THE FALLACIES OF FREE TRADE: A PAPER READ BEFORE THE DRIFFIELD FAEMERS' CLUB, BY THE LATE JAMES HARBISON, MERCHANT, OF GREAT DRIFFIELD, EAST YORKSHIRE, On the 9 til of Decejnher, 1&51, WITH EXPLANATORY NOTES AND EURTBER REMARKS BY HIS SON, JAMES HABBISON, LONDON. OCTOBER, 1881. [Entered at Stationers' Hall. All rights resewed.] LONDON : W. S. JOHNSON, " NASSAU STEAM PRESS," GO, ST. MARTIN'S LANE, W.C. 1881. INTRODUCTORY REMARKS The animated discussions at present taking place in all parts of the country have induced me to issue the following Paper, which was read hy my Father, the late James Harrison, merchant, of Driffield, East Yorkshire, to the Driffield Farmers' Club, on the 9th December, 1851. The events of the last 30 years have naturally modified the full effect of many of the evils which he apprehended. He could not, of course, have anticipated the advance in corn prices, or, rather, the retarding of still lower ones, caused by the great discoveries of gold in Australia and California ; the Eussian War of 1853 to 1856 ; the American Civil War ; the Franco -Italian and Franco- German Wars, and many other events, which, by distracting the attention of the people of foreign countries to other matters, withheld them from that keen competition, not only for the trade of their own lands, but for our home trade, upon which they now appear to have entered with such powers and opportunities as to be most in- jurious to every merchant, manufacturer, and producer in this kingdom, and which, if not regulated by prudent legislation, upon the same reciprocal principles as influence men in their deahngs with each other, will, I firmly believe, and much fear, fully justify the most gloomy forebodings of the author of the " Fallacies of Free Trade." JAMES HABEISON. London, October, 1881. A 2 THE FALLACIES OF FREE TRADE. -:o:- I AM well aware that an apology is due from me for ventming to address you on so important a subject as the recent changes in our commercial legislation ; and, believe me, it is only because I am convinced (fi'om a lengthened and somewhat extensive experience of mercantile as well as farming pursuits''') that the welfare of every individual in this kingdom is intimately con- Weifore of all nected with the prosperity of agriculture, that I am emboldened ^^iJS'^gricSi. to take this step. In doing so I am well aware that I shall tiire. render myself liable to all the scandal and abuse which the Free Trade Party and their press are such proficients in.f If, how- ever, I can succeed in showing only one of my hearers these Satisfied if can miscalled Free Trade principles in their just and proper light, SnehJarerf^^ my object will have been served, and I shall feel that the labour involved in the compilation of such an array of evidence has not been in vain. It is a difficult matter to bring the fallacies of Free Trade into Every i^edic- a reasonable compass, because everyone of the many predictions Siers f afii- of Free Traders has been entirely falsified ; but in order to select ^'^^' a few, and especially as regards the price of corn, I will first refer you to Peel's reply to Lord George Bentinck, in 1846, when Peel's reply to he said, " He did not expect the price of wheat would fall BeutinckSf materially, and consequently there was no need of a measure to ^^^'^^^ averages, regulate afresh the tithe averages." And again on the IGth February: "I shall be disappointed if there is any such great Peel on prices, reduction in the price of wheat, in consequence of more extended importation, as seriously to injure the agricultural interest." * He had been 30 years in active business both in English and Foreign grain. — J. H. t At that time party feehng was very strong, and it was too much the fashion of the liberal press to let abuse take the place of argument. — J. H. THE FALLACIES OF Average prices preceding and subsequent to Free Trade. Richard Cobden. Peel returned as the repre- sentative of agriculture. Peel advised continued im- provements. Peel : no im- portation under 51s. Peel: price should be 54s. to 58fi. Average from 1843 to 1848, 55s. Id. Sidney Herbert, See page 13. Exports from Odessa for the month of October, 1850, 180,000 quarters See page 13. Stock at Odessa in October, 1851. See page 23. See page 34. Sir James Graham* Now, you must bear in mind that the average of the four pre- ceding years was 61s. lOc?., whereas for 1849 and 1850 it has been 42.9. M., and the average of this year will be still lower/'' But Peel's most remarkable speech was in 1842, when he was in possession of his calm and sober judgment, and had not yielded to the fallacious iDromises of Free Trade, enforced upon an unwilling people and legislature, mainly by what Peel him- self afterwards called "the unadorned" eloquence of Eichard Cobden. In 1842, the great Prime Minister returned to represent the agricultural interest in the House of Commons, said : " I do say it is for the public advantage that I tell the farmer, ' Continue your improvements, I cannot undertake to guarantee to you by legislation a particular price.' But this I will say, ' That as loiKj as wheat is under 51s. pt'r quarter^ you shall not he exj^osed to the importation of foreign corn.' Now, with reference to the probable remunerating price, I should say that for the protec- tion of the agricultural interest, the price of wheat ought to vary from 54.S'. to 58s., and I, for one, should never wish to see it vary more than I have said." It is a remarkable fact that the average of the six years following was 55s. Id. But I will now refer you to what passed in Parliament in 1846, when the present ruinous unfair Free Trade measures were passing through the House. The Honorable Sidney Herbert said : " One lolace from which a very large supply of corn is expected, and which might, it is supposed, interfere materially with our own produce, is Odessa. I have made enquiries as to the state of the markets there, and I find that the price has frequently been 30s. to 32s. per quarter. At Malta also, which is supplied with Odessa wheat, the average price is about 32s. to 33s., and the cost of the transit of that wheat to this country would bring it to a price at which it could scarcely enter into competition with our own. You will find it impossible that any great quantites of corn can be brought here, from either Dantsic or Odessa, to compete successfully with our home produce, and those are the two great ports from which supplies are expected. The exports of flour and wheat from the United States have been gradually diminishing for the last 15 years, and it is now time that we should allay the apprehen- sions which exist on this subject, and that we should prevent the agriculturists of this country from being scared from their pro- priety by alarms which are founded in delusion." Sir James Graham, who a few years before had said, " The corn laws would never be abolished ; that, if they were, this was the last country he would wish to inhabit, and that despotism itself could not inflict a greater cruelty on the poor than the system * The average from 1845 to 1848, the four years preceding Free Trade was o4.s. 2d., and from 1849 to 1852, the four subsequent years, 405. llrf.— J. H* FREE TRADE. 7 of Free Trade," had by that time found reasons (satisfactory, doubtless, to himself) to change his opinion ; and on the 10th February, 1846, he said: "I do not beheve the abolition of Protection will materially lower the price of corn," and, on the 27tli March : " It is notorious that we have no trade whatever See page 16. in corn with France,"" and on the 11th May in the same year he further said, " If this measure was passed he did not believe that any considerable fall below that of the last three years would take place in the price of corn." Sir George Clark also stated that " English prices would not sir George fall to the continental level, but continental prices would be raised to the English level. "t On the 23rd March, 1846, Mr. Childers (Lord FitzwilHam's chiiders., member for Malton, and wdio himself was once a speculator in wheat) said, " If this measure passed and a Free Trade in corn were sanctioned, although we might draw our supplies from see note to Dantsic, Odessa, and other places where corn was cheap, he was p^s^i^. satisfied, from the great demand which existed in this country, Sec page 12. that prices would not fall below what they were under the i3resent system." Lord Grey also said, "He did not expect there would be a see note to great fall in the price of corn, but that an average price would page 6. be produced not greatly lower than the average of the last 12 years." But what said Mr. Dennison, one of the members for tli6 genm^on at West Eiding of Yorkshire, who a few weeks ago, at Sheffield, uttered such strange inconsistencies about the benefits of Free Trade ? Surely this cannot be the'same man who, on the 26th Febru- ary, 1846, only 5 years ago, said *' He was convinced the corn laws Dennison: were for the benefit of the working classes ; the electors of the benefit of West Eiding had returned him in the belief that he would Jj^gggJ^ maintain the corn laws, and he felt as much compelled to keep his word as if it had been his bond, nay, more, for he might Sturne?to break his bond, — his word he would not break." support Corn And what says Mr. Wilson, of The Economist, the member for Westbury, a man whose calculations and figures have been much lauded by the Free Traders, but who has shown a greater amount of ignorance about the value of grain, and especially about the cost of its transit, than anyone could suppose possible, particularly on the part of the editor of a paper which claims to lead on financial and fiscal questions. Mr. Wilson wrote: "Our belief ^jJ^°^o^^*^<3 * In 1849 we imported from France 742,023 quarters, the lafgest quantity from any one country in that year, and, in 1850, tne import reached the enormous total of 1,145,405 quarters. — J. H. t This has proved in practice partially correct, thereby establishing the fact, only imperfectly grasped by many, but which cannot be too often inculcated, that any nation exporting its sinylus produce pays a large proportion, in some cases the whole, of the import duties levied by nations willing (but not anxious) to receive such surplus.— J. H. THE FALLACIES OF Anticipating higher prices tinder Free Trade. Wilson: pro- duce should not be below cost of pro- duction. The Times : Agricultural prices below remunerative level. is that, if we had had Free Trade in corn since 1815, the average price of the whole period, would have been higher than it has been ; and that if, for the next 20 years, the whole protec- tive system be abandoned, the average price of wheat will be higher than it has been for the last seven years (viz. 52s. 2fL), or than it would be in future, with a continuance of the present system." Mr. Wilson further writes: "It never can be advantageous" for the community at large, that they should consume the produce of any one party, below the cost of its production." Why, The Times of the 7th July last says, " It is very true that, for nearly two and a half years, agricultural prices have been below a renumerative level, " and, as you are well aware, prices are now much lower than during that period. Loss to farmers Mr. Villiers stated in the House of Commons, that the deprecia- lion^s annually, tioii ill the value of agricultural produce, under the present system, amounted to the enormous sum of 91 millions per annum, and Mr. M'Gregor, M.P. for Glasgow, and Vice- Secretary to the Board of Trade, estimated the reduction at two millions sterling per week. Assuming these figures to be correct, how can any mere remission of taxation (however extensive) help you materially; and is it not really pitiful to see how all these facts belie the former predictions of the Free Traders ? Mr. Tooke, another great authority, assumes the price would be 45s., and says the quantity we should probably import at that price might, perhaps, approach to 1,500,000 to 2,000,000 quarters,''' and if there were a fixed duty of 8s. per quarter, he very much doubts if that quantity could be imported. But how stands the fact ? In place of 2,000,000 quarters annu- ally, the import from the 26th June, 1846, to the 5th November, 1847, a little over 16 months, was 7,229,916 quarters! wheat, and the total of all kinds of grain was 16,331,882 quarters. Colonel Thompson, who had for many years advocated the Eepeal of the Corn Laws, when he saw the time for their abolition drawing near, appeared so delighted at the prospect of an ad- vance in the price of grain, and the pleasure of filling his pockets thereby, that he refused to let any of his farms on lease, as he said he fully expected higher rents when the Corn Laws were repealed; perhaps he was encouraged in this feeling by that Apostle of Free Trade and Universal Peace — Eichard Cobden, who, having received a special retaining fee of £70,000 from the distressed manufacturers to cry out for cheap bread (and, as they hoped, consequently lower wages), stated: "That under the i^rci and tenant Eepeal of the Coiii Laws the landlord and tenant would both both better off ^^ better off; there would be no complaining poor in our streets, Eemission of taxation inadequate. Tooke's esti- mate of price and importa- tion. See also page 13. Colonel Thompson. Cobden £70,000. Richard Cobden: Land * The imports of the four years following Free Trade, 1849 to 1853, were 145,857,469 cwts., equal to an everage of 8,103,193 quarters per year. — J. H. t The imports for the last four years, 1877 to 1880, have amounted to 526,836,146 cwts., or equal to an average of 29,268,672 qrs. per year.— J. H. FREE TRADE. 9 no Income Tax, no Property Tax [what bitter irony all this is], no Poor Rates, but all classes would be benefited by the adop- tion of Free Trade." But I should weary you were I to attempt to recite one-tenth of the nonsense uttered and of the gross ignorance displayed by the people who were compelled (by the frightful threats of the Corn Law League and the hypocrisy of Sir Robert Peel, the Hyioocrisy of trusted leader of the Conservative Party) to carry the Repeal of ^^^^' the Corn Laws, their conduct calling forth the memorable words of the ever-to-be-lamented Lord George Bentinck : ''There never Lord George had been more gross delusion than that which the Government Bentinck. encom-aged." I have hitherto merely stated a few of the opinions expressed as to the probable prices and future supply of grain, and have shown how entirely they have proved to be at variance with the actually realised facts. I could now refer you to what was said would be the result in Faiicacious decreasing crime, encouraging trade, giving contentment to the ^re'e'Tradfrs poor, checking agitation, and, in fact, turning this Protectionist as to decrease Wilderness into a Free Trade Paradise. But it will suffice to °^ '^^■^^^' **'• notice briefly how all those exuberant prognostications have com- pletely failed to fulfil their promise. And, first, as regards the decrease of crime. The Times of the 4th March last says : "At Gaol caiendai- Chelmsford the gaol calendar presents a fearful increase of ^* ^^'^^'^'^'''■'^• crime, there being 76 prisoners for trial, and nearly the whole of the cases are of the most atrocious description. Lord Chief Lord chief Justice Campbell said he was horror-stricken in looking over campbeii. the calendar, and so much weighed down by observing the extent of crime that was to be disposed of, that he could do no more than ask the grand jury at once to retire to their duties." The same paper quotes : " Oxford has the unusual number of Oxford. 65 prisoners, several of whom are charged with serious offences, and at Winchester there are 146 prisoners for trial." And, Winchester, further, in The Times of the 27th October last, the editor, after lamenting the increase of crime, writes : " In examples of brutal Times on crime acts, ferocious savagery, of murderous outrage, and systematic "^ ^°^'^°"- disrespect for human life, we very much doubt whether London can be surpassed by any city on this side of the Atlantic." The same paper also quotes the remarkable fact that, even in increase of these days of Free Trade and universal prosperity, Manchester cist'of pSr\u has begun to make loud complaints about the increase of poor, Manchester, as she has now to maintain every week 1,212 more families than in 1846 (only five years since), and at an increased weekly cost of £139 10s. And the editor further remarks that, ''ks Times: Manchester has come off so decidedly the best in the late war beSteJat of interests, and has feathered her nest so entirely at the ex- the cost of aii pense of the community at large [pray mark this, and from The "^^'^^ ^^e^'^^*^ Times, too], any complaint she may make will meet with more derision than sympathy." 10 THE FALLACIES OF Beverley But to come nearer home. In our own county you may, prolonged. perhaps, remember that the Beverley Sessions for Michaelmas, 1850, were continued until the Friday morning, and the same sessions in Leeds had an unusual number of cases, and which Leeds Mercury The Leeds Mevcuvij attributed to the low price of food, encouraging of food. ^ ^ intoxication, and thence crime. In the same paper, of the 8th November last, you will find the editor states that the ratio Leeds Mercurij of Clime ill the Wcst Kiding exceeds that of the East Biding by andmcrease of ^^I^Q^^^ 10 per ceiit., and that of the North Riding by about 23 per cent., and also that a meeting of the West Biding magis- trates had been held, to consider the advisability of employing number^ of additional police. I believe there is also at present an unusual prisoners in number of prisoiicrs in York Castle. York Castle. Amoiigst other crimes of violence we read of upwards of 60 Incendiary incendiary fires reported in The Mark Lane Exjrress alone during the last six weeks, and, as regards minor offences, your own recent daily experience will have sliowii you that the country is Increase of pestered with more vagrants than was ever before known to be vagrants. ^j^^ ^^^^^ Ireland. But we wiU HOW turn to Ireland. The expected increase of population there, the depressed and distressed condition of the Irish peasantry, the recent famine, the reports of that calamity being highly coloured (nay, even in many cases manufactured) for party pm-poses, — these were all urged by the Free Traders as strong and cogent reasons for the repeal of the Corn Laws. But what has followed the abolition of the duties ? I will read you the following remarks from The Times of the 7th October, 1851 : See page 42, in " The Celtic exodus continues to be the marvel of the day. nSkl^o^n t he ^rom morning to night, h'om the arrival of the first trains before Fallacies of daybreak to the last which reach in the evening, nothing scarcely fo^^diiSnution^ is to be seen along the line of splendid quays wdiich adorn of popiiiation^ Dublin but the never-ending stream of emigrants flying, as if from Ireland, from a 2'estilence, to seek the means of existence which their own inhospitable land denies to labour, and the modest ambition to live and die beyond the gloomy precincts of the Irish workhouse. Numbers of these adventurers are of the better class of farmers, and appear to lack none of the appliances requisite towards the bettering of their condition at the other side of the Atlantic — a liealthy and more than comely progeny, a good supply of the most requisite articles of furniture and clothing, with some small capital to commence operations. The majority, however, have no such advantages to boast of, for a more miserable, sickly- looking, and poverty-stricken set of creatures it would be impossible to imagine even, hundreds of them — men, women, and children^being unprovided with shoes to their feet, and the females with no better covering for their heads than the com* monest cotton handkerchiefs in lieu of bonnets, while not one in 50 could lay claim to the luxury of a cloak as a protection against the inclemency of the coming winter. All hardships appear as FREE TRADE. 11 nothing, so that the one great end may be achieved — flight from the Irish shores, no matter at what risk, or with what amount of danger and privation in perspective. Day after day vessels leave this port freighted with their limnan cargoes, without any diminution being perceptible in the throngs of peasantry which swarm the streets in the neighbourhood of the quays. Three sailed at the close of last week with their full complements on board ; three more have just come into dock, and it is expected that they, too, will clear out before Saturday next, if not sooner. Judging from present appearances, it is more than probable that The popuia- the severest months of the season will have little or no effect in ^^a^cUminished checking the prevailing and altogether unparalleled mania. The upwards of 'rush' from the southern ports, too, is rather on the increase n^-fiio^'^ li^Je* than otherwise, and is far and away on a more extensive scale ib31. See than we in the metropolis have any idea. On Saturday a steamer ^^^^ left Waterford for Liverpool with nearly 400 emigrants on board, whose ultimate destination is the ' h-ee land of the west.' The day was intensely severe, but wind and weather, be they what they may, have no terrors for these voluntary exiles. The average numbers which sail from the port of Waterford alone since the season set in appear to be at the rate of 500 weekly. Respecting the progress of emigration in Ulster The Western Star publishes the following extract of a letter received from a gentle- man who has been travelling through the northern province : ' Having had occasion within the past three weeks to traverse a considerable part of Ulster, I made it my business to enquire, as I went along, into the condition of the small farmers — a race of as industrious a people as are to be found on the habitable globe. Having been heretofore led to believe that they were most favourably circumstanced as regarded their position with the landlords, and fi'om other causes, I must own I was not at all prepared for the almost general feeling of discontent which exhibited itself. I was much struck with the remarks of an intelligent middle-aged man, the occupier of a farm of about 30 acres, who after informing me that he formed one of a party of 70 persons, comprising a dozen famihes, who were preparing to emigrate to Australia, thus proceeded : Before next spring is over many hundreds of the people of this province will have quitted it for ever, and many others will follow ; we have always been loyal to England, even in the worst of times, and although all that is now forgotten, the day may come when the Govern- ment will regret that they allowed the interests of the industrious northmen to be sacrificed to such an extent as to force them to leave the homes of their fathers to seek a resting place in a foreign land.' " Now I contend that this single article in itself — and the truth of which is being ratified and confirmed every day — fully answers all the volumes of rubbish that have been written extolling the advantages of Free Trade, and may be well kept on record as 12 THE FALLACIES OF Expatriation of one-fourth of the inhabi- tants of Ii-eland. Diminution of population in rural parishes hi the south of England- Decrease in the population of villages in the East Biding of Yorkshire. Emigration. Poverty in manufacturin£ districts. Great Exhibi- tion of 1851— an exposure of the secrets of our trade. See Sidney Herbert's pre- dictions, pages 6 and 7 ; also Childers, page 7; Sir G.Clark, page 7. BeeTooke's estimate, page 8. Sturges, Bir- mingham, ridiculed the idea of large Biipplies and low prices. a sufficient answer to all the abuse and contumely which the promoters of that system have not hesitated to expend liberally upon the farmers and all others who ventured to question the correctness of their theories. The startling fact of the ex- patriation of one-fourth of the inhabitants of Ireland as a first instalment of the great benefits of Free Trade, should rouse all true patriots to endeavour to check the suicidal policy of their rulers ere it be too late. We need not, however, go to Ireland to observe the effect which recent legislation has had upon the poor. There are several parishes in the South of England where the population has so decreased, that the farmers have had great difficulty in securing the harvest ; and in our own neighbomdiood you will find, on reference to the last Census, a decrease in the population of the following villages : Garton, 28 ; Elmswell, 24 ; Butter- wick, 11 ; Cowlam, 27 ; Helperthorpe, 14 ; Kelk, 13 ; Lowthorpe, 25 ; Skerne, 19 ; Middleton, 10 ; Sledmere, 4 ; Southburn, 5 ; and Watton, 14. The " Bold peasantry their country's pride," written of by the poet, appears to be yielding to a rapid progress of disintegration, under the baneful effects of a system which, denying them a home in the land of their birth, drives them to foreign climes for a livelihood, " While shouting folly hails them from the shore." But it is not only in the rural districts that the picture is gloomy ; if we may credit the reports from the pawnbrokers' shops in the manufacturing districts, we shall find that, even there, the great benefits of Free Trade have not left the labouring classes with much surplus cash in hand, as they have, during the summer, been pawning their little treasures, nay, even their household necessaries (although the rail fare has been as low as five shillings to London and back), to enable them to visit that reckless exposure of every secret of their native industry to the intelligent, adaptive, and appreciative foreigner, recently held in Hyde Park, under the name of the Great Exhibition. Now, as regards the supply of corn (it is unnecessary to say anything to you about the iDiice), I have previously named the enormous arrivals in 1846 and 1847, but you will find that in the year 1850, the two ports of Ibrail and Galatz alone shipped upwards of one million quarters of wheat to this country, and that on the 3rd March, 1851, the London circulars state the arrival oft' the coast of Black Sea wheat alone to amount to 350,000 quar- ters, and the total quantity of grain imported during the twelve months ending June, 1851, was eight-and-a-quarter millions of quarters, and upwards of five million hundredweights of flour. Messrs. Sturge, of Birmingham, are leading people in the corn trade, and when the Free Trade measures were passing through Parliament, they stigmatised as foolish the expectation of large supplies or low prices, on the ground that the freight and FREE TRADE. 13 charges from Odessa would usually average about 20s. per Freights from quarter, whereas vessels are now offering at 8s. iSd. In 1849, ^tlft ^^^ the freight was 7s., and on the 3rd April, 1850, the same firm consumption writes that "The fr-eight fc-om Odessa had fallen to 5s. per J^^^J^^^Jg quarter,-'' that the consumption of bread in the manufacturing surplus corn districts had decreased, and although there was no profit on uuitedTing- importing corn, still it would come to be sold at the best d. per quarter ; Avoragosat in 1825, 17s. 3^?.; in 1826, 18s. 6^^. ; in 1827, 22s. 3^/.; and S^nriS? £i-om 1883 to 1837, 21s. to 25s.- The evidence of Mr. Sandars before the House of Lords shows, that if 15s. per quarter could be insured to the Pohsh landowners, the growth would increase, and the quantity that could be sent would be inexhaustible ; and as a proof that this opinion is well founded, I will read an extract from the Times of the 29th October, 1851: "Advices from Odessa state ^^^^^ l^y^^se^^^V- an expectation exists that large supplies of wheat will be for- beWs proguos- warded from that port to the United Kingdom, the harvest ticatious. having been abundant and the quality superior to that of any former season. Prices had been declining for some time, and although the stock in hand was 730,000 quarters, further large supplies were expected before the close of the season." On the 15th October I had a letter from Alexandria reporting ^'f/^^^^^.^j, supplies as very abundant, and stating that orders might be executed for the best wheat at 16s. per quarter, beans 18s. to 14s., and barley 9s. 6tZ., all free on board ; and on the 5th November last I had further advices, that upwards of 100 vessels had arrived out, and were all chartered to load grain for England at fi-om Q>s. 6d. to 7s. nd. per quarter freight,— so that, you see, ^Jt'^gJ'o'j^si^jf.^ low prices in England do not stop supplies. It is therefore piies. see evident that a fixed duty would not bring the price to anything ^/^^g'^^^^^'^' ''* near what you were promised by Peel in 1842, and which all your opponents then thought low enough. At the same time there can be but little hope of assistance fi'om any advance in prices, as such help could, from causes which I have already sketched, be only temporary. Confirming my views on this subject, I will read you an extract from the circular of the largest house in the grain trade in Scotland. After giving the usual market quotations, etc., they say: " The crops generally at home (and, of wheat especially, in England) are larger, and of better quality, than last year ; we have consider- ably larger granary stocks of foreign wheat than at this time twelve months ; America, the Black Sea, and Egypt have plenty to spare, and we apprehend France, too, will contribute both flour and wheat to our supplies ; we have thus no scarcity to ax)preliend betwixt and spring, after which prices will be governed by the appearance of the season, and the importations to be * I have been unable to obtain the average price at Dantsic during the last few years, but it is sufiiciently dearer to prove my assertions at pages 29, 30, 31 and 32 of " Further Komarks on the Fallacies of Free Trade," that the duties formerly levied at our ports were paid by the foreigners, or at least a very large portion of them. — J. H. 24 THE FALLACIES OF expected from every quarter, which will then be opened to us. Free Trade has given an imjndse to cultivation throughout the world, the surplus of every country is poured out on Britain, and while this continues ive cannot look for greatly improved prices, till such time as the British farmer is driven from being longer able to cultivate successfully" Advocacy of The sliding scale, if properly arranged and honestly worked, sliding scale. -^ ^j^^ ^^^^ ^^^ ^^i parties, although I know it was much abused when in operation, and also that those abuses went unchecked by the Government of the day because they were anxious to bring the law into disrepute, with a view to the adoption of some of the new-fangled theories which have since prevailed. Still, Eleven million the admission of above 11 million quarters of wheat between wTearfm- 1828 and 1841, at an average duty of 5s. Qd. per quarter, may i89?aid'?84i^^ ^^ taken as a proof that the sliding scale did not work very at'an average badly for the coiisumcr. It is a remarkable fact, but one well dutyof ss.GcZ. i^j-^Q^j-^ ^Q the corn trade, that nearly all the firms that were known to be concerned in false or spurious returns have been obliged to go through the bankrupt or insolvent list, thus proving the truth of the old adage (and which will apply to Governments as well as to individuals) that "honesty is the best policy." If, then, experience has shown some difficulty in getting correct corn Fanners to retums from the grain trade, let us now try the farmers, and let ^turus?^" them give in the returns. Exclude all the ports, and any place where it is possible the same bulk might be returned twice, and let the average really represent the price which the farmer actually receives. Then, when the price of English wheat is below 40s., prohibit the importation of Foreign corn altogether, as I contend the consumer has no right to go abroad when he can get a cheap supply of home-grown produce. Scheme for At 40s. let the duty be 10s., decreasing Is. as the price advances sliding scale. ^^^^ ^nd at 50s. let the duty cease entirely; this would not only save the farmers from ruin, but would encourage the manu- facturers by increasing the purchasing power of their home customers, and would enable the millers to supply the poor with good flour below 40s. per sack, and which would be a lower XDrice than in the good old times of our forefathers, with whom Average price the average price of wheat from 1646 to 1688, a period of 43 i646'to^i688.°™ years, was 50s. Qd. per quarter, and who in 1670 passed a Corn Law corii law imposing a duty of 16s. per quarter on corn, when the passed in 1670. ^^^.g ^f ^j^g^t fell to 43s. U. or under. Speech of Lord I am afraid I liave trespassed too long upon your time, but Naas. still I feel I must add the eloquent peroration to Lord Naas's excellent speech on this subject, recently delivered by him in the House of Lords. He said : " Of one thing I am cer- tain, the iDrinciples I have this night humbly endeavoured to advocate are everlasting and indestructible. I cannot FREE TRADE. 25 imagine that a system mider which, with God's blessing, England had attained to a degree of power and glory mi- Imown to history, can merely, by Act of Parliament, be swept from the hearts and recollections of the people of this comitry. I cannot believe that the nation will soon forget a system which made England the queen of commerce and the mistress of the seas — a system which made your merchant princes, and enabled you to send your sons to govern, with Imperial sway, distant nations in every quarter of the globle — a system based upon a principle implanted in every bosom, and so deeply rooted in our hearts, that it finds expression in one of the homeliest proverbs in our tongue — ' The first law of nature — self-preservation.' " And finally, in the hope of stimulating the landlords to assist you in the good work of restoring the languishing trade of the country, I will conclude with an extract from the letter of Mr. G. F. Young, M.P., to the Landed Pro- prietors of the United Kingdom. He writes: "Is it, I ven- Letter of g. f. tm*e to ask, just, is it generous, is it safe, for the landed m?p!^^' ^^'^'' aristocracy to stand coldly aloof in selfish isolation, while the tenant-farmers are bearing the brunt of the struggle in which they are engaged, for the preservation (if my reasoning be right) equally of your estates as of their own property and position ? Can you fail to perceive that, if tenants are ruined, labourers reduced to mendicancy and landlords impoverished and degraded, a social revolution will be consummated and a political revolution will be inevitable ? In the name, then, of all that is honourable, prudent, and just — as you would retain the inheritance you have received from your ancestors ; as you would avert fi-om society the mischiefs which separation between classes (whose interests are identical) must engender, and would preserve your country from the degradation and danger of becoming dependent on foreign nations for subsistence ; as you would discharge the public and private duties devolving on you from the station in life to which it has pleased God to call you — I beseech you, even at this the eleventh hour, to hold out the right hand of fellowship to your suffering, hitherto neglected, and now naturally indignant tenantry, and to take the lead, as honom-ably becomes you, in the struggle they are so manfully maintaining for the restoration of just and equal protection to every British interest against the withering blight of unlimited foreign competition." FURTHER REMARKS ON THE FALLACIES OF FREE TRADE. BY JAMES HAKRISON, LONDON. The foregoing pages deal so fully with the question of Free Trade as it stood at the time of their composition, that (beyond the notes which I have ventured to introduce) it is scarcely necessary to make any remark upon them. The flight of 30 years since they were written, has however, produced such changes, that the son of the author of " The Fallacies of Free Trade" (holding and endorsing, after an equally lengthened experience of business, his late father's opinions) may, perhaps, be allowed to place on record his views of the present position of the controversy, and to contribute his humble quota towards its discussion. The greatest difficulty experienced by the present " advocates of speech of f.b. measures for the encouragement of native industry," has been so Jp^^hSI."^^^'' well sketched by Mr. F. B. Grotrian, of Hull, that I cannot do ' ' better than quote his words : " There was so much to be threshed out before one could hope to get hold of the minds of the general public — such an enormous mass of confusing and misleading figures and statistics — that was to say, correct and true in them- selves, but confusing and misleading when tied up with false theories — theories which one would hold to be obviously false, but which had got to be so accepted as gospel — that most people adopted the easy road of swallowing them right off, rather than the narrow and tortuous lanes of thought and reason." The first and most important error appears to be a blind adhesion to the Policy of " Free Trade at any price,'' without mak- ing allowance for the changes which have occurred during the thirty years which have elapsed since the adoption of the system, and without taking into consideration how far the promises of its promoters have been realised, or the predictions of its opponents fulfilled. 28 THE FALLACIES OF Cobden's prophecy, Disraeli's prediction Letter from J. B. D. Tolle mache, Esq., M.P. To quote from The Globe newspaper: "Thirty years ago Mr. Cobden declared the time was at hand when other nations would be compelled by self-interest and by the reality of our pros- perity to follow our example and adopt Free Trade. About the same time, as Sir Edward Sullivan pointed out in a recent article, Mr. Disraeli said in the House of Commons, ' The time will come when the working classes of England will come to you on bended knees and pray you to undo your present legislation.' This was in 1852, and now in 1881 we can judge from the speeches of econo- mists and the cry of the public who was right in his forecast." And the short but able letter of Mr. J. E. D. Tollemache may well be added: "Fair Trade. — To the editor of The Morning Post. — Sir, — Many people daily read with great interest the letters that appear in your columns on the subject of Fair Trade. I trust you will continue to use your powerful influence in the same direction — viz., of showing how disastrously the effect of Free Trade has been, and is now operating, on every industry in this country. The United States are oiow the most jirosperous community on the face of the earth, and at the same time the most highly 2)rotected one. Certain Leaders of the Liberal party have long misled the public mind, but there is no doubt that the working class — and also every other class — are now beginning to perceive how completely they have been gulled. Mr. Cobden's prophecy that other nations would soon follow our example when we adopted Free Trade, has been falsified to an absurd degree. Li fact they have done just the reverse, and are now laughing at us for having been such dupes. — Your obedient servant, J. R. D. Tollemache. — 8, St. James's-square, Sept. 8." Surely there is no reason why the dissapointed Free Trader of 1846 should not become the hopeful Fair Trader of 1881. The actual position of affairs has, however, been so ably and succinctly sketched by Lord Borthwick in his letter to The Times, of the 6th September, that it may be re-quoted here with advantage. He writes : — "British Trade. — To the editor of The Times. — Sir, — In reading Mr. Challis's letter on British trade in The Times of the 29th ult., I question whether a committee such as he suggests would much aid us towards a solution of the difficulties which at present em- barrass the controversy for and against Free Trade. A short review of matters at the time of the Corn Law League may, however, possibly help to account for the seeming change in public opinion as to the unqualified advantages of the system, and for the getting up of fair trade and other leagues consequent on this change. The Corn Law League of 1846 was, no doubt, League of 1846. the sequence to the fact becoming more and more evident every year that our population had been growing beyond the means of maintaining it from the agricultural products at home, owing to the continuous increase for years past of our manu- Corn Law FREE TRADE. 29 facturing industries. Abundant and easily accessible coal and Coai and iron iron in the hands of a naturally energetic, ingenious, and accessible, mechanical people had been giving us the power of working to advantage for others as well as ourselves, and at rates, too, which gave us the command at that time of the markets of the world. The demand for our exports was in effect the employment and actual rcmon cVetre of an ever-increasing industrial class among us, till by degrees the numbers came so to press on our own power to supply food from land at home that relief fi"om existing restrictions on its supply from abroad became imperative, and the Corn Law League originating in the manufacturing districts gave force and cohesion to the movement. Our manufacturing industries and great trading propensities otherwise acting and re-acting on each other for the better part of the last century, now leave us with numbers nearly double what can be supplied from our own agricultural resources. As it happened, the Railways and development of railways and steam navigation w^as coincident cident^-Jdth^^"' with the adoption of Free Trade in England, and these, all Free Trade, acting in one direction, gave rise to actual leaps and bounds in our national prosperity fi-om that time forward. During the process, however, we have been gradually teaching and en- couraging in every way our foreign customers to supply them- selves with that which has been the chief cause of our national advance in wealth, numbers, and profitable emplQ^ixient for them, and the inevitable result is now beginning to show itself in an excess of workmen beyond the demand for their labour. I would suggest that the advocates of Free Trade on abstract principles, when establishing their doctrine in practice, over- Control over looked one point in the game, and that was that, while having ov^J'r'^exports.^ dontrol over imports so long as we may choose to exercise any, we have no power whatever over exports beyond what it may be the interest or prejudice of the foreigner to admit or exclude. Export of our manufactures means, as already expressed, the payment of our artisan's wages by the foreign consumers, and import of foreign manufactures, in like manner, means our pay- ing the wages of theirs. Seeing this, American and European nationalities are encouraging now by every means in their power the process of excessive duties on our exports to them, while politely, if not cynically, accepting the correctness and duties of Free Trade, so far as applied by us in our free importation of the results of theirs in competition with and subversion of om* own. The popular mind seems to have been led astray by the tempting dictum that we must be allowed to buy in the cheapest market and sell in the dearest, the corollary being that duties levied on imported goods cost the importing nation the amount of such duties. The individual consumer, no doubt, has to pay the enhanced price ; but the nation collectively has to pay in other taxation exactly so much the less towards the year's revenue as 30 THE FALLACIES OF Purchasers of luxuries exempt from taxation. Theory of dllty paid by con- sumer. Taxing the poor man's bread. A catching title. is represented by the duty assessed. The price, for instance, of tobacco is raised to the consumer probably 20 times its importing price by reason of the customs' duty exacted ; the price of alcohol, let us say, is in like manner affected by the excise duty imposed ; but this is no loss in any reasonable sense to the nation. We require a revenue at present of some 80 millions sterling a year. The consumers of the above severely-taxed commodities con- tribute, I think, in duties paid nearly one-fourth part of this amount to the relief of taxpayers otherwise. The purchasers of French silks, gloves, and wines, of the thousand-and-one various articles of American and continental articles of luxury and fashion, get off comparatively scot free. But were a revenue duty exacted whereby, let us say, five millions only were paid by the Avell-to-do consumers of such fashionable wares into the Exchequer, a gifted Chancellor of the same might be able to cheapen considerably the thirsty operative's pot of beer or pipe of tobacco. Any such duty would fall mainly on foreign goods not of first, if indeed of any, necessity to the masses here ; and goods, besides, comprised of materials which, if brought into this country duty free, could in most cases be equally well, if not also equally cheaply, manufactured by our own artisans. We are in all this, I maintain, burning the candle at both ends in order to support a doctrine conceived in haste and brought forth in iniquity — except adopted by all nations alike. Is it political spleen or cowardice that makes us unable to acknowledge and correct mistakes now being made manifest in the light of results which contradict previous conclusions ? Whichever party in the State may first rise to the occasion, that party, I venture to predict, will be carried shoulder-high into popular favour and joower before long. — I am, sir, your obedient servant, Bortli- wick. — Eavenstone, Sept. G." Speaking at the dinner of the Fair Trade Conference, on the loth September, Sir Algernon Borthwick ably described Free Trade " as a policy which, carried to its logical conclusion, would squander the accumulations of the past, extract those of the pre- sent, and discount those of the future. Mr. Sampson Lloyd c.vphdned Fair Trade to be freedom not only to purchase the pro- ducts of other men's labour, but freedom to dispose of the pro- ducts of their own." A most erroneous theory to be refuted is that which alleges that the amount of a duty is paid by the consumer in the shape of an enhanced price of the commodity to him ; and hence many very good and kind-hearted people shrink from even ai^proaching the subject of what the advocates of free importa= tions have euphoniously styled " taxing the poor man's bread." The title is a catching one (to the unthinking), but neverthe- less erroneous. It is gratifying to observe that some speakers are boldly tackling this bugbear ; it was properly defined by FREE TRADE. 31 Mr. Maxsted, of Hull, the other night, when he said " Yes " e. p. Maxstea, to the question of putting a duty upon corn — " No " to the ■^^'^■"^■■'^'' ■^ * question of taxing the poor man's food. A moderate duty Moder&te aniy would tw more he paid hu the consumer, than the few nuineas ^^t}]?:'^?J^^ 1 • • T • 1 n r -iV 7 T » consumer. subscnption which Mr, Maxsted or any other corn merchant pays for the privileye of entry to the different Corn Eivchanyes which he attends, is jyaid by the miller who comes there to buy. A gentleman signing himself D.D.S.D. writes to The Eastern Lettev of Morniny News, asking : "1. If the duties he (Mr. Maxsted) named Efsfe^i' ^^ would be ' raised and maintained entu'ely by the foreigners,' why Morning Neivs, they should not be levied sufficiently high to pay the whole of the national expenditure, as well as to gradually sweep off the national debt, and, possibly, to provide a useful yearly bonus for John Bull ? 2. If he thinks that the duties he names could not be advanced beyond his figures without inflicting taxation on ourselves, how he arrives at the exact figures the foreigner would be willing to pay, and how he finds the point where a duty would be ' felt ' ? " The answers are very obvious : 1st. The excessive duties which he suggests would be as prohibitive as a fee of several hundred guineas for entering a Corn Exchange : in this question he has reached the arymnentum ad ahsurduin, and 2nd. He will find on reference that Mr. Maxsted does not arbitrarily state his figures as the exact amount which foreign corn would pay without cost to ourselves, but advances it as his proposal. Personally, I hold that a duty of Is. per cwt. would be better, Duty of is. per and would allow a difi'erence per imperial quarter in duty for ^^^' the difierent qualities of corn according to their weight and value. The gentleman asks a further question: "Whether on reflection Mr. Maxsted's own large experience of the American grain trade does not prove to him that grain is not forced on England at what we are willing to pay ; if it is not true that during the last three years the Americans have many times held their grain at prices relatively higher than were being paid in England ; if they are not doing so at the present moment, with the result of causing a large advance all over the world ?" Doubtless the Americans have frequently endeavoured by Americau corn forming what they term a '"ring" to bull the priceof grain, but in eveiy instance they have signally failed in their efforts ; during the last week or two they have made the same attempt, and, backed by the very bad weather have had more than their usual success ; but the bad weather is the cause of the '* advance all over the world," not the American ring. That our prices are not entirely influenced by those abroad has been sufficiently shown at page 23 of " The Fallacies of Free Trade," and from a Parliamentary return, recently printed, it appears xmt, 32 THE FALLACIES OF Prices of wheat from 1820 to 1850, and from 1850 to 1880. See Parlia- mentary return recently obtained by John Talbot, Esq., M.P. Surplus pro- duct. Senders con- tribute to our revenue. New French tariff. Nations having surplus pro- ducts must pay reasonable duties. John Stuart Mill. Discussion witli an exporter. that the price of wheat from 1820 to 1850 was only Q>s. 4rt. per quarter higher than fi'om 1850 to 1880. The average amount of duty during that period I have not heen able to obtain, but from my recollection of figm-es I believe it to have reached a much higher average than 6s. 4cL Dantsic has been already quoted, but if we take Egypt, Russia, Hungary, Poland, Turkey, America and all other places which send us their surplus jyroduct of grain, we shall find that the prices in those countries have advanced much more than the duties which we threw off, showing clearly that the corn would have come to this country notwithstanding a duty imder which the senders would have contributed their quota to our revenue. If the axiom I have laid down as to the payment of duties, or, at least, a considerable portion of them by the senders of goods seekimj a market, be incorrect, then why the anxiety dis- played by our manufacturers at present about the more stringent clauses anticipated in the new French Tariff ? Surely there is no such feeling of cosmopolitan charity suddenly sprimg up as to make them regret the increased cost which [according to the Free- Trade-at-any -price theory) the French are about to impose upon themselves, — certainly not ; our manufacturers know perfectly well that an increased duty on the other side will have to he 2)aid for by them if they seek to send their surplus 'products there. Any nation, having surplus products of raw material or manufac- tures, must, in seeking a market for such surplus, hear the duties and charges (within reasonable limits), ivhich the recijnent nation may think fit to levy. That favourite authority with Free Traders, John Stuart Mill, says : " It may, therefore, be laid down as a principle, that a tax upon important commodities, when it really operates as a tax, and not as a prohibition either total or partial, almost always falls in part upon the foreigners who consume our goods, and that this is a mode in which a nation may appropriate to itself, at the expense of foreigners, a larger share than would other- wise belong to it of the increase in the general productiveness of the labour and capital of the world, which results from the interchange of commodities among nations." Some little time since, it was my fate to take part in a dis- cussion where many interests were represented, and where the conversation turned upon the depressed condition of English trade, remedial measures, reciprocity. Free Trade, etc., etc. Amongst the company was the representative of a large export house, who, while admitting that the present levying of duties upon English goods by foreign countries was unfair, did not see his way to our imposing corresponding duties upon their imports, for, as he very justly said, " You could not exempt corn, and then you would tax the food of the people." An old Protectionist present asked him, " Do you export your goods to France and Germany, and pay their duties ?" " Yes," FREE TRADE. 33 he replied, " largely." " Then," said the enquirer, " do you find that you can obtain the same price for your goods, after deduct- ing freight charges and duty, that you net in England ?" " Oh, Our exporters no," he answered, "we can only sell a certain portion of our oTfoJeYS^^^^ manufactiu-es at home, the surplus must find a market in foreign imposts, countries, and be subject to the duties, or a considerable portion of them, which those countries impose." It is needless to say that the old Protectionist did not think it necessary to ask any further questions on that point, and (to reasoning minds) it ought to be equally unnecessary to say that corn occupies the same position, and the surplus product r;/ r/W importers to countries comiivj to Ewjlcmd would hear the incidence of the impost l^y ^^^^^^^^ placed tqwn it. This is more especially the case as regards corn, on their sm-- it being one of the easily raised products of virgin soils, and ^^ ^^ ^^° ^^ ' most fi'equently grown in new or imperfectly developed countries, very small where costs of production being light, a very small net return ^fJl p^^J^" to the grower will recoup him for his outlay, and induce him foreign grower to continue cultivation. ^^ ^°^^' I have observed the letter of Mr. William Halls, in The Letter of Mr. Eastern Morning News, fi'om which I append the following ex- ^o ^jfsT ?i^^^^ tract: — "To the editor of The Eastern Mornin;/ Neivs. — Fvee Morning ncivs. Trade or Protection. — Sir, — I refer to your paper of the 16th, and to the arguments used at the Conservative meeting' held in Hull on the previous evening. I find I can, in Eotterdam, buy a box containing one pound of cigars for 2s. 6d. ; in Bordeaux, a bottle of brandy, containing one-sixth of a gallon, for 2^. ; in Stettin, one quarter of wheat for, say, 40s. I know if I bring them with me to Hull I shall, in addition to the fi-eight, pay 6s. 6d. duty on the cigars, 2s. Gd. on the brandy, and, if there were a duty on the wheat of Is. per quarter, shall I not take out of my own purse 9s. for the cigars, 4s. 6d. for the brandy, and 41s. for the wheat ? Of course I shall. If I import ten million bottles of brandy, or ten million quarters of wheat, shall I not take out of my own purse ten million half-crowns and ten million shillings ? Of course I shall." Mr. Hall's views are valuable, but principally as showing how Mistake as to Free Traders are liable to mix the incidence of a duty upoyi goods a\iuly"^® °* ivhich cannot be produced at home, with an impost upon raw materials or manufactures which are indigenous to the importing in common with the exporting country. We do not produce tobacco or brandy, the duties (which for purposes of revenue, or as a tax upon luxuries, w'e may think it well to levy) must, therefore, be paid by ourselves. The wheat comes in a different category ; had there been a duty of Is. per quarter on it, Mr. Halls would have bought it at 39.s. per quarter at Dantsic instead of 40s., and his position would only have been changed, in that he would have had the patriotic satisfaction of being the medium of c 34 THE FALLACIES OF Article from Eastern Morn- ing Neivs, of the 21st July last. Sec page 6. See page 44, English seed crushing. conveyance of Is. fi'om the foreign grower of the corn to our British exchequer. In support of the correctness of these views, I refer to the speech of the American President, at page 17 of the foregoing Paper ; and as a proof of their result upon the prosperity of a nation, I annex an article which appeared in The Eastern Morninfj News, of the 21st July last : **Envy, according to all the copybooks, disfigures the features and distorts the mind ; but if the copybooks did not warn us, we might feel envy on reading such a report as that just presented to Parliament on the commerce of the United States. Written by the First Secretary of Legation inWashington, it is, much as though it had been written by an American, one long record of success. Mr. Drummond is even pleonastic in his praise, for he speaks of increasing prosperity not only being maintained, but steadily progressing. American exports e.vceed American imports. The rise in the value of American land is on an average eight per cent. ' Financially the United States is in the soundest condition.' ' In agriculture great progress has been made,' and the progress is proved by figures. The acreage of wheat has increased nearly eleven per cent., and has given a crop last year calculated at 480,847,000 bushels, against 448,756,000 bushels in 1879 ; this leaves an estimated surplus of 205,000,000 bushels for export. ' Great progress ' has also been made in the textile trade. ' The manufactures of cotton and woollen have been on an unpre- cedented scale, as is shown by the great increase in the con- sumption of raw cotton and the great production of carpets, rugs, and blankets. All the mills have been fully engaged, and production of goods has been sold ahead. Thus, notwith- standing the large quanity of new machinery, there was very little accumulation of goods, and the mills were, and are, in a very prosperous condition. Owing to increased cost of material and labour, the earnings of manufacturers have not, in a general way, averaged more than in 1879. The producing capacity will shortly be largQly increased, both in the Northern and Southern States. The actual increase in domestic consumption has been, it is calculated, in the Northern States, 15 per cent., in the Southern States 18 per cent., more bales of cotton than in the previous year. An advance of prices may be reasonably ex- pected.' Nor is this all. Large fortunes are now to be made out of cotton seeds previously thrown away as useless. ' The almost unrealised portion of the ^Droduct of a single year's cultivation of the cotton plant on the area now in use for that purpose (about 13,000,000 acres, or less than two per cent, of the area of the cotton States) may therefore consist of 75,000,000 to 90,000,000 gallons of oil, 500,000 to 750,000 tons of paper, or 50,000,000 to 100,000,000 pounds of fine clothing wool ; and a^s an incident of this progress, 50 to 100 per cent, more cotton FREE TRADE. 35 fibre from the same area of land now cultivated will be produced with less labour than is now expended, because the large crop on a fertile acre can be picked with as little labour as the small crop on a sterile one, and the limit of the production of cotton is in the power of picking the cotton, not in the power of cultivating.' Another discovery is that the cotton seeds may have the oil taken from them by the action of diluted sulphuric ^Jif f^^ift'^^iKi acid, not only without destrojdng their fertility, but even with another tWes increased faciHty of production. Then the silk production is j;^'g^;^^jj;« ^^ increasing. The American rivers are being again stocked with fish. The American oyster trade is advancing with enormous strides. Of the fruit trade it is needless to speak : our shops at this moment bear witness to it. In fact, the increase of the trade is such that every immigrant who enters the country finds work to do, and more than half a million a-year are rushing into the land.^' The Americans mourn over only one fact. They p^gef^Sj^eren- have not the carrying trade. More than half of the carrying tiai duties on trade of America is done in British vessels. Only a quarter ^ is seSu-rdrrymg done in American vessels. The Yankees want now to seize trade. that by iDiotective laws. Surely they can let us have this one consolation." One of the most fi-equently advanced and favourite arguments of the advocates of imports unjustly freed from their due share of our taxation, is the increase in the volume of our trade ^oSlof" during the last 30 years, and it is argued that such an in- trade. crease could not have taken place under a system of duties levied at our ports. This argument makes no allowance what- ever for all the inventions and improvements of the same period, J2ip!"vemeStsl for the increase of the circulating medium (and consequent extension of trade), caused by the discoveries of gold in California gj°^^^^j.fj|- and Austraha, for the improvement of means of communication developed by railways, steamers, and telegraphs ; nor for the JScatiin^'"" spread of intelligence amongst mankind, developing that greater spread of knowledge of each other which has ever been one of the most iuteiiigcuce. advanced pioneers of Commerce. To place all the gains which the Free Traders claim for their idol to the operations of their favourite dogma, is to state one of naif truths, those half-truths which are worse to contend with than absolute falsehood, which spring from that "little knowledge which is a ^ ^^^^^^ dangerous thing," and which, as Mr. Grotrian very properly said, F^^B.^GiStrian, " have to be threshed out " before we can get at the real facts Esq, j.p., Huii. of the case. A sam^Dle of these mis-statements appeared in The Echo The Echo. some little time since. The editor, after alluding to a Parlia- mentary return of the imports of grain, flour, and other pro- parliamentary visions during the last GO years, which has recently been obtained return ob- bv Mr. John Talbot, and which return I recommend to all who john Taibot, _1 [ Esq, M.P. * Thereby increasing the product of porn to swamp our agriculture. 36 TEE FALLACIES OF wish to study the question of statistics of our food imports, proceeds to say : " If the Protectionist poHcy of Mr. Talbot's friends had prevailed, the people would have been deprived of the chief portion of this food supply." Now here is a half-truth ; there is no proof whatever that under a moderate duty " the people would have been deprived of the Acreage under chief portion of this food supply," but there is strong presumptive dtoSiished'by evidence, based upon long experience, that under such a system 1,000,000 acres the 1,000,000 acres of land in the United Kingdom which have gone out of wheat cultivation since 1868, constituting one-fourth of the whole area at that time under that cereal, would have been smiling with crops, the producers of which would have been consumers of our home manufactures, whereas, in the other case, the growers of the corn have spent their money in the home which they foster and encourage — America. And fur- Diity of Is. per tlier, the statement fails to point out, that a duty of Is. per Snported"^^ cwt. ou the com alonc, imported during 1880, would have iiav?raile?*^^ raised nearly 6f millions of money, which the " advocates of 6^ millions. measiu'cs for the encouragement of native industry" contend neiioi to homo ivould have been _paw^ by the foreigner, and would, to that extent, axa ion. j^^^^ relieved us from a great part of the income tax, or some other equally opjjrcssive burthen. While on this subject of the volume of trade, we shall (to use the words of the secretaries of the National League, in their Increase in letter to The Morning Post of the 27th August last) learn much foreign by " studying the increase in the trade of foreign protective countries as countries, ill comparisoii with that of England, during the past compared with '^ -i i o • i.- rrn x / r England. 10 years under her one-sided tree import system. The trade oi the whole world has increased 36 per cent. That of the United States 68 per cent. ; Belgium and Holland each 57 per cent. ; France 51 per cent. ; Germany only 39 per cent, (she having traded for part of the time on the fi-ee port system) ; and England hut 21 'per cent, increase of trade. If we now turn to Mr. Newmarch's paper on ' The Progress of the Foreign Trade of the United Kingdom, 1856-77,' read in 1878 before the Statistical Society, we find the president of that society, the Eight Hon. G. J. Shaw Lefevre, M.P., stating, during the discussion, that ' If one looked at the paper from the point of view of foreign Protectionists, he was not quite so sure that it would be so conclusive to their Sa?Ru^?l." niinds as it was to our own. Taking, for instance, France, Austria, and Eussia, he would apply to them the same prin- ciple which Mr. Newmarch had applied to this country, namely, compare their export and import trade for the last 15 years. The import and export trade of those countries had increased from £326,000,000 to £612,000,000, which was nearly 100 per cent. This was a very great increase, and was also, in fact, proportionately somewhat greater than the increase of trade FREE TRADE. 37 of our own country. He thought, however, it u-as not fair to ascribe the whole of the enormous increase of trade in this countri/ to Free Trade, because other causes had been at work in other countries, and the increase in those countries had been very great indeed " — so great, indeed, that we can now clearly Foreign see how, that hij means of their revenue duties on im.j)orts, or gaiicrUnOTo^ protective tarifs levied against England, foreign nations have appro- ^^^^^^^^f^^ ptriated to themselves, at the expense of this country, a larger s/wrc crease of trade than would otherwise below/ to them of the increase in the general productiveness of the labour and capital of the world, ivhich results from the interchange of commodities among nations, mid for this we have only to thank our past one-sided trade jjolicy. It has been assumed that a duty upon imports by restricting Theory that them would recoil upon our export trade. While not admitting f^^^Jo^H this theory I will briefly examine it. The annexed letter from restricts ex- Mr. Walt. P. Bearpark, of London, puts the matter very fairly : Lniied^" " To the editor of The Eastern Morning News. — Dr. Eollit and Letter from Eeciprocity. — Sir, — As an old Hullite, and therefore deeply in- ^(^^x^S^,' terested in the present controversial aspect of political circles in London, to Hull, I should like, through the kindly agency of your columns, Morning News, to submit to Dr. Kollit's consideration two queries suggested by ^^^i- a perusal of his recent address on the ' Tariff Question.' Be it first miderstood that I am a Tory, hanging iiTesolute between Free Trade and Eeciprocity. Bound on the one hand to I^ree Trade by the striking plausibility of the economic theory, I am yet inclined to Eeciprocity on the other, by a suspicion of some irre- gularity in the practice — a suspicion, however, which I am bound to confess seems more connected with an old party bias than with any substantial ground of dissent. In this dilemma I would appeal for enlightenment to the noteworthy courtesy of our conservative fugleman, hoping that, in the effort to remove my doubt, he may also be rendering satisfaction to many Hull electors who are similarly dubious on the same points. The fii'st question bears on the whole scope of the subject. By im- posing duties we must restrict our imports. But it is only by importing that we are enabled to export, for it is admitted as a Free Trade truism that commercial relations between nation and nation consist merely in the interchange of commodities. How, then, would the doctor compensate our producers for the loss of their foreign market ? It appears to me that, either our export trade would be curtailed in exact proportion to the restriction of our imports, or that, in case of our resorting for the same articles to other countries not previously capable of competing in our markets, we should be compelled to pay a higher price for the same or perhaps inferior commodities. If there be any latent inaccm-acy in this view, I shall be most happy to receive correc- tion. The second question relates to a passage in his speech, 38 THE FALLACIES OF Sec French surtaxe (Ventrcpot, page 39. Example of America. America retains home markets for her own manu- factures. wherein the doctor, m comparing imports and exports, declares himself as being justified in deducting from the exports a sum of about £50,000,000, as representing re-exports of foreign and colonial produce, which give ' little or no work to the English manufacturer or workman.' Why are manufacturers and opera- tives thus specified ? No doubt, the part played by the manu- facturing element is of vast importance, and worthy of every study and consideration. But there are other interests as great, and it seems to me that the national value of a commercial transaction is gauged, not by its eftect on a particular class or faction, but by its general operation upon the community at large. The shipping trade, the wharves and dock companies, together with the vast number of brokers, etc., etc., who contri- bute so largely to the wealth of Mincing Lane and the City generally, reap an enormous benefit from these very transactions which the doctor so complacently ' pooh-poohs,' and, of course, this benefit is shared by a large number of einjdoyes, both clerks and ' workmen.' I sincerely trust that a more convincing pos- ture of this argument may be forthcoming. Under any circum- stances, hov/ever, these exportations cannot be omitted from any statistics on the subject unless the previous importation of the same goods be similarly ignored. This alone would somewhat disturb the doctor's figures. — With apologies for thus monopo- lising your space, I am, yours obediently, Walt. P. Bearpark. London, July 21st, 1881." If, however, "it is only by importing that we are able to export," I would ask how does America contrive by a system under which her exports far exceed her imports, to pay off her national debt with great rapidity, to encourage her own industries till she will soon be independent of all other nations, and to present to the world the most wonderful example of progress, while all other countries (except, perhaps, France, anotlier protectionist country) are complaining bitterly ? The reply to this will also meet Mr. Bearpark's further question : " How then would the doctor compensate our producers for the loss [imaginary? J. H.] of our foreign trade?" The answer to Mr. Bearpark's as well as to my own question is : America encourcKjes home manufactures bij doiufj her utmost to retain the home market for them. Has this policy aftected her exports ? She has marvellously increased their efiiux — v\^itness those of corn and provisions- while her high protective duties almost prohibit imports. What Mr. Bearpark calls his second question, is certainly of great importance to this country ; but even under this head of re- shipment, we find our astute nearest neighbour across the channel determined to make all her fiscal regulations for her own benefit, without reference to any other interests* A meeting FREE TRADE. 39 on Commercial Treaties, free from party bias, was recently held at the City Terminus Hotel, where, after other business had been disposed of, Mr. Maclver, M.P., " Keferring to the trans- French tariff, lation of the French tariff, which was just issued on the motion of Lord Sandon, drew attention to the surta.ve cV entrepot, by which a tax of about 30 francs a ton was imposed on all merchandise imported from a country other than the country of jproduction. Shipping The tax had been revived, because France wished vessels to go from LiVe^- to French ports instead of to English ports, and as a result, ships pooitoBor- that had been in the habit of going from Liverpool direct, now went to Bordeaux, thereby seriously prejudicing the shipping business. In conclusion, he thought no treaty ought to be entered into which allowed the surtaxe cVentre2)ut to exist, which Surtaxe was so prejudicial to the trade of every merchant and broker ^ '^"^"^^^"*' in all our great ports." We are not, however, the only nation resisting this French Meeting at impost. Eeuter's telegram from Genoa, under date 7th Sept., ^^^^o^^- says : " A largely-attended meeting of merchants, shipowners, and manafactiu-ers was held here to-day, under the presidency of Senator Casaretto, who was supported by several deputies, for the purpose of recording their views with regard to the pro- posed new Commercial Treaty with France. After some dis- cussion an order of the day was voted by acclamation, declar- ing no treaty ought to be concluded with France whicli did not concede equal treatment as regards customs' duties and the coasting trade, as well as the abolition of the surtaxe (V entrepot, surtaxe and demanding that if these conditions should be refused the ^'entrciidt. Government should resort to retaliatory measures, in order to defend Italian commerce. Notices of adhesion to this resolu- tion, the terms of which had been agreed upon beforehand, were received from several other commercial centres of Italy." It will be well for English manufacturers (in the present depressed condition of their industry) to note the energy of their Italian compeers, who, according to a recent issue of The Morning Post, followed their previous action by the following step : — *' Fair Trade in Italy. — More than 100 among the most Fair Trade in influential merchants, manufacturers, shipbuilders, and merchant ^^'^^y- captains of Leghorn met a few days ago in the great hall of the Chamber of Commerce to discuss the negotiations for the commercial and maritime treaty between Italy and France. The chairman (Signer Nardini) presented, in the name of the promoters, an order of the day to the following effect : — ' Con- sidering that the commercial and maritime treaties now in force with France were suggested rather more by political than com- mercial considerations ; considering that while these treaties have accorded great concessions to France and have deprived Italian commerce and navigation of reciprocal advantages ; considering 40 THE FALLACIES OF Italians de- mand Reci- procity. Caird & Go's, trade removed to Havre. America able to pay 15 to 20 per cent, higher wages than England. that if such a state of affairs has been tolerated so long it would be now incompatible with the interests and the dignity of the nation ; considering that in order to put a stop to this state of things it is indispensable that the new commercial treaty should be settled on a basis of equal reciprocity and fair treatment, causing those piiviler/es so long enjoyed by France to disappear ; considering that, so far as the navigation is concerned, owing to the different geographical position of the two countries, a complete reciprocity is impossible, the merchants, manufacturers, and shipbuilders of Leghorn have united to petition the Government : — 1. That the new commercial treaty with France be made on the basis of a perfect reciprocity. 2. That France be invited to abolish all differential rights, surtaxe d' entrepot, which heavily weigh on our indirect importations and which make it impossible for Italy to extend her commerce to French markets, while France is allowed to do this freely to all Italian markets ; and should France refuse the abolition of these rights the undersigned consider it indispensable that an equal tax should then be imposed to protect our commerce, thus p>lacing the two countries on equal conditions. 3. The undersigned do likewise demand that the navigation treaty with France be not renewed.' " While willing and anxious to co-operate with all who seek real Free or Fair Trade, we must, however, carefully watch our own national interests, and we may be quite certain that the effect of French bounties and duties must be most in- jurious to our trade. The public prints have recently announced that Messrs. Caird & Co., the great Clyde shipbuilders, in order to profit by the French shipping bounties, are removing their trade, with its employment of 2,000 to 3,000 hands, to Havi^e, where they have taken land upon lease, and are about to com- mence shipbuilding on a gigantic scale. To retm-n to American trade ; three such excellent letters (amongst many others) have recently appeared in The Morning Post, that I reproduce them here : — " To the editor of The Morning Post. — Sir, — Will you allow me to ask through youi* columns one simple question ? How is it that America (which has a higher protective tariff than any other nation) has been able to pay off the whole of her national debt, and is able to pay her own and British workmen from 15 to 20 per cent, more wages than they can earn in this country ? I enclose my card. — I remain, sir, yours obediently, A. T. T.— 12, Alh-ed-place, Bedford -square, Sept. 17*" " The Fair Trade question. — To the editor of The Morning Post. — Sir, — Your correspondent * A. T. T.' asks, ' How is it that America (which has a higher protective tariff than any other nation) has been able to pay off the whole (? a large portion) of her national debt, and is able to pay her own FREE TRADE. 41 and British workmen froiQ 15 to 20 i^er cent, more wages than they can earn in this country ? ' I can answer that causes of question in almost as few words as he has used in putting it. American pro- Slie has done it bj/ 7iot going in for ' cheapness ' for the con- sumer. She 2wgs labour a higher price, cajntal large profits, and she secures these terms for the home trade by j^'^otection. The consequence, that that portion of the national revenue which is collected from native sources is paid out of the larger rates of remuneration which prevail all round without being felt. Twenty per cent, profit on returns of £150 for the same commodities which would be sold here for, say, £100, leaves a margin of £30, instead of £20, from which to pay these taxes, etc. Another result of high prices and high remuneration is a full consumption of commodities, which insures a full revenue for those who live upon invested capital as well as those who live by labour. It also raises prices to the level at which foreign commodities partially enter to supply demands temporarily in excess of the home supply. The duties on these goods form another and important item in the national revenue to the relief of that levied on native sources, or for the redemption of debt. — Yom-s very respectfully, William H. Laird. — Lorn House, Mildmay Park." " To the editor of The Morning Post. — Sir, — I was talking to a gentleman engaged in commerce the other day. He was by profession a Free Trader, and in the course of our discussion he disclosed some curious facts. I said to him, ' If you want to export your goods to America what duty will you have to pay ? ' ' Thirty-eight per cent.,' he replied ; ' but that is not the worst of it. The Americans have got more than half my trade away, and men who used to travel for me are now selling American goods to my customers cheaper than I can. If the principle at present existing is to be maintained, I cannot see how we are to get a living.' Money must be had to buy corn, let it be never so cheap, and where is the money to come from ? If not only farmers', but every other industry, is to be prosecuted at a loss, it won't be prosecuted long ; and supposing you are placed at a disadvan- tage of 38 per cent, your assets will speedily become 38 per cent, less than nothing. There is one thing that the agitators for an alteration in the existing state of things must not lose sight of. Now, if it is so profitable to the foreigner, as many of your correspondents point out, foreign money will not be wanting to maintain the f)resent conditions. A few thousands judiciously spent might do a good deal, and where so much is dependent on it you may rely upon it money will be forthcoming. It is a much easier safer, and more profitable wag of ruining England than a war would be. Put the patient in a jvarm, Free Trade bath and open his veins. That is the process ; so that you will 42 TEE FALLACIES OF kave to combat foreign interests not only abroad but at home. — F. F." But to recross the Atlantic ; how has Free Trade affected the sister kingdom of Ireland? A reference to page 10 of *' The Fallacies of Free Trade " will show the promises of improved condition which were made to our long-suffering fellow sub- Diminution of jects of the British Crown. While Ireland was an exportina: exports from '',, , i-'-ir^jrii, Ireland. Country, she was also a prosperous one ; and m 1843, she sent to Great Britain, 8,206,484 quarters of grain ; but in 1851, the quantity had fallen to 1,324,688 quarters, and has since, I believe, almost entirely ceased. The population of that un- fortunate country (the plaything of pseudo-Liberal statesmen, by whom she has been alternately cajoled, traduced, and coerced) FrishTopSa- '^^^ ^^^ ^^^^' 7,767,401 ; in 1871, 5,411,416 ; and in 1881, had tiou. Seepages further decreased to 5,139,839. Is it not probable that a more 10 and 11. patriotic policy than our hard and cruel doctrine of " buy in the cheapest, sell in the dearest market," would have kept these two-and-a-half millions of English speaking men, women, and children at home, growing corn for our wants, instead of in- hospitably driving them to emigration ? I am old enough to remember hearing of the expressions of satisfaction which were indulged in by those who had success- fully advocated negro emancipation, when, to use their own phrase, their " sugar was sweeter, being no longer moistened by irish-grovrn the tears or the blood of a slave." Would not the same sentiment to^AmeiiSin'^*^ ^'^'^^V ^^^ to ciijoy bread produced by contented Irishmen on the banks of the Shannon, the Liffey, or the Boyne, rather than that grown by discontented Irishmen on the shores of the Mississippi, the Missouri, or the St. Lawrence, particularly when, as in the latter case, the grain is too often accompanied, not merely by a curse upon the policy which has expatriated the grower, but by his liberal contribution to a movement seeking to produce the disintegation of the British Empire ? The following letter to The Morniwj Post shows the present feeling in Ireland ; but I cannot endorse the ^viiter's views as to the imposition of any duties, as between England and her poorer sister : — "Protection, an Irish remedy — To the editor of The Morning Post.— ' The shin is further off than the knee ; Let me have something myself.' — Buckley's Theocritus. Sir, — Nothing can place Ireland in a condition much worse than that into which the arrangements of the present Ministry have allowed her to drift, if they have not thrust her into it. The law is openly set at defiance. The measure of spoliation that has been passed may rob the landlords but it will not satisfy the people, and Mr. Parnell has manifestly no intention to allow it to be considered final, or indeed in any other Hght than as a FREE TRADE. 43 useful step towards complete separation, the annulling of the Union of 1801. It must now be taken for granted that the Liberal legislation, so loudly boasted about, has failed to appease Ireland, and, like all concessions that fail, the weakness exhibited has only rendered matters worse. A native Parliament will not satisfy now, so we are finally landed upon what we ought to have commenced with — a prompt resort to physical force. The sooner this is entered upon and military law is proclaimed the better it will be, not only for England, but for Ireland herself. But, though an essential preliminary to all legislation, the mere establishment of order in Ireland is not enough. She is not to be treated, and she ought never to have been treated, as a con- quered country. Order itself will prove useless if legislation afterwards is to be perverse. Protection would immediately be set up if the Irish had a native Parliament, — refuse them a Parlia- ment but give them protection ; do for them what their first act would be to do for themselves. That masculine writer, Dean Dean Swift. Swift, says : ' One cause of a country's thriving is the industry of the ])eople in workiny uj) all their native commodities to the last ; to carry out their own yoods as much mamifactured, and briny in those of others as 'little manufactured, as the nature of mutual commerce will allow.' He goes on to add that butter and linen are the only two things Ireland is allowed to trade in, so that if they do flourish it must be like the thorn of Glastonbury blooming at Christmas against all the laws of nature. Serjeant Byles quoted this, and pointed out that Free Trade with England had crushed Irish enterprise. She could not compete against English selfish- ness. Our wholesale manufactures swamped her completely. There was no resisting the cheapness of the English goods. The same thiny that is now said about cheap bread for the Eng- lish people was said about low-jmced fabrics thrown into Ireland. How much better it was to pay 4d. than 6d. a yard. The wholesale destruction of native industry was naturally followed^ as it must soon be here in Enyland, by the entire cessation of employment. A well-regulated protective system is efective, the only one that can keep a. people on work steadily. Steadily, I say, for fluctuations destroy industry, interfering with what may be called the periodical of national life, veiy soon de- moralise a country, and render it ripe for lawlessness, con- spiracy, and agrarian murders. An act of spoliation will not accommodate matters ; it can only aggravate them. Free Trade as applied by the English to Ireland was an act of j^ractical spoliation, though it had the legislative merit of legality of form to recommend it. It has laid upon the Irish an enforced idle- ness, and the devil, if not, perhaps, Mr. Gladstone, has furnished the mischief for idle hands to do. If Ireland were now protected against English trade, and the term guaranteed for 20 years, English unemployed capital, that now seeks imsafe investment 44 THE FALLACIES OF abroad, would gravitate to it, establish manufactures, reclaim the bogs, send food supplies to England, and completely re- establish Irish industry. With industry peace would come. The demagogue and agitator waste eloquence upon full bellies. The hungry and the idle form the audience of most orators. — (Signed) About Sledge." To encourage the growth of corn in Ireland, by putting a duty upon foreign grain, would do more to ^jromote the peace, prosperity, and happiness of the country, and would bind her more closely to England, than all the Church, Land, or Peace Preservation Acts that ever emanated fi-om the teeming brain of the most prolific fi-amer of Acts of Parliament of the present or any other reign. There is, x^robably, no trade in the United Kingdom which has suffered more from our present system of one-sided Free Seed crushing. Trade than that of seed crushing, a trade largely carried on at many of our ports, and one of the staple trades of Hull. The Americans can buy their seed in competition with our- selves, from our possessions in the East Indies, or any other country, without special export duty or differential charge of any kind ; they can then crush it in their own mills, and export their cakes to this country subject to no import duty, but they close their market against our oil by a duty of about £18 per ton, or nearly 75 per cent, upon the present value. The result is serious depression in the English crushing trade ; the absolute closing of many mills, particularly in Hull ; and heavy losses in many cases, as exemplified by the accounts of leading limited companies. The summer export of linseed oil to America was, within 20 years, looked forward to by the trade as a legitimate outlet for a part of the winter's make ; it has entirely ceased ; the import of American cakes has largely increased. Is this really Free Trade, and what benefit can such a system confer upon any class in this country ? American seed crushing mills increase almost daily — England closes hers. The word Eeciprocity appears to produce such a sad effect upon many Free Traders, even to the extent of so destroying their ability as to prevent their understanding its meaning (as witness the late speech of Mr. Councillor Pool, of Hull),''= that one might well hesitate to introduce it, were it not that we have the high authority of the late Kichard Cobden for its first See page 34, American seed crushing. Closmg of miUs. Summer ex port of oil. Speech of Mr. Councillor Poole, of Hull. * Mr. Poole is reported to have said, " He confessed he was one of those stupid people who could not discover the difference between Keciprocity, Eetaliation, and Fair Trade." A dictionary at my elbow gives the meaning of the word Eeciprocity as •'reciprocal olaligation or right" I fear, however, this will scarcely help the worthy councillor; the capacity which would fail to grasp the original wordj would, in this case, be equally at sea as to the meanings given. — J. H. FREE TRADE. 45 practical application in the French Treaty of 1860. If ever Keciprocity was hrought into play in this world, it was French Treaty in that treaty ; its main fault was, that we gave away so pro^cai/^'^^" very much and received so very little. Doubtless, Cobden looked cobden's hopes to the future, anticipating that, after a lapse of time, the French 5?eaty^^^"^^ (seeing its virtues) would adopt unrestricted Free Trade. The same promises were made dm^ing the agitation for the Repeal of the Corn Laws, and how have they been reahsed ? Every nation in the world has raised its duties against us of late years, and we have allowed the system to go on till om* manufacturers have Manufacturers lost nearly the whole of their foreign markets, and have now the SaSltJboth mortification of seing their home trade passing into the hands of ^^^^^ ^^^ strangers, who, in return, contribute nothing to our national exchequer. There is much to be said for this system of Reciprocity, but it has been so well m-ged in a recent article in The Lynn Advertiser, and in letters to The Eastern Morning News, from Dr. J. Dix and Mr. Arthur K. Dibb, of Hull, that it will suffice to place the views of the writers on record : — '' Reciprocity — What is it ? There is no word in the dictionary Leading article which stirs up and excites the fanatical Free Trader so much SomSiJwn as the apparently harmless word ' reciprocity ;' no unmanage- Advertiser. able bull is ever raised to more sudden fury by the sight of a red rag than is your old and thorough-going Free Trader by the sound of the word ' reciprocity.' The Free Trader in former years staked his entire reputation upon the imme- diate conversion of the world to his doctrine of Free Trade. No sooner, he told us, should this idol of Free Trade be set up in the face of the world than all the nations would fall down and worship it ; monarchies would not be able to resist the ardour of their people to join in the solemn league and covenant, and republics would rush into the alliance with a devotion character- istic of their large and generous regard for the wealth and ad- vancement of the universal family of man. But now, what a falling off is here ! How lame and impotent is the conclusion from these glowing premises ! Well may the Free Trader feel chagrin and vexation at the non-fulfilment of his predictions. Well may he gnash his teeth as he looks over the history of the world since the days of the Anti- Corn-Law League. Since the days when he indulged in those venturesome prophecies of the coming millennium of Free Trade, not a convert has come in ; no nation has yet cast its idols of Protection to the moles and to the bats. The very Republicans, who of all men are the high- priests of humanity, free fi'om the dominion of prejudice and ignorance, even they disown the beneficent faith. They still stand in the outer court, and take no part in the new-fangled wor- ship. A more utter disappointment and defeat no political party 46 THE FALLACIES OF ever suffered ; a more entire falsification of every ^j^'^^ZiV'iiow he had uttered never happened to any mortal man. The late Dr. Gumming was not more completely at fault in his forecasts of the future than were the Anti-Corn-Law-Leaguers in their con- fident assertion of the coming triumph of Free Trade. England still stands alone. Colonies, populated by working men, acknow- ledge no allegiance to Free Trade ; everywhere they raise the flag of Protection. Despotisms and democracies have this one thing in common, that they alike repudiate and revile the practice of Free Trade. We will concede to the Free Traders that they have the best of the argument ; that the world ought to be converted to their faith ; that for every nation it is theo- retically best to buy in the cheapest market and sell in the dearest. But statesmen have to deal with the world as it is ; they have to make the best of existing institutions. It may seem a very low-minded and inferior policy to take care of a nation's own interest ; but as other nations will continue to do this, there is nothing for it in the meantime but that we should each go and do likewise. British interests, however much they may be sneered at by modern Kadicals, are, or ought to be, the prominent consideration of British statesmen ; and cosmopolitan ideas and considerations, when they interfere with those interests, may be very properly postponed. What is there in the word " reciprocity " which kindles so greatly the ire of the Free Trader ? Recijrrocity is, in fact, regulated and equalised Free Trade ; but then the Free Trader was pledged to the immediate and unqualified adoption of absolute Free Trade by all the world, if only England would set the example. Well, England has set the example, and the world obstinately and persistently refuses to follow her ; and then the Free Trader says he will have all or nothing ; and because he has put himself into a position in which reciprocity is all but impossible to him, he denounces it as the most pernicious of heresies. All the while, however, he is ne- gotiating with the French for the renewal of a commercial treaty. The rose by any other name would smell as sweet, and a nego- tiation hy which there is to be a mutual remission and regulation of duties is something so like reciprocity that the differeiice is hardly perceptible. The French are to get access to our mar- kets for certain commodities of theirs, and we, on our side, are to have the opportunity, by a lower scale of duties, of selling our goods in their markets. Apply this method to all the world, and the result would be this fatal system of reciprocity. We repeat that the world Avould be better off if each country pro- duced those articles which are best suited to its climate and situation, and then freely exchanged them wherever customers could be found. But the world declines to carry on its affairs FREE TRADE, 47 in this manner ; each country believes that its own special cir- cumstances and objects are best promoted by an opposite policy. It is willing to buy what it cannot do without, upon any prac- ticable terms ; but it determines to make for itself many other needful things, though they should cost more than the foreigner would charge for them. Nations are not wholly governed by economic considerations ; they keep up armies at a vast expense, because they consider them necessary for the national safety ; and they encourage manufacturing, and mining, and navigation as means of national advancement, even though they should in the first instance be somewhat costly. This being the condition of the world, how can v/e turn it to the best account ? There are many articles w^e must buy upon the best terms we can make ; there are others which we can dispense with, or which rich persons can afford to pay for. These latter we can subject to duties, and by means of these duties we can put the foreigner upon terms, so that he will be glad to admit our goods at a more moderate tariff. French wine, French silk, and French gim- cracks give employment to much labour in J'rance ; they are all mere articles of luxury in England ; and our men and our ma- chinery can produce some sort of equivalent for them in case we exclude or restrict the importation of them by our increased duties. What is sauce for the goose is sauce for the* gander. We should prefer to buy certain French commodities, but we can do without them ; and we shall probably make the best bargain — and trade is all bargaining — by letting it be clearly understood that u-e mean to exclude French (jouds from our ■market, if they determine to keep our goods out of their vtarket.'' — Lynn Advertiser, 23rd July, 1881. "Free Trade v. Eeciprocity. — Sir, — Your paper of Thursday j. Dix, Esq., last contains a report of an address by Mr. Councillor Stuart, Fi'fe'Trade?^ J.P., on the subject of 'Free Trade versus Reciprocity.' The Reciprocity. * speaker begins by bantering his own party. He complains of the short time that was given him ' to concentrate his thoughts upon the subject,' but he bravely adds, ' that he w^ould try, though he feared with little success, to make known those thoughts to them.' This appeal ad iiiiserecordiaiih is somewhat undignified, and quite out of place in the mouth of such an accomplished orator ; moreover, it robs the speech of that authority and impor- tance which would otherwise attach to the manifesto of a recog- nised party leader. Also, it places the critic at a disadvantage, for, if the speaker gets worsted in discussion, he falls back on the plea that he had not had time ' to concentrate his thoughts.' If, on the other hand, I fail to do justice to his arguments, I must plead his own excuse, that he has had but ' little success in making known his thoughts.' But, at any rate, I will not be guilty of wilful misrepresentation, to avoid 48 THE FALLACIES OF which I shall, as far as possible, quote his own words, which will be indicated in the usual way. First, then, he states that Eeciprocity is the same thing as Protection — ' an old friend in a new name.' He is not the first who has said this. It is a confusion of ideas which suits the Free Trade advocate — but I think the speaker will see, when he has had more time ' to con- centrate his thoughts,' that it is not quite an accurate statement of the case. Protection and Eeciprocity are certainly not con- vertible terms — a tax may represent one or the other, or it may combine the two. I will give an illustration of each variety. Thus (1) a duty might be levied on French silk, woollen, and cotton fabrics, for the benefit of the weavers of Coventry, and the spinners of Bradford and Manchester, without any reference to the tariff of France. That would be Protection. (2) The duty on French wines might be doubled in retaliation for the French tax on our iron. That would be Eeciprocity, viz., 'a mutual return,' to give the dictionary meaning of the word ; or, as it might be put, to do to them as they do to us. But it would not be Protection, because no home product competes with the clarets of France. (3) A duty on French sugar as re- taliation for their bounties would be Eeciprocity and also Pro- tection, because it would, at the same time, benefit or protect the British sugar refiner. Another distinction may be men- tioned. Eeciprocity aims at coercing other nations ; Protection aims only at benefiting our own. Again, a tax for Protection must include all countries alike who send in the same class of goods. Eeciprocity may be special or discriminative — taxing only those who tax us ; thus we might ]Dut a duty on the wines of France without taxing those of Spain or Portugal. Lastly, Eeciprocity may be not taxation at all, but a remission of duties, and the true ' Eeciprocitarian ' — what a horrid word — is not the Protectionist, hut the concocter of a treaty of commerce, that fagrant violatio7i of the principles of Free Trade — that glaring instance of the hollo wness and insufficiency of its dogmas, when brought to the test of experience and practice. Sir, Mr. Stuart's speech occupies two columns of your paper. I cannot do justice to it in a single letter, but, having thus cleared up an important preliminary, I will ask your permission to renew the skirmish. I am, etc., J. Dix.— Hull, June 20th, 1881." Arthur K Dibb " ^^ ^^^^ editor of The Eastern Morning News. — Eeciprocity and Esq., Hull, on ' Protection. — Sir, — In your issue of Monday last were two letters and'prS on Ecciprocity and Protection. Mr. Shepherd and Mr. Forbes, tion. like too many Liberal writers on this subject, seem fond of imagining their case and then arguing against the stiTicture of their own creation. Thus they say that Eeciprocity is but Protection in disguise. They cannot imagine such a thing as FREE TRADE. 49 differential duties, and they assert that if "we imposed duties at all there would be no limit, and all om* imports would have to be taxed. With the question distorted to this extent they try to deal, and no doubt with partial success. What we advocate is the imposition of some import duty on foreign manufactm'es, and chiefly on what we may call luxuries, so that we may be in a better position to bargain with other countries for the admis- sion of our manufactures, and for the Keciprocal reduction of tariffs. We would endeavour to bind the interests of our colo- nies still closer to us by encouraging our trade with them. Mr. FaiTer Ecroyd points out, in a letter to The Times of yesterday, that each inhabitant of our Australian colonies, is 16 times as large a customer for the production of our industries as each citizen of the United States : and he shows that the British ivorkman would he wise in even jjaying a trifle more for his bread-loaf to food growers who will employ him in return, instead of to those ivho would starve him, out by prohibitive duties. We are told that we cannot possibly hope to persuade other nations to lower their tariffs and accept the doctrnies of Free Trade, if we revert to import duties ourselves. We have proved we cannot do it as we trade at present, and there would cer- tainly seem more chance of success if we had something to concede in return for concessions asked. It adds nothing of value to the controversy to speak of those who advocate this theory as lunatics. Are the financiers and political economists of France and America lunatics? Our grievances are not imaginary, but real. What I would ask, sir, of gentlemen like Mr. Shepherd and Mr. Forbes, who no doubt devote themselves deeply to the study of this question, is some direct and clear answer to the many questions that have been asked by Dr. Kollit and Mr. Grotrian, and have not yet been answered. If we point to the fact of our imports exceeding our exports by scores of millions, we are answered almost in terms of com- passion, and we are told that ' this was all settled 40 years ago.' If we point to Bradford and Manchester, and appear alarmed at how our industries are being driven from the country, and how our mills are being closed, we are told exultingly that ' prices are well kept down.' I would hke to point to one passage in Mr. Forbes' letter. He assigns the cause of bad trade and distress in Bradford to our manufacturers using old-fashioned, ill-adapted machinery, while on the Continent improvements and alterations have iDeen made. He evidently is not aware, that at present one of our most important exports is the very machinery that maniifactures in other countries the goods that compete with ours. The question must be treated with different arguments to this. — I am, sir, your obedient servant, Arthur K. Dibb.— July 19th, 1881." D 50 THE FALLACIES OF Index. Eastern Morn- ing News, Hull. Answer to Index. Heavy losses in business during last four or five years. Unpublished losses far exceed those made public. Credit sensi- tive. Losses con- cealed. Total alarm- ing. Business being done without profit. Railway returns fallacious. A writer, under the soubriquet of " Index," whose frequently witty and occasionally sparkling inspirations help to make The Eastern Morning News a very readable paper, wrote the other day : " After reading the recent speeches delivered at Hull, I wish to say something on Protection and Free Trade. Once again (but Protectionists never attempt to meet this argument), if the entire nation be carrying on a losing trade, the several indi- vidual traders must be losing and not gaining by their traffic. It is impossible (the foggiest mind must perceive it to be im- possible) that every single shopkeeper anywhere should be thriving, and the whole street, town, or nation of shopkeepers should be losing." I trust I may be pardoned the audacity of undertaking to answer this argument which, " Index " says. Protectionists never attempt to meet. It is a well-known fact to all those engaged in business (I hope " Index" has the good fortune to be out of it), that the losses amongst merchants, manufacturers, shopkeepers, and all other traders, have never been greater than during the last four or five years. There have been, unfor- tunately, quite a sufficient number of bankruptcies, liquidations, compositions by private arrangement, etc., to prove this statement ; but " worse remains behind." The necessarily published losses of bad trade never represent more than a mere tithe of the actual depletion of capital which takes place. Where such a sensitive organisation as credit exists, prudent men do not speak of their own personal losses or experiences in business except where they can mention them as general, or write of them under a nom de jjkime. The losses are in many cases not rapid or large in each amount, but gradual, and alarming in their total ; and it is, perhaps, only when actual loss (or absence of profit) has trenched to a dangerous degree upon capital that many men begin to see the full extent of the mischief. The operation is insidious but certain. On all hands we can hear that, while there is undoubt- edly business going on, it is leaving nothing for the capital em- ployed in it. The Times recently quoted our railway returns for the half-year as a barometer of the state of trade, whereas they more jDrobably represent the spasmodic effort to keep doing something (in the hope of better times), which has too long been characteristic of modern business. The fact of the matter is, the trade of the great middle class of this country is dying out from inanition (brought about by the causes previously sketched), and our great capitalists on the one hand and our working classes on the other will, I fear, only find it out when the evil is past remedy, and the trade of the whilom " Workshop of the World " has passed irrecoverably into the hands of those who used to be its customers. Even Mr. Mongredien, with all his devotion to Free Trade, recognises the unfortunate position of FREE TRADE. 51 the middle classes, and says " the fall in prices has pressed far See "Free more heavily on the mercantile than on the operative classes. "=■■ ingifsiT'com- I ventiu'e to assert that, if but a very small proportion of the merce," by loss and suffering which have been borne by the middle classes MouSSileu, during the last few years had fallen upon the wage-receiving P^se 70. portion of the community, they would not have submitted so patiently, but by agitation and excitement they would have brought their wants so much " within the range of practical politics" (violence being now recognised as the only noticeable Range oi factor to that end) that they would have compelled the attention ^jj^if^fc^;^^ of the Government of the day, which would not have been able to cheap bread allay their importunity by the offer of cheap bread, unless they no use without could also have given the wage-producing work with which to wages^"^^ purchase it. Our home trade is much undervalued by many. In 1841 , it was Home Trade more than double the value of our foreign imports. Surely it is not undervalued. too much to ask that we may retain English Trade for English Eugifsh'meTi. hands and English capital, even if we cannot induce the foreigner to let us have a portion of his business. It is exceedingly difficult where relationships are so complex Producers and as in this country, to ^mark the exact spot where producers consumers. end and consumers begin. It is, however, to be hoped that censu?. the forthcoming Census, by giving us statistical details as to the numbers engaged in various pursuits, will enable us to arrive at a more accurate definition. I annex an extract from a letter written by Mr. Alfred Morris to The Mominy Post, under date of the 2nd inst., dealing with this matter: "Although almost all the national returns equally point to a decrease in national prosperity, those of the Board of Trade would seem to present this conclusion in its most marked form, and therein may the clue to the cause of the evil most probably be found to lie. As I have suggested in a previous letter, it is clear that the application of the principle of Free Trade, without due regard to reciprocity, has acted as a stimulus to consumption ; but a policy which stimulates consump- tion without at the same time in an equal degree stimulatimj p7'ocluctio7i, a7id, as a consequence, the earning capacity of the population, ccmnot surely be regarded as a wise econovnc policy. The advocates of the bastard Free Trade of these days say that the greater number must be considered, that producers are few and consumers many. That the greater advantage of the greater number must be studied is a proposition that none will call in question ; but, sir, it is not true that the producers are few and Not true that _^ [ f_ "^ l)roducers are * This remarkably able, concise, and well written pamphlet would do more sumers many towards convincing those who dissent from Mr. Mongredien's views, if the pleasure with which he surveys Free Trade could be extended to their actual experience of the results of English commerce. 52 THE FALLACIES OF Proportion of consumers to producers. Changes of 1846 carried by a noisy minority. Wealthiest have benefited most. Real Free Trade no harm to England. Beciprocal concessions most likely to bring ultimate Free Trade. French the consumers many. For all practical purposes the producer and the consumer is one. It cannot he disputed that every producer is a consumer, while the converse is not so apparent on the surface ; but when it is considered that the consumers who do not produce are dependent on the producers for the incomes which enable them to consume without producing, it is difficult to understand in what real sense their interests are separate from the interests of the producers. In 1880 there were, roundly speaking, 1,500,000 persons of independent means. Government officials, professionals and traders, who, with their wives, child- ren, and dependants are consumers and not directly producers, and who alone benefit, if any one benefits, from the bastard Free Trade of the day and from the cheapness of the necessaries of life resulting thereh^om, if indeed cheapness exists to-day anywhere but in the brains of theorists. On the other hand, there are 11,600,000 persons who are producers, and, with their wives, children, and dependants, are also consumers, whose earning cajmcitij is restricted by the ajypUcation of a bastard Free Trade in a larger degree than that in which the necessaries of life can by any jwssibility be cheapened to them. Which is numerically the more important of these two branches of the population, and how far the greater advantage is with the greater number, I leave to the consideration of your readers." As has been already shown, the violent changes of 1846 were carried by a noisy minority. How strange if it should be ultimately proved that the measure had benefited most the fundholders and recipients of regular incomes, who least needed relief, and not the mercantile or agricultural portion of the community, or even the toiling millions of the working class. Free Trade in the proper sense of the word, viz., the fi-ee interchange of the products of all nations with each other, could do England no harm, she can hold her own against the world with a fair field and no favour ; but even she is not strong enough to run a race heavily handicapped, and she can no longer afford to ruin herself, that other nations may learn Free Trade from her unfortunate example. As a nation, we postponed indefinitely the real era of universal Free Trade when we lightly abandoned the duties with which (at a subsequent period) we might have hoped to have obtained concessions favourable to our trade from foreign nations. Our present unfortunate position with France is a proof of this. The French press during the last few months has tauntingly asked, " "Why should we give anything to England — what has she to give us in return ?" To have had in our hands the lever of a duty upon silks, wine, and other luxuries (the consumers of which should scarcely have been amongst the first to be considered), would have placed us in a position to purchase by reciprocity FREE TRADE. 53 the advantages which we sought. Now, we are much in the position of the hoy who asked the apple-woman to give him some of her tempting fruit, and we meet with much the same reply : " Nothing for nothing here, and very little for sixpence." Let those who think France will meet us in what is often called (it appears to me sarcastically) a liberal spirit, obtain a copy of the return of which Lord Sandon moved for the translation ; in Retmn moved that document they will find abundant evidence that French saiuion.^^' legislation is based upon French interests, and knows none of that strange cosmopolitan sentiment which appears to make our present rulers " Friends of every country save their own." The opinions of the late much-esteemed and justly-lamented opinions of the President Garfield, reaching us, as they now unfortunately do, Jfar^M^^^^^* with posthumous weight, may well be placed on record here. The Liverpool Daily Post, of Wednesday the 21st September, amongst other sketches of his life and career, says : — " In reference to the tariff, his record is equally positive and clear. At Williams College he was as a student schooled in Political Economy by Professor Perry, who was then, as now, one of the leading American advocates of Free Trade. The text-book was Wayland's ' Political Economy,' but youTng Gar- field was not a student who followed blindly any teacher or text- book. He read all collateral authorities which the college library could supply, and did his own thinking. At the close of the term. Professor Perry asked him what had been his conclusions in respect to Protection, and the reply was so definite and cha- racteristic that the instructor wrote it down in his memorandum- book. ' As an abstract theory,' said Garfield, ' the doctrine of Free Trade seems to be universally true ; but as a question of practicability, m a country like ours, the Protective system seems to be indispensable.' His creed was declared in 18G6 in these words : ' Duties should be so high that our manufacturers can fairly compete with the foreign product, but not so high as to enable them to diive out the foreign article, enjoy a monopoly of the trade, and regulate the price as they please. This is my doctrine of Protection. If Congress pm-sues this line of policy • steadily, we shall year by year approach more nearly to the basis of Free Trade, because we shall be more iiearly able to compete u'ith other nations on equal terms. 1 am for a Protection which leads to ultimate Free Trade. I am for that Free Trade which can only be achieved through a reasonable Protection.'' " In conclusion, while admitting that I have sketched a gloomy. Question but, I fear, too true a picture, I take some hope from the fact poSI/seSi- that the important question of our fiscal relations with foreign ^ercantu powers is passing to some extent from political to commercial experience. 54 THE FALLACIES OF Meeting of the Fair Trade League. Our one-sided Free Trade an attempt to anticipate the millennium. hands, and is leaving the regions of poHtical sentiment for those of mercantile experience. The speakers at the late Fair Trade League Meeting have been very careful (and properly so) to eliminate politics, and to conj&ne the discussion to points affect- ing their various trades ; thus, Mr. Pettifer very sensibly said : " Mr. Chamberlain said there was less pauperism in the country than in 1869, but out-door relief had ceased, and men staid as long as possible out of the unions. The pauper list was no cri- terion of the state of labour, for men out of work did not seek parish relief, and did not figure in the pauper list. (Cheers.) As regarded goods coming into the country in payment for the freights or of interest, he did not consider in what guise they came ivlien they interfered with his living. (Cheers)." Many ardent, high-spirited and benevolent men joined the Free Trade movement in its first inception, attracted by the ap- parently missionary spirit in which it sought to make the measure (through the medium of extended and more intimate business relations between nations) the harbinger of that peace on earth, which has been the dream of the poets and philosophers of all ages, and which has ever had the God-speeding good wishes of all right-thinking men. But did we not therein, some- what arrogantly, as a nation, pre-date the millennium, and endeavour to anticipate its issues ? We deal with men as they are, not as we would wish them to be, and we must treat nations in the same way. England was strong, proud, and arrogant in her unexampled commercial success, and spite the opinion of all other nations, she said : " We will pass these Free Trade measures and you will doubtless all soon follow our good example." The exact reverse has proved to be the case ; and now England must retrace her steps, in so far as fitting her polity to that of other nations with whom she trades, if she would wish to retain her power for usefulness in influencing the commercial policy of the world in the future. Strong as our country is, she cannot carry on for long a commercial system differing from that of the whole world, and it behoves her com- mercial men to look their present difficulties fairly in the face, to discover where the real faults lie, and to remedy them with no unsparing hand ; but, above all, the country looks to them to devise such measures as shall avert the ruin which now threatens the manufacturing, mercantile, and agricultural portions of the community, and through them of every other interest in the land. It is too early as yet in our history to write " Delenda est Carthage" over our portals ; still less should we submit to have it written there owing to a blind adhesion to a false principle of commerce, a doctrine impracticable where singular, and a Politico-Economic crotchet which has failed to realise every promise of its promoters, which has ruined thousands of the FREE TRADE. 55 steady-going, law-abiding (hitherto law-making) middle-class of the country, has sent millions of her sons to seek a home on foreign shores, and will, if persisted in, put England back 200 years in the scale of history, by making her dependent upon foreign nations for the supply of all her wants, and, by the destruction of the independence of her people, will eventually deprive her of that proudest of her titles — " The Home of Free Institutions." To avert such calamities, I trust all will take example fi-om the best period of Roman history, so beautifully described by Macaulay when he wrote : " Then none were for a party, Then all were for the state ; Then the rich man helped the poor, And the poor man loved the great." And to complete the stanzas in prophetic parody, I earnestly hope we may be able, ere long, to add : " With imports fairly weighted. And native goods well sold, England returns, rejoicing. To the brave days of old."