UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS LIBRARY Class Book Volume VAV!)3e Ja 09-20M Supplied by tue Museum JOooU Stove, The person charging this material is re- sponsible for its return to the library from which it was withdrawn on or before the Latest Date stamped below. Theft, mutilation, and underlining of books are reasons for disciplinary action and may result in dismissal from the University. UNI LIBRARY AT URBANA-CHAMPAIGN L161 — 0-1096 Digitized by the Internet Archive in 2016 https://archive.org/details/essayonquestionoOOmccu AN ESSAY ON THE ‘33ESTI0N OF REDUCING THE INTEREST OF THE Jiational Bebt; IN WHICH THE JUSTICE AND EXPEDIENCY OF THAT MEASURE U ARE FOLLY ESTABLISHED. BY J. R. M‘CULLOCH, Esq. EDINBURGH : PRINTED FOR DAVID BROWN, AND ADAM BLACK, EDINBURGH ; AND T. & G. UNDERWOOD, FLEET-STREET, LONDON. 1816 . Edinburgh : Printed by A. Balfour. PREFACE. In a very short Essay, published last spring, after shewing the impolicy of the corn laws, and the strong probability that, if they were repealed, the mean price of wheat would not in this country exceed 50s. per quar- ter, I endeavoured to shew the justice and expediency of reducing the interest of the public debt contracted during the high prices. The views contained in the present Essay are fundamentally the same ; but I have endeavoured to prove, that a great portion of the paper lent to Government during the late war was depreciated , and that if the stockholders are now paid the same nominal sums they lent with undepre- dated paper, they will get an undue advan- tage, at the expence and ruin of the pro- ductive classes. In order accurately to as- certain, whether or not there had been any IV depreciation or comparative redundancy of our currency* it was necessary to inquire into the value of gold and silver in the dif- ferent states of Europe and America : And the illustrious author of “ The Wealth of Nations” having shewn, that the precious metals had not fallen in value from 1640 to 1775, I commenced my inquiries at the latter period ; and have found myself au- thorised to conclude, in opposition to the greater part of the late political economists of this country, that there has been no ge- neral fall in the value of money since that era. In the course of this Inquiry, I have pointed out the causes which have prevent- ed the increased influx of bullion from rai- sing prices ; and have given a short, but I hope a correct, view of the progress of agri- culture, industry, and population, in the United States, and the principal kingdoms of Europe since 1775. This sketch is of paramount importance, as indicating the relative situation of Great Britain, and other nations, who will now be our rivals in ma- nufactures and commerce. In this Essay I have examined the principles and effects V of the corn laws at considerable length ; I have also endeavoured to shew the real im- portance of our foreign trade, and the fatal effects that the present system of taxation must have, not only on the commerce, but on the general prosperity of the country. And, in conclusion, I have applied the facts and principles, previously established, to prove, the justice and expediency of redu- cing the interest of the public debt. The major part of the principles which pervade this Essay, have been sanctioned by the ablest writers on Political Economy. In applying them to the present question, I have been actuated solely by a desire of contributing to the general advantage, (not to that of any particular faction or party,) and to the improvement of the science of Political Economy. The difficul- ty and obscurity involving some of the sub- jects treated of, will excuse any slight er- rors into which I may have fallen ; and the importance of the general conclusions, will bespeak an impartial examination of the premises from which they are deduced. } ■ •• ' • *r ,.[>* ■ «iO0 In • » ■ no net - A • ,v :'» ■ . /. .... ■ ‘ . • - * J • •- • ‘ ; . ' • - •' ■ ' V.:- ' : - ' ' o .-; r • : .> ' ■ . r ". i ;'/ Tr> * * r ’ j. [ X •t r ■ ‘ ir . • ■ ' ■ ' ; ' "\ I ‘ i- : • •• • m * ’ '■ < c 4 • ’ < T r i> ' ' ~ , ' L W- ' ; • . ... CONTENTS. SECTION FIRST. P age . General Principles regulating the Price of Bullion and other Commodities — Attempt to estimate the quantity of the Circulating Medium of Great Britain in 1797 and 1812 — Some observations on Banking — And consequences of a local accumulation of Specie 1 SECTION SECOND. General principles of Exchange — Application of these principles to the Exchange between Great Britain and other Countries, from 17.99 to 1815, inclusive. . . 25 SECTION THIRD. Inquiry into the Rise of Prices throughout Europe since 1775 ; with some account of the Progress of Manufactures, and of the Increase of Population. ... 58 SECTION FOURTH. Price of Corn in this Country fictitiously kept up by the Corn Laws — Such advancement of Price preju- dicial to the Manufacturers, without being advantage- ous to the Agriculturists — Famine and scarcity, ge- nerally caused by Restrictions on the Corn Trade. . . 122 SECTION FIFTH. Estimate of the Number of Individuals in Great Britain directly supported by Foreign Trade— Effects of a great relative Taxation on Manufacturing Industry — Difference of the State of Great Britain in 1783 and 1815 — And Confutation of the Reasoning of Dr Col- quhoun and others, who attempt to prove that a large National Debt is not injurious to a State .... 147 CONTENTS. viii SECTION SIXTH. Propriety of Repealing the Restriction Act, and of obliging the Bank of England to resume Cash Pay- ments — Inexpediency of Cash Payments, unless ac- companied with a Reduction of the Interest of the National Debt — Proofs of the Necessity and Justice of this measure of Reduction — Expediency of apply- ing the Sinking F und to the general service of the State — Conclusion \ AN ESSA : Y.:: ; ,, .... „ ON A REDUCTION CP ^Vl& INTEREST OF * •' * » » v, v ' The National • Dgbt:, V . ] * > J ) j j l J ) } j > J >3 &c. &c. SECTION FIRST. General Principles regulating the Price of Bullion and other Commodities — Attempt to estimate the quantity of the Circulating Medium of Great Britain in 1797 and 1812 — Some observations on Banking — And consequences of a local accu- mulation of Specie . “ Bullion,” says Mr Thornton, “ is a commo- dity, and nothing but a commodity : and it rises and falls in value, on the same principle as all other commodities. It becomes like them, dear, in proportion as the circulating medium for which it is exchanged is rendered cheap, and cheap in proportion as the circulating medium is rendered dear.” * * Essay on Paper Credit, p. 202. A 2 Bullion constitutes the universal circulating medium of civilized nations, the demand for it is general and permanent, and while the new supplies dug from fjie mines are equally distri- buted to each country in: proportion to its wants, it cannot become superabundant or cheap in any. The conversion of bullion into the coin of a par- ticular state does not materially affect the gene- ral laws to which it was before subject : the ease with which it is again melted down, and the ac- knowledged inefficacy of all restrictions on its exportation, render it in a general point of view almost exactly the same. Now, if more coin circulates in a particular country, compared with its exchangeable pro- duce, than what circulates in others, it must be cheap relatively to bullion,* (the general medium of exchange,) and to all other commodities : it would, therefore, be for the interest of indivi- * The cheapness or dearth of coin or currency relatively to bullion, is at once ascertained by referring to the mint and market price of the latter. A pound of gold bullion, in this country, when taken to the mint, was, without any expence, coined into 44i| guineas, weighing a pound. Consequently, when guineas were not comparatively redundant, and when paper was equivalent to them, a pound of gold bullion might always be purchased for £4 6 : 14 : 6, either in coin or paper. On the contrary, when guineas were over-abundant, and when paper was depreciated, bullion became more valuable than either. This was shortly expressed by saying, that its market price was higher than its mint price. 3 duals to melt down part of this superabundant coin, and send it abroad to a better market; and this exportation would, in defiance of all con- trary prohibitions, continue till such time as the equilibrium was again restored, or until bullion was as dear at home as in other places. “ When,” says Dr Smith, “ the quantity of gold and silver imported into any country ex- ceeds the effectual demand, no vigilance of Go- vernment can prevent their exportation. All the sanguinary laws of Spain and Portugal are not able to keep their gold and silver at home. The continual importations from Peru and Bra- zil exceed the effectual demand of those coun- tries, and sink the price of those metals below that in the neighbouring countries. If, on the contrary, in any particular country their quan- tity fell short of the effectual demand, so as to raise their price above that of the neighbouring countries, the government would have no occa- sion to take any pains to import them. If it were even to take pains to prevent their impor- tation, it would not be able to effectuate it. Those metals, when the Spartans had got where- withal to purchase them, broke through all the barriers which the laws of Lycurgus opposed to their entrance into Lacedemon. All the san- guinary laws of the customs are not able to pre- vent the importation of the teas of the Dutch and Gottenburgh East India Companies ; be- cause somewhat cheaper than those of the Bri- tish Company. A pound of tea, however, is about an hundred times the bulk of one of the highest prices, 16‘s. that is commonly paid for it in silver, and more than two thousand times the bulk of the same price in gold, and consequently just so many times more difficult to smuggle.” * “ An advanced pricfe of goods,” according to Mr Thornton, “ is the same thing as a reduced price of coin : the coin, therefore, in consequence of the reduced price, is carried out of the coun- try for the sake of obtaining for it a better market.” f It is therefore clear, that a local circulating medium, such as the paper of a particular coun- try not convertible into gold and silver, can alone become cheap compared with bullion for any con- siderable period ; and further, that this very cheapness is of itself a decisive proof of its ex- cess. The impossibility of retaining a great relative quantity of coin or currency in a particular coun- try, previous to the restriction act of 1797, effec- tually kept down the issues of the Bank of Eng- land to the amount necessarily required to circu- j \ * Wealth of Nations, 8vo. edit Lond. 1802, vol. ii. p. 149. t Essay, p. 211. late the produce of Britain at a price nearly equal to its price in the European market. If a rise of prices consequent on an overissue of paper had then taken place in Britain, all our transac- tions with foreign countries would have been car- ried on with bullion. We would not have sent dear goods to a cheap market, but we would have sent cheap gold and silver to a dear market. In this state of things, if the Bank had not dimi- nished its issues, and thereby lowered the price of goods, their notes would have been sent in as soon as issued to be paid in gold, and the gold would have been immediately melted and sent abroad. In vain would statutory enactments and custom-house oaths have attempted to coun- teract the natural course of things : the allure- ments of gain, and the impulses of cupidity, are not to be thwarted by such impotent barriers. During the last twenty years, the necessaries and luxuries of life have in this country been raised to double or triple their former price, while in the continent of Europe their price has remained nearly stationary. * Our bullion, and afterwards our coin, in conformity with the above principles, entirely disappeared. As soon as they began to depart, the money price of com- modities should have fallen : but the place of * See Section III, 6 both being filled with paper issued to a much greater extent, the price of commodities, or their value compared with paper , increased according to its increase ; and consequently the enlarged is- sue of paper was the chief, if not the sole, cause of that local rise in the price of bullion, of provi- sions, and of every other commodity, we have experienced. * Let us suppose a bank to be opened in a coun- try where there was not previously any similar establishment, and that its issues average one million : Although this sum came first into the hands of master manufacturers and agriculturists, it would not be hoarded by them ; it would be expended in paying the wages of labour, or in the purchasing of some species of commodities : * This conclusion, as far as respects the price of all com- modities except bullion, (which can in no case become cheap compared with specie, but from a redundancy of the latter,) is obviously founded on the principle of a free trade, and must accordingly be modified, when applied to a country pla- ced under the restrictive system. If prohibitive enactments prevent the importation of corn or other necessary commodi- ties into a rich and highly populous country, their price may rise much higher than in surrounding states, although the currency of all be virtually the same. In the sequel of this inquiry, we shall endeavour to ascertain what part of the late high price of provisions is to be ascribed to the depreciation of paper, and what to the prohibitive system. 7 money does not of itself produce any thing, it is only a medium of exchange : this million would, therefore, be engrossed into the circulation, and if money had before been in that country at par with its value in others, unless a million of its specie was exported, its circulating medium would now be relatively redundant , and the price of its produce comparatively high. The issuing of this million on bills at short dates, and of undoubted solidity, cannot possibly affect this almost self-evident conclusion. Of whatsoever kind the bills were on whose credit it was advanced, it would not the less speedily get into circulation, and must either displace an equal portion of coin, or lowering the value of the whole currency, proportionally raise the price of commodities. Where a bank increases the number of its notes already in circulation, the same results obviously follow. The total amount of Bank of England notes in circulation, from 1790 to April 1796, fluctuated from ten to twelve and eleven millions. In the latter part of 1 796, and the early part of 1 797, they were greatly diminished ; but in 1 798, the first year after the restriction, the total average issue amounted to L. 13,337,477, almost one mil- lion more than it had been in any one of the se- ven preceding years, three of which were a sea- 8 son of peace and of great prosperity. From 1802 to 1808, both inclusive, the issues were rather upwards of seventeen millions ; in 1809, they rose to nineteen millions; and in 1814, nearly averaged the enormous sum of twenty-eight mil- lions. It is not possible accurately to ascertain the in- crease in the quantity of country bank paper since 1797, but there are good grounds for thinking its augmentation to have been even more rapid than that of the Bank of England. The convertibility of country bank paper into that of the Bank of England, could have no ef- fect in restraining the issues of the former, till such time as the price of commodities in the coun- try had been brought nearly to a par with their price in London. As soon as this equalization was attained throughout the empire, a further issue of country paper, or a further rise of prices there, would be impracticable ; for the notes would certainly be returned by the holders, in order to get Bank of England paper, that could purchase a greater quantity of commodities in another quarter. The issues of the country banks would then be checked by the very same principle that, previous to the restriction, kept down the issues of the Bank of England itself — the impossibility of raising prices in a particular country, whose currency is essentially the same as that of others. 9 If, therefore, the whole paper currency of the kingdom has been depreciated, it must have been owing to an overissue of Bank of England paper ; for the provincial banks merely keep the country currency on a level with the currency of the ca- pital and ; its vicinity, and while their paper is convertible at pleasure into that of the Bank of England, its quantity must be proportional, and it cannot become less valuable. Mr Thornton and Lord King have abundant- ly proved the many advantages resulting from the multiplication of country banks. Every new establishment of that kind increases the public security ; the failure of any one company be- comes of less disadvantage ; greater caution and circumspection are used in the discounting of bills ; forgeries are more easily detected ; and reservoirs, in which floating capital, and the gains of the industrious, may be advantageously depo- sited, are -spread over the whole country. These facts ought to be carefully kept in view, as they serve to shew the futility of the attempts made to throw the entire blame of the depreciation on the country banks. — We return to the investiga- tion of the increase of the currency. There is no longer, as in the time of Dr Smith, a difference of a half or more, between the price of labour, he. in the remote counties, and Lon- don and its vicinity. Since 1797, the equaliza. 10 tion has been extremely rapid, and is a sure test of the rapid increase of provincial paper. While the credit of a country bank is good, and while the prices in its district are not higher than in London, there is no conceivable motive for the holders of such paper wishing to convert it into that of the Bank of England. Under the present system, the one would just as easily pro- cure bullion as the other, and for every domestic purpose they are exactly the same. Provincial banks of established credit might, therefore, in ordinary cases, keep a great amount of notes in circulation, without having propor- tionally large quantities of those of the Bank of England in their coffers ; and there is no doubt, that, since the restriction, the quantity of their unproductive stock has been much diminished. This fact is admitted by Messrs Thomson, Stuc- key, and Tritton, gentlemen of much commercial information, in their evidence taken by the Bul- lion Committee. These different presumptions of an immense increase in the amount of country bank paper since 1797, are supported by indisputable facts. The number of country banks in 1797 is not exactly known, but very probably it was not far from 300;* in 1800 they amounted to 386 ; in * According to Mr Thornton, (Essay, p. 1 54.) there were 11 January 1810 to 721 ; and were since increased to between SOO and 900. It is certain, that the circulation of all the old established country banks has greatly increased since the restriction, and may be held to be at least doubled. Assuming the issues of the 300 private banks existing in 1797 to have averaged L. 50,000 each in 1812, and supposing their issues in 1797 to have amounted to L. 30,000, which allows only L. 20,000 of increase, that will give an addition of six millions to the circulation from this source. Supposing the issues of the 500 private banks established since 1797 to have each averaged L. 40,000 in 1812, that would constitute a fur- ther addition to the currency of twenty millions.* Now, if we could ascertain the quantity of specie in circulation in 1797 and 1812, we would 353 country banks in 1797; but other accounts reduce this number to 230. App. Bull. Rep. p. 140. * Mr Tritton, in his evidence annexed to the Bullion Re- port, estimated the country bank paper then circulating, (April 1810,) at £20,000,000, and Mr Richardson at £30,000,000. The former of these gentlemen reckoned each bank on an average to have £30,000 in circulation ; but the latter must have computed their issues at above £ 40,000, for at that time there were only 721 country banks. There seems little doubt, that Mr Richardson’s estimate was at the time very moderate : and it is certain the issues, as well as the number of the country banks, were considerably increa- sed, subsequently to the rejection by the House of Commons of the recommendation of the Bullion Report. 12 be able to make a pretty accurate estimation of the actual increase of the currency in that in- terval. Mr Whitmore, Governor of the Bank of Eng- land, was of opinion, that the quantity of gold coin in circulation for the three years previous to the restriction, was rather below than above twenty millions; * but supposing it to have amounted to that sum, and that there was be- sides three millions of silver currency, that would make the entire specie in circulation in 1797 * App. Bull. Rep. p. 121. — There was coined, in the pe- riod of the great recoinage, from 1773 to 1777, both inclu- sive, of gold, .... £19,591,833 Remained in circulation of old guineas, of heavy and light weight, not brought in, about* . . . 2,000,000 There was coined in the period from 1778 to 1796, both inclusive, of gold, . .. £28,80*3,437 But Mr Rose states, that very near one half of the gold coined from 1778 to 1798 was procured from melted light guineas, &c. t and therefore de- ducting 14,000,000 There remains sum added to the cur- rency from 1778 to 1790, both inclusive . . . 14,863,437 £36,455,260 Now supposing eight millions of gold coin to have been locked up iii the coffers of the Bank of England, of the coun- try banks, and of individuals in 1796 : and estimating at other eight millions the quantity of guineas sent abroad as subsi- * Chalmers’ Comparative Estimate, p. 350. ■f Brief Examination, App. No. 4. 13 twenty-three millions. The whole gold and silver in circulation in 1812, has been estimated as low as three millions ; but taking it at four, the whole amount of the currency at these different peri- ods will be as follows : 1797 Bank of England notes in circulation, . . £11,000,000 Issues of 300 private banks £30,000, . . 9*000,000 Gold and silver in circulation, 23,000,000 Gross amount of circulating medium in 1 ^ ^ ^ 1797, . . 3 ’ ’ 1812 Bank of England notes in circulation, . . £23,500,000 Issues of 300 private banks £50,000, . . 15,000,000 Issues of 500 private banks £40,000, . . 20,000,000 Gold and silver, 4,000,000 Gross amount of circulating medium in 1812, If these calculations are nearly accurate, they shew that an addition had been made to the cur- rency, in the interval between 1796 and 1813, of about twenty millions, over and above the specie displaced , or sent abroad. dies, during the American war and the three first years of the late war, including those exported by individuals during the unfavourable exchanges of 1783, 1794, 1795, &c. (which, considering that no seignorage is exacted from the gold coin in this country, and that, therefore, when melted down, it may be exported without any loss, is certainly a very mode- rate allowance ;) it results that Mr Whitmore’s estimate may be justly considered, as coming as near the truth as it is possi- ble to attain in such matters. } £62,500,000 14 The circulating medium of a country may be really increased by other means than by its mul- tiplication. Where commercial detail is well understood* where credit is high, and where there is a brisk circulation of produce, a very small quantity on- ly of circulating medium is required in propor- tion to the payments to be made. In London, and other large towns in Britain, the economi- sing of currency is carried to a great extent ; the number of notes in circulation compared with the amount of payments that are constantly a ma- king, being very small indeed. Mr Thomas, inspector of the clearing house in Lombard-street, states the average amount of the drafts on the different bankers balanced there daily at L. 4,700,000, and that not more than L. 220,000 in bank notes are required for that purpose. Mr Richardson, whose vast experience renders him an excellent judge, states as his opi- nion, that the London bankers did not, in 1810, require so many notes by one-eighth in proportion to the amount of payments made as in 1802.* The same system of economising money having been greatly extended throughout the country since 1797, though there had been no actual addition made to the then existing currency, it would have * App. Bull, Rep. 15 been virtually increased to a considerable ex- tent. The simple fact of a great addition having been made to the circulating medium, does not of it- self shew that it was not really required, or that it was excessive ; but coupling with this fact the equally indisputable ones, of a given quantity of bullion having become more valuable than the same nominal amount of currency, and that the price of all other commodities has risen much faster in this country than in any other, — the proof of a depreciation, or relative redundancy of the circulating medium, appears complete and ir- resistible. The lending of many millions to Government not exigible for years, is a transaction altogether inconsistent with the real nature of banking, and which could not fail to prove fatal to any compa- ny who were obliged to pay their notes on de- mand. If we suppose, that before a loan of this kind is made, the currency was sufficiently abun- dant, and that paper was exactly on a par with gold, it is obvious that this additional supply would sink its value, and, as we have shewn, there would be a run on the Bank for gold for ex- portation : thus circumstanced, unless the Bank had immense surplus funds which it could easily convert into specie, it would stand an extreme I 16 risk of being obliged to stop payment, and would at all events suffer considerable embarrassment and difficulty. A banking company, on the contrary, whose paper is entirely issued in discount of bills or loans to individuals of undoubted credit at short dates, could never be exposed to like risks, be- cause in a short time they would recover pay- ment of all these bills, which must more than equal the amount of their notes in circulation. If a considerable amount of paper had been borrowed by Government from a bank on long credit, without supposing its issue to have been in excess, it might nevertheless expose the esta- blishment to great jeopardy. In the case of either real or imaginary dangers, arising from political or other causes, a run is always made on the banks, and if their funds are locked up, or not tangible, the consequences must inevi-. tably prove fatal. Circumstances of this kind caused the crisis of 1 797, and the restriction act. The issues of the Bank were not at that time superabundant, for there was no excess of the market above the mint price of gold. The run was entirely owing to political causes, and would soon have stopped though the Directors had continued paying in specie, which they might have done had their paper been only issued to individuals, from whom, 4 17 in the course of 60 days, they would have re- covered payment. Their capital, however, and several millions of their notes, having been lent to Government, they could not recover payment of either the one or the other. The beggarly importunity of the ministry had emptied their coffers, and multiplied their notes, — increased their debts, and lessened their means of pay- ment. “ It was then owing,” says Mr Ricardo, 54 and in counties far removed from markets, the distress was extreme. Since 1813, besides the diminution in the is- sues of all the country bankers, a considerable number of them have unfortunately been obliged to stop payment. Taking the number of private banks that year at 800, we will be much below the truth, if we take the average diminution of their issues at L. 20,000 each, which alone gives a reduction of the circulating medium to the ex- tent of sixteen millions. Mr Horner, in a speech lately made by him in the House of Commons, states, fitf that from enquiries he had made, and from the accounts on the table, he was convin- ced that a greater and more sudden reduction of the circulating medium, had never taken place in any country than had taken place since the peace in this country, with the exception of those re- ductions which had happened in France after the Mississippi scheme, and after the destruction of the assignats. * He should not go into the ques- tion how this reduction had been effected, though it was a very curious one, and abounded in illus- trations of the principles which had been so much disputed in that House. The reduction of the * In some of the communications to the Board of Agricul- ture, published in their late Report, it is stated, that above three millions of paper has been withdrawn from circulation in the county of Lincoln only. 55 currency had originated in the previous fall of the prices of agricultural produce. This fall had produced a destruction of the country bank pa- per, to an extent which would not have been thought possible, without more ruin than had actually ensued. The Bank of England had also reduced its issues. As appeared by the accounts recently presented, the average amount of their currency was not, during the last year, more than between twenty-five and twenty-six millions; while two years ago it had been nearer twenty- nine millions, and at one time even amounted to thirty-one millions. But without looking to the diminution of Bank of England paper, the reduc- tion of the country paper was enough to account for the fall which had taken place.”* There is one circumstance that explains why the issues of the Bank of England have not been still further diminished. The currency of those districts, where private banks have failed, and where their credit is suspicious, being now com- posed of Bank of England paper, it is spread over a larger surface than before, and, though its amount was the same, it would in this way be really reduced. It being, therefore, certain, that in the last three years, at least twenty millions of notes have been withdrawn from the circulation of this coun- * Morning Chronicle, 2d May 1816. 56 try,* is it surprising, that the value of the rest Compared with bullion has increased, and that consequently our foreign exchanges have impro- ved ? Is not this fact the strongest possible cor- roboration of the doctrines advanced in the Bul- lion Report, and advocated by every writer on such subjects worthy of the least regard ? They maintained, that if the quantity of the circulating medium was sufficiently reduced, the exchange would again come to par ; and the fullest experi- ence has completely justified their conclusions, and placed them beyond the reach of cavil and dis- pute. If the recommendation of the Bullion Com- mittee had been attended to in 1810 , if the Bank of England had then been laid under the neces- sity of restricting its issues, much of the mischief that has lately overtaken the farmers, and the country bankers, would have been avoided ; the evil would have been repressed nearer the com- mencement; and though the shock even then would have been very great, it must necessarily have proved much less sudden and paralizing than it has since done, when the reduction of paper was combined with other circumstances, of themselves sufficient to produce much misery. * Sixteen millions of country bank paper, and four millions of that of the Bank of England. 57 In 181.5, after the return of Bonaparte from Elba, the price of bullion rapidly rose, and the exchange became proportionally unfavourable to this country. This was a natural and unavoid- able effect of the prodigious and unparalleled fo- reign expenditure we sustained that season. Bills on London swarmed in every part of the conti- nent, and consequently sold at a considerable discount. They were instantaneously thrown into the market ; but fortunately their influx ceased before any additional export of manufactured goods had time to counteract their effects on the exchange, which, as soon as this expenditure ceased, became rapidly favourable. Bank notes had not been forced into circulation during its continuance, and did not therefore oppose any ob- stacle to its return to par, when the cause of the temporary derangement was removed. The case was very different in 1799 and 1800. During the great expenditure of these years, a more than proportional addition being made to the curren- cy, prevented the exchange reverting to par till upwards of two years after the drain ceased. The fact, therefore, that has been laid hold of as disproving the principles we have endeavoured to establish, affords them the most effectual sup- port. We have stated, that, with the soundest currency, an unfavourable exchange might be in- duced, by suddenly throwing a vast number of 58 bills on London into the market ; but we proved, that if the currency did not afterwards become redundant, the export of manufactures would very speedily restore the equilibrium, and that if the supply of these bills was suddenly exhausted, the exchange would as suddenly become favourable/' SECTION THIRD. Inquiry into the Rise of Prices throughout Europe since 177 * 5 ; with some account of the Progress of Manufactures , and of the Increase of Popu- lation . The greater part of the writers who maintain that our paper currency has not been deprecia- * It is of some importance to observe, that although the ex- pence of the short campaign of 1815 was incomparably great- er than had been incurred in any previous year of the war, the exchange was not so much depressed. In 1811, the ex- change with Hamburgh was at one time nearly 32 per cent, and during the whole of that year more than 20 per cent, against London. In 1815, notwithstanding of the sudden- ness and immensity of the expenditure, the exchange was not more than 18 per cent, against this country ; affording a strong proof, that, in the former of these periods, the great compara- tive redundancy of our currency had been the chief cause of the depression. 59 ted since 1797, affirm that the value of gold rose in Britain, because of an increased demand for it in the continent. But we must recollect that an increased demand for specie in any coun- try can only be caused by the prices there falling below what they had previously been from an in- creased production of commodities, or supposing the prices to remain the same, from the circula- ting medium of other states being augmented in a greater proportion. In either case, there is a transfer of bullion from the countries where pro- duce is dear to where it is cheap ; and, as we shewed in the First Section, this transfer of bul- lion will continue till such time as the equilibri- um of price is restored. If, therefore, the price of commodities has been falling in Europe since 1797, that circumstance will satisfactorily ac- count for a portion of our specie having been sent abroad ; but it will also serve to prove the depreciation of our currency in the most incon- trovertible manner. Gold and silver do not measure the value of commodities more than commodities measure the value of gold and sil- ver ; consequently, if the real value of gold and silver has risen in Britain, because of a demand for them in the continent, the money price of produce must on that supposition, if our curren- cy has been virtually the same as gold, be now cheaper, at all events not dearer than it was 60 when that exportation began. The contrary is notoriously the fact, our prices having risen, or the value of money in this country having fallen at least cent, per cent, since 1797. Another and much more acute method of rea- soning has been adopted by a few political eco- nomists, who deny the depreciation of our cur- rency. They do not set out with an assumption whose inherent absurdity serves for its own con- futation ; but they maintain, that in all the states of Europe the currency has been as much depreciated as in our own ; that, therefore, there has been no comparative redundancy of money in Britain, but that its value throughout Europe has equally sunk. In a word, they affirm, that prices since 1797 have risen as rapidly in the nations of the continent as they have done here. Though the fact were such as now stated, it would nowise account for the long excess of the market above the mint price of gold, and for the unfavourable exchanges : these circumstan- ces taken conjointly afford certain evidence of a depreciation, and are amply sufficient of them- selves to determine the question at issue. But not to insist on these proofs, we shall now endeavour to shew, that there has been no corresponding rise of prices in the continent, and that there has not been any fall in the value of money in the market of the world since 1775. 61 The importance, as well as the obscurity of the investigation which this part of our subject in- volves, will require it to be discussed at some length. Dr Smith has shewn that the value of silver compared with corn was less in the fourteenth than in the fifteenth century, and that the money price of corn continued to fall till about the middle of the sixteenth century, when the silver of America was poured in immense quantities into Spain. This increase in the relative value of specie is easily accounted for. In the fourteenth and fifteenth centuries, the Italian republics began to shake off the lethargy of the preceding ages, and to cultivate a considerable commerce. Cities at that time acquired privileges which secured them from the rapacity of the nobles on the one hand, and of the kings on the other. The Hanseatic league had already become formidable to the sovereigns of the North, and had introduced arts and civilization into countries whose barbarism had ever remained impervious to the Roman power. The certainty of enjoying the fruits of their industry roused men into action, and new energy was inspired into the nations of Europe. The quantity of specie, however, from the ex- haustion of the then known mines, not increa- 62 sing in proportion to that of other produce* its value rose, and the money price of com fell at a time that Europe was advancing in real wealth and riches. From 1570 to about 164Q, on the contrary, the money price of com conti- nued to increase ; but at the latter period, the effects produced by the discovery of the Ameri- can mines in raising the price of corn seem to have been completed; and from 1640 to 1775, the value of corn compared with silver was nearly stationary, or had again begun to in- crease. Dr Smith has further and satisfactorily shewn, why the importations of specie from America subsequent to 1640 had not the effect of raising the price of commodities. The continued improve- ment of Europe, of America itself, and the con- stant demand for silver in the Asiatic trade, suf- ficiently accounted for that fact. The quantity of exchangeable produce being increased every year, required a greater quantity of specie to circulate it at the same nominal price. The wear, rubbing, and loss of this specie from shipwrecks, &c. must have tended constantly to its diminution ; besides, as nations increase in opulence, they become more enamoured of splen- did and ornamental furniture. The quantity of plate and trinkets in all rich countries is im- mense, and the amount of bullion annually con- 63 sinned in their manufacture, in gilding books, in embroidery, &c. is necessarily very great. These conclusions of Dr Smith are incontro- vertible, and have seldom been disputed. The whole of the depreciation in the value of money we are now considering, is said to have taken place since the publication of the (t Wealth of Nations,” and to have been caused by the in- creased productiveness of the American mines, by the more economical use of circulating me- dium, and by the general extension of banking. Dr Smith estimated the quantity of the pre- cious metals annually imported into Europe at L. 6,000,000 sterling. This estimate was found- ed on that of Mr Meggens, who computed the annual importation into Spain and Portugal on an average of the six years from 1748 to 1753 at L.5, 746,000, and that of Raynal, who, on an average of eleven years, from 1 754 to 1 764, both inclusive, reckoned the annual importation at L.6,075,000. * In 1772, a very great increase took place in the productiveness of the Mexi- can mines, f and, according to the well inform- ed M. Humboldt, at the era of the publication of the “ Wealth of Nations,” (1775), the annual importation was upwards of eight millions. Since that period it has gradually augmented; and, * Wealth of Nations, vol. i. p. 326. t The mines of Gualgayoc were discovered in 1771. 64 before the late disturbances in Spanish America, the same gentleman estimated the entire pro- duce of the American mines at 4*3,500,000 dol- lars, or about L. 9,5 00,000 sterling ; * but as this estimate, as far at least as respects the im- portation from the Brazils, is not unsuspected of exaggeration, f we shall, perhaps, be justified in supposing it to have then amounted to the enor- mous sum of nine millions sterling. The average price of wheat for the ten years ending 1774 was 45s. 6d. per quarter, and the average price of the quarter for the ten years ending 1794 was 45s. 2|d. Hence it is obvi- ous, that during that period there had been no variation in the value of money as compared with corn. In 1795 and 1796, the prices were considerably higher, but these were both years of scarcity, and in 1797 the price fell to very near the former average. The greatly increased current of specie that had flowed into Europe from 1772 had not, therefore, previous to 1797, any effect on the prices of corn in this country. The increased consumption of the precious me- tals was then fully equal to absorb the augment- ed supply without leaving any room for depreci- ation. Something very peculiar must surely be- • Statistical Essay on New Spain ; English Translation, vol. iii. p. 394. t Edinburgh Review, No. xxxvii. p. 190. 65 long to that year which could at once change a ratio of such long continuance ; that, without increasing the supply of gold and silver, could at once lessen their demand, and make them sink in value in the market of the world. It is not equivocal or contradictory facts that will prove what is so much out of the ordinary course of events ; they must be clear, explicit, and un- questionable. The causes assigned by Dr Smith as prevent- ing any depreciation in the value of money since 1640, have all been operating with increased en- ergy during the last twenty years. The bury- ing of gold and silver, which was very general in France before the Revolution, greatly increa- sed in that turbulent period. * The same practice was universal in Germany and Italy ; and there can be little doubt that the late extra- ordinary frequency of political changes through- out the continent would have the same effect in other countries, in increasing this mania for hoarding they had in France. And as a vast number of peasants and farmers have of late been killed in battle, and by mauraders, it is cer- tain that a more than usual proportion of the money so deposited will never again be drawn * Sismondi de la Richesse Commercials, tom. i. p. 138, 143. s 66 forth. In the despotical states of Asia and Afri- ca, a vast quantity of specie is annually consu- med in this manner. There, every rich indivi- dual reckons as his principal resource the amount of the treasure he has withdrawn from circula- tion ; and every poor man trusts to earth what- ever fruits of his labour the avarice of his mas- ters enables him to realize. Although there is now, comparatively speaking, very little specie circulating in Britain, there is still a very great consumption of bullion in dif- ferent manufactures. According to Mr Chal- mers, during the ten years ending with 1797, there were made into gold-plate - 10,1711bs. In the ten years ending with 1809 16,942 In the first period there were made of silver - 919,283 In the second period - - 1,130,451* The increase in the consumption of plated or gilt goods has been vastly greater during the last 20 years than in any preceding period. Every individual is now master of a watch ; and in eve- ry part of the country, jewellery and trinkets of various descriptions are to be met with. Dr Smith estimated the quantity of specie Annually consu- med in Birmingham in plating, gilding, Ac. at L. 50,000, and it is certain that many times that * Comparative Estimate, p. 470. 67 sum is now required for the same purpose in that city. The demand for plate and costly furniture of that kind has proportionally increased in the con- tinent. In 1 79 5 , Geneva alone consumed bullion to the value of ten millions of francs (L.4 16,000) in the manufacture of watches ; * and previous to 1792, above 70,000 workmen were employed in the goldsmith and jewellery trade in Paris, Lyons, and Strasbourg. The revolution, no doubt, gave a momentary check to this branch of industry ; but as we shall immediately shew, that the real wealth of the great mass of the people of France and of the whole continent has been much increased since that event, we shall be authorised to conclude that a greater quanti- ty of bullion will now be required for plate, gilding, &c. than at any former period. The increased productiveness* of the Ameri- can mines during the last half century, has been to a considerable extent counteracted and pre- vented from producing its full effect in Europe, by the enlarged consumption of the precious me- tals in South America itself. The valuable works of Humboldt exhibit the most satisfacto- ry details as to the rapid advancement of the Spanish colonies in real wealth and riches. Un- * Peuchet. Statistique Elementaire de la France » Paris,, 1805, p. 425. 68 questionably they must of late have suffered temporary embarrassment and decline ; but when they shall have succeeded in their noble ef- forts to shake off the galling chains of an odi- ous and unprincipled despotism, their improve- ment in arts and manufactures will be infinitely greater than heretofore ; and they will of course require a much greater portion of circulating medium. North America draws the whole of its sup- plies of specie from South America, either by means of a direct trade with that country, or by the more circuitous rout of Europe. Since the revolution, that established an independent re- public in that country, its improvement has been rapid in a degree altogether unknown in the eastern hemisphere. Not only the country bor- dering on the Atlantic has become much more populous and better cultivated, but civilization has also taken firm root in the interior of the country. The possession of New Orleans, by se- curing the navigation of the Mississippi to the United States, has opened up a market for the products of the immense and fertile territory wa- tered by that mighty river. The facilities of in- ternal communication, by means of water and other natural advantages, combined with the mild and liberal spirit of the government, the cheap- ness of land, and the lightness of taxation, must. I 69 in the natural course of events, ensure the pros- perity of this highly fortunate commonwealth. Of all the pernicious effects caused by the late war, and the anti-commercial spirit in which it was carried on, perhaps none will eventually be found more prejudicial to this country, than the extraordinary impulse that was thereby given to American manufactures. The intercourse of the United States with Europe having been much obstructed, they were forced to rely on their own industry for a supply of those articles they had been in the habit of importing from thence. The attention of a considerable portion of the popula- tion was diverted from agriculture and domestic manufactures, to manufacturing on a great scale for the public demand. The effects were such as could hardly have been anticipated. In 1810, no fewer than 3,257,812 yards of woollen cloth were manufactured in the state of New York alone, at an expence to the manufacturers of about 4 > dol- lars 57 cents, which they sold at the price of Bri- tish cloth, or from 12 to 14# dollars per yard. It is clear, they might have sold it at a much less price with a great profit ; and, as soon as British cloth came into the American market, it was so reduced to the almost effectual exclusion of the latter. In 1791, the first cotton mill used in America was erected in the state of Rhode Island ; another was constructed in the same 70 state in 1 795, and two in the state of Massachu- setts in 1803 and 1804; ten more were erected before 1808 ; and by the commencement of 1811, eighty-seven were in full operation, turning 80,000 spindles.* The number of mills must have in- creased prodigiously since that period ; for in the report of the committee of commerce and manu- factures, presented to the House of Representa- tives of the United States, 13th February 1816, the number of bales of cotton manufactured in 1810 is estimated at 10,000, and in 1815 at 90,000. The capital now engaged in this branch of industry is, in the same document, estimated at 40 millions of dollars ; the number of people employed at 100,000; and the number of yards of cotton manufactured in 1815 at 81 millions. A severe check has undoubtedly been given to this excessively rapid progress in manufacturing, by the late influx of British goods, and by the losing prices at which they have been sold. It appears certain, however, that no European na- tion will, for any length of time, be able to com- pete with the Americans in their own market. The long voyage, and the consequent high char- ges for freight, insurance, kc. would of themselves, without the aid of protecting duties, of which the Americans are not sparing, give their manufac- * Gallatin's Report to the House of Representatives, on the state of American manufactures in 1310. i 71 turers a manifest advantage over foreigners. The high wages of labour in the United States, will be gradually reduced by the rapid progress of po- pulation, consequent on the cheapness of pro- visions, and by the employment of machinery. The raw material too being in their possession, and their taxes extremely moderate, we need not certainly be surprised, if we are not only forced to forego the American market, but find them dangerous competitors in that of Europe. It is extremely probable, that manufactures would ere long have got a stable foundation in the United States, although the Government, and the peculiar circumstances of the times, had no- wise encouraged them. Every part of America is at too great a distance from Europe, to be able to send many species of her rude produce to the markets there with any advantage. The western states are still more disadvantageously situated in this respect than those on the Atlan- tic, and could not possibly dispose of their wheat, cattle, Ac. unless there were manufacturers among them ; and accordingly it is stated, that in those western states, where improvement has been most rapid, manufactures have been introduced to a surprising extent.* “ No cause,” Mr Gallatin judiciously observes. Report of the 13th of February 1816, 72 “ has, perhaps, more promoted, in every repect, the general improvement of the United States, than the absence of those systems of internal re- strictions and monopoly which continue to disfi- gure the state of society in other countries. No laws exist here, directly or indirectly, confining man to a particular occupation or place, or ex- cluding any citizen from any branch he may at any time think proper to pursue. Industry is in every respect perfectly free and unfettered ; eve- ry species of trade, commerce, art, profession, and manufacture, being equally open to all, with- out requiring any regular apprenticeship, admis- sion, or licence. Hence the improvement of America has not been confined to the improve- ment of her agriculture, and to the rapid forma- tion of new settlements and states in the wilder- ness ; but her citizens have extended their com- merce to every part of the globe, and carry on, with complete success, even those branches for which a monopoly had heretofore been consider- ed essentially necessary.” The population of the United States in 1800, amounted to 5,309,758 individuals of all classes, and in 1810 it amounted to 7,239,903. * If the increase of population since 1810 has been pro- * Pitkin’s Statistical View of the Commerce , fyc. of the Uni - ted States . Hartford, (America) 1816. portional to its increase in the preceding ten years, the United States, exclusive of the Flo- ridas, will now contain about 8,800,000 inha- bitants ; and, including the Floridas, and ma- king allowance for the late excessive emigrations from Europe, the present population cannot be reckoned short of nine millions. There is thus in North America an immense- ly increased and rapidly increasing demand for the specie of its southern neighbours : a demand many times greater than when Dr Smith wrote, and which could not have failed to raise its price, had not the supplies been greatly augmented since 1770. The table of prices at different epochs (1728, 1798, 1811,) given in Mease’s Picture of Phila- delphia, shews that there has been no general rise on the articles of primary use between 1798 and 1811. Some of them have risen a little^ and others have fallen during that period ; but, on the whole, their equality is at once obvious and striking, f + In 1798, fine bread sold at 75s. per cwt. (Pennsylvania currency,) and in 1811 it only brought 67s. 6d. In the same period the price of middling bread rose 7s. 6d. per cwt. Money accounts in America are generally kept in dollars and cents, but as the nominal value of the dollar varies in different states, and in none of them corresponds exactly with its va- lue in Britain, this circumstance must always be taken into account in comparing their prices together, and with our 1 iThe following statement of the price of wheat per bushel, from 1806 to 1813 inclusive, is ex tracted from the valuable work of Mr Pitkin. Doll, Cents. Doll. Cent£. 1806 .... «% 33 1810 . . . 50 1807 .... 25 1811 . . . 75 1808 .... 2 5 1812 . . . . . . 1 9 * 1809 .... 25 1813 . . . 75 The export of wheat from the United States to Europe in 1811, 1812, 1813, was vastly great- er than ordinary, and sufficiently explains the rise in these years above the mean price of 1 dollar 25 cents, or 5s. 7d. per bushel, f We now proceed shortly to examine the pro- gress of industry in the principal states of Eu- rope, and, by a comparison of prices, to deter- mine whether there is any ground for concluding that gold and silver have lately sunk in value. We begin with France, by far the most import- ant of the continental nations, and, in respect of civilization, nearly on a par with this country. own. It was lately stated in the public prints, as a proof of the dearth of provisions in Baltimore, that wheat was then selling at 10s. per bushel, and mutton at 9d. per pound; but it should have been mentioned, that the shilling there is only equal to 7|d. of our money, and consequently the price of wheat bought with English currency would only have been 6s. pei* bushel, and the mutton less than 6d. per pound. App. Bull. Rep. No. 62. t Statistical Vievo, dec. p.. 91 > 92, 75 Whether the French revolution has been pro- pitious, or otherwise, to the social relations and general happiness of Europe* may perhaps be questioned ; but there can be no doubt of its ha- ving much improved the condition of the great body of the French people themselves, especially those supported by agriculture. The abolition of the hereditary privileges of the nobility and clergy, of the gabelle, the corvees, and other grie- vously oppressive and partial imposts and bur- dens, would of themselves have sufficed to ren- der the situation of the farmers and peasants more respectable and comfortable. It was not, however, in this way only they were bene- fited; a great portion of the property of the emigrants and of the church came into their hands at very low prices ; from being depen- dents, they became independent. Their politi- cal and religious equality, and the inviolability of their property, being secured and protected by a vigorous and energetic government, a new and effectual impulse was given to their industry, and to the improvement of the country. The farmers and peasantry were no longer oppressed and plundered by rapacious nobles, and ignorant monks ; and their industry being exerted for their own advantage, did not fail to produce corre- sponding effects. * ® An ample and authentic account of the various oppres- 76 “ On my first landing,” says Mr Birkbeck, “ I was struck with the respectable appearance of the labouring class : I see the same marks of comfort and plenty every where as I proceed, I have inquired, and every body assures me, that agriculture has been improving rapidly for the last twenty-five years ; that the riches and com- forts of the cultivators of the soil have been dotc- bled during that period ; and that vast improve- ment has taken place in the condition and cha- racter of the common people.” * The testimony of this excellent traveller is confirmed by Peu- chet, who tells us, that the agriculturists, who formerly lived on a very rude diet, and were only regaled with an unhealthy beverage, have now abundance of butcher’s meat, bread, wine, cider, and beer ; and he adds, that colonial pro- duce, since the increase in the wealth of the cul- tivators, is very generally distributed throughout the country, f Much as the ministers of Louis might have wished to represent the country as sions and hardships inflicted on the peasantry and lower classes of the people of France, by the feudal tyranny existing in that country previous to the revolution, may be found in Mr Young s Travels. No man of common feelings, this writer observes, can possibly regret the fall of that abominable sys- tem, which made a whole parish slaves to the lord of the manor. * Birkbeck’s Tour in France , 4th edit. p. 11. t Peucket . Statistique Elementaire de la France, p. 280. r n ruined and impoverished by the revolution and the sway of Bonaparte, they were forced to ad- mit the improvement that had taken place in its agriculture. The fact was too certain, two self- evident, even for them to attempt to controvert or deny it. It is this great improvement of agriculture that enables us to explain the otherwise unaccount- able fact of the population of France having in- creased, notwithstanding of the massacres of the revolution, of the sanguinary wars in which she has been since engaged, and the loss of her fo- reign trade. In 1785 , Necker estimated the population of France, exclusive of Corsica, at 24 , 676 , 000 ; and inclusive of that island, at 24 , 800 , 000 . In 1789 , Pomelles, from a compa- rison of the registers of births, deaths, and mar- riages, reckoned the inhabitants of France, in- cluding Corsica, at 25 , 065,883 individuals of all ages and sexes. A committee of the National Assembly bestowed a great deal of attention to the same subject, and the result of their inquiries gives a population of 26 , 363,074 ; but from the circumstance of the taxes being diminished to the poorer classes in proportion to the number of their children, there is reason to suspect that this estimate may have been somewhat too high. This suspicion derives some confirmation from the fact, that in the table framed by the National 78 / Assembly, the population of the department of the Seine, or of Paris, is reckoned at 725,333, * when later and more correct returns only give a population of 629, 763, f though the city is known to have increased considerably since 1 790. Sub- sequent to the revolution, and when the con- scription was organized, it became of essential consequence precisely to ascertain the number of inhabitants, and all the different enumerations de- monstrate an increase. In 1805, the population of the whole Empire, including Corsica and the annexed departments, according to the most ac- curate computations, amounted to 34,518,385; and as the population of Flanders, Piedmont, and the other annexed districts, amounted in all to 6,750,960, the entire population of Old France, (inclusive of Corsica, and the depart- ment of Vaucluse, containing Avignon, and a population of 190,000 souls,) must then have been equal to 27,767,42 5. The more costly manufactures have, perhaps, declined in France since 1789. The fortunes of the great proprietors being divided, and exter- nal commerce being almost annihilated during the war, there were but few purchasers of very expensive goods. It does not appear, however, that there has been any falling off in the manu- * Young’s Travels in France, 2d Edit. Vol. I. p. 479» f Peuchet, p. 2 55 . 79 factures of general use, and on the contrary many of them have greatly advanced. The improve- ment in the circumstances of the agriculturists causing an extension of the home market, made some amends for the loss of the foreign trade. Peuchet says, that, notwithstanding the decline of the silk manufactories at Lyons, the internal consumption was augmenting;* and it is ex- tremely probable, that any falling off in the silk trade is not to be ascribed so much to a decrease of the exports, as to the increased consumption of cottons. Delessert, quoted by Peuchet, af- firms, that in 180.5, there were 50 large and 200 small establishments for spinning cotton in France, able to put in motion from 300,000 to 400,000 spindles. That number has since been greatly multiplied, though they are still inade- quate to furnish a sufficient supply of yarn to the weavers, f Mr Young, when contending for a rise of prices in France, £ founds on the Report of M. * Peuchet, p. 41 9. t Mr G. A. Lee stated to the select committee of the House of Commons, appointed last session to inquire into the state of children employed in manufactories, that the cotton-facto- ries at Rouen and Paris almost rival those of England : that they are possessed of equally good machinery ; and have in every considerable establishment English overseers, enjoying all the advantages of our experience. * In his pamphlet entitled, “ Inquiry into the Rise of Pri„ ees in Europe, &c.” published in the Pamphleteer, No. XI, 80 feilvestre, presented to the Society for promoting Agriculture at Paris in 1805, where it is stated, that in most of the departments, the price of la- bour since 1789 is increased by one-third, in others by one-half, and that in a few it is doubled ; and that the prices of cattle, agricultural imple- ments, Ac. were increased in nearly similar pro- portions ; and, on the speech of M. Daru to the legislative body in 1810, in which he argued that Louis the XVIth, with a civil list of 2 6 millions, would be as rich as the Emperor with a sum one-third greater, on account of the increase in the cost of the articles on which it would have to be expended. It is, however, certain, that an increase will take place in the price of many kinds of produce in a country that is improving, without any fall taking place in the real value of money. Such a fall can only be inferred from a permanent rise in the price of corn ; and there is unquestionable evidence to prove, that its price has not risen in France since 1770. From the fact of an additional supply of corn, in countries where it is the chief food of the in- habitants, creating an additional demand for that article, * and a diminished supply a diminished * Si la quantite de ble decuplait dans le monde, la demande du ble decuplerait aussi, parce qu’il naitrait des hommes pour le manger ; et le ble, relativement aux autres denrees garde- rait a peu pres sa meme valeur.— Say, tom. ii. p. 21. SI demand, circumstances in which the cultivation of com differs from any other species of industry, it follows that the demand for it, on an average of some years, is more nearly equal than for any other commodity. It is true also, as Dr Smith has observed, that the expence of raising equal quantities of corn in different stages of improve- ment is nearly balanced. The price of cattle, the principal instruments of agriculture, of ma- chinery, and of labour, being greater in an ad- vanced than in a rude stage of society, serve as a counterpoise to the ameliorations that may have been introduced in the system of cultivation ; and rendering the real expence bestowed on the raising of corn nearly equal at different periods, it becomes a “ more accurate measure of value than any other commodity or set of commodities * and therefore it is by the rise and fall of its nominal price, that we can best judge of the rise and fall in the value of money, f The very important table of the price of wheat at the Paris or Rosoy market for 146 years, end- ing 1788, given by Mr Young in his Travels in France, and inserted below, shews that from 1766 to 1775, the price was higher than in any * Wealth of Nations, vol. i. p. 293. t Say, tom. i. p. 358. F 82 other period of the century.* In 1 763, Louis the XV th conferred an essential benefit on agricul- ture, by granting an entire freedom to the home trade in corn. And by an edict of the following year, a liberty of exportation from the greater part of the French ports was also granted till such time as the home price should reach SO livres the septier, about 48s. the Winchester quar- ter. f This liberty of exporting, combined with a cessation of the supplies which some parts of France previously drew from England, but chief- ly the very bad seasons from 1766 to 1771 in- * Table of the price of the septier of wheat, at the Paris or Rosoy market, for 146 years, ending 1788. liv. so. den. liv. so. den. 1643 to 1652, 35 14 1 From 1726 to 1735, 16 9 4 1653 1662, 32 12 2 1736 1745, 18 15 7 1663 1672, 23 6 11 1746 1755, 18 10 11 1673 1682, 25 13 8 1756 1765, 17 9 1 1683 1692, 22 0 4 1766 1775, 28 7 9 1693 1702, 31 16 1 1776 1785, 22 4 7 1703 1712, 23 17 1 1786, 20 12 6 1713 1715, 33 1 6 1787, 22 2 6 1716 1725, 17 10 9 I— * 00 00 24 0 0 General average of the 146 years, 24liv. 1 so. 4 den. This Table, and the calculations in the text, refer to the price of the very best wheat, or bio de tele, weighing 240 lbs. mark the septier. The medium sort only weighs from 220 to 230 lbs. N. B. Lavoisier estimated the ordinary price of wheat in France before the revolution at 24 liv, the septier. Say, tom. i. p. 352. t The Winchester quarter is equal to one septier and ff, or to If very nearly. 83 elusive, * appear to have been the causes of the unusual rise in the prices of that period. The confusion of the revolution, by distracting the attention of the cultivators, rendered the crops deficient ; and since, there have been a few sea- sons of scarcity, but there has not been any ge- neral rise of price, f In 1800, the mean price of wheat in the Paris market was exactly 14? fr. 19 cents the hectolitre, equal to 21 fr. 28 cents the septier. £ In the following year, the mean price of the septier in the eleven depart- ments forming the district of the North, which comprises Paris, reached 29 fr. 40 cents ; but the price was then reckoned very high. § Peu- chet gives us a table of the price of wheat in the different departments of France during the month of February 1805, and the mean price of the hectolitre in the above-mentioned district is 16 fr. 55 cents, or 24 fr. 60 cents the septier. || From this period up to 1812, * CEuvres de Turgot, tom. vi. p. 182. + In. 1789, 1794, and 1795, the price of corn was very high in France, and the lower classes suffered much distress. In 1 798 and 1799, too, a scarcity was felt ; but since that period, the prices have been nearly the same as before. The inclu- ding these five years of scarcity in the average from 1788 to 1 805, induced M. Silvestre to say in the report we have no- ticed, that the price of wheat had risen one-sixth in France since the revolution. £ Statistique Generale de la France, &c. tom. vii. p. 268. Peuchet, p. 29 1. || Id. p. 450. 84 when there was a slight deficiency in the crops, the prices continued to decline . In July 1814, Mr Birkbeck states the price of wheat in the market at Rouen, one of the most populous ma- nufacturing towns in France, as being equal to 3 4s. our quarter, which nearly corresponds to 14fr. 70 cents the hectolitre ;* and in October of that year, Mr Malthus states, that the average price of the hectolitre in 14 different markets (of Normandy, I presume,) was 16 fr. 21 cents, being 24 fr. 31 cents the septier, or 30 s. 8d. our quar- ter : f and it is of importance to observe, that this average was taken after riots had occurred both at Havre and Dieppe on account of the rise of prices, and the quantity of wheat exported. Mr Malthus adds, that, according to all the informa- tion he had obtained, average prices had not been higher in France during the last ten years. | The law of 1814, authorising the export of corn from France, ordered that it should cease whenever the home price reached 49s. our quar- ter : and as the object of this law was to conci- liate the landed interest, and to encourage and * Tour in France, p. 12. t According to Mr Malthus, 38s. our quarter : but this pro- ceeds on the supposition of the par of exchange being 24 fr. to the pound sterling, whereas it is 24 fr. 73 cents. X Grounds of an Opinion, &c. p. 13.— — — N. B. The franc is equal to 1 liyre 0 sous 3 deniers. 85 promote cultivation, we may be certain that 49s< was reckoned a very high price. But, we have already seen, that in 1764, when such powerful motives to fix a high price could not exist, ex- portation Was allowed till it reached 48s. the quarter. This fact of itself sufficiently shews, that the ordinary price of corn previous to 1814, was not higher than it had been previous to 1764. It may be added, that Mr Young, in his late Pamphlet, unequivocally admits the price of wheat in France has not risen since 1768. In a country where neither the population nor tillage is extending, it is evident there can be 4 little change in the relative price of corn or but- cher’s meat. Supposing, however, an impulse to be given to the population from an effective de- mand for manufacturing labour, or from the in- troduction of a more extensive and improved system of agriculture, it is certain that the price of butcher’s meat would increase faster than that of corn. The extension of cultivation, by diminishing the quantity of pasture grounds, en- hances the price of cattle ; and, as Dr Smith has stated, they necessarily continue to rise, till such time as it becomes equally profitable to raise them as to raise corn. * But it is not solely by * Wealth of Nations, vol. i. p s 343. 86 the diminution of the number of cattle that an increase in the effective demand for labour en- hances their price : it does so indirectly, by rai- sing the wages of the lower classes, and enabling them to indulge more in animal and other nutri- tive food. Mr Arnould estimated the mean annual consumption of each individual in France previous to the revolution, at 583 liv. of bread, and 80 liv. of flesh; in 1805, Peuchet estimated it at 509 liv. of bread, and 183 liv. of flesh. * And combining this fact of an increased consumption of butcher’s meat, with the great extension of tillage in France, resulting from the more mi- nute division of property, we perceive the true causes of the enhancement of the price of cattle, in which we may rest assured the depreciation of money has not had the slightest concern. Although the wages of labour are ultimately dependent on the price of corn, yet particular circumstances may make the one increase or de- cline in price relatively to the other during con- siderable periods. A continued increase in the wages of labour, without a corresponding rise in the price of corn, is decisive of an amelioration in the situation of the great body of the people : And on an average of ten or twelve years, it can only proceed from a much greater demand for * Peuchet, p. 377. 87 labourers, combined with a much better system of cultivation; or what is nearly, though not exact- ly, the same thing, with a much more extended production. In 1788, Mr Young estimated the average wages of agricultural labour in France at 19 sous, or nearly lOd. per day. Mr Birkbeck in- forms us, that in 1814 its mean price was from Is. 3d. to Is. 8d. or Is. 5 \ d. per day, being a rise of 70 per cent. And as the price of bread is the same now as in 1788, and flesh meat only about one-third dearer, it is indisputable that a vastly increased power over the necessaries and luxuries of life has been vested in the peasantry of France by the revolution. This rise in the price of labour has been said to be a consequence of the diminution of the number of labourers, caused by the conscription, &c. But the fact of the population having in- creased under its operation, shews the futility of this remark : It is a consequence not of the losses, but of the increasing wealth and real pros- perity of the whole country. “ It is the constant practice,” says Mr Birk- beck, “ of the women of France to perform many of the operations of husbandry, which in most parts of our island are confined to men ; and, from the universal cultivation of the country, there is much more field labour there than with 88 us ; women are therefore seen in far greater numbers in the fields by the passing traveller. From which, and the concurrent testimony of the gazettes for the last twenty-five destructive years, an Englishman, unacquainted with the habits of the French peasantry, and probably under the influence of political excitement, very naturally infers a deficiency of the male popula- tion. This was a subject we never lost sight of; and from observation and inquiry in every part of our journey, we were fully convinced that the alleged disproportion between the sexes does not exist. The abstraction of men was not felt as a public grievance until the last two years of Bonaparte’s tyranny, when the draughts amounted to a number, as I was informed, con- siderably exceeding a million. * Very many of these, however, as well as of former conscrip- tions, had returned when we visited France. Indeed, the proportion which the French armies bore to the mass of the people, was little more than half the number absorbed by our army and navy, in proportion to our entire population ; and to these we have to add the prodigious num- ber with us employed in commerce, who are * A very great number indeed ; but we must recollect that the French Empire then comprised the greater part of Italy, the whole of Belgium and Holland, and some smaller dis- victs. 89 equally abstracted from the home supply ; yet ive are not sensible of a paucity of males.” * M. Daru, in the speech we have already quot- ed, took into view, no doubt, the greatly en- hanced cost of colonial produce. The rise on cotton, sugar, coffee, tea, &c. caused by the war, was extremely great, and must have seriously affected the comforts of people in the higher and middle classes. It would, however, be altogether ridiculous to draw any conclusions in favour of the idea of a depreciation in the value of money from that circumstance ; for no sooner had peace been made, than colonial produce immediately fell back to its former price. Spain. — The supporters of the opinion of a general fall in the value of money throughout Europe, have laid much stress on the advance said to have taken place in the price of corn in Spain during the last half century. But al- though this advance were as certain as it is doubtful, there are many obvious ways of ac- counting for it, without recurring to this hypo- thesis. At the commencement of the eighteenth cen- tury, the Spanish monarchy had reached its lowest point of depression, and during the last * Birkbeck's Tour, Appendix, p. 10. 90 forty or fifty years, it has again been improving. The exertions of La Ensenada and of Campom- anes, effected some reformations in the financial department; and procuring the abolition of a few pernicious restrictions, powerfully contri- buted to revivify the national industry, and to awaken their countrymen to a sense of their true interests. At the accession of the Bourbon dynasty, Spain was almost entirely destitute of manufactures, and her internal consumpt and that of her colonies, were supplied by foreigners. But now, notwith- standing of the tax imposed on every sale of commodities, * of the almost total want of canals and of good roads, and of the numberless holi- days that crowd her calendar, — she is nearly able to supply her home market, and exports a considerable quantity of manufactured goods to * Called the Alcavala. This is an ad valorem tax, nominally of 14 but really amounting to 6 or 7 per cent, payable on all commodities, both on the raw material, and on manufactured goods. It is exacted every time the property changes hands, and is always rated according to the selling price: Forex- ample, it is exacted from the pasture rents, the cattle again pay it at every sale and re-sale ; and after all, the butcher’s meat pays it when sold to the consumer. The Catalans reck- on themselves happy in having got an oppressive income tax, from which not even the wages of labour are exempted, sub- stituted in place of the alcavala. Bour going Tableau de V Es- pagne. Londres, 1808. tom. ii. p. 16 ; Jovellanos , in tlietrans - lation of Laborde ; Townsend’ .s Travels in Spain , vol. ii. pp. 178—198. 91 her colonies ;f affording incontestable evidence of the power and eminence to which she might have attained, under a government that would have encouraged and rewarded industry, in place of sedulously fostering the inquisition, supersti- tion, and idleness. The improvement of manufactures has been chiefly conspicuous in Catalonia. This province, by particular privileges, enjoys an exemption from the alcavala , and some other ruinous im- posts; and the exertions of Campomanes pro- cured the removal of the holla , characterised by Mr Townsend as the worst impediment to ma- nufactures the blind avarice of sovereigns ever invented. Since that auspicious period, the pro- verbial industry of the Catalans has been exert- ed with more than its ancient vigour. Unfet- tered by impolitic restraints, and permitted to set their own value on their commodities exposed to sale, their industry is free; while that of less favoured provinces, harassed incessantly by the collectors of the revenue, and the interposition of the magistrate with his assize, is crippled in all its operations. Silk goods are manufactured to a great extent in Catalonia, and it nearly engrosses the whole of the Spanish trade in weaving and printing + Laborde’s View of Spain, vol. iv. p. 369. cottons. In 1790, a factory for spinning cottoft was erected at Barcelona, the flourishing capital of this province ; and in about fifteen years, there were no fewer than 100 similar establishments in that city, and a still greater number in the adjoining country.* The Spanish West Indian and American trade, after being long confined to Seville, was, in 1 720, transferred to Cadiz, and excluded from the other ports. While the trade languished under this restraint, a very few ships sufficed to carry it on, and it was of almost no consequence to the state. The absurdity of the restriction at length became obvious ; and, after various modifications, in 1739 and 1764 it was totally abolished in 1778 by Charles III. who, at the suggestion of the celebrated Galvez, threw open the trade of America to all his subjects, except the Biscay - ans.f The beneficial effects of this edict were unprecedented ; the exports to America quadru- pled in the course of ten years, and have conti- nued to increase. In 1788, Spain had only four or five hundred merchant ships ; but previous to the late convulsions, Catalonia itself possess- ed above a thousand ships, and the city of Cadiz more than a hundred ship-owners. In 1768, the inhabitants of Spain, of all ages * Laborde, vol. iv. p. 351. t Townsend, vol. ii. p. 400, 93 and sexes, were estimated at 9,307,000. By the census of 1787, this number was found to have increased to 10,144,000; and, according to La- borde, the census of 1797 and 1798 gives a po- pulation of above 12 millions.* When the removal of a few restrictions on trade has so greatly increased the national indus- try and population, we may easily conceive what would have been the present state of Spain, if the wretched nature of her domestic policy, which effectually counteracts and oppresses every spe^ eies of rural industry, had been totally changed. We shall very briefly delineate a few of its more striking peculiarities. The immense extent of property held in Spain by a few nobles under the strictest entail, and the still greater extent of territory belonging to the church and to corporations, are ranked by Jovellanos f in the first class of obstacles to agri- * These estimates are all very loose, and cannot be much depended on; but the fact of a great increase since 1750 is unquestionable. t This excellent person was imprisoned six years, for the sole offence of publishing his invaluable Memoir on the best means of promoting agricultural improvement. It must ever be lamented, that all the blood and treasure expended by the Spaniards and the English in the late peninsular war, should have only served to re-establish the detestable tyranny under which that unhappy country had so long groaned. The con- temptible bigotry, base ingratitude, and ruffian cruelty of ferdinand, will ever be remembered; but for the welfare of 94 culture. General information has not there, as in Britain, pointed out to heirs of entail, that their own interest is inseparably connected with the proper management of their estates, and that to draw a great revenue from them, it is neces- sary they should be well managed. The needy and imbecile nobleman who lives at court, en- trusts the direction of his affairs to an agent in the country, with the sole instruction to remit all the money he can procure to the capital, to- tally regardless of the welfare of his tenants. It is not to be expected, that in such a state of things, agriculture can make much progress ; and the law rendering void the leases of entailed estates on the death of the granters, seems to have been ingeniously devised for its total de- struction. The advantages resulting from the freedom of an internal corn trade, are nearly unknown in Spain. * The superfluous produce of one part of humanity, it is devoutly to be wished, that historians may soon have to record his legitimate and exemplary punishment. * In 1752, the Marquis de la Ensenada succeeded in pro- curing an abolition of some restrictions on the internal corn trade; but as late as 1804*, none but common carriers were permitted to buy the grain of the country to sell it again, without a special licence from government. ( Edin . Rev. No. ix. p. 135.) Exportation to foreign ports was authorised in 1765 , was again forbidden, and subsequently permitted in 1 783 ; but the multiplicity of custom-house regulations, ren- ders this liberty, like the former, merely nominal.— Towns- end, vol, iii. p. 259. Bourgoing , tom. ii. p. 165. the country cannot, without much difficulty, be employed in making up any deficiency in the crops of another. The rapid progress of com* merce and manufactures in Catalonia, has, not- withstanding of the improvement of its agricul- ture, caused an increased importation from France and other foreign countries. Had the internal commerce in grain been unrestricted, this supply would undoubtedly have come from the fertile province of Castile, where agriculture has great- ly declined since the transfer of its commerce and artisans to Barcelona, and the consequent dimi- nution of the home demand. The circumstance of the trade in corn between the different divisions of Spain being greatly shackled, w r ould of itself serve tocausegreat differ- ences in its prices. But the operation of these re- strictions is powerfully assisted by the miserable state of the roads, and by the extreme difficulty of transporting agricultural produce to any distance. Thefanega of wheat in 1757 sold at Valencia at six reals, and brought at St Andero, the nearest mar- ket, 22 reals. * Even now, the corn purchased in the markets of Leon, and sent to the seaports and capital of the Asturias, sells for about 20s. lOd. per load more than at the place of purchase, though the distance is not above 20 leagues, f Hence * Laborde, vol, iv. p, 291?. t Id. vol. iv. p, 288, 96 it is evident, that a knowledge of the price of corn in Spain at a particular market, cannot by any means enable us to judge of its average price throughout the country. In no country in Europe are there such fluc- tuations in the markets as in Spain. The trade of corn merchants and middlemen being in a manner unknown, there is little providence used in the distribution of the crops. Large landed proprietors and government frequently purchase and store up corn, which they again sell to the people, when the price has risen sufficiently high to tempt them to part with it. These purchases, however, are not made when corn is plenty, but when there are strong grounds to believe the crop deficient ; and this circumstance quickening the apprehensions of the people, the very methods taken to prevent a famine, tend to increase alarm, and to bring it on. Mr Townsend mentions, that in 1652 wheat sold in Seville at 15s. Sd. a, bushel, and in 1657 so low as Is. 4d. * In May 1 800, wheat sold at Medina de Rio Seco at about 28 reals the fanega ; and in May 1804, it brought no fewer than 155 reals, f Such sudden varia- tions are alike prejudicial to the agriculturists and consumers, ruin frequently assailing the one* and famine the other. * Townsend, vol. ii. p. 220< t App. Bull. Rep. 97 There is a still more disgusting feature in the internal policy of Spain. The proprietors of the great sheep flocks called the Mesta , in many provinces entirely prevent any pasture land from being converted into tillage ; and not satisfied with a monopoly of the grass, they even prevent the crop lands from being enclosed , lest the migra- tions of the flocks should be obstructed. * It is a necessary consequence of these absurd regula- tions, that unless the com raised on the lands formerly in cultivation is adequate to supply the increased population with food, its price must rise in order to induce a greater importation. It was not, therefore, requisite to suppose a depreciation in the value of money to explain any increase that may have taken place in the price of corn in Spain. The fact of its popula- tion having of late considerably augmented, and of the existence of those obstacles to agricultu- ral improvement we have cursorily noticed, are of themselves fully sufficient to account for the rise. Among the valuable tables printed in the Ap- pendix to the Bullion Report, is one of the prices of wheat at Seville from 1675 to 17 64> inclusive, and during that period there is no rise . It is * Jovellanos’s Essay. — In 1788, the government authorised the enclosing of kitchen-gardens, and lands appropriated to the culture of vines and seeds. G 98 much to be regretted that this table has not been continued to a later date, as it would have shewn us the exact rise since 1764 at a single point, which, from the circumstances already mention- ed, cannot be learned by a comparison of the prices in any other market since that date. The tables of the price of wheat in Castile, Estrema- dura, Andalusia, &c. from 1788 to 1792 inclu- sive, indicate a fall in that period : and if any inference could be drawn from the prices in the market of Medina de Rio Seco* from 1793 to 1801 inclusive, as compared with any of the above, it would shew a still greater fall. Mr Jacob states, “ That taking two averages in Spain from 1793 to 1798, and from 1799 to 1 804 inclusive, the average price of wheat of the latter period above the former was about 58 per cent., and in barley 40 per cent.” f — This is a rapid fall indeed in the value of money, and ought to have stimulated the gentlemen who have reasoned from it to inquire, whether there was no other circumstance that could explain it. Bourgoing informs us, that the years 1803 and * From 1793 to 1801 inclusive, prices have somewhat fal« len in this market : The average price of the fanega of wheat in the month of May in that interval was 39 reals vellon : in Old Castile from 1788 to 1792 it was 45 reals, and in Estre- madura for the same period, 42.17 — App. to Bull . Rep . Nos. 31, 32. f Quoted by Mr Young in his Inquiry , 99 1 S 04 < were anomalous in the annals of Spain : Contagious diseases, the inclemency of the hea- vens, and famine, laid waste the whole country : above nine millions of fanegas of wheat were im- ported from abroad, and the price of corn rose to six or seven times its mean price.* — Mr Jacob was not surely ignorant of these facts, and he ought to have made allowance for them. He must know, that unless deduction is given for years of absolute famine, in the striking of ave- rages/or short periods, they can communicate no information as to the state of prices at different epochs. In estimating the rise of prices in Spain, the various alterations in the weight and fineness of the coin must be carefully kept in view. A real, such as now circulates, is valued in money tournois by Laborde at 5 sous, and one of the old reals, or such as circulated previously to 1772, at 6 sous 3 deniers : This will explain a rise in the money price of corn since that time of twenty- jive per cent, f / * Bourgoing, tom. ii. p. 162. t In Spain the coin has been debased to a greater extent than in any other European state. The maravedi, which is now only equal to about T 4 T J T of an English penny, in 1220 weighed 84? grains of gold, and of course was as valuable as 14s. of our present money. (Lord Liverpool on Coin, p. 111.) Had La- borde been aware of this fact, he would not have stated as an example of the former low price of grain in Spain, that in 100 On the whole, it appears certain, that from 17 86, when Mr Townsend travelled in Spain, up to the commencement of the late convulsions, there had not been any rise of prices there ; and the previous rise, which is but inconsiderable, is suf- ficiently explained, from the peculiar political cir- cumstances of the country, and from the lower- ing the value of the coin. Italy — In Italy the price of wheat has con- siderably increased during the last thirty years ; but this is an effect of the free corn trade lately enjoyed by that country, allowing its produce to find its level in the European market. Were the exportation of corn from Dantzic forbidden, its price would fall ; but no person would, therefore, say that money had risen in value ; repeal the restriction, and it would again rise, but the value of money would not on that account be diminish- ed. The fact that in ordinary years, Italy exports large quantities of corn to Marseilles and Barce- lona, where the price has been stationary, proves that the increase of its home price is not owing to any fall in the value of money, but solely to an extension of the demand. If the gentlemen, who so charitably endea- vour to console our starving manufacturers for 1280, during a season of scarcity, wheat sold at 12 maravedis the fanega. 101 the high price of corn in Britain, by telling them it has also risen in Italy, could prevail on Par- liament to throw open the corn trade, it would then be seen that the cases are totally dissimilar. Our prices would fall to the level of the Euro- pean market, because they are kept up by a fictitious system. In Italy the prices rose to that level, because they had been fictitiously de- pressed.* Sismondif informs us, that the law against the exportation of corn, framed by the first grand Dukes of the Medici family, entirely ruined the agriculture of Tuscany, which previously pro- duced four times as much grain as was necessary for the consumption of the inhabitants; after the repeal of this prohibition by Leopold in 1775, agricultural improvement of all kinds made asto- nishing progress, and in the course of a few years the whole country exhibited a different appear- ance. During the French domination in Italy, the corn trade was unrestricted. £ * The first part of Filangierfs excellent work was publish- ed in 1780 ; and he affirms that grain then sold in Italy for only the half, or the third of its price in England. Tom. i. p. 293, Filadelfia (Leghorn) 1807. + Tie la Richesse Commerciale, tom. ii. p. 129. * I regret much that the nearly total want of Italian works in this place, and the difficulty and expence of procuring them, has prevented me from obtaining any late accurate in- formation respecting the state of agriculture, manufactures, &c. in that country. Mr Young is almost the only English 102 Austria. — The late comprehensive and excel- lent work of Marcel de Serres, * furnishes satis- factory and authentic evidence of the rapid im- provement of agriculture and manufactures throughout every part of the Austrian dominions. Our limits will only permit us to notice a very few of the most interesting of its varied details. In Austria Proper, manufactures have impro- ved more rapidly than agriculture. Cotton fac- tories have been built in various parts of the country. One at Pottendorff, erected in 1802 , is minutely described by Serres, and is on a very large scale. Many others are mentioned, whose machinery is said to be excellent. They are ge- nerally managed by Englishmen, and afford a convincing proof of the folly of trusting to the comparative ingenuity of artificers, to preserve to any country its superiority in manufacturing, against all other disadvantages. The linen manufacture is in a more flourishing state in Bohemia, than in any other part of the Austrian empire, or perhaps of Europe. Count Hatzfield, Minister of Maria Theresa, and Jo- seph II. contributed greatly to its improvement, traveller who has paid any attention to these subjects ; the rest have generally been contented with describing churches, antiquities, &c. which had been a hundred times described before. * Voyage en Autriche, ou Essai Statistique, &c. sur cet Empire. 4 tomes, 8vo. Paris 1814. 103 by bringing skilful workmen from Silesia, Saxo- ny, &c. who instructed the Bohemians, and ac- celerated their progress to the state of perfection they have now attained. The following state- ment of the pieces of linen cloth manufactured and sold at Trattenau, from 1805 to 1809 inclu- sive, shews at once the astonishing extension both of the supply and demand for this article : Exported to Exported to Sold in Years. Silesia. other countries. Bohemia. Total. 1805 . . . 11,145 . . . 5,800 . . . 2,626 . . . 19,571 1806 . . . 16,837 . . . 6,660 ... 14-6 .. . 23,643 1807 . . . 15,525 . . . 8,463 . . . 3,350 . . . 27,338 1808 . . . 10,448 . . . 12,024 . . . 4,978 . . . 24,448 1809 ... 400 .. . 31,865 . . . 1,256 . . . 44,421 * The Bohemian woollen manufacture is of con- siderable importance, and is in a state of rapid improvement. In 1809, about 50,000 persons were employed in the spinning of wool, and the exported cloth was equivalent to a considerable sum. The cotton manufacture has lately been intro- duced, and is now firmly established in this coun- try. In 1808, seven large factories were erected at Prague on Arkwright’s principle ; and this city employed 5,830 looms, and 8,764 weavers in that branch of industry. Serres estimates the total number of weavers in Bohemia in 1810 at 223,000 ; f and as about * Tom. iii. p. 83. t Tom. iii. p. 74. 104 322,000 individuals* were then employed in spinning flax, f above 400,000 must have been employed as spinners in all the different manu- factures. Bohemian agriculture sustained a check by the restrictions imposed on the importation of its corn into Prussia and Saxony ; but, owing to the extension of the home demand, and to the ineffi- cacy of the prohibitions themselves, this check was only temporary. J Education, and the culture of the mind, have not been neglected in Bohemia. In 1810, there were in that kingdom 2,544 primary schools, 54 secondary schools, 29 principal schools, and one Normal school established at Prague. Agriculture has been exceedingly improved in Moravia ; and Serres assures us, that in this cen- tury it produces at least one-fifth part more than in the last. In manufactures of every kind, im- provement has not been less marked. There is not a single town in which the number of artizans has not greatly increased ; and the weavers have at least quintupled throughout the province in the course of these few years. The nobility en- * Tom. i. p. 347. t Only 249,540 were so employed in 1782. Hoeck Aper- $u Statietique d’Allemagne. X In 1771, Bohemia contained 2,451,848 inhabitants, (Hoeck). In 1810, it contained 3,142,297- 105 courage and patronise manufactures, and have founded schools where young people are instruct- ed in different trades. The most improved ma- chinery is every where to be met with, and the exportation of every species of woollen cloth has vastly increased. Nine cotton factories had been erected in Moravia in 1810. One at Lettowitz employed above 2000 individuals, and several of the others were not inferior. Hungary, Lower Austria, Italy, and the Levant, are the principal markets for the manufactures of this flourishing district. The vassalage, or rather slavery, existing in Hungary, and the privileges of the higher classes, oppose powerful obstacles to the advancement of industry. The example of the neighbouring provinces, and the late encouragement of the go- vernment, have, however, had some effect in opening the eyes of the Hungarian nobles to their real interests. Mr Town son estimated the ordi- nary price of wheat in Hungary, in 1793, at less than 16s. per quarter.* In one good year the inhabitants often reaped as much as was necessa- ry for the consumption of two, but the want of a market effectually prevented any improvement in their agriculture. It is pleasing to have to add, that the ruinous restrictions on the export * Travels in Hungary, p. 142. 106 of Hungarian wines and other produce, were fi- nally abolished in the diet held at Presburg in 1801 . * Since Austria acquired possession of Gallicia, the state of the peasants, and consequently of agriculture, have been singularly ameliorated, f The regulations of Joseph II. in favour of the oppressed peasantry, — his institutions for promo- ting education, — and the example of the nume- rous German colonists settled in different parts of the country by his truly great munificence, have all had the happiest effects. According to Serres, the present population of the Austrian empire, including the Venetian ter- ritories, but exclusive of the Milanese, will a- mount to about 27 millions. J The immense issues of paper during the war, expelled almost all the coin from Austria, and caused a proportional fall in the exchange. § Great and meritorious exertions have, however, been lately made to withdraw this paper from circulation ; and they have had the effect of im- proving the exchange, of reducing the paper price of commodities, and of determining a current of specie into the country Serres does not mention any rise of prices in * Bibliotheque de Voyages, tom. ii. p. 285. t Malte Brun. Tableau de la Pologne, p. 352. J Serres, tom. i. p. 25. $ Id, tom. i. p. 287. 107 Austria, though it is certain that the nominal price of all commodities, bought with the depre- ciated paper money, was proportionally raised. But the circumstance of this empire exporting an immense quantity of corn to Saxony and Si- lesia, countries i*i its* immediate neighbourhood;* and to remote countries, by ithje distant ports of Dantzic, Trieste, and Odessa;, renders it certain that bullion prices there, are yet far below the level of the greater part of the continent. Prussia. — The rendering Prussia as much as possible independent of foreign countries, for various species of manufactures, was a lead- ing object in the domestic policy of Frede- rick the Great. In order to accomplish this, he loaded many foreign commodities with heavy duties, and established monopolies in several branches of commerce. But the rigid and admi- rable economy of that Prince, lessened the ill effects of these impolitic regulations ; and al- though trade has not hitherto made a very rapid progress in Brandenburg and some other parts of Prussia, the country has been considerably improved, and the population augmented. The linen manufacture of Silesia, long famous throughout the world, has been prodigiously ex- tended since Prussia obtained possession of that * Riesbeck Voyage en Allemagne, tom. ii. p. 1 31 . 108 province. The value of the linen exported from Silesia in 1740, did not exceed three millions of rixdollars.* In 1796, 26,456 looms, and 40,603 workmen, were employed in this branch of in- dustry, whose manufactured produce was valued at 8,852,678 *rixdoll'ars, the exports amounting to 6, 748,029. f The neutrality enjoyed by Prus- sia during* a great part, of the late war, was ex- tremely favourable to’ this manufacture ; and in 1805, previous to the unfortunate campaigns with the French, the value of the exported linen had increased to between 16 and 20 millions of rix- dollarst At Grunberg, and other towns in Silesia, the broad cloth manufacture is carried on to a consi- derable extent. The finest kind of cloth is said to look equally well with that of England, and to be about fifty per cent . cheaper. || Although Silesia is an inland province, it is well situated for commerce. The Oder running through it in a longitudinal direction, affords a cheap conveyance for its produce to the Baltic ; and the canal joining the Oder and the Elbe, brings its manufactures to Hamburgh, from whence they are exported to the Mediterranean, * Oddy’s European Commerce, p. 217. + Hoeck Apergu Statistique d’Allemagne. } European Commerce, p. 217. || Adams’ Letters on Silesia, p. 18. 109 to North and South America, and the other quar- ters of the globe. The low wages of labour, the great industry of the inhabitants, and the cheap- ness of provisions in Silesia, will insure the prosperity of its manufactures in a season of ge- neral tranquillity. * In 1791, the inhabitants of Silesia amounted to 1,747,06.5, f and in 1805 to 2,065,435 ; t a rate of increase, Mr Adams observed, as extra- ordinary for its rapidity in Europe, as it would be for its slowness in America. In the department of Posen, and in the whole of that part of Prussian Poland contiguous to Silesia, manufactures have been successfully in- troduced ; and the condition of the peasantry has been greatly improved since the partition. [| The greater part of the com exported from Prussia, as well as from the whole of the im- mense country traversed by the Vistula, is shipped at Dantzic. We shall mention its price at diffe- rent epochs, after inquiring into the progress of industry, and the value of money in Russia. In 1805, the entire population of the various provinces comprised in the Prussian monarchy * An interesting account of the Silesian system of educa- tion, may be found in Mr Adams’ work, or in the Edinburgh Review, No. 9 . t Hoeck. J Annales des Voyages, tom. i. p. 254*. |1 Tableau de la Pologne, pp. 115, 352. 110 amounted, according to Krug, to 9,640,000. * Since that period, Prussia has ceded part of her Polish acquisitions to Russia ; but this loss has been compensated by her obtaining possession of extensive districts in Saxony. Russia. — The progress of civilization in Rus- sia, though considerable, has not been so rapid as might have been expected. A miserable state of vassalage still exists in almost every province of that vast empire. The peasants are not even adscripti glebce, but are as much at the disposal of their master as implements of husbandry, or as herds of cattle. The fortune of a Russian nobleman is estimated chiefly by the number of his boors, f A portion of land is allotted to each family, and they are obliged to pay a certain sum to their master as rent or tax. If they cul- tivate and improve the land, their rent is imme- diately raised, or what more commonly happens, a portion of their farm is assigned to another family. The boors are not, therefore, interested in the improvement of the soil ; and, as any ca- pital they acquire by their industry, may be seiz- ed by their masters, if they happen to make any * Annales des Voyages, tom. i. p. 217. + Clarke’s Travels, 8vo. edit. vol. i. p. 217 ; Malthus’ Essay on Population, vol, i, p, 368. Ill money, they trust it to earth, and conceal the precious deposit with the utmost care. * Atliough these facts ought to make us receive with extreme caution, the exaggerated and in- flated accounts of the improvement and increas- ed population of the Russian Empire, published by foreigners more with a view to ingratiate themselves with the government, than from a regard to truth ; still, it must be allowed, that a decided improvement has taken place, and that liberal ideas are gaining ground. The late Empress gave great encouragement to Germans to settle in her territories, and seve- ral thousands emigrated thither. This measure has been attended with the best effects. An ex- ample of improved cultivation being set before the nobles and their vassals, many of both orders became sensible to its advantages ; and, as old prejudices decay, its influence will be more wide- ly felt. No circumstance shews better the change of opinions amongst the Russian nobles, than the late emancipation of the boors in Esthonia and Livonia ; a measure said to have been taken by- Alexander, at the request of the nobles them- selves. Boetticher estimates the population of Old Rus- sia, in 1790, at 25 millions; and adding 7 mil- * Coxe’s Travels, vol. iii, pp. 154 >, 157. 112 lions as the population of the annexed Polish territories, Taurida, Finland, &c. ; and 3 millions as the probable increase of the former popula- tion since 1790, the total of the present inhabit- ants of the Russian empire will be about 35 mil- lions. Mr Coxe’s estimate is not very different. (33,863,360.)* In a country like Russia, but lately emerged from perfect barbarism, and now possessed of a considerable trade, it would certainly be very ex- traordinary if the price of exchangeable produce had not risen. Bullion must always, in traffick- ing with poor nations, be one of the most advan- tageous articles of export. The low wages of labour, and the cheapness of commodities, ren- ders specie there doubly valuable ; for the value of produce being low, that of money is high, and vice versa. This circumstance has so long kept up a demand for specie in the India trade. The wages of labour were there so small, and the manufactures necessary for the inhabitants prepared at so little expence, that the nations of Europe could scarcely export any produce, w hose money price was not too high for the market ; they, therefore, exported their cheap bullion, and have in that way carried on a commerce equally * Messrs Tooke and Hermann reckon the population of the JRussian Empire at above 40 millions ; the gross exaggeration of their estimates, has, however, been repeatedly pointed out. 1 113 fbr the advantage of all parties. The same is the case with Russia, except that the inferior skill of its inhabitants, and the want of proper machinery, render them dependant for a supply of many necessary articles, on their more ingeni- ous and wealthy neighbours. Still, however, much of her exports are paid with bullion ; it is the most desirable commodity her merchants can import, as the demand for it is steady and per- manent. In Mr Oddy’s table of the exports "and im- ports of Russia by the Baltic, for the year 1802,* we find an importation of gold and silver to the amount of upwards of four millions of roubles, which, valuing the rouble at 3s. f is above L. 600,000 sterling; and, in the same year, the importation of these metals by the Black Sea, is estimated at 183,989 roubles. As a considerable quantity of specie must have entered the empire by other channels, and by the imports of indi- viduals that do not appear in the custom-house books, we cannot value its annual influx into Russia, (exclusive of the produce of the mines) * European Commerce, p. 111. t Previous to 1778, the rouble was worth 4s. sterling. Its value has since been lowered ; and, according to mint assays, the rouble is now only worth 3s. 2d. This circumtances must always be attended to in estimating the rise of prices in Rus- sia. See Advertisement to 5th edit, of Coxe’s Tarvels, H 114 at a less sum than One million sterling ; or at nearly on e-ninth part of the produce of the Ame- rican mines, when at its maximum. This influx of bullion has undoubtedly stimu- lated the industry of the Russians. They are daily becoming more accustomed to an inter- course with foreigners, more sensible of the im- portance of commerce, and a greater production of commodities is taking place. In Siberia it- self, civilization has made some progress ; Latin, French, Geography, &c. are taught at Tobolsk ; and Kotzebue was present at the representation of a play in that city. After all, the price of corn in Russia, (and every thing now stated applies with almost equal effect to Poland) is very considerably below its price in more civilized states. “ At Archangel,” says Mr Oddy, “ the average price of wheat has been for the last fifteen years, only about 26s. the quarter ; some years it has been about 20s. per quarter, but then its quality is very inferior. In other parts of Russia, it has been much the same in price, but of better quality, although these supplies were rather higher by way of the Baltic ports. At Dantzic, the Poles reckon that they cannot bring down their wheat to pay them, unless they obtain about 32s. 6d. per quarter, and 19s. per quarter for rye ; and the quality of the wheat is such, that the better sorts sell nearly as i 115 high in our markets, as our own better sorts. 55 * * * § Mr Oddy’s work was published in 1 805 ; and Mr Malthus, in a pamphlet published in 1814, f informs us, that the price of wheat at Dantzic had not increased in the interval, and that it might still be had on the terms mentioned by Mr Oddy. In a pamphlet printed at Warsaw in 1807, it is stated, that the price of wheat in Poland has doubled every 50 years of the last 150, and that a korzec of oats, which only cost 2i florins pre- vious to 1700, cost 12 florins in 18004 But in this statement, no allowance is made for the suc- cessive and multiplied degradations of the coin ; and as it is certain that in 1650, a florin con- tained four times as much silver, or was intrin- sically worth four times as much as a florin of the present day ; $ it is clear the oats which cost 12 florins in 1800, would have sold for at least nine florins of equal weight and fineness in 1650. The excess of circulating paper in Russia, and the absurd principles on which its whole bank- ing system is conducted, have at particular pe- riods rendered its nominal exchanges very un- * European Commerce, p. 51 6. ■+ Observations on the Effects, &c. p. 17. * Annales des Voyages, tom. i. p. 41& § Tableau de la Pologne, p, 99. 116 favourable, and have produced a great agio or premium in favour of gold : Hence, in calculating the price of Russian produce, this agio must al- ways be taken into account, the price being so much more or less according as the payment is made in depreciated paper, or in specie. Mr Young estimates the rise on Russian wheat from 1794 to 1805, compared with the period from 1781 to 1798, at 37 per cent. ; but Russian paper money in 1795 and 1796 was depreciated 49 per cent., and in 1799 no less than 58 per cent ;* and as Mr Young does not seem to have been at all aware of this fact, and does not make any allowance for it, his estimate is evidently without any weight, though probably true to a certain extent. In 1800 and 1805, the crop in the Crimea was so very abundant, that half the produce was given to those who gathered in the other half :f The rise, therefore, of 83 per cent, mentioned by Mr Young as having taken place in the price of wheat there, between 1813 and 1815. must doubtless be ascribed to a failure in the crops ; an event, owing to the sudden changes of the weather, of very frequent recurrence in that peninsula. The Empress Catharine’s conquests from Tur- * European Commerce, pp. 173, 198. t Thomson’s Annals of Philosophy, vol. iii. p, 271. 117 key, though attended with unheard of devasta- tions and cruelties, by securing the unmolested navigation of the Don, Dnieper, Dniester, and other rivers, and a free passage from the Black Sea to the Mediterranean, have been of infi- nite advantage to the southern provinces of the Itussian empire. Nicholaef, and Odessa, have arisen with nearly the same rapidity as Peters- burgh. In the latter, so late as 1 795 , only a very few houses were built; but in 1804 , it contained nearly 3000 houses, and about 15,000 inhabi- tants.* The principal exports consist of corn, salt-beef, timber, &c. The important improve- ments lately made in the navigation of the Dniester, have induced the Poles to send a consi- derable portion of their produce down that river, whence it is conveyed by lighters to Odessa, and * European Commerce, p. 169. — “ Odessa continues year- ly to flourish, and that port will become as important for the commerce of the southern provinces of the empire as Peters - burgh is for the northern. In this year ( 1816) up to the 28th of June, 498 ships had entered Odessa, bringing merchandise to the value of 1^ millions of roubles, besides a very large quantity of specie. During the same period there sailed 24 6 ships laden with Russian produce to the amount of 15,220,000 roubles, including above 450,000 tschetverts (524,000 quar- ters) of wheat. Odessa at present contains 35,500 inhabi- tants, and seven churches.” — Literary Panorama, vol. iv. No. 6. Some interesting details respecting the trade of the Black Sea in general, and of Odessa in particular, may be found in an “ Essai sur le Commerce, &c. de la Mer noire,’* Paris, 180,1 118 then shipped for the various markets in the Le- vant and the south of Europe. The increasing price of produce in Russia does not indicate a fall in the value of money in other countries. It is in the natural course of things that money should constantly tend to a level, or commodities to an equality of price amongst na- tions trading together. If a perfect freedom of commerce were established, this equalization would be more speedily brought about ; all na- tions would then have it in their power to pur- chase in the cheapest market, and the extended demand would continue till prices there rose to the same height as in other places. The prohi- bitive system has but little ultimate effect on this principle. No person believes that if Britain can continue to supply Europe with cottons of equal quality cheaper than France, America, or any other country, she will cease to preserve her superiority in the market. The case is ex- actly the same with the corn, the flax, and the tallow of Russia : While other states can pur- chase these commodities cheaper from her than they can raise them at home, they will, generally speaking, be her customers ; and the demand for these products will only cease, when their price equals the cost of home production, or when a cheaper market is discovered. If no fresh supplies of specie were annually 119 dug from the mines, it is certain that the price of commodities would fall in the early civilized states of Europe, because of the demand for bul- lion in the many countries rapidly emerging from barbarism ; and this is the main circumstance pre- venting the new supplies from sinking the value of the whole. When Dr Smith shewed that the value of money had not fallen in Europe in the interval between 1640 and 1775, he only referred for a proof of this fact to Britain and France. He did not allude to the state of prices in Po- land or the Crimea : He knew it was an invari- able law, that the prices in such countries should tend to equalization with those in a more advan- ced state ; and he justly considered, that the fact of there having been no depreciation of money in the highly civilized states, was alone decisive of the question. From this short inquiry into the progress of industry, and the state of prices since 1775, many important conclusions may be drawn. — The facts established respecting the rapid improvement of manufactures in the United States, and in al- most every district of the continent, while they alone can account for the diminished demand for our products, exhibit the absolute necessity of greatly reducing the burdens affecting the in- 120 dustrious classes in this country, if we would prevent the total exclusion of their manufactures from the foreign markets. In regard to the rise of prices, or depreciation of money, it appears : That a greatly increased production of com- modities has taken place throughout the civilized world; and that consequently, a greater quan- tity of currency must now be necessary to cir- culate this increased produce at its former value, than was required at any previous period. And that although the produce of the mines has been much augmented since 1772, and although pa- per has been made to perform the functions of coin to a considerable extent, still it is certain that the value of money has not fallen, or the money price of wheat increased since that epoch : For, 1st, In France, the most civilized and impro- ved of the continental states, there has been no rise in the price of corn, nor any fall in the value of money, since 1760: and in ordinary years, a quarter of wheat may be purchased in that king- dom for 4?0s., or less. 2d, The rise of price in Italy, is an effect of the free corn trade which now permits the pro- duce of that country to seek a better market, or to attain the general level of European prices, — And, 3d, The trifling rise of prices in Russia and 121 Poland, is a necessary result of the improvement of these countries, and of the commercial inter- course between them and the richer nations of Europe ; and does not indicate the least fall in the value of money. If these conclusions are well founded, they af- ford incontrovertible evidence to shew that the rise of prices in Britain, during the last twenty years, has been altogether local ; and that con- sequently it has been caused, not by any general fall in the value of money, but by the nature of our domestic policy. To be convinced of this fact, we have only to recollect, that the expence of importing a quarter of wheat from France or the Netherlands, inclusive of freight, insurance, im- porters’ profits, &c. is not more than 5s., and, therefore, if our currency was not depreciated , and if a free trade in corn was allowed , the home price of our wheat could not, in ordinary years, exceed 45 s. or 47 s. a quarter, the average price of the period from 1770 to 1794. We shall inquire into the principles, and effects of the corn laws, in the following Section. 122 SECTION FOURTH. Price of Corn in this Country fictitiously kept up by the Corn Laws — Such advancement of Price prejudicial to the Manufacturers , without being advantageous to the Agriculturists — Famine and scarcity , generally caused by Restrictions on the Corn Trade . The important facts established in the prece- ding Section, conclusively shew the fallacy of the reasoning by which several otherwise well in- formed writers, * who admit the depreciation of our paper currency, contend for a fall in the value of gold and silver since 1760, by referring to the rise in the bullion price of corn in this coun- try subsequent to that era. But as soon as our consumption of grain began to exceed the supply, an advance in the home price was unavoidable, in order to cause an importation from foreign countries, to which we had previously been in the habit of exporting. The restrictions on im- porting foreign grain imposed in the reigns of Charles II. William III. and Anne, could not, while the supply was more than equal to the demand, cause any rise on the home prices. The * Edinburgh Review, No. 51, p. 140; Mr Buchanan's sup- plementary volume to the Wealth of Nations , p. 83, &c. 123 case, however, was very different when the supply became deficient, and the bad seasons, of which Dr Smith speaks as previous to 1775, combined with the extraordinary increase of population af- ter the peace of Paris in 1763,* raising the home price to an unusual height, rendered frequent sus- pensions of the restrictions necesssary. In 1773, in order to put an end to these temporary expe- dients, a total change was effected in the previous system of corn legislation, and a new law was en- acted, allowing the importation of foreign wheat free of duty, whenever the home price reached 48s. a quarter. The object of this act, (which ought not to have been altered, unless to render the trade perfectly free,) was to give a stimulus to British agriculture, by keeping foreign grain out * The following Table of the population of Great Britain, in every tenth year of the last and present century, is extract- ed from Parliamentary papers, and understood to be pretty correct. Years. England and Wales. 1700 ... . 5 , 475,000 . . 1710 ... . 5 , 240,000 . . 1720 ... . 5 , 565,000 . . 1730 .... 5 , 796,000 . . 1740 ... . 6 , 064,000 . . 1750 ... . 6 , 467,000 . . 1760 ... . 6 , 736,000 . . 1770 .... 7 , 428,000 . . 1780 .... 7 , 953,000 . . 1790 .... 8 , 675,000 . . 1801 .... 9 , 163,000 . . 1811 .. . 10 , 488,000 . Scotland. Total. . 1 , 048,000 .... 6 , 523,000 . 1 , 270,000 .... 6 , 510,000 . 1 , 390,000 .... 6 , 955,000 . 1 , 309,000 .... 7 , 105,000 . 1 , 222,000 .... 7 , 286,000 . 1 , 403,000 .... 7 , 870,000 . 1 , 363,000 .... 8 , 099,000 . 1 , 434,000 .... 8 , 862,000 . 1 , 458,000 .... 9 , 411,000 . 1 , 567,000 . . . 10 , 242,000 . 1 , 649,000 . . . 10 , 817,000 . 1 , 865,000 . . . 12 , 353,000 a 9 124 of the market till the price was somewhat high- er than in the rest of Europe, and, at the same time, not to lay the manufacturers or trading part of the community under great comparative disadvantages. Subsequently to the American war, the discoveries of Arkwright bringing the cotton manufacture to a state of great perfec- tion, an increased demand was experienced for labourers, higher wages were given, and the po- pulation of the country increasing faster than its agricultural produce, notwithstanding of an as- tonishing improvement in every species of rural economy, the imports, though not the price of corn, * became considerably greater. In 1791, the same sophistical arguments were used, to prove the necesity of further restricting the trade in corn that have since been so very efficaciously brought forward, and an act was passed, pre- venting the import of foreign wheat till the home price reached 52s. 6d. In 1797, the Bank being restricted from pay- ing in specie, the high prices of 1800 and 1801 were partly owing to the increased issues of pa- per. The profits then made by landlords and * It deserves particular attention, as we have already no- ticed, that from 1770 to 1794 there was no rise whatever in the price of corn ; and though occasionally higher, the ave- rage price of that period was from 3s. to 4s. a quarter below the price at which the duty, on importing, ceased by the act 1773. fanners, (at the expence of the other classes,) notwithstanding of the deficient crops, were im- mense ; and thinking to secure their continuance, in 1804, when the price of wheat was above 50s. a quarter, they procured to themselves a mono- poly of the home market till the price should rise to 66s. ; or until grain in Britain should be double its price in Poland, and a half more than its price in France. While such laws regulate our corn trade, it is obvious we can form no certain conclusion as to the general value of gold and silver from the state of our home prices. We might just as well deduce inferences respecting the mildness and salubrity of our climate, from observations made on a Thermometer kept in a hot- house. To prohibit importing the necessaries of life into any country where the supply is short of the demand, till prices have risen to a certain height, has a direct tendency to raise them still higher. British merchants would not at present order fo- reign grain, if the home price was steady at about 80s. It could not, in fact, be imported to any extent, unless the price was considerably higher, because it is certain, that the dreaded effect of a large importation would of itself suf- fice to sink the market price, and would conse- quently put a stop to the influx. In 1805, the crop was very considerably deficient, and the ave- 126 rage price of that year was about 22s. above the price at which importation was allowed by the act of i 804. The depreciation of paper compa- red with bullion, being at that time about 4 per cent, the high price of that year must have been owing to the operation of the new corn law pre- venting any import of foreign grain till the home price was high, and then cramping mercantile operations ; and to the war rendering the cost of importation unusually great. In 1806, 1807, | and 1808, the depreciation of paper compared with bullion continued at nearly 4 per cent, and the price of wheat in these years being generally from 66s. to 75s. a small importation only took place. From autumn 1808 to spring 1814, the depreciation of our currency was rapid beyond all former example, and several crops in that in- terval being likewise deficient, the money price of corn, influenced by both causes, rose to a sur- prising height. The following is a statement of the money or paper price, and the bullion price of corn, from 1809 to 1814 inclusive. Paper Price per Quarter. Bullion Price per Quarter. 1809 95s. 7d. 1809 ...... 81s. 1810 106s. 1810 88s. 6d. 1811 ...... 9*s. 1811 74s. 1812 U5s. 1812 90s. 1813 Ills. 1813 74s. 1814 74s. 1814 56s. 6d.* * Edinburgh Review 3 No. 51. p. 144. 127 The crops of 1809 and 1810 were much below an average, and the bullion price of these years is a good deal higher than the importation price of 1804. This excess is to be ascribed partly to that law, and partly to the extraordinary difficul- ties then thrown in the way of importing grain. At that time no vessel could be loaded in any European state for England without purchasing a licence, and the freight and insurance were at least four times as high as during peace. The same causes operated in 1812; but in the au- tumn of 1813, the destruction of Bonaparte’s anticommercial system having increased the fa- cilities of importation, a large quantity of corn was poured into the kingdom, and in 1814 its bullion price was reduced below the point at which importation was allowed. The particular circumstances of Europe at the time, throwing the commerce of the world into the hands of our merchants and manufacturers, prevented the ill effects resulting from a high price of corn, and a high price of labour, from be- ing immediately felt as they would otherwise have been. As soon, however, as the unnatural state of things passed away— when peace had restored a free intercourse among nations— when the cotton of Carolina was imported direct to France — and when the vessels of every state could perform voyages without any interruption, 128 then the real nature of our domestic policy be- came obvious. When our manufacturers flat- tered themselves they would have the entire of Europe and America for their customers, they found, that without a diminution of the cost of manufacturing, they would not be able to sell any thing abroad with sufficient profit, and that, eventually, they would be excluded from every foreign market. We must particularly observe, that supposing the home supply of corn in this country to have been fully adequate for the demand at the time the last corn law was enacted, still its necessary effect must have been to keep prices higher here than in any neighbouring nation. Previous to 1815, the high price of corn had continued so long, that the price of labour, and almost every species of manufactured produce, not to mention taxation, had attained a corresponding level. Time had been given to complete the effects of a rise in the price of corn, and landlords and farm- ers were beginning to be satisfied, that their si- tuation was fully as comfortable when they only got 50s. for a quarter of wheat, as it had since been when they got 100s. per quarter. But if we suppose that when things were thus situated, and the home supply commensurate with the de- mand, an introduction of foreign grain, or a pe- culiarly abundant crop, had taken place, it is cer~ 129 tain the fail of prices consequent on either event would have thrown poor land out of cultivation, and would have involved the whole body of agri- culturists in much distress. But when a prohibi- tion against the import of foreign grain exists, the effect of a luxuriant crop in reducing the price df corn, by its lessening the quantity sown next spring, is rendered of extremely short dura- tion ; and it has been well observed, that in a country placed under the restrictive system, a very great abundance in one season is generally a forerunner of famine in the next. The reason of this is obvious. Although the price of labour, and of every kind of produce, is ultimately de- pendent on the price of the necessaries of life, they are not immediately regulated by them. A considerable time is required when grain is rising in price before other products come to an equali- ty, and the same thing happens when it is falling. The wages of labour, the price of manufactures, &c. are not reduced with the same rapidity as the price of corn. The equilibrium, though ulti- mately perfect, is not instantaneously obtained ; and during the interval, the agriculturists are al- ways exposed to much hardship. It is, therefore, entirely erroneous to imagine, that a corn law has no effect in keeping up prices but where the supply is short of the demand ; it has such an i 130 effect wherever it prevents a fictitious system from being disturbed, wherever it prevents agri- cultural products from finding their general level, in short, wherever it prevents the consumers pur- chasing in the cheapest market. * When the fall of prices took place in 1814, the proper and only effectual mode of really relieving the landed interest, was to have proportionally reduced those burdens which had been imposed on them, not only according to the increase of the real price of corn, but also according to the increase of its nominal price caused by the de- preciation of paper. Had the new taxes, di- rectly and indirectly affecting the landlords and farmers, been co-existent with the high prices, a fall in the price of corn could only have occa- sioned them very temporary difficulties. The rents of the latter must soon have been equalised with the reduced prices, wages could not long have continued high ; and in a short time their situation would have been nearly the same as be- * If Mr Wilson had adverted to these circumstances in his late pamphlet, he would not certainly have contended, that al- though the burdens affecting the agriculturists are now near- ly three times as great as in 1794^ they could still afford to sell their produce as cheap as in that year. No reduction of rents could effect this object. Taxes of every kind must also be re- duced to their former amount, otherwise much poor land pre- sently cultivated would not pay the expence of labour. J 31 fore. This relief was of that kind, which could not depress, but benefit, the other industrious classes of society : it merely required the govern- ment of the country to economise, to reduce the interest of the national debt, to make their ex- penditure quadrate with their diminished income, and to shew an energy in taking off taxes as prices fell, corresponding to that which they had exhibited in imposing them when they rose. How- ever, nothing of this kind was attempted; no retrenchments of any sort were made ; * but, in 1815, in order to support the agriculturists, and regardless of the sufferings of the manufacturers, a new corn law was enacted, preventing the use of foreign corn till the home price reaches 80s. a quarter : which, if the currency is not again depreciated, and if the enactment shall have its full effect, will keep the real price of corn nearly as high as in the five dear years ending 1813. The supporters of this part of our fictitious system argue, that the price of labour has no connection with the price of food, and that the former being regulated solely by the state of the supply and demand, the enhancing the price of corn in the home market does not necessarily * Any retrenchments made since the peace, were effected in the last session of Parliament. 132 cause any increase in the wages of labour, and consequently is not injurious to our foreign trade. In a manufacturing country, for short intervals, and to a limited extent , this statement is consistent with fact. A stagnation may take place in trade at the very time that corn is rising, and the la- bouring class may at once experience an increase in the price of provisions and a fall of wages. If, however, this rise in the price of corn is of a per- manent nature, and if manufacturers cannot al- low a corresponding rise in the price of labour, the principle of population will begin to operate, and by lessening the supply of workmen, will ultimately reduce the price of corn, and raise wages to their proper level. It may perhaps be objected, that this is too rigorous a view of the matter, and that in coun- tries where labour has been well rewarded, and where not more than one-third or two-fifths of the wages of workmen has been directly expend- ed in the purchase of corn, an increase in the price of bread and meal would rather serve as an inducement to retrench from what was not es- sentially necessary, than to lessen the supply of hands. It would, however, be most detestable policy, waving the question of practicability, to attempt to reduce the labouring classes to a scan- ty supply of the mere necessaries of life. The experience of all ages has shewn, that a needy 133 starving populace, lose a just sense of their dig. nity and rights as men, and become depraved and enslaved. It is in vain to expect industry where it does not meet with a suitable reward ; men will not submit to privations and labour, but in the hope of securing corresponding comforts. It may also be observed, that a fictitious in- crease] in the price of corn directly raises the price of butchers meat, cheese, butter, and other agricultural products. When more money can be made by grazing than cropping, land is imme- diately taken from the latter species of industry to be employed in the former, and an equilibrium of profit is attained. On the same principle, when the price of corn is raised by violent means, pasture land is ploughed up, and the price of cattle is soon made to correspond with that of corn.* It is a common and hackneyed complaint, which the interested views of master manufac- turers, and fanatical declamation, have contri- buted to make too much believed, that when the wages of workmen are high, they spend a great part of their earnings in riot and debauchery, * The remarks of Mr Malthus on that part of the evidence taken before Parliament in 1814, in which several of the wit- nesses, notoriously biassed in favour of the corn laws, endea- voured to support the doctrine, that there was no connection between the price of provisions and the rate of wages, are at once liberal, judicious, and conclusive . — Essay on Rent, p. 48 134 alike hurtful to themselves and to the morals of the state. It is, indeed, true, that in every so- ciety, some of its members are always careless of the future, and attentive only to present enjoy- ment : But are we to judge of the great body of the people from such instances ? Were not the desire of accumulating profits superior to every other in the lower classes generally considered, they would not be found to become more rich, and to augment their little capitals in every country where the real wages of labour are in- creasing. In the United States, where labour is extremely well rewarded, the lower classes are universally industrious : in this country, after the American war, the unusual demand for labourers infused a fresh spirit of exertion into the lower classes ; and in France, every well-informed tra- veller informs us, that the rise on the real price of labour, which has taken place since the Re- volution, has had precisely the same happy ef- fects.* According to Mr Young, to whose meritori- ous exertions we are indebted for much valuable and accurate information respecting political and rural economy, the mean price of agricultural la- bour in 1767, 1768, and 1770, was about 7s. 6d. per week, or Is. 3d. per day. Mr Young further * For a confirmation of what is here stated, see Wealth of Nations, vol. i. pp. 119 . 124 . &c. and Say, tom. ii. p. 91* 135 states the mean price of labour in 1810 and 1811 at 14s. 6d. per week, or 2s. 5d. per day, being a rise of nearly cent, per cent, on the former period. But he estimates the average rise on bread, meat, butter, and cheese, during the same inter- val at 135 percent.; and consequently wages were really higher in 1770 than in 1810 by the difference, or 35 per cent. Since 1813, the price of corn has fallen, but it is still double its price in 1770, and the average price of labour being now less than its then price, the situation of the independent poor is evidently altered very much indeed to the worse. It may perhaps be thought, that this fact con- tradicts the arguments by which we have endea- voured to prove the equality of prices and wages. But the increased price of commodities in this country, during the war, was prevented from having its full effect in raising wages, by the operation of the Poor Laws. Labourers were not deterred from marrying when they knew that a fund was by law set aside for their sup- port, and when they were certain that if the wages of labour would not suffice to rear a fa- mily, the deficiency would be made up by the parish. The comparative cheapness of labour, therefore, has not redounded in the smallest de- gree to the general advantage of the employers of workmen ; but as Mr Birkbeck has justly ob- 136 served, the expence of labour in England is sq much the greater, as it always costs more to maintain a pauper than to preserve an indus- trious man from poverty. The pressure of the poor rates has, indeed, be- come almost intolerable ; but heavy as the bur- den is, it must be borne while the fictitious sys- tem is persevered in. * If we will forcibly raise the price of the necessaries of life, we must ex- pect to see the price of labour, and all other com- modities, proportionally rise. We cannot per- manently reconcile things altogether incompa- tible^ — a high price of provisions and a low price of labour. The order of nature opposes such an iniquitous design. If workmen are not able to live in this country as comfortably as in others, they will emigrate ; and by so doing, contribute to increase the ingenuity of foreigners, and the wages of such as remain. And this, as ’well as every other deviation from liberal policy, will as- suredly provide its own severe corrective. The supporters of the corn laws are excessive- ly inconsistent : They tell us at one time, that they have no effect in raising wages ; and again they tell us, that to repeal them would reduce * In 1776, the total expenditure on account of the poor amounted to £ 1,530,804? ; in 1803, to £ 5,348,2 05 ; and last year the expenditure was reckoned at about eight millions. This is a short, but pretty intelligible commentary on our fic- titious system. the price of labour, and be injurious to the lower classes. Both these assertions are alike false and unfounded. A fall in the wages of labour, arising from a fall in the necessaries of life, does not lessen the comforts of the lower classes ; on the contrary, it is really advantageous to them ; for by increasing the demand for their products, and consequently for labour, it contributes power- fully to raise the real wages of workmen ; or it enables them to exchange their services against a greater quantity of commodities. Assuming it, therefore, as proved, that every increase in the price of the subsistence of labour- ers, must in the end be accompanied with a cor- responding increase in their wages, we at once perceive, that although the corn laws should not injure our foreign trade, they cannot permanent- ly improve the condition of our agriculturists. We must distinguish between a rise of nominal and real rent. Two individuals living in sepa- rate countries, are in precisely the same situation, although the one should have L. 1000 per an- num, and the other only L. 500, if the latter in- come will purchase as many commodities as the former. A real rise of rent, can alone invest the proprietor with an augmented power over the necessaries and luxuries of life : It results from an improved mode of cultivation, from a saving of labour, and from a greater effective demand 138 for agricultural produce caused by the general im- provement of society. A forced rise in the price of corn being attended with a corresponding rise in the price of labour, must equally augment the price of almost every article the farmers pur- chase. Their situation, after a short interval, becomes the same ;* they receive more money with the one hand, but they are forced to pay away more with the other. The corn laws, therefore, cannot be of any really permanent utility to our agriculturists ; and whatever ill effects they may have on our com- merce, seem not to be compensated by any cor- responding advantages. The advocates for the corn laws indeed tell us, that the procuring a certain and adequate supply of food for our inhabitants, is an object of paramount importance to every other, and that this cannot be effected without the restric- tive system. But it is one thing to make an asser- tion, and another thing to bring forward satis- factory proofs of its truth : In this case a very few words will suffice to shew, that the prohibi- * This is not exactly true : The situation of the agricultu- rists is altered to the worse: the enhancement in the price of their produce lessening the demand, their real wealth is con- sequently diminished. This will be more fully explained af- terwards. tive system cannot have any such effect, and that its tendency is altogether opposite. A general failure of the crops in an extensive kingdom, is a calamity that but seldom occurs. The weather that is unfavourable to vegetation in one species of soil, is frequently advantageous to it in another. If moist clayey lands suffer from a wet summer, the crops are rendered more luxuriant in dry rocky districts : The excess of produce in one province compensates for its de- ficiency in another, and except in anomalous cases, such as the present season, the total sup- ply is nearly the same. If this be generally true of a single nation, it is always true in reference to the world at large. No one instance of uni- versal scarcity blackens the history of mankind ; but it is constantly found, that when the crops of one country fail, plenty reigns in some other quarter. A freedom of trade is alone want- ed to guarantee a country like Britain, abound- ing in the varied products of industry, in mer- chandise suited to the w^ants of every society, from the possibility of a scarcity. The nations of the earth are not condemned to throw the dice to determine which of them shall submit to fa- mine. There is always abundance of food in the world : To enjoy a constant plenty, we have only to lay aside our prohibitions and restrictions, and 140 to cease to counteract the benevolent wisdom of Providence. * The case of Holland strongly corroborates the truth of all we have now stated. In the days of her greatest prosperity, she was chiefly fed with imported corn, and the prices there were extreme- ly moderate, and what is of infinite consequence, were more steady than in any other country of Europe. There is no danger that a free corn trade once established, would be violently put an end to by foreign governments. When one nation has been for a series of years in the habit of importing corn from another, she has exported some more acceptable produce as an equivalent : The bene- fits are, therefore, reciprocal, and the foreigners will be equally with ourselves interested in a continuance of the traffic. “ When we consider,” says Mr Ricardo, “ the value of even a few weeks consumption of corn in England, no interruption could be given to the export trade, if the con- tinent supplied us w ith any considerable quan- tity of corn, without the most extensively ruin- ous commercial distress — distress which no sove^ reign, or combination of sovereigns, w ould be willing to inflict on their people: and, if willing, it would be a measure to which probably no peo- ple would submit. It was the endeavour of Bona- parte to prevent the exportation of the raw' pro- 141 duce of Russia more than any other cause, which produced the astonishing efforts of the people of that country against the most powerful force, perhaps, ever assembled to subjugate a nation.”* It is no answer to this reasoning to say, that in 1812, with the price of corn at 126 s. we could only import 100,000 quarters. An unprecedented combination of circumstances at that time in- creased the difficulties of importation. Nothing, however, can be more foolish than to imagine that such events will be of frequent recurrence, and to give up the advantages resulting from a low price of grain, and a free trade, to guard against visionary dangers. The principal difficulties we at any time ex- perience in the importing of corn, result in fact from the varying nature of our own laws re- specting it. Perpetually fluctuating between bounties, restrictions, and prohibitions, no con- tinental nation can calculate on our exporting their com for two successive years. No addi- tional quantities are raised to supply our mar- kets, which would be the case if the corn trade was perfectly free; but whatever supplies we may procure, being withdrawn from the ordinary stock, speedily raises prices abroad, and perhaps induces the foreign governments to check expor- tation altogether. * Essay on the Profits of Stock, p. 29. 142 Most foreign states have indeed fixed a statu- tory price at which exporting shall always cease. But this price is much higher than the average, and it is almost certain, that if our corn trade was unrestricted, the importations into this coun- try would have very little effect in raising prices abroad, as a greater production would universal- ly take place ; and foreign powers becoming sen- sible of the advantages of a perfectly free trade, would soon repeal this limitation. When a merely temporary liberty is granted to import, the operations and the enterprise of merchants are alike cramped. They cannot or- der corn from distant countries, lest the price should have fallen before it arrives, and the ports be shut. They are compelled to have recourse to countries in our immediate vicinity, their or- ders must be given on the spur of the moment ; and all that consideration and combination, ne- cessary to ensure the success of every complex transaction, are unavoidably excluded. The most plausible defence of our corn laws rests on the ground, that since exclusive advan- tages are granted to different manufactures, agri- culture ought, in strict justice, to be placed in the same favoured situation. There is not, how- ever, any truth in political economy better esta- blished than this, that it cannot possibly be the interest of any state to manufacture at home, 143 what it might purchase cheaper abroad. If, therefore, any of our manufactures, as that of silk, * could not exist if a free trade were allow- ed, it would be for the general advantage that they were given up, and the capital vested in them employed in some other species of industry. The manufacturers of Gloucestershire, in their excellent resolutions against the late corn bill, expressed, in the strongest manner, their acquies- cence in the doctrine of a free trade, and stated their perfect willingness to sacrifice any exclusive privileges they might enjoy to the attaining that desirable object. It is indeed beyond all ques- tion, that a free trade would be prodigiously for the advantage of those manufactures, part of which are presently exported. The fall that would then take place in the price of provisions and of labour, would much more than compen- sate any disadvantage the woollen manufacturers might experience from a rise in the raw material; and in the cotton manufacture, the advantages * The silk manufacture has been the source of much loss to this country. In order to protect it against foreign com- petition, or rather in order to raise its price to the consumers, French and other foreign silks were burdened with heavy duties. The consequence has been, that since we would not take French silks, they would not take our cottons; and ha- ving built cotton mills for themselves, they are now disputing with us the possession of a branch of industry of real advan- tage. Such, and such only, are the fruits of the fictitious sys- tem. 144 would not be counterbalanced in the slightest degree. In treating of exchange, we have shewn, that it is quite absurd to imagine any ill effects can result from sending abroad our specie as an arti- cle of commerce. It would be useless again to repeat that reasoning here ; but it affords a con- clusive answer to the arguments brought forward to shew, that the freedom of the com trade would be injurious, by draining us of our cash. It may perhaps be said, that if the com trade was perfectly free, if an unbounded liberty was given to import foreign grain, the agriculture of no country could derive any particular benefit from the possession of a great manufacturing po- pulation. Admitting this to be the fact, it cer- tainly affords no reason why one part of society should be compelled to pay a monopoly price for their food, in order to enhance the profits of the other part. Such a proceeding, independently of its impolicy, is manifestly unjust. But the ob- servation respecting the effects of importation, is entirely unfounded. Land lets for a higher rent in the neighbourhood of every great city, than at a distance, from the single circumstance of its contiguity to market. On the very same prin- ciple, in a highly populous and importing coun- try, the home price of corn must always be high- er than in the countries from which supplies are 5 145 brought, by a sum equal to cover the expence of carriage, and to afford the ordinary profits of stock to the importer : and consequently the home grower is sure to receive a higher price for his crop than any foreigner, while his being on the spot, guards him against various losses to which the other is exposed. Estimating the annual consumption of the various kinds of grain in Great Britain at 2 4t millions of quarters, and ave- raging the expence of bringing a quarter of fo- reign grain of every description to market here at 5s., it is obvious that, on the principle of a free trade, the home growers would receive 5s. more than the foreigners for every quarter they sold ; and supposing them to raise 20 millions of quar- ters for sale, they would realise not less than four millions sterling annually of fair profit, by the excess of the home price above that of surround- ing states. It is certainly true, that the abolition of the prohibitive system would be attended w ith a good deal of temporary distress and inconvenience. That, however, is no reason why it should not be abandoned. It might, with as much propriety, have been objected to the introduction of the steam engine, and of Sir Richard Arkwright’s cotton mill, that the use of them would entirely supersede the old clumsy machinery. Private K 146 interests must, in such cases, give way to the ge- neral good. But, in order to give time to with- draw capital from the cultivation of poor soils, and to invest it in more lucrative employments, a gradually diminishing scale of duties might ea- sily be adopted. The price at which foreign grain should be admitted duty free, might be made to decrease from 80s. its present limit, by 4s. or 5s. a quarter annually, till it reached 50s. when the ports could safely be thrown open, and the re- strictive system for ever abolished. When this happy event shall have taken place, it will be no longer necessary to force nature — we will only second her efforts. The capital and enterprise of the country will be turned into those departments of industry, in which our physical situation, national character, or political institu- tions, fit us to excel. The corn of Poland, and the raw cotton of Carolina, will be exchanged for the muslins of Glasgow and the wares of Bir- mingham. The genuine commercial spirit, that which permanently secures the prosperity of na- tions, is altogether inconsistent with the dark and shallow policy of monopoly. The nations of the earth are like provinces of the same kingdom, — a free and unfettered intercourse, is alike pro- ductive of general and local advantage. In the following Section we shall endeavour to explain the operation of the corn laws, and 147 of taxation on manufactures ; but Jirst it will be proper to obtain a correct view of the real im- portance of our foreign trade. SECTION FIFTH. Estimate of the Number of Individuals in Great Britain directly supported by Foreign Trade — • Effects of a great relative Taxation on Manu- facturing Industry — Difference of the State of Great Britain in 1783 and 181 5 — And Confu- tation of the Reasoning of Dr Colquhoun and others, who attempt to prove that a large Na- tional Debt is not injurious to a State. It is not probable that so many laws would have been made tending to increase the price of provisions, or that so many writers would have been found to maintain that the wealth and power of Britain would not be impaired by the loss of her foreign commerce ; if either the fra- mers of these laws, or the propagators of this doc- trine, had been sufficiently aware of its immense importance. However much the economists and their followers may exaggerate the comparative productiveness of agriculture over every other species of industry, it is a fact, of wffiich there 148 can be no doubt, that the nett rent of all the land in Britain would not have supported the expence of a single campaign in the contest just termina- ted. It was the commercial and manufacturing enterprise of the nation that alone enabled the Government to carry on the war in the manner they did. Had there not been an immense sur- plus produce in the country, that could be ap- plied to the service of the state, the subsidies to foreign powers, and the expence of maintaining armaments abroad, could not possibly have been paid. Our foreign trade made all the nations with whom we had any commercial transactions contribute effectually to our support : They sa- laried our workmen, they afforded profits to our merchants and capitalists, and enabled them to meet the constantly increasing and rapacious de- mands of the treasury. The foreign trade en- hanced the value of agricultural produce, by sup- porting and enriching an increased quantity of consumers. It infused new energy and indus- try into the people, and counteracted, to a con- siderable extent, the pernicious and enslaving principles of the poor laws. That this statement is in no degree exagge- rated, may be shewn in a very few words. The official value of woollens exported from Great Britain in the years 1810, 1811, and 1812, was L. 5,773,244, L. 4,376,545, and L. 5,084,991 re- 149 spectively. * As this estimate is more than 50 per cent, below their real value, the exports in these years must have amounted to about nine millions ; and deducting a third from this sum for the value of the raw material, we shall have six millions as interest on capital and wages of labour entirely paid for by foreigners. Now, supposing the manufacturers’ profits and the in- terest of capital to be 18 per cent, f that will amount to L. 1,080,000, which, deducted from L. 6,000,000, leaves L. 4,920,000 as the gross amount of wages ; and assuming each workman to earn L. 22, $ the total number employed in this way will be about 224,000. The woollen manufacture, formerly the princi- pal of those in England, and still, as we have just seen, a great source of national opulence, has been surpassed in value by that of cotton, of comparatively recent origin. After the peace of Paris, in 1763, public attention was first turned towards this branch of industry ; and in 1767 the machines called spinning jennies were generally * The exports of these years were reduped below their previous amount, by the interruption in the American trade. + Mr Grellier only allows 10 per cent, as manufacturers profits and interest of capital, which is certainly too little ; but Mr Stevenson's allowance of 20 per cent, appears, on the other hand, to be somewhat too high. I have been assured that 1 6 per cent, is near the average. + Mr Stevenson supposes the average of the wages to be only £ 20 .— Edinburgh Encyclopaedia , vol. viii. p. 7 54. 150 introduced. * At this period, the value of all the cotton goods manufactured in the kingdom did not amount to more than L. 200,000, and not more than 50,000 spindles were employed. In 17 69, the ingenious Sir Richard Arkwright, by a happy invention, contrived to turn thousands of spindles by a water wheel ; and in that way saving a vast deal of labour and expence, vastly increased the consumption of cottons by redu* cing their price, and enabling a much greater number of individuals to purchase them. As soon as Sir Richard’s patent expired, factories were established in various parts of the king- dom; and in 1787, the value of prepared cottons amounted to L. 7,500,000. f Since this last epoch the progress of the cotton manufacture has been equally rapid. In 1787, the number of spindles worked by machinery and the hand throughout Britain, amounted in all to about 1,700,000; in 1804, there were in Manchester itself, and its immediate vicinity, about 1,500,000 in full operation : and the value of cotton goods manufactured that year was greatly more than double their value in 1787. Dr Colquhoun es- timates the entire value of the different cotton * Jennies were invented by Richard Hargreaves, weaver in Lancashire, who, to the disgrace of his age and nation, was suffered to pass his days in obscurity and poverty. f M'Pherson’s Annals of Commerce , 1787. 151 goods manufactured in Great Britain in 1810, 1811, and 1812, at the enormous sum of 29 mil- lions annually ; * and the average annual expor- tation, including cotton yarn, &c. for the same time, was upwards of sixteen millions. Accord- ing to the same authority, the value of the raw material in the exported cottons does not amount to 3 \ millions : f but this is perhaps too low an esti- mate; and taking it at four millions, we shall then have 12 millions as the nett value of the exports. £ Now, supposing the rate of manufacturers profits and interest on capital to be 20 per cent., or two per »cent. more than in the woollen manufacture, on account of the greater tear and wear of ma- chinery, that will amount to L. 2,400,000, leav- ing L. 9,600,000 as wages of workmen, which, considering there are many women and children employed, may be reckoned on an average at about L. 1 6 each person ; and, consequently, the foreign trade in cottons alone may be supposed directly to employ 600,000 labourers, besides requiring a great * Mr Stevenson, in his excellent treatise on English statis- tics, ( Edinburgh Encyclopaedia, vol. viii. p. 780. ) states the real value of cotton goods manufactured in the cotton district of England , in 1809 and 1810, at about 29 millions each year. t Colquhoun on the Wealth and Resources of the British Empire, 1st edit. p. 91. t The official and real value of cottons exported nearly cor* respond. 4 152 tonnage, and several thousand seamen to convey the raw material and manufactured goods to and from the country. In the woollen manufacture, neither children nor women are employed to the same extent as in the cotton manufacture ; and we may safely assume the number of individuals supported by the foreign trade in that branch to be double the actual amount of workmen, or 448 , 000 . In the cotton manufacture, supposing only an addition- al third to be supported by the industry of those actively engaged, that will bring the whole to 800 , 000 ; which, added to the former, makes a grand total of 1 , 248,000 of the inhabitants of Great Britain, maintained directly by these two prime sources of our national wealth and prospe- rity. We would, however, form but a very inade- quate opinion of the importance of our foreign trade, if we should imagine it confined to the ex- port of woollens and cottons. The population of Birmingham, and the district in its immediate vicinity, amounts to upwards of 400 , 000 , and at least one half of the hardware manufactured there is destined for exportation. The same is the case with Sheffield, and generally with all the principal ironworks throughout the country. The export of manufactured leather goods, of 153 earthen ware, of jewellery, and of many oMier kinds of produce, is very considerable, and gives employment to an immense body of people. From this view of the subject, we may justly consider at least two millions of the inhabitants of Britain as having been constantly engaged in manufacturing for the foreign market, or as ha- ving directly depended on it for support. By the returns of the population act of 1811, the total of families in Great Britain engaged in agriculture, and of those depending on the pro- fits of stock, rent of land, literary professions, civil employments, &c. amounted to 1,415,166; and by the same act it appears, that the total aggregate amount of families actively employed in trade, manufactures, handicraft, &c. was 1,129,049, or above Jive millions of individuals . In a country where the division of labour is car- ried to such an extent as in Britain, and where jnachines of every kind are so generally in use, it is certain, that the artizans and handicrafts- men necessary for the preparation of manufac- tures for home consumption must bear but a ve- ry small proportion to the other classes of the community. If we suppose three millions of workmen and merchants (including their fami- lies) to be engaged in manufacturing and circu- lating the commodities necessary for the con- sumption of this nation, whose entire population 154 cannot much exceed 12 millions, we shall surely make a great deal too liberal allowance ; but, even on this hypothesis, above two millions of merchants and artizans would remain to be pro- vided for by foreign trade. France, before the revolution, possessed a con- siderable commerce, and her inhabitants lived more comfortably, and enjoyed more of the pro- ducts of industry, than any other continental state. But machinery was not there used to nearly the same extent as at this day in Britain, and of course the artizans employed in manufac- turing for the home market in that country must have been proportionally more numerous. Ta- king, however, the then population of that king- dom at 26 1 millions, the agriculturists were esti- mated at eighteen millions,* and consequently the whole of the other classes, including the priesthood, people in civil employments, &c. on- ly amounted to 8| millions, or scarcely to one half of the agriculturists ; while, on the contra- ry, the agriculturists of Great Britain, which is much better cultivated than France in 1789, do not amount to more than one third of the whole population. There is, therefore, very great reason to be- lieve, that our estimate of two millions is much * Ganilh Theorie de PEconomie Politique, tom. i. p. GO. Say, tom. ii. p. 163. 155 under-rated ; and it is only when we take into view the reflex effect which the expenditure of the income of this population must have on th^, wealth and happiness of the other classes, that we obtain something like a just conception of the advantages of commerce. The entire population of Great Britain being nearly 12 millions, about one-sixth part of the whole is directly supported by our foreign trade; an equal portion of our agriculturists are engaged in raising provisions for this enlarged population, and an immense and steady market is created for their produce ; and, lastly, an equal portion of the home manu- facturers evidently depend for their existence on the same fruitful source of riches. The wages of our workmen cannot be raised much higher than in surrounding states, without fundamentally endangering our commercial pros perity. We need not flatter ourselves, that the superior excellence of our machinery will com- pensate disadvantages of this kind. Discoveries in the mechanical arts cannot be monopolised by any one country; and we have already shewn, that the cotton factories of France, Germany, and America, are, in respect of machinery, near- ly on a footing with those of England. If a tax of Is* per yard were imposed on all kinds of cot- i 156 tons, no person would be found stupid enough to maintain, that this tax would not hurt their sale abroad, if taxation there was not carried to the same extent. The case cannot surely be al- tered, if the same rise is brought about by indi- rect taxation, by raising the price of labour, the cost of machinery, the price of provisions, &c. The cause may not at first view be so very evi- dent, but its effects will be found to be precisely the same. “ There seems,” says the most illustrious of modern philosophers, ** to be a happy concur- rence of causes in human affairs, which checks the growth of trade and riches, and hinders them from being confined entirely to one people ; as might naturally at first be dreaded, from the ad- vantages of an established commerce. When one nation has got the start of another in trade, it is very difficult for the latter to regain the ground it has lost ; because of the superior skill and industry of the former, and of the greater stocks of which its merchants are possessed, and which enables them to trade for much smaller profits. But these advantages are compensated, in some measure, by the low price of labour in every nation which has not an extensive com- merce, and does not very much abound in gold and silver. Manufactures, therefore, gradually shift their places, leaving those countries an^ provinces which they have already enriched, and flying to others, whither they are allured by the cheapness of p?'ovisions and labour ; till they have enriched these also, and are again banished by the same causes.” * * Hume’s Essay on Money .-— We are not to conclude from what Mr Hume has here so ably stated, that commerce and manufactures are comparatively insecure foundations of na- tional prosperity. The very same causes that bring on the ruin of manufactures and commerce, as certainly draw on that of agriculture. The connection between the two species of industry is indissoluble. Destroy the manufacturers of any country, and the market for its agricultural produce be- ing cut off, rural industry of every kind must equally suffer. History has been appealed to, and we have been told again and again, that the glory of Tyre, and the power of Car- thage, — the wealth of Holland and Geneva, — vanished like the airy visions of a dream, or as volumes of aerial smoke : That Pisa, Florence, Genoa, and Venice, are no more; and, by their fall, prove to the world, that nothing but a respect- able agriculture can give to any state permanent power, and solid greatness. We too might appeal to history, and ask. Have nations, chiefly supported by agriculture, and in whom manufactures were but slightly introduced, had a longer po- litical existence ? Where are the Assyrian, the Babylonian, the Median, the Persian, the Egyptian, and the Macedonian empires ? The single city of Tyre, by her colonies and her commerce, contributed more to the civilization and lasting improvement of mankind than all these boasted states. The wealth of the merchants of this city, and the comparative comforts and ease Uijoyed by the inhabitants as the just re- ward of their industry and ingenuity, have been celebrated in all ages. They were not, however, enervated by luxury ; for it is certain, that the inhabitants both of old and new Tyre, when attacked by the most powerful monarchs of anti- quity, displayed a degree of courage and of true heroism that has never been surpassed. When the dastardly agriculturist* 158 It is impossible to doubt the accuracy of this reasoning ; its justness has been admitted by al- most every political economist, and may be de- monstrated by the history of almost every com^ mercial country in the world. What, therefore, of Asia submitted without a struggle to the yoke of Alexan- der, the Tyrians alone opposed a determined resistance to that conqueror. They were not successful in the unequal contest ; but they shewed, ( what was afterwards more fully exemplified in the case of the Athenians and of the English)^ that the commercial spirit is not inconsistent with a warm love of independence. Every person knows the vigorous resistance the Carthagi- nians opposed to the insatiable ambition of Rome. But the whole power of that people being derived from commerce, in place of saying it was the cause of their decline, it will be more consistent with truth to ascribe their existence, as an independent state, for so long a period, solely to its powerful and invigorating support. The Roman empire itself, — that huge colossus, which stretched from the Euphrates to Britain, and from Atlas to the Rhine, — whose inhabitants despised all other industry but agriculture, — after quietly suffering every species of cruelty and oppression the most odious of tyrants could inflict, fell a helpless and easy prey to the attacks of rude but unenslaved barbarians. Immortality is denied to the institutions of men, but it does not appear that commer- cial states are necessarily of shorter duration than others. Commerce raised Venice from the bosom of the deep ; and though the errors of her rulers, combined w r ith the revolution in the India traffic, have diminished her trade, she is still a considerable city. The funding system , w[f the fluctuation of commerce, ruined Holland : And if we disregard and despise the lessons of experience, — if voe impose taxes and burdens sufficient to expel commerce from this country, — the baneful consequences inseparable from its decline must be solely as- cribed to our wretched policy, and not to the instability of commerce itself. 159 should be thought of a policy that, in a nation Supported to such an extent as Britain by com- merce and manufactures, should labour to place them under great relative disadvantages ? That, instead of attempting to counteract the ordinary causes of their decline, and to perpetuate the na- tional power and welfare, should endeavour to accelerate their ruin ? That should increase taxation beyond all comparison, and enact laws violently to enhance the price of the indispen- sable necessaries of life ? If such a policy would be pregnant with ruin at any period, it must be doubly so at present. We have sufficiently explained the rapid pro- gress the continental nations and the Americans arc making in manufacturing industry. The fictitious and exclusive advantages we enjoyed during the war are now done away. Cotton will no longer sell for 6s. or 7s. at Amsterdam, when it brings only 2s. at London. The raw material, in a season of peace, must be as cheap in other countries as here ; and it is only the power to undersell foreigners in their own markets, on the principle of a fair competition, that can possibly preserve our manufacturing pre-eminence. The unprecedented emigration of all ranks of people since the return of peace, affords a too practical proof of the decidedly pernicious effects of our fictitious system. It is ridiculous to be per- 160 petually boasting about the superior excellence of our artizans, at the very moment that blasting poverty is forcing thousands of them out of the country : Were their ingenuity a hundred times greater than it is, it will not long be of any par- ticular service to us, unless a radically different system of policy is adopted. To suppose that floating capita:l, or capital that can be disengaged without much loss, will re- main in any state when it might be elsewhere vested more advantageously, is an idea contra- dicted by universal experience, and inconsistent with the fundamental maxims of political eco- nomy. A merchant uniformly employs his stock in that trade, and in that country only, where it yields him, all things considered, the largest re- turn. The transference of capital from one state to another is not generally so perceptible as that of artizans ; but when the latter find it for their ad- vantage to go abroad in multitudes, the other, we may rest assured, will not be long in follow- ing. If the fact of a great emigration of capitalists and of people of fortune had not otherwise been sufficiently well known, no doubt could exist on the subject after the statement made in Parlia- ment last session, that a considerable revenue might be raised by imposing a tax on the pro- perty of persons residing abroad. This allega- 161 tion was not contradicted by the minister, who expressed his approbation of the principle of such a tax. It appears certain, however, that a tax of this kind, if carried |into effect, would, inde- pendently of its being oppressive and arbitrary, accelerate the transference of capital, and be al- together inefficient as a source of revenue. A few proprietors of entailed estates might, per- haps, be induced to remain at home ; but on the mercantile part of the community, who may be inclined to emigrate, it can have no effect but to stimulate them to take their entire capital along with them. If the oppressiveness of taxation forces people, brought up in this country from their infancy, to go abroad, it must, unless^ reduced, oppose an im- penetrable barrier to the return of their families. Their children, familiar only with foreigners, will entirely forget they are descended from Britons : France or America will be to them their native countries, and their capital, their ingenuity, and their industry, will permanently belong to the one or the other, Admitting, however, that it is possible to pre- vent the efflux of our capital by restrictive mea- sures, that circumstance will not materially re- tard the progress of manufactures abroad. The want of the raw material, not the want of ca- pital, was, as we have already observed, the h 162 chief cause that prevented the successful compe- tition of the French and Germans during the late war. We judge of the wealth of foreigners by referring to our own ideas of riches, and we forget that an individual with L. 700 or L.800 in France, Bohemia, or Saxony, is really as rich, or can command as much labour and com- modities, as he could do in Britain with L.1800 or L.2000. A manufacturer in those countries might consequently trade as extensively as ano- ther in Britain, though his nominal capital was a half less ; and if the nominal capitals of both were the same, the profits of the former would evidently amount to the double of the latter. The advantages on the side of the foreigners are, therefore, altogether preponderating, and must, without a very great fall in the expence of ma- nufacturing in this country, ultimately turn the balance in their favour. Such a fall can only be brought about by a re- duction OF TAXATION, AND A MODIFICATION OF the corn laws. We must cease to believe in the efficacy of bounties and drawbacks, and all such miserable expedients. If we pay foreign- ers for buying our high-priced goods, we will make but a sorry profit on their sale : and if we afford them cheaper to others than to ourselves, by taking off the duties on them when exported, we must, by so doing, increase the relative ex- 163 pence of living at home, and stimulate emigra- tion. Of the many groundless opinions entertained respecting our manufactures, none seem more destitute of foundation, than the idea, that al- though we should be excluded from our present fo- reign markets by the increased expence of manu- facturing, new ones would be found, such as South America, &c. that would compensate for their loss. But countries in an inferior stage of civili- zation are surely less able to purchase costly goods, than those that are richer and in a more improved state. It is only the absence of compe- tition that could make those goods be bought by poor customers, which, on account of their price, had been refused by nations abounding in wealth: As soon as a competitor appeared, who could af- ford the same goods at a cheaper rate, this mar- ket, like every other, would be lost to the high- priced articles. We must have formed a very incorrect opinion, indeed, of the ambition of the French and the Americans, if we imagine they would be satisfied with underselling us in their own markets, and would not attempt to do the same thing in every market of the globe. If the manufactures of a country are adequate for the home consumption, they naturally seek an ex- tension in the supplying of foreigners. It is easy ts augment the quantity in proportion to the de- 164 mand ; and the extension of the demand itself enables the goods to be sold cheaper. We shall not insist on the irretrievable ruin of agriculture, which must inevitably follow the loss of our foreign trade. By experience it is found, that corn laws are of no service where the con- sumers are not able to pay the high prices. It is not much for a landlord’s advantage that the restrictive system increases his rents 20s. or 30s. an acre, when it increases pauperism and the poor rates, in an equal or greater proportion. An ef- fective demand for the products of agriculture, arising from the possession of a large body of manufacturers and merchants in easy circumstan- ces, is its only real and permanent support. The agriculturists labour under a gross delu- sion. They never reflect, that the price of every commodity into which the labour of man enters, must correspond with the price of the essential necessaries of life : and that whatever they may gain from an increase in the price of their produce, is compensated by the rise in the wages of la- bour, and of all kinds of manufactured goods. By disabling our manufacturers from competing with foreigners, the corn laws sacrifice the last- ing advantages resulting from the possession of a great surplus industrious population, for the sake of a small temporary benefit. Whatever relief the agriculturists derive from them must, 165 therefore, be fleeting and illusory : It must arise from the depression and ruin of that class with whose welfare their own is intimately and inse- parably connected : It is precisely the same with the relief a patient receives from a medicine, that expels a curable, to leave an incurable disease in its room. The encouragement given to smuggling by our fictitious system, is not the least of the number- less evils attending it. When the most necessary commodities are loaded with excessive duties, it is certain an illicit trade will be carried on. The temptation L too strong to be effectually resisted, more especially t when it is shrewdly suspected that the price is improperly enhanced, or the duties unnecessarily imposed. It is ridiculous to think of repressing these evils by other means than by removing the real cause. As soon as the profits of the fair trader are nearly equal to those of the smuggler, the latter will relinquish his hazardous profession. But an army of excise officers, back- ed by all the indiscriminating and absurd severi- ty of the revenue laws, will be inadequate to re- press this traffic, while other laws give it direct encouragement, or while the high duties are con- tinued. A contempt of oaths, a contempt of all law, accompanied with the universal demoraliza- tion of the lower classes, are the necessary and baneful results of this system of policy. 166 There is, unfortunately, nothing of hypothesis in this statement. The increasing frequency of crimes in this country, is a fact that can no long- er be denied. And the pressure of taxation — the intolerable burdens imposed on the middle and lower classes, — fully warranted Say in point- ing them out as the sole cause of the evil. * The decline of our Navy will be a certain con- sequence of a falling off in our foreign trade. The one cannot be maintained without the other: Commerce is alone the nursery of sailors, and to say that the country can go on without trade, is the same thing as to say that seamen may equal- ly be dispensed with. Though the internal and coasting traffic of France were far from inconsi- derable during the late war, yet the want of fo- reign trade, and the consequent inexperience of her sailors, rendered them very inadequate oppo- nents of the British. The victories gained by Lords Howe and Duncan, were more keenly con- tested than any of the rest, because the seamen in the enemy’s squadrons had been trained in the previous peace. The late contest with America sufficiently proves the truth of this remark. It will not be said that the bravery of the Ameri- cans was greater than that of the French and the Dutch ; their different success can only be ascri- * De l’Angleterre, &c. p. 26 . 167 bed to their superior seamanship, and to their long training to nautical affairs. If, therefore, we will not voluntarily consent to surrender the trident of Neptune, to occupy the second in place of the first rank among nations, to see our naval laurels transferred to another country, — we must support our foreign commerce and our manufac- tures, for it is to them we solely owe our naval and national pre-eminence. But we again repeat, — the commercial spirit cannot permanently remain in any particular coun- try, under great comparative disadvantages. It will, in peaceable and ordinary times, adapt itself to that situation in which it may be exerted with greatest freedom, and in which it is exposed to fewest exactions. Hence the policy that persists in maintaining a fictitious increase in the price of provisions, or a great relative weight of taxation, is, in a manufacturing nation, the very worst that can be followed. It argues a total ignorance of general principles, and a perfect blindness to the most obvious and necessary consequences. It directly counteracts the progress of real opulence, and lasting improvement ; and for some trivial good, or more generally to effect some sinister and infamous purpose, forces industry to relax in its efforts, to lose its proud and noble conscious- ness of self-independence ; and finally produces 163 poverty, wretchedness, and, worse than all,- slavery. The supporters of our fictitious system,— the admirers of taxation,— dwell with extreme plea- sure on the falsification of the predictions of im- mediate ruin to our commerce, that were indulged in by some writers at the end of the American war : And they triumphantly ask, Is it possible to imagine that similar conclusions, resting on no better foundation, shall not again be equally dis- proved ? There is here, however, an assumption made of the very point which should have been established. It must first be shewn that the pre- sent relative situation of Great Britain is the same as in 1783 ; and after that is done , the argu- ment will apply, and some gasconading may be safely indulged in. During the American war, this country, far from engrossing the commerce of the world, was not able to preserve what she had previously pos- sessed. The revolution in the colonial trade, and the capture of several of our West India islands, made us then sensible of the evils of war while it was carrying on. No fears were enter- tained at the return of peace, that we would lose the trade we had kept during the Avar, but mere- ly that we should not be able to recover our for- 169 mer commerce to its full extent. America, at the conclusion of the peace, did not manufacture any goods for her internal consumpt ; the spirit of her inhabitants was entirely agricultural, and it was clear she must continue to import commodi- ties from Europe. Many, indeed, apprehended she would be able to purchase them at a cheaper rate from France or Germany ; but most oppor- tunely, the discoveries of Sir Richard Arkwright at that critical juncture, gave us a decided supe- riority in the cotton trade, and enabled us, till his inventions became generally known, to bear down all opposition. The present situation of Ameri- ca, and this country, and Europe, is quite chan- ged. Manufactures have now struck a firm root in the United States, the most improved ma- chinery is introduced, and the people and govern- ment of that country are fully impressed with their importance, and are not dependent for a supply of necessary articles on any European na- tion. From 1775 to 1783 inclusive, the average price of wheat was about 44s. a quarter. No new corn law was enacted when the treaty of peace was signed, and the price did not decline subsequent- ly to that event. It is needless to say how very different was the state of things during the late war : but it is of the utmost importance to re- mark, that, as the price of corn in France and 170 other nations of Europe has not risen since 1 785, the expence of living, and consequently of la- bour, in Britain, compared with the continent, must now be about double what it was at that period. In 1798, Mr Pitt estimated the nett rent of Great Britain, or the portion of the produce ac- cruing to the landlords, at 2 6 millions sterling; and supposing the rental to have increased one- third between 1798 and 1783, that would give 16f millions as the nett rent at the latter period. In 1783, the interest of the national debt, and the charges of management, were together be- tween eight and nine millions, or were nearly equal to one-half of the rental. In 181.5, howe- ver, the total nett rent of Britain did not cer- tainly exceed 27 millions, * while the interest of the debt, jand its attendant expences, amounted to the enormous sum of Forty-five Millions, or to two-thirds more than the rental. * The nett rent of England and Wales was reported to Par- liament, by the commissioners of the income tax in 1810, as being equal to 29f millions ; and the tenants’ profits, (esti- mated in every case, even where the tenant was losing, at 3-4ths of the actual rent ; and in other cases of old leases. & c. at 3-4ths of the valued rack rent ,) amounted to almost exactly the same sum. The rent of Scotland, at the same period, amounted to about four millions ; but the tenants* profits were not estimated in the same proportion to the rent as in England. There was no increase of rent between 1810 and 1813 ; but supposing the entire rent of Great Britain to have 171 The average official value of the exports for the three years ending with 1783, was L.13, 276,000; which exceeds the interest of the then debt by a sum equal to one-half its amount But the ave- rage official value of the exports for the three years ending 1814, did not equal the amount of the present debt. It were extremely easy to adduce additional evidence to prove, that the relative situation of Great Britain at the present day , is vastly diffe- rent from what it was in 1783; but that is un- necessary. The facts we have just stated, suffi- ciently establish this unpleasant truth, and shew the rapid progress we have made towards na- tional bankruptcy, the certain result, perhaps the true euthanasia , of the funding system.; In 1783, France groaned under an immense debt, and under every species of feudal oppres- sion. The revolution totally destroyed both, and the industry and improvement of that coun- try have since rapidly increased. It is true, that at the latter period amounted to 36 millions, it is certain, from the inquiries made by the Board of Agriculture, and other evi- dence, that this rent is now reduced by at least 25 per cent., (35 per cent, would be much nearer the truth) ; and, conse- quently, the nett rent of Great Britain at this moment does not exceed twenty-seven millions. And estimating the tenants* profits at one-half the rent, it follows, that both do not a- mount to above 40 J millions ; which is about 4|- millions less than the interest of the national debt, and the expence of the sinking fund. late events threaten to retard her improvement •, but it is not possible to imagine, that the abuses of the old regime, that the authority of mistresses and priests, can be restored in their full extent ; or that the stimulus given to industry by the re- volution shall entirely lose its efficacy. In Holland, notwithstanding of the economy of the government, the public debt became so enor- mous, that, in order to raise the sums necessary to pay its interest, the most indispensible neces- saries of life were heavily taxed. Flour and meal paid a duty when ground at the mill, and bread when it came from the oven. The country peo* pie of Holland, in lieu of a part of these imposts, paid an annual composition of so much a head, according to the sort of bread they consumed. Those who made use of wheaten bread paid about 6s. 9^d., and those who lived on oats, rye, &c. paid proportional sums.* Can we be sur- prized, that such a system of taxation ultimately ruined the greater part of the manufactures of Holland, and vastly injured her carrying trade, and her fisheries ? f If prohibitions on the import of foreign grain raise the price of corn in any country beyond * Petty’s Pol. Arithmetic, 4th edit. p. 104. Wealth of Na- tions, vol. iii. p. 340. t Wealth of Nations, vol. iii. pp. 340. 3£)2. Raynal. Histoire Philosophique, &c. Geneve, 1780, tom. iv. p. 310. 173 its natural level, they must, to the consumers, be exactly the same in their effects, as if they paid a tax on com equal to the fictitious in- crease. A British workman might, if the trade were free, purchase a quarter of wheat for 50s. ; but the restrictions — framed to enable the land- ed interest to pay their taxes — by raising the price to 80s., virtually make him pay a tax of 80s. on every quarter he consumes ; and, averaging the consumption at 3-4ths of a quarter per head , they are really equivalent to a capitation tax of 22s. 6d. sterling.* It will be very extraordinary indeed, if the debts of this country do not cause an effective si- milarity with Holland in more points than the above; if the funding system shall be ruinous in every other nation of the globe, and here alone harmless or beneficial, f * Dr Smith justly stigmatizes a taxation of this kind, as being a curse equal to the barrenness of the soil, and the inclemency of the heavens. Wealth of Nations , vol. ii. p. 198. t “ The practice of funding has gradually enfeebled every state which has adopted it. The Italian republics seem to have begun it. Genoa and Venice, the only two remaining which can pretend to an independent existence, have both been enfeebled by it. Spain seems to have learned the prac- tice from the Italian Republics, and (its taxes bfeing proba- bly less judicious than theirs) it has, in proportion to its na- tural strength, been still more enfeebled. The debts of Spain are of old standing. It was deeply in debt before the end of 174 By proving, that a great relative taxation must exert a deadly influence on the commerce and prosperity of the country, we sufficiently es- tablish its impolicy, and the necessity of its re- duction. As the subject, however, is of vital im- portance, we shall add a few additional observa- tions, tending still more to strengthen these con- clusions. Dr Colquhoun, and other writers who have laboured to prove, that an immense national debt, or an immense taxation, (for the phrases are synonymous,) is not injurious to the country, assume, that the money borrowed by Government is expended in the same manner as the sums bor- rowed by a private individual. But a private person will always attend more to his interest, and have a clearer view of what conduces to his advantage, than the agent of a monopolizing company, and the latter than a servant of Go- vernment. When the capital of the country the sixteenth century, about a hundred years before England owed a shilling. France, notwithstanding all its natural re- sources, languishes under an oppressive load of the same kind. The republic of the United Provinces is as much enfeebled by its debts as either Genoa or Venice. Is it likely, that in Great Britain alone, a practice which has brought either i weak- ness or desolation into every other country, should prove al- together innocent ?” — Wealth of Nations , vol. iii. p. 432. 175 comes into the hands of the latter, it is morally certain that it will be employed less judiciously than if it had been distributed to individuals. Responsibility, though lofty in its sound, and of- ten employed to round a parliamentary period, is but trifling security for good conduct, when com- pared to self interest.* And if the funding sys- tem had no other disadvantage than the counter- acting of this principle, it would be condemnable on the soundest policy. It is here assumed, that the capital borrowed by Government is spent productively ; and even on this most favourable hypothesis, the transac- tion is obviously hurtful. The fact is, however, that not one thousandth part of the money bor- rowed by Government is so expended. It is be- stowed on supporting those who, if they were annihilated at any given instant, would not leave any capital behind them— nothing to represent the immense sums that had been lavished on their support. Their productions are properly denominated immaterial, and consist almost al- ways in moral results. It is no doubt necessary for the state to maintain soldiers and sailors for her defence ; and to think they could be entirely dispensed with seems perfectly visionary. But * “ Nul sentiment dans l’homme ne tient son intelligence eveille, autant que l’interet personnel ; il donne de Pesprit aux plus simples.”— Say, tom. i. p. 340. 176 we must not be silly enough to imagine, that whatever is consumed by them has as great an effect in increasing national opulence as if it were consumed in giving birth to new products. Fa- shion renders coachmen and valets necessary to people of fortune, but certainly they do not con- tribute to increase their riches. Abstracting from the security derived to the state, the con- sumption of military is precisely the same in its effects on industry, as if the same quantity of produce they consume was purchased by Govern- ment, and then cast into the ocean. Every thing expended on them is just so much capital, so much reproductive power , taken from the indus- trious classes of society, and for ever lost to the state.* It is often stated, that taxation encourages production, by increasing consumption ; and that whatever sums the Government and its depend- ants receive from the people, reverts back to them in payment of their produce purchased by the former. But, in the first place, the consump- tion caused by taxation ought more properly to * “ Smith appelle le eoldat un travailleur improductif : Plut, a Dieu ! c’est bien plutot un travailleur destructif ; non- seulement il n’enrichit la societe d’aucun produit, non-seule- ment il consomme ceux qui sont necessaires a son entretien, mais trop souvent il est appele a detruire inutilement pour lui-meme, le fruit penible des travaux d’autrui/’— Say, tom. ii. p. 26 %. 177 be denominated a destruction . It does not arise from an exchange of products, and consequently can give no beneficial encouragement to produc- tion. There is no reciprocity of advantages ; gain is all on the one side, and loss only on the other. The industry of an agriculturist will be exerted, — he will endeavour to raise larger crops, if he knows he can exchange his surplus corn for manufactures, colonial produce, or any commo- dity he may wish to acquire. But a totally op- posite effect will be produced, by taking a half, or a third of his earnings, to expend them in supporting some useless regiment, some pamper- ed sinecurist, or some profligate mistress. In the second place, the money spent by Government, or its servants, does not revert back to the people, but on the same terms they obtain the money of Spain or Portugal. The sinecurist receives his salary without giving an atom in return ; but he is much too wise to spend it in the same man- ner. He receives money for nothing; but he parts with it only for bread, beef, clothes, or commodities possessed of real value. It is, there- fore, perfectly absurd to imagine, that the indus- try of a state can be in any respect benefited by the expenditure of its government. If taxes are reduced, the fortunes of the productive classes are proportionally augmented. The same expendi- M 178 ture still takes place ; but it is under the gui- dance of individual interest, and is effected by a production and interchange of real equiva- lents. It is obviously the same thing, whether taxes are paid in raw produce, manufactured goods, or money. If they are paid in money, the money itself must previously have been purchased with some sort of produce really valuable. If a ma- nufacturer is taxed to the extent of L. 500, he must sell goods to raise this sum. After he has paid his tax to Government or its dependants, they may again transact with him, and purchase goods with the money. But this circumstance restores no part of the commodities to the manu- facturer with which he really paid the tax. He first gave commodities for a certain amount of gold and silver ; he next paid this gold and silver to Government; and if he now buys this mo- ney back, it will be on the same terms he first acquired it — by again parting with an equal quantity of goods. It is astonishing how such a simple transaction as this, could ever have been rendered obscure by any species of sophistry. Nothing can be more obvious: View the mat- ter as we please, the manufacturer will be found to have lost exactly the amount of his tax. We must cease to deceive ourselves. There is no- thing productive in taxation: nothing ad van* \ 179 tageous to the productive classes ; — it is an en- gine of destruction, and nothing more. The unavoidable necessity of supporting fleets and armies, as it cannot be escaped, should be rendered as light as possible. A rigid economy is in a government the first of virtues, and the most pressing of duties. A splendid and gor- geous court, magnificent fetes, and pompous pa- laces, are not only false and fallacious evidences of national prosperity, but they are at once a proof and a cause of its decline. Many comforts must be wrung from, and much misery entailed on, the lower and middle classes, to support this glittering emptiness and ostentatious parade, no- wise conducive to the real dignity of any nation. It should never be forgotten, that the President of the United States, the chief magistrate of one of the most powerful nations of the world, has not above L. 6000 per annum of salary. We must also recollect, that this country has been often saddled with the interest of loans sent abroad. It is frequently forced to pay for, and advance a capital to foreigners ; and when this is the case, it is really a little too much to tell us, we are only taking out of the right pocket and putting into the left. It has been contended, that every war ob- structing the ordinary employment of capital, and disengaging quantities of stock previously 180 invested in a profitable manner, such portions of the national capital naturally seek the service of the public, “ and can be employed in no other way * There is, however, much gratuitous and unfounded assumption in this statement. If some departments of industry suffer from a war, advantages accrue to others. A greater demand is experienced for military stores ; an impulse is given to agriculture, by the purchases for the fleet and army ; and, consequently, an addition- al capital is required for these departments. It is also certain, that when war enlarges foreign trade, — when it puts a stop to that competition which exists during peace, — and when it throws the commerce of the world into the hands of one of the belligerent nations, — its merchants may profitably invest much larger capitals than be- fore. It is, therefore, extremely doubtful, whe- ther the funding system admits of any defence on this ground; but assuredly, had no other sums been borrowed by Government than those alluded to, the magnitude of the national debt would never have caused any uneasiness. A bank is an entrepot for capital, not the pub- lic funds as has been imagined. When a capital- ist lends money to Government, he merely gets in return an assignment on the revenues of the Edinburgh Review, No. ix. p, 118 . 181 country for a certain annual rent, till it be found convenient to repay the principal, which is either applied to the real service of the state, or squan- dered away. The holders of these assignments may, it is true, sell them at pleasure ; but the original stock , with which they were first pur- chased, has been consumed as revenue , — is ab- stracted from the capital of the nation, and can- not again reproduce itself. The national debt gave birth to the nefarious practice of stock -jobbing. It generated a spirit of gambling, destructive of public morals, dis- graceful to the state, and decidedly hostile to the pursuits of sober industry. Capitalists were de- terred from lending money to agriculturists or manufacturers, because, when in their hands, they had no opportunity of taking advantage of the rise and fall in the price of the funds, of im- posing on the simplicity of some, and the cupidi- ty of others. And Government being absurdly released from the operation of the usury laws, contracted frequently for loans at a much higher rate of interest than capitalists could legally have exacted from other persons,* and obtaining mo- * In 1781, ministers borrowed 12 millions; and for every £100 of this sum, they gave £ 1 50 in the three per cents, and £ 25 in the four per cents., with a bonus of lottery tickets. The interest, therefore, which the public has to pay on this loan amounts to above 5| per cent., exclusive of the bonus, and the charges of management; and if the funds should bt 18 c 2 ney in preference, engrossed the floating capital of the country to the real prejudice of the pro- ductive classes. These are not imaginary grie- vances : During the latter years of the war, when the loans to Government were largest, a very great difficulty was universally experienced in the borrowing of money even on the most unex- ceptionable security. The expedient of redeem- able annuities (loans at 12 , 15 , and 20 per cent.) was generally resorted to by such as were not fortunate enough to obtain loans from bankers. The constant depreciation of the currency pre- vented the miserable effects of this method of borrowing from being immediately felt ; and the late diminution of their usual discounts by the country banks, while, by altering the value of the currency, it ruined those who had previously borrowed on the annuity system, has obliged many industrious individuals, fully aware of its injurious tendency, to have recourse to it. It is perfectly illusory to say, that the money drawn from the people by taxation would have at par when it is paid, — (this consideration, I confess, need give no serious alarm,) — it would require 21 millions to can- cel it. In 1796, <£18,000,000 was borrowed as a loyalty loan ; and for this sum, so loyally advanced. Government, besides paying a large bonus, funded £20,124,843 in the five per cents., mortgaging the revenue of the country for £ 1,006,243 of interest, exclusive of the expence of management, &c. — Our funding system exhibits many similar instances of un- measured prodigality. 183 been spent by them as unproductively. Unless taxation be altogether oppressive, — unless it takes away a part of those necessaries and en- joyments essential to all conditions of life, — this consequence will not follow. The prospect of enjoying increased comfort, and comparative re- spectability and ease as the fruit of exertion, must surely operate as a greater incitement to industry and economy, than the desire of satia- ting the all-devouring and thankless rapacity of the tax-office. “ Will it be said,” asks Say, “ that the neces- sity of paying taxes obliges the industrious class to redouble their efforts, and that consequently there is an increase of production ? But, in the Jirst place, efforts do not suffice to produce : capi- tals too are necessary ; composed of those very products which the revenue seizes upon. In the second place, who does not perceive, that that produce which industry only raises in order to pay taxes, does not enrich the state, since it is taken and consumed unproductively ? To main- tain that taxation contributes to enrich a nation, because it abstracts a portion of its riches, is plainly to maintain an absurdity ; and to have made this remark would have been superfluous and trivial, if the greater part of governments had not acted on this pretended principle, and if works, estimable both from the intentions and 184 the talents of their authors, had not laboured to prove it.” * To ascribe the improvement of Britain, during the last twenty years, to the increase of her debt, is an error of the most miserable kind. Her im- provement during that period was owing to the perturbed state of the rest of Europe ; to her mo- nopolizing the commerce of the world ; and to other accidental causes already noticed.— She did not improve because of the debt, but in spite of it. At no time was the progress of real last- ing improvement more rapid in Britain, than from the peace of Paris in 1763 to the war that broke out in 1775; and in that interval the na- tional debt was reduced , paper was convertible into gold, and the price of grain did not rise. Since the breaking out of the late war, the debt of Ireland has increased even more rapidly than that of Britain; and if the improvement and happiness of nations were correspondent to the extent of their burdens, she ought at this day to be by far the most flourishing, and most happy country in Europe. Her actual situation too flatly contradicts this ridiculous theory ; and it appears certain, that an oppressive taxation, operating on an impoverished and starving populace, is the real cause of her distress and irritation. * Traite d’ Economic Politique, tom. ii. p. 29 185 It is surely unnecessary to pursue this argu- ment farther. Nations and individuals get rich in the same manner. If M. Canard, Mr Spence, and Dr Colquhoun, shall continue for a series of years to live above their incomes, and prove to the world that they became richer as their extra- vagance and profusion increased, we may then be inclined to suspect, that, though apparently in- conceivable, there is some foundation for their reasoning. At present, we can consider it as no- thing better than ingenious trifling, — than so- phistry, and groundless assumption, in place of natural inferences from established facts. SECTION SIXTH. Propriety of Repealing the Restriction Act , and of obliging the Bank of England to resume Cash Payments. — Inexpediency of Cash Payments , unless accompanied with a Reduction of the In- terest of the National Debt — Proofs of the Ne- cessity and Justice of this measure of Reduction . — Expediency of applying the Sinking Fund to the general service of the Stale . — Conclusion . hile it is in the power of the Directors of the Bank of England to regulate the currency of the 186 country at their pleasure, no person can form a prospective conjecture as to the value of his pro- perty at any period but a little remote. The es- tate that is purchased to-day for L. 10,000, and reckoned a good bargain, may, by a change in the Bank’s system of discounting, or by their withdrawing their notes from circulation, be ren- dered in a very short time not worth half this sum : On the contrary, if they are more liberal in granting discounts, and increase their notes, either by accommodations to the state or to indi- viduals, it might speedily become worth double the paper it had been sold for. This artificial and unnatural system, renders the money value of all the property of the empire dependent on the views and opinions of twenty-four indivi- duals. Their fiat alone makes one transaction good, and another bad. They hold the scale of value, and change its graduation as they judge proper. Although we should, in a paroxysm of folly, consent to sacrifice our foreign trade and our ma- nufactures to preserve our present money sys- tem, — although we should completely prevent the import of corn and ail other products from abroad, — although we should realize the idea of Berkeley, and surround the country with a wall of brass/ — the inherent defects of such a cur- * Querist, No. 134. 187 rency would compel us ultimately to aban on it. In this state of things, there could be no limit to the Bank issues from any fears the more enlight- ened Directors might entertain of thereby en- hancing the cost of labour and of manufacturing. The depreciation of notes, compared with the produce of the country, would be so much the more rapid ; as they would never come into con- tact with the currency of foreigners, and as we would never be alarmed with the exchange be- ing 20 or 30 per cent, against us. When a quar- ter of wheat came to require double the number of notes to purchase it, that it had done before this system began, it would be sagely maintain- ed, that the vould be gross and barefaced oppression. The case is the same, or much stronger, with a na- tion. The sufferings and wrongs of individuals may not be attended to in a season of general prosperity ; but general oppression and hardship for the advantage of a few, will not be long en- dured, in any country not perfectly enslaved. 192 It is perfectly idle to talk of sensibly reducing our burdens, of bringing taxation to a par with the other countries of Europe, while an over- whelming debt weighs down the state, and dead- ens the springs of exertion. * While 45 millions a-year have to be raised for paying the interest of the debt alone, it is vain to think that any re- trenchments in minor parts of expenditure can afford any adequate relief to the distresses of the country. A load of taxation nearly double the rent of the whole land in the Empire, is a burden so vast, that of itself it cannot fail to force capi- tal and industry to emigrate, and must at no very distant period destroy our commercial prosperi- ty, and bring on a public bankruptcy, if not a re- solution. l^his immense debt is the real millstone that overburdens and destroys the enterprise, the in- dustry, and vigour of the people ; that multiplies tax-gatherers, pauperism, crimes, and wretched- ness throughout the land ; that prevents us from • We are far from insinuating, that those measures of re- trenchment adopted during last Session of Parliament were improper. The sinecure system ought to be entirely rooted out. While it exists, a powerful body, fed by taxation, will always be ready to support and multiply every species of abuse : And although the pecuniary advantages resulting from its abolition would not be very considerable, still it would be of infinite consequence, that this servile phalanx was for ever dissolved. 193 being happy in a state of peace, and that totally unfits us for again entering upon war. Is it pos- sible that we can hesitate about its reduction, as far as that can be done with justice ? or that we can turn a deaf ear to the well-founded com- plaints of the country ? It has been contended, that, if we are to re- duce the interest of the national debt when mo- ney rises in value, we ought, on the same prin- ciple, to increase it when the value of money falls ; and that, in this way, there would be no end to legislative interference. This remark is perfectly just, but is altogether inapplicable to the present case. We do not propose to reduce the interest of any part of the debt contracted anterior to the depreciation of paper; but we maintain, that it is manifestly unjust (waving the gross impolicy of the measure) to compel the country to pay depreciated paper , or paper per- haps 20 per cent, less valuable than bullion, with paper convertible at pleasure into the precious metals. This is precisely the same thing as com- pelling the industrious classes , (for it is on them that every tax ultimately falls,) to pay the stock- holders one hundred ounces of silver, when they only lent eighty ounces — it is really equivalent to raising the interest of the debt, and increa- sing taxation. If, however, the interest of all N • 194 the loans made since 1 797, is now reduced ac- cording to the depreciation of paper at the time they were lent, and if the Bank is also obliged to pay in specie, (and we hold the two measures to be inseparable,) it is clear, that no reduction whatever is made on the amount of bullion due the stockholders. They receive back the nett quantity of gold and silver they lent : We do not reduce the interest, because the relative value of gold and silver may happen to be increased ; but we justly refuse to return a greater quantity of the precious metals than was actually lent us. It is, therefore, incontrovertibly just, that if the dividends are now to be paid in undeprecia- ted paper, they should be reduced by the diffe- rence between the value of paper, and gold and silver, at the time the loans were made. This satisfactory conclusion, is altogether in- dependent of any considerations respecting a mo- dification of the corn laws , and of a fall in the 'price of grain . These considerations must not, however, be overlooked ; they are of the utmost importance, and would of themselves afford sub- stantial reasons for reducing the interest of the national debt. Were the value of agricultural produce to be lowered by legislative interference, by the repeal or modification of the corn laws, the agricultu- rists would surely have a just claim to demand a diminution of their burdens. They would have an unquestionable right to require, that all taxes imposed on land, when corn sold for 80s. or 100s. a quarter, should be reduced in propor- tion to the fall consequent on the act modifying the restriction. If the burdens, however, that manufacturers and capitalists now bear, by the price of corn being fictitiously kept up, were thrown upon them in the shape of taxes, their situation, it is obvious, would not be at all bene- fited. They would then pay directly to the taxgatherer the same sums that now find their way to him, by intermediately passing through the hands of the farmer. In one circumstance only their new situation would be different ; they would have a more accurate, less confused idea, than at present, of the real cause and extent of their sacrifices. The value of commodities may, in every case, be said to measure the value of money : in pro- portion as they are high or low priced, the hold- ers of given quantities of gold and silver have a less or a greater power over the necessaries and luxuries of life. When accidental causes, or a fictitious and destructive system of domestic eco- nomy, enhances the prices of commodities in a particular country, the value of money is propor- tionally reduced ; and if the system is deliberate- ly established, a flagrant injustice is done to the 196 possessors of monied property. It is certain, however, that after the fictitious system is once established, every commodity in the state desti- ned for home consumption assumes a correspond- ing value ; every internal transaction is settled with reference to the new order of things ; and it is only in our transactions with foreigners, en- joying the blessings of a free trade, or cursed with restrictions of a different nature, that such a system of policy is always ruinous. During the last war, the combined effects of a deprecia- tion of the currency, of the corn laws, and of the difficulties in the way of importing grain, raised the home price of corn to an unparalleled height. This rise continued for so long a time, that the prices of almost every other commodity in the kingdom experienced a similar advance, and the value of money a corresponding fall. Every lease was granted, and every contract was entered into, in the belief that the then value of money was natural, that the depreciation had been general, and that it would continue. * From this statement it becomes obvious, that any rise in the value of money, or any alteration in the fictitious system, which would effect a re- duction in the price of commodities, would fun- damentally alter every one of the contracts en- * See Sect. IV. p. 128 . 197 tered into during the last twenty years. For ex- ample, let us suppose that the state, in considera- tion of sums advanced by a capitalist in 1812, engaged to pay him for fifty years, an annuity of L. 10,000: on referring to the price of corn for that period, it will be found that it had really in view to give him a power of purchasing an- nually about 1 600 quarters of wheat ; but sup- posing the price of wheat to be permanently re- duced to one half of its then price, it is clear this annuitant would be invested with a power of pur- chasing 3200 quarters of wheat ; and would, un- less the amount of the annuity were reduced, re- ceive in all 80,000 quarters more than he was justly entitled to, or than what entered into the view of the parties at the time of the contract. The case here supposed is entirely the same in principle, with the real case of every stockholder who has lent money to the country during the late war. If we abolish the fictitious system in one part, we must abolish it in another. If we repeal the corn laws, and thereby reduce the price of corn, we must also reduce the interest of the national debt contracted during the continuance of the high prices. We must not gratuitously enrich the stockholders at the expence of the other classes ; they must not receive two quarters of wheat when they are only entitled to one : If the 198 power of their annuities is increased, though the quantum be proportionally diminished, their situa- tion will remain the same.* When value is rendered for value, there is no injustice ; but money is only so far valuable, as it enables us to command the necessaries and the luxuries of life. If the stockholder, therefore, is paid with half the sum that he lent, when by a change in the domestic policy of the country, this half sum will purchase as many of these ar- ticles as the whole sum did before, no injustice is done him ; on the contrary, he is dealt with on the clearest principles of equity. It could not escape the penetration of Mr Malthus, that if the price of corn should fall be- low its price for the last twenty years, the stock- holders who had lent money to the country du- ring that period, would get an unjust and ruin- ous advantage over the industrious classes of the state. With his wonted perspicuity, and with a spirit that does him infinite honour, Mr Malthus has assigned the following unanswerable reasons for this opinion : — “ If the price of corn were now to fall to 50 s. a * Their situation would in fact be much better: They would have an increased security for their real debts ; and the improvement in the economical situation of the country that would follow a reduction of taxation, would greatly raise the value of the funds and other government securities. 199 quarter, and labour and other commodities near- ly in proportion, there can be no doubt that the stockholder would be benefited unfairly , at the expence of the industrious classes of society, and consequently at the expence of the wealth and prosperity of the whole country. “ During the twenty years beginning with 1794 and ending with 1813, the average price of British corn per quarter was about 83 s. ; during the ten years ending with 1813, 92s. ; and during the last five years of the twenty, 108 s. In the course of these twenty years, Government bor- rowed near five hundred millions of real capital, for which, on a rough average, exclusive of the sinking fund, it engaged to pay about five per cent. But if corn shall fall to 50 s. a quarter, and other commodities in proportion, instead of an interest of about five per cent, the Govern- ment would really pay an interest of seven , eight , nine, and for the last two hundred millions, ten per cent “ To this extraordinary generosity towards the stockholders, I should be disposed to make no kind of objection, if it were not necessary to consider by whom it is to be paid ; and a mo- ment’s reflection will shew us, that it can only be paid by the industrious classes of the society and the landlords ; that is, by all those whose nominal incomes will vary with the variations in th§ plea* sure of value. The nominal revenues of this part of the society, compared with the average of the last five years, will be diminished one-half ; and out of this nominally reduced income, they will have to pay the same nominal amount of taxation. “ The interest and charges of the national debt, including the sinking fund, are now little short of forty millions a-year, (they are now for- ty-five or forty-six millions) ; and these forty millions, if we completely succeed in the reduc- tion of the price of corn and labour, are to be paid in future from a revenue about half the no- minal value of the national income in 1813. “ If we consider with what an increased weight the taxes on tea, sugar, malt, leather, soap, can- dles, &c. &c. would, in this case, bear on the la- bouring classes of society, and what proportion of their incomes all the active industrious middle orders of the state, as well as the higher orders, must pay in assessed taxes, and the various articles of the customs and excise, the pressure will ap- pear to be absolutely intolerable. Nor would even the ad valorem taxes afford any real relief. The annual forty millions must at all events be paid ; and if some taxes fail, others must be im- posed that will be more productive. “ These are considerations,” Mr Malthus just- ly observes, “ sufficient to alarm even the stock- holders themselves. Indeed, if the measure of 201 value were really to fall as we have supposed, there is great reason to fear that the country would be absolutely unable to continue the pay- ment of the present interest of the national debt. And even if the price of corn he kept up by restric- tions to 80s. a quarter , it is certain that the whole of the loans made during the war just termihated , will, on an average , he paid at an interest very much higher than they were contracted for ; which increased interest can , of course, only he furnished by the industrious classes of society” * To make any additions to what Mr Malthus has here so ably stated, would be altogether su- perfluous. There is but one alternative : We must either reduce the interest of the national debt, which impartial justice and sound policy alike authorise us to do ; or we must continue to give the stockholders an unfair advantage, at the expence , and to the certain prejudice of the produc- tive classes. If we adopt the latter line of con- duct, the present enormous taxation, the corn laws,- — in a word, the fictitious system, big with irretrievable ruin to our manufacturers and our commerce, must be persevered in. It is astonish- ing this obvious consideration has not awakened the stockholders themselves from their golden dreams, — from their reveries about 10 per cent. — - * Grounds of an Opinion, &c. p. 38, 202 to a sense of their real situation ; and that they have not voluntarily expressed a willingness to relinquish their improper and exorbitant demands. They must be certain, their dividends cannot long be paid if the commerce of the country de- cline ; and they must surely know, that by in- creasing the burdens of the people, — by insisting ©n a larger interest than they are justly entitled to, — they contribute effectually to ruin trade, to sap the very foundations of the national prospe- rity, to hasten the dissolution of the funding system, and to accelerate a national bankruptcy. Were this last mentioned event to happen, the total ruin of the stockholders would be its inevi- table consequence. But the general mischief that would ensue, — the danger resulting to every part of our political system, — and the universal confusion and multiplied misery it would occa- sion, — must oblige every person who has the good of his country at heart, — who does not fat- ten on her distresses, — to regard with extreme concern and uneasiness those measures which, by oppressing the energies of the people, — by dis- couraging their exertions, — and by applying the fruit of their labours to support the proud and the profligate, — must assuredly bring on this awful catastrophe and its attendant horrors. 203 The reasoning we have employed to prove the justice and propriety of reducing the interest of the national debt, contracted during the deprecia- tion of our paper currency and the high prices, may be also adduced to shew the propriety of re- ducing the debts of one individual to another con- tracted in the same period. The cases are pre- cisely the same in respect of strict justice ; but various circumstances would render it extremely difficult to apply this measure to individual cases. It would be next to impossible to ascertain the dates, and other essential facts, regarding private loans, and it might give rise to litigation and subterfuges to avoid payments. The reduction of the dividends, by lessening the pressure of taxation, will be of real advantage to private borrowers ; and the stockholders cannot certain- ly object to the measure because it will have that salutary consequence They will not seek to ex- tend to others what they, however absurdly, term a calamity. And, besides, it seems proba- ble, that the stockholders would themselves suf- fer equally with other individuals, if the reduc- tion were extended to private debts. It has been objected to a reduction of the divi- dends, that as many of the original subscribers for loans are not now the holders of government securities, but have tranferred them to others, the measure might not really affect those who had 201 advanced the depreciated paper, but those who had since acquired securities at second hand with undepreciated paper. But it is certain that when a contractor for a loan sells stock, he disposes of it with all its advantages and defects. The pur- chasers come in his place, they are his represen- tatives ; the sale cannot invest them with any better right to their dividends than was posses- sed by the original contractor himself; and what- ever measure was just in respect of the one, must be equally so in respect of the other. It is in vain to tell us about the distress and confusion resulting from this measure ; they must of necessity be very limited. There can be none, no, not even the smallest comparison, between the distress and misery produced by cutting off 20 or 30 per cent, from the dividends of a weal- thy body of men, such as the stockholders, and of adding a proportional sum in perpetuity to the real taxes that bear so enormously hard on the industrious manufacturers and agriculturists. This is the true, the simple state of the matter. And let us, therefore, be no longer insulted with whinging ridiculous complaints, about the mise- ries that would be suffered by the poor stock- holders ! Losing all hopes of interesting our sympathy, the stockholders assume a loftier tone, and tell us, that in our future wars we need not again M 205 attempt to borrow, and that no one will hereafter be found to lend us a farthing’. It will, perhaps, be generally thought that, were the matter to turn out as they represent, no great disadvantage would ensue. Cfi An extreme facility of borrow- ing is a most dangerous power in the hands of any set of men. It enables governments to en- ter upon the most gigantic and exhausting en- terprises, to purchase all that can be purchased, even to the blood and the conscience of men : capi- tal, industry, and good conduct, are thereby pla- ced in the hands of ambition, of pride, and of per- versity .” * Whether the borrowing and funding system in this country has had any such effects, we leave others to determine. But certainly it has frequently induced our Government to make war on insignificant and trivial grounds ; and by removing the necessity of economy, it has encou- raged a profligate and unmeasured expenditure in our internal concerns. It is, therefore, unfortu- nate that the consequence alluded to by the stock- holders, should not follow the reduction of the interest. The reverse, however, would certainly take place. Our credit would improve, as our debts would then bear some relation to our in- come, which is hardly the case at present. Thus, the more we reflect upon this measure * Say, tom. ii. p. 368. 1 206 of reducing the dividends, the greater the variety of lights in which we view it, its justice and expe- diency become more clearly apparent. Let us hope it may be adopted from policy, and from a due regard to the permanent welfare of the coun- try, ere it is forced upon us by an uncontroulable and overwhelming necessity. Nothing contributed so much to increase our national debt, as the belief that was for a long time placed in the efficacy of sinking funds, of compound interest, and of the smallest savings , to clear off the largest incumbrances. It is indeed astonishing how the sober sense of the nation could be so long imposed on by such miserable quackery ; and that it was not generally percei- ved, that if ministers borrowed every year more than they paid off, the effect of the payment was merely as if they had borrowed a smaller sum : Whatever financial subterfuges, and mystified jargon, may be employed to conceal the real na- ture of the transaction, this is precisely what it amounts to— “ We are told,” says Dr Hamilton, in that excellent work in which the effects of the sinking fund were first clearly developed, “ that the operations of the sinking fund have succeed- ed beyond expectation, and that the whole debt existing in 1786, amounting to 2 38 millions, is 207 already paid off. This is altogether fictitious and delusive. We may pay off as much debt at anytime as we please by borrowing: But the only real alteration in the state of our finance, is the difference between the debt contracted and the debt paid off ; and while the former of these exceeds the latter, our situation is growing worse to the extent of that difference. “ A private gentleman whose estate is encum- bered may, if he have any credit, pay off all his debt every year, by borrowing from other hands ; but if he spends more than his free income, his embarrassments will continually increase, and his affairs are so much the worse by being conducted in this manner, from the fees he pays to his a- gents. The absurdity of deriving any satisfac- tion from this annual discharge of his debts, will appear still stronger, if we suppose him, instead of borrowing from other hands, only to renew the securities to the same creditors annually, paying a fee to the agents, and a douceur to the creditors themselves on the renewal. All these observa- tions are equally applicable to the debt of a na- tion, conducted as ours is. It would not be im- practicable, or very difficult, to redeem our whole debt in any year, if the measures we follow be redemption. It would only require a large loan every month, and the large sums we were thus enabled to pay would supply the funds for these 208 loans. Our capitalists would be well pleased to promote these loans, as they would derive a bo- nus from each. Such a system would be ruinous in the extreme ; and the system we follow is the same on a smaller scale , and is, therefore, only per- nicious in a less degree.” * The excess of revenue over the total expendi- ture, including the interest of the debt , is the on- ly real sinking fund, the only means by which one shilling of the public debts will ever be paid off : All other schemes for discharging them, un- less in so far as they are founded on this princi- ple, are justly termed illusory, j* The average amount of the entire revenue, per- manent and annual, for four or five years past, exclusive of the expence of collection, may be taken at 66 millior/s. Deducting from this sum 16 millions, as the amount of the income tax and malt duty, so happily got rid of last ses- sion, and seven :j: millions as the probable amount * Hamilton on the National Debt, 2d edit. p. 191. t Id. p. 44. J Seven millions is a medium between the sum arising from diminishing the interest of the loans contracted during the war, (exclusive of the sinking fund,) according to the depre- ciation of paper at the time they were lent. And the sum arising from reducing the interest according to the average prices of grain, for periods of five years, beginning with 1794, compared with 50s. the price at which it would sell if the corn laws were repealed, after deducting one half from this sum, as a very liberal allowance for the price of those commo- dities which may be supposed not effectually regulated by the 209 of the taxes that will be rendered unnecessary by the reduction of the dividends we have just pointed out, there will remain forty-three millions as the future entire revenue : So that after the interest of the debt, including the sinking fund, charges of management, &c. amounting (under deduction of the above seven millions) to 38 mil- lions, are paid, only Jive millions will remain for the service of the state. A sum certainly in- sufficient to cover the ordinary expences of Go- vernment in the present state of the world, though peace were to continue, and the most ri- gid economy to be practised in every depart- ment. Supposing the expences of Government in a peace establishment to be reduced to eight mil- lions, it is obvious that unless three millions were taken from the sinking fund and applied to the service of the state, it would still be necessary to negociate a loan to that extent every year, and to continue to juggle the country with the des- picable farce of borrowing money to extinguish the national debt. The substantial justice and sound policy of re- ducing the sinking fund, seem alike unquestion- price of corn. Mr Malthus, when the debt was much small- er than it is now, estimated the reduction that should be made in the interest, on the] supposition of corn selling at 60 s. at about eight millions. O 210 able. If it was not constituted for the purposes of deception and delusion, but if the payment of the national debt was the real as well as the avowed cause of its formation, it will certainly effect that end more speedily by rendering loans unnecessary, than by cancelling them after they are contracted. To apply the sinking fund to the service of the state, is not, therefore, to divert it from its original destination ; on the contrary, it effectually promotes its operation. Mr Ricardo, in his ingenious Essay on the Pro- fits of Stock, protests strongly against the injus- tice of encroaching on the sinking fund, at the same time that he fully shews the propriety and justice of repealing the corn laws. But surely the capitalist who had expended money in pur- chasing and improving an estate, in the belief founded on acts of Parliament , that no foreigner would be allowed to compete with him till the home price reached a certain sum, would have an equal, nay, a much stronger ground of com- plaint if these acts were rescinded, than the stockholder can possibly pretend to have, when the sinking fund is applied to the prevention of Joans, It would not, however, be sufficient to apply three millions of the sinking fund to the service of the state : There would still remain forty- three millions to be annually provided for by 211 taxes ; and a burden of that immense extent, far exceeding the nett rent of the empire, and vastly greater than what would affect any other coun- try, by oppressing the people of Britain, and pla- cing them in comparatively disadvantageous cir- cumstances, would ultimately produce the same effects, though in a slower manner, that we have shewn must arise from our present taxation. It would be imperatively necessary to apply an ad- ditional seven or eight millions, or rather the whole of the sinking fund, to general services, in order that a corresponding amount of taxes might be dispensed with. The stockholders may indeed complain, that an appropriation of the sinking fund to the dimi- nution of taxation, not to the prevention of loans, is an interference with its original destination, and that the redemption of the debt must con- sequently be retarded. The question for our consideration, however, is not what particular set of individuals may be benefited, but how the nation at large, how the industrious classes, may be relieved from the burdens that press them down to earth, and threaten their total ruin. But the stockholders are, in fact, as much in- terested in the general prosperity as any other class of society. While the debts of the nation bear some proportion to its revenue, and while its general situation is flourishing, the price of 212 stocks will be comparatively high ; but all the purchases that can be made by the Commission- ers for managing the sinking fund, will have but a poor effect in keeping up their prices, when the revenue is loaded to the utmost, and when the pressure of taxation causes industry of every kind to languish and decline. To conclude: In 1793, the conjoint expence of the peace establishment, and of the interest of the public debt, amounted only to about Jifteen millions ; but now, supposing all the reductions to be made which we have indicated, and the whole of the sinking fund to be applied to the service of the state, their conjoint expence would amount to (at least) thirty-three millions.* This difference is sufficiently striking, and is certainly fully adequate to allay the interested apprehensions of such as affect to see nothing but ruin in a too rapid diminution of our bur- dens. It is indeed true, that the kingdom is now much better cultivated than at the former era, and that we possess a greater manufactu- ring population, and better machinery. But it is also certain, that much of the poor land which has lately been brought into tillage, ought never * I suppose the present amount of the sinking fund to be thirteen millions. 213 to have been taken from pasture ; and that it will return to that st^te as soon as a just policy is adopted in the trade of corn, or as soon as our manufacturers are permitted to purchase their food in the cheapest market. And it is also cer- tain, that the improvements in machinery have not been confined to this country, but that their beneficial influence is felt alike in all, and can- not, therefore, redound to the particular advan- tage of any. Considering these facts, and con- sidering the dangerous competition in every spe- cies of manufactures, to which a continuance of peace will undoubtedly expose us, we must be convinced, that all the measures now proposed for the reduction of taxation — for relieving the industrious classes, from whom alone the country has derived all its power and glory, and by whom it must be supported — are essentially necessary ; and that their principal and radical defect, con- sists in their not going far enough. THE END. Edinburgh : Printed by A. Balfour. * • U 'S' ” ’ " ■ ■ ■ * • ' n9w- y; ' * • ; • \ UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS-URBANA 3 0112 061605405