UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS LIBRARY AT URBANA CHAMPAIGN BOOKS TACKS Digitized by the Internet Archive in 2011 with funding from University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign http://www.archive.org/details/onefficiencyofco374okun Faculty Working Papers ON THE EFFICIENCY OF COMPETITIVE EQUILIBRIUM IN INFINITE HORIZON ECONOMY AND MONEY Masahiro Okuno and Itzhak Zilcha #374 College of Commerce and Business Administration University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign FACULTY WORKING PAPERS College of Commerce and Business Administration University of Illinois at Urb ana-Champaign February 11, 1977 ON THE EFFICIENCY OF COMPETITIVE EQUILIBRIUM IN INFINITE HORIZON ECONOMY AND MONEY Masahiro Okuno and Itzhak Zilcha #374 'Vajari •': ;•■'(' . i'fOK fl'SA ' ON THE EFFICIENCY OF COMPETITIVE EQUILIBRIUM IN INFINITE HORIZON ECONOMY AND MONEY By Masahiro Okuno aad Itzhak Zilcha Assistant Professor January 1977 Revised Version Department of Economics University of Illinois Urbana, Illinois 61801 ■ \- 1-1 1 . Introdu ction Consider a finite horizon economy with outside money which has no intrinsic (i.e., fiat money). At a self "fulfilling (or rational) expectation equilibrium, not. only the price of money must be zero but also money has no exchange value. For, -at the end of the horizon all the traders attempt to spend away money unless price of money is zero and rational expectation makes price of money to be zero over the horizon. If we consider an infinite horizon economy, the story is different. In any period, a trader with positive cash balance may find some other trader who is willing to accept money. In this case, an equilibrium with positive price of money may exist. In [7], Samuelson showed that, in a simple balanced growth generation overlapping economy, there are indeed cases where traders are willing to accept money and equilibrium exists with positive price of money. Moreover, it was shown that, to achieve a Pareto efficient allocation through a competitive market, the creation of money is necessary in these cases. Cass and Yaari [3] argued that this pecuniary feature arises because of a lack of financial intermediary. In a generation overlapping economy not all traders can trade among each other. Nor there is any central market as in a usual finite economy. Therefore, some type of financial intermediation like money is necessary to establish Pareto efficiency of a competitive equilibrium. Then, one might ask when this type of financial intermediation is called for. In terms of Gale [4j, a simple economy of the type of Samuelson possesses two distinct possibilities of stationary competitive equilibrium 1-2 (golden-rule or no-trade). Moreover, the optimal (or Pareto efficient) equilibrium requires the existence of fiat money if the economy satisfies a condition which Gale called the Samuelson case. Hayashi [5] showed, in more general but still restricted class of economies, that money is necessary for Pareto efficiency of an equilibrium when initial' endowment- is not Pareto efficient. However, most of the models above are of very simple nature, i.e., each generation live for two period and/or there is only one good except money, in addition to the property that the economy is either stationary or of balanced growth nature. If these restrictions are removed, a simple result like in [3] or [5] no longer holds. It is worthwhile to mention here that the question of existence of a monetary equilibrium in non-stationary economy was investigated by Okuno [6]; it was shown that, under some very restrictive assumptions, there is an equilibrium where money has a positive exchange value. We consider the following model. In each period, a finite number of consumers are born. All the consumers live the same, but finite, number of periods. The number of goods is (finite) constant over time. Those, and only those, consumers who live on the first day of the economy may have positive amount of fiat money. Therefore, the total amount of fiat money is constant over the time. Transactions are costless even for future markets. However, transactions with consumers who are either not born or have died are prohibited. In other words, consumers can issue I.O.U. (inside money) but they must clear their obligations by the time of their death. We treat these I.O.U. and fiat money separately. We 1-3 call equilibrium monetary if fiat money has a positive value and barter otherwise. In view of Cass and Yaari's work the following questions arise; (1) If there is a system of financial intermediaries, notably that of the "social contrivance of money", are . competitive equilibria which utilize these intermediaries necessarily Pareto efficient? Namely, in our set-up, are monetary equilibria always Pareto efficient? (2) If the answer is no, what makes equilibria Pareto inefficient and in what situations equilibria are Pareto efficient? This paper answers these questions. In Section 2, we present a model which is slightly different from an economy described above. (The equivalence of the economy above and our model is shown in the Appendix). In Section 3, we prove the existence of a competitive equilibrium, although it can be monetary or barter, Pareto efficient or inefficient. In Section 4, the question (1) of Pareto efficiency of competitive equilibria, especially in regard to the role of money, is answered with the help of a few examples. In Section 5, sufficient con- ditions for efficient equilibrium are discussed by using theories on efficiency prices (especially, by Benveniste [2]). In Section 6, we discuss relationship between our result and that by Cass-Yaari [3], present an open question accompained by an interesting example. 2-1 2 . Descrip ti on of the Economy There are an infinite number of tine periods (t = 1, 2, ...) and in each period there are m identical goods. All the goods are completely perishable. There is also (outside) money which has no in- trinsic value but it is the economy's only store of value. We .assume, for simplicity, that all consumers (except those who were born before period 1) live for the same number of periods, N + 1 (N > 1). Consumers are denoted by i = 1, 2, .... Let O.trd, 2, ...} be the period in which i is born. Hence i-th consumer is born in 0. and dies in 9. -+• N . 1 x We also use the notation L. = i9. , 3.+ 1, ... 8.4- N}, a set of periods 1X1 i in which i lives. The set of individuals who are born in the same period t is called t-th generation ana denoted by G , i.e., G - (i|8. ■ t}. We assume that for all t = 1, 2, ..., G is a non-empty and finite set. 00 m Let E = X E where m — m for all t . Let E, be the t=l non-negative cone of E . We assume that the ordering of all the consumers in this economy is made according to their age, i.e., for any i , j , i 1 j if and only if 8, > 0, , We denote by k. the following type of sequence in E ; x. = (x. (1), x.(2), ... ) z: E where x.(t)£E for all t and X. (t) = for all t - L. = \ 9 . , - . - , 6 . + N} . We denote bv x. the i ill -l projection of x. on the coordinates of L . Namely, x = fx (&.)» -i i ' -i v i i x.(e i + i), ..., x.(e. -f m)f E m(N+1) . Each consumer i has a vector of initial endowments in each period t in L. , w.(t) . A sequence of initial endowments is denoted by w.£ E + where w.(t) = for all t~L. . The con sumptio n pos sibility set for i , X. , is assumed as l 2-2 X = {c.fE jr. (t) = for all t £ L J i - 1 + - ■ i ' i We denote by c =' (c.). , - fc, , c„, ... ) the allocation of consumptions - i 1=1 -1 • 2 in the economy. The set of feasible consumption allocations is defined as X = c = (c ) . , ic "■ X. for all i and I c.(t) < Z w. (t) for all t • , ~i 1=1 -xi ,i — . - 1 i=l i=l Each consumer i has the preference ordering, ">., , defined over i E , i.e., over the lifetime bundles of consumption. We assume that for each i his preference ordering is represented by a utility function u. : E >■ E . Finally, we assume that consumers in the first period may have a positive amount of initial money holding, m. •: E, . For generality, we denote by m. an amount of initial money holding for i , but we assume m. .> for all i , to. = for all i with 9. > 1 and 11 i m = 2 m. > . The following assumptions on initial endowments and the utility functions will be made. CO Assumption I : For all i w. (t) > for all t L. , £ w.(t) >> and i=l £ w.(t)|j < M for all t , for some constant M i=l i Assumption I I: For all i , u. is continuous, increasing and strictly quasi-concave and u.(w.) - . Let c* = (c.) in X . e* is Pareto efficient if (1) c. -. w. for all i and (2) there is no c = (c). , in X such • -x 1 -i ~i i-j. -,v * that c. >. c for all i and c. >. c. for some j . Note that our -l i -i -;} j -j definition of Pareto efficiency requires individual rationality as well. 2-3 Let X* be the set of all Pareto efficient allocations in X . A sequence of prices of goods will be denoted by p = (p(l), p(2), ...] E . Given prices p and a consumption allocation c in • X , we have the price of money, p (p, c) . The fact that the price of money can be taken constant over time is shown in the Appendix. Let U = (u = (a , a , . ,.)[a. = u.(c.) for all i for some c •' XJ and let U* = {u = (a , a , ...)'" U| there is c ■ X* such that u.(c.) = a. for all i} . i — z. x Defi nition : (p*, c*) is a competitive equilibrium if p* r . E + , p* > c * = (c.'K ' X , p m (p*, c*) > , and for all i (a) p*«c. < p**w + p (p*, c*)-m i (b) c maximizes u. over {c. " X, jp*«c ± < p*«w ± + p (p*,c*)'m ± j . * * * 1 Definit ion: (p*, u*. c*) where u* = (u , u. , ...) with u i E 1S a compensated equilibriu m if p* > , p m (p*, c*) > , c*' X , and for all i (a') c. minimizes p*«c. over {c. X.ju.(c) >. u } _ x _ .- 1 . i i ' x — x — x (V) p**c. = p**w. + p (p*, c*)»m i . Given a competitive equilibrium, (p*, c*) , we call it a monetary equilibrium if p m (p*, c*) > and a bar ter equilibrium if p (p*, c*) - 3-1 3 . Existence of a Competitive Eq ui libri um In this section, we shall prove the existence of a competitive equilibrium in this economy. For this purpose, we shall introduce a few definitions and an assumption. For each time period T *. N + 1 let F denote the set of of all consumers who will die on or before T , i.e., F = {i ] Q. +N <_ T} . T Let. X be the projection of X on F , namely J. X T = it? = (c). _ I c.(t) < £ w.(t) for all t < T} . - 11 F T i F T X " = i=l X Note that the aggregate consumption for F may exceed their aggregate T endowment. Let U be the projection of U on F , or T T i T T - U ={u = (a. )... _ a. =u.(c.) for all i:F„ for some c in X } x x F ' x X -x T Next, the sees of (individually rational and) Pareto efficient T allocations in X , and the corresponding utility allocations are X = ic •■= (c). ^ in X ' c. -. w. for all i- F and -T T there is no c • X s.t. c. -. c. for ail i - F„. - X ' X - X i and c. -. c. for some i F r „} -J J -J 1 T* T T T T* U = {u = (ct.),- ^ in U there exists c X such that x *■ - F ' 1 a. = u.(c.) for all i- F m } x l -i T Let us introduce now the foil owing definitions. T T Definition: c = (c). . _ in X is T-efficient if c. -.. w. for ~ -.11 ■■ F„ -l x -l 3-2 all i F_ and there is no c - (c). ._ , X c. < I c , L X F T x F T c. -. c. for all i in F m and for some i F m , c . -. c.. -ii-i T T' -j J -j c* = (c ) , in X is shor t-run efficien t if for all T , ~i i=l * (c.). , „ is T-efficient. Obviously, a short-run efficient allocation is not necessarily Pareto efficient. T T Definition: Given c"" - (c . ) . „ in X . let i and i' be any two \.x i . F_ ' commodities, t and t' <_ T be any two periods. We say that timed commodities T (t, j) and (t ' , j') are resource-rel ated (with respect to c ), if there exists i in F , such that c..(t) > and c.,,(t') > . We say T that (t, j) and (t* , j') are in directly-r e cource-r elated (w. r. t. c ) Q if there is a finite sequence ((t, , j, )l lr _ n such that (t , j ) = (t, j) , K. K. ix~U O O (t £) j y . ) = (t', j') and (t k _ l5 J k-1 ) ls resource-related to (t fc , j fc ) for Assumption III: Any (t, j) and (t', j') (1< j, j' . Period 1 is said to be e-resource relate d to period t <, T with respect to c (c* , resp.) if there exists c = (c ) . „ ~ rj. such that (a) c.(l) = Z c*:. c. for all i£ F m . -i . x -l x -x T T T T I.emna 1 : F or each T , there exist positive scal ers {_ ,■ _ , •-. e } X x* T such that for all T-efficient allocations, c X , period 1 is c'-resource _ — __ ______ __ _ 1 — _ related to period t . T T* Proof : For each c - X , by Assumption III and monotonicity of a. , 1 is e-resource related to t for some e > . Let e (c ) be the maximum of such e > (one can take maximum, for _ is defined over a compact set X* . X* as is easily seen by the definition) . For any T-efficient c v X , and for T* "T any 6,0<6<_(c")by Assumption III, there exists c satisfying t ~ condition (a), (c) and (b r ) Z c.(t) = _ c?(t) - 6(1, 1, ..., 1) i ■■■ F_ i - F T * ■ (d') c • X. and c. ■-. c. for all i " F r „ . ~x x -x j -x T Since u. is continuous, there is a (relatively) open neighborhood of X* x T* T T T* c in X , N(c 6)7 X , such that for all c - N(c , 6) , peirod 1 is T 6-resource related to period t . Therefore e (c ) is continuous. Since T by assumption III, the set of all T-efflcient c in X is compact, there T T T I is e = min {e (c )|c X Lent) > . t c _ Given Assumptions I-II [ , we can prove Theorem 1 : There exists a c ompetit Ive equilibrium . 3-4 Let us prove first the following Lemma. Lemma 2 : For each T , T > N + 1 , there exists c = ( e . ) . in X , p E v;ith p (t) = for all t_JL_T , and p > such that for all i : F T T* * T* , mT* - (a) p "C < p »w. + p -ra. « v * . . r r- v ± i T* T* mT* - , (.b; c. maximizes u, over lc." X i p *c. < p *w.H-p 'm.} -l i i ' C ,.i — i i Proof: The proof is essentially similar to Arrow-Rahn's [1, ch. 5]; However, due to our special structure and existence of money, some parts are subs- tantially different. Given T , T > N + 1, define S T - (p* E + | |ip T (l)|; = 1 , !|p T {t)|[ = ~ for all 2 < t < T and p X (t) = ( £ r r TtT for all t > T}, where the sequence of positive scalars (el -, is given by Lemma 1. Define a mapping p' : S > E, by p (p ) = - •■ - P (t) w (t) m i : p m t=T-N ra T - In other words, p (p )m, the value of the money, is made so that PTi it is exactly equal to the value of endowments in X , which does not T T properly belong to the consumers in F . Given prices p ■■ S and allocation T .. T T c X , we define budget surplus tor all i in F , / T T. i . m,. T - s.Cp s c ) - p (w. ■ + p (p )a. . T T 1 Let Z = {v = (v ) v , ! v.£ ,L' and v. = 1} . Define 1:F I T T T" T T ijj : I *■ U in the following way: For v c £ , define 3-5 rr, rp rp rp rrl m T TA ^ (v~) - max {a > | Av ~U }*v . *J> is well defined because (1) u f U if u. = for all i £ F , since E w. (t) - E w.(t) > for all t 1 T i=l 2 i ■ F * T t I-B+l < t u.(c.) for all i- F_ s T ,T . - for some c in X ) . V is a continuous function. T i T* For each u = (a ) . in IT , define corresponding consump- T T* tions c In X by, T* HP T" Tit W (u ) = {c ■- X I u.Cc.) =a. for all i£ F_} . i _ i i j- T W is single-valued and continuous by Assumption II. For each c in X , define B x (c ) = {(x(l), ...» x(7)j E m j there exist -X c = (c.). _ such that c. > c, _i'i F T -l 'x -i for all i F_ and E c (t) < E c.(t) + x(t) for all t < T} i F_ ~~~ i - F m x T T T T B (c ) is strictly covex and contains a non-empty interior. Furhtermore, rj rj, Vr. (0, ..., 0) -f Int 3 (c ). Define P : X — * S, as follows: P T (c 1 ) = fp 1 S T | (t)x(t) > for all (x(l) , . . . , x(T)J in B (c T )} t=3 3-6 By the well-known separation theorem, there exists a non-trivial prices fp(l),..., p(T)J E™ satisfying the condition of V (c ) except that T T p S . By the definition of e-resource relatedness and Lemma 1, fx(l), . .., x(T)) B T (c T ) when x(l) = (1, -.., 1), x(t) = -£*«(1, ..., 1) 'T and x(t) = for all t > T , r.J 1, t . Therefore || p(l)|| -r e- c ||p(t) j| > rp rp -j™ T T or |jp(t)[|< i|p(D|| /e • Hence p S • P (c ) is non-empty, convex, compact-valued, and upper semi-continuous. T T T T Finally, define V : S x X — > I , V T (p T , c T ) = {v T L T j Vj . = if s i (p T , c T ) < 0} . T 1 T V (p , c ) f : S x Z * X > S x 2 x X This correspondence satisfies all the conditions of Kakutani's fixed point theorem . T»fc T^ T^» Let (p , v , c ) be the fixed point. By our definition, T* T* T* T T* / T* T* „T*. c X . Let us show that when u = ■i 1 (v . ) , tP > L l » £ ' satisfies (a') and (b ' ) of the definition of compensated equilibrium for all i- F . Assume s.(p , c ) < for some i . By definition of V , v. = and u.(c.) =0 . Since u.(w.) = we come to X* * * 0>s.(p , c.) >_ p (w.-c.) which contradicts the fact that l „ _ i — „i ~ i T* T T* T* T* , r- . p P (c ) . Therefore s . (p , c ) > for all i . By the defxnition m T'ft — — of p (o ) and notin n. , we see that i I Z s.(p T , c 1 ) = (w - c )]- p m Cp L )-m=-0 if F J " " i t F T T 3-7 X" ■£* Hence s . (p , c ) = for all i in F • Finally, because of Assumption III and monotonicity of u. "s, conditions for compensated equilibrium are equivalent to those of competitive X* * • I* equilibrium (i.e., p *c. > for all i F » since p (t) >> for all t < T) . 7* T* mT* v Proof of Theo rem 1 : Let (c , p , p .) be the fixed point X* we obtained in Lemma 1. Let u be the corresponding utility values, * -T -T -T -ffiT, °° -T T* -T , which is in U . Let (p , u , c , p ) T _-i satisfy; p = p ; u • li -T T* -T -T T* -mT mT* such that Proj u = u ; c X such that Proj c = c ; p = p p p T T ,_X _X _'£. oo Then there is a subsequence of [p (1) , u", c J which converges f -* *1 il II * coordinate-wise to [p*(l), u , c J such that || p A (l) || = 1 , u U , and c* X . To show that c* is short run efficient, notice that by Assumption III it can be proved, in a straightforward manner, that a limit of k-efficient allocations (for some finite k) is a k-efficient allocation. k k This follows from the fact that if c = ( is Pareto-dominated, _i i ■ F. - k *• k k then there exists some k-efficient (c). ._, s.t. u . (c . ) > u.(c.) for X X X -1 1 -X K all i in F. . V:'; Given anv T for all T > T , (c. ) . . is T -efficient o o . i i fc t o o -t x* T* (otherwise, for some (c.). _ with I c. < '[. c. we have T o a ^T * " F T ~X x* T * ~T *T u.(c.) > u.(c. ) for all i in F r „ . This implies I p~ (c. - c. ) > x-ii-x 1 . .. _ _ ^x ~x o x F T o * which is impossible.) This implies that (e.) is T -efficient for -i'icF„ ~ any T , hence c* ia short-run efficient, o - 3-8 Since c* is short-run efficient, by Assumption III, there exists a sequence of positive scalars {e , z , ..., ) such that 1 is c - resource related to t for ail t with respect to c*. Therefore, t for given t , there exist T and (c.). , which satisfy the con- o „ A ditions of 6-resource relatecness with 6 (0 < o < e )' and with c. > c L. — X 1 1 for all i6F (by Assumption III again). Because of the coordinatewise o T * convergence, period 1 must be 6-resource related to t for all c for T sufficiently large. Therefore {p (t) }__. must be bounded and we can find a converging subsequence. Finally, for such a subsequence, oo N-M mT* mT* — i ml T* *■ T* {p } is bounded, for . Z„ p -m = P -m <_ £ p -c i I z p (t)w (t) , 1 G l . i€G~ - 1 " i=l t=l ' * which is unformly bounded. Let (p*, p ) be the limit of such a converging subsequence. Then p™ > , p* > since ||p*(l)|] = 1 , and m* s.(p*, c*) = for all i . It can be shown easily that (p*, u*, c*, p ) is a compensated equilibrium, which, in turn, is a competitive equilibrium by Assumption III, Q.E.D. 4 . Efficiency of an Equilibrium In their paper [3], Cass and Yaari, in effect, claim as follows. In an economy with overlapping generations, there is no "Walras market", for some consumers in different generations may not be allowed to trade' each other. To achieve an efficient equilibrium in a limited market structure, some device like a financial intermediary is called for. Therefore, there may exist an equilibrium with money actively traded. Example 1 Consider the following economy, which has the same structure as our model. Let m (the number of goods) be one. Let each consumer live for two periods. We index them as 0,1,2,... . 6 = i for all i > 1 . For i = , he lives only at t = 1 . Their initial endowment is as in the Table 1 while we assume m„ = 1 and m. = for all i 5 1. x i n^ 1 2 3 ' 1 1 •> 1 • 2 3 1 • "" . Table 1 Finally, let utility u. = Ha c.(e.) + £n c ± (Q ± + 1) for all i £ 1 and u = In c„ (1) . There are two equilibria, one is barter and the other monetary. Barter equilibrium is such that consumption is exactly the same as initial 4-2 t-1 allocation and prices satisfy ?(t) = 3 p(l; for all t. Monetary equilibrium is such that consumption is as in Table 2, prices satisfy p(t) = p(l) = p m for all t . The Barter equilibrium is Pareto inefficient, for it is dominated by the monetary one and the monetary equilibrium is Pareto efficient. Therefore, the example not only seems to confirm Cass-Yarri contention but also indicate importance of distinguishing a Pareto efficient equilibrium from an inefficient one. i \v X 2 3 2 1 2 2 2 •i £ 2 Table 2 Example 2 However, it is not too difficult to construct an inefficient monetary equilibrium. For example, let us keep essentially the same structure of the first example but change their initial endowment slightly as in Table 3 with e > 0. Then the barter equilibrium (of consumption and prices) in the first example becomes a monetary equilibrium in the new situation with p™ = ep(l). Since the aggregate endowments are the same as before, our monetary equilil Ls Pareto inefficient. 4-3 H 1 2 1-e 3-fe 1-3 e 3+3" 1 , -2 1-3 "~£ 3+3 e 1-3 e Table 3 As a matter of fact, a monetary equilibrium and a barter equili- brium are not too different in some cases. Suppose we obtain a barter equilibrium with equilibrium prices p which satisfy lim inf jj p(t) [J > 0. t-x» Then, in general, we can redistribute initial endowments in each period from a young generation to a old generation, and make the original barter equilibrium a monetary equilibrium in a new economy. Moreover, we can make this redistribution as small as possible, as is the case of £ in our example. Namely, any barter equilibrium with lim inf |j p(t) j| > t-*» is considered as the limit of a sequence of monetary equilibria where each monetary equilibrium belongs to a different economy but these economies converge to the economy in question. More disturbingly, if at any equilibrium, lim sup j| p(t) [j = , then the equilibrium can never be monetary because the value of money 4-4 m — p .m must sooner or later exceed the value of economy's total initial endowments. But as we show in Theorem 2 below, such a ("barter) equilibrium is always Pareto efficient. Some readers may observe that the Example 2 is of very absurd nature. If p is unbounded, one unit of good in period 1 has the same value as a very small units of goods in a distant future. Hence one can make a sequence of transfers of goods, of the same value, from young generations to older generations in each period, and eventually make this transfer disappear in the limit, thus creating a Pareto-dominating allocation. A. seemingly natural conclusion, in view of strict-quasi- concavity of the utilities (Assumption II), seems to be the following one. If lim sup i| p(t)jj < °° , then a (monetary) equilibrium is Pareto efficient- Unfortunately, this contention is, again, incorrect as the following example shows. Example 3 Let the generational structure be the same as in Example 1. Let the initial endowments be as in the Table 4. Namely, ^nC^) = 1 - £"3 , M.(l) = 3 + £-3 q , 2 io. (6.) = 3 + c *3 for all ii2, -q+~ (i).(S.+l) = 1 - e«3 for all i > I , 2 where c is an arbit smaJ ositive number and q = tt /6 . Let utility functions be 4-5 l-e*3 3+e • 3" q l-e*3 3+e • 3 -al-1 q+1 -q+- 1-e -3 -q+- 3+e«3 -q+- l-e-3 Table 4 i Z -l u.(c(!3 i ),c(6 i +l)) = .2 .2 c(8.) x + c(6.+l) 1 L x i -1-] .2-1 i for all i>2, ^(0(1)^(2)) = in c{l) + £n c(2) and u (c(l)) - In. c(l) Then there is a monetary equilibrium with consumption allocation as in Table 1 with prices t-1 .2 x p(t> = ?(!)• TT 3 i=l t-1 ■p(l) for all t > 2 To see this, observe that for any ii 1, marginal rate of substitution of i/i 2 c(0.) for c(e.+l) is [c(8.}/c(8.+l)j . Therefore, at the i x i x equilibrium, MRS = Z ' . Moreover, since )_ — =■ - ff /6 = q , i=l i lim p(t) is finite. However, a, this equilibrium allocation is Pareto 4-6 dominated by the allocation in Table 2. Because for any i > 1, the equilibrium consumption (c*(0 .) ,c*(9 .+1)) = (3,1) is indifferent to (1,3) . Since consumption in Table 2 is a convex combination of these two, strict qua'si-concavity of utility functions asserts that Table 2 consumption dominates the equilibrium allocation. 5-1 5 . Chara c terizati on of Efficient Equilibi i . In this section, we shall ask the following question; under what conditions there is a (monetary or barter) Pareto efficient equilibrium? Let us start with a relatively simple case. HI" Theorem 2: Let (p*, c*, p ) be a com petitive equ ilib rium . If . lira sup ||p*(t)|j = , then c* is an efficient equilib rium . t -*- °° Pro of: Suppose that c* is not efficient. Then there exists an allocation * c X which dominates c*, i.e., c. r . . c. for ail i and for some j , ~ -i x -i J * ft * c ■- . c. . Therefore, P**c. — p A «c for all i and p*«c. > p*-c. . - J -J ~ -x ~ - -i ~ ~3 ~ ~J Let T = h . + K , the last period in which j lives. Then for any T >* T , o j o F contains j and < X p*.(c. - c.) i ; F ~ " a " X T T-N+l ^ T A Z I P*(t)[c.(t)-c.(t)l+ Z Z p*(t)fc.(t) -c.(t) ifF T t=l X i F t=T-N+2 a X < Z Z p*(t)[c.(t) - c At)] . if F t=T-N+2 * However the right hand side goes to zero as T — > » , for I [c.(t) -c. (t) i : F X L T is uniformly bounded by Assumption I, a contradiction. Q.E.D . 5-2 If lim sup j!p(t)]{ > , we need some conditons for Pareto t -> <» efficiency. The following approach makes direct use of the result by Benveniste [2] on efficiency prices. In the proof of Theorem 1, we show that a competitive equilibrium is always short-run efficient. Let K, = !i|T< 8 < T •+ N - 1} , i.e., the set of all the consumers who live in both periods T + N - 1 and T + N . Given a short-run efficient allocation c -. X , define D T (c) = ((xT; X*) = (x T (T), ..., x T (T + N-l); x T (T + N), ..., -T ^\ - ?mN , -i x (T+2N-l)JrE ■ There exists (c"> . „ such that - ± ' \ c. S. c. for all i: H and -1 l -x I c,(t) - 1 c.(t) + x (t) for all t , i H i H T < t < T + 2N - 1) Since c is short-run efficient, we can define a social (aggregate) T indifference curve at c . D (c) is (the translate of) upper contour set for this indifference curve. In the examples in the previous section where there is only one good, there is only one consumer in each generation T and each consumer lives only for two periods, D"(c) is exactly equal to upper contour set for the consumption. In Example 3, we showed that if the indifference curve loses "strict" curvature over the time, we might find a Pareto inefficient equilibrium. fore, we shall define the "coefficient of strictness" o rence curve similar to Benveniste [2]. 5-3 Let (p*, c*, p' ) be a competitive equilibrium, then c* is short-run efficient as was shown In the proof of Theorem 1. Define T+N-l Q T (c*, p*) » {(X* X 1 ) D T (c*) | Z p*'(t)-x T (t) < 0} ~ t=T The following definition of jj-strictness guarantees that if c* is short-run efficient with support p* , then given T we can find * T a tangent "paraboloid" at (c.) containing D (c*) . -x 1 " H m* Definition: Given a competitive equilibrium (p*, c*, p ) , c* is — T -T T jj -strict at T if for all (X., , X„) in Q (c*, p*) , we have T+2N-1 T+N-l u (T+N-l V P*(t)-,x i (t)>- Z p*(t)-x i (t) + ^q ¥rr - Z p*(t)-x(t)| t=T+N t=T /' t/ ,, /t ,| t=T L t=T p*(t)-w(t) 1 - where w(t) = Z w,(t) , i.e., the aggregate endowment of the economy at i=l x t . Denote by IL = sup {y ! c* -strict at T'l . Remark : Our definition of u -strictness generalizes that of Benveniste. The reader is referred to [2! for detailed tnation of this condition. OS Given c* in X , I e ! , cients of resource related- t t=i ness if f° r all t e - sup 1 is £ resource related to period t (w.r.t. c*)}. m* Theorem 3 A co mpetitive equil ibrium p ) i s Pareto efficient if, at c* , 00 (a) the c of resource relatedness (c ) , satisfy t t= a — _ — _ E e = «> , and t=l 5- (b) t here exists \i > such th at for al l. T > u >_ u , where c* is Remark : Examples 1 and 2 can be considered as counter examples for the theorem without (a) and example 3 as a counter example for the theorem without (b). By assuming uniform smoothness in the analogous manner (see [2]), we can prove that condition - . cf icient for Pareto efficiency of a competitive equilibrium. Proof : Because of (a), an argument similar to the one in the proof of T Lemma 1 shows that E l/|{p(t)|| — > °° as T ► °" . t-1 * Suppose there, exists c X such that c. .-. c. for all i * and c. ■-. c. for some j . Define a sequence t. = (k - 1)N + 1 for 2 3 J k t, t,+N-l kik where k is such that j •" H . Define p = ip*(t)l o o t, v K * J t=t, k k o t. t t and (L , JL ) such that X (t) = I . (t) - c.(t)] for all t J. JL _, 3 X i H \ _t _t with t < t < t + 2N - 1 . Defd , - p -X n for all k > 1 and _t. _t & 2 ? K * X ? ' for a11 k - 2 ■ p*[c. - c.J = p -X + p -X = 6 + o > * C k for all k with strict inequality with k = k . Since c* is an . t + N~l° K .A equilibrium allocation and ccX , X. E p*(t)[c.(t) - c.(t)j t=t k t t t = P k lX k + X 2 k_1 J = 6 k + d k < for all k > 2 and 5-5 - N_1 * - c i - c i 1 £ I p*(t)[c.(t) - cAc)] = p -X - 6., <_ ■ i=l t=I .Therefore, o" (6 k , respectively) - a in-decreasing ' (non- increasing) ' k k sequence of non-negative (n numbers and 6 2 > (& 1 < 0) for all k > k + 1 . o t t t Hence, (x\ X^) C Q fc (c* s p*) for all k > k Q + 1 and using (b), there exists u, > V > such tl 5 k+1 > _ 5 k + -^(6 k ) 2 > -i k + — (S k ) 2 > for all k > k + 1 (1) 2 = 1 n. l = J- n k i ~ ° t +N-1 where n. = S p*(t)-w(t) > . Since -«J >-« 2 > ° for a11 t=t. K. k > k + 1 , (1) is rewritten i -. — o ,k, 2 6 7 +1 i 6 2 ■ Define V, = 5^/rj, . For all k > k + 1 , V > , and since k 2 k ok t x (t) < w(t) for all t and k , V . Then, (2) becomes ViVi i Vk + ^\ ( V > ° £or ali k « k o + l (3) Taking the inverse of the both sides, 1 < 1 K._ X VlVl ^ \\ 1 + u \ 5-6 or JL < 1 + V — — •.'— - ! for all k > k + 1 k V k \+l V ] . ~ ° (4) Adding (A) from k = k + 3 to K - 1 and cancelling terms, K-l i_ < i + p r i_ k=k +1 "k ]i \\ +l\ i_ i < i±Ji l__J: l, V, i = - o o k+1 k+i '. I Lt ft. ' -1- R. ^ L ° ° and £ ~ < « k=k +1 it o However , t, +N-1 k t, +N-1 00 > Z — : k=k +1 'k k „ o ok k+i t-V, p*- W (t) - k . k+1 t . t E l/j|p*(t)jl-i|w(t)i| Since v(t) is uniformly bounded by Assumption I, it implies £ l/|jp*(t)jj < °° , which is a contradiction. t=t. k +1 o Q.E.D. 6-1 6 . Conclusions and Remarks In an economy with a generational structure, one would not expect to have the existence, of Kalras market. Hence, unless there is some "double coincidence of wants" between generations, an equilibrium may be Pareto inefficient in a sequence of markets generated by a genera- tional structure. This is precisely the reason why Cass-Yaari looked into a "closed-loop" model, which is a finite analogue of a stationary generational economy. It seems that they conclude that if money is introduced to the market, a central clearing house, which was lacking without money, was effectively restored because money plays a role of intermediation. As we saw in Section 4, it is incorrect if one extends his attention beyond a stationary economy. It is true, in some cases, that the introduction of money makes a new equilibrium Pareto efficient. But not all monetary equilibrium are Pareto efficient, namely financial intermediation does not always remedy the lack of Walras markets. As we observed in Section 5, the question of Pareto efficiency of a competitive (barter or monetary) equilibrium is closely related to the question of efficiency prices. , r , Lems seem to be inherent to the infinity of horizon more . . - else. However, it should be noted that our f: igs do not refute the claim by Cass-Yaari altoge • pie where there is neither monetary nor bart^ i ent eq i ura. We believe that the following conjecture eco] tot find a Pareto efficient equilibria inter:.. (money), there is a Pareto efficient equilibrium in t. r.y with money. To this end, one 6-2 must show the existence of a Pareto efficient (barter or monetary) equilibrium. One might hope that a direct application of Arrow-Hahn. [1] approach may do just this. Unfortunately, there is some technical obstacle, that is, the utility frontier U* is not closed in Lhe topology of convergence in coordinates {the most natural topology in this economy) . So, it is an open question if the non-existence of a Pareto efficient barter equilibrium is a sufficient condition for the existence of a Pareto efficient monetary equilibrium. Let us conclude this paper by presenting yet another example, which shows that it is not a necessary condition. Namely, an example which contains both Pareto efficient barter and Pareto efficient monetary equilibria. There are two goods in the economy in addition to money. In each period, consumers 2t and 2t + 1 are born. T A'e refer the first consumer as an "even" consumer and the second as an "odd" consumer. All the even consumers and all the odd consumers have the same characteristics, respectively, except the date of birr . for an even consumer, 2t , r , i 711711, initial endowment is (w.(.t), w.(t -f l)j = (— , — , — , — ) , i - 2t , his utility function u. = In {min fc, (t), c.„(t)]} + In {min [c- (t-KL) , c .„(t+l)]}, i = 2t . 1 11 1Z li 12 An odd consumer 2t + 1 has initial endowment it), w i (t + 1)) = (4, 2- 0, 12), i = 2t + 1 , u - lMc,.,(t)] 1 +^[c (t)] 1 }~ h + Uc.,(t+1)] I + [c. (t+l)l 1 ~ h , i = 1 11 1 Z I. J. li 2t + l Consumers and 1 live only in perio* with w Q (l) = (~, |) and ».,(!) = (0, 12) u = An {min [c l),llc Q (l)]} 6-3 • i .-•< u n = in C[c_,(l)] "■ -r [c 19 (l) x } ' 2 - 12 Finally, let m. = ror all i f 1 and m_ =•' — . The initial endow- ■ i. i 5 merit allocation is summed up in Table 5. Then there exist at 1 eat two distinct equilibria, one monetary and the other barter. 2*4- { 2 ' ?/ (0, 12) ( 71 1 } ,71 1 C4 S 2) (0, 12) ,71 1, ,71 1_, 2 ' 2 ^ 2 ' 2 ,12) Le 5 A monetary equi [ 1 Location is shown in 6-4 Table 6 while prices are p(t) = (1, 1) for all t and p = 1 . A barter equilibrium consumption allocation is shown in Table 7 while prices are p(t) = (1 , 4) for all t and p "" = C . Since both allocations satisfy conditions for Theorem 3. Pareto . efficient . t i (33, 3) 1 ,36 36 <. 5 , 5 ) 2 (33, 3) (33, 3) 3 .36 36 { 5 ' 5 4 (33, 3) ,9 9. (t. t) ,36 36. 5 3 Table 6 6-5 t I 1 2 3 4 5 V 2 ' 2 ; (16, 3) ,55 2 / 5 _1 5. ( '2 ' 2' (4, 2) (16, 3) ,55 5. ( T' 2° (4, 2) ,55 5 ) ( 2 » 2 (16, 8) Table 7 7-1 APPE We consider the following economy . - before there are m goods and a finite number of consumers in each • od t . Let H be a set of individuals living at t , i.e., S. - U|t - N < f - . < t} - Each consumer i is characterized by so that he lives from period 9. up to period i i + N . *\]j the transactions are costless but we assume that transactions i can be made only among living generations for the periods they live. Hence in each period t , there are m spot markets for each commodity, m futures markets each for delivery date t = t+1, .-., t+N and a bond market each for maturization date T = t+1, ..., t+N . Let x (t) be a vector of net purchases that consumer i makes in period t to be delivered at x = t, t+1, ... t+N . Each x' T (t) :E and we write x 1 = (x X (t), x 1 (t), ... x* (t)} which is the list of spot and future i . . „m(N+l) transactions l made at time t . x is zn E A unit of bond is a contract to deliver one unit of money at the ib , K , 1 ma turization date. Let x (t) h E be a net purchase of bond in period t for delivery at T, T > t and x* = [x"\, , (t), ..., x .. w (t)J is the bond — t t+1 t+N transactions at t . Let us use infinite sequences of vectors in E 'L is defined as x 1 = [O, 0, . .., x^(t) , ..., x ...(t), 0, ...J and x__ is is defined as x* b = (O, 0, ..., x^Ct) , ..., x^^t), 0, ...). Let m 1 ?. E be the cash balance of consumer i at the end of period t and t m 1 = (0, 0, . .., in* . .., mZ ,„, 0, . ..). Let us write the commodity price 6 c 1 .+M i i , in period t as p - (O, 0, ..., 0, ? Jt) , .... P t+N (t), 0, ...} where p (t)~ E™ is a vector of prices at ■: in the future market for delivery at t , t < t < t+N . Also be od t , b /-„ „ b , ^ b , t = (0, ..., o, P t+1 (t), ... P* = (0, ..., 0, " p* (t), ..., ]* * -..} where P ^(t)?E^ is the 7-. m 1 price of bond in t which natures at t , T > t . Finally p - E, is thi price of money in t . e.+N ., e.+N , r i , Xv 1 , ib. i i- A consumption plan for i, [c. , (x ) _ , (x ) , m _ l. t~y . _. t t — o . _ i i is budget feasibl e if x i i . „ i ^ n a) c = w + Ex > t~ , . mi mi i b ib ra .. ib , . . - b) pm _, = p ra - p x - p x + p i x (t) -- F t t+1 *t t _t_t ~t_t *t t = 7 < t where m. , = m"*" . 3 -1 1 A consumption plan for consumer i is optimal if it is budget feasible and it is a u maximizer (over the set of all budget feasible consumption plan of i). An equilibrium is a pair of prices and feasible consumtion plans (i.e., budget feasible for each i) , namely . 6,+N ., 8 +N UP,,' P,.* PJ f _, » (c , (x ) fl , (x ) , m ) J sucn that ~c _r l t- 1 ~ -, t t— for some t , it would contradict to the mo no tonicity F t t-1 i i — j m m of u and the fact that " m = m ' , Also if p = and p > i the above conditions are violated. mdly, the set of feasible plans is homogeneous of degree zero (for p' , p and p for any t) . Therefore we can normalize prices in each period. We can do it by taking .p = p v. E t ~r for all t . Next, we shall see that P T (t) = p.( T ) and P (t) = p" for ail r , t < t - p (t) < p (x) and p (t) < p are obvious, for otherwise consumer X — T 1 — i with 6. < t < t < 6.+N can sell the good (bond) at t and obtain the b b arbitrage profit. Also p (t) ' p (t+1) and p (t) > p (t+1) and T — 1 t — T b IP p_(t-l) > p for all t otherwise by the equilibrium conditions, there T — exist- i with 9 < t < t+1 < 6 +N ar 'd m > who can make arbitrage i = - - i t profit by buying the good (or bond). Proceeding by induction, p (t) = p (t) and p_(t) = p" for all t and r . Given the equilibrium in the Appendix define x = l x (t) for all *- t < t j n i , the consumption plan c with c = (c )._■,• Then this consumption allocation m with normalized prices and p are a competitive equilibrium in the economy described in the text. •* : Given the equilibrium in the text (p, c) , let us find an equilibrium « ~q in Tii m of the economy in the Appendix. Define p (t) = p , p (t) = p , p = p XT t for all t and t . Let c = c for all i and t . t t Assume p > , for the case p =0 can be treated analogously. By the monotonicity of u , p >> for all t . Hence for any arbitrary index k for good, p, > for all t . Fix the index k . Let x (t) = kt ~ for i , t , t , and let x. (t) = i and t , and all x > t+1 if j ^ k and all T ; t+2 if j = k 7-4 Let x (1) = x for . . .et P.C . be the set of households with p (Dxj^l) - p'm = -; < be those with p^CDx^CL) - iyn 1 - 5* > . E e* . a is well defined [ ' N i ~ P, ~ itt~ ~ rr — i -j for p m = p Z m > Lon. :h i./ e x* (1) = 6' /p and for each i € F ' . Let c /:,, . By construction, 1 2k 1 1 k p x* - p^m 1 < ana = . Define in* = (p^ 1 - p.O/ P m . ~ -L ~ L 1 - J. ill -i i Given m , x for all i and t < T - 1 , define ^ i- i "1 x (T) = x + x,L,(r -1) . Define. P„, as the set of households with L L i. I 1 * T*l - ,-< T (T) - p T K. T p T (T)x,_,(T) - p"ra v __. = t^ < and N„, as the sec of households with p m (T)x_(T) - p„cC . = 5_ > . Proceeding exactly the sarae way as before, T T T T— 1 t — we can find x.„ and m^ which satisfies both budget condition and market "a. X clearing conditio . Ev induction, we car. construct x and m for all i and t . ■- - This is an equilibrium in the Appendix. erences [1] Arrow, K. J., and F. Hahn, Ltd \ An aly sis , Hoiden-Day, San Francisco, 197i. [2] Benvenistt M., "A lomplete Characterization of Efficiency for a General Capita] Ac. ion Model," Journal or Economic ... 325-337. [3] Cass, D., and M. E. Yaari, "A Re-Examination of the Pure Consumption Loans Model," J.P.E. (1966) pp. 353-367. [4] Gale, D. s "Pure Exchange Equilibrium of Dynamic Economic Models," J ournal of Economic T heory 6, (1973) pp. 12-36. [5] Hayashi, T., "Monetary Equilibrium in Two Classes of Stationary Economies," Review o f E conomic Studies 3& (1976) pp. 269-284. [6] Okuno, M. s "On A Monetary Equilibrium in a Generation Overlapping Economy," (1975) Department of Economics, University of Illinois, Urbana, Illinois. [7] Samueison, ? . , "An Exact Consumption-Loan Model of Interest with or Without the Social Contrivance of Money," JPE, (1958). w