UNIVERSITY OF II UNOIS LIBRARY AZ MPAiSS » >»>» THO U GHTS DETAILS HIGH AND LOW PRICES THE LAST THIRTY YEARS. PART I. ON THE ALTERATIONS IN THE CURRENCY. BY THOMAS TOOKE, F.R.S. LONDON: JOHN MURRAY, ALBEMARLE-STREET. 1823. LONDON : PRINTED BY THOMAS DAVISON, WH1TEFRIARS. PREFACE It was my intention to have comprised the consideration of all the chief causes to which I ascribe the high and low prices of the last thirty years in one publication, which I expected to have completed by this time. But I did not sufficiently consider the ex- tent of the work which I had undertaken, and I was not aware that the little leisure I could command would hardly admit of my accomplishing such a task within the period which I had originally proposed. I men- tion this merely to account for not having advanced beyond the first division of the topics that I have to discuss. At the same time, the general interest which is at this moment directed to the consideration of the question of the currency, has induced me to hasten the completion of this part a 2 «7oOi< of my subject, and to lay it in its present detached form before the public. For the discussion of the relative im- portance of the other causes, which have mainly contributed to the fluctuations of prices in the interval embraced by this inquiry, I have not yet made any prepara- tion beyond the collection of materials, and I cannot say how soon I may be able to put them in a shape fit for publication. I intend, if I can find sufficient time for the completion of this work, to attach to it a table of prices of a great variety of articles coming under the description of general merchandise, in the London market, for an uninterrupted series of years, extending as far back as the commencement of 1782. That was the year in which the price current of the longest standing of any in London was established, and I have availed myself of the opportunity of collecting the quotations from its very commencement. The interval, indeed, embraces a period beyond that which I have undertaken to investigate, but the extended information thus derived cannot fail of throwing great additional light on the question of the de- gree of influence to be respectively attri- buted to the several circumstances, which maybe supposed to have operated on prices since 1793. It would have been desirable to have in- serted the whole series of these quotations in the present publication, with a view to more easy reference, but they are not in a state of sufficient forwardness for the pur- pose. In fact, it was not until I had made some progress towards the com- pletion of this part of my work, that I was able to obtain the materials and the assist- ance requisite for the construction of such a table. January, 1823. CONTENTS. PAGE Introduction ...... 1 Sect. I. — Question stated ... .6 Sect. 2. — Definition of Terms . . .8 Sect. 3. — Arguments of those who ascribe a greater Effect to the Bank Restriction than that in- dicated by the Difference between the Mar- ket and Mint Price of Gold . . IS Sect. 4. — Examination of the Effect of the Bank Re- striction and Resumption of Cash Payments on the Value of the precious Metals iu the commercial World . . .21 Sect. 5.— Examination of the Effect of the Bank Restric- tion on the economised Use of Money, and on the Facility of Credit . . .43 Sect. 6. — Examination of the alleged Connexion be- tween the Bank Restriction and a progres- sive Advance of Prices . . .63 Sect. 7. — Explanation of the Causes of the Extension and Contraction of Private Paper and Credit 87 Sect. 8. — Fluctuation of Prices and of the Amount of Private Paper, from 1807 to 1811 . 9G Sect. 9. — Fluctuation of Prices, and of the Amount of Private Paper, from 1 8 1 1 to 1 8 1 6 121 Vlll Sect. 10. — Fluctuation of Prices and of the Amount of Private Paper, from 1816 to the passing of Mr. Peel's Bill . . .149 Sect. 11. — Great Variations in the Amount of Private Paper and Credit, not exclusively incidental to a Currency whose Basis is inconvertible Paper . . . . .169 Sect. 12. — Reasons for thinking that the State of Prices during the Bank Restriction does not war- rant the Presumption of any diminished Value of the precious Metals . .177 Sect. 13. — Survey of Prices down to the present Time 184 Sect. 14. — Conclusion . . . .199 Appendix .... . 207 THOUGHTS, &c. INTRODUCTION. The public seem to be divided between the merits of two contending and opposite opinions on the subject of the great fluctuations which have occurred during the last thirty years in the prices of corn and other commodities. The one refers all the phenomena involved in these fluctuations to alterations in the value of the currency, and considers all other circum- stances that can have had any influence to be so subordinate as not to be worth mentioning. The other attributes little or no effect to the state of the currency, but ascribes the late range of high prices wholly to the war, and the present low ones wholly to the transition from war to peace ; not to war, as obstructing supply, and to peace simply, as removing the ob- structions ; but to war, as creating extra de- mand and consumption or waste, and to peace, B 2 as involving the cessation of that demand : to the last war, more especially, as having con- ferred upon this country the monopoly of trade, which ceasing with the peace, a state of com- parative stagnation and low prices is the natural consequence. The partizans of the former opinion overlook the important circumstance, that a very great rise of prices had preceded the Bank restriction, and that there were periods during its con- tinuance, when corn and many other articles were very high, while the currency was, accord- ing to any acknowledged test, at no depre- ciation. On the other hand, those who ascribe every thing to war-demand and monopoly, seem not to be aware that not only corn, but many other articles more decidedly affected by demand for naval and military purposes, fell in price during intervals of some length, pending the greatest exertions of the war, and did not rise again, ex- cept from circumstances more connected with a diminished supply than with an extra demand; and that the articles, of which alone we had the monopoly by the war, were precisely those which, at particular periods of it, were most depressed in price. Widely as the respective advocates of these conflicting opinions differ in other respects, they seem to agree in considering that, to what- ever degree the varieties of the seasons may affect prices for short periods, the fluctuations thence arising do not account for a high average spread over more than the two or three years during which any marked alternation between scarcity and abundance may have prevailed ; and, consequently, that the state of the seasons is not at all to be taken into consideration, in endeavouring to account for an average of prices spread over a range of only Jive years, when compared with another average of nearly a hundred years*. These opinions appear to me to be very er- roneous, and to be calculated, according as either side may predominate, to produce great practical evil; such as tampering with the cur- rency on the one hand, or abating the abhor- rence of war on the other. I feel, therefore, impelled to contribute my humble efforts to combat opinions so fraught with error and mis- chief, and to suggest grounds for the formation of a juster estimate than has yet been made of the causes of the great variations of prices which have marked the period in question. The principal causes of those variations may, I think, be classed under the following heads : * See Mr. Attwood's letter of the 16th Nov. 1822, ad- dressed to (he Editor of the Farmer's Journal. B 2 1. Alterations in the value of the currency. 2. War, with its attendant taxes ; and the re- turn to peace. 3. Varieties of the seasons. The order in which I have thus placed them is not the obvious one in point of time. The alteration in the system of our currency did not occur till four years after the war ; but it is the cause most commonly placed in the fore- ground of all discussions on the subject : and, moreover, there is the further reason for so placing it, that until it be disposed of, and the exact degree, or at least the maximum of its influence be appreciated, no estimate can be so well made of the relative importance of the other causes. There are, indeed, two other circumstances which must have influenced prices, viz. the in- crease of population, and the improvements in agriculture and manufactures ; but, as they have apparently been uniform and progressive in their operation, in opposite directions, they do not form any prominent part of the grounds on which the great fluctuations of prices can be accounted for. In as far as the mere increase of population might be supposed to account for any part of the range of high prices, it must be admitted as preventing their being now so low as they otherwise would be : and, as the improvements in agriculture and machinery were in progress during the whole period, although perhaps not so rapidly in the earlier part of it, they must have operated as a corrective against so great an advance in the price of those articles, to which they applied, as might, from the operation of other causes, have taken place : this cause, therefore, need only be incidentally referred to as accounting for the further fall of the particular com- modities to which it is applicable, below the level at which they might otherwise have sub- sided. I shall, accordingly, confine myself to the consideration of the relative importance of the three leading causes which I have mentioned; viz. the currency, the war, and the seasons. SECTION I. Question stated. At the time when the paper system was at its height, — when there was the greatest differ- ence between paper and gold, it was confidently maintained by the advocates of that system (and these then included the great majority of persons who took part in the discussion on the subject) that it was not the paper that had be- come cheaper, but the gold that had become dearer; that Bank notes were not depreciated, but that gold had risen in value; consequently, that no part whatever of the advance of nominal prices, in this country, was attributable to the Bank restriction. That doctrine seems now to be pretty nearly exploded, but it has given way only to be replaced by one equally extravagant. An opinion has arisen of late, and has been countenanced and spread by no mean autho- rities, that the paper was depreciated, not merely to the degree indicated by the rise of gold above the mint price, but to a much greater and almost indefinite extent; that, in fact, al- though other causes may have concurred in producing the elevation of general prices in this country between 1797 and 1814, and the decline since that period; such other causes, whether in detail or collectively, sunk into utter insignificance, compared with the altera- tions in our currency. Now, as in one part of that period, the prices of necessaries and of many other articles advanced to the extent of from 50 to 100 per cent, and upwards, and have subsequently declined to or below the level from which they rose ; and, as the average depre- ciation indicated by the price of gold did not in the first 1 2 years after the suspension of cash payments exceed about 4 per cent, nor on the average of the succeeding five years about 20 per cent., w r e have to seek, according to the supporters of this opinion, in the mode of ope- ration of the Bank restriction, for all the excess of the alleged effect beyond that comparatively trifling difference between the paper and its standard. SECTION II. Definition of Terms. In order to preserve distinctness in the view which I propose to take of the degree of influence to be ascribed to alterations in our currency, by the Bank restriction and subse- quent resumption of cash payments, it may be desirable for me to state the meaning which I attach to the terms depreciation of money and currency, excess or over-issue of paper. By depreciation of money, when applied ge- nerally, I understand the diminished value of the precious metals in the commercial world. By depreciation of the currency, I mean that state of it in which the coin is of less value in the market than, by the mint regulations, it purports to be, or in which the paper, that is compulsorily current, is of less value than the coin in which it promises to be payable. A debased coinage, or one subject to a seignorage, if not accompanied by a principle of limitation as to the total amount of money in circulation, will naturally not be of the same value in ex- change as if the coin were perfect, or the prin- 9 ciple of limitation strict*; and the difference will be marked by an excess of the market price * As the principle of limitation here alluded to, through which alone a seignorage can be compatible with the main- tenance of the full nominal value of the coin to which it is ap- plied, may not be quite familiar to all my readers, I subjoin a short explanation of it from a paper which I delivered in to the Lords' Committee on the resumption of cash payments in 1819. (See Appendix to the Report, p. 181.) " Seignorage is synonymous with debasement, unless con- nected with a principle of limitation. " The rationale of this principle may be thus illustrated. Suppose the circulation of the whole country to be confined to gold, and to consist of twenty millions of sovereigns of the present weight and standard ; if, by some sudden process, each piece were reduced by one-twentieth, or five per cent., but the whole number of pieces strictly confined to the same amount of twenty millions ; then, other circumstances being the same, the relation of commodities, &c. to the numerical amount of coin being undisturbed, there would not, it is evident, be any disturbance of prices ; and if gold bullion in the market was previously at 31. 17s. lOfd. per ounce, it would, other things remaining the same, continue at that price ; or, in other words, 46^. 14s. 6d. in gold coin, weighing nineteen-twentieths of a pound, would purchase in the market a whole pound of uncoined gold of the same standard. " But if the quantity of gold thus abstracted from each piece were coined into one million of additional pieces, and re-issued into circulation, the twenty-one millions wouldlhen exchange for no more than the former twenty millions; all commodities would rise 5 per cent., and among them gold bullion, which would then be at 41. Is. 9%d.; or, in other words, 461. 14s. 6d. in coin would only purchase nineteen-twentieths of a pound of uncoined gold." 10 above the mint price of the metals. With re- gard to the term depreciation, as applied to paper, if Bank promissory notes be issued in a deteriorated state of the coinage, and be really convertible on demand into the coin in which they purport to be payable, they cannot be said to be depreciated : the actual payment is equal to the promise to pay; the fault is in the coin- age, not in the paper. There may, therefore, be a depreciation of the currency in which paper circulates, and an increase of the market above the mint price of the metals, without any de- preciation chargeable to the paper: such was the state of the currency in this country pre- vious to the great reformation of the gold coin in 1773. Again, if the metallic part of the currency be really deteriorated, and if the paper, which purports to be payable on demand in that coin, be not so in fact, and cannot command as much gold or other commodities in this market and in foreign markets, as the same nominal amount in coin would do, the paper is de- preciated, and the measure of its depreciation is the difference of the quantity of gold which the coin and the paper can respectively pur- chase. In a perfect state of the coin, provided the exportation and melting of it be allowed, there 11 cannot, it is evident, be any excess in the market above the mint price of the metal. It is possible, in such a case, that the coin may, even without a seignorage, be more valuable than bullion ; but it is utterly inconceivable that it should be less valuable : if, therefore, in such a state of the coin, there be in general circulation bank notes which, by law or custom, pass current in all transactions ; and if, under these circumstances, the market should be above the mint price of gold — the whole of the difference would constitute the exact measure of the depreciation of the paper. Till, how- ever, the act called Mr. Peel's bill, the gold coin, although not materially deteriorated, could not by law be exported or melted; if, therefore, there happened to be an extra de- mand for gold, for exportation or for con- sumption in domestic manufacture, the price of bullion might rise above the mint price by the amount of the risk of the penalty on the export or melting ; and this difference might, for limited periods, exist in a pure metallic currency consisting, it is true, of un- deteriorated coin, but of coin rendered less valuable by being divested by law of some of the uses to which it might otherwise be applied. This difference could never be considerable, nor of long duration. Probably one half per 12 cent., or at the utmost one per cent., would compensate for the disqualification ; and as the evasion of the law would certainly operate to some extent, the quantity of coin would be reduced and that of bullion increased, till the level were restored ; a process which would not occupy many weeks. So far, then, as this trifling difference goes, an allowance may be made in deduction, under the circumstances supposed, from the excess of the market above the mint price of gold, as a measure of the de- preciation of bank notes previous to the passing of Mr. Peel's bill. There may therefore, it is evident, be cases — rare ones indeed, and to so small an extent that they may safely be neg- lected — in which the depreciation of paper may not be exactly commensurate with the excess of the market above the mint price of gold. On the other hand, if there be standard gold for sale in the market, which the holder of bank notes not convertible at the Bank can buy, the difference between the quantity which he can thus obtain, and that which the paper promises but does not pay, clearly constitutes the utmost limit of depreciation of the paper. It has been said that there were considerable intervals, during the Bank restriction, when there was no gold in the market, none, being wanted for 13 the circulation, and so little for other purposes, that in fact months, and sometimes a year or two, elapsed without any price being quoted ; and that consequently there was no longer any standard by which the depreciation of the paper could be measured. In such case, I con- ceive that the foreign exchanges offered a suf- ficient criterion. But it is contended that the exchanges afforded no such standard, because when the exchange was nominally against us, it might be really in our favour ; and that during all this time gold would no more be a criterion of the degree of depreciation, than any other commodity. Giving all due credit to the ingenuity displayed in this objection, I cannot admit that it has any weight ; for there can be no doubt, that when the computed ex- changes marked the greatest depreciation, viz. between 1809 and 1814, the real exchanges must have been against us to the full extent of the expenses of the transmission of the metals (which expenses varied from 5 to 10 per cent.), because during that interval large payments were made to the Continent for account of our Government, coincidently with unusually large importations of corn. Gold, likewise, under such circumstances, as indeed under most others, is a commodity or merchandise, and there may be no motive for importing it be- 14 yond what would apply to any other com- modity, as cotton or indigo ; but it so happens, that, in the point under consideration, gold is the specific thing promised, and the proportion of that specific article which the paper can command is the measure of the value of the latter. Now, by the supposition, gold is not wanted at home ; for if it were, it would be imported, and there would of course be a price, and that price would be a test : but not being wanted at home, the only purpose for which it could be required by the holder of a bank note would be to make a payment or a purchase abroad ; and the question in determining the value of the bank note is, what quantity of gold it can command abroad, allowing for the expenses that would have attended the trans- mission of a quantity from hence for the same purpose. Thus, suppose the exchange to be 25 per cent, below par, bank-notes for 46/. 145. 6d., which ought to be equivalent to a pound of standard gold here, will buy, through the medium of a bill of exchange, only '75 of a pound at Ham- burg : but the expenses of transmission from hence being, suppose 5 per cent, (and they ex- ceeded that proportion at the time when the exchanges were most depressed), if a pound of gold had been transmitted from hence, it would 15 only be equal to *9<5 of a lb. at Hamburg: there- fore, as the test of the paper is the proportion of what it can effect, compared with what the full quantity of gold, if obtainable on demand for it here, would do; the difference of ex- change below par, deducting from that differ- ence the expenses of transportation, will, in the absence of a market price for gold here, afford, for all practical purposes, an adequate criterion of the depreciation of the currency : thus, if the exchanges are %5 per cent, below par, 5 per cent, being allowed for expenses, 20 per cent, will mark the degree of degradation of the paper below what it would be, if convertible on de- mand into gold of the full legal weight and standard. For it is clear, that in a converti- ble state of the paper, the maximum of the amount that can be kept in circulation for any length of time will be determined by the real par of exchange, minus the expenses of trans- mission of the metals. Consistently with the foregoing explanation of the sense in which I use the word " depre- ciation/' as applied to the promissory notes of the Bank of England, there can be no difficulty in defining what is the proper meaning of an excess^ or over-issue of them. These terms are relative to what ? Most obviously to the en- gagement or condition under which the notes 16 were originally issued ; namely, that of their being payable on demand in coin. Whatever be the amount in circulation, whether greater or less than at a former period, or still the same, should circumstances arise to create a demand for coin in exchange for the paper, in such a degree as to endanger the power of the Bank to fulfil its engagements of paying in coin, the circulation is excessive ; there is an over- issue of paper, and the true, proper, and only remedy is a diminution of it. In fact, there is no other standard to which the terms of excess and over-issue of paper can be referred, if it be liable to payment on demand. And as the sus- pension of that liability was originally enacted, and subsequently, from time to time, prolonged, with an express declaration, that a return to that liability, on its previous footing, should eventually take place, the object of those to whom the regulation of the value of the paper was committed should have been to preserve it from intermediate depreciation. Now, the test of the depreciation of bank-notes, according to the preceding explanation of the term, is, in default of a payment on demand, an excess in the market price of gold, and, in the absence of any quotation of gold, a depression of the foreign exchanges below the limits of the expense of transmission of the metals. 17 These definitions and tne deductions from them will, probably, by those whose opinions I am about to examine, be admitted to prove the depreciation of paper, during the Bank re- striction, to the extent for which I contend j but those persons maintain that the alterations in the value of our currency, as a consequence of that measure, were greater than can be inferred by sl reference to those tests j that, in short, those tests may be allowed in proof of the mini- mum, but not of the maximum of its effect on the prices of corn, and other commodities. 18 SECTION III. Arguments of those who ascribe a greater effect to the Bauk Restriction than that indicated by the difference between the Market and Mint Price of Gold. The arguments in favour of this opinion, viz. that the value of money was depreciated by the Bank restriction, and enhanced by the resump- tion of cash payments in a much greater degree than that indicated, at any time, by the differ- ence between paper and gold, proceed upon the following grounds : — 1. That the banishment of the metals, gold principally, from the circulation of this country during the restriction, and the recent recal of them for the resumption, affected, in a consi- derable degree, the value of gold and silver in the commercial world, diminishing their value during the former, and increasing it in the latter period. 2. That the compulsory paper system, esta- blished by the Bank restriction, had the effect of "heightening all those expedients to which a prosperous state of society naturally gives birth, for economizing the circulating medium, bringing the whole of it into activity, and mul- 19 tiplying it virtually by the substitution of credit for currency.*' 3. "That the increase of prices was progres- sive, from the year 1797 to 1814, subject only to such fluctuations as arise out of the nature of the respective commodities," " and that it was not accompanied by a growing difference in the value of Bank paper and gold." That " the constant and invariable connexion of increase of price with the Bank restriction, is a forcible proof of such a relation as that of cause and effect subsisting between the two phenomena." That " the near approach of the termination of that restriction has produced a fall of prices, greatly exceeding the difference between paper and gold ; thus still further corroborating that connexion, and proving almost demonstratively, that the prices from 1797 to 1 810 were to a cer- tain degree artificial, and that the comparison of paper with gold, during that period, did not afford a test of the real amount" (of the fall in the value of the currency). These arguments are extracted from an article in the Quarterly Review for July last, on the state of the currency. The article is ascribed to the pen of an author deservedly eminent for some former publications connected with the discussion which preceded Mr. Peel's bill, and, judging only from the present specimen, he is c 2 20 evidently well acquainted with the general bear- ings of the subject. I have, therefore, selected this as the ablest and most compendious exposi- tion of the views of those who maintain what, on grounds which I shall proceed to state, ap- pears to me to be a most exaggerated and er- roneous opinion of the effect of the alterations in our currency. 2i SECTION IV. Examination of the effect of the Bank Restriction and resump- tion of Cash Payments on the value of the precious metals in the commercial world. On the first of these grounds assigned for the depreciation of money during the Bank restric- tion, and for the enhancement of it since the restoration of our currency, (viz. the amount of the metals spared from the circulation of this country ; thus adding to that of the rest of the commercial world during the former period, and reabsorbed from thence in the latter), I have to observe, in the first place, that the cause assigned appears inadequate to have pro- duced any considerable effect on prices, sup- posing it to have been uncompensated by circum- stances of an opposite character; and, in the next place, that in point of fact circumstances did occur of a description calculated to balance at least, if not to outweigh, the alleged effect. The amount of gold coin circulating in this country, previous to 1797, has been variously esti- mated : the late Lord Liverpool stated it at thirty millions; in the Lords' Report, 1819, page 11, the amount is assumed at twenty-five millions. Mr. Qc) Whitmore (Bullion Report, 1810, page 120), and Mr. Harman (Commons' Report, 1819, page 40), computed that it did not exceed twenty millions in the three years preceding the Bank restriction. Upon this last estimate, the writer of an ad- mirable article in the Supplement to the Ency- clopaedia Britannica, under the title of Money, remarks, that though this last estimate is pro- bably rather below the mark, there are good grounds for concluding that it is the most ac- curate of any that have hitherto been framed, and that it has come as near the truth, as it is perhaps possible in such matters. Allowing, therefore, that this last sum is a little, and only a little, underrated, and that, consequently, the estimate in the Lords' Report is decidedly be- yond the mark, a medium between these will leave about twenty-two and a half millions, as the utmost probable amount of gold coin in cir- culation previous to 1797. Of this sum it is a question how much was available for exporta- tion. Exportation was not then indeed allowed ; but there is no doubt that a good deal went out in contraband. Some deduction is to be made for the practice of hoarding, which is naturally very much extended by the introduction of a compulsory paper circulation. What that de- duction should be must naturally be matter of very vague conjecture ; but I believe that it 23 ought to be much larger than is commonly allowed. There was scarcely an individual of a class above that which is limited to the means of bare subsistence that had not a hoard, greater or less, of guineas, provided against the various contingencies that were considered as endan- gering the value of paper, either in degree, as by over -issue, or totally, as by foreign invasion or domestic convulsion. And, in proof of the existence of the practice of hoarding to a consi- derable extent, it may be sufficient to refer to the fact that, between the summer of 1815 and the summer of 1 8 1 7, when peace was fully established, and when, by the partial notices of resumption of payments in specie by the Bank, there was a near prospect of the complete restoration of the value and security of paper, large sums in gui- neas * were poured into the hands of the Lon- * As an instance of the extent of this practice, I make the following quotation from the evidence of Mr. Stuckey, an emi- nent banker in Somersetshire, given before the Lords' Com- mittee of 1819:— " In 1817, we had a circulation of guineas, which we found very inconvenient. It cost us near 100/. to transmit gold and silver to London in the first six months of the year 1817- People were then in the habit of coming to our bank with guineas, requesting we would give our notes for them. I sup- pose they had been hoarded. I brought up 1000 guineas in May 1817, and taking them to our London banker, they re- quested as a favour I would not leave them; they had lately 24 don bankers by their correspondents in the country, and by their customers in town. I have heard those sums variously estimated; but, upon the whole, I conceive that an allowance of three or four millions would be rather within than beyond the mark. It is probable, too, that the amount of treasure in the Bank of England must, at various periods, during the restriction, particularly down to the year 1809, have been much larger than it had been a few years pre- vious to 1797. On these two points, viz. the probability of the Bank possessing a large treasure, and of the practice of hoarding by individuals, during the restriction, I have the sanction of Mr. Hus- kisson's opinion, as stated in his pamphlet in 1810: — 4 * It is no secret, that the Bank, soon after the restriction, bought and imported a very considerable supply of gold. It has since issued sent in so many to the Bank of England, that they did not like to trouble them any more. Besides, the Bank only took those which were quite full weight. The result was, that I took them to a dealer in coin, and sold them at 31. 17*. 6d. per ounce." Among other inducements to bring out hoards in 1816, one was, that light guineas, which had been previously of more value than those of full weight, from being legally sale- able, were, in consequence of the fall in the market price of gold, becoming of less than the current value. 25 very little. To these facts I may add my con- fident opinion (though this, of course, can be only matter of opinion), that it is, therefore, actually possessed of a large stock of gold." " A great quantity of gold, which is now hoarded, would also make its appearance, if guineas were restored to their use and value as currency. In this respect the country is in the same situation as it was in King William's time, when our metallic currency was so much depreciated. Before the determination to re- store that currency to its standard, pieces of full weight were as scarce as guineas are now; but when that determination was taken and car- ried into effect, a great quantity of good money, which had been hoarded, was brought back into circulation." From these considerations it would seem, that a sum of from twelve to fifteen millions is an ample allowance for the quantity of gold which went to increase the mass of the precious metals in the rest of the world, and which, so far as it went, must have tended, cceteris pa- ribus, to diminish their value. In estimating what effect, other things being the same, the addition of twelve to fifteen mil- lions to the circulation of the rest of the com- mercial world might have on general prices, or, in other words, on the value of the precious 26 metals as compared with corn and other com- modities, it would be requisite to have some idea of the total amount of gold and silver exist- ing in the world for the general purposes of use and ornament, viz. as coin, bullion, plate, and jewellery. It will, I think, occur to every one, on a little reflection, that the amount must be very large considering their durableness, the ages through which they have been accumulating, and the vast surface of population over which they are distributed. Dr. Adam Smith says, " the price of all metals, though liable to slow and gradual variations, varies less, from year to year, than that of almost any other part of the raw produce of land ; and the price of the precious metals is even less liable to variations than that of the coarse ones. The durableness of the metals is the foundation of this extraordinary steadiness of price." — " Some part of the iron which was brought from the mine two or three hundred years ago may be still in use, and perhaps some part of the gold which was brought from it two or three thousand years ago." — " The proportion between the masses of iron which may be in use in two different years, will be very little affected by any accidental difference in the produce of the iron mines of those two years ; and the proportion between the masses 27 of gold will be still less affected by any such difference in the produce of the gold mines.*' (p. 328, 3d edit.) What is here said of gold must, with reference to the present point of discussion, be understood to apply to gold and silver collectively, as it is their aggregate amount which is to be considered as affecting bullion prices generally. Although, therefore, in the absence of any sufficient data for computation*, it might be unsafe to name any sum as an approach to the value of the whole mass of the precious metals, there is, I conceive, no hazard in assuming it in general terms to be so large, that an addition to, or abstraction from it, of twelve to fifteen millions, other things remaining the same, would barely make 1 per cent., and certainly not c 2 per cent, difference in their value. But other things were not the same. For while, as a consequence of the Bank restriction, about twelve or fifteen millions of our coin went abroad, there was, in consequence of the wars on the Continent, which were, with few * I was not aware, at the time of writing this, that there existed any computation of the kind, but I have since met with one by Gregory King (in his Political Conclusions), wherein he reckons, that the stock of the precious metals existing in the world in the year 1688 was 850 millions. His calculation is so curious, and bears so much upon the present subject, that I insert it in the Appendix. 28 intervals, coincident with the period referred to, a great and unusual absorption of the metals, and particularly of gold, in the treasures and military chests of the belligerent powers. It is probable that, at the same time, more of the metals than usual was hoarded by the inhabit- ants of those states of the Continent which were either the seat of war, or which had issued paper to excess. There were likewise some periods of the war, particularly the interval be- tween 1808 and 1813, when, by the violent anti-commercial decrees and regulations of the French government, there was great difficulty and danger attending the transmission of bills of exchange, and when, in fact, commercial operations, depending on credit, were nearly suspended. Such obstructions to circulation were equivalent to a diminution in the amount of the currency. So striking were these cir- cumstances, both separately and collectively considered, that they were, by the great ma- jority of those who at that time took a part in the discussions on this subject, appealed to as very much outweighing the effect of the quantity of gold rendered available for the purposes of the Continent, by the substitution of paper in this country. It was, as I have before stated, the general answer to all charges against the conduct of the 29 Bank, in suffering the depreciation of its notes, that gold had become scarce, and not paper over abundant : and I am ready to admit that there was ground for so much of the answer as went on a prima facie presumption that gold had become somewhat scarce relatively to a former period ; or, at least, that supposing the precious metals to have been otherwise of a given value, the obvious effect of the war, and of the peculiar circumstances attending it, was to en- hance their value. Accordingly, the Bullion Re- port of 1810, (p. 2) nearly at its outset states as follows : " It will be found by the evidence, that the high price of gold is ascribed by most of the witnesses entirely to an alleged scarcity of the article, arising out of an unusual demand for it upon the Continent of Europe. This un- usual demand for gold upon the Continent is described by some of them as being chiefly for the use of the French armies, though increased also by that state of alarm and failure of con- fidence which leads to the practice of hoarding." But this, if true, formed no justification of the departure of the paper from its standard. Whether gold had increased or diminished in value, it was the business of those who had the regulation of the paper to make it conform to the value of gold. The promise to pay ought at all times to have been of equal value to the 30 actual payment. All, however, that I mean here to prove is, that the impression was very general at that time, that the value of the precious metals had increased in Europe. Much stress has occasionally been laid on the circumstance of Russia, Austria, and the United States of America having, concurrently with this country, substituted a paper for a me- tallic circulation, thereby adding to the depre- ciation of the value of the metals ; and having since required a supply of the metals, to restore the credit of their several banks, thus contri- buting, with the demands by this country for the same purpose, to enhance the value of gold and silver. With regard to Russia, it is to be observed, that she had established a compulsory paper currency for many years before our Bank re- striction, and that the circulation of that empire was as fully saturated with paper to the ex- clusion of the precious metals before the year 1792 as at any subsequent period. If, therefore, the amount of the metals spared by her was calculated to produce any effect on their value in the rest of the world, that effect must have been felt before the period at which the com- parison of general prices, as influenced by the Bank restriction, commences. In 1817 and 1818, indeed, by the simultaneous occurrence of large 31 loans to the Russian government, with a very great demand for corn and other articles of the produce of Russia, the exchanges rose, or, in other words, the value of the paper ruble improved so much, that gold and silver were largely remitted thither from the rest of Europe : the amount thus absorbed into Russia in those two years was estimated at about ten millions sterling. It was at the same period that an export of the metals, to nearly a similar amount, took place from this country. It is true that it was gold chiefly that went from this country, while the importation into Russia was chiefly of silver : but the operation was equalized by France taking a great part of our gold, and sparing some portion of her silver. Thus, the import into Russia was virtually balanced by the export from hence j leaving the circulation of the rest of Europe undisturbed. Of this large sum in gold and silver, however, which Russia ab- sorbed in those two years, there is reason to believe that she has retained little, if any ; for since the commencement of 1819, the exchange of Russia, or, in other words, the value of the paper ruble, fell progressively till the close of 1821, rendering the exportation of the metals from thence very profitable ; therefore the pre- sumption is, that they must have found their way out, notwithstanding the prohibition of the 32 exportation : thus contributing to restore the amount applicable to the circulation of the rest of Europe. In fact, the whole of the financial operations of that empire may be considered as having had no permanent effect worth mention- ing on the value of the metals, within the period embraced by this inquiry. Austria had, I believe, little of a pure me- tallic currency remaining when the Bank re- striction took place in this country ; and I have not heard of her having hitherto absorbed any large amount of gold or silver for the restoration of a metallic basis to her circulation. The banks of the United States of America did not suspend their cash payments till after the breaking out of the last war with this coun- try, viz. in 1812, (which, by the way, was after the principal phenomena of high prices of agri- cultural produce and of high rents had already taken place) ; and that was the period when, from the gigantic scale to which the operations of the war in Europe had been extended, there was the greatest demand for specie, both for the purposes of the military chests and of pri- vate hoarding ; moreover, singular as it may appear, yet such was the fact, in the autumn of that year, while the French were on the ad- vance to Moscow, and during their stay there, the Russian exchange improved so much, having S3 advanced from 14r/. to 24>d. and upwards for the paper ruble, that gold and silver formed the best remittance thither in exchange for her pro- duce, which was then in great demand, from the fear that the French might cut off all future supplies ; accordingly, a good deal of specie was sent thither, and probably did not return from thence till between 1814 and 1816, when the exchange fell again below its former lowest level. Slight as this circumstance may be, I mention it merely as proving, in concurrence with the other sources of demand arising out of the operations of the war, that there was in all probability an extra absorption of specie in Europe from those causes, fully compensating for the disengagement of what was spared from the banks of the United States. And after all, as the circulation of that country, before the suspension, did consist and still consists of a large proportion of paper very imperfectly con- vertible, there is reason to believe that the amount of specie, disengaged in the first in- stance and eventually resumed, cannot, under any circumstances, have had any important in- fluence on the value of the precious metals in Europe. As, therefore, it appears that there was no coincidence in point of time in the dis- engagement of the precious metals from the circulation of Russia, Austria, and the United D 34 States with the Bank restriction, the amount of specie (inconsiderable as it was) spared from those states cannot be included in the means of accounting for the rise in prices which is so confidently stated to have commenced in 1797* and to have been progressive till the near ap- proach of the termination of that restriction. But if the addition to the general mass of the precious metals, spared for other purposes by the substitution of paper for coin in this coun- try, pending the Bank restriction, cannot, on the grounds which I have stated, be fairly in- ferred to have produced, under any circum- stances, a sensible effect on the value of money; and, if there were circumstances, such as those already mentioned, which were calculated, at least, to compensate if not to outweigh that effect : then it follows, by parity of reasoning, that the reabsorption, by the resumption of cash payments, of a similar amount of specie to what had before been spared, cannot have been at- tended with a greater effect in an opposite direc- tion. This must be understood mutatis mutandis, viz. the disengagement of the sums employed for military purposes, and the return of security to commercial intercourse, renewing the facilities of circulation on the continent, and diminishing the inducement to hoarding; and it must be understood as proceeding on the supposition 35 that the quantity of gold required for the re- storation of the convertibility of our currency does not exceed the amount which circulated previous to 1797- Hitherto, it is clear, that not so much has been required. Whether any and how much more may be requisite will depend upon the footing on which the circulation of country notes is to be regulated. Of course, if a larger quantity of specie were to become necessary for the circulation of the United Kingdom than existed previous to 1797> the argument must be modified to the extent of that excess ; but in consequence of the economy introduced into the use of money, it is probable, that even if the country one-pound notes are eventually withdrawn, a smaller sum of coin will suffice than was necessary previous to 1797. The reasoning, thus far, proceeds on the supposition, that the question is confined to the effect produced by the Bank restriction on the value of gold and silver collectively: and as far as relates to their aggregate value, there ap- pears to be no sufficient ground for inferring any material variation in it since 1797* as a consequence of the alterations in our currency. But a separate question arises as to the effect of those alterations on the value of gold, as com- pared with silver: and, as the demand for this d2 30 country has been almost exclusively for gold, it appears reasonable to conclude, that such an extra demand for it would raise its price re- latively to silver. This inference appeared to me so plausible, that I was at first disposed to acquiesce in it, as a sufficient explanation of the degree (viz. between 4 and 5 per cent.) in which the two metals have receded from their ordinary proportion in this market ; but the following considerations have since struck me, and incline me, at least, to doubt whether silver may not really have fallen, while gold has merely maintained its former value. If the masses of the two metals in Europe have not undergone any alteration, then the change in their relative value can arise only from a difference in the demand for the uses to which they are respectively applicable. Now, supposing the use of them for all other pur- poses than that of money to be undisturbed, then as, according to the preceding view, gold, during the period in which we spared it, was in extra demand, as money on the Continent for military purposes and for hoarding, and was occasionally at an extra price, while on no occasion did it sink below the proportion which existed prior to 1797> it follows, that when that extra demand ceased by the peace, there would be no motive on the Continent for retaining, 37 at an extra price, so much of the gold as was beyond the ordinary purposes of mere con- venience as currency — none being absolutely necessary, as the standard or basis of their cir- culation, which is silver. It may, therefore, fairly be questioned whether there is any thing thus far of extra demand to account for its extra price relatively to silver: and supposing the answer to be in the negative, gold can only have risen in value compared with silver by a falling off in the ■relative supply of the former : but gold is a more durable metal than silver, and the sources of supply, although very much more limited, are not liable to such great variations as occur, or as at least are supposed to have occurred of late, in the produce of the silver mines. In as far, therefore, as the recession in the com- parative value of the two metals may be re- ferred to a supposed alteration in their relative quantities, the presumption seems to be rather that the supply of silver must have increased, than that of gold fallen off. And the pre- sumption, a priori, that silver has increased in quantity, at least in Europe, receives no small additional weight from the consideration, that not only the demand for silver to the East Indies, which was very large (insomuch that in the three years ending 1819-20, the balance 38 of import of treasure into India on the Com- pany's and private account amounted to nearly nineteen millions sterling)*, has ceased within the last two years, but that the stream has reversed its course, and the importations from thence hither have been very considerable. I am inclined to think that this cause alone will go far towards accounting for the fall in the price of silver in this market. The supplies come chiefly, if not wholly, in the first instance, to this country; but being much beyond what is wanted here for the purpose of coin or manu- factures, the surplus must be re-exported : but, as in the present state of our trade, having large stocks of foreign raw materials in our mar- ket, and an unusual abundance of home pro- duce, while our manufactures still maintain sufficient superiority to admit of their exporta- tion, there is no other adequate return which the Continent can give for our surplus silver, than gold : and, accordingly, I understand that the principal bullion transactions between this country and the Continent, for some time past, have consisted of exports of silver and imports of gold. But, in order to admit of such trans- actions being carried into effect, it is necessary * For an account of the total imports of treasure into India from 1808-9 to 1819-20, see Appendix. 39 that gold should be as much higher, and silver as much lower, in this market than on the Continent, as to defray the charges of trans- port, interest, and commission, on both sides : and this will account for the disproportion be- tween the two metals being greater here than on the Continent*. This greater disproportion can continue only as long as this market receives the chief supplies of silver from the East and West, and dispenses them to the rest of Europe. As far as the supply from the East Indies is concerned, I suspect that it cannot be of long duration, and that in the course of the fluctua- tions of trade the whole of what has of late been received from thence will be re-shipped thither. The low price of the raw produce of India here, and the necessity of finding returns for British goods sent thither, combined with the financial arrangements of the government * As the relative proportion of the market prices of gold and silver at Paris may be matter of interest in connexion with the present discussion, 1 insert in the Appendix a table of the quotations of them for the last four years, accompanied by an explanation of the footing on which these metals are purchased by the mint, and re-issued in the shape of coin. Subjoined to it is a statement of the quantities of gold and silver coined by the mints of France in the four years ending in 1821. This information was procured for me by a friend who has recently returned from Paris, and on whose accuracy I can rely, 40 there, have occasioned the remittances of bul- lion from India to England : if cotton, sugar, rice, and other East India produce, should ad- vance in Europe so as to admit of export from India, the tide will turn again, and the silver will go back. With regard to the supply of silver from South America, I am assured that the importation, either direct or through the West Indies, has been, during the last two years, on a larger scale than usual. Whether the total supply from the mines has increased or otherwise, there are no certain means of knowing ; but it is the opinion of the best in- formed persons, in the trade with that part of the world, with whom I am acquainted, that the produce of the silver mines has increased, and is still increasing : nor is there any impro- bability on the face of this supposition. It does not appear a necessary consequence of the internal war of Spanish America, occupy- ing, as it has done, but small numbers and a small surface, compared with the whole po- pulation and territory, that it should have ab- stracted any capital and labour from the work- ing of the mines, which it must have been a great object with whichever of the contending parties was in possession of them, to make as productive as possible. But, with the same capital and labour, the same mines have already, 41 in all probability, become more productive, by the application of improved machinery ; for it was stated, some time ago, that steam-engines of greatly increased powers were in the course of being sent out to the mining districts ; and, according to that statement, several must have been long since in operation. Independent of the inference, on these grounds, that there is rather an increase than a falling off in the pro- duce of the mines, it appears probable that Spanish America and the Brazils must have parted with a larger proportion than usual of their stock of specie, whatever that may have been, because their importations of European manufactures have been large, while their ex- ports have been restricted, or at least been reduced greatly in value, by the fall in the price of their produce. These circumstances collectively are likely to have increased the supply of silver in a greater proportion than that of gold, and give reason to suspect that the fall in the price of silver arises from a relative increase of its quantity, and consequent diminu- tion of its value, rather than from a diminished quantity and increased value of gold. The arguments and the facts, therefore, as far as I can collect them, strike me to be rather in favour of a supposition that the aggregate supply of the precious metals in Europe may have some- 42 what increased of late, and at any rate they mi- litate against any presumption of a falling off. But I am ready to admit that all the informa- tion hitherto accessible, relating to the propor- tion of the supply and demand of the precious metals, is vague and insufficient to build any practical conclusion upon ; and the only object of the arguments which have here been brought forward is to afford grounds for calling in question the opposite presumption, which, in my opinion, has been much too generally and hastily ad- mitted. Having thus offered arguments, which to my mind are conclusive, against the presumption of any sensible effect from the alterations in our currency, under the circumstances in which they took place, on the value of the precious metals in Europe, it remains to examine what influence may be ascribed to the second class of circum- stances, which, as a consequence of the Bank restriction, are stated to have affected the value of money in this country, in a much greater de- gree than that indicated by the difference be- tween paper and gold. 45 SECTION V. Examination of the Effect of the Bank Restriction on the eco- nomised Use of Money, and on the Facility of Credit. These circumstances are, in the words of the article in the Review, which I have taken as my text, " that a compulsory paper system, esta- blished by the Bank restriction, has had the effect of heightening all those expedients, to which a prosperous state of society naturally gives birth, for economising the circulating medium, bringing the whole into activity, and multiplying it virtually by the substitution of credit for currency." The effect here ascribed to the Bank restric- tion is resolvable into two distinct parts : — 1. The heightening of all the expedients for economising the circulating medium, and bring- ing the whole of it into activity. 2. The multiplication of the circulating me- dium virtually by the substitution of credit for currency. This distinction is a very important one for the purposes of the present inquiry. The expedients for economising the use of the currency, although they do not take date 44. from the Bank restriction, and certainly had their origin in causes wholly distinct from it, did experience a considerable improvement about that time ; and this coincidence is assumed by the writer in question as cause and effect. " The universal adoption of paper (he says) led to the universal practice of those expedients for econo- mising money, which only partially prevailed in a mixed currency; that is, only so far as it con- sists of paper ; since it is by means of paper that the contrivances are carried into effect." — " And (he adds) there is less temptation to hoard paper than there is to hoard specie ; it is, therefore, always drawn from its hiding-place, and circulates freely in the market." This mode, however, of accounting for that coincidence as cause and effect, is not consistent either with the reason of the thing, or with what, both from my own recollection and from that of the best living authorities on that subject, I can state to have been the fact. As to the reason of the thing, the motives to economise the use of the currency are twofold, viz. that of convenience, and that of interest. With regard to the inducement to simplify and spare any unnecessary circuitousness of pay- ment from a view to mere convenience, it is clear that it must exist more strongly in pro- portion as the currency consists in great part 45 of coin. And I am perfectly convinced that, if, from any cause whatever, bank notes were totally withdrawn from circulation, the motives to simplify payments on a large scale to the utmost degree would become so intense, as pos- sibly to suggest expedients for a still further saving. With regard to the smaller temptation to hoard paper than specie, and to its therefore circulating more freely, it is to be observed that the temptation to hoard specie is greatest when compulsory paper prevails ; and there is every reason to believe, that in this country much more gold was hoarded after than before the restriction ; but in point of fact, all the larger payments among merchants and bankers were, for some years previous as well as sub- sequent to the Bank restriction, transacted through the medium of paper ; and as it is to these transactions that the economised use of the currency applies, there is not the shadow of a ground for ascribing to motives of conve- nience, arising out of that measure, the height- ening of the expedients of economy. But if the Bank restriction supplied no motives of mere convenience for economising the use of the currency, that measure, or, more properly speaking, the circumstances connected with it, held out the strongest inducement possible of immediate and obvious advantage to the indi- 46 viduals concerned in large payments to improve to the utmost "the art of transacting the same business with less money." The circumstances to which I allude, and which held out this in- ducement, were the very reverse of those sup- posed by the reviewer ; for he assumes that an indefinite facility of procuring money was a necessary consequence of the Bank restriction; whereas in point of fact, at the period when the suspension of cash payments at the Bank took place, and for some time after, the suffering from scarcity of money was very great. So far from any unusual facility of raising money, there was an utter impossibility for any merchant to obtain loans or discounts except upon the very best security, nor even upon this to any consi- derable amount. None but first rate bills, not having more than sixty-five days to run, were discountable at all, and even of this description the Bank did not take all that were offered, having prescribed limits for each house. And as to discounts by private bankers, they were nearly out of the question, as it was natural they should be, seeing that while the law re- stricted the rate of interest on private securi- ties, the rate on public securities through the greatest part of 1 797 was considerably higher. The 3 per cent, consols were at one time below 48, Exchequer bills at 2/. 10s. and navy bills 47 above 15 per cent, discount. This enormous rate of interest rendered the use of money, even for the shortest intervals, valuable ; and, ac- cordingly, it was about this time that the prac- tice was introduced among the London bankers of borrowing bank notes of one another for only a few hours ; this practice was not only in itself such an increase in the velocity of the circula- tion as was equivalent to a saving in the amount of the currency, but, by the value which it con- ferred on the use of a given sum for even a few hours, was the immediate occasion of devising some of the means of lessening the detention which might be caused by the transmission of any amount beyond the very smallest that might suffice for the mutual adjustment of the daily balances. It is, therefore, to the scarcity of money which, from causes that it is foreign to my present purpose to investigate, prevailed about the period of the Bank restriction, and not to the opposite effect ascribed to that mea- sure, that the greatest improvement of the ex- pedients for economising the use of the cur- rency is owing. Not only, however, are the occasion and ob- ject of the improvements alluded to erroneously described, but a most fallacious inference is drawn as to the effect of this " art of transact- ing the same business with less money" in de- 48 predating the value of the currency. There is no doubt that, if the number of transactions remained the same, and the numerical amount of the currency were not diminished, the in- creased velocity and economy of the circulating medium would depreciate its value exactly as an addition to its amount, cceteris paribus, would do, and the evidence and measure of the de- preciation would be found in the difference be- tween the paper and its standard. But at the period referred to, and for some years after, while the money transactions of the country were progressively increasing, the numerical amount of the currency, according to the re- ceived computation, had been diminished. This circumstance of increased transactions and di- minished circulating medium formed one of the puzzles to those who, at a subsequent pe- riod, contended that the difference between paper and gold could not be ascribed to an ex- cess of paper. Allowing, however, for the sake of argument, that the Bank restriction was the cause (which it was not, in the sense used by the reviewer) of greater economy in the use of the currency, and that this greater economy was one of the causes of the depreciation of the value of money beyond the degree indicated by the difference between paper and gold; how happens it that, 49 although all the refined machinery of the banking system subsists unimpaired, and is perhaps un- dergoing further improvements, it has no longer the depreciating effect ascribed to it ? Really in order to have been good for any thing in the argument which it was brought forward to sup- port, this economy of the currency should have been proved, not only to have arisen from, but to have terminated with, the restriction ; and it is proved to have done neither. On the con- trary, while the prevailing complaint is of a tendency the very reverse of depreciation in the value of money, it is notorious that circum- stances are in progress calculated still farther to economise the use of it. Not only are improve- ments daily taking place (as stated by the au- thorities quoted in the review) among the bankers, in their payments on the largest scale ; not only is the practice of lodging money with a banker becoming more general, as including a large proportion of the smallest classes of tradesmen ; but there is less detention in the very minutest channels of circulation, inasmuch as, by the institution of savings banks, the most inconsiderable sums, which must, but for this mode of investment, have been dormant as petty hoards in the hands of mechanics and menial servants, have become, and are becoming, daily 50 more available to swell the amount of currency applicable to general purposes. So large is the aggregate saving of the func- tions of money from the foregoing causes, which have acquired their principal activity since the period of the Bank restriction, and which have not yet apparently reached their utmost de- velopement; that, notwithstanding the extended functions of money consequent on an increased population, and on an enlarged scale of pecu- niary transactions, a smaller numerical amount is now requisite to circulate commodities at the same prices than before that period. Accord- ingly, if even the country circulation of one pound notes were now to be withdrawn, so that the currency should be on exactly the same footing as it was before 1797, there is every reason to believe that the amount of coin re- quisite for this purpose would be decidedly less than it was for a few years preceding that date. At any rate, we may safely dismiss this from the list of causes concurring to produce the depreciation and subsequent enhancement of the value of money resulting from the restriction and resumption of cash payments by the Bank. The next effect ascribed to the Bank re- striction is " the multiplication of the circulating medium virtually by the substitution of credit for currency." 51 The manner in which the Bank restriction is supposed to have produced these effects, is thus stated. " In such a system, country banks find a less stock necessary to answer demands than they would keep if liable to pay in specie. In the former case, one in twenty is deemed sufficient ; in the latter, one-fifth, or perhaps one-fourth, would be the safe proportion. The moral cer- tainty that a banker feels, that he shall not be called upon to discount his own notes, is a strong temptation to issue them to the utmost practicable extent. He sets all the canvas his vessel will carry, more than in common pru- dence he would do if there were any appre- hensions of a coming gale. But the Bank restriction was a kind of security against all sudden and unexpected movements, a sort of monsoon, which, after passing one session of parliament, he was sure would continue to the next ; and while that lasted, nothing was likely to happen that could disturb his course." " All the merchants examined agree in stating that country paper increased with the increase of Bank paper. If, therefore, the Bank re- striction was the cause of excessive issues from the Bank, a fact which is at this time hardly open to dispute, it must be charged with pro- ducing that excessive issue of country paper F,2 52 also, which was an invariable concomitant of the other." " It has already been observed, that the power of procuring money, if wanted, is tantamount to the actual possession. To use a scholastic phrase, money in posse is equivalent for all pur- poses of trade to money in esse : it gives an equal spirit of enterprise to the buyer; and, when that power is become notorious, equal confi- dence to the seller. Now it cannot be doubted that this hypothetical wealth was greatly aug- mented by the system of the Bank restriction. If the Bank was always ready to discount bills upon real mercantile transactions ; if country banks, in imitation of this example, did the same ; not only were transactions entered into which, without such facility, never could have taken place, but numerous contracts were effected for which actual payment was not required at the time, and was, in fact, never made ; other trans- actions in the mean time having taken place which either directly or indirectly had the effect of balancing these ; thus performing, without regular book entries, the very office of a bank; the seller building as securely upon the credit of the buyer, (a credit never actually put to the test) as upon his tangible property." On this statement, I have to observe, as on many others brought forward by the advocates 53 of the doctrine of indefinite depreciation, that the facts assumed, and the inferences drawn from them, are equally erroneous. The country banks are not yet legally bound to pay in specie, nor is it at all probable, consi- dering the great improvements in the system of banking, that if they were now under the obli- gation of paying in cash, any thing like so large a reserve would be requisite as before 1797. That the Bank restriction did not operate as a security against all sudden and unexpected movements, may be inferred from the expe- rience of 1810, when there was as violent a crisis of commercial credit as the memorable one which had occurred in 1793; and the num- ber of bankers against whom commissions of bankruptcy were issued was exactly equal in 1810 to what it was in 1793, viz. twenty-six in each. And with respect to the " monsoon, which after passing one session of parliament, the country banker was sure would continue to the next ; and while that lasted, nothing was likely to happen thatwould disturb his course — " we may ask, what the author of this simile has to observe upon the succession of hurricanes which swept away so many banking and mer- cantile establishments within the two years which elapsed after the passing of the act of 1814, which continued the restriction over that 64 period? In that interval the commissions against bankers were, twenty-nine in 1814 and twenty- six in 181o. In 1816 there was a further re- newal for two years, and the number of com- missions in that single year against bankers was thirty-seven • and yet in these three years, viz. 1814, 1815, and 1816, the average annual circu- lation of Bank of England notes exceeded by upwards of three millions the annual amount of the three preceding years. What shadow of ground, then, is there for the assumption that the restriction held out a security which in- duced and enabled the country bankers to issue and maintain in circulation an indefinite amount of notes ? But the supposition that an excessive issue of country bank paper must of necessity have been an invariable concomitant of the excessive issues of the Bank of England, is further sup- ported by the following reasoning ; viz. that " money in posse is equivalent for all purposes of trade to moneymme;" that "this hypo- thetical wealth was greatly augmented by the system of the Bank restriction ;" that " the Bank was always ready to discount bills upon real mercantile transactions ;" and that country bankers had every inducement and facility to imitate the example of extended issue, and must therefore be presumed to have done so. Ob If by money in posse be understood the con- fidence which the merchant, tradesman, or farmer may have of being able, at the shortest notice, to raise money or obtain credit on un- doubted security, whether of bills or of trading or farming stock, then I maintain, without fear of contradiction, that money in posse — that this hypothetical wealth — was infinitely less abun- dant during the Bank restriction than it is now. Whatever may have been the theory of the Bank Directors as to the impossibility of an ex- cess of their issues, as long as they were limited to the discount of bills not exceeding sixty-five days to run, founded on bond jide mercantile transactions, it is well known that they did not (fortunately as I think) act up to these prin- ciples, and that they did, in fact, impose other limitations, the effect of which was that, at par- ticular periods, money was not always to be ob- tained, even upon bills that came within the description of the limits stated. And, as to other descriptions of bills, and securities, however unexceptionable, there were times during the restriction when it was totally impossible to raise money upon them. On such occasions I have known a ruinous difference exist between moaey and credit sales, notwith- standing the undoubted solvency of the buyer, whom at the moment it might only suit to pur- 56 chase on credit. What, indeed, was the ground for the parliamentary grant of Exchequer bills, to be advanced by way of loan, on sufficient security, to the distressed manufacturing and mercantile interests in 1811, but the notoriety of the fact, that accommodation in the money market on private security, however good, was at that time difficult, and, in some cases, impos- sible to be obtained ? At present, (and I appeal to every one con- versant with the state of the money market for the correctness of the assertion) there is an overflow of capital offering out on loan, when- ever there is even the appearance of tolerable security. There is an absolute avidity to lend (witness the eagerness with which loans have been lately contracted for by individuals in this country to foreign powers, without much appa- rent regard to the eventual security) and a general invitation is held out to speculation by the facility of raising money upon whatever goods may become the object of adventure. But yet this facility, greater within the last twelve months than has ever been experienced in our commercial history, is evidently not of itself sufficient, with some few exceptions, to infuse enterprise into the buyer, or firmness into the holder. Failing, however, of sufficient grounds, from 57 reasoning, a priori, to infer a necessary con- nexion between the increase of country paper and Bank of England paper, it is yet asserted that, in point of fact, country paper always did increase with Bank paper. This assertion, al- though countenanced by the statement of vague impressions on the part of some of the witnesses examined in 1819, is at variance with the ela- borate estimate in the Lords' Report (page 13), founded upon the best data accessible. That estimate, which commences with 1810, exhibits several instances of an increase of the Bank of England notes, accompanied or followed by a diminution of country paper : but the divergence of relative amount would have been still more striking, if the statement had included 1808 and 1 809. In those two years, although in the first of them there was scarcely any addition worth mentioning, and in the second an addition of only about two millions to the amount of Bank of England notes, there was a great and sudden extension of country paper, as well as of private paper generally. The Bullion Report of 1810 (page 28) refers to the increase of country paper in those two years in the following terms : " Your Committee are led to infer, from all the evidence they have been able to procure on this subject, not only that a great number of new country banks has been established within these last two years, but also that the amount of issues of those which are of an older standing has, in general, been very considerably increased." And there is abundant testimony to the same effect from other sources : but the fact is so well established, and so much within the recollection of many of my readers, as to render superfluous the accu- mulation of evidence. It must likewise be in the recollection of most persons conversant with the money market at that time, as it is perfectly fresh in my own memory, that there was within the same period a great extension of transactions on credit, and an extended circulation of mer- cantile bills. The amount cannot, of course, be estimated with accuracy, but there is every reason to suppose that the aggregate increase was out of all usual proportion to the circulation of Bank of England notes. At any rate, what- ever that extension might be in those two years, it is very certain that the amount was much greater in 1809, and in the early part of 1810, than in the succeeding twelve months ; because, in the summer of 1810, as has already been ob- served, credit in the commercial world sustained a very severe blow ; a great number of country banks were destroyed; and, of those banks which stood their ground, the circulation was, of necessity, very much contracted. Some re- 59 duced their issues from a prudential regard to their own security, and others from necessity, in consequence of the distrust which was felt towards such establishments as, although they might have weathered the storm, were not of first-rate solidity. But this great reduction of country bank- notes, and probably still greater reduction of private paper of other descriptions, took place, as nearly as possible, simultaneously with the largest addition which, within an equal period, was ever made to the circulation of the Bank of England : the addition, from the 26th Feb. to the 25th Aug. 1810, being rather more than four millions. c 26th Feb 20,429,281 1810/ (.25th Aug 24,440,175 (Commons' Report, 1819, Appendix, p. 281.) Again, on the average of the years 1814, 1815, and 181 6, the issues of the Bank of Eng- land were larger by three millions per annum than those of the preceding three years. 1811, Average amount .... 23,282,000 12, Ditto .... 23,237,000 13, Ditto .... 24,023,000 3)70,542,000 Mean of the three years .... 23,514,000 60 1814, Average amount . : . . 26,901,000 15, Ditto .... 26,886,000 16, Ditto .... 26,574,000 3)80,361,000 26,787,000 {Lords' Report, 1819,^. 13.) And yet it must be within general recollec- tion, as well as apparent from the statement referred to, that, during those three years, a great reduction took place in the circulation of country paper ; not to mention the great fall of prices which accompanied this extended issue of Bank of England notes, and which will be matter for subsequent consideration. So much, in the mean time, for the assertion of the fact of coincidence of increase of country paper with that of Bank of England paper. It appears, then, that there did not exist a perpetual security to country bankers, nor a constant facility of discount to London mer- chants during the Bank restriction ; that if this security and facility had existed, without suf- ficient motives for the use of it, there would not necessarily have been an increase of country paper, nor of transactions on private credit; and finally that, on several occasions, a great increase of Bank of England notes was ac- 61 companied by, or coincident with, a very con- siderable diminution of the circulation of every other description of paper. How then, it may be asked, is the great in- crease of country and private paper generally, which was observable at particular periods during the restriction, to be accounted for? I believe that this question admits of being satisfactorily answered ; but I propose to re- serve the explanation till I come to the con- sideration of prices at the period commencing in 1807-8, when the fluctuation of them seems to have been connected with great variations in the amount of private, as contra-distinguished from Bank of England paper. In the mean time, however, if the facts and presumptions, stated in the passages which I have quoted, had been correct, still there would be no ground for the inference so strenuously contended for ; viz. that the Bank restriction depreciated our currency in a greater degree than that indicated by the difference between paper and gold. For supposing the restriction to have occasioned a constant excess of Country, as well as of Bank of England notes, it is clear that the aggregate excess, beyond what could have been maintained under a system of con- vertibility into coin, whatever might be the proportions of the component parts of the cir- 62 culating medium, would, according to the now generally received, and, I believe, only true doctrine of money and exchanges, have equally affected the value of the whole : and the degree of depreciation would have been equally marked by a rise in the price of gold, or by a depression in the exchanges, or by both, whether the cir- culating medium were really augmented in nu- merical amount, or only virtually enlarged by the substitution of credit for currency. 6S SECTION VI. Examination of the alleged Connexion between the Bank Restriction and a progressive advance of Prices. If the assumed influence of the Bank re- striction and subsequent resumption of cash payments, on the value of the precious metals in Europe, and on that portion of the circulation of this country which consists of private paper and credit, be proved to be insufficient, upon any general grounds of reasoning, to have pro- duced the alleged effect of a greater depreciation of money, in the first instance, and a greater enhancement, subsequently, than has been in- dicated by the difference between paper and gold, it is still contended, by the advocates for the doctrine which I have been combating, that " The constant and invariable connexion of increase of price with the Bank restriction, is a forcible proof of such a relation as that of cause and effect subsisting between the two pheno- mena. The near approach of the termination of that restriction has produced a fall of prices greatly exceeding the difference between paper and gold ; thus still further corroborating that 64 connexion, and proving, almost demonstratively, that the prices from 1797 to 1810 were, to a certain degree, artificial ; and that the com- parison of paper and gold, during that period, did not afford a test of their real amount." And, for the more perfect establishment of this point, upon which so much depends, a table is exhibited of prices collected from the tables printed in the parliamentary reports on this subject (gold being reserved for the last co- lumn), with the following introductory remark : " It will be remembered that 31. 17*- lOjrf. is the mint price of an ounce of gold ; so that all above that sum may be regarded as the difference between Bank-paper and gold, — a difference very inconsiderable till the year 1810, although the price of labour and of the ne- cessaries of life rose, during the same period, seventy or eighty, and, in some articles, more than cent, per cent." 65 - , ■ t . J . l ■ ■ 00 00 00 00 OO O0 00 00 00 00 00 VJ N^ ►— >— » ^* — o o o o o © to £» Co tO l ~ J O tO 00 M OS O © en VJ 00 " S g OJ o o> o *«■•—© 00 Os CO N|M»0M»|lcl0|i- © 00 a. TO - ** - - K- h- — h- © © © © Jo to CO CO to — — o O — ~ >-— i 00 a, ?S l-|M »|H octo *4-od|k-(0|>-*-Ioo ool— *H o o o © ©©©©©© © © «s 13 O to cr "* TO !S re 00 00 oo cc 00 00 "M "M V| "VI OS Cn aj E^S •Hco *«loo N|w *»►- OOlt- 03|»Jt0|>-C0|H-,H'- J Hm H- , , N- — . , ' , , . r ■ l ■ ■ ■ 13 _ q o _, p o CO Co 1— "— >— © <0 © tO ** © 05 a" S c g £h CO CO OS v| t© © Ji. CO © *Hoo © •Hco • • VJ CO CO VJ oo oo ^4 ^t ^t or OO ife. «o •^ S »v| OS 00 CO 4- 4i. © CO Os Or £t 00 00 Os OS Os d crt i— >— © VI © CO r* - TO >B r* to 35 p en Cn Oi en CnCnO*Oi4^>fc».C<0lOtOt© _eo p -1 P TO TO v< <« a OS os OS OS OO tU. © © OS OS to < ?" * 'to ** V-V/V 1 ^. . . . . ,_ , , 1— I H- 1 1— P— I— ■ , . o SU P £t ■u to O tO *»• CO CO © © © to Co o ~ N pa © to OS to © en to © Co vj £> to ft. re if|C0 Mfr i«t»i OS en en OS OS OS Oi CJ» Cn Oi u» CO o to Os © 1—1 © © Cn £»• CO I— ~ to o p =r EL P w tO •M _, CS 00 to to © £t 00 vi to a. . S 13 re *+- *»F ~ioj*-|oo 4-ioa JiOiOiOi >£>. £k 4-4- B 4- B CO ^ o O © O 2 o 00 00 O Cs © ^» s. 6d. in November 1810. It may be of importance to bear these circumstances 67 in mind, with a view to the correctness of any estimate of the depreciation of bank-notes, as measured by the price of gold. This, however, is a point that may more properly be reserved for discussion, when we come to the consideration of the causes of the principal phenomena exhi- bited in the relative value of paper and gold. I will now proceed to examine the merits of this table, as tending to establish the fact, that " the constant and invariable connexion of increase of price with the Bank restriction, is a forcible proof of such a relation as that of cause and effect sub- sisting between the two phenomena." And I have no hesitation in pronouncing the document in question to be incomplete, inadequate to the object proposed, and calculated, as here brought forward, to lead to the most erroneous conclu- sions. In the first place, it is incomplete and in- adequate ; because it gives the prices, at inter- vals, of no less than five years each, between 1795 and 1805; and it so happens that 1800 and 1805, which form the points of comparison with the first of the series, include the great rise of necessaries immediately consequent upon two very bad harvests, viz. 1799 and 1804. The intervals, too, which are passed over, include great fluctuations of price, arising from political obstructions to importation, as well as from ex- F 2 68 traordinary casualties of the seasons. It does not state at what time in each year the prices were fixed ; a very important point, where the articles are furnished by contract, which in- clude anticipations of cheapness or dearness, and therefore do not, in all instances, give the actual price in the general market. Nor, in the quotation of the price of meat, does it distin- guish the kind ; and by the way, it so happens, that in the parliamentary tables there is no such word as meaty the column being headed by the word jlesh, which probably includes pork : this is a material variance from the original docu- ments, inasmuch as the supply of the navy during the war operated in a greater degree on the price of pork than on that of beef and mutton. In the next place, it is calculated to lead to the most erroneous conclusions ; for there is hardly one article, besides flour and meat, included in this extract from the Greenwich contract prices, that can be said to afford any fair ground of comparison for judging of the relative value of money. Butter and cheese are affected by the state of our political relations with Holland ; as we depend for part of our supplies on importa- tion from thence. Malt ought not to be intro- duced, because its price, during the period re- ferred to, includes a varying rate of taxation ; and because, divested of the tax, it must follow 69 the price of barley. Carpenters' wages do not form a fair criterion of the general rate of wages through the country : their occupation requires more or less of skill, and it is a description of labour which, during the war, was in constant demand for the purposes of a progressive in- crease of ship-building, both for the navy and merchant service. Candles follow, at some in- terval, the fluctuations of tallow, and this again is an article, for a large proportion of which we depend on importation ; it is liable, therefore, to be affected in a very considerable degree, and indeed has been so affected, by obstructions, arising from war or other causes, to our re- ceiving the usual supplies from Russia ; but, in point of fact, the price of tallow, and conse- quently of candles, was lower in 1807 than it had been in J 797. And as to coals, the freight forms so large a proportion of their cost, that the increase of their price proves little else than an increase of freight, which, it is well known, reached a very great height, in conse- quence of the peculiar circumstances of the war. Setting aside, then, the imperfect and incon- clusive extract from the Greenwich Hospital account, and referring to commodities on a larger scale for a comparison of prices, let us see how far the allegation of " the constant and 70 invariable connexion of increase of price with the Bank restriction" is borne out by facts. The criterion most commonly referred to, by those who have treated of variations in the value of money, is the price of corn : now, referring for the prices of corn to a table (which I insert in the Appendix) contained in the Commons' report of 1819 (p. 344), it will appear, on a careful inspection of it, that there is nothing like a progressive increase from 1797* com- mencing, as the reviewer, and so many writers and speakers before him, would lead the public to suppose, in 1797- The fact is, that a great rise occurred two years before the restriction ; that, for two years after, prices rather fell ; and that, having again risen in consequence of two successive bad seasons, combined with obstructions to importa- tion from abroad occasioned by the war, they continued to fall till the summer of 1804, when they were as low as in the summer of 1793, and lower than in January, 1797*. The comparison of the extreme points formed by these dates, beginning with the date of the Bank restriction, will stand thus : * The following extract from the account of Windsor prices of wheat and malt at Eton College,, inserted in the Appendix to the Lords' Report on the Corn Laws, 1814, (p. 141), will serve to confirm this statement. 71 Wheat. Rye. Barley. Oats. Beans. Pease. Oatmeal. s. d. s. d. s. d. s. d. s. d. s. d. s. d. Jan. 1/97, 55 9 35 7 32 3 18 31 6 36 6 39 5 Jan. 1804, 52 3 32 3 23 11 21 7 37 5 42 3 40 9 (Commons' Report on Resumption of Cash i Payments, 1809, p. 344 .) Wheat per bushel . Malt per bushel. L. s. d. L. s. d. 1792 Michaelmas 7 6 5 °2 1793 Lady Day ■ 7 7i 4 9 Michaelmas 6 4 5 2 1794 Lady Day 6 6 5 3 Michaelmas 7 5 3 1795 Lady Day S 10i 5 3 Michaelmas 11 6 5 5 1796 Lady Day 12 5 9 Michaelmas 8 Of 5 1 1 797 Lady Day 8 9 4 9 Michaelmas 6 9 4 9 1798 Lady Day 6 9 4 9 Michaelmas 6 9 4 9 1799 Lady Day 7 4 4 9 Michaelmas 11 7 5 5 1800 Lady Day 15 9 8 8 Michaelmas 16 9 o 1801 Lady Day 1 2 If 11 2 Michaelmas 10 9 8 1802 Lady Day 8 6 6 2 Michaelmas 8 3f 6 2 1803 Lady Day 7 ,6 4 8 Michaelmas 7 6 4 8 1804 Lady Day 7 U 4 8 72 Hence it appears that there was a decided fall in the price of corn, in the aggregate, after the lapse of seven years from the Bank restriction, instead of the progressive rise asserted so con- fidently to have been the necessary effect of that measure. And, although it may be an anti- cipation of what will come more properly under consideration among the supposed effects of war on prices, I cannot resist the opportunity of presenting, by a reference to the same table, the following comparisons. Wheat. Rye. Barley. Oats. Beans. Pease. Oatmeal. s. d. s. d. s. d. s. d. s. d. s. d. s. d. Jan. 1794, 49 8 36 5 33 5 22 1 40 10 41 4 39 3 . . 1804, 52 3 32 3 23 11 21 7 37 5 42 3 40 9 Jul. 1793, 51 3 37 1 32 3 23 5 38 7 38 3 42 9 . . 1804, 52 1 34 27 3 24 1 35 11 38 5 39 6 Here, then, it is evident that, if allowances be made for the difference between paper and gold in the respective periods, the prices of wheat were really lower in the latter than in the former years, between which is an interval com- prising eleven years of war and seven years of Bank restriction ; and the prices of spring corn were clearly lower in the aggregate, without that allowance. And there is no doubt, keeping these extreme points in view, that the extraor- dinary fluctuations of price which characterized 73 the intermediate period may be satisfactorily accounted for by a reference to the seasons. For it is matter of historical notoriety, and it may still be in the recollection of many of my readers, that the period in question comprized four seasons, viz. 1794, 1795, 1799, and 1800, which in their total produce, allowing for ex- tended cultivation and improvements in agri- culture, were throughout Europe the most de- ficient within the last hundred and twenty years : there was likewise a large proportion of severe winters in that interval, and it is well known how great a difference there is between a long hard winter and an open one, in the consumption of dry food by cattle. On this point I shall have occasion to dwell more at large hereafter. In the meantime, I ask, upon what ground of fact or reasoning can the high prices included in such a period be ascribed in fairness to altera- tions in the currency beyond the degree indi- cated by the difference between paper and gold, when, after a sufficient time has elapsed for the subsidence of the extraordinary effects of such an unusual succession of bad seasons, there is a restoration to a level even somewhat lower than that from which the rise is assumed to have taken place, and to have continued progres- sively ? 74 I have here confined the examination of the prices of corn to the interval ending with the summer of 1804, because the bad harvest of that year, followed by two seasons of only average produce, occasioned a fresh range of high prices. In 1807 there was a renewed tendency downwards, but that tendency was soon checked ; and at the close of that year commenced a fresh era, the phenomena of which will require separate consideration. My immediate purpose is merely to negative the assumed invariable connexion of the rise of prices with the continuance of the Bank re- striction ; and it seems to me that this purpose is sufficiently answered, as far as relates to the price of corn, by the full proof here exhibited of the absence of such coincidence for so long a period as the first seven years of the series to which the assertion applies. The article next in importance to corn is meat. Under this term, and for the purposes of the present inquiry, I include only beef and mutton. Veal, lamb, and pork, depend so much on casualties of demand, as not to admit of any accurate average of price. Pork in particular seems in its produce to have scarcely kept pace with the war demand, and accordingly main- tained its price, during part of the period to 75 which I am about to refer, when beef and mut- ton fell. The quotations of beef and mutton at Smithfield market were, a-, d. s. d. January, 1 797, Beef 3 6 to 4 6 Mutton 4 4 to 5 January, 1S08, Beef 3 6 to 5 Mutton 4 4 to 5 1 (See Appendix.) Making a difference, at the end of eleven years, so trifling as not to be worth mentioning. There was, indeed, as in the case of corn, an intermediate range of high prices as a conse- quence of the bad seasons of 1799 and 1800 — but for that very reason, those high prices should be excluded from any ground of inference as to the value of the currency. The following ex- tract from the account of the contracting prices at the Victualling Office, which unfortunately does not go farther back than the commence- ment of 1801, shows the high price which beef had reached after the bad seasons above men- tioned, and how progressively it had declined till the end of 1808. The prices here quoted are stated to be for the supply of fresh beef at Deptford yard : 76 1801 . Nov. 69s. 7d per cwt. N. B. This is the first date quoted at Deptford ; but there is a quotation for Plymouth Yard in March, 1801, as high as 80*. per cwt. 1802 No price quoted for Deptford ; but the average for Plymouth in that year was 55*. 1803. Dec. 55s. 6d. 1804 54*. 8rf. 1805 52*. 6d. 180G 50*. 1807 No price at Deptford ; but at Plymouth it is quoted 45*. 8d. 1808 50*. (Appendix to Lords' Report on the Corn Laws, 1814, p. 137.J It may be worth while to add, as an instance of extraordinary fluctuation arising evidently from the effects of the seasons, that the price paid by the Victualling Office for flour in Ja- nuary, 1801, was as high as IWs. per sack, and in May, 1804, as low as 38s. 4c?. As well might it be said that these instances of a fall in price after 1801 were proofs of an enhancement, or, as it has sometimes been called, an appreciation of the currency, as that the rise between 1797 and 1801 should be thought to prove the depreciation. It has further been asserted, that labour, as well as necessaries, experienced a progressive advance during the period referred to. I have 77 already suggested grounds of objection to the admission of the wages of carpenters, in and near London, as affording a sufficient ground of inference with respect to the general rate of wages in the country : and the same objection applies, in point of principle, to the admission of the higher price paid for some other descrip- tions of labour, which happened to be in great relative demand. It is clear that, during the progress of a war, on such a scale as the last, there must have been an unusual demand for full-grown able-bodied men ; and the encou- ragement held out to a great extension of tillage, during the same period, might be supposed to have added to the demand ; and as the supply could barely, within the period, keep pace with the extra demand, a considerable portion of that description of persons might naturally be ex- pected to command a high rate of wages. Of this description were soldiers, sailors, labourers in husbandry, carpenters, bricklayers, domestic men-servants, and many others. The greater pay which they (subject, however, to many important exceptions) received, would accord- ingly afford no ground of inference of deprecia- tion in the currency. But the labour that did not come within the reach of such peculiarity of demand appears not only not to have ex- perienced any rise, but actually, in several in- 78 stances, to have fallen in price during the period in question. There is, from authentic sources, concurrent testimony to this effect. The following statements are extracted from the minutes of evidence in the Lords' Report of 1814 on the corn laws. It should he ob- served, that these statements were there brought forward to prove a connexion, or, more pro- perly, a general coincidence, between a rise in the price of corn and a fall in the rate of wages, and vice versa. I have nothing to do, in the present stage of my argument, with that as- serted connexion ; it is sufficient for my purpose that these statements, as far as they go, prove the negative, and, in some instances, the very reverse of the imputed progressive advance in the price of labour, as well as of necessaries, from the date, and as a consequence, of the Bank restriction. Patrick Milne, Esq. M. P., examined : " Q. Can you state to the Committee any par- ticular instance of agricultural work that you may have contracted for, in a dear year and a cheap year? — A. I can state a very strong in- stance, that happened to myself last year : I wished to inclose a farm at the latter end of the year 1812 or the beginning of 1813: I sent for my bailiff, and told him, that I had inclosed, about twenty-five years ago, a good deal of 79 land ; that the inclosure, at that time, cost me three shillings per ell of thirty-seven inches ; that a neighbour of mine, two or three years ago, had made similar inclosures, which cost him five shillings per ell ; that I thought he had paid too much, and that I ought to do it cheaper. The answer I got from my bailiff was, that provisions were very high ; that the labourers were doing double work ; and that, of course, there was less demand for labour ; and that he could do those inclosures last year at a cheaper rate than I had ever done them ; and he actually executed this inclosure at about two shillings and sixpence per ell. He again came to me, and told me, that J had proposed to him to do some ditching and draining upon another farm, which I did not intend to do till about a twelvemonth after, from the circum- stance of not being fully in possession of the whole farm : he requested I would allow him to do it that season, as he could do it so much cheaper ; and that a great many labourers were idle from having a little work, in consequence of those who were employed doing double work. I desired him to go on with that labour likewise, and he actually contracted for very large ditches at sixpence an ell, which I do not think I could now do under from one shilling to one shilling 80 and sixpence, in consequence pf the fall in provisions. " Q. Have you any statement of the price of manufacturing labour, per piece now, in cottons, or in any other commodity, for any number of years ? — A. I have not, from Scot- land ; I can very easily get them : but I was at some pains to endeavour to see how far those ideas I had with regard to labour ap- plied to England ; and for that purpose I wrote to Manchester and to Stockport, to get state- ments of their labour in those quarters; and I have two statements, one from Blackburn, which gives the price of manufacturing a piece of common goods, such as they call 74< printing- calicoes, from 1792 to 1814: it is here com- pared with the average price of grain in each year, taken from the record of the Windsor market, kept at Eton College. " Mr. Milne delivers in two statements, which I have here compressed into one, omitting the column containing the price of wheat. 81 Wages for weaving the l T4s. Wages for weavir g the 80^ Cambric Printing Calico in Lancashire. at Stockport. Years. 1 April. June. December. s. d. s. d. s. d. 1792 8 1793 6 1794 6 1795 7 1796 7 1797 7 6 1798 7 21 6 21 6 1799 7 o 22 6 21 1800 8 21 21 1801 8 21 22 1S02 10 24 23 0inSep.25.s\ 1803 9 20 16 1804 7 6 16 20 1805 8 6 19 15 1806 7 6 15 11 6 1807 7 6 14 14 1808 5 6 11 12 6 1809 6 6 16 16 1810 8 6 15 6 10 1811 5 6 11 11 1812 6 6 11 6 11 1813 8 12 15 1814 10 16 to 17s. In April and May 20*. to 21s., and some speculators 23)172 gave 22s. to 23s. 7 6 aver. The Earl of Mansfield, a member of the com- mittee, delivered in a letter from his factor in Scotland, Mr. James Wood, containing answers to a set of queries, from which the following are extracts : Q. In what year of the last fourteen was ma- G 82 nufacturing labour the lowest ? — A. In the year 1811. Q. In what year of those fourteen was manu- facturing labour the highest? — A. In the year 1805. Q. What is the rate of manufacturing labour at present ? — A. A medium between the highest and lowest as above. The average price of weaving for the last fourteen years appears to be six shillings. In 1805, nine shillings was paid for weaving a piece; and in 1811, the same work was done as low as three shillings. The letter closes with the following passage : " The present rate of ploughman's wages is from sixteen pounds to eighteen pounds, having within these last three years declined from three to four pounds per annum. Day labour is two shillings in summer, and one shilling and six- pence in winter. In every case good hands are meant." The Earl of Lauderdale, likewise a member of the committee, delivered in statements of which the following are copies, omitting only the prices of wheat, which have nothing to do with my present object, viz. to negative the assertion of a necessary connexion between the Bank restriction and a progressive advance in the price of labour. 83 Prices if Weaving per Ell, /?fl/rf fl/ Glasgoxo. Year. 1200 Book Mus- 1200 Jaconot 1000| wide checks, stout lins | wide. J wide. made. d. d. d. 1790 15 1 8 ^ 3 43 1791 15 13 8 *a 1792 15 8 67 1793 15 .2 9 8* .8 <=> ^2 54- and 54- 1794 19 I s 64- "3 s 5 T 1795 H* ■11 8 o =£ \3 c3 6 and 6| 1796 1797 HI 104- fa 8t 74- 3fc 6 T 6 t 1798 1799 n H 5 ■% 3 2 1 i 74- 74- 32 3 3 6 6 and 64; 1800 94 74- S * 6| and 64^ 1801 94 19 *7 1 IT el 64- 1802 8 T o 6 o ^3 64/ and 6 1803 9t 8" 6 J M|<« 54 1804 8V H' 5t 1805 IP 1 ' 8 8| •H 180G 12 8^ 6 1807 84- 6t S| to 6 T 1808 71 54- OJ 6 1809 7 i.* 5 L S< 6 to 64; 1810 8 « 7 OJ fe early 6 T to 7 T > latterly 54; 1811 5 3t 5 to 54; 1S12 H 5 54- 1813 74- G 5^ and 6 1814 9t> 7 6 And not only is the progressive advance in necessaries and wages, which has been ascribed to the Bank restriction, in a degree beyond the difference between paper and gold, negatived by a reference to the facts which have been here brought forward ; but by the following table it will appear that several leading articles, constituting the raw materials of some of our 84 most important branches of manufacture, be- sides the principal articles of colonial produce, were as low in 1807 as they had been in the spring of 1797, and in some instances lower. Table of Prices, exclusive of Duty on Importation, extracted from Prince's Price Current. 1797. 1807. £ . s. d. £ . s. d. £. s. d. £ s. d. Cotton. .Georgia per lb. 1 2 3 1 1 2 Pernambuco . 2 2 3 1 9 1 11 1 3 1 5 10 1 2 Coffee . . B.P. superior, per cwt. . . . 5 14 7 5 5 18 8 inferior . 5 3 6 12 4 5 6 10 Iron . . . .Swedish p. ton 21 10 22 10 19 10 20 10 Russian .... 20 21 10 15 10 20 10 Madder Dutch p. cwt. 1 10 4 15 17 4 10 Oil . . . . Galipolyp.ton 63 65 63 65 Greenland . . . 36 37 26 27 Linseed 49 50 36 37 39 40 36 37 Pepper ,E. India black 1 1} O n Saltpetre. . . . per cwt. 2 18 2 19 2 16 2 17 Silk... . Piedmontese thrown, p. lb. 1 7 1 13 1 10 1 17 Reggio 1 3 1 6 6 18 19 9 1 7 6 1 8 Sugar . . B. P. Jamaica per cwt. . . . 2 12 3 15.0 1 4 2 18 E. I. white . . 5 15 4 6 5 brown. . 3 5 3 4 5 Refined loaves 4 12 5 12 2 10 3 17 Tallow. .Russia, Y. C. 2 16 3 2 2 13 2 14 Tar . . . American per 1 1 1 1 1 1 3 Swedish .... 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 7 Tobacco Virginia p. lb. 64 9| O 4 8 And of such articles as were higher in 1807 than in 1797 there is not one that I am aware 35 of, of which it may not be proved that it existed in a state of scarcity real or apprehended (re- latively to the computed rate of consumption) either from the casualties of the seasons, or from obstructions and increased charges of im- portation, or from extra war demand. Thus, in 1800 and 1801, hemp, from the combined effect of the great demand by the navy, and of an ap- prehended failure of supply from Russia, in consequence of an embargo by the Emperor Paul, advanced to 851. per ton ; but it after- wards declined, and in the spring of 1804 was at 48/. to 49/., being about 51. per ton lower than it had been in the spring of 1797. It rose again subsequently to 1804 in consequence of the precariousness of the state of our inter- course with Russia. The same remark applies to timber and other articles of importation from the Baltic. Having brought the comparison of the prices of commodities down to 1807, and proved the absence of any observable connexion of the state of them with the Bank restriction beyond the difference (which was then the most trifling imaginable) between paper and gold, I shall proceed to the examination of the extraordinary fluctuations which have characterized the sub- sequent period. But those fluctuations were so strikingly accompanied with corresponding 86 variations in the amount of private paper and credit, that the consideration of the circum- stances affecting the one will necessarily include a reference to the other. Preparatory, therefore, to entering upon the further examination and comparison of prices, I shall proceed to the explanation, which I had reserved at page 61, of the circumstances upon which any great and sudden variations in the amount of private paper and credit depend. 87 SECTION VII. Explanation of the Causes of the Extension and Contraction of private Paper and Credit. The circumstances most conducive to an en- largement and contraction of the circulation of private paper are identical with those which give rise to a spirit of speculation and over- trading on the one hand, and to stagnation and despondency on the other. The circumstances which give rise to a spirit of speculation and over-trading are scarcity, or, in other words, deficiency of the supply of some important article or articles compared with the average consumption, and the opening of new and extensive markets, or, in general, of any new sources of demand. Agricultural produce, which forms by far the largest portion as well as the most valuable class of commodities, and which, as it includes the subsistence of the labourer, and supplies the raw materials of some manufactures, affects the value of many other commodities, is that of which any casual scarcity most powerfully con- tributes to a temporary increase of the circu- 88 lation of private paper. A great proportion of country bank notes is, or was, issued upon the security of landed property and farming stock, upon the stock of country corn-dealers and millers, and upon the personal security of trades- men within the district of the banks. Now it is clear that upon the occurrence of any tendency to a rise in the price of corn and other agri- cultural produce from actual or apprehended scarcity, there will be an increased disposition on one side to borrow, and on the other an in- creased confidence in lending. Some may have in view to buy in anticipation of their own eventual wants, or on speculation of being able to resell at a profit, or to be enabled to purchase landed property which then appears a bene- ficial investment. Others are disposed to bor- row with a view of being enabled to hold for a longer period the articles which they are already possessed of, in the expectation of realizing prices so much higher as will over-balance the expenses of keeping. On the other hand, the lenders, under these circumstances, feel every inducement of interest to extend their ad- vances : if the personal or other security pre- viously offered were just sufficient, it now be- comes ample by the rise in prices which has already occurred, and by the further rise which on such occasions is always confidently ex- 89 pccted. Thus, a scarcity of agricultural pro- duce, which would, under a fixed amount of currency, advance money prices in a ratio more or less beyond the mere proportion of deficiency, is the occasion of an actual increase in the amount of the circulating medium, which in- crease is again, while progressive, the occasion of accelerating the rate, and extending the range of the rise in prices. The same effect of gene- rating an increased amount of private paper, and an increased disposition to substitute credit for currency, is observable in the case of a casual deficiency of any other articles of general con- sumption. Thus, any decided deficiency of wool, or cotton, or sugar, &c. will induce spe- culation, and a multiplication of paper or of transactions on mere credit, in the branches of trade connected with those articles, and ac- cording to the number and extent of them, will the effect be perceptible, or not, on the mass of the circulation. Next in importance to a scarcity of agricul- tural produce, or of imported commodities, as affecting the quantity of private paper, and the amount of operations on credit, is the opening of new and extensive markets. Such openings, when presented to the enterprising spirit of the merchants and manufacturers of this country, are generally seized with avidity, and entered 90 upon to an extent, in most instances, much be- yond what the effective demand, or, in other words, what the capacity of making a return of equivalents is eventually found to justify. But whatever, in the result, may prove to have been the exaggeration of the extent of the opening, the immediate effect commonly is to induce all those who are within the sphere of attraction to buy goods, not only to the extent of their capitals, but likewise of their credit : the ex- porting merchant gives his acceptance to the manufacturer, for the utmost amount which the latter will grant him credit for ; the manu- facturer, at the same time, having cleared his hands of finished work, buys an additional quan- tity of the raw material, not only sufficient to replace, but probably to extend his stock, and possibly his buildings, machinery, &c. For these purposes he gives his acceptance, as far as his own credit is available, and may further dis- count the acceptances which he has received, thus converting the credit of his customer, con- jointly with his own, into the means of obtain- ing the temporary command of capital beyond what his own property or credit would afford him. To the general reader it would be irk- some to follow me through a detail of every step, by which bills of exchange and promissory notes are multiplied on such occasions ; and to 91 the practical reader, who is fully acquainted with the process, it would be superfluous. It is sufficient, in general terms, to point out that an increase of paper of this description, which, in many instances, is applicable, for a limited pe- riod, to the purpose of money, in raising general prices, may be the consequence of the opening of new markets. Independent of the paper created on such occasions by the prevalence of a spirit of spe- culation, whether arising from deficiency of supply, or from increased demand, there is a further effect produced on prices, in both cases, by an extended substitution of mere credit in transactions of purchase and sale in some branches of trade, in which it is not usual to deal through the medium of acceptances ; and it is clear that an increased use of credit, for the purposes of purchase, may operate on prices as effectually without, as with, the inter- vention of paper. But the circulation of bills of exchange and mercantile notes, as well as transactions on mere credit, must be eventually limited by the ne- cessity of payment, in that which constitutes the basis of the currency. The interval, however, may sometimes be considerable. Country bank- notes are not payable at fixed periods ; and mer- cantile bills admit of being renewed, or fresh 9% credits may be granted to replace those that have expired. This extra circulation may con- tinue, it is evident, for some length of time, while confidence prevails, which it usually does as long as the occasion for high prices subsists. Whenever the extension of private paper has been great and sudden, the reaction is in- evitable. The process by which the reaction takes place is this : — When the rise in price, from scarcity, has attained a certain height, two effects necessarily follow ; a diminution, greater or less, of the consumption, according as the article is more or less necessary, or admits of substitutes ; and increased supply, as far as increased efforts can produce it : but the supply of the great articles of consumption is dependant on casualties of season, and of political or commercial events ; and these are the subjects of speculation, which, when once fully roused, generally goes beyond the mark. Accordingly, the price may con- tinue to rise for some time after the original cause of advance has ceased ; that is, after the supply has become adequate to the average consumption : there is then a pause in the ad- vance, till a favourable season, or large im- portation, or both together, give a decided impulse downwards. The most adventurous, or those who had bought most largely at the 93 highest prices, are most commonly those who have traded on the largest proportion of bor- rowed capital. Upon the first decided decline of the market, they become unable to fulfil their engagements ; the country banker takes the alarm, and calls in his advances, or at least de- clines to renew them ; those who had borrowed of him, and who had been previously but just solvent, cease to be so, in consequence of not being able to realize the prices at which they had bought. The weakest of the country banks become themselves insolvent, in consequence of a few losses of this kind, and there is a consequent distrust of the more solid establishments, which are therefore exposed to a run, and compelled to contract their issues. All bills of exchange or acceptances for goods are scrutinized, and few but those with first-rate names become con- vertible. Purchases on credit are made with difficulty, and not only is there a diminished inclination to advance money on loan, or on the security of goods, and to sell on credit, but there is less disposition to borrow or to buy among those who are most deserving of credit ; for as the prospect of lower prices, in con- sequence of returned abundance, becomes more clear, there is less inducement among such per- sons, who are generally among the most prudent, to add to their stock of goods, beyond the ab- 94 solute wants of their trade, or to be enabled, by borrowed means, to keep on hand any sur- plus stock. The London bankers, on such oc- casions, participate in the alarm, and increase their reserves of cash. Thus a complete in- version may be easily conceived of the process by which the previous increase of paper, and activity of circulation, had been produced. The reaction following extensive shipments, made in consequence of exaggerated anticipation, is at- tended with effects analogous in their kind, and is sometimes more suddenly felt (although, per- haps, inferior in extent) than that resulting from returning abundance of raw produce. But, when these general causes coincide, the joint effect must be greater than if they operate at different and separate periods. It is evident, from this view, that a currency, consisting, as ours does, of a considerable por- tion issued through the medium of credit, is subject to great variations in that proportion ; that those variations, originating, in most cases, in a spirit of speculation and the reaction from it, tend to extend the range, and to accelerate the rate, of the consequent fluctuations in price, supposing that the rest of the currency, as dis- pensed by the Bank of England, were stationary in amount. If the Bank of England, under the circumstances described as tending to enlarge 95 the circulation of country and private paper, should simultaneously increase its issues, whe- ther through the medium of discounts, or of advances to government, it is clear that the rise of prices would be greater and more rapid ; as, on the other hand, a contraction of its issues, if it should coincide with a return of abundance, and with a reaction from speculation, would aggravate the fall of prices, and consequent distress. 90 SECTION VIII. Fluctuation of Prices, and of the Amount of private Paper, from 1807 to 1811. Dating from different periods in 1807 and 1808, we come to a new epocha, characterized by the greatest fluctuations in the prices of commodities, in the relative value of paper and gold, and in the foreign exchanges with this country. Applying, therefore, the description of the causes which occasion an enlargement or con- traction of private paper (as given in the pre- ceding section) to the period now under con- sideration, it will appear that all the circum- stances which I have enumerated as being cal- culated to excite a spirit of speculation and overtrading, and consequently an extension of private paper, and of transactions on credit, came into combined operation in the interval which elapsed between the end of 1807 and the beginning of 1810. The close of the year 1 807 found us, by the events of the war, excluded from direct com- mercial intercourse with every country in Eu- 97 rope, Sweden excepted ; and there was, conse- quently, a prospect of scarcity of every article of European produce, for our supply of which, in whole or in part, we depended on importation from the Continent. About the same time, too, began our disputes with the United States of America, which occasioned a very restricted and precarious commercial intercourse with that country, and threatened at every moment to cut off our usual supplies of produce from thence. The prospect of scarcity, thus held out, natu- rally excited a spirit of speculation; and in pro- portion as that prospect became realized, was the speculative demand extended till different periods in 1808 and 1809, when the obstructions to importation, from political causes, nearly reached their height. And it was about the same time that the deficiency of our own growth of agricultural produce, from the unfavourable- ness of the seasons, concurred, with the diffi- culty of obtaining relief by importation, to ex- tend the spirit of speculation to corn. The scarcity, however, of other commodities being first felt, and, in some instances, an apprehen- sion being entertained of a total failure of fo- reign supply, these took the lead in exhibiting examples of the most rapid advance of price. After the attack on Copenhagen, and the final withdrawing of our naval and military forces ii 98 from thence, Russia and Denmark joined in the war against us. The Baltic being thus shut against any direct commercial intercourse with this country, it was not clear that any part of our usual supplies of necessary articles from thence could be obtained by any channel, how- ever circuitous, or at any expense, however great. It was naturally supposed that Russia might, whether compelled by France, or of her own accord, make a point of depriving this country of some of the materials essential to the maintenance of a navy ; and of these the foremost was hemp. This article, in conse- quence of such apprehensions, advanced from 58/. in the summer of 1807, to 118/. per ton, in the course of 1808. Flax, on nearly the same grounds, rose from 68/. to 140/. per ton. Memel timber reached 15/. per load ; having varied, during 1 806-7, from 31. 13s. to 7/. Deals and other descriptions of wood in proportion. The following are some of the many other articles that participated in the advance : — Baltic linseed rose from 5 Is. to 150s. per quarter. Russia tallow rose from 54.?. to 110s. percwt. In consequence of the occupation of Spain by the French, it was imagined that the ex- portation of wool from thence would be ren- 99 dered impracticable, or that, at any rate, the un- settled state of that kingdom would materially diminish the produce. Under this impression a very great speculation was entered into, and the price rose from 6s. Id. and 6s. 9d. to 22s. and 25s. per lb. for the Leonessa, and from 2s. 6d. and 5s. to 13s. and 18s. for Seville. Our principal dependence for a supply of silk was, at that time, on Italy ; and there was a double ground on which the French, who then exercised dominion over the whole of that country, would do their utmost to prevent our obtaining any from thence. One motive would be that of distressing us, and another would be that of giving a more decided superiority to their own manufactures. It is not to be wondered at, therefore, that this article advanced con- siderably, viz. Piedmont thrown silk, from 30s. and 42s. to 90s. and 108,9. The orders in council on our part, and the non-intercourse acts, and various embargoes, on the part of the United States of America, were calculated to favour speculations in the produce of that country ; and accordingly Georgia cotton advanced from 9d. and 1 s. to 2s. and 2s. 6d. per lb., and Virginia tobacco from 4\d. and 8d. to Is. Aid. and 2s. Corn, as before mentioned, was not among the foremost of these objects of speculation, because, h 2 100 though the harvest of 1807 was not one of ge- neral abundance, nor had the two preceding ones been of more than average produce, so as to create any considerable surplus, it was not decidedly deficient ; and the price was already at a somewhat elevated range ; but the crops of 1808 were partially deficient; and as the de- ficiency, however small, could not be made up but by an importation, which was only practi- cable at an enormous expense of freight and other charges, amounting, on wheat, in some in- stances, to 50s. the quarter, and upwards, over and above the prime cost ; a speculative de- mand arose upon the prospect thus held out, of security against interference by importation, ex- cept as a consequence of a great rise. The spirit of speculation, thus directed, was confirmed and extended by the result of the harvest of 1 809, which was in every respect a bad one ; got in late, and in a damp sprouted condition ; de- ficient in quantity, and inferior in quality. Several other articles might be enumerated as having advanced considerably, in consequence of actual or apprehended scarcity arising from the peculiar state of politics. Those which I have mentioned are sufficient to prove that the most important of the two principal conditions on which I have stated the sudden enlargement of private paper to depend, viz. scarcity, actual 101 or apprehended, of agricultural produce, and of other articles of extensive consumption, was ful- filled in the amplest manner. Now, it so happened that the cause next in importance, tending to the same effect, viz. the opening of new markets for our exports, came into operation contemporaneously with the for- mer. The transfer of the seat of government from Portugal to the Brazils, and the virtual emancipation of the Spanish colonies from the control of the mother country, opened the trade of the whole of South America in 1808; and as, by the course of the war, we possessed the entire dominion of the seas, it was, in fact, to this country, exclusively of the rest of Europe, that this opening was presented. So vast and comparatively untried a field was not held out in vain to the merchants and manufacturers of this country ; and, accordingly, the spirit of specu- lation was on the alert to export every article that might, not only probably, but possibly, come into demand. On such an occasion there was abundant scope for the display of the avidity, miscalculation, and delusion, which commonly accompany, and possibly may be necessary, how- ever lamentable, consequences of the activity, industry, and enterprise which characterise our mercantile and manufacturing interests. Ship- ments were made to South America to an 102 amount much beyond the proportion of capital which the adventurers could fairly command, and still more beyond what the consumption of the places, for which the investments were destined, could absorb upon the condition of making adequate returns. The same remark applies, in many respects, to the shipments to the Baltic, Heligoland, and to Malta, which were, for all practicable purposes, new markets, being resorted to chiefly by new adventurers, who were tempted by the prospect of extraor- dinary gain, if they eluded the anti-commercial decrees of Bonaparte, and of those powers which were subservient to him; for most of the old establishments had given up altoge- ther, or had suspended, till the return of peace, their intercourse with the ports on the Conti- nent, from which, during that period of the war, all direct communication was cut off. As usual, in such cases, the event proved that the prospect of gain was exaggerated, and the risk under- rated. These causes of over-trading in speculative exports, coinciding with the inducements held out by scarcity to speculation in agricultural produce, and in imported commodities, com- bined to realize the process by which private paper is generated and augmented ; and, accord- ingly, the extension of it was probably greater 103 and more sudden within the two years, viz. 1808 and 1809, to which I am referring, than had ever before been witnessed within a similar period. As a large proportion of these speculations took place in 1808, I am satisfied, as well upon the grounds already stated, as from my own distinct recollection of the state of the circula- tion in London, and from what information I had of the state of the country circulation, that the increase of private paper, and of transactions on credit in that year, was very considerable. I can recollect, moreover, that there w T as a great briskness in the general circulation ; a rapidity in the interchange between goods and money or credit, which is an invariable attendant on speculative periods. This great increase of paper and of transac- tions on credit, produced by circumstances fa- vourable to speculation, occurred in the first instance, be it observed, unaccompanied by any extension worth mentioning of Bank of England notes; but in 1809, the causes of extended circu- lation of private paper and credit still subsisting in a greater or less degree, the Bank of England (instead of diminishing its issues, as it ought to have done, with a view to counterbalance the increase of private paper, and to arrest the fall of the exchanges which had taken place rapidly 104 at the close of 1808) extended the amount of its notes by nearly two millions; and this extension of Bank of England paper, coming in aid of the increased amount of private paper, doubtless contributed to extend the range of high prices, in the degree marked by the further depression of the exchanges, which continued to fall pro- gressively till the spring of J 810. As, however, the prices of the articles referred to had risen in 1808, in some instances, to their greatest height, without any extension of Bank of Eng- land paper, so a large proportion, or indeed nearly all of them, fell considerably in the course of 1810, notwithstanding an enlargement of the Bank circulation, of no less an amount than seven millions * above what it had been in 1808 : and as the growth of private paper had, with the advance of prices in 1808, been unaccom- panied by any increase of Bank paper ; so the destruction of an unprecedented amount of pri- vate paper, attended by a fall of prices, rapid beyond example, occurred simultaneously with the largest addition ever made, within an equal space of time, to the circulation of the Bank of England. The circumstances which led to this fall of * 26th Aug. 1808 - - LA 7,365,266 26th Aug. 1810 - - 24,446,175 (Appendix to Commons' Report 1819, p. 2S\.) 105 prices, and destruction of private paper, were a restoration of comparative abundance of com- modities for home consumption, and a reaction from the speculative shipments of the two pre- ceding years. As real or apprehended scanti- ness of supply, and an exaggerated anticipation of demand, had led to high prices and an en- largement of the circulation of private paper, so returning abundance and postponed demand occasioned a recoil of prices and a reduction of private paper to the level from whence both had risen. That there was in 1808 a real scantiness of supply*, compared with the average con- sumption, of all the articles which became the objects of speculation, may be proved by re- * Of the falling off of supply, take the following instances ; many others might be brought forward, which it would be tedious to enumerate. Iinj)orts into Great-Britain. 1806 1807 1808 Sheep and Lambs' Wool. lbs. 7,333,993 11,768,920 2,353,725 Raw and Thrown Silk. lbs. 1,317,841 1,123,943 776,414 Cotton. bales 261,738 282,667 168,138 At.d, to show how the importations afterwards increased 1809 1810 6,845,933 10,936,224 1,199,935 1,792,206 440,382 561,173 106 ference to the quantities imported of foreign commodities, and to the notoriety of the fact of a decidedly bad harvest in 1809, as affecting our own agricultural produce. This actual de- ficiency was itself sufficient to justify a great part of the rise ; and as, in the early part of the grand experiment (which I date from the close of 1807 and beginning of 1808) made by Bonaparte for our exclusion from all intercourse with the Continent of Europe, it was uncertain whether a considerable and almost indefinite period might not elapse before the deficiency could be relieved by importation, a further rise was necessary upon two grounds ; the one to limit consumption, and the other to hold out a sufficient inducement to overcome the very great obstructions to importation. The ad- vance proved, indeed, as is usual in cases of speculation, to be more than adequate to both these purposes. The stocks of those articles which had been most scarce were eked out by economy in the consumption, and, in some in- stances, by the employment of substitutes ; as, for example, iron was extensively substituted for hemp and timber. At the same time, mea- sures w r ere taken, by means of licences from the government of this country, and of simulated papers, which were calculated to lull the vi- gilance or satisfy the scruples of the govern- 107 r ments which were the unwilling tools of the French, to obtain a supply by importation. These measures, which were successful as to the main object of obtaining an adequate sup- ply, did not come fully into operation, as to the bulk of the commodities in question, till dif- ferent periods in 1809 and 1810; but between the close of 1809 and the summer of 1810 the im- portation became considerable. In the summer of 1810, likewise, the coming harvest, for which fears had been entertained, assumed a favour- able aspect. There was, accordingly, by the summer of 1810, a great fall in the price of nearly all the articles which had experienced any considerable rise in the two preceding years \ and of a large proportion of them the fall was to the level from whence they had, in that interval, risen, and in a few instances lower. 108 5 FT ft ^5 £Lg g ? S'£ n o 3 g S SL s" 5' s - a S^ P BO ^* *0 H i cd a "i S o ST ^ ^» r § 5 r as >— ' o to 00 to to *-* OD *>. O 00 to o o o o o o i— i— to O OS 00 oo © os © oi to o o o o © o § w 2" 2- • 95 o o 3 £p F h3 n — O p - CJ S. B p" OS tn o © o © ©©h-000©.^ ,_, o tOO>©©©i—©?> % © © to © © © © ffi © © © © 00— tO?-' 01 MOl »-MUWK!tJi^.MO © ^ © © © © <^«d H ooitk*-o'oo^-o Co o n OOOOOOOOO>vjO^— bOW^*.viOitOOOO^OiOOOO J-» f GO t «3 O3t0«0©©©©©000n00t0i— toto Co ©©©©©©©©0©©©©t— OJ a, 3. a g a a a 3". o 00 a Si _ a a ■?+. <* a £2 «• s a- 2 » ^> 2 -* «? »— © -2 • n> ^ to to 4- © © © i— © to © © © On © © © © © ©©to©©©©- £ _ O OOOi-Ci WM*- — © On — oo to i- s © © H- © © © © 00 *- © © O "— OOMMOOOi-'O* | ©©©©©©©©<3>©©O04i.O0QOp-' 109 While this great fall was taking place in the price of the bulk of imported commodities, a total stop was put to our exports to the Baltic, by the extensive confiscations which had oc- curred in the ports of Germany, Prussia, and Russia. The returns, too, from South America were now coming round, and these left a ruinous loss to the exporters, many of whom had bought the goods on credits maintained by the circu- lation of accommodation paper. From the close, therefore, of 1809, through 1810, there was a complete exemplification of the circumstances which I have described as being conducive to a reduction of private paper, and to a diminution of transactions on credit, viz. stagnation and despondency, as succeed- ing to a state of speculation and over-trading. And so many circumstances on so large a scale combining in the same direction, the re- duction of private paper, the destruction of credit, and the fall of prices, were greater and more rapid than were ever before or have since been known to have occurred within so short a space of time. A general dismay pre- vailed throughout nearly all branches of trade during the last six months of 1810 and the few first months of the following year, when the depressing causes had acquired their greatest influence. The following extracts, which I 110 have made from the commercial reports inserted at the end of each number of the Monthly Ma- gazine, convey the best and most accurate de- scription, that I have met with, of the state of distress which then prevailed. Monthly Commercial Report, 1st August, 1810. " The failures of several houses of the very first respect- ability, both at London and in different provincial towns of Great Britain, have, within the last month, been unpre- cedented in number and importance. A West India broker, who has long been considered the first in his line, was, we are told, the prime cause of the stoppage of a banking-house, whose credit was previously unimpeached. The several banks in the country, connected with the London house, of course shared its fate, and from them the evil spread to merchants, manufacturers, traders, and, in short, to the very servants and dependants of these, numbers of whom are thrown out of em- ployment, and their families deprived of bread. Speculations in Spanish wool, an article which has fallen about fifty per cent, are considered as the origin of those unlooked-for disasters. Five Manchester houses have stopped payment in the city, and, we are sorry to add, have involved numerous industrious persons, both in town and country, in their ruin. The demands upon the five houses are said to amount to two millions; but it is supposed that their real property will ulti- mately cover all deficiencies. Speculative exports to South America are the rock upon which these houses have split. In consequence of these unexpected events, public credit is at the present moment as low as ever it has been in the memory of manj the fluctuation of price in the money market is unpre- cedented, and the depression so considerable, that omnium is fallen to two and a half per cent, discount. We understand Ill that some respectable merchants have waited upon the Bank directors, in order to solicit their aid towards the alleviation of the burthens with which our internal commerce is at pre- sent borne down. The result of this application is not as yet publicly known j we trust it will prove favourable. The re- newal of our intercourse with the United States of America has in some sort benefited the manufacturing interests; but this felicitous effect is almost swallowed up in the vortex of those calamities, which it has been our painful duty to record. " Holland. — All trade between Great Britain and this de- voted country is completely put a stop to by the rigorous exe- cution of the French emperor's anti-commercial decrees. It is even reported that the captains and part of the crews of two vessels were shot for violating the prohibition. " Prussia. — Money is so extremely scarce in the Prussian ports, that the merchants can with difficulty collect sufficient to defray the import duties; and interest is represented to be at the extravagant rate of two and a half per cent, per month." 1st December, 1810. " A numerical evidence of the present state of trade may be deduced from the number of bankruptcies in the London Ga- zette, inserted in this Magazine : They amounted this month, in 1810, to 2/3 The same month, — 1809, — 130 Ditto - - - — 1808,^- 100 Ditto - - - — 1807, — 97 Ditto - - - — 1806, — 6.~> Ditto - - - — 1805, — 87 Ditto - - - — 1804, — GO Besides stoppages and compositions, equal in number to half the traders in the kingdom! These failures throughout the kingdom have wonderfully affected the manufacture of every 112 description of goods, and a general want of confidence exists between the manufacturer and the export merchant. The speculators at Liverpool have completely overstocked the dif- ferent markets of South America, where, at present, English manufactured articles can be purchased at a loss of twenty per cent, to the exporter, with the exception of a few articles, on which little or no credit could be obtained here." 1st January, 1811. " In our last Report we stated the vast increase of bank- ruptcies within the last month, compared with similar months for seven years back, and we regret to say that they still con- tinue to increase in number, and that confidence in the mer- cantile world seems nearly at an eud. " Discount, unless bills, &c of a few of the first houses in the city, can only be done through the medium of bill-brokers at an extra commission, exclusive of the regular interest. " In Lancashire, the cotton manufacturers appear by the late Gazettes, as well as by private information, to be greatly distressed, and business quite at a stand. In Manchester, and other places, houses stop not only every day, but every hour. Cotton wool is in no demand at any price, and no ex- port of the manufactured goods, except a few fine sorts to Rio, &c. The trade of Birmingham, Sheffield, &c. quite at a stand, and no orders for execution there, except a few for our home- consumption. At London, Liverpool, and Bristol, the king's stores are full of all kinds of colonial produce, as coffee, sugar, rum, &c. for security of their duties, and the proprietors in the greatest possible distress, not being able to force sales of these articles." To prove that these are not exaggerated de- scriptions of the commercial distress which pie- 113 vailed in this country at that period, I need only refer to the parliamentary debates in the spring of 1811, from which I have made as many extracts as my limits will permit. Extracts from the Report of the Select Committee of the House of Commons on the State of Com- mercial Credit, 1th of March, 1811. " Your committee found that memorials had been presented to his majesty's treasury, towards the latter end of the last and the beginning of the present year, stating the great em- barrassments and distress which were felt amongst the manu- facturers in the cotton trade in Glasgow and Paisley and their vicinity, and praying for public assistance ; that the same were confirmed by the representation of a meeting held in the city of London on the 12th of February, which sent a deputa- tion to wait upon the Chancellor of the Exchequer with a copy of the resolutions adopted at that meeting. These resolutions your committee have inserted in the appendix to this report. " Your committee found, by the evidence of the witnesses they examined, that those statements and representations were founded on fact. " It appeared to your committee, that the principal part of the distress which was complained of had arisen out of great and extensive speculations, which commenced upon the open- ing of the South American markets in the Brazils and else- where, to the adventures of British merchants. •* Your committee also found that great distress was felt in a quarter which was much connected with this trade, namely, amongst the importers of produce from the foreign West India islands and from South America. " That great part of the returns for the manufactures which were exported to those parts of the world came home in sugars I 114 and coffee, which not being entitled to sale in the home market, there were no immediate means of realizing their value. " These representations of the distress experienced in the trade of the cotton manufacturer and exporter, and from the want of market for foreign colonial produce, were also con- firmed by respectable merchants and traders in London ; who also stated that the embarrassments were felt in other branches of trade, not connected with foreign commerce or colonial produce." Extract from the Speech of the Chancellor of the "Exchequer, in the Debate on the Commercial Credit Bill. " The consideration of this important subject, he observed, divided itself into three heads ; — first, the nature and extent of the evils which the manufactures and commerce of the country were enduring ; — secondly, what were the causes of those evils ; — and, thirdly, the measures by which the evils might with the greatest probability be removed. With respect to the first of these considerations, he apprehended there could be no difference of opinion whatever, but that the nature and extent of the distress described in the Report of the Select Committee rendered it advisable that parliament should, if possible, adopt some measure by which that evil might at least be diminished. It appeared distinctly by the report, that the distress, originating with the merchant, and disabling him from paying the manufacturer, was felt most severely by the manufacturer and those employed by him. All the principal manufacturers had been compelled to contract, and some wholly to suspend their works. It appeared by the report that there was scarcely a cotton manufacturer in the kingdom who had not diminished, by one half, the number of persons employed in his mills ; and that many of the smaller manu- facturers had discharged their people altogether. It appeared 115 also that those who were retained by the first description of manufacturers were retained at a reduced rate of wages. The consequences must necessarily be, as they were represented to be in the Report of the Select Committee, that the most cala- mitous distress prevailed throughout many of the manufac- turing districts. The report also stated that the merchants who traded with the Western World, not being able to find an adequate market for their produce, this circumstance ag- gravated the distress of the manufacturers ; and the whole operating upon the other branches of trade, although not im- mediately connected with those to which he had referred, pro- duced a general want of confidence, and suspension of credit, which required the prompt and effectual application of some adequate remedy." The commercial distress of that period was not confined to the United Kingdom. It pre- vailed on the Continent of Europe, as may be observed by the foregoing extracts : and that the same description of distress applied to the commerce of the United States, will appear from the following extract of a letter from New York, dated 11th of Feb. 1811, communicated to me by a friend largely interested at that time, as well as at present, in the trade with that country. " Such times for money were never known, and all con- fidence among merchants is totally and indeed very justly de- stroyed. Since the middle of December we have had between sixty and seventy failures in this city, and many more are ex- pected to fail in the course of this and the following month." I am indebted to the same friend for the ¥61- i 2 116 lowing extract of a letter from his Liverpool house, dated 22d of Nov. 1810. "Liverpool, 22 Nov. 1810. " The effects of a vast import of colonial and American pro- duce, far above the scale of our consumption at the most pros- perous periods of our commerce, and attaining a magnitude hitherto unknown to us, have, in the present cramped state of our intercourse with the Continent, developed themselves in numerous bankruptcies, widely spreading in their influence, and unprecedented in extent of embarrassment ; it is but fair, however, to ascribe a portion of these evils to the con- sequences of a sanguine indulgence of enterprise in extensive shipments of our manufactures to South America, which so confidently followed the expedition to La Plata, and the re- moval of the government of Portugal to Brazil : they are further aided by the speculations which prevailed during the various stages of the American non-intercourse, and which, unfortunately, were not confined to the duration of the circum- stances which excited them. In the struggle to support them- selves, the speculators have had recourse to new and extensive engagements in the face of probabilities and facts too incon- trovertible to have been slighted, until the united action of the accumulating imports, and the want of an adequate vent, have overwhelmed them. The event only can enable us fully to ap- preciate the effects of this imprudence, which more than any preceding defalcations have involved the mercantile character of our country, and destroyed confidence in a degree that will require a long period of prosperous circumstances to retrieve." I have been the more minute in dwelling upon the commercial history of that period for the following reasons : It exemplifies in the fullest manner the causes 117 of the great fluctuations in the quantity of private paper. It proves that the largest addition ever made within so short a time to the amount of the Bank of England issues* was insufficient to re- place fully the amount of private paper de- stroyed within the same period : for, on a refer- ence to the price of gold and to the state of the foreign exchanges, it will be seen that the former fell from 4/. lis. which it had been at in May, 1809, to 4/. 4s. 6d. in Nov. 1810; and the exchange on Hamburg rose from 28s. Gd. in Nov. 1809, to 3ls.9d. in Sept. 1810. It negatives the assumed progressive advance of prices, from the supposed effect of the Bank restriction in depreciating the value of money in a degree much beyond the difference between paper and gold; and suggests adequate and in- telligible causes for the great variations in price, which occurred in the interval between the close of 1807 and beginning of 1811. It proves the total want of foundation for the assertions and inferences contained in the fol- lowing passage in the article in the review from which I have so often quoted : " We know that when the commerce of a country is in a high degree of prosperity, the balance of payments is in favour of that country ; and this balance is, in the regular * Sec page o9. 118 state of the currency, indicated by a rise in the exchange. Now it is undeniable that, during the greater part of that period of which we are treating, the trade of the country was in a state of unexampled prosperity. Never were our manufactures more active, nor our shipping more employed. It is needless to dwell upon a fact so notorious. Yet during the whole of that period the exchanges were nominally unfavourable. In 1810 the depression was so great as to indicate a loss of twenty-five per cent, or more with Hamburg. Yet no check had been given to our commerce. On the contrary, the only complaint heard was of the practice of over -trading, encouraged by the extraordinary profits realised in almost every branch of trade." Such opinions are not confined to the writer of that article ; they prevail pretty generally among persons who are not in business, or who, if in business, are not old enough to have had any direct experience of the vicissitudes at- tending the period referred to. And as in those tremendous fluctuations so large a num- ber of commercial establishments were swept away, without leaving a trace of their having existed, the proportion of individuals, who were interested in, and who have survived, that cri- tical period, is probably very small compared with those who only know as a matter of general notoriety, that a high range of prices prevailed 119 about the time referred to, and who have no idea of high prices, but as a sign of prosperity. It may, perhaps, be worth while to remark that it was about the time when the distresses of 1810 were beginning to manifest themselves, that the Bullion Committee, which was ap- pointed in the spring of that year, made its re- port : and I well remember that among those who were suffering at that period, it was no uncommon thing (more especially with such persons as were advocates for an unlimited paper currency) to ascribe the whole of the fall of prices, and the consequent distress, to the doctrines and recommendations contained in that report. They little thought how innocent the report was of the effects imputed to it ; for, in fact, as has been already stated, the Bank enlarged its issues at that precise period very considerably, without any apparent reference, or rather deference, to the sound and unanswer- able reasonings contained iu that luminous pro- duction. The recoil of prices of agricultural produce which took place in the summer of 1810, as a consequence of the favourable weather which prevailed during the getting in of the harvest, was of very short duration. The wheat was got in in good condition, and being brought quickly to market, at the same time that a large importation was pouring in, the fall of 120 price was rapid, and those who had speculated on the previous bad weather were severe suf- ferers, and many corn-dealers, among others, were ruined; a circumstance which contributed, with the others which I have noticed, to con- tract the issue of paper. But in the following winter it was discovered that the wheat had not escaped injury from the unfavourableness of the early part of the season, and that it was below an average produce ; insomuch that, notwithstanding a large importation, the total stock for sale was not more than adequate, at comparatively high prices, to meet the con- tingencies of a new harvest. The hay crops, too, proved deficient in an extraordinary de- gree ; which contributed to keep up the price of cattle. And, as in the following year, viz. 1811, there was a great failure of the wheat crop, the prices of agricultural produce gene- rally resumed a tendency upwards; and the in- terval of depression in the latter part of 1810 was so short and so partial, that it had no in- fluence upon rents or upon the value of land. It is not to be wondered at, therefore, if the agricultural interest is considered as having pro- ceeded in a course of prosperity unchecked by the events which were so severely felt by the mercantile and manufacturing interests, during the period referred tp. 121 SECTION IX. Fluctuation of Prices and of the Amount of Private Paper from 1811 to 1816. The suffering state of commerce did not con- tinue, however, in the same degree of intensity beyond the spring of 1811, when it seems to have reached its height. At that time, as we have seen, it attracted the notice and interference of Parliament. An act was passed in April, 1811, granting a sum, not exceeding six millions of Exchequer bills, to be advanced by commissioners to the dis- tressed merchants and manufacturers, by way of loan on adequate security. This measure, in consequence of which, however, not more than two millions were eventually advanced, was then, as it probably is still, supposed to have arrested the tendency to depression, and to have contributed to the subsequent revival of trade. In that opinion I did not and do not participate. If the causes of abundance of commodities at home and our exclusion from foreign ports had continued, there would have been no ground for a rise of prices : and if 122 prices had not risen, the parties who borrowed the Exchequer bills would have been injured instead of benefited by the facility of holding their goods so much longer; as they would thereby have incurred loss of interest, ware- house rent, and other expenses, and must at last have submitted to the same, if not to lower, prices than they might originally have obtained. But whether the measure was or was not calcu- lated to do the good intended, I believe that it did not come into operation at all, till circum- stances had occurred favourable to a revival of the spirit of speculation, and, consequently, to a removal of the causes of the then existing distress. Those circumstances were, the complete ex- pulsion of the French from Portugal, and the progress of the British army in Spain, which opened nearly the whole Peninsula to a com- mercial intercourse with this country ; the glut of our exports to South America and the West Indies had been carried off by low prices, and a brisk demand had succeeded: the intention of Russia to resist the French was becoming manifest, and an anticipation was confidently entertained of a relaxation of the prohibitions against imports into the Russian ports. The progress of improvement is described in 1<23 the following extracts from the periodical work ■which I have before quoted: Monthly Commercial Report, 1st June, 1811. " The expulsion of the French out of Portugal has once more opened a trade with that country, and, in consequence of it, vast quantities of goods of the manufacture of Great Bri- tain are now shipping for Lisbon and Oporto, among which the manufactures of Manchester, &c. will not be of the least in quantity. Linens, calicos, and woollen cloths, are in great demand in Portugal. " South America. — In our last we stated the trade of this country to be rather brisk, and have the pleasure now to say that every mail from the Brazils confirms it." 1st July, 1811. " Since our last report, the manufactories have revived in a great degree, chiefly owing to large orders for all kinds of woollen, linen, and cotton goods having arrived here for the markets of Portugal and of South America. The goods of Birmingham and Sheffield are also in great demand at these markets. Credit and confidence, we are happy to say, revive, and the towns of Manchester, Nottingham, &c. feel vast benefit from the happy change that has taken place. " The West India Islands are now in want of all kinds of British manufactured goods, as the stock in hand in these islands has been purchased up with avidity for the Spanish settlements. Irish linen, sheeting, &c. render a full profit of twenty per cent, more than the usual profit attached to such speculations : in fine, in spite of all Buonaparte's edicts and restrictions, the commerce of our country flourishes." This improvement, however, as it so imme- diately succeeded to a period of great distress, was not yet marked by such eagerness of spe- culative shipment as had distinguished 1808 and 1809. While our export trade was thus slowly re- covering, there appeared towards the autumn of that year a more marked tendency to a general advance in the prices of agricultural produce and of imported raw materials. The harvest in this country had turned out unpro- ductive, in an extraordinary degree j and the same cause of deficiency seems to have ex- tended over the greater part of Europe. There was therefore very little prospect of relief by importation, more especially as the expenses of freight and insurance continued as high as ever. Very high prices of almost all descriptions of agricultural produce were the consequence ; and, as the range of high prices (with an in- terval of depression at the close of 1810, so short as not to have been felt at all by the land- lord, and very little by the farmer) had been of an unusually long continuance, it was hastily concluded, as it unfortunately but too often is, that the causes of that high range were per- manent. This, accordingly, was the period in which rents experienced a great rise, and spe- culations in land became very general. Hence 125 naturally arose the ground, already noticed, for an extension of country bank paper ; and there is no doubt, as well from the reason of the thing as from the best accessible evidence, that the circulation of country paper acquired a great extension and briskness, which by the continued operation of the same general causes (the har- vest of 1812 having proved partially deficient) continued till the summer of 1813. During the same interval, that is from the summer and autumn of 1811, there occurred a renewed scarcity, partly real and partly appre- hended, of many leading articles of importation. In consequence of the discouragement arising from the low prices in this country of 1810 and the beginning of 1811, there was little induce- ment to import in the face of enormous charges; freights and insurances from the continent of Europe continuing as high as ever, so that, with- out an advance of prices here, little or nothing would, in some instances, have been left for prime cost. The stocks, therefore, of wool, silk, cotton*, hemp, flax, tallow, timber, &c. became scanty towards the end of 1811; and * This will appear from the following comparison of the imports into Great Britain : Wool. Silk. Cotton. 1810. .lbs. 10,936,224 lbs. 1,792,206 bags, 561,173 1811.. 4,739,972 622,383 326,231 126 there were grounds at the same time for appre- hending a further scarcity. The preparations by the French for the invasion of Russia gave reason to fear that, however disastrous to the former it might eventually prove, the inter- mediate consequence would be a cutting off of the supplies of naval stores and of other pro- duce ; and as the French spread over Prussia, all shipments from thence became more difficult and hazardous. Our differences with America were then rapidly tending to an open rupture, and the produce of that country naturally par- ticipated in the causes of advance. Thus by far the majority, in point of importance, of im- ported commodities, requisite as raw materials for the supply of our manufactories, and essen- tial for the support of our navy, became, from real and anticipated scarcity, objects of specu- lation ; which, again, naturally gave rise to an extension of mercantile transactions on credit, both with and without the intervention of paper: and this state of comparative scarcity, which formed the basis of the extension of credit and of the circulation of private paper, continued, with only a few variations incidental to pecu- liarities of demand, till different periods in 1813. Articles of export experienced a moderate degree of improvement down to the close of 1812, with the exception of such descriptions 127 as were exclusively or chiefly calculated for the United States — and these of course were much depressed by the war which then broke out. By the retreat of the French from Moscow, not only the ports of Russia were secured from the danger of being again shut against us, but daily tidings were received of other ports in the north of Europe being opened to a trade with this country ; and sanguine expectations were enter- tained that the ports of France itself would, at no remote period, be open to us. The new markets, for such they might then be called, thus presented, and the prospect of more, gave rise to a speculative demand for all the articles really wanted, and for many others which it was anticipated would probably be wanted, by the countries with which we had thus suddenly come into communication. Colonial produce, as it had been most depressed by our previous exclusion from those markets, experienced the greatest and most rapid advance ; but many other articles of export participated in the de- mand which prevailed thenceforward till the spring of 1814, with greater or less intensity, according as the events of the war seemed to hasten or retard a general peace. The con- clusion of the war was then hailed as holding out the prospect of an unlimited consumption, among the inhabitants of the Continent, of the t 128 articles from the use of which they had been so long debarred. The interval, therefore, between the close of 1811 and the beginning of 1814 united once more the conditions on which a great extension of private paper and of transactions on credit has been shown to depend ; and there is con- current testimony that such extension did really take place to a very considerable degree during that interval. But the average circulation of Bank of England notes, from July 1810 to Dec. 1813, experienced no increase, as will appear from the following statement, extracted from the Report of the Lords' Committee, 1819, page 323. " Account of the average amount of Bank of England notes in circulation, including Bank-post bills. 1810 July to December £.24,188,605 1811 January to June 23,471,297 July to December 23,094,046 1812 January to June 23,123,140 July to December 23,351,496 1813 January to June 23,939,693 July to December 24,107,445 Thus again proving that a great rise of prices, and a considerable extension of private paper, might take place without any increase of Bank of England notes. And the fall in prices which took place, dating from different periods of 1813, in agricultural produce, and from the 129 spring and summer of 1814, in nearly all other articles (which fall continued till the close of 1816), accompanied by a great reduction of private paper, and a very large increase of Bank of England notes '*, still further exemplifies the view which I have taken of the main causes on which the sudden growth and diminution of private paper, and the greatest fluctuations in the prices of commodities, depend. It has indeed been very generally supposed, that the fall in prices in this instance, viz. from 1814 to 1816, is sufficiently accounted for by the sudden restoration of peace, and the con- sequent near approach of the termination of the restriction. What effect the peace, or the prospect of it, may have had on prices, independent of the Bank restriction, will be matter of separate in- quiry, when the nature and extent of the in- fluence of war and peace on prices come to be considered. It is sufficient, for the present, to observe, that as far as it was the peace, and the peace only, that affected prices, the alleged alteration of the value of the currency was clear of the charge. And as to the assumed effect of the near prospect, at that period, of the termination of the restriction, there appears to be no ground whatever for the supposition, in- * See page 60. K 130 asmuch as it is now well known that the Bank was not only perfectly passive as to any pre- parations for that event, but that it did not scruple to enlarge its issues throughout 1814 and 1815, and part of 1816, the very interval during which the fall of prices was greatest. I can state, moreover, distinctly of my own ex- perience, on a large scale of sales and purchases at that time, that not a single transaction, that I was concerned in or aware of, was entered into with the slightest reference whatever to the termination of the Bank restriction. The tendency to an improvement of the exchanges and to a decline in the price of gold was looked upon to follow, as a matter of course, the ces- sation of government expenditure abroad, and the great preponderance of our commercial ex- ports, now that the ports of the Continent were opened to us. But, in point of fact, the decline of prices of agricultural produce had begun in 181 2, and a considerable number of imported articles had, in the course of 1813, exhibited a tendency down- wards ; yet all this while the exchanges were falling, and the price of gold rising; thus com- pletely negativing the idea that any speculation on the prospect of a resumption of cash pay- ments operated to occasion that fall of prices. Indeed the fact that the fall in agricultural pro- duce, and in commodities imported from the 131 Continent of Europe, took place in 1812 and 1813, in the face of declining exchanges and a rise in the price of gold, which enhanced the cost of importation, and that exportable produce continued rising in the spring of 1814, in spite of what is usually a disadvantage, viz. a rising exchange and a falling price of gold, might be considered by all, who are not wedded to a system, to be decisive on the question of the supposed connexion between the great fall of prices in 1813 and 1814 and the prospect of the resumption of cash payments. The fall in agricultural produce, which had commenced in the autumn of 1812, became more decided after the harvest of 1813, which proved to be very abundant. It was this decidedly favourable season which developed the full effects of the encouragement that had been held out by the long previous range of high prices to the application of great additional capital to the land. The extent to which that encouragement had operated is stated, by the Committee on the Corn Laws, in 1814 (Report, p. 3.), in the following terms: " It appears to your Committee to be established by all the evidence, that, within the last twenty years, a very rapid and extensive progress has been made in the agriculture of the United Kingdom : that great additional capitals have been skilfully and successfully applied, not only to the improved management of lands alreadv in tillage, but also to the con- K °Z 132 verting of large tracts of inferior pasture into productive arable, and the reclaiming and inclosing of fens, commons, and wastes, which have been brought into a state of regular cultivation." There had not only thus been an increased breadth of land in improved cultivation, but the produce per acre was unusually large. The whole fall, resulting from these causes, will clearly appear by the following extracts from the table of prices in the Appendix : Wheat. Rye. Barley. Oats. s. d. s. d. s. d. s. d. 1812, July 1 140 9 90 77 50 8 1813, Jan. 1 119 10 82 2 64 2 44 3 July 1 116 3 74 2 57 9 42 10 1814, Jan. 1 76 7 47 40 7 27 2 July 1 67 9 41 9 35 25 Here is a fall exceeding fifty per cent, within two years, during which the price of gold* at- * To put the extent of the fall in the value of wheat in a still stronger point of view, it may be worth while to com- pare the quantity of gold which a quarter of wheat would command on the 1st July, 1812, and the 1st Jan. 1814: On the 1st July, 1812, a quarter of wheat, at 140s. 9d. would, with the price of gold at 41. 1 8*. 6d. commaud 1 *43oz. of gold, which, at 3/. 17s. lOfflf. is equal to £5 11 4 On the 1st January, 1814, a quarter of wheat, at 76s. 7d. would, with the price of gold at 5/. 10s. command only # 69oz. of gold, which, at 3/. 17s. lOfd. is equal to £2 13 8 Being a fall of about 51^ per cent. £2 17 8 133 tained the greatest height that it ever reached, and was, on an average, higher than at any preceding or succeeding period. Moreover, while the decline in corn was most rapid, the price of gold was actually rising ; viz. from June, 1813, when gold was at 51. 2s. 6d. to the close of that year, when it got up to 5l. 10s. The fall in commodities imported from the continent of Europe was taking place in pro- portion as the opening of the ports from whence they were shipped diminished some of the ex- penses ; but the fall was at first slow, because the continued hostility of Denmark, and the war with the United States of America, kept freights and insurances at a high rate. Still it was actual or prospective abundance that occa- sioned the tendency to a fall at the close of 1813. This fall in the prices of agricultural produce, and the depression observable in arti- cles of import from the Continent, must have had some effect at that time in diminishing the quantity of country bank notes and of private paper, but that effect may have been compen- sated by the great quantity of mercantile paper and of transactions on credit that must have arisen from the speculations on the indefinite The metallic price of a quarter of wheat, on the 1st Jan. 1814, was 53*. 8d., being lower than it was on the 1st Jan. 1797, when the price was 55*. 9d. 134 demand of the Continent for colonial produce, and other articles of export from this country. The earliest shipments of such exportable commodities as had been bought at the low prices answered of course, and the profits thence arising naturally encouraged the sub- sequent speculation. This speculation, and the consequent over-trading, proceeded to a most extravagant length in the course of 1814. It began, as I have already noticed, with the great reverses of the French in 1812, and went on, with fluctuations, according to the vicissi- tudes of the subsequent military operations, till the peace of Paris, which was the consummation of the views of the speculators ; the ports of France, as well as those of all the rest of Eu- rope, being opened to a direct commercial in- tercourse with this country. It had been usual, in former periods, to consider that colonial pro- duce should rise in war and fall in peace, in consequence of the difference of the charges of importation ; but the period in question was supposed to form an exception to this general rule : it was calculated that the inhabitants of the Continent, having been so long debarred by the anti-commercial decrees of their govern- ments from the enjoyment of sugar and coffee, and of various other descriptions of commo- dities which could then be obtained only from 135 this country, would require a supply, at almost any price, of most of the articles that had been accumulated here during the absence of demand. Proceeding on this supposition, a great number of adventurers, departing from their ordinary pursuits, entered into speculations with an avi- dity similar to that which we have more re- cently witnessed in the speculations in the foreign stock-market, but on a much larger scale. Many retail tradesmen who failed in 1814 and 1815 were, upon a disclosure of their accounts, found to have been concerned in ship- ments of sugar and coffee to the Continent. The contagion spread to the outports ; and it was said that a large proportion of the shop- keepers residing in them, who failed at that time, owed their ruin to having been tempted into speculations of the kind which I have de- scribed. In short, the spirit of over-trading in that extensive class of commodities reached the utmost pitch that had ever been witnessed here, as may be judged by a comparison of the prices of the following articles in the years 181 1, 1812, 1813, and 1814: 136 H o cr : SO JU L-( ffi p s 5 c a a 2 -f£- e a> o CTq 13 CfQ P T) S TBI : • o- i pa P P o NOP o ,W w — ^IO»©«©»fck or, ©©©©©©&« a a" OUU to ©U)©©©©©tc03^. — w©t> I— • ►— I— I _K-K-^-H-^, © GO GO CO OO Oi © © KI- ND ©•— ©©©©©C0t04i. — C0©t"*» *•*''*•* <—• a- £t ©l-'C0^3i-'©H-'Oi©©©©«0- © to >— to © © to © © >— 5° tO©© Ji. C0©O©OO>t0©©©©©©S« to r - O rf*. co©©©co©too©©©©©a, to — ©OOCs .£> ©Oi©©©©©05Cn*vjtot^ c ^N, m go *>. »i| "O^-abOMbsa^cooo? 1 ©©© lO GO©OJ©©".©©©©©©SL CO 4~ 137 A reverse, from speculations so entered into and conducted, was inevitable ; the shippers found to their cost, when it was too late, that the effective demand on the Continent for colo- nial produce and British manufactures had been greatly over-rated ; for whatever might be the desire of the foreign consumers to possess arti- cles so long out of their reach, they were limited in their means of purchase; and accordingly the bulk of the commodities exported brought very inadequate returns. The low prices, which alone the consumers abroad were able to pay, were still further reduced in value by the ad- vance in our exchanges, which was accelerated by the very extent of those shipments. And it is a well known fact, that the losses upon a great proportion of the goods shipped to the Continent in the spring and summer of 1814. were very great ; not less, I have reason to be- lieve from what I heard at that time of the result of many of them, than 50 per cent. In some few instances, by rare good fortune, there might be a gain, but in as many there was a total loss. Cases of more aggravated loss oc- curred where the shippers, unwilling to incur so heavy a sacrifice as would be entailed by re- mittances at an exchange becoming daily more unfavourable for them, were induced to receive returns in goods which, from this and other 188 causes, coming in excessive quantities, could not be sold here within 30, 40, and sometimes 50 per cent, of the cost ; a process by which, including loss of interest, it may easily be con- ceived that the whole value of the original in- vestment might be nearly absorbed. The dis- astrous effects of these ill-judged and extrava- gantly extensive speculations began to manifest themselves in the numerous failures which took place towards the close of 1814; these conti- nued increasing in number, as the several losses were ascertained, through 1815 and the early part of 1816. While so much private paper was in the course of being annihilated, and so great a re- duction was going forward in transactions on credit, in consequence of the disasters attend- ing the export trade ; a similar process, which had begun somewhat sooner, was in progress in the trade of imports from the Continent, and above all, in the inland trade connected with the markets of our own agricultural produce. The decline of prices and the consequent losses in this last, which is the most important of all the branches of industry, had already, towards the close of 1813 and in the early part of 1814, occasioned the failure of several country banks; the number of commissions against which in 1814 amounted to twenty-nine; in this number 139 would probably be included those banks that had suspended payment towards the close of 1813. Through 1815 and a great part of 18 16 all the causes calculated to diminish the amount of private paper came once more into combined operation; and there can be no doubt that a vast reduction did take place in the amount of country bank notes, of mercantile bills, and of transactions on credit without the intervention of paper. Jn this case as in the former period (viz. 1810 and 1811), the proximate causes of the great destruction of private paper were a fall of prices from abundance, and a reaction from speculative shipments and general over- trading ; the remote causes were, those which constituted the grounds for the speculations and over-trading, viz. scarcity, actual or appre- hended, of food and raw materials at home, and new and extraordinary sources of demand for our manufactures and colonial produce abroad. The mere abstraction of these grounds for a rise of prices and for an enlargement of private paper, naturally left both to subside to their proper level ; but as rising prices and expand- ing private paper gave the appearance of pro- sperity, so the inevitable recoil of the one and contraction of the other convey the impression 140 of gloom, and are certainly attended with con- siderable suffering. These alternations having occurred on so ter- rific a scale in the interval that elapsed between the close of 1807 and 1816, I may, perhaps, be excused for dwelling somewhat longer upon them. It has appeared that that interval ex- hibited two distinct periods of rise and fall of prices, of growth and diminution of private paper, viz. from 1807 to 1811, and again from 1811 to ]8l6; and that the causes operating in both were similar in kind. But they differed in degree and duration, particularly as applied to agricultural produce ; and an explanation of the circumstances in which they differed may still further elucidate and confirm the reasoning by which I have endeavoured to account for the fluctuations which so preeminently marked the whole interval. Of articles of importation for home consump- tion, whether as food or as raw materials, the fall of prices in 1810 and 1811 was in some cases not so low as to the level from which they had recently risen, and in but few was it lower. The charges of conveyance of such bulky com- modities continuing as high as ever and in some instances higher, (as the hostility of Sweden then completed our exclusion from direct inter- 141 course with the north of Europe, and our dis- putes with the United States tended evidently to a rupture) it was clear that the importation must quickly fall off, which it accordingly did. Thus, although there was abundance as to the actual stock on hand, there was every appear- ance of an eventual recurrence of scarcity. It must be observed further, that as the high prices in 1808 and 1809 had been the condition sine qua non of a relief from scarcity by diminished consumption and by importation ; so the low prices of 1810 and part of 1811 were necessary to carry off the immediate redundance, and to deter importation to the same extent; but the lowest level requisite for that purpose was higher than in the period previous to 1807 by all the difference of the charges of importation in the two periods. As soon, therefore, as the immediate glut was worn off, there was a re- newed tendency to speculation upon reduced stocks and eventual scarcity. The fall which took place in wheat upon the large importation of 1810, coinciding with the fine weather which prevailed during the harvest of that year, was much less in degree and dura- tion than was the case in other commodities, because the actual quantity was soon found to be less than had been estimated, inasmuch as our own crops were ascertained to be deficient 142 in a greater degree than could be compensated by the importation of that year, large as it was. And the still greater failure of the crops in this country in 1811 coinciding with a similar failure in other parts of Europe, gave a more decided impulse to a renewed range of high prices, which lasted more or less till the summer of 1813. Thus, the interval of depression from actual or supposed abundance was only mo- mentary; and there was immediately afterwards a constant and quick succession of grounds for speculating on, actual or contingent scarcity. But after the harvest of 1813 till that of 181 6 the fall was nearly uninterrupted, because, at every step of it, the effect of actual was aggra- vated by that of still greater contingent abun- dance. In 1814 there was an importation of corn at greatly reduced charges of conveyance, and the large produce of our own crops again in 1815 was more than sufficient to counteract any chance of improvement from the monopoly granted by the corn bill in that year. It is obvious, therefore, why, without any reference to the prospective alterations in the system of our currency as the cause, the failures of country banks were so much more numerous upon the relapse of prices between 1813 and 1816 than in 1810. But, if the recoil of prices of agricultural produce in 1810, and of many 143 other commodities, was not of long duration, and did not proceed below the relatively high level from whence they had risen in the two preceding- years ; there was a large class of commodities which, having risen but little in 1808 and 1809, fell in 1810 and 1811 to a lower level than they had ever been at before, and continued depressed for a greater length of time. This remark may apply, probably, to some branches of manufac- tures, to those more especially which depended on a demand for the supply of the United States of America, and which were, consequently, very much depressed by the war with those states ; but I now allude to colonial produce, and par- ticularly to coffee and sugar. The depression of coffee, for nearly two years, was not only below what it had ever before been at, but much lower than it has ever been since ; and sugar was, for some kinds, at least, lower then than it is even at present. Now, if from the prices of that period (viz. 1810-11) be deducted, first, the difference between paper and gold, and then the difference of freight and insurance compared with the pre- sent period, some idea may be formed of the intensity of suffering w T hich must have prevailed amongst the parties concerned in producing and importing such commodities. The reverses in 1810 and 1811, from over-trading and hazardous 144 exports, probably exceeded in amount those which occurred from 1814 to 1816. On a comparison of the two periods, my im- pression is, that the mercantile losses and the consequent destruction of mercantile paper, as well as of confidence in transactions on credit, were, if any thing, greater in the first than in the second ; while, on the other hand, the fall of prices of agricultural produce was so much greater and longer continued, and the conse- quent loss of farmers, landlords, and of all per- sons connected with them so extensive, in the period between 1813 and 1816, as to sink into utter insignificance the reverses experienced by the corn trade in 1810. A comparison of the number of commissions of bankruptcy issued in the respective periods, distinguishing those against country bankers, tends to confirm this impression ; for it will be observed that the commissions against country bankers in 1810, 1811, and 1812, were little more than half of those in 1814, 1815, and 1816, while the total number of bankruptcies was greater in the for- mer than in the latter period. 145 Total number of Commissions against commissions. bankers. 1810 j 1811 v . . 7042 47 1812 S 1814 1514 * 1815 > 1816 * 6627 92 On a survey of the whole of these fluctua- tions from 1807 to 1816, conceiving, as I do, that the commercial reverses between the sum- mer of 1814 and that of 1816 were the inevita- ble consequence of the speculations and over- trading of the two preceding years, as also that the still greater reverses of 1810 and 1811 might clearly be traced to the high prices and over- trading of 1808 and 1809, I have no hesitation in declaring my firm belief that the whole of that period was productive of a preponderance of suffering and calamity to the commercial in- terests of this country. The state of high ex- citement produced by the rapid transitions of political events — the great and feverish activity of adventurers to elude prohibitory decrees, and to avail themselves of unexpected openings — the extraordinary alternation of scarcity and abundance of all kinds of commodities — the spirit of enterprise displayed in the under- takings of fire-offices, docks, canals, and bridges 146 — -the extensive employment of shipping, as transports, at however great a national expense — the high prizes held out where the blanks, however, were in disproportionate number — the splendor of the military achievements which terminated the war — all contribute to cast a glare over the retrospect resembling the sun- shine of prosperity. But, confining my observations to the state of commerce, I am satisfied that those who min- gled in the scenes, and who were not blinded to all that surrounded them by too intent a pursuit of their own immediate objects, will bear witness with me to the long intervals of gloom — to the sudden changes from the reputation of fortunes rapidly acquired, to bankruptcy and ruin — to the extreme depression of our manu- facturers in 1810, 1811, and 1812— to the de- struction, or, at least, suspension from business, of a great majority of the old establishments connected with the ports of the continent of Europe, and of the United States of America, which were shut against us by the events of the war — to the confiscations of British pro- perty in consequence of the French decrees — to the immense losses of the underwriters in 1810 and again in 1814— to the recoil which, even previous to 1814, had begun to take place in the value of fire-office, canal, dock, and bridge 147 shares — to the depreciation necessarily inci- dental on a peace to the shipping, and to the foreign establishments dependant for their value on a continuance of the war — and they cannot, I think, avoid coming to the conclusion, that the gloom of adversity really prevailed under that appearance of splendor which deluded the superficial or distant observer. A reference to the list of bankrupts for the last thirty years, and a comparison ofthe annual average number from 1810 to 1816, with that of the preceding and succeeding period *, will go far to bear out this assertion ; and if it be considered that the num- ber of private compositions to that of bankrupt- cies is in the proportion of probably not less than four to one — if further, the number of in- dividuals involved by loss of situation or pro- perty in every failure be included in the view, some, though I suspect a very inadequate idea may be formed of the extent of suffering that attended the splendid but unsound state of com- merce that prevailed during those years. What, it may be asked, do I mean to say that the * Average annual number of bankrupts — For seven years ending 1809 • • 1272 For seven years ending 1816 . • 2231 For six years ending 1822 . . . 1397 For the year 1822, the number was only 1094. — For the whole series, see Appendix. L 2 148 country did not advance in wealth during the period in question ? By no means. The country did, I am persuaded, advance in wealth and in population, in spite of the great fluctuations of prices, and of the precarious, -and, in the ma- jority of cases, disastrous state of commerce. I am equally convinced, that an accumulation of capital has been going forward, still more ra- pidly since that time, notwithstanding, what J I am ready to admit and deplore, the suffering state of the agricultural interest. 149 SECTION X. Fluctuation of Prices and of the Amount of private Paper, from 1816 to the passing of Mr. Peel's Bill. If I have succeeded in giving a satisfactory- solution of the causes of the great fluctuations of price, and of the corresponding expansion and contraction of private paper and credit which occurred in so remarkable a degree from 1807 to 18 16, it may still be a question how far the same mode of reasoning, the same ge- neral rule derived from observation, will serve to account for the elevation of prices and the renewed extension of private paper which oc- curred between the autumn of 18 16 and that of 1818, and for the subsequent continued decline of prices and contraction of private paper. I have already pointed out how little coincidence there was in the preceding interval, between the increase or decrease in the amount of Bank of England notes, and that of private paper, and have, moreover, remarked that the most striking instances of a great rise of general prices oc- curred without any increase of Bank notes, while, on the other hand, the most memorable instances of a sudden fall took place contem- poraneously with large additions to the Bank 150 circulation. But the advocates for the doctrine which ascribes all or nearly all the fluctuations of price to the Bank restriction, overlook some of the real facts when they insist on instances only of coincidence which seem to suit their purpose of proving the connexion which they assume. Thus the article on currency in the Quarterly Review has the following passage ex- planatory, as the writer doubtless thinks, of the whole process of the rise and fall of prices : " From the year 1810 the price of gold rose considerably, as measured in Bank paper, till the year 1814. In 1811 the bullion committee sat, which recommended in vain the limitation of Bank issues in order to correct this disparity. The Bank increased instead of diminishing its issues till 1816, when, upon a sudden contrac- tion, nearly to the extent of three millions, prices of all kinds fell, and the price of gold again came down nearly to a level with the mint price." Now, according to the hypothesis of this very writer, as the Bank increased instead of di- minishing its issues till 18 16, prices should have risen, or, at any rate, not have fallen till then ; and the context gives reason to infer accord- ingly that prices did not fall till then : for it says, " when (viz. 1816) upon a sudden con- traction, nearly to the extent of three millions, prices of all kinds fell." It so happens, how- 151 ever, that the prices of agricultural produce had begun to fall three years before, and those of other commodities from two to three years before. There was therefore a very great fall between the summer of 1813 and the end of 1815, a period in which, as stated in the fore- going quotation, the Bank increased its issues. But upon what ground the assertion is made of a sudden contraction to the extent of nearly three millions, I am at a loss to conceive, no such fact appearing in any of the accounts that I have seen of the amount of Bank of England notes in circulation. There was a sudden in- crease of notes in the last six months of 1814, while prices were falling rapidly ■, but this in- crease was only in part withdrawn during the two following years ; and the amount still left in circulation in 1816 stood at nearly three millions higher than it had done in 1813, or at any time previous to 1813. Average amount of Bank of England notes in circulation, including Bank Post Bills. January to June, 1813 . . . .£23,939,693 July to December, 1813 24,107,445 January to June, . 1814 25,511,012 July to December, 1814 28,291,832 January to June, . 1815 27,155,824 July to December, 1815 26,618,210 January to June, .1816 26,468,2S3 July to December, 1816 26,681,398 (Report of the Lords' Com. 1819, p. 323.) \5 C > So much for the correctness of the statement in that extract of the precise time and occasion of the fall of prices : but in order to be con- sistent in accounting for the subsequent rise, the writer goes on to say, " The embarrassment caused by this contraction induced the Bank again to extend its issues in the latter end of 1817; the effect of which measure was instantly felt in a correspondingjncrease of prices, so as to prove beyond contradiction the intimate con- nexion between the two things, — a connexion which is, we apprehend, at this time not dis- puted." Here again is a misrepresentation of the facts of the case, inasmuch as this statement would lead to the supposition that the increase of the issues of the Bank of England had preceded the first tendency to an advance in prices ; and that the advance, when it did take place, corre- sponded in degree and duration with the in- creased circulation of Bank notes. In reality, however, the tendency to a general advance in prices had commenced in the last six months of 1 8 16, at which time there was not any increased issue. Wheat had already, by the end of that year, risen 100 per cent.; and as the unfavour- ableness of the season had extended over the greater part of Europe, there was a prospect of a still further advance. 1.53 Average Price of Wheat. s. d. 1st January, 1816 .... 53 7 1st July, 1816 73 8 1st January 1817 .... 104 10 (See Appendix.) Many other important commodities likewise were at that time, although at no decided ad- vance, yet what is technically called looking up. The stocks of importers, dealers, and manu- facturers had become considerably reduced ; and there was beginning to be a general con- fidence that prices had for that period seen their lowest, as the supply of several articles had become evidently below the average con- sumption. What was the cause of this falling off of supply will be the subject of explanation hereafter, when I come to a general statement of prices and quantities : it is sufficient here to state the fact that there was, towards the close of 1816, a scarcity, or evident approach to scarcity, of several leading articles, such as silk, wool, coffee, hemp, tallow, &c.*; and all these were consequently beginning to attract attention. A * Imports into Great Britain. Silk. Wool. Coffee. ■o i Bags and lb. lb. Casks. Barrels. 1815, 1,800,333 14,991,713 48,200 207,900 1816, 1,137,922 8,117,804 34,700 86,100 Hemp. Tallow. Tons. Tons. 36,575 32,061 18,473 20,855 154 general spirit of speculation, although not yet developed, was therefore on the eve of display- ing itself; and while there was this scope for anticipation of an advance of prices at home, there was great encouragement to extended shipments to the United States of America and the East Indies. In 1815 and the early part of 1816 the ex- ports from this country had been made with great forbearance and prudence, because almost every class of merchants was, at that time, suf- fering from the effects of too great eagerness of adventure : this forbearance was, of course, at- tended by a large profit on what had been sent ; and the consequence of the favourable result of shipments on a small scale was, as usual on such occasions, not only that some of the re- gular houses extended their shipments, but that fresh adventurers embarked in them to a con- siderable extent. So many circumstances, combining to the creation of private paper, and to the multiply- ing of transactions on credit, would, I am per- suaded, have been felt in a general advance of prices in 1817> if there had been no increase whatever in the circulation of the Bank of England : and, in fact, corn had already reached a higher price in the first six months of 1817 than it has ever since been at ; and several 155 other articles had also risen by that time, al- though not yet in any considerable degree ; all, however, indicating revived confidence and an increase of transactions. Now, down to July, 18 17, the increase of Bank of England notes was very inconsiderable, viz. about .£700,000 above the average of 1816, but still a million below the average of the correspond- ing six months of 181.4 ; and there was no issue of gold worth mentioning during the first six months of 1817. Will any person, then, con- tinue to maintain that the rise of prices, down to the end of June, 1817, (wheat and several other descriptions of agricultural produce having at that time advanced above a hundred per cent.) corresponded with the addition made within the same period to the circulation of the Bank of England, the rise of prices, moreover, having preceded even this addition ? There is no doubt, however, that this addition, small as it was, proved to be excessive, because it co- incided with circumstances calculated to en- large the circulation of private paper ; and the exchanges, accordingly, as early as the first six months of 1817, manifested a tendency downwards, and the price of gold upwards : and if the Bank directors had not, unfortunately, upon system, disregarded, in the regulation of their issues, the indication by which their pre- 156 decessors, previous to 1797> professed to be guided, they would have been warned to con- tract, instead of enlarging, their issues. But if the increase of about .£700,000 Bank notes in the first six months of 1817 was excessive, under the circumstances described, what is to be said for the prudence or propriety of the further increase which took place to the extent of near two millions on the average of the following six months, when all the cir- cumstances tending to make the former amount excessive were in full operation? — when, by a simultaneous issue of gold, the circulation was still further, although for a moment only, enlarged ? Such an enlargement of the basis of the currency, cooperating with the causes fa- vouring the extension of country bank notes and private paper generally, tended certainly to ac- celerate the rise of prices of such articles as were in a relative degree of scarcity, and to promote the spirit of speculation and over-trading ¥ . * It may, on a cursory glance, be matter of surprise, that the enlargement of our circulation, from these concurrent causes, did not diminish the value of it, relatively to other countries, in a greater degree than was indicated by the fall of the exchanges in 1817 and 1818. But the wonder will probably cease, when it is considered that the scarcity of corn and of many other commodities, in 1816 and part of 1817, was felt through the greater part of Europe, and that the spirit of speculation, thus roused, extended itself among the chief com- 157 Several articles that had been the objects of speculation reached their utmost elevation by the close of 18 \J : some others being still scarce, or supposed to be so, relatively to an increased consumption, continued to advance till August and September, 1818. There was, accordingly, down to that period, a consider- able briskness of circulation, and a frequency of transactions on credit ; and, in general, the spirit of speculation, having been so fully excited, did not immediately subside with the cessation of the original impulse : that spirit had likewise been kept alive, with reference to agricultural produce, by the extraordinary character of the weather in the summer of 1818. It must be within the recollection of most of my readers mercial towns of the continent of Europe, and of the United States of America. The great spirit of adventure, too, in shipments to the East and West Indies was not confined to the merchants of this country. And, accordingly, there was an augmented circulation of mercantile paper and of trans- actions on credit in other countries as well as in this. The same causes which have contracted the circulation of mercantile paper here are well known to have operated in pro- ducing a similar effect abroad. And, in general, I would ob- serve, that the phenomena connected with the periodical en- largement and contraction of mercantile bills and credit in the principal places of the commercial world admit of being ac- counted for on principles analogous to those, which I have applied to the explanation of the great variations which have occurred in this country. 158 that a drought of four months prevailed from May to September, and apprehensions were, in consequence, entertained of stunted crops of every kind of vegetation. Hay got up to eight pounds per load ; beans, turnips, and potatoes, were supposed to have totally failed j large orders were sent, and ships chartered, to fetch beans from the Mediterranean ; oil-cakes were in such demand, that linseed advanced consi- derably; and the crops of corn, though healthy, were expected to yield below an average pro- duce. It was on the ground of these anticipa- tions of scarcity, that British corn was bought freely on speculation, and that many farmers were induced to hold back their stocks : many persons, likewise, importers as well as dealers and farmers, reasoned erroneously on the opera- tion of the corn-laws, and supposed that when once the ports were shut, having the monopoly of the home market, they would be secure of obtaining, at worst, within a trifle of the open- ing prices. Hence, the price was prevented from falling sufficiently to shut the ports till the February following, and there was a large importation of corn from the Baltic in 1818. But the result of the harvest disappointed these anticipations : the drought had not ex- tended to Ireland, nor to Scotland, nor indeed much to the north of the Trent, in England ; 159 and even in those parts where the drought had prevailed, the quality and condition of the corn were generally good enough to compensate, in some measure, for the shortness of the straw: the autumn, too, turned out singularly genial for the recovery of the pastures, and was fol- lowed by a mild open winter. I have been thus particular in a description of the season of 1818 (which, in strictness, would come more properly into a subsequent part of this work), because the extent and variety of miscalculations upon particular descriptions of produce were greater than I have ever known : and the effect of those miscalculations on prices was very considerable while they lasted. All these circumstances, both as affecting agricul- tural produce, and other commodities, were cal- culated to keep up, if not to extend, the amount of private paper, and of transactions on credit, till an advanced period in 1818. By the autumn, however, all speculations on scarcity, for that season, had ceased, and prices assumed slowly that tendency downwards which, with a few in- termediate abortive speculations upon the pre- cariousness of subsequent seasons, has continued till within these few weeks. At the same time, with the cessation of apprehensions of scarcity of our own agricultural produce, there was a general increase in the stock of imported com- 160 modities : the rise of price of a large proportion of them had taken place in the year before, and sufficient time had therefore elapsed to admit of the encouragement thus held out, being fol- lowed by a greatly enlarged importation in the autumn of 1818. And while European, Ame- rican, and West Indian produce (coffee ex- cepted) were thus coming forward in abun- dance, unusually large supplies of cotton and sugar were poured in from the East Indies. It is material to bear in mind that, by the convergence of all these channels, a general abundance was restored by the autumn of 1818 ; and, what was perhaps of fully as much in- fluence on the eventual course of prices, it was discovered that many of the sources of supply could furnish a much larger quantity upon the slightest additional encouragement. There was, therefore, not only the full weight of actual abundance on the markets, but there was the further depressing effect of contingent, and al- most indefinite, abundance. The death-blow, accordingly, was given to the range of high prices as early as between July and October, 1818: and I have dwelt the more at large upon the circumstances leading to this point, because, in as far as the restoration of abundance was an adequate cause for a fall of prices to the full extent to which they were eventually depressed, 161 it negatives the assumption of a connexion be- tween that fall of prices and the prospect of the near termination of the Bank restriction. That prospect was certainly no ingredient in the fall of any of the commodities that I was practically concerned in at that time ; nor is it probable that it should have been : for, with the excep- tion of a few individuals, advocates of the paper system, who, it afterwards appeared, had some private interviews with ministers to deprecate the resumption of cash payments, the public generally, or at least the mercantile public, seemed to attach little importance to the sub- ject. I am alluding to the autumn of 1818: the case was different in the spring of 1819. The fall of prices having then become manifest, the tocsin of alarm which was sounded by the advocates of the paper system, brought forward in support of it all those who were suffering, or expected to suffer, from that fall, and who were ready in perfect good faith to attribute to an alteration in the currency what was the con- sequence of their own miscalculation of pro- bable supplies. In truth, what need of resort- ing to the supposed agency of an occult and dis- puted cause, when there existed one plain, pal- pable, and irresistible, as relating to the com- modities which experienced soon after that time the most decided fall, viz. a great and over- M 162 whelming increase of quantity. Take the fol- lowing, among several other instances : — Imports into Great Britain. Silk. Wool. Cotton. 1816. lbs. 1,137,922 8,117,864 bales 370,000 1817. — 1,177,693 14,715,843 — 477,160 1818. — 2,101,618 26,405,486 — 665,300 Hemp. Tallow. Linseed. 1816. tons 18,473 tons 20,855 qrs. 70,892 1817. — 22,863 — 19,193 — 162,759 1818. — 33,020 — 27,011 — 237,141 Now can any body, acquainted with the course of markets, hesitate for a moment to pronounce what must be the effect of such an excess of supply? and what indeed can be more legitimate or simple than the inference, that if the scantiness of supply in 1816 and 1817 was a sufficient ground for a considerable advance, the restoration of abundance would fully ac- count for the fall ? It is well known, however, that the resistance to a change, whether from a low to a high, or from a high to a low range of prices, is at first very considerable, and that there is generally a pause of greater or less duration before the turn becomes manifest ; in the interval, while sales are difficult or imprac- ticable, unless at a difference in price, which 163 the buyer, in the one case, and the seller, in the other, are not yet prepared to submit to, the quotations are regulated by the last trans- actions, but are said to be, and are, in fact, no- minal. A struggle of this kind prevailed more or less, according as the articles were in greater or less abundance, through the autumn, and into the winter of 1818-19, when many articles which had become unsaleable from excess were still quoted at nearly as high prices as they had attained at any time in 1 8 1 8 . I mention this, in order to point out the disingenuousness, or igno- rance, which has induced some of the opponents of Mr. Peel's bill to bring forward price currents of February 1819 (being the time when the committees of inquiry into the state of the cur- rency were appointed) for the purpose of con- trasting the quotations of that date with those of the present time. But leaving such reason- ings and such proofs to the fate they deserve, I have to remark, that the process by which pri- vate paper and transactions on credit are dimi- nished came once more into operation at the close of 1 8 1 8 and beginning of 1 8 1 9. The most extensive failures commenced in the cotton trade, being that in which the excess was first and most decidedly felt, and which was on the largest scale in point of amount. Importers, speculators, and manufacturers, were success- M 2 164 ively mined by having embarked too largely upon the anticipation of the maintenance of the former range of high prices. Similar disasters followed in several other branches of trade; and these reverses, and the consequent distress, were not confined to this country: indeed, it may be of importance to observe, that extensive failures at Paris, Amsterdam, and Hamburg, and other places on the Continent, in several in- stances, preceded the disasters which were felt here. The fall in the prices of agricultural produce was more slow than in 1815 and 18 16, as it was from a lower range, and consequently the failures of country banks were not so sudden or extensive, nor the contraction of their notes so immediate ; but still the tendency to a dimi- nution of their issues must have been felt early in 1819. At the same time that there was so decided a reduction of private paper and credit going forward, as the consequence of renewed abundance of native and imported articles, there were considerable failures connected with a re- coil from over-trading in shipments to the East and West Indies, and to the United States. This reaction was naturally felt in all the branches of manufacture connected with the articles which had been the objects of speculative export : and here again was a very adequate cause for a great reduction of paper, and of transactions on credit. 165 There was, thus, a combination of all the cir- cumstances requisite to diminish that part of the circulating medium which does not consist of Bank of England notes or coin, and to in- crease the functions of the remaining part by the diminished occurrence of purchases and sales on credit without the intervention of paper. And the fact corresponds with what, from pre- vious reasoning, it ought to be ; for there is no doubt of a very great reduction having taken place since 1818, in the aggregate of private paper, and of transactions on credit. The con- tinuation of the same circumstances, viz. abun- dance, or, at least, adequateness of supply, pre- cluding any exercise to the spirit of specula- tion, and the absence of any new inducement for over-trading on an extensive scale, fully ac- counts for the confinement of credit to the ac- customed channels of trade; credit in those channels being necessary for the proper distri- bution of commodities from the producers and importers to the consumers. In this state of things, there is less competition of borrowers, and consequently a reduction of the rate of in- terest ; the reduced rate of interest again tend- ing to diminish the cost of production, and thus being a fresh element of cheapness. It is perfectly clear, therefore, that by the conjoint operation of these causes, the restoration of the 166 value of the currency was inevitable, unless, in- deed, which was hardly probable, an overwhelm- ing and unprecedented increase in its issues were purposely resorted to by the Bank of England. To prove that these causes were amply sufficient to occasion a restoration of the value of the cir- culation without any contraction of the basis of the currency, it is only necessary to refer to the declaration of the governor of the Bank, who stated, in a court of proprietors, on the 21st March 1822, that " if the Bank had erred, it was not on the side of a reduction of the circulating medium ; for, upon looking at the amount of their issues, he found that on the 9th March 1822, their issues exceeded, by the sum of 3,859,000/. those of the same date in the pre- ceding year (9th March 1821), and that the latter exceeded the issues of the 9th March 1820, by the sum of 3,440,000/. It was, there- fore, quite clear that the repayment of the Go- vernment debt, called for in July 1819, did not induce the Bank to diminish their issues ; for they had been increasing them in the years which had since followed." In answer to a question from a proprietor, the governor added, " that the account of issues from which he had quoted, of course included the sovereigns issued by the Bank." And an ex-Bank director has made a declara- 167 tion to a similar effect in print : " With regard to the effect of Mr. Peel's bill on the Bank of England, I can state, from having been in the direction during the last two years, that it has been altogether a dead letter. It has neither accelerated nor retarded the return to cash payments, except as, by ordering the repayment often millions of Exchequer bills to the Bank, it enabled it to expend those ten millions in the purchase of bullion without in any way cur- tailing its other advances. The directors of the Bank of England, as plain practical men, have pursued plain practicable means, without turning to the right hand or to the left, as con- verts to the new doctrines promulgated by the Bullion Committee, and by so doing have al- ready thrown into general circulation, within the last twelve months, more than eight mil- lions of sovereigns, without having diminished, except in the most trifling degree, the usual average of its notes of five pounds and up- wards." — C Considerations, §c, by S. Turnery Esq. p. 40. J According to these statements, then, the effect of Mr. Peel's bill on the conduct of the Bank was altogether a dead letter ; and I firmly be- lieve it to have been so. So strong, indeed, was the tendency of the causes which I have enumerated to improve the value of the cur- 168 rency, the amount of the basis of it remaining the same, that it would have required a great effort on the part of the Bank, avowedly and of settled purpose to put itself out of condition to fulfil its engagements. Supposing the Bank directors to have been capable of entertaining such a design, which I do not believe, they would hardly have taken the responsibility upon them- selves of carrying it into effect without the sanc- tion of the Legislature. Not only, therefore, was Mr. Peel's bill, in my opinion, wholly in- operative to occasion, or even hasten, the re- storation of the value of Bank paper ; but it would have required, in order to prevent that restoration, a solemn act of parliament for the purpose of debasing the standard. MJ SECTION XL Great Variations in the Amount of private Paper and Credit not exclusively incidental to a Currency whose basis is in- convertible Paper. It may, perhaps, be objected that the great extension of private paper and credit, which I have described as growing out of the tendency, from other causes, to a rise of prices, and as in its turn accelerating the rate and extending the range of that rise, would not have existed at all, or at least not to the same extent, if the Bank restriction had not existed. But a reference to facts will prove that such a growth of private paper and credit is not exclusively incidental to a currency whose basis consists of inconvertible paper ; for, it will appear that not only a cur- rency consisting of coin and convertible bank- paper, but that a currency having a purely metallic basis, without any portion of paper- money, is likewise liable to a superstructure of private paper which, under certain circum- stances, may contribute to a temporary and artificial rise of prices. The conditions essential to the susceptibility 170 of great temporary changes in any country in the value of the currency, independent of any alteration in the value of the basis of that cur- rency, whether convertible paper and coin, or coin only, are — a situation favourable to trans- actions of great commercial extent and import- ance — great activity and enterprise in its in- habitants — and a facility, greater or less, of obtaining credit. For the purpose of illustrating this position, I will refer to instances of great fluctuation in the amount of the circulating medium, by the ex- tension and contraction of private paper and credit. 1. In the case of the United States of America, where the currency consists of coin with a large proportion of paper, which is strictly by law, al- though rather imperfectly in practice, converti- ble into coin. 2. In the case of this country, in which, pre- vious to the Bank restriction, the currency con- sisted of a large proportion of coin with paper perfectly convertible into coin. 3. In the case of Hamburg, where the cur- rency is purely metallic. I need not dwell on the case of America, be- cause I have already had occasion to notice the extensive failures which occurred there, espe- 171 cially in New York, in 1810-11 : and those failures suppose a previous great extension of private paper and credit. In proof of the position as relates to this country, previous to 1797> it might be sufficient to refer, in general terms, to the great failures of banking as well as of mercantile establishments, attended with a great diminution of private paper, which are known to have occurred in 1793*, and from which a great previous exten- sion of paper and of transactions on credit is ne- cessarily to be inferred. But the following state- ment, extracted from the late Mr. Henry Thorn- ton's evidence before the Lords' committee of secrecy on the Bank affairs, in 1797, gives so distinct a view of the large fluctuations in the amount of country bank notes between 1792 and March 1797, and is so illustrative of the point which I have endeavoured to establish, * The following extract from the list of Bankruptcies will place the fact in a striking point of view : Total number Against country of commissions. bankers. 1790 747 1791 769 1 1792 934 1 1793 1956 26 (See Appendix.) 17'2 that I cannot resist the opportunity of insert- ing it. " Will you assign the reason why you state the year 1793 as the time at which the diminution of country bank notes began to take place ? That was the period of very consider- able failures in this country, and especially of the country bankers. — Having been desired to inquire into the state of the paper circulation in the country, I some days ago wrote to about fifteen or sixteen country bankers in different places, with whom I was either acquainted or connected ; and I de- sired them to state to me the comparative amount of their notes payable to bearer on demand, naming particularly to them the period preceding the failures in 1793, and also the period subsequent to it, as well as the present time. " Will you state the result ? — First, I will state by itself the account which I received of the whole circulation of notes at Bristol. The relative quantity circulated at the several periods named was furnished, I believe, by the six Bristol bankers themselves, and I consider it, therefore, as accurate. Assuming the quantity of cash paper, as they call it, or paper for which cash may be demanded, which was circulated in 1792, and previous to the run on all country bankers, to be expressed by the proportion of 10 The amount circulating at midsummer, 1793, and in 1794, taking the average of these six banks, will be nearly as 3^ The amount circulating at midsummer, 1796, to Jan. 1797, will be nearly as 5 A The amount circulating since Feb. 1797, (being the period of the stoppage of the cash payments of the Bank of England), will be nearly as . . . . 3-&r According to such rough estimate as I am able to form, the amount in value of the Bris- tol notes for which cash might be demanded, 173 circulating on the first of these periods, may have been about =£360,000 sterl. In the second period .... 140,000 In the third period .... 220,000 In the fourth period, which reaches nearly t o the present day (31st March) . . 130,000 The following may be depended on as a pretty accurate account of the notes to bearer on demand, circulated at nearly the same period by a considerable Newcastle bank be- fore 1793, about . . . £160,000 to 180,000 Some time after 1793 the circulation of this house increased, one of the Newcastle houses leaving off business, to about . . 200,000 Before the stoppage of the cash payments of the Bank, the circulation was reduced to 110,000 Since that time it has been about . . 80,000 I am informed by a considerable bank in the county of Devon, that according to the best opinion they can form, the quantity of Bankers' notes payable on demand to bearer, issued in their county, may have been in 1 792 ,£120,000 That in 1793 the difficulties of the times reduced that sum almost to nothing, but that it soon increased to perhaps about . . 60,000 And continued at about that sum until after the stoppage of the cash payments of the Bank, when it fell to the amount at which it now stands, of about .... 20,000 I have obtained information on nearly the same points from other banks in a variety of parts, viz. Ashburton, Carlisle, Exeter, Hinckley, Lichfield, Scarborough, Sleaford, Stamford, Stockton, Tiverton, and Woodbridge : each of these issue or- dinarily notes to bearer on demand, though the quantity is- sued by several of them is never considerable. I have en- deavoured to compute the relative average quantity of notes 174 payable on demand, and issued by all these banks, at the four different periods I before named, and I conceive that, supposing the amount issued by them all before ] 793 to be as . 90 The amount for the same time after 1793, will be about as . ....... 63 The amount before the stoppage of the cash pay- ments at the Bank, about . . . . .78 And since that time about . . . . .40 What occurred at Hamburg at the close of the last century is a proof that even a purely me- tallic currency admits of a large superstructure of private paper and credit, which may be sub- ject to sudden contraction and extinction. The bank of that city presents an example of the most correct regulation of a metallic standard that has hitherto been known; there is no paper whatever current as money, yet, under circum- stances favourable to speculation, there was a very great increase of its general circulation, through the medium of private paper and of transactions on credit in the years 1797 and 1798. Hamburg then enjoyed, in consequence of the occupation of Holland by the French, the advantage of being the chief port through which the interior of Germany and the countries adjacent could be supplied with the commodities of which they stood in need, from this country and from America: and, as there happened, during the greater part of the period to which I am referring, viz. 1797 and 1798, to be a 175 scanty supply of imported commodities, espe- cially of colonial produce, and an increased de- mand for immediate consumption, a speculation arose which was carried on to a considerable extent, and maintained, in great part, by a cir- culation of paper ; prices of colonial produce were driven up immoderately, and those who had embarked earliest appeared to be making large fortunes, and were thus, for a time, in high credit. But, as usual in such cases, the consumption of the commodities which had been the objects of speculation was reduced by the advanced cost, and, consequently proved much less than had been anticipated, while the supplies were much larger. The inevitable re- sult was a destruction of the paper which had been created there, and which had extended it- self, along with the speculation, to other towns of Germany, and some in Holland. These, therefore, participated in the reaction. The number of houses that failed at Hamburg be- tween August and November, 1799, was eighty- two, and the amount of their engagements up- wards of 29,500,000 banco marks, or about c£ 2,500,000 sterling. The rate of discount rose during that interval to 15 per cent. A con- temporary description of the distress which was felt there is contained in the following com- 176 mercial report, extracted from the periodical work to which I have before referred. 1st November, 1799. n The embarrassments of the merchants at Hamburg have increased to an alarming degree, and during the whole month of October every mail that has arrived has added several names to the unfortunate list of houses which have stopped payment in that city, where there are scarcely any persons in the mercantile line, whatever may be their wealth and con- nexions, who have not experienced considerable difficulties, while the effects thereof have extended to Bremen, Frankfort, Amsterdam, and many other of the principal trading towns on the continent." I might mention other instances, such as the failures at Paris and in other parts of the con- tinent, at the close of 1818. Now failures sup- pose the use of credit ; and the use of credit, in as far as it extends in any degree beyond the accustomed channels of trade, must produce a temporary advance in the price of the articles to which it is applied. 177 SECTION XII. Reasons for thinking that the State of Prices during the Bank Restriction does not warrant the Presumption of any dimi- nished Value of the precious Metals. From the historical sketch which I have drawn of the period from 1807 to the passing of Mr. Peel's Bill, it must be observed, that the circum- stances connected with supply and demand were so extraordinary, that they must, in any state of the currency, have been attended with a pro- digious effect on prices, and on the amount of private paper and credit. The causes to which I have alluded account for so great a proportion of the rise observable at particular times in that interval as to leave, certainly, nothing more to be ascribed to the currency than so much as is marked by the difference between paper and gold. That difference must, no doubt, be con- sidered as the criterion and measure of depre- ciation of Bank notes, according to any intel- ligible definition of the value of paper purport- ing to be payable on demand ; because, if they had actually been convertible, there must have been a contraction of the basis of the circula- 178 tion sufficient to have raised the exchanges, and to have brought down the market to the mint price of gold. I am so far from thinking that there is any reason to infer a diminished value of the precious metals during the prevalence of the highest prices, between 1808 and 1814, compared with the period anterior to it, or rather anterior to 1797, and subsequent to 1819, that the fact of prices not having been at a higher range in consequence of the scarcity arising from the seasons, combined with the unprecedented ob- structions to importation, appears to me to af- ford strong grounds of presumption that the increased functions or demand for gold and silver, for the purposes of war and hoarding, and of supplying the place of diminished cir- culation of bills of exchange on the continent, must have exhanced their value in a somewhat greater degree than could be counterbalanced by the quantity spared from the circulation of this country. The opinion of Mr. Say is so far at least in favour of this view, that he refers to certain critical periods when gold was in great demand, and he distinctly denies that there was any diminution of the value of the metals in France during the war, or any enhancement since the peace, as a consequence of the altera- tions in our currency. In his letter to Mr. 179 James, (which appeared in the Morning Chro- nicle on the 21st of August last, and which is likewise inserted in the Appendix to Mr. Wes- tern's last pamphlet), he says — " You address to me several questions, of which the prin- cipal is, to know if prices have undergone in France the same revolution as in England? '* As regards the precious metals, I can answer — no. At certain critical periods, gold, as being lighter and more easily conveyed, was in great demand and rose a little, as compared with the silver money. " As regards wheat, the price has never been more variable than within the last twenty years. There have been very good crops, and very bad crops, and the contracts for the armies (made sometimes at any price) augmented the effects of the vicissitudes of the season. " Below is the average price of wheat in the important market of Roye, in Picardy, one year with another, for the fourteen years ending in 1816. The measure of Roye is equal to 52 litres 52 centimes : — U. so. de. 11. so. de. 11. SO. de. 1803 5 17 9 1808 5 18 1813 8 7 11 1804 8 1 5 1809 6 16 3 1814 7 8 1805 8 10 1 1810 9 4 3 1815 11 12 7 1806 9 2 1811 16 5 6 1816 20 5 3 1807 8 2 1 1812 13 9 9 '* The medium price for the fourteen years gives for the measure of Roye 9 liv. 19 sous, which is nearly 29 livres for the septier of Paris ; but this price is evidently too high, as these fourteen years contain two years of famine and three epochs of supplies for Buonaparte, for the important cam- paigns of Moscow, of Leipsic, and of the hundred days. " The price of wheat for 1821 has been lower than for some time past : this is undoubtedly occasioned from a suc- n2 180 cession of crops which have been good throughout. Wheat is rising a little this year, because the crops in some parts are found not to be so good as was before expected. " The price of colonial produce has fallen much in France ; but this proves nothing more than the advantage of having the sea free, and the cultivation of sugar, &c. being established through all parts of the torrid zone. " Although it is difficult, consequently, to judge of the value of money after the variation in the price of such or such an article, nevertheless we can state, that things generally have not fallen in price in France since the depreciation and the restoration of the paper money of England, except as far as particular circumstances may have contributed ; as the intro- duction of cheaper and more expeditious processes of fabrica- tion, &c. I do not believe, therefore, that there is any ground for saying that the fall of prices in England has its analogy on the Continent. It appears to me that it proceeds entirely from the alterations in the value of your money*." It will be observed that I have quoted more from Mr. Say's letter than what relates to the extra-demand for gold during particular periods of the war, for the purpose of showing that his opinion coincides with mine as to the absence of any rise in the metallic price of corn and other commodities, " except as far as particular circumstances may have contributed. ,, Now surely the reasoning of Mr. Say applies * It is requisite to bear in mind that Mr. Say, in speaking of the currency of this country, proceeds upon the authority of Mr. James, who estimates the depreciation, arising from the alterations connected with the Bank restriction, at full fifty per cent. 181 with infinitely more force to the grounds on which corn and other commodities rose in this country during the same interval ; for we had four years of what he would call famine, viz. very bad harvests, 1804, 1809, 1811, and 1816, without the intervention of two seasons in suc- cession of general abundance, or, as he would term it, of " crops which have been good throughout," between 1804 and 1812. And if colonial produce rose in France during the latter years of the war to 5s. and 6s. per lb. for sugar, Is. per lb. for coffee, and 18s. per lb. for indigo, from political obstructions and increased charges of conveyance, without any inference, in Mr. Say's opinion, of a diminished value of money, may not the same explanation be extended to the causes of the high price of such imported commodities as were necessary in this country for our manufactures and for the use of our navy ? Is it to be wondered at that silk should have been so dear as it was, when the only means of procuring it from Italy was over-land through Germany, and in some instances through Russia and Sweden ? What would be the nett proceeds to the producer in Italy, or to the importer here, at the highest prices obtained for any large quantity, after deducting the expenses of land carriage from the extreme south to the extreme north of Europe, and of a shipment from Arch- 182 angel or Gothenburgh at an enormous rate of freight and insurance, with all the further charges of simulated papers and bribes to Custom-house officers ? If the charges of im- porting hemp and flax were increased from 20 per cent, to 120 per cent, on the prime cost, or from 51. to 30/. and in some instances to 40/. per ton, these articles being indispensable for the use of the navy, was not a rise to this ex- tent inevitable ? For the freight alone of timber from Riga, the prime cost of which was lower than it is now, there were instances in which from 8/. to 10/. per load and upwards were paid : the freight is now 24s. per load. I will not now multiply examples, as they will come more pro- perly into view when I have occasion to appre- ciate more particularly hereafter the proportion that is to be ascribed to the war and the seasons in the fluctuations of prices. It is sufficient to remark that the more the instances of a rise of prices are examined into, the more clearly will they be found to be (with an allowance at the utmost for the difference between paper and gold) explained upon the grounds which I have repeatedly stated, viz. scarcity, from the seasons and political obstructions, or extra demand, from peculiar and temporary causes. But it is mate- rial further to observe, that while such great stress, in most of the discussions on this subject, has been laid on the circumstance of many arti- 183 cles having risen in price between 1808 and 1814, no attention seems to have been paid to the great and long continued depression of other articles. Colonial produce, notwithstanding the increased charges of importation, was, in several instances, lower than it had ever been before. Man}' descriptions of manufactures were in the most deplorable state of depression ; and wages, (as I have stated at page 77) except in cases of extra demand, were actually reduced, even in nominal amount,at the time when the necessaries of life had risen most. Moreover, various kinds of raw materials, imported at the most extra- vagant rates of freight and insurance, were sold in 1810 and 181 1, and again in 1813 and 1814, at prices that would not pay more than the mere charges, without leaving one farthing for prime cost. Now, if from these reduced prices be deducted 20 per cent, as about the average dif- ference between paper and gold from 1808 to 1814, it will leave so low range, that applying the same rate of deduction to the highest prices at which any considerable quantities were sold in 1808 and 1809, and in 1812 and 1813, the medium or average will afford a result of very moderate metallic prices, by no means justify- ing the inference of any diminished value of gold and silver, but rather the reverse. 184 SECTION XIII. Survey of Prices down to the present Time. Reverting again to the fluctuations of prices in this country, it is of material importance, in estimating the degree in which the Bank restric- tion contributed to the speculations with which they were connected, to recur to the following fact, which I noticed before, viz. that many im- portant articles experienced, between the autumn of 1807 and the first three months of 1809, nearly as great an elevation as they ever after- wards attained, and in some instances a greater : in several, the advance was upwards of 100 per cent. Now the average amount of Bank of England notes in 1808 experienced no increase worth mentioning, compared, not only with that of the year before, but with that of the four years preceding. And as the exchanges were for the first nine months of 1808 higher than they were on an average in the year 1792, and 185 the price of silver lower #, (no price of gold being- quoted in 180S) there is no reason to believe that the Bank, if it had then been liable to pay its notes in coin, would have experienced any drain or seen any ground, from the state of the exchanges, to have reduced its issues. The inference, therefore, is plain, that the great rise of prices in question might, and I have no doubt would, under the peculiar circumstances, have taken place as well without as with the Bank restriction. It was not till the close of 1808, after the greatest part of the rise had taken place (which, indeed, was in great part a neces- sary rise, as a condition of supply under the extravagantly increased expenses of convey- ance), that the preparations which were already in progress by the transmission of funds for the large importation that was forthcoming, in con- sequence of the great encouragement held out * Prices of Silver and Course of Exchange on Hamburgh. 1 792 1808. Standard Standard New Span- Excl ange New Span- Exchan. Gold per Silver per ish Dollars w th ish Dollars with Ounce. Ounce. per Ounce. Hambro'. p. o ( ance. Hambro'. January, 3 17 6 5 4 5 24 34 6 34 4 February, 3 17 6 5 4 5 3 34 6 5 3 34 4 March, 3 17 6 5 44- 5 31 34 6 34 6 April, 3 17 6 5 5 5 4 34 5 34 6 May, 3 17 6 5 5i 5 44 34 3 34 9 June, 3 17 6 5 6 5 5 34 4 5 3 34 9 July, 3 17 6 5 6 5 5 34 5 5 3 35 3 August, 3 17 6 5 5 .5 4 34 4 5 3 35 2 Septembei ,3 17 6 5 5 5 4 34 34 8 N. B. No price of standard silver or gold quoted in 1808. (Parliamentary Papers ordered by the House of Commons, March 4, 18U.) 186 by the high prices here, produced any material impression on the exchanges : then, hut not till then, that is, at the close of 1808 and beginning of 1809, the Bank would, under the liability to pay in coin, have been compelled to con- tract its issues in order to meet the pressure upon the exchanges. The depression of the exchanges in that year, occasioned in the first instance by an importation of commodities ge- nerally to an almost unparalleled extent, and chiefly in foreign ships, whose owners were to be paid by bills on the continent, was increased by the expenditure of our government abroad, and by the effects of the very wet harvest in this country rendering a large supply of foreign corn necessary. But the reduction of Bank- notes, requisite to have counteracted these causes of depression of the exchanges, would, in all probability, have been small in amount: I judge so from the circumstance that, not- withstanding the addition of about two mil- lions, which the Bank made to its issues in 1809, when the propriety of an opposite course was clearly indicated, so great was the transition from scarcity to abundance of imported com- modities, that a recoil of the prices of those articles which had previously risen most com- menced in the summer of that year; and soon after, viz. at the close of 1809 and beginning of 187 1810, as a necessary consequence of the fall of prices of nearly all commodities (I do not in- clude agricultural produce), which continued from that time, there was a great destruction of private paper. This destruction of private paper seems somewhat to have preceded the further issue of Bank of England notes, which took place in 1810, as the exchanges rather advanced, and the price of gold fell somewhat, in the course of that year, viz. from 4/. lis. to 4/. 4s. 6d. There can be little doubt, therefore, that if the Bank had so regulated its issues as to have preserved the value of its paper on a level with that of gold, it might have done so, after an intermediate and perhaps very trifling re- duction, consistently with having a much larger amount of notes in circulation in 1810 than it had in 1808. Applying this supposition of what would have been the regulation of the Bank issues, under a liability of paying in coin, to the speculations and fluctuations between 1807 and 1811, the probability is, that the rise of prices would have been checked a little earlier, and the fall have proceeded somewhat more rapidly: but the ef- fect of that would have been to have diminished the importation (which proved to be too large) by the close of 1809, and so far the eventual fall of prices would have been less in 1810 and the 188 early part of 181 1 than it actually was ; and, in that case, the renewed scarcity of 1 8 1 1 would have been felt earlier, and there would have been an earlier renewed rise of prices. The con- clusion is, that the great and partly speculative rise of prices, connected with a great increase of private paper, in 1808, was uninfluenced in the first instance, though it might be in some mea- sure protracted, by the Bank restriction ; and that, as the fall was eventually the greater by the delay, the average of the prices, taking the whole range of that fluctuation (at the end of which there was, probably in consequence of the general discredit, less private paper in cir- culation than before it began), was as low as it would have been if there had been no inter- mediate enlargement of private paper, and as low, less the difference between paper and gold, as it would have been if the Bank restriction had not existed. Thus far as to the speculation in imports : the same reasoning applies, in some degree, to the great speculation and consequent enlargement of private paper, connected with the immense shipments to South America. These began in 1808, when they would equally have taken place if the Bank restriction had not existed; they were probably, indeed, somewhat promoted and extended in 1809, the inducement to over-trading still continuing, compared with 189 what they might have been if the restriction had not existed ; but in consequence of this extension in 1809 the reaction was so much greater in 1810, and the prices of all the manufactures, affected by the sudden suspen- sion of demand, were depressed in so much greater a proportion as the extension of them had been encouraged by the previous extra de- mand : thus the same result follows, viz. that the medium prices of those commodities, in this country, w^ere not affected beyond the degree indicated by the difference between paper and gold, on the average of the three years in ques- tion, by the speculation and consequent en- largement of private paper, or by the Bank restriction. From what I have previously stated of the grounds on which the great speculations, both in imports and exports, took place between 1811 and 1814, a similar process of explanation would enable me to prove that the enlargement of private paper, during that time, not only did not depend upon the Bank restriction, except in the degree in which a contraction of the basis must always narrow the superstructure, but that the advance of prices, resulting from that en- largement, was compensated by the eventual decline (a great part of which depended on causes distinct from the change from war to 190 peace), so that the average was at least as low as if the speculation had not existed, perhaps lower*. Upon the same grounds, it would ap- pear that the rise of prices in 1817 (founded on the scarcity of 1816), which preceded the in- crease of Bank issues, although it was extended and protracted by that most unaccountable and apparently ill-judged increase, carried within itself, supposing the seasons moderately pro- pitious, the principle of compensation, by in- creased produce and a corresponding depression of prices. Accordingly, a part of the excessive supplies since that time must have been the ne- cessary result of the previous exaggerated de- mand. And as scarcity, real and apprehended, was the main cause of the advance of prices be- * In general it may be observed, that speculation, whether with capital belonging to the parties engaged in it, or bor- rowed, cannot have the effect of raising prices, except during the period within which a diminished demand and increased supply have not time to operate. Beyond that period, the extra decline fully compensates, and frequently more than compensates, for the previous extra advance. This happily is a protection, in the nature of things, to the consumer, against any indefinite and progressive or average rise of prices, as measured by the precious metals, supposing the mass of these and the quantity of commodities to be respectively unaltered, and applying the position only to articles in respect of which no monopoly or restrictive regulations are enforced by the state. 191 tween 1816 and 1818, so the abundance, actual and contingent, since that time, both of home produce and of imported commodities, has been quite sufficient to account for the subsequent decline, without imputing any agency to the currency beyond the improvement of the paper as compared with gold. Of the fact of abundance of supply of the leading articles of consumption, there cannot, I should think, be any reasonable doubt. Let any corn factor be asked, whether the supplies of wheat and flour in Mark-lane, at the close of 1821 and through the first half of 1822, were not quite sufficient to have produced the fall of prices and the apparent tendency to a further depression, as long as there was no se- curity against a continuance of so overwhelming a supply ; and whether there is any appearance of a want of funds, or of inclination on the part of buyers to speculate if they could be satisfied of an inadequateness of the stock in this coun- try? Indeed, since the tide of supply has some- what abated, within the last three months, there is a decided improvement in the market. The same may be observed of oats. Barley, being decidedly short in quantity, has got up to a high price, relatively to wheat. The extremely low price of cattle has of late attracted so much attention, that I insert a 192 statement of the numbers sold at Smithfield for the last four years : Neat Cattle. Sheep and Lambs 1819, 135,226 949,900 1820, 132,933 947,990 1821, 142,133 1,107,230 1822,* 143,830 1,353,043 The comparative increase has been equally great at Liverpool and Hull ; and I am told that the supplies at the other markets in Eng- land have been no less superabundant. How, then, can there be any difficulty in account- ing for the very low prices of meat during the last twelve months ? It may be said, that this excessive supply has arisen from distress, and that it cannot continue : this may«be true ; but whatever be the cause, the excess actually in the market must equally affect the price. There has been a trifling falling off in the quan- tity within these few weeks, and a little corre- sponding advance in the price. * Not having the actual number sold in 1822, I have com- puted it by the number at market, as follows : Neat Cattle. Sheep and Lambs. 1821, At market, 159,505 1,282,900. 1822, Do. 161,410 1,567,714. At market. Sold. At market. Sold. As 159,505 are to 142,133 so are 161,410 to 143,830 As 1,282,900 are to 1,107,230 so are 1,567,714 to 1,353,043 (See Appendix.) 193 With regard to imported commodities, I am not aware of one of which the present depression cannot be fully accounted for by reference to the supply, compared with the average con- sumption. Of wool, not only the importation has been larger on an average of the last few years than in any preceding period, but the home produce must have been greatly augmented, judging by the increased number of sheep to which I have referred. The importations of cotton have been on so extensive a scale, as to leave no question of the sufficiency of the ground for a low range of prices. The only difference of opinion that exists as to this article, is whether, allowing for a progressive increase of consumption, at the same rate as that at which it has proceeded of late years, supposing no corresponding increase of supply, there may not be a deficiency by the end of 182k And the very suggestion of a doubt, on so remote a contingency, has had the effect of occasioning considerable speculative purchases, at some advance in price. Silk was, from continued abundance of supply, at a low price till last summer, when, in con- sequence of reported injury to the crops in Italy, a rise of 20 to 30 per cent, took place on the descriptions likely to be affected by that 194 circumstance; but the advance being greater than the manufacturers in France would give, a larger proportion has been shipped hither, and the price has receded. Sugar fell to its late low range in consequence of the very large importations into Europe from the Havannah, the Brazils, and the East Indies, down to the close of 1821, when all the ports of the Continent were absolutely glutted with this article. It has required above a year of falling prices and diminishing supplies to get rid of that glut. As the stocks at the principal places of consumption are now becoming reduced, there is some revival of demand at improving prices. Among our staple articles, there is reason to believe that the low price of Iron is accounted for partly by the increased power of machinery applicable to mining, and partly by a falling off in the exportation in consequence of the restric- tive regulations in France, to which country a great deal was previously sent. Of Copper, the produce in the last two years* has been larger than in any former equal period, while at the same time the war demand has ceased, and the export to Germany and France has of late been interfered with by exports thither from Russia. * Annual amount of the weekly sales of copper ore, in Cornwall, for the last five years, ending 30th June, viz. Tons. Tons. Tons. 1818, 6,469 1820, 6,915 1822, 9,140 1819, 6,944 1821, 7,770 195 That the depression, therefore, has not been greater than it is, proves the great increase of con- sumption for domestic and commercial purposes. As a further presumption, if any were want- ing, that the low price of the articles referred to, as existing in abundance, lead to no fair ground of inference of increased value of the currency, I may mention some articles, which, being scarce, or apprehended to be so, have proportionately advanced in price. Indigo, in consequence of a falling offin the actual supply, and of a reported failure of the forthcoming crop, is at a higher range of prices than it was at throughout the war. Whalebone, from a short supply, has advanced above 100 per cent. Greenland oil is 30 per cent, higher than it was last year. Coffee, as is well known, has preserved a price on the average of the last five years higher than in any preceding period of equal length. Hemp, in consequence of a fall- ing offin the importation of 1821, experienced immediately a speculative demand, and rose in the course of a few weeks upwards of 50 per cent, on the price in bond, viz. from 26/. 10s. to 42/. 105. or from 36/. to 52/. per ton, in- cluding duty. But the effect of this advance was to bring forward an increased supply, and the stock now for sale is half as large again as it was at this time last year. o 2 196 I might go on in the same way, proving of every article with which I am directly or in- directly acquainted, that in every case of de- pression there is, or has been, an excess of quan- tity, relatively to the estimated rate of consump- tion, fully adequate to account for the present low range ; and conversely, that where there is actual or apprehended deficiency, prices not only are not depressed, but are as high as in a similar state of relative supply they would have been in any former state of the currency, sup- posing the expenses of conveyance to be the same in each period, and allowing only for the difference between paper and gold. But if a reference to the prices of commodities, combined with the quantities and other circum- stances affecting them, proves the total absence of any ground for imputing to the alterations in our currency a greater influence than that which has been indicated by the difference between paper and gold; the same conclusion will be borne out with regard to the asserted influence of those alterations on the wages of labour. With regard to manufacturing labour, it was proved by the documents which I quoted in Section VI. that so far from a progressive rise of wages having taken place coincidently with the duration of the Bank restriction, there was in many important instances a fall, and that, 197 after a lapse of several years, they were lower than when the suspension of cash payments took place. In order further to prove that as that measure had not the effect ascribed to it, of raising the w r ages of manufacturing and some other descriptions of labour, so the near pro- spect afforded by the peace of the termination of the restriction did not depress them, I have to refer the reader to a very important statement in the Appendix. By this statement, which has been communicated to me from a source that warrants the most perfect reliance on the care and correctness with which the facts have been collected and stated, it will appear, that at Man- chester, and the other principal seats of the cotton manufacture, there was no fall, and in several instances a rise in the average of manu- facturing labour, from the commencement of 1814, after the value of the paper had begun to improve, to the close of 1820 (beyond which date the table does not reach) when its value was completely restored, and when a great in- flux of gold had already taken place. Other descriptions of labour in the same district ap- pear to have retained a singular degree of steadiness through the whole period of eleven years comprised in that statement. Indeed, by the very table of Greenwich Hospital prices, it appears that, although the w*ages of carpenters, 198 &c. had risen greatly during the Bank restric- tion, they did not fall perceptibly between 1814 and 1819, as they ought to have done according to the hypothesis which accounted for the fall in the prices of commodities by the near prospect held out in 1814 of the termina- tion of the Bank restriction. I am assured by an eminent manufacturer, that in the great clothing districts in the west of England with which he is connected, the workmen are and have for some time past been in full employ at wages as high as they were on the average before 1814. And 1 understand that wages, in other manufacturing places, have not experienced a fall in any thing like the de- gree in which the prices of necessaries have fallen. The wages of labour generally in London have not, it is well known, fallen in any greater proportion since 1813, than the difference be- tween paper and gold, and in several instances, not so much. And of such descriptions of labour as have experienced any further fall, it may be proved that, as they had previously risen from extra demand, arising from causes distinct from the state of the currency, the fall was inevitable from the mere abstraction of such extra demand. 199 SECTION XIV. Conclusion. I have thus described and attempted to ex- plain the most signal instances of the fluctuations of prices, accompanied by the greatest variations in the amount of private paper and credit from the close of 1807 to the present time: and having previously, while adducing arguments and facts in opposition to the opinions and as- sertions of those who maintain the doctrine of indefinite depreciation, accounted for the state of prices from the date of the restriction bill down to 1807, I will proceed to recapitulate the principal points which I have thus far endea- voured to establish : That there are reasonable grounds for sup- posing that the utmost effect of the disen- gagement and subsequent reabsorption by this country of the amount of the precious metals which circulated as coin, previous to 1797> can- not have exceeded 1 or at the utmost 2 per cent, on the value of the metals in the commer- cial world ; but that this effect was probably more than counterbalanced by the increased 200 functions of metallic money on the continent, arising from the wants of the large armies, the practice of hoarding, and the diminished circu- lation of bills of exchange during the war, and by the cessation of these increased functions on the return of peace. That the degree in which the market prices of gold and silver have of late receded from the mint proportion may with greater probability be referred to an increased produce and dimi- nished value of silver than to an increase in the value of gold. That the economy introduced into the use of the currency had no necessary connexion with the Bank restriction : that the utmost effect of this economy has been to obviate the necessity for an increased amount of currency to the full extent that might otherwise appear to have been requisite to correspond with the increase of population and of money transactions : and that, at any rate, as the same economical contrivances are still practised, and are, if any thing, further improved, they must continue to operate as a cause of depreciation. That there did not exist any necessary con- nexion between the increase of Bank of Eng- land notes, and a corresponding increase of country Bank notes and private paper; for that, in point of fact, the most remarkable instances 201 of a sudden extension of country bank notes and private paper were not accompanied or imme- diately preceded by an increase of Bank of Eng- land notes : that, on the contrary, some of the largest additions to the circulation of the Bank of England were made when there was the greatest destruction of private paper. That there was not a constant facility of dis- count of private paper during the Bank re- striction ; and that, if there had been, it would not of itself account for the occasional pheno- mena of sudden enlargement of private paper and credit ; for a still greater facility of credit exists at present, but there is an absence of sufficient motives for the employment of it. That the motives for the extended use of private credit, observable at particular periods during the Bank restriction, were speculation on scarcity of articles for home consumption, and exaggerated anticipation of demand on the opening of new and extensive markets : and that these motives were supplied in so extra- ordinary a degree by political obstructions to importation, combined with seasons unpropi- tious to our home produce, and by the events of the war, as fully to account for the great augmentation of the circulation through the medium of private paper — for the great rise of prices — and for the fall, after some interval, in 202 the exchanges (unaccompanied by any corre- sponding increase of Bank notes), without re- ferring to the Bank restriction any part of these effects, beyond the excess indicated by the dif- ference between paper and gold; for in that degree only would the Bank, under a liability to pay in specie, have been obliged to counteract the enlargement of private paper by a reduction of its own issues. That the opposite circumstances, viz. tran- sitions from scarcity to abundance, and the re- action from overtrading, are sufficient to explain the instances of sudden and extensive reduction of private paper, of improvement in the ex- changes, and of a fall in the price of gold, in the face of an increase of Bank of England notes. That a continuance of abundance, both of imported commodities and of articles of home produce, the consequent want of any reasonable ground for speculation on a prospect of scarcity, and the absence of any new or extra source of demand for exportable commodities, affording no inducement to over-trading in extensive ship- ments on credit, may satisfactorily account for the continued decline in the amount of private paper and of transactions on credit from 1819 to the period when these reached their lowest amount, which may probably have been some months ago. 203 That consequently there was a tendency to an improvement in the value of the circulating medium, by the reduction of private paper, quite adequate to have produced the re- storation of Bank notes to a par with gold : supposing, therefore, that no measures would have been taken by the Bank directors expressly to defeat that tendency, the restoration of the value of the currency to its standard was in- evitable, without the intervention of Mr. Peel's bill. That the susceptibility of a large superstruc- ture of private paper and credit is not confined to a currency whose basis consists of incon- vertible paper ; but that a currency consisting of convertible paper and coin, or even of coin only, is, under circumstances in all other re- spects similar, liable to considerable variation in the amount of the circulation, through the medium of private paper. That an expansion and contraction of private paper in this country might, and probably would, have occurred, less only in the degree indicated by the difference between paper and gold, equally without, as with the Bank restriction. That, by a reference to the particular facts, the variations in the amount of private paper manifestly had not any influence on the average of metallic prices, or of prices less the average 204 difference between paper and gold : thus proving, by a detail of particulars, what would be a de- monstrable inference from the doctrine of the exchanges as now generally received. That there w r as no progressive rise in the prices of necessaries and in the wages of labour during the period of the Bank restriction, and consequently no ground for the assertion so confidently made of the existence of " a con- stant and invariable connexion of increase of price with the Bank restriction, as a forcible proof of such a relation as that of cause and effect subsisting between the two phenomena :" for corn was as low in the summer of 1804, and meat as low in 1808, as they had been in 1797, and many other descriptions of commodities were in 1807, and again in 1810 and 1811, as low as they had been at the commencement of the Bank restriction ; moreover, many descrip- tions of labour were lower in 1811 than in 1797- That in every case the intermediate rise of commodities admits of being accounted for by circumstances so powerfully affecting the supply and demand, as barely to require the allowance afforded by the difference between paper and gold ; and that therefore there is some ground for the suspicion that the increased functions of metallic money, during particular periods of 20.5 the war, more than balanced the effect of the disengagement of it from the circulation of this country. That the fall of prices between 1814 and the autumn of 1816, the rise from that time to the autumn of 18 IS, and the subsequent decline to the present time, may equally be accounted for by circumstances connected with the supply of commodities relatively to the average rate of consumption, without referring to alterations in our currency any part beyond the degree indi- cated by the difference between paper and gold, consequently without ascribing any influence to Mr. Peel's bill. And, finally, as the result of the whole of the reasoning and facts which have been adduced, that the utmost effect of the Bank restriction on prices may be measured by the average ex- cess of the market price above the mint price of gold. APPENDIX. No. I. A Calculation of the Quantity of Silver and Goldin England, France, and Holland, in Europe, and in the World in general, and qf the Increase and Consumption thereof, Anno 1688. (Extracted from a MS.* dated 1696, in the British 23 Museum, Bib. Had. No. 1898, Plut.— C. p. 82.) This calculation is built upon this hypothesis : 1. That the silver and gold in Europe at the discovery of y c West Indies, near 200 years ago, was but 45 millions ster- ling, but is now about 5 times as much, or 225 millions. 2. That there has been 520 millions of silver and gold im- ported into Europe from America, within these last 180 years, besides what has been produced in Europe, or imported into it from Asia and Africa. Whereby the account of Europe stands thus: The existing stock of silver and gold in Europe 180 years ago 45 mills, sterl. Produced in Europe within these last 180 years 8 mills. Imported into Europe from Asia in manu- factures 2 mills. From Africa in gold dust, &c. . . 15 mills. From America in specie 520 mills. In all. ... 590 mills. * Entitled Natural and Politicall Observations and Conclusions upon the State and Condition of England, by Gregory King, Esq. Lancaster H. 208 Whereof 545 millions having been produced in Europe or imported into it within these last 180 years, viz. In the first eighty years, 205 mills, or 2,560,000/. p. ann. And in the last hundred years, 340 mills, or 3,400,000/. p. ann. We may conclude, that the existing stock of silver and gold in Europe, Being 200 years ago, 45 mills. Was 100 years ago, 100 mills. And is at present, 225 mills. It has increased : In y e first 80 years 55 mills, or 700,000/. p. ann. In y e last 100 years 125 mills, or 1,250,000/. p. ann. 180 mills. So this last 100 years Europe has Produced and imported 340 mills, or 3,400,000/. p. ann. Increased 125 mills, or 1,250,000/. p. ann. Consumed and exported 215 mills, or 2,150,000/. p. ann. Now before we come to the particulars how this 215 millions in gold and silver has been consumed in Europe within this last 100 years, we shall consider in what the 225 millions, which we estimate to be the present stock of Europe, in gold and silver, and things made thereof, doth consist, viz. Coyned silver Coyned gold Bullion Lay plate Church plate Medalls and rarities . . Gold and silver thready and wire, and things > made thereof in wear J Do. in stock for trade . . In Europe In England. In France. In Holland. in general. £ of £ 110 mills. 8,500,000 18,000,000 7,000,000 28 mills. 3,000,000 5,000,000 2,000,000 8 mills. 1,000,000 1,500,000 1,500,000 46 mills. 4,000,000 9,000,000 1,500,000 20 mills. 200,000 3,000,000 100,000 5 mills. 200,000 900,000 300,000 6 mills. 400,000 1,400,000 100,000 2 mills. 200,000 600,000 300,000 225 mills. 17,500,000 39,400,000 12,800,000 209 Whereupon we have estimated the consumption of y c 315 millions of gold and silver in Europe within this last 100 years, which is 3,150,000/. per ann. as followeth: m - * a- «= .5 c ; -o £ 2. a re S ?• c- — ' ^ a- - a: o a- P PT B*.« * 2 a. Git- pp bd sera ^ - _ O 2. 3 -. 5^ !? » 5 o n> r- re 3 fh*Jsi| I p p 5< ^»=_ en £w o < re J^ . re — v— » p p p p o . "D O © O VI o 5 o o «i o a *" C "" *d ~ ■ M ^ P V "O p _ P -s p 8, ; — tof rtof V H to lb. o s en 2 mills 00 mills -• r*- : re = re"- = 5 » • re re ETcrs o SB 2-~ *"2 5' o 5« —. O* en rt >— k — . —• p £ <~i ^ M 3 -! — * re P CK) o X, o ~ '"' re 00 ^- to o o O Or O © O o © © c o o c Q en en en to ~ OS „ 5'a 1 Oi so to CO en © GO to >— to >— ■8 w 3 C © © © Or Or © © © to © © oo ©^ m 3 1 O © © © © © © © © © © © © © © © © © © © © © © © © © © 89 T3 _© __©_ _©_ o O © © © © © © © © . re co to i— i 3 co 0- OS M 0^ ©> to ^— ■v) OS © *>. t— * *-> CO 00 "tO © Ol^5 3 00 © © Oi © © © © © os C EL Cn © © © © © © © © © Ci © © 89 © © © © © © © © © © © © © 3 P* 4^ ^ _- 1— i to OS — •* to 00 |wd k— 1 s © © Cn H-* to © © © fca rfi. to Oi 00 51 Oi ©> © f*> © © © tn © © © © © © p © © © © © © o © © © © © © 3 © © © © © © © © © © © © © a co cc 3 >u © to OS CO © © C" to Oi © © CO © © © OS V) oo © ©f"V 1 © © © © © © © © © O © © © © © © © © © © © © O © © © 3 210 Whereby it appears that the two principall articles by which the gold and silver of Europe is consumed, is in things made of gold and silver thread and wire, and in coyn or bullion ex- ported in trade ; these two articles alone being 7 parts in 8 of the whole consumption of the gold and silver of Europe. As to the world in general, I compute the existing stock 1 80 years ago at 500 mills. The produce this last 180 years, 1200 millions : the consumption 850 mills. The increase 350 millions, which added to the 500 millions, make y e present stock 850 mills. '211 TO TO » « 3 B ■ 3 ^ 8 s a 2 I? 3 » 8 W ja Q n> TO <• P 3. TO s 3 ES ta- rn ,» TO — i— TO — » w n B 5 H Of fK pi VJ :i o ■v. & a.*a r3 °° as o c o 00 TO 2s 3 ©Of) 8 to TS to o «» £ I 2 i-i ^ o o p p Deck Bengal .Madrai H o Bengal Madras Bomba — — << " o vq - . •< re TO » TO 1" : :* I 3 -a t*l 5. ° •u o o S. TO re 3 Q. TO a. 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"O 1 OS 1 4i 00 © en 00 OS OS ■fe. i- in 00 — — 00 Cn O * 1 _ _ en 00 O vi O) v| en 00 4- to OS 00 4- to OS VI to OS 00 00 — 00 00 to o oo to in vj 1 *• 00 JS- VI — to vi en kC j OS v| o OS OS — vj VI CO ' to tC OS 4i o vi en 00 in | en — 00 __, to 1 OS oo i— oo CC OS | J 1 to os OS — © to to in cs vj 4- V| Q, -4 00 —1 vi S3 00 On OS in J> 4- in -wo © © to OS 00 C71 | — 'O — — os -to O) 00 1 00 IvS OS oo _ ~cs tfc c to — cc CO 00 00 OS vi en to 1 OS ~ " 00 OS — — M 00 to I to *. tO tn To "4i to v| en OS co — vj to © OS OS © od I CS *. © to JS. to to oo in 1 on 4- _ 00 -t. oo vi vj IO VI 1 °° — o OS {J: ' ' Pieces of '20 or 40 Frs. Premium in Frs. 1000. silver in bars- The Kilog. 4SSS 218 89 900 1Q7 1000 *»• Piastres per Piece. London at 1 month date, per £. sterl. Premium Premium on Frs. 1 000. 3nFrs. 1000. Frs. Cs. Frs. Cs. Frs. Cs. 1818. 1 January . . 1 5 50 24 15 February . 50 5 50 23 80 March . . . 50 5 50 23 85 April .... 50 5 60 24 10 1 50 5 64 23 80 June 1 5 64 23 75 July . 2 5 64 24 August . . . 1 50 5 64 23 95 September 1 50 5 64 24 15 October . . 4 u 5 55 24 25 November 3 So 5 60 24 December 50 o <& 2 5 55 23 45 1819. A M t j January . . 3 's o 14 50 2 *« 3 u 5 55 23 20 February 50 •2 B 1 5 50 23 40 March . . . Ph 50 Cm 5 50 23 45 April .... 1 50 5 50 23 75 May 50 5 50 23 70 June .... 50 5 50 24 75 July 50 5 35 24 85 August . . 50 5 35 24 80 September 5 40 24 95 October . . 5 40 25 20 November 5 40 24 65 December 5 35 24 85 1820. 1 January . . 5 35 24 80 February 5 35 24 80 March . . . a 5 35 25 April .... O . 5 36 25 20 May . . o £2 5 41 25 35 June . . . . Frs. Cs. 2 - - 5 38 25 50 6 4 S ?£< 5 38 25 50 August .. . 6 50 4 50 5 38 25 60 September 5 3 Cm 5 40 25 55 October . . 8 6 5 41 25 60 November 7 5 5 41 25 55 December 4 2 25 5 40 25 45 213 Years. Gold in bars. The Kilog. {22£ 3434 40 Tooo 309 ' Premium Pieces of 20 or 40 Frs. Premium Silver in bars. The Kilog. ^218 89 .soo_ 197 Piastres, per Piece. London at 1 month date, per on Frs. 1000. 1000 lvl Premium „£. sterling. on Frs. 1000. on Frs. 1000. Frs. Cs. Frs. Cs. Frs. Cs. Frs. Cs. Frs. Cs. 1821. 1 January . . 5 2 50 2 50 5 41 25 55 February . 9 5 50 2 50 5 42 25 50 March . . . 7 50 5 50 2 50 5 43 25 50 April .... 7 50 6 2 50 5 44 25 60 8 50 6 2 50 5 42 25 65 8 50 7 50 2 50 5 42 25 70 Ditto 13.. 12 10 O O July. 11 50 8 50 2 50 5 39 25 70 August . . . 6 4 50 2 50 5 39 25 45 September 6 50 5 1 50 5 39 25 55 October . . 7 50 5 2 5 37 25 55 November 6 50 3 50 2 5 32 25 45 December 6 50 3 50 1 50 5 36 25 50 1822. 1 January . . 6 50to7 3 0to3 503 0to3 50 5 38 to37 25 35 February . 4 0—4 50 2 0—2 50 2 0—2 50 5 34 —33 25 25 March . . . 3 50—4 1 50—2 03 0—3 50 5 32 25 25 April .... 4 0—4 50 2 50—3 2 50—3 5 31 25 15 1 50—2 1 50—2 1 50—2 5 30 —29 25 1 0—1 50 1 25 — 1 75 1 50—2 5 29 —284- 25 35 July 4 50—5 2 50—3 1 50—2 5 284- 25 50 August . . . 6 0—6 50 2 50—3 1 50—2 5 284 25 40 September 5 0—5 50 2 50—3 1 50—2 5 284- 25 40 October . . S 0—5 50 3 0—3 50 1 50—2 5 284- 25 50 November 6 0—6 50 2 50—3 1 50—2 5 29 —30 25 40 December 4 0—4 50 1 50—2 1 50—2 5 29 —30 25 30 It is to be observed that 1000 francs in bars (gold bullion) are at a greater premium than 1000 francs in gold coin. In France a kilogramme of gold ~-^ fine is coined into 155 pieces of 20 francs, or 3100 francs ; but only 3091 of these francs are given to the person who carries the kilogramme to the niiut to be coined. The par price of a kilogramme of bar gold is not 3100 francs, but 3091 ; consequently a buyer of 214 a kilogramme of bar gold in the French market, at 5 per mil. premium, must pay 3106*5 francs for itj but when he buys 155 pieces of 20 francs, which also weigh a kilogramme, at 2\ per mil. premium, he must pay 3107'7 francs for them, so that weight for weight a kilogramme of bar gold at 5 per mil. premium, is rather cheaper than a kilogramme of coined gold at 2^ per mil. A kilogramme of silver -j%- fine is coined into 200 francs, of which three are retained at the mint for coining the kilo- gramme. Silver is to gold, in the French coins, as 1 to 15^; but as 197 is the par price of a kilogramme of silver, and 3091 the par price of a kilogramme of gold, silver is to gold really as 1 to 15AV- In England an ounce of gold is coined into 934^ pence ; but one ounce of standard gold contains 440 grains of pure gold 5 444 grains of pure gold are coined into 943 pence. An ounce of standard silver contains 444 grains of pure silver, which is coined into 62 pence. Silver is to gold in England, when at par, as 1 to 15-jVV* One ounce troy is equal to 31*08 grammes. In France the mint constantly buy gold and silver to coin it on their own account, which they can do to more advan- tage than an individual, because there is an allowance for remedy, of which they can avail themselves, and the expense may not be so great as the law allows. Gold coin, and that by retail, is only at a premium in France at this time of 2\ per mil. 5 in the price current it is marked 1-50 to 2. When silver in bars is at a premium of 1 f. 50 c. per mil., it may, in fact, be at par, or rather under par ; for the mint may possibly have a profit in buying bar silver at If per mil., which amounts to 986 f. 50c. per mi!., and which they can issue for 1000 frs. 215 There has been coined in the mints of France- Gold. Silver. 1818, Frs. 125, 900,000 25,300,000 1819, 51,900,000 21,800,000 1820, 27,600,000 18,700,000 1821, 400,000 66,700,000 216 No. IV. An Account of the Average Prices of Grain per Quarter, in .England and TVales, on 1st January and 1st July, in each Year, from 1792 to 1819, both inclusive. — (Commons' Report on Resumption of Cash Payments, 1819. — Page 344.) Wheat. Rye. Barley. Oats. Beans. Peas. Oat- meal. s. d. s. d. S. d. 5. d. s. d. S. d. s. d. 1792. Jan. 1, 42 4 30 2 27 2 17 31 8 32 10 33 9 July 1, 39 2 29 24 8 17 8 30 30 10 32 9 1/93. Jan. 1, 47 2 33 8 29 10 18 6 34 8 35 36 11 July 1, 51 3 37 1 32 3 23 5 38 7 38 3 42 9 1794. Jan. 1, 49 8 36 5 33 5 22 1 40 10 41 4 39 3 July 1, 51 8 37 9 31 8 22 1 40 9 41 10 37 11 1795. Jan. 1, 55 7 39 4 34 2 21 11 45 6 51 10 41 Julyl, 77 2 57 3 41 10 27 8 47 11 56 10 46 2 1796. Jan. 1, 89 10 54 1 36 7 24 2 43 9 46 8 46 Julyl, 81 5 46 9 34 3 21 3 39 2 43 1 42 11 1797. Jan. 1, 55 9 35 7 32 3 18 1 31 6 36 (i 39 5 July], 49 8 29 6 24 4 15 6 24 2 30 10 32 1798. Jan. 1, 51 5 30 10 29 17 9 29 3 33 36 11 July 1, 50 4 31 1 29 4 22 7 30 8 32 9 38 7 1799. Jan. 1, 49 2 32 3 29 4 19 7 32 5 35 9 38 8 July 1, 64 4 44 6 35 11 30 3 42 8 45 46 2 1800. Jan. 1, 92 7 59 10 45 11 32 5 63 1 59 2 61 5 July], 134 5 88 1 69 1 51 1 79 5 78 10 83 5 1801. Jan. 1, 139 92 2 80 11 43 11 78 7 84 3 74 8 Julyl, 129 8 84 1 69 7 37 2 63 1 68 11 73 9 1802. Jan. 1, 75 6 48 2 44 23 4 44 7 44 3 44 5 Julyl, 67 5 42 1 31 3 19 8 34 7 36 37 1803. Jan. 1, 57 1 39 25 7 20 35 39 2 37 1 July], 60 4 36 11 24 9 22 8 34 6 38 11 40 3 1804. Jan. ], 52 3 32 3 23 11 21 7 37 5 42 3 40 9 July 1, 52 1 34 27 3 24 1 35 11 38 5 39 6 1805. Jan. 1, 86 2 52 9 43 10 26 11 48 5 51 6 42 6 July 1, 89 58 6 43 6 28 46 11 48 2 44 6 1806. Jan. 1, 75 11 44 7 37 5 26 7 43 2 42 7 42 10 Julyl, 81 10 48 7 37 10 28 9 43 11 42 4 44 7 1807- Jan. 1, 76 9 48 9 40 8 27 8 45 8 48 3 44 3 Julvl, 73 5 41 1 36 8 28 6 43 3 50 1 44 9 217 Wheat. Rye. Barley. Oats. Beans. Peas. Oat- meal. s. d. s. d. s. J. S. d. s. d. s. d. s. d. 1808. Jan. 1, 69 5 47 3 39 3 29 8 55 4 71 46 7 Julyl, 81 1 56 2 44 7 38 8 63 3 64 1 53 1809. Jan. 1, 90 4 59 4 44 6 33 4 64 4 70 1 51 2 Julyl, 88 1 56 5 44 4 31 11 59 4 61 9 50 3 1810. Jan. 1, 102 6 59 4 50 6 30 3 56 8 57 5 53 1 Julyl, 113 4 64 8 49 9 30 6 55 4 59 6 54 5 181 1. Jan. 1, 94 7 51 41 7 26 3 50 4 53 50 5 Julyl, 86 11 43 6 38 6 27 5 42 9 44 4 49 9 1812. Jan. 1, 106 7 55 11 51 4 31 10 57 3 64 8 51 2 Julyl, 140 9 90 77 50 8 75 8 72 4 51 6 1813. Jan. 1, 119 10 82 2 64 2 44 3 87 3 90 2 48 7 Julyl, 116 3 74 2 57 9 42 10 81 84 1 45 6 1814. Jan. 1, 76 7 47 40 7 27 2 52 2 54 5 36 Julyl, 67 f) 41 9 35 25 43 11 47 7 30 8 1815. Jan. 1, 65 8 41 4 32 s 24 4 39 8 44 1 31 11 Julyl, 67 10 38 11 30 8 25 5 36 2 39 11 31 1816. Jan. 1, 53 7 34 4 25 11 19 9 31 !) 34 27 2 Julyl, 73 8 40 2 29 22 3 34 9 34 3 26 1 1817. Jan. 1, 104 10 63 10 51 11 31 9 61 3 57 9 39 8 Julyl, 109 1 65 2 55 6 39 54 10 52 11 44 6 1818. Jan. 1, 85 4 50 9 45 11 27 10 52 5 51 34 7 Julyl, 84 4 53 1 48 3 33 57 10 54 1 36 8 1819. Jan.l, 78 1057 9 63 6 35 1 72 3 70 9 38 6 27th Feb, 1819. (Signed) \V. DOWDING. 218 No. V. Prices * of Beef and Mutton at Smithfield Market, to sink the Offal, per Stone of 8 lbs. Beef. Mutton. s. d. s. rf. s. d. *. d. Jan. 1796, 3 to 4 4 3 6 to 5 1797, 3 6 — 4 6 4 4 — 5 1798, 3 — 3 2 3 8 — 4 6 1799, 3 — 4 4 3 — 4 2 1800, 3 6 — 5 4 4 — 5 4 1801, 3 8 — 5 8 5 — 7 1802, 4 6 — 5 8 5 — 7 1803, 4 — 5 6 5 — 6 1804, 4 6 — 5 8 5 — 6 1805, 4 — 5 6 4 4 — 5 6 1806, 4 4 ~ 5 6 4 8 — 5 8 1807, 4 8 — 5 8 4 — 4 8 1808, 3 6 — 5 4 — 5 4 1809, 3 — 5 8 3 4 — 6 1810, 4 8 — 6 4 5 — 6 6 1811, 5 — 6 4 5 4 — 6 8 1812, 5 — 6 4 5 — 6 1813, 5 — 6 4 5 — 6 8 1814, 5 4 — 7 6 — 7 6 1815, 4 4 — 6 4 5 — 6 6 1816, 4 4 — 5 4 4 4 — 5 4 1817, 3 4 — 4 8 3 8 — 4 8 1818, 3 8 — 5 5 — 6 1819, 4 4 — 5 8 5 — 6 1820, 4 4 — 5 4 4 8 — 5 8 1821, 3 8 — 5 4 3 4 — 5 8 1822, 2 8 — 4 2 8 — 4 1823, 2 8 — 4 2 4 — 3 8 * Extracted from the January Numbers of the Gentleman's Magazine. There are no quotations in it for 1794 and 1795. 219 No. VI. Account of the Number of Commissions of Bankruptcy issued from 1 790 to 1 822. Number of com- missions in each Years. year. 1790 747 . 1791 769 . 1792 934 . 1793 . 1,956 . 1794 . 1,041 1795 879 . 1796 954 . 1797 . 1,115 . 1798 911 1799 717 . 1800 951 1801 1,199 . 1802 1,090 . 1803 . 1,214 . 1804 . 1,117 . 1805 . 1,129 . 1806 . 1,268 . 1807 . 1,362 1808 . 1,433 . 1809 . 1,382 . 1810 . 2,314 . 1811 . 2,500 . 1812 . 2,228 . 1813 . 1,953 . 1814 . 1,612 1815 . 2,284 . 1816 . 2,731 1817 1,927 . 1818 . 1,245 1819 . 1,499 . 1820 . 1,381 1821 . 1,238 . 1822 . 1,094 . Number of com- missions against bankers in each year. 1 1 26 2 7 6 3 3 6 8 3 6 9 5 I 5 7 26 4 17 8 29 26 37 5 6 Down to 1818 is extracted from the Appendix to the Lords' Report, p. 426. From that time the numbers are extracted from the common monthly lists, which do not distinguish the commissions against bankers. 220 No. VII. Specification of the Number of Beasts, and Sheep and Lambs, brought to Smitkfield each Lunar Month of the last two Years, ivith the mean Prices of the best Meat, each Month, per Stone of 8 lb. 1821. 1822. First 4 weeks . Eleventh .... Twelfth Thirteenth . . . Whereof sold Bea3ts. Sheep and Lambs. Beef. Mut. Beasts. Sheep and Lambs. Beef. Mutt. 11,675 11,145 10,558 11,316 10,589 9,483 10,374 9,524 10,397 11,066 14,643 4,341 24,394 74,600 79,180 75,100 80,000 87,310 103,140 121,590 120 080 135,360 113,030 107,840 96,280 89,390 s. d. 4 10 5 3 4 10 5 4 8 4 9 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 2 4 3 9 *. d. 5 1 5 4 5 1 4 9 4 6 4 6 4 2 4 3 8 3 9 4 3 8 3 4 12,595 11,760 12,037 11,815 11,294 10,554 9,604 10,078 12,474 14,659 15,601 14,400 14,539 97,660 88,170 84,000 107,070 123,801 132,320 150,030 152,139 151,070 157,410 121,614 106,200 96,230 s. d. 4 4 4 3 9 3 6 3 5 3 4 3 4 3 1 3 2 3 3 4 3 9 *. d. 3 5 4 4 3 5 3 3 3 4 3 3 2 10 3 3 1 3 3 6 159,505 1,282,900 161,410 1,567,714 142,133 1,107,230 The numbers actually sold this year (1822) we have no means of ascertaining otherwise than by taking them in the same pro- portion to the numbers brought to market as in 1821. WILSON and LANCASTER. London, 11th Jan. 1823. THE END. LONDON : TKINTED BY" THOMAS DAVISON, WHITEFRIARS. No. VIII. A Statement exhibiting at one View the JVages of Labour generally in the Town of Manchester and the other p?-incipal Seals of the Cotton Manufacture : with an Account oj the Prices of sundry Articles of Provisions, and of the Monies expendedfor the Relief of the Poor chargeable to the Township of Manchester, during the Years 1810 to 1818, and to November 9.r,th, 1819. Flour, per dozen lbs. (good seconds) . Meal, per ditto Bacon, per lb. Irish butter, per lb. . Fine spinners . Coarse ditto . . Women ditto . Beelers Stretchers. . . . Pickers WEAVING. Nankeens Best "4.7-8 calicos Third do. do. do Strong do. 9-8 do. Velveteens Bolton cambrics, 60 reed 6-4 Manchester, 80 do. do. Quillings, 36 do. Fancy articles PRINTING AND BLEACHING. Calico Printers Bleachers and Finishers Block Cutters Fustian Cutters Dyers and Dressers. . Skein Dyers Hat Finishers Tailors 1 The rate of wages has I 14 i 16 Shoemakers Iron-founders Whitesmiths Carpenters Stone-masons(allowing for loss of time J in the winter months) . J Bricklayers, do Painters, do Slaters, do Plasterers, do Bricklayers' and Plasterers' Labourers. Spademen Poor, exclusive of County Rat . and Constables' Accounts, in the ( Town of Manchester J Deduct for money gained by the la- I bour of the Poor in the House... ( bead, for food only, for each ye 1 10 12 15 11 13 12 16 10} 14 o 16 n o 17 " t'k during the whole of the 15 7 9 11 13 6 10 1 8J 6{ 11 19 15 9 15 1809-10. 26,300 17 8 178 12 5 26,122 5 3 10 9 12 7 14 9 14 8 varied , but their 14 16 10 II 11 14 15 , have been from -':!s. 19 15 9 15 1810-11. 25,021 10 9 168 14 9 24,852 16 14 16 15 16 19 15 15 1811-12. 34,123 15 2 223 2 3 33,900 12 11 16 15 16 1812-13. 45,774 9 6 263 18 7 45,510 10 2 10 4 11 9 7 11 1 2* »* 17 10 14 10 15 7 13 8 15 H 11 4 10 10 15 4 16 9 15 18 i 30s. per week 14 16 15 1813-14. 33,286 14 8 157 14 10 33,128 19 10 O II 85 64 o o 104 o 17 10 14 10 13 2 10 10 11 8 8 9 10 4 10 5 10 3 13 18 3 18 3 1 6 18 6 15 1 1 16 2 1 2 6 18 1 1 16 12 1 19 15 9 15 1814-15. 21,038 4 119 13 5 20,918 10 7 2 1 i. In 14J. o o 74 54 8 11 6| 17 10 14 14 16 15 1 16 18 1 6 6 18 1 1815-16. 23,961 6 112 11 8 23,848 8 10 O 17 10 O 14 14 16 15 16 1 18 1 10 18 1 (I O 1 1 16 13 8 1 5 1 5 1816-17. 53,969 9 9 321 10 53,647 19 9 14 1' Mj (. 15 1) 16 1 9 H 18 6 18 1 16 I) 1 15 In I I 19 15 9 15 1817-18. 43,827 4 4 187 12 11 43,639 11 5 17 10 14 14 n 16 15 16 n 1 5 R 18 6 18 19 15 IS 1818-19. 31,681 8 114 8 I PROVISIONS. hesc are the average retail prices of each year, according tu the heat inform) that could be procured. SPINNING. » the years 1811, 1812, and 1813, the earnings of a part of the Spiuners reduced by a restricted allowance of work, and not by a reduced ra wages. WEAVING. These are the uett earnings of the we taken on the average of each year, after deducting twopence halfpenny ii shilling for winding the weft, flour used in dressing the warp, and other outgoings. Of this deduction the greatei part is for winding, which is generally done in the family. The principal articles of manufacture, and J the earnings of men of ordinary sk working twelve hours per day, have formed the basis of this statement. A considerable proportion of the vte of plain goods is performed by wi and children, and their earnings will be according to their strength and skill. The present rate of wages is rather lower than the average of the whole year 1819. 31,566 19 11 17 10 14 Not stated. 14 16 15 6 18 Not stated. 18 6 18 1819-20. 59,078 16 164 13 1 28,914 2 11 CONTENTS. PART II. Sect. I . — Examination of the Effect of Taxation on the Fluctuation of General Prices . 1 Sect. 2.— Examination of the Effect of the extra De- mand or Consumption supposed to arise out of a State of War in general . 6 Sect. 3. — Examination of the Effect of the extra Demand or Consumption attributed to the late War . . 22 Sect. 4. — Examination of the Effect of the Monopoly of Trade and general Excitement during the late War . . 40 Sect. 5. — Effect of War, as obstructing Supply, on general Prices . . . .47 PART III. Sect. 1. — Introduction . . 1 Sect. 2. — Character of the Seasons from 1688 to 1792, both Years included . . .9 Sect. 3. — Character of the Seasons from 1793 to 1821 , both Years included . . .49 Sect. 4. — Effect of Quantity on Price . . 87 VI PAGE Sect. 5. — Application of the Principle of the "Effect of Quantity on Price" to the State of Agriculture, from 1793 to 1812, as expla- natory of the high Price of Corn, during that Period . . . .113 Sect. 6.— Application of the Principle of the " Effect of Quantity on Price" to the State of Agriculture, since 1812, as explanatory of the Fall of Prices . . .131 Sect. 7. — Recapitulation .... 139 APrENDIX TO PART III. No. 1 . — Extract from the Translation of a Speech made by M. Le Caradeuc de la Chalotais, Pro- cureur-general to the Parliament of Brit- tany, on the 20th of August, 1764; when he carried into Court the Edict of the Month of July, 1 764, requiring it to be registered . . . .145 No. 2. — Extract of an Address to the different Classes of Persons in Great Britain, on the Present Scarcity and High Price of Provisions. By the Rev. Septimus Hodson, M. B. 1795 . . • .152 No. 3. — Extract from the Farmer's Magazine. — Vol. 1. p. 102 . . . 155 No. 4. — Extract from an Inquiry into the Causes and Remedies of the late and Present Scarcity and High Price of Provisions, in a Letter to the Right Hon. Earl Spencer, K. G. First Lord of the Admiralty, &c. &c. &c. 156 No. 5. — Extract from the Farmer's Magazine, Nov. 1807 • • • • 159 Vll No. 6. — Extract from the Farmer's Magazine, De- cember, 181] . . .161 No. 7. — Petition of the Inhabitants of Liverpool to the Prince Regent, 1811 . . 163 No. 8. — Extract from the Farmer's Magazine, August, 1812 . . . 166 No. 9. — Extract from the Farmer's Magazine, No- vember, 1812 . . .167 No. 1 0. — Extract from the Translation of a French Work entitled " On the Legislation and the Commerce of Corn, wherein the Questions relating to Exportation, Importation, Boun- ties, Prohibitions, Provisions of Corn by Public Authority, &c. are fully discussed." 169 No 1 1. — An Account of the Windsor Prices of Wheat and Malt at Eton College . .172 No. 12. — An Account of the average Price of all Sorts of Grain, in each Year, from the 5th January, 1791, to the 5th January, 1823. 177 No. 13. — An Account of the Quantity of Corn ex- ported from and imported into England, from Michaelmas, 1696, to Christmas, 1754 • . • • .178 No. 14. — An Account of the Quantity of Grain ex- ported from and imported into Great Britain from the Year 1755 to 1822 . 180 No. 15. — An Account of the Quantity of Grain, Flour, and Meal, imported from and exported to Ireland, from 1773 to 1822 . .182 No. 16. — Number of Cattle and Sheep sold in Smith- field, from 1732 to 1822 . . 184 PART IV. General Remarks . . 1 via APPENDIX TO PART IV. No. 1. — Table of Prices, exclusive of Duties, from 1782 to 1822, both Years inclusive . 1 No. 2.— An Account of the Quantities of various Articles imported into Great Britain from all Parts of the World in each Year from 1781 to 1822 . ... 72 No. 3. — An Account of the Quantities of various Articles exported from Great Britain to all Parts of the World in each Year from 1781 to 1822 . . . 74 No. 4. — An Account of the Quantity of Rape and Cole Seed, Linseed or Flax Seed, and Clover Seed white and red, imported into Great Britain from Foreign Countries, from the 5th January, 1801, to the 5th January, 1823. . . .76 No. 5. — An Account of the Quantities and average Standard or Price of fine Copper sold in Ores in Cornwall from the Year 1800 to 1822, both inclusive . . .77 ERRATA. PART III. Page 10, 8th line from the bottom, for " which have," &c. read, " which / have,'' &c. 19, 1st line ,for «■ til," read, " till." 23, 5th line from the bottom, for "correspondence," read, "letters." 23, note, 3d line from the bottom >t /or " 1785," read, " 1758." 49, for " Section II." read, " Section III.'' 74, note, 3d line from thebottom,/or " 1801," read, "1800." 135, 1st linear " ven," read " even." 169, Appendix, 6th line, for "printed for T. Longman, 1766," read, " printed for T. Longman, 1776." THOUGHTS, &c SECTION I. Examination of the Effect of Taxation on the Fluctuation of General Prices. In estimating the manner and degree in which war and the transition from war to peace may affect general prices, two distinct questions arise: the one is, how far the taxes requisite to defray the extraordinary expenses attending a state of war are calculated to raise prices; and the other is, whether the prices of commodities in general (including food and necessaries), independent of the degree in which they may be affected directly or indirectly by taxation, are liable to be influenced by war, and in what degree, through the medium of supply and demand. With regard to the first question, it must be observed, that the effects of taxation on prices are liable to vary according to the mode in which the taxes are imposed. B An income or property tax, equally levied upon all classes, would not, in any way that I can conceive, tend to raise general prices. Taxes levied upon particular commodities have, in general, the effect of raising the price of those commodities ; and manufactured arti- cles must be raised in price in some proportion to whatever tax may be imposed on the raw ma- terials. But it does not seem to be a necessary consequence of taxes upon one set of commo- dities, that all other commodities, although un- taxed, should be raised in price, while there are strong grounds of presumption that, under some circumstances, there might be an opposite tendency. The conditions through which taxes upon one set of commodities are calculated to have an indirect or circuitous effect in raising the price of untaxed commodities, are, that the objects taxed should be the ingredients or the instru- ments of production ; and that such taxes should not apply generally, and nearly equally to all productions. If the taxes be laid on the ingredients or in- struments of production of some particular article and not of others, it is clear that such article must advance in price as the condition of con- tinued supply ; without such advance the article would not yield a profit equal to that in other 3 occupations, and it would, after some interval, cease to be produced in equal quantity, till the diminished supply should raise the price in some proportion to the tax. But if taxes on the instruments of production, as on corn, or other necessaries of the labourer, or on the materials composing machinery and the implements of husbandry, apply equally, or nearly equally, to all branches of industry, they cannot have the effect of raising the price of the produce to which they are applied ; for, provided the power of reproducing in general be not impaired, there will be no inducement to withdraw capital from one occupation and to transfer it to another. An advance of price is not, under such circumstances, a condition of continued supply. In this country the taxes on the necessaries of the labourer and on the instruments of pro- duction do not apply exclusively to agriculture; they apply, at least in an equal, and probably in more than an equal, degree, to other branches of industry ; and therefore, according to the principles which I have here stated, they are not calculated to have the effect of raising the prices of agricultural produce, nor, in general, of raising the prices of other articles that are not the immediate objects of taxation. b 2 It is not my intention, at present, to enter into a detailed statement of the grounds for this opinion, which would involve a discussion of the intricate subject of the principles of taxa- tion. Nor is it at all essential to the purposes ©f this inquiry, that I should put the patience of my readers to so severe a trial. It is sufficient to remark, in general terms, that if the level of the prices of articles not taxed, agricultural produce, for instance, were raised by the taxes laid on other articles, it would follow, that if the whole amount of taxation levied during a war were continued in peace, there would, as far as taxation is concerned, be no fall of prices in the transition from war to peace. As, therefore, the whole amount of taxation (including land-tax, tithe, and poor-rate) down to last summer, was as great as during the war, with the exception of the income tax, the in- ference is, that in as far as untaxed commodi- ties and labour were raised by that cause, the same cause subsisting down to the summer of 1822, must have prevented prices from falling to the level to which they would otherwise have declined. And, as I have only to account for the contrast between prices during the war and since the peace, the lowest point having been reached before any remission of taxation, the income tax excepted, I may fairly exclude the operation of taxes from among the causes of the fluctuations in the prices of untaxed commodi- ties, such as agricultural produce, or of com- modities divested of the taxes to which they may be liable on importation or consumption. I shall therefore proceed to examine how far war, independent of taxation, may have contri- buted to the fluctuation of prices. SECTION II. Examination of the Effect of the extra Demand or Consump- tion supposed to arise out of a State of War in general. The opinion of those who consider the range of high prices which prevailed from 1793 to 1814, as fully accounted for by the war, and the subsequent fall as an inevitable consequence of the transition from war to peace, proceeds on the following grounds : — 1. The extra demand or consumption arising out of a state of war. 2. The monopoly of trade, and the stimulus or excitement to general activity. The reasoning in support of the opinion, that the principal phenomena of high prices may be ascribed to the effects of war, through the me- dium of extra demand, without any reference to circumstances affecting the supply, may be stated in substance as follows : — That the whole of the government expenditure for naval and military purposes may be regarded as creating a new source of demand for the ar- tides constituting the expenditure, and conse- quently as tending to raise the price of such articles. That not only the price of those commodities, which come directly under the description of naval and military stores, must experience an advance in consequence of the increased de- mand, but that the price of corn and other neces- saries must likewise be affected in a considerable degree by the additional consumption occasioned by the maintenance of the men composing the fleets and armies. That not only the demand for seamen and soldiers must tend directly to raise the rate of wages of the description of labourers from among whom these men are taken, and indirectly the rate of wages generally ; but that the increased demand for various kinds of manufactured ar- ticles requisite for the equipment of fleets and armies, is calculated further to raise the rate of wages; and that this increased demand for la- bour, and the consequent advance of wages in general, naturally occasion increased consump- tion by the labouring classes. Thus, the government expenditure in all its ramifications is thought to extend the sphere and increase the intensity of demand for neces- saries, to operate directly or indirectly in pro- moting briskness of circulation, to vivify every 8 branch of industry, and consequently to stimu- late exertion to an increase of every kind of production. The cessation, by the peace, of all such extra demand, the great customer war being with- drawn, (when by the stimulus of previous high prices there was a general increase of produc- tion,) would naturally, it is supposed, account for falling markets and consequent distress among the producing classes, and reduced wages, and diminished consumption; these lead- ing, through a long course of suffering, to the only remedy, viz. a diminished production. The fallacy of this doctrine, which represents a general elevation of prices, both of commodi- ties and labour, to be a necessary consequence of a state of war, proceeds (and cannot other- wise than so proceed) on the supposition that the money expended by the goverment consists of funds distinct from and over and above any that before existed ; whereas it is perfectly demonstrable, that an expenditure by govern- ment, whether defrayed by immediate taxes to the whole amount, or by loan on the anticipa- tion of taxes to be levied, is nothing but a change in the mode of laying out the same sum of money; and that exactly to the uttermost farthing what is expended by government would and must have been laid out by individuals upon 9 objects of consumption, productive or unpro- ductive. I am here supposing, that both on the part of government and on that of individuals, the habit of hoarding to any extent is out of the question. If government were in the practice of collecting a surplus revenue in coin in time of peace, and of accumulating it as treasure to be expended on the occurrence of a war, then indeed there would be a marked difference in general prices on the transition from peace to war; but even this addition to the circulating medium would be limited in its effect on prices to the time within which the treasure was in a course of progressive outlay, until its natural distribution into other countries was effected. A similar effect would follow, if individuals were in the habit of hoarding, and if, for the purposes of war, they were obliged to give up their hoards to the use of government. But these suppositions are quite foreign to the prac- tice of the times which are under consideration. But although, upon the breaking out of a war, there would not and could not be any increase in the sum total of demand, (the quantum of the circulating medium remaining unaltered), there would be a disturbance of the relative proportion of the prices of commodities. The articles which might suddenly be the objects of 10 government demand would rise ; but, on the other hand, those articles which would, but for the war, have been purchased by individuals, from the fund which is withdrawn from them, would experience exactly an equivalent fall : in general, on such occasions, the demand by government, being sudden and on a large scale, for commodities of which the supply has not had time to accommodate itself to such extra demand, may produce a considerable rise in the price of such commodities; while the corre- sponding abstraction of demand being spread over an infinitely greater surface, would operate in a manner that might be hardly perceptible, but would not be the less real on the sum of general prices. I have assumed that the quantity of money in circulation remains the same. If a state of war includes the supposition of an increase in the quantity of money, then indeed the case would be altered. But an increase of currency for government purposes must be either in coin, which can only be obtained by cheapness re- latively to other countries, and consequently sup- poses the reverse of dearness, which is ascribed to war ; or in paper, which involves the question of depreciation, and this has already been dis- posed of. If the war supplies are raised within the year 11 . by direct taxation, that is, by an income or pro- perty tax, it is so perfectly clear, that whatever is expended by government must be exactly so much abstracted from what would otherwise have been the expenditure by individuals, and that there can consequently be no elevation of the aggregate of prices, whatever may be the disturbance of the relative value of commodities and labour among each other, (the aggregate supply of these remaining the same) as to appear like a truism. But it may be a question whether the raising of money by loan, the interest of which only is to be defrayed by direct taxation, might not enable government to buy to a greater amount than would be counterbalanced by the diminished power of individuals to purchase. A moment's consideration, however, will be suf- ficient to convince any one that there can be no rise of general prices in this case any more than in the former : the money advanced to govern- ment would, but for such loan, have been laid out equally in purchases, though probably not of the same commodities, or would have been lent on private securities to such persons as would have laid it out in purchases. It is pre- cisely of the nature of money advanced by way of mortgage to individuals ; the lender would have, when he had advanced the money, just so much less to lay out as the borrower had more. 12 It may be said that the borrower might spend it in the maintenance of unproductive labour, whereas the lender might otherwise have laid it out reproductively : this might or might not be the case, and the difference might eventually affect the quantum of production ; but we have supposed the aggregate supply to be undimi- nished by war ; for how far it may be calculated to diminish supply is a separate question. All that is now contended for is, that there cannot, by the mere loan to government, be any addi- tion to the total of demand for commodities, whatever might be the difference in the relative proportions of them. In the case of indirect taxation, that is, of taxes on commodities, whether for defraying the whole expenditure or the mere interest of loans, the articles immediately taxed must, as I have already admitted; rise in price in some pro- portion to the tax : but a rise in price from this cause would be unconnected with the supposi- tion of any increased demand affecting com- modities generally which is assumed by those who consider the expenditure of government, whether from taxes or loans, as forming a fresh fund. Viewed therefore upon general grounds, the conclusion appears to be irresistible, that the extra demand or consumption arising from go- 13 vernment expenditure cannot have the effect of raising the aggregate of prices ; and this con- clusion from general reasoning is fully borne out by a reference to facts. It is of course to be understood that articles which are subject to a tax, such as malt, or to increased charges of importation, such as co- lonial produce, or to extra demand for naval and military stores, such as saltpetre and cord- age, do not come into the comparison of general prices. With these exceptions, it will appear that there is no observable coincidence of a rise of price during war, and a fall during peace. On the contrary, it so happens that, in the case of agricultural produce, and of several other important commodities, there was for upwards of a hundred years previous to 1793 as low a range of prices during periods of war as during the intervals of peace. This has been eminently the case with respect to wheat j and the fact is in itself so curious, that I am induced to give the following tables. 14 -»-> Es +» E «»*« «« -J **"l* "»*°*t **»«* "ft cu ^ jCX C* O CN (NOW««W 1> 13 M „! r fl) W u r t- 5 >- -T-lj • Dpi: o ° a i* Set) .a ^5 <« S 2 S gJ .2 ' i s «<*' 1 •r; *C O a; -g — 8 6o,a .s ■§ S cooooooocooooooiaa ■£ P .5 Si S o *■> 13 -a s _• ca qj c <" S 5- S St- cr o. ._ a> Si cc 2 * 8-s m co „ S CO - cu -S +-3 S £ s < 1^ NOlH-lM-HM-.™ O O CM CN 00 (35 DC h|» cS CN 00 tt *~» Oi O eo 6fi X UhHHHiIH c — < — 91 HH - co \ : : : s m IT- U N 00 O! O - Ol S Jr; — oo <5 i ;iO^00?(O't'-(NMClONWON00'-NO>MU5T00inn-"* OlCOOHOtOMOM p tS^ cn b bo I 2 24 w OJ U W U J is Omm « £ _ — — P^ CO CM — — 00 00 I Cj3CN>-CX,eO00-N — | — C* — — i — -i co « C* ©) - * as NMrfil5(CNCOC7)0-iO) 8> 2 OOOOOOOO^ — — ^ !> FH — <* < I •- 15 A result nearly similar is observable in the price of meat. This is the more striking be- cause the demand for victualling the navy is calculated to operate in a greater degree on this description of food than on corn. The following extract from the Victualling Office prices, taken from the appendix to Sir Frederic Morton Eden's work entitled " State of the Poor," (p. 86), will prove that the prices of most of the articles there enumerated were as high in the periods of peace as in those of war. WAR. Beef. Pork. Butter. Cheshire Cheese. Date. cwt. lb. cwt. lb. lb. lb. 1740 41 42 43 /. s. d. 1 3 7| 1 4 94 1 4 4 19 2\ 18 3^ 19 9i 1 1 3f 19 4| d. OI I S Z T TTT OI 7° *-T TTT OI 4 8 Z T TTT 26 Z TTT 13 94 1- 4" in °7 Z 4 TTT I, s. d. d. OI 3 6 z 2 TTT OI 7* ■^vr TTT 03 98 Z- 4" TTT Q 7 2 J TTT ^4" TTT Q I 02 J TT1" d. 5 H 4 2' 6 years. 1J 4 TTT 17 96 A' TTT 28| Average. 2 -841 2f'476 4-729 WAR. Beef. Pork. Butter. C Iheshire Cheese. Date. cwt. lb. cwt. lb. lb. lb. 1. s. d. d. 1. s. d. d. d. d. 1755 9 1 49. •*? TTT 01 30 •>T TTT H 56 01 65 ^4" TTT QI 36 •''2 TTT 5-h 3 57 OI 8 Z T TTT 03 7 J 4" TTT •5t 3i 58 OI <5S Z T TTT A 1 6 *> ^*4 TTT 5tV 3 59 OI 81 Z t TTT Q3 43 "*f TTT *t 9 1 *■ T £0 75 ■* TTT « 5 8 J TTT 5 I 2t 61 OI 6 6 •^4" TTt •21 S« -*? TT5 5 2| 62 O 3 i ^ TTT (jl 92 J 5 TTT 64 3tV 8 years. 1 Q 105 ly TTa zy TTT 43 £ I »& Average. 2^-617 3-^562 5-406 2-555 17 FIRST PEACE OF PARIS. Beef. Pork. Butter. Cheshire Cheese. Date. cwt. lb. cwt. lb. lb lb. 1, s. d. tf. /. 5. £ £ d. d. 1763 9 8a 5| 2| 64 OI 6 Z 4~ TTT 45 40 ** TTT 5| 34 65 OI »6 *4" TTT 41 I 8 ** TTT 5tV 3tV 67 1 5 5 1 OI l O 2 Z a TTT 51 3 T 3 * 68 1 5 34 OI 94 Z T ITT 54 2 1 3 z Tff 69 I 2 9 OI 84 •^4" TTT I 13 1 I (5 J T TTT J T? OI4 70 1 2 2* OI 5 8 Z 4" TTT 2 1 5 .1! 84 ^4" TTT H 3| 71 1 2 6 91 7 2 ■^4" TTT 2 3 3t 41 6 2 *T TTT 6f 3| 72 1 6 3 03 3 8 n Til 2 12 6 51 - 6 J T TTT 6-J 3 * J 8 73 1 4 OI 32 •*T TTT 2 9 1 1 ei 44 °4" TTT 7 3| 74 1 8 81 TTT 1 IS 3 4 44 ^ TTT 64 3 T 5 * 11 years. ~o 1 fi aD TTT 3fi 3 38 JU ^ TTT 64 |. 34f4 Average. 24-195 44-4-18 5-898 3-162 WAR. Beef. P ork. Butter. Cheshire Cheese. Date. cwt. lb. cwt. lb. lb. lb. 1775 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 1 1 1 1 1 I 1 1 1 5. d- 10 44 8 7 8 b\ 5 8 13 2 11 2 6 3 6 8 d. 01 2 J 4" TTT 28 J TTT 3 y. 34 r 4.0 J T TTT 93 28 z 4 TTT 93 48 Z 4 TTT 2 2 2 1 2 1 2 s. d. 4 74- 2 Hi 3 HA 3 IS 6 9 17 6 1 d. 43 14 *4" TTT 41 47 *T TTT 41 54 *T TTT 41 48 *T TTT 4 5 « f TTT 4i 5 2 *4 TTT 4 8 * TTT AL 6 4 *4 TTi 5 T I 6| 7 T 8 8| 7| 5-8412 6-2035 3| 3f 34 3i 34 3-7977 3-7574 8 years. 91.1 =6 Z +T TTT 354 TTT 55-357 28-055 Average. 3- 312 4i-75S 6-92 3-507 18 SECOND PEACE OF PARIS. Bte f. Pork Butter. Cheshire Cheese. Date. cwt. b. cwt. lb. lb. lb.- 1. s. d. d. 1. s. d. d. d. d. 1783 1 10 o 5)6 ° TTT none bought 6-4917 4-5541 84 none bought none bought 7-3405 4-5512 85 C 1 5 6 1 |_ readymoney I O 1 IOI "*sT TTT r 2 5 01 |_ ready money J 4 3 3* 6 .A* " TTT 4 -rfr 86 18 6 Q 2+. J TT2 6 ' I V TTX 4 A 87 16 5 03 3 6 « 84 3 TTT 4 TTT 88 i y i o 5 2 J TTT 2 -7 11 £ 60 " TT2" 5 .A 3 . «•' TTT 4 20 * TTT sy l y 2 Q 56 •* TTT 2 3 11 41 92 *T TTT A 9 8 4 TTT 3 »SJ •> TTT yo l 8 y <2 36 ■* TT2T 2 3 2 41 5 6 ^2 TTT a 1 7 ° TTI 4 S5 * TTT yi 1 8 6 Q 24 J TTT 2 6 5 A3 1O0 ^X TTT 6 A 4 T^r 92 1 8 7 Q 28 2 6 5 4.3 1 00 ^4 TTT 6 ttV 4 x\\ years. 27-L . ?. -^ y TTT 6o-8yo 43'48y verage. 3-119 4|;488 6-08y 4-3 4y The following prices of wool, taken from the same work, will show that that article was, in a very marked degree, higher during the periods of peace, than during those of war. SUFFOLK WOOL THE TOD. Peace of Aix-la-Chapelle. War. /. s. d. 1755 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 8 Years Average i74y 19 50 I 1 51 1 1 52 19 53 15 54 12 6 Years 5 7 Average 17 10 /. * d. 13 6 14 16 6 19 19 18 6 16 6 14 6 11 16 44 19 First peace of Paris. /. s. d. 1763 . . 19 1775 64 19 6 76 65 I 77 66 1 1 78 61 19 79 68 14 80 69 14 81 70 14 6 82 71 14 72 15 8 Yet 73 15 6 War. 74 1 2 Years Average 1775 76 77 78 79 80 81 82 8 Years Average 16 6 10 2 16 10 /. s. d. 18 18 6 18 14 6 13 6 11 6 10 6 10 Average 5 14 6 14 31 LEWES FINE WOOL THE TOD. War. /. *. 1 11 1 11 1 1 1 4 6 I 9 6 1 17 3 1 17 9 6 12 5 3 I 10 8 1783 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 Second peace of Paris. /. s. d. 1 14 6 1 18 6 1 18 6 1 16 6 2 1 6 O 6 3 O 7 4 10 Years 21 4 O Average 2 2 5 Other articles might be enumerated as af- fording a similar result. Nor do the wages of labour appear to have been, in general, higher during war than in the c 2 20 intervals of peace : this will appear by the fol- lowing extract from the Greenwich Hospital prices in the Appendix to the Commons' Re- port on the Resumption of Cash payments (page 338.) Peace War 5 17 ' I"' 1730 1735 '40 '45 Peace 1750 War V 755 War \1760 Peace {l7?0 War I 1775 War I 1780 Peace | yrjQQ Carpenters Bricklayers Masons per day. per day. per day. s. d. s. d. *. d. 2 6 2 6 2 fj 2 6 2 6 2 6 2 6 2 6 2 8 2 6 2 6 2 8 2 6 2 6 2 8 2 6 2 6 2 8 2 6 2 6 2 8 2 6 2 4 2 8 2 6 2 4 2 8 2 6 2 4 2 10 2 6 2 4 2 10 2 6 2 4 2 10 2 6 2 4 2 10 Plumbers per day. s. d. 3 3 3 2 6 2 6 2 G 2 6 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Here then, through the course of such a series of years, we have surely proof sufficient that it is not a necessary consequence of a state of war that wages, agricultural produce, and other articles not taxed, or not the immediate objects of war consumption, should rise ; for that in fact they were lower, in the majority of instances, during the periods of war than in the intervals of peace. That they should in some have been lower in war than in peace might, perhaps, to a certain extent, have been owing to a disturbance of the channels of cir- 21 dilation, and to an increase in the functions of money, while the principles and practice of banking and credit were so imperfectly under- stood. At the same time, the greater cheap- ness of the periods of war must, in some degree, have arisen from their coincidence with more favourable seasons. But still the fact itself of the relative cheapness of periods of war in the whole term is decisive, at least against the pre- ponderating effect ascribed to it, of raising the prices of provisions, and of commodities ge- nerally, independent of the degree in which they may be taxed ; and what, perhaps, is the most decisive consideration of all against the assumption of that preponderating influence, is that the period of the greatest cheapness in the whole term of 105 years, viz. the period be- tween 1740 and 1748, is precisely that of an uninterrupted and very large war expenditure, defrayed chiefly by loans. 22 SECTION III. Examination of the Effect of the Extra-Demand or Consump- tion attributed to the late War. So far as to the presumption of the effect of war generally, in raising prices : but it has been asked, " who, that contemplated the character of the late war, that referred to the great mi- litary force which was employed in Europe, and to the consequent demand of all the great arti- cles of consumption, could for a moment think of comparing the events of that war, and the state of things growing out of it, with the events and effects of former wars * ?" Now, with de- ference to the high authority from which this question proceeds, I answer, that as to this par- ticular effect of war consumption, it is only a question of degree, whatever the difference of the nature of the contest may have been in other respects ; and further, that upon the ge- neral grounds before stated, the extra demand for such objects by the belligerent powers must be compensated, and probably more than com- * Lord Liverpool's Speech, 16th July, 1822. 23 pensated, by corresponding privations on the part of their subjects. With regard to the alleged effect of war de- mand in raising the price of provisions, that must doubtless be the case in the immediate neighbourhood of large armies in a state of active military operations ; it being scarcely possible that the local supply can accommodate itself, except at a great advance of price, to so sudden and casual a source of extra demand. But applying to this country the supposition of extra demand, arising out of a state of war, it is to be observed, that the quantity of food re- quired for the maintenance of the soldiers and sailors composing the war establishment is not all so much beyond what would otherwise have been consumed. The only effectual addition of demand is for that part which is beyond what would have been the consumption of the same individuals in their former occupations ; but from this addition, small as it must be, compared with the mass over which it is distributed, is to be deducted that proportion which was supplied from the places abroad where our fleets and armies were occasionally stationed. Subject to these deductions, if the computation could be accurately made, it would appear that the total of the increase of consumption by the war, re- latively to the whole quantity for sale, could 24 have but a very trifling and barely perceptible influence on the price of the principal articles of food. But, whatever may be the amount of that extra demand for purposes of war consump- tion, I am inclined to think that it is more than compensated by the diminished consumption of the rest of the community. This diminution of consumption may be effected in various ways by the increased economy which must be the consequence of the increased taxa- tion necessary to meet the expenses of the war among the poor, and among the classes imme- diately above these. If the taxation be direct, it is clear that the classes which have to pay the tax will have a smaller sum to lay out upon necessaries, or upon indulgences become necessary by habit ; and, in their choice of evils, some may prefer sacri- ficing a portion of food not absolutely essential to existence, rather than give up any portion of the clothing and fuel to which they have been accustomed. In the case of indirect taxation, that is, of taxes laid on consumable commodities, the same effect will follow. For instance, rather than forego their usual quantity of tea, which may be doubled in price by the tax, a poor family may abridge its indulgences in an occasional pudding or pie. But the greatest saving of con- 25 sumption on the part of the bulk of the com- munity, in the case of diminished means, by- direct or indirect contributions to the war, is in the resort from a higher to a lower description of food : that is, according to the degree of pressure, and particularly when the diminished means happen to coincide with seasons of dearth. It is well known that on such occasions recourse has been had first to the coarser sorts of wheaten flour; next to bailey and oats; then to beans and peas ; and finally to potatoes ; not to mention contrivances for the greater economy in the use of food by soups, &c, which were so familiar to the public in particular periods of the war. It has been seen in the tables which I have exhibited in the first part of this work, of the fluctuation of manufacturing wages, how much the funds applicable to the maintenance of that part of the community are subject to occasional abridgement ; and it may thence be easily con- ceived to what an extent the diminution of the consumption of that class alone may go in coun- terbalancing the extra consumption by soldiers and sailors. This view of the counterbalancing effects of the privations of the lower classes, under cer- tain circumstances, is strengthened by a refer- ence to the increase of consumption by them under opposite circumstances, such as have of 26 late existed, viz. full wages, and a low price of provisions. Indeed, the striking fact of the in- crease of consumption of corn and meat, which has taken place within the last year or two, is decisive of the inference as to the process which must take place under the opposite circum- stances. The assertion of an increase of the consumption of wheat can of course rest only on general observation ; but the information leading to this conclusion is derived from such extensive sources, and from authority which is of so respectable a description, besides that every ground of presumption tends to the same infer- ence a priori, as to leave no reasonable doubt of the fact of increased consumption *. Whether the increase be to the extent now supposed by those who venture upon such computations is another question, upon which I shall not at present enter further than to observe, that the lowest esti- mate affords fair grounds for concluding that the increase of consumption within the last two or three years is greater than it was in any equal period of the war, allowing fully for the differ- ence of the population at the two periods. But while the increase of the consumption of wheat is matter only of inference, though on good grounds, the increased consumption * See Mr. W. W. Whitmore's Speech 26th Feb. last. 27 of meat is a fact of which the evidence seems to be unequivocal. The returns of the num- ber of cattle and sheep sold at Smithfield will establish this point, as relates to the con- sumption of London and its neighbourhood in the two last years, compared with any period of the war ; and the returns of the numbers slaughtered at some of the other principal towns in the kingdom seem to place the matter be- yond any doubt, and exhibit an extraordinary increase during the last two years, compared with any equal period of the war. Now, as consumption is the measure of effec- tual demand, and as the consumption has of late been considerably greater, and has increased at a more rapid rate than at any period of the war, it is incumbent on those who ascribe all the phenomena of the high prices of provisions to war demand, to show why the smaller consump- tion during the war should be connected with a rise of prices, while the greatly increased con- sumption since the peace should have been at- tended by a fall of prices. Considering the pro- gressive increase of population, with the rapid improvement of our manufactures, which was going on down to the breaking out of the war, there is every reason to believe that, but for the war, there would have been a still greater consumption of food and other necessaries than 28 actually occurred; and that consequently, sup- posing the scarcity arising from the seasons, and the obstructions to importation, or the dif- ficulty of obtaining a supply from abroad, to have been the same in peace as in war, we should have had prices full as high, if not higher, 'less always the difference between paper and gold. It may be said, that the demand or consump- tion during the war, as regards provisions, was not indeed greater than it is now, nor perhaps so great ; but that it was of a peculiar descrip- tion, more sudden, and relatively to a smaller supply. That it was relatively to a smaller supply is what I admit, and it is to that relative smallness of supply in the former, and to the abundance in the latter period, that the con- trast of prices in the two periods is mainly attri- butable. The facts of scarcity, as prevailing more or less during the former, and of abund- ance during the latter period, have already been noticed, and I shall again have occasion to recur to them for the purpose of stating more fully the nature and causes of those circum- stances. It is, therefore, only, according to the sup- position, upon the peculiarity and suddenness of demand that the difference of effect upon prices between a given consumption through government and individual expenditure de- 29 pends. The supposition, however, of a greater influence by government purchases, than by purchases to a similar extent on the part of individuals, requires but a single remark : a reference to the Victualling-office prices will prove that government did not pay more for the same articles, at the same time, than private buyers, and in few instances so much. This remark is applicable to the Victualling-office purchases even in former wars, when it is well known that government contracts were made on terms less advantageous, compared with the market price, than in the last war ; the prin- , ciple of competition having been more exten- sively and systematically acted upon in the latter than at any former period. If then the nature or mode of demand for provisions, arising from government expen- diture, is not calculated to produce such an extraordinary effect on prices, still it may be contended that the suddenness of it, before the supply can have accommodated itself to the supposed extra demand, is sufficient to ac- count for the rise. But I have already stated grounds for thinking that, as far as relates to provisions, the government demand is not all, or even in great part, beyond what would otherwise have existed ; and that at any rate the whole extra quantity consumed by sol- 30 diers and sailors in time of war, beyond what would have been consumed by them in their former occupations, would form so trifling a proportion to the whole mass, as to produce no sensible impression on prices. The presumption to this effect is fully confirmed by facts. At the breaking out of the war in 1793 there was indeed a trifling rise in the price of provisions ; but not greater than seemed to be taking place from other causes, the season being, as will be seen hereafter, one of indifferent produce. On the 1st January, 1793, immediately preceding the commencement of hostilities, the average price of wheat was 47s. %d. ; on the 1st January, 1794, it was 495. 8d. : the contract price of beef at the Victualling-office in 1793 was 11. \0s.4>d. per cwt., and in 1794 1/. lis. I0d\ a difference in both cases not worth mentioning, and fully accounted for by the season. But the renewal of the war in 1803 was the occasion of a much more sudden increase of demand by the Victual- ling-office than in 1793. I do not know what the relative quantities purchased were ; but the number of men raised for the army and navy in 1803 and 1804 was, as is well known, much larger than in any former period of the war, and therefore the suddenness of the supposed extra demand might be expected to have raised prices considerably ; but how stands the fact ? 31 The prices paid by the Victualling-board were as follows : Flour Salt Beef per sack. per tierce. s. d. I. s. d. 1803, May 52 6 June 54 2 . 9 9 10 July and August .... 53s. and 54 October 55 . 8 10 4 1804, February 45 April and May. .. 40s. Id. and 38 4 June to Sept 41*. 8d. and 56 October 67 10 . 6 17 6 showing a decline in the prices of flour and meat till the summer of 1804, when the effect of the bad harvest of that year began to be felt. The prices of meat continued falling till the close of 1808. Indeed, this great and sudden demand by the Victualling-board had not only no permanent effect in raising prices*, and thus * As further illustrative of this point I have to observe, that the price of meat, after a trifling fall at the conclusion of the war in 1801, rose again, in the course of the peace of 1802, to a higher level than it had been at in the three last months of the preceding war ; and that it was not till the re-commence- ment of hostilities in 1803 that it again resumed a decided tendency downwards. The following extract from the Farmer's Magazine for Feb. 1802, will serve to explain the state of the cattle markets at the relative periods. 32 improving the condition of the agricultural in- terest j but it is well known that the fall of prices, which had been progressively taking place in corn till the summer of 1804, was pro- ductive (as every great fall of prices must be) of considerable distress to that class ; and the state of suffering from that cause was the ground for passing Mr. Western's corn bill in that year. Again, the renewed hostilities of 1815, which terminated with the battle of Waterloo, and which, for the short time they lasted, were con- nected with a greater suddenness, as well as magnitude of preparation, than on any former occasion, had not even a momentary effect in arresting the agricultural distress, which had begun with the fall of prices before the termi- nation of the former war. If it be contended that, without laying any '? It was generally believed that the cessation of hostilities would have had a considerable effect in reducing the value of butcher's meat; hence a fall from ten to fifteen per cent, took place over the whole kingdom upon that event being declared. This fall, without dispute, proceeded from the force of opinion, as it took place all at once before the least alteration in the demand occurred ; therefore has not been lasting. Instead of continuing to fall, or even remaining at the prices then noted, cattle and sheep have risen considerably, and threaten to ad- vance still higher." S3 stress on the mere suddenness of the demand, the effect on prices would be in proportion to the extent of the expenditure by government at the different periods ; let the persons holding this opinion reconcile the following facts to their hypothesis. Wheat. Rye. Barley. Oats. *. d. s. d. s. d. s. d. 1793 July 51 3 3/1 32 3 23 5 1794 51 8 37 9 31 8 22 1 1795 77 2 57 3 41 10 27 8 1796 81 5 46 9 34 3 21 3 1797 49 8 29 6 24 4 15 6 1798 50 4 31 1 29 4 22 7 1799 Jan. 49 2 32 3 29 4 19 7 (See Appendix to Part \.) Here are six years of war conducted at a progressively increasing expenditure, and yet the prices of corn, after having been raised by intermediate bad seasons to a great height, sub- sided to a lower level than they were at in the first year of the war ; and I can recollect that great complaints were made by the farmers of the low prices to which they were obliged to submit at the close of that period *. I have al- * In the autumn of 1 798 beef in Smithfield market averaged from 2s. 8d. to 3s. 6d. per stone, mutton from 2s. 2d. to 2s. lOd. D 34 ready shown that in 1804, when the expenditure by government was greater than at any former period, prices of corn had declined to the level at which they had been on the first breaking out of the war. But, in as far as mere extent of expenditure by the Victualling-office, as well as by other de- partments of government, was concerned, there was no period of the war in which it was on so extensive a scale as in the last six months of 1813, when our armies in the Peninsula were almost wholly subsisted by supplies from this country ; when large fleets of victuallers were despatched in succession to the different ports of Spain and Portugal ; and when our naval and military establishments in general were on a footing of the most profuse expenditure. And yet it will be seen that this profuse expendi- ture had not power to prevent the great fall in the price of corn, which I noticed in my former part as having taken place in these six months ; of which fall a further proof is af- and veal from 3s. Ad. to As. 6d. Hay averaged in St. James's market 21. 12s. and straw 1/. 16s. per load. There are no Victualling-office returns yet made for the period between 1795 and 1801 ; the probability is, that these would show a proportionate depression in the prices of flour and meat at the close of 1798. 35 forded by the actual purchases of the Victual- ling-board, viz. s. d. In Sept. 1812, the price paid for flour per 1 , , , 7 sack was J And in November, 1813 65 2 Making a difference of. 46 5 or upwards of 40 per cent. (Appendix to the Lords' Rep. on the Corn Laivs, p. 139.J The prices of meat, indeed, were rising while wheat and flour were falling ; but this circum- stance affords a prima facie presumption that the same general cause could not affect both, when they were going in opposite directions. The dearness of provender in 1810, 1811, and 1812, resulting, as I shall hereafter have occa- sion to show, from the seasons, will fully ac- count for the high prices of meat, without re- sorting to the operation of war demand. There are particular articles of which the demand for naval and military purposes forms so large a proportion to the total supply, that no diminution of consumption by individuals can keep pace with the immediate increase of demand by government ; and, consequently, the breaking out of a war tends to raise the price of such articles to a great relative height ; but, even of such articles, if the consumption were not d 2 36 on a progressive scale of increase so rapid that the supply, with all the encouragement of a re- latively high price, could not keep pace with the demand, the tendency is (supposing no im- pediment, natural or artificial, to production or importation) to occasion such an increase of quantity, as to reduce the price to nearly the same level as that from which it had advanced. Thus saltpetre, which was at from 65s. to 25s. per cwt. between the close of the American war in 1783, and the breaking out of the Con- tinental war in 1792, rose, by the end of 1795, when nearly all Europe was in arms, to the greatest height that it ever attained, viz. from 132a\ to 170s. per cwt.; but it declined from that time, and was as low at several subsequent periods, allowing only for the difference of the expense of importation from India (which of course was very much greater in time of war), as it had been on an average of the preceding peace. Hemp, which, in the interval of peace fol- lowing 1783, had varied from 20/. to 40/. per ton, making a mean price of 30/. rose by the close of 1796 to 591. ; but in the two years fol- lowing the price fell to 32/., being as low, al- lowing for the difference of freight and in- surance, as it had been, on an average, in the preceding interval of peace ; and there were 37 several subsequent occasions when, making the same allowance, it was equally low. In the spring of 1804, when the purchases for the navy were on a larger scale than they had ever before been, the price was lower than in the autumn of 1802. Foreign iron reached its greatest height in 1801, and fell nearly progressively through the remaining period of the war to the level of what it had been at previously to 1793. I might extend the remark to several other articles which are peculiarly affected by war demand ; but it would fatigue the reader to enumerate them here ; and if he has any wish to try further the truth of these observations, he is referred to the general statement of prices in the Appendix to Part IV. With regard to articles which are not direct objects of government expenditure, there has been no observable connexion between a state of war and a rise of prices, or a state of peace and a fall of prices, beyond what may be di- stinctly accounted for by a difference in the charges of importation. Colonial produce rose, indeed, in the early part of the war, beyond the increased charges of importation ; but that circumstance is fully explained by the sudden diminution or cessation of one of the prin- cipal sources of supply, in consequence of 38 the revolution in St. Domingo, which immedi- ately preceded the breaking out of the war with France. That island had previously produced a very large proportion of the sugar and coffee annually imported into Europe ; and as its pro- duction was nearly, if not quite suspended for some years after the revolution, a scarcity was felt of those articles, till the extended cultiva- tion of our own islands, of the French islands of Martinique and Guadaloupe, and of the Dutch colonies in the West Indies, nearly made up the deficiency. The advocates for the doctrine of increased demand, arising out of the war, for all the great articles of consumption, must include in their supposition a greater actual consumption. I have already offered reasons against the sup- position of any increase of the consumption of provisions during war; but the evidence is still more decisive against the supposition of increased consumption, during war, of other leading articles which are not the direct objects of government expenditure. The returns of the excise prove distinctly a great and progressive increase, since the peace, of the consumption of many of the most important articles; and evidence to the same effect may be derived from a reference to the table of quantities in 39 the appendix to the 4th part of this work. In order to support the hypothesis of increased con- sumption during war, there ought to be proof of larger quantities produced or imported during the war than in the subsequent peace, for in- creased consumption supposes increased pro- duction ; whereas, in point of fact, there has been, and continues to be, a larger quantity pro- duced or imported since the peace, down to the present time, than in any period of the war. 40 SECTION IV. Examination of the Effect of the Monopoly of Trade and general Excitement during the late War. It has been contended that, admitting no in- fluence by war demand upon prices, except of articles that are used as naval and military stores, there was a considerable effect produced on general prices by the monopoly which the war, as a consequence of our ascendancy at sea, and of our exclusive possession of the East and West Indies, conferred on the trade of this country. As instances of the extent of the mo- nopoly of trade which we thus enjoyed, we are referred to the number of British vessels which were progressively increasing (and employed at advanced freights,) with the continuance of the war ; to the crowded state of the river and of the docks ; to the consequently full employment of the various branches of industry connected with the building, repairing, and outfit of ships in the port of London, and in many of the out- ports ; to the comparatively high rents obtained for wharfs and warehouses, and water-side pre- 41 mises generally; and, in short, to all the signs of great commercial activity. A part of this description is true. Never was the shipping of this country more actively em- ployed, or at higher freights ; and scarcely a ship belonging to any other nation could sail without a license from the government of this country. The whole of the exportable produce of the East and West Indies, and of a great part of South America, came to our ports ; and no part of the Continent of Europe could obtain a supply of coffee, sugar, and other colonial articles, except from this country. So far we may be said to have enjoyed the monopoly of trade ; but it remains to connect that description of monopoly with the high prices ascribed to it. Now it so hap- pens, that not an article which was the subject of that monopoly was, as far as I am aware, at a higher price in this country than it would have been under the most free competition. While that monopoly was most strict, viz. in 1811 and 1812, prices of sugar, coffee, dye-woods, cotton, spices, and some descriptions of manufacture, which were the objects of our exclusive trade, were precisely those which, if a deduction be made for the difference between paper and gold, were more depressed than they ever have been before or since. And it was only in the almost certain prospect of peaee, and consequently of 42 the near termination of the monopoly, that the prices of those commodities experienced any decided advance, viz. in 1813-14. Dr. Johnson defines the word " Monopoly" as " the exclusive privilege of selling ;" but, if the thing to be sold exists, and is offered for sale in as unlimited a quantity as it would with- out that privilege, what is the use of it to the party invested with it? If, when the French and Dutch colonies in the West and East Indies were ceded to this country, their produce had been suppressed or destroyed, and their cul- tivation prohibited, then indeed there would have been something substantial in our mono- poly, as far at least as related to price ; and the planters, or the proprietors of the produce of our old colonies, would have derived from that circumstance a decided benefit. Instead of which, by a large outlay of British capital, the French West India islands, and the Dutch set- tlements of Demerara and Surinam in the west, and Java in the east, were rendered more pro- ductive than they ever before had been. The collective and increased produce from all these sources, when poured into this country, while the export to the Continent was restricted, oc- casioned the real depression attending a glut, the very opposite state to that which is commonly supposed to be the consequence of a monopoly. 43 The very high prices of those articles in 1813 and 1814 were, as I have already shown, in great part the result of ill judged speculations, and were not realized by the exporters in the eventual returns ; but even supposing these prices to have been realized, they were so transi- tory, as not to afford a compensation for the long previous depression ; and they cannot at any rate be considered as the result of a mono- poly arising out of the war, when they were only the consequence of the opening of new markets by a peace. It is natural that those of our merchants who received the consignments unincumbered with advances; merely as agents, ship-builders, and all the subordinate classes connected with them; the proprietors of lighters, wharfs, warehouses, and all water-side premises; should be gainers by this forced concourse of business in the port of London ; but their gains were aggravations of the losses of the persons interested in the result of the imports. As to a monopoly of the carrying trade by this country during the war, I am at a loss to conceive on what grounds it can be supposed that we possessed it. We had not only no car- rying trade, properly so called, meaning by it the conveyance of cargoes from one foreign port to another, but we were actually under the necessity of relaxing the operation of the na- 44 vigation laws, and of allowing to foreign vessels the permission of bringing the produce of states to which they did not belong to this country. From 1807 to 1813 the whole of our large im- portations of the bulky commodities from the Baltic, and from Archangel, were brought in foreign bottoms, very few of which belonged to the countries where they were loaded. Pre- vious to 1808 the Americans enjoyed by far the largest proportion of the carrying trade ; and it is well known that the advantages which they enjoyed in this respect were the main occasion of the collisions which led eventually to the war between this country and the United States. Subsequently to our disputes with America, a swarm of Pappenburg, Mecklenburg, Hanover, and Lubeck vessels crowded the sea for the purpose of carrying on the trade between the Continent of Europe and this country, and the freights earned by these vessels were on several occasions, for a single voyage, equal to the whole cost of the ship. British ships at that time, al- though possessing no part of the carrying trade, and although excluded from nearly the whole of the direct trade between the Continent of Europe and this country, were likewise however employed very beneficially for their owners ; in^ asmuch as the demand for transports by go- vernment was on a scale of such progressive 45 increase that the supply could scarcely keep pace with it. There was a further reason indeed for the extensive employment of shipping at that period ; which was, that in consequence of the detentions for convoy, and in consequence (as in the case of the trade with the Baltic) of the navigation being in some instances more cir- cuitous and hazardous, where two or three voyages are now made, only one could then be accomplished. With regard to the excitement or stimulus ascribed to the war, the terms are so vague in the way in which they have been commonly used, as to mean equally any thing or nothing. It may easily be conceived that high prices operated as a stimulus or excitement to in- creased production, and that increased produc- tion again occasioned the low prices, and con- sequent discouragement ; but the question is as to the cause of the high prices, and how the stimulus supposed to arise out of the war was calculated to occasion the high prices (always allowing, as I do, for the effect of war demand in raising, at least for a time, the prices of military and naval stores). The answer to that question is comprised in what has already been said on the supposed extra demand arising out of the war : the effective demand must be li- mited by the means of payment, and the sti- 46 mulus or excitement arising out of a state of war cannot supply any extra means of payment except by previous increase of production. The source of confusion, I have no doubt, arises from mistaking the stimulus to speculation originating in the actual or apprehended scarcity incidental to the events of a war, for the natural and necessary effects of war ; and from not con- sidering that scarcity during peace has (witness the activity of speculation resulting from the scarcity of 1816-17) produced effects exactly similar to those which have been ascribed to the war, while in some former wars the opposite effects were observable, viz. stagnation and low prices. 47 SECTION V. Effect of War, as obstructing Supply, on general Prices. Enough has been said to prove that war cannot operate in raising general prices through the medium of increased demand, the quantity of money and its rate of circulation continuing the same ; and that there is no sufficient ground for ascribing any effect in raising general prices to the monopoly of trade, or to the increased excitement and activity which characterized the last war. The remaining question is, what effects are to be ascribed to war as regards supply? And the answer may be, in general terms, that it is the tendency of war to diminish supply. The mode in which war maybe calculated to operate to this effect, is, 1st by a diminution of repro- duction, and 2nd by impediments to com- mercial communication. It will be readily admitted that the imme- diate and obvious tendency of a state of war is to abstract a portion of the capital and la- bour, which would otherwise have been em- ployed in reproduction ; and if, from the course 48 of military operations, or from arbitrary go- vernment exactions, an apprehension should be superadded of insecurity of property, there will be a further cause for diminished produc- tion ; so that dearth and impoverishment are likely to be the consequences of a state of war in a country thus situated. On the other hand, there may be, coin- cidently with a state of war in any particular country, circumstances calculated to counter- balance, and even to outweigh, the tendency in question : 1. Increased activity and industry in the mass of the population, so that the portion re- maining, after the abstraction of labourers for the purposes of war, may be able and willing to produce as much as, or even more than, was previously produced. 2. Increased disposition on the part of in- dividuals to accumulate capital, so as to com- pensate for the war expenditure, without any diminution of the funds applicable to repro- duction. 3. Improvements in agriculture and ma- chinery, tending to increase reproduction with the same or less capital and labour. 4. Greater security of property relatively to other countries, thus inducing an influx of capital from abroad. 49 All these circumstances concurred in this country, during the whole of the late contests, and the consequence was an increase of pro- duction and population in spite of the opposite tendency arising out of a state of war. The effects, however, of the preponderating tendency of circumstances favourable to re- production, as far as relates to agriculture, were repressed, or, at least, prevented from re- ceiving their full developement, by a course of seasons more than usually unpropitious, as I shall endeavour to show by and by. Although the war cannot be said to have operated upon the supply of agricultural pro- duce of our own growth and of other native commodities sufficiently to outweigh the cir- cumstances favourable to reproduction, it ope- rated most powerfully in obstructing, thence increasing the cost, and thereby diminishing the supply of such commodities as we stood in need of from abroad. It is therefore to war chiefly as affecting supply, by obstructions to importation, at a time when, (as it will ap- pear hereafter) by a succession of unfavour- able seasons, our own produce became in- adequate to the average consumption, that any considerable proportion of the range of high prices is to be attributed. It is, in fact, only with reference to the nature and de- E 50 gree of the impediments to commercial com- munications that the last war, as far as relates to prices, is to be distinguished from former wars — coinciding as that did with a succession of seasons which made us dependent on other countries for an adequate supply of food. Gigantic and terrific as that contest was, of which it has been truly said, that " compared with that crisis, there was nothing similar, un- less it were that aera at which the irruption of the Barbarians subverted the Roman empire," the effect of it upon prices would have been very different, if, allowing the same scale of military and naval operations, and consequently of war expenditure, it had been divested of its anti-commercial character ; or if, possessing its anti-commercial character, it had not occurred contemporaneously with years of scarcity in this country, approaching in some instances to famine. I have already, in the former part of this work, had occasion to notice, in general terms, the degree in which the price of some com- modities was increased by the enormous charges of importation: and I will add only a few more particulars, by way of showing the connexion between the extraordinary political obstruc- tions to commercial intercourse, and the high prices of those commodities which have been 51 adduced as instances of indefinite depreciation of the currency by one party, and of the equally indefinite effects of war demand by another. As the period between 1808 and 1813 is that which is commonly referred to as exemplifying these two positions respectively, I give the fol- lowing specimens of the charges of importation to which commodities that we stood most in need of were subject in 1809, compared with the charges of importation in 1822, and the reader will thence judge whether the high prices of those articles are attributable to war, as increasing the demand, or to war, as ob- structing the supply. The freight, and premium of insurance*, from St. Petersburg to London in 1809 and 1822, on the average of the seasons, were as follows : 1809 1822 /. I d. I. s. d. On Hemp . . per ton 30 3 Tallow . . 20 2 Linseed . per quarter 2 5 4 6 * In 1809 there were instances when 30/. per ton was paid for theft-eight alone of hemp; and the insurance varied from 20 to 40 per cent., making these two items of charge amount to between 40/. and 50/. per ton on hemp, and in a similar proportion on other articles of importation from the Baltic. But I have rather taken the medium rate which prevailed through the season. There was no very material reduction in those charges till 1813. E 2 52 The charges of importation in those two years on all other commodities from the Baltic were in the same proportion. I have already noticed in the first part of this work the enormous expenses attending the importation of silk by a circuitous route* from Italy through the north of Europe. Some came likewise through France, and the charges of conveyance from Italy to Havre and duty of transit amounted to nearly 100/. per bale of 2401b., net weight, exclusive of freight and insurance from Havre hither. The whole ex- pense of freight and insurance from Italy does not at present amount to more than 61. per bale. But, while the cost of articles imported from the Continent of Europe was thus enhanced by the difficulty of communication, the same cause raised the price of colonial produce and of some kinds of British manufactures to a still greater proportionate height on the Continent, inas- much as the vigilance and severity of the de- crees of the enemy were exercised more directly against imports from, than against exports to, this country. One or two instances may serve to show the degree in which these obstructions * On one occasion two parcels of silk were despatched from Bergamo at the same time, one by the way of Smyrna and the other by the way of Archangel ; the former was a twelve- month and the latter two years on its passage. 53 were calculated to raise the prices of such com- modities abroad. The charges of freight and French license on a vessel of little more than 100 tons burthen have been known to amount to 50,000/. for the voyage merely from Calais to London and back : this made the proportion of freight on Indigo amount to 4s. 6d. the pound ; the freight in 1822 was about Id. per pound ! A ship, of which the whole cost and outfit did not amount to 4000/., earned a gross freight of 80,000/. on a voyage from Bordeaux to London and back. Among the means devised by the ingenuity and enterprise of adventurers to elude or over- come the obstacles presented by the decrees of the enemy, one in particular, which was re- sorted to on an extensive scale, deserves men- tion as illustrating, in a striking manner, the degree in which those obstacles were calculated to increase the cost to the consumer. Several vessels laden with sugar, coffee, tobacco, cotton twist, and other valuable commodities, were despatched* from hence at very high rates of freight and insurance to Salonica, where the * At a considerable additional expense; the refined sugar ■was packed here in small boxes made for the express pur- pose, to contain not more than about 2 cwt. each, so as to admit of being slung one on each side of the horse or mule for conveyance overland. 54 goods were landed, and thence conveyed on horses and mules through Servia and Hun- gary to Vienna, for the purpose of being distributed over Germany, and possibly into France. Thus, it might happen, that the in- habitants of that part of the Continent of Europe most contiguous to this country could not receive their supplies from hence, with- out an expense of conveyance equivalent to what it would be if they were removed to a distance of a sea-voyage twice round the globe, but not subject to fiscal and political obstruc- tions. It is not to v be wondered at that the articles subject to such expenses should be sold at enormously high prices, for these prices were the condition requisite to overcome the ob- stacles to supply. I have already noticed the prices of sugar, coffee, and indigo, in France in 1811, and I will now only add that raw cotton was, at one time, as high as 10 and llfrs. the pound. With just as much reason might the high prices, on the Continent, of articles subject to such obstructions be resorted to in proof of the effects of war demand, as the high prices in this country, of timber, hemp, flax, silk, &c. and of the manufactured articles into the com- position of which these raw materials entered, be considered to prove the extra-demand and consumption arising out of the war. 55 A part, although perhaps only a small part, of the extra cost of conveyance might, in the first instance, be defrayed by the producer ; it is clear, however, that if, before that in- creased charge, he got only a remunerating price, he would gradually diminish his supply, or, at least, not extend it as he might otherwise have done, and that the consumer eventually would have to pay the whole, or nearly the whole, of the increased charges. The adjust- ment of the proportion in which the extra- charges would, in the mean time, be borne by the consumer and the producer respectively, might vary according to the respective wants and means of each. Applying this view of the increased charges of conveyance to the price of corn in this country, it may serve to account, in some de- gree, for the lower price in some of the periods of war than in periods of peace down to 1793. For if we were in the habit of growing more than enough for our own consumption, then, upon the occurrence of a war, and consequent increased charges of conveyance, supposing no increased want, nor anticipation of increased want of corn abroad, the foreign consumer would have no inducement to pay an increased price, in the first instance at least ; and the pro- ducers here, in order to dispose of the same 56 quantity as before, must submit to make some sacrifice, to compensate for a part of the extra charge of conveyance. Such sacrifice, we know, was made by the holders of colonial produce and by some of our manufacturers, in order to force an export at particular periods of the last war. On the other hand, as in the war that com- menced in 1793, we occasionally required, whether from the course of the seasons, or from other causes, an increased supply of corn from abroad to make up for the deficiency of our own produce ; and as, in some instances, the cause of increased want by this country, viz. unpropitiousness of the seasons, coincided with a similar state of the season abroad, we were under the necessity of defraying nearly the whole of the charges of conveyance. I say nearly the whole, because the foreign grower must have paid some part of them ; inasmuch as there can be no doubt that the price at the shipping ports would have been higher, although here it might have been considerably lower, had it not been for those extra charges of con- veyance : the consumer here would have been more abundantly supplied at lower prices, while the foreign exporter might have ob- tained a higher price for a larger quantity. In general terms it may be said, that the ob- 5? structions to commercial communication arising: out of war tend to produce dearth of imported, and glut of exportable commodities, subject of course to the peculiarities of demand affecting particular descriptions. And if it had so hap- pened that in the last war we had habitually grown as much corn beyond the proportion of our own consumption as we did between 1740 and 1750*, and that the seasons had been equally favourable to the growth, we should have witnessed a totally different set of pheno- mena connected with prices. The transition from war to peace might, as was the case on several former occasions, have been attended with a rise of prices of agricultural produce, and nothing would have been heard of the distress of the landed interest as resulting from the peace, nor would a state of war be considered as the source of their prosperity. But as the case really was that, by the course of the seasons, and by an increase of population * The lowest prices of wheat in the whole of that period of cheapness occurred in the height of the war with France, viz. in the years 1743, 4, and 5 ; and a better proof cannot be given of the distress arising from the want of a market for our surplus produce, which must have occasioned that extreme degree of depression, than the fact that in 1745, notwith- standing the war, an exportation of corn to France was allowed for a certain limited time, but to a large amount. 58 outrunning perhaps the extent of cultivation,- we stood in need of a supply of corn from abroad during the greater part of the last war, it clearly follows, from the preceding view, that the price was higher than it otherwise would have been by the increased charges of convey- ance arising out of the war. The measure, therefore, of the utmost effect of the war upon prices will be found in the in- creased charges upon the importation, and in the consequently diminished supply of the ar- ticles of which we stood in need, without sup- posing any increased demand arising out of the war, except for such articles as come imme- diately under the description of military and naval stores. Of a great number of articles, with that exception, the whole rise of prices above what they were before 1793, or subsequent to 1814, may be accounted for by increased charges of importation, allowing always for the difference between paper and gold. Of some few the supply may have been affected by the course of military operations at particular periods of the war, as silk in Italy, wool in Spain, and hemp and flax and tallow in Russia. Of the rest, including agricultural produce in this country, the whole variation in price, beyond the difference between paper and gold, and beyond the increased charges of importation incidental to a war, may, 59 in my opinion, be fully accounted for by a re- ference to the state of the seasons, as well in this country as in those from which we drew part of our supplies *. * Since the text was thus far written, there have been im- portant political changes, which have involved the chance of this country being engaged in a new war j and the prevailing errors respecting the nature and extent of the effects of war on prices cannot be better exposed than by a reference to the fluctuations which markets have recently (April, 1823,) undergone. Towards the latter part of January, when the speech of the King of France, indicating approaching hostilities be- tween that country and Spain, made its appearance, a spe- culation arose here upon the chance of this country becoming involved in the contest, and an advance of price took place immediately in many articles. Saltpetre and hemp were of course the first objects of speculative demand, as being mi- litary and naval stores j the former advanced in a few days from 28s. to 40s., the latter from 38/. to 421. Colonial pro- duce likewise rose considerably, and there was so far a suf- ficient ground for the advance, as extensive orders w r ere re- ceived for purchases of sugar, coffee, &c. to be shipped to France, upon the apprehension that in the event of a war with this country, France would be excluded from direct supplies of that description of commodities. Corn and meat, which had begun to rise before any apprehensions of war, seemed to advance more rapidly when rumours of a warlike tendency were most prevalent, and it is probable that the common opinion of the connexion between war and high prices did accelerate the rise. Several other articles likewise expe- rienced an advance ; and if a war involving this country had GO immediately broken out, the general rise of prices would have been exclusively ascribed to that event. But how stands the case now that the apprehension of immediate war as relates to this country has subsided? Why, those articles which would and must in the event of hostilities have advanced, for some time at least, very considerably, viz. saltpetre and hemp, have receded completely back to the level from which they rose 5 while sugar, which, as I had occasion to state in the first part of my work, was becoming less superabundant than it had been in the markets of Europe, and had consequently a tendency to improve, is now ten per cent, at least higher than it was when the warlike rumours first began to prevail. Corn, after receding, in consequence of the subsidence of those rumours, which had apparently accelerated the rise, has resumed its tendency upwards, and is now at a higher price, as is meat likewise, than when the apprehensions of war were most prevalent. Flax, of which the consumption would have been increased by a war, advanced in a very trifling degree till after the ex- pectation of that event had subsided, and the price has since risen between 71. and 8/. per ton, or nearly 15 per cent. Lead has likewise risen since last month. The rise in price of these and of several other commodities would, if war had broken out, have been ascribed to that event, without any very minute investigation of the precise dates at which the rise had commenced, or any critical examination of the mode in which they could be affected by that event. The general rule by which the mere effects of war, divested of other circumstances, may be expected to affect the price of any particular article, is to determine the degree in which the difficulty of production, or the expense of conveyance, is likely to be increased. This will in general be the utmost measure of advance upon imported commodities ; while ar- ticles of export may be depressed, in as far a3 the market for 61 them may be narrowed by a war : at the same time even these articles may be raised in price under the apprehension of hostilities, because the markets which would be likely to be shut by the actual occurrence of a war would require an extra quantity, and therefore cause an extra demand while the event was only impending. THOUGHTS, &c. PART III. SECTION I. Introduction. Nothing has struck me as being more strange in all the late discussions and reasonings upon the subject of the high and low prices of the last thirty years, than the little importance which has been attached to the effects which a difference in the character of the seasons is calculated to occasion. Individuals interested in the markets for agricultural produce are habitually alive to the prodigious influence of the weather, at particular periods, on the result of the harvest in point of quantity, and still more in point of exchangeable value : and yet the same individuals, when called upon to account for a range of high or low prices at an an- tecedent period, perfectly within their recol- lection, seem wholly to neglect or overlook the 2 consideration of the possibility of any influence on an extended scale of that cause, to which in detail, or in accounting for the produce of any particular year, they cannot help attaching a weight preponderating over every other. The farmer naturally, and almost instinctively, watches, with painful anxiety, the several critical periods in the growth of the different descrip- tions of produce, and infers, according as ap- pearances are decidedly unfavourable or pro- pitious, and as they extend, or are supposed to extend, generally to the same descriptions of pro- duce in other districts, the probability of a great alteration in the price : thus severe frost, or heavy rains at the blooming time, or unfavour- able weather at harvest, or general indications of blight or mildew, or other extensive injury from some peculiarity in the atmosphere, lead him irresistibly to the conclusion that, sup- posing the same cause to apply to the greater part of the country, there must be a great rise in price, whatever may be the state of the currency, or the aspect of politics. If, on the contrary, after a year of bad produce and high prices, appearances are favourable for the grow- ing crops ; or if, after threatening indications of injury in the earlier stages of vegetation, the weather suddenly becomes propitious, all parties interested in the price immediately anticipate a fall, without refining upon the supposed agency of other causes. Yet such being the paramount influence of particular seasons upon the price, it is sur- prising that not a single witness examined by the Agricultural Committee in 1821, with the exception of myself, seems to have included in his consideration of the means of accounting for the prevalence of the high prices from 1793 to 1813, and the comparative low prices from the latter year to that time, the possibility of different proportions of good and bad seasons in the two intervals, compared either with each other, or with intervals of equal length in periods antecedent to 1793. Indeed, one of the witnesses examined by the committee went so far as even to deny, in general terms, that an abundant harvest had any considerable effect on the price of wheat. The question and answer are as follows : " Do you think, then, that an abundant harvest has no effect upon the price of wheat ?" — " Very little ; but some*." So conscious was I, indeed, of the startling appearance of the opinion which I had ex- pressed before the Committee, of the preva- lence of seasons of a particular character, fa- vourable or unfavourable, through periods of * Thomas Attwood, esq. Minutes of Evidence, Agri- cultural Report, 1821, p. 252. F considerable length, that at the close of my examination I thought it right to appeal to what would be admitted as the highest au- thorities, viz. the recorded opinions to that effect of Dr. Adam Smith and Mr. Burke ; my quotation from the latter of whom, in support of my view on the subject, was referred to in the body of the Agricultural Report. The general opinion has been, that although there might be a considerable variation in the character of particular seasons compared with others, the range of those variations could not be supposed to extend over more than three, four, or at the utmost, five years ; or in other words, that, assuming the extent of cultivation to be the same, the aggregate produce of every three, four, or at the utmost, five years, would be the same. And the ground for this opinion seems to have been suggested by the experience of the period of twenty years ending in 1813, which presents the recurrence of years of de- cided scarcity, in no instance exceeding four years from each other. The bad harvest of 1816 tended to confirm the same conclusion: and, as during that interval the produce of this country was inadequate to the consumption without a foreign supply, and as a foreign supply could not be obtained during the war, except at very high prices, nor after the pass- big of the corn bill of 1815, till the price had reached upwards of 80s., the practical effect of this impression was to create great confidence in continuing and extending cultivation. If this opinion of the recurrence of bad sea- sons at nearly equidistant periods, or of the aggregate produce of any four or five years being equal to that of any other four or five years, the cultivation being the same, or rather in the same proportion to the population, be admitted to be correct, the conclusion might naturally be, that no part of the great differ- ence in the average price of corn during the twenty years ending in 1813, compared with the prices since that time, or anterior to 1793, could be referred to the influence of the sea- sons. And certainly if this conclusion were proved to be well founded, there would be no alternative but to seek in the circumstances affecting the value of the currency, or in the war, and in the transition from war to peace, for the whole of the fluctuation. Accordingly, this implied assumption, arising from a neglect of a more extended view of facts as connected with that point, removes some part of the wonder which otherwise might be felt at seeing persons of great ability, and extensive informa- tion, espouse an exclusive hypothesis of the sufficiency of one of the two causes before- f2 6 mentioned, to produce all the phenomena of prices that are now the subject of investigation. The advocates for either hypothesis perceiving all the absurdity of referring any considerable part of the difference of prices to the other, find the inference in favour of their own view irresistible. Now, as in the preceding parts of this in- quiry, I have endeavoured to prove that the effects of the alterations in the currency, by the bank restriction, are limited to the difference between paper and gold, and that a state of war can only have operated on the aggregate of prices by a diminished or obstructed supply of com- modities ; and as the influence of these causes, thus limited, is inadequate to account for the greatest part of the fluctuation of prices at par- ticular periods, or through the whole range embraced by this inquiry, we have to seek for some other cause or causes of powerful agency to account for the difference. One cause ob- viously presents itself as fully adequate, even in the opinion of the most determined advocates for either of the exclusive theories of currency or war, to account for a great fluctuation of prices from year to year, or within a period more or less limited, viz. the difference in the produce of particular seasons. May it not, therefore, be a fair ground of 7 inference a priori, from the inadequateness of the other circumstances which have been ad- duced to account for the high range of prices between 1793 and 1813, and for the subse- quent decline, that a cause so powerfully af- fecting short periods may have acted for a greater length of time than is commonly assigned to its operation, and may have gone far, if not the whole way, to account for that part of the fluctuation of prices which is left unexplained by the currency, and by the obstructions to supply, arising out of the war ? But the assignment of a considerable effect to the influence of this cause in accounting; for the high and low prices of the last thirty years, is not only justified by inference from the in- adequateness of any other known circumstances to have produced those effects : it will, I think, be found, that a reference to the history of the seasons, and of their connexion with the price of provisions during the periods through which their agency can be clearly traced, will confirm and establish that conclusion. The course which I shall pursue in endea- vouring, by an extensive induction of facts, to establish the grounds for imputing to the variety of the seasons, a very large proportion of the fluctuations of the prices of corn, and of some 8 other commodities, which have been so much the subject of controversy, is 1st, To examine by a reference to the best evidence within my reach, the general descrip- tion of seasons for so long a course of years, an- tecedent to 1793, as may afford some guide for conjecture, as to the term during which there may be a preponderance of seasons of a par- ticular character of favorableness or unfavour- ableness. 2d, To give a short statement of the character of every season, from 1793 to the present time. 3d, To estimate the mode and degree in which the variations of supply resulting from the difference of seasons, are calculated to affect prices. 4th, To point out some of the general effects of variations in price, as resulting from the dif- ference of the seasons. 9 SECTION II. Character of the Seasons from 1688 to 1792, both Years included. Lv examining the character of the seasons, with a view to determine their influence on pro- duce and prices anterior to 1793, it seems to be sufficient for the purposes of this inquiry, to go as far back as 1688 ; because that is the year in which the celebrated corn bill, first of William and Mary, was passed, granting a bounty on the exportation of corn ; and which is by many, therefore, considered as a new era in the history of our corn trade ; because, for any considerable period prior to that time, the materials, whether as to actual description of the seasons, or as to the possible influence of other causes on the price of corn, are more imperfect than in the succeeding interval ; because the table inserted in the second division of this work, with a view to illustrate the effects of war demand begin- ning with that date, will serve the purpose of reference for this part likewise j and because, seeing that the interval of 105 years, which I am 10 about to examine, furnishes proofs of seasons of a particular character of favorableness or unfavor- ableness, for terms as long as those for which I am contending, it affords grounds of presump- tion prima facie j quite strong enough in favor of my position. If, therefore, I had materials and leisure, and sufficient reliance on the patience of my readers, to induce me to carry the investigation into a more remote period, my position might indeed be strengthened, but could not well be invalidated. But, even going no farther back than 1688, I have not in my possession, nor have I leisure to search for ma- terials to enable me to furnish a direct descrip- tion of the seasons in regular series from that time ; and an attempt indeed to furnish it, if I were in possession of those materials, would swell this part of my work to a disproportionate size : I shall, therefore, content myself with o-iving a sketch of the direct historical notices which have met with of any particular de- scription of seasons ; and in the absence of any such direct notice, I shall refer to the price, as showing a sufficient ground of presumption as to the general productiveness or unproductive- ness of certain seasons. It may be a question how far quotations of price are admissible as evidence of the state of 11 the seasons, when the degree in which price may be affected by the seasons is the very ob- ject of investigation. The answer is, that doubt- less direct historical testimony would be better authority ; but that, in the present case, the in- ference to be drawn from the quotations of price, anterior to 1793, may be quite sufficient for practical purposes, when there is no direct de- scription. I insert in the Appendix an account of the Windsor prices, from the Lords' Report on the Corn Laws, 1814, and continued in the Appendix to the Agricultural Report of the Commons' Committee, 1821, in which the price is set down for Lady-day and Michaelmas, of each year. From this account, any very marked variation in the produce or promise of the season may be clearly inferred by a reference to the difference between the quotations of the spring and autumn, when nothing in the state of the currency or any other important circumstance calculated to af- fect prices, is recorded to have occurred. The inference to this effect is strengthened by the ac- cordance of direct notices of the state of the sea- sons, whenever they are given with the indication conveyed by the variation between the Lady- day and Michaelmas prices. Hence, in the ab- sence of any historical notice, it may be safely 12 concluded, when no considerable difference is observable in the quotations from six months to six months and from year to year, that the seasons have preserved a general uniformity of character. This account does not go further back than 1697 ; but there is sufficient testimony of the general state of the seasons for the term between 1688 and that year. I have here incidentally to observe, that the price of wheat was declining in the two years preceding 1688 — the yearly averages being 11. 10s. 2^d. per quarter for 1686, and 1/. %s. 4-14 for 1687. This low and declining state of prices pro- duced, as usual on such occasions, considerable distress among the landed interest, and was, probably, the ground on which the celebrated Act of the 1st of William and Mary, granting a bounty on the exportation of corn, was passed. Whether, as the effect on opinion of the passing of this bill, or as the consequence of the state of the weather, of which I do not find any particular notice, the price advanced to 2/. Os. 10j^. as the average for 1688. Not- withstanding the corn bill, however, the price fell on the average of the three following years. 13 But, in 1692, commenced a series of extra- ordinarily bad seasons ; they have been tra- ditionally referred to as the barren years at the close of the seventeenth century*. Of these seasons there are some chronological notices connected with the prices of provisions in a publication entitled " An Inquiry into the Prices of Wheat, Malt, and, occasionally, of other Provisions, as sold in England from the Year 1000 to the Year 1765." (Folio, published for T. Longman, 1768.) — From which the fol- lowing are extracts. " 1692. Great rains in autumn ; an earthquake was felt in England, and in most parts of Europe. " 1 693. A very wet summer ; this unseasonable weather extended to France, where numbers perished for want, not- withstanding they imported much corn from Sweden and Denmark. In Kent, turnips made a considerable share of bread for the people. * In the Farmer's Magazine, for January, 1800, (vol. I. page 103,) is a passage in which the editors, after noticing the importance of a register of the seasons, add " Such a register will not only inform the present generation, but must also prove very interesting to posterity. We need hardly say, that if similar information could be procured concerning the causes which occasioned the scanty crops at the end of the seventeenth century, traditionally called the barren years, it would be considered as a particular obligation." 14 " 1694. A very wet summer. '.* 1695. Many of the Scotch are driven into Ireland by the excessive price of corn. " 1 696. A very wet summer. A great want of money in specie ; but this was soon remedied by the new coin coming out*. " 1698. A very wet summer. The peace, and dearness of corn in England, facilitate it to the French to seduce our manufacturers ; with these they establish a woollen manu- facture for cloths and woollen goods in Picardy. Great complaints are made of the dearness of provisions and decay of trade. " 1699. A wet summer. These cold and wet seasons lasted more than seven years; the dismal effects of famine were felt in most parts of Europe." The scarcity resulting from such seasons is noticed by Dr. Adam Smith, in the following terms : " The scarcity which prevailed in Eng- land from 1693 to 1699, both inclusive, though no doubt principally owing to the badness of the seasons, and, therefore, extending through a considerable part of Europe, must have been somewhat enhanced by the bounty. In 1699, accordingly, the further exportation of corn was prohibited for nine months." As the price, on * The state of the weather in 1 697 is not noticed in this publication ; but, as the price advanced at the Michaelmas of that year to 8*., and on the Lady-day following to 8*. 9d. per Windsor bushel, the presumption is that the harvest must have been unfavourable. 15 the average, was above that up to which the bounty was payable, it does not appear how that measure could have enhanced the price, and I quote the passage merely as evidence of the notoriety of the fact of the prevalence of scarcity through the greater part of Europe during an interval of about seven years. The relatively high prices of that period can, indeed, not be satisfactorily accounted for in any other way. The bounty must, on the grounds which I have stated, have been wholly inoperative to that effect ; or, rather, in as far as it was calculated to force a surplus produce, it might, when the exportation was prohibited, have had a temporary effect in a contrary direction, viz. of preventing the rise to so great an extent as might otherwise have taken place. Some writers have ascribed the dearness of provisions, at that time, to the debased state of the silver coinage ; but, I am inclined to think, that little, if any part, of the relatively high prices can be ascribed to that cause. The debasement of the coin was nearly, if not quite, at its greatest height in the three years pre- ceding 1692 ; and yet the price of wheat, on the average of those three years, did not ex- ceed 1/. 9s. 3d. per quarter. And, in 1687, the m price was 1/. 2s. 4>d.; while, in 1692, it was at 21. Is. 5%d. ; and, in 1693, at 31. Os. \-\d. As far, therefore, as the debasement of the cur- rency went, the prices immediately pre- ceding 1692, low as they were, would have been still lower, if the coin had been perfect ; and it leaves the whole advance, commencing in 1692, as compared with the preceding periods, to be accounted for by the seasons. In the course of the years 1694 and 1695, measures were taken for a new coinage ; and the effect of these measures, while they were in progress, was to occasion great scarcity of circulating medium, by the inducement to hoard the more perfect pieces, and to reject the imperfect. In 1695 a proclamation was issued, prohibiting the currency of the clipped money. In the early part of 1696, being the interval between the crying down of the old, and the issuing of the new coin, the scarcity of money seems to have been severely felt, as appears by the fol- lowing extracts from Evelyn's Memoirs. " June 11, 1696. Want of current money to carry on the smallest concerns, even for daily provisions in the mar- kets. Guineas lowered to 22s., and great sums daily trans- ported to Holland, where it yields more, with other treasure sent to pay the armies, and nothing considerable coined of the new, and now only current stamp, cause such a scarcity, that tumults are every day feared ; nobody paying or re- 17 ceiving : so imprudent was the late parliament to condemn the old, though dipt and corrupted, till they had provided supplies. To this, add the fraud of the bankers and gold- smiths, who, having gotten immense riches by extortion, keepe up their treasure in expectation of enhancing its value." Nothing can indicate more strongly than this description the great stagnation, and con- sequent enhancement of the value of the cir- culating medium*; and it is probable, there- fore, that prices, high as they were from de- ficiency of supply arising out of the seasons, would have been still higher in the interval immediately preceding I696, if the contraction of the circulation had not been greater with a debased, than it subsequently was with a more perfect coin. In 1696 the new coin began to appear, and, in the course of the two following years, the reformation of the currency was completed ; but it was precisely in this interval, viz. from 1696 to 1699, both years included, (the two last being years of peace), that prices reached their greatest height. A further pre- * I find that Mr. Huskisson, in his speech last session (recently published) on Mr. Western's motion., quotes from archdeacon Coxe's publication of the correspondence be- tween king William and the duke of Shrewsbury, several particulars which fully confirm this statement of the scarcity of money and general stagnation which prevailed in 1696. IS sumption against the supposition of the cur- rency having had any material influence in this high range of prices, is derived from the cir- cumstance that a similar rise, confined likewise to the same period, occurred in France. The prevalence then of an extraordinary succession of bad seasons from 1692 to 1699, and the cessation of the unfavourable weather for two or three years after, combined with the extension of cultivation which was, in all probability, encouraged by the high prices, are fully sufficient to account for the fluctuation between 1691, and the summer of 1703. The harvest of 1703 seems to have been un- favourable, as the price of wheat rose by Lady- day following to nearly double of what it had been in the preceding spring, viz. Per Bushel of 9 Gallons. *. d. 1703. Lady Day. . .39 Michaelmas . .53 1704. Lady Day . .73 (See Appendix.) At Michaelmas, 1704, it fell to 4>s. 4 I thought, were strangers to the general failure of the article of turnips last year ; the early having been burned as they came up by the great drought and heat; the late, and those of the early which had escaped, were destroyed by the chilling frosts of the winter, and the wet and severe weather of the spring. In many places a full fourth of the sheep or the lambs were lost ; what remained of the lambs were poor and ill fed, the ewes having had no milk. The calves came late, and they were generally an article, the want of which was as much to be dreaded as any other. So that article of food, formerly so abundant in the early part of the summer, particularly in London, and which in a great part supplied the place of mutton for near two months, did little less than totally fail. " All the productions of the earth link in with each other. All the sources of plenty in all and every article were dried or frozen up. The scarcity was not, as gentlemen seem to suppose, in wheat only. " As to the lesser articles, they are like the greater. They 55 have followed the fortune of the season. Why are fowls dear? Was not this the farmer's or jobber's fault? I sold from my yard to a jobber six young and lean fowls, for four- and-twenty shillings ; fowls, for which two years ago the same man would not have given a shilling a piece. He sold them afterwards at Uxbridge, and they were taken to London to receive the last hand. " As to the operation of the war in causing the scarcity of provisions, I understand that Mr. Pitt has given a particular answer to it; but I do not think it worth powder and shot." (Page 33.) As the degree of deficiency arising from the excessive drought and scanty crops of 1794, and the want of a surplus from 1793, had not, in consequence of the harvest being unusually for- ward, and the corn being brought in fine con- dition, and very early to market, been suf- ficiently appreciated, the price did not rise soon enough to check the consumption ; and it was not till the winter and spring following that the insufficiency of the stock on hand, to meet the consumption at the average rate, became ap- parent. At the same time the weather was extremely unfavourable to the growing crops, which were known to have sustained great injury. A very general alarm then arose ; the price advanced rapidly, and there was more real ground for apprehending a famine than perhaps even in the more memorable scarcity and higher prices of 1799 and 1800. But the advance in 1795 was checked by peculiar cir- cumstances. In the early part of that year, 56 and, indeed, for some time previous*, govern- ment had taken the alarm at the indications of severe dearth, and adopted some extraordinary measures of precaution. All neutral ships, bound with corn to France, were seized and brought into this country, and their cargoes paid for with a profit to the proprietors. This measure was adopted with the double view of relief to ourselves, and distress to the enemy, as a still greater scarcity prevailed in France than here : at the same time the government of this country employed agents to buy corn at the ports in the Baltic. This was done because it was apprehended that our own merchants would be deterred from purchasing so freely as was desirable, by the great advance of price which had taken place in the north of Europe, in consequence of large purchases for account of the French government. Of the policy of this measure, as interfering with the ordinary * As far back as 1792 government had made purchases of foreign corn, which was then in considerable quantity in London under the king's lock. I have already described the season of 1792 as an indifferent one in this country: in France it was worse, and the French government had em- ployed agents to obtain supplies of corn from hence. Our government, in order to prevent the exportation without incurring the invidiousness which would have attended a prohibition of export under the peculiar circumstances of those times, resorted to the measure alluded to ; and it was carried into effect without being generally known. 57 course and true principles of trade, Mr. Pitt spoke doubtingly ; but rested the justification of it upon the extraordinary and alarming cha- racter of the emergency. The measure was, indeed, objectionable upon various grounds, which it would lead me too far to enter upon at present; and I only mention it, because, while it proves the urgency of the crisis, it accounts for the advance of prices, as the thing turned out, not being so great as it otherwise might have been. The government being possessed of a stock of corn both in hand and forthcoming, directed its agents, about the time just before the harvest in 1795, when the deficiency became most distinctly felt, to distribute their stocks in such portions and at such prices as were likely most effectually to supply the immediate exigency. Whatever may be said, and too much cannot, in my opinion, be said against the policy of the measure, it seems to have been conducted with great ability, and to have been favoured by circumstances. If the weather at the harvest of 1795 had not turned out fine, and if the succeeding winter had not been one of the mildest, as the preceding had been one of the severest upon record, prices would have ad- vanced to a greater height, perhaps, than they ever attained ; and the interference by govern- ment in artificially keeping down the prices at one time would have aggravated the scarcity, 58 and eventual rise in price, by having kept the consumption up at a greater rate than it could have been, if the market had been allowed to take its natural course ; but, as I have observed, circumstances favoured the measure. The mis- chief to the crops was confined to what had taken place before the harvest ; they were well got in, and therefore applicable to immediate use : the winter was open, and there was the prospect of relief by an early and abundant importation, which was favoured by a bounty granted by parliament*. Accordingly, the average price of wheat, which in August 1795 reached the height of 1135., declined progres- sively from that time. The season of 1796 was happily a plentiful one; and concurring with an importation amounting to 854,521 quarters of wheat, and with an ex- tended cultivation, occasioned a large aggregate produce. The price fell rapidly in the last six months of 1796 ; the average on the 1st Jan. * An act was passed in 1795, granting a bounty of 16s. to 20s. per quarter, according to quality, on wheat, and 6s. per cwt. on flour, from the south of Europe, till the quantity im- ported should amount to 400,000 quarters, and from America till it should amount to 500,000 quarters; and 12s. to 15s. from any other part of Europe till it should amount to 500,000 quarters, and 8s. to 10s. after it exceeded that quantity; to continue till the 30 September, 1796. (Comber on Nat. Subsist, p. 201.) 59 1797? being as low as 55s. 9d., or less than half what it was in Aug. 1795. In 1797 the spring was backward, the summer variable and rather cold, the harvest wet and stormy, and the general reports of the crops un- favourable both as to quality and quantity. In consequence of the apprehensions entertained of injury from the weather, prices advanced from 52s. 3d., the average of wheat in August, to 59s. Id., the average on the 21st October. But, not- withstanding that the result of all that could be ascertained of the crops proved some deficiency of quantity, as well as inferiority of quality, prices declined by the close of the season to an average of 52s. 8d. for wheat. This decline was apparently occasioned by the surplus of the former year, combined with a farther im- portation of 407,242 quarters of wheat in 1797* It is consequently clear, that if this year's crops had been abundant, the fall in price would have been more considerable. The season of 1798 proved to be moderately abundant; and the harvest being early, and the crops well got in, prices declined in the autumn of that year to 47-s. 10c?. for wheat, 29s. for barley, 19s. lOd. for oats ; but the further de- pression was checked by the early severity of the winter which followed, and a fresh cause of high prices occurred, in consequence of two seasons in succession, attended with a still 60 greater degree of scarcity than had marked even those which had occurred only three years before. The season of 1799, from its commencement, to its close, was perhaps as ungenial to the pro- ductions of the earth, and to the animal crea- tion, as any upon record ; and the inclemency extended over a great part of Europe, par- ticularly over those countries which constitute the sources of supply, in ordinary years, to the rest of Europe. In this country, and particularly in the north of the island, many fields of corn were still uncut as late as November, and some were not cleared till the January following. It would be endless to attempt to describe the sterility and desolation which characterized that year : I will only subjoin one or two extracts, in the Appendix, from contemporary publica- tions, of the principal features of that and the following year. No wonder, then, that the price of wheat advanced considerably in the course of that year, viz. s. d. 1st January, 1799, average price 49 2 1st January, 1800 ditto 92 7 The season of 1800, after a cold, backward spring, assumed rather a favourable aspect, the early part of the summer being dry and hot; but the promising appearances were soon changed into the dismal reality of renewed or continued 61 scarcity. A small part only of the crops was got in before heavy and almost incessant rains began. Of the wheat, that part which was secured in the southern districts of the island before the rains commenced, and therefore in good condition, proved to be light, coarse, and unproductive : this was the quality of the grain generally. But the rains which came on in August caught a considerable portion of the wheat still in the fields, even in the home and some of the southern districts, and injured the whole of the crops in the northern parts of the island. Bad, however, as were the crops in England, they were still worse in Scotland. Considerable purchases were in consequence made in Mark- lane, between the harvest of 1800 and that of 1801, for the purpose of shipping to Scotland. Under these circumstances, notwithstanding an importation of foreign corn to a very large amount, that of wheat alone being 1,242,507 quarters ; the price of corn advanced to the following rates, on the average, on the 1st of January, 1801 ; viz. Wheat, 13&?.— Rye, 92s. 2d.— Barley, 80.?. lid. Oats, 43s. lid. — Beans, 78s. 7d. — Peas, 845. 3d. Oatmeal, 74s. Sd. In Mark-lane, in the course of that season, the price of wheat reached the extravagant height of 1845., and the quartern loaf, for four 62 weeks, was at Is. I0±d., being higher than it has before or since been. Not only was there this great rise in every description of corn ; every article of animal food participated in the advance ; for, inde- pendent of the ungenial influence of such a season as that of 1799 on cattle, sheep, and live stock generally, the deficiency of the pasture, and the extravagant price of fodder of all kinds, occasioned the hurrying of half-fed cattle to market, and produced an eventual scarcity, which was felt for two or three years following. Accordingly, in the spring of 1801, when these causes had produced their full effect, the following were the quotations of meat in Smith- field : s. d. s. d. Beef 5 to 6 6 per stone of 81b. Mutton 6 6 8 Veal 6 8 6 Pork 6 6 7 In retail Beef 10 10^ per lb. Mutton 11 12 Veal 12 1 2 A rise in the price of the produce of the dairy would naturally follow from the same ge- neral causes. It may be seen by the proceedings in parlia- ment in 1800, what was the degree of alarm felt by the legislature, and by the government, at the terrific appearance of the continuance of such a state of dearth. A bounty was voted 63 for the importation of foreign grain ; but great as were the inducements held out by a bounty so framed as to secure to the importer the high minimum price of 100s. a quarter, the arrivals from abroad through 1800 were perfectly in- commensurate with the urgent want that was felt of every description of corn. Having thus given a sketch of the seasons for the eight concluding years of the eighteenth century, it may be desirable to pause, for the purpose of observing the extraordinary propor- tion of bad and indifferent harvests, and severe winters, within that period ; the effects of scar- city of produce having been aggravated by the greatly increased consumption, which is inva- riably attendant upon long and hard winters. There were in that period no fewer than four of great and general deficiency, viz. 1794, 1795, 1799, and 1800; two of bare average produce, 1793 and 1797; two only of good crops, 1796 and 1798; and there were four severe winters among the eight, viz. 1794-5, 96-7, 98-9, and 99-1800; followed, as such winters almost invariably are, by cold backward springs : a proportion un- paralleled since the close of the seventeenth century. The season of 1801 proved favourable on the whole*; and the effect of such a season, co- * The produce of 1801 is thus described in the closing number for that year of the Farmer's Magazine : 64 operating with a considerable importation, (that of wheat alone being 1,396,360 quarters) was to depress prices very much. This depression was rapidly in progress before the preliminaries of peace with France were signed, and before the slightest expectation was entertained by the public of such an event. The weather in 1802 was not quite so favour- able as that of 1801, and the produce of the year was not generally considered above an average. The principal feature of the season of 1803 was a drought of several weeks' continuance, and the general produce, though good, was not large. Unmarked as these two seasons were by any character of extraordinary abundance, they seem to have been more than sufficient, with a small importation, to meet the average rate of consumption ; for till the summer of 1804, after a few intermediate fluctuations, prices tended downwards, and were lower in the spring of that year than they are in the present spring of 1823. " The favourable prospect presented in our last number is now almost completely realized ; and though the crop of grain in Britain cannot with justice be reckoned uncom- monly good, yet from the extensive information transmitted to us, we are warranted to pronounce it equal at least to that raised in ordinary years. No shaking winds, nor rot- ting rains, have prevailed, as in the two preceding years, to destroy the fruits of the husbandman's labour." 65 The following were the average prices for England and Wales : March 3, 1804. Ap ril 19, 1823. s. d. s. d. Wheat 49 6 50 4 Rye . 33 2 28 5 Barley Q9. 8 32 7 Oats . 19 9 22 8 As a remedy for the agricultural distress which then prevailed, a new corn bill was passed in the session of 1804. It was at first supposed that the rise of prices, as it imme- diately followed that measure, was the conse- quence of it : and several petitions were pre- sented to parliament, in the spring of 1805, against the bill, as the alleged cause of the high price. A committee was appointed to take those petitions into consideration, and the evi- dence clearly proved that a very extensive in- jury, that had been sustained by the crops of corn, was the principal occasion of the. rise. Indeed, all doubt of the real cause of the ad- vance may now be considered as removed. As the harvest approached, appearances became unfavourable ; and the result justified the ap- prehensions, for the crops proved decidedly de- ficient in quantity, and inferior in quality*. * Extract from Farmer's Magazine for Nov. 1 804 : " From the various accounts transmitted to us, it appears 66 The corn bill was a dead letter, for the price of wheat advanced soon afterwards 9,0s. above the importation rate. The harvest of 1805 proved to be one of average produce, and the importation was of some magnitude. As soon as the crops were secured, and found to be comparatively produc- tive, the price of corn fell considerably, viz. from 89-?., the average for wheat on July 1, 1805, to 75s. lid., the average on Jan. 1, 1806. There was subsequently an advance, in consequence of the doubtful appearances in the spring and summer of 1S06. But as the result of that sea- son was not unfavourable, although the crops were not considered quite equal to those of the preceding year, and although the importation from the continent did not exceed 200,000 that in England wheat turns out a short crop, and that the quality in several cases is of a very inferior description. This is evident, from the average price of flour approaching so near to that of wheat; a circumstance which cannot hap- pen, unless when the grain is materially defective. Perhaps we are not far from the mark, when we rate the- deficiency of produce at one-fourth, compared with that of the pre- ceding year. In Scotland, though the grain is in few in- stances so plump and well coloured as last season, yet the return per acre is much nearer to the ordinary produce, than among our southern neighbours ; for in Scotland the rains were later, not so heavy, nor of so long continuation, as with them." 67 quarters of wheat, prices remained nearly sta- tionary *. The season of 1807 was fine and dry from June till the first week in September, and the crops were secured in most parts of England and Wales in good order. The wheat was ge- nerally considered to be about an average crop, but spring corn, beans, pease, and turnips, were greatly deficient j and the pastures were much burnt, making fodder scarce ; so that the ag- gregate produce in England and Wales was de- ficient, but in Scotland it was much more so. The weather in that part of the island was highly unfavourable to the harvest, as will be seen by an extract from the Farmer's Magazine, inserted in the Appendix. In Ireland too, the potatoe crops had partially failed. Upon the whole, therefore, the season of 1807 seems to have been attended with a considerable de- ficiency of general produce, wheat only ex- cepted. But as the crops of wheat in England were secured in good condition, and came early to market, the price declined till the close of that year, although all other grain advanced considerably. The following winter set in unusually early, which of course increased the * The importation from Ireland was about 100,000 quar- ters of wheat in that year, an act having passed in the ses- sion of 1806, permitting a free intercourse in grain between Great Britain and Ireland. K 68 consumption of all kinds of grain, more espe- cially as hay was scarce and dear. The appearances that a serious scarcity of food was likely to be felt before the coming harvest induced parliament, on a report of a committee of the House of Commons, to pro- hibit the distillation from grain* ; and the same prospect had a natural effect on the corn mar- ket, and prices advanced accordingly in the spring of 1808. The crops of 1808 proved more deficient than those of the preceding year. The memo- rably hot days in the early part of July were considered to have done great injury to the wheat, and they were followed by a great deal of wet and stormy weather, from that time till the getting in of the harvest. Some of the other crops suffered, although not in the same degree with wheat, and the aggregate produce was below an average. This was the period, too, when our communication with the Continent had become very much obstructed, so as to pre- clude the expectation of any considerable relief * One of the motives which induced the legislature to prohibit the distillation from grain was, doubtless, to afford some relief to the West India planters, by the substitution of sugar in the distilleries ; but the immediate occasion and the professed object of the measure were distinctly stated to be the actual and apprehended deficiency of grain and of potatoes. 6.Q from foreign supply. In point of fact, there was an excess of export of about 15,000 quarters of wheat, occasioned probably by the wants of Spain and Portugal. The high price, therefore, (wheat having advanced by July to an average of Sis. Id. per quarter, and by January following to 90s. 4d.) was a necessary condition for eking out a reduced supply of our own growth, when the obstructions to importation had become great, and were thought in that year to be in- surmountable. Nothing, indeed, can better prove the magnitude of those obstructions, than the circumstance that an average price of up- wards of 80s. when the exchange and the price of gold were nearly at par, was insufficient to bring forward any foreign supply worth men- tioning. The harvest of wheat in 1809 proved to be worse even than that of 1808. The rains set in, in the early part of July, and continued with scarcely any intermission till October. It will be sufficient to bring it to the recol- lection of my readers, if I remind them that that was the season in which the ill-fated ex- pedition to Walcheren took place ; for it must be well remembered how much the calamitous sickness which attended it was aggravated by the rains which prevailed, from its embarkation to its return. As a consequence of that bad harvest, the average price of wheat was, on the k 2 70 1st of Jan. 1810, 102s. 6cl. Previously, how- ever, to any indication of mischief to the crops of 1809, government seems to have been alive to the deficiency of the growth of the preceding year, and to have adopted measures for facili- tating an importation. It appears to have suited the views of the French government, at the same time, to promote an exportation of corn, which happened then to be unusually abundant and cheap in France and the Netherlands. Li- censes were accordingly obtained from both governments, and many cargoes of wheat were received from thence. Measures were likewise taken, when the har- vest of 1809 was ascertained to be deficient, to get supplies from other quarters, in the anti- cipation of a further great advance in price in this country, sufficient to cover the great expense of freight, insurance, and licenses, amounting collectively, in many instances, to from 30s. to 50s. a quarter and upwards. As a consequence of these measures, about 350,000 quarters of wheat were imported from the Con- tinent in 1809. As prices rose here, notwith- standing this supply from abroad, the induce- ments to import were continued through the following year, in the course of which the supply of foreign wheat amounted to 1,400,000 quarters. The spring of 1810 was singularly cold and 71 ungenial ; a series of dry east winds prevailed for many weeks together, and made the hay crops remarkably deficient*. From the same cause, the spring crops and the wheat were generally thin upon the ground ; but in con- sequence of the weather becoming fine imme- diately preceding the harvest, and the fine wea- ther during the harvest, the produce turned out to be rather better than had at one time been apprehended ; and the prices of corn ge- nerally, and of wheat in particular, fell in the autumn of that year. The enormous supplies of foreign corn which were poured in during the summer naturally contributed to this effect ; but the apprehensions which had previously been entertained proved well founded, for it appeared, that notwithstanding the very large importation, there was very little old stock to meet the en- suing harvest. The harvest of 1811 proved to be very de- ficient. The following is an account of it, from one of the circular monthly reports of that period (Oct. 1811). " The state of the wheat crops seems now to be ascer- tained with probable accuracy throughout the island, as somewhat below an average quantity, and far inferior to that of last year in point of quality. Reckoning both quan- * The price of hay rose, in the course of the winter fol- lowing, to 1 1/. the load. 72 tity and quality, persons of* the most general information decide upon a deficiency of a full third. There will be a considerable quantity of black wheat, and in many parts of the north the barley is strongly smutted." This estimate was fully confirmed ; for, in another monthly report, in December, 1811, it is said " The former statements respecting the defects of the crops of wheat, both in quantity and quality, are fully and unfortunately confirmed. The autumnal price of wheat is indeed at an enormous height, although the farmers have been universally liberal in supplying the markets, con- sidering the season ; and as there are various impediments to foreign supplies in times like the present, the real state of things cannot be too widely promulgated, with a view to timely economy in expenditure." And further from an agricultural report in May, 1812, " The stock of wheat on hand, in the most productive eastern counties, is alarmingly deficient, according to the best accounts which can be obtained, and the general opinion is that very considerable foreign supplies will be needed, during the summer, to eke out the residue until the new corn shall be fit for use." As a corroboration of the general estimate of the defective state of the crops of that year, I insert, in the Appendix, an extract from the Farmer's Magazine, describing the deficiency very particularly ; and the copy of a petition from Liverpool, stating that deficiency as a ground for the application to continue the prohibition of the distillation from grain. 73 It is the more important to bear these par- ticulars in mind, because it was clearly as a consequence of a deficiency so great and alarm- ing, at a time when, owing to a failure of the harvest of wheat on the Continent, as well as in this country, and of the continuance of exorbitant charges of importation, the average prices of wheat and other grain reached their greatest height. The deficiency of the stock of grain in the country in the summer of 1812, and the absence of any prospect of considerable relief by importation, were the more alarming, as apprehensions were entertained of the result of the coming harvest, which was backward, and presented unfavourable appearances. On the 1st July, the average price of wheat was 1405. 9d. As the want of a surplus of corn in the country on the eve of the harvest of 1812, and the absence of any prospect of relief by im- portation, made us entirely dependent for sub- sistence upon the produce of the forthcoming crops, and as so much, therefore, turned upon the event of that harvest, it may be desirable to record, somewhat in detail, the prospects and eventual estimate of the crops of that year. I therefore insert, in the Appendix, some ex- tracts from contemporary reports relating to those points. Making all due allowance, the crops of grain, generally, and of potatoes, in 74 that year, appear to have been somewhat under an average. The winter of 1812 began early and severely ; it was the memorable one of the retreat of the French from Moscow. This early severity of winter, co-operating with the deficiency of stocks of grain, and the absence of any foreign supplies of magnitude, kept prices at a high range, so that they were nearly as high in the spring of 1813 as they had been in the spring of 1812. Now, upon a review of these six seasons in succession, each of which was marked by de- ficiency of produce, at a time when the dif- ficulties of importation were so great, I would ask, whether it requires a resort to the supposi- tion of a depreciation of the currency beyond the degree indicated by the difference between paper and gold, or to the effect of a war demand, to account for a range of very high prices during all that interval. And referring to the whole period of twenty years, from 1793 to 1812, both years included, the seasons may be estimated as follows : eleven more or less de- ficient*, six of average produce f , and three only of abundant crops t. Or, confining the view to the last ten years of the series, it will be * Viz. 1794, 95, 99, 1801, 1804, and 1807, to 1812. + Viz. 179.3, 97, 1802, 1803, 1805, 1806. I Viz. 1796, 1798, 1801. 15 found that no fewer than seven were deficient, and three only that can be considered as being of average produce. I shall now proceed to the description of the seasons following 1812, beginning with the harvest of 1813. The produce of that year was one of un- doubted and general abundance. The weather had proved favourable, upon the whole, to the crops of every description ; and, as the ex- tent of tillage had been greatly increased, as appears by the number of new enclosure bills in the preceding five years, at the same time that much fresh capital was applied to land already in cultivation ; and that the mode of husbandry was greatly improved ; the united effect of these causes was felt in a larger ag- gregate produce of grain than had ever before been realized in this country, in any single year. Mr. Driver, an eminent land-surveyor, in his evidence before the corn committee of the House of Commons, in 1814, was asked " Do you recollect, within twenty years, any harvest so productive as the last ? — I do not recollect the years, but I think there have been some as productive. " Do you remember any harvest so productive within the last ten years ? — No. I do not think there has been *." Mr. Hodgson, of Liverpool, stated it, in his * Minutes of Evidence, page 14. 76 evidence before the agricultural committee, in 1821, to be the largest crop he had ever known. " Can you state, as far as your survey was then established, what was the crop of 1813? — We have every reason to be- lieve it was the greatest crop we have ever known. " When you say, you have every reason to believe it was the greatest crop you have ever known, you have other reasons for that opinion ? — We have other reasons, and ge- neral observation from the time that the grain of that season remained in considerable quantity, I think two or three years afterwards *." In fact, it was not till two or three years after, viz. in 1815, that the superabundance of the produce of 1813 was ascertained, by its still making its appearance in the market. But, while corn was falling in 1813, in consequence of the superabundance of produce, the price of meat kept up, and was at unprecedentedly high prices till the summer and autumn of 1814. The cause of the relatively high price of meat is easily explained. The remarkably cold spring of 1810 had made grass so short, that hay, for some time after, was at from 10/. to 11/. the load ; the pastures and turnips were proportionably deficient : and this deficiency was not soon re- covered, while the high price of corn, till 1813, did not admit of its being allotted as a substi- tute for herbage to cattle. The stock of oats had been run so short just before the harvest of 1812, that the price, for a week or two, * Minutes of Evidence, page 264. 77 reached 80s. per quarter; and there was an instance of a sale as high as 84s. Oil cakes, like- wise, were at a very high price, in consequence of the scarcity of linseed, arising from the ob- structions to importation. It was natural, there- fore, that cattle and sheep should become scarce and dear, as a consequence of such dearth of pro- vender, and as a consequence, likewise, of the great relative encouragementto extended tillage. But, in 1813, circumstances were reversed: by the fall in corn, while meat kept up or advanced, there was every inducement to recur to the rearing of stock, and the foundation was laid for the abundance of cattle and sheep which depressed the meat market in 1816. The crops of 1814 did not exceed an average in produce per acre ; but the total supply, in- cluding the large surplus of the former year, and importations from abroad, which were then coming in at reduced charges, tended, after a little speculation in July, on the reports of in- jury to the wheat by an extensive blight, to depress the price. 1815 was,upon the whole, an abundant season, and, as a consequence of two abundant seasons out of three, the decline of price was great and rapid, till the bad weather, which, for several weeks previous to the harvest of 1816, threatened severe and extensive injury to the growing crops. 78 The apprehensions entertained on this score were fully realized by the result of the harvest of 1816. The injury to the crops of corn by a cold backward spring, and a wet summer and autumn, with a singular absence of solar heat, was very great. The quality was almost uni- versally bad, being got in wet, and unfit for im- mediate use. The prices rose here above 100 per cent., and in France, where the deficiency seems tohavebeen stillgreater, they rose nearly 200 per cent, above what they had been two years before. The pastures, and green food in general, for cattle, were, however, abundant. Though the prices, therefore, of corn rose, as is well known, those of animal food did not partake in the ad- vance, as they had done in consequence of some of the former bad seasons. Of the produce of 1817 various estimates were made. The w r eather, till harvest, was wet and unfavourable, and the harvest itself was late ; but the weather cleared up in the last few days of August, and it continued favour- able through a great part of September. The price of corn fell, in consequence, rapidly for a few weeks, sufficiently to close the ports in November of that year. But as the weather during harvest, though favourable in the main, was foggy and calm, with only short intervals of brilliant sunshine ; and, as the rains again 79 set in before the harvest was fully completed, the samples of new wheat, when brought to market, were found to be damp and cold, and not fit for immediate use. There being, at the same time, very little old corn of good quality remaining, the few samples of the new which were fit for use were in great demand, and fetched very high prices, which opened the ports again in February following. But the eventual produce of 1817 proved, as I after- wards understood, to be much better, both as to quality and quantity, than had been originally supposed ; and, upon the whole, it may be con- sidered as having been an average crop ; but the impulse to high prices having been given, they did not immediately subside upon the cessation of the original cause. I have already described the season of 1818 in a former part of this work, and, considering the excellence of the quality and condition of the corn, and that the crops were undoubtedly abundant in Ireland and Scotland, it may be presumed to have been a full average. This estimate of the seasons of 1817 and 1818 corresponds with the estimate made by Mr. Hodgson, that they were good crops. Mr. Wakefield, a surveyor of the first eminence, likewise staled that the produce of corn in 1818, notwithstandingthe shortness ofthe straw, 80 was greater than had been expected. But the speculation and miscalculation that prevailed as to both seasons, and particularly the latter, which was a most extraordinary one in every respect, concurred in occasioning a large im- portation, and in keeping up prices beyond what they would have been, if the result of our own produce had been correctly estimated, and if there had not been considerable delusion as to the operation of the corn bill. The harvest of 1819 proved, in its result, to be likewise a full average in point of quantity, and the quality was also good. Mr. Wakefield considers it as having been a year of abundant produce. Mr. Hodgson, I observe, places it in his scale of the comparative productiveness of the crops, as being under an average pro- duce per acre, but admits that the whole of the growth of corn in the united kingdom was beyond an average in point of quantity, and he accounts for this circumstance by the supposi- tion that the extended tillage and diminished number of cattle rendered the produce of wheat, in that year, much larger than was indicated by the figure. I believe that, independent of the ground stated by Mr. Hodgson, for the total produce of 1819 proving more consider- able than his estimate, as denoted by the figure 28 compared with 32, which, according to his 81 scale, denotes an average ; there are other means of accounting for the circumstance, of which I think there is now no doubt, that the aggregate produce of the united kingdom proved to be clearly beyond an average. That which afforded the principal ground for rating the wheat crop of 1819 as below an average, was the injury which was known to have been occasioned by a sharp frost in the end of May or the beginning of June in that year. All the wheat which was then about blooming was found to be materially injured, and not to produce the usual number of grains ; but the mischief did not extend to the north of England, nor to Scotland, where the crops were not in a state sufficiently forward to be sus- ceptible of injury from that cause. The quan- tity of straw on the ground was uncommonly large in that year. Moreover, in Ireland, the crop of wheat was indisputably abundant, as is proved by the large importations from thence in 1820. Of the abundance of 1820 there can be no doubt. Mr. Wakefield says, in his evidence, " The last harvest has been one of the finest ever known in England j" and he afterwards adds, " I think there is a wonderful quantity of corn in the country. I now think that there is as much corn left in the country as generally in 82 common years there is after harvest*." And according to Mr. Hodgson's estimate, likewise, the crop of wheat, in particular, w T as very con- siderably beyond an average. Indeed, there is evidence of every kind to prove the very great superabundance of all descriptions of produce in that year. The season of 1821 is so recent as to require no particular description. It is well known that the rains set in so violently and critically just before, and during the harvest, as very much to endanger, and, in some degree, even- tually to injure, the crops. There was accord- ingly an extensive speculation, which, for a short time, raised the average price of wheat above 70s- But the quantity turned out be- yond expectation, and seems to have exceeded an average, for there is still some of that year's wheat remaining in the market. The quality was, indeed, greatly inferior, a large proportion being sprouted, and the whole, on an average, not weighing more than 5TJ to 58lb. the bushel. It may be a matter of surprise that, considering the ill condition in which that harvest was got in, so much of the wheat was available for human food, and so little effect of its inferiority perceptible in the bread which was made of it. This I have heard ascribed to greater care than * Evid. Agricult. Com., page 217, April 5, 1821. 83 had ever before been taken in the preparation of the wheat for market by a much more ex- tensive practice of kiln-drying, and by a new process to improve the colour. The produce of the season of 1822 is still a matter of some uncertainty, which cannot, perhaps, be determined till a nearer approach to the next harvest. From all that I can learn, I am disposed to concur with Mr. Whitmore's opinion " that the crop of this year (1822) will not prove an average one, taking every sort of grain into account*." The correctness of this estimate seems now to be corroborated by the reduced supplies of corn, not only in Mark-lane but in the country markets, for the last few months, and by the general opinion now prevailing, that the stock of grain in the kingdom is considerably less than it was at this time last year. As prices are, in consequence of this opinion, advan- cing, and are already as high as they were in particular periods of the war, and as it is only for the decline of prices down to the close of 1822, that I have to account, I shall exclude the last season from the comparison. At the same time, as the spring corn alone of 1822 was, in the estimates made last summer, supposed * Letter on the present State and future Prospects of Agriculture (page 84.) L 84 to be deficient, and as the wheat came very freely and unusually early to market, and in condition for immediate use, none of the effects of the general deficiency of that season could be considered as having been felt in arresting the tendency to a decline from the abundance of the former seasons, till nearly the close of last year. The same remark applies to the meat mar- kets. I have no doubt that the scarcity of the last winter, combined with the shortness of tur- nips and the increased dearness of keep gene- rally, while it tended to aggravate the glut a few months ago, has contributed to reduce the stock of cattle and sheep much below what it had been for some time before ; and, as a con- sequence of that reduction of stock, prices have, as is well known, advanced rapidly of late, being now again as high as they were in several periods during the war. I therefore confine the comparison of sea- sons so as to embrace only the period ending in 1822, before the deficiency of the last har- vest became matter of speculation, and before the severity of last winter and the backward- ness of the present spring gave further coun- tenance to that speculation. Confining the comparison accordingly, we have nine seasons, among which there is only one, viz. that of 85 1816, which was unquestionably bad, while there are three of great abundance, viz. 1813, 15, and 20, and five of fair average produce, leaving the produce of 1822 as yet uncertain. If the description of these nine years be com- pared with that of the nine years from the har- vest of 1804 to that of 1812, or again with that of the twenty years from 1793 to 1812, the difference of produce of the respective periods is quite sufficient to account for a very great difference in the average price. The description which I have here given of the seasons may, by some of my readers, be thought too minute, while to others it may ap- pear that the proofs are not sufficiently detailed and conclusive. To the first I would answer that the inferences with respect to prices to be drawn from the fact of the relative produc- tiveness of the seasons is so important as to justify a detailed reference to all the evidence readily accessible for the purpose of duly ap- preciating it. To the second I can only say that my own recollection of the impression pro- duced at the time upon prices, by the estimated productiveness of each of the seasons from 1793, is perfectly fresh and distinct, and that it is confirmed by the recollection of such of my acquaintance, as were largely concerned in l 2 86 the corn trade during the whole period, and who may be considered competent judges of the ge- neral correctness of my description. I must therefore refer those who feel disposed to seek for further confirmation of what I have stated to the only authorities which I am aware of as existing, viz. the pamphlets and periodical pub- lications of the day. SECTION IV. Effect of Quantity on Price. In order to judge of the degree in which the variations of the seasons, such as I have de- scribed them, are calculated to affect the prices of produce, it may be necessary to premise some general observations on the effects of quan- tity on price. It is no uncommon thing to meet with per- sons, who, in reasoning upon prices of corn and other commodities, take for granted that the variations in price must be in exact proportion to the variations in the quantity which may, at different times, be actually in the market or in the country for sale ; and who, if the variations in price do not correspond with the variations in quantity in exact proportion, infer that there must be something in the currency, or some un- usual cause in operation, to account for what ap- pears to them so anomalous an effect. Thus, if the quantity of corn at any time in the country were ascertained to be eleven millions of quar- 88 ters, and at another time only ten millions, they would infer that the price in the latter case should advance ten per cent., or in other words that the smaller quantity should be only equal in value to the larger ; and they would infer the same of other commodities. On the other hand, by parity of reasoning, they conclude that prices should fall in proportion to the in- crease of quantity ; that is, if the quantity be in- creased one-tenth, the price should fall nine and one-eleventh per cent. : so as to make the larger quantity of the same value only as the smaller. But experience of the course of mar- kets proves that such a conclusion is perfectly erroneous. It is found that prices vary in a ratio very different from the variation in quantity, and that the difference of ratio between quantities and prices is liable to alter, according to the nature of the commodity, but is greater, pro- bably, in the case of corn than in that of most other articles of extensive consumption. For the present I shall confine my remarks to the general effects of scarcity or abundance on the price of corn : observing only that the same rules apply to other articles, allowing for a difference in degree according as they come more or less under the description of necessa- ries ; according as they are more or less perish- 89 able — more or less bulky and expensive to keep in proportion to their value — and accord- ing as a difference in price may extend or limit the consumption. The fact that a small deficiency in the pro- duce of corn, compared with the average rate of consumption, occasionally causes a rise in price very much beyond the ratio of the defect, is obvious upon the slightest reference to the history of prices at periods when nothing in the state of politics or of the currency could be suspected to have had any influence. I had occasion to notice instances of this kind in my evidence before the Agricultural Committee, in 1821*. And some still more striking maybe observed in the fluctuations which I have al- luded to in the course of the present work. The reader may satisfy himself still more fully on this point, by referring to the table in the Appendix of the half-yearly Windsor prices, by which he will occasionally perceive a difference in price between the Lady-day and Michaelmas quarter, much beyond any con- ceivable difference in the produce of the harvest. Some writers have attempted to deduce a strict rule of proportion between a given defect of the harvest, and the probable rise of price. The rule of this kind that has been most * Minutes of Evidence, (page 229.) 90 commonly referred to is one by Gregory King, which is introduced in the following passage by D'Avenant : — " It is observed, that but one-tenth the defect in the harvest may raise the price three-tenths ; and when we have but half our crop of wheat, which now and then happens, the remainder is spun out by thrift and good management, and eked out by the use of other grain : but this will not do for above one year, and would be a small help in the suc- cession of two or three unseasonable harvests. For the scarcity even of one year is very destructive, in which many of the poorest sort perish, either for want of sufficient food, or by unwholesome diet. " We take it, that a defect in the harvest may raise the price of corn in the following proportions : Defect. Above the common rate. 1 tenth /" -g *) 3 tenths 2 tenths V J f 8 tenths 3 tenths < ■! /" 1-6 tenths 4 tenths i 1 1 3*8 tenths 5 tenths \ 1 J 4-5 tenths So that when corn rises to treble the common rate, it may be presumed that we want above one-third of the com- mon produce ; and if we should want five-tenths,^ or half the common produce, the price would rise to near five times the common rate."— (D' Avenant, vol. II. pages 224 and 225.) It is perhaps superfluous to add, that no such strict rule can be deduced ; at the same time, there is some ground for supposing that the estimate is not very wide of the truth, from ob- servation of the repeated occurrence of the fact, that the price of corn in this country has risen 91 from 100 to 200 per cent, and upwards, when the utmost computed deficiency of the crops has not been more than between one-sixth and one-third of an average. All that can be said, therefore, in general terms, is that a decided deficiency of supply is commonly attended in the case of corn, more than in that of most other articles, with an ad- vance in price very much beyond the degree of the deficiency. And the reason of the fact is as clear upon a little reflection, as the fact itself is upon the slightest observation. The process by which the rise beyond the proportion of defect takes place, is the struggle of every one to get his accustomed share of that which is necessary for his subsistence, and of which there is not enough or so much as usual for all. Supposing a given deficiency, the degree in which the money price may rise will depend upon the extent of the pecuniary means of the lowest classes of the community. In countries where the pecuniary means of the lowest classes are limited to the power of ob- taining a bare subsistence in ordinary times, as in Ireland, and on many parts of the continent, and where neither the government, as in France, nor the poor laws and contributions by wealthy individuals, as in England, come in aid of those means, a proportion of the population, accord- 92 ing to the degree of scarcity, must perish, or suffer diseases incidental to an insufficient sup- ply of food, or to a substitution of inferior and unwholesome diet. And the increased compe- tition of purchasers being thus limited to the classes above the lowest, the rise in price may not be very considerably beyond the defect of quantity. But in France*, where it is apart of the general policy of the government to pro- vide by the purchase of corn, in times of dearth, for the subsistence of the lowest classes, and particularly for that of the inhabitants of Paris ; and in this country, where the poor laws create a fund for the maintenance of the lowest classes, at the expense of all the classes above them — where moreover, the voluntary contri- butions of richer individuals swell that fund — it is clear that the competition of purchasers, or in other words the intensity of demand, would be greatly extended, while the supply being limited, the price would rise very considerably beyond the ratio of the deficiency f. The final * It may be observed, by the extract in the first part of this work (page 179) from Mr. Say's letter, that the fluc- tuations in the price of wheat in France, in consequence of variations in the seasons, viz. in 1811, and again in 1816, were as great as in this country. •J* So powerful indeed is the tendency of our poor laws, and of the disposition of the wealthier classes in this coun- 93 effect of a rise in price so much beyond the defect of the crops, when that increased rise is produced by the causes mentioned, is to apportion the privations resulting from scarcity over a larger part of the population ; thus di- minishing the severity of pressure upon the lowest class, and preventing or tending to pre- vent any part of it from perishing, as it might otherwise do, from actual want. It is of the utmost importance to bear in mind the operation of the principle of the great increase of price beyond the degree of deficiency, with a view to accounting not only for the high range of prices, but, likewise, for the extraordinary prosperity which attended the agricultural interest* during the first two-thirds of the period that I am considering, and which try, to add to the pecuniary means of the lowest classes, for the purpose of enabling these to bid against those im- mediately above them for a full share of food, or such a share at least as may be a preservation from starving — that if there were a deficiency of a quarter, or even of only an eighth, in the existing stock, compared with the average rate of consumption, and that there were no prospect of making up the deficiency by importation, there is scarcely any assignable limit to the possible rise in price. * By agricultural interest, I mean exclusively farmers and landlords, who are alone benefited by an advance of price resulting from scarcity. The condition of the labouring classes, even of those employed in husbandry, is well known 94 cannot, in my opinion, be accounted for in any other way. It is clearly through the medium of increased price of produce, that farmers gained such great profits pending the term of their leases, and that landlords obtained such greatly advanced rents at the granting of new leases. I have already given reasons for the conclusion, that alterations in the currency had no influence on prices, beyond the degree indicated by the difference between paper and gold, and that war had no influence beyond the obstruction of supply, which could only affect prices in proportion as our own growth was insufficient to meet the average consumption. If prices of produce had risen only in exact proportion to the deficiency of growth ; thus, if in commonly good years, an acre of wheat produced 33 bushels, which sold at 6s. per bushel, but, in a bad season, produced only two-thirds of a crop, or 22 bushels, which sold at 9s. the bushel, supposing the expenses of getting in the crops to be the same in both cases, the farmer would be neither gainer nor loser by the deficiency of his crops, that de- to be deteriorated in periods of dearth, as the wages of la- bour never rise in proportion to the advance in the price of provisions. 95 ficiency being here assumed to be general. The deficiency would be a general calamity, and farmers and landlords would bear their shares of it in their quality of consumers. But, upon the principle which I have stated, the case would be widely different. In the event of a deficiency of one-third of an average crop, a bushel of wheat might rise to 18s. and upwards*. Now, 22 bushels, at \8s. per bushel, would be worth 19/. 16^., whereas, the 33 bushels, at 6s., were worth only 9/. 18s., making a clear profit to the producer of 100 per cent. This, of course, is an extreme case, and can- not, in general, be of long duration ; it sup- poses no great surplus from former years, and no immediate prospect of adequate relief from importation. While the deficiency exists, how- ever, whether in reality, or only in apprehen- sion, such and still greater may be the effect. The more common case, in the period referred to, has been a deficiency in a smaller degree, and a smaller per centage of advance, but protracted through a great length of time. For the sake of illustration of the mode and degree in * Considering the institutions of this country relative to the maintenance of the poor, if there should be a deficiency of the crops amounting to one-third, without any surplus from a former year, and without any chance of relief by im- portation, the price might rise five, six, or even tenfold. 96 which a deficiency in the crops, compared with an average produce, is calculated to affect the condition of the agricultural interest, let us suppose that the average produce of corn in this country were 32 millions of quarters* of all kinds, which would sell at 40,?. per quarter all round as a remunerative price, making an amount of 64,000,000/. to be distributed as wages, profit, and rent, among the labourers, farmers, and landlords : but by the occurrence of a bad crop deficient one-eighth, the price ad- vanced to 60s., there would then be 28 millions of quarters at 60s., making 84,000,000/., being a clear addition of 20,000,000/., to be distributed among the farmers and landlords in the first instance, as increased profit and rent. I say, in the first instance, because increased wages perhaps, and tithes certainly, would form some deduction, if the advance in price, from the continuance of deficiency, lasted for more than one season, or if, by the recurrence of deficiency at short intervals, the advance were, on an average, at the same relative proportion. There can be little doubt that, in such a state of things, the agricultural interest would enjoy, not only the appearance, but the reality of pro- * It was computed, by Dr. Colquhoun, that the consump- tion of all kinds of grain in this kingdom amounted, in 1812, to 35 millions of quarters, exclusive of seed. 97 sperity. Confining, therefore, the view to this part of the effect of high prices, resulting from deficient crops, it might appear that there was a creation of so much additional wealth, as was represented by these 20,000,000/. But follow- ing out the view in all its bearings, and tracing the rise of prices from its source, viz. the in- creased payment by the consumers for a di- minished share of food, it will appear that the increased income distributed among the agri- cultural interest was wholly at the expense of the other orders of the community. The ad- vocates, however, for the agricultural claims, which, if they were admitted and could be made operative to their full extent, would arti- ficially perpetuate the effects that could other- wise arise only from the sterility of the soil or the unpropitiousness of the seasons, seem to confine their observation of the consequence of the high price of provisions to the direct and obvious advantages resulting from the increased sum to be distributed among the farmers and landlords ; and infer that this increased sum is the creation of so much additional wealth. It was the same confinement of view to the in- creased sum which an advance in the price of corn occasioned to be distributed in the shape of profit and rent, which led the sect of eco- 98 nomists in France, who considered the raw pro- duce of the earth as the only source of wealth, to look upon every advance in the price of that produce as so much additional wealth. An extract, which I insert in the Appendix, from a translation of a French work on the Legislation and the Commerce of Corn, written in 1775, will prove that the doctrines of Mr. Webb Hall and of the Agricultural Associa- tion of the present day have had their com- plete counterpart in France. While the fact, indeed, and the reason of the fact that, as relates to commodities generally, and to corn more especially, a deficiency of quantity produces a great relative advance in price, has been repeatedly noticed and variously illustrated by several writers ; the converse of the proposition, viz. that an excess of quantity operates in depressing the prices of commodities generally, but of corn more especially, in a ratio much beyond the degree of that excess, was little noticed until the publication of the report of the Agricultural Committee in 1821, or, if casually noticed, was not applied systematically in accounting for instances of great depression of prices, and of consequent distress among those who felt the effects of that depression. In the report of that Committee, the principle to which 99 I am here alluding, and upon which I was par- ticularly examined, is distinctly stated, and some of the consequences flowing from it are clearly pointed out. The limits to the possi- ble depression in price from the influence of this principle, when brought into operation by the occurrence of seasons of more than usual abundance of produce, cannot, of course, be laid down with any thing like precision; but I am convinced, that they extend to a much lower degree than, even now that the attention of the public is drawn to the operation of the principle, has been conceived to be within the range of possibility. If the advance in price, from deficiency, in- crease the aggregate value of the smaller quan- tity, in some instances, to double or more than double the amount in money which the larger or average quantity would have produced, the fall in price from abundance may reduce the value in money of the larger or more than average quantity, to a sum considerably less than that which the smaller would have produced. Thus, suppose that with bad or scanty crops the pro- duce of all sorts of corn were 28 millions of quarters, which, one kind with another, fetched 60s. per quarter, or 84,000,000/., and that, upon the full restoration of the ordinary produce, or M 100 32 millions of quarters, the price fell to the average rate of 405., the 32 millions of quarters would be worth only 64,000,000/. or 20,000,000/. less than the smaller quantity had been worth. In this case, by the same sort of, what the French writer last noticed calls, interior arith- metic, by which the 20,000,000/. additional paid by the consumers to the producers of corn had been considered as the creation of so much wealth, the mere cessation of that payment by the restoration of an average quantity of pro- duce, would be considered as the destruction of so much national capital. But taking the extremes of fluctuation as re- sulting from a frequent recurrence of bad seasons in one period, combined with obstructions by war or by a corn bill to importation, and of more than usually productive harvests in another, this doctrine of the creation of wealth by scarcity, and destruction of it by abundance, will appear in a still more striking point of view. Sup- pose, for instance, that after the restoration of an average produce of 32 millions of quarters of corn, and the average price of 40a\ two suc- cessive seasons of more than common abund- ance should occur," so as to increase the produce to 36 millions, the price might fall, for one kind with another, to 205. per quarter. Here 101 would be 36 millions of quarters, worth, at 20s, only 36,000,000/., being 28,000,000/. less than the medium, and 48,000,000/. less than the produce deficient by one-eighth. And if after two or three years of this range of low prices, necessary to carry off the glut by exportation, or extra consumption, or waste, there should supervene two or three decidedly bad harvests, so as to reduce the quantity again to 28 mil- lions, and the price rise, as it might do, to 60s., the national gain and the creation of wealth, according to the doctrine in question, would be no less than 48,000,000/. to be again destroyed by the recurrence of plenty. It is sufficient to have pointed out the prac- tical conclusions to which this hypothesis leads, to satisfy any unbiassed reader of its absurdity and extravagance. It must be perfectly ob- vious, that as the additional sum or profit amounting, in some cases, to upwards of 100 per cent, divided among the producing classes in consequence of deficiency of harvests, is just so much transferred from the pockets of the consumers, who are not only put on short al- lowance, but are, in proportion to the larger sum that they pay for that short allowance, deprived of other enjoyments, so the diminished sum received by the producing classes on the return of abundance, whether from extended m 2 102 cultivation, or from a succession of good seasons, is so much remaining in the pockets of the con- sumers. But, even to the reader who may be satisfied of the absurdity of considering the increased gain of the agriculturists arising from dimi- nished produce as so much creation of wealth, still, at first view, it may appear that this is a mere question of transfer from the pockets of one class to those of the other, and that the gain of the producers, in case of scarcity, is equal to the loss of the consumers; but a little further consideration will show that the dif- ference is very great. In the first place, the gain is of the smaller number, at the expense of the larger : but if this gain of the smaller number is not occasioned by artificial regulations in the nature of monopoly, and arises merely from the casualty of the seasons, the producers are as justly entitled to it as to any part of their property. In the next place, the pro- ducers themselves must, in their quality of consumers, pay the advanced price for their food, which will consequently be a deduction from their profits, not to mention the increased price of the seed or other elements of repro- duction, while the majority of the community suffer actual privation of the quantity of food as well as of the other enjoyments, which, when 103 they had less to pay for food, they had the means of procuring ; there is, in short, a less sum of the means of subsistence and enjoy- ment, or, in other words, of wealth to be dis- tributed among the mass of the population. The reverse of this process upon the occur- rence of plenty is so evident, that an attempt to follow it out is superfluous, beyond the mere statement, in general terms, that there is in the latter case an increase in the sum or quantum of actual means of subsistence and enjoyment among the great majority of the community ; a real, palpable increase of wealth. This view of the preponderating evils of scarcity, notwithstanding the prosperity with which it is attended to the producing classes, and of the blessings of plenty, in spite of the distress arising from it to those same classes, is so simple and clear, and so congenial to the good sense and feelings of mankind, that the advocates of the agricultural claims, aware of the unpopularity of lamentation at the conse- quences of abundance, have denied that abund- ance can be the cause of distress. Plenty, say they, has been universally, by the common sense of mankind, pronounced to be a blessing ; it is what we pray for, and what from infancy we have been taught to consider as a good. It is a preposterous doctrine, therefore, and one 104 that was never heard of before, to assign plenty as a cause of distress ; and (say they) as distress is so generally felt, it must be occasioned by some cause or causes unconnected with abund- ance. They might, indeed, go a step further, and contend, that as plenty of food, and of other commodities, is a blessing, and as at this time there is great distress*, it is impossible that there can be abundance. This is no uncommon sophism, although not, perhaps, usually placed in so glaring a form. It consists in substituting a part for the whole : thus the agricultural in- terest is made to represent the whole of the community, and the distressed state of it is brought forward to negative the possibility of the existence of plenty. If I have succeeded in pointing out to the satisfaction of the reader, that the sum total to be divided among the producing classes, upon the occurrence of seasons of more than usual abundance, is below the amount which is * Instead of " there is," I should rather say "■ there tvas great distress in 1822 j" for now (April, 1823), in conse- quence of the deficiency, actual or supposed, of the aggregate produce of last year's crops, and of apprehension for the ensuing harvest, which, at any rate, threatens to be back- ward, prices have advanced, and the cry of distress, on the part of the agriculturists, is subsiding, to be succeeded, per- haps, by one more extensive and formidable on the part of the consumers. 105 the result of an average produce, and greatly below that of a deficient crop, it follows, of course, that plenty, especially when succeeding to scarcity, must be attended with suffering and distress to the agriculturists. That the assign- ment of plenty as a cause of distress to the agriculturists is no new doctrine discovered or invented by the political economists of modern times, may be proved by the circumstance, that upon almost every occasion of a great fall in price from abundance, there have been com- plaints of distress of a description similar to that which has recently prevailed. I believe that the fact of the prevalence of such distress has not been unnoticed by some of the writers of antiquity; but not to alarm the reader by refer- ence to so remote a period, I shall go no further back than to the year 1620, which, I presume, will be sufficiently far to repel the charge of novelty, as applied to the doctrine in question. The price of wheat fell progressively from 1617, when, by the Eton tables, it was 43,9. 3d. per quarter of eight bushels, till 1620 and 1621, in both which years it is quoted at 27 s. And the effects of this fall are described in the following extracts (which have been obligingly communicated to me by Mr. D'Israeli) from the Sloane MSS. 4174, in the British Museum. 106 " Mr. John Chamberlain to Sir Dudley Catleton. " 12 February, 1620. " We are here in a strange state to complain of plenty j but so it is, that corn beareth so low a price that tenants and farmers are very backward to pay their rents, and in many places plead disability ; for remedy whereof the council have written letters into every shire, and some say to every market-town, to provide a granary or storehouse, with a stock to buy corn, and keep it for a dear year. But though this be well advised, and make a fair show in speculation, yet the difficulties be so many, that it will not be so easy to put it into practice." The following was written at the same period. " England was never generally so poor since I was born as it is at this present ; inasmuch that all complain they cannot receive their rents. Yet is there plenty of all things but money, which is so scant, that country people offer corn and cattle, or whatsoever they have else, in lieu of rent — but bring no money, and corn is at so easy rates as I never knew it to be at, twenty or twenty-two pence a bushel, barley at nine pence, and yet no quantity will be taken at that price ; so that for all the common opinion of the wealth of England, I fear, when it comes to the trial, it will prove as some merchants, who, having carried on a great show a long time, when they are called upon too fast by their creditors, be fair to play bankrupt." I am likewise indebted to the same gentle- man for the following information : " Sir Symonds d'Ewes, in his unpublished diary, notices, in 1621, the excessive cheapness and plenty of wheat, the consequence of which was to reduce the price of lands from 107 twenty years' purchase to sixteen or seventeen*. The best wheat was then 2s. 8d. and 2s. 6d. the bushel, ordinary 2s. ; barley and rye, Is. 3d. " The farmers murmured ; the poorer sort traversed the markets to find out the finest wheats, for none else would now serve their use, though before they were glad of the coarser rye-bread. This daintiness was soon after punished by the high prices of all sorts of grain every where, which never since abated." Again, in I67O, prices having fallen on a comparison with those which had prevailed during the civil wars, and which had continued more or less high, till 1665, gave occasion to considerable suffering. The distress complained of by the agri- cultural interest was the reason of a new corn bill, imposing duties on the importation amount- ing to a prohibition. The state of things after that act is thus described by Roger Coke in his treatise, entitled " The Church and State are in equal Danger with Trade," published in 1671. " The ends designed by the acts against the importation * The fall in the price of land, as indicated by the re- duced number of years purchase, has evidently, in this case, been computed upon the rents which were payable, but not paid ; and the uncertainty whether the low price of produce might not entail a fall of rent would naturally deter pur- chasers from giving so much for land as they would have done before the great reduction in the value of the pro- duce. 108 of Irish cattle, of raising the rents of the lands of England, are so far from being attained, that the contrary hath ensued. And here I wish a survey were taken how many thousand farms are thrown up since this act; how many thousand farms are abated, some above one-sixth, others above one- fourth, others above one-third : some, I know, which, after two years lying waste, are abated one-half." A great fall, notwithstanding the prohibitory system, having taken place in 1687, the distress thence arising was the cause of the memorable corn bill in 1688, granting a bounty on ex- portation. After the long period of dearth, which I have described as having occurred between 1692 and 1700, abundance having been restored, and the price of wheat in 1702, notwithstanding the breaking out of the war in the year before, and notwithstanding the corn bill, having fallen upwards of fifty per cent., it might naturally be supposed that rents, founded on the previous long range of high prices, could not easily be paid ; and there happens to be testimony that rents were not paid. Evelyn, in his Diary, January, 1703, writes, " Corn and provisions so cheape, that the farmers are unable to pay their rents." An interval of comparative dearth again pre- vailed from 1725 to 1729, and a small importa- tion of corn took place in 1728 and 1729, being the only occasion of an excess of importation 109 during a period of sixty years. But in 1732 the average price of wheat fell to 23,v. 8±d., having, in 1728, been as high as 48s. 5^d. per quarter. As might be expected, so great a fall, and to a lower level than had been known for many years before, was productive of con- siderable suffering. The following extract de- scribes it in terms, which, with a very few al- terations, might be supposed to have emanated from Mr. Webb Hall's committee. f* The interest of our British landholders has been de- clining several years last past ; it has been a general obser- vation, that rents have been sinking, and tenants unable to make as good payments as formerly, even in counties where there is the greatest circulation of money, the maritime ones, and those near the capital cities of the kingdom. As this is too well known to be their case, they deserve the attention and favour of our legislature : it is proper thev should make a tolerable interest of their money, as well as adventurers in other businesses, which few of them do, who have not enjoyed their bargains twenty years or a longer time, for lands are much dearer now. Wheat this year and last never mounted, in some of the extreme parts of the kingdom, to above three shillings and eight pence per Win- chester ; barley is now sold in the west of England for two shillings per Winchester bushel. Prices are often higher fifty miles round London than elsewhere, which induces several great men to think that countrymen live better than they really do. Country measures (which are frequently larger than the Winchester or legal bushels) con- tribute farther to such mistakes. Before they can pay their rents, wheat of middling goodness ought, I think, to sell for about four shillings and three pence per Winchester, 110 not in a few places, but throughout the kingdom ; barley for 2s. Gd., peas 2s. 3d., and oats Is. 6d. per Winchester. I know in former times less prices were sufficient; but as circumstances alter, the same thing is altered : corn farms (iron, timber, harvest people, and servants, being much dearer than heretofore) will not yield sufficient profit to the occupiers of them, unless they can have such prices, parti- cularly as cattle, pigs, sheep, butter, and cheese, are now one-third part cheaper than formerly, and what is called a living price. " The flourishing condition of the landed interest sup- ports all trade, most trades now (except those which supply luxury, those of gold and silversmiths, lacemen, vintners, painters, dealers in silks, velvets, and high-priced cloths) are in apparent decay; which is not only proved by the general declarations of tradesmen, but by too many instances of bank- ruptcy amongst them. I wish I could say the present times are not the worst. Our exports are, perhaps, as great as for- merly ; whence, then, all this complaint ? Our farmers are worse customers than formerly ; necessity has compelled them to more carefulness and frugality in laying out their money, than they were accustomed to do in better times." (The Landholder's Companion, or Ways and Means to raise the Value of Land, by William Allen, Esq. of Fobstone, in Pembrokeshire, 1734.) At that time and for several years afterwards, viz. till 1764, the price of corn in France was likewise at a very low range from the same ge- neral cause ; and it will be seen by reference to the speech of Mr. de la Chalotais, which I have before noticed, that it was a period during which great complaints prevailed of the depressed and distressed state of the agricultural classes in Ill that country. The speaker frequently alludes to the suffering from plenty, for in recom- mending the liberty of exportation as a remedy, he expressly says that, " the too great abund- ance of crops is almost as much to be dreaded as want." He afterwards goes on to say, that " superabundance produceth stagnation, and brings with it a vile price." I will only here add, that stagnation and de- clining prices, and general depression of the landed interest in this country, prevailed more or less during the greater part of the American war, when there was a preponderance of good seasons. In the Annals of Agriculture, (vol. 25, p. 460), is the following description in the extract of a letter written by Arthur Young, in 1780, of the fall of prices and consequent distress at the period referred to : — " In the years 1776, 1777, prices fell considerably; and, in 1779, so low, that very general complaints have been heard of ruined farmers, and distressed landlords ; and at the time I am now writing, the fact holds that there is a considerable fall in all products, and great numbers of farmers ruined. I have the prices of wool for forty years now before me, and that which from 1758 to 1767 was from 18*. to 21s. a tod, is for 1779, only 12*. ; and was in 1778, but 145. We must go back to ^o^, to find a year so low as the last. Wheat and all sorts of grain are greatly fallen." And again, when after a considerable rise in prices from the bad season of 1782, and some 112 severe winters following, there was a tendency to a restoration of abundance and declining prices, fresh complaints arose on the part of the landed interest, and gave occasion to the Corn Bill of 1791. Of the effects of price as connected with quan- tity on the prosperous or depressed state of the landed interest since 1791, I shall enter more at large in the following section. In the meantime some apology may be due to my readers, for having gone back to periods so remote, for proofs of what appears so clearly to be the necessary effect of quantity on price, viz. that greater plenty than usual of produce will occasion so great a fall in prices, as to make the larger quantity of less value than the smaller quantity at the previous high prices ; that consequently there must be considerable loss and pecuniary suffering among the pro- ducers, and that such suffering must naturally be the subject of complaint. But evident as that proposition may be when distinctly stated to unbiassed minds, it is not the less true that several eminent men in parliament, and some distinguished writers out of it, have inveighed in terms of indignation and ridicule against what they have been pleased to call the novel and outrageous doctrine, that abundance could ever be the cause of distress. 113 SECTION V. Application of the Principle of the " Effect of Quantity on Price" to the State of Agriculture, from 1793 to 1812, as explanatory of the high Price of Corn, during that Period. Applying the foregoing general observations on the effect of quantity on price, and the il- lustrations of it, to the state of the corn trade since 1792, we can be at no loss to account for the main causes of the prosperity which, with short intervals of depression, attended agricul- ture in the first twenty years, and of the distress which, with the momentary respite of 1817-18, it has experienced for the last ten years. The first great burst of prosperity clearly followed the deficient harvests of 1794 and 1795. The average price of wheat was, in the year 1793, - 48s. lid. and in the years 1795 and 1796, 75s. 8cl. The consumption of wheat at the close of the last century was estimated at about eight mil- lions of quarters, and of other grain about twen- ty-two millions of quarters. The deficiency of the crops of 1794 and 1795 114 was estimated at about one-eighth in each year, by Lord Sheffield, in his speech in the House of Commons, on the 13th December 179«5, and that computation was generally supposed to be near the mark, being founded on the best data ac- cessible ; the account will therefore stand thus : If they had been of ordinary or bare average produce, as that of 1793, they would have yielded, suppose 8,000,000 quarters wheat at 48s. 11^.* - £ 19,506,666 But being deficient one-eighth, 7 nr 403 ^33 7,000,000 yielded, at 75s. 8d. S making a difference or profit of about 7,000,000/. to be divided in each year, among the agricul- tural interest on wheat alone. And as all other grain participated in nearly a proportionate ad- vance, the scarcity being general, assuming the collective value of all other agricultural pro- duce (exclusive of cattle and sheep) to be more than double to that of wheat, and observing the same proportion ofdefect in quantity, the re- sult would be a gain of no less than 2 1 ,000,000/. ; but from this apparent gain is to be deducted * As the seasons both of 1792 and 1793 have been de- scribed as somewhat under an average, this price seems to be rather too high for the basis of comparison ; and 42s. 1 1 d. which is the average price for 1792, would probably afford a fairer point of contrast, making of course the gain by the scarcities of 1794 and 1795 so much greater. 115 the rise in price on that proportion of the pro- duce reserved for the seed, and for the main- tenance of the farmers' families and their work- ing cattle. "What that deduction should be, I am not competent to say, but I should imagine that between one-fourth and one-third would be an ample allowance, and it would still leave from fourteen to sixteen millions profit to the pro- ducers (including the proprietors of tithes) at the expense of the consumers. From that profit there was no drawback by any extra expensiveness of the harvests, as the crops were quickly and well got in, the weather during harvest in each of those years, and particularly in 1794, having been favourable. The tithe and poor rates did, indeed, advance, but it was yet only in a small proportion to that greater extra gain. And with respect to the tithe in general, I would here observe, that if it does not keep pace with any great advance of price, so, on the other hand, when once raised in consequence of con- tinued scarcity, it follows the fall from the re- turn of abundance equally slowly ; and in pro- portion as it does not make a deduction to the full extent of the legal claim during the rise, it continues as a pressure beyond that extent during the fall. Allowing, however, a further deduction for increased tithe and poor rate, to the extent of N 116 2,000,000/. there will remain a net profit of from twelve to fourteen millions per annum, or from twenty-four to twenty-eight millions in the two years, to be divided among the farmers and landlords, according to the terms of the leases. Now, a clear gain to this extent might easily be conceived to operate as a powerful stimulus to extended tillage ; and accordingly the num- ber of bills of inclosure on the average of the three years, ending in 1797» was nearly double of what it had been in 1792*. Surely, here is quite a sufficient solution of the cause of in- creased rents, without seeking for it in war de- mand, or in the Bank restriction. But the in- creased tillage and a large importation com- bined, notwithstanding an indifferent harvest, in 1797> to depress prices by the summer of 1798. And the process of refunding part of the gains of the two preceding years by the agricultural interest was attended with consi- derable suffering to that class. Complaints * Number of Bills of Inclosure. 1792 . .. 40 1793 . ,i 60 1794 ., .. 74 1795 . .. 77 1796 .. . 72 1797 . .. 85 (Appendix to the Lords' Report on the resumption of cash payments 1819, page 430). 117 were made in the newspapers of that time of the inability of farmers, in many instances, to pay their rents — those rents of course which had been raised with the rise of produce. This dis- couragement was immediately felt in a corre- sponding reduction of the number of Inclosure Bills, which having in 1797 amounted to eighty- five in number, fell, in 1798, to forty-eight. Can any coincidence of circumstances indi- cate more strongly the relation of cause and effect, than the encouragement to increased tillage, in consequence of a succession of scarce years, and the cessation of that encouragement by the return of abundance ? But the depression in this instance was not of long duration ; for the season of 1799 opened with all its horrors to the community, and was the dawn of a fresh era of prosperity to the agriculturists, for it was followed in immediate succession by a season nearly equally deficient. The deficiency arising from these seasons is stated in the report of a Committee of the Com- mons upon the scarcity, and the means of re- medying it, at somewhat under one quarter as relating to wheat ; the deficiency of other grain appears not to have been quite so great as that of wheat. Applying, therefore, the same form of comparison of the state of the agricultural interest in 1801, in consequence of the two pre- N 2 118 ceding years of dearth, and estimating the de- ficiency at one quarter, it will stand thus : If they had been of average produce, as that of 1798, they would have yielded, suppose 8,000,000 quarters wheat, at 505. 3d.* £ 20,100,000 but, being deficient one quarter, 6,000,000 quarters yielded, at 104*. Ad. f - 31,300,000 making a gross profit of upwards of 11,000,000/. on wheat alone, and adding double that sum as the gain by the proportionate advance of other produce, there will have been the enormous sum of upwards of 33,000,000/. in each of the two years, subject to the same deductions as in the preceding statement, and to a further de- duction for the greater expense at which the harvests of 1799 and 1800, but particularly the former, were got in, compared with 1798. But, subject to all possible deductions, the net profit divided among the farmers and landlords must have amounted to upwards of 15,000,000/. in each of the two years, on the * The price of 1 798 may be considered as perhaps some- what too high for a point of comparison, because there had not been sufficient time for the restoration of a surplus, nor therefore for a subsidence to a fair level, after so great and recent a deficiency as that of 1795. f The average price of wheat for 1800 and 1801 was 115s. lit?, from which I have deducted 10 per cent, for the difference between paper and gold, an allowance more than adequate to the actual depreciation. 119 average of which the high prices resulting from the deficient crops were realized. Was it to be wondered at, that under these circumstances, there should be an eager resort of fresh capital to the land ? The impulse was irresistible, and consequently the number of Inclosure Bills increased rapidly. The follow- ing are the numbers : — 1799 . .. 63 1800 . .. 80 1801 . .. 122 But, from the harvest of 1801, which was abundant, coinciding with a large importation, prices declined progressively till the harvest of 1804. Of the distress arising from that fall of prices, which was not arrested by the renewal of the war in the spring of 1803, nor by an un- precedentedly large government expenditure, it is sufficient to give the reader an idea by re- ferring him to the discussions in parliament, which took place at the passing of the corn bill of that year. As the effect of the discou- ragement arising from that fall, the number of Inclosure Bills in 1804 suddenly fell to fifty- two, exactly one-half of what they had been in the year preceding. What connexion, therefore, can be thus far assumed between war demand or expenditure and the encouragement to till- age, when in the very height of the war, and 120 coincidently with an enormous increase of ex- penditure, prices fell so much as to check the spirit of improvement in so considerable a de- gree. In July, 1804, the average price of wheat was as low as in July, 1793 ; and if the harvest of 1804 had been as abundant as the harvests of 1813, 1815, and 1820, have since been, I am perfectly satisfied that the corn bill of 1804 would have been found to be as inef- fectual in preventing the further fall, and thus remedying the distress, as the corn bills of 1815 and 1822 have been. The crops of that year, however, proved to be deficient, and the impulse to a renewal of high prices continued as usual for some time beyond the immediate occasion, and there was of course a revival of agricultural prosperity. The crops of the two succeeding years were of average produce, and with an importation in 1806 and 1807 to a very moderate extent, prices were drooping for cattle and every description of grain ; and if the season of 1807 had proved to be one of general abundance, and the com- munication with the rest of Europe, and with the United States, had continued undisturbed, there would have been a recurrence of distress to the landed interest, and a new corn bill, which is the general attendant on a fall of prices. But at the close of 1807 arose the obstruc- 121 tions, which I have already noticed, to our in- tercourse with other countries, the extent of which, from the description that I have given of them, must be fresh in the reader's mind. Pre- viously to 1807, our communication with the north of Europe and with the United States of America had been undisturbed, and the only obstruction, arising out of the war, to an im- portation consisted in extra freight and in- surance, amounting on wheat to about 3s. to 5s. per quarter above what they usually are in time of peace. From 1793, therefore, down to 1806, when the ports were virtually open, the average price being mostly above the minimum of 54>s. the importation at the ordinary prices at which the continent is supposed to be capable of raising corn and supplying it indefinitely, might have been expected to be much larger than it was*. * It is the more necessary to advert to the circumstance, that at least down to 1806 the sources of supply from abroad were open to us at charges of importation not more than 3s. to 5*. per quarter above those which are usually paid in time of peace from the Baltic ; because Mr. Webb Hall stated in his pamphlet (page 98), that our agriculture languished from the period of the alteration of our corn laws in 1773, until our ports became virtually closed in 1 796 ; and he repeats that they were virtually shut from that time to 1813. By this he means that the sources of supply were closed against us by the war for the whole time. It is sufficient, however, to refer to the amount of importation from 1795 to 1806, to disprove this assertion. 122 The importation was, indeed, on some occa- sions very large, but still, with a few exceptions, in no adequate proportion to the encouragement held out by the high prices in this country. The fact which accounts for this difficulty is important, inasmuch as it explains what appears to have been a still greater difficulty among those who, neglecting the consideration of the effect of the seasons, have sought exclusively in the state of the currency, or in war expenditure, for the explanation of all the phenomena of high prices. The fact to which I allude is, the pre- valence and frequent recurrence of unfavour- able seasons in several other countries, during the greatest part of the interval between 1793 and 1807. The continent of Europe was visited in 1794 and 1795 with a scarcity at least equal in se- verity to that which prevailed here : in France the suffering from this cause, aggravated as it was by the law of the maximum, amounted to a famine ; and the ravages committed by the Hessian fly on wheat in America for several successive years immediately preceding that period, precluded the possibility of much relief from that quarter *. * Lord Sheffield stated in his speech, December, 1-795, that wheat at Philadelphia, in August of that year, was at 12s. 2d. sterling per bushel. 1-23 1798, which in this country was a good sea- son, was unfavourable, from excessive drought, in some parts of the north of Europe. 1799 was, if possible, still more unpropitious on the continent than it was here. 1800 was indeed somewhat less unfavourable there than in this country, which accounts for our having been able to obtain so large a supply of foreign corn in 1800 and 1801. 1802 and 1803, which were years of fair ave- rage produce in this country, were unfavour- able in the south of Europe. A better proof of this cannot be afforded than the circumstance that, notwithstanding the ports of this country were open at what might seem to be high prices, the importation was comparatively small. So great was the scarcity in Spain during those two years, that the price of wheat rose in the spring of 1804 to nearly six times what it had been in 1800. ff The medium price of the load of four funegas of wheat at the market of Medina di Rio Seco in Leon, which was in May, 1800, at 115 reals vellon, rose as follows: — May, 1801, 172 reals vellon. 1802, 263 1803, 2474- 1804, 620." (Appendix to Bullion Report, 1810, page 185.) Thus there was no accumulation during the whole period in the sources of foreign supply. 124 In the years 1805, 180(3, and 1807, it is pro- bable that the very extensive scale of military operations in the north of Europe interfered with the cultivation of corn, or, at least, with the bringing down of the usual quantities to the ports of the Baltic ; and some of those ports, belonging to Prussia, fell into the hands of the French at the close of 1806. Accord- ingly, though our ports were open, and the ex- pense of conveyance still moderate, the im- portations, in 1806 and 1807, v/ere inconsider- able. It was, in truth, scarcity operating, in other countries as well as in this, in advancing the price on the principle already stated, in a ratio much beyond the degree of deficiency, that was the talisman which worked such miracles of prosperity to farmers and landlords. After the close of 1807, however, there were intervals when the sources of supply of foreign corn were really shut against us ; and, as those intervals coincided with a deficiency, greater or less, of our own crops, the effect on price of any supposed deficiency was calculated to be in a much greater ratio than it otherwise would have been. In the discussions, there- fore, in parliament, in the spring of 1808, on prohibiting the distillation from grain, one of the arguments most relied on was, that though 125 the deficiency of the crops of 1807 was con- fined to those of spring corn and of potatoes, and might not, under other cirnmstances, be calculated to create any alarm, the uncertainty of being able to obtain a supply from abroad rendered it expedient to husband our own re- sources. And so far the apprehension was justified — whatever may be thought of the ex- pedience of the interference which was founded upon it ; since, notwithstanding the advance which took place in the price of all kinds of grain in the spring of 1808, and the further rise which occurred when the result of the harvest was known, the whole importa- tion of foreign wheat and flour, in that year, did not exceed 41,388 quarters ; while the ex- portation, probably to the Peninsula, amounted to 69,484 quarters. Freights and insurances had advanced extravagantly in the course of that year, and the license system had not yet been sufficiently organized to admit of ex- tensive importations of any kind. The further advance in price, however, as a consequence of the bad harvest of 1809, the license system being by that time matured, in- duced a very large importation at the close of that year ; and still greater supplies came for- ward in 1810. Our being able to get so large a supply arose, apparently, from the circum- 126 stance that the seasons of 1808 and 1809, which were unfavourable in this country, were not so on the Continent, being an exception to the general observation of the prevalence of seasons of a similar description on the Continent with those in this country ; and wheat was parti- cularly cheap in France in those two years. The great advance, therefore, in the price here, and the cheapness abroad at that par- ticular time, will serve to account for an im- portation on so large a scale as in 1809 and 1810, notwithstanding the very high freights and premiums of insurance which were then paid, and which, under other circumstances, would have amounted to a prohibition. But, in 1811, the deficiency in this country, arising from the bad harvest of that year, coin- cided with deficient crops on the Continent, and particularly in France, where the price ad- vanced nearly 200 per cent, above what it had been in 1808. High, therefore, as the price here was, wheat having advanced, on the ave- rage, in July, 1812, to 140s. 9d., it was insuf- ficient to cover the great expenses of importa- tion, added to a relatively high price at the shipping ports : some of the ports in the Baltic, moreover, were, during part of that time, in a state of siege ; and were, consequently, wholly closed against us as sources of supply. The 127 quantity of foreign corn, accordingly, imported in 1811 and 1812, was very inconsiderable ; the balance of the importation of wheat having amounted to only 92,478 quarters in 1811, and to 82,984 quarters in 1812. The deficiency of our own crops was not so great in 1811 and 1812, as in 1794 and 1795 ; or, again, in 1799 and 1800. It is clear, there- fore, that the prices of 1811 and 1812 would not have been so high if there had not been a virtual exclusion of foreign supply, which ren- dered it necessary to eke out our own produce by economy ; and this could only be effected through the medium of a relatively high range of prices. The price of wheat was raised, in consequence, on the average of the Jive years, ending in 1813, to no less than 106s. \d. per quarter, subject to deduction for the difference between paper and gold. It must be obvious, without fatiguing the reader by a repetition of calculations, that, ap- plying the same rule of comparison, the effect of a succession of crops more or less deficient, in raising prices so much beyond the degree of defect, must have been to afford a great amount of gain to be distributed among the agricultural classes. Independent of the encouragement arising from these profits, continued through so great a length of time, there was now a con- 128 fidence, which had not before existed, in the prospect of the continuance of them. The average produce of five seasons was supposed to represent what would be the utmost that any five succeeding seasons were likely to yield ; and as there was not, till the close of 1812, any appearance of a relaxation of the Continental system of exclusion, a continued absence of foreign competition was fully an- ticipated. Under these circumstances, rents, upon the expiration of leases, were advanced in full proportion to the high range of the prices of produce j and, in several instances, they were raised to treble of what they had been in 1792. Every purchase of land pre- vious to 1811, whether made with or without judgment, turned out favourably according to the then market rates, and it was supposed, in consequence, that money could in no way be so profitably employed as in buying land. Spe- culations, therefore, in land, or, as it is termed, land-jobbing, became general, and credit came in aid of capital for that purpose. A striking, but not, I believe, a singular instance of that description of speculation, was exhibited in the case of a petition lately presented to parliament, representing that the petitioner had, in the years 1811 and 1812, laid out 150,000/., partly his own and partly borrowed, in the purchase of land, 129 which had since fallen so much in value, that he was ruined by the loss ; praying, therefore, to be relieved, by what it has been the fashion to term an equitable adjustment of contracts, but which means, in reality, an indemnification for bad speculations. The extension of tillage, and the application of fresh capital to land already in cultivation, proceeded in full proportion to the great gains derived from the produce at such high prices. The number of inclosure bills was In 180S* 92 1809 122 1810 107 1811 133 1812 119 1S13 111 1814 112 The effect of a cultivation so extended was developed by the occurrence of three seasons, of which two, 1813 and 1815, were remarkably abundant, and one, 1814, a fair average. So great was the increase of produce thence re- sulting, that a fall of prices was inevitable, even supposing the war to have continued. A * I have already given the number of inclosure bills down to 1 804 j the number was In 1805 . . 71 1806 . . 76 1807 . . 91 130 better proof of this cannot be adduced, than the fact that a great fall did take place upon the occurrence of the first of these seasons of abundance, viz. 1813, notwithstanding the con- tinuance, and even a great extension of war expenditure, and notwithstanding a great rise in the price of gold ; and that the renewal of hostilities with France in 1815, accompanied by a government expenditure, on a larger scale than ever known, for the time it lasted, and by a great rise in the price of gold, could not arrest the fall, which continued till 181 6. The loss arising from the fall in agricultural produce in that period, compared with the highest level which it had attained in 1812 and 1813, has been computed, in the supplement to Mr. Webb Hall's pamphlet, at 72,000,000/. per annum, which proves, as far as that authority goes, that my computation of the amount dis- tributed, as gain upon agricultural produce during the rise from scarcity, is not overrated. 131 SECTION VI. Application of the Principle of the " Effect of Quantity on Price" to the State of Agriculture, since 1812, as explanatory of the Fall of Prices. The suffering by the landed interest from the great fall which began in 1813 was the occa- sion of the corn bill of 1815, which, however, was perfectly ineffectual in resisting the tend- ency to a further decline of prices. But the bad harvest of 1816 intervened, and gave a respite from that state of distress. The effect of that single bad harvest, coin- ciding as it did with one equally unfavourable in France, was to raise the price in this country upwards of 100 per cent. ; for on the 1st Janu- ary, 1816, the average price of wheat was 53s.7d. and in June, 1817, reached 112s. Jd. # thus ex- hibiting a further proof of an advance in price greatly beyond the utmost computation of the defect of quantity. There was no pretence for ascribing this advance to a war expenditure ; and it has been shown in the first part of this * Appendix to Agricultural Report, 1821, page 381. o 132 work, that the greatest proportion of the ad- vance preceded any increase of bank notes or any considerable issue of gold. What is further decisive on this point is, that the rise of prices in France was still greater than in this country. From the peculiarities attending the seasons of 1817 and 1818, a high range of prices was maintained through those two years, notwith- standing that from the experience since derived, there is reason to believe that they were full average crops. I have already described those seasons, and from that description may be col- lected the cause of the deception as to their produce. But opinion of quantity will for a limited time act upon price nearly as much as the reality, although eventually the fall must be so much the greater, as an erroneous opinion, by maintaining the price above a due pro- portion to the actual quantity, must restrain consumption and increase supply. The opinion entertained of the insufficiency of the growth had therefore, while it lasted, the effect of dis- tributing a much greater profit among the agri- cultural classes than was justified by the actual, compared with the supposed, produce. The occurrence of a bad season in 1816, and the supposition that those of 1817 and 1818 were short of an average produce, countenanced the opinion, that unfavourable seasons must 133 recur at very short intervals. And as it was further supposed, that even an average produce of our own growth was insufficient for the con- sumption, it was calculated that if by an abun- dant season, or by too large an importation, the average price should fall below 805. it would, by the shutting of the ports, quickly rise again to that rate. That this opinion operated to some extent, I have every reason to believe from what I heard at the time, and have since col- lected from parties interested in the corn trade. This high range of prices, resulting originally from one bad season, and continued through two more seasons, which gave rise to an erro- neous opinion of scarcity, afforded the reality as well as the appearance, as long as it lasted, of prosperity to agriculture. It appears, indeed, by some of the evidence before the Agricul- tural Committee in 1821, that farming had been resumed with increased spirit, in consequence of the encouragement held out in 1817 and 1818. The effect of the high prices for three years, in two of which the produce did not justify so elevated a range, was to increase the supply by importation, as well as by extended cultivation, and the consequence was, that upon the occurrence of a season of more than usual produce in 1820, after three of average growth, o 2 134 there was a surplus of very extraordinary mag- nitude. Mr. Wakefield stated it as his opi- nion, that the stock of corn on hand in April, 1821, was as great as it usually is after harvest *. The stock on hand immediately after harvest can hardly be less in average seasons than four- teen or fifteen months' consumption. Now, confining the computation to wheat, and rec- koning the consumption to be at the rate often millions of quarters per annum, the quantity in the country in April would be between 11 and 12 millions of quarters, and deducting the consumption till and during harvest, or about 4 millions of quarters, there would remain be- tween 7 and 8 millions of quarters of old wheat at the new harvest. This is no vague sup- position ; for it is corroborated, as much as any mere estimate can be, by the concurrent testi- mony of those who witnessed the large and overwhelming supplies which poured into the market when the speculative rise took place upon the bad weather which prevailed during the harvest of 1821. So large a surplus fully accounts for the subsequent decline in price, * Minutes of Evidence Agricultural Committee, 1821. " I think that there is a wonderful quantity of corn in the country j I now think that there is as much corn left in the country as generally in common years there is after harvest." Page 217. 135 even supposing that the produce of 1821, which is now pretty nearly ascertained to have yielded a full quantity, although of inferior quality, had been a bare average ; for it could only be by an extra consumption that, with a sub- sequent average produce, a surplus so much greater than usual could be reduced. An increased consumption can arise only from an increasing population, which can have but a trifling effect within a year or two, or from such a degree of cheapness as would occasion a larger consumption by the same number. But as it requires a very great elevation of price to eke out a stock deficient only in a very trifling degree, so it requires a great reduction of price to induce or admit of an increased consumption, in any proportion to the excess of produce re- sulting from even a single season of general abundance. The existence of so large a surplus, which could not be the effect of the excess of produce beyond an average of the single season of 1820, even with the addition of the importation of 1817 and 1818, affords the presumption, in addition to that arising from the description of them, that the crops of 1817, 1818, and 1819, collectively, must have amounted to more than sufficient to meet the consumption. The crops of 1821, badly as they were got in, 136 are supposed to have yielded a full average produce. These five seasons, therefore, ending with the harvest of 1821, form, in point of abundance, a sufficient contrast to the scanty- supply resulting from the five seasons ending in 1812. If to the superiority of home produce of the five seasons ending in 1821 be added the excess of importation in the latter period, and if, in estimating the effect of so great an excess of quantity, it be considered that in the five years ending in December, 1812, actual scanti- ness of supply was aggravated by the absence of relief in prospect from importation ; whereas in the five years recently passed there has been an abundant supply actually in the market, and further, a large quantity ready to be poured in, so as to check the range of speculative advance beyond 805., there will appear quite sufficient reason for the difference of price at the two periods ; allowing only for the depreciation of paper in the former period. But if scarcity or mere scantiness of supply, by its powerful effects in raising prices beyond the ratio of the de- ficiency, was the occasion of the distribution of such large sums as profit and rent among the producing classes, the return of abundance, and the consequent depression of price in a ratio beyond the difference of quantity, must occa- sion losses in proportion to the extent and 137 duration of that fall ; and the losses during the fall would be larger in the aggregate than the gain during the rise, in as far as a resort had been had to the cultivation of inferior soils. It may further be remarked, that as the farmers, pending their leases, would be the first gainers during the rise, and the landlords would only realize their profit at the expiration of the leases by an advanced rent ; so, in the re- trograde process, the farmers would be losers in the first instance, and the landlords even- tually at the expiration of the leases, or even before that time, if the losses were greater than what the farmers could sustain : in this case the landlords must abate or forego their rents, according to circumstances, in order to save their tenants from insolvency, and their land from deterioration. The exposition here given of the degree in which the seasons have contributed to the pro- sperity of the agricultural interests at one pe- riod, and to the subsequent depression of them, is so far connected with the examination of the causes of the high and low prices in the last thirty years, as the great gains, resulting from the scarcity, which, as the consequence of unfavourable seasons, prevailed, more or less, during the first twenty years, formed the sti- 138 mulus which, with short intervals, operated to the extension and improvement of cultivation. On the other hand, a more favourable course of seasons in the nine years ending in the sum- mer of 1822, operating upon that extended and improved cultivation, occasioned the abundance to which the subsequent fall of prices, and con- sequent agricultural distress, may be ascribed. 139 SECTION VII. Recapitulation. The points which I have endeavoured to establish as the result of this examination of the varieties of the seasons, and their effects on the high and low prices of the last thirty years, are, That seasons of a particular character for pro- ductiveness or unproductiveness are liable to occur in very different proportions in equal series of ,years at different intervals : as, for in- stance, in one interval, viz. from 1693 to 1714, both years included, making twenty-two years, there were twelve seasons more or less unfa- vourable, or of deficient produce ; and, in an- other interval, from 1730 to 1751, making like- wise twenty-two years, there was only one sea- son, which, from historical record, or by infer- ence from fluctuation of price, can be consi- dered to have been decidedly unproductive. 140 That seasons of nearly a similar description frequently prevailed during the same periods in France, and in some other parts of Europe. That the dearness of corn in the period of twenty-two years ending in 1714, and the comparative cheapness in the twenty-two years ending in 1751, in France, as well as in this country, while the value of money, in other respects, seems to have been falling, cannot be accounted for satisfactorily, except by the fact of the occurrence of unfavourable seasons in such different proportions in the two periods. That in the twenty years from 1793 to 1812, both years included, there were no fewer than eleven years of greater or less deficiency of produce arising from the seasons, with a con- siderable proportion of long and severe winters. That in the interval from 1813 to 1821, both years included, there was only one decidedly bad season, viz. 1816, and only one very severe winter, viz. 1813-14, while there were three harvests of acknowledged great and general abundance, 1813, 1815, and 1820. That in the first ten years of the period under examination, viz. from 1793 to 1802, both in- cluded, the proportion of seasons of scarcity was as great on the Continent of Europe as in this country ; and that, therefore, although the 141 expenses of conveyance were not more than 5.9. per quarter on wheat higher than in peace, no adequate supply could be obtained by im- portation, except by a great advance in price. That in the ten years from 1803 to 1812, both included, the proportion of seasons of de- ficient produce was somewhat greater than in the first ten years, but the degree of deficiency, of particular seasons, less marked ; that during part of this period, viz. from 1803 to 1807, there was a scarcity in some countries, and no general abundance in the rest of Europe, so that there was not, at any time, the depressing effect of a large contingent supply : and that during the remaining five years, viz. from 1808 to 18 12, both included, the deficiency of our own produce could not be relieved by a foreign supply, except on the condition of a rise in price sufficient to defray the extraordinary ex- penses of conveyance (amounting, in some in- stances, to upwards of 50s. per quarter) arising out of the peculiar character of the war during that period. That in the nine years ending in 1821, the harvests on the Continent of Europe were still more abundant than in this country, so that when, by the single bad season of 1816, our ports were opened, and partly by erroneous 142 estimate of the produce of our own crops, and partly by miscalculation of the effects of the corn bill, they were kept open for the two fol- lowing years, an importation of extraordinary magnitude took place ; and that this great im- portation, added to three crops of full average and one of superabundant produce, made a surplus or stock on hand at the commencement of the harvest of 1821, exceeding, as far as evidence can be procured or conjecture made, the reserve at any harvest during the last thirty years. That a defect or excess in the supply of any commodity, and of corn more particularly, af- fects the price in a ratio much greater than that of the defect or excess in quantity.' That under the operation of this principle, the scarcity arising from the seasons, with a very small allowance for the extra expenses of conveyance in consequence of the war, and for the difference between paper and gold, is suf- ficient to account for the high price of corn during the first fifteen years from 1793 to 1807. That under the operation of the same prin- ciple, a smaller deficiency, arising from the seasons, with a very much greater difficulty and expense of importation, from the peculiar cha- racter which the war assumed, and with a 143 larger allowance for the difference between paper and gold, is sufficient to account for the high price of corn for the five years ending in 1812. That, dating from the harvest of 1813, a suc- cession of seasons more or less favourable, ope- rating upon an extended scale and improved mode of cultivation, down to the summer of 1822, with the intervention of one season only of deficient produce, and combined with a very large importation during part of that interval, have been attended with an increase of aggre- gate produce quite sufficient upon the principle stated of the effect of quantity on price, to account for the decline which took place down to the close of last year. That, while the operation of this principle, under the circumstances stated, accounts for the rise and high level of prices, and for the subsequent decline, it fully explains the extra- ordinary prosperity enjoyed by the agricultural interest, with very short intervals of depression during the first twenty years, and for the severe distress which has attended that body during the last ten years of the period in question. But that the great prosperity of the agri- cultural interest, as it arose from scarcity, was attended with great suffering to the rest of the 144. community ; while the return of abundance which is productive, during the decline of prices, of great distress to that body, is at- tended with great increase of enjoyment and of real wealth to the rest of the community. APPENDIX TO PART III. No. 1. Extract from the translation of a speech made by M. De Caradeuc de la Chalotais, Procur cur- general to the parlia- ment of Brittany, on the 20th of August, 1764; when he carried into court the edict of the ?nonth of July, 1764, requiring it to be registered. GENTLEMEN, I have the honour to inform you of the most signal benefit with which his majesty can gratify his people, a liberty to trade in corn. After having permitted the free circulation in the interior part of the kingdom, by his declaration of the 25th of May, 1763, the king grants by this edict, which I bring into court, the entire liberty of exportation and importation. He permits all his subjects to trade in all sorts of corn, grain, pulse, flour, &c. either with natural-born subjects or strangers. You may understand this edict, Gentlemen, as a presage of the increase and improvement of agriculture, which will in- fallibly be the source of the re-establishment and prosperity of the kingdom. In short, thanks to his majesty and the minister who manages his finances, the system of prohibition seems to be abandoned for ever ; a fatal system, which forbids the subjects of the same sovereign to lend each other mutual assistance, 146 and cuts off between France and othernations that communica' tion of exchanging superfluities for necessaries, which is so conformable to the order of Divine Providence. Particular permissions, that useless resource, which enriched a few pri- vate persons at the expense of the nation, will not for the future discourage the farmer. We shall no more be in fear of want, nor, which is almost as much to be dreaded, the too great abundance of crops. We shall no more fear, above all, excessive variations in the price of corn, equally hurtful with scarcity itself. In short, we may hope for an equitable plan of taxation, founded upon true and simple principles, the cultivation of the lands, and the augmentation of the riches of the state. I shall not stand, Gentlemen, to prove truths, at present too •well known, and carried to the highest degree of demon- stration by so many solid works, which are the produce of the knowledge of zealous and well-informed citizens. Who is unacquainted, that it is the earth only giveth riches, because it only produceth and reproduceth annually a new stock ? That the sale of merchandise is the only means to cause a circulation of money, which is only the representation of more real riches, the fruits of the earth ? That a state rich in productions which it can sell, will necessarily be rich in money ? But let its merchandise fail, or find no sales, it feels infallibly the want of circulation of specie, and falls into a languor which, in its effects, is equally bad as poverty. It is therefore certain, that the most useful of all political laws is that which gives the greatest facility to the sale of the pro- ductions of the earth. The necessaries for consumption, taxes, even the trade of the nation, all take their rise from the sale of mei'chandise ; therefore we cannot extend this source too much, nor be too careful how we straighten it ; if it should be dried up, the evils of the state would be without remedy and without bounds. I shall confine myself, Gentlemen, to a few slight observa- 147 tions on the necessity of the exportation of the principal mer- chandise (corn) : they may appear unnecessary, since his ma- jesty hath established its truth in a perpetual and irrevocable edict, an edict conformable to the prayers of the nation which obtained it, to that of the states of this province, to experience which is the instructor of man, to the sentiments of Henry the Great and the illustrious Sully, to the opinion of all those who have examined this question without prejudice and without in- terest ; an examination in regard to which no one hath hitherto presumed publicly to contradict either the reasons, the facts, or the calculations. But it is requisite to encourage the timorous, to instruct those who are not as yet fully informed, to remove all mistrust from the people. We have no reason to fear when we are laying down maxims which promise the good of the state. Is there any necessity, by a long chain of reasoning, to prove, that to prevent the sale of corn is to prohibit the cul- tivation ? that such prohibition hath made the profession of a farmer (in France), although the most necessary, the most unhappy of all the professions in the state ? That a free trade in grain, both within and without the kingdom, is the sole and only means to put the farmer and land-owners in a condi- tion to support public and private expenses. Let us not fear to descend to particulars ; experience is the foundation of all physical inquiry, calculation is the measure. We arrive at general maxims only by the knowledge of par- ticular facts. The necessary expenses of every cultivation whatsoever are the seed, the ploughing, the manure, the expenses to harvest, to lay up and to preserve the crop. It is necessary that the farmer make interest of the money advanced, wherewith to subsist himself and family, pay tithes, taxes, and his landlord, whose expenses ascertain the payment of the other classes of the state, who being composed of neither land-owners nor farmers, live at the expense of those who are. v 148 The earth does not produce every year the best of grain. It must have years of rest ; it is necessary to take into con- sideration good and bad years, and place to the account un- foreseen accidents, for they will not be wanting. Now, in calculating these expenses at the lowest rate pos- sible, it appears that the setier of wheat is barely worth to the farmer that which it cost him ; men well skilled in agri- culture have made the calculation, and desire all land-owners to make it themselves : it is a work which relates to all men, and in which all professions are interested. The neat produce of the cultivation of the earth is the only source of the pro- sperity of a farming state ; to know exactly what an acre of land, well cultivated, will produce, in different kinds of mer- chandise, according to the difference of the soils, is the funda- mental problem of agriculture, commerce, and finances. If the farmer doth not gain all his expenses and wherewith to satisfy all charges, the earth will remain unfilled, as more than the moiety in this province doth : the starving proprietor will be forced to sustain losses and bankruptcies ; the farmer ruined, badly clothed and badly fed, will sell his little pro- perty; he will take up with his indigent family the art of begging, too common, and which is a disgrace to the nation ; the state itself will suffer ; the taxes will not be collected but with extreme difficulty, and with the greatest rigour ; and it must be acknowledged that this hath been the state of the kingdom (of France) for more than an age. In every pro- vince the earth shows, in an infinity of places, the marks and vestiges of a deserted cultivation : houses unroofed proclaim desertion and depopulation ; the cities and even the capital are peopled with poor, whilst those who have ruined so many families and enriched themselves with their spoils, make parade of a luxury which is an insult on public misery. There is, moreover, another principle which manifestly proves the price of corn is too low (in France), and that the farmers are far from being in a happy situation. 149 The price of corn ought to be in proportion to the value of every merchandise, and every kind of labour, which, after de- ducting the value of the material, ought to cost more or less according to what is paid per day to the workman. It is manifest that for about an age past the prices of labour and merchandise are considerably raised (in France). There is none that for this fifty years past hath not experienced this. The price of corn, which is the measure of the whole, shoidd then have risen in proportion ; in the meantime, it hath not only not increased, but it is a certain fact, that it hath fallen considerably, and that it would require an age ago a greater weight of silver to pay for a setier than it doth at present. In 1649, the Deputy of M , the procureur-general at the Chatelet, said, in his requisition of the 6th of March to the police, as a known fact, that wheat was at 15 livres the setier, a moderate price (these are his words) ; but the same setier hath this present year, 1764, been in Paris at 14 livres, and 14 livres 10 sous. It was of less value in the neighbour- ing cantons, and of necessity in the country. It appears by the account of prices kept at Paris, that it was worth 18 livres 18 sous in 1649 ; 26 livres 10 sous 5 de- niers in 1650; 25 livres 13 sous in 1651 ; and 24 livres 18 sous in 1652. Then the price of wheat hath diminished very much since 1649, that is within 115 years ; and it cannot be denied that other workmanship and merchandise, wages, &c. have greatly increased. What shall we think, Gentlemen, of so great a difference, when we reflect that the mark of silver was in 1649 at 28 livres, 13 sous, 8 deniers ; that is to say, at almost half less than at this day, (viz. from 1726 at 54 livres 6 sous?) The value of the setier of wheat (in money at present in use) was, during these five years, on the average price, at 42 livres 2 sous ; these prices are calculated hi The Essay on Moneys, and in the treatise of the Police of Corn. Ought one to be surprised, after these examples, that his majesty • p2 150 hath fixed the limits of the exportation at 30 livres the setier weighing 240 pounds ? It is then proved true to a demonstration, that corn is (in France) at too low a price, in proportion to the advances, to the charges and expenses of the farmer; in proportion to other works and merchandise, and consequently to both public and private expenses. But to enable the grower to receive back his charges and expenses, that he may support and pay all taxes ; it is not sufficient even that corn should be of a certain value, it is necessary that value should be regular, the least subject as possible to variation : if he is not certain of selling, and of selling every year for profit, this uncertainty deprives him of all security, and he loses the courage to till. Now, this was impossible under a system of prohibitions, under a system of temporary and particular permissions often granted from interest to importunity, scarcely ever free from suspicions. A state, whose agriculture is under the direction of pro- hibitive laws, can never cultivate but for its oiun necessary use ; it can never by good make compensation for bad years, for such a state is poor, when it hath a superfluity of grain, and it is poor when it hath too little : the superabundance produceth stagnation, and the failure produceth icant: one brings with it a vile price, and the other excessive dearth. These variations, the alternative of liberty and prohibitions, left the farmer in fear, and could not fail to discourage him, because he was obliged to sell at any price whatsoever to satisfy his annual advance. There is nothing but the constant keeping the ports open and a free exportation of grain that can remedy these inconveniences. In time of great plenty that freedom will support cultivation, because the certainty of sales either within the kingdom or to foreigners will make both the landlord and farmer contentedly see their riches lie idle in their magazines. This confidence will make them easy, 151 and prevent, in unfruitful years, the terrors of want, which often causes real want. The disadvantage of expenses in bad years will be made up by advantageous sales in those which are good ; the poor will find himself comforted by the abundant consumption of the rich, and by th« circulation. He cannot live, if the rich doth not furnish him with the means of subsistence ; and the latter cannot furnish the former therewith, if he doth not draw from the earth sufficient to pay those recompenses and wages, which are the reward of labour. But that which ought to remove entirely all his fears of want, is that constant uniformity of the price of corn, which exportation will necessarily produce. The principal end of a free exportation is not so much to sell as to support the mer- chandise at the best price possible, to restore that equilibrium which is supported naturally in the commerce of other mer- chandise. 152 No II. An Extract of an Address to the Different Classes of Persons in Great Britain, on the Present Scarcity and High Price of Provisions. By the Rev. Septitnus Hodson, M.B. 1795. It may fairly then be assumed that the present scarcity of corn is real., and not artificial ; but to establish the fact still more strongly, let us inquire into the causes which have com- bined to produce the situation at which we are so justly alarmed. 1 . It is well known to the corn-factors that the whole stock of the bread corn of last year was so nearly consumed before harvest, that had not the harvest been remarkably early we should at that time have felt a much severer temporary scarcity than we do at present. Instead, therefore, of the markets being supplied after harvest in part with old wheat, new wheat only was brought forward ; and that three weeks or a month * earlier than the average time of harvest. Considerably more of the new wheat, therefore, was consumed by Christmas, for example, than in former years ; so that, unless the crops were so abundant as to be equal to this premature consump- tion, a deficiency must necessarily be felt towards the approach of the following harvest. 2. Unhappily, however, the yielding of the last crops was by no means equal to the sanguine expectations which were formed of them. Throughout the southern, eastern, and mid- land counties, the ear, which looked very promising to the eye, did not yield much more than four-fifths of corn, all the upper part of the ear being merely chaff. This is accounted for by an unexpected frost in the middle of May, when the wheat was in bloom, which cut off the upper part of the bloom which * This is nearly one-twelfth of the whole consumption ! ! 153 was exposed, but did not injure the lower part of it, which was more sheltered. The northern counties were not affected by this accident, the wheat not being in so forward a state. 3. The premature consumption then of one crop, and the failure of the succeeding crop, u T ill sufficiently account for a scarcity towards the close of the year, without having recourse to the fiction of a monopoly. Our next observations must be applied to the high and unprecedented price of butcher's meat. The public opinion does not seem to be made up as to the causes of this additional calamity. The fact seems to be, that the short supply of stock at the present time may be very well accounted for by the cir- cumstances of the last winter. The long continuance of the frost, and the very high price of fodder, made stock of every kind too burdensome for the middling grazier to support. Towards the conclusion of the winter, therefore, the lean cattle of all kinds were sent to market, which used to be kept back till the summer. This evil would not have arisen to the very serious inconvenience which we now feel, if the severe winter had happily been succeeded by a mild and favourable spring. The turnips, however, having been destroyed by the frost, and the grass being checked by the coldness and backwardness of the spring, it became necessary to fodder the cattle at a time when, in the usual course of seasons, they should have been fattening upon abundant pasturage 5 so that graziers who had struggled through the winter, in hopes of a favourable spring, were still obliged to sell off their lean stock, and prematurely supply the market with that provision which should have been reserved for the summer and autumn consumption. The toll of Smith- field market affords a strong confirmation of this statement. By this, it appears that the quantity of stock brought to market in the months of February, March, and April, 1 795, exceed the quantity in the same months in the year 1794, by many thousand head both of beasts and sheep. It is too much to be feared that the graziers, allured by the present enormous 154 prices of meat, still supply the market with stock that ought not to be brought forward for two or three months to come ; the evil of which must be most severely felt at no great distance of time. Independently of this unfortunate anticipation of the supply, it will be readily perceived what an immense loss of weight of animal food has been sustained by the slaughter of cattle before they had attained their proper condition. Sup- pose 15,000 neat cattle to have been brought to market want- ing ten stone each of their usual weight, there will then be a deficiency of 150,000 stone weight of beef. Apply this calcu- lation, in a due proportion, to the numbers of sheep which were hastened to the slaughter-house by necessity, and we can be at no loss to account for the present high price of butcher's meat. 155 No. III. Agricultural Intelligence for 1799, extracted from the " Farmers Magazine." — Vol. i. p. 102. About the beginning of August, heavy rains, accompanied with cold easterly winds, reduced the summer fallows, and turnip fields, into a perfect mire; half rotted a great part of the hay, stopped the growth of the second crop of clover, laid down all the strong corn, and effectually prevented the wheat from filling ; as that grain cannot arrive at perfection if loaded with moisture at that stage of its growth. The month of September was, on the whole, rather worse ; indeed, the strong corn lay soaking among water during the greatest part of it. Much of the wheat, from the excess of moisture, died at the root before the ear ripened ; and the straw got a grey colour from the perspiration of the stalk being prematurely stopped ; and, when cut, had an appearance some- thing like as if it had been kiln-dried. The people, in general, were by this time convinced that the grain would necessarily be of inferior quality ; but few believed that it would be so defective in every respect as facts now unequivocally sub- stantiate. Oats, which are a hardy grain, suffered less under these unfavourable circumstances, and promised at one time to be generally a medium crop. This has turned out to be the case upon the dry sharp soils ; but those of a different description did not escape so well, and upon the high grounds they were nearly destroyed by two severe nights of frost on the lGth and 1 7th of October. Some beans are said to have been also in- jured at that time; but we believe that the loss of this grain will be very trifling, as they are usually sown upon deep rich lands. 156 No. IV. Extract from an Inquiry into the Causes and Remedies of the late and present Scarcity and High Price of Provisions, in a Letter to the Right Hon. Earl Spenser, K. G. First Lord of the Admiralty, 8fC. fyc. fyc. (Printed for J. Wright, Piccadilly, 1800.) We hear daily from men, by no means deficient in good sense, that one of the principal causes of the present high prices is the quantity of capital in the country, and the facility of obtaining money by credit, whereby dealers are enabled to speculate, and keep corn out of the market. But it will not be alleged that men, however rich, or however much at a loss to employ their money, will engage in any trade but with a view to gain by it. Now, it is evident, that if they keep up the article beyond a certain point, they must lose; and if it is short of that point, these capitalists are the benefactors and saviours of the community, by feeding the markets, and re- serving such a stock, as under the influence of security of pro- perty, and the check of competition, will exactly serve to carry us round the year, and on terms proportioned to the total quan- tum of provisions, provided their speculations have been made upon sound grounds. It appears that this must have been as nearly as possible the case last year; for that there is no sur- plus of last year's crop, nor of the unexampled importations that were made, is proved by its being necessary prematurely to thresh out part of the crop which has just been gathered in, for the daily supply of the market. This is sufficient answer to those who maintained that corn was unnecessarily kept up; and after what has been said it would be an insult to the meanest understanding to use any words to disprove that it has been hoarded or thrown into the river. The fact appears 157 clearly to be, that the crop of last year, together with what was imported, has been, with great economy, barely equal to the necessities of the country; and had the dealers in corn been so blind to their own interest as to have hoarded a month's supply, over and above what was wanted, after the gathering in of the new crop, how much less an evil would this have been than to have sold off the whole stock a month before the arrival of the new supply; in other words, to have created a famine, which I repeat it would have been the infallible consequence of bringing the corn to market at the beginning of the season, at the price of a plentiful year. Ought we not in this, as in other instances, to adore the wisdom and goodness of Divine Providence, which, by the spontaneous and irresistible, though silent co-operation of natural and moral causes, accomplishes the most salutary ends, in spite of the vain efforts aud officious interference of human policy? The want of a surplus essen- tially distinguishes this year from former years, and goes far towards explaining the continuation of the high prices, more especially when it is taken into account, that the present crop is considerably below an average one * ; and that the potatoes, which have, for many years, been such an uncommon resource, have greatly failed this year, from the following natural cause. The last summer was the hottest and driest of any upon re- cord, no rain having fallen from the 4th of June till the 19th of August, and the heat was unexampled. This forced the potatoes rapidly to maturity without their attaining their usual size, and when the rains came in August, in place of growing larger, they germinated, which has greatly spoiled their quality. It is evident from this, that the utmost eco^ nomy Avill be necessary in order to carry us round the year, * The crops upon the clay grounds, which make a large proportion of the whole, have failed, in consequence of the earth being baked, as it were, by the long and excessive heat which succeeded the wet weather in May. The corn also, which was standing after the 19 th of August, when the rains came on, was generally spoiled, great part of it having grown as it stood. 158 The last argument I shall use in proof of the reality of the scarcity is the immense importation. From the necessity of importation, for many years past, it is evident that the pro- duction of this country has not in that time been equal to its wants : the annual average importation for twenty years pro- ceeding the present was 160,000 quarters; for the last ten years 400,000; but from the 1st of September, 1799, to the middle of October, 1800, the importation has been between 1,100,000 and 1,200,000 quarters. While this statement proves the general deficient state of our agriculture, for a series of years, it carries irresistible conviction, if any proof were still wanting, of the unequalled deficiency of last year; especially when it is also considered that this corn was attracted hither, notwithstanding its being high priced, and hard to be procured abroad; for the crops were scanty last year in the countries bordering on the Baltic ; and the King of Prussia at one time prohibited the exportation of corn from his dominions : and though there was a better crop in America than there had been for some years, it has been deficient there for the last seven years, on account of the devastation of the Hessian fly. 159 No. V. Agricultural Intelligence. — Farmer s Magazine, Nov. 1807- The opinion expressed in our last number respecting the several corn crops has been verified by the result ; with a la- mentable addition, that in many of the northern and western districts a large proportion of the crop, at the date of last ac- counts, still remained in the field, exposed to ruin and destruc- tion from the elements, and much of it already in a state ap- proaching to rottenness, unless a favourable change of weather soon intervene and prevent such a melancholy catastrophe. From all the accounts communicated to us, it appears that the several crops (wheat excepted) are every where of little bulk ; indeed, more so than in any year since the memorable 1800, when dearth raged through the land. Wheat, in every point of view, proves to be the best crop ; and in several of the English counties it is estimated as exceeding the ordinary average, and of superior quality to the grain of the preceding year. Barley is probably below par; but oats, beans, and peas, are greatly de- fective, the latter articles particularly so. The failure of beans and peas showed itself about the end of July, when a disease, appropriately called the black jaundice, seized them, and com- pletely stopped further improvement. In no season within our remembrance have beans and peas more generally failed than in this one. It was of no importance whether they stood upon a soil which was strong and light, deep or shallow, rich or poor. On almost aU they met with the like fate ; and the produce is a small shrivelled grain, hardly of a quality fit to be used for seed next season, unless people are compelled to do so by imperious necessity. Whether the disease which in- fected these plants was occasioned by insects at the root, or on the stalk, or by atmospherical influence, is an undecided ques- 160 tion ; but the consequences will be felt in more ways than one, because, in many districts, the working stock are chiefly sup- ported through the winter months upon the fodder of those grains. Supposing the fodder should contain its usual nourish- ment, which is a doubtful circumstance, still it will not go one- half so far as in former years, having in a manner melted away before harvesting ; of course the expense of supporting working stock must be greatly increased. Notwithstanding the short crop, and the alarming condition in which a great part of it remains, markets are not so materially influenced thereby as might have been expected, having on the whole been dull and lower for wheat than in the preceding quarter. So far as respects wheat, the want of demand may be attributed to the full stock of flour on hand at the commencement of harvest; to the general imperfect condition of grain, which would not allow of speculation, especially when the old stock in hand was considerable ; and to the heavy loss sustained last season by corn-dealers, which makes them in this one shy of making extensive purchases. The want of oats and beans must, however, ultimately cause a greater demand for other grains, and occasion the prices of the several varieties to be more upon an equal footing than at this time. 161 No VI. Agricultural Intelligence, extracted from the Farmers Magazine, December, 1811. The weather, during the last three months, has been un- commonly capricious, constantly running into extremes, there- by giving much trouble and vexation to the corn farmer. The first three weeks of September answered well for executing harvest work, but before the end of that month a sequence of wet days occurred which threatened destruction to that part of the crop which remained in the fields. In the northern dis- tricts of England, and through the whole of Scotland, one- half of the corns were exposed for three weeks to rains and storms, in consequence of which many of them were severely sprouted; and had not a violent tornado ensued on the 13th of October, probably greater losses would have been sustained than were ever known in this country. But though the cut corns were saved by that storm, the unreaped ones (and in some districts the quantity in that situation was considerable) were almost entirely lost, the straw being left nearly as free of grain as if it had passed through the threshing machine. The two succeeding weeks were busily employed in harvesting the crop and sowing wheat ; after which, such heavy falls of rain came on, that it was hardly practicable for some time to plough any ground, unless of the driest kind, with the slightest pro- spect of advantage. Favourable weather, however, having returned, in the latter part of November, the important pro- cess of sowing wheat was got accomplished in a much better way than could have been expected at that advanced period of the year. The wheat crop is less or more a defective one in every district, but more so in some districts than in others. Ac- 162 cording to our accounts it can rarely be estimated above five- eights of an average crop, though, what is surprising, the quality of the grain is generally good, a circumstance which seldom happens when the crop is a failing one. Indeed, as the failure this season was not, in many instances, occasioned by mildew (at least in Scotland), the grain that was in the ear arrived at complete maturity without being stinted of nourish- ment. The deficiency evidently proceeded from wetness in May — from cold frosty nights in June — from boisterous winds when the plant was under the blossom process — and from want of sun and heat when the grain was formed in the ear of the plant. Wheat is a grain always comparatively unproductive in a cold season such as the last one, and the same remark is applicable to barley, the crop of which, generally speaking, is below an average. Oats, and peas, and beans, may however be considered as fair crops, though, according to our accounts, many of these grains, upon thin soils, suffered so much from the wetness in May and June as not to prosper afterwards. From all these circumstances a rise of corn markets was the necessary consequence, though at this time it would be rather rash to speculate or prognosticate upon their state at a more advanced period of the season, when prices may be supposed to have gained their proper level. The present rate of markets will be seen from the accounts which follow. Hitherto there has been little or no importation from foreign countries, and it is understood that the crops upon the Continent are scantier this season than usual. 163 No VII. At a public meeting of the inhabitants of Liverpool, held on the 4th of November, 181 1, John Bourne, Esq. Mayor, in the chair, it was unanimously resolved, upon the motion of John Gladstone, Esq., seconded by Thomas Rodie, Esq., that a petition should be presented to the Prince Regent, praying that he would suspend the further distillation of spirits from grain until the meeting of Parliament. THE HUMBLE PETITION, &c. &c. Showeth, That your petitioners being deeply interested in the welfare of this populous town, and this great manufacturing county, cannot but view with great anxiety the progressive and alarm- ing advance in the prices of corn, in connexion with the fact now ascertained, that the produce of the late harvest is very deficient, and that the weather for gathering it in, in the northern parts of Great Britain, and for preparing the wheat lands generally for the next crops, has been extremely un- favourable. That your petitioners are well informed the potatoe crop in Ireland has so materially failed, that this important necessary of life now sells in the Dublin market at the excessive price of six shillings per cwt., from which circumstance your peti- tioners apprehend that the usual supplies of corn from Ireland, upon which the numerous population of this town and the county of Lancaster are known in a great degree to depend for subsistence, are likely to be much curtailed. That, in times like the present, when no dependence can be placed on receiving supplies of foreign corn, it becomes of the Q 164 first importance to husband to the utmost the crops of this country. That the average weekly prices of corn in England and Wales, according to the returns received in the week ending the 26th of October, as published in the London Gazette of the 2d of November, are as follows : 5. d. Wheat 101 6 per quarter. Barley 47 4 Oats 29 10 Which equal, and, in several instances, exceed the prices at the different periods when the legislature, in their wisdom, thought fit to interpose to prevent the distillation of spirits from grain (the year of extraordinary scarcity only excepted), as will appear from the following comparative statement taken from the official returns. Average price of wheat, barley, and oats, in England and Wales, according to the weekly returns nearest to the follow- ing periods. Nearest Weekly Returns. Date. Distillation. Wheat. Barley. Oats. s. d. s. d. s. d. 1795 Prohibited. 93 10 45 29 2 1797 Removed. 52 3 28 4 15 10 1800 Prohibition. 133 76 7 41 8 1802 Removed. 76 9 44 1 23 4 1808 Prohibition. 81 6 44. 3 38 10 1808 Continued. 92 7 45 10 33 8 1809 Prohibition. 95 7 46 6 34 4 1809 Prohibition. 101 9 50 7 31 11 1810 Prohibition. 101 7 46 5 27 5 1811 The last return. 101 6 47 4 29 10 165 That on these grounds your petitioners humbly conceive there exists an urgent necessity for the interposition of the royal prerogative before the meeting of Parliament, more especially as, should the measure be deferred till that period, the distillers will have laid in their stocks of grain for the season, a large proportion of which will either be distilled or converted into a state unfitting it for the food of man. And your petitioners will ever pray. q2 166 No VIII. Extract from the Farmer s Magazine. — Agricultural Intelli- gence, August, 1812. There has seldom, or perhaps never, been a period when the new crop was a subject of greater and more general interest than the present ; and it was our particular wish to obtain the best and fullest information of its appearance. We feel very grate- ful to our correspondents who have enabled us to present re- ports of it, and of the condition of the industrious poor for the last quarter ; and their communications will certainly be per- used with that attention which their peculiar importance must command. Though appearances are different, as might be expected, from the diversity of soil and culture, the general character of the ensuing crop, as far as an opinion can be formed of it at this period of the season, must be represented we fear as rather unfavourable. The impression, after a very careful examina- tion of the reports, is, that unless we have two months at least of singularly warm, clear, and dry weather, the grain crops will not reach an average : that common oats, particularly in many situations, and peas and beans generally, must be very late indeed. From recent and afflicting experience of partial failure in the crops of wheat, it is not a matter of surprise if a few of the intelligent writers are a little alarmed at the in- dications of disease which that crop already exhibits in some districts, and which there was but too much reason to expect from the late cold, humid, and ungenial state of the atmo- sphere. lf>7 No IX. Extract from the Farmer s Magazine. — Agricultural Intelli- gence, November, 1812. The new crop is generally allowed to have promised a full average produce before the commencement of the bad weather in the early part of October. What part of it was then ex- posed has suffered much since, both from wind, rain, and frost. Considerable loss has been sustained by handling on the field, and heating in the stack-yard, though comparatively little from a growth in the sheaf. And, at the date of the re- ports, a good deal of oats and beans still remained to be carried, not only in the northern parts of Scotland but even in several of the English counties. In a harvest so late, and during the latter part of which the weather has been so unpropitious, the climate and elevation of different districts, and the early or late crops commonly cultivated in each, must be duly considered before there can be any approach to a correct estimate of the crop over the whole of the country. Where the crop had been secured in the month of September both the quantity and quality of the grain is very good, and this has been the case with autumn sown wheat, barley, and early oats, in the most forward counties, though even in these the beans, peas, and late oats, are not expected to produce according to their appearance on the ground, or bulk in the stack-yard. But in those counties where wheat is extensively sown through the winter and spring months, in many high and cold situations, where oats, with a little bean or barley, are the principal crop, a great deficiency is to be found both in wheat and oats from the lateness of the season, and the unfavourable weather at and before the time they ought to have been cut and secured. Perhaps it might 168 not be far from the truth to state wheat generally as an average crop — oats rather below one — and beans and peas as very de- ficient. The growth of barley is not only partial, but so limited, in Scotland, that it has almost lost its place among the regular rotations of modern husbandry. This opinion may not exactly correspond with the report of any particular county, but it is thought to approach the truth, when the crops throughout the whole country are brought under one general view. 161) No X. Extract from the translation of a French ivork entitled, On the Legislation and the Commerce of Corn, wherein the Questions relating- to Exportation, Importation, Bounties, Prohibitions, Provisions of Com by Public Authority, fyc. are folly discussed. To which some Notes are added. — Printed for T. Longman., London, 1766. It has been several times alleged, that the people were gainers by a rise of price, because the proprietor, having then a greater revenue, he spent more. If corn is worth twenty livres, has it been said, the lands of France will bring in only a thousand millions, and if it is worth thirty livres, the same lands will bring in fifteen hundred millions. So here are five hundred millions more which the proprietors will spend, and it is the people that will reap the benefit of it. After all that I have already said, may I not be dispensed from answer- ing this argument ? Is it not visible that these fifteen hundred millions, pro- duced by the rise of corn, would be of no more value to the proprietors than one thousand millions, if taxes, labour, and all the other objects of exchange rose in proportion? Is it not clear that this augmentation of fortune for the proprietors of corn is composed only of the diminution of that of the other members of the community ? It is the general harmony which is deranged, and that is all ; for there are not five hundred millions worth of new goods fallen down from the heavens, or sprung out of the earth. If a man has not this simple truth impressed or graven on his mind, he will be in- cessantly tossed about by the most empty reasonings on the pretended gains of the community which are nothing else 170 but a momentary conquest gained by one class of that com- munity over the lot of the others. It is on principles absolutely contrary to those which I ad- vance that those famous calculations of the net produce are founded, so celebrated in the works of the economical writers. We cannot too much applaud the pure and well known zeal of those most worthy persons who distinguish themselves by their attachment to those opinions, and we pay them a sincere homage ; but we think we may permit ourselves to make some observations on a subject of so great importance. I saw first that they had sought, under different relations, what was the gain of the proprietor after the payment of im- posts, and of the expenses of culture ; they have found it— they have named this gain, the net produce — very well — hitherto no new light was discovered ; but here it is that one of the essential reasonings begins, and in the sequel of it a theory which does not appear to me to be just. They have found that corn sold, say, at twenty livres the septier, gave so much gain or net produce; and they said, if the price rises to five and twenty or thirty livres, the net produce will instantly be augmented by such a sum. This augmentation, applicable to all the lands in the kingdom, will make several hundred millions of increase in the general net produce. Thus, the dearer corn shall be, the more the net produce will increase, and the more the national wealth Mill be considerable. But we have already shown that this way of judging of the wealth of a country was absolutely erroneous. If making a septier of corn be called forty livres instead of twenty was suf- ficient to render the kingdom twice as rich, the monopolists would be the most respectable supporters of the prosperity of a state; an exportation without measure and without limit would become the most sublime combination in administra- tion, and a scanty crop would be the greatest blessing we could receive from providence. Let no one think that I ex- aggerate in this consequence ; I will try to render this pro- 171 position sensible by a very simple calculation which will perhaps throw a new light upon this matter. Let us suppose that the annual consumption of France may be forty-eight millions of septiers. Let us further suppose that there ought to be a surplus of four millions of septiers in the proprietors' hands to keep the balance between the needs of the buyers and of the sellers, and to establish a reasonable price, say twenty livres the septier, for wheat and other grain one with another. As long as these proportions subsist, the proprietors sell or consume every year forty-eight millions of septiers, which, at twenty livres, make nine hundred and sixty millions, and there remains in their hands four millions of septiers unsold, which serve every year to temper their power and to maintain the desired price. Let us now suppose that the scantiness of the crops makes an essential part of this precious surplus disappear; then the strength of the proprietors, and the anxiety of the consumers, are so augmented, that the forty-eight millions of septiers are sold at thirty-six and perhaps forty livres. Thus, this year when we have received less from the earth, the corn sold or con- sumed by the proprietors has been represented by a numerary sum twice as great as in the former years. Will they imagine, in that case, that the state has gained nine hundred and sixty millions ? Will they put any confidence in such calculations, which are productive only in proportion to the sterility of the ground, or to the errors of the government ? Surely not. Let them tell us that the population of a state augments — that real riches are accumulated in it — we shall see in these circumstances the increase of its prosperity ; but that interior arithmetic, which makes high prices wealth, is, of all mea- sures, the most false and most deceitful. 172 No. XI. An Account of the Windsor Prices of Wheat and Malt at Eton College. Wheat Malt Wheat Malt per bush. per aush. per bush. per bush. s. d. s. d. s. d. s. d. Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1G97 ditto 7 8 3 3 4 8 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. 1711 ditto 6 7 3 3 4 10 5 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. 1698 , ditto 8 8 9 4 3 4 10 2 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. 1712 . ditto 6 4 10 9 4 6 4 2 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. 1699 ditto 8 7 9 5 4 10 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. 1713 . ditto 4 8 9 3 9 4 Lady-day ... Michaelmas. 1700 ditto 5 4 3 9 4 3 4 6 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. 1714 ditto 7 4 9 10 4 2 4 2 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. 1701 ditto 4 4 9 2 3 3 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1715 ditto 4 6 6 3 4 4 4 4 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. ■ 1702 ditto 3 3 9 7 3 3 6 6 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. 1716 . ditto 6 6 4 4 Lady-day .. Michaelmas. . 1703 ditto 3 5 9 3 2 3 10 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. 1717 ditto 5 5 7i 9 3 8 3 8 Lady-day . . . Michaelmas . 1704 . ditto 7 4 3 4 3 3 6 6 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1718 ditto 5 4 3 6 3 6 3 8 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1705 ditto 4 3 6 3 3 2 4 Lady -day . . Michaelmas. 1719 ditto 4 4 8 3 8 4 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. 1706 ditto 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 Lady-day . . Michaelmas.. 1720 ditto 4 4 6 9 4 3 10 Lady-day . . . Michaelmas. . 1707 ditto 3 3 3 10 3 3 2 8 Lady-day . . . Michaelmas. 1721 ditto 5 4 3 8 3 6 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. 1708 ditto 3 6 10 6 4 4 Lady-day . . . Michaelmas. . 1722 ditto 4 4 6 6 3 2 8 Lady-day ... Michaelmas. 1709 ditto 8 11 1 6 4 4 2 8 Lady- day .. . Michaelmas. . 1723 ditto 4 4 2 6 2 9 S 2 Lady-day . . Michaelmas . 1710 . ditto 11 8 G 5 5 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1724 ditto 4 4 6 9 3 10 3 8 173 Lady-day . . 31ichaelmas. Lady- day . . Michaelmas. Lady-day . . Michaelmas. Lady-day .. Michaelmas. Lady-day . . Michaelmas. Lady-day .. Michaelmas. Lady-day .. Michaelmas. Lady-day . . Michaelmas . Lady-day . . Michaelmas . Lady-day . . Michaelmas . Lady-day . . Michaelmas . Lady-day . . Michaelmas . Lady-day . . Michaelmas. Lady-day . . Michaelmas. Lady-day . . Michaelmas . Lady-day . . Michaelmas. Lady-day . . Michaelmas. Lady-day . . Michaelmas. 1725 ditto 17-26 ditto 17'27 ditto 1728 ditto 1729 ditto 1730 ditto 1731 ditto 1732 ditto 1733 ditto 1734 ditto 1735 ditto 1736 ditto 1737 ditto 1738 ditto 1739 ditto 1740 ditto 1741 ditto 1742 ditto Wheat per bush. s. d. 5 3 6 10£ 6 6 5 4 7i 5 10| 6 11 6 8 4§ 6 n 6 3 5 3 7 6 2 3 9 4 10 5 3 91 4 n 4 3 4 b 4 II b 10i 7 io| 7 3 4 6 4 3 3 9 Malt per bush. s. d, 3 6 3 6 3 6 3 6 3 6 3 6 4 4 4 6 4 4 3 6 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 10 2 10 2 10 2 10 2 10 2 10 3 3 3 2 3 6 3 6 3 6 3 2 3 4 4 4 4 2 4 3 10 3 10 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. Lady- day . . Michaelmas. Lady-day . . Michaelmas. Lady-day . . Michaelmas. Lady-day . . Michaelmas. Lady-day . . Michaelmas. Lady-day . . Michaelmas. Lady-day . . Michaelmas. Lady-day . . Michaelmas. Lady-day . . Michaelmas . Lady- day . . Michaelmas. Lady-day . . Michaelmas. Lady-day . . Michaelmas. Lady-day . . Michaelmas. Lady-day . . Michaelmas. Lady-day . . Michaelmas. Lady-day . . Michaelmas. Lady-day . . Michaelmas. Wheat per bush. Malt per bush. 1743 ditto s. 3 2 a. n ii s. d. 3 10 3 4 1744 ditto 3 3 i 3 3 2 1745 ditto 3 3 2 8 3 2 10 1746 ditto 5 4 3 6 2 10 2 9 1747 ditto 4 4 i 2 10 2 10 1748 ditto 4 4 6 9 2 10 3 1749 ditto 4 4 6 9 3 2 3 2 1750 ditto 3 4 10* 3" 3 2 3 2 1751 ditto 4 5 1 6 3 2 3 4 1752 ditto 6 5 2| 3 3 6 3 4 1753 ditto 5 5 8 6 3 4 3 6 1754 ditto 4 4 8 3 6 3 6 1755 ditto 3 4 11 6 3 2 3 2 1758 ditto 4 6 6J 9 3 2 3 4 1757 ditto 8 6 6 6 4 6 4 6 1758 ditto 7 5 6 4 6 4 6 1759 ditto 5 4 3 8 3 6 3 4 1760 ditto 4 4 9 3 3 3 3 174 Wheat Malt Wheat Malt per jush. per aush. per bush. per bush. i. d. s. d. s. d. s. d. Lady- day . . Michaelmas. . 1761 . ditto 3 3 9 n 3 3 3 1 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1779 ditto 5 5 3 11 3 11 Lady- day . . Michaelmas. . 1762 ditto 5 4 9 3 3 1 9 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1780 . ditto 5 6 4§ 9 3 7 3 9 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1763 . ditto 4 5 8 6 3 4 3 9 Lady- day . . Michaelmas. . 1781 . ditto 8 6 9 3 9 3 9 Lady- day . . Michaelmas. . 1764 ditto 5 6 H 3 4 4 3 3 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1782 ditto 7 8 3 9 4 3 Lady- day . . Michaelmas. . 1765 ditto 7 6 6 3 4 11 3 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1783 ditto 8 7 3 5 2 5 5 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1766 ditto 5 6 6 4 4 3 3 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1784 ditto 8 7 1* 5 5 5 Lady- day . . Michaelmas. . 1767 ditto 7 8 104 3 4 4 3 3 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1785 ditto 7 6 6 5 1 5 3 Lady- day . . Michaelmas. . 1768 ditto 8 6 '1\ Hi 4 4 3 3 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1786 ditto S 6 10| 5 3 5 1 Lady- day . . Michaelmas. . 1769 ditto 5 5 101 n 3 3 9 7 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1787 ditto 5 7 ioi 4 9 4 9 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1770 ditto 5 6 3 3 3 3 Lady-day . . Michaelmas . . 1788 ditto 7 6 9 4 9 4 9 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1771 ditto 7 7 3 4 4 3 3 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1789 ditto 7 8 9i 4 6 4 6 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. 1772 ditto 8 8 6 4 4 3 7 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1790 ditto 8 7 3 6i 4 6 4 6 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1773 ditto 8 8 3 5 5 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1791 ditto 7 6 7* 3 4 6 4 9 Lady- day . . Michaelmas. 1774 ditto 7 8 6 5 5 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. 1792 ditto 5 7 9 6 5 5 5 3§ Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1775 ditto 8 6 3| 5 4 11 Lady-day . . Michaelmas.. 1793 . ditto 7 6 1i '4 4 4 9 5 2 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1776 ditto 6 6 4 4 11 7 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1794 ditto 6 7 6 5 3 5 3 Ladv-day . . Michaelmas. . 1777 ditto 6 7 6 3 3 3 11 11 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1795 ditto 8 11 6 5 3 5 5 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1778 ditto 7 5 4 3 3 11 Lady-day . . . Michaelmas. 1796 ditto 12 8 01 5 9 5 1 175 Wheat Malt Wheat Malt • per bush. per bush. per bush. per bush. s. d. s. d. s. d. s. d. Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1797 ditto 8 6 9 9 4 4 9 9 Lady- day . . . Michaelmas. . 1806 ditto 10 10 9 5 8 6 8 Lady-day . . . Michaelmas.. 1798 ditto 6 6 9 9 4 4 9 9 Lady- day . . . Michaelmas. . 1807 ditto 11 8 6 6 2 6 2 Lady-day . . Michaelmas . . 1799 ditto 7 11 4 7 4 5 9 5 Lady-day . . . Michaelmas. 1808 ditto 9 12 31 7 2 7 2 Lady-day . . . Michaelmas. 1800 ditto 15 16 9 8 9 8 2 j Lady-day . . i Michaelmas. 1809 ditto 12 14 6 7 8 8 2 Lady-day . . . Michaelmas. 1801 ditto 22 10 If 11 9 2 8 1 Lady-day . . . Michaelmas. 1810 ditto 1.5 13 7 2 7 2 Lady- day . . Michaelmas . 1802 ditto 8 8 6 3* 6 6 2 2 Lady -day .. Michaelmas. 1811 ditto 13 14 6 8 6 8 Lady-day . . Michaelmas . 1803 . ditto 7 7 6 6 4 4 8 8 Lady-day .. Michaelmas. 1812 . ditto 17 15 7 8 8 8 Lady-day . . Michaelmas . . 1804 . ditto 7 10 44 4 5 8 8 Lady -day . . Michaelmas . . 1813 . ditto 17 13 10 2 9 8 Lady-day . . Michaelmas. . 1805 . ditto 11 11 7 7 8 8 , Lady-day . . . 1814 10 9 6 8 Note. — The foregoing prices of wheat are not the best prices, it having been the custom of Eton College to ascertain the highest and lowest prices, and to fix a medium price, rather above the average, although the reservation in their leases is " according to the price that the best wheat and malt shall be sold for in the market of Windsor." The price of malt is taken according to the best price, after deducting the duty therefrom. At Michaelmas, 1793, the nine gallon measure, which had been calculated upon up to that period, was discontinued, and the subsequent prices are according to the eight gallon measure. EDWARD BROWN, Registrar to Eton College. July 13, 1814. 176 An Account of the Windsor Prices of Wheat and Malt at Eton College, in continuation of the return made in 1814. Michaelmas 1814 Lady-day 1815 Michaelmas ditto Lady-day 1816 Michaelmas ditto Lady-day 1817 Michaelmas ditto Lady-day 1818 Michaelmas ditto Lady-day 1819 Michaelmas ditto Lady-day 1820 Michaelmas ditto Wheat per bushel. s. d. 10 6 10 9 9 11 6 16 6 12 6 13 11 6 10 9 6 10 9 Malt per bushel 6 8 6 2 6 2 4 8 *G 4 9 10 9 10 9 4 10 10 2 9 Duty on malt reduced 2s. 2d. per bushel. EDWARD BROWN, Registrar to Eton College. March 20. 1821. 177 No. XII. An Account of the average Price of all sorts of Grain, in each Year, from the 5th January, 1/91, to the bth January, 1823. Year. Wheat. Rye. Barley. Oats. Beans. Pease. s. d. s. d. s. d. s. d. s. d. s. d. 1791 47 2 31 8 26 1 17 7 30 6 32 2 1792 42 11 30 8 26 9 17 10 31 7 32 8 1793 48 11 35 11 31 9 21 3 37 8 38 4 1794 51 8 37 9 32 10 22 42 6 46 8 1795 74 2 48 5 37 8 24 9 46 8 53 4 1796 77 1 47 35 7 21 9 38 10 43 6 1797 53 1 31 11 27 9 16 9 27 6 33 5 1798 50 3 30 11 29 1 19 10 30 1 33 11 1799 67 6 43 9 36 27 7 44 7 45 2 1800 113 7 76 11 60 39 10 69 3 67 5 1801 118 3 79 9 67 9 36 6 62 8 67 8 1802 67 5 43 3 33 1 20 7 36 4 39 6 1803 56 6 36 11 24 10 21 3 34 8 38 6 1804 60 1 37 1 30 4 23 9 38 7 40 10 1805 87 10 54 4 44 8 28 47 5 48 4 1806 79 47 4 38 6 25 8 43 9 43 6 1807 73 3 47 6 38 4 28 1 47 3 55 11 1808 79 52 4 42 1 33 8 60 8 66 7 1809 95 7 60 9 47 3 32 8 60 9 60 2 1810 106 2 59 47 11 29 4 53 7 55 9 1811 94 6 49 11 41 10 27 11 47 10 51 6 1812 125 5 75 11 66 6 44 72 8 73 7 1813 108 9 70 7 58 4 39 5 76 5 78 6 1814 73 11 44 6 37 4 26 6 46 7 50 1815 64 4 37 10 30 3 23 10 36 1 38 10 1816 75 10 43 2 33 5 23 6 38 4 38 4 1817 94 9 56 6 48 3 32 1 52 51 5 1818 84 1 54 10 53 6 32 11 63 1 59 11 1819 73 49 46 8 29 4 55 5 56 *1820 65 7 40 10 33 10 24 4 43 6 44 11 1821 54 5 31 1 25 3 18 11 30 31 9 1822 43 3 20 3 21 3 17 7 23 9 25 7 * Down to 1820 the averages are taken from papers laid before parliament, the two last years from the weekly returns. 178 No. XIII. An Account of the Quantity of Corn exported from, and imported into England, from Michaelmas, 1 696, to Christmas, 1 754, extracted by the Author of the Corn Tracts, from Documents laid before Parliament . To Mi- chaelmas Wheat. Barley. Malt. Oats. Oatmeal. Rye. Exported Imported Quarters Exportec Imported Quarters Exported Import ec Exportet Imported Exported Imported Quarters Quarters Quarters Quarter.-, Quarters Quarters Quarters Quarters 1697 14,698 4<10 32,852 211 51,811 295 1 2,596 1698 6,857 845 30,984 150 44,526 5 L 20 151 1,275 3,622 Christ, do. 28 844 5 2,059 20 68 *1699 557 486 75 1,511 1,280 30! 405 350 fl70O 49,056 4 25,8.96 37,571 234 391 27,231 1701 98,323 J 2 1 ,953 50,447 20 285 43,917 1702 90,230 16,280 71,856 1 89 51,710 1703 106,615 50 71,523 1 23^29 1 159 2 58,438 1704 90,313 1 30,7<29 102,873 219 29,284 1705 96,185 21,386 137,396 100 24,059 1706 188,332 77 10,221 141,084 > 98 62 480 49,89-2 + 1707 74,155 4,771 111,153 12 103 34,032 1708 83,406 86 29,937 97,789 70 67 4,720 1709 169,679 1,552 40,512 606 139,934 1 37 166,512 §1710 1711 13,924 400 5,744 576 79,530 139 125 113 12,215 76,949 8,412 139,975 321 37,957 1712 145,191 19,838 191,624 303 17,735 1713 176,227 52,542 217,975 1,376 38,625 1714 174,821 15 18,579 220,274 21 129 20,455 1715 166,490 5,030 103,365 303 31,161 1716 74.926 14,857 226,617 719 40, 1 23 1717 22,953 18,435 251,083 62 404 23,031 1718 71,800 71,139 303,133 21 868 49,416 1719 127,762 20 9,649 357,499 300 219 45,502 1720 83,084 4,505 252 253,509 2 3,471 49,241 1721 81,632 11,608 445 338,942 577 69,697 1722 178,880 37,528 366,728 324 42,579 1723 157,719 45,789 305,063 112 541 12,737 1724 245,864 148 10,298 241,895 61,630 516 23,441 1725 204,413 12 13,782 294,025 2,152 1,447 20,539 1726 142,183 20,017 335,925 20 1,412 18,835 1727 30,3 1 5 8,688 100 241.428 15 2,204 9,169 1728 3,817 74,574 198 11,745 195,340 70,070 1,383 13 42,205 1729 18,993 40,3 1 5 4,650 17,201 130,743 184,071 2,541 21 1,460 132,045 1730 93,970 75 14,982 386 179.446 95,149 4,479 12,394 1731 130,025 4 13,562 3,503 177,699 15.892 1,808 2 1 ,089 1732 202,058 13,874 161,075 12J044 1,274 15,535 1733 427,1991 7 37,598 2] 203,115 9 1,487 28,155 o| * No export for one year. Bounty on oatmeal commenced. f No bounty for about ten months, § No export for one year. 179 9 ■ Wheat. Bai ley. Malt. Oats. Oatmeal. Rye. Exported Imported Exported Imported Exported Imported Exported Imported Exported Imported To Mi chaelmas Quarters Quarter; Quarters Quarters Quarters Quarters Quarters Quarters Quarters Quarters 1734 498,196 6 70,224 1 233,124 9 3,038 10,735 1735 153,343 9 57,520 219,781 6,439 1,920 1,329 1736' 118,170 16 6 860 192.602 267 1,196 1,220 1737 461,602 32 23,669 103,718 7 1,921 7,849 1738 580,596 2 70,689 188,607 21 1,777 36, 1 59 1739 .279,542 22 54,447 191,876 32 1,116 29,791 17-10 54,390 5,468 24,036 1 145,527 1,333 2,571 8,979 1,090 • 174! 45,416 7,540 6,614 15,132 123,357 81,821 1,106 7,622 11,012 1742 293,259 11,482 189,525 25 1,380 63,272 1743 371,431 2 34,995 219,217 12 1,882 88,272 1744 231,984 2 20,090 219,862 67 1,657 74,169 1745 324,839 5 95,878 219,354 5 9,770 83,966 1746 130 646 158,719 282,024 20,203 n 45,782 1747 266,906 103, !40 361,289 2,122 (i 92,718 1748 543,387 6 73,857 349,363 3,768 103,891 1749 629,049 382 52,62 1 40 1355,469 1,281 106,312 1750 947,602 279 224,500 330,754 20 4,283 99,049 1751 661,416 3 32,698 256,547 2,291 2,476 71,048 1752 429.279 106,331 287,578 250 1,590 10 57,847 1753 299 608 67,049 1274,424 33 7,012 2 24,835 1754 356,270 201 47.776 321,995 [ 52,421 3»33( 1 Ol 42,9 If * No export for one year. 180 No. XIV. An Account of the Quantity of the following Grain exported from and imported into Great Britain from the year 1755. — Extracted from the Appendix to the Lords Report on the Corn Laws, 1814, p. 122. £3 3 Wheat and Flour. Barley and Malt. Oats and Oatmeal. Rye and Rye- meal. Exported Imported Exported Imported Exported Imported Exported Imported Quarters Quarters Quarters Quarters Quarters Quarters Quarters Quarters 1755 •237,466 381,659 3,168 2,886 43,446 1756 102,752 5 269,950 5 5,490 54,758 29,969 1,695 1757 11,545 141,562 63,454 5,943 4,693 9,360 964 7,862 1758 9,234 20,353 11,419 9.915 1,831 33,622 365 1759 227,641 162 208,797 42 6,937 1,460 41,509 1760 393,614 3 291,150 14,496 4 53,174 1761 441,956 413,891 11,290 58 57,982 1762 295,385 56 423,064 942 15,992 17,400 28,629 1763 429,538 72 215,681 3,228 3,042 234,899 12,951 1764 396,857 1 246,891 5,110 3,952 134,772 27,746 1765 167,126 104,547 251,927 4,611 12,382 108,577 26,295 5 1766 164,939 11,020 95,115 3,736 11,633 230,639 6,045 140 1767 5,071 497,905 18,700 74364 10,605 249, 1 63 53 65,757 1768 7,433 349,268 6,587 20,481 12,104 194,743 150 57,879 1769 49,892 4,378 39,825 221 13,292 109,466 21 71 1770 75,449 34 170,409 29 28,852 124,444 642 1771 10,089 2,510 34,198 228 35,233 212,327 2,179 1772 6,959 25,474 14,031 3,068 23,599 106,820 4,799 1773 7,637 56,857 2,475 63,916 18,777 329.454 9,255 1774 15,928 289,149 2,9 H 171,508 16,433 399,499 2,260 41,427 1775 91,037 560,988 51,414 139,451 26,485 384,942 2,722 33,574 1776 210,664 20,578 136,114 8,499 34,987 378,566 10,999 3,415 1777 87,686 233,323 142,725 7,981 36,614 366,446 946 18,454 1778 141,070 106,394 103,930 42,714 56,543 201,170 1,706 9,327 1779 222,261 5,039 85,777 7,085 22,286 348,511 3,199 1,693 1780 224,059 3,915 191,563 352 27,023 195,224 6,305 1781 103,021 159,866 150,468 56 41,717 109,446 2,701 10,743 1782 145,152 80,695 127,744 13,592 23,317 38,562 4,003 1783 51,943 584,183 54,065 144,926 11,826 228,942 3,365 81,295 1784 89,288 216,947 66,889 77,182 13,511 266,998 6,731 24,779 1785 132,685 110,863 1 66,448 67,212 25,273 274,089 13,163 28,761 1786 205,466 51,463 111,598 62,374 19,293 478,473 6,736 3,643 1787 120,536 59,339 135,089 43,244 17,098 512,004 12,683 7,054 1788 82,971 148,710 212,811 11,479 14,418 413,827 31,220 1789 140,014 112,656 345,685 11,128 33,285 437,594 40,151 14,845 1790 30,892 222,557 50,966 29,718 14,290 786,546 47 21,682 1791 70,626 469,056 41,590 61,134 16,498 836,736 3,528 56,378 181 s 3 B Wheat and Flour. Barley and Malt. Oats and Oatmeal. Rye and Rye- meal. Exportec Imported Exported Imported Exported Imported Exported Imported Quarters Quarters Quarters Quarters Quarters Quarters Quarters Quarters 1792 300,278 22,417 49,131 118,526 25,337 1,008,750 16,151 13,027 1793 76,86S 490,398 3,462 147,169 18,609 722,527 512 55,594 1794 155,048 327,902 9,437 128,568 16,059 862,979 1,919 25,450 1795 18,839 313,793 6,416 18,070 6,867 460,377 274 21,438 1796 24,679 879,200 13,133 40,033 12,040 801,373 122 163,650 1797 54,525 461,767 13,123 64,198 21,734 609,119 487 8,258 1798 59,782 396,721 15,076 116,485 27,258 773,994 680 6,925 1799 39,362 463,185 41,386 19,538 21,827 529,539 144 22,751 1800 22,013 1,264,520 5,808 130,976 12,019 545,018 419 144,531 1801 28,406 1,424,766 3,725 113.966 15,316 583,043 1,852 146,732 1802 149,304 647,664 7,875 17,555 17,582 583,780 6,484 15,478 1803 76,580 373,725 43,788 14,052 16,533 521,167 1,030 4,099 1804 63,073 461,140 128,469 11,596 19,139 740,393 3,798 2,644 1805 77,955 920,834 13,457 43,301 16,367 478,411 3,808 24,267 1806 29,566 310,342 23,625 5,385 35,997 540,506 4,020 1,014 1807 24,365 400,759 13,562 22,132 31,369 754,163 956 7,394 1808 77,567 81,466 10,781 33,739 27,293 514,540 3,986 5,172 1809 31,278 448,487 10,900 28,420 20,906 1,121,380 711 13,591 1810 75,785 1,530,691 19,590 27,211 25,340 560,044 8,933 90,973 1811 97,765 292,038 64,273 43,651 44,667 233,649 35,523 27,809 1812 46,325 246,376 62,796 75,603 30,453 353,508 21,809 72,818 1813 562,329 82,003 751,954 35,040 ♦1814 111,477 852,566 54,118 46,031 46,945 815,161 18 980 6,044 1815 227,947 384,475 8,202 29,578 29,608 718,408 17,892 1,806 1816 121,611 332.491 33,691 78,494 32,470 759,708 8,094 15,117 1817 317,524 1,089,855 64,159 161,812 72,036 1,090,111 46,932 140,092 1818 58,668 1,694,261 18.745 722,843 33,306 2,059,134 68 78,085 1819 44,689 625,638 7,396 394,180 38,835 1,376,337 848 18,674 fl820 94,657 996,478 9.967 117,014 28,620 1,599.900 2,488 12,239 This account is continued after the year 1813 from tables contained in the Appendix to the Commons' Agricultural Report 1821. The two authorities do not always correspond exactly, but the difference is so inconsiderable as not to be worth mentioning. f The only addition since 1 820 would be the exports to and imports from Ire- land, which are given in the next number, and the exports of bonded wheat to the south of Europe. R 2 182 No. XV. An Account of the Quantity of Grain, Flour, and Meal, im- ported from and exported to Ireland, in the following years. — Extracted from the Appendix to the Agricultural Report, 1821, p. 385. H Wheat and Barley and Oats and Oat- Rye and Rye- **• Flour. Barley-meal. meal. meal. Imported Exported Imported Exported Imported Exported Imported Exported Quarters Quarters Quarters Quarters Quarters Quarters Quarters Quarters 1773 2,907 739 7,475 190 59,373 215 129 1774 4,423 732 20,222 240 53,492 880 149 866 1775 13,107 1,081 20,344 548 86,766 120 32 1776 11,517 37,207 1,929 1,063 88,670 651 30 1777 16,706 30,286 3,849 608 71,719 4,309 236 1778 •2,966 53,762 14,150 697 11,847 34,349 17 150 1779 1,777 64,827 3,822 1,899 93,212 4,384 O 541 1780 2,384 46,439 9,109 43,721 798 1781 41,315 2,511 40 7,630 65,967 12,669 1782 4,146 1,295 11,360 5,606 27,569 856 1783 558 39,482 4,683 3,109 31,439 7,653 1784 14,423 50,262 153 4,233 122,053 2,729 10 1785 23,810 7,899 23,437 9,820 243,181 717 1786 10,928 8,869 53,601 184 239,011 862 1787 10,225 974 39,540 1,028 187,369 2,346 1788 34,643 790 10,622 2,194 202,500 302 1789 57,951 506 9,323 897 294,433 491 1790 35,444 462 16,766 320 387,270 236 356 1791 18,523 1,392 13,021 505 316,112 265 293 1792 1,272 1,806 5,446 14,270 557,774 513 491 1793 14,572 1,281 4,285 818 292,533 393 30 1794 9,157 43,097 17,198 1,696 378,609 70 414 21 1795 14,493 804 794 355,204 446 1796 4 409 3,011 341,431 1797 40,565 2,291 12,268 180 334,628 316 1798 17,490 9,626 49,780 4 362,538 706 1799 15,315 5,202 151 21,678 359,306 1,478 1800 749 3,726 78 914 2,410 69 1801 524 585 450 374 408 1802 109,519 1,200 7,116 1,896 341,931 254 282 1803 61,270 2,059 12,879 18,864 266,359 747 752 1804 70,100 707 2,521 97,923 240,023 180 206 1805 84,412 754 15,656 751 203,306 264 235 1806 102,483 2,368 3,327 14,259 357,078 2,654 330 160 1807 45,110 2,429 23,048 1,143 389,649 773 431 1808 43,496 28,521 30,586 2,357 579,974 1,940 573 179 1809 68,124 843 16,619 4,036 845,783 141 425 1810 127,510 2,354 8,321 18,432 493,231 2,131 20 183 g Wheat and Barley and Oats and Oat- Rye and Rye- 8 > Flour. Barley-meal. meal. meal. Imported Exported Imported Exported Imported Exported Imported Quarters Exported Quarters Quarters Quarters Quarters Quarters Quarters Quarters 1811 147,567 1,680 2,713 27,663 275,757 .547 21 1812 1 60,842 645 43,262 4,306 390,926 7,116 177 1813 217,154 2,678 63,560 10,377 691,499 971 420 1814 228,610 2,322 17,344 15,569 565,004 819 4 1815 192,026 447 27,519 1,533 597,933 3,155 213 1816 122,836 12,446 63,629 922 684,430 1,648 43 1817 60,817 81,933 28,019 29,940 612,103 28,643 614 3,625 1818 111,383 8,276 27,220 16,546 1,072,339 1,417 4 1819 155,980 4,126 21,834 3,286 790,704 7,257 12 1820 409,283 6,134 88,343 4,489 918,362 1,859 138 75 * 1821 576,595 9,100 84,933 3,811 1,164,15(1 991 550 8 1822 467,489 4,526 22,666 22,726 569,611 37,720 353 * The quantities for the two last years are taken from Custom house returns. 184 No. XVI. Cattle, 8(C. sold in Smithfield*. Years. Cattle. Sheep. Years. 1756 Cattle. Sheep. 1732 76,210 514,700 77,257 624,710 1733 80,169 555,050 1757 82,612 574,960 1734 78,810 566,910 1758 84,252 550,930 1735 83,894 590,970 1759 86,439 582,260 1736 87,606 587,420 1760 88,594 622,210 1737 89,862 607,330 1761 82,514 666,010 1738 87,010 589,470 1762 102,831 772,160 1739 86,787 568,980 1763 80,851 653,110 1740 84,810 501,020 1764 75,168 556,360 1741 77,714 536,180 1765 81,630 537,000 1742 79,601 503,260 1766 75,534 574,790 1743 76,475 468,120 1767 77,324 574,050 1744 76,648 490,620 1768 79,660 626,170 1745 74,188 563,990 1769 82,131 642,910 1746 71,582 620,790 1770 86,890 649,090 1747 71,150 621,780 1771 93,573 631,860 1748 67,681 610,060 1772 89,503 609,540 1749 72,706 624,220 1773 90,133 609,740 1750 70,765 656,340 1774 90,419 585,290 1751 69,589 631,890 1775 93,581 623,950 1752 73,708 642,100 1776 98,372 671,700 1753 75,252 648,440 1777 93,714 714,870 1754 70,437 631,350 1778 97,360 658,540 1755 74,290 647,100 | 1779 97,352 676,540 * 1 have extracted the following observations from SirF. M. Eden's work, but I am inclined to think, from what I can collect, that the weight of cattle and sheep, as estimated by him in 1797, is rather overrated. " It is said in the first report of the select committee appointed to take into consideration the means of promoting the cultivation and improvement of the waste lands in the kingdom, that the size and weight, both of sheep and cattle, have, probably, increased at least one fourth since 1732; accord- ing to which rate the consumption of meat, with respect to the number of pounds, has augmented much more than it has with respect to the number of cattle and sheep. We may form some idea of the size of cattle and sheep in 1 732, from the size at which they were estimated in a work attributed to Dr. D'Avenant, published in 1710; between which period, and 1732, it is probable that some (though not very considerable) increase in size had taken place. The author estimated the weight of a net carcase of black cattle at 370lb. and of a sheep at 28lb. Bullocks now killed in London weigh at an average 8001b.; calves 1481b-, sheep 80lb., and lambs about 50lb. each." 185 Years. Cattle. Sheep. 706,850 Years. Cattle. Sheep. 1780 102,383 1802 126,389 743,470 1781 102,543 743,330 1803 117,551 787,430 1782 101,176 728,970 1804 113,019 903,940 1783 101,840 701,610 1805 125,043 912,410 1784 98,143 616,110 1806 120,250 858,570 1785 99,047 641,470 1807 134,326 924,030 1786 92,270 665,910 1808 144,042 1,015,280 1787 94,946 668,570 1809 137,600 989,250 1788 92,8 '29 679,100 1810 132,155 962,750 *1789 93,269 693,700 1811 125,012 966,400 1790 103,708 749,660 1812 133,854 953,630 1791 101,164 740,360 1813 137,770 891,240 1792 107,348 760,859 1814 135,071 870,880 1793 116,848 728,480 1815 124,948 962,840 1794 109,448 719,420 1816 120,439 968,560 1795 131,092 745,640 1817 129,888 1,044,710 1796 117,152 758,840 1818 138,047 963,250 1797 108,377 693,510 1819 135,226 949,900 1798 107,470 753,010 1820 132,933 947,990 1799 122,986 834,400 1821 142,133 1,107,230 1800 125,073 842,210 1822 142,043 1,340,160 1801 134,546 760,560 * Down to the year 1789 the numbers are taken from Sir F. M. Eden's -work on the state of the poor, extracted originally from the report of the select committee appointed to take into consideration the means of promoting the cultivation and improvement of the waste lands in the kingdom. From the year 1790 the numbers are extracted from papers laid before parliament. THOUGHTS, &c PART IV. In the last part of this work my observations on the fluctuations of prices were entirely con- fined to agricultural produce. In the first and second parts the references to the prices and quantities of commodities were applicable only to detached periods, and embraced merely a few articles selected for the purpose of comparison and illustration. But in order to afford the reader an opportu- nity of trying the correctness of my conclusions in the preceding pages, by the largest possible induction of facts, I insert a table of the prices of the principal commodities which come under the description of general merchandise in the London market, for an uninterrupted series of years, from the commencement of 1782 to the close of 1822. I consider the information to be derived from a connected view of this kind to 2 be so important, that if I had the opportunity of carrying it further back, I should certainly avail myself of it ; but I am not aware of the existence of materials that are accessible for the purpose of a complete series for any period an- terior to 1782, The commencement however from that date has considerable advantages. It gives quota- tions for upwards of a year before the termina- tion of the war with America, and thus affords the means of judging of the effects of the transi- tion from war to peace in 1783, and again of the transition from peace to war in 1793. The in- formation, too, which is derived from this table, of the state of prices in the ten years of peace before the breaking out of the long war with France, is important, as exhibiting a view which has been very little attended to, of the level from which the subsequent fluctuations took place. In reasoning upon prices, it is desirable, as far as it may be practicable, to connect them with quantities. The prices throw a light upon the variations of quantity, as variations in quantity serve to explain some of the phenomena of prices. Of the quantities of articles of home growth, except in the case of Hops which are the subject of fiscal regulation, there are no means of obtaining correct statements. But of imported commodities in cases where the duties 3 are levied upon the quantity and not upon the value, the materials for such statements exist in the records of the Custom House : and from the admirable order in which these are kept, they are accessible at the shortest notice. Accounts of quantities drawn from that source have at various times appeared in parliamentary papers; but as they have been generally moved for in order to illustrate some detached or par- tial object, they are so dispersed and the pe- riods so broken, as not to admit of easy or ready reference, for the purpose of general informa- tion, nor to exhibit so entire a display of the fluctuations of quantity in connexion with the fluctuations in price, as is essential to the ob- jects of this inquiry. I have therefore procured and inserted in the appendix, statements of quantities of several of the leading articles. The greater part of these statements are from official documents, and some of them reach as far back as the Table of prices, with a chasm only of those years, of which the Custom-House records were destroyed by the fire of 1813. To the table, then, of prices, and to the accom- panying statement of the quantities of some of the articles, in as far as they have not already been included and referred to in the preceding parts of this work, I appeal in further proof of the positions which I have endeavoured to establish. But preparatory to a judgment of the inferences to be drawn from a view of the prices exhibited in the table, it may be desirable to make a few explanatory remarks on the effects of quantity on price, in continuation of the ex- planation which I had occasion to give in Sec- tion 4, Part 3, and which would have broken in too much upon the course of my argument, if I had then incumbered it with a statement of all the modifications of which it is susceptible. The explanation which I then gave referred to the general effects of quantity on price : and I then pointed out the principle by which it is found, that prices of most commodities, and of corn more especially, vary in a much greater ratio than that of the mere defect or excess of quantity. But the time and extent of the ope- ration of that principle are subject to various modifications arising from the great and almost infinite variety of circumstances which may affect the relations of supply and demand, as far as concerns the market value of a particular commodity. Some of the most important of the modifications, however, to which the appli- cation of the principle is liable, may be deduced from experience, and I will state the most striking of those which occur to me, as they may serve to obviate by anticipation some objections which might otherwise be made to the principle itself. The objections to which I allude are that, on referring to comparisons of quantities and prices, there is not only not an invariable coincidence of a rise upon every diminution of quantity and vice versa, but that prices sometimes fall coin- cidently with diminishing quantities, or rise with increasing ones; and that there are in- stances, rare ones indeed, in which the lowest prices coincide with the smallest stock for sale, and the highest prices with the largest stocks. The answer is, that the facts here stated may be admitted as occasionally occurring, and that they are perfectly reconcileable with the prin- ciple which has been laid down. This apparent anomaly may be thus ex- plained : although the cost of production must regulate the price of all commodities on the average of a certain number of years, the imme- diate cause of fluctuations in the market value at particular intervals is to be found in the va- riations of the relative proportion of supply and demand*; but demand, as affecting price, is * My observations are here confined to the fluctuations of the market price, resulting from variations in the proportion of supply and demand as relates to particular commodities. In the more general application of the terms to all commo- dities, I fully concur in the doctrine laid down by Mr. Mill, who, in his Chapter on Interchange (Elements of Political Economy) proves with great clearness and force of reasoning that the aggregate of demand must always be equal to the aggregate of supply. compounded of actual and prospective want, and supply may be distinguished into actual and contingent quantity. The demand for and supply of any particular commodity may be said to be balanced, and prices to be on a fair level, when the stock for sale is sufficient to cover the consumption at its esti- mated rate, till the reproduction or importation at the usual time, provided there be no alteration in the cost of production or of importation, or in the state of the seasons or of political relations, leading to the anticipation of an alteration in the amount of future supply. The rate of con- sumption of articles in general use is not liable to great or suddenvariations; and if the actual supply be in the usual proportion, and there be no ground for anticipating any great altera- tion for the future, prices will, of course, be tolerably uniform. If, however, there should come, whether from a season more than usually abundant, from improvements in machinery or agricul- ture, or from greater facility and cheapness of conveyance, an increased supply ; this in- creased supply can only be got rid of by the persons into whose hands it first comes, by holding out to the next the inducement of a reduction in price ; that reduction, according to its amount, tempts the successive dealers to increase their stock ; but in purchasing a new stock, the value of what they had before is pro- portionately reduced ; and at some loss upon the whole they induce, by the offer of cheap- ness, either new consumers to come forward, or those who are already consumers to increase their consumption. But the increase of con- sumption of articles already in general use is a slow process, compared with the possible in- crease of supply under the circumstances stated. There will remain, in consequence, a larger sur- plus than usual to meet the next harvest or the following periodical supply, and the holders of this increased supply must, by the very sup- position of the fall in price, be losers to some extent. Still, if the supply relatively to the esti- mated rate of consumption could be accurately ascertained, both as to the quantity actually in the market, and as to that which might even- tually be forthcoming, there would quickly be an adjustment of the price in some regular pro- portion to the altered quantity, both actual and forthcoming. But it is not of many articles that the stock actually existing for sale can be ascertained, and there are still fewer of which the extent of contingent supply can be pre- cisely defined. If, therefore, the supply on hand at any time happens to have been under-rated; and if fur- ther a second, or still more if a third season of increased supply should occur, every person who has bought with a view to future resale, will lose in proportion to the degree in which he has extended his stock ; and the consumers, (among whom, when speaking of raw materials, manufacturers are usually classed,) most of whom may have been tempted by cheapness to anticipate their probable consumption, by ex- tending their stocks, will find that they would have done better by postponing their demand. Some of the dealers, by the fall in the value of their stock, become insolvent: others appre- hend that they are in danger of becoming so, if the supply, about which they have been so often deceived, should continue to be exces- sive ; they accordingly find it to be the part of prudence to resist the temptation of cheapness, and to diminish, instead of increasing, their stock. The consumer too finds that he should have been a gainer, if for some time past he had only bought in proportion to his immediate wants ; he, therefore, now conceives it to be his interest to eke out his store to the utmost, that is, not to buy more than he can help in ad- vance. Thus, although the supply may, in consequence of long protracted discouragement, be falling off, that part of the demand which consists in the anticipation of future want falls off in a still greater degree, till both reach their minimum j the consumption all the time going on at its wonted rate, or more probably in- creasing, in consequence of cheapness : and in such cases it may be only when the stock is at length discovered to be below the immediate want for actual consumption, while fresh sup- plies are remote or uncertain, that any decided improvement takes place *. This is a process which I have repeatedly ob- served to occur in the articles in which I have been practically conversant, and in most other articles respecting which I have had occasion to obtain information. And the general re- mark resulting from it is, that after a glut has been once fully established, it requires a period of falling prices, and diminishing supplies, till it may so happen, though perhaps rarely, that the lowest prices, and the smallest stocks, may coincide. The converse of the grounds on which I have pointed out that reduced prices * There is another case in which a lower price may often coincide with a quantity for sale smaller than on former oc- casions, and this is when, though the stock actually for sale is reduced below its average quantity, there may be grounds for anticipating supplies of greater magnitude than usual, or beyond the estimated rate of consumption : and both with regard to stocks actually existing, and to supplies forth- coming, it is perhaps scarcely necessary to add that, when these are matter of uncertainty, opinion of quantity will act on prices equally, whether that opinion be well or ill founded. 10 may occasionally coincide with diminished quan- tities, may be traced, reversing each step, to account for the occasional phenomenon of rising prices and increasing quantity, till for a very short time it may occasionally happen that the highest prices may coincide with the largest stocks. The process in each direction has, in some degree, been explained in what I stated in the first part of this work on the alternation be- tween speculation and stagnation, or overtrading and undertrading. Thus the lowest price of imported articles coincided with the smallest quantities in 1816, and the early part of 1817, while the highest prices were quoted, nominally at least, when the quantities had nearly reached their greatest magnitude in 1818 *. * The reduction of the stocks of commodities in 1816 and 1817 is a curious and important fact, and one that has been completely overlooked in the various attempts which have been hitherto made to account for the great rise of prices which occurred in 1817 and 1818. The variety and extent of the articles of raw produce, which existed in a 6tate of relative scarcity in 1816 and 1817, will be noticed in the sketch which I shall give of some of the principal causes of the fluctuations, that are exhibited in the tables in the appendix. And if the causes of fluctuation of raw produce are satisfactorily made out, there can be no diffi- culty in accounting for the corresponding variations of the manufactured goods into which these materials enter. 11 I fear that these remarks may have appeared trite, particularly to such of my readers as being engaged in mercantile pursuits, have themselves come to the same general conclusions : but I have found several persons, who not being con- versant with the details of business, and some even who being engaged in business, but not being accustomed to generalize their expe- rience, have been struck with the circumstance of reduced prices having accompanied dimi- nished stocks ; and thence have concluded that quantity does not govern price, according to any general rule. Whereas, in reality, the dis- crepancy is confined to the quantity actually for sale, compared with what existed at corre- sponding periods of former seasons, supposing the rate of consumption to be unaltered ; while the general rule applies to contingent, as well as actual supply, and to prospective, as well as to immediate, consumption ; and as opinion of future supply, compared with the demand, ope- The speculation arising out of that scarcity has already been described in the first part of this work. The effect of the exaggerated demand, and of a rise of prices so much beyond the deficiency, was to bring forward supplies of great magnitude in 1818; but the extent of them was not appreciated till after they had all arrived, and had been some time at market; being then, and not till then, found so much beyond the utmost of the estimated rate of annual consumption. S 2 12 rates for some time upon price in the same de- gree as if it were realized, it is requisite always to make an allowance for that part of the sup- ply and demand which is contingent. It is through the medium of contingent or prospec- tive supply, that any great alteration in the cost of production, if generally known or anti- cipated, has an immediate effect on prices be- fore any alteration in the quantity at market can take place. This contingency, in most cases, affords latitude for the exercise of the most erroneous opinions. According as these tend to exaggerate eventual scarcity or abun- dance, will be the extent of overtrading and speculation for a rise of prices beyond the real occasion, or the stagnation and undertrading which occasion a depression below the proper level. It requires occasionally an interval of some length to bring to any test the miscalcu- lations of individuals, whether in exaggerating or underrating the proportions of demand and supply of any particular commodity. Bearing in mind these general remarks, let us now proceed to pass in review each of the articles enumerated in the tables ; and upon that review, I think, it will appear that the difference in the relative proportions of supply and demand, both actual and contingent, is quite sufficient to account for the fluctuations 13 in price at the several periods, without attri- buting any effect to the depreciation of the cur- rency beyond the difference between paper and gold, or to extra demand arising out of the war, except in the case of such articles as are the immediate objects of government expen- diture. Ashes and Barilla were subject, through the whole period of the war, to an increased cost of conveyance, by the difference of freight, which, on such bulky articles, formed a con- siderable proportion of their value. But there were particular periods when we were excluded from direct intercourse with the sources of sup- ply, and the importation consequently became more precarious, as well as more expensive. Accordingly, upon the breaking out of the war with Spain in 1795, from whence we draw our principal supplies of barilla, the price advanced considerably, and of course affected the value of ashes*. Upon the general peace of 1802, prices fell, but they did not advance mate- rially upon the renewal of the war with France in 1803. In 1804 and 5, when hostilities broke out again between this country and Spain, the price naturally rose. In 1808, the stocks both * Ashes were at a very high price in 1782, and seem to have fallen 50 per cent, after the close of the American war, as that source of direct supply was again restored. 14 of ashes and barilla were greatly reduced. At the same time, we were excluded from direct intercourse with the Baltic; and the freight and insurance from thence rose enormously, as I have already had occasion to observe, and it was for some time uncertain whether supplies could at any expense be obtained from that quarter. Our disputes with America were then beginning, and from the peculiar character of the war in Europe at that period, freights ge- nerally were at a very great advance. Thus actual scarcity was aggravated in its effects on price, by apprehended failure of future supply ; and the price rose accordingly to an unpre- cedented height in 1808, before any material increase of Bank of England notes, or any ob- servable depression of the exchanges, had taken place. This advance naturally induced great efforts to overcome the obstruction to importa- tion, and those efforts being successful, the supplies in 1809 and 1810 were so large, as to occasion a depression of the price in 1811, to little more than one-third ofwhat it had been two years before. If the difference between paper and gold in 1811 and 1812 be deducted from the prices in those two years, they would be left below the level of the preceding or suc- ceeding periods of peace. The price of ashes advanced, as it may be ob- 15 served, upon the peace in 1814, when our inter- course with France (where this description of al- kali h appened then to be in demand) was restored ; and the highest prices, with the exception of 1808-9, were in 1815 and 16. The subsequent fall may be sufficiently accounted for by the great increase in the importation*. A new source of supply, viz. the East Indies, has within these few years contributed to swell the im- portation. I have not a statement of the im- ports of these articles into Great Britain, but the subjoined account of the imports into Lon- don, from 1814 to the present time, will be sufficient to show the great increase of quan- tity. Barilla. Ashes. American Russian Barrels. Casks. 1814 2088 1706 1815 1390 3594 1816 5g04 12^9 1817 5949 3262 1818 7414 1956 I8I9 11,546 1012 1820 9836 622 1821 10,271 484 1822 8772 763 Bales. Tons. 996 4377 61 . 4802 1589 2799 6732 8539 1639 5028 2119 6156 5952 . 6441 8407 7570 • 5939 . 4689 * Barilla reached its lowest point of depression last sum- mer, when the uncertainty, whether any and what propor- tion of the duty was likely to be taken off, in consequence of the reduction in the duty on salt, produced, as is usual on such occasions of uncertainty, a considerable degree of stagnation. 16 Some idea may be formed of the great in- creased consumption, both of ashes and barilla, from the prices having risen considerably since last autumn on account of a small falling off in the relatively large importation. Alum, it will be observed, has fallen very considerably, and rather suddenly, within the last three years. This article seems, till recently, to have been subject to a qualified monopoly ; the sources of supply having been almost exclusively confined to two great Yorkshire manufactories. It is supposed that there was a secret understanding between them not to undersell each other. The agent of one of them, however, with a species of good faith not very uncommon in such combinations, is said to have gone on en- larging his ton to 21, 22, and 23 cwt. As soon as this became known to the other, a com- petition to sell cheap took place ; and this is one cause of the fall. During the interval of the high prices many other manufactories were established, especially near Glasgow, where a plumose alum of great purity is largely found. In addition to this, less expensive processes have been discovered, so that the Yorkshire and other works are conducted with far less cost than formerly. At the same time some manufactories of this article are said to have 17 been established on the Continent. And while the article is thus more extensively and cheaply produced, other substances have been applied by the improvements of chemistry, to some of the purposes for which alum was before ex- clusively used. In general, it may be observed, as well of ashes and barilla, as of alum, that the whole class of alkalies and mineral sub- stances, applicable to manufactures, are liable to be peculiarly affected by the great im- provements in chemistry, and that, therefore, if a reduction in price could not be accounted for so clearly as maybe done in these instances, it might very fairly be presumed that substi- tutes had been found, or the use of them super- seded by other and improved processes. An inspection of the table of prices will clearly prove the total absence of any coin- cidence of the fluctuations of this article with alterations in the currency. And, as far as any effect of war and peace can be traced, it would lead to the conclusion that peace was rather calculated to raise, and war to depress, the price ; for after having continued at a re- markably steady price throughout the war, it participated in the general rise of articles of export in 1814 and 1815. Bristles are now, and have been ever since the peace, at a higher price than they were at 18 during the first thirteen years of the war ; that is, till the beginning of 1807. As we depend for our supply of that article almost exclusively on an importation from Russia, the great ad- vance in 1808 arose, not only from the very small actual quantity for sale*, but from the apprehension which then prevailed that all future supply would be intercepted for an in- definite length of time. It may be observed, however, that at the close of 1810, the price had receded 50 per cent, in consequence of rather a larger supply being brought forward ; but as the charges of importation continued to be as high as ever, the price naturally recovered, although it never again reached the elevation of 1808. This article, moreover, is one of di- rect government expenditure, the consumption of it for brushes in the army and navy being considerable. But the increased consumption by the rest of the community, since the peace, * I have not a statement of the total imports of this article ; but as we depend almost exclusively upon Russia for our supply of it, an account which I happen to have of the ex- port from Petersburg will sufficiently prove the great falling off in the supply in 1808 and 1809. 1806 1689 Casks 1807 1446 1808 673 1809 581 1810 1120 19 seems to have more than made up for the cessation of government demand j for the im- portation has been larger in the two last years, than it was, on the average, during the war, and yet the price has, of late, been rising. It is now higher than it was during any part of the war, excepting only the interval between 1807 and 1813, when the charges of importa- tion account for the whole difference of the bullion price on the average of that period. Coffee is so nearly as high now as it was during the greater part of the war, and so very considerably higher than when the depreciation of paper was greatest, that it is not one of the articles which have been resorted to in proof of a transition from war to peace, or of the de- preciation and subsequent enhancement of the currency. The French part of the island of St. Domingo alone, before the revolution there in 1791, is computed to have produced annually 40,000 tons on 3000 plantations : these were nearly destroyed during the troubles which prevailed there, and many of the planters went thence to Jamaica, where they established ex- tensive plantations, which have since made the latter island a source of considerable supply: but many years* were required to produce * The coffee-plant does not, 1 am told, bear in less than five years. 20 from that and other sources an increased quan- tity to make up for the deficiency from St. Do- mingo. Accordingly, the price began to ad- vance in 1791, soon after the revolution in St. Domingo, and, with some intervening fluctua- tions, maintained a considerable elevation, till the confiscations in the ports of the Baltic, in 1810, and the rigorous execution of the anti- commercial decrees of the enemy, which were enforced in the other ports of the Continent of Europe, put nearly a stop to all further ex- port. In the interval the importation to this country was large, being swelled by the pro- duce of the other French West India Islands, and of the Dutch Settlements in the East and West Indies ; but the whole quantity from these sources was insufficient by the re-export from hence to fill the chasm created by the cessation of the supply to Europe from St. Domingo : it was, therefore, with few exceptions, in brisk demand ; or, more properly speaking, in a state of relative scarcity through the whole period. By the time, however, that our exclusion from export to the Continent took place, the sources of supply had increased in consequence of the previous encouragement from high prices. An increased import, therefore, while the means of export were obstructed, occasioned the ex- traordinary glut and low prices of 1811 and 21 1812; and it was not till the prospect of peace and the re-opening of the Continental ports, which gave rise to an enormous exportation, that the price revived. It has since continued at a very high range, in consequence of short supplies and an increasing demand ; and the small stocks in hand have given rise to con- siderable speculations on the estimated sup- plies of the different years, which have been attended with corresponding fluctuations in price, as may be observed by the table. There is every probability that this article will shortly experience a great fall, owing to increased importations, as the prices for the last five years have been so high, as to afford all possible encouragement to an extended cul- tivation, the produce of which will henceforth be coming forward. Cotton is an article, about which so many elaborate statements have been made, as to leave little further to be said. The price rather fell during the two first years from 1793. The rise subsequent to 1795 was owing to scantiness of supply, the average importation for five years, from 1793 to 1798, both years included, having been less than in the five years preceding 1793. This scantiness of supply occurring at a time when there was a great demand, partly speculative, for our cotton manufactures to the Continent, prices rose nearly 100 per cent., but fell again on the great recoil of the Hamburg speculation in 1799. From that time it declined, with only a little rally in 1804 and 1805, till 1808, when our disputes with the United States tended to excite a speculation, on a falling off of future supply, at the same time that the actual importation, from all parts, was little more than half of what it had been in the pre- ceding year. The price then rose, and the fluctuation, from that time, has been already described. The high price which this article maintained for three years after the peace in 1814, in consequence of a greatly increased consumption, by the opening of the Continent of Europe to commercial intercourse, induced such an extended cultivation, as laid the founda- tion for the very large supplies which have since been received j and as the supplies con- tinue to arrive, without any material falling off, the presumption is, that the prices, low as they have been, and continue to be, are sufficient to defray the cost of production. When our supplies were limited to one source, the relative amount of them was, of course, liable to be affected in a much greater degree by the state of the crops from the influence of the weather, than now that the cultivation is 23 extended through the whole range of the tro- pical climates. Any tendency to a material advance in price, from the failure of the crops in the United States of America, or in the Brazils, would now be checked by the prospect that the encouragement thus held out would bring forward, at no very distant interval, a greatly increased supply from the East Indies. The crops failed in the East Indies two or three years ago ; and the low price at which that description sells here, in comparison with other kinds, has since discouraged the importa- tion from that quarter. But the supplies from other quarters have gone a considerable way towards making up for the deficiency. It would be difficult for the most determined advocate for either of the exclusive theories of currency or war demand, to bring the fluctua- tions of this article in aid of their systems. Cochineal, before South America became open to us, was affected by the war with Spain in 179C), and again in 1804, which rendered our importation precarious, and occasionally ex- pensive. It was, moreover, an object of direct war expenditure, and there was an increased consumption from the almost exclusive use of scarlet uniforms by the volunteer corps at par- ticular periods. The price, however, rose in 1813 and 1814, upon the prospect of peace, to 24 a greater height than it ever attained during the war, except in the great speculative de- mand for Germany in 1798, when it advanced upwards of 100 per cent., but fell again in the following year to the level from whence it had risen. The consumption has, of late, been in- terfered with by the substitution of lac-dye, which has been imported, to some extent, from India. The price has, in consequence, de- clined, although not so low as it was previous to the breaking out of the war : it has again fMay 2, 1823), advanced to 24?. and 26s. per lb. Copper is an object of expenditure by govern- ment for the purpose of bolts and sheathing to ships of war. The transports which were in the government service were, likewise, mostly required to be copper sheathed. The price, accordingly, advanced upon the breaking out of the war, although not very considerably during the first few years of it. In 1796 a new source of demand arose from the measures taken by government for a new copper coinage, which was partially issued in 1797« The greatest advance, however, took place in 1805, when an increased demand for the purposes of a fresh coinage, which was issued in the fol- lowing year, in sufficient quantity to fill the circulation, added to the other sources of de- mand, gave rise to an extensive speculation, %8 and drove the price up to 200/. per ton, a height which it never exceeded, and rarely afterwards reached. After 1808 it fell nearly progressively till the termination of the war, during the two last years of which it was at 130/. and 135/. per ton. If from these prices be deducted the difference between paper and gold, which, in 1813, was about 30 per cent, the bullion price would be left no higher than it is at present. It rose a little, for a short time, upon the peace in 1814, and again in 1817. This last considerable rise was in con- sequence of a demand for export. The sub- sequent decline is easily accounted for : first, by a greatly increased produce in this country, and, secondly, by a new foreign source of supply to Germany and France, and to the East Indies, which, till 1819, were almost exclusively sup- plied from hence. Of the increased produce, in this country, some idea may be formed, from the statement which I insert, in the Appendix, of the weekly sales of copper ore in Cornwall, for a series of years, commencing in 1800, and brought down to the present time : by this it will be seen that the produce from that source was, in the last year, larger, by between 2000 and 3000 tons, or nearly half as much again as in the average of the thirteen years from 1800 to 1812. Copper T 26 is raised in Anglesey, in Devonshire, in Ireland, and in small quantities in other parts of the united kingdom ; but all these sources are not, collectively, equal to those of Cornwall, and, although the mines of Anglesey have fallen off, I understand that the aggregate produce of copper, in the united kingdom, is decidedly greater than it has been at any former period. The new source of foreign supply to which I alluded, is Russia. Till 1818 she had never exported any quantity worth mentioning : but her exports, commencing with that year, have been as follows : 1818 155 tons. 1819 1419 1820 4466 1821 5023 1822 3545 If then, notwithstanding the increased pro- duce of our own mines, notwithstanding the interference by Russia, on so large a scale, with our exports, and notwithstanding the cessation of the navy demand, the price is now (May, 1823) as high as it was in 1812 and 1813, less the difference between paper and gold, how much higher would it not be, if the produce applicable to the consumption of this country, and of the rest of Europe, were now reduced to what it was during the war 27 There is an omission, in the price current, of the quotations in 1819, 1820, and 1821, and as it was desirable to adhere strictly to the au- thority of that price current, the omission has not been supplied in the table in the Appendix ; but I collect, from other sources, that the prices were as follows : 1819 . . .£120 & 116 1820 . . 110 101- 1821 . . 95 85 This decline, it is to be observed, corresponds, in some degree, with the increased produce in Cornwall, and with the increased export from Russia : but such is the increasing consump- tion, that the price rose, last summer, to 106/., and, after an intermediate depression, is now again at that price. Flax, although an object of government ex- penditure, in the shape of sailcloth, was at a lower price in the two first years of the war which broke out in 1793, than it had been on the average of the preceding peace. The first decided advance was in 1795, when the im- portation had fallen off considerably, com- pared with the preceding year; at the same time that there was an increasing demand for the navy and merchant shipping. In 1800 and 1801, the price rose still further, in con- sequence of an embargo in the Russian ports, t 2 by the Emperor Paul; but, after declining a little, when that embargo was removed, the price again advanced, unchecked by the peace of 1802, to a greater height than it had at- tained during any part of the preceding war, the short interval of the Russian embargo ex- cepted. The fluctuation between 1807 and 1811, that is, an advance of 100 per cent., and a fall again to the level from whence the rise took place, has already been noticed in the first division of this work, and a reference to the state of the importation will fully explain it, bearing in mind that, in 1808, there was not only an actual falling off in the import, in consequence of the very great expenses and hazard which attended all commercial intercourse with the Continent in that year, but the apprehension of failure of future supply. The subsequent rise, upon the short importation of 1811, and the fall in 1814, when a large actual supply, by importation, concurred with the prospect of abundant contingent supply, by the reduced charges of conveyance, are accounted for on obvious grounds. From that time a greatly increased produce of flax in Ireland, following the encouragement held out by the previous high prices, contributed to augment the ge- neral supply, and depressed the price, in 29 1816, to as low a rate as it has since been at ; but the importation of that and the following year, combined with the bad season of 1816, occasioned a considerable rise in 1817, which was protracted through 1818 by a speculation on the effects of the drought of that year. The increased importation from the Conti- nent, with the augmented produce of Ireland, are quite sufficient to account for the low range of prices which prevailed till last summer. There appears to have been an extended cul- tivation of flax in Egypt; for, by accounts from Italy, most of the ports of the Mediter- ranean, which used to be supplied with the article from Russia, have recently received as much as they could consume, on lower terms, from Alexandria. Independent of circum- stances arising out of war and peace, to affect the supply of this article, it is liable to be in- fluenced, in a considerable degree, by the sea- sons, both directly and indirectly. Directly, inasmuch as the weather may be favourable or adverse to the growing crops ; thus the drought of last year is supposed to have in- jured or stunted the produce on the Continent* and the effects of that diminished growth are likely to be felt in a reduced importation this year. The supplies from the Netherlands have already began to fall offj and this actual pro- 30 spective diminution of supply has occasioned a rise of more than 20 per cent, since last sum- mer, the present price (May, 1823,) being 571. per ton. The indirect effects of the season occur in cases when, by the dearth of pro- visions, there is an inducement to extend the cultivation of corn or potatoes, at the expense of other productions, to which the same land would otherwise have been applicable : this cause, there can be no doubt, contributed, among others, to raise and maintain the price of flax at a much higher level during the war than it could otherwise have been at ; and the cessation of the operation of that cause has naturally occasioned prices to subside to their previous level. Hemp rose very inconsiderably during the two first years of the war, and was actually lower in those two years than it had been in several instances in the preceding peace. In 1795 and 1796, the price advanced rapidly, in consequence of large purchases in Russia, for account of the French government. The demands by our own government were, like- wise, on an increasing scale in those two years ; but as a consequence of the great advance in price, large supplies came forward in 1798 ; and, notwithstanding that the expenditure for naval purposes was on as large a scale as ever, 31 the price declined, in that year, very consider- ably. The increasing demand for the navy and for the mercantile shipping of this country, combined with a progressive demand from the United States of America, again raised the price ; but not to the height which it had re- cently reached, till 1800, when the embargo, by the Emperor Paul, gave rise to a specula- tion which drove the price up considerably. The price, of course, fell after his death on the removal of the embargo. The fluctuations from 1807 are fully ac- counted for by the extraordinary state of our political relations with the powers of the Baltic. In 1808, the whole importation was only 12,98.5 tons, being little more than one year's consump- tion by government alone ; and as there was no ground of reliance upon a future supply of so important an article, the price advanced to the unprecedented height of 118/. But in the two following years, the importation by licences amounted to Tons. 42,944 . . in J 808 47,790* . . in 1809 * From the quantities imported in the five years, from 1 SOQ to 1813, should be deducted upwards of 10,000 tons, which 32 which reduced the prices as has already been stated in the first part of this work. The advance of the French upon Moscow, com- bined with a short importation in 1811, again occasioned a considerable rise. It has of course fallen since the peace on the double ground of the abstraction of direct govern- ment demand, beyond the small quantity oc- casionally required to keep up the peace esta- blishment of the navy, and of the removal of the extra charges of importation. The rally in 1818 was in consequence of a short importa- tion in the two preceding years. During the very high prices which prevailed between 1808 and 1814, iron came into use as a substitute for hemp in cables, and was found, or supposed to answer so well, that it has been continued and greatly extended since the peace j thus greatly reducing the consumption of hemp. But the importation having fallen off in 1821 in a till greater degree than the reduced consump- tion, the price advanced nearly 50 per cent, and were brought from India for account of governraent,under the apprehension of a total failure of supply from Russia. That hemp was not found applicable to the purposes of the navy ; the whole of it was therefore sold in 1 8 1 5, and has gradually gone into consumption. That quantity, therefore, should be added to the imports since the peace. 33 afterwards receded in consequence of a large supply. In the importation of 1822, a larger quan- tity than usual came from the Mediterranean and the Adriatic, and it appears, that a very little encouragement would greatly extend the supply from those parts. I have already no- ticed the speculative demand upon the late rumours of war, and the subsidence of the price on the cessation of them. Hemp is subject to be affected by the seasons in the same way as flax, although not always at the same time, not being within the same range of climate ; as a much larger pro- portion of our consumption of hemp than of flax is drawn from Russia. But France grows nearly enough for her own consumption, and it is only when her own crops are deficient, that she draws any considerable proportion of her supply from Russia. Thus, in 1818, the growth in France was deficient, and her consequent demand for Russian hemp contri- buted among other causes to the relatively high prices of the article in that year. Indigo requires but little notice. The price now is as high as it was during the greater part of the war, notwithstanding the reduced charges of importation ; and as it reached its greatest 34 height upon the prospect of the near ter- mination of the war in 1813 and 1814, it can hardly be brought forward as an instance of the indirect effect of government expendi- ture in raising prices ; nor will a reference to this article countenance the opinion, which ascribes to the bank restriction effects much beyond the degree indicated by the difference between paper and gold ; for when that dif- ference was nearly at its greatest height, the price of indigo was considerably lower than on many occasions in the preceding period. It did not participate in the rise which occurred in many other articles between 1816 and 1818; and the great advance in it occurred after the passing of Mr. Peel's bill. It may be said, that the advance is in consequence of de- ficient crops, — granted ; but if deficient crops are allowed to be sufficient cause of the advance in this instance, by parity of reasoning abun- dant crops or produce may be allowed to be calculated to depress prices. Hops present a striking instance of the in- fluence of the seasons upon price. The pro- duce of each year is exactly represented by the duty which is taken for the whole period, em- braced by the table at the same fixed rate of 1^. ajl per lb. After 1808, the table contains the 35 estimate which is made a few weeks before the actual result of the gathering, and consequently before the duty is ascertained ; and it may be curious to observe how the price fluctuates with the estimate. It is quite sufficient to refer to the table, in order to be satisfied that the variations in price had no observable con- nexion with the bank restriction, or with war demand. In 1788, when the duty of the preceding year was 48,227/. the price rose to 220.9. and 340s. which is a higher price, allowing for the difference between paper and gold, than it ever reached during the war. But even in 1813, when the extreme price was 420s. it was in consequence of so small a pro- duce as is indicated by a duty of only 30,000/. In the latter part of 1817 5 the price, in con- sequence of two bad crops in succession, rose by speculation to 351. per cwt. but when the estimate of 1818 was made, the fall was sudden to 185s. and ruined the speculators. This oc- curred before Mr. Peel's bill was thought of. From 1818 to 1822, both years included, there has been a succession of no fewer than five years, in no one of which has the duty been less than 130,000/. The average produce of three of these years has been upwards of 200,000/. 36 and the average of the five years upwards of 187,000/. Whereas in the whole preceding- term, as far back as 1782, there is no in- stance of more than three successive years where the produce has exceeded 100,000/. nor is there any instance of a succession of more than three years in which a season of decided deficiency has not occurred. The only interval, during the war, when three sea- sons of more than average produce had occurred in succession, viz. in 1808, the price fell to from 60s. to 80^., which is as low as any quotation by the same authority in the last five years. And in 1804, after two years only of good produce, the price fell to from 60s. to 84.r. In 1794 and 1801, the price was still lower after single good seasons. Now, without entering into any minute cal- culation, I am persuaded that it will appear that the produce of these last five years is in a much greater proportion to the existing population than the produce of any former five years to the then amount of population, and that the excess of produce fully accounts for the present low range of prices. Iron. The first considerable rise in foreign iron did not occur till 1796, when it advanced suddenly about 30 per cent. This was the 37 year before the bank restriction, and the rise occurred in consequence of the importation having fallen off instead of keeping pace with the increasing demand for consumption in this country and in the rest of Europe, as well as in the United States of America; and the produce of our own mines was at that time comparatively insignificant. Between 1796 and the close of 1800 there was no further advance. But the embargo in Russia in the latter year had the effect of raising the price 10 per cent, more, and an additional duty of about 1/. per ton had been laid on the importation in the interval be- tween 1796 and 1798. The advance altogether, therefore, including the new duty, was nearly 10/. per ton since 1795 ; and this great ad- vance operated as a sufficient premium for ap- plying increased capital to the production of iron in this country, and for bringing into opera- tion for that purpose all the powers of machinery, which was then undergoing a rapid improvement. Thenceforward the produce of iron in this country proceeded so rapidly that, with the aid of further duties, amounting almost to a prohi- bition of importation, it not only kept pace with the increasing demand, but has eventually nearly superseded the use of foreign iron in this country, and has furnished a surplus for ex- 3S portation. The price of foreign iron, accord- ingly, fell almost progressively from 1801 till the close of the war. English iron advanced a little between 1800 and 1803, as a natural and inevitable conse- quence of the high price of foreign iron, which had been further raised by additional duties on importation ; the quality, moreover, had been improved, and it was therefore really worth more, relatively to foreign iron, than it had be- fore been. From 1803 till the close of the war, and further till 1817, being a period of fourteen years, the price maintained a singular degree of uniformity. In 1816 and 1817 a considerable demand for iron from this country to France took place, and continued through 1818 and 1819 on a very extensive scale, which had the effect of raising the price of British iron higher than it had been during any period of the war. But, in 1820, such restrictions were laid on the import into that country as to preclude any further shipments. In the meantime the continued improvements and increased power of machinery having been brought into extended operation so as to aug- ment the produce while the demand for export to France has fallen off, the subsequent decline is sufficiently accounted for. 39' Lead. Of the fluctuations of this article I have riot the means of giving any very clear account, because the produce of the mines, or the extent to which they are worked, seem to vary very considerably. But a reference to the dates, when the greatest variations of price oc- curred, will negative the influence both of war expenditure and of the bank restriction. The price in 1788 was as high as 24/. per fodder, and in 1798, after five years of war and one year of bank restriction, was as low as 19/. It got up in 1808, partly by speculation, to 43/., but this was before any material depreciation of paper as indicated either by the exchanges or by the price of gold had taken place, and the price fell during the remainder of the war ; so that from the last six months of 1811 till the peace in 1814 (when there was a temporary ad- vance), the price, deducting the difference be- tween paper and gold, was lower than the pre- sent quotation (May 2) of 25/. lO.v. It would probably be still higher were it not that an in- creased produce of late from the mines of Spain has interfered with British lead in foreign markets. Madders are affected in price by the charges of importation, but in a greater degree by the difference of seasons. The fluctuations of this 40 article are hardly worth recording, further than to observe that from 1808 to 1812 the difficulty and risk of communication with Holland are quite sufficient to account for the great advance in that interval. Since the peace, prices have occasionally been much higher than they were during the first fifteen years of the war. The decline during the last three years is attributable chiefly to a succession of good crops, but in part, likewise, to the circumstance that madder-roots have, of late, been imported in larger quantity than usual from the Mediterranean. And fur- ther, the recent introduction of munjeet, an East India root applicable to some of the same purposes as madder, and now coming here in large quantities, naturally contributes to the de- pression of the latter. Oils. — Gallipoli oil, although subject to greatly increased charges of importation (the voyage being a very long one, and the article bulky) during the whole of the war, and more especially during the last five years of it, to an extent fully adequate to account for the ad- vance of price relatively to the period anterior to 1793, maintained a higher bullion-price during the first six years of peace following 1813 than that of the whole period of the preceding war. The high price which prevailed between the 41 close of 1816 and the beginning of 1819 was partly the consequence of a short importation, and partly of the great advance in the price of rape-seed oil, which is extensively used for the same purposes as Gallipoli oil. The subsequent decline is attributable chiefly to an increased importation, and in some degree to the very low price of rape-seed oil. Rape-seed oil advanced in the last six months of 181(3 to a higher price than the average of what it had been at during the whole of the war. The deficient importation of rape-seed in 1816, combined with a deficient home growth, accounts, prima facie, for a great rise in the oil ; but the price was further ad- vanced in 1817 by the extravagant speculation which took place in whale-oil ; these descrip- tions of oil being, for some purposes, applicable as substitutes one for the other. The fall of rape-seed oil since 1818 was produced by the opposite state of things to that which had oc- casioned the rise: a large importation of the seed in 1818, a very great increase of the home produce of it since that time, and a fall in the price of whale-oil. The natural price of whale-oil is lower in time of peace than in time of war by the difference of freight and insurance in the two periods : but the average of the market price, u 42 during the first five years following the peace of 1814, was as high as it had been on the average of the whole war. It was indeed de- pressed for a short interval, in 1816, to 22/. per ton, but it had been as low during part of 1807 and 1808, when freights and insurances were very much higher. The fishery in 1817 was unsuccessful, and the speculation which I have alluded to drove the price up, nominally at least, to 59/. But the consumers did not pay that price*. The recoil of the speculation and a succession of four abundant fisheries occa- sioned a decline, nearly progressive, till the close of 1821 1- The fishery of 1822 proved to be deficient ; and the price advanced at one time fifty per cent. ; but the rise has been checked by the low price of rape-seed oil. Linseed oil has followed the variations of the seed, and the causes of those variations will be noticed under the head of that article. Provisions. — Under this head will be found, in the tables, the prices of Irish mess beef and pork, and of Irish and Dutch butter. As so * The winter of 1817-18 having proved a mild one, ad- mitted of an extensive substitution of rape-oil for the public lamps. f There is no doubt that, even with this increased supply, the price would be much higher were it not for the extensive substitution of coal gas for oil. 43 much has already been said in the course of this work on the subject of the prices of provisions, generally, it seems to be almost superfluous to make a separate reference to this particular kind. To a certain extent, the price of this description of provisions must be affected by circumstances connected with the price of corn and meat, and the produce of the dairy in this country; but Irish mess-beef and pork were liable to be affected in a peculiar degree by the demands for the Victualling-Office : and butter was further affected by the difficulty and ex- pense of importation from Holland, which would, of course, influence the value of that from Ire- land. It will be observed, that, though in 1793 (the first year of the war) the prices advanced con- siderably, the greatest rise of mess-beef was during the peace of 1802. The general high range beyond the difference between paper and gold will be fully accounted for by the state of the seasons, and the difficulties of importa- tion, which I have described as affecting the price of all kinds of provisions, from 1793 to 1813. Rice is affected chiefly by the variations of the prices of corn ; and, during the war, it was sub- ject to greatly increased charges of importation. u 2 Saltpetre, being so great an object of direct war expenditure, and being, moreover, an article of great bulk in proportion to its value, and therefore greatly affected by the rate of freight on so long a voyage as that from India, requires little explanation to account for its being higher during the war. The price reached its greatest height in 1795, viz. 170s. per cwt. ; in 1 796 it fell at one time to 4.5s. and rose again to 96s. It seems to have been affected considerably by the scale of hostilities on the Continent. But in consequence of the discoveries in chemistry, by which the French were enabled to dispense with a foreign supply, and by the increased importation from India to this country, by which we were enabled to supply the rest of the Con- tinent at a reduced cost, the price declined per- manently after 17Q8-9, when it reached 145s., and never after was so high as 100s., except during the short interval of speculation in ex- ports in the peace of 1814, and again upon the breaking out of the war which terminated with the battle of Waterloo, in 1815*. The subse- quent decline, and the low range in the last * The average bullion-price between 1800 and 1814 does not appear to have been so high as it was during the pre- ceding American war. 45 few years, may be ascribed to the circumstance of unusually large quantities having been im- ported from India at very low freights. It is likewise supposed to be prepared in India at less cost than formerly. Seeds. — The price of these was affected greatly by the seasons, both here and abroad, and by the charges of importation. Sometimes these causes operated in the same, and some- times in opposite directions, during the war. And, in order to show to what an extent the supply fluctuated from these causes, I insert, in the Appendix, a statement of the imports of rape and cole-seed, linseed and clover-seed, from 1801 to 1822, both years included. Clover-seed rose in the great scarcities fol- lowing the seasons* of 1795-99, and 1800, to a height which was never afterwards exceeded, although the charges of importation were in- 1 creased nearly tenfold in the period between 1808 and 1813. In 1816-17 the price ad- * As a proof of the degree in which this article is affected hy the seasons, it may he as well to notice the following fluctuations: Spring of 1782. . . . 25*. to 42s. per cwt. 1783.. ..81*. to 117*. 1784.. . . 18*. to 43*. 1787.. . . 65*. to 107*. 1792. . . . 18*. to 40*. 46 vanced to 1155. as a consequence of a very short importation; the crops abroad, as well as in this country, having proved to be very deficient. A considerable decline took place by the commencement of 1818 ; but the great drought of the following summer gave rise to an extensive speculation, on a probable deficiency, and the price rose again to such a height as to induce a large importation ; this was sufficient, co-operating with renewed abundance here, to depress the price very considerably in 1819. Linseed was as low in the spring of 1799, after six years of war, as it had been on the average of the preceding peace. The price was naturally affected by the great scarcities which prevailed, both in this country and on the Continent, at particular periods of the war ; and the importation of 1801 having proved very small, the price in the year of peace following was as high as it had been during any part of the preceding war. I have" already, in the first part of this work, noticed the great rise in 1808 as a consequence of a very short actual supply, and of apprehensions for the future. There was a short supply in 1811, and again in 1813, which contributed to maintain a considerable elevation of price. In 1816, as a consequence of two years of 47 short importation, combined with a speculation on general scarcity of agricultural produce, the price rose greatly, viz. to 93s. ; and after an intermediate decline, it rose again in 1818, upon an idea that the extraordinary drought, and consequent failure of the turnips in that year, would occasion a very great increase in the con- sumption of oil-cakes. The speculation upon that point proved to be exaggerated ; the failure of turnips was not so extensive as was ex- pected ; and the importation of linseed being of unparalleled magnitude, the price fell, as might be expected, in the following year. The im- portations have since continued to be beyond the average of what they were prior to 1817; and as the abundance of fodder, and the openness of the winters from 1818 till the last, diminished the demand for oil-cakes, the price continued to decline till last autumn. There has since been a considerable improvement, in conse- quence of the severity of the winter and the scarcity of fodder. The quotation on the 2nd of May was 33s. to 43s., and the rise would have been much greater, as a good deal of speculation was directed to the article, but that the tendency to advance has been checked by the arrival of several cargoes from Egypt and Sicily, and by advices that farther supplies, to some extent, are about being shipped from the 48 Mediterranean hither. The supplies from Egypt are a new feature in this article. It is only within these three years that so much as a single cargo was imported from thence ; whereas, in the course of the last year, the importation to this port alone amounted to upwards of 14,000 qrs. ; and it is expected to reach to a still greater extent in the course of the present year*. This new source of supply is the more opportune for the consumers, because the crops having been deficient in the Baltic last year, a scanty importation from thence, coinciding with an increased demand for oil-cakes, might, but for the check of the increased importa- tion from the Mediterranean, have raised the price considerably. Rape-seed has been affected, like the other seeds, by the state of the crops in this country, and of those abroad, and by the expenses of importation. The rise of rape-seed in 1816 was * The following is a statement which I have received of the quantities of linseed (nearly all Egyptian) arrived at different ports in the United Kingdom, from the Medi- terranean, since the 1st of January last, and further expected this season ; viz. 20,910 quarters already arrived. 20,000 (rather more than less) expected in the course of the year. 40,910 49 entirely the effect of the season, co-operating with a short importation. In 1817 and 1818 it was kept at a high range by the increased con- sumption of rape-oil, in consequence of the ex- travagant speculation which, for twelve months, nearly put a stop to the consumption of whale- oil. The subsequent decline is fully accounted for by the state of the crops, which were un- usually abundant in the two last years ; and in the course of 1822, not only was our own crop abundant, but the importation was con- siderable. Silks were lower from the breaking out of the war in 1793 to 1797, than they had been in the preceding peace. In 1797* the importation of raw silk was deficient, and the price of China and Bengal, to which the deficiency probably applied, rose considerably in 1 798. After the average supply was restored by the importations of 1799 and 1800, prices receded. The price of silks generally rose again in the peace of 1802 to a higher rate than they had been at during the preceding period of war ; and they rather declined again, in con- sequence of more abundant supplies in the course of the four years following the renewal of the war in 1803, notwithstanding the in- creased charges of conveyance incidental to a 50 state of war. On a general view of the prices of the different kinds, it appears, that the ave- rage of the whole term of 15 years, from 1793 to 1807, allowing for the extra charges of freight and insurance, and for the difference between paper and gold, was lower than it had been in the preceding ten years of peace. But in 1807, in consequence of increasing obstacles to our intercourse with Italy, the supply had greatly fallen off compared with that of the three years preceding. In 1808 it proved to be still smaller ; and in addition to the smallness of the actual quantity at market, there was for a short interval an apprehension that we should be totally excluded from a future supply of some particular descriptions. The speculation upon this actual and still more on the appre- hended scarcity, drove up the price of Pied- mont thrown to 96s. and 112s. per lb. and China and Bengal (the importation of which was likewise very short) participated in the advance. But the advance probably checked the consumption ; for by the close of that year the price of Piedmont thrown and Bengal or- ganzine fell to one-half the prices which they had recently attained. The importation again fell off' in 1811 ; of thrown silk the whole supply of that year was only 20,3361bs. being less than T Vth part of the con- 51 sumption on the average of the preceding pe- riod of nearly 30 years. Our own manufacture of thrown had indeed increased, but taking raw and thrown together, the importation was little more than one-half of what it had been on the average of the preceding period included in the tables. In 1811 accordingly the price advanced, but from the failure of the former speculation, not to nearly so high a rate as in 1808. It was, however, sufficiently high to bring for- ward a considerable supply in 1812, and prices fell very much by the close of that year, though the war was then on the largest scale, and the depreciation of paper nearly at its height. Of the total imports of 1813, I cannot give an account, as the Custom-house records were destroyed by fire. The supplies in 1814 and 1815 were considerable, and prices fell accord- ingly. But the consumption and exportation, favored by the fall, left a very short stock on hand at the commencement of 1816, when, as I have observed, will sometimes happen, the lowest prices nearly coincided with the smallest stocks. It was then that a short importation occasioned partly by the pre- vious discouragement, and partly by failing crops, was the foundation, and a very sufficient one, for a considerable advance in price. The rise was not confined to this country, for the 52 article was scarce and dear in France and Flanders ; and small as the import into Great Britain was in 1816, an unusual proportion was re-exported, chiefly to France. The importation of 1817 being likewise scanty, and coming upon a previously deficient stock, the greatest rise took place, as might be expected, at the close of that and in the beginning of the following year. But by the summer of 1818, the forth- coming supplies being estimated to be more abundant, prices fell ; and it is material to observe, that in this, as in so many other in- stances, the fall began before Mr. Peel's bill was thought of; and the subsequent abundance of the imports must, one would think, satisfy even the most determined opponents of Mr. Peel's bill, that as far as relates to this article at least, the fall of the bullion prices must have been as great, whether that bill had passed or not. A comparison of the total imports, deducting in each case the quantities exported, in the five years, ending in 1811, and in the five years, ending in 1822, must likewise, I imagine, satisfy any partizan of the indirect effects of war demand, that the difference of supply, re- latively to the amount of population at the two periods, is enough to account for the difference of the bullion price, without imputing to the war 53 an increase of effective demand or consump- tion. Spices. — Pepper has been declining for many years past, with only occasional rallies, partly from speculation, of which this article has always been a favourite object. The most striking in- stances of these rallies, in the general tendency downwards, were the Hamburg speculation in 1798, the general speculation in exports, on the opening of the Continent in 1814, and a minor speculation, on a reduction of the stock for sale, in the Company's ware- houses, in 1818. This last was overpowered by the effect of the supplies which were conveyed to the ports of the Continent by American ships direct from Sumatra. The decline, and present low range of prices, may be very fully accounted for by the extended cultivation in Sumatra, from whence the supplies continue to be abundant. The presumption, therefore, is, that the price, 1ow t as it is, is a remunerative one. It is to be observed, however, that in the consideration of the price of pepper, generally, allowance is to be made for inferiority in the quality of a very large proportion of the late supplies, compared with what was formerly imported. Cinnamon was in 1784 as high as 20s. per lb. from thence it seems gradually to have declined, without any fluctuation worth 54 mentioning, till 1795. The occupation of Hol- land by the French in that year, before we had the means of obtaining any direct supplies, had the effect of raising the price to 18.?. per lb. Soon after, however, when Ceylon fell into our hands, and under a different system from that which prevailed while that island was in the possession of the Dutch, and which consisted in an artificial limitation of supply, the quantity collected there was all brought to this country, and the cultivation was allowed to be extended. The increased supply thus coming forward, tended naturally to depress the price ; and at the same time as the Dutch East India ware- houses in Holland were still well stocked, the depression was increased by the absence of an adequate demand for export : for nearly 10 years, therefore, following 1798, this article was at a lower price than it was ever before, or has since been. At the close of 1807, however, the Dutch stock being somewhat exhausted, all orders from the Continent for spices came direct to this country, and the price of cinna- mon improved. It maintained a tolerably steady rate from 1809, till near the termination of the war, when the great speculative demand upon the prospect of peace raised the price, as has been shown in the first part of this work. The average price since the passing of Mr. Peel's 55 bill has been higher than it was for 15 years after the bank restriction. And the average price since the peace has been considerably higher than the average of the whole period of war. The variations in Ginger, which are very con- siderable, are referable chiefly to difference of crops j but I shall content myself with observing that the highest price which this article ever attained was in 1816. The great decline which has since taken place may be ascribed in part to the extent of supplies from the East Indies, the Malabar white interfering more especially with the Barbadoes white ; and in part to a diminished use of ginger generally in Italy, where formerly the consumption was very con- siderable. Sugar has been very commonly referred to as an article, the variations of which mia;ht be brought to prove the effects of war demand, or of an indefinite depreciation of paper, as suited the views of the parties who maintained either of the exclusive theories. Trusting to the vagueness of recollection which prevails as to the dates when the variations of price occurred, the advocates for the peculiar effect of war demand in raising prices contend, that as the price of sugar rose at about the period when the war broke out in 1793, to a much greater height than the difference between the charges 56 of importation in war compared with those of peace, and continued at a considerable eleva- tion till 1808, when we were excluded from exportation to the Continent; and as during all that time there was very little difference between paper and gold, the excess of advance cannot be referred to any other cause so ob- viously, as to that of increased demand, arising out of the war. While on the other hand, those who deny the influence of war demand bring forward the rise in the price of sugar beyond the extra charges of importation, as one among their other proofs that gold was depreciated by the bank restriction j because, say they, neither the seasons, which are brought forward to account for fluctuations in the price of corn, nor any other general circumstance, can account for so long continued an elevation. But a short reference to precise dates and prices, and to circumstances affecting the sup- ply and demand at particular periods, will re- move this article, as well as the many others which have already been removed, from the list of such as are calculated to give coun- tenance to either of the theories. It so happens that the first great rise in the price of sugar occurred at the close of 1791, before any idea was entertained of our being in- volved in a war with France ; and in 1792, 57 it reached as great an elevation as it ever after- wards attained, with two exceptions, viz. the period of the great Hamburgh speculation, between 1796 and 1799, a period, be it ob- served, in which the circulation of paper is admitted even by the advocates of indefinite depreciation to have been remarkably con- tracted ; and again the extravagant speculation on the prospect of peace in 1813 and 1814. The occasion of the rise in 1791 requires only to be mentioned to satisfy the reader that it was fully adequate to produce such an effect. The revolution in the French part of St. Do- mingo was the occasion of the destruction of all the sugar plantations in that island. The extent of these may be conceived, when it is stated, that the annual produce from that source alone was estimated at no less than 80,000 tons; and it was sufficient, with the comparatively small produce of the other French West India Islands, to enable France not only to supply her own consumption, but even to re-export a con- siderable quantity to the North of Europe. Such a chasm required some years of increasing produce from other quarters to fill up, and until filled up, the price was naturally much above a remunerating rate to the producers in the remaining sources of supply, or, in other words, afforded profits much beyond those x 58 which were obtained in productions that were not thus casually limited. It was, therefore, the destruction of St. Domingo, as a source of supply, and not the war, which conferred on our West India planters a monopoly of pro- duction, that enabled them to derive such large profits during several years, which happened to coincide with a state of war. But the encouragement arising from profits so large naturally occasioned a great increase of cultivation, and sugar being an article which yields a return of produce upon an extended cultivation more quickly than coffee, the in- creased supply came sooner into operation in reducing the profits of the planters ; and, as is usual on such occasions, was sufficient for some time to depress those profits below the ordinary level. As early as 1799 the supply seems to have out-run what the consumption at the ad- vanced prices could carry off, and thencefor- ward they declined. The importations in 1801 and 1802 were of extraordinary magnitude, and these concurring w r ith the restoration of peace, which reduced the charges of convey- ance, accelerated the decline; but the low price here, rendered still cheaper to the foreign con- sumer by the diminished charges of freight and insurance, occasioned a very large export from hence, and produced a rally before the renewal 59 of the war in 1803. After 1804 the price re- sumed its tendency downwards, and in 1807, before our exclusion from direct intercourse with the ports of Russia, our imports being less, and our exports greater, than they had been in the preceding year, the gazette average of British plantation sugar fell to 305. Qd., which is the lowest point of depression that it had ever reached, with the exception of short in- tervals in the two last years. Foreign sugar, not being admitted for consumption in this coun- try, was lowest in 1811, when the anti-com- mercial decrees of the French were in full operation. It was only (as I had occasion to state in the first part of my work) upon the prospect of the emancipation of the continent at the close of 1812 that prices recovered effectually. And I have already shown to what an extravagant height they were raised by the speculation on the peace in 1814. The decline from 1814 is not more than commensurate with the enormous increase of supply which has since been poured into Europe, and which seems to have reached its acme in 1821. The increased produce of the Havannah, the Brazils, and the East Indies, and of our own settlements of Demerara and Berbice, are quite adequate to have produced this effect. The glut has in the course of the x 2 60 last few months somewhat abated, and the price is higher than it was previous to the late rumours of war. The last gazette average of British plantation sugar (7th May, 1823) was 34s. 8^d. y being higher than it was for upwards of a twelve- month between 1806 and 1808, when the charges of conveyance, and when all stores re- quired for the plantations, were so much dearer than they are now. Spirits. French Brandy rose of course on the breaking out of the war, and continued at a price more or less advanced according to the ex- tent of the obstructions to importation. These, as I have already observed, were greatest in 1811 and 1812, and the price was then at its highest elevation. Since the peace, the price has gradually resumed its ancient level, checked only by the bad season of 1816, which did ex- tensive mischief to the vines in France. Rum is affected by direct war expenditure, and by extra charges of importation. Subject to an allowance for these circumstances and for occasional speculations on casual deficiency of supply, or on suddenness of government de- mand, there is nothing striking in the fluctua- tions. The fall since 1820 was clearly the con- sequence of the non-intercourse between our West India Islands and the United States of America, which forced all the rum that had 61 usually found a vent in America to this coun- try, and occasioned a glut which has not yet been got rid off. Tallow, in the two first years of the war, was lower than it had been on the average of the preceding peace. In 1795 the price advanced very considerably, nearly 100 per cent, in con- sequence partly of a very short importation, and partly of the deficiency of the home produce of fat from the peculiarities of the seasons of 1794 and 1795, which have been so fully described. In 1799 and 1800-1, the price, after an inter- mediate fall, again advanced, in consequence, first, of a deficiency in the home produce from the effects of the season, and subsequently of the embargo by the emperor Paul, which threatened to cut off all future supplies. When these dis- turbing causes were removed, the price gradu- ally declined till the spring of 1807. The treaty of Tilsit naturally gave rise to apprehen- sions of increased obstructions to future sup- plies, and those apprehensions were realized. Accordingly, in the autumn, the price advanced considerably, and, in the course of the following spring, reached a greater height than it ever afterwards attained. The magnitude of those obstructions, as they existed in 1808, may be imagined by the circumstance that, notwith- standing the encouragement held out by so 62 enormous a price as 1 105. per cwt., the importa- tion was little more than one-quarter of what it had been two years before. Some of the ob- structions to importation being overcome in 1809 and 1810, although at a very great expense, the supplies were more abundant, and prices fell in 1810-11; but the great expense of im- portation still continuing, the supplies in 1811, 1812, and 1813, fell off again; and this diminu- tion of foreign supply coinciding with a state of the seasons in this country, which had made cattle and sheep scarce and dear, was the occa- sion of a renewed range of high prices. Through 1814 and 1815 large importations and an abun- dant home produce reduced the price consider- ably. But, in consequence of two years of short importation, viz. 1816 and 1817, the price rose again, and, in 1818, the extraordinary character of the summer, which I have already described, gave rise to a fresh speculation on the idea that the extreme drought, and want of fodder, would reduce the home produce of fat in a very great degree. The effect of this speculation was to run the price of Russia tallow up to 90s., which it reached in September of that year. The im- portation, however, being larger, and the effect of the season on the home supply being less than was expected, the price began to fall be- fore Mr. Peel's bill was at all the subject of 03 consideration. It is sufficient to look at the imports since that time, combined, as these have been, in the two last years, with an increase of the home produce, to be satisfied that the in- crease of consumption, great as it has been, must be wholly inadequate to keep pace with so very great an increase of the aggregate supply. Let any one compare the imports of the five years from 1808 to 1812, with those of the last five years, taking at the same time into con- sideration the difference of the home produce at the respective periods, and he will be at no loss to account for the whole difference of price. Tar is very extensively affected as an object of direct war demand, and is moreover, being an article of great bulk in proportion to its value, subject to vary on a very large scale, by the mere difference of freight. The whole of the bullion rise of price, during the last war, may be sufficiently accounted for by these two causes, allowing for the occasional fluctuations connected with speculation, or erroneous opi- nions of individuals in adjusting the supply to the demand. The rise in 1808 was not at all beyond the proportion of the advance of freight from Archangel and the Baltic, and though the freight from America was not increased in the same degree, yet as a very large proportion of the supply of tar came usually from Russia and 64 Sweden, any sudden increase in the cost of im- portation, which is synonymous in this sense with cost of production, from these sources, would, to a certain extent, govern the market price of the whole. But the advanced price operated as so great an encouragement to in- crease the supplies from America, that the total importations in 1810 and 1811 were sufficient to depress the price very considerably. At the close of 1812, the war with America had the effect of raising the price again, and it reached a great height in 1813. The rally in 1815 was a speculation upon the war which ter- minated with the battle of Waterloo. The trifling improvement in 1818 was in a great measure, if not wholly, attributable to a rise in freights which had occurred in that and the pre- ceding year; and again that rise of freights was clearly owing to the circumstance of our ports being open to the importation of foreign corn. Tobacco rose, in the first instance, with the in- creased charges of importation incidental to the war which began in 1793. The great specula- tion in Germany, between 1796 and 1799, which applied to all articles of colonial produce, raised the price of tobacco very considerably; but upon the recoil of that speculation, the price declined, and continued at a low range till 1808, when our disputes with America gave rise to a 65 fresh speculation and to a further recoil ; for in 1810, 1811, and part of 1812, prices were as low as they have been at any time of the suc- ceeding peace. The great rise in 1814, which was owing partly to our renewed intercourse with the continent, and partly to the failure of sup- plies from America, in consequence of the war with that country, has already been described. With the exception of these speculations, the difference of price during the war does not ap- pear, on the average, to have exceeded the dif- ference in the charges of importation at the several periods of war and peace. The varieties, however, of the quality of this article, even under the same denomination, as to the sort, are so great, and so much therefore depends upon the quality of what happens to be in the market, that any conclusion to be drawn, from a view of the quotations, must be subject to great allowance on that score. Tea is an article of which the price being under the regulation of a monopoly, and being coupled, moreover, with a tax, which has at dif- ferent periods varied from 12 to 100 per cent., throws little, if any, light upon the question of variations in the value of money. It is, how- ever, an object of general interest ; and as I found it among the articles prepared for my table, I would not reject it. I have only to ob- 66 serve incidentally of this article, that the greatly increased consumption of it during peace serves, with the increased consumption of most other exciseable articles, as one of the many argu- ments which strike me to be conclusive against the effect ascribed to a war expenditure of ex- tending general consumption. Tin seems to have risen considerably in 1791, and to have attained, in 1792, as great a height, within the merest trifle, as it reached during the eight years following. At the close of 1800 it advanced again and continued to rise, un- checked by the peace in 1802, till 1807, when the quotation reached 128s. 6c?. per cwt. That was the highest price till 1810, when, the market having been previously rendered bare, by an un- usually large export to India in the three pre- ceding years, a casual demand arose for ship- ments to France, under license, and the price was driven up by speculation to 174s., from whence, however, it rapidly declined till the close of 1812 to 131s. 6d., which, deducting the difference between paper and gold, was lower than it had been in 1792. Upon the peace of 1814 it again reached 174s. The demand, partly speculative, for export to the continent, having abated at the same time that the high price had induced an increased production, aided by im- proved powers of machinery, the price thence- 67 forward declined till the spring of 1819, when it seems to have reached its greatest depression. One of the chief causes of this depression is that the produce of tin from the island of Banca has not only been sufficient to supply part of the demand for the East Indies, which had before been principally supplied from hence, but even to afford an export to this country for the purpose of re-exportation to the continent of Europe. During the three years ending in 1820, the East India Company exported no tin at all to India or China, whereas, in the fifteen years preceding, it had shipped, on an average, be- tween five and six hundred tons per annum ; and in the three years ending in 1809, the ex- ports by the Company had averaged about 7^0 tons per annum. The mere cessation of this source of demand will go far towards account- ing for the depression since 1817, when it is considered that the whole annual produce of the mines is computed not much to exceed 3000 tons. The price, however, advanced consider- ably in the course of last year, and still more in the present ; for, by the price current of the 2d May, 1823, it is quoted at 123s. 6d., being higher considerably than it was during the first twelve years of the war, and higher, allowing for the difference between paper and gold, than it was during the period between 1808 and the con- clusion of the war. 68 Whalebone is now higher than it has ever been during the last forty years, with the ex- ception of 1792 and 1793. The variations in the price of this article are so evidently un- connected with the war and the Bank restric- tion, that I shall confine myself to observing, that the price is now about six times what it was in 1811 and part of 1812, and twice what it was at the passing of Mr. Peel's bill, without any allowance for the difference between paper and gold. Wheat is inserted in the Table, because it forms one of the most important among the articles of merchandize in the London market, and because it is desirable to preserve the quotations of prices, as founded on transactions in Mark-lane, both in respect of British and of Polish wheat. This latter description may be considered, with allowances for the superiority of its quality, to represent foreign wheat ge- nerally in this market; and I am not aware that there exists any former table of prices containing quotations of that description. The fluctuations exhibited by the prices of Mark- lane, for wheat generally, will, in several in- stances, point out the degree in which specula- tions on the weather prevailed at particular periods, and likewise show the variation in quality by the difference of quotation between the highest and lowest ; none of these par- 69 ticulars being shown in the yearly averages, to which most of the tables of the prices of wheat are confined. At the same time, none of my remarks relative to wheat, in the former divi- sions of this work, are founded on this table, as I have considered that the Eton tables, and the average returns inserted in the several parlia- mentary reports, are much higher authority and better calculated for the purposes of general reasoning. Wool, the supply of which, from abroad, till about the year 1806, came wholly from Spain, began to advance in the latter part of 1791, and reached, in 1792, a height which was not ex- ceeded during the first six years of the war with France, which broke out in the following year. The importation of 1793 was remarkably short, being little more than one-third of what it had been in the preceding year, and yet the price merely maintained itself without advancing. But, in 1794, it receded to what it had risen from three years before, although the charges of importation were increased by war freights and insurances. So much for the effects of war demand in raising prices. Between 1796 and 1799, the price advanced, the difficulty and expenses of importation being increased by the war which, in the former year, broke out between Spain and this country; but it 70 was not till 1799 that it reached the same elevation that it had attained in 1792. The utmost advance, however, after 1799, above the price of 1792, did not exceed 6d. per lb. for Leonesa till the general peace at the close of 1801, when it rose considerably, and con- tinued to advance through the whole of 1802. A new war with Spain was superadded to the war with France in 1804, and yet the price ad- vanced only 3d. above what it had been at in the year before. In 1807, the importation being large, and probably swelled by supplies from a new source, Germany, the price of the lower sorts gave way a little. But, in 1808, arose the speculation on the short actual im- portation, and on the apprehended failure of future supplies, which drove the price up in that and the following year nearly 300 per cent, and which I have already noticed in the first part of this work. In 1811 and 1812, the sup- plies were again scanty, and prices recovered a little from the depression of the preceding year, which, considering the great cost of the importation, was a ruinous one to the holders. At the close of 1812 began the decline, which, after a momentary rally in 1817 and 1818, fol- lowing the very short importation of 1816, has continued till the present time. To explain 71 the occasion of this decline requires only a reference to the quantities imported in the last five years, compared with the five years ending in 1812, or with any other period of five years during the war. Wood. — Under this head Logwood is inserted. It is not an article of great importance. The freight forms a considerable ingredient of the cost, and it is, of course, therefore, on an ave- rage, considerably higher in war than in peace. In other respects the observations which have been made relative to articles of colonial pro- duce, generally, will apply to this. The chief ingredient in the value of Fir Timber, after deducting the duty, is the ex- pense of conveyance. Upon the peace with America, in 1783, the price fell 50 per cent., and, after a little fluctuation, rose in 1791, upon the Russian armament, which raised freights in the Baltic, and occasioned apprehen- sions for the security of our intercourse with that quarter. There was no further advance during the two first years after the breaking out of the war with France. The rise in the autumn of 1795 was connected with an ad- vance of freight, which was occasioned, at that time, by an unusually extensive employment of shipping for the conveyance of naval stores, and for the importation of corn. It then de- 72 clined again, and, till 1799, was not higher than it had been in the American war. But, in 1799 and 1800, two causes combined to raise the price : viz. the advance in freights, which is always the consequence of large importations of corn ; and restrictive regulations by the Em- peror Paul against the exportation of timber, which were soon followed by a general embargo on the British shipping in the Russian ports. In 1806 the occupation of Prussia by the French was a fresh cause of advance, as it ren- dered one of the greatest sources of supply precarious. To this cause of advance was superadded another and still greater in 1808, by the hostility of Russia and Denmark, which excluded us from direct intercourse with the Baltic, and the freight alone of timber, in the course of that and the following year, rose, in some instances, to 10/. per load. After the close of 1808, however, the high price having checked the consumption, and the license system having removed some of the difficulties of importation, the price fell considerably; but the freight and expenses of conveyance continued high, till the close of 1812. It was about this time that a heavy additional duty was laid on the importa- tion of timber from the north of Europe, which operated as a great bounty on the shipment of timber from Canada. The importation from 73 our colonies in America thenceforward increased rapidly, more especially after the peace with the United States, which had the double effect of reducing the rate of freight, and of bringing the timber of the United States through our colonies, duty free, into this country. These large supplies from that quarter, and the re- duced cost of importation from the Baltic, suf- ficiently account for the subsequent fall. My observations on the fluctuations of fir timber have been confined to that from the Baltic. The American timber embraces a greater va- riety of qualities, and the variation in price may sometimes arise from the different qualities that happen to be at market. Having taken a rapid view of the most pro- minent instances of fluctuation in the price of each of the articles mentioned in the tables, it may be desirable, very briefly, to notice the periods in which any striking alteration of prices was extended nearly simultaneously to a large proportion of them. It is a common mistake to date the origin of speculation and high prices from the commence- ment of the war in 1793. If there had then been a general advance of prices, whence could have arisen the great distress and the extensive Y 74 failures which pervaded the commercial world ? The fact is, that there was a very general fall of prices, those of corn and meat excepted, (and there was consequently no agricultural distress) from the close of 1792, and the com- mencement of 1793, till the close of 1794. On looking over the Table of Prices, it will appear that there were very few commodities which were not lower at the close of 1792, and at different periods in 1793 and 1794, than they had been in 1791, and the commencement of 1792, and the real fall was still greater than the apparent one, because the cost of importa- tion was greater, by the difference of freights and insurance, after the commencement of the war. This fall was the effect of a recoil from extensive speculations, which were connected with a very great circulation of mercantile paper, extending to the principal commercial places in Europe, and in the United States of America. One of the chief causes of spe- culation seems to have been the prospect of deficiency of colonial produce, in consequence of the revolution in St. Domingo. Other grounds were afforded, by the unsettled aspect of politics; and some articles besides colonial produce happened likewise to be scarce. As usual in times of speculation, the circulation being enlarged by an extensive superstructure 75 of private paper, many articles for the rise of which there was no sufficient ground of actual or apprehended scarcity participated in the ad- vance. But the rise having been promoted and extended by an enlargement of the circulation of paper and credit without any corresponding enlargement or extension of the basis of the currency ; and the effect of a rise so much, therefore, beyond the immediate occasion being to check consumption, and to increase supply, the fall of prices and consequent destruction of the paper and credit which had been connected with them were inevitable. The lowest point of depression of the prices of such articles as had risen most in 1791 and 1792 seems to have been reached in 1794. In 1795 several circumstances combined to occasion a fresh range of high prices. The pre- vious stagnation and comparatively low prices had, by extending consumption, and checking supply, reduced the stocks of most commodities. Two successive bad seasons rendered every de- scription of agricultural produce in this country and in the rest of Europe scarce ; hence, not only corn and meat, but linseed, rapeseed, and the oils from these, which again affected Galli- poli and whale oil, rose considerably, as did tal- low, of which, moreover, there was a very short importation. Silk in Italy, and the vintages y 2 76 in France, were affected by the same cause. There was an extraordinary competition be- tween our government and that of France in the purchase of naval stores in the north of Eu- rope, which raised the prices of hemp, flax, and timber. The prospect of a war between this country and Spain, which broke out in the year following, affected several descriptions of Span- ish produce. And as barilla rose, alum and other alkalies were affected. Colonial produce, of which a scarcity, consequent on the failure of the supplies from St. Domingo, was now felt more generally throughout Europe, experienced a fresh rise. There was again, therefore, con- siderable speculation and enlargement of private paper, although, from the absence of so great a facility of credit as had been enjoyed in 1791, there was probably not so great an increase in the circulation. A fresh recoil of prices, from renewed abundance of most articles (colonial produce excepted), occasioned, at the close of 1796, a considerable reduction of private paper, and the effect of that reduction in a further fall of prices was increased by a contraction which at the same time took place in the issues of the Bank of England. Great commercial distress was the consequence, and a low range of prices through 1797 and 1798. In these two last years, however, while most other articles were in a de- 77 pressed state, colonial produce rose immode- rately in consequence of the great speculation in Germany, which I have already had occasion to notice, and which terminated so ruinously in the year following. Between the commencement of 1799 and 1801 a renewed range of high prices is observable. The great scarcity arising from the seasons, the unfavourableness of which again extended over a great part of Europe, affected not only pro- visions, but all the numerous and important articles which I have before alluded to. And while so many articles were influenced by the seasons, a large and important class of commo- dities was raised in price by the embargo of the emperor Paul in 1800-1, viz. hemp, flax, tallow, bristles, linseed, timber, iron. The extension of private paper naturally aris- ing out of circumstances so favourable to specu- lation, was checked in its progress by the re- action of the great continental speculation at the close of 1799, and by the failures in this country connected with the result of that dis- astrous speculation : those failures naturally creating a considerable degree of commercial distrust. At the close of 1801 there was a very general fall of prices by the coincidence of renewed abundance from a favourable season with the 78 return of peace (the preliminaries of which were signed in October of that year), which afforded the prospect of future supplies at a reduced cost of importation, and which at once with- drew the demand for such articles as were the immediate objects of government expenditure. But a large export, the consequence of an ef fective demand at low prices, for commodities rendered still cheaper to the foreign consumer by the diminished expenses of conveyance, had reduced the stocks of most articles so much that prices were rising at the close of 1802. Between 1803 and 1807 there was considerable fluctuation of particular articles according to the varying aspect of politics, and according to peculiarities of supply and demand affecting each. But as there was no season of extraor- dinary and general abundance or scarcity (the deficiency of corn in 1804 not having been so great as in some former and succeeding in- stances), there was no general rise or fall of prices ; at the same time it may be observed that, except in the case of such articles as were likely to be rendered scarce by the political events then in progress, the tendency was rather downwards. I have already noticed the great and general advance which took place in 1808, and the sub- sequent fluctuations accompanied by a great 19 creation and destruction of private paper, and shall not now recur to them, except for the purpose of referring the reader to the table of prices and quantities, in order that he may see the very great number of articles which partici- pated in the rise, that he may judge, upon an inspection of the quantities of some of the most important of them, how great a part of the rise was an inevitable consequence of so great a re- duction of supply as is observable in that year, combined as the actual scarcity was with ap- prehensions of the failure of future supply. The apprehension, which prevailed at intervals, that all future supply might be cut off, operated in favour of the holders as a temporary monopoly, and there was no assignable limit to the possible advance till that apprehension was removed. The fall of prices between 1809 and 1811 connected with augmented quantities is equally observable. Let the reader look again at the line of quantities in 1811, and he will be satisfied that there was a sufficient ground for a renewed rise of many articles. But, in this instance, the tendency to speculation was a good deal repressed by the experience of the disasters which had attended the recent speculations in the same articles. All the articles, however, which rose greatly from obstacles to importation 80 in 1811-12 fell thenceforward as the obstacles were removed or diminished, notwithstanding that the war continued and that the depreciation of paper was going on. From the close of 1812 to the summer of 1814 a distinct but numerous and important class of articles which had been most depressed between 1808 and 1812 experienced a great rise ; it was, as has already been stated, a rise founded on the speculation or anticipation of the opening of new markets of indefinite extent in the event of a peace. The amount of the exports of the two most important of those articles, viz. coffee and sugar, which may be seen by the table of exports, will give some idea of the extent of that speculation. The reaction from that speculation and the decline of prices, from renewed abundance in 1814 and 1815, has already been described. In consequence of the discouragement and despondency arising from so extensive and rapid a fall, there was a general disinclination in 1816 to embark to the accustomed extent in fresh importations. But this state of commercial despondency, which would of itself have led to diminished supplies in 1816, happened to coin- cide with a very unfavourable season, which oc- casioned a great deficiency of produce not only in this country but in many other parts of Europe. The inclemency of that season occa- sioned a failure of the vintage in France and of the silk crops in Italy, besides directly or indi- rectly affecting flax, tallow, hops, and numerous other articles. There occurred about the same time an unsuccessful whale fishery. Accord- ingly the scarcity was very general. There are, indeed, no instances, except those of 1808 and 1811, of a scarcity or falling off so great and so general, of imported commodities, as in 1816-17. The deficiency is quite striking, upon a reference to those years, in the table of imports ; and several minor articles, not in- cluded in that table, were equally deficient. The rise of prices, therefore, between the close of 1816 and 1818 was founded on a great de- ficiency of actual supply, and it was extended by the speculation which I have before described, and which, as usual, exaggerated the pro- bable demand, while it underrated the eventual supply. That speculation proceeded, in a great measure, on the idea that the prices which had recently prevailed were the result only of sales that had been forced by distress, and that the future level would be considerably higher. The operation of the Corn Bill, too, was in- terpreted to be in favour of a renewed level of high prices. The season of 1818 contributed, as 82 I have before stated, to extend the range of mis- calculation. Confidence, therefore, in the main- tenance of high prices led to the very large im- ports in 1818 ; and the payment to be made for those greatly increased imports, including corn, naturally improved the demand, and contributed to raise the price of exportable commodities. Accordingly there were few articles, whether of export or import, that did not participate in the advance at some period between the close of 1816 and that of 1818. The rate of freights, and consequently the value of shipping, were raised at the same time by the greatly increased demand for tonnage to convey the corn, and the many other bulky articles, which constituted the very large importations of 1818. It would be superfluous to take any further notice of the low range of prices between 1818 and the close of 1822, as this period has already been so much dwelt upon in the preceding pages of this work; and I have only to request the attention of the reader to the greatly in- creased importation, on the average of the last five years, of those articles which have expe- rienced the greatest depression. The general conclusions to be deduced from the detailed statements which I have given of the principal circumstances that have affected the bullion-prices of each of the articles enu- 83 merated in the tables, combined with a reference to the particular periods when a rise or fall, nearly simultaneous, of the majority of those articles, was observable, are — That the relatively high bullion-prices of articles divested of tax- ation, and not the object of immediate war ex- penditure, during the twenty years ending with the close of 1812, may be ascribed to the fol- lowing general causes : The frequent recurrence of seasons of an un- favourable character. The destruction of one great source of supply (St. Domingo); and prohibitions or obstructions of export from others. The increased cost of importation, by higher freights and insurance, incidental to a state of war generally, and aggravated, in an extra- ordinary degree, by the peculiar character of commercial hostility and exclusion which cha- racterized the last six years of the late war. And that the causes of the decline, which dates from 1813-14, and has continued, after an intermediate rise, in consequence of the ex- tensive scarcity of 181 6-17, till the close of 1822, may be classed under the following heads : A succession of more favourable seasons, which have developed the effects of an extended and improved cultivation in this country, and in many other parts of the commercial world. 84 The removal of obstacles from the several sources of foreign supply ; a great extension of some of them ; and the discovery of new ones. A reduced cost of importation, by the low freights and insurances incidental to a state of peace. Improvements in machinery, in chemistry, and mineralogy, tending to reduce the cost of production of numerous articles, or to provide cheaper substitutes. These causes, separately and collectively, account for so large a proportion of the phe- nomena of the high and low prices of the last thirty years, as to leave no ground for imputing to the alterations in our currency any effect beyond the difference between paper and gold ; or to war demand any influence except in the case of articles which are the immediate objects of government expenditure. Indeed, from re- ference, whether to particular facts, as of dates, prices, and quantities ; or to reasoning upon general principles, it is so clear that neither the alterations in our currency, beyond the dif- ference between paper and gold, nor the go- vernment expenditure, can have had the in- fluence, so commonly ascribed to them, on the aggregate of prices, divested of taxation, that if any considerable part of the variations of the level, in the respective periods, did not admit 85 of being accounted for by the circumstances which I have stated, both generally and in de- tail, there would be no alternative in my opinion but to infer an alteration in the quantity of the precious metals. But there will be no reason for resorting to that inference, if the causes which have been adduced in the course of the present examination be considered adequate to have produced the effects assigned to them. And, on the supposition of the sufficiency of those causes to account for the whole difference of prices, it would follow that, if even there were any ground of direct information on which to found a belief that the supplies from the mines had varied considerably, the legitimate conclusion would be, either that the variations of supply, however apparently large, were still in a very small proportion to the whole mass of the metals ; or that circumstances, affecting the rate of circulation of money, and the pro- portion of paper and credit in the commercial world, at the several periods, had compensated for the variation in quantity, and prevented any sensible influence on prices. THE END. LONDON: VRINTET) BY THOMAS DAVISON, WHITEFRIARS, APPENDIX TO PART IV. No. I. TABLE OF PRICES, EXCLUSIVE OF DUTY FROM 1782 TO 1822, BOTH YEARS INCLUDED. 2 ASHES. American, U. S. Pearl. 1 Pot. 1 Duty. Dan Pearl. zig. Duty. Carthagena. Barilla. 1 Duty. East India. Barilla. Duty 1782 cwt. s. s. None. cwt s. 64 65 s. 68 70 cwt. Free. cwt. s. s. 46 50 34 35 cwt. s. d. 2 M, cwt. S. S. 22 24 24 26 cwt. s. d. 5 1\ None. 1783 34 26 38 42 34 40 65 26 70 34 Do. 32 40 22 30 Do. 23 24 15 16 Do. None. 1784 30 35 22 32 35 40 27 35 26 42 36 46 Do. 23 26 34 36 2 2 T V 16 17 33 35 Do. None. 1785 32 25 35 32 34 18 38 32 Do. 30 32 18 24 Do. 35 20 23 Do. None. 1786 28 32 25 32 37 35 18 6 26 30 36 Do. 18 24 28 31 Do. 22 24 28 29 Do. None. 1787 34 25 28 37 33 35 21 24 33 30 Do. 28 31 24 28 26 32 2 3 29 30 31 32 5 3 None. 1788 28 26 36 34 32 38 22 27 32 36 Do. 26 28 24 26 28 34 Do. 31 32 19 20 Do. None. 1789 34 30 38 38 35 42 27 26 36 40 Do. 30 34 28 32 34 36 None. Do. 1 9 20 23 25 None. 21 22 Do. None. 1790 38 40 38 42 46 43 29 26 30 20 34 29 31 28 Do. None. 36 40 34 40 Do. 19 20 17 18 Do. None. 1791 38 32 40 34 20 31 25 28 32 29 Do. None. 2 3 15 16 18 19 5 3 None. 179S 34 '32 26 3£ 4C 35 29 26 30 32 38 35 Do. None. Do. 18 19 17 18 18 19 Do. None. ASHES. American, i 7.5. Danzig. Carthagena. East India. Pearl. 1 ] Pot. Duty. Pearl. Duty. Barilla. Duty. Barilla. Duty. cwt. cwt. cwt. cwt. Civt. cwt. Civt. s. s. s. s. S. S. S. d. S. s. s. d. 1793 27 25 30 33 31 34 25 28 24 28 35 36 30 33 Free. 28 30 22 26 2 3 16 21 15 20 22 16 5 3 None. B8 3? 1794 24 29 26 31 31 30 2; 24 30 32 29 32 Do. 26 28 None af- ter May. Do. 14 25 15 26 Do. None. 1795 28 50 32 54 30 53 50 32 60 56 Do. Uncer- tain. Do. 29 35 31 30 37 32 Do. None. 50 58 46 52 56 58 54 56 33 35 1796 44 58 48 57 Do. 2 4A None. 5 6A None. 50 70 26 52 31 32 1797 30 60 47 50 60 70 58 68 25 45 43 50 Do. 51 54 2 HJ 35 57 37 59 O J-iTTT None. 30 48 54 56 43 62 40 47 48 55 46 51 51 55 1798 54 39 61 55 51 45 63 56 1 4 3 944 41 44 45 47 7 3-j-jj- None. 1799 39 41 55 57 41 53 56 64 Do. 46 52 46 48 Do. 48 40 49 42 Do. None. 1800 41 45 39 57 57 45 49 37 59 42 Do. 37 47 36 41 Do. 36 27 30 37 29 31 Do. None. 1801 39 44 36 36 45 59 49 55 29 34 29 41 46 35 Do. 36 40 31 36 Do. 36 21 38 24 Do. None. 36 54 29 35 Free to 12 30 36 16 24 Free to 12 23 25 Free to 12 1802 24 43 17 29 May, then May, then 21 23 May, then None. 29 44 24 31 1 6 3 1144 26 27 7 7« / /-nr - _— — . — _________ _ ASHES. American, L Pearl. | Pot. r . S. Dan Duty. Pearl. zig. Duty. Cart ho Barilla. gena. Duty. East India. Barilla. Duty 1803 ctvt. s. s. 31 46 22 45 22 47 ctvt. s. s. 26 33 24 41 cwt. s. d. Do. to 5 July, then l H cwt. s. s. d. 23 28 22 26 30 31 cwt. s. d. Do. to 5 July, then 3 1I| cwt. S. S. 25 26 28 30 27 28 cwt. s. d. Do. to 5 July, then 8 74 Cwt. s. s. None. cwt. s. d 1804 23 49 39 49 25 41 34 54 Do. to 1 June,then 1 3 26 31 30 33 6 Do. to 1 Jun. then 4 4 27 28 30 31 Do. to 1 Jun. then 9 74 None. 1 1805 47 53 59 74 42 54 44 62 Do. to 5 Apr. then 1 34 38 40 50 56 Do. to 5 Apr. then 4 5 32 33 30 31 35 37 Do. to 5 Apr. then 10 4 None. 1806 64 79 69 84 49 77 44 54 39 61 Do. to 10 May, then 1 44 51 63 None. Do. to 10 May, then 4 8 26 28 32 33 Do. to 10 May, then 10 114 None. 1807 49 75 64 73 54 69 44 66 54 69 49 61 Do. None. 51 53 Do. 32 34 50 52 Do. None. 1808 59 74 71 81 57 81 57 69 77 89 59 79 Do. 51 53 59 61 53 55 Do. 59 64 75 80 40 48 Do. None. 1809 59 84 48 59 50 65 64 82 44 54 40 55 Do. to 5 July, then 4 8 60 61 40 55 54 59 49 54 Do. to 5 July, then 4 8 58 60 44 46 43 47 45 51 Do. to 5 July, then 11 4 None. 1810 45 61 50 65 35 49 35 50 45 73 30 47 Do. 59 64 None. Do. 45 49 49 52 35 39 Do. None. 1811 • 35 49 23 40 30 47 20 30 Do. None till Novemb. 24 29 Do. 35 39 19 24 Do. None. 1812 25 43 44 46 23 35 38 41 Do. to 1 Sep. then 9 4 25 29 None af- ter Feb. Do. to 1 Sep. then 9 4 21 24 29 31 23 25 Do. 19 23 19 21 11 5 ASHES. American, U. S. Danzig. Carthagena. East India. * Pearl. Po Duty. Pearl. Duty. Barilla. Duty. Barilla. Duty. cwt. cwt. cwt. cwt. cwt. cwt. cwt. cwt. cwt. s. s. s. s. S. d. S. S. s. d. S. s. s. d. S. s. s. d. 813 50 37 41 54 61 49 34 39 52 47 54 11 1 37 38 52 55 11 1 24 25 25 26 11 4 14 22 15 23 11 4 41 71 44 67 Russia Pearl 814 37 44 59 65 54 44 69 55 Do. 59 62 40 42 Do. 26 16 27 19 Do. 22 16 23 17 Do. None. 50 60 66 68 815 None. 71 11 57 60 55 35 75 65 74 78 Do. 52 58 47 52 51 59 Do. 17 25 21 26 Do. 19 11 20 12 Do. 73 /o 73 70 73 55 51 25 26 11 13 1816 52 59 78 80 Do. 40 42 Do. 17 21 Do. 14 15 Do. 63 44 46 53 55 19 22 12 14 1317 64 53 55 43 50 39 52 40 Do. 58 59 61 62 49 51 47 50 Do. 30 12 23 32 13 29 Do. 20 12 16 22 13 20 Do. 1818 57 46 52 59 47 46 43 47 Do. 47 48 38 40 Do. 20 23 21 24 Do. 18 16 19 20 Do. 1819 51 30 34 42 23 32 11 2 40 41 26 27 29 30 11 2 22 19 23 20 Do. 16 16 10 21 Do. 26 27 1820 33 28 34 31 28 34 22 33 31 Do. 26 27 26 26 27 Do. 19 17 20 17 6 Do. 10 Do. 1821 30 29 31 30 29 34 30 30 31 Do. 27 31 30 32 33 Do. 17 18 15 17 6 19 16 Do. 10 6 12 9 10 13 10 Do. 34 38 35 33 36 15 15 6 1822 33 40 43 36 Do. None. 39 Do. 16 14 17 15 Do. 6 10 Do. 35 37 176 186 N. B. After 5 Jan. 1823, the duty on Barilla only 55. 3c?. g ALUM. BRISTLES. COFFEE. English in lumps. No duty. St. Peters 1st Quality. burg. Duty. British Plantation, in bond or warehoused. Superior. 1 Inferior, j Duty. St. Dom\ for Expor tation. 1782 per ton. 1. 1. 20 21 CVOt. 1. s. 1. s. Not quoted. cvot. s. d. cvot. s. S. 76 81 105 116 75 86 cwt. s. s. 62 68 81 100 60 72 cwt. s. d. Ware- housing 3 6 and Home consump. 38 6 cwt. , s. S. None. 1783 20 21 22 23 Do. 72 83 57 66 63 72 63 70 48 56 54 62 None. 1784 214- 224 22 21 22 Do. 60 68 86 105 73 80 54 59 76 85 65 72 Do. None. 1785 22 224 19 20 4 15 5 4 2 4 7 1 44 per doz. lb. 73 79 71 76 68 72 66 70 Do. None. 1786 19 20 20 21 19 194 4 9 4 12 5 5 5 7 Do. 70 80 87 95 65 70 78 86 Do. i None. 1787 19 194 174 18 5 7 6 17 Do. 88 96 97 100 78 86 86 96 Do. None. 1788 17 174 144 15 6 14 7 17 Do. 92 102 95 105 86 90 90 94 Do. None. 1789 144 15 134 7 7 9 17 Do. 98 106 95 100 92 96 88 93 Do. None. 1790 134 124 13 13 134 8 17 9 17 8 7 8 12 Do. 92 98 70 76 86 90 56 66 Do. None. 1791 134 14 16 164 8 7 8 12 9 7 Do. 71 79 95 105 59 70 85 95 Do. None. 1792 16* 16 9 7 8 17 9 7 Do. 96 105 109 120 84 100 85 95 100 108 70 83 Do. None. ALUM. BRISTLES. COFFEE. English in lumps. No duty. St. Peters 1st Quality. burg. Duty. British j or Superior. Plantation tvarehous Inferior. , in bond id. Duty. St. Dom. for Expor- tation. 793 per ton. 1. 1. frf 164- ctvt. 1. S. 1. S. 9 7 10 2 8 7 s. d. 1 41 per doz. lb. ctvt. S. S. 90 107 96 115 94 105 ctvt. s. s. 73 88 83 95 78 93 Ctvt. s. d. Ware- housing 3 6 and Home consump. 38 6 ctvt. s. S. None. 794 164- 16| 8 7 6 14 8 7 Do. 96 116 77 95 92 112 85 95 66 76 74 90 None. 795 16 16| 25 26i 8 7 9 17 9 2 Do. 94 112 122 145 112 132 72 92 98 118 100 110 Do. None. 796 25 26i 9 2 9 12 1 544 per doz. lb. 118 135 113 126 103 116 100 112 Wareh. 3 8-j% and H. C 40 5A None. 797 25 261 9 12 7 2 7 7 1 54^ per doz. lb. 114 126 132 145 133 140 104 110 112 130 120 132 Wareh. 3 10 A and H. C. 42 4A None. 798 25 261 7 2 7 7 8 7 9 2 1 IMr do. 128 138 158 172 120 126 146 157 Do. and H. C. 45 8A None. 799 25 264; 22 23 7 2 9 5 Do. 156 170 185 196 116 130 146 155 170 184 98 115 Do. None. 800 22 23 9 7 11 7 Do. 116 130 130 165 118 150 126 150 98 115 115 128 95 115 110 125 Do. None. 801 22 23 11 7 14 7 9 2 9 7 Do. 131 150 130 160 88 110 115 130 105 128 60 86 Do. None. 802 22 23 8 17 9 Do. to May, then 2 0A 88 110 96 128 93 115 60 80 70 95 68 92 Do. None. ALUM. BRISTLES. COFFEE. English in lumps. St. Petersburg. British Plantation, in bond or "warehoused. St. Dom for Expor No duty. 1st Quality. Duty. Superior. Inferior. Duty. tation. per ton. Clvt. cwt. cwt. Cwt. cwt. 1. 1. 1. S. 1. s. s. d. S. s. s. s. d. s. S. Do. to 5 92 125 76 90 Wareh. 64 V cwt. H.C. 5-1 V lb. 1803 22 23 11 11 11 July, then In )ond. None. 2 3 142 156 120 140 11 11 11 Do. to 1 133 150 110 130 W a reh. 74- ¥ cwt. H.C. 6^ ¥• lb. 1804 22 23 11 11 Jun. then 156 170 140 155 None. 11 6 11 8 2 6 142 156 120 140 1805 22 23 11 6 11 7 11 8 11 15 Do. 5 Apr. then 2 9 144 165 140 165 185 170 125 140 140 163 115 136 Wareh. 7| ¥ cwt. H.C. 64 r lb. None. 11 7 10 18 11 8 11 10 Do. to 10 143 177 115 142 Wareh. 1806 22 23 May, then 152 110 195 145 125 150 80 100 Si W cwt. H.C. None. 2 11 122 150 100 120 7 fib. 10 13 Do. to 5 July, then 3 118 146 90 117 1807 22 23 10 10 3 132 160 95 130 Do. None. 13 14 8 112 130 70 108 13 7 14 106 130 68 105 90 1( 1808 22 23 26 26 5 Do. 95 120 60 94 Do. 80 224- 23| 116 130 90 115 90 11 1809 22 23 224- 234- 154- 164- 234- 244- 164- m Do. 110 105 113 130 128 138 85 109 75 102 76 110 Cus.&Ex. 655. Ad. 95 1] 90 1( 96 1( 1810 22 23 25 27 24 26 154- 124- 164- 13 Do. 114 120 100 90 136 146 120 105 70 112 75 115 68 94 60 85 Do. 96 I 106 11 85 ! 1811 24 26 13 184- 174- 204- 184 Do. 75 54 95 73 38 74 25 52 Do. 58 1 36 45 1812 24 26 22 24 174- 194- 1164- 184- 204- 174- Do. 54 71 80 96 20 50 30 70 Do. 45 70 J 1 ALUM. I BRISTLES. COFFEE. Eng lish in St. Petersburg. British Plantation, in bond St. Dom. lu nps. or warehoused. for Expor- No duty. 1st Quality. Duty. Superior. Inferior. 1 Duty. tation. pet ton. civt. civt. Clot. Ctvt. civt. I. 1. 1. s. 1. s 8. d. s. s. s. S. s. d. Cus.&Ex S. s. 1813 22 27 24 28 18 7 15 7 18 17 3 6} per doz. lb. 90 80 116 116 105 132 50 85 40 75 70 110 65 4 till July, then 72 4 70 82 66 96 78 92 80 110 31 32 19 17 14 7 16 17 118 142 80 114 116 126 1814 26" 28 28 32 Do. 96 105 118 125 60 96 66 103 Do. 85 90 100 108 26 28 96 115 60 95 86 94 1815 26 30 24 28 32 26 18 17 7 Do. 96 83 115 110 60 95 50 81 Do. 86 72 94 78 181G 24 22 26 24 18 7 12 17 Do. 84 77 83 110 104 107 48 83 56 72 50 82 Do. 70 62 74 78 66 77 1817 24 22 21 22 13 14 7 11 7 13 7 Do. 82 80 92 104 102 112 54 60 74 96 Do. 72 89 75 97 12 17 14 3 99 115 76 98 94 100 1818 21 22 Do. 160 180 122 153 Do. 162 170 146 163 112 145 143 148 148 166 110 148 Do. 143 148 14 3 111 102 128 78 100 tillJune, 93 97 .819 24 3 7 124 116 150 126 88 119 80 115 then Ex- cise only, 115 105 122 no 125 155 86 124 ]*.*Mb. 120 126 130 155 90 128 128 132 820 24 20 12 11 3 Do. 122 133 128 144 150 143 86 120 110 132 100 125 Do. 117 133 123 121 138 128 821 20 1G 10 16 111 Do. 125 131 112 138 148 132 105 124 108 130 73 110 Do. 118 98 121 102 12 8 11 8 10 2 4 121 3 1Z 2 4 117 145 70 116 98 102 16 120 140 104 118 104 110 822 14 16 Do. 113 136 90 112 Do. 97 102 15 116 144 92 115 105 112 112 138 80 110 94 100 10 COTTON WOOL West India, i Surinam and ncluding Berbice. Duty. Boxved Gee irgia. Duty. Pernambi ICO. Duty. 1782 lb. s. d. s. d. 18 3 2 3 6 lb. s. d. Free. lb. s. d. s. d. None. lb. s. d. Free. lb. s. d. s. d. None. lb. s. d. Free. 1783 19 3 11 1 10 Do. None. Do. None. Do. 1784 10 1 10 12 2 1 Do. None. Do. None. Do. 1785 12 1 10 17 2 4 12 1 10 19 2 3 Do. None. Do. Do. None. 1786 1 10 2 2 2 3 3 6 Do. None. Do. None. Do. 1787 2 3 6 17 2 8 2 2 10 19 2 6 Do. None. Do. None. Do. 1788 19 2 9 12 18 Do. None. Do. 2 12 7 16 19 Do. 1789 12 18 10 17 12 1 10 Do. None. Do. 16 18 14 16 17 1 10 Do. J 1790 1118^ 10 19 Do. None. Do. 17 18 18 1 10 17 18 Do. 1791 1119 19 2 6 Do. None. Do. 16 1 84- 2 5 2 7 Do. 1792 19 2 6 18 2 19 2 3 Do. None. Do. 2 5 2 6 1 10 2 2 12 3 Do. 11 COTTON WOOL. West India, i Surinam and ncluding Berbice. Duty. Bowed Gee )rgia. Duty. Pernamb uco. Duty. 1793 lb. s. d. s. d. 18 2 3 10 2 12 2 2 lb. s. d. Free. lb. s. d. s. d. 18 1 10 1114 13 16 lb. s. d. Free. lb. s. d. s. d. 2 1 2 3 1 9 2 1 11 2 1 lb. s. d. Free. 1794 12 2 2 11 1 10 13 1 11 Do. 12 16 1 1 3 13 16 Do. 1 11 2 1 16 18 19 1 11 Do. 1795 13 1 11 19 2 6 Do. 13 16 19 2 3 Do. 19 1 11 2 3 2 6 Do. 1796 19 2 6 17 2 4 Do. 18 2 5 10 2 3 Do. 2 3 2 6 1 10 2 1 Do. 1797 15 2 6 2 2 3 4 Do. 10 2 3 2 13 1 Do. 1 11 2 2 3 2 3 5 Do. 1798 2 13 4 2 6 3 4 8 9 per 1001b. 1 10 3 2 5 3 9 6 6 per 1001b. 3 2 3 4 3 13 5 12 6 per 1001b. 1799 2 6 3 2 3 4 4 7 16 2 6 Do. 2 5 3 9 3 6 5 15 2 8 Do. 2 11 3 2 4 2 4 8 2 5 2 8 Do. 1800 18 2 9 2 3 3 2 2 2 11 Do. 16 3 14 2 10 16 3 Do. 2 9 3 2 11 3 1 2 9 2 11 Do. 1801 2 13 19 2 8 Do. 16 3 2 15 2 11 Do. 2 9 2 11 2 8 3 Do. 1802 19 2 9 13 2 1 15 2 3 Do. 15 3 10 2 8 10 3 2 Do. 2 8 2 11 2 2 5 Do. 12 COTTON WOOL. 1803 West India, it Surinam and winding Derbice. Duty. Bowed Georgia. Duty. Pernambuco. Duty. lb. s. d. s. d. 14 2 2 12 2 3 lb. s. d. 16 8 per 1001b. lb. s. d. s. d. 1113 8 10 10 12 lb. s. d. 16 8 per 1001b. lb. s. d. s. d. 2 2 4 2 2 2 5 lb. s. d. 25 per 100 lb 1804 10 2 1 16 2 4 Do. 10 10 14 16 Do. 2 2 3 19 2 2 3 2 6 Do. 1805 16 2 4 15 2 16 10| 15 17 12 14 16 10| 2 3 2 6 1 11 2 25 3f per 100 lb 1806 15 2 2 12 1 10 13 1 11 Do. 11 13 10 11 12 13 Do. 1 11 2 18 19 1 11 2 Do. 1807 13 1 10 12 19 Do. 10 12 10 11 Do. 19 1 10 1 10 1 11 16 10£ per 100 lb 1808 12 19 2 5 2 9 Do. 9 10 2 2 6 Do. 19 1 11 2 9 2 10 Do. 1809 2 6 3 12 18 17 2 16 11 per 1001b. None. 10 10 14 16 16 11 2 10 2 11 18 1 10 2 2 3 16 11 per 100 lb 1810 1 10 2 3 15 19 Do. 15 17 10 11 Do. 2 12 3 19 1 10 Do. 1811 15 19 9 13 12 15 Do. 11 11 7 9 10 12 Do. 19 1 10 12 13 16 17 Do. 1812 12 16 11 14 10 16 Do. 11 11 10 12 Do. 15 18 16 17 Do. 13 COTTON WOOL. West Inch a. including Surinam and Berbice. Boived Geo rgia. Pernambuco. Duty. 1 Duty. Duty. lb. lb. lb lb. lb lb. ?. d. s. d. s. d. s. d. 5. d. s. d. s. d. s. d. s. d. 1813 1 1 8 16 11 1 4 1 7 16 11 1 11 9 16 11 > 2 6 per 1001b 2 2 2 per 100 lb 2 8 2 10 per 1001b 1814 2 2 1 3 2 6 2 10 2 2 2 8 10 3 6 Do. 2 2 1 2 2 4 10 4 2 2 2 2 4 6 6 Do. 2 2 2 10 2 7 3 2 2 5 9 Do. 1 9 2 4 Do. 1 7 1 11 Do. 2 2 2 4 Do. 1815 1 6 2 1 till July, 1 3 1 4 till Julv, 2 2 2 till Julv, 1 11 2 8 then 1 5 1 7 then 2 7 2 9 then 1 6 2 8 7 1 2 1 4 8 7 1 10 2 1 8 7 1 1 10 1 3 1 5 2 2 2 3 1816 4 1 Do. 1 1 7 5 1 1 8 7 Do. 2 1 4 10 2 1 5 11 Do. 1 6 1 11 1 7 1 9 1 9 1 11 1817 2 2 1 Do. 1 5 1 8 Do. 2 2 1 Do. 1 6 1 11 1 6 1 10 1 11 2 1 6 2 1 6 1 9 1 11 2 1818 1 8 2 2 Do. 1 7 1 10 Do. 2 2 2 Do. 1 3 1 11 1 4 1 6 I 91 y 2 1 11 1819 1 1 1 11 1 1 11 1 11 3 6 3 5 7 till July, then 6 3 1 1 4 11 1 1 1 7 3 2 Do. 1 1 9 ii 1 1 11 5 Do. 1820 (1 11 1 8 1 4 2 Do. I 8 1 2 11| 61. per cent, on value. 1 1 5 1 1 6 H 61. per cent, on value. 1821 (1 8| 1 n o 9 1 81 1 1 11| 1 Do. till March then free 8 7i H 9 10 H 10| 11 Do. 1 1 1 1 01 1 1 1 1 1 H — <2 1 Do. 1 o 1 1 u 1822 81 1 7 H hi Do. 9 7 101 81 Do. (J "2 10 111 1 ■* 2 11 i| Do. u 1782 1783 1784 COTTON WOOL. COCHINEAL. COPPER FLAX. Bengal and Surat. Duty. Spanish, g< irbled. Duty. British, In cakes or unmanufac. St. Peters 12 Head. burg. Duty. lb. s. d. s. d. None. s. d. s. 18 19 lb. d. s. 6 19 6 21 d. 6 6 lb. s. d. 2\ Cwt. S. S. 83 86 ton. 1. 1. 36 38 44 48 s. d. Free None. 19 21 13 6 21 6 23 6 15 3 6 Do. 83 86 46 50 40 43 Do. None. 13 12 13 12 6 15 13 6 15 14 6 6 Do. 83 86 80 83 40 41 45 47 Do. 1785 None. 12 13 14 14 6 Do. 83 78 82 46 48 36 40 Do. 1786 None. 13 12 14 14 6 13 16 6 Do. 82 38 42 45 47 Do. 1787 1788 1789 None. 14 13 17 6 16 15 19 6 6 Do. 82 80 72 76 80 41 46 38 40 44 46 Do. None. 16 18 14 18 21 16 6 6 3 80 44 45 30 39 42 43 Do. None. 14 12 13 16 14 15 6 Do. 80 76 80 84 43 44 48 49 Do.. 1790 8 10 12 15 13 6 15 18 6 15 6 6 6 Do. 84 45 47 47 48 44 45 Do. 1791 8 9^ 12 13 13 12 14 13 3 15 14 16 15 3 6 Do. 84 86 90 41 42 35 37 1 Do 1792 12 13 11 10 13 14 13 12 15 14 6 Do. 86 105 35 37 31 32 Do 15 COTTON WOOL. COCHINEAL. COPPER FLAX. Bengal and Surat. 1 Duty. Spanish, gi trbled. Duty. British, In cakes or unmanufac. St. Peters 12 Head. burg. Duty. 1793 lb. s. d. s. d. 13 14 11 11 10 11 s. d. Free. lb. s. d. s. d. 12 6 14 6 13 6 15 6 12 14 lb. s. d. 3 cwt. S. S. 105 110 112 114 ton. 1. 1. 31 32 36 39 uncertain. 33 35 s. d. Free 1794 10 11 9 Oil 10 11£ Do. 12 6 14 12 13 3 Do. None till August. 109 6 33 35 28 32 38 42 Do. 1795 11 11 15 1 10 Do. 12 6 14 18 19 15 6 16 Free. 109 6 38 42 54 56 Do. 1796 17 1 10 11 15 Do. 15 6 18 14 15 Do. 109 '6 120 52 55 54 57 Do. 1797 10 15 18 1 11 Do. 15 17 23 25 Do. 120 54 57 uncertain. 44 45 48 50 Do. 1798 18 1 11 2 2 2 41. per cent, on value. 28 30 52 54 26 29 10 120 51 53 49 50 52 54 21 per ton. 1799 2 2 2 4 2 4 2 5 11 12 Do. 29 30 45 46 18 21 Do. 120 140 52 54 62 64 uncertain. 66 69 Do. 1800 10 14 13 16 Do. 18 20 16 6 19 24 27 Do. 140 160 64 67 70 71 62 66 Do. 1801 15 16 12 15 Do. 24 27 15 19 Do. 160 73 74 78 79 57 58 64 66 Do. 1802 13 16 10 12 10 14 Do. 14 19 16 18 Do. 160 None for 4 months 130 140 130 65 66 63 64 76 78 Do. lb COTTON WOOL. COCHINEAL. COPPER FLAX. Be ;?oW flflc? Surat. ■ Spanisl , garbled. British, In cakes or St. Petersburg. Duty. Duty. unmanufac 12 Head. Duty. lb. lb. lb. cwt. ton. s d. s. d. S. d. s. d. s. d s. d. S. s. 1. 1. S. d. 10 1 2 16 8 15 6 18 (1 3 3 1803 9 9 1 2 1 per 100 1b. 23 22 26 25 C c 111 130 140 140 83 84 78 82 v o 8 per cwt. 1804 |j 8 10 10 1 3 Do. 22 18 26 25 20 29 ( 1 01 140 156 165 80 82 82 83 3f per cwt. 1805 1 1 2 1 3 1 5 16 101 per 1001b. 26 27 28 30 1 1 165 200 80 82 70 74 72 75 4 per cwt. 1806 1 2 10 11 ] 5 1 1 3 Do. 26 22 30 27 1 l a 1 x i 200 182 71i 72i 63 64 67 68 41 per cwt. 68 70 1807 |o 10 11 1 2 1 3 Do. 23 19 29 30 (i Do. 162 147 72 75 . 65 68 75 80 Do. 1808^ 9 5 1 1 1 9 Do. 20 24 31 29 Do. 147 200 75 80 140 142 Do. 1 5 1 9 16 11 25 391 30 36 n uncertain 140 142 4 1809 I 9 1 2 1 4 per 1001b. 26 34 30 32 36 37 2 till April. 160 uncertain. 105 107 98 100 per cwt. 1810 I ) 1 6 1 6 9 Do. 32 31 42 35 Do. 160 uncertain. 98 100 68 70 71 72 Do. 1811 7 4 6 9 7 8 Do. 31 29 35 31 o Do. 150 156 140 146 72 74 100 105 Do. 1812 6 8 8 10 Do. 30 29 32 31 Do. 140 146 130 135 103 105 95 100 103 108 Do. 17 COTTON WOOL. COCHINEAL. COPPER FLAX. Bengal and Surat* Spanish garbled. British, In cakes or St. Petersburg. Duty. Duty. unrnanufac 12 Head. Duty. lb. lb. lb. cwt. ton. s. d. S. d. s. d. s. d. s. d. s. d. S. s. I. 1. s. d. 313 9 10 10 1 1 11 3 6 16 11 per 100 lb. 32 48 35 51 2 41 130 135 100 102 75 78 96 100 83 90 4| per cwt. 314 1 1 1 10 1 1 1 6 5 Do. 47 34 52 38 Do. None till Dec. 140 83 90 63 68 68 72 Do. 1 2 1 6 120 130 315 II 10 7 10 1 1 5 11 2 Do. till July, then 8 7 32 37 30 35 40 36 Do. 130 140 120 130 70 72 76 78 68 70 Do. 316 I 11 1 1 3 5 Do. 30 23 28 34 28 33 Do. 120 130 uncert. from Aug.toNov. 85 68 70 43 45 50 52 Do. 317 10 8 10 1 1 1 3 1 4 Do. 28 27 34 30 Do. 105 133 52 54 69 70 Do. 318 10 91 6 1 1 4 3 1 Do. 27 28 25 30 32 29 Do. 133 123 No price 69 70 65 66 70 72 Do. 26 31 after Apr. 70 72 319 61 5 1 01 10 11 Do. 24 26 27 30 (1 2 6 No price. None. 55 59 50 51 60 61 49 50 5 per cwt. *20 6 5 6 51 °4 10 91 ^4 9f 7i 6/. per cent, on value. 26 24 30 27 Do. Do. 50 55 48 50 52 54 Do. 5 81 24 27 52 53 {21 51 8| Do. 19 23 Do. Do. 46 47 Do. 51 °4 8 20 22 50 52 ::22 [0 51 °4 43 ^4 8 6 Do. 19 18 23 21 Do. In June 105 95 50 52 44 45 49 50 Do. 18 HEMP. INDIGO. St. Pete Clean. rsburg. Duty. Spanish Cat •accas. Duty. E Superior. ast India. Inferior. Duty. 1782 ton. 1. 1. 31± 33 33^ 36 ton. s. d. 73 4 or 3 8 per cwt lb. s. d. s. d. 9 17 10 19 s. d. Free. lb. s. d. s. d. 6 6 8 9 10 6 lb. s. d. s. d. 4 5 6 6 6 6 s. d. o y per It 1783 34 37 24i 27i Do. 12 19 11 13 Do. 7 10 6 8 4 5 6 7 Do. 1784 2 H 2 H 29^ 32A Do. 12 14 7 10 6 7 2 3 Do. Do. 7 6 9 6 7 1785 22 24 21 23 Do. 7 12 6 10 Do. 7 8 5 6 6 3 4 6 3 19 3 6 Do. 1786 16 17 32 34 Do. 6 10 6 7 11 Do. 6 7 5 6 6 6 2 6 4 6 3 4 Do. 1787 31 34 28 30 33 39 Do. 7 9 11 7 6 7 9 No fine. Do. 7 8 9 9 6 6 7 6 4 6 6 3 5 2 9 4 6 Do. 1788 39 40 28 29 30 31 Do. 7 10 6 6 9 10 Do. 6 6 8 6 3 7 9 2 9 5 2 3 4 6 Free 17S9 28 29 30 31 26 27 Do. 6 10 5 6 9 6 Do. 7 6 8 8 10 5 6 6 J Do. i 1790 sk| 27 30 31 23 24 Do. 5 9 6 11 Do. 7 6 9 5 9 3 6 16 2 9 3 4 6 Do i Di 15f lOf Do. 171 15J Do. 1784 80 126 70 105 94,389 17 6 41 ft 3 4 10f 15^ Do. 14f 17-i- Do. 1785 80 118 96 120 76 108 112,684 5 2 3 5 5 61 12J 14| Do. 14f 15 Do. 1786 70 107 50 68 40 76 95,973 15 8 5 61 3 5 14 141 3 1H 4 4 Do. 14£ 14f Do. 1787 80 105 160 200 48,227 3 4 3 5 41 6 14f 15i Do. 15| 15f Do. 1788 189 240 220 340 120 160 145,168 3 5 3 7 15 13| Do. 15| 16 Do. 1789 110 155 150 170 115 130 104,562 7 4 3 7 4 7 13f 14| Do. 15| \6l Do. 1 1790 1791 95 120 60 80 106,541 9 4 3 7 51 71 J 2 '2 13 15 Do. 15 17 Do. 1 80 120 105 140 80 105 90,059 4 1 ^2 '2 5 71 14| 14| Do. 15| 154- Do. 1792 80 105 50 60 56 105 162,112 19 4 5 71 14| 15f 14| Do. 164- 171 Do. 23 HOPS. IRON. Kent Yea rlings, including Duty. Amount of Duty. Eng. in Pigs. No Duty. Russia i n Bars. Duty. Swedish in Bars. Duty. 793 cvot. s. s. 56 112 140 230 120 200 /. 5. d. 22,619 12 4 ton. 1. 1. 5 7i ton. 1. 1. 14 15 15| ton. 1. s. d. 2 16 2 ton. 1. 1. 16| 18J ton. 1. s. d. 2 16 2 1794 200 252 50 80 205,063 2 5 8 12f 15| 12 Do. 16 17 Do. 1795 70 105 90 120 82,348 19 3 5 8 13 15| 16 17 Do. 15| 16 16$ 18 Do. 1796 84. 105 56 75 75,223 16 5 5 8 161 171 211 221 3 1 9^ 171 191 21| 22f o i y-^TT 1797 94 130 130 175 100 112 157,438 12 3 5 8 20 21 21 20f 3 4 7A 21 214 22 23 20 214 3 4 7£r L798 90 115 164 180 56,032 1 6£ 5 8 201 21f 19| 201 3 15 5^ 22 23 21 22 3 15 5A 1799 210 215 300 378 73,279 15 3 5 8 20 21f Do. 22 23 Do. 1800 320 353 235 300 310 360 72,928 7 6 5 8 5| 9 17 21 211 231 Do. 214 23 224 24 Do. 1801 220 320 50 86 241,227 8 6 .H 9 22f 23^ 23| 264 18 22-J Do. 224 234 254 264 204 224 Do. 1802 76 110 210 252 130 180 Old, 15,463 10 6 51 9 181 224 15f 201 Do. 204 224 194 204 Do. 24 1803 HOPS. Kent Year/ings, including Duty. Amount of Old Duty cvot. s. s. 205 230 90 100 /. s. d. 199,205 1 11 Eng. in Pigs. No Duty. ton. I. I. 51 9 7 9 IRON. Russia in Bars. Duty. ton. I. I. 16 20 ton. I. s. d 4 4 4, Sivedish in Bars. Duty. ton. I. I. 20 22 ton. I. s. d. 4 4 44 1804 92 126 110 130 60 84 177,617 9 9 7 9 1805 74 105 120 147 95 116 1806 116 155 86 102 32,904 12 8 153,102 15 11 7 9 19J 184 4 17 1 7 ^9 19 194 5 1 204 21 20 21 4 17 1 154- 194 5 7 5| 19 21 194 20- 5 1 194 20,' 5 7 5| 1807 88 115 120 150 100,071 15 2 7 9 204 19 Do. 194 204 Do. 1808 1809 1810 112 140 60 80 251,089 15 7 75 115 84 135 63,952 60 110 90 147 76 125 95 140 1811 1812 115 192 130 160 100 147 estimated 70,000 7 9 144 194 Do. 194 20 174 1&4 Do. 7 9 1810 73,514 7 1811, estimated 140,000 7 9 120 160 140 230| 260 280 1811 157,085 19 5 1812, estimated 25,000 14* 191 5 9 4 14* 191 7 9 7 9 141 181 141 ISA 191 Do. 174- 18 154 174 5 9 4 154 174 Do. Do. 154 174 154 174 Do. Do. Do. 25 HOPS. IRON. Kent Yet xrlings, including Duty. Amount of Old Duty. En pr. in Pigs. No Duty. Russia in Bars. 1 Duty. Sivedish in Bars, Duty. 1813 out. s. s. 260 360 340 420 200 240 /. s. d. 1812 30,633 10 2 1813, estimated 130,000 ton. 1. 1. 7 9 ton. 1. 1. 161 19^ 12^ 16J ton. 1. s. d. 6 9 10 ton. I. 1. 15£ 171 161 171 ton. 1. s. d. 6 9 10 1814 140 200 160 189 140 175 1813 131,481 2 7 1814, estimated 137,000 7 9 12| 161 Do. 161 171 151 161 Do. 1815 160 215 180 280 168 250 1814 140,202 6 1 1815, estimated 110,000 7 9 12| 161 Do. 151 161 Do. 1816 120 180 280 360 1815 123,878 16 3 1816, estimated 40,000 7 9 1 91 1 71 131 161 121 ]§i Do. 151 161 Do. 1817 290 400 500 640 340 500 600 700 1816 46,302 15 9 1817, estimated 68,000 7 9 121 151 161 211 Do. 151 161 None. 151 161 Do. 1818 540 640 110 185 1817 66,522 2 6 1818, estimated 200,000 7 9 7\ 9 7 7\ 8 9 161 211 151 211 18 21 20 22 Do. 151 161 181 191 16 17 18 181 Do. 1819 112 180 76 100 1818 199,465 13 6 1819, estimated 200,000 8i 91 8 9 20 24 17 21 6 10 18 19 161 171 6 10 1820 76 100 70 95 80 112 70 100 1819 242,076 2 2 1820, estimated 120,000 * 8| 9 71 8f 17 21 161 20J 141 191 Do. 161 l7 i 16 17 Do. 1821 70 110 63 90 63 105 1820 138,330 1821 154,609 10 8 6 7\ 6 7 15 20 141 161 Do. 16 17 151 16 Do. 1822 63 112 80 112 60 90 60 105 1822 203,724 1 1 9 6 H 6 7 141 16 161 181 Do. 151 161 14 15 Do. 26 LEAD. MADDERS. OILS. English in Pigs free on board. Dm Gamene ch to Crop. Duty. Gall ipoli. Duty. Eng No Linseed 'lish. Duty. Rape. Greenl. uithout Casks. Duty. 1782 Fodder of 19^ cut. 18/. 19 cwt. s. d. 30 70 35 100 cut. s. d. 9 per tan 236 gall. 361. 371 45 48 per tun 252 gall. 71. 95. 5d. 236 gal I. 1. 35 36 41 42 236 gal I. 1. 24 26 28 29 252 gal I. 1. 25 26 28 29 252 gal s. d. 12 2 1783 201 17* 35 90 Do. 45 46 41 42 Do. 42 43 46 47 26 29 36 37 21 22 28 29 Do. 1784 16 I7i 18 181 30 75 40 90 Do. 39 40 51 53 Do. 42 43 34 36 38 39 None. 29 34 29 30 19 20 Do. 1785 40 80 41 85 Do. 50 51 40 41 Do. 39 40 29 30 38 42 36 37 26 27 20 21 Do. 1786 17| 181 40 85 70 105 Do. 40 41 47 48 Do. 30 35 S6± 32 39 21 22 17 20 Do. 1787 184 224- 31 100 66 121 30 120 After May free. 34 42 Do. 36 40 35 36 26 16 20 Do. 1788 224- 24 091 40 120 22 110 Do. 35 36 39 40 Do. 34 35 36 38 33 34 24 25 23 24 17 18 15 17 Do. 1789 224- 201 20 110 25 120 Do. 42 44 38 39 Do. 33 35 27 28 24 25 29 30 24 25 16 17 18 19 Do. 1790 m 184 25 120 30 90 Do. 36 39 40 43 Do. 30 31 27 28 34 36 27 28 17 18 21 23 Do. 1791 18| 204 30 90 35 90 Do. 38 40 36 37 Do. 28 30 26 27 28 29 33 34 30 31 17 19 23 24 Do. 1792 1 204 35 95 Do. 36 37 41 45 Do. 27 274- 28 29 31 32 39 40 23 24 25 26 Do. 1 27 LEAD . MADDERS. OILS. English in Dutch Englis) No Duti t. \Greenl. without Pigs free or Gamene to Crop Gallipoli. Casks. board. Duty. Duty. Linseed Rape. Duty. 1 Fodder of civt. cwt. pe> tun per tun 236 gat 236 ga 1 252 gat '252 gal 19^ clot. s. s. s. d. 236 gall. 252 gall I. /. I. I. I. /. s. d. After 42/. 46/ 29 27 30 28 39 40 26 27 1793 20#. 35 90 May 56 58 71. 9s. 5d 44 46 20 21 12 2 free. 53 54 34 35 23 24 1794 20| 18 30 25 35 90 80 105 Do. 56 50 60 53 Do. 29 38 30 40 35 42 38 36 44 40 23 25 24 26 Do. 1795 in 21 40 26 106 100 Do. 47 65 48 66 Do. 40 50 44 42 52 46 38 58 40 60 25 36 27 37 Do. 1796 214- 204 40 30 100 95 Do. 65 46 67 48 7 7 944 46 51 47 52 60 32 36 62 33 38 36 29 35 38 30 36 12 94V 1797 194 30 16 95 90 Do. 51 65 52 70 Do. 50 35 52 37 38 30 34 40 31 35 36 28 31 38 29 32 13 444 194 19 16 90 65 68 35 34 36 35 34 35 30 31 1798 12 85 2 3 70 71 9 4 1144 29 30 27 2S 30 244 15 93 60 63 34 35 30 31 1799 204- 21 15 50 20 95 110 100 Do. 66 75 64 68 77 65 Do. 33 48 34 51 33 63 34 64 26 28 27 29 Do. 1800 224- 25 28 23 108 113 Do. 65 59 66 62 Do. 52 48 51 53 49 52 53 57 64 59 25 40 26 41 Do. 1801 25 28 23 43 23 108 116 110 Do. 59 61 60 63 Do. 52 46 54 54 47 55 57 46 59 47 42 49 45 46 50 46 Do. 28 33^ 23 118 61 63 54 47 55 48 46 47 40 42 1802 20 105 Do. 52 53 Do. 36 37 31 32 Do. 23 110 62 63 42 43 33 34 28 LEAD. MADDERS. OILS. - English in J igs free on Dutch 1 E nslish. \Greenl. without ] Gamene to Crop Gallipoli. No Duty. Casks. board. Duty. Duty. Linseed. Rap e. Duty. Fodder of cvot. cwt. per tun per tun 236 gall. ! 236 cral 252 gal'. 252 gat, 19^ cut. s. s. s. d. 236 gall. 252 gall. /. 1. /. I. /. 1. s. d. 1803 33^. 33 21 107 20 102 3 631. 66 53 641. 68 54 1. s. d. 10 16 6 47 64 55 48 65 56 41 50 45 42 51 46 32 38 34 40 13 9j 1804 33 22 102 17 76 3 4 51 70 52 73 12 74- 55 49 56 .50 44 61 47 62 36 34 37 35 13 It 1805 344- 40 39 41 17 96 13 87 3 5 70 68 74 74 70 75 12 5 5 48 44 50 46 61 65 51 62 67 52 34 38 31 35 40 32 13 4ji 1806 41 38 17 96 3 8 73 63 76 66 13 1 5^ 39 48 36 42 50 37 51 34 54 35 27 26 28 27 14 3- 1807 38 30 17 96 18 100 Do. 64 68 67 70 Do. 36 46 40 37 47 43 36 30 37 31 26 21 28 22 Do 46 86 69 84 68 70 85 21 22 1808 28 43 46 170 17 105 Do. Do. 46 94 47 95 32 56 33 57 28 25 30 26 Do 27 125 / i 36 37 1809 43 38 36 136 16 116 4 67 77 70 61 70 78 71 65 13 3 4 94 168 75 88 95 170 76 90 56 72 59 57 73 60 36 34 42 37 35 45 7 1810 35 38 33 36 126 26 111 Do. 64 58 66 59 Do. 88 51 90 52 59 61 57 60 64 58 38 43 40 39 44 41 Do 1811 33 34 274- 26 111 46 135 Do. 57 69 59 73 Do. 54 48 64 55 49 65 57 62 46 66 58 63 48 67 42 31 46 33 Do 1812 274- 30 29 46 13C 105 200 None. 105 235 Do. 75 87 69 77 88 97 Do. 60 54 61 55 66 79 76 68 80 78 34 42 35 35 43 36 Do 29 LEAD. MADDERS. OILS. English in Dutch English. ( jfreenl. without Pigs free on Gamene to Crop. Gallipoli. No Duty. Casks. board. Duty. I Duty. Linseed. 1 Rap e. Duty. Fodder of \ CUlt. cvot. per tun per tun 236 gal\ 236 gall. 252 gal 252 gal 1 9^ civt. s s . Hardly s. d. 236 gall. 252 gall. 1. s. d. I. 1. 1. /. I. 1. s. d. 291. any at 83/. 85/. 54 55 76 78 44 45 =513 29 31 market 4 9 95 97 15 12 84 SO 82 49 50 36 40 8 3| 29 30 bef. Dec 85 90 74 75 63 64 56 60 80 145 30 32 55 128 87 90 80 82 46 48 55 58 57 58 R14 33 34 60 138 Free. 58 60 Do. 32 36 33 34 Do. 28 30 63 103 65 68 43 44 42 43 42 43 815 28 25 40 115 50 124 30 105 Do. 69 70 76 78 Do. 46 53 44 48 34 50 36 32 33 44 45 34 35 Do. 816 25 18 19 30 105 36 100 30 120 5/. per cent.on value. 75 76 60 61 82 83 Do. 44 38 56 35 57 37 61 35 22 37 Do. 19 83 85 56 57 58 35 38 817 18 26 30 126 46 147 Do. 80 81 84 86 Do. 43 53 49 42 70 64 43 72 65 30 31 58 59 Do. 818 26 24 26 46 140 35 130 35 142 Do. 84 86 67 73 85 90 Do. 50 43 58 46 56 54 60 48 58 55 58 59 33 34 41 42 37 39 Do. 819 27 23 28 35 135 25 120 30 100 5 85 90 57 58 66 67 59 60 15 13 43 41 54 45 48 38 55 46 49 39 36 37 32 33 38 39 33 34 8 3 234 35 80 58 61 38 39 31 32 40 41 30 820 23 15 90 Do. 60 64 Do. 46 48 33 Do. 234 15 88 54 55 43 44 234 554 56 45 504 31 27 29 43 44 821 234 22i 15 90 15 85 Do. Do. 38 41 39 42 25 19 Do. 37 48 23 19 90 504- 31 28 30 29 42 43 22 19 28 26 822 224 20 77 Do. 39 Do. 29 30 Do. 23 15 SO 42 43 '- 2 SO PROVISIONS. RICE. Irish mess Beef. No Duty. Irish mess Pork. No Duty. Waterford. No Duty. Butter. Dutch. Duty. Care Una. Duty. Ben gal. Duty. 1782 tierce, s. s. 76 80 80 84 75 82 barrel. s. s. 55 56 54 55 57 58 cvot. s. s. 56 58 54 56 cvot. s. s. None. cvot. s. d. ctvt. s. s. 22 24 30 31 cu-t. s. d. 7 4 cvot. s. s. None. cvot. s. d. 1783 80 88 60 65 58 60 45 50 57 58 53 54 60 61 None. 32 23 30 33 25 32 Do. None. 1784 60 65 60 70 45 50 65 70 68 70 54 55 60 61 None. 26 20 27 21 Do. None. 1785 66 70 70 72 65 70 60 67 58 59 53 54 63 64 None. 19 13 16 20 15 17 Do. None. 1786 70 72 76 77 66 68 75 78 66 67 63 65 65 70 61 62 54 56 63 64 None. 16 20 18 17 21 19 Do. None. 1787 75 78 76 80 uncertain. 75 82 65 70 59 63 uncertain. 55 58 62 64 47 50 52 57 None. 2 6 17186 18 19 Do. None. 1788 75 82 uncertain. 70 75 56 58 58 60 uncertain. 40 50 52 55 47 50 51 53 None. Do. 18 14 19 15 Do. None. 1789 70 75 65 73 40 50 44 46 50 52 46 48 50 52 None. Do. 14 17 16 15 19 17 Do. None. 1790 65 75 76 80 50 52 45 50 55 60 51 55 66 70 None. Do. 17 14 18 15 Do. None. 1791 74 78 76 82 70 75 55 60 60 63 56 58 66 70 47 49 69 70 None. Do. 14 16 15 17 Do. None. 1792 70 75 63 70 75 90 58 60 68 70 69 70 44 47 64 66 None. Do. 1415 6 18 19 Do. None. 31 PROVISIONS. RICE. Irish mess Iris] mess Butter. Beef. Pork. Waterford. Carolina. Bengal. No Duty. No] Duty. No Duty. Dutch. Duty. Duty. Duty. tierce. barrel. civt. civt. civt. cwt. civt. civt. Civt. s. s. s. s. s. s. s. s. s. d. s. s. s. d. s. s. s. d. L793 75 100 90 105 67 70 70 72 62 70 68 65 75 70 None. 2 6 18 15 19 16 7 4 None. 1794 105 92 115 100 74 63 75 66 68 70 72 76 68 60 76 78 Do. 17 22 18 23 Do. None. 795 92 95 90 100 110 110 63 75 66 84 72 80 74 76 81 76 58 75 Do. 41 43 36 45 37 7 4 till Jul. then Free. None. 796 95 110 110 125 80 95 84 82 105 105 74 78 76 80 58 73 75 86 2 7| 38 20 42 21 Do. 20 25 10 15 Free. 797 110 130 125 140 84 90 90 105 115 95 76 85 70 77 88 73 78 66 88 77 2 9 20 16 23 18 21 17 24 19 Do. 10 15 9 11 11 13 Do. 798 130 140 140 147 90 95 73 60 74 63 67 36 78 54 2 9 and 3/. 17 15 18 16 6 10 12 Do. 110 130 65 71 78 80 62 78 percent on val. 18 19 16 18 799 105 110 126 130 50 85 70 95 78 93 82 95 60 96 75 105 Do. 16 38 17 40 Do. 13 16 11 14 36 38 Do. 110 130 85 95 100 105 100 108 38 41 22 54 39 45 26 56 36 38 800 110 120 95 105 85 90 70 98 Do. Free. 43 45 6 130 135 140 145 120 125 120 128 uncert. 801 140 60 150 120 150 50 170 120 115 70 117 75 112 50 80 116 83 92 Do. 54 21 34 56 24 36 Do. uncert. 25 32 Do. 802 65 150 120 160 50 100 120 115 79 65 88 80 70 92 80 74 110 98 86 118 Do. 33 40 29 30 36 42 31 33 Do. till Jul. then 8 9 20 30 10 20 11 26 Free. 8 8 9 603 140 152 150 160 100 105 90 105 115 100 85 114 94 115 104 75 103 108 95 117 3 6| 31 34 36 34 33 35 37 35 8 9 y 0-7TT 5 H 14 15 11 20 18 30 17 31 5 2 32 3 PROVISIONS. RICE. Iris? mess Irisl ,mess Blotter. )lina. Beef. Pork. Waterford. Care Bei gal. No Duty. No Duty. No Duty. Dutch. | Duty. Duty. Duty. tierce. barrel. cwt. cwt. cwt. ctvt. cwt. out. cwt. s. s. s. s. s. s. s. s. s. d. s. s. s. d. s. s. s. d. 1804 150 100 155 110 90 65 70 115 70 75 105 75 96 113 80 98 100 114 55 66 90 112 3 11| 33 20 32 40 35 21 35 50 5 U till Jul. then 4 8 17 10 13 23 27 lb 23 33 5 2 till Jul then 4 8 95 97 75 100 40 45 Do. 23 33 4 8 1805 127 1 |135 130 70 75 68 70 100 120 4 01 36 41 till Jul. 15 23 till Jul 140 95 100 96 100 80 85 30 34 then 21 2b then 90 92 100 110 40 45 5 \\\ 30 34 5 11 J 135 140 Qfl 95 78 80 75 78 10 45 Do. 5 11 J 1806 110 130 120 140 85 95 88 100 96 90 100 92 100 .118 80 83 100 110 4 31 27 27 32 35 till Jul. then 6 4 26 22 28 29 till Jul then 6 4 IftnJ 120 1807 130 126 140 95 90 100 93 90 95 108 110 None. 100 105 85 102 Do. 25 23 34 30 Do. 25 2b None. Do. 120 122 115 123 30 3b 100 118 30 36 Do. 1808 120 150 125 160 90 65 105 92 97 110 110 100 115 126 105 117 None. 106 112 100 105 Do. 37 45 35 45 52 45 till April, then None. 45 bO Free. 120 123 58 62 Free. 145 150 105 110 116 118 None. 56 60 45 55 1809147 153 110 11? 82 84 95 108 4 4 60 68 Do. 55 60 Do.j 140 145 110 115 114 104 lib 108 105 125 100 122 30 32 32 36 22 30 38 40 140 155 115 110 120 115 108 110 90 115 30 21 34 25 2b 34 1810142 145 90 95 80 124 Do. Do. 18 25 Do. 140 155 122 125 85 105 20 2b 160 165 NonetillJul. 1811 175 165 190 170 110 97 11a 105 130 115 120 132 118 126 None. Do. 23 36 27 40 Do. 22 30 25 34 Do. 1812 165 150 160 167 152 162 97 100 120 100 102 122 126 110 118 128 118 122 None till June. 130 134 106 110 Do. 40 70 66 80 42 77 68 82 Do. 30 46 35 55 3b 48 40 64 Do. 1813 None. 150 160 190 195 170 175 None. 120 122 185 187 165 175 117 84 125 115 121 90 127 120 104 110 70 72 , 5 5 90 105 ) N. after July 80 48 46 84 52 52 Do. 16 4 20 01 56 30 40 70 42 54 Do. ; 33 PROVISIONS. RICE. Irish mesi Irish mess Beef. Pork. Waterford. Butter Carolina. Bengal. No Duty. No Duty. No] Duty. Dutch. Duty. Duty. Duty. tierce. barrel. ctvt. cwt. cwt. cwt. cwt. cwt. cwt. s. s. s. s. s. S. s. s. s. d. s. s. S. d. s. s. s. d. 1814 178 160 165 165 125 125 130 122 138 122 137 124 140 125 138 None till March. 125 130 90 95 138 140 5 5 36 25 j56 40 26 60 20 01 Free. 20 0^ 25 20 50 40 Free. 100 136 138 133 135 140 90 111 116 140 143 45 48 20 15 40 20 815 165 170 100 120 121 94 105 Do. 20 25 Do. 7 6 140 70 None. 120 124 25 26 100 113 120 103 110 | 98 114 100 108 Do. | 25 20 46 26 25 58 15 15 20 28 25 23 816 110 115 85 90 65 70 70 75 62 94 80 68 96 85 77 80 70 74 80 86 till Ap. then 20 Do. Do. 817 100 105 120 125 105 108 80 105 90 102 6 80 93 66 115 82 94 70 116 80 90 None. 70 74 None. 100 105 Do. 42 40 34 51 51 46 36 52 Do. till Ap. then Free. 28 28 24 35 30 28 Do. till Ap. then Free. 818 105 110 6 100 100 112 105 115 116 130 134 None. 126 127 117 118 100 102 110 120 96 100 115 118 Do. 45 42 53 42 48 44 54 47 Do. 20 16 20 28 25 30 Do. 102 6 102 108 112 115 118 43 45 20 01 17 28 Do. 819 125 92 74 78 74 80 Do. 30 33 till Ap 11 16 till Ap. 115 100 98 100 98 100 36 38 then 13 17 then 125 90 74 75 90 92 18 24 15 9 10 5 820 125 115 120 130 135 120 90 95 60 67 6 65 72 6 76 90 78 82 78 93 82 84 90 92 None. 82 86 74 75 86 88 Do. 18 26 21 24 27 22 Do. 9 10 8 10 12 12 Do. 321 120 125 115 117 67 72 6 57 6 86 95 68 88 88 97 72 90 80 85 40 42 76 82 Do. 21 19 15 18 20 19 20 Do. 9 8 10 10 13 10 12 11 Do. 55 57 6 54 84 92 72 74 18 20 8 11 522 1101126 80 60 70 70 76 84 88 40 46 Do. 14 18 18 20 Do. 7 8 11 13 Do. 68 75 70 74 19 21 8 12 34 SALTPETRE. SEEDS. East India rough. 1 Duty. Foreign R ed Clover. Duty. Baltic j for sc Linseed voing. Duty. Foreign for sou Rape ting. Duty. 1782 ctvt. s. s. 87 72 67 ctvf. s. d. 7 8A civt. s. s. 25 42 57 87 ctvt. s. d. 2 9 quarter, s. s. 30 42 50 60 cwt. s. d. 2 2 last, 10 qr. 1. 1. 16 17 23 24 qr. s. d. Free. 1783 67 64 Do. 81 37 117 47 Do. 46 58 32 40 Do. 20 24 28 29 Do. 1784 62 64 50 52 Do. 18 33 43 70 Do. 36 45 44 50 Do. 28 29 32 33 Do. 1785 55 53 55 Do. 44 19 47 73 45 S3 Do. 40 44 36 38 Do. 30 32 26 29 Do. 1786 56 49 Do. 41 20 45 82 66 102 Do. barrel, cont. about 1 qr. 36 38 40 42 Do. 28 29 29 30 Do. 1787 48 39 7 9 65 40 65 107 44 84 Do. 40 45 55 56 32 38 Free. 21 22 14 15 13 18 13 3 1788 39 40 33 34 Do. 62 12 22 81 66 55 Do. 35 40 45 48 30 38 Do. 13 18 14 10 12 Do. 1789 34 35 40 32 33 Do. 31 25 37 57 49 67 Do. 32 38 26 32 Do. 10 11 21 22 J 8 20 Do. 1790 31 33 uncertain 46 50 42 45 Do. 27 17 72 39 Do. 34 40 29 35 Do. 20 22 11 13 14 17 Do. 1791 42 44 38 40 Do. 38 27 41 42 Do. 38 40 25 28 Do. 16 18 14 16 17 18 Do. 1792 i 40 63 Do. 18 27 40 62 Do. 30 35 Do. 15 18 23 25 Do. 35 SALTPETRE. SEEDS. East Ind ia rough. Duty. Foreign Red Clover. Duty. Bailie Linseed for sotoing. Duty. Foreign for sou Rape ing. Duty. 1793 civt. s. 64 97 None. 38 40 cixt. s. d. 7 9 ctvt. s. s. 22 65 18 45 28 72 ctvt. s. d. 2 9 barrel, s. s. 35 40 38 42 civt. s. d. Free. last, 10 qr I. 1. 23 25 27 28 20 21 25 26 qr. s. d. 13 3 1794 52 None till Dec. 125 132 Do. 23 63 35 95 Do. 35 40 43 45 Do. 23 24 26 28 24 25 Do. 1795 135 170 155 Free. 66 92 32 60 42 86 Do. 48 52 58 60 40 45 50 56 Do. 26 28 43 44 Do. 1796 155 45 96 56 Do. 45 95 50 135 27 57 Do. 60 63 42 46 Do. 42 45 19 20 13 1044 1797 56 59 uncertain 65 68 58 60 3 after- wards 1 \\\ 30 60 42 67 15 40 30 80 3 oa 40 46 35 40 Do. 16 19 12 13 16 18 14 644 1798 60 61 140 145 Do. 30 82 15 32 18 55 35 38 38 42 30 35 33 37 Do. 16 20 11 13 16 18 15 84£ 1799 140 143 95 96 Do. 18 50 40 120 Do. 30 36 65 70 Do. 21 28 53 57 33 47 Do. 1800 95 96 60 61 Do. 30 126 40 85 46 140 Do. 63 68 68 72 50 66 Do. 33 47 43 50 20 38 Do. 1801 60 61 69 70 52 54 Do. 33 108 40 85 30 60 Do. 65 75 50 56 60 70 1 4 per qr. 20 38 20 28 20 1802 51 52 42 45 Do. 37 87 30 65 50 120 25 83 Do. 60 70 40 53 58 72 48 62 Do. till June then 2 3 20 28 18 22 20 27 Do. tillJun. then 16 36 SALTPETRE. SEEDS. East I nil a rough. Duty. Foreign R ed Clover. Duty. Baltic i for so 'Jnseed wing. Duty. Foreign for sow Rape j ing. Duty. 1803 cwt. s. s. 35 38 61 62 47 48 cwt. s. d. 11 6 then 3 cvct. a. s. 25 85 40 105 70 85 cwt. s. d. 6 51 barrel, s. s. 53 68 48 61 cwt. s. d. 2 3 last, 1 qr. 1. L 22 28 32 42 29 32 s. d. 16 1804 47 48 58 60 Do. 30 78 25 60 50 98 Do. till July then 7 21 48 63 50 60 58 65 2 6 30 34 29 33 25 28 33 35 Do. till Jul. then 20 1805 58 59 85 95 78 80 Do. 40 90 25 60 30 70 40 83 Do. till June then 7 3 57 67 45 53 Do. till June then 2 7\ 35 40 40 46 27 31 Do. till Jun then °0 4 l t 1806 63 68 52 53 Do. 43 88 20 65 53 80 7 9f 48 55 56 62 2 9 25 29 15 20 21 n 1807 51 52 56 57 48 49 Do. 28 75 18 60 Do. 58 64 43 50 57 65 Do. 24 29 21 23 Do. 1808 48 49 75 78 Do. 22 67 37 100 Do. 59 67 107 113 Do. 17 21 34 44 Do. 1809 74 75 81 82 4 40 102 60 130 20 75 50 125 Do. till July then 8 127 150 80 87 80 92 2 8 40 44 42 48 33 38 22 1810 80 82 76 80 Do. 50 130 65 140 40 92 Do. 86 102 52 64 60 73 Do. 30 36 32 44 28 33 Do. 1811 76 80 69 71 72 76 Do. 60 105 50 90 60 100 Do, 67 77 50 63 85 110 Do. 28 33 20 30 uncertain 60 74 None. Do. 1812 ! 70 72 64 68 75 78 68 70 Do. 60 105 60 116 50 80 70 120 Do. 85 107 80 90 86 Do. 48 60 Do. 37 SALTPETRE. j SEEDS. East India rough. Foreign Red Clover. Baltic Linseed for soxving. Foreign Rape for solving. Duty. Duty. I Duty. Duty cut. CXvt. CWt. cwt. barrel. cvot. last, 10 qr qr. s. s. s. d. s. s. S. d. s. s. s. d. I. /. S. d. 1813 70 77 74 80 41 80 70 70 115 80 84 8 till Aug. then 12 75 82 81 85 83 107 2 8 till Aug. then 3 2 47 27 25 52 34 30 22 till Aug then 26 11 85 90 58 44 70 73 58 80 1814 75 100 88 78 105 95 Do. Do. 83 100 36 60 Do. 22 16 29 20 Do. 90 05 1815 69 102 80 70 105 85 Do. 54 28 70 43 Do. 38 60 37 48 40 60 Do. 16 10 24 15 Do. 1816 71 41 75 42 Do. 28 23 66 40 36 100 11 101 38 55 33 47 72 93 Do. 10 36 15 46 20 40 42 55 55 50 63 102 115 78 88 70 88 36 46 1817 37 38 Do. Do. 40 55 Do. 25 30 Do. 42 44 52 62 40 46 1818 43 38 44 40 Do. 58 50 88 62 Do. 50 60 57 73 Do. 34 38 20 40 42 28 Do. till Dec then 26 11 60 100 57 63 32 28 42 34 66 98 Do. 53 61 43 53 47 62 28 34 Do. 1819 38 31 40 35 Do. 33 58 None. till July then 3 4 23 22 28 32 till Jul. then 40 60 20 20 24 20 1820 32 30 36 31 Do. 40 30 64 48 Do. 43 59 37 48 Do. 22 29 25 26 35 29 Do. 1821 27 21 29 22 Do. 35 30 35 48 50 75 Do. 35 46 27 35 31 38 Do. 24 13 28 20 Do. 21 22 35 25 25 76 63 32 31 40 13 20 L822 29 21 32 22 Do. Do. 34 44 23 30 Do. 15 9 24 12 Do. - 25 27 31 37 10 15 1 38 SILKS. Thrown. Ban . Rati . Bengal, Piedmont. Duty. Reggio. Duty. Chin a. Duty. Organ se. Skein. Duty. lb. lb. lb. lb. lb. lb. lb lb. s. s. s. d. s. s. s. d. s. s. s. d. s. s. s. d. 1782 25 29 31 32 O l-rTs 20 23 21 24 1 A\ 19 17 20 22 1 4-1 1 ^2 15 24 i d 25 27 33 32 22 17 22 15 24 1783 Do. 23 26 Do. 18 29 Do. 15 33 Do. 22 23 19 24 15 24 1784 27 26 25 34 35 31 Do. till Au. then 7 4 22 23 21 22 23 24 Do. till Au. then 4 4| 19 17 14 24 24 23 Do. till Aug then 4 41 15 15 15 12 24 23 25 26 Do. till Aug then 4 4^: 25 25 31 33 23 24 14 23 12 26 1785 Do. 20 26 Do. 20 29 Do. 16 29 Do. 20 21 17 26 14 27 25 23 31 30 21 22 26 28 13 25 1786 Do. 24 28 Do. 29 36 Do. 18 25 Do. 21 22 28 32 12 25 1787 24 37 32 30 48 46 Do. 22 23 27 28 3 29 26 33 35 3 13 17 24 34 3 1788 28 21 46 30 Do. 24 26 20 30 Do. 25 17 35 23 Do. 16 14 34 29 Do. 1789 21 24 30 31 Do. 21 24 Do. 15 24 Do. 15 25 Do. < 1790 24 25 31 33 Do. 21 22 23 24 Do. 15 14 15 24 26 20 Do. 15 16 25 24 Do. 1791 25 26 33 34 Do. 23 24 24 25 Do. 17 21 20 24 Do. 16 13 24 28 Do. 1792 28 25 34 32 Do. 24 25 25 26 Do. 21 20 24 21 Do. 14 18 28 32 Do M 39 SILKS. Th roi Piedmont. 1>M. Duty. Rai Reggio. Duty. fiaiv. China. Duty. Organsene. Bengal. Skein. Duty. 1793 lb. 5. S. 25 32 22 30 lb. s\ d. 7 4 lb. s. s. 26 26 6 21 22 lb. s. d. 3 lb. s. s. 18 21 15 16 lb. s. d. 3 lb. s. s. lb. s. s. 18 31 13 22 lb. s. d. 3 1794 23 31 21 29 Do. 21 23 19 22 23 24 Do< 16 19 Do. 14 22 9 30 Do. 1795 24 29 29 38 Do 23 24 23 25 Do. 16 19 17 20 Do. 9 31 6 30 Do. 1796 29 33 26 31 27 33 7 8-7V 23 26 23 27 3 tf£ 17 21 18 23 3 144 6 30 9 27 O 1-2-0" 1797 27 33 24 31 8 Q&r 23 26 25 27 *5 o-^ 17 18 21 22 a £ a o None. None. None. None. 1787 38 24 47 37 Do. None. None. None. None. 31 41 £ 1788 34 29 46 41 Do. None. None. None. None. 1789 31 35 43 47 Do. None. None. None. None. 1790 38 45 45 46 Do. None. None. None. None. Do. 1791 47 58 59 65 tillMay then 15 None. None. None. None. 1792 63 40 76 68 Do. None. None. None. None. 47 SUGARS. Muscavados. B. PL Gazette East India. Havannah. For Exportation. Jamaica. Duty. average. White. Brown. Duty. White. Brown. Clvt. cwt. ctvt. ctvt. ctvt. cxvt. S. s. s. d. s. s. S. s. /. s. d. 37 16 10 s. s. S. S. 1793 53 41 73 66 15 69 54 72 71 None. W cent, on sale None. None. price. 1794 40 32 67 58 Do. 52 60 80 78 None. 38 5 6 None. None. 1795 42 63 66 75 Do. 70 60 81 70 42 40 65 58 Do. None. None. O 00 o be cfl s > 09 +3 O N a O o 66 78 45 60 1796 61 65 75 78 Do. 60 68 70 80 40 43 55 62 Do. None. None. 1797 52 57 74 75 17 6 55 60 78 85 30 30 50 55 Do. None. None. 1798 59 57 62 77 75 83 19 4 53 65 76 96 30 35 50 60 Do. None. None. 1799 60 62 50 28 83 87 67 50 17 6 18 2 20 96 56 115 80 34 30 80 55 Do. None. None. 32 54 1800 38 34 54 59 54 70 20 50 62 70 84 32 40 45 60 Do. None. None. 59 75 20 1801 47 68 tillMay 67 84 32 53 Do. 74 90 60 70 35 62 then 60 74 20 42 50 60 35 45 32 54 21 10 1802 33 26 29 55 50 52 20 60 46 75 52 20 15 46 40 Do. 55 70 48 67 43 50 40 48 30 53 22s. per 1803 40 38 41 60 58 60 Do. 45 50 65 70 15 20 40 45 cwt. and 12f per cent. thereon. 59 69 70 85 42 56 45 68 48 ■ SUGARS. iV/uscrtuacfos. B.Pl. Gazette East India. Havannah, For Exportation. Jamaica. Duty. average. White. Brown. Duty. White. Brown. cwt. cwt. cwt. cwt. cwt. cwt. cwt. cwt. S. s. s. d. s. d. s. s. S. s. s. d. S. S. S. S. 1804 ! 46 52 62 66 62 64 20 tillMay then 26 6 50 58 65 75 30 42 46 56 29 1| 66 84 70 94 45 65 50 70 1 HI 52 55 72 43 50 60 88 44 55 j 58 n ^2 65 27 49 6 67 77 51 62 29 8 60 80 44 55 1805 40 62 55 Oi 62 72 41 55 70 90 55 65 47 10 1 41 1806 jg 65 61 64 Do. 49 45 6 62 50 72 65 41 28 55 45 31 66 87 55 70 47 57 34 44 29 58 36 6 None. None. 1807 29 24 26 28 58 52 58 53 Do. 37 30 32 10 9 6 56 35 50 70 50 70 30 20 25 55 33 45 Do. None till Jul. 50 64 40 46 None till Jul. 27 38 24 33 1 28 53 oc 53 Do. 31 8 48 56 24 45 Do. 36 46 30 35 180b 32 49 49 9 54 62 42 52 50 65 34 46 50 60 After 50 60 July a 51 2 50 54 38 48 50 58 56 62 33 45 45 50 1809 c c 48 scale 35 8 46 50 30 40 30 48 59 of duty 50 6 55 65 42 50 27to30 47 43 1810 if 58 53 52 52 27 49 6 55 60 45 50 55 66 46 49 29 53 11 61 66 50 60 Do. 60 75 50 55 HO 42 28 42 H 48 56 37 45 38 51 25 33 43 53 44 9 54 62 40 52 36 51 25 30 1811 31 49 27 34 11 44 56 31 43 Do. 30 46 22 25 42 58 44 5 53 60 40 51 42 56 26 32 1812 42 40 51 58 55 61 Do. 43 41 49 5 7 6 55 48 53 65 55 65 40 39 40 50 45 51 Do. 54 66 60 78 32 38 42 53 1813 57 56 70 67 68 76 30 51 63 54 75 2i 8 55 56 64 60 68 75 41 46 56 52 54 60 30 33 30 66 82 72 86 70 82 10512C 41 52 80 100 49 SUGARS ' Muscovados. B. PL East India. Havonnoh, Gazette For Exportation. Jamaica. 1 Duty. average. White. 1 Brown. Duty. White. Brown. civt. civt. civt. civt. civt. civt. Civt. cwt. S. S. s. d. s. d. 77 31 S. s. s. s. s. d. S. s. s. s. 1814 73 92 50 73 86 107 78 90 30 97 2 84 10 90 3 54 3 79 91 55 74 60 65 78 70 58 53 30 54 65 42 30 33 30 106 126 110 134 85 112 96 128 90 96 70 80 100 104 80 92 1815 70 50 58 52 85 72 76 70 Do. 75 5^ 56 81 63 21 57 01 60 55 75 57 30 28 48 40 37 94 120 74 90 84 95 80 60 58 92 70 70 1816 50 42 52 43 70 64 67 61 Do. 27 59 61 45 49 01 60 47 75 60 40 34 55 45 Do. 80 94 50 70 52 73 58 44 70 50 43 67 50 01 46 61 36 46 52 70 44 50 1817 40 45 61 67 Do. 43 91 54 li 49 11| 43 58 51 bo 66 60 30 48 37 42 56 52 Do. 58 73 54 70 46 45 54 51 54 9f 47 63 48 10 53 60 37 52 54 70 47 51 1818 52 66 Do. 52 9| 55 63 39 54 Do. 68 76 50 58 47 63 47 51 01 46 60 34 45 52 66 34 47 1819 45 33 30 60 57 55 30 28 27 50 91 38 6 42 5| 46 35 59 50 34 21 45 35 Do. 52 66 42 58 48 60 39 33 47 40 3o 81 1820 30 32 31 56 57 51 27 35 8\ 38 U 34 8jj 40 32 49 54 21 18 35 32 Do. 42 58 56 70 46 62 33 36 30 40 48 37 35 4 18 32 1821 33 24 26 53 48 50 Do. 36 2{ 28 9 32 7 32 30 54 40 15 18 11 29 32 30 Do. 50 58 35 42 28 22 36 28 26 53 31 10 34 3J ■32 4(1 11 30 35 42 21 27 1822 31 51 Do. 27 l{ 32 45 14 28 Do. 32 37 22 30 23 25 45 53 30 4% 29 4J 30 39 15 3C 40 48 23 28 50 SUGARS. SPIRITS. Refinec Free on board of a ] Loaves, i Lumps. I. 3ritish vessel. Crushed.] Bounty. Brandy Cogniac. Duty. Rum. Jamaica, proof. Duty. 1782 cwt. S. S. 76 86 63 70 cxvt. s. s. 70 75 55 65 ctvt. s. s. None. cwt. s. d. 26 gallon, s. d. s. d. 210 3 1 3 4 3 6 gal. s. d. Customs and Excise. 9 H gallon. s. d. s. d. 3 2 3 4 4 6 6 gal. s. d. Customs and Excise. 6 in 1783 65 78 42 60 53 68 40 58 None. Do. 3 6 3 9 210 3 1 9 6 3 9 4 1 2 210 Do. 1784 46 70 43 65 43 65 40 56 None. Do. 3 3 3 6 2 8 2 10 Do. 2 6 3 2 3 6 4 4 5 1785 1786 48 72 45 67 45 55 40 48 None. Do. 2 9 3 2 4 2 5 Do. 2 8 3 8 2 2 2 10 Do. 43 67 50 65 40 48 45 63 None. Do. 2 4 2 6 2 12 4 Do. 2 2 2 8 2 8 3 2 2 4 Do. 1787 52 68 45 64 47 55 43 50 None. Do. 2 4 2 7 2 6 3 2 2 2 4 5 2 2 2 8 3 3 4 4 1788 50 65 46 62 45 56 43 55 None. Do. 2 6 2 8 2 10 3 2 4 2 7 Do. 3 4 3 2 4 3 Do. 1789 46 67 48 72 42 50 50 57 None. Do. 2 4 2 9 3 5 5 4 5 7 Do. 2 6 3 2 2 4 3 Do. 1790 52 74 68 80 50 58 62 72 None. Do. 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 Do. 2 4 3 3 6 4 3 Do. 1791 67 80 90 105 63 73 82 98 None. Do. 6 6 7 6 7 8 6 5 10 4 410 2 9 3 9 4 4 5 4 8 1792 95 110 100 115 72 96 87 96 92 105 60 83 None. Do. 6 6 7 6 5 6 6 Do. 4 4 9 3 6 4 8 Do. 51 SUGARS. SPIRITS. Refined. Free on board of a British vessel. Brandy. Rum. Loaves. 1 Lumps. Crushed.! Bounty. Cogniac. Duty. Jamaica, proof. 1 Duty. cast. civt. Civt. civt. gallon. gal. gallon. gal. s. S. s. s. S. s. s. d. s. d. s. d . s. d. s. d. s. d . s. d. 1793 85 73 81 102 9C 9C 82 91 69 8£ None. 26 6 9 6 t 10 t 5 10 4 8 5 4 4 4 6 4 8 1794 80 66 94 86 72 88 57 76 None. Do. 4 5 C 7 9 C None. 6 8 4 4 8 2 6 3 2 3 3 9 5 4 6 8 5 4 1795 82 95 94 112 78 86 90 103 None. Do. 10 9 6 11 10 6 till Aug then 7 6 3 4 3 10 8 6 8 9 till Aug then 6 1796 97 105 112 122 92 104 98 112 None. 19 6 9 6 7 6 10 6 8 6 7 6 9 9 6 6 8 Do. 1797 92 94 112 114 81 100 84 102 None. 23 6 8 8 8 6 9 8 4 6 6 8 4 6 6 7 2 7 8 6 8 1798 91 120 110 138 87 103 107 128 None. Do. 8 10 9 11 Do. 7 2 8 4 6 5 Do. 1799 107 70 125 96 100 117 61 83 None. 19 6 9 5 10 7 Do. 4 3 5 6 3 4 4 5 Do. 1800 83 73 90 102 92 108 70 86 82 96 None. 30 6 7 7 8 9 2 3 9 4 6 6 9 8 3 7 4 88 104 82 96 7 8 6 9 8 3 1801 83 81 60 98 90 80 78 92 70 80 54 70 None. 33 6 8 7 9 9 2 7 6 10 4 3 4 9 Do. 64 84 56 70 4 2 5 6 1802 60 56 78 53 66 75 51 65 None. 36 8 7 9 8 9 5 5 6 6 9 3 6 5 7 6A 52 72j 46 61 52 SUGARS. SPIRITS. Free on Loaves. Refine c board of a I Lumps. I Iritish ves Crushed. sel. Bounty. Brandy. Rum. Cogniac. Duty. Jamaica, proof. Duty. 1803 cut. s. s. 58 74 72 82 cut. s. s. 53 65 69 79 cut. S. S. None. cut. s. d. 36 gallon, s. d. s. d. 8 6 9 9 10 6 7 gal. s. d. 9 5 13 101 gallon, s. d. s. d. 4 5 6 5 6 7 3 3 4 4 9 gal. s. d. 7 6A 11 1| 1804 64 75 74 88 60 70 67 79 None. 43 6 7 uncertain. 13 104 13 11| 3 4 5 2 9 3 9 5 6 6 11 li 11 2| 1805 74 90 78 93 66 82 69 84 None. Do. 5 6 6 6 4 5 13 11! 14 0A 5 6 6 3 3 4 3 Do. 1806 67 98 57 79 57 62 44 63 None. 47 8} 50 4 5 2 3 5 6 14 0A 14 1 3 4 4 6 3 6 4 6 11 2£. 11 31 1807 50 77 43 69 39 58 36 51 None. 53 4 5 5 5 6 14 1 16 7 3 4 4 6 3 4 3 Do. 1808 43 69 60 79 36 51 54 66 42 50 54 60 Do. 6 6 7 6 3 6 4 6 6 6 8 6 Do. 3 6 4 6 6 6 9 Do. 1809 60 73 57 75 69 89 60 73 51 70 63 79 59 63 51 60 63 66 59 63 53 47 8 50 4 6 6 7 6 3 3 6 6 6 7 6 16 7\ 5 6 6 6 3 9 5 6 4 9 6 9 11 4| 1810 71 90 85 104 57 72 65 74 78 88 48 61 70 72 80 81 52 59 45 48 4 49 6 5 6 7 6 10 6 116 Do. 4 6 6 4 9 6 9 Do. 1811 58 73 42 60 55 68 50 63 34 50 51 60 50 56 33 40 50 56 47 9 50 4 53 10 6 11 6 21 6 25 13 6 23 21 25 6 Do. 4 6 6 4 2 5 3 4 6 6 3 Do. 1812 57 68 52 64 63 78 53 63 44 58 62 72 60 65 44 50 70 77 53 50 4 21 6 27 15 16 20 7\ 4 6 6 4 3 5 3 5 6 6 6 Do. 53 SUGARS. SPIRITS. Free Refined. on board of a British vessel. Brandy. Ram. Loaves. Lumps. Crushed. Bounty. Cogniac. Duty. Jamaica , proof. | Duty. CU t. CU't. cut. Cliit. gallon. gal. gall r O«. gal. S. s. s. s. S. s. s. d. S. d. s. d. s. d. s. d. s. d. s. d. 73 95 70 76 72 81 5 6 7 6 6 1813 83 77 98 90 77 73 87 81 78 74 83 81 50 4 13 6 17 14 18 20 7! 22 7h 6 6 8 8 11 6f 118 135 115 130 116 126 128 150 123 135 123 130 35 50 1| 35 4 17 6 6 5 3 18 7 6 5 8 1814 142 93 168 120 136 78 154 95 138 82 148 95 Do. 6 4 6 8 6 Do. 125 145 115 131 116 122 1815 116 90 96 134 107 111 106 81 93 121 93 101 105 84 95 115 95 106 35 4 50 \\ 5 6 6 1 5 9 6 4 6 6 6 19 3| 4 6 3 6 6 4 4 Do. 82 103 79 94 79 87 81 101 78 94 78 63 84 72 50 11 46 If 5 6 6 3 3 4 6 181G 67 80 62 73 4 2 4 8 18 9 2 8 3 10 Do. 70 85 64 76 7 10 8 3 9 5 1817 68 63 76 65 85 82 92 83 63 60 70 62 75 73 84 76 63 72 61 70 80 70 46 If 7 6 8 14 1 7 6 6 10 14 3 Do. 3 6 2 8 3 6 4 6 4 5 6 Do. 68 85 1818 70 68 88 86 63 66 80 82 64 67 72 74 Do. 13 10 5 6 14 6 9 Do. 3 6 3 8 5 5 6 Do. 71 87 58 74 60 70 3 3 4 3 63 81 1819 63 47 53 50 81 71 76 70 57 46 42 74 64 50 60 43 70 66 Do. 4 6 4 4 3 4 6 6 6 8 5 6 18 10 3 3 2 6 4 3 4 11 7i 1820 50 49 51 46 75 74 76 68 43 46 45 63 64 55 44 43 65 60 Do. 3 4 2 4 2 9 3 9 4 4 2 Do. 2 6 3 4 3 3 9 5 2 4 Do. 3 4 4 1821 50 37 68 59 44 31 60 50 45 34 66 50 Do. 2 10 4 2 3 10 3 6 4 9 4 2 18 lOf 2 2 1 6 4 3 2 10 Do. 34 59 31 50 34 50 4 3 4 4 3 4 1 6 3 1822 40 60 35 52 32 42 Do. Do. 1 10 3 3 Do. 38 52 32 47 33 44 1 8 3 54 TALLOW. TAR. TOBACCO. Russia, y. c. Duty. American. Duty. Stockh olm. Duty. For Exportation, in King's Warehouses. Maryland. 1 Virginia. 1782 CUlt. s. s. 37 40 36 38 cwt. Free. per barrel s. s. None. p. last 12 bar. s. d. 12 41 per barrel s. s. 23 24 24 25 p. last 12 bar. s. d. 12 A\ lb. d. d. 9 121 11 14 lb. d. d. 10 17 11 20 1783 36 29 39 32 Do. None. Do. 20 14 22 15 Do. None. 21 51 ^4 d 2 4 io None. 51 12 2f 6i 1784 33 44 36 46 Do. 20 13 21 14 Do. 20 15 28 16 Do. 4| 9 3 5f- 41 81 21 6* 1785 45 42 47 47 43 48 Do. 13 12 14 13 Do. 16 15 17 16 Do. 31 7 2 5 21 7 n 4* 1786 46 48 56 48 50 57 Do. 13 16 14 17 Do. 17 19 18 20 Do. 21 7 3 8 21 41 3 5 1787 56 47 57 48 Do. 14 10 14 15 11 15 Do. 15 17 15 16 18 16 Do. 3 81 21 5 91 41 1788 46 33 38 47 34 40 Do. 10 11 11 12 Do. 14 12 15 13 Do. 3 81 21 8 3 4f 1789 39 45 42 41 46 44 Do. 11 13 12 14 Do. 13 14 15 16 Do. 21 5| 2 8 21 41 1790 41 44 43 45 Do. 13 11 14 12 Do. 14 19 13 16 20 14 Do. 21 6 21 7 21 41 21 3 1791 40 39 47 42 40 48 Do. 10 11 Do. 12 16 13 13 17 15 Do. 2 7 2| 7 91 41 ^2 ^2 2 4 2^ 41 1792 47 42 46 48 43 47 Do. 10 11 Do. 14 15 Do. 21 7 2 7 21 41 ■*? ^2 2 4| 00 TALLOW. TAR. TOBACCO. Ri issia, Y. C. . Amer can. Stockholm. For Exportation, in King's Warehouses. Duty. Duty. Duty. Maryland. Virginia. cut. civt. per barrel p. last per barrel p. last lb. lb. s. s. s. d. s. s. 12 bar. s. s. 12 bar. d. d. d. d. 1793 47 38 48 39 Free. 15 13 17 16 14 18 s. d. 12 4i 18 20 21 19 24 22 s. d. 12 4| 24 74 2f 8 24- 44- 1794 38 50 39 51 Do. 20 17 21 21 18 22 Do. 22 23 21 23 24 23 Do. 24 8 n 4| 3 5 56 58 21 22 23 24 3 8! 3i 94 1795 78 80 Do. 26 27 Do. 27 28 Do. 3 5 34- 6-L 1 63 64 19 20 23 24 1796 68 58 70 60 Do. 20 25 14 21 26 17 11 61 23 28 21 24 29 22 13 34- 9| 5 9 44- 7 H 84- 56 62 20 21 24 25 64- 8 7f 12 6| 9 74 12 1797 46 47 Do. 22 23 13 2^ 21 22 13 7 T V 49 50 18 19 22 23 1798 49 56 50 57 1 6 20 28 21 29 15 5A 22 27 23 28 16 0A 8 13 94 15 8 13 114 16 1799 56 57 Do. 33 34 Do. 30 31 Do. 94- 15 10 15 65 66 29 30 27 28 4 8 4 7 1800 58 66 59 68 Do. 26 33 27 34 Do. 27 32 28 34 Do. 4i 9 6 11 44 8 4 84 68 70 1801 75 51 58 76 52 59 Do. 35 15 36 16 Do. 34 19 35 20 Do. 6 104 4 12 44 8 34 64 1802 63 59 64 64 60 66 Do. 17 22 18 23 Do. 20 25 22 27 Do. 3 11 34 12 3 64 34 7 56 TALLOW. TAR. TOBACCO. Russia, Y. C. A merican. Stockholm. For Exportation, in King's Warehouses. j Duty. Duty. Duty. Maryland. Virginia. cvot. cvot. per ba rrel p. last per barrel p. last lb. lb. s. s. s. d. s. s. 12 bar. s. s. 12 bar. d. d. d. d. 1803 67 68 76 77 2 Of 22 20 23 23 21 26 s. d. 13 6 27 21 28 23 s. d. 14 11 3 12 5 11 24- 7 44- 8 72 75 23 25 23 24 5 11 4 10 44- 8 34- 7 1804 68 69 2 3^ 20 23 15 21 23 16 7 70 71 26 29 36 38 1805 67 68 61 62 68- 70 2 4 26 20 26 28 21 28 16 8 16 10£ 36 26 33 38 28 34 17 01 17 10 4 12 4 14 34- 7 4 8 1806 66 67 54 55 2 6 27 21 29 23 17 lOf 33 26 36 27 19 Of 4 13 4 8 1807 53 54 71 72 Do. 21 27 23 28 Do. 26 32 27 33 Do. 4 13 5 13 4 8 44- 8 70 71 Do. 28 29 Do. 34 35 Do. 5 13 44- 8 1808 110 112 44 46 48 50 94 15 16 24 i 106 110 uncertain 44 46 48 50 9 20 16 24 1809 79 82 2 8 36 31 38 33 17 lOf 40 42 17 10 4 11 44- 10 91 93 50 51 6 12 7 13 83 84 18>0 83 84 64 65 Do. 42 23 34 44 28 38 Do. 51 35 48 53 36 50 Do. 6 12 2 9 7 13 3 8 2 10 3 8 1811 61 62 74 75 Do. 41 26 44 27 Do. 46 35 48 36 Do. 3 11 3 12 4 9 4 7 1815 , 72 73 ' 88 90 Do. 26 32 27 33 Do. 33 38 34 39 Do. 2 12 2 7 4 84- 57 TALLOW. TAR. TOBACCO. R ussza, Y. C. American. Stock) xolm. For Exportation, in King's Warehouses, I Duty. Duty. Duty. Maryland. Virginia. ctvt. cwt. per barrel r p. last peri 'jar re p. last lb. lb. s. s. s. d. s. s. 12 bar s. s. 12 bar. d. d. d. d. 88 82 98 90 84 100 28 30 s. d. 33 34 s. d. 1813 3 2 None after February. 21 4| 30 48 36 31 54 38 21 A\ 44- 84- 10 26 54- 144- 10 26 107 77 87 110 78 88 36 38 104- 24 8 26 1814 Do. None. Do. 26 35 27 36 Do. 20 48 10 27 22 66 12 36 32 34 12 36 20 60 1815 81 59 82 60 Do. None. 30 32 24 26 Do. 26 35 21 29 37 22 Do. 6 18 44- 18 6 20 12 48 10 21 52 55 16 20 20 21 64- 18 10 17 8 14 1816 46 47 Do. 10 11 Do. 14 15 Do. 7 18 51 52 13 14 20 21 6 18 7 22 6^ 13 53 55 13 14 20 21 5 20 7 13 1817 51 52 Do. 14 15 Do. 17 18 Do. 6 18 64- 9 76 77 13 14 18 19 5 20 6| 20 54- 9 64- 10 75 76 14 16 19 20 64- 20 54- 10 9 14 74- 12 1818 77 70 78 71 Do. 16 20 14 16 Do. 21 18 22 19 Do. 9 14 No fine. 89 90 17 18 21 22 10 24 82 83 1819 Do. 17 18 15 16 16 17 21 6 21 16 20 22 17 21 21 6 10 24 84- 24 5 24 7 23 64- 12 54- 11 4 9 54- 11 70 62 51 71 63 52 53 54 13 15 20 14 21 16 7 24 5 10 1820 62 63 Do. None. Do. Do. 7 20 5 10| 47 48 15 16 6 20 34- 8 1821 47 43 45 39 48 44 46 40 Do. 14 15 11 12 13 14 Do. 15 14 15 15 16 21 Do. 6 20 34- 18 3i 13 No fine. 34- 8 2f 7 H 74- 43 44 1822 41 54 31 49 14 15 9 10 Do. 23 16 24 17 Do. 34 13 2f 24 3-j- 7t 3i 8 55 32 Do. ■ 40 33 42 34 10 14 18 19 58 TEA. 1782 1783 1784 1785 1786 1787 1788 1789 1790 As in E. I. Company s Wareh. Hyson. Congou. Duty. lb. s. d. s. 7 6 6 8 13 6 11 6 7 2 12 6 11 7 3 4 10 12 9 4 8 5 9 8 6 5 8 4 10 9 7 6 5 2 4 2 4 6 4 6 9 6 8 4 6 9 1791 1792 4 6 5 9 9 6 lb. s. d. s. d. 4 6 4 4 5 6 5 2 121 per cent, on Co.'s saleprices 4 4 5 6 4 5 4 8 6 4 3 10 4 8 3 10 5 2 8 5 6 210 5 6 3 4 7 2 6 6 2 10 5 3 2 9 4 8 3 2 9 6 4 5 2 10 5 2 6 4 9 2 6 2 9 4 9 4 6 4 10 9 6 4 6 9 6 4 9 6 4 7 9 6 4 9 4 6 9 6 2 9 3 4 9 5 3 5 Do. Do. Do. Do. Do. Do. Do. Do. Do. Do. TIN. English in bars on board. Ctvt. s. d. 83 83 2 83 2 82 8 82 8 84 8 84 8 84 8 84 8 77 6 70 6 77 77 77 86 92 6 103 6 ton. I. I. 220 265 200 260 WHALEBONE. British Fishery Greenland. South Sea. Duty 200 260 150 200 153 225 145 200 120 150 160 190 140 195 120 155 130 150 100 120 160 210 180 195 200 180 190 170 180 140 150 125 135 130 140 130 150 200 210 170 180 150 180 200 220 200 220 250 300 ton. I. I. None. None. None. None. None. 135 155 160 180 140 160 120 140 130 160 90 110 80 100 70 85 70 80 100 110 90 95 100 110 100 110 100 120 90 100 Free Do. Do. Do. Do. Do. Do. Do. Do. Do. Do. 59 TEA. TIN. WHALEBONE. As in E. I. Hyson. Company s Congou. Vareh. Duty. English in bars on board. BritL Greenland. h Fishery South Sea. Duty. 1793 lb. s. d. s. d. 4 6 9 6 4 8 4 6 9 10 lb. s. d. s. d. 3 5 2 6 3 121 per cent, on Co.'s saleprices cxvt. S. d. 103 6 105 6 tun . 1. 1. 270 300 230 240 ton. 1. 1. 90 110 120 150 80 110 Free 1794 4 6 9 4 7 9 6 4 8 9 2 8 4 3 2 4 Do. 103 6 100 6 200 230 130 140 80 110 104 120 85 105 106 120 Do. 1795 4 8 8 4 7 8 3 2 4 6 2 11 4 Do. 100 6 99 6 130 150 160 180 150 100 120 110 130 Do. 1796 4 6 8 5 8 2114 2 9 4 5 20 per cent. 101 6 102 6 150 115 120 100 110 85 100 Do. 1797 4 7 8 6 4 8 8 2 10 4 5 2 4 3 9 30 per cent. 102 6 115 120 80 88 85 100 70 76 Do. 1798 4 4 8 4 6 8 2 3 3 9 3 4 3 9 Do. 102 6 98 100 90 105 80 96 70 78 75 90 3 per cent. on val. 1799 4 6 8 2 4 7 7 3 10 5 8 3 5 3 9 2 5 2 7 2 7 3 1 Do. 102 104 80 96 75 85 75 80 65 70 Do. 1800 4 7 4 2 6 4 2 6 6 2 10 3 4 2 10 3 7 3 4 3 7 Do. 104 110 75 82 70 80 65 70 42 52 Do. 1801 4 2 6 6 4 2 5 6 4 3 6 6 3 4 3 7 3 4 3 6 2 10 3 8 Do. 110 111 6 80 85 65 70 56 60 45 50 Do. 1802 4 3 6 6 4 4 6 6 5 6 3 3 8 3 3 9 2 11 3 8 Do. 114 6 113 6 115 6 65 70 50 60 45 50 Do. 60 TEA. TIN. WHALEBONE. As' in E. I. Hyson. Company's Congou. 'Vareh. Duty. English in bars on board. BritL Greenland. ih Fishery South Sea. Duty. 1803 lb. s. d. s. d. 5 6 5 5 6 4 5 4 10 lb. s. d. s. d. 211 3 8 2 8 3 8 2 6 3 2 65 per cent. cwt. s. d. 115 6 ton. /. /. 50 60 uncertain. 35 40 30 35 ton. 1. 1. 45 50 uncertain. 30 35 25 30 ton. s. d. 33 9 1804 4 2 4 10 4 7 5 4 2 8 3 3 3 13 6 Do. 115 6 30 35 28 30 20 25 20 28 37 6 1805 4 7 5 4 4 8 5 9 3 13 6 211 3 8 Do. 113 122 6 28 40 25 30 20 28 38 3 1806 4 8 5 9 4 9 5 8 4 10 5 10 211 3 8 2 4 3 7 2 6 3 5 Do. 128 6 124 6 128 6 25 30 20 25 20 28 20 22 40 9 1807 4 10 5 8 4 7 6 2 2 10 3 9 3 13 8 96 per cent. 128 6 20 25 15 23 30 32 20 22 28 29 Do. 1808 4 7 6 4 8 5 9 3 2 3 8 3 3 7 Do. 118 6 120 6 30 32 26 28 35 40 28 29 20 22 Do. 1809 4 8 5 8 5 6 3 3 7 3 1 3 10 Do. 120 6 128 6 30 40 55 60 50 55 55 60 20 22 30 32 25 30 40 1810 411 5 10 4 7 5 6 3 1 3 10 3 3 6 Do. 128 6 174 70 75 80 90 75 80 uncertain. 33 40 None. Do. 1811 4 7 5 6 4 9 6 4 7 5 6 211 3 6 3 3 8 Do. 174 171 6 155 6 30 40 35 40 22 28 30 32 26 30 Do. 1812 4 9 6 4 9 5 6 411 6 3 3 8 3 2 3 8 3 3 8 Do. uncertain. 139 6 131 6 40 45 65 70 26 30 30 32 25 30 Do. 61 TEA. TIN. WHALEBONE. As in E. I. Hyson. Company s Congou. War eh. Duty. English in bars on board. British Fisher Greenland. South Sea. i Duty. 1813 lb. s. d. s. d. 4 11 6 4 9 5 10 6 17 6 lb. s. d. s. d. 2 11 3 7 3 3 3 9 lb. 96 per cent. ctot. S. d". 140 6 ton. 1. 1. 68 70 150 160 ton. 1. 1. 26 30 65 70 75 80 ton. s. d. 47 6 1814 6 2 7 6 6 6 10 3 5 3 10 3 3 3 9 Do. 164 6 174 6 168 6 150 160 70 85 70 85 110 115 65 70 Do. 1815 6 6 10 5 6 6 6 3 3 3 9 3 2 3 7 2 7 3 11 Do. 148 6 152 136 6 85 86 78 80 110 120 90 100 40 42 50 52 40 42 Do. 1816 5 9 6 3 4 7 5 9 4 6 6 2 7 3 11 2 6 3 6 2 9 3 7 Do. 136 6 102 6 85 90 52 55 75 78 40 42 45 46 30 32 50 52 Do. 1817 4 6 6 4 3 5 9 4 6 6 2 9 3 5 2 11 3 7 Do. 97 103 97 70 73 55 60 80 84 75 80 50 40 50 40 Do. 1818 4 6 6 4 2 5 10 4 5 6 4 4 6 6 2 11 3 7 3 13 7 2 10 3 5 Do. 99 91 6 92 6 75 80 63 65 122 125 118 120 40 30 70 60 Do. 1819 4 6 6 5 1 5 10 2 10 3 6 2 4 3 6 100 p. c. above 2*. 96 p. cent under 2*. 77 81 77 6 108 110 84 86 123 125 68 70 60 40 55 30 40 Do. 1820 5 1 5 10 5 4 6 5 7 6 4 2 5 3 7 2 3 3 5 2 4 3 6 Do. 77 81 77 6 72 73 92 93 58 59 63 64 40 60 40 45 Do. 1821 1822 5 5 6 2 5 3 5 11 4 5 6 2 4 36| 2 6 3 6 2 7\ 3 3 2 8 3 7 Do. 77 6 80 6 81 6 65 66 88 90 70 71 95 110 75 80 45 50 40 50 Do. 4 3 6 4 0^ 5 10 3 11 6 3 7 5 10 2 8 3 7 2 6 3 7 2 6 3 9 2 7 3 9 Do. 80 6 81 6 98 6 85 90 60 120 130 70 80 230 250150 170 220 230 110 125 Do. 62 WHEAT. WOOL (Sheep's). English. Foreign. Dantzic and c Konigsberg. On foreign Duty. Spam Leonesa. sk. Seville. Gen Saxon. nan. Austrian & Bohemian. 1782 1783 qr. s. s. 32 49 44 60 qr. s. s. qr. d. lb. s. d. s. d. 3 3 6 3 13 8 lb. s. d. s. d. 12 19 13 2 6 None. None. 38 58 25 41 44 53 45 57 25 40 28 53 H 6 6| 3 3 3 7 3 7 3 10 2 9 3 3 None. None. 1784 30 43 41 56 28 40 30 54 36 51 32 44 6 ports shut in Dec. 3 8 3 9 3 3 7 2 6 3 2 None. None. 1785 32 46 27 38 30 40 Ports shut. 3 3 9 3 2 310 2 3 2 2 6 None. None. 1786 29 37 32 42 28 37 Do. 3 1 3 10 2 9 3 9 2 6 3 None. None. 1787 33 38 40 48 39 45 Do. 2 9 3 10 19 2 9 None. None. 1788 41 49 37 46 Do. 3 4 3 10 None. None. None. 1789 42 50 48 54 Ports open by proclama- tion. 3 4 3 10 None. None. None. 1790 48 57 40 53 49 62 30 43 34 48 uncertain. 48 59 26 39 33 43 6 ports shut in Dec. 3 3 310 None. None. None. 3 6 3 9 3 11 2 2 9 None. None. None. 1791 37 52 29 43 34 47 38 50 25 38 30 41 open in March, shut in Sept. 1792 31 42 43 53 Ports shut. 4 6 410 3 7 410 None. None. None. 63 i WHEAT. WOOL (Sheep's). English. Foreign. Dantzic and Konigsberg. On foreign Duty. Spa Leonesa. nish. Seville. Gen Saxon. nan. Austrian and Bohemian. 1793 qr. s. s. 41 47 47 55 qr. s. s. Shut. qr. s. a. lb. s. d. s. d. 4 6 4 10 3 9 410 lb. s. d. s. d. None. None. None. 1794 41 50 50 60 Open in June. 40 48 50 57 6 3 8 4 3 6 3 10 3 8 4 3 3 6 3 2 None. None. 1795 52 66 98 110 75 95 50 60 88 92 60 90 Do. 3 6 4 2 3 13 2 6 None. None. 1796 107 122 50 66 44 56 62 118 35 60 20 44 On imp bounty in Sep. 20s. 3 8 4 3 3 8 4 13 2 6 None. None. 1797 43 53 54 75 30 50 30 45 44 68 27 50 Free. 3 10 4 4 None. None. Nooe. 1798 30 53 22 50 32 54 24 50 17 44 21 47 2 6 3 10 4 4 None. None. None. 1799 32 54 77 108 25 50 68 104 6 in Oct. duty free. 4 4 9 5 5 1 4 9 2 4 3 4 2 4 3 4 None. None. 1800 85 115 50 100 90 165 72 110 46 95 80 150 Bounty accord. to aver. price. 4 4 9 4 7 5 4 2 3 3 4 2 8 4 4 None. None. 1801 70 145 80 180 40 70 68 140 75 170 25 70 Do. to Novem. then free. 5 15 4 5 9 6 2 8 4 4 3 4 5 4 None. None. - 1802 60 83 40 62 35 83 26 58 Do. 5 9 6 5 10 6 3 2 6 5 3 4 5 None. None. 1803 WHEAT. WOOL (Sheep's). English. Foreign. Dantzic and Konigsberg. On foreign Duty. Spa Leonesa. lish. Seville. Gen Saxon. nan. Austrian and Bohemian qr. s. s. 45 63 40 60 48 65 qr. s. s. 35 60 32 54 34 57 qr. s. d. Free till Jul. after 6d and 12| p. cent, thereon lb. s. d. s. d. 5 10 6 6 3 6 6 lb. s. d. s. d. 4 5 3 8 5 4 lb. s. d. s. d. None. lb. s. d. d. d. None. 1804 35 70 56 120 28 55 65 118 6 6 6 9 3 6 410 None. None. 1805 60 30 50 108 75 80 55 105 34 75 6d.p. qr. and 21 p. cent, thereon 6 6 6 7 6 9 6 9 3 6 410 2 6 4 9 3 6 5 3 None. None. 1806 50 62 58 76 92 85 36 72 50 87 Do. and 8^ p. cent, thereon 6 7 6 9 3 6 5 3 3 6 6 3 5 9 None. 1807 50 46 55 84 76 80 48 84 42 75 50 76 Do. 6 7 6 9 3 6 5 3 2 6 5 3 5 9 3 6 None. 1808 1809 52 SO 65 78 112 100 48 72 75 100 60 95 Do. 67 100 69 106 2 6 5 5 7 3 6 6 8 6 None. 76 52 88 102 90 125 72 98 55 78 78 115 10 120 22 13 14 26 15 60 86 13 18 40 90 90 110 12 24 70 116 7 8 9 7 9 6 1810 60 80 60 106 128 100 60 104 80 126 60 96 4 13 70 14 80 4 9 3 5 7 10 6 4 80 7 9 4 7 1811 68 55 95 75 102 92 145 125 60 102 48 90 80 145 75 125 Do. 7 8 8 9 6 3 5 2 6 5 6 7 6 6 7 2 1 9 2 6 1812 73 104 94 126 164 140 76 130 100 180 90 150 Do. 8 6 8 6 10 96 2 6 6 2 5 6 9 None after 2 6 Octobei . 65 WHEAT. WOOL (Sheep's). English. Foreign. Dantzic ant iKonigsberg On [foreign 1 Duty. Spa Leonesa. nish. Seville. Ger Saxon. man. Austrian and Bohemian. 1813 qr. s. s. 88 130 92 135 56 6S 65 78 qr s. s. 105 135 110 145 50 60 65 78 qr. s. d. 8 lb. s. d. s. d. 8 6 9 6 8 9 lb. s. d. s. d. 2 5 6 3 6 3 5 6 lb. s. d. s. d. 6 8 6 lb. s. d. s. d. 16 5 1814 64 82 72 90 52 78 63 78 66 88 50 70 o H 8 9 7 8 3 5 6 5 6 6 6 4 5 6 5 8 3 7 6 2 5 6 2 5 1815 48 66 56 80 54 66 46 66 60 78 50 62 Ports shut after May. 7 6 8 6 7 4 5 6 3 4 6 3 6 7 6 4 6 8 6 2 5 2 4 6 816 56 63 90 134 45 60 90 130 Ports open in Novein. 6 7 2 3 4 2 6 4 6 4 6 8 6 4 6 8 9 2 5 6 2 5 2 8 3 817 75 128 65 135 44 98 65 103 90 128 80 132 46 94 55 103 Ports open. 6 7 2 6 4 6 4 6 8 6 4 6 8 4 6 9 2 8 3 2 7 6 3 7 9 818 65 100 63 80 55 103 65 80 Do. 6 7 6 6 9 2 6 4 6 3 3 5 3 3 4 9 4 6 9 4 6 9 6 3 7 9 2 8 2 3 8 $19 64 80 56 72 62 76 56 80 58 76 50 66 52 76 Ports shut in Feb. 6 6 9 4 5 3 3 4 9 2 2 6 2 2 3 4 6 9 6 5 6 8 6 2 3 8 2 3 5 6 320 58 62 58 74 63 85 30 63 50 76 52 82 50 70 Do. 5 5 2 3 5 4 4 6 3 6 4 3 2 8 3 3 2 2 6 3 4 3 2 5 6 9 6 2 6 8 6 2 6 6 2 3 5 6 J21 522 30 61 50 82 32 65 46 50 52 76 46 64 Do. 3 4 6 3 3 4 2 6 3 6 3 4 6 2 2 10 2 2 6 19 2 1 10 2 6 2 8 6 19 6 19 5 6 2 7 9 30 70 22 49 25 50 48 64 30 40 None. Do. 3 4 6 3 6 5 3 4 3 3 4 6 1 10 2 6 2 3 2 8 6 16 7 6 16 8 2 7 9 2 6 6 16 6 2 6 66 WOODS. Logivood Jamaica. Duty. Fir. Memel. Duty. Pine. Quebec. Duty. 1782 ton. 1. S. 1. S. 11 11 10 9 9 10 ton. s. d. Free. load. 1. s. 3 5 3 10 load, s. d. 4 1 load. 1. s. 1. s. None. load, s. d. 1783 1784 1785 7 10 10 10 Do. 3 10 1 12 Do. None. 12 10 13 8 10 9 10 Do. 1 15 2 10 Do. 1 10 2 15 Free. 11 11 10 6 6 10 Do. 1 15 2 5 1 13 Do. 2 2 6 1 10 1 15 Do. 1786 6 10 7 5 10 6 Do. 1 17 2 1 15 Do. 1 11 1 18 Do. 1787 6 6 10 5 10 6 Do. 1 12 1 5 1 10 6 8 2 2 5 1 10 2 Do. 1788 5 10 6 5 5 6 15 5 6 Do. 1 15 1 11 1 14 Do. 1 11 2 1 15 2 5 Do. 1789 5 10 6 4 4 10 Do. 17 18 1 11 Do. 1 15 2 5 1 10 1 15 Do. 179C . 4 10 5 6 10 7 Do. 1 10 1 15 2 2 5 Do. 1 10 1 15 1 19 2 3 Do. 179] 6 10 5 15 Do. 2 2 3 3 2 2 11 Do. 2 3 1 16 2 Do. 179i , 5 5 6 10 Do. 2 8 2 13 2 Do. 1 17 2 2 Do. 67 WOODS. Logtvooc Jamaica. I. Duty. Fir. Memel. Duty. Pine. Quebec. Duty. 1793 ton. 1. s. 1. s. 6 6 10 ton. s. d. Free. load. 1. S. 1. s. 2 8 2 9 2 3 load, s. d. 6 8 load. 1 s. 1. s. 1 17 2 2 load, s. d. Free. 1794 8 11 12 13 4 2 16 2 5 2 18 Do. 3 2 10 2 15 Do. 1795 11 12 16 16 10 Do. 2 15 3 4 Do. 3 10 3 15 3 5 Do. 1796 14 16 13 14 Do. 3 2 2 10 2 15 Do. 3 5 2 15 Do. 1797 13 14 12 13 10 Do. 2 15 3 5 3 10 10 2 16 2 17 2 2 15 2 16 Do. 1798 14 15 40 41 Do. 2 10 3 3 3 3 5 Do. 3 10 3 15 3 3 10 5 10 6 Do. 1799 48 50 12 15 Do. 3 8 3 10 4 18 5 Do. 3 15 4 Do. 1800 19 20 Do. 5 10 5 15 5 15 6 Do. 4 10 4 15 4 15 5 Do. 1801 18 10 19 14 10 15 10 Do. 5 15 6 4 5 4 10 Do. 5 5 10 4 10 4 15 Do. 1 6 1802 12 14 11 13 18 19 Do. 3 12 3 14 3 4 3 9 16 4 4 10 4 15 3 15 4 68 WOODS. Logtvood. Fir. P ne. Jamaica. Duty. Memel. Duty. Quebec. Duty. ton. ton. load. load. load. load. /. s. /. s. s. d. /. s. 1. s. s. d. /. s. 1. s. s. d. 20 21 3 10 3 15 3 18 4 3 1803 24 25 15 6 5 5 6 5 16 4 5 8 5 18 1 6 12 14 3 15 4 5 5 13 6 8 1804 23 17 19 24 18 21 6 10 3 3 15 4 3 5 20 25 4 3 3 18 5 18 5 12 4 8 15 2 1 6 1 101 20 21 3 3 5 25 25 6 3 18 4 18 1 10 111 1805 23 24 7 3 15 4 4 18 5 18 16 17 3 10 3 15 4 8 5 13 16 17 3 10 3 15 25 6 4 8 5 13 1 11 1806 18 14 19 15 Do. 6 8 6 13 27 4 6 8 6 13 2 8 8 10 7 18 8 10 1807 14 10 15 11 u Do. 4 6 10 5 6 15 Do. 6 7 13 7 13 7 2 18 Do. 1808 10 17 14 11 18 15 7 51 6 15 10 10 7 17 Do. 7 10 10 7 15 16 15 Do. 1809 14 15 15 16 Do. 14 11 14 10 11 10 27 4 15 10 17 12 Do. 27 28 10 10 11 1810 37 16 38 17 Do. 8 11 10 10 9 10 Do. Do. 1811 16 12 17 13 Do. 11 10 11 12 10 11 10 12 10 Do. 8 6 7 12 12 12 Do. 12 13 9 8 10 10 10 9 Red Pine. 1812 13 14 Do. 54 8 10 10 10 Do. 10 11 9 10 69 WOODS Logwood. Fir. Red Pine. Jamaica. Duty. Memel. Duty. 1 Quebec. Duty. ton. ton. load. load. load. load. I. s. 1. s s. d. 1. s. 1. s. s. d. 1. s. 1. s. s. d. 1813 13 10 15 15 10 10 9 \\ 7 10 5 10 8 8 7 9 % 64 11 9 10 10 10 10 5 9 15 10 2 19 20 10 11 11 10 21 22 11 11 10 1814 22 15 23 16 Do. 7 5 4 10 7 15 5 10 Do. 9 10 10 None. 8 15 9 Do. 1815 14 9 15 10 Do. 5 3 5 5 10 3 15 Do. 8 15 9 6 6 15 Do. 1816 8 6 10 9 10 6 10 Do. 3 5 2 5 3 15 3 5 Do. 6 5 6 15 5 5 5 Do. 7 / 8 3 5 3 15 5 10 5 15 5 15 6 1817 7 8 5 8 10 Do. 2 10 3 5 2 15 Do. Do. 8 1818 9 7 8 5 9 2 3 5 3 10 3 10 3 15 Do. 5 15 6 6 6 5 Do. 1819 7 5 10 8 6 Do. 3 10 2 5 3 15 2 15 65 6 6 5 5 5 5 10 Do. 5 6 10 2 15 3 1820 5 6 10 6 6 10 Do. 2 10 2 10 2 15 2 15 Do. 5 5 5 10 4 10 4 15 Do. 1821 6 9 10 6 15 9 15 Do. 3 5 3 10 2 10 55 4 10 4 15 4 4 5 10 1822 9 7 5 10 9 10 8 Do. 2 5 2 10 2 15 2 10 2 15 Do. 4 4 5 4 10 4 15 Do. 70 The prices in the foregoing table are extracted from the New London, now Prince's, and London Price Current, which was esta- blished in 1782, and is the oldest and best authenticated I have been able to meet with. In order to give as general an idea as it is possible in so small a compass of the variations in price for forty years, I have selected the quotations of the first and last months of each year, with the inter- mediate fluctuations where the rise or fall has not been progressive. The figures on the left hand give the lowest quotation of the article, and those on the right the highest ; the range between the two includes, therefore, the necessary scope for the uncertainty of price, which is sometimes observable when the market is in an un- settled state, as well as for the different gradations in quality, which are very great in some articles, as will be seen by the table. In the column of " Duties" those only are noted which are levied on importation by British vessels. It is hardly necessary to observe, that whenever there is any great distinction in favour of British vessels, it operates to the exclusion of foreign vessels in the importation of those articles to which the distinction applies. The rates of duties were obligingly furnished by Mr. Thos. Cope, of the Long Room, Custom-house, and great pains were taken by him to insure their correctness ; but as several temporary alterations, not noticed in the books of rates, were made in the duties by Orders in Council and otherwise, I have, with a view to still greater cor- rectness, referred to them, and made the proper allowance accord- ingly. It is of course not to be expected that a document of this kind, embracing so long a series of years, and such a variety of articles , should be entirely free from occasional errors ; but I think, from the care and attention bestowed, I am entitled to claim a pretty general dependence upon its accuracy. A. HINRICHS. London, April, 1823. 71 P. S. I have the following additional remarks to make on the three last articles in the table. Wheat (Foreign). The ports were so frequently opened and shut by proclamation, and the rate of duties was so varied, that every particular alteration cannot be expected to be found in a price current not devoted exclusively to that article. N. B. The word « shut," as applying to the whole of 1793, was introduced by mistake, as the ports were open by proclamation in May, and shut again at the low duty in June. Wool (Foreign Sheep's). There is no column of duties attached to this article in the table ; it was duty free till 5 July, 1803, after that time the duties were as follows : s. d. Till 1809, Oi per lb. 1809 to 1813, 6 8 per cwt. 1813 to 1819, 7 11 Do. 1819, 5 July, 1 per lb. 1819, 10 Oct. to present time, 6d. per lb. Woods. The duty as quoted for Quebec timber was merely no- minal till 1821 j as it was always remitted on being certified to be fit for naval purposes, and as such certificate was generally forth- coming, of course the duty was not levied. A. H. 72 No. II. An Account of the Quantities of the following Articles imported into Years. SUGAR. COFFEE. COTTON WOOL. SHEEP'S WOOL. cwts. qr. lbs. cwts. qr. lbs. lb. lb. 1781 1 5,198,778 1782 11,828,039 1783 Records destroy- forthp.sp. 9,735,663 1784 ^ed by fire years. 11,482,083 18,400,384 1785 1786 19,475,020 1787 23,250,268 20,467,436 1788 2,066,120 o 32,340 1 8 1789 1,936,440 2 35,046 1 17 32,576,023 2,713,114 1790 1,882,106 4 55,988 1 4 31,447,605 3,245,329 1791 1,813,192 2 20 46,102 9 28,706,675 2,776,054 1792 1,989,230 5 69,028 3 17 34,907,497 4,513,976 1793 2,194,726 20 123,750 14 19,040,929 1,891,385 1794 2,519,181 7 278,088 1 5 24,358,567 4,485,582 1795 2,151,272 2 22 360,038 8 26,401,340 4,902,500 1796 2,240,299 1 21 343,427 12 32,126,357 3,454,211 1797 2,139,887 1 26 354,477 2 23,354,371 4,653,696 1798 2,699,863 3 7 431,576 2 13 31,880,641 2,398,126 1799 3,390,974 2 22 390,237 1 6 43,379,278 5,151,711 1800 3,164,474 1 18 599,428 2 26 56,010,732 8,615,284 1801 3,976,564 1 19 664,442 3 10 56,004,305 7,387,107 1802 4,297,079 8 460,543 2 6 60,345,600 7,749,112 1803 3,185,849 2 19 219,477 13 53,812,284 6,020,775 1804 3,248,306 2 26 507,432 3 11 61,867,329 8,157,213 1805 3,178,788 1 3 354,061 23 59,682,406 8,546,378 1806 3,815,183 1 9 528,941 10 58,176,283 7,333,993 1807 3,641,310 2 9 417,642 3 6 74,925,306 11,768,926 1808 3,753,485 1 17 726,831 26 43,605,982 2,353,725 1809 4,001,198 1 4 707,906 2 22 92,812,282 6,845,933 1810 4,808,663 12 828,683 2 136,488,935 10,936,224 1811 3,917,627 1 9 559,595 2 12 91,662,344 4,739,972 1812 3,762,182 1 3 405,744 3 12 63,025,936 7,014,917 1813 The records nf this year were dpst.mvpd by fire. 60,060,239 1814 4,035,323 1 25 1,029,556 1 23 15,712,517 1815 3,984,782 13 815,440 1 26 99,306,343 14,991,713 1816 3,760,548 2 12 499,075 2 2 93,920,055 8,117,864 1817 3,795,550 2 5 520,255 2 13 124,912,968 14,715,843 1818 3,965,947 3 7 427,247 6 177,282,15S 26,405,486 1819 4,077,009 6 373,025 12 149,549,971 16,190,343 1820 4,063,541 25 437,176 2 13 150,043,082 10,043,746 1821 4,200,856 2 9 403,035 1 9 130,982,479 16,680,043 1822 3,643,127 2 2 391,650 3 10 141,253,993 1 9,323, 170£ Inspector-General's Office, 4th April, 1823. 73 No. II. Great Britain from all Parts of the World in each Year from 1781 to 1822. SILK (raw) SILK (thrown) TALLOW. HEMP (undressed.) FLAX. lb. lb. CX»t. < F- lb. ctot. qr. lb. cvot. qr. lb. 730,150 344,25 1 473,042 361,448 770,989 389,537 812,148 306,6401 355,045 2 21 564,071 1 7 261,894 2 9 842,865 393,259 260,126 3 7 472,264 1 16 139,494 1 17 745,440 508,005 255,921 1 12 592,306 26 257,222 17 976,673 470,195 164,862 2 18 372,812 2 9 308,101 9 931,8941 436,8311 201,856 1 22 614,362 1 17 243,324 6 1,020,008 241,955 235,009 1 11 553,831 2 9 271,249 1 5 683,228 330,9781 202,173 582,755 2 1 348,367 1 27 730,9981 336,9951 180,807 1 19 574,622 3 15 225,853 2 6 487,631| 398,9481 330,983 3 5 618>486 2 1 321,239 11 266,2761 401,662 244,041 3 11 488,177 5 209,682 8 730,885 403,130 439,911 3 11 647,833 27 389,987 2 24 l,240,954f 467,687 450,217 7 752,568 6 418,737 4 833,618 333,717 415,925 1 25 596,419 3 5 416,120 2 26 739,111 275,149 332,665 2 9 748,571 2 15 272,035 3 8 559,729^ 396,2101 556,749 1 10 488,197 3 5 277,443 1 19 803,799 384,764 537,428 4 729,677 1 23 294,645 1 4 1,032,381 449,182 533,838 1 24 727,319 2 22 352,919 2 8 1,189,706 433,2721 393,811 2 2 611,012 24 466,624 2 802,623 515,218 536,652 1 26 729,786 1 25 354,722 20 777,799 346,144 367,398 1 17 756,824 3 23 421,393 1 12 637,102 139,312 148,282 1 5 259,687 1 24 257,729 18 698,189 501,746 353,177 9 858,875 2 19 533,367 18 1,341,475 450,731 479,440 19 955,799 2 22 511,970 2 20 602,047 20,336 292,534 3 15 458,547 2 15 243,899 1 11 1,330,106 617,885 309,323 3 8 9 852,015 2 19 5 405,304 1 9 1,634,501 645,722 588,914 3 545,380 I 524,757 1 8 1,442,594 357,739 641,641 2 7 731,505 2 26 351,103 13 945,792 192,130 417,169 2 17 369,467 3 23 247,424 24 932,102 245,59 1| 385,964 1 12 457,266 1 18 452,796 2 5 1,644,647 456,97H 542,983 18 660,403 1 20 458,898 3 23 1,483,546 287,645^ 581,937 3 4 474,238 2 8 432,690 2 17 2,213,917| 333,294-^ 805,066 2 5 418,509 6 440,404 13 2,118,645f 339,0311 619,491 1 23 241,759 1 12 563,947 2 15 2,052,963f 492,594 782,812 2 1 598,628 2 23 640,547 2 4 W . IRVING. h 74 No. III. An Account of the Quantities of the following Articles exported from Years. SUGAR SUGAR (refined.) COFFEE. COTTON WOOL. Actual weight exp. cwts. qr. lbs cwts. qr. lbs. Cwts. q r. lbs. lbs. 1781 1782 f Record « r\r>- 96,788 421,229 1783 C stroyed b v ^ re. 177,626 1784 201,845 1785 202,954 5 137,489 24 39,000 2 22 407,496 1786 102,032 13 81,750 3 1 27,324 6 323,153 1787 199,416 I 8 76,735 1 19 27,988 2 18 1,073,381 1788 145,257 11 85,401 1 15 30,682 14 853,146 1789 153,813 1 15 138,539 3 11 24,425 7 297,837 1790 142,185 1 3 119,817 4 29,357 3 8 844,154 1791 135,270 3 6 161,594 2 27 34,020 3 23 363,442 1792 243,068 2 14 226,216 3 27 58,621 1 1,485,465 1793 321,364 1 6 115,450 11 96,166 1 11 1,171,566 1794 447,405 14 303,999 2 11 220,667 2 17 1,349,950 1795 365,733 1 13 264,300 1 24 306,565 3 11 1,193,737 1796 366,615 1 5 188,013 2 1 336,339 1 694,962 1797 561,279 15 179,344 2 9 309,268 2 2 609,058 1798 800,804 1 5 248,533 3 23 394,848 15 601,139 1799 410,052 1 23 122,638 1 18 281,507 26 844,671 1800 981,730 15 397,542 2 14 607,104 2 15 4,416,610 1801 635,067 3 16 333,942 12 541,869 3 16 1,860,872 1802 1,142,729 2 20 531,787 1 26 569,395 26 3,730,480 1803 762,919 14 547,274 24 268,392 2 6 1,561,053 1804 454,155 2 10 382,224 3 16 412,850 2 19 503,171 1805 439,662 3 22 390,013 5 332,369 1 11 804,243 1806 307,799 3 4 415,079 3 26 409,189 20 651,867 1807 659,911 3 10 413,960 3 11 424,648 1 24 2,176,943 1808 354,359 1 11 327,243 1 13 250,899 19 1,644,867 1809 713,447 1 17 460,732 10 848,134 9 4,351,105 1810 616,895 2 17 413,208 2 16 215,278 2 8,787,109 1811 519,176 3 3 100,996 1 19 210,036 2 8 1,266,867 1812 674,313 3 1 284,617 2 641,131 14 1,740,912 1813 Records dest.rnv ed by fire. 555,335 1814 1,058,040 2 8 1 26 1,193,561 1 26 6,282,437 1815 870,992 1 16 609,247 10 897,312 2 17 6,780,392 1816 670,508 21 584,182 1 3 729,426 3 16 7,105,054 1817 486,695 3 23 697,085 2 16 490,386 1 8,155,442 1818 486,613 2 15 711,185 1 4 456,615 1 19 15,159,453 1819 409,307 2 20 525,219 2 13 391,276 3 16 16,622,969 1820 504,302 2 19 679,560 2 27 397,366 2 24 7,410,602 1821 482,812 1 17 645,357 1 5 373,256 14 16,305,892 1822 411,159 1 374,784 2 321,140 1 9 20,220,064 Inspector-Generals Office, 25th April, 1823. 7$ No. III. Great Britain to all Parts of the World in each Year from 1/81 to 1822. SHEEP'S WOOL. lbs. 367,432 56,724 90,919 162,660 111,594 119,832 645,921 87,323 121,442 67,263 272,080 110,925 27,405 98,809 46,979 44,501 195,437 361,267 24,676 39,788 57,945 21,701 23,460 76,090 30,568 157,881 73,709 123,795 149,024 178,886 744,855 19-1,076 97,927 475,820 95,610 329,509 245,217 SILK (raw) 16s. 70,912 45,190 120,049 115,571 106,947 69,543 66,512 34,514 28,555 83,135 54,909 88,715 64,348 42,761 80,428 30,443 33,504 33,247 24,220 53,363 26,125 19,257 29,671 32,793 20,520 23,234 28,615 39,879 32,720 93,972 300,254 74,663 109,902 58,659 20,455 41,772 35,511 SILK thrown) lbs. HEMP (undressed.) 44,139 24,801 12,716 46,520 22,736 20,067 22,428 10,579 2,607 24,385 27,425 38,927 17,641 52,117 38,835 31,239 27,302 36,033 19,346 73,959 68,935 52,081 58,623 21,805 47,782 50,001 30,681 86,327 60,714 51,658 51,567 21,200 35,125 52,139 12,004 21,889 10,397 ctvts. qr. lbs. 41,281 37,512 15,221 61,487 7,251 8,785 17,140 4,295 4,172 7,386 1,093 3,737 997 4,299 5,151 16,847 16,751 17,901 3,409 4,937 6,016 5,411 2,119 1,381 2,126 11,761 9,683 4,042 18,271 19,127 61,828 22,799 7,624 39,711 21,564 56,871 22,614 2 2 3 8 1 7 1 18 4 3 18 6 ctvts. qr. lbs. 3 7 3 2 24 23 13 23 3 8 6 3 5 14 1 13 3 9 2 6 2 25 22 2 1 2 12 12 22 3 6 20 3 4 3 16 22 9 12,772 18,927 10,705 14,060 18,633 27,372 26,780 23,703 7,009 6,834 3,075 5,113 5,605 21,041 7,276 6,486 4,875 36,908 5,525 2,696 5,836 6,668 16,231 4,298 16,934 46,288 26,675 13,811 32,734 33,724 21,008 23,282 42,671 31,710 18,459 33,416 12,733 2 9 2 3 20 3 17 3 9 2 5 1 12 1 24 3 11 2 9 3 1 17 2 12 1 13 24 1 4 3 16 3 14 3 25 3 25 3 17 3 24 2 24 2 18 16 1 16 FLAX (undressed.) ctvts. qr. lbs. 11,020 11,803 9,733 8,614 9,686 3,469 11,429 14,088 3,644 9,973 5,802 13,660 3,316 4,087 19,561 6,172 7,132 15,596 2,659 3,548 5,535 7,158 2,069 2,173 19,152 68,179 89,453 27,124 44,548 18,832 24,195 5,441 3,104 11,775 18,101 8,834 7,568 23 1 1 3 2 1 2 3 8 26 3 14 18 3 9 7 15 20 20 3 11 15 3 13 2 17 8 3 14 1 27 25 1 7 3 4 I 27 3 10 11 21 1 22 26 1 4 W. IRVING. 7f> No. IV. An Account of the Quantity of Rape and Cole Seed, Linseed or Flax Seed, and Clover Seed white and red, imported into Great Britain from Foreign Countries, from the 5th January, 1801, to the 5th January, 1823. Years. Rape and Cole Seed. Linseed or Flax Seed. Clover Seed. Quarters. bush. Bushels. Cnot. q. lbs. 1801 8,132 5 614,3831 25,104 1 20 1802 65,146 1,053,340^ 55,584 1 27 1803 1,452 3 865,984 49,266 8 1804 8,827 7 1,022,272! 51,798 1 12 1805 9,639 2 1,098,431| 48,540 3 13 1806 25,488 6 843,436 58,306 2 14 1807 13,333 4 l,174,226f 58,385 2 24 1808 50 506,332 25,786 3 5 1809 15,475 2 1,119,7631 46,898 1 1810 8,581 7 1,645,598| 72,967 18 1811 2,659 594,01 6| 43,536 20 1812 8,512 6 _ 977,652| 82,031 15 1813 The Records of this year were destroyed by fire. 1814 83,500 Si 1,364,959| 42,876 3 3 1815 60,083 1 766,9834; 54,646 2 24 1816 10,857 2 567,138! 14,986 1 8 1817 33,857 6 1,302,075| 45,984 21 1818 38,723 21 1,897,127^ 121,448 8 1819 7,169 6 1,156,1704; 72,795 1 2 1820 4,154 1,306,1761 73,994 3 17 1821 9,091 41 ^4 1,084,9591 65,986 1 1822 30,963 71 ' 2 1,191,198| 40,439 26| Custom- House, London. W, IRVING, 77 No. V. An Account of the Quantities and average Standard or Price of fine Copper sold in Ores in Cornwall from the Year 1800 to 1822, both inclusive. Years. Fine Metal. Price. tons. per ton. 1. s. d. 1800 5432 133 6 1801 5441 117 6 1802 5419 110 16 1803 5653 121 19 1804 5373 136 5 1805 6186 169 10 1806 6881 136 15 1807 6707 120 1 1808 6737 100 8 1809 6785 143 8 1810 5678 132 16 1811 6139 120 10 1812 6876 111 2 1813 { tnf^ } 3508 115 13 1814 6347 130 10 1815 6526 117 15 1816 6846 109 6 1817 6427 95 12 1818 6469 121 5 1819 6944 137 2 1820 6915 119 1821 7770 97 16 1822 9140 104 N. B. This account refers only to copper ore sold at the weekly sales in Cornwall. In addition to this, copper is raised in Anglesea, in Devonshire, in Ireland, and in small quantities in other parts of the United Kingdom. THE END. -\« LONDON : PRINTED BY THOMAS DAVISON, WHITEFRIARS. *