YALE UNIVER OCT &l Wo PROBLEMS IN EXPLORATION CENTEAL ASIA. By Ellsworth Huntington. £7,3 (From ' The Geographical Journal ' for April, 1910. El 2 rsj PROBLEMS IN EXPLORATION- CENTRAL ASIA. By ELLSWORTH HUNTINGTON. (From ' The Geographical Journal ' for April, 1910.) Since the revival of geography in the days of Columbus geographers have been zealously mapping the world and writing empirical descriptions * In writing this paper, the author has made use of some of the material from a paper on " Desiderata in Exploration — Asia," by the late Mr. Ney Elias, with addi tional notes supplied by Sir T. H. Holdioh and Sir Francis Younghusband. A 396 PROBLEMS IN EXPLORATION— CENTRAL ASIA. of its various portions. They have been so absorbed in this important task that they have had comparatively little time to ponder on the great problems of why specific parts of the Earth's surface present a certain appearance and how they can best be described. Nor have they done much toward determining why certain species of living beings are grouped together, or of why special modes of human life and peculiar types of activity are distributed as we now find them. It is not sur prising that such has been the case, for a seienoe grows like a human being. We do not expect a child to read while it is learning to talk, and we cannot expect a science to devote its time to arranging and explaining its facts while it is still expending its energies in getting them. At last, however, the purely exploratory and descriptive stage of geography is nearly completed, and we are already embarked upon the explanatory stage, which bids fair to be even more interesting than , its predecessor. The explorer who has tasted the keen joy of pushing his way through some hitherto unknown country is apt to sigh for the days when America, Africa, Australia and a large part of Asia were still unknown. Those, it seems, were the halcyon days of geographers, the time when it was joy to live. A broader view, however, shows that the most fascinating days of geography are still before us. There is surely as much pleasure in the discovery of an idea as in the discovery of a lake. It is a splendid thing to cross an unexplored continent, but it is no less splendid to ascertain why the people of that continent possess a fundamental characteristic which does not pertain to the people of the rest of the world. Few portions of the Earth's surface offer problems of greater interest than those of Central Asia. For our present purpose Central Asia may be defined as the vast area extending from the Caspian sea and the Zagros mountains on the west to the borders of China Proper on the east, with the Arabian sea and the Himalayas on the south, and the plains of Siberia on the north. It consists primarily of three great basins and two plateaus *The basins are, first, that of Iran, including the countries of Persia, Afghanistan, and Baluchistan ; second, the eastern portion of the Aralo-Caspian basin generally known as Eussian Turkestan ; and third, the basin of Chinese Turkestan or Lop. The plateaus-comprise the vast bulk of Tibet with its westward extension into the Pamirs, and the plateau of Tian Shan lying north of the Lop basin on the southern confines of the great Siberian plain. In addition to these five great features there are numerous minor basins and mountain ranges. Climatically the entire region is characterized by a relatively high degree of uniformity, although of course there are marked contrasts between the highlands and the lowlands. Except for the mountainous regions, Central Asia is a land of deserts, and is either far removed from the ameliorating influences of the sea or else cut off from them by mountains ; hence it is characterized by broad tracts of PROBLEMS IN EXPLORATION— CENTRAL ASIA. 39? arid plain ringed about or dotted here and there with oases lying either at the base of the highlands or along the main rivers. Summer rains, except in the northern portions, are rare ; and dry, sub-tropical conditions prevail from spring till fall. In the winter, however, when the climatic belts of the Earth shift southward, Central Asia lies in the zone of prevailing westerly winds, and in most parts receives a fair amount of rain from cyclonic storms. The ever-present contrast between great uplands and low plains, and the climatic uniformity of the country, give to Central Asia a distinct unity, and cause, the main geographical problems of all parts to be closely allied. Pioneer Exploration. Although the work of pioneer exploration in Central Asia is almost finished, there are still a few interesting bits to be done, and these should be mentioned before we discuss other problems. The two chief regions where this is the case are Afghanistan and Tibet. A generation or two ago Afghanistan was partialty explored ; but during recent years it has been almost inaccessible. No one has been permitted to travel there except under close surveillance, or on the borders, where British and Bussian boundary commissions have been at work. Thus, although the main features of Afghanistan are known, there are large areas which still require exploration. For instance, the course of the Heri Bud, the river of Herat, and the only stream which escapes from the interior of the basin of Iran, has never been completely mapped, and the same is true of parts of the Helmund. Farther toward the centre of Asia, in the north-east corner of the country, large portions of Badakshan and Kafiristan are entirely unknown. It would be hard to find any scientific task more interesting than the exploration of this region, and a study of its wild pagan inhabitants, the bold Kafirs and other strange tribes. At present, however, such exploration is practi cally impossible, because the English and Bussian Governments support Afghanistan in her complete interdiction of the entrance of European travellers, and because the mountaineers of Afghanistan are among the fiercest of the Earth's inhabitants. In Tibet there are still fairly large blank spaces upon the map, but the major features are all quite well known with one exception. South-eastern Tibet is as yet unexplored. The river Tsangpu of Tibet is supposed to be the upper portion of the Brahmaputra of Assam, but no one has ever actually proved this to be the case. Its course for several hundred miles through the Himalayas is unknown. " Even the Tibetans know nothing as to what becomes of their greatest river. When asked at Lhasa to give permission for a party of British officers to return to India down the river they readily granted it, and even deputed an official to accompany the party to the border of Tibet. But they added that no one knew whether the river went to India, or indeed 398 PROBLEMS IN EXPLORATION— CENTRAL ASIA. where it went. In Tibet it is 11,000 feet above the sea, and is a magnificent river 200 or 300 yards in width. It runs parallel to but at the back of the main axis of the great Himalayas. Where it is next known it has broken through the Himalayas, and is only 500 feet above the sea. What falls and rapids there are, and what gorges the river has cut, remain for the explorer to tell us. "Between the limits of Tibetan territory and the boundary of Assam therS are a number of independent tribes more or less inimical to the presence of Europeans. It was because of the likelihood of troubles with these tribes that the Indian Government refused permission for a^ British party to proceed down the Brahmaputra as Major Byder and Captain Bawling proceeded up the river after the signing of the Treaty of Lhasa. The difficulties are now further increased by the unlikeli hood of the Tibetans again granting permission for a party to proceed through Tibetan territory. The psychological moment was lost. But the relations of the Indian Government with the tribes between Assam and Tibet may improve, and an opportunity may be found of penetrat ing this country ; and fortunately it is in that part, and before the Tibetan border is reached, that the solution of the great geographical problem will be found. It is on that portion, therefore, that the attention of geographers should be focussed." * Minor Exploration. In addition to the two main regions of exploration in Afghanistan and Tibet there are a number of smaller but very interesting districts still to be explored. One of these is the Persian desert of the Lut. This has been traversed many times, but there are still parts which no one knows. For instance, west of Seyistan lie the barren mountains of Palan Kuh, the Panther range, which may perhaps contain ruins of ancient towns or other interesting phenomena. In the Trans-Caspian desert there are also regions which would well repay exploration. No one has ever followed the entire course of the Tuzboi and of the TJngus, the supposed ancient channels of the Oxus river. A thorough explora tion of these would throw most interesting light upon the fluctuations of the Aral and Caspian seas, and upon the conditions of ancient ' civilization. Passing eastward to Chinese Turkestan, there are many regions both in the Takhla Makan desert and in the surrounding mountains which are only imperfectly known. For example, in the mountains to the south-west of the basin many vast glaciers and lofty peaks have never been properly mapped; and the source of the Oprang river, one of the main tributaries of the Yarkand, remains to be discovered. In the desert of Takhla Makan, which occupies the centre of the basin, there are large tracts which have See previous note, PROBLEMS IN EXPLOBATION— CENTRAL ASIA. 399 never been traversed. It is not probable, however, that much will be found here by the traveller who is simply engaged in map-making, for the whole region is a monotonous, sandy plain, and almost the 'only possibility of interesting results lies in the discovery of ruins. At the eastern end of the Lop basin many maps show a number of lakes, Toli and others, to the south of Hami ; but they are located by hearsay, and no one knows whether they actually exist. Possibly they were once connected with Lop Nor, or are the remnants of some other great lake ; but it is useless to speculate until an explorer has gone there and mapped them. He would need to go in winter, for only then could his camels carry ice to serve for drinking-water in the great saline desert. A third type of exploration deals with various minor problems. Except in the few places where the Bussians have accurately mapped their own territory, almost innumerable mountains, streams, lakes, and villages are not accurately shown, or do not appear at all upon even the best maps. Off the main routes one can scarcely travel a day without finding such. For the traveller whose main interest is in map work there is plenty of minor exploration to be done wherever he may travel. Such work, however, is not that of the mature geographer. It should be delegated to assistants such as the native map-makers of the Indian Survey, or to beginners who are making their first journeys. The recent expeditions of Stein illustrate the high value of such map-making under the direction of competent leaders, who themselves are engaged in studying broad problems requiring something more than pure technical skill. GeograpJiical Problems. The comprehensive study of geography, which succeeds the pre liminary work of exploration and mapping, consists of the elucidation of various problems dealing with the distribution and grouping of different physiographic and animate types. In other words, the task of the geographer is to discover how and why various kinds of mountains, climates, and other physical features are distributed as they are, and then to see what effect these inanimate features have had upon the distribution of animate forms. In the broadest sense this includes not only the physical distribution of various species of plants and animals, but also the grouping of living forms in such a way that each geographical province is characterized by its own particular assemblage of animate types. It includes also the distribution of human occupations and modes of life, and also of political, mental, moral and religious characteristics so far as these occur in one region rather than another because of physical environment. Central Asia is unusually rich in problems of the kind thus suggested, but only a few of the more important can here be 400 PROBLEMS IN EXPLORATION— CENTRAL ASIA. considered. For convenience they will be classified as follows : (1) in animate or physiographic problems, including (a) orography, (b) drainage, (c) seolian action, (d) terrestrial magnetism, and (e) climate and changes of climate ; (2) animate or ontographic problems, including (a) the effect of pronounced climatic or topographic conditions upon man, and (6) the distribution of human occupations and modes of life in response to the regional grouping of vegetation and animal life as determined by physical circumstances. The best work can be done only when the geographer enters upon his field of work with a clear con ception of the type of problem or problems toward the solution of which he hopes to make a contribution, Each problem requires a distinct mode of treatment and an intelligent preparation by means of careful preliminary study. It is a great mistake for the traveller to set off haphazard, hoping that he may chance upon some interesting line of study. To be sure, he cannot avoid meeting interesting subjects, but the man who starts out unprepared or without a definite purpose is almost sure to be confused by the very multiplicity of subjects which cry out for his attention. Too much stress cannot be laid upon the value of accurate mapping, not done mechanically, but with a carefully framed purpose. Most of the subjects discussed in this paper require it; for whatever else geography may or may not be, it is fundamentally the science of the distribution of phenomena of all kinds upon the Earth's surface. It is only when the distribution of a given class of phenomena is carefully ascertained and mapped, that the way is open for reliable generalizations as to causes and results. Orography. Turning now to specific problems, let us take up those which pertain to orography. From Persia on the west to Tibet on the east and Tian Shan on the north, the mountains of Central Asia are rarely of the Alpine type. Many of them show evidences of having been uplifted as plateaus in times so recent that portions of an old surface of erosion still remain intact at high altitudes. So common is this phenomenon as to suggest that in general the greater mountain regions of Asia, and perhaps of the world, owe their origin, not to the uplift of individual ranges, but to the upheaval of broad plateaus of the Tibetan type which have since been carved by rain and ice and wind into forms like those of the Alps. A proper study of this problem requires a certain amount of geological training, but it is primarily a problem for the geographer. It would be of the highest value if some trained explorer were system atically to traverse the great central mountain masses of Central Asia from the Caspian sea to China, and to estimate how large a portion con sists of genuine plateaus where remnants of ancient lowland surfaces of erosion now remain at high levels. In the Pamirs, for instance, many high mountains of apparently diverse geological structure have PROBLEMS IN EXPLORATION— CENTRAL ASIA. 401 surprisingly flat tops. In the western Tian Shan region tilted pene plains lie at an altitude of from 10,000 to 14,000 feet, and further east they lie at somewhat lower levels. A systematic study of these plateaus and of the forms which they assume under the influences of erosion would go far toward solving the problem of the origin of mountains. In conjunction with such a study of plateaus it would be possible to investigate two other types of mountains, both of which occur in Central Asia. One of these is the so-called " block " type formed by the faulting and uplifting of blocks of the Earth's crust. How widely such mountains are distributed no one knows, because most travellers, being untrained in modern physiographic methods, have paid no attention to the matter. They have merely seen and mapped mountain ranges which they describe, perhaps, as having noticeably straight base lines and steep slopes. Further than this they have not gone, because their purpose has usually been mere exploration and not the elucidation of problems. In north-eastern Persia, in the province of Khorasan, block mountains are developed upon a large scale, and the same is true to a less degree in Chinese Turkestan west of Kashgar and in certain parts of the Tian Shan region, where they have been seen near Lake Issik Kul and in the peculiar basin of Turfan, which lies below sea- level. They appear to be of rather common occurrence, although, the individual blocks are not usually of large size. It is probable, however, that a careful study would show that there is every grade of transition from vast uplifted plateaus, such as Tibet, through smaller plateaus, suoh as the western part of Kuraktagh, in the eastern Tian Shan region, to little tilted fault-blocks only a few miles long and a few hundred feet high, such as occur in the basin of Turfan. Fault-block mountains are closely related to folded mountains, suoh as parts of the Siwaliks of Northern India, and the two would naturally be studied together. The only difference is that in the one case the Earth's crust yields to a strain and breaks, whereas in the other case the crust is simply bent. Begions of faulting and of folding are often closely associated. For instance, fault-block mountains lie a day's journey to the west of Kashgar, and folded mountains a day's journey to the north. The latter are very young — so young that the original form given by folding seems still to be preserved, in spite of the fact that the low gently arching ridges are composed of unconsolidated alluvial deposits which are very readily eroded. The problem of the origin and form of mountains is the reciprocal of the problem of the origin and growth of basins. A study of one involves a study of the other. At the present time there appears to be a tendency for the mountainous areas of Central Asia to increase in size at the expense of the basins. Along the borders of the Aralo-Caspian drainage area it seems as if in recent geological times a certain amount of territory had been heaved up, and thereby removed from what was 402 PROBLEMS IN EXPLORATION- CENTRAL ASIA. once the floor of the basin. The same appears to be true in the Lop basin. The best way to study this problem would probably be to take some basin and make a complete survey of its mountainous borders. It would be necessary to zigzag back and forth many times from mountain to plain. Such a course is naturally much more difficult than to travel straight along the base of a mountain range, but it is far more profit able. A properly equipped expedition might start at the Caspian sea and travel eastward along the mountainous borders of the Aralo-Caspian basin, and then go over into Chinese Turkestan. In Chinese Turkestan the main caravan might follow a route close to the foot of the mountains clear around the basin, while more lightly equipped parties could make side trips into the mountains at frequent intervals. In this way it would be possible to map the border of the basin and to determine the character of the uplift by which the plateaus and mountains were separated from the plains. It would also be possible to judge how recently the processes of elevation have been at work; to ascertain whether they are still in progress ; to see what connection they have with volcanic outflows or hot springs; and to determine the relation of folded mountains, block mountains, and uplifted plateaus. Such a piece of work would require as much hardihood and as careful planning as any great piece of pioneer exploration in the same region ; and its results would add enormously to our knowledge of the origin and structure of the irregularities of the Earth's crust. Drainage. Closely connected with orography are various problems of drainage. For instance, in Northern Persia the drainage follows a peculiar rectangular pattern. The rivers flow eastward or westward in broad valleys between fault block mountains, and then break northward and southward through narrow gorges for a few miles, and again turn east or west, sometimes repeating the process several times. Again, in the Kwen Lun mountains south of the Lop basin, there are numerous large rivers which rise back of the mountains upon the Tibetan plateau, and break northward in stupendous gorges in the Tian Shan mountains. On the other hand, many rivers flow for long distances parallel to the main trend of the plateau, and escape to the plains without crossing any range at right angles. It would be highly instructive if careful maps were made of these rivers, which to-day are in many cases mapped largely by guess. It is not to be expected that such a study should reveal new principles of such far-reaching importance as those to be derived from the study of orography, but much of value can be learned, and the two problems could be readily studied in conjunction. A more unique problem in reference to rivers is furnished by the streams which appear and disappear in piedmont deposits of silt and gravel. The Niya river, for instance, in Chinese Turkestan, disappears PROBLEMS IN EXPLORATION— CENTRAL ASIA. 403 and reappears three several times, and many other rivers disappear at the base of the mountains and come to light some miles away. In all such cases the quality of the water where the river again comes to light differs more or less from that of the same stream in the mountains. Some times the water becomes so saline that it is unfit for use in irrigation ; in other cases where, the stream does not entirely disappear, it never theless loses so much in volume that the sediment which it contains is concentrated, as it were, and the river becomes a stream of liquid mud. Measurements of such rivers ought to be made to discover at what rate they lose volume during different seasons ; and the salinity should be tested by taking samples of the water for analysis. The practical importance of this for the people of the lands under consideration is great, for many a time the poor natives of Central Asia have tried to use for irrigation water which was so saline as to ruin the crops. Aeolian Action. There is probably no part of the world where aeolian action can be studied to greater advantage than in Chinese Turkestan. In Persia and Trans-Caspia there are also abundant opportunities for the study of the peculiar phenomena due to the erosive action of the wind. An explorer might well spend many years on this problem. Through out the spring season of high winds in Chinese Turkestan, or during the summer in Eastern Persia, he might make most valuable measure ments upon the rate of movement of dunes. Close to one another, in regions such as that of Endere in eastern Turkestan it is possible to find dunes which range from a height of 5 feet to 400 feet. The differences between the motion of the small and the large must be great and instructive. Another interesting problem would be the measurement of the size and shape of grains carried under various con ditions. Such studies have been carried on somewhat in Egypt, hut we require data from widely separated regions. We ought also to know much more about the relation of sand to vegetation. It is some times said that in desert regions the sand of its own volition, so to speak, encroaches upon areas of vegetation and overwhelms them. On the other hand, others assert that this is impossible without some previous change whereby the amount of vegetation has been lessened or a new supply of sand is continually furnished. The question can be solved only by careful observation in many places, especially where rivers flow permanently in the neighbourhood of large deposits of sand. Observations should be made to see how far the rivers, aided by vege tation, are able to make head against the sand, and how far the sand encroaches upon vegetation, even when the plants are kept in full vigour by the rivers. The rate of aeolian erosion in various kinds of rocks is not, perhaps, so important as the relation of sand to vegetation, but nevertheless it a 2 404 PROBLEMS IN EXPLORATION— CENTRAL ASIA. is of much scientific interest. No one, so far as the writer is aware, has made any extensive quantitative study of the subject. This might readily be done in the desert of Lop by fixing marks which should stand from year to year, and could be visited by one explorer after another. When alluvial deposits are eroded by the wind, they are divided into coarser and finer portions ; the coarser portions remain in the lowlands and form dunes, while the finer portions are carried away hundreds of miles and are deposited as loess. In Chinese Turkestau the process of the deposition of loess can be seen in operation almost daily during the summer, and at frequent intervals throughout the rest of the year. It would be of great value if some explorer could establish a number of observation points along the northern slope of the Kwen Lun mountains, where the deposition of loess is probably as rapid as in any place in the world. At these stations observations on the amount and texture of the materials deposited by the wind could be carried on while other studies were being prosecuted in the region round about. The observer would naturally compare the amount of deposition with the strength and direction of the wind, and he could perhaps estimate whether the conditions of past deposition have been the same as those of the present. Beside this, he might well devote much time to a study of the relation between the amount and kind of vegetation upon the mountain slopes, and the amount of loess deposited. He would probably find that in some areas the wind is now carrying away materials which it deposited only a short time ago, geologically speaking. He might also discover that, in certain areas, deposition has begun very recently, and such areas would probably lie at altitudes higher than those of the major deposits. The correlation of changes in the rate and location of the deposition of loess, on the one hand, and of the changes of climate which have occurred during recent geological times, on the other, would probably lead to important conclusions as to the circulation of the atmosphere during the glacial period. Terrestrial Magnetism. Some of the problems to be solved by the geographer require special equipment. Such is the case with the study of terrestrial magnetism. At present, the Carnegie Institute of Washington has in the field several expeditions engaged in magnetic observations in the more remote parts of the Earth. Any explorer who has the time and the ability for such work might add materially to our knowledge of this interesting subjeot. No place is more likely than Central Asia to afford valuable results. The great mass of Tibet standing above the general surface of the Earth must exert an important magnetic attraction. Turfan, too, lying below the level of the sea in the heart of the greatest continent, is a place where repeated magnetic observations would be of high value. PROBLEMS IN EXPLORATION— CENTRAL ASIA. 405 It is hard to tell what results may spring from the study of magnetism. There are indications that variations in the intensity of magnetic attraction are intimately related to important solar fluctuations. Other lines of evidence have been thought by some observers to indioate that these same solar fluctuations are the cause of the slight climatic fluctuations to which the Earth is subject from year to year. Thus it is possible, though this is mere conjecture, that a study of magnetic variations may lead to far-reaching results in the field of long-range forecasts of weather. At any rate, the subject is of such importance that it ought to receive the attention of well-equipped expeditions to the more remote parts of the world. Climate and Changes of Climate. The last physiographic problem with which we shall here deal is climate, the most important factor of physical environment in its effect upon life. The subject naturally falls into three divisions, namely, the olimate of geological times, the climate of the historic past, and the climate of the present. The study of the climate of geological times is primarily the work of the geologist ; nevertheless, it has so intimate a relation to the work of the geographer that he cannot afford to neglect it. In the first place, the geographer cannot properly understand the effect of climate upon life unless he knows how long the present conditions have prevailed and what sort of conditions preceded them. In the second place, the climatic conditions of the past million years, more or less, are responsible for a vast number of purely geographical features, such as the nature of the universal mantle of rock waste which covers all the. lands, the forms of terraces, piedmont slopes, alluvial plains, and other features, and the preservation or extinction of basins which have no drainage to the ocean. Moreover, in addition to all this, it is peculiarly fitting that the geographer in Central Asia should engage in some geological work, because he is likely to penetrate to regions where it may be impossible to carry on regular geological surveys for many generations. The study of the climate of the historic past and of the present is pre-eminently the field of the geographer. An entirely satisfactory knowledge of present conditions cannot, of course, be obtained until meteorological records have been kept for many years. Nevertheless, the fragmentary observations upon winds, temperature, rainfall, and other phenomena made by the traveller in little-known regions are by no means without value. His most important contributions, however, result from careful observations of the effect of specific climatic con ditions upon the grouping of plants and animals, and upon the occu pations, habits, and character of man — a subject to which reference will again be made in discussing the relation of physiography to life, 40(1 PROBLEMS IN EXPLORATION— CENTRAL ASIA. Lake Deposits and Old Strands. Central Asia furnishes the best of opportunities for a study of fluctuations of climate both in. geological and historical times. Hitherto the climate of the geological past has been studied mainly in the glaciated regions of North America and Europe, the most notable excep tion being the investigation of the diminished salt lakes of Bonneville and Lahontan in the western part of the United States. It has been proved that the glacial period was highly complex, consisting of alternate warm or dry and cold or wet periods, but a complete record has never been found in any one place. The advance of a large glacial sheet almost inevitably destroys the evidences of a smaller preceding sheet. In dry regions, however, the records of changes of climate are much more fully preserved. In the first place, there are numerous salt lakes, all of which act as great rain-gauges, expanding or con tracting in response to variations in the rainfall or evaporation. The deposits laid down in and around such lakes vary greatly, in accord ance with the degree of aridity and the amount of vegetation in the regions whence the waters of the lake are derived. The deposits of one phase cover those of another, and there is little loss by erosion. Thus a complete record is preserved, which can easily be read, provided we know the effect of specific climatic conditions upon the nature of deposits, and provided the buried records can be observed. It is every where easy to study the character of present deposits, and in many cases buried records are accessible; for in basins, such as those of Lop and the Lut, the edges of the various deposits have been fairly well exposed by erosion, and in Seyistan movements of the Earth's crust have lifted them up and exposed them to a depth of hundreds of feet. A geologically minded explorer who could devote several seasons to travelling about the borders of the old lake-beds of Lop, Seyistan, and the Persian Lut could reap an amazing harvest. In a few years he could probably learn almost as much about the occurrence of climatic changes in recent geological times as has been learned in a hundred years in the less favoured regions where glacial studies have been carried on. His chief work would be the making of cross -sections showing the succession of lacustrine clays, swamp deposits, alluvial sand, gravel, salt, and fossiliferous beds in the greatest possible number of old lake-beds. 'To obtain complete sections he would necessarily travel up and down many waterless valleys, such as the one leading from the mountains of Kuruk Tagh, in eastern Chinese Turkestan, past the ruins of Hedin's Lulan near Altmish Bulak, to Lop-nor. The . work would require a fairly large equipment of camels to carry food and water, but the expense need not be great. There are scores of dry valleys on the borders of Lop-nor and the Lut that would yield most valuable results. PROBLEMS IN EXPLORATION— CENTRAL ASIA. 40? Far and away the best opportunities, however, are afforded in Seyistan where earth-movements, accompanied by volcanic flows, have in some places raised the bed of the lake as much as 500 feet within very recent geological times. Under present conditions it would be no easy task to travel for months in the desert regions surrounding these lakes, and it would be especially difficult to visit the portion of the Seyistan lake- bed which lies in Afghanistan. The very difficulty of the task, how ever, makes it more attractive. The traveller who undertakes the somewhat geological task of studying old lake-deposits will inevitably engage in the more strictly geographical work of investigating ancient lake-strands. In both tasks it is essential to make accurate maps and to run lines of levels. The highest strand of Lop-nor lies about 600 feet above the present lake upon the south side, and apparently somewhat lower upon the north. It probably surrounded a lake 300 or 400 miles long from east to west, and at least 100 miles wide from north to south. The strand has been observed at only two or three points, and its actual course elsewhere is purely a matter of speculation. To map all the strands completely, and find whether or not they change in level, would he a most valuable contribution to knowledge. This would involve traversing the Takla Makan and Lop deserts along lines where for a hundred miles at a stretch the explorer would be on new ground . It could only be done in winter, when ice could be carried for weeks or months, and when camels would require the minimum amount of water. At other times the difficulties from heat and from saline water would be almost insuperable. No one should start on such an expedition without a thorough equipment and without previous training in less hazardous exploration. In addition to the mere mapping of the strands, interesting work might be done in studying the vegetation, which seems to have a peculiar quality in the regions once occupied by the lakes. A study of the distribution of plants might possibly in itself be sufficient to determine the extent of some of the successive phases of the lake. The collection of samples of soil, and a study of the porosity of the soil, and of its capacity for storage of water, within and without the limits of the ancient lake might lead to interesting conclusions as to the relation of vegetation to lakes and deserts. Naturally, the explorer who studied the strands of Lop-nor or any of the other lakes, would zigzag more or less from outer to inner strands in order to map all of them at the same time. In Seyistan ihe work would probably be less difficult than at Lop-nor, so far as physical obstacles are concerned, although the Afghan portion would be very hazardous because of the exclusion of foreigners from Afghan territory. Various other lakes might well be studied in the same manner, and exceptionally interesting results would probably be obtained in the great salt deserts of Eastern Persia. The thorough mapping of the old A3 408 PROBLEMS IN EXPLORATION— CENTRAL ASIA.. strands of the many lakes of Central Asia affords work enough to keep a small corps of men at work for many years. Changes in Rivers. Closely related to the problem of the expansion of ancient lakes is that of the former courses of rivers. The Keriya and Niya rivers may serve as examples of a large number of Central Asian streams which die away and utterly disappear not far from the foot of the surrounding mountains. Beyond the farthest point now reached by the water, old channels and lines of vegetation show plainly that these streams once flowed farther into the desert. Again, in Trans-Caspia, as has been already said, the Ungus and the Yuzboi are supposed to be ancient courses by which the Oxus river once flowed past or through the Sea of Aral to the Caspian. A careful mapping of these and of many other old channels would be an arduous but profitable task. The relation of such streams to ^vegetation, and the changes which take place in the flora of a region when the streams decrease in size, furnish most attractive fields of study for the geographer whose taste are botanical. One of the most peculiar phenomena in Chinese Turkestan is the changes which have taken place in the course of the Tarim river. In very recent geological times, but probably long before the advent of man, this stream appears to have flowed nearly straight east from Kashgar, and much to the south of its present course. Later it flowed in approximately its present course as far as long. 87° E., and then, as Hedin discovered, continued eastward, instead of turning to the south-east and south as it now does. At a point near the spring of Altmish Bulak, fully 80 miles north-north-east of its present mouth, it discharged into Lop-nor, then apparently larger than now. Little by little during the last two thousand years the river has been shifting its course back toward the south. Except in the lower portion, however, it still follows a peculiar, peripheral course, much nearer to the north side of the basin than would naturally be expected. The Cherchen river, which also enters Lop-nor, follows a similar peripheral course on the south side of the basin. No one has as yet explained the peculiar course of either stream. It is possible that during one of the inter- glacial epochs Central Asia became so dry that none of its streams reached a terminal lake. Under such circumstances underground water would cause a zone of vegetation to flourish at the foot of the piedmont slopes where the Tarim and Cherchen rivers now flow, just as such a zone now flourishes elsewhere. In course of time the desertward edge of the area of vegetation would become higher than the portion slightly nearer the mountains, because wind-blown sand would accumulate among the reeds and tamarisks on the border, where the moving dunes would be checked by growing plants. Thus the zone of vegetation PROBLEMS IN EXPLORATION— CENTRAL ASIA. 409 would form a shallow trough, with slopes of piedmont gravel on the mountain ward side and a low swell of sand and vegetation desertward. When the climate became moister on the advent of a glacial epoch, the rivers would naturally flow farther than before. It would be hard to flow straight out into the sand, but easy to follow the zone of vegetation. Possibly the chief changes in the Tarim river during the past two thousand years are due to the tendency of the stream to abandon its present peripheral course and flow in the normal fashion near the centre of the basin. The theory here presented is not advanced with the idea that it is conclusive, but merely to illustrate the problem. A sound conclusion must be based upon lines of levels run aerobes the zone of vegetation in various places and out into the desert. It further requires a careful study of the relation of vegetation to the movement of sand. It is possible that the supposed tendency of the Earth's rotation to cause a right-handed deflection of rivers in our hemisphere has something to do with the matter. Altogether the peripheral course of the rivers of Eastern Turkestan presents one of the most interesting among the minor problems of Central Asia. Having studied the terminal lakes of a river system and the ancient channels in the desert plains, the next step would naturally be an examination of the upper portions of the rivers to see what evidence they present as to climatic conditions in the past. One of the most important lines of evidence is the alluvial terraces which characterize innumerable valleys throughout Central Asia. They form the only land available for agriculture, and hence are of importance econo- micaUy. Some lie in valleys whose heads have contained glaciers ; but in many cases the valleys havei never been glaciated in any portion. It appears as if such terraces were due to changes of climate. Apparently in moist periods the mountains were well clothed with vegetation, but in dry periods the vegetation died. Then the soil which had accumulated upon the slopes, and had been held in place by roots, was carried off, for there was nothing now to protect it from erosion. Thus the minor tributaries brought down such heavy loads of sediment that the larger and more slowly moving streams were quite unable to carry it all away. Accordingly, deposition took place, and broad alluvial plains were built up. Sometimes the gravel and sand reach a depth of 500 or 1000 feet. When the mountains were wholly denuded of their rock waste, or when the climate changed so that plants grew once more, the activity of the streams changed ; being now no longer heavily loaded, they were able to erode and to cut gorges in the alluvium which they had previously deposited. Thus terraces appear to have been formed. This theory needs to be carefully tested, partly because of its importance in the understanding of such interesting land forms as terraces, and partly because of its practical bearing on the problems of 410 PROBLEMS IN EXPLORATION— CENTRAL ASIA. forestation and deforestation. It would be well worth while to carefully map the terraces of a large number of streams in various parts of Central Asia, and at the same time to ascertain the conditions under which they were deposited, and under which they have been eroded. Glaciation. In the lofty valleys near the heads of the main streams of Central Asia, glaciers have given rise to striking phenomena. These too, like the lacustrine strands, abandoned river courses, and alluvial terraces, have never been adequately mapped. Glaciers many times as large as the greatest in the Alps are still unnamed. The mapping of existing glaciers is an interesting matter, but it is even more important to map the moraines, which indicate the extent of ancient glaciation, and which show how many times the ice has advanced in various places and how far. The lakes of the Tibetan and Tian Shan plateaus are known to be very numerous, and it is certain that many of them are due to glacial action. As yet, however, we lack exact data as to the origin, nature, and history of most of them. This problem should be solved in con nection with the mapping of ancient moraines. It has often been surmised that some parts of Tibet may at one time have been covered by a small glacial ice-sheet, and no one has as yet disproved this possi bility. It seems probable that such local ice-sheets may have existed, but this can be proved only by a careful mapping of the glacial regions of the high plateau. The preceding discussion of lake strands, ancient river courses, alluvial terraces, and old moraines, centres about the problem of climate. In order to obtain the most trustworthy results, the explorer should determine the relation between these four types of phenomena. In other words, it is essential to discover exactly which strands, which old channels, and which terraces or portions of terraces were formed at the time of certain moraines. To accomplish this the traveller must deter mine carefully the exact number of the phenomena of each kind, and also their relative size and age. He must endeavour to find terraces which end at the strands of lakes, and others which in their upper portions are associated with moraines. A single instance of such relations will not suffice. It will require long and careful work to find enough instances to prove either that the moraines, terraces, and strands are due to a single climatic cause, or that they are unrelated. In this connection it may be pointed out that the study of terraces affords scope for most careful observation and theorizing. The adjust ment of a stream to its grade and velocity and volume is so delicate that very slight changes may produce important results, and the results may differ in different portions of the course of a stream. Thus it is possible that a given dry period may cause deposition in one region and erosion in another, and a certain wet period may do likewise. PROBLEMS IN EXPLORATION— CENTRAL ASIA. 411 Hence, the explorer who attempts to solve the climatic problems of recent geological times in arid regions must be continually upon his guard. He must follow many streams from head to mouth in order to ascertain what changes take place coincidently in various parts of their courses. Historic Changes of Climate. The most interesting climatic studies are those which deal with the climate of historic times. Opinion is much divided upon this subject. To many travellers it seems probable that there has been a steady pro gressive desiccation of Central and Western Asia, and perhaps of other regions, throughout historic times. Other authorities, many of whom are meteorologists, claim that there has been no such change. The climate of the Earth, they say, has been practically uniform for several thousand years ; the only changes have been slight and relatively unimportant fluctuations about a mean which is the same now as in the past. Between these two theories lies another. According to it, the climate of to-day averages distinctly warmer and drier than that of two thousand years ago ; but the change from the past to the present has taken place in pulsatory fashion. During certain epochs there has been a degree of aridity greater than that of to-day, while other epochs have been characterized by relative moisture. According to those who believe in steady progressive desieoation, or in pulsatory desiccation, the difference between the conditions of civilization in Central Asia two thousand years ago and to-day is due largely to deterioration of climate. Those who believe in pulsatory changes think also that each major pulsation, lasting for a few centuries or a thousand years, as the case may be, has produced important effects upon the distribution of population, and upon historic events, such as wars, migration, and the fall of empires. Believers in the theory of climatic uniformity, on the other hand, naturally deny that climate has been responsible for any such results. Between these three theories choice must be made, and it is incumbent upon geographers to gather the facts which shall lead to a positive conclusion. In this problem, as in others, mapping plays a highly important part. One of the greatest services which the explorer can render to science is the careful mapping of areas of ancient human occupation and cultivation as compared with present areas. In Trans-Caspia, for instance, numerous ruins lie. in places which are to-day uninhabitable. In a still larger number of cases ancient ruins are associated with modern villages, but the ruins indicate a much denser population than to-day. The habitable districts of Trans-Caspia have been fairly well mapped, but there are no good maps showing in detail the areas of ancient civilization. In a limited region it is quite possible that various accidental causes, such as the deflection of rivers or human carelessness, may have caused 412 PROBLEMS IN EXPLORATION— CENTRAL ASIA. a diminution in the area of cultivation without a diminution in the water-supply. Taking the country as a whole, however, such cannot be the case. The Eussians to-day have introduced a degree of peace and security which permits the full utilization of all the available water- supply. If it should be found that for the country at large the area of ancient cultivation was notably larger than that of to-day, it would go far toward establishing the fact of an important change of climate. In Persia and in Turkestan the same phenomena exist upon a still larger scale. In those countries not even the areas of modern cultivation have been accurately mapped except in a few cases, and much less the areas formerly utilized. In all such studies constant and vigilant attention must be given to the date of the ruins under consideration. Again and again we are told that ruins cover an area much larger than that which can be cultivated to-day, but this, it is said, does not indicate that the supply of water was once greater than now. The ruins date from various ages, and those of any one age indicate a population no greater than that of to-day. Hence it is necessary to find, not only how great an area is covered by ruins in a given portion of the desert, but also how far those ruins indicate that the whole area was under cultivation at once. Much help in this problem will be obtained by a study of ruins which lie far from sources of water or from areas now under cultivation. Measurements of rivers and of bodies of water in piedmont plains, such as those suggested in an earlier paragraph, will give data to show how much water could reach a given ruin if the present stream were carried past the oasis of to-day to the more remote sites of habitation occupied in the past. Near Niya, in Chinese Turkestan, the most distant ruins lie in the desert, some 60 miles beyond the present oasis. Apparently, if the water which now irrigates the town of Niya were allowed to flow as far as possible, it would not suffice to reach the ruins, even if none of it were used in the modern oasis ; and of course there would be none whatever to support the extensive gardens and fields which once occu pied many square miles of what is now pure desert. It is probable that there are many other places where phenomena of this sort exist, and where accurate measurements ought to be made. Another line of study is the investigation of ruins in connection with lakes and swamps. For instance, tradition relates that the ruins of Sabari lie upon the bottom of the northern portion of Lake Sevistan. The natives say that not many years ago the lake dried up sufficiently to expose the ruins for a month or two. Near the shores of the Caspian sea various ruins lie beneath the present level of the water. Other ruins at Baku and Derbent and elsewhere on the shores of the Caspian show marks which indicate that the water once stood much higher than now. At Issik Kul, in Southern Siberia, among the Tian Shan mountains, ruins are reported to lie beneath the level of the Problems in exploration-central asia. 413 water, a faot which suggests that the lake once stood lower than now. Far to the east, Stein reports that the westward continuation of the Great Chinese Wall passes marshes which once were lakes. Here one can plainly see upon the wall itself marks indicating the level to which the water rose. There are probably many other cases of ruins either within the present limits of lakes or lying above them and marked by the action of the water. In regard to most there are traditions, and in many cases actual historic records indicate the time to which the ruins belong or during which the lakes rose. By a study of such phenomena it is possible to estimate with a fair degree of accuracy the exact course of the rise and fall of enclosed lakes, and consequently of changes of climate. In all the desert regions of Central and Western Asia there are numerous traditions or records of old roads which are not now used. _ In the days of the glory of Kome, great trade routes passed through Afghanistan and Persia in places where no commercial caravan thinks of going to-day. At the dawn of history vast caravans, carrying the trade of China to the west, followed a route which is to-day impracticable because of the absence of water and fodder. In like manner old roads once crossed the sands of the Takla Makan desert, the vast waste places of Arabia, and the dry stony expanse of the Syrian desert. Some of the roads have been abandoned for one cause, and some perhaps for another. It would be an interesting matter for an explorer to set out with the purpose of following as many of these old roads as possible. He could then determine how far they are to-day practicable, and how far a change in physical conditions has rendered them no longer passable for commercial caravans. In studying the problem of climate, the effect upon plants and animals is almost as interesting as the effect upon man. In the Kuruk Tagh of Chinese Turkestan, near Turfan, the piedmont slopes of gravel among the arid mountains are marked by old game paths leading to springs now dry. At some time, so recent that the paths are still preserved, the springs must have contained a relatively permanent supply of water, although now they contain water so rarely that animals visit them only at long intervals. Here and there shelters for hunters stand beside the desiccated springs, showing that wild animals fre quented the place since the coming of man. It is highly probable that other evidences of this kind might be found, and that a study of the distribution of animal species in the past as compared with the present might lead to interesting results. This is one of the many problems which have as yet received practically no attention. It would hardly be wise to undertake an expedition whose chief purpose should be such studies, but the geographer who has the matter in mind is apt to pick up facts which may be of much importance when interpreted in connection with what is learned by others. 414 PROBLEMS IN EXPLORATION— CENTRAL ASIA. A study of vegetation and its relation to climate is sure to yield large results. Deforestation is one of the subjects of greatest importance in all the drier portions of the world. We are told, sometimes, that the cutting off of forests causes important changes in rainfall, but meteorologists almost universally deny this. We are further told that the cutting off of forests has been one of the great causes of the fall of nations and the decay of civilization in various parts of Asia. Numerous traditions and historic records unquestionably indicate the former presence of forests in places where none now exist. This subject should be studied by an explorer trained in forestry and in climatology. He should go to the areas where historic records prove the former existence of forests, and should there examine carefully the possibilities of forestation at present. He should collect data as to the depth of soil and especially as to the occurrence of summer rains, which are the most important of all factors in determining the location of forests. In . addition to this, he should study especially those areas where trees, or other forms of vegetation, have died off and disappeared without the intervention of human agency. Such areas are found especially in Chinese Turkestan, where hundreds and even thousands of square miles of the zone of vegetation are studded with the gaunt skeletons of poplars, which have died from lack of water, and with great tamarisk mounds, whose peculiar growth is apparently due to the same cause. Elsewhere, for mile after mile, the stalks of dead reeds cover the ground in profusion, showing that where now all is dead and barren, vast beds of waving reeds once stretched green and gold to the horizon. Again, in other regions, traces of forests are reported high among the moun tains beyond the present tree-line. Here and there traces of ancient cultivation and of fruit trees and poplars are found in places like Endereh, in Chinese Turkestan, where to-day the water, which must have been used for irrigation, is so saline as to prevent the growth of such trees. Apparently such regions were once decidedly moister than now, and a change in climate has increased the amount of evaporation, thus causing the water to become more concentrated, and hence more saline and unfit for agriculture. A journey through Asia for the express purpose of studying the relation of forests and of vegetation to topography and rainfall, and of investigating the changes which have occurred in vegetation during historic times, would be as fruitful as a journey well could be. It requires, however, a man who is not only a geographer in the sense of being able to travel and make maps, but also a man who has a thorough training in the ecological or geographical branch of botany. Before leaving the subject of historic changes of climate, attention should be called to the necessity of systematic search, not only for evidences that the precipitation of the past was more abundant or the temperature lower than at present, but also for evidences of less PROBLEMS IN EXPLORATION— CENTRAL ASIA. 415 precipitation or higher temperature then than now. For instance, near the lake of Son Kul, in the Tian Shan mountains, there are a number of old canals evidently designed for irrigation, but lying in a region where to-day agriculture is utterly impossible. Snow falls almost every month in the year, and the brooks are skimmed with ice in mid-July. Nevertheless, at some time, crops appear to have been grown here. On the other side of the world, in Mexico, ruins of villages are reported in places which are to-day so cold that agriculture is impossible. It is possible that in Tibet, or in the high mountains of Tian Shan, or in the Altai other such places exist. If they do, they point strongly to an historic epoch when the climate was distinctly warmer than at present. In all studies of historical as well as of geological changes of climate the problem of correlation is fundamental. Just so far as possible, each phenomenon must be accurately dated, and its relation to other pheno mena must be investigated. For instance, the structures which lie below the level of the Caspian sea, and are now submerged, appear to be of two ages and to indicate two different periods of exceptional aridity. It ought to be possible to determine whether they are con temporaneous with the reported ruins in the lake of Seyistan and with the canals of Son Kul. Effect of Pronounced Environment upon Man. To the majority of mankind the most interesting portion of geography is the ontographic portion, dealing with the relation to physical environment to life. An understanding of the influence of environment upon human habits and character can be obtained most easily by the study of primitive people, living under extreme con ditions of any type, but especially under extreme conditions of either climate or topography. Hence the nomadic inhabitants of deserts, the dwellers in oases, or the people of lofty secluded mountains furnish peculiarly profitable subjects of study. We find that in such cases peculiar habits and customs are generally localized in small areas. For instance, a certain tribe in the Sahara desert is noted for its honesty, never stealing as its neighbours do. The explanation is said to be that the tribe lives in the sand, where it is very easy to follow tracks; hence a thief is almost sure to be detected, and honesty has become the rule. Again, on the famous Karakoram route from India to Chinese Turkestan, it is a point of honour with the native travellers never to steal any articles found upon the road. Time and again caravans on the vast uninhabited plateau, at an elevation of from 15,000 to 18,000 feet, are overtaken by storms or are incapacitated by the death of the pack-animals. They leave their bales of goods beside the road in full view, confident that no one will touch them, and that they can return and get them the following season. This peculiar form of honesty has perhaps grown up because each man who travels 416 PROBLEMS IN EXPLORATION-CENTRAL ASIA. this baleful route is liable to suffer loss himself, and thus there has arisen a feeling of sympathy for the losses of others. A good example of the effect of different kinds of environment is seen in the habits of various people as to so simple a process as bread-making. The Turkoman of the Transcaspian desert chooses a sandy spot for his fire, and when the sand is hot brushes away the coals, smooths off the ground, and spreads the dough upon it. Then he pokes the coals mingled with heated sand back upon the dough, and leaves the bread to bake. The Afghan, living among stony wastes, oftentimes heats a stone in the fire, pulls it out, covers it with dough, and throws it in again. The dweller in the smooth alluvial plains of Persia makes an oven of mud and heats it with bushes. In all these cases the con trolling factor of environment is climate. It is the low temperature of the Karakoram route which makes it so difficult. It is the long prevalence of aridity which has given rise to the sandy deserts of Transcaspia and the rocky piedmont slopes of Afghanistan. Topo graphy, too, is highly important, for the altitude of the Karakoram plateau causes its low temperature, and the flatness of the Persian plains causes them to consist of fine clay rather than sand or gravel. Another type of human response to geographical environment is found in architecture. For instance, in Eastern Persia, and in other regions where the climate is dry and where the mountains are so low that they furnish practically no water for irrigation in summer, it is impossible to raise trees, which require moisture during a long season. Hence the inhabitants have adapted themselves to their surroundings by learning to build houses composed entirely of adobe bricks, and having domed roofs. On the other hand, at the foot of the Kwen Lun mountains in the zone of vegetation, in Chinese Turkestan, there is no more rain than in Persia. The mountains to the south, however, are so high as to be covered with snow all the year. This gives rise to great floods which persist well into the summer ; hence, even in the latter part of the season, there is water enough to foster the growth of trees. Therefore the Chanto of Chinese Turkestan uses wood abundantly in his house, and employs clay merely for plaster, as a rule. Sometimes, indeed, along the lower courses of the rivers, he cannot use mud even for plaster. The salinity of the soil is so great that the clay, even though of fine texture, will not stick together ; hence it is impossible to make adobe bricks or to employ it as plaster to stick in the chinks between the logs. The Chanto can keep the cold winter air out of his house only by the poor expedient of putting layers of tamarisk twigs or of reeds between an outer and an inner set of roughly hewn poplar-beams. Hundreds of other examples of the localization of special habits, or of special modes of life, because of peculiar climatic or topographic conditions might be cited. Many such are recorded in books of travel ; but in the majority of cases, while the peculiar habit is noted, the cause is not FR0BLEMS IN EXPLORATION— CENTRAL ASIA. 417 explained. The geographer whose tastes are ethnological has before him an almost unlimited and a most fascinating field. Migrations. The readiness with which mankind, especially in primitive con ditions, moves from place to place in response to climatic conditions is extraordinary. Year after year outlying areas on the edges of the oases of Central Asia are abandoned or reclaimed in response to seasonal variations in rainfall. Maps of these regions at intervals of a few years would be an interesting means of obtaining a rough record of rainfall in places where no instrumental records can be kept. Annual variations of precipitation sometimes cause movements of population on a somewhat large scale. During the dry years of the seventies various tribes of Dungans and others changed their habitat because of scarcity of fodder for their animals. In some cases they travelled hundreds of miles, and came into warlike conflict with the people along their route. The number of such minor movements must be great, and careful inquiry would probably enable us to correlate them with climatic cyoles such as the thirty-five-year periods of Bruckner. There is probably no geo graphical problem more important than a detailed study of the effect of cyclical variations of climate. In certain regions the rainfall of the moist portion of a Bruckner cycle is from 50 to 100 per cent, greater than that of the dry portion. Such a difference may cause the limits of profitable wheat-raising, for example, to shift through three or four degrees of either latitude or longitude. In every generation hundreds of thousands and probably millions of the Earth's human occupants are plunged into distress because of ignorance of the fact of climatic cycles. Every bit of information which the traveller can gather on this subject has a direct practical application. In connection with movements of population, one of the subjects which presents a broad field of study is the routes of seasonal migrations and raids. Data as to these are easily obtained, for the nomads are always ready to tell where they spend the winter, where they move in spring, and where they go in summer. The geographer's part, here as in so many other cases, is first to map the migrations. Then he is prepared to see what peculiar characteristics they possess, and why special routes are followed. An interesting problem would be to see what relation exists between the summer and winter camping- grounds. Do people who live during the summer in lofty plateaus so cold that nothing will grow except grass, move to any special type of region in the winter, or are their winter camps determined merely by acci dental considerations, such as proximity ? Among tribes such as the Afghans, who are in the habit of making raids, it would be profit able to ascertain exactly the seasons at which raids are most common, and the causes. This, like many other subjects, is one upon which 418 PROBLEMS IN EXPLORATION— CENTRAL ASIA, more or less has been written, but it has never been studied systemati cally. Among the Arabs the months of May and early June are the great time for long raids. The reason is that at that time the mother camels can be taken away without injury to the young, and their milk can be used to support not only the raiders, but the fleet mares needed for the final dash against the enemy. Similar customs, due to the changing seasons, must exist in many places. Distribution of Modes of Human Life. The last geographical problem which we shall consider is the distri bution of various modes of human life. In Central Asia, because of the contrasts due to the aridity and great relief, we find different modes of life in interesting and suggestive juxtaposition. One of the tasks to be accomplished by the explorer in Central Asia is a mapping of the location of each type, and a discussion of the reasons for its location. Most parts of the world are divided more or less distinctly into linear zones running parallel to the main mountain axes. This is especially true in dry regions. The first zone consists, of course, of mountains or plateaus ; then come slopes of piedmont gravel, and beyond these a zone of vegetation or a strip where rivers spread out and oases are located. Between or beyond the oases the sandy desert begins, inter rupted sometimes by rough tracts where deposits of clay are being dissected by the wind, and sometimes by bands of vegetation along streams which are of such size that they have not disappeared in the zone of piedmont gravel. Finally, beyond the sand one finds a terminal lake located in the lowest part of a basin and surrounded sometimes by great stretches of salt, and sometimes by vast swamps full of reeds. Each of the zones has its own peculiar people. Among the mountains, provided there are plateaus or grassy slopes, the population consists of nomads, such as the Kirghiz or the Kurds. In the valleys village- dwellers of the same races cultivate a few scanty fields for half their living, and for the rest drive their flocks into the mountains and lead a semi-nomadic life. Hardy people and bold they usually are, and prone to plunder their richer neighbours. At the foot of the mountains the zone of piedmont gravel is sometimes habitable, but never rich, and often utter desert. If it has any inhabitants, they are apt to be nomads or else poor villagers, who dig tunnels into the gravel and thereby extract a scanty supply of water from its depths. The wealth of the country is concentrated in the oases of the zone of vegetation. Oftentimes the zone is by no means continuous, and is very irregular, its distance from the mountains depending upon the size of the rivers. Nevertheless, it has a genuine existence in almost every arid region. Life in its shelter is relatively easy ; there is usually slight danger even from nomadic raiders ; and there is little to tempt the inhabitants away from their pleasant oases. Hence there develops not only a type of civil PROBLEMS IN EXPLORATION— CENTRAL ASIA. 419 organization entirely different from that of desert or mountain tribes, but also a weaker or softer type of character. Out in the sand life once more becomes hard, and there are few inhabitants — nomads, depend ing chiefly upon camels and sheep. Finally, in the swamps around the lakes the most peculiar of all the races are located— the fowlers of Seyistan, depending for a livelihood upon the birds which they catch in nets; or the Lopliks of Chinese Turkestan, depending largely upon fish. To map the various zones of Central Asia and the distribution of the different modes of life is one of the most fruitful and fascinating tasks of the geographer. When he has done so he is ready to discuss the causes which govern the distribution, not only of man's varied modes of life, his occupations, and his habits in respect to physical matters, but also of mental and moral characteristics. This leads directly to one of the most profound and fundamental of all subjects of study, the great problem of how far geographical environment is the controlling factor in human life, and how far other causes operate. The solution of this problem is not, perhaps, the province of the geographer ; but it is his duty to prepare the facts which shall lead to its solution. Having mapped the distribution of various modes of life, he may well supple ment his work by making anthropological measurements like those so well made by Stein, and by a study of the distribution of races, languages, and religions. He is then prepared to make comparison between the inhabitants of similar regions who differ in race, religion, or language. Knowing accurately the physical conditions of life, and being familiar with the customs or manners of the inhabitants, he can judge how far uniformity of physical conditions induces uniformity of life. The number of problems which await the geographer in Central Asia is almost infinite. It has been possible in this article to touch upon only a few of them. Exploration, in the common sense of mapping new areas, is to-day relatively unimportant. Exploration for the purpose of solving the great problems of the structure and form of the Earth's surface, the distribution of physical types, and the relation of physical environment to the grouping and character of living organisms presents a field whose possibilities are boundless. PRINTED BY WILLIAM CLOWES AND SONS, LIMITED LONDON AND BECCLES-. 08837 1837