THE UNIVERSITY OF ILLINOIS LIBRARY 352 V34 ECONOMieS ENQUIRY INTO THE EXPEDIENCY AND PRACTICABILITY OF REDUCING THE INTEREST ON THE NATIONAL DEBT; AND A PLAN rOR EFFECTUATING THAT MEASURE, WITH THE CONCURRENCE OF THE FUNDHOLDERS. BY JOHN GORDON. EDINBURGH: Printed and Published by John Gordon^ 55 Cumberland Street. 1836. ENQUIRY INTO THE NATIONAL DEBT. About two years ago Mr Hume offered to prove before the House of Common«», that the Taxation of the Country, not- withstanding all the reductions since the Peace, if measured either by the price of Com, or the price of Gold, was then heavier than at any period during the War. The largest amount of Taxes ever raised in this Country, was in 1815 when they amounted to 72 Millions, and the price of Wheat being 76 s.per Quarter, it was equal to a Taxation of 19,473;684 Quarters of Wheat; the Taxes now amount to 43 and a half Millions,and the price of Wheat is according to the Mar- quis of Chandos 38 s. per Quarter, (and by the Averages which regulate the Duty 39 to 40 s.)which is equal to a Taxation of 22,894,726' Quarters, thus showing an actual encrease in the Taxation, when measured by the price of Corn the most correct standard of value, of nearly 20 per Cent ! There is no doubt that the alteration of the Currency from Paper to Gold, has been chiefly instrumental in producing so deplorable a result that while the Taxation has been nominally reduced, it has in fact been encreased ; and the mischief does not end here, for it has e- qually affected every private transaction, and the prices of all commodities bought and sold, and thereby produced a degree of private distress which is altogether in- calculable. If a change in the Cnrv? c\ affected on'y the public finances we n' frh; with safety retrace our steps, and go back to the paper system, but unfortunately that cannot be done without again alter- ing the value oF every commodity, and disordering every private contract now ex- isting; the only remedy is to adapt our expenditure to the altered circumstances, and if a Sovereign in Gold be equal to thirty shillings in Paper-money, to spend only 20 shillings where we before spent 30 shillings. Partial reductions in the Public expenditure have already been made uithout producing any sensible re- lief, and it seems now to be generally felt that some plan must be resorted to for reducing the heaviest of our burthens the luterest on the Debt, which, (including the charge for emancipating the Slaves,) is about 29 Millions, or Two-thirds of the ivhole Public Expenditwe! The Fund holders have benefitted greaily by the change in the Currency, for they now receive in Gold as much as they foniieily rtceived in Paper ^ and tte gold will purchase double the quantity of Wheat that could be got for the same Dividend in 1815; but this is no reason why the Fundholders, and they alone should be subjected to Mr Cobbett's 'E- quitable adjustment'; those who lent their money on public securities, have benefit- ted n» more than those who lent on pri- vate securities; the Act which has proved favourable t& their interests was apjjlica- ble generally to property of all descrip^ tions, and if it is to be modified, that measure ought also to be general. For the Legislature to pass an Act reducing the Interest on the Public Debt without he consent of the Fundholders, would be nothing less than confiscation of property; if refusing to remedy the greatel- evil, (the disorders produced in private engage- ments,) they should seek to rectify the lesser evil, it would be a plain declaratias that they were not actuated by equal justice, but that as parties interested, and having the power to decide in their own cause, they undertook to relieve them- selves, while all other debtors were left without relief. A partial Act of this na- ture passed by one of the parties to a contract, against the wish of the othet- party, is a direct refusal to pay, an act of National Bankruptcy, under whatever plea it may be urged, and would be pro- ductive of evils ten-fold greater than those from which it professes to relieve the country. An event so much to be dread- ed may be brought about hf indirect means, as well as by an intentional act of Bankruptcy, and the possibility of its occurrence has been repeatedly alluded to by Ministers, who have declared that in the event of the Malt, the Window, and other Taxes, being rej)ealed, faith could nAt be kept with the Public Creditor; these declarations from their frequency have begun to lose much of the force they formerly had, the cry for a reduc- tion of taxes becomes more urgent, and it is to be feared that eventually some con- siderable repeals will be carried, without providing for the deficiency thereby occa- sioned in the Revenue; all ihese circum- stances render it important to enquire be- fore-hand into the means of reducing the public expenditure, and especially that branch which forms the major part of it, the Interest on the Debt. It has already been seen that a general act regarding the Currency would be an aggravation of the evil, and a partial act affecting the property of the Fundholders would be an act of gross injustice, and produce indescribable mischief by the des- truction of public and private credit, but there is another course for obtaining re- lief yet open to the Nation, in common r with every other debtor, and that is, to aher the contract by a mutual and vo- luntary agreement with their Creditors. Ors this principle reductions have been made in the Interest, at various times siuce the Peace, amounting in the whole to if2,355,845 per annum; this has been effected by the Government offer- ing to pay off some of the smaller Stocks unless the holders agreed to ac- cept a reduced rate of Interest, and as the latter could not employ their money to more advantage they generally accept- ed of the terms offered, and those who refuseil the terms were accordingly paid off. But although this plan has succeed- ed to a certain extent with the smaller Funds it seems utterly impracticable with r'^gard to the 3 per Cent Consols which l.;is reached the enormous amount of 348 Millions; the knowledge that Government has not the means of paying off a tenth 8 p^rt of this aniQupt* ^9^\4 lie^. tfee proprietors to resist every attempt to y^t d'dce th ir interest by this method; and even if Government had the means ^f paying the whole or any considerable part of this Stock, it may be questioned if it ^ould be advisable so to do, as they would have to pay if 100 for every M'C)0 origin^ ally lent, and which even at the present high price of the Public Funds is not worth more than 1^90 or M92. The idea therefore of paying off the 3 Per Cents, or of holding out the prospect of that event, with a view to induce the Fund- l^olders to accept a reduced rate of inter- est, is quite out of the question. There is no doubt that some of the smaller Stocks might be again reduced, but it would he a harsh mea<*ure to reduce them a second or third time, while the 3. pet Qent# are untouched, and besides the sa,ving would be inconsiderable; with- u out reducing the 3 per Cent JStoclc-^ uhich altogctlicr amount to above f>G() Millions, there can be no essential relief to the public burthens, and to deal e- qually with all parties we ought now to begin with them, for it will be found on examination that property investecj ii| the 3 per Cents at various periods both be- fore and since the peace, has been morent iSfotks are paid off or extingui>bed '2. A like guarantee a^ai.st p^iving the j rincipaljj until the same period. .'], The ahiount of prin(ipal to w' ich thiise ivho transfer will be entitled in the new fund will be at the rate of the pre- ^*elJt high market price of the Public funds. 4. The liberty of transferring to be li- mited to enfe year, at the expiration of \^hith time the terms of transfer to be {iltered by Government. 5. Those who first avcejt the tran fer will be entitled to superior advantages ac- cording to priority. 6. After a certain peri(d the tiahsfer Stock to be opened to new investments of Capital, on terms that \AilI secure to it a preference over the old Stocks. This ^^cheme holds out advantages to 13 those who first accept the terms, and it also ro^^sessfc's an impelling power over the more reluctant I'undliolders, for should they allou the prcscrihed time to expire, without accepting the transfer, they would have to enter into a competition with Government for a ' new investments of capital, with the certainty of being un- dersold ; these new investments would form a fund wherewith to buy up the old Stocks, or pay them off, as might be deemed most advisable by Government, and when this was accomplished Govern- p t nt Plight proceed to reduce the interest ' _v m, and btgpar their credit- or.> ? 'i'he inly rt ( ly to this tjUesticD ia the cri;!R()us principle of the Funding system, which has prevented the British Government from profiting by its o^n improved trefli', the super-abundance of caj}it:;i, and the consequent reduced rato of interest since the peace, and obHged it vhilc giving the best security to pay at the rate of inferior security. The prices of the j ublic funds demonstrate that Government is able now, to borrow money, on terms n.ore favourable by 50 per Cent, than when the dtbt waa con- tracted; all the benefit of this improved 22 credit properly belongs to the Nation, yfe instead of the interest being reduced by 10 or 15 millions a year, there has been only the trifling reduction of if2,555,845. It remains for the Nation to follow the course that has long since been taken by every private debtor, and if their cre- ditors will not voluntarily agree to a re- duction in the interest, corresponding with the altered circumstances, to create a new debt, from the produce of which the pre^ sent creditors may be paid off, or other^ wise satisfied. 23 PLAN for reducing the Interest of the National Debt to its due proportion with the Interest on Private Securities, and for enabling Government to treat with the Fundholders individually, or in limited sections. IT IS PROPOSED FIRST, That two new Funds shall be opened, to be called the new debt, and the SUPPLKMKNTARY DKBT. SECONDLY, That all holders of Stock shall be allowed twelve months to transfer their interests into the New Debt, on the fol- lowing terms, 1. The annual interest to be the same that they are now entitled to. 2. The amount of principal to be fix- ed by the average market price of each Stock for the last months, provided it be not above par. M After twelve months the rate of trans- fer to be Taried by Government at dis- cretion. THIRDLY. That such persons as have so trtnsferred their interests into the New Debtj shall at any tims within twelve months, be allowed to subscribe to the Supplementary Debt. foWRTHL?. That at the expiration of six months, all other persons (not holders of Stock), shall be allowed to subscribe to the New Debt and Supplementary Debt, at rates to be fixed from time to time. FIFTHLY. That the holders of New Debt be secured against the paying off their principal, and the reducticn of their in- terest, until all the present Funded Debt or Stocki (except terminnble annuities &c) are extinguished, either by transfer, or by payment ; and that when pail of-', or the interest reduced, it shall be in the inverse order of subscription, so that tn.e first 25 lubscribers to the New Debt sliall be the last to have their principal paid, or their interest reduced. SIXTHLY. That the hal('crs of Siipple- nientarv Debt shall have this benefit, th^t when New Debt, or any portion of it, is paid off, or the interest thereon re- cKiceii, the holding of Supplementary Debt for ^100 will exempt i^lOOO of New Debt from such payment or reduction until all the New Debt (which is not thus protected by the holders having sub- icribed one tenth the amount to Supple- mentary Debt) shall be paid, or the in- terest thereof reduced, as the case may be. SEVENTHLY. That in consequence, the interest on Supplementary Debt shall be two and a half per Cent per annum. It may be questioned whether the Fundholders would voluntarily transfer their interests into the New Debt, the object of which is eventually to reduce their annuities, but these doubts scarcely apply to the holders of the 3 and a half, and 4 per Cents, who would undoubtedly be benefited by the transfer, as they would be secured against any reductir>n of their interest until all the other Funds had been paid off, and their principal would be undiminished, or very nearly so. The holders of 3 per Cents would be somewhat diiFerently situated, as they 27 would be required to give up a claim of i£'10O Lr about MV2 ; they would not ho\\fcvcr be feubjtctcd to any actual loss by this transfer, for tew of them have paid so much as 92 for 100 Stock; they would (1,1} It giving up the chance of gaining 8 per Cmt more, in the event of the S per Ctnts being paid off, or rising to | ar But what chance would tliere be of either of these events taking pbice \\hLn the New Debt was opened to the public, and when Governmenn by fixing the rate of purchase would draw fl// 7iew invpstmeiits of Capital into the Ktw Debf^ and then by rai^ing the rate render rhe transfer less advantageous to the iiolders of 3 per Cents, even if they vtre paid off at par. Without new in- vestments ot capital in the 3 per Cents or any other Stoik, it is impossible that their price can be long kept up in the market, for there must always be sellersi 28 and it is obvious that every one wishing to make a pern^anent investment of capi- tal would prefer New Debt at the rate of 92 for every three [ounds of annual interest, to tiie 3 per Ctnts at 93, 94, or more. From the want of purchasers the 3 per Cents must necessarily fall in price, and those holders whose object it is to have a permanent investment of their property, would no doubt trani^fer into the Kcw Debt : by these means the 3 per Cent Stocks would be so broken into that they could either be gradually bought up by Government with the money subscribed to New Debt, or paid off. The probabi- lity is that a great j art of the three per Cents would be subscribed to New Debt before the expiration of the twelve months, and the stipulation that the first subscri- bers shall be the last to have their inter- est reduced in the New Debt, will be as great an incentive to the holders of three 29 per Cents, as of the other Funds. With regard to the Supplementary Debt it is not expected that the subscriptions to it \^ill exceed what is necessary to protect the holders of New Debt, that is, one tenth part the amount of New Debt, or the anticipated amount of New Debt. In order to ensure subscriptions, it will be sufficient that Government reserve to itself the power of closing this fund after twelve months, or of regulating the terms of sub- ficription, and if any of the holders of New Debt omit to secure themselves by subscr'bing one tenth of their interests to the Supplementary debt, it is by no means unlikely tliat speculators will sub- sciibe, in hopes of soon being enabled to dispose of their shares at a premium, when the New debt encreases in amount. There is therefore every reason to ex- pect that when the New debt comes well into operation, the Supplementary debt 30 will h^ar a fair prop^-JFtion to it in ajuount/ If the holder of ilOJ three per Cents traosFerred the whole into New debt, he would receive anrtu-d interest - - sg3^>. but if he wished to .secure himself in the Supplementary debt, he would transfer only 1000 to New debt, the interest on which is .30 - - the renjaiiung 100 he would .sub- scribe to Supplementary debt, at 92 on which he would receive in- terest i'it two and a half per Cent 2. 6. " 32 6. - the difilrence is so very trifling that it may be supposed few would hesitate to secure themrelves by subscribing to Sup- plementary debt, and this would effect an immediate reduction of the public burdens while other measures were in progress for further changes. The advantages of this plan, supposing it to be carried into full eiiect by the trans- 51 fer of all the present Funds i::ta Xow Debt, and •subscriptions of one tenth into Supplementary De])t, will be FIRST, A diminution of the public Debt of about 40 Millions. SF.((^M)i.v, An immediate reduction in the Inurcst of si^()0(),00() per annum, by n;f.ins of the Supplementary debt, which to I he extent of 70 Millions would be .substituted for other