EEPOET ON THE STATE OF TRADE '■'I'.', ' BETWEEN THE UNITED STATES AND BRITISH POSSESSIONS IN NOETH AMBEIOA, PREPARED FOR THE SECRETARY OF THE TREASURY, IN COMPLIANCE WITH A JOINT RESOLUTION OF CONGRESS, BY J. N. LARNED. WASHINGTON: GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE. 1871 . 3 ^^ l.ommrnc# INDEX OF TOPICS V r). Natural relations Tlie Dominion of Canada Resources and capabilities Comparative area and population Causes of tardy growth Present trade with the Dominion Total imports of the Dominion Imports from United States , Imports from Great Britain Total exports of the Dominion Analysis of Canadian foreign commerce State of commercial belligerency Exhibit for seventeen years Balance against United States What Ave sell to the provinces What we buy from the provinces Distribution of the trade A commerce of com^enience The reciprocity treaty The fisheries Is recii)rocal free trade practicable A zollverein The transit trade Canadian and American tariff policies Canada as a “cheap country” W ages and the cost of living Comparative table of wages Comparative table of prices Purchasing value of wages compared The savings of industry Accumulated AA'ealth Banking capital and circulation Public debt Immigration and emigration Partial prosperity in the Dominion Commercial growth of Montreal Diversion of American grain trade Favoring circumstances Lumber and barley Trade with the non-confederated i)rovinccs . . Newfoundland and Prince Edward’s Island Manitoba Conclusion Page. 5 6 7 9 9 11 12 12 13 13 13 14 15 17 17 19 20 21 21 23 25 26 28 30 31 31 32 34 36 36 37 38 38 39 42 43 43 44 45 45 46 46 48 r $ ■ ¥ -M l i 17 051 r-;: /:^[;i:iMA IT: 7 * 1 / i ' '!:>! V.‘ ■• '.; v v } ,M -liv-'V' r^. 0 }’^i 'tn' •!*♦! IV''' "' •■'»"■ ‘.-r’ v r VW >V ''»V. 7 »/ I I ■ ' ■ ■ » 5 *-j .: ’‘fl ' I'S -v 'V, 5 I i . )p. '-. '■ > ■ r.| >n , %• ' . , • T: ~J< ' • , V, t i>J;r m: , 1 t »t,. .. .'1 > • ' ^ I ,v tiH. * ij!, ;*’ *'• '>vvii/-»>''' V', • t.r n. - .» ■ ; ^ ‘T- r,i ’ll; ill* ■ ' • ■ :i I r - 'il! (• 1 •• '. ' i.» / . .// I ^'Ul /'. I - : , . ivii < . %». ,. ill ■ ,if**:<‘-- •* ;•/ ii* •! • : .6 ■li' , •’; > 5 ?^. • Hf STATE OF TEADE WITH THE NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. Treasury Department, Office of the Secretary, February 3, 1871. Sir : I transmit for the information of the House of Eepresentatives, the report of J. N. Lamed, who was appointed special agent under a joint resolution of Congress approved June 23, 1870, to inquire into the extent and state of the trade between the United States and the several dependencies of Great Britain in l^orth America. Very respectfully, GEO. S. BOUTWELL, Secretary. Hon. James G. Blaine, Simiker House of Representatives. Buffalo, January 28, 1871. Sir : You intrusted to me, a few months ago, the task of collecting information in compliance with the joint resolution of Congress approved June 23, 1870, which directed that an inquiry should be made relative to the state of trade between the United States and the British North American Possessions. The subject is an important one, and I have endeavored to investigate it with as much thoroughness as the time allowed me would permit. Between the United States and the British dependencies that lie ad- jacent to us upon our northern border, the intercourse of trade ought, in the natural order of things, to be as intimate and as extensive as the intercourse that exists within this Union between its States at large and any corresponding group of them. Indeed, the natural intimacy of con- nection between the provinces of the Dominion of Canada and our own Northern, Nortw’esteru, and li^astern States, is such as exists between very few of the geograi)hical sections of the Union. Through more than half the length of the coterminous line of the two territories, the very boundary of i)olitical sei)aration is itself a great natural high-road of commercial intercommunication— the most majestic and the most useful 6 TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. of all the grand water-ways of traffic and travel with which nature has furnished the American continent. The lakes on which we border at the north link ns with, rather than divide us from, the foreign border on their opposite shores j while the fact that the great river through which their waters escape to the sea diverges, at last, into that neigh- boring domain, only adds to the closeness of the relationship in which the two countries are placed. The territory of the Canadian peninsula between the lakes is thrust like a wedge into the territory of the United States. Across it lies the short-cut of traffic and traA'el be- tween our Northwestern and our Eastern States. Geographically, in the natural structure of that energetic zone of the continent which lies .between the fortieth and the forty-sixth i^arallels of latitude, the province of Ontario occupies, with reference to commercial inter- changes East and West, what may fairly be described as the key position of the Avhole. The lower province of Quebec, through which the St. Lawrence passes to the Atlantic, is situated with hardly less advantage, and in some views, which take account of the commercial possibilities of the future, i^erhaps with eA'en more. On the seaboard there is no nat- ural distinction or x^artition to be found between the maritime x^roA’inces of the Dominion and our Noav England States. New Brunswick, as has been remarked, is but an extension of the State of Maine along the Bay of Eundy, and Nova Scotia is but a peninsula cleft from the side of NeAV BrunsAvick. The island xii’OviRces that lie north of those, within or beyond the Gulf of St. Lawrence, are a little remoA^ed from the same intimacy of geographical and commercial relation shixi with our oaa n national territory, and yet, to the extent of all the resources they possess, their most natural connection of trade is Avith the United States. As to the new colonial State into Avhich the British settlements in the Nortli- west haA^e just been rudely molded, and the older but thinly-x)OXAulated X)rovince of British Columbia, on the Pacific coast, the conditions in whicli they are x^laced, relatiA^e to this country, may be considered more x^i'ox)- erly hereafter, perhax^s. THE DOMINION OE CANADA. The four provinces of Ontario, Quebec, New Brunswick, and Nova Scotia, forming at x^i’esent the confederation known as the Dominion of Canada, contain a now estimated population of about 4,283,000, divided as follows : Ontario 2, 130, 308 Quebec 1,422,540 Ncav Brunswick 327, 800 NoA a Scotia 300,440 4, 283, 103 Total TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. 7 These estimates are based upon a census taken in 1861, ten years ago, and they assume for all the provinces the same rate of increase that Avas found in the previous decade. It is quite probable that the result of the neA\" census, for Avhich preparation is now being made, will fall short of this calculation in every inmvince, except, perhaps, Ontario, and four millions, in round numbers, may more safely be set down as the existing population of the Dominion. The two insular proAunces, of Newfoundland and Prince Edward Island, which have thus far refused to enter the confederation, contain populations estimated^ respecth^elj^, at 110,000 and 09,000. RESOURCES AND CAPABILITIES. Here, then, are about four and a quarter millions of people, not only liAung in the utmost nearness of neighborhood to us, but Avith such in- terjections of territory, and such an interlacing of natural communica- tions and connections between their country and ours, that the geograph- ical unit}^ of the two is a more conspicuous fact than their political sep- aration. Their numbers exceed by more than half a million the people of the six NeAv England States, and about equal the numbers in the great State of New York. In the magnitude and Amine of the industrial and commercial interchanges that are carried on between the New Eng- land States and the other parts of this Union, we may find no unfair measure of the kindred commerce that Avould liaAm existed, under nat- ural circumstances, between those people and ourselves. Such equal conditions, indeed, would undoubtedly have given to the provinces in question a weight in the commerce of the North America continent con- siderably exceeding the present weight of the New England States. The average capabilities of their soil and climate are not inferior to the capabilities of the six States Avith Avhich I compare them, Avhile their general resources are greater and more Amried. Ontario possesses a fertility with which no part of New England can at all compare, and that peninsular section of it around which the circle of the great lakes is swept, forces itself upon the notice of any student of the American map as one of the favored spots of the whole continent — as one of the appointed hiving places of industry, where population ought to breed Avith almost Belgian fecundity. A large section of Quebec is at least equal, in soil and climate, to its New England neighbors, Avhile it rivals them in tlie possession of Avater poAver, Avhich is furnished by exery stream, and Avhile it commands easier and cheaper access to the markets of the Avestern interior. As for the maritime i^roAunces, their pos- session of abundant coal gi\T*.s theni one of the inimc advantages of in- dustiy OAmr the contiguous States. Along Avith this parity, to say the least, in all that is essential to a vigorous deA^elopment, the i)roAinces forming the Dominion — even if Ave exclude that ATist seat of future em- ]»ire in the basin of Lake Winnipeg, Avhich lies waiting for civilization to reach it — occupy a territorial area Avithin Avhich the population of 8 TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. New England or New York might be several times multiplied without increase of density. The area of Ontario and Quebec it is impossible to define with exactness, for the reason that they have no boundary on the north, except the limits to civilized settlement which the climate of tlie North imposes, wherever that may be. Practically, the limits of Cana- dian cultivation and settlement were marked, until a very recent period, by the Laurentian range of hills and the broken spurs that are thrown off from it across the head of the western peninsula. This barren, rocky fidge follows a line nearly parallel with the St. Lawrence on its north- ern bank, up to the vicinity of Montreal, where it strikes away in a wesf- ern direction, indicated by the course of the Ottawa Piver, which is the conduit of the w^ater-shed of the Laurentian elevation. A broad off- shoot, however, of the same primitive upheaval is traced in a belt of forbidding territory, where swamp and rock are intermingled, from the Ottawa Eiver to Georgian Bay. Up to the present time these forbidding barriers have practically formed, in both x^rovinces, the northern boundary of Canadian cultiva- tion and settlement, which sx^read slowly and feebly, without the same impetus and momentum that characterize the x^ioneer movement in the United States. Within a few years x^ast, however, it has been discov- ered, and now it seems to be a well-determined fact, that beyond the Laurentian belt there are large tracts of productive territory, cax)able of well sustaining no very scanty x)ox)ulation, even when stripped of the timber which constitutes their first value. The officially x^ablished re- X)ortsof surveys made during late years within those regions, which I have exmined with a good deal of carefulness, show great inequality in the value of the lands, many districts of fertile soil being curiously in- termixed with sections that are actually or almost incax^able of cultiva- tion. But these reports, if at all correct, leave no doubt that on the upx^er Ottawa, in the basin of Lake Nipx^issing, along the eastern shores of Georgian Bay, and even to some extent on the northern shore of Lake Superior, there are very considerable areas that will ultimately give support to a hardy and enteiprising x^opulation. Large tracts of this new domain have been set apart by the provincial authorities as ‘Uree grant lands, to be given to actual settlers on terms very nearly like the terms of the ‘‘homestead act” in the United States, and under the stimulus of that wise x^olicy their settlement has commenced witu some activity and x)romise. To what extent the mineral resources of the infertile Laurentian belt render that caxmble of giving life to industry and support to a popula- tion, it is imx)ossible to say. Just enough has so far been discovered to indicate that the mineral deposits within and on the flanks of the range may prove to be quite an imx)ortant element of the wealth of the Cana- das. Both iron and lead mines have been opened and worked to some extent north of Kingston ; very valuable deposits of xdumbago have lately been found and ox^ened j gold is extensively indicated throughout TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. 9 a wide region in both provinces, and, more than probably, will yet be found in profitable quantities ; a beautiful marble is already being quar- ried ; the copper mines on the north shore of Lake Superior are unques- tionably of great future value, and recent developments go to show that the same region is remarkably rich in silver. Altogether, it may be assumed that the productive and habitable territory of the Canadas is not confined to their tillable lands. COMPARATIVE AREA AND POPULATION. The commonly stated area of the province of Ontario is 121,260 square miles, and of the province of Quebec 210,000 square miles. The actual area of habitable and productive territory belonging to them may be estimated, 1 think, at about 50,000 square miles for each. Within that area in Ontario the capabilities of development, making all due allow- ance for whatever inconsiderable differences of climate exist, would seem to be fully equal to the capabilities of the State of New York, and if Ontario had kept pace in its growth with New York, as there seems to be no natural reason why it should not have done, (if we exclude New York City from the comparison,) the population of that province would now have exceeded four millions instead of two. The province of Quebec may be fairly measured in the same manner with the States of New Hampshire and Yermont, whose capabilities are no greater, notwithstanding the somewhat more rigorous winter climate to which it is exposed. A population in Quebec proportioned to that of New Hampshire and Yermont would exceed by not less than half a million what the province now contains ^ while Nova Scotia and New Bruns- wick, populated in the same ratio as Maine, of w'hich they are the coun- terpart, would contain to-day a million of souls. CAUSES OF TARDY GROWTH. That the four provinces of the Dominion do not at the present day exhibit a population of from six to seven millions of people, with cor- responding wealth and corresponding activities of industry, is the very plain and unmistakable consequence of the fact that they have not re- ceived their natural share of the energies that are at work in the devel- opment of the American continent ; and that fact is clearly to be traced to their isolation from the free interchange of activities, in a commer- cial way, which the rest of the Anglo-Saxon communities of America have secured by their national confederation. To the mere political distinction between the dependent British provinces and ourselves, or rather to such ditference as exists between their form of popular gov- ernment and our own, I should give no weight among the immediate causes of the slower growth that they exhibit. The political institu- tions of the ill-named Dominion of Canada are scarcely less republican, either in oi)eration or in })rinciple, tlian our own, and cannot reasonably 'be charged with exerting, in or of themselves, any disadvantageous in- 10 TEADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES, A liuerice upon the country. Even as concerns the influence of republican aspirations upon immigration from the older world, it may be seriously doubted whether practical considerations do not almost wholly control the choice which the immigrant makes of this country rather than of Canada. He has been led, and by good reasons, to expect that he will find in the United States greater activities, wider and more numerous o]>portunities, and the stir of a more vigorous life. The superior vigor, AThich ajApears patent to the outside Avorld, is as simply explained as it is undeniable. From the immense diAmrsity of resources and product- ive capabilities in the vast territory that we occupy, with its many zones of climate, its many Auiriations of soil, its multiform structure, its triple seaboard, its inland seas and its great rivers, its prairies and its moun- tains of every mineral, we derive a certain mutual play of industrial forces, acting and reacting upon each other Avith unrestricted and per- fect freedom, Avhich is wonderfully cumulative and Avonderfully stimu- lating — beyond anything, in fact, that has been known in the experience of the world before; and the secret of it all is the freedom of the diAmr- sified interchange. The effect halts where that freedom of industrial commerce meets Avith interference. The custom-houses of the national frontier paralyze it more than half; and Ave should find, if we could examine closely enough, that it is in just the degree that the neighbor- ing provinces are cut off, by their political isolation, from the free cir- culation of the i)roductiA"e and commercial energies of the continent, that they have fallen behind their sister communities of the same ori- gin and the same character in material jirogress. I have placed the subject in this Anew for the xiuriiose of suggesting the loss that Ave sustain, as a nation, from the unfortunate causes Avhicli IniAm stunted the natural, or at least the otherwise possible, develop- ment of so large and so importantly related a section of the common domain of Anglo- America. If our loss is Amstly less, even proportion- ately, than that of the provincial people, it is, neAmrtheless, a very serious one. It is the deprivation of what might liaAm been and Avhat might still be fully one-eighth added to the accumulating momentum of the indus- trial energies b}" Avhich we are carried forward. If the same interchange that exists between the States of the American Union had existed be- tween those States and the neighboring provinces, we should now impart to them, it is true, the actiAuties of forty millions of people, Avhile they giA^e back to us the responding activities of six or seven millions ; but that is an inequality of exchange AAdiich we IniA^e found, between our Union at large and its several States, to be marvellously profitable. In the extraordinary impulse of advancement that Avas given to the lAroAunces, and particularly to Ontario, (then Upper Canada,) the operation of the so-called treaty of reciprocity, during the eleven years of its existence, a marked and significant illustration Avas afibrded of the magnitude of the influence which limitations put upon the freedom of commercial intercourse betAveen their producers and ours exert 07i TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. 11 them. Unfortunately, we were not permitted, upon our own side, to learn as fully, from tlie experience of that treaty, the value to ourselves of a state of freedom in the interchanges of the two countries. As I desire to show presently, the adjustment of the partial free trade established by the treaty negotiated in 1854 was such as to render its operation very far from reciprocal or equitable, for the reason that the schedule of commodities covered by it, while it embraced on the one hand nearly everything that the provinces produce, included, on the other, but a limited number of the productions of which this country desires to extend its sale; and for the far greater reason that the commodities made free Avere almost wholly of a description for Avhich the provinces could otfer no market to us commensurate with the markets that the United States opened to them. It was simply impossible that an arrangement of incomplete free trade so non-reciprocal, so one-sided in its operation, and so provokingly the result, as the treaty of 1854 Avas, of a sharply-forced bargain on the fisheries question, could be alloAved to continue beyond the term for which it was contracted. It Avas justly abrogated in 18G0 by the act of this Government, with the A^ery general sanction of i)ublic opinion in the countrA^; and yet there are probably feAv among those aaIio op- posed the continuation of the reciprocity treaty of 1854, and who oppose its reneAval in any similar form, Avho are not fully conAunced that an intimate, unrestricted commerce with the neighboring communities would be of great benefit to this country, as it certainly would be an incalculable stimulant to the groAvth of those communities. The ques- tion is one of adjustments. Free trade, or any approach to naturalness of commercial intercourse between these quasi-foreign neighbors and ourselves, is impossible, unless the outside conditions and commercial relations of the two countries can be brought into harmony AAuth each other. That is the important, and, in fact, the only point of inquiry in the matter. If the exterior relations of the tAvo countries Avere so adjusted to one another as not to interfere on either side aa ith a natural circulation of free trade between themselves, probably not one intelli- gent voice Avould be raised against the abolition of every custom liQuse on our northern frontier. PRESENT TRADE AVITII THE DOMINION. Tlie provinces confederated in the Dominion of Canada are tAvo mil- lions in ])opulation, as I am forced to believe, and seA^eral hundred mil- lions of dollars in wealth, behind Avliat they Avould noAV have exhibited had they enjoyed from the beginning free intercourse in trade aa ith these United States. As they stand, hoAvewer, they form a very import- ant body of producers and consumers for us to deal Avith. Last year-, according to tlicir OAvn oflicial statistics of trade, they Avere ])urchasers in tlie markets of the outside Avorld to the amount of $7 1,251), 487, and they sold in the same markets productions of their OAvn to the amount 12 TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. of $56,081,192, (values in gold.) Of these transactions the Canadian statistics show less than 35 i3er cent, of the foreign purchases of the Dominion, against 51 per cent, of its foreign sales, to have been made in the United States. In reality, as will appear upon a further examination of the facts, the exports from the Dominion to the United States exceed the imports from the United States into the Dominion to the extent of a ratio even greater than that. The following tables exhibit the commerce of the four ]3rovinces of the Dominion for the last two fiscal years, as ^represented in the official returns compiled by the commissioner of customs at Ottawa : TOTAL IMPORTS OF THE DOMINION. Statement of the value of articles imported into the Dominion of Canada and entei'ed for con- sumption in the two fiscal years ended June 30, 1869 and 1870. [From Canadian official returns.] From Great Britain. From United States. From all other coun- tries. Total. 1869. Quebec $19, 626, 636 8, .547, 339 4, 002, 985 3, 587, 510 $6, 168, 804 14, 590, 177 2,560,023 2,154,701 $3, 749, 737 587, 248 1,186, 325 640, 685 $29, 545, 177 23, 724, 764 7, 749, 333 6, 382, 896 Ontario Nova Scotia New Eruiiswick Total 1870. Quebec 35, 764, 470 25, 473, 705 6, 163, 995 67, 402, 170 20, 382, 270 9, 837, 885 4, 397, 725 3, 977, 553 6,611, 332 14, 031, 340 2, 258, 079 1, 823, 320 5, 174, 270 661, 232 1, 352, 227 731, 954 32, 167, 872 24, 530, 457 8, 008, 031 6, 532, 827 Ontario Nova Scotia New Brunswick Total 38, 595, 433 24, 724, 071 7, 919, 683 71, 239, 187 IMPORTS FROM THE UNITED STATES. Statement of the value of goods imported into the Dominion of Canada from the United States and entered for consumption, (exclusive of coin and hullion,) during the two fiscal years ending June 30, 1869 and 1870, distinguishing those which paid duty from those entered free of duty. [From Canadian official returns.] • Dutiable. Free. Total. Duties col- lected. 1869. Quebec $2, 910, 004 3, 119, 169 660, 192 1, 104, 383 $3, 144, 629 7, 608, 849 1, 899, 633 1, 050, 318 $6, 054, 6.33 10, 728, 023 2, 559, 825 2, 154, 701 $678, 683 5.50, 618 122, 229 214, 033 (Intario Nova Scotia New Brunswick Total 1870. Quebec 7, 793, 748 13, 703, 429 21,497, 182 1, 565, 563 3, 044, 535 3,912,368 763, 846 978,096 .3, 409, 756 7, 249, 179 1, 494, 233 845, 224 6, 454, 291 11, 161,547 2, 258, 079 1, 823, 320 72.3, 497 674, 271 119, 768 182, 712 (hitario Nova Scotia Nevr Brunswick Total 8, 698, 845 12, 998, 392 | 21, 697, 237 1 1, 700, 248 TEADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. 13 lOTORTS FROM GREAT BRITAIN. Statement of the value of goods imported into the Dominion of Canada from Great Britain and entered for consumption, {exclusive of coin and bullion,) during the two fiscal years ending June 30, 1869 and 1870, distinguishing those which paid duty from those entered free of duty. [From Canadian official returns.! Dutiable. Free. Total. Duties col- lected. 1869. Quebec |14, 503, 286 7, 954, 779 3, 281, 836 2, 743, 744 $4, 855, 644 592, 560 721, 149 843, 766 $19, 358, 930’ 8, 547, 339 4, 002, 985 3, 587, 510 $2, 374, 446 1, 317, 253 593, 958 514, 098 Ontario If ova Scotia New Brunswick Total 28, 483, 645 7, 013, 119 35, 496, 764 4, 799, 755 1870. Quebec r. 14, 563, 737 8, 694, 745 3, 561, 080 3, 203, 386 4, 760, 195 1, 143, 140 836, 645 774, 167 19, 323, 932 9, 837, 885 4, 397, 725 3, 977, 553 2, 362, 209 1, 407, 454 643, 444 624, 331 Ontario Nova Scotia New Brunswick Total 30, 022, 948 7, 514, 147 37, 537, 095 5, 037, 438 TOTAL EXPORTS OF THE DOMINION. Statement of the value of goods, the growth, produce, and manufacture of the Dominion of Canada, exported from the several provinces, {exclusive of coin and bullion,) during the two fiscal years ended June 30, 1869 and 1870. [From Canadian official returns.] To the United States. To Great Britain. Total exports to all countries. 1869. Quebec $5, 627, 276 15, 187, 809 1, 831, 054 994, 600 $16, 344, 825 742, 686 466, 779 2, 931, 548 $23, 546, 054 15, 930, 495 5, 031, 859 4, 814, 896 Ontario Nova Scotia New BiTinswick Total 23, 640, 739 20, 485, 838 49, 323, 304 1870. Quebec 6, 880, 446 18, 017, 212 1, 473, 895 2, 400, 759 18, 538, 842 1, 216, 989 395, 925 1, 009, 231 27, 421, 676 19, 235, 306 5, 061, 039 4, 363, 171 Ontario Nova Scotia New Brunswick Total 28, 772, 312 21, 160, 987 56, 081, 192 ANALYSIS OF CANADIAN FOREIGN COMMERCE. An analysis of the foregoing tables of imiiorts shows some facts which it is well to note in passing. Of the imports of the Dominion, 53 iier cent, in the fiscal year 1869 and 54 per cent in 1870 were from Great Britain ; 38 per cent, in 1869 and not quite 35 per cent, in 1870 were from the United States, and 9 and 11 per cent, in the two years, respectively, were the iiroportious of importation from all other countries. 14 TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. The duty-paying imports from Great Britain into the Dominion formed 80 i^er cent, of the entire imi^orts from that nation both in 1869 and 1870, and only 20 per cent, were of commodities admitted free ; while but 36 xDer cent, of the imports from the United States in 1869 and 40 per cent, in 1870 paid duty, and 64 per cent, and 60 per cent, in the two years, respectively, entered free. The duties collected on the dutiable imports from the United States were at the average rate of 20 per cent, on the returned value in 1869, and 19.5 per cent, in 1870; while the duty collected on the dutiable imports from Great Britain was at the average rate of 16.8 i)er cent, in 1869, and 16.7 per cent, in 1870. In other words, a much smaller proportion of the goods imported from the United States than of the goods imported from Great Britain were subjected to duty, but those among the former which did come under the Canadian tariff paid at a considerably higher average rate. The very large proportion, however, of free goods from the United States that appears in the Canadian imports of 1869, and with a slight diminution in 1870, no longer exists. A new Canadian tariff went into effect on the 7th of April last, which imposes the following duties upon articles previously free, all of them being commodities of leading import- ance, in the not very extended list of productions that we barter with our provincial neighbors: flour, 25 cents per barrel; meal, 15 cents per barrel ; wheat,* 4 cents per bushel ;’ all other grains, 3 cents per bushel ; coal and coke, 50 cents per ton ; salt, 5 cents per bushel ; hops, 5 cents per pound; rice, 1 cent per pound. These duties, which leave a now quite insiguilicant free list of commodities, so far as American trade is concerned, were avowedly levied in retaliation for the protective rigor of the United States tariff, and, by the act which imposes them, the governor in council is authorized to suspend or to modify them, by pro- clamation, together with the duties on fish, meats, butter, cheese, lard, tallow, vegetables, and several other articles, whenever it appears to his satisfaction that similar articles from Canada may be imported into the United States of America free of duty, or at a rate of duty not exceeding that payable on the same under such proclamation when imported into Canada.” THE STATE OF COMMERCIAL BELLIGERENCY. As the case now stands, the two countries are in what might be de- scribed as an attitude of commercial belligerency toward one another, mutually repelling and discouraging the intercourse of trade and the profitable and convenient exchange of industries that are natural to their intimate neighborhood. Under the treaty of reciprocity there was a large excess of liberality on the side of the United States in the terms of trade, and the Canadian tariff grew steadily more illiberal and non- reciprocal. After the abrogation of the treaty, the conditions Avere reversed, and it must be confessed that the gates of trans-frontier traffic TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. 15 stood more open on the Canadian than on the American side from that period until the adoption of the retaliatory tariff of last April. Now, however, on both sides, the freedom of trade is about evenly interfered with, and the state of commercial repulsion between the two countries, whose interests so strongly attract them to intimacy, is as nicely adjusted, perhaps, as it could be. No one, I think, can contemplate this situation of things without feeling it to be a most unfortunate dislocation, which very seriously imj^airs the organization and operation of the industrial energies of the American continent. And a further investigation of the statistics of trade will not diminish that feeling. STATISTICAL EXHIBIT FOR SEVENTEEN YEARS. I have given the Canadian official statement of imports into the Do- minion from the United States during the last two fiscal years. That exhibits one side of the commercial exchanges between the two countries, the other side of which is to be found in onr own official statistics of imports into the United States from the provinces of the Dominion. It is proper to remark here that a great many contentious arguments relative to the trade between the two countries have been vitiated, by being based upon official returns, in one country or the other, of both imports and exports^ as though the two were equally trustworthy statis- tics. The Av ell-known fact, howcA^er, is that in no country, and certainly neither in Canada nor the United States, are the statistics of exports^ compiled from the returns of clearances at the cnstom-honses, to be trusted for accuracy ; for the simple reason that there is neither the same stringency of law nor the same Avatchfulness to compel an exact state- ment of outgoing shipments that is applied to secure true reports of the A’^alue of foreign commodities coming into the country. Chiefly as the consequence of this, the statistics of no two countries respecting their trade with each other Avill agree at all. The discrepancy betAveen our own official returns and those of the Canadian government relating to the same trade is further Avideued by the mixed values (in currency and gold) that appear in the export and reexport statements of the former. According to our own statistics, we bought from the four provinces of the Dominion, in the fiscal year ended June 30, 1870, commodities to the ATilue ot 830,507,842, (in gold,) and sold them domestic commodities to the Arable (in currency) of 810,305,771, and foreign reexports to the value (in gold) of 83,031,525. According to Canadian statistics, our purchases from the Dominion, in the same tAvelv^e months, amounted only to 828,772,312, and our total sales to it, of domestic and foreign goods, Avere of the value of $21,007,237, all in gold. On each side there is strong probability of the near accuracy of the import returns, and Ave may safely accept them as representing the commercial exchanges of the two countries. The following table is compiled in that vicAv, from the official returns of imports in each 16 TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. country from tlie other, both representing Talues in gold. It shows the yearly amount of trade each way that passed between the United States and the old Canadian provinces from 1854 to 1867, both inclusive, and between the United States and the Dominion of Canada, since that con- federation was organized. The exhibit is rendered faulty to a certain degree by the fact that the Canadian returns are made for the calendar year down to 1864, at which time the provincial government adopted the fiscal year ending June 30, to correspond with our own ; but this does not affect the general showing of the state of the commercial exchanges represented : Imported into the United States from Canada. Imported into Canada from the United States. [From United States ofiicial returns.] [From Canadian official returns.!] OLD CANADA. OLD CANADA. Fiscal year ended June 30, 1854 Fiscal year ended June 30, 1855 * Fiscal year ended June 30, 1856 Fiscal year ended June 30, 1857 Fiscal year ended June 30, 1858 Fiscal year ended June 30, 1859 Fiscal year ended June 30, 1860 Fiscal year ended June 30, 1861 Fiscal year ended June 30, 1862 Fiscal year ended June 30, 1863 Fiscal year ended June 30, 1864, (estimated).. Fiscal year ended June 30, 1865 Fiscal year ended June 30, 1866 * Fiscal year ended June 30, 1867 $6, 721, 539 12, 182, 314 17, 488, 197 18, 291, 834 11, 581, 570 14, 208, 717 18, 853, 033 18, 645, 457 15, 257, 812 18, 670, 773 32, 422, 015 30, 547, 267 46. 199, 470 26, 397, 867 Calendar year 1854 . . Calendar year 1855* Calendar year 1856. . Calendar year 1857.. Calendar year 1858.. Calendar year 1859. . Calendar year 1860. . Calendar year 1861.. Calendar year 1862. . Calendar year 1863. . First half of 1864.. Fiscal year 1864-’65 . Fiscal year 1866 * . . . Fiscal year 1867 115, 533, 090 20, 828, 676 22, 704, 508 20, 224, 648 15, 635, 565 17, 592, 916 17, 273, 029 20, 206, 080 22, 642, 860 18, 457, 683 7, 952, 401 14, 820, 577 15, 242, 834 14, 061, 155 DOMINION OF CANADA. DOMINION OF CANADA, Fiscal year ended June 30, 1868, Fiscal year ended June 30, 1869, Fiscal year ended June 30, 1870, 25, 064, 858 30, 353, 010 39, 507, 842 Fiscal year 1868. Fiscal year 1869. Fiscal year 1870, 17, 600, 273 21, 497, 182 21, 697, 237 * First and last years of the reciprocity treaty. t The figures for the earlier years in this column I take from one of the reports of Mr. William J. Patterson, secretary of the Montreal Board of Trade. The prominent fact that appears in the above statement is the total change of current that took place in the trade between the United States and Canada in 18G2. Down to the close of that year^ when the derange- ment of currency, the inflation of prices, and the disturbance of indus- tries produced by the war of rebellion in this country began to work their effects, we had been selling to the provinces largely in excess of what we bought from them. The aggregate of their imports from us during the nine years ending with 1862 — eight of which were the years of the reciprocity treaty — was $172,641,372. The aggregate of our imports from them in the same period was $133,230,473. The balance of trade in our favor was $39,410,899. But in 1863 the balance shifted to the other side, and ever since the preponderance against us has steadily and rapidly increased, until now, as the above figures show, we are exchanging commodities for little more than one-half that we buy from the British i^rovinces. Indeed, the exchange of our own productions covers less than one-half of the amount that we are importing from the provinces, since the Canadian import statistics cited above include for- TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. 17 eig’ii commodities reexported from the United States to Canada, making no distinction between those and the domestic exi)orts from the United States to Canada. Our own official statement of these reexports shows the following amounts going to Canada in •the last two h seal years: 1809,12,858,782; 1870, $3,031,525. Making these deductions from the Canadian importation of goods out of the United States, the exchange of domestic productions (since we receive very few non-Canadian com- modities through Canada) stands as follow^s for the last two years : 1869. From Canada to the United States $30, 353, 010 From the United States to Canada 18, 638, 400 Balance against the United States 11, 714, 610 1870. From Canada to the United States $39, 507, 842 From the United States to Canada 17, 765, 712 Balance against the United States 21, 742, 130 Comment upon the unsatisfactoriness of this state of trade seems to be quite unnecessary. The adverse balance is vastly too great to be analyzed into commercial “profits,” as an apparently adverse balance of trade often may be ; and the mode in which it is here arrived at, by comi)arison of the imi)ort entries in each country from the other, excludes, moreover, almost all the elements of such an analysis. WHAT WE SELL TO THE PROVINCES. To show what commodities are chiefly exchanged between the two countries, and to exhibit at the same time the relative importance of each in this commerce, and the course it has taken relative to each dur- ing a considerable period of years past, I have compiled a series of tables, which may be examined with interest. The first table here fol- lowing is a summary and analysis of the import statistics of the Do- minion of Caimda for the last two fiscal years, and shows wTiat w^e have chiefly sold to the four provinces of the Dominion, severall^^ and collect- ively, during those two years. 2 18 TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. Statement showhir/ the values of the principal commodities imported into the several provinces of the Dominion of Canada from the United States during the two fiscal years ended June 30, 1869 and 1870. [Compiled from Canadian official returns.] « Quebec. Ontario. HovaScotia. Hew Brunswick. Total. 1869. ^114, ni $3, 862, 154 $198 $3, 976, 523 Sugar, molasses, and melado 635, 715 289, 185 9, 351 $57, 080 991, 331 Meats, all kinds 183, 417 336, 574 24, 055 92, 419 636, 465 Tea 3‘.19, 836 91, 467 37, 030 65. 818 524, 151 Cottons 120, 855 149, 606 26, 751 146, 178 443, 390 Hats, caps, &c 137, 484 94, 758 22, 921 22, 757 277 920 General hardware 26.5, 567 377, 105 101.193 14, 140 758, 005 Coal and coke 187, 443 607, 934 21, 847 30, 105 847, 329 Flour 417, 255 217, 337 1, 033, 892 400, 790 2, 069, 274 Grain, all kinds, except Indian corn 105, 363 3, 054, 510 6, 176 64, .597 3, 230, 646 Indian corn 172, 446 1, 342, 846 80, 346 .58, 519 1, 654, 157 Cornmeal and oatmeal 4, 430 36, 094 236, 757 121,146 398, 427 Flax, hemp, and tow 137, 973 15, 990 72, 800 32, 811 259, 574 Hides, horns, and pelts 547 ; 405 203, 344 37, 587 30, 298 818, 634 Tobacco, unmanufactured 646, 843 154, 120 62, 717 14, 839 878, 519 Wool 147, 463 278, 825 183 426, 471 Woolens 98. 156 86, 1.53 26, 799 140, 091 351, 198 Glas.sware 42, 665 * 135, 105 18, 272 20, 576 216,618 Musical insti'uments , 50, 772 111, .599 8, 286 22, 900 193, 557 Books and other puhlications 48, 395 131, 595 19, 913 24, 915 224,818 Cotton wool 60, 037 235, 129 433 49, 041 • 344, 640 Salt 1, 801 147, 138 1, 160 2, 0.57 152, 156 Machinei-y 127, 329 253, 528 57, 674 90, 578 529, 109 Total, excluding coin and bullion 4, 467, 650 8, 349, 942 1, 905, 960 1,501,838 16, 226, 390 All other articles 1, .585, 983 2, 378, 081 653, 865 652, 863 5, 270, 792 Total imports from United States, ex- cept coin and bullion 6, 054, 633 10, 728, 023 2, 559, 825 2, 154, 701 21, 497, 182 Percentage of articles enumerated above. 74 83 74 70 79 Percentage of grain, flour, and meal 11 43 53 30 34 1870. Coin and bullion 157, 041 2, 869, 793 3, 026, 834 Sugar, molasses, &c 444, 681 404, 593 23, 426 61, 948 934, 648 Meats 101, 868 338, 834 19, 311 60, 672 520, 685 Tea 684, 895 178, 875 29, 443 79, 803 973, 016 Cottons 141, 552 148, 743 33, 451 45, 692 369, 438 Hats, caps. &c 120, 870 149, 366 29, 051 36, 204 335, 491 General hardware and stoves 300, 221 423, 931 124. 520 27, 348 876. 020 Coal and coke 208, 361 665,139 1, 673 31, 886 898, 059 Flour 117, 843 41, 962 736, 261 361,333 1, 257, 399 Grain, all except Indian corn 250, 199 4, 103, 626 43, 361 2, 866 4, 460, 052 Indian corn 14, 427 375, 290 1.5, 045 16, 227 420, 989 Cornmeal and oatmeal 409 14, 528 220, 740 .53, 293 288. 970 Flax, hemp, and tow 139, 882 25, 223 332 21, 752 187, 189 Hides, horns, and pelts 694, *496 306, 493 51, 616 67, 740 1, 120, 345 Tobacco, unmanitfactured 474, 438 247, 994 73, 259 8, 832 804, 523 Wool 131, 179 277, 804 59 4, 183 413, 215 M'^oolens 57, 977 56, 672 19, 9.56 60, 813 19.5, 418 Glassware 41,016 123, 628 18, 240 22, 344 205. 228 IMusical irKstruments 54, 541 99, 23t; 6, 959 30, 807 191. 543 Books, rovinces, is a question about wbicb some differences of oinnion have existed. It is certain that the i:>rivilege of navigating tbe St. Lawrence remained an almost unused privilege during tbe whole term of tbe treaty. How far it might be made valuable, by an enlargement of tbe Welland and St. Lawrence canals, I shall not undertake to dis- cuss. THE EISHEEIES. So far as concerns the fisheries, there can be no doubt that tbe greater freedom wbicb our fishermen enjoyed under tbe treaty, in British waters and at tbe provincial ports, was of importance to them. But it may seriously be doubted whether tbe worth of all that they gained, over and above what justly belonged to tbein before, and what justly belongs to them now, under prior treaties, was greater than the worth of tbe freedom of tbe markets of tbe United States to tbe people of tbe mari- time provinces alone. It would seem that a full equivalent for our fish- ing privileges was given to those provinces to whom belong whatever rights of xmoprietorsbip there are in tbe coast-fishing grounds, .and that all tbe enormous unreciprocated trading advantages given to tbe Canadas in tbe bargain were a jnire gratuity. Under tbe operation of tbe treaty tbe maritime provinces increased tbe sale in our markets of tbe products of their own fishing from $1,004,408 in 4854 to $2,213,384 in 4805. Neither their fishing industries nor their fisheries sustained any detriment from tbe admission of American fishermen within tbe 24 TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. tliree-mile inshore line, while they profited to no small extent from the selling of supplies to them. How much of actual profit the New Eng- land fishermen found in the privilege of the inshore fisheries, to offset the accompanying competition of the provincial fishermen with them in their own home markets, it is hard to estimate, since our statistics are lamentably deficient in ‘facts bearing upon the subject. Apparently, however, the value of the treaty to them was found more in the relief that it afforded from the annoyance and harassing application of pro- vincial regulations, than in the yield of the fishing grounds to which they were admitted by it. At all events, the records of the enrolled ton- nage employed in the mackerel and cod fisheries show no stimulation of the business during the period of the reciimocity treaty, but unmis- takably the reverse, as may be seen in the statement below, taken from official sources : ^ Statement of the enrolled tonnage employed in the cod and maclcerel fisheries from 1852 to 1869, inclusive.^ Tears. Cod fishery. Mackerel fish- ery. Tears. Cod fishery. 1 Mackerel fish- ery. 1852 102, 659 109, 227 102 194 102, 927 95, 816 104, 572 110, 896 120, 577 136, 653 127, 310 72, 546 59, 850 35, 041 21, 624 29, 886 28, 327 29, 553 27, 069 26 , no 54, 295 1862 122, 862 117, 269 92, 744 59, 228 42, 796 36, 708 80, 596 51,018 55, 498 41, 208 46, 589 31, 498 1853 1863 1854 1864 1855 1865* 1856 1866 1857 1867 1868 1859 83, 886 62, 704 I860 1869 1861 * After 1865 the stated tonnage is either partly or wholly by “new” admeasurement, which produces some apparent diminution that is not real. It appears from the foregoing statement that an actual and consider- able decline in the number of American vessels engaged in the mackerel fisheries occurred during the first six years of the reciprocity treaty, and- that, with the single exception of the year 1862, the business never em ployed so much tonnage throughout the whole period of the treaty as it had employed in the two years before the treaty was negotiated, while the tonnage previously emifioyed in the cod fisheries was barely kept engaged until 1863, and after that likewise declined. These facts are eertainly very far from sustaining the prevalent idea, particularly prevalent and much cherished in Canada, that the conces- sions added to our fishing rights on the British North American coasts by the reciprocity treaty greatly promoted the New England fishing inter- ests, and were of such weighty value as to counterbalance the uneven sharing of the commercial privileges negotiated in the same contract. The importance with reference to these fisheries that came to be attached to the treaty of 1851, undoubtedly grew out of the welcome exi)erience of relief from unfriendly laws and harassing officials which the Ameri- can fishermen enjoyed under it, and the welcome quietus that it gave to quarrels and questions which were constantly giving rise to dangerous TRADE WITH liRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. 25 national controversies. Now that the treaty has ceased to exist, it is the recurrence of those same annoyances, and their consequence of ill blood, far more than the loss of the ^Mnshore fisheries,” or the disi)uted definition of the ^‘inshore line,” that gives seriousness and importance to the fisheries question. That they have been revived in the most troublesome forms that can be given to them — as they were made troublesome to the fullest extreme before the treaty of reciprocity was negotiated — for the politic purpose of heightening the importance to this country of some compromise that will end them, there is little room for questioning. Nor does it a})i)ear very doubtful that this policy origi- nates at the same source from whence proceeded the shrewd dixfiomacy by which, in the treaty of 1854, the maritime x)rovinces were made to furnish the consideration for x)rivileges in trade from which the Cana- dian provinces drew the lion’s share of profit. As between the United States and tlie maritime provinces, which are chiefly the x^arties in interest, the fisheries question could x)i‘obably be settled very easily. Those x>Eovinces would gladly exchange the free- dom of their fishing grounds, and eveiy desired landing and harbor X^rivilege, for free access to American markets with their fish, their oil, their coal, their gypsum, their lumber, their grindstones, and other x>ro- ducts, and the best side of the bargain, so far as actual dollars and cents’ worth is concerned, would be theirs at that. Indeed, so apx:>arent to the xieoxde of the maritime pi'ovinces are the advantages of such an adjustment of things, that the sentiment in I'avor of securing it by actual annexation of themselves and their fisheries to the United States has strength enough to be boldly outsx^oken, and to sux)X>ort at least two Xtrominent organs of its x>ublic exx)ression in the province of Nova Scotia. Had an effort been made, at the termination of the inequitable treaty of reciprocity, to negotiate a settlement of the fisheries question on the basis of free trade with the x>r*ovinces to whom the chiefiy valuable fish- eries belong — then sex)arate as the since confederated xnovinces were — the situation of affairs in British North America might now have been considerably different. IS BEOIPBOCAL FBEE TEADE PEACTICABLE ? It is made xd^iin enough by the showing of the facts i)resented in this report that abundant reasons exist for a strong desire on our x)art, as well as oil theirs, to bring about an adjustment of our commercial re- lations with all the British colonial states that are in neighborhood to us, and esxiecially with the Canadian provinces, nxion a more liberal and more natural footing. But it is made eipially ifiain that the United States can never, in jmstice to themselves, effect that adjustment iixion anything like the bases of the old treaty of reciprocity. We want a more free and a more extended intercourse in trade with the four mil- lions of ])eox)le whose territory, in so many respects, is the geograjihical comxilement of our own ; but we want that freedom of intercourse to take 26 TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. a range considerably beyond the raw productions in whicli the two coun- tries are mere competitors of each other, and with reference to which our markets are necessarily of far greater value to the provinces than theirs to ns. We want, not merely to exchange breadstiiffs, and pro- visions, and coal, and hides and tallow with them, but to sell them our cottons, our boots and shoes, our machinery, and our manufactures gen- erally, in trade for their lumber, their live stocJv, their ashes, their plas- ter, their furs, their minerals, and the general products of their farms. We want, in fact, such an adjustment of the trade that the provinces shall not sell what they have to sell in the United States and buy what they have to buy in Great Britain. Is the arrangement of a reciprocal free trade extended to that range of commodities practicable Apparently it is not, under jmesent con- ditions. If the free admission of American commodities is suggested in the provinces, there arises at once the objection that their relations with Great Britain forbid it; that they cannot discriminate against that country in favor of this, and that their revenue necessities will not per- mit the removing of duties from the products of both. l!lor could we on this side afford the introduction of a state of free trade between our territory and the provinces, with the circumstances of the two countries remaining as they are; with high prices and high wages prevailing upon one side of tli^. line, and low wages and low prices prevailing upon the other; with the industries of the two people toned, if we may so express it, in widely different keys. To obliterate the boundary line, commer- cially speaking, while these contrasts of circumstance and the causes behind them existed to still define it in every industrial respect, would simply invite the removal of a good part of our manufacturing establish- ments across the frontier, to enjoy the cheap scale in making and the dear scale in selling their products. Of course, time would finally level all the differences existing at first, but the process would assuredly be an expensive one to the United States. A ZOLLVEKEIK It appears, therefore, that an intimate freedom of commerce between this country and its northern neighbors, which is so desirable for both parties, cannot be contemplated except in connection with a material change in the conditions of theforeign relationship that the provinces sus- tain toward us. It involves, of necessity, an entire identification of the material interests of the two countries, by their common association, in some form or other. If the provinces do not choose to become one with us politically, they must at least become one with us commercially, before the barriers are thrown down which shut them out from an equal participation with us in the energetic working of the mixed activities of the new world, and which deprive us, in a great jneasure, of the reenforcement that they are capable of bringing to those activities. The alternative of annexation is the zollverein, or a customs union, after TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. 27 the plan of that under wliich the German states secured free trade among themselves and identity of interest in their commerce with the outside world. A majority of the people of the British provinces may not yet be pre- pared in feeling (though many of them are) for an arrangement which probablj^ involves the disjointing of their ])olitical attachment to Great Britain, and the assumption for themselves of a state of political inde- pendence; but the time cannot be very distant when the persuasion of their interests will overpower the hardly explainable sentiment by which it is opposed. Perpetually made conscious, of late years, that the parental nation to which they have loyally clung is more than ready to dismiss them to an independent career, with a hearty God-speed, and that they are far more endangered than protected by their anomalous connection with Great Britain, their feeling with reference to that con- nection has confessedly undergone a great change. At the i^resent time the inhabitants of the provinces appear to be in a doubtful, waver- ing, transition state of opinion and sentiment, witli regard to their future policy as ai^eople; much affected, on the one hand, b}" dissatisfaction with their relations to England, and, on the other hand, by a mistaken belief that it is the ambitions policy and fixed purpose of their Ameri- can neighbors to coerce them into a surrender of themselves and their territory to the United States. That it is alike against the political convictions and against the manifest interest of this nation to covet the forcible absorption into its body-politic of any unwilling, alien, discon- tented commnnity of people, so large as that of the British i)rovinces, and that their accession to it is only desirable, and only desired, if the}^ come by free choosing of their own, is a fact wliich they will probably discern when their reflections have become more deliberate. There does exist a feeling in the United States with reference to them which it ought not to be difficult for the people of the provinces to understand. It is the unwillingness of a reasonable jealousy, and of a just, prudential selfishness, to extend the material benefits of member- ship in the American Union, without its responsibilities and reciprocal obligations, to communities with which the certain relations of an inde- pendent- friendship cannot be cultivated or maintained; which are con- trolled by a distant foreign jiower, and which are at all times liable to be placed in an attitude of unfriendliness or hostility to this country by causes outside of themselves, or through events in connection with whicdi they have nothing on their own part to do. Between two equally independent and responsible nationalities, homogeneous in blood and character, and with every interest in common, situated as tlie United States and their northern neighbors are toward each other, it would be as easy to settle the relations of intimate fellowshii) ui)on an enduring basis, as it is made difficult to do so in the case of tliese provinces, by reasons of their dependent status. The circumstances which make the common boundary of tlie two 28 TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROAHNCES. countries an actual barrier instead of an imaginary line, are under tlieir control, not onrs. It is for them to determine which affects them most importantly, their political association with Great Britain, or their com- mercial and industrial association in interest with the United States, and which shall be yielded to the other, since the two are unquestionably in contlict. There is no apparent evasion of the choice that they must make. THE TRANSIT TRADE. Ill every commercial respect the dependence of the provinces of the Dominion of Canada — especially of the old Canadian provinces — upon the United States, is almost absolute. To say so is not to make an arro- gant boast, but to state a simple fact. Restricted as the intercourse between the Canadas and this country unhappily is now, they derive from it almost Avholly the life which animates their industry and their enterprise. The railroad system, which gives them a circulation of en- ergies, and by which their resources are being developed, is the offspring of the East and West traffic of the United States. Its trunk lines are supported, and were made possible undertakings, by the carrying busi- ness that they command from point to point of the American frontier, across intervening Canadian territory. American commerce instigated the building of their Welland and St. Lawrence Canals, and furnishes the compensation for the cost of both. American commerce is the insti- gator to, and the guarantor for, every similar enterprise that is now con- templated in the provinces. These are not exaggerated representations. They are borne out by the returns of the traffic of the chief Canadian railways and canals. The following is a statement, in tons, of the property transported through the Welland Canal in 18G9, showing the ])roportions of Ameri- can and Canadian commerce employing the canal : Up. Down. Total. From American to American ports tons.. From American to Canadian ports tons.. From Canadian to American ports tons.. From Canadian to Canadian ports tons.. 2T7, 065 5, 845 78. 480 16, 666 411, 635 210, 608 56, 455 178, 751 688, 700 21.5, 851 134, 935 195, 417 The following is a statement of the freight traffic of the Great West- ern Railway of Canada, for the year ending July 31, 1870: Cattle. Sheep. Hogs. Grain. Other freight. Receipts. Head. Head. Head. Bushels. Tons. S, s. d. Foreij^n traffic, eastward.. Foreign traffic, westward . 33, 329 129, 784 99, 061 2,597,042 j 213, 739 136, 825 203,499 11 6 99, 602 9 10 Total forei<^n traffic.-.. 33,329 129, 784 99,061 2,597,042 350, 504 303, 162 1 4 Local traffic, (both ways) . . 37, 195 77, 648 26, 593 2,330,555 323, 585 194,191 14 2 I have been unable to procure a statement of the traffic of the Grand Trunk Railway of Canada, the management of \yhich appears to pursue a policy of concealment with regard to its business ; but very much the TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. 29 same state of facts atouIcI iiiuloubtedly be sliowii on that road as on the Great Westeri]. The extent to Avliich tlie Grand Trunk Eailway shares in the tlonf and grain trade of the United States, appears in the follow- ing statement of the quantities of those articles which were shipped upon it from its two western frontier termini, Sarnia and Goderich, in the year 18G9 : Flour. Wheat. Corn. Other grain. From TTuited States to United States, in transit [Ftoiii Stnt^s Barrels. 431,830 90, 112 Bushels. 225, 900 Bushels. 1, G92, 133 670, 230 Bushels. 183, 643 48, 831 The foregoing figures supply their oaaui commentary and fully sustain the remark with which they were introduced, that the main railways and canals of Canada owe their existence and their support to the com- merce of the United States, in the transportation of which they share. On the other hand, a large portion of the commerce between the old Canadian provinces (Ontario and Quebec) and foreign countries, other than our own, is carried on through the United States. This is made necessary by the Avinter closing of the St. Lawrence, and by the fact that no railroad connection between the Canadian interior and the seaports of the maritime proAunces exists, and that one can be formed only by taking so Avide, costly, and inconvenient a circuit that its commercial usefulness Avhen realized AAill be A^ery slight. According to the “Trade and XaAugation ” tables published by the goAwnment of the Dominion, the foreign goods passing through the United States under bond to the Canadiau importer, in the fiscal year ended June 30, 18G0, amounted in Amine to $G,825,1G5. This is exclushm of foreign goods purchased in the United States market, in bond, to the Audue of $1,701,9G5. According to the returns compiled in the Bureau of Statistics at Washington, the foreign commodities carried through the United States to Canada in the fiscal ‘year ended June 30, 18G9, amounted to the Amine of $14,843, G20, (more than double the quantity appearing in the Canadian statistics,) and the Canadian commodities shipped through the United States to countries abroad aggregated $5,794,197. In the fiscal year ended June 30, 1870, the goods shipped through the United States to Canada Avere of the A alue of $1G,519,G37, and from Canada, $G,932,G93. The greater part of this in transitu trade is to and from Portland, Maine, OA'er the Grand Trunk Baihvay, as appears in the folloAving statement of it for 1870, made by districts: Disti'icts. lieceived from Canada. Shipped to Canada. Portland $3, 273, 773 3, A55, 740 119, r>72 .AO, 017 12, 093 7, 701 2, 409 2, 388 $10, 768, 800 2, 502, 614 111,270 7, 975 2, 861, 1.50 7, 701 Vermont Detroit I’ort Huron New York Passamaijuoddy, Alaine Alilwaukee Do.ston 260, 127 Total 6, 932, 693 16, 519, 637 30 TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. No one will question tliat we find convenienee and advantage in the use of Canadian channels for the passage of our coininerce between the Eastern and Western States, nor that we find profit in acting as the carriers of so large a part of the connnerce of Canada with the outside AYorld. Both these arrangements of trade are of important value to this country, and its interests would suffer materially from any suspension of either; but the difference in the situation of the two countries with reference to them is very marked. To the Canadian provinces their importance is nothing less than vital, since, on the one hand, the very sustenance of the arterial system of the Canadas is derived from the American commerce which circulates through it ; while, on the other hand, their own commerce with the world abroad can only be conducted at exceeding disadvantage, if at all, for five months of the year, other- wise than across the territory of the United States, and by the privilege of the customs regulations of the American Government. The contem- plation of such a state of facts must make it a very serious question to the Canadian people whether they can afford to let their relations with the United States remain in a precarious state, subject to disturbance by causes that are totally foreign to themselves. CANADIAN AND AMERICAN TARIFF POLICIES. The proposed arrangement of a commercial union, or zollverein, with no tariff' between the States and the inde])endent provinces that become parties to it, and a common tariff for all outside trade — dividing the common revenue collected from customs duties upon equitable terms — is an arrangement which would place the provinces in the utmost security of interested relationship with this country, and which, beyond all ques- tion, would yield great advantage and profit to both people. There are obstacles and apparent objections, to be sure, in the way of such an arrangement, but they are less serious in the reality than in the appear- ance. The objection raised, on the other side, upon the score of the wide diff'erence that has existed of late years between the tariff' policy of the United States and the tariff' policy of the Dominion, is an objection Avhich a few years more seem likely to remove, in any event. While the tend- ency in this country is toward a moderation of the extreme protection duties that were caused by the necessities of the war, the tendency in Canada, with reference to duties, is a steadily advancing one. Opinions favorable to a pronounced policy of protection are manifestly gaining very decided strength in the Dominion, and some, at least, of the prominent public men now in office, including the premier of one of the provinces, are among their advocates. Within the last year, the Con- gress of the United States reduced and abolished duties in the American tariff', estimated at the sum of $26,000,000 per annum, while the parlia- ment of the Dominion, at its corresponding session, made considerable additions to the Canadian tariff'. Within the past twelve years the average rate of the Canadian tariff' has at least doubled. In the last TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. 31 fiscal year, the duties collected in the Dominion amounted to 21 per cent, on the dutiable commodities imported. In the same 5 ^ear, it is true, the duties collected in the United States averaged 4G per cent, on the duti- able commodities imported, but the current fiscal year will probably show a falling of the latter rate to less than 40 per cent, and an advance in the former rate to perhaps 23 or 24 ])er cent. The wide difference by which the two countries have been apart in their tariff’ policy is certainly destined to disappear in no very long time, whatever their relations to each other may be. CANADA AS A “CHEAP COUNTPY.” It was remarked not long since,’ by a prominent Canadian gentleman, that the policy of the Dominion was- to make a cheap country. That policy has undoubtedly been successful in realizing its object; but whether “ cheapness,” as an ultimate end, is a wisely-chosen object of public policy may be questioned. WAGES AND THE COST OF LIVING. To ascertain how labor stands affected by the cheapness that prevails among our northern neighbors, I have procured a representative state- inent of wages and of the prices of articles that enter most into the cost of living, taken at several points in Ontario, in the two chief towns of Yew Brunswick, and in the city of Quebec. The mean average be- tween the four points represented in Ontario is, I think, a fair one for that province, which is by far the most active and prosperous section of the Dominion; that between the two towns reported from in New Brunswick is, no doubt, something above the general average of wages, and, possibly, of prices, in the province. How nearly the summer aver- age of wages in the city of Quebec represents the same in the province of Quebec I am not now able to say, though it is certainly indicative of the prevailing state of industry. These figures are placed, below, in comparison with similar figures representing the mean average of wages and prices in the States of New York and Maine, the latter of which are derived from the elaborate tables upon the subject compiled and published within the past year by the Bureau of Statistics at Washington. The New York and Maine report is for the year I8G9, while the Canadian statement presents the average prices of labor and of commodities that i)revailed during the summer of 1870; but, so far as the diff’erence in time affects the accuracy of the comparison, it is rather to the advantage ot the Canadian side, since prices in the United States have declined to some extent during the year past. Wages in Ontario, in New Brunswicic, and in the cilij of Qnelec, during the summer of 1870, compared with wages in New Yorlc and in Maine, during the year 1869. 32 TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. Ratios. •q,IOi AVOX iP S3.§nAV oj ooq -on?)jo Aqi.-) ui soSoAv JO oijnji c-i cd ci ci « iii ci t-! ci ci i BBBBBBBBBS | •aiiib’K ni saSb’AV oj q.ot.w -siin.ia Av.^x >11 saSoAs. JO oijuji Ito 1.94 1 to 1. 79 1 to 1. (19 1 to 1. 70 1 to 1.75 1 to 1. 9S 1 to 1.81 1 to 1. 75 1 to 1. 71 •q.iox AV9X ni saS'uAV oj OLiiqiif) ni saSoAv JO oi:|i?y^ 1 to 1. 57 1 to 1. 47 Ito 1.64 1 to 1. 81 1 to 1. 64 1 to 1. 81 1 to 1. 88 1 to 1.32 1 to 1. 36 1 to 1. 90 1 to 1. 77 United States. '6981 ‘oniop: ni 9.OU.10AY CO S 0 ?o 3 CO 0 3 J ^ 07 OJ CO C^! T-i ‘ •6981 ‘q.ioi Avax ni o.oB.TaAY ^eC(?Jci:^(jTs per dozen.. GROCEKIES. Tea per pound.. Coffee, Eio, green do roasted do Sugar, good brown do TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. 35 1 to 1. 45 1 to 1. 30 1 to 1. 57 1 to 1. 71 1 to 1. 18 1 to 0. 95 1 to 1. 48 1 to 1. 37 1 to 1. 15 1 to 1. 20 1 to 1. 11 1 to 0. 52 1 to 0. 56 1 to 0. 90 1 to 1. 31 1 to 1. 10 1 to 1. 50 1 to 1. 36 1 to 1. 36 1 to 1. 02 1 to 1. 33 1 to 0. 94 1 to 1. 95 1 to 1. 37 1 to 1. 26 1 to 1. 09 1 to 1. 17 1 to 0. 87 1 to 0. 57 1 to 0. 42 1 to 1. 14 1 to 1. 14 1 to 0. 85 1 to 1. 27 1 to 1. 19 1 to 1. 52 1 to 1. 03 1 to 1. 45 1 to 1. 55 1 to 1. 52 1 to 1. 71 1 to 1. 18 1 to 1. 14 1 to 1. 48 1 to 1.78 1 to 1. 48 1 to 1. 64 1 to 1. 54 1 to 0. 87 1 to 0. 68 1 to 1. 51 1 to 1. 14 1 to 0. 91 1 to 1.00 1 to 1. 30 1 to 2. 04 1 to 1. 72 1 to 1. 50 1 to 1. 55 15 17 1 00 12 16 11 20 6 00 3 15 49 17 17 16 21 25 33 14 70 4 83 4 45 6 45 3 72 2 70 16 17 1 18 12 13 8 10 6 30 4 12 46 18 20 21 28 28 34 11 67 4 40 8 40 11 20 4 50 3 50 11 m 75 07 11 8 50 4 25 3 00 40 15 18 40 50 31 26 i : : § ^ 1 I TO kC ^ 51 : SS i I CC ^ CO th o Cl I I I < ^ gg ro CO 11 12 95 09 16 5 50 5 25 3 00 40 11 18 28 50 22 28 15 55 2 00 3 00 4 00 He H- -1 Hn ^ . Cl CC CO fC 11 11 75 10 12.t 7 00 2 50 1 75 30 10 12i 25 50 16 20 m 70 4 00 5 00 8 00 3 00 2 00 §g§ g- H 00 r: ' 1 g' 4 00 6 00 3 00 2 50 I'sigi’ gi§ S r-l 1' CO fC 5 00 8 00 3 00 2 50 1 CO r: r-t j ( .2 g§ §g M Cl CC C) ) t yellow, “C.” do (’offeo, ‘‘ B." 5U’ently, however, this statement did not include the outstanding Dominion treasury notes in circulation, of which $7,450,334 had been issued in October last. Ivclatively to Xioxmlation, this debt of the Dominion, amounting to about $26 x>er caxnta, axixicars trifling in comparison Avith the debt of the United States j TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. 39 blit relatively to the wealth of the two countries, their resources, and energies, it may be questioned, from the indications heretofore given, whether the disparity of the burden of debt is so great as many in the provinces imagine. Whatever the disparity may be, it will certainly disappear in the accomxdishment of the policy of expenditure which the government of the Dominion has laid out, with refereni'e to political necessities that grow wholly out of an anomalous situation — such, for example, as the building of the Intercolonial Eailway and the projected railway across the continent to British Oolumbia, parallel with the line of the American ^lorthern Pacific, to neither of which undertakings does the commerce of the continent offer any encouragement. IMMIGRATION AND EMIGRATION. If no other facts existed to show that the conditions of life in the Do- minion of Canada, with its cheapness and its lighter taxes, as compared with the United States, are not conditions to be intelligently preferred by those who are free to choose, the facts of immigration and emigration show it strikingly. Out of 74,365 foreign immigrants to the New World, who landed at Canadian ports in 1869, only 18,360 paused to seek homes in the Domin- ion, and’ 57,202 passed on to our Western States. In 1868 the number reported as making a settlement in the Dominion was but 12,765, against 58,683 going through to the United States. For the year just closed, the statistics of immigration into the Dominion at large are not yet at- tainable. AVithin a few days, however, the Ontario Commissioner of Agriculture, who has charge of immigration, has published his report, from Avhich it appears that the measures adopted in that province to attract settlers from Great Britain, and to assist their removal, have largely increased the arrivals in Ontario during the past twelve’months. The commissioner reports the number for the year ending December 31, 1870, at 25,290. Although to a great extent this does not represent a natural movement of immigration, but is the result of systematic efforts tliat are being made in England by various societies to deport some of the more sufiering classes of the poor population of that country, still, so far as concerns Ontario, it produces a considerable change in the facts heretofore existing. But if Ontario is making some gain of population from foreign immigration, that province, in this as hi most matters, is a favored exception. AVithout much reasonable doubt the other provinces, and especially (Quebec, are steadily losing more by emigration to the United States than they gain by immigration from abroad. I am indebted to Mr. AA)ung, Chief of the Bureau of Statistics, for the following statement, compiled from returns made of immigrants arriving in the United States from the British INorth American i)ossessions for eleven years past : 40 TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. Tears. Xumber. Years. Number. I860 4, .514 2, 069 ’ 3, 275 3, 464 3, 636 21. 586 32, 150 1867 6, 014 10, 894 30, 921 40, 411 1861 > 1868 186-3 1869 1863 1870 1864 . . Total - 1865 158, 934 1866 1 But these are more than doubtful statistics j nor does it appear pos- sible to secure any trustworthy enumeration of the persons who come into the IJnited States from the British provinces with intent to make this country their home. The figures given above are obtained, I be- lieve, from returns made by the officers of customs, in connection ‘■with tlie entering of household goods, which are admitted free as settlers’ ehects.” If exact to that extent, they would only represent the class of immigrants who come with families and household effects, wholly omit- ting the perhaps larger class of young men from the provinces who seek their fortunes in the United States, and who, as they cross the frontier, are in no way to be distinguished from ordinary travelers. But even for what they purport to exhibit, I fear that our statistics of provincial emigration are not to be trusted. I have reason to know that some of the returns of immigration from frontier crossing points are almost entirely, if not wholly, founded upon careless guessing on the part of railway agents and clerks, as to the number of persons likely to have accompanied a given quantity of settlers’ effects.” Perhaps these are exceptional cases, but more probably not, since there is noth- ing to compel the taking of the trouble which accuracy would require. It is possible, too, that the aggregate result of such estimating may be not far from the true fact, but that is a matter of no certainty. As for the large class of immigrants of whom no account can possibly be taken when they cross the frontier, Mr. Young, who has been gath- ering information on the subject, thinks they may be safely estimated at 10,000 for the past year. All definite statements, however, with regard to this emigration from the provinces must be made and received with considerable doubt. It can only be said with certainty (and that no one at all acquainted with the facts will dispute) that the annual movement from the Canadas and from the maritime provinces to the United States is very large. The Dominion suffers in no respect more seriously than in the loss of the en- terprising young men who are being constantly enticed away from it to seek wider opportunities in the United States than their own country affords ; some of them to return after a time, but the greater part to establish permanent ties and make permanent homes in ‘‘the States.” Such are to be found everywhere in the Union, and no adopted element in the American population contributes more to its stock of energy or is of greater value. During the late war mau}" tliousands of Canadian young men volunteered in the Union army and shared our national TEADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. 41 struggle with us, the larger proportion of the survivors of whom are probabty citizens to-day under the government for which they fought. Erom the province of Quebec, where the circumstances of the general population are growing less prosperous rather than improving, emigra- tion across the line into New England and elsewhere has assumed such proportions within the past two or three years as to become a very serious subject of discussion in the journals of the province. It is exceedingly unfortunate that we have no trustworthy data from which to calculate its extent. There are two migratory movements from Quebec, one periodical and temporary, the other permanent. Large numbers of the French Canadian laborers and small farmers leave their homes on the approach of winter, cross to the United States, find wdnter emj)loynient here, some even in the Southern States, and return to their homes again in the spring. How this number compares with those who l^ermanently remove themselves to the United States it is impossible to say. That the latter have greatly multiplied during late years we know, from the importance which the French Canadian element is assuming among the operatives in the New England factories, and from what is acknowledged by observers in Quebec. Intelligent French Canadian gentlemen in that province estimate that there are already more of their race in the United States than at home. Said one of the daily newspapers of Montreal in October last : Statistics tell us, and any one who has traveled in the United States will confirm the fact, that we annually suffer a heavier loss through native persons leaving the country than the total figure of the immigration returns. There are, at a low computation, half a million native-born Canadians now domiciled in the United States. They are established in the republic, not because they prefer that form of government, but because the spirit of enterprise seemed to have died out on this soil, and there was no field opened to skilled industry.’’ The same newspaper, in an article a few weeks previous, had stated the fact that “ our farmers realize very little more for their hay and oats than they did thirty years since, and the consequences are that farm lands are declining in value in the jU’o- vince. The returns, minus the labor, are smaller; the margin of profit remaining to the farmer at the end of the year, after paying and feeding his men, is less.” It was said in a public address by one of the promi- nent public men of the province of Quebec a little more than a year ago : “ The emigration of common laborers to the States is something actually alarming; and it could not be otherwise, for our water-powers are neglected, our mines are closed, and Ave have no means of furnishing employment to our people.” Within a few Aveeks past, to cite one iiiore authority, the leading neAvspaper of the city of Quebec, the Daily Chronicle, made the folloAving statement, AAdiich has a tAAm-fold signifi- cance: Unfortunately it is a truism, and requires no demonstration, that ship-building, formerly the main industry of Quebec, has almost ceased to exist, and that consequently our laboring population, the A ery 42 TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. bone and sinew of tlie body politic, were commencing to seek in the adjoining republic that employment which was no longer to be found here. Too many, indeed, already, we fear, have removed permanently from our province.’’ General evidence of the magnitude of the emigration that goes on from the Dominion to the United States is abundant, though the statistics to represent it in defined numbers, with tolerable exactness, are lacking. What is true of (Quebec is undoubtedly true to not much less extent of Uova Scotia and New Brunswick, and if Ontario does not lose poi)ula- tion in equal numbers it loses very considerably from a class whose young blood is the life force of a country. Against these losses there is no equal offset or exchange. Emigration from the United States to the provinces is limited, though valuable to the latter, because chiefly con- fined to men who go there with a definite enterprise in view, and gen- erally with capital, to engage in lumbering, or mining, or salt making, or oil producing, or general si^eculation and trade. Under different con- ditions, the number of these would unquestionably be multiplied to a very great extent. PAETIAL PEOSPIJEITY IN THE DOMINION. I hope I shall not be accused of having labored to make a representa- tion of circumstances unfavorable to our northern neighbors. I give the facts as I have found them, in seeking, without preconceived notions, to ascertain the relative situation of afiairs in the two countries, which be- came, as I have viewed it, a necessary part of the subject submitted to me for investigation. I group these facts here to show, as I think they do show, that if that which appears to be the only practicable arrange- ment under which a natural state of trade between the United States and the British provinces can be established, involves a change in the conditions that prevail within the latter, assimilating them to the con- ditions existing in the United States, the change cannot be one to the detriment of the people of the x)rovinces, and cannot form a forbidding obstacle to the arrangement. I know and I do not contradict the claim to prosperity that is asserted in considerable portions of the Dominion. Prosperity, upon the moderate scale to which everything is adjusted in the provinces, does exist throughout most of Ontario, in the city of Montreal, and in several small manufacturing towns that have grown ui> in the loAv^er x)roviuces 5 a degree of prosperity quite in contrast with the aspect of affairs, gen- erally speaking, in Quebec, and for the most part prevailing in the mari- time provinces. The people of Ontario are very comfortable j many of the towns show more life than they formerly did, are adding to their industries, and are slowly" growing. One branch of manufacture, the woolen manufacture, has obtained quite a root, and has risen to consid- erable magnitude within a few years past; so much so as to diminish the imi)ortation of woolens nearly a million of dollars m I8G9 from the TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. 43 importation of 1868. In railway enterprise there is a noticeable stir of life, stimulated in great part by the American transit trade, though partly directed towmrd the development of the ‘^back settlements” of Ontario. CO^mERCIAL GROWTH OF MONTREAL. But nowhere and in nothing else is the display of really energetic forces equal to that at Montreal. The city of Montreal has certainly made an astonishing advance in commercial importance within the last few years. The conspicuous feature, and, i^erhaps, the conspicuous cause connected with its commercial rise, has been the establishment and remarkable success of the splendid line of ocean steamers which a single Canadian firm has placed afioat, connecting Montreal with both Liverpool and Glasgow by regular direct lines. Commencing in 1856 with four steamers and a capacity of 6,536 tons, this great fleet of the Messrs. Allan & Co. now numbers eighteen steam ves- sels, among the finest on the seas, with a total capacity exceeding 42,000 tons. The rise of this flourishing Canadian mercantile steam navy is a more notable fact by reason of its contrast with the decline of the ocean steam shq^ping of the United States. DIVERSION OF AMERICAN GRAIN TRADE. Perhaps it is owing chiefly to the organization of operations in com- merce incident to the effect of the establishment of such lines of for- eign connection, that Montreal began, two years ago, to accomplish a powerful diversion of the movement of our Western cereals away from 'New York. The very extensive sudden transition, particularly in the movement of wheat, which occurred in 1860, claims serious attention. It appears in the following statement of flour and grain passing through the Welland Canal, from Lake Erie to Lake Ontario, the quan- tity stated as going ‘Go Canada” being almost wholly destined for Montreal : Quantities of flour and grain xjassing into Canada from the United States ; also quantities in transit to poi'ts in the United States during four years past. Tear. FLOUU. 5VIIEAT. • INDIAN CORN. OTHER GRAIN. To Canada. Transit, to United States. To Canada. Transit to United States. To Canada. Transit to United States. To Canada. Transit to United States. 1 Jiarrds. Barrels. Bushels. Bushels. Bushels. Bushels. Bushels. Bushels. 186G 8, 102 , 800, :U4 14, 90:} 5, 0:}2, 071 488, 401 4, 250, 2:}2 2(), 108 20, 425 1807 4, 401 1, 07:}, 080 2:}, 804 .5, 148,714 295, 720 5, 448, 144 :}, 128 22:}, 719 1808 o:}, 540 1,4.5.5,947 87, 22:} 7, 151,012 .520, 7:}1 5, 080, 990 18, .502 805, 020 180!J 105, oo:} , 1, :}00, 054 5, 458, G!)2 7, 990, 2:}3 1, 180, 947 7, 024, 8:}5 05, 8:}5 1, 248, 470 The statement for the last season I Inave not yet been able to procure, but there is reason to believe that the proportion taken to Montreal, 44 TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. compared witli tliat passing to Oswego, Ogdensburg, and Cape Vincent, for sbiiiment by canal and rail to ^few York and Boston, lias increased rather than diminished. But, noticeable as tlie commercial progress made by Montreal during a few years past may appear, it obviously has not placed her, and gives no promise of placing her, at the height of importance which naturally belongs to the chief port of the great St. Lawrence outlet. For Montreal occupies a position where, under conditions of equal rivalry Avith New York, Philadelphia, Boston, and Baltimore, there would unquestionably have risen, to-day, a great metropolis of not less than half a million souls, instead of a thriving city of one hundred and forty or fifty thou- sand people. FAVORINH CIRCUMSTANCES. The moderate degree of prosperity that exists in the most faA^ored section of the Dominion affords evidence, not to be disputed, in proof that the Canadian people suffered less from the abrogation of the reciprocity treaty in 18 G 6 than they apprehended or than others ex- pected. The expiration of the treaty happened at a most fortunate time for them, when several circumstances combined to break the effect of the suspension of free trade. The state of business in this country Avas just beginning to settle into composure after the upheaval and dis- turbance of the civil war. During the war, and for some time after it, the exaggerated and incalculably fluctuating premium placed upon gold by the mad gambling that Avas rife, deprived our currency to some ex- tent of its due purchasing power in the Canadian market, and intro- duced so much daily and hourly uncertainty of exchangeable Amlues between American and Canadian money, that transactions in the Canadian markets by American purchasers were made difficult and hazardous. This had interfered seriously with the selling of Canadian liroducts to the United States during the last half of thefree trade period, and Avhen, otherAvise, the marketing of those products in the United States would have been enormously stimulated. At times it had no doubt formed more of an obstruction to frade from the provinces than the duties since imposed Inwe formed. But the one obstruction, of a fluc- tuating and uncertain purchasing medium, Avas disappearing, AAdien the other obstruction, of revived customs duties, arose, and it is clear enough that the immediate commercial effects of the latter occurrence were A^ery considerabl3^ neutralized by the former; so that the people ol the iirovinces did not feel the sudden loss of free trade Avith the United States as they otherwise Avould haA^e done. MoreoAW, the Southern States began about the same time to become purchasers again of lumber, fish, &c., from the proAunces, which, for fiA^e years before, had had that part of their Amnican trade entirely cut off. These circumstances account, I think, for the otherwise singular appearance of the fact that our importations from the provinces have rather increased, on the average, than declined since the termination of the recii)rocity treaty. TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. 45 LUMBER AND BARLEY. Referring’ to tlie comparative table heretofore given, which shows the extent of onr annnol importation of several of the chief staples of Cana- dian production, we find that the two articles of lumber and barley to- gether formed one-third of the entire purchases of the United States from the Dominion in 1869, and that these two articles, more than anj^ others, have exhibited a total indifference to the terms upon which they are admitted to the United States. In both cases the undoubted fact is, that this country has need of the foreign supply. The sources of our own lumber supply are rapidly receding from the great markets in which it is consumed, and are rapidly being exhausted. Every year is making it more a necessity that the Eastern and Middle States should buy lum- ber and timber from the provinces. Under such circumstances, and in view of the fact that this country would seem to have more interest in the conservation of its fast-disappearing forests than in the encourage- ment of their consumption, it may be well to consider, without reference to the general question of reciprocal policy, Avhether it is not due to American consumers that the present high duty of 20 per cent, on Cana- dian lumber should be modified, taking another step in the - direction which was taken at the last session of Congress, when the duties ou saw-logs and ship-timber were removed. Much the same considerations apply to the arti(de of barley, for which the consumers in this country are, to a considerable extent, dependent upon a country whose climate and soil are better adapted than most of our own territory to its pro- duction. TRADE WITH THE NGN-CONFEDERATED PROVINCES. With this imperfect discussion of them, I submit the main facts which I have collected. Within the time allotted to my inquiry I have been unable to extend it, except very superficially, bej^oud the provinces em- braced in the Dominion of Canada. Our trade Avith the three provinces of Newfoundland, Prince Edward’s Island, and British Columbia, which remain outside the confederation of the Dominion, (although British Columbia seems to be at the point of becoming joined Avith it,) is represented for the last tAvo years in the reports of Commerce and Navigation, compiled in the United States Bureau of Statistics, as folloAvs : 1869. 1870. Inipf)rts f 1, 737, 304 2, 703, 173 446, 664 |1, .581, 959 3, 204, 668 347, 360 Doincstic exports Toreigii reexports RelatUely to its extent, this trade appears much more faAwable to the United States than our trade Avith the Dominion, and relatAely to their population and commerce the non-confederated provinces are far 46 TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. the better customers of this conutry. The subject of our relatious with them, moreover, is made the more interestiug and important by reason of the unwillingness that their people manifest to attach themselves to the British colonial confederation, and it claims an examination which I regret that I have not been able to give to it. In the United States official statistics of late years, only a distinction be- tween the ^‘Dominion of Canada” and ^‘all other British possessions in North America” is made, so that our trade transactions with the several provinces cannot be discriminated. Attempting to procure returns from the several customs districts with such a discrimination made, I suc- ceeded but partially, and with a result too imperfect for use, except in one or two particulars. NEWFOUNDLAND AND PRINCE EDWARD’S ISLAND. Out of twenty-eight collection districts from which I have been fur- nished with statistics relating to the last fiscal year, only five report transactions with Newfoundland and Prince Edward’s Island, as follows , Imports m certain districts from Newfoundland, Cape Breton, and Prince Edward’s Island during the fiscal year ended June 30, 1870. Districts. Products of the forests. Products of agri- culture. Products of the mines. Animals and their products. Products of the fisheries. Miscellaneous. Total. Boston $621 372 $21, 767 5, 877 $1, 537 121, 520 2, 530 $41, 167 $79, 073 81, 372 $10, 431 5, 447 $154, 596 214, 588 2, 530 29, 096 New York ... Providence B. I .... New Bedford Wass 29, 096 Total 993 27, 644 125, 587 41, 167 189, 541 15, 878 400, 810 Domestic exports from certain districts to Newfoundland, Cape Breton, and Prince Edward’s Island during the fiscal year ended June 30, 1870. From Boston to Xowfonndland From Boston to Prince Edward’s Island From Wilmington, X. C., (lumber to Newfoundland) From New York 1299, 117 105, 918 2, 200 1,567 Total. 408, 802 The foregoing returns no doubt represent most of the trade carried on during the past fiscal year with the insular provinces named. MANITOBA. Our present trade with the great central region of British America, formerly known as the Bed River country, but now politically organized and incorporated with the Dominion of Canada, under the name of the province of Manitoba, is imperfectly shown by the following statement, TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. 47 wliicli is furuisbed to me by the collector of customs at Pembina, Min- nesota. It exhibits for the last two fiscal years the imports entered in and the exports cleared from the customs' district of Minnesota, through which the trade between the United States and the Manitoba country necessarily passes : 1869. IMPORTS. Imports entered for immediate consumxition $60, 402 02 Imports entered warehouse 151,645 22 Total imports 212,047 24 EXPORTS. Export of goods the growth, produce, and manufacture of the United States 174, 913 00 Exports of foreign dutiable goods 14, 548 05 Total exports 189, 461 05 1870. IMPORTS. Imports entered for immediate consumption $34, 199 29 Imports entered warehouse 186,142 57 Total imports 220,341 86 EXPORTS. Exports of domestic merchandise 152, 596 00 Exports of foreign dutiable goods 20, 133 47 Total exports 172,729 47 The special deputy collector at Pembina, Mr. N. E. l^elson, who fur- nishes this statement to me, writes that the entire amount of exports to Manitoba, through Minnesota, is not represented in it, for the reason that large quantities of domestic goods, such as tobacco, sugars, sirui)s, gunpowder, matches, liquors, &c., are entered for exportation in bond at other districts, free of the internal revenue tax, and, simply i)assing in transit through the Minnesota district, do not appear in its returns. > Tlie same is true of a large quantity of foreign goods reexported to Manitoba. The United States imports from that province, which con- sist almost wholly of raw furs and buffalo robes, are i)robably all entered in the Minnesota district, since the large shii)ments made by way of Iludson’s Pay go abroad. Our j)resent trade with that vast new region of richly })roductive ter- ritory in the basin of Lake Winnipeg, which the pioneer forces of civili- 3 0112 062135147 48 TRADE WITH BRITISH NORTH AMERICAN PROVINCES. zation are just preparing to invade, is inconsiderable; but its fntnr possibilities are beyond calculation. The time is approaching very nea' wlien it is clearly destined to give a new phase to the question of rela tions between this country and British North America, and when it wil bring to bear upon that question the pressure of an inexorable geographi cal necessity, that will compel it to some solution. CONCLUSION. In concluding my report, it is proper that I should acknowledge th extreme courtesy with which I have been assisted in procuring informa- tion by the members of the Canadian government, and by all of its offi- cials, as well as by those of this Government, to whom I have had occa- sion to apply. Eespectfully submitted. J. N. LARNED. Hon. George S. Boutwell, Secretary of the Treasury, O