nor yet could a fixed Price be secured by a fixed Duty, — Neither, on the one hand, could we, with any pre- cision, fix a price, by admitting foreign corn at a par- ticular duty : for we neither know the demand we shall have, nor the supply we shall obtain, at any particular price. Corn can be grown, as we have already shewn, at any price. The quantity we can obtain of any na- tion, at a particular price, does not depend upon the cost of producing it, but upon the opposite demand which such nation has for foreign commodities. There is indeed a price, below which we could ob- tain no supplies from any nation that had a trade in other commodities. This price, for instance, with Po- land, would correspond with the level at which its ex- ports of hemp, timber, &c. would pay for its imports. At a particular scale of prices, its monied income would be sufficiently low to keep down its demand for foreign commodities to a level with the value of its exports in hemp, timber, &c. ; and below this, its prices would not fall. What this level is, it is impossible to say ; but the probability is, that it is under 20s. per quarter. By an account of the prices of wheat, at different fo- reign ports, in 1826, when a demand for exportation was anticipated, given in the Appendix to the Lords' Report of last session (1827) on the prices of foreign corn, the prices, imperial measure, were as follows : — s. d. Memel 20 2 Imperial measure. Koningsburg 19 8 Dantzic 21 6 Upon this, the calculation of freight and charges to R 130 this country is from 10s. to 12s. per quarter, which we believe, however, is much above the truth. Corn has been imported and sold in this country, it is said, at 24-s. per quarter, Winchester measure; in which case, the point of total prohibition, inclusive of freight and charges, is probably not above 22s. impe- rial measure. Now, suppose the foreign demand for our manufac- tures would not raise our prices above 62s. imperial measure, we should, of course, have no demand for corn at that price. Hence, a duty which would admit corn when above, and prohibit it when beneath, that price, must be 40s. a quarter. If, in such case, we im- posed a duty of only 30s. we should not keep our prices at 62s. They would fall sufficiently to produce an ex- tra demand for our manufactures, and our demand for corn would rise sufficiently to produce a corresponding supply. The ten shillings would be divided between our prices and the prices in Poland. Our prices would be reduced, say 5s. below 62s., and theirs increased in the same proportion. On the other hand, if we were to impose a fixed duty, on the supposition of a very limited demand for foreign corn, and should have a very extensive extra demand for our manufactures, in that case, we should have our scale of prices elevated above its proper level. We might have it probably at 72s. instead of 62s. The Bill under present Circumstances founded on right Principles. — In the state of uncertainty we are in with regard to both demand and supply, it is thus evident, that no fixed duty could be named which would keep the level of our prices at 62s. Any duty, or scale of duties, which would have that effect, must necessarily be con- tingent. They must be high, if we have no demand for 131 corn at 62s., moderate, should we have a moderate de- mand, and low, should we have an excessive demand at at that price. Now, this is the principle of the proposed bill ; and if ministers are right in their anticipation of a demand for foreign corn at 62s. the bill will have the effect of keeping prices at that level. There are three views, however, under which the bill may be examined : namely, under the supposition of an extra demand for our manufactures, which will have a tendency to raise prices above 62s., of a mode- rate extra demand at 62s., and of no extra demand at 62s. ; and these we will consider separately. The Bill isoill prevent Coin rising in the Event of a great Demand. — Supposing we had such an extra demand for our manufactures, as would raise the price of corn, notwithstanding the average supply, to 67s. or 72s., and by consequence to reduce the duty to 10s. or to nothing ; so that instead of giving the Poles and other nations we dealt with, 30s. or 40s. for their corn, we were to give them 62s. or 72s. we have seen that the almost certain consequence of this would be, not to obtain an increas- ed but a diminished average supply. The supply, how- ever, would be at first considerably enlarged, and for this money would be paid : for it is by payments in money, in the first place, that the average supply comes eventually to be diminished. Nor would the immediate supply be obtained from those countries only, from whom we were in the habit of importing corn regularly. If our prices were to rise sufficiently high, we might obtain a supply from France and other countries, although we should not import a bushel from them at any other time, or for payment in any thing but money. Two neighbouring r 2 \3^ nations who may naturally have no trade in corn, will, for the mere purpose of bringing their respective scales of prices to the level at which the trade must of itself terminate, import and export corn when any inequality in their respective prices shall arise. If we imported nothing from France besides, and the French took no- thing but money in return, we should import corn from them the moment their prices and ours would permit it to be done with profit. Hence we should have a tem- porary supply from other countries for payment in mo- ney, whenever corn (our prices being much above the level of Europe) was admitted at a low duty, or duty free, although our average supplies might be received from the north of Europe alone. The effect of this would be, not to extend our trade, but to check it, and keep down our prices at their proper level. The money received in demand for our manufactures would diminish the monied incomes of the consumers in the countries it came from, and with it their power of consuming them ; while, on the other hand, the money exported in payment for the corn, would reduce the price of it with us. The extra de- mand for manufactures would be checked on the one hand, while our demand for corn would be checked on the other, and we should finally have no greater extra demand for our manufactures than we could obtain corn at, or about 62s. to enable us to supply. Thus our prices would be kept at, or near, the proper level ; a consideration paramount to every other. The Bill will practically shut the Ports when Corn is below 60s. Imperial Measure, in the Event of a moderate Demand. — Let us next suppose that we had only a moderate extra demand for our manufactures — a de- mand which would have no tendency to exceed the 133 supply of foreign corn we could obtain at the average of 62s. In this case the prices would sometimes be a little above, and sometimes beneath that price. This is inferred by the term average price. It is not the highest, nor yet the lowest, but the medium price. Having, therefore, assumed the price to average 62s. with an importation of corn, we have on that point, nothing more to say. But let us examine to what extent the fluctuations in price would take place so far as they would be governed by the bill. We have shewn, in the first section, page 14, that the prospect of a rise of 20s. on the average of 5 years, would be sufficient to induce speculators to hold corn in bond for that time. This, a rise of 7s., under the proposed bill, would secure. Now, if there were only a moderate demand for corn at 62s., the extra demand for our manufactures, upon which it would be founded, must be sufficient to raise our prices at least 3s. or 4s. above 62s., were importations suspended. This would come to be known by experience, and whenever the average price fell to 59s., making a difference of 21s. to the importer between it and 66s., the foreign corn would not be brought into market : the speculators both at home and abroad would hold ; and practically, at least, our ports would be shut, as it is technically termed. The importer, if he entered his corn for consumption at 59s., would get 33s. for it; if he kept it until prices were at 66s., he would get 54s. No one can for a mo- ment suppose, that with the remotest chance of getting the latter price, he would sell at the former. Hence, prohibition would take place at 59s., if not at a higher price. The probability, indeed, is, that if there were an average demand for any quantity of foreign corn, at 62s., very little would, at any time, be entered for con- 134 sumption under that price. The prospect of a rise of 2s. or 3s. per quarter in the price, or from 6s. to 9s. to the importer, would be sufficient to induce him to hold sufficiently long to obtain that rise. At all events, we may assume that when the price fell below 60s., imperial measure, the ports would be practically shut; and that the fluctuations, so far as they depended upon the importation of foreign corn, could not exceed 6s. or 7s. per quarter. The Bill will not prevent Corn falling below 605., Impe- rial Measure, in the Event of a limited Demand, and for •which a Remedy suggested. — The third supposition is, that we have no extra demand for our manufactures at 60s. Winchester, or 62s. Imperial Measure. Now, it is probable that total prohibition would take place at about 55s. or 56s. ; that is to say, if more than 22s. or 25s., Imperial Measure, could not be obtained in this country, corn would not be imported. But it is not improbable that corn might be imported at 57s. or 58s. Imperial, sufficient to keep our prices down at that level, although, with total prohibition, prices might be raised to the level of 62s. ; 58s. would leave 30s. to the importer, and there can be little doubt that a regu- lar supply might be had at that price. Hence, the bill will be more effectual in keeping prices down to 62s. in the event of an excessive demand, than in keeping them up at 62s. in the event of there being no demand, or only a very limited demand for foreign corn at that price ; and in so far it will not fully ac- complish the object it proposes. The bill is founded upon the assumption of a demand for foreign corn at 62s. imperial measure. In which case, the ports would practically close when prices were more than 2s. be- neath that level ; and, in order to make the bill, under 135 all circumstances, precisely what it is intended it should be, it will be necessary to introduce a clause to the effect, that the ports shall be shut by law, when prices fall below 60s. imperial measure. This is the more necessary, when we consider that we shall probably have a trade in corn at whatever price we chuse to receive it. We have all along reasoned upon the supposition, that our supply of corn would be preceded by an extra demand for our manu- factures. Whereas the probability is, that the supply of corn will precede and give rise to the extra demand for our manufactures ; and in this case, it will probably not come at one shilling higher than the lowest price at which we shall chuse to receive it. We shall say, for instance, that it is imported, and sold at 58s., impe- rial measure, which would leave 30s. to the importer, a price which, in 1826, we have little doubt would have paid him very well ; that a quantity equal in value of foreign commodities be taken in return ; and that this gives rise to a corresponding demand for our manufac- tures. Now, we may easily see, that the trade in this way, may increase to a great extent at any given price, without reducing that price ; but it can never raise it, inasmuch as the demand for our manufactures will take place at the price at which the corn sells. It must also be kept in mind, that the greater the demand the Poles have for foreign commodities, the cheaper their corn will be. If they were to send us this year a million of corn, and have a demand for a million and a half of colonial produce, &c. the balance of pay- ments would be against them half a million. This sum they would have to pay in money, and against next year their prices would be lower. As there is a grow- ing taste for foreign luxuries and comforts in the north 136 of Europe, it may therefore be expected, that their prices will have a tendency to fall, unless met by a cor- responding foreign demand for our manufactures, and consequently increased demand for corn on our part. As it seems, therefore, within the bounds, at least, of possibility, that the bill, as it now stands, may not be effectual under every supposition, in keeping prices at or near sixty-two, Imperial measure, it seems proper to amend it in that respect. The foregoing observations with regard to the opera- tion and effect of the bill on the price of corn, presume that our trade is nicely balanced, and our currency rightly governed, neither of which is the case. Our prices ought to be regulated by our foreign trade, but they seldom are; and with our present system of bank- ing and currency, will be subject to great fluctuations in spite of any corn laws that can be framed. Nor would it be proper to consider this or any other bill perfect. We cannot pass a corn law at present that will not be subject to revisal as our knowledge and ex- perience increase. All that can be said of it is, that it appears the best which, in the present situation of cir- cumstances, has been devised. 137 SECTION IX. On our Systems of Banking and Currency. The Corn Bill can only affect Prices, in as far as by Means of the Balance of Payments it affects the Issues of the Country Banks. — With every nation, but parti- cularly with a great commercial nation like this, where the transactions of society expressed in money are so numerous and complicated, an unchangeable value of money and steady prices, are, as we have before men- tioned, more important than any oilier consideration. So far as the corn bill goes, it will have the effect of producing steady prices ; but we have stated that our prices will fluctuate in spite of the corn bill; and it will be proper to make a few observations on those causes, by which it will thus, to a certain extent, at least, be rendered of no effect. The corn bill can only regulate the price of corn, by regulating the quantity and value of the money in cir- culation, — by keeping out corn, until there is a suffi- cient quantity of money in the country to raise prices to the level required ; and when they are too high, by letting it in, in sufficient quantities to take off the sur- plus currency, and reduce prices to their proper level again. But the circulation by which the price of corn is regulated with us, as we explained in section 2nd, consists of the notes of the country bankers. The corn bill, therefore, can only regulate prices, in as far as the money which comes into or goes out of the country, produces a corresponding enlargement and contraction of their issues. Should their issues enlarge and con- s 138 tract, independent of, and unconnected with, the ba- lance of payments, to the extent that this independent action takes place, the corn bill can have no effect whatever in preventing our prices from fluctuating. The proper Amount of Paper in Circulation is such an Amount as "will preserve Prices at the level at which our Foreign Trade will balance. — It, indeed, has always been assumed that the banks correctly supply the country with the proper amount of currency. If this were the case, the amount of their notes current would, at all times, be equal to the sum of metallic money which would be in circulation, were there no bank notes. A nation within itself has no occasion for one particular quantity of money more than another. It is of no importance to it whether corn be a penny, or a pound a bushel, whether gold be the value of copper, or copper the value of gold. The relative value of all things would be as well preserved at one scale of prices as at another. It is only with reference to the adjust- ment of its foreign trade that a particular quantity of money in circulation and scale of prices, can be requisite. This quantity must be sufficient to keep prices at the level at which its foreign trade will balance in commo- dities. Had we no bank notes, this quantity would, of course, be the sum of metallic money current; and if our banks correctly supply the country with the currency proper for it, the sum in circulation will always be equal to this quantity. The Balance of Payments the Rule by which to know whether our Circulation be deficient, or redundant. — Now, with a metallic currency, were the prices too high, the balance of payments would be against us, and they would fall in consequence; were prices too low, the balance would be in our favor, and they would, in con- 139 sequence, rise. It would only be by means of the balance of payments that we could know whether the currency was redundant, or deficient ; and if our paper currency is as perfect as has been supposed, it will, of course, follow, that with a balance of payments in our favor, it will enlarge, and our prices rise ; that with a balance against us, it will contract, and our prices fall ; and that when the balance is neither for nor against us, the amount in circulation will be stationary and prices steady. This is an infallible test by which to know whether the banks supply the country at all times with a proper amount of money or not ; and by which also, we shall know, whether the corn bill would have the effect expected from it in keeping prices steady. The Balance of Payments since the War, proves that the Amount of our Currency is not regulated by our Foreign Trade. — Let us, therefore, examine how far our currency is perfect, or imperfect, according to this test, commencing with the end of the war, when our trade was thrown open to the world at large. The following gives the annual demand for stamps by the country bankers, and average prices of wheal, from vear 1813 : — 1813, ^12,615,509 Wh leat 106 s. 1814, 10,773,375 72s. 1815, 7,624,949 63s. 1816, 6,423,466 76s. 1817, 9,075,958 94s. 1818, 12,316,868 83s. 1819, 5,640,313 72s. 1820, 3,574,894 65s. 1821, 3,987,582 54s. 1822, 4,217,341 43s 1823, 4,657,589 S 2 51s 140 1824, .£6,093,367 Wheat 62s. 1825, 8,532,438 66s. In 1826, the further issue of stamps for one pound notes to the country bankers was suspended. This, together with the effects of the panic, in substituting bank of England paper and gold for their notes, has destroyed, in some measure, the value of the late returns, as means of ascertaining correctly, the progress of their issues. But there can be no doubt, that the circulation generally, has been materially reduced. Now, by this table it appears, that our currency be- gan to contract and prices to fall in 1814. The fall, indeed, which occurred, was out of proportion with the amount of reduction in the circulation ; but there would have been a fall without any contraction of the currency, from the sudden enlargement of our commer- cial transactions, which would render it impossible for the same amount of money to keep up the same scale of prices. The question, however, at present is, not what fall any contraction in the currency did produce, but whether the contractions or extensions which did take place, were produced by our foreign trade or not. Now, had this contraction been produced by our fo- reign trade, it must have been the result of a balance of payments against us — of a quantity of money actually sent out of the country, and this did not and could not at that time have occurred. The banks were not then compelled to pay their notes in gold, and there was no gold whatever in circulation, and none to be obtained for the purpose of sending out of the country. The contraction was consequently produced by some cause quite unconnected with our foreign trade. Besides this, the contraction appears to have gone on until 1816. By the report on cash payments, however, 141 in 1819, we are informed that the balance of payments became favourable, and money began to flow into the country in July, 1815. From and after this time con- sequently prices would have risen, had the previous fall been at all produced by our foreign trade. By the same report, it appears that the balance turn- ed against us in October, 1817, and continued against us until the commencement of 1819. Notwithstanding which, it appears that in 1818, the issues of the banks materially increased. In 1819 the balance turned again in our favour, and continued so until 1824, in which time it is understood that we received in gold and silver between twenty and thirty millions, an amount almost incredible ; yet our currency continued to contract the principal part of that time to an extent never before known. In 1824, however, the balance turned against us, and continued against us to a great extent until the latter end of 1825. Notwithstanding this, our currency in both these years was very much enlarged. After that the balance became favourable, and has continued so until lately, although it is evident that our currency must have contracted. We thus have the clearest possible evidence, that our paper currency does not faithfully represent a me- tallic currency; that it is increased and diminished by the influence of causes that would not effect such a currency ; that it increases when a metallic currency would decrease, and decreases when a metallic cur- rency would increase ; and that it is not regulated by, or with reference to our foreign trade: the only means of determining the amount of money which a nation requires, when no particular scale of prices is fixed upon. 112 The Balance of Payments since the War, the Effect as well as Proof of Derangements in the Currency. — In- deed, it is pretty evident that these balances of pay- ments were not the cause, but the effect of the fluctu- ations in the currency. Our foreign trade will balance at only a particular level of prices; and, when they fall below that level, the natural effect is to produce a balance of payments in our favour ; when they rise above it, to produce a balance against us. When the balance of payments therefore became favour- able, in 1815, it was a proof that the previous con- traction of the currency had been too great. On the other hand, in 1818, the balance against us was a proof that our prices were too high, whether resulting from the enlargement of the circulation, or from throw- ing open our ports to the admission of foreign corn, duty free ; and the immense sums of money we receiv- ed during the great fall in prices which followed, proved that fall, beyond all question, to have been most unnatural and improper ; and so with every suc- ceeding balance for and against us that we have since had. A balance of payments in our. favour, naturally and legitimately arising, would always precede and produce a rise in prices : and, a balance against us, would al- ways be succeeded by a fall. When this is not the case — when a balance of payments in our favour is preceded and followed by a fall in prices, it is as clear a proof of derangement in the currency as can be given. When, likewise, a balance of payments against us is preceded and followed by a rise in price, the proof of derangement in the currency is equally conclusive. The Balance of Payments, but for the Influence of other Causes, would have a greater Effect upon our Paper 143 than upon a Metallic Currency. — We do not, however, mean to infer, that a balance of payments has no effect upon our currency. It would have a greater effect up- on it than upon a metallic currency, were it not for the superior and over-ruling effect of other causes. Money, which comes into the country, is imported, in payment for our manufactures exported, the basis of which consists in agricultural produce, represented by labour and the profits of capital. Hence, the money is due to, and is received by the nation at large. But gold has hitherto, with the exception of one county, not circulated out of London ; and is either imported direct into London, or is sent thither after being receiv- ed in other parts of the kingdom. The person, however, to whom the money is ultimately due in the country, does not want the money in London — he wants it in the country. If, therefore, it be imported into London on his account, he draws upon his correspondent in Lon- don to whom it is consigned, for the amount of it. This bill he discounts with the country banker, who gives him his notes for it. These notes are, to him, the same as the gold would be ; while the country cir- culation, in as far as not counteracted by other causes, is as much increased as if the gold had itself been cir- culated in the country. The correspondent in London, on the other hand, to whom the gold would be con- signed, would pay the bill drawn upon him for the amount of it, with the gold itself, or the proceeds of it. He would either send it to the mint, and have it coin- ed, or he would sell it to the hank of England for its notes, and with these would pay the bill to the agent of the country banker. If the gold, instead of being imported into London on behalf of the person in the country, was received in the country direct, it would 144 be placed in the bands of the country banker, who would, when the money was wanted, give his notes for it; and, by him, it would be sent up to London. This would amount to the same thing as if it had been sent to London in the first instance. In either case the country banker would obtain the possession and use of the gold in London, for which he would give his notes in the country. Should the gold be received by a London merchant, the goods must come from the country which it pays for ; or if by a London manufacturer, the necessaries of life and articles of consumption in which the wages of labour, &c. consist, must be received from the country, and in both cases, bills upon London must be drawn for them, which would be discounted with the country banker, and be paid with the gold or the proceeds of it. So that by whomsoever gold is received, it finally comes into the possession of the agent in London of the country banker on the country banker's account, and gives rise to a corresponding issue of country bank notes, as well as to an increase in the circulation of London. The reverse of this occurs when the balance is against us. The money is due to foreign nations by the country at large. Bills upon London are obtained in the country of the country banker by those who have to remit money abroad. With these bills, gold, by the agency of Mr Rothschild and others, is obtained from the bank of England and sent abroad; and the country bank circulation and that of the bank of England, if not counteracted by other causes, are both contracted to the extent of the sum exported. A metallic currency would only be increased, or diminished, in the amount of the sum exported, or imported. Whereas, ours is evidently increased, or 145 diminished in double the sum. A balance of payments either for or against us ought, therefore, to have double the effect in raising or depressing our prices, whereas, we can hardly perceive that it has any effect at all. This must, of course, arise from the superior and more potent influence of those other causes by which our currency is affected. The Principles upon 'which the Banks issue their Notes. — We have thus shewn that the circulation of the country banks is not governed by the foreign trade of the country, and that, consequently, their notes can- not be issued upon right principles. We will now, therefore, proceed to examine the principles upon which they are issued. The Bank of England. — The issues of the bank of England, and the country banks, are made upon the same general principles ; and it will assist us in under- standing the latter, to examine the former in the first instance. The Demand for the Notes of the Bank, of two Kinds, external and internal. — There are two classes or modes of demand for money experienced by the bank of Eng- land. It issues its notes, either in the purchase of gold, or in loans to government and the public, and it con- tracts its issues, either by supplying a demand for gold, or by withdrawing its loans from government or the public. These are the only two ways in which it can issue them. It must either buy gold with them, or lend them at interest. Its issues can only be increased or diminished upon gold, when our foreign trade brings it into, or takes it out of the country. Its issues upon gold must, there- fore, be regulated by external causes, which, for bre- T 146 vity of expression, may be termed the external demand for money. Its loans to government, and the public, on the other hand, are the result of the demand which they have for interest money, or the savings of income, at the rate of interest which the bank charges, or is willing to lend at. This is altogether an internal demand for money. It is neither affected by, nor has it reference to, our foreign trade and payments. It depends upon the amount of income saved, compared with the demand for such savings, either in trade, or by government, and persons, who occasionally spend more than their in- come. Hence, it may be termed the internal, in con- tra-distinction to the external demand for money. Money lent at Interest always the Savings of Income. — The notes of the bank thus issued always represent the savings of income, or answer the same purpose. If the issues of the bank are not increased by any loan it makes at interest, an equal amount of money must have been previously saved out of income, and paid into the bank, in which case, the party borrows the income previously saved ; but if not, and the issues of the bank are increased by the loan, prices rise, and the party who has borrowed the money obtains value for it by depriving the holders of the money in previous circu- lation, of a proportionate power of purchasing com- modities. An economy is thus created, though a forced economy, but it answers all the purpose of a voluntary one. It makes no difference to the party borrowing the money, whether the value he obtains for it, be pre- viously and voluntarily saved, or saved by the power of consumption on the part of those who held the money in previous circulation, being limited. Hence, when the bank lends money at interest, it always lends the 147 savings of income ; it lends savings which either have been, or will be made. On the other hand, if money be saved and paid into the bank, and be not lent out again, it is cancelled, the savings are done away, prices fall, and a power of consumption adequate to the money cancelled, is acquired by those who possess the money left in circulation. The Bank cannot issue to Excess in supplying the external Demand for its Notes. — The external demand for money being a mere exchange of gold for notes, the bank cannot issue to excess in supplying it. Money comes into the country only when the circulation is deficient, and leaves it when it is redundant, and when the bank purchases gold with its notes, it substitutes them for money which would be coined at the mint and put into circulation, if not purchased by it. And when, on the other hand, it contracts its issues in supplying a demand for gold, it only reduces the circulation to the extent that it would otherwise be reduced did the bank not supply the demand. Gold is obtained at the bank, only because it is more convenient than to take it out of circulation. Therefore, in issuing its notes upon gold imported, and in contracting them in supplying a demand for exportation, it cannot be wrong. The Bank can only issue to Excess in supplying the internal Demand for Money. — Hence, it is only in sup- plying the internal demand for money, that an excess of issues can be made. This demand, however, is un- limited. If the bank, for instance, were to charge only one per cent., it might issue as many notes as it thought proper. There would be hardly any limits to the de- mand for money at so low a rate of interest. On the other hand, it can withdraw its advances at pleasure, — it can take all its notes out of circulation which are lent t 2 148 at interest, when it pleases to compel their re-payment, and thus reduce the circulation to nothing, in as far as it depends upon the internal demand for money. Thus the issues of the bank in supplying the internal demand for money are altogether arbitrary, and can cither be raised above their right level or be reduced beneath it at any time. The Policy of the Bank Directors in regulating its Is- sues. — The difficulty, however, is to ascertain this right level. The plan of the Directors, we infer, is to keep its issues or loans at interest, at, or nearly at a fixed a- mount, and allow whatever fluctuations occur in the a- mount of its notes current, to arise from the supply or demand for gold. In dealing with the public, it charges a fixed rate of interest — either 4 or 5 per cent. But it cannot always keep its issues steady at either of these rates ; and when there is not a sufficient demand for money upon com- mercial bills, it is obliged to take less. This it does, not by lowering its rate of interest to its commercial customers, but by purchasing exchequer bills in the market, which generally yield fully one per cent, less than commercial bills, or by advancing money upon them to government. When the demand for money, at interest, exceeds the amount the bank is disposed to lend, it can easily keep its issues down at the right level by declining to lend more than this amount. But when the demand falls off, the only way in which the bank is thus able to keep its issues at the proper level, is by re- ducing the rate of interest it charges. The Effect of a Balance of Payments on the Money Market of London. — Any enlargement or contraction of issues by the bank, however, though it be in conse- quence of a supply or demand for gold, and, there- 149 fore, an enlargement and contraction, which would take place in the amount of the circulation of London, whether the bank purchased and sold the gold or not, is apt to produce a great sensation, and to call down upon the heads of the directors no small degree of blame, of which they are not in the least degree de- serving. This arises from the effect which the importation of gold has upon the money market of London. Not probably more than one- tenth of the gold imported ought to remain in London ; that portion only ought to remain which the consumptive circulation of London bears to the rest of the kingdom. The remainder ought to be sent into the country to pay for the com- modities which were exported in purchase of it. But, the country bankers, by substituting their notes for it, obtain the power of circulating it in London. This they do by purchasing stock with it, or by lending it at interest; and the effect is just the same as if, with- out a balance of payments in our favour, the bank of England had increased its issues by doing the same thing. When, therefore, the balance of payments is in our own favour, interest money becomes very plenti- ful in London, the bankers can only obtain a low rate for it, and the funds rise. A capital is created, for which there is no particular demand ; and the money can only be kept in circulation by the low rate at which the bankers are willing to lend it upon any safe description of securities which can be had. On the other hand, when the balance of payments turns against us, and the money is required for exportation, the bankers are obliged to sell the stock they had before purchased, and draw in the loans they had made. The capital, which had been before created, comes now to be cancelled — the interest of money rises — the price of stocks falls, and a considerable degree of pecuniary em- barrassment is felt. The persons who had been induced by the previously low rate of interest to borrow money, and of course to employ it in some way, find themselves unable to repay it. The bankers, on the other hand, cannot do without it, and are, in consequence, put to much inconvenience. So that, when a considerable balance of payment against us succeeds a considerable balance in our favour, a great deal of commercial em- barrassment is always felt in London, which isu nknown in other parts of the kingdom. On these occasions the bank directors are sure to be blamed, as they must necessarily have increased and diminished their issues on gold. Whereas, the whole is the consequence of a defect in our system of curren- cy, for which they are not accountable, and with which, as bankers, they are not obliged to trouble themselves. When gold comes into the country the circulation is deficient, and ought to be increased ; when it goes out, it is redundant, and ought to be diminished. The effect upon the value of the currency produced is a proper one. But if, in addition to this, a great and improper alteration takes place in the value of interest money, or savings of income in London, and commer- cial embarrassment is the consequence, it is a subject for the consideration of the legislature, and not of the. di- rectors of the bank. The private Bankers of London deal in Interest Mo- ney only. — The bank of England being the only bank which issues notes in London, the private bankers deal in interest money, or the savings of income, only. What money, therefore, is placed in their hands, they lend out again. They have no power of creating or J51 cancelling the savings of income, by an enlargement or contraction of issues. They can only lend what money has been previously lent to them. Neither can they fix a particular rate of interest. London is peculiarly, as we have pointed out, liable to the fluctuations in the supply of interest money. The demand, however, va- ries as well as the supply, and they lend what they have to lend, on the best terms they can obtain. These have occasionally varied within the year, from two to five per cent, on the best securities. But the amount of money in circulation is not in the least affected by their operations. They make their profits by lending it, and not by keeping it in hand. Hence, they are certain to keep it in circulation, at one rate of interest or another. The Hate of Interest cannot be arbitrarily fixed. — Great and sudden variations in the rate of interest in such a country as this, are probably not natural, and those which occur in London, are no doubt to be attributed to the causes we have just pointed out as peculiar to the money market of London. But assuming the average rate of interest to be ever so steady, it cannot be arbitrarily fixed. Whether it ought to be three, four, or five per cent, can only be determined by the proportion which the supply of the savings of in- come bears to the demand in the market. It can no more be fixed at any particular rate than the price of sugar, coffee, or any other commodity. This, the bank of England has discovered : for, though it fixes a particular rate in dealing with the public, it can never, as we have before mentioned, keep its advances steady at that rate ; and is frequently obliged to take less, by purchasing exchequer bills or 152 otherwise. It is important, however, that it should keep its issues stead)' in supplying the internal demand for money, in whatever way, or at whatever interest its loans are made ; and this it no doubt generally endea- vours to do. The Issues of the Bank would fluctuate were they governed by the Demand for Money at any given Rate of Interest. — But it may easily be perceived, that if the bank were to regulate its issues by no other rate than the demand it had for money at four per cent, or any particular rate of interest, that its issues would always be above or below what they ought to be. Sometimes, interest money in London, is not to be had at five per cent., and the public could take most readily a few millions of additional capital at that rate. At other times, the bank has hardly any demand for money whatever at four per cent. Nor could these fluctuations have any reference whatever to the balance of payments. They would be governed by the state of the economy of the nation, compared with its expenditure ; and men neither save money nor spend it with reference to the balance of payments. One effect, no doubt, would be produced by the bank regulating its issues by the demand for money at a particular rate of interest, namely, that the rate of in- terest would be kept steady. Instead of the savings of income rising above four per cent., the enlargement of issues would create an additional quantity sufficient to supply, at four per cent., the increased demand. On the other hand, when the savings of income were not in such request, and the demand at four per cent, fell off, the notes of the bank would be withdrawn, and the supply of such savings, to a corresponding extent, would be cancelled, by which the rate of interest would i5S be kept up. The alteration in the demand for capital would not affect its value. The supply of it by means of the enlargement and contraction of the currency, would be created and cancelled as it was required. Prices would fluctuate instead of the interest of money. The Monopoly of the Bank of England cannot be done away until our System of Currency be otherwise improv- ed. — This would, of course, be a very improper effect, which the bank, in consequence of being the only esta- blishment in London that issues notes, is enabled to prevent. Were its monopoly done away before the adoption of a better system of currency, and the circu- lation of London thrown open to the competition of rival establishments, they could not regulate their issues by any other rate than the supply and demand for mo- ney at some fixed rate of interest. They would know nothing of each others operations ; and each bank would lend as much money as it could. They might be so far a check upon each other, as to prevent one bank exceeding its proportion with the rest. But the increase and decrease of demand for money would be felt by all the banks at the same time, in proportion to the business they did, and the share of the circulation they possessed. They, therefore, would all increase or decrease their issues together. Hence, it is clear, that throwing the circulation of London open to competition, as has been proposed, would be injudicious. The system is bad enough as it is, but that would make it infinitely worse. Having thus explained the principles upon which the issues of the Bank of England are made, we shall next proceed to consider the issues of the country banks. The Country Banks. The external Demand for u 154- Money experienced in a Supply and Demand for Bills upon London. — The issues of the country banker, like those of the Bank of England, are founded upon an external and internal demand for money. lie is obliged to pay his notes in gold as well as the Bank of England. But so long as his credit remains good, he is never called upon to do so in the country. All, or nearly all, gold is exported from London, and when gold is wanted of him for exportation in exchange for his notes, instead of paying them in gold he pays them by a bill upon London. Nor is it necessary for him to keep a dead stock of gold in London to pay these bills with. If he have go- vernment stock or other securities in London, which he can convert into money without loss, it answers his purpose quite as well. If he can only meet the pay- ment of his bills, it makes no difference in what man- ner. The party to whom he gives them can obtain gold from the Bank of England at any time. When, therefore, he obtains gold, and sends it up to London, or obtains a bill upon London (which is the same thing to the country banker as obtaining gold) and sends it to his agent, he orders him to purchase stock with the proceeds, or otherwise lend the money for him on such securities, as will afford him the best interest which can be had, consistent with their being re- convertible into money, without loss, at a short notice. A banker's funds in London are to him consequent- ly, what gold is to the bank of England. It cannot increase its issues too much upon gold, nor does he consider that he can do so in discounting bills upon London. It cannot diminish its issues too much in supplying a demand for gold, nor he, as he supposes, in supplying a demand for bills upon London. 15.5 A Banker, as regards his oiim Security, cannot issue to Excess in Discotinting Bills upon London. — It must be obvious indeed, that, as a banker, he is quite safe in making advances upon good bills upon London. So long as he can keep his funds in London available, that is, so long as he can at any time obtain money in London upon these bills, or upon any stock, or other securities he may purchase with the money obtained, for them, he has the means ready to re-pay the notes issued upon them. If, therefore, he should fall into discredit, and the public should bring in the notes for payment; or, if a demand should arise for bills upon London, provided he have previously issued them in discounting bills upon London, he has nothing to fear. Thus, a banker may advance his notes upon bills upon London, with the same facility and safety against the consequences, as the bank of England can do in the purchase of gold. The Supply and Demand for Bills upon London, may result from the internal, and the local, as well as from the general Balance of Payments, or external Demand for Money. — But the country banker does not obtain a supply, and experience a demand for London bills, only when the balance of payments is for or against the nation. There are other causes which give rise to such a supply and demand ; and of these there are first, the internal, and next, the local balance of payments. The first of these, is the balance which arises between different parts of the country. It must be remembered, that there is a balance of payments between counties, as well as between kingdoms. Not only must the cur- rency of the kingdom, and its scale of prices, be at that level, which will bring its trade to a balance in commo- dities with foreign nations, but the currency and prices u 2 1.56 in each county must bear that proportion with the rest, which shall bring its trade with them to such a balance; and, when any inequality takes place, an internal ba- lance of payments must arise, by which to adjust it. With a metallic currency, money would be remitted for that purpose. There would be a rise and fall in the exchanges, or price of bills, between different places, as there is between different kingdoms. But, with us, a banker's bill upon London answers all the purpose. The banker who grants the bill, contracts his issues, and the currency is diminished in that part of the country from which the money is to be remitted, and from which the bill is sent; while, on the other hand, the banker enlarges his issues who discounts the bill, and the currency is enlarged in that part to which the balance of payments is due, and by which the bill is received. The next is the local balance of payments. This is that which arises between the bankers themselves. The circulation is divided amongst the banks, and the share which each banker has, is determined by the business which he does with the public. A banker cannot en- large his issues out of his usual proportion with his neighbours, without he increases his general business. Were he to attempt it, the notes would, in the regular course of business, come into their hands, and he must pay them by a bill upon London — the manner in which, of course, the bankers settle with each other. The Local and Internal Balances of Payments quickly arise. — These balances must also quickly arise. Every man in business, or of property, has an account with a bank, and never keeps any great amount of money in his house or his pocket. The moment he receives any quantity, he puts it into his banker's hands, and the 157 increased issues of any bank are thus immediately re- turned into the hands of some bank or other, and the original issuer has to repay them. No banker can increase his issues out of his usual proportion with his neighbours, without he enlarges his trade, and can sus- tain the increase by obtaining an equal quantity of his neighbour's notes in return ; otherwise the moment his notes are issued in excess, he has to repay them by a bill upon London, and take them out of circulation. Thus, the local balance against him, in event of his issues being above his due proportion with his neigh- bours, is almost instantaneous. Neither can the internal balance of payments be long in arising, when any inequality in the circulation exists. The country bank notes in consumptive circulation cannot exceed ten millions, while the agricultural pro- duce alone, the consumption of which they promote, must amount to a hundred millions. This is seldom consumed where it is grown. A great portion of it is transported from one part of the country to another ; and, a shilling or two per quarter, or a halfpenny a pound upon meat, will turn the stream of supply in any direction. This difference, a very small inequality in the circulation would cause, and a proportionably small excess of supply would correct. The inequalities in the course of the year must be confined to three or four millions on the ten; and, an alteration in the sup- ply, of three or four in the hundred millions, divided and spread throughout the year over the whole king- dom, will be sufficient to adjust it. There are, however, an immense number of London bills crossing and re-crossing each other. But every London bill does not diminish, nor every one received, increase the circulation. The circulation is only in- creased, or diminished, if the balance upon the whole be in favor, or against the district. The great mass of receipts and payments balance each other, and they must altogether do so upon the aggregate. When the balance of payments either for, or against a district arises, and an altei'ation in prices takes place, it is for the very purpose of bringing the internal trade to this balance. Thus, besides the general balance of payments for, or against the nation, by which a supply and demand for London bills is produced, there is the internal balance of payments, or that balance which arises for, or against the town or district, and the local balance which arises between the different banks. From the Internal and Local Balance of Payments no general Increase or Diminution of Issues can take place. — It will be proper, however, to keep in mind, that from the two last mentioned balances of payment, no general increase or diminution of issues can occur. When money is remitted from one part of the country to another, by means of a bill upon London, if the circulation be extended on the one hand, it is con- tracted on the other ; and the same when by the local balance. As the issues of one bank are increased, those of its neighbours are diminished in an equal proportion. The internal and local balances of pay- ments only equalize the circulation, they can neither enlarge nor contract it. A Supply and Demand for Bills upon London, also generated by the Demand for Interest Money or Income. — A demand and supply of bills upon London, is not, however, confined to the sources above mentioned, they are also produced by the demand for interest money, or the savings of income. 159 Suppose a person in the country had a thousand pounds in the funds, and wished to build with it, or spend it in any other manner, he would give his banker a power to enable him to sell the stock, and as he want- ed the money he would cheque upon him for it. The banker would sell the stock through his agent in Lon- don, and employ the money in London on his own ac- count — perhaps purchase the stock himself; and he would pay the cheques of the party on whose account the stock was sold, with his own notes. Thus his funds in London would be increased a thousand pounds, and so would his issues. In as far, however, as such increase rendered his issues out of proportion with his neighbours, the local balance of payments would be turned against him, which he would have to settle by drawing upon London. To this extent, therefore, his circulation and funds in London would be again decreased. But the circulation of the district, would still be enlarged, and the funds in London of the bankers of the dis- trict would also be enlarged a thousand pounds. By this means, however, the circulation of the district would be raised one thousand pounds above its proper level, and an internal balance of payments against it would be created, which would have to be met by drafts upon London. So that finally, though the circu- lation generally would be enlarged a thousand pounds, and the funds in London of the country bankers would be increased in that amount, yet it would come to be distributed over the whole kingdom, while the banker, through whom the operation was first effected, and through whom the inci'ease first took place, might not enjoy five pounds of additional circulation by it. On the other hand, if a person were to take to a 160 banker, a thousand pounds which he had saved, and order him to purchase stock with it, he would have to furnish the money in London to purchase it with. — This would reduce his funds in London, and he would contract his issues to that extent, that is, he would not re-issue the notes again. This would make first, a lo- cal balance in his favor, and then an internal balance in favor of the district. The circulation would be con- tracted a thousand pounds, but it would be spread over the kingdom, and the reduction in his issues might not be five pounds. The expansion and contraction thus produced would chiefly be made by means of a supply and demand for London bills. The first banker only could have any chance of knowing that the operations were founded on a sale and purchase of stock. But any distinction between a demand for money on stock, or on bills, the result of an importation of gold, the bankers are not aware of, and could not make if they were disposed. The only guide a banker can have in reference to his circulation, is the slate of his funds in London. With him there is not a more safe and legitimate foundation for an increase of issues than a sale of stock. A demand, however, for money upon, or by a sale of stock, is an internal demand. There is no difference in principle between a banker issuing his notes, on a sale of stock, and the bank of England issuing its notes in purchasing exchequer bills. There are no limits to such issues but the discretion of the parties. The bank of England could, at any time, by a fresh issue of notes, purchase exchequer bills to any extent ; and the country bankers could buy up the whole national debt with their notes upon the most legitimate principles of country banking. 161 Every order for a sale of stock is a transfer to the banker of the money in London, which it produces, and he becomes, consequently, a buyer of as much stock as is sold. If the bankers had orders to sell the whole national debt, it would not make any difference in the money market; they would purchase to a shilling the same amount as they disposed of. It would practically be nothing but a transfer of securities in exchange for their notes. They might as well, with reference to the currency, advance the same money on the mortgage of, or in the purchase of land. The only difference would be, that the interest upon stock is payable in London, while the rent of land is payable in the country ; an important difference, no doubt, to the banker, but none as regards the principles on which the notes would be issued. The Country Bankers are unable to disti?iguish the Principles upon which their Issues are made. — Thus it will appear evident, that bankers generally cannot have the power of distinguishing from their own experience any difference between a demand for their notes result- ing from an importation of gold or a sale of stock. Neither can they, from their own experience, distin- guish whether a contraction or enlargement of the cur- rency takes place, by money being placed in their hands, and not lent out again, or by being drawn out of their hands, without a corresponding amount having been previously lodged with them. The moment a person lodges money with a banker, which the banker cannot lend out again, his circulation being reduced beneath the level of his neighbours, the local balance of pay- ments is determined in his favour, in the first instance, and next, the internal balance is determined in favour of the district, and vice versa. Except, therefore, by x 162 the first bank, the contraction or enlargement thus pro- duced, is the result of a demand or supply of London bills, the same as if it were produced by an exportation and importation of gold. Thus it will be seen that it is quite impossible for the bankers to know practically, the causes by which their issues are increased and diminished. All they know is, that they can neither increase nor diminish them out of proportion with their neighbours in the regular way of their business. Hence, they have been led to infer, that they have always correctly supplied the country with the proper amount of money. And as bankers, it was hardly possible for them to have formed any other conclusion. All the Issues of the Country Banks made in supplying the Demand for the Savings of Income. — This conclu- sion, however, is very far from being a just one. Their notes are lent over the counter to persons who give se- curities for them, which must be of two kinds; either local securities — such as mortgages, bonds, or bills payable at home, or money lent to individuals upon their own personal responsibility ; or London securi- ties, — such as bills upon London, a transfer of stock or other property in London, or bills upon other places, which will be finally paid by bills upon London. A demand for money upon home securities is evi- dently a demand for the savings of income, and as we have before seen, bills upon London may arise from a transfer of stock, as much as upon an importation of gold. But it must also be observed, that when the country banks issue their notes in the discount of London bills, founded upon an importation of gold, and their notes come to represent the gold in the country, it, on the 163 other hand, represents their notes in London, by which they, in point of fact, supply a corresponding interest demand for money in London. The gold, in represent- ing their notes, produces the same effect as if they had issued the same amount of notes in London, in the purchase of stock, &c. without an importation of gold. All the issues of the country banks, therefore, are, directly or indirectly, made in supplying the demand for the savings of income. The Causes of the Fluctuations in the Amount of Country Bank Notes, since the War. — There are, how- ever, only two principles upon which the issues of the country banks can be increased and decreased, namely, by an importation and exportation of gold, or by an alteration in the supply and demand for the savings of income. We have only to determine, by reference to the ba- lance of payments, that any fluctuation in the amount of their issues, did not proceed from the former, in or- der to determine that they did proceed from the latter cause. Now we have already seen, by an examination into the fluctuations in the issues of the country banks, which have occurred since the war, that they were not produced by importations and exportations of gold, and they consequently must have proceeded from fluctua- tions in the demand and supply of the savings of in- come : except, indeed, in so far as they have resulted from want of confidence. It is absolutely necessary, in order for the banks to issue notes at all, that they should have confidence in the securities offered them by the public, and that the public should have confi- dence in the stability of the banks. When this mutual confidence is destroyed, a very powerful cause for a x 2 104 contraction of the currency, at least, is immediately produced. The fluctuations, since the war, have proceeded from both these causes ; though chiefly from the former. This is easily accounted for. The country banks al- ways charge a fixed rate of interest, and never lend money, except at that rate. This we have seen in the case of the bank of England, could not fail to produce great fluctuations in the amount of its issues ; and it is o obvious, that it must have the same effect upon those of the country banks. Hence, the fluctuations in their issues, since the war, may probably be thus accounted for. During the war, the borrowings of government kept the savings of income scarce, and interest high. But, on the return of peace, the demand for money began to fall off, and the currency to contract. This, how- ever, was in part counteracted, by the extension of de- mand for capital in trade, from the new channels that were opened ; and had it not been for the failures amongst the banks in 1815 and 1816, and the want of confidence by the public in the banks, and by the banks in the public, the currency, at that time, would not have contracted so much as it did. That the con- traction in 1815 and 1816, was greatly the result of want of confidence, is sufficiently proved by the evi- dence of the bankers, taken by the committee on the resumption of cash payments, in 1819. In 1816 we had a bad harvest, and a great loss of income. This produced a great demand upon the banks for money, and a corresponding extension of issues ; a demand, which was no doubt increased by the commercial activity to which the extension of issues gave rise. This extension took place in 1817 and 1818. 165 In 1819, our currency began again to contract. This, we have no doubt, was still the effects of our re- turn from war to peace. The economy and expendi- ture of the country must always be accommodated to each other. What one part of the community spends, the other must save. When, therefore, government borrowed so largely duiing the war, it raised the rate of interest and profits, and enabled the commercial classes to save the money it borrowed ; but when it ceases to borrow, they must cease to save. This, on the other hand, would be brought about by a reduction of interest and profits. The savings, for which there did not exist the usual demand, would have to be lent at less interest, or be employed in trade, where the capital was already as great as was necessary, and where, by competition, the scale of pro- fits would be reduced. By this means, the commercial classes would be deprived of the power of saving, until the economy of the nation was reduced to a level with its expenditure. This, no doubt, would take a few years to accomplish, and we are disposed to consider the un- precedented contraction of the currency which occurred from 1819 to 182-', — in which time, it is probable, that the issues of the banks were annihilated, and replaced by fresh issues on the gold imported, to have been the result of the effort of nature to restore the savings of the nation to a level with the reduced demand for them, consequent upon the cessation of borrowing by go- vernment. When things run to extremes, one is apt to beget another; and, in 1823, it is probable, that the banks began to experience a demand for the money previous- ly deposited with them, in consequence of the economy of the nation having been reduced below its proper 166 level. They began, in consequence, to increase their issues, notwithstanding the balance of payments was, shortly after, turned against the country. That the sum of our currency should increase and decrease in spite of the balance of payments, will not appear surprising, when we reflect that government alone has borrowed, in one year, nearly as much inte- rest money, or the savings of income, as the whole of the currency amounts to. So long as it is affected, therefore, by the savings of income, the balance of pay- ments must have a very secondary influence. It may, in time, heal the wound or fluctuation caused, but can never prevent it. Since 1825, the contraction has evidently proceeded from the panic, and its consequences. But the econo- my and expenditure of the nation, must now be pretty much upon a level ; and, there is no doubt, that as soon as trade is restored to its proper state, the issues of the banks will again increase. A Reform in our Systems of Currency and Banking required. — It must be unnecessary to repeat, that all these causes of fluctuations or derangements in our currency, were illegitimate, as their effects were evi- dently injurious. No alterations in the amount of the currency, and scale of prices, ought ever to be pro- duced by any internal cause. The only object of any one particular scale of prices more than another, is to regulate our foreign trade, and bring it to a balance in commodities, which can never be accomplished as long as the prices vary, from fluctuations in the value of money, and from want of confidence in the banks. It is clear, therefore, that our monetary system is defec- tive, and that a reform in it is required ; and we shall next proceed to consider the nature of this reform. 167 The Power of issuing Notes at Pleasure ought to be taken from the Banks, and the Currency be made to regulate itself without human Interference, on the same Principles as a Metallic Currency.— These are of two kinds, first, as regards the mode in which the currency is issued, and next, as regards the stability of the banks that issue it, and by which the money operations of the country are conducted. In the first place, then, it must be obvious that our currency is issued on wrong principles. A metallic currency is evidently the proper model for a circulating medium. The amount of it would be regulated by the foreign trade of the country : banks could not increase it, as they do notes; and they evidently would not destroy it. When our trade balanced, our prices would be steady, and the balance could not be disturbed. The savings of income would have no effect in altering the amount of money in circulation. When they ex- ceeded the demand for them, the interest of money would fall ; when they were scarce, it would rise. The economy and expenditure of the nation would not affect the price of commodities ; nor would the amount of money current be determined by any human agency. It would be determined by our foreign trade alone, regulated, no doubt, by the corn laws. Now, this is precisely what should be the case with our currency. It can never be perfect until the power of issuing notes at pleasure be taken from the banks altogether, and the system be made to regulate itself without human interference, in the same manner as a metallic currency. And this is quite practicable. A gold circulation is neither necessary, nor desirable. Gold, as money, is a much less perfect instrument than paper, or, at least, 168 than paper may be rendered ; while, it may be made to regulate itself with equal precision and greater facility. It is the abuse, and not the use of paper money, that is objectionable. Gold is a rude and clumsy instrument compared with paper ; and, we have no doubt that when the subject of currency is better understood, paper will be adopted in preference to gold by every civilized country. In each of our former publications on corn and currency, we have pointed out the manner in which the currency may be made to regulate itself. But it is our intention to take the first leisure opportunity to devote a pamphlet exclusively to that subject, and we shall confine the few observations we have to make at pre- sent, chiefly to the banks, by which the currency is issued. We shall merely observe, with regard to that plan, that in one respect, it is imperfect. It proposes that our currency shall be issued by joint stock banks exclusively. Whereas, whenever it is regulated, it must be taken as it stands. Any further improvements, of whatever nature they may be, must be afterwards made by slow degrees. A Change in our System of Currency practicable with- out Injury to the existing Banks, which must be dealt with cautiously. — This, however, does not present any in- surmountable difficulty. We are persuaded, that by a succession of proper steps, taken at the proper times, our currency may be put upon the right footing almost without discussion in parliament ; and without any change, for which any one banker would find it neces- sary to prepare by calling in his issues, or in any other way altering his course of dealing with the public. We have, indeed, been taught, by recent experience, the frailty of our system, and the necessity of dealing 169 with it cautiously. Every banker's operations are of great importance to his customers, and not only ought nothing to be done, which would make him suddenly alter his course of dealing with them ; but even his mind ought to be kept at ease on the subject. The dubious nature of the credit on which he depends, keeps him at all times under a certain state of apprehension, and he might easily be worked upon in anticipation or fear of any change, to take steps which could not fail to be hurtful to the public. Private Banks never enjoy a rational public Confi- dence. — This state of apprehension, in which bankers exist, is the natural consequence of the system of private banking. Our banks do not consist on the average of more than three partners. These are in general wealthy. But the public have no evidence of their wealth, and frequently form very erroneous opinions on the subject. It often occurs, that a bank which has been supposed immensely rich, has been insolvent for 10 or 20 years. There are perhaps amongst the upper classes of commercial men, a few who have the power, from their knowledge of the parties, to exercise a pro- per discrimination. But should these doubt the sol- vency of a bank, they always keep it to themselves. The public at large have no means of discriminating with any accuracy, between one bank and another. They have, therefore, no rational ground of confidence, and consequently, in periods of confidence, they con- fide in all — in periods of distrust, they distrust all. The History of the Panic. — This latter was sufficient- ly proved by the general panic which occurred in De- cember, 1S25. The balance of payments in our favour, which had existed between 1819 and 1824, had made ca- pital plentiful in London, and it had been lent out by Y 170 the bankers on any kind of good security, upon which interest could be had, and people had been induced to borrow, by the easy terms upon which money could be obtained. But when the balance of payments was turned against us in 1824, a change began to be produced. But this change was not felt at first. The bank of England had previously accumulated a great stock of gold, and instead of allowing the circulation to contract, when the demand for it for exportation be- gan first to be experienced, they re-issued their notes in loans at interest, by which they created as much interest money on the one hand, as the balance of pay- ments cancelled on the other. By this means, the effect of the balance of payments upon the money market, was for some time averted. But the bank was obliged, at last, to let the balance of payments against us take its natural course; and, in the space, we believe, of less than twelve months, their issues were contracted three or four millions, independent of the gold cur- rency which might be taken out of circulation. All this, of course, was taken out of the money market. For this contraction of their issues, the directors in- curred much censure. But those who blamed them, were probably not aware that it was not a voluntary act on their part. The effect of it was, to produce much pecuniary embarrassment in the city of London ; and when this is the case, a mutual suspicion is certain to arise between the banks and their customers. The bankers ruin some of their customers by withdrawing their usual accommodation, and embarrass them all; and they, in consequence, begin to doubt and suspect the credit of all. The customers of a banker, on the other hand, always begin to think him poor, when he 371 is pinched. They never consider that he does not lend his own money, but the money that is lent to him ; and that if he has not as much lent him as usual, he cannot be as liberal as usual in lending to others. They do not reflect, that his title to their confidence rests upon the amount of his property, and the solvency of his bank, and not upon the state of his funds as a banker. But when he is poor in funds, they begin to doubt whether he be the wealthy person they took him for ; or, at any rate, if there be the least circumstance to hang a doubt upon, the doubt is very apt to be magni- fied. In this state of feeling, the least alarm will pro- duce a run upon a bank ; and thus matters stood in London in the latter end of 1825. In the country, things were different. A demand for money had arisen ; but, the banks had enlarged their issues, and supplied that demand, and no want of mo- ney was felt. The balance of payments was, no doubt, against the nation, and the funds in London of the country banks had been diminished; but, as these had previously been increased to a far greater extent, by the much greater balance which had before been so long in favour of the country, none of them that were at all solvent were inconvenienced. A few insolvent banks, however, did stop payment. When a country bank is insolvent, and is obliged to push its notes into circulation, in order to raise funds, the local balance of payments is so frequently against it, that it seldom has any large surplus of money in London, and there is nothing so likely to stop such a bank, as a balance of payments against the country, by which a general demand upon all the banks for bills upon London is created. In such case, its resources in London soon become exhausted, and its agents in Y 2 172 London refuse to accept its bills, or it is reduced to a course of dealing in the country, which betrays its weakness, and destroys its credit. The failure of each of these banks produced distrust, and runs upon the other banks in the neighbourhood where they were situated, but communicated no fur- ther. Panics in the country seldom extend beyond the neighbourhood where they occur. But the banks gene- rally throughout the kingdom, were, in consequence, induced to increase their stock of gold and bank of England notes, in anticipation of the possibility of their part of the country being visited by similar runs, from failures more near them. This demand for money, coming in addition to the previous exportation of gold, increased the scarcity of it in London to a great degree. The difficulties of the bankers' situation began to be understood, and the people to be alarmed for their safety, and smart runs took place upon some of them. These were promptly met. One, however, took place on the house of Sir Peter Pole, Bart., and Co., and it stopped payment. It met the run upon it, for two or three days, up to the Saturday night; but did not open on the Monday morning. Sir Peter Pole's was a very great house, and its stoppage caused an immediate distrust, more or less, of every bank in London, which was increased to a general panic by five other banks stopping payment also — being six in all. Three of these were wealthy houses, and resumed ; and two of the others paid, or will pay twenty shillings in the pound. But this was, of course, not known for a day or two. Between forty and fifty country banks drew on Sir Peter Pole's house, and at least as many upon the others which stopped; and upon all these a run, in consequence, 173 was certain to take place, as well as upon the banks m the immediate neighbourhood where they were re- spectively situated. Besides, a panic in London is readily communicated to the rest of the kingdom by means of the press. When a panic takes place in any part of the country, it is never heard of by the nation at large until it is over; and then the details respecting it are few, and leave nothing for the mind to dwell upon. But when such a crisis takes place in London, every circumstance re- specting it is daily recorded, and the fears and hopes it excites, are communicated by the press to every part of the kingdom, almost with the vividness of oral commu- nication, independent of the circumstance, that every letter which leaves London speaks of it more or less. As fear is infectious, this itself is sufficient to dis- seminate distrust throughout the kingdom. But, coupled with the failure in London, of banks which the country establishments draw upon ; and, subsequently by the stoppage of many of these establishments, it is not difficult to conceive that a panic in London must soon become a panic throughout the kingdom, at least, as far as the system of private banking extends. In such a state of things, it is not difficult to foresee the consequences. There are seventy London banks, who, upon the average, have probably half a million each deposited with them, or ^35,000,000 in the whole. There are between six and seven hundred private banks in the country ; and, if we assume their engage- ments to amount to only twice that sum, it will make the total upwards of one hundred millions. Now, in ordinary, there never can be more than five or six millions of actual cash in the money market of London. The rest of the circulation is distributed in small 174 amounts in different hands ; and if we suppose that not more than one-fourth of the creditors of the banks par- ticipated in the fears of the panic, there would be a demand upon them for four times the money that it was possible to obtain in London on any terms. It might, therefore, have been expected, that one half, at least, of the banks in the kingdom, would, in con- sequence, have been compelled to stop payment, with all the train of consequences that would have resulted from such a convulsion. But this was prevented by a circumstance which shews the value of a right idea when it is wanted. It may naturally be supposed that the Bank Direc- tors were all this time pressed upon to enlarge their issues, and they probably did so to a small extent. But there were strong reasons against their doing so in any considerable degree : — first, their stock of gold, by the previous balance of payments against the country, had been much reduced, and they found, that no sooner did they issue their notes, than a considerable portion were returned upon them in a demand for gold, to send into the country: the country banks wanting gold with which to pay their one pound notes. Next, the balance of payments had been against the country, to an extent which had placed the bank in a state of considerable alarm, and an increase of issues would eventually either create a fresh balance against the country, or render it necessary for them to draw their notes in again, and this would create a fresh panic; for they were conscious that the contraction of their issues had led to the existing one. Therefore, however pressing the de- mand for money might be, consideration for the safety of the bank, as well as for the public, prevented their supplying it : for to have enlarged their issues would 175 only be to put off the evil, and not to prevent it. Be- sides, though there never had been a panic so simul- taneous and general, they had occurred repeatedly be- fore, and the bank had always on such occasions rather contracted than enlarged their issues. There was, therefore, neither precedent nor principle to justify a very opposite course in the present instance. They, notwithstanding, more than once, when mat- ters were becoming very bad, applied to ministers on the subject, and the uniform answer they were under- stood to have received was, that they, the ministers, could not direct them, that they must do what appear- ed to them, as bankers, most adviseable under the cir- cumstances, or to that effect. Fortunately, however, before it was too late, a view of the subject occurred to ministers, and was communi- cated by them through the Courier newspaper to the public, or otherwise was suggested by the Courier to government and the bank, and acted upon by them, which, had it occurred a little sooner, would have pre- vented much of the mischief that did happen, but as it was, it averted the almost fatal consequences to the na- tion which appeared inevitable. It was undoubtedly very simple, as most useful ideas are, though it had never been before promulgated. An issue of notes, the Courier observed, in supplying a demand for money produced by panic, would not have the same effect, as an issue under other circum- stances. It would not, for instance, have the effect of turning the exchanges, or balance of payments against the country. To do this, the money must be spent in a demand for manufactures, or in consumption, by which an elevation of prices would be produced ; and this must be a work of time : whereas at that moment the prices of all things were falling, and there was not the least disposition for increased commercial operations. The demand for money, on the contrary, was the mere result of fear for the stability of the banks, and the money would be returned to them as soon as confi- dence was restored. The persons who kept money with them, kept it there for their own interest, and not for the sake of their bankers. When therefore confi- dence was restored, the same motives which had in- duced them to place it with the banks before, would in- duce them to return it again. When this was done, the bankers would, for their own sakes, repay what they had borrowed of the bank ; while both the Bank of England notes, and gold sent into the country, would soon be replaced by country notes, and be re- turned to London, after the credit of the banks was re- established. Hence the bank might supply the demand resulting from the panic to any extent, and take its notes out of circulation afterwards without any incon- venience to the public whatever; and finally, that the only way to restore confidence was to enable the bank- ers to satisfy all demands upon them by prompt pay- ment. The Courier, therefore, urged the propriety of the bank increasing its issues at once to the full extent of the demand, upon any kind of good security. This doctrine was clear and obvious, when once suggested, and most of the other papers promulgated it; and there could be no doubt that the directors would have been sanctioned, at least by public opinion, in acting upon it, though the course recommended was a new one. But there was still this difficulty — that the bank could not increase its issues without incurring the risk of stopping payment; though such a stoppage. 177 if not the result of a balance of payment against the country, might be of no importance. The bank loses no credit, by stopping payment, as in the case of private banks. When it does so, in consequence of a demand for gold for exportation, the value of its notes merely become depreciated, compared with gold. The directors, in consequence, endeavour to keep its circulation sufficiently low, to prevent the balance of payments going against us to too great an extent. But in supplying an internal demand, from panic, gold is wanted only for a temporary purpose, and the principal part is certain to find its way back again. There can no possible harm result, therefore, if its supply of gold be exhausted, and it should stop pay- ment. There is a good deal of mistaken opinion, how- ever, extant on these subjects, and the directors would not have been justified in placing the bank in a situa- tion that would render such an event probable; al- though, if properly understood, it might be seen that no harm could result from it. Now, the country bankers all wanted gold; but so long as the directors did not increase its issues, more than three or four millions of its notes could not by any possibility have come into the country bankers or their agents' hands ; and the bank could not have had a demand for gold which it could not have supplied. But if it increased its issues, the case would be different. It would then give the country bankers a power of de- manding gold beyond the amount that it might be able to supply, and its being obliged to stop payment would be rendered very probable. The consequence was, that ministers took the affair on their own shoulders. It is understood they agreed, z 178 that in the event of the bank being drained of its gold, and being obliged to suspend cash payments in point of fact, they would issue an order in council to require it to do so by authority, and thus take the responsibility of the whole proceeding on themselves. On this assurance the bank acted, and acted so decidedly, that in three days, namely, on Thursday, Friday, and Saturday, it is believed to have issued all the notes and all the coined gold it had in the bank. By this, the panic in London was effectually stopped ; and all the clerks in the bank, as well as the mint, being employed night and day, Sunday inclusive, in making more money, the demand by the country banks was also supplied, and in a very few days the panic was over without the bank having had occasion to resort to the order in council; yet, in six or eight days, it had increased its issues eight millions in notes, besides, probably half that amount in gold. As was predicted, the bank was afterwards enabled to withdraw those increased issues without the least inconvenience, or even consciousness on the part of the public ; while the nation was saved by them from the most awful commercial convulsion it was ever threatened with. The proceedings of the bank, more especially with regard to its issues, are always the subject of much public discussion both in and out of Parliament. It is a curious fact, however, that this extension of issues was hardly ever adverted to after the panic had ceased, though it was necessarily continued for some months. This was doubtless an evidence of the public satis- faction. At the same time, very few people are aware of the danger the country was in, and the extent of the calamity avoided. So little so, that when Mr Huskisson had occasion to mention, in parlia- ment, that ministers took an active part in the mea- 179 sures that were adopted by the bank during the panic, or to that effect, not a single observation, commenda- tory or otherwise, we believe, was elicited by the re- mark. None seemed to be aware that ministers were entitled to any credit ; yet, had Bonaparte landed, and taken possession of London, he would not have given so great a shock to commerce as was averted by these measures. Corn, ere this, must have been un- der forty shillings a quarter, and houses would have been ruined by the bankruptcies of others, and fall in the price of goods that would have followed, who would not now admit, or even suppose, such an event possible. The Bubble Mania without Cause or Effect, as regard- ed the Currency and Banks. — It may be proper to ob- serve by the way, that the bubble mania, or rage for joint stock companies, which occurred in 1824 and 1825, was attributed in a great measure to the country bankers, and was supposed to have been the chief cause of the panic. But the country bankers could only have given rise to it by purchasing the shares of these companies, which subsequent enquiries have proved they did not do in any greater, if in so great a degree, as other classes of the community. Nor yet could it have caused the panic, unless the public had been induced to suppose, that the London bankers had injured themselves by purchasing or lending money on these shares, which was never insinuated. The money, or savings of income, actually employed by these companies in 1824 and 1825, was very trifling — not more than a million or two. This was not spent in London itself, so that it could not affect the London money market. With the exception of the money actually spent in the employment of labour, every other sale or purchase, whether of shares or property, was a z 2 180 mere transfer of property, — of probably stock into shares by the losing party, and shares into stock by the party that gained, &c. It makes no difference to the nation at large, whether property be held by A. or B. If a man loses his estate at play, the nation is neither richer nor poorer for it. Nor is gambling on the stock exchange of a different character. The money market cannot be affected by any transaction, in which the savings of income are not created or consumed. Neither of these effects, to an extent worthy of notice, had been produced in 1824 and 1825, by the bubble mania, and it had therefore no connection with the currency. It was a mere mad- ness, for which no rational account can be given, and which was without cause, and without effect, as regard- ed the nation at large. At the same time, there can be no doubt that the panic had a great effect upon it, though it had none upon the panic. The second Panic, produced by the Letter of Ministers to the Bank, a further Proof of the Necessity of a Re- form in the Banking System. — It might have been sup- posed, after the solvency of those banks which had stood the test of the panic, had been so fairly tried, their credit with the public would be established be- yond all question. Sixty or seventy, and amongst them some very strong banks, had stopped payment, and these sixty or seventy, it was fair to infer, contained all those not fully entitled to public confidence. So that whatever might be said of the system generally, there could be no doubt that, for some time at least, the faith of the public, in the goodness of the existing banks, had become firmly rooted. It was natural also to imagine that, on the meeting of parliament, after such a convulsion, something would 181 be said on the subject, and that some steps would be taken by ministers, if not to relieve the existing com- mercial embarrassment and distress which the panic had caused, at least to prevent the recurrence of such pa- nics in future. With this view, it was proposed by ministers, to encourage the establishment of joint stock banks. These panics had never extended to Scotland, where the banks are chiefly joint stock companies; and the establishment of such companies in England, was evidently the simplest and most effectual mode of guarding against a return of such panics. Their esta- blishment had been hitherto prevented, by the charter of the bank of England, which limited the number of partners in all other banks to six. Ministers, therefore, wrote a letter to the bank, con- trasting the instability of our banks, with those of Scot- land, strongly pointing out the necessity for an im- provement in our system, and calling upon the bank to give up that privilege of its charter which excluded other banks from having more than six partners, a re- quest which was partly acceded to; but, very much to the surprise of every one, this letter produced another panic, which had it extended to London, as well as the country, would, in all probability, have been quite as bad as the former one. As it was, a very severe, though gradual demand for gold and bank of England notes, was experienced by a great majority of the country banks, from which they of course suffered much incon- venience. For this second panic, the ministers were severely censured by the country bankers; but it was not pos- sible for ministers to have supposed that they enjoyed so little of the public confidence. This second panic certainly shewed the necessity of dealing delicately with the banks, but it was an additional evidence of the truth of the arguments contained in the letter com- plained of. It did not prove that no reform ought to be made, the practical inference which the bankers were willing to draw, but it proved more strongly than before, if that could well be, the necessity for improve- ment, even though it should be obtained, which is not requisite, with some present inconvenience to the pub- lic. Money in a Bank consists in Houses, Lands, Goods, Sfc. and not of Money, and it is a Defect in Principle, that there should ever, from Panic, be a Demand for that which has no Existence. — This necessity will appear still more apparent, if we only examine into the nature of banking — we mean of banking unconnected with the issue of notes, which is not the legitimate business of a banker. Many persons have thought that the evils of private banking arise chiefly from the power of issuing notes ; whereas, it must be apparent, that had our cur- rency been exclusively metallic, more than one-half the banks in the kingdom must have stopped payment du- ring the late panic. The very existence of a system of private banking, is compatible only with a currency which can be issued to meet the demands of those pa- nics to which it is liable. The proper and legitimate business of a bank is to borrow and lend the savings of income. Many people have money which they do not wish to lend out perma- nently, and yet would be glad to turn it to some ac- count. There are many, on the other hand, who do not wish to borrow money permanently, and yet are de- sirous to do so for short periods. The party who has money to lend for a short period, has matters of his own to attend to, and has not the opportunity of know- 183 ing the parties who may wish to borrow for short pe- riods, nor the value of the securities they may have to offer. The borrower for short periods, on the other hand, could not spend the time necessary to find out the individual who might be willing to lend the precise sum, for the precise time he wanted it. Hence, a mid- dle person is required between them. The one is will- ing to take less interest of a third party, who will take the risk and trouble of lending his money, off his hands; and the borrower is willing to give a little more inte- rest, in order to be accommodated with the money he requires, without the trouble and inconvenience of find- ing and dealing with the original lender. Thus the business of the banker arises. He is this middle party. The party who has money to lend, places it in his hands, and he lends it out again to those who wish to borrow, and he makes a profit by doing so. Every extensive business, in time, comes to be con- ducted on such general principles, as ai*e found, by ex- perience, to be best suited to the convenience of the public. The general rule with bankers is, to borrow without fixing any day of re-payment ; but they engage to re-pay the money lent or deposited with them when- ever it is wanted. Experience teaches them how far they may calculate upon the permanency of these loans; and they, on the other hand, lend the money out on such securities, and for such periods, as shall enable them to meet the demands upon them by their depositing customers as they arise. What they can, they lend in general for short periods, and the rest for longer pe- riods, or they employ the money in the purchase of stock, &c. The interest given by bankers differs in different places. The London bankers give none in money. The 184< interest they pay, is in the labour and trouble of paying the checks, and collecting the bills and checks of their customers. For this, they receive no other compensa- tion than the balance which they may find it conveni- ent, for their own purposes, to keep in their hands. The interest they charge, on the other hand, is in general five per cent, to their regular customers who may wish to borrow, and whatever they can get, when they are obliged to resort to other means of lending, in order to employ the money in their hands. The Scotch banks allow one per cent, less interest than they charge. But they make a profit by issuing notes, which the London bankers do not; and every person who keeps an account with them, and is in the habit of paying in and taking out money, gives them a proportionate share of the general circulation of the country. In Lancashire, the banks do not issue notes, and yet allow as much interest as they charge ; but they charge a commission on the amount of business done; which is the fairest and most proper mode of charging. In that case every man pays according to the trouble he gives ; which we believe is found, in the long run, to be the best, both for the banks and their customers. One of the great uses of a bank, it must be obvious, is to lend the savings of income to those who wish to bor- row, with greater facility than could be done by the party who saved them. The money placed in a bank does not remain in it, but is lent out again. It must be equally obvious, that the party who borrows, and pays interest for money, does not do so to make no use of it. His object is in some way or other to spend it. He may do this, either in building houses, in buying or manufacturing goods, or in consuming them, or in some 185 other way. But it is of no importance to the banker in what way the money is spent. He does not look to the use that is made of it, but to the security lie has for it. At the same time it is certain, that the money ceases to exist as money or the savings of income, as soon as it passes out of his hands. If it be spent in consump- tion, and he obtain a mortgage on an estate for it, it is in that case converted into land ; or if it be lent on personal security, it is converted into the property of the parties who are security for it, whatever that pro- perty may consist of; or if stock be purchased with it, the seller of the stock will consume the money in the way that best suits his interest or inclination, but the money will cease to exist, and as regards the bankers, be cor.verted into a mortgage on the property of the nation at large. Hence, it is clear that the phrase that is generally used to express the quantity of money lent to a bank, namely, that there is a great deal of money in it, is a misnomer. The money deposited with a bank is neither in it, nor yet in existence. It consists of land, houses, goods, &c. But, notwithstanding the money has no existence, the banker feels no hesitation in engaging to pay every depositor his money at a moment's notice. This, the banks are collectively quite safe in doing, so long as their credit remains unimpeached. Upon the aggregate, the savings of income are equal to the spendings ; and when one party draws money out of their hands, another generally places an equal amount with them. But when this is not the case, money spent in consumption must be gradually spent, and the banks have time to withdraw their loans from trade to meet the growing scarcity of money, without inconvenience 2 A 186 to any one. The tradesmen being obliged to repay the banker, must reduce his stock. The increased con- sumption, therefore, so far as it extends to goods, must take place out of the stock on hand ; and, while the tradesman is compelled to reduce his stock to furnish the money on the one hand, the increased consumption on the other, enables him to do so, by increasing the demand for his goods. But, in as far as the increased consumption extends to agricultural produce, the tradesman will be obliged to reduce his orders to the manufacturer. This will throw the manufacturing labourer out of employment, and the demand for agricultural produce will be diminished on the one hand, as it is increased on the other. As the stocks of the tradesmen were thus reduced, capital would become scarce and profits would rise, until the savings of income became as much greater as to meet the extra demand that had arisen for them. These changes must necessarily be so gradual, that neither the banks who promise to pay on demand, nor the public, could be inconvenienced by them. Should a person draw money out of a bank, not to spend, but to purchase property with it, and should the party selling the property, not spend it, nor yet any person he might pay it to, it would evidently find its way back into the banks again, for people do not keep money in their pockets. This must be the case with all money which is not spent. It may change hands, or it may change banks, but though drawn out by one party, it is certain to be paid in again by another. If one bank gains the deposits of another, and the latter is obliged to sell its funded property, or withdraw its accommodation to trade, the other is enabled to purchase its stock and extend the accommodation to 1S7 trade, which one is obliged to withdraw; so that this amounts only to a change of securities from one bank to another. Thus, though the banks when they promise to pay all the money they owe at a moment's notice, may seem to come under a fearful responsibility, yet, it must be evident, that so long as their credit remains good, the responsibility is merely nominal. The Scotch banks, whose credit has never been shaken, are said to have twenty millions of money lent to them on these terms; while the whole circulation of that kingdom is only about three millions and a half, exclusive of small change, and they have never suffered any inconvenience thereby, except they may have occasionally suffered loss by the panics of this country. In a panic, all banks suffer more or less, however great their credit. Stocks experience a temporary fall, of which all persons with money are desirous to avail themselves, and people draw their money out of the banks for that purpose. Thus, the Scotch banks, during the panic, would have a demand for bills upon London at sight, or for bank of England notes, to be sent up to London to purchase stock with; and the banks would have to pay these bills, or obtain the notes, by perhaps selling the very stock purchased with them. What the public make at these periods, the banks lose ; and banks that are far removed above the fear of panics, generally feel these consequences in a greater or less degree. As it thus appears that the money in banks consists in houses, lands, goods, &c. and not in money, it is clearly a defect in principle that they should ever be called on to pay that which has no existence. At the same time, it is so suitable to the public convenience, 2 a 2 188 thai banks should stipulate to pay on demand, that none can obtain business that will not do so, and out country banks engage to do so, whether such demand proceeds from panic or not. Had our Country Banks been Joint Stock Companies, their Issues would not have fluctuated as they have done. — Out of this a great practical evil arises, which has perhaps contributed as much as any thing to the fluc- tuations in the amount of their issues, which we have experienced. As they never can know when a panic or run upon them may take place, they must always be provided for it, and can only lend the money deposited with them, upon what is termed convertible securities ; that is, securities which can be sold and converted into money — such as stock ; or can be at once transferred over to others and money borrowed upon them — such as bills. If they were to lend upon mortgage, or per- sonal bonds, or any other security in short, but stock or bills of exchange, when a panic came, they would be unable to raise the money to meet it, mortgages, bonds, &c. not being convertible securities. All bank- ers do lend money upon such securities to a certain ex- tent. But their doing so is attended with hazard to themselves, and it is technically termed an illegitimate mode of banking. But that banking is the most legitimate to the na- tion by which the money is kept in circulation. It is necessary if a banker cannot lend out money deposited with him on one description of security, that he should not be prevented from lending it upon any other, whether mortgage, bond, or otherwise, that he may be able to obtain. If he cannot do this, he cannot do that which is required of a bank by the interests of the country. 189 Were banks properly constituted, they would have no difficulty in doing so. The great Scotch banks have not much hesitation in lending on any kind of security, when they cannot get bills, and would have none at all, were they not liable to be affected by the sudden changes in the value of money to which our system of banking gives rise. Now, in the country, there is no other description of convertible securities than commercial bills, and hence it is of vast importance that the country banks should have credit enough to lend money upon securities which are not convertible. A bank requires more cre- dit in the country than in London, where convertible securities are so much more plentiful ; and had our country banks possessed the degree of credit requisite to lend money on inconvertible security, their issues would not have suffered such fluctuations as they have done. The leading Scotch banks, as we have just observed, enjoy this necessary degree of credit. They possess large paid-up capitals, are managed by boards of di- rectors, chosen by the shareholders, in whose prudence and integrity the public have confidence, and it is known whether these capitals are entire, and the banks are successful or not, by the division of profits they annually make. Public confidence in them is conse- quently never shaken. They are under no fear of panics, and are under no necessity to consult in lend- ing money, any other rule than their own interest, and the public welfare. Hence, their issues are not liable to fluctuate in the same degree as the English banks. It is true, no doubt, that they do fluctuate. But this they are com- pelled to, by the internal balance of payments. They 190 cannot for any time, keep their issues either above or below those of the English banks ; but we can ascer- tain whether, or not, any contraction or enlargement of them was produced by the same cause as the corres- ponding enlargement or contraction in those of the English banks, by observing whether they took place at the same time. If they were both the effect of one cause, the effect would be simultaneous; whereas, if the fluctuations in Scotland were consequent upon those in England, and were produced by means of the internal balance of payments, the latter would precede the former. Three of the great Scotch banks furnished scales of their issues, from 1810 to 1818 inclusive, to the com- mittee of 1819, on the resumption of cash payments. The chief business of one of them — the Royal Bank, is confined to Glasgow ; but the other two — the Bank of Scotland and the British Linen Company, have agents in every town of the least importance in Scotland ; and, from the scales of their issues, a very fair idea may be formed of the fluctuations in the circulation of Scot- land in the period to which they refer. Let us, there- fore, compare the scales of their issues with the demand for stamps by the country banks, from the war, up to the date they are furnished to. For every d£l000 in notes which each of these banks had in circulation in the last quarter of 1809, they had the amount in circulation in the undermentioned years : — British Linen Bank of Demand for Stamps by Year. Company. Scotland. the Country Banks. 1813 1303 839 12,615,509 1814 1337 833 10,773,375 1815 1104 725 7,624,949 191 Bank of Demands for Stamp by Scotland. the Country Banks. 691 6,4-23,466 732 9,075,958 769 12,316,868 British Linen Year. Company. 1816 940 1817 918 1818 1171 From this table, it will appear evident, that the con- traction and enlargement of issues by the Scotch banks followed, and that much more slowly than it might have been supposed they would, the fluctuations of the English banks. Hence, it is clear, that they were caused by these fluctuations, and it may reasonably be inferred, that their issues would have remained com- paratively steady had it not been for the English banks. Had the latter, therefore, been as solid, and been en- abled to conduct their business on the same principles as the Scotch banks, the fluctuations in the circulation of this country, from which we have suffered so much, would not have occurred : although, it must be ad- mitted, that the power of issuing notes at pleasure is not a power that ought to be possessed by any banks whatever. Private Banking should, in strictness of principle ; be prevented by Lai®. — That a reform in our system of country banking is absolutely necessary under any system of currency, need hardly be further insisted upon. It is convenient for the public that the banks should engage to pay all money lodged with them on demand; but most injurious to the public, that they should be required to do so from want of confidence, or panic; and no bank ought to be allowed to exist, that could not preserve the confidence of the public, without deranging the circulation by attempting to pay its creditors with money. A run upon a bank arises from a doubt of its 192 solvency ; remove the doubt, and the run ceases ; and every bank that cannot do so without resorting to an expedient so hurtful in its consequences to the public, as paying in money, ought to be put down as a public nuisance. When there was a run upon the bank of England, confidence was restored by investigation into the state of its affairs. This clearly points out the manner in which all similar cases should be treated. Confidence should be restored by proving the distrust to have been groundless. We are persuaded that none of the principal Scotch banks would ever attempt to meet a panic in any other manner. They would otherwise injure both the public and their shareholders. The one by deranging the currency, and the other by the sacrifices they would have to make in order to obtain money in London. But it is better to prevent evils than to cure them. The same evidence which will restore confidence will prevent distrust, and it is clearly desirable that no bank should be allowed to exist, the capital and management of which are unknown to the public. It is, therefore, evident that all private banking should, in strictness of principle, be prevented by law. It is so in some of the States of North America, from which the most bene- ficial consequences have resulted. Our Banking System may be sufficiently improved by an intermixture of Joint Stock Banks as in Scotland.*— By the foregoing we have clearly established, that all the fluctuations in prices we have experienced, have been caused by the defective nature of our systems of banking and currency ; that any corn law must be perfectly inoperative in keeping prices steady, so long as they remain in their present state ; that the banks ought not to have the power of issuing notes at pleasure, and 193 that in strictness of principle no bank ought to be al- lowed to exist, that the public could ever distrust, or in which confidence could not be restored without re- sorting to the expedient of paying in money. We have further seen that a good system of banking, in itself, would be a great practical improvement in the curren- cy; inasmuch as the issues of the Scotch banks would not in all probability have suffered any great fluctua- tions, had it not been. for those of the English. Now, to put down private banking in this country would be impracticable; and, to put down, had we the power, one system, until we had another, and a better, would be absurd. But, happily, no violent remedies are necessary. The system of banking in Scotland works "well in practice; yet, in point of number, there are more private than public banks in that country. The charter of the bank of England never extended to Scotland. Banking has, from the infancy of such institutions, been free, either to private or to public companies, and they have both arisen together. But the consequence is, that the private banks, having to compete with public companies, cannot do so without a superior degree of credit; while, being entitled to such credit, they are upheld and supported by these companies, to whom they apply for that purpose when- ever they find occasion. In applying to a public bank, in the event of a run upon it, a private bank asks no favour, — it confers one. The object of the public bank being to get its notes into circulation, it is glad of such an op- portunity. The great Scotch banks assist any bank that requires it, with the greatest readiness, not on public principle only, but from a desire to benefit their respective establishments. 2 B 194 The propriety of bringing our system into this state, and the means of doing so, are evidently objects enti- tled to, if they may not be said to demand, the imme- diate consideration of both ministers and parliament. If large public banks were established in every part of the kingdom, they would first have the effect of purifying the system of private banks, by bringing them into competition with banks of superior credit ; next, in the event of a panic or run upon any private bank, it would have a public bank, as in Scotland, to apply to for a supply of notes, without sending all the way to London, and obtaining such supply by a great sacrifice of property, on the stock exchange ; and finally they would, as we have seen, also contribute to prevent those fluctuations in the currency, from alterations in the value of money, to which the present system is so liable. Were our banking system once in this state, the go- vernment, should it appear necessary, might proceed to the l'egulation of its issues upon right principles with the greater confidence. To found a sound system of currency on such an unsound system of banking as the present, would undoubtedly be commencing at the wrong end. Both prudence and common sense point out, that to give greater stability to the banking system of the country, in the first instance, is at once the safest and most proper mode of proceeding, as well as the most practicable : for nothing, in a matter so im- portant, can be done without public opinion be in its favour, and there does not appear to be two opinions as to the propriety of increasing the stability of our banks. The Steps taken by Government to improve our Systems of Banking and Currency. — Besides this, government has already taken steps to improve both our systems of banking and currency, though not i#5 sufficiently effectual ones; and these steps we will next proceed to examine. They are as follows : — 1st. The bank of England, at the instance of go- vernment, has proceeded to establish branch banks in different parts of the country. 2d. The charter of the bank of England has been altered, so far as to permit the establishment of joint stock companies, at the distance of sixty-five miles from London, the partners in such companies being responsible to the whole extent of their fortunes for the engagements of such banks. 3d. The one pound notes of the country banks are to be withdrawn from circulation, and they are not to be allowed to issue notes under the value of five pounds. The Branches of the Bank of England. — With re- gard to the first of these — the establishment of branch banks, much more importance has been attached to it, than it deserves. It was a measure, we have under- stood, of Lord Liverpool's. It was undertaken by the bank with great reluctance, and can lead to no practi- cal results of any consequence either to the bank or the country. Or at all events, there can be no question that it will not produce those results which there is rea- son to believe were expected from it by Lord Liverpool. In his speech on the bank charter amendment bill, Feb. 17, 1826, he stated that " the private bankers " in London had it in their power to circulate their " own notes — a privilege which they all, however, in- " variably waved, because the public would not take " them, so long as they could get those of the bank of " England, in the solvency of which they had more " confidence. So if there were chartered joint stock " banks in other parts of the kingdom, there could be 2 b 2 196 " no doubt that they would immediately absorb the " whole circulation of the kingdom." — Hmisard's par- liamentary debates. From this it is evident that his lordship must have thought that the moment the branch banks were esta- blished, they would absorb the whole circulation, and that the measure would be a very substantial improve- ment in our system of currency. It is unnecessary to observe that experience has sufficiently proved this expectation not to have been well founded. The branch banks can only get that proportion of the circulation which their general bu- siness will command, and it has hitherto been a very small one. At the same time also, the branches were proposed, not only with a view to the improvement of the currency, but in order to give increased stability to the banking system generally ; and we will examine more in detail the practical results that may be ex- pected from the measure, both to the bank itself and the public. In the first place then, the bank can establish branches only in principal towns, where the system of private banking is in its greatest state of perfection — where the profits of banking are such as to induce men of large property to be bankers. These branches also, must necessarily confine their transactions to the town in which they are situated. Whereas, what is most wanted is, public banks in these large towns, that can, by means of branches, extend their operations to smaller towns where the banks are not so stable, and where the business of a banker is frequently coupled with other trades, and not unfrequently rendered subservient to purposes of commercial speculation. In the next place, it must either transact the business of borrowing the savings of income on the same terms 197 as other banks, and lending them out on such securities as it can obtain, or it must, in dealing with the public, confine its mode of lending money, as in London, to the discounting of commercial bills. If it were to transact business in the manner first mentioned, the management often or twelve — its present number of branches, would take more attention than the directors could spare under the most improved system of management that could be adopted. The Provincial Bank of Ireland, established in London, has not more than that number, which are managed by local boards of directors, consisting of the most respectable and able commercial men in the respective towns where they are situated, and by a set of the most competent agents that any establishment can boast of. In these local boards of directors and their agents, the directors in London have the greatest possible confidence ; and practically the business of each branch is managed in Ireland, — and well managed. But the directors in London feel that so long as the responsibility rests with them, they cannot repose a blind confidence. Hence they not only direct the general financial arrangements of the bank, but examine into and understand the nature and pro- priety of every individual transaction of any importance. For this purpose, they have to meet every day to inspect the returns and determine the matters referred to them ; and without this laborious attention, they could not hold themselves responsible to the public for the successful management of the concern. It is probable that the management of the Provincial Bank of Ireland occupies as much time and attention as that of the bank of England. Hence, if the branches of the bank did the ordinary and legitimate business of banking, they would, in all 198 probability, require much more attention than the directors could give to them. The directors have, consequently, confined their operations to the discounting and granting of bills upon London, and to receiving deposits without interest. As the acceptors reside, and all the bills come to maturity in London, they are, of course, remitted to the bank as soon as discounted, and the directors have thus an opportunity of ascertaining their character the same as if they had been discounted in London in the first instance. Assuming that the directors should alter the mode of dealing at their branches as they gain experience, no one can doubt that this was, at least, as prudent a mode of commencing operations as they could adopt. As they charge no commission on their discounts, the bank has to depend for its profits on the circulation exclusively. No one, it is evident, will place money in its hands, without interest, when they can get interest for it of the wealthy private banks, which are to be found where its branches are established ; nor can it make any thing by selling bills upon London, at 20 days, its date of drawing. The profit upon these bills, say 14 days interest, at 2§ per cent., will not leave more than sufficient to cover the expence of clerks, to pay them in London, allowing nothing for the stamp for which a commutation must be paid to government. Upon the circulation of its notes, therefore, it has, ex- clusively, to depend for its profits. But it is only in places where there is a wide agri- cultural district, with few banks, that the circulation is depended upon by the country banks, as a source of profit. Taking an average of the banks of the king- dom, the circulation of five pound notes and upwards, 199 does not pay half their expences. There are from six to eight hundred country banks amongst whom the circulation is divided — suppose six hundred. The expences of these, estimating the managing part- ner as a salaried clerk, will be at least ^1000 per an- num each, or ^600,000 in the whole. Now, if we take the circulation of five pound notes and upwards, at ten millions, and calculate that three per cent, is made by it, which is the outside, it will leave only three hun- dred thousand pounds. Hence, it is clear that the aggregate profits of country banking do not at all depend upon the circulation ; and how the branches of the bank of England are to make money by depending upon it, it would be difficult to discover. Where the circulation will not yield a profit, the private banks charge a commission of five shillings per cent, on the transactions of their customers; where it will yield one, they charge no commission. Now, as the branches neither give interest upon depo- sits, nor make advances at any time, in any other way than upon commercial bills, they are not depended upon as a regular bank. People only discount with them for cheapness. Where the circulation is profitable, there- fore, and the banks charge no commission, and the public have not the inducement of cheapness, people, except in times of panic, will generally prefer the private banks, where they can now get as many bills discounted as they wish. The consequence will, of course be, that the bank will get business where the circulation does not pay, but where it does pay, it will get none. The circulation also cannot be maintained by dis- counting bills alone. The customers of the bank must keep their accounts with it, and be in the constant ha- 1200 bit of paying in the notes of other banks, and drawing out those of the bank of England, in order to keep them in circulation. But this, we presume, they are not in the habit of doing. Where the bank has obtain- ed business, therefore, it may not have obtained even what small profit the circulation would yield; and hitherto its branches have been, in all probability, a dead loss. The bank will, no doubt, in time, improve its sys- tem of business. But, if its system were ever so per- fect, and its branches realized the very beau ideal of a bank, it must be evident that the operations of any one company can never be of any material importance as an improvement in the banking system of this great country. Banking is any thing but a mechanical busi- ness. It requires mind as well as money. The capital of the bank of England might be sufficient to enable it to undertake the business of the whole nation; but it requires banking skill and an intimate knowledge of individual credit to get it, and turn it to account. This, indeed, might be obtained by means of agents and local directors ; but it is obvious that the directors in London must have some knowledge of what is going forward also, if they are to be responsible for what is done. More than a given amount of business they could not of course superintend, and this amount must be very trifling compared with the business of the kingdom. Assuming, therefore, the branches of the bank to realize all that could ever be expected from them, their establishment can be of little importance as a practical improvement in the banking system of the country. At present, they do neither good nor harm. In so far, therefore, the expectations entertained by Lord Liver- 201 pool, of benefit from the measure, either as an im- provement in the systems of currency or banking, have not been realized. The noise which has been made about them has arisen from the annoyance they give the country bankers, by doing business without profit. The Alteration of the Bank Charter. — The next mea- sure we have to consider is, the alteration of the bank charter, by which the establishment of joint stock banks is permitted 65 miles from London, provided each partner be responsible for the engagements of the bank, to the whole extent of his fortune. Joint stock banks have proved a very safe and pro- fitable medium for the employment of capital; and few people have any doubt that their establishment in this country would prove as advantageous to the share- holders, as to the public. Four such banks, notwith- standing, and these not very extensive ones, are the whole number that have been formed under this act. This has chiefly arisen from the clause, which pro- vides, that each partner shall be responsible for the engagements of the company beyond the amount of the capital subscribed. It is the law of private partnerships, that the respon- sibility of partners should be thus unlimited, and a very proper one ; but it may be very much doubted whether it is a sound or a useful principle of law as applied to public companies, more especially to banks. In private partnerships, the amount of capital em- ployed is unknown, except to the partners ; and with- out personal responsibility the public would have no security. The success of the business, likewise, de- pends upon the prudence of the managing partner, who must be chosen by the other partners ; and if they were not responsible for his acts, the public would have no 2 c 202 guarantee for the prudence of their choice in the first place, or for their looking after his management in the next. They must be made to do so for their own sakes, or they would never do so for the sake of the public. The law, consequently, makes every partner person- ally responsible ; but, at the same time, it secures them the power of constantly inspecting the books and state of the concern, and of interfering, when necessary, in the management of it. Men will only enter into private partnerships, who have a thorough knowledge of the parties with whom they are connecting themselves, and have the means and opportunity of ascertaining, from time to time, the state of the management, so as to interfere with it, should they see it to be necessary for their own interest or safety. A man who would enter into such a partnership, without knowing before hand, whether his partners were equally responsible with himself, to meet any loss that might be incurred, and who would entrust the management of the business to others, and engage, by a voluntary act of his own, not only not to interfere with it, but not even to inspect the books, and ascertain whether the concern was doing well or ill, would be considered little short of an ideot; yet, all this, a per- son, who enters into a joint stock company, is obliged to do. He cannot, in general, know any thing of his other partners, and must, of necessity, sign a deed, by which the power of the management is entrusted to the directors, without his being allowed any interference, or being permitted to know more about the manage- ment, than they are pleased to tell him. Few persons, notwithstanding, would have any ob- 203 jection to take a share in a company on these terms, provided he knew the extent of his adventure in the first instance, and in the next, thought the prospect of gain more than balanced the chance of loss. But he would do so, not upon the principles on which he would enter into a private partnership, but on the same principle that he would play a game at cards. He would put the chance of gain against that of loss ; but he must know before-hand, that the amount of the stake is what he can afford to lose. Men take shares in joint stock companies, not as a serious business which they are to have either the trou- ble of looking after, or which they are to be anxious about, as with a private partnership ; but having no objection to embark a given sum in any adventure, with the chances of profit in their favour, they are will- ing to take shares in such companies, on the same grounds as they would take a ticket in the lottery. The expectation of profit may be better founded in the one ease than in the other : but the principle upon which the speculator engages is the same in both instances ; and, in neither, will prudent people embark more than they can afford to lose without being ruined. Hence they will not generally enter into joint stock companies, without their responsibility be limited to the amount of the capital embarked, either practically from the nature of the business, or by law. There are many undertakings in which, by the na- ture of them, this limitation is secured. People, for instance, have no objection, though they be responsi- ble beyond the amount of the capital subscribed, to take shares in companies for the building of bridges, cutting of canals, or even for the sinking of mines. In 2 c2 c 204> such undertakings, the money is applied to a specific purpose. It is converted into property ; and, though the speculation may be a bad one, more than the capi- tal embarked in it cannot well be lost. But, in trading upon credit, and more especially in the trade of bank- ing, the case is different ; and, if it be the interest of the public to encourage the formation of joint stock banks, this limitation must be secured by law, or peo- ple will be deterred from embarking in them. Banking is a very safe trade when well managed — a very unsafe trade when ill managed. It is likewise a trade that can be conducted without capital. In cut- ting canals, building bridges, mining, &c. as soon as the capital is spent, if the undertaking be incomplete, the works are brought to a stand, and the shareholders are aware of the capital being exhausted. But a bank may go on twenty years in a state of insolvency, if it have credit, and many have done so. Capital is only wanted by the public to guarantee them against loss j and if they be amply guaranteed by personal re- sponsibility, they will give the bank the same credit as if guaranteed by paid-up capital. A joint stock banking company could not indeed be carried on, after it had lost its capital, without great fraud or negligence on the part of the directors, which might be properly guarded against in a properly con- stituted bank. But people in this country are not suffi- ciently acquainted with joint stock banking. They pic- ture to themselves the ruin that has fallen upon the partners in private banks, and with the law as it now stands, are deterred from embarking in such undertak- ings. Hence the law defeats its own object. But were this not the case, it is still a bad law. The public do not want more security than enough, and 205 where the capital of a bank is sufficiently large, the responsibility of the partners is of no use to the public. There are five public banks in Edinburgh. The partners in two of these — the Commercial, and the National Bank of Scotland, are responsible for their engagements to the whole extent of their fortunes. The first has a paid-up capital of six — the last of five hundred thousand pounds. The other three are char- tered banks,, and the partners are not responsible beyond the capitals paid up. Two of them — the Bank of Scotland and the Royal Bank, have each a million of capital and upwards ; while the other one — the British Linen Company, has only half a million. Now, the chartered banks enjoy as much credit as the other two, although the united properties of the partners in each of them must be five or ten millions at least, and the British Linen Company enjoys as much credit and business as any of the five, although it offers the least security to the public. It, is found by experience that half a million of capital, under the management of a board of directors, who make a general statement of its affairs, and a dividend every year, is sufficient for the trade of Scotland. All that people want is, to be safe. They do not get more out of a bank than they put in, let its capital be ever so large. Hence, the personal responsibility of the shareholders in the Commercial and National banks is of no benefit either to the banks themselves, or to the public, as regards the additional security it affords. Although it is of no importance to the public, with respect to their ultimate security if it be sufficient, whether it consists in the personal responsibility of the shareholders, or in paid-up capital, it makes a wonder- ful difference in the proceedings of the directors. Had 206 the Commercial and National Banks none, or a very trifling capital, though the public would give them the same credit, the directors would be more timid in their mode of doing business than the most timid private bank ; and if there is one bank that proceeds more upon principle than another in lending out its money and regulating its issues, it is the Bank of Scotland, in consequence of its having twice the capital of its other three competitors : for the chief business of the Royal Bank is in Glasgow — it has no other agencies, and is not brought so much in competition with the rest as they are with each other. Now, the particular wants of this country are, banks with large paid-up capitals, to correct by their steadiness of proceeding those vacillations to which our system is so peculiarly liable. But the tendency of the present law is to prevent such banks being formed. As a general principle, every bank will call up as little capital as it can dispense with. Private banks call up none. If we set the sum that the partners are indebted to the private banks, on the average of the kingdom, against the sum of capital subscribed by them, there can be little doubt that, on the average, there is no capital whatever employed in private banking. Indeed, partners as frequently go into private banks for the purpose of getting capital out, as of putting it in. It is this facility of entering into a business of great profit, without capital, that tempts country gentlemen so fre- quently to become partners in such banks, to their ruin. The same principle operates with Joint Stock Com- panies. The directors are always willing to conduct the business with as little capital as they can dispense with. Calling up capital does not increase the profits of the trade; it only diminishes the per centage on the 207 amount of the capital employed; whereas, the directors are naturally desirous to make the largest dividends possible. Hence in banks, even where it is not the wish of the directors to call up insufficient capitals, they call up as little as they can. But where the partners are known to each other, their personal responsibility has frequently the effect of inducing the directors to call up less than is desirable; or what is worse still, it leads to the establishment of banks upon personal respon- sibility alone, in places where the business would not justify the calling up a proper capital. This is the chief defect of the Scotch system. In every little place there is a joint stock, or rather a joint credit banking company : in some places, even where they cannot find proper people as directors to manage them. To commercial men their management is very simple. But it would be as proper to set a ship to sea with a landsman for a pilot, as to entrust the manage- ment of a bank to people unacquainted with accounts and business. Two of these companies have within these few years stopped payment. Many of their poorer shareholders were ruined, while the rich were compelled to make up the share of loss which the poorer partners were unable to pay. Neither of them had more than twenty thousand pounds capital. Neither of them were established in towns where a suitable board of directors was to be had. Both of them, in consequence, left the manage- ment exclusively to the cashier or managing clerk ; and in both cases these officers were tempted to abuse their trust, speculate with, and squander away the bank's money, and dupe and blind the directors and share- holders. The result was, that they lost some way about one hundred thousand pounds each. 208 Sums as large as that, have been lost by the great banks ; but no one, not even the shareholders, ever felt the loss. These banks always take care to have a large reserved fund of previously accumulated profits, out of which such losses are paid, and no alteration is in con- sequence made in the dividends. But if a bank has no reserved fund, the loss of one hundred thousand pounds upon a capital of five times that amount, would only reduce the real value of the shares one-fifth ; where- as the loss of that sum on a capital of twenty thousand pounds would render it necessary for the shareholders to pay up, in addition, four times the sum they had previously advanced. This is a thing the poorer shareholder would not calculate upon, and he would, in consequence be ruin- ed. He would think he could not be wrong in doing what his richer neighbour did, and would perhaps em- bark all his surplus wealth in his share of the concern; so that, when called upon for more money, the little capital would have to be taken from him, by which he supported his family. The rich man, who paid his de- ficiency, might lose a greater sum than him ; but, he would not be so great a sufferer : for he would not lose his all. In those cases, it is not always those who lose the most money, that are the most to be pitied. Any law must be defective, which enables men to set up banks upon personal responsibility, rather than paid-up capital ; and this is the tendency of the act in question. It introduces into public companies one of the chief vices of private banks. It makes them, as far as it can, joint credit, instead of what they ought to be, joint stock companies, or companies in which each shareholder is represented by his capital. It induces banks to be set up without capitals, and transfers the 209 loss from the public as creditors, to the public as share- holders in them. In point of principle, it is more correct that the loss should fall upon the shareholder; but, in point of fact, the hardship is as great in one case as in another. The shareholder, who lost a thousand pounds, would not expect to make more than twenty or thirty pounds per annum additional by his share. The creditor, who lost a thousand pounds, must have had but few dealings with the bank, if he did not derive annually a greater advantage than that from it. The object of the legis- lature should be, to prevent as much as possible, the public from suffering in either character; and this would be best attained by limiting the responsibility of the shareholders to the amount of the capital paid up. In such case, no banks could get business without large paid-up capitals. The shareholders may deceive themselves as to the amount of capital requisite — they may be misled by their desire to make profit without capital. But the public would not be so deceived. They have no interest to blind them. They would only deal with those banks whose capitals offered ample se- curity; and if their capitals did offer such security, more would be quite superfluous. Hence it must be obvious, that the personal respon- sibility secured by the act for altering the charter of the bank of England, can never be any thing but injurious. If banks be set up with sufficient capitals, it is of no use to the public. If they be set up with insufficient capitals — it, in the first place, cramps their operations, and diminishes their efficiency to the public, as dealers in the savings of income; and in the next, it involves the shareholders in a risk, which the law ought rather to prevent, than induce them to incur. 2 D 210 We admit that this risk is not very great. We may venture to say, that since the publication of the Essay on Banking, the nature, constitution, and internal ma- nagement of banks, have become better understood ; and it is not at all likely that banks in any place will be intrusted to directors, who will not look after them, and understand how to do so. But it is on every ac- count desirable that banks should be as large as they can be, consistent with an intimate personal knowledge of their customers. Large banks must be situated in large towns, where there is a better choice of direct- ors. They pay their officers better, and diminish the temptation to fraud — by increasing their respectability in society, they offer a greater inducement to honor- able conduct. By the division of labour also, which takes place in a great bank, the checks are rendered more perfect, and fraud less practicable. Tn small places where they have branches, and where the checks would otherwise be less perfect, all is kept right by the strict inspection and controul exer- cised by the parent bank — an inspection which small banks in such places would not enjoy. A large bank likewise, as we have seen, keeps its issues steadier. The surplus funds of one branch is lent out to another. The expenditure and savings of income are thus made to balance each other, without producing so much de- rangement in the currency. A bank indeed may be too large. To be very use- ful to the public, it must have an intimate knowledge of individual credit; and one board of directors can only know the people of a very small part of the king- dom. But the public soon discover whether a bank can attend properly to them or not, and when it has more business than it can manage its business leaves it : 211 so that there is a very effectual restraint upon the bu- siness which any bank can undertake — it cannot ob- tain more than it can properly transact. But the larger it is, consistent with good management, the better. It will thus be evident, that the act does not pro- vide properly for the wants of the country. First, while it permits the establishment of joint stock banks, it throws a stumbling block in the way of their being formed ; and next, it has the tendency, so far as it may prove a practical measure, to encourage the formation of banks without sufficient capitals; while, what the country particularly wants, is a number of large banks, in different parts of the kingdom, to sustain and support our system of private banking, and also to give the pub- lic in every place, by means of their branches, a choice of dealing with a public bank, if they think proper. Not that we have any idea that the public banks would so materially injure the private banks as some imagine. Private banks, in good credit, have an advantage over public companies, in the secrecy and greater civility and attention they pay to their cus- tomers. The intermixture besides, of the public com- panies, would practically have the effect of increasing the confidence of the public in the private banks. What those which enjoyed public confidence lost in amount of their business, would probably be fully made up by the increased security and comfort with which they would afterwards do it. The act was, no doubt, a very valuable step towards the improvement of our banking system, when passed. But, it was admitted, on this very point, of imposing unlimited responsibility on the shareholders, to be defective. Parliament ought, no doubt, to have been allowed to do what it thought best for the interests of 2 d 2 212 the public without any such restraint. But the clause was imposed by the bank of England when it consented to the relaxation of its charter. As it has rendered the act, in a great measure in- operative, it seems now desirable that the bank should be requested to waive it. But if the directors are still unwilling to do so, we have no idea that it will be of much consequence, provided ministers think proper to grant charters to banks with the express condition, that the limitation of responsibility shall commence as soon as the bank charter expires; presuming them of course to have called up, in the mean time, a certain amount of capital. This we believe, with a decided opinion expressed, and a disposition shown by ministers, to promote by their influence and patronage the formation of these companies, would be effectual in bringing about that improvement in our banking system, which appears not only desirable, but absolutely necessary to the well- being of the country. It has been thought that in the event of limiting the responsibility of the shareholders in banks, they ought to be obliged to publish annually a statement of their affairs, or that some check for the public security should be imposed upon the amount of their transactions. One extreme is apt to beget another in legislation as in other things. From allowing private banks to exist without any regulations at all for the public safety, it is thus proposed to make surety doubly sure. But, let us con- sider what are the natural, if we may so term it, guaran- tees offered by a joint stock company, with the respon- sibility of the shareholders limited to the capital paid up. First, there is the capital which every body knows and can trust to, or not, as they please. Next, they are 213 managed by men well known, in general, as men of character, knowledge, experience, and ability, who can have no motive but a desire to give general satisfaction ; and these men publish every year a statement of the affairs of the bank, as explicit as to whether the capital be entire or not, as any statement can be. This they do by making dividends of profits ; and if the capital be not entire, and there be no profits, there can be no dividend. The chief object of any check must be to secure the public against the fraud of directors: for if they be ho- nest, or any one of them be honest, the- public can never be in danger. The only fear is, that they may unite to deceive the public, by making dividends with- out profits; and that they should do this until the whole of a large capital was sunk. As if it were possible for the shareholders to be so far mistaken, as to chuse from ten to twenty men of fortune, character, and ex- perience for directors, and yet there should not be one amongst them who did not prove, not merely a knave, but an egregious fool : for what could men of fortune gain by such conduct? But if we admit that the share- holders could get so far wrong, as to chuse such a board of directors, and the public, as to confide in a bank under their management, we do not believe that they could lose the capital without its being known. A large capital in banking is not so easily thrown away. The losses of a bank are generally known, and always magnified. Any capital sufficiently large to ob- tain the bank business, we are persuaded could not be lost without the public knowing of it long before it was gone, or even materially diminished, in spite of any thing that a board of directors could do. Hence it does appear to us that while we allow private banks to 214 be set up without any known capitals, without any knowledge of the parties to whom their management is intrusted, and without any evidence whatever being furnished of their success, that it would be a very in- consistent piece of legislation, to clog joint stock banks at their outset with a number of inconvenient and em- barrassing restraints, in order to provide against such improbable suppositions — restraints which can have but one practical effect, and that is, to prevent their being formed altogether. Time no doubt, will point out improvements, which may be made with advantage, in the laws relative to these companies. But it seems desirable that they should be suggested by experience, and future consi- deration. A law framed to meet every speculative and suppositious difficulty, is certain to create a great many xeal ones. We have thus ventured to explain the principles on which charters to limit the responsibility of the share- holders ought to be granted, in preference to banks being established on personal responsibility; and we have been more explicit on this subject than we should otherwise have deemed necessary, from our having per- ceived that an opposite opinion was gaining ground. At the same time, it is proper to mention, that the desirableness of granting such charters has been fully admitted by government. Lord Liverpool (Feb. 17, 1826), in the debate on the bank charter amendment bill, states : — " But, what was the system of banking in existence " at present? Why, the most rotten, the most inse- " cure, the very worst, in every respect, that could " possibly be conceived. Any petty tradesman, any " grocer, or cheesemonger, however destitute of pro- 215 " perty, might set up a bank in any place; whilst a " joint stock company, however large their capital, or " a number of individuals exceeding six, however re- " spectable and wealthy they may be, were precluded " from doing so by the present system. One more " absurd, therefore, he repeated, could not be con- " ceived." " The beneficial consequences resulting from the " full liberty for banks to have any number of part- " ners, was manifested by its effects in Scotland. He " knew he might be told that it was in vain for him to " look to the example of that country, because they " had not the power of granting charters. But the " Bank of England had consented to allow the restric- " tion as to the number of partners in country banks " to be removed. But, he trusted, that if they did not " think it prudent to establish branches themselves, " they would not suffer the people to wait until the " year 1833, exposed to the consequences of the pre- " sent system, but set the public free, by allowing the " crown to grant charters to public banks. He be- " lieved that it would not, in any respect, injure them ; " but, on the contrary, while it would be attended with " the greatest advantages to the country at large, it " would be beneficial also in its consequences to the " bank itself." — Hansard's Par. Debates. Mr Huskisson stated (Feb. 13, 1826) in the debate on the bank charter and promissory note acts, that " He " allowed that it would be a great improvement, if, " under a proper system, chartered banks were esta- " blished with only a limited liability." — Hansard's Parliamentary Debates. Mr Peel in the same debate observed that " He " confessed himself sanguine in the hope, that gentle- 216 « men of property would be found, many more than