THE INFLUENCE OF KING EDWARD AND OTHER ESSAYS THE INFLUENCE OF KING EDWARD AND ESSAYS ON OTHER SUBJECTS THE INFLUENCE OF KING EDWARD AND ESSAYS ON OTHER SUBJECTS BY THE VISCOUNT ESHER, G.C.B., G.C.V.O. LONDON JOHN MURRAY, ALBEMARLE STREET W. 1915 3yfc7.5l NOTE 1 WISH to acknowledge gratefully the kindness of the editors of the Times, the Westminster Gazette, the New Statesman, and the National and Quarterly Reviews, who have permitted the reprinting of the essays contained in this volume. E. June 23, 1914. CONTENTS PAOE The Character of King Edward VII. - 1 King Edward VII. and Foreign Affairs - 49 The House of Lords - - - - 61 Reflections suggested by Lord Morley's Political Notes - - - - - - 97 The Voluntary Principle - - - - 114 The Committee of Imperial Defence : its Functions AND Potentialities .... 125 Naval and Military Situation - - 149 Modern War and Peace - - - - 211 La Guerre et la Paix .... 229 THE CHARACTER OF KING EDWARD VII. " Never was British Prince baptized under happier circumstances than Edward, Prince of Wales, the son of Queen Victoria. At a peribd of all but imiversal peace throughout the world, such as can scarcely be paralleled since the great epoch from which our religion takes its date, a peace cemented not merely by mutual interests and the bonds of a common civilization, but by the growing recogni tion of deeper principles of duty — at this period our new Edward takes upon him the vows of a soldier in what is pre-eminently the kingdom of peace. Our hopes of the era which will be known to posterity by his name may rise, in this respect, to a far higher flight than the half-inspired prophecy of the Roman poet, who wrote that, in the golden age of his PoUio, " ' Erunt etiam altera bella, Atque iteruin ad Trojam magnus mittetur Achilles.' "Our First Edward ravaged Scotland and Wales ; our Third Edward, and his son, the gallant Black Prince, carried desolation into France. But Scotland and Wales belong to this Edward, and he to Scotland and Wales ; and France is the nearest and most honoured ally of his Mother's Crown. May it be his office to consolidate good-will and unity throughout the world, and may war never be heard of in his time." 2 CHARACTER OF KING EDWARD VII. This passage appeared in the leading article of the Times on January 24, 1842, the moming after the day when King Edward was received into the Church of Christ within the walls of the Garter Chapel of St. George, where on May 20, sixty- eight years later, he was solemnly laid to rest amid the lamentations of his people. The newspaper paragraph was cut from the Times and pasted into her journal by Queen Victoria. Above it is written : " Bells were ringing and guns firing. I oflfered up again an anxious prayer that the Almighty would grant a blessing to the ceremony, and we prayed that our little boy might become a true and virtuous Christian in every respect, and / pray that he may become the image of his beloved father." The prophetic insight of the anonymous writer and the prayers of the young mother have had a curious and wonderful fulfilment. In those days to haye thought of the boy Prince as King by other than his father's name was a forecast suffi ciently remarkable, without a further anticipation, almost in words, of the noble panegyric of the parliamentary leaders which closed the reign of King Edward. When Queen Victoria prayed for her little boy to grow up in the likeness of Prince Albert, she little dreamed that the son would live to appeal to the hearts of the British people at home and scattered over an Empire then unimagined in a fashion and degree quite beyond the range of his illustrious father. DUE TO QUEEN VICTORIA 3 It has been noticed that Whig writers sixty years ago used to say that when the memories of the nineteenth century began to see the light, people in this country would realize what a debt of gratitude they owed to Queen Victoria and Prince Albert. These writers had in mind the indefati gable zeal shown by the Queen in transacting the business of State, her impartiality in dealing with contending factions, the sleepless watch which she kept over the actions of her Ministers, and her single-minded regard for the interests of her people abroad and at home. There was, however, another and unforeseen debt of gratitude which we owe to the Queen and the Prince. It is the character and kingly equipment of King Edward. Who can determine the precise influence, upon any man, of inheritance and environment ? Less than three months before Queen Victoria's eldest son was born. Lord Melbourne — then about to bid farewell as Prime Minister to her whom he had served so faithfully — said, speaking of the Prince : " You told me when you were going to be married that he was perfection, which I thought a little exaggerated then, but reaUy I think now that it is in some degree reahzed." King Edward was the child of a love marriage, but the passionate ties which bound his parents together were tempered by serious views of life and its higher duties, rare in people so young and so high-placed. 4 CHARACTER OF KING EDWARD VII. On the day of his birth the Queen enters in her journal that at twelve minutes to eleven a fine large boy was born. " Oh, how happy, how grate ful did I feel to that Almighty Providence who has really blessed me so peculiarly 1" On his christening morn, in that room, which was King Edward's own in after years, his young parents went down on their knees and prayed for the child who some day was to be King in the words already quoted, and thence they passed, arrayed in their robes of the Garter, into St. George's Chapel. The child's official governess, Sarah Lady Lyttel- ton, describes the scene : "Just out of the very agitating, magnificent, impressive business of the day. Such floods of sunshine, through the painted windows, on the fierce, stout features of the royal baby ; and such a burst of the Hallelujah chorus, as soon as the service closed ! All was overpowering." "Ah, que Dieu bdnisse I'enfant," the King of Prussia said, with glistening eyes and much feeling. " When the Duchess of Buccleuch set off to do her arduous part, taking the Prince of Wales and giving him up to, and then taking him from, the Archbishop, she made a little room, and I forced my way into it, so as to see the child perfectly, and also how well she did it, and also how neatly she picked H.R.H., mantle, lace, and all, out of the voluminous folds of the Primate's lawn sleeves, and the dangers of his wig, which it was feared the Prince might have laid hold of, and brought awry at least, on quitting his arms. I did not even see. THE BABY PRINCE 5 what I heard admired, the Queen's very devout and affecting manner of kneeling quite down, in spite of her cumbrous robes of the Garter, on first entering the Chapel." It was on this very spot, where Queen Victoria knelt then, and amid a like pageantry, that a few weeks since* another Queen was kneeling, while another Primate of All England pronounced the final blessing over the open grave of the King whose reign had more than fulfilled the hopes and answered the prayers of those who knelt there on his christening day. Here are glimpses of the httle Prince before he was a year old : "The Prince of Wales, to judge by his noble countenance and calm manner, will be a fine creature. He is very intelligent, and looks through his large, clear blue eyes full at one with a frequent very sweet smile." And some months later : " The Prince of Wales is turning out passionate and determined enough for an autocrat. But he has still his lovely mildness of expression and calm temper in the intervals." These words were written in October, 1842, and how vividly they recall the King who was ours, and among us only a short while ago 1 When he was three and a half years old. Lady Lyttelton speaks of him thus : * From the Quarterly Review, June, 1910. 6 CHARACTER OF KING EDWARD VII. " The Prince of Wales talks much more Enghsh than he did, though he is not articulate hke his sister, but rather babyish in accent. He under stands a httle French and says a few words, but is altogether backward in language, very intelligent, and generous, and good-tempered, with a few passions and stampings occasionally. Most exemp lary in politeness and manner, bows and offers his hand beautifully, besides saluting a la militaire, all unbidden." As for the Prince's " backwardness," he may well have appeared so to his governess, used as she was to a httle Princess, who, when she was only six years old, and when in the glowing pages of " Little Arthur's History " an ancient poet, Wace by name, was mentioned, a poet whose name was utterly unremembered by her embarrassed teacher, re torted : " Oh yes, I dare say you did know all about him, only you have forgotten it. Refiechissez. Go back to your youngness, and you will soon remember." No wonder her governess adds : " I certainly never remember in all my youngness such a young lady as she is, at her age." And here is a final touch of the King's child hood. It was October 11, 1847, and he was six years old. "Windsor Castle, "October 13, 1847. " I suppose you will see something in the news papers of the great escape for which we all, begin ning at the top of the tree, have to thank God. A MERCIFUL ESCAPE 7 The day before yesterday it was, that the elder children being just setting out on their pony-ride, the odious little Japanese pony. Dwarf, frightened the others ; and all set off, being most unluckily, but by no fault of anyone, at the actual moment not held by bridles. The Princess Royal was gently thrown, after a few yards of canter, by her very quiet pony, and not at all hurt : the Prince of Wales was run away with, at the fleetest gallop his pony could go at, all round the lawns. He was strapped into his Spanish seat saddle. But, had the pony gone against a tree, under a bough, or down the slopes, had the groom not, just before, girthed the saddle on, which was found loose, or had the dear child not been so brave as to keep hold of as tight a rein as he could pull, and neither to cry out nor move, we should be now thinking of him in happiness such as — I trust in mercy he may live to inherit some more distant day ! The danger was so great, and the sight of his progress so awful, that poor Miss Hildyard, so calm and unnervous, shrieked and ran about distracted ; the groom says he never shall forget her cry : ' Oh, for God's sake save the child I' I am thaiJdul that I did not see the horrid sight. The Prince of Wales did not cry, and showed no signs of fear, after one loud call for help at first. Princess Royal was like herself : not frightened, and said nothing on falling off herself ; but looking round and seeing her brother, she screamed out : ' Oh ! can't they stop him ? Dear Bertie !' and burst into tears. " Oh ! it was an awful thing. " Princey's pony is called Arthur, and is often thought slow. "Yesterday on the Prince taking his writing lesson. Miss Hildyard said : ' Hold your thumb in the right place. Prince of Wales — so — you can do it right if you try, I'm sure.' ' Oh yes 1' he an swered with a sly smile at her, ' I can. Arthur can 8 CHARACTER OF KING EDWARD VII. gallop, we know now !' It was the only allusion he made to it — rather a clever one." Was not the child father of the man ? " A noble countenance," " a calm manner," " the large blue eyes looking full at one, a frequent very sweet smile," " a temper which could be passionate and determined, with stampings occasionally, but habi tually was calm and generous," " most exemplary in politeness and manner." And finally a brave strong heart knowing no fear, and a sly humour to crown all ! How vain appear the attempts of man to shape character, and how inscrutable are the w^ays of God! The King was born in that eventful year when Sir Robert Peel succeeded Lord Melbourne as Prime Minister ; and during that period when the child's governess was recording her impressions of his baby character, amid the wildest political con flicts, the influence of the Crown, silently and unnoticed, began to assume a shape which altered drastically the relation between the Monarchy and the people, and which culminated in the position occupied by King Edward in the hearts of his subjects and in the counsels of the Empire. It was a combative and critical epoch, in which the Throne itself and those nearest it were not spared. " Every imaginable calumny " (wrote the Prince Consort) " is heaped upon us, especially upon me ; and although a pure nature, conscious of its own CALUMNY AND PATIENCE 9 high purposes, is, and ought to be, lifted above attacks, still it is painful to be misrepresented by people of whom one believed better things." Patience and self-restraint under attack are the only weapons which can with dignity be used by the occupant of a throne. The Queen never thought of, nor would she have tolerated, any vindication or reply. The bitterness and folly of his calumniators served to draw closer together the Prince's friends. Their numbers grew, and as the circle widened, not only did calumny die down, but the high merit of the Prince, his assiduity, his disinterestedness, and his devotion to the country of his adoption, began to be understood and ap preciated by every section of the people. It came to be realized after the Exhibition of 1851, when the Prince of Wales was ten years old, that the husband of the Queen was something more than a Royal Consort, that he was a statesman of steady vision and high principle, whose outlook upon hfe and its duties was bravely faced from a bastion flanked by the deepest sense of religious belief and the keenest conception of the moral responsibilities of the Sovereign. This was the atmosphere in which King Edward's boyhood passed. His father's German blood and upbringing lent to his character and activities a thoroughness which in most Englishmen is lacking. This thoroughness was never more manifest than in his watchful care over the education of the Prince of Wales. It is almost painful to look back 10 CHARACTER OF KING EDWARD VII. upon the days and nights of worry and anxiety spent by the Queen and the Prince over the minutest details of the physical, intellectual and moral training of their children, and especially of their eldest son. Nothing — not the smallest thing — was left to chance. The Prince of Wales was not only a part, but in some respects the most significant part of that great trust which had been committed to these two young Sovereigns by the Almighty. Some day he would be the King. It was a terrible, a haunting thought, and it was never through long years absent from the minds of his father and mother. Not a week, not a day, not an hour of the time of this precious youth could safely or properly be wasted. Other lads might occasionally run loose in the springtime, and for other boys it might be legitimate to plunge into the region of romance. But for this boy the pages even of Sir Walter Scott were closed, and he must concentrate, ever concentrate upon "modern lan guages," upon " history," upon " the sciences " — in short, upon laying solidly the intellectual and moral foundations which, in the eyes of his con scientious and high-minded father, alone could safely bear the mighty superstructure of the Throne. Daily, almost hourly, the Queen and the Prince kept watch and ward over those entrusted with the care of their son. Within the walls of Buckingham Palace or Windsor Castle letters and notes constantly passed, and were carefully and elaborately preserved. They recorded the STEPS TO INDEPENDENCE 11 Queen's anxious solicitude that no boyish longing for excitement should interfere with the Prince's " adherence to and perseverance in the plan both of studies and life " laid down by his father, and the untiring efforts of his tutors to maintain the strict regimen imposed upon them and their charge. When the Prince of Wales was fifteen he was given a moderate allowance — a sum which would probably be thought mean by many an Eton boy in these plutocratic days — out of which he found his own hats and ties and the small trifles indispen sable to a boy's toilet, and for which he accounted to the Queen. It was the first step along the road to independence. The next step was the " privi lege " to choose his own dress (but not to pay for it), a freedom accorded by the Queen with some misgiving. " Dress " (she writes) " is a trifling matter which ought not to be raised to too much importance in our own eyes. But it gives also the one outward sign from which people in general can and often do judge upon the internal state of mind and feeling of a person, for this they all see, whilst the other they cannot see, On that account it is of some importance, particularly in persons of high rank. I must now say that we do not wish to control your own taste and fancies, which, on the contrary, we wish you to indulge and develop, but we do expect that you will never wear anything extrava gant or slang, not because we don't like it, but because it would prove a want of self-respect and be an offence against decency, leading — as it has often done before in others — to an indifference to what is morally wrong. It would do you much 12 CHARACTER OF KING EDWARD VII. harm by giving the impression to others that you belonged to the foolish and worthless persons who are distinguished and known by such dresses. Don't believe that I say this because we do not trust your doing what is right in this respect, but to show you at the outset where the right and wrong lies, in order that you may clearly see it and never be in doubt about your choice. "We have such confidence in your good and right and dutiful feehngs that we feel certain that you wiU never abuse the confidence which we place in you by giving you this power — and that you wiU ever understand that, to receive and seek the advice of those one loves and respects in no way lessens one's independence." At no time in his life did King Edward in reality require this excellent counsel. His instincts were always true. As a child he disliked brilhant colours, and detested a certain " poplin " frock in which he was painted by Winterhalter. Those who knew him in later years were always conscious of his strong liking for neatness and order. These qualities were in his view kingly attributes as essential as punctuality. His rooms were a model of tidiness. If anything was out of place he put it straight, and neither books, papers, nor any things of his were ever left in disorder. Nothing was more noticeable in him, and some times the fact has been lightly spoken of, than his careful and quick eye for irregularity in dress. Superficial and priggish minds have thought it a faihng, indicative of a narrow intelligence, which it sometimes accompanies, although no detail ever ATTENTION TO DETAIL 13 escaped the eyes of Napoleon or Frederick the Great. In point of fact, the King's own dress throughout his life was a pattern of neatness, and he exacted similar care from others. Subcon sciously he carried out the precepts of the Queen and the Prince, and though he can hardly have remembered his father's definite and well-reasoned ideas upon this, as upon all matters which concerned the character and demeanour of his ch^dren, yet they bore fruit in later years, and no one lived up to or demanded from others a higher standard of decorum than King Edward. To him it was the external token denoting the inner man, orderliness of mind, observation and carefulness, without vulgarity and without display. On his birthday in 1858, among the gifts which the Prince of Wales received was the following memorandum signed by the Queen and by the Prince. He was just seventeen, he had been appointed a Colonel in the Army, and the Order of the Garter had been bestowed on him by his mother and Sovereign. Memorandum. (The Queen and Prince, for the Prince of Wales.) " The period at which you have arrived will make an important change in your position. Mr. Gibbs, who has watched your childhood, will leave you ; you receive rank in that most honour able profession, the British Army; enter into the confraternity of the selected few who wear St. George's Cross on their shoulder as members of the Order of the Garter in token ' of the 14 CHARACTER OF KING EDWARD VII. Christian fight which they mean to sustain with the temptations and difficulties of this transient life'; and you are placed under the supervision and guidance of a Governor selected from among the members of the aristocracy and the superior officers of the Army. " What has been asked hitherto from you to be done for your education by the tutor to whom you were responsible wiU be demanded henceforth as a duty, for the due performance of which you will be answerable to yourself and to your parents, whose express wishes will be indicated and inter preted to you by the Governor. " Life is composed of duties, and in the due, punctual, and cheerful performance of them the true Christian, true soldier, and true gentleman is recognized. " You will in future have rooms allotted to your sole use, in order to give you an opportunity of learning how to occupy yourself unaided by others, and to utilize your time in the best manner — viz., such time as may not be otherwise occupied by lessons, by the different tasks which will be given to you by your director of studies, or reserved for exercise and recreation. A new sphere of life will open for you, in which you will have to be taught what to do and what not to do, a subject requiring study more important than any in which you have hitherto been engaged. For it is a subject of study, and the most difficult one of your life, how to become a good man and a thorough gentleman. " The Equerries will take and receive their orders from the Governor. You will never leave the house without reporting yourself to him, and he will settle who is to accompany you, and will give general directions as to the disposition of the day. " Your personal allowance will be increased ; but THE ROYAL MEMORANDUM 15 it is expected that you wiU carefully order your expenditure so as to remain strictly within the bounds of the sum allowed to you, which will be amply sufficient for your general requirements. " To the servants and those below you you will always be courteous and kind, remembering that by having engaged to serve you in return for certain money payments, they have not sur rendered their dignity which belongs to them as brother men and brother Christians. You will try to emancipate yourself as much as possible from the thraldom of abject dependence for your daily wants of life on your servants. The more you can do for youfself and the less you need their help, the greater will be your independence and real comfort. " The Church Catechism has enumerated the duties which you owe to God and your neighbour. Let your rule of conduct be always in strict con formity with these precepts, and remember that the first and principal one of all, given us by our Lord and Saviour Himself, is this, ' that you should love your neighbour as yourself, and do unto men as you would they should do unto you.' " (Signed) V. R. " (Signed) A. "Windsor Castle, " November 9, 1858." Care for their son's guidance at this critical period of his life was not confined by his parents to personal direction. His companions were selected after endless trouble and consultation with men in the higher spheres of* education and of social life. The Prime Minister was not excluded from these deliberations, and indeed there was no important occasion during the Prince of Wales's minority 16 CHARACTER OF KING EDWARD VII. when the most capable of her Ministers was not consulted by the Queen before any decision was finally taken affecting the career of the future King. This was the ever-present idea, the haunting refrain, the dominant consideration, in everything relating to the Prince of Wales. He was not primarily in their view only the eldest son of the Queen. He was the eldest of the Children of England — les enfants d! Angleterre — as their old governess called them; and consequently his education was no private matter. It was a State question of first-rate importance, and merited grave consideration, in the gravest style, by grave states men. If boy companions were to be selected for the holidays or for a tour in the Highlands, emis saries were sent to the public schools, and head masters were taken into counsel. If " gentlemen " were to be appointed to wait on the Heir to the Crown, endless trouble was taken to see that the best possible choice was made, and that the persons chosen were adequately seized of their responsi bility and duties. It is worth while to quote at length one of these " papers of instruction " in order to show once more the care bestowed upon this precious charge. Memorandum. (Confidential : for the guidance of the gentlemen appointed to attend on the Prince of Wales.) "It appears to be desirable upon the first ap pointment of the gentlemen to attend upon the INSTRUCTIONS TO ATTENDANTS 17 Prince of Wales, that their attention should be called to certain points, in which the sphere of their usefulness may be extended beyond the usual limits of an Equerry's duties, and her Majesty the Queen has therefore authorized the communication to them, in confidence, of this memorandum, not as a code of instructions as to the services they will have to perform, but with a view to establish cer tain principles by which their own conduct and demeanour may be regulated, and which it is thought may conduce to the benefit of the Prince of Wales. " The Prince of Wales has arrived at that period in his life when the state of transition commences from the habits, the dependence, and the subjection to control of a boy to the manners and the conduct and ultimately to the self-reliance and responsibility of a man. The most critical, the most important, and the most difficult period of a life-time ; that which all parents watch with the greatest anxiety. " The usual and the most efficient means adopted for ensuring a happy result to this state of transi tion is to take care that upon entering into contact with the world, the young may be placed in what is commonly called ' a good set.' " If he falls into such a one at College, is placed in a Regiment distinguished for the gentleman-like conduct of its officers, or enters a public office most in request from the tone of the young men em ployed in it, the result of such association is usually to be traced in the character of the young man, and in the estimation in which he is generally held. "The Prince, however, has no opportunity of mixing upon the same terms with young people of his own age, and of obtaining the same advantages of association, and yet more is expected from him than perhaps from any other young man. " In selecting, therefore, the gentlemen to attend upon the Prince of Wales, the Royal Parents have 18 CHARACTER OF KING EDWARD VIL chosen them, with great care, with a view to their supplying, in some degree, this want, and becoming themselves the representatives, as it were, of that ' good set,' by association with whom the Prince of Wales may acquire such a tone, and learn such manners and conduct, as may make him socially what his parents wish, and what the country will expect. " The Prince of Wales must not only be a gentle man, but his rank and position point him out as the first gentleman in the country; he can hold no intermediate position ; if not the first gentleman in England, he sinks at once to a level incompatible with his title of Prince of Wales. " It is not intended in this memorandum to enter into the question of the higher attributes of mind and feeling of a gentleman, but merely to speak of the outward social deportment and manners. " The qualities which distinguish a gentleman in society are : " 1st. His appearance, his deportment and dress. " 2nd. The character of his relations with, and treatment of others. " 3rd. His desire and power to acquit himself creditably in conversation or whatever is the occupation of the society with which he mixes. "1st. Appearance, deportment and dress. "The appearance, deportment and dress of a gentleman consist perhaps more in the absence of certain offences against good taste, and in a careful avoidance of vulgarities and exaggerations of any kind, however generally they may be the fashion of the day, than in the adherence to any rules which can be exactly laid down. A gentlernan does not indulge in careless, self-indulgent, lounging ways, such as lolling in armchairs, or on sofas, slouching DEPORTMENT AND DRESS 19 in his gait, or placing himself in unbecoming atti tudes, with his hands in his pockets, or in any position in which he appears to consult more the idle ease of the moment than the maintenance of the decorum which is characteristic of a polished gentleman. In dress, with scrupulous attention to neatness, and good taste, he will never give in to the unfortunately loose and slang style which pre dominates at the present day. He will borrow nothing from the fashions of the groom or the game-keeper, and whilst avoiding the frivolity and foolish vanity of dandyism, will take care that his clothes are of the best quality, well made, and suitable to his rank and position. "The gentlemen will see how much of the examples upon which the young Prince wiU found his views of carrying out these principles, will naturally depend upon what he daily sees in them ; and the Queen will hope that they will pay con stant attention to what may appear trifles, but the aggregate of which go far to mark the outward characteristics of a gentleman. "To all these particulars the Prince of Wales must necessarily pay more attention than any one else. His deportment will be more watched, his dress more criticized. " There are many habits and practices and much in dress which might be quite natural and un objectionable for these gentlemen at their own homes and in their ordinary life, which would form dangerous examples for the Prince of Wales to copy, and her Majesty and his Royal Highness would wish them in all their habits to have regard to these consequences, and without any formality, or stiffness of manner, to remember both in deport ment and in dress that they are in attendance on the eldest son of the Queen. " 2nd. Manners and conduct towards others. " The manners and conduct of a gentleman to- 20 CHARACTER OF KING EDWARD VII. wards others are founded on the basis of kindness, consideration, and the absence of selfishness. There can be no good manners when any one of these principles is sacrificed. " A prince, particularly, should treat all around him with the most scrupulous good manners, civility and attention. " He should return every mark of respect, not only with the most punctilious exactitude, but with an appearance of goodwill and cordiality. A salute returned with the air of its being a bore is rather an affront than a civility. "A prince should never say a harsh or a rude word to anybody, nor indulge in satirical or banter ing expressions, by which the person to whom it is addressed may be lowered. As soon as the con versation of a prince makes his companion feel uncomfortable he is sure to have offended against some of the laws of good breeding. " Punctuality is another of the duties of a well- bred gentleman ; no person should ever be kept waiting, but should circumstances render this un avoidable, an apology should always be made, and regret expressed at any inconvenience that may have been incurred. " The gentlemen will hardly require to have it pointed out to them how much of these habits, so important to the Prince of Wales, may be incul cated and strengthened by association. "Not only is it desirable that they should be most courteous and kind to all around, but they should quietly, yet steadily, mark in their manner any approach to want of civility or rudeness to wards themselves ; with every readiness to oblige the young Prince in what is for his benefit, they should always let him see that they maintain their self-respect, can be firm, and do not approve of any liberty being attempted with them. They should be themselves very exact in punctuality. They CONVERSATION AND OCCUPATION 21 should never encourage, or themselves indulge in, ridicule of personal pecuharities or natural defects, children being very prone to laugh at others, and even supposing that they thereby estabhsh for themselves a certain superiority. "There are many habits and folhes that may weU be subjected to satire and even quizzing, but these should be as much as possible remarked upon, apart from individuals of whom nothing should be said hurtful or degrading. The fact becoming known that the Prince of Wales had laughed at this or that person would give great offence, and create for him many enemies. "These remarks apply, of course, in a still stronger degree to anything approaching to a practical joke,, which should never be permitted. " 3rd. The power to acquit himself creditably in conversation or whatever may be the occupation of society. " A gentleman having gained the prestige in society of good dress and appearance, and courteous manners, must maintain the good opinion of his companions by showing intelligence in his con versation, and some knowledge of those studies and pursuits which adorn society and make it interest ing. Mere games of cards and billiards, and idle gossiping talk, will never teach this ; and to a Prince, who has usually to take the lead in con versation, the habit of finding something to say beyond mere questions as to health and remarks upon the weather is most desirable. " Although, therefore, the Prince of Wales is to have all relaxation and recreation which is desirable (and which, indeed, is quite necessary), the gentle men in attendance may be of great use if they can succeed by persevering example in inducing the Prince to devote some of his leisure time to music, to the fine arts, either drawing, or looking over drawings, engravings, etc., to hearing poetry, 22 CHARACTER OF KING EDWARD VII. amusing books, or good plays read aloud ; in short, to anything that whilst it amuses may gently exercise the mind. They must give this up if the Prince seems at first disinclined to such pursuits. It wiU not be within their province to direct what his Royal Highness is to do ; but by persevering in such employments themselves, and encouraging and assisting the Prince when he shows the disposi tion to join them, they may do much to lead him to what is at present so desirable, and will through life conduce so much to his happiness. " In detailing all these minute points to be attended to, the Royal Parents wish that these gentlemen should be made aware that her Majesty and his Royal Highness have entrusted to them a charge involving something beyond the mere atten dance of an Equerry and the making themselves agreeable to his Royal Highness. If they will duly appreciate the responsibility of their position, and taking the points above laid down as the out line, will exercise their own good sense in acting upon all occasions upon these principles, thinking no point of detail too minute to be important, but maintaining one steady, consistent line of conduct, they may render essential service to the young Prince and justify the flattering selection made by the Royal Parents." It must not be supposed that less care was bestowed upon the intellectual training of the Prince of Wales than upon his manners and de portment. The Prince Consort would indeed have been faithless to his own traditions, and to King Leopold and Baron Stockmar, those watchful advisers who so jealously guarded his youth, had he failed to lay down in precise detail the daily tasks of his son. LIFE AT HIGH PRESSURE 23 It is no exaggeration to say that every hour of the Prince of Wales's time, from his earliest boy hood until the death of his father, was mapped out by his governors and preceptors, and submitted for approval. It is no mere phrase, but a sober fact, to say that every day of the boy's life a report of his progress was sent up to his parents. And this was no perfunctory service on the part of his teachers, for hardly a week passed without some criticism of their methods, some word of commendation, or some expression of regret at their failure to come up to the lofty standard which was always before the mind of the Prince Consort. It would be profitless to go at length into the daily routine of the young Prince's studies. The elaborately prepared tabular statements of his work show no marked originality on the part of his pro fessors, but a somewhat soaring ambition. Without the stimulus of competition, surrounded by the disturbing influences of regal state, deprived of the free companionship of boys of his own age, it is not surprising that the Prince of Wales, although he never rebelled, passively resisted the high pressure of his father's system of education. It was undoubtedly the case, and King Edward, in referring to those days, regretted the decision which isolated him during the crucial years of his later boyhood from contact with his equals in age and intellectual attainments. It would not have been surprising if he had acquired no taste for books, because, as he often 24 CHARACTER OF KING EDWARD VII. himself complained, he was nevfir given any liberty of choice, and every book came before him as a task. History, for instance, as he in later life explained, was presented to him in its driest and most tabulated form. But, notwithstanding these drawbacks. King Edward thoroughly enjoyed bio graphy, and his memory, so largely dependent upon visual keenness, was prodigious, but he often said that of the groundwork of history he had been deprived by reaction from the insistent boredom of his historical teaching in boyhood. The tutor to whom the Prince of Wales was most warmly attached realized quite early the truth. He saw that the method of high tension was failing to produce the results hoped for by the boy's anxious parents, and that his pupil's too-alert intelhgence, his exuberant sense of life, his moral restlessness under restraint, and his budding manhood, were deadly influences entirely subversive of the scholas tic ideas of the Prince Consort. To some not unfrequent expressions of dis appointment from the Prince at his son's want of studious reflection this teacher replied : " At any rate, he is storing up materials for future thought, and is learning almost unconsciously from objective teaching much which, I think, could never have been taught him subjectively." This accurate and discerning analysis of his capacity was true of King Edward then and throughout his life, and the faihng or quality, whichever it may be held to be, was one of the UNIVERSITY LIFE 25 causes which largely contributed to his successful management of public affairs during his reign. A great reader the King never was, but he was a great observer. From his German University he brought away no smattering of German metaphysics, but a com plete mastery of German speech. His experience of Edinburgh student life, although he found time at Holyrood hang rather heavily, Avas of permanent value to him. He often spoke in later years with sly amusement of the rather solemn dinners in the old Palace, where the companions of this lad of eighteen were men so distinguished, but so un- joyous, as the Lord Advocate, Lord Melville, the Provost, the Sheriff, and Lord Playfair. But he never altogether forgot Lord Playfair's lectures, which he regularly attended, on the composition and working of iron ore. They imparted to him a certain liking for practical science and its votaries which he never wholly lost. His literary relaxation at this time was confined to an abridgement of Gibbon and Schmitz's "History of the Middle Ages." The King often used to say that his University life at Oxford and Cambridge had been a mistake. He imputed no blame to the Prince Consort for deciding that for the Prince of Wales to live the life of an ordinary undergraduate was impossible. He realized perfectly the immense difficulties of the problem which confronted his parents of wishing to give him the benefit of that higher education — in 5 »i6 CHARACTER OF KING EDWARD VII. its widest sense — which a University opens to her worthier sons, and at the same time to protect the Heir to the Throne from the familiarities — with their inevitable consequences — of undergraduate life. The view of the Prince Consort cannot be better expressed than in his own words. The Prince to the Dean of Christ Church. "Private and Confidential. " My dear Dean of Christ Church, " Sir Charles Phipps has sent me on your letter. Before settling in my mind whether we could properly send the Prince of Wales to Oxford or Cambridge, it became necessary to know that he could be so placed there as to remain entirely master (or for his governor to remain so for him) of the choice of society which he might encounter or the young men he might wish or ought to associate with. "In college this appeared to me almost im possible, and it was upon your suggesting that he need not live in coUege, and perhaps ought not to do so, and your pointing out the precedent of the Prince of Orange, that 1 thought the whole plan of a visit to the Univerities feasible. " I should be very sorry if plans were now pro posed which would endanger the foundation upon which I built, and the more I think of it, the more I see the difficulties of the Prince of Wales being thrown together with the other young men, and having to make his selection of acquaintances when so thrown together with them ; an entirely separate establishment would alone enable him to do so with safety. " (Signed) Albert. " October 21, 1858." THE BURDEN OF RESPONSIBILITY 27 King Edward, however, clearly as he realized the difficulty, used to say in later years that the real choice lay between a regular collegiate life and not going to the University at all. His preference would have been for the former alternative. One may, perhaps, be pardoned for adding that this opinion was delivered from a station so exalted, and a position so secure, that the dangers and risks which possibly were magnified by the Prince were possibly minimized by the King. The anxieties of the Queen and Prince were very poignant, and their sense of the gravity of the moral and intellectual training of him who was to be King was so overwhelming that it undoubtedly added a heavy burden to the cares of State, which their correspondence and diaries reveal. The following letter was written to Colonel Bruce — then acting as Governor to the Prince of Wales — by the Prince Consort after his first visit to his son at Oxford : The Prince to Colonel Bruce. "My dear Colonel Bruce, " I was much pleased with my visit yester day, and glad to find the Prince so assiduous in his work, and giving his willing and best attention to Mr. Fisher. "I must not conceal my disappointment, how ever, to find that, whilst we had hoped that the Prince would be able thoroughly to study the Law and Constitution with Mr. Fisher, and attend two lectures, one in History, the other in Chemistry, merely to enable him to follow a part of the public instruction of Oxford besides, the time and work 28 CHARACTER OF KING EDWARD VIL required to make these two lectures understood and profitable should swallow up the whole of the Prince's time. I do not blame him, for he is doing his best, and deserves praise for that ; but it makes me terribly anxious for the future, and anxious that not a moment be lost of the few precious weeks which the Prince has for his studies. " We cannot afford to lose whole days out of the week for amusements, or to trench upon the hours of study by social calls, which have always had, and naturally will always have hereafter, the greatest share of the Prince's attention and time. The only use of Oxford is that it is a place for study, a refuge from the world and its claims. It does not require, I am sure, my setting this forth particularly either to you or the Prince himself; but I have thought it my duty to refer once more to this topic, as you will have to make your decisions with regard to various invitations and expectations as to what social amusements the Prince might join in. " The Prince will have to see his sister one day when she comes ; will have his birthday, and after wards hers, to celebrate with us. Here are already four or five days broken into, and three quite lost. " With regard to the Prince's choice of society, you will have to use the greatest circumspection. You are aware of the principles which we have laid down after anxious reflection and much com munication with the different Ministers of the day, who look, as we do, upon the Prince's life as a public matter not unconnected with the present and prospective welfare of the nation and the State. In whatever decisions you may communicate to the Prince he will recognize, therefore, the result of these determinations, and he will easily com prehend that his position and life must be different from that of the other undergraduates ; that his belonging to a particular college even, which could RESPONSIBILITY OF POSITION 29 not be avoided, has another significance from what it bears in other young men's lives. He belongs to the whole University, and not to Christ Church in particular, as the Prince of Wales will always belong to the whole nation, and not to the Peer age, the Army, etc., etc., although he may form part of them ; that he can, and ought never, to belong to party, or faction, or coterie, or closed society, etc. " Private individuals have a right to form asso ciations, and cast in their lot with them, as a mode of gaining a position in life. The Prince of Wales has his position ready made for him by the nation and the Constitution, and the nation has a clear and indisputable right to demand of him that he will make that use of this position for which it was given him — viz., for the general good and welfare of the whole. I think it not superfluous to mark this strongly, as it requires reflection beyond the Prince's years to apprehend the difference in the claims upon him and upon others. " I trust you will give the Prince an opportunity of becoming acquainted with the distinguished men of the place, and give them in return the means of seeing the Prince. Your convivial meetings at dinner will give the best means for this. Mixing them with some of the young students will give variety and interest to the conversation, and do a favour to the young men, who have otherwise no means of meeting familiarly those from whom they expect to derive the benefit of education, and be tween whom and themselves habit and circum stances have placed unnecessary and hurtful barriers. " I was very poorly yesterday evening after my return here, but am better this evening. " This letter is for the Prince as well as for yourself, for he is now old enough to enter into the spirit and reasons for his guidance and not to 30 CHARACTER OF KING EDWARD VII. remain satisfied merely with conforming to the wishes of his parents. " (Signed) Albert. "Windsor Castle, 27/10/59." King Edward was at a difficult age — the age when in men, as in young nations, the spirit of rebellion is hard to check, and when the hand of the parent in the one case, or the statesman in the other, requires to be both firm and light. The boy of seventeen was passing through a phase quite unlike what the King afterwards be came. Looking over some old letters, quite re cently, from one of his tutors, the King found himself accused, when in his eighteenth year, of a " want of enthusiasm and imagination, and the absence or torpor of the poetical element," which he, not altogether justly, believed to have been always a correct diagnosis of his temperament. There was, however, a further passage in which complaint is made of his " want of generosity, not simply generosity in giving, but generosity of sentiment and judgment, a want of toleration of difference of opinion and of imputation of honourable motives, a want of un- suspicion of mean ones, and of a readiness to give rather than to take advantage, his position enabling him to do the former with grace and dignity whilst he may yet do the latter with impunity." The King said of this passage, quite gravely, that it was perfectly true. We have seen in the letters of his old governess GENEROSITY OF DISPOSITION 31 curious traits of the boy Prince which were very characteristic of King Edward, but nothing could resemble less the most generous-hearted and gener ous-minded of Monarchs than this description of his pupil by the King's favourite tutor. Every one of these traits upon which the writer put his finger in 1858 was not only corrected in the King, half a century later, but replaced by its entire opposite. No man was ever less prone to attribute mean motives, no man ever showed less resentment or rancune. Not only did he give his confidence to those whom he thus honoured, with singular un- suspicion, but he forgave neglect and even an injury almost too readily — if forgiveness can be too generously granted. Bitterness he never felt, and anger which he did feel was never long sustained. The King's placability was wonderful, and nothing endeared him more to those about him than that sweet-blooded nature which made him ready at all times, when free from momentary anger, to give those of whom he disapproved the benefit of a right motive and of the best intention. In the truest sense of the phrase he was a most Christian King. Upon the King's religious and domestic hfe it would be impertinent even to touch lightly. The atmosphere in which his youth was passed is well known. From the simple faith of those who prayed together on the day of his christening King Edward never swerved. 32 CHARACTER OF KING EDWARD VII. A letter from the Prince to the Prince of Wales, written on July 14, 1858, has been preserved. The Prince to the Prince of Wales. " My dear Bertie, "Mr. Gibbs has reported to me your wish to take the Sacrament next Sunday at Mortlake at an early service, together with Major Lindsay and Mr. Tarver, who appear to have the intention of doing so on their own account. Whilst that wish, if it springs from the deep feelings of the heart to draw nearer to the Lord and to seek support in the struggle with the weak human nature, and not from a mere love of imitating what other people may do — does you the greatest honour, it may be right for me to tell you upon what the practice is based, which your father and mother have established for themselves, and followed after mature reflection, upon a subject of great difficulty and importance for the Christian. " There are two extremes of opinion, the one that the Sacrament is a means of grace working by its mere acceptance, and which ought not to be refused whenever it is offered, such a refusal being, in a stronger sense, not unlike the incivility to decline an invitation in ordinary life. It is termed ingratitude to God, and a casting off of His helping hand. People holding to this opinion take the Sacrament every Sunday when it is given. " The other extreme bases its refusal to take the Sacrament except in rare instances, upon the dangers resulting from unworthy participation, which are strongly pointed out by St. Paul. Whilst the first run the risk of profaning and rendering unimpressive one of the great means to strengthen good resolutions, confessing sins, and starting afresh in life, the second run the risk of never finding that moment of fit preparation for which they are TAKING THE SACRAMENT 33 waiting, and losing altogether the blessing of the Sacrament. " We have agreed upon taking it twice a year, and have selected as fixed periods, times at which the history of the Gospel and the Church festivals prepare us, and induce us to additional sanctity, and at which we are sure not to be broken in upon by the gaieties of society, or demands of business — Christmas and Easter, as during these festivals everybody is at home with his family. " We have chosen to take it, away from and un disturbed by the multitude who would stop for the show, if we were to remain in a public church after the service, and we have chosen the early morning as a time when the mind is still fresh, and not fatigued, nor the attention diminished by the lengthy previous service ; we remain the previous day, and the day itself, as quiet as possible. "Now, as our son, you would do well to keep to the example and practice of your parents, first because they have had more time and means to arrive at a just conclusion of what is best to be done in so important a matter, and secondly, because a different practice followed by the son implies a disagreement in feeling between them, if not a declaration on the part of the latter that he thought the former wrong. "Any division in the Royal Family gives the whole of the pubhc the right to criticize, to take part for the one side and the other side, and so injure both. " I return to the present case. If you feel a real yearning of the heart, go by aU means, as the place is a retired one ; the service will, I believe, be at eight o'clock in the morning, when there will be very few people present, and your life at the Lodge has been so private a one as not to have disturbed you. " If the subject is indifferent to you, and your 34 CHARACTER OF KING EDWARD VII. wish has been only a light one, do not unnecessarily break through our rule, knowing now the reasons upon which this rule depends. " Show this letter to Mr. Gibbs. " Ever, " (Signed) Albert. "Osborne, 1858." Did any father write to his seventeen-year-old son a letter upon such a subject more full of simple piety, and more imbued with the spirit of the Protestant faith ? Among the influences of his youth upon his maturer age it is impossible to overlook the journeys at home and oversea upon which so much thought ful care was expended. His first trip, to the English lakes and to Scotland, with a few boy friends, was recorded by the Prince of Wales in his journal, as were others which followed. These journals were a source of some trouble to their author. His father thought them meagre. In point of fact they are boyish and simple records of the day's doings. "The first Prince of Wales visiting the Pope " suggested to the analytical mind of the Prince Consort, who so described it, thoughts and ideas which he desired to see reflected, however dimly, in that of his son. He was disappointed. Description is there, but in the cant of the schools, no subjectivity. On the other hand, there exists a letter written by Sir Henry Bulwer, then the repre sentative of the Queen at Constantinople, to Lord John Russell, giving an account of a visit paid by SIR H. BULWER'S LETTER 35 the Prince of Wales in the month of January immediately after the death of the Prince Consort, which would have been read by that Prince of high ideals and lofty standards with unmixed satis faction. The following is an extract : Received January 22, 1862. " But what pleased and struck me more than all, I must say, was our Prince's own manner. He is always remarkably easy and knows perfectly how to make those little speeches which princes are called upon to have so frequently upon their lips. But this was not all ; before arriving at the break fast, I just gave his Royal Highness a little insight into the Sultan's character, and the things to say that would please him. The manner in which he took advantage of those hints surprised me. The oldest diplomatists could not have succeeded better, or in my belief as well. Every point was touched so lightly, so naturally, and this produced on me the gi-eater impression ; since a man cannot have tact merely in one thing. If it is developed by circumstances one day, it is likely to be equally developed by circumstances in action another day. I should say, in short, that the Prince of Wales kept for two or three years in good hands and managed with skill (it requires perhaps some skill), her Majesty will be proud of, and happy in him. I do not think he will study much or learn much from books, but he will attain all that is practically necessary for him to know by observation and use it with address. " I saw several instances of a kind heart and of good sense ; but there are two extremes, I should say, to be avoided with him — severity, which would tend to bring out obstinacy; and flattery, which 36 CHARACTER OF KING EDWARD VII. would naturally tend to encourage presumption or over self-confidence. " But I believe that praise well bestowed when it is really merited would tend very much to form the Prince's character, and fix it steadily in a proper course. " I have observed also that the wisest way with him is never to maintain any argument at the time about this thing or that thing being the best to do, but simply to state an opinion, and if that opinion is the right one, I have seen him always end after a little in coming round to it. " All these observations are formed on trifles, but, still, the subject is so interesting a one that I thought you would like to hear from me con fidentially upon it, and as the happiness of our nation, and also of our afflicted Queen, depends so much on what her eldest son may turn out, this gives an additional importance to the question. " My opinion, 1 confess, is, on the whole, a very favourable one. If H.R.H. is cleverly dealt with now, I do not think he will cause either her Majesty or the nation any anxiety. If he is not, he may for a time do so ; but even then I feel certain he would soon right himself, for there is a great fund of good about him. The danger is that through his easy manners (though they are quite dignified enough when necessary) and the desire to be amused, so natural to youth in general, he might get into the hands of some agreeable person who would not have the character and good sense to guide him, and might have a pride and vanity in leading him astray." The diplomatist and experienced man of the world had not only gauged truly the character of the young Prince, echoing, as he does, the words of the tutor written with fuller knowledge, but he FACILITY OF SPEECH 37 foreshadows with singular and prophetic accuracy some of those high qualities which enabled King Edward to render the greatest service to his country, and have placed his fame upon an enduring foundation. Sir Henry Bulwer had no means of foreshadow ing, as others had, a gift which was remarkable in the King throughout the years of his mature man hood. Those who were about the Prince's person at Oxford noticed early the consummate ease with which he was able to put into striking and well- balanced phrase the matter of a public speech. He used often to say that he found elaborate prepara tion impossible, and that whenever he attempted to learn a speech by heart, he failed to deliver it. His speeches were, save for their general ideas, delivered impromptu. The right words and phrases, whether in the English, French, or German languages, came naturally to his lips, and no one ever excelled him in the power of putting in musical cadence and perfectly chosen words sentiments of courteous welcome or graceful acknowledgment. Those who heard King Edward speak on august occasions can never forget the telling quality of his voice or the emotional dignity of his expression and manner. The long years which intervened between his coming of age and his accession, years occupied with social duties but deprived of political activi ties, full of enforced amusement rather than of practical business, were possibly the real source of 88 CHARACTER OF KING EDWARD VII. his influence and one of the secrets of his success. It is a serious difficulty in a constitutional monarchy such as ours that no adequate place is provided for the Heir Apparent to the Throne. Of social engagements and ceremonial oppor tunities, it is true that many were found to occupy the time of the Prince of Wales, and he never shrank from the performance of these duties, how ever dolorous and heavy. The prolonged seclusion of the Queen after the death of the Prince Consort increased in number and importance the popular functions which were thrown upon the shoulders of the Prince of Wales. He bore the burden lightly, and in very debonair fashion. His real love of humanity, his unbored nature, his delight in movement, and his easy grace of manner and speech, rendered facile to him obligations from which so many public men and Sovereigns are known to shrink. He thoroughly enjoyed society, whether in the great houses in which he and the Princess were received as more than welcome guests, or at pubhc entertainments, where his genial manners and hearty love of fellow ship captivated men of all shades of politics, and of every religious or social persuasion. No one was ever less of an eclectic than King Edward. All through his life he accepted men and women for what they were, and although he showed preferences, and inclined more to some forms of social entertainment than to others, he never encouraged social cliques or ostracized any man THE PRINCE'S POSITION 39 from the circles in which he moved because of opinions or because of his tastes. Like Queen Victoria, he disliked backbiters and scandal mongers, and never accepted rumour as a decisive factor in estimating the character of others, but first required proof. But the King liked a good story, and could tell one with admirable gusto and without the slightest loss of dignity. Cut off by the experiences of his position from active political interests, he never lowered himself by lending his countenance to political intrigue. Queen Victoria, standing aloof as she did from the bustling world, absorbed by her profound sense of the semi-divine duties imposed upon her by Providence, rejecting the idea that she was entitled to share her higher responsibilities even with her eldest son, and encouraged to hold this view by the experiences of the House of Hanover and by the advice of her Ministers, who had no wish to widen the area of counsel, undoubtedly isolated the Prince of Wales from public affairs, and threw him, not always uncriticized and unblamed, upon amuse ments and resources which were held by grave men to be unworthy of his abihties and of his high position. The Turf, the Theatre, and " Society " in the narrower sense of this term claimed, many thought, an undue share of his time and attention. Serious men were often in doubt whether the Prince of Wales would ever fill even with con ventional decorum that high place in the regard of 40 CHARACTER OF KING EDWARD VII. British subjects all over the face of the world which was occupied by the venerated Queen, who had so long sat most regally upon the throne. When the Queen died, if any of those in closer contact with King Edward nourished misgivings, they were dis solved in twenty-four hours. Not only were the Privy Councillors and citizens of London, who were present in the Banqueting- Hall of St. James's Palace on January 23, 1902, moved to admiration by the noble words — written by the King's own unguided hand — in which he announced his determination, so long as there was breath in his body, to work for the good and amelioration of his people, but those who stood nearer to him still, and were for the succeeding days in close touch with the labours of State as they accumulated hour by hour at Marlborough House, realized immediately that in Edward VII. the country had come into possession of a great monarch. So far from his previous life, with its want of concentrated energy, with its so-called frivolities, and with what men always prejudiced and some times insincere call its ceremonial inanities, proving an obstacle to kingship, the sheer humanity of it had left him unscathed of soul, and most extra ordinarily well equipped for dealing with the gravest problem with which a Sovereign has to deal, that is to say, the eternal problem of making good use of the average man. Few have equalled and cer tainly no one has ever surpassed King Edward in handling, not dexterously, because the word implies THE KING'S INFLUENCE 41 overconsciousness, but with grace past understand ing, his fellow-man. Whether it was a Radical politician or a foreign statesman, a man embittered by neglect or one of Fortune's favourites, an honest man or a villain, no one ever left the King's presence without a sense of his own increased importance in the worldly scale of things. It was this power of raising a man in his own estimation, which was the mainspring of the King's influence. His varied intercourse with men of all sorts and conditions, his preference for objective rather than for subjective teaching, as his old tutor said of him in boyhood, and his frank interest in the affairs of others had taught him the most profound and the oftenest ignored of all plati tudes, that the vast majority of men are good, and that no man is wholly evil. Where the simpler forms of monarchy prevail and where power is vested in the ruler by organic laws, and is exercised by the brutal " sic volo sic jubeo " methods of a cruder civilization, its exercise is a comparatively simple thing. Anyone can govern in a state of siege. The Constitution of our Empire, with its dehcate checks and balances, held together by tradition and sentiment rather than by immutable laws, demands from its Head qualities which King Edward possessed in the highest degree. Our Constitution withholds power from the Sovereign, but it clothes him with an influence which in the hand of King Edward was highly potent, and, altogether exercised in quite a different 7 42 CHARACTER OF KING EDWARD VII. fashion, was as powerful as that which was exercised throughout her long and glorious reign by Queen Victoria. It was in the exercise of this influence that the King's love and knowledge of his fellow-men, his genial temper, consummate tact, and complete free dom from rancour or sustained resentment, clothed him with an undisputed authority greater, because far more subtle, than autocratic power would have given him. The pre-eminent men, politicians, re ligious and social leaders, foreign statesmen, and the most distinguished of his Colonial subjects, who came into contact with him, never left his pre sence without a desire, in so far as in them lay, to meet his wishes. Queen Victoria's influence was, during the latter half of her reign, based upon her profound experience and recognized freedom from personal aims, her firm grasp of the constitutional principle which governs a limited monarchy and her wonderful instinct for gauging the feelings of the serious middle class which was predominant in political England throughout her reign. Her personal con tact with her subjects was so rare that it was practically non-existent. Very few out of the millions of her people, not withstanding the Jubilees of 1887 and 1897, had ever seen the Queen, and her interviews with her most prominent and most powerful servants were of rare occurrence. Nearly the whole of the State business, with which she was so largely identified, CONTRAST IN PROCEDURE 43 was carried on by correspondence. The advice given to her, when a girl Queen, by the King of the Belgians, to have every request for a decision in writing, and to take time to consider, was followed by the Queen to the day of her death. The system had enormous advantages, but it also had its draw backs. While it undoubtedly led, on many grave occasions, to wise reconsiderations of hasty minis terial action, it often harassed hard -worked Ministers, and sometimes led to unfortunate delays. King Edward's methods were in direct contrast to these. He was always accessible to his Ministers, and far more than half of the business transacted by the King was transacted orally, by personal inter view. He enjoyed putting questions to his Minis ters, and he liked to state his own views, not in a formal document, but face to face with those whom the matter concerned. It is true that he fortified himself for these interviews by frequently instruct ing his private secretaries to make enquiries, or to remonstrate against public acts or speeches of which he disapproved. But, in the long-run, the King himself had his say, and, unlike Queen Victoria, he had his say verbally. It is certain that in saving time and in minimizing "friction" these methods were superior to those of the previous reign. At the same time, if, in view of the brilliant success achieved by King Edward, a criticism is not out of place, it is, perhaps, pardonable to doubt whether, on such an occasion, if such had arisen, as 44 CHARACTER OF KING EDWARD VII. that of the " Trent affair," when the Prince Con sort's direct amendment of a Foreign Office despatch composed a most dangerous difference between Great Britain and the United States, the more methodical plan of obtaining from Ministers reasoned statements on paper of their policy would not have proved to be an extra security for the maintenance of peace, which was always King Edward's chief concern. To attempt anything approaching to biography, or even to try to examine critically the reign of King Edward, is impossible here. Even analysis of the influence of the King upon Society and public affairs, if it goes beyond the obvious, is treading upon ground hedged in by the sanctity of recent loss. All that has been attempted in these pages is to place in harmonious contrast the boy Prince and the King as all his people knew him. Lord Rosebery has called King Edward Le Roi Charmeur. All the civilized world has called him the " Peacemaker." His people have grasped his ideal, and Lord Rosebery has indicated his method. A nobler epitaph no Sovereign could desire. Personal charm is indefinable. It is also a most potent weapon, and a dangerous one in the hands of the unscrupulous. King Edward's charm was invincible. The individual man succumbed to it, and the multitude went down before it. When the King walked into a room everyone felt the glow of a personal greeting. When he smiled upon a vast assemblage everyone responded unconsciously. THE KING'S PERSONALITY 45 On the Derby day, when the King raised his hat to the immense concourse of his people, his saluta tion reached the heart of every man and woman. This gift was priceless to him. The fact is that, just as their hearts went out to him, his heart went out to them, and they knew it. There was not an atom of pose about the King. If he visited the most mighty potentate, if he called upon a humble subject, if he went into a cottage garden, he was — and this may seem exaggerated, although it is the simple truth — equally interested and pleased. His joyous sense of life, his broad sympathies, and his complete freedom from ennui, made him genuinely pleased with the lives and homes of others. He was interested. It was no perfunctory sense of politeness, it was no conscious desire to please, which made him note details and suggest improve ments or alterations in a strange house or garden. He would say to his host, " You should cut or plant a tree here," or he would say to a cottager, " Don't you think that flower-bed would look better so, or that fence would be better in such and such a position ?" and he would add, " I shall see whether you have done so when next I come," and the effect upon the mind of his hearer was that he really cared. And he did really care. That was the wonderful thing, and it was also the irresistible charm. This personal magnetism, which won the hearts of everyone with whom he came into contact and of millions who never saw him, was a national 8 46 CHARACTER OF KING EDWARD VIL asset worth more to us in our King than the military genius of a Napoleon or the diplomatic gifts of a Metternich, because of its more abiding quality and more permanent results. King Edward, like his mother before him, has exalted the standard of monarchical government, and shown to all the world the enormous value of the personal factor of the Head of the State under political institutions which leave the people free to make their own laws and to administer them. The pomp and pageantry of kingship, sometimes decried, were in his hands always used for the State service, and never for personal display. The King lived more simply than many of his wealthy sub jects. He liked comfort and even luxury, but he disliked waste. So marked was his repugnance that those about his person often noted it with surprise, but the reason was the sense of his king ship and of the poverty of millions of his subjects surging up within him. It was another illustration of his personal charm, instinctive and unthought out, but singularly potent. No one ever possessed a keener sense of propor tion. The examples of this almost supreme gift in one so highly placed are too numberless to mention, and, besides, in order to make the point most effec tive, it would be necessary to describe actions and analyze motives quite beyond the scope of these pages. The King's retentive and well-ordered memory, THE KING'S CHARACTER 47 not only of names and faces — for that has often been the subject of remark — but of the obscure ramifica tions of world-wide events, and not least his mastery of anecdote, made him one of the best conversationalists in Europe. It is also one of the main causes of his influential judgment upon political affairs. In his presence much of the ordinary kind of knowledge, mere information, was apt to drop into unimportance. The things he knew seemed majestic and significant, and common learning appeared a mere accomplishment. Lord Beaconsfield had noticed much the same quality in the talk of Queen Victoria. No attempt has been made in these pages to give a dispassionate and detailed survey of the character of King Edward, and still less of his reign. Our loss is too recent, and our perspective too obscured. Like other mortals, our King had his failings, but what benefit has ever accrued to mankind by taking note of the failings of great men ? And King Edward was beyond all question in the category of the great. Character, strong, firm, and brave in quality, is the true test of greatness. These gifts were inherited by the King from both his parents, and his upbringing tended to enhance their virtue. To throw some light upon the value to Great Britain and her dominions oversea of a monarchy thrice blessed in a Sovereign thus bred and trained, was the main intention of these pages. If the nation owes a debt of gratitude to Queen Victoria and the Prince Consort for having given 48 CHARACTER OF KING EDWARD VIL us King Edward, in like manner, as years roU on, it will be seen that the King has given us in his son, to whom he was tenderly devoted and of whose virtue, modesty, and high abilities he was so justly proud, a successor not less worthy of admiration and respect. KING EDWARD VII. AND FOREIGN AFFAIRS.* In the course of the eloquent panegyric pronounced by Mr. Balfour in the House of Commons upon King Edward, he said that the King was not a dexterous diplomatist, he was a great Monarch. If by a dexterous diplomatist Mr. Balfour meant the man who attaches subtle meaning to the wording of a Protocol, or who employs finesse to achieve his legitimate ends, the King was certainly no diplomatist. That he was a great Monarch, no one will now or ever dispute. But if by diplomacy is meant a rapid grasp of large international issues, the subordination of the lesser to the greater factors of imperial questions, and the art of win ning assent to the material point at issue, then the King was a great diplomatist. In affairs of European or world-wide moment, as in all else, he had a marked sense of proportion. It was diffi^ cult to interest him in the petty questions over which chancelleries squabble, and which form the staple of ordinary diplomatic pourparlers. His attention, however, was consistently given to the balance of naval and military power, and especially * Appeared in the Deutsche Revue, 1910, and is translated from the German. 49 50 THE KING AND FOREIGN AFFAIRS to the commercial struggles which of late years have so largely eclipsed the older forms of national rivalry. The popular idea, outside the British Isles, that King Edward moulded the Foreign policy of his country is of course pure illusion. Once or twice in a century, the policy of a great nation is determined by the theories or by the action of a statesman. Such men were Cavour and Bismarck. But as a rule the force that drives one nation towards unity, another towards revolu tion, and another towards expansion, comes from the necessities of a people influenced by the con ditions under which it is striving for existence. This has been called the force of destiny. Napoleon pretended to believe himself to be in a high degree a man of destiny, but King Edward was too sane, and his role as a constitutional Sovereign too plainly set before him, for any such fantasy to take possession of his mind. He always recognized that to initiate the policy of Great Britain was the business of ISIinisters for the time being, and his function was to criticize or approve it, and finally to support it with all his powers. This he per formed with such clearness of vision and supreme tact as to command not only the gratitude of his own people, but the admiration of competent judges all over the civilized world. The leaders of both political parties in the State found in him not only a powerful ally, but an indefatigable and quite invincible protagonist of QUEEN VICTORIA'S INFLUENCE 51 their pohcy abroad. The Foreign policy of the Ministry of the day was in his eyes — as under a Constitutional Government it must be assumed to be — the policy of the nation, and therefore the settled policy of the Sovereign. It never occurred to him to waver or look back. His mental atti tude bore a strong resemblance to that of his august mother, /if ever the complete correspon dence of Lord Beaconsfield is made public, it will be seen that during the eventful years 1876 to 1878, the consistency of Great Britain's attitude in the Eastern question was largely due to the in fluence and pertinacity of Queen Victoria, quite as much as to the inflexibility of her Prime Minister, harassed as he was by a vacillating Cabinet. Queen Victoria had nothing to do with the choice of the policy pursued towards Russia during those years. In fact, when that policy was initiated the Queen was more than doubtful of its soundness from the point of view of morality and of the national interests of her country. When, however, the nation, and she herself, by the action of her Ministers, had been committed to it, she could not comprehend the minds of those who had accepted it in principle, and subsequently shrank from its practical application. She supported over and over again the drooping right arm of her Prime Minister. If the Prince of Wales, as King Edward was in those days, had been permitted to take part in great political affairs, he would have followed suit, for when it became a question of national con- 52 THE KING AND FOREIGN AFFAIRS sistency, or of carrying through a policy upon which the nation had embarked, the King's views were the views of Queen Victoria. Moral and physical courage have always been characteristic of his House, and both qualities loomed large in him. It has been whispered in corners of the Press that the domestic political crisis of last autumn* hastened the death of the King. If this belief is genuinely held, the men who hold it little knew King Edward. It would have taken something more than an opportunist Radical Government to kill the King. Much the same foolish gossip gained currency when Queen Victoria died. It was said that she had succumbed to the anxieties of the "Black Week" in the winter of 1899- 1900. The Queen, although she may have had anxious moments, never wavered in her firm con viction that the South African War would end victoriously for her army, and King Edward on his part never doubted that he could adequately and successfully cope with the domestic crisis which his Ministers threatened to create for him. He may have been annoyed, but he was never cowed, and he felt perfect rehance upon his capacity to gauge the sentiments of the majority of his people, quite irrespective of casual majorities in the House of Commons. In home affairs and in foreign pohtics the key note of King Edward's temperament was courage. It would be a grave error, however, to suppose * 1909. A PATRIOT AND A KING 53 that there were strong combative elements in his nature. He was not only a Peace-maker, but a Peace-lover. Just as he disliked scenes and quarrels in private life, he hated animosities be tween political parties, and deplored the armed rivalry of nations. But he was before everything else a patriot and a King ; and in both these capacities he was, in duty bound, constrained to look to the honour and safety of the nation over which he ruled. He was, therefore, at one with the majority of his people in his desire to see the naval forces of Great Britain maintained at the highest point con sistent with their use for defensive purposes and for securing the inviolability of British soil. No further thought, no sinister design, was ever har boured in his mind. Least of all did the King look with any feeling of jealousy, resentment or alarm upon the growing strength of the great German Empire. In this matter he represented, not the nervous apprehension of a few fanatics, but the sane conviction of the vast majority of Britons, that within the four corners of the world there is ample room for Great Britain and Germany. King Edward had been reared in the belief that Europe and the world at large would be all the better, and none the worse, for the unification of Germany under Prussian leadership. This idea always haunted his father, one of whose ablest State Papers, written in 1847, is devoted to the 54 THE KING AND FOREIGN AFFAIRS consideration of the problem of how to combine the establishment of popular forms of government in German States with a United Germany. Lord Palmerston, to whom the memorandum in question was shown, wrote in reply: "England and Germany have naturally a direct interest in assisting each other to become rich, united and strong, and there ought not to be, in the mind of any enlightened man of either country, any feehng of jealousy as to the progress made by the other country in civilization and prosperity." < " A strong and united Germany under the leader ship of Prussia had been the lifelong dream of Baron Stockmar, and thanks to his influence Queen Victoria and Prince Albert had placed this fundamental idea in the forefront of their concep tion of that new Europe which was about to arise out of the ashes of the European fires lighted in 1848. Among these influences, and subjected to the unconscious perusal of these conceptions. King Edward's boyhood was passed. They never wholly left him. The absurd Press campaigns in Great Britain and in Germany, carried on by men with honest and patriotic intentions, but ignorant and misguided, saddened and annoyed him. He dis liked exaggeration, and detested mischief-making. His mind was singularly free from insular pre judice. He never yielded for a moment to the feeling of panic, and was unmoved by the loud- toned declamation of those who read nothing but sinister menace in the legitimate strengthening of their armaments by the great Powers of the world. ENGLAND AND GERMANY 55 On the other hand, no one was more determined than he that no stone should be left unturned to render the defensive forces of his own country power ful and efficient, for he was aware that the immunity of the British Empire from attack is the greatest safeguard of that European Peace which was the main preoccupation of his later years. King Edward was far too shrewd, his knowledge of the world was too profound, and his apprecia tion of the conditions of European commercial rivalry too keen, not to realize fully the true mean ing of the efforts of the German Kaiser and the German people to strengthen the German fleet, and to broadep the scope of German colonial enter prise. He was acquainted with eminent business men of all nationalities, and he was intimately conscious of the novel conditions of that inter national commercial struggle for the open markets of the world which was slowly but surely taking the place of the somewhat aimless national rivalries of the years immediately following the making of the German Empire and the kingdom of Italy. When his attention was drawn to a remarkable little book, " Europe's Optical Illusion," which created some stir in England, and which was brought to the notice of the German Emperor and of the Crown Prince by Enghsh friends, the King seemed perfectly familar with its main thesis, that is to say the midsummer madness, from the point of view of either nation, of a war between Germany and Great Britain. Victory to either nation would spell disaster for both. The idea to 56 THE KING AND FOREIGN AFFAIRS him was almost a commonplace. At the same time, he thought disarmament, or limitation of armaments, under existing conditions, purely visionary, and never could understand how any reasonable human being could beheve that he had proposed either course to the German Emperor. The legend seems to have lingered in certain ill- balanced minds to this day, in spite of its inherent impossibility and notwithstanding the plainest denials. No one could be long' in the vicinity of King Edward without discovering that he liked Germany and the German people. No one could have watched the King and the Kaiser together, without noticing that the two men, in spite of difference in temperament, and divergence of ideals, bore a curious likeness to each other, that blood is thicker than water, and that not only mutual respect, but real admiration underlay their inter course. There are some who recall that in January, 1910, the King mentioned with grave emotion that he had written warmly to the Emperor on his birth day, expressing a strong wish that Germany and England should always work together in the interests of European Peace, which acting together they can always ensure. Perhaps the Emperor, when only a few weeks later he stood side by side with King George in the Hall of William Rufus, where the Great Dead lay in state, remembered that friendly letter and the noble aspiration it contained. In former days fleets and armies were a menace. STRENGTH AND RESPONSIBILITY 57 In these days powerful fleets and well-trained armies are the best guarantees of peace. Is there any German of candid soul and perspicuous mind who, if he were an Englishman, would not spend every hour of his working day in pressing for the maintenance of that naval supremacy upon which the safety of the British Empire so largely depends ? Is there any German who, if he were an English man, would not desire to see two British keels laid down to every one of the next strongest European Power ? Is there any German who, if he were an English man, would not feel that Great Britain with her vast responsibilities to humanity in half-civilized lands, her immense seaboard, her population depen dent upon foreign imports, and without a national army, floats on the navy, and that her navy must therefore be supreme ? And is there any Englishman who, if he were a German, would not ardently desire to see the German Fleet so strong that the full force of German opinion should have its proper weight and value in the counsels of Europe and in the polity of the world, and that at sea as on land German honour should be safe ? These are not conditions of petty rivalry, but of mutual honour and respect. They are the views of all rational Englishmen and Germans, and they were the views of King Edward. There must, however, be no mistake. It is ridiculous to suppose, as some do, that the King initiated or planned the Entente between 9 58 THE KING AND FOREIGN AFFAIRS Great Britain and France. He was too keenly alive to the proper functions of a constitutional Sovereign. But he cordially accepted and enthusi astically supported the pohcy of two successive Secretaries of State on different sides in politics (Lord Lansdowne and Sir Edward Grey), and three Prime Ministers (Mr. Balfour, Sir Henry Campbell- Bannerman and Mr. Asquith) who have consis tently advocated the Entente, with France, and have obtained for their policy the approval of Eng lishmen of all classes. And why ? Not out of hostility to Germany, or to any other Great Power. But because France is to-day, as she has ever been, the keynote of European Peace. You have to go back beyond the reign of Charlemagne to find any really great and vital European struggle in which France was not engaged. There have been wars, of course, from which France stood aloof, but they have not been great wars. Because of her geo graphical position, because of her inexhaustible wealth, and because of the martial spirit of her people, France always struck, and strikes still, the most vibrant note in the Concert of Europe. King Edward not only felt a real and deep affection for France and for the French people, but he was in cordial agreement with his own people all over the Empire in their strong sense of the inestimable value to Europe and the world of the Entente between Great Britain and France. There is, however, not an English patriot worthy of the name who does not look forward anxiously to the day when this friendly league, based upon the THE GREAT POWERS 59 peaceful aspirations of vast masses of the common people, may include the mighty German Empire. The status quo of Northern and Central Europe guaranteed by the Great Powers ! Think what this would mean I It is surely not an unthinkable proposition. The present grouping of the Powers renders such a dream more easy and not more difficult of fulfilment. If three Powers can be grouped, why not combine for one purpose, and in the common interest, two groups of three each? That is the simple and not very daring proposition, and it certainly is not beyond the limits of reason able expectation to assume that the common sense of civilized nations under august and imaginative leadership will one day bring about this consumma tion so devoutly to be wished. Ten years ago the idea of an Anglo-French Entente was an almost unthinkable proposition. At the time of the " Dogger Bank incident," what Englishman or Russian could contemplate as a near probability a friendly understanding between Great Britain and Russia? Yet this unthinkable combination and improbable amity have been achieved by careful statesmanship, unswayed by the wild talk of post-prandial politicians. If the psychological moment can be seized, and if impulsive sentimental minds can put aside traditional enmities and face the actualities of the world to-day, its burdens on rich and poor alike, and the dangers to civilization from brutal forces long dormant but symptomatically awakening, the hope of accommodation between France and Ger- 60 THE KING AND FOREIGN AFFAIRS many and Great Britain, based on their common interests, need not be far from fulfilment. The unity of States speaking the same language and of the same race was the Imperial idea which prompted great statesmen in the nineteenth cen tury to supreme effort. It bore fruit in three great struggles, followed by long periods of peace, which almost seem to justify the bloodshed and the misery out of which peace sprang. With this idea is linked for ever the memorable names of the Emperor William and those of that galaxy of warrior-statesmen who were gathered round him ; also of Abraham Lincoln in the United States of America, and of Victor Emmanuel and Cavour in Italy. The equally glorious but wholly pacific idea of the early days of the twentieth century is the grouping of great Powers for the purpose of main taining what is called the status quo, and of mutually guaranteeing to each other and to the smaller States of Europe their territorial integrity. This idea, germinating years ago in the Triple Alliance, fructifying in the Anglo- Japanese Treaty, and once more in the Triple Entente, is ripe for further development. With this pohcy, liberal, progressive, and yet eminently conservative, and noble because of its pacific tendencies, its unselfish aspects, and- its aspirations for the future of mankind, must ever be connected the name of King Edward VII. of Great Britain and Ireland, who presided, if not over its inception, over its partjial triumph. THE HOUSE OF LORDS.* I. I READ once a very brilliant book on the con dition of England by Mr. C. F. G. Masterman. He is a member of Mr. Asquith's Government. The book is brilliant and satisfactory, inasmuch as it reveals the noteworthy fact that among " rising politicians " there is one whose trend of mind and intellectual equipment are in the old and grand manner, not common in these days. A chapter in which Mr. Masterman lays bare the virtues and foibles of a class whom he calls the " Conquerors " contains the following passage : " The rather ignoble rdle played by the House of Lords during the past decade reveals its weak nesses. It will allow changes which it profoundly dislikes when compelled by fear. It wiU resist changes in action when that fear is controlled. It will altogether abandon the effort to initiate changes where change is essential. It can do little but modify, check, or destroy other men's handiwork. It has no single constructive suggestion of its own to offer to a people confronting difficult problems and harassed by the obligations of necessary re organizations. It can neither breed leaders nor ideas." * These letters appeared in the Times, during a period ex tending from December, 1909, to April, 1910. 61 10 62 THE HOUSE OF LORDS I can imagine that every Radical politician read ing this passage would give to it unqualified assent. It is intended as a condemnation of the House of Lords ; and yet, if we admit the description to be true, what more could the most exacting reformer demand from a Second Chamber ? The House of Lords yields, says the writer, when " compelled by fear." What fear ? The honourable fear that it may be running counter to the will of the nation. There is nothing else of which the House of Lords has reason to be afraid. It " resists changes when that fear is controlled," or, in other words, if it suspects, as in the case of Home Rule, that the nation is unsympathetic or hostile, it resists the proposed change. Is not that the principal function of a Second Chamber ? It "abandons the effort to initiate," which implies that, like the House of Commons, in these days it leaves initiative in legislation to the Executive Government. " It can do httle but modify, check, or destroy other men's handiwork." Are not these precisely the functions which every constitutional writer assigns to a Second Chamber, and aU framers of Constitutions have specificaUy assigned to it ? " It has no constructive suggestion " to offer. No more, in these days, has the House of Com mons, if by that is meant large constructive measures of legislation. These are invariably the work of Government departments or of an indi- NO CONSTRUCTIVE SUGGESTION 63 vidual Minister, who may or may not be a member of the House of Lords. The Budget of 1909 undoubtedly was the con structive effort of a member of the House of Commons. But to what Minister is due the chief credit for the Constitution for South Africa? With the latter the House of Commons had nothing whatever to do. With the former it had un doubtedly much, but all in the direction of " modification, check, and destruction " of the Bill in its original form. Yet no blame appears to attach to the Opposition for amending Mr. Lloyd George's Bill. As to the incapacity of the House of Lords to "breed leaders" or "ideas," that is largely a matter of opinion. The test of leadership, however, is not loud-sounding brass, or a waving sword, but the art of getting men to follow. The leadership of the Peers is attested not only in the higher regions of statesmanship for the last hundred years, but in every domain of statesman ship, and in every county council, in every county association, and (when they have chosen) in many of the borough councils of the United Kingdom. The test of ideas is not their originality but their weight. Novel ideas, like cleverness, are becoming a drug in the market. The ideas of the late Duke of Devonshire — and they were often quite dull — were more acceptable to his countrymen than those of the most brilliant of his contemporaries. What Mr. Masterman calls the " weaknesses " of 64 THE HOUSE OF LORDS the House of Lords are the real sources of its strength, and of its hold upon the nation. It represents, far more accurately than any great Liberal majority of the House of Commons, the fundamental conservatism of the English people, their wariness, their love of tradition, their adhesive ness to precedent, their denseness to " ideas," their habitual preference for the evils they understand and to which they are accustomed, their shrewd belief that the man who has something to keep is a safer guide than the man who has something to gain. Ninety-nine times out of a hundred the average Englishman will pay more heed to an inarticulate Peer than to the greatest demagogue that ever trod a platform. No cheap sarcasm will account for this curious and, to some politicians, this unpalat able fact. It is an instinctive heritage of the Briton all over the world, and has its origin deep down in the history of our country. If the conflict upon which the House of Lords has entered leads to its dissolution, history will say of it, that man for man it was more than the equal of the House of Commons, and that it responded as a rule more surely to the changing temper of the nation than the elected representatives of the people. It would be absurd to contend that the House of Lords has never made mistakes. The rejection of the Budget was a mistake. But this and all previous errors of judgment have been amply LORDS V. COMMONS 65 redeemed by the services which it has rendered by rejecting thoroughly vicious measures, and by altering and revising ill-considered ones. The pretension of the House of Commons appears to be that because it is a popular Assembly it is infallible. No more grotesque caricature of pohtical illusion can well be imagined. Its gravity lies in this, that the repeated assertion of this absurd dogma may catch the fleeting fancy of the people. It is true that the right of the House of Lords to reject Money Bills has, like the veto of the Sovereign, long fallen into abeyance. To justify the acts of the Lords in reviving their dormant claim, it is necessary to show that we have arrived at a point in our history when the checks and balances of the Constitution require revision. No one who has watched the vagaries of the House of Commons since the rise of the Irish party twenty-nine years ago, and has grasped the full import of the severance of the old Whigs from the Liberal party in the House of Lords twenty-three years ago, can doubt that the relations between the two Houses want readjusting. To accept, however, the Liberal or the Unionist party view would be to misread the situation. It may be a fact that the present composition of the House of Lords unfits it to fulfil adequately the functions of a Second Chamber. But it is far more true that the constitution of the House of Commons, its unwieldy size, its misrepresentative 66 THE HOUSE OF LORDS character, its ludicrous over-representation of Ireland, its dangerous under-representation of the great centres of population, including London, its antiquated and unsystematic grouping, its fantastic rules of procedure, and its unbusinesslike habits, especially in dealing with estimates and expenditure, render a thorough examination and reform of the House of Commons an imperative condition of any constitutional change or of any readjustment of the joint powers or several privileges of the two Houses. If we are to substitute a written for an un written Constitution, the draft cannot be prepared by the caucus of any political party, or amid the dust of a general election. If the relations between the two Houses of Parliament, and possibly the prerogative of the Crown, are to be regulated by statute, the sanction and approval not only of one party will be re quired, not only of the majority of a House of Commons elected under a limited franchise, and a system of distributed voting power which is a mockery of true representation, but the acquiescence and agreement of all classes in the United Kingdom, whose interests have hitherto been safeguarded by the habit of compromise and the practice of reason able give and take which have characterized the nation and have been the envy of statesmen all over the civilized world. I do not believe that we can escape from the present political deadlock without a political revolution. It will not be the THE ALTERNATIVES 67 first in our history. Hitherto the British people have almost without exception conducted their revolutions according to the form of law, and by adhering to precedent. There need be no depar ture from this ancient practice if we look to the history of our own people, and to the expedients of our ancestors when confronted by similar difficulties. II. Precedent, like analogy, is rarely conclusive. If history is searched for an exact counterpart of the quarrel between the two Houses of Parliament, which came to a head with the rejection of the Budget of 1909, none will be found. The quarrel apparently must end in one of two ways. Either the House of Lords will be strengthened by internal reform and an admittance to it of life peers, or its veto will become suspensory and its functions hmited to criticism and suggestion. If the partisans of the House of Lords are a majority of the nation, the constitutional question can be solved without revolutionary action, and the centre of political power — that is to say, the Government-making authority — will be transferred hereafter without much friction by gradual but inevitable process from the Commons to the Lords. If, on the other hand, the majority of the nation support the Commons, a deadlock between the two Houses appears almost inevitable. It is unlikely that the House of Lords will with out a struggle abandon their rights ; and no Bill 68 THE HOUSE OF LORDS hmiting their powers can become law without their assent. There are only two ways of obtaining the assent of the House of Lords to a Bill they dislike. One is by persuading them to yield, and the other is by unconstitutional means — in other words by force. The former method may tax all the resources of statesmanship, and may prove beyond the capacity of even the most adroit parliamentarian. It is worth while, therefore, to consider the latter alternative. The most obvious way of using force without proceeding to physical extremes is to stretch the Royal prerogative and to create enough peers to overthrow the existing majority of the House of Lords. In the long history of our country this course has only once been followed. In the winter of 1711, owing to circumstances which are not material, a sharp conflict arose between the House of Lords and the House of Commons. It was the eve of the Peace of Utrecht. An amendment to the Address had been moved in both Houses to the effect that " no peace could be safe or honourable to Great Britain or Europe if Spain and the West Indies were allotted to any branch of the House of Bourbon." Parties were arrayed for and against the Duke of Marlborough. When it came to the vote the House of Commons rejected the amendment by 232 against 106, or a majority of 126 for Harley and his Government. A PRECEDENT OF 1711 69 In the House of Lords the amendment was carried against the Government by a majority of eight. No one appeared to doubt that the fate of the Ministers was sealed. Oxford and St. John abandoned all hope of remaining in office against the wiU of the House of Lords. To Oxford and Bolingbroke, to Swift and Somers it never seemed to have occurred as a possible contingency that a Ministry could retain power, unless upon questions of capital importance it could count on the support of both Houses of Parliament. What was to be done? The Tory Minister soon discovered that Queen Anne had no objection to what a Tory historian calls " the most violent stretch of her prerogative." On this knowledge the Ministers acted. Lord Stanhope's description of the event is in the following words : " Their first step was to strike down Marlborough. ... So bold a stroke required another still bolder to sustain it. The same Gazette of December 31, 1711, which announced that the Queen had dis missed the Duke of Marlborough from all his employments, made known also the creation of twelve peers. By this coup d'Etat it was intended to overrule, or rather to invert, the majority of the Upper Chamber. " It is the only time in our annals that a stretch of the prerogative in this direction has been actually effected, though not the only time that it has been threatened and intended." Lord Stanhope was writing after the lapse of 160 years, and his view of the unconstitutional action 70 THE HOUSE OF LORDS of Harley was not very different from that of Harley 's contemporaries. It is said by Bohngbroke's biographers that although the creation of twelve peers for the express purpose of swamping the Whig majority in the House of Lords suited his daring and impetuous nature, he was well aware that such a step, unpre cedented in the constitutional history of England, could not be justified. Afterwards, when in exile, St. John, in a letter to Sir W. Windham, spoke of the measure "as unprecedented and invidious, to be excused by nothing but the necessity, and hardly by that." Swift, who had given up all hope of the Govern ment retaining office, wrote rapturously to Stella on the evening upon which the Gazette was issued ; but Bishop Burnet spoke soberly and sadly of the "indignity" which was put upon the House of Ijords " since the Court did by this openly declare that they were to be kept in absolute submission and obedience." Lord Dartmouth described what he called " so odious a course " in the following words : " I was never so much surprised as when the Queen drew a list of twelve lords out of her pocket, and ordered me to bring warrants for them ; there not having been the least intimation before it was to be put in execution. I asked her if she designed to have them all made at once. She asked me if I had any exceptions to the legality of it. I said, ' No ' ; but doubted very much of the expediency, for I feared it would have a very ill effect in the CREATION OF PEERS 71 House of Lords and no good one in the kingdom. She said she had made fewer lords than any of her predecessors, and I saw the Duke of Marlborough and the Whigs were resolved to distress her as much as they could, and she must do what she could to help herself I told her I wished it proved a remedy to what she so justly complained of, but I thought it my duty to tell her my apprehensions, as well as execute her commands." It was said at the time, and the opinion has been often endorsed, that the course taken by the Queen and Harley was justly condemned not only by the party which it overthrew, but by all intelligent friends of the Constitution. St. John himself, in a dissertation on parties, speaking of the right of creating peers resident in the Crown, admits that this right would be "an intolerable one indeed, if the Crown should exercise it often as it hath been exercised sometimes with universal and most just disapprobation " ; and he goes on to point out that if the Crown could " unmake as well as rnake peers, it would be a jest to talk of three estates, since there would be virtually and in effect but two." It is a curious reflection on recent events to find Bolingbroke refusing to subscribe to these two sayings of Bacon — " That England can never be undone unless by Parliaments ; and there is nothing a Parliament cannot do — " because, he continues, " Great Britain, according to our present Consti tution, cannot be undone by Parliaments, for there 72 THE HOUSE OF LORDS is something which a Parliament cannot do. A Parliament cannot annul the Constitution." This is, however, precisely what a parliament does if it brings by the action of its leaders the two Houses into so bitter a conflict that force, in some shape or other, has to be used. If the Royal prerogative was unduly stretched, and if the Constitution of our country was violated by Queen Anne's creation of twelve peers, what would be said of a proposal to create five hundred ? The decent conduct of public affairs, consideration for the noble traditions of our parliamentary history, respect for the good opinion of the King's dominions oversea, and regard for the high position which the British Parliament has always occupied in the eyes of foreign nations, appear to forbid recourse to so undignified an expedient. The solution of this difficult problem surely lies elsewhere. In 1832 the threat of the Whig Lord Grey to follow the precedent of his Tory predecessors was not carried into effect, and the House of Lords yielded to the majority of the House of Commons. In the readjustment of powers between the two Houses, which appears to be inevitable, the good sense of the nation, and the moderation of party leaders, as a rule so characteristic of Englishmen, when they have done talking and come to action, should find some way out of the impending dead lock other than that adopted by the revolutionary Administration of which Bolingbroke was the moving spirit. SUBMISSION OF THE LORDS 73 III. The deadlock between the two Houses of Parlia ment in 1832 was relieved by the submission of the House of Lords. What Bagehot called a catas trophic creation of peers for the purpose of swamp ing the House of Lords was only approached and never consummated. It is frequently forgotten that, although William IV. gave an uncertain and lukewarm promise to Lord Grey that he would consent to the creation of a reasonable number of peers to pass the second reading of the Reform BiU, it became unnecessary to test the willingness of the King, as the second reading was passed by a majority of nine. When subsequently the Bill was threatened by Lord Lyndhurst's amendment, the King refused leave to create peers, and a crisis followed, which almost led to a revolution. Dates are important, in order to understand clearly what happened. On May 8 the Government of Lord Grey re signed. On the 10th the House of Commons voted an Address to the King by a majority of eighty, praying him to call to his councils only such persons as would carry unimpaired the Reform Bill. The Duke of Welhngton and Lord Lyndhurst were trying meanwhile to form an Administration, but their efforts proved fruitless owing to the refusal of Sir Robert Peel to accept office. 11 74 THE HOUSE OF LORDS This was the moment selected by Mr. Croker for stating his conviction that " Reform had no hold upon the public mind." This blindness of partisan ship to the trend of events is further illustrated by the debate which took place on May 14 in the House of Commons on the presentation of a petition from the City of London, praying the House to withhold supplies till the Reform Bill should have passed. It was towards the end of the debate that Mr. Baring, after, as it was supposed, consulting the leaders of the Tory party in the House of Lords, suggested that the breach between the King and his Ministers might not be irreparable, and that they might withdraw their advice to create a large number of peers if an assurance were given them, or there were a reasonable probability, that the House of Lords did really intend to pass Schedule A of the Bill. This was understood to imply an offer on the part of the Opposition to allow the BiU to pass provided peers were not created. The King immediately wrote to Lord Grey, drawing this inference, and on May 16 a Cabinet minute was forwarded to the King : " By the failure of the Duke of Welhngton's en deavour to form a new Administration, and by the reference made by your Majesty to your present servants, they find themselves in a situation in many repects similar to that in which they were placed after the vote on Lord Lyndhurst's motion in the Committee of the House of Lords on Monday, the 7th inst. THE ALTERNATIVES 75 ^' Your Majesty has been pleased to concur in the opinion submitted to your Majesty in Lord Grey's letter of yesterday, that it is necessary to pass the Reform BiU with as httle delay as possible, unim paired in aU its principles and essential provisions, and as nearly as possible in its present form, in order to put an end to the agitation which now prevails ; and also that your Majesty's servants cannot con tinue in their present situations without a sufficient security that they will have power to insure this result. " The first question, therefore, to be considered is, how this security is to be obtained ? " In this view two modes only present themselves to your Majesty's servants — the one, a cessation, on the part of the adversaries of the Bill, of the opposi tion which has hitherto obstructed its progress ; the other, such a creation of peers as should give your Majesty's servants sufficient power to overcome that opposition. " The former of these alternatives appears to your Majesty's servants to be one on which it is impos sible to come to any previous understanding or arrangement ; to the other, your Majesty's servants are unwilling now, as they ever have been, to urge your Majesty to resort whilst the hope exists of finding any other means by which the Reform Bill may be carried unimpaired. " Your Majesty's servants, therefore, humbly beg your Majesty's permission to defer till Friday any final answer to the letter which Earl Grey had yesterday the honour of receiving from your Majesty." On the morning of May 17 the King sent the foUowing circular letter to the Duke of Wellington and to many other peers : 76 THE HOUSE OF LORDS Sir H. Taylor to the Duke of Wellington. "St. James's Palace, "May 17, 1832. " My dear Lord Duke, " I have received the King's commands to acquaint your Grace that all difficulties and obstacles to the arrangement in progress will be removed by a declaration in the House of Lords this day, from a sufficient number of peers, that, in consequence of the present state of things, they have come to the resolution of dropping their fur ther opposition to the Reform BiU, so that it may pass, as nearly as possible, in its present form. " Should your Grace agree to this, as he hopes you wiU, his Majesty requests you will communicate on the subject with Lord Lyndhurst, Lord Ellen- borough, and any other peers who may be disposed to concur with you. " I have, &c., " H. Taylor." A copy was sent to Lord Grey, with a covering letter to the effect that the King was prepared to take steps to obtain from the peers a declaration that they would absent themselves from the House of Lords and allow the Bill to pass. On the afternoon of the same day. May 17, the King saw the Duke of Wellington, and in the evening received from him the following assurance : The Duke of Wellington to Sir H. Taylor. " London, "May 17, 1832. " My dear General, " I have received your letter of this day's date. I told the King that, as an individual peer, THE CRISIS ENDED 77 I would not attend the further discussion of the Reform Bill. Lord Lyndhurst did the same. We both propose to act accordingly. " But I confess that I don't think that I can declare in the House of Lords what my course will be, as a condition that the Minister should refrain from his recommendation that peers should be created to carry the Bill, without making myself a party to his proceeding. " Ever, &c., " Wellington." From that moment the crisis was ended. It is true that during the evening, after writing to the King, the Duke made a violent speech in the House of Lords, and was followed in a similar strain by other Lords, who had given their adhesion to the policy of surrender. It was the usual Parliamentary method of cover ing a retreat. But it was not so understood by Lord Grey, who pressed the King on the following day for " guarantees " in the shape of a promise to create peers. The King, however, was satisfied. He had the Duke of Welhngton's letter in his pocket, and he knew the Duke well enough to feel assured of his word. On receiving a fresh Cabinet minute, re questing an assurance that peers would be created, the King immediately replied that "he was pre pared to afford them the security they required "; and with this view authorizes Lord Grey, "if any obstacle should arise during the further progress of the BUI," to submit to him a creation of peers sufficient to pass the measure. 12 78 THE HOUSE OF LORDS But the King was well aware, when he gave this conditional promise, that no further obstacle would arise, and that the Tory leader had decided to allow the Bill to pass. In point of fact, the decision had been taken so long before as May 14, the day upon which Mr. Baring delivered his speech in the House of Commons. That night (May 14) the House rose at 11.30, and at midnight the Speaker took Sir R. Peel in his coach to a meeting at Apsley House. The Duke had heard from Baring what had taken place during the debate, and after much discussion the following resolution was moved by Sir R. Peel and carried : That the Duke should tell the King it was im possible to hope to form a Tory Administration on the basis of passing the Reform BiU, and that, therefore. His Majesty must take his own course. The Duke was to add that in order to save His Majesty's personal honour as to the creation of peers, he himself would, so far as depended upon him, remove all pretence for such a creation by withdrawing his opposition. After examining the proceedings of the Ministers and the Opposition in 1832, it is not difficult to understand the scepticism of Lord Brougham, who in his "Political PhUosophy" asks the question whether or not, if no secession had taken place, and the peers had persisted in really opposing the most important provision of the BiU, recourse would have been had to the perilous creation. LORD BROUGHAM'S OPINION 79 In his reply he says : " I cannot with any confidence answer it in the affirmative. I had a strong feeling of the necessity of the case in the very peculiar circumstances we were placed in. But such was my deep sense of the dreadful consequences of the act, that I much question whether I should not have preferred running the risk of confusion that attended the loss of the Bill as it then stood ; and I have a strong impression on my mind that my iUustrious friend (Lord Grey) would have more than met me half way in the determination to face that risk (and of course to face the clamours of the people, which would have cost us little), rather than expose the Constitution to so imminent a hazard of sub version." Whatever may be thought of Lord Brougham, it must not be forgotten that he was the Lord Chancellor, and present at the Cabinet of May 16, when the minute was drawn up, which was subse quently submitted by Lord Grey to the King. Lord Campbell did not believe Lord Brougham's statement. He did not doubt that if Lord Lynd hurst had not quailed fifty peers would have been created. But he rejoices that what he called a serious blow to the Constitution had been warded off, and of the King's refusal which led to the resignation of Lord Grey, he writes : " The King cannot be blamed for refusing, as such a step could be considered only a coup d'Etat, and he had been told by persons about him that there was no necessity for it, as the peers were now ready to yield a large measure of reform, although they would not agree to the ruin of their order." 80 THE HOUSE OF LORDS The conclusion seems obvious enough. The "catastrophic creation of peers" was ap proached, but there is insufficient evidence to assert with certainty that it would have been consum mated. Therefore Queen Anne's creation in 1711, stands alone as the solitary precedent for what apparently both statesmen and historians have considered to be an unconstitutional use of the Royal prerogative. IV. An unwritten Constitution rests upon precedent and reasonableness. I did not set out to enquire where unreasonableness lies, or which of the great parties in the State has departed from precedent. It is sufficient to note that our unwritten Constitu tion, which has served us well, is apparently out of date. For its smooth working in the past trained statesmen and hereditary politicians were largely responsible. Since the revolution of 1688 the equipoise of the three estates of the realm has only once been dis turbed by an act of violence — when Queen Anne, in 1711, at the instance of Oxford, swamped the House of Lords. Those were early days of Cabinet government, and, in spite of considerable strain and much provocation, good sense and a reasonable spirit of compromise have maintained hitherto the balance of the Constitution. This was eminently the case in 1832, when the Reform Bill, which is now generally admitted to have been a measure A NEW BILL OF RIGHTS 81 both moderate and necessary, was passed into law with the tacit consent of its opponents after the will of the country had been expressed in the clearest manner. It is incredible that anyone who cares for the historical traditions of our country, who takes a pride in the achievements of a long line of British statesmen, and who was brought up to admire institutions, "broadening down from precedent to precedent," should not feel regret at the first serious attempt to define by statute the relations between the three estates of the realm. I am, of course, aware that, just as Bills of Rights in their origin have proved to be bonds between Sovereigns and their people, defining prerogative and confirming privilege, so a new Bill of Rights might advantageously define the relations which should exist in future between the two Houses of Parliament. If a measure, presently to be intro duced, assumed this form, it would possess fewer objectionable features in the eyes of the " historical " politician. It appears to be generally conceded that, whether the country returns a Liberal or a Unionist majority to the House of Commons, some attempt to sub stitute a statutory for our unwritten Constitution is likely to be made. Extremists say that, if the new House of Commons is Conservative, the centre of political gravity wiU be transferred to a recon stituted House of Lords, containing novel elements, but mainly hereditary and Conservative. On the 82 THE HOUSE OF LORDS other hand, if a Liberal majority is returned to the House of Commons, the Second Chamber will be first swamped and then abolished. Where does the truth he ? Either project would be a revolution, since the Constitution as we have known it, and as our fathers knew it, will have passed away. I am not, however, so much concerned with results as with methods and procedure. Our history shows that, when Ministers speak of "guarantees" and "assurances" which are to enable them to overcome the possible resistance of one of the Houses of Parliament averse from a great constitutional change, there are no "guar antees " or " assurances " they can ask for which could be interpreted otherwise than as an uncon stitutional use of brute force. It is true that Lord Grey, in a famous passage, speaking of the prerogative of the Crown to create peers, said : " I ask what would be the consequences if we were to suppose that such a prerogative did not exist, or could not be constitutionally exercised. The Commons have a control over the power of the Crown by the privilege in extreme cases of refusing supplies ; and the Crown has, by means of its power to dissolve the House of Commons, a control upon any violent and rash proceedings on the part of the Commons ; but if a majority of this House (the Lords) is to have the power whenever they please of opposing the declared and decided wishes both of the Crown and the people, without any means of modifying that power, then this LORD GREYS OPINION 83 country is placed entirely under the influence of an uncontrollable oligarchy." The superficial view could not be more neatly put. But Lord Grey overlooked the real facts, which were obvious to Mr. Burke forty years before, when in his letter to the Duke of Portland, speaking of the House of Lords as in itself the feeblest part of the Constitution, supported only by its connection with the Crown and the House of Commons, he said that without these connections it could not exist a single year, and added : " All these parts of our Constitution, whilst they are balanced as opposing interests, are also connected as friends ; otherwise nothing but confusion could be the result." Lord Grey, enveloped in the dust of battle, could see no issue from the political con flict except by bringing up the " reserve forces " of the Constitution. For him there was no clearness of vision. The truth was, and is, that without com promise, without a display of reasonableness, there could and can not be victory within the hmits of constitutional action. There was no essential difference and no moral distinction between swamping the majority of one of the Houses of Parliament by men in black coats or by men in red. Force was the essence of both. Ask any dispassionate student of history, a Frenchman or a Japanese, how it came about that the Reform Bill of 1832 was passed into law, and why the House of Lords yielded. His answer would not 84 THE HOUSE OF LORDS be that it was because of a threat to create peers. He would say : " On October 3, 1831, there was a meeting of 150,000 men at Birmingham who de clared by acclamation that if the Reform BiU did not pass they would refuse the payment of taxes, as John Hampden had refused to pay ship money, except by a levy on their goods." And " On May 14, 1832, a petition was presented to the House of Commons from the City of London, praying the House to withhold supplies till the Reform Bill should have passed." It was not indolence or timidity or "flaccid latitudin- arianism," as Lord Morley used to say, which induced the House of Lords to give way, but robust political sense, which told them that their good fight was fought out, and that not a pohtical or factious majority, but the great mass of their fellow-countrymen of all classes, whether in the Midlands or the City of London, desired the Reform Bill to become law. If to-day, the growth of our political organism requires a change in the relations between the two Houses of Parliament, certain conditions must be fulfilled before any Bill fundamentally altering the Constitution should be passed. First, the issue must be made perfectly clear, and be understood of the people. Secondly, the change should receive the emphatic or tacit consent of all reasonable men. If ever there was a case for compromise, it is to be found to-day. In this country political habits CAUSES OF REVOLUTION 85 of thought and of government are too far advanced to make it expedient that one half plus a small fraction of the community should impose its will upon what practically amounts to the other half. For any Minister by an act of high prerogative to attempt such a course of action would be altogether to misinterpret the meaning of government by majorities. It would be the action of an arbitrary and unreflecting political temper ; and, unless the whole character of Englishmen has changed, would be met by very stern reprisals. On the other hand, resistance to the popular will, when it has been clearly expressed and maintained beyond the limits of momentary effervescence, leads surely to what has been finely called " sinister government " ; and any honest Minister, taking stock of modern powers of combination and uprising, should be loth to put them to the test. To assume, as is sometimes done, that revolu tions spring from social causes is to misread history. Mankind revolts against curable, not incurable evils. Since the advent of parliamentary govern ment we, in England, have been immune from revolution. This is due, mainly, to the political flexibility of the English temperament, to the abhorrence of our people for obstinate fanaticism in their public men, and to their passion for moderation and common sense. Bluster is natural enough before and during a general election. But when an election is over, that weapon must be laid in its scabbard, and woe 86 THE HOUSE OF LORDS betide the political leader or leaders of either party, if in the long-run they faU to respond to the desire of the nation that this constitutional strife shall cease, and that by a reasonable compromise the relations between the two Houses shaU be put upon such a footing that the business of the country, whether it be social reform, or adequate measures for national defence, shall proceed un hindered. V. In the discussions concerning the composition of the House of Lords the most pregnant remark was made by Lord Morley when he suggested that re formers must make up their minds whether they want the Upper House made stronger or weaker. Twenty years ago the teacher to whom many looked for guidance upon ethical and political questions was the late Mr. Henry Sidgwick. He was justly revered as an ardent lover of truth and as a man of singularly sane and unbiassed judgment. Everyone was aware that he had devoted much time and thought to problems of government ; and he has mentioned that his conclusions were fortified by discussion with Mr. F. W. Maitland and Mr. A. V. Dicey, Mr. James Bryce and Mr. Arthur Balfour. It would be impossible within the limits of this letter to give an adequate idea of his careful analysis of the functions of two Houses of Parliament. His book should be read ; but the chapter on " Elements HENRY SIDGWICK'S VIEW 87 of Pohtics," in which he deals with the question, has been summarized by him as follows : " 1. A Second Chamber, though not necessary, is useful in checking hasty legislation, impeding com binations of sinister interests, and supplementing the deficiencies of the primary representative Assembly. " 2. To give the two Chambers co-ordinate powers is the simplest plan ; but it creates a difficulty as regards financial control, and is generally unsuited to Parliamentary government ; it is more suitable where the Supreme Executive holds office for life or for a fixed period. " 3. A Senate designed to be co-ordinate in power with the House of Representatives should be elected, directly or indirectly, by the citizens at large ; if its power is more limited, other modes of appointment are suitable." The question which at this moment is agitating Parliament could not be more neatly posed. When Lord Morley asks whether the House of Lords in future is to be co-ordinate with the House of Commons, or whether its powers are to be more limited, and points out that upon the answer to this question the composition of the House of Lords should depend, the conclusions of Mr. Henry Sidgwick cannot fail to assist greatly those who are anxious to find a rational and practical solution of the problem. If his view is accepted, then the plan attributed, perhaps erroneously, to Sir . Edward Grey, of a House of Lords on an elective basis, but subordinate to the House of Commons, would prove to be un- 88 THE HOUSE OF LORDS workable ; while the plan attributed to Lord Rose bery, of a House of Lords with co-ordinate powers, but containing a strong elective element, would be unsuited to parliamentary government. If what is required is a parliamentary machine which will work easily and without friction, and not a political assertion of the superiority of the elective principle under all circumstances and conditions, then the House of Lords should not be based, like the House of Commons, upon popular election. Putting aside violent counsels, what is the re lation between the two Houses which reasonable people wished to see established ? 1. They want the will of the people as repre sented by the House of Commons ultimately to prevail. 2. They wish for a House of Lords composed of men efficient, by reason of their public experience, to act as critics and revisers of measures passed by the House of Commons. 3. They desire to see a House of Lords strong enough to refer to the decision of the electorate measures of far-reaching import which have not received the approval of the nation ; but not strong enough to destroy such measures when the will of the country has been declared. 4. They are anxious, while endeavouring to meet the progressive requirements of a modern State, to maintain the ancient customs of Parliament, and to leave unbroken the historic traditions which bind the monarchy of to-day to the monarchy of Elizabeth. " COMPARATIVE POLITICS ' 89 Problems far more intricate confronted the statesmen of 1688 and 1832, and they did not prove to be insoluble. A slight readjustment of relations between the two Houses of Parliament, and a moderate change in the composition of the House of Lords, would not have appeared very formidable tasks to the men who altered the succession to the Throne, and finally established the Protestant religion, or an in superable difficulty to those who reformed the old House of Commons. In both cases, however, the assent of the nation, as a whole, had to be obtained ; and the Constitution of Great Britain never has been, and never can be, drastically modified by a bare majority of votes. Behind Lord Rosebery's scheme of reform lurks a social danger upon which some consideration should be bestowed. Freeman, in his book on " Comparative Politics," which deserves attention at this juncture, observes that the peerage of England is not a nobility in the sense in which nobihty is understood in foreign lands, and he gives an explanation, worthy of some attention, why we have been saved from a noblesse in the foreign sense : " Why did not a nobility of the foreign type grow up among the Norman conquerors themselves ? That great law of WiUiam which made every man in the land the man of the King, had much to do with it, but paradoxical as it may sound, I conceive that the very power and dignity of the peerage has had a good deal to do with it also. Elsewhere nobUity 13 90 THE HOUSE OF LORDS was primarily a matter of rank and privUege, with which political power might or might not be con nected. " But m an Enghsh peerage the primary idea is political power ; rank and privUege are a mere adjunct. " The peer does not hold a mere rank which he can share with his descendants ; he holds an office, which passes to his next heir when he dies, but which he cannot share with any man while he lives, " The peer then, not a mere noble, but a legislator, a counsellor, and a judge holds a distinct place in the State which his children can no more share with «him than anyone else. Hence in England we have but two classes, peers and commoners, those who hold office and those who do not. " The chUdren of a peer come under this last head as much as other men ; they are therefore com moners. The very existence of the peerage itself hinders the existence of a nobility in the true sense of the word." Those, therefore, who favour the extinction of a peer's office as such should pause for a moment on the threshold of action to enquire whether it would be prudent to retain the prerogative of the Crown that enables any hereditary title to be conferred, or, if retained, it should not be subject to severe limitations in favour of those who have rendered conspicuous and rare service to the State. There is undoubtedly a social danger in adding to great wealth or great landed possessions the prestige of social rank unchecked by the responsibility which parliamentary office imposes upon every member of the peerage. LIFE PEERAGES 91 Life peerages would not be open to this objection. Although Lord Hugh Cecil's accuracy in historical detaU has been questioned, his inherited historical instinct served him well when he was led to suggest that not by election or by selection, but by withholding or issuing a writ of summons by the Crown, in short, by a carefuUy guarded system of life peerages, a House of Lords might be obtained without any undue strain of the constitutional practice under which for centuries the Lords of Parliament have been summoned to assist in the work of government. In that direction lies, very possibly, a solution of at least one-half of the difficulties which face statesmen of both parties. VI. I said four months ago that it did not seem possible to escape from the political deadlock without a political revolution. The Government appear to have come to a similar conclusion, for their policy is not to-day one of reform, but of revolution. They speak of using a reserve power in the Constitution, but what they mean is the use of exceptional force, without precedent, to override one of the Estates of the Realm. To swamp one House of Parhament by the incursion of 500 newly created peers is a proceeding which does not differ much, in spirit and method, from that of a certain Colonel Thomas Pride when he seized 47 and excluded from Westminster 96 members of 92 THE HOUSE OF LORDS the other House. If there is a doubtful precedent for the creation of peers to coerce the House of Lords, there is an undoubted precedent for the employment of force to coerce the House of Commons. I am not arguing that this so-called dormant prerogative should not be exercised. I am stating facts, and endeavouring to show that to use such a power is an act of revolution. There is, however, another aspect in which the Government policy is the pohcy of revolution. It appears to have been grasped by Sir H. Dalziel and a few members of the House of Commons. The Veto Bill apparently is not intended to be a permanent amendment of the law. It is a transitory or temporary expedient, designed to bring about some undisclosed, or only partially disclosed, constitutional change at a later stage. The preamble of the Bill, we are told, explains this novel act of statecraft. The Veto Bill is wanted, not to define permanently a statutory relation between two Houses of Parlia ment, but to enable a new law to be passed radically altering the basis and composition of one of them, upon a vague plan of which the nation is not to be seized until a later stage. Parenthetically, there is apparently nothing to prevent the use of this exceptional power for changing the Consti tution in other ways, for altering the Acts of Union, for abolishing the Established Churches of Great Britain, or possibly for modifying the Act of Settlement, the 12th and 13th of WiUiam III. POLITICAL COMMON SENSE 93 The desire to vest such exceptional powers in a Single Chamber by the use of a prerogative, which, as I have endeavoured to show in these letters, was never intended to be used for any purpose of the kind, can only be designated as a policy of revolu tion. I am not setting up a bogey. Revolution has been found to be necessary before now, and may be necessary again ; but politicians who em bark on revolutionary courses must always remem ber that behind revolution lurk insurrection and civil war. The function of statesmanship is to harness political passion to the fixed star of political common sense, to check precipitate resolves, and to make aU violent change a matter of compromise. No unprejudiced mind can deny that the diffi culties of government have been increased by the action of the House of Lords in throwing out the Budget of 1909. But it does not foUow from this that the obvious remedy is to subvert the Constitu tion under which we have lived and under which great reforms, from the emancipation of the Catho lics down to the practical passing of Mr. Lloyd George's Budget, have been carried into law. Is no weight to attach to the views of the most eminent statesmen and of the greatest lawyers and publicists of bygone days, to whichever party they belonged ? Whether it is Sir Henry Maine or Mr. Sidgwick, whether itis Lord Brougham or Edmund Burke, whether it is Mr. Pitt or Mr. Gladstone, you can find in their utterances no reasoned judg ment on the checks and balances of our Constitu- 14 94 THE HOUSE OF LORDS tion which justifies the action contemplated by the Government. A House of Lords acting merely as " another stage through which Bills must pass in the Commons as now constituted, would be but little security for revision and reflection," said Lord Brougham when he was discussing, not a House of Lords deprived of its power to reject a Bill, but a House of Lords based upon a purely elective prin ciple. " The great security would have been whoUy wanting," he continues, " which results and can only result from the nature, structure, origin, and interests of two bodies being entirely different, and which depends on the full discussion only to be obtained from such reaUy confhcting bodies. " There has never been so far a Liberal of eminence who has maintained the contrary. Are opinions so weighty from statesmen so experienced to be thrust aside because of a party quarrel which far-seeing and temperate statesmanship should be able to com pose ? Burke — a noble mixture of Liberal ideas and Conservative leanings — never disputed, as no one disputes to-day, the abstract competence of the " people " to subject permanent reason to occasional wiU, but he questioned the moral right of any of those who exercise authority in the State to do so. He questioned the moral competence of the House of Lords to dissolve itself, or to abdicate, if it would, its position in the Legislature of the kingdom. "Though a King may abdicate for his own person, he cannot abdicate for the Monarchy." BURKE'S VIEWS 95 He realized, as apparently few do now, that the engagement or pact which generally goes by the name of the Constitution forbids both invasion and surrender. " The constituent parts of a State," he says, " are obliged to hold their public faith with each other, and with all those who derive any serious interest under their engagements, as much as the whole State is bound to keep its faith with separate communities. Otherwise, competence and power would soon be confounded, and no law left but the will of a prevailing force." For wisdom of this kind we are now asked to substitute declama tory phrases about the will of the people. It recalls the bitterness of the Book of Job, "No doubt they are the people, and wisdom shall die with them." Neither this country, however, nor any country that I ever heard of, has aUowed its Con stitution to be fundamentally altered by a bare majority of votes. The recent action of the House of Lords upon Lord Rosebery's resolutions is a proof that a general feeling prevails throughout the nation that the Liberal party has a sound grievance, and that some reform is wanted. The House of Lords reflects this general feeling. But this does not justify the proposed remedy. If by the policy of the Govern ment a crises arises shortly, what, as at present determined, would be the issue submitted to the country at a general election ? What would each party lose if the issue is decided against it ? A Government majority means to the Unionist party a Single Chamber absolutely uncontrolled. Is not 96 THE HOUSE OF LORDS this, from a Conservative point of view, too vast a risk ? A Unionist majority means to the Liberal party the transfer of political power from the House of Commons to the House of Lords. Is not this, for a Liberal, a gambler's throw ? In either case the balance of the Constitution, as we know it to-day, will have been destroyed. Why should peaceful people who are not partisans submit to so violent a transformation, to so complete a leap into the dark ? When politicians speak of a " reserve force " in the Constitution they appear to mean the use of the Royal prerogative, or some method more suit able to the Stuart Kings than to a " Democratic " Ministry in the twentieth century. The only rational reserve force in the Constitution is the common sense of the nation, which, at certain moments, insists upon accommodation and com promise between party leaders. We have had many proofs of it, from the religious compromises of the seventeenth down to the political com promises of the nineteenth century. If the story of what happened in 1884 is examined, it will be found that the Tory party claimed to accompany a great reform of political machinery with certain definite safeguards. They carried their point because the English and Scots people, however much they may declaim, are Whigs at heart and ultimately choose the middle way. Mr. Gladstone did not object to the word " accommodation " and disliked the word " compromise." So be it. REFLECTIONS SUGGESTED BY LORD MORLEY'S POLITICAL NOTES.* I. If it be true that democracy, in the discussions of the day, means government working directly through public opinion, does it necessarily follow that democratic government need work through a parliament, or, indeed, through any representative body at all ? This question is of some interest at the present juncture of political affairs, when obvious as weU as unexplored changes are taking place in the Consti tution of our country. Scattered through the history of the English people there are dazzling moments of spasmodic change when political progress seems to give a sudden leap forward. Such a moment was the passage of the Reform Bill in 1832. Another was the culminating Edu cation policy of the Liberal party in 1870. Some times the path of a political measure to its goal is obscure and devious, as when Free Trade was said to have travelled across an Ireland devastated by potato famine before finding final expression in Sir * Published in the New Statesman, in January and February, 1914. 97 98 LORD MORLEY Robert Peel's famous Act. No need to labour the point. Supremely interesting to us is the specula tive meaning of the ferment going on in Ulster to-day, among the Trade Unions in England and Scotland, and especially in the pohtical party calhng itself Unionist and Conservative. Is it democracy seeking new means of expression ? Is it popular desire for some form of government working more directly through pubhc opinion than is compatible with a representative assembly ? Does it foreshadow the fall of our ancient parlia mentary system? Is England, the Mother of Parliaments, about to give birth to some new method of expressing the popular will in matters of government? Such a problem, suggested by Lord Morley 's recent book, seems worthy of medi tation and discussion. Parliament and the House of Commons are terms meaning very different things at different periods of our national story. When Mr. Balfour speaks of himself, as he loves to do, as a " House of Commons man," what precisely is in his mind ? Is he thinking of the House of Commons in which sat Pym and Hampden ; or Walpole's house of placemen ; or the House led by the elder Pitt and by his son, or by Peel, or Disraeli, or by Gladstone and himself? In point of fact. Peel's House of Commons in 1845 was as different from Pitt's as is Mr. Asquith's from Disraeli's. It is true that Mr. Balfour, remembering the Fourth party in 1880, may see resemblances to the Cobham ARISTOCRATIC v. PLEBEIAN 99 Cubs of a hundred and fifty years before ; but these sporadic manifestations of youthful spirit and talent are common to all assemblies of men. Look, however, down the Ministerial Front Bench to-day, and what could be less like a row of Palmerston's coUeagues or the Gladstonian Ministers of 1880 ? Instead of a row of hereditary politicians picked from "governing families" in huge preponderance, with here and there a shame faced and uneasy plebeian, we have the Colonial Secretary sitting alone for the old tradition. In stead of a Lower House nominally inferior, but proudly cognizant of its real power, we have the vulgar predominance of a boastful House of Com mons, based not upon sure recognition of its representative character and of the people's wUl, but upon an ill-drawn, half-hearted statute. The Parliament of Pitt and Canning has gone into the limbo of Old Sarum and the rest. The Parha ment of Disraeli and Gladstone has followed after. If, then, democracy to-day means government working directly through public opinion, what wUl presently happen to the Parliament of Mr. Asquith ? It is clear to every watcher that the executive and legislative machinery is undergoing profound alteration, but what is not so clear is the change in political ideas and political aspirations. " C'est toujours le beau monde qui Gouverne le monde " can no longer be well and truly said. Certainly it has ceased to be true of this country. No great matter perhaps, for the real question seems to be 100 LORD MORLEY not so much who governs as to whether the word " Government " still possesses its old and well-worn meaning. Observe the strange tendencies in every area of executive authority and in every field of legislative enterprise. The old shibboleths of our ancestors are forgotten and their political methods transformed. " I will maintain the Liberties of England and the Protestant Religion" was the motto of the House of Orange, a colour only suggesting to-day to the heirs of the " Revolution families" an infuriated and implacable Ulster. " No taxation without representation " has become a meaningless phrase to politicians begging with veiled threats naval contributions, in money or kind, from the great Dominions and Crown Colonies. " Civis Romanus " must ring tunelessly enough in the ears of a dark-skinned subject, honourably loyal to King George, who finds him self an alien from the Commonwealth and a stranger from the covenants of promise, having no hope; while " peace, retrenchment and reform " is a phrase that not even the biographer of Cobden can venture to whisper at Cabinets engaged in approv ing the highest naval and military and civil estimates ever presented to any Parliament in any land. Although they are still half-hidden, the changes in our political institutions brought about by the rejection of the Budget in 1 909 and by the passage into law of the Parliament Bill of 1911 are deep- seated and transforming. Nothing so drastic has been done since 1832. Nomination boroughs, THE REVOLT OF THE NATION 101 limited rights of representation, the sale of seats, and the preposterous cost of elections, were swept away by the Reform BiU of Lord Grey. Thirty- six years, from 1832 to 1868, passed before the fuU effect of Lord Grey's measure was realized. Mr. Asquith's Parliament Act has had results more drastic, for it has threatened the existence of Parliament itself, and has rendered possible the effective revolt of the people against Representative Government. Monarchical attempts in former times to destroy the balance of the Constitution led to the rebellion of Parliament and to a limited Monarchy. The House of Commons, destroying in 1911 the balance of our parliamentary system, has, in so doing, precipitated the revolt of the nation, and rendered inevitable a limited Parliament. A limited monarchy, said Sir George Cornewall Lewis, is a hereditary king associated with a parliamentary body. His successor at the Ex chequer may shortly be defining a limited Parlia ment as a House of Commons associated with a poll of the people. Who was it who said in reference to constitu tional changes that an ignorant man, who is not fool enough to meddle with his clock, is, however, sufficiently confident to think that he can safely take to pieces and put together a moral machine of quite another guise ? Well, we have eminent politicians engaged just now in trying to screw together the pieces of a Constitution, admired and widely copied, which was not the work of a Sieyes, 102 LORD MORLEY or even of an Alexander Hamilton, but " came to fruition as the result of many minds, in many ages." " We want no foreign examples to rekindle in us the flame of liberty," Burke once wrote. So let the framers of Senates and Second Chambers, in spite of or in accordance with preambles and pledges, beware of rousing the insular spirit and just vanity of our people. England has never failed to strike out new lines of her own. To the intricacies of feudalism, of Tudor monarchism, of Whig oligarchy, our institutions adapted themselves, borrowing nothing from other nations, but respon sive to the needs of the hour. Modern democracy, or "Government working directly through public opinion," is seeking free methods of expression. Very new is the wine now in the making, and the old double-necked parhamentary bottle is peril ously out of date, and dangerously unsuitable. "Public opinion," easily aroused in a people inteUigent, literate, and conscious of power, desires more "direct" means of expression than repre sentative government affords. The rumblings of popular resentment against "delegation" are ominously loud, whether among trade unionists who defy their " leaders " or the great Conservative party in politics that clamours for recurrent appeals to the constituencies. The life of Parhament has been shortened by law from seven years to five. Popular opinion, judging from its expression in the Press and on the platform, desires still further to shorten the term in practice. The House of POPULAR REPRESENTATION 103 Commons is no longer composed of free and in dependent representatives, elected to " redress grievances " and to legislate for the people, but of paid delegates. We may still claim for the House of Commons that it virtually selects the Prime Minister of the day and registers his executive decrees. For short and ever-shortening periods this plan still works. Executive authority is dele gated to a chosen statesman not unwillingly for five years. Then, at latest, the people desire a fresh voice in the matter. Presently the term will be still further shortened to four years or three. The rapidly recurring general elections indicate it, and " democracy " notoriously tires easily of its leaders — even of Aristides. Popular representation — the delegation of legis lative power — had for its basis the illiteracy of a people. Newspapers and the capacity of the con stituent masses to read them have sapped the foundations of representative government, as it has been understood in England, and " public opinion " seems about to require more "direct working" than the parhamentary system has hitherto afforded, or is likely to afford. II. If the most marked of aU the agitations of the nineteenth century was the pohtical movement for national autonomy, how fares the sentiment of nationality to-day ? Is it still transformed into a vivid political idea, and is it stiU a dominating 104 LORD MORLEY force? Does the modern Enghsh demos— the mass of the Enghsh people— does democratic government, "working directly through pubhc opinion," attach more or less value to the idea of nationahty ? This sentiment, which inflamed visionaries, then grew potent with multitudes, says Lord Morley, "and from instinct became idea; from idea abs tract principle; then fervid prepossession; ending where it is to-day, in dogma, whether accepted or evaded," is it to-day repudiated? Here, it may weU be, is a new factor, the breeze of indifference or the blast of negative, the chUl breath of a new estranging era ! If nationality became the deepest and most powerful of revolutionary secrets during the pro gress of the nineteenth century, it may happen that its negative may prove to be the revolutionary password of the age in which we live. Our language, and the mental habits of the English people, do not lend themselves to the definition of terms in common use. Where a Frenchman finds a word exactly quahfied to express his meaning, we take the first that comes to hand. Nationality, State or nation, conveys sufficiently the idea of a common bond, originating in race, dominion, or the land of our birth. If there is no decisive test, we all know what is meant by such terms as the English nation or the British Empire. Lord Morley contends that nationality has been EFFACEMENT OF NATIONALITY 105 a commandmg impulse for the century that is just over, but he whispers a warning that science, working against the spirit of nationality, and making for cosmopolitanism, may in the coming years act as a powerful disintegrating force. He suggests that in congresses in every capital of the world nationality is effaced. But is this efface- ment of nationality in congresses, whether sum moned in the name of Peace at The Hague, or of Therapeutics in London, so noticeable a phenome non ? Ehrlich appeared as distinctly German as was Huxley a truly aggressive Briton, and Metchnikoff could never disperse that characteris tic atmosphere of the Slav that clings about his person and his speech any more than Pasteur could in a laboratory in Pekin have passed for anything but a Frenchman. Extended knowledge, too, so frequently mis called education, permeating the masses of the people, may well produce towards the sentiment of nationality the sort of reaction that I have sug gested is at work against the conventional idea of "representative government." A few weeks ago in the United Service Institu tion, before a number of distinguished soldiers, a working man was bold enough to say that it mat tered httle to him and his fellows if the country were governed by the Emperor William or by King George. What lies at the root of such a confession except the awakening of the people to a sense of their physical misery ? This man's words 15 106 LORD MORLEY are not new to those who have moved among the workers in the Midlands or in the West Riding of Yorkshire. Patriotism in the eyes of these people is a luxurious habit of mind of the well-to-do. Their absorption is " Round about a Pound a Week." It may well happen, unless this symptom is carefully watched and treated, that the twentieth century may produce a rude revulsion against the dominating sentiment, as Lord Morley describes it, of the nineteenth. It is fascinating to generalize as Lord Morley does about the colour of the centuries and the texture of national impulse. Great is the tempta tion to follow such a lead ; but as we reflect upon the growth of nations and empires, in Italy, for example, and North Germany, we cannot overlook the wholesale destruction by Englishmen of nations and States in other latitudes, and the forceful up building of the British Empire, in Victorian times, upon a foundation of crushed nationalities. If Tyrol, Moscow, Leipzig are names for immortal chapters in the story of national up risings — Sobraon, Delhi, and Tel-el-Kebir, if not the surrender at Appomattox, are fatal inscriptions upon the tablets of people " rightly struggling to be free." Lord Morley would note the phrase, and perhaps find some difficulty in reconciling its soaring aim with the tradition of the great office in Whitehall over which he so brilliantly presided, or the policy of the nation he has for so long helped to direct. That is the worst of history. You never can be secure in a generalization, or IMPERIALISM 107 a deduction, whether you take " your meals in the kitchen," as Lord Acton said, or in the best par lour. Yet how satisfying is the outlook over the broad landscape of the past, and how tempting to note the mountain ranges and forget the valleys beyond ; to follow the course of rolling rivers, and ignore the tiny burns that swell their tide I Equally, perhaps more alluring, is the Weltan schauung to-day, the attempt to summarize the spiritual and material tendencies of the age in which we live. The soul of Mazzini, the splendid tenacity of Cavour, the iron wiU of Bismarck, and the pungent virility of Lincoln, may have spent their force before the present century closes ; who can be sure? The "two nations," according to Disraeli — and this was years ago — were the rich and the poor. There is a curious phrase which has slowly gripped the minds of younger men in quite recent days : " The Empire is my country, England is my home." These words are conspicuously in scribed in arresting letters before the eyes of thou sands of children in day-schools, and they are to be seen upon the walls of institutes and every manner of building dedicated to the amusement or enlightenment of the young. If they imply merely some form of megalomania, called Im perialism, some vulgar aspiration to be members of an Imperial State of larger extent and greater wealth than Germany or the United States, they bode ill for the future ; for, as the greatest of our philosoper- statesmen said long ago, there is so essential a difference between the scale of miles 108 LORD MORLEY and the scale of forces. But if they imply a wider outlook, a nobler sense of nationality, a broader humanitarian sympathy, an aspiration towards the brotherhood of the workers, a step towards the collective effort of men of the same race and language all over the world, they are full of hope. Just as it is possible to combine civic and national emotion, so the words I have quoted suggest the interlacing of a national and imperial sentiment. If men begin to realize, and women too, the mani fold and intertwining bonds that link nations together — faith, literature, art, wealth, commerce, and, above all, as Lord Morley suggests, the enmeshing strands of science, this new century may come to understand such a phrase as "Europe our country, and Great Britain our home." Why analyze or disperse the vision ? It is only fools who see no visions, and men born old who dream no dreams. Nelson, when captain of the Agamemnon, used to race to the mizzentop with his midshipmen, and then tell them " to hate a Frenchman as they would the devil." It was a useful working maxim in those days of stress. But if such a sentiment could be transformed into the nationality of a Mazzini or a Cavour, so it may well happen that the spirit of racial and historic pride which was theirs may merge not dishonourably in triple alliances and triple ententes, and, broadening down into further combinations, may in the course of this century— already in labour with effulgent IS THE TRACK UPWARD ? 109 moral and physical change — give to the words of nationahty and patriotism, if not a very different meaning, a very different quahty. III. " Is the track all upward?" Lord Morley asks, and then goes on to warn that a universal law, for all times, all States, all societies. Progress is not. He is careful, however, to note that the word Progress may be variously defined, and he would perhaps repudiate the increasing happiness of the greatest number as its potential meaning. If, how ever, that definition is accepted, and a sufficiently long view be taken, is the track not all upward ? It may require a mind young and sanguine to answer the question cordially in the affirmative. " The new world of machines and mobs and vul garity," a brilliant writer, fortunate in the posses sion of hereditary gifts, reminds us, seemed to Carlyle and Tennyson "just a bad mistake and nothing more, a driving of the car of humanity into the ditch." These accessories of our modern life may be unpicturesque, but they cannot be described seriously as signs of national decay. It is not to mobs and machines that a nation growing old renounces its wiU, its faith, and the whole essence of its being, but rather, as the preachers have often warned us, in favour of the giver of pleasure. I would prefer to believe that machines and mobs and vulgarity — in the sense of that word as Carlyle used it^are the counterpoise to the 16 no LORD MORLEY more insidious allurements noted by Gibbon in the lauded age of Domitian, when, according to his judgment, the human race was at the zenith of happiness and prosperity. But then "slavery was the horrid base," says Lord Morley, appreciating the progress of mankind in, at any rate, one sphere of ethical habit. If the blackness has since been lightened, we cannot afford to ignore those grey vistas of poverty — slavery too, though of another fashion — especially in the great cities of the world, which are the "horrid base" of our civilization now. Mill doubted whether all mechanical inventions have lightened human toil, or freed from drudgery and imprisonment the marginal worker — that basic factor of modern society. I^ord Morley rightly holds that the " drudgery and imprisonment " is not what it was ; that child labour has been abolished, that the labour of women is guarded, and the hours of men are reduced. Within cir cumscribed areas this is doubtless true, and the reflection brings with it a glimmer of hope for the future. StiU, when we look over the earth's surface, and count our own unhappy millions, and set them against the lesser thousands of the Roman world, Mommsen's balance of total happiness struck in favour of the age of the Antonines does not appear so fantastic. But it is not to the generalizations and inferences of historians, however profound ; or to the cynicism of Voltaire, who said that we shall leave the world just as stupid and bad as we THE SECRET OF PROGRESS 111 found it ; or to the gloom of Schopenhauer's con clusion that wise men of all times have always said the same, and fools — that is, the universal majority — have always done the same ; or to Treitschke, "the German Machiavel of the nineteenth cen tury," that we must look for the answer to Lord Morley 's question : " Is the track all upward ?" For ages men have vainly sought for Progress in the human heart and understanding ; for Pro gress is not to be found in the storm of conflicting passions or in the lightning flash of intellect. The still small voice of scientific research, the unrolling of the scroll of experience, and the magic augmen tation of our everyday knowledge of material truth are the accompaniment of advance. The secret of Progress has always been and stiU lies there. Minds " innocent and quiet " have been uncaged and find freedom everywhere ; and I am not here concerned with these deeper things. Progress, the gradual increasing happiness of the masses, the upward track, is marked by finger-posts emblazoned with such names as Jenner, Pasteur, Lister, Kelvin, Curie, Ehrlich, names standing for that patient search into the recesses of Nature inseparably con nected with the story of the nineteenth century and the days in which we are living. The allevia tion of pain, the succour of men and women wounded in the struggle for life, the smoothing of the way down into the vaUey of death, are achieve ments which Leonardo or Bacon or Goethe would have acclaimed to be sure signs of an upward track. We may aU agree that progress is no " auto- 112 LORD MORLEY maton spontaneous and self-^^propeUing," and that it depends upon the play of forces within our com munity and external to it. It depends, says Lord Morley, in a characteristic passage, " on the room left by the State for the enterprise, energy and initiative of the individual." Here, with a flash of the gladiatorial blade. Lord Morley recalls to memory that long roll of fighters immortalized by Comte, and appeals to the individualism that in wilder days, and under simpler conditions, has played its part well. Meanwhile the net of the retiarius— the web of collective energy and of com bined enterprise — is swinging about his feet. Is it not an error to assume that the world is not wide enough for " individualism " and for " socialism, syndicalism, anarchism," or whatever barbarous name you please to affix to the revolt of man, freed by the spread of knowledge and by the wand of Science, from old limitations, not of thought but of action ? To insist upon the neces sary and inevitable conflict between individual and collective " initiative and enterprise " is a confusion of which Lord Morley 's spirit, " free from mists and sane and clear," is not likely to be guilty. In the quiet sphere of reflection, in the cloistered domain of research, in the unexplored lands of imagination, there is room, and plenty, for the " enterprise, energy and initiative of the individual." Never can man be deprived of or asked to share his own soul. But in spheres of action the case is wholly different. Herein it may well happen that KEYNOTE OF THE FUTURE 113 the new century is opening upon an unbeaten track that, I should be loth to believe, is not trending upward. Scan the horizon. No Napoleon or Bismarck towers. Even they, to borrow the great figure of Lucretius, are pygmies when seen from the neighbouring hilltop. Is the great world any the worse off because the average stature of men is more even, and because men and women are less anxious to follow a lead and more keen to march abreast ? I have indicated in these papers doubts — sug gested by Lord Morley 's inspiring notes — whether the outlook, especially so far as our own country concerns us, does not indicate a new ordering of ideas very different from those that historical artists will paint upon the tapestries of the nineteenth century. Parliamentary Government, Nationality, Individualism, are the orthodox master- words of the publicist writing hard for his life of the immediate past or the immediate present. I have ventured to suggest that they are unlikely to prove the key words of the immediate future. Goethe's advice to aU as they grow old was to " act as if life had just begun." May we not as a people speaking one language and with a glorious history, but as a community grown old, endeavour to think as if life had just begun ? Then, perhaps, with all our racial genius for practical action, we may find our social habits transformed, and our political institu tions remoulded, in tune with the dreams of men young enough to believe that the track is aU upward. THE VOLUNTARY PRINCIPLE.* There is so fine a flavour about voluntary effort, so exhilarating an atmosphere about the men and women who sacrifice time and wealth, and some times life itself, in the voluntary service of others, that it seems sacrilegious to think of substituting for it the flat and commonplace rule of compulsion. Charity has been so highly esteemed that it has served as a cloak for most of the sins of the world ; but charity in that sense — not the virtue which induces most men who are not politicians to think fairly well of their neighbours — is dying a slow death as the shadow of compulsion creeps over our national life. No imaginative politician, no prac tical citizen, no one, in fact, but a dry theorist, would dream of substituting compulsion for voluntary effort so long as the latter could be relied upon to produce average results, whether in education, sanitation, or military service. When, however, as education spreads, common men awaken to their duties and responsibilities, and when national risks, military and commercial, appear to them as risks which not only the rich and great but they themselves have to run, security, whether in the shape of sound teaching, * Published in the National Review, September, 1910. 114 COMPULSION IN THE STATE 115 hygiene in its protective forms, or armed force, appears to them to be a matter of vital concern, and not of casual inclination. Forty years ago voluntary schooling was abandoned as an educa tional principle, and parents were obliged by law to send their children to school. These children are now grown men, and they look with different eyes upon the various forms of compulsion which have crept into our political system, and which culminated in the compulsory grant of an old-age pension and in compulsory insurance against illness and unemployment. The voluntary principle and the compulsory principle are both quite common in our mixed institutions, and it must be difficult for a foreigner to differentiate precisely where they overlap. Justice is administered half by volunteer judges and half by paid professionals. Lunatic asylums are maintained by compulsory taxation ; hospitals by voluntary contribution. From some diseases men and women must be protected by force, whether they like it or not ; other, and no less terrible, diseases they are free to spread with that full degree of liberty which is the proud boast of the British race. These somewhat trite reflections are necessary, because it may be too readily assumed that to express a doubt of the complete success of the voluntary principle as applied to military pre paredness for war, or for national defence, neces sarily implies that one is in favour of conscription. Logic is a weakness which has nothing to do with 116 THE VOLUNTARY PRINCIPLE the matter in hand. If question there be of alter natives, it is not one of choice, but of necessity. Someone said in a moment of trifling that force is no remedy, and the phrase has been quoted as dogma ever since, although everybody knows that nme times out of ten force is the only possible remedy. Two of the many problems awaiting solution by Britons all over the world is where and when the voluntary principle has failed, and whether " voluntaryism " is compatible with " democracy " in the functional activities of a modern State. When Englishmen were ruled and did not govern themselves, it seemed quite in accordance with the settled order of things that a select few should do the work of the many. The oligarchic methods of the Whig Party triumphant in 1688 were only destroyed, as Lord Beaconsfield pointed out, by Mr. Gladstone two centuries later. The interval was the age of voluntary effort. The British Empire, as we know it, is the outcome of the voluntary principle. It found high exponents in men of the type of Clive and Cecil Rhodes. With volunteer armies, and by volunteer finance, these men and their likes acquired India, huge portions of Africa, and countless islands — in short, the British Empire of to-day. There was a moment, in the course of the great struggle with Napoleon, when Mr. Pitt — who did not happen to be a Whig — faltered, and when, amidst a huge agglomeration of mercenary troops VOLUNTARY WORK 117 and volunteer commandos, we obtain a glimpse of " compulsion " both in pressing men into the navy, and balloting for soldiers for the military defence of our shores. This was a mere spasm, born of fright, and England soon afterwards sank wearily and not uncontentedly back into the arms of her Whig statesmen. In point of fact, we have lived splendidly and comfortably under an oligarchy and under a voluntary system. The Houses of Parlia ment, filled with men giving up their time gratis to the nation, the magistracy of the counties and boroughs, the vast number of citizens acting as jurors, the men and women devoted to the care of educating village children, or supervising hospitals, the enormous sums spent in almsgiving in manifold shapes — all these were manifestations of the volun tary principle in its most wholesome form. Great Britain thrived under this dispensation. She stood for liberty at home, and freedom in Europe, and her wealth and power increased with the spread of Empire, until she became, as Burke said, the arbitress of Europe, and, as Burke did not live to say, the greatest world-power, except Rorne, that the world has ever seen. No man in his senses could desire, in order to square with some theory of government or live up to some political dogma, to change a system so rooted in our habits, and so beneficial to the nation in its results ; but forces were at work, even in the most halcyon of these oligarchic days, which changed the old order, and brought about the inception of the new. 118 THE VOLUNTARY PRINCIPLE There came the Reform BiU of 1832. Is there any one simple enough to suppose that the Whigs who carried that Bill enjoyed the task ? Is there anyone who believes that Mr. Disraeli hked the Reform BiU of 1866 any better than Lord Salisbury liked it ? In those years the 'system of govern ment had broken down, and these statesmen were forced by stress of circumstances to alter the in stitutions of the country, just as in 1846 Sir Robert Peel was constrained, by the failure of "Protec tion," to meet the difficulties of the transformation of an agricultural into an industrial population, and to adopt the theories of the Manchester school, and to swallow Free Trade. Yet who can truthfully say that he enjoyed the operation, or did more than bow to the inevitable result of causes which were beyond his control ? As the franchise was lowered, and political power became more disseminated, the principle of compulsion became more extended, and voluntary effort more restricted. Upon the Reform BUI of 1866 there followed the Education Act of 1870. When the franchise is again lowered, then upon manhood suffrage will follow, in all probability, compulsory mUitary service. The unpopularity of free military service, as weU as gratuitous service of any kind to the State, becomes more marked with the advance of " democracy." No one is more suspicious than the plebeian. He believes that he has been exploited for centuries by the wealthier classes, and he attributes the most sinister motives to the man UNSALARIED WORKERS 119 who is not in his direct pay or employ. Any man who works without emolument for the good of the public he associates with lay preachers of the Established Church, or with its female votaries, performing acts of charity on behalf of the Prim rose League. I speak from experience, for, owing to circumstances, I have nearly all my life, with one pleasant interlude, held the disagreeable posi tion of an unsalaried worker. I remember well, when I was very young, lecturing upon history on behalf of my University in a London slum, and having been guilty of some rather didactic observa tions on patriotism, a man in the audience rose and asked how much I was paid for my lecture. On my admission that I was not considered worthy of an emolument, he retorted, " Then ye are only a preacher," and left the room. It was the revolt of the honest democrat against a species of blackleg. I have noticed the same kind of attack lately made by members of the House of Commons, and by a certain type of journalist, upon un salaried and so-called irresponsible servants of the State. They are quite within their right, for it is obvious that, under a democratic form of government, the only hold upon a man, the only security you have for his honourable performance of duty, is a salary and the power to dock it. Dis interestedness, patriotism, even self-respect, are mere words of archaic meaning. There was a growing demand in some quarters for the payment 120 THE VOLUNTARY PRINCIPLE of members of Parliament. This demand has been conceded. Objection to unsalaried, and therefore irresponsible, magistrates will presently lead to the universal stipendiary. The County Councils, the County Associations, their chairmen and financial committees, will sooner or later be the subject of attack on the ground that the " people " have no proper hold over them. And thus, gradually, voluntary service in civil walks of life will disappear. How, then, can the principle be maintained in regard to military service ? No doubt the circumstances differ materiaUy in some respects. For the mass of those engaged in it military service does not, and never can, provide a career. To be efficient it must always remain a phase of youth. In this respect it resembles what is called educa tion. In order to fight well a man must be hardy and strong, and, above all, he must be young. Under our present system we purchase annually, for the Regular Army, in peace, the bones and muscles and youth of about 30,000 of our country men. We keep them a few years, in case war should come, and we throw them away, and take in a fresh supply. In war we purchase their blood. In addition to the Regular or oversea Army, we succeed in getting, by persuasion, the unpaid voluntary service of the Territorial Force. If the piece of organization conceived and brought into existence by Lord Haldane, worked as it was intended to work, we should require about 60,000 of these Territorial recruits every year. His THE TERRITORIAL FORCE 121 scheme provided that after about four years' ser vice Territorial soldiers should pass into a Terri torial Reserve, and this building up of a reserve of trained men was the essence of the plan. It is the only method of what is called mobilizing the force — that is, of enabling it to take the field in full strength, and the only method of making good, in the event of war, losses from sickness or from battle. For this plan to work well it is essential that about one-fifth of a total of 315,000 men should pass into the reserve every year. For this reason about 60,000 recruits are annually required. In order, therefore, to provide a fighting machine of the size we nominally possess to-day, including Regulars and Territorials— that is to say, in order that on the summons of war about 600,000 men should stand armed all over the Empire, men born and bred in Great Britain, and not Colonial or Indian troops, something under 100,000 recruits are annually required. That Lord Haldane should have gone so near achieving such a result is a remarkable feat, and when it is remembered that he has brought into being the machinery, the framework, and the motive power in the shape of what is caUed a " General Staff," to enable such a force to be used in war, he has done for England eminent service. The country, by the voice of Parliament, sanctioned this organization, and Parliament and the Press lauded it very properly, and appeared satisfied that a force, so organized, and of the strength proposed, 17 122 THE VOLUNTARY PRINCIPLE with a " reserve " behind it, which, in a few years, would mount up to a miUion of men trained to arms, would suffice for the needs of the Empire. If that is so, all that the ordinary citizen is con cerned with is to see that the men are forthcoming in the numbers required. The training and efficiency of such a force are matters for experts, and with the training and efficiency of this force military experts appear from their public statements to be satisfied. The ordinary citizen knows very little of the subject. But the question of numbers any one can understand. Lord Haldane has always recognized, and every body must agree with him, that the numerical test is the real test of the voluntary system ; and it has been admitted over and over again that if the present scheme fails from want of men, no tinker ing, no new scheme of Army Reform, no pohtician or soldier, however eloquent or distinguished, is going to alter or amend it with success. Lord Haldane's plan was always considered, and unquestionably is, the final test of the system of maintaining an adequate armed force by means of paid and unpaid volunteers. The facts are now before the world. There is no secret about them. All the returns of figures are available, and anyone can draw the inference. We are not obtaining the annual supply of young men that we require to make the plan work in its completeness. There have been times when it was exceedingly difficult to get the 30,000 recruits SUPPLY OF RECRUITS 123 wanted for the Regular Army. Sometimes those responsible were almost in despair. On the whole, however, the supply has been fairly obtained. But at present there is no sign that the 60,000 required annuaUy for the Territorial Force will be forth coming. All the portents are adverse. There is no steady increase, no advance. There is in many cases retrogression. I am not going to discuss the manifold causes and excuses which are suggested to account for this main and incontrovertible fact. Nor am I going to discuss remedies. According to some, they resolve themselves into hard cash. By adding so many millions to the cost of the Territorial Force, some competent judges believe that the supply of men could be obtained. It may be so. It may be that the youth and muscle, and possibly the blood of so many of our fellow-citizens can be bought for three and a half millions of pounds sterling, and that a greater quantity can be bought for five or six millions of pounds sterling. It looks plausible. But it is by no means certain. There may be deeper causes at work. It may be that the higher standard of skill and training required from the modern soldier, if he is to be of any use, the greater and unavoidable physical strain placed upon him in peace exercises, and the fiercer com mercial competition between his employers, act adversely upon the instinct, for it cannot be given any other name, which induces the young civilian worker to practise the profession of arms. Or, 124 THE VOLUNTARY PRINCIPLE again, it may be the sirocco of democracy withering in our people the spirit of sacrifice. There are many of us who have laboured hard to brmg success to Lord Haldane's imaginative and practical organization of the Territorial Forces of our country. There are many of us who will relax no effort to recruit and administer these forces ; but it would be cowardice and an act of treachery to the nation, ill-informed and lethargic as it is, if those engaged in this task were to shrink from speaking what they believe to be true, or from expressing candid opinions, however unpalatable. No one can contend that this is a case when the truth, if truth it be, is best unspoken. Of course, the pessimistic view may prove to be an error of judgment, but in that case what harm is done, for it is childish to maintain that so insignificant a thing as the expression of an erroneous opinion could check the growth of the Territorial Force, if the youth of the country were seriously bent upon serving in its ranks. If that were so, the basis upon which the Home Army rests would be frail indeed. On the other hand, the view that we have reached the limit of the nation's yield for the Territorial Force may be true, and if so, what graver decision lies before the people than to choose between leaving the forces of the country below the minimum admitted by everyone to be necessary and imposing by law upon our children the duty to bear arms in its defence. THE COMMITTEE OF IMPERIAL DEFENCE * ITS FUNCTIONS AND POTENTIALITIES Our national institutions are the outcome of slow processes of national and Imperial requirements as they arise, and have never emanated from the brain of the theorist. Government by Cabinet is an illustration of this. The origin and evolution of the Committee of Imperial Defence is another. The rise of a great Sea Power in competition with the British Navy — that force upon which, hitherto, the security of Great Britain and of the British Empire has rested — has rendered imperative the consideration of Imperial Defence as a problem which cannot be solved by Great Britain alone. Statesmanship has before it the choice between Foreign aUiances, and a practical federation of the Empire for purposes of common defence. The matter is urgent and a decision cannot be post poned. National safety and national dignity indicate the right path. Mr. Borden has said that Canada can not and wiU not be a mere adjunct of Great Britain. * A lecture delivered at the United Service Institution on March 20, 1912, with the Chief of the General Staff, General Sir John French, G.C.B., in the chair. 125 18 126 IMPERIAL DEFENCE The other Dominions would re-echo this statement. It is a condition of the problem that this country has to solve. It means that mutual help between the component parts of the Empire demands mutual confidence and a common responsibility for Foreign Affairs. If the functions and potentialities of the Com mittee of Imperial Defence are clearly grasped the problem is not insoluble. Two conditions are essential : first, that there should be no concealment of policy or intentions between the Prime Minister of this country and the Prime Ministers of the Dominions. The second, that no new departure in Foreign Policy, involving Imperial interests, should be taken without the approval of the Dominions. In order to achieve these results some modifica tion of practice in the government of this country and of the Dominions would be necessary. Some concessions would have to be made ; some sacrifice of old-fashioned pride on the one hand, and some abandonment of exaggerated independence on the other. British Ministers should realize that they cannot be free and untrammelled in future to choose a Foreign Policy which may land the Empire in war, and expect material help from Canada ; whUe Canadians should understand that, if they desire to fly the Union Jack, they must face the fact that Great Britain is a European Power, and be ready to shoulder a share of the European burden. IMPERIAL COMMUNICATION 127 Although the shrinkage of the world increases rapidly, I do not believe that time and distance would, at present, permit of constant and adequate representation of the Dominions upon the Com mittee of Imperial Defence, if by that is meant the attendance of Dominion representatives at every important meeting of the Committee. The only adequate representation of a Great Dominion is its Prime Minister. For this reason I suggest, as the first step, com plete confidence and free communication between the British and Canadian Prime Ministers upon all first-class questions of Foreign Policy. Annual visits, or biennial visits, to London in July, to be followed by a series of meetings of the Committee of Imperial Defence, in order to ventilate and deal with technical questions, would be an admirable development and sufficient for our present needs. It would test the strength of our Imperial bonds. There is, however, a condition precedent, and a necessary step antecedent to this. It is to establish confidence and communication between our Prime Minister, as Chairman of the Imperial Defence Committee, and Mr. Borden, as Chairman of the Canadian Defence Committee. Mr. Asquith possesses in the Secretariat of the Committee of Imperial Defence a special Bureau, well qualified for this purpose. The Secretariat of the Committee is the private and public Bureau of the Prime Minister. Indian Administrators are aware of the impor- 128 IMPERIAL DEFENCE tance of the weekly "Private and Confidential" letters that pass between the Viceroy and the Secretary of State for India. Although Members of the Indian Councils may be reluctant to admit the fact, it nevertheless remains that the vital and crucial business of the Indian Empire is discussed and settled by this " Private and Confidential " cor respondence. That is the model and precedent which might be adopted and followed by the Prime Ministers of Great Britain and Canada, as a first step towards closer union. Cabinet Ministers may not like the suggestion. It is another illustration of the unpalatable thesis with which 1 have attempted to deal in this Lecture, that the status of a Cabinet Minister, relative to the Prime Minister, has changed and is changing. We cannot revert to the practice of Lord Liver pool. The Prime Minister to-day must inevitably become more and more an Imperial ChanceUor. He will be forced to devolve the conduct of busi ness in Parliament more and more upon his col leagues. He will be forced to trench more and more upon the functions of the Foreign Secretary, the Colonial and Indian Secretaries of State, and the First Lord of the Admiralty. The day cannot now be far distant when the affairs of the Colonial Office should be relieved of the affairs of the Dominions. The Colonial Office, in that sphere, is an ana chronism. Every consideration points to the REASONS FOR FEDERATION 129 Bureau of the Prime Minister, to the Secretariat of the Committee of Imperial Defence, as the suitable machinery for keeping Great Britain and the Dominions in touch, and as a means of establishing more intimate, more confidential, and more binding relations between the Mother Country and the Dominions, which very shortly will surpass her in population and wealth as they do already in area and extent. In order to federate more or less independent groups of men of the same race and speech, some menace is required to their pride and independence. The Chauvinism of the Napoleonic tradition, and the French spirit of Revanche, federated and have kept together the German Empire. Bismarck, far-seeing, of esprit positif, found in Alsace-Lorraine the instrument he required to hold together the South and North German peoples. His successors have provided us with a weapon equally potent for our purposes. No British states man could have federated the British Empire. That object may, however, be accomplished by the menace of the German Fleet. I have been interested all my life in the study of naval and military matters, and I have been deeply concerned, during the past sixteen or seventeen years, in the organization of the military forces of the Crown ; but I wish to preface what I have to say by the general statement that no man who has regard for the individual or collective happiness and prosperity of his fellow-countrymen can look upon 130 IMPERIAL DEFENCE war otherwise than as the greatest of all curses, and naval and military preparation for war other wise than as the most odious of all necessities. It is a deep-rooted fallacy in the minds of men that a study of the past throws clear light upon the conduct of pubhc affairs, whether the question be naval, military, or civil, or whether the time be the present or the immediate future. In reality, the light thus thrown is dim and uncertain. Although human nature may be unchanging and unchange able — and even this is doubtful — what is called the advance of science and the ever-widening scope of human knowledge render the lessons of the past only partially applicable to present needs and con ditions. It is only a half-truth to say that the invention of gunpowder influenced tactics, but did not materially influence strategy in war. It is alto gether fallacious to suppose that the shrinkage of the world brought about by scientific invention and the interlacing of commercial relations between all civUized peoples have not profoundly influenced both the course and the results of war itself After aU, what is war ? It is the final struggle for supre macy, for the supremacy of one man or body of men, or a nation, over others. In former times the struggle was limited to those whom victory speciaUy concerned, and it did not concern every inhabitant of a town or every native of a country. There are portions of our own Empire to-day where defeat and conquest would only mean, to the EUROPEAN WAR 131 common people, the substitution of one set of masters for another. War nowadays, between great European States, means a struggle not only between bands of armed men, upon which the masses of the people can look, comparatively speak ing, immune and unaffected, but it means a contest in which every individual member of a nation is unavoidably concerned, and in which his material welfare is jeopardized. I am not referring only to conflict between nations in arms, and I have not in mind only con script forces. If Great Britain were at war to morrow with a first-class European Power the welfare of every individual Englishman would be quite as much at stake, although Great Britain is not a nation in arms, as would be the welfare of every individual member of a country which had the conscript law. In a prolonged struggle, or even in a struggle of short duration, between two great Empires, many other forces come into play other than those imme diately within the orbit of the clash of arms ; and these forces have a trenchant bearing upon the issue. What, for example, were the underlying causes that brought about the cessation of the war between Russia and Japan ? The ostensible causes were the victories of the Japanese fleet at Tsushima and of the Japanese armies at Mukden. But was Russia in reality a defeated nation, and was there any real danger to the solidarity of the Russian Empire from 132 IMPERIAL DEFENCE local defeat in a theatre of war so distant as Man churia from Moscow and from St. Petersburg ? Were the armies of Russia crushed and destroyed as were those of Prussia after Jena ? Speaking purely from the strategical point of view, was the victory of Togo at Tsushima more complete than the victory of Nelson at Trafalgar, and was Russia more crippled by naval defeat in 1903 than was France in 1 805 ? Were the Russian armies more broken after Mukden than were their predecessors just one hundred years ago when Napoleon entered Moscow ? We know that France was not driven to make peace with Great Britain after Trafalgar; and, in spite of Napoleon's victorious advance, Russia did not make peace in 1812. What then, as I have asked, were the underlying causes which brought about the Peace of Portsmouth ? I do not propose to explore them, but I refer to them for the purpose of suggesting to you that war to-day between two great nations, hampered for mihtary purposes by their civilization, cannot be fought under the confined conditions of a century ago, nor is it likely that ever again a great European war wiU be fought out to a finish. If I am right, and if this hypothesis is true as regards a war carried on in a theatre so distant from the main arteries of Russian and Japanese life as was Man churia, how infinitely more true it must be of any great war of which the theatre is Central Europe, or the narrow European seas which are the com- RULE OF IMAGINATION 133 mercial highway of the civilized world ! These speculations, with all their infinite suggestion of commercial disaster, of financial ruin, and of in dividual suffering, appear so pregnant with restrain ing influences that I confess it seems to me almost unthinkable that Great Britain, or Germany, or France should ever again in cold blood let loose upon each other the forces of war. It would be folly, however, and criminal folly, to ignore the element of passion. Men are not, unfortunately, governed by reason alone. Napo leon said that imagination rules the world, and imagination often runs riot, and is frequently mis directed. Even though the odds are heavy against a war between any two or more of the great nations of Europe, there is always left in reserve the odd chance. I remember, many years ago, at a dinner-party, hearing Mr. Gladstone declaim, with all the force of his immense vocabulary, and with great array of statistical facts, against the foUy of those citizens of London who were in the habit of insuring their houses against fire. He showed by figures that were incontestable both as regards the number of conflagrations, the rapidity with which incipient fire was extinguished by the admirable activity of the Metropolitan Fire Brigade, and he proved by the comparatively few cases of damage to the property of the ordinary householder, that a man who was content under these circumstanceis to pay annual 134 IMPERIAL DEFENCE premiums which amounted during an average life to a considerable sum was a man deficient in moral courage and a thoroughly bad economist. Yet that very night there was probably a fire in London, and it would have been a poor consolation to the unhappy householder, standing amid the ruins of his property, to feel that, in spite of his catastrophic losses, he had vindicated the principles of economy and of moral courage. This is an attempt to iUustrate the first point which I desire to make. We are sometimes told that vast preparation for war, expansive and burdensome, crushing down the full expansive commercial activities of a nation, inflicting hardship upon every individual man or woman and child composing a nation, is unnecessary, and is economicaUy unsound, because the economic results of defeat to the individual are not so heavy as the economic weight of preparation. This 1 honestly believe to be true, and, if men were governed by economic considerations alone, would furnish an unanswerable reason for abandon ing preparations for war. Men, and nations of men, however, are the slaves of passion and of unreason, and the great drama of war often moves within a sphere from which man's imagination excludes aU considerations of prudence. There is always the odd chance in reserve, and there is always the haunting possibility of the ancestral house and home in ruins. Given, then, that preparation for war is a high CO-ORDINATION OF FORCES 135 premium which every nation governed by wisdom and forethought is bound to pay for insurance against possibly tragic disaster, it surely follows that preparation, which is bound to be expensive in any case, should be as complete as it can be made, so that the co-ordinated forces of a nation can be concentrated at the critical moment upon the enemy. This brings me to my second point. What are the forces which an adequate scheme of preparation should co-ordinate, and what is the best and surest method of co-ordinating them? I wish to say, at this juncture, that we cannot avoid taking, for the purposes of discussion, the constitution of our country as we find it, and also the British Empire under the conditions in which we know it to-day. Analogies between our own system of government and methods which can satisfactorily be applied under other systems of government, whether in the past or on the Con tinent of Europe, can only be misleading, and I ask you to disregard them. Our country and our Empire are not ruled in a vacuum, but under conditions which some of us may deplore, but which in the main we are obliged to accept. These conditions impose upon states men, upon eminent civil servants, upon the Lords of the Admiralty, and upon the General Staff of the Army, limitations which many would be glad to be free from, and which all would desire in some respects to modify. These limitations, however. 136 IMPERIAL DEFENCE are for the present so firmly fixed that it would be foolish to ignore them, and hopeless to contend against them. The limitations I refer to are — First, that our system of government is based upon the representation of the People's will, and carries with it, by tradition, the custom of explain ing fully, and in public, the reasons justifying expenditure of money, and the necessity of obtain ing thereto the assent of Parliament. Second, that the great Dominions oversea are not, except so far as sentiment is concerned, integral portions of the British Empire, but are in reality self-governing States, in alliance with Great Britain. It follows, therefore, when we come to consider the most effective method of preparing for war, and for campaigns, whether by sea or land, that we are constrained to frame plans in accordance with our Parliamentary institutions, and with our hetero geneous Imperial system. If any drastic change is contemplated, involving the rearragement of our State Departments, the first question a reformer has to ask himself is whether the approval of the House of Commons is likely to be obtained. And hkewise, if any strategic plan is formulated by those whose duty it is to make preparation for war involving united Imperial effort, the first question they have to ask themselves is whether such a plan is likely to commend itself to the self- governing Dominions. These are the conditions and limitations which MINISTRY OF DEFENCE 137 have to be borne in mind, and from the trammels of which we cannot at present escape. When, therefore, we come to consider the means for co-ordinating the fighting and defensive forces of the Empire, it will be seen that a plan, Napo leonic in scope and design, and resting upon a centralized basis, would not at present be practically feasible. We shaU, so far as we can see, for many years to come have to be content with a scheme of co-ordination that leaves financial control in peace time, subject to Ministerial responsibility, as devised under our parliamentary system of Government, and leaves to the Dominions a degree of freedom from naval and mihtary control that is unquestion ably incompatible with the highest naval and military efficiency. I wUl try to illustrate what I mean by two examples. It has been often suggested that the naval and mUitary forces of the Crown could be wielded more effectively in war if they were organized in peace under a sole Minister responsible for both services. The Dominions have carried this idea into practice. They most of them possess a Minister of Defence, controlling their armaments, and parcelling out such sums as may be voted by their Parliaments between their maritime and land forces. A strong and capable Minister, suspended mid way between the Admiralty and the War Office, responsible for the total expenditure of both 19 138 IMPERIAL DEFENCE services, able to gather together the Chiefs of the Naval War Staff and of the Mihtary General Staff whenever he wished round a common table, planning secretly and surely the joint action of sea and land power, for purposes of offence and defence, is a captivating idea. To an audience like this I need hardly dwell upon its advantages. Not the least of these would be the disappearance of that rivalry for the favour of the Exchequer between two Cabinet Ministers which has so often led to economical results highly unsatisfactory to the taxpayer, putting a premium, so to speak, upon lavish expenditure without any effective increase of aggregate naval and military strength. Whatever the advantages, however, might be of concentrating upon one Minister the duty of pro viding those naval and military forces adequate to the needs of the country, it is hardly improbable that any Prime Minister could be found willing to propose to the House of Commons a reform so alien to the trend of our most recent methods of government. Decentralization rather than the converse, spread ing of responsibility, especiaUy financial responsi bility, rather than its concentration, have in modern times been the main characteristics of change in our institutions. As the wealth, the Imperial responsibilities, the commercial activities of the country, have increased, coupled with the growth of education and the widening of the franchise, it has been found necessary EVOLUTION OF THE PREMIER 139 to lighten the burden of Ministers and of the departments of State by increasing both. Parlia ment found that it was losing control over Ministers and Civil Servants, the complexity and mass of whose work hindered them from giving minute attention to detail. The result has been a gradual increase in the number of public offices and public bodies. To attempt to concentrate upon the head of a single Minister responsibility for the Admir alty and the War Office, however desirable for reasons of strategy in war, would be to reverse the natural process that has been in operation for more than seventy years — I mean since the first Reform BiU of 1832. Another consideration, impossible to disregard, is the evolution of the office of Prime Minister. The status of the Prime Minister in the hierarchy of government has changed. Cabinets, in the old days, were composed of a comparatively small number of statesmen, bound together by pohtical ties, and were presided over by one of their body, called sometimes the First Lord of the Treasury, and sometimes the First Minister of the Crown. Cabinet Ministers in those days were jealous of their individual authority, and highly sensitive on the sub ject of their constitutional equality. Any Cabinet Minister could, for example, call a Cabinet Meet ing, and frequently did so, often to the annoyance of his nominal chief. This privilege is now practi cally obsolete. With the increased size of Cabinets, 140 IMPERIAL DEFENCE and the immense growth of Departmental business, accentuated by the heavier work of the House of Commons and by public curiosity stimulated by the Press, the old-time system has passed away, leaving the Prime Minister in a position resembling rather what on the Continent is called an Imperial Chancellor than a First Lord of the Treasury of the early Victorian type. It was curiously symptomatic of the change that had taken place in the status of the Prime Minister when, as you will recollect, only a few years ago a special and high social precedence was granted by the Sovereign to that office. It is hardly conceiv able that any Prime Minister trained in the political atmosphere of to-day, accustomed to his command ing position in the Councils of the Sovereign and of the nation, imbued clearly with a sense of his full Imperial responsibUity for the security of the State, would abrogate one of his chief functions and place it in the hands of a colleague. I say this because I think it is obvious that every modern Prime Minister must perceive that he, and he alone, is the Minister whose function it is to co-ordinate and to prepare all the forces of the Empire in time of peace and to launch them at the enemy in time of war. The method by which the Prime Minister to-day has co-ordinated these forces I will revert to when I have touched for a few moments upon what I said, a short while ago, that we must abandon to the Dominions a certain freedom of attitude and action, IMPERIAL TIES 141 both in peace and in war, although at the expense of the highest naval and military efficiency. No one who has read the reports of what oc curred at the Imperial Conferences, summoned from time to time in London, and has watched the attitude of the Dominion Parliaments, can be under any illusion about the nature of the ties between the Mother Country and the self- governing communities that form part of the British Empire. These ties are in the main sentimental, and, although there have been indications that the Dominions are not unwilling to take part in defend ing the Empire against attack, any attempt to formulate strategic plans, based on common action, would be premature, and might not impossibly prove to be disastrous. There is no immediate prospect of the British Executive Government being able to impose its ideas of naval or military strategy upon the Defence Ministers of the Dominions, and still less of the British Parliament being able to control or even to influence the action of the Dominion Parliaments. For purposes of Irnperial Defence the Empire is not a federation, but an alliance between greater and lesser States upon terms not so clearly defined as those which subsist between some of the States of Europe. For the present these conditions have to be accepted by those responsible for the government of this country, and the war-plans of the naval and 20 142 IMPERIAL DEFENCE mihtary staffs are obliged to be framed in accord ance with them. It is by no means a satisfactory state of things, but there is no help for it, until the Dominions reahze more fully that their security from attack, during the long period which is bound to elapse before they attain to maturity in population and wealth, is inextricably bound up with the security of Great Britain. __^ This truth is only at present half understood. The Dominions are very much inclined to hold language which, if it means anything, implies that they reserve to themselves the power to declare ad hoc, on the outbreak of war, whether they will take their full share of responsibility as beUigerents. That any of the Dominions would, in the event of a great war, leave the Mother Country in the lurch is highly improbable ; but they are not pre pared at the present time to bind themselves to any specific joint plan of action under circumstances over which they have no control, in spite of the obvious Imperial difficulty and danger of leaving the principles of common action to be determined at the last moment, on the eve of war. This is the second example I desire to give of the kind of difficulties which a statesman has to face who is anxious to perfect a system of war- preparation in a country like ours, governed under a constitution which places individual liberty, and its full expression, before all other considerations, and in an Empire like ours, of which the com- MR. BALFOUR AND DEFENCE 143 ponent parts are bound together by ties of senti ment and not by material guarantees. And now I must ask you to consider, for a few moments, the methods by which Prime Ministers, and especially the present Prime Minister,* have recently tried to co-ordinate those national and Imperial forces which would have to be brought into operation if the Empire is to put out its full strength in the event of a great war. It is not sufficiently realized yet that, during the last decade, the attitude of the official mind in this country towards questions of national defence has undergone a revolutionary change. Students of our parliamentary history are well aware that these matters only engage the attention of Parlia ment and of the country by fits and starts. Up to the year 1904 even statesmen shrank from applying their minds consistently to problems of defence. A distinct change for the better then occurred. Mr. Balfour's Administration must always be memorable in the history of national defence for two reforms pregnant of far-reaching results. Mr. Balfour created a General Staff for the Army, and he gave body and substance to the Committee of Imperial Defence. What is the Committee of Imperial Defence ? It is often referred to, sometimes with a kind of awe, sometimes with malice not untinged with contempt. It had its origin many years ago in the mind of Lord Salisbury, when, in a well-remem- * The Right Hon. H. H. Asquith. 144 IMPERIAL DEFENCE bered phrase, he suggested to his feUow-country- men that they should study large maps before discussing questions of Imperial Strategy. Much later in life he crystallized this notion and drew together representatives of the Admiralty and the War Office in a small committee, under the presidency of the late Duke of Devonshire, for the purpose of studying large maps and strategical questions. This committee was accustomed to meet at the Foreign Office, and the services of a Foreign Office clerk were placed at its disposal. There "w^ere no regular meetings, and no records were kept of its deliberations or decisions. Its existence was shadowy, but it contained the germs of the present Committee of Imperial Defence. After the War Office Reconstitution Committee had finally reported to Mr. Balfour, that Minister immediately gave effect to one of its most vital recommendations, and a permanent secretariat was instituted for the Committee of Imperial Defence. It was the first step in the evolution of that body. Mr. Balfour's object was to establish a permanent advisory committee on defence questions, and, by giving it a secretariat, to ensure that its dehbera- tions and decisions should be carefuUy preserved, and a continuity of practice maintained. The theory enunciated by Mr. Balfour — and his theory coincided with his practice^was that the Com mittee should only meet when summoned by the Prime Minister, who was its only permanent mem ber. He summoned the Committee when he SUB-COMMITTEES 145 chose, and he summoned to it whomsoever he pleased. This theory is still in vogue, and has been endorsed on several occasions by the present Prime Minister. In point of fact, Mr. Balfour himself destroyed his own conception of the Com mittee when he appointed to serve upon it two permanent members who were habitually sum moned to attend its meetings. Accidentally this new departure led to invaluable developments, and further important changes were made by Sir Henry Campbell- Bannerman, and quite notably by Mr. Asquith. The late Prime Minister initiated a plan of appointing sub-committees to enquire into and report upon strategic and technical questions, with authority to call witnesses and to take shorthand notes of evidence. This changed at once the status of the Committee, and widened its scope of operative labours. The discussions of the full Committee were pre luded by what may be called scientific inquiry. Mr. Asquith went a step further. He noted, after a very short experience, that in preparation for war every department of State was concerned. He proceeded, therefore, to summon the heads or representatives of many of the great public Departments to attend these sub-committees, and more recently he established a Standing Sub-Com mittee, to be presided over alternately by the First Lord of the Admiralty and the Secretary of State for War, and composed of representatives of the 146 IMPERIAL DEFENCE Admiralty and War Office, the Foreign Office, the Board of Trade, the Customs, and indeed all the great Departments, for the purpose of co ordinating in war the Naval, Military, and Civil Forces of the State. This Standing Sub-Com mittee was instructed to constantly review and revise its own recommendations. I am permitted, in order to give you some idea of the subjects with which this Committee deals beyond the scope of the more obvious naval and military problems, to mention that its enquiries have ranged over such matters as Aerial Naviga tion, the strategical aspects of the Forth and Clyde Canal, oversea transport of reinforcements in time of war, the treatment of aliens in time of war, press censorship in war, postal censorship in war, trading with the enemy, wireless stations through out the Empire, local transportation and distribu tion of food supplies in time of war, etc. To unravel the complicated meshes of matters such as these is a work of peculiar difficulty. It requires experienced handling, and no single Minister with the usual official staff would be equal to the task. This is my final point. I mean that the co ordination of the material forces of the country for war is not the sole concern of the Admiralty and the War Office, but includes in its active sphere almost every branch of civil administration ; and further, that the conditions under which all the forces of the Empire can be co-ordinated are con stantly changing. THE COMMITTEE'S FUNCTIONS 147 It follows that, whether for purposes of war- preparation in time of peace, or whether for the purpose of taking those initial steps in war which decide its theatre and objectives, the supreme co ordinating authority can only be the Prime Minister and his Cabinet, who are responsible to Parliament. The Prime Minister cannot abdicate this function, perhaps the most important one of his high office, and for this purpose the Defence Committee acts as his bureau or department. It must never be forgotten that the duties of the Committee of Imperial Defence are purely advisory. That Committee has no executive authority, and under our present institutions it never could possess any. It exists for the purpose of enquiry and advice, with the object of examining into every branch of Imperial Defence under ever-changing conditions, and for the purpose of placing conclu sions and evidence in support of them at the dis posal of the Prime Minister and his Cabinet. Under our constitutional forms of government, and with our well-established parliamentary tradi tions, it is certainly the best and most effective method for focussing in war national and Imperial effort which can at present be devised. To sum up : 1. War between European nations, because of their interdependence and because of the interlacing of national life, becomes every day more difficult and improbable. 148 IMPERIAL DEFENCE 2. Just as wars on the Continent of Europe, last ing Thirty or even Seven years, have become impos sible, so war of any kind in the same sphere tends to become more difficult and unlikely. 3. For many years yet, however, the chances of supreme acts of folly, due to sentiment and passion, remain a constant factor of national existence, so that it would be criminal to be unprepared for war. 4. Whether for conscript peoples or for Great Britain, success in war depends upon the prudent co-ordination in peace of all the material forces of the nation. 5. These forces are not only naval and military, but involve, for their full exercise, careful prepara tion and forethought by the great civUian branches of Administration and Government. 6. Bound as we are by parliamentary tradition, and owing to the looseness of our Imperial ties, the most effective method yet found for co-ordinating these forces is the Committee of Imperial Defence, acting, not as an executive body, but as a Standing Board of Advisers, at the disposal of the Prime Minister and of his Cabinet. 7. FinaUy, if I may be allowed to renew an aspiration which I expressed many years ago (I think it was in 1904 or 1905) : it is that we may live to see the great Dominions sending annually their representatives to sit upon the Committee of Imperial Defence, and that thus a long step may be taken towards that federation of the Empire which has been the dream of patriots here and oversea. NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION I. That the Mediterranean might have to be aban doned by Great Britain in view of the calls upon the Navy elsewhere is a new idea to the British people. Mr. Churchill's attempt to redistribute the Fleet, and his speech, in 1912, in reference to it, were both worth making, if only because they have brought home to the average Englishman, all over the Empire, more vividly than could have been done in any other manner, the effect upon our fortunes of the rise of German sea power. It would be an utter mistake to suppose that this question is one of nerves. It is, on the contrary, in the first place one of high naval strategy, and in the second place one of national prestige. A concentration of naval power in home waters is forced upon us by what is called the menace across the North Sea. The suddenness with which a war may break out in these days, and the difficulty of making stragetical movements of armed force during a period of tension, for fear of precipitating conflict, are factors which cannot be ignored. The initial naval action taken by Japan against Russia was not a surprise in the more usual sense of the term, but it was suffici ently sudden to induce those responsible for our 149 150 NAVAL AJJD military SITUATION national safety carefully to consider what might happen in the event of a war between Great Britain and Germany. For Great Britain situated as she is — an insular Power dependent largely upon sea borne trade — to be able to strike an overwhelming blow at sea at the earliest possible moment in self- defence is almost a condition of national independ ence. It is for this reason that Mr. Churchill's strategy of drawing together the main British Fleet in home waters in such strength that the German Fleet would practically have no chance of victory, cannot be questioned. Owing, however, to circumstances of high policy, and to the fact that, so far as the Mediterranean is concerned, we have given hostages to fortune by possessing ourselves of the waterways to the East through the Canal of Suez, by undertaking the ad ministration of Egypt, and by holding on to Malta, Gibraltar, and Cyprus, it had become impossible, without making too large a sacrifice, to lower the British flag in what is called the Middle Sea. It is indisputable that it would be convenient from the point of view of naval administration and from the point of view of finance, if we were able to with draw in peace our ships and their crews from the Mediterranean for the purpose of rendering more rapid and more overwhelming the blow which we might unhappily be forced to dehver in home waters. The considerations, however, which render such a course unwise are too weighty. Putting aside the interests and feelings of the Dominions, we MEDITERRANEAN PROBLEMS 151 cannot afford to ignore the effect which evacuation of the Mediterranean would produce upon our great dependencies and upon the Crown Colonies. What are called the subject races are mainly kept in sub jection by faith in, and fear of, the British Raj. Shake that belief, and the edifice begins to crumble. The pivot of our military prestige throughout the East is the isthmus of Suez. The symbol of British power throughout the darker continents is the British flag as flown in the Mediterranean, whether upon fixed defences in Malta or Gibraltar or upon the Admiral's flagship at any point that this sea officer chooses between Malta and the Dardanelles. The man who has stood hitherto as the representative of British power outside these Islands, let us say between London and Calcutta, is the Commander-in-Chief of the Mediterranean. You cannot safely ignore imagination in man, even though it may be weakness. The presence of Napoleon in the field, the pre sence of Nelson with the Fleet, the presence of Lord Roberts in South Africa at the beginning of 1900, added incalculable moral strength to the material forces under their command. In peace, it is difficult to measure the diminution of the moral effect of Great Britain's diplomatic action all over those portions of the earth which have an interest for us if you minimize the authority and destroy the prestige of the British Commander-in-Chief in the Mediterranean. Diplomatic influence in the Near East is not a 152 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION capricious thing, it is a constant factor in the every day hfe of the British nation, and has to be exercised consistently, if the highest interests, commercial and pohtical, of the people are to be safeguarded. Diplo matic influence, in order to be effective, must have behind it the potentiality of immediate action. The examples of this are numerous and well known. It is quite unnecessary to refer to demonstrations of naval force in the Middle Sea and of the seizure of an island or the movement of a fleet. They are the commonplaces of diplomatic history. W^hen Mr. Churchill referred in his speech to the possibility of a'British squadron, based on Gibraltar, moving to the north or to the east, as occasion might require, there were persons who believed that an adequate solution of the necessities of home defence, and the possible demands of diplomatic action in the Medi terranean, would be met by this expedient. When, however, the dilemma is pushed home, it will be found that if the services of a fleet based on Gibral tar are required for the purpose of rendering abso lutely safe the naval position in home waters, it would be impossible to count upon that force for supporting British diplomacy, or for safeguarding British interests in the Mediterranean. You cannot earmark the Home Fleet for the double purpose. Hitherto public men on the platform and in the Press have talked glibly of sea command, and have claimed for Great Britain overwhelming sea power as the main condition of her existence. They have failed, however, to define in clear and unmistakable THE GOVERNING CONDITION 153 terms what sea command really means, and they have altogether failed to estimate the financial cost of maintaining it. We are at last coming to grips with this question, and the average Englishman all over the Empire has got clearly to understand that if the British Empire is to float on the British Navy, that Navy has got to be of immense size, concen trated in particular for the purpose of ensuring overwhelming superiority at the crucial point, and at the crucial moment, but distributed also over certain minor theatres of possible conflict. This is the governing condition of a defensive policy that relies upon naval power alone for national security and independence. If this condition is ignored, or if the principle underlying it is tampered with, it would become necessary to reconsider the basic facts of our whole system of national defence. Great Britain possesses no army in the modern sense. That is to say, she is not a Nation in Arms. If the Mediterranean were to be evacuated, we should be driven to readapt our military system to new conditions. II. Great Britain possesses no army in the modern European sense. Some civilian authorities hold the contrary opinion, but they have never succeeded in convincing any soldier of the correctness of their view. An army, in a modern sense, means a military force sufficiently large to cope, upon something like equal terms, with any probable opponent. It means a military organization that, in peace, is complete in 21 154 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION the material required for entering upon a great war, and is in possession of a framework capable of being filled up on the outbreak of war with trained men and officers to its full war establishment. It means, in addition to this, reserves of men who have been accustomed to arms, and are physically fit to stand again in the ranks in order to make good what is called the wastage of war. A modern army of this kind, although it cannot be utilized outside its terri torial boundaries in time of peace, must be able to be launched in war at the enemy at any point that national strategy may require. The armies of the Great Powers of Europe, and the armies of practically aU the lesser Powers, fulfil these conditions. Switzer land and Great Britain are the only exceptions. Whatever may have been the case up to 1906, it cannot be contended for a moment that since that date mUitary organization in this country has not received careful consideration by highly competent minds. Whatever their view of these conclusions may be. Lord Haldane's countrymen cannot com plain of his method of trying to solve our military pro blems. He has given the whole of his mind to their consideration, his assiduity has been wonderful, his tenacity unrelaxed, and he has taken into consultation the most competent men he could find, both soldiers and civilians. He has not stinted time or trouble. His ultimate conclusions, upon which the organ ization of the army at the present time is based, have been explained over and over again. Although he claims to have created an army, he has always SUPREMACY AT SEA 155 stated that the foundations of his military system are laid upon the supremacy of the British Fleet at sea. Cut this foundation away, and the whole edifice crumbles. Supremacy at sea means two things. First, that the shores of these islands are secure from invasion ; and, second, that our trade routes across the Atlantic, and eastward through the Suez Canal, cannot be interrupted. Subject to these safeguards, the British Army organization, as it is, with its present establishments and its present reserves, with the Territorial Force in this country, with its auxiliary forces of native troops all over the Empire, and assisted by the militia forces of the great Dominions, is adequate to our needs. That is the conclusion arrived at by Lord Haldane and his advisers as well as by the committee of experts which goes by the name of the Defence Committee, and it is a conclusion which has been accepted by the nation. If we stop there, and do not ask more from our land forces, not much fault can be found with their numbers or organization. It is true that the great authority of Lord Roberts may be quoted on the other side. There are many who are in agree ment with him, but so far the sense of the nation has been with Lord Haldane and his military advisers. The moment, however, that the attitude of the Admiralty changes, and the moment that our safety from invasion becomes an open question. Or the security of our trade routes cannot be guaranteed, the problem of the British Army becomes a different one. There are many excellent and 156 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION patriotic people, holders of Liberal opinions, who seem unable to reahze that a nation cannot enjoy simultaneously the wider atmosphere of being a first-class Power and the narrower comforts of being a second-class Power. If a nation happens to be situated in Europe, and is surrounded by other nations, all of which are armed to the teeth, and whose effectiveness in the discussion of European or World problems is dependent upon the dynamic force of the sword, it cannot expect to exercise at one moment the authority of a great Power like Germany or France, and at the same time possess that comparative immunity from attack which is the privilege of a protected Power like Belgium. Since October 21, 1805, Great Britain has been a first-class world Power. She has exercised authority in the councils of Europe, and she has swayed the East. These objects have been achieved, primarily, because she possessed a Fleet the power of which was unquestioned, and a small but efficient Army capable of being used in conjunction with her Navy in such a manner as to render her total armed force of equal potency with that of any other great Power. It is this delicate adjustment between the forces of the Navy and of the Army which has in recent years been the problem for Lord Haldane and mUitary reformers. The fashion in which it has been solved is too well known to need description. We have now a fixed organization which provides these Islands with an expeditionary force composed of professional soldiers raised and trained for the THE EXPEDITIONARY FORCE 157 purpose of serving oversea in peace and war. The idea is that this force shall always be as efficient as it can be made by careful training and warlike material. It is highly trained and highly mobile. Should necessity require, it can be despatched at short notice to India or any part of the British Empire that is threatened. It is the adjunct of our sea power, and intended to strike the final blow which full effectiveness of sea power demands, and it is further intended to carry out the duties of police wherever necessity arises and wherever the central Government of Great Britain is responsible for the maintenance of order. These are the pur poses for which it is intended and which it is adequate to fulfil. There are two uses to which our expeditionary force cannot safely be put. First, its size and strength do not permit its use in the field of battle against a Nation in Arms ; and, second, it is too small to be safely employed in two theatres of war at the same time. Lord Haldane has named what formerly was called the Regular Army an Expeditionary Force. Enough attention has not been given to this change of nomenclature. It is of first-rate importance that the people of this country should realize that they do not possess a " British Army " in the sense of 1815, or of the middle years of the last century. The British Army of the days of Welhngton, and even of the Duke of Cambridge, has ceased to exist. This is not due to the acts or shortcomings of any British Government. It is due to causes wholly 22 158 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION external, and to the growth of forces over which no British Government has any control. That is to say, it is the outcome of the lesson given by Napo leon to the Prussians at Jena, which led, after a germinating period extending over sixty years, to the rout of the French at Sedan, and to the rise of Nations in Arms all over Europe. Great Britain possesses no Army in the modern sense of the word. She possesses an Expeditionary Force, and it would clarify the ideas and reasoning of politicians and journalists throughout the Empire if this fact was constantly borne in mind. It would perhaps assist our people to understand their own limitations if at public banquets the toast of the "Expeditionary Force" could be substituted for the toast of " The Army." The instinct was a valuable one that induced our forefathers to resist the organization of a standing Army. Their reasons, no doubt, were very different from ours. They feared a standing army on account of the use which might be made of it by autocracy or oligarchy to curtail or destroy their liberties. The reason to-day is different, but the instinct is there as of yore. Its basis is an ineradicable belief in the sea, and in sea power, as the only weapon that Great Britain can safely and effectively employ for the purposes of defence. Why is it that the intentions of the Board of Admiralty in regard to the Mediterranean and the naval conferences between Mr. Churchill and Mr. Borden were so absorbingly interesting? It is because our countrymen throughout the Empire THE STRENGTH OF THE FLEET 159 instinctively realized the moment of peril which it is to be hoped they have escaped. It is that they appreciated the fact that their rulers momentarily halted between two policies — one the traditional policy of depending vipon sea power, with its neces sary military adjuncts, as the means of securing national and Imperial safety, the other of attempt ing to lessen our armed strength in reliance upon the diplomatic efforts of Ententes with foreign Powers. Diplomats very naturally believe in diplomacy, sailors in fleets, and soldiers in armies. It would be a great misfortune if this were to be otherwise. In principle, however, at any rate, the choice has been made ; the Fleet is to be rendered so strong that Great Britain may be assured of victory in the main theatre of possible war, and at the same time keep open her communications with her great Eastern dependency, through the medium of the Mediterranean. That is the only interpretation which can be put upon the attitude of the Board of Admiralty. The provision of adequate means to achieve these results must be left to them. The responsibility is theirs. They have practicaUy got their orders from the common sense of the nation. The feeling is universal that we have escaped a danger, and that we have chosen the better way. If our own people experience a sense of relief, we may rest assured that it is shared by French states men and by the French people, who must have looked with alarm upon possibilities which, by reducing our effectiveness at sea during the years 160 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION immediately to come, could not fail to weaken the spirit of the Entente between the two countries and its combined strength for defence. No one will recognize the full importance of the national decision more thoroughly than the statesman and soldiers who are so brilliantly and so successfully guiding the destinies of our great rival across the North Sea. III. Those great lines of strategy which run along immutable grooves are fixed by geographical con ditions. Their modification is not in question. There are, however, subsidiary strategical con clusions where the orbits of strategy and tactics overlap, that always have and always must demand examination from time to time, under the com pelling impulse of change in the engines and materiel of war. The danger of the historical treatment of war by writers even as eminent as Admiral Mahan and Mr. Vincent Corbett is that it generally and almost inevitably ignores the impress of scientific discovery and modern appliances upon the art of destruction. Under the asgis of historical method, aphorisms and maxims, highly important and of unquestion able force at the time they were phrased, are treated with that respect usually reserved for religious dogma. " Numbers only can annihilate," is a good case in point. " Our defence is close to the enemy's ports " is another. A reader of Admiral Mahan might suppose — and his supposition would NELSON'S WORDS 161 receive support from almost every text-book^ — that Nelson's words were intended for all time, and under all circumstances, to guide the naval strategist, whereas they really were the dicta of a great sea officer brought face to face with the sea problems that confronted Great Britain in the Napoleonic wars between the years 1800 and 1805. Lord Nelson was constantly contending for rein forcements and for concentration of command. It was natural, therefore, that he should lay stress upon numerical superiority as the main factor of successful battle, although no one knew better than he that both on sea and land victory and the destruction of the enemy, disastrous and complete, had over and over again been effected by a force inferior in numbers, but superior in the high com mand, in fortune, in disposition, or in valour. That " our first defence is close to the enemy's ports " was true enough when these words were used by Nelson. He had in view the invasion of these shores by the French flotillas. He had in view the lie of the French coasts. He had in view the fleets with masts and sails that he commanded with such amazing splendour. Who, however, can say that Nelson's genius would have led him to a precisely similar conclusion had he been confronted with an analogous problem under modern conditions, of ships independent of wind and tide, and of water ways obstructed and defended by the floating mine, by the torpedo and by the submarine. These reflections lead to a conclusion which it is high 162 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION time for the naval expert to examine with a mind free from prejudice and from the trammels of pre conceived ideas. Is the next naval war certain to be determined by fleet action between the battleships of the respective nations engaged ? Is it certain that the measure of the naval strength of a nation can be taken in capital ships ? Is it sure that the super-Dreadnought is the capital ship of to-day, if by capital ship is meant that type of vessel in which resides the power of settling the question of victory or defeat? Is it certain that in a war between Great Britain and Germany victory will remain with the side that is able to concentrate the largest naval force at the crucial point at the crucial moment? Is it sure that the highest interests, strategical and tactical, of Great Britain require the British Admiral to bring the German Fleet to action at the earliest possible moment ? Is it certain that our "first defence" should in these days be " close to the enemy's ports," if by that is meant that our great battleships are to lie (Germany being assumed to be the enemy) in anchorage protected by fixed defences along the east coast of Scotland ready to pounce upon the German Fleet at the earliest possible moment ? It is possible that all these questions should be answered in the affirmative, but it is both absolutely certain and sure that not one of them has been examined with due care by the minds of men free from historical prejudice. NEW DEVELOPMENTS 163 Perhaps the most important ofall these problems arises in the doubt that assails every man who ponders over them, as to whether the value and importance attached to ships of the Dreadnought class are not greatly exaggerated. It is possible that scientific progress may compel the building of a new fleet of a totally novel type. It may be that in a few years' time* Great Britain will be engaged in building battleships without coal-engines and without funnels, and that we shall be sinking milhons of money in the construction of tanks for the storage of oil, which, inasmuch as we do not produce it, will have to be collected and stored in unimaginable quantities. While a great deal of thought is sure to be bestowed upon the question of substituting oil for coal, it is more than doubtful whether any consideration will be given at all to the question whether under the most modern conditions — conditions that include the hydroplane, the submarine, and oil-driven engines — the Dreadnought and super-Dreadnought are the most effective types of sea monsters for destroying the enemy at sea. Upon such a question as this the opinions of men over forty years of age are not worth much. There is, however, here a great opportunity for the young gunners and torpedo lieutenants, and for the young engineer officers of the Navy. It would be interesting to obtain a symposium of youthful minds upon the tactical value of twelve light, swift, unarmoured vessels, * Written and published in 1912. 164 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION with oil-engines, each carrying a 14-inch gun, employed against a super-Dreadnought carrying twelve 14-inch guns. It would be interesting if a tactical exercise on these lines could be carried much further, deep down, for example, into the speculative advantages of concentrated torpedo attack, by shoals of submarines, covered by clouds of hydroplanes, upon a capital ship. It is perfectly conceivable that, manipulated by a commander of genius, vast flotillas of submarine vessels, supported by a new type of destroyer carrying a gun of high calibre, might not only render the shores of Britain absolutely immune from attack, but might also, owing to the wide range of the modern submarine vessel, justify once more Nelson's aphorism that " our first defence is close to the enemy's ports." Mr. Churchill is young. His inteUectual equip ment is far above the average. He is by nature a keen fighter, a man who loves the offensive, and of much daring. He is, however, by the exigencies of his position, largely at the mercy of experts. As a rule, experts are the most fatuous people in the world. An expert believes in his own specific. If he did not he would not be an expert. These people are especially mischievous when they are engaged in crushing originality in a soaring mind. It was by the advice of experts that millions of money were spent by Lord Palmerston in fixed defences. It was by the advice of experts that Trincomalee was fortified, and before the fortifica tions were completed was abandoned. It was by the EXPERTS AND ADVICE 165 advice of experts that the breakwater at Singapore was begun, and again by their advice left unfinished. It is by the advice of experts that millions are being sunk at Rosyth, and before long it wUl be by the advice of experts that Rosyth is declared to be an unsafe anchorage for the British fleet. By the advice of experts fresh anchorage along the East Coast wiU be erected, and more millions spent on fixed defences which wiU in their turn prove to be useless. On September 7, 1631, a battle was fought at Leipsic byGustavus,aged thirty-seven, which proved to be the death-day of the old dense formations in land warfare, and, in spite of the traditional expert, determined the triumph of mobility over weight. Mr. Churchill is now thirty-seven years old. He has a great opportunity. Between 1912 and 1913 some great sea battles may possibly be fought which will prove once more that, in war, the mobUity of genius counts far more than the dense weight of traditions and of expert advice. IV. Although the substitution of oil for coal as a propelling power for ships is a question which can properly be submitted to a Royal Commission, that is not the case when we come to enquire into the tactical expediency of fighting a super-Dread nought with vessels of a type differing from herself. Such a problem as this can only with propriety be discussed and settled by the Board of Admiralty. In the first place, strategical problems of first- 166 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION rate importance are inseparable from the tactical problem, and tactics are an Admiralty matter. Secondly, there is the question of the expenditure that necessarily would be involved, not only by the creation of new types of vessels, but by the consequential changes on sea and on land ; and correct calculations could only be made by Admiralty experts. The secrets of the naval manoeuvres of 1912 have been fairly well preserved. No corres pondents were allowed with the fleet, and such information as the Press has obtained is of a very partial character. Two broad inferences may surely, however, be drawn from what is known to have occurred during the mimic war between the fleets commanded by Prince Louis of Battenberg and Sir George CaUaghan. These inferences convey a striking lesson, and they raise a doubt. The lesson is that an enemy's fleet smaUer than our own, conveying an expeditionary force, can pass undetected and with safety through the lines of our cruisers and destroyers, in spite of the most careful patrolling, and in spite of wireless tele graphy ; that an enemy's fleet can totally disappear from the eyes of the watchers for at least forty- eight hours, and can land a certain number of hostile troops on British shores. A subsidiary but important lesson is that the submarine, in the hands of a daring enemy, can enter a British port crowded with vessels of war, and effect very serious destruction. That these results were attainable by OPINIONS ON DEFENCE 167 an enemy inferior in strength and in numbers very naturally raises doubts as to the completeness of our system of naval defence. It would be inter esting to know whether the Admiralty view upon the best defensive tactics against invasion to-day is the same as it was before the manoeuvres took place. For example, does the Board of Admiralty consider that, in the event of war, it would be desirable or indeed possible for the British Fleet, or any large proportion of it, to use the new harbour of Rosyth, or indeed any harbour on the north-east coast of these islands ? If the enemy's submarines got into what was thought to be a safe anchorage during manoeuvres — and it is rumoured that they did so — is it sure that they would not get in during war, and should such a risk be properly taken? If the issue of a naval campaign is to be based upon the victory or destruction of a fleet of large and immensely costly battleships, is it not the height of imprudence to subject them to any risk until the crucial moment of battle arrives ? Common sense seems to indicate that they should not be located in any position in which they are open to attack by smaller vessels of war. At the root of the whole matter, however, lies the question whether the naval supremacy of any country can be left to the arbitrament of battle between monster ships. War is not a tournament, and yet the whole idea underlying the question of sea command is that naval supremacy is to be the guerdon of super-Dreadnoughts tilting at each 168 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION other. There is probably not a man outside the Admiralty, and possibly not a man within it, who has formed clear ideas upon what type of vessel could be built, at the lowest cost, able to carry into action a 14-inch gun. Is it, for instance, pos sible to construct any sort of unarmoured vessel, of the Destroyer type, that is capable of carrying a 14-inch gun and attaining a speed of thirty- five knots, and, if so, what would be her cost complete and ready for sea ? Furthermore, assuming that such a vessel could be built, fitted with oil engines, would her radius of action be sufficient to make her of service any where but within the confines of the Channel and the North Sea ? Pushing this hne of argument to its extreme conclusion, surely it is worth while to consider whether, for the purposes of our Empire — for the purposes of protecting these islands on the one hand, and of protecting our lines of commerce on the other — two distinct groups of war-vessels are not required, and whether it is necessary to include the Dreadnought or the super-Dread nought in either. Is it not worth whUe to con sider whether the defence of these Islands could not with safety be left to large flotillas of sub marines, and of some new type of destroyer, pro vided with great speed, carrying a gun of heavy cahbre, and not very costly to buUd ? And is it not worth while to consider further whether the defence of our seaborne commerce could not be left to squadrons of battle cruisers of great speed. REFLECTIONS AND PROBLEMS 169 of powerful armament, and with a coal or oil- carrying capacity that would enable them to cover large areas of the ocean ? Let us put the case in the following form : Suppose that Great Britain possessed to-day three or four squadrons of battle cruisers of the Indomit able type, and supposing that, in addition to these ships, she possessed the equivalent of the cost of the whole of her existing battleships in submarines and destroyers, even of the present types, is there anyone who can assert and prove to the satisfaction of unprejudiced men that she would be less formid able at sea, and less powerful relatively to other Powers, than she is to-day ? These reflections are the outcome of some thought given to the supposed occurrences during recent manoeuvres. They are not put forward didactically ; they are merely suggestions. The problem broadly stated is this : Is it certain that the enquiry set on foot by Mr. Churchill, and entrusted to Lord Fisher, as to the advisability of substituting oil for coal, is the only naval enquiry of first-rate import ance to the country that should be taken in hand at the present time ? Ought not this enquiry to be supplemented by another — first, as to whether, strategically and tactically, our fleets to-day are composed of the ships best suited to our Imperial requirements ; and, second, whether modern con ditions of fighting at sea, influenced as they are bound to be by recent scientific development, do not demand the substitution of new types of war- 23 170 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION vessels for the conventional types with which we are famUiar ? The gravity of these questions can hardly be ex aggerated. They are interwoven with our national security, with our Imperial position, and with the individual freedom of every British citizen. What ever may be the outcome of the abstract discussions which are now occupying the attention of thought ful students of political problems, here and abroad, as to the possibility of putting an end to internecine conflict between great European States, dependent as they are upon each other for the necessities of life, it cannot be doubted that under present cir cumstances men of different nationalities in Europe might at any moment take to cutting each other's throats without much more provocation than some absurd point of honour or etiquette in Morocco or elsewhere. For such an emergency affecting our selves we are bound to be prepared. We cannot afford to run any serious risks. The prosperity and happiness of our people depend upon our being able to assert our political inde pendence as a nation and our financial independence as a commercial people. These are the conditions of our Imperial freedom and of our individual well- being. Owing to the insular position of Great Britain and Ireland, we have been able hitherto to dispense with an Army on modern lines. The British people are not a Nation in Arms. They have shrunk from bearing the burden of military pre- BURDEN OF NAVALISM 171 paration and efficiency which is forced upon Continental Powers by the existence of their land frontiers. The British people are, however, com pelled to bear a heavy financial strain occasioned by the necessity for maintaining their supremacy at sea. They escape the personal burden that is imposed by the necessities of militarism. They have got to bear, however, the financial burden of navalism. These barbarous expressions are not abstract propositions, but concrete facts. It is maddening that in the high phase of civilization which we, in common with all European nations, have attained in the twentieth century, the British people should have this dilemma forced upon them. Some of the best brains, some of the most acute minds, some of the most energetic administrators at home and in the Dominions are for ever con centrating upon problems, the solution of which, whether in peace or war, spells waste and des truction. Nothing could be more disheartening, and nothing could be more certain, than the utter futility of attempting under the present conditions of the world to escape the task. From week to week, from month to month, from year to year, we have got to keep the questions of national defence, of commercial security, of Imperial co operation steadUy in mind and conspicuously before the eyes of the elector. The aspects of the naval and mihtary situation are constantly changing, and have constantly to be reconsidered. We have attempted before touching upon the military situa- 172 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION tion to attempt to describe the naval situation as it stands to-day. To sum up what has been said in this and previous papers on the subject, it is essential to remember that as Great Britain possesses no Army, but only a small Expeditionary Force, for the purpose of the police work of the Empire, and inasmuch as our people are not organized or trained in sufficient numbers to enable our country to be defended with any hope of success if sea command were wrested from us, we are forced by circum stances, over which no statesman, however able or however powerful, can exercise control, to depend upon our fleets and upon naval warfare. The governing condition of our defensive policy is that the fight for freedom, if it comes at all, must inevitably take place at sea. It follows from this (1) that the British Empire floats on the British Navy ; (2) that the British Fleet has got to be of sufficient power to be over whelmingly superior at the crucial point and at the crucial moment ; (3) that it has got to be of sufficient size to enable some portion of it to be distributed over minor theatres of political conflict and of commercial competition ; (4) that it is worth while to consider whether undue importance has not hitherto been attached to the arbitrament of the battle between Dreadnoughts and super- Dreadnoughts ; (5) that it should be considered whether the development of science does not render it possible, and not improbable, that naval superiority IMPERIAL CONSIDERATIONS 173 in home waters might be achieved by small un armoured ships of great speed, carrying guns of heavy calibre, when combined with the action of submarine vessels ; (6) that some decision should be arrived at whether the defence of these Islands in any case could not with great advantage be committed to flotillas of submarines and destroyers, leaving to the Battle Fleet greater freedom of manoeuvre ; (7) that such inquiry should be at once undertaken with a view to ascertaining whether, if monster ships are to be maintained as part of our equipment for naval war, they should under any circumstances, in peace or in war, be located in harbours on the East Coast ; (8) finally, that the enquiry should be extended to the question whether the commercial freedom of our people all over the Empire could not best be secured by battle cruisers of a novel type, acting in consort with vessels of the same type locally provided by the Dominions, V. Thus, no statesman of wide outlook can afford to neglect the rapid growth of Canada and of the other great Dominions, and their inevitable influ ence upon the future of British pohcy, if the Empire is to hold together. StiU less can he afford to overlook the recent changes taking place in what has been hitherto called the unchanging East. In spite of the enormous wealth aggregated within these Islands, and a population of over forty 24 174 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION millions of people, in spite of the steadfastness of British character, and the still warlike temperament of the race, insular power is not so predominant as it was a century ago, and the centre of our Imperial gravity is not so stable. The growth of other navies, and the conquest of the air, are new factors which cannot be neglected when we take stock of our relative armed strength and our powers of offence and defence. Hence the natural and laudable anxiety of those who, like Lord Roberts, spend arduous days in trying to awaken their countrymen to a sense of danger. In politics, in commerce, and in war, there are no eternal truths but one, and that is that every shibboleth is a danger-point. In the sphere of national competition, the methods of the eighteenth cannot be safely applied to the exigencies of the twentieth century. No great nation has yet proved quietist in thought or action. So far, growth has synchronized always with the use pf armed force. It would be hazardous to assume that the world, or even Europe, has yet arrived at a stage when any nation can look to its neighbours, to alliances and Ententes, for safety, rather than to itself. A people, however, can circumscribe their sphere of activities and limit their ambitions. The moment seems to have come when the British people should wake to the full measure of their responsibilities, gauge their capacity for interfer ence in the affairs of the world, and endeavour to THE ALTERNATIVES 175 place their armed strength, naval and military, in some sort of relation to the policy they intend to pursue. All naval and military preparation for war must depend upon a clear appreciation of the purposes for which the forces of a nation are intended to be used. The nations of the earth are roughly grouped into what are called Powers of the first and second class. There is no accepted definition of a first- class Power, but it is generaUy conceded that the designation applies to those nations that intend to have something to say to the affairs of their neighbours as well as to their own. Great Britain is, without question, one of these Powers. No people on earth have so far shown themselves less inclined to forgo the privi lege of taking a hand in every game of policy wherever and whenever played. Yet no people realizes less its own limitations at the present time. The first question, therefore, that the British people have got to answer is whether they desire their Navy or their Army, or both, to be used by their Foreign Minister for the purpose of giving effect to their policy, should the necessity arise. If the answer is in the affirmative, it follows that our fleets and our land forces should be equal to the task imposed upon them. It is with these ideas in his mind, and deeply impressed with the warlike impulses of his countrymen, that Lord 176 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION Roberts, with miraculous freshness and vigour, never ceases to urge them to change the system under which, so far, the armed forces of the nation have been raised and organized. Given the pre mise from which he starts, who can deny the wisdom and patriotism of his advice ? If, on the other hand, the British people desire to limit their range of diplomatic activity, if they will be content to forgo diplomatic initiative, eschew isolated action, and resolve to support rather than take a lead, and if they force their statesmen to make clear the point that Great Britain is a sea Power, and in no sense a land Power, the problem becomes a totally different one. We shall then have to fall back upon the power of our fleets and their adjuncts. The necessity to us of predomin ant sea power has never been questioned. Our insular position and our scattered Empire, together with the teaching of experience, demand that the superiority of Great Britain upon the ocean should be placed beyond aU doubt. This admitted and achieved, the precise method of maintaining invio late our sea command, wherever threatened, to gether with the desirabihty of keeping our shores free from attack, is one demanding continual re consideration as the circumstances of European politics, of commercial rivalry, and of scientific discovery alter. To summarize : 1. If policy governs armaments, and if our policy is to take a part on equal terms with the greatest SUMMARY 177 naval and military Powers in the affairs of Europe, we should recast our military system, because, although naval power will enable us to exercise great influence in the affairs of Europe, it will not, except in alliance with other military Powers, make us the predominant partners, or place Great Britain on an equality with Germany or France. 2. If our policy is confined to safeguarding the Empire and our Imperial interests in India and elsewhere, and if we may confidently rely upon the support of the Dominions, our present naval and military systems may be adequate to our needs, but Great Britain will cease to be a first-class Power in the ordinary acceptance of the term. 3. Owing, however, to the changes introduced by science in recent years, the strategic and tactical plans of our naval and military staffs require recon sideration. The offensive-defensive, so effective in land campaigns, is not necessarily suited to our naval requirements, and it becomes a question whether a thoroughly organized system of sub mersible flotiUas, coupled with aerial watching, might not free the battle-fleets of the Empire from concerning themselves with coastal defence. 4. Similarly, the tactical maxims of Continental war between nations with land frontiers are not necessarily applicable to an insular people, so that irregular and half-trained forces operating within their own territory upon an enemy cut off from its base may well produce results altogether at variance with experience acquired under totally different 178 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION circumstances and under wholly divergent con ditions. 5. Whether, however, the British people elect to have an Army based upon the system now applied within these Islands, or upon the system common to the Continent of Europe, sea command is for us a necessity of national existence and not merely an instrument of national ambition. It is hardly worth while to labour this point, although it pos sesses a direct and obvious bearing upon the military situation. 6. And, finaUy, no situation can be more danger ous for our country than that we should halt between two policies, and thus possibly fail to adapt our naval and military forces to the policy we intend to pursue. VI. The naval situation in its broadest sense can never be adequately discussed unless due regard is had to the fact that command of the sea means more to Great Britain than the security of these Islands from attack. However important, however vital, may appear to any Englishman resident in Great Britain the possible invasion of our shores by an enemy, the perspective is entirely different when the question of naval superiority is looked at from other points within the Empire. To the Canadian or to the Australian the phrase " British Sea Com mand " means something quite different from the interpretation it bears in the eyes of a resident in Fleet Street. To the sailor patrolling the Mediter- CANADIAN CONSIDERATION 179 ranean Sea, or to the merchant of Shanghai, the phrase again has a different meaning. These con siderations affect the statesman, and he is bound to take the broadest and most comprehensive view of the meaning and cost of sea power. If, then, sea command is an Imperial and not a purely national concern, the attitude of Canada towards Great Britain in relation to naval matters is of deep interest and of supreme importance. Canada, outside the British Islands, is the pivot of the British Empire. Canada is potentially the largest, the wealthiest, and the most thickly peopled of that portion of the earth's surface which in the future appears hkely to be the heritage of the Anglo-Saxon. Within a measurable space of time Canada will contain a population in excess of Great Britain, and when finaUy the centre of the world's gravity has shifted from Europe Westward, Canada, with her vast resources, and her central position midway between Europe and the Far East, is bound to be a most serious competitor against the United States for the financial and commercial supremacy of mankind. There appears to be no obstacle to this reahzation of the Canadian dream, unless it should happen that the Western races fail to maintain their moral and inteUectual superiority over the races of the East. Mr. Borden has said — and he voices undoubtedly the ideas and aspirations of the Canadian people — that Canada cannot remain a mere adjunct of Great Britain. It may be early yet for this notion 180 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION to take root in the minds of business men in the city of London naturally conscious of the impor tant role played by Great Britain in the business sphere of the world. StUl less is it likely to pene trate at present into the bureaucratic recesses of the Colonial Office. Until quite lately even the Admiralty did not possess a glimmering perception of its force. When last the Imperial Conference met at Westminster, the attitude of the Admiralty towards the idea of naval co-operation between the Dominions and the Mother Country was said by one of the most prominent of the Dominion repre sentatives to be patronizing and arrogant. It was patronizing because our sailors could not be got to understand that any solid advantage could possibly accrue to the navy from the independent effort of any one of the Dominions. Their demeanour was this : " By all means do what you can to provide ships and sailors. They may come in useful, and at any rate wiU do the British Navy no harm." Therefore they somewhat arrogantly declared that the only substantial assistance which could be ren dered by the Dominions to the British Navy was by paying for British-built Dreadnoughts, manned and commanded by professional seamen trained in this country. It was impossible at that time to get the Board of Admiralty to grasp the point of view of Canadian statesmen who did not see their way to adopting a co-operative policy. Yet Sir Wilfrid Laurier had made his position perfectly clear. Personally, he was not favourable MR. BORDEN'S VIEWS 181 to Canada making any contribution at all to the naval resources of the Empire. He conceded, however, this much — that any contribution given by Canada in the form of warships must remain under Canadian control, stationed in Canadian waters in peace, and only placed at the service of the British Admiralty in time of war by the specific act of the Canadian Government. The reply of the British Admiralty, to which, however, public utterance was not given, was " thank you for nothing."* It has been assumed that Mr. Borden was pre pared to go farther than his predecessor. Time will show. No one who listened to Mr. Borden can have much doubt as to what his recommenda tion to the Dominion is likely to be. He has clearly in mind the vitalizing principle, so far as Canada is concerned, that a Dominion can give nothing in the way of ships and men towards the common defence of the Empire unless she is con ceded a voice in the direction of Imperial policy and affairs. If this condition were granted, Mr. Borden's mind is obviously open to the considera tion of any proposal as to how Canada could best co-operate for the purposes of Imperial Defence. The naval situation, therefore, as regards the Empire, hinges at this moment — first, upon the discovery of some practical method of giving Canada a share in the direction of our Imperial concerns ; and, secondly, upon a right solution of * This section was printed in the Westminster Gazette, on September 11, 1912. 182 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION the strategical problems involved in the whole question of the naval defence of these islands, of the territorial integrity of the Dominions, and of the commercial interests of the Empire. The first and major problem is oiie of high statesmanship, involving manifold and complex considerations with which it is not proposed to deal at this moment. The strategical question of Imperial defence, however, is urgent, because of the ever-recurrent risk that large sums of money will be throw^n away upon useless fixed defences, or upon a type of ship that is very shortly found to be obsolete or superfluous. The British Ad miralty have always, since this question was flrst mooted, aimed at a Federal Imperial Fleet. Their reasons are sound enough. Higher efficiency can no doubt be obtained if sea officers and crews are trained under one system and under one supreme command. A Federal Fleet renders possible inter- changeability between officers and men, and also solves difficulties of seniority and promotion. An isolated Dreadnought or two, trained as a distinct unit in Canadian or Australian waters, and com manded by elderly and inexperienced officers, could never attain that high standard of efficiency re quired to satisfy a British Admiral. If battleships are to be provided by the Dominions, they should undoubtedly be handed over as part and parcel of the British Fleet in peace, if they are to be worth in war the money that they cost. The attitude taken up by Sir Wilfrid Laurier and Mr. Borden FUNCTIONS OF NAVAL DEFENCE 183 renders such an eventuality highly improbable for many years to come. If, then, the contention is correct that battleships, in order to be efficient and worth buUding, must be manned and trained as part of the British Fleet in peace, and if this ob ject is unattainable owing to the attitude of the Dominions, what is to be gained by luring the Dominions to build this type of ship ? It is surely most unreasonable for the Admiralty to adopt the line of " Dreadnought or nothing." It has been the aim of the writer to show that the functions of naval defence are twofold, and that it is not sound naval strategy to concentrate the whole naval effort of a maritime Power upon defeating the battle-fleet of the enemy at sea ; that there are two cognate functions which an Imperial Navy will have to perform : one to safeguard har bours and coast-line from direct attack by means of submarine flotillas ; and, secondly, to defend our own commerce, and harass that of the eneir^y by means of a novel type of warship. It would, then, seem that the effort of the Dominions should be to fulfil, each of its own initiative and by means of its own vessels, these latter functions. Canada could well concentrate her naval energies upon the con struction of submarines and upon providing a typical ship that would fulfil the double purpose of providing defence for her water-ways and a guard for the great liners running between the St. Lawrence and European ports. A similiar ob jective may be kept in view by the other Domin- 184 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION ions. Even if the sea officers and crews for these vessels were below the standard of the British Navy, they could, without doubt, be made efficient enough for the purposes required. The political difficulty, now a harassing and obstructive factor, would not arise because these vessels could be kept in time of peace in Dominion waters and under the undisputed authority of the Dominion Govern ments. When, hereafter, the way has been found to render the cohesion of the British Empire more real than it is now ; when some machinery has been agreed upon that will enable Dominion statesmen to have a share in shaping the foreign pohcy of the Empire, and when a great Imperial War Staff has been established that will control the training of an Imperial fleet in peace and direct its activities in war, then will be the time for the Dominions to consider the provision of large capital ships, if vessels of that type are then con sidered necessary instruments of naval warfare. VII. The military situation of Great Britain is, and always must be, the outcome of her foreign policy. The strategic position of a great Continental Power creates a mUitary situation that is inde pendent of the policy of the moment. For Germany, the presence of France on one frontier and Russia on the other creates a crisis that is constant and unchanging. Great Britain, on the other hand, is so geographically placed that, were "IMPERIAL OFFENCE" 185 it not for her Imperial commitments oversea, an army in the ordinary sense of the term would not be required at all. In order, therefore, to estimate what kind of military force this country requires, its size, its composition, and its organization, the foreign pohcy — that is to say, the position which the British people desire to take up in relation to the affairs of other nations — must be weighed and determined. The term " Imperial Defence," as applied to the British Empire, is, if the facts were recognized, a misnomer. "Imperial Offence" would be nearer the mark. Up to the present, the history of our country shows that the people of Great Britain, at home and oversea, are not a peaceful race, and, so far as naval and mUitary matters are concerned, have not contemplated solely operations of defence. The British people are warlike and aggressive. They have for centuries been constantly fighting, and, indeed, until quite recently, it has been difficult to find any single year in which the British Empire has not been at war in some part of the world. When the great struggle with Napoleon was over, and when the wars against France, which had been in progress almost without interruption for 500 years, had come to an end, there arose in the first half of the nineteenth century a party of men with commercial interests, who were strong enough and articulate enough to convert consider able numbers of their feUow-countrymen to the view that Great Britain would in future best be 25 186 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION served by cultivating the arts of peace. Their advocacy of this new departure found expression in the great Exhibition of 1851. It was the first of its kind, but, in spite of prophetic acclamation to the contrary, it did not herald a pacific era over the British Empire. Britons aU over the world went on fighting as before, and the Empire went on expanding, while the British Minister, Lord Palmerston, went on interfering in the affairs of neighbouring States with greater pertinacity than any of his predecessors. Then and onwards we continued to grab every available piece of un civilized territory that was not already in the hands of Europeans, whenever it was thought that com mercial or political advantages might accrue to the possessors. The undeveloped resources of every continent were, in the view of the ordinary Briton, his heritage. If he could not make use of them at the moment, it was sufficient for any foreign Power to cast an eye upon them for the British Govern ment to interfere, and to place obstacles in the way of anyone not a Briton who desired to possess himself of them. The British leopard has not changed his spots. It is true that since 1854 — that is to say, since the war in the Crimea — Great Britain has not been engaged in hostihties with any European Power. There is an obvious reason for this. During the last sixty years the conflicts in Europe have not been dynastic or political ; they have been racial. Not revolution, but evolution, has been the key- NATIONS IN ARMS 187 note of the Continental struggles which have led to the regrouping, within the boundaries of Europe, of men speaking the same language and inheriting the same racial characteristics. In this process Great Britain has had very little concern ; hence her aloofness. During late years another cause has undoubtedly contributed towards the maintenance of peace between her and her European neighbours. The States contiguous to her in Europe have in the last fifty years entirely recast their military systems. They are no longer composed of peaceful citizens relying for their security upon mercenary armies enlisted from among their own people or from foreign adventurers. These States are them selves what are caUed "Nations in Arms." Their manhood is trained to arms, and every individual of capable age is under penalty to risk his life in battle for the State of which he is a member. The armies thus raised and trained are of great size and potency, so that Great Britain, which alone of aU European States remains stiU constant to the military organization of the eighteenth century, is physically unable to compete with them in land warfare on European soil. Since 1870, when the facts were recognized, and when the results of the Franco-German War opened the eyes of statesmen, British Governments have realized that this country is unable single-handed to fight, on the Continent of Europe, any great Power with a reasonable chance of victory. The British people themselves, however, have never understood the full import of 188 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION the change in the relative strength of Great Britain and her Continental neighbours, and the average Briton still thinks of himself as the military arbiter of Europe. It is true that there exists in the country a strong party clamorous for peace almost at any price, but the keenest propagandists of peace are constantly desirous of interfering by force of arms in the free use of their activities by a foreign people when some moral divergence of view has arisen between them. It is unnecessary to analyze the inconsistency. It is sufficient to state it, in order that the point may be made clear, that under modern conditions, governing the relative armed forces of European nations, the British people either should stand aside from the quarrels of their neighbours, and deny themselves the satis faction of interference in their concerns, or they should submit to the sacrifices which other nations make when their manhood is trained and forced to carry arms. The Empire has reached a stage of development when those responsible for its destinies are morally bound to explain to the people the plain unvarnished truth, and to point out the choice which in the interests of individual freedom has to be made between contending schools of thought and between conflicting material interests. A static policy of defence, a determination to keep what we possess, but to shoulder no new responsibUities, to keep clean our own hands, but not to force others to wash theirs, to maintain our EUROPEAN POLITICS 189 own freedom, but leave to others the guardianship of their liberties, is a policy thought by some to be ignoble but by others the quintessence of prudence and common sense. Such a policy requires arma ments on sea and land of a specific kind, and demands certain sacrifices, far from light, which so far the people of these Islands have shown them selves willing to bear. The contrary policy is of dynamic kind, and its consequences are far-reaching, and difficult to forecast. This much, however, is certain, that Great Britain wiU be imprudent beyond measure, and liable to inconceivable disaster, if she continues to pursue a policy of world-wide activity, of philan thropic self-indulgence, and of commercial arro gance, unless she is at the same time prepared to recast her military system, and to submit to the sacrifice, financial and personal, which such a change involves. During the past six years, and more than ever to-day, under a Liberal Government, whose creed and protestations are on the side of limited com mitments in foreign affairs. Great Britain has taken a hand in the European game of politics. De liberately the practice of " splendid isolation " has been abandoned, and whether the form has been an Alliance or an Entente, a documentary bond or an honourable understanding. Great Britain may easily find herself obliged to take up arms in quarrels which may not be her own. These indisputable facts and this manifestation 26 190 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION of an active policy (whether justifiable or dangerous, is not here in question) undoubtedly create a difficult military situation. For the first time since the final overthrow of Napoleon in 1815, Great Britain appears to stand committed to military adventure oversea under circumstances not of her own choosing, and in a cause that may have no immediate or direct bearing upon purely British interests. For the moment she has ceased to be a free agent, and has parted with the guardianship of her o^vTi soul. Her honour is pledged to France and Russia, although there may be no written parchment or attested treaty. Foreign policy, whether wise or imprudent, whether sound or faulty, dictates the military situation of the Empire, and it is from the point of view of our written and unwritten obligations to others, and not from the point of view of a State retaining complete freedom of action, that the military situation should be examined. VIII. If the policy of Great Britain leads to direct inter ference by armed force in the affairs of the European Continent, whether in order to maintain the balance of power or for any philanthropic or commercial end, then it is difficult to resist the contention that the British Army, in order to be effective, should be based upon the system, and trained according to the methods of the great Continental Powers. If Great Britain is to send an army to fight in OUR NATIONAL POLICY 191 the cock-pit of Europe, the ideas of the eighteenth and nineteenth centuries should forthwith be abandoned, and a compulsory substituted for a voluntary military system. How is it possible for any sane mind to resist this conclusion ? If, on the other hand, the policy of this country is to eschew Continental entanglements, to limit our military requirements to the defence of these shores against raids, and to maintain an adequate army for reinforcement at any danger point along the frontier of the Empire, the problem to be solved is wholly different. In point of fact, our national pohcy halts between the two, and hence flow the difficulties confronting military administrators and military reformers. That position of splendid isolation dear to the Palmerstonian generation was abandoned by Lord Lansdowne, and is repudiated by Sir Edward Grey. We are in aUiance with Japan in the Far East, and our honour is pledged to France and Russia in Europe and Asia. That this country reaps advantages in the China Seas and on the far frontier of India from our alliances and Ententes, cannot be denied. The security and prosperity of India are worth a price, and that price is paid in the North Sea, and in the turmoil caused by the advocates of compulsory service at home. Frankness and fair dealing towards our friends abroad and our people at home require plain speaking from our statesmen. Many controversies 192 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION would be set at rest, and much future misunder standing averted, if our limitations were admitted, and if our position as a strictly naval Power were to be more clearly defined. It might be very bad diplomacy, but it would be high and honest statesmanship, if the Prime Minister of this country were to explain in terms admitting of no doubt that our expeditionary force is a reinforcement, an armed reserve, maintained for the purpose of relieving and strengthening our forces scattered along the frontiers of the Empire, and that it is not organized or equipped for service on European battlefields. Some politicians and publicists contend that the grouping of the great Powers places upon Great Britain the burden of supporting France and Russia with a field army. No responsible British statesman has, however, up to the present time, made the admission, and no French statesman has pubhcly asserted that any engagement or under standing exists between the two countries whereby we are pledged to send an expeditionary force to the Continent of Europe. The danger lies not in an understanding, but in misconception. Why should not the point be made clear ? Why should not British statesmanship make plain to the people of these islands and to their friends abroad that Great Britain fights at sea and not on shore ; that her fleets, and not her armies, are her contribution to any combined effort, and that, in short, she is a sea power, and not a land power. WANT OF CO-ORDINATION 193 Why not base the policy of Great Britain upon fact, instead of upon aspiration ? Such a policy would speU aUiance instead of Entente, and would necessarily be followed by a naval and military convention. If the Empire's interests are imperilled by lack of adequate military preparation for war, the reason is that the end in view is not clear to those whose function it is to adapt the means to the end. To German statesmen, to the German staff, naval or military, their strategical position is plain as daylight. There is no difference of opinion as to where their danger lies, or how it is to be provided against. Here, at home, in spite of the Committee of Imperial Defence, in spite of the General Staff organized since 1905, and of the Naval War Staff recently created, there is no real and sound co ordination of ideas between politicians, sailors, and soldiers upon the dangers with which the Empire may be faced, and the means to be employed to meet them. The politician will not commit him self The sailor ignores the soldier, and the soldier thinks of battleships in terms of transports. The sailor's horizon is bounded by the estuary of the Elbe. The soldier's dream is the line of the Meuse. The sailor thinks of the army as a stepmother thinks of a tiresome and fretful charge. The regular soldier thinks of the Territorial Force as an athlete thinks of a lame brother. " Let me alone and all will be well," is the battle-signal of the Admiralty, and is the device of the Imperial General Staff. 194 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION The British nation, however, is essentially the most democratic in the world, and the least in- chned, historically and practically, to allow itself to be led by professional sailors and soldiers. It is the politician that always has governed and always will govern the nation's armaments. Hence the vital importance of obtaining a clear and definite view of the objects of our governing statesmen, before it is possible to estimate the military forces that are an Imperial necessity. Putting aside temporary entanglements into which we may haye been drawn by political care lessness, or by professional keenness, the main objectives of our military policy have hitherto been defined to be : 1. The reinforcement of British garrisons at danger-points along the frontier of the Empire. 2. The maintenance inviolate and uninvaded of the shores of Britain. The Regular Army, composed of six Infantry Divisions and one Cavalry Division, with Reserves, is the force which soldiers and statesmen have con sidered sufficient to fulfil the requirements of this reinforcement. No responsible politician, no re sponsible soldier, has come forward, so far, to tell the people of this country that this force is inade quate, although its readiness for war has been criticized and questioned. The justification for the smallness of such a force undoubtely lies in its supreme readiness, in its perfect training, and absolute mobility. If these conditions are wanting, the capacity of THE ARMY COUNCIL 195 the Army Council is a sham, and the nation would have a right to think itself betrayed. The individual responsibility of members of the Army Council is perfectly clear. They cannot be called to account for the policy of the country, for the insistence upon voluntary forms of enlistment, or for the total numbers or composition of the Forces of the Crown. The responsibility for these things lies upon Ministers and upon Parliament. For the efficiency of the Army, within these limitations, for its training and equipment, and for its mobility, every individual member of the Army Council may, however, properly be held respon sible, and any soldier who, by remaining at his post, covers the deficiency of the Regular Army in supreme readiness for war is a traitor to his country. May it not, therefore, be assumed that the soldiers at present constituting the Army Council are satisfied that, subject to the limitations imposed by Parliament, the Regular Army is the most perfect machine of the size in the world. If policy, therefore, governs armaments, and if the policy of the British people is to support their friends abroad by sea power, and not by land forces, but to keep within these Islands a land force, adequate in point of numbers, and perfect in every detail of training and equipment, instantly ready for war, the Regular Army must be assumed to be sufficient for the purpose. The requisite strength to maintain inviolate these shores from attack raises other questions. 196 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION IX. The Regular Army cannot rightly be counted among the forces earmarked for the defence of these shores. The Special Reserve must be placed in the same category as the Regular Army, of which, since the Act enabling the men of the Special Reserve to be sent abroad in war, it forms part. At the present time, therefore, the defence of these Islands rests, broadly speaking, upon 250,000 Territorial troops. This is the total amount of our land forces which can be considered available for this purpose. The contrary has often been stated. Ministers and military authorities have declared over and over again that, in addition to the Terri torial Force, Great Britain possesses for purposes of home defence a certain number of Regular troops, and a certain number of men of the Militia class, now caUed the Special Reserve. These state ments are illusory, and although they are not made with that intention, are wholly deceptive, as will be seen the moment that we come to consider the circumstances of a war within the Empire, such as that which occurred in South Africa, and which might recur any day either in India or on the frontiers of any portion of the Empire oversea. In such circumstances it is beyond question that these Islands would, within a very short period, be denuded of all Regular troops, and of the whole of the Special Reserve. No one who has profited by OUR REGULAR ARMY 197 the lessons of modern war can be in doubt upon the point. The Regular Army maintained at home is very small. Every available regular soldier now abroad is earmarked for duty oversea, and is practically immobile at the point where he stands sentry along the extended frontiers of the Empire. This figure exemplifies the meaning of soldiers when they state, with perfect accuracy, that six divisions of infantry and a cavalry division is the maximum mobile fighting force that Great Britain can put into the field. With regard to this force two things must be said : first, that in order to raise it to war strength and to keep it at war strength for the first few months of a war, every man of which it is composed on a peace establish ment, together with the whole of the Ordinary Reserve and the Special Reserve, will, without doubt, be required. Any statement to the con trary is misleading. It should be an axiom for statesmen that any serious war in which Great Britain becomes involved, and which necessitates the reinforcement of her troops abroad, is bound to denude Great Britain of the Regular Army. It is well known, for recent experience shows it, that the ravages of modern war are of such magnitude, and the strategy of modern war is so swift in operation, that losses, if they are to be reparable, require drafts of men and officers in proportion of three men to every one placed in the line of battle. Drafts, therefore, must be instantly ready to take the field, fully armed, equipped, and trained. 198 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION at the outbreak of hostilities, and any calculation based upon the hypothesis that a Reserve can be used both for drafts and for separate action as fighting units is erroneous and deceptive. If an adequate Reserve for purposes of drafts is not available no modern army can hope to survive the first shock of modern war. The dry facts of the mUitary situation as regards our insular defence, if they are truthfully examined, lead to the conclusion that, should the maritime guard of our shores be pierced by an invading or a raiding force, at a time when Great Britain is engaged in fighting for Imperial interests abroad, we possess for the purposes of purely home defence about 250,000 Territorial troops, and such acces sories in the shape of Irregular Forces as might be organized or utilized ad hoc. It is essential, if the problem is to be fairly con sidered, to put on one side the Regular Army and its Reserves, and then to see whether the Terri torial Force is the best that can be designed under existing circumstances for the defence of these Islands, and whether, in connection with the Navy, it is sufficient in numbers, adequately trained, and scientifically organized for the purpose. The difficulty about the Territorial soldier is that in his heart of hearts he desires to emulate in ap pearance and smartness of movement the Regular trained soldier, and is unwilling to bear the obvious mark of the irregular levy and to be used as such. Yet he approximates under our present system of THE TERRITORIAL FORCE 199 training more nearly to the Irregular than to the Regular soldier. The Regular Army is the out come of discipline and technical skill, resulting from continual practice. It is a trade like any other. Upon the Territorial soldier and officer, in spite of uniform and nomenclature, is branded the unmistakable mark of the amateur. Every com petent and sincere soldier would say that if Terri torial troops are to be utilized to the fullest advantage they should be handled in war very much as General Botha handled his Boers, and their organization should be based on the assump tion that they are to be so handled. If this doctrine, however, were to be pressed, we should inevitably be faced with an insuperable difficulty in raising any Territorial Force at all, because men and officers, like the old Volunteers, desire to be treated more or less like Regular troops. Young men engaged in business, in shops and in clerical work, who enlist in the Territorial F'orce, desire to be thought real soldiers. They have always wished and stiU wish to be organized in battalions, in bri gades, and in divisions, because that is the organiza tion and mark of the Regular Army. The business man who takes up in his leisure hours Territorial work takes himself very seriously. He aspires to pass military examinations, and to become pro ficient at war-games, and to dream that he is competent to effect in war combinations of troops of aU arms. He desires to comprehend the prin ciples of strategy, and he likes to think of himself 200 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION as a critic of military tactics. The pathos of the situation is that these men are the salt of the Territorial Army, the very best men it contains, and the foundation upon which the whole super structure rests. If you take the heart out of these men, if you lead them to think that the idea of the Territorial Force fighting European soldiers in line of battle, attempting to cope with European troops in the technical formations in which trained men can be handled, is an idea at variance with the possibilities of real war, the Territorial Force is bound very speedily to crumble away. In order to recruit this force, men and officers must be allowed to keep their illusions. Herein lies an element of tragedy, because no competent soldier of the front rank for a moment contemplates without serious alarm, the prospect of commanding a Territorial army in pitched battle against Continental troops. For the purpose of recruiting and maintaining the Territorial Force a military organization is a necessity. For the purpose of pitting Territorial troops against an enemy composed of Regulars, military formations are a snare. This was Lord Haldane's dilemma. He desired to have at the back of the Regular Army a military force. He had clear evidence before him that the old Volun teers were slowly melting away, owing to their inadequate recognition as a mUitary force. He desired to enhst under a voluntary system all avail able young men for the defence of these Islands who were not prepared to enter the Regular Forces LORD HALDANE'S PLAl«f 201 of the Crown. He formed the Territorial Associa tions and he gave military organization to the Territorial Force. His methods were the best that could have been adopted under the circumstances. From the point of view of Lord Haldane, the Army Act, for which he is responsible, was excel lently drawn up, and has proved highly successful. From the point of view of many w^ho hoped here after to substitute compulsory for voluntary service. Lord Haldane's organization had much to com mend it. It must, however, be admitted that doubts and misgivings have always haunted the minds of soldiers, proficient in the art of war, highly tested by practical experience in the field of battle, who realized that the Territorial Force, composed as it is, and trained as it is, cannot be made to respond to the demands of a commander in the field who was expected to use it according to the conventional methods of modern warfare, against a European foe landed upon these shores. The views of these men may be summed up as foUows : Trained European troops can be fought with chances of success by troops as highly trained as themselves. This is a truism of war. They can be hampered with chances of success by gueriUa troops defending their own territory under the eyes of a friendly population, and in localities with every detail of which they are familiar. History is fuU of examples of struggles of this kind long before the days of Boer exploits in South Africa. A trained army, however, cannot be fought with 27 202 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION any chance of success by an untrained army or ganized upon similar lines, and manoeuvred accord ing to the theories of Clausewitz or Von der Goltz. This proposition can be proved by the whole course of mUitary history. What, then, is the inference to be drawn from these propositions by a statesman responsible for the defence of Great Britain and for the expenditure involved in maintaining the Territorial Force ? He is bound to ask himself whether, in the first instance, there is any probability of an enemy effecting a landing upon the British Isles, and, in the second place, whether, if such a probabihty exists, the defending force should not be organized and trained in the manner best calculated to cope with an invasion or with a raid, whichever designa tion is thought to be appropriate to the landing of an armed enemy upon these shores. Conscription- ists would, of course, say that the obvious course is to substitute for the Territorial Force a Nation in Arms, to give every man a thorough training for the minimum period considered necessary by the military authorities. We should then possess a force fit to cope with an invading enemy, and an additional advantage of this method would be that Great Britain would have acquired the power, which she at present lacks, of expanding her Regular Army in any conflict into which she might be drawn on the Continent of Europe or in any sphere of mUitary operations oversea. It cannot be denied that there are two great CONSCRIPTION DIFFICULTIES 203 difficulties in the way of adopting such a policy as this, apparently for the present quite insuperable. The first is that the British people have given no indication of willingness to undertake the burden of conscription or to face the responsibilities that every Continental nation is forced to bear, but from which they, thanks to their insular position, have hitherto been exempt. The second is that no protagonist of conscription in this country has yet discovered a practical method of combining com pulsion for a portion of the Army with the volun tary raising of another portion for use oversea in time of peace. It is because of the necessities imposed upon us by our oversea Empire in peace that the conditions of Great Britain differ from those of other States. No one can seriously sup pose that there would be any difficulty in using a conscript army oversea in time of war. But in peace-time the circumstances are very different, and the pohce force, the military reinforcement, call it what you will, that Great Britain is obliged to maintain abroad and at home in time of peace for Imperial purposes cannot be raised by any means other than that at present employed — that is to say, by the assent of the individuals of whom it is composed. What, then, is the alternative if the element of compulsion should be ruled out ? Without the element of compulsion it is impossible to maintain within these islands a highly trained force on the Continental or new model. A half- trained force organized on conventional lines is ex 204 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION hypothesi useless when confronted by Continental troops. Are we, then, driven by the inexorable logic of experience and the facts of war to seek for safety in an Army of Irregulars, not semi-trained after the fashion of Regulars, but instructed in the main essentials of all Irregular troops — that is to say, to shoot straight and to use their knowledge of the manoeuvring area in order to utilize to the fullest extent the rifle in concealed positions ? Would a plan of defensive war, based upon the levee en masse of a population taught in boyhood to bear arms, supplemented by a body of half-trained Territorial troops placed in prepared positions for coastal defence, stand the test of modern fighting under our island conditions ? This seems to be the problem requiring analysis and solution. X. In the course of these papers it has been suggested that the strategy and tactics of naval warfare require re-examination ; that modern naval science, taking full advantage of submarine naviga tion and aircraft, may before long discard the battleship ; and that sea command may not neces sarily be found dependent upon the result of a fleet action such as Trafalgar or Tsushima. The development of the submersible boat and of the airship may prove to the monster battleship what the invention of the rifle was to the man-at- arms ; and a Dreadnought may shortly be as obso lete as coat-armour. RULES OF WAR 205 For purposes of coast defence and of combined attack, submarines and airships with a range of thousands of miles, armed and practicaUy invisible, costing less than the twentieth of a Dreadnought, and thus producible in large numbers, may turn out in the immediate future to be the determining factor in the struggle for sea power. The days of the naval tournament are wellnigh over, and the set rules of naval warfare wiU have to give place to tactics as full of surprise as were the tactics of the Black Prince and his archers to the French chivalry at Crecy, or those of Cronj^ and De Wet to our gallant Aldershot commanders in the early stages of the South African War. Men who set out to fight on sea or land, guided by fixed rules of strategy and tactics, almost invari ably come to grief. The uses of military know ledge, of the science of war, and of historical military study, are confined to the single preparatory func tion of enabling a commander in battle to cope with an unexpected emergency. No two campaigns, no two battles, are ever alike. The great and success ful commander is the man who, like Gustavus Adolphus or the Napoleon of 1796-1809, can discard shibboleths, recognize changed conditions, and con front the enemy with a novel situation embarrassing and possibly overwhelming. Just as the conventional army inherited from the great Frederick (so potent in Silesia) was swept away by the conscript avalanche of the French at Jena, just as Napoleon's grand army was baffled and 28 206 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION ultimately destroyed by the " Fabian tactics " of Kutuzoff's Cossack hordes, and just as De Wet's and Botha's little groups of Boers, by an unexpected method of warfare, held long in check, and, under slightly more favourable conditions, might altogether have worn out the immense forces of Great Britain, so should the commander, equipped by imagination with foresight, utilize the innumerable and powerful resources of Great Britain to the destruction of an invader. No foreign foe setting foot on these shores ought ever to quit them. That axiom should be engraved over every British hearth. In calculating the value and forecasting the uses of the Territorial Force, it is essential to assume that political exigencies have led to the absorption of the Regular Army, its Reserves, and accessories, by the call of war oversea. It is inconceivable that such a state of things should obtain in the earlier stages of any war in which this Empire is likely to be engaged ; but as a war progresses, demands upon the armed resources of the country are certain to create a situation in which we shall have to rely for insular defence upon our maritime guard, and upon such home forces as we possess under our present organization. It has been often explained that the Navy, so long as sea command has not been finally wrested from Great Britain, can protect her shores from invasion on a large scale. The amount of naval transport, and the consequent size of armed convoy, are so enormous for the passage oversea of an army DANGER OF INVASION 207 powerful enough to conquer 40 millions of people, and overawe them into accepting conquest, that the operation becomes impossible so long as a great and effective fleet keeps the sea. What is possible and conceivable is an attack, too strong to be called a mere raid, and too weak to be rightly called in vasion, undertaken by a new enemy for the purpose of stultifying some prodigious effort which this country is making elsewhere for the maintenance of her Imperial security. Against such an attack we should be prepared. If the naval scheme of defence is based upon the principles suggested in a former series of papers, and fleet action against the enemy is entirely separ ated from flotilla coast guardianship, attack by an enemy in large numbers should be rendered so difficult and dangerous that it would only be at tempted in the spirit of forlorn hope. Suppose, however, that the maritime guard is pierced, and an enemy about 70,000 strong (this was the figure stated by Lord Roberts) were to effect a landing upon our shores, what are the forces with which such an enemy might have to contend ? Although the maritiriie guard would have been evaded, it is certain that, once the alarm was given, the coastal flotiUas (even if the fleet were elsewhere) would soon have cut all communication between the enemy's forces and their base. The attacking army would be en Fair in a hostile country, dependent for all its supplies upon itself and the invaded terri tory. Under any soundly planned scheme of home 208 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION defence, the country in front of an advancing enemy would be rapidly denuded of every source of supply and of every means of tran,sport. Of what use are County Associations, recruited from the most capable and influential local sources, if they cannot organize territorial denudation of a thorough kind in the face of an advancing foe ? They have under their hand the National Reserve, composed of men inured to discipline, and trained to arms with, it may be assumed, complete knowledge of local topography. Such a force, properly armed, supplied with ammunition, and adequately com manded and led as Irregulars, would be quite as efficient as Kutuzoff's Cossacks in 1812. Our own South African experience indicates the enormous difficulties likely to be experienced by an invader faced by determined and desperate bands of armed men, familiar with the use of the rifle, if they are properly disposed and skilfully led. There are now 200,000 of these men registered for home service. There should be twice or thrice that number, and they could be obtained if it was known that arms were available for them at the outbreak of war, and if in peace they were under the tuition and guidance of an officer with the attributes of a Garibaldi or a Gordon, who would secure their confidence, give them some idea of their duties and functions, and who would handle them well should the occasion arise. Against such a body of men, adopting tactics harassing and unwearied, an enemy would advance TERRITORIAL DEFENCE 209 slowly, subject to daily and nightly attrition, to all the pangs of disappointment, and to the gradual loss of morale. Even though a town was seized here, or even an arsenal destroyed there, the fate of an enemy, cut off from his base amidst a popula tion so determined in character as our people, cannot be in doubt. The backbone of our defence against an attack of the kind postulated, is, however, the Territorial Force. It is organized as an army — half- trained and indifferently officered, it is true — ^and is suffi cient in numbers and well enough endowed with military ardour to infhct heavy losses upon such an enemy, even though it were unable to secure victory or even were to suffer defeat. And behind both these armed bodies of men, drawn together for the defence of their hearths and homes, numeri cally amounting to about half a million, handled (let us make this assumption) by a leader with one-half the capacity of Robert Lee or Stonewall Jackson, we have the balance of the male popula tion of the country, every man, by that time ready to undertake, what at present he will not face, the defence of his native land. What is the balance of chances in favour of an invasion ? It is true — indeed, it is fairly certain — that a sustained invasion, supported from its base, might dispose of a defence grounded upon so irregular a plan and so faulty a principle, judged by Continental standards. That Great Britain is an island and her people 210 NAVAL AND MILITARY SITUATION islanders is the assumption upon which all specu lative schemes of defence have hitherto been based. In order to defend an island, sea power and sea command are essential and vital. Maintain them, and, although a damaging attack by an enemy is a possibility against which armed mihtary force is desirable and necessary, successful invasion is impossible. Lose them, and for reasons insepar able from the conditions that govern an insular people, fed and provided by oversea commerce, the most numerous and best equipped army in the world cannot save a nation from disaster and pos sibly from destruction. Behind Great Britain, however, stands Greater Britain, and no statesmen can ignore the land frontier of the Empire. MODERN WAR AND PEACE.* I WANT to read to you a passage from the work of a living writer with whom you all should be, and probably are, well acquainted. I must ask you to put yourselves for a moment in the position of men nearing home, after a long sea voyage, and running up- channel before a strong south-westerly gale. This is the passage I wish to quote : " At night the headlands retreated, the bays advanced into one unbroken line of gloom. The lights of the earth mingled with the lights of heaven ; and above the tossing lanterns of a trawl ing fleet a great lighthouse shone steadily, such as an enormous riding light burning above a vessel of fabiUous dimensions. Below its steady glow, the coast, stretching away straight and black, resem bled the high side of an indestructible craft riding motionless upon the immortal and unresting sea. The dark land lay alone in the midst of the waters, like a mighty ship bestarred with vigUant lights — a ship carrjdng the burden of millions of lives — a ship freighted with dross and with jewels, with gold and with steel. She towered up immense and strong, guarding priceless traditions and untold suffering, sheltering glorious memories and base forgetfulness, ignoble virtues and splendid * A lecture delivered at Cambridge University, 1912, and at Glasgow, 1913. 211 212 MODERN WAR AND PEACE transgressions. A great ship ! For ages had the ocean battered in vain her enduring sides ; she was there when the world was vaster and darker, when the sea was great and mysterious, and ready to surrender the prize of fame to audacious men. A ship mother of fleets and nations ! The great flagship of the race ; stronger than the storms, and anchored in the open sea." I hope you wiU agree that these eloquent words describe a love of country, a form of patriotism of which no one has cause to be ashamed, not blatant or vulgar, but respectable, sincere and true. If I thought that Norman Angell's teaching sapped the foundations of patriotism such as this, or tended to destroy the love of individual or national liberty, or weakened the desire of young men to learn the art of fighting for the purpose of protecting their homes and the homes of their kindred oversea from attack or conquest, I should not be here to-night. If I thought that in the world's present state of martial unrest, his teaching would induce ourv people to abandon building those great fleets that preserve these Islands from attack and keep the ocean-way free for British commerce, I should look upon Norman Angell as an enemy of our race and country. For more years than I care to count I have been engaged in helping to perfect the machinery of war, and to sharpen the weapons with which men on the sea and land go out to maim and kill one another. May I then put it thus, that 1 am here NORMAN ANGELL'S THESIS 213 because in the big affairs of mankind logic holds a subordinate place, and because inconsistency happens to be the rule of active and healthy life. No sane mind can fail to be aware that we are not living in an ideal world, but in a world of hard and brutal facts ; and the hardest and most brutal of all these facts is, that after 2,000 years of philosophy and of Christ's teaching, men are still governed mainly by passion and only occasionally by reason. Fortunately there is no cause to despair. The mill grinds slowly, but the wheel keeps moving. I am not proposing to discuss with you the phUosophy of Norman Angell's thesis, but rather its practical bearing upon the relation of European States under normal conditions, as we find them to-day, and especially upon the circumstances of Great Britain and her immediate neighbours on the Continent of Europe. Napoleon called war a drama. He used that phrase when thinking of the great European con flicts of which he himself was the moving spirit and protagonist. We should rather say that modern war between civilized peoples, enlightened as they are in these days, and interdependent as they are upon each other, is not a Drama but a Tragedy only comparable to some immortal Trilogy in which men, from no fault of their own, but owing to a deep inherited tendency, find them selves enmeshed in the web of Fate. Are we not justified in taking this view when we consider that to-day in Europe no Potentate or Statesman desires war, that the masses of the 214 MODERN WAR AND PEACE people in every powerful State dislike War and fear it, and that nevertheless we constantly find ourselves shivering on its brink ? Some glimmering of reason warns us that War, and as Norman Angell explains, even victorious war, spells dis aster, and yet we speak of it always as inevit able and sometimes with expectancy. If George Meredith is justified in saying that " when men's brains are insufficient to meet the exigencies of affairs, they fight," you can well understand that given the casual methods of politicians and the clouded atmosphere of political strife, the failure of reason to withstand the assault of prejudice and passion is not so strange or unaccountable. Norman Angell is engaged in the difficult task of strengthening, of putting a higher degree of vitality into the rational consideration of the pro blems of War and Peace. When considering and analyzing his brilliant and often dazzling argument, we must not permit ourselves to forget that in private life the measure, the balance of loss and gain, although telling in the long run, does not by any means always dominate men's actions. If this were not the case, how explain the spendthrift and the gambler ? Similarly, economic forces, in spite of their pre dominant results, over long spaces of time, do not from day to day and from hour to hour govern the pohcy of nations, or nullify the effects of senti ment, of passion, or of resentment. These are the lions in the path of Peace. THE PACIFIST STATESMAN 215 If, therefore, we are calmly and with profit to discuss the " Great Illusion," as Mr. Norman Angell has called his essay upon the economic results to both vanquished and victor in a war between highly civilized European States, we should, I suggest to you, keep steadily in our own minds the realities of life, and make it clear to ourselves that we are not living in a philosophic vacuum. Men write and speak of disarmament. The most ardent advocate of peace, if to-morrow he were called to the helm of State, and were to find himself made answerable for the security of these Islands, and faced with their vast population, and their historic past, with the pledges given by their states men to subject races, and the potentialities of their future, could not in the present condition of Europe and of the world, venture to disarm. Further, if he were conscientious, prudent, and frank, he would explain to his countrymen the dangers they are bound to provide against and the risks they periodically run, owing to their inveterate love of minding other people's business, coupled with their own complacent faith in luck and in their capacity to puU through any emergency; and having done this, he would set about perfecting our National Defences. This has always been the hard fate of the pacifist statesman, who was not a mere theorist, when brought up short by the actualities of the world. I am well aware that another view may be taken of the duty of a protagonist in the cause of peace. 216 MODERN WAR AND PEACE It may be said that a statesman worthy of the name, and caring above all causes for that of peace, should not fear to put his faith to the touch. A firmer belief in the verity of his cause, a loftier con ception of the power of ideas over men's actions, a deeper insight into the results of confidence on a grand scale, would lead him to the conclusion that to disarm was not to run any desperate risk, and that even if that were the case, he should be ready to take it. See, such a man would argue, the effect in other but analogous spheres of a sublime trust in the higher motives and instincts of mankind, and observe the recent examples in the history of our race and land. He might admit that analogy is generally a trap for the unwary, but he would emphasize the history of the past few decades, and show that trust in the people, that great political discovery of the nineteenth century, has never mis carried. For instance, although it is generally admitted that political pOwer, to be weU and safely used, should only be entrusted to an educated people, who is unaware that our statesmen enfran chize first and educate afterwards ? Yet it would be difficult to prove that as a nation we should have made better progress if the Educational Acts of 1870 had preceded the Reform BiU of 1832. In recent years there has been even a more glaring case of the noble chance that high states manship permits itself occasionally to take. It required a mighty act of faith to grant a free constitution to South Africa, and to entrust un- DISARMAMENT 217 fettered political powers to the people we had just fought and defeated. Yet there are not many men who would now propose to go back upon that courageous and disinterested pohcy. This would be the argument of our ideahst, and he would refer, with great force, to these examples of a political faith that has been able successfully to move mountains of political prejudice. We can, perhaps, none of us imagine any policy finer and more noble in conception than tbe reasoned determination of a great people, convinced of the folly of war, to disarm, for the sake of example, in the face of the armed nations of the European Continent. It is a sad but inevitable anti-climax to have to conclude that the adoption by any responsible statesman of such a policy would be not only one of madness and of grave self- indulgence, but of national betrayal. I fear that the pages of our own history, the bitter teaching of experience, and a clear conception of that world of actuality of which the British nation forms part, can only lead us to the conclusion, that however ardently we desire the Norman Angell propaganda to force its way into the minds of men, we cannot during the years of inevitable transition afford to cast away the sword. The risk is one from which the most courageous idealist would rightly shrink. After all, if the ex periment in South Africa had failed, its failure might have plunged this country into serious diffi culties, but the problem of British rule would still 29 218 MODERN WAR AND PEACE have been soluble, and no irremediable harm would have been done. On the other hand, to disarm, by way of political experiment, and to find your experiment fail would be to inflict such complete disaster and such irre coverable losses upon our country that no Enghsh- man can bear to contemplate them, and no states man would dare to face them. There is some analogy, good enough for our pur pose, between the conditions of Europe to-day and the condition of England in the Middle Ages, cursed with the internecine conflicts of the Baronage. What feudal lord would then have dared, within the disturbed area of these Islands, to level his defences, in reliance upon the generous appreciation or upon the pacific instincts of his neighbours ? It was not by that path that peace was sought and ensued. In order to bring to a conclusion the state of normal warfare then prevailing, and in order to substitute the procedure of a higher civilization for methods of barbarism, it required external pressure from our Tudor Sovereigns, drastic in method and consistent in application. In order to pacificate Europe, in order to hold in check the militant ardour of diplomatic chancelleries and the recklessness of a combative Press, to what quarter can we then look to provide a substitute for the commercial instincts of a Tudor King, backed by the energies of a growing middle class and of a long-suffering peasantry ? To what powerful in fluences can we turn, with hope and expectancy EDUCATION AND DISCUSSION 219 that they will put an end to those armed and pro vocative relations between the great Powers in Europe that to-day reflect sadly upon our common civihzation ? This brings me, by a process which I hope has not been too tiresome, to the objects and aims of the Society which I have the honour to address. If, as I indicated a few moments ago, the strongest influence at the present time upon the actions of civilized nations is educated public opinion, and if, as come contend, ideas have never exercised a more potent sway over events than now, it is to this irre sistible force of public opinion that we must look for an equivalent to the power that crushed feudalism, with all its combativeness and unrest. It is the main object of your Society to create and to educate public opinion. It is not, as I under stand, your sole object. There is a preliminary task to be performed by your members before you let loose the spirit of your propaganda. That preliminary task is, I gather from your literature, to test Norman Angell's theories by the means of discussion and examination, and especially to enquire into the truth of his contention that what were axioms of statesmanship in the eighteenth century have become absurdities in the twentieth. The most distinguished of the living sons of this University put the case to me thus : " The doctrine which, as I understand it, Norman Angell desires to impress upon the civilized nations of the world is that aggressive warfare, undertaken 220 MODERN WAR AND PEACE for the purpose of making the aggressor happier, wealthier and more prosperous, is not only wrong but silly." That is the doctrine which your Society has been formed to examine, and if you are satisfied that it is true, to testify before the world. I am not concerned with and I am anxious to refrain from discussing the various aspects of the " Great lUusion." I have only mentioned its main thesis in order to make clear that the primary work of this Society is to examine the practical effect of the economic aspects of that work and to carry forward to a further stage such truths as may be found in Norman Angell's economics which can be of service to this country and to mankind. When I was an undergraduate of this College no one was ever invited to examine an economic theory. In those days we were taught that political economy was an exact science, and it would never have occurred to any but the most cynical to question the main propositions of its votaries. You live, fortunately for yourselves, in an atmosphere of more enlightened criticism. It is desirable, indeed it is essential, that every point made by Norman Angell should be subjected to careful scrutiny if his doctrine is ever to be trans lated into the language of practical statesmanship. When, for instance, he makes such a statement as this — "that the wealth of conquered territory always remains in the hands of the inhabitants " ; and when he proceeds to draw the inference that MISUNDERSTANDINGS 221 no territory is therefore worth annexing, I suggest to you that considerable qualification must be made before such a doctrine will be accepted by those responsible for the direction of State affairs in this 'or any other country. It is unhkely, it is scarcely possible for a man to write with such enthusiasm and with such fulness as Norman Angell without occasionaUy creating a false im pression of his real meaning, but among your Society's functions is the invaluable one of winnow ing the wheat from the chaff. May I suggest to you a specially dangerous misunderstanding to which Norman Angell's argu ment may also lead. He lays much stress upon the effects of war upon the individual as distinct fi'om the nation. He draws attention over and over again to the condition of the individual citizen of a victorious or conquered State. Would this man be richer or poorer ? Would that man profit or lose by victory or defeat ? are questions which he is continually posing. They are indeed worth examination, and there is perhaps no surer method of guiding the discussions of your Society along a path consistent with our national safety than for you to consider how far a nation, which undoubtedly is composed of individuals, is a corporate reality, and to what extent as a corporate reality it is able to suffer or to triumph. Norman Angell would, I am sure, be the last to claim that he has exhausted his own subject. What he has done is to write a remarkable and 30 222 MODERN WAR AND PEACE stimulating book that cannot fail to produce prac tical results in the hands of men, of younger men, who come after him. Years ago Professor Seeley in his " Expansion of England" produced a work that in the hands of Cecil Rhodes, as Rhodes himself often admitted, led directly to the addition of Rhodesia to the Empire and indirectly to the unity of South Africa under the British flag. The "Expansion of England" focussed the eyes of our people on the work they had been unconsciously performing. The British Empire had grown and was growing fast, but its growth was, pictoriaUy speaking, silent and unperceived. Professor Seeley 's book illumined the process, and among its many effects produced that to which I have already alluded. In that case the voice was Seeley 's, but the hands were those of Cecil Rhodes. It may be that among those present here to-night there may be one who, stimulated by the discussions of your Society and assisted by its propaganda, will do for the cause of European peace what Cecil Rhodes did for the further expansion of our Empire. In that case the voice wiU have been Norman Angell's, but the hands we must leave to the future to determine. Of one thing I am convinced, and it is that the moment is not unripe, and that the minds of men at home and all over the Continent are in a state of singular receptivity for this economic aspect of the doctrine of Peace. 1 have had an opportunity of listening to very "THE GREAT ILLUSION" 223 confidential enquiries into, and discussions of, the economic effects upon our trade, commerce, and finance on the outbreak of a European war in which we ourselves might be engaged. This enquiry extended over many months, and many of the wealthiest and most influential men of business from the cities of the United Kingdom were called to give evidence before those whose duty it was to conclude and report. I am sure that very few, if any, of those eminent witnesses had read his book, but by some mysterious process the virus of Norman Angell was working in their minds, for one after the other these magnates of commerce and of finance corroborated by their fears and anticipations the doctrine of the " Great Illusion." If this is the mental atmosphere of the cities of London and Glasgow at the prospect of war, is it not reasonable to assume that the moment is pro pitious, and that there is a tremendous chance for young and ardent spirits, just of your age, to reap a splendid harvest ? And if we look abroad, across, let us say, the North Sea, the conditions are equally favourable. It is well known that in August, 191 1, this country was on the brink of war. What is not so well known is, that the most powerful and restraining force exercised in Germany in the interests of peace was the influence of the great commercial and financial houses that have done business with our people, that have competed with our people. 224 MODERN WAR AND PEACE over the surface of the globe, and who are in the habit of looking to London as their clearing-house, and to English financial houses as their bankers and correspondents. Germany, I am confident, will prove just now as receptive as Great Britain to the doctrine of Norman Angell. A few moments ago I mentioned a certain enquiry into the various aspects and effects of modern war, at which persons of distinction were present, some of them holding offices of great responsibility, but who up to the present had not been specially concerned with these questions or speciaUy obliged to consider them. It was interesting to see how little at first they grasped the realities of modern war. They were under the impression, quite a vague impression, that war was a business in which soldiers and sailors were deeply concerned, but which left ordinary civilians free to pursue their avocations under more or less normal conditions. They remembered the South African War, and recoUected how even in the last weeks of 1899 and the first weeks of the present century, when our armies in South Africa were in some jeopardy, business and even pleasure went on very much as usual. They were also aware that in the Crimean and Napoleonic wars, when British armies were fighting on the Continent of Europe, some ripple of the hardships then endured reached these shores, but the civilian population left the fighting to the professional WHAT WAR MEANS 225 soldier and beyond paying the biU felt very little the worse for the conflict. Modern war, however, seemed now to be an altogether different proposition. It was quite a novel idea that war with a nation in arms like modern Germany, under modern conditions of trade and finance, might mean, even under favour able circumstances, complete stoppage of our Con tinental and of our Imperial trade, the temporary ruin of tens of thousands of operatives in the mid land and northern counties, and the closing of the Thames to British shipping, with incalculable results to the provision of supplies for London and the home counties, and in fact complete confusion in the domestic economy of the State. StiU more startling was the vision of a possible transfer, per haps permanently, from London to New York of that enormous mass of financial business which, on behalf of the whole mercantile and commercial world, we at present transact in the metropolis of our Empire. As I have said, it was a surprise to these men of eminence and experience in the govemment of the country that modern war on a large scale, even if successfully waged, might demand such enormous sacrifices from the civilian population. They had always hitherto believed that all the pains and penalties of war could be imposed upon a pro fessional class that was paid and trained to bear them. This delusion is unfortunately shared by millions of our feUow-countrymen, and it should be 226 MODERN WAR AND PEACE one of the functions of your Society to destroy it. The economic effects, in minute detail, likely to be immediately experienced in Great Britain, in Canada, and in Australia, on the outbreak of a war between Great Britain and Germany are well worth your attention and some study at the hands of Norman Angell himself. In short, the more the circumstances attending the outbreak of modern war between highly civilized communities are inquired into and studied the better are the chances of the maintenance of peace. These considera tions all help to create an atmosphere for your propaganda. Even the grouping of the six most powerful States in Europe into two apparently hostile camps is, on the whole, some guarantee of peace. There is always, as I have said, a chance of some act of madness precipitating a war. But on the whole the Triple Alliance and the Triple Entente have their origin in a desire to avoid war. From one point of view these well-known expressions indicate two great armed camps, but from another they imply two groupings of nations anxious to keep the peace. In this very grouping of the Powers there is good augury for the future. If you could imagine Europe to consist at this moment of only Great Britain, France, and Russia, all of them haunted by some external menace from the Far East or West, there would be no overwhelming difficulty in obtaining agreement to a plan of internal dis- ATTRACTIONS OF WAR 227 armament that would reduce the fear of conflict within the area of Europe to a negligible quantity while leaving the combined Powers practically secure from attack oversea. If Europe consisted to-day only of Germany, Austria and Italy it might perhaps be even less difficult for these Powers to arrive at a similar understanding. Is it too extravagant a suggestion that an agreement based on partial disarriiament which appears not wholly impracticable within the orbit of the Triple Alliance on the one hand, or that of the Triple Entente on the other, might still be practical and possible if the two groups could be drawn together by the centrifugal force of some great explanatory and Uluminating doctrine ? I am making no attempt to argue or elaborate, but merely to throw out this suggestion for examina tion and discussion by your Society. Finally, I cannot refrain from touching upon the panopy of war, and its allurements. This is a point I believe ignored by Norman Angell, but which demands some consideration from you. No one can be blind to those martial qualities of valour and self-sacrifice that war demands of her victims, but it too frequently happens that men enamoured of peaceful avocations, and zealous in the cause of peace, are apt to under-estimate, among antagon istic forces, the strength of the poetic and romantic aspects of the clash of arms. One cannot avoid the suspicion that to ignore, and even to minimize these attributes of a martial phase in the world's 228 MODERN WAR AND PEACE progress and in the evolution of mankind, is to display an enfeebled spirit and an impoverished imagination. There is very little to be said for a man who can look unmoved upon a shrine raised by infinite pains and with immeasurable labour, to a dying faith. 1 am reminded* of a passage in a lecture delivered many years ago (it shows how sometimes a phase sticks in a boy's mind) by a famous master in the old round school at Eton, a room that no one pre sent here to-night probably remembers except myself. He was speaking of the landing of WiUiam of Orange in Torbay, and the phrase was this : "All the poetry, all the romance, all the beauty, was on the side of the Stuarts " ; then the lecturer paused, and added : " All the common sense was on the other side." There is no need for me to point the moral. The title of your Society appears to me to cover a duty and an aspiration — the duty of every young man sound in heart and mind to submit himself to be trained to bear arms for his home and country against unprovoked attack; an aspiration that he may personally help to allay the provocative spirit in men of his own race, and live to utilize every ounce of inteUectual and moral strength in the cause of Peace. * By a friend with a better memory than mine. LA GUERRE ET LA PAIX* QUELQUES FACTEURS NOUVEAUX DE LA POLITIQUE INTERNATIONALE AvANT d'entamer mon sujet, Mesdames et Mes sieurs, permettez-moi de reclamer votre indulgence. Je suis Stranger, et anglais. Le point de vue de nos deux pays est si different, et cela s'explique par leurs dissemblances respectives en ce qui concerne le temperament, I'education, les conditions clima- teriques, voire m§me peut-§tre, les conditions physiologiques. Ce n'est pas chose facile que d'amener, dans le cours d'une conference de moins d'une heure, nos deux points de vue a possdder une identite parfaite ; et c'est pourquoi je vous prierai de me pardonner lorsque, pour votre esprit national si net et si clair, ce que j'aurai a dire pourra sembler quelque peu embrouille ou obscur. Ce qui me manquera, veuillez le mettre sur le compte des brouillards d'outre-Manche, et ne pas I'attribuer a un defaut de sympathie, ou a un manque d'apprdciation des int^rgts communs qui lient nos deux nations d'une fa9on si dtroite. Mon sujet sera la guerre et la paix. Ce sont la * Diseours prononce par Viscount Esher, G.C.B., G.C.V.O., a la Sorbonne. Vendredi, 27 Mars, 1914. 229 230 LA GUERRE ET LA PAIX deux mots redoubtables ; Us dvoquent les terreurs du passe. Us font naitre des craintes pour le present, mais Us inspirent aussi les plus grandes esperances pour I'avenir. Mon but d'aujourd'hui est de faire appel aux etudiants, a la jeunesse fra9aise. Je veux demander a celle-ci d'examiner certains facteurs ^conomiques recemment intervenus dans la situation Inter nationale, et qui, s'ils sont reels, doivent provoquer un bouleversement complet dans la politique des etats telle qu'elle a et6 con9ue et comprise jusqu'ici. Afin de preparer mon terrain et pour eviter tout malentendu, disons immediatement que si I'examen de ces faits nouveaux prouve clairement I'inanite des guerres d'agression entre nations civihsees, il ne justifie, en aucune fa9on, ni une diminution, ni une restriction quelconque dans les armements. II ne resulte pas davantage de cet examen qu'il faille desserrer le lien des alliances ou des ententes, ou qu'il faille rdduire d'un seul homme les effectifs de la defense nationale, soit chez vous, soit chez nous. Je ne viens pas ici prgcher la paix k outrance ; je ne viens pas rabaisser ce patriotisme vraiment noble qui exalte les vertus civiques, qui se fait une gloire des grandes oeuvres nationales accomplies dans la sphere des sciences, dans celle de I'art ou de la philosophic, qui enfin se glorifie de cet accroissement de bonheur pour I'humanite, que Ton designe sous le nom de progr^s. II existe un vaste champ d'action reserve a I'indi- vidualisme national (je ne trouve pas de meilleur mot), dans le domaine de I'imagination et des idees. MR. BALFOUR'S WORDS 231 bien que les exigences actuelles de la democratic et les besoin de la civilisation moderne puissent donner naissance a Taction collective, but qu'aper9oivent deja bien des esprits sup^rieurs et virils. La doctrine que je vais vous prier d'examiner, est contenue dans les paroles du plus eminent de nos hommes d'etat vivants, celui qui a ete, pendent de nombreuses annees, a la tete du parti conservateur en Angleterre. Voici ce qu'il dit : La guerre d'agression entreprise entre nations civihsees dans le but d'augmenter le bonheur, la richesse et la prosperite de Tagresseur, est a la fois inutUe et stupide. Sans dogmatiser, continue-t-il sur Teffet que la guerre a produit dans le developpement de Thomme — un sujet plein d'interet — il n'y a pas a douter que dans les conditions actuelles de I'industrie et de la finance, les nations civihsees, ne soient si etroite- ment liees ensemble par la communaute de certains inter§ts, que toute rupture violente dans les rapports d'amitie doit necessairement provoquer des desastres chez tons les interesses ; desastres que ni les indemnites, ni les accroissements de territoire, ni les arcs de triomphe, ne pourront jamais compenser. Si nous exposons la these ainsi, vous en sentez la nouveaute. II faut un esprit jeune et souple pour saisir tons les attraits qu'eUe possede, toutes les esperances qu'eUe fait naitre. Mais je vous demande de Texaminer avec impartialite et de n'accepter a priori comme incontestables ni les faits anciens ni les faits nouveaux. 232 LA GUERRE ET LA PAIX Treitschke — ce Machiavel moderne — a dit que : " Dans un age de fer, se proposer la paix comme but supreme n'est pas simplement caresser une chim^re, mais bien resistor en aveugle a la loi de la vie, loi fatale qui condamne le faible a etre ecrase par le fort. " II continue : La guerre est la meilleure ecole du devoir ; et il n'est pas seulement insense, il est immoral de precher contre elle. II ajoute: Frederic le Grand a raison lorsqu'U dit que la guerre produit le champ le plus fertile, ouvert a toutes le vertues : a la Constance, a la compassion, a Televation des sentiments, a la noblesse du coeur, a la charite." Voila le dogme tragique contenu dans la " Real Politik." Pour beaucoup d'esprits modernes, ces sentiments ont cependant une valeur reeUe et ne sont point de simples phrases. C'est la Timportance qu'ils possedent. Toutefois le sophisme du Grand Fre deric pourrait egalement justifier Tesclavage, ou s'appliquer aux combats nefastes du Colisee. "La guerre et Tesprit de bravoure," a dit un autre ecrivain moderne, — le General von Bernhardi, " ont accompli plus de grandes choses que I'amour du prochain." N'est-ce pas Ik, en plein vingtieme siecle, une etrange invocation a Tesprit du moyen age ? Com- bien alors conservent encore de leur valeur, les pensees et les ecrits de Bayle, de Rousseau et de Montesquieu ? Mais le bon sens doit Temporter a la longue, et ces illustres ecrivains fran9ais, pro- ducteurs d'oeuvres puissantes, ont pressenti la these que je vous presente autourd'hui. POLITICAL INSTINCT 233 lis ont signale cet epuisement immodere qu'engendre la guerre avec ses longs et incessants preparatifs. lis ont insiste sur les maux qui sont les fruits de la guerre et dont souffrent les masses chez les peuples belligerants. lis se sont surtout efforces de d^montrer que, lorsque la guerre est terminee, apres avoir detruit et devaste a Tinfini, apres avoir 6puise Tor et Tenergie, alors survient la paix ; cette m^me paix que la simple raison aurait pu suggerer des le commencement. Certains pretendent cependant qu'aux heures de crises nationales, ce n'est pas la sagesse des raisonne- ments qui fait pencher la balance : ce sont plutot les passions, les interets, les evenements exterieurs, et ce quelque chose de vague, de non defini, d'etrange, de presque mysterieux que parmi les peuples on nomme instinct politique. Mais U ne faut pas se laisser tromper par les phrases. Essayez done, je voue prie, de bien determiner, si cela est possible, ce que signifie Tinstinct politique. Demandez-vous si Ton ne pourrait pas, comme pour Tinstinct rehgieux, par exemple, le cultiver, le moderer, le changer. Voyez le monde qui nous entoure, celui, oii nous vivons: voyez ses transformations rapides, son developpement stupefiant. A peine puis-je parfois evoquer a mes yeux le Paris de ma jeunesse. Quelle est done la valeur veritable, precise que possede un appel a Texperience acquise ? Qu'est ce que valent les precedents historiques, ou Tetude de la diplomatic 31 234 LA GUERRE ET LA PAIX de nos anc§tres, au sein d'une societe qui se trans- forme tellement, que ce qui s'apphquait a hier ne convient deja plus a aujourd'hui ? De nouvelles decouvertes scientifiques, ceUes que Ton a faites en pathologic et en chimie ont complete- ment change les habitudes du monde civihse. " Decouverte," — ce mot ne suppose-t-U pas, lui- m^me, certains secrets demeures, de tout temps, caches dans les replis du manteau de la Nature ? De meme dans la physiologic des races, dans notre fa9on habitueUe d'envisager le monde, dans les rapports internationaux, nous nous trouvons en presence d'autres phenomenes encore qui n'ont pu gtre decouverts par un Lord Lister ou par une Madame Curie, car Us sont nes d'hier, enfantes par Tevolution creatrice. Au sein de tant de variations, parmi tant de changements radicaux, ne va-t-on pas trop loin en pretendant que ce mysterieux instinct pohtique, coupable d'avoir jusqu' k present pousse les nations aux conflits, ne pourrait pas, grace a des conditions toutes nouvelles, decider ces memes peuples a signer un accord, a accepter un compromis ? A vrai dire, pouvons-nous affirmer aujourd'hui que Tinstinct politique de la democratic, qui vient d'ouvrir les yeux k la vie apres quelque trente ans consacres a son education, ne differe pas absolument de Tinstinct politique prone par le General von Bern hardi ? La France a toujours ete au premier rang pour la revision de Tideal. Les theories fondamentales "PAYS, PATRIE" 235 des penseurs fran9ais du dix-huitieme siecle servent en realite de lieux communs au monde moderne. II semble done que le moment soit venu de con- siderer a nouveau, de rajuster nos idees sur ce que valent respectivement la guerre et la paix, le patrio tisme et la gloire militaire, et aussi la voie a prendre par cette marche ascendante que nous nommons le progr^s. Qui songerait, par exemple, k denigrer le patrio tisme ; si ce mot signifie respect pour Thistoire de la France, amour de son Sol National, loyaute envers son ideal, et fierte envers son avenir. Mais le coeur et I'S-me animes du plus noble des patrio- tismes ne demeurent pas clos a d'autres sympathies. Vous vous souvenez de cette page admirable de " 93 " dans laquelle Victor Hugo, analyse les luttes de la Vendee. "Pays, Patrie, — ces deux mots resument toute la guerre de Vendee ; quereUe " de Tidee locale contre Tidee universelle ; paysans contre patriotes." L'illustre maitre n'entend pas par Ik depreder Tamour du pays natal, ou le caract^re du paysan ; mais il veut nous pr^munir contre toute etroitesse de sympathie et d'ame. II est possible d'etre en meme temps paysan et patriote. Dirons-nous toutefois que la gloire militaire est indispensable au patriotisme ? Question delicate, c'est vrai, mais question vitale pour certains esprits. Eh bien, un homme manque surement d'ampleur d'imagination, et pent avec justice etre accuse de secheresse d'ame, s'il pent, sans un tresaiUement, 236 LA GUERRE ET LA PAIX songer aux gloires de la guerre, k ses lauriers, a ses sacrifices. Les troublantes emotions de ce genre ne detruisent pas necessairement en nous le sentiment de la perspective. Qui pourrait oubher cette scene de Toeuvre epique de Tolstoy: le prince Andree, blesse a mort, est etendu muet sur le champ de bataille d'Austerlitz ; il voit penche vers lui. Napo leon son incomparable h^ros, si chetif, si insignifiant, en comparaison de ce qui se passe a ce moment entre son ame et les profondeurs sans limites du ciel charge d'etoiles. C'est une autre evocation de cette image immortelle du poete Lucrece. La bataille vue du haut de la colline n'est plus qu'une poignee de poussiere. II est alors bon de se demander sans cesse si la gloire militaire est un element essentiel de la gloire nationale. Est-il indispensable de faire revivre la politique d'un Richelieu, la grandeur d'un Louis XIV ou les conquetes de Napoleon, pour permettre k la France de conserver fierement sa place parmi Teiite des nations ? Ou bien tout cela s'est-il evanoui comme les neiges d'antan ? Certes il ne faut pas oublier ces compensations, ces exploits brillants dans le domaine de I'imagina tion, domaine oil La France ne rencontre que peu d'egaux et point de maitres. Et puissions-nous reconnaitre ensemble que Ta mour de la patrie n'est pas incompatible avec cette idee qui franchit les frontieres du pays natal Tamour de I'humanite, Tidee universelle. " THE GREAT ILLUSION " 237 Heureusement, on ne doit pas oublier de compter la raison parmi les forces agissantes de la vie. Nous ne devons pas non plus ignorer les livres. Parmi la grande masse des oeuvres qui s'impriment, on en rencontre quelques unes que Ton pent con- siderer plutot comme des actes que comme des ecrits. Le " Contrat Social" est sans contredit de ce nombre, et si vous me le permettez, je citerai egalement un autre livre, — " La Grande Illusion," — oeuvre d'un de mes compatriotes, M. Norman Angell. L'impression que cette oeuvre a produite a ete prodigieuse. Sa publication a provoque, en Angle terre, dans nos universites un mouvement immediat. D'abord, ce sont les etudiants de Tuniversite de Cambridge, qui, de concert avec quelques jeunes professeurs, ont forme une societe dans le but d'encourager Tetude systematique de la question ; et Timpulsion donnee a trouve un echo dans presque toutes les universites d' Angleterre. Puis a Manchester, la capitale industrielle de mon pays, une vaste organisation regionale s'est con- stituee sous Tegide du President de la Chambre de Commerce, et du Lord Maire. De meme k Glas gow, la capitale commerciale de TEcosse, les repre- sentant du haut commerce et de la finance se sont reunis en association pour discuter Tidee fondamen- tale de la these d'AngeU. Aujourd'hui, il se trouve sur le territoire de la Grande- Bretagne quarante cercles d'etudes, ou societes, composes d'homme serieux, de professeurs et d'etudiants d'une part, de commercants et de 32 238 LA GUERRE ET LA PAIX financiers de Tautre, s'adonnant a Texamen de Teffet produit sur la question de la guerre et de la paix, par " interdependance " croissante des grandes puis sances europeennes. Ces cercles d'etudes sont affilies a une organisa tion centrale cree a Londres par Sir Richard Garton, candidat conservateur aux elections parlementaires, et soutenue par Mr. Balfour, ancien Premier Ministre conservateur. Ce mouvement ayant pris naissance sous de pareUles auspices n'a aucune tendance anti-patrio- tique ou anti-militariste. Cette affirmation me semble importante pour etablir le caractdre de ce mouvement qui est tout a fait experimental et en quelque sorte scientifique. Quelle est done la these d'AngeU, et quelle est la question fondamentale soulevee par La Grande Illusion ? Elle resulte des deductions faites par une certaine ecole d'economie politique qui etudie tout speciale- ment les rapports entre la puissance militaire et le bien-6tre social ; les relations qui existent entre la conqu§te par les armes et Tacroissement de la prosperite commerciale et financiere ; et enfin la question de savoir si, par suite des changements survenus tout recemment et affectant les puissances civihsees de TEurope et de TOrient, certains axiomes politiques acceptes jusqu'ici par tons les gouverne- ments ne devraient pas #tre soumis a une revision. Quels sont done ces axiomes ? II importe que je vous lise, m^me au risque de NORMAN ANGELL'S VIEWS 239 vous fatiguer, le resume que nous en donne Angell lui-meme. Le voici : " Chaque nation, pour justifier ses propres arme ments, invoque la necessite ou elle serait de se defendre. Or, cette necessite implique qu'il y a d'autres nations qui croient avoir quelque interet k prendre Toffensive, car la defense n'a de sens que s'il y a une attaque prealable. Quels sont les mobiles que les nations attribuent aux voisins dont elles se mefient ainsi ? " On deduit ces mobiles de la presomption gener ale que toute nation est portee a se repandre au dehors et k employer sa force contre les autres. A cause de Tobligation ou elle est de trouver des terri- toires et des debouches pour une population et une Industrie toujours croissantes ou bien encore, tout simplement, pour procurer a sa population les con ditions d'existence les plus favorables. C'est ainsi que Taugmentation de la marine allemande est en- visagee en Europe comme le signe evident du besoin pressant qu'a une population croissante d'obtenir une plus large place dans le monde. Ce besoin chercherait a se satisfaire aux depens du commerce et des possessions coloniales de la Grande-Bretagne, si celles-ci n'etaient pas suffisamment defendues, et Ton en deduit cette consequence que la prosperite d'une nation est en raison directe de sa puissance politique : que Tavantage, en dernier ressort, dans un conffit entre nations considerees commes des unites qui se font concurrence, appartient a celle qui possede la superiorite, car la plus faible succom- bera dans ce conflit, comme dans toutes les autres formes de la lutte pour la vie." Je vais vous citer maintenant un expose sommaire donne par Angell, de la refutation de ces mSmes axidmes : 240 LA GUERRE ET LA PAIX " Le commerce et I'industrie d'un peuple ne de pendent plus de Tetendue de ses frontieres pohtiques ; la puissance mihtaire est desormais illusoire en matiere economique et n'influe en rien sur la pros perity du peuple qui Texerce ; une nation ne pent plus s'emparer par la force de la fortune ou du commerce d'une autre nation, ni s'enrichir en la subjuguant ou en lui imposant sa volonte. " La these se resume en un mot comme suit : la guerre ne pent aujourd'hui, aider en rien les hommes, qu'Us soient conquerants ou conquis, a atteindre aucun des divers buts qu'ils poursuivent. " Cette these, qui parait paradoxale, est etablie en montrant, en ce qui concerne le probleme economique, que la richesse des pays civilises repose sur le credit, et sur la foi des contrats commerciaux, qui sont eux-m§mes nes de cette interdependance economique qu'ont produite la division du travail toujours plus grande, et les communications toujours plus developpes. " Si, par une tentative de confiscation. Ton empeche Texecution des contrats commerciaux, ou si Ton touche tant soit peu au credit dont depend la fortune publique, cette fortune disparait, entrainant avec elle celle du conquerant. "De telle sorte que, pour que la conquete ne nuise pas au conquerant lui-m^me, il faut que celui-ci respecte la propriete de Tennemi. Desor mais toute conquete est une entreprise vaine au point de vue economique, puisque la richesse d'un pays conquis doit rester aux mains de ses habitants. La conquete dans le monde moderne est un pro- cede par lequel on multiplie d'abord par x pour diviser ensuite par le m§me chiffre. " Encore, les interets financiers internationaux sont si intimement lies k ceux du commerce et de I'industrie, qu'un conquerant ne pent pas d'avantage toucher au commerce de Tennemi qu'aux pro- prietes particuheres de celui-ci. II ressort que la ECONOMIC WAR 241 preeminence politique et militaire ne pent rien procurer au commerce. Les negociants et les industriels des petites nations qui n'ont aucun pouvoir politique soutiennent avec succes la con currence contre ceux des grandes puissances: les Suisses et les Beiges chassent les Anglais de leurs propres marches coloniaux ; proportionellement a sa population, la Norvege a une marine marchande superieure a celle de la Grande-Bretagne ; le credit publique des petits Etats dont le pouvoir politique est nul, est superieur au credit public des grandes puissances de TEurope. " Les memes causes, qui ont rendu la puissance militaire futUe au point de vue economique. Tout aussi rendue illusoire en ce qui concerne les idees et les moeurs qu'on pretendrait imposer a un peuple conquis. Le securite dans la jouissance de la propriete privee (a laquelle il est impossible a un conquerant de toucher aujourd'hui), la rapidite de la circulation des idees que nous devons a la presse moderne et le fait que tout ce qui s'ecrit pent se lire partout, permettent meme a de petites communautes, completement conquises, de faire entendre partout leur voix et de faire triompher les idees morales et sociales qui leur sont propres. " Du reste, une lutte pour faire triompher un ideal ne sera plus jamais une lutte entre nations, car les idees se sont disseminees parmi les peuples, ont passe par-dessus les frontieres. "II n'existe pas d'Etat moderne dont tous les sujets soient uniquement catholiques ou protestants, liberaux ou monarchistes, democrates ou aristo- crates, socialistes ou individualistes ; c'est pour cela que les luttes d'ordre moral et spiritual se livreront desormais entre concitoyens d'un meme Etat. " La guerre ne peut plus pretendre qu'elle assure la survivance du plus fort; dans les conditions modernes, elle amene au contraire la survivance du plus faible, puisque ce sont les forts qui peris- 242 LA GUERRE ET LA PAIX sent ; et c'est pour s'etre laisse seduire par une fausse analogic biologique que Ton a pu croire que la lutte entre nations faisait partie de Tevolution humaine. " Les nations guerrieres n'heriteront pas de la terre ; elles representent aujourd'hui la degenere- scence, car le declin du role de la force physique, dans toutes les spheres de Tactivite humaine, a produit de profonds changements psychologiques. " Toutes ces tendances nouvelles, issues des con ditions nouvelles du monde et notamment de la rapidite des communications, font que les pro- blemes de la politique Internationale d'aujourd'hui sont tout differents de ceux d'autrefois. Et cependant nous laissons encore dominer notre pensee par les principes, les axiomes et la phraseo- logie meme d'une politique surannee." Telle est Tessence d'un livre remarquable qui, depuis sa pubhcation, constitue a lui seul une litterature complete. La brievete de Texpose peut faire paraitre la these absurde en quelques points ; elle a fait cependant Tobjet d'une discussion approfondie parmi quelques-uns des plus eminents economistes de mon pays. Je ne demande pas k un seul etudiant de Taccepter sans examen, mais je vous prie tous de ne pas la rejeter sans Tavoir examinee. La guerre d'agression, est-eUe un conflit neces- saire pour ameliorer le sort d'un peuple ? La conquete est-eUe avantageuse ? Ces deux ques tions demandent une reponse categorique. Si Ton repond affirmativement cela veut dire que la sagesse humaine consiste a faire appel au fer et au sang. WHAT COUNTS IN WAR? 243 Si le fer et le sang rgglent seuls la question, un peuple de 40 millions d'ames, vis-a-vis de celui qui en compte 100 ou 150 miUions, un peuple station- naire, vis-a-vis de celui qui s'accroit, est irrevo- cablement condamne. Or, la question vaut au moins Texamen. Heureusement, U y a d'autres facteurs en jeu, et ceux-ci sont puissants et indestructibles. L'un de ces facteurs est Tenorme influence que possede la verite lorsque celle-ci s'est fait jour k travers les tenebres ; et de mgme qu'a la fin du dix-huiteme siecle, Tesprit fran9ais apportait une nouvelle contribution aux idees de TEurope, explosive dans sa force, de m^me aujourd'hui encore, Tesprit fran(5ais rencontre une merveiUeuse occasion de s'elever contre une situation aussi ruineuse, aussi nefaste pour le bonheur des masses, que le fut jamais celle qui etait due k Tancien regime. Je veux parler des preparatifs de guerre dont les frais nous ecrasent et nous appauvrissent. Je me demande sans cesse quelle est Tidee qui se trouve a la base de ces constantes menaces de guerre ; et je vous demande aussi. Messieurs, ce que vous en pensez. Ne serait-ce pas, a franchement parler, la croy- ance a Tefficacite de la guerre, la croyance k quelque avantage en perspective, avantage que Ton obtiendra en attaquant son voisin, en lui arrachant quelque chose, en le for9ant a passer sous les fourche caudines ? Supposons que la these economique d'AngeU 244 LA GUERRE ET LA PAIX soit vraie, et que par consequence la vainqueur ne puisse obtenir du vaincu aucun avantage materiel sans avoir a payer son propre gain d'une valeur egale. Cet verite, une fois bien saisie, ne finirait-elle pas par changer a la longue la croyance dont je viens de parler ? La these de Galilee n'etait pas plus opposee aux idees courantes que ne Test celle d'AngeU, et cependant la premiere a bien eu a la fin sa part de succes. S'il est vrai que les obligations Internationales, les engagements mutuels, le commerce du monde et ses finances, avec leur " interdependance," for- ment un ensemble de choses si complexe que tout prejudice cause a une grande nation doive avoir son contre-coup chez toutes les autres nations et sur tous les marches, au point que toute guerre entreprise avec succes par quelque grand peuple civilise contre un voisin civilise egalement, doive demeurer une operation sans profit, alors, bien certainement, Topinion publique, sur la question de Tefficacite de la guerre doit subir a la longue quelque modification. Qui croit encore, a Theure actuelle, k Tutilite de la corvee ? Elle a eu cepen dant plus d'un champion dans son temps. Quand les hommes comprendront qu'un ennemi conquis est un client mine, et que client ruine signifie perte seche pour le vainqueur, auront-ils toujours le desir des conquetes ? Quand Us se rendront compte que les relations PROGRESS OF SCIENCE 245 economiques des grands peuples civUises entre eux, et c'est Ik le point capital, ne sont veritablement que le symbole d'autres relations affectant la vie nationale dans toutes ses arteres, et aussi les rapports des nationaux les uns avec les autres, les hommes voudront-ils tolerer la guerre ? Je ne pretends pas que ces theories soient vraies pour toutes les nations et pour toujours ; mais je crois qu'elles le sont pour les grandes nations de TEurope et pour Tepoque actuelle. C'est un etat de choses ne d'evenements modernes, voire meme de circonstances tres recentes, car le systeme de credit actuel, organise sur une echelle si vaste qu'il embrasse en realite le monde entier, est chose com- parativement nouvelle. Nous le devons aux progres enormes que la Science a faits depuis une trentaine d'annees, progres a la suite desquels le monde s'est rapetisse plus que jamais, et continue encore a se rapetisser tellement, que les sons de la voix humaine s'enten- dront avant peu, d'un bout de la terre a Tautre, et que la traversee de Tocean ne durera pas plus que les heures de sommeil d'une nuit. On peut retrouver dans Thistoire du passe des moments de conditions pareUles. Un jeune etudiant de TUniversite de Cambridge voulant concourir pour le prix Garton, a ecrit un essai fort interessant, ou il applique la these d'AngeU aux guerres entre les tribus de la Grece antique, et oii il montre les effets de ces conflits au point de vue financier et commercial, sur les divers 246 LA GUERRE ET LA PAIX etats, sur Athdnes et sur Sparte. Ces effets, il les evalue en se livrant a une curieuse etude compara tive sur le commerce de la poterie. II demontre que sur le territoire limite compris entre les fron tieres de ce petit groupe d'etats belligerants, la prosperite commerciale se recontra rarement apres une victoire ou une conquete ; et il arriva enfin ce que tout le monde salt, que ce coin de TEurope, devint la proie du barbare et de Tenvahisseur en grande partie a cause de ses luttes intestines. Je n'insiste pas sur ce point qui peut tenir de la chimere, et se montrer trompeur, comme toutes les analogies, mais c'est une vue d'ensemble de toute la question que je vous prie instamment d'examiner sans prejuge. L'histoire de la Grece antique, si briUament exposee par le plus pittoresque des ecrivains his toriques, un homme qui possedait une connaissance approfondie de ses compatriotes et qui s'effor9ait toujours de placer leurs differents points de vue sous les yeux de ses lecteurs, nous inspire certaine ment des reflexions qui touchent k mon sujet. Tout en lisant les diseours aussi complets que pleins d'animation, prononces jadis par ces orateurs d'Athenes et de Sparte, quelqu'un d'entre vous a-t-il jamais decouvert une cause raisonnable a ces guerres fratricides et desastreuses ? Ces hommes n'etaient pas des sauvages ; Us etaient et marchands et philosophes et artistes. Pourquoi done, etaient-ils constamment en lutte les uns contre les autres? L'homme primitif se NATIONAL INTERDEPENDENCE 247 battait par necessite. La mort de son voisin sig- nifiait pour lui gibier et racines en quantite plus abondante ; mais Thomme civihse, avec ses mille besoins ne peut pas se permettre d'egorger ceux qui y pourvoient. Les premiers groupes d'indi- vidus, sauvages et independants les uns des autres, pouvaient toujours avec profit attaquer leurs voisins. lis pouvaient s'arracher mutueUement leurs marchandises, leurs femmes et leurs esclaves. II fut meme un temps ou une province fran9aise, enfermee dans ses propres frontieres, aurait pu gagner en devastant une province voisine, en em- portant les richesses accumuiees par cette derniere, son betail, son grain, son or, et en massacrant ses habitants. Mais aujourd'hui, si une greve de cheminaux interrompt les communications entre un departe- ment fran9ais et le departement voisin, les forces vitales du premier se paralysent bientot. Pour quoi? Parce que le systeme le la repartition du travail nous a tous, a Theure actueUe, rendus de pendants du voisin, et dependants de la continuite ininterrompue du travail dans le monde entier. C'est surtout par des considerations morales, ou encore pour des raisons economiques, que les indi- vidus d'abord et les petits groupes ensuite, les villes et les provinces, ont cesse de se battre, de devaster et de faire des captures. Permettez-moi, je vous prie, de pousser encore plus loin cette question. Supposons que la France apres un grand effort 248 LA GUERRE ET LA PAIX mihtaire ait reussi a s'emparer de la Belgique, et que les Fran9ais etant devenus les maitres de ce pays, les Beiges de leur cote soient devenus, par la force des choses, citoyens de la Republique fran9aise ; y aurait-il un seul Frangais qui comme individu possederait un centime de plus, aurait plus de bien-etre ou serait plus prospere ? La France elle-meme serait-elle plus riche, plus prospere ou plus heureuse ? C'est la une question a la fois theorique et pra tique. Je ne pretends pas qu'une nation ne soit pas quelque chose de plus que les individus qui la composent. Comme Ta dit un grand homme d'etat anglais, — " Une Nation est un §tre coUectif reel et non point un etre fictif. CoUectivement eUe peut triompher et souffrir." Toutefois, ces dernieres considerations s'addres- sent au sentiment, et k ce patriotisme d'un ordre plus eleve dont j'ai deja parle, et n'embrassent pas les guerres d'agression, les annexions ou les con quetes. Si cependant nous devons faire des progres, et continuer a accroitre le bonheur du plus grand nombre, n'est-il pas essentiel d'etablir cette premiere proposition, a savoir, qu'une guerre d'agression entamee avec nos voisins, les peuples civihsees, ne procure pas au simple citoyens le moindre avantage materiel. Si nous pouvons y arriver, nous aurons fait un pas enorme dans la voie qui conduit a la paix. Qu'est-ce que le peuple en AUemagne avec son inteUigence et ses nombreuses qualites a retire du fait, que ses WAR AND ECONOMICS 249 hommes d'etat aient arrache a la France TAlsace et la Lorraine. Quel est le paysan pomeranien ou Tartisan bavarois qui soit devenu plus heureux et plus riche ? Si nous pouvions reculer les aiguilles du temps, le Prince de Bismarck voudrait-il encore annexer ces fatales provinces ? Nous connaissons la reponse. Ici se souleve une nouvelle question, celle de savoir ce que le peuple allemand a retire de Tenorme indemnite qui lui a ete payee apres le traits de Frankfort. Je ne ferais que vous fatiguer, si je developpais devant vous ce cote du probleme ; mais il forme un des chapitres les plus interessants du livre d'AngeU. Je me contenterai de vous rappeler que le verse- ment de Tindemnite de guerre a TAUemagne a coincide avec une des plus terribles crises econo miques connues dans Thistoire de ce pays. Le Prince de Bismarck a declare au Reichstag, avec un certain pathetique, que, peu d'annees apres la guerre, U avait ete frappe de Tetat general de misere croissante qu'il constatait en AUemagne, s'il comparait celle-ci avec la France. Sa vie a ete assombrie par des doutes qu'il n'eclaircit jamais completement, a propos de ce qu'avaient rapporte a TAUemagne les sommes immenses arrachees a la France. liCS plus grands hommes d'etat sont, apres tout, empiriques. Bismarck aurait pu se consoler en se rappelant le fait que Colbert, qui n'etait pas le moindre des penseurs, identifiait la richesse d'un etat avec la quantite d'or et 33 '250 LA GUERRE ET LA PAIX d'argent qu'il contenait ; qu'il considerait le volume total du commerce de TEurope comme ne pouvant s'accroitre materieUement, et qu 'enfin U ne douta jamais du fait que ce qu'une nation gagnait, une autre devait necessairement le perdre. Bien des gens parmi nous conservent encore la croyance illusoire que dix ecus que nous pouvons voir ont plus de poids qu'un million que nous ne pouvons manier ; et bien plus de gens encore sont convaincus qu'une nation peut s'enrichir par la guerre. Vous comprenez sans doute qu'U m'est totalement impossible de discuter aujourd'hui ces theories a fond : mais je voudrais stimuler chez- vous le doute et la curiosite. Ces questions ont une portee pratique formi dable. Jetez les regards sur TEurope. Partout Tapprehension terrifiante de la guerre. Partout les armements gigantesques qui augmentent a prix d'or. Pas de but defini en vue. Et ce qu'U y a de pire, pas de prix pour sa peine. Ou bien ce vaste gaspillage d'argent ne conduit a rien, ou bien il conduit a la guerre. Et dans les deux cas, qui en profite en rien ? Sir Edward Grey disait, il y a peu de temps, que nous redoutions tous de voir, a la longue, les depenses enormes consacrees aux armements, con- duire aux catastrophes, et meme faire sombrer le vaisseau qui porte la prosperite et la civilisation de TEurope. Mais pouvez-vous vous etonner que cette foUe OLD INSTINCTS OF PILLAGE 251 depense soit justifee par des considerations de prudence, quand vous entendez un ecrivain aUe- mand eminent, aux vues saines et moderees, le Baron von Stengel, delegu^ a la premiere con ference de La Haye, nous declarer que, " Chaque grande puissance doit faire tendre tous ses efforts a exercer Tinfluence la plus etendue possible, non seulement sur la politique de TEurope, mais sur celle du monde entier, et cela surtout, parce que la puissance economique depend en dernier ressort de la puissance politique." Tandis que Tamiral Americani, M. Mahan, assure que " Le vieil instinct de pillage vit encore " ; et que — " les marches commerciaux sont domines par la puissance preponderante et celle-ci a pour expres sion derniere la possession." Evidemment Tamiral partage la croyance que Tinteret d'une nation consiste k tuer I'industrie d'une autre. C'est-la une illusion du dix-huitieme siecle. Mais si ces gens ont raison, quelles sont nos esperances pour I'avenir ? Eh bien, le theoreme d'AngeU est tout Toppose. II declare que ces dogmes acceptes jusqu'ici sont faux. La puissance militaire assure-t-il, ne peut pas, effectivement, ou d'une fa9on latente, dominer les marches pour leur bien. Pourquoi ? Parce que dans un monde oil les frontieres economiques s'etendent et se resserrent d'annee en annee indefini- ment et dans toutes les directions, Tentite politique ne coincide pas avec Tentite economique, pour la raison que les nations civilisees sont des organismes 252 LA GUERRE ET LA PAIX non pas separes mais " interdependants," et que par consequent, la richesse est insaisissable pour ce qui regarde la conquete et la confiscation. Un homme d'etat, je cite encore notre ministre des affaires etrangeres, vient de corroborer cela dans un diseours prononce U y a quelques semaines. II a employe la phrase — "le maitre d'ecole de TEurope." De qui a-t-il voulu parler? Du soldat ou phUo- sophe ? Non ; " le maitre d'ecole de TEurope," a dit Sir Edward Grey—" s'appelle les finances." " Le poids des finances," ajoute-t-U, " est la chose qui demontrera aux gens, la necessite de diminuer les risques de guerre, et de maintenir dans les limites voulues la concurrence en fait de depenses pour les armements " — puis il continue a expliquer que les nations et specialement les hommes politiques devront se convertir a Tidee qu'il y a plus a gagner par la paix que par la guerre, une operation de longue haleine, et il emploie la phrase : " il vous faut creer une atmosphere." C'est precisement la tache que je me suis assignee ce soir. Je desire avoir ma petite part dans la creation d'une atmosphere appropriee a Tetude des nouveaux facteurs economiques dans la politique de TEurope. Ceux-ci penetrent profondement dans les rap ports des etats civilises entre eux, k des profondeurs que n' avaient revees ni Aristote, ni Machiavel, ni Clausewitz. Peut-etre cependant s'etaient-ils dejS. loges dans un petit recoin du vaste cerveau de Napoleon. A NEW CHAPTER OF HISTORY 253 Je vous demande avec instance. Messieurs, d'ex aminer les axiomes du General von Bernhardi, les axidmes qui veulent justifier Tagression et la pre senter comme avantageuse, a la lumiere de ces rayons lumineux que le hvre d'AngeU vient jeter sur Timpossibihte economique de la confiscation a la suite d'une guerre heureuse, sur les rapports faussement con9us entre le commerce et la puis sance militaire, sur le caractere illusoire des indem nites de guerre, sur la veritable signification des possessions coloniales, et sur la lutte pour une place au soleil. II est impossible de resister a la conviction que ce jeune penseur a ouvert pour nous un nouveau chapitre dans Thistoire de notre monde moderne. Parlous maintenant, un moment, de la guerre de defense. Chacune des puissances de TEurope soutient et peut-etre croit que ses armements ne sont maintenus que par motif de defense. Cer tainement en Angleterre nous croyons honnete- ment que nous maintenons notre flotte pour notre propre defense et sans la moindre pensee d'hostilite. Les AUemands ne cessant jamais de declarer que leur vaste marine de guerre toujours grandissante est due a la necessite de defendre leur commerce. Chaque puissance croit a la possibilite d'une agres sion de la part d'une autre ; et elle croit en plus, que vouloir affaiblir en rien ses forces navales defen sives, serait faire une invitation immediate a Tat- taque, et la provoquer. Les formidables armees d'Europe sont levees et maintenue6> sous des pre- 34 254 LA GUERRE ET LA PAIX textes semblables. Notre Ministre de la Marine, homme briUant et intelligent Mr. ChurchiU, nous dit que — " le moyen d'assurer la paix est d'etre si fort que la victoire sur votre ennemi ne puisse vous echapper." La phrase sonne bien a Toreille, mais est-ce la une maxime pour TAngleterre seule ? Ou bien s'applique-t-elle aussi k tout puissant adversaire de notre pays, ou a chacune des puissances de premier ordre. Si nous repondons — oui — comment est-eUe ap plicable, et comment un probleme qui est une ques tion de vie ou de mort pour deux interesses, peut-il trouver une formule satisfaisante dans les termes d'un seul ? La verite est, qu'une semblable formule n'est pas un axidme de defense mais un axi6me d'agression, non pas intentionneUe, bien loin de la mais inconsciente, et que telle a ete la base sur laquelle s'est appuyee toute ambition conquerante depuis le commencement du monde. Si la paix ne peut etre assuree sans que chaque nation soit assez forte pour etre certaine de la victoire sur son ennemi, nous sommes tous pris dans un cercle vicieux d'absurdite, et notre unique perspective est la ruine financiere et commerciale. Le c6te grave de la question est, que toutes les grandes puissances de TEurope agissent aujourd'hui comme si Taxiome de Mr. Churchill etait Tessence de la verite. Cela prouve, une fois de plus, le peu de valeut que possedent les faits en eux-memes ; ce qui WHAT IS THE SOLUTION? 255 compte vraiment c'est la soi-disant foi que nous y ajoutons. Mais ou done est la porte de sortie ? Accumuler armements sur armements n'est pas offrir une solu tion. Sommes-nous reduits a conclure qu'il nous faudra, ici, au coeur meme de TEurope civilisee, demeurer a jamais armes jusqu'aux dents, nous attendant k Tattaque d'un voisin des que notre vigilance se relachera, en proie parfois a la guerre civile, et que nous devons accepter cette situation comme etant un etat de choses normal, et une forme definitive de la Societe ? Ou bien, comme Ta fait Rousseau dans une autre sphere et a une autre epoque, AngeU a-t-U ouvert la breche pour la fuite et donne a I'humanite de nouvelles esperances ? Le remede k notre intolerable plaie va-t-il venir, non des hommes politiques et des hommes d'etat, mais d'une ecole de la pensee et du domaine des idees, penetrant dans Tesprit du peuple lui-meme ? Si Ton peut creer une atmosphere dans laquelle les hommes et surtout les jeunes gens pourront com pleter cet examen de questions telles que les finances Internationales, les communautes d'interet et d'asso- ciation, Tinterdependance des travailleurs des diverses nations, les liens divers qui se multiplient d'annee en annee ; peut-etre qu'en exposant la faussete des theories erronees, en donnant une juste interpretation aux rivalites nationales mal com prises, nous pourrons, etant donne I'inanite des actions agressives, et Tabsence de veritables 256 LA GUERRE ET LA PAIX menaces, trouver la solution du probleme de la defense nationale. S'il en est ainsi, le remede supreme n'est pas a la portee des gouvernements et des bureaucraties, mais il se trouve dans TinteUigence des simples citoyens et dans leur influence active. Je crois fermement que nous traversons aujourd' hui une periode de transition, sans nous en aperce- voir sans doute. A ces heures-la, les difficultes sont toujours doublees. La securite publique, loi supreme, demande de grands sacrifices. Nous devons tous etre prets a les accomplir tandis que la meule de Dieu fait lentement son oeuvre. Avant d'arriver k la reduction des armements il nous reste encore un long chemin a faire. Comment devons-nous proceder ? Je ne puis indiquer que deux idees. La premiere est chose facUe et a la portee de tous. Examinez ces nou velles doctrines, examinez-les dans vos universites, examinez-les dans vos colleges, examinez-les chez vous. Organisez des cercles d'etude, des clubs dans vos grandes villes, la ou vous avez des mar chands et des financiers. Rappelez a ceux qui font reposer leur foi sur Texperience et sur les vieux dictons, comment la science elle-meme, la lente et scrupuleuse science, a souvent, en s'appuyant sur les methodes d'induction et sur Texperimentation eleve des systemes qui on ete acceptes comme des verites immortelles, jusqu'au jour oii quelque patient chercheur, toujours au labeur a, soudainement et dans Tespace d'un eclair, renverse les conceptions THE TWO PROPOSITIONS 257 anciennes ; et c'est ainsi que les lois de Tevolution ou celles de la deperdition des forces physiques possedent pour une nouvelle generation un sens entierement nouveau. Ma premiere proposition done est que nous fas- sions tous nos efforts pour comprendre et disseminer Tidee que, comme Texprime Mr. Balfour : — " La guerre d'agression entreprise entre nations civilisees dans le but d'augmenter le bonheur, la richesse et la prosperite de Tagresseur, est k la fois inutile et stupide." Quant a ma deuxieme proposition, j'en prends seul la responsabilite. Je ne Tai jamais discutee avec personne d'important. Je Temets comme venant d'un membre d'une universite anglaise, et adressee aux etudiants de Tuniversite de Paris. Nous avons tous eu Toccasion de voir osciUer sous nos yeux, depuis bien des annees, les chances de paix ou de guerre. Pour moi, je ne doute pas un instant que le facteur le plus puissant qui ait servi la cause de la paix, pendant les temps actuels, je parle de la paix entre les grandes puissances cUes- memes. n'ait ete la Triple Alliance. Je ne songe pas, bien entendu, a rabaisser en rien le valeur de la Triple Entente, k une epoque plus recente. Au contraire, la portee qu'a cue cette derniere, donne plus de poids et plus de force k ce que je vais dire : je pretends que Tespoir de voir la paix maintenue en Europe pendant la periode de transi tion, pendant ces heures difficiles que nous avons k vivre jusqu'^ ce que Tesprit du public ait per9u 258 LA GUERRE ET LA PAIX clairement ce que voudrait dire une guerre fratricide europeenne, au vingtieme siecle, cet espoir, dis-je repose sur le systeme des alliances. J'ai beaucoup moins de foi dans le systeme des ententes comme base de la paix. Les fondements en sont plus glissants et moins fermes. Une alli ance dont les termes sont definis, dont les devoirs et les responsabilites sont bien compris par tous les interesses, dont les effets sont evidents pour tout le monde est un roc sur lequel les parties contractantes se maintiennent solidement et dont U n'est pas facile de les deloger. Tout homme qui deteste la guerre et desire la paix devrait saluer avec joie une alliance entre mon pays et le votre, la conversion, pour mieux dire, de la triple entente en une seconde triple alliance. Alors nous ne serious plus bien loin d'atteindre un but auquel les plus jeunes d'entre vous pour rons se voir eux-memes arriver de leur vivant, a savoir toutes les grandes puissances formant un concert base sur la raison et la communaute des interets, et dont on aura fait disparaitre cet element d'incertitude, les risques de Taction individuelle. Essayons, comme Ta suggere Sir Edward Grey de creer une atmosphere . Une atmosphere nouvelle suppose imagination et ideal ; et c'est dans cette ambiance seulement, que peut naitre une ere de paix pour TEurope, d'une paix solide et que nul ne puisse rompre. Mes compatriotes, tout le monde le salt, ont une horreur au coeur pour les alliances, pour ce qu'ils MATERIALISM AND IDEALISM 259 appellent les liaisons embrouUlees. lis songent avec regret a leur ancien role de splendide isolement. lis oublient que pour vous aussi il sera dur de renoncer aux souvenirs et aux esperances qui vous tiennent tant au coeur ; souvenirs de gloire militaire du passe, venerables conceptions d'honneur militaire, espoirs non satisfaits. Au dessus de nos tetes a tous, plane Tesprit de sacrifice, et du sacrifice seul naitra le progres ; c'est la loi de la vie. S'il est vrai que la tendance chez nous soit au materialisme et chez vous k Tidealisme, il est mer- veilleux que nous soyons si bons amis. Napoleon disait, il y a cent ans : — " Deux puissances comme la France et TAngleterre, en s'entendant bien pour- raient gouverner le monde." C'est vrai, mais nous n'avons nul desir de gou verner le monde. Nous desirous que les peuples se gouvernent eux-memes, et trouvent eux-memes leur voie dans le recherche de la prosperite et du bonheur. Quel changement d'ideal, quel changement de point de vue, dans Tespace d'un siecle ! Pour precipiter la marche des idees qui fait^ abandonner les convictions anciennes, il n'y a qu'un moyen: detruire ces theoremes compliques dans lesquels le passe a enveloppe des faits simples et manifestes. S'U n'en etait pas ainsi, on verrait encore les gens bruler les sorcieres, et se massacrer les uns les autres pour quelques differences dans leurs croyances religieuses. Considerez combien U importe de desaccoutumer 260 LA GUERRE ET LA PAIX les esprits d'une estimation exageree de la gloire et de la portee d'une guerre heureuse, afin de per mettre d'evaluer sainement ce qui reste aux vain- queurs apres tout compte fait. Comptons d'abord ce que coute la guerre elle- meme, puis ce qu'eUe coute a organiser. Songeons aux richesses enormes, au devouement des plus grandes intelligences, aux efforts inestimables d'homme de culture sacrifies a cet art d'extermina- tion, tout cela au sein d'une civilisation que Ton place bien au dessus de celles de la Grece et de Rome, et deux miUe ans apres la venue de TApotre de la paix. Supposez, nous dit-on, que tout cet or et toute cette inteUigence soient consacree a organiser la paix. Ne voyez-vous pas la un ideal digne des peuples animes d'idees de progres et de patriotisme, et cet ideal entre-t-il necessairement en conflit avec une noble et supreme foi dans les destinees de la patrie ? Je me suis efforce de faire un tableau rapide de ces nouveUes propositions, des doutes et des aspi rations qui ont profondement trouble quelques uns des esprits les plus serieux parmi mes compatriotes. J'ai peur que mon expose ne soit faible et insuffi- sant ; mais " Tame a toujours foi dans le rayon." Messieurs, il y une unite dans Thistoire, il y a une continuite ordonnee dans la civilisation et dans la Science. Bossuet, en insistant sur " Tenchainement de Tunivers " appuie sur la disposition secrete des NORMAN ANGELL 261 evenements qui preparent la voie aux grands changements. Si nous pouvions lire les secrets du mois d'Aout d'il y a quatre ans, alors que la guerre fut si pres d'eclater en Europe, nous pour- rions en eprouver, c'est la ma conviction, un senti ment de profonde consolation et de vive esperance pour I'avenir ; nous y verrions aussi la preuve de Tinfluence, de Tinterdependance des peuples sur les actes des gouvernements. Mais il est une chose dont je suis encore plus sur, c'est que lorsque dans I'avenir on fera le compte de tout le labeur, de toute la sagesse, de toutes les lumieres de TinteUigence qui vont, chaque jour, servir a construire notre edifice social, Toeuvre du jeune ecrivain anglais, M. Norman Angell, dont j'ai si souvent parle, oeuvre composee a Paris et publiee d'abord en Angleterre, trouvera sa place marquee a part. BILLING AND SONS, LTD., PBINTEBS, GUILDFORD OCT 19*83 'S« ^1^9" ^j-" f .;" " >^»3j^ ;.;>•* ; . «tJ, ' • -. .%.».iV wltfT^ t. ^^^^^^ ' '•f'''?'^P' i^^^^l^.- •i*^'^^^ .f>:»^«!r«t ^'-' ' ¦ .v-rMf^' , ^x:^' .1%. ¦:-•: r>«v •f^