Return this book on or before the Latest Date stamped below. DEC 10 Hi I' “ i ! JDO L161 — H41 ^earning anb |Tabor. LIBRARY VOLUME. University of Illinois. CLASS. BOOK. Accession No. THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. BY N. A. NICHOLSON, M. A, TRINITY COLLEGE, OXFORD. LONDON: EFFINGHAM WILSON, ROYAL EXCHANGE. 1861. r 5 ) r PREFACE. There is no new theory in this book. The author has endeavoured to put forward rudimentary *2 truths in the clearest wav that he could. y + n ^x. y) • a x+n, y + n 30*’+*) . a„ „ / ( 5 ) It may be remarked incidentally, that the coefficient of 0 is a neat formula for the value of a Policy. year. It is an objection to existing works on Life Contingencies, that this ana- logy is disregarded. By way of illustration (see our Treatise on Copyholds) : — If (Lx == Value of Annuity due on life x; using the Greek letter Alpha. = Value of a perpetuity due, or an Annuity for ever ; and S r — Net single premium for Assurance, or present value of £1 receivable at death, of life x : — _=J_ \ + i (1-&) 1 d + 7Tr Ar = amount of annual premium of £ by end of year . . ( 1 ) . . ( 2 ) . . (3) after death of x. 1 TTx S, v = 1- — “oo = 1 — d . a, v TT* ~~ d + 7T r d. S x 7I>= l -S x JL__i = Ox <*« a x ( 4 ) ( 5 ) ( 6 ) ( 7 ) ( 8 ) ( 9 ) ( 10 ) ( 11 ) ( 12 )] AND CONTINGENT REVERSIONS 7 Art. 17. Table for calculating the Annuity to be granted in purchase of a Post-Obit Bond or Contingent Reversionary Legacy of £100, payable on the contingency of one life ( A ) surviving another (2?). (The Annuity is the difference between Columns 1 and 2.) Ages. Column 1. Gross Annual Payment to purchase a Post Obit or Contingent Reversionary Legacy of £100, receivable if A survive B, inclusive of cost of insuring the chance of A dying before B, allowing interest at Column 2. Deduction to be made for rate of insurance of £100, payable should A die before B. A. B. 5 per cent. 6 per cent. 7 per cent. Office. £. s. d. £. s. £. s. d. £. s. d. 20 20 2 0 8 1 18 3 1 16 3 1 8 7 25 2 3 8 2 1 2 1 19 2 1 7 8 30 2 7 6 2 5 0 2 2 10 1 6 9 35 2 11 10 2 9 0 2 6 7 1 5 10 40 2 17 11 2 14 10 2 12 2 1 4 11 45 3 4 8 3 1 1 2 18 0 1 4 1 50 3 15 5 3 11 5 3 7 10 1 3 2 55 4 13 1 4 9 0 4 5 4 1 2 4 60 5 17 9 5 13 6 5 9 8 1 1 6 65 7 4 0 6 19 5 6 15 2 1 0 8 70 9 8 0 9 3 3 8 19 0 0 19 9 75 12 9 7 12 4 6 11 19 9 0 19 0 80 15 13 9 15 8 5 15 3 5 0 18 3 85 20 13 5 20 8 2 20 3 4 25 25 2 6 7 2 4 1 2 1 11 1 12 4 30 2 10 4 2 7 8 2 5 5 1 11 2 35 2 14 5 2 11 7 2 9 1 1 10 0 40 3 0 4 2 17 3 2 14 7 1 8 10 45 3 6 11 3 3 6 3 0 5 1 7 8 50 3 17 6 3 13 7 3 10 1 1 6 8 55 4 15 2 4 11 1 4 7 5 1 5 8 60 5 19 10 5 15 6 5 11 7 1 4 9 65 7 5 10 7 1 3 6 17 1 1 3 10 70 9 9 9 9 5 0 9 0 8 1 2 9 75 12 10 11 12 6 2 12 1 11 1 1 9 80 15 15 1 15 9 11 15 5 1 1 0 10 | 85 20 14 10 20 9 6 20 1 4 8 8 APPENDIX ON POST OBITS Annuity for the Purchase of a Post-Obit Bond — continued. Ages. Column 1. Gross Annual Payment to purchase a Post Obit or Contingent Reversionary Legacy of £100, receivable if A survive B, inclusive of cost of insuring the chance of A dying before B, allowing interest at Column 2. Deduction to be made for rate of insurance of £100, payable should A die before B. A. B. 5 per cent. 6 per cent. 7 per cent. Office. £. s. d. £. s. d. £. s. d. £. s. d. 30 30 2 13 10 2 11 1 2 8 10 1 16 9 35 2 17 8 2 14 10 2 12 5 1 15 3 40 3 3 5 3 0 4 2 17 9 1 13 10 45 3 9 9 3 6 4 3 3 3 1 12 4 50 4 0 0 3 16 4 3 12 10 1 10 11 55 4 17 8 4 13 9 4 10 1 1 9 8 60 6 2 3 5 18 1 5 14 5 1 8 7 65 7 8 4 7 3 10 6 19 9 1 ii / 7 70 9 12 5 9 7 8 9 3 4 1 6 8 75 12 13 6 12 8 11 12 4 8 1 5 8 80 15 17 9 15 12 7 15 7 11 1 4 9 85 20 17 7 20 12 3 20 7 5 35 35 3 1 3 2 18 3 2 15 8 2 1 5 40 3 6 7 3 3 6 3 0 9 1 19 6 45 3 12 8 3 9 2 3 6 0 l 17 7 50 4 2 9 3 18 10 3 15 5 1 15 8 55 5 0 0 4 16 0 4 12 5 1 13 9 60 6 4 5 6 0 4 5 16 7 1 12 3 65 7 10 4 7 5 10 7 1 9 1 11 0 70 9 14 2 9 9 5 9 5 0 1 9 9 75 12 15 3 12 10 7 12 6 3 1 8 7 80 15 19 2 15 14 1 15 9 4 1 7 4 85 20 18 11 20 13 6 20 8 7 40 40 3 11 8 3 8 5 3 5 6 2 7 9 45 3 17 3 3 13 8 3 10 6 2 5 4 50 4 6 10 4 2 11 3 19 5 2 2 9 55 5 3 11 4 19 10 4 16 2 2 0 3 60 6 7 11 6 3 11 6 0 3 1 18 0 65 7 13 9 7 9 2 7 5 1 1 16 3 70 9 17 6 9 12 10 9 8 6 1 14 9 75 12 18 9 12 14 0 12 9 9 1 13 6 80 16 2 10 15 17 8 15 12 10 1 12 8 85 21 2 6 20 17 2 20 12 3 AND CONTINGENT REVERSIONS 9 Annuity for the Purchase of a Post-Obit Bond — continued. Ages. Column 1. Gross Annual Payment to purchase a Post Obit or Contingent Reversionary Legacy of £ 100 , receivable if A survive B, inclusive of cost of insuring the chance of A dying before B, allowing interest at Column 2. Deduction to be made for rate of insurance of £ 100 , payable should A die before B. A. B. 5 per cent. 6 per cent. 7 per cent. Office. £. s. d. £. s. d. £. s. d. £. s. d. 45 45 4 2 1 3 18 4 3 14 11 2 14 4 50 4 11 0 4 7 0 4 o O 5 2 11 0 55 5 7 5 5 3 2 4 19 4 2 7 6 60 6 10 10 6 6 8 6 2 10 2 4 1 65 7 15 11 7 11 o o 7 7 1 2 1 0 70 9 19 2 9 14 5 9 10 0 1 18 3 75 13 0 0 12 15 4 12 11 0 1 16 0 80 16 3 10 15 18 8 15 14 0 1 14 5 85 21 3 9 20 18 4 20 13 3 50 50 4 19 1 4 14 9 4 10 10 3 4 10 55 5 14 8 5 10 3 5 6 2 3 0 5 60 6 17 3 6 12 11 6 8 11 2 15 11 65 8 1 2 7 16 6 7 12 1 2 11 4 70 10 3 6 9 18 7 9 14 0 2 6 9 75 13 3 4 12 18 6 12 14 1 2 2 9 80 16 6 2 16 0 11 15 16 1 1 19 2 85 21 5 4 20 19 10 20 14 9 55 55 6 9 6 6 5 0 6 0 11 4 3 2 60 7 11 6 7 7 0 7 3 0 3 17 10 65 8 14 4 8 9 7 8 5 2 3 12 6 70 10 15 9 10 10 9 10 6 1 3 6 7 75 13 15 2 13 10 2 13 5 7 3 1 4 80 16 16 9 16 11 4 16 6 4 2 16 7 85 21 15 0 21 9 5 21 4 3 60 60 8 13 0 8 8 7 8 4 7 5 9 2 65 9 14 10 9 10 1 9 5 10 5 3 0 70 11 15 8 11 10 8 11 6 1 4 16 6 75 14 15 0 14 10 1 14 5 7 4 10 7 80 17 16 3 17 10 10 17 5 10 4 5 7 85 22 14 8 22 8 11 22 3 7 10 APPENDIX ON POST OBITS Annuity for the Purchase of a Post-Obit Bond — continued. 1 Ages. Column 1. Gross Annual Payment to purchase a Post Obit or Contingent Reversionary Legacy of £100, receivable if A survive B, inclusive of cost of insuring the chance of A dying before B, allowing interest at Column 2. Deduction to be made for rate of insurance of £100, payable should A die before B. A. B. 5 per cent. 6 per cent. 7 per cent. Office. £. s. d. £. s. d. £. s. d. £. s. d. 65 65 10 14 6 10 9 6 10 5 0 6 14 5 70 12 13 4 12 8 2 12 3 5 6 5 3 75 15 11 2 15 6 1 15 1 5 5 16 8 80 18 10 2 18 4 7 17 19 4 5 8 5 85 23 7 4 23 1 6 22 16 1 70 70 14 10 l 14 4 7 13 19 6 8 19 11 75 17 6 5 17 1 0 16 16 0 8 9 2 80 20 2 3 19 16 4 19 10 10 7 18 6 85 24 16 6 24 10 1 24 4 2 75 75 20 2 11 19 17 6 19 12 6 80 22 16 9 22 10 10 22 5 3 85 27 9 11 27 3 5 26 17 3 80 80 25 6 5 25 0 3 24 14 7 85 29 15 7 29 8 7 29 1 11 85 85 33 19 1 33 11 5 33 4 2 Example : — A Life 35 should receive an Annuity due of £11. 2s. during his joint existence with another , 75, in consideration of a Post Obit of A’ 100, supposing that the purchaser can Assure the life against '7 § for a premium of £1. 8s. 7 d. per cent, per annum, and is allowed to charge 6 per cent, in- terest. Hence for a Post Obit of £14,000 an Annuity of £ 1554 should be given. ( See case as stated in Article 3.) AND CONTINGENT REVERSIONS. 11 As to Purchase by Present Values. Art. 1 8. — If, instead of an Annuity , a present cash sum is to be paid to x , for a Post Obit of £1, or in purchase of a Contingent Reversionary Legacy of <£1, dependent on x surviving y , the price should be, — The present net value of £1 receivable at the death of the first of the two lives, less the Office single premium for the contin- gent Assurance of x dying before y ; = (S x . y ) or net single premium at the rate of interest proposed to be received by the purchaser — at Office rate. This result is equivalent to 7T x . y ’ ( a x . y taken at 5, 6, or 7 per cent, interest) —p x . y ' (a-x-y taken at 3 or 4 per cent, interest), (i) the reason being, that the purchaser is entitled to deduct from the Present Value of the total annual cost of the Post Obit (discounted at the rate of profit he is to make, viz. 5, 6, or 7 per cent.) the Present Value of the Office annual premium for the Contingent Assurance (discounted at the Office rate of interest, which would be 3 or 4 per cent.). 19. — Some writers recommend the use of the following formula (which gives a lesser present Value), viz. : — 1 — (d -\-p x . y ) • a x . y U) in which d = — , or annual interest due of £1, and is usually 1 + * taken at 5 per cent, for the advantage of the purchaser, whilst a x . y is taken at a lower rate, that is, 3 per cent. The first two terms, 1 — d. a x . yi would coincide with S x . y or ir x . y 'a x . y in the preceding ar- ticle, if one same rate of interest were involved in both expressions. 20. — The introduction of two rates of interest in the first two terms of the above, viz.: — 1 00 s per cent, (px ’ y)'6 per cent. as the value of a Reversion of £1, receivable at the death of the first of two lives (without Assurance), is scarcely equitable ; for the Seller is made to allow the Purchaser, instead of the supposed 5 per cent, yearly interest due , its present value discounted at 3 per cent., which is equivalent to allowing a much higher rate. 12 APPENDIX ON POST OBITS 21. — A like form, 1 ($)& per cent. 3 per cent. ♦ • * • • • (1) has also been strongly recommended by some Actuaries as a just and proper present value for a Reversion of £ l defending on a single life in place of the usual form (Sr) 5 per cent. Or 1 (d)s per cent. ( a r) 5 per cent. ( 2 ) which is the expression for the single premium or present value of £1 at death of a life x discounted at 5 per cent. The first form (1) differs from (2) by 00 5 per cent. { ( a r)3 per cent. ( a r)5 per cent.} > or the difference between the present values of a Life Annuity ( d) 5 per cent at 3 and 5 per cent., but it cannot be supported by any satisfactory reasoning, and is objectionable from its giving negative results for ages under the zero point, corresponding to 1 005percent. 3 per cent. — 1 (“») 3 per cent.' ( a OO ) 00 /5 per cent. 0 ) 5 per cent. that is, when the Life Annuity due at 3 per cent, at age x=the value of a perpetuity due at 5 jper cent. = 21. 22. — Our own preference would, perhaps, be in favour of the for- mula S„ or 1 —— d . a x in which a higher rate of interest, such as 6 or 7 per cent., should be used throughout ; — as we are prepared to recognize that a 5 per cent, discount by the formula S x is not sufficiently advantageous to satisfy purchasers ; considering they run the risk of locking up their money a long time before the Reversion falls in. 23. — But a much more satisfactory form may be deduced as fol- lows (analogous to that in the preceding Articles on Post Obits), and is worthy of consideration, as it does not yet appear to have been noticed by other writers : — Let (7ra.) 5 =net annual premium or sinking fund to realize £1 at death of x at 5 per cent . ; then (7r*) 5 is the immediate Annuity due that might be granted to the Reversioner in purchase of a Reversion or Post Obit of 3$1, re- ceivable at death of x, charging the purchaser 5 per cent, for the money he advances each year. Now if the Reversion is to be bought by a single present sum, the Present Value of the Annuity (n x )^ should be given, which, by cus- tomary rule for purchasing Life Annuities, AND CONTINGENT REVERSIONS. 13 = 4 ^- ( * * 3 > *where p x is Office premium to insure £\ at death of x. 24. — From the theoretical value of a Reversion, whatever formula be used, a deduction would have to be made, if Legacy or other duty is payable, or if legal or other expenses are anticipated to arise at the time of coming into the Reversion. 25. — For comparison, we place side by side these three forms and their numerical values at various ages, which we will designate by numbers (1), (2), (3). (See next page.) It will be seen that if a person aged 20 were entitled to a Reversion of 36 100, and the interest of money were 5 per cent., formula (2) would make its value 3619*92, and the newly-suggested formula (3) 3618*24 ; while, by the method now in frequent use, viz. (1), the party would not only have nothing to receive , but would actually be called upon to pay the Purchaser 368*01 ; thus making the possession of such Reversion a positive liability or debt. This absurd result, apart from any abstract argument, is conclusive proof that the formula from which it is obtained must be radically defective, and cannot be founded on any correct or equitable principle. The positive values given by this latter method at older ages also present equally strange results, for at age 40 it makes the value of 36 100 in rever- sion, at 5 per cent., worth only 3613*64; whereas the discounted value of the same is 3631*48, or, even at 7 per cent., 3622*51. * [The value of an Annuity due of £1 is a x , which used to be taken formerly at 5 per cent., and is =- — - — — (see note p. 6) «5 + Ws The modern writers substitute, in the denominator, p x , the Office annual pre- mium for (ir x ) 5 , the net premium at 5 per cent. It may be mentioned incidentally that the ages at which the present Value 1 or ___* — \ of a Reversion of £1 is i, or -, correspond to the ages at \ d+ir s ) f which the annual premiums are equal to d, ~, or respectively. Thus P. V. of a Reversion of £100 is — or £33. 6s. 8 = -0566. d 7 = *0654. The Variables may be found as follows : — p x in Table 1, page 51, for Office Annual Premiums. (tt t ) in the following Table, Art. 26, page 1C. 16 APPENDIX ON POST OBITS, ETC. Art. 26. Table of the Value of Tr lVi the Annual Premium or Sinking Fund (due), to assure .36 100 on the Life of a Person aged x t at 5 per cent , interest , Carlisle Law , Net . X 7 r* X £. d . s . d . 20 1 3 9 51 3 5 11 21 1 4 5 52 3 9 5 22 1 5 1 53 3 13 0 23 1 5 10 54 3 16 11 24 1 6 8 55 4 1 1 25 1 7 6 56 4 5 7 26 1 8 4 57 4 10 6 27 1 9 3 58 4 15 9 28 1 10 3 59 5 0 10 29 1 11 2 60 5 6 0 30 1 12 0 61 5 10 8 31 1 12 10 62 5 15 7 32 1 13 9 63 6 1 0 33 1 14 9 64 6 6 9 34 1 15 10 65 6 13 l 35 1 17 0 66 7 0 1 36 1 18 3 67 7 8 1 37 1 19 6 68 7 16 8 38 2 0 11 69 8 6 7 39 2 2 4 70 8 17 8 40 2 3 9 71 9 10 1 41 2 5 2 72 10 2 10 42 2 6 7 73 10 15 7 43 2 8 1 74 11 7 11 44 2 9 8 75 11 18 9 45 2 11 10 76 12 10 1 46 2 13 2 77 13 1 4 47 2 15 2 78 13 13 8 48 2 17 5 79 14 8 8 49 2 19 11 80 15 4 0 50 3 2 9 Note. — [The Equivalents of ir x are — *= J_ _ 1 1 3- S ' =± - d . A x a x a x (1 — 3*) Or 4 (See Appendix, page 4, 1 Treatise on Copyholds.’) Hence «■ at other rates of interest than 5 per cent, can be readily calculated from a Life Annuity, or an Sr Table.] THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 17 70. Is labour, when considered as a commodity, to be looked upon as capital ? Capital has been defined to be “ any commodity, or combination of commodities, which is being employed with a view to profit.” Now, a labourer will always employ his labour with a view to profit, for whether the labour which he sells is profitable or unprofitable to his employer, it must be profitable to himself, or he would not continue to supply the commodity ; labour, therefore, is always capital to the labourer. But labour is not necessarily capital to the employer, for he may pay labourers who are engaged in works conducted without any view to profit, and this sort of labour is not capital to him, although it is capital to the labourers themselves. Productive labour is capital to both the employer and the labourer; un- productive labour is capital to the labourer only, for it is unproductive as far as the employer is concerned. 2 CHAPTER ITT. BUYING AN I) SELLING. 7 T . What is buying ? It is giving money in exchange for any other com- modity. 72. What is selling? It is giving any other commodity in exchange for money. 73. What is speculation? It is buying any commodity which is liable to alteration of price, when the supply of it is large and the price low, with a view to selling it when the sup- ply chances to be small and the price high. 74. What is speculative demand? It is any demand created by speculators, and not caused by the wants of trade. 75. What is foreign trade ? It is the exchanging the surplus produce of our own country for the surplus produce of some other country ; we want to be supplied with commodities which are produced both better and cheaper abroad than we can produce them at home. 76. When are the foreign exchanges said to be favorable to a nation ? They are said to be favorable when that nation sells more to other nations than she buys from them, and the balance which then becomes due to her is called the balance of trade. THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 19 77. When are the foreign exchanges said to be ad- verse to a nation ? They are said to be adverse when that nation buys more from other nations than she sells to them. 78. When are the foreign exchanges said to be at par? They are said to be at par between two nations when the amount of what is bought by the one in their mutual dealings exactly balances what is sold by the other. 79. What is credit ? Credit is the being able to obtain another man’s capital upon trust. CHAPTER IV. CURRENCY. 80. What is money ? It is the common measure by which we value all other commodities. 81. What is the great advantage which money pos- sesses over all other commodities ? That people who have money can always find people who want money and are willing to exchange commodities for it, whereas people who have other commodities very often cannot find customers for them. 82. Mention any other advantages. Money is easily brought from one market to ano- ther, and has been divided at the Mint into those sizes of coin which are most convenient for the pur- poses of exchange. 83. What is issue? It is the power of creating money. 84. What is banking ? It is the duty of using and distributing that money after it is issued in a proper manner in the conduct of business. 85. What is the currency? The currency is the money which is in use in any country, and consists in Great Britain of coin and bank- notes, issued under certain restrictions. 86. What is managing the currency? Managing the currency in Great Britain is regula- THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 21 ting the fluctuations in the amount of bank-notes which we issue, by the fluctuations in the amount of bullion which comes in and goes out of the country, according to the state of the foreign exchanges. 87. What is the circulation ? The circulation is that amount of currency which is in use in any country. 88. How ought the circulation to be managed? It ought to be left free to manage itself, expanding or contracting according to the wants of trade ? 89. What is an expansion of the circulation ? In Great Britain it is an influx of bullion into the country, from the foreign exchanges being favorable. 90. What is a contraction of the circulation? A contraction of the circulation in Great Britain is an efflux of bullion out of the country, from the foreign exchanges being adverse. 91. What is the cause of depreciation in the value of the currency ? A continued expansion of the circulation. 92. What is the cause of an increase in the value of the currency ? A continued contraction of the circulation. 93. What is monetary pressure ? It is that rise in the rate of interest which ought to accompany any contraction of the circulation. 94. What is convertibility? It is an exact coincidence in value between bank- notes and the bullion they are issued against. 95. What is a period of full currency? It is when the foreign exchanges continue for some time at par, and the amount of the circulation is not affected by the state of the foreign exchanges. 22 THE SCIENCE OE EXCHANGES. 96. What is auxiliary currency ? Bills of exchange, promissory notes, cheques, and anything which serves to economise the circulation, are called auxiliary currency; as they are not made by law to fluctuate in their amount, as bank-notes are, they cannot maintain a precisely equal value with true currency. 97. What is meant by the term “in circula- tion ” ? Anything which is performing the functions of money is in circulation. Bank-notes, since the Act of 1844, are equally in circulation whether they are in the hands of the public or the bank which issued them ; bills of exchange, promissory notes, cheques, &c., are in circulation whenever they are actually enabling us to do with a less amount of currency than if they were not in existence. 98. What is meant by the term “in active cir- culation ” ? Any kind of currency is in active circulation while one person passes it as money to another in constant succession. 99. What does the efficiency of the circulation in any country depend on ? It depends on the state of credit in that country ; if the state of credit is good, a much less amount of currency will be sufficient for the purposes of trade than if the state of credit is bad. When people lose confi- dence they begin to hoard their money, and thus they diminish the amount of currency in active circulation. Auxiliary currency, too, is based upon credit, so that its power of economising the circulation is weakened or destroyed. THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 23 100. Is a want of money the same tiling as a want of capital ? Certainly not ; a want of money is a want of a par- ticular kind of capital, not a want of capital gene- rally. 101. What is the principal point of difference be- tween a bill of exchange and a promissory note ? A bill of exchange contains an order to pay, whereas a promissory note contains a promise to pay. 102. Give some account of the parties to a bill of exchange. The party who draws the bill is called the drawer ; the party to whom the order to pay is addressed is called the drawee till he gives his assent to the trans- action by writing his name across the bill, when he is called the acceptor; the party to whom the bill is made payable is called the payee ; the drawer and the payee may be the same person. When any holder of a bill writes his name on the back of that bill, in order to make over his interest in it to some other person, he is called an indorser. The drawee, on accepting a bill, either personally or by his recognised agent, becomes primarily liable for that bill ; but if he refuses to accept the bill when presented to him, or cannot pay it when it becomes due, he is said to dishonour it, and the drawer and any indorsers there may be become immediately liable to the holder, on receiving notice from him that the bill which he holds is dis- honoured, accompanied by a request to pay its amount. If the drawer of the bill which has been dishonoured pays its amount, all the indorsers are discharged from their liability to the holder by such payment ; but if the 24 THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. last indorser is compelled to pay the amount of the bill, the drawer and the previous indorsers are not discharged by this payment, for the last indorser can sue them for the amount he has paid to the holder of the bill. A bill may be paid any number of times before it is due, and may be put into circulation again between each payment ; but once it is paid by the acceptor on its becoming due, it cannot be put into circulation again, nor can any action be brought upon it. 103. What is discounting a bill? Any broker or banker who buys a bill, deducting so much from its price as interest till the bill becomes due, is said to discount that bill, and the interest which he deducts is called discount. 104. What is money at call? Money lent by bankers, with the option of having it back at any moment, to bill-brokers, on the secu- rity of bills which they deposit with the banks. 105. Give an instance to explain the use of bills of exchange. Jean, of Marseilles, sends a thousand francs’ worth of silk goods to Diego, of Rio de Janeiro, and draws a bill on Diego for a thousand francs ; this bill is dis- counted for Jean by a banker at Marseilles. Juarez, of Rio de Janeiro, sends a thousand francs’ worth of coffee to Jacques, of Havre, and draws a bill on Jacques for a thousand francs; this bill is discounted for Juarez by a banker at Rio de Janeiro. Diego, who wants a bill on France in order to pay Jean, buys this last bill of the Rio de Janeiro banker, and sends it to Jean ; Jacques, of Havre, on whom it is THE SCIENCE OE EXCHANGES. 25 drawn, must pay his countryman Jean a thousand francs. Jacques, who wants a bill on Rio de Janeiro in order to pay J uarez, buys the first bill mentioned, which Jean drew on Diego, and which the Marseilles banker holds, and sends it to Juarez; Diego, on whom it is drawn, must pay his countryman Juarez a thousand francs. In short, Diego, who has bought silk, pays Juarez, who has sold coffee, while Jacques, who has bought coffee, pays Jean, who has sold silk, and the risk and expense of transmitting money from "France to Rio de Janeiro, or vice versa , is avoided. 106. What advantage do bills of exchange at short dates possess ? Though the drawer, acceptor, and indorsers of such bills may all of them be persons of doubtful credit, yet still the shortness of the date gives some security to the holder of the bill ; though all of them may be likely to become bankrupt, it is a chance if they all become so in so short a time. “ The house is crazy,” says a weary traveller to himself, “ and will not stand very long ; but it is a chance if it falls to-night, and I will venture, therefore, to sleep in it to-night. ” 107. What are accommodation bills? Inland bills , which are not based upon any trade transactions, either present or future, but which are drawn for the sole purpose of raising money. In general, where an accommodation bill is concerned, the only real creditor is the man who discounts the bill, and the only real debtor is the man who gets the amount of the bill minus that discount. It requires great experience to distinguish accommodation bills, when properly disguised by dishonest traders, from 26 THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. bills which really are based on trade transactions or are drawn in anticipation of trade transactions which will certainly take place. 108. What is a security? A security is that which is given in pledge for the performance of an engagement. 109. What does banking depend upon? In all its forms it depends upon credit. 110. What is the duty of a banker? He ought to act as an intermediate party between those who have money seeking employment, and those who have industry and enterprise, but want money to carry out their plans. 111. What are deposits ? Deposits are any public or private moneys entrusted to the care of bankers during business hours. 112. What effect has the deposit system upon the circulation ? It serves to economise the circulation, for bankers need only keep whatever reserve of bank-notes they find sufficient to meet the average demands of depositors; it also serves the same purpose to an enormous extent by making transfers from one account to another possible. The amount settled at the clearing-house in London by transfer, during the year 1857, was £1,900,000,000, and all this without the employment of a single bank-note or sovereign. 113. What is panic? It is a state of general alarm, arising from loss of credit. 114. What is external panic ? External panic is a panic arising from the exhaustion THE SCIENCE OE EXCHANGES. 27 of bullion, consequent upon continued adverse ex- changes. 115. What is internal panic? Internal panic is a panic arising from the amount of bank-notes issued against other security than that of bullion being too large, and thereby causing doubts as to the convertibility of the bank-notes and an internal demand for bullion. 116. What is the best guard against external panic ? The only true way of guarding against external panic is raising the rate of interest slowly and steadily during a drain of bullion, till at last it will become cheaper to export other commodities, and the foreign exchanges will turn in our favour. Whenever we buy more than we sell in our dealings with other nations the foreign exchanges become adverse, and the effect is the same whether we buy commodities or invest in foreign securities — only another form of buying. 117. Is there any other means of guarding against external panic ? The Bank of England may strengthen the reserve by gradually realising securities, but a sudden realisation of securities to a large amount is not to the advantage of the Bank or the public. 118. Is there any remedy for internal panic? As banking is dependent upon credit, our monetary system gives us no remedy for an internal panic ex- cept the strict limitation of the amount of bank-notes which we allow by law to be issued against other security than that of bullion. Sir Robert Peel assumed that the circulation in Great Britain had never been 28 THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. reduced so low as seventeen millions, and lie also assumed that it will never again be reduced lower than it has been reduced in former times, and he came to the conclusion that in the worst circumstances he might safely allow fourteen million four hundred and seventy-five thousand pounds in bank-notes to be issued against other security than that of bullion, and still have three million pounds in gold, or thereabouts, necessarily remaining in the country. By his Act of 1 844 he divided the Bank of England into two de- partments, the issue-department and the banking- department, and he permitted the issue- department to issue £14,475,000 in bank-notes against other security than that of bullion, any issue of bank-notes over this amount to necessitate a corresponding amount of bullion being received into the till of the issue- department, that is, that any bank-notes issued over the amount of £14,475,000 should be only so many certificates of the deposit of a corresponding amount of bullion. Sir Robert Peel allowed the Bank of England, and it alone, to buy bullion with its own notes, and thus increase its issues. On bullion being withdrawn from the till of the issue- department a precisely equal amount of bank-notes must be cancelled by the Bank of England, so that the fluctuations in the amount of bank-notes issued over the fixed amount are regulated by the fluctuations in the amount of the bullion as it comes in and goes out of the country, according to the state of the foreign exchanges. Sir Robert Peel, at the same time, limited the issues of all the other exist- ing banks in England to the exact average amount of bank-notes which each of them had in circulation THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 29 during the space of twelve weeks preceding the 12tli April, 1844; whatever this amount proved to be, no bank in England was to exceed it, whatever amount of gold they might hold in their tills. No London bank but the Bank of England can issue bank-notes, and no bank created after the 6th of May, 1844, can issue them either. In Scotland and Ireland bank-notes are not a legal tender ; in England Bank of England notes are a legal tender everywhere except at the Bank of England and its branches; but there is this difference between the issues of the Scotch and Irish banks and the issues of the English banks (the Bank of England being excepted) — the latter cannot issue bank-notes above the fixed amount, but the former are allowed to issue over and above the fixed amount any amount of bank-notes they please, provided that for every bank- note so issued they possess a corresponding amount of sovereigns, either at their head offices, if they are Scotch banks, or at any of the four depots chosen in Ireland for that purpose, if they are Irish. In Great Britain, then, the power of issue has been very strictly limited ; but even with these limitations, if all holders of bank-notes were to present them simultaneously for payment, their demands could not be met ; our mone- tary system must be dependent upon credit. 119. How does a bank increase its liabilities ? By increasing its securities, and thus paying out bank-notes or coin again when deposited in the course of business. 120. Can a bank fail as a banking concern and yet maintain the convertibility of its notes ? Certainly, if it invests too largely in securities, and 30 THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. those securities cannot be readily converted into cash. 121. How does a bank which is strictly limited in its power of issue obtain the money to invest in secu- rities ? By employing its customers’ deposits and its own capital. 122. What makes it difficult to understand ques- tions bearing on the issue of bank-notes ? Because people do not clearly separate in their minds the business of issuing from that of banking ; issuing is creating money, banking is managing money after it has been issued. 123. What is the difference between paying bank- notes out of a bank in the ordinary course of business and reissuing bank-notes ? Bank-notes deposited by customers in the ordinary course of business are already issued, and the bank pays them out again as so much money, merely keep- ing whatever amount is sufficient to meet the average demands made upon it ; reissuing bank-notes is issu- ing bank-notes again which have been tendered for payment in gold at the bank, and have been paid. The object of the Act of 1844, was to secure that over and above a certain fixed amount of bank-notes issued against other security than that of bullion, any addi- tional issue of bank-notes should be only so many cer- tificates of the deposit of a corresponding amount of bullion, and, therefore, when bullion is withdrawn from the issue- department, a precisely similar amount of bank-notes ought to be cancelled. 124. Why is the permission to issue a certain amount THE SCIENCE OE EXCHANGES. 31 of bank-notes against other security than that of bullion so very valuable ? Because there is a double return of profit on capital thus invested ; first, the dividends arising from capi- tal invested in profitable securities ; secondly, the in- terest payable on the bank-notes issued against those securities. 125. Is the power of issuing bank notes over the fixed amount one which can be safely used by any other bank than the Bank of England? It is very doubtful whether it is a safe power in the hands of the Scotch and Irish banks, even strictly limited as they are at present ; they may and perhaps often do abuse the power granted to them. 126. Give an instance to show how the Scotch and Irish banks may avail themselves of the power of extra issue ? Let us suppose that one of those banks has an authorised circulation of £100,000, and notes issued to that amount against other security than that of gold coin, and that it holds £25,000 in sovereigns, of which £15,000 are at its depot or head office, and £10,000 in its own till ; by the Act of 1844 it might issue, if it pleased, £25,000 in bank-notes, by transferring the £10,000 in sovereigns , which it holds in its ow7i till, to its depot or head office, but this would leave it no fund in gold coin to maintain the convertibility of its autho- rised issue. It issues, we will say, £20,000 in bank- notes above its fixed amount, and transfers £5000 in sovereigns to its head office. Its affairs now stand thus : it has a total circulation of £120,000 in bank-notes, and it holds £25,000 in sovereigns ; but as it has issued 32 THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. £20,000 in bank-notes over its fixed amount, it holds, in reality, but £5000 in sovereigns, against which no extra notes have been issued to meet its authorised issue of £100,000, this is one twentieth . 127. In what, then, does the unsoundness of such a system consist ? In the necessity which it entails on any banks which follow it of evading the Act of 1844, though for very short intervals, should any pressure or difficulties arise. A part of the gold coin which the banks ought to keep at their depots or head offices, by the Act of 1844, if they issue any bank-notes over their fixed amount, can be called upon, for a very short time, to help out the small fund of sovereigns which the banks keep in their own tills to maintain the convertibility of their authorised circulation, and against which they issue no extra notes. Temporary as such an evasion of the Act of 1844 is, it gives the banks time to realise securities and put their houses in order should there be signs of pressure. 128. Can the Scotch and Irish banks make a profit on their extra issues without evading the Act of 1844? As long as the times are prosperous and there is no pressure, they can ; they are able to keep a much larger note-circulation afloat, and to give much more accommodation in consequence of their extra issues. The profit is not made absolutely on the extra issues themselves, for there is the expense of issuing, the wear and tear of the notes, and a duty of seven shil- lings per cent, on every issue to be taken into account ; but on the increased business which the extra issues THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 38 bring to the bank. When monetary storms and pressure arise, the Act of 1 844 must be temporarily evaded, and a risk of awakening an internal panic amongst their customers must be run. 129. Give an instance to show how large their in- direct profit must be. The Bank of France for some considerable time lately paid £16,000 a month in premiums, buying gold ; this was, of course, in itself, a dead loss, but the bank considered it would be much more than com- pensated by the increase in its business, as it was able to keep a much larger note circulation afloat, and to give much more accommodation that it would other- wise have done. 130. What has been often the ruin of joint-stock banks ? Making enormous advances to directors without proper security, and alluring depositors by high rates of interest in order to obtain the funds necessary for those advances. 131. Is there any real safeguard against commer- cial disasters ? No ; the tide of trade must ebb and flow ; adverse circumstances, such as famine, or war, or undue spe- culation, will come upon us, whatever we do ; but the Act of 1 844 enables us to meet them better, because it preserves the convertibility of our paper-issues, and prevents the calamity of internal panic being added to external panic. 132. What is the reserve in the Bank of England ? It is the amount of bank-notes kept by the bank in the till of the banking-department, in order 3 34 THE SCIENCE OE EXCHANGES. to meet the average demands of depositors, and all other demands whatever made on the bank. When a drain of bullion begins, as the bank cannot get at the notes which are in the hands of the public, it must come on the reserve, and cancel bank-notes taken from it as the bullion is being withdrawn from the issue-department. The bank must take care to protect the reserve in order to be able to meet the demands made on her, and when a drain of bullion is going on the way to do this is by slowly and steadily raising the rate of interest as the bullion goes on di- minishing, for money is in reality getting scarce, and more ought to be paid for its use. The bank may still further protect the reserve by realising as large an amount of securities as she can conveniently do with- out injury to herself, and without awakening alarm in the minds of the public. 133. What effect has this course of action on the foreign exchanges ? A steady increase in the rate of interest will check the exportation of bullion, which is only exported be- cause it happens to be the commodity which we can best spare at that time, and the contraction of the circulation caused by the drain of bullion, and the corresponding withdrawal of bank-notes from the re- serve, will soon lead to a fall of prices which will induce foreign nations to buy more largely in our markets, and thus turn the foreign exchanges in our favour. 134. Is it wise of the Bank of England to refuse to discount for the discount houses ? Yes ; if the Bank of England were to discount for THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 85 the discount houses, she would expose herself to the danger of their uniting in times of panic, presenting very large amounts of bills, and demanding their dis- count on the threat of stopping payment if they did not get it. Such a course of action would embarrass the bank, and might cause most serious mischief to the country. The discount houses are in the habit of taking money at call to an enormous amount, and whenever they have to pay a high rate of interest for it they can afford to keep but small cash-balances idle ; as long as the Bank of England discounted for them they discounted bills rather under the bank rate, in order to get the business into their hands, and if bad times came, and their cash was run out, they had a great mass of bills on hand ready to present to the bank for discount in a threatening manner. Now that the bank has wisely refused to discount for them, and money begins to show signs of scarcity, they are afraid to discount bills under the bank rate, and the bills, instead of being massed together in the hands of a phalanx of dealers, find their way to the Bank of England, the National Bank, or any other of the strong money-holders who are in a firmer position than the discount houses, and not likely to increase the diffi- culties of the situation by any very sudden require- ments. 135. What was the only check on the issues of the Bank of England before the Act of 1819 ? The common rule of the bank, to discount only good mercantile bills at sixty days’ date, at a fixed rate, which chanced to be about the market rate of interest at the time, with her extra issues of bank- 36 THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. notes. Notes issued on these terms were within some sort of limits ; that is, they were not so pregnant with mischief as bank-notes issued under no checks at all, as the country banks issued them. 136. What is the plain principle involved in the matter P That, however clever a person you may be, you cannot contrive to make anything plenty for a con- tinuance which is in reality scarce. Bank-notes, which pretend to be of equal value with a fixed amount of standard gold, if they are to maintain a precisely equal value with that gold, must vary in amount exactly as the amount of gold itself varies ; they must get scarce as gold gets scarce, and get plenty as gold gets plenty. 137. Can we prevent the temporary inconvenience which commerce in England suffers from when an advance in our rate of discount is caused by any sudden demand for money on the part of any nation who deals with us ? A certain amount of pressure and inconvenience is unavoidable, but by strictly adhering to the Act of 1844, and by steadily advancing the rate of interest as our circulation contracts, the matter adjusts itself. No nation can obtain more from us than we owe them, and the more our rate of interest advances the more money is attracted to us from every quarter, for more can be had for it with us than elsewhere, so that pressure and inconvenience from this source cannot last long. 138. What is the gold and silver coin kept for in the banking- department P THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 37 It is kept for the convenience of customers ; no bank-notes are issued against this gold coin, for then the bank-notes and gold against which they are issued would be in circulation at the same time. This amount is, like the stock in a jeweller’s shop, necessary to the business of a bank, and the holding it is a dead loss. 139. If the currency were purely metallic, would that be a safeguard against panic ? Certainly not ; as long as the deposit system pre- vailed, and auxiliary currency was in existence, bankers would then, as now, hold only whatever amount of gold they found necessary to meet the average demands of their customers ; and if any extraordinary demand was to take place, they could only meet it by realising securities, which, in times of panic, must always be done at a loss. 140. Are there any valid objections to a great central issuing-establishment for the whole of Great Britain, under the control of the House of Commons ? The objections do not appear to be valid. Ob- jectors say that it would be dangerous to allow so large an amount of bank-notes to be issued against Government securities, and that' it would render con- vertibility impossible in times of panic ; but, from the very nature of our monetary system, convertibility must always be impossible in times of panic, for if all the holders of bank-notes were to present them for payment in gold at one time their demands could not be met, the securities against which our limited amount of bank-notes are issued could not be con- verted into gold during such an emergency. As long 38 THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. as the amount of bank-notes permitted to be issued in Great Britain, against other security than that of bullion, is lower than the circulation could ever be reduced to in the worst possible circumstances, we are safer with our bank-notes issued against Govern- ment securities than we could be if they were issued against any other securities whatever other than bullion itself. Objectors also say that entrusting the business of issuing bank-notes to private enterprise secures more care, diligence, and economy in the management of that business, than if it was entrusted to a central issuing-establishment under the control of the House of Commons. The same might be said of any Government establishments whatever, but with less truth in this special instance, for the business of issuing bank-notes is purely mechanical, only requiring the very best preventives against the possi- bility of forgery that science can discover. 141. What decided advantage would be gained by this plan ? It would then be perfectly safe to issue one-pound notes in England as well as in Scotland and Ireland, and the loss in wear and tear arising from the circu- lation of sovereigns would be avoided ; for gold would then lie in the tills of the issuing-establishment till needed for exportation when the foreign ex- changes became adverse to us. There would be a danger arising from forgery, but this danger is now incurred with our present system, and the difficulty of forging the present Bank of England notes is very great. The profit arising from the issue of bank- notes against Government securities ought to form o O THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 39 part of the revenue of the country. Bank-notes should be payable in gold on demand at the central issuing-establishment, or at any of its branches, which should exist in all the very large cities, and be a legal tender everywhere else. The House of Com- mons should decide what amount of bank-notes might be safely issued against other security than that of bullion, and no alteration in this amount should be possible without the consent of the House of Com- mons. The duty of such a central issuing-establish- ment would then be simply mechanical, and bullion should only be withdrawn on the presentation of a corresponding amount of bank-notes; so that it would be unnecessary to keep any reserve of bank- notes, as those who wanted to get bullion must pre- viously obtain bank-notes themselves to the amount required. 142. Why should the regulation of such an esta- blishment be entrusted to the House of Commons, and not to the Government alone ? Because putting it in the hands of the House of Commons would make it almost impossible to job the issuing, or, in plain words, to make use of it for political purposes. 143. Are we ever likely to have such a system in Great Britain and Ireland ? No, for our present system works sufficiently well. It is only mentioned here because it is the best system for any country to adopt. Italy, for instance, which is being reconstructed, would do well and wisely in selecting it. 144. Are there any improvements which we could 40 THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. introduce into our present system as established by Sir Robert Peel? Yes ; there are three things which might be altered with advantage : (1) Bank of England notes should be made a legal tender all over the United Kingdom except at the Bank of England and its branches, which should be properly distributed amongst the great towns. (2) The power of extra issue should be taken from the Scotch and Irish banks. (3) All banks which have now a power of issue entrusted to them should be allowed to issue one- pound notes. The first of these measures would enable the Scotch and Irish banks to hold Bank of England notes instead of sovereigns, as the English country banks now do ; the second would diminish considerably the profits of banking in Scotland and Ireland, but would place the banks in a firmer position to meet any difficulties ; the third would give the convenience of one-pound notes to the English people, and save much wear and tear in the use of sovereigns. 145. What is the advantage of publishing the ac- count of the Bank of England every week ? It enables capitalists and men of business, by com- paring the account of one week with another, to make some guess at what the value of money is likely to be. They look to the amount of bullion held by the bank, and the state of the reserve. 146. Would a statement of the same kind, but relating only to the central issuing-establishment pro- posed, have the same effect ? THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 41 Certainly ; capitalists and men of business would then only look to the amount of bullion held each week by that establishment. 147. What does a contraction of the circulation lead to? It leads to an increase in the value of the currency and a gradual fall of prices in consequence of that increase in value ; we then sell more commodities to foreign nations than we did before, for they are en- couraged to buy by the fall in prices, and this serves to turn the foreign exchanges in our favour. 148. What does an expansion of the circulation lead to ? It leads to a depreciation in the value of the cur- rency and a gradual rise of prices ; we then buy more commodities than we did from foreign nations, for we want to get rid of our spare cash. 149. Why is bullion exported? - Because it happens to be the cheapest commodity for us to import at that time — we can best spare it. 150. Why is bullion imported ? Because it happens to be the cheapest commodity for foreign nations to send to us at the time it is imported ; besides, when our circulation begins to get contracted, standard gold begins to increase in value at home, the rate of interest rises, and money comes to where it is most wanting and bears the highest price. 151. What is the difference between a fall in price and a fall in prices ? A fall in price is a fall in the price of some one kind of commodity, and is the result of some altera- 42 THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. tion in the proportion which the supply of that com- modity in some particular market bears to the demand for it there. A fall of prices is a fall in all prices generally, and is therefore the result of some alteration in the value of gold, that being the standard of value by which we measure the value of all other commodi- ties in Great Britain. The same difference exists be- tween a rise of price and a rise of prices. 152. Has the state of the circulation any effect on the common alterations in prices which are constantly happening P No; for these alterations in prices are not general, but confined to particular commodities ; partial rises or falls in the prices of particular commodities arise from some alteration in the proportion which the supply of those commodities bears to the demand for them. The state of the circulation can only affect all prices, without any exception. 153. What effect has the state of the circulation on the rate of interest in Great Britain P Any expansion or contraction of the circulation will have a temporary effect on the rate of interest, causing it to rise or fall as money is plentiful or the reverse, but this effect can only last till the circulation returns to its natural state. 154. Will a steady fall in the value of gold all over the world cause the rate of interest to fall in Great Britain ? No; for the interest payable in gold will fall in value in exactly the same proportion as the principal lent in gold ; temporary fluctuations in the rate of interest will continue to take place, whatever may be THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 43 the change in the value of gold, for they depend upon the particular value which money has at a particular time in Great Britain, and not upon the general value of gold all over the world. 155. Will a steady fall in the value of gold have any effect on the circulation in Great Britain ? It will have the effect of numerically increasing the amount of currency in use in that country. CHAPTER V. GOLD. 156. Is there any such thing in reality as a stand- ard of value which is subject to no variation ? No, there is not. If gold is chosen as the least variable standard, and consequently the one by which we are to measure the value of all other commodities, it follows that when gold rises in value all other com- modities must fall, and when gold falls in value all other commodities must rise. 157. What does the value of gold depend upon ? It depends upon the proportion which the supply of gold bears to the demand for its employment. In considering the gold question we must bear in mind that the supply of gold may go on increasing for a long time without any alteration taking place in its value, provided that the demand for its employment increases in the same proportion. 158. What separate causes may influence the ex- changeable value of any commodity in a country where gold is the standard of value ? There are two causes. One is the proportion which the supply of that commodity in any particular market bears to the demand for its employment there, the other is the abundance or scarcity of gold itself in that market. 159. What must be the first signs of any fall in the value of gold P A marked rise in the price of all other commodities THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 45 must take place. Once Europe, for instance, is satu- rated with supplies of gold, she will soon begin to offer less commodities in exchange for an ounce of that metal than she formerly did, and gold will fall in value. Rises in the prices of particular commodi- ties are often attributed to a fall in the value of gold, when they ought to be attributed to the supply of those commodities being too small in proportion to the demand for their employment. Secondly, in those countries where gold is the standard of value there will be a steady numerical increase in the amount of currency required by the wants of trade. 160. Has this general rise of prices yet taken place ? The French economists endeavour to prove that it has ; but in order to prove that gold is steadily falling in value they must prove that all other commodities in all other markets of the world are steadily rising in price, and this they fail to do ; they can only allege partial rises in the prices of particular commodities. Provisions have, no doubt, been steadily rising in price, but it must be remembered that population is steadily increasing in a greater ratio than food. 161. If we cannot clearly prove that a general rise in prices all over the world has taken place, what conclusion must we come to ? We must conclude that gold has not yet fallen in value, and that therefore the demand for the employ- ment of gold has been able to keep pace with the supply of that metal. 162. Must gold ultimately fall in value if the supplies continue on their present scale ? 46 THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. Certainly ; and the time when it will begin to fall in value cannot be very far distant. No one can tell how much gold will fall in value, as this depends upon the proportion which the supplies of that metal bear to the demand for their employment. 163. How long will gold continue to be supplied? As long as it pays the expenses of its production. 164. What causes have been at work to increase the demand for gold during the last ten years ? A great stimulus to every kind of industry has been given by the best medium of exchange becoming more plenty than it was before, and the commerce of the world has been much more rapidly developed on account of that stimulus. Fresh supplies of gold, up to a certain point, have not the effect of diminishing the value of gold, but of increasing the demand for its employment. The work of colonising new countries is carried on more rapidly, railways are constructed, packet services established, docks built-in short, every kind of capital is more rapidly created ; and all this activity in business absorbs the gold as it arrives. 165. Up to what point do increasing supplies of gold give this stimulus to trade and business ? Till a marked rise in the price of all commodities but gold takes place ; once this general rise in prices takes place, gold has begun to fall in value, and the only effect which further supplies of gold on the same scale can have is to cause a further steady increase in prices. 166. Will it then become necessary to alter the standard value of gold in Great Britain ? THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 47 No ; for as long as gold is the only standard of value it is measured in itself ; and as nothing is charged on the coinage of gold, a coined ounce of standard gold is exactly equal in value to an uncoined ounce. 167. What effect will a steady fall in the value of gold have on those nations who have chosen gold as their standard of value ? Creditors with debts of old standing will lose, while their debtors will gain ; any one who has a fixed income payable in money must lose ; there will also be some distress amongst labourers of every kind, till their salaries have been sufficiently increased ; but all the loss we can sustain in Great Britain sinks into insignificance when compared with the gain which we must make in the diminution of the national debt. The British people have nothing to fear from the gold discoveries. 168. Will those nations who have chosen silver as their standard of value gain equally with nations who have chosen gold ? They will, if either the supply of silver in the world increases exactly in the same ratio as the supply of gold, or if the demand for the employment of silver is sufficiently diminished by the introduction of gold to make silver fall in value in the same proportion as gold has fallen. 169. Why has gold been chosen as the standard of value in Great Britain in preference to silver ? Because it costs much less in carriage than silver ; as coin, it is more durable and more difficult for a coiner to imitate ; it is also more easily counted. 48 THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 170. Mention some of the countries where silver has been chosen as the standard of value ? Silver is the standard of value in Belgium and Holland; in 1857 Austria, Prussia, and the Zolverein chose silver as their standard of value ; the rouble of silver is the standard money of Russia. In 1835 the East India Company constituted silver money the only legal money in British India, and since 1852 gold has not been received in payment of the taxes there. Any payments made in China are either in silver dollars or silver ingots. In France the law of the 28th March, 1803, constituted the franc the legal money in that country; it specifies this coin as a piece of silver weighing five grammes, of which nine tenths are to be fine silver. Although this is the law still in France, and there is but one nominal standard of value, which is silver, there are in reality two standards of value, for debts in that country may be legally paid in either gold or silver money, according to the option of the debtor. 171. Is there any inconvenience in having a double standard of value ? Yes ; the dearest of the two metals, where there is a double standard, will be exported whenever there is a profit to be made on the excess of the marketable value of the one over the legal value of the other. In France, for instance, where a double standard practi- ally exists, whenever the market price of gold falls to a certain point below its legal price in silver, there is a profit to be made by sending silver out of France in exchange for gold ; on the other hand, whenever the market price of gold rises to a certain point above its THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 49 legal price in silver, there is a profit to be made by sending gold out of France in exchange for silver. 172. What proof have we that this inconvenience has existed ? One kilogramme of gold (nine tenths pure) has been made by the French law of the 28th March, 1803, equal in value to fifteen and a half kilogrammes of silver (nine ter ths fine). In the first part of the pre- sent century the average marketable value of one kilo- gramme of gold was above its legal value in silver, and gold almost disappeared from France, for foreign mer- chants paid their debts to French merchants in silver, as they could get more silver for one kilogramme of gold in their own markets than they could get by law in the French markets. For instance, if a kilogramme of gold was worth sixteen and a half kilogrammes of silver at Hamburg, and a Hamburg merchant, who had gold, wanted to pay a debt to a French merchant, he changed his gold into silver at Hamburg, where he could get one kilogramme of silver more for it, and sent silver to France to pay his debt. French mer- chants, too, paid their debts to foreign merchants in gold as long as they could contrive to get a kilogramme of gold for fifteen kilogrammes and a half of silver at home, when its marketable price abroad was sixteen and a half. During the last ten years the average marketable value of one kilogramme of gold has been generally below its legal value in silver, and silver has been exported from France to a very large amount, for French merchants can get more gold for fifteen and a half kilogrammes of silver abroad than they can 4 50 THE SCIENCE OE EXCHANGES. get by law at home, and foreign merchants will never pay their debts to French merchants in silver as long as they can get a kilogramme of gold for a less price in silver than that established by law in France. For instance, supposing the price of one kilogramme of gold to be fourteen and a half kilogrammes of silver at Hamburg, and that a Flamburg merchant, who has silver, owes a debt that can be paid by ten kilo- grammes of gold to a French merchant, he buys the gold at Hamburg to send to France, for if he sent his silver to France he would have to send a hundred and fifty -five kilogrammes of silver, according to the French law, to pay his debt of ten kilogrammes of gold, whereas at Hamburg he can buy the ten kilo- grammes of gold for one hundred and forty-five kilo- grammes of silver, and save ten kilogrammes of silver in the transaction. 173. When one of the two precious metals is chosen as a standard of value, what becomes advisable with regard to the other in a country where gold and silver money are both used ? It becomes advisable to use the coins made of the rejected metal as tokens, that is, to put a sufficient quantity of alloy in them to prevent speculators taking advantage of any rise or fall in the marketable value of the standard metal as compared with its legal value in the rejected metal. 174. What is meant by the term “tokens’? Any denomination of money the intrinsic value of which is below the nominal value assigned to it by law, and which is not a legal tender above certain small, fixed amounts. THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 51 175. Which of the two precious metals is to be preferred as a standard of value ? In a country where bank-notes for very small amounts are permitted, as, for instance, the dollar notes in America, it matters little which of the two precious metals is chosen as the standard, provided there be but one standard. In a country where these small notes are not permitted gold is to be preferred to silver as the one standard. A double standard can- not be resorted to with advantage in any case. 176. Why is gold to be preferred to silver as a standard of value in countries where small bank-notes are not permitted ? Because it is found more convenient to make use of silver tokens than gold tokens. Silver tokens are the best suited to make up amounts, and form but a very inconsiderable part of the circulation in countries where gold is the standard ; whereas, if gold tokens were employed in countries where silver was the standard, they would enter largely into the circulation, and be made use of to pay heavy amounts, being more con- venient than silver money ; the only way they could be kept at the nominal value assigned to them by law, would be, to make them always payable in silver on demand, and this would necessitate the expense of keeping large reserves of silver to enable the Govern- ment to keep faith with the people. Bank-notes would be to be preferred in most respects ; they would cost much less, and be much harder to imitate, if proper precautions against forgery were taken ; gold tokens are consequently never made use of, and in countries where silver is the standard gold coins are allowed to 52 THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. circulate at their marketable value as so much metal ; but this system has its inconveniences. Governments, where it is in force, must declare every six months, or oftener, at what price in silver they take gold coin in payment of the taxes. If gold falls below its declared value in silver, they lose on all the gold coin they hold in the public treasury ; if it rises above its de- clared value in silver, they gain, but their losses gene- rally exceed their gains, as speculators are always on the watch to profit by any alteration in the value of gold ; there is an opening given for such speculations to their own officers, and the public, too, always pay in whichever coin costs them least. The uncertainty as to the precise value of the gold coin in circulation leads to higgling, delay, and vexation in every-day business transactions. Gold, therefore, is to be pre- ferred as the standard of value in countries where small bank-notes are not permitted by law. 177. Has gold been falling in value when compared with silver? The diminution in the value of gold as compared with silver is hardly perceptible, nor is it likely to be permanent. The two precious metals will always fluctuate a little in their respective values from acci- dental circumstances; for instance, the late war in China tended to enhance temporarily the value of silver ; but if gold begins to fall decidedly in value, it will drag silver down along with it. There will be two causes at work to prevent silver rising in price along with all the other commodities which are affected by the fall in the value of gold, namely, an increased activity in the silver mines of South America, and a THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 53 diminished demand for the employment of silver as money. If the supply from the silver mines re- mained stationary, and gold was to fall in value, silver would rise in price, unless the introduction of extra supplies of gold in some way diminished the demand for the employment of silver. 178. Is there any reason for thinking that the supply of silver will increase for the future ? Yes ; the principal mines on which the world de- pends for its supply of silver are in South America ; they are of vast extent, and pronounced by scientific men to be inexhaustible; but the supply of silver from them till lately was limited by the dearness of mercury, which is used to extract the silver from the stone in which it is found by amalgamation. In 1850 a mine of mercury, called the New Almaden, was discovered in California, and other large mines have since been discovered in the Rocky Mountains, so that mercury has fallen greatly in price. This, along with improved machinery and increased facility of transport, will have the effect of steadily increasing the supply of silver from South America. 179. Is there any reason for thinking that, as gold falls in value, the demand for the employment of silver will diminish ? Yes. It must be remembered that a continued expansion of the circulation of any particular country will produce a depreciation in the value of the currency of that country, whether silver or gold be the standard of value chosen there. Gold coin is not excluded, from the most of those countries where silver is the standard of value, but can circulate at its market price as so much metal ; and once it is admitted to 54 THE SCIENCE OE EXCHANGES. form a part of the currency, it helps to expand the circulation just as much as it would do in a country where gold was the standard. In a country where silver is the standard gold coin must meet at first with great obstacles, from its not having a fixed value, before it can enter largely into the circulation ; but as prices rise, the inconvenience of having gold coin in circulation without a fixed value will be so severely felt, that the Government will be at last obliged to fix its value, as lately happened in Belgium with regard to French Napoleons; and gold coin will not only form a considerable part of the currency, but will soon begin to take the place of silver, from its superior con- venience as money. Heavy payments, too, will be made more frequently in gold bullion, and the effect will be to diminish the demand for the employment of silver. 180. If any particular country where silver was the standard, in order to preserve its currency from depre- ciation in value, was to refuse altogether to receive gold in payment, what would happen ? Silver would be attracted, after a little time had elapsed, from those countries where gold was the standard, or was admitted to form a part of the cur- rency, and where, consequently, the currency was depreciated in value, to this particular country where the currency was not depreciated in value ; and this influx of silver would continue till this last currency became equally depreciated in value with the others, • for every one would bring their silver to the market where they could get most for it. 181. To what conclusion, then, must we come? That as gold falls in value, there will not only be a THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 55 general rise of prices in countries where gold is the standard, but there will also be a general rise of prices in countries where silver is the standard, or, in other words, that gold in its fall will drag down silver along with it. Dr. Adam Smith alludes to the peculiar con- nexion existing between gold and silver in the second volume of the ‘ Wealth of Nations/ where he says — “ Gold and silver are to be bought for a certain price, like all other commodities ; and as they are the price of all other commodities, so all other commodities are the price of those metals.” This fall in the value of silver, being exactly proportionate to the fall in the value of gold, will be imperceptible as far as the two precious metals are concerned ; it can only be ascer- tained by a rise in the price of all other commodities. 182. What is an assay report? An account in which the assayer states the purity of the gold or silver which he has assayed. As the carat weights in which the purity of gold is reckoned are themselves reckoned in troy weight, we will give a table of troy weight, and then a table of carat weight as reckoned in troy weight. Troy weight : — 24 grains = 1 pennyweight, 20 pennyweights = 1 ounce, 12 ounces = 1 pound. Carat weight: — 1 carat =10 pennyweights troy, 1 carat grain = 2 pennyweights 12 grains troy. There are, therefore, 4 carat grains of CO grains troy each in every carat, and 24 carats in the pound troy. Tine gold is gold which is 24 carats fine. Standard gold is gold 22 carats fine, that is, gold of which §fths are fine gold. An eighth of a carat grain (or 7 \ grains troy) is the smallest division of carat weight which the assayers recognise in making O J o O 56 THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. their reports, so that any fraction less than an eighth is left out in every pound troy of gold which they assay. If the gold to be assayed is of any number of carats, or fractions of carats down to an eighth of a carat grain, less than 22 carats, the assay er reports it to be so many carats or fractions of carats worse than standard gold ; if the gold to be assayed is above 22 carats and under 24, he reports it to be so much better than standard gold by its exact excess above 22 carats ; but whether the gold to be assayed be better or worse than standard gold, the assayer takes no notice of any fraction of a carat smaller than the eighth of a carat grain. The comparative difference of any gold with regard to the standard metal is called its betterness or worseness. The worseness of gold is calculated to the nearest grain. 182*. How do you find the quantity of standard gold in a given quantity of gold, either better or worse than standard gold, as it may be reported ? Multiply the given quantity of gold by the number of carats in the report. Take parts for the grains, quarter grains, or eighths of grains (should there be fractions of a carat in the report), add these parts to the sum previously obtained by multiplication. Divide the sum total by 22 (in practice it is easier to divide first by 2 and then by 11), the quotient will be the betterness or worseness of the gold, according to the report ; add it to the given quantity of gold if it be a betterness, and subtract it therefrom if it be a worseness, and the remainder will be the quantity of standard gold. 183. What is the quantity of standard metal con- THE SCIENCE OE EXCHANGES. 57 tamed in 21 lbs. lOozs. 18 dwts. 12grs. of gold re- ported worse 1 carat 3| grains ? lbs. ozs. dwts. grs. 21 10 18 12 for one carat. 10 11 9 6 for two grains. 5 5 14 15 for one grain. 1 4 8 16 for a quarter grain. 39 8 11 1 We have here divided what we put down for one carat by two, in order to find what to put down for two grains (or half a carat) ; we have repeated the same process to find what to put down for one grain and we have divided what we put down for one grain by four, in order to find what to put down for a quarter grain. The sum total is 89 lbs. 8 ozs. 11 dwts. 1 gr. We now divide this first by 2, and then by 11 : lbs. ozs. dwts. grs. 2 | 39 8 11 1 11 | 19 10 5 12 1 9 13 5 And this gives 1 lb. 9 ozs. 13 dwts. 5 grs. as the worseness of the gold given. Subtract this from the original quantity given : lbs. ozs. dwts. grs. 21 10 18 12 1 9 13 5 20 1 5 7 58 THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. This remainder is the quantity of standard gold re- quired. 184. How do you obtain the quantity of fine gold contained in a certain amount of standard gold ? By subtracting one twelfth from the quantity of standard metal, a twelfth, part or £, being the difference between fine gold and standard gold. 185. How is gold valued which is either better or worse than standard gold? Its quantity in standard gold is found, and then it is valued at the standard price per ounce ; or it may be valued according to the report without putting it into standard gold, by adding three shillings and sixpence per carat, and tenpence halfpenny per grain to the standard price, if it is better than standard gold ; or by subtracting four shillings per carat and one shilling per grain if it is worse, the price per carat for the worseness being raised to pay for the necessary refining. Thus, an ounce of 18 carat gold, being 4 carats worse, would be valued at sixteen shillings less than standard price, or £3 Is. 10 \d, instead of £3 17s. 10^. 186. How is the standard weight of a given quantity of silver found ? Tine silver is silver §|J of which are pure silver, or in every 12 ozs. of fine silver there must be 11 ozs. 2 dwts. of pure silver. The ounce used is the ounce troy of 20 dwts., and the pennyweight is divided into half-pennyweights. Multiply the given quantity of silver by the number of pennyweights in the report ; take a part for the half-pennyweight (if there be one in the report), add this to the sum obtained by mul- THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 59 tiplication, and divide the sum total by 222 ; the quotient will be the betterness or worseness, which you can then add or subtract, according to the report, from the given quantity of silver. The standard weight of silver is generally calculated to one pennyweight. 187. What is the quantity of standard metal con- tained in 27 lbs. 10 ozs. 10 grs. of silver reported worse 1 oz. 17 dwts ? Multiply 27 lbs. 10 oz. 10 dwts. by 37, the number of pennyweights in the report. This gives 1031 lbs. 4 ozs. 10 dwts. Divide this by 222 : 222 | 1031 lbs. 4 ozs. 10 dwts. 4 lbs, 7 ozs. 15 dwts. 4 lbs. 7 ozs. 15 dwts. is the worseness. Subtract this from 27 lbs. 10 ozs. 10 grs., the given quantity of silver, and the remainder is the standard weight re- quired — 23 lbs. 2 ozs. 15 dwts. 188. How is the quantity of pure silver contained in a given quantity of silver found ? Find the standard Weight, multiply this by 37, and divide by 40, for standard silver is ||| or §£ fine. 189. How is the value of silver to be ascertained ? There is no fixed value for silver ; the price fluctuates according to the state of the markets. Silver coin is generally reckoned at five shillings per ounce, and bar silver from South America at from C)0d. to 62^. per ounce. The Sysee silver of China is the purest which has come to Great Britain. 190. Give an account of the present coinage in Great Britain ? Since 1816 gold has been the standard of value in 60 THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. Great Britain, and much care is taken to secure a proper gold coinage. Any one may bring gold to the mint to be coined, provided it be not less than £10,000 in value, and that it has first been assayed by the Royal Assayer, and obtained his certificate ; and the mint is bound to return in coin, to the last grain, exactly the weight of standard metal which it has received, without any charge being made to the bearer. Since 1837 no private individuals have availed them- selves of this privilege, and the Bank of England alone sends gold to the mint to be coined. She buys gold with her own bank-notes, but will buy none which has not been previously assayed by the Assayer Royal ; she gives £3 17s. 9 d. per ounce for all the standard gold brought to her, reserving a penny-halfpenny on each ounce for herself, £3 17s. 1 Old. being the exact legal price. The assayer, when he has assayed the gold, reports to an eighth of a carat grain in the pound troy, leaving out any smaller fractions to the loss of the seller, who gets so much the less for his gold from the bank; but these fractions are ''regained in the mint, as it must return the exact standard weight of metal which it has received, to the last grain, in coin. The Bank of England, therefore, has a double profit in buying gold — the penny-halfpenny which it keeps back on each ounce, and any fractions which the seller may have lost on having his gold assayed, but which the bank regains from the mint on having the gold coined. The reason why private individuals do not have gold coined on their own account seems to be that the loss by the delay in the coinage exceeds the loss on THE SCIENCE OE EXCHANGES. G1 selling to the Bank of England ; there is but one mint in Great Britain, whereas there are seven in Erance. There is an admixture of one twelfth of alloy in the English gold -coinage ; this proportion is considered to amalgamate better with the gold in cooling than the French preparation of one tenth, and to produce in consequence a more durable kind of coin. A sover- eign weighs 1 23 ^ grains full weight, but a deficiency of J grain JJJ is tolerated in circulation ; that is, if a sovereign does not weigh 122f grains, it is considered light. A half-sovereign is considered light if it weighs less than 61^ grains. Light sovereigns, will, how- ever, continue some time in circulation through the country till they are remarked upon as not being of full weight, when they cease to be legal money, and the last holder must get rid of them at a loss to him- self. When sovereigns find their way to the different London banks, being deposited by customers, such as railway companies, houses of business, &c., they are sent in bags to the Bank of England, where machinery is provided to weigh each separate sovereign ; those of full weight are cast into one box, and those that are light into another ; the banks who have sent the bags are charged with the loss on these last, and they are at once transferred to other machinery, which cuts them in two, to be recoined again. The number of sovereigns weighed daily at the Bank of England by machinery varies from 60,000 to 70,000; there are ten machines at work, and each is able to test thirty sovereigns per minute with the nicest exactness. Light gold coin, therefore, never remains very long in circu- 62 THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. lation. The average yearly loss on the wear and tear of gold coin is considered in round numbers to be 1 in 950. Siver coin in Great Britain is not a legal tender above 40s. ; silver, of which 222 parts are pure silver and 18 parts alloy, is standard silver, and a pound troy of such silver is coined into 66 s., whereas, if the price of silver be reckoned at 62c/. per ounce, and this is above the average price, it ought to be coined into 62s. The 4s. are retained by Government as a seig- niorage to defray the expense of the coinage and to keep it in repair, for Government are bound to give good silver coin in exchange for any which may have sustained injury in circulation, provided that injury has not occasioned the defacement of the coin, that is to say, as long as enough of the superscription remains to warrant to what country the coin belongs. The Bank of England notifies to Government when silver coin is wanting, and they employ brokers to buy silver in the open market ; it is then coined and sent to the Bank of England, and as it is absorbed in the circula- tion Government is gradually repaid by the bank. If silver was to rise in value much, as compared with gold, Government would be compelled to put less silver in its coins than it does now, for if it con- tinued to coin the pound troy of standard silver into 665 ., it would pay speculators to melt the silver coin ; for instance, if silver rose to 65 . per ounce, there would be a profit of 4s. or 5s. on the melting of every seventy-two, and so on. The average yearly loss in wear and tear of silver coin is considered in round numbers to be 1 in 200 . The copper coinage has been THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 63 remodelled, and a bronze coinage, like that in France, introduced. Bronze or copper money is not a legal tender for more than 12 d. 191. Give some account of the coinage of France. The coinage in France is on the decimal system. The franc is made by the law of the 28th March, 1803, the solemeasure of value, and must contain five grammes of silver, of which nine tenths are to be fine silver, and one tenth alloy. The same proportion of alloy is used in the gold coinage. By the same law the proportion between the respective values of silver and gold is fixed to be as 1 is to 15^, or 1 kilogramme of gold to 15 \ kilogrammes of silver. The expense of the coin- age is borne by whoever brings the metal to the mint, whether it be silver or gold ; a kilogramme of silver is coined into 200 francs, at a charge of 1 franc 50 cen- times, and a kilogramme of gold is coined into 155 Napoleons, at a charge of 6 francs 70 centimes; to coin, therefore, its equivalent in silver, or 15| kilo- grammes of silver, costs 23 francs 25 centimes, a dif- ference of 16 francs 55 centimes in favour of gold coin. The French Government, in 1803, believed that it had established one sole measure of value, to wit, the franc, whereas, by permitting a double-paying medium, with a fixed proportion between the two precious metals, it practically created a double standard of value. As long as the marketable value of one kilogramme of gold, estimated in silver, continued above its legal value in silver in France, the French people used silver money, for the simple reason that it cost them less than gold ; but once the marketable value of one kilogramme of gold, estimated in silver, fell below its legal value in 64 THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. silver in France, the French people began to use gold coin instead of silver, for the simple reason that it cost them less than silver. The dearest of the two metals (when there is a practical double standard) will always be exported. The bronze coins are tokens like the British copper money, and are not a legal tender over 50 centimes. CHAPTER VI. THE FOREIGN EXCHANGES. 192. Give an instance of exchange when it is said to be favorable, when adverse, and when at par between two places in different countries. (1) When you pay a sum of money in London which contains ten ounces of standard gold by mintage valuation, for a bill which you can have cashed in New York for a sum of money which contains an equal quantity of standard gold by mintage valuation, ex- change is said to be at par between London and New York, (2) When you pay less in London for such a bill, it is said to be at a discount, and exchange is said to be in favour of London, and against New York. (3) When you pay more in London for such a bill, it is said to be at a premium, and exchange is said to be against London, and in favour of New York. The true par of exchange, therefore, between any two places in different countries, is the being able to obtain a quantity of standard gold or silver, when you cash a bill in the one place, exactly equal to the quan- tity of standard gold or silver which you have paid for the same bill in the other ; it is not the merely obtain- ing an equal nominal amount of money, for if the cur- rency of any country is much depreciated in value from over-issues of paper money or a base coinage, so much 66 THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. the more of it will be required to make up the ne- cessary amount, and this in exact proportion to the extent of the depreciation in value which has taken place. 198. What is a rate of exchange? It is the price of the money of any one country reckoned in the money of any other country. 194. What is the course of exchange? The fluctuations in the rates of exchange above and below what is considered to be par between any two places in different countries are called the course of exchange between those places. When two countries have one and the same standard the par of exchange between them is on a solid, fixed basis ; but when one country has gold for its standard and the other has silver, the number of ounces of stand- ard silver in the one country which are to be con- sidered equal to an ounce of standard gold in* the other must first be fixed, and the par of exchange is on a basis which must fluctuate slightly as the relative proportion in value which the precious metals maintain towards each other fluctuates. 195. Explain the course of exchange as quoted in the newspapers. If the rate of exchange is considered with regard to any two places, it will be seen that the price given for any particular sum of money may vary, but that the particular sum of money to be bought is always the same, though more or less may be given for it. Eor instance, Paris may give London 25 francs 80 centimes or 25 francs 50 centimes for a pound sterling, but whatever Paris gives, the pound ster- THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 67 ling is fixed and invariable, though the price paid for it may vary. The place which pays a variable price in its own money for a fixed sum in the money of some other place is said to give so much of its own money, while the place to whom that variable price is paid for the fixed sum in its own money is said to receive so much of the money of the other place; thus, London gives Palermo 1 19| pence for one onza, but receives 6 dollars 25 silver groschen from Berlin for a pound steriing. 68 THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. g.§ be be bo be be be be be .S .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 .3 i-i %-t ?H J-i ?H qj q dj O q 0 ) "S .: r rt r rt r rtJ2 r tfH3- QJ fl fl fi H f) PhS P S d s s S3 O O O 5 ° ° U P-l pH Ph pH Ph 0 > ffl 01 © s. ffl ffl S C fl fl S fl c O O O O -w o o u u u © © -u -H-J 1/2 1/2 Ti 3 3 ft pH 2 © P P O o ® P ,£5 P a> © p p o o h h h <>— 'i— >r - 1 OOOOOOOOOO c£i oTr cVj ^ pX cX (•>< O J-H P O r& TP 02 © g g MM § I PH O a« o p be oj be .3 ft .3 5- o $1 Ci p © p > o pp Ph 02 a> © P P o o Ch Ch -d p ^ 3 < p p P Ph.3 2 ^ o '§ .p r o £ ,© ,o £ <8 eg «2 M © ° . rP : o O J2 £ 50 © r| 5 § 1 ^ft „ 1 ?d .2 © +s m p © pc cc P g ’ > be

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PS 02 05 - ,O.Sg oT 3 p © <1 P The variable rates are generally only given in the published quotations ; for instance, Madrid, 3 months 48§ to i ; Palermo, 3 months 117? to £; Oporto, ninety days 52f to |, and so on. THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 69 196. How many kinds of exchanges are there? There are three — direct, cross, and arbitrated. Direct exhange is the operation of exchange between any two places in different countries, without the me- dium of any other place, as between London and Paris. Cross exchange is the operation of exchange between any two places in foreign countries, as considered from some third place, as between Paris and Amsterdam at London. Arbitrated exchange is the operation of ex- change between any two places in different countries, through the medium of some other place or places in other countries. 197. What is the object of bankers and cambists in all these operations ? It is to choose whatever mode of payment costs them least ; for remittances abroad they will choose whatever mode of payment gives the greatest sum in foreign money for a given sum in the money of their own country, and for returns to their own country they will choose whatever mode gives the greatest sum in the money of their own country for a given sum in the money of any foreign country. What is bad, therefore, for remittances, will be good for returns, and vice versa ; for instance, the rate of 25 francs 70 centimes per £1 is a good rate for remittance to Paris from Lon- don, because you get more foreign money than usual for a given sum of your own money, but it is a bad rate for a return of money to London, because you get less of your own money than usual for a given amount of foreign money. The terms cash and bills are generally used instead of remittances and returns ; 70 THE SCIENCE OE EXCHANGES. thus, when 25 francs 70 centimes can be had for£l in Paris, it is said to be better for cash in London, that is, the laying out of cash in London, and worse for bills or receiving returns from Paris, because less English money can be then obtained for a given sum of French money. 198. Is there any limit to the extent of the rise above or the fall below par, as the exchange between London and any other place is favorable, or the re- verse ? In ordinary cases the limit is the total expense of transmitting bullion from the one place to the other ; by total expense we do not mean the mere carriage of bullion, for, except in times of war, this will vary hardly at all, but we mean all charges whatever con- nected with the transmission of bullion, including the calculation of the rates of interest obtainable for the money represented by the bullion in the country it is sent from and in the country it is sent to. If a mer- chant had to pay more for a bill on any place than it would cost him to transmit bullion or coin to that place, he would not buy the bill, but would send the bullion or coin instead ; on the other hand, a banker or cambist who holds a bill will not generally take less for it than it would cost him to send it to the place on which it is drawn, have it cashed there, and the pro- ceeds sent to him in coin or bullion. The higher the rate of interest rises at home the more it will cost to send bullion or coin abroad, as the price which could have been had for its use as money at home must be taken into consideration, and, except THE SCIENCE OE EXCHANGES. 71 in the case of a loan, it will only be transmitted from one country to another when this is the cheapest mode for the debtor’s country to satisfy its foreign creditors, either from its having superfluous cash at home or from its having no other mode of payment imme- diately available for the purpose. 199. What is the natural tendency of bullion ? It is to flow towards those markets where the best price can be obtained for it, so that the raising of the rate of interest to a very high point in any country has the double effect of preventing the exportation of the bullion or coin which is in that country and of attracting bullion or coin to it from foreign coun- tries. 200. What generally regulates the rise above or the fall below par, which is constantly going on, within the limit which we previously mentioned, between any two places in different countries P The proportion which exists between the number of bills on either of those places which chance to be on sale in their respective markets, and the demand for their employment. If, for instance, there be many bills on London for sale at New York, and but little demand for them, bills on London will fall at New York till they reach the specie-importing point, that is to say till they fall to what it would cost the holders of them to get them cashed in London, and in ordinary times they will fall no lower ; on the other hand, if there be few bills on London for sale at New York, and great demand for them, bills on London will rise at New York till they reach the specie-exporting point, that is to say, till they rise to what it would cost to transmit 72 THE SCIENCE OE EXCHANGES. bullion or coin instead of making use of bills, and in the general run of instances they will not rise above this point. The price of bills, therefore, depends upon supply and demand, like the price of any other mer- chandise, but it does not generally rise higher or fall lower than a certain point on either side of the par of exchange, as above or below this point the demand for bill ceases, and specie is imported or exported, as the case may be. 201. What other element affects the price of bills? The credit of the drawer, acceptor, and indorser of the bills. A bill backed by first-class names will always command a higher price than a bill backed by second-class names; anything which tends to diminish the credit of any country will at once lower the price of all bills drawn upon it. 202. In what case may the price of bills fall below the specie-importing point ? In any case of sudden panic, where the owners of the bills cannot afford to wait sufficiently long to get the bills cashed in the country they are drawn upon. The capitalists who buy the bills under such circumstances make so much extra profit, but they must lose the use of the money which they give for the bills during the interim. 203. In what case may the price of bills rise above the specie-exporting point ? In any country where the currency is much depre- ciated from over-issues of paper money, and where the export of bullion is forbidden by law, the price of bills may rise much above the specie-exporting point when- ever the merchants of that country have no produce of THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 73 any kind available to export as a means of paying their debts. 204. What are bills drawn in blank ? Bills which are not based upon any actual trade trans- actions between any two different countries, but which are either drawn in anticipation of the ordinary trade transactions between those countries or are drawn as a means of obtaining the money which is paid as their price ; in either case they may be called foreign accom- modation bills. They have an important influence on the state of the foreign exchanges, as there is generally a large amount of them afloat. 205. When the exchange between London and New York is favorable to New York, and bills on Lon- don are near the specie-importing point, what effect has this on the exporting and importing merchants in New York? The importing merchants have a decided advantage over the exporting merchants, for they can buy the exporter’s bills at a discount, and thus pay for their own importations. 206. What effect has the same state of the exchange on the exporting and importing merchants in London ? The exporting merchants have a decided advantage over the importing merchants, as they can sell the bills which they draw on New York at a premium, while the importers must either pay the premium for the bills they want or be at the cost of transmitting coin or bullion ? 207. What is the only means which any particular country possesses of regulating the foreign exchanges, as far as it is itself concerned ? 74 THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. The raising or lowering the rate of interest, accord- ing to its state of debt or credit with all other countries — (1) When it owes more to other countries, taking all its transactions together, than they owe to it, an efflux of coin or bullion soon takes place, and the rate of interest must then be raised at home ; this will have the effect of restricting its purchases in foreign countries and increasing its sales at home for exportation, and the foreign exchanges will very slowly become more favorable. (2) When other countries owe more to it, taking all their mutual transactions into account, than it owes to them, an influx of coin or bullion soon takes place, and the rate of interest will then fall of itself at home ; this will have the effect of increasing its purchases in foreign countries and restricting its sales at home for exportation, and the foreign exchanges will slowly become less favorable. The state of the foreign exchanges, as far as any particular country is con- cerned, depends upon its state of debt or credit with all other countries. CHAPTER VII. TAXATION. 208. What is taxation in Great Britain? It is the cost of the British constitution, that is, the per-centage which we must pay to secure our lives and properties. 209. What ought a tax to be? It ought to be but the price which we have to pay for some advantage given to us in return. 210. How can we best consult the interests of the whole mass of the nation ? By encouraging free competition amongst all ex- changers, irrespective of race or country, and thereby lessening the cost of producing commodities. 211. Does taxation in any country necessarily restrict competition in that country ? No, it does not, provided that the same kind of commodities are taxed exactly alike, whether they be produced at home or abroad. Taxation only restricts competition when the same kind of commodities are unequally taxed, that is to say, when the price of certain kinds of commodities which some competitors supply is raised by taxation above the price of the same kind of commodities which other competitors supply. 212. What should be the aim of the financialist ? To endeavour to make competition absolutely free. 213. What are direct taxes? 76 THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. They are taxes which are directly and distinctly demanded as taxes. 214. What are indirect taxes? They are taxes npon the consumption of various commodities, the payment of which can be avoided by not consuming the commodities. 215. What are the objections to direct taxation ? That it interferes with the private concerns of the people too much, that it gives great opportunities for fraud, and that it cannot be put equally on all classes, but that those who are rich pay more than their fair share of taxation. 216. What are the objections to indirect taxation ? That it is not just that taxation should be optional, and that any tax on the consumption of commodities must prevent the natural development of trade. 217. What is the advantage of direct taxation? That it presses on those who are best able to bear it, and that it enables us to lighten indirect taxes on the consumption of various commodities, which may be called necessaries, whereby we both improve the con- dition of the masses and greatly develop the trade of the country ; for instance, lowering the taxes on tea, sugar, wine, &c. 218. What is the advantage of indirect taxation ? That a very large mass of the people are made con- tributors to the revenue, by indirect taxes, whom no system of direct taxation could reach, as in the case of the tax on tobacco in Ireland. 219. What is the best system of taxation ? A mixture of direct and indirect taxation, such as we have in Great Britain. THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 77 • 220. What is the proportion between these two modes of collecting our revenne, as it stands at present ? Mr. Milner Gibson stated lately that for every £22 paid by direct taxation, during 1860 and 1861, there would be £78 paid by indirect taxation. 221. Why is this mixed system the best? Because if we had only a direct system of taxation it would fall too heavily on the richer classes ; direct taxes could not be collected from the poorer classes, and the great mass of the people would escape taxation altogether. If we had only an indirect system of taxation, we never could have developed the trade of Great Britain to the enormous extent we have done, for we could not have lowered the taxes on such com- modities as tea, sugar, wine, corn, &c., sufficiently. By mixing the two systems we are enabled to collect the required amount of revenue in the least injurious way to all classes of the nation. 222. Is the tendency in Great Britain towards direct or towards indirect taxation ? It is towards direct taxation ; so much palpable benefit to the community at large has been derived from the remission of some indirect taxes, and the lowering of others. 228. How far is this tendency likely to go ? It will go on till the heaviest income tax which the Lords and Commons will bear in times of peace has been arrived at ; the remainder of the revenue must then be raised by indirect taxation. 224. Would universal suffrage make the direct 78 THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. system of taxation go further than our present electoral system does ? It would seem in theory to be likely that the poor, who are many, would, if they had the power, make the rich, who are comparatively few, pay taxes for them- selves and the poor too, but such is not found to be the case. In America, where universal suffrage obtains, the rich do not cry out that they are made to pay more than their fair share of taxation by the poor. 225. Mention Dr. Adam Smith’s four rules with regard to taxation. (1) That the subjects of a state should contribute to the support of that state according to the revenue which they respectively enjoy under its protection. (2) That such contribution should not be arbitrary, both the time of payment and the sum to be paid being fixed. (3) That every tax should be levied at the most convenient time to the contributor. (4) That the expense of collection should be as small as possible. 226. If the expense of collection was precisely the same, and we wanted to raise a revenue of seventy millions by taxation, to which system ought we to resort, the direct or the indirect ? To the direct system, provided that we could levy these direct taxes equally and fairly on all her Majesty’s subjects in Great Britain, rich and poor, high and low, for our trade would then be perfectly free to develop itself, and would increase enormously. Anything THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 79 which cramps trade must weaken the tax-paying capacities of the people. 227. Is it just that there should be a graduated scale of income tax, the richest people paying a large per-centage on their incomes, and then a low per- centage gradually reached as the incomes dealt with get less ? Certainly not ; such a scale interferes with the rights of property ; all men, whatever be their incomes, ought to pay exactly the same per-centage, those only being exempt whose incomes are so small that the tax would not pay the expense of its collection. Taxing any particular class at a higher rate of per-centage than the rest, because they chance to be rich, is, in reality, a confiscation of their property. 228. How may a heavy taxation be made to appear lighter than it is in reality ? (1) By spreading it over the greatest number of contributors possible. A certain sum must be col- lected for revenue ; the more you can increase the number of those who must contribute towards that sum the smaller will each single contribution become, and the less grievous will the taxation appear to be. (2) By repealing or lowering any taxes which inter- fere with the free development of trade, and substi- tuting other taxes in place of them. The repeal of the corn laws, for instance, created a large, steady trade with foreign nations, who send their grain to Great Britain, and did more good to the people by the employment caused by that trade than by the mere cheapening of the loaf. The source of wealth is trade ; the more, therefore, we can develop trade in so THE SCIENCE OE EXCHANGES. all its branches the richer we become, and the better able to pay any taxation which is found to be neces- sary. 229. What are excise duties ? Taxes levied upon the consumption of commodities which are produced within the kingdom. 230. What are customs duties ? Taxes levied upon the consumption of commodities which are produced in foreign countries and brought into the kingdom. 231. Is the amount of duty remitted to the con- sumer the only relief which he generally obtains from a remission of the customs duties levied on commodi- ties from abroad ? No ; he may gain greatly by a reduction in the price of the commodity on which the duty has been remitted, for the competition from abroad, which that remission produces, will bring down the price of the commodity, so that the consumer not only gets the relief given by the remission of the customs duty, but he also gets the relief given by the reduction in price from the increased competition. It is competition which brings the profit made by the producers of any commodity to its minimum rate, for one undersells the other till this rate is reached. 232. Give an instance to explain this. Brandy is made in Great Britain to a very con- siderable extent, and is also imported from France, but paid formerly a duty of 1 5 s. 2 d. per gallon ; now, when this duty is lowered to 8s. 2 d. per gallon, the British manufacturers who could successfully compete with French brandy that paid a duty of lbs. 2d. per THE SCIENCE OE EXCHANGES. 81 gallon, may very likely not be able to compete with it when it pays a duty of only 8s. 2d. per gallon ; or if he is still able to compete, must lower his price, or he would be undersold by the French manufacturer ; so that in this case the consumer not only gains by a remission of the customs duty on brandy, but he gains also by a reduction in the price of the brandy which he consumes. 233. What does this show ? It shows that the customs duty and the excise duty on any one commodity ought to be equalized, in order to secure the freest competition amongst those who supply that commodity ; if, for instance, the customs duty on foreign brandy is higher than the excise duty on home-made brandy, the distiller of brandy at home is protected against the foreign distiller, to the dis- advantage of the consumer. 234. Are export duties advantageous ? If a country has almost the exclusive supply of any commodity, a moderate export duty on that com- modity may be advisable, as long as it does not in the least interfere with the consumption of the commodity. If other countries also produce the commodity, an export duty on it is a bounty to encourage your rivals in the market. Experience must decide, in the first case, whether it is better to make the foreigner pay the export duty, or to make your own people pay some equivalent tax after they have got the highest price for the commodity, which would, of course, in- clude the export duty. Export duties have not been found to answer in Great Britain. 235. Are import duties advantageous? In no shape ; they cramp the natural development 6 82 THE SCIENCE OE EXCHANGES. of trade : but we are obliged to resort to them to get the money required for revenue. 236. If indirect taxation is absolutely necessary, what sort of commodities should we tax heavily, and what sort lightly ? We should tax heavily any commodities which are not absolutely necessary for the health and welfare of the people, but which they are in the habit of con- suming, such as tobacco, gin, whiskey, brandy, &c. ; but we should tax as lightly as possible such commo- dities as wine, beer, tea, coffee, sugar, &c., for these commodities are directly conducive to the health and welfare of the people. 237. How long ought we go on lowering a tax on the consumption of any of these last commodities ? As long as the increased consumption on account of that lowering brings the tax to the same amount at the year’s end ; once a commodity has reached a price which puts it practically in the hands of the people, lowering the tax on it will increase its consumption but very little. 238. What is a tariff? A table of the duties established by law in any par- ticular country. 239. What is an ad-valorem duty ? A duty based upon the value of the commodity it is imposed on, and which fluctuates as that value fluctuates. 240. What is a specific duty? A duty which may or may not be based on the value of the commodity it is imposed on, but which does not fluctuate as that value fluctuates. 241. Are there, then, two kinds of specific duties ? THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 83 Yes, there is the purely specific duty which is not based on the value of the commodity it is imposed on, as for instance, the tax on tea in Great Britain of Is. 5 d. per pound, common congou, worth about lOd. per pound, paying exactly the same duty as flowery pekoe, worth 3s. 6d. per pound ; and there is the spe- cific duty which is based upon the value of the com- modity it is imposed on, but which does not fluctuate as that value fluctuates. This may be called the speci- fic duty on a classification of commodities arrived at by valuation ; for instance, in the new French tariff, under the one class, linen, instead of a purely specific duty on every kind of linen, there is a specific duty of fifteen per cent, on seven sub-classes of linens, and this duty differs for each of them, as it has been ar- rived at by calculating the rate of fifteen per cent, on a previous valuation of each sub-class. 242. Are there any objections to the working of a tariff on the purely ad-valorem system P Yes ; such a tariff gives great opportunities for wrangling and fraud, and there must always be a danger of under- valuations to the detriment of the pub- lic revenue. The advocates of the system declare that it is the simplest, but this simplicity disappears on exa- mination of the way the system works ; it is very simple to strike an ad- valorem rate of twenty per cent, on the value of any number of commodities, but it is very far from being a simple matter to levy that rate on each particular class of commodity according to its market price. 243. Are there any objections to a tariff based upon the purely specific system ? There are no objections to the practical working of a 84 THE SCIENCE OE EXCHANGES. tariff on such a system, but the difficulty of forming it successfully would prevent its being adopted. As the purely specific system ignores value as a basis for taxation, there are no guiding principles for the classi- fication of commodities, or for the amount of duty to be levied on each class. 244. Are there any objections to a tariff based upon a system of specific duties on a classification of commodities arrived at by valuation ? Yes ; one of the principal objections lies in the ne- cessity of frequently revising such a tariff, in order to keep the specific duties always at the level, w r hich they were originally designed to observe, with rela- tion to the selling prices of the commodities. For instance, if the specific duty on any particular com- modity is fifteen per cent., arrived at by a previous valuation of the commodity, should this last fall ten per cent, in price, the specific duty no longer main- tains its level, but becomes a specific duty of twenty- five per cent, on the selling price, and therefore re- quires alteration. The classification of commodities in this system, too, leads to disputation and fraud; for instance, in the French commercial treaty as re- gards linen, there are seven classes of linens, and superior linens may be classed as inferior ones, to the detriment of the revenue in France, and so on in every instance where such classification exists. 245. What is the best kind of tariff, then? A tariff which admits all the three systems as they can most conveniently be applied. Ad- valorem duties are the best for those goods wdiich are sub- ject to great and frequent variations in price. Spe- cific duties, on a classification arrived at by valuation, THE SCIENCE OE EXCHANGES. 85 offer less opportunities for fraud than ad-valorem duties, and work well if they are revised sufficiently often so as to maintain their proper level with the selling prices of the commodities they are imposed on ; and purely specific duties will always recommend themselves on account of their simplicity and the security which they give against fraud. 246. What must we remember in considering the expenditure of our revenue as a nation ? That, putting out of the question the advantages which we receive in return, the mere expenditure of that revenue in the country gives hosts of our country- men employment. This is no argument in favour of taxation ; the greater the cost of production, the worse for the consumer ; but it is to show, that although, taken in this point of view, all these hosts of men are unproductive labourers, they (the labourers) profit just as much by their labour as if they were productive labourers, though their employers do not. Unpro- ductive labour is labour productive to the labourer, but unproductive to the employer. A shipwright who works in her Majesty’s dockyards gets just the same wages as a shipwright who works in any private dockyard ; the first is, by our case, an unproductive labourer; the second, a productive one ; but each gets the same price for the labour which he has to sell. A man who has any particular kind of labour to sell gets just the same price for it, whether it is productive or unpro- ductive to his employer; for instance, a sailor on board a yacht gets, at least, as good wages as a sailor on board a trading screw ; so that if the expenditure of revenue injures us, considered in the light of em- 86 THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. ployers of unproductive labourers, it benefits us at the same time, considered in the light of labourers in receipt of that employment. But for this being the case, we never could bear our present taxation. 247. What is the amount of money required for revenue in Great Britain ? About £70,564,000 for 1860. 248. How much of this amount goes to pay the interest of the national debt ? £26,200,000. 249. Is the rate of interest payable on this debt fixed? No ; it appears to be fixed, but it is not in reality so ; the variations in the price of stock change the rate of interest constantly. 250. What is the advantage of varying the price of the stock, and fixing a nominal rate of interest ? j More minute variations can take place in the price of stock than could conveniently take place in the rate of interest payable on that stock ; and the more minute these variations in the price of stock are, the freer the competition amongst the capitalists who want to lend their money to Government, and the better also for the public, who can have the money they want on better terms from that very competition ; the accounts necessary to keep open for the funds are much more easily managed when the same rate of interest is pay- able to all the holders. 251. What influences capitalists in their offers to lend money to any Government ? They judge what a fixed annuity of three per cent, is worth in the money-market according to the market THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 87 rate of interest, and then they look to the credit of the Government which is borrowing from them. 252. Are the funds equally profitable as an invest- ment to British subjects who live at home, as to British subjects who live abroad ? No ; British subjects who live abroad have only income-tax to pay on the interest derived from their investment, whereas British subjects who live at home not only have income-tax to pay on their dividends, but contribute their share as individual tax-payers towards the payment of their own interest. The £26,200,000 required to pay the interest of the Na- tional debt is all raised by taxation, and forms more than a third of the whole amount of revenue collected. 253. Are the funds being high a sign of prosperity in Great Britain ? No ; the funds may rise from want of confidence amongst capitalists, who buy into them because they are the safest investment. 254. Are the Government savings-banks in Great Britain a good institution ? It is supposed by many that the loss on the opera- tions of these banks is more than compensated by the good they do in securing a safe investment for the hard- earned savings of the lower classes ; but it is not just that the British public should be taxed for the special advantage of the class who invest in savings-banks. There is at the present time, and there has been accu- mulating for some years, a loss of more than two mil- lions sterling upon the operations of these savings- banks ; in fact, were they a private institution, they would have been insolvent long ago. The cause is, 88 THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. that Government have often to purchase when the funds are high, and sell out when they are low ; and as they are bound to make up the loss to the investors, the public must be taxed in order to keep the system going. It is easy to understand the principle of sub- sidies where a certain sum is paid for a certain service rendered ; but taxing the public for the benefit of a particular class is unsound in principle, and ought to be discontinued. Every facility should be given to small capitalists to invest directly themselves in the funds, as is done in France ; but they should be obliged, like any other capitalists, to stand their chance of gain or loss on their investments. 255. Can true free trade exist when only one nation in the world is guided by its principles ? It can, but only amongst the individuals who com- pose that nation ; it does not exist with regard to her foreign trade. This one nation has herself permitted free competition, irrespective of race or country, in her own markets ; but she is prevented by the protective laws of other nations from competing freely in their markets. Unless there is the same free competition in the markets on each side, there is no true free trade between nation and nation; there is only an approxi- mation to it on the part of one nation. 256. When may trade be said to be free between France and England ? When an Englishman can deal in French markets as if he was a Frenchman, and a Frenchman can deal in English markets as if he was an Englishman. Trade will then be free between France and England. 257. If we permit other nations to compete freely THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 89 • in our markets, so as to enable them to sell to us and to buy of us, as it suits their advantage, what ought we to expect in return ? To be allowed to compete freely in their markets ; or if they put import duties on our manufactures, to be allowed to buy raw material from them either free of export duty altogether, or subject to so moderate a duty that it will not interfere with our consumption of that material. 258. What has been the policy of Great Britain hitherto with regard to the commercial restrictions im- posed by foreign states ? It has been to disregard such restrictions altogether, and act as if they did not exist. English statesmen consider that their country would lose more by a re- taliatory system than she could gain. 259. Give an instance where a counterbalancing import duty has not been considered advantageous to English interests. There are the paper-manufacturers in England. Rags are the only materials of which paper of a suf- ficiently good quality for printing can be made with profit. They are very scarce in England, as American agents buy them largely for the United States. The French and Germans have now free access to the English markets, which are the best in the world, for the sale of their paper ; they have an abundant supply of rags ; for, from their not having a free press, they do not want so much paper of a certain quality as we do in England ; but they maintain their rags at an arti- ficially low price at home by putting a heavy export duty on them, in order to be able to distance the 90 THE SCIENCE OE EXCHANGES. English paper-manufacturers in their own markets. The English manufacturers said, “ If the French and Germans will charge us no export duty on their rags, let them send as much paper as they please to English markets ; but it is very hard upon us that they should keep their rags at an artifically low price at home, for the avowed purpose of gaining an advantage over us in our own markets. What we ask for, then, is such an import duty on French and German paper, manu- factured of rags, as will exactly counterbalance the export duty which the French and Germans charge us on the rags themselves/' The British nation answered, “We admit that your case is a hard one, but we cannot tax ourselves by a counterbalancing duty, which must raise the price of paper, for your sole advantage ; we should lose more than we could gain by doing so.” 260. What, then, is the nature of the question with regard to counterbalancing import duties? A question of pounds, shillings, and pence; do we lose more by the rise in price of the commo- dity on which we put the counterbalancing import duty than we gain by taxing ourselves for the ad- vantage of a particular class ? In nine cases out of ten we lose more than we could gain ; and, there- fore, counterbalancing import duties will be very rarely resorted to in England. 261. What is the principle that nations who maintain their raw material at an artificially low price at home, by placing export duties on it, most probably act on? It is that there is less profit to be made on the sale THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 91 of mere raw material than there would be on the goods manufactured of that raw material ; and that the additional profit to be made by the rise in price of raw material, which would take place from all the world having free access to it, would by no means counter- balance the serious competition which their own manufacturers must then meet with, for all other manufacturers would be put on much more equal terms with them. 262. What effect have export duties which tend to keep any raw material at an artificially low price at home? They have the effect of bounties to the home manu- factuers who require that raw material. 263. What, then, is the nature of the question with regard to such export duties ? A pounds, shillings, and pence question ; which is it best worth a nation's while, to let its raw material rise to what all the world will give for it, and boldly meet the competition of the world in its manufactures, or to keep its raw material at an artificially low price, by putting export duties on it, and thus give a bounty to its own manufacturers, and enable them to enter those markets which they are allowed free access to with peculiar advantages ? 264. Is a policy of retaliation advantageous ? No, it is never advantageous, but it is sometimes necessary ; for instance, it is by no means to our advantage to keep such a huge fleet and standing army as we now do in England, but as long as the Emperor of the French maintains his armaments on so vast a scale, we must maintain ours also ; both 92 THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. sides are losers, yet the policy of retaliation is neces- sary to defend ourselves. 265. What system is followed in Canada at pre- sent with regard to import duties on manufactured goods ? The Canadian Government gives bounties to Ca- nadian manufacturers, as far as it can, by putting heavy import duties on manufactured goods coming from other countries. 266. Is this system followed in the United States ? Unfortunately, it is ; but, in spite of the heavy im- port duties, our manufacturers are often able to com- pete for a time with the American manufacturers, from the very high price of goods. 267. Has this system received support in any other quarter lately ? Yes ; the late Mr. Wilson has put ten per cent, import duties on cotton yarns, and other specific duties on cotton goods which come into India. This is giving a great bounty to the Indian native manufacturers, with the cheap labour they have at their disposal, with plenty of land to grow cotton in, and with plenty of English capital ready to be lent to them on good security. 268. What does this tend to show? The very great difficulty of the question. Mr. Wilson went to India with the object of developing its resources, and increasing the tax-paying capacities of the country ; he looked to what is to the advantage of India, and he considered that the native manufac- turers ought to be encouraged by bounties. THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 93 269. If this is denied, what conclusion must we come to ? That Mr. Wilson wanted money for revenue, and knew of no other means of getting it ; but, whichever was his reason for putting the duties on, they must be injurious to English manufacturers, who always want extension of their markets in every possible direction. Mr. Wilson has established a precedent, on English authority, to encourage the Americans in their system, which certainly does not answer in the United States, goods being outrageously dear, especially all kinds of clothing. 270. Does population increase in a greater ratio than food? It does, and the consequence is a steady rise in the price of provisions all over the world. 271. Is there a limit to this increase ? Certainly, the limit is the means of subsistence ; but the earth’s food-producing powers must be taxed in a very different way to what they are at present, before we arrive at it. 272. What is the total number of inhabitants in the United Kingdom, including the islands in the British seas, as taken in the census of 1861 ? They may be set down as not less than 29,031,164. Of these, 20,061,725 were numbered in England and Wales; 3,061,117 in Scotland; 5,764,543 in Ireland ; and 143,779 in the Channel Islands and Isle of Man. The army serving abroad, and the navy and merchant seamen absent at sea, are not included. Since 1851, notwithstanding the Irish emigration, the Russian war, and other unfavorable circumstances, we have a 94 THE SCIENCE OP EXCHANGES. solid addition of more than a million and a half to the population of the United Kingdom. 273. What is the golden rule in commerce? Buy in the cheapest and sell in the dearest markets ; without free trade this is impossible. 274 Is absenteeism an evil? It depends on what kind of absenteeism it is. A man may leave one part of the kingdom to reside in another part which he prefers ; or he may leave the kingdom altogether, and reside abroad. In the first case absenteeism is no real evil ; for, although small local interests suffer in the place left, other small local interests gain in the place gone to : consumption for the sake of enjoyment is not interfered with ; it remains unaltered as far as the one kingdom is con- cerned. In the second case absenteeism is a decided evil ; for consumption for the sake of enjoyment is diminished in the kingdom which the absentee leaves, while it is increased in the kingdom which he goes to. It must be remembered that it is only men of inde- pendent property who can change their place of resi- dence without loss to themselves ; professioual men are very seldom able to do so. Thus absentees necessarily form but a small class, and as long as they remain in their own country it is completely immaterial to the general prosperity of that country in what part of it they may choose to reside. 275. What is the great difficulty to be contended with in the management of our revenue in Great Britain ? That our expenditure is constantly increasing with- out a corresponding increase in our national wealth. THE SCIENCE OF EXCHANGES. 5 On the one hand, we are always voting money for some national purpose ; on the other, we are always pressing for a diminution of taxation. 276. What are the best remedies? 1. To diminish the cost of the British constitution as much as possible, by a judicious economy. 2. To endeavour to introduce free trade amongst the nations we deal with, so that we may have plenty of employment at home and healthy tax-paying capacities. INDEX TO DEFINITIONS. Abundance, 33. Banking, 84. Buying, 71. Capital, 49. Circulation, 87. Commodity, 3. Competition, 19 Consumption, 5, Credit, 79. Currency, 85. Demand, 13. Deposits, 111. Exchange, 2. Panic, 113. Price, 41. Production, 4. Profit, 8. Property, 48. Protection, 38. Rent, 44. Retrenchment, 54. Saving, 53. Security, 108. Selling, 72. Speculation, 73. Supply, 14. Free Trade, 36. Glut, 40. Hoarding, 52. Tax, 209. Trade, 35. Tariff, 238. Tokens, 174. Interest, 43. Issue, 83. Labour, 56. Monopoly, 39. Money, 80. Value, 1. Value-in-Exchange, 20. Wages, 58-. Want, 12. Wealth, 34. PRINTED BY EEFINGHAM WILSON, ROYAL EXCHANGE. 3 0112 043228904